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NASA Earth-Sun System Science benefits for Society

Transition from Research to Operations:

Plans and Challenges on the Way Forward

Ronald J. BirkApplied Sciences ProgramEarth-Sun System DivisionNASA Science Mission Directorate

September 15, 2005

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Over 6 billion people to serve….

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NASA Observing Spacecraft for Earth-Sun System Research

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Earth System Models

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Integrating Knowledge, Capacity and Systems into Solutions

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Climate Change Science Program

Climate Change Technology Program

Commission on Ocean Policy

Integrated Earth Observation System

Administration plans and policies form a basis for a formal NASA – NOAA Research & Operations Transition Plan

Commercial RemoteSensing Space Policy

NASA Research

Capabilities

NOAA Operational Capabilities

National Plans

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National and NASA Objectives

National Objective 5 – Study the Earth system from space and develop new space-based and related capabilities for this purpose.

NASA Objective 14Advance scientific knowledge of the Earth system through space-based observation, assimilation of new observations, and development and deployment of enabling technologies, systems, and capabilities, including those with potential to improve future operational systems.

NASA Objective 15Explore the Sun-Earth system to understand the Sun and its effects on Earth, the solar system, and the space environmental conditions that will be experienced by human explorers, and demonstrate technologies that can improve future operational systems.

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Future U.S. Operational Systems

NPOESS (2009) GOES-R (2012)

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Operational Global Observing System

( MSG)

POES (NPOESS)

(MTSAT)

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Observing Birth and Intensification of Deadly Cat-5 Hurricane Katrina

Jeff HalversonTRMM Education and Outreach Scientist QuikSCAT Science Team, JPL

Lori Perkins, NASA GSFC

TRMM August 28, 10:25 pm

TRMM Precipitation Radar

TRMM Microwave Imager

QuikSCAT WindsAugust 25, 4:37 AM

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Observations to Knowledge Products“from photons to electrons to neurons”

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Application Focus Areas and Partners

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Joint Management Structure

Transition Management Oversight • Establishes framework for collaboration, sets bilateral policy

and priorities, approves Transition Plan, and oversees implementation • NOAA/J. Kelly • NASA/Mary Cleave

Ad hoc Joint Working Group • Prepares overall Transition Plan, identifies Transition

Capabilities, oversees development of individual implementation plans, and coordinates senior review of implementation plans• NOAA/Gary Davis• NASA/Ron Birk

Transition Capability Teams• Prepares an implementation plan for each identified

Transition Capability

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FRAMEWORK

Document

NASA & NOAA

TRANSITION

PLAN

CAPABILIITY IMPLEMENTATION

PLAN #1 CAPABILITY IMPLEMENTATION

PLAN #2

CAPABILITY IMPLEMENTATION

PLAN #3

CAPABILITY IMPLEMENTATION

PLAN #4

CAPABILITY IMPLEMENTATION

PLAN #5CAPABILITY

IMPLEMENTATION PLAN #6

R&O JWG Documentation

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I.     Framework Document• Establish inventory of potential candidate capabilities• Develop selection criteria• Identify Processes: selections, criteria, management

reviews• Establish common definitions and semantics

II.     Transition Plan • Capture candidate capabilities• Apply criteria to candidates• Select capabilities for development of implementation

plans• Establish approach for CIP teams

III.    Capability Implementation Plans • Develop discrete plans for each capability with dedicated team of

NASA and NOAA representatives

Family of Documents for Research and Operations

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Challenges on the Way Ahead

Systematically transitioning appropriate NASA research results to be adopted to improve future operational systems to serve society

Characterizing uncertainty in model forecasts for weather, climate, and natural hazards

Benefiting from increased data handling capacity to handle volume and range of data from Earth-Sun observatories

Evolving an Earth-Sun System Gateway portal to provide interoperability and access between research results and integrators

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Heritage of Spacecraft Missions transition from Research to Operations

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The legacy in weather systems continues…

NPP (2006)CrIS/ATMS

VIIRSOMPS

Aqua (2002)AIRS, AMSU & MODIS

METOP (2005)IASI/AMSU/MHS & AVHRR

NPOESS (2009)CrIS/ATMS, VIIRS, CMIS,

OMPS & ERBS

Coriolis (2003)WindSat

NWS/NCEP

GSFC/DAO

ECMWF

UKMO

FNMOC

Meteo-France

BMRC-Australia

Met Serv Canada

NWS/NCEP

GSFC/DAO

ECMWF

UKMO

FNMOC

Meteo-France

BMRC-Australia

Met Serv Canada

NWPForecasts

NWPForecasts

NOAA Real-Time Data Delivery TimelineGround Station Scenario

NOAAReal-time

UserC3SC3S IDPSIDPS

Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation

Use of Advanced Sounder Data for ImprovedUse of Advanced Sounder Data for ImprovedWeather Forecasting & Numerical Weather PredictionWeather Forecasting & Numerical Weather Prediction

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Sun-Earth Connection Missions with capabilities for Space Weather

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Sun-Earth Connection Research Question

Solar Sentinel

Solar Dynamics Observatory

(2008)Radiation Belt Mappers(NET 2010)

Ionospheric Mappers

Solar Sentinel

Solar Sentinel(NET 2013)

Geospace Missions

How are the Sun, heliosphere, and planets connected in a single system?

