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OFFICEINDUSTRIAL RETAILMULTIFAMILY
MARKETREPORT
FORT COLLINS
Q3|2019
MARKETREPORT
OFFICE MARKET REPORT
Market Key Statistics 2
Leasing 3
Rent 8
Construction 10
Under Construction Properties 11
Sales 12
Sales Past 12 Months 13
Economy 15
Market Submarkets 17
Supply & Demand Trends 19
Rent & Vacancy 21
Sale Trends 23
Fort Collins Office
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OverviewFort Collins Office
120 K 44.7 K 4.4% 1.3%12 Mo Deliveries in SF 12 Mo Net Absorption in SF Vacancy Rate 12 Mo Rent Growth
Fort Collins is a dynamic office market that is heavilyinfluenced by Colorado State University, not only themetro’s largest employer, but also serving as anincubator for local tech firms, feeding them talentedgraduates with hands-on experience. Several prominentcompanies have established a presence here, includingHewlett-Packard and Intel.
Moreover, Fort Collins boasts exceptional economic anddemographic trends. Median incomes have increased ata rate twice the national average over the past fiveyears. Net migration has propelled population growth toan average of 2.1% over the past five years, almostthree times the national average.
Even with steady development this cycle, vacancies areexceptionally tight, and rent growth outpaced the nationalaverage for four straight years through 2016, beforemoderating since then. Both the vacancy and availabilityrates touched historic lows within the last few quarters.
In a significant 2018 development, marketing techcompany Madwire signed on for 102,000 SF at 3405 STimberline Road (which had been largely vacant sincethe beginning of 2015) and leased the remaining 45,000SF at the building three months later. The new space willallow the rapidly growing company to expand from 500 to1,200 employees over the next three years.
KEY INDICATORS
Market RentVacancy RateRBACurrent Quarter Availability RateNet Absorption
SFDeliveries SF
UnderConstruction
$31.945.7%1,098,9374 & 5 Star 6.6% (6,832) 0 91,712
$22.444.1%6,870,4783 Star 7.2% 7,371 3,000 4,000
$19.184.5%3,706,3051 & 2 Star 6.7% (466) 0 0
$22.374.4%11,675,720Market 7.0% 73 3,000 95,712
ForecastAverage
HistoricalAverage
12 MonthAnnual Trends Peak When Trough When
3.9%7.9%0.6%Vacancy Change (YOY) 12.2% 2009 Q4 3.7% 2018 Q4
78,135213,60044.7 KNet Absorption SF 578,637 2005 Q2 (130,650) 2002 Q4
77,765227,215120 KDeliveries SF 574,695 2005 Q3 0 2013 Q4
0.8%0.6%1.3%Rent Growth 8.0% 2014 Q2 -6.9% 2009 Q3
N/A$49.0M$99.3 MSales Volume $119.8M 2015 Q4 $0 2003 Q3
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LeasingFort Collins Office
Fort Collins is a well-educated metro supported by thepresence of Colorado State University (CSU), the largestemployer in the market with more than 7,000 employees.The university feeds the local office employers with asteady stream of intellectual capital, helping to supportoffice demand and employment growth. In fact,employment growth in Fort Collins has outpaced thenational average every year of the recovery, often bymore than 200 basis points.
Tech companies from Intel, Hewlett-Packard and AgilentTechnologies are among the metro’s biggest tenants,with a growing trend toward the renewable energy andbiotech sectors. These firms can take advantage ofpartnerships with CSU and their research facilities,incubating an employee base already experienced ininnovation and laboratory work.
In a major development on the tech front, marketing techfirm Madwire signed on for 102,000 SF at 3405 STimberline Road in March 2018. The building, whichunderwent a significant renovation following Madwire'ssigning, had been entirely vacant and available for abouttwo years prior to the lease. Madwire will keep its 63,000SF space a few miles away at 3404 E Harmony Road.This March 2018 lease helped drive down the availabilityrate, which hit a new cyclical low in early 2018.
The availability rate further declined to a new cyclical lowin June 2018, when Madwire signed on for all of theremaining space at 3405 S Timberline Road (anadditional 45,000 SF). With that deal, all of the space at
the building was leased prior to its reopening (afterrenovations).
In another 2018 tech lease, Columbus, OH-basedVertiv, a provider of equipment and services for datacenters, signed on for 19,000 SF at the Hahns Peak Twobuilding in Centerra. Vertiv plans to move about 50existing employees to the office, and hire 50 newemployees.
A prior surge in absorption in 2017 was attributable toseveral major move-ins across the metro, some at newconstruction. Among them: Agrium AdvancedTechnologies moved into 130,000 SF at a new propertyat the Rangeview campus in Loveland in June. The newbuilding (the first 100,000 SF-plus office constructed inthe metro in over a decade) will house the firm's newheadquarters, while consolidating operations that arecurrently spread across Colorado and other parts of thecountry.
Other recent moves include Hewlett-Packard, whichmoved into 30,000 SF at 3404 E Harmony Rd in the Cityof Fort Collins, joining Comcast, which moved into80,000 SF in the same building in February 2017.
Vacancies are largely drum tight in Fort Collins and sit atabout half of the national average. Sublet space isvirtually nonexistent, and available space averages lessthan a year on the market, a trend that has persistedover the last five years.
