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Demo-Version
Russia: Cast Iron
Market
Analysis and Forecast to 2017
February 2013
Marketing Research
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Market Research Russia: Cast Iron Market. February 2013 (Demo-version)
Brief Overview
The report on the Russian cast iron market contains:
Analysis and forecast of market dynamics;
Structure of consumption by region;
Analysis of domestic production, market shares of the main market players;
Analysis of exports;
Analysis of factors, influencing the development of the market;
Analysis of raw materials’ base;
Assessment and forecast of market development;
Financial and economic profiles of the leading companies in the industry.
Methodology:
Expert interviews with top managers of the largest players on the market;
Analysis of information, received from the main market participants;
An analysis of statistical information:
o Federal Service of State Statistics (Rosstat);
o The Federal Customs Service (FTS);
o The Ministry of Economic Development;
o The Federal Tax Service;
o Industry associations.
The report on the Russian cast iron market contains information on the following
commodity groups:
Pig iron;
Foundry pig.
The report will allow you to:
1. Identify key indicators of the market, build your own business forecasts, based on
market data;
2. Evaluate the growth potential and threats in the market.
Key figures presented in the report on the Russian cast iron market:
Volumes of production, exports and imports;
Indicators of market development;
Consumption indicators.
The report contains 162 pages, 37 Tables, and 47 Figures.
Page 3 from 22 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
Market Research Russia: Cast Iron Market. February 2013 (Demo-version)
The report contains the consensus market forecast based on the average value of the
forecasts of market participants. As market experts are considered: manufacturers,
importers, wholesale distributors, high-volume consumers, professional associations and
unions, and trade publications. The experts, participating in the survey, are provided with
special conditions on the purchase of the reports.
Page 4 from 22 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
Market Research Russia: Cast Iron Market. February 2013 (Demo-version)
Why People Choose Us
• We have been professionals in marketing research for over 9 years, and have
completed over 1000 industry studies which are updated on a regular basis.
• We collect data via expert interviews with market participants. Industry experts
verify all secondary information used in the report.
• We have an extensive database of economic information in almost every sector of
the economy. Cross-analysis of related industries enables our clients to get a
complete picture of the market of interest.
• Our own research methodology guarantees the consistently high quality of our work.
• We offer unique and individualized customer service:
o Personal account on the website with a personal manager;
o Monitoring of the status of your order online;
o Pre-sale specialist advice and answers to post-purchase questions.
• We offer special conditions for the actualization of our research reports. If interested,
find out about these conditions from our specialists now!
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Market Research Russia: Cast Iron Market. February 2013 (Demo-version)
Research Design
The purpose of the study is to analyze the state of the Russian cast iron market and build a
forecast of the industry in the medium term.
Geography of the research: Russia
Methodology
1. Analysis of secondary market data:
Secondary data refers to data from the Internet (industry portals, competitors’ sites,
shopping sites, articles and reviews, reference materials), specialized publications, state and
private media companies, marketing agencies, commercial databases, “IndexBox
Marketing” own research.
2. Analysis of Materials from Market Participants (price lists, brochures, etc.):
Data collection from market participants is needed to analyze the specifics of the market
and the parties involved in it, their pricing and assortment policy. Data on market
participants is gathered during the analysis of secondary information, and also by sending
requests for price lists and other presentation materials.
3. Expert Interviews with Market Participants
The analysis of secondary information is completed by expert interviews with
representatives of market participant companies – manufacturers and trading companies.
Our approach to the estimation
The consensus market forecast is the average value of the forecasts of market participants
(experts).
Experts
As market experts are considered: manufacturers, importers, wholesale distributors, high-
volume consumers, professional associations and unions, and trade publications. Expert
opinions are collected during telephone interviews conducted by IndexBox on a regular
basis (the standard is every six months, but can be more often, based on a special request
or under conditions of high volatility in the market). IndexBox has created an extensive
database of experts within key industries. The experts, participating in the survey, are
provided with special conditions on the purchase of the reports.
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Market Research Russia: Cast Iron Market. February 2013 (Demo-version)
Accuracy of forecasts
The accuracy of forecasts is verified by experts in the given industry, based on the historical
period (3 years). In accordance with this accuracy, each expert weighs out the forecasts to
create the overall average forecast
Indicators
1. Consumption: Consumption is the main index estimated by our experts and features
the dynamics of consumption in real terms in the short to medium term. Experts give
an estimate of the potential volume of consumption in accordance with their
expectations and production plans (for manufacturers).
