RENEWABLE ENERGY RESOURCES
FIELD TESTING
DRAFT FINAL
PRE-RFP MARKETECONOMIC
ASSESSMENT FOR FIELD TEST NO 4
HELWAN TEXTILE
OCTOBER 1986
PREPARED FOR
EGYPTIAN ELECTRIC AUTHORITY
CAIRO EGYPT
AND
US AGENCY FOR iNTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT
USAID MISSION CAIRO EGYPT
SUBMITTED BY
LOUIS BERGER INTERNATIONAL INC
WASHINGTON DC
(CONTRACT AID 263-0123C-00-4069-Oo)
TABLE OF CONTENTS
PAGE
1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
2 INTRODUCTION 1
3 BACKGROUND 5
Objectives of Proposed Field Test
Site for IPH Systems 5
4 ECONOMIC ANALYSIS 7
Objective 7
Research Methodology 7
Assumptions 9
Data Base 10
Analysis and Results ii
5 CONCLUSION 29
APPENDICES
A A-i
B B-I
C C-I
1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
An economic analysis was performed to evaluate a proposed
Solar Industrial Process Heat (IPH) and Waste Heat Recovery
System for the textile finishing industry at Helwan Spinning and
Weaving Company at Helwan near Cairo
A collector system of area 4200 sqft was evaluated
Because of differences in assumptions in cost estimation EEA
and Lockwood Greene Engineers submitted separate cost estimates
The Lockwood Greene Engineers estimates were based on a
4000 sqft collector area with a variable cost of S6000sqft
and a fixed cost of $39180 with an energy savings of 325
barrels of oil equivalent
EEA estimates provided data for 4200 sqft of collector
area Two sets of collector prices were provided $2581sqft
for the REFT project and S2221sqft for locally manufactured
collector systems Fixed cost estimates were $23995 and
$17430 for each collector price category respectively The
EEA estimates showed an energy savings of 348 barrels of oil
equivalent
A benefit cost analysis methodology was employed to perform
the economic analysis
- i shy
A $2000barrel of No 6 light heating oil was used as the
price of energy saved by using the solar thermal system This
price was escalated at 2 per year Also a sensitivity analysis
was performed by varying the price of oil andor collector
prices
The economic analysis considered the following scenarios
e A 4000 sq~ft collector area at a price of S6000sqft (US case)
e A 4200 sqft collector area at prices of
$2581sqft and S2221sqft
A Waste Heat Recovery System
A 4200 sqft collector area priced at S7O00 per sqft combined with a waste heat recovery system
Results of the economic analysis showed that none of the
candidate solar chermal systems are economically viable
A sensitivity analysis was also performed by varying
collector prices and the price of oil Results of the
sensitivity analysis indicated thethat flat plate collectors
will not be economical unless prices fall to $2200sqft at a
price of oil $40 per barrel
A separate analysis was also carried out on the economic
performance of the solar thermal system combined with the Waste
Heat Recovery System Results of the analysis showed that the
combined system was economically viable
- ii shy
The design operation maintenance and repair experience
with solar thermal systems that will be obtained through this
field test to form a strong technical base for the design and
application of other renewable 2nergy technologies is an
important factor which has not entered into the benefit cost
calculation in this report These additional factors need to be
considered seriously in the go-no-go decision of this field test
- iii shy
2 INTRODUCTION
The Egyptian Electricity Authority (EEA) the United States
Agency for International Development (USAIDCairo) and a group
of US Consultants form a team responsible for the performance
conduct and management of the Renewable Energy Field Testing
(REFT) Project whereby eleven systems are field tested for
renewable energy applications in Egypt
These field tests include the use of solar thermal photoshy
voltaic and grid connected wind farm systems for industrial
process heat water pumping ice making desalination and grid
connected electricity generation
The project has broad objectives to investigate selected
renewable energy options to
0 Comprchensively strengthen Egyptian technical and
institutional capabilities in the full spectrum of
renewable energy planning and decision-making for
technologies and applications
Develop and sustain an Egyptian renewable energy
infrastructure through the establishment of data
bases information systems and organizations that
effectively serve both the public and private sectors
- 1 shy
Design install operate and evaluate a series of
renewable energy field tests which utilize commercially
available technologies in applications having potential
for widespread use in Egypt
a Conduct a ormal management and technical training
program both on-the-job and specialized and establish
an intensive information dissemination program
The MarketEconomic Analysis Task is one of the supporting
activities that will provide useful information for the
accomplishment of the proposed project objectives The Market
Economic Analysis Task is set up to accomplish the following
objectives
Evaluate the economic performance of candidate
renewable energy technologyapplication systems
in the field test program in the Egyptian economy
Identlfy non-technica bottlenecks that could be
encountered in the dissemination and wide use of
renewable energy technologies
Estimate the market environment in Egypt under which
the supply of and the demand for preselected renewable
energy technologies will be transacted
-2 shy
Identify policy issues such as energy prices
incentives tariffs and regulations that could be
modified instituted andor removed to enhance the
establishment of a true economic cost of energy
resources
Determine the economic environment under which
investment decisions could be made for the widespread
vse of similar renewable energy technologies in Egypt
0 Train Egyptian counterparts with the capability of
performing market and economic assessments of similar
energy projects
The MarketEconomic Analysis Task is performed in two
parts The first part is the Pre-RFP MarketEconomic Analysis
This activity will perform a site specific MarketEconomic
analysis of a particular field test in order to provide decision
makers both at EEA and USAIDCairo with information on the
financial and economic viability of the proposed field test
This information is required as one of the pieces of information
for a go-no-go decision on the issuance of an RFP
The second part performs a marketeconomic analysis of
specified renewable energy technologies throughout Egypt in
industrial sectors represented by the eleven field tests
- 3 shy
This report represents the first part the Pre-RFP Market
Economic analysis for a field test designed to test the technical
and economic viability of the use of solar industrial process
heat (IPH) and a waste heat recovery system for textile bleachshy
iig
- 4shy
3 BACKGROUND
The proposed site for Field Test 4 -Textile finishing at
the Helwan Spinning and Weaving Company at Helwan near Cairo
Helwan Spinning and Weaving Company is a large textile
plant finishing a variety of fabrics The finishing operation
consists of a series of chemical treatments involving hot and
cold washes by dyeing and bleaching processes The hotfollowed
wash dye and bleach washers are currently brought to and held
at the desired temperature range by direct sparging with steam
(hand-valve adjustments)
Objectives of Proposed Field Test Site for IPH System
The primary objectives of this field test are to provide
EEA with practical working experience using Solar Thermal
Industrial Process Heat and to provide system design and operashy
tional training for Egyptian engineers for the purpose of
assessing and implementing similar projects throughout Egypt
This field test will evaluate the viability of solar thermal
industrial process heat with waste heat recovery system for
textile finishing
The application of solar IPH and waste heat recovery
system for textile finishing at Helwan Textile will serve as a
demonstration of the capability of the combined technology of
- 5 shy
industrial process heat to reliably supply significant amounts
of energy at other textile finishing facilities It is important
that this field test be designed to distinguish between the
performance of the solar IPH and the performance of the waste
heat recovery systems so that each can be evaluated for other
applications
-6 shy
4 ECONOUilC ANALYSIS
Objective
The objective of this analysis is to evaluate the economic
viability of a solar thermal system for providing industrial
process heat for textile finishing at the Helwan Spinning and
Weaving Company at Helwan and to determine whether or not an
investment in this field test would result in the acquisition of
useful information and know-how not only technical but also
managerial and institutional so that such experiences could be
duplicated throughout the economy of Egypt
Research Methodology
The method of analysis selected for accomplishing the above
objective is the standard benefit cost analysis used in project
evaluation A benefit cost analysis involves first the pooling
of anticipated benefits and costs (direct and indirect) resulting
from the project throughout its economic life The streams of
benefits and costs are then expressed in present value terms
using a common numeraire (a discount rate)
From this the following evaluation characteristics can be
calculated
The Net Present Value (NPV) is the difference between the sum of
the discounted stream of benefits and the sum of the discounted
stream of costs discounted by a given discount rate
- 7 shy
The Payback Period is the number of years it takes a project to
generate sufficient benefits to cover its cost or the number of
years it takes the net present value to change from a negative
to a positive value
The Internal Rate of Return (IRR) sometimes called the economic
rte of return is that discount rate that would equate
discounted benefits to discounted cost or reduce the net present
value to zero
Benefit-Cost Ratio (BC) This is the ratio obtained by dividing
the discounted value of all project benefits by the discounted
value of project costs
Simple Payback This is a rule of thumb method used by investors
to see if a particular financial venture is worth investing in
or not The simple payback is calculated by summing up all
capital and operating costs and dividing that sum by the value of
the first full years benefit In the private sector in most
industrialized countries a simple payback of 3 to 5 years is
expected With renewable energy technology a simple payback of
7-9 years is usually admissible
- 8shy
Assumptions
The economic analysis of the IPH system is based on the
following assumptions
0 All energy conversions are made into barrels of oil
equivalent where one metric ton is equivalent to
US 733 barrels
0 Price of oil is valued at US$20barrel of No 6 light
heating oil escalated at 2 per year This price
level may not be indicative of the price of oil that is
rapidly changing at present It should be noted that
the analysis in this study is to look at what may
happen in the long-rt-n during the 1980s and 1990s As
such the analysis should not be affected by what
happens to commodity prices in the spot market in the
very short-run A revision of the price of oil in the
analysis may be appropriate when the price level
stabilizes
A discount rate of 1O is sed This is the
opportunity cost of money used in international
lending agencies such as the World Bank
Hardware is assumed to have a salvage value of 10 at
the end of the life of the system
-9shy
The system is expected to have a life of 20 years
0 Some hardware items are purchased in Egypt An
exchange rate of LE 135 = US$ 100 is used All
prices are in constant US$ 1985
Data Base
Two sets of cost estimates were used in this analysis The
fWrFt set of data was provided by Lockwood Greene Engineers for
a 4000 sqft collector area (see Appendix B)
On the basis of the best available information Lockwood
Greene Engineers have provided the following cost estimates
Collector Size 4000
Prices Variable cost $60O0sqft Fixed cost $39180
0 + M cost 2 of total cost
Salvage value 42 of total cost
Energy savings 325 barrels of oil
Construction period 10 months
System life 20 years
The second set of data was provided by EEA for a collector
size of 4200 sqft The EEA cost estimates also show two types
of prices The first set shows a price of $2581 per square foot
- 10 shy
of colector This price is to be used for collectors purchased
for the REFT Project The second set shows a price of $2221 per
sqft which is to be used when evaluating IPH application
elsewhere in Egypt (see Appendix C)
Cost estimates provided by EEA are as follows
Collector Size 4200 sqft
Prices Variable cost $2221isqft (local)
$2581sqft (REFT)Fixed cost $17430 (local)
$23995 (REFT)
0 + M cost 2 of hardware cost
Salvage value 42 of capital cost
Energy savings 348 barrels of oil
Construction period 10 months
System life 20 years
Analysis and Results
The economic evaluation of the IPH system for textile
finishing was performed by examining the following sets of
assumptions
1 A 4200 sqft collector area at a price of $30sqft
2 A 4200 sqft collector area at prices of
$ 2581sqft and $2221sqft
3 A Waste Heat Recovery System
4 A 4200 sqft collector area priced at $30 per sqftombined with waste heat recovery system
5 A sensitivity analysis at different collector prices and varying prices of oil
- 11 shy
Table 1 presents the input data based on cost estimates
provided by Lockwood Greene Engineers These estimates are based
on a collector system purchased from the US at a price of
US$60sqft Output results for this analysis is presented in
Table 2
Input data for the base line analysis are presented in
Table 3 All base line analyses were performed assuming a price
of $20O0bbl of oil The economic evaluation of all systems
was made using a discount rate of 10 although system perforshy
mances are examined at varying discount rates ranging from 0
to 20 at 2 intervals (see Appendix A)
Table 4 presents results of the base line analysis As
shown in this table the 4200 sqft solar collector systems at
all collector prices do not pay during its economic life The
solar collector system at a price of $30sqft has a simple
payback of 22 years which is longer than the life of the system
The net present value at 10 discount rate is negative for
the baseline case with collector price $30sqft and price of
oil $2Gibbl indicating that the financial benefits accruing to
the project will not be able to offset the cost of acquisition
and operation of the system during its economic life span The
net present value at different level of discount rate and varying
prices of oil is presented in Figure 1
- 12 shy
TABLE 1
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM
FIELD TEST 4 - HLEWAN TEXTILE
DATA INPUT - US CASE
(Collector Price US$ 60sqft Price of Oil
I T E M S SOLAR ONLY WASTE HEAT RE(]OVaRY
Capital Cost ($) 227348 567958
0 + M ($) 4765 11359
Salvage Value ($) 11649 23854
Energy Savings (bbl) 325 11048
Construction Period (Month) 10 10
System Life (Yrs) 20 20
Source LBII estimates based on Engineering cost by Lockwood Greene Engineers
20bbl)
COMBINED SYSTEM
845306
16906
35503
11737
10
20
data provided
- 13 shy
TABLE 2
ECONOMIC NALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM
FIELD TEST 4 - HELWAN TEXTILE
RESULTS - US CASE
(Collector Price USS60sqft Price of Oil US$ 20bbl)
I T E M S SOLAR ONLY WASTE HEAT COMBINED RECOVERY
Energy Savings (bbl) 325 11048 11373
Simple Payback (Yrs) 43 3 4
Pdyback Period (Yrs) None 4 6
Net Present Value i = 10 ($251325) 1568793 1310681
Internal Rate of Return (IRR ) - 834 4220 2843
BC Ratio i = 10 021 337 233
Source LBII estimates based on Engineering cost data providedby Lockwood Greene Engineers
- 14 shy
TABLE 3
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM
FIELD TEST 4 - HELWAN TEXTILE
DATA INPUT - BASELINE ANALYSIS
(Collector Price US$ 30sqft)
I T E M S SOLAR ONLY WASTE HEAT COMBINED RECOVERY SYSTEM
Capital Cost ($) 149995 567958 717953
0 + M (S) 2520 11359 13879
Salvage Value ($) 6300 - 0 - 6300
Energy Savings (bbl) 348 11048 11396
Construction Period (Month) 10 10 10
System Life (Yrs) 20 20 20
Source LBII estimates based on cost data provided from EEA and Lockwood Greene Engineers
- 15 shy
TABLE 4
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM
FIELD TEST 4 - HELWAN TEXTILE
BASELINE ANALYSIS RESULTS
(Collector Price $30sqft Price of Oil US$ 20bbl)
I T E M S SOLAR ONLY WASTE HEAT COMBINED RECOVERY
Energy Savings (bbl) 348 11048 11396
Simple Payback (Yrs) 22 3 3
Payback Period (Yrs) None 4 5
Net Present Value i = 10 ($100633) 1565248 1464614
Internal Rate of Return (IRR ) - 124 4220 3402
BC Ratio 041 335 275 i = 10
Source LBII estimates based on cost data provided by EEA and Lockwood Greene Engineers
- 16 shy
Figure I Helwan TextileIPH - Solar only - Net Present Value at various Discount Rates and Prices of Oil (Collector
Price S30sqft)
0
150
-J)0
LUJ
LUJ
00-
Li
11 t 6
4F
D I SCOU NT RATE ()
130BBL
-$25BBL
~$15BBL $20BBL
- - 17 shy
The internal rate of return (IRR) is significantly lower
than the 10 economic rate of return expected to cover the cost
of credit
The waste heat recovery system on the other hand shows
positive results The system pays for itself in four years
The internal rate of return for the waste heat recovery
system is very high 4220 indicating very high economic gains
to be realized by installing this system
The Application Review for Field Test 4 examines solar
thermal together with a waste heat recovery system as a unit that
will be installed at Helwan Textile Accordingly an economic
evaluation of the combined solar thermal plus the waste heat
recovery system was performed
The input data used for Zhis analysis is presented in
Table 3 Results of the economic analysis for the combined
system are presented in Table 4 As shown in Table 4 the
combined system is economically viable The payback period for
the combined system is five years with an Internal Rate of
Return (IRR) of 3402 Figure 2 presents a graphic representashy
tion of the internal rate of return (IRR) for the output results
presented in Table 4
- 18shy
C
Figure 2 Helwan Textile - Internal Rate of Return at different Prices of Oil for Waste Heat Recovery
and Combined Solar and Jaste Heat Recovery
Systems (Collector Price $60 and $30sqft)
100
80shy
60-
LU 40
lt
($ B B LUi P R 1 0 F 0 1 L
-20
-20
- 19shy
-40
It is very clear from Table that the economic performance
of the combined system is lower than that of the waste heat
system indicating the dampening effect of the poor econoinic
performance of the solar thermal system
It should be pointed out that there is no functional relashy
tionship between the technical or economic performance of solar
thermal and waste heat recovery systems One can install the
solar thermal all by itself or in combination
As discussed earlier the proposed 4200 sqft solar thermal
system is not economically viable at a collector price of $30
sqft and price of oil S20barrel A separate analysis was
performed using a S20barrel price of oil and collector prices of
$30 25 22 and 20sqft Results of the analysis is presented
in Table 5
As shown in Table 5 the solar thermal system is not
economically viable at all collector prices The system does
not pay for itself during its life span Even at the lowest
collector price ($20sqft) the benefits derived from the
system can only cover 58 of the cost incurred (BC ratio 058)
during the life of the system
An additional sensitivity analysis was performed for each
collector price level and varying prices of oil As inshown
- 20 shy
TABLE 5 - ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM - FT4HELWAN TEXTILE SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS WITH DIFFERENT COLLECTOR PRICES
(Price of Oil US$ 20BBL)
I T E M S
COLLECTOR
$20sqft $22sqft
PRICE
$25sqft $30sqft
r
Energy Savings
(bbl)
Simple Payback
(Yrs)
Payback Period
(Yrs)
Net Present Value
i = 10
Internal Rate of Return - IRR
348
16
None
($51604)
266
348
16
None
($55919)
216
348
19
None
($76694)
046
348
22
None
($100633)
- 124
BC Ratio
i = 10 058 056 048 041
Source LBII estimate based on engineering cost Lockwood Greene Engineers
data provided by EEA and
Tables 6 - 9 the solar thermal system will start showing
positive economic results if collector prices are between $20 and
$22sqft and oil prices increase to $35 - $40barrel It is
very unlikely to find a situation where one can have a decline
in the price of collectors while having a simultaneous increase
in the price of oil Since collectors are manufactured from
products such as plastic glass aluminum etc which are
energy intensive a decline in collector prices can only be
realiz=d with a decline in the price of energy
Figures 3 and 4 show graphic representations of the internal
rate of return (IRR) and payback period respectively for
different prices of collectors and varying prices of oil
A year by year cash flow for 36 different scenarios are
presented in Appendix A Tables Al - A36
- 22 shy
TABLE 6 - ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM - FT4HELWAN TEXTILE SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS WITH DIFFERENT PRICES OF OIL
(Collector Price US$ 20sqft)
P R I C E OF 0 1 L
I T E M $15bbl $20bbl $25bbl $30bbl $35bbl $40bbl
Energy Savings 348 348 348 348 348 348(bbl)
Simple Payback 21 16 12 10 9 8(Yrs)
Payback Period None None None None None None (Yr s)
Net Present Value i = 10 (69179) (51604) (34029) (16454) 1120 18695
Internal Rate ofReturn - IRR - 057 266 540 787 1014 1229
BC Ratio 043 058 072 087 101 115
Source LBII estimate based on engineering cost data provided by EEA andLockwood Greene Engineers
TABLE 7 - ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM - FT4HELWAN TEXTILE SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS WITH DIFFERENT PRICES OF OIL
(Collector Price US$ 22sqft)
I T E M
Energy Savings (bbl)
Simple Payback (Yrs)
Payback Period
(Yrs)
P R I C E OF 0 I L
$15bbl $20bbl $25bbl $30bbl $35bbl $40bbl
348 348 348 348 348 348
21 16 13 11 9 8
None None None None None None
Net Present Value i = 10 (73494) (55919) (38344) (20769) (3194) 14381
Internal Rate of Return - IRR - 108 216 491 735 961 1172
BC Ratio 042 056 070 084 097 111
Source LBII estimate based on engineering cost data provided by EEA and Lockwood Greene Engineers
TABLE 8 -ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM - FT4HELWAN TEXTILESENSITIVITY ANALYSIS WITH DIFFERENT PRICES OF OIL (Collector Price US$ 25sqft)
P R I C E OF 0 I L I T E M $15bbl $20bbl $25bbl $30bbl $35bbl $40bbl
Energy Savings
(bbl)
348 348 348 348 348 348
Simple Payback
(Yrs) 25 19 15 12 11 9
Payback
(Yrs)
Period None None None None None None
Net Present Value i = 10 (94268) (76694) (59119) (41544) (23969) (6394)
Internal Rate ofReturn - IRR - 263 046 304 532 739 932 BC Ratio 036 048 060 072 084 096
Source LBII estimate based on engineering cost data provided by EEA andLockwood Greene Engineers
TABLE 9 - ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM - FT4HELWAN TEXTILE SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS WITH DIFFERENT PRICES OF OIL
(Collector Price US$ 30sqft)
P R I C E OF 0 1 L
I T E M $15bbl $20bbl $25bbl $30bbl $35bbl $40bbl
Energy Savings 348 348 348 348 348 348 (bbl
Simple Payback 29 22 17 14 12 11(Yrs)
Payback Period None None None None None None (Yrs)
Net Present Value (118208) (100633) (83058) (65484) (47909) (30334) i = 10
Internal Rate of Return - IRR - 425 - 124 124 339 534 714
BC Ratio 031 041 051 062 072 082
Source LBII estimate based on engineering cost data provided by EEA and Lockwood Greene Engineers
Figure 3- Helwan TextileIPH - Solar Only - Internal Rate of
Returr at Different Prices of Oil and varying
Collector Prices
29shy
n
-15
CD 10shy
lt 5
S0
10
R
2
0 F
30 5
B BL )
-10
-27 shy
-Ig - Helwan Textile - Solar Only - Simple Payback at Dfferent Prices of Oil and varying Collector
Prices
50
40shy
30
20- $60sqft
- - S30sqft
I25sqft22sq ft 20sq ft
P
10
R I C E
20
0 F
30
0 1 L
40
B B L
50
- 28 shy
5 CONCLUSION
The economic analysis performed on the proposed IPH Field
Test at Helwan Textile showed that the 4200 sqft flat plate
collector system was not economically viable
However the analysis indicated that when the solar thermal
system was evaluated in combination with the waste heat recovery
system the project was economically viable This favorable
performance was caused not because of improvement made in
economic efficiency by the solar thermal system but rather
because the economic efficiency of the waste heat recovery
system is so strong that it more than offsets the poor
performance of the solar thermal system
It should be emphasized that this analysis did not cover an
evaluation of the complete array of solar thermal systems such
as solar collectors for domestic hot water etc The analysis
was limited to the application of flat plate collectors for
application in industrial process heat of a given temperature
range Therefore implications drawn from this analysis should
not be applied to other solar thermal uses
The economic analysis has revealed some interesting and
important economic technical institutional and policy issues
- 29 shy
It is clear that the proposed flat plate collector system
on its own cainot be expected to bring about positive economic
returns given current collector prices Therefore it is
necessary that
Investigations be made in the technical field to
determine if the efficiency of the system could be
improved without increasing system cost
e The supply side of the collector market be prepared
to manufacture and supply collector systems that are
cost effective
e Policy makers be cognizant of the fact that the price
of flat plate collectors must decrease by almost 60
compared to the best case scenario as used in this
study (from $30sqft to $10sqft) in order
for industrial consumers to find it attractive to
invest in solar thermal technology Since the market
and thus the solar thermal industry is at its infancy
in Egypt policy makers and the public sector have to
play a lead role in removing barriers and providing the
appropriate fiscal andor regulatory incentives to
enhance the manufacture and widespread use of solar
thermal technology
- 30 shy
It is the overall objective of the Renewable Energy Field
Testing Project to investigate selected renewable energy options
to
9 Comprehensively strengthen Egyptian technical and
institutional capabilities in the full spectrum of
renewable energy planning and decision-making for
technologies and applications
Develop and sustain an Egyptian renewable energy
infrastructure through establishment of data bases
information systems and organizations that effectively
serve both the public and private sectors
Design realize and evaluate the performance of a
series of field tests which utilize commercially
available technologies in applications having potential
for widespread use in Egypt
Complete formal managerial and technical training both
on-the-job and specialized and an intensive
information dissemination program
- 31 shy
The design operation maintenance and repair experience
with solar thermal systems that will be obtained through this
field test to form a strong technical base for the design and
application of other renewable energy technologies is an
important factor which has not entered into the benefit cost
calculation in this report These additional factors need to be
considered seriously for the go-no-go decision
- 32 shy
APPENDIX A
-cono mcarz F7ra r na 2Analvsis fo- Erer gyi s t s y --t ne E8 0o
TA -1E-1
Fcr Case ofFELD TEST 4 - HELW TEXTILEIIPH (CILLECTOR PRICE S35313FT- PRICE Cz OIL $158L)Assumr iliEscalatior Rate of
Savec ValLe Of V~Caoitaltea- Cost Deratzrnc Cost of OilCost Sbl Fuel Usea Fuel(bi) EeravCs Saveo AnnualEuiv Er-eray Lost
Casi Flow Discounted Cash Flo~w (NV) j=urrert 48
Ion $14--Oui -It X=-=== ==--- ----==---=-------S shyrarsoort 1 Construc ionI i nt er o 0ne zt i o r $$14$35 $4C- $1500 $0 31Tta 5870$(
58 $150415 ($149545)6520 S153cent S14945) ($149545) ($14954-)$0 348 (149 4W)V 5324 $20$2520 $1561 4 ($146848) 3146948)4 0 $0 348 ($14699) (S14704)SO $5431i250 159= 550 $2911 ($1441 ) ($1445)5 Si $0 348 $5540 S252 S020
($14550) ($144721)$252) 1624 ($141473) (142056)$$ 348 ($142321) (142571)8 5650$0 $1G56 0 $313r ($13797) ($139755) (S140ljE7 $ (140582)$0 346 _7632 20 $1689 0 $W 348 $520 $3243 ($13611) ($137548) ($138169)8 S5873 2520SO $25Z0 $1723 $3359 ($133477) ($135431)0 $0 (M76274 ($137040)9- W S757 348 S5336 $25200 SO 348 $3476 (s123235 ($133402) ($134490)10 $5116 S-20 ($135468)$0 $2520 51733 0
$352 (128205) ($131460)11S 250 $0 348 $6238 (13 812) ($134015)510s $2520 $3718 ($125595) so $2520 4 Sampo $3843
(S12600) (131235) ($132674)$ bull252$1S65 0 $0 348 $6490) ($1 999) ($127820) ($1k9754) ($131437)13 V) 520 $1902
$ 2-t $3370 ($1 j420) ($126117) ($128 3) ($130256)14 348 $6620$0 S2520 $1940
0 S0 $2520 $410W ($117859) ($124489)0 $0 348 ($127055) ($129243)15 (1 2520 $197 0 $6753 S250 $233 ($115317) ($22932) ($125 89)16 $0
so 348 $6888 S252 (3128273)i3520 4368$2019 ($1I1C755)
17 0 $0 348 $7025 (3121445) ($124679) ($127379)$2K$0 $-) 0 01 $156- ($I12S3)
348 3120025 ($123601) ($126556)$7166 512520 646 (S107812) (S11BC65918 $0 ($122590) (S125710 52 10 21 100 0 so - 0$2 520J 348 7309 t4935S21 42 0 so) 50 $789 ($102918i($105354) i17374) ($1216421 ($125101)20 348 $7 455 ($116139)$0 $2520 $2 5 ($12-0754)$2185 0 ($124459)s021 348(W30) $2520 57 605 $2-50 $5085$2229 ($I00504)0 s0 348 $7757
(314961 ($119923) ($123869)($3780 S11537 ($9239) ($112486) ($I18208) ($IM673)$143695 $50820 0 $0 7018 $130239 $194515 ($64276)
A-1
TABLE A-I (Contd) ASSUMPTIONS TABLE BENEFIT-COSTS TALE (Calculated)
Economic and Financiai Analvsis for Energy -strnents - Egypt EEA 101986
Cacital Costs Benefit Parameters Internal Rate of Return -425
Acouisition $149995 Price of Oil $1500 bbl (yr 1)Trarsoortation $0 Oil Escalat 20year Disc PV of FV of BCConstruction $0 Rate Benefits Costs NOV Ratio
interconnection $0 Enrgy Savns 348 bblyear Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 $130 23 $194515 ($64276) 067TOTAL (Cap) $149995
El $105270 $187381 (582111) 056
Construct Time 10 morhs 4 $86548 $181787 ($95239) 0486 $72307 $177 355 ($105048) 041
Ooeratinc and Normal Maintenance Costs 8 $61319 $173805 (3112486) 03510 $5725 $170933 $118208) 031 11 $$3l26 $169701 ($120575) 029oeratino Cost $2520 year 12 $45912 $168585 ($122673) 027Operating Lifetime 21 years 13 $43032 $167571 ($124539) 026
Major Eauipment ReoairReolacement 14 $40443 $166647 ($126204) 024 15 $38108 $165804 ($227695) 023
Salvage Value ($6300)period 16 $35 997 $165032 ($129034) 022 18 $32342 $163674 ($131332) 020Replace Period 20 years 20 $29303 1162522 ($133219) 018
A-2
--
__
Ewic a Fzranzai Z aiys s for Enercy Investments Eayot EEAq-
10I9i-
1PLE A-2 For Case ofFIELD TEST 4-- H2LWRN TEXTILEIP (COLLECTOR PRICE $30SQF - PRICE OF OIL $20BlAssumino Oil Escalation Rate of 0OL
Ca0ita Oeratira Cost cf Oilyear Fuel UsedCost Cost $Bb Saved VEL- -Fuei Ererly(Bb) Cost ave Arr al Cas FlowEouv ne-v LisOurted Cash FlowAnua C Flow 0V) 6 ===--- shy ======= =----=- rcuisior $1 93 -- Codegt ure~n $4Trar-I sSrC0=-=---= = 8 10 12=== =_==== -= =shy
=== =---==_-_I Corstru-t or te $34 512415 $2
431$951 Tota) C$Z $520 5 $160 (Q14-$1-47 $24
fSO $A 0 so 2s ($14 SH5) ($149255)$0
$73 $-5 ($144 8-( ($492s)$ $4$274 ( -14482)(3145015)s 348 (31450321$7241 $2520 ($145GG) $ $ 20 12 65 o so$01
348 0
$472( ($140487) ($140357) (s1411025200 ($1414031$25207 $2208 $ 0 3(1381611($i37 105 0 $11 4 3$0 20 S5_a20 5 0 so ($137534) ($137939)52520 348
0 $S034 3483 $7645 3 S- $5014 ($131875)$78 $1202 (11j33419)SO2 $ $5318SE184 ($12763 ($126 5531 (3134110) (134753)($123428)
$0 S3 ($127901) ($129128)$2520 $2297 $0 $2 2 o 0 345 $4I4 ($$2343 $995 1)7 ($1239(50 348 $2520 5475 ($130903)Ii 3155 s2$23 $131822)$ 183$0$2$SC n 5 ($13 50 ) ($120314 ) ($1224 )0 ($ 124376)-2$-iSO $23($ 5212~~ $ 520 2438S S $1 513 3) (SI27903 ) ( 52)$252 0 $2$0~ $7980 0 3 -4 i$110761 ($117414)1$ $2FO ($120000 -2520 $5 Z $59 4 ($12-2285)
gs )1 3 $20 287 $0348 1$107 0-7) ($S141238 ($ 17 7 0) SI2652587 $$c 24 ($120 3 5 )15 $0 0 (S0563) ($112021)$2 52 $2 $-9348 ($11555) ($118601)$0 520 6 0 so 34 8 $2 443483 S82 311104 $220$ 520 S664 ($30) ($107132)$ 307 ($931($S3123)) ( 10 (Si1267) ($115497)6 ($I04Ef) ($11973)5I) ($S 15451 ($11133)o0 $2 520 ($1169 3)SO 5 2 920 032520 5274 6 0 4 8 $ 36 $S 2- 8$0 47 ( 1 014 34 6 $3555 ($ I02 70 19 348 $7U ($1 0743 ) ($I 1i7
s0 $2520 $2800 0 $2 520 7 0 5 ($8 834 ($00 65) ) ($10 8 273 ) ($112 8 2 )
$2520 $9 0 $200 $72- (914$) 3)S0 $4 ($90 063 ($110682)27 $0 $2 c856 00 ($76 51)2$5 14 0 0 348 0 ($9 842 ($0397 ($10977)340 $I0139 -521 $2 5 0 $($6300) $7 19$2520 $2972 0 ( 72 8 35 ($ 076 ()0s0 ($102 72) ($10023)348 $10342 (3780) $1418 ($ 3) ($9246) ($100633) ($I0735)
$143695 $0820 0 s 7018 $173652 $194515 ($20863)
A-3
ASSUMPTJINS TABLE TABLE A-2 (Contd) BENEFIT-COSTS TPBLE (Calculated)
Economicand Finar_ial Analysis fr Energy Investments - Egypt EE 10191S6
Capital Costs Benefit Parareters Internal Rate of Return -124
Acquisitior 149995 Price of Oil 2000 bbl (y 1)Transoortation $0 Oil Escalat 20rvear Disc PV of PV of BC
Construction $0 Rate Benefits Costs NPV RatioInterconrection $0 Enrgy Savrias 348 bblyear --- _____-__
- Fuel Use 0 bblivear 0 $173652 $1S4515 ($20863) 089TOTAL (Car) $14995 2 $14036O $187381 (347021) 075 4 $115398 S181787 (36E390) 063Construct Time 10 months 6 $96409 S177355 ($80946) 054
8 $31759 5173805 ($92 046)Ooerating and Normal Maintenance Costs 047l0 $70299 $170 933 ($100633) 041
11 $65502 $169701 (3104199) 039Operatino Cost S2520 year 12 $61216 1amp3585 ($107369) 036Oerating Lifetime 21 years 13 57376 $167571 (3110195) 034
14 $53924 $16G647 (3112723) 032Major Equioment ReoairReplacement 15 $50811 $165804 ($114992) 031 16 $47997 $165032 ($117035) 0213Replace Cost ($6300)oeriod 18 $43123 $163674 (3120551) 026Replace Period 20 years 20 $39071 $162522 ($123451) 024
A-4
Econonxc and Finarcial 9ralvsis for Energy Investrets -- EcvDt EEA 1013i6C
TABLE A-3
For Case ofFIELD TEST 14 - H-LWAN TEXTILEIPi ( COLLECTOR PRCE $30SQFT- PRICE OF OIL $25BBL) Assuming Oil Escalation Rate of 20
Saved Valus ofCacital boeratirng Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel Energy Saved Annual Cash Flow Discounted Cash Flow ((NV) iYear Cost Cost $Bbl (Bbl) Cost Eauiv Erercy Cost Currert f 4 8 10 12
S Accuisitio $149995
1 Transoort $0 I Construct ior $0 I Interconnection $0
Totil $149q95 $420 $2500 0 $0 58 $1450 S150 415 ($14295) (3148965) ($48965) ($14895) ($148965)$0 $2520 $2550 0 s0 348 $3874 $2520 $3354 ($142855) ($143082) ($143189) ($143292)3 s0 $2520 $2601 0 $0 348 $9051 $2520 ($1368171 ($137482) ($137791) ($133085)4 $0 2520 $2653 5
0 s0 348 $3233 $252 $ 713 ($130643) ($132153) ($132748) ($133307)$0 2520 $2706 0 $0 6
348 $9417 $2520 $o897 ($124954) ($127084) ($128037) ($128924)$0 S2520 $2760 0 $0 348 $9606 $2520 S7056 ($119130) ($122261) ($123637) ($124903)7 so $2520 $2815 0 $0 348 $3798 $2520 $7278 ($113378) (117675) ($119529) ($121216)so $1520 $28728 0 $0 348 $39A 9
S2520 $7474 ($107699) ($11331b) ($115694) ($117836)s0 $2520 $2929 0 $0 348 $10193 $25L0 $7673 ($102032) ($09169) ($1121141 ($114736)10 $0 2520 $2986 0 11
$1 348 $10397 $25_lt $7877 ($36557) ($105228) ($103774) ($111896)$0 $2520 $3047 0 $0 348 $10 60 $_520 $308512 ($31095) ($I01483) ($105656) (5109293)$0 $2520 $3106 0 $0 348 $10817 $2520 $8237 ($85706) ($97925 ($102748) ($106907)13 $0 $2520 $3171 0 $0 348 $11034 $2520 $8514 ($80388) ($94544) ($10003-5) ($104722)$0 $2520 $323414 0 $0 348 $11254 $2520 $873415 ($75142) ($91332) ($97505) ($102720)$0 $2520 $3299 0 $0 348 $11479 $2520 $8959 ($69968) ($88282) ($95146) ($100837)16 $0 $2520 $3365 0 $0 348 $I709 $2520 $3189 ($64866) ($85385) ($92946) ($99208)17 $0 $2520 $3432 0 $0 348 $11943 $252(l $9423 ($59835) ($M 634) ($90895) ($97671)18 $0 $2520 $3501 0 $0 348 $12182 $2520 $3662 ($54875) ($80023) ($88984) ($264)19 so $2520 $3571 0 $0 348 $12426 $2520 $9906 ($349985) ($77544) ($87202) ($94976)20 $0 $2520 $3642 0 $0 348 $12674 $2520 $10154 ($45165) ($75191) ($85542) ($93797)21 ($6300) $2520 $3715 0 $0 348 $12928 ($3780) $16708 ($37540) ($71607) ($830558) ($92065)
$143695 $50820 0 $0 7018 $217065 $194515 $22550
A-5
-- --
TABLE A-3 (Contd) ASSUMPTIONS TABLE BENFIT-COSTS TABLE (Calculated)
Economic and Financial Analysis for Energy Investments - Egyot EEA i01986
Capital Costs Benefit Parameters Internal Rate of Return 124
Acouisition $149995 Price of Oil $25CK bbl (yr 1)TransDortation $0 Oil Escalat 20year Disc PY of PV of BCConstruction $0 Rate Benefits Costs NPV Ratio
Interconrection $0 Enrgy Savngs 348 bblyear m_ S -- - Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 $217065 $194515 $2550 112
TOTAL Cap) $149995 2 $175450 $187381 ($11931) 094
4 $144247 $181787 ($37540) 079Construct Time 10 months 6 $120511 $177355 ($56844) 068 8 $102 198 $173805 ($71607) 059DOeratino and Normal Maintenance Costs 10 $87674 $170933 ($83058) 051
11 $81877 $169701 ($87824) 048Deratina Cost $2520 year 0 Sshye i s 5 a $76520 $168585 ($92065) 045ODperatina Lifetime 21 years 23 $71720 $167571 ($95851) 043
14 $67405 $166647 ($99242) 040Major Eauipment RepairReplacement 15 $63514 165804 ($102290) 038
16 $59996 $165032 ($105036) 036Salvage Value ($6 300period 18 $53904 $163674 ($109770) 033 Replace Period 20 years 20 $48839 $162522 ($1136833) 030
A-6
Econotic and Financial Araiysis for Energy Irvesteents - Egypt EEA 101986
TABLE A-4
For Case ofFI-2-D -ST 14 - HELWAN TEXTILEIPH ( COLLTOR PRICE 30SFT - PRICE OF OIL $30BBL)Assunina Oil Escalation Rate of 20
Saved Value of
CaPital Oerating Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel EreryYear Cost Cost $bl (PbI) Cost Ecuiv Savea Annual Cash Flow Discounted Cash Flow (N91V) IErerey Cost Currer $ 4 8 10 12
Pcousition $142995 I Tr2rsport $0 1 Constrtio s I Intercorrecto $01 Total $14995 $420 $3000 0 $0SO58 $1740 $150415 (148675) 3514375) ($148675) ($143675) ($148675)
$0 $60C 220 303 $25 0 $3121 0 5 34 506 9 2$0 348 $10862 50 $8 1 9 ($ 4 0 85M) ($ 1 4 11 4 8) ( S 141e280$25X) $342 ($133146) ($133937) ($134391)) ( $ 141 41 7 1
4 (3134767)$0 $2520 $31845 $0 2520 $347 0 0
$0 348 $11079 S2520 $8559 ($125537)$0 346 $1301 $2 (127202) ($127961) ($128675)0 2520 $3312
520 5781 ($118032) ($120748) ($121963) ($123095)7 0 $0 348 $111527 S2-0so S2520 $3378 $3007 ($110629) (114618)
850 0 (116371) ($117984)so 348 51275752520 $3446 0 $0 348
S2520 $9237 ($103329) ($108797) (111157) (113304)$I992 $2520 $9472 (39613) ($103270) ($106296) ($109020)$0 $2520 $35 1510 0$0 $2520 $3585 0 s0 348 $12232 S2520 $9712 ($89034 (598(023)11 $0 348 S2477 ($01765 (3105097)$0 $2 500 S 521t0 $9957 ($5 039)$3657 0 0 (33042 ($97543) ($101507)348 $12726 S252012 0 $ 2520 $53730
$10206 ($7E144) ($88315) (1193608) (S98220)0 $0 348 $12981 $25 $10461 ($S3 3h8)14
52520 (55823) ($89941) ($95213)$0 $2520 $3881 510720 (61 652)0 ($79571) ($86525)s0 348 $13505 ($92461)I5 $0 $2520 $10985 (555055)52520 $3958 0 ($75532 (583343) (89944)s0 348 $1377516 SO S2520 S511255 ($4e5) (571700)$2520 $4038 0 ($0379) (387641)$0 348 51405117 $0 $2520 $4118 0
S2520 $11531 ($4 153 ($68065) ($77 61) ($85534)s0 348 $14332 $218 -0 $11812$0 $2520 (35846) (364617) (575048)$4201 0 ($83607)19 348 $141619 S2520$0
s0 $1209 (59635$2520 $4285 ($61347) ($72650 ($81845$0 348 $1491120 $0 $2520 $2520 $12331 ($23519) ($58247)$4370 0 ($70426) ($80234)$0 348 $15209 $252021 (36300Y $2520 54458 0 $0 12689 ($174 ) ($55306) ($68351) ($78761)348 $15513 (53780) $19293 ($8691) ($51167) ($65484) (76761)
$143695 S5m0 0 so 7018 $260478 $194515 $65963
A-7
TABLE A-4 (Contd) ASSUMPTIONS TABLE BENEFIT-COT3 TABLE (Calculated)
Economic and Financial Aralysis for Energy Investments -- Egypt EEA 1019166
Caoital Costs Benefit Pararmeters Internal Rate of Return 339
Acquisition $149995 Price of Oil $3000 bbl (yr 1) Transportation $0 Oil Escalat L(Wvear Disc PV of PV of BC
Construct ior $0 Rate Benefits Costs NPV Ratio Interconnectior $0 Enrgy Savrias 348 bblvear
Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 S260478 $19455 $65963 134 TOTAL (Cao) $149995 2 $210540 $187381 S23159 112
4 $173097 $118787 ($8691) 095 Construct Time 10 months 6 $144614 $177355 ($32741) 382
8 $122638 $173805 1167 071 Operating and Normal Maintenance Costs 10 $105449 $170933 ($65464 062
11 $98253 $169701 ($71448) 058 Oerating Cost $2520 year 12 $91824 $168585 ($76761) 054
Operating Lifetime 21 years 13 $86064 $167571 ($81507) 051 14 $80885 $166647 ($85761) 049
Major Equipment RepairReDlacement 15 $76217 $165804 ($89587) 046 16 $71995 $165032 ($93037) 044
Replace Cost ($6300)period 18 $64685 $163674 ($98989) 040 Replace Period 20 years 23 $58607 $162522 ($103915) 036
A-8
Ecromic and Fna-ia Aaysis for Ene-v investmerts - E yvt EEP shyi(I195
TABLE A-5
For ie ofFIELD TEST 44 - H-LWA-4 TEXTILEi C E-TO PR CE $305 FT - PRIZE OF OIL $35BBL) Assurjc Oil Escalation PR-e of 20
Saved Vaiue cfa-tal Ooeratlr_ Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel Ererv a eO Anual poundan Flow Discounted Cash Flow (NPV) i = Year r st cost SPbl (bbl) [cst Eciv Errgv Cost Currert $ 4 8 10 12
I SI auxsiticr 1433
1 Trarsoort $0
EorstrLZt cr $0 SI-tercorrezt ior $0
Total $143 995 $420 $3500 0 so 58 $2030 S15-415 ($145385) (4148385) ($148385) (M142335) ($1483351$0 $2520 $3570 0 $0 348 $1424 $2520 $3904 ($138862) ($133215) ($39382) (13543)Sto S2520 $3041 0 $1 348 51-672 $520 $10(152W20476) ($130511) (S130992) ($131443)4 $1 $2523 $3714 0 S0 348 226 $2520 $10406 ($12C226) ($122251) ($23174 ($124043)o$0 2520 $3789 0 $ 34B $12184 52520 $10664 t$111I10) ($114413) ($115890) ($27266)
6 s0 $2520 $3864 0 $0 348 t53448 $252n 10928 (S102128) ($106975) (3109105) ($111065)70 $2520 $3942 0 s0 348 $13717 12520 S111137 ($93279) ($99 920) ($102785) ($10- 392)5 $0 $2520 $4020 0 $0 348 $13231 $250 $S1471 ($845 2) ($93226) ($33898) (M100204)9 VI $2520 $4101 0 so 348 $14271 S520 $11751 (175976) ($86878) ($91416) ($3f458)
10 $0 $2520 $4183 0 $0 348 $14556 $2520 $12036 ($67520) ($80E5) ($86312) ($11117)11 s0 $2520 42G 0 $0 348 $14647 $2520 1123227 (S52192) ($75147) ( 8155) ($7148)12 $ 0 $4352 0 so 348 $15144 $2520 $12624 ($5- 931) ($69732) ($77134) ($83519)13 $0 $2520 $4439 0 so 348 $15447 $2 0 $12927 ($42917) ($64599) ($73015) (W8320)14 $0 $ 50 $4528 0 $0 348 $I-755 $2520 S1323- ($34938) ($53732) ($69181) ($77168)15 SO $2520 $4618 (1 $0 348 $16071 $2520 $13551 ($27142) (S55118) ($5613) ($7439516 t0 $2520 $4711 0 $0 348 $16333 $250 $13873 ($1 439) ($50745) ($62232) ($71860)17 $0 $2520 $4805 0 $0 348 $16721 $2120 $14201 ($I1657) ($4660) ($59201) ($G9544)18 $0 $25200 $4901 0 so 348 $17055 $250 $14535 ($4396) (02672) ($5632) ($67427)19 $0 $2520 $4999 0 $0 348 $17396 $2520 $14876 $2948 ($33949) ($53650) ($65492)20 $0 $2520 $5093 21
0 $0 348 $17744 $3520 $15224 $10174 ($35421) ($51161) ($3725)($6300) $2520 $5201 0 $0 348 $18099 ($3780) $21879 $20159 ($30727) ($47909) ($61457)
$143695 $50820 0 $0 7018 $303891 $194515 $103376
A-9
TABLE A-5 (Contd)ASSUMPTIONS TABLE ENEFIT-COSTS TABLE (Calculated)
Economic and Financiai Analysis for Erergy Investments -- Egyot EEA 10965
Capital Costs Benefit Parameters Internai Rate of Return 534
Acquisition $149995 Price of Oil $35K0 bbl (yr 1) Transport tior $0 Oil Escalat 20vear Disc PV of FV of PCConstruction $0 Rate Benefits Costs tPV Ratio
Interconnectior $0 Enrgy Savns 342 bblyear ==-- -Fuel Use 0 bblvear 0 $303531 $154515 $103376 156
TOTAL (Cap) $149995 2 $245630 $187331 $58249 3
4 $i20 46 $181787 20159 i11Construct Time 10 months 6 $163716 $177355 ($8639) 095 8 $143078 $173805 ($30727) 082
Operating and Normal Maintenance Costs 10 $123024 $170933 ($47909) 072 11 S114628 $169701 ($55 073) 068
Operating Cost $2520 year 12 $107128 $165585 ($61457) 064 Operating Lifetime 21 years $l40810 $167571 ($67163) 060
14 $94366 $166647 ($72281) 057Major Equipment RepairReolacement 15 $82920 $165804 ($76864) 054
16 $83994 $165032 ($81038) 051Replace Cost ($6300)period 18 $75465 $163674 $88-08) 046
Replace Period 20 years 2 $68375 $162522 ($94147) 042A- 10
Eccricmi ane Finarcial AnalysiT fo Energy trvest-ents -- Ev-t EEA 101215
TAlKE A-5
For Case ofFiED TEST 04 - HELWPN TEXTIL=IPH (COLLECTD PRICE $3SFT- PRICE as OIL $40BBL) Ass mir Oil Esralatior Rate of 20
Savet Yait- ofCaoital ODerating Ccst of Oil Fuel bse Fuel Energy Saved fnrnal [a- Flch Liscounted Cash Flow (NPV) i = Year Cost Cost $bl (Bbi) CLst Ecit1 Energy Ccst C-rert$ 4 8 10 12
I Acc-ist on $142995 I -ras)ort $0 1 cnstr t o $0
I te-crrezt icr $0 Total $14995 $420 $400N 0 $0 58 $2320 $15045 (S143C135 ($14209) ($143095) ($142035) ($148095)S) $220 $4080 0 so78 ($138f6) ($137282) ($137478) ($137663)
$0 $2520 $4162 r $0 348 $1442 $250 $192 ($125806) ($127026) (M27592) ($128132)4 so 12120 $4245 0 s0 348 $14 77 S25K0 V2252 ($114914) ($117300) (1115337) ($119411)soS0 2 $43310s _$0 25 $330 0 1-7j(1147 0 ($04188)6 $0 $2520 $4416
$0 348 $15$7 525 $12547 ($108077) ($109817) ($111437)0 $0 348 s15 $252 $12849 ($33627) ($93322) ($1083S) ($104146)7 so $2 520 $4505 0 V) 348 $ 676 S21520 $13156 ($83230) ($31042) ($94412) ($97481)
8 $0 $2520 $4595 0 $0 348 $15 9 o 2520 S13470 ($72934) ($83 182) ($57500) ($9388)9 $0 $252) $4687 Q $0 348 $I309 $2520 $3 789 ($62918) $75732) ($31067) ($85818)10 $0 $2520 $4780 0 $0 348 $6631 5 2520 $14116 ($53001) ($68671) ($75081) ($0728)11 $0 $2520 $4676 0 $0 348 $1696 $520 $14448 ($43240) ($61979) ($69510) ($76076)12 $0 $2520 $4973 0 $0 348 $17308 $2520 $14788 ($33634) ($55636) ($64327) ($71825)13 $0 $2520 73 0 $0 348 $17654 $2520 $15134 ($24181) ($49626) ($59505) ($67940) 14 $0 $2520 $5174 0 $0 348 $18 007 S250 $5487 ($14880) ($43932) ($55019) ($64391)15 $0 $2520 $5278 0 $0 348 $ P367 $2 520 $15847 ($572-3) ($38537) ($50646) (55148)
$0 $220 $538316 0 $0 348 $18734 $25032 ($33425) ( 5) (58186)17 s $2520 $549 0 $0 348 $191$2 250 $I5 9 $12 131 ($328583) ($43354) ($55480)18 $0 $2520 $5601 C $0 348 $19491 $2520 $IE971 $20844 ($23996) ($39997) ($53008)19 $0 $2520 $5713 so 348 $19881 $2520 $173C1 $39414 ($19651) ($36874) ($50751)20 $0 $2520 $5827 (t $0 348 $20273 $2520 $17759 $37843 ($15536) ($33370) ($48689)21 ($6 300) $2520 $5944 $0 348 $20684 ($3780) $24 A64 $49 008 ($10288) ($30334) ($46153)
$143695 $50820 0 $0 7018 $347 304 $194515 $152789A-1 1
TABLE A-6 (Contd)ASSUMPTIONS TABLE BEIEF7-COSTS TABLE (Calculated)
Ecoroic nj Firancial Analysis for Energy Investmerts - Egypt EEA 10195G
azitai Costs Benefit Parameters internal Rate of eturr 714
Acuisition $149995 Price of Oil $400 bbl (yr 1)Transportat ior so Oil Escalat 20year Disc PV of PV of BCConstruction so Rate Benefits Cost- NPV RatioInterconnection $0 Enrgy SavTgs 348 bbyear ==== =-shy
--- Fuel Use 0 bbear 0 $347304 $194515 $152 789 179TOTAL (Ca ) $149 95 2 $28D720 $187381 $93359 150
4 230796 $181787 $49008 127Construct Time 10 months 6 $192818 $177355 V15463 109 8 $163517 $173 805 ($10288) 094Ooerating and Norwal Maintenance Costs 10 $140599 $170933 ($30334) 08211 $13004 $169701 $33698) 077
fteratiri$ Cost 12) $122432 $168585 ($46153) 073Ooeratirn Lifetime 21 years 13 $1i 751 $167571 ($52819) 068
Major Equi~oent ReoairReplacesent 14 $07847 $166647 ($58800) 06515 $10i622 5165804 ($64181) 061
16 $95993 $165032 ($69 039) 058Replace Cost ($6300)period 18 $86246 $163674 ($77428) 053Replace Period 20 years A12 20 $78143 $162522 ($84379) 048
ccz- a Firaca Araiysi- for Erergy IrvestL-rrts -- Ecyrt EC 01)83
TAP-LE P-7
For Case ofFIZLD TEST 4 - H-LWAN TEXTILEWAS-i i-AT PRESVERY wRIC2 SIS08L)DiL Assumiron Oil Escalation Rate of 20
Saved ValL- CCaoital DoeratinQ Cost of Oil Fue Used Fuel Erervy save kriual Cash Flow Discourted Cash Flow (NPV) 3 i =Yea- Cost Cost $b1 (Bbl) Cost Ecuiv Ererzv Cet Currert $ 4 8 10 12
1 Trar-s $0ort 1orstr-t lor $0
I I t e ronez t i m S-1 $735 $833 $Q500 C 0 1341 $27 62 53851 ($542231) (S542231) (S542231) (S542231) ($542231)Sc 53 S530 0 so 11045 $1ES034 11359 S76755- 0o62o) ($356235) (S93830) ($401450)SO $I1359 $15S1 $0 11048 S172415 jeuro $113-1S (3241715) ($252156) 3273 011353 V S 457 ($-=766) -4 to 259 $1592 0 iO 11045 $173863 1353 S164504 ($35471) ($127567) (142M1) ($15556)
Q S11359 $1624 0 $0 (148 17 I S11359 S63 -- $4 155 (340ampG) ($27 430) ($49185)6 11353 -016 U $0 11045 $182136 $12353 2171609 $183205 S12728 73126 1421917 $0 $11359 $1669 0 $0 14048 $186623 $S 353 i75269 $32772 $=223177 $173060 $136987$1125 $173 0 $0 11048 $536r $-53 S173001 $46 74S 3276-3 $263916 $2153S0 S111359 $1757 0 $ 11048 S194167 $13f $182808 S59735 $426389 5355 198 $29179210 $0 $1793 0 S0 11043 S1930L $3 $15 3 72H492 513781 $434373 S353115110 $11359 $128 0 S 1 $11048( I $190653 $357 30 $608090 $57 878 S420500 S0 $1365 0 $0 11048 $HS052 1-3 $134633 $383753 359159 $57617 $47646313 v0 $11353 $1902 0 $0 11043 S210173 $1- $193314 $1107338 $770542 $133465 1527500l$0 $11353 $1940 0 $0 11048 $214376 $1153 $203017 $223E665 $845191 $$5272 $574 0651373 s53$0 11048 1213664 $11359 $2737 $1349578 $915771 $7-2862 $61644516 $0 359 $2019 0 $ 11043 S223077 $11359 $211678 $1467116 $382501 $803536 $65511817 $ 511 353 $2059 0 $0 11049 $227498 S595 $216133 $1582514 $1045583 $850574 $5037518 1 1A3 S2100 0$0 11048 122C48 $1135 $2-20683 $1695810 $1105235 $894236 $7251719 $0 $11359 S2142 0 $0 11048 $236689 $11359 $S25330 $1807033 $1161623 $934764 $75181920 S0 $11359 12185 0 0 11048 $241423 $11353 $230064 $1316237 $1214932 1372331 $778531
21 $0 $11359 $2229 0 $0 11048 $246251 $1135 $234832 $202349 $1265328 1007296 $802881
$5679558 $Zgt9073 0 $0 222801 $0134711 $797031 $3337680
A-13
ASTYPTINS TABLE TABLE A-7 (Contd) BEEIT-rOT TAEPLE (Calculated)
Economic and Financial Analysis for Energy Investsents - Egypt EEA 10196
Capital Costs Benefit Faraineters interral Rate of Return 3101
Acquisitiorn $567952 Price of Oil 1500 bbl (yr 1) Trarsportatior $0 Oil Escalat 20year Disc PV of FVof BC
Corstruct ior $0 Rate Benefits Costs lrv Ratio
Irterconrection $0 Enrgy Sar_as 1104 bblyear -
--- ------ Fue Use 0 bbiyear 0 $41-4711 $77031 $3337680 519 TOTAL (Ca) $H67952 2 $34202-0 S755587 $2586433 442
4 t2747662 $72424 $2023439 379 Construct Time 10 morths 6 $2235 532 $700 138 $LJj5394 328
8$1946703 $68137G $1265328 286
Ooeratina and Normal Mairtenance Costs 10 $1673853 $666557 $1007296 251
11 $55962n $660307 $399314 236
Oerating Cost $11359 year 12 $1457578 $654697 $802881 223
Operating Lifetime 21 years 13 $136G 136 $64- 645 $716491 210 14 $1283$40 $645083 $638857 199
Major Equipment PeoairReplacemert 15 $1209831 $640951 $568880 189 16 $1142817 $37197 $505620 179
Replace Cost $0 period 18 $1026777 $630653 $396124 163
Replace Feriod 20 years 20 $930302 $625165 $305137 149
A-14
Econoi an Fnarial alysi for Energy Irve te-pt -- Eryct EEP 10138_
TABLE A-8
For Case cfF7ELD TEST $4 - HE=LWqN TEXTILE4qSTE -_j E[CXERY (PRCE C7 OIL $2013E_) Assurn_ 0i Escaiaticon Rate of 20
Saved Vale cf Capita Doeratn Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel Energy Saved rrual Cash c-w-- Discounted Cash Flow (NOV) i = Yea- Cost Cost Eb (pb]) Ccst Equiv Ererz Cst Currert $ 4 8 10 2
oisi67Ac s tr
rarExrt $0 rorstrztio sc
IIrerccrr_tor $0 7 $200Y 0 C1841 1687Tctai$78K S 98 1 )$53C3 ) 315Z3 02) ($5330251 ($533025) ($533015)2 v $11355 $ 04Q 0 $0 11048 t225379 $1153 $214020 (327235) (S-34858) ($338461) ($341935)3 $0 $11353 $08i C $0 11048 $-23857 $1135 1-258 ($125195) (S147505) ($157B59) (167726)
4 $0 $1135 $21 22 0 $0 11048 $234465 $11359 $223126 $73163 $23619 $3778 (18910) $0 fI1-- $21E5 0 $0) 11048 $29174 $353 $227815 $26790 $197070 $r5 379 $125S71E $0 $13 2 2 083 0 so 11048 S2433K8 S1352 5-3 $459080 1355 373 $303805 $267854
7 $0 611355 $252 C $1) 11048 $243K7 $59 $27478 $4762 $505024 $-855 53881678 $ $1135 $227 0 $0 11048 $2K2814 353 -142455 $33007 $646494 $568272 $4978429 $1 35 $2343 (1 $0 11046 $253 83 $111359 s47 531 $1011876 $780227 $623747 $59781510 $0 $11359 $I39 0 $0 11048 $26068 $135 $252703 $1183426 $906644 $790920 $68894411 soS 1359 $2438 0 s0 l048 $2634 S1 359 S57990 $1363714 $1026144 3890387S77201012 $0 $11359 $2487 0 s0 11048 $274736 $353 $263377 $1534793 $1139102 $982699 $84772513 $0 S11259$2535 0 $0 11048 $280231 $11359 $268872 i1702736 $1245874 $1068389 $91673814 $0 $11359 $2587 C0 $0 11046 $285835 $1359 $274476 $1867573 $1346733 $1147876 $97364015 so $11-359 $2629 0 s 11048 $291552 $i135 S28193 12023383 $1442193 $1221659 $103697316 $0 S1359 $2632 0 $0 11048 1237383 S353 $22-024 $2188202 $1532360 $1290131 $108922917 $ 111359 $2746 ( s0 11048 $303331 $11359 $291972 $234408 $1617584 11253673 $113885618 $0 $11359 $2800 0 $0 11048 $303-97 $115 $298038 $2497093 $1698134 $1412638 $118026419 $0 $11359 $2856 0 $0 11048 $315585 11359 $304226 $2G47268 $1774267 $1467356 $1219 8520 $0 $11359 $2914 0 $0 11048 $321897 $11359 $310538 $2794663 $1846222 $518131 $125588121 $0 $11359 $2972 0 $0 11048 $328335 $11359 $316976 $2939326 $191422 $565248 $1288740
$567958 $229073 0 $0 222801 i5512948 $797031 $4715917
A-15
P7UrSPTIONS TABLE TABLE A-8 (Contd) EtEFIT-CSTS TABLE (Calculated)
Ecoroic ard irarcial Analysis for Energy Investments -- Egypt EEA 1019E6
apital Ccsts Benefit Parareters Irterral Rate of Return 4220
Acquisition $567958 Transportation $0
Construct ior $0 Irtercor rectior $0
Price of Oil Oil Escalat
Enrgy Savrgs
$2000 bbl (yr 1) 20year
11048 bblyear
Disc
Rate
----
PV of erefits
PV of
Costs NPV
BC
Ratio
TOTPL (Cap) $567958 Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 J55948
2$4456027 $797031 $75587
$4715917 $3 700440
6 2 590
Construct Time 10 corths 4$3E 3550 6$3060 709
$724224 $700 138
$2939326 $2 360571
506 437
Operating and Normal Maintenance Costs 8$2595604 1(V$2231804
$681376 $666557
$1914229 $1565248
381 335
Operating Cost Operating Lifetime
$11359 iyear 21 years
11 $2079494 12 $1343437 13 T1821515
$660307 $654697 $649645
$1419187 $1288740 $1171869
315 297 280
Major Equipment RepairReplacement 14 $1711920 15 $1613108
$645083 $640951
$1066837 $972157
265 252
Replace Cost $0 period 16 $1523756 18 $1369035
$637197 $630653
$886559 $738382
239 217
Replace Period 20 years 20 $1240402 $625165 $615238 198
A-16
Eccw= ar -narzia Pnav=_is fcr Erergy Irvestrrent_ -- Egypt EEC 101
P= A-9
or Case of2IED TEST 4 - HELPAN TEXTIEN3TE HEAT -CDOERY (PC- U BBL- ----Assmir Cil Escalation Rate of 20
SaVEdt C~famta eratirg Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel Energy Saved Annal Fasn Flow Discounted Cash Flow (UOV 8 i = lea- Cost Cost $Pb (8b1) Cost Ec-jiv Energy Cost Crrert I 4 8 10 12
I Transocrt corst rutr $7
rterornazticota HS 833 7 1841 $4S 73 -3951 C$52818 (WBIB) ($52381 1 (3523818) ($53218)SC 51133 $20 0 048 $22172 U3 $27365 ($263851 1(2731480) (278031) ($262421)$0 $11359 $2601 0 $0 11042 7=5 $12$3 5275 999 (-S74) (368Z5) 333343900253 ( 15)0 111049 ( $359 _51 747 $241737 $I82 805 $161748 5131462Q 07C 11043 S2531558 11259 12379 $477 s46 $323206 $35188 $32 27$0 $11-_ $2760 0 1n 11043 $304 94 $11 3 3 24E7--555 $722 55 $5S3 Mf $5404 - $$487517$7 $-~5 $2315 0 11048 $712 1353 $233 53 5 872 $786 871 $709649 $639347$ $1 5282 0 $0 14 391141292 0 IK93
656f $8662 S7777253SiZ bull0 $312 5 $1426427 T113465 $10122372 9 3 39 $ 35- $2983 0 $ 145 $33035 1 3 3 726 $165035 $12350M S1147467 $108774$C $135 $304711 0 S0 11046 $3365pound 5ii5 $325 22712 $)
187C 129t44419- $1272895 SI 2351$- $3103 C S 113 $34$2 - 132206 $20S53 S1556613 11353280 $ PIE98c13 3 S317 0 v 1 5$143 250 $11159 $3352 $2237533 I 72120 $47274 $1305375SO 51253 $2340 s0 104 S3 $184840-
0 SO 11041 $364 $11353 5081 3709183 519E861E $262) 456 S1457500 15 Ss35-2 $3293
3 17294 $1 9 $ 9-- $ 293 $157473 $138525-5
16 V0 $1353 $3365 0 s 1I1Ns -3717 21f5 $230328917 - $ 7C 1270 2082220 $776726 $1523340$7 $II35 $34 32 0 $0 1104c8 $37312 $11 $372 4 $3105663 $2183578 $156771 1533718 S 1-13 $35 1 0 so 1048 $7332377 t1931039 $1638010$22-103419 $0 $11353 $3571 0 $0 11048 $3544S2 $135q Q83123 $3487437 $2385910 $M947 $168783120 $0 $1135q $364( $0 11048 $40-37 $1135 $391212 $3673088 $2477512 $2053881 $1733230$0 $11359 $3715 021 $9 11048 $40419 $113553 $399060 $3855214 $2563130 $2123 19 $1774600
$567 9S3 $--3073 0$0 M 801 $6831186 $737031 $6034154
A-17
SUPTIONS TABLE TABLE A-9 (Contd) EENPT-OET TAKE (Caiculated)
Ecoc an Firarzial Palysis for Energy Investments - Egypt EEA 1l6
Caits Co=ts Berefit Parameters Irterrz2 Rate R~Return 5368
Acquisition $567958 trice of Oil $250 i-b (yr I) Tarsprcrtator
Constructior
Interconnectior
$0
$0
so
Oii Esalat
Enrgy Savnps
2 0vear
11042 bblyear
Disc
Rate
V Cf
PerEfits
V of
Costs -IV
FC
Ratio
------------TOTP (ap 57959
Fuel Use 0 bl1year 0 $f)83 33
$797031 75537
1609454 $481444E
865 737
Construct Tire 10 rnortns 4 14573 437 6 $332f 886
$724224Q13855214 $700138 $S-125748
632 546
OperatinL and Ncrmal MaIntenarce Costs 3- L 5)5 1 $27K755
$ES376 $666557
5t 130 $2123199
475 419
Ooerating Cost
OperatiTrg LifetiMe
$1359 year
21 years
1 if25H37 2 $24229
3 S2276893
$660307 G 5o637
$649645
$5939081 $1774600
16-2724
394 371
350
Major Equipment RepaiReplacemert bull~~l i4$2239005 -2 01S32
$64508 $14948162051 375435$640 1 $ 4 5
3 2 315
Replace Cost
Replace Period
$0 period
20 years
16 $1X4 695 18 S1711294
20N $1 550 503
$637197 $1267498 $530652 $1080641
$625165 $925338
299 271
248
A-18
Econr- ard Fra--a haavsi fcr Er=rv investerts -- Ecyzt E
For Case ofFELD TEST 4 - HELWANTEXTILES3TE -9T REZOVERY (PCE C-O 3IBiL) PssuTir~g Oil Escalation Rate c 20
Year Capital
Cost Ooeratir
Cost Cost cf Oil
$lBbl Fuel Used
(Ebl) Fuel Cost
Saved Erergy Eauiv
ValS cf Saved
Enercy Pnral
Cost Ls iCh Crrert 1
Di-cousteJ 4
Cash Flow 8
(NPV) i 10
=
12
I P~uis~xor~1567958 Transvort $0
1 cntrct mc- 1Irte-ccrret ic
a1s
4
6
Q$ 11
12 13
14 5
16
17
18
19
20 21
$
to 11Z so 1353 C 1-S s$o $1
$0 t13
$0 $i359 $0 $
S 11135-
3 $0 $11359
$0 $1359 $ $-353
$0 I353 0 $ 111359 $0 111359
so S11359 SC $11359
$ $11359
$0 $11359 $0 $11359
$4so $ $3121 $3164
824
$3312
$3378
$3445 $3515
$3657 37730
S33(
$138 $3958 $4033
$4118
$4201
$4285 $4370 5445
(1 0
C
0
0
C00 0
0 0
0 0
0 0 C
0
0
0
0 0
$0 $0 $0
$0
$0
$0
SCso $0
$-$0
$0 $0
$0 $0 s0
$0
so
$0 $0 $0
184 1104 11048 11048
1104S
11048
110 3
11048110 I 8
1(148 11048
11049 11048
11049 11048 11046
11048
11048
11048
11048 11048
S5524C
$338069 S344831 t3727
$3537S
$ 37
$37-
t33-7 2$38 3 $383335
$3161 $4(402
$412104 $42034S
$423753 $47328 $445075
$454995
$464056
$473378
$482845 $492502
$563851
S11355 $11359 S11355
5
11135
$1352
11355s
115335
$1359 $11359
$113 $112-59 $11353
$11353
$11353
$11359 $11359 $11359
11) ($514611
S2 710 33471 $1784 $340368 $410431 S$34740 1 $7 392 IK3457 $333829
i351390$123484
-255 $15= 3 $11353$27976 $1840978 S13-36384743 $2111293
9 $3665 $2376563
$40$745 1636279 $40S987 $2 832331 $417394 $2142007 42 99 $338934
$434716 $6Sl376
$443637 $387238 $4E2 737 14093661 $452019 $4327726 $471486 $4155514 $481143 $4771101
($51461
$73796 $343991
5539 342
$84661
$1063717
S284236 $1487914
$680371 S1862251
$2034124 $21955326
$23--0 013 $2495039 $262079
$2761573
$2883934
$2999553
S3103802 $3212031
($54611
$5-7994 $313717
$50998
$77162
$975443
$164984 $134)846
$504014 $165540A
$1795862 $1926178
$2047082 $2159253 $226-3321
$2359869
$2 449 441 $2532539 $2609631 $2681150
($514611)
06
$42935 $285202
$S505933
$707180
$80527
$57603 $1209862 $1348604 $1475031
$1590 236 $1695213
$79)359 $1878030 $1957451
$2029818
$2095757
$2155838
$2210580 $2260459
$567958 $229073 0 $0 222801 $8 269423 $797031 $7472391
A-19
TABLE A-10 (Contd) ASSUMPTIONS TABLE EENEFIT- ST TABLE (Calculated)
Econoraic are Fin=-ial alycsis for Energy Investments - Egypt EA 101965
iaital ccsts Bereifit Parameters internal Rate of Peturr SE55
Acquisition $H67353 Price of Oil $3000 bbl (yr 1) Transportatio $0 Oil Escalat 20year Disc PV of PV of BIC Constructior $0 Rate Benefits Costs NPV Ratio
Irterconectior $0 Errgy Savncs 11048 bblyear ---shy=-- Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 $8263423 $797031 $7472391 1038
TOTAL (Cap $79-53 24$6684040 $755587 $592Or 453 S85
4$542E325 $724224 $4771101 753Construct Time 10 months 6$459063 $700138 $3890925 656 8$3 893 406 $681376 $322 031 5 71
Operating and Normal Mainterance Costs 10 $2347706 $666557 $2681I0 502 - 11 $3119241 $660307 $3458934 472
Operating Cost $1359 year 12 $2915155 $654697 $2260459 445 Operating Lifetime 21 years 3 $_73 272 $64364Z $2081627 421
14 $2567880 $645082 $1922796 398Major Equipment RepairReplacemient 15 $2419662 $640951 $1778712 378
16 $228-634 $637197 $1648437 359 Replace Cost $0 period 18 $2053553 $630653 $1422900 326
Replace Period 20 years A-20 20 $1860603 $625165 $1235439 298
poundcenrzzc ar Firarial Analysis fcr Energy irnvesttterts -- EZyt pound2~ 10g88
TABLE A-Il
For Case of-EL TEST 4 - ELqN E LEA ATEP2ERy -E-D701 $35KL) Assumir Oil Escalaticn Rate cf 20
Savet- Vaiue cflaza 2eratn Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel Ererpy Saved Arnual Can_ Flow Discourtee Cas Flow (NV) i =Yea Cost Cost $pbl (Ebl) Cost Eauiv Enercy Ezt C-rrert $ 8 10 12 - -cuisittor -567-
Trarsocr $
crstrttir Irterznr or $0
7t Z-=7s5 3 $3Z0I 0 $0 1841 $amp4447 $59652 $505 405) ($-5405) ($505 405) (50540)5 ($55405$0 $11359 t3E70 so 1048 $34414 $11359 $353055 ($137083) ($I724) 173) ($16331)$1 $1359 $940 $ 1048 $4(2 32 $11353 $39C 76543 1224 $16444S $HE 92 $1482664 $0 $11359 $3714E Q $0 11043 359 89$41(2348 $1139 52 8 $5068 SSC I217 $4 5 6 7so TIIM $3789 Q V1 11043 $418E5f $11359 S$4)7 IgS 76 $4651687 $432258$927 138 $300478 $7432 807 $6i9103g
$0 $1359 $3864 0 $0 11048 $42S 98 $415527m3 833 $65704 11 C V001841o$0 1135g $3942 0 $0 11048 $435464 $11359 $$424105 $1603881 $135-564 124238 $1141707$ - $420 0 $0 1104-8 $4174 s3523 $43281- $232784 $1503107 $h63340 $1337491$0 $11359 $4101 0 $0 11048 s4_z_c- $ -9 S 4441-93$22E 52 $841743 $1S89396 $15158685$0 Sn359 $4183I 0 50 11049 $4621E $I353 $450753 $2572227 $206723 $1860582 $1878434 0 $11359 $4266 0 so 11048 $471-8 $125912 $46C 12 $22-987 $2280305 $2037912 $182S542t $1-9 43520 2
$0 11048 $48075 $1359 $4E9423 $3187919 12451E35 $2202444 $i961492$ $1139 $4439 0 $0 1104S $49C404 $11159 $479 4- $3437129 $2671870 $2375023 $2084450$0 S359 $452814 0 $0 11048 $50212 $113515 $483853 $378072 $2851 620 $2495386 S2196483s$ $I359 $4618 0 s0 11048 $51G216 $11359 $498557 $4065793 $3021462 $22205 V 298 559$- 52 $471116 0 $0 11048 $520420 $1$37 5 150306 1 $4351463 $3181939 $274916 $2391563$1359 $4805 0 $0 11048 $53129 $11359 $51347Q $4628812 13333567 $2882967 $247629 18 $0 S1359 $4901 0 $0 11048 $541445 S11359 $530086 $4900944 $347583K $2S7842 $255350319 so $11353 $4993 0 so 11048 S=52274 $11359 S540915 $5167955 $3612197 $3065131 $2L3644$0 si359 $509920 0 $0 11048 $530 $1135921 $551961 $5429939 $3740093 $315381 $2687930$0 $11359 $5201 0 so 11048 $574586 $11359 $563227 $56869B9 $3850932 $3239101 $2746318
$567958 $229073 0$0 2L801 $9647660 $797031 $8850629
A-21
SSUmOTIO3 TAlBLE TABLE A-lI (Contd)
PNEFT-COSTS TALE (Calculated)
Economic and Fir ancia Analysis fc-Energy Investments -- Egypt EEA I0P386
Calita costs Penefit arazeters
$cuistion$Z723 Price of Oil $ h500bb (yr 1)Trarspcrtation t0 Oii Escalat 20year Corstructcr $0
Irtercornection $0 Enray Savs 11048 bblyear -- - Fuel Use 0 bblyear
TOTAL (Cap) $5 57 8
Construct Time 10 mnrths
Coeratir ard Normal Maintenance Costs
Ooerating Cost $1135 yEar Operating Lifetime 21 years
MaJor Equipment RepairReplacemert
Replace Cost $0 period Replace Period 20 years
A-22
nterral Rate of Return 7785
Disc PV of PV of Rate Benefits Costs NTV --- _--
V S9647EGO $7-7031 $8850629 N $7793047 $755587 $7042460
4 $E411212 $724224 $568698961S 3S240 $700138 $4656102
8 $454 307 $681376 $3860 93-10 $305657 $666557 $323910111 Q633114 JE0307 $2978 SO3 I E $3401015 $654697 $2746318 I 387650 $S4964c5 $2538005 14 $25860 S645C83 $2350776 15 t- B940 $64051 $2181939
16 $266E 573 $37197 $2029376 18 $2395812 $630653 $1765159 20 $2170704 $625165 $1545539
BIC Ratio
1210 1032
885 75
667 586
551 519 491
464 440
418 380 347
Econoir a-nFinaci AralySi f- Ererzy InvEstments -- 07ptE LE
TP93
For Case ofFIELD TEST 4 - F1-LWA TEXTT -- (nC O= ]L s40PEt) Assuirz Oil Escalation Rate of 20
Saved Value cCaita 29ratir s of C Fuel Used
Fuel Erer y 3ave_- pal Casn Flo^ fLiscured Cash Flc (NPV 2 erCost Cost I Ib) Cost Euiv --ervy Cost Currert 3 4 8 10 12
1 7rans~crt $0
$ Tr O iS - 0 2$0 124 373655 39=851 ( 433193 (14351 ($ 6 1 8 $4 5 1 8931 4968l$ --3 $4020 0 VI 11048 $45C 3SI23 $42 2S W3698) ($33473 (35744) ($103877)0 1_3 0 so4152 1248 453 774 5 $34085amp Q95 07$0 443415 $ S273847 553596= S24 45 $0 1048 $45-95 $11359 $4Z7E $74770 SS5362 517656 573314S0 C 5 $4330 0 $0 11048 $47-34c 31259 $425339 $114f884 $$001513 5936616 $8760940 $59 $44E 0 $0 11048 4$10 1253 $47_55_9 1532579 13-2950 1232520 11146505
- c $S450- 0 sO N04E 147574 i $4263559 13C $1632410 $507021 $392887$10 $11259 14535 0 $0 11042 $5077 $ 3~5$1 268$4-3 $2700043 121 978 $176169G $167374I 135 $4627 0 so Ns04 1577S s259 S2670080 9f5282o 1 7 14W 2 I $19337945 5182903$478S 0 $0 043 $1s53 S52776 13033160 12454038 $2217103 20026411 9 $47 0 014876$S-E_ 4 1104--20 = 3 5pound 7 07$14800803 0O $3269358o$0 c 359 S 3 7 $2442 421 $217805$
s2 37115$5171 $0s14 1 S355 $E74 11048 S -511113-f 1743 102 $4C1L 27 $13147202 $2783 987 $24736230 $0 114048 517 311 HI9 S56312 $4418436 S13357 $294628332217 12602037I5 $0 $1353 $1z Sf 312$7578 0 $0 11048 $I 319 $439 _7$3$527404 $59 -40$7745 $278 gO $ 43$4743604 $3547884 $30998428 $2719087$0 $I Ec $383 016 $0 11048 $5547ES v11255 $H62407 S5072550 $3 799 $323E511 12825674$11359 $549 0 S0 1048 SE s 311 50 $ 9-25562U $2 2 718 $O $1-253 $5 0 $0 11048 61875 1i3 $470 8 40693133 1482244 20120715 $0 135I $5713 0 so 11043 $5217 3 77$113 9 775 $470 $2248 4 01 7$30912010 $0 11359 $5 827 0 $0 11048 $642794 $11359 $632435 $S39t367 $4371382 $370130 $3165280
21 $0 $11359 $5944 0 $0 11048 1656570 511359 S645311 6602876 $4509833 $3797052 $3232177
$567953 $ 29073 8970 10 801 511 02-5 $797031 $10228866
A-23
TABLE A-12 (Contd)PSSI PTIONSTAJKE rEnJT-DETS ^2LE(Caiculated)
E~onoma~infncia fcr Erery Investwerts - Egypt EA 1036
LapitE --ts Penefit Parameters ternr ate cf ketur 9060
Pquisition $-57958 Price of CI Trasortaticon $f CiI Escalat
onstructIon $0
iterzorr-ction $0 Ernrgy Savrs ------ Fuel Use
77A ao) $567958
Construct Time 10 months
OpEratirg ar N-rmal Mairterance Ccsts ------
Operating Cost $1355 year Operatirn Lifetime 2 years
Major Eqiprent RepairRezlacement
Replace Cost $0 period Replace Period 20 years
$4K lbb (yr 1) 20year
11043 bbllyear
0 bblyear
Ns PV of PV of Rate eni L-sts NPV
0$11025 397 1797031 $1022666 2 25q3 75E587 $ 156466 4 $7327100 $724-4 $6602876
6 $$121418 $700138 $5421280
e5191203 $68376 $4509833 10 $4463603 $66-57 $377C52 11 $4152988 $G 307 $3498681 12 $3865874 $654697 $3232177 13 13643029 $543645 $2993384
14 $3L423840 $645083 $27875615 S3226217 $6402351 $2585266 16 13047512 $637197 $2410315 18 $2738071 $630653 $2107418 20 $24008 5 $625165 $1855640
BC Ratio
1383 1179
1012
874
762 670
630
594
561
531 503
478 434
397
A-24
-c-nc an Firanzia Pralysisfcr Erergy Irvestrents -- Env t E 0
TALE P--3
Fer Case tfFEI7E3ET4 - FLN TEXTILESCLR PLUS
Assuming Oil Escalafior Rate oF 0
73 T ECCeZRY (PR_5rCF OIL S15BL)
r a
bull
etaIOiertrg
ssost Ccst Of Oi
$I Fe Lse
(E-12 Fuel
Save -Enery Eciv
a L Ef SaveS
Erery ra Ccst
asn Fli CLrrert f
sccunted 4
Cash Floo (NPV) 8 10
i
2
bull
4
5
7
0
1
2
13
14
16
17
is
19 20
21
r S CCrrnst cr $cr
erzcn11 on
Toa7 52 $2313 $ 13279 SC 13279 S t13979 $ $2673
C5r2
$0 $13573
S $13873 $ S$13279 $0 t373 $0 $13 79 $0 $387 $0 $13S79
$0 $1357S
$0Si 3279 $0 513879
$0 $13279
$ $137
0 $13879 $0 $S3879
($E300) $13879
$711653 $279893
V500
$1530 S561
S5592 $1624 $16565
$1689
$1723 $1757
$1733
$1326
$1265
I -
$1140
$1973 $20
S205 $2100
$2142 $2185
$22-29
0 0
0
r)
0
0
r
0
0 0 0
0
0 0 0
0
O$0 189 $28490 $720263 $0 1396 $17453 $13 S7 $0 113SE $177346 t-879 $$C 13 $1803 2a7g $$0 1139 12503 S1387 $0 1396 $183732 7 2 2S 0 13 $192 3 $13879
$0 1 c 9E3 8761 $0 11396 $20 2E3 $3872 $0 1396 $20423 V2 273 $0 11396 $20335 S13873 0 1132H $212542 T2272 $0 11396 $216733 $1387 $0 11396 $221129 $13879
to 1139S $25f2 3 $0 11353 523063 $13873 $0 11396 $234664 $13873 $0 11396 $23357 $13879
$0 11396 $244144 $13879 $0 11396 $249027 13879 $0 11396 $254008 $7579
$0 22819 $4264950 $991546
A-25
(77-773(5691771 1$691776) 164 C ($537432) ($542184)
$ 367 138E872) (M402609) 37524 ($23E944) f$263623) $17 ($90642) ($143 2 73174853 $307 -14 -- 7G 4 ( 8 $173627 $194245 $8774amp
$182477 t33293 $114220 S1 404 $49117 $2-4229 $10 410 s 027 $390 181 $154496 $734291 $490270 $193663 $86Z339 $565474 $202914 $3073 $amp46054 $207250 $1114548 722259
$11amp73 $1236783 $794325f216184 $356823 $862476 t220785 474702 $92921 $22- 478 $590456 $987860
$23)265 $1704121 $1045484 235148 $1815733 $10-971
$24642 $1928200 $1152842
$3273404
(691 776) ($691776)
($545885) ($543491) ($410376) ($417777) ($264512) (532537) (17613) (189767) (9 ) ( 1( $ 53 0 4 -4 ) -$1) $41737 ($53)
$135427 S82491 $22238s $157776 $303138 $M-6440 $373125 $289063 $447755 34o174 $S12410 $398257 $572443 $445753
$S28193 S8066$679935 $528562
$727985 $564576 $772594 $597416
$814010 $27360 $852458 $6546G2 $889088 $680208
TABLE A-13 (Contd) PSc6UY1TTG TAKE 52ZFEI-CSTS TXLE Calculated)
Econo iar narza 9Aais- for ErErgy Investments shy Eypt EZE 1ci35
Capital Ccsts Benefit Parameters Irternal RatE c Return 24953
~ccui i tcr717953 Price of Oil $15Y0 bbl (yr 1) T-ars~crtat ion $0 Oil Escalat 20year Disc tV of V of BC
crstruct ion $0 Rate Benefits Costs NP Ratio Intercornectior $ Enrgy Savrs 11396 L11year
FuE US= 0 bbiyear 0 $4264950 $991546 $3273404 431
TOTPL (Cap)-77953 2 447230 $942ss $2 504m 366 4t $2334211 $301011 $1928200 313
Costruct T 0 mth_ 357 838 $877493 $1490346 270 12110080 $85511 $112842 235
Operatin and Ncrma aintenarce Costs 0 $7 S76 $837483 $883068 0 11 $1608747 $830008 $778739 194
Operatin Cost Oeratirg Lifet1 M1
$_87T year years
2-$502490 13 $1403 168
$823281 $917216
$660203 $9195
183 172
14 $1324383 $311730 $512652 163 Major Equipert ReoairRepiacemert 15 $1247940 $80S 754 $441185 155
16 $1178815 $80222 $37658S 147 Replace Cost ($6300)period 18 $1o9119 $794327 $264792 133
Replace Period 20 years 20 $3959605 $787687 $171918 122
A-26
-- tr- er F-= v fc E-r= 1r tesirt_Egyrt EEP
TqPPLE P-4
F- caecfFlDTST t4 - UEL$Q TEXTILESDLAR PLUS WASTE HET -COVERpY(Pj- OF OIL $S31PL) nssuring Cil Escalatio- Pate c
Ltal Ccst cF Oil Fuel Used savet Va- cCa 0eratin Fuel Er-er SavE Armia Lasn FowDy riscoured Cash Fco (N7V) i vew t cost $b (b) Cost Eciv nert Cost Currert $ 4 810 10 12
ftP ic ro717953 I rarszc-t $0
r r $0|
f7753 $t S2100S23-13 so 1233-7 37 933747 ($S62-202 (23N ($682280)S Z-2) z $11279 M--7
3 2 $12 $Q373 (447205 $47 67-3 t$453t2 ($487110)3173 $DE 3S 2 2712 T 3S1249 t1$2532) ($2Sj731 ($292049 ($30-23)v W 2n UL22 22732
4 0 so 37 7 SE2923 (-2742S) ($27 531 ($146842)$0 1 57 $ 3 H 5 7 8 fit 73 1 2 8 0$2208 0 $0 3S tKj2 H872Q $237763 121 449 1-543 $17901 S6 3$ $1o73 32152 0 so Ins I25 E7 $1373 524796 152334 S373 47 o1l953 12503tq7 $21 0 so ni8 $2E 8( C3973 t715740 521 13 $24792954413 $1 190
0 $ 1279 $2343 0 33 6 5S L3 73 152 ME3 $22726 SSE913 = k S473433C En 1i c SC 2H6 127-ESE $1373 5237506504E52517O3 $71230 S672916 56391 $0 $13379 $2438 0 $0 113H S773-S25 272 4 5 7 $911492 $726E2 $651646I1 $0 S879 $2457 0 SO 3 $322 1372 5251 1143736 $7C702 $SE7144 $72912313 7 =36 s2 5 $1273 $275173 M160612 S113 353 5954024 $7 55514 SO H1079 121E7 0 so 1s3 I234m3 I 73 $2503H0 1772343 $123966 $1036208 S 414415 $ $1o7 $S3 0 $0 11336 C3002 $1 $3K7Z $1372 $St7557 S M37330 A1746$9M 840a $- 2 56 c so 3 1m237i 123287 129 3 MI42 LEE $97E34717 SO $13879 $-740 $0 1296 531S3525
12 7 1387 $2-30 $2 $51637 5 4E97 5 A 2vO 1 ST2 0 0a7 $209 1123S 1314 $13879 1305 264 $241E979 C59 43E 30N IbX3 581Ws19 $0 11387 $2356 0 $0 11336 $3H526 $13879 $311647 $2570817 $1677425 5133377 $111010820 $0 $12879 $2114 0 $0 i13 $33203S $13879 $318157 $2721828 61751146 S415399 $114704821 ($6300) $13879 $272 0 $0 11396 $338677 $7579 $331028 $2872937 $1822182 $1464614 $1181372
$71653 $279893 0$0 M819 S56686) $991546 $4095054
A-27
TABLE A-14 (Contd) 3M-S rET-N7 CSTS TPULZ CalLNated)
Ecobullric anf 7rT a f- Erer Investrents -- E F ay A 1916
Capita Sosts BersEft taraampeters R-ae -eturf 3402
Aczuisitjorn $717953 Trarnscrtatior $0
Price of Oil Oil Escalat
$2000 bbl year
(yr 1) poundai_ PEcf cf BC
Zcnstructior $0 Rate Penefits Costs NOV Ratio ir$tez)rectio
TOTAL tCa ) $717 953
Enrgy Savrs Fuel Use
1129 bblyear 0 bblyear
==shy0$568GG00 2- $4 33257
$954E $342962
$4535 054 $3 534i
574 487
Lo stru 6 Time 10 con-h r1 e-
4$3773943 $357118
E2Z17363
$9S 011 $2 872 937 S877493 $2279625 $S5518 S1 822182
41736 360 313
rPEratino ans Nrmal Maintenance Costs
Oueratirg Cost $13872 year Cpratir Lifetime 21 years
0 S2302104-1-$214493G
2$2004 53 -1S 78330
$5374n9$330008
$S2323 $817216
$464614$131A93
$IE1372 2051674
275 258
243 230
Major Equiprent RepairReplacemernt 14 $17 5843 5 $1G663919
$311730 SS06754
$954113 $7 165
218 206
Replace Cost Replace Period
(N6300)period 20 years
16 $571753 18 $1412159 20 $1279474
$802 22 $794327 $787687
$769524 $617832 $491787
6 178 162
A-28
- ranzcal Analysis fc- Enery vestrent_ - Eynt EE 0
TALE t-E
77 P7 q (NU - C$Ipp Asumzr_ O EscaatorRate cf 0
ot _o-tr o
ct of Oil $1-
Fuel Used (Ebl)
FL Cost
Save Ergy
Ecuiv
a1e e-
Errgy r
ost Ca--ic
rrer $ DisEcurted Cash 4 8
Floh (NPV) 10
P i 12n
I
I
Acuis~tion S177 Trar-pcr T
cnstr=ticr $0 rernct cshy
7S7
-
V I
In
I $1227
t3S7
I27T
2E F - 03
1706Q_
0
0 $0
0S0 1
--shy29 S4748
E $-5
3 2419 122723 $32
I3F 13 33f
$72
137 $187 7 $13879
S2$ (333727-3
7Z73 ($4 707
SZS2 E-I (V454 1 135104E 3$2 4 S3--2S3
($672733)
($41ESE2)
$1743-7$c 271122
(72731
($421-20)
(SIS7723$23000
$2-1152
(S672783
(S4252
S201430)$4E39
$1203
-$ 3
14
IS 7
18 19
20
21
C$$3875
c $ 17
$17573-$$ S 2 73
S $12272
S 10 113273
$0 12E73
V$ 1-73 $0 7 $0 $1327
$0 $13872 V $13873
$0 $13873
(05300) $13879
12760 82
227272
3 $232
$3047
$3108 $317
$3234
$323
t$365 $3432
$3507
13571
$3642
13715
0
C
C J
0 C
0
0 0 0
0
0
0
1
10
$0
$c
so $0
so
$0 $0
$0
$0
$0
$0
336 $314553 1133S $32844 2H t61735
133 1 3S 135G $34(432
1336 $7gt
1332 $354227 1133 $30132L
13 $363543
$37
139E $383432 11222 $23
1 S332$3=22 1133 $406 9-7
113 $415046
11396 $423346
s12 7 $i E74 $8 $47575_ $846 $13E79 1-_- - $ tq520120 s 379 3132332 1103568 S3f2050 1750934
01279 133227 11 _2433 $11024 27 $71 82 373 32 6S0 $1553 S02 $1183280 $038694 $S87 13-3413 S79 04 $1342714 S111722
$237 1o3558 2 134 $148368 $i2632 1387 $347443 $2217146 162562 5133723$ 1 $12753 $254670 $243-151 S1757074 S149 74
S3 $ E K22 $180334 C 5 53 $1337 $362S55 $2 44423 51933835 V16E3750 S3879 $377322 7223 $2106944 51 8M465
$1373 7-E5- $ 24502 $221101 84 2 05-$13 79 $3 3 028 $3437512 $2309366 $1912745
$13373 $401167 $3627923 $2402321 $1978339 S7579 $4f-5767 $387674 $2491523 $2040140
$3E2613 V1813
165S399
$78102 $32673
1014228
$111073 I31253
$282534
$1 35 $1424132
66
$5474 $1572856 S1 39434 $1682535
$71153 $273933 0 $0 22819 $7105250 $991546 $6116704
A-29
TABLE A-15 (Contd)gSSVL1TKE--- TAL-2 12alculated)
-cic ar -ari - lysis fc Erery rvestrrts - Egypt EEP i9IlS
Costs Perefit PararetErs Irsternal Rate cf Return 4318
M-quisition $7174953 Trice of il $200 bbl (yr 1)Transportat ir $ Ci1 scalat 20year Disc PV of PV of BICCostructic-n so
nate Derefits Costs f1] Ratio interconnection $0 Enrgy Savrs 11395 bbiyear
- -FUEUSEQ tYear 0 702250 $99FAG $E11Z704 717TOTPL (Cap) $717953 2$-74 483 $942 962 $4802515 609 4 $4723695 $905011 $3817674 521Construct Tirr 10 ronths $21-4pound397 $877493 $20E2904 450 8w $3 704 $855181 2 23 3910perztin and rcaMainterance Costs 10 $277630 $837483 $2 040 140 344
Operating Cost $13379 year 1I$2681 244 s830008 $1851237 323 12 $S2505816 iK23281 $162 535Operating_ Lifetime 21 years
304 13 $2348613 $817216 $1531397 287 14 $2207304 $311730 $139-574 2072Major Equipmert RepairReplacement 15 $2079899 $60E754 $1273145 258 1 $1924 $802229 $162462 245Replace Cost $300period 18 $176Z198 $794327 $370871 222Replace Period 20 years 20 $1593342 $787687 $811655 203
A-30
rcrc= ~ar rial Zralys- f- Erery lrivertfrentE -- E_=yt E
TQILE P-6
Fo Ca-se cfIELD TEST 4 - H-L4AN TEXTILPSIR
sunrini Esalation Rate cf 21
rILU3 WASTE H7AT Ey VD-- OIL 530B)
YEar aia
eratir Cost of Oil
cSst $1b Fuel Used ru
Ergry
Ecu I ZaVE f
ZnEr y Anru
COSt aS 7-06
rret 1 -iEzurtE 4
Cash 3
Flow (NV) 10
3 = 8
1 ra-rt
rn-rjt or $0 $0
4
2
14
15
16 17
is 12
20 21
73
$0 $7 so $0 $0$0 $0
C
$0
$0
S $ $0
so $0
$0 ($6300)
232-
23277w 37 63S
119 S387 $2879$13q73 $711$c
3273
1373 2733
S387-
S1237
2M79 $13r379
$12873 $13873
$13879 $3879
$35 S$ 60
3 284 $-247 S-is $3378 $3446$L515( $-c
$357
$73 0 $3805
$23
$-3958
S4022 $4118
$4201 $4265
$4370 $4458
00 0 0 0 0 0 0C
0
0 (
0
0
3 0
0
0 0
SO $0 SO $0 $l $0 $0 $0
S1 so $0
$0
$0
$0
$0 so
$0 $0
M51--S1333 $343 718 261- s337
33 2 33S $273062 3 $377453 233H $35012 336 3K1173I3 4f =c
$40Z S72
133S $41E750 136 $42525 1396 $43287
136 S442253 113 $451102
$4 2 1393 $4-C223 13^6 s4727-11396 $483289 i39g $498OE5 11396 $508016
hC S23873
$13873 S13873 T1387 $13 S72 $-
3 S 7 $23873 2 I12579 233q73
$17379
$12273 SI6373
513373 $13279
$13879 $7579
5
3332- ($$32236 (SS3386) ($$3335)12342333 ( H32t ( (1358887) 36 23 1813 (12- 1) (-- 20) (176337 ($3K-
-333743 27 264n4 27-3 $1Z756 1 5 35S133 $ 2-5 $47E533 $429034 S2-253 $3S3584 $32$TK-40 $65473 $559135 271133 $18 2 392 86423S777323 $378E34 $L5375Z $ E 66 103688 St458
- 44 3 $7 3 88 $230 S104765
3 202224 S57_- $1406472 S1247C37S402671 $DD141s $S773936$561796 $1376S11 1266 5r2 Q5SK235 S s 03
$41370P S2 79 $211E957 t 3653 $160275 $425379 13 27352 $227448 V3733 $437224 2 4$2 7t79390 $443246 125 32- $2564014 $285102 1J7317 $4-5449352 3 536 95 2284 $8294S311 $464336 $4070 026 $2322SE $2376786 12012911 $474410 $4304208 $2941307 $2462113 $2075603 $44176 $4534018 $305Z49 $2541279 $2130820 $500437 S47[2411 $3160864 $2615666 $2183698
$711653 $27993 0 $0 E29819 $8529900 $991546 $7538354
A-31
TLE TABLE A-16 (Contd)
- -1T E l-ate)
Znor~i ari -iraria2 alysis for Energy ireVstrents - Egypt EA1
LEitET Csts Eerefit Pararveters Interra Rate of eturr f255
Acouisition $752 ranspecrtaticr $$ Construction $0
rtercorrectior so
Price cf 04 0i Escaiat
Enrgy Savrs
$3 b (y-0yaar
1335 5byear
1) Dis- Rate
-
2V cf Benefits
PVof Costs NPV
BC Ratio
----------T2T_ CapL
--- Fuel Use 0 byear 852230C s432 $
$55 342 H5
77538254 $$f95$ 6A2- 6
860
--rstrct Tire 10 rths 4 $56642 6$473r-67
$90E 011 $877 49
$47E2411 $335- 184
62 E40
Operating and Nomra Maitenance Costs 8$4016044
10 $3452155 $8KZ 31 $827483
13 856amp4 $269666
470 412
Operating Cost Dperating Lifetime
$3872 21
year years
1 3217493 12n $00E930 13 $2218335
$33000c $823281 $817216
f2 387 486 $2183693 $2001 1
383 365 345
Major Equipment Repirez acement 4$2648765
15 $2A4S5619 $811730 $802754
1637035 $1689125
o 309
Replace Cost Replace Period
($5300)period 20 years
-$2327629 18 $2118238 20 $1919210
$822 $794327 $787687
$55 400 $1213911 $131524
-94 267 244
A-32
Eccic and iranza Pr-i- frEre irvEter -- Eypt EEq 10135-
TRPLE A-17
FcrCse TZST 44 - HELWN T-EE-2- WA7ST EW PRfL KMIY rOIL $351BL) Ass-ir- 02lEaldegio Rate cf 20
Saved Ya- cfCEita7 Ocratin Ccst of Di Fuel Used Fuel E rerry SavEd rd Caa--FioA Liscoured Cash Flow (MTN)Year -St cst SBbI (2b2) Cost Equiv i
rerV C-rrert $ 4 8 10 12
ransport P
I rt-rzcre ic $
ctal t777 SH$00 0 so
1833 5$477 $72255 ($$732 SE279 ) ($S5790) ($653790) ($53790)7-27 $-7 0Z27$0$ 3 $ 94) n- 3
0$0 r- 17365 $414974 $13673 SA 01 S354 $348 92-12 c30$ 12F7c S3714 $0 37 $42ST27 $13 $401-74793 B1 SZ384C $ $342M12 $302215$ $3789 11336 $437 379 S417 $7 $1873 $864 E $E 7 $7 -7730 $0 11336 1440374 $13873 $4 4K3 $G576 1$7330 $SK2736 $M57770 s0 13 44 $187 0 S
$43 E302 $1510 601 S1 E44 $1133453C 1 S7372 $4020 S103 Z- 7 84 S13 50 283 $13442 $1237257S 7S E $411 13 $473 1 873 $4344 $2173553 $1754865 $157379 $420428 I 13879 4183 0 $0 136 $47L575 $337 $4L73Sbull ~$ $--37 -n S2504 707 S9379 $ 7742-0 $ 873177 $42EE 13 $-71 11133S 1299 IO4 2 37$4 23 273 -2-3 $2823796 $225158 $9523 $733394S7 $352 0 so 11326 54H $ 3 4 $3332 $241302 1212330 t8773732 $ 73 $4433 0 $0 11336 55585 712579 $47 $34 $2607271 $2 282067 $200425014 1 $11279 $4522 0 $0
12 11335 S515963 $1 273 1522 089 $74=754 $273 888 2427504 $2 113 3155 $0 7873 $4amp81- S $28973 S4711
0 $ $ 227 1 79 1511405 44rN657 $296E343 $2 43a $22241640 so 3965 $53z 11E7 t=1937 $-6 113 13 $4232024 2687624 $2319702$534 $31311417 $ 1272 $48 0 $0 11336 $747542 1367 $ 33470 1 535 $328E967 $283766 $24057562 V $1187 $430 0 $0 11336 $55-50 $13873 $544621 $453 543 $3434161 $2311516 $24K07719 $0 $12879 $499 0 $0 11336 $569670 $13873 $555791 $5170903 353248 $3011480 $255835120 10 $13279 $509 0 $0 11396 $591064 $13879 $567185 $5440113 $3704671 $3104220 $26L420521 ($6300) $12879 $5201 0 $0 11336 $532685 $7579 $525106 $5707148 $3830205 $3191192 $2684852
$711653 $279833 0 $0 229819 $9951551 $991546 $80004
A-33
TABLE A-17 (Contd)
Econorni a 7inarcia ay-- fc Ener~y investmerts -- Egypt ZE r986
Ca~it~a cstz Perefit Parameters Irnterrna Rate of Return 6217
Pcquisiticn 7i Transpc-tation $ Constr-ct ior $0
inter-conrection $0
TOTQL (Cap) $717953
--iceof 21 OillEscalat
Enr y Savgs Fuel Use
135K bb (yr 1) 2Ovear
113- bblyear 0 Ltlyear
DI sc PV of Rate Eer eFits
0$9IK551 2$043677
PV of CoS1 ots
$91545 $942908
PaPV
$3960004 $7100709
3C Rat i o
1004 853
Corstruc Time 10 mcrths
Operatirq an Normal Maintenare Costs
OPeratir Cost $13879 year Operating Lifetime 21 years
Major Equipmernt RepairReplacemernt
Replace Cost ($6300)period Replace Period 20 years
A-34
4 $6 613 1-S$ 24 95
8$4amp3825 $$4) 21
11 $3753742 2 $3506143 13$328058 14 $ C9026 15 $23159 16 $27550567 18 $2471278
20 $2239079
$906011 $877 493
$55S 131 $83748-$330008 $823 2 $817216 $S1730 $806754 $802 22n $794327
$787687
$5707 148 $4647 463
$3830205 $3191192 $2927735 $2684862 $2470842
$2278496 $10510-$1943339 $1676951
$1451392
730 630
548 481 452 426 402
381 361 343 311
284
Erno a - raial Ayaavs- fc EErcy IvestLErts -- E 5y 1NObr
TABLE A-B
For Case zf7- D EST 4 - PEWA TEXTLES2R olUS STE H- PE-5- G4-88 ZL Pssur 2i Esalaticr Rats cf 2(
Year
Laital
Cost
Oeratir
Ist
Cost Of Cil
$1IL5
Fue Use
(BL
FE
zc-st
Save Energy
Z4iv
V_-shy_ Saved
Energy
a1
Ccst
F1c
urre-t S
Dafiscourted Cash Flow (NPV) plusmn 4 8 -0 1
1 Trarspzrt $0
4
37--
0
$0
1
$16 $13279
$1387c
$40
$400 $4162
S4245
0
0
0
0
V
s0
$0
1239
11396 11396
336
$75973 $464957 $474255
- 6 $483741
$72026S
113379
137S 7 9 $13879
3644233)
S451078
$477U C 7 $463852
(S64433) (210fG4
14r1$2 5 o0n $-32786
(2644A) (12Z
$1 52 0 7 1
$541cent52
31544293)
(234=-) $ 4
$493269
(364423M)
S24 545) $24$ 5
$452903
A
7 8
-
10
12
13 14 15
16 17
18 19
20
21
$0 t0
0 $0 V $0
So
I$0 $0
$0 $0 $0
$0 $0
$0 $0
$0
($5300)
13273 T2879
$9 S237 $2873 $3873 $13873
$13879 $13879
$13873 $13873 42879
13673 $13879
$13879
$13879
$13879
$13879
14330 $4416
$4505 $4595 $4535 $4687 $4780
$4876 $4973
$5073 $5174 $5278
$5333 $5491
$5601
$5713
$5827
$5344
0
Q5 0 0 0 0
0 0
( 0 0
c 0
0
0
0 0
so so
o
so $0 $0
so $0
S $0 $O
$0 10
$0
$0
s0
$0
236 3133
1136 E I39 11396 11396 35
1396 11396
113 11336 11336
336
1396
11336
113
1135
11336
5$493416 $503264
35) 1 G 1
S531 1534083 $544771
$5665 S566780
1
$523 678 $60471
$612501 $525771
$G39286 55 Q52
$664073
S677 K4
$13873 S473537 $13873 $4834C-E
$13873 $49747 $3979 f50g 7-shy2
$1379 $52CI210 113873 $538321 227$5 -89 S3879 $541787
$79 K $-7579 $54236 $13273 577K $3873 S27532 113973 $53622 t3879 $11892 $3379 S624407
$13879 $337173
$3879 $650194 $757 $669775
$1042696 114443E
$18336301 $222704-
$2607162 1233016093 1
13346172 $7C- 32
$4 05746 $440256 $4742875
$-075824 $51402515
$5723072
$503759
$34c208 $6651884
$935- $825 M $764658$12M617 $10681 S10425
$-43 $1412669 1407 $123372E$715$=2 9
f39- $21843 11916875 $1735031 23 42 $1 $375$ 3427 $214202S t 53G $2636380 03 $9 $2 27 503 12544695 S2200320 $3037575 $2721482 $2405748 $3-3032352- 28970 12537706 S350348 $3045001 $2673393
$3698373 $2 183546 t757485 $3876979 $3 3711 $2867300
14045737 $3446247 12953242 $4205189 $356C8 3041099
$435846 $3657160 $311659 $4493545 $376678 $3186025
$711653 $279893 0 $0 12-93813 $11373201 $991546 $10381654
A-35
TABLE A-18 (Contd)- o-SOS TflBLE BEN T-2T TPBLE 7alculated)
zccc- an FiariJ Analysis for Energy Investments - Egypt EEA
Capita Colts BerEfit Parameters nterna lRate of Returr 7207
Acquisiticon 171753 Price of Oi $4000 lbL (yr 1) Transportation $0 Dil Escalat 20vear Disz FV of PV of BC
Construction $0 Rate Benefits Costs TV Ratio Iterconnection $0 Errgy Savrigs M-35 bblyear
-- -- ------- Fuel Use 0 bblyear $W373o $99546 $10381654 1147 TCTAL Cap) S717S53 2$1 773 $942968 SB2 49 - 5 975
4$7557396 $906011 $6E5884 834 Zonstruct Time 10 months 6 $-314236 $877493 15436743 72n
51354726 S855 18 1 $4 42S 545 G20Operating and Norcal ainterarce Costs 0$4604207 $S37489 $3766718 550
1$4289991 $3000 $345983 517 OeI-ating Cost $13879 year 48712 $4003306 $123281 $318G025
Operatin Lifetice 21 years r3 $177781 $817216 $2940565 460
14 $53637 $8730 $2719957 435 Vajcr Equiprrent RepairReplacement A $3327839 $80S754 $2521084 412
16 Z3 143506E $80212209 $2341277 392Replace Cost ($6300)period 18 $2824317 $794327 $2029990 356
Replace Period 20 years 200 $2558947 $787687 $1771260 325
A-36
E~zcrorci an4 ariaqrysr for EnEy Ivestrets -- -Gyrt = 3P
F c r C a s e o f F - r T 3 3 4 - j r 7 o i o s X_--
E 4 OR $251 FT -RC= $159P
ss=insectCA Escalation Rate cf 20
Save a - shyCaita eratirn Cost cf 01 Fue Used Fuel Ener) SavE AnnaI ash Floi Discounted Cash Flow () 9 iyE- cost Cost $Bb (2b1 Cost Epoundalv Energy Cost Current $ 4 8 10 12
l cuisiis 52452
Trans $2 Corstru_ o
ta 4 $-52 S $0 S2832 3$-22955 s28Sz3 ($128968) ($28928) (128)tc 52 C 10 34-2 $-324 S Z 24 ($125877 M$25991) (T2045) (S260981$ 0 $-55 0 s 34s S5431 $2110 s ($22707 ($123144) (3123301) (23450)$0 $ $2 0 $0 342 $f540 $2110s 40 11 S758) (242) 20704 S2 009S0 $T2-4 0 $0 34 $2110 25a0 (1273) (S17820 (32 3S759)S$0 2 $1G56 C $0 348 $763 $ 3 (1 1 3 7A s2 $13 0 f0 34 $E873 $2110 $379 (I0750 $12S ( S1 $14777)VC 2 $172- 0 $0 348 $-39 s 2 C2 $38ES (107797) h$1 (51)$130950 52110 $1757 C $0 342 $11 S2110 S400r ($104870) (t103526) (111004 ) (211401)$ c 120 $1793 C $0 348 $S28 522O S4123 31S9) (S10461 (S OS M) (1092) s210 I 512_ 348 $363 S2110 $42-5 (S39096) ($104491) ( S037($103 543)$0 S220 $sE5 0 ti shy32 t54 211 $435-0 (M251)
-- (S10261 ($22 ($07284)$0 $220 $1902 0 $1 343 $r2) 2110 $4510 (S93434) ($100821) 31$03G84) ($10512)14 $o S2110 $1940 0 $0 34 573 $2110 54243 ($50645) (S92114) (5)02340) (15062)5$0 52110 $1979bull 0 $0 343 S5683 I2110 $4778 (37am) ($9742q) ($10102) (S104085)6 $0 $2110 $201 0 so 342 S7C7 $21 $421517 50 ($5155) ($95 938) (ST2 90 ($103 1861$2110 0 )2059 348 $71 2 $$2o $ ms $22458) ($94462) ($S-30O ($102)o11 $ $2110 $210o 0 $0 34S
19 $7303 $2110 $-19- ($73789) ($92057) ($377T6 (01605$0 $2110 $2142 0 $0 348 $745M $2110 -5345 ($77150) ($91720) ($3814) ($100909)20 $0 $2110 S2185 0 $0
21 ($5438) $2110 $--29 0 348 $7605 $2 Ili $5495 ($74542) ($90446) (9916) ($100271)
$0 348 $7757 ($3328) $11085 ($69483) ($88068) ($9426a) (99 I2)
$124048 $42552 0 $0 7018 $130239 $166600 (36361)
A-37
ABSUPTIOS TABLE TABLE TABLE A-19 (Contd) IT--CCOTS TAL --C ed
and Fina-E P7aiysiz fc- Energy IrvestzErts -- ypt EE
aPita Ccsts Benrefit Parateters
Pquisitio 2948S Price cf Oil $1500 lbi (yr 1)Transortatior $0 Oil Escalat 20year
onstructio $0
rterconrectior $0 Enrgy Savns 348 b5year Fuel Use 0 thi
TOTAL (Cap) $123466
Construct Tirfe 10 months
Ozerating amNormal Mairterance Costs
Operatin Cost $2 110 year Oerating Lifetime 21 years
Major Equipment RepairReplaceuert
Replace Cost ($5438)Period Replace Period 2 years
Internal Rate of Return
Disc PV of PFJof Rate Benefits Costs
-=_
0 U -1c233 s 6660 2 $105270 $160683
4 $83543 $15031 6 $72307 $E2344
8 $61319 $149387 le S5272 914S33-
11 $49126 $14E566 12 $4912 $145034 3 $4 032 $144180
14 4144-- $143417 15 $38108 $142713
16 $35 9 7 $142068 18 $32342 $140933 2 $29303 $139971
-2 63
NIN
$32 ($55410)
($6943($8 037)
($80 8) ($343_68)
($C-33323(99 22)
($101156)
($102974) ($104604)
($106071) ($102591)
($110667)
Ratio
073
066
055 047
041 C36
034 03
30
28 027
0 25 023
021
A-38
For Case - -EL 7 7 14 - HELPN EXTLiIPH 0LECTOR PRV =552FT - PRIEC OL S2L Pssurin Oi Zscalaticr Rate cf 2C
SavEd a- c Cost of CII FUE1 Useer CUE Energy Eavn Arnual Ca ow sSZOLnte- Cash Flow ( NV) iYear Ct Ct Ipbl (P2-) Cost Ecsiv Ererry ZOst Currert $ 4 3 0 2 is-t i c r
_ _____ _
Traszr $C - LCrErZt cr 30
i tercorrezcr SO 21 53 $1 $1223 ($23378 $123pound73 ($23673) ($22673) ($123578)$ 72c Q0$24c $0 348 S7033 $2h1c i4S83 $2680 2124053) (12442) (1243)$21~ 0 0so 34a 17241 $2C $5121 3 (E -59)($112301) ($12012)4so So c V- Z $-co 348 7 $2110 $5275 -44- (1115471 ($15371 (lII3- $21 $25 ) $9 348 $7534 1I2110 5424 1038O) (111484) ($I-33 1I2930$0 $211 $2205 c $0 345 768 $2110 $-E574 ($105228) (7076G0) (105772) (037S7)
$0 2110 $-52 c $) 48 728 n04 SC Sshy$ $-bO $5723 C l00701 ($10408 SO55r ($ICS585)o $U S2110 P-3a7S0 $13 0 $0 348 Si110 $-525$2343 0 343 3430341 $2 (Si L- f E471 1$0$ 8) ($C4 203$) $_ -- $21 t$3050l 31($812) (S97231) (53673) ($10762
t t110 t c 3 2 M745)$0 203 ($94275) ($97066) (M23)S1 52110 $2438 Q $0 349 124B4 $2 $E374 (9g1 f$948 3)($2 144) 3233 ($07471)$110 $Z487 C $0 348 $2354 $2110 $r544 ($75894) ($88516) ($ 3 1 ($=120)$0 $2110 $25313 0 t0 342 $2227 T2110
1 $E717 ($74632) ( 849) ($901174) ($33855
$0 $20 $2557tbull I 0 034 $3 0034$34 S211 7) ($33314)S263 M$8178) (S32 2u)15 $0~ ($to50 $2110 $2333 0 $0 343 $3184 $210$7074 $ 473 ($2090S) ($83 315) ($3032)$0 $211 ( $2332 0 $01L 348 $ S237 $2110 $727 ($32444) ($73618) $34578) $83512)7 $0 72 10 $2746 0 $0 343 S555 $2110 S744E 3$5340 ($7S445) (323-7 (333293)1 $0 5210 $280 0 $0 348 $2745 $2110 $7636 ($54542) I 43W ($21447) (2B7156)$0o $2110 $225L 0 $0 349 $3341 $2110 S7831 ($50684) ($72422) ($80038) ($35163)2C $0 $2110 $2914 0 $0 348 $1023 $2110 $3029 ($46872) ($7WC561 (75726) ($85235)21 ($5439) $2110 $272 0 $0 346 $10342 ($3328) $13670 ($40634) ($676S2) ($76694) ($83818)
$124043 $42552 0 $0 7018 $17362 $163 00 $7052 A-39
TABLE A-20 (Contd) P-SJ 2DTPKE rZFT7-CGS72 TLAK (acutated)
Hom and Firaa ralvsis fcr Erergy Investments - Egypt EEAn 5S
Za-ital Costs Benefit Paraeters lnterrna Rate cf Return 046
Acquisition $129485 Price of Oil $22O0 1bb (yr 1)Transoortation $0 Di Escala 2Oyear Disc PV f PV of BCConstructior Rate Beniefits Costs Ratio Interconrnection $0 Errgy Savngs 348 bblyear - --- =_
Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 $173252 $16E600 $705 104 (Cao)bull0TL1a8 $14 360 $10c ($ 320) 087
4 $115398 $155031 ($40634) 074Corstruct Time 0 -rnths A $36409 $152 34 ($55935) 063 8 $8A759 $14937 ($7623) 0Operatin and Normal Maintenanrce Costs CIA $70299 $14S933 ($76694) 048
11 $55502 $145 966 ($0464) 045Operating Cost $210 year 12 $51216 $145034 ($33818) 042Operating Lifetime 2years 13 $57376 $144188 ($85812) 040 14 $53924 $143417 ($89493 038Kajor Equipmert RepairReplacement $C811 142713 ($91901) 36 IS $47997 $142068 ($94071) 034Salvage Value ($5438)period 18 $432- $140933 ($97810) 031
Replace Period 20 years 201 $39071 $139971 ($100899) 028
A-40
- End - Ar y= fcr ZErcy~gt Ef-tS - ~ Aq
TiE fl-2[
-or -ase
Assamin
c
Ui
Tf-L0EST 4 -
E-alation Rate f
TECTh- 211
20 25BFJ
Yec-
-_ ztr
fs
nrt-r--et
YEzEta u-rir z os
___=== shy = i2 ~~
z-_ 233
r $
of deg $i2
- Lse (Ebi)
ICoRue
Cost
Saved Ersery
Ecuiv
Va -cf Saved
Erery
5 S
n-a
-shyt
zas CIO
Curt S
t
Discounted Cash
4
Ficii 0 V)
0C
1 =
4
2
14 1 17 17
12 19 20 21
5-
s$
s 12
ampc
SO SC
$3 5 $0
(5 438)
2II0 2 110
S$210$o
12102IC
2110 SC$
U0 52 10
O QI0I $2110 521110 $2I07343
$2110 $2110 $2110 $2110
--23OI 1
Q27^S7SC
7
f_522 $2 3
S2147 $2SQ 53171
34 23 EE
13 534Vo$344)
$35o $3571 53342 53715
Ct
-1C
o
0 C
0
0 0
0 0
C 0
0
$0$034-=
s5
$50
s3$s4
$ $0
5$
so $0
$ $0
$O $0 s0 S0
348
343Z4
348
34E 342
342 342
34S 342 3474E 348 348
345 348 348 348
13574$ = $
$3
$3417sampo
$ 7E3
1 3-$337
euroscs $1 37
s3 $254 $1S t9 03
$121 1 S1242 $12674 $12 928
V2 31 -shy
11C
2110s519
2 12-0
1S 11 145
$2C
$2110
t2 110 $210
S2 110 $2110 $2110 ($3328)
33 2-72 ZZS ($13333 335B3 122S7 4 ($ E 22 25) ($13-2 3 (t12243)4 ($t1 ($pound 7) I$1692 $t5 S5 -
1 4 $7123 3$M234 ft 91 11745)--- $175)
$7307 31028 S C5148) ($106(1 7SC $5- t7495 ($737 (IiCc047 cs (-02843
783 ($cZ203) ($37185 (32353shy$7854 (1S4 6 1 533 (133122 (523371 $8133 ($7E754) (SS3 5) M335)) (ic21-h)
$S27 (7222) (32C900 ($2525 ($83134) $495 ($87 23 78 ) 382 5Wc ($5399)12 717 ($5 ($44-0 (7350I (583995)$3924 9 53 ($70 8771 (S7664) ($81605)V1144 (S$2471 ($67514) ($74016) (579509)
($45C (64324) ((715434) (S772) $33 5337301 ($5292) (5 2501 ($7 838)$7533 ($58428) ($8711C) ($74234) 0 )72 29303 ($5706) (S5 11a ($72767)1$0316 (24217) ($53124) (S5322) ($71425) $10564 (S19203) ($50676) ($6155) ($70199) $16256 ($11754) ($47129) ($59119) ($685141
$124043$42552 0 $0 7018 $217065 166500 50465
A-41
ELSTU0 TABLE TABLE A-21 (Contd)
PLE(-
Zcoo r Firatia iavsis fc- Energy Irvesterts shy Eypt EE1
C itz Zosts enefit Paraveters Irterraz Rate cf REturr 304
zao-isitior S12948E Traszrtzti $0
l rtier to Interzorrectio $0
Price of Oil 0 Escalat
Errgy Savnrgs
$250C bb (yr 20vear
342 bIyear
Disc Rate -
WV of Ienef-
W cf Fcsts N
BC Ratio
- --
TJT -------shy
1 486 FuEl Use 0 bblvear ^
-a-27 H-S$17 450
$SG0 s16K 580
$E 4S $14770
30
109
Construct Tive 10 crths 4^ 6
$144247 $2051
$I-o0 2344
$17S4) (4P 832)
02 073
Coeratirsect and Normal Mairtenance Costs
Operatir Cost $2110 year 0oeratin~ Lifetinie 21 years
8 0 1
2
$102198 $27874 3-877
$7E520 $$7720
$14937 $14S33 $145S3
$145034 V44122
$47123) ($ 119) ($64039)
($68514) $72458)
068 060 056 053 050
Mamr Equipmet ReoairReplacemert 14 1
$97405 $143417 1427
($76012) (179199)
047 045
REplace Cost Replace Period
($5438)period 20 years
6 18 20
$59996 $53304 $43839
$142068 $140 233 $139971
($82072) ($87030) ($91131)
042 C38 035
A-42
TRSLE 1-22
F- cf-- s 14- HELN Esumlr Oi Esampaton Rat2 cf
(TC2LEHr Trorp-
20 -P z-3 z-
1iazip Ycst
Ls-cr 113 -
0eratir Cost
Cott of oil W
Fte e c
-e el Ct
Savec Energy Ev
Va1-_ of -avef
ErErcy pnua
st a=n 7c DirountEj Ca_
E-rre-t $ 40 8 Flo (NPN) i
10 =
12
4 f
7
10
N-I-
1-
15
$ 7
is
19
I 21
C rutc
0t13oo
V 12 116 30E 11 $321
so No 13LR $- 110 z347 $ t-1 $33 2
S 8029 $3278 2li $344E
S0 f2I0 1315 - - 1 35
S1 r t2110 1373C-
S S212 $3 15 2 1 S281
$S)S2 5I3908 $ S4(38
so QAc2h18 41 SO $s2 $420 50 $2 11 $4 so $110 $4370
$5433) $2110 $4455
$124048 $42552
0
c 0
0
0
0
0
0 C 0 c
0 0
0 0
0 0
0
S
10 345 so 34
so 248 to 345
C 34S
so 3 $ 348 $0 348 $0 348o
$0 348 0 348
$ 345 so 3$6
so 348
$0 348 s A3 $0 348
SO 348
$0 348 $0 348
$0 7018
Q74C 12-
s649 - 1 s B3 110
in1 73 p311 S30 $2110 1127 f110
$11757 2110 $13 I-sI S2322_2ltU1510
2477 130
S 72H 11 S s- $1 2 1-110 s17o- s2
t3770 5-10 $14051 $2110 S302 S2 S14613 $21(
$1491 $ 1 $15203 $3110 $15513 ($332
$260478 $-SF600
A-43
53 ($85557 27Z- )S17
V5S59 10 1 3131 ($9-
12417 e -^-
$-E47 ( S) sI S t730)2
5 L22
1c357 4SW III
S1STs ($241)$1037 s173) 1 30 127 27)
Sc1L33 331 3X4
1 L 5 -267)
$is 7o7) 510L 3 ^41)
2 S2 8 U249
$3S10-2 $346S $18841 170-5
1$93 78
($(225 ($128038)
12 5 52 33- 1 12683 (1M 3102)
1105 EEG) 3$1 364 $3--3) $C 10-
($92 (534$ 3 (1S3225) (33734) ($o5s (s82733
$7 030) (79 0 11) 33 7041(IN
(647) $70511)($50334 (670 (1904) ($53154)
5( 714 (E 8 54) ($47743) 3567S2 $437) ($S33 3540411) fS5123
t070(37030) (4E7331
($33 827) - (S45E
($30 7K) ($44344) (26749) $41544)
($1202a
(31204741 (51347T
IS(117 C272 1( -_- ($SC) I ($627)
(132453) ($7 745)
( 2S ($712
(5344) $SE73S)
My AS)
($2 14) (5601171)
(556T
($5-5-E54)
($55162) (53210)
TABLE A-22 (Contd)
Ezrzic and Fir-a Analv=is Er=-ry Invest-eants - Egypt EEfl oI 1
Catal Costs Benefit Para-eters l-tera ate of Return 532
Pccuisitio $12943s Price c Cii Transportation $ Oi Escalat
Construct iorn $0 Interconnection $0 Enry Savrs
--- - --- el Use TOTAL LCap) $129485)
Construct Time 10 r-=nths
Operatin and Ncrmal nartErane Costs
Operatin g Cost $210 year Ooerating Lifetire 21 years
Major Equipment RevairReplacemert
Replace Cost ($5438)period Replace Period 20 years
$300 bb (yr 1) 2 Cvear
34E bblyear 0 tblyear
Dic PV cf Rate Eerefits
=-- shy == 0 -260478
2 $210541
4 $172037 6 $144614
8 122 S38 10 $105449 11 $93 253
i2 $91824 13 $86064
14 S00885 15 $76217
16 S71995 18 $64685 20 $58607
PV cfof Costs
$166600
$160680 $15H 02 SE2344
$149337 $146993 $145966
$145034 $144188
$143417 $142713
$142068 $140933 $139971
wgV
$93878
$49860 $17065 ($7730)
(326749) ($41544) (347713) ($53 tn0) ($S3 124)
($62531) ($6649G) ($70073) ($76249) ($81364)
Ratio _
15S 13 1 095 82
C72 067 063 060
C56 053
051 04G 042
A-44
Ecnio af rarcia Ay5s fr Enerzy rvestr-et=- E__y EE- t
TABLE A-23
D 7E4--r Case ofF- - H8LW TEXT-PP C LcTORvR- - p n-OIL 35 _) 9ssu=- Oil Escalation Rate cf 20
spvedCa4t Csratr Zost cf Oi Fuel Used Fel Erergy Vi~
3aved Arral Ca-s 7 2iscurnt (-ir- Flo (NTV) 8 iYear Ec SBbX (Ebi) Cost Eniv Enercy ost Crr $ 4 10 12
1 Trarsort $ bull Ccrstr_-ticy $
1 Ir -e2or tic - $0r
Ttal T4- $352 $300 0 $0 58 $2030 f223 2780) 3$227($1802) (S27803) ($37308)Ss s210 12570 0 so 348 S2424 12 10 10314 $7S3 ($(S2 ) (1342 o 59)
3$ 123 $3541 0 $0 348 $12672 2 11 105S2 022T) (103O023) ($103703 ($10179)4 2 $2 0 $3714 c SO 349 2 $2110 8 ($18 -1 7 ( 0 7 (0 410
S3783 0 to$2110 348 $13 184 $2110 111074 ($53044) (332477) ($34013 ($3-7443)E 10 1-110 S3364 0 $i 345 S3448 $2s SI335 $73716 (1847z (8900)T $21 $342 0 $0 348 $13717 1I10 11607 (571 553) _77447 C$S04-2 ($-3 123)
0 -1( 241 ( 77 ($74 ($77155)so 348 4 $s $7 s$o2110 348 11427$311I0~Snl $8 C $0 $2110 Ll 1Z3) 12944) 1S5 372844)
1 82 20 $L (SIL0 348 S14556 t2 $1244 ($43394) ($57718 (5S33731 ( 1 211r 5428-4 0 $0 343 $4847 S21110 $1277 2 s($7 3) 364254) S $0o 348 1511413 1 $4439 $S I o 13031 - ($ 2 ) ($46228) ( 853834)($0 507)110 f- $0 348 1 447 12 110 $13337 ($18432) ($4C32) ($43644) ($57084)14 $0 $2110 $4528 0 50 348 $E75E t 112 S4 (S102 (394) (4582 (2 9S75 1$10 W4 S 343 16 07 $2110 $139s] ($2234) ($31IG) ($4201f5 ($L I100
16 211SC $24 $4711 0 S 348 $18322 $211 1 14_ 15 7 (S2S 531 ($38-96] ($A 4917 S $2110 $4805 0 $0 348 5721 12 I10 14611 $13437 (22394) (35416) 34S107)18 $C $2110 $4301 0 $0 243 $1-5 $2110 $i345 $21170 (18354) ($32460) ($930)19 $ $20 $4993 $0 343 $17336 52110 $15286 $28715 ($14 529) ($209710) ($4943)20 $0 $2110 $5099 0 $0 348 T17744 $2110 $15634 $36136 ($10 207) ($27 154 ($40 127)21I($5438) $2110 $5201 0 $0 348 $18099 ($3328) $1427 $45915 ($30) ($23969) ($3790)
$124048 $4255 0 $0 7018 303891 $166 amp0 137291
A-45
TABLE A-23 (Contd) PSELTIONS TWPLE H-77-C3T-3 TA-2L Eated)
Econooi and Firnani aIvs4s fe- Ener y Ivestcents - Eypt EE 03i32
Capital Csts Berefit Paraeter- Itera Rate c RetLr- 739
Aqisiti-503S S4ES Pice c ii bb (yr 1)TrasScrtation $0 01 ESalat W0year DiEc PV of P of BC
Corstructior $0 Rate Beneits Costs WPV Ratio rterconrection $0 Enray Savwgs 343 bblyear -
Fuel Use 0 blyear 02E1 S 600 II7721 82TOTAL Cap) $1Z48C Z $1683 $54 350 53
4 $20194S I5E3 $45715 i2CcrstrUct Time 10 mrths E1 716 $152344 $16372 11
8 $143078 $14337 ($S309) 096Operatirpound and Norma Ma~ntenarce Costs 10 $123024 $14E933 (23969) 084
11 $114628 $145956 ($31 33 079Oerating Cost $2 110 year 2 $107128 $145034 ($37906) 074Operating Lifetime 2 years 13 $101408 $144182 (343780) 070
14 $34I26 $143417 (U9050) 066Major Ecuipment RecairReplacemernt $S30 $142_713 ($53793) 062
1S 0584 ($53074) 059$1420O8Salvage Value ($5438)period 18 $75465 $14C 33 ($55468) 054Replace Period 20 years 20 $68375 $139571 ($715) 049
A-46
Ecor-r~c a Fi-ra- aivss VeSt=rts EE2fC- -ErV - E --t
TAFLE A-24
Case cf77-Lf TES 4 - HEWA XTILE1P (M CT P $2zS - PRE-F OIL 640EBLh ssuming Oil Escalation Rate f 20
saved VaiLe Ofonita Doeratir Lcst of Oil Fue Used Fuel Erery -d pYert Ca_ 10 Discourtd Cash Flow (PI 0- i =Cost $1Ebl (2l) Cost Eerv Ztt Crrert 1 4 6L 10 12
I Transmrt onstrLZt ior 4
tr-cnnEc icn $ Tcta f2945 132 $4000j 0 $0$40 SO 58 2 S 33z Is1 5 ) 327515$0=8 34S7 $15 $2- 2 (12728
31 $4060 1 r 0 342 $2C 3 8 1034)IS ($152V (1528) f(E72)14 0 348 49 S20 S-372 SI04-1 (5) 517 (110303) (-058514$ 2 I W A S t o4 3 4 8 $ 4 7 shy 3 12 2 ( S 9 ( SH G ES ) ($7 9 0) ( UT 7 8 4 5 3 $ 2 1432bull 34a S 057 $241 C3 (
$0 ($36142) (M6742) (3614)$0 $2 110 $446 0 $0 348 $159 $22 $17m ($7122) ($77119) 372707) U82191)7$ 4 $0 348 S5751_5 21101if) E5 5)503) $55569) ($72049) ($75218)0$ 4c5sg5 $0 348 $5930 510 $13 0 496) ($E 470) ($54327) ($62033)S so 12 4687 $0 348 $309 21Sc 14 92 (139580) 5079 (15833) 563204)10 $C Uio $4760 0
$0 348 $Ipoundpound36 5 240 -25- (129375) (4E53) (- 42 (37966)$0 12112 1487pound 0 $0 348 $11953 $20
2 S12353 SI9337 (533650) 34S414) ( 5318)0 $2110 $4373 0 s0 348 $1730L 2 1c3 5 Q 15 ($9465) (1 2132) ($41027) (34313)S0 12110 $ 0 $0 348 V14i
$21 $244 3-5905) (35134 344823)$0 $2110 $574 0 $0 34E $112007 $Z19 $5597 $3791 (1114) ($-530 ($41180)o $2110 $275 1 $0 342 $18357 $21 $-257 S19 7916 3$14579) 32724T) ($3754)$2110 $$5393 0 c$0 349 $12734 17
$2110 $Ic24 $28410 MKS) (Q-3269 (34816)$ $2110 $s191 0 6
s0 348 1$3 0o $2110 S162 $37486 (4376) (195E) ($32043)$S 5210 $sa01 0 s0 348 $19431 1211 17331 $43409 $321 ($161301 (12951)11 $0 $-I0 $5713 0 $0 348 1181 $2i10 S7771 SES182 $4768 ($2934) (327 M0I20 $0 $2110 $5827 0 t0 348 $20279 $2110 $16169 $E3805 8378 ($9963) ($25031)21 ($5438) $2110 $5944 0 $0 348 $20 684 ($3328) $24012 $74764 $14 30 (36394) ($n-60L
$124048 $4252 0 $0 7018 $347304 $166600 $180704
A-47
g3EL-iD~- ASSIUPTIDXF LETABSE TABLE A-24 (Contd) - ---C-NCE TFamp mC utCalculated)
zczi a- Farcial alvs- for Erergy IwEstments - Egypt EEA 1 8
CaPital r~csts Perofit Para Eter- Irntr-na Rate of Peturr 932
Acouisition $ E4 Price of Cil TransroortaEtio $G 0i Escalat Construct $
rterrertior $0 Erry Savrs Fuel Use
TOTA Cao) $1_h486
Construct Time 10 eorxths
eratir_ and Norzal Ma-rtenance Costs
Oceratim Cost $2110 year Operati_ LifEtime 21 years
Major Ecaiment RevarReolacert
Replace Cost (5543e)period Replace Period 20 years
$4000 bb (r 1) 20year
348 bbyear 0 bblyear
DisC PV of Rate Perefits
- = 0 $347 304 2 $22720
4 t23C 73 E $19288
$13517 10 4C 9 -- - - $31004
12 12243-2 13 $114751
14 $107847 15 $101622
16 $KS993 18 S84 246 20 $78143
V of Costs
$16 6O $162560
5 63 $1E2344
$43337 $1429c3 $14 9-5
$14E034
$144188
$14347 $142713
$142068 1140933 113971
N71)
$180704 $120040
$74764 $407
$14 13 ($r334)
($14 952)
($22602) ($29437)
(S35570) ($410V30)
(45075) ($54687)
($61828)
BC Ratio
208 175
48 27
109 096 090
084
080
075 071
368 061 056
A-48
Ecra acia a fc Ernerv ivEs=-t -- Eyt E~q IC36
TfPLE A-25
cr Case of-- 7ST 4 - HL4 7EX-vTDUq -T R E $ZvCF 7 P- U 1shygssu-in_ Oi Es~alatior Rate of 20
Saved Value ofDaitalfleratir Cost of Dil -Fel Used Fuel ESrry 5avf Annual as( Fic Discourted Cash Flow (MKV) 8 iYear Cost $IBb (E1 Cost Ecriv -Ercy Cot Currert S 4 8 10 12
I 712 I Trersp $0
ITotal 0712 $311 $1500 0 $0 58 $370 $111022 1t01E2 52) 1103) $ n3)(1h10153) $8 $5302C $0 348 $5324 $186G 458 CLa28 (S10SI) ($07003 (107O5)2 $15In $ 0 $0 348 $543 $18s2 S25s5 0522) ($ 40$ 2 $-7834) ($1040E3 ( 7 ($104 )4 $I62 $12$0 bullS266 $1524M$0 0 $0 34842 $5540
3 $550 S1866-C81C $2674 ($1 ($0 ($37031) 3 $10 $3784 ($32 197)78) ($10$D(3S718) Is0 603(M32204)
6 CS56 0 $0 348 S762 $862 $3857 ($c3828) ($5544) ($22223) ($39992)$052 $I82 c $0 43 $872 $186E $4013 $33 67) ($3301) ($94033 $94353)S$0 $C866 1723 C $0 348 15922 $866 $4130 (U8751d) (390605) ($1914) ($3091)2 $3 $s $1757 so e 33
s 0 343 Stamp 1866 $4256 ($4413) ($82310) ($23921) (131374)$0 $17 22 51732 00 $ 3 2- 1$5 2 522 11866 $4372 3 1 S C 1 ($311 ($82122) ($737C7 ($83738)1 223E$ $ 22 so 348 $82 $866 $4407 ($78702) ($40391 ($25 3431 ($83 3n0)12 $0 $1826 13Ef 0 $0 348 $S490 S1866 $4624 ($7E 29) ($80-5) ($ 4722) ($87020)s0 $1 8 $11302 0 $0 348 $2620 $BE $4754 ($714 $0
323 ($80168) ($33207) ($85800)$1866 $1940 0 so 348 $s753 $182 $4837 ($23334) ($72371) $2722 ($84630)15 s0 $1852 $7 ) $0 348 $8B3 $BE6 $5022 ($22494) ($7L662) ($8146M] ($33653)16 $0 $166 $2019 C $0 348 $702 $1862 (152 ($75035)s $E30) ($73234) ($2 710)17 $1 pound186 $203 $0 348 $7126 $1826 $523y ($50O330) ($73488) ($73081) ($S8845)12 i$ $626 $2100 0 348 $7309 $1866 1544 ($58005) ($72017) (77 0041 ($81053)$0 S866 21421 0 $0 348 f7 455 $186620
$5589 ($ 246) ($70618) ($759M) ($30326)$0 $1866 $2185 u $0 348 $7605 $1866 $5733 (152523) ($63288) ($75060) ($73660)21 ($4650) $1856 $2229 0 $0 348 $7757 ($2784) $10541 ($47712) ($67027) ($73494) ($78567)
$106062 $37631 0 $0 7 018 $130233 $143693 ($13454)
A-49
----
TABLE A-25 (Contd) rzzPTI2CNS 7PBLE EE ~~~TnD Calculated)
-cocc and Fir4anci= Araisis fc ErErgy InvestEerts - Ecypt EEA raI
capital CStE Perefit Parayeters terna Rate of Return -108
czuisiion ie o 0 $I2X yr 1I Tra-spcrtatior $0 2 Zs~t 2 lyear Dis WVof PV of BCConstructior tate
Benefits Costs NIV Ratiointercorrectior $0 Enry Savrgs 343 bblyear =
Fuel Use 0 bblyear C $130239 $143E03 ($13454) 091trp) CTP $10Z S 270 $138405 ($3375 076 4 S 548 $134260 ($47712) 064ConAstruct Time 1S CnTh5 5 $72307 130 76 ($55669) C55 8 s6319 $122 34G ($67027) 048CoeratrE and -crma Maintenarce Costs 0 ($73494) 042
OperatingCost $18- year 1 $49126 $125306 ($761711 03912 $45912 124479 3735-7 037Operatirg Lifetime 21 years 13 $43032 $123728 $8169L) 035 14 $40443 $12 043 $82601) 033Major Equipment RepairReplacemert I$IIE $38108 4419 ($84310) 031$3810
16 $35997 $121847 ($58M) 030Replace Cost ($4650)period 18 $323A2 $120841 ($88499) 027Relace Period 20 years 20 $Q9303 $119988 ($90685) 024
A-50
and Finaie rr_ fir Energ- ivestrents -- Eyt E2 1IMV5
TAPLE P-26
For Case cfFlD TEST 14 - HELWAANXT1LEIP (PRECTO p ZE$221SFT - P UZCF GIL $2VBE Assuraing Gii Escalation Rate of 20
Saved Val e of oita eraplusmn ir Ccst of Cil uee Lsed Fuel Energy 5ave Irr ca Zas F1ow Disconted Cash Flc (NPIV)E iYear- Cos C-st Bo (E 1) Cost Ecuiv En=Ergy Cost ZLrrert $ 4 8 0 12n
ura-z t 7 bull~r ti- $
rterco-retIcr $ITcta $20 0 $O 3 $1160 $111023 15S ) C$1C3853) (5103353) ($I0335 ($103 53)22 5 $2140 C $0 348 $703 $655 233 ($10Q8311 ($105017 (W05106) ($105Igl)S$ $EEG $2081 0 50 7 $537Z ($$33E41 24 1 183 (1040 (1 663 ($ 35)$EE863 $2-22 0 so 342
0 $733G 18E s527 (P9454) ($03 (56- ( 7)- $QLES( 033 so 343 $7S=34 S 2U- $G 568 ($3110) ()161) ($2645) ($93374)$S E 202C0 $0
7 348 $76E934 $1365 $5818 (S527) ($3730) ($83CK) ($90073V0 $1 s 5 f2252 0 0 343 5738 I6
- V5972 (80 377) (1413) ($5E ) ($37 047)_336 $2297 C $0 34S $75 s - shys- ~ (-1MO M r2~ ~ $ g0~ - J - 322$ ($84275)to S186b $2343 0 s0 343 $a10$ = (300 S186 5$233 (71 355 (7164) ($752 ($1735)to 34S 21313 t566 Z54582) (73 (17S846) 3$73409)r T-357)
0 415-3 $1$238 0 $0 343 $13484 $H6 18S (1 31) ($70 871) ($7424) ($77278)--ES $2437 C s0 348 $2654 S1855 $$73 (t 73$
41) ($70 1 (7) ($75 326)$1B3s $2536 0 s0 14
348 S227 $1865 $S761 ($53594) ($E519S) (5S367 (S73539) 5
t 61656 $2587 c s0 342 $004 Si856 $7133 1$4307) ($62571) i53201 (S1904)51 $125 $2539 0 $0 348 $ 184 M866 $7318 f45081) ($50080) (65703) (570406)i5 $ 861855 $232 0 $0 S13 $7 $5 $751 (34916) ($57715) (63S07) $559036)17 tO 51833 52746 tO 343 $55 51S66 $7539 ($5311 ($55471) ($32234) ($67732)is - s866 $2800 0 $0 34 5 74S S 865 $7880 ($-2766 f534I) ($50675) (3634)13 s0 $18665 $2856 0 $0 348 $S994 $1866 $8075 (28 73) ($513M) (M-3223 ($5 584)20 t0 $ass $n 14 0 so 348 $10 13 $1866 $5273 (424253) (342404) ($57870) ($6462A)21 ($465O $1865 52972 0 $0 348 $10342 (32784) 63126 (f18 863) ($46587) ($55919) (63263)
$10G062 $37631 0 s0 7018 S173 2 $143693 29959
A-51
gSv ONSTBLTABLE TALEASSUPTIOS A-26 (Contd) TT-r-TS TA-- alculated)
Econozc ar Firacia Araly-is for Energy Irvestrerts -- Egypt E_ I-
LaoitaI CoSts Benefit Parx-Eters Iterra Rate c-Return 216
Acquisition $110712 Price of 1 $2000 bb (yr 1)Trarspcrtatio $O Oil Escala 20year DiE Pcf PV of BIC
Corstrutior $0 Rate Benefits Costs NV Ratio iterconneztio $0 Enrgy Savrgs 348 bblyear _= -_--
Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 $173 G52 $143693 $2 M 121TOTAL Ca) $712 N $14c 360 $13405 $1955 101
4 $11Z338 $134260 ($18863) O8GConstruct Time 10 tronths 6 $96409 $130976 ($34567) 074
8 $81759 $12346 ($46587) 064Operatinz and Norrva Maintenance Costs 10 $70299 $126216 (S55919) 056 A-1 $6S502 125 30f Ui59 64) 05Operatin Cost $866 year
shy
2 $61216 $124479 ($63263) 049 Oerating Lifetime 21 years 13 $57376 $123723 ($65352) 046
14 $5-7924 $123043 ($9120) 044Major Equipment RepairReplacement 15 $50811 $12419 ($71608) 042
16 $47927 $121847 ($73 851) 039Replace Cost ($4G50)perioQ 18 $43123 $120841 ($77718) 036Replace Period 20 years 20 $39071 $119988 ($80 917) 033
A-52
conc34 an Firnancial Qralvss fcr Ener~y i-veEtvnts -- Eypt EE
TMtSLE 4-27
Fc0 2ase TfiEf - 1ZLN TEXTILEI (WZC PR P3rS22TEST 44 SETOR C7 a- $25IEDU Asi rLz Oil Escalation Rate of Z0
SavBr Vaue f1ta Ccost of Oi Fue Use Yuel[eraing Energy SZve- rnual Cas 71co ritv ed Cash Flow (NPV ) i = -- CostYear ost $1 (Bbl C-st L c r ny Cost C-rre~t 1 4 1r IN0
t1i3iticr tSU712
7rarns~ort $
Ccrtructcr It o $oerconnec
aS 71 S00 0 to 53 1450 1 023 (103 -73 5-3c$3573) ($109573) ($103-73)sgE t C 0 $0 348 S234 S7 CC7 3SZE 1C-084 (3103202) ($103316)$0 $as 2L0 $-r
0 s0 343 $ 51 $1ms5s n7515261) $9924) ($97264) (975M30 $0 348 Ic233 $786-H s364 (tc7E ($91723 (SW344)So286 027 $0 -48 $47 $I 17f51 5E so $ G s S27 EC 0
18 ($3552) ($37545)0 to 348 $q606 $1 86 $Z740 8257 t85 15 C 03 $76 -53 ($817E6) $83154)ss~ g $ 5 7 g2 ( 7 a $2215 $50 348 $9738 $6 $7 2 ($7058) 726 (377287) (79135)Sc S5 K6 372 0 $0 348 Sg934 S6 $2 $64322 ($70 1) 37311 3754599 $0 38 S A 52 s (923371 s1 S7237) ($72036)IC $r t85 12955 0 $0 343 $10377 865 $352 ($-22) (6751 (55615) ($59013)11 so 55 5 247 -0 s0 348 $C61 SlE6 $873S ($493) (t-7) ($-2246) ($55205$ $185 5$ $1510 SO 348 $087 $2811 (L4$54) ($53864) $53108) ($36321O 518) $317 0 $012 348 S1I034 $66 $9168 ($24858) (min22 3 56187) (S61279)14 s$ $S-76 52234 0 $0 348 $11254 $1866 $2382 1$2220) (34S771) (353468) ($59127)E $C $1685 $39 0 $0 -48 $114-9 $666 $3613 3U2668)($43498) ($50936) ($5-7160)so$ $866 $3365 0 so 348 S- 70 $86 13843 2$03)-($40395) ($48560) ($-m3S)
17 so 11862 $432 0 so 348 11-43 $1866 $10077 12 822) (37454 (34G387) (5 718)2 to T866 $350 0 $0 348 $12182 $866 $1016 ($7526) ($34666) ($44345) ($2216)V9$0 $1866 $257 0 $0 348 $12426 $156 $105EC ($2314) ($2023) ($42447) ($50842)2V $3 $1866 53642 0 s0 348 $12674 $1856 S0803 $2816 ($ 519) ($40673) ($49588)21 (54650) $1866 $3715 0 s0 346 $12926 ($2784) $15712 $9987 ($26148) ($33344) ($47M95)
$105062 $37631 0 s0 7018 $217065 S143693 $73372
A-53
PSSU Ns TABLE TABLE A-27 (Contd) FE-E=IT- 2ST3 TA2LE Cal d
Ecortomiz arnc a AIaEsis fc- Enery Irvestmerts - Egypt EE- iC1365
Capital Costs Perefit Parameters lnterral Rate c Return 491
Acquisitic $0712 Price of Oil Trarnsportat $C Oil Escalat Construction $0
Interconrectior $0 Enrny Savngs Fuel Use
TOTlL Cap $0 72
Construct Tiie 10 Moths
Operatinz and Norma Maintenance Cost5
Ooerating Cost $866 year Operating Lifetime 21years
Major Equipnent RepairReplacement
Replace Cost ($4650)period Replace Period 20 years
$2500 bbl ( r 20year
348 bblyear
0 bblyear
1)
A-54
Disc Rate -shy
0 -w
4 6
8 0
11 n
3
14 15
16 18 20
PV zPV EenefitS
$217CS5 $75450
$144247 $$0C $102193 $87374
$81877 $76E20
$71720
$S7405 $63514
19996 $53904 $4883
cf Costs
$143623 $132405
$134260 27
$128346 $2z218
$125306 $124472
$123728
$043 $122412
$121847 S120841 $119988
NPV
$733272 $37045
$2987 ($101465)
($26148) ($38344)
($43429)($47259)
($52008)
($55639) ($532905) ($61251) ($68938) ($71149)
BC Ratio
151 27
107 092
080 070
065 061
058
055 052
049 045 041
E ri- Fra Fa-s fc- Erergy -vetrerts - Egypt EA
TAKLE P-28
o- Case lfF- TEST 4 - HELWATEXTILEIPH (CELECTOR Assuming01l E-calatic Rate c 2C
PRCZ-22I _- 01vS
YeF-ita
Cost 0=erair
Cost st of 0j
IB Fuel Used
(bLI) Fuel Cost
Energy Eciv
Savee ErCr~y
rrua Lost
Eas FIcA Current $
Discountd Cash 4 8
Floh (NPV) 10
i 12
k cuisiicr r7-2 1 Transc-rt $ I Costrut or $3
cta $272 2 S COo
Se $ESE 120 so $ SSr
s3~ zs384cSO $0 $15 S47
6 $3 t135 $--- 2 7S882 53375 a $0 $258 $344E
5 S18 zI^ to $ -ES s3F
1$ ss sss~s S- $181H $3730 SO $1868 $3805
4 $ $35 E i V $8-8 $3258 E 50 $8EE $4038 17 $0 s B S4s SO $0 S8EE $4201
13 tS $18 $428 5 20 $0 $86 $4370 21 ($4650) $1868 $4458
$105 02 $37631
0
I
0
0
0
0 IC
0 0 0 o0 0 0
0 v
0
$0 Es $174
742 t-8c4c SO$0 343 $1
348 51107 $0 348 $11301 $0 348 $1527 SO 342 7m7 so 343 $13 $1 348 S2 32 $C 348 $12477
38V)2 $0 342 $ 345 t3240
$C 348 $ z -to 348 775 so 348 $1405 SO 348 $14 332 $0 343 $14CM $0 348 $14911
$0 348 $KS203 $0 348 $15513
$0 7018 $260478
A-55
III3-3C3
$E- Iass
$1866
$1856 S866 5 865 5185S $3s6
56 65
Sa36
518j$E $8 $866 $ 86 $155
$862 ($2784)
$143633
10I08 23
S7322 2 9
s $3435
$3661
$9S3 s u $03-
$511
$6 $11 $11374
187^ $ 3 $1822 $12 48
273 S13045
$13343 $18297
$118785
3
($1Th22-
(Pc8751
E3 -73
(ME223 (3) 5) ($
4 2231
337784
30447) ($23227) $V23)
3 1 (1 2M)
- IS6 $7t $24453
$30466 $L M3E
(1l123
cs 32443)$22
1
72 611
(SE8 322) () 4741 1154 372)
($4258)
3544E35) ($ 76 S (5325)
3071) ($28E3)
0751 (119 43s
E9 3 ($12725)
($3634) ($5708)
(s0--3) ($33864)5552 $83498
(745001 (S53917) ME-720)
($ES584
($54284)
(S530197) 3413 3542-S7h
(S30- ) (S3170) (332-) ($3 4 23M)
$25870)
($23433) ($20 705)
((e02203)
(S1014411 ($94270)
-855772 7S
(727v1 (37124) ($6S 64) (M62456)
(3E2301
($5133) (33 (02)
ME48-5 ($14314 S41688)
33854) (-7 ($101)
(345m21 (32655)
TABLE A-28 (Contd) S TpLE - Th-CCSTS TPAELE (Calclated)
Ezo ndard Firarla yss fzr Erergy Investrzents -- Egypt M 01I 185
Capita Ccsts BerEfit Paraeters lkterrz ate of Rturr 7351
A-uisit in Trarr~rtaticr Cortro
$117-12 t0
$0
P-ice o Cii Escala
$3000 Ibb (yr 20year
1) Disz ta
V of
Benefits PV of
Costs 1PV BC
Ratio -rnterconretion $( Errzy Savwes 348 bblyear -------
TCTAL (Cap $10 712 Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0
2 $26r-475 2l154C
$143623 $132405
euro16785 $72135
81 152
Corstruct Timne 10 msonth-4 6
173097 $144614
$24260 $131 976
$33836 $13633
12 110
Dperating an Normal Maintenarce Costs 8
0
$122633 $108449 $98253
$12346 $126218 $125 305
(35708) ($32769) ($27053)
096 084 078
Operating Cost
Operating Lifetime $865 year
21 years 1 13
$9824 $5064
$12479 $123728
332E5 ($37664)
074 070
Major Equipment RepaiReplacemeet 14 15
$80985 $7217
$123043 S122419
(42158) ($46202)
065 062
Replace Cost Replace Period
($4650)period
20 years
1 S 20
$719T $64655 $58607
$121847 $120841
$119988
($49852) (356157) (361381)
059 054
049
A-56
Taiaccno arc navsl- fCr erv InVES Et S_ 5E
TWILE A-29
For Case of --T TEST - uMwANTEXTIlEIPP 1Crv=TO PR2E -rR- a PAssuz 0 Escalation Rate of 20
Save Value f Ozeratir iliFuel Usedaoita Cost cf Fuel Energy Saej Annual ash 73w Dis-unted Cash Flow ( ) i = Cst st $1bl (btI) cost Ecuiv Enerzy zt --rrert 4
- Trarsoco-t SC)
I rsterucrneztion 50
I Tc- Z $3500 0 $203 (T01132 (50-932(9933-3) ($IC-9931(12S933S S46SE 170 0 $C 34 $2 424 s1856 $_ssS99217 ($32841) ( 39E (M567)5 52-25 $3541 0 $0 348 52572 $1855 1 bull 23 (58953 ($0457 ($g032)
5-5E0 53714 -7 0 So 10 731)0 g 48 174 ) $ 15 (S33 030)343 $12 S6G 4 7 O t1 Es SBs $3729 0 $1 348 $1284 $865 $318 363344) ($72254) (374425) (37637
S S1E $In3964 0 $0 7
348 $13448 1866 V1152 (IZ3825) M4972) ($67234) (315)53942 0 $V 348 $13717 $1866 (550459 ($54544)5Y1-1 (1-7504) ($6332)
$0 855 $$4020 0 t0 348 t13991 18665 shy12 - ($424V (s 422) ($54322 (tS72273 s aE- $41 0 $0 348 $14271 t856 $19405 S2J81 43728) ($4535) ($2817)10 $0 $1855 $4123 C s0
11 348 $14556 T556 $126 0 ($23265) ($37379 3$433 $4Z2 4
5 $425 $0 348l $0 S 1856 $4352 0 SO 348
0 s0 $14847 $1862 $31 (514495) ($313E5) ($32149) (5440511 $15144 $1866 12272 f(15870) (S25672) (1334 ) ( 244)13 855 $0 $54439 0 348 t5447 t855 $1253 $213 M278) ($2967) (33758)
14 $0 $SE5 $4S23 0 $0 34s 1135-0 955$1Z75C 518s $11C (t15171) ($255144) (533 -5)15 $0 $1855 $4513 0 $0 348 14 (110325)16 to f86 1471
$1071 S856 5131I8 353 (2434 (3066Z 0 $0 348 $1633 11365 S14527 $27224 (5575) ($1725) ($29014)7 $0 t1855 $4805 0 $0 348 $16721 351551865 $14855 (3419) (514693) ($25591)is $0 $1866 $4C1 0
9 $0 348 $17055 $ISG5 15 183 $42353 $2626 ($16 (122791
$0 1855 4999 0 so 348 S173 1B6 515530 550518 $6572 ($894) (521359)2 $0 $1866 1509 0 s0 348 $17744 $1866 t 5878 $58155 $102551 ($6298) ($19516)21 ($4550) $186 $5201 0 $0 348 $18099 (32784) $2883 $67686 $14732 ($3 194) ($17351)
$106052 $37531 0 $0 7018 $303831 $143693 $16018
A-57
TABLE A-29 (Contd) ate
Ecoci ar Pirarzia Evsi fcr ErEr t Eypt EA
3ta CGst= Denefit ParamLeters Interra ate cnf Returt 961
ccisition $I10712 Price of Cil S3502 1b (yr 1) SC
ats rttion $0 Oil Eszalat poundC)year rli P cf FV of Rate Saroaf s Coets N Ratio
Corstruct ion so irtErzonneticn $0 Errgy Savrgs 345 bblyear shy
0 $2^3 89 S143693 $16098 211uLai Use C ttVear 2 $24C30 t 145 507 -2-25 177
TDT CaP) $1SC712 4 $20945 $1342K0 $67686 150 S $-53716 $30975 37740 139
Construct Time 10 rorths 8 $143078 $128346 $14732 111
10 S12024 ($3124) 097 Doerating and Norma Mairtenane Costs 1 1468 $ 3C6 ($10678) 091
-- - ----- 1 $114628 S 3CS09
Operatir Cost $1856 year $1107128 $124479 (17351) 086
13 $13J408 $12723 ($230) 081 Operating Lifetime 21 years
14 $94366 $23043 ($28677) 077
5 $23920 $122419 ($33499) 073 Major Equipeent RepairRepla-ement
15 $23934 $121847 ($37853) 069 3 $75465 $120841 ($45376) 062
Replace Cost ($4650)period 20 $SE375 $112938 ($51614) 057
Replace Period 20 years A-58
Ec- ic and Frana Ara~y- f- Erry Irve=tert5 - Evpt -EEA
TAKE A-30
c Ca__ cf-l_ TrST 4 - HLW TEXTLEiP (Z2LETaP $2S FT shy E OF0i $40B) 9ssuMir Oil Escalation Rate f 20
save alue of-azita eratirg Cost c Oil Fu Ue Fuel Erry --ave Annual Cas DiscountedYEar 0 gas Flow (PV) i =st II) Cost Ezv Energy Cost Curre t $ 4 8 IC0
1 Pcq-isit - l1 02 Transzrt $0
$31 $4000 0 $C 52 0 S
21n232232 757-3) 07 3 f C 27 3 0703 f0373)sc sz-s $4080 a S4105 1 855 8 V7134 ($774532) M751Ss 542S I- 0 Sbullcss ~ S42-4f 0 345 4 82cs $14 7172 1-G1- 1SZ3 18$14772 9 7 W- 02)ssamp $12 7 M( 465) 27 ($87134-I (2377 ($762 577365 ($7344$73-2
32 0 $ $3 057
) fD 3$7-42)
$4_ $BSE 12i Z (57-253 1 SSS325--)(570 O0E) ($791C SSS6 $4505 E 33 S)0 V 345 $15676 $1566 $13Bic1556 6261$0 $5 25S 4 47 (2172) M35400)345 $sfsC $8s6 $4687 0 348
8 2 $27-T 42 (449241 ( 33511)T1309 $866 S 14443$2 2- 522) ( 186) ($43 1771 $0 8SG S4780 0 374S S2636V BEE866 $4876 S0
smsG V14770 ($374E 12EM)3 f$3 293 ($37K 50 3452 f3s8 $1266 13--ZC Il- S5$7 05 $$0S 32 4 7 2193) ($3850)$0 $1566 $4372 0 $-
S 07 -- (2 5B2 273)SC 343 $7302 T1866S0 $1866 $156$3073 $0 $1442 42427 SI (1-2ESP n$2533)0 $0 348 S17954 V866 - $7 4
117amp2 1248 ($S305) (51S-7 ($24497)t $58s6 $2173 0 SO 349 $293G7 $8S6 $121 $34 S229 ($53 ($2072
$0 sB- $233716 0 so 348 18734 $ 56 $SHS28 $ 93 $11 17 51 (t235 (13434 )$02 $556 $G349 0 50s 348 $1910 ISsG $17243 152 144 $16523 S1154 (M527)$0 s856 $56011E 0 $0 348 $9491 $862 $17E23 $6312 213529SID $18E6 $5713 $464 (S8950)0 so 345 $9881 S1 $18015 $77035 $2570 $578W- ($5617)s0 VO15865 $5827 0 $0 348 520279 $1866 $1541321 ($4650) $1866
$53852 $30136 $10892 ($4460)$5944 0 $0 348 $20684 ($2784) $23468 $9235 $3171 $14381 ($2047)
S10606 $37631 0 $0 7018 $347304 $143693 $203611
A-59
TABLE A-30 (Contd)
7Ec-acy ar ka lysis fc7nergy Irvestre-ts - Egypt M I
caita Costs EerEf araetErs RatetEtrr tr 72
PAcuisit ioon $ Price cf Di1 Transortaior SOi1 Es-aat
ortrzt io $0
irteronnectior U0 Enrgy Savs - Fuel Use TDTPL (Ca 51
Construct Time 0 -onths
Ozeating and Norral ainterance Costs
- ----Operating Cost $C66 year
Coerating Lifetime 2 year_
ma=jor Equipmet RepairPElacement
Replace Cost $4650)period Replace Period 20 years
$400k bl (yr -shy year
348 bblyear r bblyear
I)
DIK Rate
0 2
4 4
Epound 10
11 2 12
14 Cal
e s 13 MA
PV of Perfits
$347204 28eC 72f)
2307 c2-817
$153=17 $140 522
$131004 122432 $114751
$07847$101622
$3-993 58646 $78143
1W of Costs
143653 $2C-21 a 40 $4235
$134 260 $ 35 $30276 $E842
$229345 35171 $25218 $143912I1
$125306 $5692 $12473 $123728 $3976)
$1234 $51T6)3088 $122419 (20 796)
$121847 ($25 854 5120 841 (334S5) $119988 ($41846)
PC Ratio
242 2003
172 -47
127
105
323
83
C7 071 065
A-60
orc-ic nFiarcial Aav=s shyr rerr Investrents -- ypt EE
----------
Por Case ofFIE MS 14 - HFLu r Ss~zlnz C Fszalatior Rate cf 20
pRZ3 $2I T iE
Zzplta 2eratir Ccst of 11 FLel Used Yea ccist cst $B (kt
Pcu isit icn107335 Tra-ort $0
Ccstr-t icr I irternect io $0 1 ftctal f 099Z $2K IS C$10 0
$ 6z I$-z 3 $50 5162=0 $56 0
4 S s T5 05 So S= $6L-24 0 E SO S $155E 0 7 $0 $112CI U689 0 C to S680 $1723 0
SO cEo $17 0 S $1793 oIi $ t S1568c28 0
$0 C6S0 $1865 013 $0 $1E8 $1902 0 14 $0 t6Vo $940 015 t0 680 $1979 0 16 $0 1680 $20-19 0 17 $0 iamp80 $2059 0 18 $0 C1680 $2100 0 19 $0 $16580 $2142 0 20 $0 $1680 $2185 0 a1 ($453) $1680 $2229 0
Fue C-5l
S5 ts 23
so $0 $0 $0
so
St)$0 $0 $0
to $0 $0 $c to $0
$0 so
Saved nre-y
E-uii
348 348
348 348 345 343
348 341
-7n
342 348
342 348 348 348 348 248 34C 348
Vaue c Saved
Enerry
t-371 s4
$5421
S- 540 $5 50 $5763 $5279 Sf I9 S
t$- Z5$5353
$5450 $E620
S753 -888
$7025 $7 165 $730 $7455
$7605 $7757
rnnual Zash Flcw Cost Crrert $
1o2 275 1-o07405 $168^ $3E44 $6) 275
t1650 m1 i680 $2970 680 $403
$I680 $ 23 680 S4 31F
680 $4436
amp2553680 $4E33
(1850 $421C f1 680 t 0
$16s0 73 $1680 55202-s1680 $5345 $6 s5456 $16 u $5623
S680$5775 $1680 $5325
$2856) S10612
Diccirted Cas 4 8
5)$C~ S17 4^5) ) 3
152=r
f537 002) W17 751 5332) (9S4633)
($30 V-($ r7) C2SS934) ($83403) ($3 54) 1$5
0412) ($84493)
3 $ o(S74 04N) ($30043) (S7 92 1 (ST79a3)
-$72_) ($75018)
(V783) (374153) 17 K ) (72 (52 814) (37065) 3$55885 ($69094] 55995 (567572) (55144) ($68 127) ($47332) ($I4754) ($424A8) (362477)
io (n 2 i = 10 12
(s-7405 (S27405 104 0435051
(s($10 z 1 M-33~09 m) (VI3 414)
33513 3 M 891 (M28451 (15574) $90475 ( 446
3)520 ($9494) (585 1911 t$377 ^2T
(4(22 452) ($8415 ) C3 766) (22ES)($79192) ($aO0 S 723) ($80737) ($76351 37972) ($ 072) (373 1) ($73872) 1177M00) 372764) ($76930) (371 725) (76T2209 ($70 756) ($7541) ($69179) ($74441)
$103459 $33880 0 s0 7018 $130239 S137 339 ($7100)
A-61
TABLE A-31 (Contd)
Econozic and Financia ay for Energy Investmets -- Egypt E
Capi costs BerefIt Pararsters Internal Rate of Return -057
Acquisition $17735 Price 2i Transortatior $0 0Ci sa-t
Corstruction $0 Interconnection Er y Savrs
- ---- Fuel UsE
TOTk (Cap) $I07 Q
Construct TivE 10 months
Operating and Normal Maintenarce Costs
Operatir Cost $1680 year Operating Lifetime 2 years
Major Euipment Repaireplacement
Replace Cost ($4536)period Replace Period 20 years
i bb (yr 2year
348 lyear
0 bblyea
1) risc P Cf Rats BenEfits
0 $ 032
$105270 4 $BW548 6 $72307 9 $51 3
0 $52725 1 $49 126
SE$4512 13 $43032
14 $40443 1 $3108 16 $3997 18 $342 2C0 $23303
PV of Costs
137339
$132 Ek3 2037
$126130 $1373
$121904 $121 $120353 $113633
$113 072 $118514
$117102 $116338
NPV
($7100)
($27423) ($42483) ($5 823) (524T7)
($63179) ($71964) ($74441) ($76651)
($78629) ($80405) 388-0($22005) ($84760) ($87034)
BC Ratio =z=
5
073 067 C57 050
043 041 038 036
034 032 031 028 025
A-62
Econo ard r-ia nalysis fc- Enery rvastmerts -- Et EEA IO
TPPLE A-32
For Case cfF_E TET 4 - HaJ-W TEXTIEIPP ( _=EOCC70R pCE -C PRICz OF QUM Pssumir 3il Escalation Rate of 20
Cata DOerati Cost of Cil Fuel UsEd Fuel SavE Errgy
Value Cf Save- Anrual Cash -Ic Dir-counted Cash 1ow (kV) B i
Year Czet (E) Cc-t Eciv Energy Cost Lrrert 8 10
1 -cusjtic-$107 1 TransDcrt t3 SCorstrLtO $0 I rerccrrect o 0
2 3 4
5s 6 7
9
10
12 13 14 15 1-
17
19
20 21
Tota $97 5 2
$630 S0 $1680
$0 $ $0 $680 $0 $6S0
0to SEscl $0 $ SK $ 168C
168 V71650
S0 S1630 $0 S 680 $0 1180 0 $1680
$10 1$1 S0 so10 11680 0 $650
$0 t680 (14536) $1680
$20
$2040 $2s3o
$21 22 $I55 $20a $SL V12 $2 97 52 43 S220 V1-42
$2487 $2536 $2587 V6 30 V2692 $274 $20 12 56 $2 14
12972
0
0 C 0 0
C 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0
0
$0
$0 10
s0 $0 s0 s0 $0 s0 s0
S0 $0 s0
s0 $0 t0
3 t0
s0
s0
$0
5N
348 342
343 34
342 348
348 345
348 348 348 348 348 348 348 34 348 348 348
348
S160
S7 033 S7241
t7386 $7534 t7684 $7238 $7225 $85 1$318
13484
U8SE4 S3827
$9004 $3184 $3367 1955 19746 $9941
$10139
$10342
103275
11680 $680
$G60 $5150 1680 S1680
1$680 4$1680
$1680
S1680 $1680 $1680 $680 $1680 $180 $1680 $1168 S1680
($2856)
(-c ($10751s- C71)5
tE4 C 3o4 (102097) 6=SE3 ($3721)
5-7 15970) M$2800 5954 1$5poundpound5 $8497) $004 ($3721) ($8441) $ 158 (176H-4) ($3V530) t16 ($72C25) $7645 sz475 (157-254) 373347)
1r3 I E21) 27t=E(- ($70Q ) S1616804 ($Ez0941 (55875) $S974 2534) ($E3884) $7147 ($ oo)10 (5046) 17324 344702) 352353) $754 (S4C 3)9 ($55798) $7637 ($33100) (533755) S7 M (13189-) (151076) 1205 1127755) (48897 8261 (123 77 (46 29)
$2459 ($9662) ($44829)
$13193 ($1363 ($42038)
($107-5]
$0218a) (397592)
($8307)
(SK579) (322103)
($78S52) ( 7842) 373027) ($70403) (57952) (562) (16251) (115) (S59744) (Z803 (156 435) ($54943)
(353566)
($51604)
(101] $12276) 197843) M2305)(52372 ($00622
(SB654) SK 535) 3$80678) ($72 C3)
($7E 69 ($73473) (371474) (169253) (7961 (16642E) (165021) ($63737) ($625 2) ($61488) ($F0505)
($59137)
U-459 $33880 0 $0 7018 $173652 $137339 $36313
A-63
---------- -------
TABLE A-32 (Contd)TBLE (Calulated)
E-oroizic and Finania Anaaysis for Eergy investments -Egypt EA C
Cacital Costs Benefit Parameters Irterra Rate cREturn 26S
Pcouisitic $7993 Price cf Oi $2C (yr 1)Transortatio $0 Oil Esaa year li-c P of CConstruction $0 Rate BenfEtz Costs wV RatioIterconnection $0 Enry Savns 34E bbyear
UEl use C bblyear 0 73SS52 $137 3 $C313 126TDTAL Ca 7 $140320 $122593 $7657 106 4 IIZ398Constrct TicE I0 morths $122037 ($339) 089 5 $96409 $12- 130 ($23 721) 076 8 $3179 $12205 ($42038) 066Operatirc and Normal rairtenance Costs 10 $70293 $121904 ($5l 604) 58 1X $ampZ502 S12 M ($55 589) 054Operatirg Cost $1680 year 12 $61215 $12 0353 ($59 137) 051Operating Lifetime 21 years 13 $57376 $119633 ($52307) 043
14 $52924 $9072 (55148) 045Major Zqjioinert RepairReplacement 15 $50 1I1 $113514 ($67702) 043 16 A7-97 S1420002 ($70006) 041Replace Cost ($453S)period 18 $43123 $117102 ($73979) 037Replace Period 20 years 20 $39071 $116338 ($77266) 034
A-64
E~ocon2 -- rr Ar ys s fcr Ererzy Irvssttets -- 7rypt EE
TZE A-33
F Case TES 14 - W (0 ETD PE- $2T - PI-- O- DIS $25P)I Assuminz 0 Escalation Rate cf 20
azita Ceratir Ccst cf Oil Fuel Used Fuel SaveeErergy Value -f
save nual Cash Flow DEounted Casi Flow (NPV) 0 i = YS-ar st Cost $bbl (Bbi) Cost Ecuiv crerpy Cost Currert $ 4 8 011 2
rar-zor
Cnst~t I 2tsrzr-ezti- $1
E
12$
14 if
iG
17
18
19
20
21
a S230
s$1 S60
$$ $1169 o$0 $80
$3 S 90 i $i 6c 7 v68n
$0 t68c
so S680 S t 1680
$$ $Sao
$680 $0 $1680
$ $1680 $0 $I63
0 $1-680 $ $1620 $0 $1620 $ $680
$0 $1680 ($4536) $180
S25co
$2550 $ 2553
127 06 127V
a
V-1 72
$2323 t2962
$3047
$31C8 $3171
$3234 $3293
53365
$3432
$3501
$2571
$3842 $3715
0
o
c) 0
0 0
0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0
0 0
0
0 0
$0
$0 so so
t0
SO $0
$0
0 $0
$0
$0 $0
$0 so
$0
$0 $0
so $0 $0
348
347 345
348
342
342
348
34 348 343
348 348
348 343
348
348
348
348
348
348
S151450
$2874
323
$9417
$260E
t9735
53334
t 3 $13337
$1 605
$10817 $11034
$14 $47-
$11703
$ 43 $12122
$12426
$12674
$12328
S1032T
S0
6s0
$1680
$1680
t1680
t-1680
t16
$5
1680 S63 s1650 t1 580
$680
$w $60
$160
$1680 ($2856)
(t10E22f
$7134
$7553
$7737
$306
1218
12314
13 180$3717
$232
$3137 $ 3S4
$3-74 $373K
$10023
1510-22
$103503
$10746
$10-34 $1E784
(105z825) ($106225)
$3 T03154
($33032) ($93644 ($55375) ($W784) ($73764) ($22162)
($73250) ($73-76a
(56235) (71amp2) ($ 17) ($620)
($S4 29 J ($62 202 (43 7) ($5781)
($42 142) ($53737)
($3207) ($43 781 (3c354) ($4073)
($2464) $42 ($1255) 3332 1 ($3387) ($36055) ($7907) ($33 053) ($251 ($30221) $2723 $27532)
$8007 ($34984) $15211 ($21532)
310S225) (S106825) ($10028E I100 402) ($34133) $3425) ($25) ($83150) ($2 234) ($84232)
(37S313 $73725
($73731 ) ($3756231 ($53 45 (371852)
(5 431 ( ($E75 5 0)
($SEB5I) ($5406)
( (7578T 172 (157373)
(53($439 ($55185) ($41818) 379$5 ($44417) ISS347) ($421 84) ($49673) ($4010S) ($$143) $3-173) (-$746)
($36i 3M) ($45403) ($34023) ($43833)
$103453 $33880 0 $0 7018 $217065 $137333 $79726
A-65
TABLE A-33 (Contd)
Ec rC z ant Firn Anaiys- fc- Ererzy Investrerts - Egypt En MlIS
Czzota ss Benefit Parameters terra Rate cf eturn C40
flcquistici deg $17K= Transporatic $0
Sonstructior $0
Irterco rnectior $0
T3TAL Cap2 $107275
Lorstruzt Time 0th
Prce of 0i
C Escalat
rrgy Savngs
F-el Use
$2500 I (yr 20year
343 bbllvear
0 btlyear
11 -i- PV cf
Rat - enefits
0 $217
2 $17- 4-4 $144247
PV of
Costs
12339 $SOV-93 $129037 $2E30
11PV
$7726 $475-7 $15211(I5sES
BC
Ratio
158 132 112 096
Cperating and Nor a
Ocerating Cost
Operating Lifetime
Maintenace Costs
SEC year
21 years
L2r f 0 3
OX $37874
11 $81877 12 76520
I3 $7172014 $67405
$92273
$121904
$121 091 1353
$119632$119072
($21 53)
($34029
($23214)
($432833) ($47953)($516S7)
083
072 068 064 060 057
10ajcr Ecuipment Re~a rlRepaeet
Replace Cost ($4535)Ipericd
Replace Period 20 years
IS
18
20
$614
$53936
$53904
$48839
$11 514
$113002
$117102
$116338
($5000)
($52007)
($63198)
($67498)
054
051
046
042
A-66
Ecorcmic an Fnanria AralvsiE r Eer-y rveStMe-ts -- EZy EE C1I
TABLP-34
-r Case -fL TEST 4 - LEW TEX7Lfl LE $202-T - PR D-L $30BBL) Assir Oi Escalatior Rate of 20
Yea a-ta
Cost eratrCEt of Oi cost $pbl
el Used
(MI Fel
ost
zave Erergy
Ecuzv
VaLe cf s-ve
Energy P -a
Cest
Cash
Currert euro Dscounted Cash 4 8
1ow UNV)
10
9 i
12
1 ccuisCiticr 7 T7rarsort bull Co-tr t~ $
2
4
5
7 8
10
2
13
14
15
16
17 18 19
21
ITz~ta $C73 $22 ES
so 10 o sSo o $iE80 n $ 680 $0 U680
$0 $160 5 s62-
$0 680 f l
50 $Ss so $ss
$0 $6Ev
s $68 so $180
S0 siW8 to $1680 V) $65
$0 $1680 ($4536) $1680
$--D00
S32 $334
$32 7 C312
$3378
$2446 $5
3s85 357
$2730 $3355
$388
$353
$423
s412 $42CI
$42895
$417C
$4458
l c
0 0 0 0 0
0 0
0
0
0
0
0
0 0
0
0
0
so so o$0
so so $0
$0 so so
to $0
$0
$0
$0
so so
so s0
$0
$0
$0
53 348 246 348
343 343
348
348 348
348 348
348
348
348
348
348
348 348
348
348
348
S1 70 s I 49 $1 3F2 072
$11301 $527
$1177
$11992 $122532
S2477 $2$2726
$12231
Z2240 $2505
$12775
$14051
$4 322 $1463
$14911
$15203
$15513
S10227S 15 Si680 $29E
$1580 $312 $amp80 ] $630 $S2 $1680 $36 7 $168) $C077 $680 $C312 $68 $05
E0 S07377 680 $11046
$680 $1130 $680 11 5w S680
t 630 $12035 S60 o S1237-
S11530 s1T652 $660 $12 923 $ i0 $13231
$68 $13523
82856)$18259
310S 525) ($37S5
(s8nL) 172843) ($64749)
3$5S785-
($42942) ($41233)
f$2-53) ($21O)
($18650)
($ 9)
32($4527)
$24S8
$327
$103 22724
$255
$35677
$44060
165f25)1 SZ
(0 -59) ($32837)
($7582)
1$9 -5) (S2774)
5S75f ($510)
3$45551 (340533)
($25692)
($3101)
($26753)
3-631
13725)
(K5M504Z) ($11545)
($2234)
($5093)
($1158)
(S10S 5 (356332)
($3733 ($3732 ($7716)
($71047)
($U35 (0067) ($5M144)
(S55 (4S306)
($42345)
1538662)
($L237
(632C51)
($23020)
($2227) ($23777)
($2 337)
($13185)
(16454)
1 cc-T25) ($3327)
($91207) (184517)
(73403)
($72816)
($6771)
163046 ($53784)
(G54831) (35334) (08025
s$ 8
($42423
( 3
($37673)
($35J60) ($23725)
($32004)
($30433)
($28S19)
$103455 $33d8O 0 $0 7018 $60 478 $1373n $123135
A-67
TABLE A-34 (Contd) 2Lk T-CTETPL Calc~1ated)FL_TI0~PBL
o~ar Fariai naiysi- f-Erergy l=VEsrEtS - Ecyt EE i
trr Rat-- c REturn 787Benefit araetersazital S-sts
t -ri-e of CiD $3000 bbl (yr 1)$10995n PV of BIC
Trarspoto $0 Oil Eszaat 20Iear ri VV C Rate Eerefits Ccsts IPV Ratio
Corstruct ior $r == shyErray Savr s 348 bblyear
intetor rztior $0 Fue -e 0 bblyear 0 $26C478 $137339 1123133 190
2 105 40 S-32693 $77847 1 9 TOTPL (Cap S10799n
4 $173037 $1903-7 $44060 134
6 $144614 $126130 $183483 115 Construct TiME mcTth-s
$1228 $12379E W158 09
t 129N 087tI0O449 ($16454)woerating and Norma Mainterarce C0ts
11 $98253 $121031 ($r233) 081
2 $91824 $120353 ($22 Z29) 076 Operatirc Cost $1680 year
13 $8K064 $19683 ($33619) 072 O eratir 21 yearsLifetie_
14 $80885 $119072 ($33186) 068
5 $7E217 $18514 ($42237) 064 Major Equipment RerairReplacement
$71995 $11802 ($4007) 061
18 $64685 $117102 ($52417) C5shy_16
Replace Cost ($4536)period 2N $58607 $11S338 ($57731) 050
Replace Period 20 years
A-68
Eccnoc and inarzia ryss fc- -re-y rvEstre-ts - E yot EE
TAEE F-35
Fcr Case ofrZ- 5TEST 4 - HELAN TEXT-IPX Mu Assuin_-0 Escalation Rate cf 20
CTOR PRICE $20SQc- -Cc GI j3mBu
Yea
r
s s-t
--t
aoita ost
7
t
eratirn Lst
Cost of IE
Oi1
Feel Used
(Ebl) Fue
Cost
zavEd Erery EcLIv
Value of SEvE
Ern-rzy Annual
Cost Cash Flow Lrrert S
Liscourted 4
Cash F~A
8 (NM
IC i =
2
2
E
7
1$
--
00 21
t--0795
S $0 4
f2
SO 1$
$o SO f0 $ $ S
so$0
tTSO to
($4535)
$103459
2311
1s8c C)
S o 58
$680
SGzr-SsW ss $S80
$16s2 $X30
$630
$ 3 $ampV
$168 51680 $9
$1680 s680
$33880
$M570 $3
$3714 $373
$335
$3942
$4020 $401
$4 3 S42 ES
$4352 $4439
$4E28
545 is $47
$S422 $4301 $4j 9
15099 55201
0
0 0
0 C
C
0
C
a 0
0 0
C
0 0 0 0
0 0
0
Vi
s0 10
$0
SC
t0
to U$C
$V S
$0 $0
$1
oS^1 s0 SC so
s0 so
s0
s
348 342
248 343
343
342
342 343
-43 348
345 348
343
348 342
348 348 348
348 348
7 01
52 S2424 S 1672 t2926 $13 14
S 4-4
$13717
$1399 $14271
$14 ss S14347
t5144 t15447
$1r756 $16071$[ 3
$16721 $17055 17395
$17744 $180 3
$303891
A-69
245 1E8O $68
$66o $1S80
680
f1680
$us
s S680
s60 V-680
) 60
$11680 1G0
$-680 $680 $180
$1680 (2 5)
$137 3
$10744 $10992
24S Er
$1762
$12037
23 $1680$259 $1287S $13167
3464 $2757
$S076
$14391$114723
$15041 1575 $1576
$16064 120955
1165552
--915) M--72
(1h7) 5 211 Z229
($47334 7H)
(S3733-1 (23353 ($1q134 $02393
($1432) $7105
s5E
$23871S220n40
40 07 $4-964 55572 $Q346 $72910
0245 (S10524S ($105245) 1 237) $-3473) 39S53) 36S273) 387334) (373N 77S4 ($7-4)- (S792S)
(IC3S437037) 372374) ($40) (I781 ($597)
(-68 ) 15936) (M9 799 S473 (t4 7) (54230)
342I1 S$4795) ($43 4-) 34S9 $-9334 11445
(3273701 (S34 2353) (340262) (1253 1212n3s391 ($IE129 T251S) 12858) ($1076 ($2107D) (n632) ($3C53) (S-723-3)($26687)
3$4 (137631 ($23m9)
$2975 $1489) (2546) $7130 (37448) ($1230G)
$I063 (4521) ($172--3) $14786 (31994) (11 397) $19231 S120 (113 25)
TABLE A-35 (Contd)ASSPTIONS TAPBLE ME-F-COST TULE (CalcJaled)
E~ooi a Finacial Asi for Energy Investrents - Eypt EE
raitaSs Penefit raees Iter-E Rate of Returr 1014
Pcnuistio $SI7 Price of CiE h (yr 1)7-arrtatior $0 Oil Ezalat 2 year Dis PY cf V of FCrstrcticr $
Rate Enrefits Cc-zts NPDV Ratiotercnnecticr $0 Ergr~y Savrs 343 ttlyear - -ue Use 0 -bllyEar 0 $302231 $1373393 T2T
2 -(7925$2fZ $333 121 37 185 cnstrnxt Tiia 10 Lerths
46 2C34 $23C37 $72 10 57 6 $163716 $1L $4256 34 ee t1437S $372E $0281 116pe-atinz arsd NorLal nainternare Costs 0 $23022 $2504 S120 01
Operating Cost C680 year 10 $107129 $1E3 353 (S2 00 83 13 S100403 $29693 319275)
woeratino Lifetime 21 years 084
a- Ec RErairReplacemerit 4 $0426E $113072 ($24705)ipet 073883-) $514 $ 94)15 S - $-31 (2 07
-$---I16 eplace Cost (4536)Iperiof $3934 $18002 ($34008) 071 -e---
Repace Period 20 years 12 $75465 $117102 ($41637) 064 20 $66375 $116338 ($47963) 059
A-70
-Ecui adFin-ncla Aralys fcr re-rr-t - Ect Efl S
T-PLE -36
- Case cf-l 75- 14 - ZLWAN TxTLE11P (CLETOR F1 -e-1 - C_ OF L $40PL) Pfssu-ir 0i Ezsaatio- Rate cf 20
saves a cfaita _2erat Cost cz C Fue Used Ftel -rery Eaez ra1 ash oi DiEccurted Cash Fioi (PV) i =Yerpoundzsl (Bb1) Ccst Eciv E-er=- Cst poundjrrent 4 0 l
1 Trar-ort $L or Sc
ac-r r-
Thplusmnt$ $2 $4000 0 $0 53 32220 $ OZ 275 115V S ) $L) 5 $52$ $S $4080 0 $0 342 S4133 5160 bull ( s ($34 34 $4 5251eS oS ($845575 337$S $230 S4162 C $0 348 l144S2 $680 S222 tS2 08B21 (t 383) c(sa84) 354572)4 $ -- 45 0 $0 348 $14 72 80 $13-2 37)443) VT2F35) ($74 M)8 (37221- $ 6 54230 6
c SO 34 $ 07 $1650 513337 (52 333) 5 (s650141 ($56745)41 S6pound0 $4pound 0 $0 343 t5369 s0 $1268 ($47748) S2833) ME514) 3522 3787 S $45C I so 348 s Sw W=10131S13336 $67613SEBT($54614) ($587)scl S621 s~lsK 0o 348 sIz230 $680 $1IL3 I j 2 (-6631 (34171 5447 $ i620 $S437 0 so 348 C2 1 S 42 (f23 ($27 (4)ic $1 11 $4780 0 s0 343 $63 $1680 $1435 (54E 7) (S5284) (252 $3411 $0 960 $4276 0 $0 248 s-03 $1680 $Z222 571 ($1420) ($13 ( 0
1 $ $6al $4373 0 $0 348 $7305 T6O S15628 8(75W (S1S7M ($24 537)$O ^$ 73 0 SO 348 $17654 t1680 $1f3 5 25842 fss (S 641)- 2059714 C05630 IS174 0 $0 348 $12 007 t680 $l6327 53=-048 $4847 ($(S2 $16955)15 sso 15278 0 s0 348 $18367 ~ 6amp s-6637 S45 284 $10E54 (52518) ($3441)15 so Eao $2387 0 so 348 $18734 31680 $17054 $54754 $15$564 31032--17 160 $5497 0 so 348 s1100 T1680 t7423 $4053 $ 20921 15358 ($7482)18 $0 sso 567 0 so 348 $13431 t1680 $1781 5 73203 $2s5 5$8871 ($4888713 $0 $Sao $5773 0 $0 348 $13881 $1680 $18 201 $2188 2r313 S C2 252120 t0 680 $5227 0 $0 348 $20279 $1650 $I63 521016 $3467 $1$196 ($3361)21 $s $1680 $5944 0 $0 348 $20684 $2 856) $22540 $101753 $3 72115 185 $2079
$103458 $33680 0 $0 7018 $347304 S1370 $ 05965
A-71
TABLE A-36 (Contd) S TIO TfPBLE EEN-TT-CCSTS TP- -uatedCa1c
Eccncmic and Financial Pavsis fc- Energy irvestcents -- Eypt EEA 96
aita Costs -eefitParaeters nterna Rate of etur- 1229
fcouisition 0799 Price c Oil $40 bbl (yr 1)Transp rtatir $0 Oil Esalat 20year Disc PV of PV of BZCorst-utie $0 Rate Berfits Costs Ratio
irterconntior $0 Enry Savrs 348 bblyear Fue USE 0 bbllyear N $347304 $33 1 2TOTL -Cap -107 995 S22D720 $132 5S3 $148127 212
4 $2307S6 $2 037 $10 175 -79Construct Time 19 months 6 $92818 $126130 628 53 8 $1amp3517 $123796 3721 132Operating and Normal Mainterance Costs 10 $14C52 $1219(4 $1363 115
11 $3004 $121091 $9913Operating Cost $1650 year 108
12 $1 432 $12C353 $20 102Operating Lifetime 21 years 1 $114751 S83 ($4 31 09z $11
14- $107847 $119072 ($11225) 091Major Equipment RepairRelacemert 5 $1C1622 $110514 (c6291) 086 16 $95993 $118002 ($220C09) 081
Replace Cost ($4536)period 8 $8624E T17102 ($30 S56 074Replace Period 20 years 2 $78143 $115338 ($32195) 067
A-72
APPENDIX B
Preliminary Cost Estimates
Three (3) systems are considered appropriate for cost analysis Cost estimates are preliminary for use in the Application ReviewConceptual
Design portion of this project
A Waste Heat Recovery System
B Solar Thermal Collection System
Current $US (mid-1986) are applied then escalated to mid-1987 theexpected construction period at 10 percent
For cost assessment purposes all material and supervision will beconsidered imported Egyptto Labor costs will reflect some Egyptianrate influence although certain installation procedures will requireexperienced labor not currently available in Egypt
The average annual wage for the Egyptian construction industry in 1985Is 7800 LE or $5778 (US) ($135 LE per US $)
An average labor rate in the United States for construction servicesapplicable to this project is estimated by the R S Means Company to be$2177 per hour in 1985 (crew Q4) An estimated thirty percent imporledlabor with severity percent Egyptian labor can be used for establishing a mixed labor rate average of $936 per hour (US) A labor cost modifier for wages becomes $936$2177 or 0431
Equipment and system cost estimates and percentages are established byusing R S Means Company Cost Data and1985 equipment suppliersbudget pricing estimates
The solar cost data are determined in flxed-and variable-cost increments as required by the FCHART-4R program input format A solar collection array size of 4000 square feet ( 72 m2 ) is estimated for use in determining the variable cost factor
B-I
A WAS[E HEAT RECOVERY SYSTEM
DESC R I FT ION SIEI OTAI TOTAL
3 WAY WASTE WATER DIVERTING VALVES SUMP MATERIALS SUMF PUMP FILTER SCREEN SUMP PUMF LEVEL CONTROL AND VALVE WASTE HEAT STORAGE TANK WASTE HE(I S IORAGE TANK PUMP STORAGE TANK LEVEL CONTROL AND VALVE WASTE HEAT EXCHANGER $1200)1000 EITI SUB-TOTAL EQUIFMENT(MID-1986) $160900
ESCALATION FACTOR 11 TOTAL EQUIPMENT (MID-1987) $176990
FLOW ItDICATORS AND GLOBE VALVES 3 WAY PROCESS WATER BLENDING VALVES STEAM CONTROL VALVES PROCESS WATER TEMPERATURE CONTROLLERS SUB-TOTAL EQUIPMENT(MID-1986) $71400
ESCALATION FACTOR 11 TOTAL EQUIPMENT (MID-1987) $78540
PIPING COST (40 EQUIP COST) 040 $102212
INSULATION COST (75 PIPING COST) 075
SUB-TOTAL MATERIAL COST $434401
LABOR COST (715 MATERIAL COST) $310597 MODIFIERLABOR MIX 043 MODIFIED LABOR COST $133557
SUB-TOTAL MATERIAL + LABOR $567958
TOTAL WASTE HEAT RECOVERY SYSTEM CONSTRUCTION COST $567958
B-2
B SOLAR THERMAL COLLECTION SYSTEM VARIRIABLE COrST (HIID-19117)
DESCR I FIUIN SOLAR CULA-ECTORS $10 0uFT2 COLLECTOR AREA 4000 rF2 COLLECTOR COST SOLAR CIRCIJLAFIN(3 PUMPFS SULAR 1ISTRIBLTI 1 PIlIPS STRUCTURAL STEEl SOLAR CONTROLS INSVRUMELNV AIR SYSEIIFIPING LOW VOLTAGE CABLE EXCAVArION AND FOUNDAFIONS ELECTRICAL
TOTAL EQtJIPMENT(MI ID-1986) ESCALATION FACTOR TOTAL ELUI MENT (MID-1787) PIPING COST (40 COLLECTOR COST) INSULATION COST (75PIPING COST) TOTAL MATERIAL COST I$144050
$105500
I1
075
$116050 $16lt00 $12000
LABOR COST (715 MATERIAL COST) MOIFIERLABOR MIX MODIFIED LABOR COST
$102996 043
$44286
MATERIAL + LABOR $188338
FREIGHTDUTYTAXES TO EGYPT 10 $18834
SUBTOTAL $207172
SUBTOTAL CONTINGENCY 15
$207172 $31076
TOTAL VARIABLE COST COST PER FT2 $60
$238248
B-3
------------------------------------------------------------------------
--------------------------------------------------------------------
FIXED COST (MID 1987)
DESCRIPTION CONTRALCTOIR S RENTAL SUFPL IES CONIRACrORS FACILITIES CONTRACTORS UTILITIES CONTRACTORS MATERIAL HANDLING CONTRACTORS CLEAN-UP DISMANTLING AND MOVING BOXING AND CRATING U S IRANSPORTAT ION SUB-TOTAL $34000
SUB-TOTAL M34000 CONTINGENCY 15 $5100
TOTAL FIXED COST $39100
LGE COST BASED ON CURRENT FIELD TEST PROJECT
TOTAL VARIABLE COST $238248 TOTAL FIXED COST $39100
TOTAL SYSTEM CONSTRUCTION COST $277348
EEA COST DATA BASED ON CURRENT PROJECTS USING IN-COUNTRY CONTRACTOR AND EQUIPMENT
VARIABLE COST $2862FT2 $2862 COLLECTOR SIZE (FT2) 4000 TOTAL VARIABLE COST $114480
EEA FIXED COST $26757
TOTAL SYSTEM CONSTRUCTION COST $141237
CONSTRUCTION COST SUMMARY
A WASTE HEAT RECOVERY SYSTEM $567958
D SOLAR THERMAL COLLECTION SYSfEM $277348
1(lAL CUNSTRUCTION CU9 A amp B $845 05
B-4
APPENDIX C
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
PAGE
1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
2 INTRODUCTION 1
3 BACKGROUND 5
Objectives of Proposed Field Test
Site for IPH Systems 5
4 ECONOMIC ANALYSIS 7
Objective 7
Research Methodology 7
Assumptions 9
Data Base 10
Analysis and Results ii
5 CONCLUSION 29
APPENDICES
A A-i
B B-I
C C-I
1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
An economic analysis was performed to evaluate a proposed
Solar Industrial Process Heat (IPH) and Waste Heat Recovery
System for the textile finishing industry at Helwan Spinning and
Weaving Company at Helwan near Cairo
A collector system of area 4200 sqft was evaluated
Because of differences in assumptions in cost estimation EEA
and Lockwood Greene Engineers submitted separate cost estimates
The Lockwood Greene Engineers estimates were based on a
4000 sqft collector area with a variable cost of S6000sqft
and a fixed cost of $39180 with an energy savings of 325
barrels of oil equivalent
EEA estimates provided data for 4200 sqft of collector
area Two sets of collector prices were provided $2581sqft
for the REFT project and S2221sqft for locally manufactured
collector systems Fixed cost estimates were $23995 and
$17430 for each collector price category respectively The
EEA estimates showed an energy savings of 348 barrels of oil
equivalent
A benefit cost analysis methodology was employed to perform
the economic analysis
- i shy
A $2000barrel of No 6 light heating oil was used as the
price of energy saved by using the solar thermal system This
price was escalated at 2 per year Also a sensitivity analysis
was performed by varying the price of oil andor collector
prices
The economic analysis considered the following scenarios
e A 4000 sq~ft collector area at a price of S6000sqft (US case)
e A 4200 sqft collector area at prices of
$2581sqft and S2221sqft
A Waste Heat Recovery System
A 4200 sqft collector area priced at S7O00 per sqft combined with a waste heat recovery system
Results of the economic analysis showed that none of the
candidate solar chermal systems are economically viable
A sensitivity analysis was also performed by varying
collector prices and the price of oil Results of the
sensitivity analysis indicated thethat flat plate collectors
will not be economical unless prices fall to $2200sqft at a
price of oil $40 per barrel
A separate analysis was also carried out on the economic
performance of the solar thermal system combined with the Waste
Heat Recovery System Results of the analysis showed that the
combined system was economically viable
- ii shy
The design operation maintenance and repair experience
with solar thermal systems that will be obtained through this
field test to form a strong technical base for the design and
application of other renewable 2nergy technologies is an
important factor which has not entered into the benefit cost
calculation in this report These additional factors need to be
considered seriously in the go-no-go decision of this field test
- iii shy
2 INTRODUCTION
The Egyptian Electricity Authority (EEA) the United States
Agency for International Development (USAIDCairo) and a group
of US Consultants form a team responsible for the performance
conduct and management of the Renewable Energy Field Testing
(REFT) Project whereby eleven systems are field tested for
renewable energy applications in Egypt
These field tests include the use of solar thermal photoshy
voltaic and grid connected wind farm systems for industrial
process heat water pumping ice making desalination and grid
connected electricity generation
The project has broad objectives to investigate selected
renewable energy options to
0 Comprchensively strengthen Egyptian technical and
institutional capabilities in the full spectrum of
renewable energy planning and decision-making for
technologies and applications
Develop and sustain an Egyptian renewable energy
infrastructure through the establishment of data
bases information systems and organizations that
effectively serve both the public and private sectors
- 1 shy
Design install operate and evaluate a series of
renewable energy field tests which utilize commercially
available technologies in applications having potential
for widespread use in Egypt
a Conduct a ormal management and technical training
program both on-the-job and specialized and establish
an intensive information dissemination program
The MarketEconomic Analysis Task is one of the supporting
activities that will provide useful information for the
accomplishment of the proposed project objectives The Market
Economic Analysis Task is set up to accomplish the following
objectives
Evaluate the economic performance of candidate
renewable energy technologyapplication systems
in the field test program in the Egyptian economy
Identlfy non-technica bottlenecks that could be
encountered in the dissemination and wide use of
renewable energy technologies
Estimate the market environment in Egypt under which
the supply of and the demand for preselected renewable
energy technologies will be transacted
-2 shy
Identify policy issues such as energy prices
incentives tariffs and regulations that could be
modified instituted andor removed to enhance the
establishment of a true economic cost of energy
resources
Determine the economic environment under which
investment decisions could be made for the widespread
vse of similar renewable energy technologies in Egypt
0 Train Egyptian counterparts with the capability of
performing market and economic assessments of similar
energy projects
The MarketEconomic Analysis Task is performed in two
parts The first part is the Pre-RFP MarketEconomic Analysis
This activity will perform a site specific MarketEconomic
analysis of a particular field test in order to provide decision
makers both at EEA and USAIDCairo with information on the
financial and economic viability of the proposed field test
This information is required as one of the pieces of information
for a go-no-go decision on the issuance of an RFP
The second part performs a marketeconomic analysis of
specified renewable energy technologies throughout Egypt in
industrial sectors represented by the eleven field tests
- 3 shy
This report represents the first part the Pre-RFP Market
Economic analysis for a field test designed to test the technical
and economic viability of the use of solar industrial process
heat (IPH) and a waste heat recovery system for textile bleachshy
iig
- 4shy
3 BACKGROUND
The proposed site for Field Test 4 -Textile finishing at
the Helwan Spinning and Weaving Company at Helwan near Cairo
Helwan Spinning and Weaving Company is a large textile
plant finishing a variety of fabrics The finishing operation
consists of a series of chemical treatments involving hot and
cold washes by dyeing and bleaching processes The hotfollowed
wash dye and bleach washers are currently brought to and held
at the desired temperature range by direct sparging with steam
(hand-valve adjustments)
Objectives of Proposed Field Test Site for IPH System
The primary objectives of this field test are to provide
EEA with practical working experience using Solar Thermal
Industrial Process Heat and to provide system design and operashy
tional training for Egyptian engineers for the purpose of
assessing and implementing similar projects throughout Egypt
This field test will evaluate the viability of solar thermal
industrial process heat with waste heat recovery system for
textile finishing
The application of solar IPH and waste heat recovery
system for textile finishing at Helwan Textile will serve as a
demonstration of the capability of the combined technology of
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industrial process heat to reliably supply significant amounts
of energy at other textile finishing facilities It is important
that this field test be designed to distinguish between the
performance of the solar IPH and the performance of the waste
heat recovery systems so that each can be evaluated for other
applications
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4 ECONOUilC ANALYSIS
Objective
The objective of this analysis is to evaluate the economic
viability of a solar thermal system for providing industrial
process heat for textile finishing at the Helwan Spinning and
Weaving Company at Helwan and to determine whether or not an
investment in this field test would result in the acquisition of
useful information and know-how not only technical but also
managerial and institutional so that such experiences could be
duplicated throughout the economy of Egypt
Research Methodology
The method of analysis selected for accomplishing the above
objective is the standard benefit cost analysis used in project
evaluation A benefit cost analysis involves first the pooling
of anticipated benefits and costs (direct and indirect) resulting
from the project throughout its economic life The streams of
benefits and costs are then expressed in present value terms
using a common numeraire (a discount rate)
From this the following evaluation characteristics can be
calculated
The Net Present Value (NPV) is the difference between the sum of
the discounted stream of benefits and the sum of the discounted
stream of costs discounted by a given discount rate
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The Payback Period is the number of years it takes a project to
generate sufficient benefits to cover its cost or the number of
years it takes the net present value to change from a negative
to a positive value
The Internal Rate of Return (IRR) sometimes called the economic
rte of return is that discount rate that would equate
discounted benefits to discounted cost or reduce the net present
value to zero
Benefit-Cost Ratio (BC) This is the ratio obtained by dividing
the discounted value of all project benefits by the discounted
value of project costs
Simple Payback This is a rule of thumb method used by investors
to see if a particular financial venture is worth investing in
or not The simple payback is calculated by summing up all
capital and operating costs and dividing that sum by the value of
the first full years benefit In the private sector in most
industrialized countries a simple payback of 3 to 5 years is
expected With renewable energy technology a simple payback of
7-9 years is usually admissible
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Assumptions
The economic analysis of the IPH system is based on the
following assumptions
0 All energy conversions are made into barrels of oil
equivalent where one metric ton is equivalent to
US 733 barrels
0 Price of oil is valued at US$20barrel of No 6 light
heating oil escalated at 2 per year This price
level may not be indicative of the price of oil that is
rapidly changing at present It should be noted that
the analysis in this study is to look at what may
happen in the long-rt-n during the 1980s and 1990s As
such the analysis should not be affected by what
happens to commodity prices in the spot market in the
very short-run A revision of the price of oil in the
analysis may be appropriate when the price level
stabilizes
A discount rate of 1O is sed This is the
opportunity cost of money used in international
lending agencies such as the World Bank
Hardware is assumed to have a salvage value of 10 at
the end of the life of the system
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The system is expected to have a life of 20 years
0 Some hardware items are purchased in Egypt An
exchange rate of LE 135 = US$ 100 is used All
prices are in constant US$ 1985
Data Base
Two sets of cost estimates were used in this analysis The
fWrFt set of data was provided by Lockwood Greene Engineers for
a 4000 sqft collector area (see Appendix B)
On the basis of the best available information Lockwood
Greene Engineers have provided the following cost estimates
Collector Size 4000
Prices Variable cost $60O0sqft Fixed cost $39180
0 + M cost 2 of total cost
Salvage value 42 of total cost
Energy savings 325 barrels of oil
Construction period 10 months
System life 20 years
The second set of data was provided by EEA for a collector
size of 4200 sqft The EEA cost estimates also show two types
of prices The first set shows a price of $2581 per square foot
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of colector This price is to be used for collectors purchased
for the REFT Project The second set shows a price of $2221 per
sqft which is to be used when evaluating IPH application
elsewhere in Egypt (see Appendix C)
Cost estimates provided by EEA are as follows
Collector Size 4200 sqft
Prices Variable cost $2221isqft (local)
$2581sqft (REFT)Fixed cost $17430 (local)
$23995 (REFT)
0 + M cost 2 of hardware cost
Salvage value 42 of capital cost
Energy savings 348 barrels of oil
Construction period 10 months
System life 20 years
Analysis and Results
The economic evaluation of the IPH system for textile
finishing was performed by examining the following sets of
assumptions
1 A 4200 sqft collector area at a price of $30sqft
2 A 4200 sqft collector area at prices of
$ 2581sqft and $2221sqft
3 A Waste Heat Recovery System
4 A 4200 sqft collector area priced at $30 per sqftombined with waste heat recovery system
5 A sensitivity analysis at different collector prices and varying prices of oil
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Table 1 presents the input data based on cost estimates
provided by Lockwood Greene Engineers These estimates are based
on a collector system purchased from the US at a price of
US$60sqft Output results for this analysis is presented in
Table 2
Input data for the base line analysis are presented in
Table 3 All base line analyses were performed assuming a price
of $20O0bbl of oil The economic evaluation of all systems
was made using a discount rate of 10 although system perforshy
mances are examined at varying discount rates ranging from 0
to 20 at 2 intervals (see Appendix A)
Table 4 presents results of the base line analysis As
shown in this table the 4200 sqft solar collector systems at
all collector prices do not pay during its economic life The
solar collector system at a price of $30sqft has a simple
payback of 22 years which is longer than the life of the system
The net present value at 10 discount rate is negative for
the baseline case with collector price $30sqft and price of
oil $2Gibbl indicating that the financial benefits accruing to
the project will not be able to offset the cost of acquisition
and operation of the system during its economic life span The
net present value at different level of discount rate and varying
prices of oil is presented in Figure 1
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TABLE 1
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM
FIELD TEST 4 - HLEWAN TEXTILE
DATA INPUT - US CASE
(Collector Price US$ 60sqft Price of Oil
I T E M S SOLAR ONLY WASTE HEAT RE(]OVaRY
Capital Cost ($) 227348 567958
0 + M ($) 4765 11359
Salvage Value ($) 11649 23854
Energy Savings (bbl) 325 11048
Construction Period (Month) 10 10
System Life (Yrs) 20 20
Source LBII estimates based on Engineering cost by Lockwood Greene Engineers
20bbl)
COMBINED SYSTEM
845306
16906
35503
11737
10
20
data provided
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TABLE 2
ECONOMIC NALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM
FIELD TEST 4 - HELWAN TEXTILE
RESULTS - US CASE
(Collector Price USS60sqft Price of Oil US$ 20bbl)
I T E M S SOLAR ONLY WASTE HEAT COMBINED RECOVERY
Energy Savings (bbl) 325 11048 11373
Simple Payback (Yrs) 43 3 4
Pdyback Period (Yrs) None 4 6
Net Present Value i = 10 ($251325) 1568793 1310681
Internal Rate of Return (IRR ) - 834 4220 2843
BC Ratio i = 10 021 337 233
Source LBII estimates based on Engineering cost data providedby Lockwood Greene Engineers
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TABLE 3
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM
FIELD TEST 4 - HELWAN TEXTILE
DATA INPUT - BASELINE ANALYSIS
(Collector Price US$ 30sqft)
I T E M S SOLAR ONLY WASTE HEAT COMBINED RECOVERY SYSTEM
Capital Cost ($) 149995 567958 717953
0 + M (S) 2520 11359 13879
Salvage Value ($) 6300 - 0 - 6300
Energy Savings (bbl) 348 11048 11396
Construction Period (Month) 10 10 10
System Life (Yrs) 20 20 20
Source LBII estimates based on cost data provided from EEA and Lockwood Greene Engineers
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TABLE 4
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM
FIELD TEST 4 - HELWAN TEXTILE
BASELINE ANALYSIS RESULTS
(Collector Price $30sqft Price of Oil US$ 20bbl)
I T E M S SOLAR ONLY WASTE HEAT COMBINED RECOVERY
Energy Savings (bbl) 348 11048 11396
Simple Payback (Yrs) 22 3 3
Payback Period (Yrs) None 4 5
Net Present Value i = 10 ($100633) 1565248 1464614
Internal Rate of Return (IRR ) - 124 4220 3402
BC Ratio 041 335 275 i = 10
Source LBII estimates based on cost data provided by EEA and Lockwood Greene Engineers
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Figure I Helwan TextileIPH - Solar only - Net Present Value at various Discount Rates and Prices of Oil (Collector
Price S30sqft)
0
150
-J)0
LUJ
LUJ
00-
Li
11 t 6
4F
D I SCOU NT RATE ()
130BBL
-$25BBL
~$15BBL $20BBL
- - 17 shy
The internal rate of return (IRR) is significantly lower
than the 10 economic rate of return expected to cover the cost
of credit
The waste heat recovery system on the other hand shows
positive results The system pays for itself in four years
The internal rate of return for the waste heat recovery
system is very high 4220 indicating very high economic gains
to be realized by installing this system
The Application Review for Field Test 4 examines solar
thermal together with a waste heat recovery system as a unit that
will be installed at Helwan Textile Accordingly an economic
evaluation of the combined solar thermal plus the waste heat
recovery system was performed
The input data used for Zhis analysis is presented in
Table 3 Results of the economic analysis for the combined
system are presented in Table 4 As shown in Table 4 the
combined system is economically viable The payback period for
the combined system is five years with an Internal Rate of
Return (IRR) of 3402 Figure 2 presents a graphic representashy
tion of the internal rate of return (IRR) for the output results
presented in Table 4
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C
Figure 2 Helwan Textile - Internal Rate of Return at different Prices of Oil for Waste Heat Recovery
and Combined Solar and Jaste Heat Recovery
Systems (Collector Price $60 and $30sqft)
100
80shy
60-
LU 40
lt
($ B B LUi P R 1 0 F 0 1 L
-20
-20
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-40
It is very clear from Table that the economic performance
of the combined system is lower than that of the waste heat
system indicating the dampening effect of the poor econoinic
performance of the solar thermal system
It should be pointed out that there is no functional relashy
tionship between the technical or economic performance of solar
thermal and waste heat recovery systems One can install the
solar thermal all by itself or in combination
As discussed earlier the proposed 4200 sqft solar thermal
system is not economically viable at a collector price of $30
sqft and price of oil S20barrel A separate analysis was
performed using a S20barrel price of oil and collector prices of
$30 25 22 and 20sqft Results of the analysis is presented
in Table 5
As shown in Table 5 the solar thermal system is not
economically viable at all collector prices The system does
not pay for itself during its life span Even at the lowest
collector price ($20sqft) the benefits derived from the
system can only cover 58 of the cost incurred (BC ratio 058)
during the life of the system
An additional sensitivity analysis was performed for each
collector price level and varying prices of oil As inshown
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TABLE 5 - ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM - FT4HELWAN TEXTILE SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS WITH DIFFERENT COLLECTOR PRICES
(Price of Oil US$ 20BBL)
I T E M S
COLLECTOR
$20sqft $22sqft
PRICE
$25sqft $30sqft
r
Energy Savings
(bbl)
Simple Payback
(Yrs)
Payback Period
(Yrs)
Net Present Value
i = 10
Internal Rate of Return - IRR
348
16
None
($51604)
266
348
16
None
($55919)
216
348
19
None
($76694)
046
348
22
None
($100633)
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BC Ratio
i = 10 058 056 048 041
Source LBII estimate based on engineering cost Lockwood Greene Engineers
data provided by EEA and
Tables 6 - 9 the solar thermal system will start showing
positive economic results if collector prices are between $20 and
$22sqft and oil prices increase to $35 - $40barrel It is
very unlikely to find a situation where one can have a decline
in the price of collectors while having a simultaneous increase
in the price of oil Since collectors are manufactured from
products such as plastic glass aluminum etc which are
energy intensive a decline in collector prices can only be
realiz=d with a decline in the price of energy
Figures 3 and 4 show graphic representations of the internal
rate of return (IRR) and payback period respectively for
different prices of collectors and varying prices of oil
A year by year cash flow for 36 different scenarios are
presented in Appendix A Tables Al - A36
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TABLE 6 - ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM - FT4HELWAN TEXTILE SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS WITH DIFFERENT PRICES OF OIL
(Collector Price US$ 20sqft)
P R I C E OF 0 1 L
I T E M $15bbl $20bbl $25bbl $30bbl $35bbl $40bbl
Energy Savings 348 348 348 348 348 348(bbl)
Simple Payback 21 16 12 10 9 8(Yrs)
Payback Period None None None None None None (Yr s)
Net Present Value i = 10 (69179) (51604) (34029) (16454) 1120 18695
Internal Rate ofReturn - IRR - 057 266 540 787 1014 1229
BC Ratio 043 058 072 087 101 115
Source LBII estimate based on engineering cost data provided by EEA andLockwood Greene Engineers
TABLE 7 - ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM - FT4HELWAN TEXTILE SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS WITH DIFFERENT PRICES OF OIL
(Collector Price US$ 22sqft)
I T E M
Energy Savings (bbl)
Simple Payback (Yrs)
Payback Period
(Yrs)
P R I C E OF 0 I L
$15bbl $20bbl $25bbl $30bbl $35bbl $40bbl
348 348 348 348 348 348
21 16 13 11 9 8
None None None None None None
Net Present Value i = 10 (73494) (55919) (38344) (20769) (3194) 14381
Internal Rate of Return - IRR - 108 216 491 735 961 1172
BC Ratio 042 056 070 084 097 111
Source LBII estimate based on engineering cost data provided by EEA and Lockwood Greene Engineers
TABLE 8 -ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM - FT4HELWAN TEXTILESENSITIVITY ANALYSIS WITH DIFFERENT PRICES OF OIL (Collector Price US$ 25sqft)
P R I C E OF 0 I L I T E M $15bbl $20bbl $25bbl $30bbl $35bbl $40bbl
Energy Savings
(bbl)
348 348 348 348 348 348
Simple Payback
(Yrs) 25 19 15 12 11 9
Payback
(Yrs)
Period None None None None None None
Net Present Value i = 10 (94268) (76694) (59119) (41544) (23969) (6394)
Internal Rate ofReturn - IRR - 263 046 304 532 739 932 BC Ratio 036 048 060 072 084 096
Source LBII estimate based on engineering cost data provided by EEA andLockwood Greene Engineers
TABLE 9 - ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM - FT4HELWAN TEXTILE SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS WITH DIFFERENT PRICES OF OIL
(Collector Price US$ 30sqft)
P R I C E OF 0 1 L
I T E M $15bbl $20bbl $25bbl $30bbl $35bbl $40bbl
Energy Savings 348 348 348 348 348 348 (bbl
Simple Payback 29 22 17 14 12 11(Yrs)
Payback Period None None None None None None (Yrs)
Net Present Value (118208) (100633) (83058) (65484) (47909) (30334) i = 10
Internal Rate of Return - IRR - 425 - 124 124 339 534 714
BC Ratio 031 041 051 062 072 082
Source LBII estimate based on engineering cost data provided by EEA and Lockwood Greene Engineers
Figure 3- Helwan TextileIPH - Solar Only - Internal Rate of
Returr at Different Prices of Oil and varying
Collector Prices
29shy
n
-15
CD 10shy
lt 5
S0
10
R
2
0 F
30 5
B BL )
-10
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-Ig - Helwan Textile - Solar Only - Simple Payback at Dfferent Prices of Oil and varying Collector
Prices
50
40shy
30
20- $60sqft
- - S30sqft
I25sqft22sq ft 20sq ft
P
10
R I C E
20
0 F
30
0 1 L
40
B B L
50
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5 CONCLUSION
The economic analysis performed on the proposed IPH Field
Test at Helwan Textile showed that the 4200 sqft flat plate
collector system was not economically viable
However the analysis indicated that when the solar thermal
system was evaluated in combination with the waste heat recovery
system the project was economically viable This favorable
performance was caused not because of improvement made in
economic efficiency by the solar thermal system but rather
because the economic efficiency of the waste heat recovery
system is so strong that it more than offsets the poor
performance of the solar thermal system
It should be emphasized that this analysis did not cover an
evaluation of the complete array of solar thermal systems such
as solar collectors for domestic hot water etc The analysis
was limited to the application of flat plate collectors for
application in industrial process heat of a given temperature
range Therefore implications drawn from this analysis should
not be applied to other solar thermal uses
The economic analysis has revealed some interesting and
important economic technical institutional and policy issues
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It is clear that the proposed flat plate collector system
on its own cainot be expected to bring about positive economic
returns given current collector prices Therefore it is
necessary that
Investigations be made in the technical field to
determine if the efficiency of the system could be
improved without increasing system cost
e The supply side of the collector market be prepared
to manufacture and supply collector systems that are
cost effective
e Policy makers be cognizant of the fact that the price
of flat plate collectors must decrease by almost 60
compared to the best case scenario as used in this
study (from $30sqft to $10sqft) in order
for industrial consumers to find it attractive to
invest in solar thermal technology Since the market
and thus the solar thermal industry is at its infancy
in Egypt policy makers and the public sector have to
play a lead role in removing barriers and providing the
appropriate fiscal andor regulatory incentives to
enhance the manufacture and widespread use of solar
thermal technology
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It is the overall objective of the Renewable Energy Field
Testing Project to investigate selected renewable energy options
to
9 Comprehensively strengthen Egyptian technical and
institutional capabilities in the full spectrum of
renewable energy planning and decision-making for
technologies and applications
Develop and sustain an Egyptian renewable energy
infrastructure through establishment of data bases
information systems and organizations that effectively
serve both the public and private sectors
Design realize and evaluate the performance of a
series of field tests which utilize commercially
available technologies in applications having potential
for widespread use in Egypt
Complete formal managerial and technical training both
on-the-job and specialized and an intensive
information dissemination program
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The design operation maintenance and repair experience
with solar thermal systems that will be obtained through this
field test to form a strong technical base for the design and
application of other renewable energy technologies is an
important factor which has not entered into the benefit cost
calculation in this report These additional factors need to be
considered seriously for the go-no-go decision
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APPENDIX A
-cono mcarz F7ra r na 2Analvsis fo- Erer gyi s t s y --t ne E8 0o
TA -1E-1
Fcr Case ofFELD TEST 4 - HELW TEXTILEIIPH (CILLECTOR PRICE S35313FT- PRICE Cz OIL $158L)Assumr iliEscalatior Rate of
Savec ValLe Of V~Caoitaltea- Cost Deratzrnc Cost of OilCost Sbl Fuel Usea Fuel(bi) EeravCs Saveo AnnualEuiv Er-eray Lost
Casi Flow Discounted Cash Flo~w (NV) j=urrert 48
Ion $14--Oui -It X=-=== ==--- ----==---=-------S shyrarsoort 1 Construc ionI i nt er o 0ne zt i o r $$14$35 $4C- $1500 $0 31Tta 5870$(
58 $150415 ($149545)6520 S153cent S14945) ($149545) ($14954-)$0 348 (149 4W)V 5324 $20$2520 $1561 4 ($146848) 3146948)4 0 $0 348 ($14699) (S14704)SO $5431i250 159= 550 $2911 ($1441 ) ($1445)5 Si $0 348 $5540 S252 S020
($14550) ($144721)$252) 1624 ($141473) (142056)$$ 348 ($142321) (142571)8 5650$0 $1G56 0 $313r ($13797) ($139755) (S140ljE7 $ (140582)$0 346 _7632 20 $1689 0 $W 348 $520 $3243 ($13611) ($137548) ($138169)8 S5873 2520SO $25Z0 $1723 $3359 ($133477) ($135431)0 $0 (M76274 ($137040)9- W S757 348 S5336 $25200 SO 348 $3476 (s123235 ($133402) ($134490)10 $5116 S-20 ($135468)$0 $2520 51733 0
$352 (128205) ($131460)11S 250 $0 348 $6238 (13 812) ($134015)510s $2520 $3718 ($125595) so $2520 4 Sampo $3843
(S12600) (131235) ($132674)$ bull252$1S65 0 $0 348 $6490) ($1 999) ($127820) ($1k9754) ($131437)13 V) 520 $1902
$ 2-t $3370 ($1 j420) ($126117) ($128 3) ($130256)14 348 $6620$0 S2520 $1940
0 S0 $2520 $410W ($117859) ($124489)0 $0 348 ($127055) ($129243)15 (1 2520 $197 0 $6753 S250 $233 ($115317) ($22932) ($125 89)16 $0
so 348 $6888 S252 (3128273)i3520 4368$2019 ($1I1C755)
17 0 $0 348 $7025 (3121445) ($124679) ($127379)$2K$0 $-) 0 01 $156- ($I12S3)
348 3120025 ($123601) ($126556)$7166 512520 646 (S107812) (S11BC65918 $0 ($122590) (S125710 52 10 21 100 0 so - 0$2 520J 348 7309 t4935S21 42 0 so) 50 $789 ($102918i($105354) i17374) ($1216421 ($125101)20 348 $7 455 ($116139)$0 $2520 $2 5 ($12-0754)$2185 0 ($124459)s021 348(W30) $2520 57 605 $2-50 $5085$2229 ($I00504)0 s0 348 $7757
(314961 ($119923) ($123869)($3780 S11537 ($9239) ($112486) ($I18208) ($IM673)$143695 $50820 0 $0 7018 $130239 $194515 ($64276)
A-1
TABLE A-I (Contd) ASSUMPTIONS TABLE BENEFIT-COSTS TALE (Calculated)
Economic and Financiai Analvsis for Energy -strnents - Egypt EEA 101986
Cacital Costs Benefit Parameters Internal Rate of Return -425
Acouisition $149995 Price of Oil $1500 bbl (yr 1)Trarsoortation $0 Oil Escalat 20year Disc PV of FV of BCConstruction $0 Rate Benefits Costs NOV Ratio
interconnection $0 Enrgy Savns 348 bblyear Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 $130 23 $194515 ($64276) 067TOTAL (Cap) $149995
El $105270 $187381 (582111) 056
Construct Time 10 morhs 4 $86548 $181787 ($95239) 0486 $72307 $177 355 ($105048) 041
Ooeratinc and Normal Maintenance Costs 8 $61319 $173805 (3112486) 03510 $5725 $170933 $118208) 031 11 $$3l26 $169701 ($120575) 029oeratino Cost $2520 year 12 $45912 $168585 ($122673) 027Operating Lifetime 21 years 13 $43032 $167571 ($124539) 026
Major Eauipment ReoairReolacement 14 $40443 $166647 ($126204) 024 15 $38108 $165804 ($227695) 023
Salvage Value ($6300)period 16 $35 997 $165032 ($129034) 022 18 $32342 $163674 ($131332) 020Replace Period 20 years 20 $29303 1162522 ($133219) 018
A-2
--
__
Ewic a Fzranzai Z aiys s for Enercy Investments Eayot EEAq-
10I9i-
1PLE A-2 For Case ofFIELD TEST 4-- H2LWRN TEXTILEIP (COLLECTOR PRICE $30SQF - PRICE OF OIL $20BlAssumino Oil Escalation Rate of 0OL
Ca0ita Oeratira Cost cf Oilyear Fuel UsedCost Cost $Bb Saved VEL- -Fuei Ererly(Bb) Cost ave Arr al Cas FlowEouv ne-v LisOurted Cash FlowAnua C Flow 0V) 6 ===--- shy ======= =----=- rcuisior $1 93 -- Codegt ure~n $4Trar-I sSrC0=-=---= = 8 10 12=== =_==== -= =shy
=== =---==_-_I Corstru-t or te $34 512415 $2
431$951 Tota) C$Z $520 5 $160 (Q14-$1-47 $24
fSO $A 0 so 2s ($14 SH5) ($149255)$0
$73 $-5 ($144 8-( ($492s)$ $4$274 ( -14482)(3145015)s 348 (31450321$7241 $2520 ($145GG) $ $ 20 12 65 o so$01
348 0
$472( ($140487) ($140357) (s1411025200 ($1414031$25207 $2208 $ 0 3(1381611($i37 105 0 $11 4 3$0 20 S5_a20 5 0 so ($137534) ($137939)52520 348
0 $S034 3483 $7645 3 S- $5014 ($131875)$78 $1202 (11j33419)SO2 $ $5318SE184 ($12763 ($126 5531 (3134110) (134753)($123428)
$0 S3 ($127901) ($129128)$2520 $2297 $0 $2 2 o 0 345 $4I4 ($$2343 $995 1)7 ($1239(50 348 $2520 5475 ($130903)Ii 3155 s2$23 $131822)$ 183$0$2$SC n 5 ($13 50 ) ($120314 ) ($1224 )0 ($ 124376)-2$-iSO $23($ 5212~~ $ 520 2438S S $1 513 3) (SI27903 ) ( 52)$252 0 $2$0~ $7980 0 3 -4 i$110761 ($117414)1$ $2FO ($120000 -2520 $5 Z $59 4 ($12-2285)
gs )1 3 $20 287 $0348 1$107 0-7) ($S141238 ($ 17 7 0) SI2652587 $$c 24 ($120 3 5 )15 $0 0 (S0563) ($112021)$2 52 $2 $-9348 ($11555) ($118601)$0 520 6 0 so 34 8 $2 443483 S82 311104 $220$ 520 S664 ($30) ($107132)$ 307 ($931($S3123)) ( 10 (Si1267) ($115497)6 ($I04Ef) ($11973)5I) ($S 15451 ($11133)o0 $2 520 ($1169 3)SO 5 2 920 032520 5274 6 0 4 8 $ 36 $S 2- 8$0 47 ( 1 014 34 6 $3555 ($ I02 70 19 348 $7U ($1 0743 ) ($I 1i7
s0 $2520 $2800 0 $2 520 7 0 5 ($8 834 ($00 65) ) ($10 8 273 ) ($112 8 2 )
$2520 $9 0 $200 $72- (914$) 3)S0 $4 ($90 063 ($110682)27 $0 $2 c856 00 ($76 51)2$5 14 0 0 348 0 ($9 842 ($0397 ($10977)340 $I0139 -521 $2 5 0 $($6300) $7 19$2520 $2972 0 ( 72 8 35 ($ 076 ()0s0 ($102 72) ($10023)348 $10342 (3780) $1418 ($ 3) ($9246) ($100633) ($I0735)
$143695 $0820 0 s 7018 $173652 $194515 ($20863)
A-3
ASSUMPTJINS TABLE TABLE A-2 (Contd) BENEFIT-COSTS TPBLE (Calculated)
Economicand Finar_ial Analysis fr Energy Investments - Egypt EE 10191S6
Capital Costs Benefit Parareters Internal Rate of Return -124
Acquisitior 149995 Price of Oil 2000 bbl (y 1)Transoortation $0 Oil Escalat 20rvear Disc PV of PV of BC
Construction $0 Rate Benefits Costs NPV RatioInterconrection $0 Enrgy Savrias 348 bblyear --- _____-__
- Fuel Use 0 bblivear 0 $173652 $1S4515 ($20863) 089TOTAL (Car) $14995 2 $14036O $187381 (347021) 075 4 $115398 S181787 (36E390) 063Construct Time 10 months 6 $96409 S177355 ($80946) 054
8 $31759 5173805 ($92 046)Ooerating and Normal Maintenance Costs 047l0 $70299 $170 933 ($100633) 041
11 $65502 $169701 (3104199) 039Operatino Cost S2520 year 12 $61216 1amp3585 ($107369) 036Oerating Lifetime 21 years 13 57376 $167571 (3110195) 034
14 $53924 $16G647 (3112723) 032Major Equioment ReoairReplacement 15 $50811 $165804 ($114992) 031 16 $47997 $165032 ($117035) 0213Replace Cost ($6300)oeriod 18 $43123 $163674 (3120551) 026Replace Period 20 years 20 $39071 $162522 ($123451) 024
A-4
Econonxc and Finarcial 9ralvsis for Energy Investrets -- EcvDt EEA 1013i6C
TABLE A-3
For Case ofFIELD TEST 14 - H-LWAN TEXTILEIPi ( COLLECTOR PRCE $30SQFT- PRICE OF OIL $25BBL) Assuming Oil Escalation Rate of 20
Saved Valus ofCacital boeratirng Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel Energy Saved Annual Cash Flow Discounted Cash Flow ((NV) iYear Cost Cost $Bbl (Bbl) Cost Eauiv Erercy Cost Currert f 4 8 10 12
S Accuisitio $149995
1 Transoort $0 I Construct ior $0 I Interconnection $0
Totil $149q95 $420 $2500 0 $0 58 $1450 S150 415 ($14295) (3148965) ($48965) ($14895) ($148965)$0 $2520 $2550 0 s0 348 $3874 $2520 $3354 ($142855) ($143082) ($143189) ($143292)3 s0 $2520 $2601 0 $0 348 $9051 $2520 ($1368171 ($137482) ($137791) ($133085)4 $0 2520 $2653 5
0 s0 348 $3233 $252 $ 713 ($130643) ($132153) ($132748) ($133307)$0 2520 $2706 0 $0 6
348 $9417 $2520 $o897 ($124954) ($127084) ($128037) ($128924)$0 S2520 $2760 0 $0 348 $9606 $2520 S7056 ($119130) ($122261) ($123637) ($124903)7 so $2520 $2815 0 $0 348 $3798 $2520 $7278 ($113378) (117675) ($119529) ($121216)so $1520 $28728 0 $0 348 $39A 9
S2520 $7474 ($107699) ($11331b) ($115694) ($117836)s0 $2520 $2929 0 $0 348 $10193 $25L0 $7673 ($102032) ($09169) ($1121141 ($114736)10 $0 2520 $2986 0 11
$1 348 $10397 $25_lt $7877 ($36557) ($105228) ($103774) ($111896)$0 $2520 $3047 0 $0 348 $10 60 $_520 $308512 ($31095) ($I01483) ($105656) (5109293)$0 $2520 $3106 0 $0 348 $10817 $2520 $8237 ($85706) ($97925 ($102748) ($106907)13 $0 $2520 $3171 0 $0 348 $11034 $2520 $8514 ($80388) ($94544) ($10003-5) ($104722)$0 $2520 $323414 0 $0 348 $11254 $2520 $873415 ($75142) ($91332) ($97505) ($102720)$0 $2520 $3299 0 $0 348 $11479 $2520 $8959 ($69968) ($88282) ($95146) ($100837)16 $0 $2520 $3365 0 $0 348 $I709 $2520 $3189 ($64866) ($85385) ($92946) ($99208)17 $0 $2520 $3432 0 $0 348 $11943 $252(l $9423 ($59835) ($M 634) ($90895) ($97671)18 $0 $2520 $3501 0 $0 348 $12182 $2520 $3662 ($54875) ($80023) ($88984) ($264)19 so $2520 $3571 0 $0 348 $12426 $2520 $9906 ($349985) ($77544) ($87202) ($94976)20 $0 $2520 $3642 0 $0 348 $12674 $2520 $10154 ($45165) ($75191) ($85542) ($93797)21 ($6300) $2520 $3715 0 $0 348 $12928 ($3780) $16708 ($37540) ($71607) ($830558) ($92065)
$143695 $50820 0 $0 7018 $217065 $194515 $22550
A-5
-- --
TABLE A-3 (Contd) ASSUMPTIONS TABLE BENFIT-COSTS TABLE (Calculated)
Economic and Financial Analysis for Energy Investments - Egyot EEA i01986
Capital Costs Benefit Parameters Internal Rate of Return 124
Acouisition $149995 Price of Oil $25CK bbl (yr 1)TransDortation $0 Oil Escalat 20year Disc PY of PV of BCConstruction $0 Rate Benefits Costs NPV Ratio
Interconrection $0 Enrgy Savngs 348 bblyear m_ S -- - Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 $217065 $194515 $2550 112
TOTAL Cap) $149995 2 $175450 $187381 ($11931) 094
4 $144247 $181787 ($37540) 079Construct Time 10 months 6 $120511 $177355 ($56844) 068 8 $102 198 $173805 ($71607) 059DOeratino and Normal Maintenance Costs 10 $87674 $170933 ($83058) 051
11 $81877 $169701 ($87824) 048Deratina Cost $2520 year 0 Sshye i s 5 a $76520 $168585 ($92065) 045ODperatina Lifetime 21 years 23 $71720 $167571 ($95851) 043
14 $67405 $166647 ($99242) 040Major Eauipment RepairReplacement 15 $63514 165804 ($102290) 038
16 $59996 $165032 ($105036) 036Salvage Value ($6 300period 18 $53904 $163674 ($109770) 033 Replace Period 20 years 20 $48839 $162522 ($1136833) 030
A-6
Econotic and Financial Araiysis for Energy Irvesteents - Egypt EEA 101986
TABLE A-4
For Case ofFI-2-D -ST 14 - HELWAN TEXTILEIPH ( COLLTOR PRICE 30SFT - PRICE OF OIL $30BBL)Assunina Oil Escalation Rate of 20
Saved Value of
CaPital Oerating Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel EreryYear Cost Cost $bl (PbI) Cost Ecuiv Savea Annual Cash Flow Discounted Cash Flow (N91V) IErerey Cost Currer $ 4 8 10 12
Pcousition $142995 I Tr2rsport $0 1 Constrtio s I Intercorrecto $01 Total $14995 $420 $3000 0 $0SO58 $1740 $150415 (148675) 3514375) ($148675) ($143675) ($148675)
$0 $60C 220 303 $25 0 $3121 0 5 34 506 9 2$0 348 $10862 50 $8 1 9 ($ 4 0 85M) ($ 1 4 11 4 8) ( S 141e280$25X) $342 ($133146) ($133937) ($134391)) ( $ 141 41 7 1
4 (3134767)$0 $2520 $31845 $0 2520 $347 0 0
$0 348 $11079 S2520 $8559 ($125537)$0 346 $1301 $2 (127202) ($127961) ($128675)0 2520 $3312
520 5781 ($118032) ($120748) ($121963) ($123095)7 0 $0 348 $111527 S2-0so S2520 $3378 $3007 ($110629) (114618)
850 0 (116371) ($117984)so 348 51275752520 $3446 0 $0 348
S2520 $9237 ($103329) ($108797) (111157) (113304)$I992 $2520 $9472 (39613) ($103270) ($106296) ($109020)$0 $2520 $35 1510 0$0 $2520 $3585 0 s0 348 $12232 S2520 $9712 ($89034 (598(023)11 $0 348 S2477 ($01765 (3105097)$0 $2 500 S 521t0 $9957 ($5 039)$3657 0 0 (33042 ($97543) ($101507)348 $12726 S252012 0 $ 2520 $53730
$10206 ($7E144) ($88315) (1193608) (S98220)0 $0 348 $12981 $25 $10461 ($S3 3h8)14
52520 (55823) ($89941) ($95213)$0 $2520 $3881 510720 (61 652)0 ($79571) ($86525)s0 348 $13505 ($92461)I5 $0 $2520 $10985 (555055)52520 $3958 0 ($75532 (583343) (89944)s0 348 $1377516 SO S2520 S511255 ($4e5) (571700)$2520 $4038 0 ($0379) (387641)$0 348 51405117 $0 $2520 $4118 0
S2520 $11531 ($4 153 ($68065) ($77 61) ($85534)s0 348 $14332 $218 -0 $11812$0 $2520 (35846) (364617) (575048)$4201 0 ($83607)19 348 $141619 S2520$0
s0 $1209 (59635$2520 $4285 ($61347) ($72650 ($81845$0 348 $1491120 $0 $2520 $2520 $12331 ($23519) ($58247)$4370 0 ($70426) ($80234)$0 348 $15209 $252021 (36300Y $2520 54458 0 $0 12689 ($174 ) ($55306) ($68351) ($78761)348 $15513 (53780) $19293 ($8691) ($51167) ($65484) (76761)
$143695 S5m0 0 so 7018 $260478 $194515 $65963
A-7
TABLE A-4 (Contd) ASSUMPTIONS TABLE BENEFIT-COT3 TABLE (Calculated)
Economic and Financial Aralysis for Energy Investments -- Egypt EEA 1019166
Caoital Costs Benefit Pararmeters Internal Rate of Return 339
Acquisition $149995 Price of Oil $3000 bbl (yr 1) Transportation $0 Oil Escalat L(Wvear Disc PV of PV of BC
Construct ior $0 Rate Benefits Costs NPV Ratio Interconnectior $0 Enrgy Savrias 348 bblvear
Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 S260478 $19455 $65963 134 TOTAL (Cao) $149995 2 $210540 $187381 S23159 112
4 $173097 $118787 ($8691) 095 Construct Time 10 months 6 $144614 $177355 ($32741) 382
8 $122638 $173805 1167 071 Operating and Normal Maintenance Costs 10 $105449 $170933 ($65464 062
11 $98253 $169701 ($71448) 058 Oerating Cost $2520 year 12 $91824 $168585 ($76761) 054
Operating Lifetime 21 years 13 $86064 $167571 ($81507) 051 14 $80885 $166647 ($85761) 049
Major Equipment RepairReDlacement 15 $76217 $165804 ($89587) 046 16 $71995 $165032 ($93037) 044
Replace Cost ($6300)period 18 $64685 $163674 ($98989) 040 Replace Period 20 years 23 $58607 $162522 ($103915) 036
A-8
Ecromic and Fna-ia Aaysis for Ene-v investmerts - E yvt EEP shyi(I195
TABLE A-5
For ie ofFIELD TEST 44 - H-LWA-4 TEXTILEi C E-TO PR CE $305 FT - PRIZE OF OIL $35BBL) Assurjc Oil Escalation PR-e of 20
Saved Vaiue cfa-tal Ooeratlr_ Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel Ererv a eO Anual poundan Flow Discounted Cash Flow (NPV) i = Year r st cost SPbl (bbl) [cst Eciv Errgv Cost Currert $ 4 8 10 12
I SI auxsiticr 1433
1 Trarsoort $0
EorstrLZt cr $0 SI-tercorrezt ior $0
Total $143 995 $420 $3500 0 so 58 $2030 S15-415 ($145385) (4148385) ($148385) (M142335) ($1483351$0 $2520 $3570 0 $0 348 $1424 $2520 $3904 ($138862) ($133215) ($39382) (13543)Sto S2520 $3041 0 $1 348 51-672 $520 $10(152W20476) ($130511) (S130992) ($131443)4 $1 $2523 $3714 0 S0 348 226 $2520 $10406 ($12C226) ($122251) ($23174 ($124043)o$0 2520 $3789 0 $ 34B $12184 52520 $10664 t$111I10) ($114413) ($115890) ($27266)
6 s0 $2520 $3864 0 $0 348 t53448 $252n 10928 (S102128) ($106975) (3109105) ($111065)70 $2520 $3942 0 s0 348 $13717 12520 S111137 ($93279) ($99 920) ($102785) ($10- 392)5 $0 $2520 $4020 0 $0 348 $13231 $250 $S1471 ($845 2) ($93226) ($33898) (M100204)9 VI $2520 $4101 0 so 348 $14271 S520 $11751 (175976) ($86878) ($91416) ($3f458)
10 $0 $2520 $4183 0 $0 348 $14556 $2520 $12036 ($67520) ($80E5) ($86312) ($11117)11 s0 $2520 42G 0 $0 348 $14647 $2520 1123227 (S52192) ($75147) ( 8155) ($7148)12 $ 0 $4352 0 so 348 $15144 $2520 $12624 ($5- 931) ($69732) ($77134) ($83519)13 $0 $2520 $4439 0 so 348 $15447 $2 0 $12927 ($42917) ($64599) ($73015) (W8320)14 $0 $ 50 $4528 0 $0 348 $I-755 $2520 S1323- ($34938) ($53732) ($69181) ($77168)15 SO $2520 $4618 (1 $0 348 $16071 $2520 $13551 ($27142) (S55118) ($5613) ($7439516 t0 $2520 $4711 0 $0 348 $16333 $250 $13873 ($1 439) ($50745) ($62232) ($71860)17 $0 $2520 $4805 0 $0 348 $16721 $2120 $14201 ($I1657) ($4660) ($59201) ($G9544)18 $0 $25200 $4901 0 so 348 $17055 $250 $14535 ($4396) (02672) ($5632) ($67427)19 $0 $2520 $4999 0 $0 348 $17396 $2520 $14876 $2948 ($33949) ($53650) ($65492)20 $0 $2520 $5093 21
0 $0 348 $17744 $3520 $15224 $10174 ($35421) ($51161) ($3725)($6300) $2520 $5201 0 $0 348 $18099 ($3780) $21879 $20159 ($30727) ($47909) ($61457)
$143695 $50820 0 $0 7018 $303891 $194515 $103376
A-9
TABLE A-5 (Contd)ASSUMPTIONS TABLE ENEFIT-COSTS TABLE (Calculated)
Economic and Financiai Analysis for Erergy Investments -- Egyot EEA 10965
Capital Costs Benefit Parameters Internai Rate of Return 534
Acquisition $149995 Price of Oil $35K0 bbl (yr 1) Transport tior $0 Oil Escalat 20vear Disc PV of FV of PCConstruction $0 Rate Benefits Costs tPV Ratio
Interconnectior $0 Enrgy Savns 342 bblyear ==-- -Fuel Use 0 bblvear 0 $303531 $154515 $103376 156
TOTAL (Cap) $149995 2 $245630 $187331 $58249 3
4 $i20 46 $181787 20159 i11Construct Time 10 months 6 $163716 $177355 ($8639) 095 8 $143078 $173805 ($30727) 082
Operating and Normal Maintenance Costs 10 $123024 $170933 ($47909) 072 11 S114628 $169701 ($55 073) 068
Operating Cost $2520 year 12 $107128 $165585 ($61457) 064 Operating Lifetime 21 years $l40810 $167571 ($67163) 060
14 $94366 $166647 ($72281) 057Major Equipment RepairReolacement 15 $82920 $165804 ($76864) 054
16 $83994 $165032 ($81038) 051Replace Cost ($6300)period 18 $75465 $163674 $88-08) 046
Replace Period 20 years 2 $68375 $162522 ($94147) 042A- 10
Eccricmi ane Finarcial AnalysiT fo Energy trvest-ents -- Ev-t EEA 101215
TAlKE A-5
For Case ofFiED TEST 04 - HELWPN TEXTIL=IPH (COLLECTD PRICE $3SFT- PRICE as OIL $40BBL) Ass mir Oil Esralatior Rate of 20
Savet Yait- ofCaoital ODerating Ccst of Oil Fuel bse Fuel Energy Saved fnrnal [a- Flch Liscounted Cash Flow (NPV) i = Year Cost Cost $bl (Bbi) CLst Ecit1 Energy Ccst C-rert$ 4 8 10 12
I Acc-ist on $142995 I -ras)ort $0 1 cnstr t o $0
I te-crrezt icr $0 Total $14995 $420 $400N 0 $0 58 $2320 $15045 (S143C135 ($14209) ($143095) ($142035) ($148095)S) $220 $4080 0 so78 ($138f6) ($137282) ($137478) ($137663)
$0 $2520 $4162 r $0 348 $1442 $250 $192 ($125806) ($127026) (M27592) ($128132)4 so 12120 $4245 0 s0 348 $14 77 S25K0 V2252 ($114914) ($117300) (1115337) ($119411)soS0 2 $43310s _$0 25 $330 0 1-7j(1147 0 ($04188)6 $0 $2520 $4416
$0 348 $15$7 525 $12547 ($108077) ($109817) ($111437)0 $0 348 s15 $252 $12849 ($33627) ($93322) ($1083S) ($104146)7 so $2 520 $4505 0 V) 348 $ 676 S21520 $13156 ($83230) ($31042) ($94412) ($97481)
8 $0 $2520 $4595 0 $0 348 $15 9 o 2520 S13470 ($72934) ($83 182) ($57500) ($9388)9 $0 $252) $4687 Q $0 348 $I309 $2520 $3 789 ($62918) $75732) ($31067) ($85818)10 $0 $2520 $4780 0 $0 348 $6631 5 2520 $14116 ($53001) ($68671) ($75081) ($0728)11 $0 $2520 $4676 0 $0 348 $1696 $520 $14448 ($43240) ($61979) ($69510) ($76076)12 $0 $2520 $4973 0 $0 348 $17308 $2520 $14788 ($33634) ($55636) ($64327) ($71825)13 $0 $2520 73 0 $0 348 $17654 $2520 $15134 ($24181) ($49626) ($59505) ($67940) 14 $0 $2520 $5174 0 $0 348 $18 007 S250 $5487 ($14880) ($43932) ($55019) ($64391)15 $0 $2520 $5278 0 $0 348 $ P367 $2 520 $15847 ($572-3) ($38537) ($50646) (55148)
$0 $220 $538316 0 $0 348 $18734 $25032 ($33425) ( 5) (58186)17 s $2520 $549 0 $0 348 $191$2 250 $I5 9 $12 131 ($328583) ($43354) ($55480)18 $0 $2520 $5601 C $0 348 $19491 $2520 $IE971 $20844 ($23996) ($39997) ($53008)19 $0 $2520 $5713 so 348 $19881 $2520 $173C1 $39414 ($19651) ($36874) ($50751)20 $0 $2520 $5827 (t $0 348 $20273 $2520 $17759 $37843 ($15536) ($33370) ($48689)21 ($6 300) $2520 $5944 $0 348 $20684 ($3780) $24 A64 $49 008 ($10288) ($30334) ($46153)
$143695 $50820 0 $0 7018 $347 304 $194515 $152789A-1 1
TABLE A-6 (Contd)ASSUMPTIONS TABLE BEIEF7-COSTS TABLE (Calculated)
Ecoroic nj Firancial Analysis for Energy Investmerts - Egypt EEA 10195G
azitai Costs Benefit Parameters internal Rate of eturr 714
Acuisition $149995 Price of Oil $400 bbl (yr 1)Transportat ior so Oil Escalat 20year Disc PV of PV of BCConstruction so Rate Benefits Cost- NPV RatioInterconnection $0 Enrgy SavTgs 348 bbyear ==== =-shy
--- Fuel Use 0 bbear 0 $347304 $194515 $152 789 179TOTAL (Ca ) $149 95 2 $28D720 $187381 $93359 150
4 230796 $181787 $49008 127Construct Time 10 months 6 $192818 $177355 V15463 109 8 $163517 $173 805 ($10288) 094Ooerating and Norwal Maintenance Costs 10 $140599 $170933 ($30334) 08211 $13004 $169701 $33698) 077
fteratiri$ Cost 12) $122432 $168585 ($46153) 073Ooeratirn Lifetime 21 years 13 $1i 751 $167571 ($52819) 068
Major Equi~oent ReoairReplacesent 14 $07847 $166647 ($58800) 06515 $10i622 5165804 ($64181) 061
16 $95993 $165032 ($69 039) 058Replace Cost ($6300)period 18 $86246 $163674 ($77428) 053Replace Period 20 years A12 20 $78143 $162522 ($84379) 048
ccz- a Firaca Araiysi- for Erergy IrvestL-rrts -- Ecyrt EC 01)83
TAP-LE P-7
For Case ofFIZLD TEST 4 - H-LWAN TEXTILEWAS-i i-AT PRESVERY wRIC2 SIS08L)DiL Assumiron Oil Escalation Rate of 20
Saved ValL- CCaoital DoeratinQ Cost of Oil Fue Used Fuel Erervy save kriual Cash Flow Discourted Cash Flow (NPV) 3 i =Yea- Cost Cost $b1 (Bbl) Cost Ecuiv Ererzv Cet Currert $ 4 8 10 12
1 Trar-s $0ort 1orstr-t lor $0
I I t e ronez t i m S-1 $735 $833 $Q500 C 0 1341 $27 62 53851 ($542231) (S542231) (S542231) (S542231) ($542231)Sc 53 S530 0 so 11045 $1ES034 11359 S76755- 0o62o) ($356235) (S93830) ($401450)SO $I1359 $15S1 $0 11048 S172415 jeuro $113-1S (3241715) ($252156) 3273 011353 V S 457 ($-=766) -4 to 259 $1592 0 iO 11045 $173863 1353 S164504 ($35471) ($127567) (142M1) ($15556)
Q S11359 $1624 0 $0 (148 17 I S11359 S63 -- $4 155 (340ampG) ($27 430) ($49185)6 11353 -016 U $0 11045 $182136 $12353 2171609 $183205 S12728 73126 1421917 $0 $11359 $1669 0 $0 14048 $186623 $S 353 i75269 $32772 $=223177 $173060 $136987$1125 $173 0 $0 11048 $536r $-53 S173001 $46 74S 3276-3 $263916 $2153S0 S111359 $1757 0 $ 11048 S194167 $13f $182808 S59735 $426389 5355 198 $29179210 $0 $1793 0 S0 11043 S1930L $3 $15 3 72H492 513781 $434373 S353115110 $11359 $128 0 S 1 $11048( I $190653 $357 30 $608090 $57 878 S420500 S0 $1365 0 $0 11048 $HS052 1-3 $134633 $383753 359159 $57617 $47646313 v0 $11353 $1902 0 $0 11043 S210173 $1- $193314 $1107338 $770542 $133465 1527500l$0 $11353 $1940 0 $0 11048 $214376 $1153 $203017 $223E665 $845191 $$5272 $574 0651373 s53$0 11048 1213664 $11359 $2737 $1349578 $915771 $7-2862 $61644516 $0 359 $2019 0 $ 11043 S223077 $11359 $211678 $1467116 $382501 $803536 $65511817 $ 511 353 $2059 0 $0 11049 $227498 S595 $216133 $1582514 $1045583 $850574 $5037518 1 1A3 S2100 0$0 11048 122C48 $1135 $2-20683 $1695810 $1105235 $894236 $7251719 $0 $11359 S2142 0 $0 11048 $236689 $11359 $S25330 $1807033 $1161623 $934764 $75181920 S0 $11359 12185 0 0 11048 $241423 $11353 $230064 $1316237 $1214932 1372331 $778531
21 $0 $11359 $2229 0 $0 11048 $246251 $1135 $234832 $202349 $1265328 1007296 $802881
$5679558 $Zgt9073 0 $0 222801 $0134711 $797031 $3337680
A-13
ASTYPTINS TABLE TABLE A-7 (Contd) BEEIT-rOT TAEPLE (Calculated)
Economic and Financial Analysis for Energy Investsents - Egypt EEA 10196
Capital Costs Benefit Faraineters interral Rate of Return 3101
Acquisitiorn $567952 Price of Oil 1500 bbl (yr 1) Trarsportatior $0 Oil Escalat 20year Disc PV of FVof BC
Corstruct ior $0 Rate Benefits Costs lrv Ratio
Irterconrection $0 Enrgy Sar_as 1104 bblyear -
--- ------ Fue Use 0 bbiyear 0 $41-4711 $77031 $3337680 519 TOTAL (Ca) $H67952 2 $34202-0 S755587 $2586433 442
4 t2747662 $72424 $2023439 379 Construct Time 10 morths 6 $2235 532 $700 138 $LJj5394 328
8$1946703 $68137G $1265328 286
Ooeratina and Normal Mairtenance Costs 10 $1673853 $666557 $1007296 251
11 $55962n $660307 $399314 236
Oerating Cost $11359 year 12 $1457578 $654697 $802881 223
Operating Lifetime 21 years 13 $136G 136 $64- 645 $716491 210 14 $1283$40 $645083 $638857 199
Major Equipment PeoairReplacemert 15 $1209831 $640951 $568880 189 16 $1142817 $37197 $505620 179
Replace Cost $0 period 18 $1026777 $630653 $396124 163
Replace Feriod 20 years 20 $930302 $625165 $305137 149
A-14
Econoi an Fnarial alysi for Energy Irve te-pt -- Eryct EEP 10138_
TABLE A-8
For Case cfF7ELD TEST $4 - HE=LWqN TEXTILE4qSTE -_j E[CXERY (PRCE C7 OIL $2013E_) Assurn_ 0i Escaiaticon Rate of 20
Saved Vale cf Capita Doeratn Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel Energy Saved rrual Cash c-w-- Discounted Cash Flow (NOV) i = Yea- Cost Cost Eb (pb]) Ccst Equiv Ererz Cst Currert $ 4 8 10 2
oisi67Ac s tr
rarExrt $0 rorstrztio sc
IIrerccrr_tor $0 7 $200Y 0 C1841 1687Tctai$78K S 98 1 )$53C3 ) 315Z3 02) ($5330251 ($533025) ($533015)2 v $11355 $ 04Q 0 $0 11048 t225379 $1153 $214020 (327235) (S-34858) ($338461) ($341935)3 $0 $11353 $08i C $0 11048 $-23857 $1135 1-258 ($125195) (S147505) ($157B59) (167726)
4 $0 $1135 $21 22 0 $0 11048 $234465 $11359 $223126 $73163 $23619 $3778 (18910) $0 fI1-- $21E5 0 $0) 11048 $29174 $353 $227815 $26790 $197070 $r5 379 $125S71E $0 $13 2 2 083 0 so 11048 S2433K8 S1352 5-3 $459080 1355 373 $303805 $267854
7 $0 611355 $252 C $1) 11048 $243K7 $59 $27478 $4762 $505024 $-855 53881678 $ $1135 $227 0 $0 11048 $2K2814 353 -142455 $33007 $646494 $568272 $4978429 $1 35 $2343 (1 $0 11046 $253 83 $111359 s47 531 $1011876 $780227 $623747 $59781510 $0 $11359 $I39 0 $0 11048 $26068 $135 $252703 $1183426 $906644 $790920 $68894411 soS 1359 $2438 0 s0 l048 $2634 S1 359 S57990 $1363714 $1026144 3890387S77201012 $0 $11359 $2487 0 s0 11048 $274736 $353 $263377 $1534793 $1139102 $982699 $84772513 $0 S11259$2535 0 $0 11048 $280231 $11359 $268872 i1702736 $1245874 $1068389 $91673814 $0 $11359 $2587 C0 $0 11046 $285835 $1359 $274476 $1867573 $1346733 $1147876 $97364015 so $11-359 $2629 0 s 11048 $291552 $i135 S28193 12023383 $1442193 $1221659 $103697316 $0 S1359 $2632 0 $0 11048 1237383 S353 $22-024 $2188202 $1532360 $1290131 $108922917 $ 111359 $2746 ( s0 11048 $303331 $11359 $291972 $234408 $1617584 11253673 $113885618 $0 $11359 $2800 0 $0 11048 $303-97 $115 $298038 $2497093 $1698134 $1412638 $118026419 $0 $11359 $2856 0 $0 11048 $315585 11359 $304226 $2G47268 $1774267 $1467356 $1219 8520 $0 $11359 $2914 0 $0 11048 $321897 $11359 $310538 $2794663 $1846222 $518131 $125588121 $0 $11359 $2972 0 $0 11048 $328335 $11359 $316976 $2939326 $191422 $565248 $1288740
$567958 $229073 0 $0 222801 i5512948 $797031 $4715917
A-15
P7UrSPTIONS TABLE TABLE A-8 (Contd) EtEFIT-CSTS TABLE (Calculated)
Ecoroic ard irarcial Analysis for Energy Investments -- Egypt EEA 1019E6
apital Ccsts Benefit Parareters Irterral Rate of Return 4220
Acquisition $567958 Transportation $0
Construct ior $0 Irtercor rectior $0
Price of Oil Oil Escalat
Enrgy Savrgs
$2000 bbl (yr 1) 20year
11048 bblyear
Disc
Rate
----
PV of erefits
PV of
Costs NPV
BC
Ratio
TOTPL (Cap) $567958 Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 J55948
2$4456027 $797031 $75587
$4715917 $3 700440
6 2 590
Construct Time 10 corths 4$3E 3550 6$3060 709
$724224 $700 138
$2939326 $2 360571
506 437
Operating and Normal Maintenance Costs 8$2595604 1(V$2231804
$681376 $666557
$1914229 $1565248
381 335
Operating Cost Operating Lifetime
$11359 iyear 21 years
11 $2079494 12 $1343437 13 T1821515
$660307 $654697 $649645
$1419187 $1288740 $1171869
315 297 280
Major Equipment RepairReplacement 14 $1711920 15 $1613108
$645083 $640951
$1066837 $972157
265 252
Replace Cost $0 period 16 $1523756 18 $1369035
$637197 $630653
$886559 $738382
239 217
Replace Period 20 years 20 $1240402 $625165 $615238 198
A-16
Eccw= ar -narzia Pnav=_is fcr Erergy Irvestrrent_ -- Egypt EEC 101
P= A-9
or Case of2IED TEST 4 - HELPAN TEXTIEN3TE HEAT -CDOERY (PC- U BBL- ----Assmir Cil Escalation Rate of 20
SaVEdt C~famta eratirg Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel Energy Saved Annal Fasn Flow Discounted Cash Flow (UOV 8 i = lea- Cost Cost $Pb (8b1) Cost Ec-jiv Energy Cost Crrert I 4 8 10 12
I Transocrt corst rutr $7
rterornazticota HS 833 7 1841 $4S 73 -3951 C$52818 (WBIB) ($52381 1 (3523818) ($53218)SC 51133 $20 0 048 $22172 U3 $27365 ($263851 1(2731480) (278031) ($262421)$0 $11359 $2601 0 $0 11042 7=5 $12$3 5275 999 (-S74) (368Z5) 333343900253 ( 15)0 111049 ( $359 _51 747 $241737 $I82 805 $161748 5131462Q 07C 11043 S2531558 11259 12379 $477 s46 $323206 $35188 $32 27$0 $11-_ $2760 0 1n 11043 $304 94 $11 3 3 24E7--555 $722 55 $5S3 Mf $5404 - $$487517$7 $-~5 $2315 0 11048 $712 1353 $233 53 5 872 $786 871 $709649 $639347$ $1 5282 0 $0 14 391141292 0 IK93
656f $8662 S7777253SiZ bull0 $312 5 $1426427 T113465 $10122372 9 3 39 $ 35- $2983 0 $ 145 $33035 1 3 3 726 $165035 $12350M S1147467 $108774$C $135 $304711 0 S0 11046 $3365pound 5ii5 $325 22712 $)
187C 129t44419- $1272895 SI 2351$- $3103 C S 113 $34$2 - 132206 $20S53 S1556613 11353280 $ PIE98c13 3 S317 0 v 1 5$143 250 $11159 $3352 $2237533 I 72120 $47274 $1305375SO 51253 $2340 s0 104 S3 $184840-
0 SO 11041 $364 $11353 5081 3709183 519E861E $262) 456 S1457500 15 Ss35-2 $3293
3 17294 $1 9 $ 9-- $ 293 $157473 $138525-5
16 V0 $1353 $3365 0 s 1I1Ns -3717 21f5 $230328917 - $ 7C 1270 2082220 $776726 $1523340$7 $II35 $34 32 0 $0 1104c8 $37312 $11 $372 4 $3105663 $2183578 $156771 1533718 S 1-13 $35 1 0 so 1048 $7332377 t1931039 $1638010$22-103419 $0 $11353 $3571 0 $0 11048 $3544S2 $135q Q83123 $3487437 $2385910 $M947 $168783120 $0 $1135q $364( $0 11048 $40-37 $1135 $391212 $3673088 $2477512 $2053881 $1733230$0 $11359 $3715 021 $9 11048 $40419 $113553 $399060 $3855214 $2563130 $2123 19 $1774600
$567 9S3 $--3073 0$0 M 801 $6831186 $737031 $6034154
A-17
SUPTIONS TABLE TABLE A-9 (Contd) EENPT-OET TAKE (Caiculated)
Ecoc an Firarzial Palysis for Energy Investments - Egypt EEA 1l6
Caits Co=ts Berefit Parameters Irterrz2 Rate R~Return 5368
Acquisition $567958 trice of Oil $250 i-b (yr I) Tarsprcrtator
Constructior
Interconnectior
$0
$0
so
Oii Esalat
Enrgy Savnps
2 0vear
11042 bblyear
Disc
Rate
V Cf
PerEfits
V of
Costs -IV
FC
Ratio
------------TOTP (ap 57959
Fuel Use 0 bl1year 0 $f)83 33
$797031 75537
1609454 $481444E
865 737
Construct Tire 10 rnortns 4 14573 437 6 $332f 886
$724224Q13855214 $700138 $S-125748
632 546
OperatinL and Ncrmal MaIntenarce Costs 3- L 5)5 1 $27K755
$ES376 $666557
5t 130 $2123199
475 419
Ooerating Cost
OperatiTrg LifetiMe
$1359 year
21 years
1 if25H37 2 $24229
3 S2276893
$660307 G 5o637
$649645
$5939081 $1774600
16-2724
394 371
350
Major Equipment RepaiReplacemert bull~~l i4$2239005 -2 01S32
$64508 $14948162051 375435$640 1 $ 4 5
3 2 315
Replace Cost
Replace Period
$0 period
20 years
16 $1X4 695 18 S1711294
20N $1 550 503
$637197 $1267498 $530652 $1080641
$625165 $925338
299 271
248
A-18
Econr- ard Fra--a haavsi fcr Er=rv investerts -- Ecyzt E
For Case ofFELD TEST 4 - HELWANTEXTILES3TE -9T REZOVERY (PCE C-O 3IBiL) PssuTir~g Oil Escalation Rate c 20
Year Capital
Cost Ooeratir
Cost Cost cf Oil
$lBbl Fuel Used
(Ebl) Fuel Cost
Saved Erergy Eauiv
ValS cf Saved
Enercy Pnral
Cost Ls iCh Crrert 1
Di-cousteJ 4
Cash Flow 8
(NPV) i 10
=
12
I P~uis~xor~1567958 Transvort $0
1 cntrct mc- 1Irte-ccrret ic
a1s
4
6
Q$ 11
12 13
14 5
16
17
18
19
20 21
$
to 11Z so 1353 C 1-S s$o $1
$0 t13
$0 $i359 $0 $
S 11135-
3 $0 $11359
$0 $1359 $ $-353
$0 I353 0 $ 111359 $0 111359
so S11359 SC $11359
$ $11359
$0 $11359 $0 $11359
$4so $ $3121 $3164
824
$3312
$3378
$3445 $3515
$3657 37730
S33(
$138 $3958 $4033
$4118
$4201
$4285 $4370 5445
(1 0
C
0
0
C00 0
0 0
0 0
0 0 C
0
0
0
0 0
$0 $0 $0
$0
$0
$0
SCso $0
$-$0
$0 $0
$0 $0 s0
$0
so
$0 $0 $0
184 1104 11048 11048
1104S
11048
110 3
11048110 I 8
1(148 11048
11049 11048
11049 11048 11046
11048
11048
11048
11048 11048
S5524C
$338069 S344831 t3727
$3537S
$ 37
$37-
t33-7 2$38 3 $383335
$3161 $4(402
$412104 $42034S
$423753 $47328 $445075
$454995
$464056
$473378
$482845 $492502
$563851
S11355 $11359 S11355
5
11135
$1352
11355s
115335
$1359 $11359
$113 $112-59 $11353
$11353
$11353
$11359 $11359 $11359
11) ($514611
S2 710 33471 $1784 $340368 $410431 S$34740 1 $7 392 IK3457 $333829
i351390$123484
-255 $15= 3 $11353$27976 $1840978 S13-36384743 $2111293
9 $3665 $2376563
$40$745 1636279 $40S987 $2 832331 $417394 $2142007 42 99 $338934
$434716 $6Sl376
$443637 $387238 $4E2 737 14093661 $452019 $4327726 $471486 $4155514 $481143 $4771101
($51461
$73796 $343991
5539 342
$84661
$1063717
S284236 $1487914
$680371 S1862251
$2034124 $21955326
$23--0 013 $2495039 $262079
$2761573
$2883934
$2999553
S3103802 $3212031
($54611
$5-7994 $313717
$50998
$77162
$975443
$164984 $134)846
$504014 $165540A
$1795862 $1926178
$2047082 $2159253 $226-3321
$2359869
$2 449 441 $2532539 $2609631 $2681150
($514611)
06
$42935 $285202
$S505933
$707180
$80527
$57603 $1209862 $1348604 $1475031
$1590 236 $1695213
$79)359 $1878030 $1957451
$2029818
$2095757
$2155838
$2210580 $2260459
$567958 $229073 0 $0 222801 $8 269423 $797031 $7472391
A-19
TABLE A-10 (Contd) ASSUMPTIONS TABLE EENEFIT- ST TABLE (Calculated)
Econoraic are Fin=-ial alycsis for Energy Investments - Egypt EA 101965
iaital ccsts Bereifit Parameters internal Rate of Peturr SE55
Acquisition $H67353 Price of Oil $3000 bbl (yr 1) Transportatio $0 Oil Escalat 20year Disc PV of PV of BIC Constructior $0 Rate Benefits Costs NPV Ratio
Irterconectior $0 Errgy Savncs 11048 bblyear ---shy=-- Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 $8263423 $797031 $7472391 1038
TOTAL (Cap $79-53 24$6684040 $755587 $592Or 453 S85
4$542E325 $724224 $4771101 753Construct Time 10 months 6$459063 $700138 $3890925 656 8$3 893 406 $681376 $322 031 5 71
Operating and Normal Mainterance Costs 10 $2347706 $666557 $2681I0 502 - 11 $3119241 $660307 $3458934 472
Operating Cost $1359 year 12 $2915155 $654697 $2260459 445 Operating Lifetime 21 years 3 $_73 272 $64364Z $2081627 421
14 $2567880 $645082 $1922796 398Major Equipment RepairReplacemient 15 $2419662 $640951 $1778712 378
16 $228-634 $637197 $1648437 359 Replace Cost $0 period 18 $2053553 $630653 $1422900 326
Replace Period 20 years A-20 20 $1860603 $625165 $1235439 298
poundcenrzzc ar Firarial Analysis fcr Energy irnvesttterts -- EZyt pound2~ 10g88
TABLE A-Il
For Case of-EL TEST 4 - ELqN E LEA ATEP2ERy -E-D701 $35KL) Assumir Oil Escalaticn Rate cf 20
Savet- Vaiue cflaza 2eratn Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel Ererpy Saved Arnual Can_ Flow Discourtee Cas Flow (NV) i =Yea Cost Cost $pbl (Ebl) Cost Eauiv Enercy Ezt C-rrert $ 8 10 12 - -cuisittor -567-
Trarsocr $
crstrttir Irterznr or $0
7t Z-=7s5 3 $3Z0I 0 $0 1841 $amp4447 $59652 $505 405) ($-5405) ($505 405) (50540)5 ($55405$0 $11359 t3E70 so 1048 $34414 $11359 $353055 ($137083) ($I724) 173) ($16331)$1 $1359 $940 $ 1048 $4(2 32 $11353 $39C 76543 1224 $16444S $HE 92 $1482664 $0 $11359 $3714E Q $0 11043 359 89$41(2348 $1139 52 8 $5068 SSC I217 $4 5 6 7so TIIM $3789 Q V1 11043 $418E5f $11359 S$4)7 IgS 76 $4651687 $432258$927 138 $300478 $7432 807 $6i9103g
$0 $1359 $3864 0 $0 11048 $42S 98 $415527m3 833 $65704 11 C V001841o$0 1135g $3942 0 $0 11048 $435464 $11359 $$424105 $1603881 $135-564 124238 $1141707$ - $420 0 $0 1104-8 $4174 s3523 $43281- $232784 $1503107 $h63340 $1337491$0 $11359 $4101 0 $0 11048 s4_z_c- $ -9 S 4441-93$22E 52 $841743 $1S89396 $15158685$0 Sn359 $4183I 0 50 11049 $4621E $I353 $450753 $2572227 $206723 $1860582 $1878434 0 $11359 $4266 0 so 11048 $471-8 $125912 $46C 12 $22-987 $2280305 $2037912 $182S542t $1-9 43520 2
$0 11048 $48075 $1359 $4E9423 $3187919 12451E35 $2202444 $i961492$ $1139 $4439 0 $0 1104S $49C404 $11159 $479 4- $3437129 $2671870 $2375023 $2084450$0 S359 $452814 0 $0 11048 $50212 $113515 $483853 $378072 $2851 620 $2495386 S2196483s$ $I359 $4618 0 s0 11048 $51G216 $11359 $498557 $4065793 $3021462 $22205 V 298 559$- 52 $471116 0 $0 11048 $520420 $1$37 5 150306 1 $4351463 $3181939 $274916 $2391563$1359 $4805 0 $0 11048 $53129 $11359 $51347Q $4628812 13333567 $2882967 $247629 18 $0 S1359 $4901 0 $0 11048 $541445 S11359 $530086 $4900944 $347583K $2S7842 $255350319 so $11353 $4993 0 so 11048 S=52274 $11359 S540915 $5167955 $3612197 $3065131 $2L3644$0 si359 $509920 0 $0 11048 $530 $1135921 $551961 $5429939 $3740093 $315381 $2687930$0 $11359 $5201 0 so 11048 $574586 $11359 $563227 $56869B9 $3850932 $3239101 $2746318
$567958 $229073 0$0 2L801 $9647660 $797031 $8850629
A-21
SSUmOTIO3 TAlBLE TABLE A-lI (Contd)
PNEFT-COSTS TALE (Calculated)
Economic and Fir ancia Analysis fc-Energy Investments -- Egypt EEA I0P386
Calita costs Penefit arazeters
$cuistion$Z723 Price of Oil $ h500bb (yr 1)Trarspcrtation t0 Oii Escalat 20year Corstructcr $0
Irtercornection $0 Enray Savs 11048 bblyear -- - Fuel Use 0 bblyear
TOTAL (Cap) $5 57 8
Construct Time 10 mnrths
Coeratir ard Normal Maintenance Costs
Ooerating Cost $1135 yEar Operating Lifetime 21 years
MaJor Equipment RepairReplacemert
Replace Cost $0 period Replace Period 20 years
A-22
nterral Rate of Return 7785
Disc PV of PV of Rate Benefits Costs NTV --- _--
V S9647EGO $7-7031 $8850629 N $7793047 $755587 $7042460
4 $E411212 $724224 $568698961S 3S240 $700138 $4656102
8 $454 307 $681376 $3860 93-10 $305657 $666557 $323910111 Q633114 JE0307 $2978 SO3 I E $3401015 $654697 $2746318 I 387650 $S4964c5 $2538005 14 $25860 S645C83 $2350776 15 t- B940 $64051 $2181939
16 $266E 573 $37197 $2029376 18 $2395812 $630653 $1765159 20 $2170704 $625165 $1545539
BIC Ratio
1210 1032
885 75
667 586
551 519 491
464 440
418 380 347
Econoir a-nFinaci AralySi f- Ererzy InvEstments -- 07ptE LE
TP93
For Case ofFIELD TEST 4 - F1-LWA TEXTT -- (nC O= ]L s40PEt) Assuirz Oil Escalation Rate of 20
Saved Value cCaita 29ratir s of C Fuel Used
Fuel Erer y 3ave_- pal Casn Flo^ fLiscured Cash Flc (NPV 2 erCost Cost I Ib) Cost Euiv --ervy Cost Currert 3 4 8 10 12
1 7rans~crt $0
$ Tr O iS - 0 2$0 124 373655 39=851 ( 433193 (14351 ($ 6 1 8 $4 5 1 8931 4968l$ --3 $4020 0 VI 11048 $45C 3SI23 $42 2S W3698) ($33473 (35744) ($103877)0 1_3 0 so4152 1248 453 774 5 $34085amp Q95 07$0 443415 $ S273847 553596= S24 45 $0 1048 $45-95 $11359 $4Z7E $74770 SS5362 517656 573314S0 C 5 $4330 0 $0 11048 $47-34c 31259 $425339 $114f884 $$001513 5936616 $8760940 $59 $44E 0 $0 11048 4$10 1253 $47_55_9 1532579 13-2950 1232520 11146505
- c $S450- 0 sO N04E 147574 i $4263559 13C $1632410 $507021 $392887$10 $11259 14535 0 $0 11042 $5077 $ 3~5$1 268$4-3 $2700043 121 978 $176169G $167374I 135 $4627 0 so Ns04 1577S s259 S2670080 9f5282o 1 7 14W 2 I $19337945 5182903$478S 0 $0 043 $1s53 S52776 13033160 12454038 $2217103 20026411 9 $47 0 014876$S-E_ 4 1104--20 = 3 5pound 7 07$14800803 0O $3269358o$0 c 359 S 3 7 $2442 421 $217805$
s2 37115$5171 $0s14 1 S355 $E74 11048 S -511113-f 1743 102 $4C1L 27 $13147202 $2783 987 $24736230 $0 114048 517 311 HI9 S56312 $4418436 S13357 $294628332217 12602037I5 $0 $1353 $1z Sf 312$7578 0 $0 11048 $I 319 $439 _7$3$527404 $59 -40$7745 $278 gO $ 43$4743604 $3547884 $30998428 $2719087$0 $I Ec $383 016 $0 11048 $5547ES v11255 $H62407 S5072550 $3 799 $323E511 12825674$11359 $549 0 S0 1048 SE s 311 50 $ 9-25562U $2 2 718 $O $1-253 $5 0 $0 11048 61875 1i3 $470 8 40693133 1482244 20120715 $0 135I $5713 0 so 11043 $5217 3 77$113 9 775 $470 $2248 4 01 7$30912010 $0 11359 $5 827 0 $0 11048 $642794 $11359 $632435 $S39t367 $4371382 $370130 $3165280
21 $0 $11359 $5944 0 $0 11048 1656570 511359 S645311 6602876 $4509833 $3797052 $3232177
$567953 $ 29073 8970 10 801 511 02-5 $797031 $10228866
A-23
TABLE A-12 (Contd)PSSI PTIONSTAJKE rEnJT-DETS ^2LE(Caiculated)
E~onoma~infncia fcr Erery Investwerts - Egypt EA 1036
LapitE --ts Penefit Parameters ternr ate cf ketur 9060
Pquisition $-57958 Price of CI Trasortaticon $f CiI Escalat
onstructIon $0
iterzorr-ction $0 Ernrgy Savrs ------ Fuel Use
77A ao) $567958
Construct Time 10 months
OpEratirg ar N-rmal Mairterance Ccsts ------
Operating Cost $1355 year Operatirn Lifetime 2 years
Major Eqiprent RepairRezlacement
Replace Cost $0 period Replace Period 20 years
$4K lbb (yr 1) 20year
11043 bbllyear
0 bblyear
Ns PV of PV of Rate eni L-sts NPV
0$11025 397 1797031 $1022666 2 25q3 75E587 $ 156466 4 $7327100 $724-4 $6602876
6 $$121418 $700138 $5421280
e5191203 $68376 $4509833 10 $4463603 $66-57 $377C52 11 $4152988 $G 307 $3498681 12 $3865874 $654697 $3232177 13 13643029 $543645 $2993384
14 $3L423840 $645083 $27875615 S3226217 $6402351 $2585266 16 13047512 $637197 $2410315 18 $2738071 $630653 $2107418 20 $24008 5 $625165 $1855640
BC Ratio
1383 1179
1012
874
762 670
630
594
561
531 503
478 434
397
A-24
-c-nc an Firanzia Pralysisfcr Erergy Irvestrents -- Env t E 0
TALE P--3
Fer Case tfFEI7E3ET4 - FLN TEXTILESCLR PLUS
Assuming Oil Escalafior Rate oF 0
73 T ECCeZRY (PR_5rCF OIL S15BL)
r a
bull
etaIOiertrg
ssost Ccst Of Oi
$I Fe Lse
(E-12 Fuel
Save -Enery Eciv
a L Ef SaveS
Erery ra Ccst
asn Fli CLrrert f
sccunted 4
Cash Floo (NPV) 8 10
i
2
bull
4
5
7
0
1
2
13
14
16
17
is
19 20
21
r S CCrrnst cr $cr
erzcn11 on
Toa7 52 $2313 $ 13279 SC 13279 S t13979 $ $2673
C5r2
$0 $13573
S $13873 $ S$13279 $0 t373 $0 $13 79 $0 $387 $0 $13S79
$0 $1357S
$0Si 3279 $0 513879
$0 $13279
$ $137
0 $13879 $0 $S3879
($E300) $13879
$711653 $279893
V500
$1530 S561
S5592 $1624 $16565
$1689
$1723 $1757
$1733
$1326
$1265
I -
$1140
$1973 $20
S205 $2100
$2142 $2185
$22-29
0 0
0
r)
0
0
r
0
0 0 0
0
0 0 0
0
O$0 189 $28490 $720263 $0 1396 $17453 $13 S7 $0 113SE $177346 t-879 $$C 13 $1803 2a7g $$0 1139 12503 S1387 $0 1396 $183732 7 2 2S 0 13 $192 3 $13879
$0 1 c 9E3 8761 $0 11396 $20 2E3 $3872 $0 1396 $20423 V2 273 $0 11396 $20335 S13873 0 1132H $212542 T2272 $0 11396 $216733 $1387 $0 11396 $221129 $13879
to 1139S $25f2 3 $0 11353 523063 $13873 $0 11396 $234664 $13873 $0 11396 $23357 $13879
$0 11396 $244144 $13879 $0 11396 $249027 13879 $0 11396 $254008 $7579
$0 22819 $4264950 $991546
A-25
(77-773(5691771 1$691776) 164 C ($537432) ($542184)
$ 367 138E872) (M402609) 37524 ($23E944) f$263623) $17 ($90642) ($143 2 73174853 $307 -14 -- 7G 4 ( 8 $173627 $194245 $8774amp
$182477 t33293 $114220 S1 404 $49117 $2-4229 $10 410 s 027 $390 181 $154496 $734291 $490270 $193663 $86Z339 $565474 $202914 $3073 $amp46054 $207250 $1114548 722259
$11amp73 $1236783 $794325f216184 $356823 $862476 t220785 474702 $92921 $22- 478 $590456 $987860
$23)265 $1704121 $1045484 235148 $1815733 $10-971
$24642 $1928200 $1152842
$3273404
(691 776) ($691776)
($545885) ($543491) ($410376) ($417777) ($264512) (532537) (17613) (189767) (9 ) ( 1( $ 53 0 4 -4 ) -$1) $41737 ($53)
$135427 S82491 $22238s $157776 $303138 $M-6440 $373125 $289063 $447755 34o174 $S12410 $398257 $572443 $445753
$S28193 S8066$679935 $528562
$727985 $564576 $772594 $597416
$814010 $27360 $852458 $6546G2 $889088 $680208
TABLE A-13 (Contd) PSc6UY1TTG TAKE 52ZFEI-CSTS TXLE Calculated)
Econo iar narza 9Aais- for ErErgy Investments shy Eypt EZE 1ci35
Capital Ccsts Benefit Parameters Irternal RatE c Return 24953
~ccui i tcr717953 Price of Oil $15Y0 bbl (yr 1) T-ars~crtat ion $0 Oil Escalat 20year Disc tV of V of BC
crstruct ion $0 Rate Benefits Costs NP Ratio Intercornectior $ Enrgy Savrs 11396 L11year
FuE US= 0 bbiyear 0 $4264950 $991546 $3273404 431
TOTPL (Cap)-77953 2 447230 $942ss $2 504m 366 4t $2334211 $301011 $1928200 313
Costruct T 0 mth_ 357 838 $877493 $1490346 270 12110080 $85511 $112842 235
Operatin and Ncrma aintenarce Costs 0 $7 S76 $837483 $883068 0 11 $1608747 $830008 $778739 194
Operatin Cost Oeratirg Lifet1 M1
$_87T year years
2-$502490 13 $1403 168
$823281 $917216
$660203 $9195
183 172
14 $1324383 $311730 $512652 163 Major Equipert ReoairRepiacemert 15 $1247940 $80S 754 $441185 155
16 $1178815 $80222 $37658S 147 Replace Cost ($6300)period 18 $1o9119 $794327 $264792 133
Replace Period 20 years 20 $3959605 $787687 $171918 122
A-26
-- tr- er F-= v fc E-r= 1r tesirt_Egyrt EEP
TqPPLE P-4
F- caecfFlDTST t4 - UEL$Q TEXTILESDLAR PLUS WASTE HET -COVERpY(Pj- OF OIL $S31PL) nssuring Cil Escalatio- Pate c
Ltal Ccst cF Oil Fuel Used savet Va- cCa 0eratin Fuel Er-er SavE Armia Lasn FowDy riscoured Cash Fco (N7V) i vew t cost $b (b) Cost Eciv nert Cost Currert $ 4 810 10 12
ftP ic ro717953 I rarszc-t $0
r r $0|
f7753 $t S2100S23-13 so 1233-7 37 933747 ($S62-202 (23N ($682280)S Z-2) z $11279 M--7
3 2 $12 $Q373 (447205 $47 67-3 t$453t2 ($487110)3173 $DE 3S 2 2712 T 3S1249 t1$2532) ($2Sj731 ($292049 ($30-23)v W 2n UL22 22732
4 0 so 37 7 SE2923 (-2742S) ($27 531 ($146842)$0 1 57 $ 3 H 5 7 8 fit 73 1 2 8 0$2208 0 $0 3S tKj2 H872Q $237763 121 449 1-543 $17901 S6 3$ $1o73 32152 0 so Ins I25 E7 $1373 524796 152334 S373 47 o1l953 12503tq7 $21 0 so ni8 $2E 8( C3973 t715740 521 13 $24792954413 $1 190
0 $ 1279 $2343 0 33 6 5S L3 73 152 ME3 $22726 SSE913 = k S473433C En 1i c SC 2H6 127-ESE $1373 5237506504E52517O3 $71230 S672916 56391 $0 $13379 $2438 0 $0 113H S773-S25 272 4 5 7 $911492 $726E2 $651646I1 $0 S879 $2457 0 SO 3 $322 1372 5251 1143736 $7C702 $SE7144 $72912313 7 =36 s2 5 $1273 $275173 M160612 S113 353 5954024 $7 55514 SO H1079 121E7 0 so 1s3 I234m3 I 73 $2503H0 1772343 $123966 $1036208 S 414415 $ $1o7 $S3 0 $0 11336 C3002 $1 $3K7Z $1372 $St7557 S M37330 A1746$9M 840a $- 2 56 c so 3 1m237i 123287 129 3 MI42 LEE $97E34717 SO $13879 $-740 $0 1296 531S3525
12 7 1387 $2-30 $2 $51637 5 4E97 5 A 2vO 1 ST2 0 0a7 $209 1123S 1314 $13879 1305 264 $241E979 C59 43E 30N IbX3 581Ws19 $0 11387 $2356 0 $0 11336 $3H526 $13879 $311647 $2570817 $1677425 5133377 $111010820 $0 $12879 $2114 0 $0 i13 $33203S $13879 $318157 $2721828 61751146 S415399 $114704821 ($6300) $13879 $272 0 $0 11396 $338677 $7579 $331028 $2872937 $1822182 $1464614 $1181372
$71653 $279893 0$0 M819 S56686) $991546 $4095054
A-27
TABLE A-14 (Contd) 3M-S rET-N7 CSTS TPULZ CalLNated)
Ecobullric anf 7rT a f- Erer Investrents -- E F ay A 1916
Capita Sosts BersEft taraampeters R-ae -eturf 3402
Aczuisitjorn $717953 Trarnscrtatior $0
Price of Oil Oil Escalat
$2000 bbl year
(yr 1) poundai_ PEcf cf BC
Zcnstructior $0 Rate Penefits Costs NOV Ratio ir$tez)rectio
TOTAL tCa ) $717 953
Enrgy Savrs Fuel Use
1129 bblyear 0 bblyear
==shy0$568GG00 2- $4 33257
$954E $342962
$4535 054 $3 534i
574 487
Lo stru 6 Time 10 con-h r1 e-
4$3773943 $357118
E2Z17363
$9S 011 $2 872 937 S877493 $2279625 $S5518 S1 822182
41736 360 313
rPEratino ans Nrmal Maintenance Costs
Oueratirg Cost $13872 year Cpratir Lifetime 21 years
0 S2302104-1-$214493G
2$2004 53 -1S 78330
$5374n9$330008
$S2323 $817216
$464614$131A93
$IE1372 2051674
275 258
243 230
Major Equiprent RepairReplacemernt 14 $17 5843 5 $1G663919
$311730 SS06754
$954113 $7 165
218 206
Replace Cost Replace Period
(N6300)period 20 years
16 $571753 18 $1412159 20 $1279474
$802 22 $794327 $787687
$769524 $617832 $491787
6 178 162
A-28
- ranzcal Analysis fc- Enery vestrent_ - Eynt EE 0
TALE t-E
77 P7 q (NU - C$Ipp Asumzr_ O EscaatorRate cf 0
ot _o-tr o
ct of Oil $1-
Fuel Used (Ebl)
FL Cost
Save Ergy
Ecuiv
a1e e-
Errgy r
ost Ca--ic
rrer $ DisEcurted Cash 4 8
Floh (NPV) 10
P i 12n
I
I
Acuis~tion S177 Trar-pcr T
cnstr=ticr $0 rernct cshy
7S7
-
V I
In
I $1227
t3S7
I27T
2E F - 03
1706Q_
0
0 $0
0S0 1
--shy29 S4748
E $-5
3 2419 122723 $32
I3F 13 33f
$72
137 $187 7 $13879
S2$ (333727-3
7Z73 ($4 707
SZS2 E-I (V454 1 135104E 3$2 4 S3--2S3
($672733)
($41ESE2)
$1743-7$c 271122
(72731
($421-20)
(SIS7723$23000
$2-1152
(S672783
(S4252
S201430)$4E39
$1203
-$ 3
14
IS 7
18 19
20
21
C$$3875
c $ 17
$17573-$$ S 2 73
S $12272
S 10 113273
$0 12E73
V$ 1-73 $0 7 $0 $1327
$0 $13872 V $13873
$0 $13873
(05300) $13879
12760 82
227272
3 $232
$3047
$3108 $317
$3234
$323
t$365 $3432
$3507
13571
$3642
13715
0
C
C J
0 C
0
0 0 0
0
0
0
1
10
$0
$c
so $0
so
$0 $0
$0
$0
$0
$0
336 $314553 1133S $32844 2H t61735
133 1 3S 135G $34(432
1336 $7gt
1332 $354227 1133 $30132L
13 $363543
$37
139E $383432 11222 $23
1 S332$3=22 1133 $406 9-7
113 $415046
11396 $423346
s12 7 $i E74 $8 $47575_ $846 $13E79 1-_- - $ tq520120 s 379 3132332 1103568 S3f2050 1750934
01279 133227 11 _2433 $11024 27 $71 82 373 32 6S0 $1553 S02 $1183280 $038694 $S87 13-3413 S79 04 $1342714 S111722
$237 1o3558 2 134 $148368 $i2632 1387 $347443 $2217146 162562 5133723$ 1 $12753 $254670 $243-151 S1757074 S149 74
S3 $ E K22 $180334 C 5 53 $1337 $362S55 $2 44423 51933835 V16E3750 S3879 $377322 7223 $2106944 51 8M465
$1373 7-E5- $ 24502 $221101 84 2 05-$13 79 $3 3 028 $3437512 $2309366 $1912745
$13373 $401167 $3627923 $2402321 $1978339 S7579 $4f-5767 $387674 $2491523 $2040140
$3E2613 V1813
165S399
$78102 $32673
1014228
$111073 I31253
$282534
$1 35 $1424132
66
$5474 $1572856 S1 39434 $1682535
$71153 $273933 0 $0 22819 $7105250 $991546 $6116704
A-29
TABLE A-15 (Contd)gSSVL1TKE--- TAL-2 12alculated)
-cic ar -ari - lysis fc Erery rvestrrts - Egypt EEP i9IlS
Costs Perefit PararetErs Irsternal Rate cf Return 4318
M-quisition $7174953 Trice of il $200 bbl (yr 1)Transportat ir $ Ci1 scalat 20year Disc PV of PV of BICCostructic-n so
nate Derefits Costs f1] Ratio interconnection $0 Enrgy Savrs 11395 bbiyear
- -FUEUSEQ tYear 0 702250 $99FAG $E11Z704 717TOTPL (Cap) $717953 2$-74 483 $942 962 $4802515 609 4 $4723695 $905011 $3817674 521Construct Tirr 10 ronths $21-4pound397 $877493 $20E2904 450 8w $3 704 $855181 2 23 3910perztin and rcaMainterance Costs 10 $277630 $837483 $2 040 140 344
Operating Cost $13379 year 1I$2681 244 s830008 $1851237 323 12 $S2505816 iK23281 $162 535Operating_ Lifetime 21 years
304 13 $2348613 $817216 $1531397 287 14 $2207304 $311730 $139-574 2072Major Equipmert RepairReplacement 15 $2079899 $60E754 $1273145 258 1 $1924 $802229 $162462 245Replace Cost $300period 18 $176Z198 $794327 $370871 222Replace Period 20 years 20 $1593342 $787687 $811655 203
A-30
rcrc= ~ar rial Zralys- f- Erery lrivertfrentE -- E_=yt E
TQILE P-6
Fo Ca-se cfIELD TEST 4 - H-L4AN TEXTILPSIR
sunrini Esalation Rate cf 21
rILU3 WASTE H7AT Ey VD-- OIL 530B)
YEar aia
eratir Cost of Oil
cSst $1b Fuel Used ru
Ergry
Ecu I ZaVE f
ZnEr y Anru
COSt aS 7-06
rret 1 -iEzurtE 4
Cash 3
Flow (NV) 10
3 = 8
1 ra-rt
rn-rjt or $0 $0
4
2
14
15
16 17
is 12
20 21
73
$0 $7 so $0 $0$0 $0
C
$0
$0
S $ $0
so $0
$0 ($6300)
232-
23277w 37 63S
119 S387 $2879$13q73 $711$c
3273
1373 2733
S387-
S1237
2M79 $13r379
$12873 $13873
$13879 $3879
$35 S$ 60
3 284 $-247 S-is $3378 $3446$L515( $-c
$357
$73 0 $3805
$23
$-3958
S4022 $4118
$4201 $4265
$4370 $4458
00 0 0 0 0 0 0C
0
0 (
0
0
3 0
0
0 0
SO $0 SO $0 $l $0 $0 $0
S1 so $0
$0
$0
$0
$0 so
$0 $0
M51--S1333 $343 718 261- s337
33 2 33S $273062 3 $377453 233H $35012 336 3K1173I3 4f =c
$40Z S72
133S $41E750 136 $42525 1396 $43287
136 S442253 113 $451102
$4 2 1393 $4-C223 13^6 s4727-11396 $483289 i39g $498OE5 11396 $508016
hC S23873
$13873 S13873 T1387 $13 S72 $-
3 S 7 $23873 2 I12579 233q73
$17379
$12273 SI6373
513373 $13279
$13879 $7579
5
3332- ($$32236 (SS3386) ($$3335)12342333 ( H32t ( (1358887) 36 23 1813 (12- 1) (-- 20) (176337 ($3K-
-333743 27 264n4 27-3 $1Z756 1 5 35S133 $ 2-5 $47E533 $429034 S2-253 $3S3584 $32$TK-40 $65473 $559135 271133 $18 2 392 86423S777323 $378E34 $L5375Z $ E 66 103688 St458
- 44 3 $7 3 88 $230 S104765
3 202224 S57_- $1406472 S1247C37S402671 $DD141s $S773936$561796 $1376S11 1266 5r2 Q5SK235 S s 03
$41370P S2 79 $211E957 t 3653 $160275 $425379 13 27352 $227448 V3733 $437224 2 4$2 7t79390 $443246 125 32- $2564014 $285102 1J7317 $4-5449352 3 536 95 2284 $8294S311 $464336 $4070 026 $2322SE $2376786 12012911 $474410 $4304208 $2941307 $2462113 $2075603 $44176 $4534018 $305Z49 $2541279 $2130820 $500437 S47[2411 $3160864 $2615666 $2183698
$711653 $27993 0 $0 E29819 $8529900 $991546 $7538354
A-31
TLE TABLE A-16 (Contd)
- -1T E l-ate)
Znor~i ari -iraria2 alysis for Energy ireVstrents - Egypt EA1
LEitET Csts Eerefit Pararveters Interra Rate of eturr f255
Acouisition $752 ranspecrtaticr $$ Construction $0
rtercorrectior so
Price cf 04 0i Escaiat
Enrgy Savrs
$3 b (y-0yaar
1335 5byear
1) Dis- Rate
-
2V cf Benefits
PVof Costs NPV
BC Ratio
----------T2T_ CapL
--- Fuel Use 0 byear 852230C s432 $
$55 342 H5
77538254 $$f95$ 6A2- 6
860
--rstrct Tire 10 rths 4 $56642 6$473r-67
$90E 011 $877 49
$47E2411 $335- 184
62 E40
Operating and Nomra Maitenance Costs 8$4016044
10 $3452155 $8KZ 31 $827483
13 856amp4 $269666
470 412
Operating Cost Dperating Lifetime
$3872 21
year years
1 3217493 12n $00E930 13 $2218335
$33000c $823281 $817216
f2 387 486 $2183693 $2001 1
383 365 345
Major Equipment Repirez acement 4$2648765
15 $2A4S5619 $811730 $802754
1637035 $1689125
o 309
Replace Cost Replace Period
($5300)period 20 years
-$2327629 18 $2118238 20 $1919210
$822 $794327 $787687
$55 400 $1213911 $131524
-94 267 244
A-32
Eccic and iranza Pr-i- frEre irvEter -- Eypt EEq 10135-
TRPLE A-17
FcrCse TZST 44 - HELWN T-EE-2- WA7ST EW PRfL KMIY rOIL $351BL) Ass-ir- 02lEaldegio Rate cf 20
Saved Ya- cfCEita7 Ocratin Ccst of Di Fuel Used Fuel E rerry SavEd rd Caa--FioA Liscoured Cash Flow (MTN)Year -St cst SBbI (2b2) Cost Equiv i
rerV C-rrert $ 4 8 10 12
ransport P
I rt-rzcre ic $
ctal t777 SH$00 0 so
1833 5$477 $72255 ($$732 SE279 ) ($S5790) ($653790) ($53790)7-27 $-7 0Z27$0$ 3 $ 94) n- 3
0$0 r- 17365 $414974 $13673 SA 01 S354 $348 92-12 c30$ 12F7c S3714 $0 37 $42ST27 $13 $401-74793 B1 SZ384C $ $342M12 $302215$ $3789 11336 $437 379 S417 $7 $1873 $864 E $E 7 $7 -7730 $0 11336 1440374 $13873 $4 4K3 $G576 1$7330 $SK2736 $M57770 s0 13 44 $187 0 S
$43 E302 $1510 601 S1 E44 $1133453C 1 S7372 $4020 S103 Z- 7 84 S13 50 283 $13442 $1237257S 7S E $411 13 $473 1 873 $4344 $2173553 $1754865 $157379 $420428 I 13879 4183 0 $0 136 $47L575 $337 $4L73Sbull ~$ $--37 -n S2504 707 S9379 $ 7742-0 $ 873177 $42EE 13 $-71 11133S 1299 IO4 2 37$4 23 273 -2-3 $2823796 $225158 $9523 $733394S7 $352 0 so 11326 54H $ 3 4 $3332 $241302 1212330 t8773732 $ 73 $4433 0 $0 11336 55585 712579 $47 $34 $2607271 $2 282067 $200425014 1 $11279 $4522 0 $0
12 11335 S515963 $1 273 1522 089 $74=754 $273 888 2427504 $2 113 3155 $0 7873 $4amp81- S $28973 S4711
0 $ $ 227 1 79 1511405 44rN657 $296E343 $2 43a $22241640 so 3965 $53z 11E7 t=1937 $-6 113 13 $4232024 2687624 $2319702$534 $31311417 $ 1272 $48 0 $0 11336 $747542 1367 $ 33470 1 535 $328E967 $283766 $24057562 V $1187 $430 0 $0 11336 $55-50 $13873 $544621 $453 543 $3434161 $2311516 $24K07719 $0 $12879 $499 0 $0 11336 $569670 $13873 $555791 $5170903 353248 $3011480 $255835120 10 $13279 $509 0 $0 11396 $591064 $13879 $567185 $5440113 $3704671 $3104220 $26L420521 ($6300) $12879 $5201 0 $0 11336 $532685 $7579 $525106 $5707148 $3830205 $3191192 $2684852
$711653 $279833 0 $0 229819 $9951551 $991546 $80004
