Regional Profile Illinois Northern Stateline Region

Regional Profile

Illinois Northern Stateline Region

Northeast

Northern Stateline

Northwest

EastCentral

Central

NorthCentral

WestCentral

Southeastern

Southwestern

Southern

Illinois Economic Development Regions

Population Projections—Percent Change, 2000-25

Source: U.S. Census Bureau

7.4

24.20

10

20

30

40

50

60

Nevada

ArizonaFloridaTexasU

tahIdahoN

orth Carolina

Georgia

Washington

Oregon

VirginiaAlaskaC

aliforniaC

oloradoN

ew H

ampshire

Maryland

Delaw

areSouth C

arolinaTennesseeM

innesotaU

nited States

Haw

aiiArkansasN

ew M

exicoVerm

ontM

ontanaN

ew Jersey

Wisconsin

Missouri

KentuckyM

aineO

klahoma

IndianaR

hode IslandM

assachusettsKansasC

onnecticutAlabam

aM

ississippiM

ichiganIllinoisW

yoming

LouisianaSouth D

akotaN

ebraskaPennsylvaniaN

ew York

Iowa

Ohio

West Virginia

North D

akota

85.8

93.3

-3.3

Population Projections by Region and Age, 2005-25

Source: Illinois Department of Commerce and Economic Opportunity

-100,000

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

Central

East C

entral

North C

entral

Northeast

Northern S

tateline

Northw

est

Southeastern

Southern

Southw

estern

West C

entral

Age 15-24Age 25-44Age 45-64

656,431

Projected Change in Illinois Population by Age and Race/Ethnicity, 2006-25 (in Thousands)


62,529

68,061

148,937

71,817

106,646

18,417

311,037

160,717

89,645

58,992

98,798

129,165 85,790

146,638 99,142

229,600

246,342

114,684

-65,849

-104,070

-1,261

-99,591

-50,462

-30,320

-200,000

-100,000

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

0-14 15-24 25-44 45-64 65 and Older

WhiteAfrican AmericanHispanicAsianOther

659,702

Projected Change in Illinois Population By Age and Race/Ethnicity, 2005-25

(Northern Stateline)


2,178

-3,493

-3,796 -6,453

34,179

2,477 722

4,662

2,909

3,3731,441

1,832

1,546

6,310

2,662934

1,123

1,335

1,245

7,420 4,952

12,327 9,046

2,486953

-10,000

-5,000

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

0 to 14 15 to 24 25 to 44 45 to 64 65 and Older

White Black Hispanic

Asian Other

46.8 to 99.723.8 to 46.811.8 to 23.83.9 to 11.8

Source: 2006 ACS Public Use Microdata Sample

Minorities as a Percent of the Total Population, 2006(Public Use Microdata Areas)

16.0 to 97.65.0 to 16.02.1 to 5.00.3 to 2.1


Percent African-American, 2006(Public Use Microdata Areas)

16.5 to 83.17.5 to 16.53.0 to 7.50.7 to 3.0


Percent Hispanic/Latino, 2006(Public Use Microdata Areas)

Percent Educational Attainment of Population Age 25-64 By Race/Ethnicity—Illinois, 2005

5.7

26.6

9.1

22.7

13.2

13.8

29.5

28.5

8.6

12.4

7.3

39.4

29.9

14.6

4.4

8.0

3.7

5.7

10.8

11.3

7.1

36.3

28.7

16.9

26.8

21.4

12.7

14.8

7.5

11.8

23.6

23.9

8.6

18.8

13.2

22.80

10

20

30

40

Less thanHigh School

High School Some College Associate Bachelor's Graduate orProfessional

White Non-Hispanic Black Non-HispanicHispanic Asian/Pacific IslanderAmerican Indian/Alaska Native Other Non-Hispanic

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005 ACS (PUMS)

