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Results to 31 December 2015 March 16th, 2016 CERVED INFORMATION SOLUTIONS S.p.A.
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Page 1: Results to 31 December 2015 - Cerved Company · 2016-03-16 · This presentation and any materials distributed in connection herewith (together, ... between the corporate and marketing

Results to 31 December 2015

March 16th, 2016

CERVED INFORMATION SOLUTIONS S.p.A.

Page 2: Results to 31 December 2015 - Cerved Company · 2016-03-16 · This presentation and any materials distributed in connection herewith (together, ... between the corporate and marketing

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Disclaimer

This presentation and any materials distributed in connection herewith (together, the “Presentation”) do not constitute or form a part of, and should not be construed as, an offer for sale or subscription of or solicitation of any offer to purchase or subscribe for any securities, and neither this Presentation nor anything contained herein shall form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, or act as an inducement to enter into, any contract or commitment whatsoever. The information contained in this Presentation has not been independently verified and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness, reasonableness or correctness of the information or opinions contained herein. None of Cerved Information Solutions S.p.A., its subsidiaries or any of their respective employees, advisers, representatives or affiliates shall have any liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this document or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with this Presentation. The information contained in this Presentation is provided as at the date of this Presentation and is subject to change without notice.

Statements made in this Presentation may include forward-looking statements. These statements may be identified by the fact that they use words such as “anticipate”, “estimate”, “should”, “expect”, “guidance”, “project”, “intend”, “plan”, “believe”, and/or other words and terms of similar meaning in connection with, among other things, any discussion of results of operations, financial condition, liquidity, prospects, growth, strategies or developments in the industry in which we operate. Such statements are based on management’s current intentions, expectations or beliefs and involve inherent risks, assumptions and uncertainties, including factors that could delay, divert or change any of them. Forward-looking statements contained in this Presentation regarding trends or current activities should not be taken as a representation that such trends or activities will continue in the future. Actual outcomes, results and other future events may differ materially from those expressed or implied by the statements contained herein. Such differences may adversely affect the outcome and financial effects of the plans and events described herein and may result from, among other things, changes in economic, business, competitive, technological, strategic or regulatory factors and other factors affecting the business and operations of the company. Neither Cerved Information Solutions S.p.A. nor any of its affiliates is under any obligation, and each such entity expressly disclaims any such obligation, to update, revise or amend any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. You should not place undue reliance on any such forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this Presentation. It should be noted that past performance is not a guide to future performance. Please also note that interim results are not necessarily indicative of full-year results.

Page 3: Results to 31 December 2015 - Cerved Company · 2016-03-16 · This presentation and any materials distributed in connection herewith (together, ... between the corporate and marketing

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Today’s Presenters

Gianandrea De Bernardis – Chief Executive Officer

Giovanni Sartor – Chief Financial Officer

7 years at Cerved

7 years of TMT industry experience

Prior experience: Seves Group, Nylstar (RP-Snia JV), Eni, Heinz

Education: MBA from Eni University; Statistics and Economics degree from University of Padua

Pietro Masera – Head of Corporate Development & Investor Relations

3 years at Cerved

13 years of TMT industry experience

Prior experience: CVC, Deutsche Bank, Bankers Trust, UBS, SEAT

Education: degree in Economics and Business Administration from University of Bergamo

10 years at Cerved

17 years of TMT industry experience

Prior experience: TeamSystem, AMPS, Boston Consulting Group, AT&T

Education: MBA from Bocconi University; Electronic Engineering degree from Polytechnic of Milan

Page 4: Results to 31 December 2015 - Cerved Company · 2016-03-16 · This presentation and any materials distributed in connection herewith (together, ... between the corporate and marketing

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Table of Contents

Highlights 1

Business Review 2

Financial Review 3

Next Steps 4

Appendices 5

Page 5: Results to 31 December 2015 - Cerved Company · 2016-03-16 · This presentation and any materials distributed in connection herewith (together, ... between the corporate and marketing

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Executive Summary

Macro Highlights

Positive 2015 in terms of macroeconomic fundamentals

Numerous reforms launched regarding banks and NPLs

2015

Financial Results

Revenues +6.7% vs FY 2014, +1.6% organic

EBITDA +6.7% vs FY 2014, +5.2% organic

Operating Cash Flow €136.1m in FY 2015, +7.9% vs FY 2014

Adjusted Net Income €68.5m in FY 2015, +24.7% vs FY 2014

Leverage 2.9x LTM EBITDA excl. refinancing costs

Other

Dividends of €44.85m proposed by the Board of Directors

AGM to vote upon new Board of Directors on 29 April 2016

Guidance to be provided at Investor Day in London on May 10th

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113 119 125 132 139

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Consistent Growth and Cash Flow Generation

Consistent Growth EBITDA Growth High Cash Flows

Revenue (€m) EBITDA (€m) EBITDA – Capex (€m)