2. Internal production: It is based on the projected volume of consumption and production
capacity in any given industry, assessing, of course, and factoring in the dynamics of
domestic production.
3. Imports and Exports: Takes into account the retrospective dynamics of export-import
operations, strengths and weaknesses of the domestic production, changes in
legislation, the macroeconomic situation in the countries of the supplier (beneficiary) of
a product, an assessment of the dynamics of imports and exports.
Page 7 from 22 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
Market Research Russia: Cast Iron Market. February 2013 (Demo-version)
Table of Contents 1. Executive summary
2. Research design
3. Classification of cast iron
4. Characteristics of raw materials’ base
5. Technology of production of cast iron
6. Characteristics of the Russian cast iron market
6.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian cast iron market in 2008 – 2012. Forecast for
2013 - 2017 (base scenario)
6.2. Structure of the cast iron market: production, exports, imports, consumption
7. Characteristics of the domestic production of cast iron
7.1. Volume and dynamics of the production of cast iron in 2007 -2012
7.2. Structure of the cast iron production by types in 2007 - 2012
7.3. Structure of the cast iron production by regions and Federal Districts of the Russian
Federation
7.3.1. Structure of the pig iron production by regions and Federal Districts of the
Russian Federation
7.3.2. Structure of the foundry pig production by regions and Federal Districts of the
Russian Federation
7.4. Production capacities and their level of loading
7.5. Level of concentration of production
7.6. Main manufacturers of cast iron and their corresponding shares
7.6.1. OJSC "Novolipetskiy Metallurgy Factory "
7.6.2. OJSC "Magnitogorsk Metallurgy Factory "
7.6.3. OJSC “Severstal”
7.6.4. OJSC "EVRAZ United West-Siberian Metallurgy Factory "
7.6.5. OJSC "EVRAZ Нижнетагильский металлургический комбинат"
7.6.6. OJSC "Chelyabinsk Metallurgy Factory"
7.6.7. OJSC "Ural Steel"
8. Characteristics of prices of cast iron
8.1. Cost structure of iron
8.2. Dynamics of manufacturers’ prices of pig iron
8.3. Dynamics of manufacturers’ prices of foundry pig
9. Volume and dynamics of the foreign trade operations on the cast iron market in
2008 - 2012
10. Characteristics of the Russian exports of cast iron
10.1. Structure of the exports by type of cast iron
10.2. Volume and dynamics of the exports of cast iron
10.3. Recipient countries of the Russian exports of cast iron
10.4. Manufacturing companies, supplying cast iron for exports
10.5. Sending regions of the Russian exports of cast iron
11. Factors, influencing the development of the cast iron market in Russia
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Market Research Russia: Cast Iron Market. February 2013 (Demo-version)
11.1. Social economic situation in the Russian Federation in 2009 - 2012
11.2. Development of the metallurgical industry
12. Characteristics of the consumption of cast iron
12.1. Volume and dynamics of the consumption of cast iron in 2008 – 2012. Forecast for
2013 - 2017
12.2. Volume and structure of the consumption of cast iron by Federal Districts of the
Russian Federation
12.3. Balance between production and consumption of cast iron
13. Forecast for the development of the cast iron market in 2013 - 2017
13.1. Preconditions for the development of the Russian economy
13.2. Scenarios for development of the world economy
13.3. Scenarios for development of the cast iron market
List of the used sources of information
Appendix1. Large-scale tables
Appendix2. Financial and economic indicators of the industry
Appendix3. Profiles of the leading manufacturers
• OJSC "NLMK”
• OJSC "MMK"
• OJSC "SEVERSTAL"
• OJSC "EVRAZ ZSMK "
• OJSC "EVRAZ NTMK "
• OJSC "CHMK"
• OJSC "TULACHERMET"
• OJSC "URAL STEEL"
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Market Research Russia: Cast Iron Market. February 2013 (Demo-version)
List of tables
Table 1. Key indicators on the cast iron market in 2010 - 2012
Table 2. Chemical composition of pig iron by GOST 805-95
Table 3. Chemical composition of foundry pig by brands by GOST 4832-95
Table 4. Chemical composition of foundry pig – brands: PF1, PF2, PF3 by GOST 805-95
Table 5. Chemical composition of foundry pig – brands PVK1, PVK2, PVK3 by GOST 805-95
Table 6. Classification of cast iron by OKVED
Table 7. Classification of cast iron by TN VED
Table 8. Volume and dynamics of the cast iron market in 2008 - 2012 and forecast until
2017, in thousands of tons
Table 9. Production of cast iron в 2007 - 2012, in thousands of tons
Table 10. Volume of production of cast iron by types in 2010 - 2012, in thousands of tons
Table 11. Volume of production of pig iron by Federal Districts and regions of the Russian
