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Restaurant Monthly December 2013 - TM Capital Corp. · 12/5/2013A Dallas Spoon Chanticleer Holdings...

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Restaurant Industry Commentary Restaurant Monthly December 2013 15.5x 24.6x 10.6x 10.6x 10.2x 14.3x 23.6x 10.5x 10.0x 10.1x 6.0x 12.0x 18.0x 24.0x 30.0x Quick Service Fast Casual Family Dining Casual Dining Premium Dining Public Market Performance (Latest Twelve Months) Indices consist of all publicly-available information for restaurant operators in their respective price points. For full listing, please contact the TM Capital Restaurant Practice. Recent Restaurant M&A Activity Median TEV / LTM EBITDA Median TEV / 2013 EBITDA Current Restaurant Valuations by Price Point (TEV / EBITDA) 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 Jan-13 Feb-13 Mar-13 Apr-13 May-13 Jun-13 Jul-13 Aug-13 Sep-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Segment Index S&P 500 QSR Fast Casual Family Dining Casual Dining Premium Dining 149 126 136 140 141 142 Closed / Announced Target Acquiror Enterprise Value EBITDA / Value Multiple Industry Segment 1/16/2014A CEC Entertainment (Chuck E Cheese) Apollo Global Management $1,295.5 $170.46 7.6x Family 12/5/2013A Dallas Spoon Chanticleer Holdings NA NA / NA Premium 11/21/2013A The Wendy's Company, 38 Wendy's Locations Richard Holland NA NA / NA QSR 01/09/2014 PJ United TPG Growth NA NA / NA QSR 01/06/2014 Lonestar Steakhouse & Saloon Day Star Restaurant Group NA NA / NA Casual 12/27/2013 The Wendy's Company, 30 Wendy's Locations HAZA Foods, LLC NA NA / NA QSR 12/26/2013 CKE Restaurants Inc. Roark Capital Group $1,700.0 NA / NA QSR 12/18/2013 The Bailey Company (47 Arby's restaurants) Unied States Beef Corporation NA NA / NA QSR 12/18/2013 10 Subway Sandwich Shops Rottinghaus Company, Inc. NA NA / NA QSR 12/16/2013 Mad Greens Corporation AC Restaurant Group NA NA / NA Fast Casual 12/09/2013 The Wendy's Company, 54 Wendy's Locations NPC International $31.3 NA / NA QSR 12/02/2013 Captain D's Centre Partners NA NA / NA QSR 10/23/2013 The ONE Group Committed Capital Acquisition Corp. (OTCPK:STKS) NA NA / NA Premium 10/07/2013 The Wendy's Company, 24 Wendy's Locations Cedar Enterprises $12.5 NA / NA QSR Following three months of consecutive growth, December delivered relatively soft performance for restaurants. Same store sales dropped 2.0% in the last month of the year, due in large part to a 4.5% decline in comparable restaurant traffic, according to Blackbox Intelligence. While these results are modestly discouraging, many operators remain bullish on calendar year 2014, attributing December’s poor performance to inclement weather across the country and a late Thanksgiving’s truncation of the shopping season. December and the first half of January have marked perhaps the most active two-month stretch in recent memory from an M&A perspective. Of particular note, Apollo Global acquired CEC Entertainment (Chuck E’ Cheese) at an enterprise value of $1.3 billion, or 7.6x trailing twelve months EBITDA. The QSR space, however, has continued to outshine more premium categories. Roark Capital’s $1.7 billion purchase of CKE restaurants, TPG Growth’s acquisition of Halifax portfolio company PJ United and United States Beef Corporation’s add-on acquisition of The Bailey Company headlined this activity. Public trading performance continues to demonstrate strength, with the Fast Casual segment particularly delivering outsized valuations. ($ in millions)
Transcript
Page 1: Restaurant Monthly December 2013 - TM Capital Corp. · 12/5/2013A Dallas Spoon Chanticleer Holdings NA NA / NA Premium 11/21/2013A The Wendy's Company, 38 Wendy's Locations Richard

Restaurant Industry Commentary

Restaurant Monthly December 2013

15.5x

24.6x

10.6x 10.6x 10.2x 14.3x

23.6x

10.5x 10.0x 10.1x

6.0x

12.0x

18.0x

24.0x

30.0x

Premium Dining Casual Dining Family Dining Fast Casual QSR Quick Service Fast Casual Family Dining Casual Dining Premium Dining

Public Market Performance (Latest Twelve Months)

Indices consist of all publicly-available information for restaurant operators in their respective price points. For full listing, please contact the TM Capital Restaurant Practice.