A-33
TABLE A-17 (Contd)
Econorni a 7inarcia ay-- fc Ener~y investmerts -- Egypt ZE r986
Ca~it~a cstz Perefit Parameters Irnterrna Rate of Return 6217
Pcquisiticn 7i Transpc-tation $ Constr-ct ior $0
inter-conrection $0
TOTQL (Cap) $717953
--iceof 21 OillEscalat
Enr y Savgs Fuel Use
135K bb (yr 1) 2Ovear
113- bblyear 0 Ltlyear
DI sc PV of Rate Eer eFits
0$9IK551 2$043677
PV of CoS1 ots
$91545 $942908
PaPV
$3960004 $7100709
3C Rat i o
1004 853
Corstruc Time 10 mcrths
Operatirq an Normal Maintenare Costs
OPeratir Cost $13879 year Operating Lifetime 21 years
Major Equipmernt RepairReplacemernt
Replace Cost ($6300)period Replace Period 20 years
A-34
4 $6 613 1-S$ 24 95
8$4amp3825 $$4) 21
11 $3753742 2 $3506143 13$328058 14 $ C9026 15 $23159 16 $27550567 18 $2471278
20 $2239079
$906011 $877 493
$55S 131 $83748-$330008 $823 2 $817216 $S1730 $806754 $802 22n $794327
$787687
$5707 148 $4647 463
$3830205 $3191192 $2927735 $2684862 $2470842
$2278496 $10510-$1943339 $1676951
$1451392
730 630
548 481 452 426 402
381 361 343 311
284
Erno a - raial Ayaavs- fc EErcy IvestLErts -- E 5y 1NObr
TABLE A-B
For Case zf7- D EST 4 - PEWA TEXTLES2R olUS STE H- PE-5- G4-88 ZL Pssur 2i Esalaticr Rats cf 2(
Year
Laital
Cost
Oeratir
Ist
Cost Of Cil
$1IL5
Fue Use
(BL
FE
zc-st
Save Energy
Z4iv
V_-shy_ Saved
Energy
a1
Ccst
F1c
urre-t S
Dafiscourted Cash Flow (NPV) plusmn 4 8 -0 1
1 Trarspzrt $0
4
37--
0
$0
1
$16 $13279
$1387c
$40
$400 $4162
S4245
0
0
0
0
V
s0
$0
1239
11396 11396
336
$75973 $464957 $474255
- 6 $483741
$72026S
113379
137S 7 9 $13879
3644233)
S451078
$477U C 7 $463852
(S64433) (210fG4
14r1$2 5 o0n $-32786
(2644A) (12Z
$1 52 0 7 1
$541cent52
31544293)
(234=-) $ 4
$493269
(364423M)
S24 545) $24$ 5
$452903
A
7 8
-
10
12
13 14 15
16 17
18 19
20
21
$0 t0
0 $0 V $0
So
I$0 $0
$0 $0 $0
$0 $0
$0 $0
$0
($5300)
13273 T2879
$9 S237 $2873 $3873 $13873
$13879 $13879
$13873 $13873 42879
13673 $13879
$13879
$13879
$13879
$13879
14330 $4416
$4505 $4595 $4535 $4687 $4780
$4876 $4973
$5073 $5174 $5278
$5333 $5491
$5601
$5713
$5827
$5344
0
Q5 0 0 0 0
0 0
( 0 0
c 0
0
0
0 0
so so
o
so $0 $0
so $0
S $0 $O
$0 10
$0
$0
s0
$0
236 3133
1136 E I39 11396 11396 35
1396 11396
113 11336 11336
336
1396
11336
113
1135
11336
5$493416 $503264
35) 1 G 1
S531 1534083 $544771
$5665 S566780
1
$523 678 $60471
$612501 $525771
$G39286 55 Q52
$664073
S677 K4
$13873 S473537 $13873 $4834C-E
$13873 $49747 $3979 f50g 7-shy2
$1379 $52CI210 113873 $538321 227$5 -89 S3879 $541787
$79 K $-7579 $54236 $13273 577K $3873 S27532 113973 $53622 t3879 $11892 $3379 S624407
$13879 $337173
$3879 $650194 $757 $669775
$1042696 114443E
$18336301 $222704-
$2607162 1233016093 1
13346172 $7C- 32
$4 05746 $440256 $4742875
$-075824 $51402515
$5723072
$503759
$34c208 $6651884
$935- $825 M $764658$12M617 $10681 S10425
$-43 $1412669 1407 $123372E$715$=2 9
f39- $21843 11916875 $1735031 23 42 $1 $375$ 3427 $214202S t 53G $2636380 03 $9 $2 27 503 12544695 S2200320 $3037575 $2721482 $2405748 $3-3032352- 28970 12537706 S350348 $3045001 $2673393
$3698373 $2 183546 t757485 $3876979 $3 3711 $2867300
14045737 $3446247 12953242 $4205189 $356C8 3041099
$435846 $3657160 $311659 $4493545 $376678 $3186025
$711653 $279893 0 $0 12-93813 $11373201 $991546 $10381654
A-35
TABLE A-18 (Contd)- o-SOS TflBLE BEN T-2T TPBLE 7alculated)
zccc- an FiariJ Analysis for Energy Investments - Egypt EEA
Capita Colts BerEfit Parameters nterna lRate of Returr 7207
Acquisiticon 171753 Price of Oi $4000 lbL (yr 1) Transportation $0 Dil Escalat 20vear Disz FV of PV of BC
Construction $0 Rate Benefits Costs TV Ratio Iterconnection $0 Errgy Savrigs M-35 bblyear
-- -- ------- Fuel Use 0 bblyear $W373o $99546 $10381654 1147 TCTAL Cap) S717S53 2$1 773 $942968 SB2 49 - 5 975
4$7557396 $906011 $6E5884 834 Zonstruct Time 10 months 6 $-314236 $877493 15436743 72n
51354726 S855 18 1 $4 42S 545 G20Operating and Norcal ainterarce Costs 0$4604207 $S37489 $3766718 550
1$4289991 $3000 $345983 517 OeI-ating Cost $13879 year 48712 $4003306 $123281 $318G025
Operatin Lifetice 21 years r3 $177781 $817216 $2940565 460
14 $53637 $8730 $2719957 435 Vajcr Equiprrent RepairReplacement A $3327839 $80S754 $2521084 412
16 Z3 143506E $80212209 $2341277 392Replace Cost ($6300)period 18 $2824317 $794327 $2029990 356
Replace Period 20 years 200 $2558947 $787687 $1771260 325
A-36
E~zcrorci an4 ariaqrysr for EnEy Ivestrets -- -Gyrt = 3P
F c r C a s e o f F - r T 3 3 4 - j r 7 o i o s X_--
E 4 OR $251 FT -RC= $159P
ss=insectCA Escalation Rate cf 20
Save a - shyCaita eratirn Cost cf 01 Fue Used Fuel Ener) SavE AnnaI ash Floi Discounted Cash Flow () 9 iyE- cost Cost $Bb (2b1 Cost Epoundalv Energy Cost Current $ 4 8 10 12
l cuisiis 52452
Trans $2 Corstru_ o
ta 4 $-52 S $0 S2832 3$-22955 s28Sz3 ($128968) ($28928) (128)tc 52 C 10 34-2 $-324 S Z 24 ($125877 M$25991) (T2045) (S260981$ 0 $-55 0 s 34s S5431 $2110 s ($22707 ($123144) (3123301) (23450)$0 $ $2 0 $0 342 $f540 $2110s 40 11 S758) (242) 20704 S2 009S0 $T2-4 0 $0 34 $2110 25a0 (1273) (S17820 (32 3S759)S$0 2 $1G56 C $0 348 $763 $ 3 (1 1 3 7A s2 $13 0 f0 34 $E873 $2110 $379 (I0750 $12S ( S1 $14777)VC 2 $172- 0 $0 348 $-39 s 2 C2 $38ES (107797) h$1 (51)$130950 52110 $1757 C $0 342 $11 S2110 S400r ($104870) (t103526) (111004 ) (211401)$ c 120 $1793 C $0 348 $S28 522O S4123 31S9) (S10461 (S OS M) (1092) s210 I 512_ 348 $363 S2110 $42-5 (S39096) ($104491) ( S037($103 543)$0 S220 $sE5 0 ti shy32 t54 211 $435-0 (M251)
-- (S10261 ($22 ($07284)$0 $220 $1902 0 $1 343 $r2) 2110 $4510 (S93434) ($100821) 31$03G84) ($10512)14 $o S2110 $1940 0 $0 34 573 $2110 54243 ($50645) (S92114) (5)02340) (15062)5$0 52110 $1979bull 0 $0 343 S5683 I2110 $4778 (37am) ($9742q) ($10102) (S104085)6 $0 $2110 $201 0 so 342 S7C7 $21 $421517 50 ($5155) ($95 938) (ST2 90 ($103 1861$2110 0 )2059 348 $71 2 $$2o $ ms $22458) ($94462) ($S-30O ($102)o11 $ $2110 $210o 0 $0 34S
19 $7303 $2110 $-19- ($73789) ($92057) ($377T6 (01605$0 $2110 $2142 0 $0 348 $745M $2110 -5345 ($77150) ($91720) ($3814) ($100909)20 $0 $2110 S2185 0 $0
21 ($5438) $2110 $--29 0 348 $7605 $2 Ili $5495 ($74542) ($90446) (9916) ($100271)
$0 348 $7757 ($3328) $11085 ($69483) ($88068) ($9426a) (99 I2)
$124048 $42552 0 $0 7018 $130239 $166600 (36361)
A-37
ABSUPTIOS TABLE TABLE TABLE A-19 (Contd) IT--CCOTS TAL --C ed
and Fina-E P7aiysiz fc- Energy IrvestzErts -- ypt EE
aPita Ccsts Benrefit Parateters
Pquisitio 2948S Price cf Oil $1500 lbi (yr 1)Transortatior $0 Oil Escalat 20year
onstructio $0
rterconrectior $0 Enrgy Savns 348 b5year Fuel Use 0 thi
TOTAL (Cap) $123466
Construct Tirfe 10 months
Ozerating amNormal Mairterance Costs
Operatin Cost $2 110 year Oerating Lifetime 21 years
Major Equipment RepairReplaceuert
Replace Cost ($5438)Period Replace Period 2 years
Internal Rate of Return
Disc PV of PFJof Rate Benefits Costs
-=_
0 U -1c233 s 6660 2 $105270 $160683
4 $83543 $15031 6 $72307 $E2344
8 $61319 $149387 le S5272 914S33-
11 $49126 $14E566 12 $4912 $145034 3 $4 032 $144180
14 4144-- $143417 15 $38108 $142713
16 $35 9 7 $142068 18 $32342 $140933 2 $29303 $139971
-2 63
NIN
$32 ($55410)
($6943($8 037)
($80 8) ($343_68)
($C-33323(99 22)
($101156)
($102974) ($104604)
($106071) ($102591)
($110667)
Ratio
073
066
055 047
041 C36
034 03
30
28 027
0 25 023
021
A-38
For Case - -EL 7 7 14 - HELPN EXTLiIPH 0LECTOR PRV =552FT - PRIEC OL S2L Pssurin Oi Zscalaticr Rate cf 2C
SavEd a- c Cost of CII FUE1 Useer CUE Energy Eavn Arnual Ca ow sSZOLnte- Cash Flow ( NV) iYear Ct Ct Ipbl (P2-) Cost Ecsiv Ererry ZOst Currert $ 4 3 0 2 is-t i c r
_ _____ _
Traszr $C - LCrErZt cr 30
i tercorrezcr SO 21 53 $1 $1223 ($23378 $123pound73 ($23673) ($22673) ($123578)$ 72c Q0$24c $0 348 S7033 $2h1c i4S83 $2680 2124053) (12442) (1243)$21~ 0 0so 34a 17241 $2C $5121 3 (E -59)($112301) ($12012)4so So c V- Z $-co 348 7 $2110 $5275 -44- (1115471 ($15371 (lII3- $21 $25 ) $9 348 $7534 1I2110 5424 1038O) (111484) ($I-33 1I2930$0 $211 $2205 c $0 345 768 $2110 $-E574 ($105228) (7076G0) (105772) (037S7)
$0 2110 $-52 c $) 48 728 n04 SC Sshy$ $-bO $5723 C l00701 ($10408 SO55r ($ICS585)o $U S2110 P-3a7S0 $13 0 $0 348 Si110 $-525$2343 0 343 3430341 $2 (Si L- f E471 1$0$ 8) ($C4 203$) $_ -- $21 t$3050l 31($812) (S97231) (53673) ($10762
t t110 t c 3 2 M745)$0 203 ($94275) ($97066) (M23)S1 52110 $2438 Q $0 349 124B4 $2 $E374 (9g1 f$948 3)($2 144) 3233 ($07471)$110 $Z487 C $0 348 $2354 $2110 $r544 ($75894) ($88516) ($ 3 1 ($=120)$0 $2110 $25313 0 t0 342 $2227 T2110
1 $E717 ($74632) ( 849) ($901174) ($33855
$0 $20 $2557tbull I 0 034 $3 0034$34 S211 7) ($33314)S263 M$8178) (S32 2u)15 $0~ ($to50 $2110 $2333 0 $0 343 $3184 $210$7074 $ 473 ($2090S) ($83 315) ($3032)$0 $211 ( $2332 0 $01L 348 $ S237 $2110 $727 ($32444) ($73618) $34578) $83512)7 $0 72 10 $2746 0 $0 343 S555 $2110 S744E 3$5340 ($7S445) (323-7 (333293)1 $0 5210 $280 0 $0 348 $2745 $2110 $7636 ($54542) I 43W ($21447) (2B7156)$0o $2110 $225L 0 $0 349 $3341 $2110 S7831 ($50684) ($72422) ($80038) ($35163)2C $0 $2110 $2914 0 $0 348 $1023 $2110 $3029 ($46872) ($7WC561 (75726) ($85235)21 ($5439) $2110 $272 0 $0 346 $10342 ($3328) $13670 ($40634) ($676S2) ($76694) ($83818)
$124043 $42552 0 $0 7018 $17362 $163 00 $7052 A-39
TABLE A-20 (Contd) P-SJ 2DTPKE rZFT7-CGS72 TLAK (acutated)
Hom and Firaa ralvsis fcr Erergy Investments - Egypt EEAn 5S
Za-ital Costs Benefit Paraeters lnterrna Rate cf Return 046
Acquisition $129485 Price of Oil $22O0 1bb (yr 1)Transoortation $0 Di Escala 2Oyear Disc PV f PV of BCConstructior Rate Beniefits Costs Ratio Interconrnection $0 Errgy Savngs 348 bblyear - --- =_
Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 $173252 $16E600 $705 104 (Cao)bull0TL1a8 $14 360 $10c ($ 320) 087
4 $115398 $155031 ($40634) 074Corstruct Time 0 -rnths A $36409 $152 34 ($55935) 063 8 $8A759 $14937 ($7623) 0Operatin and Normal Maintenanrce Costs CIA $70299 $14S933 ($76694) 048
11 $55502 $145 966 ($0464) 045Operating Cost $210 year 12 $51216 $145034 ($33818) 042Operating Lifetime 2years 13 $57376 $144188 ($85812) 040 14 $53924 $143417 ($89493 038Kajor Equipmert RepairReplacement $C811 142713 ($91901) 36 IS $47997 $142068 ($94071) 034Salvage Value ($5438)period 18 $432- $140933 ($97810) 031
Replace Period 20 years 201 $39071 $139971 ($100899) 028
A-40
- End - Ar y= fcr ZErcy~gt Ef-tS - ~ Aq
TiE fl-2[
-or -ase
Assamin
c
Ui
Tf-L0EST 4 -
E-alation Rate f
TECTh- 211
20 25BFJ
Yec-
-_ ztr
fs
nrt-r--et
YEzEta u-rir z os
___=== shy = i2 ~~
z-_ 233
r $
of deg $i2
- Lse (Ebi)
ICoRue
Cost
Saved Ersery
Ecuiv
Va -cf Saved
Erery
5 S
n-a
-shyt
zas CIO
Curt S
t
Discounted Cash
4
Ficii 0 V)
0C
1 =
4
2
14 1 17 17
12 19 20 21
5-
s$
s 12
ampc
SO SC
$3 5 $0
(5 438)
2II0 2 110
S$210$o
12102IC
2110 SC$
U0 52 10
O QI0I $2110 521110 $2I07343
$2110 $2110 $2110 $2110
--23OI 1
Q27^S7SC
7
f_522 $2 3
S2147 $2SQ 53171
34 23 EE
13 534Vo$344)
$35o $3571 53342 53715
Ct
-1C
o
0 C
0
0 0
0 0
C 0
0
$0$034-=
s5
$50
s3$s4
$ $0
5$
so $0
$ $0
$O $0 s0 S0
348
343Z4
348
34E 342
342 342
34S 342 3474E 348 348
345 348 348 348
13574$ = $
$3
$3417sampo
$ 7E3
1 3-$337
euroscs $1 37
s3 $254 $1S t9 03
$121 1 S1242 $12674 $12 928
V2 31 -shy
11C
2110s519
2 12-0
1S 11 145
$2C
$2110
t2 110 $210
S2 110 $2110 $2110 ($3328)
33 2-72 ZZS ($13333 335B3 122S7 4 ($ E 22 25) ($13-2 3 (t12243)4 ($t1 ($pound 7) I$1692 $t5 S5 -
1 4 $7123 3$M234 ft 91 11745)--- $175)
$7307 31028 S C5148) ($106(1 7SC $5- t7495 ($737 (IiCc047 cs (-02843
783 ($cZ203) ($37185 (32353shy$7854 (1S4 6 1 533 (133122 (523371 $8133 ($7E754) (SS3 5) M335)) (ic21-h)
$S27 (7222) (32C900 ($2525 ($83134) $495 ($87 23 78 ) 382 5Wc ($5399)12 717 ($5 ($44-0 (7350I (583995)$3924 9 53 ($70 8771 (S7664) ($81605)V1144 (S$2471 ($67514) ($74016) (579509)
($45C (64324) ((715434) (S772) $33 5337301 ($5292) (5 2501 ($7 838)$7533 ($58428) ($8711C) ($74234) 0 )72 29303 ($5706) (S5 11a ($72767)1$0316 (24217) ($53124) (S5322) ($71425) $10564 (S19203) ($50676) ($6155) ($70199) $16256 ($11754) ($47129) ($59119) ($685141
$124043$42552 0 $0 7018 $217065 166500 50465
A-41
ELSTU0 TABLE TABLE A-21 (Contd)
PLE(-
Zcoo r Firatia iavsis fc- Energy Irvesterts shy Eypt EE1
C itz Zosts enefit Paraveters Irterraz Rate cf REturr 304
zao-isitior S12948E Traszrtzti $0
l rtier to Interzorrectio $0
Price of Oil 0 Escalat
Errgy Savnrgs
$250C bb (yr 20vear
342 bIyear
Disc Rate -
WV of Ienef-
W cf Fcsts N
BC Ratio
- --
TJT -------shy
1 486 FuEl Use 0 bblvear ^
-a-27 H-S$17 450
$SG0 s16K 580
$E 4S $14770
30
109
Construct Tive 10 crths 4^ 6
$144247 $2051
$I-o0 2344
$17S4) (4P 832)
02 073
Coeratirsect and Normal Mairtenance Costs
Operatir Cost $2110 year 0oeratin~ Lifetinie 21 years
8 0 1
2
$102198 $27874 3-877
$7E520 $$7720
$14937 $14S33 $145S3
$145034 V44122
$47123) ($ 119) ($64039)
($68514) $72458)
068 060 056 053 050
Mamr Equipmet ReoairReplacemert 14 1
$97405 $143417 1427
($76012) (179199)
047 045
REplace Cost Replace Period
($5438)period 20 years
6 18 20
$59996 $53304 $43839
$142068 $140 233 $139971
($82072) ($87030) ($91131)
042 C38 035
A-42
TRSLE 1-22
F- cf-- s 14- HELN Esumlr Oi Esampaton Rat2 cf
(TC2LEHr Trorp-
20 -P z-3 z-
1iazip Ycst
Ls-cr 113 -
0eratir Cost
Cott of oil W
Fte e c
-e el Ct
Savec Energy Ev
Va1-_ of -avef
ErErcy pnua
st a=n 7c DirountEj Ca_
E-rre-t $ 40 8 Flo (NPN) i
10 =
12
4 f
7
10
N-I-
1-
15
$ 7
is
19
I 21
C rutc
0t13oo
V 12 116 30E 11 $321
so No 13LR $- 110 z347 $ t-1 $33 2
S 8029 $3278 2li $344E
S0 f2I0 1315 - - 1 35
S1 r t2110 1373C-
S S212 $3 15 2 1 S281
$S)S2 5I3908 $ S4(38
so QAc2h18 41 SO $s2 $420 50 $2 11 $4 so $110 $4370
$5433) $2110 $4455
$124048 $42552
0
c 0
0
0
0
0
0 C 0 c
0 0
0 0
0 0
0
S
10 345 so 34
so 248 to 345
C 34S
so 3 $ 348 $0 348 $0 348o
$0 348 0 348
$ 345 so 3$6
so 348
$0 348 s A3 $0 348
SO 348
$0 348 $0 348
$0 7018
Q74C 12-
s649 - 1 s B3 110
in1 73 p311 S30 $2110 1127 f110
$11757 2110 $13 I-sI S2322_2ltU1510
2477 130
S 72H 11 S s- $1 2 1-110 s17o- s2
t3770 5-10 $14051 $2110 S302 S2 S14613 $21(
$1491 $ 1 $15203 $3110 $15513 ($332
$260478 $-SF600
A-43
53 ($85557 27Z- )S17
V5S59 10 1 3131 ($9-
12417 e -^-
$-E47 ( S) sI S t730)2
5 L22
1c357 4SW III
S1STs ($241)$1037 s173) 1 30 127 27)
Sc1L33 331 3X4
1 L 5 -267)
$is 7o7) 510L 3 ^41)
2 S2 8 U249
$3S10-2 $346S $18841 170-5
1$93 78
($(225 ($128038)
12 5 52 33- 1 12683 (1M 3102)
1105 EEG) 3$1 364 $3--3) $C 10-
($92 (534$ 3 (1S3225) (33734) ($o5s (s82733
$7 030) (79 0 11) 33 7041(IN
(647) $70511)($50334 (670 (1904) ($53154)
5( 714 (E 8 54) ($47743) 3567S2 $437) ($S33 3540411) fS5123
t070(37030) (4E7331
($33 827) - (S45E
($30 7K) ($44344) (26749) $41544)
($1202a
(31204741 (51347T
IS(117 C272 1( -_- ($SC) I ($627)
(132453) ($7 745)
( 2S ($712
(5344) $SE73S)
My AS)
($2 14) (5601171)
(556T
($5-5-E54)
($55162) (53210)
TABLE A-22 (Contd)
Ezrzic and Fir-a Analv=is Er=-ry Invest-eants - Egypt EEfl oI 1
Catal Costs Benefit Para-eters l-tera ate of Return 532
Pccuisitio $12943s Price c Cii Transportation $ Oi Escalat
Construct iorn $0 Interconnection $0 Enry Savrs
--- - --- el Use TOTAL LCap) $129485)
Construct Time 10 r-=nths
Operatin and Ncrmal nartErane Costs
Operatin g Cost $210 year Ooerating Lifetire 21 years
Major Equipment RevairReplacemert
Replace Cost ($5438)period Replace Period 20 years
$300 bb (yr 1) 2 Cvear
34E bblyear 0 tblyear
Dic PV cf Rate Eerefits
=-- shy == 0 -260478
2 $210541
4 $172037 6 $144614
8 122 S38 10 $105449 11 $93 253
i2 $91824 13 $86064
14 S00885 15 $76217
16 S71995 18 $64685 20 $58607
PV cfof Costs
$166600
$160680 $15H 02 SE2344
$149337 $146993 $145966
$145034 $144188
$143417 $142713
$142068 $140933 $139971
wgV
$93878
$49860 $17065 ($7730)
(326749) ($41544) (347713) ($53 tn0) ($S3 124)
($62531) ($6649G) ($70073) ($76249) ($81364)
Ratio _
15S 13 1 095 82
C72 067 063 060
C56 053
051 04G 042
A-44
Ecnio af rarcia Ay5s fr Enerzy rvestr-et=- E__y EE- t
TABLE A-23
D 7E4--r Case ofF- - H8LW TEXT-PP C LcTORvR- - p n-OIL 35 _) 9ssu=- Oil Escalation Rate cf 20
spvedCa4t Csratr Zost cf Oi Fuel Used Fel Erergy Vi~
3aved Arral Ca-s 7 2iscurnt (-ir- Flo (NTV) 8 iYear Ec SBbX (Ebi) Cost Eniv Enercy ost Crr $ 4 10 12
1 Trarsort $ bull Ccrstr_-ticy $
1 Ir -e2or tic - $0r
Ttal T4- $352 $300 0 $0 58 $2030 f223 2780) 3$227($1802) (S27803) ($37308)Ss s210 12570 0 so 348 S2424 12 10 10314 $7S3 ($(S2 ) (1342 o 59)
3$ 123 $3541 0 $0 348 $12672 2 11 105S2 022T) (103O023) ($103703 ($10179)4 2 $2 0 $3714 c SO 349 2 $2110 8 ($18 -1 7 ( 0 7 (0 410
S3783 0 to$2110 348 $13 184 $2110 111074 ($53044) (332477) ($34013 ($3-7443)E 10 1-110 S3364 0 $i 345 S3448 $2s SI335 $73716 (1847z (8900)T $21 $342 0 $0 348 $13717 1I10 11607 (571 553) _77447 C$S04-2 ($-3 123)
0 -1( 241 ( 77 ($74 ($77155)so 348 4 $s $7 s$o2110 348 11427$311I0~Snl $8 C $0 $2110 Ll 1Z3) 12944) 1S5 372844)
1 82 20 $L (SIL0 348 S14556 t2 $1244 ($43394) ($57718 (5S33731 ( 1 211r 5428-4 0 $0 343 $4847 S21110 $1277 2 s($7 3) 364254) S $0o 348 1511413 1 $4439 $S I o 13031 - ($ 2 ) ($46228) ( 853834)($0 507)110 f- $0 348 1 447 12 110 $13337 ($18432) ($4C32) ($43644) ($57084)14 $0 $2110 $4528 0 50 348 $E75E t 112 S4 (S102 (394) (4582 (2 9S75 1$10 W4 S 343 16 07 $2110 $139s] ($2234) ($31IG) ($4201f5 ($L I100
16 211SC $24 $4711 0 S 348 $18322 $211 1 14_ 15 7 (S2S 531 ($38-96] ($A 4917 S $2110 $4805 0 $0 348 5721 12 I10 14611 $13437 (22394) (35416) 34S107)18 $C $2110 $4301 0 $0 243 $1-5 $2110 $i345 $21170 (18354) ($32460) ($930)19 $ $20 $4993 $0 343 $17336 52110 $15286 $28715 ($14 529) ($209710) ($4943)20 $0 $2110 $5099 0 $0 348 T17744 $2110 $15634 $36136 ($10 207) ($27 154 ($40 127)21I($5438) $2110 $5201 0 $0 348 $18099 ($3328) $1427 $45915 ($30) ($23969) ($3790)
$124048 $4255 0 $0 7018 303891 $166 amp0 137291
A-45
TABLE A-23 (Contd) PSELTIONS TWPLE H-77-C3T-3 TA-2L Eated)
Econooi and Firnani aIvs4s fe- Ener y Ivestcents - Eypt EE 03i32
Capital Csts Berefit Paraeter- Itera Rate c RetLr- 739
Aqisiti-503S S4ES Pice c ii bb (yr 1)TrasScrtation $0 01 ESalat W0year DiEc PV of P of BC
Corstructior $0 Rate Beneits Costs WPV Ratio rterconrection $0 Enray Savwgs 343 bblyear -
Fuel Use 0 blyear 02E1 S 600 II7721 82TOTAL Cap) $1Z48C Z $1683 $54 350 53
4 $20194S I5E3 $45715 i2CcrstrUct Time 10 mrths E1 716 $152344 $16372 11
8 $143078 $14337 ($S309) 096Operatirpound and Norma Ma~ntenarce Costs 10 $123024 $14E933 (23969) 084
11 $114628 $145956 ($31 33 079Oerating Cost $2 110 year 2 $107128 $145034 ($37906) 074Operating Lifetime 2 years 13 $101408 $144182 (343780) 070
14 $34I26 $143417 (U9050) 066Major Ecuipment RecairReplacemernt $S30 $142_713 ($53793) 062
1S 0584 ($53074) 059$1420O8Salvage Value ($5438)period 18 $75465 $14C 33 ($55468) 054Replace Period 20 years 20 $68375 $139571 ($715) 049
A-46
Ecor-r~c a Fi-ra- aivss VeSt=rts EE2fC- -ErV - E --t
TAFLE A-24
Case cf77-Lf TES 4 - HEWA XTILE1P (M CT P $2zS - PRE-F OIL 640EBLh ssuming Oil Escalation Rate f 20
saved VaiLe Ofonita Doeratir Lcst of Oil Fue Used Fuel Erery -d pYert Ca_ 10 Discourtd Cash Flow (PI 0- i =Cost $1Ebl (2l) Cost Eerv Ztt Crrert 1 4 6L 10 12
I Transmrt onstrLZt ior 4
tr-cnnEc icn $ Tcta f2945 132 $4000j 0 $0$40 SO 58 2 S 33z Is1 5 ) 327515$0=8 34S7 $15 $2- 2 (12728
31 $4060 1 r 0 342 $2C 3 8 1034)IS ($152V (1528) f(E72)14 0 348 49 S20 S-372 SI04-1 (5) 517 (110303) (-058514$ 2 I W A S t o4 3 4 8 $ 4 7 shy 3 12 2 ( S 9 ( SH G ES ) ($7 9 0) ( UT 7 8 4 5 3 $ 2 1432bull 34a S 057 $241 C3 (
$0 ($36142) (M6742) (3614)$0 $2 110 $446 0 $0 348 $159 $22 $17m ($7122) ($77119) 372707) U82191)7$ 4 $0 348 S5751_5 21101if) E5 5)503) $55569) ($72049) ($75218)0$ 4c5sg5 $0 348 $5930 510 $13 0 496) ($E 470) ($54327) ($62033)S so 12 4687 $0 348 $309 21Sc 14 92 (139580) 5079 (15833) 563204)10 $C Uio $4760 0
$0 348 $Ipoundpound36 5 240 -25- (129375) (4E53) (- 42 (37966)$0 12112 1487pound 0 $0 348 $11953 $20
2 S12353 SI9337 (533650) 34S414) ( 5318)0 $2110 $4373 0 s0 348 $1730L 2 1c3 5 Q 15 ($9465) (1 2132) ($41027) (34313)S0 12110 $ 0 $0 348 V14i
$21 $244 3-5905) (35134 344823)$0 $2110 $574 0 $0 34E $112007 $Z19 $5597 $3791 (1114) ($-530 ($41180)o $2110 $275 1 $0 342 $18357 $21 $-257 S19 7916 3$14579) 32724T) ($3754)$2110 $$5393 0 c$0 349 $12734 17
$2110 $Ic24 $28410 MKS) (Q-3269 (34816)$ $2110 $s191 0 6
s0 348 1$3 0o $2110 S162 $37486 (4376) (195E) ($32043)$S 5210 $sa01 0 s0 348 $19431 1211 17331 $43409 $321 ($161301 (12951)11 $0 $-I0 $5713 0 $0 348 1181 $2i10 S7771 SES182 $4768 ($2934) (327 M0I20 $0 $2110 $5827 0 t0 348 $20279 $2110 $16169 $E3805 8378 ($9963) ($25031)21 ($5438) $2110 $5944 0 $0 348 $20 684 ($3328) $24012 $74764 $14 30 (36394) ($n-60L
$124048 $4252 0 $0 7018 $347304 $166600 $180704
A-47
g3EL-iD~- ASSIUPTIDXF LETABSE TABLE A-24 (Contd) - ---C-NCE TFamp mC utCalculated)
zczi a- Farcial alvs- for Erergy IwEstments - Egypt EEA 1 8
CaPital r~csts Perofit Para Eter- Irntr-na Rate of Peturr 932
Acouisition $ E4 Price of Cil TransroortaEtio $G 0i Escalat Construct $
rterrertior $0 Erry Savrs Fuel Use
TOTA Cao) $1_h486
Construct Time 10 eorxths
eratir_ and Norzal Ma-rtenance Costs
Oceratim Cost $2110 year Operati_ LifEtime 21 years
Major Ecaiment RevarReolacert
Replace Cost (5543e)period Replace Period 20 years
$4000 bb (r 1) 20year
348 bbyear 0 bblyear
DisC PV of Rate Perefits
- = 0 $347 304 2 $22720
4 t23C 73 E $19288
$13517 10 4C 9 -- - - $31004
12 12243-2 13 $114751
14 $107847 15 $101622
16 $KS993 18 S84 246 20 $78143
V of Costs
$16 6O $162560
5 63 $1E2344
$43337 $1429c3 $14 9-5
$14E034
$144188
$14347 $142713
$142068 1140933 113971
N71)
$180704 $120040
$74764 $407
$14 13 ($r334)
($14 952)
($22602) ($29437)
(S35570) ($410V30)
(45075) ($54687)
($61828)
BC Ratio
208 175
48 27
109 096 090
084
080
075 071
368 061 056
A-48
Ecra acia a fc Ernerv ivEs=-t -- Eyt E~q IC36
TfPLE A-25
cr Case of-- 7ST 4 - HL4 7EX-vTDUq -T R E $ZvCF 7 P- U 1shygssu-in_ Oi Es~alatior Rate of 20
Saved Value ofDaitalfleratir Cost of Dil -Fel Used Fuel ESrry 5avf Annual as( Fic Discourted Cash Flow (MKV) 8 iYear Cost $IBb (E1 Cost Ecriv -Ercy Cot Currert S 4 8 10 12
I 712 I Trersp $0
ITotal 0712 $311 $1500 0 $0 58 $370 $111022 1t01E2 52) 1103) $ n3)(1h10153) $8 $5302C $0 348 $5324 $186G 458 CLa28 (S10SI) ($07003 (107O5)2 $15In $ 0 $0 348 $543 $18s2 S25s5 0522) ($ 40$ 2 $-7834) ($1040E3 ( 7 ($104 )4 $I62 $12$0 bullS266 $1524M$0 0 $0 34842 $5540
3 $550 S1866-C81C $2674 ($1 ($0 ($37031) 3 $10 $3784 ($32 197)78) ($10$D(3S718) Is0 603(M32204)
6 CS56 0 $0 348 S762 $862 $3857 ($c3828) ($5544) ($22223) ($39992)$052 $I82 c $0 43 $872 $186E $4013 $33 67) ($3301) ($94033 $94353)S$0 $C866 1723 C $0 348 15922 $866 $4130 (U8751d) (390605) ($1914) ($3091)2 $3 $s $1757 so e 33
s 0 343 Stamp 1866 $4256 ($4413) ($82310) ($23921) (131374)$0 $17 22 51732 00 $ 3 2- 1$5 2 522 11866 $4372 3 1 S C 1 ($311 ($82122) ($737C7 ($83738)1 223E$ $ 22 so 348 $82 $866 $4407 ($78702) ($40391 ($25 3431 ($83 3n0)12 $0 $1826 13Ef 0 $0 348 $S490 S1866 $4624 ($7E 29) ($80-5) ($ 4722) ($87020)s0 $1 8 $11302 0 $0 348 $2620 $BE $4754 ($714 $0
323 ($80168) ($33207) ($85800)$1866 $1940 0 so 348 $s753 $182 $4837 ($23334) ($72371) $2722 ($84630)15 s0 $1852 $7 ) $0 348 $8B3 $BE6 $5022 ($22494) ($7L662) ($8146M] ($33653)16 $0 $166 $2019 C $0 348 $702 $1862 (152 ($75035)s $E30) ($73234) ($2 710)17 $1 pound186 $203 $0 348 $7126 $1826 $523y ($50O330) ($73488) ($73081) ($S8845)12 i$ $626 $2100 0 348 $7309 $1866 1544 ($58005) ($72017) (77 0041 ($81053)$0 S866 21421 0 $0 348 f7 455 $186620
$5589 ($ 246) ($70618) ($759M) ($30326)$0 $1866 $2185 u $0 348 $7605 $1866 $5733 (152523) ($63288) ($75060) ($73660)21 ($4650) $1856 $2229 0 $0 348 $7757 ($2784) $10541 ($47712) ($67027) ($73494) ($78567)
$106062 $37631 0 $0 7 018 $130233 $143693 ($13454)
A-49
----
TABLE A-25 (Contd) rzzPTI2CNS 7PBLE EE ~~~TnD Calculated)
-cocc and Fir4anci= Araisis fc ErErgy InvestEerts - Ecypt EEA raI
capital CStE Perefit Parayeters terna Rate of Return -108
czuisiion ie o 0 $I2X yr 1I Tra-spcrtatior $0 2 Zs~t 2 lyear Dis WVof PV of BCConstructior tate
Benefits Costs NIV Ratiointercorrectior $0 Enry Savrgs 343 bblyear =
Fuel Use 0 bblyear C $130239 $143E03 ($13454) 091trp) CTP $10Z S 270 $138405 ($3375 076 4 S 548 $134260 ($47712) 064ConAstruct Time 1S CnTh5 5 $72307 130 76 ($55669) C55 8 s6319 $122 34G ($67027) 048CoeratrE and -crma Maintenarce Costs 0 ($73494) 042
OperatingCost $18- year 1 $49126 $125306 ($761711 03912 $45912 124479 3735-7 037Operatirg Lifetime 21 years 13 $43032 $123728 $8169L) 035 14 $40443 $12 043 $82601) 033Major Equipment RepairReplacemert I$IIE $38108 4419 ($84310) 031$3810
16 $35997 $121847 ($58M) 030Replace Cost ($4650)period 18 $323A2 $120841 ($88499) 027Relace Period 20 years 20 $Q9303 $119988 ($90685) 024
A-50
and Finaie rr_ fir Energ- ivestrents -- Eyt E2 1IMV5
TAPLE P-26
For Case cfFlD TEST 14 - HELWAANXT1LEIP (PRECTO p ZE$221SFT - P UZCF GIL $2VBE Assuraing Gii Escalation Rate of 20
Saved Val e of oita eraplusmn ir Ccst of Cil uee Lsed Fuel Energy 5ave Irr ca Zas F1ow Disconted Cash Flc (NPIV)E iYear- Cos C-st Bo (E 1) Cost Ecuiv En=Ergy Cost ZLrrert $ 4 8 0 12n
ura-z t 7 bull~r ti- $
rterco-retIcr $ITcta $20 0 $O 3 $1160 $111023 15S ) C$1C3853) (5103353) ($I0335 ($103 53)22 5 $2140 C $0 348 $703 $655 233 ($10Q8311 ($105017 (W05106) ($105Igl)S$ $EEG $2081 0 50 7 $537Z ($$33E41 24 1 183 (1040 (1 663 ($ 35)$EE863 $2-22 0 so 342
0 $733G 18E s527 (P9454) ($03 (56- ( 7)- $QLES( 033 so 343 $7S=34 S 2U- $G 568 ($3110) ()161) ($2645) ($93374)$S E 202C0 $0
7 348 $76E934 $1365 $5818 (S527) ($3730) ($83CK) ($90073V0 $1 s 5 f2252 0 0 343 5738 I6
- V5972 (80 377) (1413) ($5E ) ($37 047)_336 $2297 C $0 34S $75 s - shys- ~ (-1MO M r2~ ~ $ g0~ - J - 322$ ($84275)to S186b $2343 0 s0 343 $a10$ = (300 S186 5$233 (71 355 (7164) ($752 ($1735)to 34S 21313 t566 Z54582) (73 (17S846) 3$73409)r T-357)
0 415-3 $1$238 0 $0 343 $13484 $H6 18S (1 31) ($70 871) ($7424) ($77278)--ES $2437 C s0 348 $2654 S1855 $$73 (t 73$
41) ($70 1 (7) ($75 326)$1B3s $2536 0 s0 14
348 S227 $1865 $S761 ($53594) ($E519S) (5S367 (S73539) 5
t 61656 $2587 c s0 342 $004 Si856 $7133 1$4307) ($62571) i53201 (S1904)51 $125 $2539 0 $0 348 $ 184 M866 $7318 f45081) ($50080) (65703) (570406)i5 $ 861855 $232 0 $0 S13 $7 $5 $751 (34916) ($57715) (63S07) $559036)17 tO 51833 52746 tO 343 $55 51S66 $7539 ($5311 ($55471) ($32234) ($67732)is - s866 $2800 0 $0 34 5 74S S 865 $7880 ($-2766 f534I) ($50675) (3634)13 s0 $18665 $2856 0 $0 348 $S994 $1866 $8075 (28 73) ($513M) (M-3223 ($5 584)20 t0 $ass $n 14 0 so 348 $10 13 $1866 $5273 (424253) (342404) ($57870) ($6462A)21 ($465O $1865 52972 0 $0 348 $10342 (32784) 63126 (f18 863) ($46587) ($55919) (63263)
$10G062 $37631 0 s0 7018 S173 2 $143693 29959
A-51
gSv ONSTBLTABLE TALEASSUPTIOS A-26 (Contd) TT-r-TS TA-- alculated)
Econozc ar Firacia Araly-is for Energy Irvestrerts -- Egypt E_ I-
LaoitaI CoSts Benefit Parx-Eters Iterra Rate c-Return 216
Acquisition $110712 Price of 1 $2000 bb (yr 1)Trarspcrtatio $O Oil Escala 20year DiE Pcf PV of BIC
Corstrutior $0 Rate Benefits Costs NV Ratio iterconneztio $0 Enrgy Savrgs 348 bblyear _= -_--
Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 $173 G52 $143693 $2 M 121TOTAL Ca) $712 N $14c 360 $13405 $1955 101
4 $11Z338 $134260 ($18863) O8GConstruct Time 10 tronths 6 $96409 $130976 ($34567) 074
8 $81759 $12346 ($46587) 064Operatinz and Norrva Maintenance Costs 10 $70299 $126216 (S55919) 056 A-1 $6S502 125 30f Ui59 64) 05Operatin Cost $866 year
shy
2 $61216 $124479 ($63263) 049 Oerating Lifetime 21 years 13 $57376 $123723 ($65352) 046
14 $5-7924 $123043 ($9120) 044Major Equipment RepairReplacement 15 $50811 $12419 ($71608) 042
16 $47927 $121847 ($73 851) 039Replace Cost ($4G50)perioQ 18 $43123 $120841 ($77718) 036Replace Period 20 years 20 $39071 $119988 ($80 917) 033
A-52
conc34 an Firnancial Qralvss fcr Ener~y i-veEtvnts -- Eypt EE
TMtSLE 4-27
Fc0 2ase TfiEf - 1ZLN TEXTILEI (WZC PR P3rS22TEST 44 SETOR C7 a- $25IEDU Asi rLz Oil Escalation Rate of Z0
SavBr Vaue f1ta Ccost of Oi Fue Use Yuel[eraing Energy SZve- rnual Cas 71co ritv ed Cash Flow (NPV ) i = -- CostYear ost $1 (Bbl C-st L c r ny Cost C-rre~t 1 4 1r IN0
t1i3iticr tSU712
7rarns~ort $
Ccrtructcr It o $oerconnec
aS 71 S00 0 to 53 1450 1 023 (103 -73 5-3c$3573) ($109573) ($103-73)sgE t C 0 $0 348 S234 S7 CC7 3SZE 1C-084 (3103202) ($103316)$0 $as 2L0 $-r
0 s0 343 $ 51 $1ms5s n7515261) $9924) ($97264) (975M30 $0 348 Ic233 $786-H s364 (tc7E ($91723 (SW344)So286 027 $0 -48 $47 $I 17f51 5E so $ G s S27 EC 0
18 ($3552) ($37545)0 to 348 $q606 $1 86 $Z740 8257 t85 15 C 03 $76 -53 ($817E6) $83154)ss~ g $ 5 7 g2 ( 7 a $2215 $50 348 $9738 $6 $7 2 ($7058) 726 (377287) (79135)Sc S5 K6 372 0 $0 348 Sg934 S6 $2 $64322 ($70 1) 37311 3754599 $0 38 S A 52 s (923371 s1 S7237) ($72036)IC $r t85 12955 0 $0 343 $10377 865 $352 ($-22) (6751 (55615) ($59013)11 so 55 5 247 -0 s0 348 $C61 SlE6 $873S ($493) (t-7) ($-2246) ($55205$ $185 5$ $1510 SO 348 $087 $2811 (L4$54) ($53864) $53108) ($36321O 518) $317 0 $012 348 S1I034 $66 $9168 ($24858) (min22 3 56187) (S61279)14 s$ $S-76 52234 0 $0 348 $11254 $1866 $2382 1$2220) (34S771) (353468) ($59127)E $C $1685 $39 0 $0 -48 $114-9 $666 $3613 3U2668)($43498) ($50936) ($5-7160)so$ $866 $3365 0 so 348 S- 70 $86 13843 2$03)-($40395) ($48560) ($-m3S)
17 so 11862 $432 0 so 348 11-43 $1866 $10077 12 822) (37454 (34G387) (5 718)2 to T866 $350 0 $0 348 $12182 $866 $1016 ($7526) ($34666) ($44345) ($2216)V9$0 $1866 $257 0 $0 348 $12426 $156 $105EC ($2314) ($2023) ($42447) ($50842)2V $3 $1866 53642 0 s0 348 $12674 $1856 S0803 $2816 ($ 519) ($40673) ($49588)21 (54650) $1866 $3715 0 s0 346 $12926 ($2784) $15712 $9987 ($26148) ($33344) ($47M95)
$105062 $37631 0 s0 7018 $217065 S143693 $73372
A-53
PSSU Ns TABLE TABLE A-27 (Contd) FE-E=IT- 2ST3 TA2LE Cal d
Ecortomiz arnc a AIaEsis fc- Enery Irvestmerts - Egypt EE- iC1365
Capital Costs Perefit Parameters lnterral Rate c Return 491
Acquisitic $0712 Price of Oil Trarnsportat $C Oil Escalat Construction $0
Interconrectior $0 Enrny Savngs Fuel Use
TOTlL Cap $0 72
Construct Tiie 10 Moths
Operatinz and Norma Maintenance Cost5
Ooerating Cost $866 year Operating Lifetime 21years
Major Equipnent RepairReplacement
Replace Cost ($4650)period Replace Period 20 years
$2500 bbl ( r 20year
348 bblyear
0 bblyear
1)
A-54
Disc Rate -shy
0 -w
4 6
8 0
11 n
3
14 15
16 18 20
PV zPV EenefitS
$217CS5 $75450
$144247 $$0C $102193 $87374
$81877 $76E20
$71720
$S7405 $63514
19996 $53904 $4883
cf Costs
$143623 $132405
$134260 27
$128346 $2z218
$125306 $124472
$123728
$043 $122412
$121847 S120841 $119988
NPV
$733272 $37045
$2987 ($101465)
($26148) ($38344)
($43429)($47259)
($52008)
($55639) ($532905) ($61251) ($68938) ($71149)
BC Ratio
151 27
107 092
080 070
065 061
058
055 052
049 045 041
E ri- Fra Fa-s fc- Erergy -vetrerts - Egypt EA
TAKLE P-28
o- Case lfF- TEST 4 - HELWATEXTILEIPH (CELECTOR Assuming01l E-calatic Rate c 2C
PRCZ-22I _- 01vS
YeF-ita
Cost 0=erair
Cost st of 0j
IB Fuel Used
(bLI) Fuel Cost
Energy Eciv
Savee ErCr~y
rrua Lost
Eas FIcA Current $
Discountd Cash 4 8
Floh (NPV) 10
i 12
k cuisiicr r7-2 1 Transc-rt $ I Costrut or $3
cta $272 2 S COo
Se $ESE 120 so $ SSr
s3~ zs384cSO $0 $15 S47
6 $3 t135 $--- 2 7S882 53375 a $0 $258 $344E
5 S18 zI^ to $ -ES s3F
1$ ss sss~s S- $181H $3730 SO $1868 $3805
4 $ $35 E i V $8-8 $3258 E 50 $8EE $4038 17 $0 s B S4s SO $0 S8EE $4201
13 tS $18 $428 5 20 $0 $86 $4370 21 ($4650) $1868 $4458
$105 02 $37631
0
I
0
0
0
0 IC
0 0 0 o0 0 0
0 v
0
$0 Es $174
742 t-8c4c SO$0 343 $1
348 51107 $0 348 $11301 $0 348 $1527 SO 342 7m7 so 343 $13 $1 348 S2 32 $C 348 $12477
38V)2 $0 342 $ 345 t3240
$C 348 $ z -to 348 775 so 348 $1405 SO 348 $14 332 $0 343 $14CM $0 348 $14911
$0 348 $KS203 $0 348 $15513
$0 7018 $260478
A-55
III3-3C3
$E- Iass
$1866
$1856 S866 5 865 5185S $3s6
56 65
Sa36
518j$E $8 $866 $ 86 $155
$862 ($2784)
$143633
10I08 23
S7322 2 9
s $3435
$3661
$9S3 s u $03-
$511
$6 $11 $11374
187^ $ 3 $1822 $12 48
273 S13045
$13343 $18297
$118785
3
($1Th22-
(Pc8751
E3 -73
(ME223 (3) 5) ($
4 2231
337784
30447) ($23227) $V23)
3 1 (1 2M)
- IS6 $7t $24453
$30466 $L M3E
(1l123
cs 32443)$22
1
72 611
(SE8 322) () 4741 1154 372)
($4258)
3544E35) ($ 76 S (5325)
3071) ($28E3)
0751 (119 43s
E9 3 ($12725)
($3634) ($5708)
(s0--3) ($33864)5552 $83498
(745001 (S53917) ME-720)
($ES584
($54284)
(S530197) 3413 3542-S7h
(S30- ) (S3170) (332-) ($3 4 23M)
$25870)
($23433) ($20 705)
((e02203)
(S1014411 ($94270)
-855772 7S
(727v1 (37124) ($6S 64) (M62456)
(3E2301
($5133) (33 (02)
ME48-5 ($14314 S41688)
33854) (-7 ($101)
(345m21 (32655)
TABLE A-28 (Contd) S TpLE - Th-CCSTS TPAELE (Calclated)
Ezo ndard Firarla yss fzr Erergy Investrzents -- Egypt M 01I 185
Capita Ccsts BerEfit Paraeters lkterrz ate of Rturr 7351
A-uisit in Trarr~rtaticr Cortro
$117-12 t0
$0
P-ice o Cii Escala
$3000 Ibb (yr 20year
1) Disz ta
V of
Benefits PV of
Costs 1PV BC
Ratio -rnterconretion $( Errzy Savwes 348 bblyear -------
TCTAL (Cap $10 712 Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0
2 $26r-475 2l154C
$143623 $132405
euro16785 $72135
81 152
Corstruct Timne 10 msonth-4 6
173097 $144614
$24260 $131 976
$33836 $13633
12 110
Dperating an Normal Maintenarce Costs 8
0
$122633 $108449 $98253
$12346 $126218 $125 305
(35708) ($32769) ($27053)
096 084 078
Operating Cost
Operating Lifetime $865 year
21 years 1 13
$9824 $5064
$12479 $123728
332E5 ($37664)
074 070
Major Equipment RepaiReplacemeet 14 15
$80985 $7217
$123043 S122419
(42158) ($46202)
065 062
Replace Cost Replace Period
($4650)period
20 years
1 S 20
$719T $64655 $58607
$121847 $120841
$119988
($49852) (356157) (361381)
059 054
049
A-56
Taiaccno arc navsl- fCr erv InVES Et S_ 5E
TWILE A-29
For Case of --T TEST - uMwANTEXTIlEIPP 1Crv=TO PR2E -rR- a PAssuz 0 Escalation Rate of 20
Save Value f Ozeratir iliFuel Usedaoita Cost cf Fuel Energy Saej Annual ash 73w Dis-unted Cash Flow ( ) i = Cst st $1bl (btI) cost Ecuiv Enerzy zt --rrert 4
- Trarsoco-t SC)
I rsterucrneztion 50
I Tc- Z $3500 0 $203 (T01132 (50-932(9933-3) ($IC-9931(12S933S S46SE 170 0 $C 34 $2 424 s1856 $_ssS99217 ($32841) ( 39E (M567)5 52-25 $3541 0 $0 348 52572 $1855 1 bull 23 (58953 ($0457 ($g032)
5-5E0 53714 -7 0 So 10 731)0 g 48 174 ) $ 15 (S33 030)343 $12 S6G 4 7 O t1 Es SBs $3729 0 $1 348 $1284 $865 $318 363344) ($72254) (374425) (37637
S S1E $In3964 0 $0 7
348 $13448 1866 V1152 (IZ3825) M4972) ($67234) (315)53942 0 $V 348 $13717 $1866 (550459 ($54544)5Y1-1 (1-7504) ($6332)
$0 855 $$4020 0 t0 348 t13991 18665 shy12 - ($424V (s 422) ($54322 (tS72273 s aE- $41 0 $0 348 $14271 t856 $19405 S2J81 43728) ($4535) ($2817)10 $0 $1855 $4123 C s0
11 348 $14556 T556 $126 0 ($23265) ($37379 3$433 $4Z2 4
5 $425 $0 348l $0 S 1856 $4352 0 SO 348
0 s0 $14847 $1862 $31 (514495) ($313E5) ($32149) (5440511 $15144 $1866 12272 f(15870) (S25672) (1334 ) ( 244)13 855 $0 $54439 0 348 t5447 t855 $1253 $213 M278) ($2967) (33758)
14 $0 $SE5 $4S23 0 $0 34s 1135-0 955$1Z75C 518s $11C (t15171) ($255144) (533 -5)15 $0 $1855 $4513 0 $0 348 14 (110325)16 to f86 1471
$1071 S856 5131I8 353 (2434 (3066Z 0 $0 348 $1633 11365 S14527 $27224 (5575) ($1725) ($29014)7 $0 t1855 $4805 0 $0 348 $16721 351551865 $14855 (3419) (514693) ($25591)is $0 $1866 $4C1 0
9 $0 348 $17055 $ISG5 15 183 $42353 $2626 ($16 (122791
$0 1855 4999 0 so 348 S173 1B6 515530 550518 $6572 ($894) (521359)2 $0 $1866 1509 0 s0 348 $17744 $1866 t 5878 $58155 $102551 ($6298) ($19516)21 ($4550) $186 $5201 0 $0 348 $18099 (32784) $2883 $67686 $14732 ($3 194) ($17351)
$106052 $37531 0 $0 7018 $303831 $143693 $16018
A-57
TABLE A-29 (Contd) ate
Ecoci ar Pirarzia Evsi fcr ErEr t Eypt EA
3ta CGst= Denefit ParamLeters Interra ate cnf Returt 961
ccisition $I10712 Price of Cil S3502 1b (yr 1) SC
ats rttion $0 Oil Eszalat poundC)year rli P cf FV of Rate Saroaf s Coets N Ratio
Corstruct ion so irtErzonneticn $0 Errgy Savrgs 345 bblyear shy
0 $2^3 89 S143693 $16098 211uLai Use C ttVear 2 $24C30 t 145 507 -2-25 177
TDT CaP) $1SC712 4 $20945 $1342K0 $67686 150 S $-53716 $30975 37740 139
Construct Time 10 rorths 8 $143078 $128346 $14732 111
10 S12024 ($3124) 097 Doerating and Norma Mairtenane Costs 1 1468 $ 3C6 ($10678) 091
-- - ----- 1 $114628 S 3CS09
Operatir Cost $1856 year $1107128 $124479 (17351) 086
13 $13J408 $12723 ($230) 081 Operating Lifetime 21 years
14 $94366 $23043 ($28677) 077
5 $23920 $122419 ($33499) 073 Major Equipeent RepairRepla-ement
15 $23934 $121847 ($37853) 069 3 $75465 $120841 ($45376) 062
Replace Cost ($4650)period 20 $SE375 $112938 ($51614) 057
Replace Period 20 years A-58
Ec- ic and Frana Ara~y- f- Erry Irve=tert5 - Evpt -EEA
TAKE A-30
c Ca__ cf-l_ TrST 4 - HLW TEXTLEiP (Z2LETaP $2S FT shy E OF0i $40B) 9ssuMir Oil Escalation Rate f 20
save alue of-azita eratirg Cost c Oil Fu Ue Fuel Erry --ave Annual Cas DiscountedYEar 0 gas Flow (PV) i =st II) Cost Ezv Energy Cost Curre t $ 4 8 IC0
1 Pcq-isit - l1 02 Transzrt $0
$31 $4000 0 $C 52 0 S
21n232232 757-3) 07 3 f C 27 3 0703 f0373)sc sz-s $4080 a S4105 1 855 8 V7134 ($774532) M751Ss 542S I- 0 Sbullcss ~ S42-4f 0 345 4 82cs $14 7172 1-G1- 1SZ3 18$14772 9 7 W- 02)ssamp $12 7 M( 465) 27 ($87134-I (2377 ($762 577365 ($7344$73-2
32 0 $ $3 057
) fD 3$7-42)
$4_ $BSE 12i Z (57-253 1 SSS325--)(570 O0E) ($791C SSS6 $4505 E 33 S)0 V 345 $15676 $1566 $13Bic1556 6261$0 $5 25S 4 47 (2172) M35400)345 $sfsC $8s6 $4687 0 348
8 2 $27-T 42 (449241 ( 33511)T1309 $866 S 14443$2 2- 522) ( 186) ($43 1771 $0 8SG S4780 0 374S S2636V BEE866 $4876 S0
smsG V14770 ($374E 12EM)3 f$3 293 ($37K 50 3452 f3s8 $1266 13--ZC Il- S5$7 05 $$0S 32 4 7 2193) ($3850)$0 $1566 $4372 0 $-
S 07 -- (2 5B2 273)SC 343 $7302 T1866S0 $1866 $156$3073 $0 $1442 42427 SI (1-2ESP n$2533)0 $0 348 S17954 V866 - $7 4
117amp2 1248 ($S305) (51S-7 ($24497)t $58s6 $2173 0 SO 349 $293G7 $8S6 $121 $34 S229 ($53 ($2072
$0 sB- $233716 0 so 348 18734 $ 56 $SHS28 $ 93 $11 17 51 (t235 (13434 )$02 $556 $G349 0 50s 348 $1910 ISsG $17243 152 144 $16523 S1154 (M527)$0 s856 $56011E 0 $0 348 $9491 $862 $17E23 $6312 213529SID $18E6 $5713 $464 (S8950)0 so 345 $9881 S1 $18015 $77035 $2570 $578W- ($5617)s0 VO15865 $5827 0 $0 348 520279 $1866 $1541321 ($4650) $1866
$53852 $30136 $10892 ($4460)$5944 0 $0 348 $20684 ($2784) $23468 $9235 $3171 $14381 ($2047)
S10606 $37631 0 $0 7018 $347304 $143693 $203611
A-59
TABLE A-30 (Contd)
7Ec-acy ar ka lysis fc7nergy Irvestre-ts - Egypt M I
caita Costs EerEf araetErs RatetEtrr tr 72
PAcuisit ioon $ Price cf Di1 Transortaior SOi1 Es-aat
ortrzt io $0
irteronnectior U0 Enrgy Savs - Fuel Use TDTPL (Ca 51
Construct Time 0 -onths
Ozeating and Norral ainterance Costs
- ----Operating Cost $C66 year
Coerating Lifetime 2 year_
ma=jor Equipmet RepairPElacement
Replace Cost $4650)period Replace Period 20 years
$400k bl (yr -shy year
348 bblyear r bblyear
I)
DIK Rate
0 2
4 4
Epound 10
11 2 12
14 Cal
e s 13 MA
PV of Perfits
$347204 28eC 72f)
2307 c2-817
$153=17 $140 522
$131004 122432 $114751
$07847$101622
$3-993 58646 $78143
1W of Costs
143653 $2C-21 a 40 $4235
$134 260 $ 35 $30276 $E842
$229345 35171 $25218 $143912I1
$125306 $5692 $12473 $123728 $3976)
$1234 $51T6)3088 $122419 (20 796)
$121847 ($25 854 5120 841 (334S5) $119988 ($41846)
PC Ratio
242 2003
172 -47
127
105
323
83
C7 071 065
A-60
orc-ic nFiarcial Aav=s shyr rerr Investrents -- ypt EE
----------
Por Case ofFIE MS 14 - HFLu r Ss~zlnz C Fszalatior Rate cf 20
pRZ3 $2I T iE
Zzplta 2eratir Ccst of 11 FLel Used Yea ccist cst $B (kt
Pcu isit icn107335 Tra-ort $0
Ccstr-t icr I irternect io $0 1 ftctal f 099Z $2K IS C$10 0
$ 6z I$-z 3 $50 5162=0 $56 0
4 S s T5 05 So S= $6L-24 0 E SO S $155E 0 7 $0 $112CI U689 0 C to S680 $1723 0
SO cEo $17 0 S $1793 oIi $ t S1568c28 0
$0 C6S0 $1865 013 $0 $1E8 $1902 0 14 $0 t6Vo $940 015 t0 680 $1979 0 16 $0 1680 $20-19 0 17 $0 iamp80 $2059 0 18 $0 C1680 $2100 0 19 $0 $16580 $2142 0 20 $0 $1680 $2185 0 a1 ($453) $1680 $2229 0
Fue C-5l
S5 ts 23
so $0 $0 $0
so
St)$0 $0 $0
to $0 $0 $c to $0
$0 so
Saved nre-y
E-uii
348 348
348 348 345 343
348 341
-7n
342 348
342 348 348 348 348 248 34C 348
Vaue c Saved
Enerry
t-371 s4
$5421
S- 540 $5 50 $5763 $5279 Sf I9 S
t$- Z5$5353
$5450 $E620
S753 -888
$7025 $7 165 $730 $7455
$7605 $7757
rnnual Zash Flcw Cost Crrert $
1o2 275 1-o07405 $168^ $3E44 $6) 275
t1650 m1 i680 $2970 680 $403
$I680 $ 23 680 S4 31F
680 $4436
amp2553680 $4E33
(1850 $421C f1 680 t 0
$16s0 73 $1680 55202-s1680 $5345 $6 s5456 $16 u $5623
S680$5775 $1680 $5325
$2856) S10612
Diccirted Cas 4 8
5)$C~ S17 4^5) ) 3
152=r
f537 002) W17 751 5332) (9S4633)
($30 V-($ r7) C2SS934) ($83403) ($3 54) 1$5
0412) ($84493)
3 $ o(S74 04N) ($30043) (S7 92 1 (ST79a3)
-$72_) ($75018)
(V783) (374153) 17 K ) (72 (52 814) (37065) 3$55885 ($69094] 55995 (567572) (55144) ($68 127) ($47332) ($I4754) ($424A8) (362477)
io (n 2 i = 10 12
(s-7405 (S27405 104 0435051
(s($10 z 1 M-33~09 m) (VI3 414)
33513 3 M 891 (M28451 (15574) $90475 ( 446
3)520 ($9494) (585 1911 t$377 ^2T
(4(22 452) ($8415 ) C3 766) (22ES)($79192) ($aO0 S 723) ($80737) ($76351 37972) ($ 072) (373 1) ($73872) 1177M00) 372764) ($76930) (371 725) (76T2209 ($70 756) ($7541) ($69179) ($74441)
$103459 $33880 0 s0 7018 $130239 S137 339 ($7100)
A-61
TABLE A-31 (Contd)
Econozic and Financia ay for Energy Investmets -- Egypt E
Capi costs BerefIt Pararsters Internal Rate of Return -057
Acquisition $17735 Price 2i Transortatior $0 0Ci sa-t
Corstruction $0 Interconnection Er y Savrs
- ---- Fuel UsE
TOTk (Cap) $I07 Q
Construct TivE 10 months
Operating and Normal Maintenarce Costs
Operatir Cost $1680 year Operating Lifetime 2 years
Major Euipment Repaireplacement
Replace Cost ($4536)period Replace Period 20 years
i bb (yr 2year
348 lyear
0 bblyea
1) risc P Cf Rats BenEfits
0 $ 032
$105270 4 $BW548 6 $72307 9 $51 3
0 $52725 1 $49 126
SE$4512 13 $43032
14 $40443 1 $3108 16 $3997 18 $342 2C0 $23303
PV of Costs
137339
$132 Ek3 2037
$126130 $1373
$121904 $121 $120353 $113633
$113 072 $118514
$117102 $116338
NPV
($7100)
($27423) ($42483) ($5 823) (524T7)
($63179) ($71964) ($74441) ($76651)
($78629) ($80405) 388-0($22005) ($84760) ($87034)
BC Ratio =z=
5
073 067 C57 050
043 041 038 036
034 032 031 028 025
A-62
Econo ard r-ia nalysis fc- Enery rvastmerts -- Et EEA IO
TPPLE A-32
For Case cfF_E TET 4 - HaJ-W TEXTIEIPP ( _=EOCC70R pCE -C PRICz OF QUM Pssumir 3il Escalation Rate of 20
Cata DOerati Cost of Cil Fuel UsEd Fuel SavE Errgy
Value Cf Save- Anrual Cash -Ic Dir-counted Cash 1ow (kV) B i
Year Czet (E) Cc-t Eciv Energy Cost Lrrert 8 10
1 -cusjtic-$107 1 TransDcrt t3 SCorstrLtO $0 I rerccrrect o 0
2 3 4
5s 6 7
9
10
12 13 14 15 1-
17
19
20 21
Tota $97 5 2
$630 S0 $1680
$0 $ $0 $680 $0 $6S0
0to SEscl $0 $ SK $ 168C
168 V71650
S0 S1630 $0 S 680 $0 1180 0 $1680
$10 1$1 S0 so10 11680 0 $650
$0 t680 (14536) $1680
$20
$2040 $2s3o
$21 22 $I55 $20a $SL V12 $2 97 52 43 S220 V1-42
$2487 $2536 $2587 V6 30 V2692 $274 $20 12 56 $2 14
12972
0
0 C 0 0
C 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0
0
$0
$0 10
s0 $0 s0 s0 $0 s0 s0
S0 $0 s0
s0 $0 t0
3 t0
s0
s0
$0
5N
348 342
343 34
342 348
348 345
348 348 348 348 348 348 348 34 348 348 348
348
S160
S7 033 S7241
t7386 $7534 t7684 $7238 $7225 $85 1$318
13484
U8SE4 S3827
$9004 $3184 $3367 1955 19746 $9941
$10139
$10342
103275
11680 $680
$G60 $5150 1680 S1680
1$680 4$1680
$1680
S1680 $1680 $1680 $680 $1680 $180 $1680 $1168 S1680
($2856)
(-c ($10751s- C71)5
tE4 C 3o4 (102097) 6=SE3 ($3721)
5-7 15970) M$2800 5954 1$5poundpound5 $8497) $004 ($3721) ($8441) $ 158 (176H-4) ($3V530) t16 ($72C25) $7645 sz475 (157-254) 373347)
1r3 I E21) 27t=E(- ($70Q ) S1616804 ($Ez0941 (55875) $S974 2534) ($E3884) $7147 ($ oo)10 (5046) 17324 344702) 352353) $754 (S4C 3)9 ($55798) $7637 ($33100) (533755) S7 M (13189-) (151076) 1205 1127755) (48897 8261 (123 77 (46 29)
$2459 ($9662) ($44829)
$13193 ($1363 ($42038)
($107-5]
$0218a) (397592)
($8307)
(SK579) (322103)
($78S52) ( 7842) 373027) ($70403) (57952) (562) (16251) (115) (S59744) (Z803 (156 435) ($54943)
(353566)
($51604)
(101] $12276) 197843) M2305)(52372 ($00622
(SB654) SK 535) 3$80678) ($72 C3)
($7E 69 ($73473) (371474) (169253) (7961 (16642E) (165021) ($63737) ($625 2) ($61488) ($F0505)
($59137)
U-459 $33880 0 $0 7018 $173652 $137339 $36313
A-63
---------- -------
TABLE A-32 (Contd)TBLE (Calulated)
E-oroizic and Finania Anaaysis for Eergy investments -Egypt EA C
Cacital Costs Benefit Parameters Irterra Rate cREturn 26S
Pcouisitic $7993 Price cf Oi $2C (yr 1)Transortatio $0 Oil Esaa year li-c P of CConstruction $0 Rate BenfEtz Costs wV RatioIterconnection $0 Enry Savns 34E bbyear
UEl use C bblyear 0 73SS52 $137 3 $C313 126TDTAL Ca 7 $140320 $122593 $7657 106 4 IIZ398Constrct TicE I0 morths $122037 ($339) 089 5 $96409 $12- 130 ($23 721) 076 8 $3179 $12205 ($42038) 066Operatirc and Normal rairtenance Costs 10 $70293 $121904 ($5l 604) 58 1X $ampZ502 S12 M ($55 589) 054Operatirg Cost $1680 year 12 $61215 $12 0353 ($59 137) 051Operating Lifetime 21 years 13 $57376 $119633 ($52307) 043
14 $52924 $9072 (55148) 045Major Zqjioinert RepairReplacement 15 $50 1I1 $113514 ($67702) 043 16 A7-97 S1420002 ($70006) 041Replace Cost ($453S)period 18 $43123 $117102 ($73979) 037Replace Period 20 years 20 $39071 $116338 ($77266) 034
A-64
E~ocon2 -- rr Ar ys s fcr Ererzy Irvssttets -- 7rypt EE
TZE A-33
F Case TES 14 - W (0 ETD PE- $2T - PI-- O- DIS $25P)I Assuminz 0 Escalation Rate cf 20
azita Ceratir Ccst cf Oil Fuel Used Fuel SaveeErergy Value -f
save nual Cash Flow DEounted Casi Flow (NPV) 0 i = YS-ar st Cost $bbl (Bbi) Cost Ecuiv crerpy Cost Currert $ 4 8 011 2
rar-zor
Cnst~t I 2tsrzr-ezti- $1
E
12$
14 if
iG
17
18
19
20
21
a S230
s$1 S60
$$ $1169 o$0 $80
$3 S 90 i $i 6c 7 v68n
$0 t68c
so S680 S t 1680
$$ $Sao
$680 $0 $1680
$ $1680 $0 $I63
0 $1-680 $ $1620 $0 $1620 $ $680
$0 $1680 ($4536) $180
S25co
$2550 $ 2553
127 06 127V
a
V-1 72
$2323 t2962
$3047
$31C8 $3171
$3234 $3293
53365
$3432
$3501
$2571
$3842 $3715
0
o
c) 0
0 0
0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0
0 0
0
0 0
$0
$0 so so
t0
SO $0
$0
0 $0
$0
$0 $0
$0 so
$0
$0 $0
so $0 $0
348
347 345
348
342
342
348
34 348 343
348 348
348 343
348
348
348
348
348
348
S151450
$2874
323
$9417
$260E
t9735
53334
t 3 $13337
$1 605
$10817 $11034
$14 $47-
$11703
$ 43 $12122
$12426
$12674
$12328
S1032T
S0
6s0
$1680
$1680
t1680
t-1680
t16
$5
1680 S63 s1650 t1 580
$680
$w $60
$160
$1680 ($2856)
(t10E22f
$7134
$7553
$7737
$306
1218
12314
13 180$3717
$232
$3137 $ 3S4
$3-74 $373K
$10023
1510-22
$103503
$10746
$10-34 $1E784
(105z825) ($106225)
$3 T03154
($33032) ($93644 ($55375) ($W784) ($73764) ($22162)
($73250) ($73-76a
(56235) (71amp2) ($ 17) ($620)
($S4 29 J ($62 202 (43 7) ($5781)
($42 142) ($53737)
($3207) ($43 781 (3c354) ($4073)
($2464) $42 ($1255) 3332 1 ($3387) ($36055) ($7907) ($33 053) ($251 ($30221) $2723 $27532)
$8007 ($34984) $15211 ($21532)
310S225) (S106825) ($10028E I100 402) ($34133) $3425) ($25) ($83150) ($2 234) ($84232)
(37S313 $73725
($73731 ) ($3756231 ($53 45 (371852)
(5 431 ( ($E75 5 0)
($SEB5I) ($5406)
( (7578T 172 (157373)
(53($439 ($55185) ($41818) 379$5 ($44417) ISS347) ($421 84) ($49673) ($4010S) ($$143) $3-173) (-$746)
($36i 3M) ($45403) ($34023) ($43833)
$103453 $33880 0 $0 7018 $217065 $137333 $79726
A-65
TABLE A-33 (Contd)
Ec rC z ant Firn Anaiys- fc- Ererzy Investrerts - Egypt En MlIS
Czzota ss Benefit Parameters terra Rate cf eturn C40
flcquistici deg $17K= Transporatic $0
Sonstructior $0
Irterco rnectior $0
T3TAL Cap2 $107275
Lorstruzt Time 0th
Prce of 0i
C Escalat
rrgy Savngs
F-el Use
$2500 I (yr 20year
343 bbllvear
0 btlyear
11 -i- PV cf
Rat - enefits
0 $217
2 $17- 4-4 $144247
PV of
Costs
12339 $SOV-93 $129037 $2E30
11PV
$7726 $475-7 $15211(I5sES
BC
Ratio
158 132 112 096
Cperating and Nor a
Ocerating Cost
Operating Lifetime
Maintenace Costs
SEC year
21 years
L2r f 0 3
OX $37874
11 $81877 12 76520
I3 $7172014 $67405
$92273
$121904
$121 091 1353
$119632$119072
($21 53)
($34029
($23214)
($432833) ($47953)($516S7)
083
072 068 064 060 057
10ajcr Ecuipment Re~a rlRepaeet
Replace Cost ($4535)Ipericd
Replace Period 20 years
IS
18
20
$614
$53936
$53904
$48839
$11 514
$113002
$117102
$116338
($5000)
($52007)
($63198)
($67498)
054
051
046
042
A-66
Ecorcmic an Fnanria AralvsiE r Eer-y rveStMe-ts -- EZy EE C1I
TABLP-34
-r Case -fL TEST 4 - LEW TEX7Lfl LE $202-T - PR D-L $30BBL) Assir Oi Escalatior Rate of 20
Yea a-ta
Cost eratrCEt of Oi cost $pbl
el Used
(MI Fel
ost
zave Erergy
Ecuzv
VaLe cf s-ve
Energy P -a
Cest
Cash
Currert euro Dscounted Cash 4 8
1ow UNV)
10
9 i
12
1 ccuisCiticr 7 T7rarsort bull Co-tr t~ $
2
4
5
7 8
10
2
13
14
15
16
17 18 19
21
ITz~ta $C73 $22 ES
so 10 o sSo o $iE80 n $ 680 $0 U680
$0 $160 5 s62-
$0 680 f l
50 $Ss so $ss
$0 $6Ev
s $68 so $180
S0 siW8 to $1680 V) $65
$0 $1680 ($4536) $1680
$--D00
S32 $334
$32 7 C312
$3378
$2446 $5
3s85 357
$2730 $3355
$388
$353
$423
s412 $42CI
$42895
$417C
$4458
l c
0 0 0 0 0
0 0
0
0
0
0
0
0 0
0
0
0
so so o$0
so so $0
$0 so so
to $0
$0
$0
$0
so so
so s0
$0
$0
$0
53 348 246 348
343 343
348
348 348
348 348
348
348
348
348
348
348 348
348
348
348
S1 70 s I 49 $1 3F2 072
$11301 $527
$1177
$11992 $122532
S2477 $2$2726
$12231
Z2240 $2505
$12775
$14051
$4 322 $1463
$14911
$15203
$15513
S10227S 15 Si680 $29E
$1580 $312 $amp80 ] $630 $S2 $1680 $36 7 $168) $C077 $680 $C312 $68 $05
E0 S07377 680 $11046
$680 $1130 $680 11 5w S680
t 630 $12035 S60 o S1237-
S11530 s1T652 $660 $12 923 $ i0 $13231
$68 $13523
82856)$18259
310S 525) ($37S5
(s8nL) 172843) ($64749)
3$5S785-
($42942) ($41233)
f$2-53) ($21O)
($18650)
($ 9)
32($4527)
$24S8
$327
$103 22724
$255
$35677
$44060
165f25)1 SZ
(0 -59) ($32837)
($7582)
1$9 -5) (S2774)
5S75f ($510)
3$45551 (340533)
($25692)
($3101)
($26753)
3-631
13725)
(K5M504Z) ($11545)
($2234)
($5093)
($1158)
(S10S 5 (356332)
($3733 ($3732 ($7716)
($71047)
($U35 (0067) ($5M144)
(S55 (4S306)
($42345)
1538662)
($L237
(632C51)
($23020)
($2227) ($23777)
($2 337)
($13185)
(16454)
1 cc-T25) ($3327)
($91207) (184517)
(73403)
($72816)
($6771)
163046 ($53784)
(G54831) (35334) (08025
s$ 8
($42423
( 3
($37673)
($35J60) ($23725)
($32004)
($30433)
($28S19)
$103455 $33d8O 0 $0 7018 $60 478 $1373n $123135
A-67
TABLE A-34 (Contd) 2Lk T-CTETPL Calc~1ated)FL_TI0~PBL
o~ar Fariai naiysi- f-Erergy l=VEsrEtS - Ecyt EE i
trr Rat-- c REturn 787Benefit araetersazital S-sts
t -ri-e of CiD $3000 bbl (yr 1)$10995n PV of BIC
Trarspoto $0 Oil Eszaat 20Iear ri VV C Rate Eerefits Ccsts IPV Ratio
Corstruct ior $r == shyErray Savr s 348 bblyear
intetor rztior $0 Fue -e 0 bblyear 0 $26C478 $137339 1123133 190
2 105 40 S-32693 $77847 1 9 TOTPL (Cap S10799n
4 $173037 $1903-7 $44060 134
6 $144614 $126130 $183483 115 Construct TiME mcTth-s
$1228 $12379E W158 09
t 129N 087tI0O449 ($16454)woerating and Norma Mainterarce C0ts
11 $98253 $121031 ($r233) 081
2 $91824 $120353 ($22 Z29) 076 Operatirc Cost $1680 year
13 $8K064 $19683 ($33619) 072 O eratir 21 yearsLifetie_
14 $80885 $119072 ($33186) 068
5 $7E217 $18514 ($42237) 064 Major Equipment RerairReplacement
$71995 $11802 ($4007) 061
18 $64685 $117102 ($52417) C5shy_16
Replace Cost ($4536)period 2N $58607 $11S338 ($57731) 050
Replace Period 20 years
A-68
Eccnoc and inarzia ryss fc- -re-y rvEstre-ts - E yot EE
TAEE F-35
Fcr Case ofrZ- 5TEST 4 - HELAN TEXT-IPX Mu Assuin_-0 Escalation Rate cf 20
CTOR PRICE $20SQc- -Cc GI j3mBu
Yea
r
s s-t
--t
aoita ost
7
t
eratirn Lst
Cost of IE
Oi1
Feel Used
(Ebl) Fue
Cost
zavEd Erery EcLIv
Value of SEvE
Ern-rzy Annual
Cost Cash Flow Lrrert S
Liscourted 4
Cash F~A
8 (NM
IC i =
2
2
E
7
1$
--
00 21
t--0795
S $0 4
f2
SO 1$
$o SO f0 $ $ S
so$0
tTSO to
($4535)
$103459
2311
1s8c C)
S o 58
$680
SGzr-SsW ss $S80
$16s2 $X30
$630
$ 3 $ampV
$168 51680 $9
$1680 s680
$33880
$M570 $3
$3714 $373
$335
$3942
$4020 $401
$4 3 S42 ES
$4352 $4439
$4E28
545 is $47
$S422 $4301 $4j 9
15099 55201
0
0 0
0 C
C
0
C
a 0
0 0
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0 0
0
Vi
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t0
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$V S
$0 $0
$1
oS^1 s0 SC so
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348 342
248 343
343
342
342 343
-43 348
345 348
343
348 342
348 348 348
348 348
7 01
52 S2424 S 1672 t2926 $13 14
S 4-4
$13717
$1399 $14271
$14 ss S14347
t5144 t15447
$1r756 $16071$[ 3
$16721 $17055 17395
$17744 $180 3
$303891
A-69
245 1E8O $68
$66o $1S80
680
f1680
$us
s S680
s60 V-680
) 60
$11680 1G0
$-680 $680 $180
$1680 (2 5)
$137 3
$10744 $10992
24S Er
$1762
$12037
23 $1680$259 $1287S $13167
3464 $2757
$S076
$14391$114723
$15041 1575 $1576
$16064 120955
1165552
--915) M--72
(1h7) 5 211 Z229
($47334 7H)
(S3733-1 (23353 ($1q134 $02393
($1432) $7105
s5E
$23871S220n40
40 07 $4-964 55572 $Q346 $72910
0245 (S10524S ($105245) 1 237) $-3473) 39S53) 36S273) 387334) (373N 77S4 ($7-4)- (S792S)
(IC3S437037) 372374) ($40) (I781 ($597)
(-68 ) 15936) (M9 799 S473 (t4 7) (54230)
342I1 S$4795) ($43 4-) 34S9 $-9334 11445
(3273701 (S34 2353) (340262) (1253 1212n3s391 ($IE129 T251S) 12858) ($1076 ($2107D) (n632) ($3C53) (S-723-3)($26687)
3$4 (137631 ($23m9)
$2975 $1489) (2546) $7130 (37448) ($1230G)
$I063 (4521) ($172--3) $14786 (31994) (11 397) $19231 S120 (113 25)
TABLE A-35 (Contd)ASSPTIONS TAPBLE ME-F-COST TULE (CalcJaled)
E~ooi a Finacial Asi for Energy Investrents - Eypt EE
raitaSs Penefit raees Iter-E Rate of Returr 1014
Pcnuistio $SI7 Price of CiE h (yr 1)7-arrtatior $0 Oil Ezalat 2 year Dis PY cf V of FCrstrcticr $
Rate Enrefits Cc-zts NPDV Ratiotercnnecticr $0 Ergr~y Savrs 343 ttlyear - -ue Use 0 -bllyEar 0 $302231 $1373393 T2T
2 -(7925$2fZ $333 121 37 185 cnstrnxt Tiia 10 Lerths
46 2C34 $23C37 $72 10 57 6 $163716 $1L $4256 34 ee t1437S $372E $0281 116pe-atinz arsd NorLal nainternare Costs 0 $23022 $2504 S120 01
Operating Cost C680 year 10 $107129 $1E3 353 (S2 00 83 13 S100403 $29693 319275)
woeratino Lifetime 21 years 084
a- Ec RErairReplacemerit 4 $0426E $113072 ($24705)ipet 073883-) $514 $ 94)15 S - $-31 (2 07
-$---I16 eplace Cost (4536)Iperiof $3934 $18002 ($34008) 071 -e---
Repace Period 20 years 12 $75465 $117102 ($41637) 064 20 $66375 $116338 ($47963) 059
A-70
-Ecui adFin-ncla Aralys fcr re-rr-t - Ect Efl S
T-PLE -36
- Case cf-l 75- 14 - ZLWAN TxTLE11P (CLETOR F1 -e-1 - C_ OF L $40PL) Pfssu-ir 0i Ezsaatio- Rate cf 20
saves a cfaita _2erat Cost cz C Fue Used Ftel -rery Eaez ra1 ash oi DiEccurted Cash Fioi (PV) i =Yerpoundzsl (Bb1) Ccst Eciv E-er=- Cst poundjrrent 4 0 l
1 Trar-ort $L or Sc
ac-r r-
Thplusmnt$ $2 $4000 0 $0 53 32220 $ OZ 275 115V S ) $L) 5 $52$ $S $4080 0 $0 342 S4133 5160 bull ( s ($34 34 $4 5251eS oS ($845575 337$S $230 S4162 C $0 348 l144S2 $680 S222 tS2 08B21 (t 383) c(sa84) 354572)4 $ -- 45 0 $0 348 $14 72 80 $13-2 37)443) VT2F35) ($74 M)8 (37221- $ 6 54230 6
c SO 34 $ 07 $1650 513337 (52 333) 5 (s650141 ($56745)41 S6pound0 $4pound 0 $0 343 t5369 s0 $1268 ($47748) S2833) ME514) 3522 3787 S $45C I so 348 s Sw W=10131S13336 $67613SEBT($54614) ($587)scl S621 s~lsK 0o 348 sIz230 $680 $1IL3 I j 2 (-6631 (34171 5447 $ i620 $S437 0 so 348 C2 1 S 42 (f23 ($27 (4)ic $1 11 $4780 0 s0 343 $63 $1680 $1435 (54E 7) (S5284) (252 $3411 $0 960 $4276 0 $0 248 s-03 $1680 $Z222 571 ($1420) ($13 ( 0
1 $ $6al $4373 0 $0 348 $7305 T6O S15628 8(75W (S1S7M ($24 537)$O ^$ 73 0 SO 348 $17654 t1680 $1f3 5 25842 fss (S 641)- 2059714 C05630 IS174 0 $0 348 $12 007 t680 $l6327 53=-048 $4847 ($(S2 $16955)15 sso 15278 0 s0 348 $18367 ~ 6amp s-6637 S45 284 $10E54 (52518) ($3441)15 so Eao $2387 0 so 348 $18734 31680 $17054 $54754 $15$564 31032--17 160 $5497 0 so 348 s1100 T1680 t7423 $4053 $ 20921 15358 ($7482)18 $0 sso 567 0 so 348 $13431 t1680 $1781 5 73203 $2s5 5$8871 ($4888713 $0 $Sao $5773 0 $0 348 $13881 $1680 $18 201 $2188 2r313 S C2 252120 t0 680 $5227 0 $0 348 $20279 $1650 $I63 521016 $3467 $1$196 ($3361)21 $s $1680 $5944 0 $0 348 $20684 $2 856) $22540 $101753 $3 72115 185 $2079
$103458 $33680 0 $0 7018 $347304 S1370 $ 05965
A-71
TABLE A-36 (Contd) S TIO TfPBLE EEN-TT-CCSTS TP- -uatedCa1c
Eccncmic and Financial Pavsis fc- Energy irvestcents -- Eypt EEA 96
aita Costs -eefitParaeters nterna Rate of etur- 1229
fcouisition 0799 Price c Oil $40 bbl (yr 1)Transp rtatir $0 Oil Esalat 20year Disc PV of PV of BZCorst-utie $0 Rate Berfits Costs Ratio
irterconntior $0 Enry Savrs 348 bblyear Fue USE 0 bbllyear N $347304 $33 1 2TOTL -Cap -107 995 S22D720 $132 5S3 $148127 212
4 $2307S6 $2 037 $10 175 -79Construct Time 19 months 6 $92818 $126130 628 53 8 $1amp3517 $123796 3721 132Operating and Normal Mainterance Costs 10 $14C52 $1219(4 $1363 115
11 $3004 $121091 $9913Operating Cost $1650 year 108
12 $1 432 $12C353 $20 102Operating Lifetime 21 years 1 $114751 S83 ($4 31 09z $11
14- $107847 $119072 ($11225) 091Major Equipment RepairRelacemert 5 $1C1622 $110514 (c6291) 086 16 $95993 $118002 ($220C09) 081
Replace Cost ($4536)period 8 $8624E T17102 ($30 S56 074Replace Period 20 years 2 $78143 $115338 ($32195) 067
A-72
APPENDIX B
Preliminary Cost Estimates
Three (3) systems are considered appropriate for cost analysis Cost estimates are preliminary for use in the Application ReviewConceptual
Design portion of this project
A Waste Heat Recovery System
B Solar Thermal Collection System
Current $US (mid-1986) are applied then escalated to mid-1987 theexpected construction period at 10 percent
For cost assessment purposes all material and supervision will beconsidered imported Egyptto Labor costs will reflect some Egyptianrate influence although certain installation procedures will requireexperienced labor not currently available in Egypt
The average annual wage for the Egyptian construction industry in 1985Is 7800 LE or $5778 (US) ($135 LE per US $)
An average labor rate in the United States for construction servicesapplicable to this project is estimated by the R S Means Company to be$2177 per hour in 1985 (crew Q4) An estimated thirty percent imporledlabor with severity percent Egyptian labor can be used for establishing a mixed labor rate average of $936 per hour (US) A labor cost modifier for wages becomes $936$2177 or 0431
Equipment and system cost estimates and percentages are established byusing R S Means Company Cost Data and1985 equipment suppliersbudget pricing estimates
The solar cost data are determined in flxed-and variable-cost increments as required by the FCHART-4R program input format A solar collection array size of 4000 square feet ( 72 m2 ) is estimated for use in determining the variable cost factor
B-I
A WAS[E HEAT RECOVERY SYSTEM
DESC R I FT ION SIEI OTAI TOTAL
3 WAY WASTE WATER DIVERTING VALVES SUMP MATERIALS SUMF PUMP FILTER SCREEN SUMP PUMF LEVEL CONTROL AND VALVE WASTE HEAT STORAGE TANK WASTE HE(I S IORAGE TANK PUMP STORAGE TANK LEVEL CONTROL AND VALVE WASTE HEAT EXCHANGER $1200)1000 EITI SUB-TOTAL EQUIFMENT(MID-1986) $160900
ESCALATION FACTOR 11 TOTAL EQUIPMENT (MID-1987) $176990
FLOW ItDICATORS AND GLOBE VALVES 3 WAY PROCESS WATER BLENDING VALVES STEAM CONTROL VALVES PROCESS WATER TEMPERATURE CONTROLLERS SUB-TOTAL EQUIPMENT(MID-1986) $71400
ESCALATION FACTOR 11 TOTAL EQUIPMENT (MID-1987) $78540
PIPING COST (40 EQUIP COST) 040 $102212
INSULATION COST (75 PIPING COST) 075
SUB-TOTAL MATERIAL COST $434401
LABOR COST (715 MATERIAL COST) $310597 MODIFIERLABOR MIX 043 MODIFIED LABOR COST $133557
SUB-TOTAL MATERIAL + LABOR $567958
TOTAL WASTE HEAT RECOVERY SYSTEM CONSTRUCTION COST $567958
B-2
B SOLAR THERMAL COLLECTION SYSTEM VARIRIABLE COrST (HIID-19117)
DESCR I FIUIN SOLAR CULA-ECTORS $10 0uFT2 COLLECTOR AREA 4000 rF2 COLLECTOR COST SOLAR CIRCIJLAFIN(3 PUMPFS SULAR 1ISTRIBLTI 1 PIlIPS STRUCTURAL STEEl SOLAR CONTROLS INSVRUMELNV AIR SYSEIIFIPING LOW VOLTAGE CABLE EXCAVArION AND FOUNDAFIONS ELECTRICAL
TOTAL EQtJIPMENT(MI ID-1986) ESCALATION FACTOR TOTAL ELUI MENT (MID-1787) PIPING COST (40 COLLECTOR COST) INSULATION COST (75PIPING COST) TOTAL MATERIAL COST I$144050
$105500
I1
075
$116050 $16lt00 $12000
LABOR COST (715 MATERIAL COST) MOIFIERLABOR MIX MODIFIED LABOR COST
$102996 043
$44286
MATERIAL + LABOR $188338
FREIGHTDUTYTAXES TO EGYPT 10 $18834
SUBTOTAL $207172
SUBTOTAL CONTINGENCY 15
$207172 $31076
TOTAL VARIABLE COST COST PER FT2 $60
$238248
B-3
------------------------------------------------------------------------
--------------------------------------------------------------------
FIXED COST (MID 1987)
DESCRIPTION CONTRALCTOIR S RENTAL SUFPL IES CONIRACrORS FACILITIES CONTRACTORS UTILITIES CONTRACTORS MATERIAL HANDLING CONTRACTORS CLEAN-UP DISMANTLING AND MOVING BOXING AND CRATING U S IRANSPORTAT ION SUB-TOTAL $34000
SUB-TOTAL M34000 CONTINGENCY 15 $5100
TOTAL FIXED COST $39100
LGE COST BASED ON CURRENT FIELD TEST PROJECT
TOTAL VARIABLE COST $238248 TOTAL FIXED COST $39100
TOTAL SYSTEM CONSTRUCTION COST $277348
EEA COST DATA BASED ON CURRENT PROJECTS USING IN-COUNTRY CONTRACTOR AND EQUIPMENT
VARIABLE COST $2862FT2 $2862 COLLECTOR SIZE (FT2) 4000 TOTAL VARIABLE COST $114480
EEA FIXED COST $26757
TOTAL SYSTEM CONSTRUCTION COST $141237
CONSTRUCTION COST SUMMARY
A WASTE HEAT RECOVERY SYSTEM $567958
D SOLAR THERMAL COLLECTION SYSfEM $277348
1(lAL CUNSTRUCTION CU9 A amp B $845 05
B-4
APPENDIX C
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1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
An economic analysis was performed to evaluate a proposed
Solar Industrial Process Heat (IPH) and Waste Heat Recovery
System for the textile finishing industry at Helwan Spinning and
Weaving Company at Helwan near Cairo
A collector system of area 4200 sqft was evaluated
Because of differences in assumptions in cost estimation EEA
and Lockwood Greene Engineers submitted separate cost estimates
The Lockwood Greene Engineers estimates were based on a
4000 sqft collector area with a variable cost of S6000sqft
and a fixed cost of $39180 with an energy savings of 325
barrels of oil equivalent
EEA estimates provided data for 4200 sqft of collector
area Two sets of collector prices were provided $2581sqft
for the REFT project and S2221sqft for locally manufactured
collector systems Fixed cost estimates were $23995 and
$17430 for each collector price category respectively The
EEA estimates showed an energy savings of 348 barrels of oil
equivalent
A benefit cost analysis methodology was employed to perform
the economic analysis
- i shy
A $2000barrel of No 6 light heating oil was used as the
price of energy saved by using the solar thermal system This
price was escalated at 2 per year Also a sensitivity analysis
was performed by varying the price of oil andor collector
prices
The economic analysis considered the following scenarios
e A 4000 sq~ft collector area at a price of S6000sqft (US case)
e A 4200 sqft collector area at prices of
$2581sqft and S2221sqft
A Waste Heat Recovery System
A 4200 sqft collector area priced at S7O00 per sqft combined with a waste heat recovery system
Results of the economic analysis showed that none of the
candidate solar chermal systems are economically viable
A sensitivity analysis was also performed by varying
collector prices and the price of oil Results of the
sensitivity analysis indicated thethat flat plate collectors
will not be economical unless prices fall to $2200sqft at a
price of oil $40 per barrel
A separate analysis was also carried out on the economic
performance of the solar thermal system combined with the Waste
Heat Recovery System Results of the analysis showed that the
combined system was economically viable
- ii shy
The design operation maintenance and repair experience
with solar thermal systems that will be obtained through this
field test to form a strong technical base for the design and
application of other renewable 2nergy technologies is an
important factor which has not entered into the benefit cost
calculation in this report These additional factors need to be
considered seriously in the go-no-go decision of this field test
- iii shy
2 INTRODUCTION
The Egyptian Electricity Authority (EEA) the United States
Agency for International Development (USAIDCairo) and a group
of US Consultants form a team responsible for the performance
conduct and management of the Renewable Energy Field Testing
(REFT) Project whereby eleven systems are field tested for
renewable energy applications in Egypt
These field tests include the use of solar thermal photoshy
voltaic and grid connected wind farm systems for industrial
process heat water pumping ice making desalination and grid
connected electricity generation
The project has broad objectives to investigate selected
renewable energy options to
0 Comprchensively strengthen Egyptian technical and
institutional capabilities in the full spectrum of
renewable energy planning and decision-making for
technologies and applications
Develop and sustain an Egyptian renewable energy
infrastructure through the establishment of data
bases information systems and organizations that
effectively serve both the public and private sectors
- 1 shy
Design install operate and evaluate a series of
renewable energy field tests which utilize commercially
available technologies in applications having potential
for widespread use in Egypt
a Conduct a ormal management and technical training
program both on-the-job and specialized and establish
an intensive information dissemination program
The MarketEconomic Analysis Task is one of the supporting
activities that will provide useful information for the
accomplishment of the proposed project objectives The Market
Economic Analysis Task is set up to accomplish the following
objectives
Evaluate the economic performance of candidate
renewable energy technologyapplication systems
in the field test program in the Egyptian economy
Identlfy non-technica bottlenecks that could be
encountered in the dissemination and wide use of
renewable energy technologies
Estimate the market environment in Egypt under which
the supply of and the demand for preselected renewable
energy technologies will be transacted
-2 shy
Identify policy issues such as energy prices
incentives tariffs and regulations that could be
modified instituted andor removed to enhance the
establishment of a true economic cost of energy
resources
Determine the economic environment under which
investment decisions could be made for the widespread
vse of similar renewable energy technologies in Egypt
0 Train Egyptian counterparts with the capability of
performing market and economic assessments of similar
energy projects
The MarketEconomic Analysis Task is performed in two
parts The first part is the Pre-RFP MarketEconomic Analysis
This activity will perform a site specific MarketEconomic
analysis of a particular field test in order to provide decision
makers both at EEA and USAIDCairo with information on the
financial and economic viability of the proposed field test
This information is required as one of the pieces of information
for a go-no-go decision on the issuance of an RFP
The second part performs a marketeconomic analysis of
specified renewable energy technologies throughout Egypt in
industrial sectors represented by the eleven field tests
- 3 shy
This report represents the first part the Pre-RFP Market
Economic analysis for a field test designed to test the technical
and economic viability of the use of solar industrial process
heat (IPH) and a waste heat recovery system for textile bleachshy
iig
- 4shy
3 BACKGROUND
The proposed site for Field Test 4 -Textile finishing at
the Helwan Spinning and Weaving Company at Helwan near Cairo
Helwan Spinning and Weaving Company is a large textile
plant finishing a variety of fabrics The finishing operation
consists of a series of chemical treatments involving hot and
cold washes by dyeing and bleaching processes The hotfollowed
wash dye and bleach washers are currently brought to and held
at the desired temperature range by direct sparging with steam
(hand-valve adjustments)
Objectives of Proposed Field Test Site for IPH System
The primary objectives of this field test are to provide
EEA with practical working experience using Solar Thermal
Industrial Process Heat and to provide system design and operashy
tional training for Egyptian engineers for the purpose of
assessing and implementing similar projects throughout Egypt
This field test will evaluate the viability of solar thermal
industrial process heat with waste heat recovery system for
textile finishing
The application of solar IPH and waste heat recovery
system for textile finishing at Helwan Textile will serve as a
demonstration of the capability of the combined technology of
- 5 shy
industrial process heat to reliably supply significant amounts
of energy at other textile finishing facilities It is important
that this field test be designed to distinguish between the
performance of the solar IPH and the performance of the waste
heat recovery systems so that each can be evaluated for other
applications
-6 shy
4 ECONOUilC ANALYSIS
Objective
The objective of this analysis is to evaluate the economic
viability of a solar thermal system for providing industrial
process heat for textile finishing at the Helwan Spinning and
Weaving Company at Helwan and to determine whether or not an
investment in this field test would result in the acquisition of
useful information and know-how not only technical but also
managerial and institutional so that such experiences could be
duplicated throughout the economy of Egypt
Research Methodology
The method of analysis selected for accomplishing the above
objective is the standard benefit cost analysis used in project
evaluation A benefit cost analysis involves first the pooling
of anticipated benefits and costs (direct and indirect) resulting
from the project throughout its economic life The streams of
benefits and costs are then expressed in present value terms
using a common numeraire (a discount rate)
From this the following evaluation characteristics can be
calculated
The Net Present Value (NPV) is the difference between the sum of
the discounted stream of benefits and the sum of the discounted
stream of costs discounted by a given discount rate
- 7 shy
The Payback Period is the number of years it takes a project to
generate sufficient benefits to cover its cost or the number of
years it takes the net present value to change from a negative
to a positive value
The Internal Rate of Return (IRR) sometimes called the economic
rte of return is that discount rate that would equate
discounted benefits to discounted cost or reduce the net present
value to zero
Benefit-Cost Ratio (BC) This is the ratio obtained by dividing
the discounted value of all project benefits by the discounted
value of project costs
Simple Payback This is a rule of thumb method used by investors
to see if a particular financial venture is worth investing in
or not The simple payback is calculated by summing up all
capital and operating costs and dividing that sum by the value of
the first full years benefit In the private sector in most
industrialized countries a simple payback of 3 to 5 years is
expected With renewable energy technology a simple payback of
7-9 years is usually admissible
- 8shy
Assumptions
The economic analysis of the IPH system is based on the
following assumptions
0 All energy conversions are made into barrels of oil
equivalent where one metric ton is equivalent to
US 733 barrels
0 Price of oil is valued at US$20barrel of No 6 light
heating oil escalated at 2 per year This price
level may not be indicative of the price of oil that is
rapidly changing at present It should be noted that
the analysis in this study is to look at what may
happen in the long-rt-n during the 1980s and 1990s As
such the analysis should not be affected by what
happens to commodity prices in the spot market in the
very short-run A revision of the price of oil in the
analysis may be appropriate when the price level
stabilizes
A discount rate of 1O is sed This is the
opportunity cost of money used in international
lending agencies such as the World Bank
Hardware is assumed to have a salvage value of 10 at
the end of the life of the system
-9shy
The system is expected to have a life of 20 years
0 Some hardware items are purchased in Egypt An
exchange rate of LE 135 = US$ 100 is used All
prices are in constant US$ 1985
Data Base
Two sets of cost estimates were used in this analysis The
fWrFt set of data was provided by Lockwood Greene Engineers for
a 4000 sqft collector area (see Appendix B)
On the basis of the best available information Lockwood
Greene Engineers have provided the following cost estimates
Collector Size 4000
Prices Variable cost $60O0sqft Fixed cost $39180
0 + M cost 2 of total cost
Salvage value 42 of total cost
Energy savings 325 barrels of oil
Construction period 10 months
System life 20 years
The second set of data was provided by EEA for a collector
size of 4200 sqft The EEA cost estimates also show two types
of prices The first set shows a price of $2581 per square foot
- 10 shy
of colector This price is to be used for collectors purchased
for the REFT Project The second set shows a price of $2221 per
sqft which is to be used when evaluating IPH application
elsewhere in Egypt (see Appendix C)
Cost estimates provided by EEA are as follows
Collector Size 4200 sqft
Prices Variable cost $2221isqft (local)
$2581sqft (REFT)Fixed cost $17430 (local)
$23995 (REFT)
0 + M cost 2 of hardware cost
Salvage value 42 of capital cost
Energy savings 348 barrels of oil
Construction period 10 months
System life 20 years
Analysis and Results
The economic evaluation of the IPH system for textile
finishing was performed by examining the following sets of
assumptions
1 A 4200 sqft collector area at a price of $30sqft
2 A 4200 sqft collector area at prices of
$ 2581sqft and $2221sqft
3 A Waste Heat Recovery System
4 A 4200 sqft collector area priced at $30 per sqftombined with waste heat recovery system
5 A sensitivity analysis at different collector prices and varying prices of oil
- 11 shy
Table 1 presents the input data based on cost estimates
provided by Lockwood Greene Engineers These estimates are based
on a collector system purchased from the US at a price of
US$60sqft Output results for this analysis is presented in
Table 2
Input data for the base line analysis are presented in
Table 3 All base line analyses were performed assuming a price
of $20O0bbl of oil The economic evaluation of all systems
was made using a discount rate of 10 although system perforshy
mances are examined at varying discount rates ranging from 0
to 20 at 2 intervals (see Appendix A)
Table 4 presents results of the base line analysis As
shown in this table the 4200 sqft solar collector systems at
all collector prices do not pay during its economic life The
solar collector system at a price of $30sqft has a simple
payback of 22 years which is longer than the life of the system
The net present value at 10 discount rate is negative for
the baseline case with collector price $30sqft and price of
oil $2Gibbl indicating that the financial benefits accruing to
the project will not be able to offset the cost of acquisition
and operation of the system during its economic life span The
net present value at different level of discount rate and varying
prices of oil is presented in Figure 1
- 12 shy
TABLE 1
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM
FIELD TEST 4 - HLEWAN TEXTILE
DATA INPUT - US CASE
(Collector Price US$ 60sqft Price of Oil
I T E M S SOLAR ONLY WASTE HEAT RE(]OVaRY
Capital Cost ($) 227348 567958
0 + M ($) 4765 11359
Salvage Value ($) 11649 23854
Energy Savings (bbl) 325 11048
Construction Period (Month) 10 10
System Life (Yrs) 20 20
Source LBII estimates based on Engineering cost by Lockwood Greene Engineers
20bbl)
COMBINED SYSTEM
845306
16906
35503
11737
10
20
data provided
- 13 shy
TABLE 2
ECONOMIC NALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM
FIELD TEST 4 - HELWAN TEXTILE
RESULTS - US CASE
(Collector Price USS60sqft Price of Oil US$ 20bbl)
I T E M S SOLAR ONLY WASTE HEAT COMBINED RECOVERY
Energy Savings (bbl) 325 11048 11373
Simple Payback (Yrs) 43 3 4
Pdyback Period (Yrs) None 4 6
Net Present Value i = 10 ($251325) 1568793 1310681
Internal Rate of Return (IRR ) - 834 4220 2843
BC Ratio i = 10 021 337 233
Source LBII estimates based on Engineering cost data providedby Lockwood Greene Engineers
- 14 shy
TABLE 3
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM
FIELD TEST 4 - HELWAN TEXTILE
DATA INPUT - BASELINE ANALYSIS
(Collector Price US$ 30sqft)
I T E M S SOLAR ONLY WASTE HEAT COMBINED RECOVERY SYSTEM
Capital Cost ($) 149995 567958 717953
0 + M (S) 2520 11359 13879
Salvage Value ($) 6300 - 0 - 6300
Energy Savings (bbl) 348 11048 11396
Construction Period (Month) 10 10 10
System Life (Yrs) 20 20 20
Source LBII estimates based on cost data provided from EEA and Lockwood Greene Engineers
- 15 shy
TABLE 4
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM
FIELD TEST 4 - HELWAN TEXTILE
BASELINE ANALYSIS RESULTS
(Collector Price $30sqft Price of Oil US$ 20bbl)
I T E M S SOLAR ONLY WASTE HEAT COMBINED RECOVERY
Energy Savings (bbl) 348 11048 11396
Simple Payback (Yrs) 22 3 3
Payback Period (Yrs) None 4 5
Net Present Value i = 10 ($100633) 1565248 1464614
Internal Rate of Return (IRR ) - 124 4220 3402
BC Ratio 041 335 275 i = 10
Source LBII estimates based on cost data provided by EEA and Lockwood Greene Engineers
- 16 shy
Figure I Helwan TextileIPH - Solar only - Net Present Value at various Discount Rates and Prices of Oil (Collector
Price S30sqft)
0
150
-J)0
LUJ
LUJ
00-
Li
11 t 6
4F
D I SCOU NT RATE ()
130BBL
-$25BBL
~$15BBL $20BBL
- - 17 shy
The internal rate of return (IRR) is significantly lower
than the 10 economic rate of return expected to cover the cost
of credit
The waste heat recovery system on the other hand shows
positive results The system pays for itself in four years
The internal rate of return for the waste heat recovery
system is very high 4220 indicating very high economic gains
to be realized by installing this system
The Application Review for Field Test 4 examines solar
thermal together with a waste heat recovery system as a unit that
will be installed at Helwan Textile Accordingly an economic
evaluation of the combined solar thermal plus the waste heat
recovery system was performed
The input data used for Zhis analysis is presented in
Table 3 Results of the economic analysis for the combined
system are presented in Table 4 As shown in Table 4 the
combined system is economically viable The payback period for
the combined system is five years with an Internal Rate of
Return (IRR) of 3402 Figure 2 presents a graphic representashy
tion of the internal rate of return (IRR) for the output results
presented in Table 4
- 18shy
C
Figure 2 Helwan Textile - Internal Rate of Return at different Prices of Oil for Waste Heat Recovery
and Combined Solar and Jaste Heat Recovery
Systems (Collector Price $60 and $30sqft)
100
80shy
60-
LU 40
lt
($ B B LUi P R 1 0 F 0 1 L
-20
-20
- 19shy
-40
It is very clear from Table that the economic performance
of the combined system is lower than that of the waste heat
system indicating the dampening effect of the poor econoinic
performance of the solar thermal system
It should be pointed out that there is no functional relashy
tionship between the technical or economic performance of solar
thermal and waste heat recovery systems One can install the
solar thermal all by itself or in combination
As discussed earlier the proposed 4200 sqft solar thermal
system is not economically viable at a collector price of $30
sqft and price of oil S20barrel A separate analysis was
performed using a S20barrel price of oil and collector prices of
$30 25 22 and 20sqft Results of the analysis is presented
in Table 5
As shown in Table 5 the solar thermal system is not
economically viable at all collector prices The system does
not pay for itself during its life span Even at the lowest
collector price ($20sqft) the benefits derived from the
system can only cover 58 of the cost incurred (BC ratio 058)
during the life of the system
An additional sensitivity analysis was performed for each
collector price level and varying prices of oil As inshown
- 20 shy
TABLE 5 - ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM - FT4HELWAN TEXTILE SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS WITH DIFFERENT COLLECTOR PRICES
(Price of Oil US$ 20BBL)
I T E M S
COLLECTOR
$20sqft $22sqft
PRICE
$25sqft $30sqft
r
Energy Savings
(bbl)
Simple Payback
(Yrs)
Payback Period
(Yrs)
Net Present Value
i = 10
Internal Rate of Return - IRR
348
16
None
($51604)
266
348
16
None
($55919)
216
348
19
None
($76694)
046
348
22
None
($100633)
- 124
BC Ratio
i = 10 058 056 048 041
Source LBII estimate based on engineering cost Lockwood Greene Engineers
data provided by EEA and
Tables 6 - 9 the solar thermal system will start showing
positive economic results if collector prices are between $20 and
$22sqft and oil prices increase to $35 - $40barrel It is
very unlikely to find a situation where one can have a decline
in the price of collectors while having a simultaneous increase
in the price of oil Since collectors are manufactured from
products such as plastic glass aluminum etc which are
energy intensive a decline in collector prices can only be
realiz=d with a decline in the price of energy
Figures 3 and 4 show graphic representations of the internal
rate of return (IRR) and payback period respectively for
different prices of collectors and varying prices of oil
A year by year cash flow for 36 different scenarios are
presented in Appendix A Tables Al - A36
- 22 shy
TABLE 6 - ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM - FT4HELWAN TEXTILE SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS WITH DIFFERENT PRICES OF OIL
(Collector Price US$ 20sqft)
P R I C E OF 0 1 L
I T E M $15bbl $20bbl $25bbl $30bbl $35bbl $40bbl
Energy Savings 348 348 348 348 348 348(bbl)
Simple Payback 21 16 12 10 9 8(Yrs)
Payback Period None None None None None None (Yr s)
Net Present Value i = 10 (69179) (51604) (34029) (16454) 1120 18695
Internal Rate ofReturn - IRR - 057 266 540 787 1014 1229
BC Ratio 043 058 072 087 101 115
Source LBII estimate based on engineering cost data provided by EEA andLockwood Greene Engineers
TABLE 7 - ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM - FT4HELWAN TEXTILE SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS WITH DIFFERENT PRICES OF OIL
(Collector Price US$ 22sqft)
I T E M
Energy Savings (bbl)
Simple Payback (Yrs)
Payback Period
(Yrs)
P R I C E OF 0 I L
$15bbl $20bbl $25bbl $30bbl $35bbl $40bbl
348 348 348 348 348 348
21 16 13 11 9 8
None None None None None None
Net Present Value i = 10 (73494) (55919) (38344) (20769) (3194) 14381
Internal Rate of Return - IRR - 108 216 491 735 961 1172
BC Ratio 042 056 070 084 097 111
Source LBII estimate based on engineering cost data provided by EEA and Lockwood Greene Engineers
TABLE 8 -ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM - FT4HELWAN TEXTILESENSITIVITY ANALYSIS WITH DIFFERENT PRICES OF OIL (Collector Price US$ 25sqft)
P R I C E OF 0 I L I T E M $15bbl $20bbl $25bbl $30bbl $35bbl $40bbl
Energy Savings
(bbl)
348 348 348 348 348 348
Simple Payback
(Yrs) 25 19 15 12 11 9
Payback
(Yrs)
Period None None None None None None
Net Present Value i = 10 (94268) (76694) (59119) (41544) (23969) (6394)
Internal Rate ofReturn - IRR - 263 046 304 532 739 932 BC Ratio 036 048 060 072 084 096
Source LBII estimate based on engineering cost data provided by EEA andLockwood Greene Engineers
TABLE 9 - ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM - FT4HELWAN TEXTILE SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS WITH DIFFERENT PRICES OF OIL
(Collector Price US$ 30sqft)
P R I C E OF 0 1 L
I T E M $15bbl $20bbl $25bbl $30bbl $35bbl $40bbl
Energy Savings 348 348 348 348 348 348 (bbl
Simple Payback 29 22 17 14 12 11(Yrs)
Payback Period None None None None None None (Yrs)
Net Present Value (118208) (100633) (83058) (65484) (47909) (30334) i = 10
Internal Rate of Return - IRR - 425 - 124 124 339 534 714
BC Ratio 031 041 051 062 072 082
Source LBII estimate based on engineering cost data provided by EEA and Lockwood Greene Engineers
Figure 3- Helwan TextileIPH - Solar Only - Internal Rate of
Returr at Different Prices of Oil and varying
Collector Prices
29shy
n
-15
CD 10shy
lt 5
S0
10
R
2
0 F
30 5
B BL )
-10
-27 shy
-Ig - Helwan Textile - Solar Only - Simple Payback at Dfferent Prices of Oil and varying Collector
Prices
50
40shy
30
20- $60sqft
- - S30sqft
I25sqft22sq ft 20sq ft
P
10
R I C E
20
0 F
30
0 1 L
40
B B L
50
- 28 shy
5 CONCLUSION
The economic analysis performed on the proposed IPH Field
Test at Helwan Textile showed that the 4200 sqft flat plate
collector system was not economically viable
However the analysis indicated that when the solar thermal
system was evaluated in combination with the waste heat recovery
system the project was economically viable This favorable
performance was caused not because of improvement made in
economic efficiency by the solar thermal system but rather
because the economic efficiency of the waste heat recovery
system is so strong that it more than offsets the poor
performance of the solar thermal system
It should be emphasized that this analysis did not cover an
evaluation of the complete array of solar thermal systems such
as solar collectors for domestic hot water etc The analysis
was limited to the application of flat plate collectors for
application in industrial process heat of a given temperature
range Therefore implications drawn from this analysis should
not be applied to other solar thermal uses
The economic analysis has revealed some interesting and
important economic technical institutional and policy issues
- 29 shy
It is clear that the proposed flat plate collector system
on its own cainot be expected to bring about positive economic
returns given current collector prices Therefore it is
necessary that
Investigations be made in the technical field to
determine if the efficiency of the system could be
improved without increasing system cost
e The supply side of the collector market be prepared
to manufacture and supply collector systems that are
cost effective
e Policy makers be cognizant of the fact that the price
of flat plate collectors must decrease by almost 60
compared to the best case scenario as used in this
study (from $30sqft to $10sqft) in order
for industrial consumers to find it attractive to
invest in solar thermal technology Since the market
and thus the solar thermal industry is at its infancy
in Egypt policy makers and the public sector have to
play a lead role in removing barriers and providing the
appropriate fiscal andor regulatory incentives to
enhance the manufacture and widespread use of solar
thermal technology
- 30 shy
It is the overall objective of the Renewable Energy Field
Testing Project to investigate selected renewable energy options
to
9 Comprehensively strengthen Egyptian technical and
institutional capabilities in the full spectrum of
renewable energy planning and decision-making for
technologies and applications
Develop and sustain an Egyptian renewable energy
infrastructure through establishment of data bases
information systems and organizations that effectively
serve both the public and private sectors
Design realize and evaluate the performance of a
series of field tests which utilize commercially
available technologies in applications having potential
for widespread use in Egypt
Complete formal managerial and technical training both
on-the-job and specialized and an intensive
information dissemination program
- 31 shy
The design operation maintenance and repair experience
with solar thermal systems that will be obtained through this
field test to form a strong technical base for the design and
application of other renewable energy technologies is an
important factor which has not entered into the benefit cost
calculation in this report These additional factors need to be
considered seriously for the go-no-go decision
- 32 shy
APPENDIX A
-cono mcarz F7ra r na 2Analvsis fo- Erer gyi s t s y --t ne E8 0o
TA -1E-1
Fcr Case ofFELD TEST 4 - HELW TEXTILEIIPH (CILLECTOR PRICE S35313FT- PRICE Cz OIL $158L)Assumr iliEscalatior Rate of
Savec ValLe Of V~Caoitaltea- Cost Deratzrnc Cost of OilCost Sbl Fuel Usea Fuel(bi) EeravCs Saveo AnnualEuiv Er-eray Lost
Casi Flow Discounted Cash Flo~w (NV) j=urrert 48
Ion $14--Oui -It X=-=== ==--- ----==---=-------S shyrarsoort 1 Construc ionI i nt er o 0ne zt i o r $$14$35 $4C- $1500 $0 31Tta 5870$(
58 $150415 ($149545)6520 S153cent S14945) ($149545) ($14954-)$0 348 (149 4W)V 5324 $20$2520 $1561 4 ($146848) 3146948)4 0 $0 348 ($14699) (S14704)SO $5431i250 159= 550 $2911 ($1441 ) ($1445)5 Si $0 348 $5540 S252 S020
($14550) ($144721)$252) 1624 ($141473) (142056)$$ 348 ($142321) (142571)8 5650$0 $1G56 0 $313r ($13797) ($139755) (S140ljE7 $ (140582)$0 346 _7632 20 $1689 0 $W 348 $520 $3243 ($13611) ($137548) ($138169)8 S5873 2520SO $25Z0 $1723 $3359 ($133477) ($135431)0 $0 (M76274 ($137040)9- W S757 348 S5336 $25200 SO 348 $3476 (s123235 ($133402) ($134490)10 $5116 S-20 ($135468)$0 $2520 51733 0
$352 (128205) ($131460)11S 250 $0 348 $6238 (13 812) ($134015)510s $2520 $3718 ($125595) so $2520 4 Sampo $3843
(S12600) (131235) ($132674)$ bull252$1S65 0 $0 348 $6490) ($1 999) ($127820) ($1k9754) ($131437)13 V) 520 $1902
$ 2-t $3370 ($1 j420) ($126117) ($128 3) ($130256)14 348 $6620$0 S2520 $1940
0 S0 $2520 $410W ($117859) ($124489)0 $0 348 ($127055) ($129243)15 (1 2520 $197 0 $6753 S250 $233 ($115317) ($22932) ($125 89)16 $0
so 348 $6888 S252 (3128273)i3520 4368$2019 ($1I1C755)
17 0 $0 348 $7025 (3121445) ($124679) ($127379)$2K$0 $-) 0 01 $156- ($I12S3)
348 3120025 ($123601) ($126556)$7166 512520 646 (S107812) (S11BC65918 $0 ($122590) (S125710 52 10 21 100 0 so - 0$2 520J 348 7309 t4935S21 42 0 so) 50 $789 ($102918i($105354) i17374) ($1216421 ($125101)20 348 $7 455 ($116139)$0 $2520 $2 5 ($12-0754)$2185 0 ($124459)s021 348(W30) $2520 57 605 $2-50 $5085$2229 ($I00504)0 s0 348 $7757
(314961 ($119923) ($123869)($3780 S11537 ($9239) ($112486) ($I18208) ($IM673)$143695 $50820 0 $0 7018 $130239 $194515 ($64276)
A-1
TABLE A-I (Contd) ASSUMPTIONS TABLE BENEFIT-COSTS TALE (Calculated)
Economic and Financiai Analvsis for Energy -strnents - Egypt EEA 101986
Cacital Costs Benefit Parameters Internal Rate of Return -425
Acouisition $149995 Price of Oil $1500 bbl (yr 1)Trarsoortation $0 Oil Escalat 20year Disc PV of FV of BCConstruction $0 Rate Benefits Costs NOV Ratio
interconnection $0 Enrgy Savns 348 bblyear Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 $130 23 $194515 ($64276) 067TOTAL (Cap) $149995
El $105270 $187381 (582111) 056
Construct Time 10 morhs 4 $86548 $181787 ($95239) 0486 $72307 $177 355 ($105048) 041
Ooeratinc and Normal Maintenance Costs 8 $61319 $173805 (3112486) 03510 $5725 $170933 $118208) 031 11 $$3l26 $169701 ($120575) 029oeratino Cost $2520 year 12 $45912 $168585 ($122673) 027Operating Lifetime 21 years 13 $43032 $167571 ($124539) 026
Major Eauipment ReoairReolacement 14 $40443 $166647 ($126204) 024 15 $38108 $165804 ($227695) 023
Salvage Value ($6300)period 16 $35 997 $165032 ($129034) 022 18 $32342 $163674 ($131332) 020Replace Period 20 years 20 $29303 1162522 ($133219) 018
A-2
--
__
Ewic a Fzranzai Z aiys s for Enercy Investments Eayot EEAq-
10I9i-
1PLE A-2 For Case ofFIELD TEST 4-- H2LWRN TEXTILEIP (COLLECTOR PRICE $30SQF - PRICE OF OIL $20BlAssumino Oil Escalation Rate of 0OL
Ca0ita Oeratira Cost cf Oilyear Fuel UsedCost Cost $Bb Saved VEL- -Fuei Ererly(Bb) Cost ave Arr al Cas FlowEouv ne-v LisOurted Cash FlowAnua C Flow 0V) 6 ===--- shy ======= =----=- rcuisior $1 93 -- Codegt ure~n $4Trar-I sSrC0=-=---= = 8 10 12=== =_==== -= =shy
=== =---==_-_I Corstru-t or te $34 512415 $2
431$951 Tota) C$Z $520 5 $160 (Q14-$1-47 $24
fSO $A 0 so 2s ($14 SH5) ($149255)$0
$73 $-5 ($144 8-( ($492s)$ $4$274 ( -14482)(3145015)s 348 (31450321$7241 $2520 ($145GG) $ $ 20 12 65 o so$01
348 0
$472( ($140487) ($140357) (s1411025200 ($1414031$25207 $2208 $ 0 3(1381611($i37 105 0 $11 4 3$0 20 S5_a20 5 0 so ($137534) ($137939)52520 348
0 $S034 3483 $7645 3 S- $5014 ($131875)$78 $1202 (11j33419)SO2 $ $5318SE184 ($12763 ($126 5531 (3134110) (134753)($123428)
$0 S3 ($127901) ($129128)$2520 $2297 $0 $2 2 o 0 345 $4I4 ($$2343 $995 1)7 ($1239(50 348 $2520 5475 ($130903)Ii 3155 s2$23 $131822)$ 183$0$2$SC n 5 ($13 50 ) ($120314 ) ($1224 )0 ($ 124376)-2$-iSO $23($ 5212~~ $ 520 2438S S $1 513 3) (SI27903 ) ( 52)$252 0 $2$0~ $7980 0 3 -4 i$110761 ($117414)1$ $2FO ($120000 -2520 $5 Z $59 4 ($12-2285)
gs )1 3 $20 287 $0348 1$107 0-7) ($S141238 ($ 17 7 0) SI2652587 $$c 24 ($120 3 5 )15 $0 0 (S0563) ($112021)$2 52 $2 $-9348 ($11555) ($118601)$0 520 6 0 so 34 8 $2 443483 S82 311104 $220$ 520 S664 ($30) ($107132)$ 307 ($931($S3123)) ( 10 (Si1267) ($115497)6 ($I04Ef) ($11973)5I) ($S 15451 ($11133)o0 $2 520 ($1169 3)SO 5 2 920 032520 5274 6 0 4 8 $ 36 $S 2- 8$0 47 ( 1 014 34 6 $3555 ($ I02 70 19 348 $7U ($1 0743 ) ($I 1i7
s0 $2520 $2800 0 $2 520 7 0 5 ($8 834 ($00 65) ) ($10 8 273 ) ($112 8 2 )
$2520 $9 0 $200 $72- (914$) 3)S0 $4 ($90 063 ($110682)27 $0 $2 c856 00 ($76 51)2$5 14 0 0 348 0 ($9 842 ($0397 ($10977)340 $I0139 -521 $2 5 0 $($6300) $7 19$2520 $2972 0 ( 72 8 35 ($ 076 ()0s0 ($102 72) ($10023)348 $10342 (3780) $1418 ($ 3) ($9246) ($100633) ($I0735)
$143695 $0820 0 s 7018 $173652 $194515 ($20863)
A-3
ASSUMPTJINS TABLE TABLE A-2 (Contd) BENEFIT-COSTS TPBLE (Calculated)
Economicand Finar_ial Analysis fr Energy Investments - Egypt EE 10191S6
Capital Costs Benefit Parareters Internal Rate of Return -124
Acquisitior 149995 Price of Oil 2000 bbl (y 1)Transoortation $0 Oil Escalat 20rvear Disc PV of PV of BC
Construction $0 Rate Benefits Costs NPV RatioInterconrection $0 Enrgy Savrias 348 bblyear --- _____-__
- Fuel Use 0 bblivear 0 $173652 $1S4515 ($20863) 089TOTAL (Car) $14995 2 $14036O $187381 (347021) 075 4 $115398 S181787 (36E390) 063Construct Time 10 months 6 $96409 S177355 ($80946) 054
8 $31759 5173805 ($92 046)Ooerating and Normal Maintenance Costs 047l0 $70299 $170 933 ($100633) 041
11 $65502 $169701 (3104199) 039Operatino Cost S2520 year 12 $61216 1amp3585 ($107369) 036Oerating Lifetime 21 years 13 57376 $167571 (3110195) 034
14 $53924 $16G647 (3112723) 032Major Equioment ReoairReplacement 15 $50811 $165804 ($114992) 031 16 $47997 $165032 ($117035) 0213Replace Cost ($6300)oeriod 18 $43123 $163674 (3120551) 026Replace Period 20 years 20 $39071 $162522 ($123451) 024
A-4
Econonxc and Finarcial 9ralvsis for Energy Investrets -- EcvDt EEA 1013i6C
TABLE A-3
For Case ofFIELD TEST 14 - H-LWAN TEXTILEIPi ( COLLECTOR PRCE $30SQFT- PRICE OF OIL $25BBL) Assuming Oil Escalation Rate of 20
Saved Valus ofCacital boeratirng Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel Energy Saved Annual Cash Flow Discounted Cash Flow ((NV) iYear Cost Cost $Bbl (Bbl) Cost Eauiv Erercy Cost Currert f 4 8 10 12
S Accuisitio $149995
1 Transoort $0 I Construct ior $0 I Interconnection $0
Totil $149q95 $420 $2500 0 $0 58 $1450 S150 415 ($14295) (3148965) ($48965) ($14895) ($148965)$0 $2520 $2550 0 s0 348 $3874 $2520 $3354 ($142855) ($143082) ($143189) ($143292)3 s0 $2520 $2601 0 $0 348 $9051 $2520 ($1368171 ($137482) ($137791) ($133085)4 $0 2520 $2653 5
0 s0 348 $3233 $252 $ 713 ($130643) ($132153) ($132748) ($133307)$0 2520 $2706 0 $0 6
348 $9417 $2520 $o897 ($124954) ($127084) ($128037) ($128924)$0 S2520 $2760 0 $0 348 $9606 $2520 S7056 ($119130) ($122261) ($123637) ($124903)7 so $2520 $2815 0 $0 348 $3798 $2520 $7278 ($113378) (117675) ($119529) ($121216)so $1520 $28728 0 $0 348 $39A 9
S2520 $7474 ($107699) ($11331b) ($115694) ($117836)s0 $2520 $2929 0 $0 348 $10193 $25L0 $7673 ($102032) ($09169) ($1121141 ($114736)10 $0 2520 $2986 0 11
$1 348 $10397 $25_lt $7877 ($36557) ($105228) ($103774) ($111896)$0 $2520 $3047 0 $0 348 $10 60 $_520 $308512 ($31095) ($I01483) ($105656) (5109293)$0 $2520 $3106 0 $0 348 $10817 $2520 $8237 ($85706) ($97925 ($102748) ($106907)13 $0 $2520 $3171 0 $0 348 $11034 $2520 $8514 ($80388) ($94544) ($10003-5) ($104722)$0 $2520 $323414 0 $0 348 $11254 $2520 $873415 ($75142) ($91332) ($97505) ($102720)$0 $2520 $3299 0 $0 348 $11479 $2520 $8959 ($69968) ($88282) ($95146) ($100837)16 $0 $2520 $3365 0 $0 348 $I709 $2520 $3189 ($64866) ($85385) ($92946) ($99208)17 $0 $2520 $3432 0 $0 348 $11943 $252(l $9423 ($59835) ($M 634) ($90895) ($97671)18 $0 $2520 $3501 0 $0 348 $12182 $2520 $3662 ($54875) ($80023) ($88984) ($264)19 so $2520 $3571 0 $0 348 $12426 $2520 $9906 ($349985) ($77544) ($87202) ($94976)20 $0 $2520 $3642 0 $0 348 $12674 $2520 $10154 ($45165) ($75191) ($85542) ($93797)21 ($6300) $2520 $3715 0 $0 348 $12928 ($3780) $16708 ($37540) ($71607) ($830558) ($92065)
$143695 $50820 0 $0 7018 $217065 $194515 $22550
A-5
-- --
TABLE A-3 (Contd) ASSUMPTIONS TABLE BENFIT-COSTS TABLE (Calculated)
Economic and Financial Analysis for Energy Investments - Egyot EEA i01986
Capital Costs Benefit Parameters Internal Rate of Return 124
Acouisition $149995 Price of Oil $25CK bbl (yr 1)TransDortation $0 Oil Escalat 20year Disc PY of PV of BCConstruction $0 Rate Benefits Costs NPV Ratio
Interconrection $0 Enrgy Savngs 348 bblyear m_ S -- - Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 $217065 $194515 $2550 112
TOTAL Cap) $149995 2 $175450 $187381 ($11931) 094
4 $144247 $181787 ($37540) 079Construct Time 10 months 6 $120511 $177355 ($56844) 068 8 $102 198 $173805 ($71607) 059DOeratino and Normal Maintenance Costs 10 $87674 $170933 ($83058) 051
11 $81877 $169701 ($87824) 048Deratina Cost $2520 year 0 Sshye i s 5 a $76520 $168585 ($92065) 045ODperatina Lifetime 21 years 23 $71720 $167571 ($95851) 043
14 $67405 $166647 ($99242) 040Major Eauipment RepairReplacement 15 $63514 165804 ($102290) 038
16 $59996 $165032 ($105036) 036Salvage Value ($6 300period 18 $53904 $163674 ($109770) 033 Replace Period 20 years 20 $48839 $162522 ($1136833) 030
A-6
Econotic and Financial Araiysis for Energy Irvesteents - Egypt EEA 101986
TABLE A-4
For Case ofFI-2-D -ST 14 - HELWAN TEXTILEIPH ( COLLTOR PRICE 30SFT - PRICE OF OIL $30BBL)Assunina Oil Escalation Rate of 20
Saved Value of
CaPital Oerating Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel EreryYear Cost Cost $bl (PbI) Cost Ecuiv Savea Annual Cash Flow Discounted Cash Flow (N91V) IErerey Cost Currer $ 4 8 10 12
Pcousition $142995 I Tr2rsport $0 1 Constrtio s I Intercorrecto $01 Total $14995 $420 $3000 0 $0SO58 $1740 $150415 (148675) 3514375) ($148675) ($143675) ($148675)
$0 $60C 220 303 $25 0 $3121 0 5 34 506 9 2$0 348 $10862 50 $8 1 9 ($ 4 0 85M) ($ 1 4 11 4 8) ( S 141e280$25X) $342 ($133146) ($133937) ($134391)) ( $ 141 41 7 1
4 (3134767)$0 $2520 $31845 $0 2520 $347 0 0
$0 348 $11079 S2520 $8559 ($125537)$0 346 $1301 $2 (127202) ($127961) ($128675)0 2520 $3312
520 5781 ($118032) ($120748) ($121963) ($123095)7 0 $0 348 $111527 S2-0so S2520 $3378 $3007 ($110629) (114618)
850 0 (116371) ($117984)so 348 51275752520 $3446 0 $0 348
S2520 $9237 ($103329) ($108797) (111157) (113304)$I992 $2520 $9472 (39613) ($103270) ($106296) ($109020)$0 $2520 $35 1510 0$0 $2520 $3585 0 s0 348 $12232 S2520 $9712 ($89034 (598(023)11 $0 348 S2477 ($01765 (3105097)$0 $2 500 S 521t0 $9957 ($5 039)$3657 0 0 (33042 ($97543) ($101507)348 $12726 S252012 0 $ 2520 $53730
$10206 ($7E144) ($88315) (1193608) (S98220)0 $0 348 $12981 $25 $10461 ($S3 3h8)14
52520 (55823) ($89941) ($95213)$0 $2520 $3881 510720 (61 652)0 ($79571) ($86525)s0 348 $13505 ($92461)I5 $0 $2520 $10985 (555055)52520 $3958 0 ($75532 (583343) (89944)s0 348 $1377516 SO S2520 S511255 ($4e5) (571700)$2520 $4038 0 ($0379) (387641)$0 348 51405117 $0 $2520 $4118 0
S2520 $11531 ($4 153 ($68065) ($77 61) ($85534)s0 348 $14332 $218 -0 $11812$0 $2520 (35846) (364617) (575048)$4201 0 ($83607)19 348 $141619 S2520$0
s0 $1209 (59635$2520 $4285 ($61347) ($72650 ($81845$0 348 $1491120 $0 $2520 $2520 $12331 ($23519) ($58247)$4370 0 ($70426) ($80234)$0 348 $15209 $252021 (36300Y $2520 54458 0 $0 12689 ($174 ) ($55306) ($68351) ($78761)348 $15513 (53780) $19293 ($8691) ($51167) ($65484) (76761)
$143695 S5m0 0 so 7018 $260478 $194515 $65963
A-7
TABLE A-4 (Contd) ASSUMPTIONS TABLE BENEFIT-COT3 TABLE (Calculated)
Economic and Financial Aralysis for Energy Investments -- Egypt EEA 1019166
Caoital Costs Benefit Pararmeters Internal Rate of Return 339
Acquisition $149995 Price of Oil $3000 bbl (yr 1) Transportation $0 Oil Escalat L(Wvear Disc PV of PV of BC
Construct ior $0 Rate Benefits Costs NPV Ratio Interconnectior $0 Enrgy Savrias 348 bblvear
Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 S260478 $19455 $65963 134 TOTAL (Cao) $149995 2 $210540 $187381 S23159 112
4 $173097 $118787 ($8691) 095 Construct Time 10 months 6 $144614 $177355 ($32741) 382
8 $122638 $173805 1167 071 Operating and Normal Maintenance Costs 10 $105449 $170933 ($65464 062
11 $98253 $169701 ($71448) 058 Oerating Cost $2520 year 12 $91824 $168585 ($76761) 054
Operating Lifetime 21 years 13 $86064 $167571 ($81507) 051 14 $80885 $166647 ($85761) 049
Major Equipment RepairReDlacement 15 $76217 $165804 ($89587) 046 16 $71995 $165032 ($93037) 044
Replace Cost ($6300)period 18 $64685 $163674 ($98989) 040 Replace Period 20 years 23 $58607 $162522 ($103915) 036
A-8
Ecromic and Fna-ia Aaysis for Ene-v investmerts - E yvt EEP shyi(I195
TABLE A-5
For ie ofFIELD TEST 44 - H-LWA-4 TEXTILEi C E-TO PR CE $305 FT - PRIZE OF OIL $35BBL) Assurjc Oil Escalation PR-e of 20
Saved Vaiue cfa-tal Ooeratlr_ Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel Ererv a eO Anual poundan Flow Discounted Cash Flow (NPV) i = Year r st cost SPbl (bbl) [cst Eciv Errgv Cost Currert $ 4 8 10 12
I SI auxsiticr 1433
1 Trarsoort $0
EorstrLZt cr $0 SI-tercorrezt ior $0
Total $143 995 $420 $3500 0 so 58 $2030 S15-415 ($145385) (4148385) ($148385) (M142335) ($1483351$0 $2520 $3570 0 $0 348 $1424 $2520 $3904 ($138862) ($133215) ($39382) (13543)Sto S2520 $3041 0 $1 348 51-672 $520 $10(152W20476) ($130511) (S130992) ($131443)4 $1 $2523 $3714 0 S0 348 226 $2520 $10406 ($12C226) ($122251) ($23174 ($124043)o$0 2520 $3789 0 $ 34B $12184 52520 $10664 t$111I10) ($114413) ($115890) ($27266)
6 s0 $2520 $3864 0 $0 348 t53448 $252n 10928 (S102128) ($106975) (3109105) ($111065)70 $2520 $3942 0 s0 348 $13717 12520 S111137 ($93279) ($99 920) ($102785) ($10- 392)5 $0 $2520 $4020 0 $0 348 $13231 $250 $S1471 ($845 2) ($93226) ($33898) (M100204)9 VI $2520 $4101 0 so 348 $14271 S520 $11751 (175976) ($86878) ($91416) ($3f458)
10 $0 $2520 $4183 0 $0 348 $14556 $2520 $12036 ($67520) ($80E5) ($86312) ($11117)11 s0 $2520 42G 0 $0 348 $14647 $2520 1123227 (S52192) ($75147) ( 8155) ($7148)12 $ 0 $4352 0 so 348 $15144 $2520 $12624 ($5- 931) ($69732) ($77134) ($83519)13 $0 $2520 $4439 0 so 348 $15447 $2 0 $12927 ($42917) ($64599) ($73015) (W8320)14 $0 $ 50 $4528 0 $0 348 $I-755 $2520 S1323- ($34938) ($53732) ($69181) ($77168)15 SO $2520 $4618 (1 $0 348 $16071 $2520 $13551 ($27142) (S55118) ($5613) ($7439516 t0 $2520 $4711 0 $0 348 $16333 $250 $13873 ($1 439) ($50745) ($62232) ($71860)17 $0 $2520 $4805 0 $0 348 $16721 $2120 $14201 ($I1657) ($4660) ($59201) ($G9544)18 $0 $25200 $4901 0 so 348 $17055 $250 $14535 ($4396) (02672) ($5632) ($67427)19 $0 $2520 $4999 0 $0 348 $17396 $2520 $14876 $2948 ($33949) ($53650) ($65492)20 $0 $2520 $5093 21
0 $0 348 $17744 $3520 $15224 $10174 ($35421) ($51161) ($3725)($6300) $2520 $5201 0 $0 348 $18099 ($3780) $21879 $20159 ($30727) ($47909) ($61457)
$143695 $50820 0 $0 7018 $303891 $194515 $103376
A-9
TABLE A-5 (Contd)ASSUMPTIONS TABLE ENEFIT-COSTS TABLE (Calculated)
Economic and Financiai Analysis for Erergy Investments -- Egyot EEA 10965
Capital Costs Benefit Parameters Internai Rate of Return 534
Acquisition $149995 Price of Oil $35K0 bbl (yr 1) Transport tior $0 Oil Escalat 20vear Disc PV of FV of PCConstruction $0 Rate Benefits Costs tPV Ratio
Interconnectior $0 Enrgy Savns 342 bblyear ==-- -Fuel Use 0 bblvear 0 $303531 $154515 $103376 156
TOTAL (Cap) $149995 2 $245630 $187331 $58249 3
4 $i20 46 $181787 20159 i11Construct Time 10 months 6 $163716 $177355 ($8639) 095 8 $143078 $173805 ($30727) 082
Operating and Normal Maintenance Costs 10 $123024 $170933 ($47909) 072 11 S114628 $169701 ($55 073) 068
Operating Cost $2520 year 12 $107128 $165585 ($61457) 064 Operating Lifetime 21 years $l40810 $167571 ($67163) 060
14 $94366 $166647 ($72281) 057Major Equipment RepairReolacement 15 $82920 $165804 ($76864) 054
16 $83994 $165032 ($81038) 051Replace Cost ($6300)period 18 $75465 $163674 $88-08) 046
Replace Period 20 years 2 $68375 $162522 ($94147) 042A- 10
Eccricmi ane Finarcial AnalysiT fo Energy trvest-ents -- Ev-t EEA 101215
TAlKE A-5
For Case ofFiED TEST 04 - HELWPN TEXTIL=IPH (COLLECTD PRICE $3SFT- PRICE as OIL $40BBL) Ass mir Oil Esralatior Rate of 20
Savet Yait- ofCaoital ODerating Ccst of Oil Fuel bse Fuel Energy Saved fnrnal [a- Flch Liscounted Cash Flow (NPV) i = Year Cost Cost $bl (Bbi) CLst Ecit1 Energy Ccst C-rert$ 4 8 10 12
I Acc-ist on $142995 I -ras)ort $0 1 cnstr t o $0
I te-crrezt icr $0 Total $14995 $420 $400N 0 $0 58 $2320 $15045 (S143C135 ($14209) ($143095) ($142035) ($148095)S) $220 $4080 0 so78 ($138f6) ($137282) ($137478) ($137663)
$0 $2520 $4162 r $0 348 $1442 $250 $192 ($125806) ($127026) (M27592) ($128132)4 so 12120 $4245 0 s0 348 $14 77 S25K0 V2252 ($114914) ($117300) (1115337) ($119411)soS0 2 $43310s _$0 25 $330 0 1-7j(1147 0 ($04188)6 $0 $2520 $4416
$0 348 $15$7 525 $12547 ($108077) ($109817) ($111437)0 $0 348 s15 $252 $12849 ($33627) ($93322) ($1083S) ($104146)7 so $2 520 $4505 0 V) 348 $ 676 S21520 $13156 ($83230) ($31042) ($94412) ($97481)
8 $0 $2520 $4595 0 $0 348 $15 9 o 2520 S13470 ($72934) ($83 182) ($57500) ($9388)9 $0 $252) $4687 Q $0 348 $I309 $2520 $3 789 ($62918) $75732) ($31067) ($85818)10 $0 $2520 $4780 0 $0 348 $6631 5 2520 $14116 ($53001) ($68671) ($75081) ($0728)11 $0 $2520 $4676 0 $0 348 $1696 $520 $14448 ($43240) ($61979) ($69510) ($76076)12 $0 $2520 $4973 0 $0 348 $17308 $2520 $14788 ($33634) ($55636) ($64327) ($71825)13 $0 $2520 73 0 $0 348 $17654 $2520 $15134 ($24181) ($49626) ($59505) ($67940) 14 $0 $2520 $5174 0 $0 348 $18 007 S250 $5487 ($14880) ($43932) ($55019) ($64391)15 $0 $2520 $5278 0 $0 348 $ P367 $2 520 $15847 ($572-3) ($38537) ($50646) (55148)
$0 $220 $538316 0 $0 348 $18734 $25032 ($33425) ( 5) (58186)17 s $2520 $549 0 $0 348 $191$2 250 $I5 9 $12 131 ($328583) ($43354) ($55480)18 $0 $2520 $5601 C $0 348 $19491 $2520 $IE971 $20844 ($23996) ($39997) ($53008)19 $0 $2520 $5713 so 348 $19881 $2520 $173C1 $39414 ($19651) ($36874) ($50751)20 $0 $2520 $5827 (t $0 348 $20273 $2520 $17759 $37843 ($15536) ($33370) ($48689)21 ($6 300) $2520 $5944 $0 348 $20684 ($3780) $24 A64 $49 008 ($10288) ($30334) ($46153)
$143695 $50820 0 $0 7018 $347 304 $194515 $152789A-1 1
TABLE A-6 (Contd)ASSUMPTIONS TABLE BEIEF7-COSTS TABLE (Calculated)
Ecoroic nj Firancial Analysis for Energy Investmerts - Egypt EEA 10195G
azitai Costs Benefit Parameters internal Rate of eturr 714
Acuisition $149995 Price of Oil $400 bbl (yr 1)Transportat ior so Oil Escalat 20year Disc PV of PV of BCConstruction so Rate Benefits Cost- NPV RatioInterconnection $0 Enrgy SavTgs 348 bbyear ==== =-shy
--- Fuel Use 0 bbear 0 $347304 $194515 $152 789 179TOTAL (Ca ) $149 95 2 $28D720 $187381 $93359 150
4 230796 $181787 $49008 127Construct Time 10 months 6 $192818 $177355 V15463 109 8 $163517 $173 805 ($10288) 094Ooerating and Norwal Maintenance Costs 10 $140599 $170933 ($30334) 08211 $13004 $169701 $33698) 077
fteratiri$ Cost 12) $122432 $168585 ($46153) 073Ooeratirn Lifetime 21 years 13 $1i 751 $167571 ($52819) 068
Major Equi~oent ReoairReplacesent 14 $07847 $166647 ($58800) 06515 $10i622 5165804 ($64181) 061
16 $95993 $165032 ($69 039) 058Replace Cost ($6300)period 18 $86246 $163674 ($77428) 053Replace Period 20 years A12 20 $78143 $162522 ($84379) 048
ccz- a Firaca Araiysi- for Erergy IrvestL-rrts -- Ecyrt EC 01)83
TAP-LE P-7
For Case ofFIZLD TEST 4 - H-LWAN TEXTILEWAS-i i-AT PRESVERY wRIC2 SIS08L)DiL Assumiron Oil Escalation Rate of 20
Saved ValL- CCaoital DoeratinQ Cost of Oil Fue Used Fuel Erervy save kriual Cash Flow Discourted Cash Flow (NPV) 3 i =Yea- Cost Cost $b1 (Bbl) Cost Ecuiv Ererzv Cet Currert $ 4 8 10 12
1 Trar-s $0ort 1orstr-t lor $0
I I t e ronez t i m S-1 $735 $833 $Q500 C 0 1341 $27 62 53851 ($542231) (S542231) (S542231) (S542231) ($542231)Sc 53 S530 0 so 11045 $1ES034 11359 S76755- 0o62o) ($356235) (S93830) ($401450)SO $I1359 $15S1 $0 11048 S172415 jeuro $113-1S (3241715) ($252156) 3273 011353 V S 457 ($-=766) -4 to 259 $1592 0 iO 11045 $173863 1353 S164504 ($35471) ($127567) (142M1) ($15556)
Q S11359 $1624 0 $0 (148 17 I S11359 S63 -- $4 155 (340ampG) ($27 430) ($49185)6 11353 -016 U $0 11045 $182136 $12353 2171609 $183205 S12728 73126 1421917 $0 $11359 $1669 0 $0 14048 $186623 $S 353 i75269 $32772 $=223177 $173060 $136987$1125 $173 0 $0 11048 $536r $-53 S173001 $46 74S 3276-3 $263916 $2153S0 S111359 $1757 0 $ 11048 S194167 $13f $182808 S59735 $426389 5355 198 $29179210 $0 $1793 0 S0 11043 S1930L $3 $15 3 72H492 513781 $434373 S353115110 $11359 $128 0 S 1 $11048( I $190653 $357 30 $608090 $57 878 S420500 S0 $1365 0 $0 11048 $HS052 1-3 $134633 $383753 359159 $57617 $47646313 v0 $11353 $1902 0 $0 11043 S210173 $1- $193314 $1107338 $770542 $133465 1527500l$0 $11353 $1940 0 $0 11048 $214376 $1153 $203017 $223E665 $845191 $$5272 $574 0651373 s53$0 11048 1213664 $11359 $2737 $1349578 $915771 $7-2862 $61644516 $0 359 $2019 0 $ 11043 S223077 $11359 $211678 $1467116 $382501 $803536 $65511817 $ 511 353 $2059 0 $0 11049 $227498 S595 $216133 $1582514 $1045583 $850574 $5037518 1 1A3 S2100 0$0 11048 122C48 $1135 $2-20683 $1695810 $1105235 $894236 $7251719 $0 $11359 S2142 0 $0 11048 $236689 $11359 $S25330 $1807033 $1161623 $934764 $75181920 S0 $11359 12185 0 0 11048 $241423 $11353 $230064 $1316237 $1214932 1372331 $778531
21 $0 $11359 $2229 0 $0 11048 $246251 $1135 $234832 $202349 $1265328 1007296 $802881
$5679558 $Zgt9073 0 $0 222801 $0134711 $797031 $3337680
A-13
ASTYPTINS TABLE TABLE A-7 (Contd) BEEIT-rOT TAEPLE (Calculated)
Economic and Financial Analysis for Energy Investsents - Egypt EEA 10196
Capital Costs Benefit Faraineters interral Rate of Return 3101
Acquisitiorn $567952 Price of Oil 1500 bbl (yr 1) Trarsportatior $0 Oil Escalat 20year Disc PV of FVof BC
Corstruct ior $0 Rate Benefits Costs lrv Ratio
Irterconrection $0 Enrgy Sar_as 1104 bblyear -
--- ------ Fue Use 0 bbiyear 0 $41-4711 $77031 $3337680 519 TOTAL (Ca) $H67952 2 $34202-0 S755587 $2586433 442
4 t2747662 $72424 $2023439 379 Construct Time 10 morths 6 $2235 532 $700 138 $LJj5394 328
8$1946703 $68137G $1265328 286
Ooeratina and Normal Mairtenance Costs 10 $1673853 $666557 $1007296 251
11 $55962n $660307 $399314 236
Oerating Cost $11359 year 12 $1457578 $654697 $802881 223
Operating Lifetime 21 years 13 $136G 136 $64- 645 $716491 210 14 $1283$40 $645083 $638857 199
Major Equipment PeoairReplacemert 15 $1209831 $640951 $568880 189 16 $1142817 $37197 $505620 179
Replace Cost $0 period 18 $1026777 $630653 $396124 163
Replace Feriod 20 years 20 $930302 $625165 $305137 149
A-14
Econoi an Fnarial alysi for Energy Irve te-pt -- Eryct EEP 10138_
TABLE A-8
For Case cfF7ELD TEST $4 - HE=LWqN TEXTILE4qSTE -_j E[CXERY (PRCE C7 OIL $2013E_) Assurn_ 0i Escaiaticon Rate of 20
Saved Vale cf Capita Doeratn Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel Energy Saved rrual Cash c-w-- Discounted Cash Flow (NOV) i = Yea- Cost Cost Eb (pb]) Ccst Equiv Ererz Cst Currert $ 4 8 10 2
oisi67Ac s tr
rarExrt $0 rorstrztio sc
IIrerccrr_tor $0 7 $200Y 0 C1841 1687Tctai$78K S 98 1 )$53C3 ) 315Z3 02) ($5330251 ($533025) ($533015)2 v $11355 $ 04Q 0 $0 11048 t225379 $1153 $214020 (327235) (S-34858) ($338461) ($341935)3 $0 $11353 $08i C $0 11048 $-23857 $1135 1-258 ($125195) (S147505) ($157B59) (167726)
4 $0 $1135 $21 22 0 $0 11048 $234465 $11359 $223126 $73163 $23619 $3778 (18910) $0 fI1-- $21E5 0 $0) 11048 $29174 $353 $227815 $26790 $197070 $r5 379 $125S71E $0 $13 2 2 083 0 so 11048 S2433K8 S1352 5-3 $459080 1355 373 $303805 $267854
7 $0 611355 $252 C $1) 11048 $243K7 $59 $27478 $4762 $505024 $-855 53881678 $ $1135 $227 0 $0 11048 $2K2814 353 -142455 $33007 $646494 $568272 $4978429 $1 35 $2343 (1 $0 11046 $253 83 $111359 s47 531 $1011876 $780227 $623747 $59781510 $0 $11359 $I39 0 $0 11048 $26068 $135 $252703 $1183426 $906644 $790920 $68894411 soS 1359 $2438 0 s0 l048 $2634 S1 359 S57990 $1363714 $1026144 3890387S77201012 $0 $11359 $2487 0 s0 11048 $274736 $353 $263377 $1534793 $1139102 $982699 $84772513 $0 S11259$2535 0 $0 11048 $280231 $11359 $268872 i1702736 $1245874 $1068389 $91673814 $0 $11359 $2587 C0 $0 11046 $285835 $1359 $274476 $1867573 $1346733 $1147876 $97364015 so $11-359 $2629 0 s 11048 $291552 $i135 S28193 12023383 $1442193 $1221659 $103697316 $0 S1359 $2632 0 $0 11048 1237383 S353 $22-024 $2188202 $1532360 $1290131 $108922917 $ 111359 $2746 ( s0 11048 $303331 $11359 $291972 $234408 $1617584 11253673 $113885618 $0 $11359 $2800 0 $0 11048 $303-97 $115 $298038 $2497093 $1698134 $1412638 $118026419 $0 $11359 $2856 0 $0 11048 $315585 11359 $304226 $2G47268 $1774267 $1467356 $1219 8520 $0 $11359 $2914 0 $0 11048 $321897 $11359 $310538 $2794663 $1846222 $518131 $125588121 $0 $11359 $2972 0 $0 11048 $328335 $11359 $316976 $2939326 $191422 $565248 $1288740
$567958 $229073 0 $0 222801 i5512948 $797031 $4715917
A-15
P7UrSPTIONS TABLE TABLE A-8 (Contd) EtEFIT-CSTS TABLE (Calculated)
Ecoroic ard irarcial Analysis for Energy Investments -- Egypt EEA 1019E6
apital Ccsts Benefit Parareters Irterral Rate of Return 4220
Acquisition $567958 Transportation $0
Construct ior $0 Irtercor rectior $0
Price of Oil Oil Escalat
Enrgy Savrgs
$2000 bbl (yr 1) 20year
11048 bblyear
Disc
Rate
----
PV of erefits
PV of
Costs NPV
BC
Ratio
TOTPL (Cap) $567958 Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 J55948
2$4456027 $797031 $75587
$4715917 $3 700440
6 2 590
Construct Time 10 corths 4$3E 3550 6$3060 709
$724224 $700 138
$2939326 $2 360571
506 437
Operating and Normal Maintenance Costs 8$2595604 1(V$2231804
$681376 $666557
$1914229 $1565248
381 335
Operating Cost Operating Lifetime
$11359 iyear 21 years
11 $2079494 12 $1343437 13 T1821515
$660307 $654697 $649645
$1419187 $1288740 $1171869
315 297 280
Major Equipment RepairReplacement 14 $1711920 15 $1613108
$645083 $640951
$1066837 $972157
265 252
Replace Cost $0 period 16 $1523756 18 $1369035
$637197 $630653
$886559 $738382
239 217
Replace Period 20 years 20 $1240402 $625165 $615238 198
A-16
Eccw= ar -narzia Pnav=_is fcr Erergy Irvestrrent_ -- Egypt EEC 101
P= A-9
or Case of2IED TEST 4 - HELPAN TEXTIEN3TE HEAT -CDOERY (PC- U BBL- ----Assmir Cil Escalation Rate of 20
SaVEdt C~famta eratirg Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel Energy Saved Annal Fasn Flow Discounted Cash Flow (UOV 8 i = lea- Cost Cost $Pb (8b1) Cost Ec-jiv Energy Cost Crrert I 4 8 10 12
I Transocrt corst rutr $7
rterornazticota HS 833 7 1841 $4S 73 -3951 C$52818 (WBIB) ($52381 1 (3523818) ($53218)SC 51133 $20 0 048 $22172 U3 $27365 ($263851 1(2731480) (278031) ($262421)$0 $11359 $2601 0 $0 11042 7=5 $12$3 5275 999 (-S74) (368Z5) 333343900253 ( 15)0 111049 ( $359 _51 747 $241737 $I82 805 $161748 5131462Q 07C 11043 S2531558 11259 12379 $477 s46 $323206 $35188 $32 27$0 $11-_ $2760 0 1n 11043 $304 94 $11 3 3 24E7--555 $722 55 $5S3 Mf $5404 - $$487517$7 $-~5 $2315 0 11048 $712 1353 $233 53 5 872 $786 871 $709649 $639347$ $1 5282 0 $0 14 391141292 0 IK93
656f $8662 S7777253SiZ bull0 $312 5 $1426427 T113465 $10122372 9 3 39 $ 35- $2983 0 $ 145 $33035 1 3 3 726 $165035 $12350M S1147467 $108774$C $135 $304711 0 S0 11046 $3365pound 5ii5 $325 22712 $)
187C 129t44419- $1272895 SI 2351$- $3103 C S 113 $34$2 - 132206 $20S53 S1556613 11353280 $ PIE98c13 3 S317 0 v 1 5$143 250 $11159 $3352 $2237533 I 72120 $47274 $1305375SO 51253 $2340 s0 104 S3 $184840-
0 SO 11041 $364 $11353 5081 3709183 519E861E $262) 456 S1457500 15 Ss35-2 $3293
3 17294 $1 9 $ 9-- $ 293 $157473 $138525-5
16 V0 $1353 $3365 0 s 1I1Ns -3717 21f5 $230328917 - $ 7C 1270 2082220 $776726 $1523340$7 $II35 $34 32 0 $0 1104c8 $37312 $11 $372 4 $3105663 $2183578 $156771 1533718 S 1-13 $35 1 0 so 1048 $7332377 t1931039 $1638010$22-103419 $0 $11353 $3571 0 $0 11048 $3544S2 $135q Q83123 $3487437 $2385910 $M947 $168783120 $0 $1135q $364( $0 11048 $40-37 $1135 $391212 $3673088 $2477512 $2053881 $1733230$0 $11359 $3715 021 $9 11048 $40419 $113553 $399060 $3855214 $2563130 $2123 19 $1774600
$567 9S3 $--3073 0$0 M 801 $6831186 $737031 $6034154
A-17
SUPTIONS TABLE TABLE A-9 (Contd) EENPT-OET TAKE (Caiculated)
Ecoc an Firarzial Palysis for Energy Investments - Egypt EEA 1l6
Caits Co=ts Berefit Parameters Irterrz2 Rate R~Return 5368
Acquisition $567958 trice of Oil $250 i-b (yr I) Tarsprcrtator
Constructior
Interconnectior
$0
$0
so
Oii Esalat
Enrgy Savnps
2 0vear
11042 bblyear
Disc
Rate
V Cf
PerEfits
V of
Costs -IV
FC
Ratio
------------TOTP (ap 57959
Fuel Use 0 bl1year 0 $f)83 33
$797031 75537
1609454 $481444E
865 737
Construct Tire 10 rnortns 4 14573 437 6 $332f 886
$724224Q13855214 $700138 $S-125748
632 546
OperatinL and Ncrmal MaIntenarce Costs 3- L 5)5 1 $27K755
$ES376 $666557
5t 130 $2123199
475 419
Ooerating Cost
OperatiTrg LifetiMe
$1359 year
21 years
1 if25H37 2 $24229
3 S2276893
$660307 G 5o637
$649645
$5939081 $1774600
16-2724
394 371
350
Major Equipment RepaiReplacemert bull~~l i4$2239005 -2 01S32
$64508 $14948162051 375435$640 1 $ 4 5
3 2 315
Replace Cost
Replace Period
$0 period
20 years
16 $1X4 695 18 S1711294
20N $1 550 503
$637197 $1267498 $530652 $1080641
$625165 $925338
299 271
248
A-18
Econr- ard Fra--a haavsi fcr Er=rv investerts -- Ecyzt E
For Case ofFELD TEST 4 - HELWANTEXTILES3TE -9T REZOVERY (PCE C-O 3IBiL) PssuTir~g Oil Escalation Rate c 20
Year Capital
Cost Ooeratir
Cost Cost cf Oil
$lBbl Fuel Used
(Ebl) Fuel Cost
Saved Erergy Eauiv
ValS cf Saved
Enercy Pnral
Cost Ls iCh Crrert 1
Di-cousteJ 4
Cash Flow 8
(NPV) i 10
=
12
I P~uis~xor~1567958 Transvort $0
1 cntrct mc- 1Irte-ccrret ic
a1s
4
6
Q$ 11
12 13
14 5
16
17
18
19
20 21
$
to 11Z so 1353 C 1-S s$o $1
$0 t13
$0 $i359 $0 $
S 11135-
3 $0 $11359
$0 $1359 $ $-353
$0 I353 0 $ 111359 $0 111359
so S11359 SC $11359
$ $11359
$0 $11359 $0 $11359
$4so $ $3121 $3164
824
$3312
$3378
$3445 $3515
$3657 37730
S33(
$138 $3958 $4033
$4118
$4201
$4285 $4370 5445
(1 0
C
0
0
C00 0
0 0
0 0
0 0 C
0
0
0
0 0
$0 $0 $0
$0
$0
$0
SCso $0
$-$0
$0 $0
$0 $0 s0
$0
so
$0 $0 $0
184 1104 11048 11048
1104S
11048
110 3
11048110 I 8
1(148 11048
11049 11048
11049 11048 11046
11048
11048
11048
11048 11048
S5524C
$338069 S344831 t3727
$3537S
$ 37
$37-
t33-7 2$38 3 $383335
$3161 $4(402
$412104 $42034S
$423753 $47328 $445075
$454995
$464056
$473378
$482845 $492502
$563851
S11355 $11359 S11355
5
11135
$1352
11355s
115335
$1359 $11359
$113 $112-59 $11353
$11353
$11353
$11359 $11359 $11359
11) ($514611
S2 710 33471 $1784 $340368 $410431 S$34740 1 $7 392 IK3457 $333829
i351390$123484
-255 $15= 3 $11353$27976 $1840978 S13-36384743 $2111293
9 $3665 $2376563
$40$745 1636279 $40S987 $2 832331 $417394 $2142007 42 99 $338934
$434716 $6Sl376
$443637 $387238 $4E2 737 14093661 $452019 $4327726 $471486 $4155514 $481143 $4771101
($51461
$73796 $343991
5539 342
$84661
$1063717
S284236 $1487914
$680371 S1862251
$2034124 $21955326
$23--0 013 $2495039 $262079
$2761573
$2883934
$2999553
S3103802 $3212031
($54611
$5-7994 $313717
$50998
$77162
$975443
$164984 $134)846
$504014 $165540A
$1795862 $1926178
$2047082 $2159253 $226-3321
$2359869
$2 449 441 $2532539 $2609631 $2681150
($514611)
06
$42935 $285202
$S505933
$707180
$80527
$57603 $1209862 $1348604 $1475031
$1590 236 $1695213
$79)359 $1878030 $1957451
$2029818
$2095757
$2155838
$2210580 $2260459
$567958 $229073 0 $0 222801 $8 269423 $797031 $7472391
A-19
TABLE A-10 (Contd) ASSUMPTIONS TABLE EENEFIT- ST TABLE (Calculated)
Econoraic are Fin=-ial alycsis for Energy Investments - Egypt EA 101965
iaital ccsts Bereifit Parameters internal Rate of Peturr SE55
Acquisition $H67353 Price of Oil $3000 bbl (yr 1) Transportatio $0 Oil Escalat 20year Disc PV of PV of BIC Constructior $0 Rate Benefits Costs NPV Ratio
Irterconectior $0 Errgy Savncs 11048 bblyear ---shy=-- Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 $8263423 $797031 $7472391 1038
TOTAL (Cap $79-53 24$6684040 $755587 $592Or 453 S85
4$542E325 $724224 $4771101 753Construct Time 10 months 6$459063 $700138 $3890925 656 8$3 893 406 $681376 $322 031 5 71
Operating and Normal Mainterance Costs 10 $2347706 $666557 $2681I0 502 - 11 $3119241 $660307 $3458934 472
Operating Cost $1359 year 12 $2915155 $654697 $2260459 445 Operating Lifetime 21 years 3 $_73 272 $64364Z $2081627 421
14 $2567880 $645082 $1922796 398Major Equipment RepairReplacemient 15 $2419662 $640951 $1778712 378
16 $228-634 $637197 $1648437 359 Replace Cost $0 period 18 $2053553 $630653 $1422900 326
Replace Period 20 years A-20 20 $1860603 $625165 $1235439 298
poundcenrzzc ar Firarial Analysis fcr Energy irnvesttterts -- EZyt pound2~ 10g88
TABLE A-Il
For Case of-EL TEST 4 - ELqN E LEA ATEP2ERy -E-D701 $35KL) Assumir Oil Escalaticn Rate cf 20
Savet- Vaiue cflaza 2eratn Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel Ererpy Saved Arnual Can_ Flow Discourtee Cas Flow (NV) i =Yea Cost Cost $pbl (Ebl) Cost Eauiv Enercy Ezt C-rrert $ 8 10 12 - -cuisittor -567-
Trarsocr $
crstrttir Irterznr or $0
7t Z-=7s5 3 $3Z0I 0 $0 1841 $amp4447 $59652 $505 405) ($-5405) ($505 405) (50540)5 ($55405$0 $11359 t3E70 so 1048 $34414 $11359 $353055 ($137083) ($I724) 173) ($16331)$1 $1359 $940 $ 1048 $4(2 32 $11353 $39C 76543 1224 $16444S $HE 92 $1482664 $0 $11359 $3714E Q $0 11043 359 89$41(2348 $1139 52 8 $5068 SSC I217 $4 5 6 7so TIIM $3789 Q V1 11043 $418E5f $11359 S$4)7 IgS 76 $4651687 $432258$927 138 $300478 $7432 807 $6i9103g
$0 $1359 $3864 0 $0 11048 $42S 98 $415527m3 833 $65704 11 C V001841o$0 1135g $3942 0 $0 11048 $435464 $11359 $$424105 $1603881 $135-564 124238 $1141707$ - $420 0 $0 1104-8 $4174 s3523 $43281- $232784 $1503107 $h63340 $1337491$0 $11359 $4101 0 $0 11048 s4_z_c- $ -9 S 4441-93$22E 52 $841743 $1S89396 $15158685$0 Sn359 $4183I 0 50 11049 $4621E $I353 $450753 $2572227 $206723 $1860582 $1878434 0 $11359 $4266 0 so 11048 $471-8 $125912 $46C 12 $22-987 $2280305 $2037912 $182S542t $1-9 43520 2
$0 11048 $48075 $1359 $4E9423 $3187919 12451E35 $2202444 $i961492$ $1139 $4439 0 $0 1104S $49C404 $11159 $479 4- $3437129 $2671870 $2375023 $2084450$0 S359 $452814 0 $0 11048 $50212 $113515 $483853 $378072 $2851 620 $2495386 S2196483s$ $I359 $4618 0 s0 11048 $51G216 $11359 $498557 $4065793 $3021462 $22205 V 298 559$- 52 $471116 0 $0 11048 $520420 $1$37 5 150306 1 $4351463 $3181939 $274916 $2391563$1359 $4805 0 $0 11048 $53129 $11359 $51347Q $4628812 13333567 $2882967 $247629 18 $0 S1359 $4901 0 $0 11048 $541445 S11359 $530086 $4900944 $347583K $2S7842 $255350319 so $11353 $4993 0 so 11048 S=52274 $11359 S540915 $5167955 $3612197 $3065131 $2L3644$0 si359 $509920 0 $0 11048 $530 $1135921 $551961 $5429939 $3740093 $315381 $2687930$0 $11359 $5201 0 so 11048 $574586 $11359 $563227 $56869B9 $3850932 $3239101 $2746318
$567958 $229073 0$0 2L801 $9647660 $797031 $8850629
A-21
SSUmOTIO3 TAlBLE TABLE A-lI (Contd)
PNEFT-COSTS TALE (Calculated)
Economic and Fir ancia Analysis fc-Energy Investments -- Egypt EEA I0P386
Calita costs Penefit arazeters
$cuistion$Z723 Price of Oil $ h500bb (yr 1)Trarspcrtation t0 Oii Escalat 20year Corstructcr $0
Irtercornection $0 Enray Savs 11048 bblyear -- - Fuel Use 0 bblyear
TOTAL (Cap) $5 57 8
Construct Time 10 mnrths
Coeratir ard Normal Maintenance Costs
Ooerating Cost $1135 yEar Operating Lifetime 21 years
MaJor Equipment RepairReplacemert
Replace Cost $0 period Replace Period 20 years
A-22
nterral Rate of Return 7785
Disc PV of PV of Rate Benefits Costs NTV --- _--
V S9647EGO $7-7031 $8850629 N $7793047 $755587 $7042460
4 $E411212 $724224 $568698961S 3S240 $700138 $4656102
8 $454 307 $681376 $3860 93-10 $305657 $666557 $323910111 Q633114 JE0307 $2978 SO3 I E $3401015 $654697 $2746318 I 387650 $S4964c5 $2538005 14 $25860 S645C83 $2350776 15 t- B940 $64051 $2181939
16 $266E 573 $37197 $2029376 18 $2395812 $630653 $1765159 20 $2170704 $625165 $1545539
BIC Ratio
1210 1032
885 75
667 586
551 519 491
464 440
418 380 347
Econoir a-nFinaci AralySi f- Ererzy InvEstments -- 07ptE LE
TP93
For Case ofFIELD TEST 4 - F1-LWA TEXTT -- (nC O= ]L s40PEt) Assuirz Oil Escalation Rate of 20
Saved Value cCaita 29ratir s of C Fuel Used
Fuel Erer y 3ave_- pal Casn Flo^ fLiscured Cash Flc (NPV 2 erCost Cost I Ib) Cost Euiv --ervy Cost Currert 3 4 8 10 12
1 7rans~crt $0
$ Tr O iS - 0 2$0 124 373655 39=851 ( 433193 (14351 ($ 6 1 8 $4 5 1 8931 4968l$ --3 $4020 0 VI 11048 $45C 3SI23 $42 2S W3698) ($33473 (35744) ($103877)0 1_3 0 so4152 1248 453 774 5 $34085amp Q95 07$0 443415 $ S273847 553596= S24 45 $0 1048 $45-95 $11359 $4Z7E $74770 SS5362 517656 573314S0 C 5 $4330 0 $0 11048 $47-34c 31259 $425339 $114f884 $$001513 5936616 $8760940 $59 $44E 0 $0 11048 4$10 1253 $47_55_9 1532579 13-2950 1232520 11146505
- c $S450- 0 sO N04E 147574 i $4263559 13C $1632410 $507021 $392887$10 $11259 14535 0 $0 11042 $5077 $ 3~5$1 268$4-3 $2700043 121 978 $176169G $167374I 135 $4627 0 so Ns04 1577S s259 S2670080 9f5282o 1 7 14W 2 I $19337945 5182903$478S 0 $0 043 $1s53 S52776 13033160 12454038 $2217103 20026411 9 $47 0 014876$S-E_ 4 1104--20 = 3 5pound 7 07$14800803 0O $3269358o$0 c 359 S 3 7 $2442 421 $217805$
s2 37115$5171 $0s14 1 S355 $E74 11048 S -511113-f 1743 102 $4C1L 27 $13147202 $2783 987 $24736230 $0 114048 517 311 HI9 S56312 $4418436 S13357 $294628332217 12602037I5 $0 $1353 $1z Sf 312$7578 0 $0 11048 $I 319 $439 _7$3$527404 $59 -40$7745 $278 gO $ 43$4743604 $3547884 $30998428 $2719087$0 $I Ec $383 016 $0 11048 $5547ES v11255 $H62407 S5072550 $3 799 $323E511 12825674$11359 $549 0 S0 1048 SE s 311 50 $ 9-25562U $2 2 718 $O $1-253 $5 0 $0 11048 61875 1i3 $470 8 40693133 1482244 20120715 $0 135I $5713 0 so 11043 $5217 3 77$113 9 775 $470 $2248 4 01 7$30912010 $0 11359 $5 827 0 $0 11048 $642794 $11359 $632435 $S39t367 $4371382 $370130 $3165280
21 $0 $11359 $5944 0 $0 11048 1656570 511359 S645311 6602876 $4509833 $3797052 $3232177
$567953 $ 29073 8970 10 801 511 02-5 $797031 $10228866
A-23
TABLE A-12 (Contd)PSSI PTIONSTAJKE rEnJT-DETS ^2LE(Caiculated)
E~onoma~infncia fcr Erery Investwerts - Egypt EA 1036
LapitE --ts Penefit Parameters ternr ate cf ketur 9060
Pquisition $-57958 Price of CI Trasortaticon $f CiI Escalat
onstructIon $0
iterzorr-ction $0 Ernrgy Savrs ------ Fuel Use
77A ao) $567958
Construct Time 10 months
OpEratirg ar N-rmal Mairterance Ccsts ------
Operating Cost $1355 year Operatirn Lifetime 2 years
Major Eqiprent RepairRezlacement
Replace Cost $0 period Replace Period 20 years
$4K lbb (yr 1) 20year
11043 bbllyear
0 bblyear
Ns PV of PV of Rate eni L-sts NPV
0$11025 397 1797031 $1022666 2 25q3 75E587 $ 156466 4 $7327100 $724-4 $6602876
6 $$121418 $700138 $5421280
e5191203 $68376 $4509833 10 $4463603 $66-57 $377C52 11 $4152988 $G 307 $3498681 12 $3865874 $654697 $3232177 13 13643029 $543645 $2993384
14 $3L423840 $645083 $27875615 S3226217 $6402351 $2585266 16 13047512 $637197 $2410315 18 $2738071 $630653 $2107418 20 $24008 5 $625165 $1855640
BC Ratio
1383 1179
1012
874
762 670
630
594
561
531 503
478 434
397
A-24
-c-nc an Firanzia Pralysisfcr Erergy Irvestrents -- Env t E 0
TALE P--3
Fer Case tfFEI7E3ET4 - FLN TEXTILESCLR PLUS
Assuming Oil Escalafior Rate oF 0
73 T ECCeZRY (PR_5rCF OIL S15BL)
r a
bull
etaIOiertrg
ssost Ccst Of Oi
$I Fe Lse
(E-12 Fuel
Save -Enery Eciv
a L Ef SaveS
Erery ra Ccst
asn Fli CLrrert f
sccunted 4
Cash Floo (NPV) 8 10
i
2
bull
4
5
7
0
1
2
13
14
16
17
is
19 20
21
r S CCrrnst cr $cr
erzcn11 on
Toa7 52 $2313 $ 13279 SC 13279 S t13979 $ $2673
C5r2
$0 $13573
S $13873 $ S$13279 $0 t373 $0 $13 79 $0 $387 $0 $13S79
$0 $1357S
$0Si 3279 $0 513879
$0 $13279
$ $137
0 $13879 $0 $S3879
($E300) $13879
$711653 $279893
V500
$1530 S561
S5592 $1624 $16565
$1689
$1723 $1757
$1733
$1326
$1265
I -
$1140
$1973 $20
S205 $2100
$2142 $2185
$22-29
0 0
0
r)
0
0
r
0
0 0 0
0
0 0 0
0
O$0 189 $28490 $720263 $0 1396 $17453 $13 S7 $0 113SE $177346 t-879 $$C 13 $1803 2a7g $$0 1139 12503 S1387 $0 1396 $183732 7 2 2S 0 13 $192 3 $13879
$0 1 c 9E3 8761 $0 11396 $20 2E3 $3872 $0 1396 $20423 V2 273 $0 11396 $20335 S13873 0 1132H $212542 T2272 $0 11396 $216733 $1387 $0 11396 $221129 $13879
to 1139S $25f2 3 $0 11353 523063 $13873 $0 11396 $234664 $13873 $0 11396 $23357 $13879
$0 11396 $244144 $13879 $0 11396 $249027 13879 $0 11396 $254008 $7579
$0 22819 $4264950 $991546
A-25
(77-773(5691771 1$691776) 164 C ($537432) ($542184)
$ 367 138E872) (M402609) 37524 ($23E944) f$263623) $17 ($90642) ($143 2 73174853 $307 -14 -- 7G 4 ( 8 $173627 $194245 $8774amp
$182477 t33293 $114220 S1 404 $49117 $2-4229 $10 410 s 027 $390 181 $154496 $734291 $490270 $193663 $86Z339 $565474 $202914 $3073 $amp46054 $207250 $1114548 722259
$11amp73 $1236783 $794325f216184 $356823 $862476 t220785 474702 $92921 $22- 478 $590456 $987860
$23)265 $1704121 $1045484 235148 $1815733 $10-971
$24642 $1928200 $1152842
$3273404
(691 776) ($691776)
($545885) ($543491) ($410376) ($417777) ($264512) (532537) (17613) (189767) (9 ) ( 1( $ 53 0 4 -4 ) -$1) $41737 ($53)
$135427 S82491 $22238s $157776 $303138 $M-6440 $373125 $289063 $447755 34o174 $S12410 $398257 $572443 $445753
$S28193 S8066$679935 $528562
$727985 $564576 $772594 $597416
$814010 $27360 $852458 $6546G2 $889088 $680208
TABLE A-13 (Contd) PSc6UY1TTG TAKE 52ZFEI-CSTS TXLE Calculated)
Econo iar narza 9Aais- for ErErgy Investments shy Eypt EZE 1ci35
Capital Ccsts Benefit Parameters Irternal RatE c Return 24953
~ccui i tcr717953 Price of Oil $15Y0 bbl (yr 1) T-ars~crtat ion $0 Oil Escalat 20year Disc tV of V of BC
crstruct ion $0 Rate Benefits Costs NP Ratio Intercornectior $ Enrgy Savrs 11396 L11year
FuE US= 0 bbiyear 0 $4264950 $991546 $3273404 431
TOTPL (Cap)-77953 2 447230 $942ss $2 504m 366 4t $2334211 $301011 $1928200 313
Costruct T 0 mth_ 357 838 $877493 $1490346 270 12110080 $85511 $112842 235
Operatin and Ncrma aintenarce Costs 0 $7 S76 $837483 $883068 0 11 $1608747 $830008 $778739 194
Operatin Cost Oeratirg Lifet1 M1
$_87T year years
2-$502490 13 $1403 168
$823281 $917216
$660203 $9195
183 172
14 $1324383 $311730 $512652 163 Major Equipert ReoairRepiacemert 15 $1247940 $80S 754 $441185 155
16 $1178815 $80222 $37658S 147 Replace Cost ($6300)period 18 $1o9119 $794327 $264792 133
Replace Period 20 years 20 $3959605 $787687 $171918 122
A-26
-- tr- er F-= v fc E-r= 1r tesirt_Egyrt EEP
TqPPLE P-4
F- caecfFlDTST t4 - UEL$Q TEXTILESDLAR PLUS WASTE HET -COVERpY(Pj- OF OIL $S31PL) nssuring Cil Escalatio- Pate c
Ltal Ccst cF Oil Fuel Used savet Va- cCa 0eratin Fuel Er-er SavE Armia Lasn FowDy riscoured Cash Fco (N7V) i vew t cost $b (b) Cost Eciv nert Cost Currert $ 4 810 10 12
ftP ic ro717953 I rarszc-t $0
r r $0|
f7753 $t S2100S23-13 so 1233-7 37 933747 ($S62-202 (23N ($682280)S Z-2) z $11279 M--7
3 2 $12 $Q373 (447205 $47 67-3 t$453t2 ($487110)3173 $DE 3S 2 2712 T 3S1249 t1$2532) ($2Sj731 ($292049 ($30-23)v W 2n UL22 22732
4 0 so 37 7 SE2923 (-2742S) ($27 531 ($146842)$0 1 57 $ 3 H 5 7 8 fit 73 1 2 8 0$2208 0 $0 3S tKj2 H872Q $237763 121 449 1-543 $17901 S6 3$ $1o73 32152 0 so Ins I25 E7 $1373 524796 152334 S373 47 o1l953 12503tq7 $21 0 so ni8 $2E 8( C3973 t715740 521 13 $24792954413 $1 190
0 $ 1279 $2343 0 33 6 5S L3 73 152 ME3 $22726 SSE913 = k S473433C En 1i c SC 2H6 127-ESE $1373 5237506504E52517O3 $71230 S672916 56391 $0 $13379 $2438 0 $0 113H S773-S25 272 4 5 7 $911492 $726E2 $651646I1 $0 S879 $2457 0 SO 3 $322 1372 5251 1143736 $7C702 $SE7144 $72912313 7 =36 s2 5 $1273 $275173 M160612 S113 353 5954024 $7 55514 SO H1079 121E7 0 so 1s3 I234m3 I 73 $2503H0 1772343 $123966 $1036208 S 414415 $ $1o7 $S3 0 $0 11336 C3002 $1 $3K7Z $1372 $St7557 S M37330 A1746$9M 840a $- 2 56 c so 3 1m237i 123287 129 3 MI42 LEE $97E34717 SO $13879 $-740 $0 1296 531S3525
12 7 1387 $2-30 $2 $51637 5 4E97 5 A 2vO 1 ST2 0 0a7 $209 1123S 1314 $13879 1305 264 $241E979 C59 43E 30N IbX3 581Ws19 $0 11387 $2356 0 $0 11336 $3H526 $13879 $311647 $2570817 $1677425 5133377 $111010820 $0 $12879 $2114 0 $0 i13 $33203S $13879 $318157 $2721828 61751146 S415399 $114704821 ($6300) $13879 $272 0 $0 11396 $338677 $7579 $331028 $2872937 $1822182 $1464614 $1181372
$71653 $279893 0$0 M819 S56686) $991546 $4095054
A-27
TABLE A-14 (Contd) 3M-S rET-N7 CSTS TPULZ CalLNated)
Ecobullric anf 7rT a f- Erer Investrents -- E F ay A 1916
Capita Sosts BersEft taraampeters R-ae -eturf 3402
Aczuisitjorn $717953 Trarnscrtatior $0
Price of Oil Oil Escalat
$2000 bbl year
(yr 1) poundai_ PEcf cf BC
Zcnstructior $0 Rate Penefits Costs NOV Ratio ir$tez)rectio
TOTAL tCa ) $717 953
Enrgy Savrs Fuel Use
1129 bblyear 0 bblyear
==shy0$568GG00 2- $4 33257
$954E $342962
$4535 054 $3 534i
574 487
Lo stru 6 Time 10 con-h r1 e-
4$3773943 $357118
E2Z17363
$9S 011 $2 872 937 S877493 $2279625 $S5518 S1 822182
41736 360 313
rPEratino ans Nrmal Maintenance Costs
Oueratirg Cost $13872 year Cpratir Lifetime 21 years
0 S2302104-1-$214493G
2$2004 53 -1S 78330
$5374n9$330008
$S2323 $817216
$464614$131A93
$IE1372 2051674
275 258
243 230
Major Equiprent RepairReplacemernt 14 $17 5843 5 $1G663919
$311730 SS06754
$954113 $7 165
218 206
Replace Cost Replace Period
(N6300)period 20 years
16 $571753 18 $1412159 20 $1279474
$802 22 $794327 $787687
$769524 $617832 $491787
6 178 162
A-28
- ranzcal Analysis fc- Enery vestrent_ - Eynt EE 0
TALE t-E
77 P7 q (NU - C$Ipp Asumzr_ O EscaatorRate cf 0
ot _o-tr o
ct of Oil $1-
Fuel Used (Ebl)
FL Cost
Save Ergy
Ecuiv
a1e e-
Errgy r
ost Ca--ic
rrer $ DisEcurted Cash 4 8
Floh (NPV) 10
P i 12n
I
I
Acuis~tion S177 Trar-pcr T
cnstr=ticr $0 rernct cshy
7S7
-
V I
In
I $1227
t3S7
I27T
2E F - 03
1706Q_
0
0 $0
0S0 1
--shy29 S4748
E $-5
3 2419 122723 $32
I3F 13 33f
$72
137 $187 7 $13879
S2$ (333727-3
7Z73 ($4 707
SZS2 E-I (V454 1 135104E 3$2 4 S3--2S3
($672733)
($41ESE2)
$1743-7$c 271122
(72731
($421-20)
(SIS7723$23000
$2-1152
(S672783
(S4252
S201430)$4E39
$1203
-$ 3
14
IS 7
18 19
20
21
C$$3875
c $ 17
$17573-$$ S 2 73
S $12272
S 10 113273
$0 12E73
V$ 1-73 $0 7 $0 $1327
$0 $13872 V $13873
$0 $13873
(05300) $13879
12760 82
227272
3 $232
$3047
$3108 $317
$3234
$323
t$365 $3432
$3507
13571
$3642
13715
0
C
C J
0 C
0
0 0 0
0
0
0
1
10
$0
$c
so $0
so
$0 $0
$0
$0
$0
$0
336 $314553 1133S $32844 2H t61735
133 1 3S 135G $34(432
1336 $7gt
1332 $354227 1133 $30132L
13 $363543
$37
139E $383432 11222 $23
1 S332$3=22 1133 $406 9-7
113 $415046
11396 $423346
s12 7 $i E74 $8 $47575_ $846 $13E79 1-_- - $ tq520120 s 379 3132332 1103568 S3f2050 1750934
01279 133227 11 _2433 $11024 27 $71 82 373 32 6S0 $1553 S02 $1183280 $038694 $S87 13-3413 S79 04 $1342714 S111722
$237 1o3558 2 134 $148368 $i2632 1387 $347443 $2217146 162562 5133723$ 1 $12753 $254670 $243-151 S1757074 S149 74
S3 $ E K22 $180334 C 5 53 $1337 $362S55 $2 44423 51933835 V16E3750 S3879 $377322 7223 $2106944 51 8M465
$1373 7-E5- $ 24502 $221101 84 2 05-$13 79 $3 3 028 $3437512 $2309366 $1912745
$13373 $401167 $3627923 $2402321 $1978339 S7579 $4f-5767 $387674 $2491523 $2040140
$3E2613 V1813
165S399
$78102 $32673
1014228
$111073 I31253
$282534
$1 35 $1424132
66
$5474 $1572856 S1 39434 $1682535
$71153 $273933 0 $0 22819 $7105250 $991546 $6116704
A-29
TABLE A-15 (Contd)gSSVL1TKE--- TAL-2 12alculated)
-cic ar -ari - lysis fc Erery rvestrrts - Egypt EEP i9IlS
Costs Perefit PararetErs Irsternal Rate cf Return 4318
M-quisition $7174953 Trice of il $200 bbl (yr 1)Transportat ir $ Ci1 scalat 20year Disc PV of PV of BICCostructic-n so
nate Derefits Costs f1] Ratio interconnection $0 Enrgy Savrs 11395 bbiyear
- -FUEUSEQ tYear 0 702250 $99FAG $E11Z704 717TOTPL (Cap) $717953 2$-74 483 $942 962 $4802515 609 4 $4723695 $905011 $3817674 521Construct Tirr 10 ronths $21-4pound397 $877493 $20E2904 450 8w $3 704 $855181 2 23 3910perztin and rcaMainterance Costs 10 $277630 $837483 $2 040 140 344
Operating Cost $13379 year 1I$2681 244 s830008 $1851237 323 12 $S2505816 iK23281 $162 535Operating_ Lifetime 21 years
304 13 $2348613 $817216 $1531397 287 14 $2207304 $311730 $139-574 2072Major Equipmert RepairReplacement 15 $2079899 $60E754 $1273145 258 1 $1924 $802229 $162462 245Replace Cost $300period 18 $176Z198 $794327 $370871 222Replace Period 20 years 20 $1593342 $787687 $811655 203
A-30
rcrc= ~ar rial Zralys- f- Erery lrivertfrentE -- E_=yt E
TQILE P-6
Fo Ca-se cfIELD TEST 4 - H-L4AN TEXTILPSIR
sunrini Esalation Rate cf 21
rILU3 WASTE H7AT Ey VD-- OIL 530B)
YEar aia
eratir Cost of Oil
cSst $1b Fuel Used ru
Ergry
Ecu I ZaVE f
ZnEr y Anru
COSt aS 7-06
rret 1 -iEzurtE 4
Cash 3
Flow (NV) 10
3 = 8
1 ra-rt
rn-rjt or $0 $0
4
2
14
15
16 17
is 12
20 21
73
$0 $7 so $0 $0$0 $0
C
$0
$0
S $ $0
so $0
$0 ($6300)
232-
23277w 37 63S
119 S387 $2879$13q73 $711$c
3273
1373 2733
S387-
S1237
2M79 $13r379
$12873 $13873
$13879 $3879
$35 S$ 60
3 284 $-247 S-is $3378 $3446$L515( $-c
$357
$73 0 $3805
$23
$-3958
S4022 $4118
$4201 $4265
$4370 $4458
00 0 0 0 0 0 0C
0
0 (
0
0
3 0
0
0 0
SO $0 SO $0 $l $0 $0 $0
S1 so $0
$0
$0
$0
$0 so
$0 $0
M51--S1333 $343 718 261- s337
33 2 33S $273062 3 $377453 233H $35012 336 3K1173I3 4f =c
$40Z S72
133S $41E750 136 $42525 1396 $43287
136 S442253 113 $451102
$4 2 1393 $4-C223 13^6 s4727-11396 $483289 i39g $498OE5 11396 $508016
hC S23873
$13873 S13873 T1387 $13 S72 $-
3 S 7 $23873 2 I12579 233q73
$17379
$12273 SI6373
513373 $13279
$13879 $7579
5
3332- ($$32236 (SS3386) ($$3335)12342333 ( H32t ( (1358887) 36 23 1813 (12- 1) (-- 20) (176337 ($3K-
-333743 27 264n4 27-3 $1Z756 1 5 35S133 $ 2-5 $47E533 $429034 S2-253 $3S3584 $32$TK-40 $65473 $559135 271133 $18 2 392 86423S777323 $378E34 $L5375Z $ E 66 103688 St458
- 44 3 $7 3 88 $230 S104765
3 202224 S57_- $1406472 S1247C37S402671 $DD141s $S773936$561796 $1376S11 1266 5r2 Q5SK235 S s 03
$41370P S2 79 $211E957 t 3653 $160275 $425379 13 27352 $227448 V3733 $437224 2 4$2 7t79390 $443246 125 32- $2564014 $285102 1J7317 $4-5449352 3 536 95 2284 $8294S311 $464336 $4070 026 $2322SE $2376786 12012911 $474410 $4304208 $2941307 $2462113 $2075603 $44176 $4534018 $305Z49 $2541279 $2130820 $500437 S47[2411 $3160864 $2615666 $2183698
$711653 $27993 0 $0 E29819 $8529900 $991546 $7538354
A-31
TLE TABLE A-16 (Contd)
- -1T E l-ate)
Znor~i ari -iraria2 alysis for Energy ireVstrents - Egypt EA1
LEitET Csts Eerefit Pararveters Interra Rate of eturr f255
Acouisition $752 ranspecrtaticr $$ Construction $0
rtercorrectior so
Price cf 04 0i Escaiat
Enrgy Savrs
$3 b (y-0yaar
1335 5byear
1) Dis- Rate
-
2V cf Benefits
PVof Costs NPV
BC Ratio
----------T2T_ CapL
--- Fuel Use 0 byear 852230C s432 $
$55 342 H5
77538254 $$f95$ 6A2- 6
860
--rstrct Tire 10 rths 4 $56642 6$473r-67
$90E 011 $877 49
$47E2411 $335- 184
62 E40
Operating and Nomra Maitenance Costs 8$4016044
10 $3452155 $8KZ 31 $827483
13 856amp4 $269666
470 412
Operating Cost Dperating Lifetime
$3872 21
year years
1 3217493 12n $00E930 13 $2218335
$33000c $823281 $817216
f2 387 486 $2183693 $2001 1
383 365 345
Major Equipment Repirez acement 4$2648765
15 $2A4S5619 $811730 $802754
1637035 $1689125
o 309
Replace Cost Replace Period
($5300)period 20 years
-$2327629 18 $2118238 20 $1919210
$822 $794327 $787687
$55 400 $1213911 $131524
-94 267 244
A-32
Eccic and iranza Pr-i- frEre irvEter -- Eypt EEq 10135-
TRPLE A-17
FcrCse TZST 44 - HELWN T-EE-2- WA7ST EW PRfL KMIY rOIL $351BL) Ass-ir- 02lEaldegio Rate cf 20
Saved Ya- cfCEita7 Ocratin Ccst of Di Fuel Used Fuel E rerry SavEd rd Caa--FioA Liscoured Cash Flow (MTN)Year -St cst SBbI (2b2) Cost Equiv i
rerV C-rrert $ 4 8 10 12
ransport P
I rt-rzcre ic $
ctal t777 SH$00 0 so
1833 5$477 $72255 ($$732 SE279 ) ($S5790) ($653790) ($53790)7-27 $-7 0Z27$0$ 3 $ 94) n- 3
0$0 r- 17365 $414974 $13673 SA 01 S354 $348 92-12 c30$ 12F7c S3714 $0 37 $42ST27 $13 $401-74793 B1 SZ384C $ $342M12 $302215$ $3789 11336 $437 379 S417 $7 $1873 $864 E $E 7 $7 -7730 $0 11336 1440374 $13873 $4 4K3 $G576 1$7330 $SK2736 $M57770 s0 13 44 $187 0 S
$43 E302 $1510 601 S1 E44 $1133453C 1 S7372 $4020 S103 Z- 7 84 S13 50 283 $13442 $1237257S 7S E $411 13 $473 1 873 $4344 $2173553 $1754865 $157379 $420428 I 13879 4183 0 $0 136 $47L575 $337 $4L73Sbull ~$ $--37 -n S2504 707 S9379 $ 7742-0 $ 873177 $42EE 13 $-71 11133S 1299 IO4 2 37$4 23 273 -2-3 $2823796 $225158 $9523 $733394S7 $352 0 so 11326 54H $ 3 4 $3332 $241302 1212330 t8773732 $ 73 $4433 0 $0 11336 55585 712579 $47 $34 $2607271 $2 282067 $200425014 1 $11279 $4522 0 $0
12 11335 S515963 $1 273 1522 089 $74=754 $273 888 2427504 $2 113 3155 $0 7873 $4amp81- S $28973 S4711
0 $ $ 227 1 79 1511405 44rN657 $296E343 $2 43a $22241640 so 3965 $53z 11E7 t=1937 $-6 113 13 $4232024 2687624 $2319702$534 $31311417 $ 1272 $48 0 $0 11336 $747542 1367 $ 33470 1 535 $328E967 $283766 $24057562 V $1187 $430 0 $0 11336 $55-50 $13873 $544621 $453 543 $3434161 $2311516 $24K07719 $0 $12879 $499 0 $0 11336 $569670 $13873 $555791 $5170903 353248 $3011480 $255835120 10 $13279 $509 0 $0 11396 $591064 $13879 $567185 $5440113 $3704671 $3104220 $26L420521 ($6300) $12879 $5201 0 $0 11336 $532685 $7579 $525106 $5707148 $3830205 $3191192 $2684852
$711653 $279833 0 $0 229819 $9951551 $991546 $80004
A-33
TABLE A-17 (Contd)
Econorni a 7inarcia ay-- fc Ener~y investmerts -- Egypt ZE r986
Ca~it~a cstz Perefit Parameters Irnterrna Rate of Return 6217
Pcquisiticn 7i Transpc-tation $ Constr-ct ior $0
inter-conrection $0
TOTQL (Cap) $717953
--iceof 21 OillEscalat
Enr y Savgs Fuel Use
135K bb (yr 1) 2Ovear
113- bblyear 0 Ltlyear
DI sc PV of Rate Eer eFits
0$9IK551 2$043677
PV of CoS1 ots
$91545 $942908
PaPV
$3960004 $7100709
3C Rat i o
1004 853
Corstruc Time 10 mcrths
Operatirq an Normal Maintenare Costs
OPeratir Cost $13879 year Operating Lifetime 21 years
Major Equipmernt RepairReplacemernt
Replace Cost ($6300)period Replace Period 20 years
A-34
4 $6 613 1-S$ 24 95
8$4amp3825 $$4) 21
11 $3753742 2 $3506143 13$328058 14 $ C9026 15 $23159 16 $27550567 18 $2471278
20 $2239079
$906011 $877 493
$55S 131 $83748-$330008 $823 2 $817216 $S1730 $806754 $802 22n $794327
$787687
$5707 148 $4647 463
$3830205 $3191192 $2927735 $2684862 $2470842
$2278496 $10510-$1943339 $1676951
$1451392
730 630
548 481 452 426 402
381 361 343 311
284
Erno a - raial Ayaavs- fc EErcy IvestLErts -- E 5y 1NObr
TABLE A-B
For Case zf7- D EST 4 - PEWA TEXTLES2R olUS STE H- PE-5- G4-88 ZL Pssur 2i Esalaticr Rats cf 2(
Year
Laital
Cost
Oeratir
Ist
Cost Of Cil
$1IL5
Fue Use
(BL
FE
zc-st
Save Energy
Z4iv
V_-shy_ Saved
Energy
a1
Ccst
F1c
urre-t S
Dafiscourted Cash Flow (NPV) plusmn 4 8 -0 1
1 Trarspzrt $0
4
37--
0
$0
1
$16 $13279
$1387c
$40
$400 $4162
S4245
0
0
0
0
V
s0
$0
1239
11396 11396
336
$75973 $464957 $474255
- 6 $483741
$72026S
113379
137S 7 9 $13879
3644233)
S451078
$477U C 7 $463852
(S64433) (210fG4
14r1$2 5 o0n $-32786
(2644A) (12Z
$1 52 0 7 1
$541cent52
31544293)
(234=-) $ 4
$493269
(364423M)
S24 545) $24$ 5
$452903
A
7 8
-
10
12
13 14 15
16 17
18 19
20
21
$0 t0
0 $0 V $0
So
I$0 $0
$0 $0 $0
$0 $0
$0 $0
$0
($5300)
13273 T2879
$9 S237 $2873 $3873 $13873
$13879 $13879
$13873 $13873 42879
13673 $13879
$13879
$13879
$13879
$13879
14330 $4416
$4505 $4595 $4535 $4687 $4780
$4876 $4973
$5073 $5174 $5278
$5333 $5491
$5601
$5713
$5827
$5344
0
Q5 0 0 0 0
0 0
( 0 0
c 0
0
0
0 0
so so
o
so $0 $0
so $0
S $0 $O
$0 10
$0
$0
s0
$0
236 3133
1136 E I39 11396 11396 35
1396 11396
113 11336 11336
336
1396
11336
113
1135
11336
5$493416 $503264
35) 1 G 1
S531 1534083 $544771
$5665 S566780
1
$523 678 $60471
$612501 $525771
$G39286 55 Q52
$664073
S677 K4
$13873 S473537 $13873 $4834C-E
$13873 $49747 $3979 f50g 7-shy2
$1379 $52CI210 113873 $538321 227$5 -89 S3879 $541787
$79 K $-7579 $54236 $13273 577K $3873 S27532 113973 $53622 t3879 $11892 $3379 S624407
$13879 $337173
$3879 $650194 $757 $669775
$1042696 114443E
$18336301 $222704-
$2607162 1233016093 1
13346172 $7C- 32
$4 05746 $440256 $4742875
$-075824 $51402515
$5723072
$503759
$34c208 $6651884
$935- $825 M $764658$12M617 $10681 S10425
$-43 $1412669 1407 $123372E$715$=2 9
f39- $21843 11916875 $1735031 23 42 $1 $375$ 3427 $214202S t 53G $2636380 03 $9 $2 27 503 12544695 S2200320 $3037575 $2721482 $2405748 $3-3032352- 28970 12537706 S350348 $3045001 $2673393
$3698373 $2 183546 t757485 $3876979 $3 3711 $2867300
14045737 $3446247 12953242 $4205189 $356C8 3041099
$435846 $3657160 $311659 $4493545 $376678 $3186025
$711653 $279893 0 $0 12-93813 $11373201 $991546 $10381654
A-35
TABLE A-18 (Contd)- o-SOS TflBLE BEN T-2T TPBLE 7alculated)
zccc- an FiariJ Analysis for Energy Investments - Egypt EEA
Capita Colts BerEfit Parameters nterna lRate of Returr 7207
Acquisiticon 171753 Price of Oi $4000 lbL (yr 1) Transportation $0 Dil Escalat 20vear Disz FV of PV of BC
Construction $0 Rate Benefits Costs TV Ratio Iterconnection $0 Errgy Savrigs M-35 bblyear
-- -- ------- Fuel Use 0 bblyear $W373o $99546 $10381654 1147 TCTAL Cap) S717S53 2$1 773 $942968 SB2 49 - 5 975
4$7557396 $906011 $6E5884 834 Zonstruct Time 10 months 6 $-314236 $877493 15436743 72n
51354726 S855 18 1 $4 42S 545 G20Operating and Norcal ainterarce Costs 0$4604207 $S37489 $3766718 550
1$4289991 $3000 $345983 517 OeI-ating Cost $13879 year 48712 $4003306 $123281 $318G025
Operatin Lifetice 21 years r3 $177781 $817216 $2940565 460
14 $53637 $8730 $2719957 435 Vajcr Equiprrent RepairReplacement A $3327839 $80S754 $2521084 412
16 Z3 143506E $80212209 $2341277 392Replace Cost ($6300)period 18 $2824317 $794327 $2029990 356
Replace Period 20 years 200 $2558947 $787687 $1771260 325
A-36
E~zcrorci an4 ariaqrysr for EnEy Ivestrets -- -Gyrt = 3P
F c r C a s e o f F - r T 3 3 4 - j r 7 o i o s X_--
E 4 OR $251 FT -RC= $159P
ss=insectCA Escalation Rate cf 20
Save a - shyCaita eratirn Cost cf 01 Fue Used Fuel Ener) SavE AnnaI ash Floi Discounted Cash Flow () 9 iyE- cost Cost $Bb (2b1 Cost Epoundalv Energy Cost Current $ 4 8 10 12
l cuisiis 52452
Trans $2 Corstru_ o
ta 4 $-52 S $0 S2832 3$-22955 s28Sz3 ($128968) ($28928) (128)tc 52 C 10 34-2 $-324 S Z 24 ($125877 M$25991) (T2045) (S260981$ 0 $-55 0 s 34s S5431 $2110 s ($22707 ($123144) (3123301) (23450)$0 $ $2 0 $0 342 $f540 $2110s 40 11 S758) (242) 20704 S2 009S0 $T2-4 0 $0 34 $2110 25a0 (1273) (S17820 (32 3S759)S$0 2 $1G56 C $0 348 $763 $ 3 (1 1 3 7A s2 $13 0 f0 34 $E873 $2110 $379 (I0750 $12S ( S1 $14777)VC 2 $172- 0 $0 348 $-39 s 2 C2 $38ES (107797) h$1 (51)$130950 52110 $1757 C $0 342 $11 S2110 S400r ($104870) (t103526) (111004 ) (211401)$ c 120 $1793 C $0 348 $S28 522O S4123 31S9) (S10461 (S OS M) (1092) s210 I 512_ 348 $363 S2110 $42-5 (S39096) ($104491) ( S037($103 543)$0 S220 $sE5 0 ti shy32 t54 211 $435-0 (M251)
-- (S10261 ($22 ($07284)$0 $220 $1902 0 $1 343 $r2) 2110 $4510 (S93434) ($100821) 31$03G84) ($10512)14 $o S2110 $1940 0 $0 34 573 $2110 54243 ($50645) (S92114) (5)02340) (15062)5$0 52110 $1979bull 0 $0 343 S5683 I2110 $4778 (37am) ($9742q) ($10102) (S104085)6 $0 $2110 $201 0 so 342 S7C7 $21 $421517 50 ($5155) ($95 938) (ST2 90 ($103 1861$2110 0 )2059 348 $71 2 $$2o $ ms $22458) ($94462) ($S-30O ($102)o11 $ $2110 $210o 0 $0 34S
19 $7303 $2110 $-19- ($73789) ($92057) ($377T6 (01605$0 $2110 $2142 0 $0 348 $745M $2110 -5345 ($77150) ($91720) ($3814) ($100909)20 $0 $2110 S2185 0 $0
21 ($5438) $2110 $--29 0 348 $7605 $2 Ili $5495 ($74542) ($90446) (9916) ($100271)
$0 348 $7757 ($3328) $11085 ($69483) ($88068) ($9426a) (99 I2)
$124048 $42552 0 $0 7018 $130239 $166600 (36361)
A-37
ABSUPTIOS TABLE TABLE TABLE A-19 (Contd) IT--CCOTS TAL --C ed
and Fina-E P7aiysiz fc- Energy IrvestzErts -- ypt EE
aPita Ccsts Benrefit Parateters
Pquisitio 2948S Price cf Oil $1500 lbi (yr 1)Transortatior $0 Oil Escalat 20year
onstructio $0
rterconrectior $0 Enrgy Savns 348 b5year Fuel Use 0 thi
TOTAL (Cap) $123466
Construct Tirfe 10 months
Ozerating amNormal Mairterance Costs
Operatin Cost $2 110 year Oerating Lifetime 21 years
Major Equipment RepairReplaceuert
Replace Cost ($5438)Period Replace Period 2 years
Internal Rate of Return
Disc PV of PFJof Rate Benefits Costs
-=_
0 U -1c233 s 6660 2 $105270 $160683
4 $83543 $15031 6 $72307 $E2344
8 $61319 $149387 le S5272 914S33-
11 $49126 $14E566 12 $4912 $145034 3 $4 032 $144180
14 4144-- $143417 15 $38108 $142713
16 $35 9 7 $142068 18 $32342 $140933 2 $29303 $139971
-2 63
NIN
$32 ($55410)
($6943($8 037)
($80 8) ($343_68)
($C-33323(99 22)
($101156)
($102974) ($104604)
($106071) ($102591)
($110667)
Ratio
073
066
055 047
041 C36
034 03
30
28 027
0 25 023
021
A-38
For Case - -EL 7 7 14 - HELPN EXTLiIPH 0LECTOR PRV =552FT - PRIEC OL S2L Pssurin Oi Zscalaticr Rate cf 2C
SavEd a- c Cost of CII FUE1 Useer CUE Energy Eavn Arnual Ca ow sSZOLnte- Cash Flow ( NV) iYear Ct Ct Ipbl (P2-) Cost Ecsiv Ererry ZOst Currert $ 4 3 0 2 is-t i c r
_ _____ _
Traszr $C - LCrErZt cr 30
i tercorrezcr SO 21 53 $1 $1223 ($23378 $123pound73 ($23673) ($22673) ($123578)$ 72c Q0$24c $0 348 S7033 $2h1c i4S83 $2680 2124053) (12442) (1243)$21~ 0 0so 34a 17241 $2C $5121 3 (E -59)($112301) ($12012)4so So c V- Z $-co 348 7 $2110 $5275 -44- (1115471 ($15371 (lII3- $21 $25 ) $9 348 $7534 1I2110 5424 1038O) (111484) ($I-33 1I2930$0 $211 $2205 c $0 345 768 $2110 $-E574 ($105228) (7076G0) (105772) (037S7)
$0 2110 $-52 c $) 48 728 n04 SC Sshy$ $-bO $5723 C l00701 ($10408 SO55r ($ICS585)o $U S2110 P-3a7S0 $13 0 $0 348 Si110 $-525$2343 0 343 3430341 $2 (Si L- f E471 1$0$ 8) ($C4 203$) $_ -- $21 t$3050l 31($812) (S97231) (53673) ($10762
t t110 t c 3 2 M745)$0 203 ($94275) ($97066) (M23)S1 52110 $2438 Q $0 349 124B4 $2 $E374 (9g1 f$948 3)($2 144) 3233 ($07471)$110 $Z487 C $0 348 $2354 $2110 $r544 ($75894) ($88516) ($ 3 1 ($=120)$0 $2110 $25313 0 t0 342 $2227 T2110
1 $E717 ($74632) ( 849) ($901174) ($33855
$0 $20 $2557tbull I 0 034 $3 0034$34 S211 7) ($33314)S263 M$8178) (S32 2u)15 $0~ ($to50 $2110 $2333 0 $0 343 $3184 $210$7074 $ 473 ($2090S) ($83 315) ($3032)$0 $211 ( $2332 0 $01L 348 $ S237 $2110 $727 ($32444) ($73618) $34578) $83512)7 $0 72 10 $2746 0 $0 343 S555 $2110 S744E 3$5340 ($7S445) (323-7 (333293)1 $0 5210 $280 0 $0 348 $2745 $2110 $7636 ($54542) I 43W ($21447) (2B7156)$0o $2110 $225L 0 $0 349 $3341 $2110 S7831 ($50684) ($72422) ($80038) ($35163)2C $0 $2110 $2914 0 $0 348 $1023 $2110 $3029 ($46872) ($7WC561 (75726) ($85235)21 ($5439) $2110 $272 0 $0 346 $10342 ($3328) $13670 ($40634) ($676S2) ($76694) ($83818)
$124043 $42552 0 $0 7018 $17362 $163 00 $7052 A-39
TABLE A-20 (Contd) P-SJ 2DTPKE rZFT7-CGS72 TLAK (acutated)
Hom and Firaa ralvsis fcr Erergy Investments - Egypt EEAn 5S
Za-ital Costs Benefit Paraeters lnterrna Rate cf Return 046
Acquisition $129485 Price of Oil $22O0 1bb (yr 1)Transoortation $0 Di Escala 2Oyear Disc PV f PV of BCConstructior Rate Beniefits Costs Ratio Interconrnection $0 Errgy Savngs 348 bblyear - --- =_
Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 $173252 $16E600 $705 104 (Cao)bull0TL1a8 $14 360 $10c ($ 320) 087
4 $115398 $155031 ($40634) 074Corstruct Time 0 -rnths A $36409 $152 34 ($55935) 063 8 $8A759 $14937 ($7623) 0Operatin and Normal Maintenanrce Costs CIA $70299 $14S933 ($76694) 048
11 $55502 $145 966 ($0464) 045Operating Cost $210 year 12 $51216 $145034 ($33818) 042Operating Lifetime 2years 13 $57376 $144188 ($85812) 040 14 $53924 $143417 ($89493 038Kajor Equipmert RepairReplacement $C811 142713 ($91901) 36 IS $47997 $142068 ($94071) 034Salvage Value ($5438)period 18 $432- $140933 ($97810) 031
Replace Period 20 years 201 $39071 $139971 ($100899) 028
A-40
- End - Ar y= fcr ZErcy~gt Ef-tS - ~ Aq
TiE fl-2[
-or -ase
Assamin
c
Ui
Tf-L0EST 4 -
E-alation Rate f
TECTh- 211
20 25BFJ
Yec-
-_ ztr
fs
nrt-r--et
YEzEta u-rir z os
___=== shy = i2 ~~
z-_ 233
r $
of deg $i2
- Lse (Ebi)
ICoRue
Cost
Saved Ersery
Ecuiv
Va -cf Saved
Erery
5 S
n-a
-shyt
zas CIO
Curt S
t
Discounted Cash
4
Ficii 0 V)
0C
1 =
4
2
14 1 17 17
12 19 20 21
5-
s$
s 12
ampc
SO SC
$3 5 $0
(5 438)
2II0 2 110
S$210$o
12102IC
2110 SC$
U0 52 10
O QI0I $2110 521110 $2I07343
$2110 $2110 $2110 $2110
--23OI 1
Q27^S7SC
7
f_522 $2 3
S2147 $2SQ 53171
34 23 EE
13 534Vo$344)
$35o $3571 53342 53715
Ct
-1C
o
0 C
0
0 0
0 0
C 0
0
$0$034-=
s5
$50
s3$s4
$ $0
5$
so $0
$ $0
$O $0 s0 S0
348
343Z4
348
34E 342
342 342
34S 342 3474E 348 348
345 348 348 348
13574$ = $
$3
$3417sampo
$ 7E3
1 3-$337
euroscs $1 37
s3 $254 $1S t9 03
$121 1 S1242 $12674 $12 928
V2 31 -shy
11C
2110s519
2 12-0
1S 11 145
$2C
$2110
t2 110 $210
S2 110 $2110 $2110 ($3328)
33 2-72 ZZS ($13333 335B3 122S7 4 ($ E 22 25) ($13-2 3 (t12243)4 ($t1 ($pound 7) I$1692 $t5 S5 -
1 4 $7123 3$M234 ft 91 11745)--- $175)
$7307 31028 S C5148) ($106(1 7SC $5- t7495 ($737 (IiCc047 cs (-02843
783 ($cZ203) ($37185 (32353shy$7854 (1S4 6 1 533 (133122 (523371 $8133 ($7E754) (SS3 5) M335)) (ic21-h)
$S27 (7222) (32C900 ($2525 ($83134) $495 ($87 23 78 ) 382 5Wc ($5399)12 717 ($5 ($44-0 (7350I (583995)$3924 9 53 ($70 8771 (S7664) ($81605)V1144 (S$2471 ($67514) ($74016) (579509)
($45C (64324) ((715434) (S772) $33 5337301 ($5292) (5 2501 ($7 838)$7533 ($58428) ($8711C) ($74234) 0 )72 29303 ($5706) (S5 11a ($72767)1$0316 (24217) ($53124) (S5322) ($71425) $10564 (S19203) ($50676) ($6155) ($70199) $16256 ($11754) ($47129) ($59119) ($685141
$124043$42552 0 $0 7018 $217065 166500 50465
A-41
ELSTU0 TABLE TABLE A-21 (Contd)
PLE(-
Zcoo r Firatia iavsis fc- Energy Irvesterts shy Eypt EE1
C itz Zosts enefit Paraveters Irterraz Rate cf REturr 304
zao-isitior S12948E Traszrtzti $0
l rtier to Interzorrectio $0
Price of Oil 0 Escalat
Errgy Savnrgs
$250C bb (yr 20vear
342 bIyear
Disc Rate -
WV of Ienef-
W cf Fcsts N
BC Ratio
- --
TJT -------shy
1 486 FuEl Use 0 bblvear ^
-a-27 H-S$17 450
$SG0 s16K 580
$E 4S $14770
30
109
Construct Tive 10 crths 4^ 6
$144247 $2051
$I-o0 2344
$17S4) (4P 832)
02 073
Coeratirsect and Normal Mairtenance Costs
Operatir Cost $2110 year 0oeratin~ Lifetinie 21 years
8 0 1
2
$102198 $27874 3-877
$7E520 $$7720
$14937 $14S33 $145S3
$145034 V44122
$47123) ($ 119) ($64039)
($68514) $72458)
068 060 056 053 050
Mamr Equipmet ReoairReplacemert 14 1
$97405 $143417 1427
($76012) (179199)
047 045
REplace Cost Replace Period
($5438)period 20 years
6 18 20
$59996 $53304 $43839
$142068 $140 233 $139971
($82072) ($87030) ($91131)
042 C38 035
A-42
TRSLE 1-22
F- cf-- s 14- HELN Esumlr Oi Esampaton Rat2 cf
(TC2LEHr Trorp-
20 -P z-3 z-
1iazip Ycst
Ls-cr 113 -
0eratir Cost
Cott of oil W
Fte e c
-e el Ct
Savec Energy Ev
Va1-_ of -avef
ErErcy pnua
st a=n 7c DirountEj Ca_
E-rre-t $ 40 8 Flo (NPN) i
10 =
12
4 f
7
10
N-I-
1-
15
$ 7
is
19
I 21
C rutc
0t13oo
V 12 116 30E 11 $321
so No 13LR $- 110 z347 $ t-1 $33 2
S 8029 $3278 2li $344E
S0 f2I0 1315 - - 1 35
S1 r t2110 1373C-
S S212 $3 15 2 1 S281
$S)S2 5I3908 $ S4(38
so QAc2h18 41 SO $s2 $420 50 $2 11 $4 so $110 $4370
$5433) $2110 $4455
$124048 $42552
0
c 0
0
0
0
0
0 C 0 c
0 0
0 0
0 0
0
S
10 345 so 34
so 248 to 345
C 34S
so 3 $ 348 $0 348 $0 348o
$0 348 0 348
$ 345 so 3$6
so 348
$0 348 s A3 $0 348
SO 348
$0 348 $0 348
$0 7018
Q74C 12-
s649 - 1 s B3 110
in1 73 p311 S30 $2110 1127 f110
$11757 2110 $13 I-sI S2322_2ltU1510
2477 130
S 72H 11 S s- $1 2 1-110 s17o- s2
t3770 5-10 $14051 $2110 S302 S2 S14613 $21(
$1491 $ 1 $15203 $3110 $15513 ($332
$260478 $-SF600
A-43
53 ($85557 27Z- )S17
V5S59 10 1 3131 ($9-
12417 e -^-
$-E47 ( S) sI S t730)2
5 L22
1c357 4SW III
S1STs ($241)$1037 s173) 1 30 127 27)
Sc1L33 331 3X4
1 L 5 -267)
$is 7o7) 510L 3 ^41)
2 S2 8 U249
$3S10-2 $346S $18841 170-5
1$93 78
($(225 ($128038)
12 5 52 33- 1 12683 (1M 3102)
1105 EEG) 3$1 364 $3--3) $C 10-
($92 (534$ 3 (1S3225) (33734) ($o5s (s82733
$7 030) (79 0 11) 33 7041(IN
(647) $70511)($50334 (670 (1904) ($53154)
5( 714 (E 8 54) ($47743) 3567S2 $437) ($S33 3540411) fS5123
t070(37030) (4E7331
($33 827) - (S45E
($30 7K) ($44344) (26749) $41544)
($1202a
(31204741 (51347T
IS(117 C272 1( -_- ($SC) I ($627)
(132453) ($7 745)
( 2S ($712
(5344) $SE73S)
My AS)
($2 14) (5601171)
(556T
($5-5-E54)
($55162) (53210)
TABLE A-22 (Contd)
Ezrzic and Fir-a Analv=is Er=-ry Invest-eants - Egypt EEfl oI 1
Catal Costs Benefit Para-eters l-tera ate of Return 532
Pccuisitio $12943s Price c Cii Transportation $ Oi Escalat
Construct iorn $0 Interconnection $0 Enry Savrs
--- - --- el Use TOTAL LCap) $129485)
Construct Time 10 r-=nths
Operatin and Ncrmal nartErane Costs
Operatin g Cost $210 year Ooerating Lifetire 21 years
Major Equipment RevairReplacemert
Replace Cost ($5438)period Replace Period 20 years
$300 bb (yr 1) 2 Cvear
34E bblyear 0 tblyear
Dic PV cf Rate Eerefits
=-- shy == 0 -260478
2 $210541
4 $172037 6 $144614
8 122 S38 10 $105449 11 $93 253
i2 $91824 13 $86064
14 S00885 15 $76217
16 S71995 18 $64685 20 $58607
PV cfof Costs
$166600
$160680 $15H 02 SE2344
$149337 $146993 $145966
$145034 $144188
$143417 $142713
$142068 $140933 $139971
wgV
$93878
$49860 $17065 ($7730)
(326749) ($41544) (347713) ($53 tn0) ($S3 124)
($62531) ($6649G) ($70073) ($76249) ($81364)
Ratio _
15S 13 1 095 82
C72 067 063 060
C56 053
051 04G 042
A-44
Ecnio af rarcia Ay5s fr Enerzy rvestr-et=- E__y EE- t
TABLE A-23
D 7E4--r Case ofF- - H8LW TEXT-PP C LcTORvR- - p n-OIL 35 _) 9ssu=- Oil Escalation Rate cf 20
spvedCa4t Csratr Zost cf Oi Fuel Used Fel Erergy Vi~
3aved Arral Ca-s 7 2iscurnt (-ir- Flo (NTV) 8 iYear Ec SBbX (Ebi) Cost Eniv Enercy ost Crr $ 4 10 12
1 Trarsort $ bull Ccrstr_-ticy $
1 Ir -e2or tic - $0r
Ttal T4- $352 $300 0 $0 58 $2030 f223 2780) 3$227($1802) (S27803) ($37308)Ss s210 12570 0 so 348 S2424 12 10 10314 $7S3 ($(S2 ) (1342 o 59)
3$ 123 $3541 0 $0 348 $12672 2 11 105S2 022T) (103O023) ($103703 ($10179)4 2 $2 0 $3714 c SO 349 2 $2110 8 ($18 -1 7 ( 0 7 (0 410
S3783 0 to$2110 348 $13 184 $2110 111074 ($53044) (332477) ($34013 ($3-7443)E 10 1-110 S3364 0 $i 345 S3448 $2s SI335 $73716 (1847z (8900)T $21 $342 0 $0 348 $13717 1I10 11607 (571 553) _77447 C$S04-2 ($-3 123)
0 -1( 241 ( 77 ($74 ($77155)so 348 4 $s $7 s$o2110 348 11427$311I0~Snl $8 C $0 $2110 Ll 1Z3) 12944) 1S5 372844)
1 82 20 $L (SIL0 348 S14556 t2 $1244 ($43394) ($57718 (5S33731 ( 1 211r 5428-4 0 $0 343 $4847 S21110 $1277 2 s($7 3) 364254) S $0o 348 1511413 1 $4439 $S I o 13031 - ($ 2 ) ($46228) ( 853834)($0 507)110 f- $0 348 1 447 12 110 $13337 ($18432) ($4C32) ($43644) ($57084)14 $0 $2110 $4528 0 50 348 $E75E t 112 S4 (S102 (394) (4582 (2 9S75 1$10 W4 S 343 16 07 $2110 $139s] ($2234) ($31IG) ($4201f5 ($L I100
16 211SC $24 $4711 0 S 348 $18322 $211 1 14_ 15 7 (S2S 531 ($38-96] ($A 4917 S $2110 $4805 0 $0 348 5721 12 I10 14611 $13437 (22394) (35416) 34S107)18 $C $2110 $4301 0 $0 243 $1-5 $2110 $i345 $21170 (18354) ($32460) ($930)19 $ $20 $4993 $0 343 $17336 52110 $15286 $28715 ($14 529) ($209710) ($4943)20 $0 $2110 $5099 0 $0 348 T17744 $2110 $15634 $36136 ($10 207) ($27 154 ($40 127)21I($5438) $2110 $5201 0 $0 348 $18099 ($3328) $1427 $45915 ($30) ($23969) ($3790)
$124048 $4255 0 $0 7018 303891 $166 amp0 137291
A-45
TABLE A-23 (Contd) PSELTIONS TWPLE H-77-C3T-3 TA-2L Eated)
Econooi and Firnani aIvs4s fe- Ener y Ivestcents - Eypt EE 03i32
Capital Csts Berefit Paraeter- Itera Rate c RetLr- 739
Aqisiti-503S S4ES Pice c ii bb (yr 1)TrasScrtation $0 01 ESalat W0year DiEc PV of P of BC
Corstructior $0 Rate Beneits Costs WPV Ratio rterconrection $0 Enray Savwgs 343 bblyear -
Fuel Use 0 blyear 02E1 S 600 II7721 82TOTAL Cap) $1Z48C Z $1683 $54 350 53
4 $20194S I5E3 $45715 i2CcrstrUct Time 10 mrths E1 716 $152344 $16372 11
8 $143078 $14337 ($S309) 096Operatirpound and Norma Ma~ntenarce Costs 10 $123024 $14E933 (23969) 084
11 $114628 $145956 ($31 33 079Oerating Cost $2 110 year 2 $107128 $145034 ($37906) 074Operating Lifetime 2 years 13 $101408 $144182 (343780) 070
14 $34I26 $143417 (U9050) 066Major Ecuipment RecairReplacemernt $S30 $142_713 ($53793) 062
1S 0584 ($53074) 059$1420O8Salvage Value ($5438)period 18 $75465 $14C 33 ($55468) 054Replace Period 20 years 20 $68375 $139571 ($715) 049
A-46
Ecor-r~c a Fi-ra- aivss VeSt=rts EE2fC- -ErV - E --t
TAFLE A-24
Case cf77-Lf TES 4 - HEWA XTILE1P (M CT P $2zS - PRE-F OIL 640EBLh ssuming Oil Escalation Rate f 20
saved VaiLe Ofonita Doeratir Lcst of Oil Fue Used Fuel Erery -d pYert Ca_ 10 Discourtd Cash Flow (PI 0- i =Cost $1Ebl (2l) Cost Eerv Ztt Crrert 1 4 6L 10 12
I Transmrt onstrLZt ior 4
tr-cnnEc icn $ Tcta f2945 132 $4000j 0 $0$40 SO 58 2 S 33z Is1 5 ) 327515$0=8 34S7 $15 $2- 2 (12728
31 $4060 1 r 0 342 $2C 3 8 1034)IS ($152V (1528) f(E72)14 0 348 49 S20 S-372 SI04-1 (5) 517 (110303) (-058514$ 2 I W A S t o4 3 4 8 $ 4 7 shy 3 12 2 ( S 9 ( SH G ES ) ($7 9 0) ( UT 7 8 4 5 3 $ 2 1432bull 34a S 057 $241 C3 (
$0 ($36142) (M6742) (3614)$0 $2 110 $446 0 $0 348 $159 $22 $17m ($7122) ($77119) 372707) U82191)7$ 4 $0 348 S5751_5 21101if) E5 5)503) $55569) ($72049) ($75218)0$ 4c5sg5 $0 348 $5930 510 $13 0 496) ($E 470) ($54327) ($62033)S so 12 4687 $0 348 $309 21Sc 14 92 (139580) 5079 (15833) 563204)10 $C Uio $4760 0
$0 348 $Ipoundpound36 5 240 -25- (129375) (4E53) (- 42 (37966)$0 12112 1487pound 0 $0 348 $11953 $20
2 S12353 SI9337 (533650) 34S414) ( 5318)0 $2110 $4373 0 s0 348 $1730L 2 1c3 5 Q 15 ($9465) (1 2132) ($41027) (34313)S0 12110 $ 0 $0 348 V14i
$21 $244 3-5905) (35134 344823)$0 $2110 $574 0 $0 34E $112007 $Z19 $5597 $3791 (1114) ($-530 ($41180)o $2110 $275 1 $0 342 $18357 $21 $-257 S19 7916 3$14579) 32724T) ($3754)$2110 $$5393 0 c$0 349 $12734 17
$2110 $Ic24 $28410 MKS) (Q-3269 (34816)$ $2110 $s191 0 6
s0 348 1$3 0o $2110 S162 $37486 (4376) (195E) ($32043)$S 5210 $sa01 0 s0 348 $19431 1211 17331 $43409 $321 ($161301 (12951)11 $0 $-I0 $5713 0 $0 348 1181 $2i10 S7771 SES182 $4768 ($2934) (327 M0I20 $0 $2110 $5827 0 t0 348 $20279 $2110 $16169 $E3805 8378 ($9963) ($25031)21 ($5438) $2110 $5944 0 $0 348 $20 684 ($3328) $24012 $74764 $14 30 (36394) ($n-60L
$124048 $4252 0 $0 7018 $347304 $166600 $180704
A-47
g3EL-iD~- ASSIUPTIDXF LETABSE TABLE A-24 (Contd) - ---C-NCE TFamp mC utCalculated)
zczi a- Farcial alvs- for Erergy IwEstments - Egypt EEA 1 8
CaPital r~csts Perofit Para Eter- Irntr-na Rate of Peturr 932
Acouisition $ E4 Price of Cil TransroortaEtio $G 0i Escalat Construct $
rterrertior $0 Erry Savrs Fuel Use
TOTA Cao) $1_h486
Construct Time 10 eorxths
eratir_ and Norzal Ma-rtenance Costs
Oceratim Cost $2110 year Operati_ LifEtime 21 years
Major Ecaiment RevarReolacert
Replace Cost (5543e)period Replace Period 20 years
$4000 bb (r 1) 20year
348 bbyear 0 bblyear
DisC PV of Rate Perefits
- = 0 $347 304 2 $22720
4 t23C 73 E $19288
$13517 10 4C 9 -- - - $31004
12 12243-2 13 $114751
14 $107847 15 $101622
16 $KS993 18 S84 246 20 $78143
V of Costs
$16 6O $162560
5 63 $1E2344
$43337 $1429c3 $14 9-5
$14E034
$144188
$14347 $142713
$142068 1140933 113971
N71)
$180704 $120040
$74764 $407
$14 13 ($r334)
($14 952)
($22602) ($29437)
(S35570) ($410V30)
(45075) ($54687)
($61828)
BC Ratio
208 175
48 27
109 096 090
084
080
075 071
368 061 056
A-48
Ecra acia a fc Ernerv ivEs=-t -- Eyt E~q IC36
TfPLE A-25
cr Case of-- 7ST 4 - HL4 7EX-vTDUq -T R E $ZvCF 7 P- U 1shygssu-in_ Oi Es~alatior Rate of 20
Saved Value ofDaitalfleratir Cost of Dil -Fel Used Fuel ESrry 5avf Annual as( Fic Discourted Cash Flow (MKV) 8 iYear Cost $IBb (E1 Cost Ecriv -Ercy Cot Currert S 4 8 10 12
I 712 I Trersp $0
ITotal 0712 $311 $1500 0 $0 58 $370 $111022 1t01E2 52) 1103) $ n3)(1h10153) $8 $5302C $0 348 $5324 $186G 458 CLa28 (S10SI) ($07003 (107O5)2 $15In $ 0 $0 348 $543 $18s2 S25s5 0522) ($ 40$ 2 $-7834) ($1040E3 ( 7 ($104 )4 $I62 $12$0 bullS266 $1524M$0 0 $0 34842 $5540
3 $550 S1866-C81C $2674 ($1 ($0 ($37031) 3 $10 $3784 ($32 197)78) ($10$D(3S718) Is0 603(M32204)
6 CS56 0 $0 348 S762 $862 $3857 ($c3828) ($5544) ($22223) ($39992)$052 $I82 c $0 43 $872 $186E $4013 $33 67) ($3301) ($94033 $94353)S$0 $C866 1723 C $0 348 15922 $866 $4130 (U8751d) (390605) ($1914) ($3091)2 $3 $s $1757 so e 33
s 0 343 Stamp 1866 $4256 ($4413) ($82310) ($23921) (131374)$0 $17 22 51732 00 $ 3 2- 1$5 2 522 11866 $4372 3 1 S C 1 ($311 ($82122) ($737C7 ($83738)1 223E$ $ 22 so 348 $82 $866 $4407 ($78702) ($40391 ($25 3431 ($83 3n0)12 $0 $1826 13Ef 0 $0 348 $S490 S1866 $4624 ($7E 29) ($80-5) ($ 4722) ($87020)s0 $1 8 $11302 0 $0 348 $2620 $BE $4754 ($714 $0
323 ($80168) ($33207) ($85800)$1866 $1940 0 so 348 $s753 $182 $4837 ($23334) ($72371) $2722 ($84630)15 s0 $1852 $7 ) $0 348 $8B3 $BE6 $5022 ($22494) ($7L662) ($8146M] ($33653)16 $0 $166 $2019 C $0 348 $702 $1862 (152 ($75035)s $E30) ($73234) ($2 710)17 $1 pound186 $203 $0 348 $7126 $1826 $523y ($50O330) ($73488) ($73081) ($S8845)12 i$ $626 $2100 0 348 $7309 $1866 1544 ($58005) ($72017) (77 0041 ($81053)$0 S866 21421 0 $0 348 f7 455 $186620
$5589 ($ 246) ($70618) ($759M) ($30326)$0 $1866 $2185 u $0 348 $7605 $1866 $5733 (152523) ($63288) ($75060) ($73660)21 ($4650) $1856 $2229 0 $0 348 $7757 ($2784) $10541 ($47712) ($67027) ($73494) ($78567)
$106062 $37631 0 $0 7 018 $130233 $143693 ($13454)
A-49
----
TABLE A-25 (Contd) rzzPTI2CNS 7PBLE EE ~~~TnD Calculated)
-cocc and Fir4anci= Araisis fc ErErgy InvestEerts - Ecypt EEA raI
capital CStE Perefit Parayeters terna Rate of Return -108
czuisiion ie o 0 $I2X yr 1I Tra-spcrtatior $0 2 Zs~t 2 lyear Dis WVof PV of BCConstructior tate
Benefits Costs NIV Ratiointercorrectior $0 Enry Savrgs 343 bblyear =
Fuel Use 0 bblyear C $130239 $143E03 ($13454) 091trp) CTP $10Z S 270 $138405 ($3375 076 4 S 548 $134260 ($47712) 064ConAstruct Time 1S CnTh5 5 $72307 130 76 ($55669) C55 8 s6319 $122 34G ($67027) 048CoeratrE and -crma Maintenarce Costs 0 ($73494) 042
OperatingCost $18- year 1 $49126 $125306 ($761711 03912 $45912 124479 3735-7 037Operatirg Lifetime 21 years 13 $43032 $123728 $8169L) 035 14 $40443 $12 043 $82601) 033Major Equipment RepairReplacemert I$IIE $38108 4419 ($84310) 031$3810
16 $35997 $121847 ($58M) 030Replace Cost ($4650)period 18 $323A2 $120841 ($88499) 027Relace Period 20 years 20 $Q9303 $119988 ($90685) 024
A-50
and Finaie rr_ fir Energ- ivestrents -- Eyt E2 1IMV5
TAPLE P-26
For Case cfFlD TEST 14 - HELWAANXT1LEIP (PRECTO p ZE$221SFT - P UZCF GIL $2VBE Assuraing Gii Escalation Rate of 20
Saved Val e of oita eraplusmn ir Ccst of Cil uee Lsed Fuel Energy 5ave Irr ca Zas F1ow Disconted Cash Flc (NPIV)E iYear- Cos C-st Bo (E 1) Cost Ecuiv En=Ergy Cost ZLrrert $ 4 8 0 12n
ura-z t 7 bull~r ti- $
rterco-retIcr $ITcta $20 0 $O 3 $1160 $111023 15S ) C$1C3853) (5103353) ($I0335 ($103 53)22 5 $2140 C $0 348 $703 $655 233 ($10Q8311 ($105017 (W05106) ($105Igl)S$ $EEG $2081 0 50 7 $537Z ($$33E41 24 1 183 (1040 (1 663 ($ 35)$EE863 $2-22 0 so 342
0 $733G 18E s527 (P9454) ($03 (56- ( 7)- $QLES( 033 so 343 $7S=34 S 2U- $G 568 ($3110) ()161) ($2645) ($93374)$S E 202C0 $0
7 348 $76E934 $1365 $5818 (S527) ($3730) ($83CK) ($90073V0 $1 s 5 f2252 0 0 343 5738 I6
- V5972 (80 377) (1413) ($5E ) ($37 047)_336 $2297 C $0 34S $75 s - shys- ~ (-1MO M r2~ ~ $ g0~ - J - 322$ ($84275)to S186b $2343 0 s0 343 $a10$ = (300 S186 5$233 (71 355 (7164) ($752 ($1735)to 34S 21313 t566 Z54582) (73 (17S846) 3$73409)r T-357)
0 415-3 $1$238 0 $0 343 $13484 $H6 18S (1 31) ($70 871) ($7424) ($77278)--ES $2437 C s0 348 $2654 S1855 $$73 (t 73$
41) ($70 1 (7) ($75 326)$1B3s $2536 0 s0 14
348 S227 $1865 $S761 ($53594) ($E519S) (5S367 (S73539) 5
t 61656 $2587 c s0 342 $004 Si856 $7133 1$4307) ($62571) i53201 (S1904)51 $125 $2539 0 $0 348 $ 184 M866 $7318 f45081) ($50080) (65703) (570406)i5 $ 861855 $232 0 $0 S13 $7 $5 $751 (34916) ($57715) (63S07) $559036)17 tO 51833 52746 tO 343 $55 51S66 $7539 ($5311 ($55471) ($32234) ($67732)is - s866 $2800 0 $0 34 5 74S S 865 $7880 ($-2766 f534I) ($50675) (3634)13 s0 $18665 $2856 0 $0 348 $S994 $1866 $8075 (28 73) ($513M) (M-3223 ($5 584)20 t0 $ass $n 14 0 so 348 $10 13 $1866 $5273 (424253) (342404) ($57870) ($6462A)21 ($465O $1865 52972 0 $0 348 $10342 (32784) 63126 (f18 863) ($46587) ($55919) (63263)
$10G062 $37631 0 s0 7018 S173 2 $143693 29959
A-51
gSv ONSTBLTABLE TALEASSUPTIOS A-26 (Contd) TT-r-TS TA-- alculated)
Econozc ar Firacia Araly-is for Energy Irvestrerts -- Egypt E_ I-
LaoitaI CoSts Benefit Parx-Eters Iterra Rate c-Return 216
Acquisition $110712 Price of 1 $2000 bb (yr 1)Trarspcrtatio $O Oil Escala 20year DiE Pcf PV of BIC
Corstrutior $0 Rate Benefits Costs NV Ratio iterconneztio $0 Enrgy Savrgs 348 bblyear _= -_--
Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 $173 G52 $143693 $2 M 121TOTAL Ca) $712 N $14c 360 $13405 $1955 101
4 $11Z338 $134260 ($18863) O8GConstruct Time 10 tronths 6 $96409 $130976 ($34567) 074
8 $81759 $12346 ($46587) 064Operatinz and Norrva Maintenance Costs 10 $70299 $126216 (S55919) 056 A-1 $6S502 125 30f Ui59 64) 05Operatin Cost $866 year
shy
2 $61216 $124479 ($63263) 049 Oerating Lifetime 21 years 13 $57376 $123723 ($65352) 046
14 $5-7924 $123043 ($9120) 044Major Equipment RepairReplacement 15 $50811 $12419 ($71608) 042
16 $47927 $121847 ($73 851) 039Replace Cost ($4G50)perioQ 18 $43123 $120841 ($77718) 036Replace Period 20 years 20 $39071 $119988 ($80 917) 033
A-52
conc34 an Firnancial Qralvss fcr Ener~y i-veEtvnts -- Eypt EE
TMtSLE 4-27
Fc0 2ase TfiEf - 1ZLN TEXTILEI (WZC PR P3rS22TEST 44 SETOR C7 a- $25IEDU Asi rLz Oil Escalation Rate of Z0
SavBr Vaue f1ta Ccost of Oi Fue Use Yuel[eraing Energy SZve- rnual Cas 71co ritv ed Cash Flow (NPV ) i = -- CostYear ost $1 (Bbl C-st L c r ny Cost C-rre~t 1 4 1r IN0
t1i3iticr tSU712
7rarns~ort $
Ccrtructcr It o $oerconnec
aS 71 S00 0 to 53 1450 1 023 (103 -73 5-3c$3573) ($109573) ($103-73)sgE t C 0 $0 348 S234 S7 CC7 3SZE 1C-084 (3103202) ($103316)$0 $as 2L0 $-r
0 s0 343 $ 51 $1ms5s n7515261) $9924) ($97264) (975M30 $0 348 Ic233 $786-H s364 (tc7E ($91723 (SW344)So286 027 $0 -48 $47 $I 17f51 5E so $ G s S27 EC 0
18 ($3552) ($37545)0 to 348 $q606 $1 86 $Z740 8257 t85 15 C 03 $76 -53 ($817E6) $83154)ss~ g $ 5 7 g2 ( 7 a $2215 $50 348 $9738 $6 $7 2 ($7058) 726 (377287) (79135)Sc S5 K6 372 0 $0 348 Sg934 S6 $2 $64322 ($70 1) 37311 3754599 $0 38 S A 52 s (923371 s1 S7237) ($72036)IC $r t85 12955 0 $0 343 $10377 865 $352 ($-22) (6751 (55615) ($59013)11 so 55 5 247 -0 s0 348 $C61 SlE6 $873S ($493) (t-7) ($-2246) ($55205$ $185 5$ $1510 SO 348 $087 $2811 (L4$54) ($53864) $53108) ($36321O 518) $317 0 $012 348 S1I034 $66 $9168 ($24858) (min22 3 56187) (S61279)14 s$ $S-76 52234 0 $0 348 $11254 $1866 $2382 1$2220) (34S771) (353468) ($59127)E $C $1685 $39 0 $0 -48 $114-9 $666 $3613 3U2668)($43498) ($50936) ($5-7160)so$ $866 $3365 0 so 348 S- 70 $86 13843 2$03)-($40395) ($48560) ($-m3S)
17 so 11862 $432 0 so 348 11-43 $1866 $10077 12 822) (37454 (34G387) (5 718)2 to T866 $350 0 $0 348 $12182 $866 $1016 ($7526) ($34666) ($44345) ($2216)V9$0 $1866 $257 0 $0 348 $12426 $156 $105EC ($2314) ($2023) ($42447) ($50842)2V $3 $1866 53642 0 s0 348 $12674 $1856 S0803 $2816 ($ 519) ($40673) ($49588)21 (54650) $1866 $3715 0 s0 346 $12926 ($2784) $15712 $9987 ($26148) ($33344) ($47M95)
$105062 $37631 0 s0 7018 $217065 S143693 $73372
A-53
PSSU Ns TABLE TABLE A-27 (Contd) FE-E=IT- 2ST3 TA2LE Cal d
Ecortomiz arnc a AIaEsis fc- Enery Irvestmerts - Egypt EE- iC1365
Capital Costs Perefit Parameters lnterral Rate c Return 491
Acquisitic $0712 Price of Oil Trarnsportat $C Oil Escalat Construction $0
Interconrectior $0 Enrny Savngs Fuel Use
TOTlL Cap $0 72
Construct Tiie 10 Moths
Operatinz and Norma Maintenance Cost5
Ooerating Cost $866 year Operating Lifetime 21years
Major Equipnent RepairReplacement
Replace Cost ($4650)period Replace Period 20 years
$2500 bbl ( r 20year
348 bblyear
0 bblyear
1)
A-54
Disc Rate -shy
0 -w
4 6
8 0
11 n
3
14 15
16 18 20
PV zPV EenefitS
$217CS5 $75450
$144247 $$0C $102193 $87374
$81877 $76E20
$71720
$S7405 $63514
19996 $53904 $4883
cf Costs
$143623 $132405
$134260 27
$128346 $2z218
$125306 $124472
$123728
$043 $122412
$121847 S120841 $119988
NPV
$733272 $37045
$2987 ($101465)
($26148) ($38344)
($43429)($47259)
($52008)
($55639) ($532905) ($61251) ($68938) ($71149)
BC Ratio
151 27
107 092
080 070
065 061
058
055 052
049 045 041
E ri- Fra Fa-s fc- Erergy -vetrerts - Egypt EA
TAKLE P-28
o- Case lfF- TEST 4 - HELWATEXTILEIPH (CELECTOR Assuming01l E-calatic Rate c 2C
PRCZ-22I _- 01vS
YeF-ita
Cost 0=erair
Cost st of 0j
IB Fuel Used
(bLI) Fuel Cost
Energy Eciv
Savee ErCr~y
rrua Lost
Eas FIcA Current $
Discountd Cash 4 8
Floh (NPV) 10
i 12
k cuisiicr r7-2 1 Transc-rt $ I Costrut or $3
cta $272 2 S COo
Se $ESE 120 so $ SSr
s3~ zs384cSO $0 $15 S47
6 $3 t135 $--- 2 7S882 53375 a $0 $258 $344E
5 S18 zI^ to $ -ES s3F
1$ ss sss~s S- $181H $3730 SO $1868 $3805
4 $ $35 E i V $8-8 $3258 E 50 $8EE $4038 17 $0 s B S4s SO $0 S8EE $4201
13 tS $18 $428 5 20 $0 $86 $4370 21 ($4650) $1868 $4458
$105 02 $37631
0
I
0
0
0
0 IC
0 0 0 o0 0 0
0 v
0
$0 Es $174
742 t-8c4c SO$0 343 $1
348 51107 $0 348 $11301 $0 348 $1527 SO 342 7m7 so 343 $13 $1 348 S2 32 $C 348 $12477
38V)2 $0 342 $ 345 t3240
$C 348 $ z -to 348 775 so 348 $1405 SO 348 $14 332 $0 343 $14CM $0 348 $14911
$0 348 $KS203 $0 348 $15513
$0 7018 $260478
A-55
III3-3C3
$E- Iass
$1866
$1856 S866 5 865 5185S $3s6
56 65
Sa36
518j$E $8 $866 $ 86 $155
$862 ($2784)
$143633
10I08 23
S7322 2 9
s $3435
$3661
$9S3 s u $03-
$511
$6 $11 $11374
187^ $ 3 $1822 $12 48
273 S13045
$13343 $18297
$118785
3
($1Th22-
(Pc8751
E3 -73
(ME223 (3) 5) ($
4 2231
337784
30447) ($23227) $V23)
3 1 (1 2M)
- IS6 $7t $24453
$30466 $L M3E
(1l123
cs 32443)$22
1
72 611
(SE8 322) () 4741 1154 372)
($4258)
3544E35) ($ 76 S (5325)
3071) ($28E3)
0751 (119 43s
E9 3 ($12725)
($3634) ($5708)
(s0--3) ($33864)5552 $83498
(745001 (S53917) ME-720)
($ES584
($54284)
(S530197) 3413 3542-S7h
(S30- ) (S3170) (332-) ($3 4 23M)
$25870)
($23433) ($20 705)
((e02203)
(S1014411 ($94270)
-855772 7S
(727v1 (37124) ($6S 64) (M62456)
(3E2301
($5133) (33 (02)
ME48-5 ($14314 S41688)
33854) (-7 ($101)
(345m21 (32655)
TABLE A-28 (Contd) S TpLE - Th-CCSTS TPAELE (Calclated)
Ezo ndard Firarla yss fzr Erergy Investrzents -- Egypt M 01I 185
Capita Ccsts BerEfit Paraeters lkterrz ate of Rturr 7351
A-uisit in Trarr~rtaticr Cortro
$117-12 t0
$0
P-ice o Cii Escala
$3000 Ibb (yr 20year
1) Disz ta
V of
Benefits PV of
Costs 1PV BC
Ratio -rnterconretion $( Errzy Savwes 348 bblyear -------
TCTAL (Cap $10 712 Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0
2 $26r-475 2l154C
$143623 $132405
euro16785 $72135
81 152
Corstruct Timne 10 msonth-4 6
173097 $144614
$24260 $131 976
$33836 $13633
12 110
Dperating an Normal Maintenarce Costs 8
0
$122633 $108449 $98253
$12346 $126218 $125 305
(35708) ($32769) ($27053)
096 084 078
Operating Cost
Operating Lifetime $865 year
21 years 1 13
$9824 $5064
$12479 $123728
332E5 ($37664)
074 070
Major Equipment RepaiReplacemeet 14 15
$80985 $7217
$123043 S122419
(42158) ($46202)
065 062
Replace Cost Replace Period
($4650)period
20 years
1 S 20
$719T $64655 $58607
$121847 $120841
$119988
($49852) (356157) (361381)
059 054
049
A-56
Taiaccno arc navsl- fCr erv InVES Et S_ 5E
TWILE A-29
For Case of --T TEST - uMwANTEXTIlEIPP 1Crv=TO PR2E -rR- a PAssuz 0 Escalation Rate of 20
Save Value f Ozeratir iliFuel Usedaoita Cost cf Fuel Energy Saej Annual ash 73w Dis-unted Cash Flow ( ) i = Cst st $1bl (btI) cost Ecuiv Enerzy zt --rrert 4
- Trarsoco-t SC)
I rsterucrneztion 50
I Tc- Z $3500 0 $203 (T01132 (50-932(9933-3) ($IC-9931(12S933S S46SE 170 0 $C 34 $2 424 s1856 $_ssS99217 ($32841) ( 39E (M567)5 52-25 $3541 0 $0 348 52572 $1855 1 bull 23 (58953 ($0457 ($g032)
5-5E0 53714 -7 0 So 10 731)0 g 48 174 ) $ 15 (S33 030)343 $12 S6G 4 7 O t1 Es SBs $3729 0 $1 348 $1284 $865 $318 363344) ($72254) (374425) (37637
S S1E $In3964 0 $0 7
348 $13448 1866 V1152 (IZ3825) M4972) ($67234) (315)53942 0 $V 348 $13717 $1866 (550459 ($54544)5Y1-1 (1-7504) ($6332)
$0 855 $$4020 0 t0 348 t13991 18665 shy12 - ($424V (s 422) ($54322 (tS72273 s aE- $41 0 $0 348 $14271 t856 $19405 S2J81 43728) ($4535) ($2817)10 $0 $1855 $4123 C s0
11 348 $14556 T556 $126 0 ($23265) ($37379 3$433 $4Z2 4
5 $425 $0 348l $0 S 1856 $4352 0 SO 348
0 s0 $14847 $1862 $31 (514495) ($313E5) ($32149) (5440511 $15144 $1866 12272 f(15870) (S25672) (1334 ) ( 244)13 855 $0 $54439 0 348 t5447 t855 $1253 $213 M278) ($2967) (33758)
14 $0 $SE5 $4S23 0 $0 34s 1135-0 955$1Z75C 518s $11C (t15171) ($255144) (533 -5)15 $0 $1855 $4513 0 $0 348 14 (110325)16 to f86 1471
$1071 S856 5131I8 353 (2434 (3066Z 0 $0 348 $1633 11365 S14527 $27224 (5575) ($1725) ($29014)7 $0 t1855 $4805 0 $0 348 $16721 351551865 $14855 (3419) (514693) ($25591)is $0 $1866 $4C1 0
9 $0 348 $17055 $ISG5 15 183 $42353 $2626 ($16 (122791
$0 1855 4999 0 so 348 S173 1B6 515530 550518 $6572 ($894) (521359)2 $0 $1866 1509 0 s0 348 $17744 $1866 t 5878 $58155 $102551 ($6298) ($19516)21 ($4550) $186 $5201 0 $0 348 $18099 (32784) $2883 $67686 $14732 ($3 194) ($17351)
$106052 $37531 0 $0 7018 $303831 $143693 $16018
A-57
TABLE A-29 (Contd) ate
Ecoci ar Pirarzia Evsi fcr ErEr t Eypt EA
3ta CGst= Denefit ParamLeters Interra ate cnf Returt 961
ccisition $I10712 Price of Cil S3502 1b (yr 1) SC
ats rttion $0 Oil Eszalat poundC)year rli P cf FV of Rate Saroaf s Coets N Ratio
Corstruct ion so irtErzonneticn $0 Errgy Savrgs 345 bblyear shy
0 $2^3 89 S143693 $16098 211uLai Use C ttVear 2 $24C30 t 145 507 -2-25 177
TDT CaP) $1SC712 4 $20945 $1342K0 $67686 150 S $-53716 $30975 37740 139
Construct Time 10 rorths 8 $143078 $128346 $14732 111
10 S12024 ($3124) 097 Doerating and Norma Mairtenane Costs 1 1468 $ 3C6 ($10678) 091
-- - ----- 1 $114628 S 3CS09
Operatir Cost $1856 year $1107128 $124479 (17351) 086
13 $13J408 $12723 ($230) 081 Operating Lifetime 21 years
14 $94366 $23043 ($28677) 077
5 $23920 $122419 ($33499) 073 Major Equipeent RepairRepla-ement
15 $23934 $121847 ($37853) 069 3 $75465 $120841 ($45376) 062
Replace Cost ($4650)period 20 $SE375 $112938 ($51614) 057
Replace Period 20 years A-58
Ec- ic and Frana Ara~y- f- Erry Irve=tert5 - Evpt -EEA
TAKE A-30
c Ca__ cf-l_ TrST 4 - HLW TEXTLEiP (Z2LETaP $2S FT shy E OF0i $40B) 9ssuMir Oil Escalation Rate f 20
save alue of-azita eratirg Cost c Oil Fu Ue Fuel Erry --ave Annual Cas DiscountedYEar 0 gas Flow (PV) i =st II) Cost Ezv Energy Cost Curre t $ 4 8 IC0
1 Pcq-isit - l1 02 Transzrt $0
$31 $4000 0 $C 52 0 S
21n232232 757-3) 07 3 f C 27 3 0703 f0373)sc sz-s $4080 a S4105 1 855 8 V7134 ($774532) M751Ss 542S I- 0 Sbullcss ~ S42-4f 0 345 4 82cs $14 7172 1-G1- 1SZ3 18$14772 9 7 W- 02)ssamp $12 7 M( 465) 27 ($87134-I (2377 ($762 577365 ($7344$73-2
32 0 $ $3 057
) fD 3$7-42)
$4_ $BSE 12i Z (57-253 1 SSS325--)(570 O0E) ($791C SSS6 $4505 E 33 S)0 V 345 $15676 $1566 $13Bic1556 6261$0 $5 25S 4 47 (2172) M35400)345 $sfsC $8s6 $4687 0 348
8 2 $27-T 42 (449241 ( 33511)T1309 $866 S 14443$2 2- 522) ( 186) ($43 1771 $0 8SG S4780 0 374S S2636V BEE866 $4876 S0
smsG V14770 ($374E 12EM)3 f$3 293 ($37K 50 3452 f3s8 $1266 13--ZC Il- S5$7 05 $$0S 32 4 7 2193) ($3850)$0 $1566 $4372 0 $-
S 07 -- (2 5B2 273)SC 343 $7302 T1866S0 $1866 $156$3073 $0 $1442 42427 SI (1-2ESP n$2533)0 $0 348 S17954 V866 - $7 4
117amp2 1248 ($S305) (51S-7 ($24497)t $58s6 $2173 0 SO 349 $293G7 $8S6 $121 $34 S229 ($53 ($2072
$0 sB- $233716 0 so 348 18734 $ 56 $SHS28 $ 93 $11 17 51 (t235 (13434 )$02 $556 $G349 0 50s 348 $1910 ISsG $17243 152 144 $16523 S1154 (M527)$0 s856 $56011E 0 $0 348 $9491 $862 $17E23 $6312 213529SID $18E6 $5713 $464 (S8950)0 so 345 $9881 S1 $18015 $77035 $2570 $578W- ($5617)s0 VO15865 $5827 0 $0 348 520279 $1866 $1541321 ($4650) $1866
$53852 $30136 $10892 ($4460)$5944 0 $0 348 $20684 ($2784) $23468 $9235 $3171 $14381 ($2047)
S10606 $37631 0 $0 7018 $347304 $143693 $203611
A-59
TABLE A-30 (Contd)
7Ec-acy ar ka lysis fc7nergy Irvestre-ts - Egypt M I
caita Costs EerEf araetErs RatetEtrr tr 72
PAcuisit ioon $ Price cf Di1 Transortaior SOi1 Es-aat
ortrzt io $0
irteronnectior U0 Enrgy Savs - Fuel Use TDTPL (Ca 51
Construct Time 0 -onths
Ozeating and Norral ainterance Costs
- ----Operating Cost $C66 year
Coerating Lifetime 2 year_
ma=jor Equipmet RepairPElacement
Replace Cost $4650)period Replace Period 20 years
$400k bl (yr -shy year
348 bblyear r bblyear
I)
DIK Rate
0 2
4 4
Epound 10
11 2 12
14 Cal
e s 13 MA
PV of Perfits
$347204 28eC 72f)
2307 c2-817
$153=17 $140 522
$131004 122432 $114751
$07847$101622
$3-993 58646 $78143
1W of Costs
143653 $2C-21 a 40 $4235
$134 260 $ 35 $30276 $E842
$229345 35171 $25218 $143912I1
$125306 $5692 $12473 $123728 $3976)
$1234 $51T6)3088 $122419 (20 796)
$121847 ($25 854 5120 841 (334S5) $119988 ($41846)
PC Ratio
242 2003
172 -47
127
105
323
83
C7 071 065
A-60
orc-ic nFiarcial Aav=s shyr rerr Investrents -- ypt EE
----------
Por Case ofFIE MS 14 - HFLu r Ss~zlnz C Fszalatior Rate cf 20
pRZ3 $2I T iE
Zzplta 2eratir Ccst of 11 FLel Used Yea ccist cst $B (kt
Pcu isit icn107335 Tra-ort $0
Ccstr-t icr I irternect io $0 1 ftctal f 099Z $2K IS C$10 0
$ 6z I$-z 3 $50 5162=0 $56 0
4 S s T5 05 So S= $6L-24 0 E SO S $155E 0 7 $0 $112CI U689 0 C to S680 $1723 0
SO cEo $17 0 S $1793 oIi $ t S1568c28 0
$0 C6S0 $1865 013 $0 $1E8 $1902 0 14 $0 t6Vo $940 015 t0 680 $1979 0 16 $0 1680 $20-19 0 17 $0 iamp80 $2059 0 18 $0 C1680 $2100 0 19 $0 $16580 $2142 0 20 $0 $1680 $2185 0 a1 ($453) $1680 $2229 0
Fue C-5l
S5 ts 23
so $0 $0 $0
so
St)$0 $0 $0
to $0 $0 $c to $0
$0 so
Saved nre-y
E-uii
348 348
348 348 345 343
348 341
-7n
342 348
342 348 348 348 348 248 34C 348
Vaue c Saved
Enerry
t-371 s4
$5421
S- 540 $5 50 $5763 $5279 Sf I9 S
t$- Z5$5353
$5450 $E620
S753 -888
$7025 $7 165 $730 $7455
$7605 $7757
rnnual Zash Flcw Cost Crrert $
1o2 275 1-o07405 $168^ $3E44 $6) 275
t1650 m1 i680 $2970 680 $403
$I680 $ 23 680 S4 31F
680 $4436
amp2553680 $4E33
(1850 $421C f1 680 t 0
$16s0 73 $1680 55202-s1680 $5345 $6 s5456 $16 u $5623
S680$5775 $1680 $5325
$2856) S10612
Diccirted Cas 4 8
5)$C~ S17 4^5) ) 3
152=r
f537 002) W17 751 5332) (9S4633)
($30 V-($ r7) C2SS934) ($83403) ($3 54) 1$5
0412) ($84493)
3 $ o(S74 04N) ($30043) (S7 92 1 (ST79a3)
-$72_) ($75018)
(V783) (374153) 17 K ) (72 (52 814) (37065) 3$55885 ($69094] 55995 (567572) (55144) ($68 127) ($47332) ($I4754) ($424A8) (362477)
io (n 2 i = 10 12
(s-7405 (S27405 104 0435051
(s($10 z 1 M-33~09 m) (VI3 414)
33513 3 M 891 (M28451 (15574) $90475 ( 446
3)520 ($9494) (585 1911 t$377 ^2T
(4(22 452) ($8415 ) C3 766) (22ES)($79192) ($aO0 S 723) ($80737) ($76351 37972) ($ 072) (373 1) ($73872) 1177M00) 372764) ($76930) (371 725) (76T2209 ($70 756) ($7541) ($69179) ($74441)
$103459 $33880 0 s0 7018 $130239 S137 339 ($7100)
A-61
TABLE A-31 (Contd)
Econozic and Financia ay for Energy Investmets -- Egypt E
Capi costs BerefIt Pararsters Internal Rate of Return -057
Acquisition $17735 Price 2i Transortatior $0 0Ci sa-t
Corstruction $0 Interconnection Er y Savrs
- ---- Fuel UsE
TOTk (Cap) $I07 Q
Construct TivE 10 months
Operating and Normal Maintenarce Costs
Operatir Cost $1680 year Operating Lifetime 2 years
Major Euipment Repaireplacement
Replace Cost ($4536)period Replace Period 20 years
i bb (yr 2year
348 lyear
0 bblyea
1) risc P Cf Rats BenEfits
0 $ 032
$105270 4 $BW548 6 $72307 9 $51 3
0 $52725 1 $49 126
SE$4512 13 $43032
14 $40443 1 $3108 16 $3997 18 $342 2C0 $23303
PV of Costs
137339
$132 Ek3 2037
$126130 $1373
$121904 $121 $120353 $113633
$113 072 $118514
$117102 $116338
NPV
($7100)
($27423) ($42483) ($5 823) (524T7)
($63179) ($71964) ($74441) ($76651)
($78629) ($80405) 388-0($22005) ($84760) ($87034)
BC Ratio =z=
5
073 067 C57 050
043 041 038 036
034 032 031 028 025
A-62
Econo ard r-ia nalysis fc- Enery rvastmerts -- Et EEA IO
TPPLE A-32
For Case cfF_E TET 4 - HaJ-W TEXTIEIPP ( _=EOCC70R pCE -C PRICz OF QUM Pssumir 3il Escalation Rate of 20
Cata DOerati Cost of Cil Fuel UsEd Fuel SavE Errgy
Value Cf Save- Anrual Cash -Ic Dir-counted Cash 1ow (kV) B i
Year Czet (E) Cc-t Eciv Energy Cost Lrrert 8 10
1 -cusjtic-$107 1 TransDcrt t3 SCorstrLtO $0 I rerccrrect o 0
2 3 4
5s 6 7
9
10
12 13 14 15 1-
17
19
20 21
Tota $97 5 2
$630 S0 $1680
$0 $ $0 $680 $0 $6S0
0to SEscl $0 $ SK $ 168C
168 V71650
S0 S1630 $0 S 680 $0 1180 0 $1680
$10 1$1 S0 so10 11680 0 $650
$0 t680 (14536) $1680
$20
$2040 $2s3o
$21 22 $I55 $20a $SL V12 $2 97 52 43 S220 V1-42
$2487 $2536 $2587 V6 30 V2692 $274 $20 12 56 $2 14
12972
0
0 C 0 0
C 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0
0
$0
$0 10
s0 $0 s0 s0 $0 s0 s0
S0 $0 s0
s0 $0 t0
3 t0
s0
s0
$0
5N
348 342
343 34
342 348
348 345
348 348 348 348 348 348 348 34 348 348 348
348
S160
S7 033 S7241
t7386 $7534 t7684 $7238 $7225 $85 1$318
13484
U8SE4 S3827
$9004 $3184 $3367 1955 19746 $9941
$10139
$10342
103275
11680 $680
$G60 $5150 1680 S1680
1$680 4$1680
$1680
S1680 $1680 $1680 $680 $1680 $180 $1680 $1168 S1680
($2856)
(-c ($10751s- C71)5
tE4 C 3o4 (102097) 6=SE3 ($3721)
5-7 15970) M$2800 5954 1$5poundpound5 $8497) $004 ($3721) ($8441) $ 158 (176H-4) ($3V530) t16 ($72C25) $7645 sz475 (157-254) 373347)
1r3 I E21) 27t=E(- ($70Q ) S1616804 ($Ez0941 (55875) $S974 2534) ($E3884) $7147 ($ oo)10 (5046) 17324 344702) 352353) $754 (S4C 3)9 ($55798) $7637 ($33100) (533755) S7 M (13189-) (151076) 1205 1127755) (48897 8261 (123 77 (46 29)
$2459 ($9662) ($44829)
$13193 ($1363 ($42038)
($107-5]
$0218a) (397592)
($8307)
(SK579) (322103)
($78S52) ( 7842) 373027) ($70403) (57952) (562) (16251) (115) (S59744) (Z803 (156 435) ($54943)
(353566)
($51604)
(101] $12276) 197843) M2305)(52372 ($00622
(SB654) SK 535) 3$80678) ($72 C3)
($7E 69 ($73473) (371474) (169253) (7961 (16642E) (165021) ($63737) ($625 2) ($61488) ($F0505)
($59137)
U-459 $33880 0 $0 7018 $173652 $137339 $36313
A-63
---------- -------
TABLE A-32 (Contd)TBLE (Calulated)
E-oroizic and Finania Anaaysis for Eergy investments -Egypt EA C
Cacital Costs Benefit Parameters Irterra Rate cREturn 26S
Pcouisitic $7993 Price cf Oi $2C (yr 1)Transortatio $0 Oil Esaa year li-c P of CConstruction $0 Rate BenfEtz Costs wV RatioIterconnection $0 Enry Savns 34E bbyear
UEl use C bblyear 0 73SS52 $137 3 $C313 126TDTAL Ca 7 $140320 $122593 $7657 106 4 IIZ398Constrct TicE I0 morths $122037 ($339) 089 5 $96409 $12- 130 ($23 721) 076 8 $3179 $12205 ($42038) 066Operatirc and Normal rairtenance Costs 10 $70293 $121904 ($5l 604) 58 1X $ampZ502 S12 M ($55 589) 054Operatirg Cost $1680 year 12 $61215 $12 0353 ($59 137) 051Operating Lifetime 21 years 13 $57376 $119633 ($52307) 043
14 $52924 $9072 (55148) 045Major Zqjioinert RepairReplacement 15 $50 1I1 $113514 ($67702) 043 16 A7-97 S1420002 ($70006) 041Replace Cost ($453S)period 18 $43123 $117102 ($73979) 037Replace Period 20 years 20 $39071 $116338 ($77266) 034
A-64
E~ocon2 -- rr Ar ys s fcr Ererzy Irvssttets -- 7rypt EE
TZE A-33
F Case TES 14 - W (0 ETD PE- $2T - PI-- O- DIS $25P)I Assuminz 0 Escalation Rate cf 20
azita Ceratir Ccst cf Oil Fuel Used Fuel SaveeErergy Value -f
save nual Cash Flow DEounted Casi Flow (NPV) 0 i = YS-ar st Cost $bbl (Bbi) Cost Ecuiv crerpy Cost Currert $ 4 8 011 2
rar-zor
Cnst~t I 2tsrzr-ezti- $1
E
12$
14 if
iG
17
18
19
20
21
a S230
s$1 S60
$$ $1169 o$0 $80
$3 S 90 i $i 6c 7 v68n
$0 t68c
so S680 S t 1680
$$ $Sao
$680 $0 $1680
$ $1680 $0 $I63
0 $1-680 $ $1620 $0 $1620 $ $680
$0 $1680 ($4536) $180
S25co
$2550 $ 2553
127 06 127V
a
V-1 72
$2323 t2962
$3047
$31C8 $3171
$3234 $3293
53365
$3432
$3501
$2571
$3842 $3715
0
o
c) 0
0 0
0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0
0 0
0
0 0
$0
$0 so so
t0
SO $0
$0
0 $0
$0
$0 $0
$0 so
$0
$0 $0
so $0 $0
348
347 345
348
342
342
348
34 348 343
348 348
348 343
348
348
348
348
348
348
S151450
$2874
323
$9417
$260E
t9735
53334
t 3 $13337
$1 605
$10817 $11034
$14 $47-
$11703
$ 43 $12122
$12426
$12674
$12328
S1032T
S0
6s0
$1680
$1680
t1680
t-1680
t16
$5
1680 S63 s1650 t1 580
$680
$w $60
$160
$1680 ($2856)
(t10E22f
$7134
$7553
$7737
$306
1218
12314
13 180$3717
$232
$3137 $ 3S4
$3-74 $373K
$10023
1510-22
$103503
$10746
$10-34 $1E784
(105z825) ($106225)
$3 T03154
($33032) ($93644 ($55375) ($W784) ($73764) ($22162)
($73250) ($73-76a
(56235) (71amp2) ($ 17) ($620)
($S4 29 J ($62 202 (43 7) ($5781)
($42 142) ($53737)
($3207) ($43 781 (3c354) ($4073)
($2464) $42 ($1255) 3332 1 ($3387) ($36055) ($7907) ($33 053) ($251 ($30221) $2723 $27532)
$8007 ($34984) $15211 ($21532)
310S225) (S106825) ($10028E I100 402) ($34133) $3425) ($25) ($83150) ($2 234) ($84232)
(37S313 $73725
($73731 ) ($3756231 ($53 45 (371852)
(5 431 ( ($E75 5 0)
($SEB5I) ($5406)
( (7578T 172 (157373)
(53($439 ($55185) ($41818) 379$5 ($44417) ISS347) ($421 84) ($49673) ($4010S) ($$143) $3-173) (-$746)
($36i 3M) ($45403) ($34023) ($43833)
$103453 $33880 0 $0 7018 $217065 $137333 $79726
A-65
TABLE A-33 (Contd)
Ec rC z ant Firn Anaiys- fc- Ererzy Investrerts - Egypt En MlIS
Czzota ss Benefit Parameters terra Rate cf eturn C40
flcquistici deg $17K= Transporatic $0
Sonstructior $0
Irterco rnectior $0
T3TAL Cap2 $107275
Lorstruzt Time 0th
Prce of 0i
C Escalat
rrgy Savngs
F-el Use
$2500 I (yr 20year
343 bbllvear
0 btlyear
11 -i- PV cf
Rat - enefits
0 $217
2 $17- 4-4 $144247
PV of
Costs
12339 $SOV-93 $129037 $2E30
11PV
$7726 $475-7 $15211(I5sES
BC
Ratio
158 132 112 096
Cperating and Nor a
Ocerating Cost
Operating Lifetime
Maintenace Costs
SEC year
21 years
L2r f 0 3
OX $37874
11 $81877 12 76520
I3 $7172014 $67405
$92273
$121904
$121 091 1353
$119632$119072
($21 53)
($34029
($23214)
($432833) ($47953)($516S7)
083
072 068 064 060 057
10ajcr Ecuipment Re~a rlRepaeet
Replace Cost ($4535)Ipericd
Replace Period 20 years
IS
18
20
$614
$53936
$53904
$48839
$11 514
$113002
$117102
$116338
($5000)
($52007)
($63198)
($67498)
054
051
046
042
A-66
Ecorcmic an Fnanria AralvsiE r Eer-y rveStMe-ts -- EZy EE C1I
TABLP-34
-r Case -fL TEST 4 - LEW TEX7Lfl LE $202-T - PR D-L $30BBL) Assir Oi Escalatior Rate of 20
Yea a-ta
Cost eratrCEt of Oi cost $pbl
el Used
(MI Fel
ost
zave Erergy
Ecuzv
VaLe cf s-ve
Energy P -a
Cest
Cash
Currert euro Dscounted Cash 4 8
1ow UNV)
10
9 i
12
1 ccuisCiticr 7 T7rarsort bull Co-tr t~ $
2
4
5
7 8
10
2
13
14
15
16
17 18 19
21
ITz~ta $C73 $22 ES
so 10 o sSo o $iE80 n $ 680 $0 U680
$0 $160 5 s62-
$0 680 f l
50 $Ss so $ss
$0 $6Ev
s $68 so $180
S0 siW8 to $1680 V) $65
$0 $1680 ($4536) $1680
$--D00
S32 $334
$32 7 C312
$3378
$2446 $5
3s85 357
$2730 $3355
$388
$353
$423
s412 $42CI
$42895
$417C
$4458
l c
0 0 0 0 0
0 0
0
0
0
0
0
0 0
0
0
0
so so o$0
so so $0
$0 so so
to $0
$0
$0
$0
so so
so s0
$0
$0
$0
53 348 246 348
343 343
348
348 348
348 348
348
348
348
348
348
348 348
348
348
348
S1 70 s I 49 $1 3F2 072
$11301 $527
$1177
$11992 $122532
S2477 $2$2726
$12231
Z2240 $2505
$12775
$14051
$4 322 $1463
$14911
$15203
$15513
S10227S 15 Si680 $29E
$1580 $312 $amp80 ] $630 $S2 $1680 $36 7 $168) $C077 $680 $C312 $68 $05
E0 S07377 680 $11046
$680 $1130 $680 11 5w S680
t 630 $12035 S60 o S1237-
S11530 s1T652 $660 $12 923 $ i0 $13231
$68 $13523
82856)$18259
310S 525) ($37S5
(s8nL) 172843) ($64749)
3$5S785-
($42942) ($41233)
f$2-53) ($21O)
($18650)
($ 9)
32($4527)
$24S8
$327
$103 22724
$255
$35677
$44060
165f25)1 SZ
(0 -59) ($32837)
($7582)
1$9 -5) (S2774)
5S75f ($510)
3$45551 (340533)
($25692)
($3101)
($26753)
3-631
13725)
(K5M504Z) ($11545)
($2234)
($5093)
($1158)
(S10S 5 (356332)
($3733 ($3732 ($7716)
($71047)
($U35 (0067) ($5M144)
(S55 (4S306)
($42345)
1538662)
($L237
(632C51)
($23020)
($2227) ($23777)
($2 337)
($13185)
(16454)
1 cc-T25) ($3327)
($91207) (184517)
(73403)
($72816)
($6771)
163046 ($53784)
(G54831) (35334) (08025
s$ 8
($42423
( 3
($37673)
($35J60) ($23725)
($32004)
($30433)
($28S19)
$103455 $33d8O 0 $0 7018 $60 478 $1373n $123135
A-67
TABLE A-34 (Contd) 2Lk T-CTETPL Calc~1ated)FL_TI0~PBL
o~ar Fariai naiysi- f-Erergy l=VEsrEtS - Ecyt EE i
trr Rat-- c REturn 787Benefit araetersazital S-sts
t -ri-e of CiD $3000 bbl (yr 1)$10995n PV of BIC
Trarspoto $0 Oil Eszaat 20Iear ri VV C Rate Eerefits Ccsts IPV Ratio
Corstruct ior $r == shyErray Savr s 348 bblyear
intetor rztior $0 Fue -e 0 bblyear 0 $26C478 $137339 1123133 190
2 105 40 S-32693 $77847 1 9 TOTPL (Cap S10799n
4 $173037 $1903-7 $44060 134
6 $144614 $126130 $183483 115 Construct TiME mcTth-s
$1228 $12379E W158 09
t 129N 087tI0O449 ($16454)woerating and Norma Mainterarce C0ts
11 $98253 $121031 ($r233) 081
2 $91824 $120353 ($22 Z29) 076 Operatirc Cost $1680 year
13 $8K064 $19683 ($33619) 072 O eratir 21 yearsLifetie_
14 $80885 $119072 ($33186) 068
5 $7E217 $18514 ($42237) 064 Major Equipment RerairReplacement
$71995 $11802 ($4007) 061
18 $64685 $117102 ($52417) C5shy_16
Replace Cost ($4536)period 2N $58607 $11S338 ($57731) 050
Replace Period 20 years
A-68
Eccnoc and inarzia ryss fc- -re-y rvEstre-ts - E yot EE
TAEE F-35
Fcr Case ofrZ- 5TEST 4 - HELAN TEXT-IPX Mu Assuin_-0 Escalation Rate cf 20
CTOR PRICE $20SQc- -Cc GI j3mBu
Yea
r
s s-t
--t
aoita ost
7
t
eratirn Lst
Cost of IE
Oi1
Feel Used
(Ebl) Fue
Cost
zavEd Erery EcLIv
Value of SEvE
Ern-rzy Annual
Cost Cash Flow Lrrert S
Liscourted 4
Cash F~A
8 (NM
IC i =
2
2
E
7
1$
--
00 21
t--0795
S $0 4
f2
SO 1$
$o SO f0 $ $ S
so$0
tTSO to
($4535)
$103459
2311
1s8c C)
S o 58
$680
SGzr-SsW ss $S80
$16s2 $X30
$630
$ 3 $ampV
$168 51680 $9
$1680 s680
$33880
$M570 $3
$3714 $373
$335
$3942
$4020 $401
$4 3 S42 ES
$4352 $4439
$4E28
545 is $47
$S422 $4301 $4j 9
15099 55201
0
0 0
0 C
C
0
C
a 0
0 0
C
0 0 0 0
0 0
0
Vi
s0 10
$0
SC
t0
to U$C
$V S
$0 $0
$1
oS^1 s0 SC so
s0 so
s0
s
348 342
248 343
343
342
342 343
-43 348
345 348
343
348 342
348 348 348
348 348
7 01
52 S2424 S 1672 t2926 $13 14
S 4-4
$13717
$1399 $14271
$14 ss S14347
t5144 t15447
$1r756 $16071$[ 3
$16721 $17055 17395
$17744 $180 3
$303891
A-69
245 1E8O $68
$66o $1S80
680
f1680
$us
s S680
s60 V-680
) 60
$11680 1G0
$-680 $680 $180
$1680 (2 5)
$137 3
$10744 $10992
24S Er
$1762
$12037
23 $1680$259 $1287S $13167
3464 $2757
$S076
$14391$114723
$15041 1575 $1576
$16064 120955
1165552
--915) M--72
(1h7) 5 211 Z229
($47334 7H)
(S3733-1 (23353 ($1q134 $02393
($1432) $7105
s5E
$23871S220n40
40 07 $4-964 55572 $Q346 $72910
0245 (S10524S ($105245) 1 237) $-3473) 39S53) 36S273) 387334) (373N 77S4 ($7-4)- (S792S)
(IC3S437037) 372374) ($40) (I781 ($597)
(-68 ) 15936) (M9 799 S473 (t4 7) (54230)
342I1 S$4795) ($43 4-) 34S9 $-9334 11445
(3273701 (S34 2353) (340262) (1253 1212n3s391 ($IE129 T251S) 12858) ($1076 ($2107D) (n632) ($3C53) (S-723-3)($26687)
3$4 (137631 ($23m9)
$2975 $1489) (2546) $7130 (37448) ($1230G)
$I063 (4521) ($172--3) $14786 (31994) (11 397) $19231 S120 (113 25)
TABLE A-35 (Contd)ASSPTIONS TAPBLE ME-F-COST TULE (CalcJaled)
E~ooi a Finacial Asi for Energy Investrents - Eypt EE
raitaSs Penefit raees Iter-E Rate of Returr 1014
Pcnuistio $SI7 Price of CiE h (yr 1)7-arrtatior $0 Oil Ezalat 2 year Dis PY cf V of FCrstrcticr $
Rate Enrefits Cc-zts NPDV Ratiotercnnecticr $0 Ergr~y Savrs 343 ttlyear - -ue Use 0 -bllyEar 0 $302231 $1373393 T2T
2 -(7925$2fZ $333 121 37 185 cnstrnxt Tiia 10 Lerths
46 2C34 $23C37 $72 10 57 6 $163716 $1L $4256 34 ee t1437S $372E $0281 116pe-atinz arsd NorLal nainternare Costs 0 $23022 $2504 S120 01
Operating Cost C680 year 10 $107129 $1E3 353 (S2 00 83 13 S100403 $29693 319275)
woeratino Lifetime 21 years 084
a- Ec RErairReplacemerit 4 $0426E $113072 ($24705)ipet 073883-) $514 $ 94)15 S - $-31 (2 07
-$---I16 eplace Cost (4536)Iperiof $3934 $18002 ($34008) 071 -e---
Repace Period 20 years 12 $75465 $117102 ($41637) 064 20 $66375 $116338 ($47963) 059
A-70
-Ecui adFin-ncla Aralys fcr re-rr-t - Ect Efl S
T-PLE -36
- Case cf-l 75- 14 - ZLWAN TxTLE11P (CLETOR F1 -e-1 - C_ OF L $40PL) Pfssu-ir 0i Ezsaatio- Rate cf 20
saves a cfaita _2erat Cost cz C Fue Used Ftel -rery Eaez ra1 ash oi DiEccurted Cash Fioi (PV) i =Yerpoundzsl (Bb1) Ccst Eciv E-er=- Cst poundjrrent 4 0 l
1 Trar-ort $L or Sc
ac-r r-
Thplusmnt$ $2 $4000 0 $0 53 32220 $ OZ 275 115V S ) $L) 5 $52$ $S $4080 0 $0 342 S4133 5160 bull ( s ($34 34 $4 5251eS oS ($845575 337$S $230 S4162 C $0 348 l144S2 $680 S222 tS2 08B21 (t 383) c(sa84) 354572)4 $ -- 45 0 $0 348 $14 72 80 $13-2 37)443) VT2F35) ($74 M)8 (37221- $ 6 54230 6
c SO 34 $ 07 $1650 513337 (52 333) 5 (s650141 ($56745)41 S6pound0 $4pound 0 $0 343 t5369 s0 $1268 ($47748) S2833) ME514) 3522 3787 S $45C I so 348 s Sw W=10131S13336 $67613SEBT($54614) ($587)scl S621 s~lsK 0o 348 sIz230 $680 $1IL3 I j 2 (-6631 (34171 5447 $ i620 $S437 0 so 348 C2 1 S 42 (f23 ($27 (4)ic $1 11 $4780 0 s0 343 $63 $1680 $1435 (54E 7) (S5284) (252 $3411 $0 960 $4276 0 $0 248 s-03 $1680 $Z222 571 ($1420) ($13 ( 0
1 $ $6al $4373 0 $0 348 $7305 T6O S15628 8(75W (S1S7M ($24 537)$O ^$ 73 0 SO 348 $17654 t1680 $1f3 5 25842 fss (S 641)- 2059714 C05630 IS174 0 $0 348 $12 007 t680 $l6327 53=-048 $4847 ($(S2 $16955)15 sso 15278 0 s0 348 $18367 ~ 6amp s-6637 S45 284 $10E54 (52518) ($3441)15 so Eao $2387 0 so 348 $18734 31680 $17054 $54754 $15$564 31032--17 160 $5497 0 so 348 s1100 T1680 t7423 $4053 $ 20921 15358 ($7482)18 $0 sso 567 0 so 348 $13431 t1680 $1781 5 73203 $2s5 5$8871 ($4888713 $0 $Sao $5773 0 $0 348 $13881 $1680 $18 201 $2188 2r313 S C2 252120 t0 680 $5227 0 $0 348 $20279 $1650 $I63 521016 $3467 $1$196 ($3361)21 $s $1680 $5944 0 $0 348 $20684 $2 856) $22540 $101753 $3 72115 185 $2079
$103458 $33680 0 $0 7018 $347304 S1370 $ 05965
A-71
TABLE A-36 (Contd) S TIO TfPBLE EEN-TT-CCSTS TP- -uatedCa1c
Eccncmic and Financial Pavsis fc- Energy irvestcents -- Eypt EEA 96
aita Costs -eefitParaeters nterna Rate of etur- 1229
fcouisition 0799 Price c Oil $40 bbl (yr 1)Transp rtatir $0 Oil Esalat 20year Disc PV of PV of BZCorst-utie $0 Rate Berfits Costs Ratio
irterconntior $0 Enry Savrs 348 bblyear Fue USE 0 bbllyear N $347304 $33 1 2TOTL -Cap -107 995 S22D720 $132 5S3 $148127 212
4 $2307S6 $2 037 $10 175 -79Construct Time 19 months 6 $92818 $126130 628 53 8 $1amp3517 $123796 3721 132Operating and Normal Mainterance Costs 10 $14C52 $1219(4 $1363 115
11 $3004 $121091 $9913Operating Cost $1650 year 108
12 $1 432 $12C353 $20 102Operating Lifetime 21 years 1 $114751 S83 ($4 31 09z $11
14- $107847 $119072 ($11225) 091Major Equipment RepairRelacemert 5 $1C1622 $110514 (c6291) 086 16 $95993 $118002 ($220C09) 081
Replace Cost ($4536)period 8 $8624E T17102 ($30 S56 074Replace Period 20 years 2 $78143 $115338 ($32195) 067
A-72
APPENDIX B
Preliminary Cost Estimates
Three (3) systems are considered appropriate for cost analysis Cost estimates are preliminary for use in the Application ReviewConceptual
Design portion of this project
A Waste Heat Recovery System
B Solar Thermal Collection System
Current $US (mid-1986) are applied then escalated to mid-1987 theexpected construction period at 10 percent
For cost assessment purposes all material and supervision will beconsidered imported Egyptto Labor costs will reflect some Egyptianrate influence although certain installation procedures will requireexperienced labor not currently available in Egypt
The average annual wage for the Egyptian construction industry in 1985Is 7800 LE or $5778 (US) ($135 LE per US $)
An average labor rate in the United States for construction servicesapplicable to this project is estimated by the R S Means Company to be$2177 per hour in 1985 (crew Q4) An estimated thirty percent imporledlabor with severity percent Egyptian labor can be used for establishing a mixed labor rate average of $936 per hour (US) A labor cost modifier for wages becomes $936$2177 or 0431
Equipment and system cost estimates and percentages are established byusing R S Means Company Cost Data and1985 equipment suppliersbudget pricing estimates
The solar cost data are determined in flxed-and variable-cost increments as required by the FCHART-4R program input format A solar collection array size of 4000 square feet ( 72 m2 ) is estimated for use in determining the variable cost factor
B-I
A WAS[E HEAT RECOVERY SYSTEM
DESC R I FT ION SIEI OTAI TOTAL
3 WAY WASTE WATER DIVERTING VALVES SUMP MATERIALS SUMF PUMP FILTER SCREEN SUMP PUMF LEVEL CONTROL AND VALVE WASTE HEAT STORAGE TANK WASTE HE(I S IORAGE TANK PUMP STORAGE TANK LEVEL CONTROL AND VALVE WASTE HEAT EXCHANGER $1200)1000 EITI SUB-TOTAL EQUIFMENT(MID-1986) $160900
ESCALATION FACTOR 11 TOTAL EQUIPMENT (MID-1987) $176990
FLOW ItDICATORS AND GLOBE VALVES 3 WAY PROCESS WATER BLENDING VALVES STEAM CONTROL VALVES PROCESS WATER TEMPERATURE CONTROLLERS SUB-TOTAL EQUIPMENT(MID-1986) $71400
ESCALATION FACTOR 11 TOTAL EQUIPMENT (MID-1987) $78540
PIPING COST (40 EQUIP COST) 040 $102212
INSULATION COST (75 PIPING COST) 075
SUB-TOTAL MATERIAL COST $434401
LABOR COST (715 MATERIAL COST) $310597 MODIFIERLABOR MIX 043 MODIFIED LABOR COST $133557
SUB-TOTAL MATERIAL + LABOR $567958
TOTAL WASTE HEAT RECOVERY SYSTEM CONSTRUCTION COST $567958
B-2
B SOLAR THERMAL COLLECTION SYSTEM VARIRIABLE COrST (HIID-19117)
DESCR I FIUIN SOLAR CULA-ECTORS $10 0uFT2 COLLECTOR AREA 4000 rF2 COLLECTOR COST SOLAR CIRCIJLAFIN(3 PUMPFS SULAR 1ISTRIBLTI 1 PIlIPS STRUCTURAL STEEl SOLAR CONTROLS INSVRUMELNV AIR SYSEIIFIPING LOW VOLTAGE CABLE EXCAVArION AND FOUNDAFIONS ELECTRICAL
TOTAL EQtJIPMENT(MI ID-1986) ESCALATION FACTOR TOTAL ELUI MENT (MID-1787) PIPING COST (40 COLLECTOR COST) INSULATION COST (75PIPING COST) TOTAL MATERIAL COST I$144050
$105500
I1
075
$116050 $16lt00 $12000
LABOR COST (715 MATERIAL COST) MOIFIERLABOR MIX MODIFIED LABOR COST
$102996 043
$44286
MATERIAL + LABOR $188338
FREIGHTDUTYTAXES TO EGYPT 10 $18834
SUBTOTAL $207172
SUBTOTAL CONTINGENCY 15
$207172 $31076
TOTAL VARIABLE COST COST PER FT2 $60
$238248
B-3
------------------------------------------------------------------------
--------------------------------------------------------------------
FIXED COST (MID 1987)
DESCRIPTION CONTRALCTOIR S RENTAL SUFPL IES CONIRACrORS FACILITIES CONTRACTORS UTILITIES CONTRACTORS MATERIAL HANDLING CONTRACTORS CLEAN-UP DISMANTLING AND MOVING BOXING AND CRATING U S IRANSPORTAT ION SUB-TOTAL $34000
SUB-TOTAL M34000 CONTINGENCY 15 $5100
TOTAL FIXED COST $39100
LGE COST BASED ON CURRENT FIELD TEST PROJECT
TOTAL VARIABLE COST $238248 TOTAL FIXED COST $39100
TOTAL SYSTEM CONSTRUCTION COST $277348
EEA COST DATA BASED ON CURRENT PROJECTS USING IN-COUNTRY CONTRACTOR AND EQUIPMENT
VARIABLE COST $2862FT2 $2862 COLLECTOR SIZE (FT2) 4000 TOTAL VARIABLE COST $114480
EEA FIXED COST $26757
TOTAL SYSTEM CONSTRUCTION COST $141237
CONSTRUCTION COST SUMMARY
A WASTE HEAT RECOVERY SYSTEM $567958
D SOLAR THERMAL COLLECTION SYSfEM $277348
1(lAL CUNSTRUCTION CU9 A amp B $845 05
B-4
APPENDIX C
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A $2000barrel of No 6 light heating oil was used as the
price of energy saved by using the solar thermal system This
price was escalated at 2 per year Also a sensitivity analysis
was performed by varying the price of oil andor collector
prices
The economic analysis considered the following scenarios
e A 4000 sq~ft collector area at a price of S6000sqft (US case)
e A 4200 sqft collector area at prices of
$2581sqft and S2221sqft
A Waste Heat Recovery System
A 4200 sqft collector area priced at S7O00 per sqft combined with a waste heat recovery system
Results of the economic analysis showed that none of the
candidate solar chermal systems are economically viable
A sensitivity analysis was also performed by varying
collector prices and the price of oil Results of the
sensitivity analysis indicated thethat flat plate collectors
will not be economical unless prices fall to $2200sqft at a
price of oil $40 per barrel
A separate analysis was also carried out on the economic
performance of the solar thermal system combined with the Waste
Heat Recovery System Results of the analysis showed that the
combined system was economically viable
- ii shy
The design operation maintenance and repair experience
with solar thermal systems that will be obtained through this
field test to form a strong technical base for the design and
application of other renewable 2nergy technologies is an
important factor which has not entered into the benefit cost
calculation in this report These additional factors need to be
considered seriously in the go-no-go decision of this field test
- iii shy
2 INTRODUCTION
The Egyptian Electricity Authority (EEA) the United States
Agency for International Development (USAIDCairo) and a group
of US Consultants form a team responsible for the performance
conduct and management of the Renewable Energy Field Testing
(REFT) Project whereby eleven systems are field tested for
renewable energy applications in Egypt
These field tests include the use of solar thermal photoshy
voltaic and grid connected wind farm systems for industrial
process heat water pumping ice making desalination and grid
connected electricity generation
The project has broad objectives to investigate selected
renewable energy options to
0 Comprchensively strengthen Egyptian technical and
institutional capabilities in the full spectrum of
renewable energy planning and decision-making for
technologies and applications
Develop and sustain an Egyptian renewable energy
infrastructure through the establishment of data
bases information systems and organizations that
effectively serve both the public and private sectors
- 1 shy
Design install operate and evaluate a series of
renewable energy field tests which utilize commercially
available technologies in applications having potential
for widespread use in Egypt
a Conduct a ormal management and technical training
program both on-the-job and specialized and establish
an intensive information dissemination program
The MarketEconomic Analysis Task is one of the supporting
activities that will provide useful information for the
accomplishment of the proposed project objectives The Market
Economic Analysis Task is set up to accomplish the following
objectives
Evaluate the economic performance of candidate
renewable energy technologyapplication systems
in the field test program in the Egyptian economy
Identlfy non-technica bottlenecks that could be
encountered in the dissemination and wide use of
renewable energy technologies
Estimate the market environment in Egypt under which
the supply of and the demand for preselected renewable
energy technologies will be transacted
-2 shy
Identify policy issues such as energy prices
incentives tariffs and regulations that could be
modified instituted andor removed to enhance the
establishment of a true economic cost of energy
resources
Determine the economic environment under which
investment decisions could be made for the widespread
vse of similar renewable energy technologies in Egypt
0 Train Egyptian counterparts with the capability of
performing market and economic assessments of similar
energy projects
The MarketEconomic Analysis Task is performed in two
parts The first part is the Pre-RFP MarketEconomic Analysis
This activity will perform a site specific MarketEconomic
analysis of a particular field test in order to provide decision
makers both at EEA and USAIDCairo with information on the
financial and economic viability of the proposed field test
This information is required as one of the pieces of information
for a go-no-go decision on the issuance of an RFP
The second part performs a marketeconomic analysis of
specified renewable energy technologies throughout Egypt in
industrial sectors represented by the eleven field tests
- 3 shy
This report represents the first part the Pre-RFP Market
Economic analysis for a field test designed to test the technical
and economic viability of the use of solar industrial process
heat (IPH) and a waste heat recovery system for textile bleachshy
iig
- 4shy
3 BACKGROUND
The proposed site for Field Test 4 -Textile finishing at
the Helwan Spinning and Weaving Company at Helwan near Cairo
Helwan Spinning and Weaving Company is a large textile
plant finishing a variety of fabrics The finishing operation
consists of a series of chemical treatments involving hot and
cold washes by dyeing and bleaching processes The hotfollowed
wash dye and bleach washers are currently brought to and held
at the desired temperature range by direct sparging with steam
(hand-valve adjustments)
Objectives of Proposed Field Test Site for IPH System
The primary objectives of this field test are to provide
EEA with practical working experience using Solar Thermal
Industrial Process Heat and to provide system design and operashy
tional training for Egyptian engineers for the purpose of
assessing and implementing similar projects throughout Egypt
This field test will evaluate the viability of solar thermal
industrial process heat with waste heat recovery system for
textile finishing
The application of solar IPH and waste heat recovery
system for textile finishing at Helwan Textile will serve as a
demonstration of the capability of the combined technology of
- 5 shy
industrial process heat to reliably supply significant amounts
of energy at other textile finishing facilities It is important
that this field test be designed to distinguish between the
performance of the solar IPH and the performance of the waste
heat recovery systems so that each can be evaluated for other
applications
-6 shy
4 ECONOUilC ANALYSIS
Objective
The objective of this analysis is to evaluate the economic
viability of a solar thermal system for providing industrial
process heat for textile finishing at the Helwan Spinning and
Weaving Company at Helwan and to determine whether or not an
investment in this field test would result in the acquisition of
useful information and know-how not only technical but also
managerial and institutional so that such experiences could be
duplicated throughout the economy of Egypt
Research Methodology
The method of analysis selected for accomplishing the above
objective is the standard benefit cost analysis used in project
evaluation A benefit cost analysis involves first the pooling
of anticipated benefits and costs (direct and indirect) resulting
from the project throughout its economic life The streams of
benefits and costs are then expressed in present value terms
using a common numeraire (a discount rate)
From this the following evaluation characteristics can be
calculated
The Net Present Value (NPV) is the difference between the sum of
the discounted stream of benefits and the sum of the discounted
stream of costs discounted by a given discount rate
- 7 shy
The Payback Period is the number of years it takes a project to
generate sufficient benefits to cover its cost or the number of
years it takes the net present value to change from a negative
to a positive value
The Internal Rate of Return (IRR) sometimes called the economic
rte of return is that discount rate that would equate
discounted benefits to discounted cost or reduce the net present
value to zero
Benefit-Cost Ratio (BC) This is the ratio obtained by dividing
the discounted value of all project benefits by the discounted
value of project costs
Simple Payback This is a rule of thumb method used by investors
to see if a particular financial venture is worth investing in
or not The simple payback is calculated by summing up all
capital and operating costs and dividing that sum by the value of
the first full years benefit In the private sector in most
industrialized countries a simple payback of 3 to 5 years is
expected With renewable energy technology a simple payback of
7-9 years is usually admissible
- 8shy
Assumptions
The economic analysis of the IPH system is based on the
following assumptions
0 All energy conversions are made into barrels of oil
equivalent where one metric ton is equivalent to
US 733 barrels
0 Price of oil is valued at US$20barrel of No 6 light
heating oil escalated at 2 per year This price
level may not be indicative of the price of oil that is
rapidly changing at present It should be noted that
the analysis in this study is to look at what may
happen in the long-rt-n during the 1980s and 1990s As
such the analysis should not be affected by what
happens to commodity prices in the spot market in the
very short-run A revision of the price of oil in the
analysis may be appropriate when the price level
stabilizes
A discount rate of 1O is sed This is the
opportunity cost of money used in international
lending agencies such as the World Bank
Hardware is assumed to have a salvage value of 10 at
the end of the life of the system
-9shy
The system is expected to have a life of 20 years
0 Some hardware items are purchased in Egypt An
exchange rate of LE 135 = US$ 100 is used All
prices are in constant US$ 1985
Data Base
Two sets of cost estimates were used in this analysis The
fWrFt set of data was provided by Lockwood Greene Engineers for
a 4000 sqft collector area (see Appendix B)
On the basis of the best available information Lockwood
Greene Engineers have provided the following cost estimates
Collector Size 4000
Prices Variable cost $60O0sqft Fixed cost $39180
0 + M cost 2 of total cost
Salvage value 42 of total cost
Energy savings 325 barrels of oil
Construction period 10 months
System life 20 years
The second set of data was provided by EEA for a collector
size of 4200 sqft The EEA cost estimates also show two types
of prices The first set shows a price of $2581 per square foot
- 10 shy
of colector This price is to be used for collectors purchased
for the REFT Project The second set shows a price of $2221 per
sqft which is to be used when evaluating IPH application
elsewhere in Egypt (see Appendix C)
Cost estimates provided by EEA are as follows
Collector Size 4200 sqft
Prices Variable cost $2221isqft (local)
$2581sqft (REFT)Fixed cost $17430 (local)
$23995 (REFT)
0 + M cost 2 of hardware cost
Salvage value 42 of capital cost
Energy savings 348 barrels of oil
Construction period 10 months
System life 20 years
Analysis and Results
The economic evaluation of the IPH system for textile
finishing was performed by examining the following sets of
assumptions
1 A 4200 sqft collector area at a price of $30sqft
2 A 4200 sqft collector area at prices of
$ 2581sqft and $2221sqft
3 A Waste Heat Recovery System
4 A 4200 sqft collector area priced at $30 per sqftombined with waste heat recovery system
5 A sensitivity analysis at different collector prices and varying prices of oil
- 11 shy
Table 1 presents the input data based on cost estimates
provided by Lockwood Greene Engineers These estimates are based
on a collector system purchased from the US at a price of
US$60sqft Output results for this analysis is presented in
Table 2
Input data for the base line analysis are presented in
Table 3 All base line analyses were performed assuming a price
of $20O0bbl of oil The economic evaluation of all systems
was made using a discount rate of 10 although system perforshy
mances are examined at varying discount rates ranging from 0
to 20 at 2 intervals (see Appendix A)
Table 4 presents results of the base line analysis As
shown in this table the 4200 sqft solar collector systems at
all collector prices do not pay during its economic life The
solar collector system at a price of $30sqft has a simple
payback of 22 years which is longer than the life of the system
The net present value at 10 discount rate is negative for
the baseline case with collector price $30sqft and price of
oil $2Gibbl indicating that the financial benefits accruing to
the project will not be able to offset the cost of acquisition
and operation of the system during its economic life span The
net present value at different level of discount rate and varying
prices of oil is presented in Figure 1
- 12 shy
TABLE 1
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM
FIELD TEST 4 - HLEWAN TEXTILE
DATA INPUT - US CASE
(Collector Price US$ 60sqft Price of Oil
I T E M S SOLAR ONLY WASTE HEAT RE(]OVaRY
Capital Cost ($) 227348 567958
0 + M ($) 4765 11359
Salvage Value ($) 11649 23854
Energy Savings (bbl) 325 11048
Construction Period (Month) 10 10
System Life (Yrs) 20 20
Source LBII estimates based on Engineering cost by Lockwood Greene Engineers
20bbl)
COMBINED SYSTEM
845306
16906
35503
11737
10
20
data provided
- 13 shy
TABLE 2
ECONOMIC NALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM
FIELD TEST 4 - HELWAN TEXTILE
RESULTS - US CASE
(Collector Price USS60sqft Price of Oil US$ 20bbl)
I T E M S SOLAR ONLY WASTE HEAT COMBINED RECOVERY
Energy Savings (bbl) 325 11048 11373
Simple Payback (Yrs) 43 3 4
Pdyback Period (Yrs) None 4 6
Net Present Value i = 10 ($251325) 1568793 1310681
Internal Rate of Return (IRR ) - 834 4220 2843
BC Ratio i = 10 021 337 233
Source LBII estimates based on Engineering cost data providedby Lockwood Greene Engineers
- 14 shy
TABLE 3
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM
FIELD TEST 4 - HELWAN TEXTILE
DATA INPUT - BASELINE ANALYSIS
(Collector Price US$ 30sqft)
I T E M S SOLAR ONLY WASTE HEAT COMBINED RECOVERY SYSTEM
Capital Cost ($) 149995 567958 717953
0 + M (S) 2520 11359 13879
Salvage Value ($) 6300 - 0 - 6300
Energy Savings (bbl) 348 11048 11396
Construction Period (Month) 10 10 10
System Life (Yrs) 20 20 20
Source LBII estimates based on cost data provided from EEA and Lockwood Greene Engineers
- 15 shy
TABLE 4
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM
FIELD TEST 4 - HELWAN TEXTILE
BASELINE ANALYSIS RESULTS
(Collector Price $30sqft Price of Oil US$ 20bbl)
I T E M S SOLAR ONLY WASTE HEAT COMBINED RECOVERY
Energy Savings (bbl) 348 11048 11396
Simple Payback (Yrs) 22 3 3
Payback Period (Yrs) None 4 5
Net Present Value i = 10 ($100633) 1565248 1464614
Internal Rate of Return (IRR ) - 124 4220 3402
BC Ratio 041 335 275 i = 10
Source LBII estimates based on cost data provided by EEA and Lockwood Greene Engineers
- 16 shy
Figure I Helwan TextileIPH - Solar only - Net Present Value at various Discount Rates and Prices of Oil (Collector
Price S30sqft)
0
150
-J)0
LUJ
LUJ
00-
Li
11 t 6
4F
D I SCOU NT RATE ()
130BBL
-$25BBL
~$15BBL $20BBL
- - 17 shy
The internal rate of return (IRR) is significantly lower
than the 10 economic rate of return expected to cover the cost
of credit
The waste heat recovery system on the other hand shows
positive results The system pays for itself in four years
The internal rate of return for the waste heat recovery
system is very high 4220 indicating very high economic gains
to be realized by installing this system
The Application Review for Field Test 4 examines solar
thermal together with a waste heat recovery system as a unit that
will be installed at Helwan Textile Accordingly an economic
evaluation of the combined solar thermal plus the waste heat
recovery system was performed
The input data used for Zhis analysis is presented in
Table 3 Results of the economic analysis for the combined
system are presented in Table 4 As shown in Table 4 the
combined system is economically viable The payback period for
the combined system is five years with an Internal Rate of
Return (IRR) of 3402 Figure 2 presents a graphic representashy
tion of the internal rate of return (IRR) for the output results
presented in Table 4
- 18shy
C
Figure 2 Helwan Textile - Internal Rate of Return at different Prices of Oil for Waste Heat Recovery
and Combined Solar and Jaste Heat Recovery
Systems (Collector Price $60 and $30sqft)
100
80shy
60-
LU 40
lt
($ B B LUi P R 1 0 F 0 1 L
-20
-20
- 19shy
-40
It is very clear from Table that the economic performance
of the combined system is lower than that of the waste heat
system indicating the dampening effect of the poor econoinic
performance of the solar thermal system
It should be pointed out that there is no functional relashy
tionship between the technical or economic performance of solar
thermal and waste heat recovery systems One can install the
solar thermal all by itself or in combination
As discussed earlier the proposed 4200 sqft solar thermal
system is not economically viable at a collector price of $30
sqft and price of oil S20barrel A separate analysis was
performed using a S20barrel price of oil and collector prices of
$30 25 22 and 20sqft Results of the analysis is presented
in Table 5
As shown in Table 5 the solar thermal system is not
economically viable at all collector prices The system does
not pay for itself during its life span Even at the lowest
collector price ($20sqft) the benefits derived from the
system can only cover 58 of the cost incurred (BC ratio 058)
during the life of the system
An additional sensitivity analysis was performed for each
collector price level and varying prices of oil As inshown
- 20 shy
TABLE 5 - ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM - FT4HELWAN TEXTILE SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS WITH DIFFERENT COLLECTOR PRICES
(Price of Oil US$ 20BBL)
I T E M S
COLLECTOR
$20sqft $22sqft
PRICE
$25sqft $30sqft
r
Energy Savings
(bbl)
Simple Payback
(Yrs)
Payback Period
(Yrs)
Net Present Value
i = 10
Internal Rate of Return - IRR
348
16
None
($51604)
266
348
16
None
($55919)
216
348
19
None
($76694)
046
348
22
None
($100633)
- 124
BC Ratio
i = 10 058 056 048 041
Source LBII estimate based on engineering cost Lockwood Greene Engineers
data provided by EEA and
Tables 6 - 9 the solar thermal system will start showing
positive economic results if collector prices are between $20 and
$22sqft and oil prices increase to $35 - $40barrel It is
very unlikely to find a situation where one can have a decline
in the price of collectors while having a simultaneous increase
in the price of oil Since collectors are manufactured from
products such as plastic glass aluminum etc which are
energy intensive a decline in collector prices can only be
realiz=d with a decline in the price of energy
Figures 3 and 4 show graphic representations of the internal
rate of return (IRR) and payback period respectively for
different prices of collectors and varying prices of oil
A year by year cash flow for 36 different scenarios are
presented in Appendix A Tables Al - A36
- 22 shy
TABLE 6 - ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM - FT4HELWAN TEXTILE SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS WITH DIFFERENT PRICES OF OIL
(Collector Price US$ 20sqft)
P R I C E OF 0 1 L
I T E M $15bbl $20bbl $25bbl $30bbl $35bbl $40bbl
Energy Savings 348 348 348 348 348 348(bbl)
Simple Payback 21 16 12 10 9 8(Yrs)
Payback Period None None None None None None (Yr s)
Net Present Value i = 10 (69179) (51604) (34029) (16454) 1120 18695
Internal Rate ofReturn - IRR - 057 266 540 787 1014 1229
BC Ratio 043 058 072 087 101 115
Source LBII estimate based on engineering cost data provided by EEA andLockwood Greene Engineers
TABLE 7 - ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM - FT4HELWAN TEXTILE SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS WITH DIFFERENT PRICES OF OIL
(Collector Price US$ 22sqft)
I T E M
Energy Savings (bbl)
Simple Payback (Yrs)
Payback Period
(Yrs)
P R I C E OF 0 I L
$15bbl $20bbl $25bbl $30bbl $35bbl $40bbl
348 348 348 348 348 348
21 16 13 11 9 8
None None None None None None
Net Present Value i = 10 (73494) (55919) (38344) (20769) (3194) 14381
Internal Rate of Return - IRR - 108 216 491 735 961 1172
BC Ratio 042 056 070 084 097 111
Source LBII estimate based on engineering cost data provided by EEA and Lockwood Greene Engineers
TABLE 8 -ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM - FT4HELWAN TEXTILESENSITIVITY ANALYSIS WITH DIFFERENT PRICES OF OIL (Collector Price US$ 25sqft)
P R I C E OF 0 I L I T E M $15bbl $20bbl $25bbl $30bbl $35bbl $40bbl
Energy Savings
(bbl)
348 348 348 348 348 348
Simple Payback
(Yrs) 25 19 15 12 11 9
Payback
(Yrs)
Period None None None None None None
Net Present Value i = 10 (94268) (76694) (59119) (41544) (23969) (6394)
Internal Rate ofReturn - IRR - 263 046 304 532 739 932 BC Ratio 036 048 060 072 084 096
Source LBII estimate based on engineering cost data provided by EEA andLockwood Greene Engineers
TABLE 9 - ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM - FT4HELWAN TEXTILE SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS WITH DIFFERENT PRICES OF OIL