Difference in High School Attainment Between Whites and Minorities,* 2006

19.221.0

-4.5

37.1

-10

0

10

20

30

40

Haw

ai iW

est Vi r gini a

New

Ham

pshi r eA

la bama

Mi ssis sippi

Kent ucky

Del aw

areM

on ta naM

i ssour iM

a ryl andO

hi oSout h C

arol inaTenne sseeFlo ri daLoui sian aG

eo rg iaM

i chi ganV

ir gi ni aAla skaPenn sylvan iaN

or th Dakota

Arkansas

Indi anaW

yoming

Conn ect icut

Nort h C

aroli naN

ew J erse y

Okl ahom

aN

ew Y

orkSout h D

ako taM

as sachuse tt sW

iscon sinN

ew M

exi coM

a ineU

ni te d Stat es

Il li noisM

i nneso taKansa sR

hod e I sl andTexasA

r izon aC

ol oradoW

ashi ngto nN

eva daU

t ahIow

aC

al iforniaN

ebrask aO

r ego nIda ho

Verm

ont

* Minorities include African-American, Hispanic, and Native AmericanSource: U.S. Census Bureau, 2006 ACS (PUMS)

Difference in College Attainment Between Whites and Minorities,* 2006

22.0

27.6

-6.5

34.1

-10

0

10

20

30

40

West V

i r gini aN

ew H

ampshi re

Flo ri daK

entuckyA

rkansasO

hi oM

i ssour iTenne sseeM

i ssis sippiInd ianaO

kl ahoma

Loui sian aA

la bama

Del aw

areG

eo rg iaW

yoming

Mi chi gan

Ma ine

Ala skaVir gi ni aM

a ryl andM

o nta naSout h C

arol inaN

ort h Caroli na

Penn sylvan iaU

ni te d Stat es

Rhod e I sl and

Orego n

Kansa s

Idah oN

eva daU

t ahIow

aH

awai i

New

Mexi co

Mi nneso ta

Ar izon a

TexasW

ashi ngto nN

ew J erse y

Wiscon sin

New

Yor k

Il li noisC

onn ect icutS

out h Dako ta

Mas sachuse tts

Nebrask a

Nor th D

akotaC

al iforniaC

ol or ado

Verm

ont

* Minorities include African-American, Hispanic, and Native AmericanSource: U.S. Census Bureau, 2006 ACS (PUMS)

Percent of Adults with No High School Diploma by Age and Race/Ethnicity, 2006


5.4 5.5 6.38.3

15.413.4

15.319.3

33.8

39.2

43.4

58.8

0

20

40

60

Age 25-34 Age 35-44 Age 45-54 Age 55-64

White African-American Hispanic

22.0 to 52.716.1 to 22.011.4 to 16.11.7 to 11.4


Percent of 18 to 24 Year Olds with No High School Diploma, 2006(Public Use Microdata Areas)


Percent of 25 to 64 Year Olds with No High School Diploma, 2006(Public Use Microdata Areas)

13.5 to 54.910.6 to 13.56.8 to 10.62.1 to 6.8

47.1 to 83.435.0 to 47.128.1 to 35.010.9 to 28.1


Percent of 25 to 64 Year Olds with an Associates Degree or Higher, 2006(Public Use Microdata Areas)


Percent of 25 to 64 Year Olds with a Bachelors Degree or Higher, 2006

(Public Use Microdata Areas)

36.3 to 79.325.6 to 36.317.3 to 25.66.2 to 17.3

Per Capita Personal Income as a Percent of U.S. Average—Illinois, 1960-2005

Source: Regional Economic Information System, Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Dept. of Commerce

106.1 106.9108.9 107.8

105.1

116.6

111.9113.6

117.8

108.8

90

100

110

120

130

1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005

U.S. Average

Median Earnings of Population Age 25-64 by Level of Education, 2005

22,932

30,576

36,691

39,952

50,960

65,228

21,199

29,557

35,162

38,729

49,635

61,151

$0

$25,000

$50,000

$75,000

Less thanHigh School

High School Some College Associate Bachelor's Graduate orProfessional

Degree

Illinois United States

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS

29,363 to 61,74823,910 to 29,36319,953 to 23,91010,742 to 19,953

Personal Income per Capita, 2006(Public Use Microdata Areas)


16.6 to 37.811.9 to 16.66.7 to 11.92.1 to 6.7


Percent of Total Population at or Below Poverty Level, 2006(Public Use Microdata Areas)