Recent Restaurant M&A Activity

12.3x 13.8x

8.5x 8.9x 7.8x

13.3x 13.3x

8.0x 9.1x 7.4x

5.0x

10.0x

15.0x 12.3x 13.8x

8.5x 8.9x 7.8x

13.3x 13.3x

8.0x 9.1x 7.4x

5.0x

10.0x

15.0x

Median TEV / LTM EBITDA Median TEV / 2013 EBITDA

Current Restaurant Valuations by Price Point (TEV / EBITDA)

80

90

100

110

120

130

140

150

160

Jan-13 Feb-13 Mar-13 Apr-13 May-13 Jun-13 Jul-13 Aug-13 Sep-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14

Segm

ent

Inde

x

S&P 500 QSR Fast Casual Family Dining Casual Dining Premium Dining

149

126

136 140

141 142

($ in millions)Closed /

Announced Target AcquirorEnterprise

ValueEBITDA / Value

MultipleIndustry Segment

1/16/2014A CEC Entertainment (Chuck E Cheese) Apollo Global Management $1,295.5 $170.46 7.6x Family12/5/2013A Dallas Spoon Chanticleer Holdings NA NA / NA Premium

11/21/2013A The Wendy's Company, 38 Wendy's Locations Richard Holland NA NA / NA QSR01/09/2014 PJ United TPG Growth NA NA / NA QSR01/06/2014 Lonestar Steakhouse & Saloon Day Star Restaurant Group NA NA / NA Casual12/27/2013 The Wendy's Company, 30 Wendy's Locations HAZA Foods, LLC NA NA / NA QSR12/26/2013 CKE Restaurants Inc. Roark Capital Group $1,700.0 NA / NA QSR12/18/2013 The Bailey Company (47 Arby's restaurants) Unied States Beef Corporation NA NA / NA QSR12/18/2013 10 Subway Sandwich Shops Rottinghaus Company, Inc. NA NA / NA QSR12/16/2013 Mad Greens Corporation AC Restaurant Group NA NA / NA Fast Casual12/09/2013 The Wendy's Company, 54 Wendy's Locations NPC International $31.3 NA / NA QSR12/02/2013 Captain D's Centre Partners NA NA / NA QSR10/23/2013 The ONE Group Committed Capital Acquisition Corp. (OTCPK:STKS) NA NA / NA Premium10/07/2013 The Wendy's Company, 24 Wendy's Locations Cedar Enterprises $12.5 NA / NA QSR

Following three months of consecutive growth, December delivered relatively soft performance for restaurants. Same store sales dropped 2.0% in the last month of the year, due in large part to a 4.5% decline in comparable restaurant traffic, according to Blackbox Intelligence. While these results are modestly discouraging, many operators remain bullish on calendar year 2014, attributing December’s poor performance to inclement weather across the country and a late Thanksgiving’s truncation of the shopping season. December and the first half of January have marked perhaps the most active two-month stretch in recent memory from an M&A perspective. Of particular note, Apollo Global acquired CEC Entertainment (Chuck E’ Cheese) at an enterprise value of $1.3 billion, or 7.6x trailing twelve months EBITDA. The QSR space, however, has continued to outshine more premium categories. Roark Capital’s $1.7 billion purchase of CKE restaurants, TPG Growth’s acquisition of Halifax portfolio company PJ United and United States Beef Corporation’s add-on acquisition of The Bailey Company headlined this activity. Public trading performance continues to demonstrate strength, with the Fast Casual segment particularly delivering outsized valuations.