(Collector Price US$ 30sqft)
P R I C E OF 0 1 L
I T E M $15bbl $20bbl $25bbl $30bbl $35bbl $40bbl
Energy Savings 348 348 348 348 348 348 (bbl
Simple Payback 29 22 17 14 12 11(Yrs)
Payback Period None None None None None None (Yrs)
Net Present Value (118208) (100633) (83058) (65484) (47909) (30334) i = 10
Internal Rate of Return - IRR - 425 - 124 124 339 534 714
BC Ratio 031 041 051 062 072 082
Source LBII estimate based on engineering cost data provided by EEA and Lockwood Greene Engineers
Figure 3- Helwan TextileIPH - Solar Only - Internal Rate of
Returr at Different Prices of Oil and varying
Collector Prices
29shy
n
-15
CD 10shy
lt 5
S0
10
R
2
0 F
30 5
B BL )
-10
-27 shy
-Ig - Helwan Textile - Solar Only - Simple Payback at Dfferent Prices of Oil and varying Collector
Prices
50
40shy
30
20- $60sqft
- - S30sqft
I25sqft22sq ft 20sq ft
P
10
R I C E
20
0 F
30
0 1 L
40
B B L
50
- 28 shy
5 CONCLUSION
The economic analysis performed on the proposed IPH Field
Test at Helwan Textile showed that the 4200 sqft flat plate
collector system was not economically viable
However the analysis indicated that when the solar thermal
system was evaluated in combination with the waste heat recovery
system the project was economically viable This favorable
performance was caused not because of improvement made in
economic efficiency by the solar thermal system but rather
because the economic efficiency of the waste heat recovery
system is so strong that it more than offsets the poor
performance of the solar thermal system
It should be emphasized that this analysis did not cover an
evaluation of the complete array of solar thermal systems such
as solar collectors for domestic hot water etc The analysis
was limited to the application of flat plate collectors for
application in industrial process heat of a given temperature
range Therefore implications drawn from this analysis should
not be applied to other solar thermal uses
The economic analysis has revealed some interesting and
important economic technical institutional and policy issues
- 29 shy
It is clear that the proposed flat plate collector system
on its own cainot be expected to bring about positive economic
returns given current collector prices Therefore it is
necessary that
Investigations be made in the technical field to
determine if the efficiency of the system could be
improved without increasing system cost
e The supply side of the collector market be prepared
to manufacture and supply collector systems that are
cost effective
e Policy makers be cognizant of the fact that the price
of flat plate collectors must decrease by almost 60
compared to the best case scenario as used in this
study (from $30sqft to $10sqft) in order
for industrial consumers to find it attractive to
invest in solar thermal technology Since the market
and thus the solar thermal industry is at its infancy
in Egypt policy makers and the public sector have to
play a lead role in removing barriers and providing the
appropriate fiscal andor regulatory incentives to
enhance the manufacture and widespread use of solar
thermal technology
- 30 shy
It is the overall objective of the Renewable Energy Field
Testing Project to investigate selected renewable energy options
to
9 Comprehensively strengthen Egyptian technical and
institutional capabilities in the full spectrum of
renewable energy planning and decision-making for
technologies and applications
Develop and sustain an Egyptian renewable energy
infrastructure through establishment of data bases
information systems and organizations that effectively
serve both the public and private sectors
Design realize and evaluate the performance of a
series of field tests which utilize commercially
available technologies in applications having potential
for widespread use in Egypt
Complete formal managerial and technical training both
on-the-job and specialized and an intensive
information dissemination program
- 31 shy
The design operation maintenance and repair experience
with solar thermal systems that will be obtained through this
field test to form a strong technical base for the design and
application of other renewable energy technologies is an
important factor which has not entered into the benefit cost
calculation in this report These additional factors need to be
considered seriously for the go-no-go decision
- 32 shy
APPENDIX A
-cono mcarz F7ra r na 2Analvsis fo- Erer gyi s t s y --t ne E8 0o
TA -1E-1
Fcr Case ofFELD TEST 4 - HELW TEXTILEIIPH (CILLECTOR PRICE S35313FT- PRICE Cz OIL $158L)Assumr iliEscalatior Rate of
Savec ValLe Of V~Caoitaltea- Cost Deratzrnc Cost of OilCost Sbl Fuel Usea Fuel(bi) EeravCs Saveo AnnualEuiv Er-eray Lost
Casi Flow Discounted Cash Flo~w (NV) j=urrert 48
Ion $14--Oui -It X=-=== ==--- ----==---=-------S shyrarsoort 1 Construc ionI i nt er o 0ne zt i o r $$14$35 $4C- $1500 $0 31Tta 5870$(
58 $150415 ($149545)6520 S153cent S14945) ($149545) ($14954-)$0 348 (149 4W)V 5324 $20$2520 $1561 4 ($146848) 3146948)4 0 $0 348 ($14699) (S14704)SO $5431i250 159= 550 $2911 ($1441 ) ($1445)5 Si $0 348 $5540 S252 S020
($14550) ($144721)$252) 1624 ($141473) (142056)$$ 348 ($142321) (142571)8 5650$0 $1G56 0 $313r ($13797) ($139755) (S140ljE7 $ (140582)$0 346 _7632 20 $1689 0 $W 348 $520 $3243 ($13611) ($137548) ($138169)8 S5873 2520SO $25Z0 $1723 $3359 ($133477) ($135431)0 $0 (M76274 ($137040)9- W S757 348 S5336 $25200 SO 348 $3476 (s123235 ($133402) ($134490)10 $5116 S-20 ($135468)$0 $2520 51733 0
$352 (128205) ($131460)11S 250 $0 348 $6238 (13 812) ($134015)510s $2520 $3718 ($125595) so $2520 4 Sampo $3843
(S12600) (131235) ($132674)$ bull252$1S65 0 $0 348 $6490) ($1 999) ($127820) ($1k9754) ($131437)13 V) 520 $1902
$ 2-t $3370 ($1 j420) ($126117) ($128 3) ($130256)14 348 $6620$0 S2520 $1940
0 S0 $2520 $410W ($117859) ($124489)0 $0 348 ($127055) ($129243)15 (1 2520 $197 0 $6753 S250 $233 ($115317) ($22932) ($125 89)16 $0
so 348 $6888 S252 (3128273)i3520 4368$2019 ($1I1C755)
17 0 $0 348 $7025 (3121445) ($124679) ($127379)$2K$0 $-) 0 01 $156- ($I12S3)
348 3120025 ($123601) ($126556)$7166 512520 646 (S107812) (S11BC65918 $0 ($122590) (S125710 52 10 21 100 0 so - 0$2 520J 348 7309 t4935S21 42 0 so) 50 $789 ($102918i($105354) i17374) ($1216421 ($125101)20 348 $7 455 ($116139)$0 $2520 $2 5 ($12-0754)$2185 0 ($124459)s021 348(W30) $2520 57 605 $2-50 $5085$2229 ($I00504)0 s0 348 $7757
(314961 ($119923) ($123869)($3780 S11537 ($9239) ($112486) ($I18208) ($IM673)$143695 $50820 0 $0 7018 $130239 $194515 ($64276)
A-1
TABLE A-I (Contd) ASSUMPTIONS TABLE BENEFIT-COSTS TALE (Calculated)
Economic and Financiai Analvsis for Energy -strnents - Egypt EEA 101986
Cacital Costs Benefit Parameters Internal Rate of Return -425
Acouisition $149995 Price of Oil $1500 bbl (yr 1)Trarsoortation $0 Oil Escalat 20year Disc PV of FV of BCConstruction $0 Rate Benefits Costs NOV Ratio
interconnection $0 Enrgy Savns 348 bblyear Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 $130 23 $194515 ($64276) 067TOTAL (Cap) $149995
El $105270 $187381 (582111) 056
Construct Time 10 morhs 4 $86548 $181787 ($95239) 0486 $72307 $177 355 ($105048) 041
Ooeratinc and Normal Maintenance Costs 8 $61319 $173805 (3112486) 03510 $5725 $170933 $118208) 031 11 $$3l26 $169701 ($120575) 029oeratino Cost $2520 year 12 $45912 $168585 ($122673) 027Operating Lifetime 21 years 13 $43032 $167571 ($124539) 026
Major Eauipment ReoairReolacement 14 $40443 $166647 ($126204) 024 15 $38108 $165804 ($227695) 023
Salvage Value ($6300)period 16 $35 997 $165032 ($129034) 022 18 $32342 $163674 ($131332) 020Replace Period 20 years 20 $29303 1162522 ($133219) 018
A-2
--
__
Ewic a Fzranzai Z aiys s for Enercy Investments Eayot EEAq-
10I9i-
1PLE A-2 For Case ofFIELD TEST 4-- H2LWRN TEXTILEIP (COLLECTOR PRICE $30SQF - PRICE OF OIL $20BlAssumino Oil Escalation Rate of 0OL
Ca0ita Oeratira Cost cf Oilyear Fuel UsedCost Cost $Bb Saved VEL- -Fuei Ererly(Bb) Cost ave Arr al Cas FlowEouv ne-v LisOurted Cash FlowAnua C Flow 0V) 6 ===--- shy ======= =----=- rcuisior $1 93 -- Codegt ure~n $4Trar-I sSrC0=-=---= = 8 10 12=== =_==== -= =shy
=== =---==_-_I Corstru-t or te $34 512415 $2
431$951 Tota) C$Z $520 5 $160 (Q14-$1-47 $24
fSO $A 0 so 2s ($14 SH5) ($149255)$0
$73 $-5 ($144 8-( ($492s)$ $4$274 ( -14482)(3145015)s 348 (31450321$7241 $2520 ($145GG) $ $ 20 12 65 o so$01
348 0
$472( ($140487) ($140357) (s1411025200 ($1414031$25207 $2208 $ 0 3(1381611($i37 105 0 $11 4 3$0 20 S5_a20 5 0 so ($137534) ($137939)52520 348
0 $S034 3483 $7645 3 S- $5014 ($131875)$78 $1202 (11j33419)SO2 $ $5318SE184 ($12763 ($126 5531 (3134110) (134753)($123428)
$0 S3 ($127901) ($129128)$2520 $2297 $0 $2 2 o 0 345 $4I4 ($$2343 $995 1)7 ($1239(50 348 $2520 5475 ($130903)Ii 3155 s2$23 $131822)$ 183$0$2$SC n 5 ($13 50 ) ($120314 ) ($1224 )0 ($ 124376)-2$-iSO $23($ 5212~~ $ 520 2438S S $1 513 3) (SI27903 ) ( 52)$252 0 $2$0~ $7980 0 3 -4 i$110761 ($117414)1$ $2FO ($120000 -2520 $5 Z $59 4 ($12-2285)
gs )1 3 $20 287 $0348 1$107 0-7) ($S141238 ($ 17 7 0) SI2652587 $$c 24 ($120 3 5 )15 $0 0 (S0563) ($112021)$2 52 $2 $-9348 ($11555) ($118601)$0 520 6 0 so 34 8 $2 443483 S82 311104 $220$ 520 S664 ($30) ($107132)$ 307 ($931($S3123)) ( 10 (Si1267) ($115497)6 ($I04Ef) ($11973)5I) ($S 15451 ($11133)o0 $2 520 ($1169 3)SO 5 2 920 032520 5274 6 0 4 8 $ 36 $S 2- 8$0 47 ( 1 014 34 6 $3555 ($ I02 70 19 348 $7U ($1 0743 ) ($I 1i7
s0 $2520 $2800 0 $2 520 7 0 5 ($8 834 ($00 65) ) ($10 8 273 ) ($112 8 2 )
$2520 $9 0 $200 $72- (914$) 3)S0 $4 ($90 063 ($110682)27 $0 $2 c856 00 ($76 51)2$5 14 0 0 348 0 ($9 842 ($0397 ($10977)340 $I0139 -521 $2 5 0 $($6300) $7 19$2520 $2972 0 ( 72 8 35 ($ 076 ()0s0 ($102 72) ($10023)348 $10342 (3780) $1418 ($ 3) ($9246) ($100633) ($I0735)
$143695 $0820 0 s 7018 $173652 $194515 ($20863)
A-3
ASSUMPTJINS TABLE TABLE A-2 (Contd) BENEFIT-COSTS TPBLE (Calculated)
Economicand Finar_ial Analysis fr Energy Investments - Egypt EE 10191S6
Capital Costs Benefit Parareters Internal Rate of Return -124
Acquisitior 149995 Price of Oil 2000 bbl (y 1)Transoortation $0 Oil Escalat 20rvear Disc PV of PV of BC
Construction $0 Rate Benefits Costs NPV RatioInterconrection $0 Enrgy Savrias 348 bblyear --- _____-__
- Fuel Use 0 bblivear 0 $173652 $1S4515 ($20863) 089TOTAL (Car) $14995 2 $14036O $187381 (347021) 075 4 $115398 S181787 (36E390) 063Construct Time 10 months 6 $96409 S177355 ($80946) 054
8 $31759 5173805 ($92 046)Ooerating and Normal Maintenance Costs 047l0 $70299 $170 933 ($100633) 041
11 $65502 $169701 (3104199) 039Operatino Cost S2520 year 12 $61216 1amp3585 ($107369) 036Oerating Lifetime 21 years 13 57376 $167571 (3110195) 034
14 $53924 $16G647 (3112723) 032Major Equioment ReoairReplacement 15 $50811 $165804 ($114992) 031 16 $47997 $165032 ($117035) 0213Replace Cost ($6300)oeriod 18 $43123 $163674 (3120551) 026Replace Period 20 years 20 $39071 $162522 ($123451) 024
A-4
Econonxc and Finarcial 9ralvsis for Energy Investrets -- EcvDt EEA 1013i6C
TABLE A-3
For Case ofFIELD TEST 14 - H-LWAN TEXTILEIPi ( COLLECTOR PRCE $30SQFT- PRICE OF OIL $25BBL) Assuming Oil Escalation Rate of 20
Saved Valus ofCacital boeratirng Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel Energy Saved Annual Cash Flow Discounted Cash Flow ((NV) iYear Cost Cost $Bbl (Bbl) Cost Eauiv Erercy Cost Currert f 4 8 10 12
S Accuisitio $149995
1 Transoort $0 I Construct ior $0 I Interconnection $0
Totil $149q95 $420 $2500 0 $0 58 $1450 S150 415 ($14295) (3148965) ($48965) ($14895) ($148965)$0 $2520 $2550 0 s0 348 $3874 $2520 $3354 ($142855) ($143082) ($143189) ($143292)3 s0 $2520 $2601 0 $0 348 $9051 $2520 ($1368171 ($137482) ($137791) ($133085)4 $0 2520 $2653 5
0 s0 348 $3233 $252 $ 713 ($130643) ($132153) ($132748) ($133307)$0 2520 $2706 0 $0 6
348 $9417 $2520 $o897 ($124954) ($127084) ($128037) ($128924)$0 S2520 $2760 0 $0 348 $9606 $2520 S7056 ($119130) ($122261) ($123637) ($124903)7 so $2520 $2815 0 $0 348 $3798 $2520 $7278 ($113378) (117675) ($119529) ($121216)so $1520 $28728 0 $0 348 $39A 9
S2520 $7474 ($107699) ($11331b) ($115694) ($117836)s0 $2520 $2929 0 $0 348 $10193 $25L0 $7673 ($102032) ($09169) ($1121141 ($114736)10 $0 2520 $2986 0 11
$1 348 $10397 $25_lt $7877 ($36557) ($105228) ($103774) ($111896)$0 $2520 $3047 0 $0 348 $10 60 $_520 $308512 ($31095) ($I01483) ($105656) (5109293)$0 $2520 $3106 0 $0 348 $10817 $2520 $8237 ($85706) ($97925 ($102748) ($106907)13 $0 $2520 $3171 0 $0 348 $11034 $2520 $8514 ($80388) ($94544) ($10003-5) ($104722)$0 $2520 $323414 0 $0 348 $11254 $2520 $873415 ($75142) ($91332) ($97505) ($102720)$0 $2520 $3299 0 $0 348 $11479 $2520 $8959 ($69968) ($88282) ($95146) ($100837)16 $0 $2520 $3365 0 $0 348 $I709 $2520 $3189 ($64866) ($85385) ($92946) ($99208)17 $0 $2520 $3432 0 $0 348 $11943 $252(l $9423 ($59835) ($M 634) ($90895) ($97671)18 $0 $2520 $3501 0 $0 348 $12182 $2520 $3662 ($54875) ($80023) ($88984) ($264)19 so $2520 $3571 0 $0 348 $12426 $2520 $9906 ($349985) ($77544) ($87202) ($94976)20 $0 $2520 $3642 0 $0 348 $12674 $2520 $10154 ($45165) ($75191) ($85542) ($93797)21 ($6300) $2520 $3715 0 $0 348 $12928 ($3780) $16708 ($37540) ($71607) ($830558) ($92065)
$143695 $50820 0 $0 7018 $217065 $194515 $22550
A-5
-- --
TABLE A-3 (Contd) ASSUMPTIONS TABLE BENFIT-COSTS TABLE (Calculated)
Economic and Financial Analysis for Energy Investments - Egyot EEA i01986
Capital Costs Benefit Parameters Internal Rate of Return 124
Acouisition $149995 Price of Oil $25CK bbl (yr 1)TransDortation $0 Oil Escalat 20year Disc PY of PV of BCConstruction $0 Rate Benefits Costs NPV Ratio
Interconrection $0 Enrgy Savngs 348 bblyear m_ S -- - Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 $217065 $194515 $2550 112
TOTAL Cap) $149995 2 $175450 $187381 ($11931) 094
4 $144247 $181787 ($37540) 079Construct Time 10 months 6 $120511 $177355 ($56844) 068 8 $102 198 $173805 ($71607) 059DOeratino and Normal Maintenance Costs 10 $87674 $170933 ($83058) 051
11 $81877 $169701 ($87824) 048Deratina Cost $2520 year 0 Sshye i s 5 a $76520 $168585 ($92065) 045ODperatina Lifetime 21 years 23 $71720 $167571 ($95851) 043
14 $67405 $166647 ($99242) 040Major Eauipment RepairReplacement 15 $63514 165804 ($102290) 038
16 $59996 $165032 ($105036) 036Salvage Value ($6 300period 18 $53904 $163674 ($109770) 033 Replace Period 20 years 20 $48839 $162522 ($1136833) 030
A-6
Econotic and Financial Araiysis for Energy Irvesteents - Egypt EEA 101986
TABLE A-4
For Case ofFI-2-D -ST 14 - HELWAN TEXTILEIPH ( COLLTOR PRICE 30SFT - PRICE OF OIL $30BBL)Assunina Oil Escalation Rate of 20
Saved Value of
CaPital Oerating Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel EreryYear Cost Cost $bl (PbI) Cost Ecuiv Savea Annual Cash Flow Discounted Cash Flow (N91V) IErerey Cost Currer $ 4 8 10 12
Pcousition $142995 I Tr2rsport $0 1 Constrtio s I Intercorrecto $01 Total $14995 $420 $3000 0 $0SO58 $1740 $150415 (148675) 3514375) ($148675) ($143675) ($148675)
$0 $60C 220 303 $25 0 $3121 0 5 34 506 9 2$0 348 $10862 50 $8 1 9 ($ 4 0 85M) ($ 1 4 11 4 8) ( S 141e280$25X) $342 ($133146) ($133937) ($134391)) ( $ 141 41 7 1
4 (3134767)$0 $2520 $31845 $0 2520 $347 0 0
$0 348 $11079 S2520 $8559 ($125537)$0 346 $1301 $2 (127202) ($127961) ($128675)0 2520 $3312
520 5781 ($118032) ($120748) ($121963) ($123095)7 0 $0 348 $111527 S2-0so S2520 $3378 $3007 ($110629) (114618)
850 0 (116371) ($117984)so 348 51275752520 $3446 0 $0 348
S2520 $9237 ($103329) ($108797) (111157) (113304)$I992 $2520 $9472 (39613) ($103270) ($106296) ($109020)$0 $2520 $35 1510 0$0 $2520 $3585 0 s0 348 $12232 S2520 $9712 ($89034 (598(023)11 $0 348 S2477 ($01765 (3105097)$0 $2 500 S 521t0 $9957 ($5 039)$3657 0 0 (33042 ($97543) ($101507)348 $12726 S252012 0 $ 2520 $53730
$10206 ($7E144) ($88315) (1193608) (S98220)0 $0 348 $12981 $25 $10461 ($S3 3h8)14
52520 (55823) ($89941) ($95213)$0 $2520 $3881 510720 (61 652)0 ($79571) ($86525)s0 348 $13505 ($92461)I5 $0 $2520 $10985 (555055)52520 $3958 0 ($75532 (583343) (89944)s0 348 $1377516 SO S2520 S511255 ($4e5) (571700)$2520 $4038 0 ($0379) (387641)$0 348 51405117 $0 $2520 $4118 0
S2520 $11531 ($4 153 ($68065) ($77 61) ($85534)s0 348 $14332 $218 -0 $11812$0 $2520 (35846) (364617) (575048)$4201 0 ($83607)19 348 $141619 S2520$0
s0 $1209 (59635$2520 $4285 ($61347) ($72650 ($81845$0 348 $1491120 $0 $2520 $2520 $12331 ($23519) ($58247)$4370 0 ($70426) ($80234)$0 348 $15209 $252021 (36300Y $2520 54458 0 $0 12689 ($174 ) ($55306) ($68351) ($78761)348 $15513 (53780) $19293 ($8691) ($51167) ($65484) (76761)
$143695 S5m0 0 so 7018 $260478 $194515 $65963
A-7
TABLE A-4 (Contd) ASSUMPTIONS TABLE BENEFIT-COT3 TABLE (Calculated)
Economic and Financial Aralysis for Energy Investments -- Egypt EEA 1019166
Caoital Costs Benefit Pararmeters Internal Rate of Return 339
Acquisition $149995 Price of Oil $3000 bbl (yr 1) Transportation $0 Oil Escalat L(Wvear Disc PV of PV of BC
Construct ior $0 Rate Benefits Costs NPV Ratio Interconnectior $0 Enrgy Savrias 348 bblvear
Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 S260478 $19455 $65963 134 TOTAL (Cao) $149995 2 $210540 $187381 S23159 112
4 $173097 $118787 ($8691) 095 Construct Time 10 months 6 $144614 $177355 ($32741) 382
8 $122638 $173805 1167 071 Operating and Normal Maintenance Costs 10 $105449 $170933 ($65464 062
11 $98253 $169701 ($71448) 058 Oerating Cost $2520 year 12 $91824 $168585 ($76761) 054
Operating Lifetime 21 years 13 $86064 $167571 ($81507) 051 14 $80885 $166647 ($85761) 049
Major Equipment RepairReDlacement 15 $76217 $165804 ($89587) 046 16 $71995 $165032 ($93037) 044
Replace Cost ($6300)period 18 $64685 $163674 ($98989) 040 Replace Period 20 years 23 $58607 $162522 ($103915) 036
A-8
Ecromic and Fna-ia Aaysis for Ene-v investmerts - E yvt EEP shyi(I195
TABLE A-5
For ie ofFIELD TEST 44 - H-LWA-4 TEXTILEi C E-TO PR CE $305 FT - PRIZE OF OIL $35BBL) Assurjc Oil Escalation PR-e of 20
Saved Vaiue cfa-tal Ooeratlr_ Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel Ererv a eO Anual poundan Flow Discounted Cash Flow (NPV) i = Year r st cost SPbl (bbl) [cst Eciv Errgv Cost Currert $ 4 8 10 12
I SI auxsiticr 1433
1 Trarsoort $0
EorstrLZt cr $0 SI-tercorrezt ior $0
Total $143 995 $420 $3500 0 so 58 $2030 S15-415 ($145385) (4148385) ($148385) (M142335) ($1483351$0 $2520 $3570 0 $0 348 $1424 $2520 $3904 ($138862) ($133215) ($39382) (13543)Sto S2520 $3041 0 $1 348 51-672 $520 $10(152W20476) ($130511) (S130992) ($131443)4 $1 $2523 $3714 0 S0 348 226 $2520 $10406 ($12C226) ($122251) ($23174 ($124043)o$0 2520 $3789 0 $ 34B $12184 52520 $10664 t$111I10) ($114413) ($115890) ($27266)
6 s0 $2520 $3864 0 $0 348 t53448 $252n 10928 (S102128) ($106975) (3109105) ($111065)70 $2520 $3942 0 s0 348 $13717 12520 S111137 ($93279) ($99 920) ($102785) ($10- 392)5 $0 $2520 $4020 0 $0 348 $13231 $250 $S1471 ($845 2) ($93226) ($33898) (M100204)9 VI $2520 $4101 0 so 348 $14271 S520 $11751 (175976) ($86878) ($91416) ($3f458)
10 $0 $2520 $4183 0 $0 348 $14556 $2520 $12036 ($67520) ($80E5) ($86312) ($11117)11 s0 $2520 42G 0 $0 348 $14647 $2520 1123227 (S52192) ($75147) ( 8155) ($7148)12 $ 0 $4352 0 so 348 $15144 $2520 $12624 ($5- 931) ($69732) ($77134) ($83519)13 $0 $2520 $4439 0 so 348 $15447 $2 0 $12927 ($42917) ($64599) ($73015) (W8320)14 $0 $ 50 $4528 0 $0 348 $I-755 $2520 S1323- ($34938) ($53732) ($69181) ($77168)15 SO $2520 $4618 (1 $0 348 $16071 $2520 $13551 ($27142) (S55118) ($5613) ($7439516 t0 $2520 $4711 0 $0 348 $16333 $250 $13873 ($1 439) ($50745) ($62232) ($71860)17 $0 $2520 $4805 0 $0 348 $16721 $2120 $14201 ($I1657) ($4660) ($59201) ($G9544)18 $0 $25200 $4901 0 so 348 $17055 $250 $14535 ($4396) (02672) ($5632) ($67427)19 $0 $2520 $4999 0 $0 348 $17396 $2520 $14876 $2948 ($33949) ($53650) ($65492)20 $0 $2520 $5093 21
0 $0 348 $17744 $3520 $15224 $10174 ($35421) ($51161) ($3725)($6300) $2520 $5201 0 $0 348 $18099 ($3780) $21879 $20159 ($30727) ($47909) ($61457)
$143695 $50820 0 $0 7018 $303891 $194515 $103376
A-9
TABLE A-5 (Contd)ASSUMPTIONS TABLE ENEFIT-COSTS TABLE (Calculated)
Economic and Financiai Analysis for Erergy Investments -- Egyot EEA 10965
Capital Costs Benefit Parameters Internai Rate of Return 534
Acquisition $149995 Price of Oil $35K0 bbl (yr 1) Transport tior $0 Oil Escalat 20vear Disc PV of FV of PCConstruction $0 Rate Benefits Costs tPV Ratio
Interconnectior $0 Enrgy Savns 342 bblyear ==-- -Fuel Use 0 bblvear 0 $303531 $154515 $103376 156
TOTAL (Cap) $149995 2 $245630 $187331 $58249 3
4 $i20 46 $181787 20159 i11Construct Time 10 months 6 $163716 $177355 ($8639) 095 8 $143078 $173805 ($30727) 082
Operating and Normal Maintenance Costs 10 $123024 $170933 ($47909) 072 11 S114628 $169701 ($55 073) 068
Operating Cost $2520 year 12 $107128 $165585 ($61457) 064 Operating Lifetime 21 years $l40810 $167571 ($67163) 060
14 $94366 $166647 ($72281) 057Major Equipment RepairReolacement 15 $82920 $165804 ($76864) 054
16 $83994 $165032 ($81038) 051Replace Cost ($6300)period 18 $75465 $163674 $88-08) 046
Replace Period 20 years 2 $68375 $162522 ($94147) 042A- 10
Eccricmi ane Finarcial AnalysiT fo Energy trvest-ents -- Ev-t EEA 101215
TAlKE A-5
For Case ofFiED TEST 04 - HELWPN TEXTIL=IPH (COLLECTD PRICE $3SFT- PRICE as OIL $40BBL) Ass mir Oil Esralatior Rate of 20
Savet Yait- ofCaoital ODerating Ccst of Oil Fuel bse Fuel Energy Saved fnrnal [a- Flch Liscounted Cash Flow (NPV) i = Year Cost Cost $bl (Bbi) CLst Ecit1 Energy Ccst C-rert$ 4 8 10 12
I Acc-ist on $142995 I -ras)ort $0 1 cnstr t o $0
I te-crrezt icr $0 Total $14995 $420 $400N 0 $0 58 $2320 $15045 (S143C135 ($14209) ($143095) ($142035) ($148095)S) $220 $4080 0 so78 ($138f6) ($137282) ($137478) ($137663)
$0 $2520 $4162 r $0 348 $1442 $250 $192 ($125806) ($127026) (M27592) ($128132)4 so 12120 $4245 0 s0 348 $14 77 S25K0 V2252 ($114914) ($117300) (1115337) ($119411)soS0 2 $43310s _$0 25 $330 0 1-7j(1147 0 ($04188)6 $0 $2520 $4416
$0 348 $15$7 525 $12547 ($108077) ($109817) ($111437)0 $0 348 s15 $252 $12849 ($33627) ($93322) ($1083S) ($104146)7 so $2 520 $4505 0 V) 348 $ 676 S21520 $13156 ($83230) ($31042) ($94412) ($97481)
8 $0 $2520 $4595 0 $0 348 $15 9 o 2520 S13470 ($72934) ($83 182) ($57500) ($9388)9 $0 $252) $4687 Q $0 348 $I309 $2520 $3 789 ($62918) $75732) ($31067) ($85818)10 $0 $2520 $4780 0 $0 348 $6631 5 2520 $14116 ($53001) ($68671) ($75081) ($0728)11 $0 $2520 $4676 0 $0 348 $1696 $520 $14448 ($43240) ($61979) ($69510) ($76076)12 $0 $2520 $4973 0 $0 348 $17308 $2520 $14788 ($33634) ($55636) ($64327) ($71825)13 $0 $2520 73 0 $0 348 $17654 $2520 $15134 ($24181) ($49626) ($59505) ($67940) 14 $0 $2520 $5174 0 $0 348 $18 007 S250 $5487 ($14880) ($43932) ($55019) ($64391)15 $0 $2520 $5278 0 $0 348 $ P367 $2 520 $15847 ($572-3) ($38537) ($50646) (55148)
$0 $220 $538316 0 $0 348 $18734 $25032 ($33425) ( 5) (58186)17 s $2520 $549 0 $0 348 $191$2 250 $I5 9 $12 131 ($328583) ($43354) ($55480)18 $0 $2520 $5601 C $0 348 $19491 $2520 $IE971 $20844 ($23996) ($39997) ($53008)19 $0 $2520 $5713 so 348 $19881 $2520 $173C1 $39414 ($19651) ($36874) ($50751)20 $0 $2520 $5827 (t $0 348 $20273 $2520 $17759 $37843 ($15536) ($33370) ($48689)21 ($6 300) $2520 $5944 $0 348 $20684 ($3780) $24 A64 $49 008 ($10288) ($30334) ($46153)
$143695 $50820 0 $0 7018 $347 304 $194515 $152789A-1 1
TABLE A-6 (Contd)ASSUMPTIONS TABLE BEIEF7-COSTS TABLE (Calculated)
Ecoroic nj Firancial Analysis for Energy Investmerts - Egypt EEA 10195G
azitai Costs Benefit Parameters internal Rate of eturr 714
Acuisition $149995 Price of Oil $400 bbl (yr 1)Transportat ior so Oil Escalat 20year Disc PV of PV of BCConstruction so Rate Benefits Cost- NPV RatioInterconnection $0 Enrgy SavTgs 348 bbyear ==== =-shy
--- Fuel Use 0 bbear 0 $347304 $194515 $152 789 179TOTAL (Ca ) $149 95 2 $28D720 $187381 $93359 150
4 230796 $181787 $49008 127Construct Time 10 months 6 $192818 $177355 V15463 109 8 $163517 $173 805 ($10288) 094Ooerating and Norwal Maintenance Costs 10 $140599 $170933 ($30334) 08211 $13004 $169701 $33698) 077
fteratiri$ Cost 12) $122432 $168585 ($46153) 073Ooeratirn Lifetime 21 years 13 $1i 751 $167571 ($52819) 068
Major Equi~oent ReoairReplacesent 14 $07847 $166647 ($58800) 06515 $10i622 5165804 ($64181) 061
16 $95993 $165032 ($69 039) 058Replace Cost ($6300)period 18 $86246 $163674 ($77428) 053Replace Period 20 years A12 20 $78143 $162522 ($84379) 048
ccz- a Firaca Araiysi- for Erergy IrvestL-rrts -- Ecyrt EC 01)83
TAP-LE P-7
For Case ofFIZLD TEST 4 - H-LWAN TEXTILEWAS-i i-AT PRESVERY wRIC2 SIS08L)DiL Assumiron Oil Escalation Rate of 20
Saved ValL- CCaoital DoeratinQ Cost of Oil Fue Used Fuel Erervy save kriual Cash Flow Discourted Cash Flow (NPV) 3 i =Yea- Cost Cost $b1 (Bbl) Cost Ecuiv Ererzv Cet Currert $ 4 8 10 12
1 Trar-s $0ort 1orstr-t lor $0
I I t e ronez t i m S-1 $735 $833 $Q500 C 0 1341 $27 62 53851 ($542231) (S542231) (S542231) (S542231) ($542231)Sc 53 S530 0 so 11045 $1ES034 11359 S76755- 0o62o) ($356235) (S93830) ($401450)SO $I1359 $15S1 $0 11048 S172415 jeuro $113-1S (3241715) ($252156) 3273 011353 V S 457 ($-=766) -4 to 259 $1592 0 iO 11045 $173863 1353 S164504 ($35471) ($127567) (142M1) ($15556)
Q S11359 $1624 0 $0 (148 17 I S11359 S63 -- $4 155 (340ampG) ($27 430) ($49185)6 11353 -016 U $0 11045 $182136 $12353 2171609 $183205 S12728 73126 1421917 $0 $11359 $1669 0 $0 14048 $186623 $S 353 i75269 $32772 $=223177 $173060 $136987$1125 $173 0 $0 11048 $536r $-53 S173001 $46 74S 3276-3 $263916 $2153S0 S111359 $1757 0 $ 11048 S194167 $13f $182808 S59735 $426389 5355 198 $29179210 $0 $1793 0 S0 11043 S1930L $3 $15 3 72H492 513781 $434373 S353115110 $11359 $128 0 S 1 $11048( I $190653 $357 30 $608090 $57 878 S420500 S0 $1365 0 $0 11048 $HS052 1-3 $134633 $383753 359159 $57617 $47646313 v0 $11353 $1902 0 $0 11043 S210173 $1- $193314 $1107338 $770542 $133465 1527500l$0 $11353 $1940 0 $0 11048 $214376 $1153 $203017 $223E665 $845191 $$5272 $574 0651373 s53$0 11048 1213664 $11359 $2737 $1349578 $915771 $7-2862 $61644516 $0 359 $2019 0 $ 11043 S223077 $11359 $211678 $1467116 $382501 $803536 $65511817 $ 511 353 $2059 0 $0 11049 $227498 S595 $216133 $1582514 $1045583 $850574 $5037518 1 1A3 S2100 0$0 11048 122C48 $1135 $2-20683 $1695810 $1105235 $894236 $7251719 $0 $11359 S2142 0 $0 11048 $236689 $11359 $S25330 $1807033 $1161623 $934764 $75181920 S0 $11359 12185 0 0 11048 $241423 $11353 $230064 $1316237 $1214932 1372331 $778531
21 $0 $11359 $2229 0 $0 11048 $246251 $1135 $234832 $202349 $1265328 1007296 $802881
$5679558 $Zgt9073 0 $0 222801 $0134711 $797031 $3337680
A-13
ASTYPTINS TABLE TABLE A-7 (Contd) BEEIT-rOT TAEPLE (Calculated)
Economic and Financial Analysis for Energy Investsents - Egypt EEA 10196
Capital Costs Benefit Faraineters interral Rate of Return 3101
Acquisitiorn $567952 Price of Oil 1500 bbl (yr 1) Trarsportatior $0 Oil Escalat 20year Disc PV of FVof BC
Corstruct ior $0 Rate Benefits Costs lrv Ratio
Irterconrection $0 Enrgy Sar_as 1104 bblyear -
--- ------ Fue Use 0 bbiyear 0 $41-4711 $77031 $3337680 519 TOTAL (Ca) $H67952 2 $34202-0 S755587 $2586433 442
4 t2747662 $72424 $2023439 379 Construct Time 10 morths 6 $2235 532 $700 138 $LJj5394 328
8$1946703 $68137G $1265328 286
Ooeratina and Normal Mairtenance Costs 10 $1673853 $666557 $1007296 251
11 $55962n $660307 $399314 236
Oerating Cost $11359 year 12 $1457578 $654697 $802881 223
Operating Lifetime 21 years 13 $136G 136 $64- 645 $716491 210 14 $1283$40 $645083 $638857 199
Major Equipment PeoairReplacemert 15 $1209831 $640951 $568880 189 16 $1142817 $37197 $505620 179
Replace Cost $0 period 18 $1026777 $630653 $396124 163
Replace Feriod 20 years 20 $930302 $625165 $305137 149
A-14
Econoi an Fnarial alysi for Energy Irve te-pt -- Eryct EEP 10138_
TABLE A-8
For Case cfF7ELD TEST $4 - HE=LWqN TEXTILE4qSTE -_j E[CXERY (PRCE C7 OIL $2013E_) Assurn_ 0i Escaiaticon Rate of 20
Saved Vale cf Capita Doeratn Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel Energy Saved rrual Cash c-w-- Discounted Cash Flow (NOV) i = Yea- Cost Cost Eb (pb]) Ccst Equiv Ererz Cst Currert $ 4 8 10 2
oisi67Ac s tr
rarExrt $0 rorstrztio sc
IIrerccrr_tor $0 7 $200Y 0 C1841 1687Tctai$78K S 98 1 )$53C3 ) 315Z3 02) ($5330251 ($533025) ($533015)2 v $11355 $ 04Q 0 $0 11048 t225379 $1153 $214020 (327235) (S-34858) ($338461) ($341935)3 $0 $11353 $08i C $0 11048 $-23857 $1135 1-258 ($125195) (S147505) ($157B59) (167726)
4 $0 $1135 $21 22 0 $0 11048 $234465 $11359 $223126 $73163 $23619 $3778 (18910) $0 fI1-- $21E5 0 $0) 11048 $29174 $353 $227815 $26790 $197070 $r5 379 $125S71E $0 $13 2 2 083 0 so 11048 S2433K8 S1352 5-3 $459080 1355 373 $303805 $267854
7 $0 611355 $252 C $1) 11048 $243K7 $59 $27478 $4762 $505024 $-855 53881678 $ $1135 $227 0 $0 11048 $2K2814 353 -142455 $33007 $646494 $568272 $4978429 $1 35 $2343 (1 $0 11046 $253 83 $111359 s47 531 $1011876 $780227 $623747 $59781510 $0 $11359 $I39 0 $0 11048 $26068 $135 $252703 $1183426 $906644 $790920 $68894411 soS 1359 $2438 0 s0 l048 $2634 S1 359 S57990 $1363714 $1026144 3890387S77201012 $0 $11359 $2487 0 s0 11048 $274736 $353 $263377 $1534793 $1139102 $982699 $84772513 $0 S11259$2535 0 $0 11048 $280231 $11359 $268872 i1702736 $1245874 $1068389 $91673814 $0 $11359 $2587 C0 $0 11046 $285835 $1359 $274476 $1867573 $1346733 $1147876 $97364015 so $11-359 $2629 0 s 11048 $291552 $i135 S28193 12023383 $1442193 $1221659 $103697316 $0 S1359 $2632 0 $0 11048 1237383 S353 $22-024 $2188202 $1532360 $1290131 $108922917 $ 111359 $2746 ( s0 11048 $303331 $11359 $291972 $234408 $1617584 11253673 $113885618 $0 $11359 $2800 0 $0 11048 $303-97 $115 $298038 $2497093 $1698134 $1412638 $118026419 $0 $11359 $2856 0 $0 11048 $315585 11359 $304226 $2G47268 $1774267 $1467356 $1219 8520 $0 $11359 $2914 0 $0 11048 $321897 $11359 $310538 $2794663 $1846222 $518131 $125588121 $0 $11359 $2972 0 $0 11048 $328335 $11359 $316976 $2939326 $191422 $565248 $1288740
$567958 $229073 0 $0 222801 i5512948 $797031 $4715917
A-15
P7UrSPTIONS TABLE TABLE A-8 (Contd) EtEFIT-CSTS TABLE (Calculated)
Ecoroic ard irarcial Analysis for Energy Investments -- Egypt EEA 1019E6
apital Ccsts Benefit Parareters Irterral Rate of Return 4220
Acquisition $567958 Transportation $0
Construct ior $0 Irtercor rectior $0
Price of Oil Oil Escalat
Enrgy Savrgs
$2000 bbl (yr 1) 20year
11048 bblyear
Disc
Rate
----
PV of erefits
PV of
Costs NPV
BC
Ratio
TOTPL (Cap) $567958 Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 J55948
2$4456027 $797031 $75587
$4715917 $3 700440
6 2 590
Construct Time 10 corths 4$3E 3550 6$3060 709
$724224 $700 138
$2939326 $2 360571
506 437
Operating and Normal Maintenance Costs 8$2595604 1(V$2231804
$681376 $666557
$1914229 $1565248
381 335
Operating Cost Operating Lifetime
$11359 iyear 21 years
11 $2079494 12 $1343437 13 T1821515
$660307 $654697 $649645
$1419187 $1288740 $1171869
315 297 280
Major Equipment RepairReplacement 14 $1711920 15 $1613108
$645083 $640951
$1066837 $972157
265 252
Replace Cost $0 period 16 $1523756 18 $1369035
$637197 $630653
$886559 $738382
239 217
Replace Period 20 years 20 $1240402 $625165 $615238 198
A-16
Eccw= ar -narzia Pnav=_is fcr Erergy Irvestrrent_ -- Egypt EEC 101
P= A-9
or Case of2IED TEST 4 - HELPAN TEXTIEN3TE HEAT -CDOERY (PC- U BBL- ----Assmir Cil Escalation Rate of 20
SaVEdt C~famta eratirg Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel Energy Saved Annal Fasn Flow Discounted Cash Flow (UOV 8 i = lea- Cost Cost $Pb (8b1) Cost Ec-jiv Energy Cost Crrert I 4 8 10 12
I Transocrt corst rutr $7
rterornazticota HS 833 7 1841 $4S 73 -3951 C$52818 (WBIB) ($52381 1 (3523818) ($53218)SC 51133 $20 0 048 $22172 U3 $27365 ($263851 1(2731480) (278031) ($262421)$0 $11359 $2601 0 $0 11042 7=5 $12$3 5275 999 (-S74) (368Z5) 333343900253 ( 15)0 111049 ( $359 _51 747 $241737 $I82 805 $161748 5131462Q 07C 11043 S2531558 11259 12379 $477 s46 $323206 $35188 $32 27$0 $11-_ $2760 0 1n 11043 $304 94 $11 3 3 24E7--555 $722 55 $5S3 Mf $5404 - $$487517$7 $-~5 $2315 0 11048 $712 1353 $233 53 5 872 $786 871 $709649 $639347$ $1 5282 0 $0 14 391141292 0 IK93
656f $8662 S7777253SiZ bull0 $312 5 $1426427 T113465 $10122372 9 3 39 $ 35- $2983 0 $ 145 $33035 1 3 3 726 $165035 $12350M S1147467 $108774$C $135 $304711 0 S0 11046 $3365pound 5ii5 $325 22712 $)
187C 129t44419- $1272895 SI 2351$- $3103 C S 113 $34$2 - 132206 $20S53 S1556613 11353280 $ PIE98c13 3 S317 0 v 1 5$143 250 $11159 $3352 $2237533 I 72120 $47274 $1305375SO 51253 $2340 s0 104 S3 $184840-
0 SO 11041 $364 $11353 5081 3709183 519E861E $262) 456 S1457500 15 Ss35-2 $3293
3 17294 $1 9 $ 9-- $ 293 $157473 $138525-5
16 V0 $1353 $3365 0 s 1I1Ns -3717 21f5 $230328917 - $ 7C 1270 2082220 $776726 $1523340$7 $II35 $34 32 0 $0 1104c8 $37312 $11 $372 4 $3105663 $2183578 $156771 1533718 S 1-13 $35 1 0 so 1048 $7332377 t1931039 $1638010$22-103419 $0 $11353 $3571 0 $0 11048 $3544S2 $135q Q83123 $3487437 $2385910 $M947 $168783120 $0 $1135q $364( $0 11048 $40-37 $1135 $391212 $3673088 $2477512 $2053881 $1733230$0 $11359 $3715 021 $9 11048 $40419 $113553 $399060 $3855214 $2563130 $2123 19 $1774600
$567 9S3 $--3073 0$0 M 801 $6831186 $737031 $6034154
A-17
SUPTIONS TABLE TABLE A-9 (Contd) EENPT-OET TAKE (Caiculated)
Ecoc an Firarzial Palysis for Energy Investments - Egypt EEA 1l6
Caits Co=ts Berefit Parameters Irterrz2 Rate R~Return 5368
Acquisition $567958 trice of Oil $250 i-b (yr I) Tarsprcrtator
Constructior
Interconnectior
$0
$0
so
Oii Esalat
Enrgy Savnps
2 0vear
11042 bblyear
Disc
Rate
V Cf
PerEfits
V of
Costs -IV
FC
Ratio
------------TOTP (ap 57959
Fuel Use 0 bl1year 0 $f)83 33
$797031 75537
1609454 $481444E
865 737
Construct Tire 10 rnortns 4 14573 437 6 $332f 886
$724224Q13855214 $700138 $S-125748
632 546
OperatinL and Ncrmal MaIntenarce Costs 3- L 5)5 1 $27K755
$ES376 $666557
5t 130 $2123199
475 419
Ooerating Cost
OperatiTrg LifetiMe
$1359 year
21 years
1 if25H37 2 $24229
3 S2276893
$660307 G 5o637
$649645
$5939081 $1774600
16-2724
394 371
350
Major Equipment RepaiReplacemert bull~~l i4$2239005 -2 01S32
$64508 $14948162051 375435$640 1 $ 4 5
3 2 315
Replace Cost
Replace Period
$0 period
20 years
16 $1X4 695 18 S1711294
20N $1 550 503
$637197 $1267498 $530652 $1080641
$625165 $925338
299 271
248
A-18
Econr- ard Fra--a haavsi fcr Er=rv investerts -- Ecyzt E
For Case ofFELD TEST 4 - HELWANTEXTILES3TE -9T REZOVERY (PCE C-O 3IBiL) PssuTir~g Oil Escalation Rate c 20
Year Capital
Cost Ooeratir
Cost Cost cf Oil
$lBbl Fuel Used
(Ebl) Fuel Cost
Saved Erergy Eauiv
ValS cf Saved
Enercy Pnral
Cost Ls iCh Crrert 1
Di-cousteJ 4
Cash Flow 8
(NPV) i 10
=
12
I P~uis~xor~1567958 Transvort $0
1 cntrct mc- 1Irte-ccrret ic
a1s
4
6
Q$ 11
12 13
14 5
16
17
18
19
20 21
$
to 11Z so 1353 C 1-S s$o $1
$0 t13
$0 $i359 $0 $
S 11135-
3 $0 $11359
$0 $1359 $ $-353
$0 I353 0 $ 111359 $0 111359
so S11359 SC $11359
$ $11359
$0 $11359 $0 $11359
$4so $ $3121 $3164
824
$3312
$3378
$3445 $3515
$3657 37730
S33(
$138 $3958 $4033
$4118
$4201
$4285 $4370 5445
(1 0
C
0
0
C00 0
0 0
0 0
0 0 C
0
0
0
0 0
$0 $0 $0
$0
$0
$0
SCso $0
$-$0
$0 $0
$0 $0 s0
$0
so
$0 $0 $0
184 1104 11048 11048
1104S
11048
110 3
11048110 I 8
1(148 11048
11049 11048
11049 11048 11046
11048
11048
11048
11048 11048
S5524C
$338069 S344831 t3727
$3537S
$ 37
$37-
t33-7 2$38 3 $383335
$3161 $4(402
$412104 $42034S
$423753 $47328 $445075
$454995
$464056
$473378
$482845 $492502
$563851
S11355 $11359 S11355
5
11135
$1352
11355s
115335
$1359 $11359
$113 $112-59 $11353
$11353
$11353
$11359 $11359 $11359
11) ($514611
S2 710 33471 $1784 $340368 $410431 S$34740 1 $7 392 IK3457 $333829
i351390$123484
-255 $15= 3 $11353$27976 $1840978 S13-36384743 $2111293
9 $3665 $2376563
$40$745 1636279 $40S987 $2 832331 $417394 $2142007 42 99 $338934
$434716 $6Sl376
$443637 $387238 $4E2 737 14093661 $452019 $4327726 $471486 $4155514 $481143 $4771101
($51461
$73796 $343991
5539 342
$84661
$1063717
S284236 $1487914
$680371 S1862251
$2034124 $21955326
$23--0 013 $2495039 $262079
$2761573
$2883934
$2999553
S3103802 $3212031
($54611
$5-7994 $313717
$50998
$77162
$975443
$164984 $134)846
$504014 $165540A
$1795862 $1926178
$2047082 $2159253 $226-3321
$2359869
$2 449 441 $2532539 $2609631 $2681150
($514611)
06
$42935 $285202
$S505933
$707180
$80527
$57603 $1209862 $1348604 $1475031
$1590 236 $1695213
$79)359 $1878030 $1957451
$2029818
$2095757
$2155838
$2210580 $2260459
$567958 $229073 0 $0 222801 $8 269423 $797031 $7472391
A-19
TABLE A-10 (Contd) ASSUMPTIONS TABLE EENEFIT- ST TABLE (Calculated)
Econoraic are Fin=-ial alycsis for Energy Investments - Egypt EA 101965
iaital ccsts Bereifit Parameters internal Rate of Peturr SE55
Acquisition $H67353 Price of Oil $3000 bbl (yr 1) Transportatio $0 Oil Escalat 20year Disc PV of PV of BIC Constructior $0 Rate Benefits Costs NPV Ratio
Irterconectior $0 Errgy Savncs 11048 bblyear ---shy=-- Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 $8263423 $797031 $7472391 1038
TOTAL (Cap $79-53 24$6684040 $755587 $592Or 453 S85
4$542E325 $724224 $4771101 753Construct Time 10 months 6$459063 $700138 $3890925 656 8$3 893 406 $681376 $322 031 5 71
Operating and Normal Mainterance Costs 10 $2347706 $666557 $2681I0 502 - 11 $3119241 $660307 $3458934 472
Operating Cost $1359 year 12 $2915155 $654697 $2260459 445 Operating Lifetime 21 years 3 $_73 272 $64364Z $2081627 421
14 $2567880 $645082 $1922796 398Major Equipment RepairReplacemient 15 $2419662 $640951 $1778712 378
16 $228-634 $637197 $1648437 359 Replace Cost $0 period 18 $2053553 $630653 $1422900 326
Replace Period 20 years A-20 20 $1860603 $625165 $1235439 298
poundcenrzzc ar Firarial Analysis fcr Energy irnvesttterts -- EZyt pound2~ 10g88
TABLE A-Il
For Case of-EL TEST 4 - ELqN E LEA ATEP2ERy -E-D701 $35KL) Assumir Oil Escalaticn Rate cf 20
Savet- Vaiue cflaza 2eratn Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel Ererpy Saved Arnual Can_ Flow Discourtee Cas Flow (NV) i =Yea Cost Cost $pbl (Ebl) Cost Eauiv Enercy Ezt C-rrert $ 8 10 12 - -cuisittor -567-
Trarsocr $
crstrttir Irterznr or $0
7t Z-=7s5 3 $3Z0I 0 $0 1841 $amp4447 $59652 $505 405) ($-5405) ($505 405) (50540)5 ($55405$0 $11359 t3E70 so 1048 $34414 $11359 $353055 ($137083) ($I724) 173) ($16331)$1 $1359 $940 $ 1048 $4(2 32 $11353 $39C 76543 1224 $16444S $HE 92 $1482664 $0 $11359 $3714E Q $0 11043 359 89$41(2348 $1139 52 8 $5068 SSC I217 $4 5 6 7so TIIM $3789 Q V1 11043 $418E5f $11359 S$4)7 IgS 76 $4651687 $432258$927 138 $300478 $7432 807 $6i9103g
$0 $1359 $3864 0 $0 11048 $42S 98 $415527m3 833 $65704 11 C V001841o$0 1135g $3942 0 $0 11048 $435464 $11359 $$424105 $1603881 $135-564 124238 $1141707$ - $420 0 $0 1104-8 $4174 s3523 $43281- $232784 $1503107 $h63340 $1337491$0 $11359 $4101 0 $0 11048 s4_z_c- $ -9 S 4441-93$22E 52 $841743 $1S89396 $15158685$0 Sn359 $4183I 0 50 11049 $4621E $I353 $450753 $2572227 $206723 $1860582 $1878434 0 $11359 $4266 0 so 11048 $471-8 $125912 $46C 12 $22-987 $2280305 $2037912 $182S542t $1-9 43520 2
$0 11048 $48075 $1359 $4E9423 $3187919 12451E35 $2202444 $i961492$ $1139 $4439 0 $0 1104S $49C404 $11159 $479 4- $3437129 $2671870 $2375023 $2084450$0 S359 $452814 0 $0 11048 $50212 $113515 $483853 $378072 $2851 620 $2495386 S2196483s$ $I359 $4618 0 s0 11048 $51G216 $11359 $498557 $4065793 $3021462 $22205 V 298 559$- 52 $471116 0 $0 11048 $520420 $1$37 5 150306 1 $4351463 $3181939 $274916 $2391563$1359 $4805 0 $0 11048 $53129 $11359 $51347Q $4628812 13333567 $2882967 $247629 18 $0 S1359 $4901 0 $0 11048 $541445 S11359 $530086 $4900944 $347583K $2S7842 $255350319 so $11353 $4993 0 so 11048 S=52274 $11359 S540915 $5167955 $3612197 $3065131 $2L3644$0 si359 $509920 0 $0 11048 $530 $1135921 $551961 $5429939 $3740093 $315381 $2687930$0 $11359 $5201 0 so 11048 $574586 $11359 $563227 $56869B9 $3850932 $3239101 $2746318
$567958 $229073 0$0 2L801 $9647660 $797031 $8850629
A-21
SSUmOTIO3 TAlBLE TABLE A-lI (Contd)
PNEFT-COSTS TALE (Calculated)
Economic and Fir ancia Analysis fc-Energy Investments -- Egypt EEA I0P386
Calita costs Penefit arazeters
$cuistion$Z723 Price of Oil $ h500bb (yr 1)Trarspcrtation t0 Oii Escalat 20year Corstructcr $0
Irtercornection $0 Enray Savs 11048 bblyear -- - Fuel Use 0 bblyear
TOTAL (Cap) $5 57 8
Construct Time 10 mnrths
Coeratir ard Normal Maintenance Costs
Ooerating Cost $1135 yEar Operating Lifetime 21 years
MaJor Equipment RepairReplacemert
Replace Cost $0 period Replace Period 20 years
A-22
nterral Rate of Return 7785
Disc PV of PV of Rate Benefits Costs NTV --- _--
V S9647EGO $7-7031 $8850629 N $7793047 $755587 $7042460
4 $E411212 $724224 $568698961S 3S240 $700138 $4656102
8 $454 307 $681376 $3860 93-10 $305657 $666557 $323910111 Q633114 JE0307 $2978 SO3 I E $3401015 $654697 $2746318 I 387650 $S4964c5 $2538005 14 $25860 S645C83 $2350776 15 t- B940 $64051 $2181939
16 $266E 573 $37197 $2029376 18 $2395812 $630653 $1765159 20 $2170704 $625165 $1545539
BIC Ratio
1210 1032
885 75
667 586
551 519 491
464 440
418 380 347
Econoir a-nFinaci AralySi f- Ererzy InvEstments -- 07ptE LE
TP93
For Case ofFIELD TEST 4 - F1-LWA TEXTT -- (nC O= ]L s40PEt) Assuirz Oil Escalation Rate of 20
Saved Value cCaita 29ratir s of C Fuel Used
Fuel Erer y 3ave_- pal Casn Flo^ fLiscured Cash Flc (NPV 2 erCost Cost I Ib) Cost Euiv --ervy Cost Currert 3 4 8 10 12
1 7rans~crt $0
$ Tr O iS - 0 2$0 124 373655 39=851 ( 433193 (14351 ($ 6 1 8 $4 5 1 8931 4968l$ --3 $4020 0 VI 11048 $45C 3SI23 $42 2S W3698) ($33473 (35744) ($103877)0 1_3 0 so4152 1248 453 774 5 $34085amp Q95 07$0 443415 $ S273847 553596= S24 45 $0 1048 $45-95 $11359 $4Z7E $74770 SS5362 517656 573314S0 C 5 $4330 0 $0 11048 $47-34c 31259 $425339 $114f884 $$001513 5936616 $8760940 $59 $44E 0 $0 11048 4$10 1253 $47_55_9 1532579 13-2950 1232520 11146505
- c $S450- 0 sO N04E 147574 i $4263559 13C $1632410 $507021 $392887$10 $11259 14535 0 $0 11042 $5077 $ 3~5$1 268$4-3 $2700043 121 978 $176169G $167374I 135 $4627 0 so Ns04 1577S s259 S2670080 9f5282o 1 7 14W 2 I $19337945 5182903$478S 0 $0 043 $1s53 S52776 13033160 12454038 $2217103 20026411 9 $47 0 014876$S-E_ 4 1104--20 = 3 5pound 7 07$14800803 0O $3269358o$0 c 359 S 3 7 $2442 421 $217805$
s2 37115$5171 $0s14 1 S355 $E74 11048 S -511113-f 1743 102 $4C1L 27 $13147202 $2783 987 $24736230 $0 114048 517 311 HI9 S56312 $4418436 S13357 $294628332217 12602037I5 $0 $1353 $1z Sf 312$7578 0 $0 11048 $I 319 $439 _7$3$527404 $59 -40$7745 $278 gO $ 43$4743604 $3547884 $30998428 $2719087$0 $I Ec $383 016 $0 11048 $5547ES v11255 $H62407 S5072550 $3 799 $323E511 12825674$11359 $549 0 S0 1048 SE s 311 50 $ 9-25562U $2 2 718 $O $1-253 $5 0 $0 11048 61875 1i3 $470 8 40693133 1482244 20120715 $0 135I $5713 0 so 11043 $5217 3 77$113 9 775 $470 $2248 4 01 7$30912010 $0 11359 $5 827 0 $0 11048 $642794 $11359 $632435 $S39t367 $4371382 $370130 $3165280
21 $0 $11359 $5944 0 $0 11048 1656570 511359 S645311 6602876 $4509833 $3797052 $3232177
$567953 $ 29073 8970 10 801 511 02-5 $797031 $10228866
A-23
TABLE A-12 (Contd)PSSI PTIONSTAJKE rEnJT-DETS ^2LE(Caiculated)
E~onoma~infncia fcr Erery Investwerts - Egypt EA 1036
LapitE --ts Penefit Parameters ternr ate cf ketur 9060
Pquisition $-57958 Price of CI Trasortaticon $f CiI Escalat
onstructIon $0
iterzorr-ction $0 Ernrgy Savrs ------ Fuel Use
77A ao) $567958
Construct Time 10 months
OpEratirg ar N-rmal Mairterance Ccsts ------
Operating Cost $1355 year Operatirn Lifetime 2 years
Major Eqiprent RepairRezlacement
Replace Cost $0 period Replace Period 20 years
$4K lbb (yr 1) 20year
11043 bbllyear
0 bblyear
Ns PV of PV of Rate eni L-sts NPV
0$11025 397 1797031 $1022666 2 25q3 75E587 $ 156466 4 $7327100 $724-4 $6602876
6 $$121418 $700138 $5421280
e5191203 $68376 $4509833 10 $4463603 $66-57 $377C52 11 $4152988 $G 307 $3498681 12 $3865874 $654697 $3232177 13 13643029 $543645 $2993384
14 $3L423840 $645083 $27875615 S3226217 $6402351 $2585266 16 13047512 $637197 $2410315 18 $2738071 $630653 $2107418 20 $24008 5 $625165 $1855640
BC Ratio
1383 1179
1012
874
762 670
630
594
561
531 503
478 434
397
A-24
-c-nc an Firanzia Pralysisfcr Erergy Irvestrents -- Env t E 0
TALE P--3
Fer Case tfFEI7E3ET4 - FLN TEXTILESCLR PLUS
Assuming Oil Escalafior Rate oF 0
73 T ECCeZRY (PR_5rCF OIL S15BL)
r a
bull
etaIOiertrg
ssost Ccst Of Oi
$I Fe Lse
(E-12 Fuel
Save -Enery Eciv
a L Ef SaveS
Erery ra Ccst
asn Fli CLrrert f
sccunted 4
Cash Floo (NPV) 8 10
i
2
bull
4
5
7
0
1
2
13
14
16
17
is
19 20
21
r S CCrrnst cr $cr
erzcn11 on
Toa7 52 $2313 $ 13279 SC 13279 S t13979 $ $2673
C5r2
$0 $13573
S $13873 $ S$13279 $0 t373 $0 $13 79 $0 $387 $0 $13S79
$0 $1357S
$0Si 3279 $0 513879
$0 $13279
$ $137
0 $13879 $0 $S3879
($E300) $13879
$711653 $279893
V500
$1530 S561
S5592 $1624 $16565
$1689
$1723 $1757
$1733
$1326
$1265
I -
$1140
$1973 $20
S205 $2100
$2142 $2185
$22-29
0 0
0
r)
0
0
r
0
0 0 0
0
0 0 0
0
O$0 189 $28490 $720263 $0 1396 $17453 $13 S7 $0 113SE $177346 t-879 $$C 13 $1803 2a7g $$0 1139 12503 S1387 $0 1396 $183732 7 2 2S 0 13 $192 3 $13879
$0 1 c 9E3 8761 $0 11396 $20 2E3 $3872 $0 1396 $20423 V2 273 $0 11396 $20335 S13873 0 1132H $212542 T2272 $0 11396 $216733 $1387 $0 11396 $221129 $13879
to 1139S $25f2 3 $0 11353 523063 $13873 $0 11396 $234664 $13873 $0 11396 $23357 $13879
$0 11396 $244144 $13879 $0 11396 $249027 13879 $0 11396 $254008 $7579
$0 22819 $4264950 $991546
A-25
(77-773(5691771 1$691776) 164 C ($537432) ($542184)
$ 367 138E872) (M402609) 37524 ($23E944) f$263623) $17 ($90642) ($143 2 73174853 $307 -14 -- 7G 4 ( 8 $173627 $194245 $8774amp
$182477 t33293 $114220 S1 404 $49117 $2-4229 $10 410 s 027 $390 181 $154496 $734291 $490270 $193663 $86Z339 $565474 $202914 $3073 $amp46054 $207250 $1114548 722259
$11amp73 $1236783 $794325f216184 $356823 $862476 t220785 474702 $92921 $22- 478 $590456 $987860
$23)265 $1704121 $1045484 235148 $1815733 $10-971
$24642 $1928200 $1152842
$3273404
(691 776) ($691776)
($545885) ($543491) ($410376) ($417777) ($264512) (532537) (17613) (189767) (9 ) ( 1( $ 53 0 4 -4 ) -$1) $41737 ($53)
$135427 S82491 $22238s $157776 $303138 $M-6440 $373125 $289063 $447755 34o174 $S12410 $398257 $572443 $445753
$S28193 S8066$679935 $528562
$727985 $564576 $772594 $597416
$814010 $27360 $852458 $6546G2 $889088 $680208
TABLE A-13 (Contd) PSc6UY1TTG TAKE 52ZFEI-CSTS TXLE Calculated)
Econo iar narza 9Aais- for ErErgy Investments shy Eypt EZE 1ci35
Capital Ccsts Benefit Parameters Irternal RatE c Return 24953
~ccui i tcr717953 Price of Oil $15Y0 bbl (yr 1) T-ars~crtat ion $0 Oil Escalat 20year Disc tV of V of BC
crstruct ion $0 Rate Benefits Costs NP Ratio Intercornectior $ Enrgy Savrs 11396 L11year
FuE US= 0 bbiyear 0 $4264950 $991546 $3273404 431
TOTPL (Cap)-77953 2 447230 $942ss $2 504m 366 4t $2334211 $301011 $1928200 313
Costruct T 0 mth_ 357 838 $877493 $1490346 270 12110080 $85511 $112842 235
Operatin and Ncrma aintenarce Costs 0 $7 S76 $837483 $883068 0 11 $1608747 $830008 $778739 194
Operatin Cost Oeratirg Lifet1 M1
$_87T year years
2-$502490 13 $1403 168
$823281 $917216
$660203 $9195
183 172
14 $1324383 $311730 $512652 163 Major Equipert ReoairRepiacemert 15 $1247940 $80S 754 $441185 155
16 $1178815 $80222 $37658S 147 Replace Cost ($6300)period 18 $1o9119 $794327 $264792 133
Replace Period 20 years 20 $3959605 $787687 $171918 122
A-26
-- tr- er F-= v fc E-r= 1r tesirt_Egyrt EEP
TqPPLE P-4
F- caecfFlDTST t4 - UEL$Q TEXTILESDLAR PLUS WASTE HET -COVERpY(Pj- OF OIL $S31PL) nssuring Cil Escalatio- Pate c
Ltal Ccst cF Oil Fuel Used savet Va- cCa 0eratin Fuel Er-er SavE Armia Lasn FowDy riscoured Cash Fco (N7V) i vew t cost $b (b) Cost Eciv nert Cost Currert $ 4 810 10 12
ftP ic ro717953 I rarszc-t $0
r r $0|
f7753 $t S2100S23-13 so 1233-7 37 933747 ($S62-202 (23N ($682280)S Z-2) z $11279 M--7
3 2 $12 $Q373 (447205 $47 67-3 t$453t2 ($487110)3173 $DE 3S 2 2712 T 3S1249 t1$2532) ($2Sj731 ($292049 ($30-23)v W 2n UL22 22732
4 0 so 37 7 SE2923 (-2742S) ($27 531 ($146842)$0 1 57 $ 3 H 5 7 8 fit 73 1 2 8 0$2208 0 $0 3S tKj2 H872Q $237763 121 449 1-543 $17901 S6 3$ $1o73 32152 0 so Ins I25 E7 $1373 524796 152334 S373 47 o1l953 12503tq7 $21 0 so ni8 $2E 8( C3973 t715740 521 13 $24792954413 $1 190
0 $ 1279 $2343 0 33 6 5S L3 73 152 ME3 $22726 SSE913 = k S473433C En 1i c SC 2H6 127-ESE $1373 5237506504E52517O3 $71230 S672916 56391 $0 $13379 $2438 0 $0 113H S773-S25 272 4 5 7 $911492 $726E2 $651646I1 $0 S879 $2457 0 SO 3 $322 1372 5251 1143736 $7C702 $SE7144 $72912313 7 =36 s2 5 $1273 $275173 M160612 S113 353 5954024 $7 55514 SO H1079 121E7 0 so 1s3 I234m3 I 73 $2503H0 1772343 $123966 $1036208 S 414415 $ $1o7 $S3 0 $0 11336 C3002 $1 $3K7Z $1372 $St7557 S M37330 A1746$9M 840a $- 2 56 c so 3 1m237i 123287 129 3 MI42 LEE $97E34717 SO $13879 $-740 $0 1296 531S3525
12 7 1387 $2-30 $2 $51637 5 4E97 5 A 2vO 1 ST2 0 0a7 $209 1123S 1314 $13879 1305 264 $241E979 C59 43E 30N IbX3 581Ws19 $0 11387 $2356 0 $0 11336 $3H526 $13879 $311647 $2570817 $1677425 5133377 $111010820 $0 $12879 $2114 0 $0 i13 $33203S $13879 $318157 $2721828 61751146 S415399 $114704821 ($6300) $13879 $272 0 $0 11396 $338677 $7579 $331028 $2872937 $1822182 $1464614 $1181372
$71653 $279893 0$0 M819 S56686) $991546 $4095054
A-27
TABLE A-14 (Contd) 3M-S rET-N7 CSTS TPULZ CalLNated)
Ecobullric anf 7rT a f- Erer Investrents -- E F ay A 1916
Capita Sosts BersEft taraampeters R-ae -eturf 3402
Aczuisitjorn $717953 Trarnscrtatior $0
Price of Oil Oil Escalat
$2000 bbl year
(yr 1) poundai_ PEcf cf BC
Zcnstructior $0 Rate Penefits Costs NOV Ratio ir$tez)rectio
TOTAL tCa ) $717 953
Enrgy Savrs Fuel Use
1129 bblyear 0 bblyear
==shy0$568GG00 2- $4 33257
$954E $342962
$4535 054 $3 534i
574 487
Lo stru 6 Time 10 con-h r1 e-
4$3773943 $357118
E2Z17363
$9S 011 $2 872 937 S877493 $2279625 $S5518 S1 822182
41736 360 313
rPEratino ans Nrmal Maintenance Costs
Oueratirg Cost $13872 year Cpratir Lifetime 21 years
0 S2302104-1-$214493G
2$2004 53 -1S 78330
$5374n9$330008
$S2323 $817216
$464614$131A93
$IE1372 2051674
275 258
243 230
Major Equiprent RepairReplacemernt 14 $17 5843 5 $1G663919
$311730 SS06754
$954113 $7 165
218 206
Replace Cost Replace Period
(N6300)period 20 years
16 $571753 18 $1412159 20 $1279474
$802 22 $794327 $787687
$769524 $617832 $491787
6 178 162
A-28
- ranzcal Analysis fc- Enery vestrent_ - Eynt EE 0
TALE t-E
77 P7 q (NU - C$Ipp Asumzr_ O EscaatorRate cf 0
ot _o-tr o
ct of Oil $1-
Fuel Used (Ebl)
FL Cost
Save Ergy
Ecuiv
a1e e-
Errgy r
ost Ca--ic
rrer $ DisEcurted Cash 4 8
Floh (NPV) 10
P i 12n
I
I
Acuis~tion S177 Trar-pcr T
cnstr=ticr $0 rernct cshy
7S7
-
V I
In
I $1227
t3S7
I27T
2E F - 03
1706Q_
0
0 $0
0S0 1
--shy29 S4748
E $-5
3 2419 122723 $32
I3F 13 33f
$72
137 $187 7 $13879
S2$ (333727-3
7Z73 ($4 707
SZS2 E-I (V454 1 135104E 3$2 4 S3--2S3
($672733)
($41ESE2)
$1743-7$c 271122
(72731
($421-20)
(SIS7723$23000
$2-1152
(S672783
(S4252
S201430)$4E39
$1203
-$ 3
14
IS 7
18 19
20
21
C$$3875
c $ 17
$17573-$$ S 2 73
S $12272
S 10 113273
$0 12E73
V$ 1-73 $0 7 $0 $1327
$0 $13872 V $13873
$0 $13873
(05300) $13879
12760 82
227272
3 $232
$3047
$3108 $317
$3234
$323
t$365 $3432
$3507
13571
$3642
13715
0
C
C J
0 C
0
0 0 0
0
0
0
1
10
$0
$c
so $0
so
$0 $0
$0
$0
$0
$0
336 $314553 1133S $32844 2H t61735
133 1 3S 135G $34(432
1336 $7gt
1332 $354227 1133 $30132L
13 $363543
$37
139E $383432 11222 $23
1 S332$3=22 1133 $406 9-7
113 $415046
11396 $423346
s12 7 $i E74 $8 $47575_ $846 $13E79 1-_- - $ tq520120 s 379 3132332 1103568 S3f2050 1750934
01279 133227 11 _2433 $11024 27 $71 82 373 32 6S0 $1553 S02 $1183280 $038694 $S87 13-3413 S79 04 $1342714 S111722
$237 1o3558 2 134 $148368 $i2632 1387 $347443 $2217146 162562 5133723$ 1 $12753 $254670 $243-151 S1757074 S149 74
S3 $ E K22 $180334 C 5 53 $1337 $362S55 $2 44423 51933835 V16E3750 S3879 $377322 7223 $2106944 51 8M465
$1373 7-E5- $ 24502 $221101 84 2 05-$13 79 $3 3 028 $3437512 $2309366 $1912745
$13373 $401167 $3627923 $2402321 $1978339 S7579 $4f-5767 $387674 $2491523 $2040140
$3E2613 V1813
165S399
$78102 $32673
1014228
$111073 I31253
$282534
$1 35 $1424132
66
$5474 $1572856 S1 39434 $1682535
$71153 $273933 0 $0 22819 $7105250 $991546 $6116704
A-29
TABLE A-15 (Contd)gSSVL1TKE--- TAL-2 12alculated)
-cic ar -ari - lysis fc Erery rvestrrts - Egypt EEP i9IlS
Costs Perefit PararetErs Irsternal Rate cf Return 4318
M-quisition $7174953 Trice of il $200 bbl (yr 1)Transportat ir $ Ci1 scalat 20year Disc PV of PV of BICCostructic-n so
nate Derefits Costs f1] Ratio interconnection $0 Enrgy Savrs 11395 bbiyear
- -FUEUSEQ tYear 0 702250 $99FAG $E11Z704 717TOTPL (Cap) $717953 2$-74 483 $942 962 $4802515 609 4 $4723695 $905011 $3817674 521Construct Tirr 10 ronths $21-4pound397 $877493 $20E2904 450 8w $3 704 $855181 2 23 3910perztin and rcaMainterance Costs 10 $277630 $837483 $2 040 140 344
Operating Cost $13379 year 1I$2681 244 s830008 $1851237 323 12 $S2505816 iK23281 $162 535Operating_ Lifetime 21 years
304 13 $2348613 $817216 $1531397 287 14 $2207304 $311730 $139-574 2072Major Equipmert RepairReplacement 15 $2079899 $60E754 $1273145 258 1 $1924 $802229 $162462 245Replace Cost $300period 18 $176Z198 $794327 $370871 222Replace Period 20 years 20 $1593342 $787687 $811655 203
A-30
rcrc= ~ar rial Zralys- f- Erery lrivertfrentE -- E_=yt E
TQILE P-6
Fo Ca-se cfIELD TEST 4 - H-L4AN TEXTILPSIR
sunrini Esalation Rate cf 21
rILU3 WASTE H7AT Ey VD-- OIL 530B)
YEar aia
eratir Cost of Oil
cSst $1b Fuel Used ru
Ergry
Ecu I ZaVE f
ZnEr y Anru
COSt aS 7-06
rret 1 -iEzurtE 4
Cash 3
Flow (NV) 10
3 = 8
1 ra-rt
rn-rjt or $0 $0
4
2
14
15
16 17
is 12
20 21
73
$0 $7 so $0 $0$0 $0
C
$0
$0
S $ $0
so $0
$0 ($6300)
232-
23277w 37 63S
119 S387 $2879$13q73 $711$c
3273
1373 2733
S387-
S1237
2M79 $13r379
$12873 $13873
$13879 $3879
$35 S$ 60
3 284 $-247 S-is $3378 $3446$L515( $-c
$357
$73 0 $3805
$23
$-3958
S4022 $4118
$4201 $4265
$4370 $4458
00 0 0 0 0 0 0C
0
0 (
0
0
3 0
0
0 0
SO $0 SO $0 $l $0 $0 $0
S1 so $0
$0
$0
$0
$0 so
$0 $0
M51--S1333 $343 718 261- s337
33 2 33S $273062 3 $377453 233H $35012 336 3K1173I3 4f =c
$40Z S72
133S $41E750 136 $42525 1396 $43287
136 S442253 113 $451102
$4 2 1393 $4-C223 13^6 s4727-11396 $483289 i39g $498OE5 11396 $508016
hC S23873
$13873 S13873 T1387 $13 S72 $-
3 S 7 $23873 2 I12579 233q73
$17379
$12273 SI6373
513373 $13279
$13879 $7579
5
3332- ($$32236 (SS3386) ($$3335)12342333 ( H32t ( (1358887) 36 23 1813 (12- 1) (-- 20) (176337 ($3K-
-333743 27 264n4 27-3 $1Z756 1 5 35S133 $ 2-5 $47E533 $429034 S2-253 $3S3584 $32$TK-40 $65473 $559135 271133 $18 2 392 86423S777323 $378E34 $L5375Z $ E 66 103688 St458
- 44 3 $7 3 88 $230 S104765
3 202224 S57_- $1406472 S1247C37S402671 $DD141s $S773936$561796 $1376S11 1266 5r2 Q5SK235 S s 03
$41370P S2 79 $211E957 t 3653 $160275 $425379 13 27352 $227448 V3733 $437224 2 4$2 7t79390 $443246 125 32- $2564014 $285102 1J7317 $4-5449352 3 536 95 2284 $8294S311 $464336 $4070 026 $2322SE $2376786 12012911 $474410 $4304208 $2941307 $2462113 $2075603 $44176 $4534018 $305Z49 $2541279 $2130820 $500437 S47[2411 $3160864 $2615666 $2183698
$711653 $27993 0 $0 E29819 $8529900 $991546 $7538354
A-31
TLE TABLE A-16 (Contd)
- -1T E l-ate)
Znor~i ari -iraria2 alysis for Energy ireVstrents - Egypt EA1
LEitET Csts Eerefit Pararveters Interra Rate of eturr f255
Acouisition $752 ranspecrtaticr $$ Construction $0
rtercorrectior so
Price cf 04 0i Escaiat
Enrgy Savrs
$3 b (y-0yaar
1335 5byear
1) Dis- Rate
-
2V cf Benefits
PVof Costs NPV
BC Ratio
----------T2T_ CapL
--- Fuel Use 0 byear 852230C s432 $
$55 342 H5
77538254 $$f95$ 6A2- 6
860
--rstrct Tire 10 rths 4 $56642 6$473r-67
$90E 011 $877 49
$47E2411 $335- 184
62 E40
Operating and Nomra Maitenance Costs 8$4016044
10 $3452155 $8KZ 31 $827483
13 856amp4 $269666
470 412
Operating Cost Dperating Lifetime
$3872 21
year years
1 3217493 12n $00E930 13 $2218335
$33000c $823281 $817216
f2 387 486 $2183693 $2001 1
383 365 345
Major Equipment Repirez acement 4$2648765
15 $2A4S5619 $811730 $802754
1637035 $1689125
o 309
Replace Cost Replace Period
($5300)period 20 years
-$2327629 18 $2118238 20 $1919210
$822 $794327 $787687
$55 400 $1213911 $131524
-94 267 244
A-32
Eccic and iranza Pr-i- frEre irvEter -- Eypt EEq 10135-
TRPLE A-17
FcrCse TZST 44 - HELWN T-EE-2- WA7ST EW PRfL KMIY rOIL $351BL) Ass-ir- 02lEaldegio Rate cf 20
Saved Ya- cfCEita7 Ocratin Ccst of Di Fuel Used Fuel E rerry SavEd rd Caa--FioA Liscoured Cash Flow (MTN)Year -St cst SBbI (2b2) Cost Equiv i
rerV C-rrert $ 4 8 10 12
ransport P
I rt-rzcre ic $
ctal t777 SH$00 0 so
1833 5$477 $72255 ($$732 SE279 ) ($S5790) ($653790) ($53790)7-27 $-7 0Z27$0$ 3 $ 94) n- 3
0$0 r- 17365 $414974 $13673 SA 01 S354 $348 92-12 c30$ 12F7c S3714 $0 37 $42ST27 $13 $401-74793 B1 SZ384C $ $342M12 $302215$ $3789 11336 $437 379 S417 $7 $1873 $864 E $E 7 $7 -7730 $0 11336 1440374 $13873 $4 4K3 $G576 1$7330 $SK2736 $M57770 s0 13 44 $187 0 S
$43 E302 $1510 601 S1 E44 $1133453C 1 S7372 $4020 S103 Z- 7 84 S13 50 283 $13442 $1237257S 7S E $411 13 $473 1 873 $4344 $2173553 $1754865 $157379 $420428 I 13879 4183 0 $0 136 $47L575 $337 $4L73Sbull ~$ $--37 -n S2504 707 S9379 $ 7742-0 $ 873177 $42EE 13 $-71 11133S 1299 IO4 2 37$4 23 273 -2-3 $2823796 $225158 $9523 $733394S7 $352 0 so 11326 54H $ 3 4 $3332 $241302 1212330 t8773732 $ 73 $4433 0 $0 11336 55585 712579 $47 $34 $2607271 $2 282067 $200425014 1 $11279 $4522 0 $0
12 11335 S515963 $1 273 1522 089 $74=754 $273 888 2427504 $2 113 3155 $0 7873 $4amp81- S $28973 S4711
0 $ $ 227 1 79 1511405 44rN657 $296E343 $2 43a $22241640 so 3965 $53z 11E7 t=1937 $-6 113 13 $4232024 2687624 $2319702$534 $31311417 $ 1272 $48 0 $0 11336 $747542 1367 $ 33470 1 535 $328E967 $283766 $24057562 V $1187 $430 0 $0 11336 $55-50 $13873 $544621 $453 543 $3434161 $2311516 $24K07719 $0 $12879 $499 0 $0 11336 $569670 $13873 $555791 $5170903 353248 $3011480 $255835120 10 $13279 $509 0 $0 11396 $591064 $13879 $567185 $5440113 $3704671 $3104220 $26L420521 ($6300) $12879 $5201 0 $0 11336 $532685 $7579 $525106 $5707148 $3830205 $3191192 $2684852
$711653 $279833 0 $0 229819 $9951551 $991546 $80004
A-33
TABLE A-17 (Contd)
Econorni a 7inarcia ay-- fc Ener~y investmerts -- Egypt ZE r986
Ca~it~a cstz Perefit Parameters Irnterrna Rate of Return 6217
Pcquisiticn 7i Transpc-tation $ Constr-ct ior $0
inter-conrection $0
TOTQL (Cap) $717953
--iceof 21 OillEscalat
Enr y Savgs Fuel Use
135K bb (yr 1) 2Ovear
113- bblyear 0 Ltlyear
DI sc PV of Rate Eer eFits
0$9IK551 2$043677
PV of CoS1 ots
$91545 $942908
PaPV
$3960004 $7100709
3C Rat i o
1004 853
Corstruc Time 10 mcrths
Operatirq an Normal Maintenare Costs
OPeratir Cost $13879 year Operating Lifetime 21 years
Major Equipmernt RepairReplacemernt
Replace Cost ($6300)period Replace Period 20 years
A-34
4 $6 613 1-S$ 24 95
8$4amp3825 $$4) 21
11 $3753742 2 $3506143 13$328058 14 $ C9026 15 $23159 16 $27550567 18 $2471278
20 $2239079
$906011 $877 493
$55S 131 $83748-$330008 $823 2 $817216 $S1730 $806754 $802 22n $794327
$787687
$5707 148 $4647 463
$3830205 $3191192 $2927735 $2684862 $2470842
$2278496 $10510-$1943339 $1676951
$1451392
730 630
548 481 452 426 402
381 361 343 311
284
Erno a - raial Ayaavs- fc EErcy IvestLErts -- E 5y 1NObr
TABLE A-B
For Case zf7- D EST 4 - PEWA TEXTLES2R olUS STE H- PE-5- G4-88 ZL Pssur 2i Esalaticr Rats cf 2(
Year
Laital
Cost
Oeratir
Ist
Cost Of Cil
$1IL5
Fue Use
(BL
FE
zc-st
Save Energy
Z4iv
V_-shy_ Saved
Energy
a1
Ccst
F1c
urre-t S
Dafiscourted Cash Flow (NPV) plusmn 4 8 -0 1
1 Trarspzrt $0
4
37--
0
$0
1
$16 $13279
$1387c
$40
$400 $4162
S4245
0
0
0
0
V
s0
$0
1239
11396 11396
336
$75973 $464957 $474255
- 6 $483741
$72026S
113379
137S 7 9 $13879
3644233)
S451078
$477U C 7 $463852
(S64433) (210fG4
14r1$2 5 o0n $-32786
(2644A) (12Z
$1 52 0 7 1
$541cent52
31544293)
(234=-) $ 4
$493269
(364423M)
S24 545) $24$ 5
$452903
A
7 8
-
10
12
13 14 15
16 17
18 19
20
21
$0 t0
0 $0 V $0
So
I$0 $0
$0 $0 $0
$0 $0
$0 $0
$0
($5300)
13273 T2879
$9 S237 $2873 $3873 $13873
$13879 $13879
$13873 $13873 42879
13673 $13879
$13879
$13879
$13879
$13879
14330 $4416
$4505 $4595 $4535 $4687 $4780
$4876 $4973
$5073 $5174 $5278
$5333 $5491
$5601
$5713
$5827
$5344
0
Q5 0 0 0 0
0 0
( 0 0
c 0
0
0
0 0
so so
o
so $0 $0
so $0
S $0 $O
$0 10
$0
$0
s0
$0
236 3133
1136 E I39 11396 11396 35
1396 11396
113 11336 11336
336
1396
11336
113
1135
11336
5$493416 $503264
35) 1 G 1
S531 1534083 $544771
$5665 S566780
1
$523 678 $60471
$612501 $525771
$G39286 55 Q52
$664073
S677 K4
$13873 S473537 $13873 $4834C-E
$13873 $49747 $3979 f50g 7-shy2
$1379 $52CI210 113873 $538321 227$5 -89 S3879 $541787
$79 K $-7579 $54236 $13273 577K $3873 S27532 113973 $53622 t3879 $11892 $3379 S624407
$13879 $337173
$3879 $650194 $757 $669775
$1042696 114443E
$18336301 $222704-
$2607162 1233016093 1
13346172 $7C- 32
$4 05746 $440256 $4742875
$-075824 $51402515
$5723072
$503759
$34c208 $6651884
$935- $825 M $764658$12M617 $10681 S10425
$-43 $1412669 1407 $123372E$715$=2 9
f39- $21843 11916875 $1735031 23 42 $1 $375$ 3427 $214202S t 53G $2636380 03 $9 $2 27 503 12544695 S2200320 $3037575 $2721482 $2405748 $3-3032352- 28970 12537706 S350348 $3045001 $2673393
$3698373 $2 183546 t757485 $3876979 $3 3711 $2867300
14045737 $3446247 12953242 $4205189 $356C8 3041099
$435846 $3657160 $311659 $4493545 $376678 $3186025
$711653 $279893 0 $0 12-93813 $11373201 $991546 $10381654
A-35
TABLE A-18 (Contd)- o-SOS TflBLE BEN T-2T TPBLE 7alculated)
zccc- an FiariJ Analysis for Energy Investments - Egypt EEA
Capita Colts BerEfit Parameters nterna lRate of Returr 7207
Acquisiticon 171753 Price of Oi $4000 lbL (yr 1) Transportation $0 Dil Escalat 20vear Disz FV of PV of BC
Construction $0 Rate Benefits Costs TV Ratio Iterconnection $0 Errgy Savrigs M-35 bblyear
-- -- ------- Fuel Use 0 bblyear $W373o $99546 $10381654 1147 TCTAL Cap) S717S53 2$1 773 $942968 SB2 49 - 5 975
4$7557396 $906011 $6E5884 834 Zonstruct Time 10 months 6 $-314236 $877493 15436743 72n
51354726 S855 18 1 $4 42S 545 G20Operating and Norcal ainterarce Costs 0$4604207 $S37489 $3766718 550
1$4289991 $3000 $345983 517 OeI-ating Cost $13879 year 48712 $4003306 $123281 $318G025
Operatin Lifetice 21 years r3 $177781 $817216 $2940565 460
14 $53637 $8730 $2719957 435 Vajcr Equiprrent RepairReplacement A $3327839 $80S754 $2521084 412
16 Z3 143506E $80212209 $2341277 392Replace Cost ($6300)period 18 $2824317 $794327 $2029990 356
Replace Period 20 years 200 $2558947 $787687 $1771260 325
A-36
E~zcrorci an4 ariaqrysr for EnEy Ivestrets -- -Gyrt = 3P
F c r C a s e o f F - r T 3 3 4 - j r 7 o i o s X_--
E 4 OR $251 FT -RC= $159P
ss=insectCA Escalation Rate cf 20
Save a - shyCaita eratirn Cost cf 01 Fue Used Fuel Ener) SavE AnnaI ash Floi Discounted Cash Flow () 9 iyE- cost Cost $Bb (2b1 Cost Epoundalv Energy Cost Current $ 4 8 10 12
l cuisiis 52452
Trans $2 Corstru_ o
ta 4 $-52 S $0 S2832 3$-22955 s28Sz3 ($128968) ($28928) (128)tc 52 C 10 34-2 $-324 S Z 24 ($125877 M$25991) (T2045) (S260981$ 0 $-55 0 s 34s S5431 $2110 s ($22707 ($123144) (3123301) (23450)$0 $ $2 0 $0 342 $f540 $2110s 40 11 S758) (242) 20704 S2 009S0 $T2-4 0 $0 34 $2110 25a0 (1273) (S17820 (32 3S759)S$0 2 $1G56 C $0 348 $763 $ 3 (1 1 3 7A s2 $13 0 f0 34 $E873 $2110 $379 (I0750 $12S ( S1 $14777)VC 2 $172- 0 $0 348 $-39 s 2 C2 $38ES (107797) h$1 (51)$130950 52110 $1757 C $0 342 $11 S2110 S400r ($104870) (t103526) (111004 ) (211401)$ c 120 $1793 C $0 348 $S28 522O S4123 31S9) (S10461 (S OS M) (1092) s210 I 512_ 348 $363 S2110 $42-5 (S39096) ($104491) ( S037($103 543)$0 S220 $sE5 0 ti shy32 t54 211 $435-0 (M251)
-- (S10261 ($22 ($07284)$0 $220 $1902 0 $1 343 $r2) 2110 $4510 (S93434) ($100821) 31$03G84) ($10512)14 $o S2110 $1940 0 $0 34 573 $2110 54243 ($50645) (S92114) (5)02340) (15062)5$0 52110 $1979bull 0 $0 343 S5683 I2110 $4778 (37am) ($9742q) ($10102) (S104085)6 $0 $2110 $201 0 so 342 S7C7 $21 $421517 50 ($5155) ($95 938) (ST2 90 ($103 1861$2110 0 )2059 348 $71 2 $$2o $ ms $22458) ($94462) ($S-30O ($102)o11 $ $2110 $210o 0 $0 34S
19 $7303 $2110 $-19- ($73789) ($92057) ($377T6 (01605$0 $2110 $2142 0 $0 348 $745M $2110 -5345 ($77150) ($91720) ($3814) ($100909)20 $0 $2110 S2185 0 $0
21 ($5438) $2110 $--29 0 348 $7605 $2 Ili $5495 ($74542) ($90446) (9916) ($100271)
$0 348 $7757 ($3328) $11085 ($69483) ($88068) ($9426a) (99 I2)
$124048 $42552 0 $0 7018 $130239 $166600 (36361)
A-37
ABSUPTIOS TABLE TABLE TABLE A-19 (Contd) IT--CCOTS TAL --C ed
and Fina-E P7aiysiz fc- Energy IrvestzErts -- ypt EE
aPita Ccsts Benrefit Parateters
Pquisitio 2948S Price cf Oil $1500 lbi (yr 1)Transortatior $0 Oil Escalat 20year
onstructio $0
rterconrectior $0 Enrgy Savns 348 b5year Fuel Use 0 thi
TOTAL (Cap) $123466
Construct Tirfe 10 months
Ozerating amNormal Mairterance Costs
Operatin Cost $2 110 year Oerating Lifetime 21 years
Major Equipment RepairReplaceuert
Replace Cost ($5438)Period Replace Period 2 years
Internal Rate of Return
Disc PV of PFJof Rate Benefits Costs
-=_
0 U -1c233 s 6660 2 $105270 $160683
4 $83543 $15031 6 $72307 $E2344
8 $61319 $149387 le S5272 914S33-
11 $49126 $14E566 12 $4912 $145034 3 $4 032 $144180
14 4144-- $143417 15 $38108 $142713
16 $35 9 7 $142068 18 $32342 $140933 2 $29303 $139971
-2 63
NIN
$32 ($55410)
($6943($8 037)
($80 8) ($343_68)
($C-33323(99 22)
($101156)
($102974) ($104604)
($106071) ($102591)
($110667)
Ratio
073
066
055 047
041 C36
034 03
30
28 027
0 25 023
021
A-38
For Case - -EL 7 7 14 - HELPN EXTLiIPH 0LECTOR PRV =552FT - PRIEC OL S2L Pssurin Oi Zscalaticr Rate cf 2C
SavEd a- c Cost of CII FUE1 Useer CUE Energy Eavn Arnual Ca ow sSZOLnte- Cash Flow ( NV) iYear Ct Ct Ipbl (P2-) Cost Ecsiv Ererry ZOst Currert $ 4 3 0 2 is-t i c r
_ _____ _
Traszr $C - LCrErZt cr 30
i tercorrezcr SO 21 53 $1 $1223 ($23378 $123pound73 ($23673) ($22673) ($123578)$ 72c Q0$24c $0 348 S7033 $2h1c i4S83 $2680 2124053) (12442) (1243)$21~ 0 0so 34a 17241 $2C $5121 3 (E -59)($112301) ($12012)4so So c V- Z $-co 348 7 $2110 $5275 -44- (1115471 ($15371 (lII3- $21 $25 ) $9 348 $7534 1I2110 5424 1038O) (111484) ($I-33 1I2930$0 $211 $2205 c $0 345 768 $2110 $-E574 ($105228) (7076G0) (105772) (037S7)
$0 2110 $-52 c $) 48 728 n04 SC Sshy$ $-bO $5723 C l00701 ($10408 SO55r ($ICS585)o $U S2110 P-3a7S0 $13 0 $0 348 Si110 $-525$2343 0 343 3430341 $2 (Si L- f E471 1$0$ 8) ($C4 203$) $_ -- $21 t$3050l 31($812) (S97231) (53673) ($10762
t t110 t c 3 2 M745)$0 203 ($94275) ($97066) (M23)S1 52110 $2438 Q $0 349 124B4 $2 $E374 (9g1 f$948 3)($2 144) 3233 ($07471)$110 $Z487 C $0 348 $2354 $2110 $r544 ($75894) ($88516) ($ 3 1 ($=120)$0 $2110 $25313 0 t0 342 $2227 T2110
1 $E717 ($74632) ( 849) ($901174) ($33855
$0 $20 $2557tbull I 0 034 $3 0034$34 S211 7) ($33314)S263 M$8178) (S32 2u)15 $0~ ($to50 $2110 $2333 0 $0 343 $3184 $210$7074 $ 473 ($2090S) ($83 315) ($3032)$0 $211 ( $2332 0 $01L 348 $ S237 $2110 $727 ($32444) ($73618) $34578) $83512)7 $0 72 10 $2746 0 $0 343 S555 $2110 S744E 3$5340 ($7S445) (323-7 (333293)1 $0 5210 $280 0 $0 348 $2745 $2110 $7636 ($54542) I 43W ($21447) (2B7156)$0o $2110 $225L 0 $0 349 $3341 $2110 S7831 ($50684) ($72422) ($80038) ($35163)2C $0 $2110 $2914 0 $0 348 $1023 $2110 $3029 ($46872) ($7WC561 (75726) ($85235)21 ($5439) $2110 $272 0 $0 346 $10342 ($3328) $13670 ($40634) ($676S2) ($76694) ($83818)
$124043 $42552 0 $0 7018 $17362 $163 00 $7052 A-39
TABLE A-20 (Contd) P-SJ 2DTPKE rZFT7-CGS72 TLAK (acutated)
Hom and Firaa ralvsis fcr Erergy Investments - Egypt EEAn 5S
Za-ital Costs Benefit Paraeters lnterrna Rate cf Return 046
Acquisition $129485 Price of Oil $22O0 1bb (yr 1)Transoortation $0 Di Escala 2Oyear Disc PV f PV of BCConstructior Rate Beniefits Costs Ratio Interconrnection $0 Errgy Savngs 348 bblyear - --- =_
Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 $173252 $16E600 $705 104 (Cao)bull0TL1a8 $14 360 $10c ($ 320) 087
4 $115398 $155031 ($40634) 074Corstruct Time 0 -rnths A $36409 $152 34 ($55935) 063 8 $8A759 $14937 ($7623) 0Operatin and Normal Maintenanrce Costs CIA $70299 $14S933 ($76694) 048
11 $55502 $145 966 ($0464) 045Operating Cost $210 year 12 $51216 $145034 ($33818) 042Operating Lifetime 2years 13 $57376 $144188 ($85812) 040 14 $53924 $143417 ($89493 038Kajor Equipmert RepairReplacement $C811 142713 ($91901) 36 IS $47997 $142068 ($94071) 034Salvage Value ($5438)period 18 $432- $140933 ($97810) 031
Replace Period 20 years 201 $39071 $139971 ($100899) 028
A-40
- End - Ar y= fcr ZErcy~gt Ef-tS - ~ Aq
TiE fl-2[
-or -ase
Assamin
c
Ui
Tf-L0EST 4 -
E-alation Rate f
TECTh- 211
20 25BFJ
Yec-
-_ ztr
fs
nrt-r--et
YEzEta u-rir z os
___=== shy = i2 ~~
z-_ 233
r $
of deg $i2
- Lse (Ebi)
ICoRue
Cost
Saved Ersery
Ecuiv
Va -cf Saved
Erery
5 S
n-a
-shyt
zas CIO
Curt S
t
Discounted Cash
4
Ficii 0 V)
0C
1 =
4
2
14 1 17 17
12 19 20 21
5-
s$
s 12
ampc
SO SC
$3 5 $0
(5 438)
2II0 2 110
S$210$o
12102IC
2110 SC$
U0 52 10
O QI0I $2110 521110 $2I07343
$2110 $2110 $2110 $2110
--23OI 1
Q27^S7SC
7
f_522 $2 3
S2147 $2SQ 53171
34 23 EE
13 534Vo$344)
$35o $3571 53342 53715
Ct
-1C
o
0 C
0
0 0
0 0
C 0
0
$0$034-=
s5
$50
s3$s4
$ $0
5$
so $0
$ $0
$O $0 s0 S0
348
343Z4
348
34E 342
342 342
34S 342 3474E 348 348
345 348 348 348
13574$ = $
$3
$3417sampo
$ 7E3
1 3-$337
euroscs $1 37
s3 $254 $1S t9 03
$121 1 S1242 $12674 $12 928
V2 31 -shy
11C
2110s519
2 12-0
1S 11 145
$2C
$2110
t2 110 $210
S2 110 $2110 $2110 ($3328)
33 2-72 ZZS ($13333 335B3 122S7 4 ($ E 22 25) ($13-2 3 (t12243)4 ($t1 ($pound 7) I$1692 $t5 S5 -
1 4 $7123 3$M234 ft 91 11745)--- $175)
$7307 31028 S C5148) ($106(1 7SC $5- t7495 ($737 (IiCc047 cs (-02843
783 ($cZ203) ($37185 (32353shy$7854 (1S4 6 1 533 (133122 (523371 $8133 ($7E754) (SS3 5) M335)) (ic21-h)
$S27 (7222) (32C900 ($2525 ($83134) $495 ($87 23 78 ) 382 5Wc ($5399)12 717 ($5 ($44-0 (7350I (583995)$3924 9 53 ($70 8771 (S7664) ($81605)V1144 (S$2471 ($67514) ($74016) (579509)
($45C (64324) ((715434) (S772) $33 5337301 ($5292) (5 2501 ($7 838)$7533 ($58428) ($8711C) ($74234) 0 )72 29303 ($5706) (S5 11a ($72767)1$0316 (24217) ($53124) (S5322) ($71425) $10564 (S19203) ($50676) ($6155) ($70199) $16256 ($11754) ($47129) ($59119) ($685141
$124043$42552 0 $0 7018 $217065 166500 50465
A-41
ELSTU0 TABLE TABLE A-21 (Contd)
PLE(-
Zcoo r Firatia iavsis fc- Energy Irvesterts shy Eypt EE1
C itz Zosts enefit Paraveters Irterraz Rate cf REturr 304
zao-isitior S12948E Traszrtzti $0
l rtier to Interzorrectio $0
Price of Oil 0 Escalat
Errgy Savnrgs
$250C bb (yr 20vear
342 bIyear
Disc Rate -
WV of Ienef-
W cf Fcsts N
BC Ratio
- --
TJT -------shy
1 486 FuEl Use 0 bblvear ^
-a-27 H-S$17 450
$SG0 s16K 580
$E 4S $14770
30
109
Construct Tive 10 crths 4^ 6
$144247 $2051
$I-o0 2344
$17S4) (4P 832)
02 073
Coeratirsect and Normal Mairtenance Costs
Operatir Cost $2110 year 0oeratin~ Lifetinie 21 years
8 0 1
2
$102198 $27874 3-877
$7E520 $$7720
$14937 $14S33 $145S3
$145034 V44122
$47123) ($ 119) ($64039)
($68514) $72458)
068 060 056 053 050
Mamr Equipmet ReoairReplacemert 14 1
$97405 $143417 1427
($76012) (179199)
047 045
REplace Cost Replace Period
($5438)period 20 years
6 18 20
$59996 $53304 $43839
$142068 $140 233 $139971
($82072) ($87030) ($91131)
042 C38 035
A-42
TRSLE 1-22
F- cf-- s 14- HELN Esumlr Oi Esampaton Rat2 cf
(TC2LEHr Trorp-
20 -P z-3 z-
1iazip Ycst
Ls-cr 113 -
0eratir Cost
Cott of oil W
Fte e c
-e el Ct
Savec Energy Ev
Va1-_ of -avef
ErErcy pnua
st a=n 7c DirountEj Ca_
E-rre-t $ 40 8 Flo (NPN) i
10 =
12
4 f
7
10
N-I-
1-
15
$ 7
is
19
I 21
C rutc
0t13oo
V 12 116 30E 11 $321
so No 13LR $- 110 z347 $ t-1 $33 2
S 8029 $3278 2li $344E
S0 f2I0 1315 - - 1 35
S1 r t2110 1373C-
S S212 $3 15 2 1 S281
$S)S2 5I3908 $ S4(38
so QAc2h18 41 SO $s2 $420 50 $2 11 $4 so $110 $4370
$5433) $2110 $4455
$124048 $42552
0
c 0
0
0
0
0
0 C 0 c
0 0
0 0
0 0
0
S
10 345 so 34
so 248 to 345
C 34S
so 3 $ 348 $0 348 $0 348o
$0 348 0 348
$ 345 so 3$6
so 348
$0 348 s A3 $0 348
SO 348
$0 348 $0 348
$0 7018
Q74C 12-
s649 - 1 s B3 110
in1 73 p311 S30 $2110 1127 f110
$11757 2110 $13 I-sI S2322_2ltU1510
2477 130
S 72H 11 S s- $1 2 1-110 s17o- s2
t3770 5-10 $14051 $2110 S302 S2 S14613 $21(
$1491 $ 1 $15203 $3110 $15513 ($332
$260478 $-SF600
A-43
53 ($85557 27Z- )S17
V5S59 10 1 3131 ($9-
12417 e -^-
$-E47 ( S) sI S t730)2
5 L22
1c357 4SW III
S1STs ($241)$1037 s173) 1 30 127 27)
Sc1L33 331 3X4
1 L 5 -267)
$is 7o7) 510L 3 ^41)
2 S2 8 U249
$3S10-2 $346S $18841 170-5
1$93 78
($(225 ($128038)
12 5 52 33- 1 12683 (1M 3102)
1105 EEG) 3$1 364 $3--3) $C 10-
($92 (534$ 3 (1S3225) (33734) ($o5s (s82733
$7 030) (79 0 11) 33 7041(IN
(647) $70511)($50334 (670 (1904) ($53154)
5( 714 (E 8 54) ($47743) 3567S2 $437) ($S33 3540411) fS5123
t070(37030) (4E7331
($33 827) - (S45E
($30 7K) ($44344) (26749) $41544)
($1202a
(31204741 (51347T
IS(117 C272 1( -_- ($SC) I ($627)
(132453) ($7 745)
( 2S ($712
(5344) $SE73S)
My AS)
($2 14) (5601171)
(556T
($5-5-E54)
($55162) (53210)
TABLE A-22 (Contd)
Ezrzic and Fir-a Analv=is Er=-ry Invest-eants - Egypt EEfl oI 1
Catal Costs Benefit Para-eters l-tera ate of Return 532
Pccuisitio $12943s Price c Cii Transportation $ Oi Escalat
Construct iorn $0 Interconnection $0 Enry Savrs
--- - --- el Use TOTAL LCap) $129485)
Construct Time 10 r-=nths
Operatin and Ncrmal nartErane Costs
Operatin g Cost $210 year Ooerating Lifetire 21 years
Major Equipment RevairReplacemert
Replace Cost ($5438)period Replace Period 20 years
$300 bb (yr 1) 2 Cvear
34E bblyear 0 tblyear
Dic PV cf Rate Eerefits
=-- shy == 0 -260478
2 $210541
4 $172037 6 $144614
8 122 S38 10 $105449 11 $93 253
i2 $91824 13 $86064
14 S00885 15 $76217
16 S71995 18 $64685 20 $58607
PV cfof Costs
$166600
$160680 $15H 02 SE2344
$149337 $146993 $145966
$145034 $144188
$143417 $142713
$142068 $140933 $139971
wgV
$93878
$49860 $17065 ($7730)
(326749) ($41544) (347713) ($53 tn0) ($S3 124)
($62531) ($6649G) ($70073) ($76249) ($81364)
Ratio _
15S 13 1 095 82
C72 067 063 060
C56 053
051 04G 042
A-44
Ecnio af rarcia Ay5s fr Enerzy rvestr-et=- E__y EE- t
TABLE A-23
D 7E4--r Case ofF- - H8LW TEXT-PP C LcTORvR- - p n-OIL 35 _) 9ssu=- Oil Escalation Rate cf 20
spvedCa4t Csratr Zost cf Oi Fuel Used Fel Erergy Vi~
3aved Arral Ca-s 7 2iscurnt (-ir- Flo (NTV) 8 iYear Ec SBbX (Ebi) Cost Eniv Enercy ost Crr $ 4 10 12
1 Trarsort $ bull Ccrstr_-ticy $
1 Ir -e2or tic - $0r
Ttal T4- $352 $300 0 $0 58 $2030 f223 2780) 3$227($1802) (S27803) ($37308)Ss s210 12570 0 so 348 S2424 12 10 10314 $7S3 ($(S2 ) (1342 o 59)
3$ 123 $3541 0 $0 348 $12672 2 11 105S2 022T) (103O023) ($103703 ($10179)4 2 $2 0 $3714 c SO 349 2 $2110 8 ($18 -1 7 ( 0 7 (0 410
S3783 0 to$2110 348 $13 184 $2110 111074 ($53044) (332477) ($34013 ($3-7443)E 10 1-110 S3364 0 $i 345 S3448 $2s SI335 $73716 (1847z (8900)T $21 $342 0 $0 348 $13717 1I10 11607 (571 553) _77447 C$S04-2 ($-3 123)
0 -1( 241 ( 77 ($74 ($77155)so 348 4 $s $7 s$o2110 348 11427$311I0~Snl $8 C $0 $2110 Ll 1Z3) 12944) 1S5 372844)
1 82 20 $L (SIL0 348 S14556 t2 $1244 ($43394) ($57718 (5S33731 ( 1 211r 5428-4 0 $0 343 $4847 S21110 $1277 2 s($7 3) 364254) S $0o 348 1511413 1 $4439 $S I o 13031 - ($ 2 ) ($46228) ( 853834)($0 507)110 f- $0 348 1 447 12 110 $13337 ($18432) ($4C32) ($43644) ($57084)14 $0 $2110 $4528 0 50 348 $E75E t 112 S4 (S102 (394) (4582 (2 9S75 1$10 W4 S 343 16 07 $2110 $139s] ($2234) ($31IG) ($4201f5 ($L I100
16 211SC $24 $4711 0 S 348 $18322 $211 1 14_ 15 7 (S2S 531 ($38-96] ($A 4917 S $2110 $4805 0 $0 348 5721 12 I10 14611 $13437 (22394) (35416) 34S107)18 $C $2110 $4301 0 $0 243 $1-5 $2110 $i345 $21170 (18354) ($32460) ($930)19 $ $20 $4993 $0 343 $17336 52110 $15286 $28715 ($14 529) ($209710) ($4943)20 $0 $2110 $5099 0 $0 348 T17744 $2110 $15634 $36136 ($10 207) ($27 154 ($40 127)21I($5438) $2110 $5201 0 $0 348 $18099 ($3328) $1427 $45915 ($30) ($23969) ($3790)
$124048 $4255 0 $0 7018 303891 $166 amp0 137291
A-45
TABLE A-23 (Contd) PSELTIONS TWPLE H-77-C3T-3 TA-2L Eated)
Econooi and Firnani aIvs4s fe- Ener y Ivestcents - Eypt EE 03i32
Capital Csts Berefit Paraeter- Itera Rate c RetLr- 739
Aqisiti-503S S4ES Pice c ii bb (yr 1)TrasScrtation $0 01 ESalat W0year DiEc PV of P of BC
Corstructior $0 Rate Beneits Costs WPV Ratio rterconrection $0 Enray Savwgs 343 bblyear -
Fuel Use 0 blyear 02E1 S 600 II7721 82TOTAL Cap) $1Z48C Z $1683 $54 350 53
4 $20194S I5E3 $45715 i2CcrstrUct Time 10 mrths E1 716 $152344 $16372 11
8 $143078 $14337 ($S309) 096Operatirpound and Norma Ma~ntenarce Costs 10 $123024 $14E933 (23969) 084
11 $114628 $145956 ($31 33 079Oerating Cost $2 110 year 2 $107128 $145034 ($37906) 074Operating Lifetime 2 years 13 $101408 $144182 (343780) 070
14 $34I26 $143417 (U9050) 066Major Ecuipment RecairReplacemernt $S30 $142_713 ($53793) 062
1S 0584 ($53074) 059$1420O8Salvage Value ($5438)period 18 $75465 $14C 33 ($55468) 054Replace Period 20 years 20 $68375 $139571 ($715) 049
A-46
Ecor-r~c a Fi-ra- aivss VeSt=rts EE2fC- -ErV - E --t
TAFLE A-24
Case cf77-Lf TES 4 - HEWA XTILE1P (M CT P $2zS - PRE-F OIL 640EBLh ssuming Oil Escalation Rate f 20
saved VaiLe Ofonita Doeratir Lcst of Oil Fue Used Fuel Erery -d pYert Ca_ 10 Discourtd Cash Flow (PI 0- i =Cost $1Ebl (2l) Cost Eerv Ztt Crrert 1 4 6L 10 12
I Transmrt onstrLZt ior 4
tr-cnnEc icn $ Tcta f2945 132 $4000j 0 $0$40 SO 58 2 S 33z Is1 5 ) 327515$0=8 34S7 $15 $2- 2 (12728
31 $4060 1 r 0 342 $2C 3 8 1034)IS ($152V (1528) f(E72)14 0 348 49 S20 S-372 SI04-1 (5) 517 (110303) (-058514$ 2 I W A S t o4 3 4 8 $ 4 7 shy 3 12 2 ( S 9 ( SH G ES ) ($7 9 0) ( UT 7 8 4 5 3 $ 2 1432bull 34a S 057 $241 C3 (
$0 ($36142) (M6742) (3614)$0 $2 110 $446 0 $0 348 $159 $22 $17m ($7122) ($77119) 372707) U82191)7$ 4 $0 348 S5751_5 21101if) E5 5)503) $55569) ($72049) ($75218)0$ 4c5sg5 $0 348 $5930 510 $13 0 496) ($E 470) ($54327) ($62033)S so 12 4687 $0 348 $309 21Sc 14 92 (139580) 5079 (15833) 563204)10 $C Uio $4760 0
$0 348 $Ipoundpound36 5 240 -25- (129375) (4E53) (- 42 (37966)$0 12112 1487pound 0 $0 348 $11953 $20
2 S12353 SI9337 (533650) 34S414) ( 5318)0 $2110 $4373 0 s0 348 $1730L 2 1c3 5 Q 15 ($9465) (1 2132) ($41027) (34313)S0 12110 $ 0 $0 348 V14i
$21 $244 3-5905) (35134 344823)$0 $2110 $574 0 $0 34E $112007 $Z19 $5597 $3791 (1114) ($-530 ($41180)o $2110 $275 1 $0 342 $18357 $21 $-257 S19 7916 3$14579) 32724T) ($3754)$2110 $$5393 0 c$0 349 $12734 17
$2110 $Ic24 $28410 MKS) (Q-3269 (34816)$ $2110 $s191 0 6
s0 348 1$3 0o $2110 S162 $37486 (4376) (195E) ($32043)$S 5210 $sa01 0 s0 348 $19431 1211 17331 $43409 $321 ($161301 (12951)11 $0 $-I0 $5713 0 $0 348 1181 $2i10 S7771 SES182 $4768 ($2934) (327 M0I20 $0 $2110 $5827 0 t0 348 $20279 $2110 $16169 $E3805 8378 ($9963) ($25031)21 ($5438) $2110 $5944 0 $0 348 $20 684 ($3328) $24012 $74764 $14 30 (36394) ($n-60L
$124048 $4252 0 $0 7018 $347304 $166600 $180704
A-47
g3EL-iD~- ASSIUPTIDXF LETABSE TABLE A-24 (Contd) - ---C-NCE TFamp mC utCalculated)
zczi a- Farcial alvs- for Erergy IwEstments - Egypt EEA 1 8
CaPital r~csts Perofit Para Eter- Irntr-na Rate of Peturr 932
Acouisition $ E4 Price of Cil TransroortaEtio $G 0i Escalat Construct $
rterrertior $0 Erry Savrs Fuel Use
TOTA Cao) $1_h486
Construct Time 10 eorxths
eratir_ and Norzal Ma-rtenance Costs
Oceratim Cost $2110 year Operati_ LifEtime 21 years
Major Ecaiment RevarReolacert
Replace Cost (5543e)period Replace Period 20 years
$4000 bb (r 1) 20year
348 bbyear 0 bblyear
DisC PV of Rate Perefits
- = 0 $347 304 2 $22720
4 t23C 73 E $19288
$13517 10 4C 9 -- - - $31004
12 12243-2 13 $114751
14 $107847 15 $101622
16 $KS993 18 S84 246 20 $78143
V of Costs
$16 6O $162560
5 63 $1E2344
$43337 $1429c3 $14 9-5
$14E034
$144188
$14347 $142713
$142068 1140933 113971
N71)
$180704 $120040
$74764 $407
$14 13 ($r334)
($14 952)
($22602) ($29437)
(S35570) ($410V30)
(45075) ($54687)
($61828)
BC Ratio
208 175
48 27
109 096 090
084
080
075 071
368 061 056
A-48
Ecra acia a fc Ernerv ivEs=-t -- Eyt E~q IC36
TfPLE A-25
cr Case of-- 7ST 4 - HL4 7EX-vTDUq -T R E $ZvCF 7 P- U 1shygssu-in_ Oi Es~alatior Rate of 20
Saved Value ofDaitalfleratir Cost of Dil -Fel Used Fuel ESrry 5avf Annual as( Fic Discourted Cash Flow (MKV) 8 iYear Cost $IBb (E1 Cost Ecriv -Ercy Cot Currert S 4 8 10 12
I 712 I Trersp $0
ITotal 0712 $311 $1500 0 $0 58 $370 $111022 1t01E2 52) 1103) $ n3)(1h10153) $8 $5302C $0 348 $5324 $186G 458 CLa28 (S10SI) ($07003 (107O5)2 $15In $ 0 $0 348 $543 $18s2 S25s5 0522) ($ 40$ 2 $-7834) ($1040E3 ( 7 ($104 )4 $I62 $12$0 bullS266 $1524M$0 0 $0 34842 $5540
3 $550 S1866-C81C $2674 ($1 ($0 ($37031) 3 $10 $3784 ($32 197)78) ($10$D(3S718) Is0 603(M32204)
6 CS56 0 $0 348 S762 $862 $3857 ($c3828) ($5544) ($22223) ($39992)$052 $I82 c $0 43 $872 $186E $4013 $33 67) ($3301) ($94033 $94353)S$0 $C866 1723 C $0 348 15922 $866 $4130 (U8751d) (390605) ($1914) ($3091)2 $3 $s $1757 so e 33
s 0 343 Stamp 1866 $4256 ($4413) ($82310) ($23921) (131374)$0 $17 22 51732 00 $ 3 2- 1$5 2 522 11866 $4372 3 1 S C 1 ($311 ($82122) ($737C7 ($83738)1 223E$ $ 22 so 348 $82 $866 $4407 ($78702) ($40391 ($25 3431 ($83 3n0)12 $0 $1826 13Ef 0 $0 348 $S490 S1866 $4624 ($7E 29) ($80-5) ($ 4722) ($87020)s0 $1 8 $11302 0 $0 348 $2620 $BE $4754 ($714 $0
323 ($80168) ($33207) ($85800)$1866 $1940 0 so 348 $s753 $182 $4837 ($23334) ($72371) $2722 ($84630)15 s0 $1852 $7 ) $0 348 $8B3 $BE6 $5022 ($22494) ($7L662) ($8146M] ($33653)16 $0 $166 $2019 C $0 348 $702 $1862 (152 ($75035)s $E30) ($73234) ($2 710)17 $1 pound186 $203 $0 348 $7126 $1826 $523y ($50O330) ($73488) ($73081) ($S8845)12 i$ $626 $2100 0 348 $7309 $1866 1544 ($58005) ($72017) (77 0041 ($81053)$0 S866 21421 0 $0 348 f7 455 $186620
$5589 ($ 246) ($70618) ($759M) ($30326)$0 $1866 $2185 u $0 348 $7605 $1866 $5733 (152523) ($63288) ($75060) ($73660)21 ($4650) $1856 $2229 0 $0 348 $7757 ($2784) $10541 ($47712) ($67027) ($73494) ($78567)
$106062 $37631 0 $0 7 018 $130233 $143693 ($13454)
A-49
----
TABLE A-25 (Contd) rzzPTI2CNS 7PBLE EE ~~~TnD Calculated)
-cocc and Fir4anci= Araisis fc ErErgy InvestEerts - Ecypt EEA raI
capital CStE Perefit Parayeters terna Rate of Return -108
czuisiion ie o 0 $I2X yr 1I Tra-spcrtatior $0 2 Zs~t 2 lyear Dis WVof PV of BCConstructior tate
Benefits Costs NIV Ratiointercorrectior $0 Enry Savrgs 343 bblyear =
Fuel Use 0 bblyear C $130239 $143E03 ($13454) 091trp) CTP $10Z S 270 $138405 ($3375 076 4 S 548 $134260 ($47712) 064ConAstruct Time 1S CnTh5 5 $72307 130 76 ($55669) C55 8 s6319 $122 34G ($67027) 048CoeratrE and -crma Maintenarce Costs 0 ($73494) 042
OperatingCost $18- year 1 $49126 $125306 ($761711 03912 $45912 124479 3735-7 037Operatirg Lifetime 21 years 13 $43032 $123728 $8169L) 035 14 $40443 $12 043 $82601) 033Major Equipment RepairReplacemert I$IIE $38108 4419 ($84310) 031$3810
16 $35997 $121847 ($58M) 030Replace Cost ($4650)period 18 $323A2 $120841 ($88499) 027Relace Period 20 years 20 $Q9303 $119988 ($90685) 024
A-50
and Finaie rr_ fir Energ- ivestrents -- Eyt E2 1IMV5
TAPLE P-26
For Case cfFlD TEST 14 - HELWAANXT1LEIP (PRECTO p ZE$221SFT - P UZCF GIL $2VBE Assuraing Gii Escalation Rate of 20
Saved Val e of oita eraplusmn ir Ccst of Cil uee Lsed Fuel Energy 5ave Irr ca Zas F1ow Disconted Cash Flc (NPIV)E iYear- Cos C-st Bo (E 1) Cost Ecuiv En=Ergy Cost ZLrrert $ 4 8 0 12n
ura-z t 7 bull~r ti- $
rterco-retIcr $ITcta $20 0 $O 3 $1160 $111023 15S ) C$1C3853) (5103353) ($I0335 ($103 53)22 5 $2140 C $0 348 $703 $655 233 ($10Q8311 ($105017 (W05106) ($105Igl)S$ $EEG $2081 0 50 7 $537Z ($$33E41 24 1 183 (1040 (1 663 ($ 35)$EE863 $2-22 0 so 342
0 $733G 18E s527 (P9454) ($03 (56- ( 7)- $QLES( 033 so 343 $7S=34 S 2U- $G 568 ($3110) ()161) ($2645) ($93374)$S E 202C0 $0
7 348 $76E934 $1365 $5818 (S527) ($3730) ($83CK) ($90073V0 $1 s 5 f2252 0 0 343 5738 I6
- V5972 (80 377) (1413) ($5E ) ($37 047)_336 $2297 C $0 34S $75 s - shys- ~ (-1MO M r2~ ~ $ g0~ - J - 322$ ($84275)to S186b $2343 0 s0 343 $a10$ = (300 S186 5$233 (71 355 (7164) ($752 ($1735)to 34S 21313 t566 Z54582) (73 (17S846) 3$73409)r T-357)
0 415-3 $1$238 0 $0 343 $13484 $H6 18S (1 31) ($70 871) ($7424) ($77278)--ES $2437 C s0 348 $2654 S1855 $$73 (t 73$
41) ($70 1 (7) ($75 326)$1B3s $2536 0 s0 14
348 S227 $1865 $S761 ($53594) ($E519S) (5S367 (S73539) 5
t 61656 $2587 c s0 342 $004 Si856 $7133 1$4307) ($62571) i53201 (S1904)51 $125 $2539 0 $0 348 $ 184 M866 $7318 f45081) ($50080) (65703) (570406)i5 $ 861855 $232 0 $0 S13 $7 $5 $751 (34916) ($57715) (63S07) $559036)17 tO 51833 52746 tO 343 $55 51S66 $7539 ($5311 ($55471) ($32234) ($67732)is - s866 $2800 0 $0 34 5 74S S 865 $7880 ($-2766 f534I) ($50675) (3634)13 s0 $18665 $2856 0 $0 348 $S994 $1866 $8075 (28 73) ($513M) (M-3223 ($5 584)20 t0 $ass $n 14 0 so 348 $10 13 $1866 $5273 (424253) (342404) ($57870) ($6462A)21 ($465O $1865 52972 0 $0 348 $10342 (32784) 63126 (f18 863) ($46587) ($55919) (63263)
$10G062 $37631 0 s0 7018 S173 2 $143693 29959
A-51
gSv ONSTBLTABLE TALEASSUPTIOS A-26 (Contd) TT-r-TS TA-- alculated)
Econozc ar Firacia Araly-is for Energy Irvestrerts -- Egypt E_ I-
LaoitaI CoSts Benefit Parx-Eters Iterra Rate c-Return 216
Acquisition $110712 Price of 1 $2000 bb (yr 1)Trarspcrtatio $O Oil Escala 20year DiE Pcf PV of BIC
Corstrutior $0 Rate Benefits Costs NV Ratio iterconneztio $0 Enrgy Savrgs 348 bblyear _= -_--
Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 $173 G52 $143693 $2 M 121TOTAL Ca) $712 N $14c 360 $13405 $1955 101
4 $11Z338 $134260 ($18863) O8GConstruct Time 10 tronths 6 $96409 $130976 ($34567) 074
8 $81759 $12346 ($46587) 064Operatinz and Norrva Maintenance Costs 10 $70299 $126216 (S55919) 056 A-1 $6S502 125 30f Ui59 64) 05Operatin Cost $866 year
shy
2 $61216 $124479 ($63263) 049 Oerating Lifetime 21 years 13 $57376 $123723 ($65352) 046
14 $5-7924 $123043 ($9120) 044Major Equipment RepairReplacement 15 $50811 $12419 ($71608) 042
16 $47927 $121847 ($73 851) 039Replace Cost ($4G50)perioQ 18 $43123 $120841 ($77718) 036Replace Period 20 years 20 $39071 $119988 ($80 917) 033
A-52
conc34 an Firnancial Qralvss fcr Ener~y i-veEtvnts -- Eypt EE
TMtSLE 4-27
Fc0 2ase TfiEf - 1ZLN TEXTILEI (WZC PR P3rS22TEST 44 SETOR C7 a- $25IEDU Asi rLz Oil Escalation Rate of Z0
SavBr Vaue f1ta Ccost of Oi Fue Use Yuel[eraing Energy SZve- rnual Cas 71co ritv ed Cash Flow (NPV ) i = -- CostYear ost $1 (Bbl C-st L c r ny Cost C-rre~t 1 4 1r IN0
t1i3iticr tSU712
7rarns~ort $
Ccrtructcr It o $oerconnec
aS 71 S00 0 to 53 1450 1 023 (103 -73 5-3c$3573) ($109573) ($103-73)sgE t C 0 $0 348 S234 S7 CC7 3SZE 1C-084 (3103202) ($103316)$0 $as 2L0 $-r
0 s0 343 $ 51 $1ms5s n7515261) $9924) ($97264) (975M30 $0 348 Ic233 $786-H s364 (tc7E ($91723 (SW344)So286 027 $0 -48 $47 $I 17f51 5E so $ G s S27 EC 0
18 ($3552) ($37545)0 to 348 $q606 $1 86 $Z740 8257 t85 15 C 03 $76 -53 ($817E6) $83154)ss~ g $ 5 7 g2 ( 7 a $2215 $50 348 $9738 $6 $7 2 ($7058) 726 (377287) (79135)Sc S5 K6 372 0 $0 348 Sg934 S6 $2 $64322 ($70 1) 37311 3754599 $0 38 S A 52 s (923371 s1 S7237) ($72036)IC $r t85 12955 0 $0 343 $10377 865 $352 ($-22) (6751 (55615) ($59013)11 so 55 5 247 -0 s0 348 $C61 SlE6 $873S ($493) (t-7) ($-2246) ($55205$ $185 5$ $1510 SO 348 $087 $2811 (L4$54) ($53864) $53108) ($36321O 518) $317 0 $012 348 S1I034 $66 $9168 ($24858) (min22 3 56187) (S61279)14 s$ $S-76 52234 0 $0 348 $11254 $1866 $2382 1$2220) (34S771) (353468) ($59127)E $C $1685 $39 0 $0 -48 $114-9 $666 $3613 3U2668)($43498) ($50936) ($5-7160)so$ $866 $3365 0 so 348 S- 70 $86 13843 2$03)-($40395) ($48560) ($-m3S)
17 so 11862 $432 0 so 348 11-43 $1866 $10077 12 822) (37454 (34G387) (5 718)2 to T866 $350 0 $0 348 $12182 $866 $1016 ($7526) ($34666) ($44345) ($2216)V9$0 $1866 $257 0 $0 348 $12426 $156 $105EC ($2314) ($2023) ($42447) ($50842)2V $3 $1866 53642 0 s0 348 $12674 $1856 S0803 $2816 ($ 519) ($40673) ($49588)21 (54650) $1866 $3715 0 s0 346 $12926 ($2784) $15712 $9987 ($26148) ($33344) ($47M95)
$105062 $37631 0 s0 7018 $217065 S143693 $73372
A-53
PSSU Ns TABLE TABLE A-27 (Contd) FE-E=IT- 2ST3 TA2LE Cal d
Ecortomiz arnc a AIaEsis fc- Enery Irvestmerts - Egypt EE- iC1365
Capital Costs Perefit Parameters lnterral Rate c Return 491
Acquisitic $0712 Price of Oil Trarnsportat $C Oil Escalat Construction $0
Interconrectior $0 Enrny Savngs Fuel Use
TOTlL Cap $0 72
Construct Tiie 10 Moths
Operatinz and Norma Maintenance Cost5
Ooerating Cost $866 year Operating Lifetime 21years
Major Equipnent RepairReplacement
Replace Cost ($4650)period Replace Period 20 years
$2500 bbl ( r 20year
348 bblyear
0 bblyear
1)
A-54
Disc Rate -shy
0 -w
4 6
8 0
11 n
3
14 15
16 18 20
PV zPV EenefitS
$217CS5 $75450
$144247 $$0C $102193 $87374
$81877 $76E20
$71720
$S7405 $63514
19996 $53904 $4883
cf Costs
$143623 $132405
$134260 27
$128346 $2z218
$125306 $124472
$123728
$043 $122412
$121847 S120841 $119988
NPV
$733272 $37045
$2987 ($101465)
($26148) ($38344)
($43429)($47259)
($52008)
($55639) ($532905) ($61251) ($68938) ($71149)
BC Ratio
151 27
107 092
080 070
065 061
058
055 052
049 045 041
E ri- Fra Fa-s fc- Erergy -vetrerts - Egypt EA
TAKLE P-28
o- Case lfF- TEST 4 - HELWATEXTILEIPH (CELECTOR Assuming01l E-calatic Rate c 2C
PRCZ-22I _- 01vS
YeF-ita
Cost 0=erair
Cost st of 0j
IB Fuel Used
(bLI) Fuel Cost
Energy Eciv
Savee ErCr~y
rrua Lost
Eas FIcA Current $
Discountd Cash 4 8
Floh (NPV) 10
i 12
k cuisiicr r7-2 1 Transc-rt $ I Costrut or $3
cta $272 2 S COo
Se $ESE 120 so $ SSr
s3~ zs384cSO $0 $15 S47
6 $3 t135 $--- 2 7S882 53375 a $0 $258 $344E
5 S18 zI^ to $ -ES s3F
1$ ss sss~s S- $181H $3730 SO $1868 $3805
4 $ $35 E i V $8-8 $3258 E 50 $8EE $4038 17 $0 s B S4s SO $0 S8EE $4201
13 tS $18 $428 5 20 $0 $86 $4370 21 ($4650) $1868 $4458
$105 02 $37631
0
I
0
0
0
0 IC
0 0 0 o0 0 0
0 v
0
$0 Es $174
742 t-8c4c SO$0 343 $1
348 51107 $0 348 $11301 $0 348 $1527 SO 342 7m7 so 343 $13 $1 348 S2 32 $C 348 $12477
38V)2 $0 342 $ 345 t3240
$C 348 $ z -to 348 775 so 348 $1405 SO 348 $14 332 $0 343 $14CM $0 348 $14911
$0 348 $KS203 $0 348 $15513
$0 7018 $260478
A-55
III3-3C3
$E- Iass
$1866
$1856 S866 5 865 5185S $3s6
56 65
Sa36
518j$E $8 $866 $ 86 $155
$862 ($2784)
$143633
10I08 23
S7322 2 9
s $3435
$3661
$9S3 s u $03-
$511
$6 $11 $11374
187^ $ 3 $1822 $12 48
273 S13045
$13343 $18297
$118785
3
($1Th22-
(Pc8751
E3 -73
(ME223 (3) 5) ($
4 2231
337784
30447) ($23227) $V23)
3 1 (1 2M)
- IS6 $7t $24453
$30466 $L M3E
(1l123
cs 32443)$22
1
72 611
(SE8 322) () 4741 1154 372)
($4258)
3544E35) ($ 76 S (5325)
3071) ($28E3)
0751 (119 43s
E9 3 ($12725)
($3634) ($5708)
(s0--3) ($33864)5552 $83498
(745001 (S53917) ME-720)
($ES584
($54284)
(S530197) 3413 3542-S7h
(S30- ) (S3170) (332-) ($3 4 23M)
$25870)
($23433) ($20 705)
((e02203)
(S1014411 ($94270)
-855772 7S
(727v1 (37124) ($6S 64) (M62456)
(3E2301
($5133) (33 (02)
ME48-5 ($14314 S41688)
33854) (-7 ($101)
(345m21 (32655)
TABLE A-28 (Contd) S TpLE - Th-CCSTS TPAELE (Calclated)
Ezo ndard Firarla yss fzr Erergy Investrzents -- Egypt M 01I 185
Capita Ccsts BerEfit Paraeters lkterrz ate of Rturr 7351
A-uisit in Trarr~rtaticr Cortro
$117-12 t0
$0
P-ice o Cii Escala
$3000 Ibb (yr 20year
1) Disz ta
V of
Benefits PV of
Costs 1PV BC
Ratio -rnterconretion $( Errzy Savwes 348 bblyear -------
TCTAL (Cap $10 712 Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0
2 $26r-475 2l154C
$143623 $132405
euro16785 $72135
81 152
Corstruct Timne 10 msonth-4 6
173097 $144614
$24260 $131 976
$33836 $13633
12 110
Dperating an Normal Maintenarce Costs 8
0
$122633 $108449 $98253
$12346 $126218 $125 305
(35708) ($32769) ($27053)
096 084 078
Operating Cost
Operating Lifetime $865 year
21 years 1 13
$9824 $5064
$12479 $123728
332E5 ($37664)
074 070
Major Equipment RepaiReplacemeet 14 15
$80985 $7217
$123043 S122419
(42158) ($46202)
065 062
Replace Cost Replace Period
($4650)period
20 years
1 S 20
$719T $64655 $58607
$121847 $120841
$119988
($49852) (356157) (361381)
059 054
049
A-56
Taiaccno arc navsl- fCr erv InVES Et S_ 5E
TWILE A-29
For Case of --T TEST - uMwANTEXTIlEIPP 1Crv=TO PR2E -rR- a PAssuz 0 Escalation Rate of 20
Save Value f Ozeratir iliFuel Usedaoita Cost cf Fuel Energy Saej Annual ash 73w Dis-unted Cash Flow ( ) i = Cst st $1bl (btI) cost Ecuiv Enerzy zt --rrert 4
- Trarsoco-t SC)
I rsterucrneztion 50
I Tc- Z $3500 0 $203 (T01132 (50-932(9933-3) ($IC-9931(12S933S S46SE 170 0 $C 34 $2 424 s1856 $_ssS99217 ($32841) ( 39E (M567)5 52-25 $3541 0 $0 348 52572 $1855 1 bull 23 (58953 ($0457 ($g032)
5-5E0 53714 -7 0 So 10 731)0 g 48 174 ) $ 15 (S33 030)343 $12 S6G 4 7 O t1 Es SBs $3729 0 $1 348 $1284 $865 $318 363344) ($72254) (374425) (37637
S S1E $In3964 0 $0 7
348 $13448 1866 V1152 (IZ3825) M4972) ($67234) (315)53942 0 $V 348 $13717 $1866 (550459 ($54544)5Y1-1 (1-7504) ($6332)
$0 855 $$4020 0 t0 348 t13991 18665 shy12 - ($424V (s 422) ($54322 (tS72273 s aE- $41 0 $0 348 $14271 t856 $19405 S2J81 43728) ($4535) ($2817)10 $0 $1855 $4123 C s0
11 348 $14556 T556 $126 0 ($23265) ($37379 3$433 $4Z2 4
5 $425 $0 348l $0 S 1856 $4352 0 SO 348
0 s0 $14847 $1862 $31 (514495) ($313E5) ($32149) (5440511 $15144 $1866 12272 f(15870) (S25672) (1334 ) ( 244)13 855 $0 $54439 0 348 t5447 t855 $1253 $213 M278) ($2967) (33758)
14 $0 $SE5 $4S23 0 $0 34s 1135-0 955$1Z75C 518s $11C (t15171) ($255144) (533 -5)15 $0 $1855 $4513 0 $0 348 14 (110325)16 to f86 1471
$1071 S856 5131I8 353 (2434 (3066Z 0 $0 348 $1633 11365 S14527 $27224 (5575) ($1725) ($29014)7 $0 t1855 $4805 0 $0 348 $16721 351551865 $14855 (3419) (514693) ($25591)is $0 $1866 $4C1 0
9 $0 348 $17055 $ISG5 15 183 $42353 $2626 ($16 (122791
$0 1855 4999 0 so 348 S173 1B6 515530 550518 $6572 ($894) (521359)2 $0 $1866 1509 0 s0 348 $17744 $1866 t 5878 $58155 $102551 ($6298) ($19516)21 ($4550) $186 $5201 0 $0 348 $18099 (32784) $2883 $67686 $14732 ($3 194) ($17351)
$106052 $37531 0 $0 7018 $303831 $143693 $16018
A-57
TABLE A-29 (Contd) ate
Ecoci ar Pirarzia Evsi fcr ErEr t Eypt EA
3ta CGst= Denefit ParamLeters Interra ate cnf Returt 961
ccisition $I10712 Price of Cil S3502 1b (yr 1) SC
ats rttion $0 Oil Eszalat poundC)year rli P cf FV of Rate Saroaf s Coets N Ratio
Corstruct ion so irtErzonneticn $0 Errgy Savrgs 345 bblyear shy
0 $2^3 89 S143693 $16098 211uLai Use C ttVear 2 $24C30 t 145 507 -2-25 177
TDT CaP) $1SC712 4 $20945 $1342K0 $67686 150 S $-53716 $30975 37740 139
Construct Time 10 rorths 8 $143078 $128346 $14732 111
10 S12024 ($3124) 097 Doerating and Norma Mairtenane Costs 1 1468 $ 3C6 ($10678) 091
-- - ----- 1 $114628 S 3CS09
Operatir Cost $1856 year $1107128 $124479 (17351) 086
13 $13J408 $12723 ($230) 081 Operating Lifetime 21 years
14 $94366 $23043 ($28677) 077
5 $23920 $122419 ($33499) 073 Major Equipeent RepairRepla-ement
15 $23934 $121847 ($37853) 069 3 $75465 $120841 ($45376) 062
Replace Cost ($4650)period 20 $SE375 $112938 ($51614) 057
Replace Period 20 years A-58
Ec- ic and Frana Ara~y- f- Erry Irve=tert5 - Evpt -EEA
TAKE A-30
c Ca__ cf-l_ TrST 4 - HLW TEXTLEiP (Z2LETaP $2S FT shy E OF0i $40B) 9ssuMir Oil Escalation Rate f 20
save alue of-azita eratirg Cost c Oil Fu Ue Fuel Erry --ave Annual Cas DiscountedYEar 0 gas Flow (PV) i =st II) Cost Ezv Energy Cost Curre t $ 4 8 IC0
1 Pcq-isit - l1 02 Transzrt $0
$31 $4000 0 $C 52 0 S
21n232232 757-3) 07 3 f C 27 3 0703 f0373)sc sz-s $4080 a S4105 1 855 8 V7134 ($774532) M751Ss 542S I- 0 Sbullcss ~ S42-4f 0 345 4 82cs $14 7172 1-G1- 1SZ3 18$14772 9 7 W- 02)ssamp $12 7 M( 465) 27 ($87134-I (2377 ($762 577365 ($7344$73-2
32 0 $ $3 057
) fD 3$7-42)
$4_ $BSE 12i Z (57-253 1 SSS325--)(570 O0E) ($791C SSS6 $4505 E 33 S)0 V 345 $15676 $1566 $13Bic1556 6261$0 $5 25S 4 47 (2172) M35400)345 $sfsC $8s6 $4687 0 348
8 2 $27-T 42 (449241 ( 33511)T1309 $866 S 14443$2 2- 522) ( 186) ($43 1771 $0 8SG S4780 0 374S S2636V BEE866 $4876 S0
smsG V14770 ($374E 12EM)3 f$3 293 ($37K 50 3452 f3s8 $1266 13--ZC Il- S5$7 05 $$0S 32 4 7 2193) ($3850)$0 $1566 $4372 0 $-
S 07 -- (2 5B2 273)SC 343 $7302 T1866S0 $1866 $156$3073 $0 $1442 42427 SI (1-2ESP n$2533)0 $0 348 S17954 V866 - $7 4
117amp2 1248 ($S305) (51S-7 ($24497)t $58s6 $2173 0 SO 349 $293G7 $8S6 $121 $34 S229 ($53 ($2072
$0 sB- $233716 0 so 348 18734 $ 56 $SHS28 $ 93 $11 17 51 (t235 (13434 )$02 $556 $G349 0 50s 348 $1910 ISsG $17243 152 144 $16523 S1154 (M527)$0 s856 $56011E 0 $0 348 $9491 $862 $17E23 $6312 213529SID $18E6 $5713 $464 (S8950)0 so 345 $9881 S1 $18015 $77035 $2570 $578W- ($5617)s0 VO15865 $5827 0 $0 348 520279 $1866 $1541321 ($4650) $1866
$53852 $30136 $10892 ($4460)$5944 0 $0 348 $20684 ($2784) $23468 $9235 $3171 $14381 ($2047)
S10606 $37631 0 $0 7018 $347304 $143693 $203611
A-59
TABLE A-30 (Contd)
7Ec-acy ar ka lysis fc7nergy Irvestre-ts - Egypt M I
caita Costs EerEf araetErs RatetEtrr tr 72
PAcuisit ioon $ Price cf Di1 Transortaior SOi1 Es-aat
ortrzt io $0
irteronnectior U0 Enrgy Savs - Fuel Use TDTPL (Ca 51
Construct Time 0 -onths
Ozeating and Norral ainterance Costs
- ----Operating Cost $C66 year
Coerating Lifetime 2 year_
ma=jor Equipmet RepairPElacement
Replace Cost $4650)period Replace Period 20 years
$400k bl (yr -shy year
348 bblyear r bblyear
I)
DIK Rate
0 2
4 4
Epound 10
11 2 12
14 Cal
e s 13 MA
PV of Perfits
$347204 28eC 72f)
2307 c2-817
$153=17 $140 522
$131004 122432 $114751
$07847$101622
$3-993 58646 $78143
1W of Costs
143653 $2C-21 a 40 $4235
$134 260 $ 35 $30276 $E842
$229345 35171 $25218 $143912I1
$125306 $5692 $12473 $123728 $3976)
$1234 $51T6)3088 $122419 (20 796)
$121847 ($25 854 5120 841 (334S5) $119988 ($41846)
PC Ratio
242 2003
172 -47
127
105
323
83
C7 071 065
A-60
orc-ic nFiarcial Aav=s shyr rerr Investrents -- ypt EE
----------
Por Case ofFIE MS 14 - HFLu r Ss~zlnz C Fszalatior Rate cf 20
pRZ3 $2I T iE
Zzplta 2eratir Ccst of 11 FLel Used Yea ccist cst $B (kt
Pcu isit icn107335 Tra-ort $0
Ccstr-t icr I irternect io $0 1 ftctal f 099Z $2K IS C$10 0
$ 6z I$-z 3 $50 5162=0 $56 0
4 S s T5 05 So S= $6L-24 0 E SO S $155E 0 7 $0 $112CI U689 0 C to S680 $1723 0
SO cEo $17 0 S $1793 oIi $ t S1568c28 0
$0 C6S0 $1865 013 $0 $1E8 $1902 0 14 $0 t6Vo $940 015 t0 680 $1979 0 16 $0 1680 $20-19 0 17 $0 iamp80 $2059 0 18 $0 C1680 $2100 0 19 $0 $16580 $2142 0 20 $0 $1680 $2185 0 a1 ($453) $1680 $2229 0
Fue C-5l
S5 ts 23
so $0 $0 $0
so
St)$0 $0 $0
to $0 $0 $c to $0
$0 so
Saved nre-y
E-uii
348 348
348 348 345 343
348 341
-7n
342 348
342 348 348 348 348 248 34C 348
Vaue c Saved
Enerry
t-371 s4
$5421
S- 540 $5 50 $5763 $5279 Sf I9 S
t$- Z5$5353
$5450 $E620
S753 -888
$7025 $7 165 $730 $7455
$7605 $7757
rnnual Zash Flcw Cost Crrert $
1o2 275 1-o07405 $168^ $3E44 $6) 275
t1650 m1 i680 $2970 680 $403
$I680 $ 23 680 S4 31F
680 $4436
amp2553680 $4E33
(1850 $421C f1 680 t 0
$16s0 73 $1680 55202-s1680 $5345 $6 s5456 $16 u $5623
S680$5775 $1680 $5325
$2856) S10612
Diccirted Cas 4 8
5)$C~ S17 4^5) ) 3
152=r
f537 002) W17 751 5332) (9S4633)
($30 V-($ r7) C2SS934) ($83403) ($3 54) 1$5
0412) ($84493)
3 $ o(S74 04N) ($30043) (S7 92 1 (ST79a3)
-$72_) ($75018)
(V783) (374153) 17 K ) (72 (52 814) (37065) 3$55885 ($69094] 55995 (567572) (55144) ($68 127) ($47332) ($I4754) ($424A8) (362477)
io (n 2 i = 10 12
(s-7405 (S27405 104 0435051
(s($10 z 1 M-33~09 m) (VI3 414)
33513 3 M 891 (M28451 (15574) $90475 ( 446
3)520 ($9494) (585 1911 t$377 ^2T
(4(22 452) ($8415 ) C3 766) (22ES)($79192) ($aO0 S 723) ($80737) ($76351 37972) ($ 072) (373 1) ($73872) 1177M00) 372764) ($76930) (371 725) (76T2209 ($70 756) ($7541) ($69179) ($74441)
$103459 $33880 0 s0 7018 $130239 S137 339 ($7100)
A-61
TABLE A-31 (Contd)
Econozic and Financia ay for Energy Investmets -- Egypt E
Capi costs BerefIt Pararsters Internal Rate of Return -057
Acquisition $17735 Price 2i Transortatior $0 0Ci sa-t
Corstruction $0 Interconnection Er y Savrs
- ---- Fuel UsE
TOTk (Cap) $I07 Q
Construct TivE 10 months
Operating and Normal Maintenarce Costs
Operatir Cost $1680 year Operating Lifetime 2 years
Major Euipment Repaireplacement
Replace Cost ($4536)period Replace Period 20 years
i bb (yr 2year
348 lyear
0 bblyea
1) risc P Cf Rats BenEfits
0 $ 032
$105270 4 $BW548 6 $72307 9 $51 3
0 $52725 1 $49 126
SE$4512 13 $43032
14 $40443 1 $3108 16 $3997 18 $342 2C0 $23303
PV of Costs
137339
$132 Ek3 2037
$126130 $1373
$121904 $121 $120353 $113633
$113 072 $118514
$117102 $116338
NPV
($7100)
($27423) ($42483) ($5 823) (524T7)
($63179) ($71964) ($74441) ($76651)
($78629) ($80405) 388-0($22005) ($84760) ($87034)
BC Ratio =z=
5
073 067 C57 050
043 041 038 036
034 032 031 028 025
A-62
Econo ard r-ia nalysis fc- Enery rvastmerts -- Et EEA IO
TPPLE A-32
For Case cfF_E TET 4 - HaJ-W TEXTIEIPP ( _=EOCC70R pCE -C PRICz OF QUM Pssumir 3il Escalation Rate of 20
Cata DOerati Cost of Cil Fuel UsEd Fuel SavE Errgy
Value Cf Save- Anrual Cash -Ic Dir-counted Cash 1ow (kV) B i
Year Czet (E) Cc-t Eciv Energy Cost Lrrert 8 10
1 -cusjtic-$107 1 TransDcrt t3 SCorstrLtO $0 I rerccrrect o 0
2 3 4
5s 6 7
9
10
12 13 14 15 1-
17
19
20 21
Tota $97 5 2
$630 S0 $1680
$0 $ $0 $680 $0 $6S0
0to SEscl $0 $ SK $ 168C
168 V71650
S0 S1630 $0 S 680 $0 1180 0 $1680
$10 1$1 S0 so10 11680 0 $650
$0 t680 (14536) $1680
$20
$2040 $2s3o
$21 22 $I55 $20a $SL V12 $2 97 52 43 S220 V1-42
$2487 $2536 $2587 V6 30 V2692 $274 $20 12 56 $2 14
12972
0
0 C 0 0
C 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0
0
$0
$0 10
s0 $0 s0 s0 $0 s0 s0
S0 $0 s0
s0 $0 t0
3 t0
s0
s0
$0
5N
348 342
343 34
342 348
348 345
348 348 348 348 348 348 348 34 348 348 348
348
S160
S7 033 S7241
t7386 $7534 t7684 $7238 $7225 $85 1$318
13484
U8SE4 S3827
$9004 $3184 $3367 1955 19746 $9941
$10139
$10342
103275
11680 $680
$G60 $5150 1680 S1680
1$680 4$1680
$1680
S1680 $1680 $1680 $680 $1680 $180 $1680 $1168 S1680
($2856)
(-c ($10751s- C71)5
tE4 C 3o4 (102097) 6=SE3 ($3721)
5-7 15970) M$2800 5954 1$5poundpound5 $8497) $004 ($3721) ($8441) $ 158 (176H-4) ($3V530) t16 ($72C25) $7645 sz475 (157-254) 373347)
1r3 I E21) 27t=E(- ($70Q ) S1616804 ($Ez0941 (55875) $S974 2534) ($E3884) $7147 ($ oo)10 (5046) 17324 344702) 352353) $754 (S4C 3)9 ($55798) $7637 ($33100) (533755) S7 M (13189-) (151076) 1205 1127755) (48897 8261 (123 77 (46 29)
$2459 ($9662) ($44829)
$13193 ($1363 ($42038)
($107-5]
$0218a) (397592)
($8307)
(SK579) (322103)
($78S52) ( 7842) 373027) ($70403) (57952) (562) (16251) (115) (S59744) (Z803 (156 435) ($54943)
(353566)
($51604)
(101] $12276) 197843) M2305)(52372 ($00622
(SB654) SK 535) 3$80678) ($72 C3)
($7E 69 ($73473) (371474) (169253) (7961 (16642E) (165021) ($63737) ($625 2) ($61488) ($F0505)
($59137)
U-459 $33880 0 $0 7018 $173652 $137339 $36313
A-63
---------- -------
TABLE A-32 (Contd)TBLE (Calulated)
E-oroizic and Finania Anaaysis for Eergy investments -Egypt EA C
Cacital Costs Benefit Parameters Irterra Rate cREturn 26S
Pcouisitic $7993 Price cf Oi $2C (yr 1)Transortatio $0 Oil Esaa year li-c P of CConstruction $0 Rate BenfEtz Costs wV RatioIterconnection $0 Enry Savns 34E bbyear
UEl use C bblyear 0 73SS52 $137 3 $C313 126TDTAL Ca 7 $140320 $122593 $7657 106 4 IIZ398Constrct TicE I0 morths $122037 ($339) 089 5 $96409 $12- 130 ($23 721) 076 8 $3179 $12205 ($42038) 066Operatirc and Normal rairtenance Costs 10 $70293 $121904 ($5l 604) 58 1X $ampZ502 S12 M ($55 589) 054Operatirg Cost $1680 year 12 $61215 $12 0353 ($59 137) 051Operating Lifetime 21 years 13 $57376 $119633 ($52307) 043
14 $52924 $9072 (55148) 045Major Zqjioinert RepairReplacement 15 $50 1I1 $113514 ($67702) 043 16 A7-97 S1420002 ($70006) 041Replace Cost ($453S)period 18 $43123 $117102 ($73979) 037Replace Period 20 years 20 $39071 $116338 ($77266) 034
A-64
E~ocon2 -- rr Ar ys s fcr Ererzy Irvssttets -- 7rypt EE
TZE A-33
F Case TES 14 - W (0 ETD PE- $2T - PI-- O- DIS $25P)I Assuminz 0 Escalation Rate cf 20
azita Ceratir Ccst cf Oil Fuel Used Fuel SaveeErergy Value -f
save nual Cash Flow DEounted Casi Flow (NPV) 0 i = YS-ar st Cost $bbl (Bbi) Cost Ecuiv crerpy Cost Currert $ 4 8 011 2
rar-zor
Cnst~t I 2tsrzr-ezti- $1
E
12$
14 if
iG
17
18
19
20
21
a S230
s$1 S60
$$ $1169 o$0 $80
$3 S 90 i $i 6c 7 v68n
$0 t68c
so S680 S t 1680
$$ $Sao
$680 $0 $1680
$ $1680 $0 $I63
0 $1-680 $ $1620 $0 $1620 $ $680
$0 $1680 ($4536) $180
S25co
$2550 $ 2553
127 06 127V
a
V-1 72
$2323 t2962
$3047
$31C8 $3171
$3234 $3293
53365
$3432
$3501
$2571
$3842 $3715
0
o
c) 0
0 0
0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0
0 0
0
0 0
$0
$0 so so
t0
SO $0
$0
0 $0
$0
$0 $0
$0 so
$0
$0 $0
so $0 $0
348
347 345
348
342
342
348
34 348 343
348 348
348 343
348
348
348
348
348
348
S151450
$2874
323
$9417
$260E
t9735
53334
t 3 $13337
$1 605
$10817 $11034
$14 $47-
$11703
$ 43 $12122
$12426
$12674
$12328
S1032T
S0
6s0
$1680
$1680
t1680
t-1680
t16
$5
1680 S63 s1650 t1 580
$680
$w $60
$160
$1680 ($2856)
(t10E22f
$7134
$7553
$7737
$306
1218
12314
13 180$3717
$232
$3137 $ 3S4
$3-74 $373K
$10023
1510-22
$103503
$10746
$10-34 $1E784
(105z825) ($106225)
$3 T03154
($33032) ($93644 ($55375) ($W784) ($73764) ($22162)
($73250) ($73-76a
(56235) (71amp2) ($ 17) ($620)
($S4 29 J ($62 202 (43 7) ($5781)
($42 142) ($53737)
($3207) ($43 781 (3c354) ($4073)
($2464) $42 ($1255) 3332 1 ($3387) ($36055) ($7907) ($33 053) ($251 ($30221) $2723 $27532)
$8007 ($34984) $15211 ($21532)
310S225) (S106825) ($10028E I100 402) ($34133) $3425) ($25) ($83150) ($2 234) ($84232)
(37S313 $73725
($73731 ) ($3756231 ($53 45 (371852)
(5 431 ( ($E75 5 0)
($SEB5I) ($5406)
( (7578T 172 (157373)
(53($439 ($55185) ($41818) 379$5 ($44417) ISS347) ($421 84) ($49673) ($4010S) ($$143) $3-173) (-$746)
($36i 3M) ($45403) ($34023) ($43833)
$103453 $33880 0 $0 7018 $217065 $137333 $79726
A-65
TABLE A-33 (Contd)
Ec rC z ant Firn Anaiys- fc- Ererzy Investrerts - Egypt En MlIS
Czzota ss Benefit Parameters terra Rate cf eturn C40
flcquistici deg $17K= Transporatic $0
Sonstructior $0
Irterco rnectior $0
T3TAL Cap2 $107275
Lorstruzt Time 0th
Prce of 0i
C Escalat
rrgy Savngs
F-el Use
$2500 I (yr 20year
343 bbllvear
0 btlyear
11 -i- PV cf
Rat - enefits
0 $217
2 $17- 4-4 $144247
PV of
Costs
12339 $SOV-93 $129037 $2E30
11PV
$7726 $475-7 $15211(I5sES
BC
Ratio
158 132 112 096
Cperating and Nor a
Ocerating Cost
Operating Lifetime
Maintenace Costs
SEC year
21 years
L2r f 0 3
OX $37874
11 $81877 12 76520
I3 $7172014 $67405
$92273
$121904
$121 091 1353
$119632$119072
($21 53)
($34029
($23214)
($432833) ($47953)($516S7)
083
072 068 064 060 057
10ajcr Ecuipment Re~a rlRepaeet
Replace Cost ($4535)Ipericd
Replace Period 20 years
IS
18
20
$614
$53936
$53904
$48839
$11 514
$113002
$117102
$116338
($5000)
($52007)
($63198)
($67498)
054
051
046
042
A-66
Ecorcmic an Fnanria AralvsiE r Eer-y rveStMe-ts -- EZy EE C1I
TABLP-34
-r Case -fL TEST 4 - LEW TEX7Lfl LE $202-T - PR D-L $30BBL) Assir Oi Escalatior Rate of 20
Yea a-ta
Cost eratrCEt of Oi cost $pbl
el Used
(MI Fel
ost
zave Erergy
Ecuzv
VaLe cf s-ve
Energy P -a
Cest
Cash
Currert euro Dscounted Cash 4 8
1ow UNV)
10
9 i
12
1 ccuisCiticr 7 T7rarsort bull Co-tr t~ $
2
4
5
7 8
10
2
13
14
15
16
17 18 19
21
ITz~ta $C73 $22 ES
so 10 o sSo o $iE80 n $ 680 $0 U680
$0 $160 5 s62-
$0 680 f l
50 $Ss so $ss
$0 $6Ev
s $68 so $180
S0 siW8 to $1680 V) $65
$0 $1680 ($4536) $1680
$--D00
S32 $334
$32 7 C312
$3378
$2446 $5
3s85 357
$2730 $3355
$388
$353
$423
s412 $42CI
$42895
$417C
$4458
l c
0 0 0 0 0
0 0
0
0
0
0
0
0 0
0
0
0
so so o$0
so so $0
$0 so so
to $0
$0
$0
$0
so so
so s0
$0
$0
$0
53 348 246 348
343 343
348
348 348
348 348
348
348
348
348
348
348 348
348
348
348
S1 70 s I 49 $1 3F2 072
$11301 $527
$1177
$11992 $122532
S2477 $2$2726
$12231
Z2240 $2505
$12775
$14051
$4 322 $1463
$14911
$15203
$15513
S10227S 15 Si680 $29E
$1580 $312 $amp80 ] $630 $S2 $1680 $36 7 $168) $C077 $680 $C312 $68 $05
E0 S07377 680 $11046
$680 $1130 $680 11 5w S680
t 630 $12035 S60 o S1237-
S11530 s1T652 $660 $12 923 $ i0 $13231
$68 $13523
82856)$18259
310S 525) ($37S5
(s8nL) 172843) ($64749)
3$5S785-
($42942) ($41233)
f$2-53) ($21O)
($18650)
($ 9)
32($4527)
$24S8
$327
$103 22724
$255
$35677
$44060
165f25)1 SZ
(0 -59) ($32837)
($7582)
1$9 -5) (S2774)
5S75f ($510)
3$45551 (340533)
($25692)
($3101)
($26753)
3-631
13725)
(K5M504Z) ($11545)
($2234)
($5093)
($1158)
(S10S 5 (356332)
($3733 ($3732 ($7716)
($71047)
($U35 (0067) ($5M144)
(S55 (4S306)
($42345)
1538662)
($L237
(632C51)
($23020)
($2227) ($23777)
($2 337)
($13185)
(16454)
1 cc-T25) ($3327)
($91207) (184517)
(73403)
($72816)
($6771)
163046 ($53784)
(G54831) (35334) (08025
s$ 8
($42423
( 3
($37673)
($35J60) ($23725)
($32004)
($30433)
($28S19)
$103455 $33d8O 0 $0 7018 $60 478 $1373n $123135
A-67
TABLE A-34 (Contd) 2Lk T-CTETPL Calc~1ated)FL_TI0~PBL
o~ar Fariai naiysi- f-Erergy l=VEsrEtS - Ecyt EE i
trr Rat-- c REturn 787Benefit araetersazital S-sts
t -ri-e of CiD $3000 bbl (yr 1)$10995n PV of BIC
Trarspoto $0 Oil Eszaat 20Iear ri VV C Rate Eerefits Ccsts IPV Ratio
Corstruct ior $r == shyErray Savr s 348 bblyear
intetor rztior $0 Fue -e 0 bblyear 0 $26C478 $137339 1123133 190
2 105 40 S-32693 $77847 1 9 TOTPL (Cap S10799n
4 $173037 $1903-7 $44060 134
6 $144614 $126130 $183483 115 Construct TiME mcTth-s
$1228 $12379E W158 09
t 129N 087tI0O449 ($16454)woerating and Norma Mainterarce C0ts
11 $98253 $121031 ($r233) 081
2 $91824 $120353 ($22 Z29) 076 Operatirc Cost $1680 year
13 $8K064 $19683 ($33619) 072 O eratir 21 yearsLifetie_
14 $80885 $119072 ($33186) 068
5 $7E217 $18514 ($42237) 064 Major Equipment RerairReplacement
$71995 $11802 ($4007) 061
18 $64685 $117102 ($52417) C5shy_16
Replace Cost ($4536)period 2N $58607 $11S338 ($57731) 050
Replace Period 20 years
A-68
Eccnoc and inarzia ryss fc- -re-y rvEstre-ts - E yot EE
TAEE F-35
Fcr Case ofrZ- 5TEST 4 - HELAN TEXT-IPX Mu Assuin_-0 Escalation Rate cf 20
CTOR PRICE $20SQc- -Cc GI j3mBu
Yea
r
s s-t
--t
aoita ost
7
t
eratirn Lst
Cost of IE
Oi1
Feel Used
(Ebl) Fue
Cost
zavEd Erery EcLIv
Value of SEvE
Ern-rzy Annual
Cost Cash Flow Lrrert S
Liscourted 4
Cash F~A
8 (NM
IC i =
2
2
E
7
1$
--
00 21
t--0795
S $0 4
f2
SO 1$
$o SO f0 $ $ S
so$0
tTSO to
($4535)
$103459
2311
1s8c C)
S o 58
$680
SGzr-SsW ss $S80
$16s2 $X30
$630
$ 3 $ampV
$168 51680 $9
$1680 s680
$33880
$M570 $3
$3714 $373
$335
$3942
$4020 $401
$4 3 S42 ES
$4352 $4439
$4E28
545 is $47
$S422 $4301 $4j 9
15099 55201
0
0 0
0 C
C
0
C
a 0
0 0
C
0 0 0 0
0 0
0
Vi
s0 10
$0
SC
t0
to U$C
$V S
$0 $0
$1
oS^1 s0 SC so
s0 so
s0
s
348 342
248 343
343
342
342 343
-43 348
345 348
343
348 342
348 348 348
348 348
7 01
52 S2424 S 1672 t2926 $13 14
S 4-4
$13717
$1399 $14271
$14 ss S14347
t5144 t15447
$1r756 $16071$[ 3
$16721 $17055 17395
$17744 $180 3
$303891
A-69
245 1E8O $68
$66o $1S80
680
f1680
$us
s S680
s60 V-680
) 60
$11680 1G0
$-680 $680 $180
$1680 (2 5)
$137 3
$10744 $10992
24S Er
$1762
$12037
23 $1680$259 $1287S $13167
3464 $2757
$S076
$14391$114723
$15041 1575 $1576
$16064 120955
1165552
--915) M--72
(1h7) 5 211 Z229
($47334 7H)
(S3733-1 (23353 ($1q134 $02393
($1432) $7105
s5E
$23871S220n40
40 07 $4-964 55572 $Q346 $72910
0245 (S10524S ($105245) 1 237) $-3473) 39S53) 36S273) 387334) (373N 77S4 ($7-4)- (S792S)
(IC3S437037) 372374) ($40) (I781 ($597)
(-68 ) 15936) (M9 799 S473 (t4 7) (54230)
342I1 S$4795) ($43 4-) 34S9 $-9334 11445
(3273701 (S34 2353) (340262) (1253 1212n3s391 ($IE129 T251S) 12858) ($1076 ($2107D) (n632) ($3C53) (S-723-3)($26687)
3$4 (137631 ($23m9)
$2975 $1489) (2546) $7130 (37448) ($1230G)
$I063 (4521) ($172--3) $14786 (31994) (11 397) $19231 S120 (113 25)
TABLE A-35 (Contd)ASSPTIONS TAPBLE ME-F-COST TULE (CalcJaled)
E~ooi a Finacial Asi for Energy Investrents - Eypt EE
raitaSs Penefit raees Iter-E Rate of Returr 1014
Pcnuistio $SI7 Price of CiE h (yr 1)7-arrtatior $0 Oil Ezalat 2 year Dis PY cf V of FCrstrcticr $
Rate Enrefits Cc-zts NPDV Ratiotercnnecticr $0 Ergr~y Savrs 343 ttlyear - -ue Use 0 -bllyEar 0 $302231 $1373393 T2T
2 -(7925$2fZ $333 121 37 185 cnstrnxt Tiia 10 Lerths
46 2C34 $23C37 $72 10 57 6 $163716 $1L $4256 34 ee t1437S $372E $0281 116pe-atinz arsd NorLal nainternare Costs 0 $23022 $2504 S120 01
Operating Cost C680 year 10 $107129 $1E3 353 (S2 00 83 13 S100403 $29693 319275)
woeratino Lifetime 21 years 084
a- Ec RErairReplacemerit 4 $0426E $113072 ($24705)ipet 073883-) $514 $ 94)15 S - $-31 (2 07
-$---I16 eplace Cost (4536)Iperiof $3934 $18002 ($34008) 071 -e---
Repace Period 20 years 12 $75465 $117102 ($41637) 064 20 $66375 $116338 ($47963) 059
A-70
-Ecui adFin-ncla Aralys fcr re-rr-t - Ect Efl S
T-PLE -36
- Case cf-l 75- 14 - ZLWAN TxTLE11P (CLETOR F1 -e-1 - C_ OF L $40PL) Pfssu-ir 0i Ezsaatio- Rate cf 20
saves a cfaita _2erat Cost cz C Fue Used Ftel -rery Eaez ra1 ash oi DiEccurted Cash Fioi (PV) i =Yerpoundzsl (Bb1) Ccst Eciv E-er=- Cst poundjrrent 4 0 l
1 Trar-ort $L or Sc
ac-r r-
Thplusmnt$ $2 $4000 0 $0 53 32220 $ OZ 275 115V S ) $L) 5 $52$ $S $4080 0 $0 342 S4133 5160 bull ( s ($34 34 $4 5251eS oS ($845575 337$S $230 S4162 C $0 348 l144S2 $680 S222 tS2 08B21 (t 383) c(sa84) 354572)4 $ -- 45 0 $0 348 $14 72 80 $13-2 37)443) VT2F35) ($74 M)8 (37221- $ 6 54230 6
c SO 34 $ 07 $1650 513337 (52 333) 5 (s650141 ($56745)41 S6pound0 $4pound 0 $0 343 t5369 s0 $1268 ($47748) S2833) ME514) 3522 3787 S $45C I so 348 s Sw W=10131S13336 $67613SEBT($54614) ($587)scl S621 s~lsK 0o 348 sIz230 $680 $1IL3 I j 2 (-6631 (34171 5447 $ i620 $S437 0 so 348 C2 1 S 42 (f23 ($27 (4)ic $1 11 $4780 0 s0 343 $63 $1680 $1435 (54E 7) (S5284) (252 $3411 $0 960 $4276 0 $0 248 s-03 $1680 $Z222 571 ($1420) ($13 ( 0
1 $ $6al $4373 0 $0 348 $7305 T6O S15628 8(75W (S1S7M ($24 537)$O ^$ 73 0 SO 348 $17654 t1680 $1f3 5 25842 fss (S 641)- 2059714 C05630 IS174 0 $0 348 $12 007 t680 $l6327 53=-048 $4847 ($(S2 $16955)15 sso 15278 0 s0 348 $18367 ~ 6amp s-6637 S45 284 $10E54 (52518) ($3441)15 so Eao $2387 0 so 348 $18734 31680 $17054 $54754 $15$564 31032--17 160 $5497 0 so 348 s1100 T1680 t7423 $4053 $ 20921 15358 ($7482)18 $0 sso 567 0 so 348 $13431 t1680 $1781 5 73203 $2s5 5$8871 ($4888713 $0 $Sao $5773 0 $0 348 $13881 $1680 $18 201 $2188 2r313 S C2 252120 t0 680 $5227 0 $0 348 $20279 $1650 $I63 521016 $3467 $1$196 ($3361)21 $s $1680 $5944 0 $0 348 $20684 $2 856) $22540 $101753 $3 72115 185 $2079
$103458 $33680 0 $0 7018 $347304 S1370 $ 05965
A-71
TABLE A-36 (Contd) S TIO TfPBLE EEN-TT-CCSTS TP- -uatedCa1c
Eccncmic and Financial Pavsis fc- Energy irvestcents -- Eypt EEA 96
aita Costs -eefitParaeters nterna Rate of etur- 1229
fcouisition 0799 Price c Oil $40 bbl (yr 1)Transp rtatir $0 Oil Esalat 20year Disc PV of PV of BZCorst-utie $0 Rate Berfits Costs Ratio
irterconntior $0 Enry Savrs 348 bblyear Fue USE 0 bbllyear N $347304 $33 1 2TOTL -Cap -107 995 S22D720 $132 5S3 $148127 212
4 $2307S6 $2 037 $10 175 -79Construct Time 19 months 6 $92818 $126130 628 53 8 $1amp3517 $123796 3721 132Operating and Normal Mainterance Costs 10 $14C52 $1219(4 $1363 115
11 $3004 $121091 $9913Operating Cost $1650 year 108
12 $1 432 $12C353 $20 102Operating Lifetime 21 years 1 $114751 S83 ($4 31 09z $11
14- $107847 $119072 ($11225) 091Major Equipment RepairRelacemert 5 $1C1622 $110514 (c6291) 086 16 $95993 $118002 ($220C09) 081
Replace Cost ($4536)period 8 $8624E T17102 ($30 S56 074Replace Period 20 years 2 $78143 $115338 ($32195) 067
A-72
APPENDIX B
Preliminary Cost Estimates
Three (3) systems are considered appropriate for cost analysis Cost estimates are preliminary for use in the Application ReviewConceptual
Design portion of this project
A Waste Heat Recovery System
B Solar Thermal Collection System
Current $US (mid-1986) are applied then escalated to mid-1987 theexpected construction period at 10 percent
For cost assessment purposes all material and supervision will beconsidered imported Egyptto Labor costs will reflect some Egyptianrate influence although certain installation procedures will requireexperienced labor not currently available in Egypt
The average annual wage for the Egyptian construction industry in 1985Is 7800 LE or $5778 (US) ($135 LE per US $)
An average labor rate in the United States for construction servicesapplicable to this project is estimated by the R S Means Company to be$2177 per hour in 1985 (crew Q4) An estimated thirty percent imporledlabor with severity percent Egyptian labor can be used for establishing a mixed labor rate average of $936 per hour (US) A labor cost modifier for wages becomes $936$2177 or 0431
Equipment and system cost estimates and percentages are established byusing R S Means Company Cost Data and1985 equipment suppliersbudget pricing estimates
The solar cost data are determined in flxed-and variable-cost increments as required by the FCHART-4R program input format A solar collection array size of 4000 square feet ( 72 m2 ) is estimated for use in determining the variable cost factor
B-I
A WAS[E HEAT RECOVERY SYSTEM
DESC R I FT ION SIEI OTAI TOTAL
3 WAY WASTE WATER DIVERTING VALVES SUMP MATERIALS SUMF PUMP FILTER SCREEN SUMP PUMF LEVEL CONTROL AND VALVE WASTE HEAT STORAGE TANK WASTE HE(I S IORAGE TANK PUMP STORAGE TANK LEVEL CONTROL AND VALVE WASTE HEAT EXCHANGER $1200)1000 EITI SUB-TOTAL EQUIFMENT(MID-1986) $160900
ESCALATION FACTOR 11 TOTAL EQUIPMENT (MID-1987) $176990
FLOW ItDICATORS AND GLOBE VALVES 3 WAY PROCESS WATER BLENDING VALVES STEAM CONTROL VALVES PROCESS WATER TEMPERATURE CONTROLLERS SUB-TOTAL EQUIPMENT(MID-1986) $71400
ESCALATION FACTOR 11 TOTAL EQUIPMENT (MID-1987) $78540
PIPING COST (40 EQUIP COST) 040 $102212
INSULATION COST (75 PIPING COST) 075
SUB-TOTAL MATERIAL COST $434401
LABOR COST (715 MATERIAL COST) $310597 MODIFIERLABOR MIX 043 MODIFIED LABOR COST $133557
SUB-TOTAL MATERIAL + LABOR $567958
TOTAL WASTE HEAT RECOVERY SYSTEM CONSTRUCTION COST $567958
B-2
B SOLAR THERMAL COLLECTION SYSTEM VARIRIABLE COrST (HIID-19117)
DESCR I FIUIN SOLAR CULA-ECTORS $10 0uFT2 COLLECTOR AREA 4000 rF2 COLLECTOR COST SOLAR CIRCIJLAFIN(3 PUMPFS SULAR 1ISTRIBLTI 1 PIlIPS STRUCTURAL STEEl SOLAR CONTROLS INSVRUMELNV AIR SYSEIIFIPING LOW VOLTAGE CABLE EXCAVArION AND FOUNDAFIONS ELECTRICAL
TOTAL EQtJIPMENT(MI ID-1986) ESCALATION FACTOR TOTAL ELUI MENT (MID-1787) PIPING COST (40 COLLECTOR COST) INSULATION COST (75PIPING COST) TOTAL MATERIAL COST I$144050
$105500
I1
075
$116050 $16lt00 $12000
LABOR COST (715 MATERIAL COST) MOIFIERLABOR MIX MODIFIED LABOR COST
$102996 043
$44286
MATERIAL + LABOR $188338
FREIGHTDUTYTAXES TO EGYPT 10 $18834
SUBTOTAL $207172
SUBTOTAL CONTINGENCY 15
$207172 $31076
TOTAL VARIABLE COST COST PER FT2 $60
$238248
B-3
------------------------------------------------------------------------
--------------------------------------------------------------------
FIXED COST (MID 1987)
DESCRIPTION CONTRALCTOIR S RENTAL SUFPL IES CONIRACrORS FACILITIES CONTRACTORS UTILITIES CONTRACTORS MATERIAL HANDLING CONTRACTORS CLEAN-UP DISMANTLING AND MOVING BOXING AND CRATING U S IRANSPORTAT ION SUB-TOTAL $34000
SUB-TOTAL M34000 CONTINGENCY 15 $5100
TOTAL FIXED COST $39100
LGE COST BASED ON CURRENT FIELD TEST PROJECT
TOTAL VARIABLE COST $238248 TOTAL FIXED COST $39100
TOTAL SYSTEM CONSTRUCTION COST $277348
EEA COST DATA BASED ON CURRENT PROJECTS USING IN-COUNTRY CONTRACTOR AND EQUIPMENT
VARIABLE COST $2862FT2 $2862 COLLECTOR SIZE (FT2) 4000 TOTAL VARIABLE COST $114480
EEA FIXED COST $26757
TOTAL SYSTEM CONSTRUCTION COST $141237
CONSTRUCTION COST SUMMARY
A WASTE HEAT RECOVERY SYSTEM $567958
D SOLAR THERMAL COLLECTION SYSfEM $277348
1(lAL CUNSTRUCTION CU9 A amp B $845 05
B-4
APPENDIX C
7)i)7771Cell i) Ofr
U6~ (Ici 1 -211~c~~
f~t 2l
c-1
1986 1OCT
I L jB~ i i~ I C r 6 ~ ~Kn Z 7
B~ C~u ~d~ ~ c) 7 fie~~
dF -Me- cluy( - (F --
(44 I It Lccc~ e~lry
C-2
- A
--
C
A LA Ai i ll~l 61
_
shyit AA 3t yj
-(plvt IIIIIl i
1 Ilshy
i 37
~~t~ ~ F~ I liN011 u
1~ i1I1~
~I rrjuLr~
I ~~~ ru
I 9IwrluLIIIAI -
NOR i6 91 13
1
MAY i i1 99 f
I~lI 2 I 1 r hJI I I- L3f 2H euro S)1
AUG l T411lt --
0 7 I9t7i
(1 LlI1 ~ I
11R(IIIC 791 shyIf 919 TXjLvj
lS 3 11LI
cr
62 FI f)I )
IL 1 iia ILE 61 l ampq
T
~
2j~
1 1 I 5
264 1 0 1 A1 3 IsP IEIJA 167 -
PO Zlt876 tV9IlAl lA g-
t i -- - i i 4I r Y 12 d
C 7 =_ - 34 p76 q A
957 IULkE0 167 if 6 0 237J163lIlI) 11-1 i6 1
It 1 1 IO I rIl
1I 1 4 77t ~A shy
r IIjl 1 I 971- 6II l I I[(ijllI Ii
Itl JY lif i5U 2 1 IUI t l Oil A I I21 I 5 1 9
- IS-I i U lt~
I I i~~~~~~~ -
Z~~~~~~
ll
I Q I
1 1 6
A2 52 213 A4
YN -~ A-
IA 6~A273A 4j 163 6 1 7 6 136)~ A
UN6I TS~ I-t- - A6AAAA I1AAAHOURA JA A
~ AAAA 9~AA6~ C-36 ~ 6 A A I I ~
4
~~ -shy eshy
- Ft c4_~
eKJ -J~-)
nI
- 2ZZ
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_ D O
Pn-shy
_ - - - -- -- - - ~ -
2 -
L- I CA e
k --
The design operation maintenance and repair experience
with solar thermal systems that will be obtained through this
field test to form a strong technical base for the design and
application of other renewable 2nergy technologies is an
important factor which has not entered into the benefit cost
calculation in this report These additional factors need to be
considered seriously in the go-no-go decision of this field test
- iii shy
2 INTRODUCTION
The Egyptian Electricity Authority (EEA) the United States
Agency for International Development (USAIDCairo) and a group
of US Consultants form a team responsible for the performance
conduct and management of the Renewable Energy Field Testing
(REFT) Project whereby eleven systems are field tested for
renewable energy applications in Egypt
These field tests include the use of solar thermal photoshy
voltaic and grid connected wind farm systems for industrial
process heat water pumping ice making desalination and grid
connected electricity generation
The project has broad objectives to investigate selected
renewable energy options to
0 Comprchensively strengthen Egyptian technical and
institutional capabilities in the full spectrum of
renewable energy planning and decision-making for
technologies and applications
Develop and sustain an Egyptian renewable energy
infrastructure through the establishment of data
bases information systems and organizations that
effectively serve both the public and private sectors
- 1 shy
Design install operate and evaluate a series of
renewable energy field tests which utilize commercially
available technologies in applications having potential
for widespread use in Egypt
a Conduct a ormal management and technical training
program both on-the-job and specialized and establish
an intensive information dissemination program
The MarketEconomic Analysis Task is one of the supporting
activities that will provide useful information for the
accomplishment of the proposed project objectives The Market
Economic Analysis Task is set up to accomplish the following
objectives
Evaluate the economic performance of candidate
renewable energy technologyapplication systems
in the field test program in the Egyptian economy
Identlfy non-technica bottlenecks that could be
encountered in the dissemination and wide use of
renewable energy technologies
Estimate the market environment in Egypt under which
the supply of and the demand for preselected renewable
energy technologies will be transacted
-2 shy
Identify policy issues such as energy prices
incentives tariffs and regulations that could be
modified instituted andor removed to enhance the
establishment of a true economic cost of energy
resources
Determine the economic environment under which
investment decisions could be made for the widespread
vse of similar renewable energy technologies in Egypt
0 Train Egyptian counterparts with the capability of
performing market and economic assessments of similar
energy projects
The MarketEconomic Analysis Task is performed in two
parts The first part is the Pre-RFP MarketEconomic Analysis
This activity will perform a site specific MarketEconomic
analysis of a particular field test in order to provide decision
makers both at EEA and USAIDCairo with information on the
financial and economic viability of the proposed field test
This information is required as one of the pieces of information
for a go-no-go decision on the issuance of an RFP
The second part performs a marketeconomic analysis of
specified renewable energy technologies throughout Egypt in
industrial sectors represented by the eleven field tests
- 3 shy
This report represents the first part the Pre-RFP Market
Economic analysis for a field test designed to test the technical
and economic viability of the use of solar industrial process
heat (IPH) and a waste heat recovery system for textile bleachshy
iig
- 4shy
3 BACKGROUND
The proposed site for Field Test 4 -Textile finishing at
the Helwan Spinning and Weaving Company at Helwan near Cairo
Helwan Spinning and Weaving Company is a large textile
plant finishing a variety of fabrics The finishing operation
consists of a series of chemical treatments involving hot and
cold washes by dyeing and bleaching processes The hotfollowed
wash dye and bleach washers are currently brought to and held
at the desired temperature range by direct sparging with steam
(hand-valve adjustments)
Objectives of Proposed Field Test Site for IPH System
The primary objectives of this field test are to provide
EEA with practical working experience using Solar Thermal
Industrial Process Heat and to provide system design and operashy
tional training for Egyptian engineers for the purpose of
assessing and implementing similar projects throughout Egypt
This field test will evaluate the viability of solar thermal
industrial process heat with waste heat recovery system for
textile finishing
The application of solar IPH and waste heat recovery
system for textile finishing at Helwan Textile will serve as a
demonstration of the capability of the combined technology of
- 5 shy
industrial process heat to reliably supply significant amounts
of energy at other textile finishing facilities It is important
that this field test be designed to distinguish between the
performance of the solar IPH and the performance of the waste
heat recovery systems so that each can be evaluated for other
applications
-6 shy
4 ECONOUilC ANALYSIS
Objective
The objective of this analysis is to evaluate the economic
viability of a solar thermal system for providing industrial
process heat for textile finishing at the Helwan Spinning and
Weaving Company at Helwan and to determine whether or not an
investment in this field test would result in the acquisition of
useful information and know-how not only technical but also
managerial and institutional so that such experiences could be
duplicated throughout the economy of Egypt
Research Methodology
The method of analysis selected for accomplishing the above
objective is the standard benefit cost analysis used in project
evaluation A benefit cost analysis involves first the pooling
of anticipated benefits and costs (direct and indirect) resulting
from the project throughout its economic life The streams of
benefits and costs are then expressed in present value terms
using a common numeraire (a discount rate)
From this the following evaluation characteristics can be
calculated
The Net Present Value (NPV) is the difference between the sum of
the discounted stream of benefits and the sum of the discounted
stream of costs discounted by a given discount rate
- 7 shy
The Payback Period is the number of years it takes a project to
generate sufficient benefits to cover its cost or the number of
years it takes the net present value to change from a negative
to a positive value
The Internal Rate of Return (IRR) sometimes called the economic
rte of return is that discount rate that would equate
discounted benefits to discounted cost or reduce the net present
value to zero
Benefit-Cost Ratio (BC) This is the ratio obtained by dividing
the discounted value of all project benefits by the discounted
value of project costs
Simple Payback This is a rule of thumb method used by investors
to see if a particular financial venture is worth investing in
or not The simple payback is calculated by summing up all
capital and operating costs and dividing that sum by the value of
the first full years benefit In the private sector in most
industrialized countries a simple payback of 3 to 5 years is
expected With renewable energy technology a simple payback of
7-9 years is usually admissible
- 8shy
Assumptions
The economic analysis of the IPH system is based on the
following assumptions
0 All energy conversions are made into barrels of oil
equivalent where one metric ton is equivalent to
US 733 barrels
0 Price of oil is valued at US$20barrel of No 6 light
heating oil escalated at 2 per year This price
level may not be indicative of the price of oil that is
rapidly changing at present It should be noted that
the analysis in this study is to look at what may
happen in the long-rt-n during the 1980s and 1990s As
such the analysis should not be affected by what
happens to commodity prices in the spot market in the
very short-run A revision of the price of oil in the
analysis may be appropriate when the price level
stabilizes
A discount rate of 1O is sed This is the
opportunity cost of money used in international
lending agencies such as the World Bank
Hardware is assumed to have a salvage value of 10 at
the end of the life of the system
-9shy
The system is expected to have a life of 20 years
0 Some hardware items are purchased in Egypt An
exchange rate of LE 135 = US$ 100 is used All
prices are in constant US$ 1985
Data Base
Two sets of cost estimates were used in this analysis The
fWrFt set of data was provided by Lockwood Greene Engineers for
a 4000 sqft collector area (see Appendix B)
On the basis of the best available information Lockwood
Greene Engineers have provided the following cost estimates
Collector Size 4000
Prices Variable cost $60O0sqft Fixed cost $39180
0 + M cost 2 of total cost
Salvage value 42 of total cost
Energy savings 325 barrels of oil
Construction period 10 months
System life 20 years
The second set of data was provided by EEA for a collector
size of 4200 sqft The EEA cost estimates also show two types
of prices The first set shows a price of $2581 per square foot
- 10 shy
of colector This price is to be used for collectors purchased
for the REFT Project The second set shows a price of $2221 per
sqft which is to be used when evaluating IPH application
elsewhere in Egypt (see Appendix C)
Cost estimates provided by EEA are as follows
Collector Size 4200 sqft
Prices Variable cost $2221isqft (local)
$2581sqft (REFT)Fixed cost $17430 (local)
$23995 (REFT)
0 + M cost 2 of hardware cost
Salvage value 42 of capital cost
Energy savings 348 barrels of oil
Construction period 10 months
System life 20 years
Analysis and Results
The economic evaluation of the IPH system for textile
finishing was performed by examining the following sets of
assumptions
1 A 4200 sqft collector area at a price of $30sqft
2 A 4200 sqft collector area at prices of
$ 2581sqft and $2221sqft
3 A Waste Heat Recovery System
4 A 4200 sqft collector area priced at $30 per sqftombined with waste heat recovery system
5 A sensitivity analysis at different collector prices and varying prices of oil
- 11 shy
Table 1 presents the input data based on cost estimates
provided by Lockwood Greene Engineers These estimates are based
on a collector system purchased from the US at a price of
US$60sqft Output results for this analysis is presented in
Table 2
Input data for the base line analysis are presented in
Table 3 All base line analyses were performed assuming a price
of $20O0bbl of oil The economic evaluation of all systems
was made using a discount rate of 10 although system perforshy
mances are examined at varying discount rates ranging from 0
to 20 at 2 intervals (see Appendix A)
Table 4 presents results of the base line analysis As
shown in this table the 4200 sqft solar collector systems at
all collector prices do not pay during its economic life The
solar collector system at a price of $30sqft has a simple
payback of 22 years which is longer than the life of the system
The net present value at 10 discount rate is negative for
the baseline case with collector price $30sqft and price of
oil $2Gibbl indicating that the financial benefits accruing to
the project will not be able to offset the cost of acquisition
and operation of the system during its economic life span The
net present value at different level of discount rate and varying
prices of oil is presented in Figure 1
- 12 shy
TABLE 1
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM
FIELD TEST 4 - HLEWAN TEXTILE
DATA INPUT - US CASE
(Collector Price US$ 60sqft Price of Oil
I T E M S SOLAR ONLY WASTE HEAT RE(]OVaRY
Capital Cost ($) 227348 567958
0 + M ($) 4765 11359
Salvage Value ($) 11649 23854
Energy Savings (bbl) 325 11048
Construction Period (Month) 10 10
System Life (Yrs) 20 20
Source LBII estimates based on Engineering cost by Lockwood Greene Engineers
20bbl)
COMBINED SYSTEM
845306
16906
35503
11737
10
20
data provided
- 13 shy
TABLE 2
ECONOMIC NALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM
FIELD TEST 4 - HELWAN TEXTILE
RESULTS - US CASE
(Collector Price USS60sqft Price of Oil US$ 20bbl)
I T E M S SOLAR ONLY WASTE HEAT COMBINED RECOVERY
Energy Savings (bbl) 325 11048 11373
Simple Payback (Yrs) 43 3 4
Pdyback Period (Yrs) None 4 6
Net Present Value i = 10 ($251325) 1568793 1310681
Internal Rate of Return (IRR ) - 834 4220 2843
BC Ratio i = 10 021 337 233
Source LBII estimates based on Engineering cost data providedby Lockwood Greene Engineers
- 14 shy
TABLE 3
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM
FIELD TEST 4 - HELWAN TEXTILE
DATA INPUT - BASELINE ANALYSIS
(Collector Price US$ 30sqft)
I T E M S SOLAR ONLY WASTE HEAT COMBINED RECOVERY SYSTEM
Capital Cost ($) 149995 567958 717953
0 + M (S) 2520 11359 13879
Salvage Value ($) 6300 - 0 - 6300
Energy Savings (bbl) 348 11048 11396
Construction Period (Month) 10 10 10
System Life (Yrs) 20 20 20
Source LBII estimates based on cost data provided from EEA and Lockwood Greene Engineers
- 15 shy
TABLE 4
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM
FIELD TEST 4 - HELWAN TEXTILE
BASELINE ANALYSIS RESULTS
(Collector Price $30sqft Price of Oil US$ 20bbl)
I T E M S SOLAR ONLY WASTE HEAT COMBINED RECOVERY
Energy Savings (bbl) 348 11048 11396
Simple Payback (Yrs) 22 3 3
Payback Period (Yrs) None 4 5
Net Present Value i = 10 ($100633) 1565248 1464614
Internal Rate of Return (IRR ) - 124 4220 3402
BC Ratio 041 335 275 i = 10
Source LBII estimates based on cost data provided by EEA and Lockwood Greene Engineers
- 16 shy
Figure I Helwan TextileIPH - Solar only - Net Present Value at various Discount Rates and Prices of Oil (Collector
Price S30sqft)
0
150
-J)0
LUJ
LUJ
00-
Li
11 t 6
4F
D I SCOU NT RATE ()
130BBL
-$25BBL
~$15BBL $20BBL
- - 17 shy
The internal rate of return (IRR) is significantly lower
than the 10 economic rate of return expected to cover the cost
of credit
The waste heat recovery system on the other hand shows
positive results The system pays for itself in four years
The internal rate of return for the waste heat recovery
system is very high 4220 indicating very high economic gains
to be realized by installing this system
The Application Review for Field Test 4 examines solar
thermal together with a waste heat recovery system as a unit that
will be installed at Helwan Textile Accordingly an economic
evaluation of the combined solar thermal plus the waste heat
recovery system was performed
The input data used for Zhis analysis is presented in
Table 3 Results of the economic analysis for the combined
system are presented in Table 4 As shown in Table 4 the
combined system is economically viable The payback period for
the combined system is five years with an Internal Rate of
Return (IRR) of 3402 Figure 2 presents a graphic representashy
tion of the internal rate of return (IRR) for the output results
presented in Table 4
- 18shy
C
Figure 2 Helwan Textile - Internal Rate of Return at different Prices of Oil for Waste Heat Recovery
and Combined Solar and Jaste Heat Recovery
Systems (Collector Price $60 and $30sqft)
100
80shy
60-
LU 40
lt
($ B B LUi P R 1 0 F 0 1 L
-20
-20
- 19shy
-40
It is very clear from Table that the economic performance
of the combined system is lower than that of the waste heat
system indicating the dampening effect of the poor econoinic
performance of the solar thermal system
It should be pointed out that there is no functional relashy
tionship between the technical or economic performance of solar
thermal and waste heat recovery systems One can install the
solar thermal all by itself or in combination
As discussed earlier the proposed 4200 sqft solar thermal
system is not economically viable at a collector price of $30
sqft and price of oil S20barrel A separate analysis was
performed using a S20barrel price of oil and collector prices of
$30 25 22 and 20sqft Results of the analysis is presented
in Table 5
As shown in Table 5 the solar thermal system is not
economically viable at all collector prices The system does
not pay for itself during its life span Even at the lowest
collector price ($20sqft) the benefits derived from the
system can only cover 58 of the cost incurred (BC ratio 058)
during the life of the system
An additional sensitivity analysis was performed for each
collector price level and varying prices of oil As inshown
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TABLE 5 - ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM - FT4HELWAN TEXTILE SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS WITH DIFFERENT COLLECTOR PRICES
(Price of Oil US$ 20BBL)
I T E M S
COLLECTOR
$20sqft $22sqft
PRICE
$25sqft $30sqft
r
Energy Savings
(bbl)
Simple Payback
(Yrs)
Payback Period
(Yrs)
Net Present Value
i = 10
Internal Rate of Return - IRR
348
16
None
($51604)
266
348
16
None
($55919)
216
348
19
None
($76694)
046
348
22
None
($100633)
- 124
BC Ratio
i = 10 058 056 048 041
Source LBII estimate based on engineering cost Lockwood Greene Engineers
data provided by EEA and
Tables 6 - 9 the solar thermal system will start showing
positive economic results if collector prices are between $20 and
$22sqft and oil prices increase to $35 - $40barrel It is
very unlikely to find a situation where one can have a decline
in the price of collectors while having a simultaneous increase
in the price of oil Since collectors are manufactured from
products such as plastic glass aluminum etc which are
energy intensive a decline in collector prices can only be
realiz=d with a decline in the price of energy
Figures 3 and 4 show graphic representations of the internal
rate of return (IRR) and payback period respectively for
different prices of collectors and varying prices of oil
A year by year cash flow for 36 different scenarios are
presented in Appendix A Tables Al - A36
- 22 shy
TABLE 6 - ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM - FT4HELWAN TEXTILE SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS WITH DIFFERENT PRICES OF OIL
(Collector Price US$ 20sqft)
P R I C E OF 0 1 L
I T E M $15bbl $20bbl $25bbl $30bbl $35bbl $40bbl
Energy Savings 348 348 348 348 348 348(bbl)
Simple Payback 21 16 12 10 9 8(Yrs)
Payback Period None None None None None None (Yr s)
Net Present Value i = 10 (69179) (51604) (34029) (16454) 1120 18695
Internal Rate ofReturn - IRR - 057 266 540 787 1014 1229
BC Ratio 043 058 072 087 101 115
Source LBII estimate based on engineering cost data provided by EEA andLockwood Greene Engineers
TABLE 7 - ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM - FT4HELWAN TEXTILE SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS WITH DIFFERENT PRICES OF OIL
(Collector Price US$ 22sqft)
I T E M
Energy Savings (bbl)
Simple Payback (Yrs)
Payback Period
(Yrs)
P R I C E OF 0 I L
$15bbl $20bbl $25bbl $30bbl $35bbl $40bbl
348 348 348 348 348 348
21 16 13 11 9 8
None None None None None None
Net Present Value i = 10 (73494) (55919) (38344) (20769) (3194) 14381
Internal Rate of Return - IRR - 108 216 491 735 961 1172
BC Ratio 042 056 070 084 097 111
Source LBII estimate based on engineering cost data provided by EEA and Lockwood Greene Engineers
TABLE 8 -ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM - FT4HELWAN TEXTILESENSITIVITY ANALYSIS WITH DIFFERENT PRICES OF OIL (Collector Price US$ 25sqft)
P R I C E OF 0 I L I T E M $15bbl $20bbl $25bbl $30bbl $35bbl $40bbl
Energy Savings
(bbl)
348 348 348 348 348 348
Simple Payback
(Yrs) 25 19 15 12 11 9
Payback
(Yrs)
Period None None None None None None
Net Present Value i = 10 (94268) (76694) (59119) (41544) (23969) (6394)
Internal Rate ofReturn - IRR - 263 046 304 532 739 932 BC Ratio 036 048 060 072 084 096
Source LBII estimate based on engineering cost data provided by EEA andLockwood Greene Engineers
TABLE 9 - ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM - FT4HELWAN TEXTILE SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS WITH DIFFERENT PRICES OF OIL
(Collector Price US$ 30sqft)
P R I C E OF 0 1 L
I T E M $15bbl $20bbl $25bbl $30bbl $35bbl $40bbl
Energy Savings 348 348 348 348 348 348 (bbl
Simple Payback 29 22 17 14 12 11(Yrs)
Payback Period None None None None None None (Yrs)
Net Present Value (118208) (100633) (83058) (65484) (47909) (30334) i = 10
Internal Rate of Return - IRR - 425 - 124 124 339 534 714
BC Ratio 031 041 051 062 072 082
Source LBII estimate based on engineering cost data provided by EEA and Lockwood Greene Engineers
Figure 3- Helwan TextileIPH - Solar Only - Internal Rate of
Returr at Different Prices of Oil and varying
Collector Prices
29shy
n
-15
CD 10shy
lt 5
S0
10
R
2
0 F
30 5
B BL )
-10
-27 shy
-Ig - Helwan Textile - Solar Only - Simple Payback at Dfferent Prices of Oil and varying Collector
Prices
50
40shy
30
20- $60sqft
- - S30sqft
I25sqft22sq ft 20sq ft
P
10
R I C E
20
0 F
30
0 1 L
40
B B L
50
- 28 shy
5 CONCLUSION
The economic analysis performed on the proposed IPH Field
Test at Helwan Textile showed that the 4200 sqft flat plate
collector system was not economically viable
However the analysis indicated that when the solar thermal
system was evaluated in combination with the waste heat recovery
system the project was economically viable This favorable
performance was caused not because of improvement made in
economic efficiency by the solar thermal system but rather
because the economic efficiency of the waste heat recovery
system is so strong that it more than offsets the poor
performance of the solar thermal system
It should be emphasized that this analysis did not cover an
evaluation of the complete array of solar thermal systems such
as solar collectors for domestic hot water etc The analysis
was limited to the application of flat plate collectors for
application in industrial process heat of a given temperature
range Therefore implications drawn from this analysis should
not be applied to other solar thermal uses
The economic analysis has revealed some interesting and
important economic technical institutional and policy issues
- 29 shy
It is clear that the proposed flat plate collector system
on its own cainot be expected to bring about positive economic
returns given current collector prices Therefore it is
necessary that
Investigations be made in the technical field to
determine if the efficiency of the system could be
improved without increasing system cost
e The supply side of the collector market be prepared
to manufacture and supply collector systems that are
cost effective
e Policy makers be cognizant of the fact that the price
of flat plate collectors must decrease by almost 60
compared to the best case scenario as used in this
study (from $30sqft to $10sqft) in order
for industrial consumers to find it attractive to
invest in solar thermal technology Since the market
and thus the solar thermal industry is at its infancy
in Egypt policy makers and the public sector have to
play a lead role in removing barriers and providing the
appropriate fiscal andor regulatory incentives to
enhance the manufacture and widespread use of solar
thermal technology
- 30 shy
It is the overall objective of the Renewable Energy Field
Testing Project to investigate selected renewable energy options
to
9 Comprehensively strengthen Egyptian technical and
institutional capabilities in the full spectrum of
renewable energy planning and decision-making for
technologies and applications
Develop and sustain an Egyptian renewable energy
infrastructure through establishment of data bases
information systems and organizations that effectively
serve both the public and private sectors
Design realize and evaluate the performance of a
series of field tests which utilize commercially
available technologies in applications having potential
for widespread use in Egypt
Complete formal managerial and technical training both
on-the-job and specialized and an intensive
information dissemination program
- 31 shy
The design operation maintenance and repair experience
with solar thermal systems that will be obtained through this
field test to form a strong technical base for the design and
application of other renewable energy technologies is an
important factor which has not entered into the benefit cost
calculation in this report These additional factors need to be
considered seriously for the go-no-go decision
- 32 shy
APPENDIX A
-cono mcarz F7ra r na 2Analvsis fo- Erer gyi s t s y --t ne E8 0o
TA -1E-1
Fcr Case ofFELD TEST 4 - HELW TEXTILEIIPH (CILLECTOR PRICE S35313FT- PRICE Cz OIL $158L)Assumr iliEscalatior Rate of
Savec ValLe Of V~Caoitaltea- Cost Deratzrnc Cost of OilCost Sbl Fuel Usea Fuel(bi) EeravCs Saveo AnnualEuiv Er-eray Lost
Casi Flow Discounted Cash Flo~w (NV) j=urrert 48
Ion $14--Oui -It X=-=== ==--- ----==---=-------S shyrarsoort 1 Construc ionI i nt er o 0ne zt i o r $$14$35 $4C- $1500 $0 31Tta 5870$(
58 $150415 ($149545)6520 S153cent S14945) ($149545) ($14954-)$0 348 (149 4W)V 5324 $20$2520 $1561 4 ($146848) 3146948)4 0 $0 348 ($14699) (S14704)SO $5431i250 159= 550 $2911 ($1441 ) ($1445)5 Si $0 348 $5540 S252 S020
($14550) ($144721)$252) 1624 ($141473) (142056)$$ 348 ($142321) (142571)8 5650$0 $1G56 0 $313r ($13797) ($139755) (S140ljE7 $ (140582)$0 346 _7632 20 $1689 0 $W 348 $520 $3243 ($13611) ($137548) ($138169)8 S5873 2520SO $25Z0 $1723 $3359 ($133477) ($135431)0 $0 (M76274 ($137040)9- W S757 348 S5336 $25200 SO 348 $3476 (s123235 ($133402) ($134490)10 $5116 S-20 ($135468)$0 $2520 51733 0
$352 (128205) ($131460)11S 250 $0 348 $6238 (13 812) ($134015)510s $2520 $3718 ($125595) so $2520 4 Sampo $3843
(S12600) (131235) ($132674)$ bull252$1S65 0 $0 348 $6490) ($1 999) ($127820) ($1k9754) ($131437)13 V) 520 $1902
$ 2-t $3370 ($1 j420) ($126117) ($128 3) ($130256)14 348 $6620$0 S2520 $1940
0 S0 $2520 $410W ($117859) ($124489)0 $0 348 ($127055) ($129243)15 (1 2520 $197 0 $6753 S250 $233 ($115317) ($22932) ($125 89)16 $0
so 348 $6888 S252 (3128273)i3520 4368$2019 ($1I1C755)
17 0 $0 348 $7025 (3121445) ($124679) ($127379)$2K$0 $-) 0 01 $156- ($I12S3)
348 3120025 ($123601) ($126556)$7166 512520 646 (S107812) (S11BC65918 $0 ($122590) (S125710 52 10 21 100 0 so - 0$2 520J 348 7309 t4935S21 42 0 so) 50 $789 ($102918i($105354) i17374) ($1216421 ($125101)20 348 $7 455 ($116139)$0 $2520 $2 5 ($12-0754)$2185 0 ($124459)s021 348(W30) $2520 57 605 $2-50 $5085$2229 ($I00504)0 s0 348 $7757
(314961 ($119923) ($123869)($3780 S11537 ($9239) ($112486) ($I18208) ($IM673)$143695 $50820 0 $0 7018 $130239 $194515 ($64276)
A-1
TABLE A-I (Contd) ASSUMPTIONS TABLE BENEFIT-COSTS TALE (Calculated)
Economic and Financiai Analvsis for Energy -strnents - Egypt EEA 101986
Cacital Costs Benefit Parameters Internal Rate of Return -425
Acouisition $149995 Price of Oil $1500 bbl (yr 1)Trarsoortation $0 Oil Escalat 20year Disc PV of FV of BCConstruction $0 Rate Benefits Costs NOV Ratio
interconnection $0 Enrgy Savns 348 bblyear Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 $130 23 $194515 ($64276) 067TOTAL (Cap) $149995
El $105270 $187381 (582111) 056
Construct Time 10 morhs 4 $86548 $181787 ($95239) 0486 $72307 $177 355 ($105048) 041
Ooeratinc and Normal Maintenance Costs 8 $61319 $173805 (3112486) 03510 $5725 $170933 $118208) 031 11 $$3l26 $169701 ($120575) 029oeratino Cost $2520 year 12 $45912 $168585 ($122673) 027Operating Lifetime 21 years 13 $43032 $167571 ($124539) 026
Major Eauipment ReoairReolacement 14 $40443 $166647 ($126204) 024 15 $38108 $165804 ($227695) 023
Salvage Value ($6300)period 16 $35 997 $165032 ($129034) 022 18 $32342 $163674 ($131332) 020Replace Period 20 years 20 $29303 1162522 ($133219) 018
A-2
--
__
Ewic a Fzranzai Z aiys s for Enercy Investments Eayot EEAq-
10I9i-
1PLE A-2 For Case ofFIELD TEST 4-- H2LWRN TEXTILEIP (COLLECTOR PRICE $30SQF - PRICE OF OIL $20BlAssumino Oil Escalation Rate of 0OL
Ca0ita Oeratira Cost cf Oilyear Fuel UsedCost Cost $Bb Saved VEL- -Fuei Ererly(Bb) Cost ave Arr al Cas FlowEouv ne-v LisOurted Cash FlowAnua C Flow 0V) 6 ===--- shy ======= =----=- rcuisior $1 93 -- Codegt ure~n $4Trar-I sSrC0=-=---= = 8 10 12=== =_==== -= =shy
=== =---==_-_I Corstru-t or te $34 512415 $2
431$951 Tota) C$Z $520 5 $160 (Q14-$1-47 $24
fSO $A 0 so 2s ($14 SH5) ($149255)$0
$73 $-5 ($144 8-( ($492s)$ $4$274 ( -14482)(3145015)s 348 (31450321$7241 $2520 ($145GG) $ $ 20 12 65 o so$01
348 0
$472( ($140487) ($140357) (s1411025200 ($1414031$25207 $2208 $ 0 3(1381611($i37 105 0 $11 4 3$0 20 S5_a20 5 0 so ($137534) ($137939)52520 348
0 $S034 3483 $7645 3 S- $5014 ($131875)$78 $1202 (11j33419)SO2 $ $5318SE184 ($12763 ($126 5531 (3134110) (134753)($123428)
$0 S3 ($127901) ($129128)$2520 $2297 $0 $2 2 o 0 345 $4I4 ($$2343 $995 1)7 ($1239(50 348 $2520 5475 ($130903)Ii 3155 s2$23 $131822)$ 183$0$2$SC n 5 ($13 50 ) ($120314 ) ($1224 )0 ($ 124376)-2$-iSO $23($ 5212~~ $ 520 2438S S $1 513 3) (SI27903 ) ( 52)$252 0 $2$0~ $7980 0 3 -4 i$110761 ($117414)1$ $2FO ($120000 -2520 $5 Z $59 4 ($12-2285)
gs )1 3 $20 287 $0348 1$107 0-7) ($S141238 ($ 17 7 0) SI2652587 $$c 24 ($120 3 5 )15 $0 0 (S0563) ($112021)$2 52 $2 $-9348 ($11555) ($118601)$0 520 6 0 so 34 8 $2 443483 S82 311104 $220$ 520 S664 ($30) ($107132)$ 307 ($931($S3123)) ( 10 (Si1267) ($115497)6 ($I04Ef) ($11973)5I) ($S 15451 ($11133)o0 $2 520 ($1169 3)SO 5 2 920 032520 5274 6 0 4 8 $ 36 $S 2- 8$0 47 ( 1 014 34 6 $3555 ($ I02 70 19 348 $7U ($1 0743 ) ($I 1i7
s0 $2520 $2800 0 $2 520 7 0 5 ($8 834 ($00 65) ) ($10 8 273 ) ($112 8 2 )
$2520 $9 0 $200 $72- (914$) 3)S0 $4 ($90 063 ($110682)27 $0 $2 c856 00 ($76 51)2$5 14 0 0 348 0 ($9 842 ($0397 ($10977)340 $I0139 -521 $2 5 0 $($6300) $7 19$2520 $2972 0 ( 72 8 35 ($ 076 ()0s0 ($102 72) ($10023)348 $10342 (3780) $1418 ($ 3) ($9246) ($100633) ($I0735)
$143695 $0820 0 s 7018 $173652 $194515 ($20863)
A-3
ASSUMPTJINS TABLE TABLE A-2 (Contd) BENEFIT-COSTS TPBLE (Calculated)
Economicand Finar_ial Analysis fr Energy Investments - Egypt EE 10191S6
Capital Costs Benefit Parareters Internal Rate of Return -124
Acquisitior 149995 Price of Oil 2000 bbl (y 1)Transoortation $0 Oil Escalat 20rvear Disc PV of PV of BC
Construction $0 Rate Benefits Costs NPV RatioInterconrection $0 Enrgy Savrias 348 bblyear --- _____-__
- Fuel Use 0 bblivear 0 $173652 $1S4515 ($20863) 089TOTAL (Car) $14995 2 $14036O $187381 (347021) 075 4 $115398 S181787 (36E390) 063Construct Time 10 months 6 $96409 S177355 ($80946) 054
8 $31759 5173805 ($92 046)Ooerating and Normal Maintenance Costs 047l0 $70299 $170 933 ($100633) 041
11 $65502 $169701 (3104199) 039Operatino Cost S2520 year 12 $61216 1amp3585 ($107369) 036Oerating Lifetime 21 years 13 57376 $167571 (3110195) 034
14 $53924 $16G647 (3112723) 032Major Equioment ReoairReplacement 15 $50811 $165804 ($114992) 031 16 $47997 $165032 ($117035) 0213Replace Cost ($6300)oeriod 18 $43123 $163674 (3120551) 026Replace Period 20 years 20 $39071 $162522 ($123451) 024
A-4
Econonxc and Finarcial 9ralvsis for Energy Investrets -- EcvDt EEA 1013i6C
TABLE A-3
For Case ofFIELD TEST 14 - H-LWAN TEXTILEIPi ( COLLECTOR PRCE $30SQFT- PRICE OF OIL $25BBL) Assuming Oil Escalation Rate of 20
Saved Valus ofCacital boeratirng Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel Energy Saved Annual Cash Flow Discounted Cash Flow ((NV) iYear Cost Cost $Bbl (Bbl) Cost Eauiv Erercy Cost Currert f 4 8 10 12
S Accuisitio $149995
1 Transoort $0 I Construct ior $0 I Interconnection $0
Totil $149q95 $420 $2500 0 $0 58 $1450 S150 415 ($14295) (3148965) ($48965) ($14895) ($148965)$0 $2520 $2550 0 s0 348 $3874 $2520 $3354 ($142855) ($143082) ($143189) ($143292)3 s0 $2520 $2601 0 $0 348 $9051 $2520 ($1368171 ($137482) ($137791) ($133085)4 $0 2520 $2653 5
0 s0 348 $3233 $252 $ 713 ($130643) ($132153) ($132748) ($133307)$0 2520 $2706 0 $0 6
348 $9417 $2520 $o897 ($124954) ($127084) ($128037) ($128924)$0 S2520 $2760 0 $0 348 $9606 $2520 S7056 ($119130) ($122261) ($123637) ($124903)7 so $2520 $2815 0 $0 348 $3798 $2520 $7278 ($113378) (117675) ($119529) ($121216)so $1520 $28728 0 $0 348 $39A 9
S2520 $7474 ($107699) ($11331b) ($115694) ($117836)s0 $2520 $2929 0 $0 348 $10193 $25L0 $7673 ($102032) ($09169) ($1121141 ($114736)10 $0 2520 $2986 0 11
$1 348 $10397 $25_lt $7877 ($36557) ($105228) ($103774) ($111896)$0 $2520 $3047 0 $0 348 $10 60 $_520 $308512 ($31095) ($I01483) ($105656) (5109293)$0 $2520 $3106 0 $0 348 $10817 $2520 $8237 ($85706) ($97925 ($102748) ($106907)13 $0 $2520 $3171 0 $0 348 $11034 $2520 $8514 ($80388) ($94544) ($10003-5) ($104722)$0 $2520 $323414 0 $0 348 $11254 $2520 $873415 ($75142) ($91332) ($97505) ($102720)$0 $2520 $3299 0 $0 348 $11479 $2520 $8959 ($69968) ($88282) ($95146) ($100837)16 $0 $2520 $3365 0 $0 348 $I709 $2520 $3189 ($64866) ($85385) ($92946) ($99208)17 $0 $2520 $3432 0 $0 348 $11943 $252(l $9423 ($59835) ($M 634) ($90895) ($97671)18 $0 $2520 $3501 0 $0 348 $12182 $2520 $3662 ($54875) ($80023) ($88984) ($264)19 so $2520 $3571 0 $0 348 $12426 $2520 $9906 ($349985) ($77544) ($87202) ($94976)20 $0 $2520 $3642 0 $0 348 $12674 $2520 $10154 ($45165) ($75191) ($85542) ($93797)21 ($6300) $2520 $3715 0 $0 348 $12928 ($3780) $16708 ($37540) ($71607) ($830558) ($92065)
$143695 $50820 0 $0 7018 $217065 $194515 $22550
A-5
-- --
TABLE A-3 (Contd) ASSUMPTIONS TABLE BENFIT-COSTS TABLE (Calculated)
Economic and Financial Analysis for Energy Investments - Egyot EEA i01986
Capital Costs Benefit Parameters Internal Rate of Return 124
Acouisition $149995 Price of Oil $25CK bbl (yr 1)TransDortation $0 Oil Escalat 20year Disc PY of PV of BCConstruction $0 Rate Benefits Costs NPV Ratio
Interconrection $0 Enrgy Savngs 348 bblyear m_ S -- - Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 $217065 $194515 $2550 112
TOTAL Cap) $149995 2 $175450 $187381 ($11931) 094
4 $144247 $181787 ($37540) 079Construct Time 10 months 6 $120511 $177355 ($56844) 068 8 $102 198 $173805 ($71607) 059DOeratino and Normal Maintenance Costs 10 $87674 $170933 ($83058) 051
11 $81877 $169701 ($87824) 048Deratina Cost $2520 year 0 Sshye i s 5 a $76520 $168585 ($92065) 045ODperatina Lifetime 21 years 23 $71720 $167571 ($95851) 043
14 $67405 $166647 ($99242) 040Major Eauipment RepairReplacement 15 $63514 165804 ($102290) 038
16 $59996 $165032 ($105036) 036Salvage Value ($6 300period 18 $53904 $163674 ($109770) 033 Replace Period 20 years 20 $48839 $162522 ($1136833) 030
A-6
Econotic and Financial Araiysis for Energy Irvesteents - Egypt EEA 101986
TABLE A-4
For Case ofFI-2-D -ST 14 - HELWAN TEXTILEIPH ( COLLTOR PRICE 30SFT - PRICE OF OIL $30BBL)Assunina Oil Escalation Rate of 20
Saved Value of
CaPital Oerating Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel EreryYear Cost Cost $bl (PbI) Cost Ecuiv Savea Annual Cash Flow Discounted Cash Flow (N91V) IErerey Cost Currer $ 4 8 10 12
Pcousition $142995 I Tr2rsport $0 1 Constrtio s I Intercorrecto $01 Total $14995 $420 $3000 0 $0SO58 $1740 $150415 (148675) 3514375) ($148675) ($143675) ($148675)
$0 $60C 220 303 $25 0 $3121 0 5 34 506 9 2$0 348 $10862 50 $8 1 9 ($ 4 0 85M) ($ 1 4 11 4 8) ( S 141e280$25X) $342 ($133146) ($133937) ($134391)) ( $ 141 41 7 1
4 (3134767)$0 $2520 $31845 $0 2520 $347 0 0
$0 348 $11079 S2520 $8559 ($125537)$0 346 $1301 $2 (127202) ($127961) ($128675)0 2520 $3312
520 5781 ($118032) ($120748) ($121963) ($123095)7 0 $0 348 $111527 S2-0so S2520 $3378 $3007 ($110629) (114618)
850 0 (116371) ($117984)so 348 51275752520 $3446 0 $0 348
S2520 $9237 ($103329) ($108797) (111157) (113304)$I992 $2520 $9472 (39613) ($103270) ($106296) ($109020)$0 $2520 $35 1510 0$0 $2520 $3585 0 s0 348 $12232 S2520 $9712 ($89034 (598(023)11 $0 348 S2477 ($01765 (3105097)$0 $2 500 S 521t0 $9957 ($5 039)$3657 0 0 (33042 ($97543) ($101507)348 $12726 S252012 0 $ 2520 $53730
$10206 ($7E144) ($88315) (1193608) (S98220)0 $0 348 $12981 $25 $10461 ($S3 3h8)14
52520 (55823) ($89941) ($95213)$0 $2520 $3881 510720 (61 652)0 ($79571) ($86525)s0 348 $13505 ($92461)I5 $0 $2520 $10985 (555055)52520 $3958 0 ($75532 (583343) (89944)s0 348 $1377516 SO S2520 S511255 ($4e5) (571700)$2520 $4038 0 ($0379) (387641)$0 348 51405117 $0 $2520 $4118 0
S2520 $11531 ($4 153 ($68065) ($77 61) ($85534)s0 348 $14332 $218 -0 $11812$0 $2520 (35846) (364617) (575048)$4201 0 ($83607)19 348 $141619 S2520$0
s0 $1209 (59635$2520 $4285 ($61347) ($72650 ($81845$0 348 $1491120 $0 $2520 $2520 $12331 ($23519) ($58247)$4370 0 ($70426) ($80234)$0 348 $15209 $252021 (36300Y $2520 54458 0 $0 12689 ($174 ) ($55306) ($68351) ($78761)348 $15513 (53780) $19293 ($8691) ($51167) ($65484) (76761)
$143695 S5m0 0 so 7018 $260478 $194515 $65963
A-7
TABLE A-4 (Contd) ASSUMPTIONS TABLE BENEFIT-COT3 TABLE (Calculated)
Economic and Financial Aralysis for Energy Investments -- Egypt EEA 1019166
Caoital Costs Benefit Pararmeters Internal Rate of Return 339
Acquisition $149995 Price of Oil $3000 bbl (yr 1) Transportation $0 Oil Escalat L(Wvear Disc PV of PV of BC
Construct ior $0 Rate Benefits Costs NPV Ratio Interconnectior $0 Enrgy Savrias 348 bblvear
Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 S260478 $19455 $65963 134 TOTAL (Cao) $149995 2 $210540 $187381 S23159 112
4 $173097 $118787 ($8691) 095 Construct Time 10 months 6 $144614 $177355 ($32741) 382
8 $122638 $173805 1167 071 Operating and Normal Maintenance Costs 10 $105449 $170933 ($65464 062
11 $98253 $169701 ($71448) 058 Oerating Cost $2520 year 12 $91824 $168585 ($76761) 054
Operating Lifetime 21 years 13 $86064 $167571 ($81507) 051 14 $80885 $166647 ($85761) 049
Major Equipment RepairReDlacement 15 $76217 $165804 ($89587) 046 16 $71995 $165032 ($93037) 044
Replace Cost ($6300)period 18 $64685 $163674 ($98989) 040 Replace Period 20 years 23 $58607 $162522 ($103915) 036
A-8
Ecromic and Fna-ia Aaysis for Ene-v investmerts - E yvt EEP shyi(I195
TABLE A-5
For ie ofFIELD TEST 44 - H-LWA-4 TEXTILEi C E-TO PR CE $305 FT - PRIZE OF OIL $35BBL) Assurjc Oil Escalation PR-e of 20
Saved Vaiue cfa-tal Ooeratlr_ Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel Ererv a eO Anual poundan Flow Discounted Cash Flow (NPV) i = Year r st cost SPbl (bbl) [cst Eciv Errgv Cost Currert $ 4 8 10 12
I SI auxsiticr 1433
1 Trarsoort $0
EorstrLZt cr $0 SI-tercorrezt ior $0
Total $143 995 $420 $3500 0 so 58 $2030 S15-415 ($145385) (4148385) ($148385) (M142335) ($1483351$0 $2520 $3570 0 $0 348 $1424 $2520 $3904 ($138862) ($133215) ($39382) (13543)Sto S2520 $3041 0 $1 348 51-672 $520 $10(152W20476) ($130511) (S130992) ($131443)4 $1 $2523 $3714 0 S0 348 226 $2520 $10406 ($12C226) ($122251) ($23174 ($124043)o$0 2520 $3789 0 $ 34B $12184 52520 $10664 t$111I10) ($114413) ($115890) ($27266)
6 s0 $2520 $3864 0 $0 348 t53448 $252n 10928 (S102128) ($106975) (3109105) ($111065)70 $2520 $3942 0 s0 348 $13717 12520 S111137 ($93279) ($99 920) ($102785) ($10- 392)5 $0 $2520 $4020 0 $0 348 $13231 $250 $S1471 ($845 2) ($93226) ($33898) (M100204)9 VI $2520 $4101 0 so 348 $14271 S520 $11751 (175976) ($86878) ($91416) ($3f458)
10 $0 $2520 $4183 0 $0 348 $14556 $2520 $12036 ($67520) ($80E5) ($86312) ($11117)11 s0 $2520 42G 0 $0 348 $14647 $2520 1123227 (S52192) ($75147) ( 8155) ($7148)12 $ 0 $4352 0 so 348 $15144 $2520 $12624 ($5- 931) ($69732) ($77134) ($83519)13 $0 $2520 $4439 0 so 348 $15447 $2 0 $12927 ($42917) ($64599) ($73015) (W8320)14 $0 $ 50 $4528 0 $0 348 $I-755 $2520 S1323- ($34938) ($53732) ($69181) ($77168)15 SO $2520 $4618 (1 $0 348 $16071 $2520 $13551 ($27142) (S55118) ($5613) ($7439516 t0 $2520 $4711 0 $0 348 $16333 $250 $13873 ($1 439) ($50745) ($62232) ($71860)17 $0 $2520 $4805 0 $0 348 $16721 $2120 $14201 ($I1657) ($4660) ($59201) ($G9544)18 $0 $25200 $4901 0 so 348 $17055 $250 $14535 ($4396) (02672) ($5632) ($67427)19 $0 $2520 $4999 0 $0 348 $17396 $2520 $14876 $2948 ($33949) ($53650) ($65492)20 $0 $2520 $5093 21
0 $0 348 $17744 $3520 $15224 $10174 ($35421) ($51161) ($3725)($6300) $2520 $5201 0 $0 348 $18099 ($3780) $21879 $20159 ($30727) ($47909) ($61457)
$143695 $50820 0 $0 7018 $303891 $194515 $103376
A-9
TABLE A-5 (Contd)ASSUMPTIONS TABLE ENEFIT-COSTS TABLE (Calculated)
Economic and Financiai Analysis for Erergy Investments -- Egyot EEA 10965
Capital Costs Benefit Parameters Internai Rate of Return 534
Acquisition $149995 Price of Oil $35K0 bbl (yr 1) Transport tior $0 Oil Escalat 20vear Disc PV of FV of PCConstruction $0 Rate Benefits Costs tPV Ratio
Interconnectior $0 Enrgy Savns 342 bblyear ==-- -Fuel Use 0 bblvear 0 $303531 $154515 $103376 156
TOTAL (Cap) $149995 2 $245630 $187331 $58249 3
4 $i20 46 $181787 20159 i11Construct Time 10 months 6 $163716 $177355 ($8639) 095 8 $143078 $173805 ($30727) 082
Operating and Normal Maintenance Costs 10 $123024 $170933 ($47909) 072 11 S114628 $169701 ($55 073) 068
Operating Cost $2520 year 12 $107128 $165585 ($61457) 064 Operating Lifetime 21 years $l40810 $167571 ($67163) 060
14 $94366 $166647 ($72281) 057Major Equipment RepairReolacement 15 $82920 $165804 ($76864) 054
16 $83994 $165032 ($81038) 051Replace Cost ($6300)period 18 $75465 $163674 $88-08) 046
Replace Period 20 years 2 $68375 $162522 ($94147) 042A- 10
Eccricmi ane Finarcial AnalysiT fo Energy trvest-ents -- Ev-t EEA 101215
TAlKE A-5
For Case ofFiED TEST 04 - HELWPN TEXTIL=IPH (COLLECTD PRICE $3SFT- PRICE as OIL $40BBL) Ass mir Oil Esralatior Rate of 20
Savet Yait- ofCaoital ODerating Ccst of Oil Fuel bse Fuel Energy Saved fnrnal [a- Flch Liscounted Cash Flow (NPV) i = Year Cost Cost $bl (Bbi) CLst Ecit1 Energy Ccst C-rert$ 4 8 10 12
I Acc-ist on $142995 I -ras)ort $0 1 cnstr t o $0
I te-crrezt icr $0 Total $14995 $420 $400N 0 $0 58 $2320 $15045 (S143C135 ($14209) ($143095) ($142035) ($148095)S) $220 $4080 0 so78 ($138f6) ($137282) ($137478) ($137663)
$0 $2520 $4162 r $0 348 $1442 $250 $192 ($125806) ($127026) (M27592) ($128132)4 so 12120 $4245 0 s0 348 $14 77 S25K0 V2252 ($114914) ($117300) (1115337) ($119411)soS0 2 $43310s _$0 25 $330 0 1-7j(1147 0 ($04188)6 $0 $2520 $4416
$0 348 $15$7 525 $12547 ($108077) ($109817) ($111437)0 $0 348 s15 $252 $12849 ($33627) ($93322) ($1083S) ($104146)7 so $2 520 $4505 0 V) 348 $ 676 S21520 $13156 ($83230) ($31042) ($94412) ($97481)
8 $0 $2520 $4595 0 $0 348 $15 9 o 2520 S13470 ($72934) ($83 182) ($57500) ($9388)9 $0 $252) $4687 Q $0 348 $I309 $2520 $3 789 ($62918) $75732) ($31067) ($85818)10 $0 $2520 $4780 0 $0 348 $6631 5 2520 $14116 ($53001) ($68671) ($75081) ($0728)11 $0 $2520 $4676 0 $0 348 $1696 $520 $14448 ($43240) ($61979) ($69510) ($76076)12 $0 $2520 $4973 0 $0 348 $17308 $2520 $14788 ($33634) ($55636) ($64327) ($71825)13 $0 $2520 73 0 $0 348 $17654 $2520 $15134 ($24181) ($49626) ($59505) ($67940) 14 $0 $2520 $5174 0 $0 348 $18 007 S250 $5487 ($14880) ($43932) ($55019) ($64391)15 $0 $2520 $5278 0 $0 348 $ P367 $2 520 $15847 ($572-3) ($38537) ($50646) (55148)
$0 $220 $538316 0 $0 348 $18734 $25032 ($33425) ( 5) (58186)17 s $2520 $549 0 $0 348 $191$2 250 $I5 9 $12 131 ($328583) ($43354) ($55480)18 $0 $2520 $5601 C $0 348 $19491 $2520 $IE971 $20844 ($23996) ($39997) ($53008)19 $0 $2520 $5713 so 348 $19881 $2520 $173C1 $39414 ($19651) ($36874) ($50751)20 $0 $2520 $5827 (t $0 348 $20273 $2520 $17759 $37843 ($15536) ($33370) ($48689)21 ($6 300) $2520 $5944 $0 348 $20684 ($3780) $24 A64 $49 008 ($10288) ($30334) ($46153)
$143695 $50820 0 $0 7018 $347 304 $194515 $152789A-1 1
TABLE A-6 (Contd)ASSUMPTIONS TABLE BEIEF7-COSTS TABLE (Calculated)
Ecoroic nj Firancial Analysis for Energy Investmerts - Egypt EEA 10195G
azitai Costs Benefit Parameters internal Rate of eturr 714
Acuisition $149995 Price of Oil $400 bbl (yr 1)Transportat ior so Oil Escalat 20year Disc PV of PV of BCConstruction so Rate Benefits Cost- NPV RatioInterconnection $0 Enrgy SavTgs 348 bbyear ==== =-shy
--- Fuel Use 0 bbear 0 $347304 $194515 $152 789 179TOTAL (Ca ) $149 95 2 $28D720 $187381 $93359 150
4 230796 $181787 $49008 127Construct Time 10 months 6 $192818 $177355 V15463 109 8 $163517 $173 805 ($10288) 094Ooerating and Norwal Maintenance Costs 10 $140599 $170933 ($30334) 08211 $13004 $169701 $33698) 077
fteratiri$ Cost 12) $122432 $168585 ($46153) 073Ooeratirn Lifetime 21 years 13 $1i 751 $167571 ($52819) 068
Major Equi~oent ReoairReplacesent 14 $07847 $166647 ($58800) 06515 $10i622 5165804 ($64181) 061
16 $95993 $165032 ($69 039) 058Replace Cost ($6300)period 18 $86246 $163674 ($77428) 053Replace Period 20 years A12 20 $78143 $162522 ($84379) 048
ccz- a Firaca Araiysi- for Erergy IrvestL-rrts -- Ecyrt EC 01)83
TAP-LE P-7
For Case ofFIZLD TEST 4 - H-LWAN TEXTILEWAS-i i-AT PRESVERY wRIC2 SIS08L)DiL Assumiron Oil Escalation Rate of 20
Saved ValL- CCaoital DoeratinQ Cost of Oil Fue Used Fuel Erervy save kriual Cash Flow Discourted Cash Flow (NPV) 3 i =Yea- Cost Cost $b1 (Bbl) Cost Ecuiv Ererzv Cet Currert $ 4 8 10 12
1 Trar-s $0ort 1orstr-t lor $0
I I t e ronez t i m S-1 $735 $833 $Q500 C 0 1341 $27 62 53851 ($542231) (S542231) (S542231) (S542231) ($542231)Sc 53 S530 0 so 11045 $1ES034 11359 S76755- 0o62o) ($356235) (S93830) ($401450)SO $I1359 $15S1 $0 11048 S172415 jeuro $113-1S (3241715) ($252156) 3273 011353 V S 457 ($-=766) -4 to 259 $1592 0 iO 11045 $173863 1353 S164504 ($35471) ($127567) (142M1) ($15556)
Q S11359 $1624 0 $0 (148 17 I S11359 S63 -- $4 155 (340ampG) ($27 430) ($49185)6 11353 -016 U $0 11045 $182136 $12353 2171609 $183205 S12728 73126 1421917 $0 $11359 $1669 0 $0 14048 $186623 $S 353 i75269 $32772 $=223177 $173060 $136987$1125 $173 0 $0 11048 $536r $-53 S173001 $46 74S 3276-3 $263916 $2153S0 S111359 $1757 0 $ 11048 S194167 $13f $182808 S59735 $426389 5355 198 $29179210 $0 $1793 0 S0 11043 S1930L $3 $15 3 72H492 513781 $434373 S353115110 $11359 $128 0 S 1 $11048( I $190653 $357 30 $608090 $57 878 S420500 S0 $1365 0 $0 11048 $HS052 1-3 $134633 $383753 359159 $57617 $47646313 v0 $11353 $1902 0 $0 11043 S210173 $1- $193314 $1107338 $770542 $133465 1527500l$0 $11353 $1940 0 $0 11048 $214376 $1153 $203017 $223E665 $845191 $$5272 $574 0651373 s53$0 11048 1213664 $11359 $2737 $1349578 $915771 $7-2862 $61644516 $0 359 $2019 0 $ 11043 S223077 $11359 $211678 $1467116 $382501 $803536 $65511817 $ 511 353 $2059 0 $0 11049 $227498 S595 $216133 $1582514 $1045583 $850574 $5037518 1 1A3 S2100 0$0 11048 122C48 $1135 $2-20683 $1695810 $1105235 $894236 $7251719 $0 $11359 S2142 0 $0 11048 $236689 $11359 $S25330 $1807033 $1161623 $934764 $75181920 S0 $11359 12185 0 0 11048 $241423 $11353 $230064 $1316237 $1214932 1372331 $778531
21 $0 $11359 $2229 0 $0 11048 $246251 $1135 $234832 $202349 $1265328 1007296 $802881
$5679558 $Zgt9073 0 $0 222801 $0134711 $797031 $3337680
A-13
ASTYPTINS TABLE TABLE A-7 (Contd) BEEIT-rOT TAEPLE (Calculated)
Economic and Financial Analysis for Energy Investsents - Egypt EEA 10196
Capital Costs Benefit Faraineters interral Rate of Return 3101
Acquisitiorn $567952 Price of Oil 1500 bbl (yr 1) Trarsportatior $0 Oil Escalat 20year Disc PV of FVof BC
Corstruct ior $0 Rate Benefits Costs lrv Ratio
Irterconrection $0 Enrgy Sar_as 1104 bblyear -
--- ------ Fue Use 0 bbiyear 0 $41-4711 $77031 $3337680 519 TOTAL (Ca) $H67952 2 $34202-0 S755587 $2586433 442
4 t2747662 $72424 $2023439 379 Construct Time 10 morths 6 $2235 532 $700 138 $LJj5394 328
8$1946703 $68137G $1265328 286
Ooeratina and Normal Mairtenance Costs 10 $1673853 $666557 $1007296 251
11 $55962n $660307 $399314 236
Oerating Cost $11359 year 12 $1457578 $654697 $802881 223
Operating Lifetime 21 years 13 $136G 136 $64- 645 $716491 210 14 $1283$40 $645083 $638857 199
Major Equipment PeoairReplacemert 15 $1209831 $640951 $568880 189 16 $1142817 $37197 $505620 179
Replace Cost $0 period 18 $1026777 $630653 $396124 163
Replace Feriod 20 years 20 $930302 $625165 $305137 149
A-14
Econoi an Fnarial alysi for Energy Irve te-pt -- Eryct EEP 10138_
TABLE A-8
For Case cfF7ELD TEST $4 - HE=LWqN TEXTILE4qSTE -_j E[CXERY (PRCE C7 OIL $2013E_) Assurn_ 0i Escaiaticon Rate of 20
Saved Vale cf Capita Doeratn Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel Energy Saved rrual Cash c-w-- Discounted Cash Flow (NOV) i = Yea- Cost Cost Eb (pb]) Ccst Equiv Ererz Cst Currert $ 4 8 10 2
oisi67Ac s tr
rarExrt $0 rorstrztio sc
IIrerccrr_tor $0 7 $200Y 0 C1841 1687Tctai$78K S 98 1 )$53C3 ) 315Z3 02) ($5330251 ($533025) ($533015)2 v $11355 $ 04Q 0 $0 11048 t225379 $1153 $214020 (327235) (S-34858) ($338461) ($341935)3 $0 $11353 $08i C $0 11048 $-23857 $1135 1-258 ($125195) (S147505) ($157B59) (167726)
4 $0 $1135 $21 22 0 $0 11048 $234465 $11359 $223126 $73163 $23619 $3778 (18910) $0 fI1-- $21E5 0 $0) 11048 $29174 $353 $227815 $26790 $197070 $r5 379 $125S71E $0 $13 2 2 083 0 so 11048 S2433K8 S1352 5-3 $459080 1355 373 $303805 $267854
7 $0 611355 $252 C $1) 11048 $243K7 $59 $27478 $4762 $505024 $-855 53881678 $ $1135 $227 0 $0 11048 $2K2814 353 -142455 $33007 $646494 $568272 $4978429 $1 35 $2343 (1 $0 11046 $253 83 $111359 s47 531 $1011876 $780227 $623747 $59781510 $0 $11359 $I39 0 $0 11048 $26068 $135 $252703 $1183426 $906644 $790920 $68894411 soS 1359 $2438 0 s0 l048 $2634 S1 359 S57990 $1363714 $1026144 3890387S77201012 $0 $11359 $2487 0 s0 11048 $274736 $353 $263377 $1534793 $1139102 $982699 $84772513 $0 S11259$2535 0 $0 11048 $280231 $11359 $268872 i1702736 $1245874 $1068389 $91673814 $0 $11359 $2587 C0 $0 11046 $285835 $1359 $274476 $1867573 $1346733 $1147876 $97364015 so $11-359 $2629 0 s 11048 $291552 $i135 S28193 12023383 $1442193 $1221659 $103697316 $0 S1359 $2632 0 $0 11048 1237383 S353 $22-024 $2188202 $1532360 $1290131 $108922917 $ 111359 $2746 ( s0 11048 $303331 $11359 $291972 $234408 $1617584 11253673 $113885618 $0 $11359 $2800 0 $0 11048 $303-97 $115 $298038 $2497093 $1698134 $1412638 $118026419 $0 $11359 $2856 0 $0 11048 $315585 11359 $304226 $2G47268 $1774267 $1467356 $1219 8520 $0 $11359 $2914 0 $0 11048 $321897 $11359 $310538 $2794663 $1846222 $518131 $125588121 $0 $11359 $2972 0 $0 11048 $328335 $11359 $316976 $2939326 $191422 $565248 $1288740
$567958 $229073 0 $0 222801 i5512948 $797031 $4715917
A-15
P7UrSPTIONS TABLE TABLE A-8 (Contd) EtEFIT-CSTS TABLE (Calculated)
Ecoroic ard irarcial Analysis for Energy Investments -- Egypt EEA 1019E6
apital Ccsts Benefit Parareters Irterral Rate of Return 4220
Acquisition $567958 Transportation $0
Construct ior $0 Irtercor rectior $0
Price of Oil Oil Escalat
Enrgy Savrgs
$2000 bbl (yr 1) 20year
11048 bblyear
Disc
Rate
----
PV of erefits
PV of
Costs NPV
BC
Ratio
TOTPL (Cap) $567958 Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 J55948
2$4456027 $797031 $75587
$4715917 $3 700440
6 2 590
Construct Time 10 corths 4$3E 3550 6$3060 709
$724224 $700 138
$2939326 $2 360571
506 437
Operating and Normal Maintenance Costs 8$2595604 1(V$2231804
$681376 $666557
$1914229 $1565248
381 335
Operating Cost Operating Lifetime
$11359 iyear 21 years
11 $2079494 12 $1343437 13 T1821515
$660307 $654697 $649645
$1419187 $1288740 $1171869
315 297 280
Major Equipment RepairReplacement 14 $1711920 15 $1613108
$645083 $640951
$1066837 $972157
265 252
Replace Cost $0 period 16 $1523756 18 $1369035
$637197 $630653
$886559 $738382
239 217
Replace Period 20 years 20 $1240402 $625165 $615238 198
A-16
Eccw= ar -narzia Pnav=_is fcr Erergy Irvestrrent_ -- Egypt EEC 101
P= A-9
or Case of2IED TEST 4 - HELPAN TEXTIEN3TE HEAT -CDOERY (PC- U BBL- ----Assmir Cil Escalation Rate of 20
SaVEdt C~famta eratirg Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel Energy Saved Annal Fasn Flow Discounted Cash Flow (UOV 8 i = lea- Cost Cost $Pb (8b1) Cost Ec-jiv Energy Cost Crrert I 4 8 10 12
I Transocrt corst rutr $7
rterornazticota HS 833 7 1841 $4S 73 -3951 C$52818 (WBIB) ($52381 1 (3523818) ($53218)SC 51133 $20 0 048 $22172 U3 $27365 ($263851 1(2731480) (278031) ($262421)$0 $11359 $2601 0 $0 11042 7=5 $12$3 5275 999 (-S74) (368Z5) 333343900253 ( 15)0 111049 ( $359 _51 747 $241737 $I82 805 $161748 5131462Q 07C 11043 S2531558 11259 12379 $477 s46 $323206 $35188 $32 27$0 $11-_ $2760 0 1n 11043 $304 94 $11 3 3 24E7--555 $722 55 $5S3 Mf $5404 - $$487517$7 $-~5 $2315 0 11048 $712 1353 $233 53 5 872 $786 871 $709649 $639347$ $1 5282 0 $0 14 391141292 0 IK93
656f $8662 S7777253SiZ bull0 $312 5 $1426427 T113465 $10122372 9 3 39 $ 35- $2983 0 $ 145 $33035 1 3 3 726 $165035 $12350M S1147467 $108774$C $135 $304711 0 S0 11046 $3365pound 5ii5 $325 22712 $)
187C 129t44419- $1272895 SI 2351$- $3103 C S 113 $34$2 - 132206 $20S53 S1556613 11353280 $ PIE98c13 3 S317 0 v 1 5$143 250 $11159 $3352 $2237533 I 72120 $47274 $1305375SO 51253 $2340 s0 104 S3 $184840-
0 SO 11041 $364 $11353 5081 3709183 519E861E $262) 456 S1457500 15 Ss35-2 $3293
3 17294 $1 9 $ 9-- $ 293 $157473 $138525-5
16 V0 $1353 $3365 0 s 1I1Ns -3717 21f5 $230328917 - $ 7C 1270 2082220 $776726 $1523340$7 $II35 $34 32 0 $0 1104c8 $37312 $11 $372 4 $3105663 $2183578 $156771 1533718 S 1-13 $35 1 0 so 1048 $7332377 t1931039 $1638010$22-103419 $0 $11353 $3571 0 $0 11048 $3544S2 $135q Q83123 $3487437 $2385910 $M947 $168783120 $0 $1135q $364( $0 11048 $40-37 $1135 $391212 $3673088 $2477512 $2053881 $1733230$0 $11359 $3715 021 $9 11048 $40419 $113553 $399060 $3855214 $2563130 $2123 19 $1774600
$567 9S3 $--3073 0$0 M 801 $6831186 $737031 $6034154
A-17
SUPTIONS TABLE TABLE A-9 (Contd) EENPT-OET TAKE (Caiculated)
Ecoc an Firarzial Palysis for Energy Investments - Egypt EEA 1l6
Caits Co=ts Berefit Parameters Irterrz2 Rate R~Return 5368
Acquisition $567958 trice of Oil $250 i-b (yr I) Tarsprcrtator
Constructior
Interconnectior
$0
$0
so
Oii Esalat
Enrgy Savnps
2 0vear
11042 bblyear
Disc
Rate
V Cf
PerEfits
V of
Costs -IV
FC
Ratio
------------TOTP (ap 57959
Fuel Use 0 bl1year 0 $f)83 33
$797031 75537
1609454 $481444E
865 737
Construct Tire 10 rnortns 4 14573 437 6 $332f 886
$724224Q13855214 $700138 $S-125748
632 546
OperatinL and Ncrmal MaIntenarce Costs 3- L 5)5 1 $27K755
$ES376 $666557
5t 130 $2123199
475 419
Ooerating Cost
OperatiTrg LifetiMe
$1359 year
21 years
1 if25H37 2 $24229
3 S2276893
$660307 G 5o637
$649645
$5939081 $1774600
16-2724
394 371
350
Major Equipment RepaiReplacemert bull~~l i4$2239005 -2 01S32
$64508 $14948162051 375435$640 1 $ 4 5
3 2 315
Replace Cost
Replace Period
$0 period
20 years
16 $1X4 695 18 S1711294
20N $1 550 503
$637197 $1267498 $530652 $1080641
$625165 $925338
299 271
248
A-18
Econr- ard Fra--a haavsi fcr Er=rv investerts -- Ecyzt E
For Case ofFELD TEST 4 - HELWANTEXTILES3TE -9T REZOVERY (PCE C-O 3IBiL) PssuTir~g Oil Escalation Rate c 20
Year Capital
Cost Ooeratir
Cost Cost cf Oil
$lBbl Fuel Used
(Ebl) Fuel Cost
Saved Erergy Eauiv
ValS cf Saved
Enercy Pnral
Cost Ls iCh Crrert 1
Di-cousteJ 4
Cash Flow 8
(NPV) i 10
=
12
I P~uis~xor~1567958 Transvort $0
1 cntrct mc- 1Irte-ccrret ic
a1s
4
6
Q$ 11
12 13
14 5
16
17
18
19
20 21
$
to 11Z so 1353 C 1-S s$o $1
$0 t13
$0 $i359 $0 $
S 11135-
3 $0 $11359
$0 $1359 $ $-353
$0 I353 0 $ 111359 $0 111359
so S11359 SC $11359
$ $11359
$0 $11359 $0 $11359
$4so $ $3121 $3164
824
$3312
$3378
$3445 $3515
$3657 37730
S33(
$138 $3958 $4033
$4118
$4201
$4285 $4370 5445
(1 0
C
0
0
C00 0
0 0
0 0
0 0 C
0
0
0
0 0
$0 $0 $0
$0
$0
$0
SCso $0
$-$0
$0 $0
$0 $0 s0
$0
so
$0 $0 $0
184 1104 11048 11048
1104S
11048
110 3
11048110 I 8
1(148 11048
11049 11048
11049 11048 11046
11048
11048
11048
11048 11048
S5524C
$338069 S344831 t3727
$3537S
$ 37
$37-
t33-7 2$38 3 $383335
$3161 $4(402
$412104 $42034S
$423753 $47328 $445075
$454995
$464056
$473378
$482845 $492502
$563851
S11355 $11359 S11355
5
11135
$1352
11355s
115335
$1359 $11359
$113 $112-59 $11353
$11353
$11353
$11359 $11359 $11359
11) ($514611
S2 710 33471 $1784 $340368 $410431 S$34740 1 $7 392 IK3457 $333829
i351390$123484
-255 $15= 3 $11353$27976 $1840978 S13-36384743 $2111293
9 $3665 $2376563
$40$745 1636279 $40S987 $2 832331 $417394 $2142007 42 99 $338934
$434716 $6Sl376
$443637 $387238 $4E2 737 14093661 $452019 $4327726 $471486 $4155514 $481143 $4771101
($51461
$73796 $343991
5539 342
$84661
$1063717
S284236 $1487914
$680371 S1862251
$2034124 $21955326
$23--0 013 $2495039 $262079
$2761573
$2883934
$2999553
S3103802 $3212031
($54611
$5-7994 $313717
$50998
$77162
$975443
$164984 $134)846
$504014 $165540A
$1795862 $1926178
$2047082 $2159253 $226-3321
$2359869
$2 449 441 $2532539 $2609631 $2681150
($514611)
06
$42935 $285202
$S505933
$707180
$80527
$57603 $1209862 $1348604 $1475031
$1590 236 $1695213
$79)359 $1878030 $1957451
$2029818
$2095757
$2155838
$2210580 $2260459
$567958 $229073 0 $0 222801 $8 269423 $797031 $7472391
A-19
TABLE A-10 (Contd) ASSUMPTIONS TABLE EENEFIT- ST TABLE (Calculated)
Econoraic are Fin=-ial alycsis for Energy Investments - Egypt EA 101965
iaital ccsts Bereifit Parameters internal Rate of Peturr SE55
Acquisition $H67353 Price of Oil $3000 bbl (yr 1) Transportatio $0 Oil Escalat 20year Disc PV of PV of BIC Constructior $0 Rate Benefits Costs NPV Ratio
Irterconectior $0 Errgy Savncs 11048 bblyear ---shy=-- Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 $8263423 $797031 $7472391 1038
TOTAL (Cap $79-53 24$6684040 $755587 $592Or 453 S85
4$542E325 $724224 $4771101 753Construct Time 10 months 6$459063 $700138 $3890925 656 8$3 893 406 $681376 $322 031 5 71
Operating and Normal Mainterance Costs 10 $2347706 $666557 $2681I0 502 - 11 $3119241 $660307 $3458934 472
Operating Cost $1359 year 12 $2915155 $654697 $2260459 445 Operating Lifetime 21 years 3 $_73 272 $64364Z $2081627 421
14 $2567880 $645082 $1922796 398Major Equipment RepairReplacemient 15 $2419662 $640951 $1778712 378
16 $228-634 $637197 $1648437 359 Replace Cost $0 period 18 $2053553 $630653 $1422900 326
Replace Period 20 years A-20 20 $1860603 $625165 $1235439 298
poundcenrzzc ar Firarial Analysis fcr Energy irnvesttterts -- EZyt pound2~ 10g88
TABLE A-Il
For Case of-EL TEST 4 - ELqN E LEA ATEP2ERy -E-D701 $35KL) Assumir Oil Escalaticn Rate cf 20
Savet- Vaiue cflaza 2eratn Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel Ererpy Saved Arnual Can_ Flow Discourtee Cas Flow (NV) i =Yea Cost Cost $pbl (Ebl) Cost Eauiv Enercy Ezt C-rrert $ 8 10 12 - -cuisittor -567-
Trarsocr $
crstrttir Irterznr or $0
7t Z-=7s5 3 $3Z0I 0 $0 1841 $amp4447 $59652 $505 405) ($-5405) ($505 405) (50540)5 ($55405$0 $11359 t3E70 so 1048 $34414 $11359 $353055 ($137083) ($I724) 173) ($16331)$1 $1359 $940 $ 1048 $4(2 32 $11353 $39C 76543 1224 $16444S $HE 92 $1482664 $0 $11359 $3714E Q $0 11043 359 89$41(2348 $1139 52 8 $5068 SSC I217 $4 5 6 7so TIIM $3789 Q V1 11043 $418E5f $11359 S$4)7 IgS 76 $4651687 $432258$927 138 $300478 $7432 807 $6i9103g
$0 $1359 $3864 0 $0 11048 $42S 98 $415527m3 833 $65704 11 C V001841o$0 1135g $3942 0 $0 11048 $435464 $11359 $$424105 $1603881 $135-564 124238 $1141707$ - $420 0 $0 1104-8 $4174 s3523 $43281- $232784 $1503107 $h63340 $1337491$0 $11359 $4101 0 $0 11048 s4_z_c- $ -9 S 4441-93$22E 52 $841743 $1S89396 $15158685$0 Sn359 $4183I 0 50 11049 $4621E $I353 $450753 $2572227 $206723 $1860582 $1878434 0 $11359 $4266 0 so 11048 $471-8 $125912 $46C 12 $22-987 $2280305 $2037912 $182S542t $1-9 43520 2
$0 11048 $48075 $1359 $4E9423 $3187919 12451E35 $2202444 $i961492$ $1139 $4439 0 $0 1104S $49C404 $11159 $479 4- $3437129 $2671870 $2375023 $2084450$0 S359 $452814 0 $0 11048 $50212 $113515 $483853 $378072 $2851 620 $2495386 S2196483s$ $I359 $4618 0 s0 11048 $51G216 $11359 $498557 $4065793 $3021462 $22205 V 298 559$- 52 $471116 0 $0 11048 $520420 $1$37 5 150306 1 $4351463 $3181939 $274916 $2391563$1359 $4805 0 $0 11048 $53129 $11359 $51347Q $4628812 13333567 $2882967 $247629 18 $0 S1359 $4901 0 $0 11048 $541445 S11359 $530086 $4900944 $347583K $2S7842 $255350319 so $11353 $4993 0 so 11048 S=52274 $11359 S540915 $5167955 $3612197 $3065131 $2L3644$0 si359 $509920 0 $0 11048 $530 $1135921 $551961 $5429939 $3740093 $315381 $2687930$0 $11359 $5201 0 so 11048 $574586 $11359 $563227 $56869B9 $3850932 $3239101 $2746318
$567958 $229073 0$0 2L801 $9647660 $797031 $8850629
A-21
SSUmOTIO3 TAlBLE TABLE A-lI (Contd)
PNEFT-COSTS TALE (Calculated)
Economic and Fir ancia Analysis fc-Energy Investments -- Egypt EEA I0P386
Calita costs Penefit arazeters
$cuistion$Z723 Price of Oil $ h500bb (yr 1)Trarspcrtation t0 Oii Escalat 20year Corstructcr $0
Irtercornection $0 Enray Savs 11048 bblyear -- - Fuel Use 0 bblyear
TOTAL (Cap) $5 57 8
Construct Time 10 mnrths
Coeratir ard Normal Maintenance Costs
Ooerating Cost $1135 yEar Operating Lifetime 21 years
MaJor Equipment RepairReplacemert
Replace Cost $0 period Replace Period 20 years
A-22
nterral Rate of Return 7785
Disc PV of PV of Rate Benefits Costs NTV --- _--
V S9647EGO $7-7031 $8850629 N $7793047 $755587 $7042460
4 $E411212 $724224 $568698961S 3S240 $700138 $4656102
8 $454 307 $681376 $3860 93-10 $305657 $666557 $323910111 Q633114 JE0307 $2978 SO3 I E $3401015 $654697 $2746318 I 387650 $S4964c5 $2538005 14 $25860 S645C83 $2350776 15 t- B940 $64051 $2181939
16 $266E 573 $37197 $2029376 18 $2395812 $630653 $1765159 20 $2170704 $625165 $1545539
BIC Ratio
1210 1032
885 75
667 586
551 519 491
464 440
418 380 347
Econoir a-nFinaci AralySi f- Ererzy InvEstments -- 07ptE LE
TP93
For Case ofFIELD TEST 4 - F1-LWA TEXTT -- (nC O= ]L s40PEt) Assuirz Oil Escalation Rate of 20
Saved Value cCaita 29ratir s of C Fuel Used
Fuel Erer y 3ave_- pal Casn Flo^ fLiscured Cash Flc (NPV 2 erCost Cost I Ib) Cost Euiv --ervy Cost Currert 3 4 8 10 12
1 7rans~crt $0
$ Tr O iS - 0 2$0 124 373655 39=851 ( 433193 (14351 ($ 6 1 8 $4 5 1 8931 4968l$ --3 $4020 0 VI 11048 $45C 3SI23 $42 2S W3698) ($33473 (35744) ($103877)0 1_3 0 so4152 1248 453 774 5 $34085amp Q95 07$0 443415 $ S273847 553596= S24 45 $0 1048 $45-95 $11359 $4Z7E $74770 SS5362 517656 573314S0 C 5 $4330 0 $0 11048 $47-34c 31259 $425339 $114f884 $$001513 5936616 $8760940 $59 $44E 0 $0 11048 4$10 1253 $47_55_9 1532579 13-2950 1232520 11146505
- c $S450- 0 sO N04E 147574 i $4263559 13C $1632410 $507021 $392887$10 $11259 14535 0 $0 11042 $5077 $ 3~5$1 268$4-3 $2700043 121 978 $176169G $167374I 135 $4627 0 so Ns04 1577S s259 S2670080 9f5282o 1 7 14W 2 I $19337945 5182903$478S 0 $0 043 $1s53 S52776 13033160 12454038 $2217103 20026411 9 $47 0 014876$S-E_ 4 1104--20 = 3 5pound 7 07$14800803 0O $3269358o$0 c 359 S 3 7 $2442 421 $217805$
s2 37115$5171 $0s14 1 S355 $E74 11048 S -511113-f 1743 102 $4C1L 27 $13147202 $2783 987 $24736230 $0 114048 517 311 HI9 S56312 $4418436 S13357 $294628332217 12602037I5 $0 $1353 $1z Sf 312$7578 0 $0 11048 $I 319 $439 _7$3$527404 $59 -40$7745 $278 gO $ 43$4743604 $3547884 $30998428 $2719087$0 $I Ec $383 016 $0 11048 $5547ES v11255 $H62407 S5072550 $3 799 $323E511 12825674$11359 $549 0 S0 1048 SE s 311 50 $ 9-25562U $2 2 718 $O $1-253 $5 0 $0 11048 61875 1i3 $470 8 40693133 1482244 20120715 $0 135I $5713 0 so 11043 $5217 3 77$113 9 775 $470 $2248 4 01 7$30912010 $0 11359 $5 827 0 $0 11048 $642794 $11359 $632435 $S39t367 $4371382 $370130 $3165280
21 $0 $11359 $5944 0 $0 11048 1656570 511359 S645311 6602876 $4509833 $3797052 $3232177
$567953 $ 29073 8970 10 801 511 02-5 $797031 $10228866
A-23
TABLE A-12 (Contd)PSSI PTIONSTAJKE rEnJT-DETS ^2LE(Caiculated)
E~onoma~infncia fcr Erery Investwerts - Egypt EA 1036
LapitE --ts Penefit Parameters ternr ate cf ketur 9060
Pquisition $-57958 Price of CI Trasortaticon $f CiI Escalat
onstructIon $0
iterzorr-ction $0 Ernrgy Savrs ------ Fuel Use
77A ao) $567958
Construct Time 10 months
OpEratirg ar N-rmal Mairterance Ccsts ------
Operating Cost $1355 year Operatirn Lifetime 2 years
Major Eqiprent RepairRezlacement
Replace Cost $0 period Replace Period 20 years
$4K lbb (yr 1) 20year
11043 bbllyear
0 bblyear
Ns PV of PV of Rate eni L-sts NPV
0$11025 397 1797031 $1022666 2 25q3 75E587 $ 156466 4 $7327100 $724-4 $6602876
6 $$121418 $700138 $5421280
e5191203 $68376 $4509833 10 $4463603 $66-57 $377C52 11 $4152988 $G 307 $3498681 12 $3865874 $654697 $3232177 13 13643029 $543645 $2993384
14 $3L423840 $645083 $27875615 S3226217 $6402351 $2585266 16 13047512 $637197 $2410315 18 $2738071 $630653 $2107418 20 $24008 5 $625165 $1855640
BC Ratio
1383 1179
1012
874
762 670
630
594
561
531 503
478 434
397
A-24
-c-nc an Firanzia Pralysisfcr Erergy Irvestrents -- Env t E 0
TALE P--3
Fer Case tfFEI7E3ET4 - FLN TEXTILESCLR PLUS
Assuming Oil Escalafior Rate oF 0
73 T ECCeZRY (PR_5rCF OIL S15BL)
r a
bull
etaIOiertrg
ssost Ccst Of Oi
$I Fe Lse
(E-12 Fuel
Save -Enery Eciv
a L Ef SaveS
Erery ra Ccst
asn Fli CLrrert f
sccunted 4
Cash Floo (NPV) 8 10
i
2
bull
4
5
7
0
1
2
13
14
16
17
is
19 20
21
r S CCrrnst cr $cr
erzcn11 on
Toa7 52 $2313 $ 13279 SC 13279 S t13979 $ $2673
C5r2
$0 $13573
S $13873 $ S$13279 $0 t373 $0 $13 79 $0 $387 $0 $13S79
$0 $1357S
$0Si 3279 $0 513879
$0 $13279
$ $137
0 $13879 $0 $S3879
($E300) $13879
$711653 $279893
V500
$1530 S561
S5592 $1624 $16565
$1689
$1723 $1757
$1733
$1326
$1265
I -
$1140
$1973 $20
S205 $2100
$2142 $2185
$22-29
0 0
0
r)
0
0
r
0
0 0 0
0
0 0 0
0
O$0 189 $28490 $720263 $0 1396 $17453 $13 S7 $0 113SE $177346 t-879 $$C 13 $1803 2a7g $$0 1139 12503 S1387 $0 1396 $183732 7 2 2S 0 13 $192 3 $13879
$0 1 c 9E3 8761 $0 11396 $20 2E3 $3872 $0 1396 $20423 V2 273 $0 11396 $20335 S13873 0 1132H $212542 T2272 $0 11396 $216733 $1387 $0 11396 $221129 $13879
to 1139S $25f2 3 $0 11353 523063 $13873 $0 11396 $234664 $13873 $0 11396 $23357 $13879
$0 11396 $244144 $13879 $0 11396 $249027 13879 $0 11396 $254008 $7579
$0 22819 $4264950 $991546
A-25
(77-773(5691771 1$691776) 164 C ($537432) ($542184)
$ 367 138E872) (M402609) 37524 ($23E944) f$263623) $17 ($90642) ($143 2 73174853 $307 -14 -- 7G 4 ( 8 $173627 $194245 $8774amp
$182477 t33293 $114220 S1 404 $49117 $2-4229 $10 410 s 027 $390 181 $154496 $734291 $490270 $193663 $86Z339 $565474 $202914 $3073 $amp46054 $207250 $1114548 722259
$11amp73 $1236783 $794325f216184 $356823 $862476 t220785 474702 $92921 $22- 478 $590456 $987860
$23)265 $1704121 $1045484 235148 $1815733 $10-971
$24642 $1928200 $1152842
$3273404
(691 776) ($691776)
($545885) ($543491) ($410376) ($417777) ($264512) (532537) (17613) (189767) (9 ) ( 1( $ 53 0 4 -4 ) -$1) $41737 ($53)
$135427 S82491 $22238s $157776 $303138 $M-6440 $373125 $289063 $447755 34o174 $S12410 $398257 $572443 $445753
$S28193 S8066$679935 $528562
$727985 $564576 $772594 $597416
$814010 $27360 $852458 $6546G2 $889088 $680208
TABLE A-13 (Contd) PSc6UY1TTG TAKE 52ZFEI-CSTS TXLE Calculated)
Econo iar narza 9Aais- for ErErgy Investments shy Eypt EZE 1ci35
Capital Ccsts Benefit Parameters Irternal RatE c Return 24953
~ccui i tcr717953 Price of Oil $15Y0 bbl (yr 1) T-ars~crtat ion $0 Oil Escalat 20year Disc tV of V of BC
crstruct ion $0 Rate Benefits Costs NP Ratio Intercornectior $ Enrgy Savrs 11396 L11year
FuE US= 0 bbiyear 0 $4264950 $991546 $3273404 431
TOTPL (Cap)-77953 2 447230 $942ss $2 504m 366 4t $2334211 $301011 $1928200 313
Costruct T 0 mth_ 357 838 $877493 $1490346 270 12110080 $85511 $112842 235
Operatin and Ncrma aintenarce Costs 0 $7 S76 $837483 $883068 0 11 $1608747 $830008 $778739 194
Operatin Cost Oeratirg Lifet1 M1
$_87T year years
2-$502490 13 $1403 168
$823281 $917216
$660203 $9195
183 172
14 $1324383 $311730 $512652 163 Major Equipert ReoairRepiacemert 15 $1247940 $80S 754 $441185 155
16 $1178815 $80222 $37658S 147 Replace Cost ($6300)period 18 $1o9119 $794327 $264792 133
Replace Period 20 years 20 $3959605 $787687 $171918 122
A-26
-- tr- er F-= v fc E-r= 1r tesirt_Egyrt EEP
TqPPLE P-4
F- caecfFlDTST t4 - UEL$Q TEXTILESDLAR PLUS WASTE HET -COVERpY(Pj- OF OIL $S31PL) nssuring Cil Escalatio- Pate c
Ltal Ccst cF Oil Fuel Used savet Va- cCa 0eratin Fuel Er-er SavE Armia Lasn FowDy riscoured Cash Fco (N7V) i vew t cost $b (b) Cost Eciv nert Cost Currert $ 4 810 10 12
ftP ic ro717953 I rarszc-t $0
r r $0|
f7753 $t S2100S23-13 so 1233-7 37 933747 ($S62-202 (23N ($682280)S Z-2) z $11279 M--7
3 2 $12 $Q373 (447205 $47 67-3 t$453t2 ($487110)3173 $DE 3S 2 2712 T 3S1249 t1$2532) ($2Sj731 ($292049 ($30-23)v W 2n UL22 22732
4 0 so 37 7 SE2923 (-2742S) ($27 531 ($146842)$0 1 57 $ 3 H 5 7 8 fit 73 1 2 8 0$2208 0 $0 3S tKj2 H872Q $237763 121 449 1-543 $17901 S6 3$ $1o73 32152 0 so Ins I25 E7 $1373 524796 152334 S373 47 o1l953 12503tq7 $21 0 so ni8 $2E 8( C3973 t715740 521 13 $24792954413 $1 190
0 $ 1279 $2343 0 33 6 5S L3 73 152 ME3 $22726 SSE913 = k S473433C En 1i c SC 2H6 127-ESE $1373 5237506504E52517O3 $71230 S672916 56391 $0 $13379 $2438 0 $0 113H S773-S25 272 4 5 7 $911492 $726E2 $651646I1 $0 S879 $2457 0 SO 3 $322 1372 5251 1143736 $7C702 $SE7144 $72912313 7 =36 s2 5 $1273 $275173 M160612 S113 353 5954024 $7 55514 SO H1079 121E7 0 so 1s3 I234m3 I 73 $2503H0 1772343 $123966 $1036208 S 414415 $ $1o7 $S3 0 $0 11336 C3002 $1 $3K7Z $1372 $St7557 S M37330 A1746$9M 840a $- 2 56 c so 3 1m237i 123287 129 3 MI42 LEE $97E34717 SO $13879 $-740 $0 1296 531S3525
12 7 1387 $2-30 $2 $51637 5 4E97 5 A 2vO 1 ST2 0 0a7 $209 1123S 1314 $13879 1305 264 $241E979 C59 43E 30N IbX3 581Ws19 $0 11387 $2356 0 $0 11336 $3H526 $13879 $311647 $2570817 $1677425 5133377 $111010820 $0 $12879 $2114 0 $0 i13 $33203S $13879 $318157 $2721828 61751146 S415399 $114704821 ($6300) $13879 $272 0 $0 11396 $338677 $7579 $331028 $2872937 $1822182 $1464614 $1181372
$71653 $279893 0$0 M819 S56686) $991546 $4095054
A-27
TABLE A-14 (Contd) 3M-S rET-N7 CSTS TPULZ CalLNated)
Ecobullric anf 7rT a f- Erer Investrents -- E F ay A 1916
Capita Sosts BersEft taraampeters R-ae -eturf 3402
Aczuisitjorn $717953 Trarnscrtatior $0
Price of Oil Oil Escalat
$2000 bbl year
(yr 1) poundai_ PEcf cf BC
Zcnstructior $0 Rate Penefits Costs NOV Ratio ir$tez)rectio
TOTAL tCa ) $717 953
Enrgy Savrs Fuel Use
1129 bblyear 0 bblyear
==shy0$568GG00 2- $4 33257
$954E $342962
$4535 054 $3 534i
574 487
Lo stru 6 Time 10 con-h r1 e-
4$3773943 $357118
E2Z17363
$9S 011 $2 872 937 S877493 $2279625 $S5518 S1 822182
41736 360 313
rPEratino ans Nrmal Maintenance Costs
Oueratirg Cost $13872 year Cpratir Lifetime 21 years
0 S2302104-1-$214493G
2$2004 53 -1S 78330
$5374n9$330008
$S2323 $817216
$464614$131A93
$IE1372 2051674
275 258
243 230
Major Equiprent RepairReplacemernt 14 $17 5843 5 $1G663919
$311730 SS06754
$954113 $7 165
218 206
Replace Cost Replace Period
(N6300)period 20 years
16 $571753 18 $1412159 20 $1279474
$802 22 $794327 $787687
$769524 $617832 $491787
6 178 162
A-28
- ranzcal Analysis fc- Enery vestrent_ - Eynt EE 0
TALE t-E
77 P7 q (NU - C$Ipp Asumzr_ O EscaatorRate cf 0
ot _o-tr o
ct of Oil $1-
Fuel Used (Ebl)
FL Cost
Save Ergy
Ecuiv
a1e e-
Errgy r
ost Ca--ic
rrer $ DisEcurted Cash 4 8
Floh (NPV) 10
P i 12n
I
I
Acuis~tion S177 Trar-pcr T
cnstr=ticr $0 rernct cshy
7S7
-
V I
In
I $1227
t3S7
I27T
2E F - 03
1706Q_
0
0 $0
0S0 1
--shy29 S4748
E $-5
3 2419 122723 $32
I3F 13 33f
$72
137 $187 7 $13879
S2$ (333727-3
7Z73 ($4 707
SZS2 E-I (V454 1 135104E 3$2 4 S3--2S3
($672733)
($41ESE2)
$1743-7$c 271122
(72731
($421-20)
(SIS7723$23000
$2-1152
(S672783
(S4252
S201430)$4E39
$1203
-$ 3
14
IS 7
18 19
20
21
C$$3875
c $ 17
$17573-$$ S 2 73
S $12272
S 10 113273
$0 12E73
V$ 1-73 $0 7 $0 $1327
$0 $13872 V $13873
$0 $13873
(05300) $13879
12760 82
227272
3 $232
$3047
$3108 $317
$3234
$323
t$365 $3432
$3507
13571
$3642
13715
0
C
C J
0 C
0
0 0 0
0
0
0
1
10
$0
$c
so $0
so
$0 $0
$0
$0
$0
$0
336 $314553 1133S $32844 2H t61735
133 1 3S 135G $34(432
1336 $7gt
1332 $354227 1133 $30132L
13 $363543
$37
139E $383432 11222 $23
1 S332$3=22 1133 $406 9-7
113 $415046
11396 $423346
s12 7 $i E74 $8 $47575_ $846 $13E79 1-_- - $ tq520120 s 379 3132332 1103568 S3f2050 1750934
01279 133227 11 _2433 $11024 27 $71 82 373 32 6S0 $1553 S02 $1183280 $038694 $S87 13-3413 S79 04 $1342714 S111722
$237 1o3558 2 134 $148368 $i2632 1387 $347443 $2217146 162562 5133723$ 1 $12753 $254670 $243-151 S1757074 S149 74
S3 $ E K22 $180334 C 5 53 $1337 $362S55 $2 44423 51933835 V16E3750 S3879 $377322 7223 $2106944 51 8M465
$1373 7-E5- $ 24502 $221101 84 2 05-$13 79 $3 3 028 $3437512 $2309366 $1912745
$13373 $401167 $3627923 $2402321 $1978339 S7579 $4f-5767 $387674 $2491523 $2040140
$3E2613 V1813
165S399
$78102 $32673
1014228
$111073 I31253
$282534
$1 35 $1424132
66
$5474 $1572856 S1 39434 $1682535
$71153 $273933 0 $0 22819 $7105250 $991546 $6116704
A-29
TABLE A-15 (Contd)gSSVL1TKE--- TAL-2 12alculated)
-cic ar -ari - lysis fc Erery rvestrrts - Egypt EEP i9IlS
Costs Perefit PararetErs Irsternal Rate cf Return 4318
M-quisition $7174953 Trice of il $200 bbl (yr 1)Transportat ir $ Ci1 scalat 20year Disc PV of PV of BICCostructic-n so
nate Derefits Costs f1] Ratio interconnection $0 Enrgy Savrs 11395 bbiyear
- -FUEUSEQ tYear 0 702250 $99FAG $E11Z704 717TOTPL (Cap) $717953 2$-74 483 $942 962 $4802515 609 4 $4723695 $905011 $3817674 521Construct Tirr 10 ronths $21-4pound397 $877493 $20E2904 450 8w $3 704 $855181 2 23 3910perztin and rcaMainterance Costs 10 $277630 $837483 $2 040 140 344
Operating Cost $13379 year 1I$2681 244 s830008 $1851237 323 12 $S2505816 iK23281 $162 535Operating_ Lifetime 21 years
304 13 $2348613 $817216 $1531397 287 14 $2207304 $311730 $139-574 2072Major Equipmert RepairReplacement 15 $2079899 $60E754 $1273145 258 1 $1924 $802229 $162462 245Replace Cost $300period 18 $176Z198 $794327 $370871 222Replace Period 20 years 20 $1593342 $787687 $811655 203
A-30
rcrc= ~ar rial Zralys- f- Erery lrivertfrentE -- E_=yt E
TQILE P-6
Fo Ca-se cfIELD TEST 4 - H-L4AN TEXTILPSIR
sunrini Esalation Rate cf 21
rILU3 WASTE H7AT Ey VD-- OIL 530B)
YEar aia
eratir Cost of Oil
cSst $1b Fuel Used ru
Ergry
Ecu I ZaVE f
ZnEr y Anru
COSt aS 7-06
rret 1 -iEzurtE 4
Cash 3
Flow (NV) 10
3 = 8
1 ra-rt
rn-rjt or $0 $0
4
2
14
15
16 17
is 12
20 21
73
$0 $7 so $0 $0$0 $0
C
$0
$0
S $ $0
so $0
$0 ($6300)
232-
23277w 37 63S
119 S387 $2879$13q73 $711$c
3273
1373 2733
S387-
S1237
2M79 $13r379
$12873 $13873
$13879 $3879
$35 S$ 60
3 284 $-247 S-is $3378 $3446$L515( $-c
$357
$73 0 $3805
$23
$-3958
S4022 $4118
$4201 $4265
$4370 $4458
00 0 0 0 0 0 0C
0
0 (
0
0
3 0
0
0 0
SO $0 SO $0 $l $0 $0 $0
S1 so $0
$0
$0
$0
$0 so
$0 $0
M51--S1333 $343 718 261- s337
33 2 33S $273062 3 $377453 233H $35012 336 3K1173I3 4f =c
$40Z S72
133S $41E750 136 $42525 1396 $43287
136 S442253 113 $451102
$4 2 1393 $4-C223 13^6 s4727-11396 $483289 i39g $498OE5 11396 $508016
hC S23873
$13873 S13873 T1387 $13 S72 $-
3 S 7 $23873 2 I12579 233q73
$17379
$12273 SI6373
513373 $13279
$13879 $7579
5
3332- ($$32236 (SS3386) ($$3335)12342333 ( H32t ( (1358887) 36 23 1813 (12- 1) (-- 20) (176337 ($3K-
-333743 27 264n4 27-3 $1Z756 1 5 35S133 $ 2-5 $47E533 $429034 S2-253 $3S3584 $32$TK-40 $65473 $559135 271133 $18 2 392 86423S777323 $378E34 $L5375Z $ E 66 103688 St458
- 44 3 $7 3 88 $230 S104765
3 202224 S57_- $1406472 S1247C37S402671 $DD141s $S773936$561796 $1376S11 1266 5r2 Q5SK235 S s 03
$41370P S2 79 $211E957 t 3653 $160275 $425379 13 27352 $227448 V3733 $437224 2 4$2 7t79390 $443246 125 32- $2564014 $285102 1J7317 $4-5449352 3 536 95 2284 $8294S311 $464336 $4070 026 $2322SE $2376786 12012911 $474410 $4304208 $2941307 $2462113 $2075603 $44176 $4534018 $305Z49 $2541279 $2130820 $500437 S47[2411 $3160864 $2615666 $2183698
$711653 $27993 0 $0 E29819 $8529900 $991546 $7538354
A-31
TLE TABLE A-16 (Contd)
- -1T E l-ate)
Znor~i ari -iraria2 alysis for Energy ireVstrents - Egypt EA1
LEitET Csts Eerefit Pararveters Interra Rate of eturr f255
Acouisition $752 ranspecrtaticr $$ Construction $0
rtercorrectior so
Price cf 04 0i Escaiat
Enrgy Savrs
$3 b (y-0yaar
1335 5byear
1) Dis- Rate
-
2V cf Benefits
PVof Costs NPV
BC Ratio
----------T2T_ CapL
--- Fuel Use 0 byear 852230C s432 $
$55 342 H5
77538254 $$f95$ 6A2- 6
860
--rstrct Tire 10 rths 4 $56642 6$473r-67
$90E 011 $877 49
$47E2411 $335- 184
62 E40
Operating and Nomra Maitenance Costs 8$4016044
10 $3452155 $8KZ 31 $827483
13 856amp4 $269666
470 412
Operating Cost Dperating Lifetime
$3872 21
year years
1 3217493 12n $00E930 13 $2218335
$33000c $823281 $817216
f2 387 486 $2183693 $2001 1
383 365 345
Major Equipment Repirez acement 4$2648765
15 $2A4S5619 $811730 $802754
1637035 $1689125
o 309
Replace Cost Replace Period
($5300)period 20 years
-$2327629 18 $2118238 20 $1919210
$822 $794327 $787687
$55 400 $1213911 $131524
-94 267 244
A-32
Eccic and iranza Pr-i- frEre irvEter -- Eypt EEq 10135-
TRPLE A-17
FcrCse TZST 44 - HELWN T-EE-2- WA7ST EW PRfL KMIY rOIL $351BL) Ass-ir- 02lEaldegio Rate cf 20
Saved Ya- cfCEita7 Ocratin Ccst of Di Fuel Used Fuel E rerry SavEd rd Caa--FioA Liscoured Cash Flow (MTN)Year -St cst SBbI (2b2) Cost Equiv i
rerV C-rrert $ 4 8 10 12
ransport P
I rt-rzcre ic $
ctal t777 SH$00 0 so
1833 5$477 $72255 ($$732 SE279 ) ($S5790) ($653790) ($53790)7-27 $-7 0Z27$0$ 3 $ 94) n- 3
0$0 r- 17365 $414974 $13673 SA 01 S354 $348 92-12 c30$ 12F7c S3714 $0 37 $42ST27 $13 $401-74793 B1 SZ384C $ $342M12 $302215$ $3789 11336 $437 379 S417 $7 $1873 $864 E $E 7 $7 -7730 $0 11336 1440374 $13873 $4 4K3 $G576 1$7330 $SK2736 $M57770 s0 13 44 $187 0 S
$43 E302 $1510 601 S1 E44 $1133453C 1 S7372 $4020 S103 Z- 7 84 S13 50 283 $13442 $1237257S 7S E $411 13 $473 1 873 $4344 $2173553 $1754865 $157379 $420428 I 13879 4183 0 $0 136 $47L575 $337 $4L73Sbull ~$ $--37 -n S2504 707 S9379 $ 7742-0 $ 873177 $42EE 13 $-71 11133S 1299 IO4 2 37$4 23 273 -2-3 $2823796 $225158 $9523 $733394S7 $352 0 so 11326 54H $ 3 4 $3332 $241302 1212330 t8773732 $ 73 $4433 0 $0 11336 55585 712579 $47 $34 $2607271 $2 282067 $200425014 1 $11279 $4522 0 $0
12 11335 S515963 $1 273 1522 089 $74=754 $273 888 2427504 $2 113 3155 $0 7873 $4amp81- S $28973 S4711
0 $ $ 227 1 79 1511405 44rN657 $296E343 $2 43a $22241640 so 3965 $53z 11E7 t=1937 $-6 113 13 $4232024 2687624 $2319702$534 $31311417 $ 1272 $48 0 $0 11336 $747542 1367 $ 33470 1 535 $328E967 $283766 $24057562 V $1187 $430 0 $0 11336 $55-50 $13873 $544621 $453 543 $3434161 $2311516 $24K07719 $0 $12879 $499 0 $0 11336 $569670 $13873 $555791 $5170903 353248 $3011480 $255835120 10 $13279 $509 0 $0 11396 $591064 $13879 $567185 $5440113 $3704671 $3104220 $26L420521 ($6300) $12879 $5201 0 $0 11336 $532685 $7579 $525106 $5707148 $3830205 $3191192 $2684852
$711653 $279833 0 $0 229819 $9951551 $991546 $80004
A-33
TABLE A-17 (Contd)
Econorni a 7inarcia ay-- fc Ener~y investmerts -- Egypt ZE r986
Ca~it~a cstz Perefit Parameters Irnterrna Rate of Return 6217
Pcquisiticn 7i Transpc-tation $ Constr-ct ior $0
inter-conrection $0
TOTQL (Cap) $717953
--iceof 21 OillEscalat
Enr y Savgs Fuel Use
135K bb (yr 1) 2Ovear
113- bblyear 0 Ltlyear
DI sc PV of Rate Eer eFits
0$9IK551 2$043677
PV of CoS1 ots
$91545 $942908
PaPV
$3960004 $7100709
3C Rat i o
1004 853
Corstruc Time 10 mcrths
Operatirq an Normal Maintenare Costs
OPeratir Cost $13879 year Operating Lifetime 21 years
Major Equipmernt RepairReplacemernt
Replace Cost ($6300)period Replace Period 20 years
A-34
4 $6 613 1-S$ 24 95
8$4amp3825 $$4) 21
11 $3753742 2 $3506143 13$328058 14 $ C9026 15 $23159 16 $27550567 18 $2471278
20 $2239079
$906011 $877 493
$55S 131 $83748-$330008 $823 2 $817216 $S1730 $806754 $802 22n $794327
$787687
$5707 148 $4647 463
$3830205 $3191192 $2927735 $2684862 $2470842
$2278496 $10510-$1943339 $1676951
$1451392
730 630
548 481 452 426 402
381 361 343 311
284
Erno a - raial Ayaavs- fc EErcy IvestLErts -- E 5y 1NObr
TABLE A-B
For Case zf7- D EST 4 - PEWA TEXTLES2R olUS STE H- PE-5- G4-88 ZL Pssur 2i Esalaticr Rats cf 2(
Year
Laital
Cost
Oeratir
Ist
Cost Of Cil
$1IL5
Fue Use
(BL
FE
zc-st
Save Energy
Z4iv
V_-shy_ Saved
Energy
a1
Ccst
F1c
urre-t S
Dafiscourted Cash Flow (NPV) plusmn 4 8 -0 1
1 Trarspzrt $0
4
37--
0
$0
1
$16 $13279
$1387c
$40
$400 $4162
S4245
0
0
0
0
V
s0
$0
1239
11396 11396
336
$75973 $464957 $474255
- 6 $483741
$72026S
113379
137S 7 9 $13879
3644233)
S451078
$477U C 7 $463852
(S64433) (210fG4
14r1$2 5 o0n $-32786
(2644A) (12Z
$1 52 0 7 1
$541cent52
31544293)
(234=-) $ 4
$493269
(364423M)
S24 545) $24$ 5
$452903
A
7 8
-
10
12
13 14 15
16 17
18 19
20
21
$0 t0
0 $0 V $0
So
I$0 $0
$0 $0 $0
$0 $0
$0 $0
$0
($5300)
13273 T2879
$9 S237 $2873 $3873 $13873
$13879 $13879
$13873 $13873 42879
13673 $13879
$13879
$13879
$13879
$13879
14330 $4416
$4505 $4595 $4535 $4687 $4780
$4876 $4973
$5073 $5174 $5278
$5333 $5491
$5601
$5713
$5827
$5344
0
Q5 0 0 0 0
0 0
( 0 0
c 0
0
0
0 0
so so
o
so $0 $0
so $0
S $0 $O
$0 10
$0
$0
s0
$0
236 3133
1136 E I39 11396 11396 35
1396 11396
113 11336 11336
336
1396
11336
113
1135
11336
5$493416 $503264
35) 1 G 1
S531 1534083 $544771
$5665 S566780
1
$523 678 $60471
$612501 $525771
$G39286 55 Q52
$664073
S677 K4
$13873 S473537 $13873 $4834C-E
$13873 $49747 $3979 f50g 7-shy2
$1379 $52CI210 113873 $538321 227$5 -89 S3879 $541787
$79 K $-7579 $54236 $13273 577K $3873 S27532 113973 $53622 t3879 $11892 $3379 S624407
$13879 $337173
$3879 $650194 $757 $669775
$1042696 114443E
$18336301 $222704-
$2607162 1233016093 1
13346172 $7C- 32
$4 05746 $440256 $4742875
$-075824 $51402515
$5723072
$503759
$34c208 $6651884
$935- $825 M $764658$12M617 $10681 S10425
$-43 $1412669 1407 $123372E$715$=2 9
f39- $21843 11916875 $1735031 23 42 $1 $375$ 3427 $214202S t 53G $2636380 03 $9 $2 27 503 12544695 S2200320 $3037575 $2721482 $2405748 $3-3032352- 28970 12537706 S350348 $3045001 $2673393
$3698373 $2 183546 t757485 $3876979 $3 3711 $2867300
14045737 $3446247 12953242 $4205189 $356C8 3041099
$435846 $3657160 $311659 $4493545 $376678 $3186025
$711653 $279893 0 $0 12-93813 $11373201 $991546 $10381654
A-35
TABLE A-18 (Contd)- o-SOS TflBLE BEN T-2T TPBLE 7alculated)
zccc- an FiariJ Analysis for Energy Investments - Egypt EEA
Capita Colts BerEfit Parameters nterna lRate of Returr 7207
Acquisiticon 171753 Price of Oi $4000 lbL (yr 1) Transportation $0 Dil Escalat 20vear Disz FV of PV of BC
Construction $0 Rate Benefits Costs TV Ratio Iterconnection $0 Errgy Savrigs M-35 bblyear
-- -- ------- Fuel Use 0 bblyear $W373o $99546 $10381654 1147 TCTAL Cap) S717S53 2$1 773 $942968 SB2 49 - 5 975
4$7557396 $906011 $6E5884 834 Zonstruct Time 10 months 6 $-314236 $877493 15436743 72n
51354726 S855 18 1 $4 42S 545 G20Operating and Norcal ainterarce Costs 0$4604207 $S37489 $3766718 550
1$4289991 $3000 $345983 517 OeI-ating Cost $13879 year 48712 $4003306 $123281 $318G025
Operatin Lifetice 21 years r3 $177781 $817216 $2940565 460
14 $53637 $8730 $2719957 435 Vajcr Equiprrent RepairReplacement A $3327839 $80S754 $2521084 412
16 Z3 143506E $80212209 $2341277 392Replace Cost ($6300)period 18 $2824317 $794327 $2029990 356
Replace Period 20 years 200 $2558947 $787687 $1771260 325
A-36
E~zcrorci an4 ariaqrysr for EnEy Ivestrets -- -Gyrt = 3P
F c r C a s e o f F - r T 3 3 4 - j r 7 o i o s X_--
E 4 OR $251 FT -RC= $159P
ss=insectCA Escalation Rate cf 20
Save a - shyCaita eratirn Cost cf 01 Fue Used Fuel Ener) SavE AnnaI ash Floi Discounted Cash Flow () 9 iyE- cost Cost $Bb (2b1 Cost Epoundalv Energy Cost Current $ 4 8 10 12
l cuisiis 52452
Trans $2 Corstru_ o
ta 4 $-52 S $0 S2832 3$-22955 s28Sz3 ($128968) ($28928) (128)tc 52 C 10 34-2 $-324 S Z 24 ($125877 M$25991) (T2045) (S260981$ 0 $-55 0 s 34s S5431 $2110 s ($22707 ($123144) (3123301) (23450)$0 $ $2 0 $0 342 $f540 $2110s 40 11 S758) (242) 20704 S2 009S0 $T2-4 0 $0 34 $2110 25a0 (1273) (S17820 (32 3S759)S$0 2 $1G56 C $0 348 $763 $ 3 (1 1 3 7A s2 $13 0 f0 34 $E873 $2110 $379 (I0750 $12S ( S1 $14777)VC 2 $172- 0 $0 348 $-39 s 2 C2 $38ES (107797) h$1 (51)$130950 52110 $1757 C $0 342 $11 S2110 S400r ($104870) (t103526) (111004 ) (211401)$ c 120 $1793 C $0 348 $S28 522O S4123 31S9) (S10461 (S OS M) (1092) s210 I 512_ 348 $363 S2110 $42-5 (S39096) ($104491) ( S037($103 543)$0 S220 $sE5 0 ti shy32 t54 211 $435-0 (M251)
-- (S10261 ($22 ($07284)$0 $220 $1902 0 $1 343 $r2) 2110 $4510 (S93434) ($100821) 31$03G84) ($10512)14 $o S2110 $1940 0 $0 34 573 $2110 54243 ($50645) (S92114) (5)02340) (15062)5$0 52110 $1979bull 0 $0 343 S5683 I2110 $4778 (37am) ($9742q) ($10102) (S104085)6 $0 $2110 $201 0 so 342 S7C7 $21 $421517 50 ($5155) ($95 938) (ST2 90 ($103 1861$2110 0 )2059 348 $71 2 $$2o $ ms $22458) ($94462) ($S-30O ($102)o11 $ $2110 $210o 0 $0 34S
19 $7303 $2110 $-19- ($73789) ($92057) ($377T6 (01605$0 $2110 $2142 0 $0 348 $745M $2110 -5345 ($77150) ($91720) ($3814) ($100909)20 $0 $2110 S2185 0 $0
21 ($5438) $2110 $--29 0 348 $7605 $2 Ili $5495 ($74542) ($90446) (9916) ($100271)
$0 348 $7757 ($3328) $11085 ($69483) ($88068) ($9426a) (99 I2)
$124048 $42552 0 $0 7018 $130239 $166600 (36361)
A-37
ABSUPTIOS TABLE TABLE TABLE A-19 (Contd) IT--CCOTS TAL --C ed
and Fina-E P7aiysiz fc- Energy IrvestzErts -- ypt EE
aPita Ccsts Benrefit Parateters
Pquisitio 2948S Price cf Oil $1500 lbi (yr 1)Transortatior $0 Oil Escalat 20year
onstructio $0
rterconrectior $0 Enrgy Savns 348 b5year Fuel Use 0 thi
TOTAL (Cap) $123466
Construct Tirfe 10 months
Ozerating amNormal Mairterance Costs
Operatin Cost $2 110 year Oerating Lifetime 21 years
Major Equipment RepairReplaceuert
Replace Cost ($5438)Period Replace Period 2 years
Internal Rate of Return
Disc PV of PFJof Rate Benefits Costs
-=_
0 U -1c233 s 6660 2 $105270 $160683
4 $83543 $15031 6 $72307 $E2344
8 $61319 $149387 le S5272 914S33-
11 $49126 $14E566 12 $4912 $145034 3 $4 032 $144180
14 4144-- $143417 15 $38108 $142713
16 $35 9 7 $142068 18 $32342 $140933 2 $29303 $139971
-2 63
NIN
$32 ($55410)
($6943($8 037)
($80 8) ($343_68)
($C-33323(99 22)
($101156)
($102974) ($104604)
($106071) ($102591)
($110667)
Ratio
073
066
055 047
041 C36
034 03
30
28 027
0 25 023
021
A-38
For Case - -EL 7 7 14 - HELPN EXTLiIPH 0LECTOR PRV =552FT - PRIEC OL S2L Pssurin Oi Zscalaticr Rate cf 2C
SavEd a- c Cost of CII FUE1 Useer CUE Energy Eavn Arnual Ca ow sSZOLnte- Cash Flow ( NV) iYear Ct Ct Ipbl (P2-) Cost Ecsiv Ererry ZOst Currert $ 4 3 0 2 is-t i c r
_ _____ _
Traszr $C - LCrErZt cr 30
i tercorrezcr SO 21 53 $1 $1223 ($23378 $123pound73 ($23673) ($22673) ($123578)$ 72c Q0$24c $0 348 S7033 $2h1c i4S83 $2680 2124053) (12442) (1243)$21~ 0 0so 34a 17241 $2C $5121 3 (E -59)($112301) ($12012)4so So c V- Z $-co 348 7 $2110 $5275 -44- (1115471 ($15371 (lII3- $21 $25 ) $9 348 $7534 1I2110 5424 1038O) (111484) ($I-33 1I2930$0 $211 $2205 c $0 345 768 $2110 $-E574 ($105228) (7076G0) (105772) (037S7)
$0 2110 $-52 c $) 48 728 n04 SC Sshy$ $-bO $5723 C l00701 ($10408 SO55r ($ICS585)o $U S2110 P-3a7S0 $13 0 $0 348 Si110 $-525$2343 0 343 3430341 $2 (Si L- f E471 1$0$ 8) ($C4 203$) $_ -- $21 t$3050l 31($812) (S97231) (53673) ($10762
t t110 t c 3 2 M745)$0 203 ($94275) ($97066) (M23)S1 52110 $2438 Q $0 349 124B4 $2 $E374 (9g1 f$948 3)($2 144) 3233 ($07471)$110 $Z487 C $0 348 $2354 $2110 $r544 ($75894) ($88516) ($ 3 1 ($=120)$0 $2110 $25313 0 t0 342 $2227 T2110
1 $E717 ($74632) ( 849) ($901174) ($33855
$0 $20 $2557tbull I 0 034 $3 0034$34 S211 7) ($33314)S263 M$8178) (S32 2u)15 $0~ ($to50 $2110 $2333 0 $0 343 $3184 $210$7074 $ 473 ($2090S) ($83 315) ($3032)$0 $211 ( $2332 0 $01L 348 $ S237 $2110 $727 ($32444) ($73618) $34578) $83512)7 $0 72 10 $2746 0 $0 343 S555 $2110 S744E 3$5340 ($7S445) (323-7 (333293)1 $0 5210 $280 0 $0 348 $2745 $2110 $7636 ($54542) I 43W ($21447) (2B7156)$0o $2110 $225L 0 $0 349 $3341 $2110 S7831 ($50684) ($72422) ($80038) ($35163)2C $0 $2110 $2914 0 $0 348 $1023 $2110 $3029 ($46872) ($7WC561 (75726) ($85235)21 ($5439) $2110 $272 0 $0 346 $10342 ($3328) $13670 ($40634) ($676S2) ($76694) ($83818)
$124043 $42552 0 $0 7018 $17362 $163 00 $7052 A-39
TABLE A-20 (Contd) P-SJ 2DTPKE rZFT7-CGS72 TLAK (acutated)
Hom and Firaa ralvsis fcr Erergy Investments - Egypt EEAn 5S
Za-ital Costs Benefit Paraeters lnterrna Rate cf Return 046
Acquisition $129485 Price of Oil $22O0 1bb (yr 1)Transoortation $0 Di Escala 2Oyear Disc PV f PV of BCConstructior Rate Beniefits Costs Ratio Interconrnection $0 Errgy Savngs 348 bblyear - --- =_
Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 $173252 $16E600 $705 104 (Cao)bull0TL1a8 $14 360 $10c ($ 320) 087
4 $115398 $155031 ($40634) 074Corstruct Time 0 -rnths A $36409 $152 34 ($55935) 063 8 $8A759 $14937 ($7623) 0Operatin and Normal Maintenanrce Costs CIA $70299 $14S933 ($76694) 048
11 $55502 $145 966 ($0464) 045Operating Cost $210 year 12 $51216 $145034 ($33818) 042Operating Lifetime 2years 13 $57376 $144188 ($85812) 040 14 $53924 $143417 ($89493 038Kajor Equipmert RepairReplacement $C811 142713 ($91901) 36 IS $47997 $142068 ($94071) 034Salvage Value ($5438)period 18 $432- $140933 ($97810) 031
Replace Period 20 years 201 $39071 $139971 ($100899) 028
A-40
- End - Ar y= fcr ZErcy~gt Ef-tS - ~ Aq
TiE fl-2[
-or -ase
Assamin
c
Ui
Tf-L0EST 4 -
E-alation Rate f
TECTh- 211
20 25BFJ
Yec-
-_ ztr
fs
nrt-r--et
YEzEta u-rir z os
___=== shy = i2 ~~
z-_ 233
r $
of deg $i2
- Lse (Ebi)
ICoRue
Cost
Saved Ersery
Ecuiv
Va -cf Saved
Erery
5 S
n-a
-shyt
zas CIO
Curt S
t
Discounted Cash
4
Ficii 0 V)
0C
1 =
4
2
14 1 17 17
12 19 20 21
5-
s$
s 12
ampc
SO SC
$3 5 $0
(5 438)
2II0 2 110
S$210$o
12102IC
2110 SC$
U0 52 10
O QI0I $2110 521110 $2I07343
$2110 $2110 $2110 $2110
--23OI 1
Q27^S7SC
7
f_522 $2 3
S2147 $2SQ 53171
34 23 EE
13 534Vo$344)
$35o $3571 53342 53715
Ct
-1C
o
0 C
0
0 0
0 0
C 0
0
$0$034-=
s5
$50
s3$s4
$ $0
5$
so $0
$ $0
$O $0 s0 S0
348
343Z4
348
34E 342
342 342
34S 342 3474E 348 348
345 348 348 348
13574$ = $
$3
$3417sampo
$ 7E3
1 3-$337
euroscs $1 37
s3 $254 $1S t9 03
$121 1 S1242 $12674 $12 928
V2 31 -shy
11C
2110s519
2 12-0
1S 11 145
$2C
$2110
t2 110 $210
S2 110 $2110 $2110 ($3328)
33 2-72 ZZS ($13333 335B3 122S7 4 ($ E 22 25) ($13-2 3 (t12243)4 ($t1 ($pound 7) I$1692 $t5 S5 -
1 4 $7123 3$M234 ft 91 11745)--- $175)
$7307 31028 S C5148) ($106(1 7SC $5- t7495 ($737 (IiCc047 cs (-02843
783 ($cZ203) ($37185 (32353shy$7854 (1S4 6 1 533 (133122 (523371 $8133 ($7E754) (SS3 5) M335)) (ic21-h)
$S27 (7222) (32C900 ($2525 ($83134) $495 ($87 23 78 ) 382 5Wc ($5399)12 717 ($5 ($44-0 (7350I (583995)$3924 9 53 ($70 8771 (S7664) ($81605)V1144 (S$2471 ($67514) ($74016) (579509)
($45C (64324) ((715434) (S772) $33 5337301 ($5292) (5 2501 ($7 838)$7533 ($58428) ($8711C) ($74234) 0 )72 29303 ($5706) (S5 11a ($72767)1$0316 (24217) ($53124) (S5322) ($71425) $10564 (S19203) ($50676) ($6155) ($70199) $16256 ($11754) ($47129) ($59119) ($685141
$124043$42552 0 $0 7018 $217065 166500 50465
A-41
ELSTU0 TABLE TABLE A-21 (Contd)
PLE(-
Zcoo r Firatia iavsis fc- Energy Irvesterts shy Eypt EE1
C itz Zosts enefit Paraveters Irterraz Rate cf REturr 304
zao-isitior S12948E Traszrtzti $0
l rtier to Interzorrectio $0
Price of Oil 0 Escalat
Errgy Savnrgs
$250C bb (yr 20vear
342 bIyear
Disc Rate -
WV of Ienef-
W cf Fcsts N
BC Ratio
- --
TJT -------shy
1 486 FuEl Use 0 bblvear ^
-a-27 H-S$17 450
$SG0 s16K 580
$E 4S $14770
30
109
Construct Tive 10 crths 4^ 6
$144247 $2051
$I-o0 2344
$17S4) (4P 832)
02 073
Coeratirsect and Normal Mairtenance Costs
Operatir Cost $2110 year 0oeratin~ Lifetinie 21 years
8 0 1
2
$102198 $27874 3-877
$7E520 $$7720
$14937 $14S33 $145S3
$145034 V44122
$47123) ($ 119) ($64039)
($68514) $72458)
068 060 056 053 050
Mamr Equipmet ReoairReplacemert 14 1
$97405 $143417 1427
($76012) (179199)
047 045
REplace Cost Replace Period
($5438)period 20 years
6 18 20
$59996 $53304 $43839
$142068 $140 233 $139971
($82072) ($87030) ($91131)
042 C38 035
A-42
TRSLE 1-22
F- cf-- s 14- HELN Esumlr Oi Esampaton Rat2 cf
(TC2LEHr Trorp-
20 -P z-3 z-
1iazip Ycst
Ls-cr 113 -
0eratir Cost
Cott of oil W
Fte e c
-e el Ct
Savec Energy Ev
Va1-_ of -avef
ErErcy pnua
st a=n 7c DirountEj Ca_
E-rre-t $ 40 8 Flo (NPN) i
10 =
12
4 f
7
10
N-I-
1-
15
$ 7
is
19
I 21
C rutc
0t13oo
V 12 116 30E 11 $321
so No 13LR $- 110 z347 $ t-1 $33 2
S 8029 $3278 2li $344E
S0 f2I0 1315 - - 1 35
S1 r t2110 1373C-
S S212 $3 15 2 1 S281
$S)S2 5I3908 $ S4(38
so QAc2h18 41 SO $s2 $420 50 $2 11 $4 so $110 $4370
$5433) $2110 $4455
$124048 $42552
0
c 0
0
0
0
0
0 C 0 c
0 0
0 0
0 0
0
S
10 345 so 34
so 248 to 345
C 34S
so 3 $ 348 $0 348 $0 348o
$0 348 0 348
$ 345 so 3$6
so 348
$0 348 s A3 $0 348
SO 348
$0 348 $0 348
$0 7018
Q74C 12-
s649 - 1 s B3 110
in1 73 p311 S30 $2110 1127 f110
$11757 2110 $13 I-sI S2322_2ltU1510
2477 130
S 72H 11 S s- $1 2 1-110 s17o- s2
t3770 5-10 $14051 $2110 S302 S2 S14613 $21(
$1491 $ 1 $15203 $3110 $15513 ($332
$260478 $-SF600
A-43
53 ($85557 27Z- )S17
V5S59 10 1 3131 ($9-
12417 e -^-
$-E47 ( S) sI S t730)2
5 L22
1c357 4SW III
S1STs ($241)$1037 s173) 1 30 127 27)
Sc1L33 331 3X4
1 L 5 -267)
$is 7o7) 510L 3 ^41)
2 S2 8 U249
$3S10-2 $346S $18841 170-5
1$93 78
($(225 ($128038)
12 5 52 33- 1 12683 (1M 3102)
1105 EEG) 3$1 364 $3--3) $C 10-
($92 (534$ 3 (1S3225) (33734) ($o5s (s82733
$7 030) (79 0 11) 33 7041(IN
(647) $70511)($50334 (670 (1904) ($53154)
5( 714 (E 8 54) ($47743) 3567S2 $437) ($S33 3540411) fS5123
t070(37030) (4E7331
($33 827) - (S45E
($30 7K) ($44344) (26749) $41544)
($1202a
(31204741 (51347T
IS(117 C272 1( -_- ($SC) I ($627)
(132453) ($7 745)
( 2S ($712
(5344) $SE73S)
My AS)
($2 14) (5601171)
(556T
($5-5-E54)
($55162) (53210)
TABLE A-22 (Contd)
Ezrzic and Fir-a Analv=is Er=-ry Invest-eants - Egypt EEfl oI 1
Catal Costs Benefit Para-eters l-tera ate of Return 532
Pccuisitio $12943s Price c Cii Transportation $ Oi Escalat
Construct iorn $0 Interconnection $0 Enry Savrs
--- - --- el Use TOTAL LCap) $129485)
Construct Time 10 r-=nths
Operatin and Ncrmal nartErane Costs
Operatin g Cost $210 year Ooerating Lifetire 21 years
Major Equipment RevairReplacemert
Replace Cost ($5438)period Replace Period 20 years
$300 bb (yr 1) 2 Cvear
34E bblyear 0 tblyear
Dic PV cf Rate Eerefits
=-- shy == 0 -260478
2 $210541
4 $172037 6 $144614
8 122 S38 10 $105449 11 $93 253
i2 $91824 13 $86064
14 S00885 15 $76217
16 S71995 18 $64685 20 $58607
PV cfof Costs
$166600
$160680 $15H 02 SE2344
$149337 $146993 $145966
$145034 $144188
$143417 $142713
$142068 $140933 $139971
wgV
$93878
$49860 $17065 ($7730)
(326749) ($41544) (347713) ($53 tn0) ($S3 124)
($62531) ($6649G) ($70073) ($76249) ($81364)
Ratio _
15S 13 1 095 82
C72 067 063 060
C56 053
051 04G 042
A-44
Ecnio af rarcia Ay5s fr Enerzy rvestr-et=- E__y EE- t
TABLE A-23
D 7E4--r Case ofF- - H8LW TEXT-PP C LcTORvR- - p n-OIL 35 _) 9ssu=- Oil Escalation Rate cf 20
spvedCa4t Csratr Zost cf Oi Fuel Used Fel Erergy Vi~
3aved Arral Ca-s 7 2iscurnt (-ir- Flo (NTV) 8 iYear Ec SBbX (Ebi) Cost Eniv Enercy ost Crr $ 4 10 12
1 Trarsort $ bull Ccrstr_-ticy $
1 Ir -e2or tic - $0r
Ttal T4- $352 $300 0 $0 58 $2030 f223 2780) 3$227($1802) (S27803) ($37308)Ss s210 12570 0 so 348 S2424 12 10 10314 $7S3 ($(S2 ) (1342 o 59)
3$ 123 $3541 0 $0 348 $12672 2 11 105S2 022T) (103O023) ($103703 ($10179)4 2 $2 0 $3714 c SO 349 2 $2110 8 ($18 -1 7 ( 0 7 (0 410
S3783 0 to$2110 348 $13 184 $2110 111074 ($53044) (332477) ($34013 ($3-7443)E 10 1-110 S3364 0 $i 345 S3448 $2s SI335 $73716 (1847z (8900)T $21 $342 0 $0 348 $13717 1I10 11607 (571 553) _77447 C$S04-2 ($-3 123)
0 -1( 241 ( 77 ($74 ($77155)so 348 4 $s $7 s$o2110 348 11427$311I0~Snl $8 C $0 $2110 Ll 1Z3) 12944) 1S5 372844)
1 82 20 $L (SIL0 348 S14556 t2 $1244 ($43394) ($57718 (5S33731 ( 1 211r 5428-4 0 $0 343 $4847 S21110 $1277 2 s($7 3) 364254) S $0o 348 1511413 1 $4439 $S I o 13031 - ($ 2 ) ($46228) ( 853834)($0 507)110 f- $0 348 1 447 12 110 $13337 ($18432) ($4C32) ($43644) ($57084)14 $0 $2110 $4528 0 50 348 $E75E t 112 S4 (S102 (394) (4582 (2 9S75 1$10 W4 S 343 16 07 $2110 $139s] ($2234) ($31IG) ($4201f5 ($L I100
16 211SC $24 $4711 0 S 348 $18322 $211 1 14_ 15 7 (S2S 531 ($38-96] ($A 4917 S $2110 $4805 0 $0 348 5721 12 I10 14611 $13437 (22394) (35416) 34S107)18 $C $2110 $4301 0 $0 243 $1-5 $2110 $i345 $21170 (18354) ($32460) ($930)19 $ $20 $4993 $0 343 $17336 52110 $15286 $28715 ($14 529) ($209710) ($4943)20 $0 $2110 $5099 0 $0 348 T17744 $2110 $15634 $36136 ($10 207) ($27 154 ($40 127)21I($5438) $2110 $5201 0 $0 348 $18099 ($3328) $1427 $45915 ($30) ($23969) ($3790)
$124048 $4255 0 $0 7018 303891 $166 amp0 137291
A-45
TABLE A-23 (Contd) PSELTIONS TWPLE H-77-C3T-3 TA-2L Eated)
Econooi and Firnani aIvs4s fe- Ener y Ivestcents - Eypt EE 03i32
Capital Csts Berefit Paraeter- Itera Rate c RetLr- 739
Aqisiti-503S S4ES Pice c ii bb (yr 1)TrasScrtation $0 01 ESalat W0year DiEc PV of P of BC
Corstructior $0 Rate Beneits Costs WPV Ratio rterconrection $0 Enray Savwgs 343 bblyear -
Fuel Use 0 blyear 02E1 S 600 II7721 82TOTAL Cap) $1Z48C Z $1683 $54 350 53
4 $20194S I5E3 $45715 i2CcrstrUct Time 10 mrths E1 716 $152344 $16372 11
8 $143078 $14337 ($S309) 096Operatirpound and Norma Ma~ntenarce Costs 10 $123024 $14E933 (23969) 084
11 $114628 $145956 ($31 33 079Oerating Cost $2 110 year 2 $107128 $145034 ($37906) 074Operating Lifetime 2 years 13 $101408 $144182 (343780) 070
14 $34I26 $143417 (U9050) 066Major Ecuipment RecairReplacemernt $S30 $142_713 ($53793) 062
1S 0584 ($53074) 059$1420O8Salvage Value ($5438)period 18 $75465 $14C 33 ($55468) 054Replace Period 20 years 20 $68375 $139571 ($715) 049
A-46
Ecor-r~c a Fi-ra- aivss VeSt=rts EE2fC- -ErV - E --t
TAFLE A-24
Case cf77-Lf TES 4 - HEWA XTILE1P (M CT P $2zS - PRE-F OIL 640EBLh ssuming Oil Escalation Rate f 20
saved VaiLe Ofonita Doeratir Lcst of Oil Fue Used Fuel Erery -d pYert Ca_ 10 Discourtd Cash Flow (PI 0- i =Cost $1Ebl (2l) Cost Eerv Ztt Crrert 1 4 6L 10 12
I Transmrt onstrLZt ior 4
tr-cnnEc icn $ Tcta f2945 132 $4000j 0 $0$40 SO 58 2 S 33z Is1 5 ) 327515$0=8 34S7 $15 $2- 2 (12728
31 $4060 1 r 0 342 $2C 3 8 1034)IS ($152V (1528) f(E72)14 0 348 49 S20 S-372 SI04-1 (5) 517 (110303) (-058514$ 2 I W A S t o4 3 4 8 $ 4 7 shy 3 12 2 ( S 9 ( SH G ES ) ($7 9 0) ( UT 7 8 4 5 3 $ 2 1432bull 34a S 057 $241 C3 (
$0 ($36142) (M6742) (3614)$0 $2 110 $446 0 $0 348 $159 $22 $17m ($7122) ($77119) 372707) U82191)7$ 4 $0 348 S5751_5 21101if) E5 5)503) $55569) ($72049) ($75218)0$ 4c5sg5 $0 348 $5930 510 $13 0 496) ($E 470) ($54327) ($62033)S so 12 4687 $0 348 $309 21Sc 14 92 (139580) 5079 (15833) 563204)10 $C Uio $4760 0
$0 348 $Ipoundpound36 5 240 -25- (129375) (4E53) (- 42 (37966)$0 12112 1487pound 0 $0 348 $11953 $20
2 S12353 SI9337 (533650) 34S414) ( 5318)0 $2110 $4373 0 s0 348 $1730L 2 1c3 5 Q 15 ($9465) (1 2132) ($41027) (34313)S0 12110 $ 0 $0 348 V14i
$21 $244 3-5905) (35134 344823)$0 $2110 $574 0 $0 34E $112007 $Z19 $5597 $3791 (1114) ($-530 ($41180)o $2110 $275 1 $0 342 $18357 $21 $-257 S19 7916 3$14579) 32724T) ($3754)$2110 $$5393 0 c$0 349 $12734 17
$2110 $Ic24 $28410 MKS) (Q-3269 (34816)$ $2110 $s191 0 6
s0 348 1$3 0o $2110 S162 $37486 (4376) (195E) ($32043)$S 5210 $sa01 0 s0 348 $19431 1211 17331 $43409 $321 ($161301 (12951)11 $0 $-I0 $5713 0 $0 348 1181 $2i10 S7771 SES182 $4768 ($2934) (327 M0I20 $0 $2110 $5827 0 t0 348 $20279 $2110 $16169 $E3805 8378 ($9963) ($25031)21 ($5438) $2110 $5944 0 $0 348 $20 684 ($3328) $24012 $74764 $14 30 (36394) ($n-60L
$124048 $4252 0 $0 7018 $347304 $166600 $180704
A-47
g3EL-iD~- ASSIUPTIDXF LETABSE TABLE A-24 (Contd) - ---C-NCE TFamp mC utCalculated)
zczi a- Farcial alvs- for Erergy IwEstments - Egypt EEA 1 8
CaPital r~csts Perofit Para Eter- Irntr-na Rate of Peturr 932
Acouisition $ E4 Price of Cil TransroortaEtio $G 0i Escalat Construct $
rterrertior $0 Erry Savrs Fuel Use
TOTA Cao) $1_h486
Construct Time 10 eorxths
eratir_ and Norzal Ma-rtenance Costs
Oceratim Cost $2110 year Operati_ LifEtime 21 years
Major Ecaiment RevarReolacert
Replace Cost (5543e)period Replace Period 20 years
$4000 bb (r 1) 20year
348 bbyear 0 bblyear
DisC PV of Rate Perefits
- = 0 $347 304 2 $22720
4 t23C 73 E $19288
$13517 10 4C 9 -- - - $31004
12 12243-2 13 $114751
14 $107847 15 $101622
16 $KS993 18 S84 246 20 $78143
V of Costs
$16 6O $162560
5 63 $1E2344
$43337 $1429c3 $14 9-5
$14E034
$144188
$14347 $142713
$142068 1140933 113971
N71)
$180704 $120040
$74764 $407
$14 13 ($r334)
($14 952)
($22602) ($29437)
(S35570) ($410V30)
(45075) ($54687)
($61828)
BC Ratio
208 175
48 27
109 096 090
084
080
075 071
368 061 056
A-48
Ecra acia a fc Ernerv ivEs=-t -- Eyt E~q IC36
TfPLE A-25
cr Case of-- 7ST 4 - HL4 7EX-vTDUq -T R E $ZvCF 7 P- U 1shygssu-in_ Oi Es~alatior Rate of 20
Saved Value ofDaitalfleratir Cost of Dil -Fel Used Fuel ESrry 5avf Annual as( Fic Discourted Cash Flow (MKV) 8 iYear Cost $IBb (E1 Cost Ecriv -Ercy Cot Currert S 4 8 10 12
I 712 I Trersp $0
ITotal 0712 $311 $1500 0 $0 58 $370 $111022 1t01E2 52) 1103) $ n3)(1h10153) $8 $5302C $0 348 $5324 $186G 458 CLa28 (S10SI) ($07003 (107O5)2 $15In $ 0 $0 348 $543 $18s2 S25s5 0522) ($ 40$ 2 $-7834) ($1040E3 ( 7 ($104 )4 $I62 $12$0 bullS266 $1524M$0 0 $0 34842 $5540
3 $550 S1866-C81C $2674 ($1 ($0 ($37031) 3 $10 $3784 ($32 197)78) ($10$D(3S718) Is0 603(M32204)
6 CS56 0 $0 348 S762 $862 $3857 ($c3828) ($5544) ($22223) ($39992)$052 $I82 c $0 43 $872 $186E $4013 $33 67) ($3301) ($94033 $94353)S$0 $C866 1723 C $0 348 15922 $866 $4130 (U8751d) (390605) ($1914) ($3091)2 $3 $s $1757 so e 33
s 0 343 Stamp 1866 $4256 ($4413) ($82310) ($23921) (131374)$0 $17 22 51732 00 $ 3 2- 1$5 2 522 11866 $4372 3 1 S C 1 ($311 ($82122) ($737C7 ($83738)1 223E$ $ 22 so 348 $82 $866 $4407 ($78702) ($40391 ($25 3431 ($83 3n0)12 $0 $1826 13Ef 0 $0 348 $S490 S1866 $4624 ($7E 29) ($80-5) ($ 4722) ($87020)s0 $1 8 $11302 0 $0 348 $2620 $BE $4754 ($714 $0
323 ($80168) ($33207) ($85800)$1866 $1940 0 so 348 $s753 $182 $4837 ($23334) ($72371) $2722 ($84630)15 s0 $1852 $7 ) $0 348 $8B3 $BE6 $5022 ($22494) ($7L662) ($8146M] ($33653)16 $0 $166 $2019 C $0 348 $702 $1862 (152 ($75035)s $E30) ($73234) ($2 710)17 $1 pound186 $203 $0 348 $7126 $1826 $523y ($50O330) ($73488) ($73081) ($S8845)12 i$ $626 $2100 0 348 $7309 $1866 1544 ($58005) ($72017) (77 0041 ($81053)$0 S866 21421 0 $0 348 f7 455 $186620
$5589 ($ 246) ($70618) ($759M) ($30326)$0 $1866 $2185 u $0 348 $7605 $1866 $5733 (152523) ($63288) ($75060) ($73660)21 ($4650) $1856 $2229 0 $0 348 $7757 ($2784) $10541 ($47712) ($67027) ($73494) ($78567)
$106062 $37631 0 $0 7 018 $130233 $143693 ($13454)
A-49
----
TABLE A-25 (Contd) rzzPTI2CNS 7PBLE EE ~~~TnD Calculated)
-cocc and Fir4anci= Araisis fc ErErgy InvestEerts - Ecypt EEA raI
capital CStE Perefit Parayeters terna Rate of Return -108
czuisiion ie o 0 $I2X yr 1I Tra-spcrtatior $0 2 Zs~t 2 lyear Dis WVof PV of BCConstructior tate
Benefits Costs NIV Ratiointercorrectior $0 Enry Savrgs 343 bblyear =
Fuel Use 0 bblyear C $130239 $143E03 ($13454) 091trp) CTP $10Z S 270 $138405 ($3375 076 4 S 548 $134260 ($47712) 064ConAstruct Time 1S CnTh5 5 $72307 130 76 ($55669) C55 8 s6319 $122 34G ($67027) 048CoeratrE and -crma Maintenarce Costs 0 ($73494) 042
OperatingCost $18- year 1 $49126 $125306 ($761711 03912 $45912 124479 3735-7 037Operatirg Lifetime 21 years 13 $43032 $123728 $8169L) 035 14 $40443 $12 043 $82601) 033Major Equipment RepairReplacemert I$IIE $38108 4419 ($84310) 031$3810
16 $35997 $121847 ($58M) 030Replace Cost ($4650)period 18 $323A2 $120841 ($88499) 027Relace Period 20 years 20 $Q9303 $119988 ($90685) 024
A-50
and Finaie rr_ fir Energ- ivestrents -- Eyt E2 1IMV5
TAPLE P-26
For Case cfFlD TEST 14 - HELWAANXT1LEIP (PRECTO p ZE$221SFT - P UZCF GIL $2VBE Assuraing Gii Escalation Rate of 20
Saved Val e of oita eraplusmn ir Ccst of Cil uee Lsed Fuel Energy 5ave Irr ca Zas F1ow Disconted Cash Flc (NPIV)E iYear- Cos C-st Bo (E 1) Cost Ecuiv En=Ergy Cost ZLrrert $ 4 8 0 12n
ura-z t 7 bull~r ti- $
rterco-retIcr $ITcta $20 0 $O 3 $1160 $111023 15S ) C$1C3853) (5103353) ($I0335 ($103 53)22 5 $2140 C $0 348 $703 $655 233 ($10Q8311 ($105017 (W05106) ($105Igl)S$ $EEG $2081 0 50 7 $537Z ($$33E41 24 1 183 (1040 (1 663 ($ 35)$EE863 $2-22 0 so 342
0 $733G 18E s527 (P9454) ($03 (56- ( 7)- $QLES( 033 so 343 $7S=34 S 2U- $G 568 ($3110) ()161) ($2645) ($93374)$S E 202C0 $0
7 348 $76E934 $1365 $5818 (S527) ($3730) ($83CK) ($90073V0 $1 s 5 f2252 0 0 343 5738 I6
- V5972 (80 377) (1413) ($5E ) ($37 047)_336 $2297 C $0 34S $75 s - shys- ~ (-1MO M r2~ ~ $ g0~ - J - 322$ ($84275)to S186b $2343 0 s0 343 $a10$ = (300 S186 5$233 (71 355 (7164) ($752 ($1735)to 34S 21313 t566 Z54582) (73 (17S846) 3$73409)r T-357)
0 415-3 $1$238 0 $0 343 $13484 $H6 18S (1 31) ($70 871) ($7424) ($77278)--ES $2437 C s0 348 $2654 S1855 $$73 (t 73$
41) ($70 1 (7) ($75 326)$1B3s $2536 0 s0 14
348 S227 $1865 $S761 ($53594) ($E519S) (5S367 (S73539) 5
