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Religare Morning Digest
July 7, 2017
Nifty Outlook
VWAP (Expiry till date) Max OI (Call) Max OI (Put)
NIFTY 9575 9700 9500
Nifty gained nearly half a percent today and touched 9700, thanks to noticeable buying interest in rate sensitive pack. Among the sectoral pack, banking led the up move today closely followed by realty, FMCG and financials. However, profit taking in last half an hour of the trade trimmed the gains.
Markets have again reached to the record high and banking holds the key for further up move else profit taking will resume. We’re seeing limited participation and the difficulty would increase with every up tick. Thus traders should focus more on stock selection and prefer highly liquid counters for trading.
Sectors to watch
Sector Name Outlook
AUTO STABLE
FMCG STABLE
IT WEAK
News
Religare Super Ideas**
FII & DII Cash Segment (Rs. in Cr.) Trade Stats
Category Amt. MTD FYTD
FII 228 -1411 -12249
DII 75 1325 21377
NO OF CON-
TRACTS
TURNOVER IN CR
IDXFUTS 167299 13506
IDXOPT 8960283 813245
STKFUTS 578649 42051
Derivative Ideas **
ARSS Infrastructure Projects said it won an order amounting to Rs 71.6 cr from the East
Coast Railway. The work order involves construction of a major bridge between Koraput and Damanjodi stations in connection with the doubling of the Koraput-Singapur Road section of the East Coast Railway.
Bharat Forge gained after increase in June 2017 orders for North America Class 8 trucks
on month-on-month basis. As per FTR release, preliminary North America Class 8 truck orders surged 38% to 17,764 units in June 2017 over May 2017. About 20% of Bharat Forge's revenue on standalone basis reportedly comes from North America truck market.
RB Infrastructure Developers shares gained after its special purpose vehicle Udaipur
Tollway Private Limited successfully achieved financial closure for Udaipur-Gujarat border 6 laning BOT (build-operate-transfer) project. Project is financed by consortium of lenders led by Canara Bank.
*FII & DII data as on 5th July 2017
Scrip Buy/Sell CMP Initiation
Range SL* Target
JINDALSTEEL BUY 131.45 128-130 124 142
HINDPETRO SELL FUTS 508.20 513-516 527 492
**Please note that the given technical and derivative recommendations are
"valid for taking position" only on recommended date and in the given range.
*Please note - Stoploss is on closing basis for delivery recommendation and intraday basis for futures recommendation.
Instrument B/S Lot INITIATION
PRICE SL
TAR-GET
PEL BUY
FUTS 300
2910-
2920 2870 3025
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Religare Morning Digest
July 7, 2017
Religare Super Ideas
Investment Pick - Manpasand Beverages
Manpasand Beverages reported steady set of numbers for Q4FY17. Net sales increased by 28.6%, while Net profit was up by 22.4% on YoY basis. With doubling
of capacity in the next 12-18 months, entry in new markets and launch of new brands, we expect the company to post healthy growth in the coming years.
The company has tied up with Parle Agro to cross promote their brands. This will give it access to 4.5 mn outlets pan-India, which will further enhance
Manpasand's reach geographically. We reiterate our Buy recommendation on the stock with a target of Rs. 891.
Scrip CMP Target Duration Recommendation Price
MANPASAND 769 891 9-12 Months 798
PEL added around 4% of open interest as fresh long
positions. On charts, it has created a fresh buying
pivot on daily charts, and it is also trading with
higher highs—higher lows formation on daily charts.
Considering the current chart pattern and
derivatives data, we recommend buying PEL July
futures as per given levels.
Strategy: BUY PEL JULY FUTS BETWEEN 2910-
2920, SL 2870, TARGET 3025.
Derivative Ideas
Jindal Steel & Power Limited (JINDALSTEL) Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited
(HINDPETRO)
Among the Metal counters, JINDALSTEEL has been
trading in a broader range for almost three months
and now trading on the verge of breakout from the
same. Traders can utilise this pause and initiate
long positions in the mentioned range.
HINDPETRO has been trading under pressure of
late, in line with other OMCs. Currently it has
formed a fresh shorting pivot on daily chart.
Further, existence of multiple hurdle of moving
averages also added to negativity. We suggest using
any bounce to initiate fresh short in the given range.