36.7 to 58.428.9 to 36.724.0 to 28.911.1 to 24.0


Percent Employment in Management and Professional Occupations, 2006(Public Use Microdata Areas)


Difference in Median Earnings Between a High School Diploma and Associates Degree, 2006


12,188 to 29,4548,126 to 12,1884,571 to 8,126

0 to 4,571


Difference in Median Earnings Between a High School Diploma and a Bachelor’s Degree, 2006


27,423 to 67,03423,361 to 27,42316,048 to 23,3617,617 to 16,048

Student Pipeline, 2004

Source: NCES Common Core Data 2004; Tom Mortenson, Postsecondary Education Opportunity; NCES, IPEDS Fall 2004 Retention Rate File and Fall 2003 Enrollments, 2004 Graduation Rates; U.S. Census Bureau, 2005 ACS

91.3

57.3

42.0

27.3

69.7

38.8

26.9

18.4

75.5

41.7

28.4

19.9

42.3

29.733.7

0

20

40

60

80

100

Graduate fromHigh School

Directly EnterCollege

Enroll inSecond Year

GraduateWithin 150% ofProgram Time

Are Age 25-44with a Bachelor's

Degree

Best Performing StateUnited StatesIllinois

Of 100 9th Graders,

How Many…

High School Graduation Rates – Percentage of 9th Graders Graduating Four Years Later Region (Average 2005 and 2006)

Source: IL State Board of Education; NCES, Common Core Data

65.5

72.6

73.6

74.4

76.3

76.4

76.9

79.1

80.1

80.8

83.4

30 40 50 60 70 80 90

Northern Stateline

Central

Northeast

Illinois

North Central

East Central

Southwestern

Northwest

Southeastern

Southern

West Central

College-Going Rates—First-Time Freshmen Directly Out of

High School as a Percent of Recent High School Graduates, 2004

55.2

55.5

68.8

42.6

0

25

50

75

South Dakota

New

YorkN

orth Dakota

South Carolina

Minnesota

North C

arolinaG

eorgiaM

assachusettsN

ew Jersey

IndianaIow

aN

ew M

exicoKansasC

onnecticutAlabam

aM

ississippiN

ebraskaPennsylvaniaW

yoming

Michigan

Maryland

Wisconsin

Montana

Colorado

VirginiaKentuckyArkansasR

hode IslandU

nited States

New

Ham

pshireIllinoisN

evadaLouisianaD

elaware

FloridaW

est VirginiaO

klahoma

Ohio

Missouri

TexasH

awaii

Maine

ArizonaTennesseeIdahoO

regonAlaskaC

aliforniaVerm

ontW

ashingtonU

tah

Source: Tom Mortenson, Postsecondary Opportunity (2004 data update 02-06-07)

