Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #25514 · 9/14/2020 · Yet, when the same group of likely...

Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #25514Geography: North Carolina Sponsor:

Data Collected: 09/10/2020 - 09/13/2020 WRAL-TV (Raleigh)

Release Date: 09/14/2020

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #25514 - Page 1© 2020 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

In Battleground North Carolina, US Senate and Governor's Contests At This Hour Lean 7 Points Blue, 7 Weeks Till Votes Are Counted,

But 15 Tarheel Electoral Votes Remain Up for Grabs in a Hold-Your-Breath Home-Stretch Where (Literally) Anything Could Happen:

Neck-and-neck. Pick your poison. Coin toss. Jump ball. Tie game.

That's where the 2020 Presidential Election between incumbent Republican Donald Trump and Democratic challenger Joe Biden stands in North Carolina at this hour, 7 weeks till Election Day,

with early voting underway and strong crosswinds buffeting those who attempt to handicap the outcome, according to the latest pre-election tracking poll from SurveyUSA, conducted exclusively for

WRAL-TV in Raleigh.

North Carolina may have the 15 electoral votes that catapults either Trump or Bien over the magic 270 threshold, in a year where nothing is normal and, as fate would have it, both the NC

Governor's seat and 1 of the state's 2 US Senate seats are also closely contested. At the moment, here's how it looks:

* For President: Trump 47% , Biden 47% .

* For US Senate: Democratic Challenger Cal Cunningham 47%, incumbent Republican Thom Tillis 40%.

* For Governor: Incumbent Democratic Governor Roy Cooper 49%, Republican challenger Dan Forest 42%.

* For the open Lieutenant Governor seat, Republican Mark Robinson 41%, Democrat Yvonne Lewis Holley 41%.

In a picture-perfect window of both Trump's undiminished appeal and how fiercely fought the Presidential election is here: Trump leads by a nominal 2 points among both voters who say they are

"falling behind financially" (the lowest end of the financial continuum) and leads by a nominal 3 points among voters who say they are "prospering" (the highest end of the financial continuum).

Trump and Biden are exactly even among voters who say they are "just getting by." Trump leads slightly among voters who say they are able to "set aside some for a rainy day." Biden leads only

among the group of voters who fall on the midpoint of the continuum and who tell SurveyUSA they are "making ends meet."

Yet, when the same group of likely voters is asked to place themselves financially on a scale using slightly different descriptors:

* Biden leads 3:1 among voters who describe themselves as poor.

* Trump leads ever-so-slightly among voters who describe themselves as working class or middle class.

* Trump leads by 12 points among voters who describe themselves as upper-middle-class or wealthy.

* Trump leads by 17 points among men; Biden leads by 16 points among women. A 33-point Gender Gap.

* Looking at just the suburbs, Trump is up 25 among suburban men; Biden is up 30 among suburban women. A 55-point gap.

* Trump leads by 23 points among white voters, trails 22:1 among black voters.

* Trump holds 92% of the Republican base, 4% cross-over and vote Biden.

* Biden holds 95% of the Democratic base, 4% cross-over and vote Trump

* Independents split 42% Trump, 42% Biden. Moderates break for Biden by 21 points, 55% to 34%.

* Importantly: Trump leads by 5 points among those who are "100% certain" to vote.

* Biden leads by 28 points among the much smaller group that is "almost certain" to vote.

* Biden is up 12 in greater Raleigh and up 5 in greater Greensboro.

* Trump is up 12 in Southern and Coastal NC and up 6 in greater Charlotte.

* Trump leads by 15 among those who have lived in NC more than 30 years. The Old South.

* Biden is up 17 among those who have lived here 15 to 30 years.

* Biden is up 10 among those who have lived here less than 15 years.

* 45% of likely voters say Trump is better able to handle the COVID-19, the Coronavirus. 45% say Biden is better able.

* 48% say Trump is better able to handle public safety; 45% say Biden.

* 51% say Trump is better able to handle the economy; 42% say Biden.

* Biden is up 8 in urban and suburban NC. Trump is up 13 in rural NC.

* Trump leads by 20 among Protestants. Biden leads by 13 among Catholics and by 31 among those who are not part of an organized religion.

Of those voting for Biden, 89% also vote for Democrat Cunningham for US Senate. 4% cross-over for Tillis. Of those voting for Trump, 79% stick with Republican Tillis, 7% cross-over. Tillis leads

by 16 points among independents and by 33 points among moderates. Tillis leads by 12 points among white voters, trails 11:1 among black voters. Tillis leads narrowly in greater Charlotte.

Cunningham leads elsewhere in North Carolina.

Of those voting for Biden, 92% also vote for Democrat Cooper for Governor. Just 2% cross-over for Forest, the current Lieutenant Governor. Of those voting for Trump, 83% stick with Republican

Forest, but 10% cross-over and vote for the incumbent Cooper. Cooper runs strongest in greater Raleigh, where he leads by 21 points, runs strong in greater Greensboro, where he leads by 10.

About : SurveyUSA interviewed 750 state of North Carolina adults 09/10/2020 through 09/13/2020. Of the adults, 649 are registered to vote. Of the registered, SurveyUSA identified 596 as likely

to return a ballot on or before the 11/03/2020 deadline. This research was conducted online among a representative cross-section of North Carolina adults using sample provided by Lucid Holdings

LLC of New Orleans. The pool of adult survey respondents was weighted to US Census targets for gender, age, race, education, and home-ownership in North Carolina. In 2020, multiple forces

are at work to limit the inherent usefulness of public opinion polls. The manner, timing, and way in which many voters will mark a ballot will differ from previous elections. Whether this makes turnout

higher than anticipated, lower than anticipated or unchanged is unknowable. By all indications, Republicans disproportionately plan to vote on Election Day, Tuesday 11/03/2020. A weather event

on that day could discourage the less hearty from voting. The nation, though not necessarily North Carolina, remains a powder keg, with each new shooting of a police officer or by a police officer.

There is no telling how many such events may occur in the 49 days between today and Election Day, what kind of public demonstration(s) may result, and how those demonstrations may play into

or counter preconceived notions. The US Postal Service may or may not seamlessly deliver mailed ballots, voters may or may not timely return mailed ballots, and the state of NC may or may not

seamlessly count mailed ballots. 15 times as many NC voters have to date requested a mail-in ballot in 2020 as did by this point in 2016. Suspense, from the time polls close at 7:30 pm on Election

Day, until a winner is known, may be unbearable for some and may be interpreted as evidence of mischief by others. It is a mystery if interference from foreign countries who may seek only to

destabilize the United States or who may prefer Biden to Trump or Trump to Biden will gum the works. It is unknowable the extent to which bad actors deliberately spreading misinformation on

social media (or inadvertently re-Tweeting false information they believe to be true) will color the outcome. Everyone, no matter which candidate they back, should be circumspect about any one

poll's ability to allow for any or all of these eventualities.

http://www.surveyusa.com




Percentages


1 Are you registered to vote in the state of North Carolina?

750 AdultsAll

Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Party Affiliation

Credibility Interval: +/-3.3 pct points Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Hispani Asian / Republi Democr Indepen