138 145 152 160 171

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

267 291

313 331 353

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

+6.7%/ 1.6%

+7.4% / +3.9%

% / % Total Growth % / Organic Growth %

Consistent Revenue, EBITDA and Cash Flow growth

Note: 2011 and 2012 EBITDA adjusted for shareholder’s fees and 2011 adjusted to review accounting policy related to the database acquisition costs

+5.1% / +3.8%

+5.5%

+6.7%/ +5.2%

+5.2%

Page 7: Results to 31 December 2015 - Cerved Company · 2016-03-16 · This presentation and any materials distributed in connection herewith (together, ... between the corporate and marketing

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Source: Bank of Italy

11.3% 12.4% 12.8% 11.7%

10.8%

8.6% 8.1%

6.6%

Macro Highlights

Key Economic Indicators

Cerved Proprietary

Data

Italian unemployment Italian GDP New lending

% of companies paying over 60 days late versus contractual

terms

Number of proceedings (seasonally

adjusted) and growth rates versus

same quarter of previous year

2015 GDP grew +0.8%

versus 2014, first yearly

GDP growth since 2011

Strong decline in

unemployment, and

healthy increase in

new bank lending

Despite being positive,

all macroeconomic

indicators remain well

below pre-crisis levels

Cerved proprietary

data also reflecting an

improved macro

Fewer late paying

companies and

bankruptcies reflect

the improved health of

SMEs in Italy

NPLs confirm lower

growth vs prior years

Growth rate compared to the

previous quarter

New lending volumes in € billions (quarterly)

Key highlights

Late paying companies Bankruptcies NPLs Key highlights

Unemployment as % of total working

population

Default rate on outstanding loans; Cerved estimates on

Bank of Italy data

Source: Osservatorio Cerved

50

100

150

200

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

5.8% 12.8% 8.6% -12.2%

Source: Osservatorio Cerved

3.0% 3.5% 3.7%

3.9%

Source: Osservatorio Cerved, Bank of Italy

Q4

-0,5%

Q4

0,0%

Q4

0,0%

Q4

0,1%

Source: ISTAT, OECD

2012

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

YoY -0.4%

YoY -1.7%

YoY -2.8%

Source: ISTAT

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

2012 2013

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

2014

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

-36%

2015

Q1 Q2 Q3

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

2012 2013

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

2014

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

2015

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

2012 2013

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

2014

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

2015

Q1 Q2 Q3

2013

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

2014

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

2015

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

YoY +0.8%

2012

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

2013

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

2014

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

2015

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

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Table of Contents

Highlights 1

Business Review 2

Financial Review 3

Next Steps 4

Appendices 5

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Business Review Topics

Operational and Strategic Update for 2015 and Key Actions for 2016

Business

Corporate

Credit Information – Corporate

Credit Information – Financial Institutions

Credit Management

Marketing Solutions

Governance

Mergers & Acquisitions

Investor Relations

Page 10: Results to 31 December 2015 - Cerved Company · 2016-03-16 · This presentation and any materials distributed in connection herewith (together, ... between the corporate and marketing

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4.0% 2.4%

5.9% 4.3%

Lost

Clients

Existing

Clients

New Clients Y-o-Y

Consumption

2015 negatively impacted by decline in lost points, despite positive trends regarding the

sale and consumption of prepaid points and services (+7.9% and +4.3%, respectively)

Revamp of sales force network well underway: completion expected by June 2016, with

full impacts expected by year-end 2016

2016 also expected to benefit from product innovation: recent launch of Cerved

Credibility, as well as a new platform for Corporate products and services

Credit Information – Corporates

2015 represents a year of discontinuity, with a significant investment in the revamp of the sales network

Consumption of Credit Information Points & Services: 2015 vs 2014 1) Status Quo Sales Force Revamp

Business

Corporate

1) Consumption of points and services in 2015 compared to 2014 for credit information products by c. 20k corporate clients covered by the field sales network

Key

Initiatives

New Go-to-Market

Teleselling for Small Clients

Salesforce Reinforcement

New CRM

Churn Reduction Initiatives

finalised

ongoing ongoing

advanced advanced

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Credit Information – Financial Institutions Business

Corporate

2015 Revenue growth of +2.0% exceeded initial guidance of -1.0% to +1.0%

Better than expected results due to a combination of few bank renewals, no impact yet

from bank consolidation, new bank lending returning to growth, and most importantly

strong results from the real estate appraisals segment

Popolari banks currently preparing themselves for consolidation, which is expected to

start to materialise in the latter part of 2016

2015 characterised by positive conditions with limited renewals and no impact from consolidation

Bank New Lending from 2008 (€bn) 1) CI Financial Institutions – Revenue Breakdown 2015

1) Source: Bank of Italy

682

572 517

488 463 401 395

451

(20%)

(15%)

(10%)

(5%)

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Yo

Y c

ha

ng

e (%

)

