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1 Disclaimer: http://www.religareonline.com/research/Disclaimer/ Religare Morning Digest July 7, 2017 Nifty Outlook VWAP (Expiry till date) Max OI (Call) Max OI (Put) NIFTY 9575 9700 9500 Nifty gained nearly half a percent today and touched 9700, thanks to noticeable buying interest in rate sensitive pack. Among the sectoral pack, banking led the up move today closely followed by realty, FMCG and financials. However, profit taking in last half an hour of the trade trimmed the gains. Markets have again reached to the record high and banking holds the key for further up move else profit taking will resume. We’re seeing limited participation and the difficulty would increase with every up tick. Thus traders should focus more on stock selection and prefer highly liquid counters for trading. Sectors to watch Sector Name Outlook AUTO STABLE FMCG STABLE IT WEAK News Religare Super Ideas** FII & DII Cash Segment (Rs. in Cr.) Trade Stats Category Amt. MTD FYTD FII 228 -1411 -12249 DII 75 1325 21377 NO OF CON- TRACTS TURNOVER IN CR IDXFUTS 167299 13506 IDXOPT 8960283 813245 STKFUTS 578649 42051 Derivative Ideas ** ARSS Infrastructure Projects said it won an order amounting to Rs 71.6 cr from the East Coast Railway. The work order involves construction of a major bridge between Koraput and Damanjodi stations in connection with the doubling of the Koraput-Singapur Road section of the East Coast Railway. Bharat Forge gained after increase in June 2017 orders for North America Class 8 trucks on month-on-month basis. As per FTR release, preliminary North America Class 8 truck orders surged 38% to 17,764 units in June 2017 over May 2017. About 20% of Bharat Forge's revenue on standalone basis reportedly comes from North America truck market. RB Infrastructure Developers shares gained after its special purpose vehicle Udaipur Tollway Private Limited successfully achieved financial closure for Udaipur-Gujarat border 6 laning BOT (build-operate-transfer) project. Project is financed by consortium of lenders led by Canara Bank. *FII & DII data as on 5th July 2017 Scrip Buy/Sell CMP Initiation Range SL* Target JINDALSTEEL BUY 131.45 128-130 124 142 HINDPETRO SELL FUTS 508.20 513-516 527 492 **Please note that the given technical and derivative recommendations are "valid for taking position" only on recommended date and in the given range. *Please note - Stoploss is on closing basis for delivery recommendation and intraday basis for futures recommendation. Instrument B/S Lot INITIATION PRICE SL TAR- GET PEL BUY FUTS 300 2910- 2920 2870 3025
Transcript
Page 1: Religare Morning Digest · Religare Morning Digest July 7, 2017 Nifty Outlook ... project. Project is financed by consortium of ... The company has tied up with Parle Agro to cross

1 Disclaimer: http://www.religareonline.com/research/Disclaimer/

Religare Morning Digest

July 7, 2017

Nifty Outlook

VWAP (Expiry till date) Max OI (Call) Max OI (Put)

NIFTY 9575 9700 9500

Nifty gained nearly half a percent today and touched 9700, thanks to noticeable buying interest in rate sensitive pack. Among the sectoral pack, banking led the up move today closely followed by realty, FMCG and financials. However, profit taking in last half an hour of the trade trimmed the gains.

Markets have again reached to the record high and banking holds the key for further up move else profit taking will resume. We’re seeing limited participation and the difficulty would increase with every up tick. Thus traders should focus more on stock selection and prefer highly liquid counters for trading.

Sectors to watch

Sector Name Outlook

AUTO STABLE

FMCG STABLE

IT WEAK

News

Religare Super Ideas**

FII & DII Cash Segment (Rs. in Cr.) Trade Stats

Category Amt. MTD FYTD

FII 228 -1411 -12249

DII 75 1325 21377

NO OF CON-

TRACTS

TURNOVER IN CR

IDXFUTS 167299 13506

IDXOPT 8960283 813245

STKFUTS 578649 42051

Derivative Ideas **

ARSS Infrastructure Projects said it won an order amounting to Rs 71.6 cr from the East

Coast Railway. The work order involves construction of a major bridge between Koraput and Damanjodi stations in connection with the doubling of the Koraput-Singapur Road section of the East Coast Railway.

Bharat Forge gained after increase in June 2017 orders for North America Class 8 trucks

on month-on-month basis. As per FTR release, preliminary North America Class 8 truck orders surged 38% to 17,764 units in June 2017 over May 2017. About 20% of Bharat Forge's revenue on standalone basis reportedly comes from North America truck market.