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Religare Morning Digest
July 7, 2017
Religare Investment Calls
Name of the Company Reco Date Reco Price Target Price Upside % Previous day Closing Price
Nandan Denim 5-Jan-16 150 183 22.0% 144.6
Atul Auto 22-Mar-16 506 580 14.6% 417.90
Cigniti Technologies Ltd. 5-Oct-16 419 538 28.3% 292.3
Fiem Industries 26-Dec-16 1,089 1,315 20.8% 902.0
Greenply Industries 3-Feb-17 268 304 13.4% 272.0
Arman Financial Services 22-Feb-17 226 340 50.0% 208.0
Berger Paints (I) Ltd 15-Mar-17 230 273 18.7% 244.5
Mayur Uniquoters Ltd 18-Apr-17 380 478 25.8% 362.6
CRISIL 26-Apr-17 1,911 2,540 32.9% 1,990.0
Zee Entertainment Enterprises 12-May-17 530 592 11.6% 502.0
Force Motors 17-May-17 4,497 5,210 15.9% 4,247.1
Indo Count Industries Ltd. 17-May-17 198 240 21.2% 165.0
Bajaj Finance Ltd 22-May-17 1,268 1,454 14.7% 1,397.5
SML Isuzu 25-May-17 1,247 1,525 22.3% 1,202.5
Sutlej Textiles 29-May-17 902 1,032 14.5% 917.0
Jain Irrigation Systems Ltd. 30-May-17 97 125 28.8% 105.2
Srikalahasthi Pipes Ltd 30-May-17 320 416 29.7% 371.7
Wonderla Holidays 31-May-17 378 430 13.7% 356.0
Tv Today Network 2-June-17 263 335 27.3% 248.9
The Byke Hospitality 6-June-17 190 242 27.4% 193.7
Mold-Tek Packaging Limited 7-June-17 274 340 24.1% 307.0
Talwalkars Better Value Fitness 12-June-17 277 328 18.3% 302.5
Castrol India 20-June-17 412 463 12.3% 399.7
Manpasand Beverages 21-June-17 798 891 11.7% 769.0
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Religare Morning Digest
July 7, 2017
Corporate Action Calendar — July 2017 (Cash Dividend)
Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
02 03
Federal Bank Ltd
South Indian Bank Ltd
Jyothy Laboratories Ltd
Asian Hotels West Ltd
04
Triton Valves Ltd
CCL Products India Ltd
Essel Propack Ltd
Mayur Uniquoters Ltd
Sundaram Finance Ltd
05
Dabur India Ltd
Zee Entertainment Enterprises Ltd
Capri Global Capital Ltd
Greenply Industries Ltd
06
Bhansali Engineering Polymers Ltd
Cyient Ltd
Swaraj Engines Ltd
Axis Bank Ltd
Supreme Petrochem Ltd
Dai-Ichi Karkaria Ltd
Karnataka Bank Ltd
Bata India Ltd
Maharashtra Scooters Ltd
Manali Petrochemicals Ltd
Bajaj Finance Ltd
Bajaj Finserv Ltd
Bajaj Auto Ltd
Bajaj Holdings & Investment Ltd
Laurus Labs Ltd
Singer India Ltd
07
Tinplate Co of India Ltd/The
ICICI Prudential Life Insurance Co Ltd/India
Lakshmi Vilas Bank Ltd/The
Indian Metals & Ferro Alloys Ltd
Pudumjee Paper Products Ltd
Pudumjee Pulp & Paper Mills
Tata Global Beverages Ltd
08
Corporate Action Calendar — July 2017 (Stock Dividend)
Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
02 03
Petronet LNG Ltd
Plastiblends India Ltd
Sanwaria Agro Oils Ltd
04
05
Motherson Sumi Systems Ltd
06
PC Jeweller Ltd
07
Shantai Industries Ltd
08
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Religare Morning Digest
July 7, 2017
Current Portfolio and Performance Summary as on 6th July’17
Stock Sector Entry Date Weight Reco price (`) CMP (`)
Emami Consumer Goods August 3, 2016 8.8% 1,151 1,065
Castrol India Energy August 5, 2016 9.0% 425 400
Sml Isuzu Auto February 6, 2017 9.1% 1,265 1,201
Amara Raja Batteries Auto March 22, 2017 10.9% 868 847
Power Grid Corporation
of India Energy April 12, 2017 11.7% 200 210
Bajaj Finance Financial Services May 5, 2017 11.4% 1,292 1,399
TV Today Network Media & Ent. May 10, 2017 9.2% 279 247
Tata Motors Auto May 26, 2017 9.2% 475 437
Capital First Financial Services May 26, 2017 10.0% 705 705
Cash 10.8%
Total 100%
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Religare Morning Digest
July 7, 2017
Historical Performance as on 6th July’17
Performance Matrix 3-Month 6-Month 1-Year Since Inception
Religare Alpha 1.8% 13.9% 9.1% 34.0%
Nifty 4.4% 17.4% 16.1% 22.7%
Outperformance -2.6% -3.4% -7.0% 11.3%
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Religare Morning Digest
July 7, 2017
Research Product Basket
For cash market trading
Call / Product Call Frequency No. of calls Avg open call duration % funds allocated
Intraday Calls Intraday 2 - 3 < 1 day 25%
Live / RMD Calls Daily 3 - 4 3 - 4 days 30%
Master Pick Weekly 1 1 month 15%
Religare Alpha Opportunity NA 2 - 3 months 20%
Cash NA 10%
For 1L margin*
Total Per Call
25,000 8,000
30,000 4,000
15,000 5,000
20,000 As per weightage
10,000
Intraday Calls These calls are flashed live on Ms Lync and ODIN with the purpose of squaring off positions on the same day. As a policy, we restrict our
intraday cash market calls to less than 4 calls a day. Hence, funds should be allocated accordingly to have provision to trade in all calls.