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LeasingFort Collins Office
NET ABSORPTION, NET DELIVERIES & VACANCY
VACANCY RATE
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LeasingFort Collins Office
AVAILABILITY RATE
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LeasingFort Collins Office
12 MONTH NET ABSORPTION SF IN SELECTED BUILDINGS
3rd QtrBuilding Name/Address Submarket Bldg SF Vacant SF
1st Qtr 2nd Qtr 4th Qtr 12 Month
Net Absorption SF
Fort Collins/Loveland 34,824 0 0 34,824 0 0 34,824Boyd Lake Park Village
Fort Collins/Loveland 34,645 0 33,310 0 0 0 33,3104701 Royal Vista Cir
Fort Collins/Loveland 23,888 0 11,388 12,500 0 0 23,888Oakridge Business Park (1)
Fort Collins/Loveland 23,120 0 23,120 0 0 0 23,120The Plaza @ Riverbend
Fort Collins/Loveland 14,645 0 0 7,493 0 0 12,4684065 St Cloud Dr
Fort Collins/Loveland 26,144 0 3,624 1,760 0 0 12,434The Exchange
Fort Collins/Loveland 58,111 21,417 0 15,833 0 (5,584) 10,249Rangeview
Fort Collins/Loveland 8,794 2,651 4,658 0 0 1,485 6,143808 W Eisenhower Blvd
Fort Collins/Loveland 20,000 0 0 0 5,563 0 5,563Rialto Theater Center
Fort Collins/Loveland 8,640 0 0 7,700 0 0 5,3794102 S Timberline Rd
Fort Collins/Loveland 9,956 0 4,740 0 0 0 5,202Ridgeview Office Park
Fort Collins/Loveland 127,500 0 4,818 0 0 0 4,818Key Bank Tower
Fort Collins/Loveland 30,359 0 0 2,621 2,174 0 4,795Timberline Office Park
Fort Collins/Loveland 83,889 7,085 4,589 (3,249) (1,034) 0 3,969Opera Galleria
Fort Collins/Loveland 18,727 1,166 486 (1,945) 3,295 0 3,596Bank One Bldg
Fort Collins/Loveland 10,248 0 0 0 0 0 3,475Oakridge Business Park (2)
Fort Collins/Loveland 3,070 0 0 0 3,070 0 3,0704800 Larimer Pky
536,560 32,319 90,733 77,537 13,068 (4,099) 196,303Subtotal Primary Competitors
11,139,160 475,623 (69,849) (31,451) (42,844) 4,172 (151,578)Remaining Fort Collins Market
11,675,720 507,942 20,884 46,086 (29,776) 73 44,725Total Fort Collins Market
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LeasingFort Collins Office
TOP OFFICE LEASES PAST 12 MONTHS
Building Name/Address Submarket Leased SF Tenant Name Tenant Rep Company Leasing Rep CompanyQtr
Harmony Corporate Center Fort Collins/Loveland 33,720 Prosci CBRE CBREQ2 19
Oakridge Business Park Fort Collins/Loveland 16,848 summit health - Waypoint Real Estate,…Q4 18
Rangeview Fort Collins/Loveland 15,833 - - Cushman & WakefieldQ4 19
Rangeview Fort Collins/Loveland 15,833 - - Cushman & WakefieldQ2 19
Oakridge Business Park Fort Collins/Loveland 12,500 SummitStone Health Part… - Waypoint Real Estate,…Q1 19
Rangeview Fort Collins/Loveland 9,800 - - Realtec Commercial R…Q1 19
Rangeview Fort Collins/Loveland 9,676 Nutrien Ag Solutions Realtec Commercial… -Q2 19
3420 E Harmony Rd Fort Collins/Loveland 8,840 - Cushman & Wakefield CBREQ3 19
502 E Pitkin St Fort Collins/Loveland 8,705 - - Doberstein Lemburg C…Q2 19
Centerra Fort Collins/Loveland 8,506 - - CBRE;McWhinneyQ3 19
Everitt Plaza Fort Collins/Loveland 8,207 Secure 64 - Cushman & WakefieldQ2 19
4102 S Timberline Rd Fort Collins/Loveland 7,700 SummitStone Health Part… - Cushman & WakefieldQ1 19
Horsetooth East Business Park * Fort Collins/Loveland 7,648 Telesto Solutions, Inc - CBREQ3 19
4065 St Cloud Dr Fort Collins/Loveland 7,493 Agfinity, Inc. - Cushman & WakefieldQ1 19
East Drake Terrace Fort Collins/Loveland 7,256 Veterinary Inc. - RE/MAX Commercial A…Q3 19
Johnstown Plaza Fort Collins/Loveland 6,927 Premier Medical Groups - -Q4 18
Fort Collins Air Park Fort Collins/Loveland 6,757 Heart Centered Counseling - RE/MAX Commercial A…Q2 19
Rangeview Fort Collins/Loveland 6,495 Presidential Wealth Mana… - Realtec Commercial R…Q1 19
Colorado Newspaper Building Fort Collins/Loveland 6,408 Vertiv Corporation Cresa Cushman & WakefieldQ3 19
Observatory Heights * Fort Collins/Loveland 6,097 Keller Williams Fort Collins - Cushman & WakefieldQ4 18
Harmony One at Preston Center Fort Collins/Loveland 6,007 CBRE CBRE Waypoint Real Estate,…Q4 18
400 E Horsetooth Rd Fort Collins/Loveland 5,759 Foundations Counseling,… CBRE Cushman & WakefieldQ4 19
3500 JFK Fort Collins/Loveland 5,180 Koenig - RE/MAX Commercial A…Q3 19
141 Racquette Dr Fort Collins/Loveland 5,061 Joy Organics, LLC Cushman & Wakefield Cushman & WakefieldQ1 19
Oakridge Business Park Fort Collins/Loveland 4,996 - - Waypoint Real Estate,…Q4 18
Harmony One at Preston Center Fort Collins/Loveland 4,573 - - Waypoint Real Estate,…Q1 19
Opera Galleria Fort Collins/Loveland 4,523 - CBRE Cushman & WakefieldQ1 19
2619 Midpoint Dr Fort Collins/Loveland 4,423 Control Vision - The W.W. Reynolds Co…Q2 19
Continental Plaza Fort Collins/Loveland 4,418 Palmer Properties - Cushman & Wakefield;…Q3 19
Oakridge Business Park Fort Collins/Loveland 4,227 - LesseeCRE CBREQ4 18
Poudre Valley Plaza Fort Collins/Loveland 4,129 SWCA, Incorporated Realtec Commercial… Cushman & WakefieldQ4 19
Crossroads Business Park Fort Collins/Loveland 4,100 Mega Natural Gas Solutio… - Cushman & WakefieldQ2 19
Boardwalk Office Park Fort Collins/Loveland 3,729 Slimstock Inc. Livingston Real Esta… SVN l Denver Commer…Q2 19
Boardwalk Office Park Fort Collins/Loveland 3,500 - - Realtec Commercial R…Q2 19
Center for Advanced Technology Fort Collins/Loveland 3,461 - - CSURF Real Estate Off…Q3 19
Continental Plaza * Fort Collins/Loveland 3,359 Securitas Avison Young Cushman & Wakefield;…Q3 19
Center for Advanced Technology Fort Collins/Loveland 3,235 - - CSURF Real Estate Off…Q2 19
Spring Creek Business Condos Fort Collins/Loveland 2,973 Tintometer - The W.W. Reynolds Co…Q1 19
Harmony Hills Bldg Fort Collins/Loveland 2,874 Alexco Water & Environm… - SVN l Denver Commer…Q2 19
Preston Center Office Prk Fort Collins/Loveland 2,859 Thrivent Financial Avison Young;Cush… CBREQ2 19
*Renewal
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RentFort Collins Office
Tight vacancies and healthy demand over the lastseveral years drove strong rent growth since 2012,pushing rents north by almost 25% between 2012-16.Rent growth has since moderated as speculativedevelopment has ramped up, although fundamentalsremain in excellent shape. This follows similarslowdowns in both the Boulder and Denver metros. Still,with vacancies close to cyclical lows despite a healthyamount of speculative development, office owners shouldhave a decent amount of pricing power when space hitsthe market.