Illinois Net Migration of College Students by Sector, Fall 2006

-6,794

-31

-2

-8

-91

-77

-520

7,225

-3,080

-10,210

-15,000 -10,000 -5,000 0 5,000 10,000 15,000

Private 4-Year Non-Profit

Public 4-Year

Private 4-Year For Profit

Public 2-Year

Private 2-Year For Profit

Private 2-Year Non-Profit

Public Less than 2-Year

Private Less than 2-Year For Profit

Private Less than 2-Year Non-Profit

Total

Source: NCES, IPEDS Residency and Migration Survey

University of Iowa IA 1,362 1,360 Public 4-yearIndiana University-Bloomington IN 994 979 Public 4-yearPurdue University-Main Campus IN 828 812 Public 4-yearMarquette University WI 635 630 Private 4-year Non ProfitUniversity of Wisconsin-Madison WI 514 510 Public 4-yearUniversity of Missouri-Columbia MO 422 385 Public 4-yearCarthage College WI 387 384 Private 4-year Non ProfitSaint Louis University-Main Campus MO 363 358 Private 4-year Non ProfitUniversity of Phoenix-Online Campus AZ 361 29 Private 4-year For ProfitIowa State University IA 323 316 Public 4-yearMiami University-Oxford OH 323 323 Public 4-yearSaint Ambrose University IA 292 289 Private 4-year Non ProfitColorado Technical University Online CO 262 4 Private 4-year For ProfitSt Louis College of Pharmacy MO 260 102 Private 4-year Non ProfitMichigan State University MI 256 246 Public 4-yearUniversity of Notre Dame IN 230 230 Private 4-year Non ProfitKaplan University IA 221 29 Private 4-year For ProfitUniversity of Michigan-Ann Arbor MI 219 207 Public 4-yearValparaiso University IN 207 205 Private 4-year Non ProfitArizona State University/Tempe Campus AZ 205 201 Public 4-yearUniversity of Colorado at Boulder CO 201 199 Public 4-yearNorthern Michigan University MI 200 195 Public 4-yearUniversity of Kansas Main Campus KS 199 199 Public 4-yearWestern International University AZ 192 27 Private 4-year For ProfitRanken Technical College MO 192 124 Private 4-year Non ProfitWashington University in St Louis MO 187 187 Private 4-year Non ProfitUniversity of Dayton OH 186 186 Private 4-year Non ProfitButler University IN 174 173 Private 4-year Non ProfitSoutheast Missouri State University MO 158 156 Public 4-yearUniversity of Wisconsin-Platteville WI 157 155 Public 4-yearLoras College IA 152 152 Private 4-year Non ProfitDrake University IA 149 149 Private 4-year Non ProfitMurray State University KY 147 141 Public 4-yearGrand Valley State University MI 146 146 Public 4-yearCarroll College WI 137 137 Private 4-year Non ProfitPurdue University-Calumet Campus IN 135 114 Public 4-yearTruman State University MO 130 130 Public 4-year

Top Out-of-State Institutions Illinois Residents Attend, Fall 2006

Source: NCES, IPEDS Residency and Migration Survey

First-Time FT Freshmen JustInstitution State Freshmen Out of High School Sector Description

Illinois Net Migration of Residents Age 22-64 by Level of Education, 2004-05

Source: 2005 ACS (PUMS)

14,899

3,953

4,841

10,105

1,621

-2,432

-3,189

-5,000 0 5,000 10,000 15,000

Total

Graduate/Professional

Bachelor's

Associate

Some College

High School

Less than High School

Net Migration by Degree Level and Age Group—Illinois, 1995-2000

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census; 5% PUMS Files

22- to 29-Year-Olds 30- to 64-Year-Olds

82,169

14,010

29,827

719

-923

10,150

28,386

-30,000 0 30,000 60,000 90,000

-40,023

-5,842

-12,172

-6,718

-26,273

-12,319

23,301

-50,000 -25,000 0 25,000 50,000

Less than High School

High School

Some College

Associate

Bachelor’s

Graduate/Professional

Total

In-State College-Going Rates Directly Out of High School by Region; Average 2005 and 2006 (Public Institutions Only)

Sources: IL State Board of Education, IL Shared Enrollment and Graduation Information

32.6

33.8

34.9

40.6

41.4

42.1

48.8

49.0

49.8

55.2

56.5

0 10 20 30 40 50 60

Southwestern

Northwest

Central

Northeast

Illinois

West Central

North Central

Northern Stateline

Southeastern

Southern

East Central

0 25 50 75 100

Central

Northeast

Northwest

West Central

North Central

Southwestern

Northern Stateline

Southern

Southeastern

East Central

Public Four-Year Public Two Year Private Non-Profit Private For-Profit

First-Time Undergraduate Enrollment by Region and Sector, Fall 2006 (Percent)

Source: NCES, IPEDS Fall Enrollment Survey

Percent of First-Time Freshmen Directly Out of High School Enrolling In-Region; Average 2006 and 2007

(Public Institutions Only)

68.2

68.8

73.3

74.5

78.6

80.5

83.9

85.7

89.0

96.9

0 25 50 75 100

Central

Northwest

Northeast

Northern Stateline

Southwestern

North Central

West Central

East Central

Southeastern

Southern

Source: Illinois Shared Enrollment and Graduation Information

0

0

0

4

46

70

93

142

204

0 50 100 150 200 250 300

Northwest

Southeastern

Southwestern

Central

Southern

West Central

North Central

East Central

Northeast

Northern Stateline

Regional Postsecondary Participation of First-Time Students Directly Out of High School (Students from the Northern Stateline Region in Public

Institutions)