Real Estate

Rating &

Analytics Business

Information

Page 12: Results to 31 December 2015 - Cerved Company · 2016-03-16 · This presentation and any materials distributed in connection herewith (together, ... between the corporate and marketing

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Credit Management Business

Corporate

Banks &

Investors

Utilities &

Financials Corporates

Legal

Services

Re-

marketing

Significant opportunities in 2016 offered by government reforms regarding bankruptcy

and foreclosure procedures, together with specific initiatives to reduce bank NPLs

Strong focus also on optimising the “small tickets” segment, integrating the operations of

Recus (utility and finance company clients) with Finservice (corporate clients)

Assets Under Management at EUR 12.5bn at YE 2015, reflecting an outflow of EUR 1.6bn

of old portfolios. The outflow does not have any impact on future Revenues

Another record year for the Credit Management division with Sales and EBITDA up 40.8% and 74.5%, respectively

NPLs and Problematic

Credits

Revenues Breakdown 2015 Credit Management AuMs

1.8

7.8

10.3

14.1

1.6

12.5

2012 2013 2014 FY'15

(ex.

outflows)

Outflows FY'15

Page 13: Results to 31 December 2015 - Cerved Company · 2016-03-16 · This presentation and any materials distributed in connection herewith (together, ... between the corporate and marketing

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Marketing Solutions Business

Corporate

Database &

Marketing

Platforms

Ad-Hoc

Projects

Industrial

and

Competitor

Analysis

8.9 9.9

12.8

14.7 13.8

3.1 3.5

4.7

6.8 5.9

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Revenues Breakdown 2015 Revenues and EBITDA (€m)

2015 was a lacklustre year for the Marketing Solutions division, despite continuing product innovation

Despite the positive launch of the Marketing+ platform, 2015 Revenues and EBITDA

declined vs the prior year, due to commercial issues and revenue recognition phasing

2015 saw a solid increase in marketing platforms (eg. Marketing+) and database-

derived products, at the expense of projects on industry and competitor analysis

2016 to continue this trend, and also to focus on improving the commercial synergies

between the corporate and marketing solutions field sales forces

Page 14: Results to 31 December 2015 - Cerved Company · 2016-03-16 · This presentation and any materials distributed in connection herewith (together, ... between the corporate and marketing

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Recus SpA 81% 19.0m

RLValue Srl 100% 1.4m

Creval Partnership 100% 21.7m

SpazioDati Srl 43% 2.3m

Mergers and Acquisitions Corporate

Business

Continue to complement organic growth with acquisitions in core and adjacent markets in Italy

2015 deals were the Creval transaction (valued €21.7m) and a further stake in

SpazioDati (€1m capital increase to reach 43%)

2016 has already seen the acquisition of a further 11% stake (reaching 91%) in the

holding company of the Credit Management activities

Currently working on a rich pipeline of small, bolt-on transactions in all key business

areas in Italy

A few deals at a very advanced stage, with Closing expected in the short term

M&A Since IPO in June 2014 Illustrative Targets

Company Stake % Investment

CI

BI

CM

Adj.

MS

Advanced Preliminary Status

Mo

re

Less

Eff

ort

M&A Effort and Status

Page 15: Results to 31 December 2015 - Cerved Company · 2016-03-16 · This presentation and any materials distributed in connection herewith (together, ... between the corporate and marketing

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Investor Relations Corporate

Business

Marked effort to increase liquidity and share price, in line with Cerved’s status as public company

2015 was a very busy year also considering CVC’s full exit via 3 ABBs, increasing Cerved’s

free float from 44% to 100% and significantly widening its institutional shareholder base

IR activity for 2016 focussed on further increasing analyst coverage (currently 11) and

attracting new investors, with the objective of increasing average daily volumes

In line with 2015 we have planned a rich schedule of conferences and roadshows,

together with the Investor Day on May 10th in London

Mar 23 Equity Conference (HSBC) Paris

May 10 Investor Day London

May 11 Business Services Conference (JPM) London

May 18 Italy Conference (DB) London

Jun 8 Italian Equity Conference (Kepler) Milan

Jun 22 CEO Conference (Mediobanca) Milan

Jun 28 European Business Services (GS) London

Sep 8 Equity Conference (HSBC) Frankfurt

Dec 6 Mid Cap Conference (Berenberg) Pennyhill

Tentative Agenda for 2016 Cerved Share Price evolution in 2015

0.0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

0.9

1.0

80%

90%

100%

110%

120%

130%

140%

150%

160%

AVG NOSH

(monthly, k)

CERVED FTSE Mid-Cap

Page 16: Results to 31 December 2015 - Cerved Company · 2016-03-16 · This presentation and any materials distributed in connection herewith (together, ... between the corporate and marketing

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Corporate Governance Corporate

Business

Appointment of the new Board of Directors

A new Board of Directors will be voted at the AGM to be held on 29 April 2016

Total board members to remain at 11, of which a maximum of 2 from minority slates

