Regional Policy 2011 Annual reports EU Overview reporting 23/11 – MS Evaluation Network REGIO B2...

Regional PolicyRegional Policy

2011 Annual reportsEU Overview reporting

23/11 – MS Evaluation Network

REGIO B2 – Evaluation and European SemesterJ Walsh / A Abdulwahab


Key points

Focus of strategic reports / calendar Data transfer Indicators / evaluations - Core indicators

(ERDF/CF) Categorisation (inputs) – Dimensions Next steps

Submisison / publication COCOF presentations – early 2012 End March Commisison summary Inter institutional debates


Focus of NSRs 2012

• Clear picture on programme implementation and achievements of CP compared to its objectives – evidence on the performance and effectiveness

• Assessing impacts of the economic and financial crisis on the programmes

• Contribution to Europe 2020 and Growth Compact

• A source of input to the next round of programming - good data quality important


Time Schedule

• June 2012 • Submission of OP annual reports

• July 2012• Following the submission of the 2011 AIRs, the Commission

will engage in quality checks and seek to correct with the programmes the clear inaccuracies – Deadline 30/9/2012

• October 2012• Commission will present the MS with a harmonised analysis of

the data from the AIR• Commission will provide each MS with an extract from its

database on the financial implementation of the Ops• December 2012

• The body of the reports should be presented electronically through SFC, by no later than 31/12/2012


Core Indicators 2012: Progress Achieved

• Results of 2011:• Programmes accelerating, progress against all core indicators• Reporting on targets have improved but achievements are

still better reported• Increased coverage but not all OPs reporting core indicators• Reporting actual values (instead of contracted) increased

• Many technical problems seem resolved• Decimals: dot vs. comma• Typos or incomprehensible numbers

5


Most Frequent Problems

Much of the data in SFC is still of insufficient quality for automatic aggregation. Recurrent mistakes:•Not Cumulative (vs. annual) values •Incorrect Measurement units – i.e. measurement unit for induced investment (m€ vs €)•Missing target values•Baselines are included in target values•Quality of job creation indicator: completion vs. construction, double counting, men+women

6


Categorisation - introductory remarks

• Categorisation … vital part of monitoring, transparency, strategic reports

• An information system (not control / eligibility) for tracking financial inputs

• Decided• Programmed• Reprogramming

• Allocated to projects, by MS, Objective, themes• But not procured or spent

• Progress, improvements in reliability


Overview

• Project selection data1. Priority Themes

a) By MSb) By themesc) Lisbon earmarkingd) Reprogramming

2. Form of finance3. Territorial dimension4. Economic Dimension5. Location – NUTS


1. Project Selection - aggregate trends

Date EUR Billion % allocated

09/2009 93.4 27.1%

12/2009 90.8 26.4%

12/2010 181 52.2%

12/2011 244 70.4%

Mid-2012 (informal)

278 79.9%

Total Budget decided (2012)

346.7 100%


1 a) Allocated reported by Member States 2009-2010-2011

• Compare each MS to EU average .. why?• Different selection procedures / definitions• Different balances between Infrastructure and

soft measures

• Remaining data weaknesses (+/- 8 bn € corrections 2011):

• Annualised / non cumulative reporting; • Some reports not based on selection but

procurement, spending;• Missing / incomplete / erroneous data.


Allocated 2010


Allocated 2011


Allocated mid-2012 (informal @ 09/2012)


Allocated (2011) vs payments (09/2012)


MS trends

NB: Differences in selection definitions … but expect that MS uses it own defintion consistently•Some MS have already front loaded – 100% selection(risk of dormant projects ? failure in implementation?)•Some MS have indicated that open selection processes will soon see full allocation (i.e. DE, PL, UK)•Other MS have still have to formalise significant selection processes


1 b) Thematic Implemenation by Objective


Project Selection 2011 - major themes


Components of "Rail"



Components of "road"




GR= 460%; DK = 570%




Components of ENV


Thematic trends

• Data already 11 Months old … long time lag • Persistent sectoral delays in some MS clear

Rail, Energy, Broadband, Capacity Building, Etc;

• Growing signs of over / under programming not reflected in formal reprogramming;


Convergence 2007-2013 – AIR 2011 – rate of selection by Lisbon earmarks


RCE 2007-2010: 2011 AIRRate of selection by Lisbon earmarks

CZ: 250% or over for Lisbon / non-Lisbon; GR: 216% for Lisbon earmarked


1 d) Reprogramming

• Can take different forms• Thematic reprogramming (see below) • Reprogramming co-financing

Increase co-financing within regulatory limitsTop up (programme countries)

• Reprogramming to accelerate use flexibility within priority axes


1 d) Decided thematic reprogramming – 28 billion € - 8% total EU

NB : IE = 41%


Thematic reprogramming - Graph


Decided reprogramming - EU - 2007-2012 (@22/10/2012)

Positive €m Negative €mNet Change

€m Net Change

%

Rail 1,635.7 -1,982.9 -347.2 -1.5%Road 2,917.5 -2,010.5 907.0 2.2%Other transport 1,282.7 -2,102.0 -819.3 -4.9%Energy 1,821.2 -878.0 943.2 8.1%Broadband 302.8 -297.4 5.4 0.2%Environment 2,502.1 -3,685.0 -1,182.8 -2.6%Culture & social 2,811.5 -1,578.4 1,233.1 5.1%

Innovation & RTD 6,609.2 -4,607.3 2,001.9 3.9%

Entrepreneurship 725.3 -1,096.9 -371.5 -4.6%ICT services 1,031.0 -1,493.3 -462.3 -3.7%

Generic Bus. Supprt 1,541.3 -681.6 859.6 5.9%Human capital 926.9 -1,957.0 -1,030.1 -3.5%Labour market 2,376.1 -979.3 1,396.7 5.8%

Capacity Building 147.3 -885.6 -738.3 -6.5%Social Inclusion 228.2 -311.8 -83.6 -2.0%

Territorial Dimension 1,326.6 -673.6 652.9 4.3%

Technical Assistance 305.9 -849.1 -543.3 -5.4%Sum: 28,491.2 -26,069.7 2,421.4


Other Dimensions …


Form of finance - 2011


Territorial Dimension - 2011


Territorial Dimension

Comments: - Improved ventilation: IT, UK

NB: Rural = Mountains, Islands, sparsly populated, RUP and other ruralOther = ex-Border regions, Cooperation (transnational, interrregional ..)


Economic Dimension – AIR 2011


Economic Dimension

• Less than 20% of allocations to projects not allocated to economic end use;

• … but very high rates of non allocation in UK, LU, FR, BE, IE, BG, DK and ETC;

• Improved reporting in SE;• Neary 60% allocated to service sectors - including

'public sector'.




PT = 50%


Labour Market measures (63, 64, 65, 66, 67,

69) by economic sector – AIR 2011


Location (NUTS 2/3)


Next Steps

• National reports – by end 2012• Outputs / results / evaluations• Crisis response• EUROPE 2020 contribution• Future pointers / reprogramming / post2014

• COCOF presentations by delegations • Commission analysis

• Report by 31/3/2013

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