1,500

0

0

0

0

1

2

2

2

24

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50

Northwest

East Central

Central

Southeastern

Southwestern

North Central

West Central

Southern

Northeast

Northern Stateline

Regional Postsecondary Participation of First-Time Students Ages 25 and Older (Students from the Northern Stateline Region in Public Institutions)


697

Percent of Postsecondary First-Time Enrollment Patterns by Region of Residence; Average 2006 and 2007 (Public Institutions Only)


Northeast 73 0 0 13 0 7 3 0 3 0Northern Stateline 9 75 0 7 0 5 3 0 2 0Northwest 7 0 69 9 0 6 7 0 3 0East Central 1 0 0 86 0 8 1 0 5 0Central 2 0 0 11 68 7 5 0 7 0North Central 3 0 0 9 0 81 3 0 4 0West Central 2 0 0 7 1 3 84 0 4 0Southeastern 0 0 0 5 0 1 0 89 5 0Southern 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 97 0Southwestern 1 0 0 7 0 3 1 0 8 79

Northeast 99 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0Northern Stateline 3 97 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0Northwest 1 0 96 0 0 0 2 0 1 0East Central 0 0 0 99 0 0 0 0 0 0Central 0 0 0 0 98 0 0 0 0 1North Central 0 0 0 0 0 99 0 0 0 0West Central 0 0 0 0 0 0 99 0 1 0Southeastern 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 0 0Southern 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 0Southwestern 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 98

Northern East North WestNortheast Stateline Northwest Central Central Central Central Southeastern Southern Southwestern

REGION OF RESIDENCE

REGION OF ENROLLMENT

Directly Out of High School

Age 25 and Older

3

3

3

1

3

2

20

2

3

13

17

32

49

29

19

17

15

17

27

16

20

47

29

27

26

43

59

36

45

37

46

36

33

31

20

30

34

22

22

20

29

27

24

1

4

1

13

1

6

16

4

11

6

0

0

0 25 50 75 100

West Central

Southwestern

Southern

Southeastern

Northwest

Northern Stateline

Northeast

North Central

East Central

Central

All Community Colleges

Pre-Collegiate Continuing Education Baccalaureate Transfer Occupational/Technical General Associates

Distribution of Enrollment at Illinois Community Colleges, Fall 2006

Source: Illinois Board of Higher Education

Transfer Rates by Region (Percent)

32.2

34.5

37.1

37.9

38.2

38.4

38.7

39.1

39.9

40.8

41.2

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45

Southeastern

East Central

West Central

Northern Stateline

Southern

STATEWIDE

Northwest

Central

Northeast

North Central

Southwestern

Source: ICCB Fall Enrollment (E1), Annual Enrollment and Completion (A1), Illinois Shared Enrollment and Graduation Data, and National Student Clearinghouse; National Transfer Assembly/UCLA/Cohen Methodology; Rock Valley prior year data used in detail

Fall 2001 Entering CC Cohort with No Prior College Experience Who Completed 12 or More Semester Credits and Transferred to Senior Institutions

By Fall 2005 (FY 2007)

Enrollment in State-Administered ABE Programs Per 1,000 Adults Age 18-64 with Less than a

High School Diploma, 2005

121.5

38.0

240.8

101.7

0

50

100

150

200

250

FloridaU

tahM

innesotaS

outh Carolina

Connecticut

California

Arkansas

North C

arolinaN

ew M

exicoIllinoisH

awaii

Maine

Washington

Georgia

Nebraska

United States

New

York

Alaska

Delaw

areW

yoming

IndianaTennesseeM

issouriW

isconsinS

outh Dakota

New

Ham

pshireR

hode IslandM

ississippiO

regonN

orth Dakota

Iowa

Pennsylvania

Maryland

Montana

Kentucky

IdahoN

ew Jersey

Oklahom

aLouisianaO

hioV

ermont

West V

irginiaK

ansasM

assachusettsM

ichiganV

irginiaA

rizonaC

oloradoTexasA

labama

Nevada

Source: U.S. Department of Education; U.S. Census Bureau, ACS

GEDs Awarded per 1,000 Adults Age 25-44 with Less than a High School Diploma, 2005