Rents at recent or upcoming speculative projects varydepending on the location within the metro. Two recentprojects in the 5,000 to 10,000 SF range in Loveland (onEisenhower Blvd alongside Lake Loveland) listed spacefor $23 to $25/SF triple-net. An 8,000 SF speculativebuilding was recently asking $17/SF NNN.
Space at the North Building of The Exchangedevelopment in Downtown Fort Collins is running fromabout $23 to $25/SF NNN for spaces with street or plazafrontage, and about $19/SF for those without.
MARKET RENT GROWTH (YOY)
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RentFort Collins Office
MARKET RENT PER SQUARE FOOT
4 & 5 STAR EXPENSES PER SF (ANNUAL)
Utilities Cleaning InsuranceMarket / Cluster Taxes Other Total
Fort Collins $1.00 $0.15$0.47 $4.72 $5.03 $11.37
Fort Collins/Loveland $1.00 $0.15$0.47 $4.76 $5.04 $11.42
Outlying Larimer County $0.95 $0.15$0.45 $4.22 $4.85 $10.62
Expenses are estimated using NCREIF, Trepp, IREM, and CoStar data using the narrowest possible geographical definition from Zip Code to region.
3 STAR EXPENSES PER SF (ANNUAL)
Utilities Cleaning InsuranceMarket / Cluster Taxes Other Total
Fort Collins $0.81 $0.11$0.42 $4.04 $2.63 $8.01
Fort Collins/Loveland $0.80 $0.11$0.42 $4.03 $2.59 $7.95
Outlying Larimer County $0.86 $0.11$0.44 $4.28 $3.44 $9.13
Expenses are estimated using NCREIF, Trepp, IREM, and CoStar data using the narrowest possible geographical definition from Zip Code to region.
1 & 2 STAR EXPENSES PER SF (ANNUAL)
Utilities Cleaning InsuranceMarket / Cluster Taxes Other Total
Fort Collins $0.51 $0.10$0.39 $3.43 $2.00 $6.43
Fort Collins/Loveland $0.51 $0.10$0.39 $3.45 $1.98 $6.43
Outlying Larimer County $0.51 $0.10$0.39 $2.85 $2.32 $6.17
Expenses are estimated using NCREIF, Trepp, IREM, and CoStar data using the narrowest possible geographical definition from Zip Code to region.
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ConstructionFort Collins Office
Builders have been relatively active this cycle, deliveringoffice buildings across Loveland and Fort Collins. Severalyears experienced more than 1% of inventory growth,with build-to-suit projects comprising the majority ofnew space. For example, the biggest delivery this cycle,the Rangeview Five building in Loveland, delivered in17Q2 and was built for Agrium Advanced Technologies.It’s the only property built to this point of the cycle largerthan 100,000 SF.
Development continues to generally consist of smallerprojects, a handful of them speculative. The largestproject underway at the start of 2019 was a 35,000-SFmedical office building off of Eisenhower Blvd inLoveland.
Spec construction is not completely shut out. HahnsPeak Two in the Centerra campus delivered in 2016 anda third of the space was still available as of year-end
2017. The final 19,000 SF was leased in March 2018 onan $18.50/SF NNN lease to Vertiv, roughly two yearsafter the project delivered. Prior to that building'sgroundbreaking, Pinnacle Agriculture committed to theentire 28,000-SF first floor (half of the building).
One target for future development could be 2534, a 600-acre, mixed-use site at the intersection of I-25 and US34. Development fees that are among the lowest in theregion, and a development review process that isstreamlined and provides approvals within monthsinstead of years – also among the fastest in the region –contribute to 2534 being a popular target for commercialbuilders. Developers initially focused their efforts onindustrial and retail product, but in mid-2018,construction commenced on a fully speculative 25,000SF office building that wrapped up construction aroundthe start of 19Q2.
DELIVERIES & DEMOLITIONS
SUBMARKET CONSTRUCTION
Average Building Size
RankUnder Constr
Under Construction Inventory
All ExistingSF (000) Pre-Leased SF (000)SubmarketNo. RankBldgs Pre-Leased %
1 Fort Collins/Loveland 3 96 31,90467.1% 1 12,03664 1
2 Outlying Larimer County 0 - -- - 8,161- -
Totals 3 96 31,90467.1% 11,79464
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Under Construction PropertiesFort Collins Office
3 95,712 0.8% 67.1%Properties Square Feet Percent of Inventory Preleased
UNDER CONSTRUCTION PROPERTIES
UNDER CONSTRUCTION
Property Name/Address Rating Bldg SF Stories Start Complete Developer/Owner
Aug-2019221 E Mountain Ave
68,850 4 Aug-2020Neenan Archistruction
Elevations Credit Union1
Jun-20184600 E Harmony Rd
The Plaza at Riverbend22,862 - Feb-2020
Neenan Archistruction
Neenan Management Company2
Jul-20191587 Taurus Ct
Building 24,000 1 Dec-2019
-
-3
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SalesFort Collins Office
More than 80 transactions over a calendar year arecommon, with often local investors trading smaller officeproperties at cap rates that have averaged in the high-6% to low-7% range over the last several years.