Federation in 2010 - 2012, in thousands of tons
Table 12. Volume of production of foundry pig by Federal Districts and regions of the
Russian Federation in 2010 - 2012, in thousands of tons
Table 13. Average annual production capacity for the manufacturing of cast iron by Federal
Districts of the Russian Federation in 2011, in thousands of tons
Table 14. Usage of the average annual production capacity for the manufacturing of cast
iron in 2005 - 2011 by regions of the Russian Federation, in %
Table 15. Commissioning of production capacities for the manufacturing of cast iron in 2005
- 2009, in thousands of tons
Table 16. Characteristics of the largest manufacturers of pig iron in Russia in 2010 - 2011,
in thousands of tons
Table 17. Characteristics of the largest manufacturers of foundry pig in Russia in 2010, in
thousands of tons
Table 18. Average manufacturers’ prices of pig iron in the Russian Federation in January
2009 - November2012 (without VAT)
Table 19. Average manufacturers’ prices of foundry pig in the Russian Federation in January
2009- November2012 (without VAT)
Table 20. Structure and volume of the foreign trade operations on the cast iron market in
2012
Table 21. Volume of the exports of cast iron by types in 2012
Table 22. Structure of the Russian exports of cast iron by recipient countries in 2012, in
thousands of tons
Table 23. Structure of the Russian exports of cast iron by recipient countries in 2012, in
millions of USD
Table 24. Structure of the Russian exports of cast iron by manufacturing companies in
2012, in thousands of tons
Table 25. Structure of the Russian exports of cast iron by manufacturing companies in
2012, in millions of USD
Table 26. Structure of the Russian exports of cast iron by sending regions in 2012, in
thousands of tons
Table 27. Structure of the Russian exports of cast iron by sending regions in 2012, in
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Market Research Russia: Cast Iron Market. February 2013 (Demo-version)
thousands of USD
Table 28. Volume of consumption of cast iron by Federal Districts of the Russian Federation
in 2008 - 2012, in thousands of tons
Table 29. Forecast for the balance between production and consumption on the cast iron
market in 2012 - 2017, in thousands of tons
Table 30. Forecast for the production, consumption, exports, and imports of cast iron and
other ferro alloys in the metallurgy industry
Table 31. Revenues (net) from the sale of goods and services (excluding VAT, excise duties
and other similar necessary expenses) for the production of cast iron and other ferro alloys,
by size of the organization, in thousands of RUR
Table 32. Revenues (net) from the sale of goods and services (excluding VAT, excise duties
and other similar necessary expenses) for the production of cast iron and other ferro alloys,
by regions of the Russian Federation, in thousands of RUR
Table 33. Commercial expenses for the production of cast iron and other ferro alloys by size
of the organization, in thousands of RUR
Table 34. Management expenses for the production of cast iron and other ferro alloys by
size of the organization, in thousands of RUR
Table 35. Cost of goods sold for the production of cast iron and other ferro alloys by size of
the organization, in thousands of RUR
Table 36. Profit (net) from sales from the production of cast iron and other ferro alloys by
size of the organization, in thousands of RUR
Table 37. Average number of employees for the production of cast iron and other ferro
alloys by regions of the Russian Federation, in people
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Market Research Russia: Cast Iron Market. February 2013 (Demo-version)
List of Figures
Fig. 1. Volume of supply on the cast iron market in 2008 - 2012 and forecast for 2013 -
2017, in thousands of tons (base scenario)
Fig. 2. Volume of supply on the cast iron market in 2008 - 2012 and forecast for 2013 -
2017, in billions of RUR (base scenario)
Fig. 3. Dynamics and structure of the cast iron market in 2008 - 2012 and forecast until
2017, in thousands of tons
Fig. 4. Production of cast iron in 2011 - 2012, in thousands of tons
Fig. 5. Production of cast iron in 2011 - 2012, in %, to the analogical period of the previous
year
Fig. 6. Production of cast iron in 2007 - 2012, in thousands of tons
Fig. 7. Structure of production of pig iron by Federal Districts of the Russian Federation in
2010 - 2012, in physical terms
Fig. 8. Structure of production of foundry pig by Federal Districts of the Russian Federation
in 2010 - 2012, in physical terms
Fig. 9. Average annual production capacity for the manufacturing of cast iron by Federal
Districts of the Russian Federation in 2011, in thousands of tons