RB Infrastructure Developers shares gained after its special purpose vehicle Udaipur

Tollway Private Limited successfully achieved financial closure for Udaipur-Gujarat border 6 laning BOT (build-operate-transfer) project. Project is financed by consortium of lenders led by Canara Bank.

*FII & DII data as on 5th July 2017

Scrip Buy/Sell CMP Initiation

Range SL* Target

JINDALSTEEL BUY 131.45 128-130 124 142

HINDPETRO SELL FUTS 508.20 513-516 527 492

**Please note that the given technical and derivative recommendations are

"valid for taking position" only on recommended date and in the given range.

*Please note - Stoploss is on closing basis for delivery recommendation and intraday basis for futures recommendation.

Instrument B/S Lot INITIATION

PRICE SL

TAR-GET

PEL BUY

FUTS 300

2910-

2920 2870 3025

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2 Disclaimer: http://www.religareonline.com/research/Disclaimer/

Religare Morning Digest

July 7, 2017

Religare Super Ideas

Investment Pick - Manpasand Beverages

Manpasand Beverages reported steady set of numbers for Q4FY17. Net sales increased by 28.6%, while Net profit was up by 22.4% on YoY basis. With doubling

of capacity in the next 12-18 months, entry in new markets and launch of new brands, we expect the company to post healthy growth in the coming years.

The company has tied up with Parle Agro to cross promote their brands. This will give it access to 4.5 mn outlets pan-India, which will further enhance

Manpasand's reach geographically. We reiterate our Buy recommendation on the stock with a target of Rs. 891.

Scrip CMP Target Duration Recommendation Price

MANPASAND 769 891 9-12 Months 798

PEL added around 4% of open interest as fresh long

positions. On charts, it has created a fresh buying

pivot on daily charts, and it is also trading with

higher highs—higher lows formation on daily charts.

Considering the current chart pattern and

derivatives data, we recommend buying PEL July

futures as per given levels.

Strategy: BUY PEL JULY FUTS BETWEEN 2910-

2920, SL 2870, TARGET 3025.

Derivative Ideas

Jindal Steel & Power Limited (JINDALSTEL) Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited

(HINDPETRO)

Among the Metal counters, JINDALSTEEL has been

trading in a broader range for almost three months

and now trading on the verge of breakout from the

same. Traders can utilise this pause and initiate

long positions in the mentioned range.

HINDPETRO has been trading under pressure of

late, in line with other OMCs. Currently it has

formed a fresh shorting pivot on daily chart.

Further, existence of multiple hurdle of moving

averages also added to negativity. We suggest using

any bounce to initiate fresh short in the given range.

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3 Disclaimer: http://www.religareonline.com/research/Disclaimer/

Religare Morning Digest

July 7, 2017

Religare Investment Calls

Name of the Company Reco Date Reco Price Target Price Upside % Previous day Closing Price

Nandan Denim 5-Jan-16 150 183 22.0% 144.6

Atul Auto 22-Mar-16 506 580 14.6% 417.90

Cigniti Technologies Ltd. 5-Oct-16 419 538 28.3% 292.3

Fiem Industries 26-Dec-16 1,089 1,315 20.8% 902.0

Greenply Industries 3-Feb-17 268 304 13.4% 272.0

Arman Financial Services 22-Feb-17 226 340 50.0% 208.0

Berger Paints (I) Ltd 15-Mar-17 230 273 18.7% 244.5

Mayur Uniquoters Ltd 18-Apr-17 380 478 25.8% 362.6

CRISIL 26-Apr-17 1,911 2,540 32.9% 1,990.0

Zee Entertainment Enterprises 12-May-17 530 592 11.6% 502.0

Force Motors 17-May-17 4,497 5,210 15.9% 4,247.1

Indo Count Industries Ltd. 17-May-17 198 240 21.2% 165.0

Bajaj Finance Ltd 22-May-17 1,268 1,454 14.7% 1,397.5

SML Isuzu 25-May-17 1,247 1,525 22.3% 1,202.5

Sutlej Textiles 29-May-17 902 1,032 14.5% 917.0

Jain Irrigation Systems Ltd. 30-May-17 97 125 28.8% 105.2

Srikalahasthi Pipes Ltd 30-May-17 320 416 29.7% 371.7

Wonderla Holidays 31-May-17 378 430 13.7% 356.0

Tv Today Network 2-June-17 263 335 27.3% 248.9

The Byke Hospitality 6-June-17 190 242 27.4% 193.7

Mold-Tek Packaging Limited 7-June-17 274 340 24.1% 307.0

Talwalkars Better Value Fitness 12-June-17 277 328 18.3% 302.5

Castrol India 20-June-17 412 463 12.3% 399.7

Manpasand Beverages 21-June-17 798 891 11.7% 769.0

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4 Disclaimer: http://www.religareonline.com/research/Disclaimer/