t 61656 $2587 c s0 342 $004 Si856 $7133 1$4307) ($62571) i53201 (S1904)51 $125 $2539 0 $0 348 $ 184 M866 $7318 f45081) ($50080) (65703) (570406)i5 $ 861855 $232 0 $0 S13 $7 $5 $751 (34916) ($57715) (63S07) $559036)17 tO 51833 52746 tO 343 $55 51S66 $7539 ($5311 ($55471) ($32234) ($67732)is - s866 $2800 0 $0 34 5 74S S 865 $7880 ($-2766 f534I) ($50675) (3634)13 s0 $18665 $2856 0 $0 348 $S994 $1866 $8075 (28 73) ($513M) (M-3223 ($5 584)20 t0 $ass $n 14 0 so 348 $10 13 $1866 $5273 (424253) (342404) ($57870) ($6462A)21 ($465O $1865 52972 0 $0 348 $10342 (32784) 63126 (f18 863) ($46587) ($55919) (63263)
$10G062 $37631 0 s0 7018 S173 2 $143693 29959
A-51
gSv ONSTBLTABLE TALEASSUPTIOS A-26 (Contd) TT-r-TS TA-- alculated)
Econozc ar Firacia Araly-is for Energy Irvestrerts -- Egypt E_ I-
LaoitaI CoSts Benefit Parx-Eters Iterra Rate c-Return 216
Acquisition $110712 Price of 1 $2000 bb (yr 1)Trarspcrtatio $O Oil Escala 20year DiE Pcf PV of BIC
Corstrutior $0 Rate Benefits Costs NV Ratio iterconneztio $0 Enrgy Savrgs 348 bblyear _= -_--
Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 $173 G52 $143693 $2 M 121TOTAL Ca) $712 N $14c 360 $13405 $1955 101
4 $11Z338 $134260 ($18863) O8GConstruct Time 10 tronths 6 $96409 $130976 ($34567) 074
8 $81759 $12346 ($46587) 064Operatinz and Norrva Maintenance Costs 10 $70299 $126216 (S55919) 056 A-1 $6S502 125 30f Ui59 64) 05Operatin Cost $866 year
shy
2 $61216 $124479 ($63263) 049 Oerating Lifetime 21 years 13 $57376 $123723 ($65352) 046
14 $5-7924 $123043 ($9120) 044Major Equipment RepairReplacement 15 $50811 $12419 ($71608) 042
16 $47927 $121847 ($73 851) 039Replace Cost ($4G50)perioQ 18 $43123 $120841 ($77718) 036Replace Period 20 years 20 $39071 $119988 ($80 917) 033
A-52
conc34 an Firnancial Qralvss fcr Ener~y i-veEtvnts -- Eypt EE
TMtSLE 4-27
Fc0 2ase TfiEf - 1ZLN TEXTILEI (WZC PR P3rS22TEST 44 SETOR C7 a- $25IEDU Asi rLz Oil Escalation Rate of Z0
SavBr Vaue f1ta Ccost of Oi Fue Use Yuel[eraing Energy SZve- rnual Cas 71co ritv ed Cash Flow (NPV ) i = -- CostYear ost $1 (Bbl C-st L c r ny Cost C-rre~t 1 4 1r IN0
t1i3iticr tSU712
7rarns~ort $
Ccrtructcr It o $oerconnec
aS 71 S00 0 to 53 1450 1 023 (103 -73 5-3c$3573) ($109573) ($103-73)sgE t C 0 $0 348 S234 S7 CC7 3SZE 1C-084 (3103202) ($103316)$0 $as 2L0 $-r
0 s0 343 $ 51 $1ms5s n7515261) $9924) ($97264) (975M30 $0 348 Ic233 $786-H s364 (tc7E ($91723 (SW344)So286 027 $0 -48 $47 $I 17f51 5E so $ G s S27 EC 0
18 ($3552) ($37545)0 to 348 $q606 $1 86 $Z740 8257 t85 15 C 03 $76 -53 ($817E6) $83154)ss~ g $ 5 7 g2 ( 7 a $2215 $50 348 $9738 $6 $7 2 ($7058) 726 (377287) (79135)Sc S5 K6 372 0 $0 348 Sg934 S6 $2 $64322 ($70 1) 37311 3754599 $0 38 S A 52 s (923371 s1 S7237) ($72036)IC $r t85 12955 0 $0 343 $10377 865 $352 ($-22) (6751 (55615) ($59013)11 so 55 5 247 -0 s0 348 $C61 SlE6 $873S ($493) (t-7) ($-2246) ($55205$ $185 5$ $1510 SO 348 $087 $2811 (L4$54) ($53864) $53108) ($36321O 518) $317 0 $012 348 S1I034 $66 $9168 ($24858) (min22 3 56187) (S61279)14 s$ $S-76 52234 0 $0 348 $11254 $1866 $2382 1$2220) (34S771) (353468) ($59127)E $C $1685 $39 0 $0 -48 $114-9 $666 $3613 3U2668)($43498) ($50936) ($5-7160)so$ $866 $3365 0 so 348 S- 70 $86 13843 2$03)-($40395) ($48560) ($-m3S)
17 so 11862 $432 0 so 348 11-43 $1866 $10077 12 822) (37454 (34G387) (5 718)2 to T866 $350 0 $0 348 $12182 $866 $1016 ($7526) ($34666) ($44345) ($2216)V9$0 $1866 $257 0 $0 348 $12426 $156 $105EC ($2314) ($2023) ($42447) ($50842)2V $3 $1866 53642 0 s0 348 $12674 $1856 S0803 $2816 ($ 519) ($40673) ($49588)21 (54650) $1866 $3715 0 s0 346 $12926 ($2784) $15712 $9987 ($26148) ($33344) ($47M95)
$105062 $37631 0 s0 7018 $217065 S143693 $73372
A-53
PSSU Ns TABLE TABLE A-27 (Contd) FE-E=IT- 2ST3 TA2LE Cal d
Ecortomiz arnc a AIaEsis fc- Enery Irvestmerts - Egypt EE- iC1365
Capital Costs Perefit Parameters lnterral Rate c Return 491
Acquisitic $0712 Price of Oil Trarnsportat $C Oil Escalat Construction $0
Interconrectior $0 Enrny Savngs Fuel Use
TOTlL Cap $0 72
Construct Tiie 10 Moths
Operatinz and Norma Maintenance Cost5
Ooerating Cost $866 year Operating Lifetime 21years
Major Equipnent RepairReplacement
Replace Cost ($4650)period Replace Period 20 years
$2500 bbl ( r 20year
348 bblyear
0 bblyear
1)
A-54
Disc Rate -shy
0 -w
4 6
8 0
11 n
3
14 15
16 18 20
PV zPV EenefitS
$217CS5 $75450
$144247 $$0C $102193 $87374
$81877 $76E20
$71720
$S7405 $63514
19996 $53904 $4883
cf Costs
$143623 $132405
$134260 27
$128346 $2z218
$125306 $124472
$123728
$043 $122412
$121847 S120841 $119988
NPV
$733272 $37045
$2987 ($101465)
($26148) ($38344)
($43429)($47259)
($52008)
($55639) ($532905) ($61251) ($68938) ($71149)
BC Ratio
151 27
107 092
080 070
065 061
058
055 052
049 045 041
E ri- Fra Fa-s fc- Erergy -vetrerts - Egypt EA
TAKLE P-28
o- Case lfF- TEST 4 - HELWATEXTILEIPH (CELECTOR Assuming01l E-calatic Rate c 2C
PRCZ-22I _- 01vS
YeF-ita
Cost 0=erair
Cost st of 0j
IB Fuel Used
(bLI) Fuel Cost
Energy Eciv
Savee ErCr~y
rrua Lost
Eas FIcA Current $
Discountd Cash 4 8
Floh (NPV) 10
i 12
k cuisiicr r7-2 1 Transc-rt $ I Costrut or $3
cta $272 2 S COo
Se $ESE 120 so $ SSr
s3~ zs384cSO $0 $15 S47
6 $3 t135 $--- 2 7S882 53375 a $0 $258 $344E
5 S18 zI^ to $ -ES s3F
1$ ss sss~s S- $181H $3730 SO $1868 $3805
4 $ $35 E i V $8-8 $3258 E 50 $8EE $4038 17 $0 s B S4s SO $0 S8EE $4201
13 tS $18 $428 5 20 $0 $86 $4370 21 ($4650) $1868 $4458
$105 02 $37631
0
I
0
0
0
0 IC
0 0 0 o0 0 0
0 v
0
$0 Es $174
742 t-8c4c SO$0 343 $1
348 51107 $0 348 $11301 $0 348 $1527 SO 342 7m7 so 343 $13 $1 348 S2 32 $C 348 $12477
38V)2 $0 342 $ 345 t3240
$C 348 $ z -to 348 775 so 348 $1405 SO 348 $14 332 $0 343 $14CM $0 348 $14911
$0 348 $KS203 $0 348 $15513
$0 7018 $260478
A-55
III3-3C3
$E- Iass
$1866
$1856 S866 5 865 5185S $3s6
56 65
Sa36
518j$E $8 $866 $ 86 $155
$862 ($2784)
$143633
10I08 23
S7322 2 9
s $3435
$3661
$9S3 s u $03-
$511
$6 $11 $11374
187^ $ 3 $1822 $12 48
273 S13045
$13343 $18297
$118785
3
($1Th22-
(Pc8751
E3 -73
(ME223 (3) 5) ($
4 2231
337784
30447) ($23227) $V23)
3 1 (1 2M)
- IS6 $7t $24453
$30466 $L M3E
(1l123
cs 32443)$22
1
72 611
(SE8 322) () 4741 1154 372)
($4258)
3544E35) ($ 76 S (5325)
3071) ($28E3)
0751 (119 43s
E9 3 ($12725)
($3634) ($5708)
(s0--3) ($33864)5552 $83498
(745001 (S53917) ME-720)
($ES584
($54284)
(S530197) 3413 3542-S7h
(S30- ) (S3170) (332-) ($3 4 23M)
$25870)
($23433) ($20 705)
((e02203)
(S1014411 ($94270)
-855772 7S
(727v1 (37124) ($6S 64) (M62456)
(3E2301
($5133) (33 (02)
ME48-5 ($14314 S41688)
33854) (-7 ($101)
(345m21 (32655)
TABLE A-28 (Contd) S TpLE - Th-CCSTS TPAELE (Calclated)
Ezo ndard Firarla yss fzr Erergy Investrzents -- Egypt M 01I 185
Capita Ccsts BerEfit Paraeters lkterrz ate of Rturr 7351
A-uisit in Trarr~rtaticr Cortro
$117-12 t0
$0
P-ice o Cii Escala
$3000 Ibb (yr 20year
1) Disz ta
V of
Benefits PV of
Costs 1PV BC
Ratio -rnterconretion $( Errzy Savwes 348 bblyear -------
TCTAL (Cap $10 712 Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0
2 $26r-475 2l154C
$143623 $132405
euro16785 $72135
81 152
Corstruct Timne 10 msonth-4 6
173097 $144614
$24260 $131 976
$33836 $13633
12 110
Dperating an Normal Maintenarce Costs 8
0
$122633 $108449 $98253
$12346 $126218 $125 305
(35708) ($32769) ($27053)
096 084 078
Operating Cost
Operating Lifetime $865 year
21 years 1 13
$9824 $5064
$12479 $123728
332E5 ($37664)
074 070
Major Equipment RepaiReplacemeet 14 15
$80985 $7217
$123043 S122419
(42158) ($46202)
065 062
Replace Cost Replace Period
($4650)period
20 years
1 S 20
$719T $64655 $58607
$121847 $120841
$119988
($49852) (356157) (361381)
059 054
049
A-56
Taiaccno arc navsl- fCr erv InVES Et S_ 5E
TWILE A-29
For Case of --T TEST - uMwANTEXTIlEIPP 1Crv=TO PR2E -rR- a PAssuz 0 Escalation Rate of 20
Save Value f Ozeratir iliFuel Usedaoita Cost cf Fuel Energy Saej Annual ash 73w Dis-unted Cash Flow ( ) i = Cst st $1bl (btI) cost Ecuiv Enerzy zt --rrert 4
- Trarsoco-t SC)
I rsterucrneztion 50
I Tc- Z $3500 0 $203 (T01132 (50-932(9933-3) ($IC-9931(12S933S S46SE 170 0 $C 34 $2 424 s1856 $_ssS99217 ($32841) ( 39E (M567)5 52-25 $3541 0 $0 348 52572 $1855 1 bull 23 (58953 ($0457 ($g032)
5-5E0 53714 -7 0 So 10 731)0 g 48 174 ) $ 15 (S33 030)343 $12 S6G 4 7 O t1 Es SBs $3729 0 $1 348 $1284 $865 $318 363344) ($72254) (374425) (37637
S S1E $In3964 0 $0 7
348 $13448 1866 V1152 (IZ3825) M4972) ($67234) (315)53942 0 $V 348 $13717 $1866 (550459 ($54544)5Y1-1 (1-7504) ($6332)
$0 855 $$4020 0 t0 348 t13991 18665 shy12 - ($424V (s 422) ($54322 (tS72273 s aE- $41 0 $0 348 $14271 t856 $19405 S2J81 43728) ($4535) ($2817)10 $0 $1855 $4123 C s0
11 348 $14556 T556 $126 0 ($23265) ($37379 3$433 $4Z2 4
5 $425 $0 348l $0 S 1856 $4352 0 SO 348
0 s0 $14847 $1862 $31 (514495) ($313E5) ($32149) (5440511 $15144 $1866 12272 f(15870) (S25672) (1334 ) ( 244)13 855 $0 $54439 0 348 t5447 t855 $1253 $213 M278) ($2967) (33758)
14 $0 $SE5 $4S23 0 $0 34s 1135-0 955$1Z75C 518s $11C (t15171) ($255144) (533 -5)15 $0 $1855 $4513 0 $0 348 14 (110325)16 to f86 1471
$1071 S856 5131I8 353 (2434 (3066Z 0 $0 348 $1633 11365 S14527 $27224 (5575) ($1725) ($29014)7 $0 t1855 $4805 0 $0 348 $16721 351551865 $14855 (3419) (514693) ($25591)is $0 $1866 $4C1 0
9 $0 348 $17055 $ISG5 15 183 $42353 $2626 ($16 (122791
$0 1855 4999 0 so 348 S173 1B6 515530 550518 $6572 ($894) (521359)2 $0 $1866 1509 0 s0 348 $17744 $1866 t 5878 $58155 $102551 ($6298) ($19516)21 ($4550) $186 $5201 0 $0 348 $18099 (32784) $2883 $67686 $14732 ($3 194) ($17351)
$106052 $37531 0 $0 7018 $303831 $143693 $16018
A-57
TABLE A-29 (Contd) ate
Ecoci ar Pirarzia Evsi fcr ErEr t Eypt EA
3ta CGst= Denefit ParamLeters Interra ate cnf Returt 961
ccisition $I10712 Price of Cil S3502 1b (yr 1) SC
ats rttion $0 Oil Eszalat poundC)year rli P cf FV of Rate Saroaf s Coets N Ratio
Corstruct ion so irtErzonneticn $0 Errgy Savrgs 345 bblyear shy
0 $2^3 89 S143693 $16098 211uLai Use C ttVear 2 $24C30 t 145 507 -2-25 177
TDT CaP) $1SC712 4 $20945 $1342K0 $67686 150 S $-53716 $30975 37740 139
Construct Time 10 rorths 8 $143078 $128346 $14732 111
10 S12024 ($3124) 097 Doerating and Norma Mairtenane Costs 1 1468 $ 3C6 ($10678) 091
-- - ----- 1 $114628 S 3CS09
Operatir Cost $1856 year $1107128 $124479 (17351) 086
13 $13J408 $12723 ($230) 081 Operating Lifetime 21 years
14 $94366 $23043 ($28677) 077
5 $23920 $122419 ($33499) 073 Major Equipeent RepairRepla-ement
15 $23934 $121847 ($37853) 069 3 $75465 $120841 ($45376) 062
Replace Cost ($4650)period 20 $SE375 $112938 ($51614) 057
Replace Period 20 years A-58
Ec- ic and Frana Ara~y- f- Erry Irve=tert5 - Evpt -EEA
TAKE A-30
c Ca__ cf-l_ TrST 4 - HLW TEXTLEiP (Z2LETaP $2S FT shy E OF0i $40B) 9ssuMir Oil Escalation Rate f 20
save alue of-azita eratirg Cost c Oil Fu Ue Fuel Erry --ave Annual Cas DiscountedYEar 0 gas Flow (PV) i =st II) Cost Ezv Energy Cost Curre t $ 4 8 IC0
1 Pcq-isit - l1 02 Transzrt $0
$31 $4000 0 $C 52 0 S
21n232232 757-3) 07 3 f C 27 3 0703 f0373)sc sz-s $4080 a S4105 1 855 8 V7134 ($774532) M751Ss 542S I- 0 Sbullcss ~ S42-4f 0 345 4 82cs $14 7172 1-G1- 1SZ3 18$14772 9 7 W- 02)ssamp $12 7 M( 465) 27 ($87134-I (2377 ($762 577365 ($7344$73-2
32 0 $ $3 057
) fD 3$7-42)
$4_ $BSE 12i Z (57-253 1 SSS325--)(570 O0E) ($791C SSS6 $4505 E 33 S)0 V 345 $15676 $1566 $13Bic1556 6261$0 $5 25S 4 47 (2172) M35400)345 $sfsC $8s6 $4687 0 348
8 2 $27-T 42 (449241 ( 33511)T1309 $866 S 14443$2 2- 522) ( 186) ($43 1771 $0 8SG S4780 0 374S S2636V BEE866 $4876 S0
smsG V14770 ($374E 12EM)3 f$3 293 ($37K 50 3452 f3s8 $1266 13--ZC Il- S5$7 05 $$0S 32 4 7 2193) ($3850)$0 $1566 $4372 0 $-
S 07 -- (2 5B2 273)SC 343 $7302 T1866S0 $1866 $156$3073 $0 $1442 42427 SI (1-2ESP n$2533)0 $0 348 S17954 V866 - $7 4
117amp2 1248 ($S305) (51S-7 ($24497)t $58s6 $2173 0 SO 349 $293G7 $8S6 $121 $34 S229 ($53 ($2072
$0 sB- $233716 0 so 348 18734 $ 56 $SHS28 $ 93 $11 17 51 (t235 (13434 )$02 $556 $G349 0 50s 348 $1910 ISsG $17243 152 144 $16523 S1154 (M527)$0 s856 $56011E 0 $0 348 $9491 $862 $17E23 $6312 213529SID $18E6 $5713 $464 (S8950)0 so 345 $9881 S1 $18015 $77035 $2570 $578W- ($5617)s0 VO15865 $5827 0 $0 348 520279 $1866 $1541321 ($4650) $1866
$53852 $30136 $10892 ($4460)$5944 0 $0 348 $20684 ($2784) $23468 $9235 $3171 $14381 ($2047)
S10606 $37631 0 $0 7018 $347304 $143693 $203611
A-59
TABLE A-30 (Contd)
7Ec-acy ar ka lysis fc7nergy Irvestre-ts - Egypt M I
caita Costs EerEf araetErs RatetEtrr tr 72
PAcuisit ioon $ Price cf Di1 Transortaior SOi1 Es-aat
ortrzt io $0
irteronnectior U0 Enrgy Savs - Fuel Use TDTPL (Ca 51
Construct Time 0 -onths
Ozeating and Norral ainterance Costs
- ----Operating Cost $C66 year
Coerating Lifetime 2 year_
ma=jor Equipmet RepairPElacement
Replace Cost $4650)period Replace Period 20 years
$400k bl (yr -shy year
348 bblyear r bblyear
I)
DIK Rate
0 2
4 4
Epound 10
11 2 12
14 Cal
e s 13 MA
PV of Perfits
$347204 28eC 72f)
2307 c2-817
$153=17 $140 522
$131004 122432 $114751
$07847$101622
$3-993 58646 $78143
1W of Costs
143653 $2C-21 a 40 $4235
$134 260 $ 35 $30276 $E842
$229345 35171 $25218 $143912I1
$125306 $5692 $12473 $123728 $3976)
$1234 $51T6)3088 $122419 (20 796)
$121847 ($25 854 5120 841 (334S5) $119988 ($41846)
PC Ratio
242 2003
172 -47
127
105
323
83
C7 071 065
A-60
orc-ic nFiarcial Aav=s shyr rerr Investrents -- ypt EE
----------
Por Case ofFIE MS 14 - HFLu r Ss~zlnz C Fszalatior Rate cf 20
pRZ3 $2I T iE
Zzplta 2eratir Ccst of 11 FLel Used Yea ccist cst $B (kt
Pcu isit icn107335 Tra-ort $0
Ccstr-t icr I irternect io $0 1 ftctal f 099Z $2K IS C$10 0
$ 6z I$-z 3 $50 5162=0 $56 0
4 S s T5 05 So S= $6L-24 0 E SO S $155E 0 7 $0 $112CI U689 0 C to S680 $1723 0
SO cEo $17 0 S $1793 oIi $ t S1568c28 0
$0 C6S0 $1865 013 $0 $1E8 $1902 0 14 $0 t6Vo $940 015 t0 680 $1979 0 16 $0 1680 $20-19 0 17 $0 iamp80 $2059 0 18 $0 C1680 $2100 0 19 $0 $16580 $2142 0 20 $0 $1680 $2185 0 a1 ($453) $1680 $2229 0
Fue C-5l
S5 ts 23
so $0 $0 $0
so
St)$0 $0 $0
to $0 $0 $c to $0
$0 so
Saved nre-y
E-uii
348 348
348 348 345 343
348 341
-7n
342 348
342 348 348 348 348 248 34C 348
Vaue c Saved
Enerry
t-371 s4
$5421
S- 540 $5 50 $5763 $5279 Sf I9 S
t$- Z5$5353
$5450 $E620
S753 -888
$7025 $7 165 $730 $7455
$7605 $7757
rnnual Zash Flcw Cost Crrert $
1o2 275 1-o07405 $168^ $3E44 $6) 275
t1650 m1 i680 $2970 680 $403
$I680 $ 23 680 S4 31F
680 $4436
amp2553680 $4E33
(1850 $421C f1 680 t 0
$16s0 73 $1680 55202-s1680 $5345 $6 s5456 $16 u $5623
S680$5775 $1680 $5325
$2856) S10612
Diccirted Cas 4 8
5)$C~ S17 4^5) ) 3
152=r
f537 002) W17 751 5332) (9S4633)
($30 V-($ r7) C2SS934) ($83403) ($3 54) 1$5
0412) ($84493)
3 $ o(S74 04N) ($30043) (S7 92 1 (ST79a3)
-$72_) ($75018)
(V783) (374153) 17 K ) (72 (52 814) (37065) 3$55885 ($69094] 55995 (567572) (55144) ($68 127) ($47332) ($I4754) ($424A8) (362477)
io (n 2 i = 10 12
(s-7405 (S27405 104 0435051
(s($10 z 1 M-33~09 m) (VI3 414)
33513 3 M 891 (M28451 (15574) $90475 ( 446
3)520 ($9494) (585 1911 t$377 ^2T
(4(22 452) ($8415 ) C3 766) (22ES)($79192) ($aO0 S 723) ($80737) ($76351 37972) ($ 072) (373 1) ($73872) 1177M00) 372764) ($76930) (371 725) (76T2209 ($70 756) ($7541) ($69179) ($74441)
$103459 $33880 0 s0 7018 $130239 S137 339 ($7100)
A-61
TABLE A-31 (Contd)
Econozic and Financia ay for Energy Investmets -- Egypt E
Capi costs BerefIt Pararsters Internal Rate of Return -057
Acquisition $17735 Price 2i Transortatior $0 0Ci sa-t
Corstruction $0 Interconnection Er y Savrs
- ---- Fuel UsE
TOTk (Cap) $I07 Q
Construct TivE 10 months
Operating and Normal Maintenarce Costs
Operatir Cost $1680 year Operating Lifetime 2 years
Major Euipment Repaireplacement
Replace Cost ($4536)period Replace Period 20 years
i bb (yr 2year
348 lyear
0 bblyea
1) risc P Cf Rats BenEfits
0 $ 032
$105270 4 $BW548 6 $72307 9 $51 3
0 $52725 1 $49 126
SE$4512 13 $43032
14 $40443 1 $3108 16 $3997 18 $342 2C0 $23303
PV of Costs
137339
$132 Ek3 2037
$126130 $1373
$121904 $121 $120353 $113633
$113 072 $118514
$117102 $116338
NPV
($7100)
($27423) ($42483) ($5 823) (524T7)
($63179) ($71964) ($74441) ($76651)
($78629) ($80405) 388-0($22005) ($84760) ($87034)
BC Ratio =z=
5
073 067 C57 050
043 041 038 036
034 032 031 028 025
A-62
Econo ard r-ia nalysis fc- Enery rvastmerts -- Et EEA IO
TPPLE A-32
For Case cfF_E TET 4 - HaJ-W TEXTIEIPP ( _=EOCC70R pCE -C PRICz OF QUM Pssumir 3il Escalation Rate of 20
Cata DOerati Cost of Cil Fuel UsEd Fuel SavE Errgy
Value Cf Save- Anrual Cash -Ic Dir-counted Cash 1ow (kV) B i
Year Czet (E) Cc-t Eciv Energy Cost Lrrert 8 10
1 -cusjtic-$107 1 TransDcrt t3 SCorstrLtO $0 I rerccrrect o 0
2 3 4
5s 6 7
9
10
12 13 14 15 1-
17
19
20 21
Tota $97 5 2
$630 S0 $1680
$0 $ $0 $680 $0 $6S0
0to SEscl $0 $ SK $ 168C
168 V71650
S0 S1630 $0 S 680 $0 1180 0 $1680
$10 1$1 S0 so10 11680 0 $650
$0 t680 (14536) $1680
$20
$2040 $2s3o
$21 22 $I55 $20a $SL V12 $2 97 52 43 S220 V1-42
$2487 $2536 $2587 V6 30 V2692 $274 $20 12 56 $2 14
12972
0
0 C 0 0
C 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0
0
$0
$0 10
s0 $0 s0 s0 $0 s0 s0
S0 $0 s0
s0 $0 t0
3 t0
s0
s0
$0
5N
348 342
343 34
342 348
348 345
348 348 348 348 348 348 348 34 348 348 348
348
S160
S7 033 S7241
t7386 $7534 t7684 $7238 $7225 $85 1$318
13484
U8SE4 S3827
$9004 $3184 $3367 1955 19746 $9941
$10139
$10342
103275
11680 $680
$G60 $5150 1680 S1680
1$680 4$1680
$1680
S1680 $1680 $1680 $680 $1680 $180 $1680 $1168 S1680
($2856)
(-c ($10751s- C71)5
tE4 C 3o4 (102097) 6=SE3 ($3721)
5-7 15970) M$2800 5954 1$5poundpound5 $8497) $004 ($3721) ($8441) $ 158 (176H-4) ($3V530) t16 ($72C25) $7645 sz475 (157-254) 373347)
1r3 I E21) 27t=E(- ($70Q ) S1616804 ($Ez0941 (55875) $S974 2534) ($E3884) $7147 ($ oo)10 (5046) 17324 344702) 352353) $754 (S4C 3)9 ($55798) $7637 ($33100) (533755) S7 M (13189-) (151076) 1205 1127755) (48897 8261 (123 77 (46 29)
$2459 ($9662) ($44829)
$13193 ($1363 ($42038)
($107-5]
$0218a) (397592)
($8307)
(SK579) (322103)
($78S52) ( 7842) 373027) ($70403) (57952) (562) (16251) (115) (S59744) (Z803 (156 435) ($54943)
(353566)
($51604)
(101] $12276) 197843) M2305)(52372 ($00622
(SB654) SK 535) 3$80678) ($72 C3)
($7E 69 ($73473) (371474) (169253) (7961 (16642E) (165021) ($63737) ($625 2) ($61488) ($F0505)
($59137)
U-459 $33880 0 $0 7018 $173652 $137339 $36313
A-63
---------- -------
TABLE A-32 (Contd)TBLE (Calulated)
E-oroizic and Finania Anaaysis for Eergy investments -Egypt EA C
Cacital Costs Benefit Parameters Irterra Rate cREturn 26S
Pcouisitic $7993 Price cf Oi $2C (yr 1)Transortatio $0 Oil Esaa year li-c P of CConstruction $0 Rate BenfEtz Costs wV RatioIterconnection $0 Enry Savns 34E bbyear
UEl use C bblyear 0 73SS52 $137 3 $C313 126TDTAL Ca 7 $140320 $122593 $7657 106 4 IIZ398Constrct TicE I0 morths $122037 ($339) 089 5 $96409 $12- 130 ($23 721) 076 8 $3179 $12205 ($42038) 066Operatirc and Normal rairtenance Costs 10 $70293 $121904 ($5l 604) 58 1X $ampZ502 S12 M ($55 589) 054Operatirg Cost $1680 year 12 $61215 $12 0353 ($59 137) 051Operating Lifetime 21 years 13 $57376 $119633 ($52307) 043
14 $52924 $9072 (55148) 045Major Zqjioinert RepairReplacement 15 $50 1I1 $113514 ($67702) 043 16 A7-97 S1420002 ($70006) 041Replace Cost ($453S)period 18 $43123 $117102 ($73979) 037Replace Period 20 years 20 $39071 $116338 ($77266) 034
A-64
E~ocon2 -- rr Ar ys s fcr Ererzy Irvssttets -- 7rypt EE
TZE A-33
F Case TES 14 - W (0 ETD PE- $2T - PI-- O- DIS $25P)I Assuminz 0 Escalation Rate cf 20
azita Ceratir Ccst cf Oil Fuel Used Fuel SaveeErergy Value -f
save nual Cash Flow DEounted Casi Flow (NPV) 0 i = YS-ar st Cost $bbl (Bbi) Cost Ecuiv crerpy Cost Currert $ 4 8 011 2
rar-zor
Cnst~t I 2tsrzr-ezti- $1
E
12$
14 if
iG
17
18
19
20
21
a S230
s$1 S60
$$ $1169 o$0 $80
$3 S 90 i $i 6c 7 v68n
$0 t68c
so S680 S t 1680
$$ $Sao
$680 $0 $1680
$ $1680 $0 $I63
0 $1-680 $ $1620 $0 $1620 $ $680
$0 $1680 ($4536) $180
S25co
$2550 $ 2553
127 06 127V
a
V-1 72
$2323 t2962
$3047
$31C8 $3171
$3234 $3293
53365
$3432
$3501
$2571
$3842 $3715
0
o
c) 0
0 0
0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0
0 0
0
0 0
$0
$0 so so
t0
SO $0
$0
0 $0
$0
$0 $0
$0 so
$0
$0 $0
so $0 $0
348
347 345
348
342
342
348
34 348 343
348 348
348 343
348
348
348
348
348
348
S151450
$2874
323
$9417
$260E
t9735
53334
t 3 $13337
$1 605
$10817 $11034
$14 $47-
$11703
$ 43 $12122
$12426
$12674
$12328
S1032T
S0
6s0
$1680
$1680
t1680
t-1680
t16
$5
1680 S63 s1650 t1 580
$680
$w $60
$160
$1680 ($2856)
(t10E22f
$7134
$7553
$7737
$306
1218
12314
13 180$3717
$232
$3137 $ 3S4
$3-74 $373K
$10023
1510-22
$103503
$10746
$10-34 $1E784
(105z825) ($106225)
$3 T03154
($33032) ($93644 ($55375) ($W784) ($73764) ($22162)
($73250) ($73-76a
(56235) (71amp2) ($ 17) ($620)
($S4 29 J ($62 202 (43 7) ($5781)
($42 142) ($53737)
($3207) ($43 781 (3c354) ($4073)
($2464) $42 ($1255) 3332 1 ($3387) ($36055) ($7907) ($33 053) ($251 ($30221) $2723 $27532)
$8007 ($34984) $15211 ($21532)
310S225) (S106825) ($10028E I100 402) ($34133) $3425) ($25) ($83150) ($2 234) ($84232)
(37S313 $73725
($73731 ) ($3756231 ($53 45 (371852)
(5 431 ( ($E75 5 0)
($SEB5I) ($5406)
( (7578T 172 (157373)
(53($439 ($55185) ($41818) 379$5 ($44417) ISS347) ($421 84) ($49673) ($4010S) ($$143) $3-173) (-$746)
($36i 3M) ($45403) ($34023) ($43833)
$103453 $33880 0 $0 7018 $217065 $137333 $79726
A-65
TABLE A-33 (Contd)
Ec rC z ant Firn Anaiys- fc- Ererzy Investrerts - Egypt En MlIS
Czzota ss Benefit Parameters terra Rate cf eturn C40
flcquistici deg $17K= Transporatic $0
Sonstructior $0
Irterco rnectior $0
T3TAL Cap2 $107275
Lorstruzt Time 0th
Prce of 0i
C Escalat
rrgy Savngs
F-el Use
$2500 I (yr 20year
343 bbllvear
0 btlyear
11 -i- PV cf
Rat - enefits
0 $217
2 $17- 4-4 $144247
PV of
Costs
12339 $SOV-93 $129037 $2E30
11PV
$7726 $475-7 $15211(I5sES
BC
Ratio
158 132 112 096
Cperating and Nor a
Ocerating Cost
Operating Lifetime
Maintenace Costs
SEC year
21 years
L2r f 0 3
OX $37874
11 $81877 12 76520
I3 $7172014 $67405
$92273
$121904
$121 091 1353
$119632$119072
($21 53)
($34029
($23214)
($432833) ($47953)($516S7)
083
072 068 064 060 057
10ajcr Ecuipment Re~a rlRepaeet
Replace Cost ($4535)Ipericd
Replace Period 20 years
IS
18
20
$614
$53936
$53904
$48839
$11 514
$113002
$117102
$116338
($5000)
($52007)
($63198)
($67498)
054
051
046
042
A-66
Ecorcmic an Fnanria AralvsiE r Eer-y rveStMe-ts -- EZy EE C1I
TABLP-34
-r Case -fL TEST 4 - LEW TEX7Lfl LE $202-T - PR D-L $30BBL) Assir Oi Escalatior Rate of 20
Yea a-ta
Cost eratrCEt of Oi cost $pbl
el Used
(MI Fel
ost
zave Erergy
Ecuzv
VaLe cf s-ve
Energy P -a
Cest
Cash
Currert euro Dscounted Cash 4 8
1ow UNV)
10
9 i
12
1 ccuisCiticr 7 T7rarsort bull Co-tr t~ $
2
4
5
7 8
10
2
13
14
15
16
17 18 19
21
ITz~ta $C73 $22 ES
so 10 o sSo o $iE80 n $ 680 $0 U680
$0 $160 5 s62-
$0 680 f l
50 $Ss so $ss
$0 $6Ev
s $68 so $180
S0 siW8 to $1680 V) $65
$0 $1680 ($4536) $1680
$--D00
S32 $334
$32 7 C312
$3378
$2446 $5
3s85 357
$2730 $3355
$388
$353
$423
s412 $42CI
$42895
$417C
$4458
l c
0 0 0 0 0
0 0
0
0
0
0
0
0 0
0
0
0
so so o$0
so so $0
$0 so so
to $0
$0
$0
$0
so so
so s0
$0
$0
$0
53 348 246 348
343 343
348
348 348
348 348
348
348
348
348
348
348 348
348
348
348
S1 70 s I 49 $1 3F2 072
$11301 $527
$1177
$11992 $122532
S2477 $2$2726
$12231
Z2240 $2505
$12775
$14051
$4 322 $1463
$14911
$15203
$15513
S10227S 15 Si680 $29E
$1580 $312 $amp80 ] $630 $S2 $1680 $36 7 $168) $C077 $680 $C312 $68 $05
E0 S07377 680 $11046
$680 $1130 $680 11 5w S680
t 630 $12035 S60 o S1237-
S11530 s1T652 $660 $12 923 $ i0 $13231
$68 $13523
82856)$18259
310S 525) ($37S5
(s8nL) 172843) ($64749)
3$5S785-
($42942) ($41233)
f$2-53) ($21O)
($18650)
($ 9)
32($4527)
$24S8
$327
$103 22724
$255
$35677
$44060
165f25)1 SZ
(0 -59) ($32837)
($7582)
1$9 -5) (S2774)
5S75f ($510)
3$45551 (340533)
($25692)
($3101)
($26753)
3-631
13725)
(K5M504Z) ($11545)
($2234)
($5093)
($1158)
(S10S 5 (356332)
($3733 ($3732 ($7716)
($71047)
($U35 (0067) ($5M144)
(S55 (4S306)
($42345)
1538662)
($L237
(632C51)
($23020)
($2227) ($23777)
($2 337)
($13185)
(16454)
1 cc-T25) ($3327)
($91207) (184517)
(73403)
($72816)
($6771)
163046 ($53784)
(G54831) (35334) (08025
s$ 8
($42423
( 3
($37673)
($35J60) ($23725)
($32004)
($30433)
($28S19)
$103455 $33d8O 0 $0 7018 $60 478 $1373n $123135
A-67
TABLE A-34 (Contd) 2Lk T-CTETPL Calc~1ated)FL_TI0~PBL
o~ar Fariai naiysi- f-Erergy l=VEsrEtS - Ecyt EE i
trr Rat-- c REturn 787Benefit araetersazital S-sts
t -ri-e of CiD $3000 bbl (yr 1)$10995n PV of BIC
Trarspoto $0 Oil Eszaat 20Iear ri VV C Rate Eerefits Ccsts IPV Ratio
Corstruct ior $r == shyErray Savr s 348 bblyear
intetor rztior $0 Fue -e 0 bblyear 0 $26C478 $137339 1123133 190
2 105 40 S-32693 $77847 1 9 TOTPL (Cap S10799n
4 $173037 $1903-7 $44060 134
6 $144614 $126130 $183483 115 Construct TiME mcTth-s
$1228 $12379E W158 09
t 129N 087tI0O449 ($16454)woerating and Norma Mainterarce C0ts
11 $98253 $121031 ($r233) 081
2 $91824 $120353 ($22 Z29) 076 Operatirc Cost $1680 year
13 $8K064 $19683 ($33619) 072 O eratir 21 yearsLifetie_
14 $80885 $119072 ($33186) 068
5 $7E217 $18514 ($42237) 064 Major Equipment RerairReplacement
$71995 $11802 ($4007) 061
18 $64685 $117102 ($52417) C5shy_16
Replace Cost ($4536)period 2N $58607 $11S338 ($57731) 050
Replace Period 20 years
A-68
Eccnoc and inarzia ryss fc- -re-y rvEstre-ts - E yot EE
TAEE F-35
Fcr Case ofrZ- 5TEST 4 - HELAN TEXT-IPX Mu Assuin_-0 Escalation Rate cf 20
CTOR PRICE $20SQc- -Cc GI j3mBu
Yea
r
s s-t
--t
aoita ost
7
t
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3464 $2757
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$15041 1575 $1576
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1165552
--915) M--72
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($47334 7H)
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($1432) $7105
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40 07 $4-964 55572 $Q346 $72910
0245 (S10524S ($105245) 1 237) $-3473) 39S53) 36S273) 387334) (373N 77S4 ($7-4)- (S792S)
(IC3S437037) 372374) ($40) (I781 ($597)
(-68 ) 15936) (M9 799 S473 (t4 7) (54230)
342I1 S$4795) ($43 4-) 34S9 $-9334 11445
(3273701 (S34 2353) (340262) (1253 1212n3s391 ($IE129 T251S) 12858) ($1076 ($2107D) (n632) ($3C53) (S-723-3)($26687)
3$4 (137631 ($23m9)
$2975 $1489) (2546) $7130 (37448) ($1230G)
$I063 (4521) ($172--3) $14786 (31994) (11 397) $19231 S120 (113 25)
TABLE A-35 (Contd)ASSPTIONS TAPBLE ME-F-COST TULE (CalcJaled)
E~ooi a Finacial Asi for Energy Investrents - Eypt EE
raitaSs Penefit raees Iter-E Rate of Returr 1014
Pcnuistio $SI7 Price of CiE h (yr 1)7-arrtatior $0 Oil Ezalat 2 year Dis PY cf V of FCrstrcticr $
Rate Enrefits Cc-zts NPDV Ratiotercnnecticr $0 Ergr~y Savrs 343 ttlyear - -ue Use 0 -bllyEar 0 $302231 $1373393 T2T
2 -(7925$2fZ $333 121 37 185 cnstrnxt Tiia 10 Lerths
46 2C34 $23C37 $72 10 57 6 $163716 $1L $4256 34 ee t1437S $372E $0281 116pe-atinz arsd NorLal nainternare Costs 0 $23022 $2504 S120 01
Operating Cost C680 year 10 $107129 $1E3 353 (S2 00 83 13 S100403 $29693 319275)
woeratino Lifetime 21 years 084
a- Ec RErairReplacemerit 4 $0426E $113072 ($24705)ipet 073883-) $514 $ 94)15 S - $-31 (2 07
-$---I16 eplace Cost (4536)Iperiof $3934 $18002 ($34008) 071 -e---
Repace Period 20 years 12 $75465 $117102 ($41637) 064 20 $66375 $116338 ($47963) 059
A-70
-Ecui adFin-ncla Aralys fcr re-rr-t - Ect Efl S
T-PLE -36
- Case cf-l 75- 14 - ZLWAN TxTLE11P (CLETOR F1 -e-1 - C_ OF L $40PL) Pfssu-ir 0i Ezsaatio- Rate cf 20
saves a cfaita _2erat Cost cz C Fue Used Ftel -rery Eaez ra1 ash oi DiEccurted Cash Fioi (PV) i =Yerpoundzsl (Bb1) Ccst Eciv E-er=- Cst poundjrrent 4 0 l
1 Trar-ort $L or Sc
ac-r r-
Thplusmnt$ $2 $4000 0 $0 53 32220 $ OZ 275 115V S ) $L) 5 $52$ $S $4080 0 $0 342 S4133 5160 bull ( s ($34 34 $4 5251eS oS ($845575 337$S $230 S4162 C $0 348 l144S2 $680 S222 tS2 08B21 (t 383) c(sa84) 354572)4 $ -- 45 0 $0 348 $14 72 80 $13-2 37)443) VT2F35) ($74 M)8 (37221- $ 6 54230 6
c SO 34 $ 07 $1650 513337 (52 333) 5 (s650141 ($56745)41 S6pound0 $4pound 0 $0 343 t5369 s0 $1268 ($47748) S2833) ME514) 3522 3787 S $45C I so 348 s Sw W=10131S13336 $67613SEBT($54614) ($587)scl S621 s~lsK 0o 348 sIz230 $680 $1IL3 I j 2 (-6631 (34171 5447 $ i620 $S437 0 so 348 C2 1 S 42 (f23 ($27 (4)ic $1 11 $4780 0 s0 343 $63 $1680 $1435 (54E 7) (S5284) (252 $3411 $0 960 $4276 0 $0 248 s-03 $1680 $Z222 571 ($1420) ($13 ( 0
1 $ $6al $4373 0 $0 348 $7305 T6O S15628 8(75W (S1S7M ($24 537)$O ^$ 73 0 SO 348 $17654 t1680 $1f3 5 25842 fss (S 641)- 2059714 C05630 IS174 0 $0 348 $12 007 t680 $l6327 53=-048 $4847 ($(S2 $16955)15 sso 15278 0 s0 348 $18367 ~ 6amp s-6637 S45 284 $10E54 (52518) ($3441)15 so Eao $2387 0 so 348 $18734 31680 $17054 $54754 $15$564 31032--17 160 $5497 0 so 348 s1100 T1680 t7423 $4053 $ 20921 15358 ($7482)18 $0 sso 567 0 so 348 $13431 t1680 $1781 5 73203 $2s5 5$8871 ($4888713 $0 $Sao $5773 0 $0 348 $13881 $1680 $18 201 $2188 2r313 S C2 252120 t0 680 $5227 0 $0 348 $20279 $1650 $I63 521016 $3467 $1$196 ($3361)21 $s $1680 $5944 0 $0 348 $20684 $2 856) $22540 $101753 $3 72115 185 $2079
$103458 $33680 0 $0 7018 $347304 S1370 $ 05965
A-71
TABLE A-36 (Contd) S TIO TfPBLE EEN-TT-CCSTS TP- -uatedCa1c
Eccncmic and Financial Pavsis fc- Energy irvestcents -- Eypt EEA 96
aita Costs -eefitParaeters nterna Rate of etur- 1229
fcouisition 0799 Price c Oil $40 bbl (yr 1)Transp rtatir $0 Oil Esalat 20year Disc PV of PV of BZCorst-utie $0 Rate Berfits Costs Ratio
irterconntior $0 Enry Savrs 348 bblyear Fue USE 0 bbllyear N $347304 $33 1 2TOTL -Cap -107 995 S22D720 $132 5S3 $148127 212
4 $2307S6 $2 037 $10 175 -79Construct Time 19 months 6 $92818 $126130 628 53 8 $1amp3517 $123796 3721 132Operating and Normal Mainterance Costs 10 $14C52 $1219(4 $1363 115
11 $3004 $121091 $9913Operating Cost $1650 year 108
12 $1 432 $12C353 $20 102Operating Lifetime 21 years 1 $114751 S83 ($4 31 09z $11
14- $107847 $119072 ($11225) 091Major Equipment RepairRelacemert 5 $1C1622 $110514 (c6291) 086 16 $95993 $118002 ($220C09) 081
Replace Cost ($4536)period 8 $8624E T17102 ($30 S56 074Replace Period 20 years 2 $78143 $115338 ($32195) 067
A-72
APPENDIX B
Preliminary Cost Estimates
Three (3) systems are considered appropriate for cost analysis Cost estimates are preliminary for use in the Application ReviewConceptual
Design portion of this project
A Waste Heat Recovery System
B Solar Thermal Collection System
Current $US (mid-1986) are applied then escalated to mid-1987 theexpected construction period at 10 percent
For cost assessment purposes all material and supervision will beconsidered imported Egyptto Labor costs will reflect some Egyptianrate influence although certain installation procedures will requireexperienced labor not currently available in Egypt
The average annual wage for the Egyptian construction industry in 1985Is 7800 LE or $5778 (US) ($135 LE per US $)
An average labor rate in the United States for construction servicesapplicable to this project is estimated by the R S Means Company to be$2177 per hour in 1985 (crew Q4) An estimated thirty percent imporledlabor with severity percent Egyptian labor can be used for establishing a mixed labor rate average of $936 per hour (US) A labor cost modifier for wages becomes $936$2177 or 0431
Equipment and system cost estimates and percentages are established byusing R S Means Company Cost Data and1985 equipment suppliersbudget pricing estimates
The solar cost data are determined in flxed-and variable-cost increments as required by the FCHART-4R program input format A solar collection array size of 4000 square feet ( 72 m2 ) is estimated for use in determining the variable cost factor
B-I
A WAS[E HEAT RECOVERY SYSTEM
DESC R I FT ION SIEI OTAI TOTAL
3 WAY WASTE WATER DIVERTING VALVES SUMP MATERIALS SUMF PUMP FILTER SCREEN SUMP PUMF LEVEL CONTROL AND VALVE WASTE HEAT STORAGE TANK WASTE HE(I S IORAGE TANK PUMP STORAGE TANK LEVEL CONTROL AND VALVE WASTE HEAT EXCHANGER $1200)1000 EITI SUB-TOTAL EQUIFMENT(MID-1986) $160900
ESCALATION FACTOR 11 TOTAL EQUIPMENT (MID-1987) $176990
FLOW ItDICATORS AND GLOBE VALVES 3 WAY PROCESS WATER BLENDING VALVES STEAM CONTROL VALVES PROCESS WATER TEMPERATURE CONTROLLERS SUB-TOTAL EQUIPMENT(MID-1986) $71400
ESCALATION FACTOR 11 TOTAL EQUIPMENT (MID-1987) $78540
PIPING COST (40 EQUIP COST) 040 $102212
INSULATION COST (75 PIPING COST) 075
SUB-TOTAL MATERIAL COST $434401
LABOR COST (715 MATERIAL COST) $310597 MODIFIERLABOR MIX 043 MODIFIED LABOR COST $133557
SUB-TOTAL MATERIAL + LABOR $567958
TOTAL WASTE HEAT RECOVERY SYSTEM CONSTRUCTION COST $567958
B-2
B SOLAR THERMAL COLLECTION SYSTEM VARIRIABLE COrST (HIID-19117)
DESCR I FIUIN SOLAR CULA-ECTORS $10 0uFT2 COLLECTOR AREA 4000 rF2 COLLECTOR COST SOLAR CIRCIJLAFIN(3 PUMPFS SULAR 1ISTRIBLTI 1 PIlIPS STRUCTURAL STEEl SOLAR CONTROLS INSVRUMELNV AIR SYSEIIFIPING LOW VOLTAGE CABLE EXCAVArION AND FOUNDAFIONS ELECTRICAL
TOTAL EQtJIPMENT(MI ID-1986) ESCALATION FACTOR TOTAL ELUI MENT (MID-1787) PIPING COST (40 COLLECTOR COST) INSULATION COST (75PIPING COST) TOTAL MATERIAL COST I$144050
$105500
I1
075
$116050 $16lt00 $12000
LABOR COST (715 MATERIAL COST) MOIFIERLABOR MIX MODIFIED LABOR COST
$102996 043
$44286
MATERIAL + LABOR $188338
FREIGHTDUTYTAXES TO EGYPT 10 $18834
SUBTOTAL $207172
SUBTOTAL CONTINGENCY 15
$207172 $31076
TOTAL VARIABLE COST COST PER FT2 $60
$238248
B-3
------------------------------------------------------------------------
--------------------------------------------------------------------
FIXED COST (MID 1987)
DESCRIPTION CONTRALCTOIR S RENTAL SUFPL IES CONIRACrORS FACILITIES CONTRACTORS UTILITIES CONTRACTORS MATERIAL HANDLING CONTRACTORS CLEAN-UP DISMANTLING AND MOVING BOXING AND CRATING U S IRANSPORTAT ION SUB-TOTAL $34000
SUB-TOTAL M34000 CONTINGENCY 15 $5100
TOTAL FIXED COST $39100
LGE COST BASED ON CURRENT FIELD TEST PROJECT
TOTAL VARIABLE COST $238248 TOTAL FIXED COST $39100
TOTAL SYSTEM CONSTRUCTION COST $277348
EEA COST DATA BASED ON CURRENT PROJECTS USING IN-COUNTRY CONTRACTOR AND EQUIPMENT
VARIABLE COST $2862FT2 $2862 COLLECTOR SIZE (FT2) 4000 TOTAL VARIABLE COST $114480
EEA FIXED COST $26757
TOTAL SYSTEM CONSTRUCTION COST $141237
CONSTRUCTION COST SUMMARY
A WASTE HEAT RECOVERY SYSTEM $567958
D SOLAR THERMAL COLLECTION SYSfEM $277348
1(lAL CUNSTRUCTION CU9 A amp B $845 05
B-4
APPENDIX C
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2 INTRODUCTION
The Egyptian Electricity Authority (EEA) the United States
Agency for International Development (USAIDCairo) and a group
of US Consultants form a team responsible for the performance
conduct and management of the Renewable Energy Field Testing
(REFT) Project whereby eleven systems are field tested for
renewable energy applications in Egypt
These field tests include the use of solar thermal photoshy
voltaic and grid connected wind farm systems for industrial
process heat water pumping ice making desalination and grid
connected electricity generation
The project has broad objectives to investigate selected
renewable energy options to
0 Comprchensively strengthen Egyptian technical and
institutional capabilities in the full spectrum of
renewable energy planning and decision-making for
technologies and applications
Develop and sustain an Egyptian renewable energy
infrastructure through the establishment of data
bases information systems and organizations that
effectively serve both the public and private sectors
- 1 shy
Design install operate and evaluate a series of
renewable energy field tests which utilize commercially
available technologies in applications having potential
for widespread use in Egypt
a Conduct a ormal management and technical training
program both on-the-job and specialized and establish
an intensive information dissemination program
The MarketEconomic Analysis Task is one of the supporting
activities that will provide useful information for the
accomplishment of the proposed project objectives The Market
Economic Analysis Task is set up to accomplish the following
objectives
Evaluate the economic performance of candidate
renewable energy technologyapplication systems
in the field test program in the Egyptian economy
Identlfy non-technica bottlenecks that could be
encountered in the dissemination and wide use of
renewable energy technologies
Estimate the market environment in Egypt under which
the supply of and the demand for preselected renewable
energy technologies will be transacted
-2 shy
Identify policy issues such as energy prices
incentives tariffs and regulations that could be
modified instituted andor removed to enhance the
establishment of a true economic cost of energy
resources
Determine the economic environment under which
investment decisions could be made for the widespread
vse of similar renewable energy technologies in Egypt
0 Train Egyptian counterparts with the capability of
performing market and economic assessments of similar
energy projects
The MarketEconomic Analysis Task is performed in two
parts The first part is the Pre-RFP MarketEconomic Analysis
This activity will perform a site specific MarketEconomic
analysis of a particular field test in order to provide decision
makers both at EEA and USAIDCairo with information on the
financial and economic viability of the proposed field test
This information is required as one of the pieces of information
for a go-no-go decision on the issuance of an RFP
The second part performs a marketeconomic analysis of
specified renewable energy technologies throughout Egypt in
industrial sectors represented by the eleven field tests
- 3 shy
This report represents the first part the Pre-RFP Market
Economic analysis for a field test designed to test the technical
and economic viability of the use of solar industrial process
heat (IPH) and a waste heat recovery system for textile bleachshy
iig
- 4shy
3 BACKGROUND
The proposed site for Field Test 4 -Textile finishing at
the Helwan Spinning and Weaving Company at Helwan near Cairo
Helwan Spinning and Weaving Company is a large textile
plant finishing a variety of fabrics The finishing operation
consists of a series of chemical treatments involving hot and
cold washes by dyeing and bleaching processes The hotfollowed
wash dye and bleach washers are currently brought to and held
at the desired temperature range by direct sparging with steam
(hand-valve adjustments)
Objectives of Proposed Field Test Site for IPH System
The primary objectives of this field test are to provide
EEA with practical working experience using Solar Thermal
Industrial Process Heat and to provide system design and operashy
tional training for Egyptian engineers for the purpose of
assessing and implementing similar projects throughout Egypt
This field test will evaluate the viability of solar thermal
industrial process heat with waste heat recovery system for
textile finishing
The application of solar IPH and waste heat recovery
system for textile finishing at Helwan Textile will serve as a
demonstration of the capability of the combined technology of
- 5 shy
industrial process heat to reliably supply significant amounts
of energy at other textile finishing facilities It is important
that this field test be designed to distinguish between the
performance of the solar IPH and the performance of the waste
heat recovery systems so that each can be evaluated for other
applications
-6 shy
4 ECONOUilC ANALYSIS
Objective
The objective of this analysis is to evaluate the economic
viability of a solar thermal system for providing industrial
process heat for textile finishing at the Helwan Spinning and
Weaving Company at Helwan and to determine whether or not an
investment in this field test would result in the acquisition of
useful information and know-how not only technical but also
managerial and institutional so that such experiences could be
duplicated throughout the economy of Egypt
Research Methodology
The method of analysis selected for accomplishing the above
objective is the standard benefit cost analysis used in project
evaluation A benefit cost analysis involves first the pooling
of anticipated benefits and costs (direct and indirect) resulting
from the project throughout its economic life The streams of
benefits and costs are then expressed in present value terms
using a common numeraire (a discount rate)
From this the following evaluation characteristics can be
calculated
The Net Present Value (NPV) is the difference between the sum of
the discounted stream of benefits and the sum of the discounted
stream of costs discounted by a given discount rate
- 7 shy
The Payback Period is the number of years it takes a project to
generate sufficient benefits to cover its cost or the number of
years it takes the net present value to change from a negative
to a positive value
The Internal Rate of Return (IRR) sometimes called the economic
rte of return is that discount rate that would equate
discounted benefits to discounted cost or reduce the net present
value to zero
Benefit-Cost Ratio (BC) This is the ratio obtained by dividing
the discounted value of all project benefits by the discounted
value of project costs
Simple Payback This is a rule of thumb method used by investors
to see if a particular financial venture is worth investing in
or not The simple payback is calculated by summing up all
capital and operating costs and dividing that sum by the value of
the first full years benefit In the private sector in most
industrialized countries a simple payback of 3 to 5 years is
expected With renewable energy technology a simple payback of
7-9 years is usually admissible
- 8shy
Assumptions
The economic analysis of the IPH system is based on the
following assumptions
0 All energy conversions are made into barrels of oil
equivalent where one metric ton is equivalent to
US 733 barrels
0 Price of oil is valued at US$20barrel of No 6 light
heating oil escalated at 2 per year This price
level may not be indicative of the price of oil that is
rapidly changing at present It should be noted that
the analysis in this study is to look at what may
happen in the long-rt-n during the 1980s and 1990s As
such the analysis should not be affected by what
happens to commodity prices in the spot market in the
very short-run A revision of the price of oil in the
analysis may be appropriate when the price level
stabilizes
A discount rate of 1O is sed This is the
opportunity cost of money used in international
lending agencies such as the World Bank
Hardware is assumed to have a salvage value of 10 at
the end of the life of the system
-9shy
The system is expected to have a life of 20 years
0 Some hardware items are purchased in Egypt An
exchange rate of LE 135 = US$ 100 is used All
prices are in constant US$ 1985
Data Base
Two sets of cost estimates were used in this analysis The
fWrFt set of data was provided by Lockwood Greene Engineers for
a 4000 sqft collector area (see Appendix B)
On the basis of the best available information Lockwood
Greene Engineers have provided the following cost estimates
Collector Size 4000
Prices Variable cost $60O0sqft Fixed cost $39180
0 + M cost 2 of total cost
Salvage value 42 of total cost
Energy savings 325 barrels of oil
Construction period 10 months
System life 20 years
The second set of data was provided by EEA for a collector
size of 4200 sqft The EEA cost estimates also show two types
of prices The first set shows a price of $2581 per square foot
- 10 shy
of colector This price is to be used for collectors purchased
for the REFT Project The second set shows a price of $2221 per
sqft which is to be used when evaluating IPH application
elsewhere in Egypt (see Appendix C)
Cost estimates provided by EEA are as follows
Collector Size 4200 sqft
Prices Variable cost $2221isqft (local)
$2581sqft (REFT)Fixed cost $17430 (local)
$23995 (REFT)
0 + M cost 2 of hardware cost
Salvage value 42 of capital cost
Energy savings 348 barrels of oil
Construction period 10 months
System life 20 years
Analysis and Results
The economic evaluation of the IPH system for textile
finishing was performed by examining the following sets of
assumptions
1 A 4200 sqft collector area at a price of $30sqft
2 A 4200 sqft collector area at prices of
$ 2581sqft and $2221sqft
3 A Waste Heat Recovery System
4 A 4200 sqft collector area priced at $30 per sqftombined with waste heat recovery system
5 A sensitivity analysis at different collector prices and varying prices of oil
- 11 shy
Table 1 presents the input data based on cost estimates
provided by Lockwood Greene Engineers These estimates are based
on a collector system purchased from the US at a price of
US$60sqft Output results for this analysis is presented in
Table 2
Input data for the base line analysis are presented in
Table 3 All base line analyses were performed assuming a price
of $20O0bbl of oil The economic evaluation of all systems
was made using a discount rate of 10 although system perforshy
mances are examined at varying discount rates ranging from 0
to 20 at 2 intervals (see Appendix A)
Table 4 presents results of the base line analysis As
shown in this table the 4200 sqft solar collector systems at
all collector prices do not pay during its economic life The
solar collector system at a price of $30sqft has a simple
payback of 22 years which is longer than the life of the system
The net present value at 10 discount rate is negative for
the baseline case with collector price $30sqft and price of
oil $2Gibbl indicating that the financial benefits accruing to
the project will not be able to offset the cost of acquisition
and operation of the system during its economic life span The
net present value at different level of discount rate and varying
prices of oil is presented in Figure 1
- 12 shy
TABLE 1
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM
FIELD TEST 4 - HLEWAN TEXTILE
DATA INPUT - US CASE
(Collector Price US$ 60sqft Price of Oil
I T E M S SOLAR ONLY WASTE HEAT RE(]OVaRY
Capital Cost ($) 227348 567958
0 + M ($) 4765 11359
Salvage Value ($) 11649 23854
Energy Savings (bbl) 325 11048
Construction Period (Month) 10 10
System Life (Yrs) 20 20
Source LBII estimates based on Engineering cost by Lockwood Greene Engineers
20bbl)
COMBINED SYSTEM
845306
16906
35503
11737
10
20
data provided
- 13 shy
TABLE 2
ECONOMIC NALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM
FIELD TEST 4 - HELWAN TEXTILE
RESULTS - US CASE
(Collector Price USS60sqft Price of Oil US$ 20bbl)
I T E M S SOLAR ONLY WASTE HEAT COMBINED RECOVERY
Energy Savings (bbl) 325 11048 11373
Simple Payback (Yrs) 43 3 4
Pdyback Period (Yrs) None 4 6
Net Present Value i = 10 ($251325) 1568793 1310681
Internal Rate of Return (IRR ) - 834 4220 2843
BC Ratio i = 10 021 337 233
Source LBII estimates based on Engineering cost data providedby Lockwood Greene Engineers
- 14 shy
TABLE 3
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM
FIELD TEST 4 - HELWAN TEXTILE
DATA INPUT - BASELINE ANALYSIS
(Collector Price US$ 30sqft)
I T E M S SOLAR ONLY WASTE HEAT COMBINED RECOVERY SYSTEM
Capital Cost ($) 149995 567958 717953
0 + M (S) 2520 11359 13879
Salvage Value ($) 6300 - 0 - 6300
Energy Savings (bbl) 348 11048 11396
Construction Period (Month) 10 10 10
System Life (Yrs) 20 20 20
Source LBII estimates based on cost data provided from EEA and Lockwood Greene Engineers
- 15 shy
TABLE 4
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM
FIELD TEST 4 - HELWAN TEXTILE
BASELINE ANALYSIS RESULTS
(Collector Price $30sqft Price of Oil US$ 20bbl)
I T E M S SOLAR ONLY WASTE HEAT COMBINED RECOVERY
Energy Savings (bbl) 348 11048 11396
Simple Payback (Yrs) 22 3 3
Payback Period (Yrs) None 4 5
Net Present Value i = 10 ($100633) 1565248 1464614
Internal Rate of Return (IRR ) - 124 4220 3402
BC Ratio 041 335 275 i = 10
Source LBII estimates based on cost data provided by EEA and Lockwood Greene Engineers
- 16 shy
Figure I Helwan TextileIPH - Solar only - Net Present Value at various Discount Rates and Prices of Oil (Collector
Price S30sqft)
0
150
-J)0
LUJ
LUJ
00-
Li
11 t 6
4F
D I SCOU NT RATE ()
130BBL
-$25BBL
~$15BBL $20BBL
- - 17 shy
The internal rate of return (IRR) is significantly lower
than the 10 economic rate of return expected to cover the cost
of credit
The waste heat recovery system on the other hand shows
positive results The system pays for itself in four years
The internal rate of return for the waste heat recovery
system is very high 4220 indicating very high economic gains
to be realized by installing this system
The Application Review for Field Test 4 examines solar
thermal together with a waste heat recovery system as a unit that
will be installed at Helwan Textile Accordingly an economic
evaluation of the combined solar thermal plus the waste heat
recovery system was performed
The input data used for Zhis analysis is presented in
Table 3 Results of the economic analysis for the combined
system are presented in Table 4 As shown in Table 4 the
combined system is economically viable The payback period for
the combined system is five years with an Internal Rate of
Return (IRR) of 3402 Figure 2 presents a graphic representashy
tion of the internal rate of return (IRR) for the output results
presented in Table 4
- 18shy
C
Figure 2 Helwan Textile - Internal Rate of Return at different Prices of Oil for Waste Heat Recovery
and Combined Solar and Jaste Heat Recovery
Systems (Collector Price $60 and $30sqft)
100
80shy
60-
LU 40
lt
($ B B LUi P R 1 0 F 0 1 L
-20
-20
- 19shy
-40
It is very clear from Table that the economic performance
of the combined system is lower than that of the waste heat
system indicating the dampening effect of the poor econoinic
performance of the solar thermal system
It should be pointed out that there is no functional relashy
tionship between the technical or economic performance of solar
thermal and waste heat recovery systems One can install the
solar thermal all by itself or in combination
As discussed earlier the proposed 4200 sqft solar thermal
system is not economically viable at a collector price of $30
sqft and price of oil S20barrel A separate analysis was
performed using a S20barrel price of oil and collector prices of
$30 25 22 and 20sqft Results of the analysis is presented
in Table 5
As shown in Table 5 the solar thermal system is not
economically viable at all collector prices The system does
not pay for itself during its life span Even at the lowest
collector price ($20sqft) the benefits derived from the
system can only cover 58 of the cost incurred (BC ratio 058)
during the life of the system
An additional sensitivity analysis was performed for each
collector price level and varying prices of oil As inshown
- 20 shy
TABLE 5 - ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM - FT4HELWAN TEXTILE SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS WITH DIFFERENT COLLECTOR PRICES
(Price of Oil US$ 20BBL)
I T E M S
COLLECTOR
$20sqft $22sqft
PRICE
$25sqft $30sqft
r
Energy Savings
(bbl)
Simple Payback
(Yrs)
Payback Period
(Yrs)
Net Present Value
i = 10
Internal Rate of Return - IRR
348
16
None
($51604)
266
348
16
None
($55919)
216
348
19
None
($76694)
046
348
22
None
($100633)
- 124
BC Ratio
i = 10 058 056 048 041
Source LBII estimate based on engineering cost Lockwood Greene Engineers
data provided by EEA and
Tables 6 - 9 the solar thermal system will start showing
positive economic results if collector prices are between $20 and
$22sqft and oil prices increase to $35 - $40barrel It is
very unlikely to find a situation where one can have a decline
in the price of collectors while having a simultaneous increase
in the price of oil Since collectors are manufactured from
products such as plastic glass aluminum etc which are
energy intensive a decline in collector prices can only be
realiz=d with a decline in the price of energy
Figures 3 and 4 show graphic representations of the internal
rate of return (IRR) and payback period respectively for
different prices of collectors and varying prices of oil
A year by year cash flow for 36 different scenarios are
presented in Appendix A Tables Al - A36
- 22 shy
TABLE 6 - ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM - FT4HELWAN TEXTILE SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS WITH DIFFERENT PRICES OF OIL
(Collector Price US$ 20sqft)
P R I C E OF 0 1 L
I T E M $15bbl $20bbl $25bbl $30bbl $35bbl $40bbl
Energy Savings 348 348 348 348 348 348(bbl)
Simple Payback 21 16 12 10 9 8(Yrs)
Payback Period None None None None None None (Yr s)
Net Present Value i = 10 (69179) (51604) (34029) (16454) 1120 18695
Internal Rate ofReturn - IRR - 057 266 540 787 1014 1229
BC Ratio 043 058 072 087 101 115
Source LBII estimate based on engineering cost data provided by EEA andLockwood Greene Engineers
TABLE 7 - ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM - FT4HELWAN TEXTILE SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS WITH DIFFERENT PRICES OF OIL
(Collector Price US$ 22sqft)
I T E M
Energy Savings (bbl)
Simple Payback (Yrs)
Payback Period
(Yrs)
P R I C E OF 0 I L
$15bbl $20bbl $25bbl $30bbl $35bbl $40bbl
348 348 348 348 348 348
21 16 13 11 9 8
None None None None None None
Net Present Value i = 10 (73494) (55919) (38344) (20769) (3194) 14381
Internal Rate of Return - IRR - 108 216 491 735 961 1172
BC Ratio 042 056 070 084 097 111
Source LBII estimate based on engineering cost data provided by EEA and Lockwood Greene Engineers
TABLE 8 -ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM - FT4HELWAN TEXTILESENSITIVITY ANALYSIS WITH DIFFERENT PRICES OF OIL (Collector Price US$ 25sqft)
P R I C E OF 0 I L I T E M $15bbl $20bbl $25bbl $30bbl $35bbl $40bbl
Energy Savings
(bbl)
348 348 348 348 348 348
Simple Payback
(Yrs) 25 19 15 12 11 9
Payback
(Yrs)
Period None None None None None None
Net Present Value i = 10 (94268) (76694) (59119) (41544) (23969) (6394)
Internal Rate ofReturn - IRR - 263 046 304 532 739 932 BC Ratio 036 048 060 072 084 096
Source LBII estimate based on engineering cost data provided by EEA andLockwood Greene Engineers
TABLE 9 - ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM - FT4HELWAN TEXTILE SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS WITH DIFFERENT PRICES OF OIL
(Collector Price US$ 30sqft)
P R I C E OF 0 1 L
I T E M $15bbl $20bbl $25bbl $30bbl $35bbl $40bbl
Energy Savings 348 348 348 348 348 348 (bbl
Simple Payback 29 22 17 14 12 11(Yrs)
Payback Period None None None None None None (Yrs)
Net Present Value (118208) (100633) (83058) (65484) (47909) (30334) i = 10
Internal Rate of Return - IRR - 425 - 124 124 339 534 714
BC Ratio 031 041 051 062 072 082
Source LBII estimate based on engineering cost data provided by EEA and Lockwood Greene Engineers
Figure 3- Helwan TextileIPH - Solar Only - Internal Rate of
Returr at Different Prices of Oil and varying
Collector Prices
29shy
n
-15
CD 10shy
lt 5
S0
10
R
2
0 F
30 5
B BL )
-10
-27 shy
-Ig - Helwan Textile - Solar Only - Simple Payback at Dfferent Prices of Oil and varying Collector
Prices
50
40shy
30
20- $60sqft
- - S30sqft
I25sqft22sq ft 20sq ft
P
10
R I C E
20
0 F
30
0 1 L
40
B B L
50
- 28 shy
5 CONCLUSION
The economic analysis performed on the proposed IPH Field
Test at Helwan Textile showed that the 4200 sqft flat plate
collector system was not economically viable
However the analysis indicated that when the solar thermal
system was evaluated in combination with the waste heat recovery
system the project was economically viable This favorable
performance was caused not because of improvement made in
economic efficiency by the solar thermal system but rather
because the economic efficiency of the waste heat recovery
system is so strong that it more than offsets the poor
performance of the solar thermal system
It should be emphasized that this analysis did not cover an
evaluation of the complete array of solar thermal systems such
as solar collectors for domestic hot water etc The analysis
was limited to the application of flat plate collectors for
application in industrial process heat of a given temperature
range Therefore implications drawn from this analysis should
not be applied to other solar thermal uses
The economic analysis has revealed some interesting and
important economic technical institutional and policy issues
- 29 shy
It is clear that the proposed flat plate collector system
on its own cainot be expected to bring about positive economic
returns given current collector prices Therefore it is
necessary that
Investigations be made in the technical field to
determine if the efficiency of the system could be
improved without increasing system cost
e The supply side of the collector market be prepared
to manufacture and supply collector systems that are
cost effective
e Policy makers be cognizant of the fact that the price
of flat plate collectors must decrease by almost 60
compared to the best case scenario as used in this
study (from $30sqft to $10sqft) in order
for industrial consumers to find it attractive to
invest in solar thermal technology Since the market
and thus the solar thermal industry is at its infancy
in Egypt policy makers and the public sector have to
play a lead role in removing barriers and providing the
appropriate fiscal andor regulatory incentives to
enhance the manufacture and widespread use of solar
thermal technology
- 30 shy
It is the overall objective of the Renewable Energy Field
Testing Project to investigate selected renewable energy options
to
9 Comprehensively strengthen Egyptian technical and
institutional capabilities in the full spectrum of
renewable energy planning and decision-making for
technologies and applications
Develop and sustain an Egyptian renewable energy
infrastructure through establishment of data bases
information systems and organizations that effectively
serve both the public and private sectors
Design realize and evaluate the performance of a
series of field tests which utilize commercially
available technologies in applications having potential
for widespread use in Egypt
Complete formal managerial and technical training both
on-the-job and specialized and an intensive
information dissemination program
- 31 shy
The design operation maintenance and repair experience
with solar thermal systems that will be obtained through this
field test to form a strong technical base for the design and
application of other renewable energy technologies is an
important factor which has not entered into the benefit cost
calculation in this report These additional factors need to be
considered seriously for the go-no-go decision
- 32 shy
APPENDIX A
-cono mcarz F7ra r na 2Analvsis fo- Erer gyi s t s y --t ne E8 0o
TA -1E-1
Fcr Case ofFELD TEST 4 - HELW TEXTILEIIPH (CILLECTOR PRICE S35313FT- PRICE Cz OIL $158L)Assumr iliEscalatior Rate of
Savec ValLe Of V~Caoitaltea- Cost Deratzrnc Cost of OilCost Sbl Fuel Usea Fuel(bi) EeravCs Saveo AnnualEuiv Er-eray Lost
Casi Flow Discounted Cash Flo~w (NV) j=urrert 48
Ion $14--Oui -It X=-=== ==--- ----==---=-------S shyrarsoort 1 Construc ionI i nt er o 0ne zt i o r $$14$35 $4C- $1500 $0 31Tta 5870$(
58 $150415 ($149545)6520 S153cent S14945) ($149545) ($14954-)$0 348 (149 4W)V 5324 $20$2520 $1561 4 ($146848) 3146948)4 0 $0 348 ($14699) (S14704)SO $5431i250 159= 550 $2911 ($1441 ) ($1445)5 Si $0 348 $5540 S252 S020
($14550) ($144721)$252) 1624 ($141473) (142056)$$ 348 ($142321) (142571)8 5650$0 $1G56 0 $313r ($13797) ($139755) (S140ljE7 $ (140582)$0 346 _7632 20 $1689 0 $W 348 $520 $3243 ($13611) ($137548) ($138169)8 S5873 2520SO $25Z0 $1723 $3359 ($133477) ($135431)0 $0 (M76274 ($137040)9- W S757 348 S5336 $25200 SO 348 $3476 (s123235 ($133402) ($134490)10 $5116 S-20 ($135468)$0 $2520 51733 0
$352 (128205) ($131460)11S 250 $0 348 $6238 (13 812) ($134015)510s $2520 $3718 ($125595) so $2520 4 Sampo $3843
(S12600) (131235) ($132674)$ bull252$1S65 0 $0 348 $6490) ($1 999) ($127820) ($1k9754) ($131437)13 V) 520 $1902
$ 2-t $3370 ($1 j420) ($126117) ($128 3) ($130256)14 348 $6620$0 S2520 $1940
0 S0 $2520 $410W ($117859) ($124489)0 $0 348 ($127055) ($129243)15 (1 2520 $197 0 $6753 S250 $233 ($115317) ($22932) ($125 89)16 $0
so 348 $6888 S252 (3128273)i3520 4368$2019 ($1I1C755)
17 0 $0 348 $7025 (3121445) ($124679) ($127379)$2K$0 $-) 0 01 $156- ($I12S3)
348 3120025 ($123601) ($126556)$7166 512520 646 (S107812) (S11BC65918 $0 ($122590) (S125710 52 10 21 100 0 so - 0$2 520J 348 7309 t4935S21 42 0 so) 50 $789 ($102918i($105354) i17374) ($1216421 ($125101)20 348 $7 455 ($116139)$0 $2520 $2 5 ($12-0754)$2185 0 ($124459)s021 348(W30) $2520 57 605 $2-50 $5085$2229 ($I00504)0 s0 348 $7757
(314961 ($119923) ($123869)($3780 S11537 ($9239) ($112486) ($I18208) ($IM673)$143695 $50820 0 $0 7018 $130239 $194515 ($64276)
A-1
TABLE A-I (Contd) ASSUMPTIONS TABLE BENEFIT-COSTS TALE (Calculated)
Economic and Financiai Analvsis for Energy -strnents - Egypt EEA 101986
Cacital Costs Benefit Parameters Internal Rate of Return -425
Acouisition $149995 Price of Oil $1500 bbl (yr 1)Trarsoortation $0 Oil Escalat 20year Disc PV of FV of BCConstruction $0 Rate Benefits Costs NOV Ratio
interconnection $0 Enrgy Savns 348 bblyear Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 $130 23 $194515 ($64276) 067TOTAL (Cap) $149995
El $105270 $187381 (582111) 056
Construct Time 10 morhs 4 $86548 $181787 ($95239) 0486 $72307 $177 355 ($105048) 041
Ooeratinc and Normal Maintenance Costs 8 $61319 $173805 (3112486) 03510 $5725 $170933 $118208) 031 11 $$3l26 $169701 ($120575) 029oeratino Cost $2520 year 12 $45912 $168585 ($122673) 027Operating Lifetime 21 years 13 $43032 $167571 ($124539) 026
Major Eauipment ReoairReolacement 14 $40443 $166647 ($126204) 024 15 $38108 $165804 ($227695) 023
Salvage Value ($6300)period 16 $35 997 $165032 ($129034) 022 18 $32342 $163674 ($131332) 020Replace Period 20 years 20 $29303 1162522 ($133219) 018
A-2
--
__
Ewic a Fzranzai Z aiys s for Enercy Investments Eayot EEAq-
10I9i-
1PLE A-2 For Case ofFIELD TEST 4-- H2LWRN TEXTILEIP (COLLECTOR PRICE $30SQF - PRICE OF OIL $20BlAssumino Oil Escalation Rate of 0OL
Ca0ita Oeratira Cost cf Oilyear Fuel UsedCost Cost $Bb Saved VEL- -Fuei Ererly(Bb) Cost ave Arr al Cas FlowEouv ne-v LisOurted Cash FlowAnua C Flow 0V) 6 ===--- shy ======= =----=- rcuisior $1 93 -- Codegt ure~n $4Trar-I sSrC0=-=---= = 8 10 12=== =_==== -= =shy
=== =---==_-_I Corstru-t or te $34 512415 $2
431$951 Tota) C$Z $520 5 $160 (Q14-$1-47 $24
fSO $A 0 so 2s ($14 SH5) ($149255)$0
$73 $-5 ($144 8-( ($492s)$ $4$274 ( -14482)(3145015)s 348 (31450321$7241 $2520 ($145GG) $ $ 20 12 65 o so$01
348 0
$472( ($140487) ($140357) (s1411025200 ($1414031$25207 $2208 $ 0 3(1381611($i37 105 0 $11 4 3$0 20 S5_a20 5 0 so ($137534) ($137939)52520 348
0 $S034 3483 $7645 3 S- $5014 ($131875)$78 $1202 (11j33419)SO2 $ $5318SE184 ($12763 ($126 5531 (3134110) (134753)($123428)
$0 S3 ($127901) ($129128)$2520 $2297 $0 $2 2 o 0 345 $4I4 ($$2343 $995 1)7 ($1239(50 348 $2520 5475 ($130903)Ii 3155 s2$23 $131822)$ 183$0$2$SC n 5 ($13 50 ) ($120314 ) ($1224 )0 ($ 124376)-2$-iSO $23($ 5212~~ $ 520 2438S S $1 513 3) (SI27903 ) ( 52)$252 0 $2$0~ $7980 0 3 -4 i$110761 ($117414)1$ $2FO ($120000 -2520 $5 Z $59 4 ($12-2285)
gs )1 3 $20 287 $0348 1$107 0-7) ($S141238 ($ 17 7 0) SI2652587 $$c 24 ($120 3 5 )15 $0 0 (S0563) ($112021)$2 52 $2 $-9348 ($11555) ($118601)$0 520 6 0 so 34 8 $2 443483 S82 311104 $220$ 520 S664 ($30) ($107132)$ 307 ($931($S3123)) ( 10 (Si1267) ($115497)6 ($I04Ef) ($11973)5I) ($S 15451 ($11133)o0 $2 520 ($1169 3)SO 5 2 920 032520 5274 6 0 4 8 $ 36 $S 2- 8$0 47 ( 1 014 34 6 $3555 ($ I02 70 19 348 $7U ($1 0743 ) ($I 1i7
s0 $2520 $2800 0 $2 520 7 0 5 ($8 834 ($00 65) ) ($10 8 273 ) ($112 8 2 )
$2520 $9 0 $200 $72- (914$) 3)S0 $4 ($90 063 ($110682)27 $0 $2 c856 00 ($76 51)2$5 14 0 0 348 0 ($9 842 ($0397 ($10977)340 $I0139 -521 $2 5 0 $($6300) $7 19$2520 $2972 0 ( 72 8 35 ($ 076 ()0s0 ($102 72) ($10023)348 $10342 (3780) $1418 ($ 3) ($9246) ($100633) ($I0735)
$143695 $0820 0 s 7018 $173652 $194515 ($20863)
A-3
ASSUMPTJINS TABLE TABLE A-2 (Contd) BENEFIT-COSTS TPBLE (Calculated)
Economicand Finar_ial Analysis fr Energy Investments - Egypt EE 10191S6
Capital Costs Benefit Parareters Internal Rate of Return -124
Acquisitior 149995 Price of Oil 2000 bbl (y 1)Transoortation $0 Oil Escalat 20rvear Disc PV of PV of BC
Construction $0 Rate Benefits Costs NPV RatioInterconrection $0 Enrgy Savrias 348 bblyear --- _____-__
- Fuel Use 0 bblivear 0 $173652 $1S4515 ($20863) 089TOTAL (Car) $14995 2 $14036O $187381 (347021) 075 4 $115398 S181787 (36E390) 063Construct Time 10 months 6 $96409 S177355 ($80946) 054
8 $31759 5173805 ($92 046)Ooerating and Normal Maintenance Costs 047l0 $70299 $170 933 ($100633) 041
11 $65502 $169701 (3104199) 039Operatino Cost S2520 year 12 $61216 1amp3585 ($107369) 036Oerating Lifetime 21 years 13 57376 $167571 (3110195) 034
14 $53924 $16G647 (3112723) 032Major Equioment ReoairReplacement 15 $50811 $165804 ($114992) 031 16 $47997 $165032 ($117035) 0213Replace Cost ($6300)oeriod 18 $43123 $163674 (3120551) 026Replace Period 20 years 20 $39071 $162522 ($123451) 024
A-4
Econonxc and Finarcial 9ralvsis for Energy Investrets -- EcvDt EEA 1013i6C
TABLE A-3
For Case ofFIELD TEST 14 - H-LWAN TEXTILEIPi ( COLLECTOR PRCE $30SQFT- PRICE OF OIL $25BBL) Assuming Oil Escalation Rate of 20
Saved Valus ofCacital boeratirng Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel Energy Saved Annual Cash Flow Discounted Cash Flow ((NV) iYear Cost Cost $Bbl (Bbl) Cost Eauiv Erercy Cost Currert f 4 8 10 12
S Accuisitio $149995
1 Transoort $0 I Construct ior $0 I Interconnection $0
Totil $149q95 $420 $2500 0 $0 58 $1450 S150 415 ($14295) (3148965) ($48965) ($14895) ($148965)$0 $2520 $2550 0 s0 348 $3874 $2520 $3354 ($142855) ($143082) ($143189) ($143292)3 s0 $2520 $2601 0 $0 348 $9051 $2520 ($1368171 ($137482) ($137791) ($133085)4 $0 2520 $2653 5
0 s0 348 $3233 $252 $ 713 ($130643) ($132153) ($132748) ($133307)$0 2520 $2706 0 $0 6
348 $9417 $2520 $o897 ($124954) ($127084) ($128037) ($128924)$0 S2520 $2760 0 $0 348 $9606 $2520 S7056 ($119130) ($122261) ($123637) ($124903)7 so $2520 $2815 0 $0 348 $3798 $2520 $7278 ($113378) (117675) ($119529) ($121216)so $1520 $28728 0 $0 348 $39A 9
S2520 $7474 ($107699) ($11331b) ($115694) ($117836)s0 $2520 $2929 0 $0 348 $10193 $25L0 $7673 ($102032) ($09169) ($1121141 ($114736)10 $0 2520 $2986 0 11
$1 348 $10397 $25_lt $7877 ($36557) ($105228) ($103774) ($111896)$0 $2520 $3047 0 $0 348 $10 60 $_520 $308512 ($31095) ($I01483) ($105656) (5109293)$0 $2520 $3106 0 $0 348 $10817 $2520 $8237 ($85706) ($97925 ($102748) ($106907)13 $0 $2520 $3171 0 $0 348 $11034 $2520 $8514 ($80388) ($94544) ($10003-5) ($104722)$0 $2520 $323414 0 $0 348 $11254 $2520 $873415 ($75142) ($91332) ($97505) ($102720)$0 $2520 $3299 0 $0 348 $11479 $2520 $8959 ($69968) ($88282) ($95146) ($100837)16 $0 $2520 $3365 0 $0 348 $I709 $2520 $3189 ($64866) ($85385) ($92946) ($99208)17 $0 $2520 $3432 0 $0 348 $11943 $252(l $9423 ($59835) ($M 634) ($90895) ($97671)18 $0 $2520 $3501 0 $0 348 $12182 $2520 $3662 ($54875) ($80023) ($88984) ($264)19 so $2520 $3571 0 $0 348 $12426 $2520 $9906 ($349985) ($77544) ($87202) ($94976)20 $0 $2520 $3642 0 $0 348 $12674 $2520 $10154 ($45165) ($75191) ($85542) ($93797)21 ($6300) $2520 $3715 0 $0 348 $12928 ($3780) $16708 ($37540) ($71607) ($830558) ($92065)
$143695 $50820 0 $0 7018 $217065 $194515 $22550
A-5
-- --
TABLE A-3 (Contd) ASSUMPTIONS TABLE BENFIT-COSTS TABLE (Calculated)
Economic and Financial Analysis for Energy Investments - Egyot EEA i01986
Capital Costs Benefit Parameters Internal Rate of Return 124
Acouisition $149995 Price of Oil $25CK bbl (yr 1)TransDortation $0 Oil Escalat 20year Disc PY of PV of BCConstruction $0 Rate Benefits Costs NPV Ratio
Interconrection $0 Enrgy Savngs 348 bblyear m_ S -- - Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 $217065 $194515 $2550 112
TOTAL Cap) $149995 2 $175450 $187381 ($11931) 094
4 $144247 $181787 ($37540) 079Construct Time 10 months 6 $120511 $177355 ($56844) 068 8 $102 198 $173805 ($71607) 059DOeratino and Normal Maintenance Costs 10 $87674 $170933 ($83058) 051
11 $81877 $169701 ($87824) 048Deratina Cost $2520 year 0 Sshye i s 5 a $76520 $168585 ($92065) 045ODperatina Lifetime 21 years 23 $71720 $167571 ($95851) 043
14 $67405 $166647 ($99242) 040Major Eauipment RepairReplacement 15 $63514 165804 ($102290) 038
16 $59996 $165032 ($105036) 036Salvage Value ($6 300period 18 $53904 $163674 ($109770) 033 Replace Period 20 years 20 $48839 $162522 ($1136833) 030
A-6
Econotic and Financial Araiysis for Energy Irvesteents - Egypt EEA 101986
TABLE A-4
For Case ofFI-2-D -ST 14 - HELWAN TEXTILEIPH ( COLLTOR PRICE 30SFT - PRICE OF OIL $30BBL)Assunina Oil Escalation Rate of 20
Saved Value of
CaPital Oerating Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel EreryYear Cost Cost $bl (PbI) Cost Ecuiv Savea Annual Cash Flow Discounted Cash Flow (N91V) IErerey Cost Currer $ 4 8 10 12
Pcousition $142995 I Tr2rsport $0 1 Constrtio s I Intercorrecto $01 Total $14995 $420 $3000 0 $0SO58 $1740 $150415 (148675) 3514375) ($148675) ($143675) ($148675)
$0 $60C 220 303 $25 0 $3121 0 5 34 506 9 2$0 348 $10862 50 $8 1 9 ($ 4 0 85M) ($ 1 4 11 4 8) ( S 141e280$25X) $342 ($133146) ($133937) ($134391)) ( $ 141 41 7 1
4 (3134767)$0 $2520 $31845 $0 2520 $347 0 0
$0 348 $11079 S2520 $8559 ($125537)$0 346 $1301 $2 (127202) ($127961) ($128675)0 2520 $3312
520 5781 ($118032) ($120748) ($121963) ($123095)7 0 $0 348 $111527 S2-0so S2520 $3378 $3007 ($110629) (114618)
850 0 (116371) ($117984)so 348 51275752520 $3446 0 $0 348
S2520 $9237 ($103329) ($108797) (111157) (113304)$I992 $2520 $9472 (39613) ($103270) ($106296) ($109020)$0 $2520 $35 1510 0$0 $2520 $3585 0 s0 348 $12232 S2520 $9712 ($89034 (598(023)11 $0 348 S2477 ($01765 (3105097)$0 $2 500 S 521t0 $9957 ($5 039)$3657 0 0 (33042 ($97543) ($101507)348 $12726 S252012 0 $ 2520 $53730
$10206 ($7E144) ($88315) (1193608) (S98220)0 $0 348 $12981 $25 $10461 ($S3 3h8)14
52520 (55823) ($89941) ($95213)$0 $2520 $3881 510720 (61 652)0 ($79571) ($86525)s0 348 $13505 ($92461)I5 $0 $2520 $10985 (555055)52520 $3958 0 ($75532 (583343) (89944)s0 348 $1377516 SO S2520 S511255 ($4e5) (571700)$2520 $4038 0 ($0379) (387641)$0 348 51405117 $0 $2520 $4118 0
S2520 $11531 ($4 153 ($68065) ($77 61) ($85534)s0 348 $14332 $218 -0 $11812$0 $2520 (35846) (364617) (575048)$4201 0 ($83607)19 348 $141619 S2520$0
s0 $1209 (59635$2520 $4285 ($61347) ($72650 ($81845$0 348 $1491120 $0 $2520 $2520 $12331 ($23519) ($58247)$4370 0 ($70426) ($80234)$0 348 $15209 $252021 (36300Y $2520 54458 0 $0 12689 ($174 ) ($55306) ($68351) ($78761)348 $15513 (53780) $19293 ($8691) ($51167) ($65484) (76761)
$143695 S5m0 0 so 7018 $260478 $194515 $65963
A-7
TABLE A-4 (Contd) ASSUMPTIONS TABLE BENEFIT-COT3 TABLE (Calculated)
Economic and Financial Aralysis for Energy Investments -- Egypt EEA 1019166
Caoital Costs Benefit Pararmeters Internal Rate of Return 339
Acquisition $149995 Price of Oil $3000 bbl (yr 1) Transportation $0 Oil Escalat L(Wvear Disc PV of PV of BC
Construct ior $0 Rate Benefits Costs NPV Ratio Interconnectior $0 Enrgy Savrias 348 bblvear
Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 S260478 $19455 $65963 134 TOTAL (Cao) $149995 2 $210540 $187381 S23159 112
4 $173097 $118787 ($8691) 095 Construct Time 10 months 6 $144614 $177355 ($32741) 382
8 $122638 $173805 1167 071 Operating and Normal Maintenance Costs 10 $105449 $170933 ($65464 062
11 $98253 $169701 ($71448) 058 Oerating Cost $2520 year 12 $91824 $168585 ($76761) 054
Operating Lifetime 21 years 13 $86064 $167571 ($81507) 051 14 $80885 $166647 ($85761) 049
Major Equipment RepairReDlacement 15 $76217 $165804 ($89587) 046 16 $71995 $165032 ($93037) 044
Replace Cost ($6300)period 18 $64685 $163674 ($98989) 040 Replace Period 20 years 23 $58607 $162522 ($103915) 036
A-8
Ecromic and Fna-ia Aaysis for Ene-v investmerts - E yvt EEP shyi(I195
TABLE A-5
For ie ofFIELD TEST 44 - H-LWA-4 TEXTILEi C E-TO PR CE $305 FT - PRIZE OF OIL $35BBL) Assurjc Oil Escalation PR-e of 20
Saved Vaiue cfa-tal Ooeratlr_ Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel Ererv a eO Anual poundan Flow Discounted Cash Flow (NPV) i = Year r st cost SPbl (bbl) [cst Eciv Errgv Cost Currert $ 4 8 10 12
I SI auxsiticr 1433
1 Trarsoort $0
EorstrLZt cr $0 SI-tercorrezt ior $0
Total $143 995 $420 $3500 0 so 58 $2030 S15-415 ($145385) (4148385) ($148385) (M142335) ($1483351$0 $2520 $3570 0 $0 348 $1424 $2520 $3904 ($138862) ($133215) ($39382) (13543)Sto S2520 $3041 0 $1 348 51-672 $520 $10(152W20476) ($130511) (S130992) ($131443)4 $1 $2523 $3714 0 S0 348 226 $2520 $10406 ($12C226) ($122251) ($23174 ($124043)o$0 2520 $3789 0 $ 34B $12184 52520 $10664 t$111I10) ($114413) ($115890) ($27266)
6 s0 $2520 $3864 0 $0 348 t53448 $252n 10928 (S102128) ($106975) (3109105) ($111065)70 $2520 $3942 0 s0 348 $13717 12520 S111137 ($93279) ($99 920) ($102785) ($10- 392)5 $0 $2520 $4020 0 $0 348 $13231 $250 $S1471 ($845 2) ($93226) ($33898) (M100204)9 VI $2520 $4101 0 so 348 $14271 S520 $11751 (175976) ($86878) ($91416) ($3f458)
10 $0 $2520 $4183 0 $0 348 $14556 $2520 $12036 ($67520) ($80E5) ($86312) ($11117)11 s0 $2520 42G 0 $0 348 $14647 $2520 1123227 (S52192) ($75147) ( 8155) ($7148)12 $ 0 $4352 0 so 348 $15144 $2520 $12624 ($5- 931) ($69732) ($77134) ($83519)13 $0 $2520 $4439 0 so 348 $15447 $2 0 $12927 ($42917) ($64599) ($73015) (W8320)14 $0 $ 50 $4528 0 $0 348 $I-755 $2520 S1323- ($34938) ($53732) ($69181) ($77168)15 SO $2520 $4618 (1 $0 348 $16071 $2520 $13551 ($27142) (S55118) ($5613) ($7439516 t0 $2520 $4711 0 $0 348 $16333 $250 $13873 ($1 439) ($50745) ($62232) ($71860)17 $0 $2520 $4805 0 $0 348 $16721 $2120 $14201 ($I1657) ($4660) ($59201) ($G9544)18 $0 $25200 $4901 0 so 348 $17055 $250 $14535 ($4396) (02672) ($5632) ($67427)19 $0 $2520 $4999 0 $0 348 $17396 $2520 $14876 $2948 ($33949) ($53650) ($65492)20 $0 $2520 $5093 21
0 $0 348 $17744 $3520 $15224 $10174 ($35421) ($51161) ($3725)($6300) $2520 $5201 0 $0 348 $18099 ($3780) $21879 $20159 ($30727) ($47909) ($61457)
$143695 $50820 0 $0 7018 $303891 $194515 $103376
A-9
TABLE A-5 (Contd)ASSUMPTIONS TABLE ENEFIT-COSTS TABLE (Calculated)
Economic and Financiai Analysis for Erergy Investments -- Egyot EEA 10965
Capital Costs Benefit Parameters Internai Rate of Return 534
Acquisition $149995 Price of Oil $35K0 bbl (yr 1) Transport tior $0 Oil Escalat 20vear Disc PV of FV of PCConstruction $0 Rate Benefits Costs tPV Ratio
Interconnectior $0 Enrgy Savns 342 bblyear ==-- -Fuel Use 0 bblvear 0 $303531 $154515 $103376 156
TOTAL (Cap) $149995 2 $245630 $187331 $58249 3
4 $i20 46 $181787 20159 i11Construct Time 10 months 6 $163716 $177355 ($8639) 095 8 $143078 $173805 ($30727) 082
Operating and Normal Maintenance Costs 10 $123024 $170933 ($47909) 072 11 S114628 $169701 ($55 073) 068
Operating Cost $2520 year 12 $107128 $165585 ($61457) 064 Operating Lifetime 21 years $l40810 $167571 ($67163) 060
14 $94366 $166647 ($72281) 057Major Equipment RepairReolacement 15 $82920 $165804 ($76864) 054
16 $83994 $165032 ($81038) 051Replace Cost ($6300)period 18 $75465 $163674 $88-08) 046
Replace Period 20 years 2 $68375 $162522 ($94147) 042A- 10
Eccricmi ane Finarcial AnalysiT fo Energy trvest-ents -- Ev-t EEA 101215
TAlKE A-5
For Case ofFiED TEST 04 - HELWPN TEXTIL=IPH (COLLECTD PRICE $3SFT- PRICE as OIL $40BBL) Ass mir Oil Esralatior Rate of 20
Savet Yait- ofCaoital ODerating Ccst of Oil Fuel bse Fuel Energy Saved fnrnal [a- Flch Liscounted Cash Flow (NPV) i = Year Cost Cost $bl (Bbi) CLst Ecit1 Energy Ccst C-rert$ 4 8 10 12
I Acc-ist on $142995 I -ras)ort $0 1 cnstr t o $0
I te-crrezt icr $0 Total $14995 $420 $400N 0 $0 58 $2320 $15045 (S143C135 ($14209) ($143095) ($142035) ($148095)S) $220 $4080 0 so78 ($138f6) ($137282) ($137478) ($137663)
$0 $2520 $4162 r $0 348 $1442 $250 $192 ($125806) ($127026) (M27592) ($128132)4 so 12120 $4245 0 s0 348 $14 77 S25K0 V2252 ($114914) ($117300) (1115337) ($119411)soS0 2 $43310s _$0 25 $330 0 1-7j(1147 0 ($04188)6 $0 $2520 $4416
$0 348 $15$7 525 $12547 ($108077) ($109817) ($111437)0 $0 348 s15 $252 $12849 ($33627) ($93322) ($1083S) ($104146)7 so $2 520 $4505 0 V) 348 $ 676 S21520 $13156 ($83230) ($31042) ($94412) ($97481)
8 $0 $2520 $4595 0 $0 348 $15 9 o 2520 S13470 ($72934) ($83 182) ($57500) ($9388)9 $0 $252) $4687 Q $0 348 $I309 $2520 $3 789 ($62918) $75732) ($31067) ($85818)10 $0 $2520 $4780 0 $0 348 $6631 5 2520 $14116 ($53001) ($68671) ($75081) ($0728)11 $0 $2520 $4676 0 $0 348 $1696 $520 $14448 ($43240) ($61979) ($69510) ($76076)12 $0 $2520 $4973 0 $0 348 $17308 $2520 $14788 ($33634) ($55636) ($64327) ($71825)13 $0 $2520 73 0 $0 348 $17654 $2520 $15134 ($24181) ($49626) ($59505) ($67940) 14 $0 $2520 $5174 0 $0 348 $18 007 S250 $5487 ($14880) ($43932) ($55019) ($64391)15 $0 $2520 $5278 0 $0 348 $ P367 $2 520 $15847 ($572-3) ($38537) ($50646) (55148)
$0 $220 $538316 0 $0 348 $18734 $25032 ($33425) ( 5) (58186)17 s $2520 $549 0 $0 348 $191$2 250 $I5 9 $12 131 ($328583) ($43354) ($55480)18 $0 $2520 $5601 C $0 348 $19491 $2520 $IE971 $20844 ($23996) ($39997) ($53008)19 $0 $2520 $5713 so 348 $19881 $2520 $173C1 $39414 ($19651) ($36874) ($50751)20 $0 $2520 $5827 (t $0 348 $20273 $2520 $17759 $37843 ($15536) ($33370) ($48689)21 ($6 300) $2520 $5944 $0 348 $20684 ($3780) $24 A64 $49 008 ($10288) ($30334) ($46153)
$143695 $50820 0 $0 7018 $347 304 $194515 $152789A-1 1
TABLE A-6 (Contd)ASSUMPTIONS TABLE BEIEF7-COSTS TABLE (Calculated)
Ecoroic nj Firancial Analysis for Energy Investmerts - Egypt EEA 10195G
azitai Costs Benefit Parameters internal Rate of eturr 714
Acuisition $149995 Price of Oil $400 bbl (yr 1)Transportat ior so Oil Escalat 20year Disc PV of PV of BCConstruction so Rate Benefits Cost- NPV RatioInterconnection $0 Enrgy SavTgs 348 bbyear ==== =-shy
--- Fuel Use 0 bbear 0 $347304 $194515 $152 789 179TOTAL (Ca ) $149 95 2 $28D720 $187381 $93359 150
4 230796 $181787 $49008 127Construct Time 10 months 6 $192818 $177355 V15463 109 8 $163517 $173 805 ($10288) 094Ooerating and Norwal Maintenance Costs 10 $140599 $170933 ($30334) 08211 $13004 $169701 $33698) 077
fteratiri$ Cost 12) $122432 $168585 ($46153) 073Ooeratirn Lifetime 21 years 13 $1i 751 $167571 ($52819) 068
Major Equi~oent ReoairReplacesent 14 $07847 $166647 ($58800) 06515 $10i622 5165804 ($64181) 061
16 $95993 $165032 ($69 039) 058Replace Cost ($6300)period 18 $86246 $163674 ($77428) 053Replace Period 20 years A12 20 $78143 $162522 ($84379) 048
ccz- a Firaca Araiysi- for Erergy IrvestL-rrts -- Ecyrt EC 01)83
TAP-LE P-7
For Case ofFIZLD TEST 4 - H-LWAN TEXTILEWAS-i i-AT PRESVERY wRIC2 SIS08L)DiL Assumiron Oil Escalation Rate of 20
Saved ValL- CCaoital DoeratinQ Cost of Oil Fue Used Fuel Erervy save kriual Cash Flow Discourted Cash Flow (NPV) 3 i =Yea- Cost Cost $b1 (Bbl) Cost Ecuiv Ererzv Cet Currert $ 4 8 10 12
1 Trar-s $0ort 1orstr-t lor $0
I I t e ronez t i m S-1 $735 $833 $Q500 C 0 1341 $27 62 53851 ($542231) (S542231) (S542231) (S542231) ($542231)Sc 53 S530 0 so 11045 $1ES034 11359 S76755- 0o62o) ($356235) (S93830) ($401450)SO $I1359 $15S1 $0 11048 S172415 jeuro $113-1S (3241715) ($252156) 3273 011353 V S 457 ($-=766) -4 to 259 $1592 0 iO 11045 $173863 1353 S164504 ($35471) ($127567) (142M1) ($15556)
Q S11359 $1624 0 $0 (148 17 I S11359 S63 -- $4 155 (340ampG) ($27 430) ($49185)6 11353 -016 U $0 11045 $182136 $12353 2171609 $183205 S12728 73126 1421917 $0 $11359 $1669 0 $0 14048 $186623 $S 353 i75269 $32772 $=223177 $173060 $136987$1125 $173 0 $0 11048 $536r $-53 S173001 $46 74S 3276-3 $263916 $2153S0 S111359 $1757 0 $ 11048 S194167 $13f $182808 S59735 $426389 5355 198 $29179210 $0 $1793 0 S0 11043 S1930L $3 $15 3 72H492 513781 $434373 S353115110 $11359 $128 0 S 1 $11048( I $190653 $357 30 $608090 $57 878 S420500 S0 $1365 0 $0 11048 $HS052 1-3 $134633 $383753 359159 $57617 $47646313 v0 $11353 $1902 0 $0 11043 S210173 $1- $193314 $1107338 $770542 $133465 1527500l$0 $11353 $1940 0 $0 11048 $214376 $1153 $203017 $223E665 $845191 $$5272 $574 0651373 s53$0 11048 1213664 $11359 $2737 $1349578 $915771 $7-2862 $61644516 $0 359 $2019 0 $ 11043 S223077 $11359 $211678 $1467116 $382501 $803536 $65511817 $ 511 353 $2059 0 $0 11049 $227498 S595 $216133 $1582514 $1045583 $850574 $5037518 1 1A3 S2100 0$0 11048 122C48 $1135 $2-20683 $1695810 $1105235 $894236 $7251719 $0 $11359 S2142 0 $0 11048 $236689 $11359 $S25330 $1807033 $1161623 $934764 $75181920 S0 $11359 12185 0 0 11048 $241423 $11353 $230064 $1316237 $1214932 1372331 $778531
21 $0 $11359 $2229 0 $0 11048 $246251 $1135 $234832 $202349 $1265328 1007296 $802881
$5679558 $Zgt9073 0 $0 222801 $0134711 $797031 $3337680
A-13
ASTYPTINS TABLE TABLE A-7 (Contd) BEEIT-rOT TAEPLE (Calculated)
Economic and Financial Analysis for Energy Investsents - Egypt EEA 10196
Capital Costs Benefit Faraineters interral Rate of Return 3101
Acquisitiorn $567952 Price of Oil 1500 bbl (yr 1) Trarsportatior $0 Oil Escalat 20year Disc PV of FVof BC
Corstruct ior $0 Rate Benefits Costs lrv Ratio
Irterconrection $0 Enrgy Sar_as 1104 bblyear -
--- ------ Fue Use 0 bbiyear 0 $41-4711 $77031 $3337680 519 TOTAL (Ca) $H67952 2 $34202-0 S755587 $2586433 442
4 t2747662 $72424 $2023439 379 Construct Time 10 morths 6 $2235 532 $700 138 $LJj5394 328
8$1946703 $68137G $1265328 286
Ooeratina and Normal Mairtenance Costs 10 $1673853 $666557 $1007296 251
11 $55962n $660307 $399314 236
Oerating Cost $11359 year 12 $1457578 $654697 $802881 223
Operating Lifetime 21 years 13 $136G 136 $64- 645 $716491 210 14 $1283$40 $645083 $638857 199
Major Equipment PeoairReplacemert 15 $1209831 $640951 $568880 189 16 $1142817 $37197 $505620 179
Replace Cost $0 period 18 $1026777 $630653 $396124 163
Replace Feriod 20 years 20 $930302 $625165 $305137 149
A-14
Econoi an Fnarial alysi for Energy Irve te-pt -- Eryct EEP 10138_
TABLE A-8
For Case cfF7ELD TEST $4 - HE=LWqN TEXTILE4qSTE -_j E[CXERY (PRCE C7 OIL $2013E_) Assurn_ 0i Escaiaticon Rate of 20
Saved Vale cf Capita Doeratn Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel Energy Saved rrual Cash c-w-- Discounted Cash Flow (NOV) i = Yea- Cost Cost Eb (pb]) Ccst Equiv Ererz Cst Currert $ 4 8 10 2
oisi67Ac s tr
rarExrt $0 rorstrztio sc
IIrerccrr_tor $0 7 $200Y 0 C1841 1687Tctai$78K S 98 1 )$53C3 ) 315Z3 02) ($5330251 ($533025) ($533015)2 v $11355 $ 04Q 0 $0 11048 t225379 $1153 $214020 (327235) (S-34858) ($338461) ($341935)3 $0 $11353 $08i C $0 11048 $-23857 $1135 1-258 ($125195) (S147505) ($157B59) (167726)
4 $0 $1135 $21 22 0 $0 11048 $234465 $11359 $223126 $73163 $23619 $3778 (18910) $0 fI1-- $21E5 0 $0) 11048 $29174 $353 $227815 $26790 $197070 $r5 379 $125S71E $0 $13 2 2 083 0 so 11048 S2433K8 S1352 5-3 $459080 1355 373 $303805 $267854
7 $0 611355 $252 C $1) 11048 $243K7 $59 $27478 $4762 $505024 $-855 53881678 $ $1135 $227 0 $0 11048 $2K2814 353 -142455 $33007 $646494 $568272 $4978429 $1 35 $2343 (1 $0 11046 $253 83 $111359 s47 531 $1011876 $780227 $623747 $59781510 $0 $11359 $I39 0 $0 11048 $26068 $135 $252703 $1183426 $906644 $790920 $68894411 soS 1359 $2438 0 s0 l048 $2634 S1 359 S57990 $1363714 $1026144 3890387S77201012 $0 $11359 $2487 0 s0 11048 $274736 $353 $263377 $1534793 $1139102 $982699 $84772513 $0 S11259$2535 0 $0 11048 $280231 $11359 $268872 i1702736 $1245874 $1068389 $91673814 $0 $11359 $2587 C0 $0 11046 $285835 $1359 $274476 $1867573 $1346733 $1147876 $97364015 so $11-359 $2629 0 s 11048 $291552 $i135 S28193 12023383 $1442193 $1221659 $103697316 $0 S1359 $2632 0 $0 11048 1237383 S353 $22-024 $2188202 $1532360 $1290131 $108922917 $ 111359 $2746 ( s0 11048 $303331 $11359 $291972 $234408 $1617584 11253673 $113885618 $0 $11359 $2800 0 $0 11048 $303-97 $115 $298038 $2497093 $1698134 $1412638 $118026419 $0 $11359 $2856 0 $0 11048 $315585 11359 $304226 $2G47268 $1774267 $1467356 $1219 8520 $0 $11359 $2914 0 $0 11048 $321897 $11359 $310538 $2794663 $1846222 $518131 $125588121 $0 $11359 $2972 0 $0 11048 $328335 $11359 $316976 $2939326 $191422 $565248 $1288740
$567958 $229073 0 $0 222801 i5512948 $797031 $4715917
A-15
P7UrSPTIONS TABLE TABLE A-8 (Contd) EtEFIT-CSTS TABLE (Calculated)
Ecoroic ard irarcial Analysis for Energy Investments -- Egypt EEA 1019E6
apital Ccsts Benefit Parareters Irterral Rate of Return 4220
Acquisition $567958 Transportation $0
Construct ior $0 Irtercor rectior $0
Price of Oil Oil Escalat
Enrgy Savrgs
$2000 bbl (yr 1) 20year
11048 bblyear
Disc
Rate
----
PV of erefits
PV of
Costs NPV
BC
Ratio
TOTPL (Cap) $567958 Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 J55948
2$4456027 $797031 $75587
$4715917 $3 700440
6 2 590
Construct Time 10 corths 4$3E 3550 6$3060 709
$724224 $700 138
$2939326 $2 360571
506 437
Operating and Normal Maintenance Costs 8$2595604 1(V$2231804
$681376 $666557
$1914229 $1565248
381 335
Operating Cost Operating Lifetime
$11359 iyear 21 years
11 $2079494 12 $1343437 13 T1821515
$660307 $654697 $649645
$1419187 $1288740 $1171869
315 297 280
Major Equipment RepairReplacement 14 $1711920 15 $1613108
$645083 $640951
$1066837 $972157
265 252
Replace Cost $0 period 16 $1523756 18 $1369035
$637197 $630653
$886559 $738382
239 217
Replace Period 20 years 20 $1240402 $625165 $615238 198
A-16
Eccw= ar -narzia Pnav=_is fcr Erergy Irvestrrent_ -- Egypt EEC 101
P= A-9
or Case of2IED TEST 4 - HELPAN TEXTIEN3TE HEAT -CDOERY (PC- U BBL- ----Assmir Cil Escalation Rate of 20
SaVEdt C~famta eratirg Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel Energy Saved Annal Fasn Flow Discounted Cash Flow (UOV 8 i = lea- Cost Cost $Pb (8b1) Cost Ec-jiv Energy Cost Crrert I 4 8 10 12
I Transocrt corst rutr $7
rterornazticota HS 833 7 1841 $4S 73 -3951 C$52818 (WBIB) ($52381 1 (3523818) ($53218)SC 51133 $20 0 048 $22172 U3 $27365 ($263851 1(2731480) (278031) ($262421)$0 $11359 $2601 0 $0 11042 7=5 $12$3 5275 999 (-S74) (368Z5) 333343900253 ( 15)0 111049 ( $359 _51 747 $241737 $I82 805 $161748 5131462Q 07C 11043 S2531558 11259 12379 $477 s46 $323206 $35188 $32 27$0 $11-_ $2760 0 1n 11043 $304 94 $11 3 3 24E7--555 $722 55 $5S3 Mf $5404 - $$487517$7 $-~5 $2315 0 11048 $712 1353 $233 53 5 872 $786 871 $709649 $639347$ $1 5282 0 $0 14 391141292 0 IK93
656f $8662 S7777253SiZ bull0 $312 5 $1426427 T113465 $10122372 9 3 39 $ 35- $2983 0 $ 145 $33035 1 3 3 726 $165035 $12350M S1147467 $108774$C $135 $304711 0 S0 11046 $3365pound 5ii5 $325 22712 $)
187C 129t44419- $1272895 SI 2351$- $3103 C S 113 $34$2 - 132206 $20S53 S1556613 11353280 $ PIE98c13 3 S317 0 v 1 5$143 250 $11159 $3352 $2237533 I 72120 $47274 $1305375SO 51253 $2340 s0 104 S3 $184840-
0 SO 11041 $364 $11353 5081 3709183 519E861E $262) 456 S1457500 15 Ss35-2 $3293
3 17294 $1 9 $ 9-- $ 293 $157473 $138525-5
16 V0 $1353 $3365 0 s 1I1Ns -3717 21f5 $230328917 - $ 7C 1270 2082220 $776726 $1523340$7 $II35 $34 32 0 $0 1104c8 $37312 $11 $372 4 $3105663 $2183578 $156771 1533718 S 1-13 $35 1 0 so 1048 $7332377 t1931039 $1638010$22-103419 $0 $11353 $3571 0 $0 11048 $3544S2 $135q Q83123 $3487437 $2385910 $M947 $168783120 $0 $1135q $364( $0 11048 $40-37 $1135 $391212 $3673088 $2477512 $2053881 $1733230$0 $11359 $3715 021 $9 11048 $40419 $113553 $399060 $3855214 $2563130 $2123 19 $1774600
$567 9S3 $--3073 0$0 M 801 $6831186 $737031 $6034154
A-17
SUPTIONS TABLE TABLE A-9 (Contd) EENPT-OET TAKE (Caiculated)
Ecoc an Firarzial Palysis for Energy Investments - Egypt EEA 1l6
Caits Co=ts Berefit Parameters Irterrz2 Rate R~Return 5368
Acquisition $567958 trice of Oil $250 i-b (yr I) Tarsprcrtator
Constructior
Interconnectior
$0
$0
so
Oii Esalat
Enrgy Savnps
2 0vear
11042 bblyear
Disc
Rate
V Cf
PerEfits
V of
Costs -IV
FC
Ratio
------------TOTP (ap 57959
Fuel Use 0 bl1year 0 $f)83 33
$797031 75537
1609454 $481444E
865 737
Construct Tire 10 rnortns 4 14573 437 6 $332f 886
$724224Q13855214 $700138 $S-125748
632 546
OperatinL and Ncrmal MaIntenarce Costs 3- L 5)5 1 $27K755
$ES376 $666557
5t 130 $2123199
475 419
Ooerating Cost
OperatiTrg LifetiMe
$1359 year
21 years
1 if25H37 2 $24229
3 S2276893
$660307 G 5o637
$649645
$5939081 $1774600
16-2724
394 371
350
Major Equipment RepaiReplacemert bull~~l i4$2239005 -2 01S32
$64508 $14948162051 375435$640 1 $ 4 5
3 2 315
Replace Cost
Replace Period
$0 period
20 years
16 $1X4 695 18 S1711294
20N $1 550 503
$637197 $1267498 $530652 $1080641
$625165 $925338
299 271
248
A-18
Econr- ard Fra--a haavsi fcr Er=rv investerts -- Ecyzt E
For Case ofFELD TEST 4 - HELWANTEXTILES3TE -9T REZOVERY (PCE C-O 3IBiL) PssuTir~g Oil Escalation Rate c 20
Year Capital
Cost Ooeratir
Cost Cost cf Oil
$lBbl Fuel Used
(Ebl) Fuel Cost
Saved Erergy Eauiv
ValS cf Saved
Enercy Pnral
Cost Ls iCh Crrert 1
Di-cousteJ 4
Cash Flow 8
(NPV) i 10
=
12
I P~uis~xor~1567958 Transvort $0
1 cntrct mc- 1Irte-ccrret ic
a1s
4
6
Q$ 11
12 13
14 5
16
17
18
19
20 21
$
to 11Z so 1353 C 1-S s$o $1
$0 t13
$0 $i359 $0 $
S 11135-
3 $0 $11359
$0 $1359 $ $-353
$0 I353 0 $ 111359 $0 111359
so S11359 SC $11359
$ $11359
$0 $11359 $0 $11359
$4so $ $3121 $3164
824
$3312
$3378
$3445 $3515
$3657 37730
S33(
$138 $3958 $4033
$4118
$4201
$4285 $4370 5445
(1 0
C
0
0
C00 0
0 0
0 0
0 0 C
0
0
0
0 0
$0 $0 $0
$0
$0
$0
SCso $0
$-$0
$0 $0
$0 $0 s0
$0
so
$0 $0 $0
184 1104 11048 11048
1104S
11048
110 3
11048110 I 8
1(148 11048
11049 11048
11049 11048 11046
11048
11048
11048
11048 11048
S5524C
$338069 S344831 t3727
$3537S
$ 37
$37-
t33-7 2$38 3 $383335
$3161 $4(402
$412104 $42034S
$423753 $47328 $445075
$454995
$464056
$473378
$482845 $492502
$563851
S11355 $11359 S11355
5
11135
$1352
11355s
115335
$1359 $11359
$113 $112-59 $11353
$11353
$11353
$11359 $11359 $11359
11) ($514611
S2 710 33471 $1784 $340368 $410431 S$34740 1 $7 392 IK3457 $333829
i351390$123484
-255 $15= 3 $11353$27976 $1840978 S13-36384743 $2111293
9 $3665 $2376563
$40$745 1636279 $40S987 $2 832331 $417394 $2142007 42 99 $338934
$434716 $6Sl376
$443637 $387238 $4E2 737 14093661 $452019 $4327726 $471486 $4155514 $481143 $4771101
($51461
$73796 $343991
5539 342
$84661
$1063717
S284236 $1487914
$680371 S1862251
$2034124 $21955326
$23--0 013 $2495039 $262079
$2761573
$2883934
$2999553
S3103802 $3212031
($54611
$5-7994 $313717
$50998
$77162
$975443
$164984 $134)846
$504014 $165540A
$1795862 $1926178
$2047082 $2159253 $226-3321
$2359869
$2 449 441 $2532539 $2609631 $2681150
($514611)
06
$42935 $285202
$S505933
$707180
$80527
$57603 $1209862 $1348604 $1475031
$1590 236 $1695213
$79)359 $1878030 $1957451
$2029818
$2095757
$2155838
$2210580 $2260459
$567958 $229073 0 $0 222801 $8 269423 $797031 $7472391
A-19
TABLE A-10 (Contd) ASSUMPTIONS TABLE EENEFIT- ST TABLE (Calculated)
Econoraic are Fin=-ial alycsis for Energy Investments - Egypt EA 101965
iaital ccsts Bereifit Parameters internal Rate of Peturr SE55
Acquisition $H67353 Price of Oil $3000 bbl (yr 1) Transportatio $0 Oil Escalat 20year Disc PV of PV of BIC Constructior $0 Rate Benefits Costs NPV Ratio
Irterconectior $0 Errgy Savncs 11048 bblyear ---shy=-- Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 $8263423 $797031 $7472391 1038
TOTAL (Cap $79-53 24$6684040 $755587 $592Or 453 S85
4$542E325 $724224 $4771101 753Construct Time 10 months 6$459063 $700138 $3890925 656 8$3 893 406 $681376 $322 031 5 71
Operating and Normal Mainterance Costs 10 $2347706 $666557 $2681I0 502 - 11 $3119241 $660307 $3458934 472
Operating Cost $1359 year 12 $2915155 $654697 $2260459 445 Operating Lifetime 21 years 3 $_73 272 $64364Z $2081627 421
14 $2567880 $645082 $1922796 398Major Equipment RepairReplacemient 15 $2419662 $640951 $1778712 378
16 $228-634 $637197 $1648437 359 Replace Cost $0 period 18 $2053553 $630653 $1422900 326
Replace Period 20 years A-20 20 $1860603 $625165 $1235439 298
poundcenrzzc ar Firarial Analysis fcr Energy irnvesttterts -- EZyt pound2~ 10g88
TABLE A-Il
For Case of-EL TEST 4 - ELqN E LEA ATEP2ERy -E-D701 $35KL) Assumir Oil Escalaticn Rate cf 20
Savet- Vaiue cflaza 2eratn Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel Ererpy Saved Arnual Can_ Flow Discourtee Cas Flow (NV) i =Yea Cost Cost $pbl (Ebl) Cost Eauiv Enercy Ezt C-rrert $ 8 10 12 - -cuisittor -567-
Trarsocr $
crstrttir Irterznr or $0
7t Z-=7s5 3 $3Z0I 0 $0 1841 $amp4447 $59652 $505 405) ($-5405) ($505 405) (50540)5 ($55405$0 $11359 t3E70 so 1048 $34414 $11359 $353055 ($137083) ($I724) 173) ($16331)$1 $1359 $940 $ 1048 $4(2 32 $11353 $39C 76543 1224 $16444S $HE 92 $1482664 $0 $11359 $3714E Q $0 11043 359 89$41(2348 $1139 52 8 $5068 SSC I217 $4 5 6 7so TIIM $3789 Q V1 11043 $418E5f $11359 S$4)7 IgS 76 $4651687 $432258$927 138 $300478 $7432 807 $6i9103g
$0 $1359 $3864 0 $0 11048 $42S 98 $415527m3 833 $65704 11 C V001841o$0 1135g $3942 0 $0 11048 $435464 $11359 $$424105 $1603881 $135-564 124238 $1141707$ - $420 0 $0 1104-8 $4174 s3523 $43281- $232784 $1503107 $h63340 $1337491$0 $11359 $4101 0 $0 11048 s4_z_c- $ -9 S 4441-93$22E 52 $841743 $1S89396 $15158685$0 Sn359 $4183I 0 50 11049 $4621E $I353 $450753 $2572227 $206723 $1860582 $1878434 0 $11359 $4266 0 so 11048 $471-8 $125912 $46C 12 $22-987 $2280305 $2037912 $182S542t $1-9 43520 2
$0 11048 $48075 $1359 $4E9423 $3187919 12451E35 $2202444 $i961492$ $1139 $4439 0 $0 1104S $49C404 $11159 $479 4- $3437129 $2671870 $2375023 $2084450$0 S359 $452814 0 $0 11048 $50212 $113515 $483853 $378072 $2851 620 $2495386 S2196483s$ $I359 $4618 0 s0 11048 $51G216 $11359 $498557 $4065793 $3021462 $22205 V 298 559$- 52 $471116 0 $0 11048 $520420 $1$37 5 150306 1 $4351463 $3181939 $274916 $2391563$1359 $4805 0 $0 11048 $53129 $11359 $51347Q $4628812 13333567 $2882967 $247629 18 $0 S1359 $4901 0 $0 11048 $541445 S11359 $530086 $4900944 $347583K $2S7842 $255350319 so $11353 $4993 0 so 11048 S=52274 $11359 S540915 $5167955 $3612197 $3065131 $2L3644$0 si359 $509920 0 $0 11048 $530 $1135921 $551961 $5429939 $3740093 $315381 $2687930$0 $11359 $5201 0 so 11048 $574586 $11359 $563227 $56869B9 $3850932 $3239101 $2746318
$567958 $229073 0$0 2L801 $9647660 $797031 $8850629
A-21
SSUmOTIO3 TAlBLE TABLE A-lI (Contd)
PNEFT-COSTS TALE (Calculated)
Economic and Fir ancia Analysis fc-Energy Investments -- Egypt EEA I0P386
Calita costs Penefit arazeters
$cuistion$Z723 Price of Oil $ h500bb (yr 1)Trarspcrtation t0 Oii Escalat 20year Corstructcr $0
Irtercornection $0 Enray Savs 11048 bblyear -- - Fuel Use 0 bblyear
TOTAL (Cap) $5 57 8
Construct Time 10 mnrths
Coeratir ard Normal Maintenance Costs
Ooerating Cost $1135 yEar Operating Lifetime 21 years
MaJor Equipment RepairReplacemert
Replace Cost $0 period Replace Period 20 years
A-22
nterral Rate of Return 7785
Disc PV of PV of Rate Benefits Costs NTV --- _--
V S9647EGO $7-7031 $8850629 N $7793047 $755587 $7042460
4 $E411212 $724224 $568698961S 3S240 $700138 $4656102
8 $454 307 $681376 $3860 93-10 $305657 $666557 $323910111 Q633114 JE0307 $2978 SO3 I E $3401015 $654697 $2746318 I 387650 $S4964c5 $2538005 14 $25860 S645C83 $2350776 15 t- B940 $64051 $2181939
16 $266E 573 $37197 $2029376 18 $2395812 $630653 $1765159 20 $2170704 $625165 $1545539
BIC Ratio
1210 1032
885 75
667 586
551 519 491
464 440
418 380 347
Econoir a-nFinaci AralySi f- Ererzy InvEstments -- 07ptE LE
TP93
For Case ofFIELD TEST 4 - F1-LWA TEXTT -- (nC O= ]L s40PEt) Assuirz Oil Escalation Rate of 20
Saved Value cCaita 29ratir s of C Fuel Used
Fuel Erer y 3ave_- pal Casn Flo^ fLiscured Cash Flc (NPV 2 erCost Cost I Ib) Cost Euiv --ervy Cost Currert 3 4 8 10 12
1 7rans~crt $0
$ Tr O iS - 0 2$0 124 373655 39=851 ( 433193 (14351 ($ 6 1 8 $4 5 1 8931 4968l$ --3 $4020 0 VI 11048 $45C 3SI23 $42 2S W3698) ($33473 (35744) ($103877)0 1_3 0 so4152 1248 453 774 5 $34085amp Q95 07$0 443415 $ S273847 553596= S24 45 $0 1048 $45-95 $11359 $4Z7E $74770 SS5362 517656 573314S0 C 5 $4330 0 $0 11048 $47-34c 31259 $425339 $114f884 $$001513 5936616 $8760940 $59 $44E 0 $0 11048 4$10 1253 $47_55_9 1532579 13-2950 1232520 11146505
- c $S450- 0 sO N04E 147574 i $4263559 13C $1632410 $507021 $392887$10 $11259 14535 0 $0 11042 $5077 $ 3~5$1 268$4-3 $2700043 121 978 $176169G $167374I 135 $4627 0 so Ns04 1577S s259 S2670080 9f5282o 1 7 14W 2 I $19337945 5182903$478S 0 $0 043 $1s53 S52776 13033160 12454038 $2217103 20026411 9 $47 0 014876$S-E_ 4 1104--20 = 3 5pound 7 07$14800803 0O $3269358o$0 c 359 S 3 7 $2442 421 $217805$
s2 37115$5171 $0s14 1 S355 $E74 11048 S -511113-f 1743 102 $4C1L 27 $13147202 $2783 987 $24736230 $0 114048 517 311 HI9 S56312 $4418436 S13357 $294628332217 12602037I5 $0 $1353 $1z Sf 312$7578 0 $0 11048 $I 319 $439 _7$3$527404 $59 -40$7745 $278 gO $ 43$4743604 $3547884 $30998428 $2719087$0 $I Ec $383 016 $0 11048 $5547ES v11255 $H62407 S5072550 $3 799 $323E511 12825674$11359 $549 0 S0 1048 SE s 311 50 $ 9-25562U $2 2 718 $O $1-253 $5 0 $0 11048 61875 1i3 $470 8 40693133 1482244 20120715 $0 135I $5713 0 so 11043 $5217 3 77$113 9 775 $470 $2248 4 01 7$30912010 $0 11359 $5 827 0 $0 11048 $642794 $11359 $632435 $S39t367 $4371382 $370130 $3165280
21 $0 $11359 $5944 0 $0 11048 1656570 511359 S645311 6602876 $4509833 $3797052 $3232177
$567953 $ 29073 8970 10 801 511 02-5 $797031 $10228866
A-23
TABLE A-12 (Contd)PSSI PTIONSTAJKE rEnJT-DETS ^2LE(Caiculated)
E~onoma~infncia fcr Erery Investwerts - Egypt EA 1036
LapitE --ts Penefit Parameters ternr ate cf ketur 9060
Pquisition $-57958 Price of CI Trasortaticon $f CiI Escalat
onstructIon $0
iterzorr-ction $0 Ernrgy Savrs ------ Fuel Use
77A ao) $567958
Construct Time 10 months
OpEratirg ar N-rmal Mairterance Ccsts ------
Operating Cost $1355 year Operatirn Lifetime 2 years
Major Eqiprent RepairRezlacement
Replace Cost $0 period Replace Period 20 years
$4K lbb (yr 1) 20year
11043 bbllyear
0 bblyear
Ns PV of PV of Rate eni L-sts NPV
0$11025 397 1797031 $1022666 2 25q3 75E587 $ 156466 4 $7327100 $724-4 $6602876
6 $$121418 $700138 $5421280
e5191203 $68376 $4509833 10 $4463603 $66-57 $377C52 11 $4152988 $G 307 $3498681 12 $3865874 $654697 $3232177 13 13643029 $543645 $2993384
14 $3L423840 $645083 $27875615 S3226217 $6402351 $2585266 16 13047512 $637197 $2410315 18 $2738071 $630653 $2107418 20 $24008 5 $625165 $1855640
BC Ratio
1383 1179
1012
874
762 670
630
594
561
531 503
478 434
397
A-24
-c-nc an Firanzia Pralysisfcr Erergy Irvestrents -- Env t E 0
TALE P--3
Fer Case tfFEI7E3ET4 - FLN TEXTILESCLR PLUS
Assuming Oil Escalafior Rate oF 0
73 T ECCeZRY (PR_5rCF OIL S15BL)
r a
bull
etaIOiertrg
ssost Ccst Of Oi
$I Fe Lse
(E-12 Fuel
Save -Enery Eciv
a L Ef SaveS
Erery ra Ccst
asn Fli CLrrert f
sccunted 4
Cash Floo (NPV) 8 10
i
2
bull
4
5
7
0
1
2
13
14
16
17
is
19 20
21
r S CCrrnst cr $cr
erzcn11 on
Toa7 52 $2313 $ 13279 SC 13279 S t13979 $ $2673
C5r2
$0 $13573
S $13873 $ S$13279 $0 t373 $0 $13 79 $0 $387 $0 $13S79
$0 $1357S
$0Si 3279 $0 513879
$0 $13279
$ $137
0 $13879 $0 $S3879
($E300) $13879
$711653 $279893
V500
$1530 S561
S5592 $1624 $16565
$1689
$1723 $1757
$1733
$1326
$1265
I -
$1140
$1973 $20
S205 $2100
$2142 $2185
$22-29
0 0
0
r)
0
0
r
0
0 0 0
0
0 0 0
0
O$0 189 $28490 $720263 $0 1396 $17453 $13 S7 $0 113SE $177346 t-879 $$C 13 $1803 2a7g $$0 1139 12503 S1387 $0 1396 $183732 7 2 2S 0 13 $192 3 $13879
$0 1 c 9E3 8761 $0 11396 $20 2E3 $3872 $0 1396 $20423 V2 273 $0 11396 $20335 S13873 0 1132H $212542 T2272 $0 11396 $216733 $1387 $0 11396 $221129 $13879
to 1139S $25f2 3 $0 11353 523063 $13873 $0 11396 $234664 $13873 $0 11396 $23357 $13879
$0 11396 $244144 $13879 $0 11396 $249027 13879 $0 11396 $254008 $7579
$0 22819 $4264950 $991546
A-25
(77-773(5691771 1$691776) 164 C ($537432) ($542184)
$ 367 138E872) (M402609) 37524 ($23E944) f$263623) $17 ($90642) ($143 2 73174853 $307 -14 -- 7G 4 ( 8 $173627 $194245 $8774amp
$182477 t33293 $114220 S1 404 $49117 $2-4229 $10 410 s 027 $390 181 $154496 $734291 $490270 $193663 $86Z339 $565474 $202914 $3073 $amp46054 $207250 $1114548 722259
$11amp73 $1236783 $794325f216184 $356823 $862476 t220785 474702 $92921 $22- 478 $590456 $987860
$23)265 $1704121 $1045484 235148 $1815733 $10-971
$24642 $1928200 $1152842
$3273404
(691 776) ($691776)
($545885) ($543491) ($410376) ($417777) ($264512) (532537) (17613) (189767) (9 ) ( 1( $ 53 0 4 -4 ) -$1) $41737 ($53)
$135427 S82491 $22238s $157776 $303138 $M-6440 $373125 $289063 $447755 34o174 $S12410 $398257 $572443 $445753
$S28193 S8066$679935 $528562
$727985 $564576 $772594 $597416
$814010 $27360 $852458 $6546G2 $889088 $680208
TABLE A-13 (Contd) PSc6UY1TTG TAKE 52ZFEI-CSTS TXLE Calculated)
Econo iar narza 9Aais- for ErErgy Investments shy Eypt EZE 1ci35
Capital Ccsts Benefit Parameters Irternal RatE c Return 24953
~ccui i tcr717953 Price of Oil $15Y0 bbl (yr 1) T-ars~crtat ion $0 Oil Escalat 20year Disc tV of V of BC
crstruct ion $0 Rate Benefits Costs NP Ratio Intercornectior $ Enrgy Savrs 11396 L11year
FuE US= 0 bbiyear 0 $4264950 $991546 $3273404 431
TOTPL (Cap)-77953 2 447230 $942ss $2 504m 366 4t $2334211 $301011 $1928200 313
Costruct T 0 mth_ 357 838 $877493 $1490346 270 12110080 $85511 $112842 235
Operatin and Ncrma aintenarce Costs 0 $7 S76 $837483 $883068 0 11 $1608747 $830008 $778739 194
Operatin Cost Oeratirg Lifet1 M1
$_87T year years
2-$502490 13 $1403 168
$823281 $917216
$660203 $9195
183 172
14 $1324383 $311730 $512652 163 Major Equipert ReoairRepiacemert 15 $1247940 $80S 754 $441185 155
16 $1178815 $80222 $37658S 147 Replace Cost ($6300)period 18 $1o9119 $794327 $264792 133
Replace Period 20 years 20 $3959605 $787687 $171918 122
A-26
-- tr- er F-= v fc E-r= 1r tesirt_Egyrt EEP
TqPPLE P-4
F- caecfFlDTST t4 - UEL$Q TEXTILESDLAR PLUS WASTE HET -COVERpY(Pj- OF OIL $S31PL) nssuring Cil Escalatio- Pate c
Ltal Ccst cF Oil Fuel Used savet Va- cCa 0eratin Fuel Er-er SavE Armia Lasn FowDy riscoured Cash Fco (N7V) i vew t cost $b (b) Cost Eciv nert Cost Currert $ 4 810 10 12
ftP ic ro717953 I rarszc-t $0
r r $0|
f7753 $t S2100S23-13 so 1233-7 37 933747 ($S62-202 (23N ($682280)S Z-2) z $11279 M--7
3 2 $12 $Q373 (447205 $47 67-3 t$453t2 ($487110)3173 $DE 3S 2 2712 T 3S1249 t1$2532) ($2Sj731 ($292049 ($30-23)v W 2n UL22 22732
4 0 so 37 7 SE2923 (-2742S) ($27 531 ($146842)$0 1 57 $ 3 H 5 7 8 fit 73 1 2 8 0$2208 0 $0 3S tKj2 H872Q $237763 121 449 1-543 $17901 S6 3$ $1o73 32152 0 so Ins I25 E7 $1373 524796 152334 S373 47 o1l953 12503tq7 $21 0 so ni8 $2E 8( C3973 t715740 521 13 $24792954413 $1 190
0 $ 1279 $2343 0 33 6 5S L3 73 152 ME3 $22726 SSE913 = k S473433C En 1i c SC 2H6 127-ESE $1373 5237506504E52517O3 $71230 S672916 56391 $0 $13379 $2438 0 $0 113H S773-S25 272 4 5 7 $911492 $726E2 $651646I1 $0 S879 $2457 0 SO 3 $322 1372 5251 1143736 $7C702 $SE7144 $72912313 7 =36 s2 5 $1273 $275173 M160612 S113 353 5954024 $7 55514 SO H1079 121E7 0 so 1s3 I234m3 I 73 $2503H0 1772343 $123966 $1036208 S 414415 $ $1o7 $S3 0 $0 11336 C3002 $1 $3K7Z $1372 $St7557 S M37330 A1746$9M 840a $- 2 56 c so 3 1m237i 123287 129 3 MI42 LEE $97E34717 SO $13879 $-740 $0 1296 531S3525
12 7 1387 $2-30 $2 $51637 5 4E97 5 A 2vO 1 ST2 0 0a7 $209 1123S 1314 $13879 1305 264 $241E979 C59 43E 30N IbX3 581Ws19 $0 11387 $2356 0 $0 11336 $3H526 $13879 $311647 $2570817 $1677425 5133377 $111010820 $0 $12879 $2114 0 $0 i13 $33203S $13879 $318157 $2721828 61751146 S415399 $114704821 ($6300) $13879 $272 0 $0 11396 $338677 $7579 $331028 $2872937 $1822182 $1464614 $1181372
$71653 $279893 0$0 M819 S56686) $991546 $4095054
A-27
TABLE A-14 (Contd) 3M-S rET-N7 CSTS TPULZ CalLNated)
Ecobullric anf 7rT a f- Erer Investrents -- E F ay A 1916
Capita Sosts BersEft taraampeters R-ae -eturf 3402
Aczuisitjorn $717953 Trarnscrtatior $0
Price of Oil Oil Escalat
$2000 bbl year
(yr 1) poundai_ PEcf cf BC
Zcnstructior $0 Rate Penefits Costs NOV Ratio ir$tez)rectio
TOTAL tCa ) $717 953
Enrgy Savrs Fuel Use
1129 bblyear 0 bblyear
==shy0$568GG00 2- $4 33257
$954E $342962
$4535 054 $3 534i
574 487
Lo stru 6 Time 10 con-h r1 e-
4$3773943 $357118
E2Z17363
$9S 011 $2 872 937 S877493 $2279625 $S5518 S1 822182
41736 360 313
rPEratino ans Nrmal Maintenance Costs
Oueratirg Cost $13872 year Cpratir Lifetime 21 years
0 S2302104-1-$214493G
2$2004 53 -1S 78330
$5374n9$330008
$S2323 $817216
$464614$131A93
$IE1372 2051674
275 258
243 230
Major Equiprent RepairReplacemernt 14 $17 5843 5 $1G663919
$311730 SS06754
$954113 $7 165
218 206
Replace Cost Replace Period
(N6300)period 20 years
16 $571753 18 $1412159 20 $1279474
$802 22 $794327 $787687
$769524 $617832 $491787
6 178 162
A-28
- ranzcal Analysis fc- Enery vestrent_ - Eynt EE 0
TALE t-E
77 P7 q (NU - C$Ipp Asumzr_ O EscaatorRate cf 0
ot _o-tr o
ct of Oil $1-
Fuel Used (Ebl)
FL Cost
Save Ergy
Ecuiv
a1e e-
Errgy r
ost Ca--ic
rrer $ DisEcurted Cash 4 8
Floh (NPV) 10
P i 12n
I
I
Acuis~tion S177 Trar-pcr T
cnstr=ticr $0 rernct cshy
7S7
-
V I
In
I $1227
t3S7
I27T
2E F - 03
1706Q_
0
0 $0
0S0 1
--shy29 S4748
E $-5
3 2419 122723 $32
I3F 13 33f
$72
137 $187 7 $13879
S2$ (333727-3
7Z73 ($4 707
SZS2 E-I (V454 1 135104E 3$2 4 S3--2S3
($672733)
($41ESE2)
$1743-7$c 271122
(72731
($421-20)
(SIS7723$23000
$2-1152
(S672783
(S4252
S201430)$4E39
$1203
-$ 3
14
IS 7
18 19
20
21
C$$3875
c $ 17
$17573-$$ S 2 73
S $12272
S 10 113273
$0 12E73
V$ 1-73 $0 7 $0 $1327
$0 $13872 V $13873
$0 $13873
(05300) $13879
12760 82
227272
3 $232
$3047
$3108 $317
$3234
$323
t$365 $3432
$3507
13571
$3642
13715
0
C
C J
0 C
0
0 0 0
0
0
0
1
10
$0
$c
so $0
so
$0 $0
$0
$0
$0
$0
336 $314553 1133S $32844 2H t61735
133 1 3S 135G $34(432
1336 $7gt
1332 $354227 1133 $30132L
13 $363543
$37
139E $383432 11222 $23
1 S332$3=22 1133 $406 9-7
113 $415046
11396 $423346
s12 7 $i E74 $8 $47575_ $846 $13E79 1-_- - $ tq520120 s 379 3132332 1103568 S3f2050 1750934
01279 133227 11 _2433 $11024 27 $71 82 373 32 6S0 $1553 S02 $1183280 $038694 $S87 13-3413 S79 04 $1342714 S111722
$237 1o3558 2 134 $148368 $i2632 1387 $347443 $2217146 162562 5133723$ 1 $12753 $254670 $243-151 S1757074 S149 74
S3 $ E K22 $180334 C 5 53 $1337 $362S55 $2 44423 51933835 V16E3750 S3879 $377322 7223 $2106944 51 8M465
$1373 7-E5- $ 24502 $221101 84 2 05-$13 79 $3 3 028 $3437512 $2309366 $1912745
$13373 $401167 $3627923 $2402321 $1978339 S7579 $4f-5767 $387674 $2491523 $2040140
$3E2613 V1813
165S399
$78102 $32673
1014228
$111073 I31253
$282534
$1 35 $1424132
66
$5474 $1572856 S1 39434 $1682535
$71153 $273933 0 $0 22819 $7105250 $991546 $6116704
A-29
TABLE A-15 (Contd)gSSVL1TKE--- TAL-2 12alculated)
-cic ar -ari - lysis fc Erery rvestrrts - Egypt EEP i9IlS
Costs Perefit PararetErs Irsternal Rate cf Return 4318
M-quisition $7174953 Trice of il $200 bbl (yr 1)Transportat ir $ Ci1 scalat 20year Disc PV of PV of BICCostructic-n so
nate Derefits Costs f1] Ratio interconnection $0 Enrgy Savrs 11395 bbiyear
- -FUEUSEQ tYear 0 702250 $99FAG $E11Z704 717TOTPL (Cap) $717953 2$-74 483 $942 962 $4802515 609 4 $4723695 $905011 $3817674 521Construct Tirr 10 ronths $21-4pound397 $877493 $20E2904 450 8w $3 704 $855181 2 23 3910perztin and rcaMainterance Costs 10 $277630 $837483 $2 040 140 344
Operating Cost $13379 year 1I$2681 244 s830008 $1851237 323 12 $S2505816 iK23281 $162 535Operating_ Lifetime 21 years
304 13 $2348613 $817216 $1531397 287 14 $2207304 $311730 $139-574 2072Major Equipmert RepairReplacement 15 $2079899 $60E754 $1273145 258 1 $1924 $802229 $162462 245Replace Cost $300period 18 $176Z198 $794327 $370871 222Replace Period 20 years 20 $1593342 $787687 $811655 203
A-30
rcrc= ~ar rial Zralys- f- Erery lrivertfrentE -- E_=yt E
TQILE P-6
Fo Ca-se cfIELD TEST 4 - H-L4AN TEXTILPSIR
sunrini Esalation Rate cf 21
rILU3 WASTE H7AT Ey VD-- OIL 530B)
YEar aia
eratir Cost of Oil
cSst $1b Fuel Used ru
Ergry
Ecu I ZaVE f
ZnEr y Anru
COSt aS 7-06
rret 1 -iEzurtE 4
Cash 3
Flow (NV) 10
3 = 8
1 ra-rt
rn-rjt or $0 $0
4
2
14
15
16 17
is 12
20 21
73
$0 $7 so $0 $0$0 $0
C
$0
$0
S $ $0
so $0
$0 ($6300)
232-
23277w 37 63S
119 S387 $2879$13q73 $711$c
3273
1373 2733
S387-
S1237
2M79 $13r379
$12873 $13873
$13879 $3879
$35 S$ 60
3 284 $-247 S-is $3378 $3446$L515( $-c
$357
$73 0 $3805
$23
$-3958
S4022 $4118
$4201 $4265
$4370 $4458
00 0 0 0 0 0 0C
0
0 (
0
0
3 0
0
0 0
SO $0 SO $0 $l $0 $0 $0
S1 so $0
$0
$0
$0
$0 so
$0 $0
M51--S1333 $343 718 261- s337
33 2 33S $273062 3 $377453 233H $35012 336 3K1173I3 4f =c
$40Z S72
133S $41E750 136 $42525 1396 $43287
136 S442253 113 $451102
$4 2 1393 $4-C223 13^6 s4727-11396 $483289 i39g $498OE5 11396 $508016
hC S23873
$13873 S13873 T1387 $13 S72 $-
3 S 7 $23873 2 I12579 233q73
$17379
$12273 SI6373
513373 $13279
$13879 $7579
5
3332- ($$32236 (SS3386) ($$3335)12342333 ( H32t ( (1358887) 36 23 1813 (12- 1) (-- 20) (176337 ($3K-
-333743 27 264n4 27-3 $1Z756 1 5 35S133 $ 2-5 $47E533 $429034 S2-253 $3S3584 $32$TK-40 $65473 $559135 271133 $18 2 392 86423S777323 $378E34 $L5375Z $ E 66 103688 St458
- 44 3 $7 3 88 $230 S104765
3 202224 S57_- $1406472 S1247C37S402671 $DD141s $S773936$561796 $1376S11 1266 5r2 Q5SK235 S s 03
$41370P S2 79 $211E957 t 3653 $160275 $425379 13 27352 $227448 V3733 $437224 2 4$2 7t79390 $443246 125 32- $2564014 $285102 1J7317 $4-5449352 3 536 95 2284 $8294S311 $464336 $4070 026 $2322SE $2376786 12012911 $474410 $4304208 $2941307 $2462113 $2075603 $44176 $4534018 $305Z49 $2541279 $2130820 $500437 S47[2411 $3160864 $2615666 $2183698
$711653 $27993 0 $0 E29819 $8529900 $991546 $7538354
A-31
TLE TABLE A-16 (Contd)
- -1T E l-ate)
Znor~i ari -iraria2 alysis for Energy ireVstrents - Egypt EA1
LEitET Csts Eerefit Pararveters Interra Rate of eturr f255
Acouisition $752 ranspecrtaticr $$ Construction $0
rtercorrectior so
Price cf 04 0i Escaiat
Enrgy Savrs
$3 b (y-0yaar
1335 5byear
1) Dis- Rate
-
2V cf Benefits
PVof Costs NPV
BC Ratio
----------T2T_ CapL
--- Fuel Use 0 byear 852230C s432 $
$55 342 H5
77538254 $$f95$ 6A2- 6
860
--rstrct Tire 10 rths 4 $56642 6$473r-67
$90E 011 $877 49
$47E2411 $335- 184
62 E40
Operating and Nomra Maitenance Costs 8$4016044
10 $3452155 $8KZ 31 $827483
13 856amp4 $269666
470 412
Operating Cost Dperating Lifetime
$3872 21
year years
1 3217493 12n $00E930 13 $2218335
$33000c $823281 $817216
f2 387 486 $2183693 $2001 1
383 365 345
Major Equipment Repirez acement 4$2648765
15 $2A4S5619 $811730 $802754
1637035 $1689125
o 309
Replace Cost Replace Period
($5300)period 20 years
-$2327629 18 $2118238 20 $1919210
$822 $794327 $787687
$55 400 $1213911 $131524
-94 267 244
A-32
Eccic and iranza Pr-i- frEre irvEter -- Eypt EEq 10135-
TRPLE A-17
FcrCse TZST 44 - HELWN T-EE-2- WA7ST EW PRfL KMIY rOIL $351BL) Ass-ir- 02lEaldegio Rate cf 20
Saved Ya- cfCEita7 Ocratin Ccst of Di Fuel Used Fuel E rerry SavEd rd Caa--FioA Liscoured Cash Flow (MTN)Year -St cst SBbI (2b2) Cost Equiv i
rerV C-rrert $ 4 8 10 12
ransport P
I rt-rzcre ic $
ctal t777 SH$00 0 so
1833 5$477 $72255 ($$732 SE279 ) ($S5790) ($653790) ($53790)7-27 $-7 0Z27$0$ 3 $ 94) n- 3
0$0 r- 17365 $414974 $13673 SA 01 S354 $348 92-12 c30$ 12F7c S3714 $0 37 $42ST27 $13 $401-74793 B1 SZ384C $ $342M12 $302215$ $3789 11336 $437 379 S417 $7 $1873 $864 E $E 7 $7 -7730 $0 11336 1440374 $13873 $4 4K3 $G576 1$7330 $SK2736 $M57770 s0 13 44 $187 0 S
$43 E302 $1510 601 S1 E44 $1133453C 1 S7372 $4020 S103 Z- 7 84 S13 50 283 $13442 $1237257S 7S E $411 13 $473 1 873 $4344 $2173553 $1754865 $157379 $420428 I 13879 4183 0 $0 136 $47L575 $337 $4L73Sbull ~$ $--37 -n S2504 707 S9379 $ 7742-0 $ 873177 $42EE 13 $-71 11133S 1299 IO4 2 37$4 23 273 -2-3 $2823796 $225158 $9523 $733394S7 $352 0 so 11326 54H $ 3 4 $3332 $241302 1212330 t8773732 $ 73 $4433 0 $0 11336 55585 712579 $47 $34 $2607271 $2 282067 $200425014 1 $11279 $4522 0 $0
12 11335 S515963 $1 273 1522 089 $74=754 $273 888 2427504 $2 113 3155 $0 7873 $4amp81- S $28973 S4711
0 $ $ 227 1 79 1511405 44rN657 $296E343 $2 43a $22241640 so 3965 $53z 11E7 t=1937 $-6 113 13 $4232024 2687624 $2319702$534 $31311417 $ 1272 $48 0 $0 11336 $747542 1367 $ 33470 1 535 $328E967 $283766 $24057562 V $1187 $430 0 $0 11336 $55-50 $13873 $544621 $453 543 $3434161 $2311516 $24K07719 $0 $12879 $499 0 $0 11336 $569670 $13873 $555791 $5170903 353248 $3011480 $255835120 10 $13279 $509 0 $0 11396 $591064 $13879 $567185 $5440113 $3704671 $3104220 $26L420521 ($6300) $12879 $5201 0 $0 11336 $532685 $7579 $525106 $5707148 $3830205 $3191192 $2684852
$711653 $279833 0 $0 229819 $9951551 $991546 $80004
A-33
TABLE A-17 (Contd)
Econorni a 7inarcia ay-- fc Ener~y investmerts -- Egypt ZE r986
Ca~it~a cstz Perefit Parameters Irnterrna Rate of Return 6217
Pcquisiticn 7i Transpc-tation $ Constr-ct ior $0
inter-conrection $0
TOTQL (Cap) $717953
--iceof 21 OillEscalat
Enr y Savgs Fuel Use
135K bb (yr 1) 2Ovear
113- bblyear 0 Ltlyear
DI sc PV of Rate Eer eFits
0$9IK551 2$043677
PV of CoS1 ots
$91545 $942908
PaPV
$3960004 $7100709
3C Rat i o
1004 853
Corstruc Time 10 mcrths
Operatirq an Normal Maintenare Costs
OPeratir Cost $13879 year Operating Lifetime 21 years
Major Equipmernt RepairReplacemernt
Replace Cost ($6300)period Replace Period 20 years
A-34
4 $6 613 1-S$ 24 95
8$4amp3825 $$4) 21
11 $3753742 2 $3506143 13$328058 14 $ C9026 15 $23159 16 $27550567 18 $2471278
20 $2239079
$906011 $877 493
$55S 131 $83748-$330008 $823 2 $817216 $S1730 $806754 $802 22n $794327
$787687
$5707 148 $4647 463
$3830205 $3191192 $2927735 $2684862 $2470842
$2278496 $10510-$1943339 $1676951
$1451392
730 630
548 481 452 426 402
381 361 343 311
284
Erno a - raial Ayaavs- fc EErcy IvestLErts -- E 5y 1NObr
TABLE A-B
For Case zf7- D EST 4 - PEWA TEXTLES2R olUS STE H- PE-5- G4-88 ZL Pssur 2i Esalaticr Rats cf 2(
Year
Laital
Cost
Oeratir
Ist
Cost Of Cil
$1IL5
Fue Use
(BL
FE
zc-st
Save Energy
Z4iv
V_-shy_ Saved
Energy
a1
Ccst
F1c
urre-t S
Dafiscourted Cash Flow (NPV) plusmn 4 8 -0 1
1 Trarspzrt $0
4
37--
0
$0
1
$16 $13279
$1387c
$40
$400 $4162
S4245
0
0
0
0
V
s0
$0
1239
11396 11396
336
$75973 $464957 $474255
- 6 $483741
$72026S
113379
137S 7 9 $13879
3644233)
S451078
$477U C 7 $463852
(S64433) (210fG4
14r1$2 5 o0n $-32786
(2644A) (12Z
$1 52 0 7 1
$541cent52
31544293)
(234=-) $ 4
$493269
(364423M)
S24 545) $24$ 5
$452903
A
7 8
-
10
12
13 14 15
16 17
18 19
20
21
$0 t0
0 $0 V $0
So
I$0 $0
$0 $0 $0
$0 $0
$0 $0
$0
($5300)
13273 T2879
$9 S237 $2873 $3873 $13873
$13879 $13879
$13873 $13873 42879
13673 $13879
$13879
$13879
$13879
$13879
14330 $4416
$4505 $4595 $4535 $4687 $4780
$4876 $4973
$5073 $5174 $5278
$5333 $5491
$5601
$5713
$5827
$5344
0
Q5 0 0 0 0
0 0
( 0 0
c 0
0
0
0 0
so so
o
so $0 $0
so $0
S $0 $O
$0 10
$0
$0
s0
$0
236 3133
1136 E I39 11396 11396 35
1396 11396
113 11336 11336
336
1396
11336
113
1135
11336
5$493416 $503264
35) 1 G 1
S531 1534083 $544771
$5665 S566780
1
$523 678 $60471
$612501 $525771
$G39286 55 Q52
$664073
S677 K4
$13873 S473537 $13873 $4834C-E
$13873 $49747 $3979 f50g 7-shy2
$1379 $52CI210 113873 $538321 227$5 -89 S3879 $541787
$79 K $-7579 $54236 $13273 577K $3873 S27532 113973 $53622 t3879 $11892 $3379 S624407
$13879 $337173
$3879 $650194 $757 $669775
$1042696 114443E
$18336301 $222704-
$2607162 1233016093 1
13346172 $7C- 32
$4 05746 $440256 $4742875
$-075824 $51402515
$5723072
$503759
$34c208 $6651884
$935- $825 M $764658$12M617 $10681 S10425
$-43 $1412669 1407 $123372E$715$=2 9
f39- $21843 11916875 $1735031 23 42 $1 $375$ 3427 $214202S t 53G $2636380 03 $9 $2 27 503 12544695 S2200320 $3037575 $2721482 $2405748 $3-3032352- 28970 12537706 S350348 $3045001 $2673393
$3698373 $2 183546 t757485 $3876979 $3 3711 $2867300
14045737 $3446247 12953242 $4205189 $356C8 3041099
$435846 $3657160 $311659 $4493545 $376678 $3186025
$711653 $279893 0 $0 12-93813 $11373201 $991546 $10381654
A-35
TABLE A-18 (Contd)- o-SOS TflBLE BEN T-2T TPBLE 7alculated)
zccc- an FiariJ Analysis for Energy Investments - Egypt EEA
Capita Colts BerEfit Parameters nterna lRate of Returr 7207
Acquisiticon 171753 Price of Oi $4000 lbL (yr 1) Transportation $0 Dil Escalat 20vear Disz FV of PV of BC
Construction $0 Rate Benefits Costs TV Ratio Iterconnection $0 Errgy Savrigs M-35 bblyear
-- -- ------- Fuel Use 0 bblyear $W373o $99546 $10381654 1147 TCTAL Cap) S717S53 2$1 773 $942968 SB2 49 - 5 975
4$7557396 $906011 $6E5884 834 Zonstruct Time 10 months 6 $-314236 $877493 15436743 72n
51354726 S855 18 1 $4 42S 545 G20Operating and Norcal ainterarce Costs 0$4604207 $S37489 $3766718 550
1$4289991 $3000 $345983 517 OeI-ating Cost $13879 year 48712 $4003306 $123281 $318G025
Operatin Lifetice 21 years r3 $177781 $817216 $2940565 460
14 $53637 $8730 $2719957 435 Vajcr Equiprrent RepairReplacement A $3327839 $80S754 $2521084 412
16 Z3 143506E $80212209 $2341277 392Replace Cost ($6300)period 18 $2824317 $794327 $2029990 356
Replace Period 20 years 200 $2558947 $787687 $1771260 325
A-36
E~zcrorci an4 ariaqrysr for EnEy Ivestrets -- -Gyrt = 3P
F c r C a s e o f F - r T 3 3 4 - j r 7 o i o s X_--
E 4 OR $251 FT -RC= $159P
ss=insectCA Escalation Rate cf 20
Save a - shyCaita eratirn Cost cf 01 Fue Used Fuel Ener) SavE AnnaI ash Floi Discounted Cash Flow () 9 iyE- cost Cost $Bb (2b1 Cost Epoundalv Energy Cost Current $ 4 8 10 12
l cuisiis 52452
Trans $2 Corstru_ o
ta 4 $-52 S $0 S2832 3$-22955 s28Sz3 ($128968) ($28928) (128)tc 52 C 10 34-2 $-324 S Z 24 ($125877 M$25991) (T2045) (S260981$ 0 $-55 0 s 34s S5431 $2110 s ($22707 ($123144) (3123301) (23450)$0 $ $2 0 $0 342 $f540 $2110s 40 11 S758) (242) 20704 S2 009S0 $T2-4 0 $0 34 $2110 25a0 (1273) (S17820 (32 3S759)S$0 2 $1G56 C $0 348 $763 $ 3 (1 1 3 7A s2 $13 0 f0 34 $E873 $2110 $379 (I0750 $12S ( S1 $14777)VC 2 $172- 0 $0 348 $-39 s 2 C2 $38ES (107797) h$1 (51)$130950 52110 $1757 C $0 342 $11 S2110 S400r ($104870) (t103526) (111004 ) (211401)$ c 120 $1793 C $0 348 $S28 522O S4123 31S9) (S10461 (S OS M) (1092) s210 I 512_ 348 $363 S2110 $42-5 (S39096) ($104491) ( S037($103 543)$0 S220 $sE5 0 ti shy32 t54 211 $435-0 (M251)
-- (S10261 ($22 ($07284)$0 $220 $1902 0 $1 343 $r2) 2110 $4510 (S93434) ($100821) 31$03G84) ($10512)14 $o S2110 $1940 0 $0 34 573 $2110 54243 ($50645) (S92114) (5)02340) (15062)5$0 52110 $1979bull 0 $0 343 S5683 I2110 $4778 (37am) ($9742q) ($10102) (S104085)6 $0 $2110 $201 0 so 342 S7C7 $21 $421517 50 ($5155) ($95 938) (ST2 90 ($103 1861$2110 0 )2059 348 $71 2 $$2o $ ms $22458) ($94462) ($S-30O ($102)o11 $ $2110 $210o 0 $0 34S
19 $7303 $2110 $-19- ($73789) ($92057) ($377T6 (01605$0 $2110 $2142 0 $0 348 $745M $2110 -5345 ($77150) ($91720) ($3814) ($100909)20 $0 $2110 S2185 0 $0
21 ($5438) $2110 $--29 0 348 $7605 $2 Ili $5495 ($74542) ($90446) (9916) ($100271)
$0 348 $7757 ($3328) $11085 ($69483) ($88068) ($9426a) (99 I2)
$124048 $42552 0 $0 7018 $130239 $166600 (36361)
A-37
ABSUPTIOS TABLE TABLE TABLE A-19 (Contd) IT--CCOTS TAL --C ed
and Fina-E P7aiysiz fc- Energy IrvestzErts -- ypt EE
aPita Ccsts Benrefit Parateters
Pquisitio 2948S Price cf Oil $1500 lbi (yr 1)Transortatior $0 Oil Escalat 20year
onstructio $0
rterconrectior $0 Enrgy Savns 348 b5year Fuel Use 0 thi
TOTAL (Cap) $123466
Construct Tirfe 10 months
Ozerating amNormal Mairterance Costs
Operatin Cost $2 110 year Oerating Lifetime 21 years
Major Equipment RepairReplaceuert
Replace Cost ($5438)Period Replace Period 2 years
Internal Rate of Return
Disc PV of PFJof Rate Benefits Costs
-=_
0 U -1c233 s 6660 2 $105270 $160683
4 $83543 $15031 6 $72307 $E2344
8 $61319 $149387 le S5272 914S33-
11 $49126 $14E566 12 $4912 $145034 3 $4 032 $144180
14 4144-- $143417 15 $38108 $142713
16 $35 9 7 $142068 18 $32342 $140933 2 $29303 $139971
-2 63
NIN
$32 ($55410)
($6943($8 037)
($80 8) ($343_68)
($C-33323(99 22)
($101156)
($102974) ($104604)
($106071) ($102591)
($110667)
Ratio
073
066
055 047
041 C36
034 03
30
28 027
0 25 023
021
A-38
For Case - -EL 7 7 14 - HELPN EXTLiIPH 0LECTOR PRV =552FT - PRIEC OL S2L Pssurin Oi Zscalaticr Rate cf 2C
SavEd a- c Cost of CII FUE1 Useer CUE Energy Eavn Arnual Ca ow sSZOLnte- Cash Flow ( NV) iYear Ct Ct Ipbl (P2-) Cost Ecsiv Ererry ZOst Currert $ 4 3 0 2 is-t i c r
_ _____ _
Traszr $C - LCrErZt cr 30
i tercorrezcr SO 21 53 $1 $1223 ($23378 $123pound73 ($23673) ($22673) ($123578)$ 72c Q0$24c $0 348 S7033 $2h1c i4S83 $2680 2124053) (12442) (1243)$21~ 0 0so 34a 17241 $2C $5121 3 (E -59)($112301) ($12012)4so So c V- Z $-co 348 7 $2110 $5275 -44- (1115471 ($15371 (lII3- $21 $25 ) $9 348 $7534 1I2110 5424 1038O) (111484) ($I-33 1I2930$0 $211 $2205 c $0 345 768 $2110 $-E574 ($105228) (7076G0) (105772) (037S7)
$0 2110 $-52 c $) 48 728 n04 SC Sshy$ $-bO $5723 C l00701 ($10408 SO55r ($ICS585)o $U S2110 P-3a7S0 $13 0 $0 348 Si110 $-525$2343 0 343 3430341 $2 (Si L- f E471 1$0$ 8) ($C4 203$) $_ -- $21 t$3050l 31($812) (S97231) (53673) ($10762
t t110 t c 3 2 M745)$0 203 ($94275) ($97066) (M23)S1 52110 $2438 Q $0 349 124B4 $2 $E374 (9g1 f$948 3)($2 144) 3233 ($07471)$110 $Z487 C $0 348 $2354 $2110 $r544 ($75894) ($88516) ($ 3 1 ($=120)$0 $2110 $25313 0 t0 342 $2227 T2110
1 $E717 ($74632) ( 849) ($901174) ($33855
$0 $20 $2557tbull I 0 034 $3 0034$34 S211 7) ($33314)S263 M$8178) (S32 2u)15 $0~ ($to50 $2110 $2333 0 $0 343 $3184 $210$7074 $ 473 ($2090S) ($83 315) ($3032)$0 $211 ( $2332 0 $01L 348 $ S237 $2110 $727 ($32444) ($73618) $34578) $83512)7 $0 72 10 $2746 0 $0 343 S555 $2110 S744E 3$5340 ($7S445) (323-7 (333293)1 $0 5210 $280 0 $0 348 $2745 $2110 $7636 ($54542) I 43W ($21447) (2B7156)$0o $2110 $225L 0 $0 349 $3341 $2110 S7831 ($50684) ($72422) ($80038) ($35163)2C $0 $2110 $2914 0 $0 348 $1023 $2110 $3029 ($46872) ($7WC561 (75726) ($85235)21 ($5439) $2110 $272 0 $0 346 $10342 ($3328) $13670 ($40634) ($676S2) ($76694) ($83818)
$124043 $42552 0 $0 7018 $17362 $163 00 $7052 A-39
TABLE A-20 (Contd) P-SJ 2DTPKE rZFT7-CGS72 TLAK (acutated)
Hom and Firaa ralvsis fcr Erergy Investments - Egypt EEAn 5S
Za-ital Costs Benefit Paraeters lnterrna Rate cf Return 046
Acquisition $129485 Price of Oil $22O0 1bb (yr 1)Transoortation $0 Di Escala 2Oyear Disc PV f PV of BCConstructior Rate Beniefits Costs Ratio Interconrnection $0 Errgy Savngs 348 bblyear - --- =_
Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 $173252 $16E600 $705 104 (Cao)bull0TL1a8 $14 360 $10c ($ 320) 087
4 $115398 $155031 ($40634) 074Corstruct Time 0 -rnths A $36409 $152 34 ($55935) 063 8 $8A759 $14937 ($7623) 0Operatin and Normal Maintenanrce Costs CIA $70299 $14S933 ($76694) 048
11 $55502 $145 966 ($0464) 045Operating Cost $210 year 12 $51216 $145034 ($33818) 042Operating Lifetime 2years 13 $57376 $144188 ($85812) 040 14 $53924 $143417 ($89493 038Kajor Equipmert RepairReplacement $C811 142713 ($91901) 36 IS $47997 $142068 ($94071) 034Salvage Value ($5438)period 18 $432- $140933 ($97810) 031
Replace Period 20 years 201 $39071 $139971 ($100899) 028
A-40
- End - Ar y= fcr ZErcy~gt Ef-tS - ~ Aq
TiE fl-2[
-or -ase
Assamin
c
Ui
Tf-L0EST 4 -
E-alation Rate f
TECTh- 211
20 25BFJ
Yec-
-_ ztr
fs
nrt-r--et
YEzEta u-rir z os
___=== shy = i2 ~~
z-_ 233
r $
of deg $i2
- Lse (Ebi)
ICoRue
Cost
Saved Ersery
Ecuiv
Va -cf Saved
Erery
5 S
n-a
-shyt
zas CIO
Curt S
t
Discounted Cash
4
Ficii 0 V)
0C
1 =
4
2
14 1 17 17
12 19 20 21
5-
s$
s 12
ampc
SO SC
$3 5 $0
(5 438)
2II0 2 110
S$210$o
12102IC
2110 SC$
U0 52 10
O QI0I $2110 521110 $2I07343
$2110 $2110 $2110 $2110
--23OI 1
Q27^S7SC
7
f_522 $2 3
S2147 $2SQ 53171
34 23 EE
13 534Vo$344)
$35o $3571 53342 53715
Ct
-1C
o
0 C
0
0 0
0 0
C 0
0
$0$034-=
s5
$50
s3$s4
$ $0
5$
so $0
$ $0
$O $0 s0 S0
348
343Z4
348
34E 342
342 342
34S 342 3474E 348 348
345 348 348 348
13574$ = $
$3
$3417sampo
$ 7E3
1 3-$337
euroscs $1 37
s3 $254 $1S t9 03
$121 1 S1242 $12674 $12 928
V2 31 -shy
11C
2110s519
2 12-0
1S 11 145
$2C
$2110
t2 110 $210
S2 110 $2110 $2110 ($3328)
33 2-72 ZZS ($13333 335B3 122S7 4 ($ E 22 25) ($13-2 3 (t12243)4 ($t1 ($pound 7) I$1692 $t5 S5 -
1 4 $7123 3$M234 ft 91 11745)--- $175)
$7307 31028 S C5148) ($106(1 7SC $5- t7495 ($737 (IiCc047 cs (-02843
783 ($cZ203) ($37185 (32353shy$7854 (1S4 6 1 533 (133122 (523371 $8133 ($7E754) (SS3 5) M335)) (ic21-h)
$S27 (7222) (32C900 ($2525 ($83134) $495 ($87 23 78 ) 382 5Wc ($5399)12 717 ($5 ($44-0 (7350I (583995)$3924 9 53 ($70 8771 (S7664) ($81605)V1144 (S$2471 ($67514) ($74016) (579509)
($45C (64324) ((715434) (S772) $33 5337301 ($5292) (5 2501 ($7 838)$7533 ($58428) ($8711C) ($74234) 0 )72 29303 ($5706) (S5 11a ($72767)1$0316 (24217) ($53124) (S5322) ($71425) $10564 (S19203) ($50676) ($6155) ($70199) $16256 ($11754) ($47129) ($59119) ($685141
$124043$42552 0 $0 7018 $217065 166500 50465
A-41
ELSTU0 TABLE TABLE A-21 (Contd)
PLE(-
Zcoo r Firatia iavsis fc- Energy Irvesterts shy Eypt EE1
C itz Zosts enefit Paraveters Irterraz Rate cf REturr 304
zao-isitior S12948E Traszrtzti $0
l rtier to Interzorrectio $0
Price of Oil 0 Escalat
Errgy Savnrgs
$250C bb (yr 20vear
342 bIyear
Disc Rate -
WV of Ienef-
W cf Fcsts N
BC Ratio
- --
TJT -------shy
1 486 FuEl Use 0 bblvear ^
-a-27 H-S$17 450
$SG0 s16K 580
$E 4S $14770
30
109
Construct Tive 10 crths 4^ 6
$144247 $2051
$I-o0 2344
$17S4) (4P 832)
02 073
Coeratirsect and Normal Mairtenance Costs
Operatir Cost $2110 year 0oeratin~ Lifetinie 21 years
8 0 1
2
$102198 $27874 3-877
$7E520 $$7720
$14937 $14S33 $145S3
$145034 V44122
$47123) ($ 119) ($64039)
($68514) $72458)
068 060 056 053 050
Mamr Equipmet ReoairReplacemert 14 1
$97405 $143417 1427
($76012) (179199)
047 045
REplace Cost Replace Period
($5438)period 20 years
6 18 20
$59996 $53304 $43839
$142068 $140 233 $139971
($82072) ($87030) ($91131)
042 C38 035
A-42
TRSLE 1-22
F- cf-- s 14- HELN Esumlr Oi Esampaton Rat2 cf
(TC2LEHr Trorp-
20 -P z-3 z-
1iazip Ycst
Ls-cr 113 -
0eratir Cost
Cott of oil W
Fte e c
-e el Ct
Savec Energy Ev
Va1-_ of -avef
ErErcy pnua
st a=n 7c DirountEj Ca_
E-rre-t $ 40 8 Flo (NPN) i
10 =
12
4 f
7
10
N-I-
1-
15
$ 7
is
19
I 21
C rutc
0t13oo
V 12 116 30E 11 $321
so No 13LR $- 110 z347 $ t-1 $33 2
S 8029 $3278 2li $344E
S0 f2I0 1315 - - 1 35
S1 r t2110 1373C-
S S212 $3 15 2 1 S281
$S)S2 5I3908 $ S4(38
so QAc2h18 41 SO $s2 $420 50 $2 11 $4 so $110 $4370
$5433) $2110 $4455
$124048 $42552
0
c 0
0
0
0
0
0 C 0 c
0 0
0 0
0 0
0
S
10 345 so 34
so 248 to 345
C 34S
so 3 $ 348 $0 348 $0 348o
$0 348 0 348
$ 345 so 3$6
so 348
$0 348 s A3 $0 348
SO 348
$0 348 $0 348
$0 7018
Q74C 12-
s649 - 1 s B3 110
in1 73 p311 S30 $2110 1127 f110
$11757 2110 $13 I-sI S2322_2ltU1510
2477 130
S 72H 11 S s- $1 2 1-110 s17o- s2
t3770 5-10 $14051 $2110 S302 S2 S14613 $21(
$1491 $ 1 $15203 $3110 $15513 ($332
$260478 $-SF600
A-43
53 ($85557 27Z- )S17
V5S59 10 1 3131 ($9-
12417 e -^-
$-E47 ( S) sI S t730)2
5 L22
1c357 4SW III
S1STs ($241)$1037 s173) 1 30 127 27)
Sc1L33 331 3X4
1 L 5 -267)
$is 7o7) 510L 3 ^41)
2 S2 8 U249
$3S10-2 $346S $18841 170-5
1$93 78
($(225 ($128038)
12 5 52 33- 1 12683 (1M 3102)
1105 EEG) 3$1 364 $3--3) $C 10-
($92 (534$ 3 (1S3225) (33734) ($o5s (s82733
$7 030) (79 0 11) 33 7041(IN
(647) $70511)($50334 (670 (1904) ($53154)
5( 714 (E 8 54) ($47743) 3567S2 $437) ($S33 3540411) fS5123
t070(37030) (4E7331
($33 827) - (S45E
($30 7K) ($44344) (26749) $41544)
($1202a
(31204741 (51347T
IS(117 C272 1( -_- ($SC) I ($627)
(132453) ($7 745)
( 2S ($712
(5344) $SE73S)
My AS)
($2 14) (5601171)
(556T
($5-5-E54)
($55162) (53210)
TABLE A-22 (Contd)
Ezrzic and Fir-a Analv=is Er=-ry Invest-eants - Egypt EEfl oI 1
Catal Costs Benefit Para-eters l-tera ate of Return 532
Pccuisitio $12943s Price c Cii Transportation $ Oi Escalat
Construct iorn $0 Interconnection $0 Enry Savrs
--- - --- el Use TOTAL LCap) $129485)
Construct Time 10 r-=nths
Operatin and Ncrmal nartErane Costs
Operatin g Cost $210 year Ooerating Lifetire 21 years
Major Equipment RevairReplacemert
Replace Cost ($5438)period Replace Period 20 years
$300 bb (yr 1) 2 Cvear
34E bblyear 0 tblyear
Dic PV cf Rate Eerefits
=-- shy == 0 -260478
2 $210541
4 $172037 6 $144614
8 122 S38 10 $105449 11 $93 253
i2 $91824 13 $86064
14 S00885 15 $76217
16 S71995 18 $64685 20 $58607
PV cfof Costs
$166600
$160680 $15H 02 SE2344
$149337 $146993 $145966
$145034 $144188
$143417 $142713
$142068 $140933 $139971
wgV
$93878
$49860 $17065 ($7730)
(326749) ($41544) (347713) ($53 tn0) ($S3 124)
($62531) ($6649G) ($70073) ($76249) ($81364)
Ratio _
15S 13 1 095 82
C72 067 063 060
C56 053
051 04G 042
A-44
Ecnio af rarcia Ay5s fr Enerzy rvestr-et=- E__y EE- t
TABLE A-23
D 7E4--r Case ofF- - H8LW TEXT-PP C LcTORvR- - p n-OIL 35 _) 9ssu=- Oil Escalation Rate cf 20
spvedCa4t Csratr Zost cf Oi Fuel Used Fel Erergy Vi~
3aved Arral Ca-s 7 2iscurnt (-ir- Flo (NTV) 8 iYear Ec SBbX (Ebi) Cost Eniv Enercy ost Crr $ 4 10 12
1 Trarsort $ bull Ccrstr_-ticy $
1 Ir -e2or tic - $0r
Ttal T4- $352 $300 0 $0 58 $2030 f223 2780) 3$227($1802) (S27803) ($37308)Ss s210 12570 0 so 348 S2424 12 10 10314 $7S3 ($(S2 ) (1342 o 59)
3$ 123 $3541 0 $0 348 $12672 2 11 105S2 022T) (103O023) ($103703 ($10179)4 2 $2 0 $3714 c SO 349 2 $2110 8 ($18 -1 7 ( 0 7 (0 410
S3783 0 to$2110 348 $13 184 $2110 111074 ($53044) (332477) ($34013 ($3-7443)E 10 1-110 S3364 0 $i 345 S3448 $2s SI335 $73716 (1847z (8900)T $21 $342 0 $0 348 $13717 1I10 11607 (571 553) _77447 C$S04-2 ($-3 123)
0 -1( 241 ( 77 ($74 ($77155)so 348 4 $s $7 s$o2110 348 11427$311I0~Snl $8 C $0 $2110 Ll 1Z3) 12944) 1S5 372844)
1 82 20 $L (SIL0 348 S14556 t2 $1244 ($43394) ($57718 (5S33731 ( 1 211r 5428-4 0 $0 343 $4847 S21110 $1277 2 s($7 3) 364254) S $0o 348 1511413 1 $4439 $S I o 13031 - ($ 2 ) ($46228) ( 853834)($0 507)110 f- $0 348 1 447 12 110 $13337 ($18432) ($4C32) ($43644) ($57084)14 $0 $2110 $4528 0 50 348 $E75E t 112 S4 (S102 (394) (4582 (2 9S75 1$10 W4 S 343 16 07 $2110 $139s] ($2234) ($31IG) ($4201f5 ($L I100
16 211SC $24 $4711 0 S 348 $18322 $211 1 14_ 15 7 (S2S 531 ($38-96] ($A 4917 S $2110 $4805 0 $0 348 5721 12 I10 14611 $13437 (22394) (35416) 34S107)18 $C $2110 $4301 0 $0 243 $1-5 $2110 $i345 $21170 (18354) ($32460) ($930)19 $ $20 $4993 $0 343 $17336 52110 $15286 $28715 ($14 529) ($209710) ($4943)20 $0 $2110 $5099 0 $0 348 T17744 $2110 $15634 $36136 ($10 207) ($27 154 ($40 127)21I($5438) $2110 $5201 0 $0 348 $18099 ($3328) $1427 $45915 ($30) ($23969) ($3790)
$124048 $4255 0 $0 7018 303891 $166 amp0 137291
A-45
TABLE A-23 (Contd) PSELTIONS TWPLE H-77-C3T-3 TA-2L Eated)
Econooi and Firnani aIvs4s fe- Ener y Ivestcents - Eypt EE 03i32
Capital Csts Berefit Paraeter- Itera Rate c RetLr- 739
Aqisiti-503S S4ES Pice c ii bb (yr 1)TrasScrtation $0 01 ESalat W0year DiEc PV of P of BC
Corstructior $0 Rate Beneits Costs WPV Ratio rterconrection $0 Enray Savwgs 343 bblyear -
Fuel Use 0 blyear 02E1 S 600 II7721 82TOTAL Cap) $1Z48C Z $1683 $54 350 53
4 $20194S I5E3 $45715 i2CcrstrUct Time 10 mrths E1 716 $152344 $16372 11
8 $143078 $14337 ($S309) 096Operatirpound and Norma Ma~ntenarce Costs 10 $123024 $14E933 (23969) 084
11 $114628 $145956 ($31 33 079Oerating Cost $2 110 year 2 $107128 $145034 ($37906) 074Operating Lifetime 2 years 13 $101408 $144182 (343780) 070
14 $34I26 $143417 (U9050) 066Major Ecuipment RecairReplacemernt $S30 $142_713 ($53793) 062
1S 0584 ($53074) 059$1420O8Salvage Value ($5438)period 18 $75465 $14C 33 ($55468) 054Replace Period 20 years 20 $68375 $139571 ($715) 049
A-46
Ecor-r~c a Fi-ra- aivss VeSt=rts EE2fC- -ErV - E --t
TAFLE A-24
Case cf77-Lf TES 4 - HEWA XTILE1P (M CT P $2zS - PRE-F OIL 640EBLh ssuming Oil Escalation Rate f 20
saved VaiLe Ofonita Doeratir Lcst of Oil Fue Used Fuel Erery -d pYert Ca_ 10 Discourtd Cash Flow (PI 0- i =Cost $1Ebl (2l) Cost Eerv Ztt Crrert 1 4 6L 10 12
I Transmrt onstrLZt ior 4
tr-cnnEc icn $ Tcta f2945 132 $4000j 0 $0$40 SO 58 2 S 33z Is1 5 ) 327515$0=8 34S7 $15 $2- 2 (12728
31 $4060 1 r 0 342 $2C 3 8 1034)IS ($152V (1528) f(E72)14 0 348 49 S20 S-372 SI04-1 (5) 517 (110303) (-058514$ 2 I W A S t o4 3 4 8 $ 4 7 shy 3 12 2 ( S 9 ( SH G ES ) ($7 9 0) ( UT 7 8 4 5 3 $ 2 1432bull 34a S 057 $241 C3 (
$0 ($36142) (M6742) (3614)$0 $2 110 $446 0 $0 348 $159 $22 $17m ($7122) ($77119) 372707) U82191)7$ 4 $0 348 S5751_5 21101if) E5 5)503) $55569) ($72049) ($75218)0$ 4c5sg5 $0 348 $5930 510 $13 0 496) ($E 470) ($54327) ($62033)S so 12 4687 $0 348 $309 21Sc 14 92 (139580) 5079 (15833) 563204)10 $C Uio $4760 0
$0 348 $Ipoundpound36 5 240 -25- (129375) (4E53) (- 42 (37966)$0 12112 1487pound 0 $0 348 $11953 $20
2 S12353 SI9337 (533650) 34S414) ( 5318)0 $2110 $4373 0 s0 348 $1730L 2 1c3 5 Q 15 ($9465) (1 2132) ($41027) (34313)S0 12110 $ 0 $0 348 V14i
$21 $244 3-5905) (35134 344823)$0 $2110 $574 0 $0 34E $112007 $Z19 $5597 $3791 (1114) ($-530 ($41180)o $2110 $275 1 $0 342 $18357 $21 $-257 S19 7916 3$14579) 32724T) ($3754)$2110 $$5393 0 c$0 349 $12734 17
$2110 $Ic24 $28410 MKS) (Q-3269 (34816)$ $2110 $s191 0 6
s0 348 1$3 0o $2110 S162 $37486 (4376) (195E) ($32043)$S 5210 $sa01 0 s0 348 $19431 1211 17331 $43409 $321 ($161301 (12951)11 $0 $-I0 $5713 0 $0 348 1181 $2i10 S7771 SES182 $4768 ($2934) (327 M0I20 $0 $2110 $5827 0 t0 348 $20279 $2110 $16169 $E3805 8378 ($9963) ($25031)21 ($5438) $2110 $5944 0 $0 348 $20 684 ($3328) $24012 $74764 $14 30 (36394) ($n-60L
$124048 $4252 0 $0 7018 $347304 $166600 $180704
A-47
g3EL-iD~- ASSIUPTIDXF LETABSE TABLE A-24 (Contd) - ---C-NCE TFamp mC utCalculated)
zczi a- Farcial alvs- for Erergy IwEstments - Egypt EEA 1 8
CaPital r~csts Perofit Para Eter- Irntr-na Rate of Peturr 932
Acouisition $ E4 Price of Cil TransroortaEtio $G 0i Escalat Construct $
rterrertior $0 Erry Savrs Fuel Use
TOTA Cao) $1_h486
Construct Time 10 eorxths
eratir_ and Norzal Ma-rtenance Costs
Oceratim Cost $2110 year Operati_ LifEtime 21 years
Major Ecaiment RevarReolacert
Replace Cost (5543e)period Replace Period 20 years
$4000 bb (r 1) 20year
348 bbyear 0 bblyear
DisC PV of Rate Perefits
- = 0 $347 304 2 $22720
4 t23C 73 E $19288
$13517 10 4C 9 -- - - $31004
12 12243-2 13 $114751
14 $107847 15 $101622
16 $KS993 18 S84 246 20 $78143
V of Costs
$16 6O $162560
5 63 $1E2344
$43337 $1429c3 $14 9-5
$14E034
$144188
$14347 $142713
$142068 1140933 113971
N71)
$180704 $120040
$74764 $407
$14 13 ($r334)
($14 952)
($22602) ($29437)
(S35570) ($410V30)
(45075) ($54687)
($61828)
BC Ratio
208 175
48 27
109 096 090
084
080
075 071
368 061 056
A-48
Ecra acia a fc Ernerv ivEs=-t -- Eyt E~q IC36
TfPLE A-25
cr Case of-- 7ST 4 - HL4 7EX-vTDUq -T R E $ZvCF 7 P- U 1shygssu-in_ Oi Es~alatior Rate of 20
Saved Value ofDaitalfleratir Cost of Dil -Fel Used Fuel ESrry 5avf Annual as( Fic Discourted Cash Flow (MKV) 8 iYear Cost $IBb (E1 Cost Ecriv -Ercy Cot Currert S 4 8 10 12
I 712 I Trersp $0
ITotal 0712 $311 $1500 0 $0 58 $370 $111022 1t01E2 52) 1103) $ n3)(1h10153) $8 $5302C $0 348 $5324 $186G 458 CLa28 (S10SI) ($07003 (107O5)2 $15In $ 0 $0 348 $543 $18s2 S25s5 0522) ($ 40$ 2 $-7834) ($1040E3 ( 7 ($104 )4 $I62 $12$0 bullS266 $1524M$0 0 $0 34842 $5540
3 $550 S1866-C81C $2674 ($1 ($0 ($37031) 3 $10 $3784 ($32 197)78) ($10$D(3S718) Is0 603(M32204)
6 CS56 0 $0 348 S762 $862 $3857 ($c3828) ($5544) ($22223) ($39992)$052 $I82 c $0 43 $872 $186E $4013 $33 67) ($3301) ($94033 $94353)S$0 $C866 1723 C $0 348 15922 $866 $4130 (U8751d) (390605) ($1914) ($3091)2 $3 $s $1757 so e 33
s 0 343 Stamp 1866 $4256 ($4413) ($82310) ($23921) (131374)$0 $17 22 51732 00 $ 3 2- 1$5 2 522 11866 $4372 3 1 S C 1 ($311 ($82122) ($737C7 ($83738)1 223E$ $ 22 so 348 $82 $866 $4407 ($78702) ($40391 ($25 3431 ($83 3n0)12 $0 $1826 13Ef 0 $0 348 $S490 S1866 $4624 ($7E 29) ($80-5) ($ 4722) ($87020)s0 $1 8 $11302 0 $0 348 $2620 $BE $4754 ($714 $0
323 ($80168) ($33207) ($85800)$1866 $1940 0 so 348 $s753 $182 $4837 ($23334) ($72371) $2722 ($84630)15 s0 $1852 $7 ) $0 348 $8B3 $BE6 $5022 ($22494) ($7L662) ($8146M] ($33653)16 $0 $166 $2019 C $0 348 $702 $1862 (152 ($75035)s $E30) ($73234) ($2 710)17 $1 pound186 $203 $0 348 $7126 $1826 $523y ($50O330) ($73488) ($73081) ($S8845)12 i$ $626 $2100 0 348 $7309 $1866 1544 ($58005) ($72017) (77 0041 ($81053)$0 S866 21421 0 $0 348 f7 455 $186620
$5589 ($ 246) ($70618) ($759M) ($30326)$0 $1866 $2185 u $0 348 $7605 $1866 $5733 (152523) ($63288) ($75060) ($73660)21 ($4650) $1856 $2229 0 $0 348 $7757 ($2784) $10541 ($47712) ($67027) ($73494) ($78567)
$106062 $37631 0 $0 7 018 $130233 $143693 ($13454)
A-49
----
TABLE A-25 (Contd) rzzPTI2CNS 7PBLE EE ~~~TnD Calculated)
-cocc and Fir4anci= Araisis fc ErErgy InvestEerts - Ecypt EEA raI
capital CStE Perefit Parayeters terna Rate of Return -108
czuisiion ie o 0 $I2X yr 1I Tra-spcrtatior $0 2 Zs~t 2 lyear Dis WVof PV of BCConstructior tate
Benefits Costs NIV Ratiointercorrectior $0 Enry Savrgs 343 bblyear =
Fuel Use 0 bblyear C $130239 $143E03 ($13454) 091trp) CTP $10Z S 270 $138405 ($3375 076 4 S 548 $134260 ($47712) 064ConAstruct Time 1S CnTh5 5 $72307 130 76 ($55669) C55 8 s6319 $122 34G ($67027) 048CoeratrE and -crma Maintenarce Costs 0 ($73494) 042
OperatingCost $18- year 1 $49126 $125306 ($761711 03912 $45912 124479 3735-7 037Operatirg Lifetime 21 years 13 $43032 $123728 $8169L) 035 14 $40443 $12 043 $82601) 033Major Equipment RepairReplacemert I$IIE $38108 4419 ($84310) 031$3810
16 $35997 $121847 ($58M) 030Replace Cost ($4650)period 18 $323A2 $120841 ($88499) 027Relace Period 20 years 20 $Q9303 $119988 ($90685) 024
A-50
and Finaie rr_ fir Energ- ivestrents -- Eyt E2 1IMV5
TAPLE P-26
For Case cfFlD TEST 14 - HELWAANXT1LEIP (PRECTO p ZE$221SFT - P UZCF GIL $2VBE Assuraing Gii Escalation Rate of 20
Saved Val e of oita eraplusmn ir Ccst of Cil uee Lsed Fuel Energy 5ave Irr ca Zas F1ow Disconted Cash Flc (NPIV)E iYear- Cos C-st Bo (E 1) Cost Ecuiv En=Ergy Cost ZLrrert $ 4 8 0 12n
ura-z t 7 bull~r ti- $
rterco-retIcr $ITcta $20 0 $O 3 $1160 $111023 15S ) C$1C3853) (5103353) ($I0335 ($103 53)22 5 $2140 C $0 348 $703 $655 233 ($10Q8311 ($105017 (W05106) ($105Igl)S$ $EEG $2081 0 50 7 $537Z ($$33E41 24 1 183 (1040 (1 663 ($ 35)$EE863 $2-22 0 so 342
0 $733G 18E s527 (P9454) ($03 (56- ( 7)- $QLES( 033 so 343 $7S=34 S 2U- $G 568 ($3110) ()161) ($2645) ($93374)$S E 202C0 $0
7 348 $76E934 $1365 $5818 (S527) ($3730) ($83CK) ($90073V0 $1 s 5 f2252 0 0 343 5738 I6
- V5972 (80 377) (1413) ($5E ) ($37 047)_336 $2297 C $0 34S $75 s - shys- ~ (-1MO M r2~ ~ $ g0~ - J - 322$ ($84275)to S186b $2343 0 s0 343 $a10$ = (300 S186 5$233 (71 355 (7164) ($752 ($1735)to 34S 21313 t566 Z54582) (73 (17S846) 3$73409)r T-357)
0 415-3 $1$238 0 $0 343 $13484 $H6 18S (1 31) ($70 871) ($7424) ($77278)--ES $2437 C s0 348 $2654 S1855 $$73 (t 73$
41) ($70 1 (7) ($75 326)$1B3s $2536 0 s0 14
348 S227 $1865 $S761 ($53594) ($E519S) (5S367 (S73539) 5
t 61656 $2587 c s0 342 $004 Si856 $7133 1$4307) ($62571) i53201 (S1904)51 $125 $2539 0 $0 348 $ 184 M866 $7318 f45081) ($50080) (65703) (570406)i5 $ 861855 $232 0 $0 S13 $7 $5 $751 (34916) ($57715) (63S07) $559036)17 tO 51833 52746 tO 343 $55 51S66 $7539 ($5311 ($55471) ($32234) ($67732)is - s866 $2800 0 $0 34 5 74S S 865 $7880 ($-2766 f534I) ($50675) (3634)13 s0 $18665 $2856 0 $0 348 $S994 $1866 $8075 (28 73) ($513M) (M-3223 ($5 584)20 t0 $ass $n 14 0 so 348 $10 13 $1866 $5273 (424253) (342404) ($57870) ($6462A)21 ($465O $1865 52972 0 $0 348 $10342 (32784) 63126 (f18 863) ($46587) ($55919) (63263)
$10G062 $37631 0 s0 7018 S173 2 $143693 29959
A-51
gSv ONSTBLTABLE TALEASSUPTIOS A-26 (Contd) TT-r-TS TA-- alculated)
Econozc ar Firacia Araly-is for Energy Irvestrerts -- Egypt E_ I-
LaoitaI CoSts Benefit Parx-Eters Iterra Rate c-Return 216
Acquisition $110712 Price of 1 $2000 bb (yr 1)Trarspcrtatio $O Oil Escala 20year DiE Pcf PV of BIC
Corstrutior $0 Rate Benefits Costs NV Ratio iterconneztio $0 Enrgy Savrgs 348 bblyear _= -_--
Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 $173 G52 $143693 $2 M 121TOTAL Ca) $712 N $14c 360 $13405 $1955 101
4 $11Z338 $134260 ($18863) O8GConstruct Time 10 tronths 6 $96409 $130976 ($34567) 074
8 $81759 $12346 ($46587) 064Operatinz and Norrva Maintenance Costs 10 $70299 $126216 (S55919) 056 A-1 $6S502 125 30f Ui59 64) 05Operatin Cost $866 year
shy
2 $61216 $124479 ($63263) 049 Oerating Lifetime 21 years 13 $57376 $123723 ($65352) 046
14 $5-7924 $123043 ($9120) 044Major Equipment RepairReplacement 15 $50811 $12419 ($71608) 042
16 $47927 $121847 ($73 851) 039Replace Cost ($4G50)perioQ 18 $43123 $120841 ($77718) 036Replace Period 20 years 20 $39071 $119988 ($80 917) 033
A-52
conc34 an Firnancial Qralvss fcr Ener~y i-veEtvnts -- Eypt EE
TMtSLE 4-27
Fc0 2ase TfiEf - 1ZLN TEXTILEI (WZC PR P3rS22TEST 44 SETOR C7 a- $25IEDU Asi rLz Oil Escalation Rate of Z0
SavBr Vaue f1ta Ccost of Oi Fue Use Yuel[eraing Energy SZve- rnual Cas 71co ritv ed Cash Flow (NPV ) i = -- CostYear ost $1 (Bbl C-st L c r ny Cost C-rre~t 1 4 1r IN0
t1i3iticr tSU712
7rarns~ort $
Ccrtructcr It o $oerconnec
aS 71 S00 0 to 53 1450 1 023 (103 -73 5-3c$3573) ($109573) ($103-73)sgE t C 0 $0 348 S234 S7 CC7 3SZE 1C-084 (3103202) ($103316)$0 $as 2L0 $-r
0 s0 343 $ 51 $1ms5s n7515261) $9924) ($97264) (975M30 $0 348 Ic233 $786-H s364 (tc7E ($91723 (SW344)So286 027 $0 -48 $47 $I 17f51 5E so $ G s S27 EC 0
18 ($3552) ($37545)0 to 348 $q606 $1 86 $Z740 8257 t85 15 C 03 $76 -53 ($817E6) $83154)ss~ g $ 5 7 g2 ( 7 a $2215 $50 348 $9738 $6 $7 2 ($7058) 726 (377287) (79135)Sc S5 K6 372 0 $0 348 Sg934 S6 $2 $64322 ($70 1) 37311 3754599 $0 38 S A 52 s (923371 s1 S7237) ($72036)IC $r t85 12955 0 $0 343 $10377 865 $352 ($-22) (6751 (55615) ($59013)11 so 55 5 247 -0 s0 348 $C61 SlE6 $873S ($493) (t-7) ($-2246) ($55205$ $185 5$ $1510 SO 348 $087 $2811 (L4$54) ($53864) $53108) ($36321O 518) $317 0 $012 348 S1I034 $66 $9168 ($24858) (min22 3 56187) (S61279)14 s$ $S-76 52234 0 $0 348 $11254 $1866 $2382 1$2220) (34S771) (353468) ($59127)E $C $1685 $39 0 $0 -48 $114-9 $666 $3613 3U2668)($43498) ($50936) ($5-7160)so$ $866 $3365 0 so 348 S- 70 $86 13843 2$03)-($40395) ($48560) ($-m3S)
17 so 11862 $432 0 so 348 11-43 $1866 $10077 12 822) (37454 (34G387) (5 718)2 to T866 $350 0 $0 348 $12182 $866 $1016 ($7526) ($34666) ($44345) ($2216)V9$0 $1866 $257 0 $0 348 $12426 $156 $105EC ($2314) ($2023) ($42447) ($50842)2V $3 $1866 53642 0 s0 348 $12674 $1856 S0803 $2816 ($ 519) ($40673) ($49588)21 (54650) $1866 $3715 0 s0 346 $12926 ($2784) $15712 $9987 ($26148) ($33344) ($47M95)
$105062 $37631 0 s0 7018 $217065 S143693 $73372
A-53
PSSU Ns TABLE TABLE A-27 (Contd) FE-E=IT- 2ST3 TA2LE Cal d
Ecortomiz arnc a AIaEsis fc- Enery Irvestmerts - Egypt EE- iC1365
Capital Costs Perefit Parameters lnterral Rate c Return 491
Acquisitic $0712 Price of Oil Trarnsportat $C Oil Escalat Construction $0
Interconrectior $0 Enrny Savngs Fuel Use
TOTlL Cap $0 72
Construct Tiie 10 Moths
Operatinz and Norma Maintenance Cost5
Ooerating Cost $866 year Operating Lifetime 21years
Major Equipnent RepairReplacement
Replace Cost ($4650)period Replace Period 20 years
$2500 bbl ( r 20year
348 bblyear
0 bblyear
1)
A-54
Disc Rate -shy
0 -w
4 6
8 0
11 n
3
14 15
16 18 20
PV zPV EenefitS
$217CS5 $75450
$144247 $$0C $102193 $87374
$81877 $76E20
$71720
$S7405 $63514
19996 $53904 $4883
cf Costs
$143623 $132405
$134260 27
$128346 $2z218
$125306 $124472
$123728
$043 $122412
$121847 S120841 $119988
NPV
$733272 $37045
$2987 ($101465)
($26148) ($38344)
($43429)($47259)
($52008)
($55639) ($532905) ($61251) ($68938) ($71149)
BC Ratio
151 27
107 092
080 070
065 061
058
055 052
049 045 041
E ri- Fra Fa-s fc- Erergy -vetrerts - Egypt EA
TAKLE P-28
o- Case lfF- TEST 4 - HELWATEXTILEIPH (CELECTOR Assuming01l E-calatic Rate c 2C
PRCZ-22I _- 01vS
YeF-ita
Cost 0=erair
Cost st of 0j
IB Fuel Used
(bLI) Fuel Cost
Energy Eciv
Savee ErCr~y
rrua Lost
Eas FIcA Current $
Discountd Cash 4 8
Floh (NPV) 10
i 12
k cuisiicr r7-2 1 Transc-rt $ I Costrut or $3
cta $272 2 S COo
Se $ESE 120 so $ SSr
s3~ zs384cSO $0 $15 S47
6 $3 t135 $--- 2 7S882 53375 a $0 $258 $344E
5 S18 zI^ to $ -ES s3F
1$ ss sss~s S- $181H $3730 SO $1868 $3805
4 $ $35 E i V $8-8 $3258 E 50 $8EE $4038 17 $0 s B S4s SO $0 S8EE $4201
13 tS $18 $428 5 20 $0 $86 $4370 21 ($4650) $1868 $4458
$105 02 $37631
0
I
0
0
0
0 IC
0 0 0 o0 0 0
0 v
0
$0 Es $174
742 t-8c4c SO$0 343 $1
348 51107 $0 348 $11301 $0 348 $1527 SO 342 7m7 so 343 $13 $1 348 S2 32 $C 348 $12477
38V)2 $0 342 $ 345 t3240
$C 348 $ z -to 348 775 so 348 $1405 SO 348 $14 332 $0 343 $14CM $0 348 $14911
$0 348 $KS203 $0 348 $15513
$0 7018 $260478
A-55
III3-3C3
$E- Iass
$1866
$1856 S866 5 865 5185S $3s6
56 65
Sa36
518j$E $8 $866 $ 86 $155
$862 ($2784)
$143633
10I08 23
S7322 2 9
s $3435
$3661
$9S3 s u $03-
$511
$6 $11 $11374
187^ $ 3 $1822 $12 48
273 S13045
$13343 $18297
$118785
3
($1Th22-
(Pc8751
E3 -73
(ME223 (3) 5) ($
4 2231
337784
30447) ($23227) $V23)
3 1 (1 2M)
- IS6 $7t $24453
$30466 $L M3E
(1l123
cs 32443)$22
1
72 611
(SE8 322) () 4741 1154 372)
($4258)
3544E35) ($ 76 S (5325)
3071) ($28E3)
0751 (119 43s
E9 3 ($12725)
($3634) ($5708)
(s0--3) ($33864)5552 $83498
(745001 (S53917) ME-720)
($ES584
($54284)
(S530197) 3413 3542-S7h
(S30- ) (S3170) (332-) ($3 4 23M)
$25870)
($23433) ($20 705)
((e02203)
(S1014411 ($94270)
-855772 7S
(727v1 (37124) ($6S 64) (M62456)
(3E2301
($5133) (33 (02)
ME48-5 ($14314 S41688)
33854) (-7 ($101)
(345m21 (32655)
TABLE A-28 (Contd) S TpLE - Th-CCSTS TPAELE (Calclated)
Ezo ndard Firarla yss fzr Erergy Investrzents -- Egypt M 01I 185
Capita Ccsts BerEfit Paraeters lkterrz ate of Rturr 7351
A-uisit in Trarr~rtaticr Cortro
$117-12 t0
$0
P-ice o Cii Escala
$3000 Ibb (yr 20year
1) Disz ta
V of
Benefits PV of
Costs 1PV BC
Ratio -rnterconretion $( Errzy Savwes 348 bblyear -------
TCTAL (Cap $10 712 Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0
2 $26r-475 2l154C
$143623 $132405
euro16785 $72135
81 152
Corstruct Timne 10 msonth-4 6
173097 $144614
$24260 $131 976
$33836 $13633
12 110
Dperating an Normal Maintenarce Costs 8
0
$122633 $108449 $98253
$12346 $126218 $125 305
(35708) ($32769) ($27053)
096 084 078
Operating Cost
Operating Lifetime $865 year
21 years 1 13
$9824 $5064
$12479 $123728
332E5 ($37664)
074 070
Major Equipment RepaiReplacemeet 14 15
$80985 $7217
$123043 S122419
(42158) ($46202)
065 062
Replace Cost Replace Period
($4650)period
20 years
1 S 20
$719T $64655 $58607
$121847 $120841
$119988
($49852) (356157) (361381)
059 054
049
A-56
Taiaccno arc navsl- fCr erv InVES Et S_ 5E
TWILE A-29
For Case of --T TEST - uMwANTEXTIlEIPP 1Crv=TO PR2E -rR- a PAssuz 0 Escalation Rate of 20
Save Value f Ozeratir iliFuel Usedaoita Cost cf Fuel Energy Saej Annual ash 73w Dis-unted Cash Flow ( ) i = Cst st $1bl (btI) cost Ecuiv Enerzy zt --rrert 4
- Trarsoco-t SC)
I rsterucrneztion 50
I Tc- Z $3500 0 $203 (T01132 (50-932(9933-3) ($IC-9931(12S933S S46SE 170 0 $C 34 $2 424 s1856 $_ssS99217 ($32841) ( 39E (M567)5 52-25 $3541 0 $0 348 52572 $1855 1 bull 23 (58953 ($0457 ($g032)
5-5E0 53714 -7 0 So 10 731)0 g 48 174 ) $ 15 (S33 030)343 $12 S6G 4 7 O t1 Es SBs $3729 0 $1 348 $1284 $865 $318 363344) ($72254) (374425) (37637
S S1E $In3964 0 $0 7
348 $13448 1866 V1152 (IZ3825) M4972) ($67234) (315)53942 0 $V 348 $13717 $1866 (550459 ($54544)5Y1-1 (1-7504) ($6332)
$0 855 $$4020 0 t0 348 t13991 18665 shy12 - ($424V (s 422) ($54322 (tS72273 s aE- $41 0 $0 348 $14271 t856 $19405 S2J81 43728) ($4535) ($2817)10 $0 $1855 $4123 C s0
11 348 $14556 T556 $126 0 ($23265) ($37379 3$433 $4Z2 4
5 $425 $0 348l $0 S 1856 $4352 0 SO 348
0 s0 $14847 $1862 $31 (514495) ($313E5) ($32149) (5440511 $15144 $1866 12272 f(15870) (S25672) (1334 ) ( 244)13 855 $0 $54439 0 348 t5447 t855 $1253 $213 M278) ($2967) (33758)
14 $0 $SE5 $4S23 0 $0 34s 1135-0 955$1Z75C 518s $11C (t15171) ($255144) (533 -5)15 $0 $1855 $4513 0 $0 348 14 (110325)16 to f86 1471
$1071 S856 5131I8 353 (2434 (3066Z 0 $0 348 $1633 11365 S14527 $27224 (5575) ($1725) ($29014)7 $0 t1855 $4805 0 $0 348 $16721 351551865 $14855 (3419) (514693) ($25591)is $0 $1866 $4C1 0
9 $0 348 $17055 $ISG5 15 183 $42353 $2626 ($16 (122791
$0 1855 4999 0 so 348 S173 1B6 515530 550518 $6572 ($894) (521359)2 $0 $1866 1509 0 s0 348 $17744 $1866 t 5878 $58155 $102551 ($6298) ($19516)21 ($4550) $186 $5201 0 $0 348 $18099 (32784) $2883 $67686 $14732 ($3 194) ($17351)
$106052 $37531 0 $0 7018 $303831 $143693 $16018
A-57
TABLE A-29 (Contd) ate
Ecoci ar Pirarzia Evsi fcr ErEr t Eypt EA
3ta CGst= Denefit ParamLeters Interra ate cnf Returt 961
ccisition $I10712 Price of Cil S3502 1b (yr 1) SC
ats rttion $0 Oil Eszalat poundC)year rli P cf FV of Rate Saroaf s Coets N Ratio
Corstruct ion so irtErzonneticn $0 Errgy Savrgs 345 bblyear shy
0 $2^3 89 S143693 $16098 211uLai Use C ttVear 2 $24C30 t 145 507 -2-25 177
TDT CaP) $1SC712 4 $20945 $1342K0 $67686 150 S $-53716 $30975 37740 139
Construct Time 10 rorths 8 $143078 $128346 $14732 111
10 S12024 ($3124) 097 Doerating and Norma Mairtenane Costs 1 1468 $ 3C6 ($10678) 091
-- - ----- 1 $114628 S 3CS09
Operatir Cost $1856 year $1107128 $124479 (17351) 086
13 $13J408 $12723 ($230) 081 Operating Lifetime 21 years
14 $94366 $23043 ($28677) 077
5 $23920 $122419 ($33499) 073 Major Equipeent RepairRepla-ement
15 $23934 $121847 ($37853) 069 3 $75465 $120841 ($45376) 062
Replace Cost ($4650)period 20 $SE375 $112938 ($51614) 057
Replace Period 20 years A-58
Ec- ic and Frana Ara~y- f- Erry Irve=tert5 - Evpt -EEA
TAKE A-30
c Ca__ cf-l_ TrST 4 - HLW TEXTLEiP (Z2LETaP $2S FT shy E OF0i $40B) 9ssuMir Oil Escalation Rate f 20
save alue of-azita eratirg Cost c Oil Fu Ue Fuel Erry --ave Annual Cas DiscountedYEar 0 gas Flow (PV) i =st II) Cost Ezv Energy Cost Curre t $ 4 8 IC0
1 Pcq-isit - l1 02 Transzrt $0
$31 $4000 0 $C 52 0 S
21n232232 757-3) 07 3 f C 27 3 0703 f0373)sc sz-s $4080 a S4105 1 855 8 V7134 ($774532) M751Ss 542S I- 0 Sbullcss ~ S42-4f 0 345 4 82cs $14 7172 1-G1- 1SZ3 18$14772 9 7 W- 02)ssamp $12 7 M( 465) 27 ($87134-I (2377 ($762 577365 ($7344$73-2
32 0 $ $3 057
) fD 3$7-42)
$4_ $BSE 12i Z (57-253 1 SSS325--)(570 O0E) ($791C SSS6 $4505 E 33 S)0 V 345 $15676 $1566 $13Bic1556 6261$0 $5 25S 4 47 (2172) M35400)345 $sfsC $8s6 $4687 0 348
8 2 $27-T 42 (449241 ( 33511)T1309 $866 S 14443$2 2- 522) ( 186) ($43 1771 $0 8SG S4780 0 374S S2636V BEE866 $4876 S0
smsG V14770 ($374E 12EM)3 f$3 293 ($37K 50 3452 f3s8 $1266 13--ZC Il- S5$7 05 $$0S 32 4 7 2193) ($3850)$0 $1566 $4372 0 $-
S 07 -- (2 5B2 273)SC 343 $7302 T1866S0 $1866 $156$3073 $0 $1442 42427 SI (1-2ESP n$2533)0 $0 348 S17954 V866 - $7 4
117amp2 1248 ($S305) (51S-7 ($24497)t $58s6 $2173 0 SO 349 $293G7 $8S6 $121 $34 S229 ($53 ($2072
$0 sB- $233716 0 so 348 18734 $ 56 $SHS28 $ 93 $11 17 51 (t235 (13434 )$02 $556 $G349 0 50s 348 $1910 ISsG $17243 152 144 $16523 S1154 (M527)$0 s856 $56011E 0 $0 348 $9491 $862 $17E23 $6312 213529SID $18E6 $5713 $464 (S8950)0 so 345 $9881 S1 $18015 $77035 $2570 $578W- ($5617)s0 VO15865 $5827 0 $0 348 520279 $1866 $1541321 ($4650) $1866
$53852 $30136 $10892 ($4460)$5944 0 $0 348 $20684 ($2784) $23468 $9235 $3171 $14381 ($2047)
S10606 $37631 0 $0 7018 $347304 $143693 $203611
A-59
TABLE A-30 (Contd)
7Ec-acy ar ka lysis fc7nergy Irvestre-ts - Egypt M I
caita Costs EerEf araetErs RatetEtrr tr 72
PAcuisit ioon $ Price cf Di1 Transortaior SOi1 Es-aat
ortrzt io $0
irteronnectior U0 Enrgy Savs - Fuel Use TDTPL (Ca 51
Construct Time 0 -onths
Ozeating and Norral ainterance Costs
- ----Operating Cost $C66 year
Coerating Lifetime 2 year_
ma=jor Equipmet RepairPElacement
Replace Cost $4650)period Replace Period 20 years
$400k bl (yr -shy year
348 bblyear r bblyear
I)
DIK Rate
0 2
4 4
Epound 10
11 2 12
14 Cal
e s 13 MA
PV of Perfits
$347204 28eC 72f)
2307 c2-817
$153=17 $140 522
$131004 122432 $114751
$07847$101622
$3-993 58646 $78143
1W of Costs
143653 $2C-21 a 40 $4235
$134 260 $ 35 $30276 $E842
$229345 35171 $25218 $143912I1
$125306 $5692 $12473 $123728 $3976)
$1234 $51T6)3088 $122419 (20 796)
$121847 ($25 854 5120 841 (334S5) $119988 ($41846)
PC Ratio
242 2003
172 -47
127
105
323
83
C7 071 065
A-60
orc-ic nFiarcial Aav=s shyr rerr Investrents -- ypt EE
----------
Por Case ofFIE MS 14 - HFLu r Ss~zlnz C Fszalatior Rate cf 20
pRZ3 $2I T iE
Zzplta 2eratir Ccst of 11 FLel Used Yea ccist cst $B (kt
Pcu isit icn107335 Tra-ort $0
Ccstr-t icr I irternect io $0 1 ftctal f 099Z $2K IS C$10 0
$ 6z I$-z 3 $50 5162=0 $56 0
4 S s T5 05 So S= $6L-24 0 E SO S $155E 0 7 $0 $112CI U689 0 C to S680 $1723 0
SO cEo $17 0 S $1793 oIi $ t S1568c28 0
$0 C6S0 $1865 013 $0 $1E8 $1902 0 14 $0 t6Vo $940 015 t0 680 $1979 0 16 $0 1680 $20-19 0 17 $0 iamp80 $2059 0 18 $0 C1680 $2100 0 19 $0 $16580 $2142 0 20 $0 $1680 $2185 0 a1 ($453) $1680 $2229 0
Fue C-5l
S5 ts 23
so $0 $0 $0
so
St)$0 $0 $0
to $0 $0 $c to $0
$0 so
Saved nre-y
E-uii
348 348
348 348 345 343
348 341
-7n
342 348
342 348 348 348 348 248 34C 348
Vaue c Saved
Enerry
t-371 s4
$5421
S- 540 $5 50 $5763 $5279 Sf I9 S
t$- Z5$5353
$5450 $E620
S753 -888
$7025 $7 165 $730 $7455
$7605 $7757
rnnual Zash Flcw Cost Crrert $
1o2 275 1-o07405 $168^ $3E44 $6) 275
t1650 m1 i680 $2970 680 $403
$I680 $ 23 680 S4 31F
680 $4436
amp2553680 $4E33
(1850 $421C f1 680 t 0
$16s0 73 $1680 55202-s1680 $5345 $6 s5456 $16 u $5623
S680$5775 $1680 $5325
$2856) S10612
Diccirted Cas 4 8
5)$C~ S17 4^5) ) 3
152=r
f537 002) W17 751 5332) (9S4633)
($30 V-($ r7) C2SS934) ($83403) ($3 54) 1$5
0412) ($84493)
3 $ o(S74 04N) ($30043) (S7 92 1 (ST79a3)
-$72_) ($75018)
(V783) (374153) 17 K ) (72 (52 814) (37065) 3$55885 ($69094] 55995 (567572) (55144) ($68 127) ($47332) ($I4754) ($424A8) (362477)
io (n 2 i = 10 12
(s-7405 (S27405 104 0435051
(s($10 z 1 M-33~09 m) (VI3 414)
33513 3 M 891 (M28451 (15574) $90475 ( 446
3)520 ($9494) (585 1911 t$377 ^2T
(4(22 452) ($8415 ) C3 766) (22ES)($79192) ($aO0 S 723) ($80737) ($76351 37972) ($ 072) (373 1) ($73872) 1177M00) 372764) ($76930) (371 725) (76T2209 ($70 756) ($7541) ($69179) ($74441)
$103459 $33880 0 s0 7018 $130239 S137 339 ($7100)
A-61
TABLE A-31 (Contd)
Econozic and Financia ay for Energy Investmets -- Egypt E
Capi costs BerefIt Pararsters Internal Rate of Return -057
Acquisition $17735 Price 2i Transortatior $0 0Ci sa-t
Corstruction $0 Interconnection Er y Savrs
- ---- Fuel UsE
TOTk (Cap) $I07 Q
Construct TivE 10 months
Operating and Normal Maintenarce Costs
Operatir Cost $1680 year Operating Lifetime 2 years
Major Euipment Repaireplacement
Replace Cost ($4536)period Replace Period 20 years
i bb (yr 2year
348 lyear
0 bblyea
1) risc P Cf Rats BenEfits
0 $ 032
$105270 4 $BW548 6 $72307 9 $51 3
0 $52725 1 $49 126
SE$4512 13 $43032
14 $40443 1 $3108 16 $3997 18 $342 2C0 $23303
PV of Costs
137339
$132 Ek3 2037
$126130 $1373
$121904 $121 $120353 $113633
$113 072 $118514
$117102 $116338
NPV
($7100)
($27423) ($42483) ($5 823) (524T7)
($63179) ($71964) ($74441) ($76651)
($78629) ($80405) 388-0($22005) ($84760) ($87034)
BC Ratio =z=
5
073 067 C57 050
043 041 038 036
034 032 031 028 025
A-62
Econo ard r-ia nalysis fc- Enery rvastmerts -- Et EEA IO
TPPLE A-32
For Case cfF_E TET 4 - HaJ-W TEXTIEIPP ( _=EOCC70R pCE -C PRICz OF QUM Pssumir 3il Escalation Rate of 20
Cata DOerati Cost of Cil Fuel UsEd Fuel SavE Errgy
Value Cf Save- Anrual Cash -Ic Dir-counted Cash 1ow (kV) B i
Year Czet (E) Cc-t Eciv Energy Cost Lrrert 8 10
1 -cusjtic-$107 1 TransDcrt t3 SCorstrLtO $0 I rerccrrect o 0
2 3 4
5s 6 7
9
10
12 13 14 15 1-
17
19
20 21
Tota $97 5 2
$630 S0 $1680
$0 $ $0 $680 $0 $6S0
0to SEscl $0 $ SK $ 168C
168 V71650
S0 S1630 $0 S 680 $0 1180 0 $1680
$10 1$1 S0 so10 11680 0 $650
$0 t680 (14536) $1680
$20
$2040 $2s3o
$21 22 $I55 $20a $SL V12 $2 97 52 43 S220 V1-42
$2487 $2536 $2587 V6 30 V2692 $274 $20 12 56 $2 14
12972
0
0 C 0 0
C 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0
0
$0
$0 10
s0 $0 s0 s0 $0 s0 s0
S0 $0 s0
s0 $0 t0
3 t0
s0
s0
$0
5N
348 342
343 34
342 348
348 345
348 348 348 348 348 348 348 34 348 348 348
348
S160
S7 033 S7241
t7386 $7534 t7684 $7238 $7225 $85 1$318
13484
U8SE4 S3827
$9004 $3184 $3367 1955 19746 $9941
$10139
$10342
103275
11680 $680
$G60 $5150 1680 S1680
1$680 4$1680
$1680
S1680 $1680 $1680 $680 $1680 $180 $1680 $1168 S1680
($2856)
(-c ($10751s- C71)5
tE4 C 3o4 (102097) 6=SE3 ($3721)
5-7 15970) M$2800 5954 1$5poundpound5 $8497) $004 ($3721) ($8441) $ 158 (176H-4) ($3V530) t16 ($72C25) $7645 sz475 (157-254) 373347)
1r3 I E21) 27t=E(- ($70Q ) S1616804 ($Ez0941 (55875) $S974 2534) ($E3884) $7147 ($ oo)10 (5046) 17324 344702) 352353) $754 (S4C 3)9 ($55798) $7637 ($33100) (533755) S7 M (13189-) (151076) 1205 1127755) (48897 8261 (123 77 (46 29)
$2459 ($9662) ($44829)
$13193 ($1363 ($42038)
($107-5]
$0218a) (397592)
($8307)
(SK579) (322103)
($78S52) ( 7842) 373027) ($70403) (57952) (562) (16251) (115) (S59744) (Z803 (156 435) ($54943)
(353566)
($51604)
(101] $12276) 197843) M2305)(52372 ($00622
(SB654) SK 535) 3$80678) ($72 C3)
($7E 69 ($73473) (371474) (169253) (7961 (16642E) (165021) ($63737) ($625 2) ($61488) ($F0505)
($59137)
U-459 $33880 0 $0 7018 $173652 $137339 $36313
A-63
---------- -------
TABLE A-32 (Contd)TBLE (Calulated)
E-oroizic and Finania Anaaysis for Eergy investments -Egypt EA C
Cacital Costs Benefit Parameters Irterra Rate cREturn 26S
Pcouisitic $7993 Price cf Oi $2C (yr 1)Transortatio $0 Oil Esaa year li-c P of CConstruction $0 Rate BenfEtz Costs wV RatioIterconnection $0 Enry Savns 34E bbyear
UEl use C bblyear 0 73SS52 $137 3 $C313 126TDTAL Ca 7 $140320 $122593 $7657 106 4 IIZ398Constrct TicE I0 morths $122037 ($339) 089 5 $96409 $12- 130 ($23 721) 076 8 $3179 $12205 ($42038) 066Operatirc and Normal rairtenance Costs 10 $70293 $121904 ($5l 604) 58 1X $ampZ502 S12 M ($55 589) 054Operatirg Cost $1680 year 12 $61215 $12 0353 ($59 137) 051Operating Lifetime 21 years 13 $57376 $119633 ($52307) 043
14 $52924 $9072 (55148) 045Major Zqjioinert RepairReplacement 15 $50 1I1 $113514 ($67702) 043 16 A7-97 S1420002 ($70006) 041Replace Cost ($453S)period 18 $43123 $117102 ($73979) 037Replace Period 20 years 20 $39071 $116338 ($77266) 034
A-64
E~ocon2 -- rr Ar ys s fcr Ererzy Irvssttets -- 7rypt EE
TZE A-33
F Case TES 14 - W (0 ETD PE- $2T - PI-- O- DIS $25P)I Assuminz 0 Escalation Rate cf 20
azita Ceratir Ccst cf Oil Fuel Used Fuel SaveeErergy Value -f
save nual Cash Flow DEounted Casi Flow (NPV) 0 i = YS-ar st Cost $bbl (Bbi) Cost Ecuiv crerpy Cost Currert $ 4 8 011 2
rar-zor
Cnst~t I 2tsrzr-ezti- $1
E
12$
14 if
iG
17
18
19
20
21
a S230
s$1 S60
$$ $1169 o$0 $80
$3 S 90 i $i 6c 7 v68n
$0 t68c
so S680 S t 1680
$$ $Sao
$680 $0 $1680
$ $1680 $0 $I63
0 $1-680 $ $1620 $0 $1620 $ $680
$0 $1680 ($4536) $180
S25co
$2550 $ 2553
127 06 127V
a
V-1 72
$2323 t2962
$3047
$31C8 $3171
$3234 $3293
53365
$3432
$3501
$2571
$3842 $3715
0
o
c) 0
0 0
0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0
0 0
0
0 0
$0
$0 so so
t0
SO $0
$0
0 $0
$0
$0 $0
$0 so
$0
$0 $0
so $0 $0
348
347 345
348
342
342
348
34 348 343
348 348
348 343
348
348
348
348
348
348
S151450
$2874
323
$9417
$260E
t9735
53334
t 3 $13337
$1 605
$10817 $11034
$14 $47-
$11703
$ 43 $12122
$12426
$12674
$12328
S1032T
S0
6s0
$1680
$1680
t1680
t-1680
t16
$5
1680 S63 s1650 t1 580
$680
$w $60
$160
$1680 ($2856)
(t10E22f
$7134
$7553
$7737
$306
1218
12314
13 180$3717
$232
$3137 $ 3S4
$3-74 $373K
$10023
1510-22
$103503
$10746
$10-34 $1E784
(105z825) ($106225)
$3 T03154
($33032) ($93644 ($55375) ($W784) ($73764) ($22162)
($73250) ($73-76a
(56235) (71amp2) ($ 17) ($620)
($S4 29 J ($62 202 (43 7) ($5781)
($42 142) ($53737)
($3207) ($43 781 (3c354) ($4073)
($2464) $42 ($1255) 3332 1 ($3387) ($36055) ($7907) ($33 053) ($251 ($30221) $2723 $27532)
$8007 ($34984) $15211 ($21532)
310S225) (S106825) ($10028E I100 402) ($34133) $3425) ($25) ($83150) ($2 234) ($84232)
(37S313 $73725
($73731 ) ($3756231 ($53 45 (371852)
(5 431 ( ($E75 5 0)
($SEB5I) ($5406)
( (7578T 172 (157373)
(53($439 ($55185) ($41818) 379$5 ($44417) ISS347) ($421 84) ($49673) ($4010S) ($$143) $3-173) (-$746)
($36i 3M) ($45403) ($34023) ($43833)
$103453 $33880 0 $0 7018 $217065 $137333 $79726
A-65
TABLE A-33 (Contd)
Ec rC z ant Firn Anaiys- fc- Ererzy Investrerts - Egypt En MlIS
Czzota ss Benefit Parameters terra Rate cf eturn C40
flcquistici deg $17K= Transporatic $0
Sonstructior $0
Irterco rnectior $0
T3TAL Cap2 $107275
Lorstruzt Time 0th
Prce of 0i
C Escalat
rrgy Savngs
F-el Use
$2500 I (yr 20year
343 bbllvear
0 btlyear
11 -i- PV cf
Rat - enefits
0 $217
2 $17- 4-4 $144247
PV of
Costs
12339 $SOV-93 $129037 $2E30
11PV
$7726 $475-7 $15211(I5sES
BC
Ratio
158 132 112 096
Cperating and Nor a
Ocerating Cost
Operating Lifetime
Maintenace Costs
SEC year
21 years
L2r f 0 3
OX $37874
11 $81877 12 76520
I3 $7172014 $67405
$92273
$121904
$121 091 1353
$119632$119072
($21 53)
($34029
($23214)
($432833) ($47953)($516S7)
083
072 068 064 060 057
10ajcr Ecuipment Re~a rlRepaeet
Replace Cost ($4535)Ipericd
Replace Period 20 years
IS
18
20
$614
$53936
$53904
$48839
$11 514
$113002
$117102
$116338
($5000)
($52007)
($63198)
($67498)
054
051
046
042
A-66
Ecorcmic an Fnanria AralvsiE r Eer-y rveStMe-ts -- EZy EE C1I
TABLP-34
-r Case -fL TEST 4 - LEW TEX7Lfl LE $202-T - PR D-L $30BBL) Assir Oi Escalatior Rate of 20
Yea a-ta
Cost eratrCEt of Oi cost $pbl
el Used
(MI Fel
ost
zave Erergy
Ecuzv
VaLe cf s-ve
Energy P -a
Cest
Cash
Currert euro Dscounted Cash 4 8
1ow UNV)
10
9 i
12
1 ccuisCiticr 7 T7rarsort bull Co-tr t~ $
2
4
5
7 8
10
2
13
14
15
16
17 18 19
21
ITz~ta $C73 $22 ES
so 10 o sSo o $iE80 n $ 680 $0 U680
$0 $160 5 s62-
$0 680 f l
50 $Ss so $ss
$0 $6Ev
s $68 so $180
S0 siW8 to $1680 V) $65
$0 $1680 ($4536) $1680
$--D00
S32 $334
$32 7 C312
$3378
$2446 $5
3s85 357
$2730 $3355
$388
$353
$423
s412 $42CI
$42895
$417C
$4458
l c
0 0 0 0 0
0 0
0
0
0
0
0
0 0
0
0
0
so so o$0
so so $0
$0 so so
to $0
$0
$0
$0
so so
so s0
$0
$0
$0
53 348 246 348
343 343
348
348 348
348 348
348
348
348
348
348
348 348
348
348
348
S1 70 s I 49 $1 3F2 072
$11301 $527
$1177
$11992 $122532
S2477 $2$2726
$12231
Z2240 $2505
$12775
$14051
$4 322 $1463
$14911
$15203
$15513
S10227S 15 Si680 $29E
$1580 $312 $amp80 ] $630 $S2 $1680 $36 7 $168) $C077 $680 $C312 $68 $05
E0 S07377 680 $11046
$680 $1130 $680 11 5w S680
t 630 $12035 S60 o S1237-
S11530 s1T652 $660 $12 923 $ i0 $13231
$68 $13523
82856)$18259
310S 525) ($37S5
(s8nL) 172843) ($64749)
3$5S785-
($42942) ($41233)
f$2-53) ($21O)
($18650)
($ 9)
32($4527)
$24S8
$327
$103 22724
$255
$35677
$44060
165f25)1 SZ
(0 -59) ($32837)
($7582)
1$9 -5) (S2774)
5S75f ($510)
3$45551 (340533)
($25692)
($3101)
($26753)
3-631
13725)
(K5M504Z) ($11545)
($2234)
($5093)
($1158)
(S10S 5 (356332)
($3733 ($3732 ($7716)
($71047)
($U35 (0067) ($5M144)
(S55 (4S306)
($42345)
1538662)
($L237
(632C51)
($23020)
($2227) ($23777)
($2 337)
($13185)
(16454)
1 cc-T25) ($3327)
($91207) (184517)
(73403)
($72816)
($6771)
163046 ($53784)
(G54831) (35334) (08025
s$ 8
($42423
( 3
($37673)
($35J60) ($23725)
($32004)
($30433)
($28S19)
$103455 $33d8O 0 $0 7018 $60 478 $1373n $123135
A-67
TABLE A-34 (Contd) 2Lk T-CTETPL Calc~1ated)FL_TI0~PBL
o~ar Fariai naiysi- f-Erergy l=VEsrEtS - Ecyt EE i
trr Rat-- c REturn 787Benefit araetersazital S-sts
t -ri-e of CiD $3000 bbl (yr 1)$10995n PV of BIC
Trarspoto $0 Oil Eszaat 20Iear ri VV C Rate Eerefits Ccsts IPV Ratio
Corstruct ior $r == shyErray Savr s 348 bblyear
intetor rztior $0 Fue -e 0 bblyear 0 $26C478 $137339 1123133 190
2 105 40 S-32693 $77847 1 9 TOTPL (Cap S10799n
4 $173037 $1903-7 $44060 134
6 $144614 $126130 $183483 115 Construct TiME mcTth-s
$1228 $12379E W158 09
t 129N 087tI0O449 ($16454)woerating and Norma Mainterarce C0ts
11 $98253 $121031 ($r233) 081
2 $91824 $120353 ($22 Z29) 076 Operatirc Cost $1680 year
13 $8K064 $19683 ($33619) 072 O eratir 21 yearsLifetie_
14 $80885 $119072 ($33186) 068
5 $7E217 $18514 ($42237) 064 Major Equipment RerairReplacement
$71995 $11802 ($4007) 061
18 $64685 $117102 ($52417) C5shy_16
Replace Cost ($4536)period 2N $58607 $11S338 ($57731) 050
Replace Period 20 years
A-68
Eccnoc and inarzia ryss fc- -re-y rvEstre-ts - E yot EE
TAEE F-35
Fcr Case ofrZ- 5TEST 4 - HELAN TEXT-IPX Mu Assuin_-0 Escalation Rate cf 20
CTOR PRICE $20SQc- -Cc GI j3mBu
Yea
r
s s-t
--t
aoita ost
7
t
eratirn Lst
Cost of IE
Oi1
Feel Used
(Ebl) Fue
Cost
zavEd Erery EcLIv
Value of SEvE
Ern-rzy Annual
Cost Cash Flow Lrrert S
Liscourted 4
Cash F~A
8 (NM
IC i =
2
2
E
7
1$
--
00 21
t--0795
S $0 4
f2
SO 1$
$o SO f0 $ $ S
so$0
tTSO to
($4535)
$103459
2311
1s8c C)
S o 58
$680
SGzr-SsW ss $S80
$16s2 $X30
$630
$ 3 $ampV
$168 51680 $9
$1680 s680
$33880
$M570 $3
$3714 $373
$335
$3942
$4020 $401
$4 3 S42 ES
$4352 $4439
$4E28
545 is $47
$S422 $4301 $4j 9
15099 55201
0
0 0
0 C
C
0
C
a 0
0 0
C
0 0 0 0
0 0
0
Vi
s0 10
$0
SC
t0
to U$C
$V S
$0 $0
$1
oS^1 s0 SC so
s0 so
s0
s
348 342
248 343
343
342
342 343
-43 348
345 348
343
348 342
348 348 348
348 348
7 01
52 S2424 S 1672 t2926 $13 14
S 4-4
$13717
$1399 $14271
$14 ss S14347
t5144 t15447
$1r756 $16071$[ 3
$16721 $17055 17395
$17744 $180 3
$303891
A-69
245 1E8O $68
$66o $1S80
680
f1680
$us
s S680
s60 V-680
) 60
$11680 1G0
$-680 $680 $180
$1680 (2 5)
$137 3
$10744 $10992
24S Er
$1762
$12037
23 $1680$259 $1287S $13167
3464 $2757
$S076
$14391$114723
$15041 1575 $1576
$16064 120955
1165552
--915) M--72
(1h7) 5 211 Z229
($47334 7H)
(S3733-1 (23353 ($1q134 $02393
($1432) $7105
s5E
$23871S220n40
40 07 $4-964 55572 $Q346 $72910
0245 (S10524S ($105245) 1 237) $-3473) 39S53) 36S273) 387334) (373N 77S4 ($7-4)- (S792S)
(IC3S437037) 372374) ($40) (I781 ($597)
(-68 ) 15936) (M9 799 S473 (t4 7) (54230)
342I1 S$4795) ($43 4-) 34S9 $-9334 11445
(3273701 (S34 2353) (340262) (1253 1212n3s391 ($IE129 T251S) 12858) ($1076 ($2107D) (n632) ($3C53) (S-723-3)($26687)
3$4 (137631 ($23m9)
$2975 $1489) (2546) $7130 (37448) ($1230G)
$I063 (4521) ($172--3) $14786 (31994) (11 397) $19231 S120 (113 25)
TABLE A-35 (Contd)ASSPTIONS TAPBLE ME-F-COST TULE (CalcJaled)
E~ooi a Finacial Asi for Energy Investrents - Eypt EE
raitaSs Penefit raees Iter-E Rate of Returr 1014
Pcnuistio $SI7 Price of CiE h (yr 1)7-arrtatior $0 Oil Ezalat 2 year Dis PY cf V of FCrstrcticr $
Rate Enrefits Cc-zts NPDV Ratiotercnnecticr $0 Ergr~y Savrs 343 ttlyear - -ue Use 0 -bllyEar 0 $302231 $1373393 T2T
2 -(7925$2fZ $333 121 37 185 cnstrnxt Tiia 10 Lerths
46 2C34 $23C37 $72 10 57 6 $163716 $1L $4256 34 ee t1437S $372E $0281 116pe-atinz arsd NorLal nainternare Costs 0 $23022 $2504 S120 01
Operating Cost C680 year 10 $107129 $1E3 353 (S2 00 83 13 S100403 $29693 319275)
woeratino Lifetime 21 years 084
a- Ec RErairReplacemerit 4 $0426E $113072 ($24705)ipet 073883-) $514 $ 94)15 S - $-31 (2 07
-$---I16 eplace Cost (4536)Iperiof $3934 $18002 ($34008) 071 -e---
Repace Period 20 years 12 $75465 $117102 ($41637) 064 20 $66375 $116338 ($47963) 059
A-70
-Ecui adFin-ncla Aralys fcr re-rr-t - Ect Efl S
T-PLE -36
- Case cf-l 75- 14 - ZLWAN TxTLE11P (CLETOR F1 -e-1 - C_ OF L $40PL) Pfssu-ir 0i Ezsaatio- Rate cf 20
saves a cfaita _2erat Cost cz C Fue Used Ftel -rery Eaez ra1 ash oi DiEccurted Cash Fioi (PV) i =Yerpoundzsl (Bb1) Ccst Eciv E-er=- Cst poundjrrent 4 0 l
1 Trar-ort $L or Sc
ac-r r-
Thplusmnt$ $2 $4000 0 $0 53 32220 $ OZ 275 115V S ) $L) 5 $52$ $S $4080 0 $0 342 S4133 5160 bull ( s ($34 34 $4 5251eS oS ($845575 337$S $230 S4162 C $0 348 l144S2 $680 S222 tS2 08B21 (t 383) c(sa84) 354572)4 $ -- 45 0 $0 348 $14 72 80 $13-2 37)443) VT2F35) ($74 M)8 (37221- $ 6 54230 6
c SO 34 $ 07 $1650 513337 (52 333) 5 (s650141 ($56745)41 S6pound0 $4pound 0 $0 343 t5369 s0 $1268 ($47748) S2833) ME514) 3522 3787 S $45C I so 348 s Sw W=10131S13336 $67613SEBT($54614) ($587)scl S621 s~lsK 0o 348 sIz230 $680 $1IL3 I j 2 (-6631 (34171 5447 $ i620 $S437 0 so 348 C2 1 S 42 (f23 ($27 (4)ic $1 11 $4780 0 s0 343 $63 $1680 $1435 (54E 7) (S5284) (252 $3411 $0 960 $4276 0 $0 248 s-03 $1680 $Z222 571 ($1420) ($13 ( 0
1 $ $6al $4373 0 $0 348 $7305 T6O S15628 8(75W (S1S7M ($24 537)$O ^$ 73 0 SO 348 $17654 t1680 $1f3 5 25842 fss (S 641)- 2059714 C05630 IS174 0 $0 348 $12 007 t680 $l6327 53=-048 $4847 ($(S2 $16955)15 sso 15278 0 s0 348 $18367 ~ 6amp s-6637 S45 284 $10E54 (52518) ($3441)15 so Eao $2387 0 so 348 $18734 31680 $17054 $54754 $15$564 31032--17 160 $5497 0 so 348 s1100 T1680 t7423 $4053 $ 20921 15358 ($7482)18 $0 sso 567 0 so 348 $13431 t1680 $1781 5 73203 $2s5 5$8871 ($4888713 $0 $Sao $5773 0 $0 348 $13881 $1680 $18 201 $2188 2r313 S C2 252120 t0 680 $5227 0 $0 348 $20279 $1650 $I63 521016 $3467 $1$196 ($3361)21 $s $1680 $5944 0 $0 348 $20684 $2 856) $22540 $101753 $3 72115 185 $2079
$103458 $33680 0 $0 7018 $347304 S1370 $ 05965
A-71
TABLE A-36 (Contd) S TIO TfPBLE EEN-TT-CCSTS TP- -uatedCa1c
Eccncmic and Financial Pavsis fc- Energy irvestcents -- Eypt EEA 96
aita Costs -eefitParaeters nterna Rate of etur- 1229
fcouisition 0799 Price c Oil $40 bbl (yr 1)Transp rtatir $0 Oil Esalat 20year Disc PV of PV of BZCorst-utie $0 Rate Berfits Costs Ratio
irterconntior $0 Enry Savrs 348 bblyear Fue USE 0 bbllyear N $347304 $33 1 2TOTL -Cap -107 995 S22D720 $132 5S3 $148127 212
4 $2307S6 $2 037 $10 175 -79Construct Time 19 months 6 $92818 $126130 628 53 8 $1amp3517 $123796 3721 132Operating and Normal Mainterance Costs 10 $14C52 $1219(4 $1363 115
11 $3004 $121091 $9913Operating Cost $1650 year 108
12 $1 432 $12C353 $20 102Operating Lifetime 21 years 1 $114751 S83 ($4 31 09z $11
14- $107847 $119072 ($11225) 091Major Equipment RepairRelacemert 5 $1C1622 $110514 (c6291) 086 16 $95993 $118002 ($220C09) 081
Replace Cost ($4536)period 8 $8624E T17102 ($30 S56 074Replace Period 20 years 2 $78143 $115338 ($32195) 067
A-72
APPENDIX B
Preliminary Cost Estimates
Three (3) systems are considered appropriate for cost analysis Cost estimates are preliminary for use in the Application ReviewConceptual
Design portion of this project
A Waste Heat Recovery System
B Solar Thermal Collection System
Current $US (mid-1986) are applied then escalated to mid-1987 theexpected construction period at 10 percent
For cost assessment purposes all material and supervision will beconsidered imported Egyptto Labor costs will reflect some Egyptianrate influence although certain installation procedures will requireexperienced labor not currently available in Egypt
The average annual wage for the Egyptian construction industry in 1985Is 7800 LE or $5778 (US) ($135 LE per US $)
An average labor rate in the United States for construction servicesapplicable to this project is estimated by the R S Means Company to be$2177 per hour in 1985 (crew Q4) An estimated thirty percent imporledlabor with severity percent Egyptian labor can be used for establishing a mixed labor rate average of $936 per hour (US) A labor cost modifier for wages becomes $936$2177 or 0431
Equipment and system cost estimates and percentages are established byusing R S Means Company Cost Data and1985 equipment suppliersbudget pricing estimates
The solar cost data are determined in flxed-and variable-cost increments as required by the FCHART-4R program input format A solar collection array size of 4000 square feet ( 72 m2 ) is estimated for use in determining the variable cost factor
B-I
A WAS[E HEAT RECOVERY SYSTEM
DESC R I FT ION SIEI OTAI TOTAL
3 WAY WASTE WATER DIVERTING VALVES SUMP MATERIALS SUMF PUMP FILTER SCREEN SUMP PUMF LEVEL CONTROL AND VALVE WASTE HEAT STORAGE TANK WASTE HE(I S IORAGE TANK PUMP STORAGE TANK LEVEL CONTROL AND VALVE WASTE HEAT EXCHANGER $1200)1000 EITI SUB-TOTAL EQUIFMENT(MID-1986) $160900
ESCALATION FACTOR 11 TOTAL EQUIPMENT (MID-1987) $176990
FLOW ItDICATORS AND GLOBE VALVES 3 WAY PROCESS WATER BLENDING VALVES STEAM CONTROL VALVES PROCESS WATER TEMPERATURE CONTROLLERS SUB-TOTAL EQUIPMENT(MID-1986) $71400
ESCALATION FACTOR 11 TOTAL EQUIPMENT (MID-1987) $78540
PIPING COST (40 EQUIP COST) 040 $102212
INSULATION COST (75 PIPING COST) 075
SUB-TOTAL MATERIAL COST $434401
LABOR COST (715 MATERIAL COST) $310597 MODIFIERLABOR MIX 043 MODIFIED LABOR COST $133557
SUB-TOTAL MATERIAL + LABOR $567958
TOTAL WASTE HEAT RECOVERY SYSTEM CONSTRUCTION COST $567958
B-2
B SOLAR THERMAL COLLECTION SYSTEM VARIRIABLE COrST (HIID-19117)
DESCR I FIUIN SOLAR CULA-ECTORS $10 0uFT2 COLLECTOR AREA 4000 rF2 COLLECTOR COST SOLAR CIRCIJLAFIN(3 PUMPFS SULAR 1ISTRIBLTI 1 PIlIPS STRUCTURAL STEEl SOLAR CONTROLS INSVRUMELNV AIR SYSEIIFIPING LOW VOLTAGE CABLE EXCAVArION AND FOUNDAFIONS ELECTRICAL
TOTAL EQtJIPMENT(MI ID-1986) ESCALATION FACTOR TOTAL ELUI MENT (MID-1787) PIPING COST (40 COLLECTOR COST) INSULATION COST (75PIPING COST) TOTAL MATERIAL COST I$144050
$105500
I1
075
$116050 $16lt00 $12000
LABOR COST (715 MATERIAL COST) MOIFIERLABOR MIX MODIFIED LABOR COST
$102996 043
$44286
MATERIAL + LABOR $188338
FREIGHTDUTYTAXES TO EGYPT 10 $18834
SUBTOTAL $207172
SUBTOTAL CONTINGENCY 15
$207172 $31076
TOTAL VARIABLE COST COST PER FT2 $60
$238248
B-3
------------------------------------------------------------------------
--------------------------------------------------------------------
FIXED COST (MID 1987)
DESCRIPTION CONTRALCTOIR S RENTAL SUFPL IES CONIRACrORS FACILITIES CONTRACTORS UTILITIES CONTRACTORS MATERIAL HANDLING CONTRACTORS CLEAN-UP DISMANTLING AND MOVING BOXING AND CRATING U S IRANSPORTAT ION SUB-TOTAL $34000
SUB-TOTAL M34000 CONTINGENCY 15 $5100
TOTAL FIXED COST $39100
LGE COST BASED ON CURRENT FIELD TEST PROJECT
TOTAL VARIABLE COST $238248 TOTAL FIXED COST $39100
TOTAL SYSTEM CONSTRUCTION COST $277348
EEA COST DATA BASED ON CURRENT PROJECTS USING IN-COUNTRY CONTRACTOR AND EQUIPMENT
VARIABLE COST $2862FT2 $2862 COLLECTOR SIZE (FT2) 4000 TOTAL VARIABLE COST $114480
EEA FIXED COST $26757
TOTAL SYSTEM CONSTRUCTION COST $141237
CONSTRUCTION COST SUMMARY
A WASTE HEAT RECOVERY SYSTEM $567958
D SOLAR THERMAL COLLECTION SYSfEM $277348
1(lAL CUNSTRUCTION CU9 A amp B $845 05
B-4
APPENDIX C
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Design install operate and evaluate a series of
renewable energy field tests which utilize commercially
available technologies in applications having potential
for widespread use in Egypt
a Conduct a ormal management and technical training
program both on-the-job and specialized and establish
an intensive information dissemination program
The MarketEconomic Analysis Task is one of the supporting
activities that will provide useful information for the
accomplishment of the proposed project objectives The Market
Economic Analysis Task is set up to accomplish the following
objectives
Evaluate the economic performance of candidate
renewable energy technologyapplication systems
in the field test program in the Egyptian economy
Identlfy non-technica bottlenecks that could be
encountered in the dissemination and wide use of
renewable energy technologies
Estimate the market environment in Egypt under which
the supply of and the demand for preselected renewable
energy technologies will be transacted
-2 shy
Identify policy issues such as energy prices
incentives tariffs and regulations that could be
modified instituted andor removed to enhance the
establishment of a true economic cost of energy
resources
Determine the economic environment under which
investment decisions could be made for the widespread
vse of similar renewable energy technologies in Egypt
0 Train Egyptian counterparts with the capability of
performing market and economic assessments of similar
energy projects
The MarketEconomic Analysis Task is performed in two
parts The first part is the Pre-RFP MarketEconomic Analysis
This activity will perform a site specific MarketEconomic
analysis of a particular field test in order to provide decision
makers both at EEA and USAIDCairo with information on the
financial and economic viability of the proposed field test
This information is required as one of the pieces of information
for a go-no-go decision on the issuance of an RFP
The second part performs a marketeconomic analysis of
specified renewable energy technologies throughout Egypt in
industrial sectors represented by the eleven field tests
- 3 shy
This report represents the first part the Pre-RFP Market
Economic analysis for a field test designed to test the technical
and economic viability of the use of solar industrial process
heat (IPH) and a waste heat recovery system for textile bleachshy
iig
- 4shy
3 BACKGROUND
The proposed site for Field Test 4 -Textile finishing at
the Helwan Spinning and Weaving Company at Helwan near Cairo
Helwan Spinning and Weaving Company is a large textile
plant finishing a variety of fabrics The finishing operation
consists of a series of chemical treatments involving hot and
cold washes by dyeing and bleaching processes The hotfollowed
wash dye and bleach washers are currently brought to and held
at the desired temperature range by direct sparging with steam
(hand-valve adjustments)
Objectives of Proposed Field Test Site for IPH System
The primary objectives of this field test are to provide
EEA with practical working experience using Solar Thermal
Industrial Process Heat and to provide system design and operashy
tional training for Egyptian engineers for the purpose of
assessing and implementing similar projects throughout Egypt
This field test will evaluate the viability of solar thermal
industrial process heat with waste heat recovery system for
textile finishing
The application of solar IPH and waste heat recovery
system for textile finishing at Helwan Textile will serve as a
demonstration of the capability of the combined technology of
- 5 shy
industrial process heat to reliably supply significant amounts
of energy at other textile finishing facilities It is important
that this field test be designed to distinguish between the
performance of the solar IPH and the performance of the waste
heat recovery systems so that each can be evaluated for other
applications
-6 shy
4 ECONOUilC ANALYSIS
Objective
The objective of this analysis is to evaluate the economic
viability of a solar thermal system for providing industrial
process heat for textile finishing at the Helwan Spinning and
Weaving Company at Helwan and to determine whether or not an
investment in this field test would result in the acquisition of
useful information and know-how not only technical but also
managerial and institutional so that such experiences could be
duplicated throughout the economy of Egypt
Research Methodology
The method of analysis selected for accomplishing the above
objective is the standard benefit cost analysis used in project
evaluation A benefit cost analysis involves first the pooling
of anticipated benefits and costs (direct and indirect) resulting
from the project throughout its economic life The streams of
benefits and costs are then expressed in present value terms
using a common numeraire (a discount rate)
From this the following evaluation characteristics can be
calculated
The Net Present Value (NPV) is the difference between the sum of
the discounted stream of benefits and the sum of the discounted
stream of costs discounted by a given discount rate
- 7 shy
The Payback Period is the number of years it takes a project to
generate sufficient benefits to cover its cost or the number of
years it takes the net present value to change from a negative
to a positive value
The Internal Rate of Return (IRR) sometimes called the economic
rte of return is that discount rate that would equate
discounted benefits to discounted cost or reduce the net present
value to zero
Benefit-Cost Ratio (BC) This is the ratio obtained by dividing
the discounted value of all project benefits by the discounted
value of project costs
Simple Payback This is a rule of thumb method used by investors
to see if a particular financial venture is worth investing in
or not The simple payback is calculated by summing up all
capital and operating costs and dividing that sum by the value of
the first full years benefit In the private sector in most
industrialized countries a simple payback of 3 to 5 years is
expected With renewable energy technology a simple payback of
7-9 years is usually admissible
- 8shy
Assumptions
The economic analysis of the IPH system is based on the
following assumptions
0 All energy conversions are made into barrels of oil
equivalent where one metric ton is equivalent to
US 733 barrels
0 Price of oil is valued at US$20barrel of No 6 light
heating oil escalated at 2 per year This price
level may not be indicative of the price of oil that is
rapidly changing at present It should be noted that
the analysis in this study is to look at what may
happen in the long-rt-n during the 1980s and 1990s As
such the analysis should not be affected by what
happens to commodity prices in the spot market in the
very short-run A revision of the price of oil in the
analysis may be appropriate when the price level
stabilizes
A discount rate of 1O is sed This is the
opportunity cost of money used in international
lending agencies such as the World Bank
Hardware is assumed to have a salvage value of 10 at
the end of the life of the system
-9shy
The system is expected to have a life of 20 years
0 Some hardware items are purchased in Egypt An
exchange rate of LE 135 = US$ 100 is used All
prices are in constant US$ 1985
Data Base
Two sets of cost estimates were used in this analysis The
fWrFt set of data was provided by Lockwood Greene Engineers for
a 4000 sqft collector area (see Appendix B)
On the basis of the best available information Lockwood
Greene Engineers have provided the following cost estimates
Collector Size 4000
Prices Variable cost $60O0sqft Fixed cost $39180
0 + M cost 2 of total cost
Salvage value 42 of total cost
Energy savings 325 barrels of oil
Construction period 10 months
System life 20 years
The second set of data was provided by EEA for a collector
size of 4200 sqft The EEA cost estimates also show two types
of prices The first set shows a price of $2581 per square foot
- 10 shy
of colector This price is to be used for collectors purchased
for the REFT Project The second set shows a price of $2221 per
sqft which is to be used when evaluating IPH application
elsewhere in Egypt (see Appendix C)
Cost estimates provided by EEA are as follows
Collector Size 4200 sqft
Prices Variable cost $2221isqft (local)
$2581sqft (REFT)Fixed cost $17430 (local)
$23995 (REFT)
0 + M cost 2 of hardware cost
Salvage value 42 of capital cost
Energy savings 348 barrels of oil
Construction period 10 months
System life 20 years
Analysis and Results
The economic evaluation of the IPH system for textile
finishing was performed by examining the following sets of
assumptions
1 A 4200 sqft collector area at a price of $30sqft
2 A 4200 sqft collector area at prices of
$ 2581sqft and $2221sqft
3 A Waste Heat Recovery System
4 A 4200 sqft collector area priced at $30 per sqftombined with waste heat recovery system
5 A sensitivity analysis at different collector prices and varying prices of oil
- 11 shy
Table 1 presents the input data based on cost estimates
provided by Lockwood Greene Engineers These estimates are based
on a collector system purchased from the US at a price of
US$60sqft Output results for this analysis is presented in
Table 2
Input data for the base line analysis are presented in
Table 3 All base line analyses were performed assuming a price
of $20O0bbl of oil The economic evaluation of all systems
was made using a discount rate of 10 although system perforshy
mances are examined at varying discount rates ranging from 0
to 20 at 2 intervals (see Appendix A)
Table 4 presents results of the base line analysis As
shown in this table the 4200 sqft solar collector systems at
all collector prices do not pay during its economic life The
solar collector system at a price of $30sqft has a simple
payback of 22 years which is longer than the life of the system
The net present value at 10 discount rate is negative for
the baseline case with collector price $30sqft and price of
oil $2Gibbl indicating that the financial benefits accruing to
the project will not be able to offset the cost of acquisition
and operation of the system during its economic life span The
net present value at different level of discount rate and varying
prices of oil is presented in Figure 1
- 12 shy
TABLE 1
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM
FIELD TEST 4 - HLEWAN TEXTILE
DATA INPUT - US CASE
(Collector Price US$ 60sqft Price of Oil
I T E M S SOLAR ONLY WASTE HEAT RE(]OVaRY
Capital Cost ($) 227348 567958
0 + M ($) 4765 11359
Salvage Value ($) 11649 23854
Energy Savings (bbl) 325 11048
Construction Period (Month) 10 10
System Life (Yrs) 20 20
Source LBII estimates based on Engineering cost by Lockwood Greene Engineers
20bbl)
COMBINED SYSTEM
845306
16906
35503
11737
10
20
data provided
- 13 shy
TABLE 2
ECONOMIC NALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM
FIELD TEST 4 - HELWAN TEXTILE
RESULTS - US CASE
(Collector Price USS60sqft Price of Oil US$ 20bbl)
I T E M S SOLAR ONLY WASTE HEAT COMBINED RECOVERY
Energy Savings (bbl) 325 11048 11373
Simple Payback (Yrs) 43 3 4
Pdyback Period (Yrs) None 4 6
Net Present Value i = 10 ($251325) 1568793 1310681
Internal Rate of Return (IRR ) - 834 4220 2843
BC Ratio i = 10 021 337 233
Source LBII estimates based on Engineering cost data providedby Lockwood Greene Engineers
- 14 shy
TABLE 3
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM
FIELD TEST 4 - HELWAN TEXTILE
DATA INPUT - BASELINE ANALYSIS
(Collector Price US$ 30sqft)
I T E M S SOLAR ONLY WASTE HEAT COMBINED RECOVERY SYSTEM
Capital Cost ($) 149995 567958 717953
0 + M (S) 2520 11359 13879
Salvage Value ($) 6300 - 0 - 6300
Energy Savings (bbl) 348 11048 11396
Construction Period (Month) 10 10 10
System Life (Yrs) 20 20 20
Source LBII estimates based on cost data provided from EEA and Lockwood Greene Engineers
- 15 shy
TABLE 4
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM
FIELD TEST 4 - HELWAN TEXTILE
BASELINE ANALYSIS RESULTS
(Collector Price $30sqft Price of Oil US$ 20bbl)
I T E M S SOLAR ONLY WASTE HEAT COMBINED RECOVERY
Energy Savings (bbl) 348 11048 11396
Simple Payback (Yrs) 22 3 3
Payback Period (Yrs) None 4 5
Net Present Value i = 10 ($100633) 1565248 1464614
Internal Rate of Return (IRR ) - 124 4220 3402
BC Ratio 041 335 275 i = 10
Source LBII estimates based on cost data provided by EEA and Lockwood Greene Engineers
- 16 shy
Figure I Helwan TextileIPH - Solar only - Net Present Value at various Discount Rates and Prices of Oil (Collector
Price S30sqft)
0
150
-J)0
LUJ
LUJ
00-
Li
11 t 6
4F
D I SCOU NT RATE ()
130BBL
-$25BBL
~$15BBL $20BBL
- - 17 shy
The internal rate of return (IRR) is significantly lower
than the 10 economic rate of return expected to cover the cost
of credit
The waste heat recovery system on the other hand shows
positive results The system pays for itself in four years
The internal rate of return for the waste heat recovery
system is very high 4220 indicating very high economic gains
to be realized by installing this system
The Application Review for Field Test 4 examines solar
thermal together with a waste heat recovery system as a unit that
will be installed at Helwan Textile Accordingly an economic
evaluation of the combined solar thermal plus the waste heat
recovery system was performed
The input data used for Zhis analysis is presented in
Table 3 Results of the economic analysis for the combined
system are presented in Table 4 As shown in Table 4 the
combined system is economically viable The payback period for
the combined system is five years with an Internal Rate of
Return (IRR) of 3402 Figure 2 presents a graphic representashy
tion of the internal rate of return (IRR) for the output results
presented in Table 4
- 18shy
C
Figure 2 Helwan Textile - Internal Rate of Return at different Prices of Oil for Waste Heat Recovery
and Combined Solar and Jaste Heat Recovery
Systems (Collector Price $60 and $30sqft)
100
80shy
60-
LU 40
lt
($ B B LUi P R 1 0 F 0 1 L
-20
-20
- 19shy
-40
It is very clear from Table that the economic performance
of the combined system is lower than that of the waste heat
system indicating the dampening effect of the poor econoinic
performance of the solar thermal system
It should be pointed out that there is no functional relashy
tionship between the technical or economic performance of solar
thermal and waste heat recovery systems One can install the
solar thermal all by itself or in combination
As discussed earlier the proposed 4200 sqft solar thermal
system is not economically viable at a collector price of $30
sqft and price of oil S20barrel A separate analysis was
performed using a S20barrel price of oil and collector prices of
$30 25 22 and 20sqft Results of the analysis is presented
in Table 5
As shown in Table 5 the solar thermal system is not
economically viable at all collector prices The system does
not pay for itself during its life span Even at the lowest
collector price ($20sqft) the benefits derived from the
system can only cover 58 of the cost incurred (BC ratio 058)
during the life of the system
An additional sensitivity analysis was performed for each
collector price level and varying prices of oil As inshown
- 20 shy
TABLE 5 - ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM - FT4HELWAN TEXTILE SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS WITH DIFFERENT COLLECTOR PRICES
(Price of Oil US$ 20BBL)
I T E M S
COLLECTOR
$20sqft $22sqft
PRICE
$25sqft $30sqft
r
Energy Savings
(bbl)
Simple Payback
(Yrs)
Payback Period
(Yrs)
Net Present Value
i = 10
Internal Rate of Return - IRR
348
16
None
($51604)
266
348
16
None
($55919)
216
348
19
None
($76694)
046
348
22
None
($100633)
- 124
BC Ratio
i = 10 058 056 048 041
Source LBII estimate based on engineering cost Lockwood Greene Engineers
data provided by EEA and
Tables 6 - 9 the solar thermal system will start showing
positive economic results if collector prices are between $20 and
$22sqft and oil prices increase to $35 - $40barrel It is
very unlikely to find a situation where one can have a decline
in the price of collectors while having a simultaneous increase
in the price of oil Since collectors are manufactured from
products such as plastic glass aluminum etc which are
energy intensive a decline in collector prices can only be
realiz=d with a decline in the price of energy
Figures 3 and 4 show graphic representations of the internal
rate of return (IRR) and payback period respectively for
different prices of collectors and varying prices of oil
A year by year cash flow for 36 different scenarios are
presented in Appendix A Tables Al - A36
- 22 shy
TABLE 6 - ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM - FT4HELWAN TEXTILE SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS WITH DIFFERENT PRICES OF OIL
(Collector Price US$ 20sqft)
P R I C E OF 0 1 L
I T E M $15bbl $20bbl $25bbl $30bbl $35bbl $40bbl
Energy Savings 348 348 348 348 348 348(bbl)
Simple Payback 21 16 12 10 9 8(Yrs)
Payback Period None None None None None None (Yr s)
Net Present Value i = 10 (69179) (51604) (34029) (16454) 1120 18695
Internal Rate ofReturn - IRR - 057 266 540 787 1014 1229
BC Ratio 043 058 072 087 101 115
Source LBII estimate based on engineering cost data provided by EEA andLockwood Greene Engineers
TABLE 7 - ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM - FT4HELWAN TEXTILE SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS WITH DIFFERENT PRICES OF OIL
(Collector Price US$ 22sqft)
I T E M
Energy Savings (bbl)
Simple Payback (Yrs)
Payback Period
(Yrs)
P R I C E OF 0 I L
$15bbl $20bbl $25bbl $30bbl $35bbl $40bbl
348 348 348 348 348 348
21 16 13 11 9 8
None None None None None None
Net Present Value i = 10 (73494) (55919) (38344) (20769) (3194) 14381
Internal Rate of Return - IRR - 108 216 491 735 961 1172
BC Ratio 042 056 070 084 097 111
Source LBII estimate based on engineering cost data provided by EEA and Lockwood Greene Engineers
TABLE 8 -ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM - FT4HELWAN TEXTILESENSITIVITY ANALYSIS WITH DIFFERENT PRICES OF OIL (Collector Price US$ 25sqft)
P R I C E OF 0 I L I T E M $15bbl $20bbl $25bbl $30bbl $35bbl $40bbl
Energy Savings
(bbl)
348 348 348 348 348 348
Simple Payback
(Yrs) 25 19 15 12 11 9
Payback
(Yrs)
Period None None None None None None
Net Present Value i = 10 (94268) (76694) (59119) (41544) (23969) (6394)
Internal Rate ofReturn - IRR - 263 046 304 532 739 932 BC Ratio 036 048 060 072 084 096
Source LBII estimate based on engineering cost data provided by EEA andLockwood Greene Engineers
TABLE 9 - ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM - FT4HELWAN TEXTILE SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS WITH DIFFERENT PRICES OF OIL
(Collector Price US$ 30sqft)
P R I C E OF 0 1 L
I T E M $15bbl $20bbl $25bbl $30bbl $35bbl $40bbl
Energy Savings 348 348 348 348 348 348 (bbl
Simple Payback 29 22 17 14 12 11(Yrs)
Payback Period None None None None None None (Yrs)
Net Present Value (118208) (100633) (83058) (65484) (47909) (30334) i = 10
Internal Rate of Return - IRR - 425 - 124 124 339 534 714
BC Ratio 031 041 051 062 072 082
Source LBII estimate based on engineering cost data provided by EEA and Lockwood Greene Engineers
Figure 3- Helwan TextileIPH - Solar Only - Internal Rate of
Returr at Different Prices of Oil and varying
Collector Prices
29shy
n
-15
CD 10shy
lt 5
S0
10
R
2
0 F
30 5
B BL )
-10
-27 shy
-Ig - Helwan Textile - Solar Only - Simple Payback at Dfferent Prices of Oil and varying Collector
Prices
50
40shy
30
20- $60sqft
- - S30sqft
I25sqft22sq ft 20sq ft
P
10
R I C E
20
0 F
30
0 1 L
40
B B L
50
- 28 shy
5 CONCLUSION
The economic analysis performed on the proposed IPH Field
Test at Helwan Textile showed that the 4200 sqft flat plate
collector system was not economically viable
However the analysis indicated that when the solar thermal
system was evaluated in combination with the waste heat recovery
system the project was economically viable This favorable
performance was caused not because of improvement made in
economic efficiency by the solar thermal system but rather
because the economic efficiency of the waste heat recovery
system is so strong that it more than offsets the poor
performance of the solar thermal system
It should be emphasized that this analysis did not cover an
evaluation of the complete array of solar thermal systems such
as solar collectors for domestic hot water etc The analysis
was limited to the application of flat plate collectors for
application in industrial process heat of a given temperature
range Therefore implications drawn from this analysis should
not be applied to other solar thermal uses
The economic analysis has revealed some interesting and
important economic technical institutional and policy issues
- 29 shy
It is clear that the proposed flat plate collector system
on its own cainot be expected to bring about positive economic
returns given current collector prices Therefore it is
necessary that
Investigations be made in the technical field to
determine if the efficiency of the system could be
improved without increasing system cost
e The supply side of the collector market be prepared
to manufacture and supply collector systems that are
cost effective
e Policy makers be cognizant of the fact that the price
of flat plate collectors must decrease by almost 60
compared to the best case scenario as used in this
study (from $30sqft to $10sqft) in order
for industrial consumers to find it attractive to
invest in solar thermal technology Since the market
and thus the solar thermal industry is at its infancy
in Egypt policy makers and the public sector have to
play a lead role in removing barriers and providing the
appropriate fiscal andor regulatory incentives to
enhance the manufacture and widespread use of solar
thermal technology
- 30 shy
It is the overall objective of the Renewable Energy Field
Testing Project to investigate selected renewable energy options
to
9 Comprehensively strengthen Egyptian technical and
institutional capabilities in the full spectrum of
renewable energy planning and decision-making for
technologies and applications
Develop and sustain an Egyptian renewable energy
infrastructure through establishment of data bases
information systems and organizations that effectively
serve both the public and private sectors
Design realize and evaluate the performance of a
series of field tests which utilize commercially
available technologies in applications having potential
for widespread use in Egypt
Complete formal managerial and technical training both
on-the-job and specialized and an intensive
information dissemination program
- 31 shy
The design operation maintenance and repair experience
with solar thermal systems that will be obtained through this
field test to form a strong technical base for the design and
application of other renewable energy technologies is an
important factor which has not entered into the benefit cost
calculation in this report These additional factors need to be
considered seriously for the go-no-go decision
- 32 shy
APPENDIX A
-cono mcarz F7ra r na 2Analvsis fo- Erer gyi s t s y --t ne E8 0o
TA -1E-1
Fcr Case ofFELD TEST 4 - HELW TEXTILEIIPH (CILLECTOR PRICE S35313FT- PRICE Cz OIL $158L)Assumr iliEscalatior Rate of
Savec ValLe Of V~Caoitaltea- Cost Deratzrnc Cost of OilCost Sbl Fuel Usea Fuel(bi) EeravCs Saveo AnnualEuiv Er-eray Lost
Casi Flow Discounted Cash Flo~w (NV) j=urrert 48
Ion $14--Oui -It X=-=== ==--- ----==---=-------S shyrarsoort 1 Construc ionI i nt er o 0ne zt i o r $$14$35 $4C- $1500 $0 31Tta 5870$(
58 $150415 ($149545)6520 S153cent S14945) ($149545) ($14954-)$0 348 (149 4W)V 5324 $20$2520 $1561 4 ($146848) 3146948)4 0 $0 348 ($14699) (S14704)SO $5431i250 159= 550 $2911 ($1441 ) ($1445)5 Si $0 348 $5540 S252 S020
($14550) ($144721)$252) 1624 ($141473) (142056)$$ 348 ($142321) (142571)8 5650$0 $1G56 0 $313r ($13797) ($139755) (S140ljE7 $ (140582)$0 346 _7632 20 $1689 0 $W 348 $520 $3243 ($13611) ($137548) ($138169)8 S5873 2520SO $25Z0 $1723 $3359 ($133477) ($135431)0 $0 (M76274 ($137040)9- W S757 348 S5336 $25200 SO 348 $3476 (s123235 ($133402) ($134490)10 $5116 S-20 ($135468)$0 $2520 51733 0
$352 (128205) ($131460)11S 250 $0 348 $6238 (13 812) ($134015)510s $2520 $3718 ($125595) so $2520 4 Sampo $3843
(S12600) (131235) ($132674)$ bull252$1S65 0 $0 348 $6490) ($1 999) ($127820) ($1k9754) ($131437)13 V) 520 $1902
$ 2-t $3370 ($1 j420) ($126117) ($128 3) ($130256)14 348 $6620$0 S2520 $1940
0 S0 $2520 $410W ($117859) ($124489)0 $0 348 ($127055) ($129243)15 (1 2520 $197 0 $6753 S250 $233 ($115317) ($22932) ($125 89)16 $0
so 348 $6888 S252 (3128273)i3520 4368$2019 ($1I1C755)
17 0 $0 348 $7025 (3121445) ($124679) ($127379)$2K$0 $-) 0 01 $156- ($I12S3)
348 3120025 ($123601) ($126556)$7166 512520 646 (S107812) (S11BC65918 $0 ($122590) (S125710 52 10 21 100 0 so - 0$2 520J 348 7309 t4935S21 42 0 so) 50 $789 ($102918i($105354) i17374) ($1216421 ($125101)20 348 $7 455 ($116139)$0 $2520 $2 5 ($12-0754)$2185 0 ($124459)s021 348(W30) $2520 57 605 $2-50 $5085$2229 ($I00504)0 s0 348 $7757
(314961 ($119923) ($123869)($3780 S11537 ($9239) ($112486) ($I18208) ($IM673)$143695 $50820 0 $0 7018 $130239 $194515 ($64276)
A-1
TABLE A-I (Contd) ASSUMPTIONS TABLE BENEFIT-COSTS TALE (Calculated)
Economic and Financiai Analvsis for Energy -strnents - Egypt EEA 101986
Cacital Costs Benefit Parameters Internal Rate of Return -425
Acouisition $149995 Price of Oil $1500 bbl (yr 1)Trarsoortation $0 Oil Escalat 20year Disc PV of FV of BCConstruction $0 Rate Benefits Costs NOV Ratio
interconnection $0 Enrgy Savns 348 bblyear Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 $130 23 $194515 ($64276) 067TOTAL (Cap) $149995
El $105270 $187381 (582111) 056
Construct Time 10 morhs 4 $86548 $181787 ($95239) 0486 $72307 $177 355 ($105048) 041
Ooeratinc and Normal Maintenance Costs 8 $61319 $173805 (3112486) 03510 $5725 $170933 $118208) 031 11 $$3l26 $169701 ($120575) 029oeratino Cost $2520 year 12 $45912 $168585 ($122673) 027Operating Lifetime 21 years 13 $43032 $167571 ($124539) 026
Major Eauipment ReoairReolacement 14 $40443 $166647 ($126204) 024 15 $38108 $165804 ($227695) 023
Salvage Value ($6300)period 16 $35 997 $165032 ($129034) 022 18 $32342 $163674 ($131332) 020Replace Period 20 years 20 $29303 1162522 ($133219) 018
A-2
--
__
Ewic a Fzranzai Z aiys s for Enercy Investments Eayot EEAq-
10I9i-
1PLE A-2 For Case ofFIELD TEST 4-- H2LWRN TEXTILEIP (COLLECTOR PRICE $30SQF - PRICE OF OIL $20BlAssumino Oil Escalation Rate of 0OL
Ca0ita Oeratira Cost cf Oilyear Fuel UsedCost Cost $Bb Saved VEL- -Fuei Ererly(Bb) Cost ave Arr al Cas FlowEouv ne-v LisOurted Cash FlowAnua C Flow 0V) 6 ===--- shy ======= =----=- rcuisior $1 93 -- Codegt ure~n $4Trar-I sSrC0=-=---= = 8 10 12=== =_==== -= =shy
=== =---==_-_I Corstru-t or te $34 512415 $2
431$951 Tota) C$Z $520 5 $160 (Q14-$1-47 $24
fSO $A 0 so 2s ($14 SH5) ($149255)$0
$73 $-5 ($144 8-( ($492s)$ $4$274 ( -14482)(3145015)s 348 (31450321$7241 $2520 ($145GG) $ $ 20 12 65 o so$01
348 0
$472( ($140487) ($140357) (s1411025200 ($1414031$25207 $2208 $ 0 3(1381611($i37 105 0 $11 4 3$0 20 S5_a20 5 0 so ($137534) ($137939)52520 348
0 $S034 3483 $7645 3 S- $5014 ($131875)$78 $1202 (11j33419)SO2 $ $5318SE184 ($12763 ($126 5531 (3134110) (134753)($123428)
$0 S3 ($127901) ($129128)$2520 $2297 $0 $2 2 o 0 345 $4I4 ($$2343 $995 1)7 ($1239(50 348 $2520 5475 ($130903)Ii 3155 s2$23 $131822)$ 183$0$2$SC n 5 ($13 50 ) ($120314 ) ($1224 )0 ($ 124376)-2$-iSO $23($ 5212~~ $ 520 2438S S $1 513 3) (SI27903 ) ( 52)$252 0 $2$0~ $7980 0 3 -4 i$110761 ($117414)1$ $2FO ($120000 -2520 $5 Z $59 4 ($12-2285)
gs )1 3 $20 287 $0348 1$107 0-7) ($S141238 ($ 17 7 0) SI2652587 $$c 24 ($120 3 5 )15 $0 0 (S0563) ($112021)$2 52 $2 $-9348 ($11555) ($118601)$0 520 6 0 so 34 8 $2 443483 S82 311104 $220$ 520 S664 ($30) ($107132)$ 307 ($931($S3123)) ( 10 (Si1267) ($115497)6 ($I04Ef) ($11973)5I) ($S 15451 ($11133)o0 $2 520 ($1169 3)SO 5 2 920 032520 5274 6 0 4 8 $ 36 $S 2- 8$0 47 ( 1 014 34 6 $3555 ($ I02 70 19 348 $7U ($1 0743 ) ($I 1i7
s0 $2520 $2800 0 $2 520 7 0 5 ($8 834 ($00 65) ) ($10 8 273 ) ($112 8 2 )
$2520 $9 0 $200 $72- (914$) 3)S0 $4 ($90 063 ($110682)27 $0 $2 c856 00 ($76 51)2$5 14 0 0 348 0 ($9 842 ($0397 ($10977)340 $I0139 -521 $2 5 0 $($6300) $7 19$2520 $2972 0 ( 72 8 35 ($ 076 ()0s0 ($102 72) ($10023)348 $10342 (3780) $1418 ($ 3) ($9246) ($100633) ($I0735)
$143695 $0820 0 s 7018 $173652 $194515 ($20863)
A-3
ASSUMPTJINS TABLE TABLE A-2 (Contd) BENEFIT-COSTS TPBLE (Calculated)
Economicand Finar_ial Analysis fr Energy Investments - Egypt EE 10191S6
Capital Costs Benefit Parareters Internal Rate of Return -124
Acquisitior 149995 Price of Oil 2000 bbl (y 1)Transoortation $0 Oil Escalat 20rvear Disc PV of PV of BC
Construction $0 Rate Benefits Costs NPV RatioInterconrection $0 Enrgy Savrias 348 bblyear --- _____-__
- Fuel Use 0 bblivear 0 $173652 $1S4515 ($20863) 089TOTAL (Car) $14995 2 $14036O $187381 (347021) 075 4 $115398 S181787 (36E390) 063Construct Time 10 months 6 $96409 S177355 ($80946) 054
8 $31759 5173805 ($92 046)Ooerating and Normal Maintenance Costs 047l0 $70299 $170 933 ($100633) 041
11 $65502 $169701 (3104199) 039Operatino Cost S2520 year 12 $61216 1amp3585 ($107369) 036Oerating Lifetime 21 years 13 57376 $167571 (3110195) 034
14 $53924 $16G647 (3112723) 032Major Equioment ReoairReplacement 15 $50811 $165804 ($114992) 031 16 $47997 $165032 ($117035) 0213Replace Cost ($6300)oeriod 18 $43123 $163674 (3120551) 026Replace Period 20 years 20 $39071 $162522 ($123451) 024
A-4
Econonxc and Finarcial 9ralvsis for Energy Investrets -- EcvDt EEA 1013i6C
TABLE A-3
For Case ofFIELD TEST 14 - H-LWAN TEXTILEIPi ( COLLECTOR PRCE $30SQFT- PRICE OF OIL $25BBL) Assuming Oil Escalation Rate of 20
Saved Valus ofCacital boeratirng Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel Energy Saved Annual Cash Flow Discounted Cash Flow ((NV) iYear Cost Cost $Bbl (Bbl) Cost Eauiv Erercy Cost Currert f 4 8 10 12
S Accuisitio $149995
1 Transoort $0 I Construct ior $0 I Interconnection $0
Totil $149q95 $420 $2500 0 $0 58 $1450 S150 415 ($14295) (3148965) ($48965) ($14895) ($148965)$0 $2520 $2550 0 s0 348 $3874 $2520 $3354 ($142855) ($143082) ($143189) ($143292)3 s0 $2520 $2601 0 $0 348 $9051 $2520 ($1368171 ($137482) ($137791) ($133085)4 $0 2520 $2653 5
0 s0 348 $3233 $252 $ 713 ($130643) ($132153) ($132748) ($133307)$0 2520 $2706 0 $0 6
348 $9417 $2520 $o897 ($124954) ($127084) ($128037) ($128924)$0 S2520 $2760 0 $0 348 $9606 $2520 S7056 ($119130) ($122261) ($123637) ($124903)7 so $2520 $2815 0 $0 348 $3798 $2520 $7278 ($113378) (117675) ($119529) ($121216)so $1520 $28728 0 $0 348 $39A 9
S2520 $7474 ($107699) ($11331b) ($115694) ($117836)s0 $2520 $2929 0 $0 348 $10193 $25L0 $7673 ($102032) ($09169) ($1121141 ($114736)10 $0 2520 $2986 0 11
$1 348 $10397 $25_lt $7877 ($36557) ($105228) ($103774) ($111896)$0 $2520 $3047 0 $0 348 $10 60 $_520 $308512 ($31095) ($I01483) ($105656) (5109293)$0 $2520 $3106 0 $0 348 $10817 $2520 $8237 ($85706) ($97925 ($102748) ($106907)13 $0 $2520 $3171 0 $0 348 $11034 $2520 $8514 ($80388) ($94544) ($10003-5) ($104722)$0 $2520 $323414 0 $0 348 $11254 $2520 $873415 ($75142) ($91332) ($97505) ($102720)$0 $2520 $3299 0 $0 348 $11479 $2520 $8959 ($69968) ($88282) ($95146) ($100837)16 $0 $2520 $3365 0 $0 348 $I709 $2520 $3189 ($64866) ($85385) ($92946) ($99208)17 $0 $2520 $3432 0 $0 348 $11943 $252(l $9423 ($59835) ($M 634) ($90895) ($97671)18 $0 $2520 $3501 0 $0 348 $12182 $2520 $3662 ($54875) ($80023) ($88984) ($264)19 so $2520 $3571 0 $0 348 $12426 $2520 $9906 ($349985) ($77544) ($87202) ($94976)20 $0 $2520 $3642 0 $0 348 $12674 $2520 $10154 ($45165) ($75191) ($85542) ($93797)21 ($6300) $2520 $3715 0 $0 348 $12928 ($3780) $16708 ($37540) ($71607) ($830558) ($92065)
$143695 $50820 0 $0 7018 $217065 $194515 $22550
A-5
-- --
TABLE A-3 (Contd) ASSUMPTIONS TABLE BENFIT-COSTS TABLE (Calculated)
Economic and Financial Analysis for Energy Investments - Egyot EEA i01986
Capital Costs Benefit Parameters Internal Rate of Return 124
Acouisition $149995 Price of Oil $25CK bbl (yr 1)TransDortation $0 Oil Escalat 20year Disc PY of PV of BCConstruction $0 Rate Benefits Costs NPV Ratio
Interconrection $0 Enrgy Savngs 348 bblyear m_ S -- - Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 $217065 $194515 $2550 112
TOTAL Cap) $149995 2 $175450 $187381 ($11931) 094
4 $144247 $181787 ($37540) 079Construct Time 10 months 6 $120511 $177355 ($56844) 068 8 $102 198 $173805 ($71607) 059DOeratino and Normal Maintenance Costs 10 $87674 $170933 ($83058) 051
11 $81877 $169701 ($87824) 048Deratina Cost $2520 year 0 Sshye i s 5 a $76520 $168585 ($92065) 045ODperatina Lifetime 21 years 23 $71720 $167571 ($95851) 043
14 $67405 $166647 ($99242) 040Major Eauipment RepairReplacement 15 $63514 165804 ($102290) 038
16 $59996 $165032 ($105036) 036Salvage Value ($6 300period 18 $53904 $163674 ($109770) 033 Replace Period 20 years 20 $48839 $162522 ($1136833) 030
A-6
Econotic and Financial Araiysis for Energy Irvesteents - Egypt EEA 101986
TABLE A-4
For Case ofFI-2-D -ST 14 - HELWAN TEXTILEIPH ( COLLTOR PRICE 30SFT - PRICE OF OIL $30BBL)Assunina Oil Escalation Rate of 20
Saved Value of
CaPital Oerating Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel EreryYear Cost Cost $bl (PbI) Cost Ecuiv Savea Annual Cash Flow Discounted Cash Flow (N91V) IErerey Cost Currer $ 4 8 10 12
Pcousition $142995 I Tr2rsport $0 1 Constrtio s I Intercorrecto $01 Total $14995 $420 $3000 0 $0SO58 $1740 $150415 (148675) 3514375) ($148675) ($143675) ($148675)
$0 $60C 220 303 $25 0 $3121 0 5 34 506 9 2$0 348 $10862 50 $8 1 9 ($ 4 0 85M) ($ 1 4 11 4 8) ( S 141e280$25X) $342 ($133146) ($133937) ($134391)) ( $ 141 41 7 1
4 (3134767)$0 $2520 $31845 $0 2520 $347 0 0
$0 348 $11079 S2520 $8559 ($125537)$0 346 $1301 $2 (127202) ($127961) ($128675)0 2520 $3312
520 5781 ($118032) ($120748) ($121963) ($123095)7 0 $0 348 $111527 S2-0so S2520 $3378 $3007 ($110629) (114618)
850 0 (116371) ($117984)so 348 51275752520 $3446 0 $0 348
S2520 $9237 ($103329) ($108797) (111157) (113304)$I992 $2520 $9472 (39613) ($103270) ($106296) ($109020)$0 $2520 $35 1510 0$0 $2520 $3585 0 s0 348 $12232 S2520 $9712 ($89034 (598(023)11 $0 348 S2477 ($01765 (3105097)$0 $2 500 S 521t0 $9957 ($5 039)$3657 0 0 (33042 ($97543) ($101507)348 $12726 S252012 0 $ 2520 $53730
$10206 ($7E144) ($88315) (1193608) (S98220)0 $0 348 $12981 $25 $10461 ($S3 3h8)14
52520 (55823) ($89941) ($95213)$0 $2520 $3881 510720 (61 652)0 ($79571) ($86525)s0 348 $13505 ($92461)I5 $0 $2520 $10985 (555055)52520 $3958 0 ($75532 (583343) (89944)s0 348 $1377516 SO S2520 S511255 ($4e5) (571700)$2520 $4038 0 ($0379) (387641)$0 348 51405117 $0 $2520 $4118 0
S2520 $11531 ($4 153 ($68065) ($77 61) ($85534)s0 348 $14332 $218 -0 $11812$0 $2520 (35846) (364617) (575048)$4201 0 ($83607)19 348 $141619 S2520$0
s0 $1209 (59635$2520 $4285 ($61347) ($72650 ($81845$0 348 $1491120 $0 $2520 $2520 $12331 ($23519) ($58247)$4370 0 ($70426) ($80234)$0 348 $15209 $252021 (36300Y $2520 54458 0 $0 12689 ($174 ) ($55306) ($68351) ($78761)348 $15513 (53780) $19293 ($8691) ($51167) ($65484) (76761)
$143695 S5m0 0 so 7018 $260478 $194515 $65963
A-7
TABLE A-4 (Contd) ASSUMPTIONS TABLE BENEFIT-COT3 TABLE (Calculated)
Economic and Financial Aralysis for Energy Investments -- Egypt EEA 1019166
Caoital Costs Benefit Pararmeters Internal Rate of Return 339
Acquisition $149995 Price of Oil $3000 bbl (yr 1) Transportation $0 Oil Escalat L(Wvear Disc PV of PV of BC
Construct ior $0 Rate Benefits Costs NPV Ratio Interconnectior $0 Enrgy Savrias 348 bblvear
Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 S260478 $19455 $65963 134 TOTAL (Cao) $149995 2 $210540 $187381 S23159 112
4 $173097 $118787 ($8691) 095 Construct Time 10 months 6 $144614 $177355 ($32741) 382
8 $122638 $173805 1167 071 Operating and Normal Maintenance Costs 10 $105449 $170933 ($65464 062
11 $98253 $169701 ($71448) 058 Oerating Cost $2520 year 12 $91824 $168585 ($76761) 054
Operating Lifetime 21 years 13 $86064 $167571 ($81507) 051 14 $80885 $166647 ($85761) 049
Major Equipment RepairReDlacement 15 $76217 $165804 ($89587) 046 16 $71995 $165032 ($93037) 044
Replace Cost ($6300)period 18 $64685 $163674 ($98989) 040 Replace Period 20 years 23 $58607 $162522 ($103915) 036
A-8
Ecromic and Fna-ia Aaysis for Ene-v investmerts - E yvt EEP shyi(I195
TABLE A-5
For ie ofFIELD TEST 44 - H-LWA-4 TEXTILEi C E-TO PR CE $305 FT - PRIZE OF OIL $35BBL) Assurjc Oil Escalation PR-e of 20
Saved Vaiue cfa-tal Ooeratlr_ Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel Ererv a eO Anual poundan Flow Discounted Cash Flow (NPV) i = Year r st cost SPbl (bbl) [cst Eciv Errgv Cost Currert $ 4 8 10 12
I SI auxsiticr 1433
1 Trarsoort $0
EorstrLZt cr $0 SI-tercorrezt ior $0
Total $143 995 $420 $3500 0 so 58 $2030 S15-415 ($145385) (4148385) ($148385) (M142335) ($1483351$0 $2520 $3570 0 $0 348 $1424 $2520 $3904 ($138862) ($133215) ($39382) (13543)Sto S2520 $3041 0 $1 348 51-672 $520 $10(152W20476) ($130511) (S130992) ($131443)4 $1 $2523 $3714 0 S0 348 226 $2520 $10406 ($12C226) ($122251) ($23174 ($124043)o$0 2520 $3789 0 $ 34B $12184 52520 $10664 t$111I10) ($114413) ($115890) ($27266)
6 s0 $2520 $3864 0 $0 348 t53448 $252n 10928 (S102128) ($106975) (3109105) ($111065)70 $2520 $3942 0 s0 348 $13717 12520 S111137 ($93279) ($99 920) ($102785) ($10- 392)5 $0 $2520 $4020 0 $0 348 $13231 $250 $S1471 ($845 2) ($93226) ($33898) (M100204)9 VI $2520 $4101 0 so 348 $14271 S520 $11751 (175976) ($86878) ($91416) ($3f458)
10 $0 $2520 $4183 0 $0 348 $14556 $2520 $12036 ($67520) ($80E5) ($86312) ($11117)11 s0 $2520 42G 0 $0 348 $14647 $2520 1123227 (S52192) ($75147) ( 8155) ($7148)12 $ 0 $4352 0 so 348 $15144 $2520 $12624 ($5- 931) ($69732) ($77134) ($83519)13 $0 $2520 $4439 0 so 348 $15447 $2 0 $12927 ($42917) ($64599) ($73015) (W8320)14 $0 $ 50 $4528 0 $0 348 $I-755 $2520 S1323- ($34938) ($53732) ($69181) ($77168)15 SO $2520 $4618 (1 $0 348 $16071 $2520 $13551 ($27142) (S55118) ($5613) ($7439516 t0 $2520 $4711 0 $0 348 $16333 $250 $13873 ($1 439) ($50745) ($62232) ($71860)17 $0 $2520 $4805 0 $0 348 $16721 $2120 $14201 ($I1657) ($4660) ($59201) ($G9544)18 $0 $25200 $4901 0 so 348 $17055 $250 $14535 ($4396) (02672) ($5632) ($67427)19 $0 $2520 $4999 0 $0 348 $17396 $2520 $14876 $2948 ($33949) ($53650) ($65492)20 $0 $2520 $5093 21
0 $0 348 $17744 $3520 $15224 $10174 ($35421) ($51161) ($3725)($6300) $2520 $5201 0 $0 348 $18099 ($3780) $21879 $20159 ($30727) ($47909) ($61457)
$143695 $50820 0 $0 7018 $303891 $194515 $103376
A-9
TABLE A-5 (Contd)ASSUMPTIONS TABLE ENEFIT-COSTS TABLE (Calculated)
Economic and Financiai Analysis for Erergy Investments -- Egyot EEA 10965
Capital Costs Benefit Parameters Internai Rate of Return 534
Acquisition $149995 Price of Oil $35K0 bbl (yr 1) Transport tior $0 Oil Escalat 20vear Disc PV of FV of PCConstruction $0 Rate Benefits Costs tPV Ratio
Interconnectior $0 Enrgy Savns 342 bblyear ==-- -Fuel Use 0 bblvear 0 $303531 $154515 $103376 156
TOTAL (Cap) $149995 2 $245630 $187331 $58249 3
4 $i20 46 $181787 20159 i11Construct Time 10 months 6 $163716 $177355 ($8639) 095 8 $143078 $173805 ($30727) 082
Operating and Normal Maintenance Costs 10 $123024 $170933 ($47909) 072 11 S114628 $169701 ($55 073) 068
Operating Cost $2520 year 12 $107128 $165585 ($61457) 064 Operating Lifetime 21 years $l40810 $167571 ($67163) 060
14 $94366 $166647 ($72281) 057Major Equipment RepairReolacement 15 $82920 $165804 ($76864) 054
16 $83994 $165032 ($81038) 051Replace Cost ($6300)period 18 $75465 $163674 $88-08) 046
Replace Period 20 years 2 $68375 $162522 ($94147) 042A- 10
Eccricmi ane Finarcial AnalysiT fo Energy trvest-ents -- Ev-t EEA 101215
TAlKE A-5
For Case ofFiED TEST 04 - HELWPN TEXTIL=IPH (COLLECTD PRICE $3SFT- PRICE as OIL $40BBL) Ass mir Oil Esralatior Rate of 20
Savet Yait- ofCaoital ODerating Ccst of Oil Fuel bse Fuel Energy Saved fnrnal [a- Flch Liscounted Cash Flow (NPV) i = Year Cost Cost $bl (Bbi) CLst Ecit1 Energy Ccst C-rert$ 4 8 10 12
I Acc-ist on $142995 I -ras)ort $0 1 cnstr t o $0
I te-crrezt icr $0 Total $14995 $420 $400N 0 $0 58 $2320 $15045 (S143C135 ($14209) ($143095) ($142035) ($148095)S) $220 $4080 0 so78 ($138f6) ($137282) ($137478) ($137663)
$0 $2520 $4162 r $0 348 $1442 $250 $192 ($125806) ($127026) (M27592) ($128132)4 so 12120 $4245 0 s0 348 $14 77 S25K0 V2252 ($114914) ($117300) (1115337) ($119411)soS0 2 $43310s _$0 25 $330 0 1-7j(1147 0 ($04188)6 $0 $2520 $4416
$0 348 $15$7 525 $12547 ($108077) ($109817) ($111437)0 $0 348 s15 $252 $12849 ($33627) ($93322) ($1083S) ($104146)7 so $2 520 $4505 0 V) 348 $ 676 S21520 $13156 ($83230) ($31042) ($94412) ($97481)
8 $0 $2520 $4595 0 $0 348 $15 9 o 2520 S13470 ($72934) ($83 182) ($57500) ($9388)9 $0 $252) $4687 Q $0 348 $I309 $2520 $3 789 ($62918) $75732) ($31067) ($85818)10 $0 $2520 $4780 0 $0 348 $6631 5 2520 $14116 ($53001) ($68671) ($75081) ($0728)11 $0 $2520 $4676 0 $0 348 $1696 $520 $14448 ($43240) ($61979) ($69510) ($76076)12 $0 $2520 $4973 0 $0 348 $17308 $2520 $14788 ($33634) ($55636) ($64327) ($71825)13 $0 $2520 73 0 $0 348 $17654 $2520 $15134 ($24181) ($49626) ($59505) ($67940) 14 $0 $2520 $5174 0 $0 348 $18 007 S250 $5487 ($14880) ($43932) ($55019) ($64391)15 $0 $2520 $5278 0 $0 348 $ P367 $2 520 $15847 ($572-3) ($38537) ($50646) (55148)
$0 $220 $538316 0 $0 348 $18734 $25032 ($33425) ( 5) (58186)17 s $2520 $549 0 $0 348 $191$2 250 $I5 9 $12 131 ($328583) ($43354) ($55480)18 $0 $2520 $5601 C $0 348 $19491 $2520 $IE971 $20844 ($23996) ($39997) ($53008)19 $0 $2520 $5713 so 348 $19881 $2520 $173C1 $39414 ($19651) ($36874) ($50751)20 $0 $2520 $5827 (t $0 348 $20273 $2520 $17759 $37843 ($15536) ($33370) ($48689)21 ($6 300) $2520 $5944 $0 348 $20684 ($3780) $24 A64 $49 008 ($10288) ($30334) ($46153)
$143695 $50820 0 $0 7018 $347 304 $194515 $152789A-1 1
TABLE A-6 (Contd)ASSUMPTIONS TABLE BEIEF7-COSTS TABLE (Calculated)
Ecoroic nj Firancial Analysis for Energy Investmerts - Egypt EEA 10195G
azitai Costs Benefit Parameters internal Rate of eturr 714
Acuisition $149995 Price of Oil $400 bbl (yr 1)Transportat ior so Oil Escalat 20year Disc PV of PV of BCConstruction so Rate Benefits Cost- NPV RatioInterconnection $0 Enrgy SavTgs 348 bbyear ==== =-shy
--- Fuel Use 0 bbear 0 $347304 $194515 $152 789 179TOTAL (Ca ) $149 95 2 $28D720 $187381 $93359 150
4 230796 $181787 $49008 127Construct Time 10 months 6 $192818 $177355 V15463 109 8 $163517 $173 805 ($10288) 094Ooerating and Norwal Maintenance Costs 10 $140599 $170933 ($30334) 08211 $13004 $169701 $33698) 077
fteratiri$ Cost 12) $122432 $168585 ($46153) 073Ooeratirn Lifetime 21 years 13 $1i 751 $167571 ($52819) 068
Major Equi~oent ReoairReplacesent 14 $07847 $166647 ($58800) 06515 $10i622 5165804 ($64181) 061
16 $95993 $165032 ($69 039) 058Replace Cost ($6300)period 18 $86246 $163674 ($77428) 053Replace Period 20 years A12 20 $78143 $162522 ($84379) 048
ccz- a Firaca Araiysi- for Erergy IrvestL-rrts -- Ecyrt EC 01)83
TAP-LE P-7
For Case ofFIZLD TEST 4 - H-LWAN TEXTILEWAS-i i-AT PRESVERY wRIC2 SIS08L)DiL Assumiron Oil Escalation Rate of 20
Saved ValL- CCaoital DoeratinQ Cost of Oil Fue Used Fuel Erervy save kriual Cash Flow Discourted Cash Flow (NPV) 3 i =Yea- Cost Cost $b1 (Bbl) Cost Ecuiv Ererzv Cet Currert $ 4 8 10 12
1 Trar-s $0ort 1orstr-t lor $0
I I t e ronez t i m S-1 $735 $833 $Q500 C 0 1341 $27 62 53851 ($542231) (S542231) (S542231) (S542231) ($542231)Sc 53 S530 0 so 11045 $1ES034 11359 S76755- 0o62o) ($356235) (S93830) ($401450)SO $I1359 $15S1 $0 11048 S172415 jeuro $113-1S (3241715) ($252156) 3273 011353 V S 457 ($-=766) -4 to 259 $1592 0 iO 11045 $173863 1353 S164504 ($35471) ($127567) (142M1) ($15556)
Q S11359 $1624 0 $0 (148 17 I S11359 S63 -- $4 155 (340ampG) ($27 430) ($49185)6 11353 -016 U $0 11045 $182136 $12353 2171609 $183205 S12728 73126 1421917 $0 $11359 $1669 0 $0 14048 $186623 $S 353 i75269 $32772 $=223177 $173060 $136987$1125 $173 0 $0 11048 $536r $-53 S173001 $46 74S 3276-3 $263916 $2153S0 S111359 $1757 0 $ 11048 S194167 $13f $182808 S59735 $426389 5355 198 $29179210 $0 $1793 0 S0 11043 S1930L $3 $15 3 72H492 513781 $434373 S353115110 $11359 $128 0 S 1 $11048( I $190653 $357 30 $608090 $57 878 S420500 S0 $1365 0 $0 11048 $HS052 1-3 $134633 $383753 359159 $57617 $47646313 v0 $11353 $1902 0 $0 11043 S210173 $1- $193314 $1107338 $770542 $133465 1527500l$0 $11353 $1940 0 $0 11048 $214376 $1153 $203017 $223E665 $845191 $$5272 $574 0651373 s53$0 11048 1213664 $11359 $2737 $1349578 $915771 $7-2862 $61644516 $0 359 $2019 0 $ 11043 S223077 $11359 $211678 $1467116 $382501 $803536 $65511817 $ 511 353 $2059 0 $0 11049 $227498 S595 $216133 $1582514 $1045583 $850574 $5037518 1 1A3 S2100 0$0 11048 122C48 $1135 $2-20683 $1695810 $1105235 $894236 $7251719 $0 $11359 S2142 0 $0 11048 $236689 $11359 $S25330 $1807033 $1161623 $934764 $75181920 S0 $11359 12185 0 0 11048 $241423 $11353 $230064 $1316237 $1214932 1372331 $778531
21 $0 $11359 $2229 0 $0 11048 $246251 $1135 $234832 $202349 $1265328 1007296 $802881
$5679558 $Zgt9073 0 $0 222801 $0134711 $797031 $3337680
A-13
ASTYPTINS TABLE TABLE A-7 (Contd) BEEIT-rOT TAEPLE (Calculated)
Economic and Financial Analysis for Energy Investsents - Egypt EEA 10196
Capital Costs Benefit Faraineters interral Rate of Return 3101
Acquisitiorn $567952 Price of Oil 1500 bbl (yr 1) Trarsportatior $0 Oil Escalat 20year Disc PV of FVof BC
Corstruct ior $0 Rate Benefits Costs lrv Ratio
Irterconrection $0 Enrgy Sar_as 1104 bblyear -
--- ------ Fue Use 0 bbiyear 0 $41-4711 $77031 $3337680 519 TOTAL (Ca) $H67952 2 $34202-0 S755587 $2586433 442
4 t2747662 $72424 $2023439 379 Construct Time 10 morths 6 $2235 532 $700 138 $LJj5394 328
8$1946703 $68137G $1265328 286
Ooeratina and Normal Mairtenance Costs 10 $1673853 $666557 $1007296 251
11 $55962n $660307 $399314 236
Oerating Cost $11359 year 12 $1457578 $654697 $802881 223
Operating Lifetime 21 years 13 $136G 136 $64- 645 $716491 210 14 $1283$40 $645083 $638857 199
Major Equipment PeoairReplacemert 15 $1209831 $640951 $568880 189 16 $1142817 $37197 $505620 179
Replace Cost $0 period 18 $1026777 $630653 $396124 163
Replace Feriod 20 years 20 $930302 $625165 $305137 149
A-14
Econoi an Fnarial alysi for Energy Irve te-pt -- Eryct EEP 10138_
TABLE A-8
For Case cfF7ELD TEST $4 - HE=LWqN TEXTILE4qSTE -_j E[CXERY (PRCE C7 OIL $2013E_) Assurn_ 0i Escaiaticon Rate of 20
Saved Vale cf Capita Doeratn Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel Energy Saved rrual Cash c-w-- Discounted Cash Flow (NOV) i = Yea- Cost Cost Eb (pb]) Ccst Equiv Ererz Cst Currert $ 4 8 10 2
oisi67Ac s tr
rarExrt $0 rorstrztio sc
IIrerccrr_tor $0 7 $200Y 0 C1841 1687Tctai$78K S 98 1 )$53C3 ) 315Z3 02) ($5330251 ($533025) ($533015)2 v $11355 $ 04Q 0 $0 11048 t225379 $1153 $214020 (327235) (S-34858) ($338461) ($341935)3 $0 $11353 $08i C $0 11048 $-23857 $1135 1-258 ($125195) (S147505) ($157B59) (167726)
4 $0 $1135 $21 22 0 $0 11048 $234465 $11359 $223126 $73163 $23619 $3778 (18910) $0 fI1-- $21E5 0 $0) 11048 $29174 $353 $227815 $26790 $197070 $r5 379 $125S71E $0 $13 2 2 083 0 so 11048 S2433K8 S1352 5-3 $459080 1355 373 $303805 $267854
7 $0 611355 $252 C $1) 11048 $243K7 $59 $27478 $4762 $505024 $-855 53881678 $ $1135 $227 0 $0 11048 $2K2814 353 -142455 $33007 $646494 $568272 $4978429 $1 35 $2343 (1 $0 11046 $253 83 $111359 s47 531 $1011876 $780227 $623747 $59781510 $0 $11359 $I39 0 $0 11048 $26068 $135 $252703 $1183426 $906644 $790920 $68894411 soS 1359 $2438 0 s0 l048 $2634 S1 359 S57990 $1363714 $1026144 3890387S77201012 $0 $11359 $2487 0 s0 11048 $274736 $353 $263377 $1534793 $1139102 $982699 $84772513 $0 S11259$2535 0 $0 11048 $280231 $11359 $268872 i1702736 $1245874 $1068389 $91673814 $0 $11359 $2587 C0 $0 11046 $285835 $1359 $274476 $1867573 $1346733 $1147876 $97364015 so $11-359 $2629 0 s 11048 $291552 $i135 S28193 12023383 $1442193 $1221659 $103697316 $0 S1359 $2632 0 $0 11048 1237383 S353 $22-024 $2188202 $1532360 $1290131 $108922917 $ 111359 $2746 ( s0 11048 $303331 $11359 $291972 $234408 $1617584 11253673 $113885618 $0 $11359 $2800 0 $0 11048 $303-97 $115 $298038 $2497093 $1698134 $1412638 $118026419 $0 $11359 $2856 0 $0 11048 $315585 11359 $304226 $2G47268 $1774267 $1467356 $1219 8520 $0 $11359 $2914 0 $0 11048 $321897 $11359 $310538 $2794663 $1846222 $518131 $125588121 $0 $11359 $2972 0 $0 11048 $328335 $11359 $316976 $2939326 $191422 $565248 $1288740
$567958 $229073 0 $0 222801 i5512948 $797031 $4715917
A-15
P7UrSPTIONS TABLE TABLE A-8 (Contd) EtEFIT-CSTS TABLE (Calculated)
Ecoroic ard irarcial Analysis for Energy Investments -- Egypt EEA 1019E6
apital Ccsts Benefit Parareters Irterral Rate of Return 4220
Acquisition $567958 Transportation $0
Construct ior $0 Irtercor rectior $0
Price of Oil Oil Escalat
Enrgy Savrgs
$2000 bbl (yr 1) 20year
11048 bblyear
Disc
Rate
----
PV of erefits
PV of
Costs NPV
BC
Ratio
TOTPL (Cap) $567958 Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 J55948
2$4456027 $797031 $75587
$4715917 $3 700440
6 2 590
Construct Time 10 corths 4$3E 3550 6$3060 709
$724224 $700 138
$2939326 $2 360571
506 437
Operating and Normal Maintenance Costs 8$2595604 1(V$2231804
$681376 $666557
$1914229 $1565248
381 335
Operating Cost Operating Lifetime
$11359 iyear 21 years
11 $2079494 12 $1343437 13 T1821515
$660307 $654697 $649645
$1419187 $1288740 $1171869
315 297 280
Major Equipment RepairReplacement 14 $1711920 15 $1613108
$645083 $640951
$1066837 $972157
265 252
Replace Cost $0 period 16 $1523756 18 $1369035
$637197 $630653
$886559 $738382
239 217
Replace Period 20 years 20 $1240402 $625165 $615238 198
A-16
Eccw= ar -narzia Pnav=_is fcr Erergy Irvestrrent_ -- Egypt EEC 101
P= A-9
or Case of2IED TEST 4 - HELPAN TEXTIEN3TE HEAT -CDOERY (PC- U BBL- ----Assmir Cil Escalation Rate of 20
SaVEdt C~famta eratirg Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel Energy Saved Annal Fasn Flow Discounted Cash Flow (UOV 8 i = lea- Cost Cost $Pb (8b1) Cost Ec-jiv Energy Cost Crrert I 4 8 10 12
I Transocrt corst rutr $7
rterornazticota HS 833 7 1841 $4S 73 -3951 C$52818 (WBIB) ($52381 1 (3523818) ($53218)SC 51133 $20 0 048 $22172 U3 $27365 ($263851 1(2731480) (278031) ($262421)$0 $11359 $2601 0 $0 11042 7=5 $12$3 5275 999 (-S74) (368Z5) 333343900253 ( 15)0 111049 ( $359 _51 747 $241737 $I82 805 $161748 5131462Q 07C 11043 S2531558 11259 12379 $477 s46 $323206 $35188 $32 27$0 $11-_ $2760 0 1n 11043 $304 94 $11 3 3 24E7--555 $722 55 $5S3 Mf $5404 - $$487517$7 $-~5 $2315 0 11048 $712 1353 $233 53 5 872 $786 871 $709649 $639347$ $1 5282 0 $0 14 391141292 0 IK93
656f $8662 S7777253SiZ bull0 $312 5 $1426427 T113465 $10122372 9 3 39 $ 35- $2983 0 $ 145 $33035 1 3 3 726 $165035 $12350M S1147467 $108774$C $135 $304711 0 S0 11046 $3365pound 5ii5 $325 22712 $)