The largest trade in 2019 to-date involved a 33,000 SFoffice constructed in 2016. The building, 2243 CentreAvenue in Fort Collins, was occupied by affiliates ofCSU, reinforcing the sometimes direct impact of theuniversity of the local office market.
The largest single-asset trade in 2018 was the March2018 sale of 5200 Hahns Peak Drive, a 34,000 SF
building constructed in the late 1990s. The property wassold by local developer McWhinney for $9.7 million, or$286/SF, to a group of individual investors. The buildingwas 82% occupied at the time of the sale.
The metro does not have a large institutional gradestock. There are only five non-government 100,000 SF-plus office buildings in the metro, four owned by localinvestment/development firms, and another owned byHewlett Packard. While tremendous ongoing growth inNorthern Colorado's I-25 corridor is attractive, the officemarket here is largely controlled by local or, lessfrequently, regional players.
SALES VOLUME & MARKET SALE PRICE PER SF
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Sales Past 12 MonthsFort Collins Office
100 6.7% $155 3.6%Sale Comparables Avg. Cap Rate Avg. Price/SF Avg. Vacancy At Sale
SALE COMPARABLE LOCATIONS
SALE COMPARABLES SUMMARY STATISTICS
Sales Attributes Low Average Median High
Sale Price $150,000 $2,184,246 $900,000 $21,000,000
Price Per SF $74 $155 $195 $583
Cap Rate 4.5% 6.7% 7.0% 9.9%
Time Since Sale in Months 0.2 6.4 6.8 11.9
Property Attributes Low Average Median High
Building SF 984 13,477 4,665 184,384
Stories 1 2 2 3
Typical Floor SF 492 6,957 4,028 61,461
Vacancy Rate At Sale 0% 3.6% 0% 50.9%
Year Built 1880 1968 1979 2016
Star Rating 2.3
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Sales Past 12 MonthsFort Collins Office
Property Name - Address Rating Yr Built Bldg SF Vacancy Price Price/SF
Property
Sale Date
Sale
Cap Rate
RECENT SIGNIFICANT SALES
-1 3420 E Harmony Rd1980 184,384 7.7% $21,000,000 $1144/19/2019 -
-2 Axis International Acade…2016 58,717 0% $9,695,000 $165
2130 W Horsetooth Rd4/24/2019 -
-3 Preston Center2001 58,333 0% $9,600,000 $165
2809 E Harmony Rd10/31/2018 -
-4 4701 Royal Vista Cir1999 34,645 0% $5,550,000 $1602/1/2019 -
-5 201 E 5th St1910 24,438 0% $3,140,000 $1284/8/2019 -
-6 Bldg A1998 19,164 20.1% $2,747,696 $143
1075 W Horsetooth Rd8/19/2019 5.5%
-7 Poudre River Arts Center1946 15,508 0% $2,300,000 $148
400-406 N College Ave1/18/2019 -
-8 Bldg F1998 15,114 8.3% $2,215,567 $147
1027 W Horsetooth Rd8/19/2019 5.5%
-9 3520 E 15th St2011 5,712 0% $2,100,000 $36811/2/2018 6.6%
-10 Building B2019 4,689 0% $2,078,542 $443
4650 Signal Tree Dr4/29/2019 -
-11 125 W Crestridge Dr1974 3,000 37.5% $1,750,000 $5837/24/2019 -
-12 Harmony Medical Condo…2005 5,174 0% $1,625,000 $314
4674 Snow Mesa Dr12/10/2018 7.2%
-13 4007 Automation Way1998 7,360 0% $1,565,000 $21310/15/2019 -
-14 1148 E Elizabeth St1980 5,880 0% $1,450,000 $2478/16/2019 6.3%
-15 Family Clinic of Fort Coll…1972 8,220 0% $1,400,000 $170
1212 E Elizabeth St1/9/2019 -
-16 Shores Office Park Bldg 41985 6,540 0% $1,275,300 $195
375 E Horsetooth Rd1/16/2019 -
-17 Bldg B1999 8,111 50.9% $1,234,853 $152
1063 W Horsetooth Rd8/19/2019 5.5%
-18 Town Center Plaza1964 12,181 0% $1,200,000 $99
350 E 7th St1/2/2019 9.9%
-19 Orchards Medical & Prof…1981 14,850 17.0% $1,100,000 $74
295 E 29th St11/1/2018 -
-20 1355 Riverside Ave1984 12,200 17.4% $1,050,000 $863/11/2019 8.1%
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EconomyFort Collins Office
While many might consider Fort Collins a collegetown—it is virtually wedded to Colorado StateUniversity—the city’s economic strength stems from thediversity of the employers located here. Colorado StateUniversity’s influence cannot be disregarded, however. Itplays a vital role in drawing the city’s high-payingemployers. Because of the university’s resources andresearch facilities, not to mention the constant supply ofeducated graduates, a number of tech companies, andmore than 20 Fortune 500 companies are located in themetro, including Hewlett-Packard, AMD, and Intel.These firms can take advantage of partnerships with theschool and its research labs, incubating an employeebase already experienced in field work.
Fort Collins has developed a significant craft beerindustry and is home to a number of notable brewers,including New Belgium, Odell, and Black Bottle, not tomention behemoth Annheuser-Busch. This industryniche accounts for a more than $1 billion economicimpact on Larimer County, with almost 3,000 jobs and inthe neighborhood of $175 million in wages.