Live / RMD Calls 2 super ideas are flashed in RMD daily with a view of 3-4 days. Additionally as per market opportunity, we flash live calls during the day
(including BTST calls). 3-4 such calls are made on a daily basis which might be open for 3-4 days. Funds should be allocated keeping in mind that
there will be 7-8 such open calls daily.
Master Pick This is our weekly recommendation shortlisted on the basis of techno-funda analysis. 15% of funds is recommended to be allocated for Master
Pick considering that there will be 3 open calls. The average open duration for this call will be 1 month.
Religare Alpha This is a portfolio of 8-10 stocks which are held with a view of 2-3 months. It is recommended to allocate 20% of funds for building this portfolio
which will provide stability to the overall trading portfolio.
Cash 10% surplus cash in the portfolio should be kept for the purposes of allocating it to opportunities as and when they arrive.
For derivative market trading
Call / Product Call Frequency No. of calls Avg open call duration % funds allocated
Derivative Ideas Daily 1 - 2 1 - 3 days 40%
Live calls Intraday / Daily 1 - 2 3 - 4 days 50%
Cash NA 10%
For 1L margin*
Total Per Call
40,000 40,000
50,000 50,000
10,000
Derivative Ideas 1 derivative idea is shared in RMD daily. It can be a plain vanilla F&O buy/sell call or an option strategy. Funds should be allocated assuming 2
such calls will be open at any time. These calls are open for 3-4 days on an average.
Live Calls These calls are flashed on MS Lync and ODIN during live market hours. These calls can be intraday or with a view of 2-3 days. Funds should be
allocated considering 2 such calls will be open at any time. 3/4 times, these calls will be on Nifty / Bank Nifty only.
Cash It is recommended to hold 10% cash to capitalize on any opportunity that may arise in markets.
For every client, the advisor must allocate a specific proportion of funds for trading and investing depending on the risk taking ability and willingness of the client
and their investment goals.
The below mentioned product basket tries to address the way to deal with the trading portfolio (cash/derivative) for optimum effectiveness of research calls.
It is recommended to divide your trading funds for various types of calls and not invest the entire amount for 1 or 2 calls only.
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Religare Morning Digest
July 7, 2017
Hitesh Agrawal [email protected]
Ajay Pasari, CFA [email protected]
Ajit Mishra [email protected]
Archana Gude [email protected]
Manoj M Vayalar [email protected]
Mehernosh Khurshed Panthaki [email protected]
Siji A Philip [email protected]
Suhanee Shome [email protected]
Vipin Kumar [email protected]
Team Members
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Religare Morning Digest
July 7, 2017
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[Please note that only in case of multiple RAs, if in the event answers differ inter-se between the RAs, then RA specific answer with respect to questions under F (a) to F(j) below , are given separately]
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[Please note that only in case of multiple RAs and if the answers differ inter-se between the RAs, then RA specific answer with respect to questions under F (a) to F(j) above , are given below]
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S. No. Statement Answer
Yes No
I/we or any of my/our relative has any financial interest in the subject company? [If answer is yes, nature of Interest is given below this table] No
I/we or any of my/our relatives, have actual/beneficial ownership of one per cent. or more securities of the subject company, at the end of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of the research report or date of the public appearance?
No
I/we or any of my/our relative, has any other material conflict of interest at the time of publication of the research report or at the time of public appearance?
No
I/we have received any compensation from the subject company in the past twelve months? No
I/we have managed or co-managed public offering of securities for the subject company in the past twelve months? No
I/we have received any compensation for brokerage services from the subject company in the past twelve months? No
I/we have received any compensation for products or services other than brokerage services from the subject company in the past twelve months? No
I/we have received any compensation or other benefits from the subject company or third party in connection with the research report? No
I/we have served as an officer, director or employee of the subject company? No
I/we have been engaged in market making activity for the subject company? No
SS..No. Name(s) of RA.
Signtures of RA
Serial Question of question which the signing RA needs to make a separate declaration / answer
Yes No.