Yes 87% 85% 88% 79% 90% 90% 89% 84% 90% 88% 89% 71% 90% 90% 87% 84%

No 12% 13% 11% 19% 9% 9% 10% 15% 9% 11% 11% 23% 10% 8% 11% 16%

Not Sure 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 0% 7% 0% 2% 1% 0%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Adults 100% 48% 52% 30% 25% 26% 19% 54% 46% 63% 20% 10% 7% 34% 35% 28%


750 AdultsAll

Ideology Ideology Aggregated Likelihood 2020 POTUS Vo 2020 Gov Vote 2020 US Senate

Credibility Interval: +/-3.3 pct points Very Co Conser Modera Liberal Very Li Conser Modera Liberal Almost 100% C Trump ( Biden ( Forest ( Cooper Tillis (R Cunnin

Yes 87% 94% 86% 84% 90% 93% 90% 84% 91% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

No 12% 5% 13% 13% 10% 7% 10% 13% 9% - - - - - - - -

Not Sure 1% 1% 1% 2% 0% 0% 1% 2% 0% - - - - - - - -

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Adults 100% 16% 22% 38% 13% 6% 38% 38% 19% 15% 75% 47% 47% 42% 49% 40% 47%


750 AdultsAll

2020 Lt. Gov Vot 2016 POTUS Vo Education Income Class

Credibility Interval: +/-3.3 pct points Robins Holley ( Trump Clinton High Sc Some C 4-Year < $40K $40K - > $80K Poor Workin Middle Upper-

Yes 87% 100% 100% 93% 94% 79% 88% 94% 82% 85% 96% 70% 87% 87% 93%

No 12% - - 6% 5% 19% 11% 5% 16% 13% 4% 27% 11% 11% 7%

Not Sure 1% - - 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% 0% 2% 1% 1% 0%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Adults 100% 41% 41% 41% 32% 36% 31% 32% 38% 38% 24% 10% 30% 45% 13%





Percentages



750 AdultsAll

Paycheck Religion Lived Home Urbanicity

Credibility Interval: +/-3.3 pct points Falling Just Ge Making Setting Prosper Protest Catholic Other No Org <15 Ye 15-30 Y >30 Ye Own Rent Urban Suburb Rural

Yes 87% 93% 81% 85% 92% 90% 94% 78% 84% 81% 77% 85% 94% 92% 76% 88% 86% 86%

No 12% 5% 19% 12% 8% 10% 5% 18% 14% 18% 21% 14% 5% 7% 22% 10% 13% 13%

Not Sure 1% 2% 1% 3% 0% 0% 1% 4% 2% 0% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 1% 1%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Adults 100% 8% 28% 34% 24% 7% 40% 13% 21% 26% 28% 31% 41% 65% 35% 22% 40% 38%


750 AdultsAll

Suburban Military HH Gun HH Evangelical K-12 Parent Single Parent LGBTQ HH

Credibility Interval: +/-3.3 pct points Men Women Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No

Yes 87% 83% 88% 82% 88% 88% 86% 92% 85% 88% 86% 86% 87% 84% 87%

No 12% 17% 11% 16% 11% 11% 13% 6% 14% 10% 13% 14% 12% 16% 12%

Not Sure 1% 0% 1% 2% 1% 2% 1% 2% 1% 2% 1% 0% 1% 0% 1%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%



750 AdultsAll

Region

Credibility Interval: +/-3.3 pct points Charlott Greens Raleigh Souther

Yes 87% 89% 82% 87% 85%

No 12% 10% 16% 13% 13%

Not Sure 1% 2% 2% 0% 1%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Adults 100% 34% 18% 31% 16%





Percentages


2 Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as president?

649 Registered VotersAll



Strongly Approve 26% 34% 19% 26% 30% 22% 29% 28% 25% 34% 2% 29% 26% 62% 1% 13%

Approve 22% 22% 21% 18% 19% 27% 20% 19% 24% 26% 3% 20% 34% 30% 4% 32%

Disapprove 10% 11% 9% 14% 9% 11% 6% 12% 9% 6% 23% 11% 12% 4% 15% 12%

Strongly Disapprove 40% 31% 48% 39% 40% 37% 45% 39% 40% 32% 69% 36% 24% 3% 77% 41%

Not Sure 2% 1% 3% 3% 2% 3% 0% 2% 2% 1% 3% 3% 4% 1% 2% 3%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 48% 52% 27% 25% 27% 20% 53% 47% 64% 21% 8% 7% 36% 35% 28%





Strongly Approve 26% 73% 34% 13% 3% 8% 51% 13% 4% 11% 31% 58% 1% 56% 7% 59% 5%

Approve 22% 19% 41% 22% 4% 0% 31% 22% 3% 22% 21% 39% 1% 39% 4% 33% 5%

Disapprove 10% 0% 7% 12% 25% 2% 4% 12% 17% 30% 6% 1% 17% 2% 16% 4% 14%

Strongly Disapprove 40% 8% 17% 49% 67% 89% 13% 49% 74% 34% 41% 1% 80% 2% 72% 3% 75%

Not Sure 2% 0% 0% 3% 1% 1% 0% 3% 1% 3% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 17% 22% 37% 14% 7% 39% 37% 21% 15% 75% 47% 47% 42% 49% 40% 47%





Percentages






Strongly Approve 26% 57% 3% 53% 3% 31% 28% 21% 24% 28% 29% 13% 23% 29% 35%

Approve 22% 35% 3% 38% 3% 23% 21% 20% 18% 27% 19% 9% 26% 21% 24%

Disapprove 10% 4% 14% 4% 15% 12% 10% 9% 10% 12% 8% 8% 10% 13% 4%

Strongly Disapprove 40% 4% 79% 5% 78% 33% 38% 48% 45% 33% 42% 69% 37% 36% 36%

Not Sure 2% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 3% 2% 4% 1% 2% 1% 4% 1% 1%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 41% 41% 44% 35% 33% 32% 35% 36% 37% 27% 8% 30% 45% 13%





Strongly Approve 26% 21% 30% 25% 26% 30% 31% 27% 31% 14% 19% 19% 36% 29% 20% 25% 24% 30%

Approve 22% 24% 18% 24% 24% 12% 26% 15% 17% 21% 26% 22% 19% 22% 20% 17% 21% 25%

Disapprove 10% 6% 11% 12% 8% 9% 7% 13% 16% 10% 5% 15% 10% 10% 10% 16% 6% 11%

Strongly Disapprove 40% 47% 37% 37% 41% 49% 36% 43% 34% 51% 50% 42% 33% 37% 46% 39% 48% 32%

Not Sure 2% 3% 4% 2% 1% 0% 1% 2% 2% 4% 1% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 1% 2%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 8% 26% 33% 25% 7% 43% 12% 20% 24% 25% 30% 44% 69% 31% 22% 39% 38%





Percentages







Approve 22% 21% 20% 29% 20% 27% 19% 25% 21% 21% 22% 18% 22% 10% 22%

Disapprove 10% 6% 7% 6% 11% 7% 12% 4% 12% 7% 12% 8% 10% 16% 10%


Not Sure 2% 1% 1% 4% 2% 2% 2% 0% 3% 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%




Region


Strongly Approve 26% 31% 25% 21% 29%

Approve 22% 20% 25% 22% 22%

Disapprove 10% 8% 13% 13% 7%

Strongly Disapprove 40% 38% 37% 43% 40%

Not Sure 2% 3% 1% 1% 3%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 35% 17% 31% 16%





