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    ISSN 1725-2237

    EEA Technical report No 7/2011

    Safe water and healthy water services

    in a changing environment

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    Safe water and healthy water services

    in a changing environment

    EEA Technical report No 7/2011

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    Cover: EEALayout: Rosendahls-Schultz Grafisk

    European Environment AgencyKongens Nytorv 61050 Copenhagen K

    DenmarkTel.: +45 33 36 71 00Fax: +45 33 36 71 99Web: eea.europa.euEnquiries: eea.europa.eu/enquiries

    Legal noticeThe contents of this publication do not necessarily reflect the official opinions of the European Commissionor other institutions of the European Union. Neither the European Environment Agency nor any person orcompany acting on behalf of the Agency is responsible for the use that may be made of the informationcontained in this report.

    Copyright notice EEA, Copenhagen, 2011Reproduction is authorised, provided the source is acknowledged, save where otherwise stated.

    Information about the European Union is available on the Internet. It can be accessed through the Europaserver (www.europa.eu)

    Luxembourg: Publications Office of the European Union, 2011

    ISBN 978-92-9213-213-2ISSN 1725-2237doi:10.2800/78043

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    Contents

    Safe water and healthy water services in a changing environment

    Contents

    Acknowledgements .................................................................................................... 4

    Key messages ............................................................................................................ 5

    1 Introduction .......................................................................................................... 7

    2 Climate change, water and health ......................................................................... 92.1 Climate change ................................................................................................ 92.2 Water and health .............................................................................................10

    3 Current water management policies and extreme events .................................... 173.1 European level ...............................................................................................173.2 National actions ...............................................................................................203.3 Potential institutional barriers at national level .....................................................213.4 Roles of utilities ...............................................................................................22

    4 An overview of the assessment knowledge base ................................................ 234.1 'Assessment of Assessments' .............................................................................234.2 Assessments of water and health .......................................................................234.3 Assessments of climate change and water and health ...........................................254.4 Assessments of water scarcity and drought ........................................................264.5 Assessments of floods ......................................................................................27

    References .............................................................................................................. 28

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    Acknowledgements

    The present report is based on a working paperproduced by the European Environment Agency(EEA) and the Italian Ministry of the Environment,Land and Sea (MATTM) as an input to discussionsat the Fifth Ministerial Environment and HealthConference in Parma in March 2010. After the

    conference, the working paper was subject to reviewand the comments received have been reflected inthe final report.

    Acknowledgements and thanks go to the followingpeople who contributed to this report:

    Michael Asquith, Bo Jacobsen, Dorota Jarosinska,Peter Kristensen, Elisabetta Scialanca,David Stanners (European Environment Agency)

    Luciana Sinisi, ISPRA , Appointed Senior Expert bythe Italian Ministry for Environment Land and Sea.

    Ian Codling, Victoria Bewes, Robert Pitchers,Anne Gendebien, Clare McLaughlin, Steve Nixon(Water Resource Centre).

    Marc Bonazountas, National Technical University ofAthens (review).

    Acknowledgements

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    Key messages

    Safe water and healthy water services in a changing environment

    The present report summarises existing knowledgeof climate change impacts on water services andhealth; the nature and effectiveness of the policyresponse; and the coverage and gaps in existingassessments of these themes.

    The key messages arising from the analysis are asfollows:

    Climate change, water and health

    MillenniumDevelopmentGoal7(MDG7)istohalvetheproportionoftheglobalpopulationwithoutsustainableaccesstosafedrinkingwaterandbasicsanitationby2015.AWHOassessmentin2010findsthataccesstoimprovedwatersources,sanitationandwastewatertreatmenthasincreasedoverthepasttwodecades.However,inmanycountriesineastern

    Europeanregiontheprogressisslow.Morethan50%oftheruralpopulationintencountrieshasnoaccesstoimprovedwater,givingrisetoimportanthealthinequalities.

    ItisimportanttounderstandhowclimatechangeandextremeeventswillaffecttheachievementofMDG7.Drinkingwatersuppliesandsanitationsystemswillhavetobemaderesilienttoclimatechangeanddrinkingwaterandsanitationmustbefullyincorporatedinintegratedwaterresourcemanagement.

    Climatechangeisprojectedtocausemajorchanges

    inyearlyandseasonalprecipitationandwaterflow,floodingandcoastalerosionrisks,waterquality,andthedistributionofspeciesandecosystems.

    Climatechangewillimpactallareasofwaterservicesthequalityandavailabilityofwatersources,infrastructure,andthetypeoftreatmentneededtomeetqualitystandards.Wewillalsoseemorefrequentandseveredroughts,floodingandweatherevents.

    CountriesofeasternEurope,theCaucasusandcentralAsiafacethegreatestthreatstosafewater.Theinfrastructureinmanytownsandruralareasisinpoorconditionandwaterprovisioniserraticandofunsatisfactoryquality.

    Heavyrainfalleventsmayalsoleadtoflooding,especiallyinurbanareas,andthiscanhaveseriousimpactsontheperformanceandefficiencyofwater

    supplyandwastewatertreatmentsystems,whichmaypotentiallyleadtohealthrisks.Waterbornediseasesarisepredominantlyfromcontaminationofwatersuppliesafterheavyrainfallandflooding.