187C 129t44419- $1272895 SI 2351$- $3103 C S 113 $34$2 - 132206 $20S53 S1556613 11353280 $ PIE98c13 3 S317 0 v 1 5$143 250 $11159 $3352 $2237533 I 72120 $47274 $1305375SO 51253 $2340 s0 104 S3 $184840-
0 SO 11041 $364 $11353 5081 3709183 519E861E $262) 456 S1457500 15 Ss35-2 $3293
3 17294 $1 9 $ 9-- $ 293 $157473 $138525-5
16 V0 $1353 $3365 0 s 1I1Ns -3717 21f5 $230328917 - $ 7C 1270 2082220 $776726 $1523340$7 $II35 $34 32 0 $0 1104c8 $37312 $11 $372 4 $3105663 $2183578 $156771 1533718 S 1-13 $35 1 0 so 1048 $7332377 t1931039 $1638010$22-103419 $0 $11353 $3571 0 $0 11048 $3544S2 $135q Q83123 $3487437 $2385910 $M947 $168783120 $0 $1135q $364( $0 11048 $40-37 $1135 $391212 $3673088 $2477512 $2053881 $1733230$0 $11359 $3715 021 $9 11048 $40419 $113553 $399060 $3855214 $2563130 $2123 19 $1774600
$567 9S3 $--3073 0$0 M 801 $6831186 $737031 $6034154
A-17
SUPTIONS TABLE TABLE A-9 (Contd) EENPT-OET TAKE (Caiculated)
Ecoc an Firarzial Palysis for Energy Investments - Egypt EEA 1l6
Caits Co=ts Berefit Parameters Irterrz2 Rate R~Return 5368
Acquisition $567958 trice of Oil $250 i-b (yr I) Tarsprcrtator
Constructior
Interconnectior
$0
$0
so
Oii Esalat
Enrgy Savnps
2 0vear
11042 bblyear
Disc
Rate
V Cf
PerEfits
V of
Costs -IV
FC
Ratio
------------TOTP (ap 57959
Fuel Use 0 bl1year 0 $f)83 33
$797031 75537
1609454 $481444E
865 737
Construct Tire 10 rnortns 4 14573 437 6 $332f 886
$724224Q13855214 $700138 $S-125748
632 546
OperatinL and Ncrmal MaIntenarce Costs 3- L 5)5 1 $27K755
$ES376 $666557
5t 130 $2123199
475 419
Ooerating Cost
OperatiTrg LifetiMe
$1359 year
21 years
1 if25H37 2 $24229
3 S2276893
$660307 G 5o637
$649645
$5939081 $1774600
16-2724
394 371
350
Major Equipment RepaiReplacemert bull~~l i4$2239005 -2 01S32
$64508 $14948162051 375435$640 1 $ 4 5
3 2 315
Replace Cost
Replace Period
$0 period
20 years
16 $1X4 695 18 S1711294
20N $1 550 503
$637197 $1267498 $530652 $1080641
$625165 $925338
299 271
248
A-18
Econr- ard Fra--a haavsi fcr Er=rv investerts -- Ecyzt E
For Case ofFELD TEST 4 - HELWANTEXTILES3TE -9T REZOVERY (PCE C-O 3IBiL) PssuTir~g Oil Escalation Rate c 20
Year Capital
Cost Ooeratir
Cost Cost cf Oil
$lBbl Fuel Used
(Ebl) Fuel Cost
Saved Erergy Eauiv
ValS cf Saved
Enercy Pnral
Cost Ls iCh Crrert 1
Di-cousteJ 4
Cash Flow 8
(NPV) i 10
=
12
I P~uis~xor~1567958 Transvort $0
1 cntrct mc- 1Irte-ccrret ic
a1s
4
6
Q$ 11
12 13
14 5
16
17
18
19
20 21
$
to 11Z so 1353 C 1-S s$o $1
$0 t13
$0 $i359 $0 $
S 11135-
3 $0 $11359
$0 $1359 $ $-353
$0 I353 0 $ 111359 $0 111359
so S11359 SC $11359
$ $11359
$0 $11359 $0 $11359
$4so $ $3121 $3164
824
$3312
$3378
$3445 $3515
$3657 37730
S33(
$138 $3958 $4033
$4118
$4201
$4285 $4370 5445
(1 0
C
0
0
C00 0
0 0
0 0
0 0 C
0
0
0
0 0
$0 $0 $0
$0
$0
$0
SCso $0
$-$0
$0 $0
$0 $0 s0
$0
so
$0 $0 $0
184 1104 11048 11048
1104S
11048
110 3
11048110 I 8
1(148 11048
11049 11048
11049 11048 11046
11048
11048
11048
11048 11048
S5524C
$338069 S344831 t3727
$3537S
$ 37
$37-
t33-7 2$38 3 $383335
$3161 $4(402
$412104 $42034S
$423753 $47328 $445075
$454995
$464056
$473378
$482845 $492502
$563851
S11355 $11359 S11355
5
11135
$1352
11355s
115335
$1359 $11359
$113 $112-59 $11353
$11353
$11353
$11359 $11359 $11359
11) ($514611
S2 710 33471 $1784 $340368 $410431 S$34740 1 $7 392 IK3457 $333829
i351390$123484
-255 $15= 3 $11353$27976 $1840978 S13-36384743 $2111293
9 $3665 $2376563
$40$745 1636279 $40S987 $2 832331 $417394 $2142007 42 99 $338934
$434716 $6Sl376
$443637 $387238 $4E2 737 14093661 $452019 $4327726 $471486 $4155514 $481143 $4771101
($51461
$73796 $343991
5539 342
$84661
$1063717
S284236 $1487914
$680371 S1862251
$2034124 $21955326
$23--0 013 $2495039 $262079
$2761573
$2883934
$2999553
S3103802 $3212031
($54611
$5-7994 $313717
$50998
$77162
$975443
$164984 $134)846
$504014 $165540A
$1795862 $1926178
$2047082 $2159253 $226-3321
$2359869
$2 449 441 $2532539 $2609631 $2681150
($514611)
06
$42935 $285202
$S505933
$707180
$80527
$57603 $1209862 $1348604 $1475031
$1590 236 $1695213
$79)359 $1878030 $1957451
$2029818
$2095757
$2155838
$2210580 $2260459
$567958 $229073 0 $0 222801 $8 269423 $797031 $7472391
A-19
TABLE A-10 (Contd) ASSUMPTIONS TABLE EENEFIT- ST TABLE (Calculated)
Econoraic are Fin=-ial alycsis for Energy Investments - Egypt EA 101965
iaital ccsts Bereifit Parameters internal Rate of Peturr SE55
Acquisition $H67353 Price of Oil $3000 bbl (yr 1) Transportatio $0 Oil Escalat 20year Disc PV of PV of BIC Constructior $0 Rate Benefits Costs NPV Ratio
Irterconectior $0 Errgy Savncs 11048 bblyear ---shy=-- Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 $8263423 $797031 $7472391 1038
TOTAL (Cap $79-53 24$6684040 $755587 $592Or 453 S85
4$542E325 $724224 $4771101 753Construct Time 10 months 6$459063 $700138 $3890925 656 8$3 893 406 $681376 $322 031 5 71
Operating and Normal Mainterance Costs 10 $2347706 $666557 $2681I0 502 - 11 $3119241 $660307 $3458934 472
Operating Cost $1359 year 12 $2915155 $654697 $2260459 445 Operating Lifetime 21 years 3 $_73 272 $64364Z $2081627 421
14 $2567880 $645082 $1922796 398Major Equipment RepairReplacemient 15 $2419662 $640951 $1778712 378
16 $228-634 $637197 $1648437 359 Replace Cost $0 period 18 $2053553 $630653 $1422900 326
Replace Period 20 years A-20 20 $1860603 $625165 $1235439 298
poundcenrzzc ar Firarial Analysis fcr Energy irnvesttterts -- EZyt pound2~ 10g88
TABLE A-Il
For Case of-EL TEST 4 - ELqN E LEA ATEP2ERy -E-D701 $35KL) Assumir Oil Escalaticn Rate cf 20
Savet- Vaiue cflaza 2eratn Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel Ererpy Saved Arnual Can_ Flow Discourtee Cas Flow (NV) i =Yea Cost Cost $pbl (Ebl) Cost Eauiv Enercy Ezt C-rrert $ 8 10 12 - -cuisittor -567-
Trarsocr $
crstrttir Irterznr or $0
7t Z-=7s5 3 $3Z0I 0 $0 1841 $amp4447 $59652 $505 405) ($-5405) ($505 405) (50540)5 ($55405$0 $11359 t3E70 so 1048 $34414 $11359 $353055 ($137083) ($I724) 173) ($16331)$1 $1359 $940 $ 1048 $4(2 32 $11353 $39C 76543 1224 $16444S $HE 92 $1482664 $0 $11359 $3714E Q $0 11043 359 89$41(2348 $1139 52 8 $5068 SSC I217 $4 5 6 7so TIIM $3789 Q V1 11043 $418E5f $11359 S$4)7 IgS 76 $4651687 $432258$927 138 $300478 $7432 807 $6i9103g
$0 $1359 $3864 0 $0 11048 $42S 98 $415527m3 833 $65704 11 C V001841o$0 1135g $3942 0 $0 11048 $435464 $11359 $$424105 $1603881 $135-564 124238 $1141707$ - $420 0 $0 1104-8 $4174 s3523 $43281- $232784 $1503107 $h63340 $1337491$0 $11359 $4101 0 $0 11048 s4_z_c- $ -9 S 4441-93$22E 52 $841743 $1S89396 $15158685$0 Sn359 $4183I 0 50 11049 $4621E $I353 $450753 $2572227 $206723 $1860582 $1878434 0 $11359 $4266 0 so 11048 $471-8 $125912 $46C 12 $22-987 $2280305 $2037912 $182S542t $1-9 43520 2
$0 11048 $48075 $1359 $4E9423 $3187919 12451E35 $2202444 $i961492$ $1139 $4439 0 $0 1104S $49C404 $11159 $479 4- $3437129 $2671870 $2375023 $2084450$0 S359 $452814 0 $0 11048 $50212 $113515 $483853 $378072 $2851 620 $2495386 S2196483s$ $I359 $4618 0 s0 11048 $51G216 $11359 $498557 $4065793 $3021462 $22205 V 298 559$- 52 $471116 0 $0 11048 $520420 $1$37 5 150306 1 $4351463 $3181939 $274916 $2391563$1359 $4805 0 $0 11048 $53129 $11359 $51347Q $4628812 13333567 $2882967 $247629 18 $0 S1359 $4901 0 $0 11048 $541445 S11359 $530086 $4900944 $347583K $2S7842 $255350319 so $11353 $4993 0 so 11048 S=52274 $11359 S540915 $5167955 $3612197 $3065131 $2L3644$0 si359 $509920 0 $0 11048 $530 $1135921 $551961 $5429939 $3740093 $315381 $2687930$0 $11359 $5201 0 so 11048 $574586 $11359 $563227 $56869B9 $3850932 $3239101 $2746318
$567958 $229073 0$0 2L801 $9647660 $797031 $8850629
A-21
SSUmOTIO3 TAlBLE TABLE A-lI (Contd)
PNEFT-COSTS TALE (Calculated)
Economic and Fir ancia Analysis fc-Energy Investments -- Egypt EEA I0P386
Calita costs Penefit arazeters
$cuistion$Z723 Price of Oil $ h500bb (yr 1)Trarspcrtation t0 Oii Escalat 20year Corstructcr $0
Irtercornection $0 Enray Savs 11048 bblyear -- - Fuel Use 0 bblyear
TOTAL (Cap) $5 57 8
Construct Time 10 mnrths
Coeratir ard Normal Maintenance Costs
Ooerating Cost $1135 yEar Operating Lifetime 21 years
MaJor Equipment RepairReplacemert
Replace Cost $0 period Replace Period 20 years
A-22
nterral Rate of Return 7785
Disc PV of PV of Rate Benefits Costs NTV --- _--
V S9647EGO $7-7031 $8850629 N $7793047 $755587 $7042460
4 $E411212 $724224 $568698961S 3S240 $700138 $4656102
8 $454 307 $681376 $3860 93-10 $305657 $666557 $323910111 Q633114 JE0307 $2978 SO3 I E $3401015 $654697 $2746318 I 387650 $S4964c5 $2538005 14 $25860 S645C83 $2350776 15 t- B940 $64051 $2181939
16 $266E 573 $37197 $2029376 18 $2395812 $630653 $1765159 20 $2170704 $625165 $1545539
BIC Ratio
1210 1032
885 75
667 586
551 519 491
464 440
418 380 347
Econoir a-nFinaci AralySi f- Ererzy InvEstments -- 07ptE LE
TP93
For Case ofFIELD TEST 4 - F1-LWA TEXTT -- (nC O= ]L s40PEt) Assuirz Oil Escalation Rate of 20
Saved Value cCaita 29ratir s of C Fuel Used
Fuel Erer y 3ave_- pal Casn Flo^ fLiscured Cash Flc (NPV 2 erCost Cost I Ib) Cost Euiv --ervy Cost Currert 3 4 8 10 12
1 7rans~crt $0
$ Tr O iS - 0 2$0 124 373655 39=851 ( 433193 (14351 ($ 6 1 8 $4 5 1 8931 4968l$ --3 $4020 0 VI 11048 $45C 3SI23 $42 2S W3698) ($33473 (35744) ($103877)0 1_3 0 so4152 1248 453 774 5 $34085amp Q95 07$0 443415 $ S273847 553596= S24 45 $0 1048 $45-95 $11359 $4Z7E $74770 SS5362 517656 573314S0 C 5 $4330 0 $0 11048 $47-34c 31259 $425339 $114f884 $$001513 5936616 $8760940 $59 $44E 0 $0 11048 4$10 1253 $47_55_9 1532579 13-2950 1232520 11146505
- c $S450- 0 sO N04E 147574 i $4263559 13C $1632410 $507021 $392887$10 $11259 14535 0 $0 11042 $5077 $ 3~5$1 268$4-3 $2700043 121 978 $176169G $167374I 135 $4627 0 so Ns04 1577S s259 S2670080 9f5282o 1 7 14W 2 I $19337945 5182903$478S 0 $0 043 $1s53 S52776 13033160 12454038 $2217103 20026411 9 $47 0 014876$S-E_ 4 1104--20 = 3 5pound 7 07$14800803 0O $3269358o$0 c 359 S 3 7 $2442 421 $217805$
s2 37115$5171 $0s14 1 S355 $E74 11048 S -511113-f 1743 102 $4C1L 27 $13147202 $2783 987 $24736230 $0 114048 517 311 HI9 S56312 $4418436 S13357 $294628332217 12602037I5 $0 $1353 $1z Sf 312$7578 0 $0 11048 $I 319 $439 _7$3$527404 $59 -40$7745 $278 gO $ 43$4743604 $3547884 $30998428 $2719087$0 $I Ec $383 016 $0 11048 $5547ES v11255 $H62407 S5072550 $3 799 $323E511 12825674$11359 $549 0 S0 1048 SE s 311 50 $ 9-25562U $2 2 718 $O $1-253 $5 0 $0 11048 61875 1i3 $470 8 40693133 1482244 20120715 $0 135I $5713 0 so 11043 $5217 3 77$113 9 775 $470 $2248 4 01 7$30912010 $0 11359 $5 827 0 $0 11048 $642794 $11359 $632435 $S39t367 $4371382 $370130 $3165280
21 $0 $11359 $5944 0 $0 11048 1656570 511359 S645311 6602876 $4509833 $3797052 $3232177
$567953 $ 29073 8970 10 801 511 02-5 $797031 $10228866
A-23
TABLE A-12 (Contd)PSSI PTIONSTAJKE rEnJT-DETS ^2LE(Caiculated)
E~onoma~infncia fcr Erery Investwerts - Egypt EA 1036
LapitE --ts Penefit Parameters ternr ate cf ketur 9060
Pquisition $-57958 Price of CI Trasortaticon $f CiI Escalat
onstructIon $0
iterzorr-ction $0 Ernrgy Savrs ------ Fuel Use
77A ao) $567958
Construct Time 10 months
OpEratirg ar N-rmal Mairterance Ccsts ------
Operating Cost $1355 year Operatirn Lifetime 2 years
Major Eqiprent RepairRezlacement
Replace Cost $0 period Replace Period 20 years
$4K lbb (yr 1) 20year
11043 bbllyear
0 bblyear
Ns PV of PV of Rate eni L-sts NPV
0$11025 397 1797031 $1022666 2 25q3 75E587 $ 156466 4 $7327100 $724-4 $6602876
6 $$121418 $700138 $5421280
e5191203 $68376 $4509833 10 $4463603 $66-57 $377C52 11 $4152988 $G 307 $3498681 12 $3865874 $654697 $3232177 13 13643029 $543645 $2993384
14 $3L423840 $645083 $27875615 S3226217 $6402351 $2585266 16 13047512 $637197 $2410315 18 $2738071 $630653 $2107418 20 $24008 5 $625165 $1855640
BC Ratio
1383 1179
1012
874
762 670
630
594
561
531 503
478 434
397
A-24
-c-nc an Firanzia Pralysisfcr Erergy Irvestrents -- Env t E 0
TALE P--3
Fer Case tfFEI7E3ET4 - FLN TEXTILESCLR PLUS
Assuming Oil Escalafior Rate oF 0
73 T ECCeZRY (PR_5rCF OIL S15BL)
r a
bull
etaIOiertrg
ssost Ccst Of Oi
$I Fe Lse
(E-12 Fuel
Save -Enery Eciv
a L Ef SaveS
Erery ra Ccst
asn Fli CLrrert f
sccunted 4
Cash Floo (NPV) 8 10
i
2
bull
4
5
7
0
1
2
13
14
16
17
is
19 20
21
r S CCrrnst cr $cr
erzcn11 on
Toa7 52 $2313 $ 13279 SC 13279 S t13979 $ $2673
C5r2
$0 $13573
S $13873 $ S$13279 $0 t373 $0 $13 79 $0 $387 $0 $13S79
$0 $1357S
$0Si 3279 $0 513879
$0 $13279
$ $137
0 $13879 $0 $S3879
($E300) $13879
$711653 $279893
V500
$1530 S561
S5592 $1624 $16565
$1689
$1723 $1757
$1733
$1326
$1265
I -
$1140
$1973 $20
S205 $2100
$2142 $2185
$22-29
0 0
0
r)
0
0
r
0
0 0 0
0
0 0 0
0
O$0 189 $28490 $720263 $0 1396 $17453 $13 S7 $0 113SE $177346 t-879 $$C 13 $1803 2a7g $$0 1139 12503 S1387 $0 1396 $183732 7 2 2S 0 13 $192 3 $13879
$0 1 c 9E3 8761 $0 11396 $20 2E3 $3872 $0 1396 $20423 V2 273 $0 11396 $20335 S13873 0 1132H $212542 T2272 $0 11396 $216733 $1387 $0 11396 $221129 $13879
to 1139S $25f2 3 $0 11353 523063 $13873 $0 11396 $234664 $13873 $0 11396 $23357 $13879
$0 11396 $244144 $13879 $0 11396 $249027 13879 $0 11396 $254008 $7579
$0 22819 $4264950 $991546
A-25
(77-773(5691771 1$691776) 164 C ($537432) ($542184)
$ 367 138E872) (M402609) 37524 ($23E944) f$263623) $17 ($90642) ($143 2 73174853 $307 -14 -- 7G 4 ( 8 $173627 $194245 $8774amp
$182477 t33293 $114220 S1 404 $49117 $2-4229 $10 410 s 027 $390 181 $154496 $734291 $490270 $193663 $86Z339 $565474 $202914 $3073 $amp46054 $207250 $1114548 722259
$11amp73 $1236783 $794325f216184 $356823 $862476 t220785 474702 $92921 $22- 478 $590456 $987860
$23)265 $1704121 $1045484 235148 $1815733 $10-971
$24642 $1928200 $1152842
$3273404
(691 776) ($691776)
($545885) ($543491) ($410376) ($417777) ($264512) (532537) (17613) (189767) (9 ) ( 1( $ 53 0 4 -4 ) -$1) $41737 ($53)
$135427 S82491 $22238s $157776 $303138 $M-6440 $373125 $289063 $447755 34o174 $S12410 $398257 $572443 $445753
$S28193 S8066$679935 $528562
$727985 $564576 $772594 $597416
$814010 $27360 $852458 $6546G2 $889088 $680208
TABLE A-13 (Contd) PSc6UY1TTG TAKE 52ZFEI-CSTS TXLE Calculated)
Econo iar narza 9Aais- for ErErgy Investments shy Eypt EZE 1ci35
Capital Ccsts Benefit Parameters Irternal RatE c Return 24953
~ccui i tcr717953 Price of Oil $15Y0 bbl (yr 1) T-ars~crtat ion $0 Oil Escalat 20year Disc tV of V of BC
crstruct ion $0 Rate Benefits Costs NP Ratio Intercornectior $ Enrgy Savrs 11396 L11year
FuE US= 0 bbiyear 0 $4264950 $991546 $3273404 431
TOTPL (Cap)-77953 2 447230 $942ss $2 504m 366 4t $2334211 $301011 $1928200 313
Costruct T 0 mth_ 357 838 $877493 $1490346 270 12110080 $85511 $112842 235
Operatin and Ncrma aintenarce Costs 0 $7 S76 $837483 $883068 0 11 $1608747 $830008 $778739 194
Operatin Cost Oeratirg Lifet1 M1
$_87T year years
2-$502490 13 $1403 168
$823281 $917216
$660203 $9195
183 172
14 $1324383 $311730 $512652 163 Major Equipert ReoairRepiacemert 15 $1247940 $80S 754 $441185 155
16 $1178815 $80222 $37658S 147 Replace Cost ($6300)period 18 $1o9119 $794327 $264792 133
Replace Period 20 years 20 $3959605 $787687 $171918 122
A-26
-- tr- er F-= v fc E-r= 1r tesirt_Egyrt EEP
TqPPLE P-4
F- caecfFlDTST t4 - UEL$Q TEXTILESDLAR PLUS WASTE HET -COVERpY(Pj- OF OIL $S31PL) nssuring Cil Escalatio- Pate c
Ltal Ccst cF Oil Fuel Used savet Va- cCa 0eratin Fuel Er-er SavE Armia Lasn FowDy riscoured Cash Fco (N7V) i vew t cost $b (b) Cost Eciv nert Cost Currert $ 4 810 10 12
ftP ic ro717953 I rarszc-t $0
r r $0|
f7753 $t S2100S23-13 so 1233-7 37 933747 ($S62-202 (23N ($682280)S Z-2) z $11279 M--7
3 2 $12 $Q373 (447205 $47 67-3 t$453t2 ($487110)3173 $DE 3S 2 2712 T 3S1249 t1$2532) ($2Sj731 ($292049 ($30-23)v W 2n UL22 22732
4 0 so 37 7 SE2923 (-2742S) ($27 531 ($146842)$0 1 57 $ 3 H 5 7 8 fit 73 1 2 8 0$2208 0 $0 3S tKj2 H872Q $237763 121 449 1-543 $17901 S6 3$ $1o73 32152 0 so Ins I25 E7 $1373 524796 152334 S373 47 o1l953 12503tq7 $21 0 so ni8 $2E 8( C3973 t715740 521 13 $24792954413 $1 190
0 $ 1279 $2343 0 33 6 5S L3 73 152 ME3 $22726 SSE913 = k S473433C En 1i c SC 2H6 127-ESE $1373 5237506504E52517O3 $71230 S672916 56391 $0 $13379 $2438 0 $0 113H S773-S25 272 4 5 7 $911492 $726E2 $651646I1 $0 S879 $2457 0 SO 3 $322 1372 5251 1143736 $7C702 $SE7144 $72912313 7 =36 s2 5 $1273 $275173 M160612 S113 353 5954024 $7 55514 SO H1079 121E7 0 so 1s3 I234m3 I 73 $2503H0 1772343 $123966 $1036208 S 414415 $ $1o7 $S3 0 $0 11336 C3002 $1 $3K7Z $1372 $St7557 S M37330 A1746$9M 840a $- 2 56 c so 3 1m237i 123287 129 3 MI42 LEE $97E34717 SO $13879 $-740 $0 1296 531S3525
12 7 1387 $2-30 $2 $51637 5 4E97 5 A 2vO 1 ST2 0 0a7 $209 1123S 1314 $13879 1305 264 $241E979 C59 43E 30N IbX3 581Ws19 $0 11387 $2356 0 $0 11336 $3H526 $13879 $311647 $2570817 $1677425 5133377 $111010820 $0 $12879 $2114 0 $0 i13 $33203S $13879 $318157 $2721828 61751146 S415399 $114704821 ($6300) $13879 $272 0 $0 11396 $338677 $7579 $331028 $2872937 $1822182 $1464614 $1181372
$71653 $279893 0$0 M819 S56686) $991546 $4095054
A-27
TABLE A-14 (Contd) 3M-S rET-N7 CSTS TPULZ CalLNated)
Ecobullric anf 7rT a f- Erer Investrents -- E F ay A 1916
Capita Sosts BersEft taraampeters R-ae -eturf 3402
Aczuisitjorn $717953 Trarnscrtatior $0
Price of Oil Oil Escalat
$2000 bbl year
(yr 1) poundai_ PEcf cf BC
Zcnstructior $0 Rate Penefits Costs NOV Ratio ir$tez)rectio
TOTAL tCa ) $717 953
Enrgy Savrs Fuel Use
1129 bblyear 0 bblyear
==shy0$568GG00 2- $4 33257
$954E $342962
$4535 054 $3 534i
574 487
Lo stru 6 Time 10 con-h r1 e-
4$3773943 $357118
E2Z17363
$9S 011 $2 872 937 S877493 $2279625 $S5518 S1 822182
41736 360 313
rPEratino ans Nrmal Maintenance Costs
Oueratirg Cost $13872 year Cpratir Lifetime 21 years
0 S2302104-1-$214493G
2$2004 53 -1S 78330
$5374n9$330008
$S2323 $817216
$464614$131A93
$IE1372 2051674
275 258
243 230
Major Equiprent RepairReplacemernt 14 $17 5843 5 $1G663919
$311730 SS06754
$954113 $7 165
218 206
Replace Cost Replace Period
(N6300)period 20 years
16 $571753 18 $1412159 20 $1279474
$802 22 $794327 $787687
$769524 $617832 $491787
6 178 162
A-28
- ranzcal Analysis fc- Enery vestrent_ - Eynt EE 0
TALE t-E
77 P7 q (NU - C$Ipp Asumzr_ O EscaatorRate cf 0
ot _o-tr o
ct of Oil $1-
Fuel Used (Ebl)
FL Cost
Save Ergy
Ecuiv
a1e e-
Errgy r
ost Ca--ic
rrer $ DisEcurted Cash 4 8
Floh (NPV) 10
P i 12n
I
I
Acuis~tion S177 Trar-pcr T
cnstr=ticr $0 rernct cshy
7S7
-
V I
In
I $1227
t3S7
I27T
2E F - 03
1706Q_
0
0 $0
0S0 1
--shy29 S4748
E $-5
3 2419 122723 $32
I3F 13 33f
$72
137 $187 7 $13879
S2$ (333727-3
7Z73 ($4 707
SZS2 E-I (V454 1 135104E 3$2 4 S3--2S3
($672733)
($41ESE2)
$1743-7$c 271122
(72731
($421-20)
(SIS7723$23000
$2-1152
(S672783
(S4252
S201430)$4E39
$1203
-$ 3
14
IS 7
18 19
20
21
C$$3875
c $ 17
$17573-$$ S 2 73
S $12272
S 10 113273
$0 12E73
V$ 1-73 $0 7 $0 $1327
$0 $13872 V $13873
$0 $13873
(05300) $13879
12760 82
227272
3 $232
$3047
$3108 $317
$3234
$323
t$365 $3432
$3507
13571
$3642
13715
0
C
C J
0 C
0
0 0 0
0
0
0
1
10
$0
$c
so $0
so
$0 $0
$0
$0
$0
$0
336 $314553 1133S $32844 2H t61735
133 1 3S 135G $34(432
1336 $7gt
1332 $354227 1133 $30132L
13 $363543
$37
139E $383432 11222 $23
1 S332$3=22 1133 $406 9-7
113 $415046
11396 $423346
s12 7 $i E74 $8 $47575_ $846 $13E79 1-_- - $ tq520120 s 379 3132332 1103568 S3f2050 1750934
01279 133227 11 _2433 $11024 27 $71 82 373 32 6S0 $1553 S02 $1183280 $038694 $S87 13-3413 S79 04 $1342714 S111722
$237 1o3558 2 134 $148368 $i2632 1387 $347443 $2217146 162562 5133723$ 1 $12753 $254670 $243-151 S1757074 S149 74
S3 $ E K22 $180334 C 5 53 $1337 $362S55 $2 44423 51933835 V16E3750 S3879 $377322 7223 $2106944 51 8M465
$1373 7-E5- $ 24502 $221101 84 2 05-$13 79 $3 3 028 $3437512 $2309366 $1912745
$13373 $401167 $3627923 $2402321 $1978339 S7579 $4f-5767 $387674 $2491523 $2040140
$3E2613 V1813
165S399
$78102 $32673
1014228
$111073 I31253
$282534
$1 35 $1424132
66
$5474 $1572856 S1 39434 $1682535
$71153 $273933 0 $0 22819 $7105250 $991546 $6116704
A-29
TABLE A-15 (Contd)gSSVL1TKE--- TAL-2 12alculated)
-cic ar -ari - lysis fc Erery rvestrrts - Egypt EEP i9IlS
Costs Perefit PararetErs Irsternal Rate cf Return 4318
M-quisition $7174953 Trice of il $200 bbl (yr 1)Transportat ir $ Ci1 scalat 20year Disc PV of PV of BICCostructic-n so
nate Derefits Costs f1] Ratio interconnection $0 Enrgy Savrs 11395 bbiyear
- -FUEUSEQ tYear 0 702250 $99FAG $E11Z704 717TOTPL (Cap) $717953 2$-74 483 $942 962 $4802515 609 4 $4723695 $905011 $3817674 521Construct Tirr 10 ronths $21-4pound397 $877493 $20E2904 450 8w $3 704 $855181 2 23 3910perztin and rcaMainterance Costs 10 $277630 $837483 $2 040 140 344
Operating Cost $13379 year 1I$2681 244 s830008 $1851237 323 12 $S2505816 iK23281 $162 535Operating_ Lifetime 21 years
304 13 $2348613 $817216 $1531397 287 14 $2207304 $311730 $139-574 2072Major Equipmert RepairReplacement 15 $2079899 $60E754 $1273145 258 1 $1924 $802229 $162462 245Replace Cost $300period 18 $176Z198 $794327 $370871 222Replace Period 20 years 20 $1593342 $787687 $811655 203
A-30
rcrc= ~ar rial Zralys- f- Erery lrivertfrentE -- E_=yt E
TQILE P-6
Fo Ca-se cfIELD TEST 4 - H-L4AN TEXTILPSIR
sunrini Esalation Rate cf 21
rILU3 WASTE H7AT Ey VD-- OIL 530B)
YEar aia
eratir Cost of Oil
cSst $1b Fuel Used ru
Ergry
Ecu I ZaVE f
ZnEr y Anru
COSt aS 7-06
rret 1 -iEzurtE 4
Cash 3
Flow (NV) 10
3 = 8
1 ra-rt
rn-rjt or $0 $0
4
2
14
15
16 17
is 12
20 21
73
$0 $7 so $0 $0$0 $0
C
$0
$0
S $ $0
so $0
$0 ($6300)
232-
23277w 37 63S
119 S387 $2879$13q73 $711$c
3273
1373 2733
S387-
S1237
2M79 $13r379
$12873 $13873
$13879 $3879
$35 S$ 60
3 284 $-247 S-is $3378 $3446$L515( $-c
$357
$73 0 $3805
$23
$-3958
S4022 $4118
$4201 $4265
$4370 $4458
00 0 0 0 0 0 0C
0
0 (
0
0
3 0
0
0 0
SO $0 SO $0 $l $0 $0 $0
S1 so $0
$0
$0
$0
$0 so
$0 $0
M51--S1333 $343 718 261- s337
33 2 33S $273062 3 $377453 233H $35012 336 3K1173I3 4f =c
$40Z S72
133S $41E750 136 $42525 1396 $43287
136 S442253 113 $451102
$4 2 1393 $4-C223 13^6 s4727-11396 $483289 i39g $498OE5 11396 $508016
hC S23873
$13873 S13873 T1387 $13 S72 $-
3 S 7 $23873 2 I12579 233q73
$17379
$12273 SI6373
513373 $13279
$13879 $7579
5
3332- ($$32236 (SS3386) ($$3335)12342333 ( H32t ( (1358887) 36 23 1813 (12- 1) (-- 20) (176337 ($3K-
-333743 27 264n4 27-3 $1Z756 1 5 35S133 $ 2-5 $47E533 $429034 S2-253 $3S3584 $32$TK-40 $65473 $559135 271133 $18 2 392 86423S777323 $378E34 $L5375Z $ E 66 103688 St458
- 44 3 $7 3 88 $230 S104765
3 202224 S57_- $1406472 S1247C37S402671 $DD141s $S773936$561796 $1376S11 1266 5r2 Q5SK235 S s 03
$41370P S2 79 $211E957 t 3653 $160275 $425379 13 27352 $227448 V3733 $437224 2 4$2 7t79390 $443246 125 32- $2564014 $285102 1J7317 $4-5449352 3 536 95 2284 $8294S311 $464336 $4070 026 $2322SE $2376786 12012911 $474410 $4304208 $2941307 $2462113 $2075603 $44176 $4534018 $305Z49 $2541279 $2130820 $500437 S47[2411 $3160864 $2615666 $2183698
$711653 $27993 0 $0 E29819 $8529900 $991546 $7538354
A-31
TLE TABLE A-16 (Contd)
- -1T E l-ate)
Znor~i ari -iraria2 alysis for Energy ireVstrents - Egypt EA1
LEitET Csts Eerefit Pararveters Interra Rate of eturr f255
Acouisition $752 ranspecrtaticr $$ Construction $0
rtercorrectior so
Price cf 04 0i Escaiat
Enrgy Savrs
$3 b (y-0yaar
1335 5byear
1) Dis- Rate
-
2V cf Benefits
PVof Costs NPV
BC Ratio
----------T2T_ CapL
--- Fuel Use 0 byear 852230C s432 $
$55 342 H5
77538254 $$f95$ 6A2- 6
860
--rstrct Tire 10 rths 4 $56642 6$473r-67
$90E 011 $877 49
$47E2411 $335- 184
62 E40
Operating and Nomra Maitenance Costs 8$4016044
10 $3452155 $8KZ 31 $827483
13 856amp4 $269666
470 412
Operating Cost Dperating Lifetime
$3872 21
year years
1 3217493 12n $00E930 13 $2218335
$33000c $823281 $817216
f2 387 486 $2183693 $2001 1
383 365 345
Major Equipment Repirez acement 4$2648765
15 $2A4S5619 $811730 $802754
1637035 $1689125
o 309
Replace Cost Replace Period
($5300)period 20 years
-$2327629 18 $2118238 20 $1919210
$822 $794327 $787687
$55 400 $1213911 $131524
-94 267 244
A-32
Eccic and iranza Pr-i- frEre irvEter -- Eypt EEq 10135-
TRPLE A-17
FcrCse TZST 44 - HELWN T-EE-2- WA7ST EW PRfL KMIY rOIL $351BL) Ass-ir- 02lEaldegio Rate cf 20
Saved Ya- cfCEita7 Ocratin Ccst of Di Fuel Used Fuel E rerry SavEd rd Caa--FioA Liscoured Cash Flow (MTN)Year -St cst SBbI (2b2) Cost Equiv i
rerV C-rrert $ 4 8 10 12
ransport P
I rt-rzcre ic $
ctal t777 SH$00 0 so
1833 5$477 $72255 ($$732 SE279 ) ($S5790) ($653790) ($53790)7-27 $-7 0Z27$0$ 3 $ 94) n- 3
0$0 r- 17365 $414974 $13673 SA 01 S354 $348 92-12 c30$ 12F7c S3714 $0 37 $42ST27 $13 $401-74793 B1 SZ384C $ $342M12 $302215$ $3789 11336 $437 379 S417 $7 $1873 $864 E $E 7 $7 -7730 $0 11336 1440374 $13873 $4 4K3 $G576 1$7330 $SK2736 $M57770 s0 13 44 $187 0 S
$43 E302 $1510 601 S1 E44 $1133453C 1 S7372 $4020 S103 Z- 7 84 S13 50 283 $13442 $1237257S 7S E $411 13 $473 1 873 $4344 $2173553 $1754865 $157379 $420428 I 13879 4183 0 $0 136 $47L575 $337 $4L73Sbull ~$ $--37 -n S2504 707 S9379 $ 7742-0 $ 873177 $42EE 13 $-71 11133S 1299 IO4 2 37$4 23 273 -2-3 $2823796 $225158 $9523 $733394S7 $352 0 so 11326 54H $ 3 4 $3332 $241302 1212330 t8773732 $ 73 $4433 0 $0 11336 55585 712579 $47 $34 $2607271 $2 282067 $200425014 1 $11279 $4522 0 $0
12 11335 S515963 $1 273 1522 089 $74=754 $273 888 2427504 $2 113 3155 $0 7873 $4amp81- S $28973 S4711
0 $ $ 227 1 79 1511405 44rN657 $296E343 $2 43a $22241640 so 3965 $53z 11E7 t=1937 $-6 113 13 $4232024 2687624 $2319702$534 $31311417 $ 1272 $48 0 $0 11336 $747542 1367 $ 33470 1 535 $328E967 $283766 $24057562 V $1187 $430 0 $0 11336 $55-50 $13873 $544621 $453 543 $3434161 $2311516 $24K07719 $0 $12879 $499 0 $0 11336 $569670 $13873 $555791 $5170903 353248 $3011480 $255835120 10 $13279 $509 0 $0 11396 $591064 $13879 $567185 $5440113 $3704671 $3104220 $26L420521 ($6300) $12879 $5201 0 $0 11336 $532685 $7579 $525106 $5707148 $3830205 $3191192 $2684852
$711653 $279833 0 $0 229819 $9951551 $991546 $80004
A-33
TABLE A-17 (Contd)
Econorni a 7inarcia ay-- fc Ener~y investmerts -- Egypt ZE r986
Ca~it~a cstz Perefit Parameters Irnterrna Rate of Return 6217
Pcquisiticn 7i Transpc-tation $ Constr-ct ior $0
inter-conrection $0
TOTQL (Cap) $717953
--iceof 21 OillEscalat
Enr y Savgs Fuel Use
135K bb (yr 1) 2Ovear
113- bblyear 0 Ltlyear
DI sc PV of Rate Eer eFits
0$9IK551 2$043677
PV of CoS1 ots
$91545 $942908
PaPV
$3960004 $7100709
3C Rat i o
1004 853
Corstruc Time 10 mcrths
Operatirq an Normal Maintenare Costs
OPeratir Cost $13879 year Operating Lifetime 21 years
Major Equipmernt RepairReplacemernt
Replace Cost ($6300)period Replace Period 20 years
A-34
4 $6 613 1-S$ 24 95
8$4amp3825 $$4) 21
11 $3753742 2 $3506143 13$328058 14 $ C9026 15 $23159 16 $27550567 18 $2471278
20 $2239079
$906011 $877 493
$55S 131 $83748-$330008 $823 2 $817216 $S1730 $806754 $802 22n $794327
$787687
$5707 148 $4647 463
$3830205 $3191192 $2927735 $2684862 $2470842
$2278496 $10510-$1943339 $1676951
$1451392
730 630
548 481 452 426 402
381 361 343 311
284
Erno a - raial Ayaavs- fc EErcy IvestLErts -- E 5y 1NObr
TABLE A-B
For Case zf7- D EST 4 - PEWA TEXTLES2R olUS STE H- PE-5- G4-88 ZL Pssur 2i Esalaticr Rats cf 2(
Year
Laital
Cost
Oeratir
Ist
Cost Of Cil
$1IL5
Fue Use
(BL
FE
zc-st
Save Energy
Z4iv
V_-shy_ Saved
Energy
a1
Ccst
F1c
urre-t S
Dafiscourted Cash Flow (NPV) plusmn 4 8 -0 1
1 Trarspzrt $0
4
37--
0
$0
1
$16 $13279
$1387c
$40
$400 $4162
S4245
0
0
0
0
V
s0
$0
1239
11396 11396
336
$75973 $464957 $474255
- 6 $483741
$72026S
113379
137S 7 9 $13879
3644233)
S451078
$477U C 7 $463852
(S64433) (210fG4
14r1$2 5 o0n $-32786
(2644A) (12Z
$1 52 0 7 1
$541cent52
31544293)
(234=-) $ 4
$493269
(364423M)
S24 545) $24$ 5
$452903
A
7 8
-
10
12
13 14 15
16 17
18 19
20
21
$0 t0
0 $0 V $0
So
I$0 $0
$0 $0 $0
$0 $0
$0 $0
$0
($5300)
13273 T2879
$9 S237 $2873 $3873 $13873
$13879 $13879
$13873 $13873 42879
13673 $13879
$13879
$13879
$13879
$13879
14330 $4416
$4505 $4595 $4535 $4687 $4780
$4876 $4973
$5073 $5174 $5278
$5333 $5491
$5601
$5713
$5827
$5344
0
Q5 0 0 0 0
0 0
( 0 0
c 0
0
0
0 0
so so
o
so $0 $0
so $0
S $0 $O
$0 10
$0
$0
s0
$0
236 3133
1136 E I39 11396 11396 35
1396 11396
113 11336 11336
336
1396
11336
113
1135
11336
5$493416 $503264
35) 1 G 1
S531 1534083 $544771
$5665 S566780
1
$523 678 $60471
$612501 $525771
$G39286 55 Q52
$664073
S677 K4
$13873 S473537 $13873 $4834C-E
$13873 $49747 $3979 f50g 7-shy2
$1379 $52CI210 113873 $538321 227$5 -89 S3879 $541787
$79 K $-7579 $54236 $13273 577K $3873 S27532 113973 $53622 t3879 $11892 $3379 S624407
$13879 $337173
$3879 $650194 $757 $669775
$1042696 114443E
$18336301 $222704-
$2607162 1233016093 1
13346172 $7C- 32
$4 05746 $440256 $4742875
$-075824 $51402515
$5723072
$503759
$34c208 $6651884
$935- $825 M $764658$12M617 $10681 S10425
$-43 $1412669 1407 $123372E$715$=2 9
f39- $21843 11916875 $1735031 23 42 $1 $375$ 3427 $214202S t 53G $2636380 03 $9 $2 27 503 12544695 S2200320 $3037575 $2721482 $2405748 $3-3032352- 28970 12537706 S350348 $3045001 $2673393
$3698373 $2 183546 t757485 $3876979 $3 3711 $2867300
14045737 $3446247 12953242 $4205189 $356C8 3041099
$435846 $3657160 $311659 $4493545 $376678 $3186025
$711653 $279893 0 $0 12-93813 $11373201 $991546 $10381654
A-35
TABLE A-18 (Contd)- o-SOS TflBLE BEN T-2T TPBLE 7alculated)
zccc- an FiariJ Analysis for Energy Investments - Egypt EEA
Capita Colts BerEfit Parameters nterna lRate of Returr 7207
Acquisiticon 171753 Price of Oi $4000 lbL (yr 1) Transportation $0 Dil Escalat 20vear Disz FV of PV of BC
Construction $0 Rate Benefits Costs TV Ratio Iterconnection $0 Errgy Savrigs M-35 bblyear
-- -- ------- Fuel Use 0 bblyear $W373o $99546 $10381654 1147 TCTAL Cap) S717S53 2$1 773 $942968 SB2 49 - 5 975
4$7557396 $906011 $6E5884 834 Zonstruct Time 10 months 6 $-314236 $877493 15436743 72n
51354726 S855 18 1 $4 42S 545 G20Operating and Norcal ainterarce Costs 0$4604207 $S37489 $3766718 550
1$4289991 $3000 $345983 517 OeI-ating Cost $13879 year 48712 $4003306 $123281 $318G025
Operatin Lifetice 21 years r3 $177781 $817216 $2940565 460
14 $53637 $8730 $2719957 435 Vajcr Equiprrent RepairReplacement A $3327839 $80S754 $2521084 412
16 Z3 143506E $80212209 $2341277 392Replace Cost ($6300)period 18 $2824317 $794327 $2029990 356
Replace Period 20 years 200 $2558947 $787687 $1771260 325
A-36
E~zcrorci an4 ariaqrysr for EnEy Ivestrets -- -Gyrt = 3P
F c r C a s e o f F - r T 3 3 4 - j r 7 o i o s X_--
E 4 OR $251 FT -RC= $159P
ss=insectCA Escalation Rate cf 20
Save a - shyCaita eratirn Cost cf 01 Fue Used Fuel Ener) SavE AnnaI ash Floi Discounted Cash Flow () 9 iyE- cost Cost $Bb (2b1 Cost Epoundalv Energy Cost Current $ 4 8 10 12
l cuisiis 52452
Trans $2 Corstru_ o
ta 4 $-52 S $0 S2832 3$-22955 s28Sz3 ($128968) ($28928) (128)tc 52 C 10 34-2 $-324 S Z 24 ($125877 M$25991) (T2045) (S260981$ 0 $-55 0 s 34s S5431 $2110 s ($22707 ($123144) (3123301) (23450)$0 $ $2 0 $0 342 $f540 $2110s 40 11 S758) (242) 20704 S2 009S0 $T2-4 0 $0 34 $2110 25a0 (1273) (S17820 (32 3S759)S$0 2 $1G56 C $0 348 $763 $ 3 (1 1 3 7A s2 $13 0 f0 34 $E873 $2110 $379 (I0750 $12S ( S1 $14777)VC 2 $172- 0 $0 348 $-39 s 2 C2 $38ES (107797) h$1 (51)$130950 52110 $1757 C $0 342 $11 S2110 S400r ($104870) (t103526) (111004 ) (211401)$ c 120 $1793 C $0 348 $S28 522O S4123 31S9) (S10461 (S OS M) (1092) s210 I 512_ 348 $363 S2110 $42-5 (S39096) ($104491) ( S037($103 543)$0 S220 $sE5 0 ti shy32 t54 211 $435-0 (M251)
-- (S10261 ($22 ($07284)$0 $220 $1902 0 $1 343 $r2) 2110 $4510 (S93434) ($100821) 31$03G84) ($10512)14 $o S2110 $1940 0 $0 34 573 $2110 54243 ($50645) (S92114) (5)02340) (15062)5$0 52110 $1979bull 0 $0 343 S5683 I2110 $4778 (37am) ($9742q) ($10102) (S104085)6 $0 $2110 $201 0 so 342 S7C7 $21 $421517 50 ($5155) ($95 938) (ST2 90 ($103 1861$2110 0 )2059 348 $71 2 $$2o $ ms $22458) ($94462) ($S-30O ($102)o11 $ $2110 $210o 0 $0 34S
19 $7303 $2110 $-19- ($73789) ($92057) ($377T6 (01605$0 $2110 $2142 0 $0 348 $745M $2110 -5345 ($77150) ($91720) ($3814) ($100909)20 $0 $2110 S2185 0 $0
21 ($5438) $2110 $--29 0 348 $7605 $2 Ili $5495 ($74542) ($90446) (9916) ($100271)
$0 348 $7757 ($3328) $11085 ($69483) ($88068) ($9426a) (99 I2)
$124048 $42552 0 $0 7018 $130239 $166600 (36361)
A-37
ABSUPTIOS TABLE TABLE TABLE A-19 (Contd) IT--CCOTS TAL --C ed
and Fina-E P7aiysiz fc- Energy IrvestzErts -- ypt EE
aPita Ccsts Benrefit Parateters
Pquisitio 2948S Price cf Oil $1500 lbi (yr 1)Transortatior $0 Oil Escalat 20year
onstructio $0
rterconrectior $0 Enrgy Savns 348 b5year Fuel Use 0 thi
TOTAL (Cap) $123466
Construct Tirfe 10 months
Ozerating amNormal Mairterance Costs
Operatin Cost $2 110 year Oerating Lifetime 21 years
Major Equipment RepairReplaceuert
Replace Cost ($5438)Period Replace Period 2 years
Internal Rate of Return
Disc PV of PFJof Rate Benefits Costs
-=_
0 U -1c233 s 6660 2 $105270 $160683
4 $83543 $15031 6 $72307 $E2344
8 $61319 $149387 le S5272 914S33-
11 $49126 $14E566 12 $4912 $145034 3 $4 032 $144180
14 4144-- $143417 15 $38108 $142713
16 $35 9 7 $142068 18 $32342 $140933 2 $29303 $139971
-2 63
NIN
$32 ($55410)
($6943($8 037)
($80 8) ($343_68)
($C-33323(99 22)
($101156)
($102974) ($104604)
($106071) ($102591)
($110667)
Ratio
073
066
055 047
041 C36
034 03
30
28 027
0 25 023
021
A-38
For Case - -EL 7 7 14 - HELPN EXTLiIPH 0LECTOR PRV =552FT - PRIEC OL S2L Pssurin Oi Zscalaticr Rate cf 2C
SavEd a- c Cost of CII FUE1 Useer CUE Energy Eavn Arnual Ca ow sSZOLnte- Cash Flow ( NV) iYear Ct Ct Ipbl (P2-) Cost Ecsiv Ererry ZOst Currert $ 4 3 0 2 is-t i c r
_ _____ _
Traszr $C - LCrErZt cr 30
i tercorrezcr SO 21 53 $1 $1223 ($23378 $123pound73 ($23673) ($22673) ($123578)$ 72c Q0$24c $0 348 S7033 $2h1c i4S83 $2680 2124053) (12442) (1243)$21~ 0 0so 34a 17241 $2C $5121 3 (E -59)($112301) ($12012)4so So c V- Z $-co 348 7 $2110 $5275 -44- (1115471 ($15371 (lII3- $21 $25 ) $9 348 $7534 1I2110 5424 1038O) (111484) ($I-33 1I2930$0 $211 $2205 c $0 345 768 $2110 $-E574 ($105228) (7076G0) (105772) (037S7)
$0 2110 $-52 c $) 48 728 n04 SC Sshy$ $-bO $5723 C l00701 ($10408 SO55r ($ICS585)o $U S2110 P-3a7S0 $13 0 $0 348 Si110 $-525$2343 0 343 3430341 $2 (Si L- f E471 1$0$ 8) ($C4 203$) $_ -- $21 t$3050l 31($812) (S97231) (53673) ($10762
t t110 t c 3 2 M745)$0 203 ($94275) ($97066) (M23)S1 52110 $2438 Q $0 349 124B4 $2 $E374 (9g1 f$948 3)($2 144) 3233 ($07471)$110 $Z487 C $0 348 $2354 $2110 $r544 ($75894) ($88516) ($ 3 1 ($=120)$0 $2110 $25313 0 t0 342 $2227 T2110
1 $E717 ($74632) ( 849) ($901174) ($33855
$0 $20 $2557tbull I 0 034 $3 0034$34 S211 7) ($33314)S263 M$8178) (S32 2u)15 $0~ ($to50 $2110 $2333 0 $0 343 $3184 $210$7074 $ 473 ($2090S) ($83 315) ($3032)$0 $211 ( $2332 0 $01L 348 $ S237 $2110 $727 ($32444) ($73618) $34578) $83512)7 $0 72 10 $2746 0 $0 343 S555 $2110 S744E 3$5340 ($7S445) (323-7 (333293)1 $0 5210 $280 0 $0 348 $2745 $2110 $7636 ($54542) I 43W ($21447) (2B7156)$0o $2110 $225L 0 $0 349 $3341 $2110 S7831 ($50684) ($72422) ($80038) ($35163)2C $0 $2110 $2914 0 $0 348 $1023 $2110 $3029 ($46872) ($7WC561 (75726) ($85235)21 ($5439) $2110 $272 0 $0 346 $10342 ($3328) $13670 ($40634) ($676S2) ($76694) ($83818)
$124043 $42552 0 $0 7018 $17362 $163 00 $7052 A-39
TABLE A-20 (Contd) P-SJ 2DTPKE rZFT7-CGS72 TLAK (acutated)
Hom and Firaa ralvsis fcr Erergy Investments - Egypt EEAn 5S
Za-ital Costs Benefit Paraeters lnterrna Rate cf Return 046
Acquisition $129485 Price of Oil $22O0 1bb (yr 1)Transoortation $0 Di Escala 2Oyear Disc PV f PV of BCConstructior Rate Beniefits Costs Ratio Interconrnection $0 Errgy Savngs 348 bblyear - --- =_
Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 $173252 $16E600 $705 104 (Cao)bull0TL1a8 $14 360 $10c ($ 320) 087
4 $115398 $155031 ($40634) 074Corstruct Time 0 -rnths A $36409 $152 34 ($55935) 063 8 $8A759 $14937 ($7623) 0Operatin and Normal Maintenanrce Costs CIA $70299 $14S933 ($76694) 048
11 $55502 $145 966 ($0464) 045Operating Cost $210 year 12 $51216 $145034 ($33818) 042Operating Lifetime 2years 13 $57376 $144188 ($85812) 040 14 $53924 $143417 ($89493 038Kajor Equipmert RepairReplacement $C811 142713 ($91901) 36 IS $47997 $142068 ($94071) 034Salvage Value ($5438)period 18 $432- $140933 ($97810) 031
Replace Period 20 years 201 $39071 $139971 ($100899) 028
A-40
- End - Ar y= fcr ZErcy~gt Ef-tS - ~ Aq
TiE fl-2[
-or -ase
Assamin
c
Ui
Tf-L0EST 4 -
E-alation Rate f
TECTh- 211
20 25BFJ
Yec-
-_ ztr
fs
nrt-r--et
YEzEta u-rir z os
___=== shy = i2 ~~
z-_ 233
r $
of deg $i2
- Lse (Ebi)
ICoRue
Cost
Saved Ersery
Ecuiv
Va -cf Saved
Erery
5 S
n-a
-shyt
zas CIO
Curt S
t
Discounted Cash
4
Ficii 0 V)
0C
1 =
4
2
14 1 17 17
12 19 20 21
5-
s$
s 12
ampc
SO SC
$3 5 $0
(5 438)
2II0 2 110
S$210$o
12102IC
2110 SC$
U0 52 10
O QI0I $2110 521110 $2I07343
$2110 $2110 $2110 $2110
--23OI 1
Q27^S7SC
7
f_522 $2 3
S2147 $2SQ 53171
34 23 EE
13 534Vo$344)
$35o $3571 53342 53715
Ct
-1C
o
0 C
0
0 0
0 0
C 0
0
$0$034-=
s5
$50
s3$s4
$ $0
5$
so $0
$ $0
$O $0 s0 S0
348
343Z4
348
34E 342
342 342
34S 342 3474E 348 348
345 348 348 348
13574$ = $
$3
$3417sampo
$ 7E3
1 3-$337
euroscs $1 37
s3 $254 $1S t9 03
$121 1 S1242 $12674 $12 928
V2 31 -shy
11C
2110s519
2 12-0
1S 11 145
$2C
$2110
t2 110 $210
S2 110 $2110 $2110 ($3328)
33 2-72 ZZS ($13333 335B3 122S7 4 ($ E 22 25) ($13-2 3 (t12243)4 ($t1 ($pound 7) I$1692 $t5 S5 -
1 4 $7123 3$M234 ft 91 11745)--- $175)
$7307 31028 S C5148) ($106(1 7SC $5- t7495 ($737 (IiCc047 cs (-02843
783 ($cZ203) ($37185 (32353shy$7854 (1S4 6 1 533 (133122 (523371 $8133 ($7E754) (SS3 5) M335)) (ic21-h)
$S27 (7222) (32C900 ($2525 ($83134) $495 ($87 23 78 ) 382 5Wc ($5399)12 717 ($5 ($44-0 (7350I (583995)$3924 9 53 ($70 8771 (S7664) ($81605)V1144 (S$2471 ($67514) ($74016) (579509)
($45C (64324) ((715434) (S772) $33 5337301 ($5292) (5 2501 ($7 838)$7533 ($58428) ($8711C) ($74234) 0 )72 29303 ($5706) (S5 11a ($72767)1$0316 (24217) ($53124) (S5322) ($71425) $10564 (S19203) ($50676) ($6155) ($70199) $16256 ($11754) ($47129) ($59119) ($685141
$124043$42552 0 $0 7018 $217065 166500 50465
A-41
ELSTU0 TABLE TABLE A-21 (Contd)
PLE(-
Zcoo r Firatia iavsis fc- Energy Irvesterts shy Eypt EE1
C itz Zosts enefit Paraveters Irterraz Rate cf REturr 304
zao-isitior S12948E Traszrtzti $0
l rtier to Interzorrectio $0
Price of Oil 0 Escalat
Errgy Savnrgs
$250C bb (yr 20vear
342 bIyear
Disc Rate -
WV of Ienef-
W cf Fcsts N
BC Ratio
- --
TJT -------shy
1 486 FuEl Use 0 bblvear ^
-a-27 H-S$17 450
$SG0 s16K 580
$E 4S $14770
30
109
Construct Tive 10 crths 4^ 6
$144247 $2051
$I-o0 2344
$17S4) (4P 832)
02 073
Coeratirsect and Normal Mairtenance Costs
Operatir Cost $2110 year 0oeratin~ Lifetinie 21 years
8 0 1
2
$102198 $27874 3-877
$7E520 $$7720
$14937 $14S33 $145S3
$145034 V44122
$47123) ($ 119) ($64039)
($68514) $72458)
068 060 056 053 050
Mamr Equipmet ReoairReplacemert 14 1
$97405 $143417 1427
($76012) (179199)
047 045
REplace Cost Replace Period
($5438)period 20 years
6 18 20
$59996 $53304 $43839
$142068 $140 233 $139971
($82072) ($87030) ($91131)
042 C38 035
A-42
TRSLE 1-22
F- cf-- s 14- HELN Esumlr Oi Esampaton Rat2 cf
(TC2LEHr Trorp-
20 -P z-3 z-
1iazip Ycst
Ls-cr 113 -
0eratir Cost
Cott of oil W
Fte e c
-e el Ct
Savec Energy Ev
Va1-_ of -avef
ErErcy pnua
st a=n 7c DirountEj Ca_
E-rre-t $ 40 8 Flo (NPN) i
10 =
12
4 f
7
10
N-I-
1-
15
$ 7
is
19
I 21
C rutc
0t13oo
V 12 116 30E 11 $321
so No 13LR $- 110 z347 $ t-1 $33 2
S 8029 $3278 2li $344E
S0 f2I0 1315 - - 1 35
S1 r t2110 1373C-
S S212 $3 15 2 1 S281
$S)S2 5I3908 $ S4(38
so QAc2h18 41 SO $s2 $420 50 $2 11 $4 so $110 $4370
$5433) $2110 $4455
$124048 $42552
0
c 0
0
0
0
0
0 C 0 c
0 0
0 0
0 0
0
S
10 345 so 34
so 248 to 345
C 34S
so 3 $ 348 $0 348 $0 348o
$0 348 0 348
$ 345 so 3$6
so 348
$0 348 s A3 $0 348
SO 348
$0 348 $0 348
$0 7018
Q74C 12-
s649 - 1 s B3 110
in1 73 p311 S30 $2110 1127 f110
$11757 2110 $13 I-sI S2322_2ltU1510
2477 130
S 72H 11 S s- $1 2 1-110 s17o- s2
t3770 5-10 $14051 $2110 S302 S2 S14613 $21(
$1491 $ 1 $15203 $3110 $15513 ($332
$260478 $-SF600
A-43
53 ($85557 27Z- )S17
V5S59 10 1 3131 ($9-
12417 e -^-
$-E47 ( S) sI S t730)2
5 L22
1c357 4SW III
S1STs ($241)$1037 s173) 1 30 127 27)
Sc1L33 331 3X4
1 L 5 -267)
$is 7o7) 510L 3 ^41)
2 S2 8 U249
$3S10-2 $346S $18841 170-5
1$93 78
($(225 ($128038)
12 5 52 33- 1 12683 (1M 3102)
1105 EEG) 3$1 364 $3--3) $C 10-
($92 (534$ 3 (1S3225) (33734) ($o5s (s82733
$7 030) (79 0 11) 33 7041(IN
(647) $70511)($50334 (670 (1904) ($53154)
5( 714 (E 8 54) ($47743) 3567S2 $437) ($S33 3540411) fS5123
t070(37030) (4E7331
($33 827) - (S45E
($30 7K) ($44344) (26749) $41544)
($1202a
(31204741 (51347T
IS(117 C272 1( -_- ($SC) I ($627)
(132453) ($7 745)
( 2S ($712
(5344) $SE73S)
My AS)
($2 14) (5601171)
(556T
($5-5-E54)
($55162) (53210)
TABLE A-22 (Contd)
Ezrzic and Fir-a Analv=is Er=-ry Invest-eants - Egypt EEfl oI 1
Catal Costs Benefit Para-eters l-tera ate of Return 532
Pccuisitio $12943s Price c Cii Transportation $ Oi Escalat
Construct iorn $0 Interconnection $0 Enry Savrs
--- - --- el Use TOTAL LCap) $129485)
Construct Time 10 r-=nths
Operatin and Ncrmal nartErane Costs
Operatin g Cost $210 year Ooerating Lifetire 21 years
Major Equipment RevairReplacemert
Replace Cost ($5438)period Replace Period 20 years
$300 bb (yr 1) 2 Cvear
34E bblyear 0 tblyear
Dic PV cf Rate Eerefits
=-- shy == 0 -260478
2 $210541
4 $172037 6 $144614
8 122 S38 10 $105449 11 $93 253
i2 $91824 13 $86064
14 S00885 15 $76217
16 S71995 18 $64685 20 $58607
PV cfof Costs
$166600
$160680 $15H 02 SE2344
$149337 $146993 $145966
$145034 $144188
$143417 $142713
$142068 $140933 $139971
wgV
$93878
$49860 $17065 ($7730)
(326749) ($41544) (347713) ($53 tn0) ($S3 124)
($62531) ($6649G) ($70073) ($76249) ($81364)
Ratio _
15S 13 1 095 82
C72 067 063 060
C56 053
051 04G 042
A-44
Ecnio af rarcia Ay5s fr Enerzy rvestr-et=- E__y EE- t
TABLE A-23
D 7E4--r Case ofF- - H8LW TEXT-PP C LcTORvR- - p n-OIL 35 _) 9ssu=- Oil Escalation Rate cf 20
spvedCa4t Csratr Zost cf Oi Fuel Used Fel Erergy Vi~
3aved Arral Ca-s 7 2iscurnt (-ir- Flo (NTV) 8 iYear Ec SBbX (Ebi) Cost Eniv Enercy ost Crr $ 4 10 12
1 Trarsort $ bull Ccrstr_-ticy $
1 Ir -e2or tic - $0r
Ttal T4- $352 $300 0 $0 58 $2030 f223 2780) 3$227($1802) (S27803) ($37308)Ss s210 12570 0 so 348 S2424 12 10 10314 $7S3 ($(S2 ) (1342 o 59)
3$ 123 $3541 0 $0 348 $12672 2 11 105S2 022T) (103O023) ($103703 ($10179)4 2 $2 0 $3714 c SO 349 2 $2110 8 ($18 -1 7 ( 0 7 (0 410
S3783 0 to$2110 348 $13 184 $2110 111074 ($53044) (332477) ($34013 ($3-7443)E 10 1-110 S3364 0 $i 345 S3448 $2s SI335 $73716 (1847z (8900)T $21 $342 0 $0 348 $13717 1I10 11607 (571 553) _77447 C$S04-2 ($-3 123)
0 -1( 241 ( 77 ($74 ($77155)so 348 4 $s $7 s$o2110 348 11427$311I0~Snl $8 C $0 $2110 Ll 1Z3) 12944) 1S5 372844)
1 82 20 $L (SIL0 348 S14556 t2 $1244 ($43394) ($57718 (5S33731 ( 1 211r 5428-4 0 $0 343 $4847 S21110 $1277 2 s($7 3) 364254) S $0o 348 1511413 1 $4439 $S I o 13031 - ($ 2 ) ($46228) ( 853834)($0 507)110 f- $0 348 1 447 12 110 $13337 ($18432) ($4C32) ($43644) ($57084)14 $0 $2110 $4528 0 50 348 $E75E t 112 S4 (S102 (394) (4582 (2 9S75 1$10 W4 S 343 16 07 $2110 $139s] ($2234) ($31IG) ($4201f5 ($L I100
16 211SC $24 $4711 0 S 348 $18322 $211 1 14_ 15 7 (S2S 531 ($38-96] ($A 4917 S $2110 $4805 0 $0 348 5721 12 I10 14611 $13437 (22394) (35416) 34S107)18 $C $2110 $4301 0 $0 243 $1-5 $2110 $i345 $21170 (18354) ($32460) ($930)19 $ $20 $4993 $0 343 $17336 52110 $15286 $28715 ($14 529) ($209710) ($4943)20 $0 $2110 $5099 0 $0 348 T17744 $2110 $15634 $36136 ($10 207) ($27 154 ($40 127)21I($5438) $2110 $5201 0 $0 348 $18099 ($3328) $1427 $45915 ($30) ($23969) ($3790)
$124048 $4255 0 $0 7018 303891 $166 amp0 137291
A-45
TABLE A-23 (Contd) PSELTIONS TWPLE H-77-C3T-3 TA-2L Eated)
Econooi and Firnani aIvs4s fe- Ener y Ivestcents - Eypt EE 03i32
Capital Csts Berefit Paraeter- Itera Rate c RetLr- 739
Aqisiti-503S S4ES Pice c ii bb (yr 1)TrasScrtation $0 01 ESalat W0year DiEc PV of P of BC
Corstructior $0 Rate Beneits Costs WPV Ratio rterconrection $0 Enray Savwgs 343 bblyear -
Fuel Use 0 blyear 02E1 S 600 II7721 82TOTAL Cap) $1Z48C Z $1683 $54 350 53
4 $20194S I5E3 $45715 i2CcrstrUct Time 10 mrths E1 716 $152344 $16372 11
8 $143078 $14337 ($S309) 096Operatirpound and Norma Ma~ntenarce Costs 10 $123024 $14E933 (23969) 084
11 $114628 $145956 ($31 33 079Oerating Cost $2 110 year 2 $107128 $145034 ($37906) 074Operating Lifetime 2 years 13 $101408 $144182 (343780) 070
14 $34I26 $143417 (U9050) 066Major Ecuipment RecairReplacemernt $S30 $142_713 ($53793) 062
1S 0584 ($53074) 059$1420O8Salvage Value ($5438)period 18 $75465 $14C 33 ($55468) 054Replace Period 20 years 20 $68375 $139571 ($715) 049
A-46
Ecor-r~c a Fi-ra- aivss VeSt=rts EE2fC- -ErV - E --t
TAFLE A-24
Case cf77-Lf TES 4 - HEWA XTILE1P (M CT P $2zS - PRE-F OIL 640EBLh ssuming Oil Escalation Rate f 20
saved VaiLe Ofonita Doeratir Lcst of Oil Fue Used Fuel Erery -d pYert Ca_ 10 Discourtd Cash Flow (PI 0- i =Cost $1Ebl (2l) Cost Eerv Ztt Crrert 1 4 6L 10 12
I Transmrt onstrLZt ior 4
tr-cnnEc icn $ Tcta f2945 132 $4000j 0 $0$40 SO 58 2 S 33z Is1 5 ) 327515$0=8 34S7 $15 $2- 2 (12728
31 $4060 1 r 0 342 $2C 3 8 1034)IS ($152V (1528) f(E72)14 0 348 49 S20 S-372 SI04-1 (5) 517 (110303) (-058514$ 2 I W A S t o4 3 4 8 $ 4 7 shy 3 12 2 ( S 9 ( SH G ES ) ($7 9 0) ( UT 7 8 4 5 3 $ 2 1432bull 34a S 057 $241 C3 (
$0 ($36142) (M6742) (3614)$0 $2 110 $446 0 $0 348 $159 $22 $17m ($7122) ($77119) 372707) U82191)7$ 4 $0 348 S5751_5 21101if) E5 5)503) $55569) ($72049) ($75218)0$ 4c5sg5 $0 348 $5930 510 $13 0 496) ($E 470) ($54327) ($62033)S so 12 4687 $0 348 $309 21Sc 14 92 (139580) 5079 (15833) 563204)10 $C Uio $4760 0
$0 348 $Ipoundpound36 5 240 -25- (129375) (4E53) (- 42 (37966)$0 12112 1487pound 0 $0 348 $11953 $20
2 S12353 SI9337 (533650) 34S414) ( 5318)0 $2110 $4373 0 s0 348 $1730L 2 1c3 5 Q 15 ($9465) (1 2132) ($41027) (34313)S0 12110 $ 0 $0 348 V14i
$21 $244 3-5905) (35134 344823)$0 $2110 $574 0 $0 34E $112007 $Z19 $5597 $3791 (1114) ($-530 ($41180)o $2110 $275 1 $0 342 $18357 $21 $-257 S19 7916 3$14579) 32724T) ($3754)$2110 $$5393 0 c$0 349 $12734 17
$2110 $Ic24 $28410 MKS) (Q-3269 (34816)$ $2110 $s191 0 6
s0 348 1$3 0o $2110 S162 $37486 (4376) (195E) ($32043)$S 5210 $sa01 0 s0 348 $19431 1211 17331 $43409 $321 ($161301 (12951)11 $0 $-I0 $5713 0 $0 348 1181 $2i10 S7771 SES182 $4768 ($2934) (327 M0I20 $0 $2110 $5827 0 t0 348 $20279 $2110 $16169 $E3805 8378 ($9963) ($25031)21 ($5438) $2110 $5944 0 $0 348 $20 684 ($3328) $24012 $74764 $14 30 (36394) ($n-60L
$124048 $4252 0 $0 7018 $347304 $166600 $180704
A-47
g3EL-iD~- ASSIUPTIDXF LETABSE TABLE A-24 (Contd) - ---C-NCE TFamp mC utCalculated)
zczi a- Farcial alvs- for Erergy IwEstments - Egypt EEA 1 8
CaPital r~csts Perofit Para Eter- Irntr-na Rate of Peturr 932
Acouisition $ E4 Price of Cil TransroortaEtio $G 0i Escalat Construct $
rterrertior $0 Erry Savrs Fuel Use
TOTA Cao) $1_h486
Construct Time 10 eorxths
eratir_ and Norzal Ma-rtenance Costs
Oceratim Cost $2110 year Operati_ LifEtime 21 years
Major Ecaiment RevarReolacert
Replace Cost (5543e)period Replace Period 20 years
$4000 bb (r 1) 20year
348 bbyear 0 bblyear
DisC PV of Rate Perefits
- = 0 $347 304 2 $22720
4 t23C 73 E $19288
$13517 10 4C 9 -- - - $31004
12 12243-2 13 $114751
14 $107847 15 $101622
16 $KS993 18 S84 246 20 $78143
V of Costs
$16 6O $162560
5 63 $1E2344
$43337 $1429c3 $14 9-5
$14E034
$144188
$14347 $142713
$142068 1140933 113971
N71)
$180704 $120040
$74764 $407
$14 13 ($r334)
($14 952)
($22602) ($29437)
(S35570) ($410V30)
(45075) ($54687)
($61828)
BC Ratio
208 175
48 27
109 096 090
084
080
075 071
368 061 056
A-48
Ecra acia a fc Ernerv ivEs=-t -- Eyt E~q IC36
TfPLE A-25
cr Case of-- 7ST 4 - HL4 7EX-vTDUq -T R E $ZvCF 7 P- U 1shygssu-in_ Oi Es~alatior Rate of 20
Saved Value ofDaitalfleratir Cost of Dil -Fel Used Fuel ESrry 5avf Annual as( Fic Discourted Cash Flow (MKV) 8 iYear Cost $IBb (E1 Cost Ecriv -Ercy Cot Currert S 4 8 10 12
I 712 I Trersp $0
ITotal 0712 $311 $1500 0 $0 58 $370 $111022 1t01E2 52) 1103) $ n3)(1h10153) $8 $5302C $0 348 $5324 $186G 458 CLa28 (S10SI) ($07003 (107O5)2 $15In $ 0 $0 348 $543 $18s2 S25s5 0522) ($ 40$ 2 $-7834) ($1040E3 ( 7 ($104 )4 $I62 $12$0 bullS266 $1524M$0 0 $0 34842 $5540
3 $550 S1866-C81C $2674 ($1 ($0 ($37031) 3 $10 $3784 ($32 197)78) ($10$D(3S718) Is0 603(M32204)
6 CS56 0 $0 348 S762 $862 $3857 ($c3828) ($5544) ($22223) ($39992)$052 $I82 c $0 43 $872 $186E $4013 $33 67) ($3301) ($94033 $94353)S$0 $C866 1723 C $0 348 15922 $866 $4130 (U8751d) (390605) ($1914) ($3091)2 $3 $s $1757 so e 33
s 0 343 Stamp 1866 $4256 ($4413) ($82310) ($23921) (131374)$0 $17 22 51732 00 $ 3 2- 1$5 2 522 11866 $4372 3 1 S C 1 ($311 ($82122) ($737C7 ($83738)1 223E$ $ 22 so 348 $82 $866 $4407 ($78702) ($40391 ($25 3431 ($83 3n0)12 $0 $1826 13Ef 0 $0 348 $S490 S1866 $4624 ($7E 29) ($80-5) ($ 4722) ($87020)s0 $1 8 $11302 0 $0 348 $2620 $BE $4754 ($714 $0
323 ($80168) ($33207) ($85800)$1866 $1940 0 so 348 $s753 $182 $4837 ($23334) ($72371) $2722 ($84630)15 s0 $1852 $7 ) $0 348 $8B3 $BE6 $5022 ($22494) ($7L662) ($8146M] ($33653)16 $0 $166 $2019 C $0 348 $702 $1862 (152 ($75035)s $E30) ($73234) ($2 710)17 $1 pound186 $203 $0 348 $7126 $1826 $523y ($50O330) ($73488) ($73081) ($S8845)12 i$ $626 $2100 0 348 $7309 $1866 1544 ($58005) ($72017) (77 0041 ($81053)$0 S866 21421 0 $0 348 f7 455 $186620
$5589 ($ 246) ($70618) ($759M) ($30326)$0 $1866 $2185 u $0 348 $7605 $1866 $5733 (152523) ($63288) ($75060) ($73660)21 ($4650) $1856 $2229 0 $0 348 $7757 ($2784) $10541 ($47712) ($67027) ($73494) ($78567)
$106062 $37631 0 $0 7 018 $130233 $143693 ($13454)
A-49
----
TABLE A-25 (Contd) rzzPTI2CNS 7PBLE EE ~~~TnD Calculated)
-cocc and Fir4anci= Araisis fc ErErgy InvestEerts - Ecypt EEA raI
capital CStE Perefit Parayeters terna Rate of Return -108
czuisiion ie o 0 $I2X yr 1I Tra-spcrtatior $0 2 Zs~t 2 lyear Dis WVof PV of BCConstructior tate
Benefits Costs NIV Ratiointercorrectior $0 Enry Savrgs 343 bblyear =
Fuel Use 0 bblyear C $130239 $143E03 ($13454) 091trp) CTP $10Z S 270 $138405 ($3375 076 4 S 548 $134260 ($47712) 064ConAstruct Time 1S CnTh5 5 $72307 130 76 ($55669) C55 8 s6319 $122 34G ($67027) 048CoeratrE and -crma Maintenarce Costs 0 ($73494) 042
OperatingCost $18- year 1 $49126 $125306 ($761711 03912 $45912 124479 3735-7 037Operatirg Lifetime 21 years 13 $43032 $123728 $8169L) 035 14 $40443 $12 043 $82601) 033Major Equipment RepairReplacemert I$IIE $38108 4419 ($84310) 031$3810
16 $35997 $121847 ($58M) 030Replace Cost ($4650)period 18 $323A2 $120841 ($88499) 027Relace Period 20 years 20 $Q9303 $119988 ($90685) 024
A-50
and Finaie rr_ fir Energ- ivestrents -- Eyt E2 1IMV5
TAPLE P-26
For Case cfFlD TEST 14 - HELWAANXT1LEIP (PRECTO p ZE$221SFT - P UZCF GIL $2VBE Assuraing Gii Escalation Rate of 20
Saved Val e of oita eraplusmn ir Ccst of Cil uee Lsed Fuel Energy 5ave Irr ca Zas F1ow Disconted Cash Flc (NPIV)E iYear- Cos C-st Bo (E 1) Cost Ecuiv En=Ergy Cost ZLrrert $ 4 8 0 12n
ura-z t 7 bull~r ti- $
rterco-retIcr $ITcta $20 0 $O 3 $1160 $111023 15S ) C$1C3853) (5103353) ($I0335 ($103 53)22 5 $2140 C $0 348 $703 $655 233 ($10Q8311 ($105017 (W05106) ($105Igl)S$ $EEG $2081 0 50 7 $537Z ($$33E41 24 1 183 (1040 (1 663 ($ 35)$EE863 $2-22 0 so 342
0 $733G 18E s527 (P9454) ($03 (56- ( 7)- $QLES( 033 so 343 $7S=34 S 2U- $G 568 ($3110) ()161) ($2645) ($93374)$S E 202C0 $0
7 348 $76E934 $1365 $5818 (S527) ($3730) ($83CK) ($90073V0 $1 s 5 f2252 0 0 343 5738 I6
- V5972 (80 377) (1413) ($5E ) ($37 047)_336 $2297 C $0 34S $75 s - shys- ~ (-1MO M r2~ ~ $ g0~ - J - 322$ ($84275)to S186b $2343 0 s0 343 $a10$ = (300 S186 5$233 (71 355 (7164) ($752 ($1735)to 34S 21313 t566 Z54582) (73 (17S846) 3$73409)r T-357)
0 415-3 $1$238 0 $0 343 $13484 $H6 18S (1 31) ($70 871) ($7424) ($77278)--ES $2437 C s0 348 $2654 S1855 $$73 (t 73$
41) ($70 1 (7) ($75 326)$1B3s $2536 0 s0 14
348 S227 $1865 $S761 ($53594) ($E519S) (5S367 (S73539) 5
t 61656 $2587 c s0 342 $004 Si856 $7133 1$4307) ($62571) i53201 (S1904)51 $125 $2539 0 $0 348 $ 184 M866 $7318 f45081) ($50080) (65703) (570406)i5 $ 861855 $232 0 $0 S13 $7 $5 $751 (34916) ($57715) (63S07) $559036)17 tO 51833 52746 tO 343 $55 51S66 $7539 ($5311 ($55471) ($32234) ($67732)is - s866 $2800 0 $0 34 5 74S S 865 $7880 ($-2766 f534I) ($50675) (3634)13 s0 $18665 $2856 0 $0 348 $S994 $1866 $8075 (28 73) ($513M) (M-3223 ($5 584)20 t0 $ass $n 14 0 so 348 $10 13 $1866 $5273 (424253) (342404) ($57870) ($6462A)21 ($465O $1865 52972 0 $0 348 $10342 (32784) 63126 (f18 863) ($46587) ($55919) (63263)
$10G062 $37631 0 s0 7018 S173 2 $143693 29959
A-51
gSv ONSTBLTABLE TALEASSUPTIOS A-26 (Contd) TT-r-TS TA-- alculated)
Econozc ar Firacia Araly-is for Energy Irvestrerts -- Egypt E_ I-
LaoitaI CoSts Benefit Parx-Eters Iterra Rate c-Return 216
Acquisition $110712 Price of 1 $2000 bb (yr 1)Trarspcrtatio $O Oil Escala 20year DiE Pcf PV of BIC
Corstrutior $0 Rate Benefits Costs NV Ratio iterconneztio $0 Enrgy Savrgs 348 bblyear _= -_--
Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 $173 G52 $143693 $2 M 121TOTAL Ca) $712 N $14c 360 $13405 $1955 101
4 $11Z338 $134260 ($18863) O8GConstruct Time 10 tronths 6 $96409 $130976 ($34567) 074
8 $81759 $12346 ($46587) 064Operatinz and Norrva Maintenance Costs 10 $70299 $126216 (S55919) 056 A-1 $6S502 125 30f Ui59 64) 05Operatin Cost $866 year
shy
2 $61216 $124479 ($63263) 049 Oerating Lifetime 21 years 13 $57376 $123723 ($65352) 046
14 $5-7924 $123043 ($9120) 044Major Equipment RepairReplacement 15 $50811 $12419 ($71608) 042
16 $47927 $121847 ($73 851) 039Replace Cost ($4G50)perioQ 18 $43123 $120841 ($77718) 036Replace Period 20 years 20 $39071 $119988 ($80 917) 033
A-52
conc34 an Firnancial Qralvss fcr Ener~y i-veEtvnts -- Eypt EE
TMtSLE 4-27
Fc0 2ase TfiEf - 1ZLN TEXTILEI (WZC PR P3rS22TEST 44 SETOR C7 a- $25IEDU Asi rLz Oil Escalation Rate of Z0
SavBr Vaue f1ta Ccost of Oi Fue Use Yuel[eraing Energy SZve- rnual Cas 71co ritv ed Cash Flow (NPV ) i = -- CostYear ost $1 (Bbl C-st L c r ny Cost C-rre~t 1 4 1r IN0
t1i3iticr tSU712
7rarns~ort $
Ccrtructcr It o $oerconnec
aS 71 S00 0 to 53 1450 1 023 (103 -73 5-3c$3573) ($109573) ($103-73)sgE t C 0 $0 348 S234 S7 CC7 3SZE 1C-084 (3103202) ($103316)$0 $as 2L0 $-r
0 s0 343 $ 51 $1ms5s n7515261) $9924) ($97264) (975M30 $0 348 Ic233 $786-H s364 (tc7E ($91723 (SW344)So286 027 $0 -48 $47 $I 17f51 5E so $ G s S27 EC 0
18 ($3552) ($37545)0 to 348 $q606 $1 86 $Z740 8257 t85 15 C 03 $76 -53 ($817E6) $83154)ss~ g $ 5 7 g2 ( 7 a $2215 $50 348 $9738 $6 $7 2 ($7058) 726 (377287) (79135)Sc S5 K6 372 0 $0 348 Sg934 S6 $2 $64322 ($70 1) 37311 3754599 $0 38 S A 52 s (923371 s1 S7237) ($72036)IC $r t85 12955 0 $0 343 $10377 865 $352 ($-22) (6751 (55615) ($59013)11 so 55 5 247 -0 s0 348 $C61 SlE6 $873S ($493) (t-7) ($-2246) ($55205$ $185 5$ $1510 SO 348 $087 $2811 (L4$54) ($53864) $53108) ($36321O 518) $317 0 $012 348 S1I034 $66 $9168 ($24858) (min22 3 56187) (S61279)14 s$ $S-76 52234 0 $0 348 $11254 $1866 $2382 1$2220) (34S771) (353468) ($59127)E $C $1685 $39 0 $0 -48 $114-9 $666 $3613 3U2668)($43498) ($50936) ($5-7160)so$ $866 $3365 0 so 348 S- 70 $86 13843 2$03)-($40395) ($48560) ($-m3S)
17 so 11862 $432 0 so 348 11-43 $1866 $10077 12 822) (37454 (34G387) (5 718)2 to T866 $350 0 $0 348 $12182 $866 $1016 ($7526) ($34666) ($44345) ($2216)V9$0 $1866 $257 0 $0 348 $12426 $156 $105EC ($2314) ($2023) ($42447) ($50842)2V $3 $1866 53642 0 s0 348 $12674 $1856 S0803 $2816 ($ 519) ($40673) ($49588)21 (54650) $1866 $3715 0 s0 346 $12926 ($2784) $15712 $9987 ($26148) ($33344) ($47M95)
$105062 $37631 0 s0 7018 $217065 S143693 $73372
A-53
PSSU Ns TABLE TABLE A-27 (Contd) FE-E=IT- 2ST3 TA2LE Cal d
Ecortomiz arnc a AIaEsis fc- Enery Irvestmerts - Egypt EE- iC1365
Capital Costs Perefit Parameters lnterral Rate c Return 491
Acquisitic $0712 Price of Oil Trarnsportat $C Oil Escalat Construction $0
Interconrectior $0 Enrny Savngs Fuel Use
TOTlL Cap $0 72
Construct Tiie 10 Moths
Operatinz and Norma Maintenance Cost5
Ooerating Cost $866 year Operating Lifetime 21years
Major Equipnent RepairReplacement
Replace Cost ($4650)period Replace Period 20 years
$2500 bbl ( r 20year
348 bblyear
0 bblyear
1)
A-54
Disc Rate -shy
0 -w
4 6
8 0
11 n
3
14 15
16 18 20
PV zPV EenefitS
$217CS5 $75450
$144247 $$0C $102193 $87374
$81877 $76E20
$71720
$S7405 $63514
19996 $53904 $4883
cf Costs
$143623 $132405
$134260 27
$128346 $2z218
$125306 $124472
$123728
$043 $122412
$121847 S120841 $119988
NPV
$733272 $37045
$2987 ($101465)
($26148) ($38344)
($43429)($47259)
($52008)
($55639) ($532905) ($61251) ($68938) ($71149)
BC Ratio
151 27
107 092
080 070
065 061
058
055 052
049 045 041
E ri- Fra Fa-s fc- Erergy -vetrerts - Egypt EA
TAKLE P-28
o- Case lfF- TEST 4 - HELWATEXTILEIPH (CELECTOR Assuming01l E-calatic Rate c 2C
PRCZ-22I _- 01vS
YeF-ita
Cost 0=erair
Cost st of 0j
IB Fuel Used
(bLI) Fuel Cost
Energy Eciv
Savee ErCr~y
rrua Lost
Eas FIcA Current $
Discountd Cash 4 8
Floh (NPV) 10
i 12
k cuisiicr r7-2 1 Transc-rt $ I Costrut or $3
cta $272 2 S COo
Se $ESE 120 so $ SSr
s3~ zs384cSO $0 $15 S47
6 $3 t135 $--- 2 7S882 53375 a $0 $258 $344E
5 S18 zI^ to $ -ES s3F
1$ ss sss~s S- $181H $3730 SO $1868 $3805
4 $ $35 E i V $8-8 $3258 E 50 $8EE $4038 17 $0 s B S4s SO $0 S8EE $4201
13 tS $18 $428 5 20 $0 $86 $4370 21 ($4650) $1868 $4458
$105 02 $37631
0
I
0
0
0
0 IC
0 0 0 o0 0 0
0 v
0
$0 Es $174
742 t-8c4c SO$0 343 $1
348 51107 $0 348 $11301 $0 348 $1527 SO 342 7m7 so 343 $13 $1 348 S2 32 $C 348 $12477
38V)2 $0 342 $ 345 t3240
$C 348 $ z -to 348 775 so 348 $1405 SO 348 $14 332 $0 343 $14CM $0 348 $14911
$0 348 $KS203 $0 348 $15513
$0 7018 $260478
A-55
III3-3C3
$E- Iass
$1866
$1856 S866 5 865 5185S $3s6
56 65
Sa36
518j$E $8 $866 $ 86 $155
$862 ($2784)
$143633
10I08 23
S7322 2 9
s $3435
$3661
$9S3 s u $03-
$511
$6 $11 $11374
187^ $ 3 $1822 $12 48
273 S13045
$13343 $18297
$118785
3
($1Th22-
(Pc8751
E3 -73
(ME223 (3) 5) ($
4 2231
337784
30447) ($23227) $V23)
3 1 (1 2M)
- IS6 $7t $24453
$30466 $L M3E
(1l123
cs 32443)$22
1
72 611
(SE8 322) () 4741 1154 372)
($4258)
3544E35) ($ 76 S (5325)
3071) ($28E3)
0751 (119 43s
E9 3 ($12725)
($3634) ($5708)
(s0--3) ($33864)5552 $83498
(745001 (S53917) ME-720)
($ES584
($54284)
(S530197) 3413 3542-S7h
(S30- ) (S3170) (332-) ($3 4 23M)
$25870)
($23433) ($20 705)
((e02203)
(S1014411 ($94270)
-855772 7S
(727v1 (37124) ($6S 64) (M62456)
(3E2301
($5133) (33 (02)
ME48-5 ($14314 S41688)
33854) (-7 ($101)
(345m21 (32655)
TABLE A-28 (Contd) S TpLE - Th-CCSTS TPAELE (Calclated)
Ezo ndard Firarla yss fzr Erergy Investrzents -- Egypt M 01I 185
Capita Ccsts BerEfit Paraeters lkterrz ate of Rturr 7351
A-uisit in Trarr~rtaticr Cortro
$117-12 t0
$0
P-ice o Cii Escala
$3000 Ibb (yr 20year
1) Disz ta
V of
Benefits PV of
Costs 1PV BC
Ratio -rnterconretion $( Errzy Savwes 348 bblyear -------
TCTAL (Cap $10 712 Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0
2 $26r-475 2l154C
$143623 $132405
euro16785 $72135
81 152
Corstruct Timne 10 msonth-4 6
173097 $144614
$24260 $131 976
$33836 $13633
12 110
Dperating an Normal Maintenarce Costs 8
0
$122633 $108449 $98253
$12346 $126218 $125 305
(35708) ($32769) ($27053)
096 084 078
Operating Cost
Operating Lifetime $865 year
21 years 1 13
$9824 $5064
$12479 $123728
332E5 ($37664)
074 070
Major Equipment RepaiReplacemeet 14 15
$80985 $7217
$123043 S122419
(42158) ($46202)
065 062
Replace Cost Replace Period
($4650)period
20 years
1 S 20
$719T $64655 $58607
$121847 $120841
$119988
($49852) (356157) (361381)
059 054
049
A-56
Taiaccno arc navsl- fCr erv InVES Et S_ 5E
TWILE A-29
For Case of --T TEST - uMwANTEXTIlEIPP 1Crv=TO PR2E -rR- a PAssuz 0 Escalation Rate of 20
Save Value f Ozeratir iliFuel Usedaoita Cost cf Fuel Energy Saej Annual ash 73w Dis-unted Cash Flow ( ) i = Cst st $1bl (btI) cost Ecuiv Enerzy zt --rrert 4
- Trarsoco-t SC)
I rsterucrneztion 50
I Tc- Z $3500 0 $203 (T01132 (50-932(9933-3) ($IC-9931(12S933S S46SE 170 0 $C 34 $2 424 s1856 $_ssS99217 ($32841) ( 39E (M567)5 52-25 $3541 0 $0 348 52572 $1855 1 bull 23 (58953 ($0457 ($g032)
5-5E0 53714 -7 0 So 10 731)0 g 48 174 ) $ 15 (S33 030)343 $12 S6G 4 7 O t1 Es SBs $3729 0 $1 348 $1284 $865 $318 363344) ($72254) (374425) (37637
S S1E $In3964 0 $0 7
348 $13448 1866 V1152 (IZ3825) M4972) ($67234) (315)53942 0 $V 348 $13717 $1866 (550459 ($54544)5Y1-1 (1-7504) ($6332)
$0 855 $$4020 0 t0 348 t13991 18665 shy12 - ($424V (s 422) ($54322 (tS72273 s aE- $41 0 $0 348 $14271 t856 $19405 S2J81 43728) ($4535) ($2817)10 $0 $1855 $4123 C s0
11 348 $14556 T556 $126 0 ($23265) ($37379 3$433 $4Z2 4
5 $425 $0 348l $0 S 1856 $4352 0 SO 348
0 s0 $14847 $1862 $31 (514495) ($313E5) ($32149) (5440511 $15144 $1866 12272 f(15870) (S25672) (1334 ) ( 244)13 855 $0 $54439 0 348 t5447 t855 $1253 $213 M278) ($2967) (33758)
14 $0 $SE5 $4S23 0 $0 34s 1135-0 955$1Z75C 518s $11C (t15171) ($255144) (533 -5)15 $0 $1855 $4513 0 $0 348 14 (110325)16 to f86 1471
$1071 S856 5131I8 353 (2434 (3066Z 0 $0 348 $1633 11365 S14527 $27224 (5575) ($1725) ($29014)7 $0 t1855 $4805 0 $0 348 $16721 351551865 $14855 (3419) (514693) ($25591)is $0 $1866 $4C1 0
9 $0 348 $17055 $ISG5 15 183 $42353 $2626 ($16 (122791
$0 1855 4999 0 so 348 S173 1B6 515530 550518 $6572 ($894) (521359)2 $0 $1866 1509 0 s0 348 $17744 $1866 t 5878 $58155 $102551 ($6298) ($19516)21 ($4550) $186 $5201 0 $0 348 $18099 (32784) $2883 $67686 $14732 ($3 194) ($17351)
$106052 $37531 0 $0 7018 $303831 $143693 $16018
A-57
TABLE A-29 (Contd) ate
Ecoci ar Pirarzia Evsi fcr ErEr t Eypt EA
3ta CGst= Denefit ParamLeters Interra ate cnf Returt 961
ccisition $I10712 Price of Cil S3502 1b (yr 1) SC
ats rttion $0 Oil Eszalat poundC)year rli P cf FV of Rate Saroaf s Coets N Ratio
Corstruct ion so irtErzonneticn $0 Errgy Savrgs 345 bblyear shy
0 $2^3 89 S143693 $16098 211uLai Use C ttVear 2 $24C30 t 145 507 -2-25 177
TDT CaP) $1SC712 4 $20945 $1342K0 $67686 150 S $-53716 $30975 37740 139
Construct Time 10 rorths 8 $143078 $128346 $14732 111
10 S12024 ($3124) 097 Doerating and Norma Mairtenane Costs 1 1468 $ 3C6 ($10678) 091
-- - ----- 1 $114628 S 3CS09
Operatir Cost $1856 year $1107128 $124479 (17351) 086
13 $13J408 $12723 ($230) 081 Operating Lifetime 21 years
14 $94366 $23043 ($28677) 077
5 $23920 $122419 ($33499) 073 Major Equipeent RepairRepla-ement
15 $23934 $121847 ($37853) 069 3 $75465 $120841 ($45376) 062
Replace Cost ($4650)period 20 $SE375 $112938 ($51614) 057
Replace Period 20 years A-58
Ec- ic and Frana Ara~y- f- Erry Irve=tert5 - Evpt -EEA
TAKE A-30
c Ca__ cf-l_ TrST 4 - HLW TEXTLEiP (Z2LETaP $2S FT shy E OF0i $40B) 9ssuMir Oil Escalation Rate f 20
save alue of-azita eratirg Cost c Oil Fu Ue Fuel Erry --ave Annual Cas DiscountedYEar 0 gas Flow (PV) i =st II) Cost Ezv Energy Cost Curre t $ 4 8 IC0
1 Pcq-isit - l1 02 Transzrt $0
$31 $4000 0 $C 52 0 S
21n232232 757-3) 07 3 f C 27 3 0703 f0373)sc sz-s $4080 a S4105 1 855 8 V7134 ($774532) M751Ss 542S I- 0 Sbullcss ~ S42-4f 0 345 4 82cs $14 7172 1-G1- 1SZ3 18$14772 9 7 W- 02)ssamp $12 7 M( 465) 27 ($87134-I (2377 ($762 577365 ($7344$73-2
32 0 $ $3 057
) fD 3$7-42)
$4_ $BSE 12i Z (57-253 1 SSS325--)(570 O0E) ($791C SSS6 $4505 E 33 S)0 V 345 $15676 $1566 $13Bic1556 6261$0 $5 25S 4 47 (2172) M35400)345 $sfsC $8s6 $4687 0 348
8 2 $27-T 42 (449241 ( 33511)T1309 $866 S 14443$2 2- 522) ( 186) ($43 1771 $0 8SG S4780 0 374S S2636V BEE866 $4876 S0
smsG V14770 ($374E 12EM)3 f$3 293 ($37K 50 3452 f3s8 $1266 13--ZC Il- S5$7 05 $$0S 32 4 7 2193) ($3850)$0 $1566 $4372 0 $-
S 07 -- (2 5B2 273)SC 343 $7302 T1866S0 $1866 $156$3073 $0 $1442 42427 SI (1-2ESP n$2533)0 $0 348 S17954 V866 - $7 4
117amp2 1248 ($S305) (51S-7 ($24497)t $58s6 $2173 0 SO 349 $293G7 $8S6 $121 $34 S229 ($53 ($2072
$0 sB- $233716 0 so 348 18734 $ 56 $SHS28 $ 93 $11 17 51 (t235 (13434 )$02 $556 $G349 0 50s 348 $1910 ISsG $17243 152 144 $16523 S1154 (M527)$0 s856 $56011E 0 $0 348 $9491 $862 $17E23 $6312 213529SID $18E6 $5713 $464 (S8950)0 so 345 $9881 S1 $18015 $77035 $2570 $578W- ($5617)s0 VO15865 $5827 0 $0 348 520279 $1866 $1541321 ($4650) $1866
$53852 $30136 $10892 ($4460)$5944 0 $0 348 $20684 ($2784) $23468 $9235 $3171 $14381 ($2047)
S10606 $37631 0 $0 7018 $347304 $143693 $203611
A-59
TABLE A-30 (Contd)
7Ec-acy ar ka lysis fc7nergy Irvestre-ts - Egypt M I
caita Costs EerEf araetErs RatetEtrr tr 72
PAcuisit ioon $ Price cf Di1 Transortaior SOi1 Es-aat
ortrzt io $0
irteronnectior U0 Enrgy Savs - Fuel Use TDTPL (Ca 51
Construct Time 0 -onths
Ozeating and Norral ainterance Costs
- ----Operating Cost $C66 year
Coerating Lifetime 2 year_
ma=jor Equipmet RepairPElacement
Replace Cost $4650)period Replace Period 20 years
$400k bl (yr -shy year
348 bblyear r bblyear
I)
DIK Rate
0 2
4 4
Epound 10
11 2 12
14 Cal
e s 13 MA
PV of Perfits
$347204 28eC 72f)
2307 c2-817
$153=17 $140 522
$131004 122432 $114751
$07847$101622
$3-993 58646 $78143
1W of Costs
143653 $2C-21 a 40 $4235
$134 260 $ 35 $30276 $E842
$229345 35171 $25218 $143912I1
$125306 $5692 $12473 $123728 $3976)
$1234 $51T6)3088 $122419 (20 796)
$121847 ($25 854 5120 841 (334S5) $119988 ($41846)
PC Ratio
242 2003
172 -47
127
105
323
83
C7 071 065
A-60
orc-ic nFiarcial Aav=s shyr rerr Investrents -- ypt EE
----------
Por Case ofFIE MS 14 - HFLu r Ss~zlnz C Fszalatior Rate cf 20
pRZ3 $2I T iE
Zzplta 2eratir Ccst of 11 FLel Used Yea ccist cst $B (kt
Pcu isit icn107335 Tra-ort $0
Ccstr-t icr I irternect io $0 1 ftctal f 099Z $2K IS C$10 0
$ 6z I$-z 3 $50 5162=0 $56 0
4 S s T5 05 So S= $6L-24 0 E SO S $155E 0 7 $0 $112CI U689 0 C to S680 $1723 0
SO cEo $17 0 S $1793 oIi $ t S1568c28 0
$0 C6S0 $1865 013 $0 $1E8 $1902 0 14 $0 t6Vo $940 015 t0 680 $1979 0 16 $0 1680 $20-19 0 17 $0 iamp80 $2059 0 18 $0 C1680 $2100 0 19 $0 $16580 $2142 0 20 $0 $1680 $2185 0 a1 ($453) $1680 $2229 0
Fue C-5l
S5 ts 23
so $0 $0 $0
so
St)$0 $0 $0
to $0 $0 $c to $0
$0 so
Saved nre-y
E-uii
348 348
348 348 345 343
348 341
-7n
342 348
342 348 348 348 348 248 34C 348
Vaue c Saved
Enerry
t-371 s4
$5421
S- 540 $5 50 $5763 $5279 Sf I9 S
t$- Z5$5353
$5450 $E620
S753 -888
$7025 $7 165 $730 $7455
$7605 $7757
rnnual Zash Flcw Cost Crrert $
1o2 275 1-o07405 $168^ $3E44 $6) 275
t1650 m1 i680 $2970 680 $403
$I680 $ 23 680 S4 31F
680 $4436
amp2553680 $4E33
(1850 $421C f1 680 t 0
$16s0 73 $1680 55202-s1680 $5345 $6 s5456 $16 u $5623
S680$5775 $1680 $5325
$2856) S10612
Diccirted Cas 4 8
5)$C~ S17 4^5) ) 3
152=r
f537 002) W17 751 5332) (9S4633)
($30 V-($ r7) C2SS934) ($83403) ($3 54) 1$5
0412) ($84493)
3 $ o(S74 04N) ($30043) (S7 92 1 (ST79a3)
-$72_) ($75018)
(V783) (374153) 17 K ) (72 (52 814) (37065) 3$55885 ($69094] 55995 (567572) (55144) ($68 127) ($47332) ($I4754) ($424A8) (362477)
io (n 2 i = 10 12
(s-7405 (S27405 104 0435051
(s($10 z 1 M-33~09 m) (VI3 414)
33513 3 M 891 (M28451 (15574) $90475 ( 446
3)520 ($9494) (585 1911 t$377 ^2T
(4(22 452) ($8415 ) C3 766) (22ES)($79192) ($aO0 S 723) ($80737) ($76351 37972) ($ 072) (373 1) ($73872) 1177M00) 372764) ($76930) (371 725) (76T2209 ($70 756) ($7541) ($69179) ($74441)
$103459 $33880 0 s0 7018 $130239 S137 339 ($7100)
A-61
TABLE A-31 (Contd)
Econozic and Financia ay for Energy Investmets -- Egypt E
Capi costs BerefIt Pararsters Internal Rate of Return -057
Acquisition $17735 Price 2i Transortatior $0 0Ci sa-t
Corstruction $0 Interconnection Er y Savrs
- ---- Fuel UsE
TOTk (Cap) $I07 Q
Construct TivE 10 months
Operating and Normal Maintenarce Costs
Operatir Cost $1680 year Operating Lifetime 2 years
Major Euipment Repaireplacement
Replace Cost ($4536)period Replace Period 20 years
i bb (yr 2year
348 lyear
0 bblyea
1) risc P Cf Rats BenEfits
0 $ 032
$105270 4 $BW548 6 $72307 9 $51 3
0 $52725 1 $49 126
SE$4512 13 $43032
14 $40443 1 $3108 16 $3997 18 $342 2C0 $23303
PV of Costs
137339
$132 Ek3 2037
$126130 $1373
$121904 $121 $120353 $113633
$113 072 $118514
$117102 $116338
NPV
($7100)
($27423) ($42483) ($5 823) (524T7)
($63179) ($71964) ($74441) ($76651)
($78629) ($80405) 388-0($22005) ($84760) ($87034)
BC Ratio =z=
5
073 067 C57 050
043 041 038 036
034 032 031 028 025
A-62
Econo ard r-ia nalysis fc- Enery rvastmerts -- Et EEA IO
TPPLE A-32
For Case cfF_E TET 4 - HaJ-W TEXTIEIPP ( _=EOCC70R pCE -C PRICz OF QUM Pssumir 3il Escalation Rate of 20
Cata DOerati Cost of Cil Fuel UsEd Fuel SavE Errgy
Value Cf Save- Anrual Cash -Ic Dir-counted Cash 1ow (kV) B i
Year Czet (E) Cc-t Eciv Energy Cost Lrrert 8 10
1 -cusjtic-$107 1 TransDcrt t3 SCorstrLtO $0 I rerccrrect o 0
2 3 4
5s 6 7
9
10
12 13 14 15 1-
17
19
20 21
Tota $97 5 2
$630 S0 $1680
$0 $ $0 $680 $0 $6S0
0to SEscl $0 $ SK $ 168C
168 V71650
S0 S1630 $0 S 680 $0 1180 0 $1680
$10 1$1 S0 so10 11680 0 $650
$0 t680 (14536) $1680
$20
$2040 $2s3o
$21 22 $I55 $20a $SL V12 $2 97 52 43 S220 V1-42
$2487 $2536 $2587 V6 30 V2692 $274 $20 12 56 $2 14
12972
0
0 C 0 0
C 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0
0
$0
$0 10
s0 $0 s0 s0 $0 s0 s0
S0 $0 s0
s0 $0 t0
3 t0
s0
s0
$0
5N
348 342
343 34
342 348
348 345
348 348 348 348 348 348 348 34 348 348 348
348
S160
S7 033 S7241
t7386 $7534 t7684 $7238 $7225 $85 1$318
13484
U8SE4 S3827
$9004 $3184 $3367 1955 19746 $9941
$10139
$10342
103275
11680 $680
$G60 $5150 1680 S1680
1$680 4$1680
$1680
S1680 $1680 $1680 $680 $1680 $180 $1680 $1168 S1680
($2856)
(-c ($10751s- C71)5
tE4 C 3o4 (102097) 6=SE3 ($3721)
5-7 15970) M$2800 5954 1$5poundpound5 $8497) $004 ($3721) ($8441) $ 158 (176H-4) ($3V530) t16 ($72C25) $7645 sz475 (157-254) 373347)
1r3 I E21) 27t=E(- ($70Q ) S1616804 ($Ez0941 (55875) $S974 2534) ($E3884) $7147 ($ oo)10 (5046) 17324 344702) 352353) $754 (S4C 3)9 ($55798) $7637 ($33100) (533755) S7 M (13189-) (151076) 1205 1127755) (48897 8261 (123 77 (46 29)
$2459 ($9662) ($44829)
$13193 ($1363 ($42038)
($107-5]
$0218a) (397592)
($8307)
(SK579) (322103)
($78S52) ( 7842) 373027) ($70403) (57952) (562) (16251) (115) (S59744) (Z803 (156 435) ($54943)
(353566)
($51604)
(101] $12276) 197843) M2305)(52372 ($00622
(SB654) SK 535) 3$80678) ($72 C3)
($7E 69 ($73473) (371474) (169253) (7961 (16642E) (165021) ($63737) ($625 2) ($61488) ($F0505)
($59137)
U-459 $33880 0 $0 7018 $173652 $137339 $36313
A-63
---------- -------
TABLE A-32 (Contd)TBLE (Calulated)
E-oroizic and Finania Anaaysis for Eergy investments -Egypt EA C
Cacital Costs Benefit Parameters Irterra Rate cREturn 26S
Pcouisitic $7993 Price cf Oi $2C (yr 1)Transortatio $0 Oil Esaa year li-c P of CConstruction $0 Rate BenfEtz Costs wV RatioIterconnection $0 Enry Savns 34E bbyear
UEl use C bblyear 0 73SS52 $137 3 $C313 126TDTAL Ca 7 $140320 $122593 $7657 106 4 IIZ398Constrct TicE I0 morths $122037 ($339) 089 5 $96409 $12- 130 ($23 721) 076 8 $3179 $12205 ($42038) 066Operatirc and Normal rairtenance Costs 10 $70293 $121904 ($5l 604) 58 1X $ampZ502 S12 M ($55 589) 054Operatirg Cost $1680 year 12 $61215 $12 0353 ($59 137) 051Operating Lifetime 21 years 13 $57376 $119633 ($52307) 043
14 $52924 $9072 (55148) 045Major Zqjioinert RepairReplacement 15 $50 1I1 $113514 ($67702) 043 16 A7-97 S1420002 ($70006) 041Replace Cost ($453S)period 18 $43123 $117102 ($73979) 037Replace Period 20 years 20 $39071 $116338 ($77266) 034
A-64
E~ocon2 -- rr Ar ys s fcr Ererzy Irvssttets -- 7rypt EE
TZE A-33
F Case TES 14 - W (0 ETD PE- $2T - PI-- O- DIS $25P)I Assuminz 0 Escalation Rate cf 20
azita Ceratir Ccst cf Oil Fuel Used Fuel SaveeErergy Value -f
save nual Cash Flow DEounted Casi Flow (NPV) 0 i = YS-ar st Cost $bbl (Bbi) Cost Ecuiv crerpy Cost Currert $ 4 8 011 2
rar-zor
Cnst~t I 2tsrzr-ezti- $1
E
12$
14 if
iG
17
18
19
20
21
a S230
s$1 S60
$$ $1169 o$0 $80
$3 S 90 i $i 6c 7 v68n
$0 t68c
so S680 S t 1680
$$ $Sao
$680 $0 $1680
$ $1680 $0 $I63
0 $1-680 $ $1620 $0 $1620 $ $680
$0 $1680 ($4536) $180
S25co
$2550 $ 2553
127 06 127V
a
V-1 72
$2323 t2962
$3047
$31C8 $3171
$3234 $3293
53365
$3432
$3501
$2571
$3842 $3715
0
o
c) 0
0 0
0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0
0 0
0
0 0
$0
$0 so so
t0
SO $0
$0
0 $0
$0
$0 $0
$0 so
$0
$0 $0
so $0 $0
348
347 345
348
342
342
348
34 348 343
348 348
348 343
348
348
348
348
348
348
S151450
$2874
323
$9417
$260E
t9735
53334
t 3 $13337
$1 605
$10817 $11034
$14 $47-
$11703
$ 43 $12122
$12426
$12674
$12328
S1032T
S0
6s0
$1680
$1680
t1680
t-1680
t16
$5
1680 S63 s1650 t1 580
$680
$w $60
$160
$1680 ($2856)
(t10E22f
$7134
$7553
$7737
$306
1218
12314
13 180$3717
$232
$3137 $ 3S4
$3-74 $373K
$10023
1510-22
$103503
$10746
$10-34 $1E784
(105z825) ($106225)
$3 T03154
($33032) ($93644 ($55375) ($W784) ($73764) ($22162)
($73250) ($73-76a
(56235) (71amp2) ($ 17) ($620)
($S4 29 J ($62 202 (43 7) ($5781)
($42 142) ($53737)
($3207) ($43 781 (3c354) ($4073)
($2464) $42 ($1255) 3332 1 ($3387) ($36055) ($7907) ($33 053) ($251 ($30221) $2723 $27532)
$8007 ($34984) $15211 ($21532)
310S225) (S106825) ($10028E I100 402) ($34133) $3425) ($25) ($83150) ($2 234) ($84232)
(37S313 $73725
($73731 ) ($3756231 ($53 45 (371852)
(5 431 ( ($E75 5 0)
($SEB5I) ($5406)
( (7578T 172 (157373)
(53($439 ($55185) ($41818) 379$5 ($44417) ISS347) ($421 84) ($49673) ($4010S) ($$143) $3-173) (-$746)
($36i 3M) ($45403) ($34023) ($43833)
$103453 $33880 0 $0 7018 $217065 $137333 $79726
A-65
TABLE A-33 (Contd)
Ec rC z ant Firn Anaiys- fc- Ererzy Investrerts - Egypt En MlIS
Czzota ss Benefit Parameters terra Rate cf eturn C40
flcquistici deg $17K= Transporatic $0
Sonstructior $0
Irterco rnectior $0
T3TAL Cap2 $107275
Lorstruzt Time 0th
Prce of 0i
C Escalat
rrgy Savngs
F-el Use
$2500 I (yr 20year
343 bbllvear
0 btlyear
11 -i- PV cf
Rat - enefits
0 $217
2 $17- 4-4 $144247
PV of
Costs
12339 $SOV-93 $129037 $2E30
11PV
$7726 $475-7 $15211(I5sES
BC
Ratio
158 132 112 096
Cperating and Nor a
Ocerating Cost
Operating Lifetime
Maintenace Costs
SEC year
21 years
L2r f 0 3
OX $37874
11 $81877 12 76520
I3 $7172014 $67405
$92273
$121904
$121 091 1353
$119632$119072
($21 53)
($34029
($23214)
($432833) ($47953)($516S7)
083
072 068 064 060 057
10ajcr Ecuipment Re~a rlRepaeet
Replace Cost ($4535)Ipericd
Replace Period 20 years
IS
18
20
$614
$53936
$53904
$48839
$11 514
$113002
$117102
$116338
($5000)
($52007)
($63198)
($67498)
054
051
046
042
A-66
Ecorcmic an Fnanria AralvsiE r Eer-y rveStMe-ts -- EZy EE C1I
TABLP-34
-r Case -fL TEST 4 - LEW TEX7Lfl LE $202-T - PR D-L $30BBL) Assir Oi Escalatior Rate of 20
Yea a-ta
Cost eratrCEt of Oi cost $pbl
el Used
(MI Fel
ost
zave Erergy
Ecuzv
VaLe cf s-ve
Energy P -a
Cest
Cash
Currert euro Dscounted Cash 4 8
1ow UNV)
10
9 i
12
1 ccuisCiticr 7 T7rarsort bull Co-tr t~ $
2
4
5
7 8
10
2
13
14
15
16
17 18 19
21
ITz~ta $C73 $22 ES
so 10 o sSo o $iE80 n $ 680 $0 U680
$0 $160 5 s62-
$0 680 f l
50 $Ss so $ss
$0 $6Ev
s $68 so $180
S0 siW8 to $1680 V) $65
$0 $1680 ($4536) $1680
$--D00
S32 $334
$32 7 C312
$3378
$2446 $5
3s85 357
$2730 $3355
$388
$353
$423
s412 $42CI
$42895
$417C
$4458
l c
0 0 0 0 0
0 0
0
0
0
0
0
0 0
0
0
0
so so o$0
so so $0
$0 so so
to $0
$0
$0
$0
so so
so s0
$0
$0
$0
53 348 246 348
343 343
348
348 348
348 348
348
348
348
348
348
348 348
348
348
348
S1 70 s I 49 $1 3F2 072
$11301 $527
$1177
$11992 $122532
S2477 $2$2726
$12231
Z2240 $2505
$12775
$14051
$4 322 $1463
$14911
$15203
$15513
S10227S 15 Si680 $29E
$1580 $312 $amp80 ] $630 $S2 $1680 $36 7 $168) $C077 $680 $C312 $68 $05
E0 S07377 680 $11046
$680 $1130 $680 11 5w S680
t 630 $12035 S60 o S1237-
S11530 s1T652 $660 $12 923 $ i0 $13231
$68 $13523
82856)$18259
310S 525) ($37S5
(s8nL) 172843) ($64749)
3$5S785-
($42942) ($41233)
f$2-53) ($21O)
($18650)
($ 9)
32($4527)
$24S8
$327
$103 22724
$255
$35677
$44060
165f25)1 SZ
(0 -59) ($32837)
($7582)
1$9 -5) (S2774)
5S75f ($510)
3$45551 (340533)
($25692)
($3101)
($26753)
3-631
13725)
(K5M504Z) ($11545)
($2234)
($5093)
($1158)
(S10S 5 (356332)
($3733 ($3732 ($7716)
($71047)
($U35 (0067) ($5M144)
(S55 (4S306)
($42345)
1538662)
($L237
(632C51)
($23020)
($2227) ($23777)
($2 337)
($13185)
(16454)
1 cc-T25) ($3327)
($91207) (184517)
(73403)
($72816)
($6771)
163046 ($53784)
(G54831) (35334) (08025
s$ 8
($42423
( 3
($37673)
($35J60) ($23725)
($32004)
($30433)
($28S19)
$103455 $33d8O 0 $0 7018 $60 478 $1373n $123135
A-67
TABLE A-34 (Contd) 2Lk T-CTETPL Calc~1ated)FL_TI0~PBL
o~ar Fariai naiysi- f-Erergy l=VEsrEtS - Ecyt EE i
trr Rat-- c REturn 787Benefit araetersazital S-sts
t -ri-e of CiD $3000 bbl (yr 1)$10995n PV of BIC
Trarspoto $0 Oil Eszaat 20Iear ri VV C Rate Eerefits Ccsts IPV Ratio
Corstruct ior $r == shyErray Savr s 348 bblyear
intetor rztior $0 Fue -e 0 bblyear 0 $26C478 $137339 1123133 190
2 105 40 S-32693 $77847 1 9 TOTPL (Cap S10799n
4 $173037 $1903-7 $44060 134
6 $144614 $126130 $183483 115 Construct TiME mcTth-s
$1228 $12379E W158 09
t 129N 087tI0O449 ($16454)woerating and Norma Mainterarce C0ts
11 $98253 $121031 ($r233) 081
2 $91824 $120353 ($22 Z29) 076 Operatirc Cost $1680 year
13 $8K064 $19683 ($33619) 072 O eratir 21 yearsLifetie_
14 $80885 $119072 ($33186) 068
5 $7E217 $18514 ($42237) 064 Major Equipment RerairReplacement
$71995 $11802 ($4007) 061
18 $64685 $117102 ($52417) C5shy_16
Replace Cost ($4536)period 2N $58607 $11S338 ($57731) 050
Replace Period 20 years
A-68
Eccnoc and inarzia ryss fc- -re-y rvEstre-ts - E yot EE
TAEE F-35
Fcr Case ofrZ- 5TEST 4 - HELAN TEXT-IPX Mu Assuin_-0 Escalation Rate cf 20
CTOR PRICE $20SQc- -Cc GI j3mBu
Yea
r
s s-t
--t
aoita ost
7
t
eratirn Lst
Cost of IE
Oi1
Feel Used
(Ebl) Fue
Cost
zavEd Erery EcLIv
Value of SEvE
Ern-rzy Annual
Cost Cash Flow Lrrert S
Liscourted 4
Cash F~A
8 (NM
IC i =
2
2
E
7
1$
--
00 21
t--0795
S $0 4
f2
SO 1$
$o SO f0 $ $ S
so$0
tTSO to
($4535)
$103459
2311
1s8c C)
S o 58
$680
SGzr-SsW ss $S80
$16s2 $X30
$630
$ 3 $ampV
$168 51680 $9
$1680 s680
$33880
$M570 $3
$3714 $373
$335
$3942
$4020 $401
$4 3 S42 ES
$4352 $4439
$4E28
545 is $47
$S422 $4301 $4j 9
15099 55201
0
0 0
0 C
C
0
C
a 0
0 0
C
0 0 0 0
0 0
0
Vi
s0 10
$0
SC
t0
to U$C
$V S
$0 $0
$1
oS^1 s0 SC so
s0 so
s0
s
348 342
248 343
343
342
342 343
-43 348
345 348
343
348 342
348 348 348
348 348
7 01
52 S2424 S 1672 t2926 $13 14
S 4-4
$13717
$1399 $14271
$14 ss S14347
t5144 t15447
$1r756 $16071$[ 3
$16721 $17055 17395
$17744 $180 3
$303891
A-69
245 1E8O $68
$66o $1S80
680
f1680
$us
s S680
s60 V-680
) 60
$11680 1G0
$-680 $680 $180
$1680 (2 5)
$137 3
$10744 $10992
24S Er
$1762
$12037
23 $1680$259 $1287S $13167
3464 $2757
$S076
$14391$114723
$15041 1575 $1576
$16064 120955
1165552
--915) M--72
(1h7) 5 211 Z229
($47334 7H)
(S3733-1 (23353 ($1q134 $02393
($1432) $7105
s5E
$23871S220n40
40 07 $4-964 55572 $Q346 $72910
0245 (S10524S ($105245) 1 237) $-3473) 39S53) 36S273) 387334) (373N 77S4 ($7-4)- (S792S)
(IC3S437037) 372374) ($40) (I781 ($597)
(-68 ) 15936) (M9 799 S473 (t4 7) (54230)
342I1 S$4795) ($43 4-) 34S9 $-9334 11445
(3273701 (S34 2353) (340262) (1253 1212n3s391 ($IE129 T251S) 12858) ($1076 ($2107D) (n632) ($3C53) (S-723-3)($26687)
3$4 (137631 ($23m9)
$2975 $1489) (2546) $7130 (37448) ($1230G)
$I063 (4521) ($172--3) $14786 (31994) (11 397) $19231 S120 (113 25)
TABLE A-35 (Contd)ASSPTIONS TAPBLE ME-F-COST TULE (CalcJaled)
E~ooi a Finacial Asi for Energy Investrents - Eypt EE
raitaSs Penefit raees Iter-E Rate of Returr 1014
Pcnuistio $SI7 Price of CiE h (yr 1)7-arrtatior $0 Oil Ezalat 2 year Dis PY cf V of FCrstrcticr $
Rate Enrefits Cc-zts NPDV Ratiotercnnecticr $0 Ergr~y Savrs 343 ttlyear - -ue Use 0 -bllyEar 0 $302231 $1373393 T2T
2 -(7925$2fZ $333 121 37 185 cnstrnxt Tiia 10 Lerths
46 2C34 $23C37 $72 10 57 6 $163716 $1L $4256 34 ee t1437S $372E $0281 116pe-atinz arsd NorLal nainternare Costs 0 $23022 $2504 S120 01
Operating Cost C680 year 10 $107129 $1E3 353 (S2 00 83 13 S100403 $29693 319275)
woeratino Lifetime 21 years 084
a- Ec RErairReplacemerit 4 $0426E $113072 ($24705)ipet 073883-) $514 $ 94)15 S - $-31 (2 07
-$---I16 eplace Cost (4536)Iperiof $3934 $18002 ($34008) 071 -e---
Repace Period 20 years 12 $75465 $117102 ($41637) 064 20 $66375 $116338 ($47963) 059
A-70
-Ecui adFin-ncla Aralys fcr re-rr-t - Ect Efl S
T-PLE -36
- Case cf-l 75- 14 - ZLWAN TxTLE11P (CLETOR F1 -e-1 - C_ OF L $40PL) Pfssu-ir 0i Ezsaatio- Rate cf 20
saves a cfaita _2erat Cost cz C Fue Used Ftel -rery Eaez ra1 ash oi DiEccurted Cash Fioi (PV) i =Yerpoundzsl (Bb1) Ccst Eciv E-er=- Cst poundjrrent 4 0 l
1 Trar-ort $L or Sc
ac-r r-
Thplusmnt$ $2 $4000 0 $0 53 32220 $ OZ 275 115V S ) $L) 5 $52$ $S $4080 0 $0 342 S4133 5160 bull ( s ($34 34 $4 5251eS oS ($845575 337$S $230 S4162 C $0 348 l144S2 $680 S222 tS2 08B21 (t 383) c(sa84) 354572)4 $ -- 45 0 $0 348 $14 72 80 $13-2 37)443) VT2F35) ($74 M)8 (37221- $ 6 54230 6
c SO 34 $ 07 $1650 513337 (52 333) 5 (s650141 ($56745)41 S6pound0 $4pound 0 $0 343 t5369 s0 $1268 ($47748) S2833) ME514) 3522 3787 S $45C I so 348 s Sw W=10131S13336 $67613SEBT($54614) ($587)scl S621 s~lsK 0o 348 sIz230 $680 $1IL3 I j 2 (-6631 (34171 5447 $ i620 $S437 0 so 348 C2 1 S 42 (f23 ($27 (4)ic $1 11 $4780 0 s0 343 $63 $1680 $1435 (54E 7) (S5284) (252 $3411 $0 960 $4276 0 $0 248 s-03 $1680 $Z222 571 ($1420) ($13 ( 0
1 $ $6al $4373 0 $0 348 $7305 T6O S15628 8(75W (S1S7M ($24 537)$O ^$ 73 0 SO 348 $17654 t1680 $1f3 5 25842 fss (S 641)- 2059714 C05630 IS174 0 $0 348 $12 007 t680 $l6327 53=-048 $4847 ($(S2 $16955)15 sso 15278 0 s0 348 $18367 ~ 6amp s-6637 S45 284 $10E54 (52518) ($3441)15 so Eao $2387 0 so 348 $18734 31680 $17054 $54754 $15$564 31032--17 160 $5497 0 so 348 s1100 T1680 t7423 $4053 $ 20921 15358 ($7482)18 $0 sso 567 0 so 348 $13431 t1680 $1781 5 73203 $2s5 5$8871 ($4888713 $0 $Sao $5773 0 $0 348 $13881 $1680 $18 201 $2188 2r313 S C2 252120 t0 680 $5227 0 $0 348 $20279 $1650 $I63 521016 $3467 $1$196 ($3361)21 $s $1680 $5944 0 $0 348 $20684 $2 856) $22540 $101753 $3 72115 185 $2079
$103458 $33680 0 $0 7018 $347304 S1370 $ 05965
A-71
TABLE A-36 (Contd) S TIO TfPBLE EEN-TT-CCSTS TP- -uatedCa1c
Eccncmic and Financial Pavsis fc- Energy irvestcents -- Eypt EEA 96
aita Costs -eefitParaeters nterna Rate of etur- 1229
fcouisition 0799 Price c Oil $40 bbl (yr 1)Transp rtatir $0 Oil Esalat 20year Disc PV of PV of BZCorst-utie $0 Rate Berfits Costs Ratio
irterconntior $0 Enry Savrs 348 bblyear Fue USE 0 bbllyear N $347304 $33 1 2TOTL -Cap -107 995 S22D720 $132 5S3 $148127 212
4 $2307S6 $2 037 $10 175 -79Construct Time 19 months 6 $92818 $126130 628 53 8 $1amp3517 $123796 3721 132Operating and Normal Mainterance Costs 10 $14C52 $1219(4 $1363 115
11 $3004 $121091 $9913Operating Cost $1650 year 108
12 $1 432 $12C353 $20 102Operating Lifetime 21 years 1 $114751 S83 ($4 31 09z $11
14- $107847 $119072 ($11225) 091Major Equipment RepairRelacemert 5 $1C1622 $110514 (c6291) 086 16 $95993 $118002 ($220C09) 081
Replace Cost ($4536)period 8 $8624E T17102 ($30 S56 074Replace Period 20 years 2 $78143 $115338 ($32195) 067
A-72
APPENDIX B
Preliminary Cost Estimates
Three (3) systems are considered appropriate for cost analysis Cost estimates are preliminary for use in the Application ReviewConceptual
Design portion of this project
A Waste Heat Recovery System
B Solar Thermal Collection System
Current $US (mid-1986) are applied then escalated to mid-1987 theexpected construction period at 10 percent
For cost assessment purposes all material and supervision will beconsidered imported Egyptto Labor costs will reflect some Egyptianrate influence although certain installation procedures will requireexperienced labor not currently available in Egypt
The average annual wage for the Egyptian construction industry in 1985Is 7800 LE or $5778 (US) ($135 LE per US $)
An average labor rate in the United States for construction servicesapplicable to this project is estimated by the R S Means Company to be$2177 per hour in 1985 (crew Q4) An estimated thirty percent imporledlabor with severity percent Egyptian labor can be used for establishing a mixed labor rate average of $936 per hour (US) A labor cost modifier for wages becomes $936$2177 or 0431
Equipment and system cost estimates and percentages are established byusing R S Means Company Cost Data and1985 equipment suppliersbudget pricing estimates
The solar cost data are determined in flxed-and variable-cost increments as required by the FCHART-4R program input format A solar collection array size of 4000 square feet ( 72 m2 ) is estimated for use in determining the variable cost factor
B-I
A WAS[E HEAT RECOVERY SYSTEM
DESC R I FT ION SIEI OTAI TOTAL
3 WAY WASTE WATER DIVERTING VALVES SUMP MATERIALS SUMF PUMP FILTER SCREEN SUMP PUMF LEVEL CONTROL AND VALVE WASTE HEAT STORAGE TANK WASTE HE(I S IORAGE TANK PUMP STORAGE TANK LEVEL CONTROL AND VALVE WASTE HEAT EXCHANGER $1200)1000 EITI SUB-TOTAL EQUIFMENT(MID-1986) $160900
ESCALATION FACTOR 11 TOTAL EQUIPMENT (MID-1987) $176990
FLOW ItDICATORS AND GLOBE VALVES 3 WAY PROCESS WATER BLENDING VALVES STEAM CONTROL VALVES PROCESS WATER TEMPERATURE CONTROLLERS SUB-TOTAL EQUIPMENT(MID-1986) $71400
ESCALATION FACTOR 11 TOTAL EQUIPMENT (MID-1987) $78540
PIPING COST (40 EQUIP COST) 040 $102212
INSULATION COST (75 PIPING COST) 075
SUB-TOTAL MATERIAL COST $434401
LABOR COST (715 MATERIAL COST) $310597 MODIFIERLABOR MIX 043 MODIFIED LABOR COST $133557
SUB-TOTAL MATERIAL + LABOR $567958
TOTAL WASTE HEAT RECOVERY SYSTEM CONSTRUCTION COST $567958
B-2
B SOLAR THERMAL COLLECTION SYSTEM VARIRIABLE COrST (HIID-19117)
DESCR I FIUIN SOLAR CULA-ECTORS $10 0uFT2 COLLECTOR AREA 4000 rF2 COLLECTOR COST SOLAR CIRCIJLAFIN(3 PUMPFS SULAR 1ISTRIBLTI 1 PIlIPS STRUCTURAL STEEl SOLAR CONTROLS INSVRUMELNV AIR SYSEIIFIPING LOW VOLTAGE CABLE EXCAVArION AND FOUNDAFIONS ELECTRICAL
TOTAL EQtJIPMENT(MI ID-1986) ESCALATION FACTOR TOTAL ELUI MENT (MID-1787) PIPING COST (40 COLLECTOR COST) INSULATION COST (75PIPING COST) TOTAL MATERIAL COST I$144050
$105500
I1
075
$116050 $16lt00 $12000
LABOR COST (715 MATERIAL COST) MOIFIERLABOR MIX MODIFIED LABOR COST
$102996 043
$44286
MATERIAL + LABOR $188338
FREIGHTDUTYTAXES TO EGYPT 10 $18834
SUBTOTAL $207172
SUBTOTAL CONTINGENCY 15
$207172 $31076
TOTAL VARIABLE COST COST PER FT2 $60
$238248
B-3
------------------------------------------------------------------------
--------------------------------------------------------------------
FIXED COST (MID 1987)
DESCRIPTION CONTRALCTOIR S RENTAL SUFPL IES CONIRACrORS FACILITIES CONTRACTORS UTILITIES CONTRACTORS MATERIAL HANDLING CONTRACTORS CLEAN-UP DISMANTLING AND MOVING BOXING AND CRATING U S IRANSPORTAT ION SUB-TOTAL $34000
SUB-TOTAL M34000 CONTINGENCY 15 $5100
TOTAL FIXED COST $39100
LGE COST BASED ON CURRENT FIELD TEST PROJECT
TOTAL VARIABLE COST $238248 TOTAL FIXED COST $39100
TOTAL SYSTEM CONSTRUCTION COST $277348
EEA COST DATA BASED ON CURRENT PROJECTS USING IN-COUNTRY CONTRACTOR AND EQUIPMENT
VARIABLE COST $2862FT2 $2862 COLLECTOR SIZE (FT2) 4000 TOTAL VARIABLE COST $114480
EEA FIXED COST $26757
TOTAL SYSTEM CONSTRUCTION COST $141237
CONSTRUCTION COST SUMMARY
A WASTE HEAT RECOVERY SYSTEM $567958
D SOLAR THERMAL COLLECTION SYSfEM $277348
1(lAL CUNSTRUCTION CU9 A amp B $845 05
B-4
APPENDIX C
7)i)7771Cell i) Ofr
U6~ (Ici 1 -211~c~~
f~t 2l
c-1
1986 1OCT
I L jB~ i i~ I C r 6 ~ ~Kn Z 7
B~ C~u ~d~ ~ c) 7 fie~~
dF -Me- cluy( - (F --
(44 I It Lccc~ e~lry
C-2
- A
--
C
A LA Ai i ll~l 61
_
shyit AA 3t yj
-(plvt IIIIIl i
1 Ilshy
i 37
~~t~ ~ F~ I liN011 u
1~ i1I1~
~I rrjuLr~
I ~~~ ru
I 9IwrluLIIIAI -
NOR i6 91 13
1
MAY i i1 99 f
I~lI 2 I 1 r hJI I I- L3f 2H euro S)1
AUG l T411lt --
0 7 I9t7i
(1 LlI1 ~ I
11R(IIIC 791 shyIf 919 TXjLvj
lS 3 11LI
cr
62 FI f)I )
IL 1 iia ILE 61 l ampq
T
~
2j~
1 1 I 5
264 1 0 1 A1 3 IsP IEIJA 167 -
PO Zlt876 tV9IlAl lA g-
t i -- - i i 4I r Y 12 d
C 7 =_ - 34 p76 q A
957 IULkE0 167 if 6 0 237J163lIlI) 11-1 i6 1
It 1 1 IO I rIl
1I 1 4 77t ~A shy
r IIjl 1 I 971- 6II l I I[(ijllI Ii
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ll
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1 1 6
A2 52 213 A4
YN -~ A-
IA 6~A273A 4j 163 6 1 7 6 136)~ A
UN6I TS~ I-t- - A6AAAA I1AAAHOURA JA A
~ AAAA 9~AA6~ C-36 ~ 6 A A I I ~
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_ D O
Pn-shy
_ - - - -- -- - - ~ -
2 -
L- I CA e
k --
Identify policy issues such as energy prices
incentives tariffs and regulations that could be
modified instituted andor removed to enhance the
establishment of a true economic cost of energy
resources
Determine the economic environment under which
investment decisions could be made for the widespread
vse of similar renewable energy technologies in Egypt
0 Train Egyptian counterparts with the capability of
performing market and economic assessments of similar
energy projects
The MarketEconomic Analysis Task is performed in two
parts The first part is the Pre-RFP MarketEconomic Analysis
This activity will perform a site specific MarketEconomic
analysis of a particular field test in order to provide decision
makers both at EEA and USAIDCairo with information on the
financial and economic viability of the proposed field test
This information is required as one of the pieces of information
for a go-no-go decision on the issuance of an RFP
The second part performs a marketeconomic analysis of
specified renewable energy technologies throughout Egypt in
industrial sectors represented by the eleven field tests
- 3 shy
This report represents the first part the Pre-RFP Market
Economic analysis for a field test designed to test the technical
and economic viability of the use of solar industrial process
heat (IPH) and a waste heat recovery system for textile bleachshy
iig
- 4shy
3 BACKGROUND
The proposed site for Field Test 4 -Textile finishing at
the Helwan Spinning and Weaving Company at Helwan near Cairo
Helwan Spinning and Weaving Company is a large textile
plant finishing a variety of fabrics The finishing operation
consists of a series of chemical treatments involving hot and
cold washes by dyeing and bleaching processes The hotfollowed
wash dye and bleach washers are currently brought to and held
at the desired temperature range by direct sparging with steam
(hand-valve adjustments)
Objectives of Proposed Field Test Site for IPH System
The primary objectives of this field test are to provide
EEA with practical working experience using Solar Thermal
Industrial Process Heat and to provide system design and operashy
tional training for Egyptian engineers for the purpose of
assessing and implementing similar projects throughout Egypt
This field test will evaluate the viability of solar thermal
industrial process heat with waste heat recovery system for
textile finishing
The application of solar IPH and waste heat recovery
system for textile finishing at Helwan Textile will serve as a
demonstration of the capability of the combined technology of
- 5 shy
industrial process heat to reliably supply significant amounts
of energy at other textile finishing facilities It is important
that this field test be designed to distinguish between the
performance of the solar IPH and the performance of the waste
heat recovery systems so that each can be evaluated for other
applications
-6 shy
4 ECONOUilC ANALYSIS
Objective
The objective of this analysis is to evaluate the economic
viability of a solar thermal system for providing industrial
process heat for textile finishing at the Helwan Spinning and
Weaving Company at Helwan and to determine whether or not an
investment in this field test would result in the acquisition of
useful information and know-how not only technical but also
managerial and institutional so that such experiences could be
duplicated throughout the economy of Egypt
Research Methodology
The method of analysis selected for accomplishing the above
objective is the standard benefit cost analysis used in project
evaluation A benefit cost analysis involves first the pooling
of anticipated benefits and costs (direct and indirect) resulting
from the project throughout its economic life The streams of
benefits and costs are then expressed in present value terms
using a common numeraire (a discount rate)
From this the following evaluation characteristics can be
calculated
The Net Present Value (NPV) is the difference between the sum of
the discounted stream of benefits and the sum of the discounted
stream of costs discounted by a given discount rate
- 7 shy
The Payback Period is the number of years it takes a project to
generate sufficient benefits to cover its cost or the number of
years it takes the net present value to change from a negative
to a positive value
The Internal Rate of Return (IRR) sometimes called the economic
rte of return is that discount rate that would equate
discounted benefits to discounted cost or reduce the net present
value to zero
Benefit-Cost Ratio (BC) This is the ratio obtained by dividing
the discounted value of all project benefits by the discounted
value of project costs
Simple Payback This is a rule of thumb method used by investors
to see if a particular financial venture is worth investing in
or not The simple payback is calculated by summing up all
capital and operating costs and dividing that sum by the value of
the first full years benefit In the private sector in most
industrialized countries a simple payback of 3 to 5 years is
expected With renewable energy technology a simple payback of
7-9 years is usually admissible
- 8shy
Assumptions
The economic analysis of the IPH system is based on the
following assumptions
0 All energy conversions are made into barrels of oil
equivalent where one metric ton is equivalent to
US 733 barrels
0 Price of oil is valued at US$20barrel of No 6 light
heating oil escalated at 2 per year This price
level may not be indicative of the price of oil that is
rapidly changing at present It should be noted that
the analysis in this study is to look at what may
happen in the long-rt-n during the 1980s and 1990s As
such the analysis should not be affected by what
happens to commodity prices in the spot market in the
very short-run A revision of the price of oil in the
analysis may be appropriate when the price level
stabilizes
A discount rate of 1O is sed This is the
opportunity cost of money used in international
lending agencies such as the World Bank
Hardware is assumed to have a salvage value of 10 at
the end of the life of the system
-9shy
The system is expected to have a life of 20 years
0 Some hardware items are purchased in Egypt An
exchange rate of LE 135 = US$ 100 is used All
prices are in constant US$ 1985
Data Base
Two sets of cost estimates were used in this analysis The
fWrFt set of data was provided by Lockwood Greene Engineers for
a 4000 sqft collector area (see Appendix B)
On the basis of the best available information Lockwood
Greene Engineers have provided the following cost estimates
Collector Size 4000
Prices Variable cost $60O0sqft Fixed cost $39180
0 + M cost 2 of total cost
Salvage value 42 of total cost
Energy savings 325 barrels of oil
Construction period 10 months
System life 20 years
The second set of data was provided by EEA for a collector
size of 4200 sqft The EEA cost estimates also show two types
of prices The first set shows a price of $2581 per square foot
- 10 shy
of colector This price is to be used for collectors purchased
for the REFT Project The second set shows a price of $2221 per
sqft which is to be used when evaluating IPH application
elsewhere in Egypt (see Appendix C)
Cost estimates provided by EEA are as follows
Collector Size 4200 sqft
Prices Variable cost $2221isqft (local)
$2581sqft (REFT)Fixed cost $17430 (local)
$23995 (REFT)
0 + M cost 2 of hardware cost
Salvage value 42 of capital cost
Energy savings 348 barrels of oil
Construction period 10 months
System life 20 years
Analysis and Results
The economic evaluation of the IPH system for textile
finishing was performed by examining the following sets of
assumptions
1 A 4200 sqft collector area at a price of $30sqft
2 A 4200 sqft collector area at prices of
$ 2581sqft and $2221sqft
3 A Waste Heat Recovery System
4 A 4200 sqft collector area priced at $30 per sqftombined with waste heat recovery system
5 A sensitivity analysis at different collector prices and varying prices of oil
- 11 shy
Table 1 presents the input data based on cost estimates
provided by Lockwood Greene Engineers These estimates are based
on a collector system purchased from the US at a price of
US$60sqft Output results for this analysis is presented in
Table 2
Input data for the base line analysis are presented in
Table 3 All base line analyses were performed assuming a price
of $20O0bbl of oil The economic evaluation of all systems
was made using a discount rate of 10 although system perforshy
mances are examined at varying discount rates ranging from 0
to 20 at 2 intervals (see Appendix A)
Table 4 presents results of the base line analysis As
shown in this table the 4200 sqft solar collector systems at
all collector prices do not pay during its economic life The
solar collector system at a price of $30sqft has a simple
payback of 22 years which is longer than the life of the system
The net present value at 10 discount rate is negative for
the baseline case with collector price $30sqft and price of
oil $2Gibbl indicating that the financial benefits accruing to
the project will not be able to offset the cost of acquisition
and operation of the system during its economic life span The
net present value at different level of discount rate and varying
prices of oil is presented in Figure 1
- 12 shy
TABLE 1
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM
FIELD TEST 4 - HLEWAN TEXTILE
DATA INPUT - US CASE
(Collector Price US$ 60sqft Price of Oil
I T E M S SOLAR ONLY WASTE HEAT RE(]OVaRY
Capital Cost ($) 227348 567958
0 + M ($) 4765 11359
Salvage Value ($) 11649 23854
Energy Savings (bbl) 325 11048
Construction Period (Month) 10 10
System Life (Yrs) 20 20
Source LBII estimates based on Engineering cost by Lockwood Greene Engineers
20bbl)
COMBINED SYSTEM
845306
16906
35503
11737
10
20
data provided
- 13 shy
TABLE 2
ECONOMIC NALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM
FIELD TEST 4 - HELWAN TEXTILE
RESULTS - US CASE
(Collector Price USS60sqft Price of Oil US$ 20bbl)
I T E M S SOLAR ONLY WASTE HEAT COMBINED RECOVERY
Energy Savings (bbl) 325 11048 11373
Simple Payback (Yrs) 43 3 4
Pdyback Period (Yrs) None 4 6
Net Present Value i = 10 ($251325) 1568793 1310681
Internal Rate of Return (IRR ) - 834 4220 2843
BC Ratio i = 10 021 337 233
Source LBII estimates based on Engineering cost data providedby Lockwood Greene Engineers
- 14 shy
TABLE 3
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM
FIELD TEST 4 - HELWAN TEXTILE
DATA INPUT - BASELINE ANALYSIS
(Collector Price US$ 30sqft)
I T E M S SOLAR ONLY WASTE HEAT COMBINED RECOVERY SYSTEM
Capital Cost ($) 149995 567958 717953
0 + M (S) 2520 11359 13879
Salvage Value ($) 6300 - 0 - 6300
Energy Savings (bbl) 348 11048 11396
Construction Period (Month) 10 10 10
System Life (Yrs) 20 20 20
Source LBII estimates based on cost data provided from EEA and Lockwood Greene Engineers
- 15 shy
TABLE 4
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM
FIELD TEST 4 - HELWAN TEXTILE
BASELINE ANALYSIS RESULTS
(Collector Price $30sqft Price of Oil US$ 20bbl)
I T E M S SOLAR ONLY WASTE HEAT COMBINED RECOVERY
Energy Savings (bbl) 348 11048 11396
Simple Payback (Yrs) 22 3 3
Payback Period (Yrs) None 4 5
Net Present Value i = 10 ($100633) 1565248 1464614
Internal Rate of Return (IRR ) - 124 4220 3402
BC Ratio 041 335 275 i = 10
Source LBII estimates based on cost data provided by EEA and Lockwood Greene Engineers
- 16 shy
Figure I Helwan TextileIPH - Solar only - Net Present Value at various Discount Rates and Prices of Oil (Collector
Price S30sqft)
0
150
-J)0
LUJ
LUJ
00-
Li
11 t 6
4F
D I SCOU NT RATE ()
130BBL
-$25BBL
~$15BBL $20BBL
- - 17 shy
The internal rate of return (IRR) is significantly lower
than the 10 economic rate of return expected to cover the cost
of credit
The waste heat recovery system on the other hand shows
positive results The system pays for itself in four years
The internal rate of return for the waste heat recovery
system is very high 4220 indicating very high economic gains
to be realized by installing this system
The Application Review for Field Test 4 examines solar
thermal together with a waste heat recovery system as a unit that
will be installed at Helwan Textile Accordingly an economic
evaluation of the combined solar thermal plus the waste heat
recovery system was performed
The input data used for Zhis analysis is presented in
Table 3 Results of the economic analysis for the combined
system are presented in Table 4 As shown in Table 4 the
combined system is economically viable The payback period for
the combined system is five years with an Internal Rate of
Return (IRR) of 3402 Figure 2 presents a graphic representashy
tion of the internal rate of return (IRR) for the output results
presented in Table 4
- 18shy
C
Figure 2 Helwan Textile - Internal Rate of Return at different Prices of Oil for Waste Heat Recovery
and Combined Solar and Jaste Heat Recovery
Systems (Collector Price $60 and $30sqft)
100
80shy
60-
LU 40
lt
($ B B LUi P R 1 0 F 0 1 L
-20
-20
- 19shy
-40
It is very clear from Table that the economic performance
of the combined system is lower than that of the waste heat
system indicating the dampening effect of the poor econoinic
performance of the solar thermal system
It should be pointed out that there is no functional relashy
tionship between the technical or economic performance of solar
thermal and waste heat recovery systems One can install the
solar thermal all by itself or in combination
As discussed earlier the proposed 4200 sqft solar thermal
system is not economically viable at a collector price of $30
sqft and price of oil S20barrel A separate analysis was
performed using a S20barrel price of oil and collector prices of
$30 25 22 and 20sqft Results of the analysis is presented
in Table 5
As shown in Table 5 the solar thermal system is not
economically viable at all collector prices The system does
not pay for itself during its life span Even at the lowest
collector price ($20sqft) the benefits derived from the
system can only cover 58 of the cost incurred (BC ratio 058)
during the life of the system
An additional sensitivity analysis was performed for each
collector price level and varying prices of oil As inshown
- 20 shy
TABLE 5 - ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM - FT4HELWAN TEXTILE SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS WITH DIFFERENT COLLECTOR PRICES
(Price of Oil US$ 20BBL)
I T E M S
COLLECTOR
$20sqft $22sqft
PRICE
$25sqft $30sqft
r
Energy Savings
(bbl)
Simple Payback
(Yrs)
Payback Period
(Yrs)
Net Present Value
i = 10
Internal Rate of Return - IRR
348
16
None
($51604)
266
348
16
None
($55919)
216
348
19
None
($76694)
046
348
22
None
($100633)
- 124
BC Ratio
i = 10 058 056 048 041
Source LBII estimate based on engineering cost Lockwood Greene Engineers
data provided by EEA and
Tables 6 - 9 the solar thermal system will start showing
positive economic results if collector prices are between $20 and
$22sqft and oil prices increase to $35 - $40barrel It is
very unlikely to find a situation where one can have a decline
in the price of collectors while having a simultaneous increase
in the price of oil Since collectors are manufactured from
products such as plastic glass aluminum etc which are
energy intensive a decline in collector prices can only be
realiz=d with a decline in the price of energy
Figures 3 and 4 show graphic representations of the internal
rate of return (IRR) and payback period respectively for
different prices of collectors and varying prices of oil
A year by year cash flow for 36 different scenarios are
presented in Appendix A Tables Al - A36
- 22 shy
TABLE 6 - ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM - FT4HELWAN TEXTILE SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS WITH DIFFERENT PRICES OF OIL
(Collector Price US$ 20sqft)
P R I C E OF 0 1 L
I T E M $15bbl $20bbl $25bbl $30bbl $35bbl $40bbl
Energy Savings 348 348 348 348 348 348(bbl)
Simple Payback 21 16 12 10 9 8(Yrs)
Payback Period None None None None None None (Yr s)
Net Present Value i = 10 (69179) (51604) (34029) (16454) 1120 18695
Internal Rate ofReturn - IRR - 057 266 540 787 1014 1229
BC Ratio 043 058 072 087 101 115
Source LBII estimate based on engineering cost data provided by EEA andLockwood Greene Engineers
TABLE 7 - ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM - FT4HELWAN TEXTILE SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS WITH DIFFERENT PRICES OF OIL
(Collector Price US$ 22sqft)
I T E M
Energy Savings (bbl)
Simple Payback (Yrs)
Payback Period
(Yrs)
P R I C E OF 0 I L
$15bbl $20bbl $25bbl $30bbl $35bbl $40bbl
348 348 348 348 348 348
21 16 13 11 9 8
None None None None None None
Net Present Value i = 10 (73494) (55919) (38344) (20769) (3194) 14381
Internal Rate of Return - IRR - 108 216 491 735 961 1172
BC Ratio 042 056 070 084 097 111
Source LBII estimate based on engineering cost data provided by EEA and Lockwood Greene Engineers
TABLE 8 -ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM - FT4HELWAN TEXTILESENSITIVITY ANALYSIS WITH DIFFERENT PRICES OF OIL (Collector Price US$ 25sqft)
P R I C E OF 0 I L I T E M $15bbl $20bbl $25bbl $30bbl $35bbl $40bbl
Energy Savings
(bbl)
348 348 348 348 348 348
Simple Payback
(Yrs) 25 19 15 12 11 9
Payback
(Yrs)
Period None None None None None None
Net Present Value i = 10 (94268) (76694) (59119) (41544) (23969) (6394)
Internal Rate ofReturn - IRR - 263 046 304 532 739 932 BC Ratio 036 048 060 072 084 096
Source LBII estimate based on engineering cost data provided by EEA andLockwood Greene Engineers
TABLE 9 - ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM - FT4HELWAN TEXTILE SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS WITH DIFFERENT PRICES OF OIL
(Collector Price US$ 30sqft)
P R I C E OF 0 1 L
I T E M $15bbl $20bbl $25bbl $30bbl $35bbl $40bbl
Energy Savings 348 348 348 348 348 348 (bbl
Simple Payback 29 22 17 14 12 11(Yrs)
Payback Period None None None None None None (Yrs)
Net Present Value (118208) (100633) (83058) (65484) (47909) (30334) i = 10
Internal Rate of Return - IRR - 425 - 124 124 339 534 714
BC Ratio 031 041 051 062 072 082
Source LBII estimate based on engineering cost data provided by EEA and Lockwood Greene Engineers
Figure 3- Helwan TextileIPH - Solar Only - Internal Rate of
Returr at Different Prices of Oil and varying
Collector Prices
29shy
n
-15
CD 10shy
lt 5
S0
10
R
2
0 F
30 5
B BL )
-10
-27 shy
-Ig - Helwan Textile - Solar Only - Simple Payback at Dfferent Prices of Oil and varying Collector
Prices
50
40shy
30
20- $60sqft
- - S30sqft
I25sqft22sq ft 20sq ft
P
10
R I C E
20
0 F
30
0 1 L
40
B B L
50
- 28 shy
5 CONCLUSION
The economic analysis performed on the proposed IPH Field
Test at Helwan Textile showed that the 4200 sqft flat plate
collector system was not economically viable
However the analysis indicated that when the solar thermal
system was evaluated in combination with the waste heat recovery
system the project was economically viable This favorable
performance was caused not because of improvement made in
economic efficiency by the solar thermal system but rather
because the economic efficiency of the waste heat recovery
system is so strong that it more than offsets the poor
performance of the solar thermal system
It should be emphasized that this analysis did not cover an
evaluation of the complete array of solar thermal systems such
as solar collectors for domestic hot water etc The analysis
was limited to the application of flat plate collectors for
application in industrial process heat of a given temperature
range Therefore implications drawn from this analysis should
not be applied to other solar thermal uses
The economic analysis has revealed some interesting and
important economic technical institutional and policy issues
- 29 shy
It is clear that the proposed flat plate collector system
on its own cainot be expected to bring about positive economic
returns given current collector prices Therefore it is
necessary that
Investigations be made in the technical field to
determine if the efficiency of the system could be
improved without increasing system cost
e The supply side of the collector market be prepared
to manufacture and supply collector systems that are
cost effective
e Policy makers be cognizant of the fact that the price
of flat plate collectors must decrease by almost 60
compared to the best case scenario as used in this
study (from $30sqft to $10sqft) in order
for industrial consumers to find it attractive to
invest in solar thermal technology Since the market
and thus the solar thermal industry is at its infancy
in Egypt policy makers and the public sector have to
play a lead role in removing barriers and providing the
appropriate fiscal andor regulatory incentives to
enhance the manufacture and widespread use of solar
thermal technology
- 30 shy
It is the overall objective of the Renewable Energy Field
Testing Project to investigate selected renewable energy options
to
9 Comprehensively strengthen Egyptian technical and
institutional capabilities in the full spectrum of
renewable energy planning and decision-making for
technologies and applications
Develop and sustain an Egyptian renewable energy
infrastructure through establishment of data bases
information systems and organizations that effectively
serve both the public and private sectors
Design realize and evaluate the performance of a
series of field tests which utilize commercially
available technologies in applications having potential
for widespread use in Egypt
Complete formal managerial and technical training both
on-the-job and specialized and an intensive
information dissemination program
- 31 shy
The design operation maintenance and repair experience
with solar thermal systems that will be obtained through this
field test to form a strong technical base for the design and
application of other renewable energy technologies is an
important factor which has not entered into the benefit cost
calculation in this report These additional factors need to be
considered seriously for the go-no-go decision
- 32 shy
APPENDIX A
-cono mcarz F7ra r na 2Analvsis fo- Erer gyi s t s y --t ne E8 0o
TA -1E-1
Fcr Case ofFELD TEST 4 - HELW TEXTILEIIPH (CILLECTOR PRICE S35313FT- PRICE Cz OIL $158L)Assumr iliEscalatior Rate of
Savec ValLe Of V~Caoitaltea- Cost Deratzrnc Cost of OilCost Sbl Fuel Usea Fuel(bi) EeravCs Saveo AnnualEuiv Er-eray Lost
Casi Flow Discounted Cash Flo~w (NV) j=urrert 48
Ion $14--Oui -It X=-=== ==--- ----==---=-------S shyrarsoort 1 Construc ionI i nt er o 0ne zt i o r $$14$35 $4C- $1500 $0 31Tta 5870$(
58 $150415 ($149545)6520 S153cent S14945) ($149545) ($14954-)$0 348 (149 4W)V 5324 $20$2520 $1561 4 ($146848) 3146948)4 0 $0 348 ($14699) (S14704)SO $5431i250 159= 550 $2911 ($1441 ) ($1445)5 Si $0 348 $5540 S252 S020
($14550) ($144721)$252) 1624 ($141473) (142056)$$ 348 ($142321) (142571)8 5650$0 $1G56 0 $313r ($13797) ($139755) (S140ljE7 $ (140582)$0 346 _7632 20 $1689 0 $W 348 $520 $3243 ($13611) ($137548) ($138169)8 S5873 2520SO $25Z0 $1723 $3359 ($133477) ($135431)0 $0 (M76274 ($137040)9- W S757 348 S5336 $25200 SO 348 $3476 (s123235 ($133402) ($134490)10 $5116 S-20 ($135468)$0 $2520 51733 0
$352 (128205) ($131460)11S 250 $0 348 $6238 (13 812) ($134015)510s $2520 $3718 ($125595) so $2520 4 Sampo $3843
(S12600) (131235) ($132674)$ bull252$1S65 0 $0 348 $6490) ($1 999) ($127820) ($1k9754) ($131437)13 V) 520 $1902
$ 2-t $3370 ($1 j420) ($126117) ($128 3) ($130256)14 348 $6620$0 S2520 $1940
0 S0 $2520 $410W ($117859) ($124489)0 $0 348 ($127055) ($129243)15 (1 2520 $197 0 $6753 S250 $233 ($115317) ($22932) ($125 89)16 $0
so 348 $6888 S252 (3128273)i3520 4368$2019 ($1I1C755)
17 0 $0 348 $7025 (3121445) ($124679) ($127379)$2K$0 $-) 0 01 $156- ($I12S3)
348 3120025 ($123601) ($126556)$7166 512520 646 (S107812) (S11BC65918 $0 ($122590) (S125710 52 10 21 100 0 so - 0$2 520J 348 7309 t4935S21 42 0 so) 50 $789 ($102918i($105354) i17374) ($1216421 ($125101)20 348 $7 455 ($116139)$0 $2520 $2 5 ($12-0754)$2185 0 ($124459)s021 348(W30) $2520 57 605 $2-50 $5085$2229 ($I00504)0 s0 348 $7757
(314961 ($119923) ($123869)($3780 S11537 ($9239) ($112486) ($I18208) ($IM673)$143695 $50820 0 $0 7018 $130239 $194515 ($64276)
A-1
TABLE A-I (Contd) ASSUMPTIONS TABLE BENEFIT-COSTS TALE (Calculated)
Economic and Financiai Analvsis for Energy -strnents - Egypt EEA 101986
Cacital Costs Benefit Parameters Internal Rate of Return -425
Acouisition $149995 Price of Oil $1500 bbl (yr 1)Trarsoortation $0 Oil Escalat 20year Disc PV of FV of BCConstruction $0 Rate Benefits Costs NOV Ratio
interconnection $0 Enrgy Savns 348 bblyear Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 $130 23 $194515 ($64276) 067TOTAL (Cap) $149995
El $105270 $187381 (582111) 056
Construct Time 10 morhs 4 $86548 $181787 ($95239) 0486 $72307 $177 355 ($105048) 041
Ooeratinc and Normal Maintenance Costs 8 $61319 $173805 (3112486) 03510 $5725 $170933 $118208) 031 11 $$3l26 $169701 ($120575) 029oeratino Cost $2520 year 12 $45912 $168585 ($122673) 027Operating Lifetime 21 years 13 $43032 $167571 ($124539) 026
Major Eauipment ReoairReolacement 14 $40443 $166647 ($126204) 024 15 $38108 $165804 ($227695) 023
Salvage Value ($6300)period 16 $35 997 $165032 ($129034) 022 18 $32342 $163674 ($131332) 020Replace Period 20 years 20 $29303 1162522 ($133219) 018
A-2
--
__
Ewic a Fzranzai Z aiys s for Enercy Investments Eayot EEAq-
10I9i-
1PLE A-2 For Case ofFIELD TEST 4-- H2LWRN TEXTILEIP (COLLECTOR PRICE $30SQF - PRICE OF OIL $20BlAssumino Oil Escalation Rate of 0OL
Ca0ita Oeratira Cost cf Oilyear Fuel UsedCost Cost $Bb Saved VEL- -Fuei Ererly(Bb) Cost ave Arr al Cas FlowEouv ne-v LisOurted Cash FlowAnua C Flow 0V) 6 ===--- shy ======= =----=- rcuisior $1 93 -- Codegt ure~n $4Trar-I sSrC0=-=---= = 8 10 12=== =_==== -= =shy
=== =---==_-_I Corstru-t or te $34 512415 $2
431$951 Tota) C$Z $520 5 $160 (Q14-$1-47 $24
fSO $A 0 so 2s ($14 SH5) ($149255)$0
$73 $-5 ($144 8-( ($492s)$ $4$274 ( -14482)(3145015)s 348 (31450321$7241 $2520 ($145GG) $ $ 20 12 65 o so$01
348 0
$472( ($140487) ($140357) (s1411025200 ($1414031$25207 $2208 $ 0 3(1381611($i37 105 0 $11 4 3$0 20 S5_a20 5 0 so ($137534) ($137939)52520 348
0 $S034 3483 $7645 3 S- $5014 ($131875)$78 $1202 (11j33419)SO2 $ $5318SE184 ($12763 ($126 5531 (3134110) (134753)($123428)
$0 S3 ($127901) ($129128)$2520 $2297 $0 $2 2 o 0 345 $4I4 ($$2343 $995 1)7 ($1239(50 348 $2520 5475 ($130903)Ii 3155 s2$23 $131822)$ 183$0$2$SC n 5 ($13 50 ) ($120314 ) ($1224 )0 ($ 124376)-2$-iSO $23($ 5212~~ $ 520 2438S S $1 513 3) (SI27903 ) ( 52)$252 0 $2$0~ $7980 0 3 -4 i$110761 ($117414)1$ $2FO ($120000 -2520 $5 Z $59 4 ($12-2285)
gs )1 3 $20 287 $0348 1$107 0-7) ($S141238 ($ 17 7 0) SI2652587 $$c 24 ($120 3 5 )15 $0 0 (S0563) ($112021)$2 52 $2 $-9348 ($11555) ($118601)$0 520 6 0 so 34 8 $2 443483 S82 311104 $220$ 520 S664 ($30) ($107132)$ 307 ($931($S3123)) ( 10 (Si1267) ($115497)6 ($I04Ef) ($11973)5I) ($S 15451 ($11133)o0 $2 520 ($1169 3)SO 5 2 920 032520 5274 6 0 4 8 $ 36 $S 2- 8$0 47 ( 1 014 34 6 $3555 ($ I02 70 19 348 $7U ($1 0743 ) ($I 1i7
s0 $2520 $2800 0 $2 520 7 0 5 ($8 834 ($00 65) ) ($10 8 273 ) ($112 8 2 )
$2520 $9 0 $200 $72- (914$) 3)S0 $4 ($90 063 ($110682)27 $0 $2 c856 00 ($76 51)2$5 14 0 0 348 0 ($9 842 ($0397 ($10977)340 $I0139 -521 $2 5 0 $($6300) $7 19$2520 $2972 0 ( 72 8 35 ($ 076 ()0s0 ($102 72) ($10023)348 $10342 (3780) $1418 ($ 3) ($9246) ($100633) ($I0735)
$143695 $0820 0 s 7018 $173652 $194515 ($20863)
A-3
ASSUMPTJINS TABLE TABLE A-2 (Contd) BENEFIT-COSTS TPBLE (Calculated)
Economicand Finar_ial Analysis fr Energy Investments - Egypt EE 10191S6
Capital Costs Benefit Parareters Internal Rate of Return -124
Acquisitior 149995 Price of Oil 2000 bbl (y 1)Transoortation $0 Oil Escalat 20rvear Disc PV of PV of BC
Construction $0 Rate Benefits Costs NPV RatioInterconrection $0 Enrgy Savrias 348 bblyear --- _____-__
- Fuel Use 0 bblivear 0 $173652 $1S4515 ($20863) 089TOTAL (Car) $14995 2 $14036O $187381 (347021) 075 4 $115398 S181787 (36E390) 063Construct Time 10 months 6 $96409 S177355 ($80946) 054
8 $31759 5173805 ($92 046)Ooerating and Normal Maintenance Costs 047l0 $70299 $170 933 ($100633) 041
11 $65502 $169701 (3104199) 039Operatino Cost S2520 year 12 $61216 1amp3585 ($107369) 036Oerating Lifetime 21 years 13 57376 $167571 (3110195) 034
14 $53924 $16G647 (3112723) 032Major Equioment ReoairReplacement 15 $50811 $165804 ($114992) 031 16 $47997 $165032 ($117035) 0213Replace Cost ($6300)oeriod 18 $43123 $163674 (3120551) 026Replace Period 20 years 20 $39071 $162522 ($123451) 024
A-4
Econonxc and Finarcial 9ralvsis for Energy Investrets -- EcvDt EEA 1013i6C
TABLE A-3
For Case ofFIELD TEST 14 - H-LWAN TEXTILEIPi ( COLLECTOR PRCE $30SQFT- PRICE OF OIL $25BBL) Assuming Oil Escalation Rate of 20
Saved Valus ofCacital boeratirng Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel Energy Saved Annual Cash Flow Discounted Cash Flow ((NV) iYear Cost Cost $Bbl (Bbl) Cost Eauiv Erercy Cost Currert f 4 8 10 12
S Accuisitio $149995
1 Transoort $0 I Construct ior $0 I Interconnection $0
Totil $149q95 $420 $2500 0 $0 58 $1450 S150 415 ($14295) (3148965) ($48965) ($14895) ($148965)$0 $2520 $2550 0 s0 348 $3874 $2520 $3354 ($142855) ($143082) ($143189) ($143292)3 s0 $2520 $2601 0 $0 348 $9051 $2520 ($1368171 ($137482) ($137791) ($133085)4 $0 2520 $2653 5
0 s0 348 $3233 $252 $ 713 ($130643) ($132153) ($132748) ($133307)$0 2520 $2706 0 $0 6
348 $9417 $2520 $o897 ($124954) ($127084) ($128037) ($128924)$0 S2520 $2760 0 $0 348 $9606 $2520 S7056 ($119130) ($122261) ($123637) ($124903)7 so $2520 $2815 0 $0 348 $3798 $2520 $7278 ($113378) (117675) ($119529) ($121216)so $1520 $28728 0 $0 348 $39A 9
S2520 $7474 ($107699) ($11331b) ($115694) ($117836)s0 $2520 $2929 0 $0 348 $10193 $25L0 $7673 ($102032) ($09169) ($1121141 ($114736)10 $0 2520 $2986 0 11
$1 348 $10397 $25_lt $7877 ($36557) ($105228) ($103774) ($111896)$0 $2520 $3047 0 $0 348 $10 60 $_520 $308512 ($31095) ($I01483) ($105656) (5109293)$0 $2520 $3106 0 $0 348 $10817 $2520 $8237 ($85706) ($97925 ($102748) ($106907)13 $0 $2520 $3171 0 $0 348 $11034 $2520 $8514 ($80388) ($94544) ($10003-5) ($104722)$0 $2520 $323414 0 $0 348 $11254 $2520 $873415 ($75142) ($91332) ($97505) ($102720)$0 $2520 $3299 0 $0 348 $11479 $2520 $8959 ($69968) ($88282) ($95146) ($100837)16 $0 $2520 $3365 0 $0 348 $I709 $2520 $3189 ($64866) ($85385) ($92946) ($99208)17 $0 $2520 $3432 0 $0 348 $11943 $252(l $9423 ($59835) ($M 634) ($90895) ($97671)18 $0 $2520 $3501 0 $0 348 $12182 $2520 $3662 ($54875) ($80023) ($88984) ($264)19 so $2520 $3571 0 $0 348 $12426 $2520 $9906 ($349985) ($77544) ($87202) ($94976)20 $0 $2520 $3642 0 $0 348 $12674 $2520 $10154 ($45165) ($75191) ($85542) ($93797)21 ($6300) $2520 $3715 0 $0 348 $12928 ($3780) $16708 ($37540) ($71607) ($830558) ($92065)
$143695 $50820 0 $0 7018 $217065 $194515 $22550
A-5
-- --
TABLE A-3 (Contd) ASSUMPTIONS TABLE BENFIT-COSTS TABLE (Calculated)
Economic and Financial Analysis for Energy Investments - Egyot EEA i01986
Capital Costs Benefit Parameters Internal Rate of Return 124
Acouisition $149995 Price of Oil $25CK bbl (yr 1)TransDortation $0 Oil Escalat 20year Disc PY of PV of BCConstruction $0 Rate Benefits Costs NPV Ratio
Interconrection $0 Enrgy Savngs 348 bblyear m_ S -- - Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 $217065 $194515 $2550 112
TOTAL Cap) $149995 2 $175450 $187381 ($11931) 094
4 $144247 $181787 ($37540) 079Construct Time 10 months 6 $120511 $177355 ($56844) 068 8 $102 198 $173805 ($71607) 059DOeratino and Normal Maintenance Costs 10 $87674 $170933 ($83058) 051
11 $81877 $169701 ($87824) 048Deratina Cost $2520 year 0 Sshye i s 5 a $76520 $168585 ($92065) 045ODperatina Lifetime 21 years 23 $71720 $167571 ($95851) 043
14 $67405 $166647 ($99242) 040Major Eauipment RepairReplacement 15 $63514 165804 ($102290) 038
16 $59996 $165032 ($105036) 036Salvage Value ($6 300period 18 $53904 $163674 ($109770) 033 Replace Period 20 years 20 $48839 $162522 ($1136833) 030
A-6
Econotic and Financial Araiysis for Energy Irvesteents - Egypt EEA 101986
TABLE A-4
For Case ofFI-2-D -ST 14 - HELWAN TEXTILEIPH ( COLLTOR PRICE 30SFT - PRICE OF OIL $30BBL)Assunina Oil Escalation Rate of 20
Saved Value of
CaPital Oerating Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel EreryYear Cost Cost $bl (PbI) Cost Ecuiv Savea Annual Cash Flow Discounted Cash Flow (N91V) IErerey Cost Currer $ 4 8 10 12
Pcousition $142995 I Tr2rsport $0 1 Constrtio s I Intercorrecto $01 Total $14995 $420 $3000 0 $0SO58 $1740 $150415 (148675) 3514375) ($148675) ($143675) ($148675)
$0 $60C 220 303 $25 0 $3121 0 5 34 506 9 2$0 348 $10862 50 $8 1 9 ($ 4 0 85M) ($ 1 4 11 4 8) ( S 141e280$25X) $342 ($133146) ($133937) ($134391)) ( $ 141 41 7 1
4 (3134767)$0 $2520 $31845 $0 2520 $347 0 0
$0 348 $11079 S2520 $8559 ($125537)$0 346 $1301 $2 (127202) ($127961) ($128675)0 2520 $3312
520 5781 ($118032) ($120748) ($121963) ($123095)7 0 $0 348 $111527 S2-0so S2520 $3378 $3007 ($110629) (114618)
850 0 (116371) ($117984)so 348 51275752520 $3446 0 $0 348
S2520 $9237 ($103329) ($108797) (111157) (113304)$I992 $2520 $9472 (39613) ($103270) ($106296) ($109020)$0 $2520 $35 1510 0$0 $2520 $3585 0 s0 348 $12232 S2520 $9712 ($89034 (598(023)11 $0 348 S2477 ($01765 (3105097)$0 $2 500 S 521t0 $9957 ($5 039)$3657 0 0 (33042 ($97543) ($101507)348 $12726 S252012 0 $ 2520 $53730
$10206 ($7E144) ($88315) (1193608) (S98220)0 $0 348 $12981 $25 $10461 ($S3 3h8)14
52520 (55823) ($89941) ($95213)$0 $2520 $3881 510720 (61 652)0 ($79571) ($86525)s0 348 $13505 ($92461)I5 $0 $2520 $10985 (555055)52520 $3958 0 ($75532 (583343) (89944)s0 348 $1377516 SO S2520 S511255 ($4e5) (571700)$2520 $4038 0 ($0379) (387641)$0 348 51405117 $0 $2520 $4118 0
S2520 $11531 ($4 153 ($68065) ($77 61) ($85534)s0 348 $14332 $218 -0 $11812$0 $2520 (35846) (364617) (575048)$4201 0 ($83607)19 348 $141619 S2520$0
s0 $1209 (59635$2520 $4285 ($61347) ($72650 ($81845$0 348 $1491120 $0 $2520 $2520 $12331 ($23519) ($58247)$4370 0 ($70426) ($80234)$0 348 $15209 $252021 (36300Y $2520 54458 0 $0 12689 ($174 ) ($55306) ($68351) ($78761)348 $15513 (53780) $19293 ($8691) ($51167) ($65484) (76761)
$143695 S5m0 0 so 7018 $260478 $194515 $65963
A-7
TABLE A-4 (Contd) ASSUMPTIONS TABLE BENEFIT-COT3 TABLE (Calculated)
Economic and Financial Aralysis for Energy Investments -- Egypt EEA 1019166
Caoital Costs Benefit Pararmeters Internal Rate of Return 339
Acquisition $149995 Price of Oil $3000 bbl (yr 1) Transportation $0 Oil Escalat L(Wvear Disc PV of PV of BC
Construct ior $0 Rate Benefits Costs NPV Ratio Interconnectior $0 Enrgy Savrias 348 bblvear
Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 S260478 $19455 $65963 134 TOTAL (Cao) $149995 2 $210540 $187381 S23159 112
4 $173097 $118787 ($8691) 095 Construct Time 10 months 6 $144614 $177355 ($32741) 382
8 $122638 $173805 1167 071 Operating and Normal Maintenance Costs 10 $105449 $170933 ($65464 062
11 $98253 $169701 ($71448) 058 Oerating Cost $2520 year 12 $91824 $168585 ($76761) 054
Operating Lifetime 21 years 13 $86064 $167571 ($81507) 051 14 $80885 $166647 ($85761) 049
Major Equipment RepairReDlacement 15 $76217 $165804 ($89587) 046 16 $71995 $165032 ($93037) 044
Replace Cost ($6300)period 18 $64685 $163674 ($98989) 040 Replace Period 20 years 23 $58607 $162522 ($103915) 036
A-8
Ecromic and Fna-ia Aaysis for Ene-v investmerts - E yvt EEP shyi(I195
TABLE A-5
For ie ofFIELD TEST 44 - H-LWA-4 TEXTILEi C E-TO PR CE $305 FT - PRIZE OF OIL $35BBL) Assurjc Oil Escalation PR-e of 20
Saved Vaiue cfa-tal Ooeratlr_ Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel Ererv a eO Anual poundan Flow Discounted Cash Flow (NPV) i = Year r st cost SPbl (bbl) [cst Eciv Errgv Cost Currert $ 4 8 10 12
I SI auxsiticr 1433
1 Trarsoort $0
EorstrLZt cr $0 SI-tercorrezt ior $0
Total $143 995 $420 $3500 0 so 58 $2030 S15-415 ($145385) (4148385) ($148385) (M142335) ($1483351$0 $2520 $3570 0 $0 348 $1424 $2520 $3904 ($138862) ($133215) ($39382) (13543)Sto S2520 $3041 0 $1 348 51-672 $520 $10(152W20476) ($130511) (S130992) ($131443)4 $1 $2523 $3714 0 S0 348 226 $2520 $10406 ($12C226) ($122251) ($23174 ($124043)o$0 2520 $3789 0 $ 34B $12184 52520 $10664 t$111I10) ($114413) ($115890) ($27266)
6 s0 $2520 $3864 0 $0 348 t53448 $252n 10928 (S102128) ($106975) (3109105) ($111065)70 $2520 $3942 0 s0 348 $13717 12520 S111137 ($93279) ($99 920) ($102785) ($10- 392)5 $0 $2520 $4020 0 $0 348 $13231 $250 $S1471 ($845 2) ($93226) ($33898) (M100204)9 VI $2520 $4101 0 so 348 $14271 S520 $11751 (175976) ($86878) ($91416) ($3f458)
10 $0 $2520 $4183 0 $0 348 $14556 $2520 $12036 ($67520) ($80E5) ($86312) ($11117)11 s0 $2520 42G 0 $0 348 $14647 $2520 1123227 (S52192) ($75147) ( 8155) ($7148)12 $ 0 $4352 0 so 348 $15144 $2520 $12624 ($5- 931) ($69732) ($77134) ($83519)13 $0 $2520 $4439 0 so 348 $15447 $2 0 $12927 ($42917) ($64599) ($73015) (W8320)14 $0 $ 50 $4528 0 $0 348 $I-755 $2520 S1323- ($34938) ($53732) ($69181) ($77168)15 SO $2520 $4618 (1 $0 348 $16071 $2520 $13551 ($27142) (S55118) ($5613) ($7439516 t0 $2520 $4711 0 $0 348 $16333 $250 $13873 ($1 439) ($50745) ($62232) ($71860)17 $0 $2520 $4805 0 $0 348 $16721 $2120 $14201 ($I1657) ($4660) ($59201) ($G9544)18 $0 $25200 $4901 0 so 348 $17055 $250 $14535 ($4396) (02672) ($5632) ($67427)19 $0 $2520 $4999 0 $0 348 $17396 $2520 $14876 $2948 ($33949) ($53650) ($65492)20 $0 $2520 $5093 21
0 $0 348 $17744 $3520 $15224 $10174 ($35421) ($51161) ($3725)($6300) $2520 $5201 0 $0 348 $18099 ($3780) $21879 $20159 ($30727) ($47909) ($61457)
$143695 $50820 0 $0 7018 $303891 $194515 $103376
A-9
TABLE A-5 (Contd)ASSUMPTIONS TABLE ENEFIT-COSTS TABLE (Calculated)
Economic and Financiai Analysis for Erergy Investments -- Egyot EEA 10965
Capital Costs Benefit Parameters Internai Rate of Return 534
Acquisition $149995 Price of Oil $35K0 bbl (yr 1) Transport tior $0 Oil Escalat 20vear Disc PV of FV of PCConstruction $0 Rate Benefits Costs tPV Ratio
Interconnectior $0 Enrgy Savns 342 bblyear ==-- -Fuel Use 0 bblvear 0 $303531 $154515 $103376 156
TOTAL (Cap) $149995 2 $245630 $187331 $58249 3
4 $i20 46 $181787 20159 i11Construct Time 10 months 6 $163716 $177355 ($8639) 095 8 $143078 $173805 ($30727) 082
Operating and Normal Maintenance Costs 10 $123024 $170933 ($47909) 072 11 S114628 $169701 ($55 073) 068
Operating Cost $2520 year 12 $107128 $165585 ($61457) 064 Operating Lifetime 21 years $l40810 $167571 ($67163) 060
14 $94366 $166647 ($72281) 057Major Equipment RepairReolacement 15 $82920 $165804 ($76864) 054
16 $83994 $165032 ($81038) 051Replace Cost ($6300)period 18 $75465 $163674 $88-08) 046
Replace Period 20 years 2 $68375 $162522 ($94147) 042A- 10
Eccricmi ane Finarcial AnalysiT fo Energy trvest-ents -- Ev-t EEA 101215
TAlKE A-5
For Case ofFiED TEST 04 - HELWPN TEXTIL=IPH (COLLECTD PRICE $3SFT- PRICE as OIL $40BBL) Ass mir Oil Esralatior Rate of 20
Savet Yait- ofCaoital ODerating Ccst of Oil Fuel bse Fuel Energy Saved fnrnal [a- Flch Liscounted Cash Flow (NPV) i = Year Cost Cost $bl (Bbi) CLst Ecit1 Energy Ccst C-rert$ 4 8 10 12
I Acc-ist on $142995 I -ras)ort $0 1 cnstr t o $0
I te-crrezt icr $0 Total $14995 $420 $400N 0 $0 58 $2320 $15045 (S143C135 ($14209) ($143095) ($142035) ($148095)S) $220 $4080 0 so78 ($138f6) ($137282) ($137478) ($137663)
$0 $2520 $4162 r $0 348 $1442 $250 $192 ($125806) ($127026) (M27592) ($128132)4 so 12120 $4245 0 s0 348 $14 77 S25K0 V2252 ($114914) ($117300) (1115337) ($119411)soS0 2 $43310s _$0 25 $330 0 1-7j(1147 0 ($04188)6 $0 $2520 $4416
$0 348 $15$7 525 $12547 ($108077) ($109817) ($111437)0 $0 348 s15 $252 $12849 ($33627) ($93322) ($1083S) ($104146)7 so $2 520 $4505 0 V) 348 $ 676 S21520 $13156 ($83230) ($31042) ($94412) ($97481)
8 $0 $2520 $4595 0 $0 348 $15 9 o 2520 S13470 ($72934) ($83 182) ($57500) ($9388)9 $0 $252) $4687 Q $0 348 $I309 $2520 $3 789 ($62918) $75732) ($31067) ($85818)10 $0 $2520 $4780 0 $0 348 $6631 5 2520 $14116 ($53001) ($68671) ($75081) ($0728)11 $0 $2520 $4676 0 $0 348 $1696 $520 $14448 ($43240) ($61979) ($69510) ($76076)12 $0 $2520 $4973 0 $0 348 $17308 $2520 $14788 ($33634) ($55636) ($64327) ($71825)13 $0 $2520 73 0 $0 348 $17654 $2520 $15134 ($24181) ($49626) ($59505) ($67940) 14 $0 $2520 $5174 0 $0 348 $18 007 S250 $5487 ($14880) ($43932) ($55019) ($64391)15 $0 $2520 $5278 0 $0 348 $ P367 $2 520 $15847 ($572-3) ($38537) ($50646) (55148)
$0 $220 $538316 0 $0 348 $18734 $25032 ($33425) ( 5) (58186)17 s $2520 $549 0 $0 348 $191$2 250 $I5 9 $12 131 ($328583) ($43354) ($55480)18 $0 $2520 $5601 C $0 348 $19491 $2520 $IE971 $20844 ($23996) ($39997) ($53008)19 $0 $2520 $5713 so 348 $19881 $2520 $173C1 $39414 ($19651) ($36874) ($50751)20 $0 $2520 $5827 (t $0 348 $20273 $2520 $17759 $37843 ($15536) ($33370) ($48689)21 ($6 300) $2520 $5944 $0 348 $20684 ($3780) $24 A64 $49 008 ($10288) ($30334) ($46153)
$143695 $50820 0 $0 7018 $347 304 $194515 $152789A-1 1
TABLE A-6 (Contd)ASSUMPTIONS TABLE BEIEF7-COSTS TABLE (Calculated)
Ecoroic nj Firancial Analysis for Energy Investmerts - Egypt EEA 10195G
azitai Costs Benefit Parameters internal Rate of eturr 714
Acuisition $149995 Price of Oil $400 bbl (yr 1)Transportat ior so Oil Escalat 20year Disc PV of PV of BCConstruction so Rate Benefits Cost- NPV RatioInterconnection $0 Enrgy SavTgs 348 bbyear ==== =-shy
--- Fuel Use 0 bbear 0 $347304 $194515 $152 789 179TOTAL (Ca ) $149 95 2 $28D720 $187381 $93359 150
4 230796 $181787 $49008 127Construct Time 10 months 6 $192818 $177355 V15463 109 8 $163517 $173 805 ($10288) 094Ooerating and Norwal Maintenance Costs 10 $140599 $170933 ($30334) 08211 $13004 $169701 $33698) 077
fteratiri$ Cost 12) $122432 $168585 ($46153) 073Ooeratirn Lifetime 21 years 13 $1i 751 $167571 ($52819) 068
Major Equi~oent ReoairReplacesent 14 $07847 $166647 ($58800) 06515 $10i622 5165804 ($64181) 061
16 $95993 $165032 ($69 039) 058Replace Cost ($6300)period 18 $86246 $163674 ($77428) 053Replace Period 20 years A12 20 $78143 $162522 ($84379) 048
ccz- a Firaca Araiysi- for Erergy IrvestL-rrts -- Ecyrt EC 01)83
TAP-LE P-7
For Case ofFIZLD TEST 4 - H-LWAN TEXTILEWAS-i i-AT PRESVERY wRIC2 SIS08L)DiL Assumiron Oil Escalation Rate of 20
Saved ValL- CCaoital DoeratinQ Cost of Oil Fue Used Fuel Erervy save kriual Cash Flow Discourted Cash Flow (NPV) 3 i =Yea- Cost Cost $b1 (Bbl) Cost Ecuiv Ererzv Cet Currert $ 4 8 10 12
1 Trar-s $0ort 1orstr-t lor $0
I I t e ronez t i m S-1 $735 $833 $Q500 C 0 1341 $27 62 53851 ($542231) (S542231) (S542231) (S542231) ($542231)Sc 53 S530 0 so 11045 $1ES034 11359 S76755- 0o62o) ($356235) (S93830) ($401450)SO $I1359 $15S1 $0 11048 S172415 jeuro $113-1S (3241715) ($252156) 3273 011353 V S 457 ($-=766) -4 to 259 $1592 0 iO 11045 $173863 1353 S164504 ($35471) ($127567) (142M1) ($15556)
Q S11359 $1624 0 $0 (148 17 I S11359 S63 -- $4 155 (340ampG) ($27 430) ($49185)6 11353 -016 U $0 11045 $182136 $12353 2171609 $183205 S12728 73126 1421917 $0 $11359 $1669 0 $0 14048 $186623 $S 353 i75269 $32772 $=223177 $173060 $136987$1125 $173 0 $0 11048 $536r $-53 S173001 $46 74S 3276-3 $263916 $2153S0 S111359 $1757 0 $ 11048 S194167 $13f $182808 S59735 $426389 5355 198 $29179210 $0 $1793 0 S0 11043 S1930L $3 $15 3 72H492 513781 $434373 S353115110 $11359 $128 0 S 1 $11048( I $190653 $357 30 $608090 $57 878 S420500 S0 $1365 0 $0 11048 $HS052 1-3 $134633 $383753 359159 $57617 $47646313 v0 $11353 $1902 0 $0 11043 S210173 $1- $193314 $1107338 $770542 $133465 1527500l$0 $11353 $1940 0 $0 11048 $214376 $1153 $203017 $223E665 $845191 $$5272 $574 0651373 s53$0 11048 1213664 $11359 $2737 $1349578 $915771 $7-2862 $61644516 $0 359 $2019 0 $ 11043 S223077 $11359 $211678 $1467116 $382501 $803536 $65511817 $ 511 353 $2059 0 $0 11049 $227498 S595 $216133 $1582514 $1045583 $850574 $5037518 1 1A3 S2100 0$0 11048 122C48 $1135 $2-20683 $1695810 $1105235 $894236 $7251719 $0 $11359 S2142 0 $0 11048 $236689 $11359 $S25330 $1807033 $1161623 $934764 $75181920 S0 $11359 12185 0 0 11048 $241423 $11353 $230064 $1316237 $1214932 1372331 $778531
21 $0 $11359 $2229 0 $0 11048 $246251 $1135 $234832 $202349 $1265328 1007296 $802881
$5679558 $Zgt9073 0 $0 222801 $0134711 $797031 $3337680
A-13
ASTYPTINS TABLE TABLE A-7 (Contd) BEEIT-rOT TAEPLE (Calculated)
Economic and Financial Analysis for Energy Investsents - Egypt EEA 10196
Capital Costs Benefit Faraineters interral Rate of Return 3101
Acquisitiorn $567952 Price of Oil 1500 bbl (yr 1) Trarsportatior $0 Oil Escalat 20year Disc PV of FVof BC
Corstruct ior $0 Rate Benefits Costs lrv Ratio
Irterconrection $0 Enrgy Sar_as 1104 bblyear -
--- ------ Fue Use 0 bbiyear 0 $41-4711 $77031 $3337680 519 TOTAL (Ca) $H67952 2 $34202-0 S755587 $2586433 442
4 t2747662 $72424 $2023439 379 Construct Time 10 morths 6 $2235 532 $700 138 $LJj5394 328
8$1946703 $68137G $1265328 286
Ooeratina and Normal Mairtenance Costs 10 $1673853 $666557 $1007296 251
11 $55962n $660307 $399314 236
Oerating Cost $11359 year 12 $1457578 $654697 $802881 223
Operating Lifetime 21 years 13 $136G 136 $64- 645 $716491 210 14 $1283$40 $645083 $638857 199
Major Equipment PeoairReplacemert 15 $1209831 $640951 $568880 189 16 $1142817 $37197 $505620 179
Replace Cost $0 period 18 $1026777 $630653 $396124 163
Replace Feriod 20 years 20 $930302 $625165 $305137 149
A-14
Econoi an Fnarial alysi for Energy Irve te-pt -- Eryct EEP 10138_
TABLE A-8
For Case cfF7ELD TEST $4 - HE=LWqN TEXTILE4qSTE -_j E[CXERY (PRCE C7 OIL $2013E_) Assurn_ 0i Escaiaticon Rate of 20
Saved Vale cf Capita Doeratn Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel Energy Saved rrual Cash c-w-- Discounted Cash Flow (NOV) i = Yea- Cost Cost Eb (pb]) Ccst Equiv Ererz Cst Currert $ 4 8 10 2
oisi67Ac s tr
rarExrt $0 rorstrztio sc
IIrerccrr_tor $0 7 $200Y 0 C1841 1687Tctai$78K S 98 1 )$53C3 ) 315Z3 02) ($5330251 ($533025) ($533015)2 v $11355 $ 04Q 0 $0 11048 t225379 $1153 $214020 (327235) (S-34858) ($338461) ($341935)3 $0 $11353 $08i C $0 11048 $-23857 $1135 1-258 ($125195) (S147505) ($157B59) (167726)
4 $0 $1135 $21 22 0 $0 11048 $234465 $11359 $223126 $73163 $23619 $3778 (18910) $0 fI1-- $21E5 0 $0) 11048 $29174 $353 $227815 $26790 $197070 $r5 379 $125S71E $0 $13 2 2 083 0 so 11048 S2433K8 S1352 5-3 $459080 1355 373 $303805 $267854
7 $0 611355 $252 C $1) 11048 $243K7 $59 $27478 $4762 $505024 $-855 53881678 $ $1135 $227 0 $0 11048 $2K2814 353 -142455 $33007 $646494 $568272 $4978429 $1 35 $2343 (1 $0 11046 $253 83 $111359 s47 531 $1011876 $780227 $623747 $59781510 $0 $11359 $I39 0 $0 11048 $26068 $135 $252703 $1183426 $906644 $790920 $68894411 soS 1359 $2438 0 s0 l048 $2634 S1 359 S57990 $1363714 $1026144 3890387S77201012 $0 $11359 $2487 0 s0 11048 $274736 $353 $263377 $1534793 $1139102 $982699 $84772513 $0 S11259$2535 0 $0 11048 $280231 $11359 $268872 i1702736 $1245874 $1068389 $91673814 $0 $11359 $2587 C0 $0 11046 $285835 $1359 $274476 $1867573 $1346733 $1147876 $97364015 so $11-359 $2629 0 s 11048 $291552 $i135 S28193 12023383 $1442193 $1221659 $103697316 $0 S1359 $2632 0 $0 11048 1237383 S353 $22-024 $2188202 $1532360 $1290131 $108922917 $ 111359 $2746 ( s0 11048 $303331 $11359 $291972 $234408 $1617584 11253673 $113885618 $0 $11359 $2800 0 $0 11048 $303-97 $115 $298038 $2497093 $1698134 $1412638 $118026419 $0 $11359 $2856 0 $0 11048 $315585 11359 $304226 $2G47268 $1774267 $1467356 $1219 8520 $0 $11359 $2914 0 $0 11048 $321897 $11359 $310538 $2794663 $1846222 $518131 $125588121 $0 $11359 $2972 0 $0 11048 $328335 $11359 $316976 $2939326 $191422 $565248 $1288740
$567958 $229073 0 $0 222801 i5512948 $797031 $4715917
A-15
P7UrSPTIONS TABLE TABLE A-8 (Contd) EtEFIT-CSTS TABLE (Calculated)
Ecoroic ard irarcial Analysis for Energy Investments -- Egypt EEA 1019E6
apital Ccsts Benefit Parareters Irterral Rate of Return 4220
Acquisition $567958 Transportation $0
Construct ior $0 Irtercor rectior $0
Price of Oil Oil Escalat
Enrgy Savrgs
$2000 bbl (yr 1) 20year
11048 bblyear
Disc
Rate
----
PV of erefits
PV of
Costs NPV
BC
Ratio
TOTPL (Cap) $567958 Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 J55948
2$4456027 $797031 $75587
$4715917 $3 700440
6 2 590
Construct Time 10 corths 4$3E 3550 6$3060 709
$724224 $700 138
$2939326 $2 360571
506 437
Operating and Normal Maintenance Costs 8$2595604 1(V$2231804
$681376 $666557
$1914229 $1565248
381 335
Operating Cost Operating Lifetime
$11359 iyear 21 years
11 $2079494 12 $1343437 13 T1821515
$660307 $654697 $649645
$1419187 $1288740 $1171869
315 297 280
Major Equipment RepairReplacement 14 $1711920 15 $1613108
$645083 $640951
$1066837 $972157
265 252
Replace Cost $0 period 16 $1523756 18 $1369035
$637197 $630653
$886559 $738382
239 217
Replace Period 20 years 20 $1240402 $625165 $615238 198
A-16
Eccw= ar -narzia Pnav=_is fcr Erergy Irvestrrent_ -- Egypt EEC 101
P= A-9
or Case of2IED TEST 4 - HELPAN TEXTIEN3TE HEAT -CDOERY (PC- U BBL- ----Assmir Cil Escalation Rate of 20
SaVEdt C~famta eratirg Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel Energy Saved Annal Fasn Flow Discounted Cash Flow (UOV 8 i = lea- Cost Cost $Pb (8b1) Cost Ec-jiv Energy Cost Crrert I 4 8 10 12
I Transocrt corst rutr $7
rterornazticota HS 833 7 1841 $4S 73 -3951 C$52818 (WBIB) ($52381 1 (3523818) ($53218)SC 51133 $20 0 048 $22172 U3 $27365 ($263851 1(2731480) (278031) ($262421)$0 $11359 $2601 0 $0 11042 7=5 $12$3 5275 999 (-S74) (368Z5) 333343900253 ( 15)0 111049 ( $359 _51 747 $241737 $I82 805 $161748 5131462Q 07C 11043 S2531558 11259 12379 $477 s46 $323206 $35188 $32 27$0 $11-_ $2760 0 1n 11043 $304 94 $11 3 3 24E7--555 $722 55 $5S3 Mf $5404 - $$487517$7 $-~5 $2315 0 11048 $712 1353 $233 53 5 872 $786 871 $709649 $639347$ $1 5282 0 $0 14 391141292 0 IK93
656f $8662 S7777253SiZ bull0 $312 5 $1426427 T113465 $10122372 9 3 39 $ 35- $2983 0 $ 145 $33035 1 3 3 726 $165035 $12350M S1147467 $108774$C $135 $304711 0 S0 11046 $3365pound 5ii5 $325 22712 $)
187C 129t44419- $1272895 SI 2351$- $3103 C S 113 $34$2 - 132206 $20S53 S1556613 11353280 $ PIE98c13 3 S317 0 v 1 5$143 250 $11159 $3352 $2237533 I 72120 $47274 $1305375SO 51253 $2340 s0 104 S3 $184840-
0 SO 11041 $364 $11353 5081 3709183 519E861E $262) 456 S1457500 15 Ss35-2 $3293
3 17294 $1 9 $ 9-- $ 293 $157473 $138525-5
16 V0 $1353 $3365 0 s 1I1Ns -3717 21f5 $230328917 - $ 7C 1270 2082220 $776726 $1523340$7 $II35 $34 32 0 $0 1104c8 $37312 $11 $372 4 $3105663 $2183578 $156771 1533718 S 1-13 $35 1 0 so 1048 $7332377 t1931039 $1638010$22-103419 $0 $11353 $3571 0 $0 11048 $3544S2 $135q Q83123 $3487437 $2385910 $M947 $168783120 $0 $1135q $364( $0 11048 $40-37 $1135 $391212 $3673088 $2477512 $2053881 $1733230$0 $11359 $3715 021 $9 11048 $40419 $113553 $399060 $3855214 $2563130 $2123 19 $1774600
$567 9S3 $--3073 0$0 M 801 $6831186 $737031 $6034154
A-17
SUPTIONS TABLE TABLE A-9 (Contd) EENPT-OET TAKE (Caiculated)
Ecoc an Firarzial Palysis for Energy Investments - Egypt EEA 1l6
Caits Co=ts Berefit Parameters Irterrz2 Rate R~Return 5368
Acquisition $567958 trice of Oil $250 i-b (yr I) Tarsprcrtator
Constructior
Interconnectior
$0
$0
so
Oii Esalat
Enrgy Savnps
2 0vear
11042 bblyear
Disc
Rate
V Cf
PerEfits
V of
Costs -IV
FC
Ratio
------------TOTP (ap 57959
Fuel Use 0 bl1year 0 $f)83 33
$797031 75537
1609454 $481444E
865 737
Construct Tire 10 rnortns 4 14573 437 6 $332f 886
$724224Q13855214 $700138 $S-125748
632 546
OperatinL and Ncrmal MaIntenarce Costs 3- L 5)5 1 $27K755
$ES376 $666557
5t 130 $2123199
475 419
Ooerating Cost
OperatiTrg LifetiMe
$1359 year
21 years
1 if25H37 2 $24229
3 S2276893
$660307 G 5o637
$649645
$5939081 $1774600
16-2724
394 371
350
Major Equipment RepaiReplacemert bull~~l i4$2239005 -2 01S32
$64508 $14948162051 375435$640 1 $ 4 5
3 2 315
Replace Cost
Replace Period
$0 period
20 years
16 $1X4 695 18 S1711294
20N $1 550 503
$637197 $1267498 $530652 $1080641
$625165 $925338
299 271
248
A-18
Econr- ard Fra--a haavsi fcr Er=rv investerts -- Ecyzt E
For Case ofFELD TEST 4 - HELWANTEXTILES3TE -9T REZOVERY (PCE C-O 3IBiL) PssuTir~g Oil Escalation Rate c 20
Year Capital
Cost Ooeratir
Cost Cost cf Oil
$lBbl Fuel Used
(Ebl) Fuel Cost
Saved Erergy Eauiv
ValS cf Saved
Enercy Pnral
Cost Ls iCh Crrert 1
Di-cousteJ 4
Cash Flow 8
(NPV) i 10
=
12
I P~uis~xor~1567958 Transvort $0
1 cntrct mc- 1Irte-ccrret ic
a1s
4
6
Q$ 11
12 13
14 5
16
17
18
19
20 21
$
to 11Z so 1353 C 1-S s$o $1
$0 t13
$0 $i359 $0 $
S 11135-
3 $0 $11359
$0 $1359 $ $-353
$0 I353 0 $ 111359 $0 111359
so S11359 SC $11359
$ $11359
$0 $11359 $0 $11359
$4so $ $3121 $3164
824
$3312
$3378
$3445 $3515
$3657 37730
S33(
$138 $3958 $4033
$4118
$4201
$4285 $4370 5445
(1 0
C
0
0
C00 0
0 0
0 0
0 0 C
0
0
0
0 0
$0 $0 $0
$0
$0
$0
SCso $0
$-$0
$0 $0
$0 $0 s0
$0
so
$0 $0 $0
184 1104 11048 11048
1104S
11048
110 3
11048110 I 8
1(148 11048
11049 11048
11049 11048 11046
11048
11048
11048
11048 11048
S5524C
$338069 S344831 t3727
$3537S
$ 37
$37-
t33-7 2$38 3 $383335
$3161 $4(402
$412104 $42034S
$423753 $47328 $445075
$454995
$464056
$473378
$482845 $492502
$563851
S11355 $11359 S11355
5
11135
$1352
11355s
115335
$1359 $11359
$113 $112-59 $11353
$11353
$11353
$11359 $11359 $11359
11) ($514611
S2 710 33471 $1784 $340368 $410431 S$34740 1 $7 392 IK3457 $333829
i351390$123484
-255 $15= 3 $11353$27976 $1840978 S13-36384743 $2111293
9 $3665 $2376563
$40$745 1636279 $40S987 $2 832331 $417394 $2142007 42 99 $338934
$434716 $6Sl376
$443637 $387238 $4E2 737 14093661 $452019 $4327726 $471486 $4155514 $481143 $4771101
($51461
$73796 $343991
5539 342
$84661
$1063717
S284236 $1487914
$680371 S1862251
$2034124 $21955326
$23--0 013 $2495039 $262079
$2761573
$2883934
$2999553
S3103802 $3212031
($54611
$5-7994 $313717
$50998
$77162
$975443
$164984 $134)846
$504014 $165540A
$1795862 $1926178
$2047082 $2159253 $226-3321
$2359869
$2 449 441 $2532539 $2609631 $2681150
($514611)
06
$42935 $285202
$S505933
$707180
$80527
$57603 $1209862 $1348604 $1475031
$1590 236 $1695213
$79)359 $1878030 $1957451
$2029818
$2095757
$2155838
$2210580 $2260459
$567958 $229073 0 $0 222801 $8 269423 $797031 $7472391
A-19
TABLE A-10 (Contd) ASSUMPTIONS TABLE EENEFIT- ST TABLE (Calculated)
Econoraic are Fin=-ial alycsis for Energy Investments - Egypt EA 101965
iaital ccsts Bereifit Parameters internal Rate of Peturr SE55
Acquisition $H67353 Price of Oil $3000 bbl (yr 1) Transportatio $0 Oil Escalat 20year Disc PV of PV of BIC Constructior $0 Rate Benefits Costs NPV Ratio
Irterconectior $0 Errgy Savncs 11048 bblyear ---shy=-- Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 $8263423 $797031 $7472391 1038
TOTAL (Cap $79-53 24$6684040 $755587 $592Or 453 S85
4$542E325 $724224 $4771101 753Construct Time 10 months 6$459063 $700138 $3890925 656 8$3 893 406 $681376 $322 031 5 71
Operating and Normal Mainterance Costs 10 $2347706 $666557 $2681I0 502 - 11 $3119241 $660307 $3458934 472
Operating Cost $1359 year 12 $2915155 $654697 $2260459 445 Operating Lifetime 21 years 3 $_73 272 $64364Z $2081627 421
14 $2567880 $645082 $1922796 398Major Equipment RepairReplacemient 15 $2419662 $640951 $1778712 378
16 $228-634 $637197 $1648437 359 Replace Cost $0 period 18 $2053553 $630653 $1422900 326
Replace Period 20 years A-20 20 $1860603 $625165 $1235439 298
poundcenrzzc ar Firarial Analysis fcr Energy irnvesttterts -- EZyt pound2~ 10g88
TABLE A-Il
For Case of-EL TEST 4 - ELqN E LEA ATEP2ERy -E-D701 $35KL) Assumir Oil Escalaticn Rate cf 20
Savet- Vaiue cflaza 2eratn Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel Ererpy Saved Arnual Can_ Flow Discourtee Cas Flow (NV) i =Yea Cost Cost $pbl (Ebl) Cost Eauiv Enercy Ezt C-rrert $ 8 10 12 - -cuisittor -567-
Trarsocr $
crstrttir Irterznr or $0
7t Z-=7s5 3 $3Z0I 0 $0 1841 $amp4447 $59652 $505 405) ($-5405) ($505 405) (50540)5 ($55405$0 $11359 t3E70 so 1048 $34414 $11359 $353055 ($137083) ($I724) 173) ($16331)$1 $1359 $940 $ 1048 $4(2 32 $11353 $39C 76543 1224 $16444S $HE 92 $1482664 $0 $11359 $3714E Q $0 11043 359 89$41(2348 $1139 52 8 $5068 SSC I217 $4 5 6 7so TIIM $3789 Q V1 11043 $418E5f $11359 S$4)7 IgS 76 $4651687 $432258$927 138 $300478 $7432 807 $6i9103g
$0 $1359 $3864 0 $0 11048 $42S 98 $415527m3 833 $65704 11 C V001841o$0 1135g $3942 0 $0 11048 $435464 $11359 $$424105 $1603881 $135-564 124238 $1141707$ - $420 0 $0 1104-8 $4174 s3523 $43281- $232784 $1503107 $h63340 $1337491$0 $11359 $4101 0 $0 11048 s4_z_c- $ -9 S 4441-93$22E 52 $841743 $1S89396 $15158685$0 Sn359 $4183I 0 50 11049 $4621E $I353 $450753 $2572227 $206723 $1860582 $1878434 0 $11359 $4266 0 so 11048 $471-8 $125912 $46C 12 $22-987 $2280305 $2037912 $182S542t $1-9 43520 2
$0 11048 $48075 $1359 $4E9423 $3187919 12451E35 $2202444 $i961492$ $1139 $4439 0 $0 1104S $49C404 $11159 $479 4- $3437129 $2671870 $2375023 $2084450$0 S359 $452814 0 $0 11048 $50212 $113515 $483853 $378072 $2851 620 $2495386 S2196483s$ $I359 $4618 0 s0 11048 $51G216 $11359 $498557 $4065793 $3021462 $22205 V 298 559$- 52 $471116 0 $0 11048 $520420 $1$37 5 150306 1 $4351463 $3181939 $274916 $2391563$1359 $4805 0 $0 11048 $53129 $11359 $51347Q $4628812 13333567 $2882967 $247629 18 $0 S1359 $4901 0 $0 11048 $541445 S11359 $530086 $4900944 $347583K $2S7842 $255350319 so $11353 $4993 0 so 11048 S=52274 $11359 S540915 $5167955 $3612197 $3065131 $2L3644$0 si359 $509920 0 $0 11048 $530 $1135921 $551961 $5429939 $3740093 $315381 $2687930$0 $11359 $5201 0 so 11048 $574586 $11359 $563227 $56869B9 $3850932 $3239101 $2746318
$567958 $229073 0$0 2L801 $9647660 $797031 $8850629
A-21
SSUmOTIO3 TAlBLE TABLE A-lI (Contd)
PNEFT-COSTS TALE (Calculated)
Economic and Fir ancia Analysis fc-Energy Investments -- Egypt EEA I0P386
Calita costs Penefit arazeters
$cuistion$Z723 Price of Oil $ h500bb (yr 1)Trarspcrtation t0 Oii Escalat 20year Corstructcr $0
Irtercornection $0 Enray Savs 11048 bblyear -- - Fuel Use 0 bblyear
TOTAL (Cap) $5 57 8
Construct Time 10 mnrths
Coeratir ard Normal Maintenance Costs
Ooerating Cost $1135 yEar Operating Lifetime 21 years
MaJor Equipment RepairReplacemert
Replace Cost $0 period Replace Period 20 years
A-22
nterral Rate of Return 7785
Disc PV of PV of Rate Benefits Costs NTV --- _--
V S9647EGO $7-7031 $8850629 N $7793047 $755587 $7042460
4 $E411212 $724224 $568698961S 3S240 $700138 $4656102
8 $454 307 $681376 $3860 93-10 $305657 $666557 $323910111 Q633114 JE0307 $2978 SO3 I E $3401015 $654697 $2746318 I 387650 $S4964c5 $2538005 14 $25860 S645C83 $2350776 15 t- B940 $64051 $2181939
16 $266E 573 $37197 $2029376 18 $2395812 $630653 $1765159 20 $2170704 $625165 $1545539
BIC Ratio
1210 1032
885 75
667 586
551 519 491
464 440
418 380 347
Econoir a-nFinaci AralySi f- Ererzy InvEstments -- 07ptE LE
TP93
For Case ofFIELD TEST 4 - F1-LWA TEXTT -- (nC O= ]L s40PEt) Assuirz Oil Escalation Rate of 20
Saved Value cCaita 29ratir s of C Fuel Used
Fuel Erer y 3ave_- pal Casn Flo^ fLiscured Cash Flc (NPV 2 erCost Cost I Ib) Cost Euiv --ervy Cost Currert 3 4 8 10 12
1 7rans~crt $0
$ Tr O iS - 0 2$0 124 373655 39=851 ( 433193 (14351 ($ 6 1 8 $4 5 1 8931 4968l$ --3 $4020 0 VI 11048 $45C 3SI23 $42 2S W3698) ($33473 (35744) ($103877)0 1_3 0 so4152 1248 453 774 5 $34085amp Q95 07$0 443415 $ S273847 553596= S24 45 $0 1048 $45-95 $11359 $4Z7E $74770 SS5362 517656 573314S0 C 5 $4330 0 $0 11048 $47-34c 31259 $425339 $114f884 $$001513 5936616 $8760940 $59 $44E 0 $0 11048 4$10 1253 $47_55_9 1532579 13-2950 1232520 11146505
- c $S450- 0 sO N04E 147574 i $4263559 13C $1632410 $507021 $392887$10 $11259 14535 0 $0 11042 $5077 $ 3~5$1 268$4-3 $2700043 121 978 $176169G $167374I 135 $4627 0 so Ns04 1577S s259 S2670080 9f5282o 1 7 14W 2 I $19337945 5182903$478S 0 $0 043 $1s53 S52776 13033160 12454038 $2217103 20026411 9 $47 0 014876$S-E_ 4 1104--20 = 3 5pound 7 07$14800803 0O $3269358o$0 c 359 S 3 7 $2442 421 $217805$
s2 37115$5171 $0s14 1 S355 $E74 11048 S -511113-f 1743 102 $4C1L 27 $13147202 $2783 987 $24736230 $0 114048 517 311 HI9 S56312 $4418436 S13357 $294628332217 12602037I5 $0 $1353 $1z Sf 312$7578 0 $0 11048 $I 319 $439 _7$3$527404 $59 -40$7745 $278 gO $ 43$4743604 $3547884 $30998428 $2719087$0 $I Ec $383 016 $0 11048 $5547ES v11255 $H62407 S5072550 $3 799 $323E511 12825674$11359 $549 0 S0 1048 SE s 311 50 $ 9-25562U $2 2 718 $O $1-253 $5 0 $0 11048 61875 1i3 $470 8 40693133 1482244 20120715 $0 135I $5713 0 so 11043 $5217 3 77$113 9 775 $470 $2248 4 01 7$30912010 $0 11359 $5 827 0 $0 11048 $642794 $11359 $632435 $S39t367 $4371382 $370130 $3165280
21 $0 $11359 $5944 0 $0 11048 1656570 511359 S645311 6602876 $4509833 $3797052 $3232177
$567953 $ 29073 8970 10 801 511 02-5 $797031 $10228866
A-23
TABLE A-12 (Contd)PSSI PTIONSTAJKE rEnJT-DETS ^2LE(Caiculated)
E~onoma~infncia fcr Erery Investwerts - Egypt EA 1036
LapitE --ts Penefit Parameters ternr ate cf ketur 9060
Pquisition $-57958 Price of CI Trasortaticon $f CiI Escalat
onstructIon $0
iterzorr-ction $0 Ernrgy Savrs ------ Fuel Use
77A ao) $567958
Construct Time 10 months
OpEratirg ar N-rmal Mairterance Ccsts ------
Operating Cost $1355 year Operatirn Lifetime 2 years
Major Eqiprent RepairRezlacement
Replace Cost $0 period Replace Period 20 years
$4K lbb (yr 1) 20year
11043 bbllyear
0 bblyear
Ns PV of PV of Rate eni L-sts NPV
0$11025 397 1797031 $1022666 2 25q3 75E587 $ 156466 4 $7327100 $724-4 $6602876
6 $$121418 $700138 $5421280
e5191203 $68376 $4509833 10 $4463603 $66-57 $377C52 11 $4152988 $G 307 $3498681 12 $3865874 $654697 $3232177 13 13643029 $543645 $2993384
14 $3L423840 $645083 $27875615 S3226217 $6402351 $2585266 16 13047512 $637197 $2410315 18 $2738071 $630653 $2107418 20 $24008 5 $625165 $1855640
BC Ratio
1383 1179
1012
874
762 670
630
594
561
531 503
478 434
397
A-24
-c-nc an Firanzia Pralysisfcr Erergy Irvestrents -- Env t E 0
TALE P--3
Fer Case tfFEI7E3ET4 - FLN TEXTILESCLR PLUS
Assuming Oil Escalafior Rate oF 0
73 T ECCeZRY (PR_5rCF OIL S15BL)
r a
bull
etaIOiertrg
ssost Ccst Of Oi
$I Fe Lse
(E-12 Fuel
Save -Enery Eciv
a L Ef SaveS
Erery ra Ccst
asn Fli CLrrert f
sccunted 4
Cash Floo (NPV) 8 10
i
2
bull
4
5
7
0
1
2
13
14
16
17
is
19 20
21
r S CCrrnst cr $cr
erzcn11 on
Toa7 52 $2313 $ 13279 SC 13279 S t13979 $ $2673
C5r2
$0 $13573
S $13873 $ S$13279 $0 t373 $0 $13 79 $0 $387 $0 $13S79
$0 $1357S
$0Si 3279 $0 513879
$0 $13279
$ $137
0 $13879 $0 $S3879
($E300) $13879
$711653 $279893
V500
$1530 S561
S5592 $1624 $16565
$1689
$1723 $1757
$1733
$1326
$1265
I -
$1140
$1973 $20
S205 $2100
$2142 $2185
$22-29
0 0
0
r)
0
0
r
0
0 0 0
0
0 0 0
0
O$0 189 $28490 $720263 $0 1396 $17453 $13 S7 $0 113SE $177346 t-879 $$C 13 $1803 2a7g $$0 1139 12503 S1387 $0 1396 $183732 7 2 2S 0 13 $192 3 $13879
$0 1 c 9E3 8761 $0 11396 $20 2E3 $3872 $0 1396 $20423 V2 273 $0 11396 $20335 S13873 0 1132H $212542 T2272 $0 11396 $216733 $1387 $0 11396 $221129 $13879
to 1139S $25f2 3 $0 11353 523063 $13873 $0 11396 $234664 $13873 $0 11396 $23357 $13879
$0 11396 $244144 $13879 $0 11396 $249027 13879 $0 11396 $254008 $7579
$0 22819 $4264950 $991546
A-25
(77-773(5691771 1$691776) 164 C ($537432) ($542184)
$ 367 138E872) (M402609) 37524 ($23E944) f$263623) $17 ($90642) ($143 2 73174853 $307 -14 -- 7G 4 ( 8 $173627 $194245 $8774amp
$182477 t33293 $114220 S1 404 $49117 $2-4229 $10 410 s 027 $390 181 $154496 $734291 $490270 $193663 $86Z339 $565474 $202914 $3073 $amp46054 $207250 $1114548 722259
$11amp73 $1236783 $794325f216184 $356823 $862476 t220785 474702 $92921 $22- 478 $590456 $987860
$23)265 $1704121 $1045484 235148 $1815733 $10-971
$24642 $1928200 $1152842
$3273404
(691 776) ($691776)
($545885) ($543491) ($410376) ($417777) ($264512) (532537) (17613) (189767) (9 ) ( 1( $ 53 0 4 -4 ) -$1) $41737 ($53)
$135427 S82491 $22238s $157776 $303138 $M-6440 $373125 $289063 $447755 34o174 $S12410 $398257 $572443 $445753
$S28193 S8066$679935 $528562
$727985 $564576 $772594 $597416
$814010 $27360 $852458 $6546G2 $889088 $680208
TABLE A-13 (Contd) PSc6UY1TTG TAKE 52ZFEI-CSTS TXLE Calculated)
Econo iar narza 9Aais- for ErErgy Investments shy Eypt EZE 1ci35
Capital Ccsts Benefit Parameters Irternal RatE c Return 24953
~ccui i tcr717953 Price of Oil $15Y0 bbl (yr 1) T-ars~crtat ion $0 Oil Escalat 20year Disc tV of V of BC
crstruct ion $0 Rate Benefits Costs NP Ratio Intercornectior $ Enrgy Savrs 11396 L11year
FuE US= 0 bbiyear 0 $4264950 $991546 $3273404 431
TOTPL (Cap)-77953 2 447230 $942ss $2 504m 366 4t $2334211 $301011 $1928200 313
Costruct T 0 mth_ 357 838 $877493 $1490346 270 12110080 $85511 $112842 235
Operatin and Ncrma aintenarce Costs 0 $7 S76 $837483 $883068 0 11 $1608747 $830008 $778739 194
Operatin Cost Oeratirg Lifet1 M1
$_87T year years
2-$502490 13 $1403 168
$823281 $917216
$660203 $9195
183 172
14 $1324383 $311730 $512652 163 Major Equipert ReoairRepiacemert 15 $1247940 $80S 754 $441185 155
16 $1178815 $80222 $37658S 147 Replace Cost ($6300)period 18 $1o9119 $794327 $264792 133
Replace Period 20 years 20 $3959605 $787687 $171918 122
A-26
-- tr- er F-= v fc E-r= 1r tesirt_Egyrt EEP
TqPPLE P-4
F- caecfFlDTST t4 - UEL$Q TEXTILESDLAR PLUS WASTE HET -COVERpY(Pj- OF OIL $S31PL) nssuring Cil Escalatio- Pate c
Ltal Ccst cF Oil Fuel Used savet Va- cCa 0eratin Fuel Er-er SavE Armia Lasn FowDy riscoured Cash Fco (N7V) i vew t cost $b (b) Cost Eciv nert Cost Currert $ 4 810 10 12
ftP ic ro717953 I rarszc-t $0
r r $0|
f7753 $t S2100S23-13 so 1233-7 37 933747 ($S62-202 (23N ($682280)S Z-2) z $11279 M--7
3 2 $12 $Q373 (447205 $47 67-3 t$453t2 ($487110)3173 $DE 3S 2 2712 T 3S1249 t1$2532) ($2Sj731 ($292049 ($30-23)v W 2n UL22 22732
4 0 so 37 7 SE2923 (-2742S) ($27 531 ($146842)$0 1 57 $ 3 H 5 7 8 fit 73 1 2 8 0$2208 0 $0 3S tKj2 H872Q $237763 121 449 1-543 $17901 S6 3$ $1o73 32152 0 so Ins I25 E7 $1373 524796 152334 S373 47 o1l953 12503tq7 $21 0 so ni8 $2E 8( C3973 t715740 521 13 $24792954413 $1 190
0 $ 1279 $2343 0 33 6 5S L3 73 152 ME3 $22726 SSE913 = k S473433C En 1i c SC 2H6 127-ESE $1373 5237506504E52517O3 $71230 S672916 56391 $0 $13379 $2438 0 $0 113H S773-S25 272 4 5 7 $911492 $726E2 $651646I1 $0 S879 $2457 0 SO 3 $322 1372 5251 1143736 $7C702 $SE7144 $72912313 7 =36 s2 5 $1273 $275173 M160612 S113 353 5954024 $7 55514 SO H1079 121E7 0 so 1s3 I234m3 I 73 $2503H0 1772343 $123966 $1036208 S 414415 $ $1o7 $S3 0 $0 11336 C3002 $1 $3K7Z $1372 $St7557 S M37330 A1746$9M 840a $- 2 56 c so 3 1m237i 123287 129 3 MI42 LEE $97E34717 SO $13879 $-740 $0 1296 531S3525
12 7 1387 $2-30 $2 $51637 5 4E97 5 A 2vO 1 ST2 0 0a7 $209 1123S 1314 $13879 1305 264 $241E979 C59 43E 30N IbX3 581Ws19 $0 11387 $2356 0 $0 11336 $3H526 $13879 $311647 $2570817 $1677425 5133377 $111010820 $0 $12879 $2114 0 $0 i13 $33203S $13879 $318157 $2721828 61751146 S415399 $114704821 ($6300) $13879 $272 0 $0 11396 $338677 $7579 $331028 $2872937 $1822182 $1464614 $1181372
$71653 $279893 0$0 M819 S56686) $991546 $4095054
A-27
TABLE A-14 (Contd) 3M-S rET-N7 CSTS TPULZ CalLNated)
Ecobullric anf 7rT a f- Erer Investrents -- E F ay A 1916
Capita Sosts BersEft taraampeters R-ae -eturf 3402
Aczuisitjorn $717953 Trarnscrtatior $0
Price of Oil Oil Escalat
$2000 bbl year
(yr 1) poundai_ PEcf cf BC
Zcnstructior $0 Rate Penefits Costs NOV Ratio ir$tez)rectio
TOTAL tCa ) $717 953
Enrgy Savrs Fuel Use
1129 bblyear 0 bblyear
==shy0$568GG00 2- $4 33257
$954E $342962
$4535 054 $3 534i
574 487
Lo stru 6 Time 10 con-h r1 e-
4$3773943 $357118
E2Z17363
$9S 011 $2 872 937 S877493 $2279625 $S5518 S1 822182
41736 360 313
rPEratino ans Nrmal Maintenance Costs
Oueratirg Cost $13872 year Cpratir Lifetime 21 years
0 S2302104-1-$214493G
2$2004 53 -1S 78330
$5374n9$330008
$S2323 $817216
$464614$131A93
$IE1372 2051674
275 258
243 230
Major Equiprent RepairReplacemernt 14 $17 5843 5 $1G663919
$311730 SS06754
$954113 $7 165
218 206
Replace Cost Replace Period
(N6300)period 20 years
16 $571753 18 $1412159 20 $1279474
$802 22 $794327 $787687
$769524 $617832 $491787
6 178 162
A-28
- ranzcal Analysis fc- Enery vestrent_ - Eynt EE 0
TALE t-E
77 P7 q (NU - C$Ipp Asumzr_ O EscaatorRate cf 0
ot _o-tr o
ct of Oil $1-
Fuel Used (Ebl)
FL Cost
Save Ergy
Ecuiv
a1e e-
Errgy r
ost Ca--ic
rrer $ DisEcurted Cash 4 8
Floh (NPV) 10
P i 12n
I
I
Acuis~tion S177 Trar-pcr T
cnstr=ticr $0 rernct cshy
7S7
-
V I
In
I $1227
t3S7
I27T
2E F - 03
1706Q_
0
0 $0
0S0 1
--shy29 S4748
E $-5
3 2419 122723 $32
I3F 13 33f
$72
137 $187 7 $13879
S2$ (333727-3
7Z73 ($4 707
SZS2 E-I (V454 1 135104E 3$2 4 S3--2S3
($672733)
($41ESE2)
$1743-7$c 271122
(72731
($421-20)
(SIS7723$23000
$2-1152
(S672783
(S4252
S201430)$4E39
$1203
-$ 3
14
IS 7
18 19
20
21
C$$3875
c $ 17
$17573-$$ S 2 73
S $12272
S 10 113273
$0 12E73
V$ 1-73 $0 7 $0 $1327
$0 $13872 V $13873
$0 $13873
(05300) $13879
12760 82
227272
3 $232
$3047
$3108 $317
$3234
$323
t$365 $3432
$3507
13571
$3642
13715
0
C
C J
0 C
0
0 0 0
0
0
0
1
10
$0
$c
so $0
so
$0 $0
$0
$0
$0
$0
336 $314553 1133S $32844 2H t61735
133 1 3S 135G $34(432
1336 $7gt
1332 $354227 1133 $30132L
13 $363543
$37
139E $383432 11222 $23
1 S332$3=22 1133 $406 9-7
113 $415046
11396 $423346
s12 7 $i E74 $8 $47575_ $846 $13E79 1-_- - $ tq520120 s 379 3132332 1103568 S3f2050 1750934
01279 133227 11 _2433 $11024 27 $71 82 373 32 6S0 $1553 S02 $1183280 $038694 $S87 13-3413 S79 04 $1342714 S111722
$237 1o3558 2 134 $148368 $i2632 1387 $347443 $2217146 162562 5133723$ 1 $12753 $254670 $243-151 S1757074 S149 74
S3 $ E K22 $180334 C 5 53 $1337 $362S55 $2 44423 51933835 V16E3750 S3879 $377322 7223 $2106944 51 8M465
$1373 7-E5- $ 24502 $221101 84 2 05-$13 79 $3 3 028 $3437512 $2309366 $1912745
$13373 $401167 $3627923 $2402321 $1978339 S7579 $4f-5767 $387674 $2491523 $2040140
$3E2613 V1813
165S399
$78102 $32673
1014228
$111073 I31253
$282534
$1 35 $1424132
66
$5474 $1572856 S1 39434 $1682535
$71153 $273933 0 $0 22819 $7105250 $991546 $6116704
A-29
TABLE A-15 (Contd)gSSVL1TKE--- TAL-2 12alculated)
-cic ar -ari - lysis fc Erery rvestrrts - Egypt EEP i9IlS
Costs Perefit PararetErs Irsternal Rate cf Return 4318
M-quisition $7174953 Trice of il $200 bbl (yr 1)Transportat ir $ Ci1 scalat 20year Disc PV of PV of BICCostructic-n so
nate Derefits Costs f1] Ratio interconnection $0 Enrgy Savrs 11395 bbiyear
- -FUEUSEQ tYear 0 702250 $99FAG $E11Z704 717TOTPL (Cap) $717953 2$-74 483 $942 962 $4802515 609 4 $4723695 $905011 $3817674 521Construct Tirr 10 ronths $21-4pound397 $877493 $20E2904 450 8w $3 704 $855181 2 23 3910perztin and rcaMainterance Costs 10 $277630 $837483 $2 040 140 344
Operating Cost $13379 year 1I$2681 244 s830008 $1851237 323 12 $S2505816 iK23281 $162 535Operating_ Lifetime 21 years
304 13 $2348613 $817216 $1531397 287 14 $2207304 $311730 $139-574 2072Major Equipmert RepairReplacement 15 $2079899 $60E754 $1273145 258 1 $1924 $802229 $162462 245Replace Cost $300period 18 $176Z198 $794327 $370871 222Replace Period 20 years 20 $1593342 $787687 $811655 203
A-30
rcrc= ~ar rial Zralys- f- Erery lrivertfrentE -- E_=yt E
TQILE P-6
Fo Ca-se cfIELD TEST 4 - H-L4AN TEXTILPSIR
sunrini Esalation Rate cf 21
rILU3 WASTE H7AT Ey VD-- OIL 530B)
YEar aia
eratir Cost of Oil
cSst $1b Fuel Used ru
Ergry
Ecu I ZaVE f
ZnEr y Anru
COSt aS 7-06
rret 1 -iEzurtE 4
Cash 3
Flow (NV) 10
3 = 8
1 ra-rt
rn-rjt or $0 $0
4
2
14
15
16 17
is 12
20 21
73
$0 $7 so $0 $0$0 $0
C
$0
$0
S $ $0
so $0
$0 ($6300)
232-
23277w 37 63S
119 S387 $2879$13q73 $711$c
3273
1373 2733
S387-
S1237
2M79 $13r379
$12873 $13873
$13879 $3879
$35 S$ 60
3 284 $-247 S-is $3378 $3446$L515( $-c
$357
$73 0 $3805
$23
$-3958
S4022 $4118
$4201 $4265
$4370 $4458
00 0 0 0 0 0 0C
0
0 (
0
0
3 0
0
0 0
SO $0 SO $0 $l $0 $0 $0
S1 so $0
$0
$0
$0
$0 so
$0 $0
M51--S1333 $343 718 261- s337
33 2 33S $273062 3 $377453 233H $35012 336 3K1173I3 4f =c
$40Z S72
133S $41E750 136 $42525 1396 $43287
136 S442253 113 $451102
$4 2 1393 $4-C223 13^6 s4727-11396 $483289 i39g $498OE5 11396 $508016
hC S23873
$13873 S13873 T1387 $13 S72 $-
3 S 7 $23873 2 I12579 233q73
$17379
$12273 SI6373
513373 $13279
$13879 $7579
5
3332- ($$32236 (SS3386) ($$3335)12342333 ( H32t ( (1358887) 36 23 1813 (12- 1) (-- 20) (176337 ($3K-
-333743 27 264n4 27-3 $1Z756 1 5 35S133 $ 2-5 $47E533 $429034 S2-253 $3S3584 $32$TK-40 $65473 $559135 271133 $18 2 392 86423S777323 $378E34 $L5375Z $ E 66 103688 St458
- 44 3 $7 3 88 $230 S104765
3 202224 S57_- $1406472 S1247C37S402671 $DD141s $S773936$561796 $1376S11 1266 5r2 Q5SK235 S s 03
$41370P S2 79 $211E957 t 3653 $160275 $425379 13 27352 $227448 V3733 $437224 2 4$2 7t79390 $443246 125 32- $2564014 $285102 1J7317 $4-5449352 3 536 95 2284 $8294S311 $464336 $4070 026 $2322SE $2376786 12012911 $474410 $4304208 $2941307 $2462113 $2075603 $44176 $4534018 $305Z49 $2541279 $2130820 $500437 S47[2411 $3160864 $2615666 $2183698
$711653 $27993 0 $0 E29819 $8529900 $991546 $7538354
A-31
TLE TABLE A-16 (Contd)
- -1T E l-ate)
Znor~i ari -iraria2 alysis for Energy ireVstrents - Egypt EA1
LEitET Csts Eerefit Pararveters Interra Rate of eturr f255
Acouisition $752 ranspecrtaticr $$ Construction $0
rtercorrectior so
Price cf 04 0i Escaiat
Enrgy Savrs
$3 b (y-0yaar
1335 5byear
1) Dis- Rate
-
2V cf Benefits
PVof Costs NPV
BC Ratio
----------T2T_ CapL
--- Fuel Use 0 byear 852230C s432 $
$55 342 H5
77538254 $$f95$ 6A2- 6
860
--rstrct Tire 10 rths 4 $56642 6$473r-67
$90E 011 $877 49
$47E2411 $335- 184
62 E40
Operating and Nomra Maitenance Costs 8$4016044
10 $3452155 $8KZ 31 $827483
13 856amp4 $269666
470 412
Operating Cost Dperating Lifetime
$3872 21
year years
1 3217493 12n $00E930 13 $2218335
$33000c $823281 $817216
f2 387 486 $2183693 $2001 1
383 365 345
Major Equipment Repirez acement 4$2648765
15 $2A4S5619 $811730 $802754
1637035 $1689125
o 309
Replace Cost Replace Period
($5300)period 20 years
-$2327629 18 $2118238 20 $1919210
$822 $794327 $787687
$55 400 $1213911 $131524
-94 267 244
A-32
Eccic and iranza Pr-i- frEre irvEter -- Eypt EEq 10135-
TRPLE A-17
FcrCse TZST 44 - HELWN T-EE-2- WA7ST EW PRfL KMIY rOIL $351BL) Ass-ir- 02lEaldegio Rate cf 20
Saved Ya- cfCEita7 Ocratin Ccst of Di Fuel Used Fuel E rerry SavEd rd Caa--FioA Liscoured Cash Flow (MTN)Year -St cst SBbI (2b2) Cost Equiv i
rerV C-rrert $ 4 8 10 12
ransport P
I rt-rzcre ic $
ctal t777 SH$00 0 so
1833 5$477 $72255 ($$732 SE279 ) ($S5790) ($653790) ($53790)7-27 $-7 0Z27$0$ 3 $ 94) n- 3
0$0 r- 17365 $414974 $13673 SA 01 S354 $348 92-12 c30$ 12F7c S3714 $0 37 $42ST27 $13 $401-74793 B1 SZ384C $ $342M12 $302215$ $3789 11336 $437 379 S417 $7 $1873 $864 E $E 7 $7 -7730 $0 11336 1440374 $13873 $4 4K3 $G576 1$7330 $SK2736 $M57770 s0 13 44 $187 0 S
$43 E302 $1510 601 S1 E44 $1133453C 1 S7372 $4020 S103 Z- 7 84 S13 50 283 $13442 $1237257S 7S E $411 13 $473 1 873 $4344 $2173553 $1754865 $157379 $420428 I 13879 4183 0 $0 136 $47L575 $337 $4L73Sbull ~$ $--37 -n S2504 707 S9379 $ 7742-0 $ 873177 $42EE 13 $-71 11133S 1299 IO4 2 37$4 23 273 -2-3 $2823796 $225158 $9523 $733394S7 $352 0 so 11326 54H $ 3 4 $3332 $241302 1212330 t8773732 $ 73 $4433 0 $0 11336 55585 712579 $47 $34 $2607271 $2 282067 $200425014 1 $11279 $4522 0 $0
12 11335 S515963 $1 273 1522 089 $74=754 $273 888 2427504 $2 113 3155 $0 7873 $4amp81- S $28973 S4711
0 $ $ 227 1 79 1511405 44rN657 $296E343 $2 43a $22241640 so 3965 $53z 11E7 t=1937 $-6 113 13 $4232024 2687624 $2319702$534 $31311417 $ 1272 $48 0 $0 11336 $747542 1367 $ 33470 1 535 $328E967 $283766 $24057562 V $1187 $430 0 $0 11336 $55-50 $13873 $544621 $453 543 $3434161 $2311516 $24K07719 $0 $12879 $499 0 $0 11336 $569670 $13873 $555791 $5170903 353248 $3011480 $255835120 10 $13279 $509 0 $0 11396 $591064 $13879 $567185 $5440113 $3704671 $3104220 $26L420521 ($6300) $12879 $5201 0 $0 11336 $532685 $7579 $525106 $5707148 $3830205 $3191192 $2684852
$711653 $279833 0 $0 229819 $9951551 $991546 $80004
A-33
TABLE A-17 (Contd)
Econorni a 7inarcia ay-- fc Ener~y investmerts -- Egypt ZE r986
Ca~it~a cstz Perefit Parameters Irnterrna Rate of Return 6217
Pcquisiticn 7i Transpc-tation $ Constr-ct ior $0
inter-conrection $0
TOTQL (Cap) $717953
--iceof 21 OillEscalat
Enr y Savgs Fuel Use
135K bb (yr 1) 2Ovear
113- bblyear 0 Ltlyear
DI sc PV of Rate Eer eFits
0$9IK551 2$043677
PV of CoS1 ots
$91545 $942908
PaPV
$3960004 $7100709
3C Rat i o
1004 853
Corstruc Time 10 mcrths
Operatirq an Normal Maintenare Costs
OPeratir Cost $13879 year Operating Lifetime 21 years
Major Equipmernt RepairReplacemernt
Replace Cost ($6300)period Replace Period 20 years
A-34
4 $6 613 1-S$ 24 95
8$4amp3825 $$4) 21
11 $3753742 2 $3506143 13$328058 14 $ C9026 15 $23159 16 $27550567 18 $2471278
20 $2239079
$906011 $877 493
$55S 131 $83748-$330008 $823 2 $817216 $S1730 $806754 $802 22n $794327
$787687
$5707 148 $4647 463
$3830205 $3191192 $2927735 $2684862 $2470842
$2278496 $10510-$1943339 $1676951
$1451392
730 630
548 481 452 426 402
381 361 343 311
284
Erno a - raial Ayaavs- fc EErcy IvestLErts -- E 5y 1NObr
TABLE A-B
For Case zf7- D EST 4 - PEWA TEXTLES2R olUS STE H- PE-5- G4-88 ZL Pssur 2i Esalaticr Rats cf 2(
Year
Laital
Cost
Oeratir
Ist
Cost Of Cil
$1IL5
Fue Use
(BL
FE
zc-st
Save Energy
Z4iv
V_-shy_ Saved
Energy
a1
Ccst
F1c
urre-t S
Dafiscourted Cash Flow (NPV) plusmn 4 8 -0 1
1 Trarspzrt $0
4
37--
0
$0
1
$16 $13279
$1387c
$40
$400 $4162
S4245
0
0
0
0
V
s0
$0
1239
11396 11396
336
$75973 $464957 $474255
- 6 $483741
$72026S
113379
137S 7 9 $13879
3644233)
S451078
$477U C 7 $463852
(S64433) (210fG4
14r1$2 5 o0n $-32786
(2644A) (12Z
$1 52 0 7 1
$541cent52
31544293)
(234=-) $ 4
$493269
(364423M)
S24 545) $24$ 5
$452903
A
7 8
-
10
12
13 14 15
16 17
18 19
20
21
$0 t0
0 $0 V $0
So
I$0 $0
$0 $0 $0
$0 $0
$0 $0
$0
($5300)
13273 T2879
$9 S237 $2873 $3873 $13873
$13879 $13879
$13873 $13873 42879
13673 $13879
$13879
$13879
$13879
$13879
14330 $4416
$4505 $4595 $4535 $4687 $4780
$4876 $4973
$5073 $5174 $5278
$5333 $5491
$5601
$5713
$5827
$5344
0
Q5 0 0 0 0
0 0
( 0 0
c 0
0
0
0 0
so so
o
so $0 $0
so $0
S $0 $O
$0 10
$0
$0
s0
$0
236 3133
1136 E I39 11396 11396 35
1396 11396
113 11336 11336
336
1396
11336
113
1135
11336
5$493416 $503264
35) 1 G 1
S531 1534083 $544771
$5665 S566780
1
$523 678 $60471
$612501 $525771
$G39286 55 Q52
$664073
S677 K4
$13873 S473537 $13873 $4834C-E
$13873 $49747 $3979 f50g 7-shy2
$1379 $52CI210 113873 $538321 227$5 -89 S3879 $541787
$79 K $-7579 $54236 $13273 577K $3873 S27532 113973 $53622 t3879 $11892 $3379 S624407
$13879 $337173
$3879 $650194 $757 $669775
$1042696 114443E
$18336301 $222704-
$2607162 1233016093 1
13346172 $7C- 32
$4 05746 $440256 $4742875
$-075824 $51402515
$5723072
$503759
$34c208 $6651884
$935- $825 M $764658$12M617 $10681 S10425
$-43 $1412669 1407 $123372E$715$=2 9
f39- $21843 11916875 $1735031 23 42 $1 $375$ 3427 $214202S t 53G $2636380 03 $9 $2 27 503 12544695 S2200320 $3037575 $2721482 $2405748 $3-3032352- 28970 12537706 S350348 $3045001 $2673393
$3698373 $2 183546 t757485 $3876979 $3 3711 $2867300
14045737 $3446247 12953242 $4205189 $356C8 3041099
$435846 $3657160 $311659 $4493545 $376678 $3186025
$711653 $279893 0 $0 12-93813 $11373201 $991546 $10381654
A-35
TABLE A-18 (Contd)- o-SOS TflBLE BEN T-2T TPBLE 7alculated)
zccc- an FiariJ Analysis for Energy Investments - Egypt EEA
Capita Colts BerEfit Parameters nterna lRate of Returr 7207
Acquisiticon 171753 Price of Oi $4000 lbL (yr 1) Transportation $0 Dil Escalat 20vear Disz FV of PV of BC
Construction $0 Rate Benefits Costs TV Ratio Iterconnection $0 Errgy Savrigs M-35 bblyear
-- -- ------- Fuel Use 0 bblyear $W373o $99546 $10381654 1147 TCTAL Cap) S717S53 2$1 773 $942968 SB2 49 - 5 975
4$7557396 $906011 $6E5884 834 Zonstruct Time 10 months 6 $-314236 $877493 15436743 72n
51354726 S855 18 1 $4 42S 545 G20Operating and Norcal ainterarce Costs 0$4604207 $S37489 $3766718 550
1$4289991 $3000 $345983 517 OeI-ating Cost $13879 year 48712 $4003306 $123281 $318G025
Operatin Lifetice 21 years r3 $177781 $817216 $2940565 460
14 $53637 $8730 $2719957 435 Vajcr Equiprrent RepairReplacement A $3327839 $80S754 $2521084 412
16 Z3 143506E $80212209 $2341277 392Replace Cost ($6300)period 18 $2824317 $794327 $2029990 356
Replace Period 20 years 200 $2558947 $787687 $1771260 325
A-36
E~zcrorci an4 ariaqrysr for EnEy Ivestrets -- -Gyrt = 3P
F c r C a s e o f F - r T 3 3 4 - j r 7 o i o s X_--
E 4 OR $251 FT -RC= $159P
ss=insectCA Escalation Rate cf 20
Save a - shyCaita eratirn Cost cf 01 Fue Used Fuel Ener) SavE AnnaI ash Floi Discounted Cash Flow () 9 iyE- cost Cost $Bb (2b1 Cost Epoundalv Energy Cost Current $ 4 8 10 12
l cuisiis 52452
Trans $2 Corstru_ o
ta 4 $-52 S $0 S2832 3$-22955 s28Sz3 ($128968) ($28928) (128)tc 52 C 10 34-2 $-324 S Z 24 ($125877 M$25991) (T2045) (S260981$ 0 $-55 0 s 34s S5431 $2110 s ($22707 ($123144) (3123301) (23450)$0 $ $2 0 $0 342 $f540 $2110s 40 11 S758) (242) 20704 S2 009S0 $T2-4 0 $0 34 $2110 25a0 (1273) (S17820 (32 3S759)S$0 2 $1G56 C $0 348 $763 $ 3 (1 1 3 7A s2 $13 0 f0 34 $E873 $2110 $379 (I0750 $12S ( S1 $14777)VC 2 $172- 0 $0 348 $-39 s 2 C2 $38ES (107797) h$1 (51)$130950 52110 $1757 C $0 342 $11 S2110 S400r ($104870) (t103526) (111004 ) (211401)$ c 120 $1793 C $0 348 $S28 522O S4123 31S9) (S10461 (S OS M) (1092) s210 I 512_ 348 $363 S2110 $42-5 (S39096) ($104491) ( S037($103 543)$0 S220 $sE5 0 ti shy32 t54 211 $435-0 (M251)
-- (S10261 ($22 ($07284)$0 $220 $1902 0 $1 343 $r2) 2110 $4510 (S93434) ($100821) 31$03G84) ($10512)14 $o S2110 $1940 0 $0 34 573 $2110 54243 ($50645) (S92114) (5)02340) (15062)5$0 52110 $1979bull 0 $0 343 S5683 I2110 $4778 (37am) ($9742q) ($10102) (S104085)6 $0 $2110 $201 0 so 342 S7C7 $21 $421517 50 ($5155) ($95 938) (ST2 90 ($103 1861$2110 0 )2059 348 $71 2 $$2o $ ms $22458) ($94462) ($S-30O ($102)o11 $ $2110 $210o 0 $0 34S
19 $7303 $2110 $-19- ($73789) ($92057) ($377T6 (01605$0 $2110 $2142 0 $0 348 $745M $2110 -5345 ($77150) ($91720) ($3814) ($100909)20 $0 $2110 S2185 0 $0
21 ($5438) $2110 $--29 0 348 $7605 $2 Ili $5495 ($74542) ($90446) (9916) ($100271)
$0 348 $7757 ($3328) $11085 ($69483) ($88068) ($9426a) (99 I2)
$124048 $42552 0 $0 7018 $130239 $166600 (36361)
A-37
ABSUPTIOS TABLE TABLE TABLE A-19 (Contd) IT--CCOTS TAL --C ed
and Fina-E P7aiysiz fc- Energy IrvestzErts -- ypt EE
aPita Ccsts Benrefit Parateters
Pquisitio 2948S Price cf Oil $1500 lbi (yr 1)Transortatior $0 Oil Escalat 20year
onstructio $0
rterconrectior $0 Enrgy Savns 348 b5year Fuel Use 0 thi
TOTAL (Cap) $123466
Construct Tirfe 10 months
Ozerating amNormal Mairterance Costs
Operatin Cost $2 110 year Oerating Lifetime 21 years
Major Equipment RepairReplaceuert
Replace Cost ($5438)Period Replace Period 2 years
Internal Rate of Return
Disc PV of PFJof Rate Benefits Costs
-=_
0 U -1c233 s 6660 2 $105270 $160683
4 $83543 $15031 6 $72307 $E2344
8 $61319 $149387 le S5272 914S33-
11 $49126 $14E566 12 $4912 $145034 3 $4 032 $144180
14 4144-- $143417 15 $38108 $142713
16 $35 9 7 $142068 18 $32342 $140933 2 $29303 $139971
-2 63
NIN
$32 ($55410)
($6943($8 037)
($80 8) ($343_68)
($C-33323(99 22)
($101156)
($102974) ($104604)
($106071) ($102591)
($110667)
Ratio
073
066
055 047
041 C36
034 03
30
28 027
0 25 023
021
A-38
For Case - -EL 7 7 14 - HELPN EXTLiIPH 0LECTOR PRV =552FT - PRIEC OL S2L Pssurin Oi Zscalaticr Rate cf 2C
SavEd a- c Cost of CII FUE1 Useer CUE Energy Eavn Arnual Ca ow sSZOLnte- Cash Flow ( NV) iYear Ct Ct Ipbl (P2-) Cost Ecsiv Ererry ZOst Currert $ 4 3 0 2 is-t i c r
_ _____ _
Traszr $C - LCrErZt cr 30
i tercorrezcr SO 21 53 $1 $1223 ($23378 $123pound73 ($23673) ($22673) ($123578)$ 72c Q0$24c $0 348 S7033 $2h1c i4S83 $2680 2124053) (12442) (1243)$21~ 0 0so 34a 17241 $2C $5121 3 (E -59)($112301) ($12012)4so So c V- Z $-co 348 7 $2110 $5275 -44- (1115471 ($15371 (lII3- $21 $25 ) $9 348 $7534 1I2110 5424 1038O) (111484) ($I-33 1I2930$0 $211 $2205 c $0 345 768 $2110 $-E574 ($105228) (7076G0) (105772) (037S7)
$0 2110 $-52 c $) 48 728 n04 SC Sshy$ $-bO $5723 C l00701 ($10408 SO55r ($ICS585)o $U S2110 P-3a7S0 $13 0 $0 348 Si110 $-525$2343 0 343 3430341 $2 (Si L- f E471 1$0$ 8) ($C4 203$) $_ -- $21 t$3050l 31($812) (S97231) (53673) ($10762
t t110 t c 3 2 M745)$0 203 ($94275) ($97066) (M23)S1 52110 $2438 Q $0 349 124B4 $2 $E374 (9g1 f$948 3)($2 144) 3233 ($07471)$110 $Z487 C $0 348 $2354 $2110 $r544 ($75894) ($88516) ($ 3 1 ($=120)$0 $2110 $25313 0 t0 342 $2227 T2110
1 $E717 ($74632) ( 849) ($901174) ($33855
$0 $20 $2557tbull I 0 034 $3 0034$34 S211 7) ($33314)S263 M$8178) (S32 2u)15 $0~ ($to50 $2110 $2333 0 $0 343 $3184 $210$7074 $ 473 ($2090S) ($83 315) ($3032)$0 $211 ( $2332 0 $01L 348 $ S237 $2110 $727 ($32444) ($73618) $34578) $83512)7 $0 72 10 $2746 0 $0 343 S555 $2110 S744E 3$5340 ($7S445) (323-7 (333293)1 $0 5210 $280 0 $0 348 $2745 $2110 $7636 ($54542) I 43W ($21447) (2B7156)$0o $2110 $225L 0 $0 349 $3341 $2110 S7831 ($50684) ($72422) ($80038) ($35163)2C $0 $2110 $2914 0 $0 348 $1023 $2110 $3029 ($46872) ($7WC561 (75726) ($85235)21 ($5439) $2110 $272 0 $0 346 $10342 ($3328) $13670 ($40634) ($676S2) ($76694) ($83818)
$124043 $42552 0 $0 7018 $17362 $163 00 $7052 A-39
TABLE A-20 (Contd) P-SJ 2DTPKE rZFT7-CGS72 TLAK (acutated)
Hom and Firaa ralvsis fcr Erergy Investments - Egypt EEAn 5S
Za-ital Costs Benefit Paraeters lnterrna Rate cf Return 046
Acquisition $129485 Price of Oil $22O0 1bb (yr 1)Transoortation $0 Di Escala 2Oyear Disc PV f PV of BCConstructior Rate Beniefits Costs Ratio Interconrnection $0 Errgy Savngs 348 bblyear - --- =_
Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 $173252 $16E600 $705 104 (Cao)bull0TL1a8 $14 360 $10c ($ 320) 087
4 $115398 $155031 ($40634) 074Corstruct Time 0 -rnths A $36409 $152 34 ($55935) 063 8 $8A759 $14937 ($7623) 0Operatin and Normal Maintenanrce Costs CIA $70299 $14S933 ($76694) 048
11 $55502 $145 966 ($0464) 045Operating Cost $210 year 12 $51216 $145034 ($33818) 042Operating Lifetime 2years 13 $57376 $144188 ($85812) 040 14 $53924 $143417 ($89493 038Kajor Equipmert RepairReplacement $C811 142713 ($91901) 36 IS $47997 $142068 ($94071) 034Salvage Value ($5438)period 18 $432- $140933 ($97810) 031
Replace Period 20 years 201 $39071 $139971 ($100899) 028
A-40
- End - Ar y= fcr ZErcy~gt Ef-tS - ~ Aq
TiE fl-2[
-or -ase
Assamin
c
Ui
Tf-L0EST 4 -
E-alation Rate f
TECTh- 211
20 25BFJ
Yec-
-_ ztr
fs
nrt-r--et
YEzEta u-rir z os
___=== shy = i2 ~~
z-_ 233
r $
of deg $i2
- Lse (Ebi)
ICoRue
Cost
Saved Ersery
Ecuiv
Va -cf Saved
Erery
5 S
n-a
-shyt
zas CIO
Curt S
t
Discounted Cash
4
Ficii 0 V)
0C
1 =
4
2
14 1 17 17
12 19 20 21
5-
s$
s 12
ampc
SO SC
$3 5 $0
(5 438)
2II0 2 110
S$210$o
12102IC
2110 SC$
U0 52 10
O QI0I $2110 521110 $2I07343
$2110 $2110 $2110 $2110
--23OI 1
Q27^S7SC
7
f_522 $2 3
S2147 $2SQ 53171
34 23 EE
13 534Vo$344)
$35o $3571 53342 53715
Ct
-1C
o
0 C
0
0 0
0 0
C 0
0
$0$034-=
s5
$50
s3$s4
$ $0
5$
so $0
$ $0
$O $0 s0 S0
348
343Z4
348
34E 342
342 342
34S 342 3474E 348 348
345 348 348 348
13574$ = $
$3
$3417sampo
$ 7E3
1 3-$337
euroscs $1 37
s3 $254 $1S t9 03
$121 1 S1242 $12674 $12 928
V2 31 -shy
11C
2110s519
2 12-0
1S 11 145
$2C
$2110
t2 110 $210
S2 110 $2110 $2110 ($3328)
33 2-72 ZZS ($13333 335B3 122S7 4 ($ E 22 25) ($13-2 3 (t12243)4 ($t1 ($pound 7) I$1692 $t5 S5 -
1 4 $7123 3$M234 ft 91 11745)--- $175)
$7307 31028 S C5148) ($106(1 7SC $5- t7495 ($737 (IiCc047 cs (-02843
783 ($cZ203) ($37185 (32353shy$7854 (1S4 6 1 533 (133122 (523371 $8133 ($7E754) (SS3 5) M335)) (ic21-h)
$S27 (7222) (32C900 ($2525 ($83134) $495 ($87 23 78 ) 382 5Wc ($5399)12 717 ($5 ($44-0 (7350I (583995)$3924 9 53 ($70 8771 (S7664) ($81605)V1144 (S$2471 ($67514) ($74016) (579509)
($45C (64324) ((715434) (S772) $33 5337301 ($5292) (5 2501 ($7 838)$7533 ($58428) ($8711C) ($74234) 0 )72 29303 ($5706) (S5 11a ($72767)1$0316 (24217) ($53124) (S5322) ($71425) $10564 (S19203) ($50676) ($6155) ($70199) $16256 ($11754) ($47129) ($59119) ($685141
$124043$42552 0 $0 7018 $217065 166500 50465
A-41
ELSTU0 TABLE TABLE A-21 (Contd)
PLE(-
Zcoo r Firatia iavsis fc- Energy Irvesterts shy Eypt EE1
C itz Zosts enefit Paraveters Irterraz Rate cf REturr 304
zao-isitior S12948E Traszrtzti $0
l rtier to Interzorrectio $0
Price of Oil 0 Escalat
Errgy Savnrgs
$250C bb (yr 20vear
342 bIyear
Disc Rate -
WV of Ienef-
W cf Fcsts N
BC Ratio
- --
TJT -------shy
1 486 FuEl Use 0 bblvear ^
-a-27 H-S$17 450
$SG0 s16K 580
$E 4S $14770
30
109
Construct Tive 10 crths 4^ 6
$144247 $2051
$I-o0 2344
$17S4) (4P 832)
02 073
Coeratirsect and Normal Mairtenance Costs
Operatir Cost $2110 year 0oeratin~ Lifetinie 21 years
8 0 1
2
$102198 $27874 3-877
$7E520 $$7720
$14937 $14S33 $145S3
$145034 V44122
$47123) ($ 119) ($64039)
($68514) $72458)
068 060 056 053 050
Mamr Equipmet ReoairReplacemert 14 1
$97405 $143417 1427
($76012) (179199)
047 045
REplace Cost Replace Period
($5438)period 20 years
6 18 20
$59996 $53304 $43839
$142068 $140 233 $139971
($82072) ($87030) ($91131)
042 C38 035
A-42
TRSLE 1-22
F- cf-- s 14- HELN Esumlr Oi Esampaton Rat2 cf
(TC2LEHr Trorp-
20 -P z-3 z-
1iazip Ycst
Ls-cr 113 -
0eratir Cost
Cott of oil W
Fte e c
-e el Ct
Savec Energy Ev
Va1-_ of -avef
ErErcy pnua
st a=n 7c DirountEj Ca_
E-rre-t $ 40 8 Flo (NPN) i
10 =
12
4 f
7
10
N-I-
1-
15
$ 7
is
19
I 21
C rutc
0t13oo
V 12 116 30E 11 $321
so No 13LR $- 110 z347 $ t-1 $33 2
S 8029 $3278 2li $344E
S0 f2I0 1315 - - 1 35
S1 r t2110 1373C-
S S212 $3 15 2 1 S281
$S)S2 5I3908 $ S4(38
so QAc2h18 41 SO $s2 $420 50 $2 11 $4 so $110 $4370
$5433) $2110 $4455
$124048 $42552
0
c 0
0
0
0
0
0 C 0 c
0 0
0 0
0 0
0
S
10 345 so 34
so 248 to 345
C 34S
so 3 $ 348 $0 348 $0 348o
$0 348 0 348
$ 345 so 3$6
so 348
$0 348 s A3 $0 348
SO 348
$0 348 $0 348
$0 7018
Q74C 12-
s649 - 1 s B3 110
in1 73 p311 S30 $2110 1127 f110
$11757 2110 $13 I-sI S2322_2ltU1510
2477 130
S 72H 11 S s- $1 2 1-110 s17o- s2
t3770 5-10 $14051 $2110 S302 S2 S14613 $21(
$1491 $ 1 $15203 $3110 $15513 ($332
$260478 $-SF600
A-43
53 ($85557 27Z- )S17
V5S59 10 1 3131 ($9-
12417 e -^-
$-E47 ( S) sI S t730)2
5 L22
1c357 4SW III
S1STs ($241)$1037 s173) 1 30 127 27)
Sc1L33 331 3X4
1 L 5 -267)
$is 7o7) 510L 3 ^41)
2 S2 8 U249
$3S10-2 $346S $18841 170-5
1$93 78
($(225 ($128038)
12 5 52 33- 1 12683 (1M 3102)
1105 EEG) 3$1 364 $3--3) $C 10-
($92 (534$ 3 (1S3225) (33734) ($o5s (s82733
$7 030) (79 0 11) 33 7041(IN
(647) $70511)($50334 (670 (1904) ($53154)
5( 714 (E 8 54) ($47743) 3567S2 $437) ($S33 3540411) fS5123
t070(37030) (4E7331
($33 827) - (S45E
($30 7K) ($44344) (26749) $41544)
($1202a
(31204741 (51347T
IS(117 C272 1( -_- ($SC) I ($627)
(132453) ($7 745)
( 2S ($712
(5344) $SE73S)
My AS)
($2 14) (5601171)
(556T
($5-5-E54)
($55162) (53210)
TABLE A-22 (Contd)
Ezrzic and Fir-a Analv=is Er=-ry Invest-eants - Egypt EEfl oI 1
Catal Costs Benefit Para-eters l-tera ate of Return 532
Pccuisitio $12943s Price c Cii Transportation $ Oi Escalat
Construct iorn $0 Interconnection $0 Enry Savrs
--- - --- el Use TOTAL LCap) $129485)
Construct Time 10 r-=nths
Operatin and Ncrmal nartErane Costs
Operatin g Cost $210 year Ooerating Lifetire 21 years
Major Equipment RevairReplacemert
Replace Cost ($5438)period Replace Period 20 years
$300 bb (yr 1) 2 Cvear
34E bblyear 0 tblyear
Dic PV cf Rate Eerefits
=-- shy == 0 -260478
2 $210541
4 $172037 6 $144614
8 122 S38 10 $105449 11 $93 253
i2 $91824 13 $86064
14 S00885 15 $76217
16 S71995 18 $64685 20 $58607
PV cfof Costs
$166600
$160680 $15H 02 SE2344
$149337 $146993 $145966
$145034 $144188
$143417 $142713
$142068 $140933 $139971
wgV
$93878
$49860 $17065 ($7730)
(326749) ($41544) (347713) ($53 tn0) ($S3 124)
($62531) ($6649G) ($70073) ($76249) ($81364)
Ratio _
15S 13 1 095 82
C72 067 063 060
C56 053
051 04G 042
A-44
Ecnio af rarcia Ay5s fr Enerzy rvestr-et=- E__y EE- t
TABLE A-23
D 7E4--r Case ofF- - H8LW TEXT-PP C LcTORvR- - p n-OIL 35 _) 9ssu=- Oil Escalation Rate cf 20
spvedCa4t Csratr Zost cf Oi Fuel Used Fel Erergy Vi~
3aved Arral Ca-s 7 2iscurnt (-ir- Flo (NTV) 8 iYear Ec SBbX (Ebi) Cost Eniv Enercy ost Crr $ 4 10 12
1 Trarsort $ bull Ccrstr_-ticy $
1 Ir -e2or tic - $0r
Ttal T4- $352 $300 0 $0 58 $2030 f223 2780) 3$227($1802) (S27803) ($37308)Ss s210 12570 0 so 348 S2424 12 10 10314 $7S3 ($(S2 ) (1342 o 59)
3$ 123 $3541 0 $0 348 $12672 2 11 105S2 022T) (103O023) ($103703 ($10179)4 2 $2 0 $3714 c SO 349 2 $2110 8 ($18 -1 7 ( 0 7 (0 410
S3783 0 to$2110 348 $13 184 $2110 111074 ($53044) (332477) ($34013 ($3-7443)E 10 1-110 S3364 0 $i 345 S3448 $2s SI335 $73716 (1847z (8900)T $21 $342 0 $0 348 $13717 1I10 11607 (571 553) _77447 C$S04-2 ($-3 123)
0 -1( 241 ( 77 ($74 ($77155)so 348 4 $s $7 s$o2110 348 11427$311I0~Snl $8 C $0 $2110 Ll 1Z3) 12944) 1S5 372844)
1 82 20 $L (SIL0 348 S14556 t2 $1244 ($43394) ($57718 (5S33731 ( 1 211r 5428-4 0 $0 343 $4847 S21110 $1277 2 s($7 3) 364254) S $0o 348 1511413 1 $4439 $S I o 13031 - ($ 2 ) ($46228) ( 853834)($0 507)110 f- $0 348 1 447 12 110 $13337 ($18432) ($4C32) ($43644) ($57084)14 $0 $2110 $4528 0 50 348 $E75E t 112 S4 (S102 (394) (4582 (2 9S75 1$10 W4 S 343 16 07 $2110 $139s] ($2234) ($31IG) ($4201f5 ($L I100
16 211SC $24 $4711 0 S 348 $18322 $211 1 14_ 15 7 (S2S 531 ($38-96] ($A 4917 S $2110 $4805 0 $0 348 5721 12 I10 14611 $13437 (22394) (35416) 34S107)18 $C $2110 $4301 0 $0 243 $1-5 $2110 $i345 $21170 (18354) ($32460) ($930)19 $ $20 $4993 $0 343 $17336 52110 $15286 $28715 ($14 529) ($209710) ($4943)20 $0 $2110 $5099 0 $0 348 T17744 $2110 $15634 $36136 ($10 207) ($27 154 ($40 127)21I($5438) $2110 $5201 0 $0 348 $18099 ($3328) $1427 $45915 ($30) ($23969) ($3790)
$124048 $4255 0 $0 7018 303891 $166 amp0 137291
A-45
TABLE A-23 (Contd) PSELTIONS TWPLE H-77-C3T-3 TA-2L Eated)
Econooi and Firnani aIvs4s fe- Ener y Ivestcents - Eypt EE 03i32
Capital Csts Berefit Paraeter- Itera Rate c RetLr- 739
Aqisiti-503S S4ES Pice c ii bb (yr 1)TrasScrtation $0 01 ESalat W0year DiEc PV of P of BC
Corstructior $0 Rate Beneits Costs WPV Ratio rterconrection $0 Enray Savwgs 343 bblyear -
Fuel Use 0 blyear 02E1 S 600 II7721 82TOTAL Cap) $1Z48C Z $1683 $54 350 53
4 $20194S I5E3 $45715 i2CcrstrUct Time 10 mrths E1 716 $152344 $16372 11
8 $143078 $14337 ($S309) 096Operatirpound and Norma Ma~ntenarce Costs 10 $123024 $14E933 (23969) 084
11 $114628 $145956 ($31 33 079Oerating Cost $2 110 year 2 $107128 $145034 ($37906) 074Operating Lifetime 2 years 13 $101408 $144182 (343780) 070
14 $34I26 $143417 (U9050) 066Major Ecuipment RecairReplacemernt $S30 $142_713 ($53793) 062
1S 0584 ($53074) 059$1420O8Salvage Value ($5438)period 18 $75465 $14C 33 ($55468) 054Replace Period 20 years 20 $68375 $139571 ($715) 049
A-46
Ecor-r~c a Fi-ra- aivss VeSt=rts EE2fC- -ErV - E --t
TAFLE A-24
Case cf77-Lf TES 4 - HEWA XTILE1P (M CT P $2zS - PRE-F OIL 640EBLh ssuming Oil Escalation Rate f 20
saved VaiLe Ofonita Doeratir Lcst of Oil Fue Used Fuel Erery -d pYert Ca_ 10 Discourtd Cash Flow (PI 0- i =Cost $1Ebl (2l) Cost Eerv Ztt Crrert 1 4 6L 10 12
I Transmrt onstrLZt ior 4
tr-cnnEc icn $ Tcta f2945 132 $4000j 0 $0$40 SO 58 2 S 33z Is1 5 ) 327515$0=8 34S7 $15 $2- 2 (12728
31 $4060 1 r 0 342 $2C 3 8 1034)IS ($152V (1528) f(E72)14 0 348 49 S20 S-372 SI04-1 (5) 517 (110303) (-058514$ 2 I W A S t o4 3 4 8 $ 4 7 shy 3 12 2 ( S 9 ( SH G ES ) ($7 9 0) ( UT 7 8 4 5 3 $ 2 1432bull 34a S 057 $241 C3 (
$0 ($36142) (M6742) (3614)$0 $2 110 $446 0 $0 348 $159 $22 $17m ($7122) ($77119) 372707) U82191)7$ 4 $0 348 S5751_5 21101if) E5 5)503) $55569) ($72049) ($75218)0$ 4c5sg5 $0 348 $5930 510 $13 0 496) ($E 470) ($54327) ($62033)S so 12 4687 $0 348 $309 21Sc 14 92 (139580) 5079 (15833) 563204)10 $C Uio $4760 0
$0 348 $Ipoundpound36 5 240 -25- (129375) (4E53) (- 42 (37966)$0 12112 1487pound 0 $0 348 $11953 $20
2 S12353 SI9337 (533650) 34S414) ( 5318)0 $2110 $4373 0 s0 348 $1730L 2 1c3 5 Q 15 ($9465) (1 2132) ($41027) (34313)S0 12110 $ 0 $0 348 V14i
$21 $244 3-5905) (35134 344823)$0 $2110 $574 0 $0 34E $112007 $Z19 $5597 $3791 (1114) ($-530 ($41180)o $2110 $275 1 $0 342 $18357 $21 $-257 S19 7916 3$14579) 32724T) ($3754)$2110 $$5393 0 c$0 349 $12734 17
$2110 $Ic24 $28410 MKS) (Q-3269 (34816)$ $2110 $s191 0 6
s0 348 1$3 0o $2110 S162 $37486 (4376) (195E) ($32043)$S 5210 $sa01 0 s0 348 $19431 1211 17331 $43409 $321 ($161301 (12951)11 $0 $-I0 $5713 0 $0 348 1181 $2i10 S7771 SES182 $4768 ($2934) (327 M0I20 $0 $2110 $5827 0 t0 348 $20279 $2110 $16169 $E3805 8378 ($9963) ($25031)21 ($5438) $2110 $5944 0 $0 348 $20 684 ($3328) $24012 $74764 $14 30 (36394) ($n-60L
$124048 $4252 0 $0 7018 $347304 $166600 $180704
A-47
g3EL-iD~- ASSIUPTIDXF LETABSE TABLE A-24 (Contd) - ---C-NCE TFamp mC utCalculated)
zczi a- Farcial alvs- for Erergy IwEstments - Egypt EEA 1 8
CaPital r~csts Perofit Para Eter- Irntr-na Rate of Peturr 932
Acouisition $ E4 Price of Cil TransroortaEtio $G 0i Escalat Construct $
rterrertior $0 Erry Savrs Fuel Use
TOTA Cao) $1_h486
Construct Time 10 eorxths
eratir_ and Norzal Ma-rtenance Costs
Oceratim Cost $2110 year Operati_ LifEtime 21 years
Major Ecaiment RevarReolacert
Replace Cost (5543e)period Replace Period 20 years
$4000 bb (r 1) 20year
348 bbyear 0 bblyear
DisC PV of Rate Perefits
- = 0 $347 304 2 $22720
4 t23C 73 E $19288
$13517 10 4C 9 -- - - $31004
12 12243-2 13 $114751
14 $107847 15 $101622
16 $KS993 18 S84 246 20 $78143
V of Costs
$16 6O $162560
5 63 $1E2344
$43337 $1429c3 $14 9-5
$14E034
$144188
$14347 $142713
$142068 1140933 113971
N71)
$180704 $120040
$74764 $407
$14 13 ($r334)
($14 952)
($22602) ($29437)
(S35570) ($410V30)
(45075) ($54687)
($61828)
BC Ratio
208 175
48 27
109 096 090
084
080
075 071
368 061 056
A-48
Ecra acia a fc Ernerv ivEs=-t -- Eyt E~q IC36
TfPLE A-25
cr Case of-- 7ST 4 - HL4 7EX-vTDUq -T R E $ZvCF 7 P- U 1shygssu-in_ Oi Es~alatior Rate of 20
Saved Value ofDaitalfleratir Cost of Dil -Fel Used Fuel ESrry 5avf Annual as( Fic Discourted Cash Flow (MKV) 8 iYear Cost $IBb (E1 Cost Ecriv -Ercy Cot Currert S 4 8 10 12
I 712 I Trersp $0
ITotal 0712 $311 $1500 0 $0 58 $370 $111022 1t01E2 52) 1103) $ n3)(1h10153) $8 $5302C $0 348 $5324 $186G 458 CLa28 (S10SI) ($07003 (107O5)2 $15In $ 0 $0 348 $543 $18s2 S25s5 0522) ($ 40$ 2 $-7834) ($1040E3 ( 7 ($104 )4 $I62 $12$0 bullS266 $1524M$0 0 $0 34842 $5540
3 $550 S1866-C81C $2674 ($1 ($0 ($37031) 3 $10 $3784 ($32 197)78) ($10$D(3S718) Is0 603(M32204)
6 CS56 0 $0 348 S762 $862 $3857 ($c3828) ($5544) ($22223) ($39992)$052 $I82 c $0 43 $872 $186E $4013 $33 67) ($3301) ($94033 $94353)S$0 $C866 1723 C $0 348 15922 $866 $4130 (U8751d) (390605) ($1914) ($3091)2 $3 $s $1757 so e 33
s 0 343 Stamp 1866 $4256 ($4413) ($82310) ($23921) (131374)$0 $17 22 51732 00 $ 3 2- 1$5 2 522 11866 $4372 3 1 S C 1 ($311 ($82122) ($737C7 ($83738)1 223E$ $ 22 so 348 $82 $866 $4407 ($78702) ($40391 ($25 3431 ($83 3n0)12 $0 $1826 13Ef 0 $0 348 $S490 S1866 $4624 ($7E 29) ($80-5) ($ 4722) ($87020)s0 $1 8 $11302 0 $0 348 $2620 $BE $4754 ($714 $0
323 ($80168) ($33207) ($85800)$1866 $1940 0 so 348 $s753 $182 $4837 ($23334) ($72371) $2722 ($84630)15 s0 $1852 $7 ) $0 348 $8B3 $BE6 $5022 ($22494) ($7L662) ($8146M] ($33653)16 $0 $166 $2019 C $0 348 $702 $1862 (152 ($75035)s $E30) ($73234) ($2 710)17 $1 pound186 $203 $0 348 $7126 $1826 $523y ($50O330) ($73488) ($73081) ($S8845)12 i$ $626 $2100 0 348 $7309 $1866 1544 ($58005) ($72017) (77 0041 ($81053)$0 S866 21421 0 $0 348 f7 455 $186620
$5589 ($ 246) ($70618) ($759M) ($30326)$0 $1866 $2185 u $0 348 $7605 $1866 $5733 (152523) ($63288) ($75060) ($73660)21 ($4650) $1856 $2229 0 $0 348 $7757 ($2784) $10541 ($47712) ($67027) ($73494) ($78567)
$106062 $37631 0 $0 7 018 $130233 $143693 ($13454)
A-49
----
TABLE A-25 (Contd) rzzPTI2CNS 7PBLE EE ~~~TnD Calculated)
-cocc and Fir4anci= Araisis fc ErErgy InvestEerts - Ecypt EEA raI
capital CStE Perefit Parayeters terna Rate of Return -108
czuisiion ie o 0 $I2X yr 1I Tra-spcrtatior $0 2 Zs~t 2 lyear Dis WVof PV of BCConstructior tate
Benefits Costs NIV Ratiointercorrectior $0 Enry Savrgs 343 bblyear =
Fuel Use 0 bblyear C $130239 $143E03 ($13454) 091trp) CTP $10Z S 270 $138405 ($3375 076 4 S 548 $134260 ($47712) 064ConAstruct Time 1S CnTh5 5 $72307 130 76 ($55669) C55 8 s6319 $122 34G ($67027) 048CoeratrE and -crma Maintenarce Costs 0 ($73494) 042
OperatingCost $18- year 1 $49126 $125306 ($761711 03912 $45912 124479 3735-7 037Operatirg Lifetime 21 years 13 $43032 $123728 $8169L) 035 14 $40443 $12 043 $82601) 033Major Equipment RepairReplacemert I$IIE $38108 4419 ($84310) 031$3810
16 $35997 $121847 ($58M) 030Replace Cost ($4650)period 18 $323A2 $120841 ($88499) 027Relace Period 20 years 20 $Q9303 $119988 ($90685) 024
A-50
and Finaie rr_ fir Energ- ivestrents -- Eyt E2 1IMV5
TAPLE P-26
For Case cfFlD TEST 14 - HELWAANXT1LEIP (PRECTO p ZE$221SFT - P UZCF GIL $2VBE Assuraing Gii Escalation Rate of 20
Saved Val e of oita eraplusmn ir Ccst of Cil uee Lsed Fuel Energy 5ave Irr ca Zas F1ow Disconted Cash Flc (NPIV)E iYear- Cos C-st Bo (E 1) Cost Ecuiv En=Ergy Cost ZLrrert $ 4 8 0 12n
ura-z t 7 bull~r ti- $
rterco-retIcr $ITcta $20 0 $O 3 $1160 $111023 15S ) C$1C3853) (5103353) ($I0335 ($103 53)22 5 $2140 C $0 348 $703 $655 233 ($10Q8311 ($105017 (W05106) ($105Igl)S$ $EEG $2081 0 50 7 $537Z ($$33E41 24 1 183 (1040 (1 663 ($ 35)$EE863 $2-22 0 so 342
0 $733G 18E s527 (P9454) ($03 (56- ( 7)- $QLES( 033 so 343 $7S=34 S 2U- $G 568 ($3110) ()161) ($2645) ($93374)$S E 202C0 $0
7 348 $76E934 $1365 $5818 (S527) ($3730) ($83CK) ($90073V0 $1 s 5 f2252 0 0 343 5738 I6
- V5972 (80 377) (1413) ($5E ) ($37 047)_336 $2297 C $0 34S $75 s - shys- ~ (-1MO M r2~ ~ $ g0~ - J - 322$ ($84275)to S186b $2343 0 s0 343 $a10$ = (300 S186 5$233 (71 355 (7164) ($752 ($1735)to 34S 21313 t566 Z54582) (73 (17S846) 3$73409)r T-357)
0 415-3 $1$238 0 $0 343 $13484 $H6 18S (1 31) ($70 871) ($7424) ($77278)--ES $2437 C s0 348 $2654 S1855 $$73 (t 73$
41) ($70 1 (7) ($75 326)$1B3s $2536 0 s0 14
348 S227 $1865 $S761 ($53594) ($E519S) (5S367 (S73539) 5
t 61656 $2587 c s0 342 $004 Si856 $7133 1$4307) ($62571) i53201 (S1904)51 $125 $2539 0 $0 348 $ 184 M866 $7318 f45081) ($50080) (65703) (570406)i5 $ 861855 $232 0 $0 S13 $7 $5 $751 (34916) ($57715) (63S07) $559036)17 tO 51833 52746 tO 343 $55 51S66 $7539 ($5311 ($55471) ($32234) ($67732)is - s866 $2800 0 $0 34 5 74S S 865 $7880 ($-2766 f534I) ($50675) (3634)13 s0 $18665 $2856 0 $0 348 $S994 $1866 $8075 (28 73) ($513M) (M-3223 ($5 584)20 t0 $ass $n 14 0 so 348 $10 13 $1866 $5273 (424253) (342404) ($57870) ($6462A)21 ($465O $1865 52972 0 $0 348 $10342 (32784) 63126 (f18 863) ($46587) ($55919) (63263)
$10G062 $37631 0 s0 7018 S173 2 $143693 29959
A-51
gSv ONSTBLTABLE TALEASSUPTIOS A-26 (Contd) TT-r-TS TA-- alculated)
Econozc ar Firacia Araly-is for Energy Irvestrerts -- Egypt E_ I-
LaoitaI CoSts Benefit Parx-Eters Iterra Rate c-Return 216
Acquisition $110712 Price of 1 $2000 bb (yr 1)Trarspcrtatio $O Oil Escala 20year DiE Pcf PV of BIC
Corstrutior $0 Rate Benefits Costs NV Ratio iterconneztio $0 Enrgy Savrgs 348 bblyear _= -_--
Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 $173 G52 $143693 $2 M 121TOTAL Ca) $712 N $14c 360 $13405 $1955 101
4 $11Z338 $134260 ($18863) O8GConstruct Time 10 tronths 6 $96409 $130976 ($34567) 074
8 $81759 $12346 ($46587) 064Operatinz and Norrva Maintenance Costs 10 $70299 $126216 (S55919) 056 A-1 $6S502 125 30f Ui59 64) 05Operatin Cost $866 year
shy
2 $61216 $124479 ($63263) 049 Oerating Lifetime 21 years 13 $57376 $123723 ($65352) 046
14 $5-7924 $123043 ($9120) 044Major Equipment RepairReplacement 15 $50811 $12419 ($71608) 042
16 $47927 $121847 ($73 851) 039Replace Cost ($4G50)perioQ 18 $43123 $120841 ($77718) 036Replace Period 20 years 20 $39071 $119988 ($80 917) 033
A-52
conc34 an Firnancial Qralvss fcr Ener~y i-veEtvnts -- Eypt EE
TMtSLE 4-27
Fc0 2ase TfiEf - 1ZLN TEXTILEI (WZC PR P3rS22TEST 44 SETOR C7 a- $25IEDU Asi rLz Oil Escalation Rate of Z0
SavBr Vaue f1ta Ccost of Oi Fue Use Yuel[eraing Energy SZve- rnual Cas 71co ritv ed Cash Flow (NPV ) i = -- CostYear ost $1 (Bbl C-st L c r ny Cost C-rre~t 1 4 1r IN0
t1i3iticr tSU712
7rarns~ort $
Ccrtructcr It o $oerconnec
aS 71 S00 0 to 53 1450 1 023 (103 -73 5-3c$3573) ($109573) ($103-73)sgE t C 0 $0 348 S234 S7 CC7 3SZE 1C-084 (3103202) ($103316)$0 $as 2L0 $-r
0 s0 343 $ 51 $1ms5s n7515261) $9924) ($97264) (975M30 $0 348 Ic233 $786-H s364 (tc7E ($91723 (SW344)So286 027 $0 -48 $47 $I 17f51 5E so $ G s S27 EC 0
18 ($3552) ($37545)0 to 348 $q606 $1 86 $Z740 8257 t85 15 C 03 $76 -53 ($817E6) $83154)ss~ g $ 5 7 g2 ( 7 a $2215 $50 348 $9738 $6 $7 2 ($7058) 726 (377287) (79135)Sc S5 K6 372 0 $0 348 Sg934 S6 $2 $64322 ($70 1) 37311 3754599 $0 38 S A 52 s (923371 s1 S7237) ($72036)IC $r t85 12955 0 $0 343 $10377 865 $352 ($-22) (6751 (55615) ($59013)11 so 55 5 247 -0 s0 348 $C61 SlE6 $873S ($493) (t-7) ($-2246) ($55205$ $185 5$ $1510 SO 348 $087 $2811 (L4$54) ($53864) $53108) ($36321O 518) $317 0 $012 348 S1I034 $66 $9168 ($24858) (min22 3 56187) (S61279)14 s$ $S-76 52234 0 $0 348 $11254 $1866 $2382 1$2220) (34S771) (353468) ($59127)E $C $1685 $39 0 $0 -48 $114-9 $666 $3613 3U2668)($43498) ($50936) ($5-7160)so$ $866 $3365 0 so 348 S- 70 $86 13843 2$03)-($40395) ($48560) ($-m3S)
17 so 11862 $432 0 so 348 11-43 $1866 $10077 12 822) (37454 (34G387) (5 718)2 to T866 $350 0 $0 348 $12182 $866 $1016 ($7526) ($34666) ($44345) ($2216)V9$0 $1866 $257 0 $0 348 $12426 $156 $105EC ($2314) ($2023) ($42447) ($50842)2V $3 $1866 53642 0 s0 348 $12674 $1856 S0803 $2816 ($ 519) ($40673) ($49588)21 (54650) $1866 $3715 0 s0 346 $12926 ($2784) $15712 $9987 ($26148) ($33344) ($47M95)
$105062 $37631 0 s0 7018 $217065 S143693 $73372
A-53
PSSU Ns TABLE TABLE A-27 (Contd) FE-E=IT- 2ST3 TA2LE Cal d
Ecortomiz arnc a AIaEsis fc- Enery Irvestmerts - Egypt EE- iC1365
Capital Costs Perefit Parameters lnterral Rate c Return 491
Acquisitic $0712 Price of Oil Trarnsportat $C Oil Escalat Construction $0
Interconrectior $0 Enrny Savngs Fuel Use
TOTlL Cap $0 72
Construct Tiie 10 Moths
Operatinz and Norma Maintenance Cost5
Ooerating Cost $866 year Operating Lifetime 21years
Major Equipnent RepairReplacement
Replace Cost ($4650)period Replace Period 20 years
$2500 bbl ( r 20year
348 bblyear
0 bblyear
1)
A-54
Disc Rate -shy
0 -w
4 6
8 0
11 n
3
14 15
16 18 20
PV zPV EenefitS
$217CS5 $75450
$144247 $$0C $102193 $87374
$81877 $76E20
$71720
$S7405 $63514
19996 $53904 $4883
cf Costs
$143623 $132405
$134260 27
$128346 $2z218
$125306 $124472
$123728
$043 $122412
$121847 S120841 $119988
NPV
$733272 $37045
$2987 ($101465)
($26148) ($38344)
($43429)($47259)
($52008)
($55639) ($532905) ($61251) ($68938) ($71149)
BC Ratio
151 27
107 092
080 070
065 061
058
055 052
049 045 041
E ri- Fra Fa-s fc- Erergy -vetrerts - Egypt EA
TAKLE P-28
o- Case lfF- TEST 4 - HELWATEXTILEIPH (CELECTOR Assuming01l E-calatic Rate c 2C
PRCZ-22I _- 01vS
YeF-ita
Cost 0=erair
Cost st of 0j
IB Fuel Used
(bLI) Fuel Cost
Energy Eciv
Savee ErCr~y
rrua Lost
Eas FIcA Current $
Discountd Cash 4 8
Floh (NPV) 10
i 12
k cuisiicr r7-2 1 Transc-rt $ I Costrut or $3
cta $272 2 S COo
Se $ESE 120 so $ SSr
s3~ zs384cSO $0 $15 S47
6 $3 t135 $--- 2 7S882 53375 a $0 $258 $344E
5 S18 zI^ to $ -ES s3F
1$ ss sss~s S- $181H $3730 SO $1868 $3805
4 $ $35 E i V $8-8 $3258 E 50 $8EE $4038 17 $0 s B S4s SO $0 S8EE $4201
13 tS $18 $428 5 20 $0 $86 $4370 21 ($4650) $1868 $4458
$105 02 $37631
0
I
0
0
0
0 IC
0 0 0 o0 0 0
0 v
0
$0 Es $174
742 t-8c4c SO$0 343 $1
348 51107 $0 348 $11301 $0 348 $1527 SO 342 7m7 so 343 $13 $1 348 S2 32 $C 348 $12477
38V)2 $0 342 $ 345 t3240
$C 348 $ z -to 348 775 so 348 $1405 SO 348 $14 332 $0 343 $14CM $0 348 $14911
$0 348 $KS203 $0 348 $15513
$0 7018 $260478
A-55
III3-3C3
$E- Iass
$1866
$1856 S866 5 865 5185S $3s6
56 65
Sa36
518j$E $8 $866 $ 86 $155
$862 ($2784)
$143633
10I08 23
S7322 2 9
s $3435
$3661
$9S3 s u $03-
$511
$6 $11 $11374
187^ $ 3 $1822 $12 48
273 S13045
$13343 $18297
$118785
3
($1Th22-
(Pc8751
E3 -73
(ME223 (3) 5) ($
4 2231
337784
30447) ($23227) $V23)
3 1 (1 2M)
- IS6 $7t $24453
$30466 $L M3E
(1l123
cs 32443)$22
1
72 611
(SE8 322) () 4741 1154 372)
($4258)
3544E35) ($ 76 S (5325)
3071) ($28E3)
0751 (119 43s
E9 3 ($12725)
($3634) ($5708)
(s0--3) ($33864)5552 $83498
(745001 (S53917) ME-720)
($ES584
($54284)
(S530197) 3413 3542-S7h
(S30- ) (S3170) (332-) ($3 4 23M)
$25870)
($23433) ($20 705)
((e02203)
(S1014411 ($94270)
-855772 7S
(727v1 (37124) ($6S 64) (M62456)
(3E2301
($5133) (33 (02)
ME48-5 ($14314 S41688)
33854) (-7 ($101)
(345m21 (32655)
TABLE A-28 (Contd) S TpLE - Th-CCSTS TPAELE (Calclated)
Ezo ndard Firarla yss fzr Erergy Investrzents -- Egypt M 01I 185
Capita Ccsts BerEfit Paraeters lkterrz ate of Rturr 7351
A-uisit in Trarr~rtaticr Cortro
$117-12 t0
$0
P-ice o Cii Escala
$3000 Ibb (yr 20year
1) Disz ta
V of
Benefits PV of
Costs 1PV BC
Ratio -rnterconretion $( Errzy Savwes 348 bblyear -------
TCTAL (Cap $10 712 Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0
2 $26r-475 2l154C
$143623 $132405
euro16785 $72135
81 152
Corstruct Timne 10 msonth-4 6
173097 $144614
$24260 $131 976
$33836 $13633
12 110
Dperating an Normal Maintenarce Costs 8
0
$122633 $108449 $98253
$12346 $126218 $125 305
(35708) ($32769) ($27053)
096 084 078
Operating Cost
Operating Lifetime $865 year
21 years 1 13
$9824 $5064
$12479 $123728
332E5 ($37664)
074 070
Major Equipment RepaiReplacemeet 14 15
$80985 $7217
$123043 S122419
(42158) ($46202)
065 062
Replace Cost Replace Period
($4650)period
20 years
1 S 20
$719T $64655 $58607
$121847 $120841
$119988
($49852) (356157) (361381)
059 054
049
A-56
Taiaccno arc navsl- fCr erv InVES Et S_ 5E
TWILE A-29
For Case of --T TEST - uMwANTEXTIlEIPP 1Crv=TO PR2E -rR- a PAssuz 0 Escalation Rate of 20
Save Value f Ozeratir iliFuel Usedaoita Cost cf Fuel Energy Saej Annual ash 73w Dis-unted Cash Flow ( ) i = Cst st $1bl (btI) cost Ecuiv Enerzy zt --rrert 4
- Trarsoco-t SC)
I rsterucrneztion 50
I Tc- Z $3500 0 $203 (T01132 (50-932(9933-3) ($IC-9931(12S933S S46SE 170 0 $C 34 $2 424 s1856 $_ssS99217 ($32841) ( 39E (M567)5 52-25 $3541 0 $0 348 52572 $1855 1 bull 23 (58953 ($0457 ($g032)
5-5E0 53714 -7 0 So 10 731)0 g 48 174 ) $ 15 (S33 030)343 $12 S6G 4 7 O t1 Es SBs $3729 0 $1 348 $1284 $865 $318 363344) ($72254) (374425) (37637
S S1E $In3964 0 $0 7
348 $13448 1866 V1152 (IZ3825) M4972) ($67234) (315)53942 0 $V 348 $13717 $1866 (550459 ($54544)5Y1-1 (1-7504) ($6332)
$0 855 $$4020 0 t0 348 t13991 18665 shy12 - ($424V (s 422) ($54322 (tS72273 s aE- $41 0 $0 348 $14271 t856 $19405 S2J81 43728) ($4535) ($2817)10 $0 $1855 $4123 C s0
11 348 $14556 T556 $126 0 ($23265) ($37379 3$433 $4Z2 4
5 $425 $0 348l $0 S 1856 $4352 0 SO 348
0 s0 $14847 $1862 $31 (514495) ($313E5) ($32149) (5440511 $15144 $1866 12272 f(15870) (S25672) (1334 ) ( 244)13 855 $0 $54439 0 348 t5447 t855 $1253 $213 M278) ($2967) (33758)
14 $0 $SE5 $4S23 0 $0 34s 1135-0 955$1Z75C 518s $11C (t15171) ($255144) (533 -5)15 $0 $1855 $4513 0 $0 348 14 (110325)16 to f86 1471
$1071 S856 5131I8 353 (2434 (3066Z 0 $0 348 $1633 11365 S14527 $27224 (5575) ($1725) ($29014)7 $0 t1855 $4805 0 $0 348 $16721 351551865 $14855 (3419) (514693) ($25591)is $0 $1866 $4C1 0
9 $0 348 $17055 $ISG5 15 183 $42353 $2626 ($16 (122791
$0 1855 4999 0 so 348 S173 1B6 515530 550518 $6572 ($894) (521359)2 $0 $1866 1509 0 s0 348 $17744 $1866 t 5878 $58155 $102551 ($6298) ($19516)21 ($4550) $186 $5201 0 $0 348 $18099 (32784) $2883 $67686 $14732 ($3 194) ($17351)
$106052 $37531 0 $0 7018 $303831 $143693 $16018
A-57
TABLE A-29 (Contd) ate
Ecoci ar Pirarzia Evsi fcr ErEr t Eypt EA
3ta CGst= Denefit ParamLeters Interra ate cnf Returt 961
ccisition $I10712 Price of Cil S3502 1b (yr 1) SC
ats rttion $0 Oil Eszalat poundC)year rli P cf FV of Rate Saroaf s Coets N Ratio
Corstruct ion so irtErzonneticn $0 Errgy Savrgs 345 bblyear shy
0 $2^3 89 S143693 $16098 211uLai Use C ttVear 2 $24C30 t 145 507 -2-25 177
TDT CaP) $1SC712 4 $20945 $1342K0 $67686 150 S $-53716 $30975 37740 139
Construct Time 10 rorths 8 $143078 $128346 $14732 111
10 S12024 ($3124) 097 Doerating and Norma Mairtenane Costs 1 1468 $ 3C6 ($10678) 091
-- - ----- 1 $114628 S 3CS09
Operatir Cost $1856 year $1107128 $124479 (17351) 086
13 $13J408 $12723 ($230) 081 Operating Lifetime 21 years
14 $94366 $23043 ($28677) 077
5 $23920 $122419 ($33499) 073 Major Equipeent RepairRepla-ement
15 $23934 $121847 ($37853) 069 3 $75465 $120841 ($45376) 062
Replace Cost ($4650)period 20 $SE375 $112938 ($51614) 057
Replace Period 20 years A-58
Ec- ic and Frana Ara~y- f- Erry Irve=tert5 - Evpt -EEA
TAKE A-30
c Ca__ cf-l_ TrST 4 - HLW TEXTLEiP (Z2LETaP $2S FT shy E OF0i $40B) 9ssuMir Oil Escalation Rate f 20
save alue of-azita eratirg Cost c Oil Fu Ue Fuel Erry --ave Annual Cas DiscountedYEar 0 gas Flow (PV) i =st II) Cost Ezv Energy Cost Curre t $ 4 8 IC0
1 Pcq-isit - l1 02 Transzrt $0
$31 $4000 0 $C 52 0 S
21n232232 757-3) 07 3 f C 27 3 0703 f0373)sc sz-s $4080 a S4105 1 855 8 V7134 ($774532) M751Ss 542S I- 0 Sbullcss ~ S42-4f 0 345 4 82cs $14 7172 1-G1- 1SZ3 18$14772 9 7 W- 02)ssamp $12 7 M( 465) 27 ($87134-I (2377 ($762 577365 ($7344$73-2
32 0 $ $3 057
) fD 3$7-42)
$4_ $BSE 12i Z (57-253 1 SSS325--)(570 O0E) ($791C SSS6 $4505 E 33 S)0 V 345 $15676 $1566 $13Bic1556 6261$0 $5 25S 4 47 (2172) M35400)345 $sfsC $8s6 $4687 0 348
8 2 $27-T 42 (449241 ( 33511)T1309 $866 S 14443$2 2- 522) ( 186) ($43 1771 $0 8SG S4780 0 374S S2636V BEE866 $4876 S0
smsG V14770 ($374E 12EM)3 f$3 293 ($37K 50 3452 f3s8 $1266 13--ZC Il- S5$7 05 $$0S 32 4 7 2193) ($3850)$0 $1566 $4372 0 $-
S 07 -- (2 5B2 273)SC 343 $7302 T1866S0 $1866 $156$3073 $0 $1442 42427 SI (1-2ESP n$2533)0 $0 348 S17954 V866 - $7 4
117amp2 1248 ($S305) (51S-7 ($24497)t $58s6 $2173 0 SO 349 $293G7 $8S6 $121 $34 S229 ($53 ($2072
$0 sB- $233716 0 so 348 18734 $ 56 $SHS28 $ 93 $11 17 51 (t235 (13434 )$02 $556 $G349 0 50s 348 $1910 ISsG $17243 152 144 $16523 S1154 (M527)$0 s856 $56011E 0 $0 348 $9491 $862 $17E23 $6312 213529SID $18E6 $5713 $464 (S8950)0 so 345 $9881 S1 $18015 $77035 $2570 $578W- ($5617)s0 VO15865 $5827 0 $0 348 520279 $1866 $1541321 ($4650) $1866
$53852 $30136 $10892 ($4460)$5944 0 $0 348 $20684 ($2784) $23468 $9235 $3171 $14381 ($2047)
S10606 $37631 0 $0 7018 $347304 $143693 $203611
A-59
TABLE A-30 (Contd)
7Ec-acy ar ka lysis fc7nergy Irvestre-ts - Egypt M I
caita Costs EerEf araetErs RatetEtrr tr 72
PAcuisit ioon $ Price cf Di1 Transortaior SOi1 Es-aat
ortrzt io $0
irteronnectior U0 Enrgy Savs - Fuel Use TDTPL (Ca 51
Construct Time 0 -onths
Ozeating and Norral ainterance Costs
- ----Operating Cost $C66 year
Coerating Lifetime 2 year_
ma=jor Equipmet RepairPElacement
Replace Cost $4650)period Replace Period 20 years
$400k bl (yr -shy year
348 bblyear r bblyear
I)
DIK Rate
0 2
4 4
Epound 10
11 2 12
14 Cal
e s 13 MA
PV of Perfits
$347204 28eC 72f)
2307 c2-817
$153=17 $140 522
$131004 122432 $114751
$07847$101622
$3-993 58646 $78143
1W of Costs
143653 $2C-21 a 40 $4235
$134 260 $ 35 $30276 $E842
$229345 35171 $25218 $143912I1
$125306 $5692 $12473 $123728 $3976)
$1234 $51T6)3088 $122419 (20 796)
$121847 ($25 854 5120 841 (334S5) $119988 ($41846)
PC Ratio
242 2003
172 -47
127
105
323
83
C7 071 065
A-60
orc-ic nFiarcial Aav=s shyr rerr Investrents -- ypt EE
----------
Por Case ofFIE MS 14 - HFLu r Ss~zlnz C Fszalatior Rate cf 20
pRZ3 $2I T iE
Zzplta 2eratir Ccst of 11 FLel Used Yea ccist cst $B (kt
Pcu isit icn107335 Tra-ort $0
Ccstr-t icr I irternect io $0 1 ftctal f 099Z $2K IS C$10 0
$ 6z I$-z 3 $50 5162=0 $56 0
4 S s T5 05 So S= $6L-24 0 E SO S $155E 0 7 $0 $112CI U689 0 C to S680 $1723 0
SO cEo $17 0 S $1793 oIi $ t S1568c28 0
$0 C6S0 $1865 013 $0 $1E8 $1902 0 14 $0 t6Vo $940 015 t0 680 $1979 0 16 $0 1680 $20-19 0 17 $0 iamp80 $2059 0 18 $0 C1680 $2100 0 19 $0 $16580 $2142 0 20 $0 $1680 $2185 0 a1 ($453) $1680 $2229 0
Fue C-5l
S5 ts 23
so $0 $0 $0
so
St)$0 $0 $0
to $0 $0 $c to $0
$0 so
Saved nre-y
E-uii
348 348
348 348 345 343
348 341
-7n
342 348
342 348 348 348 348 248 34C 348
Vaue c Saved
Enerry
t-371 s4
$5421
S- 540 $5 50 $5763 $5279 Sf I9 S
t$- Z5$5353
$5450 $E620
S753 -888
$7025 $7 165 $730 $7455
$7605 $7757
rnnual Zash Flcw Cost Crrert $
1o2 275 1-o07405 $168^ $3E44 $6) 275
t1650 m1 i680 $2970 680 $403
$I680 $ 23 680 S4 31F
680 $4436
amp2553680 $4E33
(1850 $421C f1 680 t 0
$16s0 73 $1680 55202-s1680 $5345 $6 s5456 $16 u $5623
S680$5775 $1680 $5325
$2856) S10612
Diccirted Cas 4 8
5)$C~ S17 4^5) ) 3
152=r
f537 002) W17 751 5332) (9S4633)
($30 V-($ r7) C2SS934) ($83403) ($3 54) 1$5
0412) ($84493)
3 $ o(S74 04N) ($30043) (S7 92 1 (ST79a3)
-$72_) ($75018)
(V783) (374153) 17 K ) (72 (52 814) (37065) 3$55885 ($69094] 55995 (567572) (55144) ($68 127) ($47332) ($I4754) ($424A8) (362477)
io (n 2 i = 10 12
(s-7405 (S27405 104 0435051
(s($10 z 1 M-33~09 m) (VI3 414)
33513 3 M 891 (M28451 (15574) $90475 ( 446
3)520 ($9494) (585 1911 t$377 ^2T
(4(22 452) ($8415 ) C3 766) (22ES)($79192) ($aO0 S 723) ($80737) ($76351 37972) ($ 072) (373 1) ($73872) 1177M00) 372764) ($76930) (371 725) (76T2209 ($70 756) ($7541) ($69179) ($74441)
$103459 $33880 0 s0 7018 $130239 S137 339 ($7100)
A-61
TABLE A-31 (Contd)
Econozic and Financia ay for Energy Investmets -- Egypt E
Capi costs BerefIt Pararsters Internal Rate of Return -057
Acquisition $17735 Price 2i Transortatior $0 0Ci sa-t
Corstruction $0 Interconnection Er y Savrs
- ---- Fuel UsE
TOTk (Cap) $I07 Q
Construct TivE 10 months
Operating and Normal Maintenarce Costs
Operatir Cost $1680 year Operating Lifetime 2 years
Major Euipment Repaireplacement
Replace Cost ($4536)period Replace Period 20 years
i bb (yr 2year
348 lyear
0 bblyea
1) risc P Cf Rats BenEfits
0 $ 032
$105270 4 $BW548 6 $72307 9 $51 3
0 $52725 1 $49 126
SE$4512 13 $43032
14 $40443 1 $3108 16 $3997 18 $342 2C0 $23303
PV of Costs
137339
$132 Ek3 2037
$126130 $1373
$121904 $121 $120353 $113633
$113 072 $118514
$117102 $116338
NPV
($7100)
($27423) ($42483) ($5 823) (524T7)
($63179) ($71964) ($74441) ($76651)
($78629) ($80405) 388-0($22005) ($84760) ($87034)
BC Ratio =z=
5
073 067 C57 050
043 041 038 036
034 032 031 028 025
A-62
Econo ard r-ia nalysis fc- Enery rvastmerts -- Et EEA IO
TPPLE A-32
For Case cfF_E TET 4 - HaJ-W TEXTIEIPP ( _=EOCC70R pCE -C PRICz OF QUM Pssumir 3il Escalation Rate of 20
Cata DOerati Cost of Cil Fuel UsEd Fuel SavE Errgy
Value Cf Save- Anrual Cash -Ic Dir-counted Cash 1ow (kV) B i
Year Czet (E) Cc-t Eciv Energy Cost Lrrert 8 10
1 -cusjtic-$107 1 TransDcrt t3 SCorstrLtO $0 I rerccrrect o 0
2 3 4
5s 6 7
9
10
12 13 14 15 1-
17
19
20 21
Tota $97 5 2
$630 S0 $1680
$0 $ $0 $680 $0 $6S0
0to SEscl $0 $ SK $ 168C
168 V71650
S0 S1630 $0 S 680 $0 1180 0 $1680
$10 1$1 S0 so10 11680 0 $650
$0 t680 (14536) $1680
$20
$2040 $2s3o
$21 22 $I55 $20a $SL V12 $2 97 52 43 S220 V1-42
$2487 $2536 $2587 V6 30 V2692 $274 $20 12 56 $2 14
12972
0
0 C 0 0
C 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0
0
$0
$0 10
s0 $0 s0 s0 $0 s0 s0
S0 $0 s0
s0 $0 t0
3 t0
s0
s0
$0
5N
348 342
343 34
342 348
348 345
348 348 348 348 348 348 348 34 348 348 348
348
S160
S7 033 S7241
t7386 $7534 t7684 $7238 $7225 $85 1$318
13484
U8SE4 S3827
$9004 $3184 $3367 1955 19746 $9941
$10139
$10342
103275
11680 $680
$G60 $5150 1680 S1680
1$680 4$1680
$1680
S1680 $1680 $1680 $680 $1680 $180 $1680 $1168 S1680
($2856)
(-c ($10751s- C71)5
tE4 C 3o4 (102097) 6=SE3 ($3721)
5-7 15970) M$2800 5954 1$5poundpound5 $8497) $004 ($3721) ($8441) $ 158 (176H-4) ($3V530) t16 ($72C25) $7645 sz475 (157-254) 373347)
1r3 I E21) 27t=E(- ($70Q ) S1616804 ($Ez0941 (55875) $S974 2534) ($E3884) $7147 ($ oo)10 (5046) 17324 344702) 352353) $754 (S4C 3)9 ($55798) $7637 ($33100) (533755) S7 M (13189-) (151076) 1205 1127755) (48897 8261 (123 77 (46 29)
$2459 ($9662) ($44829)
$13193 ($1363 ($42038)
($107-5]
$0218a) (397592)
($8307)
(SK579) (322103)
($78S52) ( 7842) 373027) ($70403) (57952) (562) (16251) (115) (S59744) (Z803 (156 435) ($54943)
(353566)
($51604)
(101] $12276) 197843) M2305)(52372 ($00622
(SB654) SK 535) 3$80678) ($72 C3)
($7E 69 ($73473) (371474) (169253) (7961 (16642E) (165021) ($63737) ($625 2) ($61488) ($F0505)
($59137)
U-459 $33880 0 $0 7018 $173652 $137339 $36313
A-63
---------- -------
TABLE A-32 (Contd)TBLE (Calulated)
E-oroizic and Finania Anaaysis for Eergy investments -Egypt EA C
Cacital Costs Benefit Parameters Irterra Rate cREturn 26S
Pcouisitic $7993 Price cf Oi $2C (yr 1)Transortatio $0 Oil Esaa year li-c P of CConstruction $0 Rate BenfEtz Costs wV RatioIterconnection $0 Enry Savns 34E bbyear
UEl use C bblyear 0 73SS52 $137 3 $C313 126TDTAL Ca 7 $140320 $122593 $7657 106 4 IIZ398Constrct TicE I0 morths $122037 ($339) 089 5 $96409 $12- 130 ($23 721) 076 8 $3179 $12205 ($42038) 066Operatirc and Normal rairtenance Costs 10 $70293 $121904 ($5l 604) 58 1X $ampZ502 S12 M ($55 589) 054Operatirg Cost $1680 year 12 $61215 $12 0353 ($59 137) 051Operating Lifetime 21 years 13 $57376 $119633 ($52307) 043
14 $52924 $9072 (55148) 045Major Zqjioinert RepairReplacement 15 $50 1I1 $113514 ($67702) 043 16 A7-97 S1420002 ($70006) 041Replace Cost ($453S)period 18 $43123 $117102 ($73979) 037Replace Period 20 years 20 $39071 $116338 ($77266) 034
A-64
E~ocon2 -- rr Ar ys s fcr Ererzy Irvssttets -- 7rypt EE
TZE A-33
F Case TES 14 - W (0 ETD PE- $2T - PI-- O- DIS $25P)I Assuminz 0 Escalation Rate cf 20
azita Ceratir Ccst cf Oil Fuel Used Fuel SaveeErergy Value -f
save nual Cash Flow DEounted Casi Flow (NPV) 0 i = YS-ar st Cost $bbl (Bbi) Cost Ecuiv crerpy Cost Currert $ 4 8 011 2
rar-zor
Cnst~t I 2tsrzr-ezti- $1
E
12$
14 if
iG
17
18
19
20
21
a S230
s$1 S60
$$ $1169 o$0 $80
$3 S 90 i $i 6c 7 v68n
$0 t68c
so S680 S t 1680
$$ $Sao
$680 $0 $1680
$ $1680 $0 $I63
0 $1-680 $ $1620 $0 $1620 $ $680
$0 $1680 ($4536) $180
S25co
$2550 $ 2553
127 06 127V
a
V-1 72
$2323 t2962
$3047
$31C8 $3171
$3234 $3293
53365
$3432
$3501
$2571
$3842 $3715
0
o
c) 0
0 0
0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0
0 0
0
0 0
$0
$0 so so
t0
SO $0
$0
0 $0
$0
$0 $0
$0 so
$0
$0 $0
so $0 $0
348
347 345
348
342
342
348
34 348 343
348 348
348 343
348
348
348
348
348
348
S151450
$2874
323
$9417
$260E
t9735
53334
t 3 $13337
$1 605
$10817 $11034
$14 $47-
$11703
$ 43 $12122
$12426
$12674
$12328
S1032T
S0
6s0
$1680
$1680
t1680
t-1680
t16
$5
1680 S63 s1650 t1 580
$680
$w $60
$160
$1680 ($2856)
(t10E22f
$7134
$7553
$7737
$306
1218
12314
13 180$3717
$232
$3137 $ 3S4
$3-74 $373K
$10023
1510-22
$103503
$10746
$10-34 $1E784
(105z825) ($106225)
$3 T03154
($33032) ($93644 ($55375) ($W784) ($73764) ($22162)
($73250) ($73-76a
(56235) (71amp2) ($ 17) ($620)
($S4 29 J ($62 202 (43 7) ($5781)
($42 142) ($53737)
($3207) ($43 781 (3c354) ($4073)
($2464) $42 ($1255) 3332 1 ($3387) ($36055) ($7907) ($33 053) ($251 ($30221) $2723 $27532)
$8007 ($34984) $15211 ($21532)
310S225) (S106825) ($10028E I100 402) ($34133) $3425) ($25) ($83150) ($2 234) ($84232)
(37S313 $73725
($73731 ) ($3756231 ($53 45 (371852)
(5 431 ( ($E75 5 0)
($SEB5I) ($5406)
( (7578T 172 (157373)
(53($439 ($55185) ($41818) 379$5 ($44417) ISS347) ($421 84) ($49673) ($4010S) ($$143) $3-173) (-$746)
($36i 3M) ($45403) ($34023) ($43833)
$103453 $33880 0 $0 7018 $217065 $137333 $79726
A-65
TABLE A-33 (Contd)
Ec rC z ant Firn Anaiys- fc- Ererzy Investrerts - Egypt En MlIS
Czzota ss Benefit Parameters terra Rate cf eturn C40
flcquistici deg $17K= Transporatic $0
Sonstructior $0
Irterco rnectior $0
T3TAL Cap2 $107275
Lorstruzt Time 0th
Prce of 0i
C Escalat
rrgy Savngs
F-el Use
$2500 I (yr 20year
343 bbllvear
0 btlyear
11 -i- PV cf
Rat - enefits
0 $217
2 $17- 4-4 $144247
PV of
Costs
12339 $SOV-93 $129037 $2E30
11PV
$7726 $475-7 $15211(I5sES
BC
Ratio
158 132 112 096
Cperating and Nor a
Ocerating Cost
Operating Lifetime
Maintenace Costs
SEC year
21 years
L2r f 0 3
OX $37874
11 $81877 12 76520
I3 $7172014 $67405
$92273
$121904
$121 091 1353
$119632$119072
($21 53)
($34029
($23214)
($432833) ($47953)($516S7)
083
072 068 064 060 057
10ajcr Ecuipment Re~a rlRepaeet
Replace Cost ($4535)Ipericd
Replace Period 20 years
IS
18
20
$614
$53936
$53904
$48839
$11 514
$113002
$117102
$116338
($5000)
($52007)
($63198)
($67498)
054
051
046
042
A-66
Ecorcmic an Fnanria AralvsiE r Eer-y rveStMe-ts -- EZy EE C1I
TABLP-34
-r Case -fL TEST 4 - LEW TEX7Lfl LE $202-T - PR D-L $30BBL) Assir Oi Escalatior Rate of 20
Yea a-ta
Cost eratrCEt of Oi cost $pbl
el Used
(MI Fel
ost
zave Erergy
Ecuzv
VaLe cf s-ve
Energy P -a
Cest
Cash
Currert euro Dscounted Cash 4 8
1ow UNV)
10
9 i
12
1 ccuisCiticr 7 T7rarsort bull Co-tr t~ $
2
4
5
7 8
10
2
13
14
15
16
17 18 19
21
ITz~ta $C73 $22 ES
so 10 o sSo o $iE80 n $ 680 $0 U680
$0 $160 5 s62-
$0 680 f l
50 $Ss so $ss
$0 $6Ev
s $68 so $180
S0 siW8 to $1680 V) $65
$0 $1680 ($4536) $1680
$--D00
S32 $334
$32 7 C312
$3378
$2446 $5
3s85 357
$2730 $3355
$388
$353
$423
s412 $42CI
$42895
$417C
$4458
l c
0 0 0 0 0
0 0
0
0
0
0
0
0 0
0
0
0
so so o$0
so so $0
$0 so so
to $0
$0
$0
$0
so so
so s0
$0
$0
$0
53 348 246 348
343 343
348
348 348
348 348
348
348
348
348
348
348 348
348
348
348
S1 70 s I 49 $1 3F2 072
$11301 $527
$1177
$11992 $122532
S2477 $2$2726
$12231
Z2240 $2505
$12775
$14051
$4 322 $1463
$14911
$15203
$15513
S10227S 15 Si680 $29E
$1580 $312 $amp80 ] $630 $S2 $1680 $36 7 $168) $C077 $680 $C312 $68 $05
E0 S07377 680 $11046
$680 $1130 $680 11 5w S680
t 630 $12035 S60 o S1237-
S11530 s1T652 $660 $12 923 $ i0 $13231
$68 $13523
82856)$18259
310S 525) ($37S5
(s8nL) 172843) ($64749)
3$5S785-
($42942) ($41233)
f$2-53) ($21O)
($18650)
($ 9)
32($4527)
$24S8
$327
$103 22724
$255
$35677
$44060
165f25)1 SZ
(0 -59) ($32837)
($7582)
1$9 -5) (S2774)
5S75f ($510)
3$45551 (340533)
($25692)
($3101)
($26753)
3-631
13725)
(K5M504Z) ($11545)
($2234)
($5093)
($1158)
(S10S 5 (356332)
($3733 ($3732 ($7716)
($71047)
($U35 (0067) ($5M144)
(S55 (4S306)
($42345)
1538662)
($L237
(632C51)
($23020)
($2227) ($23777)
($2 337)
($13185)
(16454)
1 cc-T25) ($3327)
($91207) (184517)
(73403)
($72816)
($6771)
163046 ($53784)
(G54831) (35334) (08025
s$ 8
($42423
( 3
($37673)
($35J60) ($23725)
($32004)
($30433)
($28S19)
$103455 $33d8O 0 $0 7018 $60 478 $1373n $123135
A-67
TABLE A-34 (Contd) 2Lk T-CTETPL Calc~1ated)FL_TI0~PBL
o~ar Fariai naiysi- f-Erergy l=VEsrEtS - Ecyt EE i
trr Rat-- c REturn 787Benefit araetersazital S-sts
t -ri-e of CiD $3000 bbl (yr 1)$10995n PV of BIC
Trarspoto $0 Oil Eszaat 20Iear ri VV C Rate Eerefits Ccsts IPV Ratio
Corstruct ior $r == shyErray Savr s 348 bblyear
intetor rztior $0 Fue -e 0 bblyear 0 $26C478 $137339 1123133 190
2 105 40 S-32693 $77847 1 9 TOTPL (Cap S10799n
4 $173037 $1903-7 $44060 134
6 $144614 $126130 $183483 115 Construct TiME mcTth-s
$1228 $12379E W158 09
t 129N 087tI0O449 ($16454)woerating and Norma Mainterarce C0ts
11 $98253 $121031 ($r233) 081
2 $91824 $120353 ($22 Z29) 076 Operatirc Cost $1680 year
13 $8K064 $19683 ($33619) 072 O eratir 21 yearsLifetie_
14 $80885 $119072 ($33186) 068
5 $7E217 $18514 ($42237) 064 Major Equipment RerairReplacement
$71995 $11802 ($4007) 061
18 $64685 $117102 ($52417) C5shy_16
Replace Cost ($4536)period 2N $58607 $11S338 ($57731) 050
Replace Period 20 years
A-68
Eccnoc and inarzia ryss fc- -re-y rvEstre-ts - E yot EE
TAEE F-35
Fcr Case ofrZ- 5TEST 4 - HELAN TEXT-IPX Mu Assuin_-0 Escalation Rate cf 20
CTOR PRICE $20SQc- -Cc GI j3mBu
Yea
r
s s-t
--t
aoita ost
7
t
eratirn Lst
Cost of IE
Oi1
Feel Used
(Ebl) Fue
Cost
zavEd Erery EcLIv
Value of SEvE
Ern-rzy Annual
Cost Cash Flow Lrrert S
Liscourted 4
Cash F~A
8 (NM
IC i =
2
2
E
7
1$
--
00 21
t--0795
S $0 4
f2
SO 1$
$o SO f0 $ $ S
so$0
tTSO to
($4535)
$103459
2311
1s8c C)
S o 58
$680
SGzr-SsW ss $S80
$16s2 $X30
$630
$ 3 $ampV
$168 51680 $9
$1680 s680
$33880
$M570 $3
$3714 $373
$335
$3942
$4020 $401
$4 3 S42 ES
$4352 $4439
$4E28
545 is $47
$S422 $4301 $4j 9
15099 55201
0
0 0
0 C
C
0
C
a 0
0 0
C
0 0 0 0
0 0
0
Vi
s0 10
$0
SC
t0
to U$C
$V S
$0 $0
$1
oS^1 s0 SC so
s0 so
s0
s
348 342
248 343
343
342
342 343
-43 348
345 348
343
348 342
348 348 348
348 348
7 01
52 S2424 S 1672 t2926 $13 14
S 4-4
$13717
$1399 $14271
$14 ss S14347
t5144 t15447
$1r756 $16071$[ 3
$16721 $17055 17395
$17744 $180 3
$303891
A-69
245 1E8O $68
$66o $1S80
680
f1680
$us
s S680
s60 V-680
) 60
$11680 1G0
$-680 $680 $180
$1680 (2 5)
$137 3
$10744 $10992
24S Er
$1762
$12037
23 $1680$259 $1287S $13167
3464 $2757
$S076
$14391$114723
$15041 1575 $1576
$16064 120955
1165552
--915) M--72
(1h7) 5 211 Z229
($47334 7H)
(S3733-1 (23353 ($1q134 $02393
($1432) $7105
s5E
$23871S220n40
40 07 $4-964 55572 $Q346 $72910
0245 (S10524S ($105245) 1 237) $-3473) 39S53) 36S273) 387334) (373N 77S4 ($7-4)- (S792S)
(IC3S437037) 372374) ($40) (I781 ($597)
(-68 ) 15936) (M9 799 S473 (t4 7) (54230)
342I1 S$4795) ($43 4-) 34S9 $-9334 11445
(3273701 (S34 2353) (340262) (1253 1212n3s391 ($IE129 T251S) 12858) ($1076 ($2107D) (n632) ($3C53) (S-723-3)($26687)
3$4 (137631 ($23m9)
$2975 $1489) (2546) $7130 (37448) ($1230G)
$I063 (4521) ($172--3) $14786 (31994) (11 397) $19231 S120 (113 25)
TABLE A-35 (Contd)ASSPTIONS TAPBLE ME-F-COST TULE (CalcJaled)
E~ooi a Finacial Asi for Energy Investrents - Eypt EE
raitaSs Penefit raees Iter-E Rate of Returr 1014
Pcnuistio $SI7 Price of CiE h (yr 1)7-arrtatior $0 Oil Ezalat 2 year Dis PY cf V of FCrstrcticr $
Rate Enrefits Cc-zts NPDV Ratiotercnnecticr $0 Ergr~y Savrs 343 ttlyear - -ue Use 0 -bllyEar 0 $302231 $1373393 T2T
2 -(7925$2fZ $333 121 37 185 cnstrnxt Tiia 10 Lerths
46 2C34 $23C37 $72 10 57 6 $163716 $1L $4256 34 ee t1437S $372E $0281 116pe-atinz arsd NorLal nainternare Costs 0 $23022 $2504 S120 01
Operating Cost C680 year 10 $107129 $1E3 353 (S2 00 83 13 S100403 $29693 319275)
woeratino Lifetime 21 years 084
a- Ec RErairReplacemerit 4 $0426E $113072 ($24705)ipet 073883-) $514 $ 94)15 S - $-31 (2 07
-$---I16 eplace Cost (4536)Iperiof $3934 $18002 ($34008) 071 -e---
Repace Period 20 years 12 $75465 $117102 ($41637) 064 20 $66375 $116338 ($47963) 059
A-70
-Ecui adFin-ncla Aralys fcr re-rr-t - Ect Efl S
T-PLE -36
- Case cf-l 75- 14 - ZLWAN TxTLE11P (CLETOR F1 -e-1 - C_ OF L $40PL) Pfssu-ir 0i Ezsaatio- Rate cf 20
saves a cfaita _2erat Cost cz C Fue Used Ftel -rery Eaez ra1 ash oi DiEccurted Cash Fioi (PV) i =Yerpoundzsl (Bb1) Ccst Eciv E-er=- Cst poundjrrent 4 0 l
1 Trar-ort $L or Sc
ac-r r-
Thplusmnt$ $2 $4000 0 $0 53 32220 $ OZ 275 115V S ) $L) 5 $52$ $S $4080 0 $0 342 S4133 5160 bull ( s ($34 34 $4 5251eS oS ($845575 337$S $230 S4162 C $0 348 l144S2 $680 S222 tS2 08B21 (t 383) c(sa84) 354572)4 $ -- 45 0 $0 348 $14 72 80 $13-2 37)443) VT2F35) ($74 M)8 (37221- $ 6 54230 6
c SO 34 $ 07 $1650 513337 (52 333) 5 (s650141 ($56745)41 S6pound0 $4pound 0 $0 343 t5369 s0 $1268 ($47748) S2833) ME514) 3522 3787 S $45C I so 348 s Sw W=10131S13336 $67613SEBT($54614) ($587)scl S621 s~lsK 0o 348 sIz230 $680 $1IL3 I j 2 (-6631 (34171 5447 $ i620 $S437 0 so 348 C2 1 S 42 (f23 ($27 (4)ic $1 11 $4780 0 s0 343 $63 $1680 $1435 (54E 7) (S5284) (252 $3411 $0 960 $4276 0 $0 248 s-03 $1680 $Z222 571 ($1420) ($13 ( 0
1 $ $6al $4373 0 $0 348 $7305 T6O S15628 8(75W (S1S7M ($24 537)$O ^$ 73 0 SO 348 $17654 t1680 $1f3 5 25842 fss (S 641)- 2059714 C05630 IS174 0 $0 348 $12 007 t680 $l6327 53=-048 $4847 ($(S2 $16955)15 sso 15278 0 s0 348 $18367 ~ 6amp s-6637 S45 284 $10E54 (52518) ($3441)15 so Eao $2387 0 so 348 $18734 31680 $17054 $54754 $15$564 31032--17 160 $5497 0 so 348 s1100 T1680 t7423 $4053 $ 20921 15358 ($7482)18 $0 sso 567 0 so 348 $13431 t1680 $1781 5 73203 $2s5 5$8871 ($4888713 $0 $Sao $5773 0 $0 348 $13881 $1680 $18 201 $2188 2r313 S C2 252120 t0 680 $5227 0 $0 348 $20279 $1650 $I63 521016 $3467 $1$196 ($3361)21 $s $1680 $5944 0 $0 348 $20684 $2 856) $22540 $101753 $3 72115 185 $2079
$103458 $33680 0 $0 7018 $347304 S1370 $ 05965
A-71
TABLE A-36 (Contd) S TIO TfPBLE EEN-TT-CCSTS TP- -uatedCa1c
Eccncmic and Financial Pavsis fc- Energy irvestcents -- Eypt EEA 96
aita Costs -eefitParaeters nterna Rate of etur- 1229
fcouisition 0799 Price c Oil $40 bbl (yr 1)Transp rtatir $0 Oil Esalat 20year Disc PV of PV of BZCorst-utie $0 Rate Berfits Costs Ratio
irterconntior $0 Enry Savrs 348 bblyear Fue USE 0 bbllyear N $347304 $33 1 2TOTL -Cap -107 995 S22D720 $132 5S3 $148127 212
4 $2307S6 $2 037 $10 175 -79Construct Time 19 months 6 $92818 $126130 628 53 8 $1amp3517 $123796 3721 132Operating and Normal Mainterance Costs 10 $14C52 $1219(4 $1363 115
11 $3004 $121091 $9913Operating Cost $1650 year 108
12 $1 432 $12C353 $20 102Operating Lifetime 21 years 1 $114751 S83 ($4 31 09z $11
14- $107847 $119072 ($11225) 091Major Equipment RepairRelacemert 5 $1C1622 $110514 (c6291) 086 16 $95993 $118002 ($220C09) 081
Replace Cost ($4536)period 8 $8624E T17102 ($30 S56 074Replace Period 20 years 2 $78143 $115338 ($32195) 067
A-72
APPENDIX B
Preliminary Cost Estimates
Three (3) systems are considered appropriate for cost analysis Cost estimates are preliminary for use in the Application ReviewConceptual
Design portion of this project
A Waste Heat Recovery System
B Solar Thermal Collection System
Current $US (mid-1986) are applied then escalated to mid-1987 theexpected construction period at 10 percent
For cost assessment purposes all material and supervision will beconsidered imported Egyptto Labor costs will reflect some Egyptianrate influence although certain installation procedures will requireexperienced labor not currently available in Egypt
The average annual wage for the Egyptian construction industry in 1985Is 7800 LE or $5778 (US) ($135 LE per US $)
An average labor rate in the United States for construction servicesapplicable to this project is estimated by the R S Means Company to be$2177 per hour in 1985 (crew Q4) An estimated thirty percent imporledlabor with severity percent Egyptian labor can be used for establishing a mixed labor rate average of $936 per hour (US) A labor cost modifier for wages becomes $936$2177 or 0431
Equipment and system cost estimates and percentages are established byusing R S Means Company Cost Data and1985 equipment suppliersbudget pricing estimates
The solar cost data are determined in flxed-and variable-cost increments as required by the FCHART-4R program input format A solar collection array size of 4000 square feet ( 72 m2 ) is estimated for use in determining the variable cost factor
B-I
A WAS[E HEAT RECOVERY SYSTEM
DESC R I FT ION SIEI OTAI TOTAL
3 WAY WASTE WATER DIVERTING VALVES SUMP MATERIALS SUMF PUMP FILTER SCREEN SUMP PUMF LEVEL CONTROL AND VALVE WASTE HEAT STORAGE TANK WASTE HE(I S IORAGE TANK PUMP STORAGE TANK LEVEL CONTROL AND VALVE WASTE HEAT EXCHANGER $1200)1000 EITI SUB-TOTAL EQUIFMENT(MID-1986) $160900
ESCALATION FACTOR 11 TOTAL EQUIPMENT (MID-1987) $176990
FLOW ItDICATORS AND GLOBE VALVES 3 WAY PROCESS WATER BLENDING VALVES STEAM CONTROL VALVES PROCESS WATER TEMPERATURE CONTROLLERS SUB-TOTAL EQUIPMENT(MID-1986) $71400
ESCALATION FACTOR 11 TOTAL EQUIPMENT (MID-1987) $78540
PIPING COST (40 EQUIP COST) 040 $102212
INSULATION COST (75 PIPING COST) 075
SUB-TOTAL MATERIAL COST $434401
LABOR COST (715 MATERIAL COST) $310597 MODIFIERLABOR MIX 043 MODIFIED LABOR COST $133557
SUB-TOTAL MATERIAL + LABOR $567958
TOTAL WASTE HEAT RECOVERY SYSTEM CONSTRUCTION COST $567958
B-2
B SOLAR THERMAL COLLECTION SYSTEM VARIRIABLE COrST (HIID-19117)
DESCR I FIUIN SOLAR CULA-ECTORS $10 0uFT2 COLLECTOR AREA 4000 rF2 COLLECTOR COST SOLAR CIRCIJLAFIN(3 PUMPFS SULAR 1ISTRIBLTI 1 PIlIPS STRUCTURAL STEEl SOLAR CONTROLS INSVRUMELNV AIR SYSEIIFIPING LOW VOLTAGE CABLE EXCAVArION AND FOUNDAFIONS ELECTRICAL
TOTAL EQtJIPMENT(MI ID-1986) ESCALATION FACTOR TOTAL ELUI MENT (MID-1787) PIPING COST (40 COLLECTOR COST) INSULATION COST (75PIPING COST) TOTAL MATERIAL COST I$144050
$105500
I1
075
$116050 $16lt00 $12000
LABOR COST (715 MATERIAL COST) MOIFIERLABOR MIX MODIFIED LABOR COST
$102996 043
$44286
MATERIAL + LABOR $188338
FREIGHTDUTYTAXES TO EGYPT 10 $18834
SUBTOTAL $207172
SUBTOTAL CONTINGENCY 15
$207172 $31076
TOTAL VARIABLE COST COST PER FT2 $60
$238248
B-3
------------------------------------------------------------------------
--------------------------------------------------------------------
FIXED COST (MID 1987)
DESCRIPTION CONTRALCTOIR S RENTAL SUFPL IES CONIRACrORS FACILITIES CONTRACTORS UTILITIES CONTRACTORS MATERIAL HANDLING CONTRACTORS CLEAN-UP DISMANTLING AND MOVING BOXING AND CRATING U S IRANSPORTAT ION SUB-TOTAL $34000
SUB-TOTAL M34000 CONTINGENCY 15 $5100
TOTAL FIXED COST $39100
LGE COST BASED ON CURRENT FIELD TEST PROJECT
TOTAL VARIABLE COST $238248 TOTAL FIXED COST $39100
TOTAL SYSTEM CONSTRUCTION COST $277348
EEA COST DATA BASED ON CURRENT PROJECTS USING IN-COUNTRY CONTRACTOR AND EQUIPMENT
VARIABLE COST $2862FT2 $2862 COLLECTOR SIZE (FT2) 4000 TOTAL VARIABLE COST $114480
EEA FIXED COST $26757
TOTAL SYSTEM CONSTRUCTION COST $141237
CONSTRUCTION COST SUMMARY