Percentages


3 Do you approve or disapprove of the job Roy Cooper is doing as governor?





Approve 34% 33% 34% 32% 36% 37% 29% 34% 33% 31% 48% 38% 6% 20% 47% 33%

Disapprove 19% 21% 17% 20% 14% 22% 18% 17% 20% 23% 9% 7% 25% 27% 6% 23%


Not Sure 9% 5% 13% 17% 9% 5% 4% 14% 5% 6% 11% 20% 19% 10% 6% 13%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%







Approve 34% 10% 31% 38% 48% 46% 22% 38% 48% 47% 32% 21% 46% 15% 50% 21% 44%

Disapprove 19% 21% 25% 20% 10% 4% 23% 20% 8% 19% 18% 28% 7% 33% 6% 28% 7%


Not Sure 9% 2% 12% 10% 7% 7% 8% 10% 7% 14% 6% 9% 6% 7% 5% 8% 6%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%






Percentages







Approve 34% 22% 44% 25% 44% 35% 27% 38% 33% 33% 35% 34% 35% 35% 24%

Disapprove 19% 29% 7% 27% 6% 18% 19% 19% 16% 19% 22% 12% 16% 22% 19%


Not Sure 9% 8% 6% 8% 9% 9% 12% 8% 9% 11% 7% 4% 14% 7% 13%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%







Approve 34% 27% 32% 36% 34% 34% 30% 42% 42% 30% 33% 38% 31% 35% 31% 33% 34% 33%

Disapprove 19% 25% 14% 19% 22% 18% 20% 21% 18% 16% 21% 14% 20% 19% 18% 18% 16% 22%


Not Sure 9% 8% 9% 11% 7% 13% 8% 9% 6% 15% 9% 18% 4% 7% 14% 17% 8% 5%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%






Percentages







Approve 34% 26% 39% 29% 35% 27% 37% 25% 36% 30% 35% 36% 33% 32% 34%

Disapprove 19% 18% 15% 33% 16% 25% 15% 21% 18% 17% 20% 15% 19% 17% 19%


Not Sure 9% 6% 10% 14% 8% 9% 10% 7% 10% 11% 8% 7% 10% 14% 9%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%




Region



Approve 34% 31% 37% 38% 27%

Disapprove 19% 19% 22% 18% 16%


Not Sure 9% 6% 10% 11% 11%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%






Percentages


4 Do you approve or disapprove of the job Thom Tillis is doing as United States Senator?





Approve 26% 32% 20% 26% 28% 27% 20% 27% 24% 31% 9% 33% 23% 48% 8% 21%

Disapprove 24% 24% 23% 19% 23% 28% 24% 21% 26% 23% 32% 13% 18% 15% 26% 32%


Not Sure 16% 11% 21% 25% 16% 12% 10% 20% 11% 12% 20% 37% 19% 12% 17% 18%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%







Approve 26% 40% 41% 21% 6% 7% 41% 21% 6% 21% 28% 46% 9% 48% 12% 55% 8%

Disapprove 24% 11% 24% 28% 33% 13% 19% 28% 26% 30% 23% 18% 27% 18% 27% 11% 30%


Not Sure 16% 9% 14% 15% 20% 16% 12% 15% 19% 36% 9% 10% 16% 9% 14% 9% 13%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%






Percentages







Approve 26% 51% 9% 45% 8% 28% 24% 26% 20% 27% 33% 4% 23% 28% 39%

Disapprove 24% 17% 27% 20% 27% 29% 21% 21% 22% 26% 22% 27% 22% 28% 12%


Not Sure 16% 10% 13% 11% 13% 17% 19% 13% 23% 16% 7% 13% 23% 13% 9%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%







Approve 26% 25% 28% 18% 31% 38% 32% 25% 25% 16% 23% 24% 29% 29% 18% 30% 27% 22%

Disapprove 24% 14% 19% 33% 22% 13% 27% 25% 24% 17% 22% 23% 25% 26% 18% 19% 20% 30%


Not Sure 16% 22% 15% 19% 11% 17% 12% 11% 14% 27% 14% 28% 9% 12% 26% 25% 11% 16%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%






Percentages







Approve 26% 36% 20% 28% 25% 25% 26% 39% 22% 35% 22% 23% 26% 10% 27%

Disapprove 24% 16% 22% 23% 24% 27% 22% 26% 23% 21% 24% 25% 23% 19% 24%


Not Sure 16% 6% 14% 20% 15% 16% 16% 9% 18% 14% 17% 17% 16% 22% 16%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%




Region



Approve 26% 29% 30% 18% 29%

Disapprove 24% 20% 25% 26% 26%


Not Sure 16% 18% 12% 16% 18%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%






Percentages


5 Do you approve or disapprove of the job the North Carolina state legislature is doing?





Approve 33% 33% 33% 36% 27% 30% 42% 32% 35% 35% 34% 14% 37% 37% 32% 31%

Disapprove 26% 28% 24% 25% 30% 28% 20% 27% 25% 27% 25% 19% 24% 18% 30% 32%


Not Sure 25% 17% 32% 23% 22% 32% 21% 23% 27% 22% 32% 30% 22% 24% 27% 21%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%







Approve 33% 25% 43% 36% 24% 31% 35% 36% 26% 31% 34% 36% 31% 36% 33% 37% 34%

Disapprove 26% 20% 22% 28% 35% 31% 21% 28% 34% 16% 28% 24% 30% 24% 30% 21% 31%


Not Sure 25% 20% 21% 23% 30% 28% 21% 23% 29% 43% 21% 21% 25% 20% 25% 22% 23%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%






Percentages







Approve 33% 34% 30% 37% 32% 29% 37% 34% 32% 36% 31% 30% 33% 34% 33%

Disapprove 26% 24% 31% 23% 32% 23% 24% 31% 26% 22% 32% 23% 26% 28% 25%


Not Sure 25% 22% 24% 21% 22% 30% 28% 17% 29% 24% 20% 15% 28% 26% 15%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%







Approve 33% 23% 36% 35% 33% 27% 35% 32% 34% 31% 37% 33% 31% 35% 30% 37% 32% 32%

Disapprove 26% 29% 25% 24% 30% 19% 27% 21% 24% 28% 23% 24% 29% 26% 26% 20% 28% 27%


Not Sure 25% 19% 22% 28% 23% 31% 23% 24% 26% 27% 24% 29% 22% 24% 27% 21% 25% 27%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%






Percentages







Approve 33% 37% 28% 40% 32% 29% 35% 38% 32% 31% 35% 35% 33% 17% 34%

Disapprove 26% 28% 28% 25% 26% 30% 24% 22% 27% 27% 26% 26% 26% 41% 25%


Not Sure 25% 12% 33% 24% 25% 25% 25% 21% 26% 21% 26% 23% 25% 18% 25%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%




Region



Approve 33% 35% 32% 32% 32%

Disapprove 26% 26% 28% 23% 29%


Not Sure 25% 22% 28% 25% 27%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%






Percentages


6 Do you approve or disapprove of the job the the United States Congress is doing?





Approve 20% 19% 21% 27% 21% 15% 16% 24% 15% 22% 18% 23% 7% 23% 20% 17%

Disapprove 36% 34% 37% 36% 35% 36% 35% 35% 36% 37% 42% 16% 26% 30% 42% 35%


Not Sure 15% 11% 18% 14% 14% 21% 7% 14% 15% 12% 21% 22% 16% 13% 18% 13%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%