Population growth data released in September 2018suggested that the metro area's population increased byabout 1.7% for a second straight year in 2017, stillaround twice the national average, but below themassive influx of residents in 2014-2015 (populationgrowth exceeded 2.5% in back-to-back years).
Nonfarm payrolls increased by about 3% for a thirdstraight year in 2018, as job creation continued at animpressive clip.
A low cost of living and affordable home prices alsomake the metro attractive to businesses and residents.Historically, employment growth outperforms the nationalaverage, and nearly every industry, except formanufacturing, has surged past its prerecessionemployment peak. The leisure and hospitality andeducation and health services sectors continue to growrapidly, posting some of the strongest growth numbersthis cycle.
FORT COLLINS EMPLOYMENT BY INDUSTRY IN THOUSANDS
NAICS Industry Jobs LQ MarketUS USMarketUSMarket
Current Jobs Current Growth 10 Yr Historical 5 Yr Forecast
-0.21%0.75%1.06%3.42%1.07%2.16%1.015Manufacturing
0.36%1.01%1.23%2.12%0.56%-1.70%0.827Trade, Transportation and Utilities
0.26%0.90%0.88%1.29%-0.33%-3.00%1.019 Retail Trade
0.34%0.95%1.13%2.28%1.21%-0.14%0.77Financial Activities
0.66%1.60%0.04%3.39%0.51%1.75%1.641Government
0.33%0.65%2.50%4.10%2.40%2.15%1.312Natural Resources, Mining and Construction
0.66%0.58%2.14%1.06%2.41%2.92%0.719Education and Health Services
0.93%0.91%2.72%2.88%2.06%5.79%0.922Professional and Business Services
0.50%0.54%0.23%1.23%0.13%-0.92%0.93Information
0.65%0.96%2.54%3.31%2.06%2.02%1.223Leisure and Hospitality
0.26%1.56%1.07%2.71%1.58%1.70%1.07Other Services
Total Employment 175 1.0 1.78% 1.44% 2.77% 1.53% 1.05% 0.52%
Source: Oxford Economics
LQ = Location Quotient
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EconomyFort Collins Office
Source: Oxford Economics
YEAR OVER YEAR JOB GROWTH
DEMOGRAPHIC TRENDS
Current ChangeCurrent Level
Metro U.S.Metro U.S.Demographic Category
10-Year Change
Metro U.S. Metro U.S.
Forecast Change (5 Yrs)
Population 329,689,375356,516 1.5% 0.7% 1.8% 0.7% 1.5% 0.7%
Households 121,374,891139,225 1.4% 0.5% 1.9% 0.6% 1.4% 0.6%
Median Household Income $65,293$75,088 4.3% 4.2% 3.0% 2.6% 4.1% 4.2%
Labor Force 163,676,484208,022 1.8% 0.8% 1.6% 0.6% 1.1% 0.5%
Unemployment 3.7%2.7% -0.3% -0.1% -0.4% -0.6% - -
Source: Oxford Economics
POPULATION GROWTH
Source: Oxford Economics
LABOR FORCE GROWTH INCOME GROWTH
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SubmarketsFort Collins Office
FORT COLLINS SUBMARKETS
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SubmarketsFort Collins Office
SUBMARKET INVENTORY
12 Month Deliveries Under Construction
Bldgs SF (000) Percent Rank
Inventory
Bldgs SF (000) Percent RankBldgs SF (000) % Market RankSubmarketNo.
1 Fort Collins/Loveland 11,170 95.7% 1 3 96 0.9% 1928 8 112 1.0% 1
2 Outlying Larimer County 506 4.3% 2 0 - - -62 2 8 1.6% 2
SUBMARKET RENT
Growth
Market Rent
Per SFSubmarketNo.
12 Month Market Rent QTD Annualized Market Rent
RankRank GrowthRank
1 Fort Collins/Loveland 5.9%1 1.4% 1$22.48 1
2 Outlying Larimer County 3.3%2 0.2% 2$20.12 2
SUBMARKET VACANCY & NET ABSORPTION
12 Month Net Absorption
Rank Construct. Ratio
Vacancy
SF % of InvSF PercentSubmarketNo. Rank
1 Fort Collins/Loveland 488,956 4.4% 2.642,641 0.4% 12
2 Outlying Larimer County 18,986 3.8% 3.82,085 0.4% 21
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Supply & Demand TrendsFort Collins Office
OVERALL SUPPLY & DEMAND
Net AbsorptionInventory
% of Inv Construction RatioSF SF Growth % Growth SFYear
2023 79,708 0.7% 0.7%85,123 0.911,960,957
2022 72,653 0.6% 0.7%82,062 0.911,881,249
2021 41,452 0.4% 0.7%80,231 0.511,808,596
2020 91,424 0.8% 0.6%73,603 1.211,767,144
2019 120,078 1.0% 0.6%67,754 1.811,675,720
YTD 120,078 1.0% 0.3%37,267 3.211,675,720
2018 33,845 0.3% 2.8%321,677 0.111,555,642
2017 337,594 3.0% 3.3%382,648 0.911,521,797
2016 303,505 2.8% 1.5%162,290 1.911,184,203
2015 31,086 0.3% -0.4%(42,368) -10,880,698
