RISK AND RETURN ANALYSIS
ON EQUITY SHARE
The Risk and return analysis is important to equity shares investors in the share market. The need
of equity shares at the time of preliminary stage of company or bank to raising fund for establish
company and starting a business. The equity share holder is an actual owner of company or bank.
The risk and return analysis is main function of this project. The meaning risk and return as
follows:
Risk - risk refers to the possibility that the actual outcome of an investment will differ from
expected outcome. More specifically, most investors are concerned about the actual outcome
being less than the expected outcome.
There are many sources of risk i.e. business risk, market risk, interest rate of risk.
Return – return is representing the reward for undertaking investment. The returns of an
investment consist of two components as under:-
1) Current return
2) Capital return.
In this project risk and return calculated using various techniques. The return is calculate using
net asset value, rate return, dividend, geographical mean and risk is calculate using co-variance,
geometric mean, beta, standard deviation, correlation(using statistical methods).The rate of
equity shares has not fixed. The rate of equity shares of particular company or bank is change at
every time. The equity share holder either can earn profit or can take risk. This situation is not
fixed and hence, here need of risk and return analysis project
Shares that carry no preferential or special right in respect of annual dividend and in the
repayment of capital at the time of liquidation of the company are called equity shares. These
shares carry no preferential rights; therefore, these are also known as common stock or
ordinary shares.
Dividend on such shares is payable only when there are profit after the payment of
preferences dividend. But, the rate of dividend of these shares is not fixed. Board of
directors, depending upon the dividend policy as well as the availability of profit after
dividend on preference shares, declare dividend. No dividend will be paid on these shares, if
there are no profits or insufficient profit in a particular year. The value of these shares in stock
exchange fluctuates on the basis of rate of dividend declared.
Similarly, these shares are redeemed only after the redemption of preference shares at the
time of liquidation of the company. Equity share holders enjoy full voting rights in all market
of the company. They have right to elect directors and participate in the management and
control of the company. They also share residual profits.
What Is the Meaning of Equity Share Capital?
Companies raise two types of capital to source money for their operations: debt capital and
equity capital. Debt capital is procured through lender loans where lenders are paid interest
on the funds. Equity capital is issued to individuals who want ownership rights in the
company. These investors are issued shares of the company stock. There are two broad
categories in which shares are issued: preference shares and equity shares.
Rights Issue/ Rights Shares
Bonus Shares
Preferred Stock/ Preference shares
Cumulative Preference Shares
Risk, in traditional terms, is viewed as a ‘negative’. Webster’s dictionary, for instance, defines
risk as “exposing to danger or hazard”. The Chinese symbols for risk, reproduced below, give
a much better description of risk
The first symbol is the symbol for “danger”, while the second is the symbol for
“opportunity”, making risk a mix of danger and opportunity.
Types of Risk
Systematic risk Interest Rate Risk 1. Price Risk 2.Reinvestment Rate Risk Market risk Inflation Risk (Purchasing Power Risk)
Unsystematic risk Business risk
Financial Risk
Operational Risk
Types of Risk in finance
Systematic Risk
Interest Rate Risk
Price Risk
Reinvestment Risk
Market RiskInflationary
Risk
Demand inflation risk
Cost inflation risk
Unsystematic Risk
Business Risk Financial RiskOperational
Risk
returns are greater than the rate of inflation.
An investor will look forward to getting compensated by way of an expected return based on
3 factors -
Risk involved
Duration of investment [Time value of money]
Expected price levels [Inflation]
Investors make investment with the objective of earning some tangible benefit
Low risk leads to low returns. For instance,
incase of government securities, while the rate of return is low, the risk of defaulting is also
low.
High risks lead to higher potential returns, but may also lead to higher losses
Rate of return on an investment cal be calculated using the following formula-
Return = (Amount received - Amount invested) / Amount invested
A direct correlation exists between risk and return and is illustrated in Figure. The greater the
risk, the greater is the potential return. However, investing in securities with the greatest
return and, therefore, the greatest risk can lead to financial ruin if everything does not go
according to plan.
Understanding the risks pertaining to the different investments is of little consequence unless
you’re aware of your attitude toward risk. How much risk you can tolerate depends on many
factors, such as the type of person you are, your investment objectives, the dollar amount of
your total assets, the size of your portfolio, and the time horizon for your investments.
In the recent past the market has reached great heights as a result of expansion of business
and much more of globalization, the increased percentage of Foreign Direct Investment
which has a direct affect on the demand and supply of the shares of a particular company. In
this way the index of the stock market has reached to the maximum. With the boom in the
market there are many investors who are willing to take more risk and so to cover the risk.
Financial sector is booming and the need for Risk-Return Analysis is growing. Also because
of the very tricky stock market behaviors it has become mandatory to manage portfolio so as
to reduce the risk while maximizing the returns. Taking into consideration the investor’s
riskreturn
requirements portfolio should be constructed and reviewed regularly.