The incumbent board will propose its own slate, to be published 30 days pre-AGM

Authorisation to issue shares for acquisitions

Enabling resolution for the BoD to issue shares for a maximum of 10% of existing shares,

without pre-emption rights, in order to maintain leverage and dividend targets

Long-term Incentive Plan (LTIP)

Performance share plan, 3 year vesting, maximum dilution of 1.5% dilution up to 2021:

- 70% of target based on Adjusted Pre-Tax Profit/Share CAGR, vesting from 6.0%

- 30% of target based on TSR, vesting from median of FTSE Italy mid-cap index

AGM/EGM on 14 December 2015 aligned Cerved to international best practice in key areas

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Table of Contents

Highlights 1

Business Review 2

Financial Review 3

Next Steps 4

Appendices 5

Page 18: Results to 31 December 2015 - Cerved Company · 2016-03-16 · This presentation and any materials distributed in connection herewith (together, ... between the corporate and marketing

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Group Revenues

290.6 313.5 331.3

353.5

2012 2013 2014 2015

Revenue Bridge (2014 – 2015, €m)

331.3

353.5

2.5 (0,1)

21.7 (0,9) (1,0)

Revenues

2014

CI -

Financial Institutions

CI -

Corporates

Credit

Management

Marketing Solutions Other & Conso

clearing

Revenues

2015

Credit Information

+7.9% / +5.7%

+5.7% / +3.8%

% / % Total Growth % / Organic Growth %

Revenues (€m) and Revenue growth (%)

+6.7% / 1.6%

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160.1

170.8

3.3

8.3 (0,9)

EBITDA

2014

Credit

Information

Credit

Management

Marketing

Solutions

EBITDA

2015

Group EBITDA

EBITDA Bridge (2014 – 2015, €m)

EBITDA (1) (€m) and EBITDA margin (%)

144.7 151.5 160.1 170.8

2012 2013 2014 2015

48.3% 49.8% 48.3%

(1) FY 2012 EBITDA is adjusted for Shareholder Fees;

+4.7% / +4.6%

+5.6/ +4.5%

% / % Total Growth % / Organic Growth %

+6.7% / +5.2%

48.3%

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500

722

488

281

537

2012 2013 2014 2015

119.0 125.0

131.9 139.1

2012 2013 2014 2015

Group EBITDA-Capex and Financial Leverage

39.9% 41.0%

39.8%

% EBITDA-Capex margin (as % or Revenues)

Net Debt (€m) and Net Debt/ LTM EBITDA

1.9x

4.8x

x Adjusted Net debt/EBITDA

3.0x

YoY Growth % %

+5.5%

EBITDA-Capex (€m) and EBITDA-Capex margin (%)

+5.0% 39.4%

+5.5%

3.1x/2.9x €37.3m related

to Forward

Start, non-cash

in 2015

Page 21: Results to 31 December 2015 - Cerved Company · 2016-03-16 · This presentation and any materials distributed in connection herewith (together, ... between the corporate and marketing

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Group Divisional Performance

Credit Information Credit Management Marketing Solutions

127.4 126.3 122.0 124.5

128.8 138.2 142.7 142.6

256.232 264.5 264.7 267.1

2012 2013 2014 2015

Re

ve

nu

e

EB

ITD

A

136.8 139.3 142.1 145.4

2012 2013 2014 2015

25.0 36.6

53.3

75.0

2012 2013 2014 2015

4.4 7.6

11.2

19.5

2012 2013 2014 2015

9.9 12.8 14.7 13.8

2012 2013 2014 2015

3.5 4.7

6.8 5.9

2012 2013 2014 2015

35.6%

36.5%

45.9%

20.7%

21.0%

53.4% 52.7% 53.7%

(6.2%)

Fin. Inst.

Corp.

% YoY Growth %

11.8%

40.8% 44.2%

1.4% 0.9%

2.0%

17.6%

(12.6%)

18.8%

74.5%

64.2%

% EBITDA margin % % CAGR

42.7%

26.0% 54.4%

%

2.3%

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Credit Information grew +0.9% FY

and +1.0% in Q4, showing an

improvement compared to 2014 in

which FY growth was +0.1%

Financial Institutions exceeded

initial expectations with +2.0% FY

and +2.3% in Q4

Corporates were lower than

expected with -0.1% FY and -0.1% in

Q4, despite positive sales and

consumption trends in FY 2015

FY 2015 EBITDA margins increased

to 54.4% versus 53.7% prior year

Q4 2015 EBITDA margin at 57.6%

versus 54.8% prior year

Increase in margin mainly due to

the operating leverage and better

product mix, particularly within the

incremental revenues registered by

the Financial Institutions segment

127.4 126.3 122.0 124.5

128.8 138.2 142.7 142.6

256.2 264.5 264.6 267.1

2012 2013 2014 2015

Credit Information

136.8 139.3

142.1 145.4

2012 2013 2014 2015

1.8%

3.2%

52.7% 53.4% 53.7%

Corporates:

Financial Institutions:

3.4%

(0.8)%

% EBITDA margin %

(0.1)%

2.0%

YoY Growth %

Revenues (€m) and Revenue growth (%)

EBITDA (€m) and EBITDA margin (%)

2.0%

0.1%

CAGR 2012-2015 2014 vs 2015

0.9%

54.4%

2.3%

Key highlights

Key highlights

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Credit Management continued to

grow at a strong pace, with

Revenues +40.8% FY and +13.1% in

Q4

FY figures show balanced growth in

all the underlying business lines:

credit workout, legal services and

asset remarketing, both organic

and via M&A

Q4 2014 weaker than expected,

mainly due to phasing of

collections, and weaker small-ticket

performance

Credit Management

25.0

36.6

53.3

75.0

2012 2013 2014 2015

46.4%

4.4 7.6

11.2

19.5

2012 2013 2014 2015

72.4%

20.7% 17.6%

21.0%

EBITDA (€m) and EBITDA margin (%)

% EBITDA margin

Key highlights

Key highlights

Revenues (€m) and Revenue growth (%)

% YoY Growth %

45.5%

47.2%

40.8%

26.0%

74.5% FY 2015 EBITDA margins at 26.0%

versus 21.0% in the prior year

Also Q4 2015 EBITDA margin at

30.4% versus 25.9% in the prior year

Increased profitability from i.) slightly

higher collection rates on most

portfolios, (ii.) the ramp-up of new

portfolios brought in during the last

year, (iii.) favourable product mix

and (iv.) benefits from cross-

fertilisation

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3.5 4.7

6.8 5.9

2012 2013 2014 2015

Marketing Solutions

9.9

12.8 14.7

13.8

2012 2013 2014 2015

29.0%

32.3%

36.5% 35.6%

45.9%

% EBITDA margin

Marketing Solutions performance

well below expectations, with -

6.2% FY and -22.2% in Q4, despite

positive sales from new product

launches (eg. Marketing+)

Sales force suffered from fewer

leads from the Corporate field sales

(especially in Q4) due to the latter’s

focus on the revamp

Different product mix also

impacted revenue growth

EBITDA (€m) and EBITDA margin (%)

Key highlights

Key highlights

Revenues (€m) and Revenue growth (%)

% YoY Growth %

45.0%

15.3%

42.7%

(12.6)%

FY 2015 EBITDA margins at 42.7%,

marginally lower compared to

45.9% in the prior year

Also Q4 2015 EBITDA margin at

55.8% is lower versus 60.4% in the

prior year

Lower margins in 2015 reflect

operating leverage of the business

(6.2)%

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Key highlights Summary Profit and Loss (€m)

Summary Profit and Loss

Adjusted Net Income increases

+24.7% versus the prior year

Increased D&A due to the full

ramp-up of the capitalisation

and amortisation of database

costs which began in 2012

Positive tax impact due to, inter

alia, the reduction of the IRES tax

rate from 27.5% to 24.0% in 2017

Non-recurring financial expenses

include:

€37.3m of breakage costs

and old upfront fees write-off

€8.5m to adjust the fair value

of the put & call for a 11%

stake in CCMG Srl (not tax

deductible)

€6.7m write-down to reflect

changes occurred to ECIS

after the revision of strategic

partnership with Experian

€m 2012 2013 2014 2015

Revenues 290,6 313,5 331,3 353,5

% growth (YoY) 8,8% 7,9% 5,7% 6,7%

EBITDA 144,7 151,5 160,1 170,8

% Revenues 49,8% 48,3% 48,3% 48,3%

Depreciation & Amortization (16,5) (23,3) (25,1) (28,5)

EBITA 128,3 128,2 135,0 142,3

PPA Amortization (53,1) (39,4) (42,9) (45,8)

Non recurring income and expenses 2,5 (7,4) (4,5) (3,8)

EBIT 75,5 81,4 87,6 92,8

Financial income 0,9 0,8 1,1 1,1

Financial expenses - non recurring - - (10,1) (52,4)

Financial expenses (29,1) (59,6) (54,6) (43,2)

PBT 20,5 22,6 24,0 (1,7)

Income tax expenses (15,4) (14,7) (12,0) 5,3

Reported Net Income 5,1 8,0 12,0 3,6

Adjusted Net Income 62,6 43,0 55,0 68,5

of which: Minorities 0,8 1,1 1,4 2,5

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119.5

151.5 145.3 139.8

(25.4) (30.1) (32.4) (30.0)

(82.5) (81.9) (73.3) (74.0)

11.7

40.8 40.4 37.8

2012 2013 2014 2015

Inventories Trade receivables Trade payables

Deferred revenues Net Working Capital

Net Working Capital

4.0% 13.0%

Net Working Capital (€m) Key highlights

NWC as % of Revenues %

11.7% 10.7%

NWC improves to 10.7% of

Revenues, reflecting a

continuing improvement

compared to Q1, Q2 and Q3

(15.9%, 13.0%, and 11.0%

respectively)