Fig. 10. Dynamics of the average annual production capacity for the manufacturing of cast
iron in Russia in 2002 - 2011, in thousands of tons
Fig. 11. Structure of production of pig iron by largest manufacturers in 2010 - 2011, in
physical terms
Fig. 12. Structure of production of foundry pig by largest manufacturers in 2011, in physical
terms
Fig. 13. Dynamics of the production of cast iron by the company OJSC “NLMK” in 2005 -
2012, in thousands of tons
Fig. 14. Dynamics of the production of cast iron by the company OJSC “MMK” in 2005 -
2012, in thousands of tons
Fig. 15. Dynamics of the production of cast iron by the company OJSC “Severstal” in 2005 -
2012, in thousands of tons
Fig. 16. Dynamics of the production of cast iron by the company OJSC “EVRAZ ZSMK” in
2005 - 2011, in thousands of tons
Fig. 17. Dynamics of the production of cast iron by the company OJSC “EVRAZ NTMK” in
2005 - 2011, in thousands of tons
Fig. 18. Dynamics of the production of cast iron by the company OJSC “Chelyabinsk
Metallurgy Factory” in 2005 - 2011, in thousands of tons
Fig. 19. Dynamics of the production of cast iron by the companyOJSC “Ural Steel” in 2005 -
2011, in thousands of tons
Fig. 20. Cost structure of the production of cast iron, in %
Fig. 21. Index of the average manufacturers’ prices of pig iron in the Russian Federation in
January - December 2011
Fig. 22. Index of the average manufacturers’ prices of pig iron in the Russian Federation in
January - November2012
Fig. 23. Dynamics of the average manufacturers’ prices of pig iron in the Russian Federation
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Market Research Russia: Cast Iron Market. February 2013 (Demo-version)
in January 2011 - November2012, deviation in %, to the analogical period of the previous
year
Fig. 24. Comparison of the average manufacturers’ prices of pig iron by Federal Districts, in
November 2012
Fig. 25. Index of the average manufacturers’ prices of foundry pig in the Russian Federation
in January - December 2011
Fig. 26. Index of the average manufacturers’ prices of foundry pig in the Russian Federation
in January - November2012
Fig. 27. Dynamics of the average manufacturers’ prices of foundry pig in the Russian
Federation in January 2011 – November 2012, deviation in %, to the analogical period of
the previous year
Fig. 28. Annual dynamics of the Russian exports of cast iron in the Russian Federation in
2008 - 2012, in thousands of tons
Fig. 29. Dynamics of the Russian imports of cast iron in 2008 - 2012, in thousands of tons
Fig. 30. Volume of the foreign trade operations on the cast iron market in 2008 - 2012, in
thousands of tons
Fig. 31. Structure of the exports of cast iron by types in 2012
Fig. 32. Dynamics of the Russian exports of cast iron in 2011 - 2012, in thousands of tons
Fig. 33. Dynamics of the Russian exports of cast iron in 2011 - 2012, in millions of USD
Fig. 34. Structure of the Russian exports of cast iron by recipient countries in 2012, in
physical terms
Fig. 35. Structure of the Russian exports of cast iron by recipient countries in 2012, in value
terms
Fig. 36. Structure of the Russian exports of cast iron by manufacturing companies in 2012,
in physical terms
Fig. 37. Structure of the Russian exports of cast iron by manufacturing companies in 2012,
in value terms
Fig. 38. Structure of the Russian exports of cast iron by sending regions in 2012, in physical
terms
Fig. 39. Structure of the Russian exports of cast iron by sending regions in 2012, in value
terms
Fig. 40. Quarterly dynamics of the GDP of Russia in 2007 – 3rd quarter of 2012 in 2008
prices, in trillions of RUR
Fig. 41. Dynamics of the GDP of Russia in 2005 – 3rd quarter 2012, in 2008 prices, in
billions of RUR
Fig. 42. Dynamics of consumption of cast iron in the Russian Federation in 2008 - 2017, in
thousands of tons
Fig. 43. Structure of steel production by Federal Districts of the Russian Federation in 2010
-2012, in physical terms
Fig. 44. Balance between production and consumption of cast iron in 2008 - 2017
Fig. 45. Base scenario for the development of the cast iron market in 2013 - 2017, in
thousands of tons
Fig. 46. Conservative scenario for the development of the cast iron market in 2013 - 2017,
in thousands of tons
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Market Research Russia: Cast Iron Market. February 2013 (Demo-version)
Fig. 47. Pessimistic scenario for the development of the cast iron market in 2013 - 2017, in
thousands of tons
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Market Research Russia: Cast Iron Market. February 2013 (Demo-version)
Executive Summary
…
The volume of supply on the Russian cast iron market in 2012 was almost … tons, which is
…% higher than the the same figure for 2011. It should be noted that the volume of
imported products on the cast iron market was …%.