Religare Morning Digest

July 7, 2017

Corporate Action Calendar — July 2017 (Cash Dividend)

Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat

02 03

Federal Bank Ltd

South Indian Bank Ltd

Jyothy Laboratories Ltd

Asian Hotels West Ltd

04

Triton Valves Ltd

CCL Products India Ltd

Essel Propack Ltd

Mayur Uniquoters Ltd

Sundaram Finance Ltd

05

Dabur India Ltd

Zee Entertainment Enterprises Ltd

Capri Global Capital Ltd

Greenply Industries Ltd

06

Bhansali Engineering Polymers Ltd

Cyient Ltd

Swaraj Engines Ltd

Axis Bank Ltd

Supreme Petrochem Ltd

Dai-Ichi Karkaria Ltd

Karnataka Bank Ltd

Bata India Ltd

Maharashtra Scooters Ltd

Manali Petrochemicals Ltd

Bajaj Finance Ltd

Bajaj Finserv Ltd

Bajaj Auto Ltd

Bajaj Holdings & Investment Ltd

Laurus Labs Ltd

Singer India Ltd

07

Tinplate Co of India Ltd/The

ICICI Prudential Life Insurance Co Ltd/India

Lakshmi Vilas Bank Ltd/The

Indian Metals & Ferro Alloys Ltd

Pudumjee Paper Products Ltd

Pudumjee Pulp & Paper Mills

Tata Global Beverages Ltd

08

Corporate Action Calendar — July 2017 (Stock Dividend)

Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat

02 03

Petronet LNG Ltd

Plastiblends India Ltd

Sanwaria Agro Oils Ltd

04

05

Motherson Sumi Systems Ltd

06

PC Jeweller Ltd

07

Shantai Industries Ltd

08

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5 Disclaimer: http://www.religareonline.com/research/Disclaimer/

Religare Morning Digest

July 7, 2017

Current Portfolio and Performance Summary as on 6th July’17

Stock Sector Entry Date Weight Reco price (`) CMP (`)

Emami Consumer Goods August 3, 2016 8.8% 1,151 1,065

Castrol India Energy August 5, 2016 9.0% 425 400

Sml Isuzu Auto February 6, 2017 9.1% 1,265 1,201

Amara Raja Batteries Auto March 22, 2017 10.9% 868 847

Power Grid Corporation

of India Energy April 12, 2017 11.7% 200 210

Bajaj Finance Financial Services May 5, 2017 11.4% 1,292 1,399

TV Today Network Media & Ent. May 10, 2017 9.2% 279 247

Tata Motors Auto May 26, 2017 9.2% 475 437

Capital First Financial Services May 26, 2017 10.0% 705 705

Cash 10.8%

Total 100%

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6 Disclaimer: http://www.religareonline.com/research/Disclaimer/

Religare Morning Digest

July 7, 2017

Historical Performance as on 6th July’17

Performance Matrix 3-Month 6-Month 1-Year Since Inception

Religare Alpha 1.8% 13.9% 9.1% 34.0%

Nifty 4.4% 17.4% 16.1% 22.7%

Outperformance -2.6% -3.4% -7.0% 11.3%

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7 Disclaimer: http://www.religareonline.com/research/Disclaimer/

Religare Morning Digest

July 7, 2017

Research Product Basket

For cash market trading

Call / Product Call Frequency No. of calls Avg open call duration % funds allocated

Intraday Calls Intraday 2 - 3 < 1 day 25%

Live / RMD Calls Daily 3 - 4 3 - 4 days 30%

Master Pick Weekly 1 1 month 15%

Religare Alpha Opportunity NA 2 - 3 months 20%

Cash NA 10%

For 1L margin*

Total Per Call

25,000 8,000

30,000 4,000

15,000 5,000

20,000 As per weightage

10,000

Intraday Calls These calls are flashed live on Ms Lync and ODIN with the purpose of squaring off positions on the same day. As a policy, we restrict our

intraday cash market calls to less than 4 calls a day. Hence, funds should be allocated accordingly to have provision to trade in all calls.

Live / RMD Calls 2 super ideas are flashed in RMD daily with a view of 3-4 days. Additionally as per market opportunity, we flash live calls during the day

(including BTST calls). 3-4 such calls are made on a daily basis which might be open for 3-4 days. Funds should be allocated keeping in mind that

there will be 7-8 such open calls daily.