Approve 20% 15% 23% 22% 18% 10% 20% 22% 16% 32% 16% 21% 18% 17% 20% 20% 20%

Disapprove 36% 27% 25% 46% 36% 33% 26% 46% 35% 30% 37% 29% 42% 31% 40% 27% 40%


Not Sure 15% 13% 12% 8% 30% 23% 12% 8% 28% 28% 12% 10% 16% 11% 16% 12% 17%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%






Percentages







Approve 20% 18% 18% 22% 17% 17% 23% 21% 18% 21% 21% 8% 18% 22% 24%

Disapprove 36% 30% 39% 32% 39% 34% 32% 41% 40% 27% 41% 39% 32% 36% 40%


Not Sure 15% 11% 18% 11% 19% 18% 14% 12% 16% 16% 10% 4% 14% 19% 4%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%







Approve 20% 16% 22% 19% 21% 22% 16% 22% 26% 22% 19% 24% 18% 21% 17% 30% 18% 16%

Disapprove 36% 34% 31% 35% 42% 32% 41% 29% 29% 35% 41% 38% 31% 37% 33% 22% 44% 35%


Not Sure 15% 6% 12% 21% 11% 17% 14% 10% 14% 19% 12% 18% 14% 12% 19% 12% 12% 18%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%






Percentages







Approve 20% 17% 20% 23% 19% 18% 21% 18% 21% 20% 20% 14% 21% 10% 21%

Disapprove 36% 53% 38% 37% 35% 36% 35% 36% 35% 38% 35% 47% 34% 47% 35%


Not Sure 15% 3% 18% 12% 15% 14% 15% 12% 15% 12% 16% 16% 14% 14% 15%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%




Region



Approve 20% 21% 17% 21% 19%

Disapprove 36% 35% 47% 27% 41%


Not Sure 15% 9% 11% 20% 20%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%






Percentages


7 North Carolina will elect a President, a Governor, and a United States Senator in November. Not everyone has a chance to vote in an election. Which best describes you?




Not Interested 3% 3% 4% 7% 4% 2% 0% 5% 1% 2% 4% 12% 3% 2% 3% 5%

Not Sure If Time 4% 2% 5% 9% 0% 1% 2% 5% 2% 2% 4% 12% 4% 1% 3% 6%

Almost Certain 15% 16% 13% 22% 11% 15% 9% 17% 12% 10% 29% 12% 19% 11% 20% 12%

100% Certain 75% 75% 76% 57% 82% 79% 87% 69% 83% 83% 60% 62% 71% 83% 71% 74%

Already Returned Ballot 2% 2% 1% 2% 1% 3% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 0% 1% 3% 2%

Not Sure 1% 2% 1% 3% 2% 0% 0% 2% 0% 1% 1% 0% 3% 2% 0% 1%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%






Not Interested 3% 0% 4% 5% 1% 0% 2% 5% 1% 0% 0% - - - - - -

Not Sure If Time 4% 0% 1% 2% 7% 3% 0% 2% 6% 0% 0% - - - - - -

Almost Certain 15% 10% 12% 17% 23% 6% 11% 17% 18% 100% 0% 10% 19% 11% 19% 9% 19%

100% Certain 75% 88% 80% 73% 66% 89% 84% 73% 73% 0% 100% 88% 78% 88% 79% 89% 79%

Already Returned Ballot 2% 1% 2% 2% 1% 3% 2% 2% 2% 0% 0% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2%

Not Sure 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% - - - - - -

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%






Percentages






Not Interested 3% - - 1% 2% 3% 3% 4% 4% 2% 4% 4% 3% 3% 6%

Not Sure If Time 4% - - 2% 2% 5% 4% 1% 6% 2% 2% 4% 5% 3% 2%

Almost Certain 15% 9% 20% 10% 15% 20% 13% 11% 18% 15% 9% 17% 17% 14% 7%

100% Certain 75% 89% 77% 85% 78% 68% 77% 81% 68% 78% 83% 70% 73% 78% 81%

Already Returned Ballot 2% 2% 3% 2% 3% 2% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% 0%

Not Sure 1% - - 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 4%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%






Not Interested 3% 9% 4% 4% 1% 0% 2% 1% 2% 8% 1% 7% 2% 3% 4% 5% 2% 4%

Not Sure If Time 4% 3% 5% 3% 2% 9% 2% 2% 5% 6% 4% 5% 2% 2% 6% 5% 3% 3%

Almost Certain 15% 24% 10% 17% 11% 19% 10% 17% 18% 19% 12% 18% 13% 13% 17% 23% 11% 13%

100% Certain 75% 62% 77% 73% 84% 65% 85% 79% 72% 60% 80% 64% 81% 78% 70% 65% 82% 75%

Already Returned Ballot 2% 1% 1% 3% 0% 7% 1% 1% 2% 3% 1% 3% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 2%

Not Sure 1% 2% 2% 0% 2% 0% 0% 0% 1% 5% 3% 2% 0% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%






Percentages






Not Interested 3% 1% 2% 2% 4% 3% 4% 0% 4% 6% 2% 6% 3% 2% 3%

Not Sure If Time 4% 2% 4% 5% 3% 4% 3% 1% 4% 1% 4% 4% 3% 10% 3%

Almost Certain 15% 15% 8% 17% 14% 12% 16% 11% 16% 14% 15% 18% 14% 21% 14%

100% Certain 75% 78% 84% 72% 76% 79% 74% 85% 73% 76% 75% 68% 76% 63% 76%

Already Returned Ballot 2% 3% 1% 3% 2% 2% 2% 3% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 4% 2%

Not Sure 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 2% 0% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% 0% 1%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%




Region


Not Interested 3% 2% 4% 4% 5%

Not Sure If Time 4% 6% 3% 3% 1%

Almost Certain 15% 12% 12% 18% 15%

100% Certain 75% 76% 80% 73% 74%

Already Returned Ballot 2% 1% 1% 2% 3%

Not Sure 1% 3% 1% 0% 1%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%






Percentages


8 In the election for President of the United States, how do you vote? Republican Donald Trump? Democrat Joe Biden? Or some other candidate?