2014 129,654 1.2% 2.3%244,181 0.510,849,612
2013 (32,123) -0.3% 1.0%112,249 -10,719,958
2012 45,849 0.4% 1.5%157,694 0.310,752,081
2011 60,384 0.6% 1.9%208,542 0.310,706,232
2010 117,672 1.1% 2.7%282,803 0.410,645,848
2009 236,702 2.3% -0.4%(44,585) -10,528,176
2008 342,279 3.4% 1.0%98,411 3.510,291,474
2007 329,981 3.4% 4.5%446,156 0.79,949,195
4 & 5 STAR SUPPLY & DEMAND
Net AbsorptionInventory
% of Inv Construction RatioSF SF Growth % Growth SFYear
2023 84,339 6.4% 5.6%78,081 1.11,398,331
2022 77,261 6.2% 5.1%66,629 1.21,313,992
2021 46,082 3.9% 4.5%55,578 0.81,236,731
2020 91,712 8.3% 4.5%54,108 1.71,190,649
2019 5,000 0.5% 2.3%25,217 0.21,098,937
YTD 5,000 0.5% 0.7%7,868 0.61,098,937
2018 26,144 2.4% 2.6%28,798 0.91,093,937
2017 138,970 15.0% 10.0%106,777 1.31,067,793
2016 156,217 20.2% 15.9%148,138 1.1928,823
2015 0 0% 2.5%19,472 0772,606
2014 104,188 15.6% 13.3%102,455 1.0772,606
2013 0 0% 1.2%7,821 0668,418
2012 0 0% 7.4%49,179 0668,418
2011 36,324 5.7% 4.9%32,665 1.1668,418
2010 82,000 14.9% 19.9%125,764 0.7632,094
2009 0 0% 0.1%376 0550,094
2008 138,261 33.6% 7.6%41,699 3.3550,094
2007 0 0% 4.9%20,270 0411,833
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Supply & Demand TrendsFort Collins Office
3 STAR SUPPLY & DEMAND
Net AbsorptionInventory
% of Inv Construction RatioSF SF Growth % Growth SFYear
2023 0 0% 0.1%6,540 06,874,478
2022 0 0% 0.2%12,028 06,874,478
2021 0 0% 0.3%19,293 06,874,478
2020 4,000 0.1% 0.3%21,994 0.26,874,478
2019 108,784 1.6% 1.0%66,936 1.66,870,478
YTD 108,784 1.6% 0.7%51,175 2.16,870,478
2018 7,701 0.1% 4.1%276,641 06,761,694
2017 191,524 2.9% 3.7%253,206 0.86,753,993
2016 151,052 2.4% 0.1%8,891 17.06,562,469
2015 35,041 0.5% -1.9%(121,172) -6,411,417
2014 31,466 0.5% 1.8%116,440 0.36,376,376
2013 (20,623) -0.3% 0.5%34,069 -6,344,910
2012 35,270 0.6% 1.9%118,508 0.36,365,533
2011 39,102 0.6% 3.0%187,297 0.26,330,263
2010 35,672 0.6% 1.8%115,597 0.36,291,161
2009 224,233 3.7% 1.2%72,946 3.16,255,489
2008 180,245 3.1% 0.7%42,594 4.26,031,256
2007 316,577 5.7% 6.0%353,298 0.95,851,011
1 & 2 STAR SUPPLY & DEMAND
Net AbsorptionInventory
% of Inv Construction RatioSF SF Growth % Growth SFYear
2023 (4,631) -0.1% 0%502 -3,688,148
2022 (4,608) -0.1% 0.1%3,405 -3,692,779
2021 (4,630) -0.1% 0.1%5,360 -3,697,387
2020 (4,288) -0.1% -0.1%(2,499) -3,702,017
2019 6,294 0.2% -0.7%(24,399) -3,706,305
YTD 6,294 0.2% -0.6%(21,776) -3,706,305
2018 0 0% 0.4%16,238 03,700,011
2017 7,100 0.2% 0.6%22,665 0.33,700,011
2016 (3,764) -0.1% 0.1%5,261 -3,692,911
2015 (3,955) -0.1% 1.6%59,332 -3,696,675
2014 (6,000) -0.2% 0.7%25,286 -3,700,630
2013 (11,500) -0.3% 1.9%70,359 -3,706,630
2012 10,579 0.3% -0.3%(9,993) -3,718,130
2011 (15,042) -0.4% -0.3%(11,420) -3,707,551
2010 0 0% 1.1%41,442 03,722,593
2009 12,469 0.3% -3.2%(117,907) -3,722,593
2008 23,773 0.6% 0.4%14,118 1.73,710,124
2007 13,404 0.4% 2.0%72,588 0.23,686,351
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Rent & VacancyFort Collins Office
OVERALL RENT & VACANCY
Market Rent
Per SF Index % Growth Vs Hist PeakYear
Vacancy
SF Percent Ppts Chg
2023 122 0.4% 4.9%$23.02 444,180 3.7% -0.1%
2022 122 0.6% 4.4%$22.92 448,568 3.8% -0.1%
2021 121 0.8% 3.9%$22.80 456,951 3.9% -0.3%
2020 120 0.9% 3.1%$22.62 494,649 4.2% 0.1%
2019 119 2.1% 2.1%$22.42 475,955 4.1% 0.4%
YTD 119 1.9% 1.9%$22.37 507,942 4.4% 0.7%
2018 116 3.3% 0%$21.95 425,131 3.7% -2.5%
2017 113 -2.0% -3.1%$21.26 712,963 6.2% -0.6%
2016 115 6.7% -1.2%$21.68 758,017 6.8% 0.6%
2015 108 6.1% -7.4%$20.32 672,802 6.2% 0.7%
2014 102 6.3% -12.7%$19.16 599,348 5.5% -1.1%
2013 96 3.7% -17.9%$18.02 713,875 6.7% -1.3%
2012 92 3.5% -20.8%$17.39 858,247 8.0% -1.1%
2011 89 0.7% -23.4%$16.80 970,092 9.1% -1.4%
2010 89 -5.0% -23.9%$16.69 1,118,250 10.5% -1.7%
2009 93 -6.7% -19.9%$17.58 1,283,381 12.2% 2.5%
2008 100 -3.5% -14.1%$18.85 1,002,094 9.7% 2.1%
2007 104 3.1% -11.0%$19.53 758,226 7.6% -1.5%
4 & 5 STAR RENT & VACANCY
Market Rent
Per SF Index % Growth Vs Hist PeakYear
Vacancy