($ in millions)

Page 2: Restaurant Monthly December 2013 - TM Capital Corp. · 12/5/2013A Dallas Spoon Chanticleer Holdings NA NA / NA Premium 11/21/2013A The Wendy's Company, 38 Wendy's Locations Richard

New York641 Lexington Avenue30th FloorNew York, NY 10022Tel: 212.809.1360

Boston200 Clarendon Street25th FloorBoston, MA 02116Tel: 617.259.2200

Atlanta15 Piedmont Center NE Suite 1010Atlanta, GA 30305 Tel: 404.995.6230

www.tmcapital.com

About TM Capital

TM Capital’s Restaurant Practice

TM Capital Corp. is a partner-owned investment banking firm based in New York, Boston and Atlanta, which has completed over 250 transactions with a combined value in excess of $14 billion. Since 1989,

we have advised clients navigating a full range of critical transactions, including complex mergers, acquisitions, debt and equity financings, minority and majority recapitalizations, restructurings, and advisory

services including takeover defense, fairness and solvency opinions, valuations, as well as litigation support. We have built deep industry expertise in key sectors and our team regularly publishes research

highlighting current and emerging trends in targeted industries and markets. TM Capital is a member firm of M&A International Inc., the world’s leading alliance of mid-market investment banks with over

600 M&A professionals in 41 countries. Members have closed over 1,300 transactions totaling more than $75 billion in value over the past five years. For more information, visit www.tmcapital.com.

Michael P. Locker Managing Director

[email protected] 404-995-6252

James S. Grien President and CEO

[email protected] 404-995-6235

Philip S. Krieger Vice President

[email protected] 404-995-6242

Recent TM Capital Restaurant Experience

Same Store Sales by Price Point

(12.5%)

(10.0%)

(7.5%)

(5.0%)

(2.5%)

2.5%

5.0%

7.5%

Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3

Sam

e St

ore

Sale

s G

row

th

QSR Fast Casual Family Dining Casual Dining Premium Dining2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Sam

e St

ore

Sale

s G

row

th

(100%) (80%) (60%) (40%) (20%) ― 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Q2 '07Q3 '07Q4 '07Q1 '08Q2 '08Q3 '08Q4 '08Q1 '09Q2 '09Q3 '09Q4 '09Q1 '10Q2 '10Q3 '10Q4 '10Q1 '11Q2 '11Q3 '11Q4 '11Q1 '12Q2 '12Q3 '12Q4 '12Q1 '13Q2 '13Q3 '13

(100%) (80%) (60%) (40%) (20%) ― 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Q2 '07Q3 '07Q4 '07Q1 '08Q2 '08Q3 '08Q4 '08Q1 '09Q2 '09Q3 '09Q4 '09Q1 '10Q2 '10Q3 '10Q4 '10Q1 '11Q2 '11Q3 '11Q4 '11Q1 '12Q2 '12Q3 '12Q4 '12Q1 '13Q2 '13Q3 '13

(100%) (80%) (60%) (40%) (20%) ― 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Q2 '07Q3 '07Q4 '07Q1 '08Q2 '08Q3 '08Q4 '08Q1 '09Q2 '09Q3 '09Q4 '09Q1 '10Q2 '10Q3 '10Q4 '10Q1 '11Q2 '11Q3 '11Q4 '11Q1 '12Q2 '12Q3 '12Q4 '12Q1 '13Q2 '13Q3 '13

(100%) (80%) (60%) (40%) (20%) ― 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Q2 '07Q3 '07Q4 '07Q1 '08Q2 '08Q3 '08Q4 '08Q1 '09Q2 '09Q3 '09Q4 '09Q1 '10Q2 '10Q3 '10Q4 '10Q1 '11Q2 '11Q3 '11Q4 '11Q1 '12Q2 '12Q3 '12Q4 '12Q1 '13Q2 '13Q3 '13

Qui

ck S

ervi

ceCa

sual

Din

ing

Prem

ium

Din

ing

Quarterly Gainers & Losers by Price Point

Fam

ily D

inin

gFa

st C

asua

l

Decliners / Gainers

(100%) (80%) (60%) (40%) (20%) ― 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Q2 '07Q3 '07Q4 '07Q1 '08Q2 '08Q3 '08Q4 '08Q1 '09Q2 '09Q3 '09Q4 '09Q1 '10Q2 '10Q3 '10Q4 '10Q1 '11Q2 '11Q3 '11Q4 '11Q1 '12Q2 '12Q3 '12Q4 '12Q1 '13Q2 '13Q3 '13


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