ROUTE 128 & INTERSTATE 495 SUBURBAN OFFICEMARKET REPORT
SECOND QUARTER 2018
NEGATIVE ABSORPTION DOESN’T TELL WHOLE STORY Greater Boston’s suburban office and lab market encompasses over 125 million square feet and consists of eight major submarkets concentrated along Route 128 and Interstate 495. Immense pressure across the Boston and Cambridge markets has caused tenants to consider suburban locations for rent relief and future growth opportunities. Most recently, the demand for lab space has begun to gain significant momentum across the suburbs. Markets with existing critical mass including Waltham, Lexington and Watertown are the preferred locations.
Looking forward, strong regional macroeconomic indicators coupled with strengthening regional demographics have the Greater Boston suburban real estate market positioned for future growth. Over the next 12 months, watch as both investors and tenants acknowledge the growing spread between Downtown pricing and the suburbs and the market adjusts accordingly.
3.5%MAY
MASSACHUSETTS UNEMPLOYMENT
3.8%MAY
NATIONAL UNEMPLOYMENT
# $2.6BMA QUARTERLY
VC FUNDING (Q1)
2ND
NATIONALLY IN QUARTERLY (Q1)
VC FUNDING
MARKET TRENDS
VACANCY RATE TO 12.5%Strong demand across submarkets as relief
for Downtown/Cambridge
CONTEMPORARY UPGRADES
Landlords must adapt and keep common areas & lobbies fresh
CREATING A SENSE OF PLACE
Open layouts, collaborative environments & unique amenities
LOCATION IS NOT FORGOTTEN
Highway access, public transit & parking remain paramount
TENANTS FAVOR CREATIVE OFFICE
Creating the Downtown feel in a suburban setting
INVESTMENT SALES REBOUND
Watch for a busy year in the suburbs
ASKING RATES RISE AGAIN
Inner suburban markets accelerate growth, outer markets steady
$18.00
$19.50
$21.00
$22.50
$24.00
$25.50
$27.00
$28.50
$30.00
Average Asking Rate
YTD2018201720162015201420132012 2011201020096.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
16.0%
18.0%
20.0%
22.0%
Direct Vacancy (%)
$16.00
$17.00
$18.00
$19.00
$20.00
$21.00
$22.00
$23.00
$24.00
Average Asking Rate
YTD201820172016201520142013201220112010200912.0%
13.0%
14.0%
15.0%
16.0%
17.0%
18.0%
19.0%
20.0%
Direct Vacancy (%)
CLASS AASKING RATE VS. DIRECT VACANCY
CLASS BASKING RATE VS. DIRECT VACANCY
DIRECT VACANCY RATE BY SUBMARKET
0.0% 4.0% 8.0% 12.0% 16.0% 20.0%
Inner Suburbs
Route 3 North
128 West
495 South
128 North
128 South
Mass Pike
495 Northeast
Route 2 West
SUBMARKET AVERAGE ASKING RATES
495 North$20.05/SF
Rte-3 North$21.49/SF
I-495/Mass Pike$21.06/SF
495 South$20.03/SF
Rte-2 West$19.92/SF
128 West$33.01/SF
128 North$27.11/SF
128 South$22.59/SF
CLASS A & B OFFICEROUTE 128
#11.1% DIRECT VACANCY
2.4% SUBLEASE AVAILABILITY
#16.2% TOTAL AVAILABILITY
(363,500) SF 12-MONTH ABSORPTION
#$28.28/SF AVERAGE ASKING RATE
• Despite this quarter’s negative absorption, the market remains extremely healthy with an 11.!% vacancy rate and continued asking rate growth. Following Reebok’s relocation into the Seaport and their subsequent vacancy of roughly 500,000 leasable square feet at their former Canton headquarters, the market took a dip. When this one single event is removed, total market absorption swings to nearly positive 150,000 square feet. Given the wealth of on-site amenities, excellent highway access and newer construction, Reebok’s former campus will likely be re-absorbed within 18-24 months.