    Lowriverflowsandincreasedtemperaturesduringdroughtsreducedilutionofwastewatereffluent,

    anddrinkingwaterqualitycouldbecompromised,increasingtheneedforextratreatmentofbotheffluentandwatersupplies.

    Water management policies and extremeevents

    WatermanagementpoliciesattheEuropeanandEUlevelarebeingmadeincreasinglyadaptabletoclimatechange,whichshouldhelpsafeguardpublichealthandecosystemservicesinthefuture.

    TherearenumerousguidelinesforthedesignofwaterandhumanhealthpoliciesacrossEurope(e.g.WHO

    guidelinesfordrinkingwaterquality,ProtocolonWaterandHealth,anddraftguidanceonwatersupplyandsanitationinextremeweather).Recentlysuchguidancehasfocusedonhowpoliciesdesignandimplementationmightbeaffectedbyandadaptedtoclimatechangeevents.

    TheWHOVision2030studyassesseshowandwhereclimatechangewillaffectdrinkingwaterandsanitationinthemediumterm,andwhatcanbedonetomaximisetheresilienceofdrinkingwaterandsanitationsystems.

    SeveralexistingEUpoliciesaddresswater

    managementissues(theUrbanWastewaterTreatmentDirective,theWaterFrameworkDirective,FloodsDirectiveandtheEUWaterScarcityandDroughtsStrategy)andothersdealmoredirectlywithpotentialwater-relatedimpactsonhumanhealth(e.g.theDrinkingWaterDirective,andBathingWaterDirective).

    Thereisaclearrecognitionthatclimatechangecreatesaneedforcoherent,sustainable,cross-sectoralpolicyandregulation;sharingofavailabletools;facilitatingmechanismsforpartnershipsandfinancing;andreadinesstooptimiseacrosssectorsduringimplementation.

    Thewaterutilitysectorfacesauniquesetofchallenges.Aprimarychallengewillbeenhancingitscapacitytocopewithclimatechangeimpactsandother

    Key messages

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    Introduction

    Safe water and healthy water services in a changing environment

    1 Introduction

    The present report addresses the topic of safewater and healthy water services in a changingenvironment. It is the product of cooperationbetween the European Environment Agency (EEA)and the Italian Ministry of the Environment, Landand Sea (MATTM) in preparation for the Fifth

    Ministerial Environment and Health Conference inParma in March 2010.

    This report focuses on climate change's effects onwater and ecosystems services, particularly underextreme weather conditions such as flooding anddrought. It covers the European Region of the WorldHealth Organization (WHO) (1) and is based on areview of existing assessments and other literatureconducted by the Water Research Centre, UK,(WRC) during the period November 2009February2010.

    The paper was also prepared as a contribution to the'European Environment Assessment of Assessments'process prior to the 2011 Astana EnvironmentMinisters Conference, which aims to support thedevelopment of a regular process for assessingthe pan-European environment in an effective,streamlined and sustainable manner.

    Safe and healthy water and the threat ofclimate change

    United Nations Millennium Development Goal 7calls on countries to 'Halve, by 2015, the proportionof people without sustainable access to safe drinkingwater and basic sanitation'. Within the context of thisreport, safe water is defined as water of sufficientlyhigh quality that it can be consumed or used withoutrisk of immediate or long-term harm. The focus in

    on human health rather than environmental healthissues.

    Climate variability and change increasinglythreaten the supply of safe water via manmadeinfrastructure, as well as water-related ecosystem

    services (in this report together defined as 'waterservices').

    More intense extreme events are already beingobserved, including heavy rainfall and flooding, andlow flow and drought conditions. These will testwater utilities' infrastructure (2) to the limit, riskingthe failure of water treatment plants, drinking watercontamination and even the breakdown of supplies.It will also affect some of the water services, such asadequate water resources, that we take for grantedtoday, meaning the loss of these 'free' goods.

    As experience shows, most recently on the islandof Madeira in February 2010, the direct human,environmental and economic consequences ofextreme events are potentially very significant.Managing environmental and health threats alsorequires knowledge of the medium- to long-termrecovery of ecosystems, and resilient water suppliesand sanitation from utilities. EU countries haveinvested significantly in infrastructure to managethese threats but climate change induced variationsin the water cycle are impairing their efforts.

    For policymakers and utilities, a number ofquestions stand out:

    To what extent can existing policy and planningmeasures be effective tools to reduce risks arisingfrom climate change?

    (1) The European Region of WHO comprises: Central Asia (Kazakhstan, Kyrgyz Republic, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan);

    European Neighbourhood Policy (ENP) East (Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Moldova, Ukraine); EU-27 (Austria, Belgium,

    Bulgaria, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania,

    Luxemburg, Malta, the Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden and the United Kingdom);

    Iceland, Israel, Monaco, Norway, the Russian Federation, San Marino, Switzerland, Turkey, Western Balkans (Albania, Bosnia and

    Herzegovina, Croatia, Montenegro, Serbia, Slovenia, the former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia). See http://www.euro.who.int/

    AboutWHO/About/MH.