A WASTE HEAT RECOVERY SYSTEM $567958
D SOLAR THERMAL COLLECTION SYSfEM $277348
1(lAL CUNSTRUCTION CU9 A amp B $845 05
B-4
APPENDIX C
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This report represents the first part the Pre-RFP Market
Economic analysis for a field test designed to test the technical
and economic viability of the use of solar industrial process
heat (IPH) and a waste heat recovery system for textile bleachshy
iig
- 4shy
3 BACKGROUND
The proposed site for Field Test 4 -Textile finishing at
the Helwan Spinning and Weaving Company at Helwan near Cairo
Helwan Spinning and Weaving Company is a large textile
plant finishing a variety of fabrics The finishing operation
consists of a series of chemical treatments involving hot and
cold washes by dyeing and bleaching processes The hotfollowed
wash dye and bleach washers are currently brought to and held
at the desired temperature range by direct sparging with steam
(hand-valve adjustments)
Objectives of Proposed Field Test Site for IPH System
The primary objectives of this field test are to provide
EEA with practical working experience using Solar Thermal
Industrial Process Heat and to provide system design and operashy
tional training for Egyptian engineers for the purpose of
assessing and implementing similar projects throughout Egypt
This field test will evaluate the viability of solar thermal
industrial process heat with waste heat recovery system for
textile finishing
The application of solar IPH and waste heat recovery
system for textile finishing at Helwan Textile will serve as a
demonstration of the capability of the combined technology of
- 5 shy
industrial process heat to reliably supply significant amounts
of energy at other textile finishing facilities It is important
that this field test be designed to distinguish between the
performance of the solar IPH and the performance of the waste
heat recovery systems so that each can be evaluated for other
applications
-6 shy
4 ECONOUilC ANALYSIS
Objective
The objective of this analysis is to evaluate the economic
viability of a solar thermal system for providing industrial
process heat for textile finishing at the Helwan Spinning and
Weaving Company at Helwan and to determine whether or not an
investment in this field test would result in the acquisition of
useful information and know-how not only technical but also
managerial and institutional so that such experiences could be
duplicated throughout the economy of Egypt
Research Methodology
The method of analysis selected for accomplishing the above
objective is the standard benefit cost analysis used in project
evaluation A benefit cost analysis involves first the pooling
of anticipated benefits and costs (direct and indirect) resulting
from the project throughout its economic life The streams of
benefits and costs are then expressed in present value terms
using a common numeraire (a discount rate)
From this the following evaluation characteristics can be
calculated
The Net Present Value (NPV) is the difference between the sum of
the discounted stream of benefits and the sum of the discounted
stream of costs discounted by a given discount rate
- 7 shy
The Payback Period is the number of years it takes a project to
generate sufficient benefits to cover its cost or the number of
years it takes the net present value to change from a negative
to a positive value
The Internal Rate of Return (IRR) sometimes called the economic
rte of return is that discount rate that would equate
discounted benefits to discounted cost or reduce the net present
value to zero
Benefit-Cost Ratio (BC) This is the ratio obtained by dividing
the discounted value of all project benefits by the discounted
value of project costs
Simple Payback This is a rule of thumb method used by investors
to see if a particular financial venture is worth investing in
or not The simple payback is calculated by summing up all
capital and operating costs and dividing that sum by the value of
the first full years benefit In the private sector in most
industrialized countries a simple payback of 3 to 5 years is
expected With renewable energy technology a simple payback of
7-9 years is usually admissible
- 8shy
Assumptions
The economic analysis of the IPH system is based on the
following assumptions
0 All energy conversions are made into barrels of oil
equivalent where one metric ton is equivalent to
US 733 barrels
0 Price of oil is valued at US$20barrel of No 6 light
heating oil escalated at 2 per year This price
level may not be indicative of the price of oil that is
rapidly changing at present It should be noted that
the analysis in this study is to look at what may
happen in the long-rt-n during the 1980s and 1990s As
such the analysis should not be affected by what
happens to commodity prices in the spot market in the
very short-run A revision of the price of oil in the
analysis may be appropriate when the price level
stabilizes
A discount rate of 1O is sed This is the
opportunity cost of money used in international
lending agencies such as the World Bank
Hardware is assumed to have a salvage value of 10 at
the end of the life of the system
-9shy
The system is expected to have a life of 20 years
0 Some hardware items are purchased in Egypt An
exchange rate of LE 135 = US$ 100 is used All
prices are in constant US$ 1985
Data Base
Two sets of cost estimates were used in this analysis The
fWrFt set of data was provided by Lockwood Greene Engineers for
a 4000 sqft collector area (see Appendix B)
On the basis of the best available information Lockwood
Greene Engineers have provided the following cost estimates
Collector Size 4000
Prices Variable cost $60O0sqft Fixed cost $39180
0 + M cost 2 of total cost
Salvage value 42 of total cost
Energy savings 325 barrels of oil
Construction period 10 months
System life 20 years
The second set of data was provided by EEA for a collector
size of 4200 sqft The EEA cost estimates also show two types
of prices The first set shows a price of $2581 per square foot
- 10 shy
of colector This price is to be used for collectors purchased
for the REFT Project The second set shows a price of $2221 per
sqft which is to be used when evaluating IPH application
elsewhere in Egypt (see Appendix C)
Cost estimates provided by EEA are as follows
Collector Size 4200 sqft
Prices Variable cost $2221isqft (local)
$2581sqft (REFT)Fixed cost $17430 (local)
$23995 (REFT)
0 + M cost 2 of hardware cost
Salvage value 42 of capital cost
Energy savings 348 barrels of oil
Construction period 10 months
System life 20 years
Analysis and Results
The economic evaluation of the IPH system for textile
finishing was performed by examining the following sets of
assumptions
1 A 4200 sqft collector area at a price of $30sqft
2 A 4200 sqft collector area at prices of
$ 2581sqft and $2221sqft
3 A Waste Heat Recovery System
4 A 4200 sqft collector area priced at $30 per sqftombined with waste heat recovery system
5 A sensitivity analysis at different collector prices and varying prices of oil
- 11 shy
Table 1 presents the input data based on cost estimates
provided by Lockwood Greene Engineers These estimates are based
on a collector system purchased from the US at a price of
US$60sqft Output results for this analysis is presented in
Table 2
Input data for the base line analysis are presented in
Table 3 All base line analyses were performed assuming a price
of $20O0bbl of oil The economic evaluation of all systems
was made using a discount rate of 10 although system perforshy
mances are examined at varying discount rates ranging from 0
to 20 at 2 intervals (see Appendix A)
Table 4 presents results of the base line analysis As
shown in this table the 4200 sqft solar collector systems at
all collector prices do not pay during its economic life The
solar collector system at a price of $30sqft has a simple
payback of 22 years which is longer than the life of the system
The net present value at 10 discount rate is negative for
the baseline case with collector price $30sqft and price of
oil $2Gibbl indicating that the financial benefits accruing to
the project will not be able to offset the cost of acquisition
and operation of the system during its economic life span The
net present value at different level of discount rate and varying
prices of oil is presented in Figure 1
- 12 shy
TABLE 1
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM
FIELD TEST 4 - HLEWAN TEXTILE
DATA INPUT - US CASE
(Collector Price US$ 60sqft Price of Oil
I T E M S SOLAR ONLY WASTE HEAT RE(]OVaRY
Capital Cost ($) 227348 567958
0 + M ($) 4765 11359
Salvage Value ($) 11649 23854
Energy Savings (bbl) 325 11048
Construction Period (Month) 10 10
System Life (Yrs) 20 20
Source LBII estimates based on Engineering cost by Lockwood Greene Engineers
20bbl)
COMBINED SYSTEM
845306
16906
35503
11737
10
20
data provided
- 13 shy
TABLE 2
ECONOMIC NALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM
FIELD TEST 4 - HELWAN TEXTILE
RESULTS - US CASE
(Collector Price USS60sqft Price of Oil US$ 20bbl)
I T E M S SOLAR ONLY WASTE HEAT COMBINED RECOVERY
Energy Savings (bbl) 325 11048 11373
Simple Payback (Yrs) 43 3 4
Pdyback Period (Yrs) None 4 6
Net Present Value i = 10 ($251325) 1568793 1310681
Internal Rate of Return (IRR ) - 834 4220 2843
BC Ratio i = 10 021 337 233
Source LBII estimates based on Engineering cost data providedby Lockwood Greene Engineers
- 14 shy
TABLE 3
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM
FIELD TEST 4 - HELWAN TEXTILE
DATA INPUT - BASELINE ANALYSIS
(Collector Price US$ 30sqft)
I T E M S SOLAR ONLY WASTE HEAT COMBINED RECOVERY SYSTEM
Capital Cost ($) 149995 567958 717953
0 + M (S) 2520 11359 13879
Salvage Value ($) 6300 - 0 - 6300
Energy Savings (bbl) 348 11048 11396
Construction Period (Month) 10 10 10
System Life (Yrs) 20 20 20
Source LBII estimates based on cost data provided from EEA and Lockwood Greene Engineers
- 15 shy
TABLE 4
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM
FIELD TEST 4 - HELWAN TEXTILE
BASELINE ANALYSIS RESULTS
(Collector Price $30sqft Price of Oil US$ 20bbl)
I T E M S SOLAR ONLY WASTE HEAT COMBINED RECOVERY
Energy Savings (bbl) 348 11048 11396
Simple Payback (Yrs) 22 3 3
Payback Period (Yrs) None 4 5
Net Present Value i = 10 ($100633) 1565248 1464614
Internal Rate of Return (IRR ) - 124 4220 3402
BC Ratio 041 335 275 i = 10
Source LBII estimates based on cost data provided by EEA and Lockwood Greene Engineers
- 16 shy
Figure I Helwan TextileIPH - Solar only - Net Present Value at various Discount Rates and Prices of Oil (Collector
Price S30sqft)
0
150
-J)0
LUJ
LUJ
00-
Li
11 t 6
4F
D I SCOU NT RATE ()
130BBL
-$25BBL
~$15BBL $20BBL
- - 17 shy
The internal rate of return (IRR) is significantly lower
than the 10 economic rate of return expected to cover the cost
of credit
The waste heat recovery system on the other hand shows
positive results The system pays for itself in four years
The internal rate of return for the waste heat recovery
system is very high 4220 indicating very high economic gains
to be realized by installing this system
The Application Review for Field Test 4 examines solar
thermal together with a waste heat recovery system as a unit that
will be installed at Helwan Textile Accordingly an economic
evaluation of the combined solar thermal plus the waste heat
recovery system was performed
The input data used for Zhis analysis is presented in
Table 3 Results of the economic analysis for the combined
system are presented in Table 4 As shown in Table 4 the
combined system is economically viable The payback period for
the combined system is five years with an Internal Rate of
Return (IRR) of 3402 Figure 2 presents a graphic representashy
tion of the internal rate of return (IRR) for the output results
presented in Table 4
- 18shy
C
Figure 2 Helwan Textile - Internal Rate of Return at different Prices of Oil for Waste Heat Recovery
and Combined Solar and Jaste Heat Recovery
Systems (Collector Price $60 and $30sqft)
100
80shy
60-
LU 40
lt
($ B B LUi P R 1 0 F 0 1 L
-20
-20
- 19shy
-40
It is very clear from Table that the economic performance
of the combined system is lower than that of the waste heat
system indicating the dampening effect of the poor econoinic
performance of the solar thermal system
It should be pointed out that there is no functional relashy
tionship between the technical or economic performance of solar
thermal and waste heat recovery systems One can install the
solar thermal all by itself or in combination
As discussed earlier the proposed 4200 sqft solar thermal
system is not economically viable at a collector price of $30
sqft and price of oil S20barrel A separate analysis was
performed using a S20barrel price of oil and collector prices of
$30 25 22 and 20sqft Results of the analysis is presented
in Table 5
As shown in Table 5 the solar thermal system is not
economically viable at all collector prices The system does
not pay for itself during its life span Even at the lowest
collector price ($20sqft) the benefits derived from the
system can only cover 58 of the cost incurred (BC ratio 058)
during the life of the system
An additional sensitivity analysis was performed for each
collector price level and varying prices of oil As inshown
- 20 shy
TABLE 5 - ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM - FT4HELWAN TEXTILE SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS WITH DIFFERENT COLLECTOR PRICES
(Price of Oil US$ 20BBL)
I T E M S
COLLECTOR
$20sqft $22sqft
PRICE
$25sqft $30sqft
r
Energy Savings
(bbl)
Simple Payback
(Yrs)
Payback Period
(Yrs)
Net Present Value
i = 10
Internal Rate of Return - IRR
348
16
None
($51604)
266
348
16
None
($55919)
216
348
19
None
($76694)
046
348
22
None
($100633)
- 124
BC Ratio
i = 10 058 056 048 041
Source LBII estimate based on engineering cost Lockwood Greene Engineers
data provided by EEA and
Tables 6 - 9 the solar thermal system will start showing
positive economic results if collector prices are between $20 and
$22sqft and oil prices increase to $35 - $40barrel It is
very unlikely to find a situation where one can have a decline
in the price of collectors while having a simultaneous increase
in the price of oil Since collectors are manufactured from
products such as plastic glass aluminum etc which are
energy intensive a decline in collector prices can only be
realiz=d with a decline in the price of energy
Figures 3 and 4 show graphic representations of the internal
rate of return (IRR) and payback period respectively for
different prices of collectors and varying prices of oil
A year by year cash flow for 36 different scenarios are
presented in Appendix A Tables Al - A36
- 22 shy
TABLE 6 - ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM - FT4HELWAN TEXTILE SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS WITH DIFFERENT PRICES OF OIL
(Collector Price US$ 20sqft)
P R I C E OF 0 1 L
I T E M $15bbl $20bbl $25bbl $30bbl $35bbl $40bbl
Energy Savings 348 348 348 348 348 348(bbl)
Simple Payback 21 16 12 10 9 8(Yrs)
Payback Period None None None None None None (Yr s)
Net Present Value i = 10 (69179) (51604) (34029) (16454) 1120 18695
Internal Rate ofReturn - IRR - 057 266 540 787 1014 1229
BC Ratio 043 058 072 087 101 115
Source LBII estimate based on engineering cost data provided by EEA andLockwood Greene Engineers
TABLE 7 - ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM - FT4HELWAN TEXTILE SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS WITH DIFFERENT PRICES OF OIL
(Collector Price US$ 22sqft)
I T E M
Energy Savings (bbl)
Simple Payback (Yrs)
Payback Period
(Yrs)
P R I C E OF 0 I L
$15bbl $20bbl $25bbl $30bbl $35bbl $40bbl
348 348 348 348 348 348
21 16 13 11 9 8
None None None None None None
Net Present Value i = 10 (73494) (55919) (38344) (20769) (3194) 14381
Internal Rate of Return - IRR - 108 216 491 735 961 1172
BC Ratio 042 056 070 084 097 111
Source LBII estimate based on engineering cost data provided by EEA and Lockwood Greene Engineers
TABLE 8 -ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM - FT4HELWAN TEXTILESENSITIVITY ANALYSIS WITH DIFFERENT PRICES OF OIL (Collector Price US$ 25sqft)
P R I C E OF 0 I L I T E M $15bbl $20bbl $25bbl $30bbl $35bbl $40bbl
Energy Savings
(bbl)
348 348 348 348 348 348
Simple Payback
(Yrs) 25 19 15 12 11 9
Payback
(Yrs)
Period None None None None None None
Net Present Value i = 10 (94268) (76694) (59119) (41544) (23969) (6394)
Internal Rate ofReturn - IRR - 263 046 304 532 739 932 BC Ratio 036 048 060 072 084 096
Source LBII estimate based on engineering cost data provided by EEA andLockwood Greene Engineers
TABLE 9 - ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM - FT4HELWAN TEXTILE SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS WITH DIFFERENT PRICES OF OIL
(Collector Price US$ 30sqft)
P R I C E OF 0 1 L
I T E M $15bbl $20bbl $25bbl $30bbl $35bbl $40bbl
Energy Savings 348 348 348 348 348 348 (bbl
Simple Payback 29 22 17 14 12 11(Yrs)
Payback Period None None None None None None (Yrs)
Net Present Value (118208) (100633) (83058) (65484) (47909) (30334) i = 10
Internal Rate of Return - IRR - 425 - 124 124 339 534 714
BC Ratio 031 041 051 062 072 082
Source LBII estimate based on engineering cost data provided by EEA and Lockwood Greene Engineers
Figure 3- Helwan TextileIPH - Solar Only - Internal Rate of
Returr at Different Prices of Oil and varying
Collector Prices
29shy
n
-15
CD 10shy
lt 5
S0
10
R
2
0 F
30 5
B BL )
-10
-27 shy
-Ig - Helwan Textile - Solar Only - Simple Payback at Dfferent Prices of Oil and varying Collector
Prices
50
40shy
30
20- $60sqft
- - S30sqft
I25sqft22sq ft 20sq ft
P
10
R I C E
20
0 F
30
0 1 L
40
B B L
50
- 28 shy
5 CONCLUSION
The economic analysis performed on the proposed IPH Field
Test at Helwan Textile showed that the 4200 sqft flat plate
collector system was not economically viable
However the analysis indicated that when the solar thermal
system was evaluated in combination with the waste heat recovery
system the project was economically viable This favorable
performance was caused not because of improvement made in
economic efficiency by the solar thermal system but rather
because the economic efficiency of the waste heat recovery
system is so strong that it more than offsets the poor
performance of the solar thermal system
It should be emphasized that this analysis did not cover an
evaluation of the complete array of solar thermal systems such
as solar collectors for domestic hot water etc The analysis
was limited to the application of flat plate collectors for
application in industrial process heat of a given temperature
range Therefore implications drawn from this analysis should
not be applied to other solar thermal uses
The economic analysis has revealed some interesting and
important economic technical institutional and policy issues
- 29 shy
It is clear that the proposed flat plate collector system
on its own cainot be expected to bring about positive economic
returns given current collector prices Therefore it is
necessary that
Investigations be made in the technical field to
determine if the efficiency of the system could be
improved without increasing system cost
e The supply side of the collector market be prepared
to manufacture and supply collector systems that are
cost effective
e Policy makers be cognizant of the fact that the price
of flat plate collectors must decrease by almost 60
compared to the best case scenario as used in this
study (from $30sqft to $10sqft) in order
for industrial consumers to find it attractive to
invest in solar thermal technology Since the market
and thus the solar thermal industry is at its infancy
in Egypt policy makers and the public sector have to
play a lead role in removing barriers and providing the
appropriate fiscal andor regulatory incentives to
enhance the manufacture and widespread use of solar
thermal technology
- 30 shy
It is the overall objective of the Renewable Energy Field
Testing Project to investigate selected renewable energy options
to
9 Comprehensively strengthen Egyptian technical and
institutional capabilities in the full spectrum of
renewable energy planning and decision-making for
technologies and applications
Develop and sustain an Egyptian renewable energy
infrastructure through establishment of data bases
information systems and organizations that effectively
serve both the public and private sectors
Design realize and evaluate the performance of a
series of field tests which utilize commercially
available technologies in applications having potential
for widespread use in Egypt
Complete formal managerial and technical training both
on-the-job and specialized and an intensive
information dissemination program
- 31 shy
The design operation maintenance and repair experience
with solar thermal systems that will be obtained through this
field test to form a strong technical base for the design and
application of other renewable energy technologies is an
important factor which has not entered into the benefit cost
calculation in this report These additional factors need to be
considered seriously for the go-no-go decision
- 32 shy
APPENDIX A
-cono mcarz F7ra r na 2Analvsis fo- Erer gyi s t s y --t ne E8 0o
TA -1E-1
Fcr Case ofFELD TEST 4 - HELW TEXTILEIIPH (CILLECTOR PRICE S35313FT- PRICE Cz OIL $158L)Assumr iliEscalatior Rate of
Savec ValLe Of V~Caoitaltea- Cost Deratzrnc Cost of OilCost Sbl Fuel Usea Fuel(bi) EeravCs Saveo AnnualEuiv Er-eray Lost
Casi Flow Discounted Cash Flo~w (NV) j=urrert 48
Ion $14--Oui -It X=-=== ==--- ----==---=-------S shyrarsoort 1 Construc ionI i nt er o 0ne zt i o r $$14$35 $4C- $1500 $0 31Tta 5870$(
58 $150415 ($149545)6520 S153cent S14945) ($149545) ($14954-)$0 348 (149 4W)V 5324 $20$2520 $1561 4 ($146848) 3146948)4 0 $0 348 ($14699) (S14704)SO $5431i250 159= 550 $2911 ($1441 ) ($1445)5 Si $0 348 $5540 S252 S020
($14550) ($144721)$252) 1624 ($141473) (142056)$$ 348 ($142321) (142571)8 5650$0 $1G56 0 $313r ($13797) ($139755) (S140ljE7 $ (140582)$0 346 _7632 20 $1689 0 $W 348 $520 $3243 ($13611) ($137548) ($138169)8 S5873 2520SO $25Z0 $1723 $3359 ($133477) ($135431)0 $0 (M76274 ($137040)9- W S757 348 S5336 $25200 SO 348 $3476 (s123235 ($133402) ($134490)10 $5116 S-20 ($135468)$0 $2520 51733 0
$352 (128205) ($131460)11S 250 $0 348 $6238 (13 812) ($134015)510s $2520 $3718 ($125595) so $2520 4 Sampo $3843
(S12600) (131235) ($132674)$ bull252$1S65 0 $0 348 $6490) ($1 999) ($127820) ($1k9754) ($131437)13 V) 520 $1902
$ 2-t $3370 ($1 j420) ($126117) ($128 3) ($130256)14 348 $6620$0 S2520 $1940
0 S0 $2520 $410W ($117859) ($124489)0 $0 348 ($127055) ($129243)15 (1 2520 $197 0 $6753 S250 $233 ($115317) ($22932) ($125 89)16 $0
so 348 $6888 S252 (3128273)i3520 4368$2019 ($1I1C755)
17 0 $0 348 $7025 (3121445) ($124679) ($127379)$2K$0 $-) 0 01 $156- ($I12S3)
348 3120025 ($123601) ($126556)$7166 512520 646 (S107812) (S11BC65918 $0 ($122590) (S125710 52 10 21 100 0 so - 0$2 520J 348 7309 t4935S21 42 0 so) 50 $789 ($102918i($105354) i17374) ($1216421 ($125101)20 348 $7 455 ($116139)$0 $2520 $2 5 ($12-0754)$2185 0 ($124459)s021 348(W30) $2520 57 605 $2-50 $5085$2229 ($I00504)0 s0 348 $7757
(314961 ($119923) ($123869)($3780 S11537 ($9239) ($112486) ($I18208) ($IM673)$143695 $50820 0 $0 7018 $130239 $194515 ($64276)
A-1
TABLE A-I (Contd) ASSUMPTIONS TABLE BENEFIT-COSTS TALE (Calculated)
Economic and Financiai Analvsis for Energy -strnents - Egypt EEA 101986
Cacital Costs Benefit Parameters Internal Rate of Return -425
Acouisition $149995 Price of Oil $1500 bbl (yr 1)Trarsoortation $0 Oil Escalat 20year Disc PV of FV of BCConstruction $0 Rate Benefits Costs NOV Ratio
interconnection $0 Enrgy Savns 348 bblyear Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 $130 23 $194515 ($64276) 067TOTAL (Cap) $149995
El $105270 $187381 (582111) 056
Construct Time 10 morhs 4 $86548 $181787 ($95239) 0486 $72307 $177 355 ($105048) 041
Ooeratinc and Normal Maintenance Costs 8 $61319 $173805 (3112486) 03510 $5725 $170933 $118208) 031 11 $$3l26 $169701 ($120575) 029oeratino Cost $2520 year 12 $45912 $168585 ($122673) 027Operating Lifetime 21 years 13 $43032 $167571 ($124539) 026
Major Eauipment ReoairReolacement 14 $40443 $166647 ($126204) 024 15 $38108 $165804 ($227695) 023
Salvage Value ($6300)period 16 $35 997 $165032 ($129034) 022 18 $32342 $163674 ($131332) 020Replace Period 20 years 20 $29303 1162522 ($133219) 018
A-2
--
__
Ewic a Fzranzai Z aiys s for Enercy Investments Eayot EEAq-
10I9i-
1PLE A-2 For Case ofFIELD TEST 4-- H2LWRN TEXTILEIP (COLLECTOR PRICE $30SQF - PRICE OF OIL $20BlAssumino Oil Escalation Rate of 0OL
Ca0ita Oeratira Cost cf Oilyear Fuel UsedCost Cost $Bb Saved VEL- -Fuei Ererly(Bb) Cost ave Arr al Cas FlowEouv ne-v LisOurted Cash FlowAnua C Flow 0V) 6 ===--- shy ======= =----=- rcuisior $1 93 -- Codegt ure~n $4Trar-I sSrC0=-=---= = 8 10 12=== =_==== -= =shy
=== =---==_-_I Corstru-t or te $34 512415 $2
431$951 Tota) C$Z $520 5 $160 (Q14-$1-47 $24
fSO $A 0 so 2s ($14 SH5) ($149255)$0
$73 $-5 ($144 8-( ($492s)$ $4$274 ( -14482)(3145015)s 348 (31450321$7241 $2520 ($145GG) $ $ 20 12 65 o so$01
348 0
$472( ($140487) ($140357) (s1411025200 ($1414031$25207 $2208 $ 0 3(1381611($i37 105 0 $11 4 3$0 20 S5_a20 5 0 so ($137534) ($137939)52520 348
0 $S034 3483 $7645 3 S- $5014 ($131875)$78 $1202 (11j33419)SO2 $ $5318SE184 ($12763 ($126 5531 (3134110) (134753)($123428)
$0 S3 ($127901) ($129128)$2520 $2297 $0 $2 2 o 0 345 $4I4 ($$2343 $995 1)7 ($1239(50 348 $2520 5475 ($130903)Ii 3155 s2$23 $131822)$ 183$0$2$SC n 5 ($13 50 ) ($120314 ) ($1224 )0 ($ 124376)-2$-iSO $23($ 5212~~ $ 520 2438S S $1 513 3) (SI27903 ) ( 52)$252 0 $2$0~ $7980 0 3 -4 i$110761 ($117414)1$ $2FO ($120000 -2520 $5 Z $59 4 ($12-2285)
gs )1 3 $20 287 $0348 1$107 0-7) ($S141238 ($ 17 7 0) SI2652587 $$c 24 ($120 3 5 )15 $0 0 (S0563) ($112021)$2 52 $2 $-9348 ($11555) ($118601)$0 520 6 0 so 34 8 $2 443483 S82 311104 $220$ 520 S664 ($30) ($107132)$ 307 ($931($S3123)) ( 10 (Si1267) ($115497)6 ($I04Ef) ($11973)5I) ($S 15451 ($11133)o0 $2 520 ($1169 3)SO 5 2 920 032520 5274 6 0 4 8 $ 36 $S 2- 8$0 47 ( 1 014 34 6 $3555 ($ I02 70 19 348 $7U ($1 0743 ) ($I 1i7
s0 $2520 $2800 0 $2 520 7 0 5 ($8 834 ($00 65) ) ($10 8 273 ) ($112 8 2 )
$2520 $9 0 $200 $72- (914$) 3)S0 $4 ($90 063 ($110682)27 $0 $2 c856 00 ($76 51)2$5 14 0 0 348 0 ($9 842 ($0397 ($10977)340 $I0139 -521 $2 5 0 $($6300) $7 19$2520 $2972 0 ( 72 8 35 ($ 076 ()0s0 ($102 72) ($10023)348 $10342 (3780) $1418 ($ 3) ($9246) ($100633) ($I0735)
$143695 $0820 0 s 7018 $173652 $194515 ($20863)
A-3
ASSUMPTJINS TABLE TABLE A-2 (Contd) BENEFIT-COSTS TPBLE (Calculated)
Economicand Finar_ial Analysis fr Energy Investments - Egypt EE 10191S6
Capital Costs Benefit Parareters Internal Rate of Return -124
Acquisitior 149995 Price of Oil 2000 bbl (y 1)Transoortation $0 Oil Escalat 20rvear Disc PV of PV of BC
Construction $0 Rate Benefits Costs NPV RatioInterconrection $0 Enrgy Savrias 348 bblyear --- _____-__
- Fuel Use 0 bblivear 0 $173652 $1S4515 ($20863) 089TOTAL (Car) $14995 2 $14036O $187381 (347021) 075 4 $115398 S181787 (36E390) 063Construct Time 10 months 6 $96409 S177355 ($80946) 054
8 $31759 5173805 ($92 046)Ooerating and Normal Maintenance Costs 047l0 $70299 $170 933 ($100633) 041
11 $65502 $169701 (3104199) 039Operatino Cost S2520 year 12 $61216 1amp3585 ($107369) 036Oerating Lifetime 21 years 13 57376 $167571 (3110195) 034
14 $53924 $16G647 (3112723) 032Major Equioment ReoairReplacement 15 $50811 $165804 ($114992) 031 16 $47997 $165032 ($117035) 0213Replace Cost ($6300)oeriod 18 $43123 $163674 (3120551) 026Replace Period 20 years 20 $39071 $162522 ($123451) 024
A-4
Econonxc and Finarcial 9ralvsis for Energy Investrets -- EcvDt EEA 1013i6C
TABLE A-3
For Case ofFIELD TEST 14 - H-LWAN TEXTILEIPi ( COLLECTOR PRCE $30SQFT- PRICE OF OIL $25BBL) Assuming Oil Escalation Rate of 20
Saved Valus ofCacital boeratirng Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel Energy Saved Annual Cash Flow Discounted Cash Flow ((NV) iYear Cost Cost $Bbl (Bbl) Cost Eauiv Erercy Cost Currert f 4 8 10 12
S Accuisitio $149995
1 Transoort $0 I Construct ior $0 I Interconnection $0
Totil $149q95 $420 $2500 0 $0 58 $1450 S150 415 ($14295) (3148965) ($48965) ($14895) ($148965)$0 $2520 $2550 0 s0 348 $3874 $2520 $3354 ($142855) ($143082) ($143189) ($143292)3 s0 $2520 $2601 0 $0 348 $9051 $2520 ($1368171 ($137482) ($137791) ($133085)4 $0 2520 $2653 5
0 s0 348 $3233 $252 $ 713 ($130643) ($132153) ($132748) ($133307)$0 2520 $2706 0 $0 6
348 $9417 $2520 $o897 ($124954) ($127084) ($128037) ($128924)$0 S2520 $2760 0 $0 348 $9606 $2520 S7056 ($119130) ($122261) ($123637) ($124903)7 so $2520 $2815 0 $0 348 $3798 $2520 $7278 ($113378) (117675) ($119529) ($121216)so $1520 $28728 0 $0 348 $39A 9
S2520 $7474 ($107699) ($11331b) ($115694) ($117836)s0 $2520 $2929 0 $0 348 $10193 $25L0 $7673 ($102032) ($09169) ($1121141 ($114736)10 $0 2520 $2986 0 11
$1 348 $10397 $25_lt $7877 ($36557) ($105228) ($103774) ($111896)$0 $2520 $3047 0 $0 348 $10 60 $_520 $308512 ($31095) ($I01483) ($105656) (5109293)$0 $2520 $3106 0 $0 348 $10817 $2520 $8237 ($85706) ($97925 ($102748) ($106907)13 $0 $2520 $3171 0 $0 348 $11034 $2520 $8514 ($80388) ($94544) ($10003-5) ($104722)$0 $2520 $323414 0 $0 348 $11254 $2520 $873415 ($75142) ($91332) ($97505) ($102720)$0 $2520 $3299 0 $0 348 $11479 $2520 $8959 ($69968) ($88282) ($95146) ($100837)16 $0 $2520 $3365 0 $0 348 $I709 $2520 $3189 ($64866) ($85385) ($92946) ($99208)17 $0 $2520 $3432 0 $0 348 $11943 $252(l $9423 ($59835) ($M 634) ($90895) ($97671)18 $0 $2520 $3501 0 $0 348 $12182 $2520 $3662 ($54875) ($80023) ($88984) ($264)19 so $2520 $3571 0 $0 348 $12426 $2520 $9906 ($349985) ($77544) ($87202) ($94976)20 $0 $2520 $3642 0 $0 348 $12674 $2520 $10154 ($45165) ($75191) ($85542) ($93797)21 ($6300) $2520 $3715 0 $0 348 $12928 ($3780) $16708 ($37540) ($71607) ($830558) ($92065)
$143695 $50820 0 $0 7018 $217065 $194515 $22550
A-5
-- --
TABLE A-3 (Contd) ASSUMPTIONS TABLE BENFIT-COSTS TABLE (Calculated)
Economic and Financial Analysis for Energy Investments - Egyot EEA i01986
Capital Costs Benefit Parameters Internal Rate of Return 124
Acouisition $149995 Price of Oil $25CK bbl (yr 1)TransDortation $0 Oil Escalat 20year Disc PY of PV of BCConstruction $0 Rate Benefits Costs NPV Ratio
Interconrection $0 Enrgy Savngs 348 bblyear m_ S -- - Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 $217065 $194515 $2550 112
TOTAL Cap) $149995 2 $175450 $187381 ($11931) 094
4 $144247 $181787 ($37540) 079Construct Time 10 months 6 $120511 $177355 ($56844) 068 8 $102 198 $173805 ($71607) 059DOeratino and Normal Maintenance Costs 10 $87674 $170933 ($83058) 051
11 $81877 $169701 ($87824) 048Deratina Cost $2520 year 0 Sshye i s 5 a $76520 $168585 ($92065) 045ODperatina Lifetime 21 years 23 $71720 $167571 ($95851) 043
14 $67405 $166647 ($99242) 040Major Eauipment RepairReplacement 15 $63514 165804 ($102290) 038
16 $59996 $165032 ($105036) 036Salvage Value ($6 300period 18 $53904 $163674 ($109770) 033 Replace Period 20 years 20 $48839 $162522 ($1136833) 030
A-6
Econotic and Financial Araiysis for Energy Irvesteents - Egypt EEA 101986
TABLE A-4
For Case ofFI-2-D -ST 14 - HELWAN TEXTILEIPH ( COLLTOR PRICE 30SFT - PRICE OF OIL $30BBL)Assunina Oil Escalation Rate of 20
Saved Value of
CaPital Oerating Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel EreryYear Cost Cost $bl (PbI) Cost Ecuiv Savea Annual Cash Flow Discounted Cash Flow (N91V) IErerey Cost Currer $ 4 8 10 12
Pcousition $142995 I Tr2rsport $0 1 Constrtio s I Intercorrecto $01 Total $14995 $420 $3000 0 $0SO58 $1740 $150415 (148675) 3514375) ($148675) ($143675) ($148675)
$0 $60C 220 303 $25 0 $3121 0 5 34 506 9 2$0 348 $10862 50 $8 1 9 ($ 4 0 85M) ($ 1 4 11 4 8) ( S 141e280$25X) $342 ($133146) ($133937) ($134391)) ( $ 141 41 7 1
4 (3134767)$0 $2520 $31845 $0 2520 $347 0 0
$0 348 $11079 S2520 $8559 ($125537)$0 346 $1301 $2 (127202) ($127961) ($128675)0 2520 $3312
520 5781 ($118032) ($120748) ($121963) ($123095)7 0 $0 348 $111527 S2-0so S2520 $3378 $3007 ($110629) (114618)
850 0 (116371) ($117984)so 348 51275752520 $3446 0 $0 348
S2520 $9237 ($103329) ($108797) (111157) (113304)$I992 $2520 $9472 (39613) ($103270) ($106296) ($109020)$0 $2520 $35 1510 0$0 $2520 $3585 0 s0 348 $12232 S2520 $9712 ($89034 (598(023)11 $0 348 S2477 ($01765 (3105097)$0 $2 500 S 521t0 $9957 ($5 039)$3657 0 0 (33042 ($97543) ($101507)348 $12726 S252012 0 $ 2520 $53730
$10206 ($7E144) ($88315) (1193608) (S98220)0 $0 348 $12981 $25 $10461 ($S3 3h8)14
52520 (55823) ($89941) ($95213)$0 $2520 $3881 510720 (61 652)0 ($79571) ($86525)s0 348 $13505 ($92461)I5 $0 $2520 $10985 (555055)52520 $3958 0 ($75532 (583343) (89944)s0 348 $1377516 SO S2520 S511255 ($4e5) (571700)$2520 $4038 0 ($0379) (387641)$0 348 51405117 $0 $2520 $4118 0
S2520 $11531 ($4 153 ($68065) ($77 61) ($85534)s0 348 $14332 $218 -0 $11812$0 $2520 (35846) (364617) (575048)$4201 0 ($83607)19 348 $141619 S2520$0
s0 $1209 (59635$2520 $4285 ($61347) ($72650 ($81845$0 348 $1491120 $0 $2520 $2520 $12331 ($23519) ($58247)$4370 0 ($70426) ($80234)$0 348 $15209 $252021 (36300Y $2520 54458 0 $0 12689 ($174 ) ($55306) ($68351) ($78761)348 $15513 (53780) $19293 ($8691) ($51167) ($65484) (76761)
$143695 S5m0 0 so 7018 $260478 $194515 $65963
A-7
TABLE A-4 (Contd) ASSUMPTIONS TABLE BENEFIT-COT3 TABLE (Calculated)
Economic and Financial Aralysis for Energy Investments -- Egypt EEA 1019166
Caoital Costs Benefit Pararmeters Internal Rate of Return 339
Acquisition $149995 Price of Oil $3000 bbl (yr 1) Transportation $0 Oil Escalat L(Wvear Disc PV of PV of BC
Construct ior $0 Rate Benefits Costs NPV Ratio Interconnectior $0 Enrgy Savrias 348 bblvear
Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 S260478 $19455 $65963 134 TOTAL (Cao) $149995 2 $210540 $187381 S23159 112
4 $173097 $118787 ($8691) 095 Construct Time 10 months 6 $144614 $177355 ($32741) 382
8 $122638 $173805 1167 071 Operating and Normal Maintenance Costs 10 $105449 $170933 ($65464 062
11 $98253 $169701 ($71448) 058 Oerating Cost $2520 year 12 $91824 $168585 ($76761) 054
Operating Lifetime 21 years 13 $86064 $167571 ($81507) 051 14 $80885 $166647 ($85761) 049
Major Equipment RepairReDlacement 15 $76217 $165804 ($89587) 046 16 $71995 $165032 ($93037) 044
Replace Cost ($6300)period 18 $64685 $163674 ($98989) 040 Replace Period 20 years 23 $58607 $162522 ($103915) 036
A-8
Ecromic and Fna-ia Aaysis for Ene-v investmerts - E yvt EEP shyi(I195
TABLE A-5
For ie ofFIELD TEST 44 - H-LWA-4 TEXTILEi C E-TO PR CE $305 FT - PRIZE OF OIL $35BBL) Assurjc Oil Escalation PR-e of 20
Saved Vaiue cfa-tal Ooeratlr_ Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel Ererv a eO Anual poundan Flow Discounted Cash Flow (NPV) i = Year r st cost SPbl (bbl) [cst Eciv Errgv Cost Currert $ 4 8 10 12
I SI auxsiticr 1433
1 Trarsoort $0
EorstrLZt cr $0 SI-tercorrezt ior $0
Total $143 995 $420 $3500 0 so 58 $2030 S15-415 ($145385) (4148385) ($148385) (M142335) ($1483351$0 $2520 $3570 0 $0 348 $1424 $2520 $3904 ($138862) ($133215) ($39382) (13543)Sto S2520 $3041 0 $1 348 51-672 $520 $10(152W20476) ($130511) (S130992) ($131443)4 $1 $2523 $3714 0 S0 348 226 $2520 $10406 ($12C226) ($122251) ($23174 ($124043)o$0 2520 $3789 0 $ 34B $12184 52520 $10664 t$111I10) ($114413) ($115890) ($27266)
6 s0 $2520 $3864 0 $0 348 t53448 $252n 10928 (S102128) ($106975) (3109105) ($111065)70 $2520 $3942 0 s0 348 $13717 12520 S111137 ($93279) ($99 920) ($102785) ($10- 392)5 $0 $2520 $4020 0 $0 348 $13231 $250 $S1471 ($845 2) ($93226) ($33898) (M100204)9 VI $2520 $4101 0 so 348 $14271 S520 $11751 (175976) ($86878) ($91416) ($3f458)
10 $0 $2520 $4183 0 $0 348 $14556 $2520 $12036 ($67520) ($80E5) ($86312) ($11117)11 s0 $2520 42G 0 $0 348 $14647 $2520 1123227 (S52192) ($75147) ( 8155) ($7148)12 $ 0 $4352 0 so 348 $15144 $2520 $12624 ($5- 931) ($69732) ($77134) ($83519)13 $0 $2520 $4439 0 so 348 $15447 $2 0 $12927 ($42917) ($64599) ($73015) (W8320)14 $0 $ 50 $4528 0 $0 348 $I-755 $2520 S1323- ($34938) ($53732) ($69181) ($77168)15 SO $2520 $4618 (1 $0 348 $16071 $2520 $13551 ($27142) (S55118) ($5613) ($7439516 t0 $2520 $4711 0 $0 348 $16333 $250 $13873 ($1 439) ($50745) ($62232) ($71860)17 $0 $2520 $4805 0 $0 348 $16721 $2120 $14201 ($I1657) ($4660) ($59201) ($G9544)18 $0 $25200 $4901 0 so 348 $17055 $250 $14535 ($4396) (02672) ($5632) ($67427)19 $0 $2520 $4999 0 $0 348 $17396 $2520 $14876 $2948 ($33949) ($53650) ($65492)20 $0 $2520 $5093 21
0 $0 348 $17744 $3520 $15224 $10174 ($35421) ($51161) ($3725)($6300) $2520 $5201 0 $0 348 $18099 ($3780) $21879 $20159 ($30727) ($47909) ($61457)
$143695 $50820 0 $0 7018 $303891 $194515 $103376
A-9
TABLE A-5 (Contd)ASSUMPTIONS TABLE ENEFIT-COSTS TABLE (Calculated)
Economic and Financiai Analysis for Erergy Investments -- Egyot EEA 10965
Capital Costs Benefit Parameters Internai Rate of Return 534
Acquisition $149995 Price of Oil $35K0 bbl (yr 1) Transport tior $0 Oil Escalat 20vear Disc PV of FV of PCConstruction $0 Rate Benefits Costs tPV Ratio
Interconnectior $0 Enrgy Savns 342 bblyear ==-- -Fuel Use 0 bblvear 0 $303531 $154515 $103376 156
TOTAL (Cap) $149995 2 $245630 $187331 $58249 3
4 $i20 46 $181787 20159 i11Construct Time 10 months 6 $163716 $177355 ($8639) 095 8 $143078 $173805 ($30727) 082
Operating and Normal Maintenance Costs 10 $123024 $170933 ($47909) 072 11 S114628 $169701 ($55 073) 068
Operating Cost $2520 year 12 $107128 $165585 ($61457) 064 Operating Lifetime 21 years $l40810 $167571 ($67163) 060
14 $94366 $166647 ($72281) 057Major Equipment RepairReolacement 15 $82920 $165804 ($76864) 054
16 $83994 $165032 ($81038) 051Replace Cost ($6300)period 18 $75465 $163674 $88-08) 046
Replace Period 20 years 2 $68375 $162522 ($94147) 042A- 10
Eccricmi ane Finarcial AnalysiT fo Energy trvest-ents -- Ev-t EEA 101215
TAlKE A-5
For Case ofFiED TEST 04 - HELWPN TEXTIL=IPH (COLLECTD PRICE $3SFT- PRICE as OIL $40BBL) Ass mir Oil Esralatior Rate of 20
Savet Yait- ofCaoital ODerating Ccst of Oil Fuel bse Fuel Energy Saved fnrnal [a- Flch Liscounted Cash Flow (NPV) i = Year Cost Cost $bl (Bbi) CLst Ecit1 Energy Ccst C-rert$ 4 8 10 12
I Acc-ist on $142995 I -ras)ort $0 1 cnstr t o $0
I te-crrezt icr $0 Total $14995 $420 $400N 0 $0 58 $2320 $15045 (S143C135 ($14209) ($143095) ($142035) ($148095)S) $220 $4080 0 so78 ($138f6) ($137282) ($137478) ($137663)
$0 $2520 $4162 r $0 348 $1442 $250 $192 ($125806) ($127026) (M27592) ($128132)4 so 12120 $4245 0 s0 348 $14 77 S25K0 V2252 ($114914) ($117300) (1115337) ($119411)soS0 2 $43310s _$0 25 $330 0 1-7j(1147 0 ($04188)6 $0 $2520 $4416
$0 348 $15$7 525 $12547 ($108077) ($109817) ($111437)0 $0 348 s15 $252 $12849 ($33627) ($93322) ($1083S) ($104146)7 so $2 520 $4505 0 V) 348 $ 676 S21520 $13156 ($83230) ($31042) ($94412) ($97481)
8 $0 $2520 $4595 0 $0 348 $15 9 o 2520 S13470 ($72934) ($83 182) ($57500) ($9388)9 $0 $252) $4687 Q $0 348 $I309 $2520 $3 789 ($62918) $75732) ($31067) ($85818)10 $0 $2520 $4780 0 $0 348 $6631 5 2520 $14116 ($53001) ($68671) ($75081) ($0728)11 $0 $2520 $4676 0 $0 348 $1696 $520 $14448 ($43240) ($61979) ($69510) ($76076)12 $0 $2520 $4973 0 $0 348 $17308 $2520 $14788 ($33634) ($55636) ($64327) ($71825)13 $0 $2520 73 0 $0 348 $17654 $2520 $15134 ($24181) ($49626) ($59505) ($67940) 14 $0 $2520 $5174 0 $0 348 $18 007 S250 $5487 ($14880) ($43932) ($55019) ($64391)15 $0 $2520 $5278 0 $0 348 $ P367 $2 520 $15847 ($572-3) ($38537) ($50646) (55148)
$0 $220 $538316 0 $0 348 $18734 $25032 ($33425) ( 5) (58186)17 s $2520 $549 0 $0 348 $191$2 250 $I5 9 $12 131 ($328583) ($43354) ($55480)18 $0 $2520 $5601 C $0 348 $19491 $2520 $IE971 $20844 ($23996) ($39997) ($53008)19 $0 $2520 $5713 so 348 $19881 $2520 $173C1 $39414 ($19651) ($36874) ($50751)20 $0 $2520 $5827 (t $0 348 $20273 $2520 $17759 $37843 ($15536) ($33370) ($48689)21 ($6 300) $2520 $5944 $0 348 $20684 ($3780) $24 A64 $49 008 ($10288) ($30334) ($46153)
$143695 $50820 0 $0 7018 $347 304 $194515 $152789A-1 1
TABLE A-6 (Contd)ASSUMPTIONS TABLE BEIEF7-COSTS TABLE (Calculated)
Ecoroic nj Firancial Analysis for Energy Investmerts - Egypt EEA 10195G
azitai Costs Benefit Parameters internal Rate of eturr 714
Acuisition $149995 Price of Oil $400 bbl (yr 1)Transportat ior so Oil Escalat 20year Disc PV of PV of BCConstruction so Rate Benefits Cost- NPV RatioInterconnection $0 Enrgy SavTgs 348 bbyear ==== =-shy
--- Fuel Use 0 bbear 0 $347304 $194515 $152 789 179TOTAL (Ca ) $149 95 2 $28D720 $187381 $93359 150
4 230796 $181787 $49008 127Construct Time 10 months 6 $192818 $177355 V15463 109 8 $163517 $173 805 ($10288) 094Ooerating and Norwal Maintenance Costs 10 $140599 $170933 ($30334) 08211 $13004 $169701 $33698) 077
fteratiri$ Cost 12) $122432 $168585 ($46153) 073Ooeratirn Lifetime 21 years 13 $1i 751 $167571 ($52819) 068
Major Equi~oent ReoairReplacesent 14 $07847 $166647 ($58800) 06515 $10i622 5165804 ($64181) 061
16 $95993 $165032 ($69 039) 058Replace Cost ($6300)period 18 $86246 $163674 ($77428) 053Replace Period 20 years A12 20 $78143 $162522 ($84379) 048
ccz- a Firaca Araiysi- for Erergy IrvestL-rrts -- Ecyrt EC 01)83
TAP-LE P-7
For Case ofFIZLD TEST 4 - H-LWAN TEXTILEWAS-i i-AT PRESVERY wRIC2 SIS08L)DiL Assumiron Oil Escalation Rate of 20
Saved ValL- CCaoital DoeratinQ Cost of Oil Fue Used Fuel Erervy save kriual Cash Flow Discourted Cash Flow (NPV) 3 i =Yea- Cost Cost $b1 (Bbl) Cost Ecuiv Ererzv Cet Currert $ 4 8 10 12
1 Trar-s $0ort 1orstr-t lor $0
I I t e ronez t i m S-1 $735 $833 $Q500 C 0 1341 $27 62 53851 ($542231) (S542231) (S542231) (S542231) ($542231)Sc 53 S530 0 so 11045 $1ES034 11359 S76755- 0o62o) ($356235) (S93830) ($401450)SO $I1359 $15S1 $0 11048 S172415 jeuro $113-1S (3241715) ($252156) 3273 011353 V S 457 ($-=766) -4 to 259 $1592 0 iO 11045 $173863 1353 S164504 ($35471) ($127567) (142M1) ($15556)
Q S11359 $1624 0 $0 (148 17 I S11359 S63 -- $4 155 (340ampG) ($27 430) ($49185)6 11353 -016 U $0 11045 $182136 $12353 2171609 $183205 S12728 73126 1421917 $0 $11359 $1669 0 $0 14048 $186623 $S 353 i75269 $32772 $=223177 $173060 $136987$1125 $173 0 $0 11048 $536r $-53 S173001 $46 74S 3276-3 $263916 $2153S0 S111359 $1757 0 $ 11048 S194167 $13f $182808 S59735 $426389 5355 198 $29179210 $0 $1793 0 S0 11043 S1930L $3 $15 3 72H492 513781 $434373 S353115110 $11359 $128 0 S 1 $11048( I $190653 $357 30 $608090 $57 878 S420500 S0 $1365 0 $0 11048 $HS052 1-3 $134633 $383753 359159 $57617 $47646313 v0 $11353 $1902 0 $0 11043 S210173 $1- $193314 $1107338 $770542 $133465 1527500l$0 $11353 $1940 0 $0 11048 $214376 $1153 $203017 $223E665 $845191 $$5272 $574 0651373 s53$0 11048 1213664 $11359 $2737 $1349578 $915771 $7-2862 $61644516 $0 359 $2019 0 $ 11043 S223077 $11359 $211678 $1467116 $382501 $803536 $65511817 $ 511 353 $2059 0 $0 11049 $227498 S595 $216133 $1582514 $1045583 $850574 $5037518 1 1A3 S2100 0$0 11048 122C48 $1135 $2-20683 $1695810 $1105235 $894236 $7251719 $0 $11359 S2142 0 $0 11048 $236689 $11359 $S25330 $1807033 $1161623 $934764 $75181920 S0 $11359 12185 0 0 11048 $241423 $11353 $230064 $1316237 $1214932 1372331 $778531
21 $0 $11359 $2229 0 $0 11048 $246251 $1135 $234832 $202349 $1265328 1007296 $802881
$5679558 $Zgt9073 0 $0 222801 $0134711 $797031 $3337680
A-13
ASTYPTINS TABLE TABLE A-7 (Contd) BEEIT-rOT TAEPLE (Calculated)
Economic and Financial Analysis for Energy Investsents - Egypt EEA 10196
Capital Costs Benefit Faraineters interral Rate of Return 3101
Acquisitiorn $567952 Price of Oil 1500 bbl (yr 1) Trarsportatior $0 Oil Escalat 20year Disc PV of FVof BC
Corstruct ior $0 Rate Benefits Costs lrv Ratio
Irterconrection $0 Enrgy Sar_as 1104 bblyear -
--- ------ Fue Use 0 bbiyear 0 $41-4711 $77031 $3337680 519 TOTAL (Ca) $H67952 2 $34202-0 S755587 $2586433 442
4 t2747662 $72424 $2023439 379 Construct Time 10 morths 6 $2235 532 $700 138 $LJj5394 328
8$1946703 $68137G $1265328 286
Ooeratina and Normal Mairtenance Costs 10 $1673853 $666557 $1007296 251
11 $55962n $660307 $399314 236
Oerating Cost $11359 year 12 $1457578 $654697 $802881 223
Operating Lifetime 21 years 13 $136G 136 $64- 645 $716491 210 14 $1283$40 $645083 $638857 199
Major Equipment PeoairReplacemert 15 $1209831 $640951 $568880 189 16 $1142817 $37197 $505620 179
Replace Cost $0 period 18 $1026777 $630653 $396124 163
Replace Feriod 20 years 20 $930302 $625165 $305137 149
A-14
Econoi an Fnarial alysi for Energy Irve te-pt -- Eryct EEP 10138_
TABLE A-8
For Case cfF7ELD TEST $4 - HE=LWqN TEXTILE4qSTE -_j E[CXERY (PRCE C7 OIL $2013E_) Assurn_ 0i Escaiaticon Rate of 20
Saved Vale cf Capita Doeratn Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel Energy Saved rrual Cash c-w-- Discounted Cash Flow (NOV) i = Yea- Cost Cost Eb (pb]) Ccst Equiv Ererz Cst Currert $ 4 8 10 2
oisi67Ac s tr
rarExrt $0 rorstrztio sc
IIrerccrr_tor $0 7 $200Y 0 C1841 1687Tctai$78K S 98 1 )$53C3 ) 315Z3 02) ($5330251 ($533025) ($533015)2 v $11355 $ 04Q 0 $0 11048 t225379 $1153 $214020 (327235) (S-34858) ($338461) ($341935)3 $0 $11353 $08i C $0 11048 $-23857 $1135 1-258 ($125195) (S147505) ($157B59) (167726)
4 $0 $1135 $21 22 0 $0 11048 $234465 $11359 $223126 $73163 $23619 $3778 (18910) $0 fI1-- $21E5 0 $0) 11048 $29174 $353 $227815 $26790 $197070 $r5 379 $125S71E $0 $13 2 2 083 0 so 11048 S2433K8 S1352 5-3 $459080 1355 373 $303805 $267854
7 $0 611355 $252 C $1) 11048 $243K7 $59 $27478 $4762 $505024 $-855 53881678 $ $1135 $227 0 $0 11048 $2K2814 353 -142455 $33007 $646494 $568272 $4978429 $1 35 $2343 (1 $0 11046 $253 83 $111359 s47 531 $1011876 $780227 $623747 $59781510 $0 $11359 $I39 0 $0 11048 $26068 $135 $252703 $1183426 $906644 $790920 $68894411 soS 1359 $2438 0 s0 l048 $2634 S1 359 S57990 $1363714 $1026144 3890387S77201012 $0 $11359 $2487 0 s0 11048 $274736 $353 $263377 $1534793 $1139102 $982699 $84772513 $0 S11259$2535 0 $0 11048 $280231 $11359 $268872 i1702736 $1245874 $1068389 $91673814 $0 $11359 $2587 C0 $0 11046 $285835 $1359 $274476 $1867573 $1346733 $1147876 $97364015 so $11-359 $2629 0 s 11048 $291552 $i135 S28193 12023383 $1442193 $1221659 $103697316 $0 S1359 $2632 0 $0 11048 1237383 S353 $22-024 $2188202 $1532360 $1290131 $108922917 $ 111359 $2746 ( s0 11048 $303331 $11359 $291972 $234408 $1617584 11253673 $113885618 $0 $11359 $2800 0 $0 11048 $303-97 $115 $298038 $2497093 $1698134 $1412638 $118026419 $0 $11359 $2856 0 $0 11048 $315585 11359 $304226 $2G47268 $1774267 $1467356 $1219 8520 $0 $11359 $2914 0 $0 11048 $321897 $11359 $310538 $2794663 $1846222 $518131 $125588121 $0 $11359 $2972 0 $0 11048 $328335 $11359 $316976 $2939326 $191422 $565248 $1288740
$567958 $229073 0 $0 222801 i5512948 $797031 $4715917
A-15
P7UrSPTIONS TABLE TABLE A-8 (Contd) EtEFIT-CSTS TABLE (Calculated)
Ecoroic ard irarcial Analysis for Energy Investments -- Egypt EEA 1019E6
apital Ccsts Benefit Parareters Irterral Rate of Return 4220
Acquisition $567958 Transportation $0
Construct ior $0 Irtercor rectior $0
Price of Oil Oil Escalat
Enrgy Savrgs
$2000 bbl (yr 1) 20year
11048 bblyear
Disc
Rate
----
PV of erefits
PV of
Costs NPV
BC
Ratio
TOTPL (Cap) $567958 Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 J55948
2$4456027 $797031 $75587
$4715917 $3 700440
6 2 590
Construct Time 10 corths 4$3E 3550 6$3060 709
$724224 $700 138
$2939326 $2 360571
506 437
Operating and Normal Maintenance Costs 8$2595604 1(V$2231804
$681376 $666557
$1914229 $1565248
381 335
Operating Cost Operating Lifetime
$11359 iyear 21 years
11 $2079494 12 $1343437 13 T1821515
$660307 $654697 $649645
$1419187 $1288740 $1171869
315 297 280
Major Equipment RepairReplacement 14 $1711920 15 $1613108
$645083 $640951
$1066837 $972157
265 252
Replace Cost $0 period 16 $1523756 18 $1369035
$637197 $630653
$886559 $738382
239 217
Replace Period 20 years 20 $1240402 $625165 $615238 198
A-16
Eccw= ar -narzia Pnav=_is fcr Erergy Irvestrrent_ -- Egypt EEC 101
P= A-9
or Case of2IED TEST 4 - HELPAN TEXTIEN3TE HEAT -CDOERY (PC- U BBL- ----Assmir Cil Escalation Rate of 20
SaVEdt C~famta eratirg Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel Energy Saved Annal Fasn Flow Discounted Cash Flow (UOV 8 i = lea- Cost Cost $Pb (8b1) Cost Ec-jiv Energy Cost Crrert I 4 8 10 12
I Transocrt corst rutr $7
rterornazticota HS 833 7 1841 $4S 73 -3951 C$52818 (WBIB) ($52381 1 (3523818) ($53218)SC 51133 $20 0 048 $22172 U3 $27365 ($263851 1(2731480) (278031) ($262421)$0 $11359 $2601 0 $0 11042 7=5 $12$3 5275 999 (-S74) (368Z5) 333343900253 ( 15)0 111049 ( $359 _51 747 $241737 $I82 805 $161748 5131462Q 07C 11043 S2531558 11259 12379 $477 s46 $323206 $35188 $32 27$0 $11-_ $2760 0 1n 11043 $304 94 $11 3 3 24E7--555 $722 55 $5S3 Mf $5404 - $$487517$7 $-~5 $2315 0 11048 $712 1353 $233 53 5 872 $786 871 $709649 $639347$ $1 5282 0 $0 14 391141292 0 IK93
656f $8662 S7777253SiZ bull0 $312 5 $1426427 T113465 $10122372 9 3 39 $ 35- $2983 0 $ 145 $33035 1 3 3 726 $165035 $12350M S1147467 $108774$C $135 $304711 0 S0 11046 $3365pound 5ii5 $325 22712 $)
187C 129t44419- $1272895 SI 2351$- $3103 C S 113 $34$2 - 132206 $20S53 S1556613 11353280 $ PIE98c13 3 S317 0 v 1 5$143 250 $11159 $3352 $2237533 I 72120 $47274 $1305375SO 51253 $2340 s0 104 S3 $184840-
0 SO 11041 $364 $11353 5081 3709183 519E861E $262) 456 S1457500 15 Ss35-2 $3293
3 17294 $1 9 $ 9-- $ 293 $157473 $138525-5
16 V0 $1353 $3365 0 s 1I1Ns -3717 21f5 $230328917 - $ 7C 1270 2082220 $776726 $1523340$7 $II35 $34 32 0 $0 1104c8 $37312 $11 $372 4 $3105663 $2183578 $156771 1533718 S 1-13 $35 1 0 so 1048 $7332377 t1931039 $1638010$22-103419 $0 $11353 $3571 0 $0 11048 $3544S2 $135q Q83123 $3487437 $2385910 $M947 $168783120 $0 $1135q $364( $0 11048 $40-37 $1135 $391212 $3673088 $2477512 $2053881 $1733230$0 $11359 $3715 021 $9 11048 $40419 $113553 $399060 $3855214 $2563130 $2123 19 $1774600
$567 9S3 $--3073 0$0 M 801 $6831186 $737031 $6034154
A-17
SUPTIONS TABLE TABLE A-9 (Contd) EENPT-OET TAKE (Caiculated)
Ecoc an Firarzial Palysis for Energy Investments - Egypt EEA 1l6
Caits Co=ts Berefit Parameters Irterrz2 Rate R~Return 5368
Acquisition $567958 trice of Oil $250 i-b (yr I) Tarsprcrtator
Constructior
Interconnectior
$0
$0
so
Oii Esalat
Enrgy Savnps
2 0vear
11042 bblyear
Disc
Rate
V Cf
PerEfits
V of
Costs -IV
FC
Ratio
------------TOTP (ap 57959
Fuel Use 0 bl1year 0 $f)83 33
$797031 75537
1609454 $481444E
865 737
Construct Tire 10 rnortns 4 14573 437 6 $332f 886
$724224Q13855214 $700138 $S-125748
632 546
OperatinL and Ncrmal MaIntenarce Costs 3- L 5)5 1 $27K755
$ES376 $666557
5t 130 $2123199
475 419
Ooerating Cost
OperatiTrg LifetiMe
$1359 year
21 years
1 if25H37 2 $24229
3 S2276893
$660307 G 5o637
$649645
$5939081 $1774600
16-2724
394 371
350
Major Equipment RepaiReplacemert bull~~l i4$2239005 -2 01S32
$64508 $14948162051 375435$640 1 $ 4 5
3 2 315
Replace Cost
Replace Period
$0 period
20 years
16 $1X4 695 18 S1711294
20N $1 550 503
$637197 $1267498 $530652 $1080641
$625165 $925338
299 271
248
A-18
Econr- ard Fra--a haavsi fcr Er=rv investerts -- Ecyzt E
For Case ofFELD TEST 4 - HELWANTEXTILES3TE -9T REZOVERY (PCE C-O 3IBiL) PssuTir~g Oil Escalation Rate c 20
Year Capital
Cost Ooeratir
Cost Cost cf Oil
$lBbl Fuel Used
(Ebl) Fuel Cost
Saved Erergy Eauiv
ValS cf Saved
Enercy Pnral
Cost Ls iCh Crrert 1
Di-cousteJ 4
Cash Flow 8
(NPV) i 10
=
12
I P~uis~xor~1567958 Transvort $0
1 cntrct mc- 1Irte-ccrret ic
a1s
4
6
Q$ 11
12 13
14 5
16
17
18
19
20 21
$
to 11Z so 1353 C 1-S s$o $1
$0 t13
$0 $i359 $0 $
S 11135-
3 $0 $11359
$0 $1359 $ $-353
$0 I353 0 $ 111359 $0 111359
so S11359 SC $11359
$ $11359
$0 $11359 $0 $11359
$4so $ $3121 $3164
824
$3312
$3378
$3445 $3515
$3657 37730
S33(
$138 $3958 $4033
$4118
$4201
$4285 $4370 5445
(1 0
C
0
0
C00 0
0 0
0 0
0 0 C
0
0
0
0 0
$0 $0 $0
$0
$0
$0
SCso $0
$-$0
$0 $0
$0 $0 s0
$0
so
$0 $0 $0
184 1104 11048 11048
1104S
11048
110 3
11048110 I 8
1(148 11048
11049 11048
11049 11048 11046
11048
11048
11048
11048 11048
S5524C
$338069 S344831 t3727
$3537S
$ 37
$37-
t33-7 2$38 3 $383335
$3161 $4(402
$412104 $42034S
$423753 $47328 $445075
$454995
$464056
$473378
$482845 $492502
$563851
S11355 $11359 S11355
5
11135
$1352
11355s
115335
$1359 $11359
$113 $112-59 $11353
$11353
$11353
$11359 $11359 $11359
11) ($514611
S2 710 33471 $1784 $340368 $410431 S$34740 1 $7 392 IK3457 $333829
i351390$123484
-255 $15= 3 $11353$27976 $1840978 S13-36384743 $2111293
9 $3665 $2376563
$40$745 1636279 $40S987 $2 832331 $417394 $2142007 42 99 $338934
$434716 $6Sl376
$443637 $387238 $4E2 737 14093661 $452019 $4327726 $471486 $4155514 $481143 $4771101
($51461
$73796 $343991
5539 342
$84661
$1063717
S284236 $1487914
$680371 S1862251
$2034124 $21955326
$23--0 013 $2495039 $262079
$2761573
$2883934
$2999553
S3103802 $3212031
($54611
$5-7994 $313717
$50998
$77162
$975443
$164984 $134)846
$504014 $165540A
$1795862 $1926178
$2047082 $2159253 $226-3321
$2359869
$2 449 441 $2532539 $2609631 $2681150
($514611)
06
$42935 $285202
$S505933
$707180
$80527
$57603 $1209862 $1348604 $1475031
$1590 236 $1695213
$79)359 $1878030 $1957451
$2029818
$2095757
$2155838
$2210580 $2260459
$567958 $229073 0 $0 222801 $8 269423 $797031 $7472391
A-19
TABLE A-10 (Contd) ASSUMPTIONS TABLE EENEFIT- ST TABLE (Calculated)
Econoraic are Fin=-ial alycsis for Energy Investments - Egypt EA 101965
iaital ccsts Bereifit Parameters internal Rate of Peturr SE55
Acquisition $H67353 Price of Oil $3000 bbl (yr 1) Transportatio $0 Oil Escalat 20year Disc PV of PV of BIC Constructior $0 Rate Benefits Costs NPV Ratio
Irterconectior $0 Errgy Savncs 11048 bblyear ---shy=-- Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 $8263423 $797031 $7472391 1038
TOTAL (Cap $79-53 24$6684040 $755587 $592Or 453 S85
4$542E325 $724224 $4771101 753Construct Time 10 months 6$459063 $700138 $3890925 656 8$3 893 406 $681376 $322 031 5 71
Operating and Normal Mainterance Costs 10 $2347706 $666557 $2681I0 502 - 11 $3119241 $660307 $3458934 472
Operating Cost $1359 year 12 $2915155 $654697 $2260459 445 Operating Lifetime 21 years 3 $_73 272 $64364Z $2081627 421
14 $2567880 $645082 $1922796 398Major Equipment RepairReplacemient 15 $2419662 $640951 $1778712 378
16 $228-634 $637197 $1648437 359 Replace Cost $0 period 18 $2053553 $630653 $1422900 326
Replace Period 20 years A-20 20 $1860603 $625165 $1235439 298
poundcenrzzc ar Firarial Analysis fcr Energy irnvesttterts -- EZyt pound2~ 10g88
TABLE A-Il
For Case of-EL TEST 4 - ELqN E LEA ATEP2ERy -E-D701 $35KL) Assumir Oil Escalaticn Rate cf 20
Savet- Vaiue cflaza 2eratn Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel Ererpy Saved Arnual Can_ Flow Discourtee Cas Flow (NV) i =Yea Cost Cost $pbl (Ebl) Cost Eauiv Enercy Ezt C-rrert $ 8 10 12 - -cuisittor -567-
Trarsocr $
crstrttir Irterznr or $0
7t Z-=7s5 3 $3Z0I 0 $0 1841 $amp4447 $59652 $505 405) ($-5405) ($505 405) (50540)5 ($55405$0 $11359 t3E70 so 1048 $34414 $11359 $353055 ($137083) ($I724) 173) ($16331)$1 $1359 $940 $ 1048 $4(2 32 $11353 $39C 76543 1224 $16444S $HE 92 $1482664 $0 $11359 $3714E Q $0 11043 359 89$41(2348 $1139 52 8 $5068 SSC I217 $4 5 6 7so TIIM $3789 Q V1 11043 $418E5f $11359 S$4)7 IgS 76 $4651687 $432258$927 138 $300478 $7432 807 $6i9103g
$0 $1359 $3864 0 $0 11048 $42S 98 $415527m3 833 $65704 11 C V001841o$0 1135g $3942 0 $0 11048 $435464 $11359 $$424105 $1603881 $135-564 124238 $1141707$ - $420 0 $0 1104-8 $4174 s3523 $43281- $232784 $1503107 $h63340 $1337491$0 $11359 $4101 0 $0 11048 s4_z_c- $ -9 S 4441-93$22E 52 $841743 $1S89396 $15158685$0 Sn359 $4183I 0 50 11049 $4621E $I353 $450753 $2572227 $206723 $1860582 $1878434 0 $11359 $4266 0 so 11048 $471-8 $125912 $46C 12 $22-987 $2280305 $2037912 $182S542t $1-9 43520 2
$0 11048 $48075 $1359 $4E9423 $3187919 12451E35 $2202444 $i961492$ $1139 $4439 0 $0 1104S $49C404 $11159 $479 4- $3437129 $2671870 $2375023 $2084450$0 S359 $452814 0 $0 11048 $50212 $113515 $483853 $378072 $2851 620 $2495386 S2196483s$ $I359 $4618 0 s0 11048 $51G216 $11359 $498557 $4065793 $3021462 $22205 V 298 559$- 52 $471116 0 $0 11048 $520420 $1$37 5 150306 1 $4351463 $3181939 $274916 $2391563$1359 $4805 0 $0 11048 $53129 $11359 $51347Q $4628812 13333567 $2882967 $247629 18 $0 S1359 $4901 0 $0 11048 $541445 S11359 $530086 $4900944 $347583K $2S7842 $255350319 so $11353 $4993 0 so 11048 S=52274 $11359 S540915 $5167955 $3612197 $3065131 $2L3644$0 si359 $509920 0 $0 11048 $530 $1135921 $551961 $5429939 $3740093 $315381 $2687930$0 $11359 $5201 0 so 11048 $574586 $11359 $563227 $56869B9 $3850932 $3239101 $2746318
$567958 $229073 0$0 2L801 $9647660 $797031 $8850629
A-21
SSUmOTIO3 TAlBLE TABLE A-lI (Contd)
PNEFT-COSTS TALE (Calculated)
Economic and Fir ancia Analysis fc-Energy Investments -- Egypt EEA I0P386
Calita costs Penefit arazeters
$cuistion$Z723 Price of Oil $ h500bb (yr 1)Trarspcrtation t0 Oii Escalat 20year Corstructcr $0
Irtercornection $0 Enray Savs 11048 bblyear -- - Fuel Use 0 bblyear
TOTAL (Cap) $5 57 8
Construct Time 10 mnrths
Coeratir ard Normal Maintenance Costs
Ooerating Cost $1135 yEar Operating Lifetime 21 years
MaJor Equipment RepairReplacemert
Replace Cost $0 period Replace Period 20 years
A-22
nterral Rate of Return 7785
Disc PV of PV of Rate Benefits Costs NTV --- _--
V S9647EGO $7-7031 $8850629 N $7793047 $755587 $7042460
4 $E411212 $724224 $568698961S 3S240 $700138 $4656102
8 $454 307 $681376 $3860 93-10 $305657 $666557 $323910111 Q633114 JE0307 $2978 SO3 I E $3401015 $654697 $2746318 I 387650 $S4964c5 $2538005 14 $25860 S645C83 $2350776 15 t- B940 $64051 $2181939
16 $266E 573 $37197 $2029376 18 $2395812 $630653 $1765159 20 $2170704 $625165 $1545539
BIC Ratio
1210 1032
885 75
667 586
551 519 491
464 440
418 380 347
Econoir a-nFinaci AralySi f- Ererzy InvEstments -- 07ptE LE
TP93
For Case ofFIELD TEST 4 - F1-LWA TEXTT -- (nC O= ]L s40PEt) Assuirz Oil Escalation Rate of 20
Saved Value cCaita 29ratir s of C Fuel Used
Fuel Erer y 3ave_- pal Casn Flo^ fLiscured Cash Flc (NPV 2 erCost Cost I Ib) Cost Euiv --ervy Cost Currert 3 4 8 10 12
1 7rans~crt $0
$ Tr O iS - 0 2$0 124 373655 39=851 ( 433193 (14351 ($ 6 1 8 $4 5 1 8931 4968l$ --3 $4020 0 VI 11048 $45C 3SI23 $42 2S W3698) ($33473 (35744) ($103877)0 1_3 0 so4152 1248 453 774 5 $34085amp Q95 07$0 443415 $ S273847 553596= S24 45 $0 1048 $45-95 $11359 $4Z7E $74770 SS5362 517656 573314S0 C 5 $4330 0 $0 11048 $47-34c 31259 $425339 $114f884 $$001513 5936616 $8760940 $59 $44E 0 $0 11048 4$10 1253 $47_55_9 1532579 13-2950 1232520 11146505
- c $S450- 0 sO N04E 147574 i $4263559 13C $1632410 $507021 $392887$10 $11259 14535 0 $0 11042 $5077 $ 3~5$1 268$4-3 $2700043 121 978 $176169G $167374I 135 $4627 0 so Ns04 1577S s259 S2670080 9f5282o 1 7 14W 2 I $19337945 5182903$478S 0 $0 043 $1s53 S52776 13033160 12454038 $2217103 20026411 9 $47 0 014876$S-E_ 4 1104--20 = 3 5pound 7 07$14800803 0O $3269358o$0 c 359 S 3 7 $2442 421 $217805$
s2 37115$5171 $0s14 1 S355 $E74 11048 S -511113-f 1743 102 $4C1L 27 $13147202 $2783 987 $24736230 $0 114048 517 311 HI9 S56312 $4418436 S13357 $294628332217 12602037I5 $0 $1353 $1z Sf 312$7578 0 $0 11048 $I 319 $439 _7$3$527404 $59 -40$7745 $278 gO $ 43$4743604 $3547884 $30998428 $2719087$0 $I Ec $383 016 $0 11048 $5547ES v11255 $H62407 S5072550 $3 799 $323E511 12825674$11359 $549 0 S0 1048 SE s 311 50 $ 9-25562U $2 2 718 $O $1-253 $5 0 $0 11048 61875 1i3 $470 8 40693133 1482244 20120715 $0 135I $5713 0 so 11043 $5217 3 77$113 9 775 $470 $2248 4 01 7$30912010 $0 11359 $5 827 0 $0 11048 $642794 $11359 $632435 $S39t367 $4371382 $370130 $3165280
21 $0 $11359 $5944 0 $0 11048 1656570 511359 S645311 6602876 $4509833 $3797052 $3232177
$567953 $ 29073 8970 10 801 511 02-5 $797031 $10228866
A-23
TABLE A-12 (Contd)PSSI PTIONSTAJKE rEnJT-DETS ^2LE(Caiculated)
E~onoma~infncia fcr Erery Investwerts - Egypt EA 1036
LapitE --ts Penefit Parameters ternr ate cf ketur 9060
Pquisition $-57958 Price of CI Trasortaticon $f CiI Escalat
onstructIon $0
iterzorr-ction $0 Ernrgy Savrs ------ Fuel Use
77A ao) $567958
Construct Time 10 months
OpEratirg ar N-rmal Mairterance Ccsts ------
Operating Cost $1355 year Operatirn Lifetime 2 years
Major Eqiprent RepairRezlacement
Replace Cost $0 period Replace Period 20 years
$4K lbb (yr 1) 20year
11043 bbllyear
0 bblyear
Ns PV of PV of Rate eni L-sts NPV
0$11025 397 1797031 $1022666 2 25q3 75E587 $ 156466 4 $7327100 $724-4 $6602876
6 $$121418 $700138 $5421280
e5191203 $68376 $4509833 10 $4463603 $66-57 $377C52 11 $4152988 $G 307 $3498681 12 $3865874 $654697 $3232177 13 13643029 $543645 $2993384
14 $3L423840 $645083 $27875615 S3226217 $6402351 $2585266 16 13047512 $637197 $2410315 18 $2738071 $630653 $2107418 20 $24008 5 $625165 $1855640
BC Ratio
1383 1179
1012
874
762 670
630
594
561
531 503
478 434
397
A-24
-c-nc an Firanzia Pralysisfcr Erergy Irvestrents -- Env t E 0
TALE P--3
Fer Case tfFEI7E3ET4 - FLN TEXTILESCLR PLUS
Assuming Oil Escalafior Rate oF 0
73 T ECCeZRY (PR_5rCF OIL S15BL)
r a
bull
etaIOiertrg
ssost Ccst Of Oi
$I Fe Lse
(E-12 Fuel
Save -Enery Eciv
a L Ef SaveS
Erery ra Ccst
asn Fli CLrrert f
sccunted 4
Cash Floo (NPV) 8 10
i
2
bull
4
5
7
0
1
2
13
14
16
17
is
19 20
21
r S CCrrnst cr $cr
erzcn11 on
Toa7 52 $2313 $ 13279 SC 13279 S t13979 $ $2673
C5r2
$0 $13573
S $13873 $ S$13279 $0 t373 $0 $13 79 $0 $387 $0 $13S79
$0 $1357S
$0Si 3279 $0 513879
$0 $13279
$ $137
0 $13879 $0 $S3879
($E300) $13879
$711653 $279893
V500
$1530 S561
S5592 $1624 $16565
$1689
$1723 $1757
$1733
$1326
$1265
I -
$1140
$1973 $20
S205 $2100
$2142 $2185
$22-29
0 0
0
r)
0
0
r
0
0 0 0
0
0 0 0
0
O$0 189 $28490 $720263 $0 1396 $17453 $13 S7 $0 113SE $177346 t-879 $$C 13 $1803 2a7g $$0 1139 12503 S1387 $0 1396 $183732 7 2 2S 0 13 $192 3 $13879
$0 1 c 9E3 8761 $0 11396 $20 2E3 $3872 $0 1396 $20423 V2 273 $0 11396 $20335 S13873 0 1132H $212542 T2272 $0 11396 $216733 $1387 $0 11396 $221129 $13879
to 1139S $25f2 3 $0 11353 523063 $13873 $0 11396 $234664 $13873 $0 11396 $23357 $13879
$0 11396 $244144 $13879 $0 11396 $249027 13879 $0 11396 $254008 $7579
$0 22819 $4264950 $991546
A-25
(77-773(5691771 1$691776) 164 C ($537432) ($542184)
$ 367 138E872) (M402609) 37524 ($23E944) f$263623) $17 ($90642) ($143 2 73174853 $307 -14 -- 7G 4 ( 8 $173627 $194245 $8774amp
$182477 t33293 $114220 S1 404 $49117 $2-4229 $10 410 s 027 $390 181 $154496 $734291 $490270 $193663 $86Z339 $565474 $202914 $3073 $amp46054 $207250 $1114548 722259
$11amp73 $1236783 $794325f216184 $356823 $862476 t220785 474702 $92921 $22- 478 $590456 $987860
$23)265 $1704121 $1045484 235148 $1815733 $10-971
$24642 $1928200 $1152842
$3273404
(691 776) ($691776)
($545885) ($543491) ($410376) ($417777) ($264512) (532537) (17613) (189767) (9 ) ( 1( $ 53 0 4 -4 ) -$1) $41737 ($53)
$135427 S82491 $22238s $157776 $303138 $M-6440 $373125 $289063 $447755 34o174 $S12410 $398257 $572443 $445753
$S28193 S8066$679935 $528562
$727985 $564576 $772594 $597416
$814010 $27360 $852458 $6546G2 $889088 $680208
TABLE A-13 (Contd) PSc6UY1TTG TAKE 52ZFEI-CSTS TXLE Calculated)
Econo iar narza 9Aais- for ErErgy Investments shy Eypt EZE 1ci35
Capital Ccsts Benefit Parameters Irternal RatE c Return 24953
~ccui i tcr717953 Price of Oil $15Y0 bbl (yr 1) T-ars~crtat ion $0 Oil Escalat 20year Disc tV of V of BC
crstruct ion $0 Rate Benefits Costs NP Ratio Intercornectior $ Enrgy Savrs 11396 L11year
FuE US= 0 bbiyear 0 $4264950 $991546 $3273404 431
TOTPL (Cap)-77953 2 447230 $942ss $2 504m 366 4t $2334211 $301011 $1928200 313
Costruct T 0 mth_ 357 838 $877493 $1490346 270 12110080 $85511 $112842 235
Operatin and Ncrma aintenarce Costs 0 $7 S76 $837483 $883068 0 11 $1608747 $830008 $778739 194
Operatin Cost Oeratirg Lifet1 M1
$_87T year years
2-$502490 13 $1403 168
$823281 $917216
$660203 $9195
183 172
14 $1324383 $311730 $512652 163 Major Equipert ReoairRepiacemert 15 $1247940 $80S 754 $441185 155
16 $1178815 $80222 $37658S 147 Replace Cost ($6300)period 18 $1o9119 $794327 $264792 133
Replace Period 20 years 20 $3959605 $787687 $171918 122
A-26
-- tr- er F-= v fc E-r= 1r tesirt_Egyrt EEP
TqPPLE P-4
F- caecfFlDTST t4 - UEL$Q TEXTILESDLAR PLUS WASTE HET -COVERpY(Pj- OF OIL $S31PL) nssuring Cil Escalatio- Pate c
Ltal Ccst cF Oil Fuel Used savet Va- cCa 0eratin Fuel Er-er SavE Armia Lasn FowDy riscoured Cash Fco (N7V) i vew t cost $b (b) Cost Eciv nert Cost Currert $ 4 810 10 12
ftP ic ro717953 I rarszc-t $0
r r $0|
f7753 $t S2100S23-13 so 1233-7 37 933747 ($S62-202 (23N ($682280)S Z-2) z $11279 M--7
3 2 $12 $Q373 (447205 $47 67-3 t$453t2 ($487110)3173 $DE 3S 2 2712 T 3S1249 t1$2532) ($2Sj731 ($292049 ($30-23)v W 2n UL22 22732
4 0 so 37 7 SE2923 (-2742S) ($27 531 ($146842)$0 1 57 $ 3 H 5 7 8 fit 73 1 2 8 0$2208 0 $0 3S tKj2 H872Q $237763 121 449 1-543 $17901 S6 3$ $1o73 32152 0 so Ins I25 E7 $1373 524796 152334 S373 47 o1l953 12503tq7 $21 0 so ni8 $2E 8( C3973 t715740 521 13 $24792954413 $1 190
0 $ 1279 $2343 0 33 6 5S L3 73 152 ME3 $22726 SSE913 = k S473433C En 1i c SC 2H6 127-ESE $1373 5237506504E52517O3 $71230 S672916 56391 $0 $13379 $2438 0 $0 113H S773-S25 272 4 5 7 $911492 $726E2 $651646I1 $0 S879 $2457 0 SO 3 $322 1372 5251 1143736 $7C702 $SE7144 $72912313 7 =36 s2 5 $1273 $275173 M160612 S113 353 5954024 $7 55514 SO H1079 121E7 0 so 1s3 I234m3 I 73 $2503H0 1772343 $123966 $1036208 S 414415 $ $1o7 $S3 0 $0 11336 C3002 $1 $3K7Z $1372 $St7557 S M37330 A1746$9M 840a $- 2 56 c so 3 1m237i 123287 129 3 MI42 LEE $97E34717 SO $13879 $-740 $0 1296 531S3525
12 7 1387 $2-30 $2 $51637 5 4E97 5 A 2vO 1 ST2 0 0a7 $209 1123S 1314 $13879 1305 264 $241E979 C59 43E 30N IbX3 581Ws19 $0 11387 $2356 0 $0 11336 $3H526 $13879 $311647 $2570817 $1677425 5133377 $111010820 $0 $12879 $2114 0 $0 i13 $33203S $13879 $318157 $2721828 61751146 S415399 $114704821 ($6300) $13879 $272 0 $0 11396 $338677 $7579 $331028 $2872937 $1822182 $1464614 $1181372
$71653 $279893 0$0 M819 S56686) $991546 $4095054
A-27
TABLE A-14 (Contd) 3M-S rET-N7 CSTS TPULZ CalLNated)
Ecobullric anf 7rT a f- Erer Investrents -- E F ay A 1916
Capita Sosts BersEft taraampeters R-ae -eturf 3402
Aczuisitjorn $717953 Trarnscrtatior $0
Price of Oil Oil Escalat
$2000 bbl year
(yr 1) poundai_ PEcf cf BC
Zcnstructior $0 Rate Penefits Costs NOV Ratio ir$tez)rectio
TOTAL tCa ) $717 953
Enrgy Savrs Fuel Use
1129 bblyear 0 bblyear
==shy0$568GG00 2- $4 33257
$954E $342962
$4535 054 $3 534i
574 487
Lo stru 6 Time 10 con-h r1 e-
4$3773943 $357118
E2Z17363
$9S 011 $2 872 937 S877493 $2279625 $S5518 S1 822182
41736 360 313
rPEratino ans Nrmal Maintenance Costs
Oueratirg Cost $13872 year Cpratir Lifetime 21 years
0 S2302104-1-$214493G
2$2004 53 -1S 78330
$5374n9$330008
$S2323 $817216
$464614$131A93
$IE1372 2051674
275 258
243 230
Major Equiprent RepairReplacemernt 14 $17 5843 5 $1G663919
$311730 SS06754
$954113 $7 165
218 206
Replace Cost Replace Period
(N6300)period 20 years
16 $571753 18 $1412159 20 $1279474
$802 22 $794327 $787687
$769524 $617832 $491787
6 178 162
A-28
- ranzcal Analysis fc- Enery vestrent_ - Eynt EE 0
TALE t-E
77 P7 q (NU - C$Ipp Asumzr_ O EscaatorRate cf 0
ot _o-tr o
ct of Oil $1-
Fuel Used (Ebl)
FL Cost
Save Ergy
Ecuiv
a1e e-
Errgy r
ost Ca--ic
rrer $ DisEcurted Cash 4 8
Floh (NPV) 10
P i 12n
I
I
Acuis~tion S177 Trar-pcr T
cnstr=ticr $0 rernct cshy
7S7
-
V I
In
I $1227
t3S7
I27T
2E F - 03
1706Q_
0
0 $0
0S0 1
--shy29 S4748
E $-5
3 2419 122723 $32
I3F 13 33f
$72
137 $187 7 $13879
S2$ (333727-3
7Z73 ($4 707
SZS2 E-I (V454 1 135104E 3$2 4 S3--2S3
($672733)
($41ESE2)
$1743-7$c 271122
(72731
($421-20)
(SIS7723$23000
$2-1152
(S672783
(S4252
S201430)$4E39
$1203
-$ 3
14
IS 7
18 19
20
21
C$$3875
c $ 17
$17573-$$ S 2 73
S $12272
S 10 113273
$0 12E73
V$ 1-73 $0 7 $0 $1327
$0 $13872 V $13873
$0 $13873
(05300) $13879
12760 82
227272
3 $232
$3047
$3108 $317
$3234
$323
t$365 $3432
$3507
13571
$3642
13715
0
C
C J
0 C
0
0 0 0
0
0
0
1
10
$0
$c
so $0
so
$0 $0
$0
$0
$0
$0
336 $314553 1133S $32844 2H t61735
133 1 3S 135G $34(432
1336 $7gt
1332 $354227 1133 $30132L
13 $363543
$37
139E $383432 11222 $23
1 S332$3=22 1133 $406 9-7
113 $415046
11396 $423346
s12 7 $i E74 $8 $47575_ $846 $13E79 1-_- - $ tq520120 s 379 3132332 1103568 S3f2050 1750934
01279 133227 11 _2433 $11024 27 $71 82 373 32 6S0 $1553 S02 $1183280 $038694 $S87 13-3413 S79 04 $1342714 S111722
$237 1o3558 2 134 $148368 $i2632 1387 $347443 $2217146 162562 5133723$ 1 $12753 $254670 $243-151 S1757074 S149 74
S3 $ E K22 $180334 C 5 53 $1337 $362S55 $2 44423 51933835 V16E3750 S3879 $377322 7223 $2106944 51 8M465
$1373 7-E5- $ 24502 $221101 84 2 05-$13 79 $3 3 028 $3437512 $2309366 $1912745
$13373 $401167 $3627923 $2402321 $1978339 S7579 $4f-5767 $387674 $2491523 $2040140
$3E2613 V1813
165S399
$78102 $32673
1014228
$111073 I31253
$282534
$1 35 $1424132
66
$5474 $1572856 S1 39434 $1682535
$71153 $273933 0 $0 22819 $7105250 $991546 $6116704
A-29
TABLE A-15 (Contd)gSSVL1TKE--- TAL-2 12alculated)
-cic ar -ari - lysis fc Erery rvestrrts - Egypt EEP i9IlS
Costs Perefit PararetErs Irsternal Rate cf Return 4318
M-quisition $7174953 Trice of il $200 bbl (yr 1)Transportat ir $ Ci1 scalat 20year Disc PV of PV of BICCostructic-n so
nate Derefits Costs f1] Ratio interconnection $0 Enrgy Savrs 11395 bbiyear
- -FUEUSEQ tYear 0 702250 $99FAG $E11Z704 717TOTPL (Cap) $717953 2$-74 483 $942 962 $4802515 609 4 $4723695 $905011 $3817674 521Construct Tirr 10 ronths $21-4pound397 $877493 $20E2904 450 8w $3 704 $855181 2 23 3910perztin and rcaMainterance Costs 10 $277630 $837483 $2 040 140 344
Operating Cost $13379 year 1I$2681 244 s830008 $1851237 323 12 $S2505816 iK23281 $162 535Operating_ Lifetime 21 years
304 13 $2348613 $817216 $1531397 287 14 $2207304 $311730 $139-574 2072Major Equipmert RepairReplacement 15 $2079899 $60E754 $1273145 258 1 $1924 $802229 $162462 245Replace Cost $300period 18 $176Z198 $794327 $370871 222Replace Period 20 years 20 $1593342 $787687 $811655 203
A-30
rcrc= ~ar rial Zralys- f- Erery lrivertfrentE -- E_=yt E
TQILE P-6
Fo Ca-se cfIELD TEST 4 - H-L4AN TEXTILPSIR
sunrini Esalation Rate cf 21
rILU3 WASTE H7AT Ey VD-- OIL 530B)
YEar aia
eratir Cost of Oil
cSst $1b Fuel Used ru
Ergry
Ecu I ZaVE f
ZnEr y Anru
COSt aS 7-06
rret 1 -iEzurtE 4
Cash 3
Flow (NV) 10
3 = 8
1 ra-rt
rn-rjt or $0 $0
4
2
14
15
16 17
is 12
20 21
73
$0 $7 so $0 $0$0 $0
C
$0
$0
S $ $0
so $0
$0 ($6300)
232-
23277w 37 63S
119 S387 $2879$13q73 $711$c
3273
1373 2733
S387-
S1237
2M79 $13r379
$12873 $13873
$13879 $3879
$35 S$ 60
3 284 $-247 S-is $3378 $3446$L515( $-c
$357
$73 0 $3805
$23
$-3958
S4022 $4118
$4201 $4265
$4370 $4458
00 0 0 0 0 0 0C
0
0 (
0
0
3 0
0
0 0
SO $0 SO $0 $l $0 $0 $0
S1 so $0
$0
$0
$0
$0 so
$0 $0
M51--S1333 $343 718 261- s337
33 2 33S $273062 3 $377453 233H $35012 336 3K1173I3 4f =c
$40Z S72
133S $41E750 136 $42525 1396 $43287
136 S442253 113 $451102
$4 2 1393 $4-C223 13^6 s4727-11396 $483289 i39g $498OE5 11396 $508016
hC S23873
$13873 S13873 T1387 $13 S72 $-
3 S 7 $23873 2 I12579 233q73
$17379
$12273 SI6373
513373 $13279
$13879 $7579
5
3332- ($$32236 (SS3386) ($$3335)12342333 ( H32t ( (1358887) 36 23 1813 (12- 1) (-- 20) (176337 ($3K-
-333743 27 264n4 27-3 $1Z756 1 5 35S133 $ 2-5 $47E533 $429034 S2-253 $3S3584 $32$TK-40 $65473 $559135 271133 $18 2 392 86423S777323 $378E34 $L5375Z $ E 66 103688 St458
- 44 3 $7 3 88 $230 S104765
3 202224 S57_- $1406472 S1247C37S402671 $DD141s $S773936$561796 $1376S11 1266 5r2 Q5SK235 S s 03
$41370P S2 79 $211E957 t 3653 $160275 $425379 13 27352 $227448 V3733 $437224 2 4$2 7t79390 $443246 125 32- $2564014 $285102 1J7317 $4-5449352 3 536 95 2284 $8294S311 $464336 $4070 026 $2322SE $2376786 12012911 $474410 $4304208 $2941307 $2462113 $2075603 $44176 $4534018 $305Z49 $2541279 $2130820 $500437 S47[2411 $3160864 $2615666 $2183698
$711653 $27993 0 $0 E29819 $8529900 $991546 $7538354
A-31
TLE TABLE A-16 (Contd)
- -1T E l-ate)
Znor~i ari -iraria2 alysis for Energy ireVstrents - Egypt EA1
LEitET Csts Eerefit Pararveters Interra Rate of eturr f255
Acouisition $752 ranspecrtaticr $$ Construction $0
rtercorrectior so
Price cf 04 0i Escaiat
Enrgy Savrs
$3 b (y-0yaar
1335 5byear
1) Dis- Rate
-
2V cf Benefits
PVof Costs NPV
BC Ratio
----------T2T_ CapL
--- Fuel Use 0 byear 852230C s432 $
$55 342 H5
77538254 $$f95$ 6A2- 6
860
--rstrct Tire 10 rths 4 $56642 6$473r-67
$90E 011 $877 49
$47E2411 $335- 184
62 E40
Operating and Nomra Maitenance Costs 8$4016044
10 $3452155 $8KZ 31 $827483
13 856amp4 $269666
470 412
Operating Cost Dperating Lifetime
$3872 21
year years
1 3217493 12n $00E930 13 $2218335
$33000c $823281 $817216
f2 387 486 $2183693 $2001 1
383 365 345
Major Equipment Repirez acement 4$2648765
15 $2A4S5619 $811730 $802754
1637035 $1689125
o 309
Replace Cost Replace Period
($5300)period 20 years
-$2327629 18 $2118238 20 $1919210
$822 $794327 $787687
$55 400 $1213911 $131524
-94 267 244
A-32
Eccic and iranza Pr-i- frEre irvEter -- Eypt EEq 10135-
TRPLE A-17
FcrCse TZST 44 - HELWN T-EE-2- WA7ST EW PRfL KMIY rOIL $351BL) Ass-ir- 02lEaldegio Rate cf 20
Saved Ya- cfCEita7 Ocratin Ccst of Di Fuel Used Fuel E rerry SavEd rd Caa--FioA Liscoured Cash Flow (MTN)Year -St cst SBbI (2b2) Cost Equiv i
rerV C-rrert $ 4 8 10 12
ransport P
I rt-rzcre ic $
ctal t777 SH$00 0 so
1833 5$477 $72255 ($$732 SE279 ) ($S5790) ($653790) ($53790)7-27 $-7 0Z27$0$ 3 $ 94) n- 3
0$0 r- 17365 $414974 $13673 SA 01 S354 $348 92-12 c30$ 12F7c S3714 $0 37 $42ST27 $13 $401-74793 B1 SZ384C $ $342M12 $302215$ $3789 11336 $437 379 S417 $7 $1873 $864 E $E 7 $7 -7730 $0 11336 1440374 $13873 $4 4K3 $G576 1$7330 $SK2736 $M57770 s0 13 44 $187 0 S
$43 E302 $1510 601 S1 E44 $1133453C 1 S7372 $4020 S103 Z- 7 84 S13 50 283 $13442 $1237257S 7S E $411 13 $473 1 873 $4344 $2173553 $1754865 $157379 $420428 I 13879 4183 0 $0 136 $47L575 $337 $4L73Sbull ~$ $--37 -n S2504 707 S9379 $ 7742-0 $ 873177 $42EE 13 $-71 11133S 1299 IO4 2 37$4 23 273 -2-3 $2823796 $225158 $9523 $733394S7 $352 0 so 11326 54H $ 3 4 $3332 $241302 1212330 t8773732 $ 73 $4433 0 $0 11336 55585 712579 $47 $34 $2607271 $2 282067 $200425014 1 $11279 $4522 0 $0
12 11335 S515963 $1 273 1522 089 $74=754 $273 888 2427504 $2 113 3155 $0 7873 $4amp81- S $28973 S4711
0 $ $ 227 1 79 1511405 44rN657 $296E343 $2 43a $22241640 so 3965 $53z 11E7 t=1937 $-6 113 13 $4232024 2687624 $2319702$534 $31311417 $ 1272 $48 0 $0 11336 $747542 1367 $ 33470 1 535 $328E967 $283766 $24057562 V $1187 $430 0 $0 11336 $55-50 $13873 $544621 $453 543 $3434161 $2311516 $24K07719 $0 $12879 $499 0 $0 11336 $569670 $13873 $555791 $5170903 353248 $3011480 $255835120 10 $13279 $509 0 $0 11396 $591064 $13879 $567185 $5440113 $3704671 $3104220 $26L420521 ($6300) $12879 $5201 0 $0 11336 $532685 $7579 $525106 $5707148 $3830205 $3191192 $2684852
$711653 $279833 0 $0 229819 $9951551 $991546 $80004
A-33
TABLE A-17 (Contd)
Econorni a 7inarcia ay-- fc Ener~y investmerts -- Egypt ZE r986
Ca~it~a cstz Perefit Parameters Irnterrna Rate of Return 6217
Pcquisiticn 7i Transpc-tation $ Constr-ct ior $0
inter-conrection $0
TOTQL (Cap) $717953
--iceof 21 OillEscalat
Enr y Savgs Fuel Use
135K bb (yr 1) 2Ovear
113- bblyear 0 Ltlyear
DI sc PV of Rate Eer eFits
0$9IK551 2$043677
PV of CoS1 ots
$91545 $942908
PaPV
$3960004 $7100709
3C Rat i o
1004 853
Corstruc Time 10 mcrths
Operatirq an Normal Maintenare Costs
OPeratir Cost $13879 year Operating Lifetime 21 years
Major Equipmernt RepairReplacemernt
Replace Cost ($6300)period Replace Period 20 years
A-34
4 $6 613 1-S$ 24 95
8$4amp3825 $$4) 21
11 $3753742 2 $3506143 13$328058 14 $ C9026 15 $23159 16 $27550567 18 $2471278
20 $2239079
$906011 $877 493
$55S 131 $83748-$330008 $823 2 $817216 $S1730 $806754 $802 22n $794327
$787687
$5707 148 $4647 463
$3830205 $3191192 $2927735 $2684862 $2470842
$2278496 $10510-$1943339 $1676951
$1451392
730 630
548 481 452 426 402
381 361 343 311
284
Erno a - raial Ayaavs- fc EErcy IvestLErts -- E 5y 1NObr
TABLE A-B
For Case zf7- D EST 4 - PEWA TEXTLES2R olUS STE H- PE-5- G4-88 ZL Pssur 2i Esalaticr Rats cf 2(
Year
Laital
Cost
Oeratir
Ist
Cost Of Cil
$1IL5
Fue Use
(BL
FE
zc-st
Save Energy
Z4iv
V_-shy_ Saved
Energy
a1
Ccst
F1c
urre-t S
Dafiscourted Cash Flow (NPV) plusmn 4 8 -0 1
1 Trarspzrt $0
4
37--
0
$0
1
$16 $13279
$1387c
$40
$400 $4162
S4245
0
0
0
0
V
s0
$0
1239
11396 11396
336
$75973 $464957 $474255
- 6 $483741
$72026S
113379
137S 7 9 $13879
3644233)
S451078
$477U C 7 $463852
(S64433) (210fG4
14r1$2 5 o0n $-32786
(2644A) (12Z
$1 52 0 7 1
$541cent52
31544293)
(234=-) $ 4
$493269
(364423M)
S24 545) $24$ 5
$452903
A
7 8
-
10
12
13 14 15
16 17
18 19
20
21
$0 t0
0 $0 V $0
So
I$0 $0
$0 $0 $0
$0 $0
$0 $0
$0
($5300)
13273 T2879
$9 S237 $2873 $3873 $13873
$13879 $13879
$13873 $13873 42879
13673 $13879
$13879
$13879
$13879
$13879
14330 $4416
$4505 $4595 $4535 $4687 $4780
$4876 $4973
$5073 $5174 $5278
$5333 $5491
$5601
$5713
$5827
$5344
0
Q5 0 0 0 0
0 0
( 0 0
c 0
0
0
0 0
so so
o
so $0 $0
so $0
S $0 $O
$0 10
$0
$0
s0
$0
236 3133
1136 E I39 11396 11396 35
1396 11396
113 11336 11336
336
1396
11336
113
1135
11336
5$493416 $503264
35) 1 G 1
S531 1534083 $544771
$5665 S566780
1
$523 678 $60471
$612501 $525771
$G39286 55 Q52
$664073
S677 K4
$13873 S473537 $13873 $4834C-E
$13873 $49747 $3979 f50g 7-shy2
$1379 $52CI210 113873 $538321 227$5 -89 S3879 $541787
$79 K $-7579 $54236 $13273 577K $3873 S27532 113973 $53622 t3879 $11892 $3379 S624407
$13879 $337173
$3879 $650194 $757 $669775
$1042696 114443E
$18336301 $222704-
$2607162 1233016093 1
13346172 $7C- 32
$4 05746 $440256 $4742875
$-075824 $51402515
$5723072
$503759
$34c208 $6651884
$935- $825 M $764658$12M617 $10681 S10425
$-43 $1412669 1407 $123372E$715$=2 9
f39- $21843 11916875 $1735031 23 42 $1 $375$ 3427 $214202S t 53G $2636380 03 $9 $2 27 503 12544695 S2200320 $3037575 $2721482 $2405748 $3-3032352- 28970 12537706 S350348 $3045001 $2673393
$3698373 $2 183546 t757485 $3876979 $3 3711 $2867300
14045737 $3446247 12953242 $4205189 $356C8 3041099
$435846 $3657160 $311659 $4493545 $376678 $3186025
$711653 $279893 0 $0 12-93813 $11373201 $991546 $10381654
A-35
TABLE A-18 (Contd)- o-SOS TflBLE BEN T-2T TPBLE 7alculated)
zccc- an FiariJ Analysis for Energy Investments - Egypt EEA
Capita Colts BerEfit Parameters nterna lRate of Returr 7207
Acquisiticon 171753 Price of Oi $4000 lbL (yr 1) Transportation $0 Dil Escalat 20vear Disz FV of PV of BC
Construction $0 Rate Benefits Costs TV Ratio Iterconnection $0 Errgy Savrigs M-35 bblyear
-- -- ------- Fuel Use 0 bblyear $W373o $99546 $10381654 1147 TCTAL Cap) S717S53 2$1 773 $942968 SB2 49 - 5 975
4$7557396 $906011 $6E5884 834 Zonstruct Time 10 months 6 $-314236 $877493 15436743 72n
51354726 S855 18 1 $4 42S 545 G20Operating and Norcal ainterarce Costs 0$4604207 $S37489 $3766718 550
1$4289991 $3000 $345983 517 OeI-ating Cost $13879 year 48712 $4003306 $123281 $318G025
Operatin Lifetice 21 years r3 $177781 $817216 $2940565 460
14 $53637 $8730 $2719957 435 Vajcr Equiprrent RepairReplacement A $3327839 $80S754 $2521084 412
16 Z3 143506E $80212209 $2341277 392Replace Cost ($6300)period 18 $2824317 $794327 $2029990 356
Replace Period 20 years 200 $2558947 $787687 $1771260 325
A-36
E~zcrorci an4 ariaqrysr for EnEy Ivestrets -- -Gyrt = 3P
F c r C a s e o f F - r T 3 3 4 - j r 7 o i o s X_--
E 4 OR $251 FT -RC= $159P
ss=insectCA Escalation Rate cf 20
Save a - shyCaita eratirn Cost cf 01 Fue Used Fuel Ener) SavE AnnaI ash Floi Discounted Cash Flow () 9 iyE- cost Cost $Bb (2b1 Cost Epoundalv Energy Cost Current $ 4 8 10 12
l cuisiis 52452
Trans $2 Corstru_ o
ta 4 $-52 S $0 S2832 3$-22955 s28Sz3 ($128968) ($28928) (128)tc 52 C 10 34-2 $-324 S Z 24 ($125877 M$25991) (T2045) (S260981$ 0 $-55 0 s 34s S5431 $2110 s ($22707 ($123144) (3123301) (23450)$0 $ $2 0 $0 342 $f540 $2110s 40 11 S758) (242) 20704 S2 009S0 $T2-4 0 $0 34 $2110 25a0 (1273) (S17820 (32 3S759)S$0 2 $1G56 C $0 348 $763 $ 3 (1 1 3 7A s2 $13 0 f0 34 $E873 $2110 $379 (I0750 $12S ( S1 $14777)VC 2 $172- 0 $0 348 $-39 s 2 C2 $38ES (107797) h$1 (51)$130950 52110 $1757 C $0 342 $11 S2110 S400r ($104870) (t103526) (111004 ) (211401)$ c 120 $1793 C $0 348 $S28 522O S4123 31S9) (S10461 (S OS M) (1092) s210 I 512_ 348 $363 S2110 $42-5 (S39096) ($104491) ( S037($103 543)$0 S220 $sE5 0 ti shy32 t54 211 $435-0 (M251)
-- (S10261 ($22 ($07284)$0 $220 $1902 0 $1 343 $r2) 2110 $4510 (S93434) ($100821) 31$03G84) ($10512)14 $o S2110 $1940 0 $0 34 573 $2110 54243 ($50645) (S92114) (5)02340) (15062)5$0 52110 $1979bull 0 $0 343 S5683 I2110 $4778 (37am) ($9742q) ($10102) (S104085)6 $0 $2110 $201 0 so 342 S7C7 $21 $421517 50 ($5155) ($95 938) (ST2 90 ($103 1861$2110 0 )2059 348 $71 2 $$2o $ ms $22458) ($94462) ($S-30O ($102)o11 $ $2110 $210o 0 $0 34S
19 $7303 $2110 $-19- ($73789) ($92057) ($377T6 (01605$0 $2110 $2142 0 $0 348 $745M $2110 -5345 ($77150) ($91720) ($3814) ($100909)20 $0 $2110 S2185 0 $0
21 ($5438) $2110 $--29 0 348 $7605 $2 Ili $5495 ($74542) ($90446) (9916) ($100271)
$0 348 $7757 ($3328) $11085 ($69483) ($88068) ($9426a) (99 I2)
$124048 $42552 0 $0 7018 $130239 $166600 (36361)
A-37
ABSUPTIOS TABLE TABLE TABLE A-19 (Contd) IT--CCOTS TAL --C ed
and Fina-E P7aiysiz fc- Energy IrvestzErts -- ypt EE
aPita Ccsts Benrefit Parateters
Pquisitio 2948S Price cf Oil $1500 lbi (yr 1)Transortatior $0 Oil Escalat 20year
onstructio $0
rterconrectior $0 Enrgy Savns 348 b5year Fuel Use 0 thi
TOTAL (Cap) $123466
Construct Tirfe 10 months
Ozerating amNormal Mairterance Costs
Operatin Cost $2 110 year Oerating Lifetime 21 years
Major Equipment RepairReplaceuert
Replace Cost ($5438)Period Replace Period 2 years
Internal Rate of Return
Disc PV of PFJof Rate Benefits Costs
-=_
0 U -1c233 s 6660 2 $105270 $160683
4 $83543 $15031 6 $72307 $E2344
8 $61319 $149387 le S5272 914S33-
11 $49126 $14E566 12 $4912 $145034 3 $4 032 $144180
14 4144-- $143417 15 $38108 $142713
16 $35 9 7 $142068 18 $32342 $140933 2 $29303 $139971
-2 63
NIN
$32 ($55410)
($6943($8 037)
($80 8) ($343_68)
($C-33323(99 22)
($101156)
($102974) ($104604)
($106071) ($102591)
($110667)
Ratio
073
066
055 047
041 C36
034 03
30
28 027
0 25 023
021
A-38
For Case - -EL 7 7 14 - HELPN EXTLiIPH 0LECTOR PRV =552FT - PRIEC OL S2L Pssurin Oi Zscalaticr Rate cf 2C
SavEd a- c Cost of CII FUE1 Useer CUE Energy Eavn Arnual Ca ow sSZOLnte- Cash Flow ( NV) iYear Ct Ct Ipbl (P2-) Cost Ecsiv Ererry ZOst Currert $ 4 3 0 2 is-t i c r
_ _____ _
Traszr $C - LCrErZt cr 30
i tercorrezcr SO 21 53 $1 $1223 ($23378 $123pound73 ($23673) ($22673) ($123578)$ 72c Q0$24c $0 348 S7033 $2h1c i4S83 $2680 2124053) (12442) (1243)$21~ 0 0so 34a 17241 $2C $5121 3 (E -59)($112301) ($12012)4so So c V- Z $-co 348 7 $2110 $5275 -44- (1115471 ($15371 (lII3- $21 $25 ) $9 348 $7534 1I2110 5424 1038O) (111484) ($I-33 1I2930$0 $211 $2205 c $0 345 768 $2110 $-E574 ($105228) (7076G0) (105772) (037S7)
$0 2110 $-52 c $) 48 728 n04 SC Sshy$ $-bO $5723 C l00701 ($10408 SO55r ($ICS585)o $U S2110 P-3a7S0 $13 0 $0 348 Si110 $-525$2343 0 343 3430341 $2 (Si L- f E471 1$0$ 8) ($C4 203$) $_ -- $21 t$3050l 31($812) (S97231) (53673) ($10762
t t110 t c 3 2 M745)$0 203 ($94275) ($97066) (M23)S1 52110 $2438 Q $0 349 124B4 $2 $E374 (9g1 f$948 3)($2 144) 3233 ($07471)$110 $Z487 C $0 348 $2354 $2110 $r544 ($75894) ($88516) ($ 3 1 ($=120)$0 $2110 $25313 0 t0 342 $2227 T2110
1 $E717 ($74632) ( 849) ($901174) ($33855
$0 $20 $2557tbull I 0 034 $3 0034$34 S211 7) ($33314)S263 M$8178) (S32 2u)15 $0~ ($to50 $2110 $2333 0 $0 343 $3184 $210$7074 $ 473 ($2090S) ($83 315) ($3032)$0 $211 ( $2332 0 $01L 348 $ S237 $2110 $727 ($32444) ($73618) $34578) $83512)7 $0 72 10 $2746 0 $0 343 S555 $2110 S744E 3$5340 ($7S445) (323-7 (333293)1 $0 5210 $280 0 $0 348 $2745 $2110 $7636 ($54542) I 43W ($21447) (2B7156)$0o $2110 $225L 0 $0 349 $3341 $2110 S7831 ($50684) ($72422) ($80038) ($35163)2C $0 $2110 $2914 0 $0 348 $1023 $2110 $3029 ($46872) ($7WC561 (75726) ($85235)21 ($5439) $2110 $272 0 $0 346 $10342 ($3328) $13670 ($40634) ($676S2) ($76694) ($83818)
$124043 $42552 0 $0 7018 $17362 $163 00 $7052 A-39
TABLE A-20 (Contd) P-SJ 2DTPKE rZFT7-CGS72 TLAK (acutated)
Hom and Firaa ralvsis fcr Erergy Investments - Egypt EEAn 5S
Za-ital Costs Benefit Paraeters lnterrna Rate cf Return 046
Acquisition $129485 Price of Oil $22O0 1bb (yr 1)Transoortation $0 Di Escala 2Oyear Disc PV f PV of BCConstructior Rate Beniefits Costs Ratio Interconrnection $0 Errgy Savngs 348 bblyear - --- =_
Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 $173252 $16E600 $705 104 (Cao)bull0TL1a8 $14 360 $10c ($ 320) 087
4 $115398 $155031 ($40634) 074Corstruct Time 0 -rnths A $36409 $152 34 ($55935) 063 8 $8A759 $14937 ($7623) 0Operatin and Normal Maintenanrce Costs CIA $70299 $14S933 ($76694) 048
11 $55502 $145 966 ($0464) 045Operating Cost $210 year 12 $51216 $145034 ($33818) 042Operating Lifetime 2years 13 $57376 $144188 ($85812) 040 14 $53924 $143417 ($89493 038Kajor Equipmert RepairReplacement $C811 142713 ($91901) 36 IS $47997 $142068 ($94071) 034Salvage Value ($5438)period 18 $432- $140933 ($97810) 031
Replace Period 20 years 201 $39071 $139971 ($100899) 028
A-40
- End - Ar y= fcr ZErcy~gt Ef-tS - ~ Aq
TiE fl-2[
-or -ase
Assamin
c
Ui
Tf-L0EST 4 -
E-alation Rate f
TECTh- 211
20 25BFJ
Yec-
-_ ztr
fs
nrt-r--et
YEzEta u-rir z os
___=== shy = i2 ~~
z-_ 233
r $
of deg $i2
- Lse (Ebi)
ICoRue
Cost
Saved Ersery
Ecuiv
Va -cf Saved
Erery
5 S
n-a
-shyt
zas CIO
Curt S
t
Discounted Cash
4
Ficii 0 V)
0C
1 =
4
2
14 1 17 17
12 19 20 21
5-
s$
s 12
ampc
SO SC
$3 5 $0
(5 438)
2II0 2 110
S$210$o
12102IC
2110 SC$
U0 52 10
O QI0I $2110 521110 $2I07343
$2110 $2110 $2110 $2110
--23OI 1
Q27^S7SC
7
f_522 $2 3
S2147 $2SQ 53171
34 23 EE
13 534Vo$344)
$35o $3571 53342 53715
Ct
-1C
o
0 C
0
0 0
0 0
C 0
0
$0$034-=
s5
$50
s3$s4
$ $0
5$
so $0
$ $0
$O $0 s0 S0
348
343Z4
348
34E 342
342 342
34S 342 3474E 348 348
345 348 348 348
13574$ = $
$3
$3417sampo
$ 7E3
1 3-$337
euroscs $1 37
s3 $254 $1S t9 03
$121 1 S1242 $12674 $12 928
V2 31 -shy
11C
2110s519
2 12-0
1S 11 145
$2C
$2110
t2 110 $210
S2 110 $2110 $2110 ($3328)
33 2-72 ZZS ($13333 335B3 122S7 4 ($ E 22 25) ($13-2 3 (t12243)4 ($t1 ($pound 7) I$1692 $t5 S5 -
1 4 $7123 3$M234 ft 91 11745)--- $175)
$7307 31028 S C5148) ($106(1 7SC $5- t7495 ($737 (IiCc047 cs (-02843
783 ($cZ203) ($37185 (32353shy$7854 (1S4 6 1 533 (133122 (523371 $8133 ($7E754) (SS3 5) M335)) (ic21-h)
$S27 (7222) (32C900 ($2525 ($83134) $495 ($87 23 78 ) 382 5Wc ($5399)12 717 ($5 ($44-0 (7350I (583995)$3924 9 53 ($70 8771 (S7664) ($81605)V1144 (S$2471 ($67514) ($74016) (579509)
($45C (64324) ((715434) (S772) $33 5337301 ($5292) (5 2501 ($7 838)$7533 ($58428) ($8711C) ($74234) 0 )72 29303 ($5706) (S5 11a ($72767)1$0316 (24217) ($53124) (S5322) ($71425) $10564 (S19203) ($50676) ($6155) ($70199) $16256 ($11754) ($47129) ($59119) ($685141
$124043$42552 0 $0 7018 $217065 166500 50465
A-41
ELSTU0 TABLE TABLE A-21 (Contd)
PLE(-
Zcoo r Firatia iavsis fc- Energy Irvesterts shy Eypt EE1
C itz Zosts enefit Paraveters Irterraz Rate cf REturr 304
zao-isitior S12948E Traszrtzti $0
l rtier to Interzorrectio $0
Price of Oil 0 Escalat
Errgy Savnrgs
$250C bb (yr 20vear
342 bIyear
Disc Rate -
WV of Ienef-
W cf Fcsts N
BC Ratio
- --
TJT -------shy
1 486 FuEl Use 0 bblvear ^
-a-27 H-S$17 450
$SG0 s16K 580
$E 4S $14770
30
109
Construct Tive 10 crths 4^ 6
$144247 $2051
$I-o0 2344
$17S4) (4P 832)
02 073
Coeratirsect and Normal Mairtenance Costs
Operatir Cost $2110 year 0oeratin~ Lifetinie 21 years
8 0 1
2
$102198 $27874 3-877
$7E520 $$7720
$14937 $14S33 $145S3
$145034 V44122
$47123) ($ 119) ($64039)
($68514) $72458)
068 060 056 053 050
Mamr Equipmet ReoairReplacemert 14 1
$97405 $143417 1427
($76012) (179199)
047 045
REplace Cost Replace Period
($5438)period 20 years
6 18 20
$59996 $53304 $43839
$142068 $140 233 $139971
($82072) ($87030) ($91131)
042 C38 035
A-42
TRSLE 1-22
F- cf-- s 14- HELN Esumlr Oi Esampaton Rat2 cf
(TC2LEHr Trorp-
20 -P z-3 z-
1iazip Ycst
Ls-cr 113 -
0eratir Cost
Cott of oil W
Fte e c
-e el Ct
Savec Energy Ev
Va1-_ of -avef
ErErcy pnua
st a=n 7c DirountEj Ca_
E-rre-t $ 40 8 Flo (NPN) i
10 =
12
4 f
7
10
N-I-
1-
15
$ 7
is
19
I 21
C rutc
0t13oo
V 12 116 30E 11 $321
so No 13LR $- 110 z347 $ t-1 $33 2
S 8029 $3278 2li $344E
S0 f2I0 1315 - - 1 35
S1 r t2110 1373C-
S S212 $3 15 2 1 S281
$S)S2 5I3908 $ S4(38
so QAc2h18 41 SO $s2 $420 50 $2 11 $4 so $110 $4370
$5433) $2110 $4455
$124048 $42552
0
c 0
0
0
0
0
0 C 0 c
0 0
0 0
0 0
0
S
10 345 so 34
so 248 to 345
C 34S
so 3 $ 348 $0 348 $0 348o
$0 348 0 348
$ 345 so 3$6
so 348
$0 348 s A3 $0 348
SO 348
$0 348 $0 348
$0 7018
Q74C 12-
s649 - 1 s B3 110
in1 73 p311 S30 $2110 1127 f110
$11757 2110 $13 I-sI S2322_2ltU1510
2477 130
S 72H 11 S s- $1 2 1-110 s17o- s2
t3770 5-10 $14051 $2110 S302 S2 S14613 $21(
$1491 $ 1 $15203 $3110 $15513 ($332
$260478 $-SF600
A-43
53 ($85557 27Z- )S17
V5S59 10 1 3131 ($9-
12417 e -^-
$-E47 ( S) sI S t730)2
5 L22
1c357 4SW III
S1STs ($241)$1037 s173) 1 30 127 27)
Sc1L33 331 3X4
1 L 5 -267)
$is 7o7) 510L 3 ^41)
2 S2 8 U249
$3S10-2 $346S $18841 170-5
1$93 78
($(225 ($128038)
12 5 52 33- 1 12683 (1M 3102)
1105 EEG) 3$1 364 $3--3) $C 10-
($92 (534$ 3 (1S3225) (33734) ($o5s (s82733
$7 030) (79 0 11) 33 7041(IN
(647) $70511)($50334 (670 (1904) ($53154)
5( 714 (E 8 54) ($47743) 3567S2 $437) ($S33 3540411) fS5123
t070(37030) (4E7331
($33 827) - (S45E
($30 7K) ($44344) (26749) $41544)
($1202a
(31204741 (51347T
IS(117 C272 1( -_- ($SC) I ($627)
(132453) ($7 745)
( 2S ($712
(5344) $SE73S)
My AS)
($2 14) (5601171)
(556T
($5-5-E54)
($55162) (53210)
TABLE A-22 (Contd)
Ezrzic and Fir-a Analv=is Er=-ry Invest-eants - Egypt EEfl oI 1
Catal Costs Benefit Para-eters l-tera ate of Return 532
Pccuisitio $12943s Price c Cii Transportation $ Oi Escalat
Construct iorn $0 Interconnection $0 Enry Savrs
--- - --- el Use TOTAL LCap) $129485)
Construct Time 10 r-=nths
Operatin and Ncrmal nartErane Costs
Operatin g Cost $210 year Ooerating Lifetire 21 years
Major Equipment RevairReplacemert
Replace Cost ($5438)period Replace Period 20 years
$300 bb (yr 1) 2 Cvear
34E bblyear 0 tblyear
Dic PV cf Rate Eerefits
=-- shy == 0 -260478
2 $210541
4 $172037 6 $144614
8 122 S38 10 $105449 11 $93 253
i2 $91824 13 $86064
14 S00885 15 $76217
16 S71995 18 $64685 20 $58607
PV cfof Costs
$166600
$160680 $15H 02 SE2344
$149337 $146993 $145966
$145034 $144188
$143417 $142713
$142068 $140933 $139971
wgV
$93878
$49860 $17065 ($7730)
(326749) ($41544) (347713) ($53 tn0) ($S3 124)
($62531) ($6649G) ($70073) ($76249) ($81364)
Ratio _
15S 13 1 095 82
C72 067 063 060
C56 053
051 04G 042
A-44
Ecnio af rarcia Ay5s fr Enerzy rvestr-et=- E__y EE- t
TABLE A-23
D 7E4--r Case ofF- - H8LW TEXT-PP C LcTORvR- - p n-OIL 35 _) 9ssu=- Oil Escalation Rate cf 20
spvedCa4t Csratr Zost cf Oi Fuel Used Fel Erergy Vi~
3aved Arral Ca-s 7 2iscurnt (-ir- Flo (NTV) 8 iYear Ec SBbX (Ebi) Cost Eniv Enercy ost Crr $ 4 10 12
1 Trarsort $ bull Ccrstr_-ticy $
1 Ir -e2or tic - $0r
Ttal T4- $352 $300 0 $0 58 $2030 f223 2780) 3$227($1802) (S27803) ($37308)Ss s210 12570 0 so 348 S2424 12 10 10314 $7S3 ($(S2 ) (1342 o 59)
3$ 123 $3541 0 $0 348 $12672 2 11 105S2 022T) (103O023) ($103703 ($10179)4 2 $2 0 $3714 c SO 349 2 $2110 8 ($18 -1 7 ( 0 7 (0 410
S3783 0 to$2110 348 $13 184 $2110 111074 ($53044) (332477) ($34013 ($3-7443)E 10 1-110 S3364 0 $i 345 S3448 $2s SI335 $73716 (1847z (8900)T $21 $342 0 $0 348 $13717 1I10 11607 (571 553) _77447 C$S04-2 ($-3 123)
0 -1( 241 ( 77 ($74 ($77155)so 348 4 $s $7 s$o2110 348 11427$311I0~Snl $8 C $0 $2110 Ll 1Z3) 12944) 1S5 372844)
1 82 20 $L (SIL0 348 S14556 t2 $1244 ($43394) ($57718 (5S33731 ( 1 211r 5428-4 0 $0 343 $4847 S21110 $1277 2 s($7 3) 364254) S $0o 348 1511413 1 $4439 $S I o 13031 - ($ 2 ) ($46228) ( 853834)($0 507)110 f- $0 348 1 447 12 110 $13337 ($18432) ($4C32) ($43644) ($57084)14 $0 $2110 $4528 0 50 348 $E75E t 112 S4 (S102 (394) (4582 (2 9S75 1$10 W4 S 343 16 07 $2110 $139s] ($2234) ($31IG) ($4201f5 ($L I100
16 211SC $24 $4711 0 S 348 $18322 $211 1 14_ 15 7 (S2S 531 ($38-96] ($A 4917 S $2110 $4805 0 $0 348 5721 12 I10 14611 $13437 (22394) (35416) 34S107)18 $C $2110 $4301 0 $0 243 $1-5 $2110 $i345 $21170 (18354) ($32460) ($930)19 $ $20 $4993 $0 343 $17336 52110 $15286 $28715 ($14 529) ($209710) ($4943)20 $0 $2110 $5099 0 $0 348 T17744 $2110 $15634 $36136 ($10 207) ($27 154 ($40 127)21I($5438) $2110 $5201 0 $0 348 $18099 ($3328) $1427 $45915 ($30) ($23969) ($3790)
$124048 $4255 0 $0 7018 303891 $166 amp0 137291
A-45
TABLE A-23 (Contd) PSELTIONS TWPLE H-77-C3T-3 TA-2L Eated)
Econooi and Firnani aIvs4s fe- Ener y Ivestcents - Eypt EE 03i32
Capital Csts Berefit Paraeter- Itera Rate c RetLr- 739
Aqisiti-503S S4ES Pice c ii bb (yr 1)TrasScrtation $0 01 ESalat W0year DiEc PV of P of BC
Corstructior $0 Rate Beneits Costs WPV Ratio rterconrection $0 Enray Savwgs 343 bblyear -
Fuel Use 0 blyear 02E1 S 600 II7721 82TOTAL Cap) $1Z48C Z $1683 $54 350 53
4 $20194S I5E3 $45715 i2CcrstrUct Time 10 mrths E1 716 $152344 $16372 11
8 $143078 $14337 ($S309) 096Operatirpound and Norma Ma~ntenarce Costs 10 $123024 $14E933 (23969) 084
11 $114628 $145956 ($31 33 079Oerating Cost $2 110 year 2 $107128 $145034 ($37906) 074Operating Lifetime 2 years 13 $101408 $144182 (343780) 070
14 $34I26 $143417 (U9050) 066Major Ecuipment RecairReplacemernt $S30 $142_713 ($53793) 062
1S 0584 ($53074) 059$1420O8Salvage Value ($5438)period 18 $75465 $14C 33 ($55468) 054Replace Period 20 years 20 $68375 $139571 ($715) 049
A-46
Ecor-r~c a Fi-ra- aivss VeSt=rts EE2fC- -ErV - E --t
TAFLE A-24
Case cf77-Lf TES 4 - HEWA XTILE1P (M CT P $2zS - PRE-F OIL 640EBLh ssuming Oil Escalation Rate f 20
saved VaiLe Ofonita Doeratir Lcst of Oil Fue Used Fuel Erery -d pYert Ca_ 10 Discourtd Cash Flow (PI 0- i =Cost $1Ebl (2l) Cost Eerv Ztt Crrert 1 4 6L 10 12
I Transmrt onstrLZt ior 4
tr-cnnEc icn $ Tcta f2945 132 $4000j 0 $0$40 SO 58 2 S 33z Is1 5 ) 327515$0=8 34S7 $15 $2- 2 (12728
31 $4060 1 r 0 342 $2C 3 8 1034)IS ($152V (1528) f(E72)14 0 348 49 S20 S-372 SI04-1 (5) 517 (110303) (-058514$ 2 I W A S t o4 3 4 8 $ 4 7 shy 3 12 2 ( S 9 ( SH G ES ) ($7 9 0) ( UT 7 8 4 5 3 $ 2 1432bull 34a S 057 $241 C3 (
$0 ($36142) (M6742) (3614)$0 $2 110 $446 0 $0 348 $159 $22 $17m ($7122) ($77119) 372707) U82191)7$ 4 $0 348 S5751_5 21101if) E5 5)503) $55569) ($72049) ($75218)0$ 4c5sg5 $0 348 $5930 510 $13 0 496) ($E 470) ($54327) ($62033)S so 12 4687 $0 348 $309 21Sc 14 92 (139580) 5079 (15833) 563204)10 $C Uio $4760 0
$0 348 $Ipoundpound36 5 240 -25- (129375) (4E53) (- 42 (37966)$0 12112 1487pound 0 $0 348 $11953 $20
2 S12353 SI9337 (533650) 34S414) ( 5318)0 $2110 $4373 0 s0 348 $1730L 2 1c3 5 Q 15 ($9465) (1 2132) ($41027) (34313)S0 12110 $ 0 $0 348 V14i
$21 $244 3-5905) (35134 344823)$0 $2110 $574 0 $0 34E $112007 $Z19 $5597 $3791 (1114) ($-530 ($41180)o $2110 $275 1 $0 342 $18357 $21 $-257 S19 7916 3$14579) 32724T) ($3754)$2110 $$5393 0 c$0 349 $12734 17
$2110 $Ic24 $28410 MKS) (Q-3269 (34816)$ $2110 $s191 0 6
s0 348 1$3 0o $2110 S162 $37486 (4376) (195E) ($32043)$S 5210 $sa01 0 s0 348 $19431 1211 17331 $43409 $321 ($161301 (12951)11 $0 $-I0 $5713 0 $0 348 1181 $2i10 S7771 SES182 $4768 ($2934) (327 M0I20 $0 $2110 $5827 0 t0 348 $20279 $2110 $16169 $E3805 8378 ($9963) ($25031)21 ($5438) $2110 $5944 0 $0 348 $20 684 ($3328) $24012 $74764 $14 30 (36394) ($n-60L
$124048 $4252 0 $0 7018 $347304 $166600 $180704
A-47
g3EL-iD~- ASSIUPTIDXF LETABSE TABLE A-24 (Contd) - ---C-NCE TFamp mC utCalculated)
zczi a- Farcial alvs- for Erergy IwEstments - Egypt EEA 1 8
CaPital r~csts Perofit Para Eter- Irntr-na Rate of Peturr 932
Acouisition $ E4 Price of Cil TransroortaEtio $G 0i Escalat Construct $
rterrertior $0 Erry Savrs Fuel Use
TOTA Cao) $1_h486
Construct Time 10 eorxths
eratir_ and Norzal Ma-rtenance Costs
Oceratim Cost $2110 year Operati_ LifEtime 21 years
Major Ecaiment RevarReolacert
Replace Cost (5543e)period Replace Period 20 years
$4000 bb (r 1) 20year
348 bbyear 0 bblyear
DisC PV of Rate Perefits
- = 0 $347 304 2 $22720
4 t23C 73 E $19288
$13517 10 4C 9 -- - - $31004
12 12243-2 13 $114751
14 $107847 15 $101622
16 $KS993 18 S84 246 20 $78143
V of Costs
$16 6O $162560
5 63 $1E2344
$43337 $1429c3 $14 9-5
$14E034
$144188
$14347 $142713
$142068 1140933 113971
N71)
$180704 $120040
$74764 $407
$14 13 ($r334)
($14 952)
($22602) ($29437)
(S35570) ($410V30)
(45075) ($54687)
($61828)
BC Ratio
208 175
48 27
109 096 090
084
080
075 071
368 061 056
A-48
Ecra acia a fc Ernerv ivEs=-t -- Eyt E~q IC36
TfPLE A-25
cr Case of-- 7ST 4 - HL4 7EX-vTDUq -T R E $ZvCF 7 P- U 1shygssu-in_ Oi Es~alatior Rate of 20
Saved Value ofDaitalfleratir Cost of Dil -Fel Used Fuel ESrry 5avf Annual as( Fic Discourted Cash Flow (MKV) 8 iYear Cost $IBb (E1 Cost Ecriv -Ercy Cot Currert S 4 8 10 12
I 712 I Trersp $0
ITotal 0712 $311 $1500 0 $0 58 $370 $111022 1t01E2 52) 1103) $ n3)(1h10153) $8 $5302C $0 348 $5324 $186G 458 CLa28 (S10SI) ($07003 (107O5)2 $15In $ 0 $0 348 $543 $18s2 S25s5 0522) ($ 40$ 2 $-7834) ($1040E3 ( 7 ($104 )4 $I62 $12$0 bullS266 $1524M$0 0 $0 34842 $5540
3 $550 S1866-C81C $2674 ($1 ($0 ($37031) 3 $10 $3784 ($32 197)78) ($10$D(3S718) Is0 603(M32204)
6 CS56 0 $0 348 S762 $862 $3857 ($c3828) ($5544) ($22223) ($39992)$052 $I82 c $0 43 $872 $186E $4013 $33 67) ($3301) ($94033 $94353)S$0 $C866 1723 C $0 348 15922 $866 $4130 (U8751d) (390605) ($1914) ($3091)2 $3 $s $1757 so e 33
s 0 343 Stamp 1866 $4256 ($4413) ($82310) ($23921) (131374)$0 $17 22 51732 00 $ 3 2- 1$5 2 522 11866 $4372 3 1 S C 1 ($311 ($82122) ($737C7 ($83738)1 223E$ $ 22 so 348 $82 $866 $4407 ($78702) ($40391 ($25 3431 ($83 3n0)12 $0 $1826 13Ef 0 $0 348 $S490 S1866 $4624 ($7E 29) ($80-5) ($ 4722) ($87020)s0 $1 8 $11302 0 $0 348 $2620 $BE $4754 ($714 $0
323 ($80168) ($33207) ($85800)$1866 $1940 0 so 348 $s753 $182 $4837 ($23334) ($72371) $2722 ($84630)15 s0 $1852 $7 ) $0 348 $8B3 $BE6 $5022 ($22494) ($7L662) ($8146M] ($33653)16 $0 $166 $2019 C $0 348 $702 $1862 (152 ($75035)s $E30) ($73234) ($2 710)17 $1 pound186 $203 $0 348 $7126 $1826 $523y ($50O330) ($73488) ($73081) ($S8845)12 i$ $626 $2100 0 348 $7309 $1866 1544 ($58005) ($72017) (77 0041 ($81053)$0 S866 21421 0 $0 348 f7 455 $186620
$5589 ($ 246) ($70618) ($759M) ($30326)$0 $1866 $2185 u $0 348 $7605 $1866 $5733 (152523) ($63288) ($75060) ($73660)21 ($4650) $1856 $2229 0 $0 348 $7757 ($2784) $10541 ($47712) ($67027) ($73494) ($78567)
$106062 $37631 0 $0 7 018 $130233 $143693 ($13454)
A-49
----
TABLE A-25 (Contd) rzzPTI2CNS 7PBLE EE ~~~TnD Calculated)
-cocc and Fir4anci= Araisis fc ErErgy InvestEerts - Ecypt EEA raI
capital CStE Perefit Parayeters terna Rate of Return -108
czuisiion ie o 0 $I2X yr 1I Tra-spcrtatior $0 2 Zs~t 2 lyear Dis WVof PV of BCConstructior tate
Benefits Costs NIV Ratiointercorrectior $0 Enry Savrgs 343 bblyear =
Fuel Use 0 bblyear C $130239 $143E03 ($13454) 091trp) CTP $10Z S 270 $138405 ($3375 076 4 S 548 $134260 ($47712) 064ConAstruct Time 1S CnTh5 5 $72307 130 76 ($55669) C55 8 s6319 $122 34G ($67027) 048CoeratrE and -crma Maintenarce Costs 0 ($73494) 042
OperatingCost $18- year 1 $49126 $125306 ($761711 03912 $45912 124479 3735-7 037Operatirg Lifetime 21 years 13 $43032 $123728 $8169L) 035 14 $40443 $12 043 $82601) 033Major Equipment RepairReplacemert I$IIE $38108 4419 ($84310) 031$3810
16 $35997 $121847 ($58M) 030Replace Cost ($4650)period 18 $323A2 $120841 ($88499) 027Relace Period 20 years 20 $Q9303 $119988 ($90685) 024
A-50
and Finaie rr_ fir Energ- ivestrents -- Eyt E2 1IMV5
TAPLE P-26
For Case cfFlD TEST 14 - HELWAANXT1LEIP (PRECTO p ZE$221SFT - P UZCF GIL $2VBE Assuraing Gii Escalation Rate of 20
Saved Val e of oita eraplusmn ir Ccst of Cil uee Lsed Fuel Energy 5ave Irr ca Zas F1ow Disconted Cash Flc (NPIV)E iYear- Cos C-st Bo (E 1) Cost Ecuiv En=Ergy Cost ZLrrert $ 4 8 0 12n
ura-z t 7 bull~r ti- $
rterco-retIcr $ITcta $20 0 $O 3 $1160 $111023 15S ) C$1C3853) (5103353) ($I0335 ($103 53)22 5 $2140 C $0 348 $703 $655 233 ($10Q8311 ($105017 (W05106) ($105Igl)S$ $EEG $2081 0 50 7 $537Z ($$33E41 24 1 183 (1040 (1 663 ($ 35)$EE863 $2-22 0 so 342
0 $733G 18E s527 (P9454) ($03 (56- ( 7)- $QLES( 033 so 343 $7S=34 S 2U- $G 568 ($3110) ()161) ($2645) ($93374)$S E 202C0 $0
7 348 $76E934 $1365 $5818 (S527) ($3730) ($83CK) ($90073V0 $1 s 5 f2252 0 0 343 5738 I6
- V5972 (80 377) (1413) ($5E ) ($37 047)_336 $2297 C $0 34S $75 s - shys- ~ (-1MO M r2~ ~ $ g0~ - J - 322$ ($84275)to S186b $2343 0 s0 343 $a10$ = (300 S186 5$233 (71 355 (7164) ($752 ($1735)to 34S 21313 t566 Z54582) (73 (17S846) 3$73409)r T-357)
0 415-3 $1$238 0 $0 343 $13484 $H6 18S (1 31) ($70 871) ($7424) ($77278)--ES $2437 C s0 348 $2654 S1855 $$73 (t 73$
41) ($70 1 (7) ($75 326)$1B3s $2536 0 s0 14
348 S227 $1865 $S761 ($53594) ($E519S) (5S367 (S73539) 5
t 61656 $2587 c s0 342 $004 Si856 $7133 1$4307) ($62571) i53201 (S1904)51 $125 $2539 0 $0 348 $ 184 M866 $7318 f45081) ($50080) (65703) (570406)i5 $ 861855 $232 0 $0 S13 $7 $5 $751 (34916) ($57715) (63S07) $559036)17 tO 51833 52746 tO 343 $55 51S66 $7539 ($5311 ($55471) ($32234) ($67732)is - s866 $2800 0 $0 34 5 74S S 865 $7880 ($-2766 f534I) ($50675) (3634)13 s0 $18665 $2856 0 $0 348 $S994 $1866 $8075 (28 73) ($513M) (M-3223 ($5 584)20 t0 $ass $n 14 0 so 348 $10 13 $1866 $5273 (424253) (342404) ($57870) ($6462A)21 ($465O $1865 52972 0 $0 348 $10342 (32784) 63126 (f18 863) ($46587) ($55919) (63263)
$10G062 $37631 0 s0 7018 S173 2 $143693 29959
A-51
gSv ONSTBLTABLE TALEASSUPTIOS A-26 (Contd) TT-r-TS TA-- alculated)
Econozc ar Firacia Araly-is for Energy Irvestrerts -- Egypt E_ I-
LaoitaI CoSts Benefit Parx-Eters Iterra Rate c-Return 216
Acquisition $110712 Price of 1 $2000 bb (yr 1)Trarspcrtatio $O Oil Escala 20year DiE Pcf PV of BIC
Corstrutior $0 Rate Benefits Costs NV Ratio iterconneztio $0 Enrgy Savrgs 348 bblyear _= -_--
Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 $173 G52 $143693 $2 M 121TOTAL Ca) $712 N $14c 360 $13405 $1955 101
4 $11Z338 $134260 ($18863) O8GConstruct Time 10 tronths 6 $96409 $130976 ($34567) 074
8 $81759 $12346 ($46587) 064Operatinz and Norrva Maintenance Costs 10 $70299 $126216 (S55919) 056 A-1 $6S502 125 30f Ui59 64) 05Operatin Cost $866 year
shy
2 $61216 $124479 ($63263) 049 Oerating Lifetime 21 years 13 $57376 $123723 ($65352) 046
14 $5-7924 $123043 ($9120) 044Major Equipment RepairReplacement 15 $50811 $12419 ($71608) 042
16 $47927 $121847 ($73 851) 039Replace Cost ($4G50)perioQ 18 $43123 $120841 ($77718) 036Replace Period 20 years 20 $39071 $119988 ($80 917) 033
A-52
conc34 an Firnancial Qralvss fcr Ener~y i-veEtvnts -- Eypt EE
TMtSLE 4-27
Fc0 2ase TfiEf - 1ZLN TEXTILEI (WZC PR P3rS22TEST 44 SETOR C7 a- $25IEDU Asi rLz Oil Escalation Rate of Z0
SavBr Vaue f1ta Ccost of Oi Fue Use Yuel[eraing Energy SZve- rnual Cas 71co ritv ed Cash Flow (NPV ) i = -- CostYear ost $1 (Bbl C-st L c r ny Cost C-rre~t 1 4 1r IN0
t1i3iticr tSU712
7rarns~ort $
Ccrtructcr It o $oerconnec
aS 71 S00 0 to 53 1450 1 023 (103 -73 5-3c$3573) ($109573) ($103-73)sgE t C 0 $0 348 S234 S7 CC7 3SZE 1C-084 (3103202) ($103316)$0 $as 2L0 $-r
0 s0 343 $ 51 $1ms5s n7515261) $9924) ($97264) (975M30 $0 348 Ic233 $786-H s364 (tc7E ($91723 (SW344)So286 027 $0 -48 $47 $I 17f51 5E so $ G s S27 EC 0
18 ($3552) ($37545)0 to 348 $q606 $1 86 $Z740 8257 t85 15 C 03 $76 -53 ($817E6) $83154)ss~ g $ 5 7 g2 ( 7 a $2215 $50 348 $9738 $6 $7 2 ($7058) 726 (377287) (79135)Sc S5 K6 372 0 $0 348 Sg934 S6 $2 $64322 ($70 1) 37311 3754599 $0 38 S A 52 s (923371 s1 S7237) ($72036)IC $r t85 12955 0 $0 343 $10377 865 $352 ($-22) (6751 (55615) ($59013)11 so 55 5 247 -0 s0 348 $C61 SlE6 $873S ($493) (t-7) ($-2246) ($55205$ $185 5$ $1510 SO 348 $087 $2811 (L4$54) ($53864) $53108) ($36321O 518) $317 0 $012 348 S1I034 $66 $9168 ($24858) (min22 3 56187) (S61279)14 s$ $S-76 52234 0 $0 348 $11254 $1866 $2382 1$2220) (34S771) (353468) ($59127)E $C $1685 $39 0 $0 -48 $114-9 $666 $3613 3U2668)($43498) ($50936) ($5-7160)so$ $866 $3365 0 so 348 S- 70 $86 13843 2$03)-($40395) ($48560) ($-m3S)
17 so 11862 $432 0 so 348 11-43 $1866 $10077 12 822) (37454 (34G387) (5 718)2 to T866 $350 0 $0 348 $12182 $866 $1016 ($7526) ($34666) ($44345) ($2216)V9$0 $1866 $257 0 $0 348 $12426 $156 $105EC ($2314) ($2023) ($42447) ($50842)2V $3 $1866 53642 0 s0 348 $12674 $1856 S0803 $2816 ($ 519) ($40673) ($49588)21 (54650) $1866 $3715 0 s0 346 $12926 ($2784) $15712 $9987 ($26148) ($33344) ($47M95)
$105062 $37631 0 s0 7018 $217065 S143693 $73372
A-53
PSSU Ns TABLE TABLE A-27 (Contd) FE-E=IT- 2ST3 TA2LE Cal d
Ecortomiz arnc a AIaEsis fc- Enery Irvestmerts - Egypt EE- iC1365
Capital Costs Perefit Parameters lnterral Rate c Return 491
Acquisitic $0712 Price of Oil Trarnsportat $C Oil Escalat Construction $0
Interconrectior $0 Enrny Savngs Fuel Use
TOTlL Cap $0 72
Construct Tiie 10 Moths
Operatinz and Norma Maintenance Cost5
Ooerating Cost $866 year Operating Lifetime 21years
Major Equipnent RepairReplacement
Replace Cost ($4650)period Replace Period 20 years
$2500 bbl ( r 20year
348 bblyear
0 bblyear
1)
A-54
Disc Rate -shy
0 -w
4 6
8 0
11 n
3
14 15
16 18 20
PV zPV EenefitS
$217CS5 $75450
$144247 $$0C $102193 $87374
$81877 $76E20
$71720
$S7405 $63514
19996 $53904 $4883
cf Costs
$143623 $132405
$134260 27
$128346 $2z218
$125306 $124472
$123728
$043 $122412
$121847 S120841 $119988
NPV
$733272 $37045
$2987 ($101465)
($26148) ($38344)
($43429)($47259)
($52008)
($55639) ($532905) ($61251) ($68938) ($71149)
BC Ratio
151 27
107 092
080 070
065 061
058
055 052
049 045 041
E ri- Fra Fa-s fc- Erergy -vetrerts - Egypt EA
TAKLE P-28
o- Case lfF- TEST 4 - HELWATEXTILEIPH (CELECTOR Assuming01l E-calatic Rate c 2C
PRCZ-22I _- 01vS
YeF-ita
Cost 0=erair
Cost st of 0j
IB Fuel Used
(bLI) Fuel Cost
Energy Eciv
Savee ErCr~y
rrua Lost
Eas FIcA Current $
Discountd Cash 4 8
Floh (NPV) 10
i 12
k cuisiicr r7-2 1 Transc-rt $ I Costrut or $3
cta $272 2 S COo
Se $ESE 120 so $ SSr
s3~ zs384cSO $0 $15 S47
6 $3 t135 $--- 2 7S882 53375 a $0 $258 $344E
5 S18 zI^ to $ -ES s3F
1$ ss sss~s S- $181H $3730 SO $1868 $3805
4 $ $35 E i V $8-8 $3258 E 50 $8EE $4038 17 $0 s B S4s SO $0 S8EE $4201
13 tS $18 $428 5 20 $0 $86 $4370 21 ($4650) $1868 $4458
$105 02 $37631
0
I
0
0
0
0 IC
0 0 0 o0 0 0
0 v
0
$0 Es $174
742 t-8c4c SO$0 343 $1
348 51107 $0 348 $11301 $0 348 $1527 SO 342 7m7 so 343 $13 $1 348 S2 32 $C 348 $12477
38V)2 $0 342 $ 345 t3240
$C 348 $ z -to 348 775 so 348 $1405 SO 348 $14 332 $0 343 $14CM $0 348 $14911
$0 348 $KS203 $0 348 $15513
$0 7018 $260478
A-55
III3-3C3
$E- Iass
$1866
$1856 S866 5 865 5185S $3s6
56 65
Sa36
518j$E $8 $866 $ 86 $155
$862 ($2784)
$143633
10I08 23
S7322 2 9
s $3435
$3661
$9S3 s u $03-
$511
$6 $11 $11374
187^ $ 3 $1822 $12 48
273 S13045
$13343 $18297
$118785
3
($1Th22-
(Pc8751
E3 -73
(ME223 (3) 5) ($
4 2231
337784
30447) ($23227) $V23)
3 1 (1 2M)
- IS6 $7t $24453
$30466 $L M3E
(1l123
cs 32443)$22
1
72 611
(SE8 322) () 4741 1154 372)
($4258)
3544E35) ($ 76 S (5325)
3071) ($28E3)
0751 (119 43s
E9 3 ($12725)
($3634) ($5708)
(s0--3) ($33864)5552 $83498
(745001 (S53917) ME-720)
($ES584
($54284)
(S530197) 3413 3542-S7h
(S30- ) (S3170) (332-) ($3 4 23M)
$25870)
($23433) ($20 705)
((e02203)
(S1014411 ($94270)
-855772 7S
(727v1 (37124) ($6S 64) (M62456)
(3E2301
($5133) (33 (02)
ME48-5 ($14314 S41688)
33854) (-7 ($101)
(345m21 (32655)
TABLE A-28 (Contd) S TpLE - Th-CCSTS TPAELE (Calclated)
Ezo ndard Firarla yss fzr Erergy Investrzents -- Egypt M 01I 185
Capita Ccsts BerEfit Paraeters lkterrz ate of Rturr 7351
A-uisit in Trarr~rtaticr Cortro
$117-12 t0
$0
P-ice o Cii Escala
$3000 Ibb (yr 20year
1) Disz ta
V of
Benefits PV of
Costs 1PV BC
Ratio -rnterconretion $( Errzy Savwes 348 bblyear -------
TCTAL (Cap $10 712 Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0
2 $26r-475 2l154C
$143623 $132405
euro16785 $72135
81 152
Corstruct Timne 10 msonth-4 6
173097 $144614
$24260 $131 976
$33836 $13633
12 110
Dperating an Normal Maintenarce Costs 8
0
$122633 $108449 $98253
$12346 $126218 $125 305
(35708) ($32769) ($27053)
096 084 078
Operating Cost
Operating Lifetime $865 year
21 years 1 13
$9824 $5064
$12479 $123728
332E5 ($37664)
074 070
Major Equipment RepaiReplacemeet 14 15
$80985 $7217
$123043 S122419
(42158) ($46202)
065 062
Replace Cost Replace Period
($4650)period
20 years
1 S 20
$719T $64655 $58607
$121847 $120841
$119988
($49852) (356157) (361381)
059 054
049
A-56
Taiaccno arc navsl- fCr erv InVES Et S_ 5E
TWILE A-29
For Case of --T TEST - uMwANTEXTIlEIPP 1Crv=TO PR2E -rR- a PAssuz 0 Escalation Rate of 20
Save Value f Ozeratir iliFuel Usedaoita Cost cf Fuel Energy Saej Annual ash 73w Dis-unted Cash Flow ( ) i = Cst st $1bl (btI) cost Ecuiv Enerzy zt --rrert 4
- Trarsoco-t SC)
I rsterucrneztion 50
I Tc- Z $3500 0 $203 (T01132 (50-932(9933-3) ($IC-9931(12S933S S46SE 170 0 $C 34 $2 424 s1856 $_ssS99217 ($32841) ( 39E (M567)5 52-25 $3541 0 $0 348 52572 $1855 1 bull 23 (58953 ($0457 ($g032)
5-5E0 53714 -7 0 So 10 731)0 g 48 174 ) $ 15 (S33 030)343 $12 S6G 4 7 O t1 Es SBs $3729 0 $1 348 $1284 $865 $318 363344) ($72254) (374425) (37637
S S1E $In3964 0 $0 7
348 $13448 1866 V1152 (IZ3825) M4972) ($67234) (315)53942 0 $V 348 $13717 $1866 (550459 ($54544)5Y1-1 (1-7504) ($6332)
$0 855 $$4020 0 t0 348 t13991 18665 shy12 - ($424V (s 422) ($54322 (tS72273 s aE- $41 0 $0 348 $14271 t856 $19405 S2J81 43728) ($4535) ($2817)10 $0 $1855 $4123 C s0
11 348 $14556 T556 $126 0 ($23265) ($37379 3$433 $4Z2 4
5 $425 $0 348l $0 S 1856 $4352 0 SO 348
0 s0 $14847 $1862 $31 (514495) ($313E5) ($32149) (5440511 $15144 $1866 12272 f(15870) (S25672) (1334 ) ( 244)13 855 $0 $54439 0 348 t5447 t855 $1253 $213 M278) ($2967) (33758)
14 $0 $SE5 $4S23 0 $0 34s 1135-0 955$1Z75C 518s $11C (t15171) ($255144) (533 -5)15 $0 $1855 $4513 0 $0 348 14 (110325)16 to f86 1471
$1071 S856 5131I8 353 (2434 (3066Z 0 $0 348 $1633 11365 S14527 $27224 (5575) ($1725) ($29014)7 $0 t1855 $4805 0 $0 348 $16721 351551865 $14855 (3419) (514693) ($25591)is $0 $1866 $4C1 0
9 $0 348 $17055 $ISG5 15 183 $42353 $2626 ($16 (122791
$0 1855 4999 0 so 348 S173 1B6 515530 550518 $6572 ($894) (521359)2 $0 $1866 1509 0 s0 348 $17744 $1866 t 5878 $58155 $102551 ($6298) ($19516)21 ($4550) $186 $5201 0 $0 348 $18099 (32784) $2883 $67686 $14732 ($3 194) ($17351)
$106052 $37531 0 $0 7018 $303831 $143693 $16018
A-57
TABLE A-29 (Contd) ate
Ecoci ar Pirarzia Evsi fcr ErEr t Eypt EA
3ta CGst= Denefit ParamLeters Interra ate cnf Returt 961
ccisition $I10712 Price of Cil S3502 1b (yr 1) SC
ats rttion $0 Oil Eszalat poundC)year rli P cf FV of Rate Saroaf s Coets N Ratio
Corstruct ion so irtErzonneticn $0 Errgy Savrgs 345 bblyear shy
0 $2^3 89 S143693 $16098 211uLai Use C ttVear 2 $24C30 t 145 507 -2-25 177
TDT CaP) $1SC712 4 $20945 $1342K0 $67686 150 S $-53716 $30975 37740 139
Construct Time 10 rorths 8 $143078 $128346 $14732 111
10 S12024 ($3124) 097 Doerating and Norma Mairtenane Costs 1 1468 $ 3C6 ($10678) 091
-- - ----- 1 $114628 S 3CS09
Operatir Cost $1856 year $1107128 $124479 (17351) 086
13 $13J408 $12723 ($230) 081 Operating Lifetime 21 years
14 $94366 $23043 ($28677) 077
5 $23920 $122419 ($33499) 073 Major Equipeent RepairRepla-ement
15 $23934 $121847 ($37853) 069 3 $75465 $120841 ($45376) 062
Replace Cost ($4650)period 20 $SE375 $112938 ($51614) 057
Replace Period 20 years A-58
Ec- ic and Frana Ara~y- f- Erry Irve=tert5 - Evpt -EEA
TAKE A-30
c Ca__ cf-l_ TrST 4 - HLW TEXTLEiP (Z2LETaP $2S FT shy E OF0i $40B) 9ssuMir Oil Escalation Rate f 20
save alue of-azita eratirg Cost c Oil Fu Ue Fuel Erry --ave Annual Cas DiscountedYEar 0 gas Flow (PV) i =st II) Cost Ezv Energy Cost Curre t $ 4 8 IC0
1 Pcq-isit - l1 02 Transzrt $0
$31 $4000 0 $C 52 0 S
21n232232 757-3) 07 3 f C 27 3 0703 f0373)sc sz-s $4080 a S4105 1 855 8 V7134 ($774532) M751Ss 542S I- 0 Sbullcss ~ S42-4f 0 345 4 82cs $14 7172 1-G1- 1SZ3 18$14772 9 7 W- 02)ssamp $12 7 M( 465) 27 ($87134-I (2377 ($762 577365 ($7344$73-2
32 0 $ $3 057
) fD 3$7-42)
$4_ $BSE 12i Z (57-253 1 SSS325--)(570 O0E) ($791C SSS6 $4505 E 33 S)0 V 345 $15676 $1566 $13Bic1556 6261$0 $5 25S 4 47 (2172) M35400)345 $sfsC $8s6 $4687 0 348
8 2 $27-T 42 (449241 ( 33511)T1309 $866 S 14443$2 2- 522) ( 186) ($43 1771 $0 8SG S4780 0 374S S2636V BEE866 $4876 S0
smsG V14770 ($374E 12EM)3 f$3 293 ($37K 50 3452 f3s8 $1266 13--ZC Il- S5$7 05 $$0S 32 4 7 2193) ($3850)$0 $1566 $4372 0 $-
S 07 -- (2 5B2 273)SC 343 $7302 T1866S0 $1866 $156$3073 $0 $1442 42427 SI (1-2ESP n$2533)0 $0 348 S17954 V866 - $7 4
117amp2 1248 ($S305) (51S-7 ($24497)t $58s6 $2173 0 SO 349 $293G7 $8S6 $121 $34 S229 ($53 ($2072
$0 sB- $233716 0 so 348 18734 $ 56 $SHS28 $ 93 $11 17 51 (t235 (13434 )$02 $556 $G349 0 50s 348 $1910 ISsG $17243 152 144 $16523 S1154 (M527)$0 s856 $56011E 0 $0 348 $9491 $862 $17E23 $6312 213529SID $18E6 $5713 $464 (S8950)0 so 345 $9881 S1 $18015 $77035 $2570 $578W- ($5617)s0 VO15865 $5827 0 $0 348 520279 $1866 $1541321 ($4650) $1866
$53852 $30136 $10892 ($4460)$5944 0 $0 348 $20684 ($2784) $23468 $9235 $3171 $14381 ($2047)
S10606 $37631 0 $0 7018 $347304 $143693 $203611
A-59
TABLE A-30 (Contd)
7Ec-acy ar ka lysis fc7nergy Irvestre-ts - Egypt M I
caita Costs EerEf araetErs RatetEtrr tr 72
PAcuisit ioon $ Price cf Di1 Transortaior SOi1 Es-aat
ortrzt io $0
irteronnectior U0 Enrgy Savs - Fuel Use TDTPL (Ca 51
Construct Time 0 -onths
Ozeating and Norral ainterance Costs
- ----Operating Cost $C66 year
Coerating Lifetime 2 year_
ma=jor Equipmet RepairPElacement
Replace Cost $4650)period Replace Period 20 years
$400k bl (yr -shy year
348 bblyear r bblyear
I)
DIK Rate
0 2
4 4
Epound 10
11 2 12
14 Cal
e s 13 MA
PV of Perfits
$347204 28eC 72f)
2307 c2-817
$153=17 $140 522
$131004 122432 $114751
$07847$101622
$3-993 58646 $78143
1W of Costs
143653 $2C-21 a 40 $4235
$134 260 $ 35 $30276 $E842
$229345 35171 $25218 $143912I1
$125306 $5692 $12473 $123728 $3976)
$1234 $51T6)3088 $122419 (20 796)
$121847 ($25 854 5120 841 (334S5) $119988 ($41846)
PC Ratio
242 2003
172 -47
127
105
323
83
C7 071 065
A-60
orc-ic nFiarcial Aav=s shyr rerr Investrents -- ypt EE
----------
Por Case ofFIE MS 14 - HFLu r Ss~zlnz C Fszalatior Rate cf 20
pRZ3 $2I T iE
Zzplta 2eratir Ccst of 11 FLel Used Yea ccist cst $B (kt
Pcu isit icn107335 Tra-ort $0
Ccstr-t icr I irternect io $0 1 ftctal f 099Z $2K IS C$10 0
$ 6z I$-z 3 $50 5162=0 $56 0
4 S s T5 05 So S= $6L-24 0 E SO S $155E 0 7 $0 $112CI U689 0 C to S680 $1723 0
SO cEo $17 0 S $1793 oIi $ t S1568c28 0
$0 C6S0 $1865 013 $0 $1E8 $1902 0 14 $0 t6Vo $940 015 t0 680 $1979 0 16 $0 1680 $20-19 0 17 $0 iamp80 $2059 0 18 $0 C1680 $2100 0 19 $0 $16580 $2142 0 20 $0 $1680 $2185 0 a1 ($453) $1680 $2229 0
Fue C-5l
S5 ts 23
so $0 $0 $0
so
St)$0 $0 $0
to $0 $0 $c to $0
$0 so
Saved nre-y
E-uii
348 348
348 348 345 343
348 341
-7n
342 348
342 348 348 348 348 248 34C 348
Vaue c Saved
Enerry
t-371 s4
$5421
S- 540 $5 50 $5763 $5279 Sf I9 S
t$- Z5$5353
$5450 $E620
S753 -888
$7025 $7 165 $730 $7455
$7605 $7757
rnnual Zash Flcw Cost Crrert $
1o2 275 1-o07405 $168^ $3E44 $6) 275
t1650 m1 i680 $2970 680 $403
$I680 $ 23 680 S4 31F
680 $4436
amp2553680 $4E33
(1850 $421C f1 680 t 0
$16s0 73 $1680 55202-s1680 $5345 $6 s5456 $16 u $5623
S680$5775 $1680 $5325
$2856) S10612
Diccirted Cas 4 8
5)$C~ S17 4^5) ) 3
152=r
f537 002) W17 751 5332) (9S4633)
($30 V-($ r7) C2SS934) ($83403) ($3 54) 1$5
0412) ($84493)
3 $ o(S74 04N) ($30043) (S7 92 1 (ST79a3)
-$72_) ($75018)
(V783) (374153) 17 K ) (72 (52 814) (37065) 3$55885 ($69094] 55995 (567572) (55144) ($68 127) ($47332) ($I4754) ($424A8) (362477)
io (n 2 i = 10 12
(s-7405 (S27405 104 0435051
(s($10 z 1 M-33~09 m) (VI3 414)
33513 3 M 891 (M28451 (15574) $90475 ( 446
3)520 ($9494) (585 1911 t$377 ^2T
(4(22 452) ($8415 ) C3 766) (22ES)($79192) ($aO0 S 723) ($80737) ($76351 37972) ($ 072) (373 1) ($73872) 1177M00) 372764) ($76930) (371 725) (76T2209 ($70 756) ($7541) ($69179) ($74441)
$103459 $33880 0 s0 7018 $130239 S137 339 ($7100)
A-61
TABLE A-31 (Contd)
Econozic and Financia ay for Energy Investmets -- Egypt E
Capi costs BerefIt Pararsters Internal Rate of Return -057
Acquisition $17735 Price 2i Transortatior $0 0Ci sa-t
Corstruction $0 Interconnection Er y Savrs
- ---- Fuel UsE
TOTk (Cap) $I07 Q
Construct TivE 10 months
Operating and Normal Maintenarce Costs
Operatir Cost $1680 year Operating Lifetime 2 years
Major Euipment Repaireplacement
Replace Cost ($4536)period Replace Period 20 years
i bb (yr 2year
348 lyear
0 bblyea
1) risc P Cf Rats BenEfits
0 $ 032
$105270 4 $BW548 6 $72307 9 $51 3
0 $52725 1 $49 126
SE$4512 13 $43032
14 $40443 1 $3108 16 $3997 18 $342 2C0 $23303
PV of Costs
137339
$132 Ek3 2037
$126130 $1373
$121904 $121 $120353 $113633
$113 072 $118514
$117102 $116338
NPV
($7100)
($27423) ($42483) ($5 823) (524T7)
($63179) ($71964) ($74441) ($76651)
($78629) ($80405) 388-0($22005) ($84760) ($87034)
BC Ratio =z=
5
073 067 C57 050
043 041 038 036
034 032 031 028 025
A-62
Econo ard r-ia nalysis fc- Enery rvastmerts -- Et EEA IO
TPPLE A-32
For Case cfF_E TET 4 - HaJ-W TEXTIEIPP ( _=EOCC70R pCE -C PRICz OF QUM Pssumir 3il Escalation Rate of 20
Cata DOerati Cost of Cil Fuel UsEd Fuel SavE Errgy
Value Cf Save- Anrual Cash -Ic Dir-counted Cash 1ow (kV) B i
Year Czet (E) Cc-t Eciv Energy Cost Lrrert 8 10
1 -cusjtic-$107 1 TransDcrt t3 SCorstrLtO $0 I rerccrrect o 0
2 3 4
5s 6 7
9
10
12 13 14 15 1-
17
19
20 21
Tota $97 5 2
$630 S0 $1680
$0 $ $0 $680 $0 $6S0
0to SEscl $0 $ SK $ 168C
168 V71650
S0 S1630 $0 S 680 $0 1180 0 $1680
$10 1$1 S0 so10 11680 0 $650
$0 t680 (14536) $1680
$20
$2040 $2s3o
$21 22 $I55 $20a $SL V12 $2 97 52 43 S220 V1-42
$2487 $2536 $2587 V6 30 V2692 $274 $20 12 56 $2 14
12972
0
0 C 0 0
C 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0
0
$0
$0 10
s0 $0 s0 s0 $0 s0 s0
S0 $0 s0
s0 $0 t0
3 t0
s0
s0
$0
5N
348 342
343 34
342 348
348 345
348 348 348 348 348 348 348 34 348 348 348
348
S160
S7 033 S7241
t7386 $7534 t7684 $7238 $7225 $85 1$318
13484
U8SE4 S3827
$9004 $3184 $3367 1955 19746 $9941
$10139
$10342
103275
11680 $680
$G60 $5150 1680 S1680
1$680 4$1680
$1680
S1680 $1680 $1680 $680 $1680 $180 $1680 $1168 S1680
($2856)
(-c ($10751s- C71)5
tE4 C 3o4 (102097) 6=SE3 ($3721)
5-7 15970) M$2800 5954 1$5poundpound5 $8497) $004 ($3721) ($8441) $ 158 (176H-4) ($3V530) t16 ($72C25) $7645 sz475 (157-254) 373347)
1r3 I E21) 27t=E(- ($70Q ) S1616804 ($Ez0941 (55875) $S974 2534) ($E3884) $7147 ($ oo)10 (5046) 17324 344702) 352353) $754 (S4C 3)9 ($55798) $7637 ($33100) (533755) S7 M (13189-) (151076) 1205 1127755) (48897 8261 (123 77 (46 29)
$2459 ($9662) ($44829)
$13193 ($1363 ($42038)
($107-5]
$0218a) (397592)
($8307)
(SK579) (322103)
($78S52) ( 7842) 373027) ($70403) (57952) (562) (16251) (115) (S59744) (Z803 (156 435) ($54943)
(353566)
($51604)
(101] $12276) 197843) M2305)(52372 ($00622
(SB654) SK 535) 3$80678) ($72 C3)
($7E 69 ($73473) (371474) (169253) (7961 (16642E) (165021) ($63737) ($625 2) ($61488) ($F0505)
($59137)
U-459 $33880 0 $0 7018 $173652 $137339 $36313
A-63
---------- -------
TABLE A-32 (Contd)TBLE (Calulated)
E-oroizic and Finania Anaaysis for Eergy investments -Egypt EA C
Cacital Costs Benefit Parameters Irterra Rate cREturn 26S
Pcouisitic $7993 Price cf Oi $2C (yr 1)Transortatio $0 Oil Esaa year li-c P of CConstruction $0 Rate BenfEtz Costs wV RatioIterconnection $0 Enry Savns 34E bbyear
UEl use C bblyear 0 73SS52 $137 3 $C313 126TDTAL Ca 7 $140320 $122593 $7657 106 4 IIZ398Constrct TicE I0 morths $122037 ($339) 089 5 $96409 $12- 130 ($23 721) 076 8 $3179 $12205 ($42038) 066Operatirc and Normal rairtenance Costs 10 $70293 $121904 ($5l 604) 58 1X $ampZ502 S12 M ($55 589) 054Operatirg Cost $1680 year 12 $61215 $12 0353 ($59 137) 051Operating Lifetime 21 years 13 $57376 $119633 ($52307) 043
14 $52924 $9072 (55148) 045Major Zqjioinert RepairReplacement 15 $50 1I1 $113514 ($67702) 043 16 A7-97 S1420002 ($70006) 041Replace Cost ($453S)period 18 $43123 $117102 ($73979) 037Replace Period 20 years 20 $39071 $116338 ($77266) 034
A-64
E~ocon2 -- rr Ar ys s fcr Ererzy Irvssttets -- 7rypt EE
TZE A-33
F Case TES 14 - W (0 ETD PE- $2T - PI-- O- DIS $25P)I Assuminz 0 Escalation Rate cf 20
azita Ceratir Ccst cf Oil Fuel Used Fuel SaveeErergy Value -f
save nual Cash Flow DEounted Casi Flow (NPV) 0 i = YS-ar st Cost $bbl (Bbi) Cost Ecuiv crerpy Cost Currert $ 4 8 011 2
rar-zor
Cnst~t I 2tsrzr-ezti- $1
E
12$
14 if
iG
17
18
19
20
21
a S230
s$1 S60
$$ $1169 o$0 $80
$3 S 90 i $i 6c 7 v68n
$0 t68c
so S680 S t 1680
$$ $Sao
$680 $0 $1680
$ $1680 $0 $I63
0 $1-680 $ $1620 $0 $1620 $ $680
$0 $1680 ($4536) $180
S25co
$2550 $ 2553
127 06 127V
a
V-1 72
$2323 t2962
$3047
$31C8 $3171
$3234 $3293
53365
$3432
$3501
$2571
$3842 $3715
0
o
c) 0
0 0
0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0
0 0
0
0 0
$0
$0 so so
t0
SO $0
$0
0 $0
$0
$0 $0
$0 so
$0
$0 $0
so $0 $0
348
347 345
348
342
342
348
34 348 343
348 348
348 343
348
348
348
348
348
348
S151450
$2874
323
$9417
$260E
t9735
53334
t 3 $13337
$1 605
$10817 $11034
$14 $47-
$11703
$ 43 $12122
$12426
$12674
$12328
S1032T
S0
6s0
$1680
$1680
t1680
t-1680
t16
$5
1680 S63 s1650 t1 580
$680
$w $60
$160
$1680 ($2856)
(t10E22f
$7134
$7553
$7737
$306
1218
12314
13 180$3717
$232
$3137 $ 3S4
$3-74 $373K
$10023
1510-22
$103503
$10746
$10-34 $1E784
(105z825) ($106225)
$3 T03154
($33032) ($93644 ($55375) ($W784) ($73764) ($22162)
($73250) ($73-76a
(56235) (71amp2) ($ 17) ($620)
($S4 29 J ($62 202 (43 7) ($5781)
($42 142) ($53737)
($3207) ($43 781 (3c354) ($4073)
($2464) $42 ($1255) 3332 1 ($3387) ($36055) ($7907) ($33 053) ($251 ($30221) $2723 $27532)
$8007 ($34984) $15211 ($21532)
310S225) (S106825) ($10028E I100 402) ($34133) $3425) ($25) ($83150) ($2 234) ($84232)
(37S313 $73725
($73731 ) ($3756231 ($53 45 (371852)
(5 431 ( ($E75 5 0)
($SEB5I) ($5406)
( (7578T 172 (157373)
(53($439 ($55185) ($41818) 379$5 ($44417) ISS347) ($421 84) ($49673) ($4010S) ($$143) $3-173) (-$746)
($36i 3M) ($45403) ($34023) ($43833)
$103453 $33880 0 $0 7018 $217065 $137333 $79726
A-65
TABLE A-33 (Contd)
Ec rC z ant Firn Anaiys- fc- Ererzy Investrerts - Egypt En MlIS
Czzota ss Benefit Parameters terra Rate cf eturn C40
flcquistici deg $17K= Transporatic $0
Sonstructior $0
Irterco rnectior $0
T3TAL Cap2 $107275
Lorstruzt Time 0th
Prce of 0i
C Escalat
rrgy Savngs
F-el Use
$2500 I (yr 20year
343 bbllvear
0 btlyear
11 -i- PV cf
Rat - enefits
0 $217
2 $17- 4-4 $144247
PV of
Costs
12339 $SOV-93 $129037 $2E30
11PV
$7726 $475-7 $15211(I5sES
BC
Ratio
158 132 112 096
Cperating and Nor a
Ocerating Cost
Operating Lifetime
Maintenace Costs
SEC year
21 years
L2r f 0 3
OX $37874
11 $81877 12 76520
I3 $7172014 $67405
$92273
$121904
$121 091 1353
$119632$119072
($21 53)
($34029
($23214)
($432833) ($47953)($516S7)
083
072 068 064 060 057
10ajcr Ecuipment Re~a rlRepaeet
Replace Cost ($4535)Ipericd
Replace Period 20 years
IS
18
20
$614
$53936
$53904
$48839
$11 514
$113002
$117102
$116338
($5000)
($52007)
($63198)
($67498)
054
051
046
042
A-66
Ecorcmic an Fnanria AralvsiE r Eer-y rveStMe-ts -- EZy EE C1I
TABLP-34
-r Case -fL TEST 4 - LEW TEX7Lfl LE $202-T - PR D-L $30BBL) Assir Oi Escalatior Rate of 20
Yea a-ta
Cost eratrCEt of Oi cost $pbl
el Used
(MI Fel
ost
zave Erergy
Ecuzv
VaLe cf s-ve
Energy P -a
Cest
Cash
Currert euro Dscounted Cash 4 8
1ow UNV)
10
9 i
12
1 ccuisCiticr 7 T7rarsort bull Co-tr t~ $
2
4
5
7 8
10
2
13
14
15
16
17 18 19
21
ITz~ta $C73 $22 ES
so 10 o sSo o $iE80 n $ 680 $0 U680
$0 $160 5 s62-
$0 680 f l
50 $Ss so $ss
$0 $6Ev
s $68 so $180
S0 siW8 to $1680 V) $65
$0 $1680 ($4536) $1680
$--D00
S32 $334
$32 7 C312
$3378
$2446 $5
3s85 357
$2730 $3355
$388
$353
$423
s412 $42CI
$42895
$417C
$4458
l c
0 0 0 0 0
0 0
0
0
0
0
0
0 0
0
0
0
so so o$0
so so $0
$0 so so
to $0
$0
$0
$0
so so
so s0
$0
$0
$0
53 348 246 348
343 343
348
348 348
348 348
348
348
348
348
348
348 348
348
348
348
S1 70 s I 49 $1 3F2 072
$11301 $527
$1177
$11992 $122532
S2477 $2$2726
$12231
Z2240 $2505
$12775
$14051
$4 322 $1463
$14911
$15203
$15513
S10227S 15 Si680 $29E
$1580 $312 $amp80 ] $630 $S2 $1680 $36 7 $168) $C077 $680 $C312 $68 $05
E0 S07377 680 $11046
$680 $1130 $680 11 5w S680
t 630 $12035 S60 o S1237-
S11530 s1T652 $660 $12 923 $ i0 $13231
$68 $13523
82856)$18259
310S 525) ($37S5
(s8nL) 172843) ($64749)
3$5S785-
($42942) ($41233)
f$2-53) ($21O)
($18650)
($ 9)
32($4527)
$24S8
$327
$103 22724
$255
$35677
$44060
165f25)1 SZ
(0 -59) ($32837)
($7582)
1$9 -5) (S2774)
5S75f ($510)
3$45551 (340533)
($25692)
($3101)
($26753)
3-631
13725)
(K5M504Z) ($11545)
($2234)
($5093)
($1158)
(S10S 5 (356332)
($3733 ($3732 ($7716)
($71047)
($U35 (0067) ($5M144)
(S55 (4S306)
($42345)
1538662)
($L237
(632C51)
($23020)
($2227) ($23777)
($2 337)
($13185)
(16454)
1 cc-T25) ($3327)
($91207) (184517)
(73403)
($72816)
($6771)
163046 ($53784)
(G54831) (35334) (08025
s$ 8
($42423
( 3
($37673)
($35J60) ($23725)
($32004)
($30433)
($28S19)
$103455 $33d8O 0 $0 7018 $60 478 $1373n $123135
A-67
TABLE A-34 (Contd) 2Lk T-CTETPL Calc~1ated)FL_TI0~PBL
o~ar Fariai naiysi- f-Erergy l=VEsrEtS - Ecyt EE i
trr Rat-- c REturn 787Benefit araetersazital S-sts
t -ri-e of CiD $3000 bbl (yr 1)$10995n PV of BIC
Trarspoto $0 Oil Eszaat 20Iear ri VV C Rate Eerefits Ccsts IPV Ratio
Corstruct ior $r == shyErray Savr s 348 bblyear
intetor rztior $0 Fue -e 0 bblyear 0 $26C478 $137339 1123133 190
2 105 40 S-32693 $77847 1 9 TOTPL (Cap S10799n
4 $173037 $1903-7 $44060 134
6 $144614 $126130 $183483 115 Construct TiME mcTth-s
$1228 $12379E W158 09
t 129N 087tI0O449 ($16454)woerating and Norma Mainterarce C0ts
11 $98253 $121031 ($r233) 081
2 $91824 $120353 ($22 Z29) 076 Operatirc Cost $1680 year
13 $8K064 $19683 ($33619) 072 O eratir 21 yearsLifetie_
14 $80885 $119072 ($33186) 068
5 $7E217 $18514 ($42237) 064 Major Equipment RerairReplacement
$71995 $11802 ($4007) 061
18 $64685 $117102 ($52417) C5shy_16
Replace Cost ($4536)period 2N $58607 $11S338 ($57731) 050
Replace Period 20 years
A-68
Eccnoc and inarzia ryss fc- -re-y rvEstre-ts - E yot EE
TAEE F-35
Fcr Case ofrZ- 5TEST 4 - HELAN TEXT-IPX Mu Assuin_-0 Escalation Rate cf 20
CTOR PRICE $20SQc- -Cc GI j3mBu
Yea
r
s s-t
--t
aoita ost
7
t
eratirn Lst
Cost of IE
Oi1
Feel Used
(Ebl) Fue
Cost
zavEd Erery EcLIv
Value of SEvE
Ern-rzy Annual
Cost Cash Flow Lrrert S
Liscourted 4
Cash F~A
8 (NM
IC i =
2
2
E
7
1$
--
00 21
t--0795
S $0 4
f2
SO 1$
$o SO f0 $ $ S
so$0
tTSO to
($4535)
$103459
2311
1s8c C)
S o 58
$680
SGzr-SsW ss $S80
$16s2 $X30
$630
$ 3 $ampV
$168 51680 $9
$1680 s680
$33880
$M570 $3
$3714 $373
$335
$3942
$4020 $401
$4 3 S42 ES
$4352 $4439
$4E28
545 is $47
$S422 $4301 $4j 9
15099 55201
0
0 0
0 C
C
0
C
a 0
0 0
C
0 0 0 0
0 0
0
Vi
s0 10
$0
SC
t0
to U$C
$V S
$0 $0
$1
oS^1 s0 SC so
s0 so
s0
s
348 342
248 343
343
342
342 343
-43 348
345 348
343
348 342
348 348 348
348 348
7 01
52 S2424 S 1672 t2926 $13 14
S 4-4
$13717
$1399 $14271
$14 ss S14347
t5144 t15447
$1r756 $16071$[ 3
$16721 $17055 17395
$17744 $180 3
$303891
A-69
245 1E8O $68
$66o $1S80
680
f1680
$us
s S680
s60 V-680
) 60
$11680 1G0
$-680 $680 $180
$1680 (2 5)
$137 3
$10744 $10992
24S Er
$1762
$12037
23 $1680$259 $1287S $13167
3464 $2757
$S076
$14391$114723
$15041 1575 $1576
$16064 120955
1165552
--915) M--72
(1h7) 5 211 Z229
($47334 7H)
(S3733-1 (23353 ($1q134 $02393
($1432) $7105
s5E
$23871S220n40
40 07 $4-964 55572 $Q346 $72910
0245 (S10524S ($105245) 1 237) $-3473) 39S53) 36S273) 387334) (373N 77S4 ($7-4)- (S792S)
(IC3S437037) 372374) ($40) (I781 ($597)
(-68 ) 15936) (M9 799 S473 (t4 7) (54230)
342I1 S$4795) ($43 4-) 34S9 $-9334 11445
(3273701 (S34 2353) (340262) (1253 1212n3s391 ($IE129 T251S) 12858) ($1076 ($2107D) (n632) ($3C53) (S-723-3)($26687)
3$4 (137631 ($23m9)
$2975 $1489) (2546) $7130 (37448) ($1230G)
$I063 (4521) ($172--3) $14786 (31994) (11 397) $19231 S120 (113 25)
TABLE A-35 (Contd)ASSPTIONS TAPBLE ME-F-COST TULE (CalcJaled)
E~ooi a Finacial Asi for Energy Investrents - Eypt EE
raitaSs Penefit raees Iter-E Rate of Returr 1014
Pcnuistio $SI7 Price of CiE h (yr 1)7-arrtatior $0 Oil Ezalat 2 year Dis PY cf V of FCrstrcticr $
Rate Enrefits Cc-zts NPDV Ratiotercnnecticr $0 Ergr~y Savrs 343 ttlyear - -ue Use 0 -bllyEar 0 $302231 $1373393 T2T
2 -(7925$2fZ $333 121 37 185 cnstrnxt Tiia 10 Lerths
46 2C34 $23C37 $72 10 57 6 $163716 $1L $4256 34 ee t1437S $372E $0281 116pe-atinz arsd NorLal nainternare Costs 0 $23022 $2504 S120 01
Operating Cost C680 year 10 $107129 $1E3 353 (S2 00 83 13 S100403 $29693 319275)
woeratino Lifetime 21 years 084
a- Ec RErairReplacemerit 4 $0426E $113072 ($24705)ipet 073883-) $514 $ 94)15 S - $-31 (2 07
-$---I16 eplace Cost (4536)Iperiof $3934 $18002 ($34008) 071 -e---
Repace Period 20 years 12 $75465 $117102 ($41637) 064 20 $66375 $116338 ($47963) 059
A-70
-Ecui adFin-ncla Aralys fcr re-rr-t - Ect Efl S
T-PLE -36
- Case cf-l 75- 14 - ZLWAN TxTLE11P (CLETOR F1 -e-1 - C_ OF L $40PL) Pfssu-ir 0i Ezsaatio- Rate cf 20
saves a cfaita _2erat Cost cz C Fue Used Ftel -rery Eaez ra1 ash oi DiEccurted Cash Fioi (PV) i =Yerpoundzsl (Bb1) Ccst Eciv E-er=- Cst poundjrrent 4 0 l
1 Trar-ort $L or Sc
ac-r r-
Thplusmnt$ $2 $4000 0 $0 53 32220 $ OZ 275 115V S ) $L) 5 $52$ $S $4080 0 $0 342 S4133 5160 bull ( s ($34 34 $4 5251eS oS ($845575 337$S $230 S4162 C $0 348 l144S2 $680 S222 tS2 08B21 (t 383) c(sa84) 354572)4 $ -- 45 0 $0 348 $14 72 80 $13-2 37)443) VT2F35) ($74 M)8 (37221- $ 6 54230 6
c SO 34 $ 07 $1650 513337 (52 333) 5 (s650141 ($56745)41 S6pound0 $4pound 0 $0 343 t5369 s0 $1268 ($47748) S2833) ME514) 3522 3787 S $45C I so 348 s Sw W=10131S13336 $67613SEBT($54614) ($587)scl S621 s~lsK 0o 348 sIz230 $680 $1IL3 I j 2 (-6631 (34171 5447 $ i620 $S437 0 so 348 C2 1 S 42 (f23 ($27 (4)ic $1 11 $4780 0 s0 343 $63 $1680 $1435 (54E 7) (S5284) (252 $3411 $0 960 $4276 0 $0 248 s-03 $1680 $Z222 571 ($1420) ($13 ( 0
1 $ $6al $4373 0 $0 348 $7305 T6O S15628 8(75W (S1S7M ($24 537)$O ^$ 73 0 SO 348 $17654 t1680 $1f3 5 25842 fss (S 641)- 2059714 C05630 IS174 0 $0 348 $12 007 t680 $l6327 53=-048 $4847 ($(S2 $16955)15 sso 15278 0 s0 348 $18367 ~ 6amp s-6637 S45 284 $10E54 (52518) ($3441)15 so Eao $2387 0 so 348 $18734 31680 $17054 $54754 $15$564 31032--17 160 $5497 0 so 348 s1100 T1680 t7423 $4053 $ 20921 15358 ($7482)18 $0 sso 567 0 so 348 $13431 t1680 $1781 5 73203 $2s5 5$8871 ($4888713 $0 $Sao $5773 0 $0 348 $13881 $1680 $18 201 $2188 2r313 S C2 252120 t0 680 $5227 0 $0 348 $20279 $1650 $I63 521016 $3467 $1$196 ($3361)21 $s $1680 $5944 0 $0 348 $20684 $2 856) $22540 $101753 $3 72115 185 $2079
$103458 $33680 0 $0 7018 $347304 S1370 $ 05965
A-71
TABLE A-36 (Contd) S TIO TfPBLE EEN-TT-CCSTS TP- -uatedCa1c
Eccncmic and Financial Pavsis fc- Energy irvestcents -- Eypt EEA 96
aita Costs -eefitParaeters nterna Rate of etur- 1229
fcouisition 0799 Price c Oil $40 bbl (yr 1)Transp rtatir $0 Oil Esalat 20year Disc PV of PV of BZCorst-utie $0 Rate Berfits Costs Ratio
irterconntior $0 Enry Savrs 348 bblyear Fue USE 0 bbllyear N $347304 $33 1 2TOTL -Cap -107 995 S22D720 $132 5S3 $148127 212
4 $2307S6 $2 037 $10 175 -79Construct Time 19 months 6 $92818 $126130 628 53 8 $1amp3517 $123796 3721 132Operating and Normal Mainterance Costs 10 $14C52 $1219(4 $1363 115
11 $3004 $121091 $9913Operating Cost $1650 year 108
12 $1 432 $12C353 $20 102Operating Lifetime 21 years 1 $114751 S83 ($4 31 09z $11
14- $107847 $119072 ($11225) 091Major Equipment RepairRelacemert 5 $1C1622 $110514 (c6291) 086 16 $95993 $118002 ($220C09) 081
Replace Cost ($4536)period 8 $8624E T17102 ($30 S56 074Replace Period 20 years 2 $78143 $115338 ($32195) 067
A-72
APPENDIX B
Preliminary Cost Estimates
Three (3) systems are considered appropriate for cost analysis Cost estimates are preliminary for use in the Application ReviewConceptual
Design portion of this project
A Waste Heat Recovery System
B Solar Thermal Collection System
Current $US (mid-1986) are applied then escalated to mid-1987 theexpected construction period at 10 percent
For cost assessment purposes all material and supervision will beconsidered imported Egyptto Labor costs will reflect some Egyptianrate influence although certain installation procedures will requireexperienced labor not currently available in Egypt
The average annual wage for the Egyptian construction industry in 1985Is 7800 LE or $5778 (US) ($135 LE per US $)
An average labor rate in the United States for construction servicesapplicable to this project is estimated by the R S Means Company to be$2177 per hour in 1985 (crew Q4) An estimated thirty percent imporledlabor with severity percent Egyptian labor can be used for establishing a mixed labor rate average of $936 per hour (US) A labor cost modifier for wages becomes $936$2177 or 0431
Equipment and system cost estimates and percentages are established byusing R S Means Company Cost Data and1985 equipment suppliersbudget pricing estimates
The solar cost data are determined in flxed-and variable-cost increments as required by the FCHART-4R program input format A solar collection array size of 4000 square feet ( 72 m2 ) is estimated for use in determining the variable cost factor
B-I
A WAS[E HEAT RECOVERY SYSTEM
DESC R I FT ION SIEI OTAI TOTAL
3 WAY WASTE WATER DIVERTING VALVES SUMP MATERIALS SUMF PUMP FILTER SCREEN SUMP PUMF LEVEL CONTROL AND VALVE WASTE HEAT STORAGE TANK WASTE HE(I S IORAGE TANK PUMP STORAGE TANK LEVEL CONTROL AND VALVE WASTE HEAT EXCHANGER $1200)1000 EITI SUB-TOTAL EQUIFMENT(MID-1986) $160900
ESCALATION FACTOR 11 TOTAL EQUIPMENT (MID-1987) $176990
FLOW ItDICATORS AND GLOBE VALVES 3 WAY PROCESS WATER BLENDING VALVES STEAM CONTROL VALVES PROCESS WATER TEMPERATURE CONTROLLERS SUB-TOTAL EQUIPMENT(MID-1986) $71400
ESCALATION FACTOR 11 TOTAL EQUIPMENT (MID-1987) $78540
PIPING COST (40 EQUIP COST) 040 $102212
INSULATION COST (75 PIPING COST) 075
SUB-TOTAL MATERIAL COST $434401
LABOR COST (715 MATERIAL COST) $310597 MODIFIERLABOR MIX 043 MODIFIED LABOR COST $133557
SUB-TOTAL MATERIAL + LABOR $567958
TOTAL WASTE HEAT RECOVERY SYSTEM CONSTRUCTION COST $567958
B-2
B SOLAR THERMAL COLLECTION SYSTEM VARIRIABLE COrST (HIID-19117)
DESCR I FIUIN SOLAR CULA-ECTORS $10 0uFT2 COLLECTOR AREA 4000 rF2 COLLECTOR COST SOLAR CIRCIJLAFIN(3 PUMPFS SULAR 1ISTRIBLTI 1 PIlIPS STRUCTURAL STEEl SOLAR CONTROLS INSVRUMELNV AIR SYSEIIFIPING LOW VOLTAGE CABLE EXCAVArION AND FOUNDAFIONS ELECTRICAL
TOTAL EQtJIPMENT(MI ID-1986) ESCALATION FACTOR TOTAL ELUI MENT (MID-1787) PIPING COST (40 COLLECTOR COST) INSULATION COST (75PIPING COST) TOTAL MATERIAL COST I$144050
$105500
I1
075
$116050 $16lt00 $12000
LABOR COST (715 MATERIAL COST) MOIFIERLABOR MIX MODIFIED LABOR COST
$102996 043
$44286
MATERIAL + LABOR $188338
FREIGHTDUTYTAXES TO EGYPT 10 $18834
SUBTOTAL $207172
SUBTOTAL CONTINGENCY 15
$207172 $31076
TOTAL VARIABLE COST COST PER FT2 $60
$238248
B-3
------------------------------------------------------------------------
--------------------------------------------------------------------
FIXED COST (MID 1987)
DESCRIPTION CONTRALCTOIR S RENTAL SUFPL IES CONIRACrORS FACILITIES CONTRACTORS UTILITIES CONTRACTORS MATERIAL HANDLING CONTRACTORS CLEAN-UP DISMANTLING AND MOVING BOXING AND CRATING U S IRANSPORTAT ION SUB-TOTAL $34000
SUB-TOTAL M34000 CONTINGENCY 15 $5100
TOTAL FIXED COST $39100
LGE COST BASED ON CURRENT FIELD TEST PROJECT
TOTAL VARIABLE COST $238248 TOTAL FIXED COST $39100
TOTAL SYSTEM CONSTRUCTION COST $277348
EEA COST DATA BASED ON CURRENT PROJECTS USING IN-COUNTRY CONTRACTOR AND EQUIPMENT
VARIABLE COST $2862FT2 $2862 COLLECTOR SIZE (FT2) 4000 TOTAL VARIABLE COST $114480
EEA FIXED COST $26757
TOTAL SYSTEM CONSTRUCTION COST $141237
CONSTRUCTION COST SUMMARY
A WASTE HEAT RECOVERY SYSTEM $567958
D SOLAR THERMAL COLLECTION SYSfEM $277348
1(lAL CUNSTRUCTION CU9 A amp B $845 05
B-4
APPENDIX C
7)i)7771Cell i) Ofr
U6~ (Ici 1 -211~c~~
f~t 2l
c-1
1986 1OCT
I L jB~ i i~ I C r 6 ~ ~Kn Z 7
B~ C~u ~d~ ~ c) 7 fie~~
dF -Me- cluy( - (F --
(44 I It Lccc~ e~lry
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3 BACKGROUND
The proposed site for Field Test 4 -Textile finishing at
the Helwan Spinning and Weaving Company at Helwan near Cairo
Helwan Spinning and Weaving Company is a large textile
plant finishing a variety of fabrics The finishing operation
consists of a series of chemical treatments involving hot and
cold washes by dyeing and bleaching processes The hotfollowed
wash dye and bleach washers are currently brought to and held
at the desired temperature range by direct sparging with steam
(hand-valve adjustments)
Objectives of Proposed Field Test Site for IPH System
The primary objectives of this field test are to provide
EEA with practical working experience using Solar Thermal
Industrial Process Heat and to provide system design and operashy
tional training for Egyptian engineers for the purpose of
assessing and implementing similar projects throughout Egypt
This field test will evaluate the viability of solar thermal
industrial process heat with waste heat recovery system for
textile finishing
The application of solar IPH and waste heat recovery
system for textile finishing at Helwan Textile will serve as a
demonstration of the capability of the combined technology of
- 5 shy
industrial process heat to reliably supply significant amounts
of energy at other textile finishing facilities It is important
that this field test be designed to distinguish between the
performance of the solar IPH and the performance of the waste
heat recovery systems so that each can be evaluated for other
applications
-6 shy
4 ECONOUilC ANALYSIS
Objective
The objective of this analysis is to evaluate the economic
viability of a solar thermal system for providing industrial
process heat for textile finishing at the Helwan Spinning and
Weaving Company at Helwan and to determine whether or not an
investment in this field test would result in the acquisition of
useful information and know-how not only technical but also
managerial and institutional so that such experiences could be
duplicated throughout the economy of Egypt
Research Methodology
The method of analysis selected for accomplishing the above
objective is the standard benefit cost analysis used in project
evaluation A benefit cost analysis involves first the pooling
of anticipated benefits and costs (direct and indirect) resulting
from the project throughout its economic life The streams of
benefits and costs are then expressed in present value terms
using a common numeraire (a discount rate)
From this the following evaluation characteristics can be
calculated
The Net Present Value (NPV) is the difference between the sum of
the discounted stream of benefits and the sum of the discounted
stream of costs discounted by a given discount rate
- 7 shy
The Payback Period is the number of years it takes a project to
generate sufficient benefits to cover its cost or the number of
years it takes the net present value to change from a negative
to a positive value
The Internal Rate of Return (IRR) sometimes called the economic
rte of return is that discount rate that would equate
discounted benefits to discounted cost or reduce the net present
value to zero
Benefit-Cost Ratio (BC) This is the ratio obtained by dividing
the discounted value of all project benefits by the discounted
value of project costs
Simple Payback This is a rule of thumb method used by investors
to see if a particular financial venture is worth investing in
or not The simple payback is calculated by summing up all
capital and operating costs and dividing that sum by the value of
the first full years benefit In the private sector in most
industrialized countries a simple payback of 3 to 5 years is
expected With renewable energy technology a simple payback of
7-9 years is usually admissible
- 8shy
Assumptions
The economic analysis of the IPH system is based on the
following assumptions
0 All energy conversions are made into barrels of oil
equivalent where one metric ton is equivalent to
US 733 barrels
0 Price of oil is valued at US$20barrel of No 6 light
heating oil escalated at 2 per year This price
level may not be indicative of the price of oil that is
rapidly changing at present It should be noted that
the analysis in this study is to look at what may
happen in the long-rt-n during the 1980s and 1990s As
such the analysis should not be affected by what
happens to commodity prices in the spot market in the
very short-run A revision of the price of oil in the
analysis may be appropriate when the price level
stabilizes
A discount rate of 1O is sed This is the
opportunity cost of money used in international
lending agencies such as the World Bank
Hardware is assumed to have a salvage value of 10 at
the end of the life of the system
-9shy
The system is expected to have a life of 20 years
0 Some hardware items are purchased in Egypt An
exchange rate of LE 135 = US$ 100 is used All
prices are in constant US$ 1985
Data Base
Two sets of cost estimates were used in this analysis The
fWrFt set of data was provided by Lockwood Greene Engineers for
a 4000 sqft collector area (see Appendix B)
On the basis of the best available information Lockwood
Greene Engineers have provided the following cost estimates
Collector Size 4000
Prices Variable cost $60O0sqft Fixed cost $39180
0 + M cost 2 of total cost
Salvage value 42 of total cost
Energy savings 325 barrels of oil
Construction period 10 months
System life 20 years
The second set of data was provided by EEA for a collector
size of 4200 sqft The EEA cost estimates also show two types
of prices The first set shows a price of $2581 per square foot
- 10 shy
of colector This price is to be used for collectors purchased
for the REFT Project The second set shows a price of $2221 per
sqft which is to be used when evaluating IPH application
elsewhere in Egypt (see Appendix C)
Cost estimates provided by EEA are as follows
Collector Size 4200 sqft
Prices Variable cost $2221isqft (local)
$2581sqft (REFT)Fixed cost $17430 (local)
$23995 (REFT)
0 + M cost 2 of hardware cost
Salvage value 42 of capital cost
Energy savings 348 barrels of oil
Construction period 10 months
System life 20 years
Analysis and Results
The economic evaluation of the IPH system for textile
finishing was performed by examining the following sets of
assumptions
1 A 4200 sqft collector area at a price of $30sqft
2 A 4200 sqft collector area at prices of
$ 2581sqft and $2221sqft
3 A Waste Heat Recovery System
4 A 4200 sqft collector area priced at $30 per sqftombined with waste heat recovery system
5 A sensitivity analysis at different collector prices and varying prices of oil
- 11 shy
Table 1 presents the input data based on cost estimates
provided by Lockwood Greene Engineers These estimates are based
on a collector system purchased from the US at a price of
US$60sqft Output results for this analysis is presented in
Table 2
Input data for the base line analysis are presented in
Table 3 All base line analyses were performed assuming a price
of $20O0bbl of oil The economic evaluation of all systems
was made using a discount rate of 10 although system perforshy
mances are examined at varying discount rates ranging from 0
to 20 at 2 intervals (see Appendix A)
Table 4 presents results of the base line analysis As
shown in this table the 4200 sqft solar collector systems at
all collector prices do not pay during its economic life The
solar collector system at a price of $30sqft has a simple
payback of 22 years which is longer than the life of the system
The net present value at 10 discount rate is negative for
the baseline case with collector price $30sqft and price of
oil $2Gibbl indicating that the financial benefits accruing to
the project will not be able to offset the cost of acquisition
and operation of the system during its economic life span The
net present value at different level of discount rate and varying
prices of oil is presented in Figure 1
- 12 shy
TABLE 1
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM
FIELD TEST 4 - HLEWAN TEXTILE
DATA INPUT - US CASE
(Collector Price US$ 60sqft Price of Oil
I T E M S SOLAR ONLY WASTE HEAT RE(]OVaRY
Capital Cost ($) 227348 567958
0 + M ($) 4765 11359
Salvage Value ($) 11649 23854
Energy Savings (bbl) 325 11048
Construction Period (Month) 10 10
System Life (Yrs) 20 20
Source LBII estimates based on Engineering cost by Lockwood Greene Engineers
20bbl)
COMBINED SYSTEM
845306
16906
35503
11737
10
20
data provided
- 13 shy
TABLE 2
ECONOMIC NALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM
FIELD TEST 4 - HELWAN TEXTILE
RESULTS - US CASE
(Collector Price USS60sqft Price of Oil US$ 20bbl)
I T E M S SOLAR ONLY WASTE HEAT COMBINED RECOVERY
Energy Savings (bbl) 325 11048 11373
Simple Payback (Yrs) 43 3 4
Pdyback Period (Yrs) None 4 6
Net Present Value i = 10 ($251325) 1568793 1310681
Internal Rate of Return (IRR ) - 834 4220 2843
BC Ratio i = 10 021 337 233
Source LBII estimates based on Engineering cost data providedby Lockwood Greene Engineers
- 14 shy
TABLE 3
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM
FIELD TEST 4 - HELWAN TEXTILE
DATA INPUT - BASELINE ANALYSIS
(Collector Price US$ 30sqft)
I T E M S SOLAR ONLY WASTE HEAT COMBINED RECOVERY SYSTEM
Capital Cost ($) 149995 567958 717953
0 + M (S) 2520 11359 13879
Salvage Value ($) 6300 - 0 - 6300
Energy Savings (bbl) 348 11048 11396
Construction Period (Month) 10 10 10
System Life (Yrs) 20 20 20
Source LBII estimates based on cost data provided from EEA and Lockwood Greene Engineers
- 15 shy
TABLE 4
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM
FIELD TEST 4 - HELWAN TEXTILE
BASELINE ANALYSIS RESULTS
(Collector Price $30sqft Price of Oil US$ 20bbl)
I T E M S SOLAR ONLY WASTE HEAT COMBINED RECOVERY
Energy Savings (bbl) 348 11048 11396
Simple Payback (Yrs) 22 3 3
Payback Period (Yrs) None 4 5
Net Present Value i = 10 ($100633) 1565248 1464614
Internal Rate of Return (IRR ) - 124 4220 3402
BC Ratio 041 335 275 i = 10
Source LBII estimates based on cost data provided by EEA and Lockwood Greene Engineers
- 16 shy
Figure I Helwan TextileIPH - Solar only - Net Present Value at various Discount Rates and Prices of Oil (Collector
Price S30sqft)
0
150
-J)0
LUJ
LUJ
00-
Li
11 t 6
4F
D I SCOU NT RATE ()
130BBL
-$25BBL
~$15BBL $20BBL
- - 17 shy
The internal rate of return (IRR) is significantly lower
than the 10 economic rate of return expected to cover the cost
of credit
The waste heat recovery system on the other hand shows
positive results The system pays for itself in four years
The internal rate of return for the waste heat recovery
system is very high 4220 indicating very high economic gains
to be realized by installing this system
The Application Review for Field Test 4 examines solar
thermal together with a waste heat recovery system as a unit that
will be installed at Helwan Textile Accordingly an economic
evaluation of the combined solar thermal plus the waste heat
recovery system was performed
The input data used for Zhis analysis is presented in
Table 3 Results of the economic analysis for the combined
system are presented in Table 4 As shown in Table 4 the
combined system is economically viable The payback period for
the combined system is five years with an Internal Rate of
Return (IRR) of 3402 Figure 2 presents a graphic representashy
tion of the internal rate of return (IRR) for the output results
presented in Table 4
- 18shy
C
Figure 2 Helwan Textile - Internal Rate of Return at different Prices of Oil for Waste Heat Recovery
and Combined Solar and Jaste Heat Recovery
Systems (Collector Price $60 and $30sqft)
100
80shy
60-
LU 40
lt
($ B B LUi P R 1 0 F 0 1 L
-20
-20
- 19shy
-40
It is very clear from Table that the economic performance
of the combined system is lower than that of the waste heat
system indicating the dampening effect of the poor econoinic
performance of the solar thermal system
It should be pointed out that there is no functional relashy
tionship between the technical or economic performance of solar
thermal and waste heat recovery systems One can install the
solar thermal all by itself or in combination
As discussed earlier the proposed 4200 sqft solar thermal
system is not economically viable at a collector price of $30
sqft and price of oil S20barrel A separate analysis was
performed using a S20barrel price of oil and collector prices of
$30 25 22 and 20sqft Results of the analysis is presented
in Table 5
As shown in Table 5 the solar thermal system is not
economically viable at all collector prices The system does
not pay for itself during its life span Even at the lowest
collector price ($20sqft) the benefits derived from the
system can only cover 58 of the cost incurred (BC ratio 058)
during the life of the system
An additional sensitivity analysis was performed for each
collector price level and varying prices of oil As inshown
- 20 shy
TABLE 5 - ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM - FT4HELWAN TEXTILE SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS WITH DIFFERENT COLLECTOR PRICES
(Price of Oil US$ 20BBL)
I T E M S
COLLECTOR
$20sqft $22sqft
PRICE
$25sqft $30sqft
r
Energy Savings
(bbl)
Simple Payback
(Yrs)
Payback Period
(Yrs)
Net Present Value
i = 10
Internal Rate of Return - IRR
348
16
None
($51604)
266
348
16
None
($55919)
216
348
19
None
($76694)
046
348
22
None
($100633)
- 124
BC Ratio
i = 10 058 056 048 041
Source LBII estimate based on engineering cost Lockwood Greene Engineers
data provided by EEA and
Tables 6 - 9 the solar thermal system will start showing
positive economic results if collector prices are between $20 and
$22sqft and oil prices increase to $35 - $40barrel It is
very unlikely to find a situation where one can have a decline
in the price of collectors while having a simultaneous increase
in the price of oil Since collectors are manufactured from
products such as plastic glass aluminum etc which are
energy intensive a decline in collector prices can only be
realiz=d with a decline in the price of energy
Figures 3 and 4 show graphic representations of the internal
rate of return (IRR) and payback period respectively for
different prices of collectors and varying prices of oil
A year by year cash flow for 36 different scenarios are
presented in Appendix A Tables Al - A36
- 22 shy
TABLE 6 - ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM - FT4HELWAN TEXTILE SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS WITH DIFFERENT PRICES OF OIL
(Collector Price US$ 20sqft)
P R I C E OF 0 1 L
I T E M $15bbl $20bbl $25bbl $30bbl $35bbl $40bbl
Energy Savings 348 348 348 348 348 348(bbl)
Simple Payback 21 16 12 10 9 8(Yrs)
Payback Period None None None None None None (Yr s)
Net Present Value i = 10 (69179) (51604) (34029) (16454) 1120 18695
Internal Rate ofReturn - IRR - 057 266 540 787 1014 1229
BC Ratio 043 058 072 087 101 115
Source LBII estimate based on engineering cost data provided by EEA andLockwood Greene Engineers
TABLE 7 - ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM - FT4HELWAN TEXTILE SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS WITH DIFFERENT PRICES OF OIL
(Collector Price US$ 22sqft)
I T E M
Energy Savings (bbl)
Simple Payback (Yrs)
Payback Period
(Yrs)
P R I C E OF 0 I L
$15bbl $20bbl $25bbl $30bbl $35bbl $40bbl
348 348 348 348 348 348
21 16 13 11 9 8
None None None None None None
Net Present Value i = 10 (73494) (55919) (38344) (20769) (3194) 14381
Internal Rate of Return - IRR - 108 216 491 735 961 1172
BC Ratio 042 056 070 084 097 111
Source LBII estimate based on engineering cost data provided by EEA and Lockwood Greene Engineers
TABLE 8 -ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM - FT4HELWAN TEXTILESENSITIVITY ANALYSIS WITH DIFFERENT PRICES OF OIL (Collector Price US$ 25sqft)
P R I C E OF 0 I L I T E M $15bbl $20bbl $25bbl $30bbl $35bbl $40bbl
Energy Savings
(bbl)
348 348 348 348 348 348
Simple Payback
(Yrs) 25 19 15 12 11 9
Payback
(Yrs)
Period None None None None None None
Net Present Value i = 10 (94268) (76694) (59119) (41544) (23969) (6394)
Internal Rate ofReturn - IRR - 263 046 304 532 739 932 BC Ratio 036 048 060 072 084 096
Source LBII estimate based on engineering cost data provided by EEA andLockwood Greene Engineers
TABLE 9 - ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM - FT4HELWAN TEXTILE SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS WITH DIFFERENT PRICES OF OIL
(Collector Price US$ 30sqft)
P R I C E OF 0 1 L
I T E M $15bbl $20bbl $25bbl $30bbl $35bbl $40bbl
Energy Savings 348 348 348 348 348 348 (bbl
Simple Payback 29 22 17 14 12 11(Yrs)
Payback Period None None None None None None (Yrs)
Net Present Value (118208) (100633) (83058) (65484) (47909) (30334) i = 10
Internal Rate of Return - IRR - 425 - 124 124 339 534 714
BC Ratio 031 041 051 062 072 082
Source LBII estimate based on engineering cost data provided by EEA and Lockwood Greene Engineers
Figure 3- Helwan TextileIPH - Solar Only - Internal Rate of
Returr at Different Prices of Oil and varying
Collector Prices
29shy
n
-15
CD 10shy
lt 5
S0
10
R
2
0 F
30 5
B BL )
-10
-27 shy
-Ig - Helwan Textile - Solar Only - Simple Payback at Dfferent Prices of Oil and varying Collector
Prices
50
40shy
30
20- $60sqft
- - S30sqft
I25sqft22sq ft 20sq ft
P
10
R I C E
20
0 F
30
0 1 L
40
B B L
50
- 28 shy
5 CONCLUSION
The economic analysis performed on the proposed IPH Field
Test at Helwan Textile showed that the 4200 sqft flat plate
collector system was not economically viable
However the analysis indicated that when the solar thermal
system was evaluated in combination with the waste heat recovery
system the project was economically viable This favorable
performance was caused not because of improvement made in
economic efficiency by the solar thermal system but rather
because the economic efficiency of the waste heat recovery
system is so strong that it more than offsets the poor
performance of the solar thermal system
It should be emphasized that this analysis did not cover an
evaluation of the complete array of solar thermal systems such
as solar collectors for domestic hot water etc The analysis
was limited to the application of flat plate collectors for
application in industrial process heat of a given temperature
range Therefore implications drawn from this analysis should
not be applied to other solar thermal uses
The economic analysis has revealed some interesting and
important economic technical institutional and policy issues
- 29 shy
It is clear that the proposed flat plate collector system
on its own cainot be expected to bring about positive economic
returns given current collector prices Therefore it is
necessary that
Investigations be made in the technical field to
determine if the efficiency of the system could be
improved without increasing system cost
e The supply side of the collector market be prepared
to manufacture and supply collector systems that are
cost effective
e Policy makers be cognizant of the fact that the price
of flat plate collectors must decrease by almost 60
compared to the best case scenario as used in this
study (from $30sqft to $10sqft) in order
for industrial consumers to find it attractive to
invest in solar thermal technology Since the market
and thus the solar thermal industry is at its infancy
in Egypt policy makers and the public sector have to
play a lead role in removing barriers and providing the
appropriate fiscal andor regulatory incentives to
enhance the manufacture and widespread use of solar
thermal technology
- 30 shy
It is the overall objective of the Renewable Energy Field
Testing Project to investigate selected renewable energy options
to
9 Comprehensively strengthen Egyptian technical and
institutional capabilities in the full spectrum of
renewable energy planning and decision-making for
technologies and applications
Develop and sustain an Egyptian renewable energy
infrastructure through establishment of data bases
information systems and organizations that effectively
serve both the public and private sectors
Design realize and evaluate the performance of a
series of field tests which utilize commercially
available technologies in applications having potential
for widespread use in Egypt
Complete formal managerial and technical training both
on-the-job and specialized and an intensive
information dissemination program
- 31 shy
The design operation maintenance and repair experience
with solar thermal systems that will be obtained through this
field test to form a strong technical base for the design and
application of other renewable energy technologies is an
important factor which has not entered into the benefit cost
calculation in this report These additional factors need to be
considered seriously for the go-no-go decision
- 32 shy
APPENDIX A
-cono mcarz F7ra r na 2Analvsis fo- Erer gyi s t s y --t ne E8 0o
TA -1E-1
Fcr Case ofFELD TEST 4 - HELW TEXTILEIIPH (CILLECTOR PRICE S35313FT- PRICE Cz OIL $158L)Assumr iliEscalatior Rate of
Savec ValLe Of V~Caoitaltea- Cost Deratzrnc Cost of OilCost Sbl Fuel Usea Fuel(bi) EeravCs Saveo AnnualEuiv Er-eray Lost
Casi Flow Discounted Cash Flo~w (NV) j=urrert 48
Ion $14--Oui -It X=-=== ==--- ----==---=-------S shyrarsoort 1 Construc ionI i nt er o 0ne zt i o r $$14$35 $4C- $1500 $0 31Tta 5870$(
58 $150415 ($149545)6520 S153cent S14945) ($149545) ($14954-)$0 348 (149 4W)V 5324 $20$2520 $1561 4 ($146848) 3146948)4 0 $0 348 ($14699) (S14704)SO $5431i250 159= 550 $2911 ($1441 ) ($1445)5 Si $0 348 $5540 S252 S020
($14550) ($144721)$252) 1624 ($141473) (142056)$$ 348 ($142321) (142571)8 5650$0 $1G56 0 $313r ($13797) ($139755) (S140ljE7 $ (140582)$0 346 _7632 20 $1689 0 $W 348 $520 $3243 ($13611) ($137548) ($138169)8 S5873 2520SO $25Z0 $1723 $3359 ($133477) ($135431)0 $0 (M76274 ($137040)9- W S757 348 S5336 $25200 SO 348 $3476 (s123235 ($133402) ($134490)10 $5116 S-20 ($135468)$0 $2520 51733 0
$352 (128205) ($131460)11S 250 $0 348 $6238 (13 812) ($134015)510s $2520 $3718 ($125595) so $2520 4 Sampo $3843
(S12600) (131235) ($132674)$ bull252$1S65 0 $0 348 $6490) ($1 999) ($127820) ($1k9754) ($131437)13 V) 520 $1902
$ 2-t $3370 ($1 j420) ($126117) ($128 3) ($130256)14 348 $6620$0 S2520 $1940
0 S0 $2520 $410W ($117859) ($124489)0 $0 348 ($127055) ($129243)15 (1 2520 $197 0 $6753 S250 $233 ($115317) ($22932) ($125 89)16 $0
so 348 $6888 S252 (3128273)i3520 4368$2019 ($1I1C755)
17 0 $0 348 $7025 (3121445) ($124679) ($127379)$2K$0 $-) 0 01 $156- ($I12S3)
348 3120025 ($123601) ($126556)$7166 512520 646 (S107812) (S11BC65918 $0 ($122590) (S125710 52 10 21 100 0 so - 0$2 520J 348 7309 t4935S21 42 0 so) 50 $789 ($102918i($105354) i17374) ($1216421 ($125101)20 348 $7 455 ($116139)$0 $2520 $2 5 ($12-0754)$2185 0 ($124459)s021 348(W30) $2520 57 605 $2-50 $5085$2229 ($I00504)0 s0 348 $7757
(314961 ($119923) ($123869)($3780 S11537 ($9239) ($112486) ($I18208) ($IM673)$143695 $50820 0 $0 7018 $130239 $194515 ($64276)
A-1
TABLE A-I (Contd) ASSUMPTIONS TABLE BENEFIT-COSTS TALE (Calculated)
Economic and Financiai Analvsis for Energy -strnents - Egypt EEA 101986
Cacital Costs Benefit Parameters Internal Rate of Return -425
Acouisition $149995 Price of Oil $1500 bbl (yr 1)Trarsoortation $0 Oil Escalat 20year Disc PV of FV of BCConstruction $0 Rate Benefits Costs NOV Ratio
interconnection $0 Enrgy Savns 348 bblyear Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 $130 23 $194515 ($64276) 067TOTAL (Cap) $149995
El $105270 $187381 (582111) 056
Construct Time 10 morhs 4 $86548 $181787 ($95239) 0486 $72307 $177 355 ($105048) 041
Ooeratinc and Normal Maintenance Costs 8 $61319 $173805 (3112486) 03510 $5725 $170933 $118208) 031 11 $$3l26 $169701 ($120575) 029oeratino Cost $2520 year 12 $45912 $168585 ($122673) 027Operating Lifetime 21 years 13 $43032 $167571 ($124539) 026
Major Eauipment ReoairReolacement 14 $40443 $166647 ($126204) 024 15 $38108 $165804 ($227695) 023
Salvage Value ($6300)period 16 $35 997 $165032 ($129034) 022 18 $32342 $163674 ($131332) 020Replace Period 20 years 20 $29303 1162522 ($133219) 018
A-2
--
__
Ewic a Fzranzai Z aiys s for Enercy Investments Eayot EEAq-
10I9i-
1PLE A-2 For Case ofFIELD TEST 4-- H2LWRN TEXTILEIP (COLLECTOR PRICE $30SQF - PRICE OF OIL $20BlAssumino Oil Escalation Rate of 0OL
Ca0ita Oeratira Cost cf Oilyear Fuel UsedCost Cost $Bb Saved VEL- -Fuei Ererly(Bb) Cost ave Arr al Cas FlowEouv ne-v LisOurted Cash FlowAnua C Flow 0V) 6 ===--- shy ======= =----=- rcuisior $1 93 -- Codegt ure~n $4Trar-I sSrC0=-=---= = 8 10 12=== =_==== -= =shy
=== =---==_-_I Corstru-t or te $34 512415 $2
431$951 Tota) C$Z $520 5 $160 (Q14-$1-47 $24
fSO $A 0 so 2s ($14 SH5) ($149255)$0
$73 $-5 ($144 8-( ($492s)$ $4$274 ( -14482)(3145015)s 348 (31450321$7241 $2520 ($145GG) $ $ 20 12 65 o so$01
348 0
$472( ($140487) ($140357) (s1411025200 ($1414031$25207 $2208 $ 0 3(1381611($i37 105 0 $11 4 3$0 20 S5_a20 5 0 so ($137534) ($137939)52520 348
0 $S034 3483 $7645 3 S- $5014 ($131875)$78 $1202 (11j33419)SO2 $ $5318SE184 ($12763 ($126 5531 (3134110) (134753)($123428)
$0 S3 ($127901) ($129128)$2520 $2297 $0 $2 2 o 0 345 $4I4 ($$2343 $995 1)7 ($1239(50 348 $2520 5475 ($130903)Ii 3155 s2$23 $131822)$ 183$0$2$SC n 5 ($13 50 ) ($120314 ) ($1224 )0 ($ 124376)-2$-iSO $23($ 5212~~ $ 520 2438S S $1 513 3) (SI27903 ) ( 52)$252 0 $2$0~ $7980 0 3 -4 i$110761 ($117414)1$ $2FO ($120000 -2520 $5 Z $59 4 ($12-2285)
gs )1 3 $20 287 $0348 1$107 0-7) ($S141238 ($ 17 7 0) SI2652587 $$c 24 ($120 3 5 )15 $0 0 (S0563) ($112021)$2 52 $2 $-9348 ($11555) ($118601)$0 520 6 0 so 34 8 $2 443483 S82 311104 $220$ 520 S664 ($30) ($107132)$ 307 ($931($S3123)) ( 10 (Si1267) ($115497)6 ($I04Ef) ($11973)5I) ($S 15451 ($11133)o0 $2 520 ($1169 3)SO 5 2 920 032520 5274 6 0 4 8 $ 36 $S 2- 8$0 47 ( 1 014 34 6 $3555 ($ I02 70 19 348 $7U ($1 0743 ) ($I 1i7
s0 $2520 $2800 0 $2 520 7 0 5 ($8 834 ($00 65) ) ($10 8 273 ) ($112 8 2 )
$2520 $9 0 $200 $72- (914$) 3)S0 $4 ($90 063 ($110682)27 $0 $2 c856 00 ($76 51)2$5 14 0 0 348 0 ($9 842 ($0397 ($10977)340 $I0139 -521 $2 5 0 $($6300) $7 19$2520 $2972 0 ( 72 8 35 ($ 076 ()0s0 ($102 72) ($10023)348 $10342 (3780) $1418 ($ 3) ($9246) ($100633) ($I0735)
$143695 $0820 0 s 7018 $173652 $194515 ($20863)
A-3
ASSUMPTJINS TABLE TABLE A-2 (Contd) BENEFIT-COSTS TPBLE (Calculated)
Economicand Finar_ial Analysis fr Energy Investments - Egypt EE 10191S6
Capital Costs Benefit Parareters Internal Rate of Return -124
Acquisitior 149995 Price of Oil 2000 bbl (y 1)Transoortation $0 Oil Escalat 20rvear Disc PV of PV of BC
Construction $0 Rate Benefits Costs NPV RatioInterconrection $0 Enrgy Savrias 348 bblyear --- _____-__
- Fuel Use 0 bblivear 0 $173652 $1S4515 ($20863) 089TOTAL (Car) $14995 2 $14036O $187381 (347021) 075 4 $115398 S181787 (36E390) 063Construct Time 10 months 6 $96409 S177355 ($80946) 054
8 $31759 5173805 ($92 046)Ooerating and Normal Maintenance Costs 047l0 $70299 $170 933 ($100633) 041
11 $65502 $169701 (3104199) 039Operatino Cost S2520 year 12 $61216 1amp3585 ($107369) 036Oerating Lifetime 21 years 13 57376 $167571 (3110195) 034
14 $53924 $16G647 (3112723) 032Major Equioment ReoairReplacement 15 $50811 $165804 ($114992) 031 16 $47997 $165032 ($117035) 0213Replace Cost ($6300)oeriod 18 $43123 $163674 (3120551) 026Replace Period 20 years 20 $39071 $162522 ($123451) 024
A-4
Econonxc and Finarcial 9ralvsis for Energy Investrets -- EcvDt EEA 1013i6C
TABLE A-3
For Case ofFIELD TEST 14 - H-LWAN TEXTILEIPi ( COLLECTOR PRCE $30SQFT- PRICE OF OIL $25BBL) Assuming Oil Escalation Rate of 20
Saved Valus ofCacital boeratirng Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel Energy Saved Annual Cash Flow Discounted Cash Flow ((NV) iYear Cost Cost $Bbl (Bbl) Cost Eauiv Erercy Cost Currert f 4 8 10 12
S Accuisitio $149995
1 Transoort $0 I Construct ior $0 I Interconnection $0
Totil $149q95 $420 $2500 0 $0 58 $1450 S150 415 ($14295) (3148965) ($48965) ($14895) ($148965)$0 $2520 $2550 0 s0 348 $3874 $2520 $3354 ($142855) ($143082) ($143189) ($143292)3 s0 $2520 $2601 0 $0 348 $9051 $2520 ($1368171 ($137482) ($137791) ($133085)4 $0 2520 $2653 5
0 s0 348 $3233 $252 $ 713 ($130643) ($132153) ($132748) ($133307)$0 2520 $2706 0 $0 6
348 $9417 $2520 $o897 ($124954) ($127084) ($128037) ($128924)$0 S2520 $2760 0 $0 348 $9606 $2520 S7056 ($119130) ($122261) ($123637) ($124903)7 so $2520 $2815 0 $0 348 $3798 $2520 $7278 ($113378) (117675) ($119529) ($121216)so $1520 $28728 0 $0 348 $39A 9
S2520 $7474 ($107699) ($11331b) ($115694) ($117836)s0 $2520 $2929 0 $0 348 $10193 $25L0 $7673 ($102032) ($09169) ($1121141 ($114736)10 $0 2520 $2986 0 11
$1 348 $10397 $25_lt $7877 ($36557) ($105228) ($103774) ($111896)$0 $2520 $3047 0 $0 348 $10 60 $_520 $308512 ($31095) ($I01483) ($105656) (5109293)$0 $2520 $3106 0 $0 348 $10817 $2520 $8237 ($85706) ($97925 ($102748) ($106907)13 $0 $2520 $3171 0 $0 348 $11034 $2520 $8514 ($80388) ($94544) ($10003-5) ($104722)$0 $2520 $323414 0 $0 348 $11254 $2520 $873415 ($75142) ($91332) ($97505) ($102720)$0 $2520 $3299 0 $0 348 $11479 $2520 $8959 ($69968) ($88282) ($95146) ($100837)16 $0 $2520 $3365 0 $0 348 $I709 $2520 $3189 ($64866) ($85385) ($92946) ($99208)17 $0 $2520 $3432 0 $0 348 $11943 $252(l $9423 ($59835) ($M 634) ($90895) ($97671)18 $0 $2520 $3501 0 $0 348 $12182 $2520 $3662 ($54875) ($80023) ($88984) ($264)19 so $2520 $3571 0 $0 348 $12426 $2520 $9906 ($349985) ($77544) ($87202) ($94976)20 $0 $2520 $3642 0 $0 348 $12674 $2520 $10154 ($45165) ($75191) ($85542) ($93797)21 ($6300) $2520 $3715 0 $0 348 $12928 ($3780) $16708 ($37540) ($71607) ($830558) ($92065)
$143695 $50820 0 $0 7018 $217065 $194515 $22550
A-5
-- --
TABLE A-3 (Contd) ASSUMPTIONS TABLE BENFIT-COSTS TABLE (Calculated)
Economic and Financial Analysis for Energy Investments - Egyot EEA i01986
Capital Costs Benefit Parameters Internal Rate of Return 124
Acouisition $149995 Price of Oil $25CK bbl (yr 1)TransDortation $0 Oil Escalat 20year Disc PY of PV of BCConstruction $0 Rate Benefits Costs NPV Ratio
Interconrection $0 Enrgy Savngs 348 bblyear m_ S -- - Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 $217065 $194515 $2550 112
TOTAL Cap) $149995 2 $175450 $187381 ($11931) 094
4 $144247 $181787 ($37540) 079Construct Time 10 months 6 $120511 $177355 ($56844) 068 8 $102 198 $173805 ($71607) 059DOeratino and Normal Maintenance Costs 10 $87674 $170933 ($83058) 051
11 $81877 $169701 ($87824) 048Deratina Cost $2520 year 0 Sshye i s 5 a $76520 $168585 ($92065) 045ODperatina Lifetime 21 years 23 $71720 $167571 ($95851) 043
14 $67405 $166647 ($99242) 040Major Eauipment RepairReplacement 15 $63514 165804 ($102290) 038
16 $59996 $165032 ($105036) 036Salvage Value ($6 300period 18 $53904 $163674 ($109770) 033 Replace Period 20 years 20 $48839 $162522 ($1136833) 030
A-6
Econotic and Financial Araiysis for Energy Irvesteents - Egypt EEA 101986
TABLE A-4
For Case ofFI-2-D -ST 14 - HELWAN TEXTILEIPH ( COLLTOR PRICE 30SFT - PRICE OF OIL $30BBL)Assunina Oil Escalation Rate of 20
Saved Value of
CaPital Oerating Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel EreryYear Cost Cost $bl (PbI) Cost Ecuiv Savea Annual Cash Flow Discounted Cash Flow (N91V) IErerey Cost Currer $ 4 8 10 12
Pcousition $142995 I Tr2rsport $0 1 Constrtio s I Intercorrecto $01 Total $14995 $420 $3000 0 $0SO58 $1740 $150415 (148675) 3514375) ($148675) ($143675) ($148675)
$0 $60C 220 303 $25 0 $3121 0 5 34 506 9 2$0 348 $10862 50 $8 1 9 ($ 4 0 85M) ($ 1 4 11 4 8) ( S 141e280$25X) $342 ($133146) ($133937) ($134391)) ( $ 141 41 7 1
4 (3134767)$0 $2520 $31845 $0 2520 $347 0 0
$0 348 $11079 S2520 $8559 ($125537)$0 346 $1301 $2 (127202) ($127961) ($128675)0 2520 $3312
520 5781 ($118032) ($120748) ($121963) ($123095)7 0 $0 348 $111527 S2-0so S2520 $3378 $3007 ($110629) (114618)
850 0 (116371) ($117984)so 348 51275752520 $3446 0 $0 348
S2520 $9237 ($103329) ($108797) (111157) (113304)$I992 $2520 $9472 (39613) ($103270) ($106296) ($109020)$0 $2520 $35 1510 0$0 $2520 $3585 0 s0 348 $12232 S2520 $9712 ($89034 (598(023)11 $0 348 S2477 ($01765 (3105097)$0 $2 500 S 521t0 $9957 ($5 039)$3657 0 0 (33042 ($97543) ($101507)348 $12726 S252012 0 $ 2520 $53730
$10206 ($7E144) ($88315) (1193608) (S98220)0 $0 348 $12981 $25 $10461 ($S3 3h8)14
52520 (55823) ($89941) ($95213)$0 $2520 $3881 510720 (61 652)0 ($79571) ($86525)s0 348 $13505 ($92461)I5 $0 $2520 $10985 (555055)52520 $3958 0 ($75532 (583343) (89944)s0 348 $1377516 SO S2520 S511255 ($4e5) (571700)$2520 $4038 0 ($0379) (387641)$0 348 51405117 $0 $2520 $4118 0
S2520 $11531 ($4 153 ($68065) ($77 61) ($85534)s0 348 $14332 $218 -0 $11812$0 $2520 (35846) (364617) (575048)$4201 0 ($83607)19 348 $141619 S2520$0
s0 $1209 (59635$2520 $4285 ($61347) ($72650 ($81845$0 348 $1491120 $0 $2520 $2520 $12331 ($23519) ($58247)$4370 0 ($70426) ($80234)$0 348 $15209 $252021 (36300Y $2520 54458 0 $0 12689 ($174 ) ($55306) ($68351) ($78761)348 $15513 (53780) $19293 ($8691) ($51167) ($65484) (76761)
$143695 S5m0 0 so 7018 $260478 $194515 $65963
A-7
TABLE A-4 (Contd) ASSUMPTIONS TABLE BENEFIT-COT3 TABLE (Calculated)
Economic and Financial Aralysis for Energy Investments -- Egypt EEA 1019166
Caoital Costs Benefit Pararmeters Internal Rate of Return 339
Acquisition $149995 Price of Oil $3000 bbl (yr 1) Transportation $0 Oil Escalat L(Wvear Disc PV of PV of BC
Construct ior $0 Rate Benefits Costs NPV Ratio Interconnectior $0 Enrgy Savrias 348 bblvear
Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 S260478 $19455 $65963 134 TOTAL (Cao) $149995 2 $210540 $187381 S23159 112
4 $173097 $118787 ($8691) 095 Construct Time 10 months 6 $144614 $177355 ($32741) 382
8 $122638 $173805 1167 071 Operating and Normal Maintenance Costs 10 $105449 $170933 ($65464 062
11 $98253 $169701 ($71448) 058 Oerating Cost $2520 year 12 $91824 $168585 ($76761) 054
Operating Lifetime 21 years 13 $86064 $167571 ($81507) 051 14 $80885 $166647 ($85761) 049
Major Equipment RepairReDlacement 15 $76217 $165804 ($89587) 046 16 $71995 $165032 ($93037) 044
Replace Cost ($6300)period 18 $64685 $163674 ($98989) 040 Replace Period 20 years 23 $58607 $162522 ($103915) 036
A-8
Ecromic and Fna-ia Aaysis for Ene-v investmerts - E yvt EEP shyi(I195
TABLE A-5
For ie ofFIELD TEST 44 - H-LWA-4 TEXTILEi C E-TO PR CE $305 FT - PRIZE OF OIL $35BBL) Assurjc Oil Escalation PR-e of 20
Saved Vaiue cfa-tal Ooeratlr_ Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel Ererv a eO Anual poundan Flow Discounted Cash Flow (NPV) i = Year r st cost SPbl (bbl) [cst Eciv Errgv Cost Currert $ 4 8 10 12
I SI auxsiticr 1433
1 Trarsoort $0
EorstrLZt cr $0 SI-tercorrezt ior $0
Total $143 995 $420 $3500 0 so 58 $2030 S15-415 ($145385) (4148385) ($148385) (M142335) ($1483351$0 $2520 $3570 0 $0 348 $1424 $2520 $3904 ($138862) ($133215) ($39382) (13543)Sto S2520 $3041 0 $1 348 51-672 $520 $10(152W20476) ($130511) (S130992) ($131443)4 $1 $2523 $3714 0 S0 348 226 $2520 $10406 ($12C226) ($122251) ($23174 ($124043)o$0 2520 $3789 0 $ 34B $12184 52520 $10664 t$111I10) ($114413) ($115890) ($27266)
6 s0 $2520 $3864 0 $0 348 t53448 $252n 10928 (S102128) ($106975) (3109105) ($111065)70 $2520 $3942 0 s0 348 $13717 12520 S111137 ($93279) ($99 920) ($102785) ($10- 392)5 $0 $2520 $4020 0 $0 348 $13231 $250 $S1471 ($845 2) ($93226) ($33898) (M100204)9 VI $2520 $4101 0 so 348 $14271 S520 $11751 (175976) ($86878) ($91416) ($3f458)
10 $0 $2520 $4183 0 $0 348 $14556 $2520 $12036 ($67520) ($80E5) ($86312) ($11117)11 s0 $2520 42G 0 $0 348 $14647 $2520 1123227 (S52192) ($75147) ( 8155) ($7148)12 $ 0 $4352 0 so 348 $15144 $2520 $12624 ($5- 931) ($69732) ($77134) ($83519)13 $0 $2520 $4439 0 so 348 $15447 $2 0 $12927 ($42917) ($64599) ($73015) (W8320)14 $0 $ 50 $4528 0 $0 348 $I-755 $2520 S1323- ($34938) ($53732) ($69181) ($77168)15 SO $2520 $4618 (1 $0 348 $16071 $2520 $13551 ($27142) (S55118) ($5613) ($7439516 t0 $2520 $4711 0 $0 348 $16333 $250 $13873 ($1 439) ($50745) ($62232) ($71860)17 $0 $2520 $4805 0 $0 348 $16721 $2120 $14201 ($I1657) ($4660) ($59201) ($G9544)18 $0 $25200 $4901 0 so 348 $17055 $250 $14535 ($4396) (02672) ($5632) ($67427)19 $0 $2520 $4999 0 $0 348 $17396 $2520 $14876 $2948 ($33949) ($53650) ($65492)20 $0 $2520 $5093 21
0 $0 348 $17744 $3520 $15224 $10174 ($35421) ($51161) ($3725)($6300) $2520 $5201 0 $0 348 $18099 ($3780) $21879 $20159 ($30727) ($47909) ($61457)
$143695 $50820 0 $0 7018 $303891 $194515 $103376
A-9
TABLE A-5 (Contd)ASSUMPTIONS TABLE ENEFIT-COSTS TABLE (Calculated)
Economic and Financiai Analysis for Erergy Investments -- Egyot EEA 10965
Capital Costs Benefit Parameters Internai Rate of Return 534
Acquisition $149995 Price of Oil $35K0 bbl (yr 1) Transport tior $0 Oil Escalat 20vear Disc PV of FV of PCConstruction $0 Rate Benefits Costs tPV Ratio
Interconnectior $0 Enrgy Savns 342 bblyear ==-- -Fuel Use 0 bblvear 0 $303531 $154515 $103376 156
TOTAL (Cap) $149995 2 $245630 $187331 $58249 3
4 $i20 46 $181787 20159 i11Construct Time 10 months 6 $163716 $177355 ($8639) 095 8 $143078 $173805 ($30727) 082
Operating and Normal Maintenance Costs 10 $123024 $170933 ($47909) 072 11 S114628 $169701 ($55 073) 068
Operating Cost $2520 year 12 $107128 $165585 ($61457) 064 Operating Lifetime 21 years $l40810 $167571 ($67163) 060
14 $94366 $166647 ($72281) 057Major Equipment RepairReolacement 15 $82920 $165804 ($76864) 054
16 $83994 $165032 ($81038) 051Replace Cost ($6300)period 18 $75465 $163674 $88-08) 046
Replace Period 20 years 2 $68375 $162522 ($94147) 042A- 10
Eccricmi ane Finarcial AnalysiT fo Energy trvest-ents -- Ev-t EEA 101215
TAlKE A-5
For Case ofFiED TEST 04 - HELWPN TEXTIL=IPH (COLLECTD PRICE $3SFT- PRICE as OIL $40BBL) Ass mir Oil Esralatior Rate of 20
Savet Yait- ofCaoital ODerating Ccst of Oil Fuel bse Fuel Energy Saved fnrnal [a- Flch Liscounted Cash Flow (NPV) i = Year Cost Cost $bl (Bbi) CLst Ecit1 Energy Ccst C-rert$ 4 8 10 12
I Acc-ist on $142995 I -ras)ort $0 1 cnstr t o $0
I te-crrezt icr $0 Total $14995 $420 $400N 0 $0 58 $2320 $15045 (S143C135 ($14209) ($143095) ($142035) ($148095)S) $220 $4080 0 so78 ($138f6) ($137282) ($137478) ($137663)
$0 $2520 $4162 r $0 348 $1442 $250 $192 ($125806) ($127026) (M27592) ($128132)4 so 12120 $4245 0 s0 348 $14 77 S25K0 V2252 ($114914) ($117300) (1115337) ($119411)soS0 2 $43310s _$0 25 $330 0 1-7j(1147 0 ($04188)6 $0 $2520 $4416
$0 348 $15$7 525 $12547 ($108077) ($109817) ($111437)0 $0 348 s15 $252 $12849 ($33627) ($93322) ($1083S) ($104146)7 so $2 520 $4505 0 V) 348 $ 676 S21520 $13156 ($83230) ($31042) ($94412) ($97481)
8 $0 $2520 $4595 0 $0 348 $15 9 o 2520 S13470 ($72934) ($83 182) ($57500) ($9388)9 $0 $252) $4687 Q $0 348 $I309 $2520 $3 789 ($62918) $75732) ($31067) ($85818)10 $0 $2520 $4780 0 $0 348 $6631 5 2520 $14116 ($53001) ($68671) ($75081) ($0728)11 $0 $2520 $4676 0 $0 348 $1696 $520 $14448 ($43240) ($61979) ($69510) ($76076)12 $0 $2520 $4973 0 $0 348 $17308 $2520 $14788 ($33634) ($55636) ($64327) ($71825)13 $0 $2520 73 0 $0 348 $17654 $2520 $15134 ($24181) ($49626) ($59505) ($67940) 14 $0 $2520 $5174 0 $0 348 $18 007 S250 $5487 ($14880) ($43932) ($55019) ($64391)15 $0 $2520 $5278 0 $0 348 $ P367 $2 520 $15847 ($572-3) ($38537) ($50646) (55148)
$0 $220 $538316 0 $0 348 $18734 $25032 ($33425) ( 5) (58186)17 s $2520 $549 0 $0 348 $191$2 250 $I5 9 $12 131 ($328583) ($43354) ($55480)18 $0 $2520 $5601 C $0 348 $19491 $2520 $IE971 $20844 ($23996) ($39997) ($53008)19 $0 $2520 $5713 so 348 $19881 $2520 $173C1 $39414 ($19651) ($36874) ($50751)20 $0 $2520 $5827 (t $0 348 $20273 $2520 $17759 $37843 ($15536) ($33370) ($48689)21 ($6 300) $2520 $5944 $0 348 $20684 ($3780) $24 A64 $49 008 ($10288) ($30334) ($46153)
$143695 $50820 0 $0 7018 $347 304 $194515 $152789A-1 1
TABLE A-6 (Contd)ASSUMPTIONS TABLE BEIEF7-COSTS TABLE (Calculated)
Ecoroic nj Firancial Analysis for Energy Investmerts - Egypt EEA 10195G
azitai Costs Benefit Parameters internal Rate of eturr 714
Acuisition $149995 Price of Oil $400 bbl (yr 1)Transportat ior so Oil Escalat 20year Disc PV of PV of BCConstruction so Rate Benefits Cost- NPV RatioInterconnection $0 Enrgy SavTgs 348 bbyear ==== =-shy
--- Fuel Use 0 bbear 0 $347304 $194515 $152 789 179TOTAL (Ca ) $149 95 2 $28D720 $187381 $93359 150
4 230796 $181787 $49008 127Construct Time 10 months 6 $192818 $177355 V15463 109 8 $163517 $173 805 ($10288) 094Ooerating and Norwal Maintenance Costs 10 $140599 $170933 ($30334) 08211 $13004 $169701 $33698) 077
fteratiri$ Cost 12) $122432 $168585 ($46153) 073Ooeratirn Lifetime 21 years 13 $1i 751 $167571 ($52819) 068
Major Equi~oent ReoairReplacesent 14 $07847 $166647 ($58800) 06515 $10i622 5165804 ($64181) 061
16 $95993 $165032 ($69 039) 058Replace Cost ($6300)period 18 $86246 $163674 ($77428) 053Replace Period 20 years A12 20 $78143 $162522 ($84379) 048
ccz- a Firaca Araiysi- for Erergy IrvestL-rrts -- Ecyrt EC 01)83
TAP-LE P-7
For Case ofFIZLD TEST 4 - H-LWAN TEXTILEWAS-i i-AT PRESVERY wRIC2 SIS08L)DiL Assumiron Oil Escalation Rate of 20
Saved ValL- CCaoital DoeratinQ Cost of Oil Fue Used Fuel Erervy save kriual Cash Flow Discourted Cash Flow (NPV) 3 i =Yea- Cost Cost $b1 (Bbl) Cost Ecuiv Ererzv Cet Currert $ 4 8 10 12
1 Trar-s $0ort 1orstr-t lor $0
I I t e ronez t i m S-1 $735 $833 $Q500 C 0 1341 $27 62 53851 ($542231) (S542231) (S542231) (S542231) ($542231)Sc 53 S530 0 so 11045 $1ES034 11359 S76755- 0o62o) ($356235) (S93830) ($401450)SO $I1359 $15S1 $0 11048 S172415 jeuro $113-1S (3241715) ($252156) 3273 011353 V S 457 ($-=766) -4 to 259 $1592 0 iO 11045 $173863 1353 S164504 ($35471) ($127567) (142M1) ($15556)
Q S11359 $1624 0 $0 (148 17 I S11359 S63 -- $4 155 (340ampG) ($27 430) ($49185)6 11353 -016 U $0 11045 $182136 $12353 2171609 $183205 S12728 73126 1421917 $0 $11359 $1669 0 $0 14048 $186623 $S 353 i75269 $32772 $=223177 $173060 $136987$1125 $173 0 $0 11048 $536r $-53 S173001 $46 74S 3276-3 $263916 $2153S0 S111359 $1757 0 $ 11048 S194167 $13f $182808 S59735 $426389 5355 198 $29179210 $0 $1793 0 S0 11043 S1930L $3 $15 3 72H492 513781 $434373 S353115110 $11359 $128 0 S 1 $11048( I $190653 $357 30 $608090 $57 878 S420500 S0 $1365 0 $0 11048 $HS052 1-3 $134633 $383753 359159 $57617 $47646313 v0 $11353 $1902 0 $0 11043 S210173 $1- $193314 $1107338 $770542 $133465 1527500l$0 $11353 $1940 0 $0 11048 $214376 $1153 $203017 $223E665 $845191 $$5272 $574 0651373 s53$0 11048 1213664 $11359 $2737 $1349578 $915771 $7-2862 $61644516 $0 359 $2019 0 $ 11043 S223077 $11359 $211678 $1467116 $382501 $803536 $65511817 $ 511 353 $2059 0 $0 11049 $227498 S595 $216133 $1582514 $1045583 $850574 $5037518 1 1A3 S2100 0$0 11048 122C48 $1135 $2-20683 $1695810 $1105235 $894236 $7251719 $0 $11359 S2142 0 $0 11048 $236689 $11359 $S25330 $1807033 $1161623 $934764 $75181920 S0 $11359 12185 0 0 11048 $241423 $11353 $230064 $1316237 $1214932 1372331 $778531
21 $0 $11359 $2229 0 $0 11048 $246251 $1135 $234832 $202349 $1265328 1007296 $802881
$5679558 $Zgt9073 0 $0 222801 $0134711 $797031 $3337680
A-13
ASTYPTINS TABLE TABLE A-7 (Contd) BEEIT-rOT TAEPLE (Calculated)
Economic and Financial Analysis for Energy Investsents - Egypt EEA 10196
Capital Costs Benefit Faraineters interral Rate of Return 3101
Acquisitiorn $567952 Price of Oil 1500 bbl (yr 1) Trarsportatior $0 Oil Escalat 20year Disc PV of FVof BC
Corstruct ior $0 Rate Benefits Costs lrv Ratio
Irterconrection $0 Enrgy Sar_as 1104 bblyear -
--- ------ Fue Use 0 bbiyear 0 $41-4711 $77031 $3337680 519 TOTAL (Ca) $H67952 2 $34202-0 S755587 $2586433 442
4 t2747662 $72424 $2023439 379 Construct Time 10 morths 6 $2235 532 $700 138 $LJj5394 328
8$1946703 $68137G $1265328 286
Ooeratina and Normal Mairtenance Costs 10 $1673853 $666557 $1007296 251
11 $55962n $660307 $399314 236
Oerating Cost $11359 year 12 $1457578 $654697 $802881 223
Operating Lifetime 21 years 13 $136G 136 $64- 645 $716491 210 14 $1283$40 $645083 $638857 199
Major Equipment PeoairReplacemert 15 $1209831 $640951 $568880 189 16 $1142817 $37197 $505620 179
Replace Cost $0 period 18 $1026777 $630653 $396124 163
Replace Feriod 20 years 20 $930302 $625165 $305137 149
A-14
Econoi an Fnarial alysi for Energy Irve te-pt -- Eryct EEP 10138_
TABLE A-8
For Case cfF7ELD TEST $4 - HE=LWqN TEXTILE4qSTE -_j E[CXERY (PRCE C7 OIL $2013E_) Assurn_ 0i Escaiaticon Rate of 20
Saved Vale cf Capita Doeratn Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel Energy Saved rrual Cash c-w-- Discounted Cash Flow (NOV) i = Yea- Cost Cost Eb (pb]) Ccst Equiv Ererz Cst Currert $ 4 8 10 2
oisi67Ac s tr
rarExrt $0 rorstrztio sc
IIrerccrr_tor $0 7 $200Y 0 C1841 1687Tctai$78K S 98 1 )$53C3 ) 315Z3 02) ($5330251 ($533025) ($533015)2 v $11355 $ 04Q 0 $0 11048 t225379 $1153 $214020 (327235) (S-34858) ($338461) ($341935)3 $0 $11353 $08i C $0 11048 $-23857 $1135 1-258 ($125195) (S147505) ($157B59) (167726)
4 $0 $1135 $21 22 0 $0 11048 $234465 $11359 $223126 $73163 $23619 $3778 (18910) $0 fI1-- $21E5 0 $0) 11048 $29174 $353 $227815 $26790 $197070 $r5 379 $125S71E $0 $13 2 2 083 0 so 11048 S2433K8 S1352 5-3 $459080 1355 373 $303805 $267854
7 $0 611355 $252 C $1) 11048 $243K7 $59 $27478 $4762 $505024 $-855 53881678 $ $1135 $227 0 $0 11048 $2K2814 353 -142455 $33007 $646494 $568272 $4978429 $1 35 $2343 (1 $0 11046 $253 83 $111359 s47 531 $1011876 $780227 $623747 $59781510 $0 $11359 $I39 0 $0 11048 $26068 $135 $252703 $1183426 $906644 $790920 $68894411 soS 1359 $2438 0 s0 l048 $2634 S1 359 S57990 $1363714 $1026144 3890387S77201012 $0 $11359 $2487 0 s0 11048 $274736 $353 $263377 $1534793 $1139102 $982699 $84772513 $0 S11259$2535 0 $0 11048 $280231 $11359 $268872 i1702736 $1245874 $1068389 $91673814 $0 $11359 $2587 C0 $0 11046 $285835 $1359 $274476 $1867573 $1346733 $1147876 $97364015 so $11-359 $2629 0 s 11048 $291552 $i135 S28193 12023383 $1442193 $1221659 $103697316 $0 S1359 $2632 0 $0 11048 1237383 S353 $22-024 $2188202 $1532360 $1290131 $108922917 $ 111359 $2746 ( s0 11048 $303331 $11359 $291972 $234408 $1617584 11253673 $113885618 $0 $11359 $2800 0 $0 11048 $303-97 $115 $298038 $2497093 $1698134 $1412638 $118026419 $0 $11359 $2856 0 $0 11048 $315585 11359 $304226 $2G47268 $1774267 $1467356 $1219 8520 $0 $11359 $2914 0 $0 11048 $321897 $11359 $310538 $2794663 $1846222 $518131 $125588121 $0 $11359 $2972 0 $0 11048 $328335 $11359 $316976 $2939326 $191422 $565248 $1288740
$567958 $229073 0 $0 222801 i5512948 $797031 $4715917
A-15
P7UrSPTIONS TABLE TABLE A-8 (Contd) EtEFIT-CSTS TABLE (Calculated)
Ecoroic ard irarcial Analysis for Energy Investments -- Egypt EEA 1019E6
apital Ccsts Benefit Parareters Irterral Rate of Return 4220
Acquisition $567958 Transportation $0
Construct ior $0 Irtercor rectior $0
Price of Oil Oil Escalat
Enrgy Savrgs
$2000 bbl (yr 1) 20year
11048 bblyear
Disc
Rate
----
PV of erefits
PV of
Costs NPV
BC
Ratio
TOTPL (Cap) $567958 Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 J55948
2$4456027 $797031 $75587
$4715917 $3 700440
6 2 590
Construct Time 10 corths 4$3E 3550 6$3060 709
$724224 $700 138
$2939326 $2 360571
506 437
Operating and Normal Maintenance Costs 8$2595604 1(V$2231804
$681376 $666557
$1914229 $1565248
381 335
Operating Cost Operating Lifetime
$11359 iyear 21 years
11 $2079494 12 $1343437 13 T1821515
$660307 $654697 $649645
$1419187 $1288740 $1171869
315 297 280
Major Equipment RepairReplacement 14 $1711920 15 $1613108
$645083 $640951
$1066837 $972157
265 252
Replace Cost $0 period 16 $1523756 18 $1369035
$637197 $630653
$886559 $738382
239 217
Replace Period 20 years 20 $1240402 $625165 $615238 198
A-16
Eccw= ar -narzia Pnav=_is fcr Erergy Irvestrrent_ -- Egypt EEC 101
P= A-9
or Case of2IED TEST 4 - HELPAN TEXTIEN3TE HEAT -CDOERY (PC- U BBL- ----Assmir Cil Escalation Rate of 20
SaVEdt C~famta eratirg Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel Energy Saved Annal Fasn Flow Discounted Cash Flow (UOV 8 i = lea- Cost Cost $Pb (8b1) Cost Ec-jiv Energy Cost Crrert I 4 8 10 12
I Transocrt corst rutr $7
rterornazticota HS 833 7 1841 $4S 73 -3951 C$52818 (WBIB) ($52381 1 (3523818) ($53218)SC 51133 $20 0 048 $22172 U3 $27365 ($263851 1(2731480) (278031) ($262421)$0 $11359 $2601 0 $0 11042 7=5 $12$3 5275 999 (-S74) (368Z5) 333343900253 ( 15)0 111049 ( $359 _51 747 $241737 $I82 805 $161748 5131462Q 07C 11043 S2531558 11259 12379 $477 s46 $323206 $35188 $32 27$0 $11-_ $2760 0 1n 11043 $304 94 $11 3 3 24E7--555 $722 55 $5S3 Mf $5404 - $$487517$7 $-~5 $2315 0 11048 $712 1353 $233 53 5 872 $786 871 $709649 $639347$ $1 5282 0 $0 14 391141292 0 IK93
656f $8662 S7777253SiZ bull0 $312 5 $1426427 T113465 $10122372 9 3 39 $ 35- $2983 0 $ 145 $33035 1 3 3 726 $165035 $12350M S1147467 $108774$C $135 $304711 0 S0 11046 $3365pound 5ii5 $325 22712 $)
187C 129t44419- $1272895 SI 2351$- $3103 C S 113 $34$2 - 132206 $20S53 S1556613 11353280 $ PIE98c13 3 S317 0 v 1 5$143 250 $11159 $3352 $2237533 I 72120 $47274 $1305375SO 51253 $2340 s0 104 S3 $184840-
0 SO 11041 $364 $11353 5081 3709183 519E861E $262) 456 S1457500 15 Ss35-2 $3293
3 17294 $1 9 $ 9-- $ 293 $157473 $138525-5
16 V0 $1353 $3365 0 s 1I1Ns -3717 21f5 $230328917 - $ 7C 1270 2082220 $776726 $1523340$7 $II35 $34 32 0 $0 1104c8 $37312 $11 $372 4 $3105663 $2183578 $156771 1533718 S 1-13 $35 1 0 so 1048 $7332377 t1931039 $1638010$22-103419 $0 $11353 $3571 0 $0 11048 $3544S2 $135q Q83123 $3487437 $2385910 $M947 $168783120 $0 $1135q $364( $0 11048 $40-37 $1135 $391212 $3673088 $2477512 $2053881 $1733230$0 $11359 $3715 021 $9 11048 $40419 $113553 $399060 $3855214 $2563130 $2123 19 $1774600
$567 9S3 $--3073 0$0 M 801 $6831186 $737031 $6034154
A-17
SUPTIONS TABLE TABLE A-9 (Contd) EENPT-OET TAKE (Caiculated)
Ecoc an Firarzial Palysis for Energy Investments - Egypt EEA 1l6
Caits Co=ts Berefit Parameters Irterrz2 Rate R~Return 5368
Acquisition $567958 trice of Oil $250 i-b (yr I) Tarsprcrtator
Constructior
Interconnectior
$0
$0
so
Oii Esalat
Enrgy Savnps
2 0vear
11042 bblyear
Disc
Rate
V Cf
PerEfits
V of
Costs -IV
FC
Ratio
------------TOTP (ap 57959
Fuel Use 0 bl1year 0 $f)83 33
$797031 75537
1609454 $481444E
865 737
Construct Tire 10 rnortns 4 14573 437 6 $332f 886
$724224Q13855214 $700138 $S-125748
632 546
OperatinL and Ncrmal MaIntenarce Costs 3- L 5)5 1 $27K755
$ES376 $666557
5t 130 $2123199
475 419
Ooerating Cost
OperatiTrg LifetiMe
$1359 year
21 years
1 if25H37 2 $24229
3 S2276893
$660307 G 5o637
$649645
$5939081 $1774600
16-2724
394 371
350
Major Equipment RepaiReplacemert bull~~l i4$2239005 -2 01S32
$64508 $14948162051 375435$640 1 $ 4 5
3 2 315
Replace Cost
Replace Period
$0 period
20 years
16 $1X4 695 18 S1711294
20N $1 550 503
$637197 $1267498 $530652 $1080641
$625165 $925338
299 271
248
A-18
Econr- ard Fra--a haavsi fcr Er=rv investerts -- Ecyzt E
For Case ofFELD TEST 4 - HELWANTEXTILES3TE -9T REZOVERY (PCE C-O 3IBiL) PssuTir~g Oil Escalation Rate c 20
Year Capital
Cost Ooeratir
Cost Cost cf Oil
$lBbl Fuel Used
(Ebl) Fuel Cost
Saved Erergy Eauiv
ValS cf Saved
Enercy Pnral
Cost Ls iCh Crrert 1
Di-cousteJ 4
Cash Flow 8
(NPV) i 10
=
12
I P~uis~xor~1567958 Transvort $0
1 cntrct mc- 1Irte-ccrret ic
a1s
4
6
Q$ 11
12 13
14 5
16
17
18
19
20 21
$
to 11Z so 1353 C 1-S s$o $1
$0 t13
$0 $i359 $0 $
S 11135-
3 $0 $11359
$0 $1359 $ $-353
$0 I353 0 $ 111359 $0 111359
so S11359 SC $11359
$ $11359
$0 $11359 $0 $11359
$4so $ $3121 $3164
824
$3312
$3378
$3445 $3515
$3657 37730
S33(
$138 $3958 $4033
$4118
$4201
$4285 $4370 5445
(1 0
C
0
0
C00 0
0 0
0 0
0 0 C
0
0
0
0 0
$0 $0 $0
$0
$0
$0
SCso $0
$-$0
$0 $0
$0 $0 s0
$0
so
$0 $0 $0
184 1104 11048 11048
1104S
11048
110 3
11048110 I 8
1(148 11048
11049 11048
11049 11048 11046
11048
11048
11048
11048 11048
S5524C
$338069 S344831 t3727
$3537S
$ 37
$37-
t33-7 2$38 3 $383335
$3161 $4(402
$412104 $42034S
$423753 $47328 $445075
$454995
$464056
$473378
$482845 $492502
$563851
S11355 $11359 S11355
5
11135
$1352
11355s
115335
$1359 $11359
$113 $112-59 $11353
$11353
$11353
$11359 $11359 $11359
11) ($514611
S2 710 33471 $1784 $340368 $410431 S$34740 1 $7 392 IK3457 $333829
i351390$123484
-255 $15= 3 $11353$27976 $1840978 S13-36384743 $2111293
9 $3665 $2376563
$40$745 1636279 $40S987 $2 832331 $417394 $2142007 42 99 $338934
$434716 $6Sl376
$443637 $387238 $4E2 737 14093661 $452019 $4327726 $471486 $4155514 $481143 $4771101
($51461
$73796 $343991
5539 342
$84661
$1063717
S284236 $1487914
$680371 S1862251
$2034124 $21955326
$23--0 013 $2495039 $262079
$2761573
$2883934
$2999553
S3103802 $3212031
($54611
$5-7994 $313717
$50998
$77162
$975443
$164984 $134)846
$504014 $165540A
$1795862 $1926178
$2047082 $2159253 $226-3321
$2359869
$2 449 441 $2532539 $2609631 $2681150
($514611)
06
$42935 $285202
$S505933
$707180
$80527
$57603 $1209862 $1348604 $1475031
$1590 236 $1695213
$79)359 $1878030 $1957451
$2029818
$2095757
$2155838
$2210580 $2260459
$567958 $229073 0 $0 222801 $8 269423 $797031 $7472391
A-19
TABLE A-10 (Contd) ASSUMPTIONS TABLE EENEFIT- ST TABLE (Calculated)
Econoraic are Fin=-ial alycsis for Energy Investments - Egypt EA 101965
iaital ccsts Bereifit Parameters internal Rate of Peturr SE55
Acquisition $H67353 Price of Oil $3000 bbl (yr 1) Transportatio $0 Oil Escalat 20year Disc PV of PV of BIC Constructior $0 Rate Benefits Costs NPV Ratio
Irterconectior $0 Errgy Savncs 11048 bblyear ---shy=-- Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 $8263423 $797031 $7472391 1038
TOTAL (Cap $79-53 24$6684040 $755587 $592Or 453 S85
4$542E325 $724224 $4771101 753Construct Time 10 months 6$459063 $700138 $3890925 656 8$3 893 406 $681376 $322 031 5 71
Operating and Normal Mainterance Costs 10 $2347706 $666557 $2681I0 502 - 11 $3119241 $660307 $3458934 472
Operating Cost $1359 year 12 $2915155 $654697 $2260459 445 Operating Lifetime 21 years 3 $_73 272 $64364Z $2081627 421
14 $2567880 $645082 $1922796 398Major Equipment RepairReplacemient 15 $2419662 $640951 $1778712 378
16 $228-634 $637197 $1648437 359 Replace Cost $0 period 18 $2053553 $630653 $1422900 326
Replace Period 20 years A-20 20 $1860603 $625165 $1235439 298
poundcenrzzc ar Firarial Analysis fcr Energy irnvesttterts -- EZyt pound2~ 10g88
TABLE A-Il
For Case of-EL TEST 4 - ELqN E LEA ATEP2ERy -E-D701 $35KL) Assumir Oil Escalaticn Rate cf 20
Savet- Vaiue cflaza 2eratn Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel Ererpy Saved Arnual Can_ Flow Discourtee Cas Flow (NV) i =Yea Cost Cost $pbl (Ebl) Cost Eauiv Enercy Ezt C-rrert $ 8 10 12 - -cuisittor -567-
Trarsocr $
crstrttir Irterznr or $0
7t Z-=7s5 3 $3Z0I 0 $0 1841 $amp4447 $59652 $505 405) ($-5405) ($505 405) (50540)5 ($55405$0 $11359 t3E70 so 1048 $34414 $11359 $353055 ($137083) ($I724) 173) ($16331)$1 $1359 $940 $ 1048 $4(2 32 $11353 $39C 76543 1224 $16444S $HE 92 $1482664 $0 $11359 $3714E Q $0 11043 359 89$41(2348 $1139 52 8 $5068 SSC I217 $4 5 6 7so TIIM $3789 Q V1 11043 $418E5f $11359 S$4)7 IgS 76 $4651687 $432258$927 138 $300478 $7432 807 $6i9103g
$0 $1359 $3864 0 $0 11048 $42S 98 $415527m3 833 $65704 11 C V001841o$0 1135g $3942 0 $0 11048 $435464 $11359 $$424105 $1603881 $135-564 124238 $1141707$ - $420 0 $0 1104-8 $4174 s3523 $43281- $232784 $1503107 $h63340 $1337491$0 $11359 $4101 0 $0 11048 s4_z_c- $ -9 S 4441-93$22E 52 $841743 $1S89396 $15158685$0 Sn359 $4183I 0 50 11049 $4621E $I353 $450753 $2572227 $206723 $1860582 $1878434 0 $11359 $4266 0 so 11048 $471-8 $125912 $46C 12 $22-987 $2280305 $2037912 $182S542t $1-9 43520 2
$0 11048 $48075 $1359 $4E9423 $3187919 12451E35 $2202444 $i961492$ $1139 $4439 0 $0 1104S $49C404 $11159 $479 4- $3437129 $2671870 $2375023 $2084450$0 S359 $452814 0 $0 11048 $50212 $113515 $483853 $378072 $2851 620 $2495386 S2196483s$ $I359 $4618 0 s0 11048 $51G216 $11359 $498557 $4065793 $3021462 $22205 V 298 559$- 52 $471116 0 $0 11048 $520420 $1$37 5 150306 1 $4351463 $3181939 $274916 $2391563$1359 $4805 0 $0 11048 $53129 $11359 $51347Q $4628812 13333567 $2882967 $247629 18 $0 S1359 $4901 0 $0 11048 $541445 S11359 $530086 $4900944 $347583K $2S7842 $255350319 so $11353 $4993 0 so 11048 S=52274 $11359 S540915 $5167955 $3612197 $3065131 $2L3644$0 si359 $509920 0 $0 11048 $530 $1135921 $551961 $5429939 $3740093 $315381 $2687930$0 $11359 $5201 0 so 11048 $574586 $11359 $563227 $56869B9 $3850932 $3239101 $2746318
$567958 $229073 0$0 2L801 $9647660 $797031 $8850629
A-21
SSUmOTIO3 TAlBLE TABLE A-lI (Contd)
PNEFT-COSTS TALE (Calculated)
Economic and Fir ancia Analysis fc-Energy Investments -- Egypt EEA I0P386
Calita costs Penefit arazeters
$cuistion$Z723 Price of Oil $ h500bb (yr 1)Trarspcrtation t0 Oii Escalat 20year Corstructcr $0
Irtercornection $0 Enray Savs 11048 bblyear -- - Fuel Use 0 bblyear
TOTAL (Cap) $5 57 8
Construct Time 10 mnrths
Coeratir ard Normal Maintenance Costs
Ooerating Cost $1135 yEar Operating Lifetime 21 years
MaJor Equipment RepairReplacemert
Replace Cost $0 period Replace Period 20 years
A-22
nterral Rate of Return 7785
Disc PV of PV of Rate Benefits Costs NTV --- _--
V S9647EGO $7-7031 $8850629 N $7793047 $755587 $7042460
4 $E411212 $724224 $568698961S 3S240 $700138 $4656102
8 $454 307 $681376 $3860 93-10 $305657 $666557 $323910111 Q633114 JE0307 $2978 SO3 I E $3401015 $654697 $2746318 I 387650 $S4964c5 $2538005 14 $25860 S645C83 $2350776 15 t- B940 $64051 $2181939
16 $266E 573 $37197 $2029376 18 $2395812 $630653 $1765159 20 $2170704 $625165 $1545539
BIC Ratio
1210 1032
885 75
667 586
551 519 491
464 440
418 380 347
Econoir a-nFinaci AralySi f- Ererzy InvEstments -- 07ptE LE
TP93
For Case ofFIELD TEST 4 - F1-LWA TEXTT -- (nC O= ]L s40PEt) Assuirz Oil Escalation Rate of 20
Saved Value cCaita 29ratir s of C Fuel Used
Fuel Erer y 3ave_- pal Casn Flo^ fLiscured Cash Flc (NPV 2 erCost Cost I Ib) Cost Euiv --ervy Cost Currert 3 4 8 10 12
1 7rans~crt $0
$ Tr O iS - 0 2$0 124 373655 39=851 ( 433193 (14351 ($ 6 1 8 $4 5 1 8931 4968l$ --3 $4020 0 VI 11048 $45C 3SI23 $42 2S W3698) ($33473 (35744) ($103877)0 1_3 0 so4152 1248 453 774 5 $34085amp Q95 07$0 443415 $ S273847 553596= S24 45 $0 1048 $45-95 $11359 $4Z7E $74770 SS5362 517656 573314S0 C 5 $4330 0 $0 11048 $47-34c 31259 $425339 $114f884 $$001513 5936616 $8760940 $59 $44E 0 $0 11048 4$10 1253 $47_55_9 1532579 13-2950 1232520 11146505
- c $S450- 0 sO N04E 147574 i $4263559 13C $1632410 $507021 $392887$10 $11259 14535 0 $0 11042 $5077 $ 3~5$1 268$4-3 $2700043 121 978 $176169G $167374I 135 $4627 0 so Ns04 1577S s259 S2670080 9f5282o 1 7 14W 2 I $19337945 5182903$478S 0 $0 043 $1s53 S52776 13033160 12454038 $2217103 20026411 9 $47 0 014876$S-E_ 4 1104--20 = 3 5pound 7 07$14800803 0O $3269358o$0 c 359 S 3 7 $2442 421 $217805$
s2 37115$5171 $0s14 1 S355 $E74 11048 S -511113-f 1743 102 $4C1L 27 $13147202 $2783 987 $24736230 $0 114048 517 311 HI9 S56312 $4418436 S13357 $294628332217 12602037I5 $0 $1353 $1z Sf 312$7578 0 $0 11048 $I 319 $439 _7$3$527404 $59 -40$7745 $278 gO $ 43$4743604 $3547884 $30998428 $2719087$0 $I Ec $383 016 $0 11048 $5547ES v11255 $H62407 S5072550 $3 799 $323E511 12825674$11359 $549 0 S0 1048 SE s 311 50 $ 9-25562U $2 2 718 $O $1-253 $5 0 $0 11048 61875 1i3 $470 8 40693133 1482244 20120715 $0 135I $5713 0 so 11043 $5217 3 77$113 9 775 $470 $2248 4 01 7$30912010 $0 11359 $5 827 0 $0 11048 $642794 $11359 $632435 $S39t367 $4371382 $370130 $3165280
21 $0 $11359 $5944 0 $0 11048 1656570 511359 S645311 6602876 $4509833 $3797052 $3232177
$567953 $ 29073 8970 10 801 511 02-5 $797031 $10228866
A-23
TABLE A-12 (Contd)PSSI PTIONSTAJKE rEnJT-DETS ^2LE(Caiculated)
E~onoma~infncia fcr Erery Investwerts - Egypt EA 1036
LapitE --ts Penefit Parameters ternr ate cf ketur 9060
Pquisition $-57958 Price of CI Trasortaticon $f CiI Escalat
onstructIon $0
iterzorr-ction $0 Ernrgy Savrs ------ Fuel Use
77A ao) $567958
Construct Time 10 months
OpEratirg ar N-rmal Mairterance Ccsts ------
Operating Cost $1355 year Operatirn Lifetime 2 years
Major Eqiprent RepairRezlacement
Replace Cost $0 period Replace Period 20 years
$4K lbb (yr 1) 20year
11043 bbllyear
0 bblyear
Ns PV of PV of Rate eni L-sts NPV
0$11025 397 1797031 $1022666 2 25q3 75E587 $ 156466 4 $7327100 $724-4 $6602876
6 $$121418 $700138 $5421280
e5191203 $68376 $4509833 10 $4463603 $66-57 $377C52 11 $4152988 $G 307 $3498681 12 $3865874 $654697 $3232177 13 13643029 $543645 $2993384
14 $3L423840 $645083 $27875615 S3226217 $6402351 $2585266 16 13047512 $637197 $2410315 18 $2738071 $630653 $2107418 20 $24008 5 $625165 $1855640
BC Ratio
1383 1179
1012
874
762 670
630
594
561
531 503
478 434
397
A-24
-c-nc an Firanzia Pralysisfcr Erergy Irvestrents -- Env t E 0
TALE P--3
Fer Case tfFEI7E3ET4 - FLN TEXTILESCLR PLUS
Assuming Oil Escalafior Rate oF 0
73 T ECCeZRY (PR_5rCF OIL S15BL)
r a
bull
etaIOiertrg
ssost Ccst Of Oi
$I Fe Lse
(E-12 Fuel
Save -Enery Eciv
a L Ef SaveS
Erery ra Ccst
asn Fli CLrrert f
sccunted 4
Cash Floo (NPV) 8 10
i
2
bull
4
5
7
0
1
2
13
14
16
17
is
19 20
21
r S CCrrnst cr $cr
erzcn11 on
Toa7 52 $2313 $ 13279 SC 13279 S t13979 $ $2673
C5r2
$0 $13573
S $13873 $ S$13279 $0 t373 $0 $13 79 $0 $387 $0 $13S79
$0 $1357S
$0Si 3279 $0 513879
$0 $13279
$ $137
0 $13879 $0 $S3879
($E300) $13879
$711653 $279893
V500
$1530 S561
S5592 $1624 $16565
$1689
$1723 $1757
$1733
$1326
$1265
I -
$1140
$1973 $20
S205 $2100
$2142 $2185
$22-29
0 0
0
r)
0
0
r
0
0 0 0
0
0 0 0
0
O$0 189 $28490 $720263 $0 1396 $17453 $13 S7 $0 113SE $177346 t-879 $$C 13 $1803 2a7g $$0 1139 12503 S1387 $0 1396 $183732 7 2 2S 0 13 $192 3 $13879
$0 1 c 9E3 8761 $0 11396 $20 2E3 $3872 $0 1396 $20423 V2 273 $0 11396 $20335 S13873 0 1132H $212542 T2272 $0 11396 $216733 $1387 $0 11396 $221129 $13879
to 1139S $25f2 3 $0 11353 523063 $13873 $0 11396 $234664 $13873 $0 11396 $23357 $13879
$0 11396 $244144 $13879 $0 11396 $249027 13879 $0 11396 $254008 $7579
$0 22819 $4264950 $991546
A-25
(77-773(5691771 1$691776) 164 C ($537432) ($542184)
$ 367 138E872) (M402609) 37524 ($23E944) f$263623) $17 ($90642) ($143 2 73174853 $307 -14 -- 7G 4 ( 8 $173627 $194245 $8774amp
$182477 t33293 $114220 S1 404 $49117 $2-4229 $10 410 s 027 $390 181 $154496 $734291 $490270 $193663 $86Z339 $565474 $202914 $3073 $amp46054 $207250 $1114548 722259
$11amp73 $1236783 $794325f216184 $356823 $862476 t220785 474702 $92921 $22- 478 $590456 $987860
$23)265 $1704121 $1045484 235148 $1815733 $10-971
$24642 $1928200 $1152842
$3273404
(691 776) ($691776)
($545885) ($543491) ($410376) ($417777) ($264512) (532537) (17613) (189767) (9 ) ( 1( $ 53 0 4 -4 ) -$1) $41737 ($53)
$135427 S82491 $22238s $157776 $303138 $M-6440 $373125 $289063 $447755 34o174 $S12410 $398257 $572443 $445753
$S28193 S8066$679935 $528562
$727985 $564576 $772594 $597416
$814010 $27360 $852458 $6546G2 $889088 $680208
TABLE A-13 (Contd) PSc6UY1TTG TAKE 52ZFEI-CSTS TXLE Calculated)
Econo iar narza 9Aais- for ErErgy Investments shy Eypt EZE 1ci35
Capital Ccsts Benefit Parameters Irternal RatE c Return 24953
~ccui i tcr717953 Price of Oil $15Y0 bbl (yr 1) T-ars~crtat ion $0 Oil Escalat 20year Disc tV of V of BC
crstruct ion $0 Rate Benefits Costs NP Ratio Intercornectior $ Enrgy Savrs 11396 L11year
FuE US= 0 bbiyear 0 $4264950 $991546 $3273404 431
TOTPL (Cap)-77953 2 447230 $942ss $2 504m 366 4t $2334211 $301011 $1928200 313
Costruct T 0 mth_ 357 838 $877493 $1490346 270 12110080 $85511 $112842 235
Operatin and Ncrma aintenarce Costs 0 $7 S76 $837483 $883068 0 11 $1608747 $830008 $778739 194
Operatin Cost Oeratirg Lifet1 M1
$_87T year years
2-$502490 13 $1403 168
$823281 $917216
$660203 $9195
183 172
14 $1324383 $311730 $512652 163 Major Equipert ReoairRepiacemert 15 $1247940 $80S 754 $441185 155
16 $1178815 $80222 $37658S 147 Replace Cost ($6300)period 18 $1o9119 $794327 $264792 133
Replace Period 20 years 20 $3959605 $787687 $171918 122
A-26
-- tr- er F-= v fc E-r= 1r tesirt_Egyrt EEP
TqPPLE P-4
F- caecfFlDTST t4 - UEL$Q TEXTILESDLAR PLUS WASTE HET -COVERpY(Pj- OF OIL $S31PL) nssuring Cil Escalatio- Pate c
Ltal Ccst cF Oil Fuel Used savet Va- cCa 0eratin Fuel Er-er SavE Armia Lasn FowDy riscoured Cash Fco (N7V) i vew t cost $b (b) Cost Eciv nert Cost Currert $ 4 810 10 12
ftP ic ro717953 I rarszc-t $0
r r $0|
f7753 $t S2100S23-13 so 1233-7 37 933747 ($S62-202 (23N ($682280)S Z-2) z $11279 M--7
3 2 $12 $Q373 (447205 $47 67-3 t$453t2 ($487110)3173 $DE 3S 2 2712 T 3S1249 t1$2532) ($2Sj731 ($292049 ($30-23)v W 2n UL22 22732
4 0 so 37 7 SE2923 (-2742S) ($27 531 ($146842)$0 1 57 $ 3 H 5 7 8 fit 73 1 2 8 0$2208 0 $0 3S tKj2 H872Q $237763 121 449 1-543 $17901 S6 3$ $1o73 32152 0 so Ins I25 E7 $1373 524796 152334 S373 47 o1l953 12503tq7 $21 0 so ni8 $2E 8( C3973 t715740 521 13 $24792954413 $1 190
0 $ 1279 $2343 0 33 6 5S L3 73 152 ME3 $22726 SSE913 = k S473433C En 1i c SC 2H6 127-ESE $1373 5237506504E52517O3 $71230 S672916 56391 $0 $13379 $2438 0 $0 113H S773-S25 272 4 5 7 $911492 $726E2 $651646I1 $0 S879 $2457 0 SO 3 $322 1372 5251 1143736 $7C702 $SE7144 $72912313 7 =36 s2 5 $1273 $275173 M160612 S113 353 5954024 $7 55514 SO H1079 121E7 0 so 1s3 I234m3 I 73 $2503H0 1772343 $123966 $1036208 S 414415 $ $1o7 $S3 0 $0 11336 C3002 $1 $3K7Z $1372 $St7557 S M37330 A1746$9M 840a $- 2 56 c so 3 1m237i 123287 129 3 MI42 LEE $97E34717 SO $13879 $-740 $0 1296 531S3525
12 7 1387 $2-30 $2 $51637 5 4E97 5 A 2vO 1 ST2 0 0a7 $209 1123S 1314 $13879 1305 264 $241E979 C59 43E 30N IbX3 581Ws19 $0 11387 $2356 0 $0 11336 $3H526 $13879 $311647 $2570817 $1677425 5133377 $111010820 $0 $12879 $2114 0 $0 i13 $33203S $13879 $318157 $2721828 61751146 S415399 $114704821 ($6300) $13879 $272 0 $0 11396 $338677 $7579 $331028 $2872937 $1822182 $1464614 $1181372
$71653 $279893 0$0 M819 S56686) $991546 $4095054
A-27
TABLE A-14 (Contd) 3M-S rET-N7 CSTS TPULZ CalLNated)
Ecobullric anf 7rT a f- Erer Investrents -- E F ay A 1916
Capita Sosts BersEft taraampeters R-ae -eturf 3402
Aczuisitjorn $717953 Trarnscrtatior $0
Price of Oil Oil Escalat
$2000 bbl year
(yr 1) poundai_ PEcf cf BC
Zcnstructior $0 Rate Penefits Costs NOV Ratio ir$tez)rectio
TOTAL tCa ) $717 953
Enrgy Savrs Fuel Use
1129 bblyear 0 bblyear
==shy0$568GG00 2- $4 33257
$954E $342962
$4535 054 $3 534i
574 487
Lo stru 6 Time 10 con-h r1 e-
4$3773943 $357118
E2Z17363
$9S 011 $2 872 937 S877493 $2279625 $S5518 S1 822182
41736 360 313
rPEratino ans Nrmal Maintenance Costs
Oueratirg Cost $13872 year Cpratir Lifetime 21 years
0 S2302104-1-$214493G
2$2004 53 -1S 78330
$5374n9$330008
$S2323 $817216
$464614$131A93
$IE1372 2051674
275 258
243 230
Major Equiprent RepairReplacemernt 14 $17 5843 5 $1G663919
$311730 SS06754
$954113 $7 165
218 206
Replace Cost Replace Period
(N6300)period 20 years
16 $571753 18 $1412159 20 $1279474
$802 22 $794327 $787687
$769524 $617832 $491787
6 178 162
A-28
- ranzcal Analysis fc- Enery vestrent_ - Eynt EE 0
TALE t-E
77 P7 q (NU - C$Ipp Asumzr_ O EscaatorRate cf 0
ot _o-tr o
ct of Oil $1-
Fuel Used (Ebl)
FL Cost
Save Ergy
Ecuiv
a1e e-
Errgy r
ost Ca--ic
rrer $ DisEcurted Cash 4 8
Floh (NPV) 10
P i 12n
I
I
Acuis~tion S177 Trar-pcr T
cnstr=ticr $0 rernct cshy
7S7
-
V I
In
I $1227
t3S7
I27T
2E F - 03
1706Q_
0
0 $0
0S0 1
--shy29 S4748
E $-5
3 2419 122723 $32
I3F 13 33f
$72
137 $187 7 $13879
S2$ (333727-3
7Z73 ($4 707
SZS2 E-I (V454 1 135104E 3$2 4 S3--2S3
($672733)
($41ESE2)
$1743-7$c 271122
(72731
($421-20)
(SIS7723$23000
$2-1152
(S672783
(S4252
S201430)$4E39
$1203
-$ 3
14
IS 7
18 19
20
21
C$$3875
c $ 17
$17573-$$ S 2 73
S $12272
S 10 113273
$0 12E73
V$ 1-73 $0 7 $0 $1327
$0 $13872 V $13873
$0 $13873
(05300) $13879
12760 82
227272
3 $232
$3047
$3108 $317
$3234
$323
t$365 $3432
$3507
13571
$3642
13715
0
C
C J
0 C
0
0 0 0
0
0
0
1
10
$0
$c
so $0
so
$0 $0
$0
$0
$0
$0
336 $314553 1133S $32844 2H t61735
133 1 3S 135G $34(432
1336 $7gt
1332 $354227 1133 $30132L
13 $363543
$37
139E $383432 11222 $23
1 S332$3=22 1133 $406 9-7
113 $415046
11396 $423346
s12 7 $i E74 $8 $47575_ $846 $13E79 1-_- - $ tq520120 s 379 3132332 1103568 S3f2050 1750934
01279 133227 11 _2433 $11024 27 $71 82 373 32 6S0 $1553 S02 $1183280 $038694 $S87 13-3413 S79 04 $1342714 S111722
$237 1o3558 2 134 $148368 $i2632 1387 $347443 $2217146 162562 5133723$ 1 $12753 $254670 $243-151 S1757074 S149 74
S3 $ E K22 $180334 C 5 53 $1337 $362S55 $2 44423 51933835 V16E3750 S3879 $377322 7223 $2106944 51 8M465
$1373 7-E5- $ 24502 $221101 84 2 05-$13 79 $3 3 028 $3437512 $2309366 $1912745
$13373 $401167 $3627923 $2402321 $1978339 S7579 $4f-5767 $387674 $2491523 $2040140
$3E2613 V1813
165S399
$78102 $32673
1014228
$111073 I31253
$282534
$1 35 $1424132
66
$5474 $1572856 S1 39434 $1682535
$71153 $273933 0 $0 22819 $7105250 $991546 $6116704
A-29
TABLE A-15 (Contd)gSSVL1TKE--- TAL-2 12alculated)
-cic ar -ari - lysis fc Erery rvestrrts - Egypt EEP i9IlS
Costs Perefit PararetErs Irsternal Rate cf Return 4318
M-quisition $7174953 Trice of il $200 bbl (yr 1)Transportat ir $ Ci1 scalat 20year Disc PV of PV of BICCostructic-n so
nate Derefits Costs f1] Ratio interconnection $0 Enrgy Savrs 11395 bbiyear
- -FUEUSEQ tYear 0 702250 $99FAG $E11Z704 717TOTPL (Cap) $717953 2$-74 483 $942 962 $4802515 609 4 $4723695 $905011 $3817674 521Construct Tirr 10 ronths $21-4pound397 $877493 $20E2904 450 8w $3 704 $855181 2 23 3910perztin and rcaMainterance Costs 10 $277630 $837483 $2 040 140 344
Operating Cost $13379 year 1I$2681 244 s830008 $1851237 323 12 $S2505816 iK23281 $162 535Operating_ Lifetime 21 years
304 13 $2348613 $817216 $1531397 287 14 $2207304 $311730 $139-574 2072Major Equipmert RepairReplacement 15 $2079899 $60E754 $1273145 258 1 $1924 $802229 $162462 245Replace Cost $300period 18 $176Z198 $794327 $370871 222Replace Period 20 years 20 $1593342 $787687 $811655 203
A-30
rcrc= ~ar rial Zralys- f- Erery lrivertfrentE -- E_=yt E
TQILE P-6
Fo Ca-se cfIELD TEST 4 - H-L4AN TEXTILPSIR
sunrini Esalation Rate cf 21
rILU3 WASTE H7AT Ey VD-- OIL 530B)
YEar aia
eratir Cost of Oil
cSst $1b Fuel Used ru
Ergry
Ecu I ZaVE f
ZnEr y Anru
COSt aS 7-06
rret 1 -iEzurtE 4
Cash 3
Flow (NV) 10
3 = 8
1 ra-rt
rn-rjt or $0 $0
4
2
14
15
16 17
is 12
20 21
73
$0 $7 so $0 $0$0 $0
C
$0
$0
S $ $0
so $0
$0 ($6300)
232-
23277w 37 63S
119 S387 $2879$13q73 $711$c
3273
1373 2733
S387-
S1237
2M79 $13r379
$12873 $13873
$13879 $3879
$35 S$ 60
3 284 $-247 S-is $3378 $3446$L515( $-c
$357
$73 0 $3805
$23
$-3958
S4022 $4118
$4201 $4265
$4370 $4458
00 0 0 0 0 0 0C
0
0 (
0
0
3 0
0
0 0
SO $0 SO $0 $l $0 $0 $0
S1 so $0
$0
$0
$0
$0 so
$0 $0
M51--S1333 $343 718 261- s337
33 2 33S $273062 3 $377453 233H $35012 336 3K1173I3 4f =c
$40Z S72
133S $41E750 136 $42525 1396 $43287
136 S442253 113 $451102
$4 2 1393 $4-C223 13^6 s4727-11396 $483289 i39g $498OE5 11396 $508016
hC S23873
$13873 S13873 T1387 $13 S72 $-
3 S 7 $23873 2 I12579 233q73
$17379
$12273 SI6373
513373 $13279
$13879 $7579
5
3332- ($$32236 (SS3386) ($$3335)12342333 ( H32t ( (1358887) 36 23 1813 (12- 1) (-- 20) (176337 ($3K-
-333743 27 264n4 27-3 $1Z756 1 5 35S133 $ 2-5 $47E533 $429034 S2-253 $3S3584 $32$TK-40 $65473 $559135 271133 $18 2 392 86423S777323 $378E34 $L5375Z $ E 66 103688 St458
- 44 3 $7 3 88 $230 S104765
3 202224 S57_- $1406472 S1247C37S402671 $DD141s $S773936$561796 $1376S11 1266 5r2 Q5SK235 S s 03
$41370P S2 79 $211E957 t 3653 $160275 $425379 13 27352 $227448 V3733 $437224 2 4$2 7t79390 $443246 125 32- $2564014 $285102 1J7317 $4-5449352 3 536 95 2284 $8294S311 $464336 $4070 026 $2322SE $2376786 12012911 $474410 $4304208 $2941307 $2462113 $2075603 $44176 $4534018 $305Z49 $2541279 $2130820 $500437 S47[2411 $3160864 $2615666 $2183698
$711653 $27993 0 $0 E29819 $8529900 $991546 $7538354
A-31
TLE TABLE A-16 (Contd)
- -1T E l-ate)
Znor~i ari -iraria2 alysis for Energy ireVstrents - Egypt EA1
LEitET Csts Eerefit Pararveters Interra Rate of eturr f255
Acouisition $752 ranspecrtaticr $$ Construction $0
rtercorrectior so
Price cf 04 0i Escaiat
Enrgy Savrs
$3 b (y-0yaar
1335 5byear
1) Dis- Rate
-
2V cf Benefits
PVof Costs NPV
BC Ratio
----------T2T_ CapL
--- Fuel Use 0 byear 852230C s432 $
$55 342 H5
77538254 $$f95$ 6A2- 6
860
--rstrct Tire 10 rths 4 $56642 6$473r-67
$90E 011 $877 49
$47E2411 $335- 184
62 E40
Operating and Nomra Maitenance Costs 8$4016044
10 $3452155 $8KZ 31 $827483
13 856amp4 $269666
470 412
Operating Cost Dperating Lifetime
$3872 21
year years
1 3217493 12n $00E930 13 $2218335
$33000c $823281 $817216
f2 387 486 $2183693 $2001 1
383 365 345
Major Equipment Repirez acement 4$2648765
15 $2A4S5619 $811730 $802754
1637035 $1689125
o 309
Replace Cost Replace Period
($5300)period 20 years
-$2327629 18 $2118238 20 $1919210
$822 $794327 $787687
$55 400 $1213911 $131524
-94 267 244
A-32
Eccic and iranza Pr-i- frEre irvEter -- Eypt EEq 10135-
TRPLE A-17
FcrCse TZST 44 - HELWN T-EE-2- WA7ST EW PRfL KMIY rOIL $351BL) Ass-ir- 02lEaldegio Rate cf 20
Saved Ya- cfCEita7 Ocratin Ccst of Di Fuel Used Fuel E rerry SavEd rd Caa--FioA Liscoured Cash Flow (MTN)Year -St cst SBbI (2b2) Cost Equiv i
rerV C-rrert $ 4 8 10 12
ransport P
I rt-rzcre ic $
ctal t777 SH$00 0 so
1833 5$477 $72255 ($$732 SE279 ) ($S5790) ($653790) ($53790)7-27 $-7 0Z27$0$ 3 $ 94) n- 3
0$0 r- 17365 $414974 $13673 SA 01 S354 $348 92-12 c30$ 12F7c S3714 $0 37 $42ST27 $13 $401-74793 B1 SZ384C $ $342M12 $302215$ $3789 11336 $437 379 S417 $7 $1873 $864 E $E 7 $7 -7730 $0 11336 1440374 $13873 $4 4K3 $G576 1$7330 $SK2736 $M57770 s0 13 44 $187 0 S
$43 E302 $1510 601 S1 E44 $1133453C 1 S7372 $4020 S103 Z- 7 84 S13 50 283 $13442 $1237257S 7S E $411 13 $473 1 873 $4344 $2173553 $1754865 $157379 $420428 I 13879 4183 0 $0 136 $47L575 $337 $4L73Sbull ~$ $--37 -n S2504 707 S9379 $ 7742-0 $ 873177 $42EE 13 $-71 11133S 1299 IO4 2 37$4 23 273 -2-3 $2823796 $225158 $9523 $733394S7 $352 0 so 11326 54H $ 3 4 $3332 $241302 1212330 t8773732 $ 73 $4433 0 $0 11336 55585 712579 $47 $34 $2607271 $2 282067 $200425014 1 $11279 $4522 0 $0
12 11335 S515963 $1 273 1522 089 $74=754 $273 888 2427504 $2 113 3155 $0 7873 $4amp81- S $28973 S4711
0 $ $ 227 1 79 1511405 44rN657 $296E343 $2 43a $22241640 so 3965 $53z 11E7 t=1937 $-6 113 13 $4232024 2687624 $2319702$534 $31311417 $ 1272 $48 0 $0 11336 $747542 1367 $ 33470 1 535 $328E967 $283766 $24057562 V $1187 $430 0 $0 11336 $55-50 $13873 $544621 $453 543 $3434161 $2311516 $24K07719 $0 $12879 $499 0 $0 11336 $569670 $13873 $555791 $5170903 353248 $3011480 $255835120 10 $13279 $509 0 $0 11396 $591064 $13879 $567185 $5440113 $3704671 $3104220 $26L420521 ($6300) $12879 $5201 0 $0 11336 $532685 $7579 $525106 $5707148 $3830205 $3191192 $2684852
$711653 $279833 0 $0 229819 $9951551 $991546 $80004
A-33
TABLE A-17 (Contd)
Econorni a 7inarcia ay-- fc Ener~y investmerts -- Egypt ZE r986
Ca~it~a cstz Perefit Parameters Irnterrna Rate of Return 6217
Pcquisiticn 7i Transpc-tation $ Constr-ct ior $0
inter-conrection $0
TOTQL (Cap) $717953
--iceof 21 OillEscalat
Enr y Savgs Fuel Use
135K bb (yr 1) 2Ovear
113- bblyear 0 Ltlyear
DI sc PV of Rate Eer eFits
0$9IK551 2$043677
PV of CoS1 ots
$91545 $942908
PaPV
$3960004 $7100709
3C Rat i o
1004 853
Corstruc Time 10 mcrths
Operatirq an Normal Maintenare Costs
OPeratir Cost $13879 year Operating Lifetime 21 years
Major Equipmernt RepairReplacemernt
Replace Cost ($6300)period Replace Period 20 years
A-34
4 $6 613 1-S$ 24 95
8$4amp3825 $$4) 21
11 $3753742 2 $3506143 13$328058 14 $ C9026 15 $23159 16 $27550567 18 $2471278
20 $2239079
$906011 $877 493
$55S 131 $83748-$330008 $823 2 $817216 $S1730 $806754 $802 22n $794327
$787687
$5707 148 $4647 463
$3830205 $3191192 $2927735 $2684862 $2470842
$2278496 $10510-$1943339 $1676951
$1451392
730 630
548 481 452 426 402
381 361 343 311
284
Erno a - raial Ayaavs- fc EErcy IvestLErts -- E 5y 1NObr
TABLE A-B
For Case zf7- D EST 4 - PEWA TEXTLES2R olUS STE H- PE-5- G4-88 ZL Pssur 2i Esalaticr Rats cf 2(
Year
Laital
Cost
Oeratir
Ist
Cost Of Cil
$1IL5
Fue Use
(BL
FE
zc-st
Save Energy
Z4iv
V_-shy_ Saved
Energy
a1
Ccst
F1c
urre-t S
Dafiscourted Cash Flow (NPV) plusmn 4 8 -0 1
1 Trarspzrt $0
4
37--
0
$0
1
$16 $13279
$1387c
$40
$400 $4162
S4245
0
0
0
0
V
s0
$0
1239
11396 11396
336
$75973 $464957 $474255
- 6 $483741
$72026S
113379
137S 7 9 $13879
3644233)
S451078
$477U C 7 $463852
(S64433) (210fG4
14r1$2 5 o0n $-32786
(2644A) (12Z
$1 52 0 7 1
$541cent52
31544293)
(234=-) $ 4
$493269
(364423M)
S24 545) $24$ 5
$452903
A
7 8
-
10
12
13 14 15
16 17
18 19
20
21
$0 t0
0 $0 V $0
So
I$0 $0
$0 $0 $0
$0 $0
$0 $0
$0
($5300)
13273 T2879
$9 S237 $2873 $3873 $13873
$13879 $13879
$13873 $13873 42879
13673 $13879
$13879
$13879
$13879
$13879
14330 $4416
$4505 $4595 $4535 $4687 $4780
$4876 $4973
$5073 $5174 $5278
$5333 $5491
$5601
$5713
$5827
$5344
0
Q5 0 0 0 0
0 0
( 0 0
c 0
0
0
0 0
so so
o
so $0 $0
so $0
S $0 $O
$0 10
$0
$0
s0
$0
236 3133
1136 E I39 11396 11396 35
1396 11396
113 11336 11336
336
1396
11336
113
1135
11336
5$493416 $503264
35) 1 G 1
S531 1534083 $544771
$5665 S566780
1
$523 678 $60471
$612501 $525771
$G39286 55 Q52
$664073
S677 K4
$13873 S473537 $13873 $4834C-E
$13873 $49747 $3979 f50g 7-shy2
$1379 $52CI210 113873 $538321 227$5 -89 S3879 $541787
$79 K $-7579 $54236 $13273 577K $3873 S27532 113973 $53622 t3879 $11892 $3379 S624407
$13879 $337173
$3879 $650194 $757 $669775
$1042696 114443E
$18336301 $222704-
$2607162 1233016093 1
13346172 $7C- 32
$4 05746 $440256 $4742875
$-075824 $51402515
$5723072
$503759
$34c208 $6651884
$935- $825 M $764658$12M617 $10681 S10425
$-43 $1412669 1407 $123372E$715$=2 9
f39- $21843 11916875 $1735031 23 42 $1 $375$ 3427 $214202S t 53G $2636380 03 $9 $2 27 503 12544695 S2200320 $3037575 $2721482 $2405748 $3-3032352- 28970 12537706 S350348 $3045001 $2673393
$3698373 $2 183546 t757485 $3876979 $3 3711 $2867300
14045737 $3446247 12953242 $4205189 $356C8 3041099
$435846 $3657160 $311659 $4493545 $376678 $3186025
$711653 $279893 0 $0 12-93813 $11373201 $991546 $10381654
A-35
TABLE A-18 (Contd)- o-SOS TflBLE BEN T-2T TPBLE 7alculated)
zccc- an FiariJ Analysis for Energy Investments - Egypt EEA
Capita Colts BerEfit Parameters nterna lRate of Returr 7207
Acquisiticon 171753 Price of Oi $4000 lbL (yr 1) Transportation $0 Dil Escalat 20vear Disz FV of PV of BC
Construction $0 Rate Benefits Costs TV Ratio Iterconnection $0 Errgy Savrigs M-35 bblyear
-- -- ------- Fuel Use 0 bblyear $W373o $99546 $10381654 1147 TCTAL Cap) S717S53 2$1 773 $942968 SB2 49 - 5 975
4$7557396 $906011 $6E5884 834 Zonstruct Time 10 months 6 $-314236 $877493 15436743 72n
51354726 S855 18 1 $4 42S 545 G20Operating and Norcal ainterarce Costs 0$4604207 $S37489 $3766718 550
1$4289991 $3000 $345983 517 OeI-ating Cost $13879 year 48712 $4003306 $123281 $318G025
Operatin Lifetice 21 years r3 $177781 $817216 $2940565 460
14 $53637 $8730 $2719957 435 Vajcr Equiprrent RepairReplacement A $3327839 $80S754 $2521084 412
16 Z3 143506E $80212209 $2341277 392Replace Cost ($6300)period 18 $2824317 $794327 $2029990 356
Replace Period 20 years 200 $2558947 $787687 $1771260 325
A-36
E~zcrorci an4 ariaqrysr for EnEy Ivestrets -- -Gyrt = 3P
F c r C a s e o f F - r T 3 3 4 - j r 7 o i o s X_--
E 4 OR $251 FT -RC= $159P
ss=insectCA Escalation Rate cf 20
Save a - shyCaita eratirn Cost cf 01 Fue Used Fuel Ener) SavE AnnaI ash Floi Discounted Cash Flow () 9 iyE- cost Cost $Bb (2b1 Cost Epoundalv Energy Cost Current $ 4 8 10 12
l cuisiis 52452
Trans $2 Corstru_ o
ta 4 $-52 S $0 S2832 3$-22955 s28Sz3 ($128968) ($28928) (128)tc 52 C 10 34-2 $-324 S Z 24 ($125877 M$25991) (T2045) (S260981$ 0 $-55 0 s 34s S5431 $2110 s ($22707 ($123144) (3123301) (23450)$0 $ $2 0 $0 342 $f540 $2110s 40 11 S758) (242) 20704 S2 009S0 $T2-4 0 $0 34 $2110 25a0 (1273) (S17820 (32 3S759)S$0 2 $1G56 C $0 348 $763 $ 3 (1 1 3 7A s2 $13 0 f0 34 $E873 $2110 $379 (I0750 $12S ( S1 $14777)VC 2 $172- 0 $0 348 $-39 s 2 C2 $38ES (107797) h$1 (51)$130950 52110 $1757 C $0 342 $11 S2110 S400r ($104870) (t103526) (111004 ) (211401)$ c 120 $1793 C $0 348 $S28 522O S4123 31S9) (S10461 (S OS M) (1092) s210 I 512_ 348 $363 S2110 $42-5 (S39096) ($104491) ( S037($103 543)$0 S220 $sE5 0 ti shy32 t54 211 $435-0 (M251)
-- (S10261 ($22 ($07284)$0 $220 $1902 0 $1 343 $r2) 2110 $4510 (S93434) ($100821) 31$03G84) ($10512)14 $o S2110 $1940 0 $0 34 573 $2110 54243 ($50645) (S92114) (5)02340) (15062)5$0 52110 $1979bull 0 $0 343 S5683 I2110 $4778 (37am) ($9742q) ($10102) (S104085)6 $0 $2110 $201 0 so 342 S7C7 $21 $421517 50 ($5155) ($95 938) (ST2 90 ($103 1861$2110 0 )2059 348 $71 2 $$2o $ ms $22458) ($94462) ($S-30O ($102)o11 $ $2110 $210o 0 $0 34S
19 $7303 $2110 $-19- ($73789) ($92057) ($377T6 (01605$0 $2110 $2142 0 $0 348 $745M $2110 -5345 ($77150) ($91720) ($3814) ($100909)20 $0 $2110 S2185 0 $0
21 ($5438) $2110 $--29 0 348 $7605 $2 Ili $5495 ($74542) ($90446) (9916) ($100271)
$0 348 $7757 ($3328) $11085 ($69483) ($88068) ($9426a) (99 I2)
$124048 $42552 0 $0 7018 $130239 $166600 (36361)
A-37
ABSUPTIOS TABLE TABLE TABLE A-19 (Contd) IT--CCOTS TAL --C ed
and Fina-E P7aiysiz fc- Energy IrvestzErts -- ypt EE
aPita Ccsts Benrefit Parateters
Pquisitio 2948S Price cf Oil $1500 lbi (yr 1)Transortatior $0 Oil Escalat 20year
onstructio $0
rterconrectior $0 Enrgy Savns 348 b5year Fuel Use 0 thi
TOTAL (Cap) $123466
Construct Tirfe 10 months
Ozerating amNormal Mairterance Costs
Operatin Cost $2 110 year Oerating Lifetime 21 years
Major Equipment RepairReplaceuert
Replace Cost ($5438)Period Replace Period 2 years
Internal Rate of Return
Disc PV of PFJof Rate Benefits Costs
-=_
0 U -1c233 s 6660 2 $105270 $160683
4 $83543 $15031 6 $72307 $E2344
8 $61319 $149387 le S5272 914S33-
11 $49126 $14E566 12 $4912 $145034 3 $4 032 $144180
14 4144-- $143417 15 $38108 $142713
16 $35 9 7 $142068 18 $32342 $140933 2 $29303 $139971
-2 63
NIN
$32 ($55410)
($6943($8 037)
($80 8) ($343_68)
($C-33323(99 22)
($101156)
($102974) ($104604)
($106071) ($102591)
($110667)
Ratio
073
066
055 047
041 C36
034 03
30
28 027
0 25 023
021
A-38
For Case - -EL 7 7 14 - HELPN EXTLiIPH 0LECTOR PRV =552FT - PRIEC OL S2L Pssurin Oi Zscalaticr Rate cf 2C
SavEd a- c Cost of CII FUE1 Useer CUE Energy Eavn Arnual Ca ow sSZOLnte- Cash Flow ( NV) iYear Ct Ct Ipbl (P2-) Cost Ecsiv Ererry ZOst Currert $ 4 3 0 2 is-t i c r
_ _____ _
Traszr $C - LCrErZt cr 30
i tercorrezcr SO 21 53 $1 $1223 ($23378 $123pound73 ($23673) ($22673) ($123578)$ 72c Q0$24c $0 348 S7033 $2h1c i4S83 $2680 2124053) (12442) (1243)$21~ 0 0so 34a 17241 $2C $5121 3 (E -59)($112301) ($12012)4so So c V- Z $-co 348 7 $2110 $5275 -44- (1115471 ($15371 (lII3- $21 $25 ) $9 348 $7534 1I2110 5424 1038O) (111484) ($I-33 1I2930$0 $211 $2205 c $0 345 768 $2110 $-E574 ($105228) (7076G0) (105772) (037S7)
$0 2110 $-52 c $) 48 728 n04 SC Sshy$ $-bO $5723 C l00701 ($10408 SO55r ($ICS585)o $U S2110 P-3a7S0 $13 0 $0 348 Si110 $-525$2343 0 343 3430341 $2 (Si L- f E471 1$0$ 8) ($C4 203$) $_ -- $21 t$3050l 31($812) (S97231) (53673) ($10762
t t110 t c 3 2 M745)$0 203 ($94275) ($97066) (M23)S1 52110 $2438 Q $0 349 124B4 $2 $E374 (9g1 f$948 3)($2 144) 3233 ($07471)$110 $Z487 C $0 348 $2354 $2110 $r544 ($75894) ($88516) ($ 3 1 ($=120)$0 $2110 $25313 0 t0 342 $2227 T2110
1 $E717 ($74632) ( 849) ($901174) ($33855
$0 $20 $2557tbull I 0 034 $3 0034$34 S211 7) ($33314)S263 M$8178) (S32 2u)15 $0~ ($to50 $2110 $2333 0 $0 343 $3184 $210$7074 $ 473 ($2090S) ($83 315) ($3032)$0 $211 ( $2332 0 $01L 348 $ S237 $2110 $727 ($32444) ($73618) $34578) $83512)7 $0 72 10 $2746 0 $0 343 S555 $2110 S744E 3$5340 ($7S445) (323-7 (333293)1 $0 5210 $280 0 $0 348 $2745 $2110 $7636 ($54542) I 43W ($21447) (2B7156)$0o $2110 $225L 0 $0 349 $3341 $2110 S7831 ($50684) ($72422) ($80038) ($35163)2C $0 $2110 $2914 0 $0 348 $1023 $2110 $3029 ($46872) ($7WC561 (75726) ($85235)21 ($5439) $2110 $272 0 $0 346 $10342 ($3328) $13670 ($40634) ($676S2) ($76694) ($83818)
$124043 $42552 0 $0 7018 $17362 $163 00 $7052 A-39
TABLE A-20 (Contd) P-SJ 2DTPKE rZFT7-CGS72 TLAK (acutated)
Hom and Firaa ralvsis fcr Erergy Investments - Egypt EEAn 5S
Za-ital Costs Benefit Paraeters lnterrna Rate cf Return 046
Acquisition $129485 Price of Oil $22O0 1bb (yr 1)Transoortation $0 Di Escala 2Oyear Disc PV f PV of BCConstructior Rate Beniefits Costs Ratio Interconrnection $0 Errgy Savngs 348 bblyear - --- =_
Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 $173252 $16E600 $705 104 (Cao)bull0TL1a8 $14 360 $10c ($ 320) 087
4 $115398 $155031 ($40634) 074Corstruct Time 0 -rnths A $36409 $152 34 ($55935) 063 8 $8A759 $14937 ($7623) 0Operatin and Normal Maintenanrce Costs CIA $70299 $14S933 ($76694) 048
11 $55502 $145 966 ($0464) 045Operating Cost $210 year 12 $51216 $145034 ($33818) 042Operating Lifetime 2years 13 $57376 $144188 ($85812) 040 14 $53924 $143417 ($89493 038Kajor Equipmert RepairReplacement $C811 142713 ($91901) 36 IS $47997 $142068 ($94071) 034Salvage Value ($5438)period 18 $432- $140933 ($97810) 031
Replace Period 20 years 201 $39071 $139971 ($100899) 028
A-40
- End - Ar y= fcr ZErcy~gt Ef-tS - ~ Aq
TiE fl-2[
-or -ase
Assamin
c
Ui
Tf-L0EST 4 -
E-alation Rate f
TECTh- 211
20 25BFJ
Yec-
-_ ztr
fs
nrt-r--et
YEzEta u-rir z os
___=== shy = i2 ~~
z-_ 233
r $
of deg $i2
- Lse (Ebi)
ICoRue
Cost
Saved Ersery
Ecuiv
Va -cf Saved
Erery
5 S
n-a
-shyt
zas CIO
Curt S
t
Discounted Cash
4
Ficii 0 V)
0C
1 =
4
2
14 1 17 17
12 19 20 21
5-
s$
s 12
ampc
SO SC
$3 5 $0
(5 438)
2II0 2 110
S$210$o
12102IC
2110 SC$
U0 52 10
O QI0I $2110 521110 $2I07343
$2110 $2110 $2110 $2110
--23OI 1
Q27^S7SC
7
f_522 $2 3
S2147 $2SQ 53171
34 23 EE
13 534Vo$344)
$35o $3571 53342 53715
Ct
-1C
o
0 C
0
0 0
0 0
C 0
0
$0$034-=
s5
$50
s3$s4
$ $0
5$
so $0
$ $0
$O $0 s0 S0
348
343Z4
348
34E 342
342 342
34S 342 3474E 348 348
345 348 348 348
13574$ = $
$3
$3417sampo
$ 7E3
1 3-$337
euroscs $1 37
s3 $254 $1S t9 03
$121 1 S1242 $12674 $12 928
V2 31 -shy
11C
2110s519
2 12-0
1S 11 145
$2C
$2110
t2 110 $210
S2 110 $2110 $2110 ($3328)
33 2-72 ZZS ($13333 335B3 122S7 4 ($ E 22 25) ($13-2 3 (t12243)4 ($t1 ($pound 7) I$1692 $t5 S5 -
1 4 $7123 3$M234 ft 91 11745)--- $175)
$7307 31028 S C5148) ($106(1 7SC $5- t7495 ($737 (IiCc047 cs (-02843
783 ($cZ203) ($37185 (32353shy$7854 (1S4 6 1 533 (133122 (523371 $8133 ($7E754) (SS3 5) M335)) (ic21-h)
$S27 (7222) (32C900 ($2525 ($83134) $495 ($87 23 78 ) 382 5Wc ($5399)12 717 ($5 ($44-0 (7350I (583995)$3924 9 53 ($70 8771 (S7664) ($81605)V1144 (S$2471 ($67514) ($74016) (579509)
($45C (64324) ((715434) (S772) $33 5337301 ($5292) (5 2501 ($7 838)$7533 ($58428) ($8711C) ($74234) 0 )72 29303 ($5706) (S5 11a ($72767)1$0316 (24217) ($53124) (S5322) ($71425) $10564 (S19203) ($50676) ($6155) ($70199) $16256 ($11754) ($47129) ($59119) ($685141
$124043$42552 0 $0 7018 $217065 166500 50465
A-41
ELSTU0 TABLE TABLE A-21 (Contd)
PLE(-
Zcoo r Firatia iavsis fc- Energy Irvesterts shy Eypt EE1
C itz Zosts enefit Paraveters Irterraz Rate cf REturr 304
zao-isitior S12948E Traszrtzti $0
l rtier to Interzorrectio $0
Price of Oil 0 Escalat
Errgy Savnrgs
$250C bb (yr 20vear
342 bIyear
Disc Rate -
WV of Ienef-
W cf Fcsts N
BC Ratio
- --
TJT -------shy
1 486 FuEl Use 0 bblvear ^
-a-27 H-S$17 450
$SG0 s16K 580
$E 4S $14770
30
109
Construct Tive 10 crths 4^ 6
$144247 $2051
$I-o0 2344
$17S4) (4P 832)
02 073
Coeratirsect and Normal Mairtenance Costs
Operatir Cost $2110 year 0oeratin~ Lifetinie 21 years
8 0 1
2
$102198 $27874 3-877
$7E520 $$7720
$14937 $14S33 $145S3
$145034 V44122
$47123) ($ 119) ($64039)
($68514) $72458)
068 060 056 053 050
Mamr Equipmet ReoairReplacemert 14 1
$97405 $143417 1427
($76012) (179199)
047 045
REplace Cost Replace Period
($5438)period 20 years
6 18 20
$59996 $53304 $43839
$142068 $140 233 $139971
($82072) ($87030) ($91131)
042 C38 035
A-42
TRSLE 1-22
F- cf-- s 14- HELN Esumlr Oi Esampaton Rat2 cf
(TC2LEHr Trorp-
20 -P z-3 z-
1iazip Ycst
Ls-cr 113 -
0eratir Cost
Cott of oil W
Fte e c
-e el Ct
Savec Energy Ev
Va1-_ of -avef
ErErcy pnua
st a=n 7c DirountEj Ca_
E-rre-t $ 40 8 Flo (NPN) i
10 =
12
4 f
7
10
N-I-
1-
15
$ 7
is
19
I 21
C rutc
0t13oo
V 12 116 30E 11 $321
so No 13LR $- 110 z347 $ t-1 $33 2
S 8029 $3278 2li $344E
S0 f2I0 1315 - - 1 35
S1 r t2110 1373C-
S S212 $3 15 2 1 S281
$S)S2 5I3908 $ S4(38
so QAc2h18 41 SO $s2 $420 50 $2 11 $4 so $110 $4370
$5433) $2110 $4455
$124048 $42552
0
c 0
0
0
0
0
0 C 0 c
0 0
0 0
0 0
0
S
10 345 so 34
so 248 to 345
C 34S
so 3 $ 348 $0 348 $0 348o
$0 348 0 348
$ 345 so 3$6
so 348
$0 348 s A3 $0 348
SO 348
$0 348 $0 348
$0 7018
Q74C 12-
s649 - 1 s B3 110
in1 73 p311 S30 $2110 1127 f110