596 Likely VotersAll



Donald Trump (R) 47% 56% 38% 43% 45% 48% 51% 44% 49% 58% 4% 42% 66% 92% 4% 42%

Joe Biden (D) 47% 39% 54% 51% 48% 43% 47% 49% 44% 35% 88% 48% 30% 4% 95% 42%

Some Other Candidate 2% 3% 1% 1% 4% 2% 0% 3% 2% 3% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 6%

Undecided 5% 3% 7% 5% 4% 7% 2% 4% 5% 4% 7% 10% 3% 4% 1% 9%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Likely Voters 100% 48% 52% 24% 26% 29% 21% 50% 50% 66% 21% 7% 7% 37% 36% 26%





Donald Trump (R) 47% 87% 72% 34% 3% 7% 79% 34% 4% 30% 50% 100% 0% 93% 9% 93% 7%

Joe Biden (D) 47% 11% 20% 55% 96% 89% 16% 55% 94% 58% 45% 0% 100% 3% 87% 5% 90%

Some Other Candidate 2% 0% 2% 3% 1% 4% 1% 3% 2% 4% 2% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1%

Undecided 5% 2% 6% 7% 0% 0% 4% 7% 0% 9% 4% 0% 0% 4% 2% 2% 3%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Likely Voters 100% 19% 23% 36% 14% 7% 41% 36% 21% 16% 82% 47% 47% 42% 49% 40% 47%





Donald Trump (R) 47% 92% 4% 90% 5% 50% 49% 41% 41% 51% 47% 22% 48% 48% 56%

Joe Biden (D) 47% 5% 93% 6% 92% 43% 43% 54% 54% 39% 49% 74% 45% 43% 44%

Some Other Candidate 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 3% 2% 1% 1% 4% 1% 1% 2% 3% 0%

Undecided 5% 2% 2% 3% 3% 4% 6% 4% 5% 5% 3% 2% 6% 5% 0%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Likely Voters 100% 41% 41% 46% 37% 33% 32% 35% 35% 38% 27% 8% 30% 46% 13%





Percentages






Donald Trump (R) 47% 49% 46% 44% 49% 49% 57% 42% 46% 29% 41% 38% 55% 50% 37% 42% 42% 54%

Joe Biden (D) 47% 47% 46% 50% 44% 46% 37% 55% 50% 60% 51% 55% 40% 44% 53% 50% 50% 41%

Some Other Candidate 2% 0% 2% 2% 2% 3% 2% 1% 0% 3% 2% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2%

Undecided 5% 4% 6% 4% 5% 2% 4% 2% 3% 8% 6% 6% 3% 3% 7% 6% 5% 3%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Likely Voters 100% 8% 25% 34% 26% 7% 45% 13% 20% 22% 25% 28% 46% 71% 29% 22% 41% 38%





Donald Trump (R) 47% 61% 30% 53% 45% 65% 37% 68% 40% 49% 46% 40% 47% 31% 48%

Joe Biden (D) 47% 35% 60% 38% 49% 29% 56% 27% 53% 43% 49% 58% 46% 64% 46%


Undecided 5% 3% 7% 7% 4% 3% 6% 4% 5% 6% 4% 3% 5% 1% 5%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%




Region


Donald Trump (R) 47% 49% 44% 41% 54%

Joe Biden (D) 47% 43% 49% 53% 42%

Some Other Candidate 2% 4% 1% 2% 0%

Undecided 5% 4% 6% 4% 4%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Likely Voters 100% 35% 17% 32% 16%





Percentages


9 Did Joe Biden's selection of Kamala Harris as his running mate have a major impact on how you are voting for President? A minor impact? Or no impact at all?




Major 23% 26% 19% 26% 33% 13% 20% 29% 16% 19% 25% 48% 25% 27% 25% 12%

Minor 23% 21% 24% 28% 22% 22% 19% 25% 21% 20% 40% 17% 7% 11% 37% 21%

No Impact 51% 50% 52% 37% 42% 64% 61% 40% 63% 59% 31% 31% 55% 59% 35% 61%

Not Sure 4% 3% 4% 10% 3% 1% 1% 6% 1% 2% 4% 4% 12% 3% 2% 5%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%






Major 23% 37% 22% 16% 16% 37% 29% 16% 23% 19% 23% 26% 21% 25% 22% 27% 20%

Minor 23% 5% 16% 30% 41% 20% 11% 30% 34% 37% 20% 10% 36% 11% 32% 10% 35%

No Impact 51% 56% 61% 50% 38% 41% 58% 50% 39% 36% 54% 61% 39% 62% 42% 59% 42%

Not Sure 4% 2% 1% 5% 5% 2% 2% 5% 4% 8% 2% 2% 4% 3% 4% 4% 3%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%






Major 23% 24% 22% 24% 20% 23% 21% 23% 26% 21% 20% 14% 20% 21% 38%

Minor 23% 11% 34% 11% 36% 23% 18% 27% 23% 24% 22% 26% 20% 24% 19%

No Impact 51% 61% 41% 62% 41% 50% 55% 49% 49% 50% 56% 58% 54% 52% 42%

Not Sure 4% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 6% 1% 3% 5% 3% 2% 6% 3% 0%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%






Percentages






Major 23% 15% 33% 18% 18% 31% 23% 26% 24% 18% 18% 23% 25% 22% 23% 32% 21% 19%

Minor 23% 22% 21% 27% 24% 5% 19% 28% 27% 23% 24% 22% 23% 24% 20% 26% 21% 23%

No Impact 51% 56% 40% 53% 56% 58% 57% 43% 43% 51% 57% 46% 51% 52% 49% 32% 55% 58%

Not Sure 4% 7% 5% 2% 2% 7% 1% 3% 5% 8% 2% 9% 1% 1% 9% 9% 4% 0%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%






Major 23% 25% 18% 19% 23% 24% 22% 26% 22% 33% 18% 27% 22% 31% 22%

Minor 23% 19% 22% 18% 24% 20% 24% 18% 24% 23% 23% 28% 22% 16% 23%

No Impact 51% 50% 58% 60% 49% 54% 50% 55% 50% 41% 56% 44% 52% 37% 52%

Not Sure 4% 6% 2% 2% 4% 2% 4% 1% 4% 4% 4% 2% 4% 17% 3%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%




Region


Major 23% 29% 23% 18% 18%

Minor 23% 23% 25% 23% 20%

No Impact 51% 45% 49% 54% 61%

Not Sure 4% 3% 4% 5% 1%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%






Percentages


10 If a candidate holds rallies without social distancing and with few in the audience wearing masks, does this have a major impact on how you vote? A minor impact? Or no impact at all?




Major 37% 35% 38% 41% 43% 28% 36% 42% 32% 30% 50% 67% 33% 23% 53% 35%

Minor 21% 23% 20% 28% 18% 22% 18% 23% 20% 20% 28% 10% 24% 17% 26% 22%

No Impact 39% 40% 38% 26% 37% 47% 45% 32% 46% 47% 19% 23% 41% 57% 19% 39%

Not Sure 3% 2% 4% 5% 2% 3% 2% 3% 2% 4% 2% 0% 1% 3% 2% 3%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%






Major 37% 30% 19% 43% 53% 51% 24% 43% 52% 35% 37% 18% 56% 20% 53% 23% 53%

Minor 21% 11% 23% 23% 30% 19% 18% 23% 26% 39% 18% 18% 25% 17% 24% 16% 26%

No Impact 39% 56% 55% 32% 15% 27% 55% 32% 19% 22% 43% 61% 17% 60% 20% 58% 19%

Not Sure 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 3% 3% 3% 2% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%






Major 37% 19% 55% 19% 53% 34% 35% 41% 38% 37% 35% 51% 37% 30% 49%

Minor 21% 18% 24% 19% 27% 25% 16% 23% 21% 20% 24% 9% 19% 25% 22%

No Impact 39% 60% 20% 59% 18% 38% 46% 33% 37% 42% 37% 39% 41% 42% 27%

Not Sure 3% 3% 1% 3% 3% 2% 4% 3% 4% 2% 3% 1% 4% 3% 1%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%