8.7

9.1

3.9

21.6

0

5

10

15

20

25

Wyom

ingA

laskaM

ontanaN

orth Dakota

Wisconsin

Maine

South D

akotaO

klahoma

Iowa

Utah

Ohio

IdahoW

ashingtonA

rkansasM

innesotaV

irginiaK

entuckyTennesseeC

oloradoO

regonIndianaN

ebraskaA

rizonaM

issouriW

est Virginia

Kansas

New

Ham

pshireG

eorgiaP

ennsylvaniaN

ew M

exicoN

orth Carolina

Mississippi

New

York

New

JerseyIllinoisH

awaii

Connecticut

United States

FloridaLouisianaM

assachusettsM

ichiganV

ermont

Rhode Island

Maryland

Alabam

aN

evadaS

outh Carolina

TexasD

elaware

California

Source: GED Testing Service; U.S. Census Bureau, ACS

Percent of Total Gross State Product by Industry and Comparison to U.S.

0.9 0.3

4.1

16.1

6.0

7.3 5.9

21.5

28.4

9.4

0.7 0.2

4.7

13.6

5.9

7.1 6.0

22.4

30.8

8.6

1.0

1.3

4.6

12.8

5.0

5.9

6.8

20.8

29.9

11.9

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

Agriculture,Forestry,Fishing

Mining Construction Manufacturing Transp. &Utilities

WholesaleTrade

Retail Trade Finance,Insurance,Real Estate

Services Government

Illinois 1997 Illinois 2004 U.S. 2004

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics

Percent of Civilians Age 25-64 Not Participating in the Workforce—By Education Attainment, 2005


U.S. Illinois

Less than High School 37.0 35.3

High School 24.7 24.1

Some College 21.0 20.0

Associate Degree 17.4 14.6

Bachelor’s Degree 16.5 15.7

Graduate/Prof. Degree 13.9 12.5

Change in Gross State Product, 1997-2004

29.2

41.6

24.5

67.4

0

25

50

75

Nevada

Wyom

ingA

rizonaV

irginiaFloridaD

elaware

IdahoC

aliforniaC

oloradoS

outh Dakota

Maryland

TexasN

orth Carolina

Washington

Rhode Island

Utah

Georgia

Verm

ontM

ontanaM

innesotaM

assachusettsTennesseeN

ew H

ampshire

United S

tatesM

aineS

outh Carolina

Wisconsin

North D

akotaN

ew Jersey

Oklahom

aK

ansasN

ew Y

orkA

rkansasA

labama

Pennsylvania

Alaska

Iowa

IndianaLouisianaC

onnecticutN

ebraskaH

awaii

Oregon

Mississippi

IllinoisK

entuckyN

ew M

exicoM

issouriW

est VirginiaO

hioM

ichigan

Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis

Percent Employment in Management and Professional Occupations, 2006 (Public Use Microdata Areas)

Source: 2006 ACS (PUMS)

36.7 to 58.428.9 to 36.724.0 to 28.911.1 to 24.0

Total Occupations with the Most Average Annual OpeningsNorthern Stateline Region

5353535455555658585961

67707071

757678

8889

105121124

146151

163164

220274

308

0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350

Counter Attendants, Cafe/Cffee Shop Bookkeeping/Accntng/Auditing Clerks

Carpenters Helpers--Production Workers

Maids and Housekeeping Cleaners General Maintenance & Repair Workrs

Automotive Serv Techs & Mechanics Teacher Assistants

Packers and Packagers, Hand Executive Secretaries & Admin Assts Business Operations Specialists, AO

Stock Clerks and Order Fillers Food Preparation Workers

Truck Drivers, Light/Delivery Servs Receptionists & Information Clerks

Sales Reps, Wholesale/Manufacturing General and Operations Managers

Nursing Aides, Orderlies/Attendants Truck Drivers, Heavy/TractorTrailer

Customer Service Representatives Office Clerks, General

Secondry Sch Teachers, exc Sp/VocEd Janitors & Cleaners, exc Maid/Hskpr

Comb Food Prep/Srv Wkrs, Fast Food Team Assemblers Registered Nurses

Waiters and Waitresses Cashiers

Retail Salespersons Laborers & Freight/StockMovrs, Hand

Demand vs. Supply in Selected Occupations—Gap Between Projected Annual Openings 2004-14 and Annual Degrees