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R&O Transition Timeline

The IBPD Earth-Sun System, Objective 14, states:

14.1 Transfer 30 percent of NASA developed research results and observations to operational Agencies.

Pressing issues include timing and targets of opportunity:

Operations

5-year Mission

OSSE

Budget Support

R&O demo

4 yr Solicitation Cycle

24NASA & NOAA jointly funding NRC studies on improving transition

NPP NPOESSSeaWiFS Terra Aqua

Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation NCEP

Short-term Prediction Research and Transition Center NWS

Ob

serv

atio

nD

ata

As

sim

ACRIMsat SORCE Glory NPOESS

SAGE III AURA NPOESS

Jason OSTM NOAA/EUMETSAT

Landsat 7 LDCM Operational NPOESS

GIFTS* GOES

Tropo Winds TBD

Imaging and Sounding

Solar Irradiance, Ozone, and Aerosols

Ocean Surface Topography

Land Cover/Land Use Change

Tec

hIn Formulation

In operation

Under Development

Atmospheric CompositionUARS AURA TBD

* Canceled flight mission; gleaning technology for GOES-R

Tech Development

NPP

Spacecraft succession plans…

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Extending Data System Architecture

Spacecraft

Data Acquisition

GroundStations

ScienceTeams(SIPS)Polar Ground Stations

EOSDIS ScienceData Systems

(DAACs)

Flight Operations, Data Capture, Initial

Processing & Backup Archive

Data Transport to DAACs

Science Data Processing, Data Mgmt., Data Archive

& Distribution

Distribution, Access, Interoperability &

Reuse

NASA Integrated Services Network (NISN)

Mission Services

Data Processing & Mission

Control

TECHNOLOGY

Research

Education

Value-AddedProviders

InteragencyData Centers

InternationalPartners

EarthSystem Models

BenchmarkingDSSMeasurement

Teams

Tracking & Data Relay

Satellite (TDRS)

WWWIP

Internet

DataPools

EarthSystem Models

REASoNs

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Transitioning Capabilities ofEarth-Sun System Models

DRYDRY

DRY

WARM

VERY WET

WET

WET

WETVERYDRY

COLDCOLD

JCSDA

27Budget Authority in $ Millions

FY 2005 FY 2006 FY 2007 FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010SCIENCE 5,527.2 5,476.3 5,960.3 6,503.4 6,853.0 6,797.6

Solar System Exploration 1,858.1 1,900.5 2,347.7 2,831.9 2,999.0 3,066.2 Discovery 180.6 168.7 219.2 301.5 319.7 334.2 New Frontiers 210.8 158.6 157.7 162.6 259.4 259.0 Technology 130.7 95.7 129.3 128.0 129.1 130.4 Deep Space Mission Systems (DSMS) 257.7 257.4 251.6 260.6 267.7 273.4 Solar System Research 345.2 362.5 370.2 374.3 374.8 381.8 Mars Exploration 681.1 723.1 943.5 1,233.4 1,232.0 1,260.2 Robotic Lunar Exploration 52.0 134.6 276.1 371.4 416.2 427.0

The Universe 1,513.2 1,512.2 1,531.5 1,539.4 1,495.0 1,406.7 Navigator 233.7 199.4 246.6 394.5 432.1 434.1 James Webb Space Telescope 311.8 371.6 372.5 328.6 227.0 189.4 Hubble Space Telescope 215.7 190.7 218.3 143.2 170.2 95.0 Stratospheric Observatory Infrared Astronomy 50.9 48.3 57.1 59.4 60.2 60.4 GLAST 107.0 99.4 66.8 24.0 19.3 25.8 Discovery 125.5 117.9 76.5 16.8 13.6 14.5 Explorer 82.0 100.8 76.1 59.4 11.7 9.5 Universe Research 331.6 315.7 311.5 309.2 302.8 296.4 International Space Science Collaboration 13.3 13.0 22.2 39.8 38.4 34.1 Beyond Einstein 41.8 55.5 83.9 164.5 219.6 247.4

Earth-Sun System 2,155.8 2,063.6 2,081.2 2,132.2 2,359.0 2,324.8 Earth Systematic Missions 300.5 181.9 165.7 198.8 240.8 162.7 Living with a Star 202.5 234.0 241.0 225.3 292.0 294.8 Solar Terrestrial Probes 100.3 78.8 94.8 140.8 125.1 128.4 Explorer Program 103.6 117.1 106.8 137.3 208.6 197.2 Earth System Science Pathfinder 107.9 135.5 166.2 114.7 203.5 232.3 Earth-Sun Multi-Mission Operations 334.3 268.3 269.5 277.1 280.4 285.7 Earth-Sun Research 818.6 845.1 815.7 811.8 798.8 802.5 Applied Sciences 43.5 52.2 51.5 50.8 48.9 54.3 Education and Outreach 22.9 23.3 23.4 23.8 25.4 27.6 Earth-Sun Technology 121.8 127.4 146.6 151.8 135.6 139.3

Science Program Budget Summary

$82.6

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Intellectual Leadership