Renewable Energy Markets:
Investment & Policy Trends
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U.S. House Renewable Energy & Energy Efficiency Caucus
October 9, 2012
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Trends and Barriers to Increased Deployment and Investment: Wind
Jack Thirolf, Regulatory Affairs Enel Green Power North America, Inc.October 9, 2012, Washington, DC
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EGP North AmericaDiversified portfolio across the US and Canada
Technology Capacity
Hydro 313 MW
Wind 830 MW
Geothermal 47 MW
Biomass 21 MW
Solar 26 MW
Tot 1,237 MW
• Presence in 21 U.S. States and 3 Canadian Provinces
• More than 90 plants in operation with a total installed capacity exceeding 1.2 GW
• Offices in Andover, Massachusetts (Headquarters), Washington, D.C., San Diego, California, Reno, Nevada, and Montreal, Canada.
• More than 320 people employed in North America
Balanced long-term presence across all main renewable technologies in the United States and Canada
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North American Presence
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Name: Smoky HillsLocation: Ellsworth & Lincoln counties, Kansas COD: 2008Size: 250 MW (largest wind project in Kansas) Machine: 56 Vestas V80, 1.8 MW (Smoky I), 99 GE 1.5 MW (Smoky II)
Name: Smoky HillsLocation: Ellsworth & Lincoln counties, KansasCOD: 2008Size: 250 MW (largest wind project in Kansas)Machine: 56 Vestas V80, 1.8 MW (Smoky I), 99 GE 1.5 MW (Smoky II)
Name: SnyderLocation: Hermleigh, TX COD: 2007Size: 63 MWMachine: 21 Vestas V90, 3MW turbines (345 ft) Households: 17,000
Name: SnyderLocation: Hermleigh, TX COD: 2007Size: 63 MWMachine: 21 Vestas V90, 3MW turbines (345 ft)Households: 17,000
Name: Caney RiverLocation: Elk County, KansasSize: 200 MW Machine: 111 turbines (V-90 Vestas; 1.8MW)COD: December 2011Off-taker: Tennessee Valley Authority (TVA)Customers: 60,000 households
Name: Caney RiverLocation: Elk County, KansasSize: 200 MW Machine: 111 turbines (V-90 Vestas; 1.8MW)COD: December 2011Off-taker: Tennessee Valley Authority (TVA)Customers: 60,000 households
Wind Projects under construction
in 2012
Name: Chisholm ViewSize: 235 MWLocation: Garfield and Grant counties, Oklahoma COD: Q4 2012
Name: Prairie RoseSize: 200 MWLocation: Rock county, Minnesota COD: Q4 2012
Wind Projects under construction
in 2012
Name: Chisholm ViewSize: 235 MWLocation: Garfield and Grant counties, OklahomaCOD: Q4 2012
Name: Prairie RoseSize: 200 MWLocation: Rock county, MinnesotaCOD: Q4 2012
Name: Rocky RidgeLocation: Kiowa and Washita Counties, Oklahoma Size: 148.80 MWMachine: 93 turbines of 1.6 MW each COD: July 2012
Name: Rocky RidgeLocation: Kiowa and Washita Counties, OklahomaSize: 148.80 MWMachine: 93 turbines of 1.6 MW eachCOD: July 2012
Key Wind Projects: North America
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10 Years of Growth
1. Source: U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy, 2011 Wind Technologies Market Report, August 2012.
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Short-Term: Uncertainty Hurts
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1. Source: AWEA, EIA.
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Long Term: Growth and Policy
• State RPS projected to create 4 to 5 GW/year of demand for all renewables for 10 years
• Future tax policy: how are renewables treated in comprehensive tax reform—open question
• LCOE: what happens to natural gas prices, further innovation in wind turbine design (lower costs, increased performance)
• Electricity demand: how do efficiency gains, economic growth rate effect demand for power
• Transmission and VER integration: will renewables have an easier or tougher time coming onto the grid
1. Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration, Annual Energy Outlook 2012, June 2012.