Cerved’s net working capital is

gradually stabilising, after an

important increase in 2014 due

to ERP-related issues, and the

strong growth of the Credit

Management business

Deferred Revenues increase

versus the prior year, reflecting

positive sales results in 2015

(+7.9% vs 2014). Please recall

that each of Q1, Q2 and Q3

figures in 2015 were below the

2014 result

Trade payables also decline, as

2014 figures included amounts

related to the IPO

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26

Operating Cash Flow

increased 7.9% to €136.1m from

€126.2m in the prior year

The bulk of the improvement in

Operating Cash Flow arises

from the underlying growth in

EBITDA, together with an

improvement in Net Working

Capital

Capex was higher in 2015 vs

2014, reflecting efforts on new

product development,

innovation and other strategic

initiatives

OCF growth in FY 2015 is

weaker than in the Q1-Q3

figures, however as

anticipated this was due to the

significant improvement in

NWC in H2 2014

Key highlights Operating Cash Flow (€m)

Operating Cash Flow

(1) Cash change in Net Working Capital exludes non recurring items

€m 2012 2013 2014 2015

EBITDA 144,7 151,5 160,1 170,8

Net Capex (25,7) (26,6) (28,2) (31,6)

EBITDA-Capex 119,0 125,0 131,9 139,1

as % of EBITDA 82% 82% 82% 81%

Cash change in Net Working

Capital(1)(6,1) (24,7) 8,2 3,0

Change in other assets /

liabilities / provisions(1,9) 7,3 (13,9) (6,0)

Operating Cash Flow 111,1 107,5 126,2 136,1

as % of EBITDA 77% 71% 79% 80%

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27

Financial Indebtedness

Financial Indebtedness table (€m) Key highlights

IFRS Net Debt of €536.8m at the

end of December 2015

Note that this includes €24.0m

related to the Forward Start

transaction, in addition to the

write-off of €13.3m of old

capitalized financing fees

Accruals made according to

IAS/IFRS to account for the

refinancing, even if closing

occurred on 15 Jan 2016

Net of these items, IFRS Net

Debt would be lower at

€499.6m, which leads to a

leverage ratio in December

2015 of 2.9x

Please note that on 15 January

2016 Cerved paid out €23.4m

of prepayment penalties,

€11.3m of transaction costs,

and €18.8m of accrued interest

(1) FY’15 includes 1m of Revolving Credit Facility,16m of Vendor Loan, and 24m of breakage costs related to the refinancing transaction; H1’15 includes 5m of Revolving Credit Facility and 16m of Vendor Loan

(2) Extraordinary write-off of €13.3m in FY’15 and €5.3m in 9M’15 related to the refinancing transaction

(3) LTM EBITDA pro-forma including Recus, RL Value and the Creval transaction for the last 12 months

€m 2013 2014 H1'15 2015

Bonds 780,0 530,0 530,0 530,0

Other financial Debt 1) 0,6 4,0 25,9 41,8

Accrued Interests 20,6 17,3 17,3 17,3

Gross Debt 801,1 551,3 573,2 589,1

Cash (50,3) (46,1) (14,3) (50,7)

Capitalized financing fees 2) (28,6) (17,6) (16,2) (1,5)

IFRS Net Debt 722,2 487,6 542,7 536,8

Net Debt/ LTM EBITDA 3) 4,8x 3,0x 3,3x 3,1x

Non-recurring impact of "Forward Start"

transaction- - - 37,3

Adjusted Net Debt 722,2 487,6 542,7 499,6

Adjusted Net Debt/ LTM EBITDA 4,8x 3,0x 3,3x 2,9x

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28

Table of Contents

Highlights 1

Business Review 2

Financial Review 3

Next Steps 4

Appendices 5

Page 30: Results to 31 December 2015 - Cerved Company · 2016-03-16 · This presentation and any materials distributed in connection herewith (together, ... between the corporate and marketing

29

Next Steps

AGM

Ordinary Shareholders’ Meeting scheduled for April 29th

Approval of FY 2015 financial accounts and appointment of new

Board of Directors among the items on the agenda

Q1

Results

Q1 Results 2016 on May 5th

Typical quarterly presentation, no strategic outlook on FY2016

Investor Day

Investor Day scheduled on May 10th in London

Focus on business review, new products and medium-long term

strategic outlook

All key Executives to attend the Investor Day

Page 31: Results to 31 December 2015 - Cerved Company · 2016-03-16 · This presentation and any materials distributed in connection herewith (together, ... between the corporate and marketing

30

Table of Contents

Highlights 1

Business Review 2

Financial Review 3

Appendices 5

Next Steps 4

Page 32: Results to 31 December 2015 - Cerved Company · 2016-03-16 · This presentation and any materials distributed in connection herewith (together, ... between the corporate and marketing