Percentages






Major 37% 42% 46% 34% 31% 36% 32% 41% 40% 41% 35% 44% 33% 33% 47% 54% 39% 25%

Minor 21% 21% 20% 21% 24% 18% 18% 24% 26% 24% 21% 22% 21% 21% 23% 23% 23% 19%

No Impact 39% 34% 30% 42% 43% 44% 47% 33% 30% 34% 42% 29% 43% 43% 28% 19% 36% 53%

Not Sure 3% 3% 4% 3% 2% 2% 3% 2% 4% 1% 2% 5% 2% 3% 2% 3% 2% 4%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%






Major 37% 37% 40% 31% 38% 26% 42% 32% 38% 41% 35% 49% 35% 70% 35%

Minor 21% 26% 21% 24% 21% 23% 20% 13% 24% 22% 22% 17% 22% 15% 22%

No Impact 39% 36% 37% 42% 38% 48% 34% 51% 35% 35% 40% 32% 40% 12% 41%

Not Sure 3% 1% 2% 2% 3% 2% 3% 4% 3% 2% 3% 2% 3% 3% 3%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%




Region


Major 37% 42% 37% 37% 25%

Minor 21% 17% 24% 24% 21%

No Impact 39% 38% 33% 37% 52%

Not Sure 3% 3% 5% 2% 3%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%






Percentages


11 In the election for North Carolina Governor, how do you vote?




Dan Forest (R) 42% 51% 33% 38% 40% 44% 44% 39% 44% 52% 1% 47% 52% 81% 4% 37%

Roy Cooper (D) 49% 42% 56% 50% 50% 43% 54% 50% 48% 40% 87% 39% 27% 12% 91% 45%


Undecided 7% 3% 10% 10% 7% 7% 2% 8% 5% 5% 10% 11% 6% 5% 3% 13%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%






Dan Forest (R) 42% 81% 61% 31% 2% 5% 70% 31% 3% 27% 44% 83% 2% 100% 0% 86% 7%

Roy Cooper (D) 49% 17% 25% 56% 96% 89% 21% 56% 94% 58% 47% 10% 92% 0% 100% 11% 88%


Undecided 7% 2% 9% 9% 2% 4% 5% 9% 2% 12% 6% 5% 4% 0% 0% 2% 4%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%






Dan Forest (R) 42% 86% 4% 77% 5% 43% 44% 38% 32% 48% 45% 20% 42% 43% 51%

Roy Cooper (D) 49% 10% 90% 15% 87% 47% 46% 54% 57% 42% 49% 64% 44% 50% 45%


Undecided 7% 3% 3% 5% 5% 7% 7% 5% 9% 6% 4% 5% 12% 4% 3%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%






Percentages






Dan Forest (R) 42% 40% 44% 38% 43% 42% 52% 35% 42% 24% 39% 31% 50% 45% 34% 36% 42% 44%

Roy Cooper (D) 49% 44% 48% 51% 48% 52% 41% 52% 53% 60% 52% 55% 44% 46% 55% 52% 52% 44%


Undecided 7% 10% 6% 6% 7% 4% 5% 11% 3% 10% 5% 12% 4% 6% 8% 11% 5% 6%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%






Dan Forest (R) 42% 60% 29% 47% 40% 59% 33% 64% 34% 44% 40% 31% 43% 32% 42%

Roy Cooper (D) 49% 36% 63% 41% 51% 30% 59% 30% 55% 43% 52% 58% 48% 64% 48%


Undecided 7% 2% 6% 7% 7% 6% 7% 5% 7% 7% 6% 6% 7% 4% 7%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%




Region


Dan Forest (R) 42% 46% 40% 35% 47%

Roy Cooper (D) 49% 45% 50% 56% 43%


Undecided 7% 7% 9% 4% 9%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%






Percentages


12 In the election for United States Senator from North Carolina, how do you vote?




Thom Tillis (R) 40% 50% 30% 39% 40% 40% 41% 39% 40% 49% 7% 39% 46% 83% 3% 29%

Cal Cunningham (D) 47% 39% 54% 46% 48% 44% 49% 47% 46% 37% 79% 52% 31% 6% 90% 45%


Undecided 10% 7% 13% 13% 8% 11% 9% 11% 10% 10% 12% 9% 11% 9% 5% 18%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%






Thom Tillis (R) 40% 80% 63% 25% 5% 6% 71% 25% 5% 23% 43% 79% 4% 82% 9% 100% 0%

Cal Cunningham (D) 47% 12% 19% 58% 93% 86% 16% 58% 90% 55% 45% 7% 89% 8% 84% 0% 100%


Undecided 10% 7% 12% 12% 3% 7% 10% 12% 4% 20% 9% 10% 6% 9% 6% 0% 0%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%






Thom Tillis (R) 40% 86% 3% 75% 4% 41% 45% 35% 31% 43% 46% 14% 41% 39% 56%

Cal Cunningham (D) 47% 6% 92% 11% 87% 47% 37% 54% 54% 41% 46% 66% 45% 45% 41%


Undecided 10% 5% 3% 10% 8% 7% 15% 8% 12% 11% 7% 9% 12% 11% 1%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%






Percentages






Thom Tillis (R) 40% 37% 42% 35% 42% 51% 50% 32% 43% 21% 34% 36% 45% 42% 34% 44% 37% 40%

Cal Cunningham (D) 47% 42% 49% 49% 43% 44% 38% 53% 47% 61% 53% 46% 44% 46% 49% 44% 52% 42%


Undecided 10% 14% 9% 9% 13% 5% 10% 13% 7% 12% 8% 15% 9% 9% 13% 10% 8% 13%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%






Thom Tillis (R) 40% 54% 26% 42% 39% 53% 33% 60% 33% 45% 38% 30% 41% 29% 40%

Cal Cunningham (D) 47% 36% 63% 39% 48% 29% 56% 30% 52% 41% 49% 57% 45% 62% 46%


Undecided 10% 7% 9% 15% 9% 11% 10% 8% 11% 8% 11% 6% 11% 5% 11%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%




Region


Thom Tillis (R) 40% 46% 37% 34% 39%

Cal Cunningham (D) 47% 41% 51% 53% 42%


Undecided 10% 10% 10% 8% 16%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%






Percentages


13 In the election for North Carolina Lieutenant Governor how do you vote?




Mark Robinson (R) 41% 51% 31% 34% 42% 44% 44% 38% 44% 53% 4% 41% 39% 84% 3% 33%

Lewis Holley (D) 41% 34% 47% 44% 42% 39% 37% 43% 38% 29% 75% 54% 35% 3% 86% 34%

Undecided 18% 15% 21% 22% 16% 17% 19% 19% 18% 18% 22% 5% 26% 14% 11% 33%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%






Mark Robinson (R) 41% 82% 64% 28% 4% 3% 72% 28% 3% 24% 44% 81% 4% 84% 8% 89% 5%

Lewis Holley (D) 41% 9% 17% 46% 85% 85% 13% 46% 85% 52% 38% 3% 81% 4% 75% 3% 81%

Undecided 18% 9% 19% 26% 11% 12% 15% 26% 11% 25% 17% 16% 15% 12% 17% 7% 14%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%