• The suburban lab market posted a busy second quarter. In Waltham, The Davis Companies landed Alkermes for a 220,000 square foot build to suit at 900 Winter Street. A couple exits north in Lexington, two large leases were signed at the formerly fully vacant 65 Hayden Avenue. In a relocation from neighboring Ledgemont Center, Concert Pharmaceuticals signed a long term 55,500 square feet lease. Joining them at the property is Kaleido Biosciences who will shift their headquarters down from Bedford into 78,000 square feet at 65 Hayden Avenue. The Hayden Research Campus is now nearly fully leased and rumors suggest the ownership team is looking closely at developing an additional 200,000+ square feet on campus.
• The Waltham office market remained very active following last quarter’s announcement that Boston Properties landed Simpson Gumpertz & Herger’s 100,000 square foot requirement at the under construction 20 City Point. The first lease was executed at The Post when Deciphera Pharmaceuticals announced their relocation from 10 City Point into 44,000 square feet at the newly redeveloped facility. Despite securing the office requirement, The Post remains actively marketing to lab and tech users in addition to creative office requirements.
• The southern Route 128 market continued gaining ground, however the pace of asking rate growth has not kept up with the west and north markets. Campanelli landed their first tenant at 100 TECH in Stoughton where the south shore operator implemented an expansive revitalization program. Collegium Pharmaceuticals, currently located at 780 Dedham Street in Canton, signed a 50,700 lease at the newly repositioned property.
NOTABLE RECENT LEASES
CLASS A & B OFFICE/LABROUTE 128
ADDRESS TOWN SUBMARKET TENANT SF
900 Winter Street Waltham 128 West Alkermes* 220,000
400 Rivers Edge Medford Inner Suburbs Agero 115,000
65 Hayden Avenue Lexington 128 West Kaleido Biosciences* 78,000
65 Hayden Avenue Lexington 128 West Concert Pharmaceuticals* 55,500
100 Technology Way Stoughton 128 South Collegium Pharmaceuticals 50,700
200 Smith Street Waltham 128 West Deciphera Pharmaceuticals 44,000
500 Rivers Ridge Norwood 128 South Corbus Pharmaceuticals* 32,000
117 Kendrick Street Needham 128 West Warner Brothers 30,000
275 Second Avenue Waltham 128 West Visterra* 27,000
One Cabot Road Medford Inner Suburbs iHeartRadio 21,500
65 Hayden Avenue Lexington 128 West Accent Therapeutics* 15,200
63 Kendrick Street Needham 128 West Schernecker Property Service 10,050
200 Boston Avenue Medford Inner Suburbs enEvolv 10,000
800 South Street Waltham 128 West Green Elm Capital 8,350
$17.00
$19.00
$21.00
$23.00
$25.00
$27.00
$29.00
$31.00
$33.00
YTD201820172016201520142013201220112010200920083.0%
6.0%
9.0%
12.0%
15.0%
18.0%
21.0%
24.0%
27.0%
YTD20182017201620152014201320122011201020092008
AVERAGE DIRECT VACANCY BY SUBMARKET
AVERAGE ASKING RATE BY SUBMARKET
West South North
*lab transaction
RECENT INVESTMENT
SALES
Reebok Campus, Canton $88,000,000 ($130/RSF)
Buyer: Spear Street
91 Hartwell Avenue, Lexington$22,200,000 ($186/RSF)
Buyer: ASB Capital/Lincoln Property Co
One Edgewater Drive, Norwood$12,000,000 ($132/RSF)Buyer: Casey & Hayes
91 Hartwell Avenue Lexington
67 South Bedford, Burlington$55,000,000 ($314/RSF)
Buyer: Carlyle
Reebok Campus Canton
67 South Bedford Burlington
One Edgewater Drive Norwood
CLASS A & B OFFICE INTERSTATE 495
14.9% DIRECT VACANCY
1.7% SUBLEASE AVAILABILITY
19.6% TOTAL AVAILABILITY
(39,350) SF 12-MONTH ABSORPTION
#$20.71/SF AVERAGE ASKING RATE
• Quarterly performances were mixed across I-495’s submarkets with the net result leading to just under 75,000 square feet of net positive quarterly absorption which lowered the average vacancy rate ten basis points to 14.9%. Generally speaking, I-495 offers less volatility than its more urban counterparts by historically maintaining a 12-18% vacancy rate with average rents in the high teens to mid $20’s per square foot.