Produced 2005-06

Source: Occupational Supply and Demand System (data from Illinois Dept. of Commerce and Economic Opportunity and NCES IPEDS Completions Survey)

-1,900

-937

-855

-737

-431

-333

-204

-142

-125

-81

11

106

509

765

793

1,075

2,710

2,739

-1

-3,000 -2,000 -1,000 0 1,000 2,000 3,000

Mechanical Engineering TechnologyIndustrial Engineering

Medical Lab TechnologyComputer SystemsSpecial Education

Computer EngineeringSecondary & Vocational Education

Nursing

Elementary EducationAccounting & Financial ManagementElectrical Engineering TechnologyIndustrial Engineering TechnologyMedical Radiology TechniciansElectrical EngineeringMechanical EngineeringCivil EngineeringChemical EngineeringCivil Engineering Technology

Education Administration

More Demand than Supply

More Supply than Demand

Innovation Assets

Development Report Card for the States—Illinois

Source: 2006 Development Report Card for the States, Corporation for Enterprise Development (CFED)

WEAKNESSES (Bottom 10 Rank)

Rank Measure41 Sewage Treatment Needs 41 Renewable Energy 43 Change in Average Annual Pay 43 Unemployment Rate 43 Average Annual Pay Growth 43 Change in New Companies 44 Change in Income from Dividends, Interest

and Rent 44 New Companies 47 Employment Growth: Long Term 48 Net Migration 48 Change in Poverty Rate 48 Change in Health Professional Shortage Areas 49 Mass Layoffs

2 Initial Public Offerings 3 Change in Homeownership Rate 4 Change in Energy Costs 5 Bridge Deficiency 5 Industrial Diversity 5 Urban Mass Transit 5 Electronic Public Services 6 Disparity between Rural and Urban Areas 7 Vehicle Miles Traveled 8 Strength of Traded Sector 8 Average Annual Pay10 Average Teacher Salary

STRENGTHS (Top 10 Rank)

Rank Measure

Employment FEarnings and Job Quality CEquity CQuality of Life DResource Efficiency B

Competitiveness/Existing Businesses AEntrepreneurial Energy C

Human Resources CFinancial Resources AInfrastructure Resources AAmenity Resources and Natural Capital CInnovation Assets C

Performance

Business Vitality

DevelopmentCapacity

C

A

B

Illinois Rank—Federal Research and Development Expenditures, 2005

10th

6th

4th

8th

8th

7th

01020304050

Engineering

Physical Science

Math & Computer Science

Life Science

Medical Science

Total

Source: National Science Foundation; U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates

$1,122,675

$351,922

$664,954

$112,294

$115,629

$137,938

Gross License Income Per Worker, 2004

Source: Development Report Card for the States, CFED

2.3

0.0

$0

$5

$10

$15

$20

$25

$30

$35

Massachusetts

New

York

Arizona

Minnesota

Wisconsin

California

Utah

Washington

Michigan

Iowa

FloridaN

orth Carolina

Georgia

LouisianaM

issouriR

hode IslandP

ennsylvaniaTennesseeTexasIndianaO

hioN

orth Dakota

Maryland

Virginia

Nebraska

Oregon

IllinoisK

ansasO

klahoma

Colorado

Alabam

aN

ew H

ampshire

South C

arolinaN

ew Jersey

Haw

aiiD

elaware

Arkansas

Connecticut

Kentucky

Mississippi

Maine

Verm

ontN

ew M

exicoM

ontanaIdahoN

evadaA

laskaS

outh Dakota

West Virginia

Wyom

ing

46.5

Number of Patents Issued Per $1,000 Gross State Product

Source: 2004/2005 Economic Vision 2010 Report Card, Indiana Chamber

7.8

9.1

1.3

0

5

10

15

20

25

IdahoVerm

ontM

innesotaC

aliforniaO

regonN

ew H

ampshire

Massachusetts

Colorado

Michigan

Wisconsin

Connecticut

Washington

New

JerseyO

hioU

tahArizonaU

nited States

Delaw

areIndianaPennsylvaniaR

hode IslandTexasIllinoisN

ew York

Maryland

North C

arolinaIow

aN

ew M

exicoO

klahoma

FloridaKansasSouth C

arolinaG

eorgiaTennesseeN

evadaM

issouriM

ontanaVirginiaM

aineN

ebraskaKentuckyN

orth Dakota

Wyom

ingAlabam

aSouth D

akotaW

est Virginia

LouisianaArkansasM

ississippiH

awaii

Alaska

45.8

The Fiscal Environment

State Tax Capacity and Effort—Illinois Indexed to U.S. Average

Source: State Higher Education Executive Officers (SHEEO)

0.90

1.00

1.10

1.20

19921993

19941995

19961997

19981999

20002001

20022003

2004

Tax Effort (Effective Tax Rate)Tax Capacity (Total Taxable Resources Per Capita)

U.S. Average

Projected State and Local Budget Surplus (Gap) as a Percent of Revenues, 2013

Source: NCHEMS; Don Boyd (Rockefeller Institute of Government), 2005

-10.7

-5.7

-5.6

-0.5

-12

-9

-6

-3

0

UtahM

ontana

New Hampshire

DelawareNew Jersey

Maine

Maryland

Massachusetts

WisconsinVerm

ontO

hioNorth Dakota

ConnecticutKansas

ArkansasVirginia

NebraskaO

klahoma

MinnesotaColorado

West Virginia

KentuckyM

ichiganArizona

New YorkG

eorgiaHawaiiIllinois

PennsylvaniaAlaska

Rhode IslandUnited States

New Mexico

CaliforniaIowa

IndianaNorth Carolina

FloridaIdaho

South CarolinaSouth Dakota

Missouri

Washington

OregonTexas

NevadaTennesseeM

ississippiLouisianaAlabam

a

State and Family Share of Funding for Public Higher Education, 1991-2006

Source: SHEEO State Higher Education Finance Survey

20.1

29.3

18.9

79.9

70.7

81.1

0

25

50

75

100

19911992

19931994

19951996

19971998

19992000

20012002

20032004

20052006

Family Share State Share

Percent of Income (Average of All Income Groups) Needed to Pay for College Expenses Minus Financial Aid—

Public Four-Year Colleges

Source: NCPPHE, Measuring Up: The State-by-State Report Card for Higher Education

25.2

29.9

35.4

23.9

28.530.7

23.024.1

24.226.3

10

20

30

40

1992 1999 2001 2003 2005


Percent of Income (Average of All Income Groups) Needed to Pay for College Expenses Minus Financial Aid—

Public Two-Year Colleges


20.5

24.2

20.5

24.0

21.4

18.7

20.6

22.3

20.321.7

15

20

25

30

1992 1999 2001 2003 2005


Share of Income that Poorest Families Need to Pay for Tuition at Lowest-Priced Colleges


14.1

16.9

12.7

15.9

13.711.611.9

13.911.9

13.3

0

5

10

15

20

25

1992 1999 2001 2003 2005


Average Loan Amount Students Borrow Each Year, 2004

3,770

3,619

3,100

4,541

$0

$1,000

$2,000

$3,000

$4,000

$5,000


PUBLIC AGENDA FOR ILLINOIS HIGHER EDUCATION

Goals for College and Career Success

1. Increase Educational Attainment to match the best-performing U.S. states and most-educated countries.

a) Improve success of students; eliminate racial, ethnic and gender Achievement Gaps. b) Increase the number of adults re-entering education and completing a postsecondary credential.

c) Reduce Geographic Disparities in educational attainment.

2. Ensure College Affordability for students, families, and taxpayers.

3. Increase Production of Postsecondary Credentials to meet the demands of the economy. a) Increase production of certificates, associate, and baccalaureate degrees.

b) Improve transitions between associate and baccalaureate degree levels.

c) Increase production of postsecondary degrees in fields critical to the Illinois economy, e.g. nursing and information technology.

d) Improve student learning and skill levels to compete effectively in the global marketplace.

4. Better integrate Illinois’ educational, research and innovation assets to meet the economic needs of the state and its regions.

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