Regional Adaptation Framework for Climate Change Mediterranean Commission on Sustainable Development...

Regional Adaptation Framework for Climate ChangeMediterranean Commission on Sustainable Development

Towards a REGIONAL FRAMEWORK for (COASTAL) ADAPTATION to CLIMATE

CHANGE

by

Ante BARIC, Mohammed BOULAHYA and Gilles SOMMERIA, consultants


OUTLINE

I. Background and Scope

II. Mediterranean Context

III. Regional Framework – added value and objectives

IV. Priorities for actionA. Building information, understanding and capacity to cope

with climate change

B. Integrating climate change issues into national policies, plans and programmes

C. Strengthening national adaptive capacity in key sectors

V. Next steps and indicative action plan & activities


BACKGROUND AND SCOPE

•Almeria Declaration (Jan. 2008) – recognized issues of climate change•16th meeting of the CPs and Marrakech Declaration (Nov. 2009) – called for strengthening regional cooperation on adaptation to climate change• Cancun Adaptation Framework (Dec. 2010)

Key sectors: coastal and marine biodiversity, coastal freshwater resources, coastal zone management, coastal tourism, agriculture, fisheries and aquaculture, urban areas, energy


MEDITERRANEAN CONTEXT

IPCC assesment AR4 (2007) – Mediterranean area is one of the most vulnerable regions.Projected climate change for 21st century:• Warming in all seasons (0.6 °C/decade in summer);•Increased No. of very hot days and longer heat waves;•Increased interannual variability of temp. and precip.;•Reduced precipitation, more pronounced in the western and southern parts (-30 %), during summer;•Increased intensity of heavy precipitation;•Sea level increase +6/+11 cm (2021-2050); acidification


multi-model mean trend of the 2-metre temperature (T2m)

obtained from the CIRCE simulations (2010)


MEDITERRANEAN CONTEXT – Cont.

Impacts of temperature increase (examples):•Changes in physical characteristics of marine systems – changes in phytoplankton communities, increased harmfull algal blooms (impacts on tourism), spread of invasive species (impacts on biodiversity), changes in population dynamics of commercial important species (impact on fisheries), impact on biodiversity (loss 15-37% of Mediterranean species by 2050).


MEDITERRANEAN CONTEXT – Cont.

Impacts of Sea level rise (examples): -Increased river and storm flooding (increase of 1 m - 41,500 km2 of the territory and 37 million people in North Africa, directly impacted)-Accelerated coastal erosion – impacts on tourism;-Seawater intrusion into coastal ground water – salinization of fresh water;- Encroachment of seawater into wetlands and estuaries – destruction of habitats and biodiversity reduction;-Impacts on coastal installations.


REGIONAL FRAMEWORK – added value

Objectives:•Help raise awareness and build-up capacities for adaptation measures;•Support adaptation setting and planning at regional and national levels;•Help countries to identify and undertake concrete adaptive actions;•Facilitate the access to reliable and comparable scientific data;•Help establish mechanisms to exchange experience;•Promote cost-effective adaptation measures and public-private partnership


REGIONAL FRAMEWORK (Cont.)

Priorities for actions:

A. Building information, understanding and capacity to cope with climate change impacts;

B. Integrating climate change risks and adaptation measures into national policies, plans and programmes

C. Strengthening national adaptive capacities in key sectors and developing tools needed to adapt to climate change.



A. Building information, understanding and capacity• Establish national systems to deal with climate change,

impacts and adaptation issues;• Establish regional mechanisms to encourage participation to

research developments and reinforcement of observation networks;

• Establish Regional Clearing Mechanisms;• Establishing Early Warming Systems for climate type alerts;• Develop capacity building and awareness raising programmes;• Recognize regional and sub-regional centers of excellence;• Develop Partnerships and Cooperation


Users: government, private and research sectors, coveringagriculture, water, health, construction, disaster reduction,

environment, tourism, transport, etc

CAPACITY BUILDING

User Interface

Climate Services Information System

Observationsand Monitoring

Services related tofutureclimate

Research, Modelling and

Prediction

COMPONENTS OF THE GLOBAL FRAMEWORK for CLIMATE SERVICES to inform Adaptation

Services related to past and

presentclimate


OPERATIONAL CLIMATE INFRASTRUCTURE

Existing infrastructure at Regional level : RCOFs - RCCsMed-ACC Forum & PRESANORD-ACMAD

Designated RCCs

Pilot RCC Networks

BCC

TCC

NEACC

ICPAC

ACMAD

CIIFEN

Pilot RCCs

Pilot RCCs by 2012

Pilot RCC Networks by 2012Pilot RCCs in development

SADC-CSC

NEBCOFNEBCOF

SASCOF

EASCOF ?

NEACOF

NEBCOFNEBCOF

SASCOF

EASCOF ?

NEACOF



B. Integrating cc risks and adaptation measures into national policies, plans and programmes•Objectives;•Targets by 2020;•Actions at regional and national level to be implemented to achieve the targets



C. Strengthening national adaptive capacity and capability in priority sectors and developing tools

1. Marine and coastal biodiversity and ecosystems;2. Coastal Freshwater Resources;3. Coastal Zone Management;4. Coastal Tourism;5. Agriculture;6. Fisheries and Aquaculture;7. Urban Areas;8. Energy.


CLIMATE SMART DISASTER RISK MANAGEMENT

(Example of integrated disaster and climate risk management, presented at World Reconstruction

Conference, Geneva, May 2011)

•Tackle changing disaster risks and uncertaintiesCollaboration, integration, better understanding, access to information, early warning and advisory climate servoces

Enhance adaptive capacityStronger resilience, flexible policies, effective institutions, preparedness, planning, community involvement

•Address poverty/vulnerability + structural causesSocial equity, access to services, transparency, climate smart development


Next steps and indicative action plan & activities

• Learn from MSSD evaIuation (5years) and integrate MCSD recommendations in the draft framework document (end of June)

• Explore the potential of developing an interface between science and decision-makers e.g. climate risk management forums/networks

• Explore the way to involve stakeholders in key sectors• Resource mobilisation, PPP and risk transfer mechanism• Contribution to WCSD/RIO+20 (2012) • Consolidate the contribution of Med Region to AR5,

following the IPCC audit recommendation


Thank you

[email protected]

[email protected]

[email protected]

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