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Contact
Jack Thirolf Associate for Regulatory Affairs Enel Green Power North America, Inc. Email: [email protected] Phone: 202-609-7799
First Solar Confidential & Proprietary | © Copyright 2012
BCSE Congressional BriefingKathy Weiss, VP‐Government Affairs, First Solar
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Global PV Demand Drivers
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Power Plant OverviewPV Module
Arrays Inverters
TransformersCombiner
Boxes
Photovoltaic
Combining
Switchgear Substation
Gen Tie‐line Power Grid
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PV ModulePV Module
Arrays • Converts sunlight into electricity (DC power)
• Manufactured by First Solar
• Installed on string in series
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Combiner Box
Combiner
Boxes• Aggregates DC wiring from multiple strings
• Provides single output to inverter
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Inverter
Inverters
• Converts DC power to AC (low voltage)
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Transformer
Transformers
• Increases low AC voltage to medium
AC voltage
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Photovoltaic Combining Switchgear (PVCS)
Photovoltaic
Combining
Switchgear
• Aggregates AC power from multiple
transformers
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Substation and Generator Tie‐line
Substation
Gen Tie‐line Power Grid
• Provides plant controls, disconnects, and
step up transformer
• Delivers electricity to the grid
Sempra – El Dorado13MW (DC) | 2008
NRG –
Blythe26MW (DC) | 2009
Sempra –
Copper Mnt.58MW (DC) | 2010
Enbridge – Sarnia97MW (DC) | 2010
Southern / Turner –
Cimarron37MW (DC) | 2010
Enbridge –
Tilbury6MW (DC) | 2010
NRG – Santa Teresa23MW (DC) | 2011
PNM – 5 Projects27MW (DC) | 2011
APS – Paloma23MW (DC) | 2011
Enbridge –
Amherstburg II19MW (DC) | 2011
NextEra –
Moore26MW (DC) | 2011
NextEra – Sombra26MW (DC) | 2011
Enbridge –
Silver State N.
63MW (DC) | 2012
Completed Projects 474MW (DC) | September 2012
Constellation – St. Mary’s
17MW (DC) | 2012Verve/GE –
Greenough
River 13MW (DC) | 2012
NRG/MidAmerican –
Agua
Caliente 410MW (DC)NRG –
Alpine85MW (DC)
MidAmerican – Topaz749MW (DC)
NRG – Avra Valley35MW (DC)
NextEra/GE–Desert Sunlight725MW (DC)
Exelon – AVSR304MW (DC)
Tenaska – ISECS172MW (DC)
Sempra –
Copper Mnt. II118MW (DC)
GE – Walpole27MW (DC)
GE –
Amherstburg I13MW (DC)
GE – Belmont27MW (DC)
In Construction 2,665 MW (DC) | September 2012
Pending bids…
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Awards and Recognition
Awarded By First Solar Honor PV Plant Year
Project Finance Project Finance Deal of the Year Desert Sunlight 2012
Power Intelligence Best Renewables Deal Desert Sunlight 2012
CLP Resources 2011 National Safety Winner 2012
Renewable Energy
World.com Solar Project of the Year Agua Caliente 2012
Solar Power
Generation USA PV Project of the Year Agua Caliente 2012
Power Magazine Renewable Top Plant Copper Mountain 2012
Power Magazine Renewable Top Plant Sarnia 2011
Renewable Energy
World.com Solar Project of the Year Copper Mountain 2010
CanSIA Solar PV Project of the Year Sarnia 2010
Renewable Energy
World.comExcellence in Energy Awards—
Best Utility Scale Project Sarnia 2010
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First Solar Confidential & Proprietary | © Copyright 2012
Solar Industry Growth and Policy Drivers
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Stable Tax Policy Has Resulted in Strong Growth
• PV Installations Grew by 116% in Q2 2012 over Q2 2011
ITC Years:CAGR = 77%30% ITC
Enacted
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Job Creation and Increased Value
• The value of solar installations grew to $8.4 billion in 2011, up from $6 billion in 2010
• Solar employment more than doubled from 2009 to 2011, topping 100,000 American
workers
SEIA/GTM Research U.S. Solar Market Insight: Year In Review
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U.S. Market To Continue Strong Growth
• U.S. PV Market Forecast to Install Over 3.2 GW in 2012
Source: SEIA/GTM Research “U.S. Solar Market Insight: Q2 2012”
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PV System Prices Falling Dramatically
Source: SEIA/GTM Research “U.S. Solar Market Insight: Q2 2012”
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Conclusions
Diverse set of global PV demand drivers.
Technology advancement and adaptation continue to drive down the cost of solar electricity.
All energy is subsidized – government has been providing policy support for traditional fuels for decades.
In a relatively short period of time, solar support policies, including the solar investment tax credit and the loan guarantee program, are yielding the desired results.
Tax and regulatory policy that promotes access to a diverse and abundant supply of clean energy is in the national interest.