•
• The Route 3 North corridor, which houses some of I-495’s premier technology & defense tenants, recorded strong quarterly activity in Tewksbury and Billerica. L3 Communications will reportedly take down the entire 140,000 square foot building at One Radcliff Road in Tewksbury. ClearMotion announced it will move its corporate headquarters from Woburn to a currently vacant 122,000 square foot office R&D building at 805 Middlesex Turnpike in Billerica.
•
• Several leases were signed in the Mass Pike submarket. At 35 Parkwood Drive, a formerly vacant EMC building, ownership has nearly completed their leasing campaign after signing Spring Bank Pharmaceuticals to a 29,850 square foot lease. At 144 Turnpike Road in Southborough, Alliance Health signed a 7,500 square foot lease and AnchorOps committed to 10,700 square feet. A couple exits north in Hudson, D3 Graphics signed a 9,200 square foot lease at 399 River Road.
•
• The forecast for the Interstate 495 market remains bright particularly as interior suburban locations become more congested and expensive. Across the board, tenants are more real estate conscience than ever before and face the challenge of keeping costs in check while cultivating corporate culture that retains and attracts top talent.
CLASS A & B OFFICEINTERSTATE 495
NOTABLE RECENT LEASES
$15.00
$16.00
$17.00
$18.00
$19.00
$20.00
$21.00
$22.00
$23.00
Mass PikeSouthNortheast
YTD20182017201620152014201320122011201020092008 6.0%
9.5%
13.0%
16.5%
20.0%
23.5%
27.0%
30.5%
34.0%
Mass PikeSouthNortheast
YTD20182017201620152014201320122011201020092008
AVERAGE DIRECT VACANCY BY SUBMARKET
AVERAGE ASKING RATE BY SUBMARKET
Northeast South Mass Pike
ADDRESS TOWN SUBMARKET TENANT SF
125 Middlesex Turnpike Bedford Route 3 North Novanta 147,400
One Radcliff Road Tewksbury Route 3 North L3 Communication 140,000
805 Middlesex Avenue Billerica Route 3 North ClearMotion 122,000
100 Brickstone Square Andover 495 Northeast Aras Corporation 66,300
35 Parkwood Drive Hopkinton 495 Mass Pike Spring Bank Pharma 29,850
300 Apollo Drive Chelmsford Route 3 North HCL America 29,050
One Cabot Road Hudson 495 Mass Pike Vision Government Services 16,000
132 Turnpike Road Southborough 495 Mass Pike Virtusa Corporation 12,000
399 River Road Hudson 495 Mass Pike D3 Graphics 9,200
3 Speen Street Natick 495 Mass Pike DTR Advertising 8,000
144 Turnpike Road Southborough 495 Mass Pike Alliance Health 7,500
35 New England Business Andover 495 Northeast Encompass Home Health 5,100
RECENT INVESTMENT
SALES 295 Foster StreetLittleton
15 Pleasant Street Framingham
250 Apollo Drive Chelmsford
150 Minuteman Road Andover
150 Minuteman Road, Andover$32,000,000 ($285/RSF)Buyer: Bentall Kennedy
250 Apollo Drive, Chelmsford$11,000,000 ($77/RSF)Buyer: Atsco Footwear
15 Pleasant Street, Framingham$4,410,000 ($68/RSF)
Buyer: AMERCO
295 Foster Street, Littleton$4,900,000 ($51/RSF)
Buyer: SSP Realty
OFFICE REPORT STATS
Office Total Inventory (SF)