$11757 2110 $13 I-sI S2322_2ltU1510
2477 130
S 72H 11 S s- $1 2 1-110 s17o- s2
t3770 5-10 $14051 $2110 S302 S2 S14613 $21(
$1491 $ 1 $15203 $3110 $15513 ($332
$260478 $-SF600
A-43
53 ($85557 27Z- )S17
V5S59 10 1 3131 ($9-
12417 e -^-
$-E47 ( S) sI S t730)2
5 L22
1c357 4SW III
S1STs ($241)$1037 s173) 1 30 127 27)
Sc1L33 331 3X4
1 L 5 -267)
$is 7o7) 510L 3 ^41)
2 S2 8 U249
$3S10-2 $346S $18841 170-5
1$93 78
($(225 ($128038)
12 5 52 33- 1 12683 (1M 3102)
1105 EEG) 3$1 364 $3--3) $C 10-
($92 (534$ 3 (1S3225) (33734) ($o5s (s82733
$7 030) (79 0 11) 33 7041(IN
(647) $70511)($50334 (670 (1904) ($53154)
5( 714 (E 8 54) ($47743) 3567S2 $437) ($S33 3540411) fS5123
t070(37030) (4E7331
($33 827) - (S45E
($30 7K) ($44344) (26749) $41544)
($1202a
(31204741 (51347T
IS(117 C272 1( -_- ($SC) I ($627)
(132453) ($7 745)
( 2S ($712
(5344) $SE73S)
My AS)
($2 14) (5601171)
(556T
($5-5-E54)
($55162) (53210)
TABLE A-22 (Contd)
Ezrzic and Fir-a Analv=is Er=-ry Invest-eants - Egypt EEfl oI 1
Catal Costs Benefit Para-eters l-tera ate of Return 532
Pccuisitio $12943s Price c Cii Transportation $ Oi Escalat
Construct iorn $0 Interconnection $0 Enry Savrs
--- - --- el Use TOTAL LCap) $129485)
Construct Time 10 r-=nths
Operatin and Ncrmal nartErane Costs
Operatin g Cost $210 year Ooerating Lifetire 21 years
Major Equipment RevairReplacemert
Replace Cost ($5438)period Replace Period 20 years
$300 bb (yr 1) 2 Cvear
34E bblyear 0 tblyear
Dic PV cf Rate Eerefits
=-- shy == 0 -260478
2 $210541
4 $172037 6 $144614
8 122 S38 10 $105449 11 $93 253
i2 $91824 13 $86064
14 S00885 15 $76217
16 S71995 18 $64685 20 $58607
PV cfof Costs
$166600
$160680 $15H 02 SE2344
$149337 $146993 $145966
$145034 $144188
$143417 $142713
$142068 $140933 $139971
wgV
$93878
$49860 $17065 ($7730)
(326749) ($41544) (347713) ($53 tn0) ($S3 124)
($62531) ($6649G) ($70073) ($76249) ($81364)
Ratio _
15S 13 1 095 82
C72 067 063 060
C56 053
051 04G 042
A-44
Ecnio af rarcia Ay5s fr Enerzy rvestr-et=- E__y EE- t
TABLE A-23
D 7E4--r Case ofF- - H8LW TEXT-PP C LcTORvR- - p n-OIL 35 _) 9ssu=- Oil Escalation Rate cf 20
spvedCa4t Csratr Zost cf Oi Fuel Used Fel Erergy Vi~
3aved Arral Ca-s 7 2iscurnt (-ir- Flo (NTV) 8 iYear Ec SBbX (Ebi) Cost Eniv Enercy ost Crr $ 4 10 12
1 Trarsort $ bull Ccrstr_-ticy $
1 Ir -e2or tic - $0r
Ttal T4- $352 $300 0 $0 58 $2030 f223 2780) 3$227($1802) (S27803) ($37308)Ss s210 12570 0 so 348 S2424 12 10 10314 $7S3 ($(S2 ) (1342 o 59)
3$ 123 $3541 0 $0 348 $12672 2 11 105S2 022T) (103O023) ($103703 ($10179)4 2 $2 0 $3714 c SO 349 2 $2110 8 ($18 -1 7 ( 0 7 (0 410
S3783 0 to$2110 348 $13 184 $2110 111074 ($53044) (332477) ($34013 ($3-7443)E 10 1-110 S3364 0 $i 345 S3448 $2s SI335 $73716 (1847z (8900)T $21 $342 0 $0 348 $13717 1I10 11607 (571 553) _77447 C$S04-2 ($-3 123)
0 -1( 241 ( 77 ($74 ($77155)so 348 4 $s $7 s$o2110 348 11427$311I0~Snl $8 C $0 $2110 Ll 1Z3) 12944) 1S5 372844)
1 82 20 $L (SIL0 348 S14556 t2 $1244 ($43394) ($57718 (5S33731 ( 1 211r 5428-4 0 $0 343 $4847 S21110 $1277 2 s($7 3) 364254) S $0o 348 1511413 1 $4439 $S I o 13031 - ($ 2 ) ($46228) ( 853834)($0 507)110 f- $0 348 1 447 12 110 $13337 ($18432) ($4C32) ($43644) ($57084)14 $0 $2110 $4528 0 50 348 $E75E t 112 S4 (S102 (394) (4582 (2 9S75 1$10 W4 S 343 16 07 $2110 $139s] ($2234) ($31IG) ($4201f5 ($L I100
16 211SC $24 $4711 0 S 348 $18322 $211 1 14_ 15 7 (S2S 531 ($38-96] ($A 4917 S $2110 $4805 0 $0 348 5721 12 I10 14611 $13437 (22394) (35416) 34S107)18 $C $2110 $4301 0 $0 243 $1-5 $2110 $i345 $21170 (18354) ($32460) ($930)19 $ $20 $4993 $0 343 $17336 52110 $15286 $28715 ($14 529) ($209710) ($4943)20 $0 $2110 $5099 0 $0 348 T17744 $2110 $15634 $36136 ($10 207) ($27 154 ($40 127)21I($5438) $2110 $5201 0 $0 348 $18099 ($3328) $1427 $45915 ($30) ($23969) ($3790)
$124048 $4255 0 $0 7018 303891 $166 amp0 137291
A-45
TABLE A-23 (Contd) PSELTIONS TWPLE H-77-C3T-3 TA-2L Eated)
Econooi and Firnani aIvs4s fe- Ener y Ivestcents - Eypt EE 03i32
Capital Csts Berefit Paraeter- Itera Rate c RetLr- 739
Aqisiti-503S S4ES Pice c ii bb (yr 1)TrasScrtation $0 01 ESalat W0year DiEc PV of P of BC
Corstructior $0 Rate Beneits Costs WPV Ratio rterconrection $0 Enray Savwgs 343 bblyear -
Fuel Use 0 blyear 02E1 S 600 II7721 82TOTAL Cap) $1Z48C Z $1683 $54 350 53
4 $20194S I5E3 $45715 i2CcrstrUct Time 10 mrths E1 716 $152344 $16372 11
8 $143078 $14337 ($S309) 096Operatirpound and Norma Ma~ntenarce Costs 10 $123024 $14E933 (23969) 084
11 $114628 $145956 ($31 33 079Oerating Cost $2 110 year 2 $107128 $145034 ($37906) 074Operating Lifetime 2 years 13 $101408 $144182 (343780) 070
14 $34I26 $143417 (U9050) 066Major Ecuipment RecairReplacemernt $S30 $142_713 ($53793) 062
1S 0584 ($53074) 059$1420O8Salvage Value ($5438)period 18 $75465 $14C 33 ($55468) 054Replace Period 20 years 20 $68375 $139571 ($715) 049
A-46
Ecor-r~c a Fi-ra- aivss VeSt=rts EE2fC- -ErV - E --t
TAFLE A-24
Case cf77-Lf TES 4 - HEWA XTILE1P (M CT P $2zS - PRE-F OIL 640EBLh ssuming Oil Escalation Rate f 20
saved VaiLe Ofonita Doeratir Lcst of Oil Fue Used Fuel Erery -d pYert Ca_ 10 Discourtd Cash Flow (PI 0- i =Cost $1Ebl (2l) Cost Eerv Ztt Crrert 1 4 6L 10 12
I Transmrt onstrLZt ior 4
tr-cnnEc icn $ Tcta f2945 132 $4000j 0 $0$40 SO 58 2 S 33z Is1 5 ) 327515$0=8 34S7 $15 $2- 2 (12728
31 $4060 1 r 0 342 $2C 3 8 1034)IS ($152V (1528) f(E72)14 0 348 49 S20 S-372 SI04-1 (5) 517 (110303) (-058514$ 2 I W A S t o4 3 4 8 $ 4 7 shy 3 12 2 ( S 9 ( SH G ES ) ($7 9 0) ( UT 7 8 4 5 3 $ 2 1432bull 34a S 057 $241 C3 (
$0 ($36142) (M6742) (3614)$0 $2 110 $446 0 $0 348 $159 $22 $17m ($7122) ($77119) 372707) U82191)7$ 4 $0 348 S5751_5 21101if) E5 5)503) $55569) ($72049) ($75218)0$ 4c5sg5 $0 348 $5930 510 $13 0 496) ($E 470) ($54327) ($62033)S so 12 4687 $0 348 $309 21Sc 14 92 (139580) 5079 (15833) 563204)10 $C Uio $4760 0
$0 348 $Ipoundpound36 5 240 -25- (129375) (4E53) (- 42 (37966)$0 12112 1487pound 0 $0 348 $11953 $20
2 S12353 SI9337 (533650) 34S414) ( 5318)0 $2110 $4373 0 s0 348 $1730L 2 1c3 5 Q 15 ($9465) (1 2132) ($41027) (34313)S0 12110 $ 0 $0 348 V14i
$21 $244 3-5905) (35134 344823)$0 $2110 $574 0 $0 34E $112007 $Z19 $5597 $3791 (1114) ($-530 ($41180)o $2110 $275 1 $0 342 $18357 $21 $-257 S19 7916 3$14579) 32724T) ($3754)$2110 $$5393 0 c$0 349 $12734 17
$2110 $Ic24 $28410 MKS) (Q-3269 (34816)$ $2110 $s191 0 6
s0 348 1$3 0o $2110 S162 $37486 (4376) (195E) ($32043)$S 5210 $sa01 0 s0 348 $19431 1211 17331 $43409 $321 ($161301 (12951)11 $0 $-I0 $5713 0 $0 348 1181 $2i10 S7771 SES182 $4768 ($2934) (327 M0I20 $0 $2110 $5827 0 t0 348 $20279 $2110 $16169 $E3805 8378 ($9963) ($25031)21 ($5438) $2110 $5944 0 $0 348 $20 684 ($3328) $24012 $74764 $14 30 (36394) ($n-60L
$124048 $4252 0 $0 7018 $347304 $166600 $180704
A-47
g3EL-iD~- ASSIUPTIDXF LETABSE TABLE A-24 (Contd) - ---C-NCE TFamp mC utCalculated)
zczi a- Farcial alvs- for Erergy IwEstments - Egypt EEA 1 8
CaPital r~csts Perofit Para Eter- Irntr-na Rate of Peturr 932
Acouisition $ E4 Price of Cil TransroortaEtio $G 0i Escalat Construct $
rterrertior $0 Erry Savrs Fuel Use
TOTA Cao) $1_h486
Construct Time 10 eorxths
eratir_ and Norzal Ma-rtenance Costs
Oceratim Cost $2110 year Operati_ LifEtime 21 years
Major Ecaiment RevarReolacert
Replace Cost (5543e)period Replace Period 20 years
$4000 bb (r 1) 20year
348 bbyear 0 bblyear
DisC PV of Rate Perefits
- = 0 $347 304 2 $22720
4 t23C 73 E $19288
$13517 10 4C 9 -- - - $31004
12 12243-2 13 $114751
14 $107847 15 $101622
16 $KS993 18 S84 246 20 $78143
V of Costs
$16 6O $162560
5 63 $1E2344
$43337 $1429c3 $14 9-5
$14E034
$144188
$14347 $142713
$142068 1140933 113971
N71)
$180704 $120040
$74764 $407
$14 13 ($r334)
($14 952)
($22602) ($29437)
(S35570) ($410V30)
(45075) ($54687)
($61828)
BC Ratio
208 175
48 27
109 096 090
084
080
075 071
368 061 056
A-48
Ecra acia a fc Ernerv ivEs=-t -- Eyt E~q IC36
TfPLE A-25
cr Case of-- 7ST 4 - HL4 7EX-vTDUq -T R E $ZvCF 7 P- U 1shygssu-in_ Oi Es~alatior Rate of 20
Saved Value ofDaitalfleratir Cost of Dil -Fel Used Fuel ESrry 5avf Annual as( Fic Discourted Cash Flow (MKV) 8 iYear Cost $IBb (E1 Cost Ecriv -Ercy Cot Currert S 4 8 10 12
I 712 I Trersp $0
ITotal 0712 $311 $1500 0 $0 58 $370 $111022 1t01E2 52) 1103) $ n3)(1h10153) $8 $5302C $0 348 $5324 $186G 458 CLa28 (S10SI) ($07003 (107O5)2 $15In $ 0 $0 348 $543 $18s2 S25s5 0522) ($ 40$ 2 $-7834) ($1040E3 ( 7 ($104 )4 $I62 $12$0 bullS266 $1524M$0 0 $0 34842 $5540
3 $550 S1866-C81C $2674 ($1 ($0 ($37031) 3 $10 $3784 ($32 197)78) ($10$D(3S718) Is0 603(M32204)
6 CS56 0 $0 348 S762 $862 $3857 ($c3828) ($5544) ($22223) ($39992)$052 $I82 c $0 43 $872 $186E $4013 $33 67) ($3301) ($94033 $94353)S$0 $C866 1723 C $0 348 15922 $866 $4130 (U8751d) (390605) ($1914) ($3091)2 $3 $s $1757 so e 33
s 0 343 Stamp 1866 $4256 ($4413) ($82310) ($23921) (131374)$0 $17 22 51732 00 $ 3 2- 1$5 2 522 11866 $4372 3 1 S C 1 ($311 ($82122) ($737C7 ($83738)1 223E$ $ 22 so 348 $82 $866 $4407 ($78702) ($40391 ($25 3431 ($83 3n0)12 $0 $1826 13Ef 0 $0 348 $S490 S1866 $4624 ($7E 29) ($80-5) ($ 4722) ($87020)s0 $1 8 $11302 0 $0 348 $2620 $BE $4754 ($714 $0
323 ($80168) ($33207) ($85800)$1866 $1940 0 so 348 $s753 $182 $4837 ($23334) ($72371) $2722 ($84630)15 s0 $1852 $7 ) $0 348 $8B3 $BE6 $5022 ($22494) ($7L662) ($8146M] ($33653)16 $0 $166 $2019 C $0 348 $702 $1862 (152 ($75035)s $E30) ($73234) ($2 710)17 $1 pound186 $203 $0 348 $7126 $1826 $523y ($50O330) ($73488) ($73081) ($S8845)12 i$ $626 $2100 0 348 $7309 $1866 1544 ($58005) ($72017) (77 0041 ($81053)$0 S866 21421 0 $0 348 f7 455 $186620
$5589 ($ 246) ($70618) ($759M) ($30326)$0 $1866 $2185 u $0 348 $7605 $1866 $5733 (152523) ($63288) ($75060) ($73660)21 ($4650) $1856 $2229 0 $0 348 $7757 ($2784) $10541 ($47712) ($67027) ($73494) ($78567)
$106062 $37631 0 $0 7 018 $130233 $143693 ($13454)
A-49
----
TABLE A-25 (Contd) rzzPTI2CNS 7PBLE EE ~~~TnD Calculated)
-cocc and Fir4anci= Araisis fc ErErgy InvestEerts - Ecypt EEA raI
capital CStE Perefit Parayeters terna Rate of Return -108
czuisiion ie o 0 $I2X yr 1I Tra-spcrtatior $0 2 Zs~t 2 lyear Dis WVof PV of BCConstructior tate
Benefits Costs NIV Ratiointercorrectior $0 Enry Savrgs 343 bblyear =
Fuel Use 0 bblyear C $130239 $143E03 ($13454) 091trp) CTP $10Z S 270 $138405 ($3375 076 4 S 548 $134260 ($47712) 064ConAstruct Time 1S CnTh5 5 $72307 130 76 ($55669) C55 8 s6319 $122 34G ($67027) 048CoeratrE and -crma Maintenarce Costs 0 ($73494) 042
OperatingCost $18- year 1 $49126 $125306 ($761711 03912 $45912 124479 3735-7 037Operatirg Lifetime 21 years 13 $43032 $123728 $8169L) 035 14 $40443 $12 043 $82601) 033Major Equipment RepairReplacemert I$IIE $38108 4419 ($84310) 031$3810
16 $35997 $121847 ($58M) 030Replace Cost ($4650)period 18 $323A2 $120841 ($88499) 027Relace Period 20 years 20 $Q9303 $119988 ($90685) 024
A-50
and Finaie rr_ fir Energ- ivestrents -- Eyt E2 1IMV5
TAPLE P-26
For Case cfFlD TEST 14 - HELWAANXT1LEIP (PRECTO p ZE$221SFT - P UZCF GIL $2VBE Assuraing Gii Escalation Rate of 20
Saved Val e of oita eraplusmn ir Ccst of Cil uee Lsed Fuel Energy 5ave Irr ca Zas F1ow Disconted Cash Flc (NPIV)E iYear- Cos C-st Bo (E 1) Cost Ecuiv En=Ergy Cost ZLrrert $ 4 8 0 12n
ura-z t 7 bull~r ti- $
rterco-retIcr $ITcta $20 0 $O 3 $1160 $111023 15S ) C$1C3853) (5103353) ($I0335 ($103 53)22 5 $2140 C $0 348 $703 $655 233 ($10Q8311 ($105017 (W05106) ($105Igl)S$ $EEG $2081 0 50 7 $537Z ($$33E41 24 1 183 (1040 (1 663 ($ 35)$EE863 $2-22 0 so 342
0 $733G 18E s527 (P9454) ($03 (56- ( 7)- $QLES( 033 so 343 $7S=34 S 2U- $G 568 ($3110) ()161) ($2645) ($93374)$S E 202C0 $0
7 348 $76E934 $1365 $5818 (S527) ($3730) ($83CK) ($90073V0 $1 s 5 f2252 0 0 343 5738 I6
- V5972 (80 377) (1413) ($5E ) ($37 047)_336 $2297 C $0 34S $75 s - shys- ~ (-1MO M r2~ ~ $ g0~ - J - 322$ ($84275)to S186b $2343 0 s0 343 $a10$ = (300 S186 5$233 (71 355 (7164) ($752 ($1735)to 34S 21313 t566 Z54582) (73 (17S846) 3$73409)r T-357)
0 415-3 $1$238 0 $0 343 $13484 $H6 18S (1 31) ($70 871) ($7424) ($77278)--ES $2437 C s0 348 $2654 S1855 $$73 (t 73$
41) ($70 1 (7) ($75 326)$1B3s $2536 0 s0 14
348 S227 $1865 $S761 ($53594) ($E519S) (5S367 (S73539) 5
t 61656 $2587 c s0 342 $004 Si856 $7133 1$4307) ($62571) i53201 (S1904)51 $125 $2539 0 $0 348 $ 184 M866 $7318 f45081) ($50080) (65703) (570406)i5 $ 861855 $232 0 $0 S13 $7 $5 $751 (34916) ($57715) (63S07) $559036)17 tO 51833 52746 tO 343 $55 51S66 $7539 ($5311 ($55471) ($32234) ($67732)is - s866 $2800 0 $0 34 5 74S S 865 $7880 ($-2766 f534I) ($50675) (3634)13 s0 $18665 $2856 0 $0 348 $S994 $1866 $8075 (28 73) ($513M) (M-3223 ($5 584)20 t0 $ass $n 14 0 so 348 $10 13 $1866 $5273 (424253) (342404) ($57870) ($6462A)21 ($465O $1865 52972 0 $0 348 $10342 (32784) 63126 (f18 863) ($46587) ($55919) (63263)
$10G062 $37631 0 s0 7018 S173 2 $143693 29959
A-51
gSv ONSTBLTABLE TALEASSUPTIOS A-26 (Contd) TT-r-TS TA-- alculated)
Econozc ar Firacia Araly-is for Energy Irvestrerts -- Egypt E_ I-
LaoitaI CoSts Benefit Parx-Eters Iterra Rate c-Return 216
Acquisition $110712 Price of 1 $2000 bb (yr 1)Trarspcrtatio $O Oil Escala 20year DiE Pcf PV of BIC
Corstrutior $0 Rate Benefits Costs NV Ratio iterconneztio $0 Enrgy Savrgs 348 bblyear _= -_--
Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 $173 G52 $143693 $2 M 121TOTAL Ca) $712 N $14c 360 $13405 $1955 101
4 $11Z338 $134260 ($18863) O8GConstruct Time 10 tronths 6 $96409 $130976 ($34567) 074
8 $81759 $12346 ($46587) 064Operatinz and Norrva Maintenance Costs 10 $70299 $126216 (S55919) 056 A-1 $6S502 125 30f Ui59 64) 05Operatin Cost $866 year
shy
2 $61216 $124479 ($63263) 049 Oerating Lifetime 21 years 13 $57376 $123723 ($65352) 046
14 $5-7924 $123043 ($9120) 044Major Equipment RepairReplacement 15 $50811 $12419 ($71608) 042
16 $47927 $121847 ($73 851) 039Replace Cost ($4G50)perioQ 18 $43123 $120841 ($77718) 036Replace Period 20 years 20 $39071 $119988 ($80 917) 033
A-52
conc34 an Firnancial Qralvss fcr Ener~y i-veEtvnts -- Eypt EE
TMtSLE 4-27
Fc0 2ase TfiEf - 1ZLN TEXTILEI (WZC PR P3rS22TEST 44 SETOR C7 a- $25IEDU Asi rLz Oil Escalation Rate of Z0
SavBr Vaue f1ta Ccost of Oi Fue Use Yuel[eraing Energy SZve- rnual Cas 71co ritv ed Cash Flow (NPV ) i = -- CostYear ost $1 (Bbl C-st L c r ny Cost C-rre~t 1 4 1r IN0
t1i3iticr tSU712
7rarns~ort $
Ccrtructcr It o $oerconnec
aS 71 S00 0 to 53 1450 1 023 (103 -73 5-3c$3573) ($109573) ($103-73)sgE t C 0 $0 348 S234 S7 CC7 3SZE 1C-084 (3103202) ($103316)$0 $as 2L0 $-r
0 s0 343 $ 51 $1ms5s n7515261) $9924) ($97264) (975M30 $0 348 Ic233 $786-H s364 (tc7E ($91723 (SW344)So286 027 $0 -48 $47 $I 17f51 5E so $ G s S27 EC 0
18 ($3552) ($37545)0 to 348 $q606 $1 86 $Z740 8257 t85 15 C 03 $76 -53 ($817E6) $83154)ss~ g $ 5 7 g2 ( 7 a $2215 $50 348 $9738 $6 $7 2 ($7058) 726 (377287) (79135)Sc S5 K6 372 0 $0 348 Sg934 S6 $2 $64322 ($70 1) 37311 3754599 $0 38 S A 52 s (923371 s1 S7237) ($72036)IC $r t85 12955 0 $0 343 $10377 865 $352 ($-22) (6751 (55615) ($59013)11 so 55 5 247 -0 s0 348 $C61 SlE6 $873S ($493) (t-7) ($-2246) ($55205$ $185 5$ $1510 SO 348 $087 $2811 (L4$54) ($53864) $53108) ($36321O 518) $317 0 $012 348 S1I034 $66 $9168 ($24858) (min22 3 56187) (S61279)14 s$ $S-76 52234 0 $0 348 $11254 $1866 $2382 1$2220) (34S771) (353468) ($59127)E $C $1685 $39 0 $0 -48 $114-9 $666 $3613 3U2668)($43498) ($50936) ($5-7160)so$ $866 $3365 0 so 348 S- 70 $86 13843 2$03)-($40395) ($48560) ($-m3S)
17 so 11862 $432 0 so 348 11-43 $1866 $10077 12 822) (37454 (34G387) (5 718)2 to T866 $350 0 $0 348 $12182 $866 $1016 ($7526) ($34666) ($44345) ($2216)V9$0 $1866 $257 0 $0 348 $12426 $156 $105EC ($2314) ($2023) ($42447) ($50842)2V $3 $1866 53642 0 s0 348 $12674 $1856 S0803 $2816 ($ 519) ($40673) ($49588)21 (54650) $1866 $3715 0 s0 346 $12926 ($2784) $15712 $9987 ($26148) ($33344) ($47M95)
$105062 $37631 0 s0 7018 $217065 S143693 $73372
A-53
PSSU Ns TABLE TABLE A-27 (Contd) FE-E=IT- 2ST3 TA2LE Cal d
Ecortomiz arnc a AIaEsis fc- Enery Irvestmerts - Egypt EE- iC1365
Capital Costs Perefit Parameters lnterral Rate c Return 491
Acquisitic $0712 Price of Oil Trarnsportat $C Oil Escalat Construction $0
Interconrectior $0 Enrny Savngs Fuel Use
TOTlL Cap $0 72
Construct Tiie 10 Moths
Operatinz and Norma Maintenance Cost5
Ooerating Cost $866 year Operating Lifetime 21years
Major Equipnent RepairReplacement
Replace Cost ($4650)period Replace Period 20 years
$2500 bbl ( r 20year
348 bblyear
0 bblyear
1)
A-54
Disc Rate -shy
0 -w
4 6
8 0
11 n
3
14 15
16 18 20
PV zPV EenefitS
$217CS5 $75450
$144247 $$0C $102193 $87374
$81877 $76E20
$71720
$S7405 $63514
19996 $53904 $4883
cf Costs
$143623 $132405
$134260 27
$128346 $2z218
$125306 $124472
$123728
$043 $122412
$121847 S120841 $119988
NPV
$733272 $37045
$2987 ($101465)
($26148) ($38344)
($43429)($47259)
($52008)
($55639) ($532905) ($61251) ($68938) ($71149)
BC Ratio
151 27
107 092
080 070
065 061
058
055 052
049 045 041
E ri- Fra Fa-s fc- Erergy -vetrerts - Egypt EA
TAKLE P-28
o- Case lfF- TEST 4 - HELWATEXTILEIPH (CELECTOR Assuming01l E-calatic Rate c 2C
PRCZ-22I _- 01vS
YeF-ita
Cost 0=erair
Cost st of 0j
IB Fuel Used
(bLI) Fuel Cost
Energy Eciv
Savee ErCr~y
rrua Lost
Eas FIcA Current $
Discountd Cash 4 8
Floh (NPV) 10
i 12
k cuisiicr r7-2 1 Transc-rt $ I Costrut or $3
cta $272 2 S COo
Se $ESE 120 so $ SSr
s3~ zs384cSO $0 $15 S47
6 $3 t135 $--- 2 7S882 53375 a $0 $258 $344E
5 S18 zI^ to $ -ES s3F
1$ ss sss~s S- $181H $3730 SO $1868 $3805
4 $ $35 E i V $8-8 $3258 E 50 $8EE $4038 17 $0 s B S4s SO $0 S8EE $4201
13 tS $18 $428 5 20 $0 $86 $4370 21 ($4650) $1868 $4458
$105 02 $37631
0
I
0
0
0
0 IC
0 0 0 o0 0 0
0 v
0
$0 Es $174
742 t-8c4c SO$0 343 $1
348 51107 $0 348 $11301 $0 348 $1527 SO 342 7m7 so 343 $13 $1 348 S2 32 $C 348 $12477
38V)2 $0 342 $ 345 t3240
$C 348 $ z -to 348 775 so 348 $1405 SO 348 $14 332 $0 343 $14CM $0 348 $14911
$0 348 $KS203 $0 348 $15513
$0 7018 $260478
A-55
III3-3C3
$E- Iass
$1866
$1856 S866 5 865 5185S $3s6
56 65
Sa36
518j$E $8 $866 $ 86 $155
$862 ($2784)
$143633
10I08 23
S7322 2 9
s $3435
$3661
$9S3 s u $03-
$511
$6 $11 $11374
187^ $ 3 $1822 $12 48
273 S13045
$13343 $18297
$118785
3
($1Th22-
(Pc8751
E3 -73
(ME223 (3) 5) ($
4 2231
337784
30447) ($23227) $V23)
3 1 (1 2M)
- IS6 $7t $24453
$30466 $L M3E
(1l123
cs 32443)$22
1
72 611
(SE8 322) () 4741 1154 372)
($4258)
3544E35) ($ 76 S (5325)
3071) ($28E3)
0751 (119 43s
E9 3 ($12725)
($3634) ($5708)
(s0--3) ($33864)5552 $83498
(745001 (S53917) ME-720)
($ES584
($54284)
(S530197) 3413 3542-S7h
(S30- ) (S3170) (332-) ($3 4 23M)
$25870)
($23433) ($20 705)
((e02203)
(S1014411 ($94270)
-855772 7S
(727v1 (37124) ($6S 64) (M62456)
(3E2301
($5133) (33 (02)
ME48-5 ($14314 S41688)
33854) (-7 ($101)
(345m21 (32655)
TABLE A-28 (Contd) S TpLE - Th-CCSTS TPAELE (Calclated)
Ezo ndard Firarla yss fzr Erergy Investrzents -- Egypt M 01I 185
Capita Ccsts BerEfit Paraeters lkterrz ate of Rturr 7351
A-uisit in Trarr~rtaticr Cortro
$117-12 t0
$0
P-ice o Cii Escala
$3000 Ibb (yr 20year
1) Disz ta
V of
Benefits PV of
Costs 1PV BC
Ratio -rnterconretion $( Errzy Savwes 348 bblyear -------
TCTAL (Cap $10 712 Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0
2 $26r-475 2l154C
$143623 $132405
euro16785 $72135
81 152
Corstruct Timne 10 msonth-4 6
173097 $144614
$24260 $131 976
$33836 $13633
12 110
Dperating an Normal Maintenarce Costs 8
0
$122633 $108449 $98253
$12346 $126218 $125 305
(35708) ($32769) ($27053)
096 084 078
Operating Cost
Operating Lifetime $865 year
21 years 1 13
$9824 $5064
$12479 $123728
332E5 ($37664)
074 070
Major Equipment RepaiReplacemeet 14 15
$80985 $7217
$123043 S122419
(42158) ($46202)
065 062
Replace Cost Replace Period
($4650)period
20 years
1 S 20
$719T $64655 $58607
$121847 $120841
$119988
($49852) (356157) (361381)
059 054
049
A-56
Taiaccno arc navsl- fCr erv InVES Et S_ 5E
TWILE A-29
For Case of --T TEST - uMwANTEXTIlEIPP 1Crv=TO PR2E -rR- a PAssuz 0 Escalation Rate of 20
Save Value f Ozeratir iliFuel Usedaoita Cost cf Fuel Energy Saej Annual ash 73w Dis-unted Cash Flow ( ) i = Cst st $1bl (btI) cost Ecuiv Enerzy zt --rrert 4
- Trarsoco-t SC)
I rsterucrneztion 50
I Tc- Z $3500 0 $203 (T01132 (50-932(9933-3) ($IC-9931(12S933S S46SE 170 0 $C 34 $2 424 s1856 $_ssS99217 ($32841) ( 39E (M567)5 52-25 $3541 0 $0 348 52572 $1855 1 bull 23 (58953 ($0457 ($g032)
5-5E0 53714 -7 0 So 10 731)0 g 48 174 ) $ 15 (S33 030)343 $12 S6G 4 7 O t1 Es SBs $3729 0 $1 348 $1284 $865 $318 363344) ($72254) (374425) (37637
S S1E $In3964 0 $0 7
348 $13448 1866 V1152 (IZ3825) M4972) ($67234) (315)53942 0 $V 348 $13717 $1866 (550459 ($54544)5Y1-1 (1-7504) ($6332)
$0 855 $$4020 0 t0 348 t13991 18665 shy12 - ($424V (s 422) ($54322 (tS72273 s aE- $41 0 $0 348 $14271 t856 $19405 S2J81 43728) ($4535) ($2817)10 $0 $1855 $4123 C s0
11 348 $14556 T556 $126 0 ($23265) ($37379 3$433 $4Z2 4
5 $425 $0 348l $0 S 1856 $4352 0 SO 348
0 s0 $14847 $1862 $31 (514495) ($313E5) ($32149) (5440511 $15144 $1866 12272 f(15870) (S25672) (1334 ) ( 244)13 855 $0 $54439 0 348 t5447 t855 $1253 $213 M278) ($2967) (33758)
14 $0 $SE5 $4S23 0 $0 34s 1135-0 955$1Z75C 518s $11C (t15171) ($255144) (533 -5)15 $0 $1855 $4513 0 $0 348 14 (110325)16 to f86 1471
$1071 S856 5131I8 353 (2434 (3066Z 0 $0 348 $1633 11365 S14527 $27224 (5575) ($1725) ($29014)7 $0 t1855 $4805 0 $0 348 $16721 351551865 $14855 (3419) (514693) ($25591)is $0 $1866 $4C1 0
9 $0 348 $17055 $ISG5 15 183 $42353 $2626 ($16 (122791
$0 1855 4999 0 so 348 S173 1B6 515530 550518 $6572 ($894) (521359)2 $0 $1866 1509 0 s0 348 $17744 $1866 t 5878 $58155 $102551 ($6298) ($19516)21 ($4550) $186 $5201 0 $0 348 $18099 (32784) $2883 $67686 $14732 ($3 194) ($17351)
$106052 $37531 0 $0 7018 $303831 $143693 $16018
A-57
TABLE A-29 (Contd) ate
Ecoci ar Pirarzia Evsi fcr ErEr t Eypt EA
3ta CGst= Denefit ParamLeters Interra ate cnf Returt 961
ccisition $I10712 Price of Cil S3502 1b (yr 1) SC
ats rttion $0 Oil Eszalat poundC)year rli P cf FV of Rate Saroaf s Coets N Ratio
Corstruct ion so irtErzonneticn $0 Errgy Savrgs 345 bblyear shy
0 $2^3 89 S143693 $16098 211uLai Use C ttVear 2 $24C30 t 145 507 -2-25 177
TDT CaP) $1SC712 4 $20945 $1342K0 $67686 150 S $-53716 $30975 37740 139
Construct Time 10 rorths 8 $143078 $128346 $14732 111
10 S12024 ($3124) 097 Doerating and Norma Mairtenane Costs 1 1468 $ 3C6 ($10678) 091
-- - ----- 1 $114628 S 3CS09
Operatir Cost $1856 year $1107128 $124479 (17351) 086
13 $13J408 $12723 ($230) 081 Operating Lifetime 21 years
14 $94366 $23043 ($28677) 077
5 $23920 $122419 ($33499) 073 Major Equipeent RepairRepla-ement
15 $23934 $121847 ($37853) 069 3 $75465 $120841 ($45376) 062
Replace Cost ($4650)period 20 $SE375 $112938 ($51614) 057
Replace Period 20 years A-58
Ec- ic and Frana Ara~y- f- Erry Irve=tert5 - Evpt -EEA
TAKE A-30
c Ca__ cf-l_ TrST 4 - HLW TEXTLEiP (Z2LETaP $2S FT shy E OF0i $40B) 9ssuMir Oil Escalation Rate f 20
save alue of-azita eratirg Cost c Oil Fu Ue Fuel Erry --ave Annual Cas DiscountedYEar 0 gas Flow (PV) i =st II) Cost Ezv Energy Cost Curre t $ 4 8 IC0
1 Pcq-isit - l1 02 Transzrt $0
$31 $4000 0 $C 52 0 S
21n232232 757-3) 07 3 f C 27 3 0703 f0373)sc sz-s $4080 a S4105 1 855 8 V7134 ($774532) M751Ss 542S I- 0 Sbullcss ~ S42-4f 0 345 4 82cs $14 7172 1-G1- 1SZ3 18$14772 9 7 W- 02)ssamp $12 7 M( 465) 27 ($87134-I (2377 ($762 577365 ($7344$73-2
32 0 $ $3 057
) fD 3$7-42)
$4_ $BSE 12i Z (57-253 1 SSS325--)(570 O0E) ($791C SSS6 $4505 E 33 S)0 V 345 $15676 $1566 $13Bic1556 6261$0 $5 25S 4 47 (2172) M35400)345 $sfsC $8s6 $4687 0 348
8 2 $27-T 42 (449241 ( 33511)T1309 $866 S 14443$2 2- 522) ( 186) ($43 1771 $0 8SG S4780 0 374S S2636V BEE866 $4876 S0
smsG V14770 ($374E 12EM)3 f$3 293 ($37K 50 3452 f3s8 $1266 13--ZC Il- S5$7 05 $$0S 32 4 7 2193) ($3850)$0 $1566 $4372 0 $-
S 07 -- (2 5B2 273)SC 343 $7302 T1866S0 $1866 $156$3073 $0 $1442 42427 SI (1-2ESP n$2533)0 $0 348 S17954 V866 - $7 4
117amp2 1248 ($S305) (51S-7 ($24497)t $58s6 $2173 0 SO 349 $293G7 $8S6 $121 $34 S229 ($53 ($2072
$0 sB- $233716 0 so 348 18734 $ 56 $SHS28 $ 93 $11 17 51 (t235 (13434 )$02 $556 $G349 0 50s 348 $1910 ISsG $17243 152 144 $16523 S1154 (M527)$0 s856 $56011E 0 $0 348 $9491 $862 $17E23 $6312 213529SID $18E6 $5713 $464 (S8950)0 so 345 $9881 S1 $18015 $77035 $2570 $578W- ($5617)s0 VO15865 $5827 0 $0 348 520279 $1866 $1541321 ($4650) $1866
$53852 $30136 $10892 ($4460)$5944 0 $0 348 $20684 ($2784) $23468 $9235 $3171 $14381 ($2047)
S10606 $37631 0 $0 7018 $347304 $143693 $203611
A-59
TABLE A-30 (Contd)
7Ec-acy ar ka lysis fc7nergy Irvestre-ts - Egypt M I
caita Costs EerEf araetErs RatetEtrr tr 72
PAcuisit ioon $ Price cf Di1 Transortaior SOi1 Es-aat
ortrzt io $0
irteronnectior U0 Enrgy Savs - Fuel Use TDTPL (Ca 51
Construct Time 0 -onths
Ozeating and Norral ainterance Costs
- ----Operating Cost $C66 year
Coerating Lifetime 2 year_
ma=jor Equipmet RepairPElacement
Replace Cost $4650)period Replace Period 20 years
$400k bl (yr -shy year
348 bblyear r bblyear
I)
DIK Rate
0 2
4 4
Epound 10
11 2 12
14 Cal
e s 13 MA
PV of Perfits
$347204 28eC 72f)
2307 c2-817
$153=17 $140 522
$131004 122432 $114751
$07847$101622
$3-993 58646 $78143
1W of Costs
143653 $2C-21 a 40 $4235
$134 260 $ 35 $30276 $E842
$229345 35171 $25218 $143912I1
$125306 $5692 $12473 $123728 $3976)
$1234 $51T6)3088 $122419 (20 796)
$121847 ($25 854 5120 841 (334S5) $119988 ($41846)
PC Ratio
242 2003
172 -47
127
105
323
83
C7 071 065
A-60
orc-ic nFiarcial Aav=s shyr rerr Investrents -- ypt EE
----------
Por Case ofFIE MS 14 - HFLu r Ss~zlnz C Fszalatior Rate cf 20
pRZ3 $2I T iE
Zzplta 2eratir Ccst of 11 FLel Used Yea ccist cst $B (kt
Pcu isit icn107335 Tra-ort $0
Ccstr-t icr I irternect io $0 1 ftctal f 099Z $2K IS C$10 0
$ 6z I$-z 3 $50 5162=0 $56 0
4 S s T5 05 So S= $6L-24 0 E SO S $155E 0 7 $0 $112CI U689 0 C to S680 $1723 0
SO cEo $17 0 S $1793 oIi $ t S1568c28 0
$0 C6S0 $1865 013 $0 $1E8 $1902 0 14 $0 t6Vo $940 015 t0 680 $1979 0 16 $0 1680 $20-19 0 17 $0 iamp80 $2059 0 18 $0 C1680 $2100 0 19 $0 $16580 $2142 0 20 $0 $1680 $2185 0 a1 ($453) $1680 $2229 0
Fue C-5l
S5 ts 23
so $0 $0 $0
so
St)$0 $0 $0
to $0 $0 $c to $0
$0 so
Saved nre-y
E-uii
348 348
348 348 345 343
348 341
-7n
342 348
342 348 348 348 348 248 34C 348
Vaue c Saved
Enerry
t-371 s4
$5421
S- 540 $5 50 $5763 $5279 Sf I9 S
t$- Z5$5353
$5450 $E620
S753 -888
$7025 $7 165 $730 $7455
$7605 $7757
rnnual Zash Flcw Cost Crrert $
1o2 275 1-o07405 $168^ $3E44 $6) 275
t1650 m1 i680 $2970 680 $403
$I680 $ 23 680 S4 31F
680 $4436
amp2553680 $4E33
(1850 $421C f1 680 t 0
$16s0 73 $1680 55202-s1680 $5345 $6 s5456 $16 u $5623
S680$5775 $1680 $5325
$2856) S10612
Diccirted Cas 4 8
5)$C~ S17 4^5) ) 3
152=r
f537 002) W17 751 5332) (9S4633)
($30 V-($ r7) C2SS934) ($83403) ($3 54) 1$5
0412) ($84493)
3 $ o(S74 04N) ($30043) (S7 92 1 (ST79a3)
-$72_) ($75018)
(V783) (374153) 17 K ) (72 (52 814) (37065) 3$55885 ($69094] 55995 (567572) (55144) ($68 127) ($47332) ($I4754) ($424A8) (362477)
io (n 2 i = 10 12
(s-7405 (S27405 104 0435051
(s($10 z 1 M-33~09 m) (VI3 414)
33513 3 M 891 (M28451 (15574) $90475 ( 446
3)520 ($9494) (585 1911 t$377 ^2T
(4(22 452) ($8415 ) C3 766) (22ES)($79192) ($aO0 S 723) ($80737) ($76351 37972) ($ 072) (373 1) ($73872) 1177M00) 372764) ($76930) (371 725) (76T2209 ($70 756) ($7541) ($69179) ($74441)
$103459 $33880 0 s0 7018 $130239 S137 339 ($7100)
A-61
TABLE A-31 (Contd)
Econozic and Financia ay for Energy Investmets -- Egypt E
Capi costs BerefIt Pararsters Internal Rate of Return -057
Acquisition $17735 Price 2i Transortatior $0 0Ci sa-t
Corstruction $0 Interconnection Er y Savrs
- ---- Fuel UsE
TOTk (Cap) $I07 Q
Construct TivE 10 months
Operating and Normal Maintenarce Costs
Operatir Cost $1680 year Operating Lifetime 2 years
Major Euipment Repaireplacement
Replace Cost ($4536)period Replace Period 20 years
i bb (yr 2year
348 lyear
0 bblyea
1) risc P Cf Rats BenEfits
0 $ 032
$105270 4 $BW548 6 $72307 9 $51 3
0 $52725 1 $49 126
SE$4512 13 $43032
14 $40443 1 $3108 16 $3997 18 $342 2C0 $23303
PV of Costs
137339
$132 Ek3 2037
$126130 $1373
$121904 $121 $120353 $113633
$113 072 $118514
$117102 $116338
NPV
($7100)
($27423) ($42483) ($5 823) (524T7)
($63179) ($71964) ($74441) ($76651)
($78629) ($80405) 388-0($22005) ($84760) ($87034)
BC Ratio =z=
5
073 067 C57 050
043 041 038 036
034 032 031 028 025
A-62
Econo ard r-ia nalysis fc- Enery rvastmerts -- Et EEA IO
TPPLE A-32
For Case cfF_E TET 4 - HaJ-W TEXTIEIPP ( _=EOCC70R pCE -C PRICz OF QUM Pssumir 3il Escalation Rate of 20
Cata DOerati Cost of Cil Fuel UsEd Fuel SavE Errgy
Value Cf Save- Anrual Cash -Ic Dir-counted Cash 1ow (kV) B i
Year Czet (E) Cc-t Eciv Energy Cost Lrrert 8 10
1 -cusjtic-$107 1 TransDcrt t3 SCorstrLtO $0 I rerccrrect o 0
2 3 4
5s 6 7
9
10
12 13 14 15 1-
17
19
20 21
Tota $97 5 2
$630 S0 $1680
$0 $ $0 $680 $0 $6S0
0to SEscl $0 $ SK $ 168C
168 V71650
S0 S1630 $0 S 680 $0 1180 0 $1680
$10 1$1 S0 so10 11680 0 $650
$0 t680 (14536) $1680
$20
$2040 $2s3o
$21 22 $I55 $20a $SL V12 $2 97 52 43 S220 V1-42
$2487 $2536 $2587 V6 30 V2692 $274 $20 12 56 $2 14
12972
0
0 C 0 0
C 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0
0
$0
$0 10
s0 $0 s0 s0 $0 s0 s0
S0 $0 s0
s0 $0 t0
3 t0
s0
s0
$0
5N
348 342
343 34
342 348
348 345
348 348 348 348 348 348 348 34 348 348 348
348
S160
S7 033 S7241
t7386 $7534 t7684 $7238 $7225 $85 1$318
13484
U8SE4 S3827
$9004 $3184 $3367 1955 19746 $9941
$10139
$10342
103275
11680 $680
$G60 $5150 1680 S1680
1$680 4$1680
$1680
S1680 $1680 $1680 $680 $1680 $180 $1680 $1168 S1680
($2856)
(-c ($10751s- C71)5
tE4 C 3o4 (102097) 6=SE3 ($3721)
5-7 15970) M$2800 5954 1$5poundpound5 $8497) $004 ($3721) ($8441) $ 158 (176H-4) ($3V530) t16 ($72C25) $7645 sz475 (157-254) 373347)
1r3 I E21) 27t=E(- ($70Q ) S1616804 ($Ez0941 (55875) $S974 2534) ($E3884) $7147 ($ oo)10 (5046) 17324 344702) 352353) $754 (S4C 3)9 ($55798) $7637 ($33100) (533755) S7 M (13189-) (151076) 1205 1127755) (48897 8261 (123 77 (46 29)
$2459 ($9662) ($44829)
$13193 ($1363 ($42038)
($107-5]
$0218a) (397592)
($8307)
(SK579) (322103)
($78S52) ( 7842) 373027) ($70403) (57952) (562) (16251) (115) (S59744) (Z803 (156 435) ($54943)
(353566)
($51604)
(101] $12276) 197843) M2305)(52372 ($00622
(SB654) SK 535) 3$80678) ($72 C3)
($7E 69 ($73473) (371474) (169253) (7961 (16642E) (165021) ($63737) ($625 2) ($61488) ($F0505)
($59137)
U-459 $33880 0 $0 7018 $173652 $137339 $36313
A-63
---------- -------
TABLE A-32 (Contd)TBLE (Calulated)
E-oroizic and Finania Anaaysis for Eergy investments -Egypt EA C
Cacital Costs Benefit Parameters Irterra Rate cREturn 26S
Pcouisitic $7993 Price cf Oi $2C (yr 1)Transortatio $0 Oil Esaa year li-c P of CConstruction $0 Rate BenfEtz Costs wV RatioIterconnection $0 Enry Savns 34E bbyear
UEl use C bblyear 0 73SS52 $137 3 $C313 126TDTAL Ca 7 $140320 $122593 $7657 106 4 IIZ398Constrct TicE I0 morths $122037 ($339) 089 5 $96409 $12- 130 ($23 721) 076 8 $3179 $12205 ($42038) 066Operatirc and Normal rairtenance Costs 10 $70293 $121904 ($5l 604) 58 1X $ampZ502 S12 M ($55 589) 054Operatirg Cost $1680 year 12 $61215 $12 0353 ($59 137) 051Operating Lifetime 21 years 13 $57376 $119633 ($52307) 043
14 $52924 $9072 (55148) 045Major Zqjioinert RepairReplacement 15 $50 1I1 $113514 ($67702) 043 16 A7-97 S1420002 ($70006) 041Replace Cost ($453S)period 18 $43123 $117102 ($73979) 037Replace Period 20 years 20 $39071 $116338 ($77266) 034
A-64
E~ocon2 -- rr Ar ys s fcr Ererzy Irvssttets -- 7rypt EE
TZE A-33
F Case TES 14 - W (0 ETD PE- $2T - PI-- O- DIS $25P)I Assuminz 0 Escalation Rate cf 20
azita Ceratir Ccst cf Oil Fuel Used Fuel SaveeErergy Value -f
save nual Cash Flow DEounted Casi Flow (NPV) 0 i = YS-ar st Cost $bbl (Bbi) Cost Ecuiv crerpy Cost Currert $ 4 8 011 2
rar-zor
Cnst~t I 2tsrzr-ezti- $1
E
12$
14 if
iG
17
18
19
20
21
a S230
s$1 S60
$$ $1169 o$0 $80
$3 S 90 i $i 6c 7 v68n
$0 t68c
so S680 S t 1680
$$ $Sao
$680 $0 $1680
$ $1680 $0 $I63
0 $1-680 $ $1620 $0 $1620 $ $680
$0 $1680 ($4536) $180
S25co
$2550 $ 2553
127 06 127V
a
V-1 72
$2323 t2962
$3047
$31C8 $3171
$3234 $3293
53365
$3432
$3501
$2571
$3842 $3715
0
o
c) 0
0 0
0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0
0 0
0
0 0
$0
$0 so so
t0
SO $0
$0
0 $0
$0
$0 $0
$0 so
$0
$0 $0
so $0 $0
348
347 345
348
342
342
348
34 348 343
348 348
348 343
348
348
348
348
348
348
S151450
$2874
323
$9417
$260E
t9735
53334
t 3 $13337
$1 605
$10817 $11034
$14 $47-
$11703
$ 43 $12122
$12426
$12674
$12328
S1032T
S0
6s0
$1680
$1680
t1680
t-1680
t16
$5
1680 S63 s1650 t1 580
$680
$w $60
$160
$1680 ($2856)
(t10E22f
$7134
$7553
$7737
$306
1218
12314
13 180$3717
$232
$3137 $ 3S4
$3-74 $373K
$10023
1510-22
$103503
$10746
$10-34 $1E784
(105z825) ($106225)
$3 T03154
($33032) ($93644 ($55375) ($W784) ($73764) ($22162)
($73250) ($73-76a
(56235) (71amp2) ($ 17) ($620)
($S4 29 J ($62 202 (43 7) ($5781)
($42 142) ($53737)
($3207) ($43 781 (3c354) ($4073)
($2464) $42 ($1255) 3332 1 ($3387) ($36055) ($7907) ($33 053) ($251 ($30221) $2723 $27532)
$8007 ($34984) $15211 ($21532)
310S225) (S106825) ($10028E I100 402) ($34133) $3425) ($25) ($83150) ($2 234) ($84232)
(37S313 $73725
($73731 ) ($3756231 ($53 45 (371852)
(5 431 ( ($E75 5 0)
($SEB5I) ($5406)
( (7578T 172 (157373)
(53($439 ($55185) ($41818) 379$5 ($44417) ISS347) ($421 84) ($49673) ($4010S) ($$143) $3-173) (-$746)
($36i 3M) ($45403) ($34023) ($43833)
$103453 $33880 0 $0 7018 $217065 $137333 $79726
A-65
TABLE A-33 (Contd)
Ec rC z ant Firn Anaiys- fc- Ererzy Investrerts - Egypt En MlIS
Czzota ss Benefit Parameters terra Rate cf eturn C40
flcquistici deg $17K= Transporatic $0
Sonstructior $0
Irterco rnectior $0
T3TAL Cap2 $107275
Lorstruzt Time 0th
Prce of 0i
C Escalat
rrgy Savngs
F-el Use
$2500 I (yr 20year
343 bbllvear
0 btlyear
11 -i- PV cf
Rat - enefits
0 $217
2 $17- 4-4 $144247
PV of
Costs
12339 $SOV-93 $129037 $2E30
11PV
$7726 $475-7 $15211(I5sES
BC
Ratio
158 132 112 096
Cperating and Nor a
Ocerating Cost
Operating Lifetime
Maintenace Costs
SEC year
21 years
L2r f 0 3
OX $37874
11 $81877 12 76520
I3 $7172014 $67405
$92273
$121904
$121 091 1353
$119632$119072
($21 53)
($34029
($23214)
($432833) ($47953)($516S7)
083
072 068 064 060 057
10ajcr Ecuipment Re~a rlRepaeet
Replace Cost ($4535)Ipericd
Replace Period 20 years
IS
18
20
$614
$53936
$53904
$48839
$11 514
$113002
$117102
$116338
($5000)
($52007)
($63198)
($67498)
054
051
046
042
A-66
Ecorcmic an Fnanria AralvsiE r Eer-y rveStMe-ts -- EZy EE C1I
TABLP-34
-r Case -fL TEST 4 - LEW TEX7Lfl LE $202-T - PR D-L $30BBL) Assir Oi Escalatior Rate of 20
Yea a-ta
Cost eratrCEt of Oi cost $pbl
el Used
(MI Fel
ost
zave Erergy
Ecuzv
VaLe cf s-ve
Energy P -a
Cest
Cash
Currert euro Dscounted Cash 4 8
1ow UNV)
10
9 i
12
1 ccuisCiticr 7 T7rarsort bull Co-tr t~ $
2
4
5
7 8
10
2
13
14
15
16
17 18 19
21
ITz~ta $C73 $22 ES
so 10 o sSo o $iE80 n $ 680 $0 U680
$0 $160 5 s62-
$0 680 f l
50 $Ss so $ss
$0 $6Ev
s $68 so $180
S0 siW8 to $1680 V) $65
$0 $1680 ($4536) $1680
$--D00
S32 $334
$32 7 C312
$3378
$2446 $5
3s85 357
$2730 $3355
$388
$353
$423
s412 $42CI
$42895
$417C
$4458
l c
0 0 0 0 0
0 0
0
0
0
0
0
0 0
0
0
0
so so o$0
so so $0
$0 so so
to $0
$0
$0
$0
so so
so s0
$0
$0
$0
53 348 246 348
343 343
348
348 348
348 348
348
348
348
348
348
348 348
348
348
348
S1 70 s I 49 $1 3F2 072
$11301 $527
$1177
$11992 $122532
S2477 $2$2726
$12231
Z2240 $2505
$12775
$14051
$4 322 $1463
$14911
$15203
$15513
S10227S 15 Si680 $29E
$1580 $312 $amp80 ] $630 $S2 $1680 $36 7 $168) $C077 $680 $C312 $68 $05
E0 S07377 680 $11046
$680 $1130 $680 11 5w S680
t 630 $12035 S60 o S1237-
S11530 s1T652 $660 $12 923 $ i0 $13231
$68 $13523
82856)$18259
310S 525) ($37S5
(s8nL) 172843) ($64749)
3$5S785-
($42942) ($41233)
f$2-53) ($21O)
($18650)
($ 9)
32($4527)
$24S8
$327
$103 22724
$255
$35677
$44060
165f25)1 SZ
(0 -59) ($32837)
($7582)
1$9 -5) (S2774)
5S75f ($510)
3$45551 (340533)
($25692)
($3101)
($26753)
3-631
13725)
(K5M504Z) ($11545)
($2234)
($5093)
($1158)
(S10S 5 (356332)
($3733 ($3732 ($7716)
($71047)
($U35 (0067) ($5M144)
(S55 (4S306)
($42345)
1538662)
($L237
(632C51)
($23020)
($2227) ($23777)
($2 337)
($13185)
(16454)
1 cc-T25) ($3327)
($91207) (184517)
(73403)
($72816)
($6771)
163046 ($53784)
(G54831) (35334) (08025
s$ 8
($42423
( 3
($37673)
($35J60) ($23725)
($32004)
($30433)
($28S19)
$103455 $33d8O 0 $0 7018 $60 478 $1373n $123135
A-67
TABLE A-34 (Contd) 2Lk T-CTETPL Calc~1ated)FL_TI0~PBL
o~ar Fariai naiysi- f-Erergy l=VEsrEtS - Ecyt EE i
trr Rat-- c REturn 787Benefit araetersazital S-sts
t -ri-e of CiD $3000 bbl (yr 1)$10995n PV of BIC
Trarspoto $0 Oil Eszaat 20Iear ri VV C Rate Eerefits Ccsts IPV Ratio
Corstruct ior $r == shyErray Savr s 348 bblyear
intetor rztior $0 Fue -e 0 bblyear 0 $26C478 $137339 1123133 190
2 105 40 S-32693 $77847 1 9 TOTPL (Cap S10799n
4 $173037 $1903-7 $44060 134
6 $144614 $126130 $183483 115 Construct TiME mcTth-s
$1228 $12379E W158 09
t 129N 087tI0O449 ($16454)woerating and Norma Mainterarce C0ts
11 $98253 $121031 ($r233) 081
2 $91824 $120353 ($22 Z29) 076 Operatirc Cost $1680 year
13 $8K064 $19683 ($33619) 072 O eratir 21 yearsLifetie_
14 $80885 $119072 ($33186) 068
5 $7E217 $18514 ($42237) 064 Major Equipment RerairReplacement
$71995 $11802 ($4007) 061
18 $64685 $117102 ($52417) C5shy_16
Replace Cost ($4536)period 2N $58607 $11S338 ($57731) 050
Replace Period 20 years
A-68
Eccnoc and inarzia ryss fc- -re-y rvEstre-ts - E yot EE
TAEE F-35
Fcr Case ofrZ- 5TEST 4 - HELAN TEXT-IPX Mu Assuin_-0 Escalation Rate cf 20
CTOR PRICE $20SQc- -Cc GI j3mBu
Yea
r
s s-t
--t
aoita ost
7
t
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$335
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$16721 $17055 17395
$17744 $180 3
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A-69
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$-680 $680 $180
$1680 (2 5)
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$10744 $10992
24S Er
$1762
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23 $1680$259 $1287S $13167
3464 $2757
$S076
$14391$114723
$15041 1575 $1576
$16064 120955
1165552
--915) M--72
(1h7) 5 211 Z229
($47334 7H)
(S3733-1 (23353 ($1q134 $02393
($1432) $7105
s5E
$23871S220n40
40 07 $4-964 55572 $Q346 $72910
0245 (S10524S ($105245) 1 237) $-3473) 39S53) 36S273) 387334) (373N 77S4 ($7-4)- (S792S)
(IC3S437037) 372374) ($40) (I781 ($597)
(-68 ) 15936) (M9 799 S473 (t4 7) (54230)
342I1 S$4795) ($43 4-) 34S9 $-9334 11445
(3273701 (S34 2353) (340262) (1253 1212n3s391 ($IE129 T251S) 12858) ($1076 ($2107D) (n632) ($3C53) (S-723-3)($26687)
3$4 (137631 ($23m9)
$2975 $1489) (2546) $7130 (37448) ($1230G)
$I063 (4521) ($172--3) $14786 (31994) (11 397) $19231 S120 (113 25)
TABLE A-35 (Contd)ASSPTIONS TAPBLE ME-F-COST TULE (CalcJaled)
E~ooi a Finacial Asi for Energy Investrents - Eypt EE
raitaSs Penefit raees Iter-E Rate of Returr 1014
Pcnuistio $SI7 Price of CiE h (yr 1)7-arrtatior $0 Oil Ezalat 2 year Dis PY cf V of FCrstrcticr $
Rate Enrefits Cc-zts NPDV Ratiotercnnecticr $0 Ergr~y Savrs 343 ttlyear - -ue Use 0 -bllyEar 0 $302231 $1373393 T2T
2 -(7925$2fZ $333 121 37 185 cnstrnxt Tiia 10 Lerths
46 2C34 $23C37 $72 10 57 6 $163716 $1L $4256 34 ee t1437S $372E $0281 116pe-atinz arsd NorLal nainternare Costs 0 $23022 $2504 S120 01
Operating Cost C680 year 10 $107129 $1E3 353 (S2 00 83 13 S100403 $29693 319275)
woeratino Lifetime 21 years 084
a- Ec RErairReplacemerit 4 $0426E $113072 ($24705)ipet 073883-) $514 $ 94)15 S - $-31 (2 07
-$---I16 eplace Cost (4536)Iperiof $3934 $18002 ($34008) 071 -e---
Repace Period 20 years 12 $75465 $117102 ($41637) 064 20 $66375 $116338 ($47963) 059
A-70
-Ecui adFin-ncla Aralys fcr re-rr-t - Ect Efl S
T-PLE -36
- Case cf-l 75- 14 - ZLWAN TxTLE11P (CLETOR F1 -e-1 - C_ OF L $40PL) Pfssu-ir 0i Ezsaatio- Rate cf 20
saves a cfaita _2erat Cost cz C Fue Used Ftel -rery Eaez ra1 ash oi DiEccurted Cash Fioi (PV) i =Yerpoundzsl (Bb1) Ccst Eciv E-er=- Cst poundjrrent 4 0 l
1 Trar-ort $L or Sc
ac-r r-
Thplusmnt$ $2 $4000 0 $0 53 32220 $ OZ 275 115V S ) $L) 5 $52$ $S $4080 0 $0 342 S4133 5160 bull ( s ($34 34 $4 5251eS oS ($845575 337$S $230 S4162 C $0 348 l144S2 $680 S222 tS2 08B21 (t 383) c(sa84) 354572)4 $ -- 45 0 $0 348 $14 72 80 $13-2 37)443) VT2F35) ($74 M)8 (37221- $ 6 54230 6
c SO 34 $ 07 $1650 513337 (52 333) 5 (s650141 ($56745)41 S6pound0 $4pound 0 $0 343 t5369 s0 $1268 ($47748) S2833) ME514) 3522 3787 S $45C I so 348 s Sw W=10131S13336 $67613SEBT($54614) ($587)scl S621 s~lsK 0o 348 sIz230 $680 $1IL3 I j 2 (-6631 (34171 5447 $ i620 $S437 0 so 348 C2 1 S 42 (f23 ($27 (4)ic $1 11 $4780 0 s0 343 $63 $1680 $1435 (54E 7) (S5284) (252 $3411 $0 960 $4276 0 $0 248 s-03 $1680 $Z222 571 ($1420) ($13 ( 0
1 $ $6al $4373 0 $0 348 $7305 T6O S15628 8(75W (S1S7M ($24 537)$O ^$ 73 0 SO 348 $17654 t1680 $1f3 5 25842 fss (S 641)- 2059714 C05630 IS174 0 $0 348 $12 007 t680 $l6327 53=-048 $4847 ($(S2 $16955)15 sso 15278 0 s0 348 $18367 ~ 6amp s-6637 S45 284 $10E54 (52518) ($3441)15 so Eao $2387 0 so 348 $18734 31680 $17054 $54754 $15$564 31032--17 160 $5497 0 so 348 s1100 T1680 t7423 $4053 $ 20921 15358 ($7482)18 $0 sso 567 0 so 348 $13431 t1680 $1781 5 73203 $2s5 5$8871 ($4888713 $0 $Sao $5773 0 $0 348 $13881 $1680 $18 201 $2188 2r313 S C2 252120 t0 680 $5227 0 $0 348 $20279 $1650 $I63 521016 $3467 $1$196 ($3361)21 $s $1680 $5944 0 $0 348 $20684 $2 856) $22540 $101753 $3 72115 185 $2079
$103458 $33680 0 $0 7018 $347304 S1370 $ 05965
A-71
TABLE A-36 (Contd) S TIO TfPBLE EEN-TT-CCSTS TP- -uatedCa1c
Eccncmic and Financial Pavsis fc- Energy irvestcents -- Eypt EEA 96
aita Costs -eefitParaeters nterna Rate of etur- 1229
fcouisition 0799 Price c Oil $40 bbl (yr 1)Transp rtatir $0 Oil Esalat 20year Disc PV of PV of BZCorst-utie $0 Rate Berfits Costs Ratio
irterconntior $0 Enry Savrs 348 bblyear Fue USE 0 bbllyear N $347304 $33 1 2TOTL -Cap -107 995 S22D720 $132 5S3 $148127 212
4 $2307S6 $2 037 $10 175 -79Construct Time 19 months 6 $92818 $126130 628 53 8 $1amp3517 $123796 3721 132Operating and Normal Mainterance Costs 10 $14C52 $1219(4 $1363 115
11 $3004 $121091 $9913Operating Cost $1650 year 108
12 $1 432 $12C353 $20 102Operating Lifetime 21 years 1 $114751 S83 ($4 31 09z $11
14- $107847 $119072 ($11225) 091Major Equipment RepairRelacemert 5 $1C1622 $110514 (c6291) 086 16 $95993 $118002 ($220C09) 081
Replace Cost ($4536)period 8 $8624E T17102 ($30 S56 074Replace Period 20 years 2 $78143 $115338 ($32195) 067
A-72
APPENDIX B
Preliminary Cost Estimates
Three (3) systems are considered appropriate for cost analysis Cost estimates are preliminary for use in the Application ReviewConceptual
Design portion of this project
A Waste Heat Recovery System
B Solar Thermal Collection System
Current $US (mid-1986) are applied then escalated to mid-1987 theexpected construction period at 10 percent
For cost assessment purposes all material and supervision will beconsidered imported Egyptto Labor costs will reflect some Egyptianrate influence although certain installation procedures will requireexperienced labor not currently available in Egypt
The average annual wage for the Egyptian construction industry in 1985Is 7800 LE or $5778 (US) ($135 LE per US $)
An average labor rate in the United States for construction servicesapplicable to this project is estimated by the R S Means Company to be$2177 per hour in 1985 (crew Q4) An estimated thirty percent imporledlabor with severity percent Egyptian labor can be used for establishing a mixed labor rate average of $936 per hour (US) A labor cost modifier for wages becomes $936$2177 or 0431
Equipment and system cost estimates and percentages are established byusing R S Means Company Cost Data and1985 equipment suppliersbudget pricing estimates
The solar cost data are determined in flxed-and variable-cost increments as required by the FCHART-4R program input format A solar collection array size of 4000 square feet ( 72 m2 ) is estimated for use in determining the variable cost factor
B-I
A WAS[E HEAT RECOVERY SYSTEM
DESC R I FT ION SIEI OTAI TOTAL
3 WAY WASTE WATER DIVERTING VALVES SUMP MATERIALS SUMF PUMP FILTER SCREEN SUMP PUMF LEVEL CONTROL AND VALVE WASTE HEAT STORAGE TANK WASTE HE(I S IORAGE TANK PUMP STORAGE TANK LEVEL CONTROL AND VALVE WASTE HEAT EXCHANGER $1200)1000 EITI SUB-TOTAL EQUIFMENT(MID-1986) $160900
ESCALATION FACTOR 11 TOTAL EQUIPMENT (MID-1987) $176990
FLOW ItDICATORS AND GLOBE VALVES 3 WAY PROCESS WATER BLENDING VALVES STEAM CONTROL VALVES PROCESS WATER TEMPERATURE CONTROLLERS SUB-TOTAL EQUIPMENT(MID-1986) $71400
ESCALATION FACTOR 11 TOTAL EQUIPMENT (MID-1987) $78540
PIPING COST (40 EQUIP COST) 040 $102212
INSULATION COST (75 PIPING COST) 075
SUB-TOTAL MATERIAL COST $434401
LABOR COST (715 MATERIAL COST) $310597 MODIFIERLABOR MIX 043 MODIFIED LABOR COST $133557
SUB-TOTAL MATERIAL + LABOR $567958
TOTAL WASTE HEAT RECOVERY SYSTEM CONSTRUCTION COST $567958
B-2
B SOLAR THERMAL COLLECTION SYSTEM VARIRIABLE COrST (HIID-19117)
DESCR I FIUIN SOLAR CULA-ECTORS $10 0uFT2 COLLECTOR AREA 4000 rF2 COLLECTOR COST SOLAR CIRCIJLAFIN(3 PUMPFS SULAR 1ISTRIBLTI 1 PIlIPS STRUCTURAL STEEl SOLAR CONTROLS INSVRUMELNV AIR SYSEIIFIPING LOW VOLTAGE CABLE EXCAVArION AND FOUNDAFIONS ELECTRICAL
TOTAL EQtJIPMENT(MI ID-1986) ESCALATION FACTOR TOTAL ELUI MENT (MID-1787) PIPING COST (40 COLLECTOR COST) INSULATION COST (75PIPING COST) TOTAL MATERIAL COST I$144050
$105500
I1
075
$116050 $16lt00 $12000
LABOR COST (715 MATERIAL COST) MOIFIERLABOR MIX MODIFIED LABOR COST
$102996 043
$44286
MATERIAL + LABOR $188338
FREIGHTDUTYTAXES TO EGYPT 10 $18834
SUBTOTAL $207172
SUBTOTAL CONTINGENCY 15
$207172 $31076
TOTAL VARIABLE COST COST PER FT2 $60
$238248
B-3
------------------------------------------------------------------------
--------------------------------------------------------------------
FIXED COST (MID 1987)
DESCRIPTION CONTRALCTOIR S RENTAL SUFPL IES CONIRACrORS FACILITIES CONTRACTORS UTILITIES CONTRACTORS MATERIAL HANDLING CONTRACTORS CLEAN-UP DISMANTLING AND MOVING BOXING AND CRATING U S IRANSPORTAT ION SUB-TOTAL $34000
SUB-TOTAL M34000 CONTINGENCY 15 $5100
TOTAL FIXED COST $39100
LGE COST BASED ON CURRENT FIELD TEST PROJECT
TOTAL VARIABLE COST $238248 TOTAL FIXED COST $39100
TOTAL SYSTEM CONSTRUCTION COST $277348
EEA COST DATA BASED ON CURRENT PROJECTS USING IN-COUNTRY CONTRACTOR AND EQUIPMENT
VARIABLE COST $2862FT2 $2862 COLLECTOR SIZE (FT2) 4000 TOTAL VARIABLE COST $114480
EEA FIXED COST $26757
TOTAL SYSTEM CONSTRUCTION COST $141237
CONSTRUCTION COST SUMMARY
A WASTE HEAT RECOVERY SYSTEM $567958
D SOLAR THERMAL COLLECTION SYSfEM $277348
1(lAL CUNSTRUCTION CU9 A amp B $845 05
B-4
APPENDIX C
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industrial process heat to reliably supply significant amounts
of energy at other textile finishing facilities It is important
that this field test be designed to distinguish between the
performance of the solar IPH and the performance of the waste
heat recovery systems so that each can be evaluated for other
applications
-6 shy
4 ECONOUilC ANALYSIS
Objective
The objective of this analysis is to evaluate the economic
viability of a solar thermal system for providing industrial
process heat for textile finishing at the Helwan Spinning and
Weaving Company at Helwan and to determine whether or not an
investment in this field test would result in the acquisition of
useful information and know-how not only technical but also
managerial and institutional so that such experiences could be
duplicated throughout the economy of Egypt
Research Methodology
The method of analysis selected for accomplishing the above
objective is the standard benefit cost analysis used in project
evaluation A benefit cost analysis involves first the pooling
of anticipated benefits and costs (direct and indirect) resulting
from the project throughout its economic life The streams of
benefits and costs are then expressed in present value terms
using a common numeraire (a discount rate)
From this the following evaluation characteristics can be
calculated
The Net Present Value (NPV) is the difference between the sum of
the discounted stream of benefits and the sum of the discounted
stream of costs discounted by a given discount rate
- 7 shy
The Payback Period is the number of years it takes a project to
generate sufficient benefits to cover its cost or the number of
years it takes the net present value to change from a negative
to a positive value
The Internal Rate of Return (IRR) sometimes called the economic
rte of return is that discount rate that would equate
discounted benefits to discounted cost or reduce the net present
value to zero
Benefit-Cost Ratio (BC) This is the ratio obtained by dividing
the discounted value of all project benefits by the discounted
value of project costs
Simple Payback This is a rule of thumb method used by investors
to see if a particular financial venture is worth investing in
or not The simple payback is calculated by summing up all
capital and operating costs and dividing that sum by the value of
the first full years benefit In the private sector in most
industrialized countries a simple payback of 3 to 5 years is
expected With renewable energy technology a simple payback of
7-9 years is usually admissible
- 8shy
Assumptions
The economic analysis of the IPH system is based on the
following assumptions
0 All energy conversions are made into barrels of oil
equivalent where one metric ton is equivalent to
US 733 barrels
0 Price of oil is valued at US$20barrel of No 6 light
heating oil escalated at 2 per year This price
level may not be indicative of the price of oil that is
rapidly changing at present It should be noted that
the analysis in this study is to look at what may
happen in the long-rt-n during the 1980s and 1990s As
such the analysis should not be affected by what
happens to commodity prices in the spot market in the
very short-run A revision of the price of oil in the
analysis may be appropriate when the price level
stabilizes
A discount rate of 1O is sed This is the
opportunity cost of money used in international
lending agencies such as the World Bank
Hardware is assumed to have a salvage value of 10 at
the end of the life of the system
-9shy
The system is expected to have a life of 20 years
0 Some hardware items are purchased in Egypt An
exchange rate of LE 135 = US$ 100 is used All
prices are in constant US$ 1985
Data Base
Two sets of cost estimates were used in this analysis The
fWrFt set of data was provided by Lockwood Greene Engineers for
a 4000 sqft collector area (see Appendix B)
On the basis of the best available information Lockwood
Greene Engineers have provided the following cost estimates
Collector Size 4000
Prices Variable cost $60O0sqft Fixed cost $39180
0 + M cost 2 of total cost
Salvage value 42 of total cost
Energy savings 325 barrels of oil
Construction period 10 months
System life 20 years
The second set of data was provided by EEA for a collector
size of 4200 sqft The EEA cost estimates also show two types
of prices The first set shows a price of $2581 per square foot
- 10 shy
of colector This price is to be used for collectors purchased
for the REFT Project The second set shows a price of $2221 per
sqft which is to be used when evaluating IPH application
elsewhere in Egypt (see Appendix C)
Cost estimates provided by EEA are as follows
Collector Size 4200 sqft
Prices Variable cost $2221isqft (local)
$2581sqft (REFT)Fixed cost $17430 (local)
$23995 (REFT)
0 + M cost 2 of hardware cost
Salvage value 42 of capital cost
Energy savings 348 barrels of oil
Construction period 10 months
System life 20 years
Analysis and Results
The economic evaluation of the IPH system for textile
finishing was performed by examining the following sets of
assumptions
1 A 4200 sqft collector area at a price of $30sqft
2 A 4200 sqft collector area at prices of
$ 2581sqft and $2221sqft
3 A Waste Heat Recovery System
4 A 4200 sqft collector area priced at $30 per sqftombined with waste heat recovery system
5 A sensitivity analysis at different collector prices and varying prices of oil
- 11 shy
Table 1 presents the input data based on cost estimates
provided by Lockwood Greene Engineers These estimates are based
on a collector system purchased from the US at a price of
US$60sqft Output results for this analysis is presented in
Table 2
Input data for the base line analysis are presented in
Table 3 All base line analyses were performed assuming a price
of $20O0bbl of oil The economic evaluation of all systems
was made using a discount rate of 10 although system perforshy
mances are examined at varying discount rates ranging from 0
to 20 at 2 intervals (see Appendix A)
Table 4 presents results of the base line analysis As
shown in this table the 4200 sqft solar collector systems at
all collector prices do not pay during its economic life The
solar collector system at a price of $30sqft has a simple
payback of 22 years which is longer than the life of the system
The net present value at 10 discount rate is negative for
the baseline case with collector price $30sqft and price of
oil $2Gibbl indicating that the financial benefits accruing to
the project will not be able to offset the cost of acquisition
and operation of the system during its economic life span The
net present value at different level of discount rate and varying
prices of oil is presented in Figure 1
- 12 shy
TABLE 1
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM
FIELD TEST 4 - HLEWAN TEXTILE
DATA INPUT - US CASE
(Collector Price US$ 60sqft Price of Oil
I T E M S SOLAR ONLY WASTE HEAT RE(]OVaRY
Capital Cost ($) 227348 567958
0 + M ($) 4765 11359
Salvage Value ($) 11649 23854
Energy Savings (bbl) 325 11048
Construction Period (Month) 10 10
System Life (Yrs) 20 20
Source LBII estimates based on Engineering cost by Lockwood Greene Engineers
20bbl)
COMBINED SYSTEM
845306
16906
35503
11737
10
20
data provided
- 13 shy
TABLE 2
ECONOMIC NALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM
FIELD TEST 4 - HELWAN TEXTILE
RESULTS - US CASE
(Collector Price USS60sqft Price of Oil US$ 20bbl)
I T E M S SOLAR ONLY WASTE HEAT COMBINED RECOVERY
Energy Savings (bbl) 325 11048 11373
Simple Payback (Yrs) 43 3 4
Pdyback Period (Yrs) None 4 6
Net Present Value i = 10 ($251325) 1568793 1310681
Internal Rate of Return (IRR ) - 834 4220 2843
BC Ratio i = 10 021 337 233
Source LBII estimates based on Engineering cost data providedby Lockwood Greene Engineers
- 14 shy
TABLE 3
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM
FIELD TEST 4 - HELWAN TEXTILE
DATA INPUT - BASELINE ANALYSIS
(Collector Price US$ 30sqft)
I T E M S SOLAR ONLY WASTE HEAT COMBINED RECOVERY SYSTEM
Capital Cost ($) 149995 567958 717953
0 + M (S) 2520 11359 13879
Salvage Value ($) 6300 - 0 - 6300
Energy Savings (bbl) 348 11048 11396
Construction Period (Month) 10 10 10
System Life (Yrs) 20 20 20
Source LBII estimates based on cost data provided from EEA and Lockwood Greene Engineers
- 15 shy
TABLE 4
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM
FIELD TEST 4 - HELWAN TEXTILE
BASELINE ANALYSIS RESULTS
(Collector Price $30sqft Price of Oil US$ 20bbl)
I T E M S SOLAR ONLY WASTE HEAT COMBINED RECOVERY
Energy Savings (bbl) 348 11048 11396
Simple Payback (Yrs) 22 3 3
Payback Period (Yrs) None 4 5
Net Present Value i = 10 ($100633) 1565248 1464614
Internal Rate of Return (IRR ) - 124 4220 3402
BC Ratio 041 335 275 i = 10
Source LBII estimates based on cost data provided by EEA and Lockwood Greene Engineers
- 16 shy
Figure I Helwan TextileIPH - Solar only - Net Present Value at various Discount Rates and Prices of Oil (Collector
Price S30sqft)
0
150
-J)0
LUJ
LUJ
00-
Li
11 t 6
4F
D I SCOU NT RATE ()
130BBL
-$25BBL
~$15BBL $20BBL
- - 17 shy
The internal rate of return (IRR) is significantly lower
than the 10 economic rate of return expected to cover the cost
of credit
The waste heat recovery system on the other hand shows
positive results The system pays for itself in four years
The internal rate of return for the waste heat recovery
system is very high 4220 indicating very high economic gains
to be realized by installing this system
The Application Review for Field Test 4 examines solar
thermal together with a waste heat recovery system as a unit that
will be installed at Helwan Textile Accordingly an economic
evaluation of the combined solar thermal plus the waste heat
recovery system was performed
The input data used for Zhis analysis is presented in
Table 3 Results of the economic analysis for the combined
system are presented in Table 4 As shown in Table 4 the
combined system is economically viable The payback period for
the combined system is five years with an Internal Rate of
Return (IRR) of 3402 Figure 2 presents a graphic representashy
tion of the internal rate of return (IRR) for the output results
presented in Table 4
- 18shy
C
Figure 2 Helwan Textile - Internal Rate of Return at different Prices of Oil for Waste Heat Recovery
and Combined Solar and Jaste Heat Recovery
Systems (Collector Price $60 and $30sqft)
100
80shy
60-
LU 40
lt
($ B B LUi P R 1 0 F 0 1 L
-20
-20
- 19shy
-40
It is very clear from Table that the economic performance
of the combined system is lower than that of the waste heat
system indicating the dampening effect of the poor econoinic
performance of the solar thermal system
It should be pointed out that there is no functional relashy
tionship between the technical or economic performance of solar
thermal and waste heat recovery systems One can install the
solar thermal all by itself or in combination
As discussed earlier the proposed 4200 sqft solar thermal
system is not economically viable at a collector price of $30
sqft and price of oil S20barrel A separate analysis was
performed using a S20barrel price of oil and collector prices of
$30 25 22 and 20sqft Results of the analysis is presented
in Table 5
As shown in Table 5 the solar thermal system is not
economically viable at all collector prices The system does
not pay for itself during its life span Even at the lowest
collector price ($20sqft) the benefits derived from the
system can only cover 58 of the cost incurred (BC ratio 058)
during the life of the system
An additional sensitivity analysis was performed for each
collector price level and varying prices of oil As inshown
- 20 shy
TABLE 5 - ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM - FT4HELWAN TEXTILE SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS WITH DIFFERENT COLLECTOR PRICES
(Price of Oil US$ 20BBL)
I T E M S
COLLECTOR
$20sqft $22sqft
PRICE
$25sqft $30sqft
r
Energy Savings
(bbl)
Simple Payback
(Yrs)
Payback Period
(Yrs)
Net Present Value
i = 10
Internal Rate of Return - IRR
348
16
None
($51604)
266
348
16
None
($55919)
216
348
19
None
($76694)
046
348
22
None
($100633)
- 124
BC Ratio
i = 10 058 056 048 041
Source LBII estimate based on engineering cost Lockwood Greene Engineers
data provided by EEA and
Tables 6 - 9 the solar thermal system will start showing
positive economic results if collector prices are between $20 and
$22sqft and oil prices increase to $35 - $40barrel It is
very unlikely to find a situation where one can have a decline
in the price of collectors while having a simultaneous increase
in the price of oil Since collectors are manufactured from
products such as plastic glass aluminum etc which are
energy intensive a decline in collector prices can only be
realiz=d with a decline in the price of energy
Figures 3 and 4 show graphic representations of the internal
rate of return (IRR) and payback period respectively for
different prices of collectors and varying prices of oil
A year by year cash flow for 36 different scenarios are
presented in Appendix A Tables Al - A36
- 22 shy
TABLE 6 - ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM - FT4HELWAN TEXTILE SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS WITH DIFFERENT PRICES OF OIL
(Collector Price US$ 20sqft)
P R I C E OF 0 1 L
I T E M $15bbl $20bbl $25bbl $30bbl $35bbl $40bbl
Energy Savings 348 348 348 348 348 348(bbl)
Simple Payback 21 16 12 10 9 8(Yrs)
Payback Period None None None None None None (Yr s)
Net Present Value i = 10 (69179) (51604) (34029) (16454) 1120 18695
Internal Rate ofReturn - IRR - 057 266 540 787 1014 1229
BC Ratio 043 058 072 087 101 115
Source LBII estimate based on engineering cost data provided by EEA andLockwood Greene Engineers
TABLE 7 - ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM - FT4HELWAN TEXTILE SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS WITH DIFFERENT PRICES OF OIL
(Collector Price US$ 22sqft)
I T E M
Energy Savings (bbl)
Simple Payback (Yrs)
Payback Period
(Yrs)
P R I C E OF 0 I L
$15bbl $20bbl $25bbl $30bbl $35bbl $40bbl
348 348 348 348 348 348
21 16 13 11 9 8
None None None None None None
Net Present Value i = 10 (73494) (55919) (38344) (20769) (3194) 14381
Internal Rate of Return - IRR - 108 216 491 735 961 1172
BC Ratio 042 056 070 084 097 111
Source LBII estimate based on engineering cost data provided by EEA and Lockwood Greene Engineers
TABLE 8 -ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM - FT4HELWAN TEXTILESENSITIVITY ANALYSIS WITH DIFFERENT PRICES OF OIL (Collector Price US$ 25sqft)
P R I C E OF 0 I L I T E M $15bbl $20bbl $25bbl $30bbl $35bbl $40bbl
Energy Savings
(bbl)
348 348 348 348 348 348
Simple Payback
(Yrs) 25 19 15 12 11 9
Payback
(Yrs)
Period None None None None None None
Net Present Value i = 10 (94268) (76694) (59119) (41544) (23969) (6394)
Internal Rate ofReturn - IRR - 263 046 304 532 739 932 BC Ratio 036 048 060 072 084 096
Source LBII estimate based on engineering cost data provided by EEA andLockwood Greene Engineers
TABLE 9 - ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM - FT4HELWAN TEXTILE SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS WITH DIFFERENT PRICES OF OIL
(Collector Price US$ 30sqft)
P R I C E OF 0 1 L
I T E M $15bbl $20bbl $25bbl $30bbl $35bbl $40bbl
Energy Savings 348 348 348 348 348 348 (bbl
Simple Payback 29 22 17 14 12 11(Yrs)
Payback Period None None None None None None (Yrs)
Net Present Value (118208) (100633) (83058) (65484) (47909) (30334) i = 10
Internal Rate of Return - IRR - 425 - 124 124 339 534 714
BC Ratio 031 041 051 062 072 082
Source LBII estimate based on engineering cost data provided by EEA and Lockwood Greene Engineers
Figure 3- Helwan TextileIPH - Solar Only - Internal Rate of
Returr at Different Prices of Oil and varying
Collector Prices
29shy
n
-15
CD 10shy
lt 5
S0
10
R
2
0 F
30 5
B BL )
-10
-27 shy
-Ig - Helwan Textile - Solar Only - Simple Payback at Dfferent Prices of Oil and varying Collector
Prices
50
40shy
30
20- $60sqft
- - S30sqft
I25sqft22sq ft 20sq ft
P
10
R I C E
20
0 F
30
0 1 L
40
B B L
50
- 28 shy
5 CONCLUSION
The economic analysis performed on the proposed IPH Field
Test at Helwan Textile showed that the 4200 sqft flat plate
collector system was not economically viable
However the analysis indicated that when the solar thermal
system was evaluated in combination with the waste heat recovery
system the project was economically viable This favorable
performance was caused not because of improvement made in
economic efficiency by the solar thermal system but rather
because the economic efficiency of the waste heat recovery
system is so strong that it more than offsets the poor
performance of the solar thermal system
It should be emphasized that this analysis did not cover an
evaluation of the complete array of solar thermal systems such
as solar collectors for domestic hot water etc The analysis
was limited to the application of flat plate collectors for
application in industrial process heat of a given temperature
range Therefore implications drawn from this analysis should
not be applied to other solar thermal uses
The economic analysis has revealed some interesting and
important economic technical institutional and policy issues
- 29 shy
It is clear that the proposed flat plate collector system
on its own cainot be expected to bring about positive economic
returns given current collector prices Therefore it is
necessary that
Investigations be made in the technical field to
determine if the efficiency of the system could be
improved without increasing system cost
e The supply side of the collector market be prepared
to manufacture and supply collector systems that are
cost effective
e Policy makers be cognizant of the fact that the price
of flat plate collectors must decrease by almost 60
compared to the best case scenario as used in this
study (from $30sqft to $10sqft) in order
for industrial consumers to find it attractive to
invest in solar thermal technology Since the market
and thus the solar thermal industry is at its infancy
in Egypt policy makers and the public sector have to
play a lead role in removing barriers and providing the
appropriate fiscal andor regulatory incentives to
enhance the manufacture and widespread use of solar
thermal technology
- 30 shy
It is the overall objective of the Renewable Energy Field
Testing Project to investigate selected renewable energy options
to
9 Comprehensively strengthen Egyptian technical and
institutional capabilities in the full spectrum of
renewable energy planning and decision-making for
technologies and applications
Develop and sustain an Egyptian renewable energy
infrastructure through establishment of data bases
information systems and organizations that effectively
serve both the public and private sectors
Design realize and evaluate the performance of a
series of field tests which utilize commercially
available technologies in applications having potential
for widespread use in Egypt
Complete formal managerial and technical training both
on-the-job and specialized and an intensive
information dissemination program
- 31 shy
The design operation maintenance and repair experience
with solar thermal systems that will be obtained through this
field test to form a strong technical base for the design and
application of other renewable energy technologies is an
important factor which has not entered into the benefit cost
calculation in this report These additional factors need to be
considered seriously for the go-no-go decision
- 32 shy
APPENDIX A
-cono mcarz F7ra r na 2Analvsis fo- Erer gyi s t s y --t ne E8 0o
TA -1E-1
Fcr Case ofFELD TEST 4 - HELW TEXTILEIIPH (CILLECTOR PRICE S35313FT- PRICE Cz OIL $158L)Assumr iliEscalatior Rate of
Savec ValLe Of V~Caoitaltea- Cost Deratzrnc Cost of OilCost Sbl Fuel Usea Fuel(bi) EeravCs Saveo AnnualEuiv Er-eray Lost
Casi Flow Discounted Cash Flo~w (NV) j=urrert 48
Ion $14--Oui -It X=-=== ==--- ----==---=-------S shyrarsoort 1 Construc ionI i nt er o 0ne zt i o r $$14$35 $4C- $1500 $0 31Tta 5870$(
58 $150415 ($149545)6520 S153cent S14945) ($149545) ($14954-)$0 348 (149 4W)V 5324 $20$2520 $1561 4 ($146848) 3146948)4 0 $0 348 ($14699) (S14704)SO $5431i250 159= 550 $2911 ($1441 ) ($1445)5 Si $0 348 $5540 S252 S020
($14550) ($144721)$252) 1624 ($141473) (142056)$$ 348 ($142321) (142571)8 5650$0 $1G56 0 $313r ($13797) ($139755) (S140ljE7 $ (140582)$0 346 _7632 20 $1689 0 $W 348 $520 $3243 ($13611) ($137548) ($138169)8 S5873 2520SO $25Z0 $1723 $3359 ($133477) ($135431)0 $0 (M76274 ($137040)9- W S757 348 S5336 $25200 SO 348 $3476 (s123235 ($133402) ($134490)10 $5116 S-20 ($135468)$0 $2520 51733 0
$352 (128205) ($131460)11S 250 $0 348 $6238 (13 812) ($134015)510s $2520 $3718 ($125595) so $2520 4 Sampo $3843
(S12600) (131235) ($132674)$ bull252$1S65 0 $0 348 $6490) ($1 999) ($127820) ($1k9754) ($131437)13 V) 520 $1902
$ 2-t $3370 ($1 j420) ($126117) ($128 3) ($130256)14 348 $6620$0 S2520 $1940
0 S0 $2520 $410W ($117859) ($124489)0 $0 348 ($127055) ($129243)15 (1 2520 $197 0 $6753 S250 $233 ($115317) ($22932) ($125 89)16 $0
so 348 $6888 S252 (3128273)i3520 4368$2019 ($1I1C755)
17 0 $0 348 $7025 (3121445) ($124679) ($127379)$2K$0 $-) 0 01 $156- ($I12S3)
348 3120025 ($123601) ($126556)$7166 512520 646 (S107812) (S11BC65918 $0 ($122590) (S125710 52 10 21 100 0 so - 0$2 520J 348 7309 t4935S21 42 0 so) 50 $789 ($102918i($105354) i17374) ($1216421 ($125101)20 348 $7 455 ($116139)$0 $2520 $2 5 ($12-0754)$2185 0 ($124459)s021 348(W30) $2520 57 605 $2-50 $5085$2229 ($I00504)0 s0 348 $7757
(314961 ($119923) ($123869)($3780 S11537 ($9239) ($112486) ($I18208) ($IM673)$143695 $50820 0 $0 7018 $130239 $194515 ($64276)
A-1
TABLE A-I (Contd) ASSUMPTIONS TABLE BENEFIT-COSTS TALE (Calculated)
Economic and Financiai Analvsis for Energy -strnents - Egypt EEA 101986
Cacital Costs Benefit Parameters Internal Rate of Return -425
Acouisition $149995 Price of Oil $1500 bbl (yr 1)Trarsoortation $0 Oil Escalat 20year Disc PV of FV of BCConstruction $0 Rate Benefits Costs NOV Ratio
interconnection $0 Enrgy Savns 348 bblyear Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 $130 23 $194515 ($64276) 067TOTAL (Cap) $149995
El $105270 $187381 (582111) 056
Construct Time 10 morhs 4 $86548 $181787 ($95239) 0486 $72307 $177 355 ($105048) 041
Ooeratinc and Normal Maintenance Costs 8 $61319 $173805 (3112486) 03510 $5725 $170933 $118208) 031 11 $$3l26 $169701 ($120575) 029oeratino Cost $2520 year 12 $45912 $168585 ($122673) 027Operating Lifetime 21 years 13 $43032 $167571 ($124539) 026
Major Eauipment ReoairReolacement 14 $40443 $166647 ($126204) 024 15 $38108 $165804 ($227695) 023
Salvage Value ($6300)period 16 $35 997 $165032 ($129034) 022 18 $32342 $163674 ($131332) 020Replace Period 20 years 20 $29303 1162522 ($133219) 018
A-2
--
__
Ewic a Fzranzai Z aiys s for Enercy Investments Eayot EEAq-
10I9i-
1PLE A-2 For Case ofFIELD TEST 4-- H2LWRN TEXTILEIP (COLLECTOR PRICE $30SQF - PRICE OF OIL $20BlAssumino Oil Escalation Rate of 0OL
Ca0ita Oeratira Cost cf Oilyear Fuel UsedCost Cost $Bb Saved VEL- -Fuei Ererly(Bb) Cost ave Arr al Cas FlowEouv ne-v LisOurted Cash FlowAnua C Flow 0V) 6 ===--- shy ======= =----=- rcuisior $1 93 -- Codegt ure~n $4Trar-I sSrC0=-=---= = 8 10 12=== =_==== -= =shy
=== =---==_-_I Corstru-t or te $34 512415 $2
431$951 Tota) C$Z $520 5 $160 (Q14-$1-47 $24
fSO $A 0 so 2s ($14 SH5) ($149255)$0
$73 $-5 ($144 8-( ($492s)$ $4$274 ( -14482)(3145015)s 348 (31450321$7241 $2520 ($145GG) $ $ 20 12 65 o so$01
348 0
$472( ($140487) ($140357) (s1411025200 ($1414031$25207 $2208 $ 0 3(1381611($i37 105 0 $11 4 3$0 20 S5_a20 5 0 so ($137534) ($137939)52520 348
0 $S034 3483 $7645 3 S- $5014 ($131875)$78 $1202 (11j33419)SO2 $ $5318SE184 ($12763 ($126 5531 (3134110) (134753)($123428)
$0 S3 ($127901) ($129128)$2520 $2297 $0 $2 2 o 0 345 $4I4 ($$2343 $995 1)7 ($1239(50 348 $2520 5475 ($130903)Ii 3155 s2$23 $131822)$ 183$0$2$SC n 5 ($13 50 ) ($120314 ) ($1224 )0 ($ 124376)-2$-iSO $23($ 5212~~ $ 520 2438S S $1 513 3) (SI27903 ) ( 52)$252 0 $2$0~ $7980 0 3 -4 i$110761 ($117414)1$ $2FO ($120000 -2520 $5 Z $59 4 ($12-2285)
gs )1 3 $20 287 $0348 1$107 0-7) ($S141238 ($ 17 7 0) SI2652587 $$c 24 ($120 3 5 )15 $0 0 (S0563) ($112021)$2 52 $2 $-9348 ($11555) ($118601)$0 520 6 0 so 34 8 $2 443483 S82 311104 $220$ 520 S664 ($30) ($107132)$ 307 ($931($S3123)) ( 10 (Si1267) ($115497)6 ($I04Ef) ($11973)5I) ($S 15451 ($11133)o0 $2 520 ($1169 3)SO 5 2 920 032520 5274 6 0 4 8 $ 36 $S 2- 8$0 47 ( 1 014 34 6 $3555 ($ I02 70 19 348 $7U ($1 0743 ) ($I 1i7
s0 $2520 $2800 0 $2 520 7 0 5 ($8 834 ($00 65) ) ($10 8 273 ) ($112 8 2 )
$2520 $9 0 $200 $72- (914$) 3)S0 $4 ($90 063 ($110682)27 $0 $2 c856 00 ($76 51)2$5 14 0 0 348 0 ($9 842 ($0397 ($10977)340 $I0139 -521 $2 5 0 $($6300) $7 19$2520 $2972 0 ( 72 8 35 ($ 076 ()0s0 ($102 72) ($10023)348 $10342 (3780) $1418 ($ 3) ($9246) ($100633) ($I0735)
$143695 $0820 0 s 7018 $173652 $194515 ($20863)
A-3
ASSUMPTJINS TABLE TABLE A-2 (Contd) BENEFIT-COSTS TPBLE (Calculated)
Economicand Finar_ial Analysis fr Energy Investments - Egypt EE 10191S6
Capital Costs Benefit Parareters Internal Rate of Return -124
Acquisitior 149995 Price of Oil 2000 bbl (y 1)Transoortation $0 Oil Escalat 20rvear Disc PV of PV of BC
Construction $0 Rate Benefits Costs NPV RatioInterconrection $0 Enrgy Savrias 348 bblyear --- _____-__
- Fuel Use 0 bblivear 0 $173652 $1S4515 ($20863) 089TOTAL (Car) $14995 2 $14036O $187381 (347021) 075 4 $115398 S181787 (36E390) 063Construct Time 10 months 6 $96409 S177355 ($80946) 054
8 $31759 5173805 ($92 046)Ooerating and Normal Maintenance Costs 047l0 $70299 $170 933 ($100633) 041
11 $65502 $169701 (3104199) 039Operatino Cost S2520 year 12 $61216 1amp3585 ($107369) 036Oerating Lifetime 21 years 13 57376 $167571 (3110195) 034
14 $53924 $16G647 (3112723) 032Major Equioment ReoairReplacement 15 $50811 $165804 ($114992) 031 16 $47997 $165032 ($117035) 0213Replace Cost ($6300)oeriod 18 $43123 $163674 (3120551) 026Replace Period 20 years 20 $39071 $162522 ($123451) 024
A-4
Econonxc and Finarcial 9ralvsis for Energy Investrets -- EcvDt EEA 1013i6C
TABLE A-3
For Case ofFIELD TEST 14 - H-LWAN TEXTILEIPi ( COLLECTOR PRCE $30SQFT- PRICE OF OIL $25BBL) Assuming Oil Escalation Rate of 20
Saved Valus ofCacital boeratirng Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel Energy Saved Annual Cash Flow Discounted Cash Flow ((NV) iYear Cost Cost $Bbl (Bbl) Cost Eauiv Erercy Cost Currert f 4 8 10 12
S Accuisitio $149995
1 Transoort $0 I Construct ior $0 I Interconnection $0
Totil $149q95 $420 $2500 0 $0 58 $1450 S150 415 ($14295) (3148965) ($48965) ($14895) ($148965)$0 $2520 $2550 0 s0 348 $3874 $2520 $3354 ($142855) ($143082) ($143189) ($143292)3 s0 $2520 $2601 0 $0 348 $9051 $2520 ($1368171 ($137482) ($137791) ($133085)4 $0 2520 $2653 5
0 s0 348 $3233 $252 $ 713 ($130643) ($132153) ($132748) ($133307)$0 2520 $2706 0 $0 6
348 $9417 $2520 $o897 ($124954) ($127084) ($128037) ($128924)$0 S2520 $2760 0 $0 348 $9606 $2520 S7056 ($119130) ($122261) ($123637) ($124903)7 so $2520 $2815 0 $0 348 $3798 $2520 $7278 ($113378) (117675) ($119529) ($121216)so $1520 $28728 0 $0 348 $39A 9
S2520 $7474 ($107699) ($11331b) ($115694) ($117836)s0 $2520 $2929 0 $0 348 $10193 $25L0 $7673 ($102032) ($09169) ($1121141 ($114736)10 $0 2520 $2986 0 11
$1 348 $10397 $25_lt $7877 ($36557) ($105228) ($103774) ($111896)$0 $2520 $3047 0 $0 348 $10 60 $_520 $308512 ($31095) ($I01483) ($105656) (5109293)$0 $2520 $3106 0 $0 348 $10817 $2520 $8237 ($85706) ($97925 ($102748) ($106907)13 $0 $2520 $3171 0 $0 348 $11034 $2520 $8514 ($80388) ($94544) ($10003-5) ($104722)$0 $2520 $323414 0 $0 348 $11254 $2520 $873415 ($75142) ($91332) ($97505) ($102720)$0 $2520 $3299 0 $0 348 $11479 $2520 $8959 ($69968) ($88282) ($95146) ($100837)16 $0 $2520 $3365 0 $0 348 $I709 $2520 $3189 ($64866) ($85385) ($92946) ($99208)17 $0 $2520 $3432 0 $0 348 $11943 $252(l $9423 ($59835) ($M 634) ($90895) ($97671)18 $0 $2520 $3501 0 $0 348 $12182 $2520 $3662 ($54875) ($80023) ($88984) ($264)19 so $2520 $3571 0 $0 348 $12426 $2520 $9906 ($349985) ($77544) ($87202) ($94976)20 $0 $2520 $3642 0 $0 348 $12674 $2520 $10154 ($45165) ($75191) ($85542) ($93797)21 ($6300) $2520 $3715 0 $0 348 $12928 ($3780) $16708 ($37540) ($71607) ($830558) ($92065)
$143695 $50820 0 $0 7018 $217065 $194515 $22550
A-5
-- --
TABLE A-3 (Contd) ASSUMPTIONS TABLE BENFIT-COSTS TABLE (Calculated)
Economic and Financial Analysis for Energy Investments - Egyot EEA i01986
Capital Costs Benefit Parameters Internal Rate of Return 124
Acouisition $149995 Price of Oil $25CK bbl (yr 1)TransDortation $0 Oil Escalat 20year Disc PY of PV of BCConstruction $0 Rate Benefits Costs NPV Ratio
Interconrection $0 Enrgy Savngs 348 bblyear m_ S -- - Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 $217065 $194515 $2550 112
TOTAL Cap) $149995 2 $175450 $187381 ($11931) 094
4 $144247 $181787 ($37540) 079Construct Time 10 months 6 $120511 $177355 ($56844) 068 8 $102 198 $173805 ($71607) 059DOeratino and Normal Maintenance Costs 10 $87674 $170933 ($83058) 051
11 $81877 $169701 ($87824) 048Deratina Cost $2520 year 0 Sshye i s 5 a $76520 $168585 ($92065) 045ODperatina Lifetime 21 years 23 $71720 $167571 ($95851) 043
14 $67405 $166647 ($99242) 040Major Eauipment RepairReplacement 15 $63514 165804 ($102290) 038
16 $59996 $165032 ($105036) 036Salvage Value ($6 300period 18 $53904 $163674 ($109770) 033 Replace Period 20 years 20 $48839 $162522 ($1136833) 030
A-6
Econotic and Financial Araiysis for Energy Irvesteents - Egypt EEA 101986
TABLE A-4
For Case ofFI-2-D -ST 14 - HELWAN TEXTILEIPH ( COLLTOR PRICE 30SFT - PRICE OF OIL $30BBL)Assunina Oil Escalation Rate of 20
Saved Value of
CaPital Oerating Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel EreryYear Cost Cost $bl (PbI) Cost Ecuiv Savea Annual Cash Flow Discounted Cash Flow (N91V) IErerey Cost Currer $ 4 8 10 12
Pcousition $142995 I Tr2rsport $0 1 Constrtio s I Intercorrecto $01 Total $14995 $420 $3000 0 $0SO58 $1740 $150415 (148675) 3514375) ($148675) ($143675) ($148675)
$0 $60C 220 303 $25 0 $3121 0 5 34 506 9 2$0 348 $10862 50 $8 1 9 ($ 4 0 85M) ($ 1 4 11 4 8) ( S 141e280$25X) $342 ($133146) ($133937) ($134391)) ( $ 141 41 7 1
4 (3134767)$0 $2520 $31845 $0 2520 $347 0 0
$0 348 $11079 S2520 $8559 ($125537)$0 346 $1301 $2 (127202) ($127961) ($128675)0 2520 $3312
520 5781 ($118032) ($120748) ($121963) ($123095)7 0 $0 348 $111527 S2-0so S2520 $3378 $3007 ($110629) (114618)
850 0 (116371) ($117984)so 348 51275752520 $3446 0 $0 348
S2520 $9237 ($103329) ($108797) (111157) (113304)$I992 $2520 $9472 (39613) ($103270) ($106296) ($109020)$0 $2520 $35 1510 0$0 $2520 $3585 0 s0 348 $12232 S2520 $9712 ($89034 (598(023)11 $0 348 S2477 ($01765 (3105097)$0 $2 500 S 521t0 $9957 ($5 039)$3657 0 0 (33042 ($97543) ($101507)348 $12726 S252012 0 $ 2520 $53730
$10206 ($7E144) ($88315) (1193608) (S98220)0 $0 348 $12981 $25 $10461 ($S3 3h8)14
52520 (55823) ($89941) ($95213)$0 $2520 $3881 510720 (61 652)0 ($79571) ($86525)s0 348 $13505 ($92461)I5 $0 $2520 $10985 (555055)52520 $3958 0 ($75532 (583343) (89944)s0 348 $1377516 SO S2520 S511255 ($4e5) (571700)$2520 $4038 0 ($0379) (387641)$0 348 51405117 $0 $2520 $4118 0
S2520 $11531 ($4 153 ($68065) ($77 61) ($85534)s0 348 $14332 $218 -0 $11812$0 $2520 (35846) (364617) (575048)$4201 0 ($83607)19 348 $141619 S2520$0
s0 $1209 (59635$2520 $4285 ($61347) ($72650 ($81845$0 348 $1491120 $0 $2520 $2520 $12331 ($23519) ($58247)$4370 0 ($70426) ($80234)$0 348 $15209 $252021 (36300Y $2520 54458 0 $0 12689 ($174 ) ($55306) ($68351) ($78761)348 $15513 (53780) $19293 ($8691) ($51167) ($65484) (76761)
$143695 S5m0 0 so 7018 $260478 $194515 $65963
A-7
TABLE A-4 (Contd) ASSUMPTIONS TABLE BENEFIT-COT3 TABLE (Calculated)
Economic and Financial Aralysis for Energy Investments -- Egypt EEA 1019166
Caoital Costs Benefit Pararmeters Internal Rate of Return 339
Acquisition $149995 Price of Oil $3000 bbl (yr 1) Transportation $0 Oil Escalat L(Wvear Disc PV of PV of BC
Construct ior $0 Rate Benefits Costs NPV Ratio Interconnectior $0 Enrgy Savrias 348 bblvear
Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 S260478 $19455 $65963 134 TOTAL (Cao) $149995 2 $210540 $187381 S23159 112
4 $173097 $118787 ($8691) 095 Construct Time 10 months 6 $144614 $177355 ($32741) 382
8 $122638 $173805 1167 071 Operating and Normal Maintenance Costs 10 $105449 $170933 ($65464 062
11 $98253 $169701 ($71448) 058 Oerating Cost $2520 year 12 $91824 $168585 ($76761) 054
Operating Lifetime 21 years 13 $86064 $167571 ($81507) 051 14 $80885 $166647 ($85761) 049
Major Equipment RepairReDlacement 15 $76217 $165804 ($89587) 046 16 $71995 $165032 ($93037) 044
Replace Cost ($6300)period 18 $64685 $163674 ($98989) 040 Replace Period 20 years 23 $58607 $162522 ($103915) 036
A-8
Ecromic and Fna-ia Aaysis for Ene-v investmerts - E yvt EEP shyi(I195
TABLE A-5
For ie ofFIELD TEST 44 - H-LWA-4 TEXTILEi C E-TO PR CE $305 FT - PRIZE OF OIL $35BBL) Assurjc Oil Escalation PR-e of 20
Saved Vaiue cfa-tal Ooeratlr_ Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel Ererv a eO Anual poundan Flow Discounted Cash Flow (NPV) i = Year r st cost SPbl (bbl) [cst Eciv Errgv Cost Currert $ 4 8 10 12
I SI auxsiticr 1433
1 Trarsoort $0
EorstrLZt cr $0 SI-tercorrezt ior $0
Total $143 995 $420 $3500 0 so 58 $2030 S15-415 ($145385) (4148385) ($148385) (M142335) ($1483351$0 $2520 $3570 0 $0 348 $1424 $2520 $3904 ($138862) ($133215) ($39382) (13543)Sto S2520 $3041 0 $1 348 51-672 $520 $10(152W20476) ($130511) (S130992) ($131443)4 $1 $2523 $3714 0 S0 348 226 $2520 $10406 ($12C226) ($122251) ($23174 ($124043)o$0 2520 $3789 0 $ 34B $12184 52520 $10664 t$111I10) ($114413) ($115890) ($27266)
6 s0 $2520 $3864 0 $0 348 t53448 $252n 10928 (S102128) ($106975) (3109105) ($111065)70 $2520 $3942 0 s0 348 $13717 12520 S111137 ($93279) ($99 920) ($102785) ($10- 392)5 $0 $2520 $4020 0 $0 348 $13231 $250 $S1471 ($845 2) ($93226) ($33898) (M100204)9 VI $2520 $4101 0 so 348 $14271 S520 $11751 (175976) ($86878) ($91416) ($3f458)
10 $0 $2520 $4183 0 $0 348 $14556 $2520 $12036 ($67520) ($80E5) ($86312) ($11117)11 s0 $2520 42G 0 $0 348 $14647 $2520 1123227 (S52192) ($75147) ( 8155) ($7148)12 $ 0 $4352 0 so 348 $15144 $2520 $12624 ($5- 931) ($69732) ($77134) ($83519)13 $0 $2520 $4439 0 so 348 $15447 $2 0 $12927 ($42917) ($64599) ($73015) (W8320)14 $0 $ 50 $4528 0 $0 348 $I-755 $2520 S1323- ($34938) ($53732) ($69181) ($77168)15 SO $2520 $4618 (1 $0 348 $16071 $2520 $13551 ($27142) (S55118) ($5613) ($7439516 t0 $2520 $4711 0 $0 348 $16333 $250 $13873 ($1 439) ($50745) ($62232) ($71860)17 $0 $2520 $4805 0 $0 348 $16721 $2120 $14201 ($I1657) ($4660) ($59201) ($G9544)18 $0 $25200 $4901 0 so 348 $17055 $250 $14535 ($4396) (02672) ($5632) ($67427)19 $0 $2520 $4999 0 $0 348 $17396 $2520 $14876 $2948 ($33949) ($53650) ($65492)20 $0 $2520 $5093 21
0 $0 348 $17744 $3520 $15224 $10174 ($35421) ($51161) ($3725)($6300) $2520 $5201 0 $0 348 $18099 ($3780) $21879 $20159 ($30727) ($47909) ($61457)
$143695 $50820 0 $0 7018 $303891 $194515 $103376
A-9
TABLE A-5 (Contd)ASSUMPTIONS TABLE ENEFIT-COSTS TABLE (Calculated)
Economic and Financiai Analysis for Erergy Investments -- Egyot EEA 10965
Capital Costs Benefit Parameters Internai Rate of Return 534
Acquisition $149995 Price of Oil $35K0 bbl (yr 1) Transport tior $0 Oil Escalat 20vear Disc PV of FV of PCConstruction $0 Rate Benefits Costs tPV Ratio
Interconnectior $0 Enrgy Savns 342 bblyear ==-- -Fuel Use 0 bblvear 0 $303531 $154515 $103376 156
TOTAL (Cap) $149995 2 $245630 $187331 $58249 3
4 $i20 46 $181787 20159 i11Construct Time 10 months 6 $163716 $177355 ($8639) 095 8 $143078 $173805 ($30727) 082
Operating and Normal Maintenance Costs 10 $123024 $170933 ($47909) 072 11 S114628 $169701 ($55 073) 068
Operating Cost $2520 year 12 $107128 $165585 ($61457) 064 Operating Lifetime 21 years $l40810 $167571 ($67163) 060
14 $94366 $166647 ($72281) 057Major Equipment RepairReolacement 15 $82920 $165804 ($76864) 054
16 $83994 $165032 ($81038) 051Replace Cost ($6300)period 18 $75465 $163674 $88-08) 046
Replace Period 20 years 2 $68375 $162522 ($94147) 042A- 10
Eccricmi ane Finarcial AnalysiT fo Energy trvest-ents -- Ev-t EEA 101215
TAlKE A-5
For Case ofFiED TEST 04 - HELWPN TEXTIL=IPH (COLLECTD PRICE $3SFT- PRICE as OIL $40BBL) Ass mir Oil Esralatior Rate of 20
Savet Yait- ofCaoital ODerating Ccst of Oil Fuel bse Fuel Energy Saved fnrnal [a- Flch Liscounted Cash Flow (NPV) i = Year Cost Cost $bl (Bbi) CLst Ecit1 Energy Ccst C-rert$ 4 8 10 12
I Acc-ist on $142995 I -ras)ort $0 1 cnstr t o $0
I te-crrezt icr $0 Total $14995 $420 $400N 0 $0 58 $2320 $15045 (S143C135 ($14209) ($143095) ($142035) ($148095)S) $220 $4080 0 so78 ($138f6) ($137282) ($137478) ($137663)
$0 $2520 $4162 r $0 348 $1442 $250 $192 ($125806) ($127026) (M27592) ($128132)4 so 12120 $4245 0 s0 348 $14 77 S25K0 V2252 ($114914) ($117300) (1115337) ($119411)soS0 2 $43310s _$0 25 $330 0 1-7j(1147 0 ($04188)6 $0 $2520 $4416
$0 348 $15$7 525 $12547 ($108077) ($109817) ($111437)0 $0 348 s15 $252 $12849 ($33627) ($93322) ($1083S) ($104146)7 so $2 520 $4505 0 V) 348 $ 676 S21520 $13156 ($83230) ($31042) ($94412) ($97481)
8 $0 $2520 $4595 0 $0 348 $15 9 o 2520 S13470 ($72934) ($83 182) ($57500) ($9388)9 $0 $252) $4687 Q $0 348 $I309 $2520 $3 789 ($62918) $75732) ($31067) ($85818)10 $0 $2520 $4780 0 $0 348 $6631 5 2520 $14116 ($53001) ($68671) ($75081) ($0728)11 $0 $2520 $4676 0 $0 348 $1696 $520 $14448 ($43240) ($61979) ($69510) ($76076)12 $0 $2520 $4973 0 $0 348 $17308 $2520 $14788 ($33634) ($55636) ($64327) ($71825)13 $0 $2520 73 0 $0 348 $17654 $2520 $15134 ($24181) ($49626) ($59505) ($67940) 14 $0 $2520 $5174 0 $0 348 $18 007 S250 $5487 ($14880) ($43932) ($55019) ($64391)15 $0 $2520 $5278 0 $0 348 $ P367 $2 520 $15847 ($572-3) ($38537) ($50646) (55148)
$0 $220 $538316 0 $0 348 $18734 $25032 ($33425) ( 5) (58186)17 s $2520 $549 0 $0 348 $191$2 250 $I5 9 $12 131 ($328583) ($43354) ($55480)18 $0 $2520 $5601 C $0 348 $19491 $2520 $IE971 $20844 ($23996) ($39997) ($53008)19 $0 $2520 $5713 so 348 $19881 $2520 $173C1 $39414 ($19651) ($36874) ($50751)20 $0 $2520 $5827 (t $0 348 $20273 $2520 $17759 $37843 ($15536) ($33370) ($48689)21 ($6 300) $2520 $5944 $0 348 $20684 ($3780) $24 A64 $49 008 ($10288) ($30334) ($46153)
$143695 $50820 0 $0 7018 $347 304 $194515 $152789A-1 1
TABLE A-6 (Contd)ASSUMPTIONS TABLE BEIEF7-COSTS TABLE (Calculated)
Ecoroic nj Firancial Analysis for Energy Investmerts - Egypt EEA 10195G
azitai Costs Benefit Parameters internal Rate of eturr 714
Acuisition $149995 Price of Oil $400 bbl (yr 1)Transportat ior so Oil Escalat 20year Disc PV of PV of BCConstruction so Rate Benefits Cost- NPV RatioInterconnection $0 Enrgy SavTgs 348 bbyear ==== =-shy
--- Fuel Use 0 bbear 0 $347304 $194515 $152 789 179TOTAL (Ca ) $149 95 2 $28D720 $187381 $93359 150
4 230796 $181787 $49008 127Construct Time 10 months 6 $192818 $177355 V15463 109 8 $163517 $173 805 ($10288) 094Ooerating and Norwal Maintenance Costs 10 $140599 $170933 ($30334) 08211 $13004 $169701 $33698) 077
fteratiri$ Cost 12) $122432 $168585 ($46153) 073Ooeratirn Lifetime 21 years 13 $1i 751 $167571 ($52819) 068
Major Equi~oent ReoairReplacesent 14 $07847 $166647 ($58800) 06515 $10i622 5165804 ($64181) 061
16 $95993 $165032 ($69 039) 058Replace Cost ($6300)period 18 $86246 $163674 ($77428) 053Replace Period 20 years A12 20 $78143 $162522 ($84379) 048
ccz- a Firaca Araiysi- for Erergy IrvestL-rrts -- Ecyrt EC 01)83
TAP-LE P-7
For Case ofFIZLD TEST 4 - H-LWAN TEXTILEWAS-i i-AT PRESVERY wRIC2 SIS08L)DiL Assumiron Oil Escalation Rate of 20
Saved ValL- CCaoital DoeratinQ Cost of Oil Fue Used Fuel Erervy save kriual Cash Flow Discourted Cash Flow (NPV) 3 i =Yea- Cost Cost $b1 (Bbl) Cost Ecuiv Ererzv Cet Currert $ 4 8 10 12
1 Trar-s $0ort 1orstr-t lor $0
I I t e ronez t i m S-1 $735 $833 $Q500 C 0 1341 $27 62 53851 ($542231) (S542231) (S542231) (S542231) ($542231)Sc 53 S530 0 so 11045 $1ES034 11359 S76755- 0o62o) ($356235) (S93830) ($401450)SO $I1359 $15S1 $0 11048 S172415 jeuro $113-1S (3241715) ($252156) 3273 011353 V S 457 ($-=766) -4 to 259 $1592 0 iO 11045 $173863 1353 S164504 ($35471) ($127567) (142M1) ($15556)
Q S11359 $1624 0 $0 (148 17 I S11359 S63 -- $4 155 (340ampG) ($27 430) ($49185)6 11353 -016 U $0 11045 $182136 $12353 2171609 $183205 S12728 73126 1421917 $0 $11359 $1669 0 $0 14048 $186623 $S 353 i75269 $32772 $=223177 $173060 $136987$1125 $173 0 $0 11048 $536r $-53 S173001 $46 74S 3276-3 $263916 $2153S0 S111359 $1757 0 $ 11048 S194167 $13f $182808 S59735 $426389 5355 198 $29179210 $0 $1793 0 S0 11043 S1930L $3 $15 3 72H492 513781 $434373 S353115110 $11359 $128 0 S 1 $11048( I $190653 $357 30 $608090 $57 878 S420500 S0 $1365 0 $0 11048 $HS052 1-3 $134633 $383753 359159 $57617 $47646313 v0 $11353 $1902 0 $0 11043 S210173 $1- $193314 $1107338 $770542 $133465 1527500l$0 $11353 $1940 0 $0 11048 $214376 $1153 $203017 $223E665 $845191 $$5272 $574 0651373 s53$0 11048 1213664 $11359 $2737 $1349578 $915771 $7-2862 $61644516 $0 359 $2019 0 $ 11043 S223077 $11359 $211678 $1467116 $382501 $803536 $65511817 $ 511 353 $2059 0 $0 11049 $227498 S595 $216133 $1582514 $1045583 $850574 $5037518 1 1A3 S2100 0$0 11048 122C48 $1135 $2-20683 $1695810 $1105235 $894236 $7251719 $0 $11359 S2142 0 $0 11048 $236689 $11359 $S25330 $1807033 $1161623 $934764 $75181920 S0 $11359 12185 0 0 11048 $241423 $11353 $230064 $1316237 $1214932 1372331 $778531
21 $0 $11359 $2229 0 $0 11048 $246251 $1135 $234832 $202349 $1265328 1007296 $802881
$5679558 $Zgt9073 0 $0 222801 $0134711 $797031 $3337680
A-13
ASTYPTINS TABLE TABLE A-7 (Contd) BEEIT-rOT TAEPLE (Calculated)
Economic and Financial Analysis for Energy Investsents - Egypt EEA 10196
Capital Costs Benefit Faraineters interral Rate of Return 3101
Acquisitiorn $567952 Price of Oil 1500 bbl (yr 1) Trarsportatior $0 Oil Escalat 20year Disc PV of FVof BC
Corstruct ior $0 Rate Benefits Costs lrv Ratio
Irterconrection $0 Enrgy Sar_as 1104 bblyear -
--- ------ Fue Use 0 bbiyear 0 $41-4711 $77031 $3337680 519 TOTAL (Ca) $H67952 2 $34202-0 S755587 $2586433 442
4 t2747662 $72424 $2023439 379 Construct Time 10 morths 6 $2235 532 $700 138 $LJj5394 328
8$1946703 $68137G $1265328 286
Ooeratina and Normal Mairtenance Costs 10 $1673853 $666557 $1007296 251
11 $55962n $660307 $399314 236
Oerating Cost $11359 year 12 $1457578 $654697 $802881 223
Operating Lifetime 21 years 13 $136G 136 $64- 645 $716491 210 14 $1283$40 $645083 $638857 199
Major Equipment PeoairReplacemert 15 $1209831 $640951 $568880 189 16 $1142817 $37197 $505620 179
Replace Cost $0 period 18 $1026777 $630653 $396124 163
Replace Feriod 20 years 20 $930302 $625165 $305137 149
A-14
Econoi an Fnarial alysi for Energy Irve te-pt -- Eryct EEP 10138_
TABLE A-8
For Case cfF7ELD TEST $4 - HE=LWqN TEXTILE4qSTE -_j E[CXERY (PRCE C7 OIL $2013E_) Assurn_ 0i Escaiaticon Rate of 20
Saved Vale cf Capita Doeratn Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel Energy Saved rrual Cash c-w-- Discounted Cash Flow (NOV) i = Yea- Cost Cost Eb (pb]) Ccst Equiv Ererz Cst Currert $ 4 8 10 2
oisi67Ac s tr
rarExrt $0 rorstrztio sc
IIrerccrr_tor $0 7 $200Y 0 C1841 1687Tctai$78K S 98 1 )$53C3 ) 315Z3 02) ($5330251 ($533025) ($533015)2 v $11355 $ 04Q 0 $0 11048 t225379 $1153 $214020 (327235) (S-34858) ($338461) ($341935)3 $0 $11353 $08i C $0 11048 $-23857 $1135 1-258 ($125195) (S147505) ($157B59) (167726)
4 $0 $1135 $21 22 0 $0 11048 $234465 $11359 $223126 $73163 $23619 $3778 (18910) $0 fI1-- $21E5 0 $0) 11048 $29174 $353 $227815 $26790 $197070 $r5 379 $125S71E $0 $13 2 2 083 0 so 11048 S2433K8 S1352 5-3 $459080 1355 373 $303805 $267854
7 $0 611355 $252 C $1) 11048 $243K7 $59 $27478 $4762 $505024 $-855 53881678 $ $1135 $227 0 $0 11048 $2K2814 353 -142455 $33007 $646494 $568272 $4978429 $1 35 $2343 (1 $0 11046 $253 83 $111359 s47 531 $1011876 $780227 $623747 $59781510 $0 $11359 $I39 0 $0 11048 $26068 $135 $252703 $1183426 $906644 $790920 $68894411 soS 1359 $2438 0 s0 l048 $2634 S1 359 S57990 $1363714 $1026144 3890387S77201012 $0 $11359 $2487 0 s0 11048 $274736 $353 $263377 $1534793 $1139102 $982699 $84772513 $0 S11259$2535 0 $0 11048 $280231 $11359 $268872 i1702736 $1245874 $1068389 $91673814 $0 $11359 $2587 C0 $0 11046 $285835 $1359 $274476 $1867573 $1346733 $1147876 $97364015 so $11-359 $2629 0 s 11048 $291552 $i135 S28193 12023383 $1442193 $1221659 $103697316 $0 S1359 $2632 0 $0 11048 1237383 S353 $22-024 $2188202 $1532360 $1290131 $108922917 $ 111359 $2746 ( s0 11048 $303331 $11359 $291972 $234408 $1617584 11253673 $113885618 $0 $11359 $2800 0 $0 11048 $303-97 $115 $298038 $2497093 $1698134 $1412638 $118026419 $0 $11359 $2856 0 $0 11048 $315585 11359 $304226 $2G47268 $1774267 $1467356 $1219 8520 $0 $11359 $2914 0 $0 11048 $321897 $11359 $310538 $2794663 $1846222 $518131 $125588121 $0 $11359 $2972 0 $0 11048 $328335 $11359 $316976 $2939326 $191422 $565248 $1288740
$567958 $229073 0 $0 222801 i5512948 $797031 $4715917
A-15
P7UrSPTIONS TABLE TABLE A-8 (Contd) EtEFIT-CSTS TABLE (Calculated)
Ecoroic ard irarcial Analysis for Energy Investments -- Egypt EEA 1019E6
apital Ccsts Benefit Parareters Irterral Rate of Return 4220
Acquisition $567958 Transportation $0
Construct ior $0 Irtercor rectior $0
Price of Oil Oil Escalat
Enrgy Savrgs
$2000 bbl (yr 1) 20year
11048 bblyear
Disc
Rate
----
PV of erefits
PV of
Costs NPV
BC
Ratio
TOTPL (Cap) $567958 Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 J55948
2$4456027 $797031 $75587
$4715917 $3 700440
6 2 590
Construct Time 10 corths 4$3E 3550 6$3060 709
$724224 $700 138
$2939326 $2 360571
506 437
Operating and Normal Maintenance Costs 8$2595604 1(V$2231804
$681376 $666557
$1914229 $1565248
381 335
Operating Cost Operating Lifetime
$11359 iyear 21 years
11 $2079494 12 $1343437 13 T1821515
$660307 $654697 $649645
$1419187 $1288740 $1171869
315 297 280
Major Equipment RepairReplacement 14 $1711920 15 $1613108
$645083 $640951
$1066837 $972157
265 252
Replace Cost $0 period 16 $1523756 18 $1369035
$637197 $630653
$886559 $738382
239 217
Replace Period 20 years 20 $1240402 $625165 $615238 198
A-16
Eccw= ar -narzia Pnav=_is fcr Erergy Irvestrrent_ -- Egypt EEC 101
P= A-9
or Case of2IED TEST 4 - HELPAN TEXTIEN3TE HEAT -CDOERY (PC- U BBL- ----Assmir Cil Escalation Rate of 20
SaVEdt C~famta eratirg Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel Energy Saved Annal Fasn Flow Discounted Cash Flow (UOV 8 i = lea- Cost Cost $Pb (8b1) Cost Ec-jiv Energy Cost Crrert I 4 8 10 12
I Transocrt corst rutr $7
rterornazticota HS 833 7 1841 $4S 73 -3951 C$52818 (WBIB) ($52381 1 (3523818) ($53218)SC 51133 $20 0 048 $22172 U3 $27365 ($263851 1(2731480) (278031) ($262421)$0 $11359 $2601 0 $0 11042 7=5 $12$3 5275 999 (-S74) (368Z5) 333343900253 ( 15)0 111049 ( $359 _51 747 $241737 $I82 805 $161748 5131462Q 07C 11043 S2531558 11259 12379 $477 s46 $323206 $35188 $32 27$0 $11-_ $2760 0 1n 11043 $304 94 $11 3 3 24E7--555 $722 55 $5S3 Mf $5404 - $$487517$7 $-~5 $2315 0 11048 $712 1353 $233 53 5 872 $786 871 $709649 $639347$ $1 5282 0 $0 14 391141292 0 IK93
656f $8662 S7777253SiZ bull0 $312 5 $1426427 T113465 $10122372 9 3 39 $ 35- $2983 0 $ 145 $33035 1 3 3 726 $165035 $12350M S1147467 $108774$C $135 $304711 0 S0 11046 $3365pound 5ii5 $325 22712 $)
187C 129t44419- $1272895 SI 2351$- $3103 C S 113 $34$2 - 132206 $20S53 S1556613 11353280 $ PIE98c13 3 S317 0 v 1 5$143 250 $11159 $3352 $2237533 I 72120 $47274 $1305375SO 51253 $2340 s0 104 S3 $184840-
0 SO 11041 $364 $11353 5081 3709183 519E861E $262) 456 S1457500 15 Ss35-2 $3293
3 17294 $1 9 $ 9-- $ 293 $157473 $138525-5
16 V0 $1353 $3365 0 s 1I1Ns -3717 21f5 $230328917 - $ 7C 1270 2082220 $776726 $1523340$7 $II35 $34 32 0 $0 1104c8 $37312 $11 $372 4 $3105663 $2183578 $156771 1533718 S 1-13 $35 1 0 so 1048 $7332377 t1931039 $1638010$22-103419 $0 $11353 $3571 0 $0 11048 $3544S2 $135q Q83123 $3487437 $2385910 $M947 $168783120 $0 $1135q $364( $0 11048 $40-37 $1135 $391212 $3673088 $2477512 $2053881 $1733230$0 $11359 $3715 021 $9 11048 $40419 $113553 $399060 $3855214 $2563130 $2123 19 $1774600
$567 9S3 $--3073 0$0 M 801 $6831186 $737031 $6034154
A-17
SUPTIONS TABLE TABLE A-9 (Contd) EENPT-OET TAKE (Caiculated)
Ecoc an Firarzial Palysis for Energy Investments - Egypt EEA 1l6
Caits Co=ts Berefit Parameters Irterrz2 Rate R~Return 5368
Acquisition $567958 trice of Oil $250 i-b (yr I) Tarsprcrtator
Constructior
Interconnectior
$0
$0
so
Oii Esalat
Enrgy Savnps
2 0vear
11042 bblyear
Disc
Rate
V Cf
PerEfits
V of
Costs -IV
FC
Ratio
------------TOTP (ap 57959
Fuel Use 0 bl1year 0 $f)83 33
$797031 75537
1609454 $481444E
865 737
Construct Tire 10 rnortns 4 14573 437 6 $332f 886
$724224Q13855214 $700138 $S-125748
632 546
OperatinL and Ncrmal MaIntenarce Costs 3- L 5)5 1 $27K755
$ES376 $666557
5t 130 $2123199
475 419
Ooerating Cost
OperatiTrg LifetiMe
$1359 year
21 years
1 if25H37 2 $24229
3 S2276893
$660307 G 5o637
$649645
$5939081 $1774600
16-2724
394 371
350
Major Equipment RepaiReplacemert bull~~l i4$2239005 -2 01S32
$64508 $14948162051 375435$640 1 $ 4 5
3 2 315
Replace Cost
Replace Period
$0 period
20 years
16 $1X4 695 18 S1711294
20N $1 550 503
$637197 $1267498 $530652 $1080641
$625165 $925338
299 271
248
A-18
Econr- ard Fra--a haavsi fcr Er=rv investerts -- Ecyzt E
For Case ofFELD TEST 4 - HELWANTEXTILES3TE -9T REZOVERY (PCE C-O 3IBiL) PssuTir~g Oil Escalation Rate c 20
Year Capital
Cost Ooeratir
Cost Cost cf Oil
$lBbl Fuel Used
(Ebl) Fuel Cost
Saved Erergy Eauiv
ValS cf Saved
Enercy Pnral
Cost Ls iCh Crrert 1
Di-cousteJ 4
Cash Flow 8
(NPV) i 10
=
12
I P~uis~xor~1567958 Transvort $0
1 cntrct mc- 1Irte-ccrret ic
a1s
4
6
Q$ 11
12 13
14 5
16
17
18
19
20 21
$
to 11Z so 1353 C 1-S s$o $1
$0 t13
$0 $i359 $0 $
S 11135-
3 $0 $11359
$0 $1359 $ $-353
$0 I353 0 $ 111359 $0 111359
so S11359 SC $11359
$ $11359
$0 $11359 $0 $11359
$4so $ $3121 $3164
824
$3312
$3378
$3445 $3515
$3657 37730
S33(
$138 $3958 $4033
$4118
$4201
$4285 $4370 5445
(1 0
C
0
0
C00 0
0 0
0 0
0 0 C
0
0
0
0 0
$0 $0 $0
$0
$0
$0
SCso $0
$-$0
$0 $0
$0 $0 s0
$0
so
$0 $0 $0
184 1104 11048 11048
1104S
11048
110 3
11048110 I 8
1(148 11048
11049 11048
11049 11048 11046
11048
11048
11048
11048 11048
S5524C
$338069 S344831 t3727
$3537S
$ 37
$37-
t33-7 2$38 3 $383335
$3161 $4(402
$412104 $42034S
$423753 $47328 $445075
$454995
$464056
$473378
$482845 $492502
$563851
S11355 $11359 S11355
5
11135
$1352
11355s
115335
$1359 $11359
$113 $112-59 $11353
$11353
$11353
$11359 $11359 $11359
11) ($514611
S2 710 33471 $1784 $340368 $410431 S$34740 1 $7 392 IK3457 $333829
i351390$123484
-255 $15= 3 $11353$27976 $1840978 S13-36384743 $2111293
9 $3665 $2376563
$40$745 1636279 $40S987 $2 832331 $417394 $2142007 42 99 $338934
$434716 $6Sl376
$443637 $387238 $4E2 737 14093661 $452019 $4327726 $471486 $4155514 $481143 $4771101
($51461
$73796 $343991
5539 342
$84661
$1063717
S284236 $1487914
$680371 S1862251
$2034124 $21955326
$23--0 013 $2495039 $262079
$2761573
$2883934
$2999553
S3103802 $3212031
($54611
$5-7994 $313717
$50998
$77162
$975443
$164984 $134)846
$504014 $165540A
$1795862 $1926178
$2047082 $2159253 $226-3321
$2359869
$2 449 441 $2532539 $2609631 $2681150
($514611)
06
$42935 $285202
$S505933
$707180
$80527
$57603 $1209862 $1348604 $1475031
$1590 236 $1695213
$79)359 $1878030 $1957451
$2029818
$2095757
$2155838
$2210580 $2260459
$567958 $229073 0 $0 222801 $8 269423 $797031 $7472391
A-19
TABLE A-10 (Contd) ASSUMPTIONS TABLE EENEFIT- ST TABLE (Calculated)
Econoraic are Fin=-ial alycsis for Energy Investments - Egypt EA 101965
iaital ccsts Bereifit Parameters internal Rate of Peturr SE55
Acquisition $H67353 Price of Oil $3000 bbl (yr 1) Transportatio $0 Oil Escalat 20year Disc PV of PV of BIC Constructior $0 Rate Benefits Costs NPV Ratio
Irterconectior $0 Errgy Savncs 11048 bblyear ---shy=-- Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 $8263423 $797031 $7472391 1038
TOTAL (Cap $79-53 24$6684040 $755587 $592Or 453 S85
4$542E325 $724224 $4771101 753Construct Time 10 months 6$459063 $700138 $3890925 656 8$3 893 406 $681376 $322 031 5 71
Operating and Normal Mainterance Costs 10 $2347706 $666557 $2681I0 502 - 11 $3119241 $660307 $3458934 472
Operating Cost $1359 year 12 $2915155 $654697 $2260459 445 Operating Lifetime 21 years 3 $_73 272 $64364Z $2081627 421
14 $2567880 $645082 $1922796 398Major Equipment RepairReplacemient 15 $2419662 $640951 $1778712 378
16 $228-634 $637197 $1648437 359 Replace Cost $0 period 18 $2053553 $630653 $1422900 326
Replace Period 20 years A-20 20 $1860603 $625165 $1235439 298
poundcenrzzc ar Firarial Analysis fcr Energy irnvesttterts -- EZyt pound2~ 10g88
TABLE A-Il
For Case of-EL TEST 4 - ELqN E LEA ATEP2ERy -E-D701 $35KL) Assumir Oil Escalaticn Rate cf 20
Savet- Vaiue cflaza 2eratn Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel Ererpy Saved Arnual Can_ Flow Discourtee Cas Flow (NV) i =Yea Cost Cost $pbl (Ebl) Cost Eauiv Enercy Ezt C-rrert $ 8 10 12 - -cuisittor -567-
Trarsocr $
crstrttir Irterznr or $0
7t Z-=7s5 3 $3Z0I 0 $0 1841 $amp4447 $59652 $505 405) ($-5405) ($505 405) (50540)5 ($55405$0 $11359 t3E70 so 1048 $34414 $11359 $353055 ($137083) ($I724) 173) ($16331)$1 $1359 $940 $ 1048 $4(2 32 $11353 $39C 76543 1224 $16444S $HE 92 $1482664 $0 $11359 $3714E Q $0 11043 359 89$41(2348 $1139 52 8 $5068 SSC I217 $4 5 6 7so TIIM $3789 Q V1 11043 $418E5f $11359 S$4)7 IgS 76 $4651687 $432258$927 138 $300478 $7432 807 $6i9103g
$0 $1359 $3864 0 $0 11048 $42S 98 $415527m3 833 $65704 11 C V001841o$0 1135g $3942 0 $0 11048 $435464 $11359 $$424105 $1603881 $135-564 124238 $1141707$ - $420 0 $0 1104-8 $4174 s3523 $43281- $232784 $1503107 $h63340 $1337491$0 $11359 $4101 0 $0 11048 s4_z_c- $ -9 S 4441-93$22E 52 $841743 $1S89396 $15158685$0 Sn359 $4183I 0 50 11049 $4621E $I353 $450753 $2572227 $206723 $1860582 $1878434 0 $11359 $4266 0 so 11048 $471-8 $125912 $46C 12 $22-987 $2280305 $2037912 $182S542t $1-9 43520 2
$0 11048 $48075 $1359 $4E9423 $3187919 12451E35 $2202444 $i961492$ $1139 $4439 0 $0 1104S $49C404 $11159 $479 4- $3437129 $2671870 $2375023 $2084450$0 S359 $452814 0 $0 11048 $50212 $113515 $483853 $378072 $2851 620 $2495386 S2196483s$ $I359 $4618 0 s0 11048 $51G216 $11359 $498557 $4065793 $3021462 $22205 V 298 559$- 52 $471116 0 $0 11048 $520420 $1$37 5 150306 1 $4351463 $3181939 $274916 $2391563$1359 $4805 0 $0 11048 $53129 $11359 $51347Q $4628812 13333567 $2882967 $247629 18 $0 S1359 $4901 0 $0 11048 $541445 S11359 $530086 $4900944 $347583K $2S7842 $255350319 so $11353 $4993 0 so 11048 S=52274 $11359 S540915 $5167955 $3612197 $3065131 $2L3644$0 si359 $509920 0 $0 11048 $530 $1135921 $551961 $5429939 $3740093 $315381 $2687930$0 $11359 $5201 0 so 11048 $574586 $11359 $563227 $56869B9 $3850932 $3239101 $2746318
$567958 $229073 0$0 2L801 $9647660 $797031 $8850629
A-21
SSUmOTIO3 TAlBLE TABLE A-lI (Contd)
PNEFT-COSTS TALE (Calculated)
Economic and Fir ancia Analysis fc-Energy Investments -- Egypt EEA I0P386
Calita costs Penefit arazeters
$cuistion$Z723 Price of Oil $ h500bb (yr 1)Trarspcrtation t0 Oii Escalat 20year Corstructcr $0
Irtercornection $0 Enray Savs 11048 bblyear -- - Fuel Use 0 bblyear
TOTAL (Cap) $5 57 8
Construct Time 10 mnrths
Coeratir ard Normal Maintenance Costs
Ooerating Cost $1135 yEar Operating Lifetime 21 years
MaJor Equipment RepairReplacemert
Replace Cost $0 period Replace Period 20 years
A-22
nterral Rate of Return 7785
Disc PV of PV of Rate Benefits Costs NTV --- _--
V S9647EGO $7-7031 $8850629 N $7793047 $755587 $7042460
4 $E411212 $724224 $568698961S 3S240 $700138 $4656102
8 $454 307 $681376 $3860 93-10 $305657 $666557 $323910111 Q633114 JE0307 $2978 SO3 I E $3401015 $654697 $2746318 I 387650 $S4964c5 $2538005 14 $25860 S645C83 $2350776 15 t- B940 $64051 $2181939
16 $266E 573 $37197 $2029376 18 $2395812 $630653 $1765159 20 $2170704 $625165 $1545539
BIC Ratio
1210 1032
885 75
667 586
551 519 491
464 440
418 380 347
Econoir a-nFinaci AralySi f- Ererzy InvEstments -- 07ptE LE
TP93
For Case ofFIELD TEST 4 - F1-LWA TEXTT -- (nC O= ]L s40PEt) Assuirz Oil Escalation Rate of 20
Saved Value cCaita 29ratir s of C Fuel Used
Fuel Erer y 3ave_- pal Casn Flo^ fLiscured Cash Flc (NPV 2 erCost Cost I Ib) Cost Euiv --ervy Cost Currert 3 4 8 10 12
1 7rans~crt $0
$ Tr O iS - 0 2$0 124 373655 39=851 ( 433193 (14351 ($ 6 1 8 $4 5 1 8931 4968l$ --3 $4020 0 VI 11048 $45C 3SI23 $42 2S W3698) ($33473 (35744) ($103877)0 1_3 0 so4152 1248 453 774 5 $34085amp Q95 07$0 443415 $ S273847 553596= S24 45 $0 1048 $45-95 $11359 $4Z7E $74770 SS5362 517656 573314S0 C 5 $4330 0 $0 11048 $47-34c 31259 $425339 $114f884 $$001513 5936616 $8760940 $59 $44E 0 $0 11048 4$10 1253 $47_55_9 1532579 13-2950 1232520 11146505
- c $S450- 0 sO N04E 147574 i $4263559 13C $1632410 $507021 $392887$10 $11259 14535 0 $0 11042 $5077 $ 3~5$1 268$4-3 $2700043 121 978 $176169G $167374I 135 $4627 0 so Ns04 1577S s259 S2670080 9f5282o 1 7 14W 2 I $19337945 5182903$478S 0 $0 043 $1s53 S52776 13033160 12454038 $2217103 20026411 9 $47 0 014876$S-E_ 4 1104--20 = 3 5pound 7 07$14800803 0O $3269358o$0 c 359 S 3 7 $2442 421 $217805$
s2 37115$5171 $0s14 1 S355 $E74 11048 S -511113-f 1743 102 $4C1L 27 $13147202 $2783 987 $24736230 $0 114048 517 311 HI9 S56312 $4418436 S13357 $294628332217 12602037I5 $0 $1353 $1z Sf 312$7578 0 $0 11048 $I 319 $439 _7$3$527404 $59 -40$7745 $278 gO $ 43$4743604 $3547884 $30998428 $2719087$0 $I Ec $383 016 $0 11048 $5547ES v11255 $H62407 S5072550 $3 799 $323E511 12825674$11359 $549 0 S0 1048 SE s 311 50 $ 9-25562U $2 2 718 $O $1-253 $5 0 $0 11048 61875 1i3 $470 8 40693133 1482244 20120715 $0 135I $5713 0 so 11043 $5217 3 77$113 9 775 $470 $2248 4 01 7$30912010 $0 11359 $5 827 0 $0 11048 $642794 $11359 $632435 $S39t367 $4371382 $370130 $3165280
21 $0 $11359 $5944 0 $0 11048 1656570 511359 S645311 6602876 $4509833 $3797052 $3232177
$567953 $ 29073 8970 10 801 511 02-5 $797031 $10228866
A-23
TABLE A-12 (Contd)PSSI PTIONSTAJKE rEnJT-DETS ^2LE(Caiculated)
E~onoma~infncia fcr Erery Investwerts - Egypt EA 1036
LapitE --ts Penefit Parameters ternr ate cf ketur 9060
Pquisition $-57958 Price of CI Trasortaticon $f CiI Escalat
onstructIon $0
iterzorr-ction $0 Ernrgy Savrs ------ Fuel Use
77A ao) $567958
Construct Time 10 months
OpEratirg ar N-rmal Mairterance Ccsts ------
Operating Cost $1355 year Operatirn Lifetime 2 years
Major Eqiprent RepairRezlacement
Replace Cost $0 period Replace Period 20 years
$4K lbb (yr 1) 20year
11043 bbllyear
0 bblyear
Ns PV of PV of Rate eni L-sts NPV
0$11025 397 1797031 $1022666 2 25q3 75E587 $ 156466 4 $7327100 $724-4 $6602876
6 $$121418 $700138 $5421280
e5191203 $68376 $4509833 10 $4463603 $66-57 $377C52 11 $4152988 $G 307 $3498681 12 $3865874 $654697 $3232177 13 13643029 $543645 $2993384
14 $3L423840 $645083 $27875615 S3226217 $6402351 $2585266 16 13047512 $637197 $2410315 18 $2738071 $630653 $2107418 20 $24008 5 $625165 $1855640
BC Ratio
1383 1179
1012
874
762 670
630
594
561
531 503
478 434
397
A-24
-c-nc an Firanzia Pralysisfcr Erergy Irvestrents -- Env t E 0
TALE P--3
Fer Case tfFEI7E3ET4 - FLN TEXTILESCLR PLUS
Assuming Oil Escalafior Rate oF 0
73 T ECCeZRY (PR_5rCF OIL S15BL)
r a
bull
etaIOiertrg
ssost Ccst Of Oi
$I Fe Lse
(E-12 Fuel
Save -Enery Eciv
a L Ef SaveS
Erery ra Ccst
asn Fli CLrrert f
sccunted 4
Cash Floo (NPV) 8 10
i
2
bull
4
5
7
0
1
2
13
14
16
17
is
19 20
21
r S CCrrnst cr $cr
erzcn11 on
Toa7 52 $2313 $ 13279 SC 13279 S t13979 $ $2673
C5r2
$0 $13573
S $13873 $ S$13279 $0 t373 $0 $13 79 $0 $387 $0 $13S79
$0 $1357S
$0Si 3279 $0 513879
$0 $13279
$ $137
0 $13879 $0 $S3879
($E300) $13879
$711653 $279893
V500
$1530 S561
S5592 $1624 $16565
$1689
$1723 $1757
$1733
$1326
$1265
I -
$1140
$1973 $20
S205 $2100
$2142 $2185
$22-29
0 0
0
r)
0
0
r
0
0 0 0
0
0 0 0
0
O$0 189 $28490 $720263 $0 1396 $17453 $13 S7 $0 113SE $177346 t-879 $$C 13 $1803 2a7g $$0 1139 12503 S1387 $0 1396 $183732 7 2 2S 0 13 $192 3 $13879
$0 1 c 9E3 8761 $0 11396 $20 2E3 $3872 $0 1396 $20423 V2 273 $0 11396 $20335 S13873 0 1132H $212542 T2272 $0 11396 $216733 $1387 $0 11396 $221129 $13879
to 1139S $25f2 3 $0 11353 523063 $13873 $0 11396 $234664 $13873 $0 11396 $23357 $13879
$0 11396 $244144 $13879 $0 11396 $249027 13879 $0 11396 $254008 $7579
$0 22819 $4264950 $991546
A-25
(77-773(5691771 1$691776) 164 C ($537432) ($542184)
$ 367 138E872) (M402609) 37524 ($23E944) f$263623) $17 ($90642) ($143 2 73174853 $307 -14 -- 7G 4 ( 8 $173627 $194245 $8774amp
$182477 t33293 $114220 S1 404 $49117 $2-4229 $10 410 s 027 $390 181 $154496 $734291 $490270 $193663 $86Z339 $565474 $202914 $3073 $amp46054 $207250 $1114548 722259
$11amp73 $1236783 $794325f216184 $356823 $862476 t220785 474702 $92921 $22- 478 $590456 $987860
$23)265 $1704121 $1045484 235148 $1815733 $10-971
$24642 $1928200 $1152842
$3273404
(691 776) ($691776)
($545885) ($543491) ($410376) ($417777) ($264512) (532537) (17613) (189767) (9 ) ( 1( $ 53 0 4 -4 ) -$1) $41737 ($53)
$135427 S82491 $22238s $157776 $303138 $M-6440 $373125 $289063 $447755 34o174 $S12410 $398257 $572443 $445753
$S28193 S8066$679935 $528562
$727985 $564576 $772594 $597416
$814010 $27360 $852458 $6546G2 $889088 $680208
TABLE A-13 (Contd) PSc6UY1TTG TAKE 52ZFEI-CSTS TXLE Calculated)
Econo iar narza 9Aais- for ErErgy Investments shy Eypt EZE 1ci35
Capital Ccsts Benefit Parameters Irternal RatE c Return 24953
~ccui i tcr717953 Price of Oil $15Y0 bbl (yr 1) T-ars~crtat ion $0 Oil Escalat 20year Disc tV of V of BC
crstruct ion $0 Rate Benefits Costs NP Ratio Intercornectior $ Enrgy Savrs 11396 L11year
FuE US= 0 bbiyear 0 $4264950 $991546 $3273404 431
TOTPL (Cap)-77953 2 447230 $942ss $2 504m 366 4t $2334211 $301011 $1928200 313
Costruct T 0 mth_ 357 838 $877493 $1490346 270 12110080 $85511 $112842 235
Operatin and Ncrma aintenarce Costs 0 $7 S76 $837483 $883068 0 11 $1608747 $830008 $778739 194
Operatin Cost Oeratirg Lifet1 M1
$_87T year years
2-$502490 13 $1403 168
$823281 $917216
$660203 $9195
183 172
14 $1324383 $311730 $512652 163 Major Equipert ReoairRepiacemert 15 $1247940 $80S 754 $441185 155
16 $1178815 $80222 $37658S 147 Replace Cost ($6300)period 18 $1o9119 $794327 $264792 133
Replace Period 20 years 20 $3959605 $787687 $171918 122
A-26
-- tr- er F-= v fc E-r= 1r tesirt_Egyrt EEP
TqPPLE P-4
F- caecfFlDTST t4 - UEL$Q TEXTILESDLAR PLUS WASTE HET -COVERpY(Pj- OF OIL $S31PL) nssuring Cil Escalatio- Pate c
Ltal Ccst cF Oil Fuel Used savet Va- cCa 0eratin Fuel Er-er SavE Armia Lasn FowDy riscoured Cash Fco (N7V) i vew t cost $b (b) Cost Eciv nert Cost Currert $ 4 810 10 12
ftP ic ro717953 I rarszc-t $0
r r $0|
f7753 $t S2100S23-13 so 1233-7 37 933747 ($S62-202 (23N ($682280)S Z-2) z $11279 M--7
3 2 $12 $Q373 (447205 $47 67-3 t$453t2 ($487110)3173 $DE 3S 2 2712 T 3S1249 t1$2532) ($2Sj731 ($292049 ($30-23)v W 2n UL22 22732
4 0 so 37 7 SE2923 (-2742S) ($27 531 ($146842)$0 1 57 $ 3 H 5 7 8 fit 73 1 2 8 0$2208 0 $0 3S tKj2 H872Q $237763 121 449 1-543 $17901 S6 3$ $1o73 32152 0 so Ins I25 E7 $1373 524796 152334 S373 47 o1l953 12503tq7 $21 0 so ni8 $2E 8( C3973 t715740 521 13 $24792954413 $1 190
0 $ 1279 $2343 0 33 6 5S L3 73 152 ME3 $22726 SSE913 = k S473433C En 1i c SC 2H6 127-ESE $1373 5237506504E52517O3 $71230 S672916 56391 $0 $13379 $2438 0 $0 113H S773-S25 272 4 5 7 $911492 $726E2 $651646I1 $0 S879 $2457 0 SO 3 $322 1372 5251 1143736 $7C702 $SE7144 $72912313 7 =36 s2 5 $1273 $275173 M160612 S113 353 5954024 $7 55514 SO H1079 121E7 0 so 1s3 I234m3 I 73 $2503H0 1772343 $123966 $1036208 S 414415 $ $1o7 $S3 0 $0 11336 C3002 $1 $3K7Z $1372 $St7557 S M37330 A1746$9M 840a $- 2 56 c so 3 1m237i 123287 129 3 MI42 LEE $97E34717 SO $13879 $-740 $0 1296 531S3525
12 7 1387 $2-30 $2 $51637 5 4E97 5 A 2vO 1 ST2 0 0a7 $209 1123S 1314 $13879 1305 264 $241E979 C59 43E 30N IbX3 581Ws19 $0 11387 $2356 0 $0 11336 $3H526 $13879 $311647 $2570817 $1677425 5133377 $111010820 $0 $12879 $2114 0 $0 i13 $33203S $13879 $318157 $2721828 61751146 S415399 $114704821 ($6300) $13879 $272 0 $0 11396 $338677 $7579 $331028 $2872937 $1822182 $1464614 $1181372
$71653 $279893 0$0 M819 S56686) $991546 $4095054
A-27
TABLE A-14 (Contd) 3M-S rET-N7 CSTS TPULZ CalLNated)
Ecobullric anf 7rT a f- Erer Investrents -- E F ay A 1916
Capita Sosts BersEft taraampeters R-ae -eturf 3402
Aczuisitjorn $717953 Trarnscrtatior $0
Price of Oil Oil Escalat
$2000 bbl year
(yr 1) poundai_ PEcf cf BC
Zcnstructior $0 Rate Penefits Costs NOV Ratio ir$tez)rectio
TOTAL tCa ) $717 953
Enrgy Savrs Fuel Use
1129 bblyear 0 bblyear
==shy0$568GG00 2- $4 33257
$954E $342962
$4535 054 $3 534i
574 487
Lo stru 6 Time 10 con-h r1 e-
4$3773943 $357118
E2Z17363
$9S 011 $2 872 937 S877493 $2279625 $S5518 S1 822182
41736 360 313
rPEratino ans Nrmal Maintenance Costs
Oueratirg Cost $13872 year Cpratir Lifetime 21 years
0 S2302104-1-$214493G
2$2004 53 -1S 78330
$5374n9$330008
$S2323 $817216
$464614$131A93
$IE1372 2051674
275 258
243 230
Major Equiprent RepairReplacemernt 14 $17 5843 5 $1G663919
$311730 SS06754
$954113 $7 165
218 206
Replace Cost Replace Period
(N6300)period 20 years
16 $571753 18 $1412159 20 $1279474
$802 22 $794327 $787687
$769524 $617832 $491787
6 178 162
A-28
- ranzcal Analysis fc- Enery vestrent_ - Eynt EE 0
TALE t-E
77 P7 q (NU - C$Ipp Asumzr_ O EscaatorRate cf 0
ot _o-tr o
ct of Oil $1-
Fuel Used (Ebl)
FL Cost
Save Ergy
Ecuiv
a1e e-
Errgy r
ost Ca--ic
rrer $ DisEcurted Cash 4 8
Floh (NPV) 10
P i 12n
I
I
Acuis~tion S177 Trar-pcr T
cnstr=ticr $0 rernct cshy
7S7
-
V I
In
I $1227
t3S7
I27T
2E F - 03
1706Q_
0
0 $0
0S0 1
--shy29 S4748
E $-5
3 2419 122723 $32
I3F 13 33f
$72
137 $187 7 $13879
S2$ (333727-3
7Z73 ($4 707
SZS2 E-I (V454 1 135104E 3$2 4 S3--2S3
($672733)
($41ESE2)
$1743-7$c 271122
(72731
($421-20)
(SIS7723$23000
$2-1152
(S672783
(S4252
S201430)$4E39
$1203
-$ 3
14
IS 7
18 19
20
21
C$$3875
c $ 17
$17573-$$ S 2 73
S $12272
S 10 113273
$0 12E73
V$ 1-73 $0 7 $0 $1327
$0 $13872 V $13873
$0 $13873
(05300) $13879
12760 82
227272
3 $232
$3047
$3108 $317
$3234
$323
t$365 $3432
$3507
13571
$3642
13715
0
C
C J
0 C
0
0 0 0
0
0
0
1
10
$0
$c
so $0
so
$0 $0
$0
$0
$0
$0
336 $314553 1133S $32844 2H t61735
133 1 3S 135G $34(432
1336 $7gt
1332 $354227 1133 $30132L
13 $363543
$37
139E $383432 11222 $23
1 S332$3=22 1133 $406 9-7
113 $415046
11396 $423346
s12 7 $i E74 $8 $47575_ $846 $13E79 1-_- - $ tq520120 s 379 3132332 1103568 S3f2050 1750934
01279 133227 11 _2433 $11024 27 $71 82 373 32 6S0 $1553 S02 $1183280 $038694 $S87 13-3413 S79 04 $1342714 S111722
$237 1o3558 2 134 $148368 $i2632 1387 $347443 $2217146 162562 5133723$ 1 $12753 $254670 $243-151 S1757074 S149 74
S3 $ E K22 $180334 C 5 53 $1337 $362S55 $2 44423 51933835 V16E3750 S3879 $377322 7223 $2106944 51 8M465
$1373 7-E5- $ 24502 $221101 84 2 05-$13 79 $3 3 028 $3437512 $2309366 $1912745
$13373 $401167 $3627923 $2402321 $1978339 S7579 $4f-5767 $387674 $2491523 $2040140
$3E2613 V1813
165S399
$78102 $32673
1014228
$111073 I31253
$282534
$1 35 $1424132
66
$5474 $1572856 S1 39434 $1682535
$71153 $273933 0 $0 22819 $7105250 $991546 $6116704
A-29
TABLE A-15 (Contd)gSSVL1TKE--- TAL-2 12alculated)
-cic ar -ari - lysis fc Erery rvestrrts - Egypt EEP i9IlS
Costs Perefit PararetErs Irsternal Rate cf Return 4318
M-quisition $7174953 Trice of il $200 bbl (yr 1)Transportat ir $ Ci1 scalat 20year Disc PV of PV of BICCostructic-n so
nate Derefits Costs f1] Ratio interconnection $0 Enrgy Savrs 11395 bbiyear
- -FUEUSEQ tYear 0 702250 $99FAG $E11Z704 717TOTPL (Cap) $717953 2$-74 483 $942 962 $4802515 609 4 $4723695 $905011 $3817674 521Construct Tirr 10 ronths $21-4pound397 $877493 $20E2904 450 8w $3 704 $855181 2 23 3910perztin and rcaMainterance Costs 10 $277630 $837483 $2 040 140 344
Operating Cost $13379 year 1I$2681 244 s830008 $1851237 323 12 $S2505816 iK23281 $162 535Operating_ Lifetime 21 years
304 13 $2348613 $817216 $1531397 287 14 $2207304 $311730 $139-574 2072Major Equipmert RepairReplacement 15 $2079899 $60E754 $1273145 258 1 $1924 $802229 $162462 245Replace Cost $300period 18 $176Z198 $794327 $370871 222Replace Period 20 years 20 $1593342 $787687 $811655 203
A-30
rcrc= ~ar rial Zralys- f- Erery lrivertfrentE -- E_=yt E
TQILE P-6
Fo Ca-se cfIELD TEST 4 - H-L4AN TEXTILPSIR
sunrini Esalation Rate cf 21
rILU3 WASTE H7AT Ey VD-- OIL 530B)
YEar aia
eratir Cost of Oil
cSst $1b Fuel Used ru
Ergry
Ecu I ZaVE f
ZnEr y Anru
COSt aS 7-06
rret 1 -iEzurtE 4
Cash 3
Flow (NV) 10
3 = 8
1 ra-rt
rn-rjt or $0 $0
4
2
14
15
16 17
is 12
20 21
73
$0 $7 so $0 $0$0 $0
C
$0
$0
S $ $0
so $0
$0 ($6300)
232-
23277w 37 63S
119 S387 $2879$13q73 $711$c
3273
1373 2733
S387-
S1237
2M79 $13r379
$12873 $13873
$13879 $3879
$35 S$ 60
3 284 $-247 S-is $3378 $3446$L515( $-c
$357
$73 0 $3805
$23
$-3958
S4022 $4118
$4201 $4265
$4370 $4458
00 0 0 0 0 0 0C
0
0 (
0
0
3 0
0
0 0
SO $0 SO $0 $l $0 $0 $0
S1 so $0
$0
$0
$0
$0 so
$0 $0
M51--S1333 $343 718 261- s337
33 2 33S $273062 3 $377453 233H $35012 336 3K1173I3 4f =c
$40Z S72
133S $41E750 136 $42525 1396 $43287
136 S442253 113 $451102
$4 2 1393 $4-C223 13^6 s4727-11396 $483289 i39g $498OE5 11396 $508016
hC S23873
$13873 S13873 T1387 $13 S72 $-
3 S 7 $23873 2 I12579 233q73
$17379
$12273 SI6373
513373 $13279
$13879 $7579
5
3332- ($$32236 (SS3386) ($$3335)12342333 ( H32t ( (1358887) 36 23 1813 (12- 1) (-- 20) (176337 ($3K-
-333743 27 264n4 27-3 $1Z756 1 5 35S133 $ 2-5 $47E533 $429034 S2-253 $3S3584 $32$TK-40 $65473 $559135 271133 $18 2 392 86423S777323 $378E34 $L5375Z $ E 66 103688 St458
- 44 3 $7 3 88 $230 S104765
3 202224 S57_- $1406472 S1247C37S402671 $DD141s $S773936$561796 $1376S11 1266 5r2 Q5SK235 S s 03
$41370P S2 79 $211E957 t 3653 $160275 $425379 13 27352 $227448 V3733 $437224 2 4$2 7t79390 $443246 125 32- $2564014 $285102 1J7317 $4-5449352 3 536 95 2284 $8294S311 $464336 $4070 026 $2322SE $2376786 12012911 $474410 $4304208 $2941307 $2462113 $2075603 $44176 $4534018 $305Z49 $2541279 $2130820 $500437 S47[2411 $3160864 $2615666 $2183698
$711653 $27993 0 $0 E29819 $8529900 $991546 $7538354
A-31
TLE TABLE A-16 (Contd)
- -1T E l-ate)
Znor~i ari -iraria2 alysis for Energy ireVstrents - Egypt EA1
LEitET Csts Eerefit Pararveters Interra Rate of eturr f255
Acouisition $752 ranspecrtaticr $$ Construction $0
rtercorrectior so
Price cf 04 0i Escaiat
Enrgy Savrs
$3 b (y-0yaar
1335 5byear
1) Dis- Rate
-
2V cf Benefits
PVof Costs NPV
BC Ratio
----------T2T_ CapL
--- Fuel Use 0 byear 852230C s432 $
$55 342 H5
77538254 $$f95$ 6A2- 6
860
--rstrct Tire 10 rths 4 $56642 6$473r-67
$90E 011 $877 49
$47E2411 $335- 184
62 E40
Operating and Nomra Maitenance Costs 8$4016044
10 $3452155 $8KZ 31 $827483
13 856amp4 $269666
470 412
Operating Cost Dperating Lifetime
$3872 21
year years
1 3217493 12n $00E930 13 $2218335
$33000c $823281 $817216
f2 387 486 $2183693 $2001 1
383 365 345
Major Equipment Repirez acement 4$2648765
15 $2A4S5619 $811730 $802754
1637035 $1689125
o 309
Replace Cost Replace Period
($5300)period 20 years
-$2327629 18 $2118238 20 $1919210
$822 $794327 $787687
$55 400 $1213911 $131524
-94 267 244
A-32
Eccic and iranza Pr-i- frEre irvEter -- Eypt EEq 10135-
TRPLE A-17
FcrCse TZST 44 - HELWN T-EE-2- WA7ST EW PRfL KMIY rOIL $351BL) Ass-ir- 02lEaldegio Rate cf 20
Saved Ya- cfCEita7 Ocratin Ccst of Di Fuel Used Fuel E rerry SavEd rd Caa--FioA Liscoured Cash Flow (MTN)Year -St cst SBbI (2b2) Cost Equiv i
rerV C-rrert $ 4 8 10 12
ransport P
I rt-rzcre ic $
ctal t777 SH$00 0 so
1833 5$477 $72255 ($$732 SE279 ) ($S5790) ($653790) ($53790)7-27 $-7 0Z27$0$ 3 $ 94) n- 3
0$0 r- 17365 $414974 $13673 SA 01 S354 $348 92-12 c30$ 12F7c S3714 $0 37 $42ST27 $13 $401-74793 B1 SZ384C $ $342M12 $302215$ $3789 11336 $437 379 S417 $7 $1873 $864 E $E 7 $7 -7730 $0 11336 1440374 $13873 $4 4K3 $G576 1$7330 $SK2736 $M57770 s0 13 44 $187 0 S
$43 E302 $1510 601 S1 E44 $1133453C 1 S7372 $4020 S103 Z- 7 84 S13 50 283 $13442 $1237257S 7S E $411 13 $473 1 873 $4344 $2173553 $1754865 $157379 $420428 I 13879 4183 0 $0 136 $47L575 $337 $4L73Sbull ~$ $--37 -n S2504 707 S9379 $ 7742-0 $ 873177 $42EE 13 $-71 11133S 1299 IO4 2 37$4 23 273 -2-3 $2823796 $225158 $9523 $733394S7 $352 0 so 11326 54H $ 3 4 $3332 $241302 1212330 t8773732 $ 73 $4433 0 $0 11336 55585 712579 $47 $34 $2607271 $2 282067 $200425014 1 $11279 $4522 0 $0
12 11335 S515963 $1 273 1522 089 $74=754 $273 888 2427504 $2 113 3155 $0 7873 $4amp81- S $28973 S4711
0 $ $ 227 1 79 1511405 44rN657 $296E343 $2 43a $22241640 so 3965 $53z 11E7 t=1937 $-6 113 13 $4232024 2687624 $2319702$534 $31311417 $ 1272 $48 0 $0 11336 $747542 1367 $ 33470 1 535 $328E967 $283766 $24057562 V $1187 $430 0 $0 11336 $55-50 $13873 $544621 $453 543 $3434161 $2311516 $24K07719 $0 $12879 $499 0 $0 11336 $569670 $13873 $555791 $5170903 353248 $3011480 $255835120 10 $13279 $509 0 $0 11396 $591064 $13879 $567185 $5440113 $3704671 $3104220 $26L420521 ($6300) $12879 $5201 0 $0 11336 $532685 $7579 $525106 $5707148 $3830205 $3191192 $2684852
$711653 $279833 0 $0 229819 $9951551 $991546 $80004
A-33
TABLE A-17 (Contd)
Econorni a 7inarcia ay-- fc Ener~y investmerts -- Egypt ZE r986
Ca~it~a cstz Perefit Parameters Irnterrna Rate of Return 6217
Pcquisiticn 7i Transpc-tation $ Constr-ct ior $0
inter-conrection $0
TOTQL (Cap) $717953
--iceof 21 OillEscalat
Enr y Savgs Fuel Use
135K bb (yr 1) 2Ovear
113- bblyear 0 Ltlyear
DI sc PV of Rate Eer eFits
0$9IK551 2$043677
PV of CoS1 ots
$91545 $942908
PaPV
$3960004 $7100709
3C Rat i o
1004 853
Corstruc Time 10 mcrths
Operatirq an Normal Maintenare Costs
OPeratir Cost $13879 year Operating Lifetime 21 years
Major Equipmernt RepairReplacemernt
Replace Cost ($6300)period Replace Period 20 years
A-34
4 $6 613 1-S$ 24 95
8$4amp3825 $$4) 21
11 $3753742 2 $3506143 13$328058 14 $ C9026 15 $23159 16 $27550567 18 $2471278
20 $2239079
$906011 $877 493
$55S 131 $83748-$330008 $823 2 $817216 $S1730 $806754 $802 22n $794327
$787687
$5707 148 $4647 463
$3830205 $3191192 $2927735 $2684862 $2470842
$2278496 $10510-$1943339 $1676951
$1451392
730 630
548 481 452 426 402
381 361 343 311
284
Erno a - raial Ayaavs- fc EErcy IvestLErts -- E 5y 1NObr
TABLE A-B
For Case zf7- D EST 4 - PEWA TEXTLES2R olUS STE H- PE-5- G4-88 ZL Pssur 2i Esalaticr Rats cf 2(
Year
Laital
Cost
Oeratir
Ist
Cost Of Cil
$1IL5
Fue Use
(BL
FE
zc-st
Save Energy
Z4iv
V_-shy_ Saved
Energy
a1
Ccst
F1c
urre-t S
Dafiscourted Cash Flow (NPV) plusmn 4 8 -0 1
1 Trarspzrt $0
4
37--
0
$0
1
$16 $13279
$1387c
$40
$400 $4162
S4245
0
0
0
0
V
s0
$0
1239
11396 11396
336
$75973 $464957 $474255
- 6 $483741
$72026S
113379
137S 7 9 $13879
3644233)
S451078
$477U C 7 $463852
(S64433) (210fG4
14r1$2 5 o0n $-32786
(2644A) (12Z
$1 52 0 7 1
$541cent52
31544293)
(234=-) $ 4
$493269
(364423M)
S24 545) $24$ 5
$452903
A
7 8
-
10
12
13 14 15
16 17
18 19
20
21
$0 t0
0 $0 V $0
So
I$0 $0
$0 $0 $0
$0 $0
$0 $0
$0
($5300)
13273 T2879
$9 S237 $2873 $3873 $13873
$13879 $13879
$13873 $13873 42879
13673 $13879
$13879
$13879
$13879
$13879
14330 $4416
$4505 $4595 $4535 $4687 $4780
$4876 $4973
$5073 $5174 $5278
$5333 $5491
$5601
$5713
$5827
$5344
0
Q5 0 0 0 0
0 0
( 0 0
c 0
0
0
0 0
so so
o
so $0 $0
so $0
S $0 $O
$0 10
$0
$0
s0
$0
236 3133
1136 E I39 11396 11396 35
1396 11396
113 11336 11336
336
1396
11336
113
1135
11336
5$493416 $503264
35) 1 G 1
S531 1534083 $544771
$5665 S566780
1
$523 678 $60471
$612501 $525771
$G39286 55 Q52
$664073
S677 K4
$13873 S473537 $13873 $4834C-E
$13873 $49747 $3979 f50g 7-shy2
$1379 $52CI210 113873 $538321 227$5 -89 S3879 $541787
$79 K $-7579 $54236 $13273 577K $3873 S27532 113973 $53622 t3879 $11892 $3379 S624407
$13879 $337173
$3879 $650194 $757 $669775
$1042696 114443E
$18336301 $222704-
$2607162 1233016093 1
13346172 $7C- 32
$4 05746 $440256 $4742875
$-075824 $51402515
$5723072
$503759
$34c208 $6651884
$935- $825 M $764658$12M617 $10681 S10425
$-43 $1412669 1407 $123372E$715$=2 9
f39- $21843 11916875 $1735031 23 42 $1 $375$ 3427 $214202S t 53G $2636380 03 $9 $2 27 503 12544695 S2200320 $3037575 $2721482 $2405748 $3-3032352- 28970 12537706 S350348 $3045001 $2673393
$3698373 $2 183546 t757485 $3876979 $3 3711 $2867300
14045737 $3446247 12953242 $4205189 $356C8 3041099
$435846 $3657160 $311659 $4493545 $376678 $3186025
$711653 $279893 0 $0 12-93813 $11373201 $991546 $10381654
A-35
TABLE A-18 (Contd)- o-SOS TflBLE BEN T-2T TPBLE 7alculated)
zccc- an FiariJ Analysis for Energy Investments - Egypt EEA
Capita Colts BerEfit Parameters nterna lRate of Returr 7207
Acquisiticon 171753 Price of Oi $4000 lbL (yr 1) Transportation $0 Dil Escalat 20vear Disz FV of PV of BC
Construction $0 Rate Benefits Costs TV Ratio Iterconnection $0 Errgy Savrigs M-35 bblyear
-- -- ------- Fuel Use 0 bblyear $W373o $99546 $10381654 1147 TCTAL Cap) S717S53 2$1 773 $942968 SB2 49 - 5 975
4$7557396 $906011 $6E5884 834 Zonstruct Time 10 months 6 $-314236 $877493 15436743 72n
51354726 S855 18 1 $4 42S 545 G20Operating and Norcal ainterarce Costs 0$4604207 $S37489 $3766718 550
1$4289991 $3000 $345983 517 OeI-ating Cost $13879 year 48712 $4003306 $123281 $318G025
Operatin Lifetice 21 years r3 $177781 $817216 $2940565 460
14 $53637 $8730 $2719957 435 Vajcr Equiprrent RepairReplacement A $3327839 $80S754 $2521084 412
16 Z3 143506E $80212209 $2341277 392Replace Cost ($6300)period 18 $2824317 $794327 $2029990 356
Replace Period 20 years 200 $2558947 $787687 $1771260 325
A-36
E~zcrorci an4 ariaqrysr for EnEy Ivestrets -- -Gyrt = 3P
F c r C a s e o f F - r T 3 3 4 - j r 7 o i o s X_--
E 4 OR $251 FT -RC= $159P
ss=insectCA Escalation Rate cf 20
Save a - shyCaita eratirn Cost cf 01 Fue Used Fuel Ener) SavE AnnaI ash Floi Discounted Cash Flow () 9 iyE- cost Cost $Bb (2b1 Cost Epoundalv Energy Cost Current $ 4 8 10 12
l cuisiis 52452
Trans $2 Corstru_ o
ta 4 $-52 S $0 S2832 3$-22955 s28Sz3 ($128968) ($28928) (128)tc 52 C 10 34-2 $-324 S Z 24 ($125877 M$25991) (T2045) (S260981$ 0 $-55 0 s 34s S5431 $2110 s ($22707 ($123144) (3123301) (23450)$0 $ $2 0 $0 342 $f540 $2110s 40 11 S758) (242) 20704 S2 009S0 $T2-4 0 $0 34 $2110 25a0 (1273) (S17820 (32 3S759)S$0 2 $1G56 C $0 348 $763 $ 3 (1 1 3 7A s2 $13 0 f0 34 $E873 $2110 $379 (I0750 $12S ( S1 $14777)VC 2 $172- 0 $0 348 $-39 s 2 C2 $38ES (107797) h$1 (51)$130950 52110 $1757 C $0 342 $11 S2110 S400r ($104870) (t103526) (111004 ) (211401)$ c 120 $1793 C $0 348 $S28 522O S4123 31S9) (S10461 (S OS M) (1092) s210 I 512_ 348 $363 S2110 $42-5 (S39096) ($104491) ( S037($103 543)$0 S220 $sE5 0 ti shy32 t54 211 $435-0 (M251)
-- (S10261 ($22 ($07284)$0 $220 $1902 0 $1 343 $r2) 2110 $4510 (S93434) ($100821) 31$03G84) ($10512)14 $o S2110 $1940 0 $0 34 573 $2110 54243 ($50645) (S92114) (5)02340) (15062)5$0 52110 $1979bull 0 $0 343 S5683 I2110 $4778 (37am) ($9742q) ($10102) (S104085)6 $0 $2110 $201 0 so 342 S7C7 $21 $421517 50 ($5155) ($95 938) (ST2 90 ($103 1861$2110 0 )2059 348 $71 2 $$2o $ ms $22458) ($94462) ($S-30O ($102)o11 $ $2110 $210o 0 $0 34S
19 $7303 $2110 $-19- ($73789) ($92057) ($377T6 (01605$0 $2110 $2142 0 $0 348 $745M $2110 -5345 ($77150) ($91720) ($3814) ($100909)20 $0 $2110 S2185 0 $0
21 ($5438) $2110 $--29 0 348 $7605 $2 Ili $5495 ($74542) ($90446) (9916) ($100271)
$0 348 $7757 ($3328) $11085 ($69483) ($88068) ($9426a) (99 I2)
$124048 $42552 0 $0 7018 $130239 $166600 (36361)
A-37
ABSUPTIOS TABLE TABLE TABLE A-19 (Contd) IT--CCOTS TAL --C ed
and Fina-E P7aiysiz fc- Energy IrvestzErts -- ypt EE
aPita Ccsts Benrefit Parateters
Pquisitio 2948S Price cf Oil $1500 lbi (yr 1)Transortatior $0 Oil Escalat 20year
onstructio $0
rterconrectior $0 Enrgy Savns 348 b5year Fuel Use 0 thi
TOTAL (Cap) $123466
Construct Tirfe 10 months
Ozerating amNormal Mairterance Costs
Operatin Cost $2 110 year Oerating Lifetime 21 years
Major Equipment RepairReplaceuert
Replace Cost ($5438)Period Replace Period 2 years
Internal Rate of Return
Disc PV of PFJof Rate Benefits Costs
-=_
0 U -1c233 s 6660 2 $105270 $160683
4 $83543 $15031 6 $72307 $E2344
8 $61319 $149387 le S5272 914S33-
11 $49126 $14E566 12 $4912 $145034 3 $4 032 $144180
14 4144-- $143417 15 $38108 $142713
16 $35 9 7 $142068 18 $32342 $140933 2 $29303 $139971
-2 63
NIN
$32 ($55410)
($6943($8 037)
($80 8) ($343_68)
($C-33323(99 22)
($101156)
($102974) ($104604)
($106071) ($102591)
($110667)
Ratio
073
066
055 047
041 C36
034 03
30
28 027
0 25 023
021
A-38
For Case - -EL 7 7 14 - HELPN EXTLiIPH 0LECTOR PRV =552FT - PRIEC OL S2L Pssurin Oi Zscalaticr Rate cf 2C
SavEd a- c Cost of CII FUE1 Useer CUE Energy Eavn Arnual Ca ow sSZOLnte- Cash Flow ( NV) iYear Ct Ct Ipbl (P2-) Cost Ecsiv Ererry ZOst Currert $ 4 3 0 2 is-t i c r
_ _____ _
Traszr $C - LCrErZt cr 30
i tercorrezcr SO 21 53 $1 $1223 ($23378 $123pound73 ($23673) ($22673) ($123578)$ 72c Q0$24c $0 348 S7033 $2h1c i4S83 $2680 2124053) (12442) (1243)$21~ 0 0so 34a 17241 $2C $5121 3 (E -59)($112301) ($12012)4so So c V- Z $-co 348 7 $2110 $5275 -44- (1115471 ($15371 (lII3- $21 $25 ) $9 348 $7534 1I2110 5424 1038O) (111484) ($I-33 1I2930$0 $211 $2205 c $0 345 768 $2110 $-E574 ($105228) (7076G0) (105772) (037S7)
$0 2110 $-52 c $) 48 728 n04 SC Sshy$ $-bO $5723 C l00701 ($10408 SO55r ($ICS585)o $U S2110 P-3a7S0 $13 0 $0 348 Si110 $-525$2343 0 343 3430341 $2 (Si L- f E471 1$0$ 8) ($C4 203$) $_ -- $21 t$3050l 31($812) (S97231) (53673) ($10762
t t110 t c 3 2 M745)$0 203 ($94275) ($97066) (M23)S1 52110 $2438 Q $0 349 124B4 $2 $E374 (9g1 f$948 3)($2 144) 3233 ($07471)$110 $Z487 C $0 348 $2354 $2110 $r544 ($75894) ($88516) ($ 3 1 ($=120)$0 $2110 $25313 0 t0 342 $2227 T2110
1 $E717 ($74632) ( 849) ($901174) ($33855
$0 $20 $2557tbull I 0 034 $3 0034$34 S211 7) ($33314)S263 M$8178) (S32 2u)15 $0~ ($to50 $2110 $2333 0 $0 343 $3184 $210$7074 $ 473 ($2090S) ($83 315) ($3032)$0 $211 ( $2332 0 $01L 348 $ S237 $2110 $727 ($32444) ($73618) $34578) $83512)7 $0 72 10 $2746 0 $0 343 S555 $2110 S744E 3$5340 ($7S445) (323-7 (333293)1 $0 5210 $280 0 $0 348 $2745 $2110 $7636 ($54542) I 43W ($21447) (2B7156)$0o $2110 $225L 0 $0 349 $3341 $2110 S7831 ($50684) ($72422) ($80038) ($35163)2C $0 $2110 $2914 0 $0 348 $1023 $2110 $3029 ($46872) ($7WC561 (75726) ($85235)21 ($5439) $2110 $272 0 $0 346 $10342 ($3328) $13670 ($40634) ($676S2) ($76694) ($83818)
$124043 $42552 0 $0 7018 $17362 $163 00 $7052 A-39
TABLE A-20 (Contd) P-SJ 2DTPKE rZFT7-CGS72 TLAK (acutated)
Hom and Firaa ralvsis fcr Erergy Investments - Egypt EEAn 5S
Za-ital Costs Benefit Paraeters lnterrna Rate cf Return 046
Acquisition $129485 Price of Oil $22O0 1bb (yr 1)Transoortation $0 Di Escala 2Oyear Disc PV f PV of BCConstructior Rate Beniefits Costs Ratio Interconrnection $0 Errgy Savngs 348 bblyear - --- =_
Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 $173252 $16E600 $705 104 (Cao)bull0TL1a8 $14 360 $10c ($ 320) 087
4 $115398 $155031 ($40634) 074Corstruct Time 0 -rnths A $36409 $152 34 ($55935) 063 8 $8A759 $14937 ($7623) 0Operatin and Normal Maintenanrce Costs CIA $70299 $14S933 ($76694) 048
11 $55502 $145 966 ($0464) 045Operating Cost $210 year 12 $51216 $145034 ($33818) 042Operating Lifetime 2years 13 $57376 $144188 ($85812) 040 14 $53924 $143417 ($89493 038Kajor Equipmert RepairReplacement $C811 142713 ($91901) 36 IS $47997 $142068 ($94071) 034Salvage Value ($5438)period 18 $432- $140933 ($97810) 031
Replace Period 20 years 201 $39071 $139971 ($100899) 028
A-40
- End - Ar y= fcr ZErcy~gt Ef-tS - ~ Aq
TiE fl-2[
-or -ase
Assamin
c
Ui
Tf-L0EST 4 -
E-alation Rate f
TECTh- 211
20 25BFJ
Yec-
-_ ztr
fs
nrt-r--et
YEzEta u-rir z os
___=== shy = i2 ~~
z-_ 233
r $
of deg $i2
- Lse (Ebi)
ICoRue
Cost
Saved Ersery
Ecuiv
Va -cf Saved
Erery
5 S
n-a
-shyt
zas CIO
Curt S
t
Discounted Cash
4
Ficii 0 V)
0C
1 =
4
2
14 1 17 17
12 19 20 21
5-
s$
s 12
ampc
SO SC
$3 5 $0
(5 438)
2II0 2 110
S$210$o
12102IC
2110 SC$
U0 52 10
O QI0I $2110 521110 $2I07343
$2110 $2110 $2110 $2110
--23OI 1
Q27^S7SC
7
f_522 $2 3
S2147 $2SQ 53171
34 23 EE
13 534Vo$344)
$35o $3571 53342 53715
Ct
-1C
o
0 C
0
0 0
0 0
C 0
0
$0$034-=
s5
$50
s3$s4
$ $0
5$
so $0
$ $0
$O $0 s0 S0
348
343Z4
348
34E 342
342 342
34S 342 3474E 348 348
345 348 348 348
13574$ = $
$3
$3417sampo
$ 7E3
1 3-$337
euroscs $1 37
s3 $254 $1S t9 03
$121 1 S1242 $12674 $12 928
V2 31 -shy
11C
2110s519
2 12-0
1S 11 145
$2C
$2110
t2 110 $210
S2 110 $2110 $2110 ($3328)
33 2-72 ZZS ($13333 335B3 122S7 4 ($ E 22 25) ($13-2 3 (t12243)4 ($t1 ($pound 7) I$1692 $t5 S5 -
1 4 $7123 3$M234 ft 91 11745)--- $175)
$7307 31028 S C5148) ($106(1 7SC $5- t7495 ($737 (IiCc047 cs (-02843
783 ($cZ203) ($37185 (32353shy$7854 (1S4 6 1 533 (133122 (523371 $8133 ($7E754) (SS3 5) M335)) (ic21-h)
$S27 (7222) (32C900 ($2525 ($83134) $495 ($87 23 78 ) 382 5Wc ($5399)12 717 ($5 ($44-0 (7350I (583995)$3924 9 53 ($70 8771 (S7664) ($81605)V1144 (S$2471 ($67514) ($74016) (579509)
($45C (64324) ((715434) (S772) $33 5337301 ($5292) (5 2501 ($7 838)$7533 ($58428) ($8711C) ($74234) 0 )72 29303 ($5706) (S5 11a ($72767)1$0316 (24217) ($53124) (S5322) ($71425) $10564 (S19203) ($50676) ($6155) ($70199) $16256 ($11754) ($47129) ($59119) ($685141
$124043$42552 0 $0 7018 $217065 166500 50465
A-41
ELSTU0 TABLE TABLE A-21 (Contd)
PLE(-
Zcoo r Firatia iavsis fc- Energy Irvesterts shy Eypt EE1
C itz Zosts enefit Paraveters Irterraz Rate cf REturr 304
zao-isitior S12948E Traszrtzti $0
l rtier to Interzorrectio $0
Price of Oil 0 Escalat
Errgy Savnrgs
$250C bb (yr 20vear
342 bIyear
Disc Rate -
WV of Ienef-
W cf Fcsts N
BC Ratio
- --
TJT -------shy
1 486 FuEl Use 0 bblvear ^
-a-27 H-S$17 450
$SG0 s16K 580
$E 4S $14770
30
109
Construct Tive 10 crths 4^ 6
$144247 $2051
$I-o0 2344
$17S4) (4P 832)
02 073
Coeratirsect and Normal Mairtenance Costs
Operatir Cost $2110 year 0oeratin~ Lifetinie 21 years
8 0 1
2
$102198 $27874 3-877
$7E520 $$7720
$14937 $14S33 $145S3
$145034 V44122
$47123) ($ 119) ($64039)
($68514) $72458)
068 060 056 053 050
Mamr Equipmet ReoairReplacemert 14 1
$97405 $143417 1427
($76012) (179199)
047 045
REplace Cost Replace Period
($5438)period 20 years
6 18 20
$59996 $53304 $43839
$142068 $140 233 $139971
($82072) ($87030) ($91131)
042 C38 035
A-42
TRSLE 1-22
F- cf-- s 14- HELN Esumlr Oi Esampaton Rat2 cf
(TC2LEHr Trorp-
20 -P z-3 z-
1iazip Ycst
Ls-cr 113 -
0eratir Cost
Cott of oil W
Fte e c
-e el Ct
Savec Energy Ev
Va1-_ of -avef
ErErcy pnua
st a=n 7c DirountEj Ca_
E-rre-t $ 40 8 Flo (NPN) i
10 =
12
4 f
7
10
N-I-
1-
15
$ 7
is
19
I 21
C rutc
0t13oo
V 12 116 30E 11 $321
so No 13LR $- 110 z347 $ t-1 $33 2
S 8029 $3278 2li $344E
S0 f2I0 1315 - - 1 35
S1 r t2110 1373C-
S S212 $3 15 2 1 S281
$S)S2 5I3908 $ S4(38
so QAc2h18 41 SO $s2 $420 50 $2 11 $4 so $110 $4370
$5433) $2110 $4455
$124048 $42552
0
c 0
0
0
0
0
0 C 0 c
0 0
0 0
0 0
0
S
10 345 so 34
so 248 to 345
C 34S
so 3 $ 348 $0 348 $0 348o
$0 348 0 348
$ 345 so 3$6
so 348
$0 348 s A3 $0 348
SO 348
$0 348 $0 348
$0 7018
Q74C 12-
s649 - 1 s B3 110
in1 73 p311 S30 $2110 1127 f110
$11757 2110 $13 I-sI S2322_2ltU1510
2477 130
S 72H 11 S s- $1 2 1-110 s17o- s2
t3770 5-10 $14051 $2110 S302 S2 S14613 $21(
$1491 $ 1 $15203 $3110 $15513 ($332
$260478 $-SF600
A-43
53 ($85557 27Z- )S17
V5S59 10 1 3131 ($9-
12417 e -^-
$-E47 ( S) sI S t730)2
5 L22
1c357 4SW III
S1STs ($241)$1037 s173) 1 30 127 27)
Sc1L33 331 3X4
1 L 5 -267)
$is 7o7) 510L 3 ^41)
2 S2 8 U249
$3S10-2 $346S $18841 170-5
1$93 78
($(225 ($128038)
12 5 52 33- 1 12683 (1M 3102)
1105 EEG) 3$1 364 $3--3) $C 10-
($92 (534$ 3 (1S3225) (33734) ($o5s (s82733
$7 030) (79 0 11) 33 7041(IN
(647) $70511)($50334 (670 (1904) ($53154)
5( 714 (E 8 54) ($47743) 3567S2 $437) ($S33 3540411) fS5123
t070(37030) (4E7331
($33 827) - (S45E
($30 7K) ($44344) (26749) $41544)
($1202a
(31204741 (51347T
IS(117 C272 1( -_- ($SC) I ($627)
(132453) ($7 745)
( 2S ($712
(5344) $SE73S)
My AS)
($2 14) (5601171)
(556T
($5-5-E54)
($55162) (53210)
TABLE A-22 (Contd)
Ezrzic and Fir-a Analv=is Er=-ry Invest-eants - Egypt EEfl oI 1
Catal Costs Benefit Para-eters l-tera ate of Return 532
Pccuisitio $12943s Price c Cii Transportation $ Oi Escalat
Construct iorn $0 Interconnection $0 Enry Savrs
--- - --- el Use TOTAL LCap) $129485)
Construct Time 10 r-=nths
Operatin and Ncrmal nartErane Costs
Operatin g Cost $210 year Ooerating Lifetire 21 years
Major Equipment RevairReplacemert
Replace Cost ($5438)period Replace Period 20 years
$300 bb (yr 1) 2 Cvear
34E bblyear 0 tblyear
Dic PV cf Rate Eerefits
=-- shy == 0 -260478
2 $210541
4 $172037 6 $144614
8 122 S38 10 $105449 11 $93 253
i2 $91824 13 $86064
14 S00885 15 $76217
16 S71995 18 $64685 20 $58607
PV cfof Costs
$166600
$160680 $15H 02 SE2344
$149337 $146993 $145966
$145034 $144188
$143417 $142713
$142068 $140933 $139971
wgV
$93878
$49860 $17065 ($7730)
(326749) ($41544) (347713) ($53 tn0) ($S3 124)
($62531) ($6649G) ($70073) ($76249) ($81364)
Ratio _
15S 13 1 095 82
C72 067 063 060
C56 053
051 04G 042
A-44
Ecnio af rarcia Ay5s fr Enerzy rvestr-et=- E__y EE- t
TABLE A-23
D 7E4--r Case ofF- - H8LW TEXT-PP C LcTORvR- - p n-OIL 35 _) 9ssu=- Oil Escalation Rate cf 20
spvedCa4t Csratr Zost cf Oi Fuel Used Fel Erergy Vi~
3aved Arral Ca-s 7 2iscurnt (-ir- Flo (NTV) 8 iYear Ec SBbX (Ebi) Cost Eniv Enercy ost Crr $ 4 10 12
1 Trarsort $ bull Ccrstr_-ticy $
1 Ir -e2or tic - $0r
Ttal T4- $352 $300 0 $0 58 $2030 f223 2780) 3$227($1802) (S27803) ($37308)Ss s210 12570 0 so 348 S2424 12 10 10314 $7S3 ($(S2 ) (1342 o 59)
3$ 123 $3541 0 $0 348 $12672 2 11 105S2 022T) (103O023) ($103703 ($10179)4 2 $2 0 $3714 c SO 349 2 $2110 8 ($18 -1 7 ( 0 7 (0 410
S3783 0 to$2110 348 $13 184 $2110 111074 ($53044) (332477) ($34013 ($3-7443)E 10 1-110 S3364 0 $i 345 S3448 $2s SI335 $73716 (1847z (8900)T $21 $342 0 $0 348 $13717 1I10 11607 (571 553) _77447 C$S04-2 ($-3 123)
0 -1( 241 ( 77 ($74 ($77155)so 348 4 $s $7 s$o2110 348 11427$311I0~Snl $8 C $0 $2110 Ll 1Z3) 12944) 1S5 372844)
1 82 20 $L (SIL0 348 S14556 t2 $1244 ($43394) ($57718 (5S33731 ( 1 211r 5428-4 0 $0 343 $4847 S21110 $1277 2 s($7 3) 364254) S $0o 348 1511413 1 $4439 $S I o 13031 - ($ 2 ) ($46228) ( 853834)($0 507)110 f- $0 348 1 447 12 110 $13337 ($18432) ($4C32) ($43644) ($57084)14 $0 $2110 $4528 0 50 348 $E75E t 112 S4 (S102 (394) (4582 (2 9S75 1$10 W4 S 343 16 07 $2110 $139s] ($2234) ($31IG) ($4201f5 ($L I100
16 211SC $24 $4711 0 S 348 $18322 $211 1 14_ 15 7 (S2S 531 ($38-96] ($A 4917 S $2110 $4805 0 $0 348 5721 12 I10 14611 $13437 (22394) (35416) 34S107)18 $C $2110 $4301 0 $0 243 $1-5 $2110 $i345 $21170 (18354) ($32460) ($930)19 $ $20 $4993 $0 343 $17336 52110 $15286 $28715 ($14 529) ($209710) ($4943)20 $0 $2110 $5099 0 $0 348 T17744 $2110 $15634 $36136 ($10 207) ($27 154 ($40 127)21I($5438) $2110 $5201 0 $0 348 $18099 ($3328) $1427 $45915 ($30) ($23969) ($3790)
$124048 $4255 0 $0 7018 303891 $166 amp0 137291
A-45
TABLE A-23 (Contd) PSELTIONS TWPLE H-77-C3T-3 TA-2L Eated)
Econooi and Firnani aIvs4s fe- Ener y Ivestcents - Eypt EE 03i32
Capital Csts Berefit Paraeter- Itera Rate c RetLr- 739
Aqisiti-503S S4ES Pice c ii bb (yr 1)TrasScrtation $0 01 ESalat W0year DiEc PV of P of BC
Corstructior $0 Rate Beneits Costs WPV Ratio rterconrection $0 Enray Savwgs 343 bblyear -
Fuel Use 0 blyear 02E1 S 600 II7721 82TOTAL Cap) $1Z48C Z $1683 $54 350 53
4 $20194S I5E3 $45715 i2CcrstrUct Time 10 mrths E1 716 $152344 $16372 11
8 $143078 $14337 ($S309) 096Operatirpound and Norma Ma~ntenarce Costs 10 $123024 $14E933 (23969) 084
11 $114628 $145956 ($31 33 079Oerating Cost $2 110 year 2 $107128 $145034 ($37906) 074Operating Lifetime 2 years 13 $101408 $144182 (343780) 070
14 $34I26 $143417 (U9050) 066Major Ecuipment RecairReplacemernt $S30 $142_713 ($53793) 062
1S 0584 ($53074) 059$1420O8Salvage Value ($5438)period 18 $75465 $14C 33 ($55468) 054Replace Period 20 years 20 $68375 $139571 ($715) 049
A-46
Ecor-r~c a Fi-ra- aivss VeSt=rts EE2fC- -ErV - E --t
TAFLE A-24
Case cf77-Lf TES 4 - HEWA XTILE1P (M CT P $2zS - PRE-F OIL 640EBLh ssuming Oil Escalation Rate f 20
saved VaiLe Ofonita Doeratir Lcst of Oil Fue Used Fuel Erery -d pYert Ca_ 10 Discourtd Cash Flow (PI 0- i =Cost $1Ebl (2l) Cost Eerv Ztt Crrert 1 4 6L 10 12
I Transmrt onstrLZt ior 4
tr-cnnEc icn $ Tcta f2945 132 $4000j 0 $0$40 SO 58 2 S 33z Is1 5 ) 327515$0=8 34S7 $15 $2- 2 (12728
31 $4060 1 r 0 342 $2C 3 8 1034)IS ($152V (1528) f(E72)14 0 348 49 S20 S-372 SI04-1 (5) 517 (110303) (-058514$ 2 I W A S t o4 3 4 8 $ 4 7 shy 3 12 2 ( S 9 ( SH G ES ) ($7 9 0) ( UT 7 8 4 5 3 $ 2 1432bull 34a S 057 $241 C3 (
$0 ($36142) (M6742) (3614)$0 $2 110 $446 0 $0 348 $159 $22 $17m ($7122) ($77119) 372707) U82191)7$ 4 $0 348 S5751_5 21101if) E5 5)503) $55569) ($72049) ($75218)0$ 4c5sg5 $0 348 $5930 510 $13 0 496) ($E 470) ($54327) ($62033)S so 12 4687 $0 348 $309 21Sc 14 92 (139580) 5079 (15833) 563204)10 $C Uio $4760 0
$0 348 $Ipoundpound36 5 240 -25- (129375) (4E53) (- 42 (37966)$0 12112 1487pound 0 $0 348 $11953 $20
2 S12353 SI9337 (533650) 34S414) ( 5318)0 $2110 $4373 0 s0 348 $1730L 2 1c3 5 Q 15 ($9465) (1 2132) ($41027) (34313)S0 12110 $ 0 $0 348 V14i
$21 $244 3-5905) (35134 344823)$0 $2110 $574 0 $0 34E $112007 $Z19 $5597 $3791 (1114) ($-530 ($41180)o $2110 $275 1 $0 342 $18357 $21 $-257 S19 7916 3$14579) 32724T) ($3754)$2110 $$5393 0 c$0 349 $12734 17
$2110 $Ic24 $28410 MKS) (Q-3269 (34816)$ $2110 $s191 0 6
s0 348 1$3 0o $2110 S162 $37486 (4376) (195E) ($32043)$S 5210 $sa01 0 s0 348 $19431 1211 17331 $43409 $321 ($161301 (12951)11 $0 $-I0 $5713 0 $0 348 1181 $2i10 S7771 SES182 $4768 ($2934) (327 M0I20 $0 $2110 $5827 0 t0 348 $20279 $2110 $16169 $E3805 8378 ($9963) ($25031)21 ($5438) $2110 $5944 0 $0 348 $20 684 ($3328) $24012 $74764 $14 30 (36394) ($n-60L
$124048 $4252 0 $0 7018 $347304 $166600 $180704
A-47
g3EL-iD~- ASSIUPTIDXF LETABSE TABLE A-24 (Contd) - ---C-NCE TFamp mC utCalculated)
zczi a- Farcial alvs- for Erergy IwEstments - Egypt EEA 1 8
CaPital r~csts Perofit Para Eter- Irntr-na Rate of Peturr 932
Acouisition $ E4 Price of Cil TransroortaEtio $G 0i Escalat Construct $
rterrertior $0 Erry Savrs Fuel Use
TOTA Cao) $1_h486
Construct Time 10 eorxths
eratir_ and Norzal Ma-rtenance Costs
Oceratim Cost $2110 year Operati_ LifEtime 21 years
Major Ecaiment RevarReolacert
Replace Cost (5543e)period Replace Period 20 years
$4000 bb (r 1) 20year
348 bbyear 0 bblyear
DisC PV of Rate Perefits
- = 0 $347 304 2 $22720
4 t23C 73 E $19288
$13517 10 4C 9 -- - - $31004
12 12243-2 13 $114751
14 $107847 15 $101622
16 $KS993 18 S84 246 20 $78143
V of Costs
$16 6O $162560
5 63 $1E2344
$43337 $1429c3 $14 9-5
$14E034
$144188
$14347 $142713
$142068 1140933 113971
N71)
$180704 $120040
$74764 $407
$14 13 ($r334)
($14 952)
($22602) ($29437)
(S35570) ($410V30)
(45075) ($54687)
($61828)
BC Ratio
208 175
48 27
109 096 090
084
080
075 071
368 061 056
A-48
Ecra acia a fc Ernerv ivEs=-t -- Eyt E~q IC36
TfPLE A-25
cr Case of-- 7ST 4 - HL4 7EX-vTDUq -T R E $ZvCF 7 P- U 1shygssu-in_ Oi Es~alatior Rate of 20
Saved Value ofDaitalfleratir Cost of Dil -Fel Used Fuel ESrry 5avf Annual as( Fic Discourted Cash Flow (MKV) 8 iYear Cost $IBb (E1 Cost Ecriv -Ercy Cot Currert S 4 8 10 12
I 712 I Trersp $0
ITotal 0712 $311 $1500 0 $0 58 $370 $111022 1t01E2 52) 1103) $ n3)(1h10153) $8 $5302C $0 348 $5324 $186G 458 CLa28 (S10SI) ($07003 (107O5)2 $15In $ 0 $0 348 $543 $18s2 S25s5 0522) ($ 40$ 2 $-7834) ($1040E3 ( 7 ($104 )4 $I62 $12$0 bullS266 $1524M$0 0 $0 34842 $5540
3 $550 S1866-C81C $2674 ($1 ($0 ($37031) 3 $10 $3784 ($32 197)78) ($10$D(3S718) Is0 603(M32204)
6 CS56 0 $0 348 S762 $862 $3857 ($c3828) ($5544) ($22223) ($39992)$052 $I82 c $0 43 $872 $186E $4013 $33 67) ($3301) ($94033 $94353)S$0 $C866 1723 C $0 348 15922 $866 $4130 (U8751d) (390605) ($1914) ($3091)2 $3 $s $1757 so e 33
s 0 343 Stamp 1866 $4256 ($4413) ($82310) ($23921) (131374)$0 $17 22 51732 00 $ 3 2- 1$5 2 522 11866 $4372 3 1 S C 1 ($311 ($82122) ($737C7 ($83738)1 223E$ $ 22 so 348 $82 $866 $4407 ($78702) ($40391 ($25 3431 ($83 3n0)12 $0 $1826 13Ef 0 $0 348 $S490 S1866 $4624 ($7E 29) ($80-5) ($ 4722) ($87020)s0 $1 8 $11302 0 $0 348 $2620 $BE $4754 ($714 $0
323 ($80168) ($33207) ($85800)$1866 $1940 0 so 348 $s753 $182 $4837 ($23334) ($72371) $2722 ($84630)15 s0 $1852 $7 ) $0 348 $8B3 $BE6 $5022 ($22494) ($7L662) ($8146M] ($33653)16 $0 $166 $2019 C $0 348 $702 $1862 (152 ($75035)s $E30) ($73234) ($2 710)17 $1 pound186 $203 $0 348 $7126 $1826 $523y ($50O330) ($73488) ($73081) ($S8845)12 i$ $626 $2100 0 348 $7309 $1866 1544 ($58005) ($72017) (77 0041 ($81053)$0 S866 21421 0 $0 348 f7 455 $186620
$5589 ($ 246) ($70618) ($759M) ($30326)$0 $1866 $2185 u $0 348 $7605 $1866 $5733 (152523) ($63288) ($75060) ($73660)21 ($4650) $1856 $2229 0 $0 348 $7757 ($2784) $10541 ($47712) ($67027) ($73494) ($78567)
$106062 $37631 0 $0 7 018 $130233 $143693 ($13454)
A-49
----
TABLE A-25 (Contd) rzzPTI2CNS 7PBLE EE ~~~TnD Calculated)
-cocc and Fir4anci= Araisis fc ErErgy InvestEerts - Ecypt EEA raI
capital CStE Perefit Parayeters terna Rate of Return -108
czuisiion ie o 0 $I2X yr 1I Tra-spcrtatior $0 2 Zs~t 2 lyear Dis WVof PV of BCConstructior tate
Benefits Costs NIV Ratiointercorrectior $0 Enry Savrgs 343 bblyear =
Fuel Use 0 bblyear C $130239 $143E03 ($13454) 091trp) CTP $10Z S 270 $138405 ($3375 076 4 S 548 $134260 ($47712) 064ConAstruct Time 1S CnTh5 5 $72307 130 76 ($55669) C55 8 s6319 $122 34G ($67027) 048CoeratrE and -crma Maintenarce Costs 0 ($73494) 042
OperatingCost $18- year 1 $49126 $125306 ($761711 03912 $45912 124479 3735-7 037Operatirg Lifetime 21 years 13 $43032 $123728 $8169L) 035 14 $40443 $12 043 $82601) 033Major Equipment RepairReplacemert I$IIE $38108 4419 ($84310) 031$3810
16 $35997 $121847 ($58M) 030Replace Cost ($4650)period 18 $323A2 $120841 ($88499) 027Relace Period 20 years 20 $Q9303 $119988 ($90685) 024
A-50
and Finaie rr_ fir Energ- ivestrents -- Eyt E2 1IMV5
TAPLE P-26
For Case cfFlD TEST 14 - HELWAANXT1LEIP (PRECTO p ZE$221SFT - P UZCF GIL $2VBE Assuraing Gii Escalation Rate of 20
Saved Val e of oita eraplusmn ir Ccst of Cil uee Lsed Fuel Energy 5ave Irr ca Zas F1ow Disconted Cash Flc (NPIV)E iYear- Cos C-st Bo (E 1) Cost Ecuiv En=Ergy Cost ZLrrert $ 4 8 0 12n
ura-z t 7 bull~r ti- $
rterco-retIcr $ITcta $20 0 $O 3 $1160 $111023 15S ) C$1C3853) (5103353) ($I0335 ($103 53)22 5 $2140 C $0 348 $703 $655 233 ($10Q8311 ($105017 (W05106) ($105Igl)S$ $EEG $2081 0 50 7 $537Z ($$33E41 24 1 183 (1040 (1 663 ($ 35)$EE863 $2-22 0 so 342
0 $733G 18E s527 (P9454) ($03 (56- ( 7)- $QLES( 033 so 343 $7S=34 S 2U- $G 568 ($3110) ()161) ($2645) ($93374)$S E 202C0 $0
7 348 $76E934 $1365 $5818 (S527) ($3730) ($83CK) ($90073V0 $1 s 5 f2252 0 0 343 5738 I6
- V5972 (80 377) (1413) ($5E ) ($37 047)_336 $2297 C $0 34S $75 s - shys- ~ (-1MO M r2~ ~ $ g0~ - J - 322$ ($84275)to S186b $2343 0 s0 343 $a10$ = (300 S186 5$233 (71 355 (7164) ($752 ($1735)to 34S 21313 t566 Z54582) (73 (17S846) 3$73409)r T-357)
0 415-3 $1$238 0 $0 343 $13484 $H6 18S (1 31) ($70 871) ($7424) ($77278)--ES $2437 C s0 348 $2654 S1855 $$73 (t 73$
41) ($70 1 (7) ($75 326)$1B3s $2536 0 s0 14
348 S227 $1865 $S761 ($53594) ($E519S) (5S367 (S73539) 5
t 61656 $2587 c s0 342 $004 Si856 $7133 1$4307) ($62571) i53201 (S1904)51 $125 $2539 0 $0 348 $ 184 M866 $7318 f45081) ($50080) (65703) (570406)i5 $ 861855 $232 0 $0 S13 $7 $5 $751 (34916) ($57715) (63S07) $559036)17 tO 51833 52746 tO 343 $55 51S66 $7539 ($5311 ($55471) ($32234) ($67732)is - s866 $2800 0 $0 34 5 74S S 865 $7880 ($-2766 f534I) ($50675) (3634)13 s0 $18665 $2856 0 $0 348 $S994 $1866 $8075 (28 73) ($513M) (M-3223 ($5 584)20 t0 $ass $n 14 0 so 348 $10 13 $1866 $5273 (424253) (342404) ($57870) ($6462A)21 ($465O $1865 52972 0 $0 348 $10342 (32784) 63126 (f18 863) ($46587) ($55919) (63263)
$10G062 $37631 0 s0 7018 S173 2 $143693 29959
A-51
gSv ONSTBLTABLE TALEASSUPTIOS A-26 (Contd) TT-r-TS TA-- alculated)
Econozc ar Firacia Araly-is for Energy Irvestrerts -- Egypt E_ I-
LaoitaI CoSts Benefit Parx-Eters Iterra Rate c-Return 216
Acquisition $110712 Price of 1 $2000 bb (yr 1)Trarspcrtatio $O Oil Escala 20year DiE Pcf PV of BIC
Corstrutior $0 Rate Benefits Costs NV Ratio iterconneztio $0 Enrgy Savrgs 348 bblyear _= -_--
Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 $173 G52 $143693 $2 M 121TOTAL Ca) $712 N $14c 360 $13405 $1955 101
4 $11Z338 $134260 ($18863) O8GConstruct Time 10 tronths 6 $96409 $130976 ($34567) 074
8 $81759 $12346 ($46587) 064Operatinz and Norrva Maintenance Costs 10 $70299 $126216 (S55919) 056 A-1 $6S502 125 30f Ui59 64) 05Operatin Cost $866 year
shy
2 $61216 $124479 ($63263) 049 Oerating Lifetime 21 years 13 $57376 $123723 ($65352) 046
14 $5-7924 $123043 ($9120) 044Major Equipment RepairReplacement 15 $50811 $12419 ($71608) 042
16 $47927 $121847 ($73 851) 039Replace Cost ($4G50)perioQ 18 $43123 $120841 ($77718) 036Replace Period 20 years 20 $39071 $119988 ($80 917) 033
A-52
conc34 an Firnancial Qralvss fcr Ener~y i-veEtvnts -- Eypt EE
TMtSLE 4-27
Fc0 2ase TfiEf - 1ZLN TEXTILEI (WZC PR P3rS22TEST 44 SETOR C7 a- $25IEDU Asi rLz Oil Escalation Rate of Z0
SavBr Vaue f1ta Ccost of Oi Fue Use Yuel[eraing Energy SZve- rnual Cas 71co ritv ed Cash Flow (NPV ) i = -- CostYear ost $1 (Bbl C-st L c r ny Cost C-rre~t 1 4 1r IN0
t1i3iticr tSU712
7rarns~ort $
Ccrtructcr It o $oerconnec
aS 71 S00 0 to 53 1450 1 023 (103 -73 5-3c$3573) ($109573) ($103-73)sgE t C 0 $0 348 S234 S7 CC7 3SZE 1C-084 (3103202) ($103316)$0 $as 2L0 $-r
0 s0 343 $ 51 $1ms5s n7515261) $9924) ($97264) (975M30 $0 348 Ic233 $786-H s364 (tc7E ($91723 (SW344)So286 027 $0 -48 $47 $I 17f51 5E so $ G s S27 EC 0
18 ($3552) ($37545)0 to 348 $q606 $1 86 $Z740 8257 t85 15 C 03 $76 -53 ($817E6) $83154)ss~ g $ 5 7 g2 ( 7 a $2215 $50 348 $9738 $6 $7 2 ($7058) 726 (377287) (79135)Sc S5 K6 372 0 $0 348 Sg934 S6 $2 $64322 ($70 1) 37311 3754599 $0 38 S A 52 s (923371 s1 S7237) ($72036)IC $r t85 12955 0 $0 343 $10377 865 $352 ($-22) (6751 (55615) ($59013)11 so 55 5 247 -0 s0 348 $C61 SlE6 $873S ($493) (t-7) ($-2246) ($55205$ $185 5$ $1510 SO 348 $087 $2811 (L4$54) ($53864) $53108) ($36321O 518) $317 0 $012 348 S1I034 $66 $9168 ($24858) (min22 3 56187) (S61279)14 s$ $S-76 52234 0 $0 348 $11254 $1866 $2382 1$2220) (34S771) (353468) ($59127)E $C $1685 $39 0 $0 -48 $114-9 $666 $3613 3U2668)($43498) ($50936) ($5-7160)so$ $866 $3365 0 so 348 S- 70 $86 13843 2$03)-($40395) ($48560) ($-m3S)
17 so 11862 $432 0 so 348 11-43 $1866 $10077 12 822) (37454 (34G387) (5 718)2 to T866 $350 0 $0 348 $12182 $866 $1016 ($7526) ($34666) ($44345) ($2216)V9$0 $1866 $257 0 $0 348 $12426 $156 $105EC ($2314) ($2023) ($42447) ($50842)2V $3 $1866 53642 0 s0 348 $12674 $1856 S0803 $2816 ($ 519) ($40673) ($49588)21 (54650) $1866 $3715 0 s0 346 $12926 ($2784) $15712 $9987 ($26148) ($33344) ($47M95)
$105062 $37631 0 s0 7018 $217065 S143693 $73372
A-53
PSSU Ns TABLE TABLE A-27 (Contd) FE-E=IT- 2ST3 TA2LE Cal d
Ecortomiz arnc a AIaEsis fc- Enery Irvestmerts - Egypt EE- iC1365
Capital Costs Perefit Parameters lnterral Rate c Return 491
Acquisitic $0712 Price of Oil Trarnsportat $C Oil Escalat Construction $0
Interconrectior $0 Enrny Savngs Fuel Use
TOTlL Cap $0 72
Construct Tiie 10 Moths
Operatinz and Norma Maintenance Cost5
Ooerating Cost $866 year Operating Lifetime 21years
Major Equipnent RepairReplacement
Replace Cost ($4650)period Replace Period 20 years
$2500 bbl ( r 20year
348 bblyear
0 bblyear
1)
A-54
Disc Rate -shy
0 -w
4 6
8 0
11 n
3
14 15
16 18 20
PV zPV EenefitS
$217CS5 $75450
$144247 $$0C $102193 $87374
$81877 $76E20
$71720
$S7405 $63514
19996 $53904 $4883
cf Costs
$143623 $132405
$134260 27
$128346 $2z218
$125306 $124472
$123728
$043 $122412
$121847 S120841 $119988
NPV
$733272 $37045
$2987 ($101465)
($26148) ($38344)
($43429)($47259)
($52008)
($55639) ($532905) ($61251) ($68938) ($71149)
BC Ratio
151 27
107 092
080 070
065 061
058
055 052
049 045 041
E ri- Fra Fa-s fc- Erergy -vetrerts - Egypt EA
TAKLE P-28
o- Case lfF- TEST 4 - HELWATEXTILEIPH (CELECTOR Assuming01l E-calatic Rate c 2C
PRCZ-22I _- 01vS
YeF-ita
Cost 0=erair
Cost st of 0j
IB Fuel Used
(bLI) Fuel Cost
Energy Eciv
Savee ErCr~y
rrua Lost
Eas FIcA Current $
Discountd Cash 4 8
Floh (NPV) 10
i 12
k cuisiicr r7-2 1 Transc-rt $ I Costrut or $3
cta $272 2 S COo
Se $ESE 120 so $ SSr
s3~ zs384cSO $0 $15 S47
6 $3 t135 $--- 2 7S882 53375 a $0 $258 $344E
5 S18 zI^ to $ -ES s3F
1$ ss sss~s S- $181H $3730 SO $1868 $3805
4 $ $35 E i V $8-8 $3258 E 50 $8EE $4038 17 $0 s B S4s SO $0 S8EE $4201
13 tS $18 $428 5 20 $0 $86 $4370 21 ($4650) $1868 $4458
$105 02 $37631
0
I
0
0
0
0 IC
0 0 0 o0 0 0
0 v
0
$0 Es $174
742 t-8c4c SO$0 343 $1
348 51107 $0 348 $11301 $0 348 $1527 SO 342 7m7 so 343 $13 $1 348 S2 32 $C 348 $12477
38V)2 $0 342 $ 345 t3240
$C 348 $ z -to 348 775 so 348 $1405 SO 348 $14 332 $0 343 $14CM $0 348 $14911
$0 348 $KS203 $0 348 $15513
$0 7018 $260478
A-55
III3-3C3
$E- Iass
$1866
$1856 S866 5 865 5185S $3s6
56 65
Sa36
518j$E $8 $866 $ 86 $155
$862 ($2784)
$143633
10I08 23
S7322 2 9
s $3435
$3661
$9S3 s u $03-
$511
$6 $11 $11374
187^ $ 3 $1822 $12 48
273 S13045
$13343 $18297
$118785
3
($1Th22-
(Pc8751
E3 -73
(ME223 (3) 5) ($
4 2231
337784
30447) ($23227) $V23)
3 1 (1 2M)
- IS6 $7t $24453
$30466 $L M3E
(1l123
cs 32443)$22
1
72 611
(SE8 322) () 4741 1154 372)
($4258)
3544E35) ($ 76 S (5325)
3071) ($28E3)
0751 (119 43s
E9 3 ($12725)
($3634) ($5708)
(s0--3) ($33864)5552 $83498
(745001 (S53917) ME-720)
($ES584
($54284)
(S530197) 3413 3542-S7h
(S30- ) (S3170) (332-) ($3 4 23M)
$25870)
($23433) ($20 705)
((e02203)
(S1014411 ($94270)
-855772 7S
(727v1 (37124) ($6S 64) (M62456)
(3E2301
($5133) (33 (02)
ME48-5 ($14314 S41688)
33854) (-7 ($101)
(345m21 (32655)
TABLE A-28 (Contd) S TpLE - Th-CCSTS TPAELE (Calclated)
Ezo ndard Firarla yss fzr Erergy Investrzents -- Egypt M 01I 185
Capita Ccsts BerEfit Paraeters lkterrz ate of Rturr 7351
A-uisit in Trarr~rtaticr Cortro
$117-12 t0
$0
P-ice o Cii Escala
$3000 Ibb (yr 20year
1) Disz ta
V of
Benefits PV of
Costs 1PV BC
Ratio -rnterconretion $( Errzy Savwes 348 bblyear -------
TCTAL (Cap $10 712 Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0
2 $26r-475 2l154C
$143623 $132405
euro16785 $72135
81 152
Corstruct Timne 10 msonth-4 6
173097 $144614
$24260 $131 976
$33836 $13633
12 110
Dperating an Normal Maintenarce Costs 8
0
$122633 $108449 $98253
$12346 $126218 $125 305
(35708) ($32769) ($27053)
096 084 078
Operating Cost
Operating Lifetime $865 year
21 years 1 13
$9824 $5064
$12479 $123728
332E5 ($37664)
074 070
Major Equipment RepaiReplacemeet 14 15
$80985 $7217
$123043 S122419
(42158) ($46202)
065 062
Replace Cost Replace Period
($4650)period
20 years
1 S 20
$719T $64655 $58607
$121847 $120841
$119988
($49852) (356157) (361381)
059 054
049
A-56
Taiaccno arc navsl- fCr erv InVES Et S_ 5E
TWILE A-29
For Case of --T TEST - uMwANTEXTIlEIPP 1Crv=TO PR2E -rR- a PAssuz 0 Escalation Rate of 20
Save Value f Ozeratir iliFuel Usedaoita Cost cf Fuel Energy Saej Annual ash 73w Dis-unted Cash Flow ( ) i = Cst st $1bl (btI) cost Ecuiv Enerzy zt --rrert 4
- Trarsoco-t SC)
I rsterucrneztion 50
I Tc- Z $3500 0 $203 (T01132 (50-932(9933-3) ($IC-9931(12S933S S46SE 170 0 $C 34 $2 424 s1856 $_ssS99217 ($32841) ( 39E (M567)5 52-25 $3541 0 $0 348 52572 $1855 1 bull 23 (58953 ($0457 ($g032)
5-5E0 53714 -7 0 So 10 731)0 g 48 174 ) $ 15 (S33 030)343 $12 S6G 4 7 O t1 Es SBs $3729 0 $1 348 $1284 $865 $318 363344) ($72254) (374425) (37637
S S1E $In3964 0 $0 7
348 $13448 1866 V1152 (IZ3825) M4972) ($67234) (315)53942 0 $V 348 $13717 $1866 (550459 ($54544)5Y1-1 (1-7504) ($6332)
$0 855 $$4020 0 t0 348 t13991 18665 shy12 - ($424V (s 422) ($54322 (tS72273 s aE- $41 0 $0 348 $14271 t856 $19405 S2J81 43728) ($4535) ($2817)10 $0 $1855 $4123 C s0
11 348 $14556 T556 $126 0 ($23265) ($37379 3$433 $4Z2 4
5 $425 $0 348l $0 S 1856 $4352 0 SO 348
0 s0 $14847 $1862 $31 (514495) ($313E5) ($32149) (5440511 $15144 $1866 12272 f(15870) (S25672) (1334 ) ( 244)13 855 $0 $54439 0 348 t5447 t855 $1253 $213 M278) ($2967) (33758)
14 $0 $SE5 $4S23 0 $0 34s 1135-0 955$1Z75C 518s $11C (t15171) ($255144) (533 -5)15 $0 $1855 $4513 0 $0 348 14 (110325)16 to f86 1471
$1071 S856 5131I8 353 (2434 (3066Z 0 $0 348 $1633 11365 S14527 $27224 (5575) ($1725) ($29014)7 $0 t1855 $4805 0 $0 348 $16721 351551865 $14855 (3419) (514693) ($25591)is $0 $1866 $4C1 0
9 $0 348 $17055 $ISG5 15 183 $42353 $2626 ($16 (122791
$0 1855 4999 0 so 348 S173 1B6 515530 550518 $6572 ($894) (521359)2 $0 $1866 1509 0 s0 348 $17744 $1866 t 5878 $58155 $102551 ($6298) ($19516)21 ($4550) $186 $5201 0 $0 348 $18099 (32784) $2883 $67686 $14732 ($3 194) ($17351)
$106052 $37531 0 $0 7018 $303831 $143693 $16018
A-57
TABLE A-29 (Contd) ate
Ecoci ar Pirarzia Evsi fcr ErEr t Eypt EA
3ta CGst= Denefit ParamLeters Interra ate cnf Returt 961
ccisition $I10712 Price of Cil S3502 1b (yr 1) SC
ats rttion $0 Oil Eszalat poundC)year rli P cf FV of Rate Saroaf s Coets N Ratio
Corstruct ion so irtErzonneticn $0 Errgy Savrgs 345 bblyear shy
0 $2^3 89 S143693 $16098 211uLai Use C ttVear 2 $24C30 t 145 507 -2-25 177
TDT CaP) $1SC712 4 $20945 $1342K0 $67686 150 S $-53716 $30975 37740 139
Construct Time 10 rorths 8 $143078 $128346 $14732 111
10 S12024 ($3124) 097 Doerating and Norma Mairtenane Costs 1 1468 $ 3C6 ($10678) 091
-- - ----- 1 $114628 S 3CS09
Operatir Cost $1856 year $1107128 $124479 (17351) 086
13 $13J408 $12723 ($230) 081 Operating Lifetime 21 years
14 $94366 $23043 ($28677) 077
5 $23920 $122419 ($33499) 073 Major Equipeent RepairRepla-ement
15 $23934 $121847 ($37853) 069 3 $75465 $120841 ($45376) 062
Replace Cost ($4650)period 20 $SE375 $112938 ($51614) 057
Replace Period 20 years A-58
Ec- ic and Frana Ara~y- f- Erry Irve=tert5 - Evpt -EEA
TAKE A-30
c Ca__ cf-l_ TrST 4 - HLW TEXTLEiP (Z2LETaP $2S FT shy E OF0i $40B) 9ssuMir Oil Escalation Rate f 20
save alue of-azita eratirg Cost c Oil Fu Ue Fuel Erry --ave Annual Cas DiscountedYEar 0 gas Flow (PV) i =st II) Cost Ezv Energy Cost Curre t $ 4 8 IC0
1 Pcq-isit - l1 02 Transzrt $0
$31 $4000 0 $C 52 0 S
21n232232 757-3) 07 3 f C 27 3 0703 f0373)sc sz-s $4080 a S4105 1 855 8 V7134 ($774532) M751Ss 542S I- 0 Sbullcss ~ S42-4f 0 345 4 82cs $14 7172 1-G1- 1SZ3 18$14772 9 7 W- 02)ssamp $12 7 M( 465) 27 ($87134-I (2377 ($762 577365 ($7344$73-2
32 0 $ $3 057
) fD 3$7-42)
$4_ $BSE 12i Z (57-253 1 SSS325--)(570 O0E) ($791C SSS6 $4505 E 33 S)0 V 345 $15676 $1566 $13Bic1556 6261$0 $5 25S 4 47 (2172) M35400)345 $sfsC $8s6 $4687 0 348
8 2 $27-T 42 (449241 ( 33511)T1309 $866 S 14443$2 2- 522) ( 186) ($43 1771 $0 8SG S4780 0 374S S2636V BEE866 $4876 S0
smsG V14770 ($374E 12EM)3 f$3 293 ($37K 50 3452 f3s8 $1266 13--ZC Il- S5$7 05 $$0S 32 4 7 2193) ($3850)$0 $1566 $4372 0 $-
S 07 -- (2 5B2 273)SC 343 $7302 T1866S0 $1866 $156$3073 $0 $1442 42427 SI (1-2ESP n$2533)0 $0 348 S17954 V866 - $7 4
117amp2 1248 ($S305) (51S-7 ($24497)t $58s6 $2173 0 SO 349 $293G7 $8S6 $121 $34 S229 ($53 ($2072
$0 sB- $233716 0 so 348 18734 $ 56 $SHS28 $ 93 $11 17 51 (t235 (13434 )$02 $556 $G349 0 50s 348 $1910 ISsG $17243 152 144 $16523 S1154 (M527)$0 s856 $56011E 0 $0 348 $9491 $862 $17E23 $6312 213529SID $18E6 $5713 $464 (S8950)0 so 345 $9881 S1 $18015 $77035 $2570 $578W- ($5617)s0 VO15865 $5827 0 $0 348 520279 $1866 $1541321 ($4650) $1866
$53852 $30136 $10892 ($4460)$5944 0 $0 348 $20684 ($2784) $23468 $9235 $3171 $14381 ($2047)
S10606 $37631 0 $0 7018 $347304 $143693 $203611
A-59
TABLE A-30 (Contd)
7Ec-acy ar ka lysis fc7nergy Irvestre-ts - Egypt M I
caita Costs EerEf araetErs RatetEtrr tr 72
PAcuisit ioon $ Price cf Di1 Transortaior SOi1 Es-aat
ortrzt io $0
irteronnectior U0 Enrgy Savs - Fuel Use TDTPL (Ca 51
Construct Time 0 -onths
Ozeating and Norral ainterance Costs
- ----Operating Cost $C66 year
Coerating Lifetime 2 year_
ma=jor Equipmet RepairPElacement
Replace Cost $4650)period Replace Period 20 years
$400k bl (yr -shy year
348 bblyear r bblyear
I)
DIK Rate
0 2
4 4
Epound 10
11 2 12
14 Cal
e s 13 MA
PV of Perfits
$347204 28eC 72f)
2307 c2-817
$153=17 $140 522
$131004 122432 $114751
$07847$101622
$3-993 58646 $78143
1W of Costs
143653 $2C-21 a 40 $4235
$134 260 $ 35 $30276 $E842
$229345 35171 $25218 $143912I1
$125306 $5692 $12473 $123728 $3976)
$1234 $51T6)3088 $122419 (20 796)
$121847 ($25 854 5120 841 (334S5) $119988 ($41846)
PC Ratio
242 2003
172 -47
127
105
323
83
C7 071 065
A-60
orc-ic nFiarcial Aav=s shyr rerr Investrents -- ypt EE
----------
Por Case ofFIE MS 14 - HFLu r Ss~zlnz C Fszalatior Rate cf 20
pRZ3 $2I T iE
Zzplta 2eratir Ccst of 11 FLel Used Yea ccist cst $B (kt
Pcu isit icn107335 Tra-ort $0
Ccstr-t icr I irternect io $0 1 ftctal f 099Z $2K IS C$10 0
$ 6z I$-z 3 $50 5162=0 $56 0
4 S s T5 05 So S= $6L-24 0 E SO S $155E 0 7 $0 $112CI U689 0 C to S680 $1723 0
SO cEo $17 0 S $1793 oIi $ t S1568c28 0
$0 C6S0 $1865 013 $0 $1E8 $1902 0 14 $0 t6Vo $940 015 t0 680 $1979 0 16 $0 1680 $20-19 0 17 $0 iamp80 $2059 0 18 $0 C1680 $2100 0 19 $0 $16580 $2142 0 20 $0 $1680 $2185 0 a1 ($453) $1680 $2229 0
Fue C-5l
S5 ts 23
so $0 $0 $0
so
St)$0 $0 $0
to $0 $0 $c to $0
$0 so
Saved nre-y
E-uii
348 348
348 348 345 343
348 341
-7n
342 348
342 348 348 348 348 248 34C 348
Vaue c Saved
Enerry
t-371 s4
$5421
S- 540 $5 50 $5763 $5279 Sf I9 S
t$- Z5$5353
$5450 $E620
S753 -888
$7025 $7 165 $730 $7455
$7605 $7757
rnnual Zash Flcw Cost Crrert $
1o2 275 1-o07405 $168^ $3E44 $6) 275
t1650 m1 i680 $2970 680 $403
$I680 $ 23 680 S4 31F
680 $4436
amp2553680 $4E33
(1850 $421C f1 680 t 0
$16s0 73 $1680 55202-s1680 $5345 $6 s5456 $16 u $5623
S680$5775 $1680 $5325
$2856) S10612
Diccirted Cas 4 8
5)$C~ S17 4^5) ) 3
152=r
f537 002) W17 751 5332) (9S4633)
($30 V-($ r7) C2SS934) ($83403) ($3 54) 1$5
0412) ($84493)
3 $ o(S74 04N) ($30043) (S7 92 1 (ST79a3)
-$72_) ($75018)
(V783) (374153) 17 K ) (72 (52 814) (37065) 3$55885 ($69094] 55995 (567572) (55144) ($68 127) ($47332) ($I4754) ($424A8) (362477)
io (n 2 i = 10 12
(s-7405 (S27405 104 0435051
(s($10 z 1 M-33~09 m) (VI3 414)
33513 3 M 891 (M28451 (15574) $90475 ( 446
3)520 ($9494) (585 1911 t$377 ^2T
(4(22 452) ($8415 ) C3 766) (22ES)($79192) ($aO0 S 723) ($80737) ($76351 37972) ($ 072) (373 1) ($73872) 1177M00) 372764) ($76930) (371 725) (76T2209 ($70 756) ($7541) ($69179) ($74441)
$103459 $33880 0 s0 7018 $130239 S137 339 ($7100)
A-61
TABLE A-31 (Contd)
Econozic and Financia ay for Energy Investmets -- Egypt E
Capi costs BerefIt Pararsters Internal Rate of Return -057
Acquisition $17735 Price 2i Transortatior $0 0Ci sa-t
Corstruction $0 Interconnection Er y Savrs
- ---- Fuel UsE
TOTk (Cap) $I07 Q
Construct TivE 10 months
Operating and Normal Maintenarce Costs
Operatir Cost $1680 year Operating Lifetime 2 years
Major Euipment Repaireplacement
Replace Cost ($4536)period Replace Period 20 years
i bb (yr 2year
348 lyear
0 bblyea
1) risc P Cf Rats BenEfits
0 $ 032
$105270 4 $BW548 6 $72307 9 $51 3
0 $52725 1 $49 126
SE$4512 13 $43032
14 $40443 1 $3108 16 $3997 18 $342 2C0 $23303
PV of Costs
137339
$132 Ek3 2037
$126130 $1373
$121904 $121 $120353 $113633
$113 072 $118514
$117102 $116338
NPV
($7100)
($27423) ($42483) ($5 823) (524T7)
($63179) ($71964) ($74441) ($76651)
($78629) ($80405) 388-0($22005) ($84760) ($87034)
BC Ratio =z=
5
073 067 C57 050
043 041 038 036
034 032 031 028 025
A-62
Econo ard r-ia nalysis fc- Enery rvastmerts -- Et EEA IO
TPPLE A-32
For Case cfF_E TET 4 - HaJ-W TEXTIEIPP ( _=EOCC70R pCE -C PRICz OF QUM Pssumir 3il Escalation Rate of 20
Cata DOerati Cost of Cil Fuel UsEd Fuel SavE Errgy
Value Cf Save- Anrual Cash -Ic Dir-counted Cash 1ow (kV) B i
Year Czet (E) Cc-t Eciv Energy Cost Lrrert 8 10
1 -cusjtic-$107 1 TransDcrt t3 SCorstrLtO $0 I rerccrrect o 0
2 3 4
5s 6 7
9
10
12 13 14 15 1-
17
19
20 21
Tota $97 5 2
$630 S0 $1680
$0 $ $0 $680 $0 $6S0
0to SEscl $0 $ SK $ 168C
168 V71650
S0 S1630 $0 S 680 $0 1180 0 $1680
$10 1$1 S0 so10 11680 0 $650
$0 t680 (14536) $1680
$20
$2040 $2s3o
$21 22 $I55 $20a $SL V12 $2 97 52 43 S220 V1-42
$2487 $2536 $2587 V6 30 V2692 $274 $20 12 56 $2 14
12972
0
0 C 0 0
C 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0
0
$0
$0 10
s0 $0 s0 s0 $0 s0 s0
S0 $0 s0
s0 $0 t0
3 t0
s0
s0
$0
5N
348 342
343 34
342 348
348 345
348 348 348 348 348 348 348 34 348 348 348
348
S160
S7 033 S7241
t7386 $7534 t7684 $7238 $7225 $85 1$318
13484
U8SE4 S3827
$9004 $3184 $3367 1955 19746 $9941
$10139
$10342
103275
11680 $680
$G60 $5150 1680 S1680
1$680 4$1680
$1680
S1680 $1680 $1680 $680 $1680 $180 $1680 $1168 S1680
($2856)
(-c ($10751s- C71)5
tE4 C 3o4 (102097) 6=SE3 ($3721)
5-7 15970) M$2800 5954 1$5poundpound5 $8497) $004 ($3721) ($8441) $ 158 (176H-4) ($3V530) t16 ($72C25) $7645 sz475 (157-254) 373347)
1r3 I E21) 27t=E(- ($70Q ) S1616804 ($Ez0941 (55875) $S974 2534) ($E3884) $7147 ($ oo)10 (5046) 17324 344702) 352353) $754 (S4C 3)9 ($55798) $7637 ($33100) (533755) S7 M (13189-) (151076) 1205 1127755) (48897 8261 (123 77 (46 29)
$2459 ($9662) ($44829)
$13193 ($1363 ($42038)
($107-5]
$0218a) (397592)
($8307)
(SK579) (322103)
($78S52) ( 7842) 373027) ($70403) (57952) (562) (16251) (115) (S59744) (Z803 (156 435) ($54943)
(353566)
($51604)
(101] $12276) 197843) M2305)(52372 ($00622
(SB654) SK 535) 3$80678) ($72 C3)
($7E 69 ($73473) (371474) (169253) (7961 (16642E) (165021) ($63737) ($625 2) ($61488) ($F0505)
($59137)
U-459 $33880 0 $0 7018 $173652 $137339 $36313
A-63
---------- -------
TABLE A-32 (Contd)TBLE (Calulated)
E-oroizic and Finania Anaaysis for Eergy investments -Egypt EA C
Cacital Costs Benefit Parameters Irterra Rate cREturn 26S
Pcouisitic $7993 Price cf Oi $2C (yr 1)Transortatio $0 Oil Esaa year li-c P of CConstruction $0 Rate BenfEtz Costs wV RatioIterconnection $0 Enry Savns 34E bbyear
UEl use C bblyear 0 73SS52 $137 3 $C313 126TDTAL Ca 7 $140320 $122593 $7657 106 4 IIZ398Constrct TicE I0 morths $122037 ($339) 089 5 $96409 $12- 130 ($23 721) 076 8 $3179 $12205 ($42038) 066Operatirc and Normal rairtenance Costs 10 $70293 $121904 ($5l 604) 58 1X $ampZ502 S12 M ($55 589) 054Operatirg Cost $1680 year 12 $61215 $12 0353 ($59 137) 051Operating Lifetime 21 years 13 $57376 $119633 ($52307) 043
14 $52924 $9072 (55148) 045Major Zqjioinert RepairReplacement 15 $50 1I1 $113514 ($67702) 043 16 A7-97 S1420002 ($70006) 041Replace Cost ($453S)period 18 $43123 $117102 ($73979) 037Replace Period 20 years 20 $39071 $116338 ($77266) 034
A-64
E~ocon2 -- rr Ar ys s fcr Ererzy Irvssttets -- 7rypt EE
TZE A-33
F Case TES 14 - W (0 ETD PE- $2T - PI-- O- DIS $25P)I Assuminz 0 Escalation Rate cf 20
azita Ceratir Ccst cf Oil Fuel Used Fuel SaveeErergy Value -f
save nual Cash Flow DEounted Casi Flow (NPV) 0 i = YS-ar st Cost $bbl (Bbi) Cost Ecuiv crerpy Cost Currert $ 4 8 011 2
rar-zor
Cnst~t I 2tsrzr-ezti- $1
E
12$
14 if
iG
17
18
19
20
21
a S230
s$1 S60
$$ $1169 o$0 $80
$3 S 90 i $i 6c 7 v68n
$0 t68c
so S680 S t 1680
$$ $Sao
$680 $0 $1680
$ $1680 $0 $I63
0 $1-680 $ $1620 $0 $1620 $ $680
$0 $1680 ($4536) $180
S25co
$2550 $ 2553
127 06 127V
a
V-1 72
$2323 t2962
$3047
$31C8 $3171
$3234 $3293
53365
$3432
$3501
$2571
$3842 $3715
0
o
c) 0
0 0
0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0
0 0
0
0 0
$0
$0 so so
t0
SO $0
$0
0 $0
$0
$0 $0
$0 so
$0
$0 $0
so $0 $0
348
347 345
348
342
342
348
34 348 343
348 348
348 343
348
348
348
348
348
348
S151450
$2874
323
$9417
$260E
t9735
53334
t 3 $13337
$1 605
$10817 $11034
$14 $47-
$11703
$ 43 $12122
$12426
$12674
$12328
S1032T
S0
6s0
$1680
$1680
t1680
t-1680
t16
$5
1680 S63 s1650 t1 580
$680
$w $60
$160
$1680 ($2856)
(t10E22f
$7134
$7553
$7737
$306
1218
12314
13 180$3717
$232
$3137 $ 3S4
$3-74 $373K
$10023
1510-22
$103503
$10746
$10-34 $1E784
(105z825) ($106225)
$3 T03154
($33032) ($93644 ($55375) ($W784) ($73764) ($22162)
($73250) ($73-76a
(56235) (71amp2) ($ 17) ($620)
($S4 29 J ($62 202 (43 7) ($5781)
($42 142) ($53737)
($3207) ($43 781 (3c354) ($4073)
($2464) $42 ($1255) 3332 1 ($3387) ($36055) ($7907) ($33 053) ($251 ($30221) $2723 $27532)
$8007 ($34984) $15211 ($21532)
310S225) (S106825) ($10028E I100 402) ($34133) $3425) ($25) ($83150) ($2 234) ($84232)
(37S313 $73725
($73731 ) ($3756231 ($53 45 (371852)
(5 431 ( ($E75 5 0)
($SEB5I) ($5406)
( (7578T 172 (157373)
(53($439 ($55185) ($41818) 379$5 ($44417) ISS347) ($421 84) ($49673) ($4010S) ($$143) $3-173) (-$746)
($36i 3M) ($45403) ($34023) ($43833)
$103453 $33880 0 $0 7018 $217065 $137333 $79726
A-65
TABLE A-33 (Contd)
Ec rC z ant Firn Anaiys- fc- Ererzy Investrerts - Egypt En MlIS
Czzota ss Benefit Parameters terra Rate cf eturn C40
flcquistici deg $17K= Transporatic $0
Sonstructior $0
Irterco rnectior $0
T3TAL Cap2 $107275
Lorstruzt Time 0th
Prce of 0i
C Escalat
rrgy Savngs
F-el Use
$2500 I (yr 20year
343 bbllvear
0 btlyear
11 -i- PV cf
Rat - enefits
0 $217
2 $17- 4-4 $144247
PV of
Costs
12339 $SOV-93 $129037 $2E30
11PV
$7726 $475-7 $15211(I5sES
BC
Ratio
158 132 112 096
Cperating and Nor a
Ocerating Cost
Operating Lifetime
Maintenace Costs
SEC year
21 years
L2r f 0 3
OX $37874
11 $81877 12 76520
I3 $7172014 $67405
$92273
$121904
$121 091 1353
$119632$119072
($21 53)
($34029
($23214)
($432833) ($47953)($516S7)
083
072 068 064 060 057
10ajcr Ecuipment Re~a rlRepaeet
Replace Cost ($4535)Ipericd
Replace Period 20 years
IS
18
20
$614
$53936
$53904
$48839
$11 514
$113002
$117102
$116338
($5000)
($52007)
($63198)
($67498)
054
051
046
042
A-66
Ecorcmic an Fnanria AralvsiE r Eer-y rveStMe-ts -- EZy EE C1I
TABLP-34
-r Case -fL TEST 4 - LEW TEX7Lfl LE $202-T - PR D-L $30BBL) Assir Oi Escalatior Rate of 20
Yea a-ta
Cost eratrCEt of Oi cost $pbl
el Used
(MI Fel
ost
zave Erergy
Ecuzv
VaLe cf s-ve
Energy P -a
Cest
Cash
Currert euro Dscounted Cash 4 8
1ow UNV)
10
9 i
12
1 ccuisCiticr 7 T7rarsort bull Co-tr t~ $
2
4
5
7 8
10
2
13
14
15
16
17 18 19
21
ITz~ta $C73 $22 ES
so 10 o sSo o $iE80 n $ 680 $0 U680
$0 $160 5 s62-
$0 680 f l
50 $Ss so $ss
$0 $6Ev
s $68 so $180
S0 siW8 to $1680 V) $65
$0 $1680 ($4536) $1680
$--D00
S32 $334
$32 7 C312
$3378
$2446 $5
3s85 357
$2730 $3355
$388
$353
$423
s412 $42CI
$42895
$417C
$4458
l c
0 0 0 0 0
0 0
0
0
0
0
0
0 0
0
0
0
so so o$0
so so $0
$0 so so
to $0
$0
$0
$0
so so
so s0
$0
$0
$0
53 348 246 348
343 343
348
348 348
348 348
348
348
348
348
348
348 348
348
348
348
S1 70 s I 49 $1 3F2 072
$11301 $527
$1177
$11992 $122532
S2477 $2$2726
$12231
Z2240 $2505
$12775
$14051
$4 322 $1463
$14911
$15203
$15513
S10227S 15 Si680 $29E
$1580 $312 $amp80 ] $630 $S2 $1680 $36 7 $168) $C077 $680 $C312 $68 $05
E0 S07377 680 $11046
$680 $1130 $680 11 5w S680
t 630 $12035 S60 o S1237-
S11530 s1T652 $660 $12 923 $ i0 $13231
$68 $13523
82856)$18259
310S 525) ($37S5
(s8nL) 172843) ($64749)
3$5S785-
($42942) ($41233)
f$2-53) ($21O)
($18650)
($ 9)
32($4527)
$24S8
$327
$103 22724
$255
$35677
$44060
165f25)1 SZ
(0 -59) ($32837)
($7582)
1$9 -5) (S2774)
5S75f ($510)
3$45551 (340533)
($25692)
($3101)
($26753)
3-631
13725)
(K5M504Z) ($11545)
($2234)
($5093)
($1158)
(S10S 5 (356332)
($3733 ($3732 ($7716)
($71047)
($U35 (0067) ($5M144)
(S55 (4S306)
($42345)
1538662)
($L237
(632C51)
($23020)
($2227) ($23777)
($2 337)
($13185)
(16454)
1 cc-T25) ($3327)
($91207) (184517)
(73403)
($72816)
($6771)
163046 ($53784)
(G54831) (35334) (08025
s$ 8
($42423
( 3
($37673)
($35J60) ($23725)
($32004)
($30433)
($28S19)
$103455 $33d8O 0 $0 7018 $60 478 $1373n $123135
A-67
TABLE A-34 (Contd) 2Lk T-CTETPL Calc~1ated)FL_TI0~PBL
o~ar Fariai naiysi- f-Erergy l=VEsrEtS - Ecyt EE i
trr Rat-- c REturn 787Benefit araetersazital S-sts
t -ri-e of CiD $3000 bbl (yr 1)$10995n PV of BIC
Trarspoto $0 Oil Eszaat 20Iear ri VV C Rate Eerefits Ccsts IPV Ratio
Corstruct ior $r == shyErray Savr s 348 bblyear
intetor rztior $0 Fue -e 0 bblyear 0 $26C478 $137339 1123133 190
2 105 40 S-32693 $77847 1 9 TOTPL (Cap S10799n
4 $173037 $1903-7 $44060 134
6 $144614 $126130 $183483 115 Construct TiME mcTth-s
$1228 $12379E W158 09
t 129N 087tI0O449 ($16454)woerating and Norma Mainterarce C0ts
11 $98253 $121031 ($r233) 081
2 $91824 $120353 ($22 Z29) 076 Operatirc Cost $1680 year
13 $8K064 $19683 ($33619) 072 O eratir 21 yearsLifetie_
14 $80885 $119072 ($33186) 068
5 $7E217 $18514 ($42237) 064 Major Equipment RerairReplacement
$71995 $11802 ($4007) 061
18 $64685 $117102 ($52417) C5shy_16
Replace Cost ($4536)period 2N $58607 $11S338 ($57731) 050
Replace Period 20 years
A-68
Eccnoc and inarzia ryss fc- -re-y rvEstre-ts - E yot EE
TAEE F-35
Fcr Case ofrZ- 5TEST 4 - HELAN TEXT-IPX Mu Assuin_-0 Escalation Rate cf 20
CTOR PRICE $20SQc- -Cc GI j3mBu
Yea
r
s s-t
--t
aoita ost
7
t
eratirn Lst
Cost of IE
Oi1
Feel Used
(Ebl) Fue
Cost
zavEd Erery EcLIv
Value of SEvE
Ern-rzy Annual
Cost Cash Flow Lrrert S
Liscourted 4
Cash F~A
8 (NM
IC i =
2
2
E
7
1$
--
00 21
t--0795
S $0 4
f2
SO 1$
$o SO f0 $ $ S
so$0
tTSO to
($4535)
$103459
2311
1s8c C)
S o 58
$680
SGzr-SsW ss $S80
$16s2 $X30
$630
$ 3 $ampV
$168 51680 $9
$1680 s680
$33880
$M570 $3
$3714 $373
$335
$3942
$4020 $401
$4 3 S42 ES
$4352 $4439
$4E28
545 is $47
$S422 $4301 $4j 9
15099 55201
0
0 0
0 C
C
0
C
a 0
0 0
C
0 0 0 0
0 0
0
Vi
s0 10
$0
SC
t0
to U$C
$V S
$0 $0
$1
oS^1 s0 SC so
s0 so
s0
s
348 342
248 343
343
342
342 343
-43 348
345 348
343
348 342
348 348 348
348 348
7 01
52 S2424 S 1672 t2926 $13 14
S 4-4
$13717
$1399 $14271
$14 ss S14347
t5144 t15447
$1r756 $16071$[ 3
$16721 $17055 17395
$17744 $180 3
$303891
A-69
245 1E8O $68
$66o $1S80
680
f1680
$us
s S680
s60 V-680
) 60
$11680 1G0
$-680 $680 $180
$1680 (2 5)
$137 3
$10744 $10992
24S Er
$1762
$12037
23 $1680$259 $1287S $13167
3464 $2757
$S076
$14391$114723
$15041 1575 $1576
$16064 120955
1165552
--915) M--72
(1h7) 5 211 Z229
($47334 7H)
(S3733-1 (23353 ($1q134 $02393
($1432) $7105
s5E
$23871S220n40
40 07 $4-964 55572 $Q346 $72910
0245 (S10524S ($105245) 1 237) $-3473) 39S53) 36S273) 387334) (373N 77S4 ($7-4)- (S792S)
(IC3S437037) 372374) ($40) (I781 ($597)
(-68 ) 15936) (M9 799 S473 (t4 7) (54230)
342I1 S$4795) ($43 4-) 34S9 $-9334 11445
(3273701 (S34 2353) (340262) (1253 1212n3s391 ($IE129 T251S) 12858) ($1076 ($2107D) (n632) ($3C53) (S-723-3)($26687)
3$4 (137631 ($23m9)
$2975 $1489) (2546) $7130 (37448) ($1230G)
$I063 (4521) ($172--3) $14786 (31994) (11 397) $19231 S120 (113 25)
TABLE A-35 (Contd)ASSPTIONS TAPBLE ME-F-COST TULE (CalcJaled)
E~ooi a Finacial Asi for Energy Investrents - Eypt EE
raitaSs Penefit raees Iter-E Rate of Returr 1014
Pcnuistio $SI7 Price of CiE h (yr 1)7-arrtatior $0 Oil Ezalat 2 year Dis PY cf V of FCrstrcticr $
Rate Enrefits Cc-zts NPDV Ratiotercnnecticr $0 Ergr~y Savrs 343 ttlyear - -ue Use 0 -bllyEar 0 $302231 $1373393 T2T
2 -(7925$2fZ $333 121 37 185 cnstrnxt Tiia 10 Lerths
46 2C34 $23C37 $72 10 57 6 $163716 $1L $4256 34 ee t1437S $372E $0281 116pe-atinz arsd NorLal nainternare Costs 0 $23022 $2504 S120 01
Operating Cost C680 year 10 $107129 $1E3 353 (S2 00 83 13 S100403 $29693 319275)
woeratino Lifetime 21 years 084
a- Ec RErairReplacemerit 4 $0426E $113072 ($24705)ipet 073883-) $514 $ 94)15 S - $-31 (2 07
-$---I16 eplace Cost (4536)Iperiof $3934 $18002 ($34008) 071 -e---
Repace Period 20 years 12 $75465 $117102 ($41637) 064 20 $66375 $116338 ($47963) 059
A-70
-Ecui adFin-ncla Aralys fcr re-rr-t - Ect Efl S
T-PLE -36
- Case cf-l 75- 14 - ZLWAN TxTLE11P (CLETOR F1 -e-1 - C_ OF L $40PL) Pfssu-ir 0i Ezsaatio- Rate cf 20
saves a cfaita _2erat Cost cz C Fue Used Ftel -rery Eaez ra1 ash oi DiEccurted Cash Fioi (PV) i =Yerpoundzsl (Bb1) Ccst Eciv E-er=- Cst poundjrrent 4 0 l
1 Trar-ort $L or Sc
ac-r r-
Thplusmnt$ $2 $4000 0 $0 53 32220 $ OZ 275 115V S ) $L) 5 $52$ $S $4080 0 $0 342 S4133 5160 bull ( s ($34 34 $4 5251eS oS ($845575 337$S $230 S4162 C $0 348 l144S2 $680 S222 tS2 08B21 (t 383) c(sa84) 354572)4 $ -- 45 0 $0 348 $14 72 80 $13-2 37)443) VT2F35) ($74 M)8 (37221- $ 6 54230 6
c SO 34 $ 07 $1650 513337 (52 333) 5 (s650141 ($56745)41 S6pound0 $4pound 0 $0 343 t5369 s0 $1268 ($47748) S2833) ME514) 3522 3787 S $45C I so 348 s Sw W=10131S13336 $67613SEBT($54614) ($587)scl S621 s~lsK 0o 348 sIz230 $680 $1IL3 I j 2 (-6631 (34171 5447 $ i620 $S437 0 so 348 C2 1 S 42 (f23 ($27 (4)ic $1 11 $4780 0 s0 343 $63 $1680 $1435 (54E 7) (S5284) (252 $3411 $0 960 $4276 0 $0 248 s-03 $1680 $Z222 571 ($1420) ($13 ( 0
1 $ $6al $4373 0 $0 348 $7305 T6O S15628 8(75W (S1S7M ($24 537)$O ^$ 73 0 SO 348 $17654 t1680 $1f3 5 25842 fss (S 641)- 2059714 C05630 IS174 0 $0 348 $12 007 t680 $l6327 53=-048 $4847 ($(S2 $16955)15 sso 15278 0 s0 348 $18367 ~ 6amp s-6637 S45 284 $10E54 (52518) ($3441)15 so Eao $2387 0 so 348 $18734 31680 $17054 $54754 $15$564 31032--17 160 $5497 0 so 348 s1100 T1680 t7423 $4053 $ 20921 15358 ($7482)18 $0 sso 567 0 so 348 $13431 t1680 $1781 5 73203 $2s5 5$8871 ($4888713 $0 $Sao $5773 0 $0 348 $13881 $1680 $18 201 $2188 2r313 S C2 252120 t0 680 $5227 0 $0 348 $20279 $1650 $I63 521016 $3467 $1$196 ($3361)21 $s $1680 $5944 0 $0 348 $20684 $2 856) $22540 $101753 $3 72115 185 $2079
$103458 $33680 0 $0 7018 $347304 S1370 $ 05965
A-71
TABLE A-36 (Contd) S TIO TfPBLE EEN-TT-CCSTS TP- -uatedCa1c
Eccncmic and Financial Pavsis fc- Energy irvestcents -- Eypt EEA 96
aita Costs -eefitParaeters nterna Rate of etur- 1229
fcouisition 0799 Price c Oil $40 bbl (yr 1)Transp rtatir $0 Oil Esalat 20year Disc PV of PV of BZCorst-utie $0 Rate Berfits Costs Ratio
irterconntior $0 Enry Savrs 348 bblyear Fue USE 0 bbllyear N $347304 $33 1 2TOTL -Cap -107 995 S22D720 $132 5S3 $148127 212
4 $2307S6 $2 037 $10 175 -79Construct Time 19 months 6 $92818 $126130 628 53 8 $1amp3517 $123796 3721 132Operating and Normal Mainterance Costs 10 $14C52 $1219(4 $1363 115
11 $3004 $121091 $9913Operating Cost $1650 year 108
12 $1 432 $12C353 $20 102Operating Lifetime 21 years 1 $114751 S83 ($4 31 09z $11
14- $107847 $119072 ($11225) 091Major Equipment RepairRelacemert 5 $1C1622 $110514 (c6291) 086 16 $95993 $118002 ($220C09) 081
Replace Cost ($4536)period 8 $8624E T17102 ($30 S56 074Replace Period 20 years 2 $78143 $115338 ($32195) 067
A-72
APPENDIX B
Preliminary Cost Estimates
Three (3) systems are considered appropriate for cost analysis Cost estimates are preliminary for use in the Application ReviewConceptual
Design portion of this project
A Waste Heat Recovery System
B Solar Thermal Collection System
Current $US (mid-1986) are applied then escalated to mid-1987 theexpected construction period at 10 percent
For cost assessment purposes all material and supervision will beconsidered imported Egyptto Labor costs will reflect some Egyptianrate influence although certain installation procedures will requireexperienced labor not currently available in Egypt
The average annual wage for the Egyptian construction industry in 1985Is 7800 LE or $5778 (US) ($135 LE per US $)
An average labor rate in the United States for construction servicesapplicable to this project is estimated by the R S Means Company to be$2177 per hour in 1985 (crew Q4) An estimated thirty percent imporledlabor with severity percent Egyptian labor can be used for establishing a mixed labor rate average of $936 per hour (US) A labor cost modifier for wages becomes $936$2177 or 0431
Equipment and system cost estimates and percentages are established byusing R S Means Company Cost Data and1985 equipment suppliersbudget pricing estimates
The solar cost data are determined in flxed-and variable-cost increments as required by the FCHART-4R program input format A solar collection array size of 4000 square feet ( 72 m2 ) is estimated for use in determining the variable cost factor
B-I
A WAS[E HEAT RECOVERY SYSTEM
DESC R I FT ION SIEI OTAI TOTAL
3 WAY WASTE WATER DIVERTING VALVES SUMP MATERIALS SUMF PUMP FILTER SCREEN SUMP PUMF LEVEL CONTROL AND VALVE WASTE HEAT STORAGE TANK WASTE HE(I S IORAGE TANK PUMP STORAGE TANK LEVEL CONTROL AND VALVE WASTE HEAT EXCHANGER $1200)1000 EITI SUB-TOTAL EQUIFMENT(MID-1986) $160900
ESCALATION FACTOR 11 TOTAL EQUIPMENT (MID-1987) $176990
FLOW ItDICATORS AND GLOBE VALVES 3 WAY PROCESS WATER BLENDING VALVES STEAM CONTROL VALVES PROCESS WATER TEMPERATURE CONTROLLERS SUB-TOTAL EQUIPMENT(MID-1986) $71400
ESCALATION FACTOR 11 TOTAL EQUIPMENT (MID-1987) $78540
PIPING COST (40 EQUIP COST) 040 $102212
INSULATION COST (75 PIPING COST) 075
SUB-TOTAL MATERIAL COST $434401
LABOR COST (715 MATERIAL COST) $310597 MODIFIERLABOR MIX 043 MODIFIED LABOR COST $133557
SUB-TOTAL MATERIAL + LABOR $567958
TOTAL WASTE HEAT RECOVERY SYSTEM CONSTRUCTION COST $567958
B-2
B SOLAR THERMAL COLLECTION SYSTEM VARIRIABLE COrST (HIID-19117)
DESCR I FIUIN SOLAR CULA-ECTORS $10 0uFT2 COLLECTOR AREA 4000 rF2 COLLECTOR COST SOLAR CIRCIJLAFIN(3 PUMPFS SULAR 1ISTRIBLTI 1 PIlIPS STRUCTURAL STEEl SOLAR CONTROLS INSVRUMELNV AIR SYSEIIFIPING LOW VOLTAGE CABLE EXCAVArION AND FOUNDAFIONS ELECTRICAL
TOTAL EQtJIPMENT(MI ID-1986) ESCALATION FACTOR TOTAL ELUI MENT (MID-1787) PIPING COST (40 COLLECTOR COST) INSULATION COST (75PIPING COST) TOTAL MATERIAL COST I$144050
$105500
I1
075
$116050 $16lt00 $12000
LABOR COST (715 MATERIAL COST) MOIFIERLABOR MIX MODIFIED LABOR COST
$102996 043
$44286
MATERIAL + LABOR $188338
FREIGHTDUTYTAXES TO EGYPT 10 $18834
SUBTOTAL $207172
SUBTOTAL CONTINGENCY 15
$207172 $31076
TOTAL VARIABLE COST COST PER FT2 $60
$238248
B-3
------------------------------------------------------------------------
--------------------------------------------------------------------
FIXED COST (MID 1987)
DESCRIPTION CONTRALCTOIR S RENTAL SUFPL IES CONIRACrORS FACILITIES CONTRACTORS UTILITIES CONTRACTORS MATERIAL HANDLING CONTRACTORS CLEAN-UP DISMANTLING AND MOVING BOXING AND CRATING U S IRANSPORTAT ION SUB-TOTAL $34000
SUB-TOTAL M34000 CONTINGENCY 15 $5100
TOTAL FIXED COST $39100
LGE COST BASED ON CURRENT FIELD TEST PROJECT
TOTAL VARIABLE COST $238248 TOTAL FIXED COST $39100
TOTAL SYSTEM CONSTRUCTION COST $277348
EEA COST DATA BASED ON CURRENT PROJECTS USING IN-COUNTRY CONTRACTOR AND EQUIPMENT
VARIABLE COST $2862FT2 $2862 COLLECTOR SIZE (FT2) 4000 TOTAL VARIABLE COST $114480
EEA FIXED COST $26757
TOTAL SYSTEM CONSTRUCTION COST $141237
CONSTRUCTION COST SUMMARY
A WASTE HEAT RECOVERY SYSTEM $567958
D SOLAR THERMAL COLLECTION SYSfEM $277348
1(lAL CUNSTRUCTION CU9 A amp B $845 05
B-4
APPENDIX C
7)i)7771Cell i) Ofr
U6~ (Ici 1 -211~c~~
f~t 2l
c-1
1986 1OCT
I L jB~ i i~ I C r 6 ~ ~Kn Z 7
B~ C~u ~d~ ~ c) 7 fie~~
dF -Me- cluy( - (F --
(44 I It Lccc~ e~lry
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4 ECONOUilC ANALYSIS
Objective
The objective of this analysis is to evaluate the economic
viability of a solar thermal system for providing industrial
process heat for textile finishing at the Helwan Spinning and
Weaving Company at Helwan and to determine whether or not an
investment in this field test would result in the acquisition of
useful information and know-how not only technical but also
managerial and institutional so that such experiences could be
duplicated throughout the economy of Egypt
Research Methodology
The method of analysis selected for accomplishing the above
objective is the standard benefit cost analysis used in project
evaluation A benefit cost analysis involves first the pooling
of anticipated benefits and costs (direct and indirect) resulting
from the project throughout its economic life The streams of
benefits and costs are then expressed in present value terms
using a common numeraire (a discount rate)
From this the following evaluation characteristics can be
calculated
The Net Present Value (NPV) is the difference between the sum of
the discounted stream of benefits and the sum of the discounted
stream of costs discounted by a given discount rate
- 7 shy
The Payback Period is the number of years it takes a project to
generate sufficient benefits to cover its cost or the number of
years it takes the net present value to change from a negative
to a positive value
The Internal Rate of Return (IRR) sometimes called the economic
rte of return is that discount rate that would equate
discounted benefits to discounted cost or reduce the net present
value to zero
Benefit-Cost Ratio (BC) This is the ratio obtained by dividing
the discounted value of all project benefits by the discounted
value of project costs
Simple Payback This is a rule of thumb method used by investors
to see if a particular financial venture is worth investing in
or not The simple payback is calculated by summing up all
capital and operating costs and dividing that sum by the value of
the first full years benefit In the private sector in most
industrialized countries a simple payback of 3 to 5 years is
expected With renewable energy technology a simple payback of
7-9 years is usually admissible
- 8shy
Assumptions
The economic analysis of the IPH system is based on the
following assumptions
0 All energy conversions are made into barrels of oil
equivalent where one metric ton is equivalent to
US 733 barrels
0 Price of oil is valued at US$20barrel of No 6 light
heating oil escalated at 2 per year This price
level may not be indicative of the price of oil that is
rapidly changing at present It should be noted that
the analysis in this study is to look at what may
happen in the long-rt-n during the 1980s and 1990s As
such the analysis should not be affected by what
happens to commodity prices in the spot market in the
very short-run A revision of the price of oil in the
analysis may be appropriate when the price level
stabilizes
A discount rate of 1O is sed This is the
opportunity cost of money used in international
lending agencies such as the World Bank
Hardware is assumed to have a salvage value of 10 at
the end of the life of the system
-9shy
The system is expected to have a life of 20 years
0 Some hardware items are purchased in Egypt An
exchange rate of LE 135 = US$ 100 is used All
prices are in constant US$ 1985
Data Base
Two sets of cost estimates were used in this analysis The
fWrFt set of data was provided by Lockwood Greene Engineers for
a 4000 sqft collector area (see Appendix B)
On the basis of the best available information Lockwood
Greene Engineers have provided the following cost estimates
Collector Size 4000
Prices Variable cost $60O0sqft Fixed cost $39180
0 + M cost 2 of total cost
Salvage value 42 of total cost
Energy savings 325 barrels of oil
Construction period 10 months
System life 20 years
The second set of data was provided by EEA for a collector
size of 4200 sqft The EEA cost estimates also show two types
of prices The first set shows a price of $2581 per square foot
- 10 shy
of colector This price is to be used for collectors purchased
for the REFT Project The second set shows a price of $2221 per
sqft which is to be used when evaluating IPH application
elsewhere in Egypt (see Appendix C)
Cost estimates provided by EEA are as follows
Collector Size 4200 sqft
Prices Variable cost $2221isqft (local)
$2581sqft (REFT)Fixed cost $17430 (local)
$23995 (REFT)
0 + M cost 2 of hardware cost
Salvage value 42 of capital cost
Energy savings 348 barrels of oil
Construction period 10 months
System life 20 years
Analysis and Results
The economic evaluation of the IPH system for textile
finishing was performed by examining the following sets of
assumptions
1 A 4200 sqft collector area at a price of $30sqft
2 A 4200 sqft collector area at prices of
$ 2581sqft and $2221sqft
3 A Waste Heat Recovery System
4 A 4200 sqft collector area priced at $30 per sqftombined with waste heat recovery system
5 A sensitivity analysis at different collector prices and varying prices of oil
- 11 shy
Table 1 presents the input data based on cost estimates
provided by Lockwood Greene Engineers These estimates are based
on a collector system purchased from the US at a price of
US$60sqft Output results for this analysis is presented in
Table 2
Input data for the base line analysis are presented in
Table 3 All base line analyses were performed assuming a price
of $20O0bbl of oil The economic evaluation of all systems
was made using a discount rate of 10 although system perforshy
mances are examined at varying discount rates ranging from 0
to 20 at 2 intervals (see Appendix A)
Table 4 presents results of the base line analysis As
shown in this table the 4200 sqft solar collector systems at
all collector prices do not pay during its economic life The
solar collector system at a price of $30sqft has a simple
payback of 22 years which is longer than the life of the system
The net present value at 10 discount rate is negative for
the baseline case with collector price $30sqft and price of
oil $2Gibbl indicating that the financial benefits accruing to
the project will not be able to offset the cost of acquisition
and operation of the system during its economic life span The
net present value at different level of discount rate and varying
prices of oil is presented in Figure 1
- 12 shy
TABLE 1
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM
FIELD TEST 4 - HLEWAN TEXTILE
DATA INPUT - US CASE
(Collector Price US$ 60sqft Price of Oil
I T E M S SOLAR ONLY WASTE HEAT RE(]OVaRY
Capital Cost ($) 227348 567958
0 + M ($) 4765 11359
Salvage Value ($) 11649 23854
Energy Savings (bbl) 325 11048
Construction Period (Month) 10 10
System Life (Yrs) 20 20
Source LBII estimates based on Engineering cost by Lockwood Greene Engineers
20bbl)
COMBINED SYSTEM
845306
16906
35503
11737
10
20
data provided
- 13 shy
TABLE 2
ECONOMIC NALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM
FIELD TEST 4 - HELWAN TEXTILE
RESULTS - US CASE
(Collector Price USS60sqft Price of Oil US$ 20bbl)
I T E M S SOLAR ONLY WASTE HEAT COMBINED RECOVERY
Energy Savings (bbl) 325 11048 11373
Simple Payback (Yrs) 43 3 4
Pdyback Period (Yrs) None 4 6
Net Present Value i = 10 ($251325) 1568793 1310681
Internal Rate of Return (IRR ) - 834 4220 2843
BC Ratio i = 10 021 337 233
Source LBII estimates based on Engineering cost data providedby Lockwood Greene Engineers
- 14 shy
TABLE 3
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM
FIELD TEST 4 - HELWAN TEXTILE
DATA INPUT - BASELINE ANALYSIS
(Collector Price US$ 30sqft)
I T E M S SOLAR ONLY WASTE HEAT COMBINED RECOVERY SYSTEM
Capital Cost ($) 149995 567958 717953
0 + M (S) 2520 11359 13879
Salvage Value ($) 6300 - 0 - 6300
Energy Savings (bbl) 348 11048 11396
Construction Period (Month) 10 10 10
System Life (Yrs) 20 20 20
Source LBII estimates based on cost data provided from EEA and Lockwood Greene Engineers
- 15 shy
TABLE 4
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM
FIELD TEST 4 - HELWAN TEXTILE
BASELINE ANALYSIS RESULTS
(Collector Price $30sqft Price of Oil US$ 20bbl)
I T E M S SOLAR ONLY WASTE HEAT COMBINED RECOVERY
Energy Savings (bbl) 348 11048 11396
Simple Payback (Yrs) 22 3 3
Payback Period (Yrs) None 4 5
Net Present Value i = 10 ($100633) 1565248 1464614
Internal Rate of Return (IRR ) - 124 4220 3402
BC Ratio 041 335 275 i = 10
Source LBII estimates based on cost data provided by EEA and Lockwood Greene Engineers
- 16 shy
Figure I Helwan TextileIPH - Solar only - Net Present Value at various Discount Rates and Prices of Oil (Collector
Price S30sqft)
0
150
-J)0
LUJ
LUJ
00-
Li
11 t 6
4F
D I SCOU NT RATE ()
130BBL
-$25BBL
~$15BBL $20BBL
- - 17 shy
The internal rate of return (IRR) is significantly lower
than the 10 economic rate of return expected to cover the cost
of credit
The waste heat recovery system on the other hand shows
positive results The system pays for itself in four years
The internal rate of return for the waste heat recovery
system is very high 4220 indicating very high economic gains
to be realized by installing this system
The Application Review for Field Test 4 examines solar
thermal together with a waste heat recovery system as a unit that
will be installed at Helwan Textile Accordingly an economic
evaluation of the combined solar thermal plus the waste heat
recovery system was performed
The input data used for Zhis analysis is presented in
Table 3 Results of the economic analysis for the combined
system are presented in Table 4 As shown in Table 4 the
combined system is economically viable The payback period for
the combined system is five years with an Internal Rate of
Return (IRR) of 3402 Figure 2 presents a graphic representashy
tion of the internal rate of return (IRR) for the output results
presented in Table 4
- 18shy
C
Figure 2 Helwan Textile - Internal Rate of Return at different Prices of Oil for Waste Heat Recovery
and Combined Solar and Jaste Heat Recovery
Systems (Collector Price $60 and $30sqft)
100
80shy
60-
LU 40
lt
($ B B LUi P R 1 0 F 0 1 L
-20
-20
- 19shy
-40
It is very clear from Table that the economic performance
of the combined system is lower than that of the waste heat
system indicating the dampening effect of the poor econoinic
performance of the solar thermal system
It should be pointed out that there is no functional relashy
tionship between the technical or economic performance of solar
thermal and waste heat recovery systems One can install the
solar thermal all by itself or in combination
As discussed earlier the proposed 4200 sqft solar thermal
system is not economically viable at a collector price of $30
sqft and price of oil S20barrel A separate analysis was
performed using a S20barrel price of oil and collector prices of
$30 25 22 and 20sqft Results of the analysis is presented
in Table 5
As shown in Table 5 the solar thermal system is not
economically viable at all collector prices The system does
not pay for itself during its life span Even at the lowest
collector price ($20sqft) the benefits derived from the
system can only cover 58 of the cost incurred (BC ratio 058)
during the life of the system
An additional sensitivity analysis was performed for each
collector price level and varying prices of oil As inshown
- 20 shy
TABLE 5 - ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM - FT4HELWAN TEXTILE SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS WITH DIFFERENT COLLECTOR PRICES
(Price of Oil US$ 20BBL)
I T E M S
COLLECTOR
$20sqft $22sqft
PRICE
$25sqft $30sqft
r
Energy Savings
(bbl)
Simple Payback
(Yrs)
Payback Period
(Yrs)
Net Present Value
i = 10
Internal Rate of Return - IRR
348
16
None
($51604)
266
348
16
None
($55919)
216
348
19
None
($76694)
046
348
22
None
($100633)
- 124
BC Ratio
i = 10 058 056 048 041
Source LBII estimate based on engineering cost Lockwood Greene Engineers
data provided by EEA and
Tables 6 - 9 the solar thermal system will start showing
positive economic results if collector prices are between $20 and
$22sqft and oil prices increase to $35 - $40barrel It is
very unlikely to find a situation where one can have a decline
in the price of collectors while having a simultaneous increase
in the price of oil Since collectors are manufactured from
products such as plastic glass aluminum etc which are
energy intensive a decline in collector prices can only be
realiz=d with a decline in the price of energy
Figures 3 and 4 show graphic representations of the internal
rate of return (IRR) and payback period respectively for
different prices of collectors and varying prices of oil
A year by year cash flow for 36 different scenarios are
presented in Appendix A Tables Al - A36
- 22 shy
TABLE 6 - ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM - FT4HELWAN TEXTILE SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS WITH DIFFERENT PRICES OF OIL
(Collector Price US$ 20sqft)
P R I C E OF 0 1 L
I T E M $15bbl $20bbl $25bbl $30bbl $35bbl $40bbl
Energy Savings 348 348 348 348 348 348(bbl)
Simple Payback 21 16 12 10 9 8(Yrs)
Payback Period None None None None None None (Yr s)
Net Present Value i = 10 (69179) (51604) (34029) (16454) 1120 18695
Internal Rate ofReturn - IRR - 057 266 540 787 1014 1229
BC Ratio 043 058 072 087 101 115
Source LBII estimate based on engineering cost data provided by EEA andLockwood Greene Engineers
TABLE 7 - ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM - FT4HELWAN TEXTILE SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS WITH DIFFERENT PRICES OF OIL
(Collector Price US$ 22sqft)
I T E M
Energy Savings (bbl)
Simple Payback (Yrs)
Payback Period
(Yrs)
P R I C E OF 0 I L
$15bbl $20bbl $25bbl $30bbl $35bbl $40bbl
348 348 348 348 348 348
21 16 13 11 9 8
None None None None None None
Net Present Value i = 10 (73494) (55919) (38344) (20769) (3194) 14381
Internal Rate of Return - IRR - 108 216 491 735 961 1172
BC Ratio 042 056 070 084 097 111
Source LBII estimate based on engineering cost data provided by EEA and Lockwood Greene Engineers
TABLE 8 -ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM - FT4HELWAN TEXTILESENSITIVITY ANALYSIS WITH DIFFERENT PRICES OF OIL (Collector Price US$ 25sqft)
P R I C E OF 0 I L I T E M $15bbl $20bbl $25bbl $30bbl $35bbl $40bbl
Energy Savings
(bbl)
348 348 348 348 348 348
Simple Payback
(Yrs) 25 19 15 12 11 9
Payback
(Yrs)
Period None None None None None None
Net Present Value i = 10 (94268) (76694) (59119) (41544) (23969) (6394)
Internal Rate ofReturn - IRR - 263 046 304 532 739 932 BC Ratio 036 048 060 072 084 096
Source LBII estimate based on engineering cost data provided by EEA andLockwood Greene Engineers
TABLE 9 - ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM - FT4HELWAN TEXTILE SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS WITH DIFFERENT PRICES OF OIL
(Collector Price US$ 30sqft)
P R I C E OF 0 1 L
I T E M $15bbl $20bbl $25bbl $30bbl $35bbl $40bbl
Energy Savings 348 348 348 348 348 348 (bbl
Simple Payback 29 22 17 14 12 11(Yrs)
Payback Period None None None None None None (Yrs)
Net Present Value (118208) (100633) (83058) (65484) (47909) (30334) i = 10
Internal Rate of Return - IRR - 425 - 124 124 339 534 714
BC Ratio 031 041 051 062 072 082
Source LBII estimate based on engineering cost data provided by EEA and Lockwood Greene Engineers
Figure 3- Helwan TextileIPH - Solar Only - Internal Rate of
Returr at Different Prices of Oil and varying
Collector Prices
29shy
n
-15
CD 10shy
lt 5
S0
10
R
2
0 F
30 5
B BL )
-10
-27 shy
-Ig - Helwan Textile - Solar Only - Simple Payback at Dfferent Prices of Oil and varying Collector
Prices
50
40shy
30
20- $60sqft
- - S30sqft
I25sqft22sq ft 20sq ft
P
10
R I C E
20
0 F
30
0 1 L
40
B B L
50
- 28 shy
5 CONCLUSION
The economic analysis performed on the proposed IPH Field
Test at Helwan Textile showed that the 4200 sqft flat plate
collector system was not economically viable
However the analysis indicated that when the solar thermal
system was evaluated in combination with the waste heat recovery
system the project was economically viable This favorable
performance was caused not because of improvement made in
economic efficiency by the solar thermal system but rather
because the economic efficiency of the waste heat recovery
system is so strong that it more than offsets the poor
performance of the solar thermal system
It should be emphasized that this analysis did not cover an
evaluation of the complete array of solar thermal systems such
as solar collectors for domestic hot water etc The analysis
was limited to the application of flat plate collectors for
application in industrial process heat of a given temperature
range Therefore implications drawn from this analysis should
not be applied to other solar thermal uses
The economic analysis has revealed some interesting and
important economic technical institutional and policy issues
- 29 shy
It is clear that the proposed flat plate collector system
on its own cainot be expected to bring about positive economic
returns given current collector prices Therefore it is
necessary that
Investigations be made in the technical field to
determine if the efficiency of the system could be
improved without increasing system cost
e The supply side of the collector market be prepared
to manufacture and supply collector systems that are
cost effective
e Policy makers be cognizant of the fact that the price
of flat plate collectors must decrease by almost 60
compared to the best case scenario as used in this
study (from $30sqft to $10sqft) in order
for industrial consumers to find it attractive to
invest in solar thermal technology Since the market
and thus the solar thermal industry is at its infancy
in Egypt policy makers and the public sector have to
play a lead role in removing barriers and providing the
appropriate fiscal andor regulatory incentives to
enhance the manufacture and widespread use of solar
thermal technology
- 30 shy
It is the overall objective of the Renewable Energy Field
Testing Project to investigate selected renewable energy options
to
9 Comprehensively strengthen Egyptian technical and
institutional capabilities in the full spectrum of
renewable energy planning and decision-making for
technologies and applications
Develop and sustain an Egyptian renewable energy
infrastructure through establishment of data bases
information systems and organizations that effectively
serve both the public and private sectors
Design realize and evaluate the performance of a
series of field tests which utilize commercially
available technologies in applications having potential
for widespread use in Egypt
Complete formal managerial and technical training both
on-the-job and specialized and an intensive
information dissemination program
- 31 shy
The design operation maintenance and repair experience
with solar thermal systems that will be obtained through this
field test to form a strong technical base for the design and
application of other renewable energy technologies is an
important factor which has not entered into the benefit cost
calculation in this report These additional factors need to be
considered seriously for the go-no-go decision
- 32 shy
APPENDIX A
-cono mcarz F7ra r na 2Analvsis fo- Erer gyi s t s y --t ne E8 0o
TA -1E-1
Fcr Case ofFELD TEST 4 - HELW TEXTILEIIPH (CILLECTOR PRICE S35313FT- PRICE Cz OIL $158L)Assumr iliEscalatior Rate of
Savec ValLe Of V~Caoitaltea- Cost Deratzrnc Cost of OilCost Sbl Fuel Usea Fuel(bi) EeravCs Saveo AnnualEuiv Er-eray Lost
Casi Flow Discounted Cash Flo~w (NV) j=urrert 48
Ion $14--Oui -It X=-=== ==--- ----==---=-------S shyrarsoort 1 Construc ionI i nt er o 0ne zt i o r $$14$35 $4C- $1500 $0 31Tta 5870$(
58 $150415 ($149545)6520 S153cent S14945) ($149545) ($14954-)$0 348 (149 4W)V 5324 $20$2520 $1561 4 ($146848) 3146948)4 0 $0 348 ($14699) (S14704)SO $5431i250 159= 550 $2911 ($1441 ) ($1445)5 Si $0 348 $5540 S252 S020
($14550) ($144721)$252) 1624 ($141473) (142056)$$ 348 ($142321) (142571)8 5650$0 $1G56 0 $313r ($13797) ($139755) (S140ljE7 $ (140582)$0 346 _7632 20 $1689 0 $W 348 $520 $3243 ($13611) ($137548) ($138169)8 S5873 2520SO $25Z0 $1723 $3359 ($133477) ($135431)0 $0 (M76274 ($137040)9- W S757 348 S5336 $25200 SO 348 $3476 (s123235 ($133402) ($134490)10 $5116 S-20 ($135468)$0 $2520 51733 0
$352 (128205) ($131460)11S 250 $0 348 $6238 (13 812) ($134015)510s $2520 $3718 ($125595) so $2520 4 Sampo $3843
(S12600) (131235) ($132674)$ bull252$1S65 0 $0 348 $6490) ($1 999) ($127820) ($1k9754) ($131437)13 V) 520 $1902
$ 2-t $3370 ($1 j420) ($126117) ($128 3) ($130256)14 348 $6620$0 S2520 $1940
0 S0 $2520 $410W ($117859) ($124489)0 $0 348 ($127055) ($129243)15 (1 2520 $197 0 $6753 S250 $233 ($115317) ($22932) ($125 89)16 $0
so 348 $6888 S252 (3128273)i3520 4368$2019 ($1I1C755)
17 0 $0 348 $7025 (3121445) ($124679) ($127379)$2K$0 $-) 0 01 $156- ($I12S3)
348 3120025 ($123601) ($126556)$7166 512520 646 (S107812) (S11BC65918 $0 ($122590) (S125710 52 10 21 100 0 so - 0$2 520J 348 7309 t4935S21 42 0 so) 50 $789 ($102918i($105354) i17374) ($1216421 ($125101)20 348 $7 455 ($116139)$0 $2520 $2 5 ($12-0754)$2185 0 ($124459)s021 348(W30) $2520 57 605 $2-50 $5085$2229 ($I00504)0 s0 348 $7757
(314961 ($119923) ($123869)($3780 S11537 ($9239) ($112486) ($I18208) ($IM673)$143695 $50820 0 $0 7018 $130239 $194515 ($64276)
A-1
TABLE A-I (Contd) ASSUMPTIONS TABLE BENEFIT-COSTS TALE (Calculated)
Economic and Financiai Analvsis for Energy -strnents - Egypt EEA 101986
Cacital Costs Benefit Parameters Internal Rate of Return -425
Acouisition $149995 Price of Oil $1500 bbl (yr 1)Trarsoortation $0 Oil Escalat 20year Disc PV of FV of BCConstruction $0 Rate Benefits Costs NOV Ratio
interconnection $0 Enrgy Savns 348 bblyear Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 $130 23 $194515 ($64276) 067TOTAL (Cap) $149995
El $105270 $187381 (582111) 056
Construct Time 10 morhs 4 $86548 $181787 ($95239) 0486 $72307 $177 355 ($105048) 041
Ooeratinc and Normal Maintenance Costs 8 $61319 $173805 (3112486) 03510 $5725 $170933 $118208) 031 11 $$3l26 $169701 ($120575) 029oeratino Cost $2520 year 12 $45912 $168585 ($122673) 027Operating Lifetime 21 years 13 $43032 $167571 ($124539) 026
Major Eauipment ReoairReolacement 14 $40443 $166647 ($126204) 024 15 $38108 $165804 ($227695) 023
Salvage Value ($6300)period 16 $35 997 $165032 ($129034) 022 18 $32342 $163674 ($131332) 020Replace Period 20 years 20 $29303 1162522 ($133219) 018
A-2
--
__
Ewic a Fzranzai Z aiys s for Enercy Investments Eayot EEAq-
10I9i-
1PLE A-2 For Case ofFIELD TEST 4-- H2LWRN TEXTILEIP (COLLECTOR PRICE $30SQF - PRICE OF OIL $20BlAssumino Oil Escalation Rate of 0OL
Ca0ita Oeratira Cost cf Oilyear Fuel UsedCost Cost $Bb Saved VEL- -Fuei Ererly(Bb) Cost ave Arr al Cas FlowEouv ne-v LisOurted Cash FlowAnua C Flow 0V) 6 ===--- shy ======= =----=- rcuisior $1 93 -- Codegt ure~n $4Trar-I sSrC0=-=---= = 8 10 12=== =_==== -= =shy
=== =---==_-_I Corstru-t or te $34 512415 $2
431$951 Tota) C$Z $520 5 $160 (Q14-$1-47 $24
fSO $A 0 so 2s ($14 SH5) ($149255)$0
$73 $-5 ($144 8-( ($492s)$ $4$274 ( -14482)(3145015)s 348 (31450321$7241 $2520 ($145GG) $ $ 20 12 65 o so$01
348 0
$472( ($140487) ($140357) (s1411025200 ($1414031$25207 $2208 $ 0 3(1381611($i37 105 0 $11 4 3$0 20 S5_a20 5 0 so ($137534) ($137939)52520 348
0 $S034 3483 $7645 3 S- $5014 ($131875)$78 $1202 (11j33419)SO2 $ $5318SE184 ($12763 ($126 5531 (3134110) (134753)($123428)
$0 S3 ($127901) ($129128)$2520 $2297 $0 $2 2 o 0 345 $4I4 ($$2343 $995 1)7 ($1239(50 348 $2520 5475 ($130903)Ii 3155 s2$23 $131822)$ 183$0$2$SC n 5 ($13 50 ) ($120314 ) ($1224 )0 ($ 124376)-2$-iSO $23($ 5212~~ $ 520 2438S S $1 513 3) (SI27903 ) ( 52)$252 0 $2$0~ $7980 0 3 -4 i$110761 ($117414)1$ $2FO ($120000 -2520 $5 Z $59 4 ($12-2285)
gs )1 3 $20 287 $0348 1$107 0-7) ($S141238 ($ 17 7 0) SI2652587 $$c 24 ($120 3 5 )15 $0 0 (S0563) ($112021)$2 52 $2 $-9348 ($11555) ($118601)$0 520 6 0 so 34 8 $2 443483 S82 311104 $220$ 520 S664 ($30) ($107132)$ 307 ($931($S3123)) ( 10 (Si1267) ($115497)6 ($I04Ef) ($11973)5I) ($S 15451 ($11133)o0 $2 520 ($1169 3)SO 5 2 920 032520 5274 6 0 4 8 $ 36 $S 2- 8$0 47 ( 1 014 34 6 $3555 ($ I02 70 19 348 $7U ($1 0743 ) ($I 1i7
s0 $2520 $2800 0 $2 520 7 0 5 ($8 834 ($00 65) ) ($10 8 273 ) ($112 8 2 )
$2520 $9 0 $200 $72- (914$) 3)S0 $4 ($90 063 ($110682)27 $0 $2 c856 00 ($76 51)2$5 14 0 0 348 0 ($9 842 ($0397 ($10977)340 $I0139 -521 $2 5 0 $($6300) $7 19$2520 $2972 0 ( 72 8 35 ($ 076 ()0s0 ($102 72) ($10023)348 $10342 (3780) $1418 ($ 3) ($9246) ($100633) ($I0735)
$143695 $0820 0 s 7018 $173652 $194515 ($20863)
A-3
ASSUMPTJINS TABLE TABLE A-2 (Contd) BENEFIT-COSTS TPBLE (Calculated)
Economicand Finar_ial Analysis fr Energy Investments - Egypt EE 10191S6
Capital Costs Benefit Parareters Internal Rate of Return -124
Acquisitior 149995 Price of Oil 2000 bbl (y 1)Transoortation $0 Oil Escalat 20rvear Disc PV of PV of BC
Construction $0 Rate Benefits Costs NPV RatioInterconrection $0 Enrgy Savrias 348 bblyear --- _____-__
- Fuel Use 0 bblivear 0 $173652 $1S4515 ($20863) 089TOTAL (Car) $14995 2 $14036O $187381 (347021) 075 4 $115398 S181787 (36E390) 063Construct Time 10 months 6 $96409 S177355 ($80946) 054
8 $31759 5173805 ($92 046)Ooerating and Normal Maintenance Costs 047l0 $70299 $170 933 ($100633) 041
11 $65502 $169701 (3104199) 039Operatino Cost S2520 year 12 $61216 1amp3585 ($107369) 036Oerating Lifetime 21 years 13 57376 $167571 (3110195) 034
14 $53924 $16G647 (3112723) 032Major Equioment ReoairReplacement 15 $50811 $165804 ($114992) 031 16 $47997 $165032 ($117035) 0213Replace Cost ($6300)oeriod 18 $43123 $163674 (3120551) 026Replace Period 20 years 20 $39071 $162522 ($123451) 024
A-4
Econonxc and Finarcial 9ralvsis for Energy Investrets -- EcvDt EEA 1013i6C
TABLE A-3
For Case ofFIELD TEST 14 - H-LWAN TEXTILEIPi ( COLLECTOR PRCE $30SQFT- PRICE OF OIL $25BBL) Assuming Oil Escalation Rate of 20
Saved Valus ofCacital boeratirng Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel Energy Saved Annual Cash Flow Discounted Cash Flow ((NV) iYear Cost Cost $Bbl (Bbl) Cost Eauiv Erercy Cost Currert f 4 8 10 12
S Accuisitio $149995
1 Transoort $0 I Construct ior $0 I Interconnection $0
Totil $149q95 $420 $2500 0 $0 58 $1450 S150 415 ($14295) (3148965) ($48965) ($14895) ($148965)$0 $2520 $2550 0 s0 348 $3874 $2520 $3354 ($142855) ($143082) ($143189) ($143292)3 s0 $2520 $2601 0 $0 348 $9051 $2520 ($1368171 ($137482) ($137791) ($133085)4 $0 2520 $2653 5
0 s0 348 $3233 $252 $ 713 ($130643) ($132153) ($132748) ($133307)$0 2520 $2706 0 $0 6
348 $9417 $2520 $o897 ($124954) ($127084) ($128037) ($128924)$0 S2520 $2760 0 $0 348 $9606 $2520 S7056 ($119130) ($122261) ($123637) ($124903)7 so $2520 $2815 0 $0 348 $3798 $2520 $7278 ($113378) (117675) ($119529) ($121216)so $1520 $28728 0 $0 348 $39A 9
S2520 $7474 ($107699) ($11331b) ($115694) ($117836)s0 $2520 $2929 0 $0 348 $10193 $25L0 $7673 ($102032) ($09169) ($1121141 ($114736)10 $0 2520 $2986 0 11
$1 348 $10397 $25_lt $7877 ($36557) ($105228) ($103774) ($111896)$0 $2520 $3047 0 $0 348 $10 60 $_520 $308512 ($31095) ($I01483) ($105656) (5109293)$0 $2520 $3106 0 $0 348 $10817 $2520 $8237 ($85706) ($97925 ($102748) ($106907)13 $0 $2520 $3171 0 $0 348 $11034 $2520 $8514 ($80388) ($94544) ($10003-5) ($104722)$0 $2520 $323414 0 $0 348 $11254 $2520 $873415 ($75142) ($91332) ($97505) ($102720)$0 $2520 $3299 0 $0 348 $11479 $2520 $8959 ($69968) ($88282) ($95146) ($100837)16 $0 $2520 $3365 0 $0 348 $I709 $2520 $3189 ($64866) ($85385) ($92946) ($99208)17 $0 $2520 $3432 0 $0 348 $11943 $252(l $9423 ($59835) ($M 634) ($90895) ($97671)18 $0 $2520 $3501 0 $0 348 $12182 $2520 $3662 ($54875) ($80023) ($88984) ($264)19 so $2520 $3571 0 $0 348 $12426 $2520 $9906 ($349985) ($77544) ($87202) ($94976)20 $0 $2520 $3642 0 $0 348 $12674 $2520 $10154 ($45165) ($75191) ($85542) ($93797)21 ($6300) $2520 $3715 0 $0 348 $12928 ($3780) $16708 ($37540) ($71607) ($830558) ($92065)
$143695 $50820 0 $0 7018 $217065 $194515 $22550
A-5
-- --
TABLE A-3 (Contd) ASSUMPTIONS TABLE BENFIT-COSTS TABLE (Calculated)
Economic and Financial Analysis for Energy Investments - Egyot EEA i01986
Capital Costs Benefit Parameters Internal Rate of Return 124
Acouisition $149995 Price of Oil $25CK bbl (yr 1)TransDortation $0 Oil Escalat 20year Disc PY of PV of BCConstruction $0 Rate Benefits Costs NPV Ratio
Interconrection $0 Enrgy Savngs 348 bblyear m_ S -- - Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 $217065 $194515 $2550 112
TOTAL Cap) $149995 2 $175450 $187381 ($11931) 094
4 $144247 $181787 ($37540) 079Construct Time 10 months 6 $120511 $177355 ($56844) 068 8 $102 198 $173805 ($71607) 059DOeratino and Normal Maintenance Costs 10 $87674 $170933 ($83058) 051
11 $81877 $169701 ($87824) 048Deratina Cost $2520 year 0 Sshye i s 5 a $76520 $168585 ($92065) 045ODperatina Lifetime 21 years 23 $71720 $167571 ($95851) 043
14 $67405 $166647 ($99242) 040Major Eauipment RepairReplacement 15 $63514 165804 ($102290) 038
16 $59996 $165032 ($105036) 036Salvage Value ($6 300period 18 $53904 $163674 ($109770) 033 Replace Period 20 years 20 $48839 $162522 ($1136833) 030
A-6
Econotic and Financial Araiysis for Energy Irvesteents - Egypt EEA 101986
TABLE A-4
For Case ofFI-2-D -ST 14 - HELWAN TEXTILEIPH ( COLLTOR PRICE 30SFT - PRICE OF OIL $30BBL)Assunina Oil Escalation Rate of 20
Saved Value of
CaPital Oerating Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel EreryYear Cost Cost $bl (PbI) Cost Ecuiv Savea Annual Cash Flow Discounted Cash Flow (N91V) IErerey Cost Currer $ 4 8 10 12
Pcousition $142995 I Tr2rsport $0 1 Constrtio s I Intercorrecto $01 Total $14995 $420 $3000 0 $0SO58 $1740 $150415 (148675) 3514375) ($148675) ($143675) ($148675)
$0 $60C 220 303 $25 0 $3121 0 5 34 506 9 2$0 348 $10862 50 $8 1 9 ($ 4 0 85M) ($ 1 4 11 4 8) ( S 141e280$25X) $342 ($133146) ($133937) ($134391)) ( $ 141 41 7 1
4 (3134767)$0 $2520 $31845 $0 2520 $347 0 0
$0 348 $11079 S2520 $8559 ($125537)$0 346 $1301 $2 (127202) ($127961) ($128675)0 2520 $3312
520 5781 ($118032) ($120748) ($121963) ($123095)7 0 $0 348 $111527 S2-0so S2520 $3378 $3007 ($110629) (114618)
850 0 (116371) ($117984)so 348 51275752520 $3446 0 $0 348
S2520 $9237 ($103329) ($108797) (111157) (113304)$I992 $2520 $9472 (39613) ($103270) ($106296) ($109020)$0 $2520 $35 1510 0$0 $2520 $3585 0 s0 348 $12232 S2520 $9712 ($89034 (598(023)11 $0 348 S2477 ($01765 (3105097)$0 $2 500 S 521t0 $9957 ($5 039)$3657 0 0 (33042 ($97543) ($101507)348 $12726 S252012 0 $ 2520 $53730
$10206 ($7E144) ($88315) (1193608) (S98220)0 $0 348 $12981 $25 $10461 ($S3 3h8)14
52520 (55823) ($89941) ($95213)$0 $2520 $3881 510720 (61 652)0 ($79571) ($86525)s0 348 $13505 ($92461)I5 $0 $2520 $10985 (555055)52520 $3958 0 ($75532 (583343) (89944)s0 348 $1377516 SO S2520 S511255 ($4e5) (571700)$2520 $4038 0 ($0379) (387641)$0 348 51405117 $0 $2520 $4118 0
S2520 $11531 ($4 153 ($68065) ($77 61) ($85534)s0 348 $14332 $218 -0 $11812$0 $2520 (35846) (364617) (575048)$4201 0 ($83607)19 348 $141619 S2520$0
s0 $1209 (59635$2520 $4285 ($61347) ($72650 ($81845$0 348 $1491120 $0 $2520 $2520 $12331 ($23519) ($58247)$4370 0 ($70426) ($80234)$0 348 $15209 $252021 (36300Y $2520 54458 0 $0 12689 ($174 ) ($55306) ($68351) ($78761)348 $15513 (53780) $19293 ($8691) ($51167) ($65484) (76761)
$143695 S5m0 0 so 7018 $260478 $194515 $65963
A-7
TABLE A-4 (Contd) ASSUMPTIONS TABLE BENEFIT-COT3 TABLE (Calculated)
Economic and Financial Aralysis for Energy Investments -- Egypt EEA 1019166
Caoital Costs Benefit Pararmeters Internal Rate of Return 339
Acquisition $149995 Price of Oil $3000 bbl (yr 1) Transportation $0 Oil Escalat L(Wvear Disc PV of PV of BC
Construct ior $0 Rate Benefits Costs NPV Ratio Interconnectior $0 Enrgy Savrias 348 bblvear
Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 S260478 $19455 $65963 134 TOTAL (Cao) $149995 2 $210540 $187381 S23159 112
4 $173097 $118787 ($8691) 095 Construct Time 10 months 6 $144614 $177355 ($32741) 382
8 $122638 $173805 1167 071 Operating and Normal Maintenance Costs 10 $105449 $170933 ($65464 062
11 $98253 $169701 ($71448) 058 Oerating Cost $2520 year 12 $91824 $168585 ($76761) 054
Operating Lifetime 21 years 13 $86064 $167571 ($81507) 051 14 $80885 $166647 ($85761) 049
Major Equipment RepairReDlacement 15 $76217 $165804 ($89587) 046 16 $71995 $165032 ($93037) 044
Replace Cost ($6300)period 18 $64685 $163674 ($98989) 040 Replace Period 20 years 23 $58607 $162522 ($103915) 036
A-8
Ecromic and Fna-ia Aaysis for Ene-v investmerts - E yvt EEP shyi(I195
TABLE A-5
For ie ofFIELD TEST 44 - H-LWA-4 TEXTILEi C E-TO PR CE $305 FT - PRIZE OF OIL $35BBL) Assurjc Oil Escalation PR-e of 20
Saved Vaiue cfa-tal Ooeratlr_ Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel Ererv a eO Anual poundan Flow Discounted Cash Flow (NPV) i = Year r st cost SPbl (bbl) [cst Eciv Errgv Cost Currert $ 4 8 10 12
I SI auxsiticr 1433
1 Trarsoort $0
EorstrLZt cr $0 SI-tercorrezt ior $0
Total $143 995 $420 $3500 0 so 58 $2030 S15-415 ($145385) (4148385) ($148385) (M142335) ($1483351$0 $2520 $3570 0 $0 348 $1424 $2520 $3904 ($138862) ($133215) ($39382) (13543)Sto S2520 $3041 0 $1 348 51-672 $520 $10(152W20476) ($130511) (S130992) ($131443)4 $1 $2523 $3714 0 S0 348 226 $2520 $10406 ($12C226) ($122251) ($23174 ($124043)o$0 2520 $3789 0 $ 34B $12184 52520 $10664 t$111I10) ($114413) ($115890) ($27266)
6 s0 $2520 $3864 0 $0 348 t53448 $252n 10928 (S102128) ($106975) (3109105) ($111065)70 $2520 $3942 0 s0 348 $13717 12520 S111137 ($93279) ($99 920) ($102785) ($10- 392)5 $0 $2520 $4020 0 $0 348 $13231 $250 $S1471 ($845 2) ($93226) ($33898) (M100204)9 VI $2520 $4101 0 so 348 $14271 S520 $11751 (175976) ($86878) ($91416) ($3f458)
10 $0 $2520 $4183 0 $0 348 $14556 $2520 $12036 ($67520) ($80E5) ($86312) ($11117)11 s0 $2520 42G 0 $0 348 $14647 $2520 1123227 (S52192) ($75147) ( 8155) ($7148)12 $ 0 $4352 0 so 348 $15144 $2520 $12624 ($5- 931) ($69732) ($77134) ($83519)13 $0 $2520 $4439 0 so 348 $15447 $2 0 $12927 ($42917) ($64599) ($73015) (W8320)14 $0 $ 50 $4528 0 $0 348 $I-755 $2520 S1323- ($34938) ($53732) ($69181) ($77168)15 SO $2520 $4618 (1 $0 348 $16071 $2520 $13551 ($27142) (S55118) ($5613) ($7439516 t0 $2520 $4711 0 $0 348 $16333 $250 $13873 ($1 439) ($50745) ($62232) ($71860)17 $0 $2520 $4805 0 $0 348 $16721 $2120 $14201 ($I1657) ($4660) ($59201) ($G9544)18 $0 $25200 $4901 0 so 348 $17055 $250 $14535 ($4396) (02672) ($5632) ($67427)19 $0 $2520 $4999 0 $0 348 $17396 $2520 $14876 $2948 ($33949) ($53650) ($65492)20 $0 $2520 $5093 21
0 $0 348 $17744 $3520 $15224 $10174 ($35421) ($51161) ($3725)($6300) $2520 $5201 0 $0 348 $18099 ($3780) $21879 $20159 ($30727) ($47909) ($61457)
$143695 $50820 0 $0 7018 $303891 $194515 $103376
A-9
TABLE A-5 (Contd)ASSUMPTIONS TABLE ENEFIT-COSTS TABLE (Calculated)
Economic and Financiai Analysis for Erergy Investments -- Egyot EEA 10965
Capital Costs Benefit Parameters Internai Rate of Return 534
Acquisition $149995 Price of Oil $35K0 bbl (yr 1) Transport tior $0 Oil Escalat 20vear Disc PV of FV of PCConstruction $0 Rate Benefits Costs tPV Ratio
Interconnectior $0 Enrgy Savns 342 bblyear ==-- -Fuel Use 0 bblvear 0 $303531 $154515 $103376 156
TOTAL (Cap) $149995 2 $245630 $187331 $58249 3
4 $i20 46 $181787 20159 i11Construct Time 10 months 6 $163716 $177355 ($8639) 095 8 $143078 $173805 ($30727) 082
Operating and Normal Maintenance Costs 10 $123024 $170933 ($47909) 072 11 S114628 $169701 ($55 073) 068
Operating Cost $2520 year 12 $107128 $165585 ($61457) 064 Operating Lifetime 21 years $l40810 $167571 ($67163) 060
14 $94366 $166647 ($72281) 057Major Equipment RepairReolacement 15 $82920 $165804 ($76864) 054
16 $83994 $165032 ($81038) 051Replace Cost ($6300)period 18 $75465 $163674 $88-08) 046
Replace Period 20 years 2 $68375 $162522 ($94147) 042A- 10
Eccricmi ane Finarcial AnalysiT fo Energy trvest-ents -- Ev-t EEA 101215
TAlKE A-5
For Case ofFiED TEST 04 - HELWPN TEXTIL=IPH (COLLECTD PRICE $3SFT- PRICE as OIL $40BBL) Ass mir Oil Esralatior Rate of 20
Savet Yait- ofCaoital ODerating Ccst of Oil Fuel bse Fuel Energy Saved fnrnal [a- Flch Liscounted Cash Flow (NPV) i = Year Cost Cost $bl (Bbi) CLst Ecit1 Energy Ccst C-rert$ 4 8 10 12
I Acc-ist on $142995 I -ras)ort $0 1 cnstr t o $0
I te-crrezt icr $0 Total $14995 $420 $400N 0 $0 58 $2320 $15045 (S143C135 ($14209) ($143095) ($142035) ($148095)S) $220 $4080 0 so78 ($138f6) ($137282) ($137478) ($137663)
$0 $2520 $4162 r $0 348 $1442 $250 $192 ($125806) ($127026) (M27592) ($128132)4 so 12120 $4245 0 s0 348 $14 77 S25K0 V2252 ($114914) ($117300) (1115337) ($119411)soS0 2 $43310s _$0 25 $330 0 1-7j(1147 0 ($04188)6 $0 $2520 $4416
$0 348 $15$7 525 $12547 ($108077) ($109817) ($111437)0 $0 348 s15 $252 $12849 ($33627) ($93322) ($1083S) ($104146)7 so $2 520 $4505 0 V) 348 $ 676 S21520 $13156 ($83230) ($31042) ($94412) ($97481)
8 $0 $2520 $4595 0 $0 348 $15 9 o 2520 S13470 ($72934) ($83 182) ($57500) ($9388)9 $0 $252) $4687 Q $0 348 $I309 $2520 $3 789 ($62918) $75732) ($31067) ($85818)10 $0 $2520 $4780 0 $0 348 $6631 5 2520 $14116 ($53001) ($68671) ($75081) ($0728)11 $0 $2520 $4676 0 $0 348 $1696 $520 $14448 ($43240) ($61979) ($69510) ($76076)12 $0 $2520 $4973 0 $0 348 $17308 $2520 $14788 ($33634) ($55636) ($64327) ($71825)13 $0 $2520 73 0 $0 348 $17654 $2520 $15134 ($24181) ($49626) ($59505) ($67940) 14 $0 $2520 $5174 0 $0 348 $18 007 S250 $5487 ($14880) ($43932) ($55019) ($64391)15 $0 $2520 $5278 0 $0 348 $ P367 $2 520 $15847 ($572-3) ($38537) ($50646) (55148)
$0 $220 $538316 0 $0 348 $18734 $25032 ($33425) ( 5) (58186)17 s $2520 $549 0 $0 348 $191$2 250 $I5 9 $12 131 ($328583) ($43354) ($55480)18 $0 $2520 $5601 C $0 348 $19491 $2520 $IE971 $20844 ($23996) ($39997) ($53008)19 $0 $2520 $5713 so 348 $19881 $2520 $173C1 $39414 ($19651) ($36874) ($50751)20 $0 $2520 $5827 (t $0 348 $20273 $2520 $17759 $37843 ($15536) ($33370) ($48689)21 ($6 300) $2520 $5944 $0 348 $20684 ($3780) $24 A64 $49 008 ($10288) ($30334) ($46153)
$143695 $50820 0 $0 7018 $347 304 $194515 $152789A-1 1
TABLE A-6 (Contd)ASSUMPTIONS TABLE BEIEF7-COSTS TABLE (Calculated)
Ecoroic nj Firancial Analysis for Energy Investmerts - Egypt EEA 10195G
azitai Costs Benefit Parameters internal Rate of eturr 714
Acuisition $149995 Price of Oil $400 bbl (yr 1)Transportat ior so Oil Escalat 20year Disc PV of PV of BCConstruction so Rate Benefits Cost- NPV RatioInterconnection $0 Enrgy SavTgs 348 bbyear ==== =-shy
--- Fuel Use 0 bbear 0 $347304 $194515 $152 789 179TOTAL (Ca ) $149 95 2 $28D720 $187381 $93359 150
4 230796 $181787 $49008 127Construct Time 10 months 6 $192818 $177355 V15463 109 8 $163517 $173 805 ($10288) 094Ooerating and Norwal Maintenance Costs 10 $140599 $170933 ($30334) 08211 $13004 $169701 $33698) 077
fteratiri$ Cost 12) $122432 $168585 ($46153) 073Ooeratirn Lifetime 21 years 13 $1i 751 $167571 ($52819) 068
Major Equi~oent ReoairReplacesent 14 $07847 $166647 ($58800) 06515 $10i622 5165804 ($64181) 061
16 $95993 $165032 ($69 039) 058Replace Cost ($6300)period 18 $86246 $163674 ($77428) 053Replace Period 20 years A12 20 $78143 $162522 ($84379) 048
ccz- a Firaca Araiysi- for Erergy IrvestL-rrts -- Ecyrt EC 01)83
TAP-LE P-7
For Case ofFIZLD TEST 4 - H-LWAN TEXTILEWAS-i i-AT PRESVERY wRIC2 SIS08L)DiL Assumiron Oil Escalation Rate of 20
Saved ValL- CCaoital DoeratinQ Cost of Oil Fue Used Fuel Erervy save kriual Cash Flow Discourted Cash Flow (NPV) 3 i =Yea- Cost Cost $b1 (Bbl) Cost Ecuiv Ererzv Cet Currert $ 4 8 10 12
1 Trar-s $0ort 1orstr-t lor $0
I I t e ronez t i m S-1 $735 $833 $Q500 C 0 1341 $27 62 53851 ($542231) (S542231) (S542231) (S542231) ($542231)Sc 53 S530 0 so 11045 $1ES034 11359 S76755- 0o62o) ($356235) (S93830) ($401450)SO $I1359 $15S1 $0 11048 S172415 jeuro $113-1S (3241715) ($252156) 3273 011353 V S 457 ($-=766) -4 to 259 $1592 0 iO 11045 $173863 1353 S164504 ($35471) ($127567) (142M1) ($15556)
Q S11359 $1624 0 $0 (148 17 I S11359 S63 -- $4 155 (340ampG) ($27 430) ($49185)6 11353 -016 U $0 11045 $182136 $12353 2171609 $183205 S12728 73126 1421917 $0 $11359 $1669 0 $0 14048 $186623 $S 353 i75269 $32772 $=223177 $173060 $136987$1125 $173 0 $0 11048 $536r $-53 S173001 $46 74S 3276-3 $263916 $2153S0 S111359 $1757 0 $ 11048 S194167 $13f $182808 S59735 $426389 5355 198 $29179210 $0 $1793 0 S0 11043 S1930L $3 $15 3 72H492 513781 $434373 S353115110 $11359 $128 0 S 1 $11048( I $190653 $357 30 $608090 $57 878 S420500 S0 $1365 0 $0 11048 $HS052 1-3 $134633 $383753 359159 $57617 $47646313 v0 $11353 $1902 0 $0 11043 S210173 $1- $193314 $1107338 $770542 $133465 1527500l$0 $11353 $1940 0 $0 11048 $214376 $1153 $203017 $223E665 $845191 $$5272 $574 0651373 s53$0 11048 1213664 $11359 $2737 $1349578 $915771 $7-2862 $61644516 $0 359 $2019 0 $ 11043 S223077 $11359 $211678 $1467116 $382501 $803536 $65511817 $ 511 353 $2059 0 $0 11049 $227498 S595 $216133 $1582514 $1045583 $850574 $5037518 1 1A3 S2100 0$0 11048 122C48 $1135 $2-20683 $1695810 $1105235 $894236 $7251719 $0 $11359 S2142 0 $0 11048 $236689 $11359 $S25330 $1807033 $1161623 $934764 $75181920 S0 $11359 12185 0 0 11048 $241423 $11353 $230064 $1316237 $1214932 1372331 $778531
21 $0 $11359 $2229 0 $0 11048 $246251 $1135 $234832 $202349 $1265328 1007296 $802881
$5679558 $Zgt9073 0 $0 222801 $0134711 $797031 $3337680
A-13
ASTYPTINS TABLE TABLE A-7 (Contd) BEEIT-rOT TAEPLE (Calculated)
Economic and Financial Analysis for Energy Investsents - Egypt EEA 10196
Capital Costs Benefit Faraineters interral Rate of Return 3101
Acquisitiorn $567952 Price of Oil 1500 bbl (yr 1) Trarsportatior $0 Oil Escalat 20year Disc PV of FVof BC
Corstruct ior $0 Rate Benefits Costs lrv Ratio
Irterconrection $0 Enrgy Sar_as 1104 bblyear -
--- ------ Fue Use 0 bbiyear 0 $41-4711 $77031 $3337680 519 TOTAL (Ca) $H67952 2 $34202-0 S755587 $2586433 442
4 t2747662 $72424 $2023439 379 Construct Time 10 morths 6 $2235 532 $700 138 $LJj5394 328
8$1946703 $68137G $1265328 286
Ooeratina and Normal Mairtenance Costs 10 $1673853 $666557 $1007296 251
11 $55962n $660307 $399314 236
Oerating Cost $11359 year 12 $1457578 $654697 $802881 223
Operating Lifetime 21 years 13 $136G 136 $64- 645 $716491 210 14 $1283$40 $645083 $638857 199
Major Equipment PeoairReplacemert 15 $1209831 $640951 $568880 189 16 $1142817 $37197 $505620 179
Replace Cost $0 period 18 $1026777 $630653 $396124 163
Replace Feriod 20 years 20 $930302 $625165 $305137 149
A-14
Econoi an Fnarial alysi for Energy Irve te-pt -- Eryct EEP 10138_
TABLE A-8
For Case cfF7ELD TEST $4 - HE=LWqN TEXTILE4qSTE -_j E[CXERY (PRCE C7 OIL $2013E_) Assurn_ 0i Escaiaticon Rate of 20
Saved Vale cf Capita Doeratn Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel Energy Saved rrual Cash c-w-- Discounted Cash Flow (NOV) i = Yea- Cost Cost Eb (pb]) Ccst Equiv Ererz Cst Currert $ 4 8 10 2
oisi67Ac s tr
rarExrt $0 rorstrztio sc
IIrerccrr_tor $0 7 $200Y 0 C1841 1687Tctai$78K S 98 1 )$53C3 ) 315Z3 02) ($5330251 ($533025) ($533015)2 v $11355 $ 04Q 0 $0 11048 t225379 $1153 $214020 (327235) (S-34858) ($338461) ($341935)3 $0 $11353 $08i C $0 11048 $-23857 $1135 1-258 ($125195) (S147505) ($157B59) (167726)