SOLAR POWER: MAINSTREAM ENERGY SOLUTION
Stationary Fuel Cell Power
Renewable Energy Markets Investment & Policy Trends
Washington, DC
October 9, 2012
Integrated Fuel Cell Company
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1.4 MW plant at a municipal building
2.4 MW plant owned by an independent
power producer
600 kW plant at a food processor
11.2 MW plant – largest fuel cell park
in the world
~180 MW installed and in backlog plus
120 MW MOA
Over 80 Direct FuelCell®
plants generating power at more than 50 sites globally
Providing:• On-site power• Utility grid support
Manufacture Sell (direct & via partners) Install Services
Delivering Ultra-clean Baseload Distributed Generation Globally
Growing Market Presence
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Application Examples
1.4 MW at a municipal building, CA
2.4 MW plant owned by an Independent power producer in S Korea
600 kW plant Gills Onion Food Processor
11.2 MW plant in S. Korea- largest fuel cell power plant in the world
Natural Gas
Renewable Biogas
1.2 MW DFC1500 Turlock Irrigation District
Wastewater Treatment
900kW Tulare Wastewater Treatment Plant
DFC Powerplants have been supplied commercially since 2003 for
clean natural gas and biogas applications
Stationary Fuel Cell Technology
US Technology ‐ Developed with investment from US DOE, DOD and NASA and Private Capital
Hundreds of systems in operation worldwide
US Manufacturing Base and Supply chain in place
Designed to standards for Commercial, Industrial and Utility duty
Commercial – Poised to be part of Mainstream Resources to serve the US Electricity Grid
Part of a Family of Technologies– Transportation ,Stationary and Backup Power, Electronics
• Fuel Cells for Electric Power generation are cost Competitive with Renewables
• The Value is increasingly being recognized outside
the US
• Fuel cells offer Best and Highest use of Domestic Natural Gas and Renewable Fuels
for power generation
Key Messages
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Recognize Economic Development Value – American Technology =
American Jobs –
manufacturing plus installation offers 3.5x Job
growth of just installation
2.
Reward the combination of efficiency and cleanliness and US
Technology with incentives that motivate adoption
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Reward the ability to combine high efficiency and domestic fuels
(renewable and natural gas)
For Congress and National Policymakers
Summary
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Renewable Energy Markets Don WebbVoith HydroHYDRO
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Design, test, manufacture and installhydro electric generating equipment
Product provides:• Highly efficient & environmentally friendly
power production• Fast response time to electric grid demands• Quick recovery from blackouts
Voith Hydro
Headquarters for U.S. is in York, PA with 540 employees
Last month we celebrated 135 years in the hydrobusiness
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Trends in the hydro industry
Growing interest in low head hydro at existing dams• Only 3% of the over 80,000 dams in the
United States currently produce powerContinued modernization of existing plantsRenewed interest in pumped storage• Only large scale energy storage • Connection to wind & solar power
Environmental friendliness• Fish passage• Aeration
Development of ocean energy• Tidal• Wave
Hydropower accounts for 2/3 of United State’s renewable energy portfolio
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Barriers to deployment, federal policy issues Regulatory/Licensing Reform• Hydropower is subject to a long and complicated
regulatory approval process involving numerous federal and state resource agencies, local governments, tribes, NGOs, and the public
• A 2009 study said that with the right policies in place, the hydropower industry can create 1.4 million cumulative jobs by 2025
• Congress needs to reform and improve the licensing process to create more clean, renewable power and more American jobs
Federal Use of Hydropower• Hydropower is underutilized in the federal government’s efforts to expand renewable
energy
– Disappointing considering the vast untapped hydropower potential across the United States
– Moreover, the federal government is already highly involved in the production of hydropower (Army Corps, TVA, USBR, etc.); placing a priority on expanding production would ensure additional hydro resources come online
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Certainty• The hydropower industry is not reliant on federal tax credits and incentives
• However, hydropower is eligible for the Production Tax Credit (PTC), which is set to expire at the end of 2013
• Congress needs to decide whether it will extend the credit or not so developers have the certainty they need as they pursue new projects
Barriers to deployment, federal policy issues
Legislation• Legislation has been introduced in the House and Senate
that would streamline the regulatory process for small hydropower projects across the country
• The Hydropower Improvement Act, S. 629, passed the Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee and the Hydropower Regulatory Efficiency Act, H.R. 5892 unanimously passed the House earlier this year
• Both of these bills take incremental – but important – steps to improve the regulatory process for hydropower and should be starting points for further discussions in the next Congress