Master Pick This is our weekly recommendation shortlisted on the basis of techno-funda analysis. 15% of funds is recommended to be allocated for Master

Pick considering that there will be 3 open calls. The average open duration for this call will be 1 month.

Religare Alpha This is a portfolio of 8-10 stocks which are held with a view of 2-3 months. It is recommended to allocate 20% of funds for building this portfolio

which will provide stability to the overall trading portfolio.

Cash 10% surplus cash in the portfolio should be kept for the purposes of allocating it to opportunities as and when they arrive.

For derivative market trading

Call / Product Call Frequency No. of calls Avg open call duration % funds allocated

Derivative Ideas Daily 1 - 2 1 - 3 days 40%

Live calls Intraday / Daily 1 - 2 3 - 4 days 50%

Cash NA 10%

For 1L margin*

Total Per Call

40,000 40,000

50,000 50,000

10,000

Derivative Ideas 1 derivative idea is shared in RMD daily. It can be a plain vanilla F&O buy/sell call or an option strategy. Funds should be allocated assuming 2

such calls will be open at any time. These calls are open for 3-4 days on an average.

Live Calls These calls are flashed on MS Lync and ODIN during live market hours. These calls can be intraday or with a view of 2-3 days. Funds should be

allocated considering 2 such calls will be open at any time. 3/4 times, these calls will be on Nifty / Bank Nifty only.

Cash It is recommended to hold 10% cash to capitalize on any opportunity that may arise in markets.

For every client, the advisor must allocate a specific proportion of funds for trading and investing depending on the risk taking ability and willingness of the client

and their investment goals.

The below mentioned product basket tries to address the way to deal with the trading portfolio (cash/derivative) for optimum effectiveness of research calls.

It is recommended to divide your trading funds for various types of calls and not invest the entire amount for 1 or 2 calls only.

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8 Disclaimer: http://www.religareonline.com/research/Disclaimer/

Religare Morning Digest

July 7, 2017

Hitesh Agrawal [email protected]

Ajay Pasari, CFA [email protected]

Ajit Mishra [email protected]

Archana Gude [email protected]

Manoj M Vayalar [email protected]

Mehernosh Khurshed Panthaki [email protected]

Siji A Philip [email protected]

Suhanee Shome [email protected]

Vipin Kumar [email protected]

Team Members

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9 Disclaimer: http://www.religareonline.com/research/Disclaimer/

Religare Morning Digest

July 7, 2017

Before you use this research report , please ensure to go through the disclosure inter-alia as required under Securities and Exchange Board of India (Research Analysts) Regulations, 2014 and Research Disclaimer at the following link : http://old.religareonline.com/research/Disclaimer/Disclaimer_RSL.html

Specific analyst(s) specific disclosure(s) inter-alia as required under Securities and Exchange Board of India (Research Analysts) Regulations, 2014 is/are as under:

Statements on ownership and material conflicts of interest , compensation– Research Analyst (RA)

[Please note that only in case of multiple RAs, if in the event answers differ inter-se between the RAs, then RA specific answer with respect to questions under F (a) to F(j) below , are given separately]

Nature of Interest ( if answer to F (a) above is Yes : ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………

Name(s) with Signature(s) of RA(s).

[Please note that only in case of multiple RAs and if the answers differ inter-se between the RAs, then RA specific answer with respect to questions under F (a) to F(j) above , are given below]

Copyright in this document vests exclusively with RSL. This information should not be reproduced or redistributed or passed on directly or indirectly in any form to any

other person or published, copied, in whole or in part, for any purpose, without prior written permission from RSL. We do not guarantee the integrity of any emails or attached files and are not responsible for any changes made to them by any other person.

S. No. Statement Answer

Yes No

I/we or any of my/our relative has any financial interest in the subject company? [If answer is yes, nature of Interest is given below this table] No

I/we or any of my/our relatives, have actual/beneficial ownership of one per cent. or more securities of the subject company, at the end of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of the research report or date of the public appearance?

No

I/we or any of my/our relative, has any other material conflict of interest at the time of publication of the research report or at the time of public appearance?

No

I/we have received any compensation from the subject company in the past twelve months? No

I/we have managed or co-managed public offering of securities for the subject company in the past twelve months? No

I/we have received any compensation for brokerage services from the subject company in the past twelve months? No

I/we have received any compensation for products or services other than brokerage services from the subject company in the past twelve months? No

I/we have received any compensation or other benefits from the subject company or third party in connection with the research report? No

I/we have served as an officer, director or employee of the subject company? No

I/we have been engaged in market making activity for the subject company? No

SS..No. Name(s) of RA.

Signtures of RA

Serial Question of question which the signing RA needs to make a separate declaration / answer

Yes No.


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