Direct Vacancy
Sublease Availability
Total Availability
Quarterly Absorption (SF)
12 Month Absorption (SF)
Average Asking Rate
TOTAL A&B
Inner Suburbs 5,033,800 7.8% 2.0% 12.9% 21,650 127,700 $37.38
ROUTE 128 59,859,100 11.1% 2.4% 16.2% (805,400) (363,550) $28.28
128 West 24,692,950 8.9% 3.2% 15.3% (75,050) 69,800 $33.01
128 North 18,401,950 11.4% 1.4% 14.6% (100,050) (109,150) $27.11
128 South 16,764,150 14.1% 2.4% 19.5% (630,250) (324,150) $22.59
INTERSTATE 495 42,364,050 14.9% 1.7% 19.6% 74,950 (39,350) $20.71
495 Mass Pike West 19,041,750 15.6% 2.8% 21.8% 99,300 (121,350) $21.06
495 Route 2 West 6,609,750 19.1% 0.5% 22.7% (30,850) (47,250) $19.92
495 Northeast 5,721,550 17.4% 1.0% 19.5% (63,500) 60,150 $20.05
Route 3 North 6,718,450 8.8% 1.5% 12.5% 30,450 (35,150) $21.49
495 South 4,272,600 11.2% 0.1% 16.0% 39,550 104,250 $20.03
TOTAL 107,256,950 12.5% 2.1% 17.4% (708,750) (275,200) $25.72
CLASS A
Inner Suburbs 2,751,750 5.3% 3.5% 11.6% 4,050 70,450 $38.08
ROUTE 128 36,953,350 11.0% 2.9% 16.7% (751,650) (220,600) $31.60
128 West 15,180,950 7.9% 3.7% 14.8% (129,950) 144,050 $37.53
128 North 12,145,250 11.2% 1.7% 15.0% (97,850) (1,000) $29.75
128 South 9,627,150 15.5% 3.2% 21.9% (523,800) (363,800) $24.58
INTERSTATE 495 22,709,650 13.7% 2.9% 19.3% 127,050 (144,800) $21.94
495 Mass Pike West 11,595,400 15.2% 4.2% 22.4% 99,650 (144,650) $22.04
495 Route 2 West 2,649,250 10.8% 1.2% 13.8% (34,350) (16,650) $21.38
495 Northeast 3,173,500 19.0% 1.7% 22.6% 33,950 (13,350) $20.92
Route 3 North 3,699,850 5.9% 2.3% 9.7% 21,400 34,100 $23.61
495 South 1,591,650 14.4% 0.0% 21.1% 6,250 (4,300) $20.33
TOTAL 62,414,750 11.7% 2.9% 17.4% (620,550) (295,050) $28.37
CLASS B
Inner Suburbs 2,282,050 10.8% 0.3% 14.4% 17,650 57,250 $36.79
ROUTE 128 22,905,750 11.5% 1.7% 15.5% (53,750) (142,950) $25.04
128 West 9,512,000 10.6% 2.3% 16.0% 54,950 (74,250) $29.10
128 North 6,256,700 11.8% 0.9% 13.9% (2,250) (108,350) $23.31
128 South 7,137,050 12.3% 1.5% 16.1% (106,450) 39,650 $21.14
INTERSTATE 495 19,654,450 16.3% 0.4% 19.9% (52,050) 105,550 $19.54
495 Mass Pike West 7,446,400 16.2% 0.8% 20.8% (500) 23,300 $19.80
495 Route 2 West 3,960,450 24.7% 0.0% 28.6% 3,450 (30,550) $19.40
495 Northeast 2,548,050 15.4% 0.2% 15.6% (97,450) 73,550 $18.57
Route 3 North 3,018,650 12.4% 0.5% 15.9% 9,050 (69,250) $19.54
495 South 2,680,950 9.3% 0.1% 12.9% 33,350 108,550 $19.95
TOTAL 44,842,250 13.5% 1.0% 17.3% (88,250) 19,850 $23.22
Lincoln Property Company | 53 State Street, 8th Floor, Boston, MA | 617.951.4100 | LPCBoston.com
Lincoln Property Company’s Boston Office Report is produced by the Boston Office’s research team in collaboration with our Suburban Brokerage Group. If you have any questions regarding market conditions and the information found in this report, please contact Ethan Robert.
ETHAN ROBERTDirector of Research O: 617.951.4160 [email protected]
MARY PATALITAAssociate O: 617.951.4119 [email protected]