SF Percent Ppts Chg
2023 135 0.2% 8.4%$33.43 90,661 6.5% 0.1%
2022 135 0.5% 8.2%$33.38 84,440 6.4% 0.5%
2021 134 1.1% 7.7%$33.23 73,850 6.0% -1.0%
2020 133 2.1% 6.5%$32.86 83,386 7.0% 2.8%
2019 130 4.3% 4.3%$32.17 45,782 4.2% -1.9%
YTD 129 3.6% 3.6%$31.94 63,131 5.7% -0.3%
2018 125 6.2% 0%$30.84 65,999 6.0% -0.4%
2017 117 4.2% -5.8%$29.04 68,653 6.4% 2.5%
2016 113 2.0% -9.6%$27.87 36,460 3.9% 0.3%
2015 110 2.4% -11.4%$27.32 28,381 3.7% -2.5%
2014 108 4.9% -13.5%$26.69 47,853 6.2% -0.7%
2013 103 0.7% -17.5%$25.44 46,120 6.9% -1.2%
2012 102 4.7% -18.1%$25.27 53,941 8.1% -7.4%
2011 98 -3.2% -21.7%$24.14 103,120 15.4% -0.3%
2010 101 2.8% -19.2%$24.93 99,461 15.7% -10.3%
2009 98 -2.0% -21.4%$24.24 143,225 26.0% -0.1%
2008 100 6.4% -19.8%$24.74 143,601 26.1% 14.7%
2007 94 1.3% -24.6%$23.25 47,039 11.4% -4.9%
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Rent & VacancyFort Collins Office
3 STAR RENT & VACANCY
Market Rent
Per SF Index % Growth Vs Hist PeakYear
Vacancy
SF Percent Ppts Chg
2023 117 0.5% 4.6%$23.25 205,376 3.0% -0.1%
2022 116 0.7% 4.0%$23.14 211,916 3.1% -0.2%
2021 116 0.9% 3.3%$22.98 223,944 3.3% -0.3%
2020 115 1.2% 2.4%$22.77 243,237 3.5% -0.3%
2019 113 3.5% 1.2%$22.50 261,231 3.8% 0.5%
YTD 113 3.2% 0.9%$22.44 278,487 4.1% 0.8%
2018 109 1.9% -2.2%$21.75 220,878 3.3% -4.0%
2017 107 -4.0% -4.0%$21.34 489,818 7.3% -1.2%
2016 112 8.3% 0%$22.24 551,500 8.4% 1.1%
2015 103 8.0% -7.7%$20.53 465,339 7.3% 2.4%
2014 96 5.2% -14.5%$19.02 309,126 4.8% -1.4%
2013 91 3.6% -18.7%$18.08 394,100 6.2% -0.8%
2012 88 4.6% -21.5%$17.45 448,792 7.1% -1.4%
2011 84 0.7% -24.9%$16.69 532,030 8.4% -2.4%
2010 83 -8.8% -25.5%$16.57 680,225 10.8% -1.3%
2009 91 -8.5% -18.3%$18.17 760,150 12.2% 2.1%
2008 100 -5.7% -10.7%$19.87 608,863 10.1% 2.0%
2007 106 5.8% -5.3%$21.06 471,212 8.1% -1.1%
1 & 2 STAR RENT & VACANCY
Market Rent
Per SF Index % Growth Vs Hist PeakYear
Vacancy
SF Percent Ppts Chg
2023 128 0.4% -1.1%$19.25 148,143 4.0% -0.1%
2022 127 0.3% -1.5%$19.18 152,212 4.1% -0.2%
2021 127 0.3% -1.8%$19.11 159,157 4.3% -0.2%
2020 127 -0.4% -2.1%$19.06 168,026 4.5% 0%
2019 127 -1.7% -1.7%$19.13 168,942 4.6% 0.8%
YTD 127 -1.4% -1.4%$19.18 166,324 4.5% 0.8%
2018 129 4.7% 0%$19.47 138,254 3.7% -0.4%
2017 123 -0.3% -4.5%$18.60 154,492 4.2% -0.4%
2016 124 5.6% -4.1%$18.66 170,057 4.6% -0.2%
2015 117 4.0% -9.2%$17.67 179,082 4.8% -1.7%
2014 113 9.3% -12.7%$16.99 242,369 6.5% -0.8%
2013 103 5.5% -20.2%$15.54 273,655 7.4% -2.2%
2012 98 0.6% -24.3%$14.74 355,514 9.6% 0.5%
2011 97 2.6% -24.7%$14.65 334,942 9.0% -0.1%
2010 95 -0.4% -26.6%$14.28 338,564 9.1% -1.1%
2009 95 -4.8% -26.3%$14.34 380,006 10.2% 3.5%
2008 100 -2.9% -22.6%$15.06 249,630 6.7% 0.2%
2007 103 -2.4% -20.4%$15.50 239,975 6.5% -1.6%
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Sale TrendsFort Collins Office
OVERALL SALES
Completed Transactions (1)
Turnover Avg Price/SFDeals VolumeYear
Market Pricing Trends (2)
Avg Price Price IndexAvg Cap Rate Price/SF Cap Rate
2023 -- - -- 164- $199.39 8.1%
2022 -- - -- 163- $197.98 8.0%
2021 -- - -- 163- $198.39 7.8%
2020 -- - -- 160- $194.77 7.8%
2019 -- - -- 154- $187.21 7.9%
YTD $81.0 M75 5.3% $149.12$2,084,794 1536.5% $186.21 8.0%
2018 $79.6 M81 5.7% $179.02$1,847,398 1527.2% $185.04 7.8%
2017 $52.8 M74 3.4% $179.95$1,126,675 1517.1% $183.49 7.7%
2016 $57.0 M71 4.8% $166.13$1,212,911 1507.8% $182.01 7.7%
2015 $119.8 M137 10.2% $178.82$2,112,456 1427.0% $172.27 7.8%
2014 $54.1 M90 5.1% $133.51$1,263,963 1437.0% $174.19 7.7%
2013 $99.3 M83 6.0% $186.25$3,013,027 1337.5% $161.67 8.0%
2012 $46.1 M82 4.6% $110.82$1,058,416 1208.9% $145.63 8.4%
2011 $36.5 M54 2.7% $147.70$1,195,529 1147.1% $138.13 8.7%
2010 $47.8 M47 3.6% $164.30$1,542,335 1017.9% $122.54 9.4%
2009 $13.5 M25 1.0% $149.78$810,921 857.4% $103.38 10.6%
2008 $38.5 M65 3.1% $137.03$1,017,867 1007.8% $121.42 9.8%
(1) Completed transaction data is based on actual arms-length sales transactions and levels are dependent on the mix of what happened to sell in the period.
