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RIT-CIMS/USDOT E-85 Fuel Economy Study January 2011

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RIT-CIMS/USDOT E-85 Fuel Economy Study January 2011 Brian Duddy Senior Program Manager RIT – CIMS 585 -475- 2262 [email protected]
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Page 1: RIT-CIMS/USDOT E-85 Fuel Economy Study January 2011

RIT-CIMS/USDOTE-85 Fuel Economy Study

January 2011

Brian DuddySenior Program ManagerRIT – CIMS585 -475- [email protected]

Page 2: RIT-CIMS/USDOT E-85 Fuel Economy Study January 2011

Rochester Institute of TechnologyCenter for Integrated Manufacturing Studies (CIMS)

E85 Fuel Economy Study

• Program Background

• Study Objectives

• E85 Study Fleet Vehicles

• Fuel Mileage Data Collection

• Fuel Mileage Results

• Issues

• Q and A

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Page 3: RIT-CIMS/USDOT E-85 Fuel Economy Study January 2011

RIT CIMS Alt Fuel Program Background

• The E85 project is part of a larger program to study the application and impact of alternative fuels on the US transportation enterprise.

• Work is sponsored by a grant from US DOT in November 2007, finishing in 2011.

• The wider DOT study encompasses ethanol (both E20 and E85), biodiesel blends and hydrogen; along with the technology readiness and life cycle analysis of alternative fuels.

• Includes both fleet studies and laboratory/dynamometer testing.

• Crucial to implementation was partnership with the local county government – Monroe County, NY

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Page 4: RIT-CIMS/USDOT E-85 Fuel Economy Study January 2011

Monroe County / Rochester, NY

• Testing in Monroe County offered unique opportunities and conditions

– 1300 sq. mile region

– Four season testing

• Cold weather starts

• Hot weather soak

– Diverse vehicle set

– Multiple drivers

– Urban and Rural

– City and Highway

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Page 5: RIT-CIMS/USDOT E-85 Fuel Economy Study January 2011

Monroe County Green FleetVehicles running on Ethanol• 300 Conventional Light Duty Vehicles – E20 fueled

• 124 Flex Fuel Vehicles (Impalas, Uplanders) (E20 and E85)

• 100 Sheriff vehicles (FFV, Ford Crown Victoria) (E20 and E85)

Other Alternative Energy Vehicles• 300+ Diesel vehicles (B5 / B20)• 25 hybrids (Silverados, Malibus,

Escapes)• 6 CNG Airport shuttles• Airport ground service equipment,

parks equipment• Hydrogen Fuel Cell Vehicle (GM Project

Driveway)• Propane Pickup Trucks• Green Fueling Station

(B20/E85/E20/Hydrogen/CNG/Propane)

Page 6: RIT-CIMS/USDOT E-85 Fuel Economy Study January 2011

RIT CIMS E85 Study Objectives

• Exhaust emission deltas between E0 and E85 in FFV.

• Impact to vehicle fleets – durability, drivability, maintainability, service life.

• Impact to fuel economy vs. E0 operation.

• Life cycle cost of E85 fuel operations.

• Document supply chain issues with ethanol fuel.

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Page 7: RIT-CIMS/USDOT E-85 Fuel Economy Study January 2011

RIT/MC E85 Flex Fuel Vehicle Study Fleet

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• MC has a diverse FFV fleet representing a broad sample of FFV:

15 different FFV models, totaling 124 vehicles.

• 53 sedans, 28 minivans, 43 work trucks/full size vans.

• Most numerous are Chevy Impalas, Uplanders, and Tahoes

• Ford Crown Victoria – sedans and Police models

• These vehicles handle diverse missions and operate in both city and highway driving conditions.

• The county has been using E85 in bulk for over two years.

• County consumes an average of 55K gallons per year of E85 and 230K gallons of E20.

Page 8: RIT-CIMS/USDOT E-85 Fuel Economy Study January 2011

E85 Fuel Mileage Data Collection• Fuel mileage was determined through on-

road data and experimentally.

• On-road MC vehicle data was sorted for dedicated fuel use: 1 calendar year of data on E0, an additional year on E85, minimum of 20 data points per fuel, and same assigned organization for both years/fuels.

• Odometer and fuel volume collected through MC PetroVend fuel control and inventory system.

• Data ported to RIT database for analysis.

• General observations: on-road fuel economy can be greatly impacted by:

– Seasonal variation

– Usage: organization / mission / driver

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Page 9: RIT-CIMS/USDOT E-85 Fuel Economy Study January 2011

E0 vs. E85 Fuel Mileage Results• Practical (On-road) Fleet Data

– 14% average measured reduction in 27 fleet vehicles (Impalas, Silverados, Uplanders, Taurus, Crown Vic- mostly 2007 veh.)