31

Basis for Financial Information

Please note that Cerved Information Solutions SpA (“CIS SpA”) was

incorporated on 14 March 2014 and holds a 100% stake in Cerved Group SpA

(“CG SpA”) since 28 March 2014

In order to provide complete financial information to reflect CIS SpA

consolidated business operations, the financial data referred to FY2014 and

FY2013 are represented via the following accounts’ aggregation respectively:

(i.) CG SpA from 1 January to 31 March 2014 and CIS SpA from 14 March to 31

December 2014, and (ii.) Cerved Holding SpA from 1 January to 27 February

2013 and CG SpA from 9 January to 31 December 2013

On a consolidated basis, there are minor differences between the accounts of

CIS SpA and CG SpA, mainly related to costs connected to CIS SpA’s status as

listed company, and costs incurred to carry out the IPO of CIS SpA (in 2014

results)

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32

Group Revenues and EBITDA - Quarterly Analysis

160.1 170.8

FY

2014

2015

331.3

353.5

FY

2014

2015

Quarterly Analysis - Revenues (€m)

Quarterly Analysis - EBITDA(€m)

79.3 84.7

71.5

95.8

83.0

94.6

78.3

97.6

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

38.1 41.3

33.1

47.6

39.4

45.0

35.7

50.7

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

Total Growth % / Organic Growth %

+11.6% / +4.6%

% / %

+6.7% / +1.6%

+4.7% / (0.7)%

+6.7% / +5.2%

+9.1%/ 7.4%

+3.6% / +1.1%

+9.5% / +2.3%

+7.7% / +5.9%

+1.9% / +0.2%

+6.4% / +6.0%

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33

Credit Information – Quarterly Analysis

66.4 69.2 57.9 71.3

264.7

66.3 69.7 59.1 72.1

267.2

Rev CI - Q1 Rev CI - Q2 Rev CI - Q3 Rev CI - Q4 Rev CI - FY

2014

2015

30.3 31.5 28.6 31.6

122.0

31.1 31.6 29.5 32.3

124.5

Rev- Q1 Rev - Q2 Rev - Q3 Rev - Q4 Rev - FY

Credit Information – Financial Institutions – Rev (€m)

3.1%

36.1 37.7 29.2 39.8

142.7

35.2 38.1 29.6 39.7

142.6

Rev- Q1 Rev - Q2 Rev - Q3 Rev - Q4 Rev - FY

Credit Information – Corporate – Rev (€m)

35.2 37.4 30.4 39.1

142.1

36.0 37.4 30.6 41.5

145.4

EBITDA - Q1 EBITDA - Q2 EBITDA - Q3 EBITDA - Q4 EBITDA - FY

2014

2015

Credit Information – Revenues (€m)

(0.1)% 2.1%

Credit Information – EBITDA (€m)

2.0%

1.3% (2.4%)

2.2% (0.2)%

0.8%

0.2% 2.6% 1.2%

0.9%

2.3%

0.4% 6.2%

1.0%

2.3% (0.1)%

(0.1)%

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34

Credit Mgmt and Marketing Solutions – Quarterly Analysis

1.0 1.2 0.9

3.6

6.8

1.0 1.4 0.9

2.6

5.9

EBITDA -

Q1

EBITDA -

Q2

EBITDA -

Q3

EBITDA -

Q4

EBITDA -

FY

2014

2015

1.8 2.6

1.8

5.0

11.2

2.4

6.3 4.2

6.6

19.5

EBITDA -

Q1

EBITDA -

Q2

EBITDA -

Q3

EBITDA -

Q4

EBITDA -

FY

2014

2015

Marketing Solutions – Revenues and EBITDA (€m)

10.3 12.7 11.2 19.2

53.3

14.1 21.9

17.2 21.7

75.0

Rev - Q1 Rev - Q2 Rev - Q3 Rev - Q4 Rev - FY

Credit Management – Revenues and EBITDA (€m)

2.8 3.2 2.8

6.0

14.7

2.9 3.4 2.8

4.7

13.8

Rev - Q1 Rev - Q2 Rev - Q3 Rev - Q4 Rev - FY

37.3%

73.3%

54.5%

34.2%

4.8% 6.0%

3.4%

142.0%

74.5%

12.2%

4.2%

131.7%

40.8%

(22.2%)

(6.2%)

(28.0%)

(12.6%)

(2.2%)

13.1% 33.1%

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35

Profit and Loss

Source: Company Information, 2013 as “Added data”, 2014 as “Aggregated data”; for further details refer to CIS S.p.A. Quarterly and Annual Reports

€m 2012 2013 2014 2015

Total Revenues (including other income) 290,6 313,7 331,6 353,7

Cost of raw material and other materials (0,7) (2,8) (7,0) (8,3)

Cost of Serv ices (76,3) (77,6) (76,3) (78,9)

Personnel costs (67,2) (67,2) (73,7) (81,5)

Other operating costs (7,4) (8,1) (8,2) (8,5)

Impairment of receivables and other provisions (7,1) (6,4) (6,3) (5,7)