4 $0 $1135 $21 22 0 $0 11048 $234465 $11359 $223126 $73163 $23619 $3778 (18910) $0 fI1-- $21E5 0 $0) 11048 $29174 $353 $227815 $26790 $197070 $r5 379 $125S71E $0 $13 2 2 083 0 so 11048 S2433K8 S1352 5-3 $459080 1355 373 $303805 $267854
7 $0 611355 $252 C $1) 11048 $243K7 $59 $27478 $4762 $505024 $-855 53881678 $ $1135 $227 0 $0 11048 $2K2814 353 -142455 $33007 $646494 $568272 $4978429 $1 35 $2343 (1 $0 11046 $253 83 $111359 s47 531 $1011876 $780227 $623747 $59781510 $0 $11359 $I39 0 $0 11048 $26068 $135 $252703 $1183426 $906644 $790920 $68894411 soS 1359 $2438 0 s0 l048 $2634 S1 359 S57990 $1363714 $1026144 3890387S77201012 $0 $11359 $2487 0 s0 11048 $274736 $353 $263377 $1534793 $1139102 $982699 $84772513 $0 S11259$2535 0 $0 11048 $280231 $11359 $268872 i1702736 $1245874 $1068389 $91673814 $0 $11359 $2587 C0 $0 11046 $285835 $1359 $274476 $1867573 $1346733 $1147876 $97364015 so $11-359 $2629 0 s 11048 $291552 $i135 S28193 12023383 $1442193 $1221659 $103697316 $0 S1359 $2632 0 $0 11048 1237383 S353 $22-024 $2188202 $1532360 $1290131 $108922917 $ 111359 $2746 ( s0 11048 $303331 $11359 $291972 $234408 $1617584 11253673 $113885618 $0 $11359 $2800 0 $0 11048 $303-97 $115 $298038 $2497093 $1698134 $1412638 $118026419 $0 $11359 $2856 0 $0 11048 $315585 11359 $304226 $2G47268 $1774267 $1467356 $1219 8520 $0 $11359 $2914 0 $0 11048 $321897 $11359 $310538 $2794663 $1846222 $518131 $125588121 $0 $11359 $2972 0 $0 11048 $328335 $11359 $316976 $2939326 $191422 $565248 $1288740
$567958 $229073 0 $0 222801 i5512948 $797031 $4715917
A-15
P7UrSPTIONS TABLE TABLE A-8 (Contd) EtEFIT-CSTS TABLE (Calculated)
Ecoroic ard irarcial Analysis for Energy Investments -- Egypt EEA 1019E6
apital Ccsts Benefit Parareters Irterral Rate of Return 4220
Acquisition $567958 Transportation $0
Construct ior $0 Irtercor rectior $0
Price of Oil Oil Escalat
Enrgy Savrgs
$2000 bbl (yr 1) 20year
11048 bblyear
Disc
Rate
----
PV of erefits
PV of
Costs NPV
BC
Ratio
TOTPL (Cap) $567958 Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 J55948
2$4456027 $797031 $75587
$4715917 $3 700440
6 2 590
Construct Time 10 corths 4$3E 3550 6$3060 709
$724224 $700 138
$2939326 $2 360571
506 437
Operating and Normal Maintenance Costs 8$2595604 1(V$2231804
$681376 $666557
$1914229 $1565248
381 335
Operating Cost Operating Lifetime
$11359 iyear 21 years
11 $2079494 12 $1343437 13 T1821515
$660307 $654697 $649645
$1419187 $1288740 $1171869
315 297 280
Major Equipment RepairReplacement 14 $1711920 15 $1613108
$645083 $640951
$1066837 $972157
265 252
Replace Cost $0 period 16 $1523756 18 $1369035
$637197 $630653
$886559 $738382
239 217
Replace Period 20 years 20 $1240402 $625165 $615238 198
A-16
Eccw= ar -narzia Pnav=_is fcr Erergy Irvestrrent_ -- Egypt EEC 101
P= A-9
or Case of2IED TEST 4 - HELPAN TEXTIEN3TE HEAT -CDOERY (PC- U BBL- ----Assmir Cil Escalation Rate of 20
SaVEdt C~famta eratirg Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel Energy Saved Annal Fasn Flow Discounted Cash Flow (UOV 8 i = lea- Cost Cost $Pb (8b1) Cost Ec-jiv Energy Cost Crrert I 4 8 10 12
I Transocrt corst rutr $7
rterornazticota HS 833 7 1841 $4S 73 -3951 C$52818 (WBIB) ($52381 1 (3523818) ($53218)SC 51133 $20 0 048 $22172 U3 $27365 ($263851 1(2731480) (278031) ($262421)$0 $11359 $2601 0 $0 11042 7=5 $12$3 5275 999 (-S74) (368Z5) 333343900253 ( 15)0 111049 ( $359 _51 747 $241737 $I82 805 $161748 5131462Q 07C 11043 S2531558 11259 12379 $477 s46 $323206 $35188 $32 27$0 $11-_ $2760 0 1n 11043 $304 94 $11 3 3 24E7--555 $722 55 $5S3 Mf $5404 - $$487517$7 $-~5 $2315 0 11048 $712 1353 $233 53 5 872 $786 871 $709649 $639347$ $1 5282 0 $0 14 391141292 0 IK93
656f $8662 S7777253SiZ bull0 $312 5 $1426427 T113465 $10122372 9 3 39 $ 35- $2983 0 $ 145 $33035 1 3 3 726 $165035 $12350M S1147467 $108774$C $135 $304711 0 S0 11046 $3365pound 5ii5 $325 22712 $)
187C 129t44419- $1272895 SI 2351$- $3103 C S 113 $34$2 - 132206 $20S53 S1556613 11353280 $ PIE98c13 3 S317 0 v 1 5$143 250 $11159 $3352 $2237533 I 72120 $47274 $1305375SO 51253 $2340 s0 104 S3 $184840-
0 SO 11041 $364 $11353 5081 3709183 519E861E $262) 456 S1457500 15 Ss35-2 $3293
3 17294 $1 9 $ 9-- $ 293 $157473 $138525-5
16 V0 $1353 $3365 0 s 1I1Ns -3717 21f5 $230328917 - $ 7C 1270 2082220 $776726 $1523340$7 $II35 $34 32 0 $0 1104c8 $37312 $11 $372 4 $3105663 $2183578 $156771 1533718 S 1-13 $35 1 0 so 1048 $7332377 t1931039 $1638010$22-103419 $0 $11353 $3571 0 $0 11048 $3544S2 $135q Q83123 $3487437 $2385910 $M947 $168783120 $0 $1135q $364( $0 11048 $40-37 $1135 $391212 $3673088 $2477512 $2053881 $1733230$0 $11359 $3715 021 $9 11048 $40419 $113553 $399060 $3855214 $2563130 $2123 19 $1774600
$567 9S3 $--3073 0$0 M 801 $6831186 $737031 $6034154
A-17
SUPTIONS TABLE TABLE A-9 (Contd) EENPT-OET TAKE (Caiculated)
Ecoc an Firarzial Palysis for Energy Investments - Egypt EEA 1l6
Caits Co=ts Berefit Parameters Irterrz2 Rate R~Return 5368
Acquisition $567958 trice of Oil $250 i-b (yr I) Tarsprcrtator
Constructior
Interconnectior
$0
$0
so
Oii Esalat
Enrgy Savnps
2 0vear
11042 bblyear
Disc
Rate
V Cf
PerEfits
V of
Costs -IV
FC
Ratio
------------TOTP (ap 57959
Fuel Use 0 bl1year 0 $f)83 33
$797031 75537
1609454 $481444E
865 737
Construct Tire 10 rnortns 4 14573 437 6 $332f 886
$724224Q13855214 $700138 $S-125748
632 546
OperatinL and Ncrmal MaIntenarce Costs 3- L 5)5 1 $27K755
$ES376 $666557
5t 130 $2123199
475 419
Ooerating Cost
OperatiTrg LifetiMe
$1359 year
21 years
1 if25H37 2 $24229
3 S2276893
$660307 G 5o637
$649645
$5939081 $1774600
16-2724
394 371
350
Major Equipment RepaiReplacemert bull~~l i4$2239005 -2 01S32
$64508 $14948162051 375435$640 1 $ 4 5
3 2 315
Replace Cost
Replace Period
$0 period
20 years
16 $1X4 695 18 S1711294
20N $1 550 503
$637197 $1267498 $530652 $1080641
$625165 $925338
299 271
248
A-18
Econr- ard Fra--a haavsi fcr Er=rv investerts -- Ecyzt E
For Case ofFELD TEST 4 - HELWANTEXTILES3TE -9T REZOVERY (PCE C-O 3IBiL) PssuTir~g Oil Escalation Rate c 20
Year Capital
Cost Ooeratir
Cost Cost cf Oil
$lBbl Fuel Used
(Ebl) Fuel Cost
Saved Erergy Eauiv
ValS cf Saved
Enercy Pnral
Cost Ls iCh Crrert 1
Di-cousteJ 4
Cash Flow 8
(NPV) i 10
=
12
I P~uis~xor~1567958 Transvort $0
1 cntrct mc- 1Irte-ccrret ic
a1s
4
6
Q$ 11
12 13
14 5
16
17
18
19
20 21
$
to 11Z so 1353 C 1-S s$o $1
$0 t13
$0 $i359 $0 $
S 11135-
3 $0 $11359
$0 $1359 $ $-353
$0 I353 0 $ 111359 $0 111359
so S11359 SC $11359
$ $11359
$0 $11359 $0 $11359
$4so $ $3121 $3164
824
$3312
$3378
$3445 $3515
$3657 37730
S33(
$138 $3958 $4033
$4118
$4201
$4285 $4370 5445
(1 0
C
0
0
C00 0
0 0
0 0
0 0 C
0
0
0
0 0
$0 $0 $0
$0
$0
$0
SCso $0
$-$0
$0 $0
$0 $0 s0
$0
so
$0 $0 $0
184 1104 11048 11048
1104S
11048
110 3
11048110 I 8
1(148 11048
11049 11048
11049 11048 11046
11048
11048
11048
11048 11048
S5524C
$338069 S344831 t3727
$3537S
$ 37
$37-
t33-7 2$38 3 $383335
$3161 $4(402
$412104 $42034S
$423753 $47328 $445075
$454995
$464056
$473378
$482845 $492502
$563851
S11355 $11359 S11355
5
11135
$1352
11355s
115335
$1359 $11359
$113 $112-59 $11353
$11353
$11353
$11359 $11359 $11359
11) ($514611
S2 710 33471 $1784 $340368 $410431 S$34740 1 $7 392 IK3457 $333829
i351390$123484
-255 $15= 3 $11353$27976 $1840978 S13-36384743 $2111293
9 $3665 $2376563
$40$745 1636279 $40S987 $2 832331 $417394 $2142007 42 99 $338934
$434716 $6Sl376
$443637 $387238 $4E2 737 14093661 $452019 $4327726 $471486 $4155514 $481143 $4771101
($51461
$73796 $343991
5539 342
$84661
$1063717
S284236 $1487914
$680371 S1862251
$2034124 $21955326
$23--0 013 $2495039 $262079
$2761573
$2883934
$2999553
S3103802 $3212031
($54611
$5-7994 $313717
$50998
$77162
$975443
$164984 $134)846
$504014 $165540A
$1795862 $1926178
$2047082 $2159253 $226-3321
$2359869
$2 449 441 $2532539 $2609631 $2681150
($514611)
06
$42935 $285202
$S505933
$707180
$80527
$57603 $1209862 $1348604 $1475031
$1590 236 $1695213
$79)359 $1878030 $1957451
$2029818
$2095757
$2155838
$2210580 $2260459
$567958 $229073 0 $0 222801 $8 269423 $797031 $7472391
A-19
TABLE A-10 (Contd) ASSUMPTIONS TABLE EENEFIT- ST TABLE (Calculated)
Econoraic are Fin=-ial alycsis for Energy Investments - Egypt EA 101965
iaital ccsts Bereifit Parameters internal Rate of Peturr SE55
Acquisition $H67353 Price of Oil $3000 bbl (yr 1) Transportatio $0 Oil Escalat 20year Disc PV of PV of BIC Constructior $0 Rate Benefits Costs NPV Ratio
Irterconectior $0 Errgy Savncs 11048 bblyear ---shy=-- Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 $8263423 $797031 $7472391 1038
TOTAL (Cap $79-53 24$6684040 $755587 $592Or 453 S85
4$542E325 $724224 $4771101 753Construct Time 10 months 6$459063 $700138 $3890925 656 8$3 893 406 $681376 $322 031 5 71
Operating and Normal Mainterance Costs 10 $2347706 $666557 $2681I0 502 - 11 $3119241 $660307 $3458934 472
Operating Cost $1359 year 12 $2915155 $654697 $2260459 445 Operating Lifetime 21 years 3 $_73 272 $64364Z $2081627 421
14 $2567880 $645082 $1922796 398Major Equipment RepairReplacemient 15 $2419662 $640951 $1778712 378
16 $228-634 $637197 $1648437 359 Replace Cost $0 period 18 $2053553 $630653 $1422900 326
Replace Period 20 years A-20 20 $1860603 $625165 $1235439 298
poundcenrzzc ar Firarial Analysis fcr Energy irnvesttterts -- EZyt pound2~ 10g88
TABLE A-Il
For Case of-EL TEST 4 - ELqN E LEA ATEP2ERy -E-D701 $35KL) Assumir Oil Escalaticn Rate cf 20
Savet- Vaiue cflaza 2eratn Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel Ererpy Saved Arnual Can_ Flow Discourtee Cas Flow (NV) i =Yea Cost Cost $pbl (Ebl) Cost Eauiv Enercy Ezt C-rrert $ 8 10 12 - -cuisittor -567-
Trarsocr $
crstrttir Irterznr or $0
7t Z-=7s5 3 $3Z0I 0 $0 1841 $amp4447 $59652 $505 405) ($-5405) ($505 405) (50540)5 ($55405$0 $11359 t3E70 so 1048 $34414 $11359 $353055 ($137083) ($I724) 173) ($16331)$1 $1359 $940 $ 1048 $4(2 32 $11353 $39C 76543 1224 $16444S $HE 92 $1482664 $0 $11359 $3714E Q $0 11043 359 89$41(2348 $1139 52 8 $5068 SSC I217 $4 5 6 7so TIIM $3789 Q V1 11043 $418E5f $11359 S$4)7 IgS 76 $4651687 $432258$927 138 $300478 $7432 807 $6i9103g
$0 $1359 $3864 0 $0 11048 $42S 98 $415527m3 833 $65704 11 C V001841o$0 1135g $3942 0 $0 11048 $435464 $11359 $$424105 $1603881 $135-564 124238 $1141707$ - $420 0 $0 1104-8 $4174 s3523 $43281- $232784 $1503107 $h63340 $1337491$0 $11359 $4101 0 $0 11048 s4_z_c- $ -9 S 4441-93$22E 52 $841743 $1S89396 $15158685$0 Sn359 $4183I 0 50 11049 $4621E $I353 $450753 $2572227 $206723 $1860582 $1878434 0 $11359 $4266 0 so 11048 $471-8 $125912 $46C 12 $22-987 $2280305 $2037912 $182S542t $1-9 43520 2
$0 11048 $48075 $1359 $4E9423 $3187919 12451E35 $2202444 $i961492$ $1139 $4439 0 $0 1104S $49C404 $11159 $479 4- $3437129 $2671870 $2375023 $2084450$0 S359 $452814 0 $0 11048 $50212 $113515 $483853 $378072 $2851 620 $2495386 S2196483s$ $I359 $4618 0 s0 11048 $51G216 $11359 $498557 $4065793 $3021462 $22205 V 298 559$- 52 $471116 0 $0 11048 $520420 $1$37 5 150306 1 $4351463 $3181939 $274916 $2391563$1359 $4805 0 $0 11048 $53129 $11359 $51347Q $4628812 13333567 $2882967 $247629 18 $0 S1359 $4901 0 $0 11048 $541445 S11359 $530086 $4900944 $347583K $2S7842 $255350319 so $11353 $4993 0 so 11048 S=52274 $11359 S540915 $5167955 $3612197 $3065131 $2L3644$0 si359 $509920 0 $0 11048 $530 $1135921 $551961 $5429939 $3740093 $315381 $2687930$0 $11359 $5201 0 so 11048 $574586 $11359 $563227 $56869B9 $3850932 $3239101 $2746318
$567958 $229073 0$0 2L801 $9647660 $797031 $8850629
A-21
SSUmOTIO3 TAlBLE TABLE A-lI (Contd)
PNEFT-COSTS TALE (Calculated)
Economic and Fir ancia Analysis fc-Energy Investments -- Egypt EEA I0P386
Calita costs Penefit arazeters
$cuistion$Z723 Price of Oil $ h500bb (yr 1)Trarspcrtation t0 Oii Escalat 20year Corstructcr $0
Irtercornection $0 Enray Savs 11048 bblyear -- - Fuel Use 0 bblyear
TOTAL (Cap) $5 57 8
Construct Time 10 mnrths
Coeratir ard Normal Maintenance Costs
Ooerating Cost $1135 yEar Operating Lifetime 21 years
MaJor Equipment RepairReplacemert
Replace Cost $0 period Replace Period 20 years
A-22
nterral Rate of Return 7785
Disc PV of PV of Rate Benefits Costs NTV --- _--
V S9647EGO $7-7031 $8850629 N $7793047 $755587 $7042460
4 $E411212 $724224 $568698961S 3S240 $700138 $4656102
8 $454 307 $681376 $3860 93-10 $305657 $666557 $323910111 Q633114 JE0307 $2978 SO3 I E $3401015 $654697 $2746318 I 387650 $S4964c5 $2538005 14 $25860 S645C83 $2350776 15 t- B940 $64051 $2181939
16 $266E 573 $37197 $2029376 18 $2395812 $630653 $1765159 20 $2170704 $625165 $1545539
BIC Ratio
1210 1032
885 75
667 586
551 519 491
464 440
418 380 347
Econoir a-nFinaci AralySi f- Ererzy InvEstments -- 07ptE LE
TP93
For Case ofFIELD TEST 4 - F1-LWA TEXTT -- (nC O= ]L s40PEt) Assuirz Oil Escalation Rate of 20
Saved Value cCaita 29ratir s of C Fuel Used
Fuel Erer y 3ave_- pal Casn Flo^ fLiscured Cash Flc (NPV 2 erCost Cost I Ib) Cost Euiv --ervy Cost Currert 3 4 8 10 12
1 7rans~crt $0
$ Tr O iS - 0 2$0 124 373655 39=851 ( 433193 (14351 ($ 6 1 8 $4 5 1 8931 4968l$ --3 $4020 0 VI 11048 $45C 3SI23 $42 2S W3698) ($33473 (35744) ($103877)0 1_3 0 so4152 1248 453 774 5 $34085amp Q95 07$0 443415 $ S273847 553596= S24 45 $0 1048 $45-95 $11359 $4Z7E $74770 SS5362 517656 573314S0 C 5 $4330 0 $0 11048 $47-34c 31259 $425339 $114f884 $$001513 5936616 $8760940 $59 $44E 0 $0 11048 4$10 1253 $47_55_9 1532579 13-2950 1232520 11146505
- c $S450- 0 sO N04E 147574 i $4263559 13C $1632410 $507021 $392887$10 $11259 14535 0 $0 11042 $5077 $ 3~5$1 268$4-3 $2700043 121 978 $176169G $167374I 135 $4627 0 so Ns04 1577S s259 S2670080 9f5282o 1 7 14W 2 I $19337945 5182903$478S 0 $0 043 $1s53 S52776 13033160 12454038 $2217103 20026411 9 $47 0 014876$S-E_ 4 1104--20 = 3 5pound 7 07$14800803 0O $3269358o$0 c 359 S 3 7 $2442 421 $217805$
s2 37115$5171 $0s14 1 S355 $E74 11048 S -511113-f 1743 102 $4C1L 27 $13147202 $2783 987 $24736230 $0 114048 517 311 HI9 S56312 $4418436 S13357 $294628332217 12602037I5 $0 $1353 $1z Sf 312$7578 0 $0 11048 $I 319 $439 _7$3$527404 $59 -40$7745 $278 gO $ 43$4743604 $3547884 $30998428 $2719087$0 $I Ec $383 016 $0 11048 $5547ES v11255 $H62407 S5072550 $3 799 $323E511 12825674$11359 $549 0 S0 1048 SE s 311 50 $ 9-25562U $2 2 718 $O $1-253 $5 0 $0 11048 61875 1i3 $470 8 40693133 1482244 20120715 $0 135I $5713 0 so 11043 $5217 3 77$113 9 775 $470 $2248 4 01 7$30912010 $0 11359 $5 827 0 $0 11048 $642794 $11359 $632435 $S39t367 $4371382 $370130 $3165280
21 $0 $11359 $5944 0 $0 11048 1656570 511359 S645311 6602876 $4509833 $3797052 $3232177
$567953 $ 29073 8970 10 801 511 02-5 $797031 $10228866
A-23
TABLE A-12 (Contd)PSSI PTIONSTAJKE rEnJT-DETS ^2LE(Caiculated)
E~onoma~infncia fcr Erery Investwerts - Egypt EA 1036
LapitE --ts Penefit Parameters ternr ate cf ketur 9060
Pquisition $-57958 Price of CI Trasortaticon $f CiI Escalat
onstructIon $0
iterzorr-ction $0 Ernrgy Savrs ------ Fuel Use
77A ao) $567958
Construct Time 10 months
OpEratirg ar N-rmal Mairterance Ccsts ------
Operating Cost $1355 year Operatirn Lifetime 2 years
Major Eqiprent RepairRezlacement
Replace Cost $0 period Replace Period 20 years
$4K lbb (yr 1) 20year
11043 bbllyear
0 bblyear
Ns PV of PV of Rate eni L-sts NPV
0$11025 397 1797031 $1022666 2 25q3 75E587 $ 156466 4 $7327100 $724-4 $6602876
6 $$121418 $700138 $5421280
e5191203 $68376 $4509833 10 $4463603 $66-57 $377C52 11 $4152988 $G 307 $3498681 12 $3865874 $654697 $3232177 13 13643029 $543645 $2993384
14 $3L423840 $645083 $27875615 S3226217 $6402351 $2585266 16 13047512 $637197 $2410315 18 $2738071 $630653 $2107418 20 $24008 5 $625165 $1855640
BC Ratio
1383 1179
1012
874
762 670
630
594
561
531 503
478 434
397
A-24
-c-nc an Firanzia Pralysisfcr Erergy Irvestrents -- Env t E 0
TALE P--3
Fer Case tfFEI7E3ET4 - FLN TEXTILESCLR PLUS
Assuming Oil Escalafior Rate oF 0
73 T ECCeZRY (PR_5rCF OIL S15BL)
r a
bull
etaIOiertrg
ssost Ccst Of Oi
$I Fe Lse
(E-12 Fuel
Save -Enery Eciv
a L Ef SaveS
Erery ra Ccst
asn Fli CLrrert f
sccunted 4
Cash Floo (NPV) 8 10
i
2
bull
4
5
7
0
1
2
13
14
16
17
is
19 20
21
r S CCrrnst cr $cr
erzcn11 on
Toa7 52 $2313 $ 13279 SC 13279 S t13979 $ $2673
C5r2
$0 $13573
S $13873 $ S$13279 $0 t373 $0 $13 79 $0 $387 $0 $13S79
$0 $1357S
$0Si 3279 $0 513879
$0 $13279
$ $137
0 $13879 $0 $S3879
($E300) $13879
$711653 $279893
V500
$1530 S561
S5592 $1624 $16565
$1689
$1723 $1757
$1733
$1326
$1265
I -
$1140
$1973 $20
S205 $2100
$2142 $2185
$22-29
0 0
0
r)
0
0
r
0
0 0 0
0
0 0 0
0
O$0 189 $28490 $720263 $0 1396 $17453 $13 S7 $0 113SE $177346 t-879 $$C 13 $1803 2a7g $$0 1139 12503 S1387 $0 1396 $183732 7 2 2S 0 13 $192 3 $13879
$0 1 c 9E3 8761 $0 11396 $20 2E3 $3872 $0 1396 $20423 V2 273 $0 11396 $20335 S13873 0 1132H $212542 T2272 $0 11396 $216733 $1387 $0 11396 $221129 $13879
to 1139S $25f2 3 $0 11353 523063 $13873 $0 11396 $234664 $13873 $0 11396 $23357 $13879
$0 11396 $244144 $13879 $0 11396 $249027 13879 $0 11396 $254008 $7579
$0 22819 $4264950 $991546
A-25
(77-773(5691771 1$691776) 164 C ($537432) ($542184)
$ 367 138E872) (M402609) 37524 ($23E944) f$263623) $17 ($90642) ($143 2 73174853 $307 -14 -- 7G 4 ( 8 $173627 $194245 $8774amp
$182477 t33293 $114220 S1 404 $49117 $2-4229 $10 410 s 027 $390 181 $154496 $734291 $490270 $193663 $86Z339 $565474 $202914 $3073 $amp46054 $207250 $1114548 722259
$11amp73 $1236783 $794325f216184 $356823 $862476 t220785 474702 $92921 $22- 478 $590456 $987860
$23)265 $1704121 $1045484 235148 $1815733 $10-971
$24642 $1928200 $1152842
$3273404
(691 776) ($691776)
($545885) ($543491) ($410376) ($417777) ($264512) (532537) (17613) (189767) (9 ) ( 1( $ 53 0 4 -4 ) -$1) $41737 ($53)
$135427 S82491 $22238s $157776 $303138 $M-6440 $373125 $289063 $447755 34o174 $S12410 $398257 $572443 $445753
$S28193 S8066$679935 $528562
$727985 $564576 $772594 $597416
$814010 $27360 $852458 $6546G2 $889088 $680208
TABLE A-13 (Contd) PSc6UY1TTG TAKE 52ZFEI-CSTS TXLE Calculated)
Econo iar narza 9Aais- for ErErgy Investments shy Eypt EZE 1ci35
Capital Ccsts Benefit Parameters Irternal RatE c Return 24953
~ccui i tcr717953 Price of Oil $15Y0 bbl (yr 1) T-ars~crtat ion $0 Oil Escalat 20year Disc tV of V of BC
crstruct ion $0 Rate Benefits Costs NP Ratio Intercornectior $ Enrgy Savrs 11396 L11year
FuE US= 0 bbiyear 0 $4264950 $991546 $3273404 431
TOTPL (Cap)-77953 2 447230 $942ss $2 504m 366 4t $2334211 $301011 $1928200 313
Costruct T 0 mth_ 357 838 $877493 $1490346 270 12110080 $85511 $112842 235
Operatin and Ncrma aintenarce Costs 0 $7 S76 $837483 $883068 0 11 $1608747 $830008 $778739 194
Operatin Cost Oeratirg Lifet1 M1
$_87T year years
2-$502490 13 $1403 168
$823281 $917216
$660203 $9195
183 172
14 $1324383 $311730 $512652 163 Major Equipert ReoairRepiacemert 15 $1247940 $80S 754 $441185 155
16 $1178815 $80222 $37658S 147 Replace Cost ($6300)period 18 $1o9119 $794327 $264792 133
Replace Period 20 years 20 $3959605 $787687 $171918 122
A-26
-- tr- er F-= v fc E-r= 1r tesirt_Egyrt EEP
TqPPLE P-4
F- caecfFlDTST t4 - UEL$Q TEXTILESDLAR PLUS WASTE HET -COVERpY(Pj- OF OIL $S31PL) nssuring Cil Escalatio- Pate c
Ltal Ccst cF Oil Fuel Used savet Va- cCa 0eratin Fuel Er-er SavE Armia Lasn FowDy riscoured Cash Fco (N7V) i vew t cost $b (b) Cost Eciv nert Cost Currert $ 4 810 10 12
ftP ic ro717953 I rarszc-t $0
r r $0|
f7753 $t S2100S23-13 so 1233-7 37 933747 ($S62-202 (23N ($682280)S Z-2) z $11279 M--7
3 2 $12 $Q373 (447205 $47 67-3 t$453t2 ($487110)3173 $DE 3S 2 2712 T 3S1249 t1$2532) ($2Sj731 ($292049 ($30-23)v W 2n UL22 22732
4 0 so 37 7 SE2923 (-2742S) ($27 531 ($146842)$0 1 57 $ 3 H 5 7 8 fit 73 1 2 8 0$2208 0 $0 3S tKj2 H872Q $237763 121 449 1-543 $17901 S6 3$ $1o73 32152 0 so Ins I25 E7 $1373 524796 152334 S373 47 o1l953 12503tq7 $21 0 so ni8 $2E 8( C3973 t715740 521 13 $24792954413 $1 190
0 $ 1279 $2343 0 33 6 5S L3 73 152 ME3 $22726 SSE913 = k S473433C En 1i c SC 2H6 127-ESE $1373 5237506504E52517O3 $71230 S672916 56391 $0 $13379 $2438 0 $0 113H S773-S25 272 4 5 7 $911492 $726E2 $651646I1 $0 S879 $2457 0 SO 3 $322 1372 5251 1143736 $7C702 $SE7144 $72912313 7 =36 s2 5 $1273 $275173 M160612 S113 353 5954024 $7 55514 SO H1079 121E7 0 so 1s3 I234m3 I 73 $2503H0 1772343 $123966 $1036208 S 414415 $ $1o7 $S3 0 $0 11336 C3002 $1 $3K7Z $1372 $St7557 S M37330 A1746$9M 840a $- 2 56 c so 3 1m237i 123287 129 3 MI42 LEE $97E34717 SO $13879 $-740 $0 1296 531S3525
12 7 1387 $2-30 $2 $51637 5 4E97 5 A 2vO 1 ST2 0 0a7 $209 1123S 1314 $13879 1305 264 $241E979 C59 43E 30N IbX3 581Ws19 $0 11387 $2356 0 $0 11336 $3H526 $13879 $311647 $2570817 $1677425 5133377 $111010820 $0 $12879 $2114 0 $0 i13 $33203S $13879 $318157 $2721828 61751146 S415399 $114704821 ($6300) $13879 $272 0 $0 11396 $338677 $7579 $331028 $2872937 $1822182 $1464614 $1181372
$71653 $279893 0$0 M819 S56686) $991546 $4095054
A-27
TABLE A-14 (Contd) 3M-S rET-N7 CSTS TPULZ CalLNated)
Ecobullric anf 7rT a f- Erer Investrents -- E F ay A 1916
Capita Sosts BersEft taraampeters R-ae -eturf 3402
Aczuisitjorn $717953 Trarnscrtatior $0
Price of Oil Oil Escalat
$2000 bbl year
(yr 1) poundai_ PEcf cf BC
Zcnstructior $0 Rate Penefits Costs NOV Ratio ir$tez)rectio
TOTAL tCa ) $717 953
Enrgy Savrs Fuel Use
1129 bblyear 0 bblyear
==shy0$568GG00 2- $4 33257
$954E $342962
$4535 054 $3 534i
574 487
Lo stru 6 Time 10 con-h r1 e-
4$3773943 $357118
E2Z17363
$9S 011 $2 872 937 S877493 $2279625 $S5518 S1 822182
41736 360 313
rPEratino ans Nrmal Maintenance Costs
Oueratirg Cost $13872 year Cpratir Lifetime 21 years
0 S2302104-1-$214493G
2$2004 53 -1S 78330
$5374n9$330008
$S2323 $817216
$464614$131A93
$IE1372 2051674
275 258
243 230
Major Equiprent RepairReplacemernt 14 $17 5843 5 $1G663919
$311730 SS06754
$954113 $7 165
218 206
Replace Cost Replace Period
(N6300)period 20 years
16 $571753 18 $1412159 20 $1279474
$802 22 $794327 $787687
$769524 $617832 $491787
6 178 162
A-28
- ranzcal Analysis fc- Enery vestrent_ - Eynt EE 0
TALE t-E
77 P7 q (NU - C$Ipp Asumzr_ O EscaatorRate cf 0
ot _o-tr o
ct of Oil $1-
Fuel Used (Ebl)
FL Cost
Save Ergy
Ecuiv
a1e e-
Errgy r
ost Ca--ic
rrer $ DisEcurted Cash 4 8
Floh (NPV) 10
P i 12n
I
I
Acuis~tion S177 Trar-pcr T
cnstr=ticr $0 rernct cshy
7S7
-
V I
In
I $1227
t3S7
I27T
2E F - 03
1706Q_
0
0 $0
0S0 1
--shy29 S4748
E $-5
3 2419 122723 $32
I3F 13 33f
$72
137 $187 7 $13879
S2$ (333727-3
7Z73 ($4 707
SZS2 E-I (V454 1 135104E 3$2 4 S3--2S3
($672733)
($41ESE2)
$1743-7$c 271122
(72731
($421-20)
(SIS7723$23000
$2-1152
(S672783
(S4252
S201430)$4E39
$1203
-$ 3
14
IS 7
18 19
20
21
C$$3875
c $ 17
$17573-$$ S 2 73
S $12272
S 10 113273
$0 12E73
V$ 1-73 $0 7 $0 $1327
$0 $13872 V $13873
$0 $13873
(05300) $13879
12760 82
227272
3 $232
$3047
$3108 $317
$3234
$323
t$365 $3432
$3507
13571
$3642
13715
0
C
C J
0 C
0
0 0 0
0
0
0
1
10
$0
$c
so $0
so
$0 $0
$0
$0
$0
$0
336 $314553 1133S $32844 2H t61735
133 1 3S 135G $34(432
1336 $7gt
1332 $354227 1133 $30132L
13 $363543
$37
139E $383432 11222 $23
1 S332$3=22 1133 $406 9-7
113 $415046
11396 $423346
s12 7 $i E74 $8 $47575_ $846 $13E79 1-_- - $ tq520120 s 379 3132332 1103568 S3f2050 1750934
01279 133227 11 _2433 $11024 27 $71 82 373 32 6S0 $1553 S02 $1183280 $038694 $S87 13-3413 S79 04 $1342714 S111722
$237 1o3558 2 134 $148368 $i2632 1387 $347443 $2217146 162562 5133723$ 1 $12753 $254670 $243-151 S1757074 S149 74
S3 $ E K22 $180334 C 5 53 $1337 $362S55 $2 44423 51933835 V16E3750 S3879 $377322 7223 $2106944 51 8M465
$1373 7-E5- $ 24502 $221101 84 2 05-$13 79 $3 3 028 $3437512 $2309366 $1912745
$13373 $401167 $3627923 $2402321 $1978339 S7579 $4f-5767 $387674 $2491523 $2040140
$3E2613 V1813
165S399
$78102 $32673
1014228
$111073 I31253
$282534
$1 35 $1424132
66
$5474 $1572856 S1 39434 $1682535
$71153 $273933 0 $0 22819 $7105250 $991546 $6116704
A-29
TABLE A-15 (Contd)gSSVL1TKE--- TAL-2 12alculated)
-cic ar -ari - lysis fc Erery rvestrrts - Egypt EEP i9IlS
Costs Perefit PararetErs Irsternal Rate cf Return 4318
M-quisition $7174953 Trice of il $200 bbl (yr 1)Transportat ir $ Ci1 scalat 20year Disc PV of PV of BICCostructic-n so
nate Derefits Costs f1] Ratio interconnection $0 Enrgy Savrs 11395 bbiyear
- -FUEUSEQ tYear 0 702250 $99FAG $E11Z704 717TOTPL (Cap) $717953 2$-74 483 $942 962 $4802515 609 4 $4723695 $905011 $3817674 521Construct Tirr 10 ronths $21-4pound397 $877493 $20E2904 450 8w $3 704 $855181 2 23 3910perztin and rcaMainterance Costs 10 $277630 $837483 $2 040 140 344
Operating Cost $13379 year 1I$2681 244 s830008 $1851237 323 12 $S2505816 iK23281 $162 535Operating_ Lifetime 21 years
304 13 $2348613 $817216 $1531397 287 14 $2207304 $311730 $139-574 2072Major Equipmert RepairReplacement 15 $2079899 $60E754 $1273145 258 1 $1924 $802229 $162462 245Replace Cost $300period 18 $176Z198 $794327 $370871 222Replace Period 20 years 20 $1593342 $787687 $811655 203
A-30
rcrc= ~ar rial Zralys- f- Erery lrivertfrentE -- E_=yt E
TQILE P-6
Fo Ca-se cfIELD TEST 4 - H-L4AN TEXTILPSIR
sunrini Esalation Rate cf 21
rILU3 WASTE H7AT Ey VD-- OIL 530B)
YEar aia
eratir Cost of Oil
cSst $1b Fuel Used ru
Ergry
Ecu I ZaVE f
ZnEr y Anru
COSt aS 7-06
rret 1 -iEzurtE 4
Cash 3
Flow (NV) 10
3 = 8
1 ra-rt
rn-rjt or $0 $0
4
2
14
15
16 17
is 12
20 21
73
$0 $7 so $0 $0$0 $0
C
$0
$0
S $ $0
so $0
$0 ($6300)
232-
23277w 37 63S
119 S387 $2879$13q73 $711$c
3273
1373 2733
S387-
S1237
2M79 $13r379
$12873 $13873
$13879 $3879
$35 S$ 60
3 284 $-247 S-is $3378 $3446$L515( $-c
$357
$73 0 $3805
$23
$-3958
S4022 $4118
$4201 $4265
$4370 $4458
00 0 0 0 0 0 0C
0
0 (
0
0
3 0
0
0 0
SO $0 SO $0 $l $0 $0 $0
S1 so $0
$0
$0
$0
$0 so
$0 $0
M51--S1333 $343 718 261- s337
33 2 33S $273062 3 $377453 233H $35012 336 3K1173I3 4f =c
$40Z S72
133S $41E750 136 $42525 1396 $43287
136 S442253 113 $451102
$4 2 1393 $4-C223 13^6 s4727-11396 $483289 i39g $498OE5 11396 $508016
hC S23873
$13873 S13873 T1387 $13 S72 $-
3 S 7 $23873 2 I12579 233q73
$17379
$12273 SI6373
513373 $13279
$13879 $7579
5
3332- ($$32236 (SS3386) ($$3335)12342333 ( H32t ( (1358887) 36 23 1813 (12- 1) (-- 20) (176337 ($3K-
-333743 27 264n4 27-3 $1Z756 1 5 35S133 $ 2-5 $47E533 $429034 S2-253 $3S3584 $32$TK-40 $65473 $559135 271133 $18 2 392 86423S777323 $378E34 $L5375Z $ E 66 103688 St458
- 44 3 $7 3 88 $230 S104765
3 202224 S57_- $1406472 S1247C37S402671 $DD141s $S773936$561796 $1376S11 1266 5r2 Q5SK235 S s 03
$41370P S2 79 $211E957 t 3653 $160275 $425379 13 27352 $227448 V3733 $437224 2 4$2 7t79390 $443246 125 32- $2564014 $285102 1J7317 $4-5449352 3 536 95 2284 $8294S311 $464336 $4070 026 $2322SE $2376786 12012911 $474410 $4304208 $2941307 $2462113 $2075603 $44176 $4534018 $305Z49 $2541279 $2130820 $500437 S47[2411 $3160864 $2615666 $2183698
$711653 $27993 0 $0 E29819 $8529900 $991546 $7538354
A-31
TLE TABLE A-16 (Contd)
- -1T E l-ate)
Znor~i ari -iraria2 alysis for Energy ireVstrents - Egypt EA1
LEitET Csts Eerefit Pararveters Interra Rate of eturr f255
Acouisition $752 ranspecrtaticr $$ Construction $0
rtercorrectior so
Price cf 04 0i Escaiat
Enrgy Savrs
$3 b (y-0yaar
1335 5byear
1) Dis- Rate
-
2V cf Benefits
PVof Costs NPV
BC Ratio
----------T2T_ CapL
--- Fuel Use 0 byear 852230C s432 $
$55 342 H5
77538254 $$f95$ 6A2- 6
860
--rstrct Tire 10 rths 4 $56642 6$473r-67
$90E 011 $877 49
$47E2411 $335- 184
62 E40
Operating and Nomra Maitenance Costs 8$4016044
10 $3452155 $8KZ 31 $827483
13 856amp4 $269666
470 412
Operating Cost Dperating Lifetime
$3872 21
year years
1 3217493 12n $00E930 13 $2218335
$33000c $823281 $817216
f2 387 486 $2183693 $2001 1
383 365 345
Major Equipment Repirez acement 4$2648765
15 $2A4S5619 $811730 $802754
1637035 $1689125
o 309
Replace Cost Replace Period
($5300)period 20 years
-$2327629 18 $2118238 20 $1919210
$822 $794327 $787687
$55 400 $1213911 $131524
-94 267 244
A-32
Eccic and iranza Pr-i- frEre irvEter -- Eypt EEq 10135-
TRPLE A-17
FcrCse TZST 44 - HELWN T-EE-2- WA7ST EW PRfL KMIY rOIL $351BL) Ass-ir- 02lEaldegio Rate cf 20
Saved Ya- cfCEita7 Ocratin Ccst of Di Fuel Used Fuel E rerry SavEd rd Caa--FioA Liscoured Cash Flow (MTN)Year -St cst SBbI (2b2) Cost Equiv i
rerV C-rrert $ 4 8 10 12
ransport P
I rt-rzcre ic $
ctal t777 SH$00 0 so
1833 5$477 $72255 ($$732 SE279 ) ($S5790) ($653790) ($53790)7-27 $-7 0Z27$0$ 3 $ 94) n- 3
0$0 r- 17365 $414974 $13673 SA 01 S354 $348 92-12 c30$ 12F7c S3714 $0 37 $42ST27 $13 $401-74793 B1 SZ384C $ $342M12 $302215$ $3789 11336 $437 379 S417 $7 $1873 $864 E $E 7 $7 -7730 $0 11336 1440374 $13873 $4 4K3 $G576 1$7330 $SK2736 $M57770 s0 13 44 $187 0 S
$43 E302 $1510 601 S1 E44 $1133453C 1 S7372 $4020 S103 Z- 7 84 S13 50 283 $13442 $1237257S 7S E $411 13 $473 1 873 $4344 $2173553 $1754865 $157379 $420428 I 13879 4183 0 $0 136 $47L575 $337 $4L73Sbull ~$ $--37 -n S2504 707 S9379 $ 7742-0 $ 873177 $42EE 13 $-71 11133S 1299 IO4 2 37$4 23 273 -2-3 $2823796 $225158 $9523 $733394S7 $352 0 so 11326 54H $ 3 4 $3332 $241302 1212330 t8773732 $ 73 $4433 0 $0 11336 55585 712579 $47 $34 $2607271 $2 282067 $200425014 1 $11279 $4522 0 $0
12 11335 S515963 $1 273 1522 089 $74=754 $273 888 2427504 $2 113 3155 $0 7873 $4amp81- S $28973 S4711
0 $ $ 227 1 79 1511405 44rN657 $296E343 $2 43a $22241640 so 3965 $53z 11E7 t=1937 $-6 113 13 $4232024 2687624 $2319702$534 $31311417 $ 1272 $48 0 $0 11336 $747542 1367 $ 33470 1 535 $328E967 $283766 $24057562 V $1187 $430 0 $0 11336 $55-50 $13873 $544621 $453 543 $3434161 $2311516 $24K07719 $0 $12879 $499 0 $0 11336 $569670 $13873 $555791 $5170903 353248 $3011480 $255835120 10 $13279 $509 0 $0 11396 $591064 $13879 $567185 $5440113 $3704671 $3104220 $26L420521 ($6300) $12879 $5201 0 $0 11336 $532685 $7579 $525106 $5707148 $3830205 $3191192 $2684852
$711653 $279833 0 $0 229819 $9951551 $991546 $80004
A-33
TABLE A-17 (Contd)
Econorni a 7inarcia ay-- fc Ener~y investmerts -- Egypt ZE r986
Ca~it~a cstz Perefit Parameters Irnterrna Rate of Return 6217
Pcquisiticn 7i Transpc-tation $ Constr-ct ior $0
inter-conrection $0
TOTQL (Cap) $717953
--iceof 21 OillEscalat
Enr y Savgs Fuel Use
135K bb (yr 1) 2Ovear
113- bblyear 0 Ltlyear
DI sc PV of Rate Eer eFits
0$9IK551 2$043677
PV of CoS1 ots
$91545 $942908
PaPV
$3960004 $7100709
3C Rat i o
1004 853
Corstruc Time 10 mcrths
Operatirq an Normal Maintenare Costs
OPeratir Cost $13879 year Operating Lifetime 21 years
Major Equipmernt RepairReplacemernt
Replace Cost ($6300)period Replace Period 20 years
A-34
4 $6 613 1-S$ 24 95
8$4amp3825 $$4) 21
11 $3753742 2 $3506143 13$328058 14 $ C9026 15 $23159 16 $27550567 18 $2471278
20 $2239079
$906011 $877 493
$55S 131 $83748-$330008 $823 2 $817216 $S1730 $806754 $802 22n $794327
$787687
$5707 148 $4647 463
$3830205 $3191192 $2927735 $2684862 $2470842
$2278496 $10510-$1943339 $1676951
$1451392
730 630
548 481 452 426 402
381 361 343 311
284
Erno a - raial Ayaavs- fc EErcy IvestLErts -- E 5y 1NObr
TABLE A-B
For Case zf7- D EST 4 - PEWA TEXTLES2R olUS STE H- PE-5- G4-88 ZL Pssur 2i Esalaticr Rats cf 2(
Year
Laital
Cost
Oeratir
Ist
Cost Of Cil
$1IL5
Fue Use
(BL
FE
zc-st
Save Energy
Z4iv
V_-shy_ Saved
Energy
a1
Ccst
F1c
urre-t S
Dafiscourted Cash Flow (NPV) plusmn 4 8 -0 1
1 Trarspzrt $0
4
37--
0
$0
1
$16 $13279
$1387c
$40
$400 $4162
S4245
0
0
0
0
V
s0
$0
1239
11396 11396
336
$75973 $464957 $474255
- 6 $483741
$72026S
113379
137S 7 9 $13879
3644233)
S451078
$477U C 7 $463852
(S64433) (210fG4
14r1$2 5 o0n $-32786
(2644A) (12Z
$1 52 0 7 1
$541cent52
31544293)
(234=-) $ 4
$493269
(364423M)
S24 545) $24$ 5
$452903
A
7 8
-
10
12
13 14 15
16 17
18 19
20
21
$0 t0
0 $0 V $0
So
I$0 $0
$0 $0 $0
$0 $0
$0 $0
$0
($5300)
13273 T2879
$9 S237 $2873 $3873 $13873
$13879 $13879
$13873 $13873 42879
13673 $13879
$13879
$13879
$13879
$13879
14330 $4416
$4505 $4595 $4535 $4687 $4780
$4876 $4973
$5073 $5174 $5278
$5333 $5491
$5601
$5713
$5827
$5344
0
Q5 0 0 0 0
0 0
( 0 0
c 0
0
0
0 0
so so
o
so $0 $0
so $0
S $0 $O
$0 10
$0
$0
s0
$0
236 3133
1136 E I39 11396 11396 35
1396 11396
113 11336 11336
336
1396
11336
113
1135
11336
5$493416 $503264
35) 1 G 1
S531 1534083 $544771
$5665 S566780
1
$523 678 $60471
$612501 $525771
$G39286 55 Q52
$664073
S677 K4
$13873 S473537 $13873 $4834C-E
$13873 $49747 $3979 f50g 7-shy2
$1379 $52CI210 113873 $538321 227$5 -89 S3879 $541787
$79 K $-7579 $54236 $13273 577K $3873 S27532 113973 $53622 t3879 $11892 $3379 S624407
$13879 $337173
$3879 $650194 $757 $669775
$1042696 114443E
$18336301 $222704-
$2607162 1233016093 1
13346172 $7C- 32
$4 05746 $440256 $4742875
$-075824 $51402515
$5723072
$503759
$34c208 $6651884
$935- $825 M $764658$12M617 $10681 S10425
$-43 $1412669 1407 $123372E$715$=2 9
f39- $21843 11916875 $1735031 23 42 $1 $375$ 3427 $214202S t 53G $2636380 03 $9 $2 27 503 12544695 S2200320 $3037575 $2721482 $2405748 $3-3032352- 28970 12537706 S350348 $3045001 $2673393
$3698373 $2 183546 t757485 $3876979 $3 3711 $2867300
14045737 $3446247 12953242 $4205189 $356C8 3041099
$435846 $3657160 $311659 $4493545 $376678 $3186025
$711653 $279893 0 $0 12-93813 $11373201 $991546 $10381654
A-35
TABLE A-18 (Contd)- o-SOS TflBLE BEN T-2T TPBLE 7alculated)
zccc- an FiariJ Analysis for Energy Investments - Egypt EEA
Capita Colts BerEfit Parameters nterna lRate of Returr 7207
Acquisiticon 171753 Price of Oi $4000 lbL (yr 1) Transportation $0 Dil Escalat 20vear Disz FV of PV of BC
Construction $0 Rate Benefits Costs TV Ratio Iterconnection $0 Errgy Savrigs M-35 bblyear
-- -- ------- Fuel Use 0 bblyear $W373o $99546 $10381654 1147 TCTAL Cap) S717S53 2$1 773 $942968 SB2 49 - 5 975
4$7557396 $906011 $6E5884 834 Zonstruct Time 10 months 6 $-314236 $877493 15436743 72n
51354726 S855 18 1 $4 42S 545 G20Operating and Norcal ainterarce Costs 0$4604207 $S37489 $3766718 550
1$4289991 $3000 $345983 517 OeI-ating Cost $13879 year 48712 $4003306 $123281 $318G025
Operatin Lifetice 21 years r3 $177781 $817216 $2940565 460
14 $53637 $8730 $2719957 435 Vajcr Equiprrent RepairReplacement A $3327839 $80S754 $2521084 412
16 Z3 143506E $80212209 $2341277 392Replace Cost ($6300)period 18 $2824317 $794327 $2029990 356
Replace Period 20 years 200 $2558947 $787687 $1771260 325
A-36
E~zcrorci an4 ariaqrysr for EnEy Ivestrets -- -Gyrt = 3P
F c r C a s e o f F - r T 3 3 4 - j r 7 o i o s X_--
E 4 OR $251 FT -RC= $159P
ss=insectCA Escalation Rate cf 20
Save a - shyCaita eratirn Cost cf 01 Fue Used Fuel Ener) SavE AnnaI ash Floi Discounted Cash Flow () 9 iyE- cost Cost $Bb (2b1 Cost Epoundalv Energy Cost Current $ 4 8 10 12
l cuisiis 52452
Trans $2 Corstru_ o
ta 4 $-52 S $0 S2832 3$-22955 s28Sz3 ($128968) ($28928) (128)tc 52 C 10 34-2 $-324 S Z 24 ($125877 M$25991) (T2045) (S260981$ 0 $-55 0 s 34s S5431 $2110 s ($22707 ($123144) (3123301) (23450)$0 $ $2 0 $0 342 $f540 $2110s 40 11 S758) (242) 20704 S2 009S0 $T2-4 0 $0 34 $2110 25a0 (1273) (S17820 (32 3S759)S$0 2 $1G56 C $0 348 $763 $ 3 (1 1 3 7A s2 $13 0 f0 34 $E873 $2110 $379 (I0750 $12S ( S1 $14777)VC 2 $172- 0 $0 348 $-39 s 2 C2 $38ES (107797) h$1 (51)$130950 52110 $1757 C $0 342 $11 S2110 S400r ($104870) (t103526) (111004 ) (211401)$ c 120 $1793 C $0 348 $S28 522O S4123 31S9) (S10461 (S OS M) (1092) s210 I 512_ 348 $363 S2110 $42-5 (S39096) ($104491) ( S037($103 543)$0 S220 $sE5 0 ti shy32 t54 211 $435-0 (M251)
-- (S10261 ($22 ($07284)$0 $220 $1902 0 $1 343 $r2) 2110 $4510 (S93434) ($100821) 31$03G84) ($10512)14 $o S2110 $1940 0 $0 34 573 $2110 54243 ($50645) (S92114) (5)02340) (15062)5$0 52110 $1979bull 0 $0 343 S5683 I2110 $4778 (37am) ($9742q) ($10102) (S104085)6 $0 $2110 $201 0 so 342 S7C7 $21 $421517 50 ($5155) ($95 938) (ST2 90 ($103 1861$2110 0 )2059 348 $71 2 $$2o $ ms $22458) ($94462) ($S-30O ($102)o11 $ $2110 $210o 0 $0 34S
19 $7303 $2110 $-19- ($73789) ($92057) ($377T6 (01605$0 $2110 $2142 0 $0 348 $745M $2110 -5345 ($77150) ($91720) ($3814) ($100909)20 $0 $2110 S2185 0 $0
21 ($5438) $2110 $--29 0 348 $7605 $2 Ili $5495 ($74542) ($90446) (9916) ($100271)
$0 348 $7757 ($3328) $11085 ($69483) ($88068) ($9426a) (99 I2)
$124048 $42552 0 $0 7018 $130239 $166600 (36361)
A-37
ABSUPTIOS TABLE TABLE TABLE A-19 (Contd) IT--CCOTS TAL --C ed
and Fina-E P7aiysiz fc- Energy IrvestzErts -- ypt EE
aPita Ccsts Benrefit Parateters
Pquisitio 2948S Price cf Oil $1500 lbi (yr 1)Transortatior $0 Oil Escalat 20year
onstructio $0
rterconrectior $0 Enrgy Savns 348 b5year Fuel Use 0 thi
TOTAL (Cap) $123466
Construct Tirfe 10 months
Ozerating amNormal Mairterance Costs
Operatin Cost $2 110 year Oerating Lifetime 21 years
Major Equipment RepairReplaceuert
Replace Cost ($5438)Period Replace Period 2 years
Internal Rate of Return
Disc PV of PFJof Rate Benefits Costs
-=_
0 U -1c233 s 6660 2 $105270 $160683
4 $83543 $15031 6 $72307 $E2344
8 $61319 $149387 le S5272 914S33-
11 $49126 $14E566 12 $4912 $145034 3 $4 032 $144180
14 4144-- $143417 15 $38108 $142713
16 $35 9 7 $142068 18 $32342 $140933 2 $29303 $139971
-2 63
NIN
$32 ($55410)
($6943($8 037)
($80 8) ($343_68)
($C-33323(99 22)
($101156)
($102974) ($104604)
($106071) ($102591)
($110667)
Ratio
073
066
055 047
041 C36
034 03
30
28 027
0 25 023
021
A-38
For Case - -EL 7 7 14 - HELPN EXTLiIPH 0LECTOR PRV =552FT - PRIEC OL S2L Pssurin Oi Zscalaticr Rate cf 2C
SavEd a- c Cost of CII FUE1 Useer CUE Energy Eavn Arnual Ca ow sSZOLnte- Cash Flow ( NV) iYear Ct Ct Ipbl (P2-) Cost Ecsiv Ererry ZOst Currert $ 4 3 0 2 is-t i c r
_ _____ _
Traszr $C - LCrErZt cr 30
i tercorrezcr SO 21 53 $1 $1223 ($23378 $123pound73 ($23673) ($22673) ($123578)$ 72c Q0$24c $0 348 S7033 $2h1c i4S83 $2680 2124053) (12442) (1243)$21~ 0 0so 34a 17241 $2C $5121 3 (E -59)($112301) ($12012)4so So c V- Z $-co 348 7 $2110 $5275 -44- (1115471 ($15371 (lII3- $21 $25 ) $9 348 $7534 1I2110 5424 1038O) (111484) ($I-33 1I2930$0 $211 $2205 c $0 345 768 $2110 $-E574 ($105228) (7076G0) (105772) (037S7)
$0 2110 $-52 c $) 48 728 n04 SC Sshy$ $-bO $5723 C l00701 ($10408 SO55r ($ICS585)o $U S2110 P-3a7S0 $13 0 $0 348 Si110 $-525$2343 0 343 3430341 $2 (Si L- f E471 1$0$ 8) ($C4 203$) $_ -- $21 t$3050l 31($812) (S97231) (53673) ($10762
t t110 t c 3 2 M745)$0 203 ($94275) ($97066) (M23)S1 52110 $2438 Q $0 349 124B4 $2 $E374 (9g1 f$948 3)($2 144) 3233 ($07471)$110 $Z487 C $0 348 $2354 $2110 $r544 ($75894) ($88516) ($ 3 1 ($=120)$0 $2110 $25313 0 t0 342 $2227 T2110
1 $E717 ($74632) ( 849) ($901174) ($33855
$0 $20 $2557tbull I 0 034 $3 0034$34 S211 7) ($33314)S263 M$8178) (S32 2u)15 $0~ ($to50 $2110 $2333 0 $0 343 $3184 $210$7074 $ 473 ($2090S) ($83 315) ($3032)$0 $211 ( $2332 0 $01L 348 $ S237 $2110 $727 ($32444) ($73618) $34578) $83512)7 $0 72 10 $2746 0 $0 343 S555 $2110 S744E 3$5340 ($7S445) (323-7 (333293)1 $0 5210 $280 0 $0 348 $2745 $2110 $7636 ($54542) I 43W ($21447) (2B7156)$0o $2110 $225L 0 $0 349 $3341 $2110 S7831 ($50684) ($72422) ($80038) ($35163)2C $0 $2110 $2914 0 $0 348 $1023 $2110 $3029 ($46872) ($7WC561 (75726) ($85235)21 ($5439) $2110 $272 0 $0 346 $10342 ($3328) $13670 ($40634) ($676S2) ($76694) ($83818)
$124043 $42552 0 $0 7018 $17362 $163 00 $7052 A-39
TABLE A-20 (Contd) P-SJ 2DTPKE rZFT7-CGS72 TLAK (acutated)
Hom and Firaa ralvsis fcr Erergy Investments - Egypt EEAn 5S
Za-ital Costs Benefit Paraeters lnterrna Rate cf Return 046
Acquisition $129485 Price of Oil $22O0 1bb (yr 1)Transoortation $0 Di Escala 2Oyear Disc PV f PV of BCConstructior Rate Beniefits Costs Ratio Interconrnection $0 Errgy Savngs 348 bblyear - --- =_
Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 $173252 $16E600 $705 104 (Cao)bull0TL1a8 $14 360 $10c ($ 320) 087
4 $115398 $155031 ($40634) 074Corstruct Time 0 -rnths A $36409 $152 34 ($55935) 063 8 $8A759 $14937 ($7623) 0Operatin and Normal Maintenanrce Costs CIA $70299 $14S933 ($76694) 048
11 $55502 $145 966 ($0464) 045Operating Cost $210 year 12 $51216 $145034 ($33818) 042Operating Lifetime 2years 13 $57376 $144188 ($85812) 040 14 $53924 $143417 ($89493 038Kajor Equipmert RepairReplacement $C811 142713 ($91901) 36 IS $47997 $142068 ($94071) 034Salvage Value ($5438)period 18 $432- $140933 ($97810) 031
Replace Period 20 years 201 $39071 $139971 ($100899) 028
A-40
- End - Ar y= fcr ZErcy~gt Ef-tS - ~ Aq
TiE fl-2[
-or -ase
Assamin
c
Ui
Tf-L0EST 4 -
E-alation Rate f
TECTh- 211
20 25BFJ
Yec-
-_ ztr
fs
nrt-r--et
YEzEta u-rir z os
___=== shy = i2 ~~
z-_ 233
r $
of deg $i2
- Lse (Ebi)
ICoRue
Cost
Saved Ersery
Ecuiv
Va -cf Saved
Erery
5 S
n-a
-shyt
zas CIO
Curt S
t
Discounted Cash
4
Ficii 0 V)
0C
1 =
4
2
14 1 17 17
12 19 20 21
5-
s$
s 12
ampc
SO SC
$3 5 $0
(5 438)
2II0 2 110
S$210$o
12102IC
2110 SC$
U0 52 10
O QI0I $2110 521110 $2I07343
$2110 $2110 $2110 $2110
--23OI 1
Q27^S7SC
7
f_522 $2 3
S2147 $2SQ 53171
34 23 EE
13 534Vo$344)
$35o $3571 53342 53715
Ct
-1C
o
0 C
0
0 0
0 0
C 0
0
$0$034-=
s5
$50
s3$s4
$ $0
5$
so $0
$ $0
$O $0 s0 S0
348
343Z4
348
34E 342
342 342
34S 342 3474E 348 348
345 348 348 348
13574$ = $
$3
$3417sampo
$ 7E3
1 3-$337
euroscs $1 37
s3 $254 $1S t9 03
$121 1 S1242 $12674 $12 928
V2 31 -shy
11C
2110s519
2 12-0
1S 11 145
$2C
$2110
t2 110 $210
S2 110 $2110 $2110 ($3328)
33 2-72 ZZS ($13333 335B3 122S7 4 ($ E 22 25) ($13-2 3 (t12243)4 ($t1 ($pound 7) I$1692 $t5 S5 -
1 4 $7123 3$M234 ft 91 11745)--- $175)
$7307 31028 S C5148) ($106(1 7SC $5- t7495 ($737 (IiCc047 cs (-02843
783 ($cZ203) ($37185 (32353shy$7854 (1S4 6 1 533 (133122 (523371 $8133 ($7E754) (SS3 5) M335)) (ic21-h)
$S27 (7222) (32C900 ($2525 ($83134) $495 ($87 23 78 ) 382 5Wc ($5399)12 717 ($5 ($44-0 (7350I (583995)$3924 9 53 ($70 8771 (S7664) ($81605)V1144 (S$2471 ($67514) ($74016) (579509)
($45C (64324) ((715434) (S772) $33 5337301 ($5292) (5 2501 ($7 838)$7533 ($58428) ($8711C) ($74234) 0 )72 29303 ($5706) (S5 11a ($72767)1$0316 (24217) ($53124) (S5322) ($71425) $10564 (S19203) ($50676) ($6155) ($70199) $16256 ($11754) ($47129) ($59119) ($685141
$124043$42552 0 $0 7018 $217065 166500 50465
A-41
ELSTU0 TABLE TABLE A-21 (Contd)
PLE(-
Zcoo r Firatia iavsis fc- Energy Irvesterts shy Eypt EE1
C itz Zosts enefit Paraveters Irterraz Rate cf REturr 304
zao-isitior S12948E Traszrtzti $0
l rtier to Interzorrectio $0
Price of Oil 0 Escalat
Errgy Savnrgs
$250C bb (yr 20vear
342 bIyear
Disc Rate -
WV of Ienef-
W cf Fcsts N
BC Ratio
- --
TJT -------shy
1 486 FuEl Use 0 bblvear ^
-a-27 H-S$17 450
$SG0 s16K 580
$E 4S $14770
30
109
Construct Tive 10 crths 4^ 6
$144247 $2051
$I-o0 2344
$17S4) (4P 832)
02 073
Coeratirsect and Normal Mairtenance Costs
Operatir Cost $2110 year 0oeratin~ Lifetinie 21 years
8 0 1
2
$102198 $27874 3-877
$7E520 $$7720
$14937 $14S33 $145S3
$145034 V44122
$47123) ($ 119) ($64039)
($68514) $72458)
068 060 056 053 050
Mamr Equipmet ReoairReplacemert 14 1
$97405 $143417 1427
($76012) (179199)
047 045
REplace Cost Replace Period
($5438)period 20 years
6 18 20
$59996 $53304 $43839
$142068 $140 233 $139971
($82072) ($87030) ($91131)
042 C38 035
A-42
TRSLE 1-22
F- cf-- s 14- HELN Esumlr Oi Esampaton Rat2 cf
(TC2LEHr Trorp-
20 -P z-3 z-
1iazip Ycst
Ls-cr 113 -
0eratir Cost
Cott of oil W
Fte e c
-e el Ct
Savec Energy Ev
Va1-_ of -avef
ErErcy pnua
st a=n 7c DirountEj Ca_
E-rre-t $ 40 8 Flo (NPN) i
10 =
12
4 f
7
10
N-I-
1-
15
$ 7
is
19
I 21
C rutc
0t13oo
V 12 116 30E 11 $321
so No 13LR $- 110 z347 $ t-1 $33 2
S 8029 $3278 2li $344E
S0 f2I0 1315 - - 1 35
S1 r t2110 1373C-
S S212 $3 15 2 1 S281
$S)S2 5I3908 $ S4(38
so QAc2h18 41 SO $s2 $420 50 $2 11 $4 so $110 $4370
$5433) $2110 $4455
$124048 $42552
0
c 0
0
0
0
0
0 C 0 c
0 0
0 0
0 0
0
S
10 345 so 34
so 248 to 345
C 34S
so 3 $ 348 $0 348 $0 348o
$0 348 0 348
$ 345 so 3$6
so 348
$0 348 s A3 $0 348
SO 348
$0 348 $0 348
$0 7018
Q74C 12-
s649 - 1 s B3 110
in1 73 p311 S30 $2110 1127 f110
$11757 2110 $13 I-sI S2322_2ltU1510
2477 130
S 72H 11 S s- $1 2 1-110 s17o- s2
t3770 5-10 $14051 $2110 S302 S2 S14613 $21(
$1491 $ 1 $15203 $3110 $15513 ($332
$260478 $-SF600
A-43
53 ($85557 27Z- )S17
V5S59 10 1 3131 ($9-
12417 e -^-
$-E47 ( S) sI S t730)2
5 L22
1c357 4SW III
S1STs ($241)$1037 s173) 1 30 127 27)
Sc1L33 331 3X4
1 L 5 -267)
$is 7o7) 510L 3 ^41)
2 S2 8 U249
$3S10-2 $346S $18841 170-5
1$93 78
($(225 ($128038)
12 5 52 33- 1 12683 (1M 3102)
1105 EEG) 3$1 364 $3--3) $C 10-
($92 (534$ 3 (1S3225) (33734) ($o5s (s82733
$7 030) (79 0 11) 33 7041(IN
(647) $70511)($50334 (670 (1904) ($53154)
5( 714 (E 8 54) ($47743) 3567S2 $437) ($S33 3540411) fS5123
t070(37030) (4E7331
($33 827) - (S45E
($30 7K) ($44344) (26749) $41544)
($1202a
(31204741 (51347T
IS(117 C272 1( -_- ($SC) I ($627)
(132453) ($7 745)
( 2S ($712
(5344) $SE73S)
My AS)
($2 14) (5601171)
(556T
($5-5-E54)
($55162) (53210)
TABLE A-22 (Contd)
Ezrzic and Fir-a Analv=is Er=-ry Invest-eants - Egypt EEfl oI 1
Catal Costs Benefit Para-eters l-tera ate of Return 532
Pccuisitio $12943s Price c Cii Transportation $ Oi Escalat
Construct iorn $0 Interconnection $0 Enry Savrs
--- - --- el Use TOTAL LCap) $129485)
Construct Time 10 r-=nths
Operatin and Ncrmal nartErane Costs
Operatin g Cost $210 year Ooerating Lifetire 21 years
Major Equipment RevairReplacemert
Replace Cost ($5438)period Replace Period 20 years
$300 bb (yr 1) 2 Cvear
34E bblyear 0 tblyear
Dic PV cf Rate Eerefits
=-- shy == 0 -260478
2 $210541
4 $172037 6 $144614
8 122 S38 10 $105449 11 $93 253
i2 $91824 13 $86064
14 S00885 15 $76217
16 S71995 18 $64685 20 $58607
PV cfof Costs
$166600
$160680 $15H 02 SE2344
$149337 $146993 $145966
$145034 $144188
$143417 $142713
$142068 $140933 $139971
wgV
$93878
$49860 $17065 ($7730)
(326749) ($41544) (347713) ($53 tn0) ($S3 124)
($62531) ($6649G) ($70073) ($76249) ($81364)
Ratio _
15S 13 1 095 82
C72 067 063 060
C56 053
051 04G 042
A-44
Ecnio af rarcia Ay5s fr Enerzy rvestr-et=- E__y EE- t
TABLE A-23
D 7E4--r Case ofF- - H8LW TEXT-PP C LcTORvR- - p n-OIL 35 _) 9ssu=- Oil Escalation Rate cf 20
spvedCa4t Csratr Zost cf Oi Fuel Used Fel Erergy Vi~
3aved Arral Ca-s 7 2iscurnt (-ir- Flo (NTV) 8 iYear Ec SBbX (Ebi) Cost Eniv Enercy ost Crr $ 4 10 12
1 Trarsort $ bull Ccrstr_-ticy $
1 Ir -e2or tic - $0r
Ttal T4- $352 $300 0 $0 58 $2030 f223 2780) 3$227($1802) (S27803) ($37308)Ss s210 12570 0 so 348 S2424 12 10 10314 $7S3 ($(S2 ) (1342 o 59)
3$ 123 $3541 0 $0 348 $12672 2 11 105S2 022T) (103O023) ($103703 ($10179)4 2 $2 0 $3714 c SO 349 2 $2110 8 ($18 -1 7 ( 0 7 (0 410
S3783 0 to$2110 348 $13 184 $2110 111074 ($53044) (332477) ($34013 ($3-7443)E 10 1-110 S3364 0 $i 345 S3448 $2s SI335 $73716 (1847z (8900)T $21 $342 0 $0 348 $13717 1I10 11607 (571 553) _77447 C$S04-2 ($-3 123)
0 -1( 241 ( 77 ($74 ($77155)so 348 4 $s $7 s$o2110 348 11427$311I0~Snl $8 C $0 $2110 Ll 1Z3) 12944) 1S5 372844)
1 82 20 $L (SIL0 348 S14556 t2 $1244 ($43394) ($57718 (5S33731 ( 1 211r 5428-4 0 $0 343 $4847 S21110 $1277 2 s($7 3) 364254) S $0o 348 1511413 1 $4439 $S I o 13031 - ($ 2 ) ($46228) ( 853834)($0 507)110 f- $0 348 1 447 12 110 $13337 ($18432) ($4C32) ($43644) ($57084)14 $0 $2110 $4528 0 50 348 $E75E t 112 S4 (S102 (394) (4582 (2 9S75 1$10 W4 S 343 16 07 $2110 $139s] ($2234) ($31IG) ($4201f5 ($L I100
16 211SC $24 $4711 0 S 348 $18322 $211 1 14_ 15 7 (S2S 531 ($38-96] ($A 4917 S $2110 $4805 0 $0 348 5721 12 I10 14611 $13437 (22394) (35416) 34S107)18 $C $2110 $4301 0 $0 243 $1-5 $2110 $i345 $21170 (18354) ($32460) ($930)19 $ $20 $4993 $0 343 $17336 52110 $15286 $28715 ($14 529) ($209710) ($4943)20 $0 $2110 $5099 0 $0 348 T17744 $2110 $15634 $36136 ($10 207) ($27 154 ($40 127)21I($5438) $2110 $5201 0 $0 348 $18099 ($3328) $1427 $45915 ($30) ($23969) ($3790)
$124048 $4255 0 $0 7018 303891 $166 amp0 137291
A-45
TABLE A-23 (Contd) PSELTIONS TWPLE H-77-C3T-3 TA-2L Eated)
Econooi and Firnani aIvs4s fe- Ener y Ivestcents - Eypt EE 03i32
Capital Csts Berefit Paraeter- Itera Rate c RetLr- 739
Aqisiti-503S S4ES Pice c ii bb (yr 1)TrasScrtation $0 01 ESalat W0year DiEc PV of P of BC
Corstructior $0 Rate Beneits Costs WPV Ratio rterconrection $0 Enray Savwgs 343 bblyear -
Fuel Use 0 blyear 02E1 S 600 II7721 82TOTAL Cap) $1Z48C Z $1683 $54 350 53
4 $20194S I5E3 $45715 i2CcrstrUct Time 10 mrths E1 716 $152344 $16372 11
8 $143078 $14337 ($S309) 096Operatirpound and Norma Ma~ntenarce Costs 10 $123024 $14E933 (23969) 084
11 $114628 $145956 ($31 33 079Oerating Cost $2 110 year 2 $107128 $145034 ($37906) 074Operating Lifetime 2 years 13 $101408 $144182 (343780) 070
14 $34I26 $143417 (U9050) 066Major Ecuipment RecairReplacemernt $S30 $142_713 ($53793) 062
1S 0584 ($53074) 059$1420O8Salvage Value ($5438)period 18 $75465 $14C 33 ($55468) 054Replace Period 20 years 20 $68375 $139571 ($715) 049
A-46
Ecor-r~c a Fi-ra- aivss VeSt=rts EE2fC- -ErV - E --t
TAFLE A-24
Case cf77-Lf TES 4 - HEWA XTILE1P (M CT P $2zS - PRE-F OIL 640EBLh ssuming Oil Escalation Rate f 20
saved VaiLe Ofonita Doeratir Lcst of Oil Fue Used Fuel Erery -d pYert Ca_ 10 Discourtd Cash Flow (PI 0- i =Cost $1Ebl (2l) Cost Eerv Ztt Crrert 1 4 6L 10 12
I Transmrt onstrLZt ior 4
tr-cnnEc icn $ Tcta f2945 132 $4000j 0 $0$40 SO 58 2 S 33z Is1 5 ) 327515$0=8 34S7 $15 $2- 2 (12728
31 $4060 1 r 0 342 $2C 3 8 1034)IS ($152V (1528) f(E72)14 0 348 49 S20 S-372 SI04-1 (5) 517 (110303) (-058514$ 2 I W A S t o4 3 4 8 $ 4 7 shy 3 12 2 ( S 9 ( SH G ES ) ($7 9 0) ( UT 7 8 4 5 3 $ 2 1432bull 34a S 057 $241 C3 (
$0 ($36142) (M6742) (3614)$0 $2 110 $446 0 $0 348 $159 $22 $17m ($7122) ($77119) 372707) U82191)7$ 4 $0 348 S5751_5 21101if) E5 5)503) $55569) ($72049) ($75218)0$ 4c5sg5 $0 348 $5930 510 $13 0 496) ($E 470) ($54327) ($62033)S so 12 4687 $0 348 $309 21Sc 14 92 (139580) 5079 (15833) 563204)10 $C Uio $4760 0
$0 348 $Ipoundpound36 5 240 -25- (129375) (4E53) (- 42 (37966)$0 12112 1487pound 0 $0 348 $11953 $20
2 S12353 SI9337 (533650) 34S414) ( 5318)0 $2110 $4373 0 s0 348 $1730L 2 1c3 5 Q 15 ($9465) (1 2132) ($41027) (34313)S0 12110 $ 0 $0 348 V14i
$21 $244 3-5905) (35134 344823)$0 $2110 $574 0 $0 34E $112007 $Z19 $5597 $3791 (1114) ($-530 ($41180)o $2110 $275 1 $0 342 $18357 $21 $-257 S19 7916 3$14579) 32724T) ($3754)$2110 $$5393 0 c$0 349 $12734 17
$2110 $Ic24 $28410 MKS) (Q-3269 (34816)$ $2110 $s191 0 6
s0 348 1$3 0o $2110 S162 $37486 (4376) (195E) ($32043)$S 5210 $sa01 0 s0 348 $19431 1211 17331 $43409 $321 ($161301 (12951)11 $0 $-I0 $5713 0 $0 348 1181 $2i10 S7771 SES182 $4768 ($2934) (327 M0I20 $0 $2110 $5827 0 t0 348 $20279 $2110 $16169 $E3805 8378 ($9963) ($25031)21 ($5438) $2110 $5944 0 $0 348 $20 684 ($3328) $24012 $74764 $14 30 (36394) ($n-60L
$124048 $4252 0 $0 7018 $347304 $166600 $180704
A-47
g3EL-iD~- ASSIUPTIDXF LETABSE TABLE A-24 (Contd) - ---C-NCE TFamp mC utCalculated)
zczi a- Farcial alvs- for Erergy IwEstments - Egypt EEA 1 8
CaPital r~csts Perofit Para Eter- Irntr-na Rate of Peturr 932
Acouisition $ E4 Price of Cil TransroortaEtio $G 0i Escalat Construct $
rterrertior $0 Erry Savrs Fuel Use
TOTA Cao) $1_h486
Construct Time 10 eorxths
eratir_ and Norzal Ma-rtenance Costs
Oceratim Cost $2110 year Operati_ LifEtime 21 years
Major Ecaiment RevarReolacert
Replace Cost (5543e)period Replace Period 20 years
$4000 bb (r 1) 20year
348 bbyear 0 bblyear
DisC PV of Rate Perefits
- = 0 $347 304 2 $22720
4 t23C 73 E $19288
$13517 10 4C 9 -- - - $31004
12 12243-2 13 $114751
14 $107847 15 $101622
16 $KS993 18 S84 246 20 $78143
V of Costs
$16 6O $162560
5 63 $1E2344
$43337 $1429c3 $14 9-5
$14E034
$144188
$14347 $142713
$142068 1140933 113971
N71)
$180704 $120040
$74764 $407
$14 13 ($r334)
($14 952)
($22602) ($29437)
(S35570) ($410V30)
(45075) ($54687)
($61828)
BC Ratio
208 175
48 27
109 096 090
084
080
075 071
368 061 056
A-48
Ecra acia a fc Ernerv ivEs=-t -- Eyt E~q IC36
TfPLE A-25
cr Case of-- 7ST 4 - HL4 7EX-vTDUq -T R E $ZvCF 7 P- U 1shygssu-in_ Oi Es~alatior Rate of 20
Saved Value ofDaitalfleratir Cost of Dil -Fel Used Fuel ESrry 5avf Annual as( Fic Discourted Cash Flow (MKV) 8 iYear Cost $IBb (E1 Cost Ecriv -Ercy Cot Currert S 4 8 10 12
I 712 I Trersp $0
ITotal 0712 $311 $1500 0 $0 58 $370 $111022 1t01E2 52) 1103) $ n3)(1h10153) $8 $5302C $0 348 $5324 $186G 458 CLa28 (S10SI) ($07003 (107O5)2 $15In $ 0 $0 348 $543 $18s2 S25s5 0522) ($ 40$ 2 $-7834) ($1040E3 ( 7 ($104 )4 $I62 $12$0 bullS266 $1524M$0 0 $0 34842 $5540
3 $550 S1866-C81C $2674 ($1 ($0 ($37031) 3 $10 $3784 ($32 197)78) ($10$D(3S718) Is0 603(M32204)
6 CS56 0 $0 348 S762 $862 $3857 ($c3828) ($5544) ($22223) ($39992)$052 $I82 c $0 43 $872 $186E $4013 $33 67) ($3301) ($94033 $94353)S$0 $C866 1723 C $0 348 15922 $866 $4130 (U8751d) (390605) ($1914) ($3091)2 $3 $s $1757 so e 33
s 0 343 Stamp 1866 $4256 ($4413) ($82310) ($23921) (131374)$0 $17 22 51732 00 $ 3 2- 1$5 2 522 11866 $4372 3 1 S C 1 ($311 ($82122) ($737C7 ($83738)1 223E$ $ 22 so 348 $82 $866 $4407 ($78702) ($40391 ($25 3431 ($83 3n0)12 $0 $1826 13Ef 0 $0 348 $S490 S1866 $4624 ($7E 29) ($80-5) ($ 4722) ($87020)s0 $1 8 $11302 0 $0 348 $2620 $BE $4754 ($714 $0
323 ($80168) ($33207) ($85800)$1866 $1940 0 so 348 $s753 $182 $4837 ($23334) ($72371) $2722 ($84630)15 s0 $1852 $7 ) $0 348 $8B3 $BE6 $5022 ($22494) ($7L662) ($8146M] ($33653)16 $0 $166 $2019 C $0 348 $702 $1862 (152 ($75035)s $E30) ($73234) ($2 710)17 $1 pound186 $203 $0 348 $7126 $1826 $523y ($50O330) ($73488) ($73081) ($S8845)12 i$ $626 $2100 0 348 $7309 $1866 1544 ($58005) ($72017) (77 0041 ($81053)$0 S866 21421 0 $0 348 f7 455 $186620
$5589 ($ 246) ($70618) ($759M) ($30326)$0 $1866 $2185 u $0 348 $7605 $1866 $5733 (152523) ($63288) ($75060) ($73660)21 ($4650) $1856 $2229 0 $0 348 $7757 ($2784) $10541 ($47712) ($67027) ($73494) ($78567)
$106062 $37631 0 $0 7 018 $130233 $143693 ($13454)
A-49
----
TABLE A-25 (Contd) rzzPTI2CNS 7PBLE EE ~~~TnD Calculated)
-cocc and Fir4anci= Araisis fc ErErgy InvestEerts - Ecypt EEA raI
capital CStE Perefit Parayeters terna Rate of Return -108
czuisiion ie o 0 $I2X yr 1I Tra-spcrtatior $0 2 Zs~t 2 lyear Dis WVof PV of BCConstructior tate
Benefits Costs NIV Ratiointercorrectior $0 Enry Savrgs 343 bblyear =
Fuel Use 0 bblyear C $130239 $143E03 ($13454) 091trp) CTP $10Z S 270 $138405 ($3375 076 4 S 548 $134260 ($47712) 064ConAstruct Time 1S CnTh5 5 $72307 130 76 ($55669) C55 8 s6319 $122 34G ($67027) 048CoeratrE and -crma Maintenarce Costs 0 ($73494) 042
OperatingCost $18- year 1 $49126 $125306 ($761711 03912 $45912 124479 3735-7 037Operatirg Lifetime 21 years 13 $43032 $123728 $8169L) 035 14 $40443 $12 043 $82601) 033Major Equipment RepairReplacemert I$IIE $38108 4419 ($84310) 031$3810
16 $35997 $121847 ($58M) 030Replace Cost ($4650)period 18 $323A2 $120841 ($88499) 027Relace Period 20 years 20 $Q9303 $119988 ($90685) 024
A-50
and Finaie rr_ fir Energ- ivestrents -- Eyt E2 1IMV5
TAPLE P-26
For Case cfFlD TEST 14 - HELWAANXT1LEIP (PRECTO p ZE$221SFT - P UZCF GIL $2VBE Assuraing Gii Escalation Rate of 20
Saved Val e of oita eraplusmn ir Ccst of Cil uee Lsed Fuel Energy 5ave Irr ca Zas F1ow Disconted Cash Flc (NPIV)E iYear- Cos C-st Bo (E 1) Cost Ecuiv En=Ergy Cost ZLrrert $ 4 8 0 12n
ura-z t 7 bull~r ti- $
rterco-retIcr $ITcta $20 0 $O 3 $1160 $111023 15S ) C$1C3853) (5103353) ($I0335 ($103 53)22 5 $2140 C $0 348 $703 $655 233 ($10Q8311 ($105017 (W05106) ($105Igl)S$ $EEG $2081 0 50 7 $537Z ($$33E41 24 1 183 (1040 (1 663 ($ 35)$EE863 $2-22 0 so 342
0 $733G 18E s527 (P9454) ($03 (56- ( 7)- $QLES( 033 so 343 $7S=34 S 2U- $G 568 ($3110) ()161) ($2645) ($93374)$S E 202C0 $0
7 348 $76E934 $1365 $5818 (S527) ($3730) ($83CK) ($90073V0 $1 s 5 f2252 0 0 343 5738 I6
- V5972 (80 377) (1413) ($5E ) ($37 047)_336 $2297 C $0 34S $75 s - shys- ~ (-1MO M r2~ ~ $ g0~ - J - 322$ ($84275)to S186b $2343 0 s0 343 $a10$ = (300 S186 5$233 (71 355 (7164) ($752 ($1735)to 34S 21313 t566 Z54582) (73 (17S846) 3$73409)r T-357)
0 415-3 $1$238 0 $0 343 $13484 $H6 18S (1 31) ($70 871) ($7424) ($77278)--ES $2437 C s0 348 $2654 S1855 $$73 (t 73$
41) ($70 1 (7) ($75 326)$1B3s $2536 0 s0 14
348 S227 $1865 $S761 ($53594) ($E519S) (5S367 (S73539) 5
t 61656 $2587 c s0 342 $004 Si856 $7133 1$4307) ($62571) i53201 (S1904)51 $125 $2539 0 $0 348 $ 184 M866 $7318 f45081) ($50080) (65703) (570406)i5 $ 861855 $232 0 $0 S13 $7 $5 $751 (34916) ($57715) (63S07) $559036)17 tO 51833 52746 tO 343 $55 51S66 $7539 ($5311 ($55471) ($32234) ($67732)is - s866 $2800 0 $0 34 5 74S S 865 $7880 ($-2766 f534I) ($50675) (3634)13 s0 $18665 $2856 0 $0 348 $S994 $1866 $8075 (28 73) ($513M) (M-3223 ($5 584)20 t0 $ass $n 14 0 so 348 $10 13 $1866 $5273 (424253) (342404) ($57870) ($6462A)21 ($465O $1865 52972 0 $0 348 $10342 (32784) 63126 (f18 863) ($46587) ($55919) (63263)
$10G062 $37631 0 s0 7018 S173 2 $143693 29959
A-51
gSv ONSTBLTABLE TALEASSUPTIOS A-26 (Contd) TT-r-TS TA-- alculated)
Econozc ar Firacia Araly-is for Energy Irvestrerts -- Egypt E_ I-
LaoitaI CoSts Benefit Parx-Eters Iterra Rate c-Return 216
Acquisition $110712 Price of 1 $2000 bb (yr 1)Trarspcrtatio $O Oil Escala 20year DiE Pcf PV of BIC
Corstrutior $0 Rate Benefits Costs NV Ratio iterconneztio $0 Enrgy Savrgs 348 bblyear _= -_--
Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 $173 G52 $143693 $2 M 121TOTAL Ca) $712 N $14c 360 $13405 $1955 101
4 $11Z338 $134260 ($18863) O8GConstruct Time 10 tronths 6 $96409 $130976 ($34567) 074
8 $81759 $12346 ($46587) 064Operatinz and Norrva Maintenance Costs 10 $70299 $126216 (S55919) 056 A-1 $6S502 125 30f Ui59 64) 05Operatin Cost $866 year
shy
2 $61216 $124479 ($63263) 049 Oerating Lifetime 21 years 13 $57376 $123723 ($65352) 046
14 $5-7924 $123043 ($9120) 044Major Equipment RepairReplacement 15 $50811 $12419 ($71608) 042
16 $47927 $121847 ($73 851) 039Replace Cost ($4G50)perioQ 18 $43123 $120841 ($77718) 036Replace Period 20 years 20 $39071 $119988 ($80 917) 033
A-52
conc34 an Firnancial Qralvss fcr Ener~y i-veEtvnts -- Eypt EE
TMtSLE 4-27
Fc0 2ase TfiEf - 1ZLN TEXTILEI (WZC PR P3rS22TEST 44 SETOR C7 a- $25IEDU Asi rLz Oil Escalation Rate of Z0
SavBr Vaue f1ta Ccost of Oi Fue Use Yuel[eraing Energy SZve- rnual Cas 71co ritv ed Cash Flow (NPV ) i = -- CostYear ost $1 (Bbl C-st L c r ny Cost C-rre~t 1 4 1r IN0
t1i3iticr tSU712
7rarns~ort $
Ccrtructcr It o $oerconnec
aS 71 S00 0 to 53 1450 1 023 (103 -73 5-3c$3573) ($109573) ($103-73)sgE t C 0 $0 348 S234 S7 CC7 3SZE 1C-084 (3103202) ($103316)$0 $as 2L0 $-r
0 s0 343 $ 51 $1ms5s n7515261) $9924) ($97264) (975M30 $0 348 Ic233 $786-H s364 (tc7E ($91723 (SW344)So286 027 $0 -48 $47 $I 17f51 5E so $ G s S27 EC 0
18 ($3552) ($37545)0 to 348 $q606 $1 86 $Z740 8257 t85 15 C 03 $76 -53 ($817E6) $83154)ss~ g $ 5 7 g2 ( 7 a $2215 $50 348 $9738 $6 $7 2 ($7058) 726 (377287) (79135)Sc S5 K6 372 0 $0 348 Sg934 S6 $2 $64322 ($70 1) 37311 3754599 $0 38 S A 52 s (923371 s1 S7237) ($72036)IC $r t85 12955 0 $0 343 $10377 865 $352 ($-22) (6751 (55615) ($59013)11 so 55 5 247 -0 s0 348 $C61 SlE6 $873S ($493) (t-7) ($-2246) ($55205$ $185 5$ $1510 SO 348 $087 $2811 (L4$54) ($53864) $53108) ($36321O 518) $317 0 $012 348 S1I034 $66 $9168 ($24858) (min22 3 56187) (S61279)14 s$ $S-76 52234 0 $0 348 $11254 $1866 $2382 1$2220) (34S771) (353468) ($59127)E $C $1685 $39 0 $0 -48 $114-9 $666 $3613 3U2668)($43498) ($50936) ($5-7160)so$ $866 $3365 0 so 348 S- 70 $86 13843 2$03)-($40395) ($48560) ($-m3S)
17 so 11862 $432 0 so 348 11-43 $1866 $10077 12 822) (37454 (34G387) (5 718)2 to T866 $350 0 $0 348 $12182 $866 $1016 ($7526) ($34666) ($44345) ($2216)V9$0 $1866 $257 0 $0 348 $12426 $156 $105EC ($2314) ($2023) ($42447) ($50842)2V $3 $1866 53642 0 s0 348 $12674 $1856 S0803 $2816 ($ 519) ($40673) ($49588)21 (54650) $1866 $3715 0 s0 346 $12926 ($2784) $15712 $9987 ($26148) ($33344) ($47M95)
$105062 $37631 0 s0 7018 $217065 S143693 $73372
A-53
PSSU Ns TABLE TABLE A-27 (Contd) FE-E=IT- 2ST3 TA2LE Cal d
Ecortomiz arnc a AIaEsis fc- Enery Irvestmerts - Egypt EE- iC1365
Capital Costs Perefit Parameters lnterral Rate c Return 491
Acquisitic $0712 Price of Oil Trarnsportat $C Oil Escalat Construction $0
Interconrectior $0 Enrny Savngs Fuel Use
TOTlL Cap $0 72
Construct Tiie 10 Moths
Operatinz and Norma Maintenance Cost5
Ooerating Cost $866 year Operating Lifetime 21years
Major Equipnent RepairReplacement
Replace Cost ($4650)period Replace Period 20 years
$2500 bbl ( r 20year
348 bblyear
0 bblyear
1)
A-54
Disc Rate -shy
0 -w
4 6
8 0
11 n
3
14 15
16 18 20
PV zPV EenefitS
$217CS5 $75450
$144247 $$0C $102193 $87374
$81877 $76E20
$71720
$S7405 $63514
19996 $53904 $4883
cf Costs
$143623 $132405
$134260 27
$128346 $2z218
$125306 $124472
$123728
$043 $122412
$121847 S120841 $119988
NPV
$733272 $37045
$2987 ($101465)
($26148) ($38344)
($43429)($47259)
($52008)
($55639) ($532905) ($61251) ($68938) ($71149)
BC Ratio
151 27
107 092
080 070
065 061
058
055 052
049 045 041
E ri- Fra Fa-s fc- Erergy -vetrerts - Egypt EA
TAKLE P-28
o- Case lfF- TEST 4 - HELWATEXTILEIPH (CELECTOR Assuming01l E-calatic Rate c 2C
PRCZ-22I _- 01vS
YeF-ita
Cost 0=erair
Cost st of 0j
IB Fuel Used
(bLI) Fuel Cost
Energy Eciv
Savee ErCr~y
rrua Lost
Eas FIcA Current $
Discountd Cash 4 8
Floh (NPV) 10
i 12
k cuisiicr r7-2 1 Transc-rt $ I Costrut or $3
cta $272 2 S COo
Se $ESE 120 so $ SSr
s3~ zs384cSO $0 $15 S47
6 $3 t135 $--- 2 7S882 53375 a $0 $258 $344E
5 S18 zI^ to $ -ES s3F
1$ ss sss~s S- $181H $3730 SO $1868 $3805
4 $ $35 E i V $8-8 $3258 E 50 $8EE $4038 17 $0 s B S4s SO $0 S8EE $4201
13 tS $18 $428 5 20 $0 $86 $4370 21 ($4650) $1868 $4458
$105 02 $37631
0
I
0
0
0
0 IC
0 0 0 o0 0 0
0 v
0
$0 Es $174
742 t-8c4c SO$0 343 $1
348 51107 $0 348 $11301 $0 348 $1527 SO 342 7m7 so 343 $13 $1 348 S2 32 $C 348 $12477
38V)2 $0 342 $ 345 t3240
$C 348 $ z -to 348 775 so 348 $1405 SO 348 $14 332 $0 343 $14CM $0 348 $14911
$0 348 $KS203 $0 348 $15513
$0 7018 $260478
A-55
III3-3C3
$E- Iass
$1866
$1856 S866 5 865 5185S $3s6
56 65
Sa36
518j$E $8 $866 $ 86 $155
$862 ($2784)
$143633
10I08 23
S7322 2 9
s $3435
$3661
$9S3 s u $03-
$511
$6 $11 $11374
187^ $ 3 $1822 $12 48
273 S13045
$13343 $18297
$118785
3
($1Th22-
(Pc8751
E3 -73
(ME223 (3) 5) ($
4 2231
337784
30447) ($23227) $V23)
3 1 (1 2M)
- IS6 $7t $24453
$30466 $L M3E
(1l123
cs 32443)$22
1
72 611
(SE8 322) () 4741 1154 372)
($4258)
3544E35) ($ 76 S (5325)
3071) ($28E3)
0751 (119 43s
E9 3 ($12725)
($3634) ($5708)
(s0--3) ($33864)5552 $83498
(745001 (S53917) ME-720)
($ES584
($54284)
(S530197) 3413 3542-S7h
(S30- ) (S3170) (332-) ($3 4 23M)
$25870)
($23433) ($20 705)
((e02203)
(S1014411 ($94270)
-855772 7S
(727v1 (37124) ($6S 64) (M62456)
(3E2301
($5133) (33 (02)
ME48-5 ($14314 S41688)
33854) (-7 ($101)
(345m21 (32655)
TABLE A-28 (Contd) S TpLE - Th-CCSTS TPAELE (Calclated)
Ezo ndard Firarla yss fzr Erergy Investrzents -- Egypt M 01I 185
Capita Ccsts BerEfit Paraeters lkterrz ate of Rturr 7351
A-uisit in Trarr~rtaticr Cortro
$117-12 t0
$0
P-ice o Cii Escala
$3000 Ibb (yr 20year
1) Disz ta
V of
Benefits PV of
Costs 1PV BC
Ratio -rnterconretion $( Errzy Savwes 348 bblyear -------
TCTAL (Cap $10 712 Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0
2 $26r-475 2l154C
$143623 $132405
euro16785 $72135
81 152
Corstruct Timne 10 msonth-4 6
173097 $144614
$24260 $131 976
$33836 $13633
12 110
Dperating an Normal Maintenarce Costs 8
0
$122633 $108449 $98253
$12346 $126218 $125 305
(35708) ($32769) ($27053)
096 084 078
Operating Cost
Operating Lifetime $865 year
21 years 1 13
$9824 $5064
$12479 $123728
332E5 ($37664)
074 070
Major Equipment RepaiReplacemeet 14 15
$80985 $7217
$123043 S122419
(42158) ($46202)
065 062
Replace Cost Replace Period
($4650)period
20 years
1 S 20
$719T $64655 $58607
$121847 $120841
$119988
($49852) (356157) (361381)
059 054
049
A-56
Taiaccno arc navsl- fCr erv InVES Et S_ 5E
TWILE A-29
For Case of --T TEST - uMwANTEXTIlEIPP 1Crv=TO PR2E -rR- a PAssuz 0 Escalation Rate of 20
Save Value f Ozeratir iliFuel Usedaoita Cost cf Fuel Energy Saej Annual ash 73w Dis-unted Cash Flow ( ) i = Cst st $1bl (btI) cost Ecuiv Enerzy zt --rrert 4
- Trarsoco-t SC)
I rsterucrneztion 50
I Tc- Z $3500 0 $203 (T01132 (50-932(9933-3) ($IC-9931(12S933S S46SE 170 0 $C 34 $2 424 s1856 $_ssS99217 ($32841) ( 39E (M567)5 52-25 $3541 0 $0 348 52572 $1855 1 bull 23 (58953 ($0457 ($g032)
5-5E0 53714 -7 0 So 10 731)0 g 48 174 ) $ 15 (S33 030)343 $12 S6G 4 7 O t1 Es SBs $3729 0 $1 348 $1284 $865 $318 363344) ($72254) (374425) (37637
S S1E $In3964 0 $0 7
348 $13448 1866 V1152 (IZ3825) M4972) ($67234) (315)53942 0 $V 348 $13717 $1866 (550459 ($54544)5Y1-1 (1-7504) ($6332)
$0 855 $$4020 0 t0 348 t13991 18665 shy12 - ($424V (s 422) ($54322 (tS72273 s aE- $41 0 $0 348 $14271 t856 $19405 S2J81 43728) ($4535) ($2817)10 $0 $1855 $4123 C s0
11 348 $14556 T556 $126 0 ($23265) ($37379 3$433 $4Z2 4
5 $425 $0 348l $0 S 1856 $4352 0 SO 348
0 s0 $14847 $1862 $31 (514495) ($313E5) ($32149) (5440511 $15144 $1866 12272 f(15870) (S25672) (1334 ) ( 244)13 855 $0 $54439 0 348 t5447 t855 $1253 $213 M278) ($2967) (33758)
14 $0 $SE5 $4S23 0 $0 34s 1135-0 955$1Z75C 518s $11C (t15171) ($255144) (533 -5)15 $0 $1855 $4513 0 $0 348 14 (110325)16 to f86 1471
$1071 S856 5131I8 353 (2434 (3066Z 0 $0 348 $1633 11365 S14527 $27224 (5575) ($1725) ($29014)7 $0 t1855 $4805 0 $0 348 $16721 351551865 $14855 (3419) (514693) ($25591)is $0 $1866 $4C1 0
9 $0 348 $17055 $ISG5 15 183 $42353 $2626 ($16 (122791
$0 1855 4999 0 so 348 S173 1B6 515530 550518 $6572 ($894) (521359)2 $0 $1866 1509 0 s0 348 $17744 $1866 t 5878 $58155 $102551 ($6298) ($19516)21 ($4550) $186 $5201 0 $0 348 $18099 (32784) $2883 $67686 $14732 ($3 194) ($17351)
$106052 $37531 0 $0 7018 $303831 $143693 $16018
A-57
TABLE A-29 (Contd) ate
Ecoci ar Pirarzia Evsi fcr ErEr t Eypt EA
3ta CGst= Denefit ParamLeters Interra ate cnf Returt 961
ccisition $I10712 Price of Cil S3502 1b (yr 1) SC
ats rttion $0 Oil Eszalat poundC)year rli P cf FV of Rate Saroaf s Coets N Ratio
Corstruct ion so irtErzonneticn $0 Errgy Savrgs 345 bblyear shy
0 $2^3 89 S143693 $16098 211uLai Use C ttVear 2 $24C30 t 145 507 -2-25 177
TDT CaP) $1SC712 4 $20945 $1342K0 $67686 150 S $-53716 $30975 37740 139
Construct Time 10 rorths 8 $143078 $128346 $14732 111
10 S12024 ($3124) 097 Doerating and Norma Mairtenane Costs 1 1468 $ 3C6 ($10678) 091
-- - ----- 1 $114628 S 3CS09
Operatir Cost $1856 year $1107128 $124479 (17351) 086
13 $13J408 $12723 ($230) 081 Operating Lifetime 21 years
14 $94366 $23043 ($28677) 077
5 $23920 $122419 ($33499) 073 Major Equipeent RepairRepla-ement
15 $23934 $121847 ($37853) 069 3 $75465 $120841 ($45376) 062
Replace Cost ($4650)period 20 $SE375 $112938 ($51614) 057
Replace Period 20 years A-58
Ec- ic and Frana Ara~y- f- Erry Irve=tert5 - Evpt -EEA
TAKE A-30
c Ca__ cf-l_ TrST 4 - HLW TEXTLEiP (Z2LETaP $2S FT shy E OF0i $40B) 9ssuMir Oil Escalation Rate f 20
save alue of-azita eratirg Cost c Oil Fu Ue Fuel Erry --ave Annual Cas DiscountedYEar 0 gas Flow (PV) i =st II) Cost Ezv Energy Cost Curre t $ 4 8 IC0
1 Pcq-isit - l1 02 Transzrt $0
$31 $4000 0 $C 52 0 S
21n232232 757-3) 07 3 f C 27 3 0703 f0373)sc sz-s $4080 a S4105 1 855 8 V7134 ($774532) M751Ss 542S I- 0 Sbullcss ~ S42-4f 0 345 4 82cs $14 7172 1-G1- 1SZ3 18$14772 9 7 W- 02)ssamp $12 7 M( 465) 27 ($87134-I (2377 ($762 577365 ($7344$73-2
32 0 $ $3 057
) fD 3$7-42)
$4_ $BSE 12i Z (57-253 1 SSS325--)(570 O0E) ($791C SSS6 $4505 E 33 S)0 V 345 $15676 $1566 $13Bic1556 6261$0 $5 25S 4 47 (2172) M35400)345 $sfsC $8s6 $4687 0 348
8 2 $27-T 42 (449241 ( 33511)T1309 $866 S 14443$2 2- 522) ( 186) ($43 1771 $0 8SG S4780 0 374S S2636V BEE866 $4876 S0
smsG V14770 ($374E 12EM)3 f$3 293 ($37K 50 3452 f3s8 $1266 13--ZC Il- S5$7 05 $$0S 32 4 7 2193) ($3850)$0 $1566 $4372 0 $-
S 07 -- (2 5B2 273)SC 343 $7302 T1866S0 $1866 $156$3073 $0 $1442 42427 SI (1-2ESP n$2533)0 $0 348 S17954 V866 - $7 4
117amp2 1248 ($S305) (51S-7 ($24497)t $58s6 $2173 0 SO 349 $293G7 $8S6 $121 $34 S229 ($53 ($2072
$0 sB- $233716 0 so 348 18734 $ 56 $SHS28 $ 93 $11 17 51 (t235 (13434 )$02 $556 $G349 0 50s 348 $1910 ISsG $17243 152 144 $16523 S1154 (M527)$0 s856 $56011E 0 $0 348 $9491 $862 $17E23 $6312 213529SID $18E6 $5713 $464 (S8950)0 so 345 $9881 S1 $18015 $77035 $2570 $578W- ($5617)s0 VO15865 $5827 0 $0 348 520279 $1866 $1541321 ($4650) $1866
$53852 $30136 $10892 ($4460)$5944 0 $0 348 $20684 ($2784) $23468 $9235 $3171 $14381 ($2047)
S10606 $37631 0 $0 7018 $347304 $143693 $203611
A-59
TABLE A-30 (Contd)
7Ec-acy ar ka lysis fc7nergy Irvestre-ts - Egypt M I
caita Costs EerEf araetErs RatetEtrr tr 72
PAcuisit ioon $ Price cf Di1 Transortaior SOi1 Es-aat
ortrzt io $0
irteronnectior U0 Enrgy Savs - Fuel Use TDTPL (Ca 51
Construct Time 0 -onths
Ozeating and Norral ainterance Costs
- ----Operating Cost $C66 year
Coerating Lifetime 2 year_
ma=jor Equipmet RepairPElacement
Replace Cost $4650)period Replace Period 20 years
$400k bl (yr -shy year
348 bblyear r bblyear
I)
DIK Rate
0 2
4 4
Epound 10
11 2 12
14 Cal
e s 13 MA
PV of Perfits
$347204 28eC 72f)
2307 c2-817
$153=17 $140 522
$131004 122432 $114751
$07847$101622
$3-993 58646 $78143
1W of Costs
143653 $2C-21 a 40 $4235
$134 260 $ 35 $30276 $E842
$229345 35171 $25218 $143912I1
$125306 $5692 $12473 $123728 $3976)
$1234 $51T6)3088 $122419 (20 796)
$121847 ($25 854 5120 841 (334S5) $119988 ($41846)
PC Ratio
242 2003
172 -47
127
105
323
83
C7 071 065
A-60
orc-ic nFiarcial Aav=s shyr rerr Investrents -- ypt EE
----------
Por Case ofFIE MS 14 - HFLu r Ss~zlnz C Fszalatior Rate cf 20
pRZ3 $2I T iE
Zzplta 2eratir Ccst of 11 FLel Used Yea ccist cst $B (kt
Pcu isit icn107335 Tra-ort $0
Ccstr-t icr I irternect io $0 1 ftctal f 099Z $2K IS C$10 0
$ 6z I$-z 3 $50 5162=0 $56 0
4 S s T5 05 So S= $6L-24 0 E SO S $155E 0 7 $0 $112CI U689 0 C to S680 $1723 0
SO cEo $17 0 S $1793 oIi $ t S1568c28 0
$0 C6S0 $1865 013 $0 $1E8 $1902 0 14 $0 t6Vo $940 015 t0 680 $1979 0 16 $0 1680 $20-19 0 17 $0 iamp80 $2059 0 18 $0 C1680 $2100 0 19 $0 $16580 $2142 0 20 $0 $1680 $2185 0 a1 ($453) $1680 $2229 0
Fue C-5l
S5 ts 23
so $0 $0 $0
so
St)$0 $0 $0
to $0 $0 $c to $0
$0 so
Saved nre-y
E-uii
348 348
348 348 345 343
348 341
-7n
342 348
342 348 348 348 348 248 34C 348
Vaue c Saved
Enerry
t-371 s4
$5421
S- 540 $5 50 $5763 $5279 Sf I9 S
t$- Z5$5353
$5450 $E620
S753 -888
$7025 $7 165 $730 $7455
$7605 $7757
rnnual Zash Flcw Cost Crrert $
1o2 275 1-o07405 $168^ $3E44 $6) 275
t1650 m1 i680 $2970 680 $403
$I680 $ 23 680 S4 31F
680 $4436
amp2553680 $4E33
(1850 $421C f1 680 t 0
$16s0 73 $1680 55202-s1680 $5345 $6 s5456 $16 u $5623
S680$5775 $1680 $5325
$2856) S10612
Diccirted Cas 4 8
5)$C~ S17 4^5) ) 3
152=r
f537 002) W17 751 5332) (9S4633)
($30 V-($ r7) C2SS934) ($83403) ($3 54) 1$5
0412) ($84493)
3 $ o(S74 04N) ($30043) (S7 92 1 (ST79a3)
-$72_) ($75018)
(V783) (374153) 17 K ) (72 (52 814) (37065) 3$55885 ($69094] 55995 (567572) (55144) ($68 127) ($47332) ($I4754) ($424A8) (362477)
io (n 2 i = 10 12
(s-7405 (S27405 104 0435051
(s($10 z 1 M-33~09 m) (VI3 414)
33513 3 M 891 (M28451 (15574) $90475 ( 446
3)520 ($9494) (585 1911 t$377 ^2T
(4(22 452) ($8415 ) C3 766) (22ES)($79192) ($aO0 S 723) ($80737) ($76351 37972) ($ 072) (373 1) ($73872) 1177M00) 372764) ($76930) (371 725) (76T2209 ($70 756) ($7541) ($69179) ($74441)
$103459 $33880 0 s0 7018 $130239 S137 339 ($7100)
A-61
TABLE A-31 (Contd)
Econozic and Financia ay for Energy Investmets -- Egypt E
Capi costs BerefIt Pararsters Internal Rate of Return -057
Acquisition $17735 Price 2i Transortatior $0 0Ci sa-t
Corstruction $0 Interconnection Er y Savrs
- ---- Fuel UsE
TOTk (Cap) $I07 Q
Construct TivE 10 months
Operating and Normal Maintenarce Costs
Operatir Cost $1680 year Operating Lifetime 2 years
Major Euipment Repaireplacement
Replace Cost ($4536)period Replace Period 20 years
i bb (yr 2year
348 lyear
0 bblyea
1) risc P Cf Rats BenEfits
0 $ 032
$105270 4 $BW548 6 $72307 9 $51 3
0 $52725 1 $49 126
SE$4512 13 $43032
14 $40443 1 $3108 16 $3997 18 $342 2C0 $23303
PV of Costs
137339
$132 Ek3 2037
$126130 $1373
$121904 $121 $120353 $113633
$113 072 $118514
$117102 $116338
NPV
($7100)
($27423) ($42483) ($5 823) (524T7)
($63179) ($71964) ($74441) ($76651)
($78629) ($80405) 388-0($22005) ($84760) ($87034)
BC Ratio =z=
5
073 067 C57 050
043 041 038 036
034 032 031 028 025
A-62
Econo ard r-ia nalysis fc- Enery rvastmerts -- Et EEA IO
TPPLE A-32
For Case cfF_E TET 4 - HaJ-W TEXTIEIPP ( _=EOCC70R pCE -C PRICz OF QUM Pssumir 3il Escalation Rate of 20
Cata DOerati Cost of Cil Fuel UsEd Fuel SavE Errgy
Value Cf Save- Anrual Cash -Ic Dir-counted Cash 1ow (kV) B i
Year Czet (E) Cc-t Eciv Energy Cost Lrrert 8 10
1 -cusjtic-$107 1 TransDcrt t3 SCorstrLtO $0 I rerccrrect o 0
2 3 4
5s 6 7
9
10
12 13 14 15 1-
17
19
20 21
Tota $97 5 2
$630 S0 $1680
$0 $ $0 $680 $0 $6S0
0to SEscl $0 $ SK $ 168C
168 V71650
S0 S1630 $0 S 680 $0 1180 0 $1680
$10 1$1 S0 so10 11680 0 $650
$0 t680 (14536) $1680
$20
$2040 $2s3o
$21 22 $I55 $20a $SL V12 $2 97 52 43 S220 V1-42
$2487 $2536 $2587 V6 30 V2692 $274 $20 12 56 $2 14
12972
0
0 C 0 0
C 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0
0
$0
$0 10
s0 $0 s0 s0 $0 s0 s0
S0 $0 s0
s0 $0 t0
3 t0
s0
s0
$0
5N
348 342
343 34
342 348
348 345
348 348 348 348 348 348 348 34 348 348 348
348
S160
S7 033 S7241
t7386 $7534 t7684 $7238 $7225 $85 1$318
13484
U8SE4 S3827
$9004 $3184 $3367 1955 19746 $9941
$10139
$10342
103275
11680 $680
$G60 $5150 1680 S1680
1$680 4$1680
$1680
S1680 $1680 $1680 $680 $1680 $180 $1680 $1168 S1680
($2856)
(-c ($10751s- C71)5
tE4 C 3o4 (102097) 6=SE3 ($3721)
5-7 15970) M$2800 5954 1$5poundpound5 $8497) $004 ($3721) ($8441) $ 158 (176H-4) ($3V530) t16 ($72C25) $7645 sz475 (157-254) 373347)
1r3 I E21) 27t=E(- ($70Q ) S1616804 ($Ez0941 (55875) $S974 2534) ($E3884) $7147 ($ oo)10 (5046) 17324 344702) 352353) $754 (S4C 3)9 ($55798) $7637 ($33100) (533755) S7 M (13189-) (151076) 1205 1127755) (48897 8261 (123 77 (46 29)
$2459 ($9662) ($44829)
$13193 ($1363 ($42038)
($107-5]
$0218a) (397592)
($8307)
(SK579) (322103)
($78S52) ( 7842) 373027) ($70403) (57952) (562) (16251) (115) (S59744) (Z803 (156 435) ($54943)
(353566)
($51604)
(101] $12276) 197843) M2305)(52372 ($00622
(SB654) SK 535) 3$80678) ($72 C3)
($7E 69 ($73473) (371474) (169253) (7961 (16642E) (165021) ($63737) ($625 2) ($61488) ($F0505)
($59137)
U-459 $33880 0 $0 7018 $173652 $137339 $36313
A-63
---------- -------
TABLE A-32 (Contd)TBLE (Calulated)
E-oroizic and Finania Anaaysis for Eergy investments -Egypt EA C
Cacital Costs Benefit Parameters Irterra Rate cREturn 26S
Pcouisitic $7993 Price cf Oi $2C (yr 1)Transortatio $0 Oil Esaa year li-c P of CConstruction $0 Rate BenfEtz Costs wV RatioIterconnection $0 Enry Savns 34E bbyear
UEl use C bblyear 0 73SS52 $137 3 $C313 126TDTAL Ca 7 $140320 $122593 $7657 106 4 IIZ398Constrct TicE I0 morths $122037 ($339) 089 5 $96409 $12- 130 ($23 721) 076 8 $3179 $12205 ($42038) 066Operatirc and Normal rairtenance Costs 10 $70293 $121904 ($5l 604) 58 1X $ampZ502 S12 M ($55 589) 054Operatirg Cost $1680 year 12 $61215 $12 0353 ($59 137) 051Operating Lifetime 21 years 13 $57376 $119633 ($52307) 043
14 $52924 $9072 (55148) 045Major Zqjioinert RepairReplacement 15 $50 1I1 $113514 ($67702) 043 16 A7-97 S1420002 ($70006) 041Replace Cost ($453S)period 18 $43123 $117102 ($73979) 037Replace Period 20 years 20 $39071 $116338 ($77266) 034
A-64
E~ocon2 -- rr Ar ys s fcr Ererzy Irvssttets -- 7rypt EE
TZE A-33
F Case TES 14 - W (0 ETD PE- $2T - PI-- O- DIS $25P)I Assuminz 0 Escalation Rate cf 20
azita Ceratir Ccst cf Oil Fuel Used Fuel SaveeErergy Value -f
save nual Cash Flow DEounted Casi Flow (NPV) 0 i = YS-ar st Cost $bbl (Bbi) Cost Ecuiv crerpy Cost Currert $ 4 8 011 2
rar-zor
Cnst~t I 2tsrzr-ezti- $1
E
12$
14 if
iG
17
18
19
20
21
a S230
s$1 S60
$$ $1169 o$0 $80
$3 S 90 i $i 6c 7 v68n
$0 t68c
so S680 S t 1680
$$ $Sao
$680 $0 $1680
$ $1680 $0 $I63
0 $1-680 $ $1620 $0 $1620 $ $680
$0 $1680 ($4536) $180
S25co
$2550 $ 2553
127 06 127V
a
V-1 72
$2323 t2962
$3047
$31C8 $3171
$3234 $3293
53365
$3432
$3501
$2571
$3842 $3715
0
o
c) 0
0 0
0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0
0 0
0
0 0
$0
$0 so so
t0
SO $0
$0
0 $0
$0
$0 $0
$0 so
$0
$0 $0
so $0 $0
348
347 345
348
342
342
348
34 348 343
348 348
348 343
348
348
348
348
348
348
S151450
$2874
323
$9417
$260E
t9735
53334
t 3 $13337
$1 605
$10817 $11034
$14 $47-
$11703
$ 43 $12122
$12426
$12674
$12328
S1032T
S0
6s0
$1680
$1680
t1680
t-1680
t16
$5
1680 S63 s1650 t1 580
$680
$w $60
$160
$1680 ($2856)
(t10E22f
$7134
$7553
$7737
$306
1218
12314
13 180$3717
$232
$3137 $ 3S4
$3-74 $373K
$10023
1510-22
$103503
$10746
$10-34 $1E784
(105z825) ($106225)
$3 T03154
($33032) ($93644 ($55375) ($W784) ($73764) ($22162)
($73250) ($73-76a
(56235) (71amp2) ($ 17) ($620)
($S4 29 J ($62 202 (43 7) ($5781)
($42 142) ($53737)
($3207) ($43 781 (3c354) ($4073)
($2464) $42 ($1255) 3332 1 ($3387) ($36055) ($7907) ($33 053) ($251 ($30221) $2723 $27532)
$8007 ($34984) $15211 ($21532)
310S225) (S106825) ($10028E I100 402) ($34133) $3425) ($25) ($83150) ($2 234) ($84232)
(37S313 $73725
($73731 ) ($3756231 ($53 45 (371852)
(5 431 ( ($E75 5 0)
($SEB5I) ($5406)
( (7578T 172 (157373)
(53($439 ($55185) ($41818) 379$5 ($44417) ISS347) ($421 84) ($49673) ($4010S) ($$143) $3-173) (-$746)
($36i 3M) ($45403) ($34023) ($43833)
$103453 $33880 0 $0 7018 $217065 $137333 $79726
A-65
TABLE A-33 (Contd)
Ec rC z ant Firn Anaiys- fc- Ererzy Investrerts - Egypt En MlIS
Czzota ss Benefit Parameters terra Rate cf eturn C40
flcquistici deg $17K= Transporatic $0
Sonstructior $0
Irterco rnectior $0
T3TAL Cap2 $107275
Lorstruzt Time 0th
Prce of 0i
C Escalat
rrgy Savngs
F-el Use
$2500 I (yr 20year
343 bbllvear
0 btlyear
11 -i- PV cf
Rat - enefits
0 $217
2 $17- 4-4 $144247
PV of
Costs
12339 $SOV-93 $129037 $2E30
11PV
$7726 $475-7 $15211(I5sES
BC
Ratio
158 132 112 096
Cperating and Nor a
Ocerating Cost
Operating Lifetime
Maintenace Costs
SEC year
21 years
L2r f 0 3
OX $37874
11 $81877 12 76520
I3 $7172014 $67405
$92273
$121904
$121 091 1353
$119632$119072
($21 53)
($34029
($23214)
($432833) ($47953)($516S7)
083
072 068 064 060 057
10ajcr Ecuipment Re~a rlRepaeet
Replace Cost ($4535)Ipericd
Replace Period 20 years
IS
18
20
$614
$53936
$53904
$48839
$11 514
$113002
$117102
$116338
($5000)
($52007)
($63198)
($67498)
054
051
046
042
A-66
Ecorcmic an Fnanria AralvsiE r Eer-y rveStMe-ts -- EZy EE C1I
TABLP-34
-r Case -fL TEST 4 - LEW TEX7Lfl LE $202-T - PR D-L $30BBL) Assir Oi Escalatior Rate of 20
Yea a-ta
Cost eratrCEt of Oi cost $pbl
el Used
(MI Fel
ost
zave Erergy
Ecuzv
VaLe cf s-ve
Energy P -a
Cest
Cash
Currert euro Dscounted Cash 4 8
1ow UNV)
10
9 i
12
1 ccuisCiticr 7 T7rarsort bull Co-tr t~ $
2
4
5
7 8
10
2
13
14
15
16
17 18 19
21
ITz~ta $C73 $22 ES
so 10 o sSo o $iE80 n $ 680 $0 U680
$0 $160 5 s62-
$0 680 f l
50 $Ss so $ss
$0 $6Ev
s $68 so $180
S0 siW8 to $1680 V) $65
$0 $1680 ($4536) $1680
$--D00
S32 $334
$32 7 C312
$3378
$2446 $5
3s85 357
$2730 $3355
$388
$353
$423
s412 $42CI
$42895
$417C
$4458
l c
0 0 0 0 0
0 0
0
0
0
0
0
0 0
0
0
0
so so o$0
so so $0
$0 so so
to $0
$0
$0
$0
so so
so s0
$0
$0
$0
53 348 246 348
343 343
348
348 348
348 348
348
348
348
348
348
348 348
348
348
348
S1 70 s I 49 $1 3F2 072
$11301 $527
$1177
$11992 $122532
S2477 $2$2726
$12231
Z2240 $2505
$12775
$14051
$4 322 $1463
$14911
$15203
$15513
S10227S 15 Si680 $29E
$1580 $312 $amp80 ] $630 $S2 $1680 $36 7 $168) $C077 $680 $C312 $68 $05
E0 S07377 680 $11046
$680 $1130 $680 11 5w S680
t 630 $12035 S60 o S1237-
S11530 s1T652 $660 $12 923 $ i0 $13231
$68 $13523
82856)$18259
310S 525) ($37S5
(s8nL) 172843) ($64749)
3$5S785-
($42942) ($41233)
f$2-53) ($21O)
($18650)
($ 9)
32($4527)
$24S8
$327
$103 22724
$255
$35677
$44060
165f25)1 SZ
(0 -59) ($32837)
($7582)
1$9 -5) (S2774)
5S75f ($510)
3$45551 (340533)
($25692)
($3101)
($26753)
3-631
13725)
(K5M504Z) ($11545)
($2234)
($5093)
($1158)
(S10S 5 (356332)
($3733 ($3732 ($7716)
($71047)
($U35 (0067) ($5M144)
(S55 (4S306)
($42345)
1538662)
($L237
(632C51)
($23020)
($2227) ($23777)
($2 337)
($13185)
(16454)
1 cc-T25) ($3327)
($91207) (184517)
(73403)
($72816)
($6771)
163046 ($53784)
(G54831) (35334) (08025
s$ 8
($42423
( 3
($37673)
($35J60) ($23725)
($32004)
($30433)
($28S19)
$103455 $33d8O 0 $0 7018 $60 478 $1373n $123135
A-67
TABLE A-34 (Contd) 2Lk T-CTETPL Calc~1ated)FL_TI0~PBL
o~ar Fariai naiysi- f-Erergy l=VEsrEtS - Ecyt EE i
trr Rat-- c REturn 787Benefit araetersazital S-sts
t -ri-e of CiD $3000 bbl (yr 1)$10995n PV of BIC
Trarspoto $0 Oil Eszaat 20Iear ri VV C Rate Eerefits Ccsts IPV Ratio
Corstruct ior $r == shyErray Savr s 348 bblyear
intetor rztior $0 Fue -e 0 bblyear 0 $26C478 $137339 1123133 190
2 105 40 S-32693 $77847 1 9 TOTPL (Cap S10799n
4 $173037 $1903-7 $44060 134
6 $144614 $126130 $183483 115 Construct TiME mcTth-s
$1228 $12379E W158 09
t 129N 087tI0O449 ($16454)woerating and Norma Mainterarce C0ts
11 $98253 $121031 ($r233) 081
2 $91824 $120353 ($22 Z29) 076 Operatirc Cost $1680 year
13 $8K064 $19683 ($33619) 072 O eratir 21 yearsLifetie_
14 $80885 $119072 ($33186) 068
5 $7E217 $18514 ($42237) 064 Major Equipment RerairReplacement
$71995 $11802 ($4007) 061
18 $64685 $117102 ($52417) C5shy_16
Replace Cost ($4536)period 2N $58607 $11S338 ($57731) 050
Replace Period 20 years
A-68
Eccnoc and inarzia ryss fc- -re-y rvEstre-ts - E yot EE
TAEE F-35
Fcr Case ofrZ- 5TEST 4 - HELAN TEXT-IPX Mu Assuin_-0 Escalation Rate cf 20
CTOR PRICE $20SQc- -Cc GI j3mBu
Yea
r
s s-t
--t
aoita ost
7
t
eratirn Lst
Cost of IE
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Feel Used
(Ebl) Fue
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zavEd Erery EcLIv
Value of SEvE
Ern-rzy Annual
Cost Cash Flow Lrrert S
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Cash F~A
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so$0
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$630
$ 3 $ampV
$168 51680 $9
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$33880
$M570 $3
$3714 $373
$335
$3942
$4020 $401
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15099 55201
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$1399 $14271
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$1r756 $16071$[ 3
$16721 $17055 17395
$17744 $180 3
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A-69
245 1E8O $68
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s60 V-680
) 60
$11680 1G0
$-680 $680 $180
$1680 (2 5)
$137 3
$10744 $10992
24S Er
$1762
$12037
23 $1680$259 $1287S $13167
3464 $2757
$S076
$14391$114723
$15041 1575 $1576
$16064 120955
1165552
--915) M--72
(1h7) 5 211 Z229
($47334 7H)
(S3733-1 (23353 ($1q134 $02393
($1432) $7105
s5E
$23871S220n40
40 07 $4-964 55572 $Q346 $72910
0245 (S10524S ($105245) 1 237) $-3473) 39S53) 36S273) 387334) (373N 77S4 ($7-4)- (S792S)
(IC3S437037) 372374) ($40) (I781 ($597)
(-68 ) 15936) (M9 799 S473 (t4 7) (54230)
342I1 S$4795) ($43 4-) 34S9 $-9334 11445
(3273701 (S34 2353) (340262) (1253 1212n3s391 ($IE129 T251S) 12858) ($1076 ($2107D) (n632) ($3C53) (S-723-3)($26687)
3$4 (137631 ($23m9)
$2975 $1489) (2546) $7130 (37448) ($1230G)
$I063 (4521) ($172--3) $14786 (31994) (11 397) $19231 S120 (113 25)
TABLE A-35 (Contd)ASSPTIONS TAPBLE ME-F-COST TULE (CalcJaled)
E~ooi a Finacial Asi for Energy Investrents - Eypt EE
raitaSs Penefit raees Iter-E Rate of Returr 1014
Pcnuistio $SI7 Price of CiE h (yr 1)7-arrtatior $0 Oil Ezalat 2 year Dis PY cf V of FCrstrcticr $
Rate Enrefits Cc-zts NPDV Ratiotercnnecticr $0 Ergr~y Savrs 343 ttlyear - -ue Use 0 -bllyEar 0 $302231 $1373393 T2T
2 -(7925$2fZ $333 121 37 185 cnstrnxt Tiia 10 Lerths
46 2C34 $23C37 $72 10 57 6 $163716 $1L $4256 34 ee t1437S $372E $0281 116pe-atinz arsd NorLal nainternare Costs 0 $23022 $2504 S120 01
Operating Cost C680 year 10 $107129 $1E3 353 (S2 00 83 13 S100403 $29693 319275)
woeratino Lifetime 21 years 084
a- Ec RErairReplacemerit 4 $0426E $113072 ($24705)ipet 073883-) $514 $ 94)15 S - $-31 (2 07
-$---I16 eplace Cost (4536)Iperiof $3934 $18002 ($34008) 071 -e---
Repace Period 20 years 12 $75465 $117102 ($41637) 064 20 $66375 $116338 ($47963) 059
A-70
-Ecui adFin-ncla Aralys fcr re-rr-t - Ect Efl S
T-PLE -36
- Case cf-l 75- 14 - ZLWAN TxTLE11P (CLETOR F1 -e-1 - C_ OF L $40PL) Pfssu-ir 0i Ezsaatio- Rate cf 20
saves a cfaita _2erat Cost cz C Fue Used Ftel -rery Eaez ra1 ash oi DiEccurted Cash Fioi (PV) i =Yerpoundzsl (Bb1) Ccst Eciv E-er=- Cst poundjrrent 4 0 l
1 Trar-ort $L or Sc
ac-r r-
Thplusmnt$ $2 $4000 0 $0 53 32220 $ OZ 275 115V S ) $L) 5 $52$ $S $4080 0 $0 342 S4133 5160 bull ( s ($34 34 $4 5251eS oS ($845575 337$S $230 S4162 C $0 348 l144S2 $680 S222 tS2 08B21 (t 383) c(sa84) 354572)4 $ -- 45 0 $0 348 $14 72 80 $13-2 37)443) VT2F35) ($74 M)8 (37221- $ 6 54230 6
c SO 34 $ 07 $1650 513337 (52 333) 5 (s650141 ($56745)41 S6pound0 $4pound 0 $0 343 t5369 s0 $1268 ($47748) S2833) ME514) 3522 3787 S $45C I so 348 s Sw W=10131S13336 $67613SEBT($54614) ($587)scl S621 s~lsK 0o 348 sIz230 $680 $1IL3 I j 2 (-6631 (34171 5447 $ i620 $S437 0 so 348 C2 1 S 42 (f23 ($27 (4)ic $1 11 $4780 0 s0 343 $63 $1680 $1435 (54E 7) (S5284) (252 $3411 $0 960 $4276 0 $0 248 s-03 $1680 $Z222 571 ($1420) ($13 ( 0
1 $ $6al $4373 0 $0 348 $7305 T6O S15628 8(75W (S1S7M ($24 537)$O ^$ 73 0 SO 348 $17654 t1680 $1f3 5 25842 fss (S 641)- 2059714 C05630 IS174 0 $0 348 $12 007 t680 $l6327 53=-048 $4847 ($(S2 $16955)15 sso 15278 0 s0 348 $18367 ~ 6amp s-6637 S45 284 $10E54 (52518) ($3441)15 so Eao $2387 0 so 348 $18734 31680 $17054 $54754 $15$564 31032--17 160 $5497 0 so 348 s1100 T1680 t7423 $4053 $ 20921 15358 ($7482)18 $0 sso 567 0 so 348 $13431 t1680 $1781 5 73203 $2s5 5$8871 ($4888713 $0 $Sao $5773 0 $0 348 $13881 $1680 $18 201 $2188 2r313 S C2 252120 t0 680 $5227 0 $0 348 $20279 $1650 $I63 521016 $3467 $1$196 ($3361)21 $s $1680 $5944 0 $0 348 $20684 $2 856) $22540 $101753 $3 72115 185 $2079
$103458 $33680 0 $0 7018 $347304 S1370 $ 05965
A-71
TABLE A-36 (Contd) S TIO TfPBLE EEN-TT-CCSTS TP- -uatedCa1c
Eccncmic and Financial Pavsis fc- Energy irvestcents -- Eypt EEA 96
aita Costs -eefitParaeters nterna Rate of etur- 1229
fcouisition 0799 Price c Oil $40 bbl (yr 1)Transp rtatir $0 Oil Esalat 20year Disc PV of PV of BZCorst-utie $0 Rate Berfits Costs Ratio
irterconntior $0 Enry Savrs 348 bblyear Fue USE 0 bbllyear N $347304 $33 1 2TOTL -Cap -107 995 S22D720 $132 5S3 $148127 212
4 $2307S6 $2 037 $10 175 -79Construct Time 19 months 6 $92818 $126130 628 53 8 $1amp3517 $123796 3721 132Operating and Normal Mainterance Costs 10 $14C52 $1219(4 $1363 115
11 $3004 $121091 $9913Operating Cost $1650 year 108
12 $1 432 $12C353 $20 102Operating Lifetime 21 years 1 $114751 S83 ($4 31 09z $11
14- $107847 $119072 ($11225) 091Major Equipment RepairRelacemert 5 $1C1622 $110514 (c6291) 086 16 $95993 $118002 ($220C09) 081
Replace Cost ($4536)period 8 $8624E T17102 ($30 S56 074Replace Period 20 years 2 $78143 $115338 ($32195) 067
A-72
APPENDIX B
Preliminary Cost Estimates
Three (3) systems are considered appropriate for cost analysis Cost estimates are preliminary for use in the Application ReviewConceptual
Design portion of this project
A Waste Heat Recovery System
B Solar Thermal Collection System
Current $US (mid-1986) are applied then escalated to mid-1987 theexpected construction period at 10 percent
For cost assessment purposes all material and supervision will beconsidered imported Egyptto Labor costs will reflect some Egyptianrate influence although certain installation procedures will requireexperienced labor not currently available in Egypt
The average annual wage for the Egyptian construction industry in 1985Is 7800 LE or $5778 (US) ($135 LE per US $)
An average labor rate in the United States for construction servicesapplicable to this project is estimated by the R S Means Company to be$2177 per hour in 1985 (crew Q4) An estimated thirty percent imporledlabor with severity percent Egyptian labor can be used for establishing a mixed labor rate average of $936 per hour (US) A labor cost modifier for wages becomes $936$2177 or 0431
Equipment and system cost estimates and percentages are established byusing R S Means Company Cost Data and1985 equipment suppliersbudget pricing estimates
The solar cost data are determined in flxed-and variable-cost increments as required by the FCHART-4R program input format A solar collection array size of 4000 square feet ( 72 m2 ) is estimated for use in determining the variable cost factor
B-I
A WAS[E HEAT RECOVERY SYSTEM
DESC R I FT ION SIEI OTAI TOTAL
3 WAY WASTE WATER DIVERTING VALVES SUMP MATERIALS SUMF PUMP FILTER SCREEN SUMP PUMF LEVEL CONTROL AND VALVE WASTE HEAT STORAGE TANK WASTE HE(I S IORAGE TANK PUMP STORAGE TANK LEVEL CONTROL AND VALVE WASTE HEAT EXCHANGER $1200)1000 EITI SUB-TOTAL EQUIFMENT(MID-1986) $160900
ESCALATION FACTOR 11 TOTAL EQUIPMENT (MID-1987) $176990
FLOW ItDICATORS AND GLOBE VALVES 3 WAY PROCESS WATER BLENDING VALVES STEAM CONTROL VALVES PROCESS WATER TEMPERATURE CONTROLLERS SUB-TOTAL EQUIPMENT(MID-1986) $71400
ESCALATION FACTOR 11 TOTAL EQUIPMENT (MID-1987) $78540
PIPING COST (40 EQUIP COST) 040 $102212
INSULATION COST (75 PIPING COST) 075
SUB-TOTAL MATERIAL COST $434401
LABOR COST (715 MATERIAL COST) $310597 MODIFIERLABOR MIX 043 MODIFIED LABOR COST $133557
SUB-TOTAL MATERIAL + LABOR $567958
TOTAL WASTE HEAT RECOVERY SYSTEM CONSTRUCTION COST $567958
B-2
B SOLAR THERMAL COLLECTION SYSTEM VARIRIABLE COrST (HIID-19117)
DESCR I FIUIN SOLAR CULA-ECTORS $10 0uFT2 COLLECTOR AREA 4000 rF2 COLLECTOR COST SOLAR CIRCIJLAFIN(3 PUMPFS SULAR 1ISTRIBLTI 1 PIlIPS STRUCTURAL STEEl SOLAR CONTROLS INSVRUMELNV AIR SYSEIIFIPING LOW VOLTAGE CABLE EXCAVArION AND FOUNDAFIONS ELECTRICAL
TOTAL EQtJIPMENT(MI ID-1986) ESCALATION FACTOR TOTAL ELUI MENT (MID-1787) PIPING COST (40 COLLECTOR COST) INSULATION COST (75PIPING COST) TOTAL MATERIAL COST I$144050
$105500
I1
075
$116050 $16lt00 $12000
LABOR COST (715 MATERIAL COST) MOIFIERLABOR MIX MODIFIED LABOR COST
$102996 043
$44286
MATERIAL + LABOR $188338
FREIGHTDUTYTAXES TO EGYPT 10 $18834
SUBTOTAL $207172
SUBTOTAL CONTINGENCY 15
$207172 $31076
TOTAL VARIABLE COST COST PER FT2 $60
$238248
B-3
------------------------------------------------------------------------
--------------------------------------------------------------------
FIXED COST (MID 1987)
DESCRIPTION CONTRALCTOIR S RENTAL SUFPL IES CONIRACrORS FACILITIES CONTRACTORS UTILITIES CONTRACTORS MATERIAL HANDLING CONTRACTORS CLEAN-UP DISMANTLING AND MOVING BOXING AND CRATING U S IRANSPORTAT ION SUB-TOTAL $34000
SUB-TOTAL M34000 CONTINGENCY 15 $5100
TOTAL FIXED COST $39100
LGE COST BASED ON CURRENT FIELD TEST PROJECT
TOTAL VARIABLE COST $238248 TOTAL FIXED COST $39100
TOTAL SYSTEM CONSTRUCTION COST $277348
EEA COST DATA BASED ON CURRENT PROJECTS USING IN-COUNTRY CONTRACTOR AND EQUIPMENT
VARIABLE COST $2862FT2 $2862 COLLECTOR SIZE (FT2) 4000 TOTAL VARIABLE COST $114480
EEA FIXED COST $26757
TOTAL SYSTEM CONSTRUCTION COST $141237
CONSTRUCTION COST SUMMARY
A WASTE HEAT RECOVERY SYSTEM $567958
D SOLAR THERMAL COLLECTION SYSfEM $277348
1(lAL CUNSTRUCTION CU9 A amp B $845 05
B-4
APPENDIX C
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c-1
1986 1OCT
I L jB~ i i~ I C r 6 ~ ~Kn Z 7
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dF -Me- cluy( - (F --
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shyit AA 3t yj
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NOR i6 91 13
1
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I~lI 2 I 1 r hJI I I- L3f 2H euro S)1
AUG l T411lt --
0 7 I9t7i
(1 LlI1 ~ I
11R(IIIC 791 shyIf 919 TXjLvj
lS 3 11LI
cr
62 FI f)I )
IL 1 iia ILE 61 l ampq
T
~
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1 1 I 5
264 1 0 1 A1 3 IsP IEIJA 167 -
PO Zlt876 tV9IlAl lA g-
t i -- - i i 4I r Y 12 d
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957 IULkE0 167 if 6 0 237J163lIlI) 11-1 i6 1
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1I 1 4 77t ~A shy
r IIjl 1 I 971- 6II l I I[(ijllI Ii
Itl JY lif i5U 2 1 IUI t l Oil A I I21 I 5 1 9
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_ D O
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_ - - - -- -- - - ~ -
2 -
L- I CA e
k --
The Payback Period is the number of years it takes a project to
generate sufficient benefits to cover its cost or the number of
years it takes the net present value to change from a negative
to a positive value
The Internal Rate of Return (IRR) sometimes called the economic
rte of return is that discount rate that would equate
discounted benefits to discounted cost or reduce the net present
value to zero
Benefit-Cost Ratio (BC) This is the ratio obtained by dividing
the discounted value of all project benefits by the discounted
value of project costs
Simple Payback This is a rule of thumb method used by investors
to see if a particular financial venture is worth investing in
or not The simple payback is calculated by summing up all
capital and operating costs and dividing that sum by the value of
the first full years benefit In the private sector in most
industrialized countries a simple payback of 3 to 5 years is
expected With renewable energy technology a simple payback of
7-9 years is usually admissible
- 8shy
Assumptions
The economic analysis of the IPH system is based on the
following assumptions
0 All energy conversions are made into barrels of oil
equivalent where one metric ton is equivalent to
US 733 barrels
0 Price of oil is valued at US$20barrel of No 6 light
heating oil escalated at 2 per year This price
level may not be indicative of the price of oil that is
rapidly changing at present It should be noted that
the analysis in this study is to look at what may
happen in the long-rt-n during the 1980s and 1990s As
such the analysis should not be affected by what
happens to commodity prices in the spot market in the
very short-run A revision of the price of oil in the
analysis may be appropriate when the price level
stabilizes
A discount rate of 1O is sed This is the
opportunity cost of money used in international
lending agencies such as the World Bank
Hardware is assumed to have a salvage value of 10 at
the end of the life of the system
-9shy
The system is expected to have a life of 20 years
0 Some hardware items are purchased in Egypt An
exchange rate of LE 135 = US$ 100 is used All
prices are in constant US$ 1985
Data Base
Two sets of cost estimates were used in this analysis The
fWrFt set of data was provided by Lockwood Greene Engineers for
a 4000 sqft collector area (see Appendix B)
On the basis of the best available information Lockwood
Greene Engineers have provided the following cost estimates
Collector Size 4000
Prices Variable cost $60O0sqft Fixed cost $39180
0 + M cost 2 of total cost
Salvage value 42 of total cost
Energy savings 325 barrels of oil
Construction period 10 months
System life 20 years
The second set of data was provided by EEA for a collector
size of 4200 sqft The EEA cost estimates also show two types
of prices The first set shows a price of $2581 per square foot
- 10 shy
of colector This price is to be used for collectors purchased
for the REFT Project The second set shows a price of $2221 per
sqft which is to be used when evaluating IPH application
elsewhere in Egypt (see Appendix C)
Cost estimates provided by EEA are as follows
Collector Size 4200 sqft
Prices Variable cost $2221isqft (local)
$2581sqft (REFT)Fixed cost $17430 (local)
$23995 (REFT)
0 + M cost 2 of hardware cost
Salvage value 42 of capital cost
Energy savings 348 barrels of oil
Construction period 10 months
System life 20 years
Analysis and Results
The economic evaluation of the IPH system for textile
finishing was performed by examining the following sets of
assumptions
1 A 4200 sqft collector area at a price of $30sqft
2 A 4200 sqft collector area at prices of
$ 2581sqft and $2221sqft
3 A Waste Heat Recovery System
4 A 4200 sqft collector area priced at $30 per sqftombined with waste heat recovery system
5 A sensitivity analysis at different collector prices and varying prices of oil
- 11 shy
Table 1 presents the input data based on cost estimates
provided by Lockwood Greene Engineers These estimates are based
on a collector system purchased from the US at a price of
US$60sqft Output results for this analysis is presented in
Table 2
Input data for the base line analysis are presented in
Table 3 All base line analyses were performed assuming a price
of $20O0bbl of oil The economic evaluation of all systems
was made using a discount rate of 10 although system perforshy
mances are examined at varying discount rates ranging from 0
to 20 at 2 intervals (see Appendix A)
Table 4 presents results of the base line analysis As
shown in this table the 4200 sqft solar collector systems at
all collector prices do not pay during its economic life The
solar collector system at a price of $30sqft has a simple
payback of 22 years which is longer than the life of the system
The net present value at 10 discount rate is negative for
the baseline case with collector price $30sqft and price of
oil $2Gibbl indicating that the financial benefits accruing to
the project will not be able to offset the cost of acquisition
and operation of the system during its economic life span The
net present value at different level of discount rate and varying
prices of oil is presented in Figure 1
- 12 shy
TABLE 1
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM
FIELD TEST 4 - HLEWAN TEXTILE
DATA INPUT - US CASE
(Collector Price US$ 60sqft Price of Oil
I T E M S SOLAR ONLY WASTE HEAT RE(]OVaRY
Capital Cost ($) 227348 567958
0 + M ($) 4765 11359
Salvage Value ($) 11649 23854
Energy Savings (bbl) 325 11048
Construction Period (Month) 10 10
System Life (Yrs) 20 20
Source LBII estimates based on Engineering cost by Lockwood Greene Engineers
20bbl)
COMBINED SYSTEM
845306
16906
35503
11737
10
20
data provided
- 13 shy
TABLE 2
ECONOMIC NALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM
FIELD TEST 4 - HELWAN TEXTILE
RESULTS - US CASE
(Collector Price USS60sqft Price of Oil US$ 20bbl)
I T E M S SOLAR ONLY WASTE HEAT COMBINED RECOVERY
Energy Savings (bbl) 325 11048 11373
Simple Payback (Yrs) 43 3 4
Pdyback Period (Yrs) None 4 6
Net Present Value i = 10 ($251325) 1568793 1310681
Internal Rate of Return (IRR ) - 834 4220 2843
BC Ratio i = 10 021 337 233
Source LBII estimates based on Engineering cost data providedby Lockwood Greene Engineers
- 14 shy
TABLE 3
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM
FIELD TEST 4 - HELWAN TEXTILE
DATA INPUT - BASELINE ANALYSIS
(Collector Price US$ 30sqft)
I T E M S SOLAR ONLY WASTE HEAT COMBINED RECOVERY SYSTEM
Capital Cost ($) 149995 567958 717953
0 + M (S) 2520 11359 13879
Salvage Value ($) 6300 - 0 - 6300
Energy Savings (bbl) 348 11048 11396
Construction Period (Month) 10 10 10
System Life (Yrs) 20 20 20
Source LBII estimates based on cost data provided from EEA and Lockwood Greene Engineers
- 15 shy
TABLE 4
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM
FIELD TEST 4 - HELWAN TEXTILE
BASELINE ANALYSIS RESULTS
(Collector Price $30sqft Price of Oil US$ 20bbl)
I T E M S SOLAR ONLY WASTE HEAT COMBINED RECOVERY
Energy Savings (bbl) 348 11048 11396
Simple Payback (Yrs) 22 3 3
Payback Period (Yrs) None 4 5
Net Present Value i = 10 ($100633) 1565248 1464614
Internal Rate of Return (IRR ) - 124 4220 3402
BC Ratio 041 335 275 i = 10
Source LBII estimates based on cost data provided by EEA and Lockwood Greene Engineers
- 16 shy
Figure I Helwan TextileIPH - Solar only - Net Present Value at various Discount Rates and Prices of Oil (Collector
Price S30sqft)
0
150
-J)0
LUJ
LUJ
00-
Li
11 t 6
4F
D I SCOU NT RATE ()
130BBL
-$25BBL
~$15BBL $20BBL
- - 17 shy
The internal rate of return (IRR) is significantly lower
than the 10 economic rate of return expected to cover the cost
of credit
The waste heat recovery system on the other hand shows
positive results The system pays for itself in four years
The internal rate of return for the waste heat recovery
system is very high 4220 indicating very high economic gains
to be realized by installing this system
The Application Review for Field Test 4 examines solar
thermal together with a waste heat recovery system as a unit that
will be installed at Helwan Textile Accordingly an economic
evaluation of the combined solar thermal plus the waste heat
recovery system was performed
The input data used for Zhis analysis is presented in
Table 3 Results of the economic analysis for the combined
system are presented in Table 4 As shown in Table 4 the
combined system is economically viable The payback period for
the combined system is five years with an Internal Rate of
Return (IRR) of 3402 Figure 2 presents a graphic representashy
tion of the internal rate of return (IRR) for the output results
presented in Table 4
- 18shy
C
Figure 2 Helwan Textile - Internal Rate of Return at different Prices of Oil for Waste Heat Recovery
and Combined Solar and Jaste Heat Recovery
Systems (Collector Price $60 and $30sqft)
100
80shy
60-
LU 40
lt
($ B B LUi P R 1 0 F 0 1 L
-20
-20
- 19shy
-40
It is very clear from Table that the economic performance
of the combined system is lower than that of the waste heat
system indicating the dampening effect of the poor econoinic
performance of the solar thermal system
It should be pointed out that there is no functional relashy
tionship between the technical or economic performance of solar
thermal and waste heat recovery systems One can install the
solar thermal all by itself or in combination
As discussed earlier the proposed 4200 sqft solar thermal
system is not economically viable at a collector price of $30
sqft and price of oil S20barrel A separate analysis was
performed using a S20barrel price of oil and collector prices of
$30 25 22 and 20sqft Results of the analysis is presented
in Table 5
As shown in Table 5 the solar thermal system is not
economically viable at all collector prices The system does
not pay for itself during its life span Even at the lowest
collector price ($20sqft) the benefits derived from the
system can only cover 58 of the cost incurred (BC ratio 058)
during the life of the system
An additional sensitivity analysis was performed for each
collector price level and varying prices of oil As inshown
- 20 shy
TABLE 5 - ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM - FT4HELWAN TEXTILE SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS WITH DIFFERENT COLLECTOR PRICES
(Price of Oil US$ 20BBL)
I T E M S
COLLECTOR
$20sqft $22sqft
PRICE
$25sqft $30sqft
r
Energy Savings
(bbl)
Simple Payback
(Yrs)
Payback Period
(Yrs)
Net Present Value
i = 10
Internal Rate of Return - IRR
348
16
None
($51604)
266
348
16
None
($55919)
216
348
19
None
($76694)
046
348
22
None
($100633)
- 124
BC Ratio
i = 10 058 056 048 041
Source LBII estimate based on engineering cost Lockwood Greene Engineers
data provided by EEA and
Tables 6 - 9 the solar thermal system will start showing
positive economic results if collector prices are between $20 and
$22sqft and oil prices increase to $35 - $40barrel It is
very unlikely to find a situation where one can have a decline
in the price of collectors while having a simultaneous increase
in the price of oil Since collectors are manufactured from
products such as plastic glass aluminum etc which are
energy intensive a decline in collector prices can only be
realiz=d with a decline in the price of energy
Figures 3 and 4 show graphic representations of the internal
rate of return (IRR) and payback period respectively for
different prices of collectors and varying prices of oil
A year by year cash flow for 36 different scenarios are
presented in Appendix A Tables Al - A36
- 22 shy
TABLE 6 - ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM - FT4HELWAN TEXTILE SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS WITH DIFFERENT PRICES OF OIL
(Collector Price US$ 20sqft)
P R I C E OF 0 1 L
I T E M $15bbl $20bbl $25bbl $30bbl $35bbl $40bbl
Energy Savings 348 348 348 348 348 348(bbl)
Simple Payback 21 16 12 10 9 8(Yrs)
Payback Period None None None None None None (Yr s)
Net Present Value i = 10 (69179) (51604) (34029) (16454) 1120 18695
Internal Rate ofReturn - IRR - 057 266 540 787 1014 1229
BC Ratio 043 058 072 087 101 115
Source LBII estimate based on engineering cost data provided by EEA andLockwood Greene Engineers
TABLE 7 - ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM - FT4HELWAN TEXTILE SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS WITH DIFFERENT PRICES OF OIL
(Collector Price US$ 22sqft)
I T E M
Energy Savings (bbl)
Simple Payback (Yrs)
Payback Period
(Yrs)
P R I C E OF 0 I L
$15bbl $20bbl $25bbl $30bbl $35bbl $40bbl
348 348 348 348 348 348
21 16 13 11 9 8
None None None None None None
Net Present Value i = 10 (73494) (55919) (38344) (20769) (3194) 14381
Internal Rate of Return - IRR - 108 216 491 735 961 1172
BC Ratio 042 056 070 084 097 111
Source LBII estimate based on engineering cost data provided by EEA and Lockwood Greene Engineers
TABLE 8 -ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM - FT4HELWAN TEXTILESENSITIVITY ANALYSIS WITH DIFFERENT PRICES OF OIL (Collector Price US$ 25sqft)
P R I C E OF 0 I L I T E M $15bbl $20bbl $25bbl $30bbl $35bbl $40bbl
Energy Savings
(bbl)
348 348 348 348 348 348
Simple Payback
(Yrs) 25 19 15 12 11 9
Payback
(Yrs)
Period None None None None None None
Net Present Value i = 10 (94268) (76694) (59119) (41544) (23969) (6394)
Internal Rate ofReturn - IRR - 263 046 304 532 739 932 BC Ratio 036 048 060 072 084 096
Source LBII estimate based on engineering cost data provided by EEA andLockwood Greene Engineers
TABLE 9 - ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF IPH SYSTEM - FT4HELWAN TEXTILE SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS WITH DIFFERENT PRICES OF OIL
(Collector Price US$ 30sqft)
P R I C E OF 0 1 L
I T E M $15bbl $20bbl $25bbl $30bbl $35bbl $40bbl
Energy Savings 348 348 348 348 348 348 (bbl
Simple Payback 29 22 17 14 12 11(Yrs)
Payback Period None None None None None None (Yrs)
Net Present Value (118208) (100633) (83058) (65484) (47909) (30334) i = 10
Internal Rate of Return - IRR - 425 - 124 124 339 534 714
BC Ratio 031 041 051 062 072 082
Source LBII estimate based on engineering cost data provided by EEA and Lockwood Greene Engineers
Figure 3- Helwan TextileIPH - Solar Only - Internal Rate of
Returr at Different Prices of Oil and varying
Collector Prices
29shy
n
-15
CD 10shy
lt 5
S0
10
R
2
0 F
30 5
B BL )
-10
-27 shy
-Ig - Helwan Textile - Solar Only - Simple Payback at Dfferent Prices of Oil and varying Collector
Prices
50
40shy
30
20- $60sqft
- - S30sqft
I25sqft22sq ft 20sq ft
P
10
R I C E
20
0 F
30
0 1 L
40
B B L
50
- 28 shy
5 CONCLUSION
The economic analysis performed on the proposed IPH Field
Test at Helwan Textile showed that the 4200 sqft flat plate
collector system was not economically viable
However the analysis indicated that when the solar thermal
system was evaluated in combination with the waste heat recovery
system the project was economically viable This favorable
performance was caused not because of improvement made in
economic efficiency by the solar thermal system but rather
because the economic efficiency of the waste heat recovery
system is so strong that it more than offsets the poor
performance of the solar thermal system
It should be emphasized that this analysis did not cover an
evaluation of the complete array of solar thermal systems such
as solar collectors for domestic hot water etc The analysis
was limited to the application of flat plate collectors for
application in industrial process heat of a given temperature
range Therefore implications drawn from this analysis should
not be applied to other solar thermal uses
The economic analysis has revealed some interesting and
important economic technical institutional and policy issues
- 29 shy
It is clear that the proposed flat plate collector system
on its own cainot be expected to bring about positive economic
returns given current collector prices Therefore it is
necessary that
Investigations be made in the technical field to
determine if the efficiency of the system could be
improved without increasing system cost
e The supply side of the collector market be prepared
to manufacture and supply collector systems that are
cost effective
e Policy makers be cognizant of the fact that the price
of flat plate collectors must decrease by almost 60
compared to the best case scenario as used in this
study (from $30sqft to $10sqft) in order
for industrial consumers to find it attractive to
invest in solar thermal technology Since the market
and thus the solar thermal industry is at its infancy
in Egypt policy makers and the public sector have to
play a lead role in removing barriers and providing the
appropriate fiscal andor regulatory incentives to
enhance the manufacture and widespread use of solar
thermal technology
- 30 shy
It is the overall objective of the Renewable Energy Field
Testing Project to investigate selected renewable energy options
to
9 Comprehensively strengthen Egyptian technical and
institutional capabilities in the full spectrum of
renewable energy planning and decision-making for
technologies and applications
Develop and sustain an Egyptian renewable energy
infrastructure through establishment of data bases
information systems and organizations that effectively
serve both the public and private sectors
Design realize and evaluate the performance of a
series of field tests which utilize commercially
available technologies in applications having potential
for widespread use in Egypt
Complete formal managerial and technical training both
on-the-job and specialized and an intensive
information dissemination program
- 31 shy
The design operation maintenance and repair experience
with solar thermal systems that will be obtained through this
field test to form a strong technical base for the design and
application of other renewable energy technologies is an
important factor which has not entered into the benefit cost
calculation in this report These additional factors need to be
considered seriously for the go-no-go decision
- 32 shy
APPENDIX A
-cono mcarz F7ra r na 2Analvsis fo- Erer gyi s t s y --t ne E8 0o
TA -1E-1
Fcr Case ofFELD TEST 4 - HELW TEXTILEIIPH (CILLECTOR PRICE S35313FT- PRICE Cz OIL $158L)Assumr iliEscalatior Rate of
Savec ValLe Of V~Caoitaltea- Cost Deratzrnc Cost of OilCost Sbl Fuel Usea Fuel(bi) EeravCs Saveo AnnualEuiv Er-eray Lost
Casi Flow Discounted Cash Flo~w (NV) j=urrert 48
Ion $14--Oui -It X=-=== ==--- ----==---=-------S shyrarsoort 1 Construc ionI i nt er o 0ne zt i o r $$14$35 $4C- $1500 $0 31Tta 5870$(
58 $150415 ($149545)6520 S153cent S14945) ($149545) ($14954-)$0 348 (149 4W)V 5324 $20$2520 $1561 4 ($146848) 3146948)4 0 $0 348 ($14699) (S14704)SO $5431i250 159= 550 $2911 ($1441 ) ($1445)5 Si $0 348 $5540 S252 S020
($14550) ($144721)$252) 1624 ($141473) (142056)$$ 348 ($142321) (142571)8 5650$0 $1G56 0 $313r ($13797) ($139755) (S140ljE7 $ (140582)$0 346 _7632 20 $1689 0 $W 348 $520 $3243 ($13611) ($137548) ($138169)8 S5873 2520SO $25Z0 $1723 $3359 ($133477) ($135431)0 $0 (M76274 ($137040)9- W S757 348 S5336 $25200 SO 348 $3476 (s123235 ($133402) ($134490)10 $5116 S-20 ($135468)$0 $2520 51733 0
$352 (128205) ($131460)11S 250 $0 348 $6238 (13 812) ($134015)510s $2520 $3718 ($125595) so $2520 4 Sampo $3843
(S12600) (131235) ($132674)$ bull252$1S65 0 $0 348 $6490) ($1 999) ($127820) ($1k9754) ($131437)13 V) 520 $1902
$ 2-t $3370 ($1 j420) ($126117) ($128 3) ($130256)14 348 $6620$0 S2520 $1940
0 S0 $2520 $410W ($117859) ($124489)0 $0 348 ($127055) ($129243)15 (1 2520 $197 0 $6753 S250 $233 ($115317) ($22932) ($125 89)16 $0
so 348 $6888 S252 (3128273)i3520 4368$2019 ($1I1C755)
17 0 $0 348 $7025 (3121445) ($124679) ($127379)$2K$0 $-) 0 01 $156- ($I12S3)
348 3120025 ($123601) ($126556)$7166 512520 646 (S107812) (S11BC65918 $0 ($122590) (S125710 52 10 21 100 0 so - 0$2 520J 348 7309 t4935S21 42 0 so) 50 $789 ($102918i($105354) i17374) ($1216421 ($125101)20 348 $7 455 ($116139)$0 $2520 $2 5 ($12-0754)$2185 0 ($124459)s021 348(W30) $2520 57 605 $2-50 $5085$2229 ($I00504)0 s0 348 $7757
(314961 ($119923) ($123869)($3780 S11537 ($9239) ($112486) ($I18208) ($IM673)$143695 $50820 0 $0 7018 $130239 $194515 ($64276)
A-1
TABLE A-I (Contd) ASSUMPTIONS TABLE BENEFIT-COSTS TALE (Calculated)
Economic and Financiai Analvsis for Energy -strnents - Egypt EEA 101986
Cacital Costs Benefit Parameters Internal Rate of Return -425
Acouisition $149995 Price of Oil $1500 bbl (yr 1)Trarsoortation $0 Oil Escalat 20year Disc PV of FV of BCConstruction $0 Rate Benefits Costs NOV Ratio
interconnection $0 Enrgy Savns 348 bblyear Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 $130 23 $194515 ($64276) 067TOTAL (Cap) $149995
El $105270 $187381 (582111) 056
Construct Time 10 morhs 4 $86548 $181787 ($95239) 0486 $72307 $177 355 ($105048) 041
Ooeratinc and Normal Maintenance Costs 8 $61319 $173805 (3112486) 03510 $5725 $170933 $118208) 031 11 $$3l26 $169701 ($120575) 029oeratino Cost $2520 year 12 $45912 $168585 ($122673) 027Operating Lifetime 21 years 13 $43032 $167571 ($124539) 026
Major Eauipment ReoairReolacement 14 $40443 $166647 ($126204) 024 15 $38108 $165804 ($227695) 023
Salvage Value ($6300)period 16 $35 997 $165032 ($129034) 022 18 $32342 $163674 ($131332) 020Replace Period 20 years 20 $29303 1162522 ($133219) 018
A-2
--
__
Ewic a Fzranzai Z aiys s for Enercy Investments Eayot EEAq-
10I9i-
1PLE A-2 For Case ofFIELD TEST 4-- H2LWRN TEXTILEIP (COLLECTOR PRICE $30SQF - PRICE OF OIL $20BlAssumino Oil Escalation Rate of 0OL
Ca0ita Oeratira Cost cf Oilyear Fuel UsedCost Cost $Bb Saved VEL- -Fuei Ererly(Bb) Cost ave Arr al Cas FlowEouv ne-v LisOurted Cash FlowAnua C Flow 0V) 6 ===--- shy ======= =----=- rcuisior $1 93 -- Codegt ure~n $4Trar-I sSrC0=-=---= = 8 10 12=== =_==== -= =shy
=== =---==_-_I Corstru-t or te $34 512415 $2
431$951 Tota) C$Z $520 5 $160 (Q14-$1-47 $24
fSO $A 0 so 2s ($14 SH5) ($149255)$0
$73 $-5 ($144 8-( ($492s)$ $4$274 ( -14482)(3145015)s 348 (31450321$7241 $2520 ($145GG) $ $ 20 12 65 o so$01
348 0
$472( ($140487) ($140357) (s1411025200 ($1414031$25207 $2208 $ 0 3(1381611($i37 105 0 $11 4 3$0 20 S5_a20 5 0 so ($137534) ($137939)52520 348
0 $S034 3483 $7645 3 S- $5014 ($131875)$78 $1202 (11j33419)SO2 $ $5318SE184 ($12763 ($126 5531 (3134110) (134753)($123428)
$0 S3 ($127901) ($129128)$2520 $2297 $0 $2 2 o 0 345 $4I4 ($$2343 $995 1)7 ($1239(50 348 $2520 5475 ($130903)Ii 3155 s2$23 $131822)$ 183$0$2$SC n 5 ($13 50 ) ($120314 ) ($1224 )0 ($ 124376)-2$-iSO $23($ 5212~~ $ 520 2438S S $1 513 3) (SI27903 ) ( 52)$252 0 $2$0~ $7980 0 3 -4 i$110761 ($117414)1$ $2FO ($120000 -2520 $5 Z $59 4 ($12-2285)
gs )1 3 $20 287 $0348 1$107 0-7) ($S141238 ($ 17 7 0) SI2652587 $$c 24 ($120 3 5 )15 $0 0 (S0563) ($112021)$2 52 $2 $-9348 ($11555) ($118601)$0 520 6 0 so 34 8 $2 443483 S82 311104 $220$ 520 S664 ($30) ($107132)$ 307 ($931($S3123)) ( 10 (Si1267) ($115497)6 ($I04Ef) ($11973)5I) ($S 15451 ($11133)o0 $2 520 ($1169 3)SO 5 2 920 032520 5274 6 0 4 8 $ 36 $S 2- 8$0 47 ( 1 014 34 6 $3555 ($ I02 70 19 348 $7U ($1 0743 ) ($I 1i7
s0 $2520 $2800 0 $2 520 7 0 5 ($8 834 ($00 65) ) ($10 8 273 ) ($112 8 2 )
$2520 $9 0 $200 $72- (914$) 3)S0 $4 ($90 063 ($110682)27 $0 $2 c856 00 ($76 51)2$5 14 0 0 348 0 ($9 842 ($0397 ($10977)340 $I0139 -521 $2 5 0 $($6300) $7 19$2520 $2972 0 ( 72 8 35 ($ 076 ()0s0 ($102 72) ($10023)348 $10342 (3780) $1418 ($ 3) ($9246) ($100633) ($I0735)
$143695 $0820 0 s 7018 $173652 $194515 ($20863)
A-3
ASSUMPTJINS TABLE TABLE A-2 (Contd) BENEFIT-COSTS TPBLE (Calculated)
Economicand Finar_ial Analysis fr Energy Investments - Egypt EE 10191S6
Capital Costs Benefit Parareters Internal Rate of Return -124
Acquisitior 149995 Price of Oil 2000 bbl (y 1)Transoortation $0 Oil Escalat 20rvear Disc PV of PV of BC
Construction $0 Rate Benefits Costs NPV RatioInterconrection $0 Enrgy Savrias 348 bblyear --- _____-__
- Fuel Use 0 bblivear 0 $173652 $1S4515 ($20863) 089TOTAL (Car) $14995 2 $14036O $187381 (347021) 075 4 $115398 S181787 (36E390) 063Construct Time 10 months 6 $96409 S177355 ($80946) 054
8 $31759 5173805 ($92 046)Ooerating and Normal Maintenance Costs 047l0 $70299 $170 933 ($100633) 041
11 $65502 $169701 (3104199) 039Operatino Cost S2520 year 12 $61216 1amp3585 ($107369) 036Oerating Lifetime 21 years 13 57376 $167571 (3110195) 034
14 $53924 $16G647 (3112723) 032Major Equioment ReoairReplacement 15 $50811 $165804 ($114992) 031 16 $47997 $165032 ($117035) 0213Replace Cost ($6300)oeriod 18 $43123 $163674 (3120551) 026Replace Period 20 years 20 $39071 $162522 ($123451) 024
A-4
Econonxc and Finarcial 9ralvsis for Energy Investrets -- EcvDt EEA 1013i6C
TABLE A-3
For Case ofFIELD TEST 14 - H-LWAN TEXTILEIPi ( COLLECTOR PRCE $30SQFT- PRICE OF OIL $25BBL) Assuming Oil Escalation Rate of 20
Saved Valus ofCacital boeratirng Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel Energy Saved Annual Cash Flow Discounted Cash Flow ((NV) iYear Cost Cost $Bbl (Bbl) Cost Eauiv Erercy Cost Currert f 4 8 10 12
S Accuisitio $149995
1 Transoort $0 I Construct ior $0 I Interconnection $0
Totil $149q95 $420 $2500 0 $0 58 $1450 S150 415 ($14295) (3148965) ($48965) ($14895) ($148965)$0 $2520 $2550 0 s0 348 $3874 $2520 $3354 ($142855) ($143082) ($143189) ($143292)3 s0 $2520 $2601 0 $0 348 $9051 $2520 ($1368171 ($137482) ($137791) ($133085)4 $0 2520 $2653 5
0 s0 348 $3233 $252 $ 713 ($130643) ($132153) ($132748) ($133307)$0 2520 $2706 0 $0 6
348 $9417 $2520 $o897 ($124954) ($127084) ($128037) ($128924)$0 S2520 $2760 0 $0 348 $9606 $2520 S7056 ($119130) ($122261) ($123637) ($124903)7 so $2520 $2815 0 $0 348 $3798 $2520 $7278 ($113378) (117675) ($119529) ($121216)so $1520 $28728 0 $0 348 $39A 9
S2520 $7474 ($107699) ($11331b) ($115694) ($117836)s0 $2520 $2929 0 $0 348 $10193 $25L0 $7673 ($102032) ($09169) ($1121141 ($114736)10 $0 2520 $2986 0 11
$1 348 $10397 $25_lt $7877 ($36557) ($105228) ($103774) ($111896)$0 $2520 $3047 0 $0 348 $10 60 $_520 $308512 ($31095) ($I01483) ($105656) (5109293)$0 $2520 $3106 0 $0 348 $10817 $2520 $8237 ($85706) ($97925 ($102748) ($106907)13 $0 $2520 $3171 0 $0 348 $11034 $2520 $8514 ($80388) ($94544) ($10003-5) ($104722)$0 $2520 $323414 0 $0 348 $11254 $2520 $873415 ($75142) ($91332) ($97505) ($102720)$0 $2520 $3299 0 $0 348 $11479 $2520 $8959 ($69968) ($88282) ($95146) ($100837)16 $0 $2520 $3365 0 $0 348 $I709 $2520 $3189 ($64866) ($85385) ($92946) ($99208)17 $0 $2520 $3432 0 $0 348 $11943 $252(l $9423 ($59835) ($M 634) ($90895) ($97671)18 $0 $2520 $3501 0 $0 348 $12182 $2520 $3662 ($54875) ($80023) ($88984) ($264)19 so $2520 $3571 0 $0 348 $12426 $2520 $9906 ($349985) ($77544) ($87202) ($94976)20 $0 $2520 $3642 0 $0 348 $12674 $2520 $10154 ($45165) ($75191) ($85542) ($93797)21 ($6300) $2520 $3715 0 $0 348 $12928 ($3780) $16708 ($37540) ($71607) ($830558) ($92065)
$143695 $50820 0 $0 7018 $217065 $194515 $22550
A-5
-- --
TABLE A-3 (Contd) ASSUMPTIONS TABLE BENFIT-COSTS TABLE (Calculated)
Economic and Financial Analysis for Energy Investments - Egyot EEA i01986
Capital Costs Benefit Parameters Internal Rate of Return 124
Acouisition $149995 Price of Oil $25CK bbl (yr 1)TransDortation $0 Oil Escalat 20year Disc PY of PV of BCConstruction $0 Rate Benefits Costs NPV Ratio
Interconrection $0 Enrgy Savngs 348 bblyear m_ S -- - Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 $217065 $194515 $2550 112
TOTAL Cap) $149995 2 $175450 $187381 ($11931) 094
4 $144247 $181787 ($37540) 079Construct Time 10 months 6 $120511 $177355 ($56844) 068 8 $102 198 $173805 ($71607) 059DOeratino and Normal Maintenance Costs 10 $87674 $170933 ($83058) 051
11 $81877 $169701 ($87824) 048Deratina Cost $2520 year 0 Sshye i s 5 a $76520 $168585 ($92065) 045ODperatina Lifetime 21 years 23 $71720 $167571 ($95851) 043
14 $67405 $166647 ($99242) 040Major Eauipment RepairReplacement 15 $63514 165804 ($102290) 038
16 $59996 $165032 ($105036) 036Salvage Value ($6 300period 18 $53904 $163674 ($109770) 033 Replace Period 20 years 20 $48839 $162522 ($1136833) 030
A-6
Econotic and Financial Araiysis for Energy Irvesteents - Egypt EEA 101986
TABLE A-4
For Case ofFI-2-D -ST 14 - HELWAN TEXTILEIPH ( COLLTOR PRICE 30SFT - PRICE OF OIL $30BBL)Assunina Oil Escalation Rate of 20
Saved Value of
CaPital Oerating Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel EreryYear Cost Cost $bl (PbI) Cost Ecuiv Savea Annual Cash Flow Discounted Cash Flow (N91V) IErerey Cost Currer $ 4 8 10 12
Pcousition $142995 I Tr2rsport $0 1 Constrtio s I Intercorrecto $01 Total $14995 $420 $3000 0 $0SO58 $1740 $150415 (148675) 3514375) ($148675) ($143675) ($148675)
$0 $60C 220 303 $25 0 $3121 0 5 34 506 9 2$0 348 $10862 50 $8 1 9 ($ 4 0 85M) ($ 1 4 11 4 8) ( S 141e280$25X) $342 ($133146) ($133937) ($134391)) ( $ 141 41 7 1
4 (3134767)$0 $2520 $31845 $0 2520 $347 0 0
$0 348 $11079 S2520 $8559 ($125537)$0 346 $1301 $2 (127202) ($127961) ($128675)0 2520 $3312
520 5781 ($118032) ($120748) ($121963) ($123095)7 0 $0 348 $111527 S2-0so S2520 $3378 $3007 ($110629) (114618)
850 0 (116371) ($117984)so 348 51275752520 $3446 0 $0 348
S2520 $9237 ($103329) ($108797) (111157) (113304)$I992 $2520 $9472 (39613) ($103270) ($106296) ($109020)$0 $2520 $35 1510 0$0 $2520 $3585 0 s0 348 $12232 S2520 $9712 ($89034 (598(023)11 $0 348 S2477 ($01765 (3105097)$0 $2 500 S 521t0 $9957 ($5 039)$3657 0 0 (33042 ($97543) ($101507)348 $12726 S252012 0 $ 2520 $53730
$10206 ($7E144) ($88315) (1193608) (S98220)0 $0 348 $12981 $25 $10461 ($S3 3h8)14
52520 (55823) ($89941) ($95213)$0 $2520 $3881 510720 (61 652)0 ($79571) ($86525)s0 348 $13505 ($92461)I5 $0 $2520 $10985 (555055)52520 $3958 0 ($75532 (583343) (89944)s0 348 $1377516 SO S2520 S511255 ($4e5) (571700)$2520 $4038 0 ($0379) (387641)$0 348 51405117 $0 $2520 $4118 0
S2520 $11531 ($4 153 ($68065) ($77 61) ($85534)s0 348 $14332 $218 -0 $11812$0 $2520 (35846) (364617) (575048)$4201 0 ($83607)19 348 $141619 S2520$0
s0 $1209 (59635$2520 $4285 ($61347) ($72650 ($81845$0 348 $1491120 $0 $2520 $2520 $12331 ($23519) ($58247)$4370 0 ($70426) ($80234)$0 348 $15209 $252021 (36300Y $2520 54458 0 $0 12689 ($174 ) ($55306) ($68351) ($78761)348 $15513 (53780) $19293 ($8691) ($51167) ($65484) (76761)
$143695 S5m0 0 so 7018 $260478 $194515 $65963
A-7
TABLE A-4 (Contd) ASSUMPTIONS TABLE BENEFIT-COT3 TABLE (Calculated)
Economic and Financial Aralysis for Energy Investments -- Egypt EEA 1019166
Caoital Costs Benefit Pararmeters Internal Rate of Return 339
Acquisition $149995 Price of Oil $3000 bbl (yr 1) Transportation $0 Oil Escalat L(Wvear Disc PV of PV of BC
Construct ior $0 Rate Benefits Costs NPV Ratio Interconnectior $0 Enrgy Savrias 348 bblvear
Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 S260478 $19455 $65963 134 TOTAL (Cao) $149995 2 $210540 $187381 S23159 112
4 $173097 $118787 ($8691) 095 Construct Time 10 months 6 $144614 $177355 ($32741) 382
8 $122638 $173805 1167 071 Operating and Normal Maintenance Costs 10 $105449 $170933 ($65464 062
11 $98253 $169701 ($71448) 058 Oerating Cost $2520 year 12 $91824 $168585 ($76761) 054
Operating Lifetime 21 years 13 $86064 $167571 ($81507) 051 14 $80885 $166647 ($85761) 049
Major Equipment RepairReDlacement 15 $76217 $165804 ($89587) 046 16 $71995 $165032 ($93037) 044
Replace Cost ($6300)period 18 $64685 $163674 ($98989) 040 Replace Period 20 years 23 $58607 $162522 ($103915) 036
A-8
Ecromic and Fna-ia Aaysis for Ene-v investmerts - E yvt EEP shyi(I195
TABLE A-5
For ie ofFIELD TEST 44 - H-LWA-4 TEXTILEi C E-TO PR CE $305 FT - PRIZE OF OIL $35BBL) Assurjc Oil Escalation PR-e of 20
Saved Vaiue cfa-tal Ooeratlr_ Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel Ererv a eO Anual poundan Flow Discounted Cash Flow (NPV) i = Year r st cost SPbl (bbl) [cst Eciv Errgv Cost Currert $ 4 8 10 12
I SI auxsiticr 1433
1 Trarsoort $0
EorstrLZt cr $0 SI-tercorrezt ior $0
Total $143 995 $420 $3500 0 so 58 $2030 S15-415 ($145385) (4148385) ($148385) (M142335) ($1483351$0 $2520 $3570 0 $0 348 $1424 $2520 $3904 ($138862) ($133215) ($39382) (13543)Sto S2520 $3041 0 $1 348 51-672 $520 $10(152W20476) ($130511) (S130992) ($131443)4 $1 $2523 $3714 0 S0 348 226 $2520 $10406 ($12C226) ($122251) ($23174 ($124043)o$0 2520 $3789 0 $ 34B $12184 52520 $10664 t$111I10) ($114413) ($115890) ($27266)
6 s0 $2520 $3864 0 $0 348 t53448 $252n 10928 (S102128) ($106975) (3109105) ($111065)70 $2520 $3942 0 s0 348 $13717 12520 S111137 ($93279) ($99 920) ($102785) ($10- 392)5 $0 $2520 $4020 0 $0 348 $13231 $250 $S1471 ($845 2) ($93226) ($33898) (M100204)9 VI $2520 $4101 0 so 348 $14271 S520 $11751 (175976) ($86878) ($91416) ($3f458)
10 $0 $2520 $4183 0 $0 348 $14556 $2520 $12036 ($67520) ($80E5) ($86312) ($11117)11 s0 $2520 42G 0 $0 348 $14647 $2520 1123227 (S52192) ($75147) ( 8155) ($7148)12 $ 0 $4352 0 so 348 $15144 $2520 $12624 ($5- 931) ($69732) ($77134) ($83519)13 $0 $2520 $4439 0 so 348 $15447 $2 0 $12927 ($42917) ($64599) ($73015) (W8320)14 $0 $ 50 $4528 0 $0 348 $I-755 $2520 S1323- ($34938) ($53732) ($69181) ($77168)15 SO $2520 $4618 (1 $0 348 $16071 $2520 $13551 ($27142) (S55118) ($5613) ($7439516 t0 $2520 $4711 0 $0 348 $16333 $250 $13873 ($1 439) ($50745) ($62232) ($71860)17 $0 $2520 $4805 0 $0 348 $16721 $2120 $14201 ($I1657) ($4660) ($59201) ($G9544)18 $0 $25200 $4901 0 so 348 $17055 $250 $14535 ($4396) (02672) ($5632) ($67427)19 $0 $2520 $4999 0 $0 348 $17396 $2520 $14876 $2948 ($33949) ($53650) ($65492)20 $0 $2520 $5093 21
0 $0 348 $17744 $3520 $15224 $10174 ($35421) ($51161) ($3725)($6300) $2520 $5201 0 $0 348 $18099 ($3780) $21879 $20159 ($30727) ($47909) ($61457)
$143695 $50820 0 $0 7018 $303891 $194515 $103376
A-9
TABLE A-5 (Contd)ASSUMPTIONS TABLE ENEFIT-COSTS TABLE (Calculated)
Economic and Financiai Analysis for Erergy Investments -- Egyot EEA 10965
Capital Costs Benefit Parameters Internai Rate of Return 534
Acquisition $149995 Price of Oil $35K0 bbl (yr 1) Transport tior $0 Oil Escalat 20vear Disc PV of FV of PCConstruction $0 Rate Benefits Costs tPV Ratio
Interconnectior $0 Enrgy Savns 342 bblyear ==-- -Fuel Use 0 bblvear 0 $303531 $154515 $103376 156
TOTAL (Cap) $149995 2 $245630 $187331 $58249 3
4 $i20 46 $181787 20159 i11Construct Time 10 months 6 $163716 $177355 ($8639) 095 8 $143078 $173805 ($30727) 082
Operating and Normal Maintenance Costs 10 $123024 $170933 ($47909) 072 11 S114628 $169701 ($55 073) 068
Operating Cost $2520 year 12 $107128 $165585 ($61457) 064 Operating Lifetime 21 years $l40810 $167571 ($67163) 060
14 $94366 $166647 ($72281) 057Major Equipment RepairReolacement 15 $82920 $165804 ($76864) 054
16 $83994 $165032 ($81038) 051Replace Cost ($6300)period 18 $75465 $163674 $88-08) 046
Replace Period 20 years 2 $68375 $162522 ($94147) 042A- 10
Eccricmi ane Finarcial AnalysiT fo Energy trvest-ents -- Ev-t EEA 101215
TAlKE A-5
For Case ofFiED TEST 04 - HELWPN TEXTIL=IPH (COLLECTD PRICE $3SFT- PRICE as OIL $40BBL) Ass mir Oil Esralatior Rate of 20
Savet Yait- ofCaoital ODerating Ccst of Oil Fuel bse Fuel Energy Saved fnrnal [a- Flch Liscounted Cash Flow (NPV) i = Year Cost Cost $bl (Bbi) CLst Ecit1 Energy Ccst C-rert$ 4 8 10 12
I Acc-ist on $142995 I -ras)ort $0 1 cnstr t o $0
I te-crrezt icr $0 Total $14995 $420 $400N 0 $0 58 $2320 $15045 (S143C135 ($14209) ($143095) ($142035) ($148095)S) $220 $4080 0 so78 ($138f6) ($137282) ($137478) ($137663)
$0 $2520 $4162 r $0 348 $1442 $250 $192 ($125806) ($127026) (M27592) ($128132)4 so 12120 $4245 0 s0 348 $14 77 S25K0 V2252 ($114914) ($117300) (1115337) ($119411)soS0 2 $43310s _$0 25 $330 0 1-7j(1147 0 ($04188)6 $0 $2520 $4416
$0 348 $15$7 525 $12547 ($108077) ($109817) ($111437)0 $0 348 s15 $252 $12849 ($33627) ($93322) ($1083S) ($104146)7 so $2 520 $4505 0 V) 348 $ 676 S21520 $13156 ($83230) ($31042) ($94412) ($97481)
8 $0 $2520 $4595 0 $0 348 $15 9 o 2520 S13470 ($72934) ($83 182) ($57500) ($9388)9 $0 $252) $4687 Q $0 348 $I309 $2520 $3 789 ($62918) $75732) ($31067) ($85818)10 $0 $2520 $4780 0 $0 348 $6631 5 2520 $14116 ($53001) ($68671) ($75081) ($0728)11 $0 $2520 $4676 0 $0 348 $1696 $520 $14448 ($43240) ($61979) ($69510) ($76076)12 $0 $2520 $4973 0 $0 348 $17308 $2520 $14788 ($33634) ($55636) ($64327) ($71825)13 $0 $2520 73 0 $0 348 $17654 $2520 $15134 ($24181) ($49626) ($59505) ($67940) 14 $0 $2520 $5174 0 $0 348 $18 007 S250 $5487 ($14880) ($43932) ($55019) ($64391)15 $0 $2520 $5278 0 $0 348 $ P367 $2 520 $15847 ($572-3) ($38537) ($50646) (55148)
$0 $220 $538316 0 $0 348 $18734 $25032 ($33425) ( 5) (58186)17 s $2520 $549 0 $0 348 $191$2 250 $I5 9 $12 131 ($328583) ($43354) ($55480)18 $0 $2520 $5601 C $0 348 $19491 $2520 $IE971 $20844 ($23996) ($39997) ($53008)19 $0 $2520 $5713 so 348 $19881 $2520 $173C1 $39414 ($19651) ($36874) ($50751)20 $0 $2520 $5827 (t $0 348 $20273 $2520 $17759 $37843 ($15536) ($33370) ($48689)21 ($6 300) $2520 $5944 $0 348 $20684 ($3780) $24 A64 $49 008 ($10288) ($30334) ($46153)
$143695 $50820 0 $0 7018 $347 304 $194515 $152789A-1 1
TABLE A-6 (Contd)ASSUMPTIONS TABLE BEIEF7-COSTS TABLE (Calculated)
Ecoroic nj Firancial Analysis for Energy Investmerts - Egypt EEA 10195G
azitai Costs Benefit Parameters internal Rate of eturr 714
Acuisition $149995 Price of Oil $400 bbl (yr 1)Transportat ior so Oil Escalat 20year Disc PV of PV of BCConstruction so Rate Benefits Cost- NPV RatioInterconnection $0 Enrgy SavTgs 348 bbyear ==== =-shy
--- Fuel Use 0 bbear 0 $347304 $194515 $152 789 179TOTAL (Ca ) $149 95 2 $28D720 $187381 $93359 150
4 230796 $181787 $49008 127Construct Time 10 months 6 $192818 $177355 V15463 109 8 $163517 $173 805 ($10288) 094Ooerating and Norwal Maintenance Costs 10 $140599 $170933 ($30334) 08211 $13004 $169701 $33698) 077
fteratiri$ Cost 12) $122432 $168585 ($46153) 073Ooeratirn Lifetime 21 years 13 $1i 751 $167571 ($52819) 068
Major Equi~oent ReoairReplacesent 14 $07847 $166647 ($58800) 06515 $10i622 5165804 ($64181) 061
16 $95993 $165032 ($69 039) 058Replace Cost ($6300)period 18 $86246 $163674 ($77428) 053Replace Period 20 years A12 20 $78143 $162522 ($84379) 048
ccz- a Firaca Araiysi- for Erergy IrvestL-rrts -- Ecyrt EC 01)83
TAP-LE P-7
For Case ofFIZLD TEST 4 - H-LWAN TEXTILEWAS-i i-AT PRESVERY wRIC2 SIS08L)DiL Assumiron Oil Escalation Rate of 20
Saved ValL- CCaoital DoeratinQ Cost of Oil Fue Used Fuel Erervy save kriual Cash Flow Discourted Cash Flow (NPV) 3 i =Yea- Cost Cost $b1 (Bbl) Cost Ecuiv Ererzv Cet Currert $ 4 8 10 12
1 Trar-s $0ort 1orstr-t lor $0
I I t e ronez t i m S-1 $735 $833 $Q500 C 0 1341 $27 62 53851 ($542231) (S542231) (S542231) (S542231) ($542231)Sc 53 S530 0 so 11045 $1ES034 11359 S76755- 0o62o) ($356235) (S93830) ($401450)SO $I1359 $15S1 $0 11048 S172415 jeuro $113-1S (3241715) ($252156) 3273 011353 V S 457 ($-=766) -4 to 259 $1592 0 iO 11045 $173863 1353 S164504 ($35471) ($127567) (142M1) ($15556)
Q S11359 $1624 0 $0 (148 17 I S11359 S63 -- $4 155 (340ampG) ($27 430) ($49185)6 11353 -016 U $0 11045 $182136 $12353 2171609 $183205 S12728 73126 1421917 $0 $11359 $1669 0 $0 14048 $186623 $S 353 i75269 $32772 $=223177 $173060 $136987$1125 $173 0 $0 11048 $536r $-53 S173001 $46 74S 3276-3 $263916 $2153S0 S111359 $1757 0 $ 11048 S194167 $13f $182808 S59735 $426389 5355 198 $29179210 $0 $1793 0 S0 11043 S1930L $3 $15 3 72H492 513781 $434373 S353115110 $11359 $128 0 S 1 $11048( I $190653 $357 30 $608090 $57 878 S420500 S0 $1365 0 $0 11048 $HS052 1-3 $134633 $383753 359159 $57617 $47646313 v0 $11353 $1902 0 $0 11043 S210173 $1- $193314 $1107338 $770542 $133465 1527500l$0 $11353 $1940 0 $0 11048 $214376 $1153 $203017 $223E665 $845191 $$5272 $574 0651373 s53$0 11048 1213664 $11359 $2737 $1349578 $915771 $7-2862 $61644516 $0 359 $2019 0 $ 11043 S223077 $11359 $211678 $1467116 $382501 $803536 $65511817 $ 511 353 $2059 0 $0 11049 $227498 S595 $216133 $1582514 $1045583 $850574 $5037518 1 1A3 S2100 0$0 11048 122C48 $1135 $2-20683 $1695810 $1105235 $894236 $7251719 $0 $11359 S2142 0 $0 11048 $236689 $11359 $S25330 $1807033 $1161623 $934764 $75181920 S0 $11359 12185 0 0 11048 $241423 $11353 $230064 $1316237 $1214932 1372331 $778531
21 $0 $11359 $2229 0 $0 11048 $246251 $1135 $234832 $202349 $1265328 1007296 $802881
$5679558 $Zgt9073 0 $0 222801 $0134711 $797031 $3337680
A-13
ASTYPTINS TABLE TABLE A-7 (Contd) BEEIT-rOT TAEPLE (Calculated)
Economic and Financial Analysis for Energy Investsents - Egypt EEA 10196
Capital Costs Benefit Faraineters interral Rate of Return 3101
Acquisitiorn $567952 Price of Oil 1500 bbl (yr 1) Trarsportatior $0 Oil Escalat 20year Disc PV of FVof BC
Corstruct ior $0 Rate Benefits Costs lrv Ratio
Irterconrection $0 Enrgy Sar_as 1104 bblyear -
--- ------ Fue Use 0 bbiyear 0 $41-4711 $77031 $3337680 519 TOTAL (Ca) $H67952 2 $34202-0 S755587 $2586433 442
4 t2747662 $72424 $2023439 379 Construct Time 10 morths 6 $2235 532 $700 138 $LJj5394 328
8$1946703 $68137G $1265328 286
Ooeratina and Normal Mairtenance Costs 10 $1673853 $666557 $1007296 251
11 $55962n $660307 $399314 236
Oerating Cost $11359 year 12 $1457578 $654697 $802881 223
Operating Lifetime 21 years 13 $136G 136 $64- 645 $716491 210 14 $1283$40 $645083 $638857 199
Major Equipment PeoairReplacemert 15 $1209831 $640951 $568880 189 16 $1142817 $37197 $505620 179
Replace Cost $0 period 18 $1026777 $630653 $396124 163
Replace Feriod 20 years 20 $930302 $625165 $305137 149
A-14
Econoi an Fnarial alysi for Energy Irve te-pt -- Eryct EEP 10138_
TABLE A-8
For Case cfF7ELD TEST $4 - HE=LWqN TEXTILE4qSTE -_j E[CXERY (PRCE C7 OIL $2013E_) Assurn_ 0i Escaiaticon Rate of 20
Saved Vale cf Capita Doeratn Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel Energy Saved rrual Cash c-w-- Discounted Cash Flow (NOV) i = Yea- Cost Cost Eb (pb]) Ccst Equiv Ererz Cst Currert $ 4 8 10 2
oisi67Ac s tr
rarExrt $0 rorstrztio sc
IIrerccrr_tor $0 7 $200Y 0 C1841 1687Tctai$78K S 98 1 )$53C3 ) 315Z3 02) ($5330251 ($533025) ($533015)2 v $11355 $ 04Q 0 $0 11048 t225379 $1153 $214020 (327235) (S-34858) ($338461) ($341935)3 $0 $11353 $08i C $0 11048 $-23857 $1135 1-258 ($125195) (S147505) ($157B59) (167726)
4 $0 $1135 $21 22 0 $0 11048 $234465 $11359 $223126 $73163 $23619 $3778 (18910) $0 fI1-- $21E5 0 $0) 11048 $29174 $353 $227815 $26790 $197070 $r5 379 $125S71E $0 $13 2 2 083 0 so 11048 S2433K8 S1352 5-3 $459080 1355 373 $303805 $267854
7 $0 611355 $252 C $1) 11048 $243K7 $59 $27478 $4762 $505024 $-855 53881678 $ $1135 $227 0 $0 11048 $2K2814 353 -142455 $33007 $646494 $568272 $4978429 $1 35 $2343 (1 $0 11046 $253 83 $111359 s47 531 $1011876 $780227 $623747 $59781510 $0 $11359 $I39 0 $0 11048 $26068 $135 $252703 $1183426 $906644 $790920 $68894411 soS 1359 $2438 0 s0 l048 $2634 S1 359 S57990 $1363714 $1026144 3890387S77201012 $0 $11359 $2487 0 s0 11048 $274736 $353 $263377 $1534793 $1139102 $982699 $84772513 $0 S11259$2535 0 $0 11048 $280231 $11359 $268872 i1702736 $1245874 $1068389 $91673814 $0 $11359 $2587 C0 $0 11046 $285835 $1359 $274476 $1867573 $1346733 $1147876 $97364015 so $11-359 $2629 0 s 11048 $291552 $i135 S28193 12023383 $1442193 $1221659 $103697316 $0 S1359 $2632 0 $0 11048 1237383 S353 $22-024 $2188202 $1532360 $1290131 $108922917 $ 111359 $2746 ( s0 11048 $303331 $11359 $291972 $234408 $1617584 11253673 $113885618 $0 $11359 $2800 0 $0 11048 $303-97 $115 $298038 $2497093 $1698134 $1412638 $118026419 $0 $11359 $2856 0 $0 11048 $315585 11359 $304226 $2G47268 $1774267 $1467356 $1219 8520 $0 $11359 $2914 0 $0 11048 $321897 $11359 $310538 $2794663 $1846222 $518131 $125588121 $0 $11359 $2972 0 $0 11048 $328335 $11359 $316976 $2939326 $191422 $565248 $1288740
$567958 $229073 0 $0 222801 i5512948 $797031 $4715917
A-15
P7UrSPTIONS TABLE TABLE A-8 (Contd) EtEFIT-CSTS TABLE (Calculated)
Ecoroic ard irarcial Analysis for Energy Investments -- Egypt EEA 1019E6
apital Ccsts Benefit Parareters Irterral Rate of Return 4220
Acquisition $567958 Transportation $0
Construct ior $0 Irtercor rectior $0
Price of Oil Oil Escalat
Enrgy Savrgs
$2000 bbl (yr 1) 20year
11048 bblyear
Disc
Rate
----
PV of erefits
PV of
Costs NPV
BC
Ratio
TOTPL (Cap) $567958 Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 J55948
2$4456027 $797031 $75587
$4715917 $3 700440
6 2 590
Construct Time 10 corths 4$3E 3550 6$3060 709
$724224 $700 138
$2939326 $2 360571
506 437
Operating and Normal Maintenance Costs 8$2595604 1(V$2231804
$681376 $666557
$1914229 $1565248
381 335
Operating Cost Operating Lifetime
$11359 iyear 21 years
11 $2079494 12 $1343437 13 T1821515
$660307 $654697 $649645
$1419187 $1288740 $1171869
315 297 280
Major Equipment RepairReplacement 14 $1711920 15 $1613108
$645083 $640951
$1066837 $972157
265 252
Replace Cost $0 period 16 $1523756 18 $1369035
$637197 $630653
$886559 $738382
239 217
Replace Period 20 years 20 $1240402 $625165 $615238 198
A-16
Eccw= ar -narzia Pnav=_is fcr Erergy Irvestrrent_ -- Egypt EEC 101
P= A-9
or Case of2IED TEST 4 - HELPAN TEXTIEN3TE HEAT -CDOERY (PC- U BBL- ----Assmir Cil Escalation Rate of 20
SaVEdt C~famta eratirg Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel Energy Saved Annal Fasn Flow Discounted Cash Flow (UOV 8 i = lea- Cost Cost $Pb (8b1) Cost Ec-jiv Energy Cost Crrert I 4 8 10 12
I Transocrt corst rutr $7
rterornazticota HS 833 7 1841 $4S 73 -3951 C$52818 (WBIB) ($52381 1 (3523818) ($53218)SC 51133 $20 0 048 $22172 U3 $27365 ($263851 1(2731480) (278031) ($262421)$0 $11359 $2601 0 $0 11042 7=5 $12$3 5275 999 (-S74) (368Z5) 333343900253 ( 15)0 111049 ( $359 _51 747 $241737 $I82 805 $161748 5131462Q 07C 11043 S2531558 11259 12379 $477 s46 $323206 $35188 $32 27$0 $11-_ $2760 0 1n 11043 $304 94 $11 3 3 24E7--555 $722 55 $5S3 Mf $5404 - $$487517$7 $-~5 $2315 0 11048 $712 1353 $233 53 5 872 $786 871 $709649 $639347$ $1 5282 0 $0 14 391141292 0 IK93
656f $8662 S7777253SiZ bull0 $312 5 $1426427 T113465 $10122372 9 3 39 $ 35- $2983 0 $ 145 $33035 1 3 3 726 $165035 $12350M S1147467 $108774$C $135 $304711 0 S0 11046 $3365pound 5ii5 $325 22712 $)
187C 129t44419- $1272895 SI 2351$- $3103 C S 113 $34$2 - 132206 $20S53 S1556613 11353280 $ PIE98c13 3 S317 0 v 1 5$143 250 $11159 $3352 $2237533 I 72120 $47274 $1305375SO 51253 $2340 s0 104 S3 $184840-
0 SO 11041 $364 $11353 5081 3709183 519E861E $262) 456 S1457500 15 Ss35-2 $3293
3 17294 $1 9 $ 9-- $ 293 $157473 $138525-5
16 V0 $1353 $3365 0 s 1I1Ns -3717 21f5 $230328917 - $ 7C 1270 2082220 $776726 $1523340$7 $II35 $34 32 0 $0 1104c8 $37312 $11 $372 4 $3105663 $2183578 $156771 1533718 S 1-13 $35 1 0 so 1048 $7332377 t1931039 $1638010$22-103419 $0 $11353 $3571 0 $0 11048 $3544S2 $135q Q83123 $3487437 $2385910 $M947 $168783120 $0 $1135q $364( $0 11048 $40-37 $1135 $391212 $3673088 $2477512 $2053881 $1733230$0 $11359 $3715 021 $9 11048 $40419 $113553 $399060 $3855214 $2563130 $2123 19 $1774600
$567 9S3 $--3073 0$0 M 801 $6831186 $737031 $6034154
A-17
SUPTIONS TABLE TABLE A-9 (Contd) EENPT-OET TAKE (Caiculated)
Ecoc an Firarzial Palysis for Energy Investments - Egypt EEA 1l6
Caits Co=ts Berefit Parameters Irterrz2 Rate R~Return 5368
Acquisition $567958 trice of Oil $250 i-b (yr I) Tarsprcrtator
Constructior
Interconnectior
$0
$0
so
Oii Esalat
Enrgy Savnps
2 0vear
11042 bblyear
Disc
Rate
V Cf
PerEfits
V of
Costs -IV
FC
Ratio
------------TOTP (ap 57959
Fuel Use 0 bl1year 0 $f)83 33
$797031 75537
1609454 $481444E
865 737
Construct Tire 10 rnortns 4 14573 437 6 $332f 886
$724224Q13855214 $700138 $S-125748
632 546
OperatinL and Ncrmal MaIntenarce Costs 3- L 5)5 1 $27K755
$ES376 $666557
5t 130 $2123199
475 419
Ooerating Cost
OperatiTrg LifetiMe
$1359 year
21 years
1 if25H37 2 $24229
3 S2276893
$660307 G 5o637
$649645
$5939081 $1774600
16-2724
394 371
350
Major Equipment RepaiReplacemert bull~~l i4$2239005 -2 01S32
$64508 $14948162051 375435$640 1 $ 4 5
3 2 315
Replace Cost
Replace Period
$0 period
20 years
16 $1X4 695 18 S1711294
20N $1 550 503
$637197 $1267498 $530652 $1080641
$625165 $925338
299 271
248
A-18
Econr- ard Fra--a haavsi fcr Er=rv investerts -- Ecyzt E
For Case ofFELD TEST 4 - HELWANTEXTILES3TE -9T REZOVERY (PCE C-O 3IBiL) PssuTir~g Oil Escalation Rate c 20
Year Capital
Cost Ooeratir
Cost Cost cf Oil
$lBbl Fuel Used
(Ebl) Fuel Cost
Saved Erergy Eauiv
ValS cf Saved
Enercy Pnral
Cost Ls iCh Crrert 1
Di-cousteJ 4
Cash Flow 8
(NPV) i 10
=
12
I P~uis~xor~1567958 Transvort $0
1 cntrct mc- 1Irte-ccrret ic
a1s
4
6
Q$ 11
12 13
14 5
16
17
18
19
20 21
$
to 11Z so 1353 C 1-S s$o $1
$0 t13
$0 $i359 $0 $
S 11135-
3 $0 $11359
$0 $1359 $ $-353
$0 I353 0 $ 111359 $0 111359
so S11359 SC $11359
$ $11359
$0 $11359 $0 $11359
$4so $ $3121 $3164
824
$3312
$3378
$3445 $3515
$3657 37730
S33(
$138 $3958 $4033
$4118
$4201
$4285 $4370 5445
(1 0
C
0
0
C00 0
0 0
0 0
0 0 C
0
0
0
0 0
$0 $0 $0
$0
$0
$0
SCso $0
$-$0
$0 $0
$0 $0 s0
$0
so
$0 $0 $0
184 1104 11048 11048
1104S
11048
110 3
11048110 I 8
1(148 11048
11049 11048
11049 11048 11046
11048
11048
11048
11048 11048
S5524C
$338069 S344831 t3727
$3537S
$ 37
$37-
t33-7 2$38 3 $383335
$3161 $4(402
$412104 $42034S
$423753 $47328 $445075
$454995
$464056
$473378
$482845 $492502
$563851
S11355 $11359 S11355
5
11135
$1352
11355s
115335
$1359 $11359
$113 $112-59 $11353
$11353
$11353
$11359 $11359 $11359
11) ($514611
S2 710 33471 $1784 $340368 $410431 S$34740 1 $7 392 IK3457 $333829
i351390$123484
-255 $15= 3 $11353$27976 $1840978 S13-36384743 $2111293
9 $3665 $2376563
$40$745 1636279 $40S987 $2 832331 $417394 $2142007 42 99 $338934
$434716 $6Sl376
$443637 $387238 $4E2 737 14093661 $452019 $4327726 $471486 $4155514 $481143 $4771101
($51461
$73796 $343991
5539 342
$84661
$1063717
S284236 $1487914
$680371 S1862251
$2034124 $21955326
$23--0 013 $2495039 $262079
$2761573
$2883934
$2999553
S3103802 $3212031
($54611
$5-7994 $313717
$50998
$77162
$975443
$164984 $134)846
$504014 $165540A
$1795862 $1926178
$2047082 $2159253 $226-3321
$2359869
$2 449 441 $2532539 $2609631 $2681150
($514611)
06
$42935 $285202
$S505933
$707180
$80527
$57603 $1209862 $1348604 $1475031
$1590 236 $1695213
$79)359 $1878030 $1957451
$2029818
$2095757
$2155838
$2210580 $2260459
$567958 $229073 0 $0 222801 $8 269423 $797031 $7472391
A-19
TABLE A-10 (Contd) ASSUMPTIONS TABLE EENEFIT- ST TABLE (Calculated)
Econoraic are Fin=-ial alycsis for Energy Investments - Egypt EA 101965
iaital ccsts Bereifit Parameters internal Rate of Peturr SE55
Acquisition $H67353 Price of Oil $3000 bbl (yr 1) Transportatio $0 Oil Escalat 20year Disc PV of PV of BIC Constructior $0 Rate Benefits Costs NPV Ratio
Irterconectior $0 Errgy Savncs 11048 bblyear ---shy=-- Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 $8263423 $797031 $7472391 1038
TOTAL (Cap $79-53 24$6684040 $755587 $592Or 453 S85
4$542E325 $724224 $4771101 753Construct Time 10 months 6$459063 $700138 $3890925 656 8$3 893 406 $681376 $322 031 5 71
Operating and Normal Mainterance Costs 10 $2347706 $666557 $2681I0 502 - 11 $3119241 $660307 $3458934 472
Operating Cost $1359 year 12 $2915155 $654697 $2260459 445 Operating Lifetime 21 years 3 $_73 272 $64364Z $2081627 421
14 $2567880 $645082 $1922796 398Major Equipment RepairReplacemient 15 $2419662 $640951 $1778712 378
16 $228-634 $637197 $1648437 359 Replace Cost $0 period 18 $2053553 $630653 $1422900 326
Replace Period 20 years A-20 20 $1860603 $625165 $1235439 298
poundcenrzzc ar Firarial Analysis fcr Energy irnvesttterts -- EZyt pound2~ 10g88
TABLE A-Il
For Case of-EL TEST 4 - ELqN E LEA ATEP2ERy -E-D701 $35KL) Assumir Oil Escalaticn Rate cf 20
Savet- Vaiue cflaza 2eratn Cost of Oil Fuel Used Fuel Ererpy Saved Arnual Can_ Flow Discourtee Cas Flow (NV) i =Yea Cost Cost $pbl (Ebl) Cost Eauiv Enercy Ezt C-rrert $ 8 10 12 - -cuisittor -567-
Trarsocr $
crstrttir Irterznr or $0
7t Z-=7s5 3 $3Z0I 0 $0 1841 $amp4447 $59652 $505 405) ($-5405) ($505 405) (50540)5 ($55405$0 $11359 t3E70 so 1048 $34414 $11359 $353055 ($137083) ($I724) 173) ($16331)$1 $1359 $940 $ 1048 $4(2 32 $11353 $39C 76543 1224 $16444S $HE 92 $1482664 $0 $11359 $3714E Q $0 11043 359 89$41(2348 $1139 52 8 $5068 SSC I217 $4 5 6 7so TIIM $3789 Q V1 11043 $418E5f $11359 S$4)7 IgS 76 $4651687 $432258$927 138 $300478 $7432 807 $6i9103g
$0 $1359 $3864 0 $0 11048 $42S 98 $415527m3 833 $65704 11 C V001841o$0 1135g $3942 0 $0 11048 $435464 $11359 $$424105 $1603881 $135-564 124238 $1141707$ - $420 0 $0 1104-8 $4174 s3523 $43281- $232784 $1503107 $h63340 $1337491$0 $11359 $4101 0 $0 11048 s4_z_c- $ -9 S 4441-93$22E 52 $841743 $1S89396 $15158685$0 Sn359 $4183I 0 50 11049 $4621E $I353 $450753 $2572227 $206723 $1860582 $1878434 0 $11359 $4266 0 so 11048 $471-8 $125912 $46C 12 $22-987 $2280305 $2037912 $182S542t $1-9 43520 2
$0 11048 $48075 $1359 $4E9423 $3187919 12451E35 $2202444 $i961492$ $1139 $4439 0 $0 1104S $49C404 $11159 $479 4- $3437129 $2671870 $2375023 $2084450$0 S359 $452814 0 $0 11048 $50212 $113515 $483853 $378072 $2851 620 $2495386 S2196483s$ $I359 $4618 0 s0 11048 $51G216 $11359 $498557 $4065793 $3021462 $22205 V 298 559$- 52 $471116 0 $0 11048 $520420 $1$37 5 150306 1 $4351463 $3181939 $274916 $2391563$1359 $4805 0 $0 11048 $53129 $11359 $51347Q $4628812 13333567 $2882967 $247629 18 $0 S1359 $4901 0 $0 11048 $541445 S11359 $530086 $4900944 $347583K $2S7842 $255350319 so $11353 $4993 0 so 11048 S=52274 $11359 S540915 $5167955 $3612197 $3065131 $2L3644$0 si359 $509920 0 $0 11048 $530 $1135921 $551961 $5429939 $3740093 $315381 $2687930$0 $11359 $5201 0 so 11048 $574586 $11359 $563227 $56869B9 $3850932 $3239101 $2746318
$567958 $229073 0$0 2L801 $9647660 $797031 $8850629
A-21
SSUmOTIO3 TAlBLE TABLE A-lI (Contd)
PNEFT-COSTS TALE (Calculated)
Economic and Fir ancia Analysis fc-Energy Investments -- Egypt EEA I0P386
Calita costs Penefit arazeters
$cuistion$Z723 Price of Oil $ h500bb (yr 1)Trarspcrtation t0 Oii Escalat 20year Corstructcr $0
Irtercornection $0 Enray Savs 11048 bblyear -- - Fuel Use 0 bblyear
TOTAL (Cap) $5 57 8
Construct Time 10 mnrths
Coeratir ard Normal Maintenance Costs
Ooerating Cost $1135 yEar Operating Lifetime 21 years
MaJor Equipment RepairReplacemert
Replace Cost $0 period Replace Period 20 years
A-22
nterral Rate of Return 7785
Disc PV of PV of Rate Benefits Costs NTV --- _--
V S9647EGO $7-7031 $8850629 N $7793047 $755587 $7042460
4 $E411212 $724224 $568698961S 3S240 $700138 $4656102
8 $454 307 $681376 $3860 93-10 $305657 $666557 $323910111 Q633114 JE0307 $2978 SO3 I E $3401015 $654697 $2746318 I 387650 $S4964c5 $2538005 14 $25860 S645C83 $2350776 15 t- B940 $64051 $2181939
16 $266E 573 $37197 $2029376 18 $2395812 $630653 $1765159 20 $2170704 $625165 $1545539
BIC Ratio
1210 1032
885 75
667 586
551 519 491
464 440
418 380 347
Econoir a-nFinaci AralySi f- Ererzy InvEstments -- 07ptE LE
TP93
For Case ofFIELD TEST 4 - F1-LWA TEXTT -- (nC O= ]L s40PEt) Assuirz Oil Escalation Rate of 20
Saved Value cCaita 29ratir s of C Fuel Used
Fuel Erer y 3ave_- pal Casn Flo^ fLiscured Cash Flc (NPV 2 erCost Cost I Ib) Cost Euiv --ervy Cost Currert 3 4 8 10 12
1 7rans~crt $0
$ Tr O iS - 0 2$0 124 373655 39=851 ( 433193 (14351 ($ 6 1 8 $4 5 1 8931 4968l$ --3 $4020 0 VI 11048 $45C 3SI23 $42 2S W3698) ($33473 (35744) ($103877)0 1_3 0 so4152 1248 453 774 5 $34085amp Q95 07$0 443415 $ S273847 553596= S24 45 $0 1048 $45-95 $11359 $4Z7E $74770 SS5362 517656 573314S0 C 5 $4330 0 $0 11048 $47-34c 31259 $425339 $114f884 $$001513 5936616 $8760940 $59 $44E 0 $0 11048 4$10 1253 $47_55_9 1532579 13-2950 1232520 11146505
- c $S450- 0 sO N04E 147574 i $4263559 13C $1632410 $507021 $392887$10 $11259 14535 0 $0 11042 $5077 $ 3~5$1 268$4-3 $2700043 121 978 $176169G $167374I 135 $4627 0 so Ns04 1577S s259 S2670080 9f5282o 1 7 14W 2 I $19337945 5182903$478S 0 $0 043 $1s53 S52776 13033160 12454038 $2217103 20026411 9 $47 0 014876$S-E_ 4 1104--20 = 3 5pound 7 07$14800803 0O $3269358o$0 c 359 S 3 7 $2442 421 $217805$
s2 37115$5171 $0s14 1 S355 $E74 11048 S -511113-f 1743 102 $4C1L 27 $13147202 $2783 987 $24736230 $0 114048 517 311 HI9 S56312 $4418436 S13357 $294628332217 12602037I5 $0 $1353 $1z Sf 312$7578 0 $0 11048 $I 319 $439 _7$3$527404 $59 -40$7745 $278 gO $ 43$4743604 $3547884 $30998428 $2719087$0 $I Ec $383 016 $0 11048 $5547ES v11255 $H62407 S5072550 $3 799 $323E511 12825674$11359 $549 0 S0 1048 SE s 311 50 $ 9-25562U $2 2 718 $O $1-253 $5 0 $0 11048 61875 1i3 $470 8 40693133 1482244 20120715 $0 135I $5713 0 so 11043 $5217 3 77$113 9 775 $470 $2248 4 01 7$30912010 $0 11359 $5 827 0 $0 11048 $642794 $11359 $632435 $S39t367 $4371382 $370130 $3165280
21 $0 $11359 $5944 0 $0 11048 1656570 511359 S645311 6602876 $4509833 $3797052 $3232177
$567953 $ 29073 8970 10 801 511 02-5 $797031 $10228866
A-23
TABLE A-12 (Contd)PSSI PTIONSTAJKE rEnJT-DETS ^2LE(Caiculated)
E~onoma~infncia fcr Erery Investwerts - Egypt EA 1036
LapitE --ts Penefit Parameters ternr ate cf ketur 9060
Pquisition $-57958 Price of CI Trasortaticon $f CiI Escalat
onstructIon $0
iterzorr-ction $0 Ernrgy Savrs ------ Fuel Use
77A ao) $567958
Construct Time 10 months
OpEratirg ar N-rmal Mairterance Ccsts ------
Operating Cost $1355 year Operatirn Lifetime 2 years
Major Eqiprent RepairRezlacement
Replace Cost $0 period Replace Period 20 years
$4K lbb (yr 1) 20year
11043 bbllyear
0 bblyear
Ns PV of PV of Rate eni L-sts NPV
0$11025 397 1797031 $1022666 2 25q3 75E587 $ 156466 4 $7327100 $724-4 $6602876
6 $$121418 $700138 $5421280
e5191203 $68376 $4509833 10 $4463603 $66-57 $377C52 11 $4152988 $G 307 $3498681 12 $3865874 $654697 $3232177 13 13643029 $543645 $2993384
14 $3L423840 $645083 $27875615 S3226217 $6402351 $2585266 16 13047512 $637197 $2410315 18 $2738071 $630653 $2107418 20 $24008 5 $625165 $1855640
BC Ratio
1383 1179
1012
874
762 670
630
594
561
531 503
478 434
397
A-24
-c-nc an Firanzia Pralysisfcr Erergy Irvestrents -- Env t E 0
TALE P--3
Fer Case tfFEI7E3ET4 - FLN TEXTILESCLR PLUS
Assuming Oil Escalafior Rate oF 0
73 T ECCeZRY (PR_5rCF OIL S15BL)
r a
bull
etaIOiertrg
ssost Ccst Of Oi
$I Fe Lse
(E-12 Fuel
Save -Enery Eciv
a L Ef SaveS
Erery ra Ccst
asn Fli CLrrert f
sccunted 4
Cash Floo (NPV) 8 10
i
2
bull
4
5
7
0
1
2
13
14
16
17
is
19 20
21
r S CCrrnst cr $cr
erzcn11 on
Toa7 52 $2313 $ 13279 SC 13279 S t13979 $ $2673
C5r2
$0 $13573
S $13873 $ S$13279 $0 t373 $0 $13 79 $0 $387 $0 $13S79
$0 $1357S
$0Si 3279 $0 513879
$0 $13279
$ $137
0 $13879 $0 $S3879
($E300) $13879
$711653 $279893
V500
$1530 S561
S5592 $1624 $16565
$1689
$1723 $1757
$1733
$1326
$1265
I -
$1140
$1973 $20
S205 $2100
$2142 $2185
$22-29
0 0
0
r)
0
0
r
0
0 0 0
0
0 0 0
0
O$0 189 $28490 $720263 $0 1396 $17453 $13 S7 $0 113SE $177346 t-879 $$C 13 $1803 2a7g $$0 1139 12503 S1387 $0 1396 $183732 7 2 2S 0 13 $192 3 $13879
$0 1 c 9E3 8761 $0 11396 $20 2E3 $3872 $0 1396 $20423 V2 273 $0 11396 $20335 S13873 0 1132H $212542 T2272 $0 11396 $216733 $1387 $0 11396 $221129 $13879
to 1139S $25f2 3 $0 11353 523063 $13873 $0 11396 $234664 $13873 $0 11396 $23357 $13879
$0 11396 $244144 $13879 $0 11396 $249027 13879 $0 11396 $254008 $7579
$0 22819 $4264950 $991546
A-25
(77-773(5691771 1$691776) 164 C ($537432) ($542184)
$ 367 138E872) (M402609) 37524 ($23E944) f$263623) $17 ($90642) ($143 2 73174853 $307 -14 -- 7G 4 ( 8 $173627 $194245 $8774amp
$182477 t33293 $114220 S1 404 $49117 $2-4229 $10 410 s 027 $390 181 $154496 $734291 $490270 $193663 $86Z339 $565474 $202914 $3073 $amp46054 $207250 $1114548 722259
$11amp73 $1236783 $794325f216184 $356823 $862476 t220785 474702 $92921 $22- 478 $590456 $987860
$23)265 $1704121 $1045484 235148 $1815733 $10-971
$24642 $1928200 $1152842
$3273404
(691 776) ($691776)
($545885) ($543491) ($410376) ($417777) ($264512) (532537) (17613) (189767) (9 ) ( 1( $ 53 0 4 -4 ) -$1) $41737 ($53)
$135427 S82491 $22238s $157776 $303138 $M-6440 $373125 $289063 $447755 34o174 $S12410 $398257 $572443 $445753
$S28193 S8066$679935 $528562
$727985 $564576 $772594 $597416
$814010 $27360 $852458 $6546G2 $889088 $680208
TABLE A-13 (Contd) PSc6UY1TTG TAKE 52ZFEI-CSTS TXLE Calculated)
Econo iar narza 9Aais- for ErErgy Investments shy Eypt EZE 1ci35
Capital Ccsts Benefit Parameters Irternal RatE c Return 24953
~ccui i tcr717953 Price of Oil $15Y0 bbl (yr 1) T-ars~crtat ion $0 Oil Escalat 20year Disc tV of V of BC
crstruct ion $0 Rate Benefits Costs NP Ratio Intercornectior $ Enrgy Savrs 11396 L11year
FuE US= 0 bbiyear 0 $4264950 $991546 $3273404 431
TOTPL (Cap)-77953 2 447230 $942ss $2 504m 366 4t $2334211 $301011 $1928200 313
Costruct T 0 mth_ 357 838 $877493 $1490346 270 12110080 $85511 $112842 235
Operatin and Ncrma aintenarce Costs 0 $7 S76 $837483 $883068 0 11 $1608747 $830008 $778739 194
Operatin Cost Oeratirg Lifet1 M1
$_87T year years
2-$502490 13 $1403 168
$823281 $917216
$660203 $9195
183 172
14 $1324383 $311730 $512652 163 Major Equipert ReoairRepiacemert 15 $1247940 $80S 754 $441185 155
16 $1178815 $80222 $37658S 147 Replace Cost ($6300)period 18 $1o9119 $794327 $264792 133
Replace Period 20 years 20 $3959605 $787687 $171918 122
A-26
-- tr- er F-= v fc E-r= 1r tesirt_Egyrt EEP
TqPPLE P-4
F- caecfFlDTST t4 - UEL$Q TEXTILESDLAR PLUS WASTE HET -COVERpY(Pj- OF OIL $S31PL) nssuring Cil Escalatio- Pate c
Ltal Ccst cF Oil Fuel Used savet Va- cCa 0eratin Fuel Er-er SavE Armia Lasn FowDy riscoured Cash Fco (N7V) i vew t cost $b (b) Cost Eciv nert Cost Currert $ 4 810 10 12
ftP ic ro717953 I rarszc-t $0
r r $0|
f7753 $t S2100S23-13 so 1233-7 37 933747 ($S62-202 (23N ($682280)S Z-2) z $11279 M--7
3 2 $12 $Q373 (447205 $47 67-3 t$453t2 ($487110)3173 $DE 3S 2 2712 T 3S1249 t1$2532) ($2Sj731 ($292049 ($30-23)v W 2n UL22 22732
4 0 so 37 7 SE2923 (-2742S) ($27 531 ($146842)$0 1 57 $ 3 H 5 7 8 fit 73 1 2 8 0$2208 0 $0 3S tKj2 H872Q $237763 121 449 1-543 $17901 S6 3$ $1o73 32152 0 so Ins I25 E7 $1373 524796 152334 S373 47 o1l953 12503tq7 $21 0 so ni8 $2E 8( C3973 t715740 521 13 $24792954413 $1 190
0 $ 1279 $2343 0 33 6 5S L3 73 152 ME3 $22726 SSE913 = k S473433C En 1i c SC 2H6 127-ESE $1373 5237506504E52517O3 $71230 S672916 56391 $0 $13379 $2438 0 $0 113H S773-S25 272 4 5 7 $911492 $726E2 $651646I1 $0 S879 $2457 0 SO 3 $322 1372 5251 1143736 $7C702 $SE7144 $72912313 7 =36 s2 5 $1273 $275173 M160612 S113 353 5954024 $7 55514 SO H1079 121E7 0 so 1s3 I234m3 I 73 $2503H0 1772343 $123966 $1036208 S 414415 $ $1o7 $S3 0 $0 11336 C3002 $1 $3K7Z $1372 $St7557 S M37330 A1746$9M 840a $- 2 56 c so 3 1m237i 123287 129 3 MI42 LEE $97E34717 SO $13879 $-740 $0 1296 531S3525
12 7 1387 $2-30 $2 $51637 5 4E97 5 A 2vO 1 ST2 0 0a7 $209 1123S 1314 $13879 1305 264 $241E979 C59 43E 30N IbX3 581Ws19 $0 11387 $2356 0 $0 11336 $3H526 $13879 $311647 $2570817 $1677425 5133377 $111010820 $0 $12879 $2114 0 $0 i13 $33203S $13879 $318157 $2721828 61751146 S415399 $114704821 ($6300) $13879 $272 0 $0 11396 $338677 $7579 $331028 $2872937 $1822182 $1464614 $1181372
$71653 $279893 0$0 M819 S56686) $991546 $4095054
A-27
TABLE A-14 (Contd) 3M-S rET-N7 CSTS TPULZ CalLNated)
Ecobullric anf 7rT a f- Erer Investrents -- E F ay A 1916
Capita Sosts BersEft taraampeters R-ae -eturf 3402
Aczuisitjorn $717953 Trarnscrtatior $0
Price of Oil Oil Escalat
$2000 bbl year
(yr 1) poundai_ PEcf cf BC
Zcnstructior $0 Rate Penefits Costs NOV Ratio ir$tez)rectio
TOTAL tCa ) $717 953
Enrgy Savrs Fuel Use
1129 bblyear 0 bblyear
==shy0$568GG00 2- $4 33257
$954E $342962
$4535 054 $3 534i
574 487
Lo stru 6 Time 10 con-h r1 e-
4$3773943 $357118
E2Z17363
$9S 011 $2 872 937 S877493 $2279625 $S5518 S1 822182
41736 360 313
rPEratino ans Nrmal Maintenance Costs
Oueratirg Cost $13872 year Cpratir Lifetime 21 years
0 S2302104-1-$214493G
2$2004 53 -1S 78330
$5374n9$330008
$S2323 $817216
$464614$131A93
$IE1372 2051674
275 258
243 230
Major Equiprent RepairReplacemernt 14 $17 5843 5 $1G663919
$311730 SS06754
$954113 $7 165
218 206
Replace Cost Replace Period
(N6300)period 20 years
16 $571753 18 $1412159 20 $1279474
$802 22 $794327 $787687
$769524 $617832 $491787
6 178 162
A-28
- ranzcal Analysis fc- Enery vestrent_ - Eynt EE 0
TALE t-E
77 P7 q (NU - C$Ipp Asumzr_ O EscaatorRate cf 0
ot _o-tr o
ct of Oil $1-
Fuel Used (Ebl)
FL Cost
Save Ergy
Ecuiv
a1e e-
Errgy r
ost Ca--ic
rrer $ DisEcurted Cash 4 8
Floh (NPV) 10
P i 12n
I
I
Acuis~tion S177 Trar-pcr T
cnstr=ticr $0 rernct cshy
7S7
-
V I
In
I $1227
t3S7
I27T
2E F - 03
1706Q_
0
0 $0
0S0 1
--shy29 S4748
E $-5
3 2419 122723 $32
I3F 13 33f
$72
137 $187 7 $13879
S2$ (333727-3
7Z73 ($4 707
SZS2 E-I (V454 1 135104E 3$2 4 S3--2S3
($672733)
($41ESE2)
$1743-7$c 271122
(72731
($421-20)
(SIS7723$23000
$2-1152
(S672783
(S4252
S201430)$4E39
$1203
-$ 3
14
IS 7
18 19
20
21
C$$3875
c $ 17
$17573-$$ S 2 73
S $12272
S 10 113273
$0 12E73
V$ 1-73 $0 7 $0 $1327
$0 $13872 V $13873
$0 $13873
(05300) $13879
12760 82
227272
3 $232
$3047
$3108 $317
$3234
$323
t$365 $3432
$3507
13571
$3642
13715
0
C
C J
0 C
0
0 0 0
0
0
0
1
10
$0
$c
so $0
so
$0 $0
$0
$0
$0
$0
336 $314553 1133S $32844 2H t61735
133 1 3S 135G $34(432
1336 $7gt
1332 $354227 1133 $30132L
13 $363543
$37
139E $383432 11222 $23
1 S332$3=22 1133 $406 9-7
113 $415046
11396 $423346
s12 7 $i E74 $8 $47575_ $846 $13E79 1-_- - $ tq520120 s 379 3132332 1103568 S3f2050 1750934
01279 133227 11 _2433 $11024 27 $71 82 373 32 6S0 $1553 S02 $1183280 $038694 $S87 13-3413 S79 04 $1342714 S111722
$237 1o3558 2 134 $148368 $i2632 1387 $347443 $2217146 162562 5133723$ 1 $12753 $254670 $243-151 S1757074 S149 74
S3 $ E K22 $180334 C 5 53 $1337 $362S55 $2 44423 51933835 V16E3750 S3879 $377322 7223 $2106944 51 8M465
$1373 7-E5- $ 24502 $221101 84 2 05-$13 79 $3 3 028 $3437512 $2309366 $1912745
$13373 $401167 $3627923 $2402321 $1978339 S7579 $4f-5767 $387674 $2491523 $2040140
$3E2613 V1813
165S399
$78102 $32673
1014228
$111073 I31253
$282534
$1 35 $1424132
66
$5474 $1572856 S1 39434 $1682535
$71153 $273933 0 $0 22819 $7105250 $991546 $6116704
A-29
TABLE A-15 (Contd)gSSVL1TKE--- TAL-2 12alculated)
-cic ar -ari - lysis fc Erery rvestrrts - Egypt EEP i9IlS
Costs Perefit PararetErs Irsternal Rate cf Return 4318
M-quisition $7174953 Trice of il $200 bbl (yr 1)Transportat ir $ Ci1 scalat 20year Disc PV of PV of BICCostructic-n so
nate Derefits Costs f1] Ratio interconnection $0 Enrgy Savrs 11395 bbiyear
- -FUEUSEQ tYear 0 702250 $99FAG $E11Z704 717TOTPL (Cap) $717953 2$-74 483 $942 962 $4802515 609 4 $4723695 $905011 $3817674 521Construct Tirr 10 ronths $21-4pound397 $877493 $20E2904 450 8w $3 704 $855181 2 23 3910perztin and rcaMainterance Costs 10 $277630 $837483 $2 040 140 344
Operating Cost $13379 year 1I$2681 244 s830008 $1851237 323 12 $S2505816 iK23281 $162 535Operating_ Lifetime 21 years
304 13 $2348613 $817216 $1531397 287 14 $2207304 $311730 $139-574 2072Major Equipmert RepairReplacement 15 $2079899 $60E754 $1273145 258 1 $1924 $802229 $162462 245Replace Cost $300period 18 $176Z198 $794327 $370871 222Replace Period 20 years 20 $1593342 $787687 $811655 203
A-30
rcrc= ~ar rial Zralys- f- Erery lrivertfrentE -- E_=yt E
TQILE P-6
Fo Ca-se cfIELD TEST 4 - H-L4AN TEXTILPSIR
sunrini Esalation Rate cf 21
rILU3 WASTE H7AT Ey VD-- OIL 530B)
YEar aia
eratir Cost of Oil
cSst $1b Fuel Used ru
Ergry
Ecu I ZaVE f
ZnEr y Anru
COSt aS 7-06
rret 1 -iEzurtE 4
Cash 3
Flow (NV) 10
3 = 8
1 ra-rt
rn-rjt or $0 $0
4
2
14
15
16 17
is 12
20 21
73
$0 $7 so $0 $0$0 $0
C
$0
$0
S $ $0
so $0
$0 ($6300)
232-
23277w 37 63S
119 S387 $2879$13q73 $711$c
3273
1373 2733
S387-
S1237
2M79 $13r379
$12873 $13873
$13879 $3879
$35 S$ 60
3 284 $-247 S-is $3378 $3446$L515( $-c
$357
$73 0 $3805
$23
$-3958
S4022 $4118
$4201 $4265
$4370 $4458
00 0 0 0 0 0 0C
0
0 (
0
0
3 0
0
0 0
SO $0 SO $0 $l $0 $0 $0
S1 so $0
$0
$0
$0
$0 so
$0 $0
M51--S1333 $343 718 261- s337
33 2 33S $273062 3 $377453 233H $35012 336 3K1173I3 4f =c
$40Z S72
133S $41E750 136 $42525 1396 $43287
136 S442253 113 $451102
$4 2 1393 $4-C223 13^6 s4727-11396 $483289 i39g $498OE5 11396 $508016
hC S23873
$13873 S13873 T1387 $13 S72 $-
3 S 7 $23873 2 I12579 233q73
$17379
$12273 SI6373
513373 $13279
$13879 $7579
5
3332- ($$32236 (SS3386) ($$3335)12342333 ( H32t ( (1358887) 36 23 1813 (12- 1) (-- 20) (176337 ($3K-
-333743 27 264n4 27-3 $1Z756 1 5 35S133 $ 2-5 $47E533 $429034 S2-253 $3S3584 $32$TK-40 $65473 $559135 271133 $18 2 392 86423S777323 $378E34 $L5375Z $ E 66 103688 St458
- 44 3 $7 3 88 $230 S104765
3 202224 S57_- $1406472 S1247C37S402671 $DD141s $S773936$561796 $1376S11 1266 5r2 Q5SK235 S s 03
$41370P S2 79 $211E957 t 3653 $160275 $425379 13 27352 $227448 V3733 $437224 2 4$2 7t79390 $443246 125 32- $2564014 $285102 1J7317 $4-5449352 3 536 95 2284 $8294S311 $464336 $4070 026 $2322SE $2376786 12012911 $474410 $4304208 $2941307 $2462113 $2075603 $44176 $4534018 $305Z49 $2541279 $2130820 $500437 S47[2411 $3160864 $2615666 $2183698
$711653 $27993 0 $0 E29819 $8529900 $991546 $7538354
A-31
TLE TABLE A-16 (Contd)
- -1T E l-ate)
Znor~i ari -iraria2 alysis for Energy ireVstrents - Egypt EA1
LEitET Csts Eerefit Pararveters Interra Rate of eturr f255
Acouisition $752 ranspecrtaticr $$ Construction $0
rtercorrectior so
Price cf 04 0i Escaiat
Enrgy Savrs
$3 b (y-0yaar
1335 5byear
1) Dis- Rate
-
2V cf Benefits
PVof Costs NPV
BC Ratio
----------T2T_ CapL
--- Fuel Use 0 byear 852230C s432 $
$55 342 H5
77538254 $$f95$ 6A2- 6
860
--rstrct Tire 10 rths 4 $56642 6$473r-67
$90E 011 $877 49
$47E2411 $335- 184
62 E40
Operating and Nomra Maitenance Costs 8$4016044
10 $3452155 $8KZ 31 $827483
13 856amp4 $269666
470 412
Operating Cost Dperating Lifetime
$3872 21
year years
1 3217493 12n $00E930 13 $2218335
$33000c $823281 $817216
f2 387 486 $2183693 $2001 1
383 365 345
Major Equipment Repirez acement 4$2648765
15 $2A4S5619 $811730 $802754
1637035 $1689125
o 309
Replace Cost Replace Period
($5300)period 20 years
-$2327629 18 $2118238 20 $1919210
$822 $794327 $787687
$55 400 $1213911 $131524
-94 267 244
A-32
Eccic and iranza Pr-i- frEre irvEter -- Eypt EEq 10135-
TRPLE A-17
FcrCse TZST 44 - HELWN T-EE-2- WA7ST EW PRfL KMIY rOIL $351BL) Ass-ir- 02lEaldegio Rate cf 20
Saved Ya- cfCEita7 Ocratin Ccst of Di Fuel Used Fuel E rerry SavEd rd Caa--FioA Liscoured Cash Flow (MTN)Year -St cst SBbI (2b2) Cost Equiv i
rerV C-rrert $ 4 8 10 12
ransport P
I rt-rzcre ic $
ctal t777 SH$00 0 so
1833 5$477 $72255 ($$732 SE279 ) ($S5790) ($653790) ($53790)7-27 $-7 0Z27$0$ 3 $ 94) n- 3
0$0 r- 17365 $414974 $13673 SA 01 S354 $348 92-12 c30$ 12F7c S3714 $0 37 $42ST27 $13 $401-74793 B1 SZ384C $ $342M12 $302215$ $3789 11336 $437 379 S417 $7 $1873 $864 E $E 7 $7 -7730 $0 11336 1440374 $13873 $4 4K3 $G576 1$7330 $SK2736 $M57770 s0 13 44 $187 0 S
$43 E302 $1510 601 S1 E44 $1133453C 1 S7372 $4020 S103 Z- 7 84 S13 50 283 $13442 $1237257S 7S E $411 13 $473 1 873 $4344 $2173553 $1754865 $157379 $420428 I 13879 4183 0 $0 136 $47L575 $337 $4L73Sbull ~$ $--37 -n S2504 707 S9379 $ 7742-0 $ 873177 $42EE 13 $-71 11133S 1299 IO4 2 37$4 23 273 -2-3 $2823796 $225158 $9523 $733394S7 $352 0 so 11326 54H $ 3 4 $3332 $241302 1212330 t8773732 $ 73 $4433 0 $0 11336 55585 712579 $47 $34 $2607271 $2 282067 $200425014 1 $11279 $4522 0 $0
12 11335 S515963 $1 273 1522 089 $74=754 $273 888 2427504 $2 113 3155 $0 7873 $4amp81- S $28973 S4711
0 $ $ 227 1 79 1511405 44rN657 $296E343 $2 43a $22241640 so 3965 $53z 11E7 t=1937 $-6 113 13 $4232024 2687624 $2319702$534 $31311417 $ 1272 $48 0 $0 11336 $747542 1367 $ 33470 1 535 $328E967 $283766 $24057562 V $1187 $430 0 $0 11336 $55-50 $13873 $544621 $453 543 $3434161 $2311516 $24K07719 $0 $12879 $499 0 $0 11336 $569670 $13873 $555791 $5170903 353248 $3011480 $255835120 10 $13279 $509 0 $0 11396 $591064 $13879 $567185 $5440113 $3704671 $3104220 $26L420521 ($6300) $12879 $5201 0 $0 11336 $532685 $7579 $525106 $5707148 $3830205 $3191192 $2684852
$711653 $279833 0 $0 229819 $9951551 $991546 $80004
A-33
TABLE A-17 (Contd)
Econorni a 7inarcia ay-- fc Ener~y investmerts -- Egypt ZE r986
Ca~it~a cstz Perefit Parameters Irnterrna Rate of Return 6217
Pcquisiticn 7i Transpc-tation $ Constr-ct ior $0
inter-conrection $0
TOTQL (Cap) $717953
--iceof 21 OillEscalat
Enr y Savgs Fuel Use
135K bb (yr 1) 2Ovear
113- bblyear 0 Ltlyear
DI sc PV of Rate Eer eFits
0$9IK551 2$043677
PV of CoS1 ots
$91545 $942908
PaPV
$3960004 $7100709
3C Rat i o
1004 853
Corstruc Time 10 mcrths
Operatirq an Normal Maintenare Costs
OPeratir Cost $13879 year Operating Lifetime 21 years
Major Equipmernt RepairReplacemernt
Replace Cost ($6300)period Replace Period 20 years
A-34
4 $6 613 1-S$ 24 95
8$4amp3825 $$4) 21
11 $3753742 2 $3506143 13$328058 14 $ C9026 15 $23159 16 $27550567 18 $2471278
20 $2239079
$906011 $877 493
$55S 131 $83748-$330008 $823 2 $817216 $S1730 $806754 $802 22n $794327
$787687
$5707 148 $4647 463
$3830205 $3191192 $2927735 $2684862 $2470842
$2278496 $10510-$1943339 $1676951
$1451392
730 630
548 481 452 426 402
381 361 343 311
284
Erno a - raial Ayaavs- fc EErcy IvestLErts -- E 5y 1NObr
TABLE A-B
For Case zf7- D EST 4 - PEWA TEXTLES2R olUS STE H- PE-5- G4-88 ZL Pssur 2i Esalaticr Rats cf 2(
Year
Laital
Cost
Oeratir
Ist
Cost Of Cil
$1IL5
Fue Use
(BL
FE
zc-st
Save Energy
Z4iv
V_-shy_ Saved
Energy
a1
Ccst
F1c
urre-t S
Dafiscourted Cash Flow (NPV) plusmn 4 8 -0 1
1 Trarspzrt $0
4
37--
0
$0
1
$16 $13279
$1387c
$40
$400 $4162
S4245
0
0
0
0
V
s0
$0
1239
11396 11396
336
$75973 $464957 $474255
- 6 $483741
$72026S
113379
137S 7 9 $13879
3644233)
S451078
$477U C 7 $463852
(S64433) (210fG4
14r1$2 5 o0n $-32786
(2644A) (12Z
$1 52 0 7 1
$541cent52
31544293)
(234=-) $ 4
$493269
(364423M)
S24 545) $24$ 5
$452903
A
7 8
-
10
12
13 14 15
16 17
18 19
20
21
$0 t0
0 $0 V $0
So
I$0 $0
$0 $0 $0
$0 $0
$0 $0
$0
($5300)
13273 T2879
$9 S237 $2873 $3873 $13873
$13879 $13879
$13873 $13873 42879
13673 $13879
$13879
$13879
$13879
$13879
14330 $4416
$4505 $4595 $4535 $4687 $4780
$4876 $4973
$5073 $5174 $5278
$5333 $5491
$5601
$5713
$5827
$5344
0
Q5 0 0 0 0
0 0
( 0 0
c 0
0
0
0 0
so so
o
so $0 $0
so $0
S $0 $O
$0 10
$0
$0
s0
$0
236 3133
1136 E I39 11396 11396 35
1396 11396
113 11336 11336
336
1396
11336
113
1135
11336
5$493416 $503264
35) 1 G 1
S531 1534083 $544771
$5665 S566780
1
$523 678 $60471
$612501 $525771
$G39286 55 Q52
$664073
S677 K4
$13873 S473537 $13873 $4834C-E
$13873 $49747 $3979 f50g 7-shy2
$1379 $52CI210 113873 $538321 227$5 -89 S3879 $541787
$79 K $-7579 $54236 $13273 577K $3873 S27532 113973 $53622 t3879 $11892 $3379 S624407
$13879 $337173
$3879 $650194 $757 $669775
$1042696 114443E
$18336301 $222704-
$2607162 1233016093 1
13346172 $7C- 32
$4 05746 $440256 $4742875
$-075824 $51402515
$5723072
$503759
$34c208 $6651884
$935- $825 M $764658$12M617 $10681 S10425
$-43 $1412669 1407 $123372E$715$=2 9
f39- $21843 11916875 $1735031 23 42 $1 $375$ 3427 $214202S t 53G $2636380 03 $9 $2 27 503 12544695 S2200320 $3037575 $2721482 $2405748 $3-3032352- 28970 12537706 S350348 $3045001 $2673393
$3698373 $2 183546 t757485 $3876979 $3 3711 $2867300
14045737 $3446247 12953242 $4205189 $356C8 3041099
$435846 $3657160 $311659 $4493545 $376678 $3186025
$711653 $279893 0 $0 12-93813 $11373201 $991546 $10381654
A-35
TABLE A-18 (Contd)- o-SOS TflBLE BEN T-2T TPBLE 7alculated)
zccc- an FiariJ Analysis for Energy Investments - Egypt EEA
Capita Colts BerEfit Parameters nterna lRate of Returr 7207
Acquisiticon 171753 Price of Oi $4000 lbL (yr 1) Transportation $0 Dil Escalat 20vear Disz FV of PV of BC
Construction $0 Rate Benefits Costs TV Ratio Iterconnection $0 Errgy Savrigs M-35 bblyear
-- -- ------- Fuel Use 0 bblyear $W373o $99546 $10381654 1147 TCTAL Cap) S717S53 2$1 773 $942968 SB2 49 - 5 975
4$7557396 $906011 $6E5884 834 Zonstruct Time 10 months 6 $-314236 $877493 15436743 72n
51354726 S855 18 1 $4 42S 545 G20Operating and Norcal ainterarce Costs 0$4604207 $S37489 $3766718 550
1$4289991 $3000 $345983 517 OeI-ating Cost $13879 year 48712 $4003306 $123281 $318G025
Operatin Lifetice 21 years r3 $177781 $817216 $2940565 460
14 $53637 $8730 $2719957 435 Vajcr Equiprrent RepairReplacement A $3327839 $80S754 $2521084 412
16 Z3 143506E $80212209 $2341277 392Replace Cost ($6300)period 18 $2824317 $794327 $2029990 356
Replace Period 20 years 200 $2558947 $787687 $1771260 325
A-36
E~zcrorci an4 ariaqrysr for EnEy Ivestrets -- -Gyrt = 3P
F c r C a s e o f F - r T 3 3 4 - j r 7 o i o s X_--
E 4 OR $251 FT -RC= $159P
ss=insectCA Escalation Rate cf 20
Save a - shyCaita eratirn Cost cf 01 Fue Used Fuel Ener) SavE AnnaI ash Floi Discounted Cash Flow () 9 iyE- cost Cost $Bb (2b1 Cost Epoundalv Energy Cost Current $ 4 8 10 12
l cuisiis 52452
Trans $2 Corstru_ o
ta 4 $-52 S $0 S2832 3$-22955 s28Sz3 ($128968) ($28928) (128)tc 52 C 10 34-2 $-324 S Z 24 ($125877 M$25991) (T2045) (S260981$ 0 $-55 0 s 34s S5431 $2110 s ($22707 ($123144) (3123301) (23450)$0 $ $2 0 $0 342 $f540 $2110s 40 11 S758) (242) 20704 S2 009S0 $T2-4 0 $0 34 $2110 25a0 (1273) (S17820 (32 3S759)S$0 2 $1G56 C $0 348 $763 $ 3 (1 1 3 7A s2 $13 0 f0 34 $E873 $2110 $379 (I0750 $12S ( S1 $14777)VC 2 $172- 0 $0 348 $-39 s 2 C2 $38ES (107797) h$1 (51)$130950 52110 $1757 C $0 342 $11 S2110 S400r ($104870) (t103526) (111004 ) (211401)$ c 120 $1793 C $0 348 $S28 522O S4123 31S9) (S10461 (S OS M) (1092) s210 I 512_ 348 $363 S2110 $42-5 (S39096) ($104491) ( S037($103 543)$0 S220 $sE5 0 ti shy32 t54 211 $435-0 (M251)
-- (S10261 ($22 ($07284)$0 $220 $1902 0 $1 343 $r2) 2110 $4510 (S93434) ($100821) 31$03G84) ($10512)14 $o S2110 $1940 0 $0 34 573 $2110 54243 ($50645) (S92114) (5)02340) (15062)5$0 52110 $1979bull 0 $0 343 S5683 I2110 $4778 (37am) ($9742q) ($10102) (S104085)6 $0 $2110 $201 0 so 342 S7C7 $21 $421517 50 ($5155) ($95 938) (ST2 90 ($103 1861$2110 0 )2059 348 $71 2 $$2o $ ms $22458) ($94462) ($S-30O ($102)o11 $ $2110 $210o 0 $0 34S
19 $7303 $2110 $-19- ($73789) ($92057) ($377T6 (01605$0 $2110 $2142 0 $0 348 $745M $2110 -5345 ($77150) ($91720) ($3814) ($100909)20 $0 $2110 S2185 0 $0
21 ($5438) $2110 $--29 0 348 $7605 $2 Ili $5495 ($74542) ($90446) (9916) ($100271)
$0 348 $7757 ($3328) $11085 ($69483) ($88068) ($9426a) (99 I2)
$124048 $42552 0 $0 7018 $130239 $166600 (36361)
A-37
ABSUPTIOS TABLE TABLE TABLE A-19 (Contd) IT--CCOTS TAL --C ed
and Fina-E P7aiysiz fc- Energy IrvestzErts -- ypt EE
aPita Ccsts Benrefit Parateters
Pquisitio 2948S Price cf Oil $1500 lbi (yr 1)Transortatior $0 Oil Escalat 20year
onstructio $0
rterconrectior $0 Enrgy Savns 348 b5year Fuel Use 0 thi
TOTAL (Cap) $123466
Construct Tirfe 10 months
Ozerating amNormal Mairterance Costs
Operatin Cost $2 110 year Oerating Lifetime 21 years
Major Equipment RepairReplaceuert
Replace Cost ($5438)Period Replace Period 2 years
Internal Rate of Return
Disc PV of PFJof Rate Benefits Costs
-=_
0 U -1c233 s 6660 2 $105270 $160683
4 $83543 $15031 6 $72307 $E2344
8 $61319 $149387 le S5272 914S33-
11 $49126 $14E566 12 $4912 $145034 3 $4 032 $144180
14 4144-- $143417 15 $38108 $142713
16 $35 9 7 $142068 18 $32342 $140933 2 $29303 $139971
-2 63
NIN
$32 ($55410)
($6943($8 037)
($80 8) ($343_68)
($C-33323(99 22)
($101156)
($102974) ($104604)
($106071) ($102591)
($110667)
Ratio
073
066
055 047
041 C36
034 03
30
28 027
0 25 023
021
A-38
For Case - -EL 7 7 14 - HELPN EXTLiIPH 0LECTOR PRV =552FT - PRIEC OL S2L Pssurin Oi Zscalaticr Rate cf 2C
SavEd a- c Cost of CII FUE1 Useer CUE Energy Eavn Arnual Ca ow sSZOLnte- Cash Flow ( NV) iYear Ct Ct Ipbl (P2-) Cost Ecsiv Ererry ZOst Currert $ 4 3 0 2 is-t i c r
_ _____ _
Traszr $C - LCrErZt cr 30
i tercorrezcr SO 21 53 $1 $1223 ($23378 $123pound73 ($23673) ($22673) ($123578)$ 72c Q0$24c $0 348 S7033 $2h1c i4S83 $2680 2124053) (12442) (1243)$21~ 0 0so 34a 17241 $2C $5121 3 (E -59)($112301) ($12012)4so So c V- Z $-co 348 7 $2110 $5275 -44- (1115471 ($15371 (lII3- $21 $25 ) $9 348 $7534 1I2110 5424 1038O) (111484) ($I-33 1I2930$0 $211 $2205 c $0 345 768 $2110 $-E574 ($105228) (7076G0) (105772) (037S7)
$0 2110 $-52 c $) 48 728 n04 SC Sshy$ $-bO $5723 C l00701 ($10408 SO55r ($ICS585)o $U S2110 P-3a7S0 $13 0 $0 348 Si110 $-525$2343 0 343 3430341 $2 (Si L- f E471 1$0$ 8) ($C4 203$) $_ -- $21 t$3050l 31($812) (S97231) (53673) ($10762
t t110 t c 3 2 M745)$0 203 ($94275) ($97066) (M23)S1 52110 $2438 Q $0 349 124B4 $2 $E374 (9g1 f$948 3)($2 144) 3233 ($07471)$110 $Z487 C $0 348 $2354 $2110 $r544 ($75894) ($88516) ($ 3 1 ($=120)$0 $2110 $25313 0 t0 342 $2227 T2110
1 $E717 ($74632) ( 849) ($901174) ($33855
$0 $20 $2557tbull I 0 034 $3 0034$34 S211 7) ($33314)S263 M$8178) (S32 2u)15 $0~ ($to50 $2110 $2333 0 $0 343 $3184 $210$7074 $ 473 ($2090S) ($83 315) ($3032)$0 $211 ( $2332 0 $01L 348 $ S237 $2110 $727 ($32444) ($73618) $34578) $83512)7 $0 72 10 $2746 0 $0 343 S555 $2110 S744E 3$5340 ($7S445) (323-7 (333293)1 $0 5210 $280 0 $0 348 $2745 $2110 $7636 ($54542) I 43W ($21447) (2B7156)$0o $2110 $225L 0 $0 349 $3341 $2110 S7831 ($50684) ($72422) ($80038) ($35163)2C $0 $2110 $2914 0 $0 348 $1023 $2110 $3029 ($46872) ($7WC561 (75726) ($85235)21 ($5439) $2110 $272 0 $0 346 $10342 ($3328) $13670 ($40634) ($676S2) ($76694) ($83818)
$124043 $42552 0 $0 7018 $17362 $163 00 $7052 A-39
TABLE A-20 (Contd) P-SJ 2DTPKE rZFT7-CGS72 TLAK (acutated)
Hom and Firaa ralvsis fcr Erergy Investments - Egypt EEAn 5S
Za-ital Costs Benefit Paraeters lnterrna Rate cf Return 046
Acquisition $129485 Price of Oil $22O0 1bb (yr 1)Transoortation $0 Di Escala 2Oyear Disc PV f PV of BCConstructior Rate Beniefits Costs Ratio Interconrnection $0 Errgy Savngs 348 bblyear - --- =_
Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 $173252 $16E600 $705 104 (Cao)bull0TL1a8 $14 360 $10c ($ 320) 087
4 $115398 $155031 ($40634) 074Corstruct Time 0 -rnths A $36409 $152 34 ($55935) 063 8 $8A759 $14937 ($7623) 0Operatin and Normal Maintenanrce Costs CIA $70299 $14S933 ($76694) 048
11 $55502 $145 966 ($0464) 045Operating Cost $210 year 12 $51216 $145034 ($33818) 042Operating Lifetime 2years 13 $57376 $144188 ($85812) 040 14 $53924 $143417 ($89493 038Kajor Equipmert RepairReplacement $C811 142713 ($91901) 36 IS $47997 $142068 ($94071) 034Salvage Value ($5438)period 18 $432- $140933 ($97810) 031
Replace Period 20 years 201 $39071 $139971 ($100899) 028
A-40
- End - Ar y= fcr ZErcy~gt Ef-tS - ~ Aq
TiE fl-2[
-or -ase
Assamin
c
Ui
Tf-L0EST 4 -
E-alation Rate f
TECTh- 211
20 25BFJ
Yec-
-_ ztr
fs
nrt-r--et
YEzEta u-rir z os
___=== shy = i2 ~~
z-_ 233
r $
of deg $i2
- Lse (Ebi)
ICoRue
Cost
Saved Ersery
Ecuiv
Va -cf Saved
Erery
5 S
n-a
-shyt
zas CIO
Curt S
t
Discounted Cash
4
Ficii 0 V)
0C
1 =
4
2
14 1 17 17
12 19 20 21
5-
s$
s 12
ampc
SO SC
$3 5 $0
(5 438)
2II0 2 110
S$210$o
12102IC
2110 SC$
U0 52 10
O QI0I $2110 521110 $2I07343
$2110 $2110 $2110 $2110
--23OI 1
Q27^S7SC
7
f_522 $2 3
S2147 $2SQ 53171
34 23 EE
13 534Vo$344)
$35o $3571 53342 53715
Ct
-1C
o
0 C
0
0 0
0 0
C 0
0
$0$034-=
s5
$50
s3$s4
$ $0
5$
so $0
$ $0
$O $0 s0 S0
348
343Z4
348
34E 342
342 342
34S 342 3474E 348 348
345 348 348 348
13574$ = $
$3
$3417sampo
$ 7E3
1 3-$337
euroscs $1 37
s3 $254 $1S t9 03
$121 1 S1242 $12674 $12 928
V2 31 -shy
11C
2110s519
2 12-0
1S 11 145
$2C
$2110
t2 110 $210
S2 110 $2110 $2110 ($3328)
33 2-72 ZZS ($13333 335B3 122S7 4 ($ E 22 25) ($13-2 3 (t12243)4 ($t1 ($pound 7) I$1692 $t5 S5 -
1 4 $7123 3$M234 ft 91 11745)--- $175)
$7307 31028 S C5148) ($106(1 7SC $5- t7495 ($737 (IiCc047 cs (-02843
783 ($cZ203) ($37185 (32353shy$7854 (1S4 6 1 533 (133122 (523371 $8133 ($7E754) (SS3 5) M335)) (ic21-h)
$S27 (7222) (32C900 ($2525 ($83134) $495 ($87 23 78 ) 382 5Wc ($5399)12 717 ($5 ($44-0 (7350I (583995)$3924 9 53 ($70 8771 (S7664) ($81605)V1144 (S$2471 ($67514) ($74016) (579509)
($45C (64324) ((715434) (S772) $33 5337301 ($5292) (5 2501 ($7 838)$7533 ($58428) ($8711C) ($74234) 0 )72 29303 ($5706) (S5 11a ($72767)1$0316 (24217) ($53124) (S5322) ($71425) $10564 (S19203) ($50676) ($6155) ($70199) $16256 ($11754) ($47129) ($59119) ($685141
$124043$42552 0 $0 7018 $217065 166500 50465
A-41
ELSTU0 TABLE TABLE A-21 (Contd)
PLE(-
Zcoo r Firatia iavsis fc- Energy Irvesterts shy Eypt EE1
C itz Zosts enefit Paraveters Irterraz Rate cf REturr 304
zao-isitior S12948E Traszrtzti $0
l rtier to Interzorrectio $0
Price of Oil 0 Escalat
Errgy Savnrgs
$250C bb (yr 20vear
342 bIyear
Disc Rate -
WV of Ienef-
W cf Fcsts N
BC Ratio
- --
TJT -------shy
1 486 FuEl Use 0 bblvear ^
-a-27 H-S$17 450
$SG0 s16K 580
$E 4S $14770
30
109
Construct Tive 10 crths 4^ 6
$144247 $2051
$I-o0 2344
$17S4) (4P 832)
02 073
Coeratirsect and Normal Mairtenance Costs
Operatir Cost $2110 year 0oeratin~ Lifetinie 21 years
8 0 1
2
$102198 $27874 3-877
$7E520 $$7720
$14937 $14S33 $145S3
$145034 V44122
$47123) ($ 119) ($64039)
($68514) $72458)
068 060 056 053 050
Mamr Equipmet ReoairReplacemert 14 1
$97405 $143417 1427
($76012) (179199)
047 045
REplace Cost Replace Period
($5438)period 20 years
6 18 20
$59996 $53304 $43839
$142068 $140 233 $139971
($82072) ($87030) ($91131)
042 C38 035
A-42
TRSLE 1-22
F- cf-- s 14- HELN Esumlr Oi Esampaton Rat2 cf
(TC2LEHr Trorp-
20 -P z-3 z-
1iazip Ycst
Ls-cr 113 -
0eratir Cost
Cott of oil W
Fte e c
-e el Ct
Savec Energy Ev
Va1-_ of -avef
ErErcy pnua
st a=n 7c DirountEj Ca_
E-rre-t $ 40 8 Flo (NPN) i
10 =
12
4 f
7
10
N-I-
1-
15
$ 7
is
19
I 21
C rutc
0t13oo
V 12 116 30E 11 $321
so No 13LR $- 110 z347 $ t-1 $33 2
S 8029 $3278 2li $344E
S0 f2I0 1315 - - 1 35
S1 r t2110 1373C-
S S212 $3 15 2 1 S281
$S)S2 5I3908 $ S4(38
so QAc2h18 41 SO $s2 $420 50 $2 11 $4 so $110 $4370
$5433) $2110 $4455
$124048 $42552
0
c 0
0
0
0
0
0 C 0 c
0 0
0 0
0 0
0
S
10 345 so 34
so 248 to 345
C 34S
so 3 $ 348 $0 348 $0 348o
$0 348 0 348
$ 345 so 3$6
so 348
$0 348 s A3 $0 348
SO 348
$0 348 $0 348
$0 7018
Q74C 12-
s649 - 1 s B3 110
in1 73 p311 S30 $2110 1127 f110
$11757 2110 $13 I-sI S2322_2ltU1510
2477 130
S 72H 11 S s- $1 2 1-110 s17o- s2
t3770 5-10 $14051 $2110 S302 S2 S14613 $21(
$1491 $ 1 $15203 $3110 $15513 ($332
$260478 $-SF600
A-43
53 ($85557 27Z- )S17
V5S59 10 1 3131 ($9-
12417 e -^-
$-E47 ( S) sI S t730)2
5 L22
1c357 4SW III
S1STs ($241)$1037 s173) 1 30 127 27)
Sc1L33 331 3X4
1 L 5 -267)
$is 7o7) 510L 3 ^41)
2 S2 8 U249
$3S10-2 $346S $18841 170-5
1$93 78
($(225 ($128038)
12 5 52 33- 1 12683 (1M 3102)
1105 EEG) 3$1 364 $3--3) $C 10-
($92 (534$ 3 (1S3225) (33734) ($o5s (s82733
$7 030) (79 0 11) 33 7041(IN
(647) $70511)($50334 (670 (1904) ($53154)
5( 714 (E 8 54) ($47743) 3567S2 $437) ($S33 3540411) fS5123
t070(37030) (4E7331
($33 827) - (S45E
($30 7K) ($44344) (26749) $41544)
($1202a
(31204741 (51347T
IS(117 C272 1( -_- ($SC) I ($627)
(132453) ($7 745)
( 2S ($712
(5344) $SE73S)
My AS)
($2 14) (5601171)
(556T
($5-5-E54)
($55162) (53210)
TABLE A-22 (Contd)
Ezrzic and Fir-a Analv=is Er=-ry Invest-eants - Egypt EEfl oI 1
Catal Costs Benefit Para-eters l-tera ate of Return 532
Pccuisitio $12943s Price c Cii Transportation $ Oi Escalat
Construct iorn $0 Interconnection $0 Enry Savrs
--- - --- el Use TOTAL LCap) $129485)
Construct Time 10 r-=nths
Operatin and Ncrmal nartErane Costs
Operatin g Cost $210 year Ooerating Lifetire 21 years
Major Equipment RevairReplacemert
Replace Cost ($5438)period Replace Period 20 years
$300 bb (yr 1) 2 Cvear
34E bblyear 0 tblyear
Dic PV cf Rate Eerefits
=-- shy == 0 -260478
2 $210541
4 $172037 6 $144614
8 122 S38 10 $105449 11 $93 253
i2 $91824 13 $86064
14 S00885 15 $76217
16 S71995 18 $64685 20 $58607
PV cfof Costs
$166600
$160680 $15H 02 SE2344
$149337 $146993 $145966
$145034 $144188
$143417 $142713
$142068 $140933 $139971
wgV
$93878
$49860 $17065 ($7730)
(326749) ($41544) (347713) ($53 tn0) ($S3 124)
($62531) ($6649G) ($70073) ($76249) ($81364)
Ratio _
15S 13 1 095 82
C72 067 063 060
C56 053
051 04G 042
A-44
Ecnio af rarcia Ay5s fr Enerzy rvestr-et=- E__y EE- t
TABLE A-23
D 7E4--r Case ofF- - H8LW TEXT-PP C LcTORvR- - p n-OIL 35 _) 9ssu=- Oil Escalation Rate cf 20
spvedCa4t Csratr Zost cf Oi Fuel Used Fel Erergy Vi~
3aved Arral Ca-s 7 2iscurnt (-ir- Flo (NTV) 8 iYear Ec SBbX (Ebi) Cost Eniv Enercy ost Crr $ 4 10 12
1 Trarsort $ bull Ccrstr_-ticy $
1 Ir -e2or tic - $0r
Ttal T4- $352 $300 0 $0 58 $2030 f223 2780) 3$227($1802) (S27803) ($37308)Ss s210 12570 0 so 348 S2424 12 10 10314 $7S3 ($(S2 ) (1342 o 59)
3$ 123 $3541 0 $0 348 $12672 2 11 105S2 022T) (103O023) ($103703 ($10179)4 2 $2 0 $3714 c SO 349 2 $2110 8 ($18 -1 7 ( 0 7 (0 410
S3783 0 to$2110 348 $13 184 $2110 111074 ($53044) (332477) ($34013 ($3-7443)E 10 1-110 S3364 0 $i 345 S3448 $2s SI335 $73716 (1847z (8900)T $21 $342 0 $0 348 $13717 1I10 11607 (571 553) _77447 C$S04-2 ($-3 123)
0 -1( 241 ( 77 ($74 ($77155)so 348 4 $s $7 s$o2110 348 11427$311I0~Snl $8 C $0 $2110 Ll 1Z3) 12944) 1S5 372844)
1 82 20 $L (SIL0 348 S14556 t2 $1244 ($43394) ($57718 (5S33731 ( 1 211r 5428-4 0 $0 343 $4847 S21110 $1277 2 s($7 3) 364254) S $0o 348 1511413 1 $4439 $S I o 13031 - ($ 2 ) ($46228) ( 853834)($0 507)110 f- $0 348 1 447 12 110 $13337 ($18432) ($4C32) ($43644) ($57084)14 $0 $2110 $4528 0 50 348 $E75E t 112 S4 (S102 (394) (4582 (2 9S75 1$10 W4 S 343 16 07 $2110 $139s] ($2234) ($31IG) ($4201f5 ($L I100
16 211SC $24 $4711 0 S 348 $18322 $211 1 14_ 15 7 (S2S 531 ($38-96] ($A 4917 S $2110 $4805 0 $0 348 5721 12 I10 14611 $13437 (22394) (35416) 34S107)18 $C $2110 $4301 0 $0 243 $1-5 $2110 $i345 $21170 (18354) ($32460) ($930)19 $ $20 $4993 $0 343 $17336 52110 $15286 $28715 ($14 529) ($209710) ($4943)20 $0 $2110 $5099 0 $0 348 T17744 $2110 $15634 $36136 ($10 207) ($27 154 ($40 127)21I($5438) $2110 $5201 0 $0 348 $18099 ($3328) $1427 $45915 ($30) ($23969) ($3790)
$124048 $4255 0 $0 7018 303891 $166 amp0 137291
A-45
TABLE A-23 (Contd) PSELTIONS TWPLE H-77-C3T-3 TA-2L Eated)
Econooi and Firnani aIvs4s fe- Ener y Ivestcents - Eypt EE 03i32
Capital Csts Berefit Paraeter- Itera Rate c RetLr- 739
Aqisiti-503S S4ES Pice c ii bb (yr 1)TrasScrtation $0 01 ESalat W0year DiEc PV of P of BC
Corstructior $0 Rate Beneits Costs WPV Ratio rterconrection $0 Enray Savwgs 343 bblyear -
Fuel Use 0 blyear 02E1 S 600 II7721 82TOTAL Cap) $1Z48C Z $1683 $54 350 53
4 $20194S I5E3 $45715 i2CcrstrUct Time 10 mrths E1 716 $152344 $16372 11
8 $143078 $14337 ($S309) 096Operatirpound and Norma Ma~ntenarce Costs 10 $123024 $14E933 (23969) 084
11 $114628 $145956 ($31 33 079Oerating Cost $2 110 year 2 $107128 $145034 ($37906) 074Operating Lifetime 2 years 13 $101408 $144182 (343780) 070
14 $34I26 $143417 (U9050) 066Major Ecuipment RecairReplacemernt $S30 $142_713 ($53793) 062
1S 0584 ($53074) 059$1420O8Salvage Value ($5438)period 18 $75465 $14C 33 ($55468) 054Replace Period 20 years 20 $68375 $139571 ($715) 049
A-46
Ecor-r~c a Fi-ra- aivss VeSt=rts EE2fC- -ErV - E --t
TAFLE A-24
Case cf77-Lf TES 4 - HEWA XTILE1P (M CT P $2zS - PRE-F OIL 640EBLh ssuming Oil Escalation Rate f 20
saved VaiLe Ofonita Doeratir Lcst of Oil Fue Used Fuel Erery -d pYert Ca_ 10 Discourtd Cash Flow (PI 0- i =Cost $1Ebl (2l) Cost Eerv Ztt Crrert 1 4 6L 10 12
I Transmrt onstrLZt ior 4
tr-cnnEc icn $ Tcta f2945 132 $4000j 0 $0$40 SO 58 2 S 33z Is1 5 ) 327515$0=8 34S7 $15 $2- 2 (12728
31 $4060 1 r 0 342 $2C 3 8 1034)IS ($152V (1528) f(E72)14 0 348 49 S20 S-372 SI04-1 (5) 517 (110303) (-058514$ 2 I W A S t o4 3 4 8 $ 4 7 shy 3 12 2 ( S 9 ( SH G ES ) ($7 9 0) ( UT 7 8 4 5 3 $ 2 1432bull 34a S 057 $241 C3 (
$0 ($36142) (M6742) (3614)$0 $2 110 $446 0 $0 348 $159 $22 $17m ($7122) ($77119) 372707) U82191)7$ 4 $0 348 S5751_5 21101if) E5 5)503) $55569) ($72049) ($75218)0$ 4c5sg5 $0 348 $5930 510 $13 0 496) ($E 470) ($54327) ($62033)S so 12 4687 $0 348 $309 21Sc 14 92 (139580) 5079 (15833) 563204)10 $C Uio $4760 0
$0 348 $Ipoundpound36 5 240 -25- (129375) (4E53) (- 42 (37966)$0 12112 1487pound 0 $0 348 $11953 $20
2 S12353 SI9337 (533650) 34S414) ( 5318)0 $2110 $4373 0 s0 348 $1730L 2 1c3 5 Q 15 ($9465) (1 2132) ($41027) (34313)S0 12110 $ 0 $0 348 V14i
$21 $244 3-5905) (35134 344823)$0 $2110 $574 0 $0 34E $112007 $Z19 $5597 $3791 (1114) ($-530 ($41180)o $2110 $275 1 $0 342 $18357 $21 $-257 S19 7916 3$14579) 32724T) ($3754)$2110 $$5393 0 c$0 349 $12734 17
$2110 $Ic24 $28410 MKS) (Q-3269 (34816)$ $2110 $s191 0 6
s0 348 1$3 0o $2110 S162 $37486 (4376) (195E) ($32043)$S 5210 $sa01 0 s0 348 $19431 1211 17331 $43409 $321 ($161301 (12951)11 $0 $-I0 $5713 0 $0 348 1181 $2i10 S7771 SES182 $4768 ($2934) (327 M0I20 $0 $2110 $5827 0 t0 348 $20279 $2110 $16169 $E3805 8378 ($9963) ($25031)21 ($5438) $2110 $5944 0 $0 348 $20 684 ($3328) $24012 $74764 $14 30 (36394) ($n-60L
$124048 $4252 0 $0 7018 $347304 $166600 $180704
A-47
g3EL-iD~- ASSIUPTIDXF LETABSE TABLE A-24 (Contd) - ---C-NCE TFamp mC utCalculated)
zczi a- Farcial alvs- for Erergy IwEstments - Egypt EEA 1 8
CaPital r~csts Perofit Para Eter- Irntr-na Rate of Peturr 932
Acouisition $ E4 Price of Cil TransroortaEtio $G 0i Escalat Construct $
rterrertior $0 Erry Savrs Fuel Use
TOTA Cao) $1_h486
Construct Time 10 eorxths
eratir_ and Norzal Ma-rtenance Costs
Oceratim Cost $2110 year Operati_ LifEtime 21 years
Major Ecaiment RevarReolacert
Replace Cost (5543e)period Replace Period 20 years
$4000 bb (r 1) 20year
348 bbyear 0 bblyear
DisC PV of Rate Perefits
- = 0 $347 304 2 $22720
4 t23C 73 E $19288
$13517 10 4C 9 -- - - $31004
12 12243-2 13 $114751
14 $107847 15 $101622
16 $KS993 18 S84 246 20 $78143
V of Costs
$16 6O $162560
5 63 $1E2344
$43337 $1429c3 $14 9-5
$14E034
$144188
$14347 $142713
$142068 1140933 113971
N71)
$180704 $120040
$74764 $407
$14 13 ($r334)
($14 952)
($22602) ($29437)
(S35570) ($410V30)
(45075) ($54687)
($61828)
BC Ratio
208 175
48 27
109 096 090
084
080
075 071
368 061 056
A-48
Ecra acia a fc Ernerv ivEs=-t -- Eyt E~q IC36
TfPLE A-25
cr Case of-- 7ST 4 - HL4 7EX-vTDUq -T R E $ZvCF 7 P- U 1shygssu-in_ Oi Es~alatior Rate of 20
Saved Value ofDaitalfleratir Cost of Dil -Fel Used Fuel ESrry 5avf Annual as( Fic Discourted Cash Flow (MKV) 8 iYear Cost $IBb (E1 Cost Ecriv -Ercy Cot Currert S 4 8 10 12
I 712 I Trersp $0
ITotal 0712 $311 $1500 0 $0 58 $370 $111022 1t01E2 52) 1103) $ n3)(1h10153) $8 $5302C $0 348 $5324 $186G 458 CLa28 (S10SI) ($07003 (107O5)2 $15In $ 0 $0 348 $543 $18s2 S25s5 0522) ($ 40$ 2 $-7834) ($1040E3 ( 7 ($104 )4 $I62 $12$0 bullS266 $1524M$0 0 $0 34842 $5540
3 $550 S1866-C81C $2674 ($1 ($0 ($37031) 3 $10 $3784 ($32 197)78) ($10$D(3S718) Is0 603(M32204)
6 CS56 0 $0 348 S762 $862 $3857 ($c3828) ($5544) ($22223) ($39992)$052 $I82 c $0 43 $872 $186E $4013 $33 67) ($3301) ($94033 $94353)S$0 $C866 1723 C $0 348 15922 $866 $4130 (U8751d) (390605) ($1914) ($3091)2 $3 $s $1757 so e 33
s 0 343 Stamp 1866 $4256 ($4413) ($82310) ($23921) (131374)$0 $17 22 51732 00 $ 3 2- 1$5 2 522 11866 $4372 3 1 S C 1 ($311 ($82122) ($737C7 ($83738)1 223E$ $ 22 so 348 $82 $866 $4407 ($78702) ($40391 ($25 3431 ($83 3n0)12 $0 $1826 13Ef 0 $0 348 $S490 S1866 $4624 ($7E 29) ($80-5) ($ 4722) ($87020)s0 $1 8 $11302 0 $0 348 $2620 $BE $4754 ($714 $0
323 ($80168) ($33207) ($85800)$1866 $1940 0 so 348 $s753 $182 $4837 ($23334) ($72371) $2722 ($84630)15 s0 $1852 $7 ) $0 348 $8B3 $BE6 $5022 ($22494) ($7L662) ($8146M] ($33653)16 $0 $166 $2019 C $0 348 $702 $1862 (152 ($75035)s $E30) ($73234) ($2 710)17 $1 pound186 $203 $0 348 $7126 $1826 $523y ($50O330) ($73488) ($73081) ($S8845)12 i$ $626 $2100 0 348 $7309 $1866 1544 ($58005) ($72017) (77 0041 ($81053)$0 S866 21421 0 $0 348 f7 455 $186620
$5589 ($ 246) ($70618) ($759M) ($30326)$0 $1866 $2185 u $0 348 $7605 $1866 $5733 (152523) ($63288) ($75060) ($73660)21 ($4650) $1856 $2229 0 $0 348 $7757 ($2784) $10541 ($47712) ($67027) ($73494) ($78567)
$106062 $37631 0 $0 7 018 $130233 $143693 ($13454)
A-49
----
TABLE A-25 (Contd) rzzPTI2CNS 7PBLE EE ~~~TnD Calculated)
-cocc and Fir4anci= Araisis fc ErErgy InvestEerts - Ecypt EEA raI
capital CStE Perefit Parayeters terna Rate of Return -108
czuisiion ie o 0 $I2X yr 1I Tra-spcrtatior $0 2 Zs~t 2 lyear Dis WVof PV of BCConstructior tate
Benefits Costs NIV Ratiointercorrectior $0 Enry Savrgs 343 bblyear =
Fuel Use 0 bblyear C $130239 $143E03 ($13454) 091trp) CTP $10Z S 270 $138405 ($3375 076 4 S 548 $134260 ($47712) 064ConAstruct Time 1S CnTh5 5 $72307 130 76 ($55669) C55 8 s6319 $122 34G ($67027) 048CoeratrE and -crma Maintenarce Costs 0 ($73494) 042
OperatingCost $18- year 1 $49126 $125306 ($761711 03912 $45912 124479 3735-7 037Operatirg Lifetime 21 years 13 $43032 $123728 $8169L) 035 14 $40443 $12 043 $82601) 033Major Equipment RepairReplacemert I$IIE $38108 4419 ($84310) 031$3810
16 $35997 $121847 ($58M) 030Replace Cost ($4650)period 18 $323A2 $120841 ($88499) 027Relace Period 20 years 20 $Q9303 $119988 ($90685) 024
A-50
and Finaie rr_ fir Energ- ivestrents -- Eyt E2 1IMV5
TAPLE P-26
For Case cfFlD TEST 14 - HELWAANXT1LEIP (PRECTO p ZE$221SFT - P UZCF GIL $2VBE Assuraing Gii Escalation Rate of 20
Saved Val e of oita eraplusmn ir Ccst of Cil uee Lsed Fuel Energy 5ave Irr ca Zas F1ow Disconted Cash Flc (NPIV)E iYear- Cos C-st Bo (E 1) Cost Ecuiv En=Ergy Cost ZLrrert $ 4 8 0 12n
ura-z t 7 bull~r ti- $
rterco-retIcr $ITcta $20 0 $O 3 $1160 $111023 15S ) C$1C3853) (5103353) ($I0335 ($103 53)22 5 $2140 C $0 348 $703 $655 233 ($10Q8311 ($105017 (W05106) ($105Igl)S$ $EEG $2081 0 50 7 $537Z ($$33E41 24 1 183 (1040 (1 663 ($ 35)$EE863 $2-22 0 so 342
0 $733G 18E s527 (P9454) ($03 (56- ( 7)- $QLES( 033 so 343 $7S=34 S 2U- $G 568 ($3110) ()161) ($2645) ($93374)$S E 202C0 $0
7 348 $76E934 $1365 $5818 (S527) ($3730) ($83CK) ($90073V0 $1 s 5 f2252 0 0 343 5738 I6
- V5972 (80 377) (1413) ($5E ) ($37 047)_336 $2297 C $0 34S $75 s - shys- ~ (-1MO M r2~ ~ $ g0~ - J - 322$ ($84275)to S186b $2343 0 s0 343 $a10$ = (300 S186 5$233 (71 355 (7164) ($752 ($1735)to 34S 21313 t566 Z54582) (73 (17S846) 3$73409)r T-357)
0 415-3 $1$238 0 $0 343 $13484 $H6 18S (1 31) ($70 871) ($7424) ($77278)--ES $2437 C s0 348 $2654 S1855 $$73 (t 73$
41) ($70 1 (7) ($75 326)$1B3s $2536 0 s0 14
348 S227 $1865 $S761 ($53594) ($E519S) (5S367 (S73539) 5
t 61656 $2587 c s0 342 $004 Si856 $7133 1$4307) ($62571) i53201 (S1904)51 $125 $2539 0 $0 348 $ 184 M866 $7318 f45081) ($50080) (65703) (570406)i5 $ 861855 $232 0 $0 S13 $7 $5 $751 (34916) ($57715) (63S07) $559036)17 tO 51833 52746 tO 343 $55 51S66 $7539 ($5311 ($55471) ($32234) ($67732)is - s866 $2800 0 $0 34 5 74S S 865 $7880 ($-2766 f534I) ($50675) (3634)13 s0 $18665 $2856 0 $0 348 $S994 $1866 $8075 (28 73) ($513M) (M-3223 ($5 584)20 t0 $ass $n 14 0 so 348 $10 13 $1866 $5273 (424253) (342404) ($57870) ($6462A)21 ($465O $1865 52972 0 $0 348 $10342 (32784) 63126 (f18 863) ($46587) ($55919) (63263)
$10G062 $37631 0 s0 7018 S173 2 $143693 29959
A-51
gSv ONSTBLTABLE TALEASSUPTIOS A-26 (Contd) TT-r-TS TA-- alculated)
Econozc ar Firacia Araly-is for Energy Irvestrerts -- Egypt E_ I-
LaoitaI CoSts Benefit Parx-Eters Iterra Rate c-Return 216
Acquisition $110712 Price of 1 $2000 bb (yr 1)Trarspcrtatio $O Oil Escala 20year DiE Pcf PV of BIC
Corstrutior $0 Rate Benefits Costs NV Ratio iterconneztio $0 Enrgy Savrgs 348 bblyear _= -_--
Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0 $173 G52 $143693 $2 M 121TOTAL Ca) $712 N $14c 360 $13405 $1955 101
4 $11Z338 $134260 ($18863) O8GConstruct Time 10 tronths 6 $96409 $130976 ($34567) 074
8 $81759 $12346 ($46587) 064Operatinz and Norrva Maintenance Costs 10 $70299 $126216 (S55919) 056 A-1 $6S502 125 30f Ui59 64) 05Operatin Cost $866 year
shy
2 $61216 $124479 ($63263) 049 Oerating Lifetime 21 years 13 $57376 $123723 ($65352) 046
14 $5-7924 $123043 ($9120) 044Major Equipment RepairReplacement 15 $50811 $12419 ($71608) 042
16 $47927 $121847 ($73 851) 039Replace Cost ($4G50)perioQ 18 $43123 $120841 ($77718) 036Replace Period 20 years 20 $39071 $119988 ($80 917) 033
A-52
conc34 an Firnancial Qralvss fcr Ener~y i-veEtvnts -- Eypt EE
TMtSLE 4-27
Fc0 2ase TfiEf - 1ZLN TEXTILEI (WZC PR P3rS22TEST 44 SETOR C7 a- $25IEDU Asi rLz Oil Escalation Rate of Z0
SavBr Vaue f1ta Ccost of Oi Fue Use Yuel[eraing Energy SZve- rnual Cas 71co ritv ed Cash Flow (NPV ) i = -- CostYear ost $1 (Bbl C-st L c r ny Cost C-rre~t 1 4 1r IN0
t1i3iticr tSU712
7rarns~ort $
Ccrtructcr It o $oerconnec
aS 71 S00 0 to 53 1450 1 023 (103 -73 5-3c$3573) ($109573) ($103-73)sgE t C 0 $0 348 S234 S7 CC7 3SZE 1C-084 (3103202) ($103316)$0 $as 2L0 $-r
0 s0 343 $ 51 $1ms5s n7515261) $9924) ($97264) (975M30 $0 348 Ic233 $786-H s364 (tc7E ($91723 (SW344)So286 027 $0 -48 $47 $I 17f51 5E so $ G s S27 EC 0
18 ($3552) ($37545)0 to 348 $q606 $1 86 $Z740 8257 t85 15 C 03 $76 -53 ($817E6) $83154)ss~ g $ 5 7 g2 ( 7 a $2215 $50 348 $9738 $6 $7 2 ($7058) 726 (377287) (79135)Sc S5 K6 372 0 $0 348 Sg934 S6 $2 $64322 ($70 1) 37311 3754599 $0 38 S A 52 s (923371 s1 S7237) ($72036)IC $r t85 12955 0 $0 343 $10377 865 $352 ($-22) (6751 (55615) ($59013)11 so 55 5 247 -0 s0 348 $C61 SlE6 $873S ($493) (t-7) ($-2246) ($55205$ $185 5$ $1510 SO 348 $087 $2811 (L4$54) ($53864) $53108) ($36321O 518) $317 0 $012 348 S1I034 $66 $9168 ($24858) (min22 3 56187) (S61279)14 s$ $S-76 52234 0 $0 348 $11254 $1866 $2382 1$2220) (34S771) (353468) ($59127)E $C $1685 $39 0 $0 -48 $114-9 $666 $3613 3U2668)($43498) ($50936) ($5-7160)so$ $866 $3365 0 so 348 S- 70 $86 13843 2$03)-($40395) ($48560) ($-m3S)
17 so 11862 $432 0 so 348 11-43 $1866 $10077 12 822) (37454 (34G387) (5 718)2 to T866 $350 0 $0 348 $12182 $866 $1016 ($7526) ($34666) ($44345) ($2216)V9$0 $1866 $257 0 $0 348 $12426 $156 $105EC ($2314) ($2023) ($42447) ($50842)2V $3 $1866 53642 0 s0 348 $12674 $1856 S0803 $2816 ($ 519) ($40673) ($49588)21 (54650) $1866 $3715 0 s0 346 $12926 ($2784) $15712 $9987 ($26148) ($33344) ($47M95)
$105062 $37631 0 s0 7018 $217065 S143693 $73372
A-53
PSSU Ns TABLE TABLE A-27 (Contd) FE-E=IT- 2ST3 TA2LE Cal d
Ecortomiz arnc a AIaEsis fc- Enery Irvestmerts - Egypt EE- iC1365
Capital Costs Perefit Parameters lnterral Rate c Return 491
Acquisitic $0712 Price of Oil Trarnsportat $C Oil Escalat Construction $0
Interconrectior $0 Enrny Savngs Fuel Use
TOTlL Cap $0 72
Construct Tiie 10 Moths
Operatinz and Norma Maintenance Cost5
Ooerating Cost $866 year Operating Lifetime 21years
Major Equipnent RepairReplacement
Replace Cost ($4650)period Replace Period 20 years
$2500 bbl ( r 20year
348 bblyear
0 bblyear
1)
A-54
Disc Rate -shy
0 -w
4 6
8 0
11 n
3
14 15
16 18 20
PV zPV EenefitS
$217CS5 $75450
$144247 $$0C $102193 $87374
$81877 $76E20
$71720
$S7405 $63514
19996 $53904 $4883
cf Costs
$143623 $132405
$134260 27
$128346 $2z218
$125306 $124472
$123728
$043 $122412
$121847 S120841 $119988
NPV
$733272 $37045
$2987 ($101465)
($26148) ($38344)
($43429)($47259)
($52008)
($55639) ($532905) ($61251) ($68938) ($71149)
BC Ratio
151 27
107 092
080 070
065 061
058
055 052
049 045 041
E ri- Fra Fa-s fc- Erergy -vetrerts - Egypt EA
TAKLE P-28
o- Case lfF- TEST 4 - HELWATEXTILEIPH (CELECTOR Assuming01l E-calatic Rate c 2C
PRCZ-22I _- 01vS
YeF-ita
Cost 0=erair
Cost st of 0j
IB Fuel Used
(bLI) Fuel Cost
Energy Eciv
Savee ErCr~y
rrua Lost
Eas FIcA Current $
Discountd Cash 4 8
Floh (NPV) 10
i 12
k cuisiicr r7-2 1 Transc-rt $ I Costrut or $3
cta $272 2 S COo
Se $ESE 120 so $ SSr
s3~ zs384cSO $0 $15 S47
6 $3 t135 $--- 2 7S882 53375 a $0 $258 $344E
5 S18 zI^ to $ -ES s3F
1$ ss sss~s S- $181H $3730 SO $1868 $3805
4 $ $35 E i V $8-8 $3258 E 50 $8EE $4038 17 $0 s B S4s SO $0 S8EE $4201
13 tS $18 $428 5 20 $0 $86 $4370 21 ($4650) $1868 $4458
$105 02 $37631
0
I
0
0
0
0 IC
0 0 0 o0 0 0
0 v
0
$0 Es $174
742 t-8c4c SO$0 343 $1
348 51107 $0 348 $11301 $0 348 $1527 SO 342 7m7 so 343 $13 $1 348 S2 32 $C 348 $12477
38V)2 $0 342 $ 345 t3240
$C 348 $ z -to 348 775 so 348 $1405 SO 348 $14 332 $0 343 $14CM $0 348 $14911
$0 348 $KS203 $0 348 $15513
$0 7018 $260478
A-55
III3-3C3
$E- Iass
$1866
$1856 S866 5 865 5185S $3s6
56 65
Sa36
518j$E $8 $866 $ 86 $155
$862 ($2784)
$143633
10I08 23
S7322 2 9
s $3435
$3661
$9S3 s u $03-
$511
$6 $11 $11374
187^ $ 3 $1822 $12 48
273 S13045
$13343 $18297
$118785
3
($1Th22-
(Pc8751
E3 -73
(ME223 (3) 5) ($
4 2231
337784
30447) ($23227) $V23)
3 1 (1 2M)
- IS6 $7t $24453
$30466 $L M3E
(1l123
cs 32443)$22
1
72 611
(SE8 322) () 4741 1154 372)
($4258)
3544E35) ($ 76 S (5325)
3071) ($28E3)
0751 (119 43s
E9 3 ($12725)
($3634) ($5708)
(s0--3) ($33864)5552 $83498
(745001 (S53917) ME-720)
($ES584
($54284)
(S530197) 3413 3542-S7h
(S30- ) (S3170) (332-) ($3 4 23M)
$25870)
($23433) ($20 705)
((e02203)
(S1014411 ($94270)
-855772 7S
(727v1 (37124) ($6S 64) (M62456)
(3E2301
($5133) (33 (02)
ME48-5 ($14314 S41688)
33854) (-7 ($101)
(345m21 (32655)
TABLE A-28 (Contd) S TpLE - Th-CCSTS TPAELE (Calclated)
Ezo ndard Firarla yss fzr Erergy Investrzents -- Egypt M 01I 185
Capita Ccsts BerEfit Paraeters lkterrz ate of Rturr 7351
A-uisit in Trarr~rtaticr Cortro
$117-12 t0
$0
P-ice o Cii Escala
$3000 Ibb (yr 20year
1) Disz ta
V of
Benefits PV of
Costs 1PV BC
Ratio -rnterconretion $( Errzy Savwes 348 bblyear -------
TCTAL (Cap $10 712 Fuel Use 0 bblyear 0
2 $26r-475 2l154C
$143623 $132405
euro16785 $72135
81 152
Corstruct Timne 10 msonth-4 6
173097 $144614
$24260 $131 976
$33836 $13633
12 110
Dperating an Normal Maintenarce Costs 8
0
$122633 $108449 $98253
$12346 $126218 $125 305
(35708) ($32769) ($27053)
096 084 078
Operating Cost
Operating Lifetime $865 year
21 years 1 13
$9824 $5064
$12479 $123728
332E5 ($37664)
074 070
Major Equipment RepaiReplacemeet 14 15
$80985 $7217
$123043 S122419
(42158) ($46202)
065 062
Replace Cost Replace Period
($4650)period
20 years
1 S 20
$719T $64655 $58607
$121847 $120841
$119988
($49852) (356157) (361381)
059 054
049
A-56
Taiaccno arc navsl- fCr erv InVES Et S_ 5E
TWILE A-29
For Case of --T TEST - uMwANTEXTIlEIPP 1Crv=TO PR2E -rR- a PAssuz 0 Escalation Rate of 20
Save Value f Ozeratir iliFuel Usedaoita Cost cf Fuel Energy Saej Annual ash 73w Dis-unted Cash Flow ( ) i = Cst st $1bl (btI) cost Ecuiv Enerzy zt --rrert 4
- Trarsoco-t SC)
I rsterucrneztion 50
I Tc- Z $3500 0 $203 (T01132 (50-932(9933-3) ($IC-9931(12S933S S46SE 170 0 $C 34 $2 424 s1856 $_ssS99217 ($32841) ( 39E (M567)5 52-25 $3541 0 $0 348 52572 $1855 1 bull 23 (58953 ($0457 ($g032)
5-5E0 53714 -7 0 So 10 731)0 g 48 174 ) $ 15 (S33 030)343 $12 S6G 4 7 O t1 Es SBs $3729 0 $1 348 $1284 $865 $318 363344) ($72254) (374425) (37637
S S1E $In3964 0 $0 7
348 $13448 1866 V1152 (IZ3825) M4972) ($67234) (315)53942 0 $V 348 $13717 $1866 (550459 ($54544)5Y1-1 (1-7504) ($6332)
$0 855 $$4020 0 t0 348 t13991 18665 shy12 - ($424V (s 422) ($54322 (tS72273 s aE- $41 0 $0 348 $14271 t856 $19405 S2J81 43728) ($4535) ($2817)10 $0 $1855 $4123 C s0
11 348 $14556 T556 $126 0 ($23265) ($37379 3$433 $4Z2 4
5 $425 $0 348l $0 S 1856 $4352 0 SO 348
0 s0 $14847 $1862 $31 (514495) ($313E5) ($32149) (5440511 $15144 $1866 12272 f(15870) (S25672) (1334 ) ( 244)13 855 $0 $54439 0 348 t5447 t855 $1253 $213 M278) ($2967) (33758)
14 $0 $SE5 $4S23 0 $0 34s 1135-0 955$1Z75C 518s $11C (t15171) ($255144) (533 -5)15 $0 $1855 $4513 0 $0 348 14 (110325)16 to f86 1471
$1071 S856 5131I8 353 (2434 (3066Z 0 $0 348 $1633 11365 S14527 $27224 (5575) ($1725) ($29014)7 $0 t1855 $4805 0 $0 348 $16721 351551865 $14855 (3419) (514693) ($25591)is $0 $1866 $4C1 0
9 $0 348 $17055 $ISG5 15 183 $42353 $2626 ($16 (122791
$0 1855 4999 0 so 348 S173 1B6 515530 550518 $6572 ($894) (521359)2 $0 $1866 1509 0 s0 348 $17744 $1866 t 5878 $58155 $102551 ($6298) ($19516)21 ($4550) $186 $5201 0 $0 348 $18099 (32784) $2883 $67686 $14732 ($3 194) ($17351)
$106052 $37531 0 $0 7018 $303831 $143693 $16018
A-57
TABLE A-29 (Contd) ate
Ecoci ar Pirarzia Evsi fcr ErEr t Eypt EA
3ta CGst= Denefit ParamLeters Interra ate cnf Returt 961
ccisition $I10712 Price of Cil S3502 1b (yr 1) SC
ats rttion $0 Oil Eszalat poundC)year rli P cf FV of Rate Saroaf s Coets N Ratio
Corstruct ion so irtErzonneticn $0 Errgy Savrgs 345 bblyear shy
0 $2^3 89 S143693 $16098 211uLai Use C ttVear 2 $24C30 t 145 507 -2-25 177
TDT CaP) $1SC712 4 $20945 $1342K0 $67686 150 S $-53716 $30975 37740 139
Construct Time 10 rorths 8 $143078 $128346 $14732 111
10 S12024 ($3124) 097 Doerating and Norma Mairtenane Costs 1 1468 $ 3C6 ($10678) 091
-- - ----- 1 $114628 S 3CS09
Operatir Cost $1856 year $1107128 $124479 (17351) 086
13 $13J408 $12723 ($230) 081 Operating Lifetime 21 years
14 $94366 $23043 ($28677) 077
5 $23920 $122419 ($33499) 073 Major Equipeent RepairRepla-ement
15 $23934 $121847 ($37853) 069 3 $75465 $120841 ($45376) 062
Replace Cost ($4650)period 20 $SE375 $112938 ($51614) 057
Replace Period 20 years A-58
Ec- ic and Frana Ara~y- f- Erry Irve=tert5 - Evpt -EEA
TAKE A-30
c Ca__ cf-l_ TrST 4 - HLW TEXTLEiP (Z2LETaP $2S FT shy E OF0i $40B) 9ssuMir Oil Escalation Rate f 20
save alue of-azita eratirg Cost c Oil Fu Ue Fuel Erry --ave Annual Cas DiscountedYEar 0 gas Flow (PV) i =st II) Cost Ezv Energy Cost Curre t $ 4 8 IC0
1 Pcq-isit - l1 02 Transzrt $0
$31 $4000 0 $C 52 0 S
21n232232 757-3) 07 3 f C 27 3 0703 f0373)sc sz-s $4080 a S4105 1 855 8 V7134 ($774532) M751Ss 542S I- 0 Sbullcss ~ S42-4f 0 345 4 82cs $14 7172 1-G1- 1SZ3 18$14772 9 7 W- 02)ssamp $12 7 M( 465) 27 ($87134-I (2377 ($762 577365 ($7344$73-2
32 0 $ $3 057
) fD 3$7-42)
$4_ $BSE 12i Z (57-253 1 SSS325--)(570 O0E) ($791C SSS6 $4505 E 33 S)0 V 345 $15676 $1566 $13Bic1556 6261$0 $5 25S 4 47 (2172) M35400)345 $sfsC $8s6 $4687 0 348
8 2 $27-T 42 (449241 ( 33511)T1309 $866 S 14443$2 2- 522) ( 186) ($43 1771 $0 8SG S4780 0 374S S2636V BEE866 $4876 S0
smsG V14770 ($374E 12EM)3 f$3 293 ($37K 50 3452 f3s8 $1266 13--ZC Il- S5$7 05 $$0S 32 4 7 2193) ($3850)$0 $1566 $4372 0 $-
S 07 -- (2 5B2 273)SC 343 $7302 T1866S0 $1866 $156$3073 $0 $1442 42427 SI (1-2ESP n$2533)0 $0 348 S17954 V866 - $7 4
117amp2 1248 ($S305) (51S-7 ($24497)t $58s6 $2173 0 SO 349 $293G7 $8S6 $121 $34 S229 ($53 ($2072
$0 sB- $233716 0 so 348 18734 $ 56 $SHS28 $ 93 $11 17 51 (t235 (13434 )$02 $556 $G349 0 50s 348 $1910 ISsG $17243 152 144 $16523 S1154 (M527)$0 s856 $56011E 0 $0 348 $9491 $862 $17E23 $6312 213529SID $18E6 $5713 $464 (S8950)0 so 345 $9881 S1 $18015 $77035 $2570 $578W- ($5617)s0 VO15865 $5827 0 $0 348 520279 $1866 $1541321 ($4650) $1866
$53852 $30136 $10892 ($4460)$5944 0 $0 348 $20684 ($2784) $23468 $9235 $3171 $14381 ($2047)
S10606 $37631 0 $0 7018 $347304 $143693 $203611
A-59
TABLE A-30 (Contd)
7Ec-acy ar ka lysis fc7nergy Irvestre-ts - Egypt M I
caita Costs EerEf araetErs RatetEtrr tr 72
PAcuisit ioon $ Price cf Di1 Transortaior SOi1 Es-aat
ortrzt io $0
irteronnectior U0 Enrgy Savs - Fuel Use TDTPL (Ca 51
Construct Time 0 -onths
Ozeating and Norral ainterance Costs
- ----Operating Cost $C66 year
Coerating Lifetime 2 year_
ma=jor Equipmet RepairPElacement
Replace Cost $4650)period Replace Period 20 years
$400k bl (yr -shy year
348 bblyear r bblyear
I)
DIK Rate
0 2
4 4
Epound 10
11 2 12
14 Cal
e s 13 MA
PV of Perfits
$347204 28eC 72f)
2307 c2-817
$153=17 $140 522
$131004 122432 $114751
$07847$101622
$3-993 58646 $78143
1W of Costs
143653 $2C-21 a 40 $4235
$134 260 $ 35 $30276 $E842
$229345 35171 $25218 $143912I1
$125306 $5692 $12473 $123728 $3976)
$1234 $51T6)3088 $122419 (20 796)
$121847 ($25 854 5120 841 (334S5) $119988 ($41846)
PC Ratio
242 2003
172 -47
127
105
323
83
C7 071 065
A-60
orc-ic nFiarcial Aav=s shyr rerr Investrents -- ypt EE
----------
Por Case ofFIE MS 14 - HFLu r Ss~zlnz C Fszalatior Rate cf 20
pRZ3 $2I T iE
Zzplta 2eratir Ccst of 11 FLel Used Yea ccist cst $B (kt
Pcu isit icn107335 Tra-ort $0
Ccstr-t icr I irternect io $0 1 ftctal f 099Z $2K IS C$10 0
$ 6z I$-z 3 $50 5162=0 $56 0
4 S s T5 05 So S= $6L-24 0 E SO S $155E 0 7 $0 $112CI U689 0 C to S680 $1723 0
SO cEo $17 0 S $1793 oIi $ t S1568c28 0
$0 C6S0 $1865 013 $0 $1E8 $1902 0 14 $0 t6Vo $940 015 t0 680 $1979 0 16 $0 1680 $20-19 0 17 $0 iamp80 $2059 0 18 $0 C1680 $2100 0 19 $0 $16580 $2142 0 20 $0 $1680 $2185 0 a1 ($453) $1680 $2229 0
Fue C-5l
S5 ts 23
so $0 $0 $0
so
St)$0 $0 $0
to $0 $0 $c to $0
$0 so
Saved nre-y
E-uii
348 348
348 348 345 343
348 341
-7n
342 348
342 348 348 348 348 248 34C 348
Vaue c Saved
Enerry
t-371 s4
$5421
S- 540 $5 50 $5763 $5279 Sf I9 S
t$- Z5$5353
$5450 $E620
S753 -888
$7025 $7 165 $730 $7455
$7605 $7757
rnnual Zash Flcw Cost Crrert $
1o2 275 1-o07405 $168^ $3E44 $6) 275
t1650 m1 i680 $2970 680 $403
$I680 $ 23 680 S4 31F
680 $4436
amp2553680 $4E33
(1850 $421C f1 680 t 0
$16s0 73 $1680 55202-s1680 $5345 $6 s5456 $16 u $5623
S680$5775 $1680 $5325
$2856) S10612
Diccirted Cas 4 8
5)$C~ S17 4^5) ) 3
152=r
f537 002) W17 751 5332) (9S4633)
($30 V-($ r7) C2SS934) ($83403) ($3 54) 1$5
0412) ($84493)
3 $ o(S74 04N) ($30043) (S7 92 1 (ST79a3)
-$72_) ($75018)
(V783) (374153) 17 K ) (72 (52 814) (37065) 3$55885 ($69094] 55995 (567572) (55144) ($68 127) ($47332) ($I4754) ($424A8) (362477)
io (n 2 i = 10 12
(s-7405 (S27405 104 0435051
(s($10 z 1 M-33~09 m) (VI3 414)
33513 3 M 891 (M28451 (15574) $90475 ( 446
3)520 ($9494) (585 1911 t$377 ^2T
(4(22 452) ($8415 ) C3 766) (22ES)($79192) ($aO0 S 723) ($80737) ($76351 37972) ($ 072) (373 1) ($73872) 1177M00) 372764) ($76930) (371 725) (76T2209 ($70 756) ($7541) ($69179) ($74441)
$103459 $33880 0 s0 7018 $130239 S137 339 ($7100)
A-61
TABLE A-31 (Contd)
Econozic and Financia ay for Energy Investmets -- Egypt E
Capi costs BerefIt Pararsters Internal Rate of Return -057
Acquisition $17735 Price 2i Transortatior $0 0Ci sa-t
Corstruction $0 Interconnection Er y Savrs
- ---- Fuel UsE
TOTk (Cap) $I07 Q
Construct TivE 10 months
Operating and Normal Maintenarce Costs
Operatir Cost $1680 year Operating Lifetime 2 years
Major Euipment Repaireplacement
Replace Cost ($4536)period Replace Period 20 years
i bb (yr 2year
348 lyear
0 bblyea
1) risc P Cf Rats BenEfits
0 $ 032
$105270 4 $BW548 6 $72307 9 $51 3
0 $52725 1 $49 126
SE$4512 13 $43032
14 $40443 1 $3108 16 $3997 18 $342 2C0 $23303
PV of Costs
137339
$132 Ek3 2037
$126130 $1373
$121904 $121 $120353 $113633
$113 072 $118514
$117102 $116338
NPV
($7100)
($27423) ($42483) ($5 823) (524T7)
($63179) ($71964) ($74441) ($76651)
($78629) ($80405) 388-0($22005) ($84760) ($87034)
BC Ratio =z=
5
073 067 C57 050
043 041 038 036
034 032 031 028 025
A-62
Econo ard r-ia nalysis fc- Enery rvastmerts -- Et EEA IO
TPPLE A-32
For Case cfF_E TET 4 - HaJ-W TEXTIEIPP ( _=EOCC70R pCE -C PRICz OF QUM Pssumir 3il Escalation Rate of 20
Cata DOerati Cost of Cil Fuel UsEd Fuel SavE Errgy
Value Cf Save- Anrual Cash -Ic Dir-counted Cash 1ow (kV) B i
Year Czet (E) Cc-t Eciv Energy Cost Lrrert 8 10
1 -cusjtic-$107 1 TransDcrt t3 SCorstrLtO $0 I rerccrrect o 0
2 3 4
5s 6 7
9
10
12 13 14 15 1-
17
19
20 21
Tota $97 5 2
$630 S0 $1680
$0 $ $0 $680 $0 $6S0
0to SEscl $0 $ SK $ 168C
168 V71650
S0 S1630 $0 S 680 $0 1180 0 $1680
$10 1$1 S0 so10 11680 0 $650
$0 t680 (14536) $1680
$20
$2040 $2s3o
$21 22 $I55 $20a $SL V12 $2 97 52 43 S220 V1-42
$2487 $2536 $2587 V6 30 V2692 $274 $20 12 56 $2 14
12972
0
0 C 0 0
C 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0
0
$0
$0 10
s0 $0 s0 s0 $0 s0 s0
S0 $0 s0
s0 $0 t0
3 t0
s0
s0
$0
5N
348 342
343 34
342 348
348 345
348 348 348 348 348 348 348 34 348 348 348
348
S160
S7 033 S7241
t7386 $7534 t7684 $7238 $7225 $85 1$318
13484
U8SE4 S3827
$9004 $3184 $3367 1955 19746 $9941
$10139
$10342
103275
11680 $680
$G60 $5150 1680 S1680
1$680 4$1680
$1680
S1680 $1680 $1680 $680 $1680 $180 $1680 $1168 S1680
($2856)
(-c ($10751s- C71)5
tE4 C 3o4 (102097) 6=SE3 ($3721)
5-7 15970) M$2800 5954 1$5poundpound5 $8497) $004 ($3721) ($8441) $ 158 (176H-4) ($3V530) t16 ($72C25) $7645 sz475 (157-254) 373347)
1r3 I E21) 27t=E(- ($70Q ) S1616804 ($Ez0941 (55875) $S974 2534) ($E3884) $7147 ($ oo)10 (5046) 17324 344702) 352353) $754 (S4C 3)9 ($55798) $7637 ($33100) (533755) S7 M (13189-) (151076) 1205 1127755) (48897 8261 (123 77 (46 29)
$2459 ($9662) ($44829)
$13193 ($1363 ($42038)
($107-5]
$0218a) (397592)
($8307)
(SK579) (322103)
($78S52) ( 7842) 373027) ($70403) (57952) (562) (16251) (115) (S59744) (Z803 (156 435) ($54943)
(353566)
($51604)
(101] $12276) 197843) M2305)(52372 ($00622
(SB654) SK 535) 3$80678) ($72 C3)
($7E 69 ($73473) (371474) (169253) (7961 (16642E) (165021) ($63737) ($625 2) ($61488) ($F0505)
($59137)
U-459 $33880 0 $0 7018 $173652 $137339 $36313
A-63
---------- -------
TABLE A-32 (Contd)TBLE (Calulated)
E-oroizic and Finania Anaaysis for Eergy investments -Egypt EA C
Cacital Costs Benefit Parameters Irterra Rate cREturn 26S
Pcouisitic $7993 Price cf Oi $2C (yr 1)Transortatio $0 Oil Esaa year li-c P of CConstruction $0 Rate BenfEtz Costs wV RatioIterconnection $0 Enry Savns 34E bbyear
UEl use C bblyear 0 73SS52 $137 3 $C313 126TDTAL Ca 7 $140320 $122593 $7657 106 4 IIZ398Constrct TicE I0 morths $122037 ($339) 089 5 $96409 $12- 130 ($23 721) 076 8 $3179 $12205 ($42038) 066Operatirc and Normal rairtenance Costs 10 $70293 $121904 ($5l 604) 58 1X $ampZ502 S12 M ($55 589) 054Operatirg Cost $1680 year 12 $61215 $12 0353 ($59 137) 051Operating Lifetime 21 years 13 $57376 $119633 ($52307) 043
14 $52924 $9072 (55148) 045Major Zqjioinert RepairReplacement 15 $50 1I1 $113514 ($67702) 043 16 A7-97 S1420002 ($70006) 041Replace Cost ($453S)period 18 $43123 $117102 ($73979) 037Replace Period 20 years 20 $39071 $116338 ($77266) 034
A-64
E~ocon2 -- rr Ar ys s fcr Ererzy Irvssttets -- 7rypt EE
TZE A-33
F Case TES 14 - W (0 ETD PE- $2T - PI-- O- DIS $25P)I Assuminz 0 Escalation Rate cf 20
azita Ceratir Ccst cf Oil Fuel Used Fuel SaveeErergy Value -f
save nual Cash Flow DEounted Casi Flow (NPV) 0 i = YS-ar st Cost $bbl (Bbi) Cost Ecuiv crerpy Cost Currert $ 4 8 011 2
rar-zor
Cnst~t I 2tsrzr-ezti- $1
E
12$
14 if
iG
17
18
19
20
21
a S230
s$1 S60
$$ $1169 o$0 $80
$3 S 90 i $i 6c 7 v68n
$0 t68c
so S680 S t 1680
$$ $Sao
$680 $0 $1680
$ $1680 $0 $I63
0 $1-680 $ $1620 $0 $1620 $ $680
$0 $1680 ($4536) $180
S25co
$2550 $ 2553
127 06 127V
a
V-1 72
$2323 t2962
$3047
$31C8 $3171
$3234 $3293
53365
$3432
$3501
$2571
$3842 $3715
0
o
c) 0
0 0
0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0
0 0
0
0 0
$0
$0 so so
t0
SO $0
$0
0 $0
$0
$0 $0
$0 so
$0
$0 $0
so $0 $0
348
347 345
348
342
342
348
34 348 343
348 348
348 343
348
348
348
348
348
348
S151450
$2874
323
$9417
$260E
t9735
53334
t 3 $13337
$1 605
$10817 $11034
$14 $47-
$11703
$ 43 $12122
$12426
$12674
$12328
S1032T
S0
6s0
$1680
$1680
t1680
t-1680
t16
$5
1680 S63 s1650 t1 580
$680
$w $60
$160
$1680 ($2856)
(t10E22f
$7134
$7553
$7737
$306
1218
12314
13 180$3717
$232
$3137 $ 3S4
$3-74 $373K
$10023
1510-22
$103503
$10746
$10-34 $1E784
(105z825) ($106225)
$3 T03154
($33032) ($93644 ($55375) ($W784) ($73764) ($22162)
($73250) ($73-76a
(56235) (71amp2) ($ 17) ($620)
($S4 29 J ($62 202 (43 7) ($5781)
($42 142) ($53737)
($3207) ($43 781 (3c354) ($4073)
($2464) $42 ($1255) 3332 1 ($3387) ($36055) ($7907) ($33 053) ($251 ($30221) $2723 $27532)
$8007 ($34984) $15211 ($21532)
310S225) (S106825) ($10028E I100 402) ($34133) $3425) ($25) ($83150) ($2 234) ($84232)
(37S313 $73725
($73731 ) ($3756231 ($53 45 (371852)
(5 431 ( ($E75 5 0)
($SEB5I) ($5406)
( (7578T 172 (157373)
(53($439 ($55185) ($41818) 379$5 ($44417) ISS347) ($421 84) ($49673) ($4010S) ($$143) $3-173) (-$746)
($36i 3M) ($45403) ($34023) ($43833)
$103453 $33880 0 $0 7018 $217065 $137333 $79726
A-65
TABLE A-33 (Contd)
Ec rC z ant Firn Anaiys- fc- Ererzy Investrerts - Egypt En MlIS
Czzota ss Benefit Parameters terra Rate cf eturn C40
flcquistici deg $17K= Transporatic $0
Sonstructior $0
Irterco rnectior $0
T3TAL Cap2 $107275
Lorstruzt Time 0th
Prce of 0i
C Escalat
rrgy Savngs
F-el Use
$2500 I (yr 20year
343 bbllvear
0 btlyear
11 -i- PV cf
Rat - enefits
0 $217
2 $17- 4-4 $144247
PV of
Costs
12339 $SOV-93 $129037 $2E30
11PV
$7726 $475-7 $15211(I5sES
BC
Ratio
158 132 112 096
Cperating and Nor a
Ocerating Cost
Operating Lifetime
Maintenace Costs
SEC year
21 years
L2r f 0 3
OX $37874
11 $81877 12 76520
I3 $7172014 $67405
$92273
$121904
$121 091 1353
$119632$119072
($21 53)
($34029
($23214)
($432833) ($47953)($516S7)
083
072 068 064 060 057
10ajcr Ecuipment Re~a rlRepaeet
Replace Cost ($4535)Ipericd
Replace Period 20 years
IS
18
20
$614
$53936
$53904
$48839
$11 514
$113002
$117102
$116338
($5000)
($52007)
($63198)
($67498)
054
051
046
042
A-66
Ecorcmic an Fnanria AralvsiE r Eer-y rveStMe-ts -- EZy EE C1I
TABLP-34
-r Case -fL TEST 4 - LEW TEX7Lfl LE $202-T - PR D-L $30BBL) Assir Oi Escalatior Rate of 20
Yea a-ta
Cost eratrCEt of Oi cost $pbl
el Used
(MI Fel
ost
zave Erergy
Ecuzv
VaLe cf s-ve
Energy P -a
Cest
Cash
Currert euro Dscounted Cash 4 8
1ow UNV)
10
9 i
12
1 ccuisCiticr 7 T7rarsort bull Co-tr t~ $
2
4
5
7 8
10
2
13
14
15
16
17 18 19
21
ITz~ta $C73 $22 ES
so 10 o sSo o $iE80 n $ 680 $0 U680
$0 $160 5 s62-
$0 680 f l
50 $Ss so $ss
$0 $6Ev
s $68 so $180
S0 siW8 to $1680 V) $65
$0 $1680 ($4536) $1680
$--D00
S32 $334
$32 7 C312
$3378
$2446 $5
3s85 357
$2730 $3355
$388
$353
$423
s412 $42CI
$42895
$417C
$4458
l c
0 0 0 0 0
0 0
0
0
0
0
0
0 0
0
0
0
so so o$0
so so $0
$0 so so
to $0
$0
$0
$0
so so
so s0
$0
$0
$0
53 348 246 348
343 343
348
348 348
348 348
348
348
348
348
348
348 348
348
348
348
S1 70 s I 49 $1 3F2 072
$11301 $527
$1177
$11992 $122532
S2477 $2$2726
$12231
Z2240 $2505
$12775
$14051
$4 322 $1463
$14911
$15203
$15513
S10227S 15 Si680 $29E
$1580 $312 $amp80 ] $630 $S2 $1680 $36 7 $168) $C077 $680 $C312 $68 $05
E0 S07377 680 $11046
$680 $1130 $680 11 5w S680
t 630 $12035 S60 o S1237-
S11530 s1T652 $660 $12 923 $ i0 $13231
$68 $13523
82856)$18259
310S 525) ($37S5
(s8nL) 172843) ($64749)
3$5S785-
($42942) ($41233)
f$2-53) ($21O)
($18650)
($ 9)
32($4527)
$24S8
$327
$103 22724
$255
$35677
$44060
165f25)1 SZ
(0 -59) ($32837)
($7582)
1$9 -5) (S2774)
5S75f ($510)
3$45551 (340533)
($25692)
($3101)
($26753)
3-631
13725)
(K5M504Z) ($11545)
($2234)
($5093)
($1158)
(S10S 5 (356332)
($3733 ($3732 ($7716)
($71047)
($U35 (0067) ($5M144)
(S55 (4S306)
($42345)
1538662)
($L237
(632C51)
($23020)
($2227) ($23777)
($2 337)
($13185)
(16454)
1 cc-T25) ($3327)
($91207) (184517)
(73403)
($72816)
($6771)
163046 ($53784)
(G54831) (35334) (08025
s$ 8
($42423
( 3
($37673)
($35J60) ($23725)
($32004)
($30433)
($28S19)
$103455 $33d8O 0 $0 7018 $60 478 $1373n $123135
A-67
TABLE A-34 (Contd) 2Lk T-CTETPL Calc~1ated)FL_TI0~PBL
o~ar Fariai naiysi- f-Erergy l=VEsrEtS - Ecyt EE i
trr Rat-- c REturn 787Benefit araetersazital S-sts
t -ri-e of CiD $3000 bbl (yr 1)$10995n PV of BIC
Trarspoto $0 Oil Eszaat 20Iear ri VV C Rate Eerefits Ccsts IPV Ratio
Corstruct ior $r == shyErray Savr s 348 bblyear
intetor rztior $0 Fue -e 0 bblyear 0 $26C478 $137339 1123133 190
2 105 40 S-32693 $77847 1 9 TOTPL (Cap S10799n
4 $173037 $1903-7 $44060 134
6 $144614 $126130 $183483 115 Construct TiME mcTth-s
$1228 $12379E W158 09
t 129N 087tI0O449 ($16454)woerating and Norma Mainterarce C0ts
11 $98253 $121031 ($r233) 081
2 $91824 $120353 ($22 Z29) 076 Operatirc Cost $1680 year
13 $8K064 $19683 ($33619) 072 O eratir 21 yearsLifetie_
14 $80885 $119072 ($33186) 068
5 $7E217 $18514 ($42237) 064 Major Equipment RerairReplacement
$71995 $11802 ($4007) 061
18 $64685 $117102 ($52417) C5shy_16
Replace Cost ($4536)period 2N $58607 $11S338 ($57731) 050
Replace Period 20 years
A-68
Eccnoc and inarzia ryss fc- -re-y rvEstre-ts - E yot EE
TAEE F-35
Fcr Case ofrZ- 5TEST 4 - HELAN TEXT-IPX Mu Assuin_-0 Escalation Rate cf 20
CTOR PRICE $20SQc- -Cc GI j3mBu
Yea
r
s s-t
--t
aoita ost
7
t
eratirn Lst
Cost of IE
Oi1
Feel Used
(Ebl) Fue
Cost
zavEd Erery EcLIv
Value of SEvE
Ern-rzy Annual
Cost Cash Flow Lrrert S
Liscourted 4
Cash F~A
8 (NM
IC i =
2
2
E
7
1$
--
00 21
t--0795
S $0 4
f2
SO 1$
$o SO f0 $ $ S
so$0
tTSO to
($4535)
$103459
2311
1s8c C)
S o 58
$680
SGzr-SsW ss $S80
$16s2 $X30
$630
$ 3 $ampV
$168 51680 $9
$1680 s680
$33880
$M570 $3
$3714 $373
$335
$3942
$4020 $401
$4 3 S42 ES
$4352 $4439
$4E28
545 is $47
$S422 $4301 $4j 9
15099 55201
0
0 0
0 C
C
0
C
a 0
0 0
C
0 0 0 0
0 0
0
Vi
s0 10
$0
SC
t0
to U$C
$V S
$0 $0
$1
oS^1 s0 SC so
s0 so
s0
s
348 342
248 343
343
342
342 343
-43 348
345 348
343
348 342
348 348 348
348 348
7 01
52 S2424 S 1672 t2926 $13 14
S 4-4
$13717
$1399 $14271
$14 ss S14347
t5144 t15447
$1r756 $16071$[ 3
$16721 $17055 17395
$17744 $180 3
$303891
A-69
245 1E8O $68
$66o $1S80
680
f1680
$us
s S680
s60 V-680
) 60
$11680 1G0
$-680 $680 $180
$1680 (2 5)
$137 3
$10744 $10992
24S Er
$1762
$12037
23 $1680$259 $1287S $13167
3464 $2757
$S076
$14391$114723
$15041 1575 $1576
$16064 120955
1165552
--915) M--72
(1h7) 5 211 Z229
($47334 7H)
(S3733-1 (23353 ($1q134 $02393
($1432) $7105
s5E
$23871S220n40
40 07 $4-964 55572 $Q346 $72910
0245 (S10524S ($105245) 1 237) $-3473) 39S53) 36S273) 387334) (373N 77S4 ($7-4)- (S792S)
(IC3S437037) 372374) ($40) (I781 ($597)
(-68 ) 15936) (M9 799 S473 (t4 7) (54230)
342I1 S$4795) ($43 4-) 34S9 $-9334 11445
(3273701 (S34 2353) (340262) (1253 1212n3s391 ($IE129 T251S) 12858) ($1076 ($2107D) (n632) ($3C53) (S-723-3)($26687)
3$4 (137631 ($23m9)
$2975 $1489) (2546) $7130 (37448) ($1230G)
$I063 (4521) ($172--3) $14786 (31994) (11 397) $19231 S120 (113 25)
TABLE A-35 (Contd)ASSPTIONS TAPBLE ME-F-COST TULE (CalcJaled)
E~ooi a Finacial Asi for Energy Investrents - Eypt EE
raitaSs Penefit raees Iter-E Rate of Returr 1014
Pcnuistio $SI7 Price of CiE h (yr 1)7-arrtatior $0 Oil Ezalat 2 year Dis PY cf V of FCrstrcticr $
Rate Enrefits Cc-zts NPDV Ratiotercnnecticr $0 Ergr~y Savrs 343 ttlyear - -ue Use 0 -bllyEar 0 $302231 $1373393 T2T
2 -(7925$2fZ $333 121 37 185 cnstrnxt Tiia 10 Lerths
46 2C34 $23C37 $72 10 57 6 $163716 $1L $4256 34 ee t1437S $372E $0281 116pe-atinz arsd NorLal nainternare Costs 0 $23022 $2504 S120 01
Operating Cost C680 year 10 $107129 $1E3 353 (S2 00 83 13 S100403 $29693 319275)
woeratino Lifetime 21 years 084
a- Ec RErairReplacemerit 4 $0426E $113072 ($24705)ipet 073883-) $514 $ 94)15 S - $-31 (2 07
-$---I16 eplace Cost (4536)Iperiof $3934 $18002 ($34008) 071 -e---
Repace Period 20 years 12 $75465 $117102 ($41637) 064 20 $66375 $116338 ($47963) 059
A-70
-Ecui adFin-ncla Aralys fcr re-rr-t - Ect Efl S
T-PLE -36
- Case cf-l 75- 14 - ZLWAN TxTLE11P (CLETOR F1 -e-1 - C_ OF L $40PL) Pfssu-ir 0i Ezsaatio- Rate cf 20
saves a cfaita _2erat Cost cz C Fue Used Ftel -rery Eaez ra1 ash oi DiEccurted Cash Fioi (PV) i =Yerpoundzsl (Bb1) Ccst Eciv E-er=- Cst poundjrrent 4 0 l
1 Trar-ort $L or Sc
ac-r r-
Thplusmnt$ $2 $4000 0 $0 53 32220 $ OZ 275 115V S ) $L) 5 $52$ $S $4080 0 $0 342 S4133 5160 bull ( s ($34 34 $4 5251eS oS ($845575 337$S $230 S4162 C $0 348 l144S2 $680 S222 tS2 08B21 (t 383) c(sa84) 354572)4 $ -- 45 0 $0 348 $14 72 80 $13-2 37)443) VT2F35) ($74 M)8 (37221- $ 6 54230 6
c SO 34 $ 07 $1650 513337 (52 333) 5 (s650141 ($56745)41 S6pound0 $4pound 0 $0 343 t5369 s0 $1268 ($47748) S2833) ME514) 3522 3787 S $45C I so 348 s Sw W=10131S13336 $67613SEBT($54614) ($587)scl S621 s~lsK 0o 348 sIz230 $680 $1IL3 I j 2 (-6631 (34171 5447 $ i620 $S437 0 so 348 C2 1 S 42 (f23 ($27 (4)ic $1 11 $4780 0 s0 343 $63 $1680 $1435 (54E 7) (S5284) (252 $3411 $0 960 $4276 0 $0 248 s-03 $1680 $Z222 571 ($1420) ($13 ( 0
1 $ $6al $4373 0 $0 348 $7305 T6O S15628 8(75W (S1S7M ($24 537)$O ^$ 73 0 SO 348 $17654 t1680 $1f3 5 25842 fss (S 641)- 2059714 C05630 IS174 0 $0 348 $12 007 t680 $l6327 53=-048 $4847 ($(S2 $16955)15 sso 15278 0 s0 348 $18367 ~ 6amp s-6637 S45 284 $10E54 (52518) ($3441)15 so Eao $2387 0 so 348 $18734 31680 $17054 $54754 $15$564 31032--17 160 $5497 0 so 348 s1100 T1680 t7423 $4053 $ 20921 15358 ($7482)18 $0 sso 567 0 so 348 $13431 t1680 $1781 5 73203 $2s5 5$8871 ($4888713 $0 $Sao $5773 0 $0 348 $13881 $1680 $18 201 $2188 2r313 S C2 252120 t0 680 $5227 0 $0 348 $20279 $1650 $I63 521016 $3467 $1$196 ($3361)21 $s $1680 $5944 0 $0 348 $20684 $2 856) $22540 $101753 $3 72115 185 $2079
$103458 $33680 0 $0 7018 $347304 S1370 $ 05965
A-71
TABLE A-36 (Contd) S TIO TfPBLE EEN-TT-CCSTS TP- -uatedCa1c
Eccncmic and Financial Pavsis fc- Energy irvestcents -- Eypt EEA 96
aita Costs -eefitParaeters nterna Rate of etur- 1229
fcouisition 0799 Price c Oil $40 bbl (yr 1)Transp rtatir $0 Oil Esalat 20year Disc PV of PV of BZCorst-utie $0 Rate Berfits Costs Ratio
irterconntior $0 Enry Savrs 348 bblyear Fue USE 0 bbllyear N $347304 $33 1 2TOTL -Cap -107 995 S22D720 $132 5S3 $148127 212
4 $2307S6 $2 037 $10 175 -79Construct Time 19 months 6 $92818 $126130 628 53 8 $1amp3517 $123796 3721 132Operating and Normal Mainterance Costs 10 $14C52 $1219(4 $1363 115
11 $3004 $121091 $9913Operating Cost $1650 year 108
12 $1 432 $12C353 $20 102Operating Lifetime 21 years 1 $114751 S83 ($4 31 09z $11
14- $107847 $119072 ($11225) 091Major Equipment RepairRelacemert 5 $1C1622 $110514 (c6291) 086 16 $95993 $118002 ($220C09) 081
Replace Cost ($4536)period 8 $8624E T17102 ($30 S56 074Replace Period 20 years 2 $78143 $115338 ($32195) 067
A-72
APPENDIX B
Preliminary Cost Estimates
Three (3) systems are considered appropriate for cost analysis Cost estimates are preliminary for use in the Application ReviewConceptual
Design portion of this project
A Waste Heat Recovery System
B Solar Thermal Collection System
Current $US (mid-1986) are applied then escalated to mid-1987 theexpected construction period at 10 percent
For cost assessment purposes all material and supervision will beconsidered imported Egyptto Labor costs will reflect some Egyptianrate influence although certain installation procedures will requireexperienced labor not currently available in Egypt
The average annual wage for the Egyptian construction industry in 1985Is 7800 LE or $5778 (US) ($135 LE per US $)
An average labor rate in the United States for construction servicesapplicable to this project is estimated by the R S Means Company to be$2177 per hour in 1985 (crew Q4) An estimated thirty percent imporledlabor with severity percent Egyptian labor can be used for establishing a mixed labor rate average of $936 per hour (US) A labor cost modifier for wages becomes $936$2177 or 0431
Equipment and system cost estimates and percentages are established byusing R S Means Company Cost Data and1985 equipment suppliersbudget pricing estimates
The solar cost data are determined in flxed-and variable-cost increments as required by the FCHART-4R program input format A solar collection array size of 4000 square feet ( 72 m2 ) is estimated for use in determining the variable cost factor
B-I
A WAS[E HEAT RECOVERY SYSTEM
DESC R I FT ION SIEI OTAI TOTAL
3 WAY WASTE WATER DIVERTING VALVES SUMP MATERIALS SUMF PUMP FILTER SCREEN SUMP PUMF LEVEL CONTROL AND VALVE WASTE HEAT STORAGE TANK WASTE HE(I S IORAGE TANK PUMP STORAGE TANK LEVEL CONTROL AND VALVE WASTE HEAT EXCHANGER $1200)1000 EITI SUB-TOTAL EQUIFMENT(MID-1986) $160900
ESCALATION FACTOR 11 TOTAL EQUIPMENT (MID-1987) $176990
FLOW ItDICATORS AND GLOBE VALVES 3 WAY PROCESS WATER BLENDING VALVES STEAM CONTROL VALVES PROCESS WATER TEMPERATURE CONTROLLERS SUB-TOTAL EQUIPMENT(MID-1986) $71400
ESCALATION FACTOR 11 TOTAL EQUIPMENT (MID-1987) $78540
PIPING COST (40 EQUIP COST) 040 $102212
INSULATION COST (75 PIPING COST) 075
SUB-TOTAL MATERIAL COST $434401
LABOR COST (715 MATERIAL COST) $310597 MODIFIERLABOR MIX 043 MODIFIED LABOR COST $133557
SUB-TOTAL MATERIAL + LABOR $567958
TOTAL WASTE HEAT RECOVERY SYSTEM CONSTRUCTION COST $567958
B-2
B SOLAR THERMAL COLLECTION SYSTEM VARIRIABLE COrST (HIID-19117)
DESCR I FIUIN SOLAR CULA-ECTORS $10 0uFT2 COLLECTOR AREA 4000 rF2 COLLECTOR COST SOLAR CIRCIJLAFIN(3 PUMPFS SULAR 1ISTRIBLTI 1 PIlIPS STRUCTURAL STEEl SOLAR CONTROLS INSVRUMELNV AIR SYSEIIFIPING LOW VOLTAGE CABLE EXCAVArION AND FOUNDAFIONS ELECTRICAL
TOTAL EQtJIPMENT(MI ID-1986) ESCALATION FACTOR TOTAL ELUI MENT (MID-1787) PIPING COST (40 COLLECTOR COST) INSULATION COST (75PIPING COST) TOTAL MATERIAL COST I$144050
$105500
I1
075
$116050 $16lt00 $12000
LABOR COST (715 MATERIAL COST) MOIFIERLABOR MIX MODIFIED LABOR COST
$102996 043
$44286
MATERIAL + LABOR $188338
FREIGHTDUTYTAXES TO EGYPT 10 $18834
SUBTOTAL $207172
SUBTOTAL CONTINGENCY 15
$207172 $31076
TOTAL VARIABLE COST COST PER FT2 $60
$238248
B-3
------------------------------------------------------------------------
--------------------------------------------------------------------
FIXED COST (MID 1987)
DESCRIPTION CONTRALCTOIR S RENTAL SUFPL IES CONIRACrORS FACILITIES CONTRACTORS UTILITIES CONTRACTORS MATERIAL HANDLING CONTRACTORS CLEAN-UP DISMANTLING AND MOVING BOXING AND CRATING U S IRANSPORTAT ION SUB-TOTAL $34000
SUB-TOTAL M34000 CONTINGENCY 15 $5100
TOTAL FIXED COST $39100
LGE COST BASED ON CURRENT FIELD TEST PROJECT
TOTAL VARIABLE COST $238248 TOTAL FIXED COST $39100
TOTAL SYSTEM CONSTRUCTION COST $277348
EEA COST DATA BASED ON CURRENT PROJECTS USING IN-COUNTRY CONTRACTOR AND EQUIPMENT
VARIABLE COST $2862FT2 $2862 COLLECTOR SIZE (FT2) 4000 TOTAL VARIABLE COST $114480
EEA FIXED COST $26757
TOTAL SYSTEM CONSTRUCTION COST $141237
CONSTRUCTION COST SUMMARY
A WASTE HEAT RECOVERY SYSTEM $567958
D SOLAR THERMAL COLLECTION SYSfEM $277348
1(lAL CUNSTRUCTION CU9 A amp B $845 05
B-4
APPENDIX C
7)i)7771Cell i) Ofr
U6~ (Ici 1 -211~c~~
f~t 2l
c-1
1986 1OCT
I L jB~ i i~ I C r 6 ~ ~Kn Z 7
B~ C~u ~d~ ~ c) 7 fie~~
dF -Me- cluy( - (F --
(44 I It Lccc~ e~lry
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