(2) Market price trends data is based on the estimated price movement of all properties in the market, informed by actual transactions that have occurred.
4 & 5 STAR SALES
Completed Transactions (1)
Turnover Avg Price/SFDeals VolumeYear
Market Pricing Trends (2)
Avg Price Price IndexAvg Cap Rate Price/SF Cap Rate
2023 -- - -- 150- $269.84 8.1%
2022 -- - -- 150- $268.61 8.0%
2021 -- - -- 150- $269.21 7.9%
2020 -- - -- 147- $263.37 7.8%
2019 -- - -- 139- $250.18 8.0%
YTD $9.7 M1 5.3% $165.11$9,695,000 138- $247.57 8.0%
2018 -- - -- 145- $259.33 7.6%
2017 -- - -- 148- $264.75 7.3%
2016 $2.1 M3 1.9% $331.39- 145- $260.59 7.3%
2015 $35.4 M5 43.9% $254.98$11,615,100 1417.0% $252.92 7.3%
2014 -- - -- 144- $258.03 7.2%
2013 $32.0 M6 39.0% $167.88$32,000,000 1337.0% $239.22 7.5%
2012 $0 M2 2.0% -- 121- $216.70 7.9%
2011 $2.9 M2 1.5% $283.31- 114- $204.55 8.2%
2010 $14.2 M1 9.2% $244.36$14,200,000 101- $180.58 8.9%
2009 -- - -- 86- $154.41 10.0%
2008 $0.6 M1 0.5% $205.70- 100- $179.42 9.3%
(1) Completed transaction data is based on actual arms-length sales transactions and levels are dependent on the mix of what happened to sell in the period.
(2) Market price trends data is based on the estimated price movement of all properties in the market, informed by actual transactions that have occurred.
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Sale TrendsFort Collins Office
3 STAR SALES
Completed Transactions (1)
Turnover Avg Price/SFDeals VolumeYear
Market Pricing Trends (2)
Avg Price Price IndexAvg Cap Rate Price/SF Cap Rate
2023 -- - -- 163- $201.43 8.1%
2022 -- - -- 161- $199.86 8.1%
2021 -- - -- 161- $200.00 7.9%
2020 -- - -- 158- $196.05 7.9%
2019 -- - -- 152- $187.90 8.0%
YTD $50.6 M41 5.6% $141.14$3,039,718 1516.3% $186.71 8.0%
2018 $52.0 M44 6.7% $180.79$2,416,163 1487.1% $183.55 7.9%
2017 $31.6 M34 2.9% $192.38$1,587,459 1487.1% $183.62 7.8%
2016 $37.0 M35 5.8% $181.67$2,048,233 1477.8% $182.28 7.7%
2015 $50.9 M66 5.7% $179.04$2,234,512 1397.0% $172.68 7.8%
2014 $33.1 M50 5.2% $137.81$1,481,376 1447.0% $178.86 7.6%
2013 $59.4 M42 4.4% $227.78$3,505,621 1368.2% $167.89 7.9%
2012 $27.8 M41 4.3% $121.06$1,707,813 1229.4% $150.66 8.3%
2011 $19.0 M26 2.1% $190.87$2,004,625 1156.6% $142.71 8.6%
2010 $22.1 M22 2.0% $179.62$1,756,400 1029.0% $126.38 9.3%
2009 $4.7 M11 0.6% $192.33$2,600,000 859.3% $105.29 10.6%
2008 $20.8 M34 3.0% $140.05$2,281,926 1007.8% $123.85 9.8%
(1) Completed transaction data is based on actual arms-length sales transactions and levels are dependent on the mix of what happened to sell in the period.
(2) Market price trends data is based on the estimated price movement of all properties in the market, informed by actual transactions that have occurred.
1 & 2 STAR SALES
Completed Transactions (1)
Turnover Avg Price/SFDeals VolumeYear
Market Pricing Trends (2)
Avg Price Price IndexAvg Cap Rate Price/SF Cap Rate
2023 -- - -- 176- $172.82 8.0%
2022 -- - -- 175- $171.68 7.9%
2021 -- - -- 176- $172.50 7.7%
2020 -- - -- 173- $170.23 7.7%
2019 -- - -- 169- $165.56 7.8%
YTD $20.6 M33 4.8% $164.41$1,025,389 1697.0% $165.45 7.8%
2018 $27.6 M37 5.7% $175.77$1,245,176 1677.3% $163.78 7.7%
2017 $21.2 M40 5.2% $164.14$819,485 160- $156.97 7.7%
2016 $17.9 M33 3.7% $134.51$678,305 1598.1% $156.13 7.7%
2015 $33.4 M66 10.8% $135.65$979,756 1487.1% $145.42 7.8%
2014 $21.1 M40 6.1% $127.29$1,058,629 1417.0% $138.42 7.9%
2013 $7.9 M35 2.9% $96.75$449,935 127- $125.07 8.3%
2012 $18.3 M39 5.5% $98.21$691,366 1158.4% $113.36 8.8%
2011 $14.6 M26 3.9% $106.33$764,011 1107.5% $108.17 9.0%
2010 $11.5 M24 5.3% $104.70$485,313 986.8% $96.65 9.8%
2009 $8.8 M14 1.8% $133.88$673,299 856.5% $83.35 10.9%
2008 $17.2 M30 3.6% $132.11$716,901 1007.5% $98.16 10.1%
(1) Completed transaction data is based on actual arms-length sales transactions and levels are dependent on the mix of what happened to sell in the period.
(2) Market price trends data is based on the estimated price movement of all properties in the market, informed by actual transactions that have occurred.
10/28/2019Copyrighted report licensed to Unique Properties, Inc. - 1010488.
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