• Theoretical (Fuel Energy)– 26% calculated reduction based on fuel energy.

• Experimental (EPA Fuel Economy-Sticker Value)– Roughly 26% reduction based on measured carbon emissions

during chassis dynamometer FTP testing.

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0 5 10 15

-5% > x ≥ -10%

-10% > x ≥ -15%

-15% > x ≥ -20%

-20% > x ≥ -25%

Number of Vehicles

% F

E R

educ

tion

Average E85 Reduction in FFV On-Road Fuel Economy from E00 Baseline

Fleet Average = -14.0%Total # of Vehicles = 27

Page 10: RIT-CIMS/USDOT E-85 Fuel Economy Study January 2011

Analysis of Fuel Mileage Results• Why is on-road data better than theoretical or

predicted?

• Theory: Knock limit on compression ratio restricts engine performance on gasoline - makes gasoline performance worse, not ethanol “better”

• Supporting data is from Networkcar low speed travel history.

• Vehicles spend significant time in low speed, high load, knock-limited range.

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Page 11: RIT-CIMS/USDOT E-85 Fuel Economy Study January 2011

Use of Networkcar Vehicle Monitoring System

• Some of the study vehicles and a number of other E20/E85 vehicles are equipped with the commercial Networkcarmonitoring system linked into the OBD network.

• System provides GPS location, speed ranges, idle time and alerts when vehicle detects a fault or failure.

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24.2

%

14.5

%

13.5

%

14.4

%

35.2

%

8.5%

30.8

%

23.2

%

16.6

%

23.0

%

20.0

%

42.6

%

18.7

%

29.2

%

55.2

%

55.7

%

57.1

%

64.2

% 64.2

%

49.8

%

54.5

%

61.9

%

52.9

% 61.6

%

60.4

% 46.8

%

74.1

%

51.9

%

20.5

%

29.8

%

29.4

%

21.4

%

0.6%

41.8

%

14.7

%

15.0

%

30.6

%

15.4

%

19.7

%

10.5

%

7.2%

19.0

%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

4442 4540 4542 4543 3562 3675 4029 4030 4066 4075 4126 4137 4140 4230

Vehicle Usage Data from Networkcar

% Highway % Stop & Go % Idle

Page 12: RIT-CIMS/USDOT E-85 Fuel Economy Study January 2011

• Other theories:

– Injector timing? We measured pulse width with MODIS but fuel flow rate consistent with energy content difference – not the likely cause.

– Dyno Test? Drive cycle of the EPA FTP dyno test not optimum for E85 fuel performance. It’s a legacy test for gasoline, not flex fuel vehicles.

– Fuel used in dyno tests? Premium or regular E0?

– Charge cooling effect of ethanol in fuel?

– Higher octane/power level provided by E85 reduces number of situations that require WOT/open loop conditions?

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Analysis of Fuel Mileage Results

Page 13: RIT-CIMS/USDOT E-85 Fuel Economy Study January 2011

Impact of Fuel Economy Results

• Two possible cost relationships – based on theoretical or measured data.

• The difference can influence what drivers will want to buy.– DOE/EIA estimates that only 450,000 of the 7,100,000 flex fuel vehicles on the road in 2008 were

used as alternative-fuel vehicles filling up on E85. (DOE/EIA-0384 (2009), Table 10.5)

• Consumer wants to know “Best Value” for fuel dollar.13

Page 14: RIT-CIMS/USDOT E-85 Fuel Economy Study January 2011

Issues• To implement RFS, US must get more ethanol in the market.

Blend wall of E10 has just about been reached.

• E15 waiver goes further, but wider availability of E85 would help– and when will E15 be available?

• How to get all those 7 Million FFV using E85?

• E85 must be cost competitive with E10-E15 for FFV drivers, considering mileage penalty.

• Further work must be done to help drivers optimize performance on E85, and analyze the “break even point.”

• US must also consider limited subsidies only for higher blends/E85 if oxygenate mandate leads to widespread E10 anyway.

• Expansion of “blender pump” infrastructure will be a benefit to FFV drivers – consumer gets the blender’s credit.

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Page 15: RIT-CIMS/USDOT E-85 Fuel Economy Study January 2011

Questions?

Thank you for your participation!Brian Duddy

Senior Program ManagerRIT – CIMS

Rochester, NY585 -475- [email protected]

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