Mark Robinson (R) 41% 100% 0% 79% 5% 45% 42% 36% 32% 44% 48% 17% 45% 40% 53%

Lewis Holley (D) 41% 0% 100% 6% 82% 39% 36% 47% 43% 38% 41% 57% 38% 41% 36%

Undecided 18% 0% 0% 15% 13% 16% 22% 17% 25% 18% 11% 26% 18% 19% 12%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%






Percentages






Mark Robinson (R) 41% 39% 38% 40% 43% 51% 53% 34% 39% 21% 37% 33% 48% 46% 29% 40% 36% 47%

Lewis Holley (D) 41% 36% 42% 41% 40% 43% 32% 37% 42% 61% 46% 45% 36% 40% 44% 46% 44% 34%

Undecided 18% 25% 20% 19% 17% 5% 15% 29% 19% 18% 18% 23% 16% 15% 27% 14% 20% 19%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%






Mark Robinson (R) 41% 51% 26% 42% 41% 57% 33% 65% 33% 49% 38% 29% 42% 27% 42%

Lewis Holley (D) 41% 28% 55% 34% 42% 26% 48% 22% 46% 41% 41% 59% 39% 53% 40%

Undecided 18% 21% 19% 25% 17% 17% 19% 12% 20% 11% 22% 12% 19% 20% 18%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%




Region


Mark Robinson (R) 41% 44% 39% 37% 45%

Lewis Holley (D) 41% 39% 40% 46% 34%

Undecided 18% 17% 21% 17% 21%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%






Percentages


14 Which candidate for President is better able to handle the Coronavirus?




Donald Trump 45% 55% 37% 41% 46% 46% 48% 44% 47% 58% 6% 43% 47% 88% 4% 42%

Joe Biden 45% 39% 52% 45% 47% 44% 45% 46% 45% 36% 85% 42% 22% 5% 90% 42%

Not Sure 9% 6% 12% 13% 7% 10% 6% 10% 8% 6% 9% 15% 31% 7% 6% 16%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%






Donald Trump 45% 87% 68% 34% 4% 6% 76% 34% 5% 29% 49% 94% 1% 90% 9% 90% 6%

Joe Biden 45% 11% 22% 53% 86% 91% 17% 53% 88% 51% 44% 1% 93% 4% 83% 5% 85%

Not Sure 9% 2% 10% 12% 10% 4% 6% 12% 8% 20% 7% 5% 6% 6% 8% 4% 8%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%






Donald Trump 45% 93% 4% 89% 5% 50% 46% 41% 40% 49% 48% 17% 49% 47% 53%

Joe Biden 45% 5% 89% 6% 88% 42% 41% 52% 53% 37% 48% 73% 41% 43% 46%

Not Sure 9% 2% 7% 5% 8% 8% 13% 7% 7% 14% 5% 10% 11% 10% 1%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%






Percentages






Donald Trump 45% 44% 42% 47% 47% 47% 57% 42% 39% 28% 41% 38% 53% 50% 34% 42% 40% 54%

Joe Biden 45% 48% 46% 45% 43% 51% 36% 52% 51% 57% 50% 52% 39% 43% 51% 50% 49% 39%

Not Sure 9% 8% 12% 8% 10% 2% 7% 6% 10% 15% 9% 10% 8% 7% 15% 8% 11% 7%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%






Donald Trump 45% 56% 29% 55% 43% 64% 36% 69% 38% 50% 44% 37% 47% 34% 46%

Joe Biden 45% 35% 58% 40% 47% 29% 54% 26% 51% 43% 46% 57% 44% 52% 45%

Not Sure 9% 9% 13% 5% 10% 7% 10% 5% 10% 7% 10% 6% 9% 14% 9%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%




Region


Donald Trump 45% 48% 43% 42% 50%

Joe Biden 45% 43% 47% 49% 41%

Not Sure 9% 9% 10% 9% 8%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%






Percentages


15 Which candidate for President is better able to handle the economy?




Donald Trump 51% 58% 43% 45% 49% 53% 55% 47% 54% 64% 7% 54% 56% 93% 8% 49%

Joe Biden 42% 37% 47% 45% 44% 40% 40% 45% 40% 32% 83% 39% 25% 5% 87% 34%

Not Sure 7% 5% 9% 10% 6% 7% 4% 8% 6% 5% 10% 7% 18% 2% 5% 17%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%






Donald Trump 51% 85% 78% 41% 8% 9% 81% 41% 8% 34% 54% 95% 9% 93% 16% 92% 15%

Joe Biden 42% 14% 19% 49% 80% 88% 17% 49% 82% 47% 41% 3% 84% 5% 75% 6% 78%

Not Sure 7% 1% 3% 11% 13% 3% 2% 11% 10% 19% 5% 2% 7% 1% 9% 1% 7%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%






Donald Trump 51% 93% 10% 91% 8% 53% 52% 47% 42% 56% 54% 21% 52% 54% 59%

Joe Biden 42% 6% 82% 6% 84% 41% 40% 46% 51% 37% 39% 68% 38% 40% 40%

Not Sure 7% 1% 9% 3% 8% 6% 8% 7% 7% 7% 8% 12% 10% 6% 1%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%






Percentages






Donald Trump 51% 46% 49% 49% 56% 51% 61% 49% 48% 34% 49% 42% 57% 54% 42% 46% 48% 56%

Joe Biden 42% 46% 43% 45% 37% 41% 35% 45% 49% 50% 47% 47% 37% 40% 48% 44% 44% 39%

Not Sure 7% 8% 8% 6% 7% 8% 5% 6% 3% 16% 4% 11% 6% 5% 11% 10% 7% 5%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%






Donald Trump 51% 62% 39% 57% 49% 65% 43% 69% 45% 51% 51% 38% 52% 43% 51%

Joe Biden 42% 34% 52% 36% 44% 29% 49% 26% 47% 43% 42% 53% 41% 43% 42%

Not Sure 7% 4% 10% 7% 7% 6% 8% 5% 8% 6% 8% 9% 7% 14% 7%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%




Region


Donald Trump 51% 54% 52% 45% 53%

Joe Biden 42% 41% 40% 44% 44%

Not Sure 7% 4% 8% 11% 3%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%






Percentages


16 Which candidate for President is better able to handle public safety?




Donald Trump 48% 57% 40% 46% 46% 49% 53% 46% 51% 59% 7% 52% 62% 89% 7% 47%

Joe Biden 45% 38% 52% 49% 46% 42% 45% 47% 43% 35% 84% 40% 30% 6% 89% 40%

Not Sure 7% 4% 9% 5% 8% 9% 2% 7% 6% 5% 9% 8% 8% 5% 3% 13%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%






Donald Trump 48% 85% 74% 38% 6% 8% 79% 38% 7% 28% 52% 94% 7% 90% 14% 91% 12%

Joe Biden 45% 14% 19% 51% 91% 91% 17% 51% 91% 59% 42% 3% 90% 5% 81% 7% 83%

Not Sure 7% 1% 7% 11% 3% 2% 4% 11% 2% 12% 6% 3% 3% 4% 5% 2% 4%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%






Donald Trump 48% 91% 8% 89% 8% 52% 49% 44% 42% 54% 48% 18% 52% 48% 63%

Joe Biden 45% 6% 87% 7% 86% 43% 43% 49% 54% 37% 45% 73% 42% 44% 37%

Not Sure 7% 3% 5% 5% 6% 4% 8% 7% 4% 9% 6% 9% 6% 8% 1%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%






