Risk AssessmentPublic Safety Geoscience Program – Earth Sciences

Sector

Centre for Natural Hazards Research

Nicky Hastings, Bert Struik, Murray Journeay, Malaika Ulmi

Adapt: and co-develop standardized risk assessment methods (Hazus)

Apply: evaluate through case studies

Promote: through knowledge transfer and development of guidelines

Public Safety Geoscience ProgramQuantitative Risk Assessment Project

2

Risk Assessment process3

Hazard – Hazard Potential Scenarios

4

Exposure – Community Asset Inventory

General Building Stock Essential Facilities Transportation Utilities

AGRICULTURE

VEHICLES

Agricultural/Vehicles

5

Vulnerability

Damage Functionality

HAZUS is a powerful risk assessment software for analyzing potential losses from earthquake, hurricane wind, flood, storm surge, tsunami.

6

Estimation of Losses (risks)

WHERE were community assets damaged?

WHAT could be the hospital and shelter needs and WHERE?

WHAT is the cost of the event in $’s in building and Business losses?

HOW long will it take to recover from the event?

WHERE do vulnerable populations need social services?

7

Loss visualization tools for Risk Decision makers

Please approve my

development permit to build

a house

Please approve my

development permit to build

a house

Please show me where to focus my emergency response and social services

Please show me where to focus my emergency response and social services

Compare loss alternatives

Visualize losses in Emergency Management tool

Permitting officersand land use plannersdevelop and use risk profiles to recommendsafe development

Emergency ManagersAnd support staff Develop and interpretLoss models to guide response

8

Collaboration and support

Federal Geospatial Platform

National Emergency Management System (NEMS)

MASAS

All Hazards Risk Assessment framework

Canadian Disaster Database

9

example of geospatial portals…http://fema.maps.arcgis.com/home/

10

Washington state seismic catalogshttps://fortress.wa.gov/dnr/seismicscenarios/

11

Questions?

Nicky HastingsNicky HastingsNatural Resources CanadaNatural Resources Canada605 Robson St, 605 Robson St, Vancouver, BCVancouver, BCnhasting@nrcan.gc.ca

12