The volume of production of cast iron in 2012 was … tons, which is …% higher than the
volume of production in 2011.
The largest share (…%) of all cast iron manufactured in the Russian Federation in 2012
belongs to the … Federal District.
In 2012, the import volume of cast iron in Russia amounted to … tons in physical terms and
to … thousand USD in value terms.
…
Key figures and
conclusions
about the market
Page 15 from 22 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
Market Research Russia: Cast Iron Market. February 2013 (Demo-version)
6. Characteristics of the Russian cast
iron market
...
6.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian cast iron market in
2007 - 2012. Forecast for 2012 – 2017
The volume of supply on the Russian cast iron market in 2012 was almost … tons, which is
…% higher than the the same figure for 2011. It should be noted that the volume of
imported products on the cast iron market was …% of the total market.
Source: Data (“Rosstat”, “FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)
Fig. 1. Volume of supply on the cast iron market in 2008 - 2012 and forecast
for 2013 -2017, in thousands of tons (base scenario)
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Market Research Russia: Cast Iron Market. February 2013 (Demo-version)
6.2. Structure of the cast iron market in Russia: production,
exports, imports, consumption
The volume of imports of cast iron in 2012 was about … tons, which was …% of the total
market volume. A more detailed analysis of the imports and exports is presented below.
Table 8. Volume and dynamics of the cast iron market in 2008 - 2012 and
forecast until 2017, in thousands of tons
2009 2010 2011F 2012 2013F 2014F 2015F 2016F 2017F
Volume of
production In units
… … … … … … … … …
In %, to the
previous year
…% …% …% …% …% …% …% …%
Volume of exports
In units … … … … … … … … …
In %, to the
previous
year
…% …% …% …% …% …% …% …%
Volume of imports
In units … … … … … … … … …
In %, to
the previous
year
…% …% …% …% …% …% …% …%
Volume of total supply
In units … … … … … … … … …
In %, to
the previous
year
…% …% …% …% …% …% …% …%
Source: Data (“Rosstat”, “FTS”, Expert opinion), Analysis (“IndexBox”)
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Market Research Russia: Cast Iron Market. February 2013 (Demo-version)
7. Characteristics of the domestic
production of cast iron in Russia in
2007 - 2012
…
7.1 Volume and dynamics of cast iron production in 2007 - 2012
In 2011, the volume of production was higher than for the analogical period of the previous
year.
Source: Data (“Rosstat”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)
Fig. 6 Cast iron production in 2007 - 2011, in thousands of tons
Characteristics of domestic production
- Volume and dynamics by type of
product
- Production capacities
- Structure of production
- Main producers and their market shares
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Market Research Russia: Cast Iron Market. February 2013 (Demo-version)
7.6 The main manufacturers of cast iron and their corresponding
market shares
Table 16. Characteristics of the largest manufacturers of pig iron in Russia in 2010
- 2011, in thousands of tons
Manufacturer Region
Production
of cast iron,
in tons
Market
share
… … … …
… … … …
… … … …
… … … …
… … … …
… … … …
OTHERS … …
TOTAL … …
Source: Data (Company data), Analysis (“IndexBox”)
…
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Market Research Russia: Cast Iron Market. February 2013 (Demo-version)
10. Characteristics of the Russian
exports of cast iron 10.2. Volume and dynamics of the Russian exports of cast
iron
…
The volume of Russian exports of cast iron in 2011 was … tons. The largest amount of cast
iron was exported in …, when were exported … tons.
Table 20. Structure and volume of the foreign trade operations on the cast
iron market in 2012
Month Quantity, in thousands of tons In %, to the previous month
January …
February … …%
March … …%
April … …%
May … …%
June … …%
July … …%
August … …%
September … …%
October … …%
November … …%
December … …%
Total …
Source: Data (“FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)
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Market Research Russia: Cast Iron Market. February 2013 (Demo-version)
Source: Data (“FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)
Fig. 32. Dynamics of the Russian exports of cast iron in 2011 - 2012, in thousands
of tons
…
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Market Research Russia: Cast Iron Market. February 2013 (Demo-version)
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Market Research Russia: Cast Iron Market. February 2013 (Demo-version)
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