Percentages






Donald Trump 48% 46% 45% 49% 49% 55% 56% 49% 49% 30% 42% 41% 56% 52% 39% 44% 43% 56%

Joe Biden 45% 48% 46% 46% 42% 45% 38% 47% 48% 58% 48% 54% 39% 42% 54% 48% 49% 39%

Not Sure 7% 7% 9% 5% 8% 0% 6% 3% 3% 12% 11% 6% 5% 6% 8% 8% 7% 5%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%






Donald Trump 48% 60% 32% 54% 47% 65% 40% 68% 42% 50% 47% 37% 50% 45% 48%

Joe Biden 45% 35% 59% 39% 47% 30% 53% 28% 51% 44% 46% 57% 44% 53% 45%

Not Sure 7% 5% 9% 7% 6% 6% 7% 4% 7% 6% 7% 6% 7% 2% 7%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%




Region


Donald Trump 48% 51% 52% 41% 51%

Joe Biden 45% 45% 37% 51% 42%

Not Sure 7% 3% 11% 7% 7%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%






Percentages


17 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Roy Cooper's response to the coronavirus pandemic?

750 AdultsAll




Approve 36% 33% 39% 39% 36% 37% 31% 38% 34% 32% 46% 41% 33% 27% 49% 32%

Disapprove 19% 23% 16% 24% 14% 20% 16% 20% 18% 22% 10% 8% 30% 24% 7% 27%


Not Sure 10% 7% 12% 16% 9% 7% 3% 13% 6% 7% 14% 21% 7% 8% 9% 11%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Adults 100% 48% 52% 30% 25% 26% 19% 54% 46% 63% 20% 10% 7% 34% 35% 28%


750 AdultsAll




Approve 36% 15% 27% 44% 55% 42% 22% 44% 51% 58% 32% 24% 47% 20% 49% 24% 44%

Disapprove 19% 17% 28% 20% 8% 8% 23% 20% 8% 16% 20% 32% 7% 36% 6% 31% 8%


Not Sure 10% 9% 12% 8% 4% 8% 11% 8% 5% 14% 5% 5% 6% 4% 4% 4% 5%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Adults 100% 16% 22% 38% 13% 6% 38% 38% 19% 15% 75% 47% 47% 42% 49% 40% 47%





Percentages



750 AdultsAll




Approve 36% 22% 44% 27% 47% 32% 35% 41% 35% 35% 39% 35% 36% 38% 30%

Disapprove 19% 33% 7% 29% 7% 20% 22% 15% 17% 22% 17% 12% 21% 18% 21%


Not Sure 10% 5% 6% 5% 5% 13% 9% 7% 11% 9% 8% 9% 9% 9% 10%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%



750 AdultsAll




Approve 36% 30% 38% 39% 33% 31% 31% 41% 49% 31% 34% 39% 35% 36% 36% 36% 38% 34%

Disapprove 19% 24% 14% 19% 24% 17% 21% 17% 20% 17% 25% 16% 18% 19% 19% 16% 14% 26%


Not Sure 10% 9% 9% 10% 7% 22% 6% 11% 7% 17% 11% 15% 4% 7% 14% 15% 8% 9%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Adults 100% 8% 28% 34% 24% 7% 40% 13% 21% 26% 28% 31% 41% 65% 35% 22% 40% 38%





Percentages



750 AdultsAll




Approve 36% 32% 42% 29% 38% 29% 39% 26% 39% 37% 36% 35% 36% 36% 36%

Disapprove 19% 18% 11% 28% 17% 28% 14% 25% 17% 17% 20% 15% 20% 19% 19%


Not Sure 10% 5% 10% 12% 9% 9% 10% 8% 10% 10% 9% 15% 9% 13% 10%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%



750 AdultsAll

Region



Approve 36% 35% 38% 37% 33%

Disapprove 19% 17% 22% 19% 20%


Not Sure 10% 9% 11% 10% 10%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Adults 100% 34% 18% 31% 16%





Percentages


Statement of Methodology: SurveyUSA is an independent, non-partisan, apolitical research company that conducts opinion surveys for media, academic institutions, commercial clients,

non-profits, governments, agencies, and elected officials. SurveyUSA opinion research is conducted using a methodology optimized for each particular project. In some cases, this means data is

collected 100% by telephone; in some cases, 100% online; and in other cases, a blend of the two. For those projects that are conducted “mixed-mode” (or “multi-mode”): Respondents who have a

home (landline) telephone are interviewed by phone, sometimes using live interviewers, other times using the recorded voice of a professional announcer. The youngest male is requested on

approximately 30% of calls to home phones, the youngest adult is requested on approximately 70% of calls. This method of intra-household selection reduces the potential for age and gender

imbalance in the unweighted sample. Re-attempts are made to busy signals, no-answers, and answering machines. Landline telephone sample is purchased from Aristotle of Washington DC.

Respondents who do not use a home telephone are interviewed on an electronic device, which means, for some projects, that call-center employees hand-dial cell phones and interview

respondents verbally on the respondent’s cell phone, and means, for other projects, that SurveyUSA displays the questions visually on the respondent’s phone, tablet, or other device. Sample for

respondents who do not use a home telephone is purchased from Aristotle or from one of several other research companies that provide access to cell respondents. Where meaningful,

SurveyUSA indicates the percentage of respondents who use a home phone and the percentage who do not, and crosstabs by this distinction. Responses are minimally weighted to U.S. Census

or voter file targets for gender, age and race. Target (cell) weighting is used. On questionnaires that ask about political party identification, SurveyUSA may or may not weight to Party ID, depending

on client preference. Where necessary, questions and answer choices are rotated to prevent order bias, recency, and latency effects. On some studies, certain populations are over-sampled, so

that the number of unweighted respondents exceeds the number of weighted respondents. Each individual SurveyUSA release contains the date(s) on which interviews are conducted and a

release date. If interviewing for a particular study is conducted in Spanish, or in any other foreign language, it will be noted on the specific release. If no notation appears, interviews are conducted

in English. Where respondents are filtered, such as adults, filtered to registered voters, in turn filtered to likely voters, SurveyUSA describes the filtering on the specific release. On pre-election polls

in geographies with early voting, SurveyUSA differentiates between respondents who have already voted and those who are likely to vote but have not yet done so. On research completed prior to

12/31/16, SurveyUSA assigned to each question within the instrument a theoretical margin of sampling error. Effective 01/01/17, SurveyUSA assigns to each question within the instrument a

credibility interval, which better reflects the sampling uncertainties associated with gathering some percentage of respondent answers using non-probability sample. Though commonly cited in the

presentation of research results, “sampling error” is only one of many types of error that may influence the outcome of an opinion research study. More practical concerns include the way in which

questions are worded and ordered, the inability to contact some, the refusal of others to be interviewed, and the difficulty of translating each questionnaire into all possible languages and dialects.

Non-sampling errors cannot be quantified. This statement conforms to the principles of disclosure as recommended by the National Council on Public Polls (NCPP). Questions about SurveyUSA

research can be addressed to [email protected].


Date post:	21-Sep-2020
Category:	Documents
Upload:	others
View:	0 times
Download:	0 times

Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #25514 · 9/14/2020 · Yet, when the same group of likely...

Documents