EBITDA 144,7 151,5 160,1 170,8

Depreciation & amortization (16,4) (23,3) (25,1) (28,5)

EBITA 128,2 128,2 135,0 142,3

PPA Amortization (53,1) (39,4) (42,9) (45,8)

Non-recurring income and expenses (7,4) (4,5) (3,8)

EBIT 75,5 81,4 87,6 92,8

PBT 20,5 22,6 24,0 (1,7)

Income tax expenses (15,4) (14,7) (12,0) 5,3

Reported Net Income 5,1 8,0 12,0 3,6

Adjusted Net Income 62,6 43,0 55,0 68,5

of which: Minorities 0,8 1,1 1,4 2,5

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36

Balance Sheet

Source: Company Information, 2013 as “Added data”, 2014 as “Aggregated data”; for further details refer to CIS S.p.A. Quarterly and Annual Reports (1) Non cash item (2) Net of capitalized financing fees

€m 2012 2013 2014 2015

Intangible assets 248,7 501,1 472,4 459,7

Goodwill 275,8 708,6 718,8 718,8

Tangible assets 16,5 16,6 17,3 16,4

Financial assets 15,0 14,9 14,9 8,3

Fixed assets 556,1 1.241,3 1.223,4 1.203,1

Inventories 0,1 1,3 0,7 2,0

Trade receivables 119,5 151,5 145,3 139,8

Trade payables (25,4) (30,1) (32,4) (30,0)

Deferred revenues (82,5) (83,1) (73,3) (74,0)

Net working capital 11,6 39,6 40,4 37,8

Other receivables 15,4 5,8 7,1 7,6

Other payables (53,8) (20,4) (26,1) (32,2)

Net corporate income tax items (3,0) (27,2) (18,8) (1,0)

Employees Leaving Indemnity (9,6) (10,9) (13,1) (12,5)

Provisions (10,6) (15,0) (11,1) (8,5)

Deferred taxes (1) (60,4) (119,8) (109,1) (88,7)

Net Invested Capital 445,7 1.093,3 1.092,7 1.105,6

IFRS Net Debt (2) 280,6 722,2 487,6 536,8

Group Equity 165,1 371,1 605,1 568,8

Total Sources 445,7 1.093,3 1.092,7 1.105,6

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Cash Flow

Source: Company Information, 2013 as “Added data”, 2014 as “Aggregated data”; for further details refer to CIS S.p.A. Quarterly and Annual Reports

€m 2012 2013 2014 2015

EBITDA 144,7 151,5 160,1 170,8

Net Capex (25,7) (26,6) (28,2) (31,6)

EBITDA-Capex 119,0 125,0 131,9 139,1

as % of EBITDA 82% 82% 82% 81%

Cash change in Net Working Capital (6,1) (24,7) 8,2 3,0

Change in other assets / liabilities (1,9) 7,3 (13,9) (6,0)

Operating Cash Flow 111,1 107,5 126,2 136,1

Interests paid (6,9) (29,1) (51,7) (40,3)

Cash taxes (21,3) (18,4) (24,1) (40,2)

Non recurring items (3,9) 0,1 (3,4) (3,2)

Cash Flow (before debt and equity movements) 76,8 60,1 46,9 52,3

Net Div idends (13,1) (0,1) 1,0 (40,1)

Acquisitions / deferred payments / earnout (3,4) (509,4) (20,9) (23,5)

IPO Capital Increase (net of IPO costs) - - 220,2 -

Other - - (0,1) (1,1)

Debt drawdown / (repayment) (48,0) 482,8 (254,5) -

Net Cash Flow of the Period 12,3 33,5 (7,5) (12,3)

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Adjusted Net Income Bridge

Source: Company Information, 2013 as “Added data”, 2014 as “Aggregated data”; for further details refer to CIS S.p.A. Quarterly and Annual Reports Note: PPA Amortization refers to business aggregation processes

€m 2012 2013 2014 2015

Reported Net Income 5,1 8,0 12,0 3,6

Non recurring income and expenses (2,5) 7,4 4,5 3,8

Shareholders Fee 2,2 - -

Capitalized financing fees 3,2 4,1 3,4 2,9

Earn-out 26,8 - -

PPA Amortization 53,1 39,4 42,9 45,8

Financial charges non-recurring - - 10,1 52,4

IRS termination - - 1,0 -

Fiscal Impact of above components (25,3) (15,8) (18,9) (28,4)

Adjustments 57,5 35,1 43,0 76,4

Impact of IRES change treatment - - - (11,5)

Adjusted Net Income 62,6 43,0 55,0 68,5

Page 40: Results to 31 December 2015 - Cerved Company · 2016-03-16 · This presentation and any materials distributed in connection herewith (together, ... between the corporate and marketing

Cerved Information Solutions S.p.A. Via San Vigilio, 1 - 20142 Milano

Tel. +39 02 77541 Fax +39 02 76020458

company.cerved.com


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