    (2) For abstraction, water treatment, mains water supply, sewerage, wastewater treatment and effluent discharge.

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    Introduction

    8

    What technical and institutional barriers standin the way of improving risk management in achanging environment?

    What practices are already being used to tackle

    and cope with the issues at local, national,EU and international levels?

    Do we have the information to answer thesequestions and if not what type of assessments arerequired to analyse the issue further and keep theproblem under regular review?

    What could be the role of improving synergieswith relevant responsible stakeholders such asutilities managers and technology researchers?

    This report aims to bring these questions to theattention of policymakers and other relevant

    stakeholders to help develop a way forwardwhich can assure supply of safe water and healthyfunctions of water services under a changingclimate.

    Report structure

    The report is structured as follows.

    Chapter 2 sets the scene, giving a summary ofcurrent understanding of how climate change andwater cycle variations affect safe water and healthywater services.

    Chapter 3 overviews and analyses the policylandscape to clarify whether current policies canmeet the needs arising from climate change andidentify gaps and challenges. It also addressesthe role of utilities in making effective adaptationstrategies and analyses existing practices to helpidentify opportunities for better decision-making

    and collaboration.

    Chapter 4 contains an overview of availableassessments and information on the safe water andhealth aspects of climate change. This summary aimsto support policy development and implementation,as well as helping identify knowledge gaps to befilled in the future.

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    Climate change, water and health

    Safe water and healthy water services in a changing environment

    2 Climate change, water and health

    Key messages

    MillenniumDevelopmentGoal7(MDG7)istohalvetheproportionoftheglobalpopulationwithoutsustainableaccesstosafedrinkingwaterandbasicsanitationby2015.AWHOassessmentin2010finds

    thataccesstoimprovedwatersources,sanitationandwastewatertreatmenthasincreasedoverthepasttwodecades.However,inmanycountriesineasternEuropeanregiontheprogressisslow.Morethan50%oftheruralpopulationintencountrieshasnoaccesstoimprovedwater,givingrisetoimportanthealthinequalities.

    ItisimportanttounderstandhowclimatechangeandextremeeventswillaffecttheachievementofMDG7.Drinkingwatersuppliesandsanitationsystemswillhavetobemaderesilienttoclimatechangeanddrinkingwaterandsanitationmustbefullyincorporatedinintegratedwaterresource

    management. Climatechangeisprojectedtocausemajorchanges

    inyearlyandseasonalprecipitationandwaterflow,floodingandcoastalerosionrisks,waterquality,andthedistributionofspeciesandecosystems.

    Climatechangewillimpactallareasofwaterservicesthequalityandavailabilityofwatersources,infrastructure,andthetypeoftreatmentneededtomeetqualitystandards.Wewillalsoseemorefrequentandseveredroughts,floodingandweatherevents.

    CountriesofeasternEurope,theCaucasusandcentralAsiafacethegreatestthreatstosafewater.

    Theinfrastructureinmanytownsandruralareasisinpoorconditionandwaterprovisioniserraticandofunsatisfactoryquality.

    Heavyrainfalleventsmayalsoleadtoflooding,especiallyinurbanareas,andthiscanhaveseriousimpactsontheperformanceandefficiencyofwatersupplyandwastewatertreatmentsystems,whichmaypotentiallyleadtohealthrisks.Waterbornediseasesarisepredominantlyfromcontaminationofwatersuppliesafterheavyrainfallandflooding.

    Lowriverflowsandincreasedtemperaturesduringdroughtsreducedilutionofwastewatereffluent,anddrinkingwaterqualitycouldbecompromised,increasingtheneedforextratreatmentofbotheffluentandwatersupplies.

    2.1 Climate change

    In Europe as a whole, precipitation extremes suchas heavy rain events have become more intense inthe past 50 years and are projected to become morefrequent and severe (EEA/JRC/WHO, 2008).

    Observed data show that droughts and watershortages are longer and more severe indrought-prone regions such as southern and easternEurope, due to decreased rainfall and enhancedevaporation. This trend is likely to continue in thefuture (Figure 2.1).

    Climate change is projected to cause major changesin yearly and seasonal precipitation and water flow,flooding and coastal erosion risks, water quality, andthe distribution of species and ecosystems. Modelsindicate that southern Europe, the Caucasus and

    central Asia will generally show a significant dryingtrend and northern Europe will become wetter(EEA, 2007; EEA/JRC/WHO, 2008).

    In its 2008 report, the Intergovernmental Panel onClimate Change voiced serious concerns regardingwater services in a changing climate:

    Currentwatermanagementpracticesmaynotberobustenoughtocopewiththeimpactsofclimatechangeonwatersupplyreliability,floodrisk,health,agriculture,energyandaquaticecosystems.Inmany

    locations,watermanagementcannotsatisfactorilycopeevenwithcurrentclimatevariability,sothatlargefloodanddroughtdamagesoccur.Asafirststep,improvedincorporationofinformationaboutcurrentclimatevariabilityintowater-relatedmanagementwouldassistadaptationtolonger-termclimatechangeimpacts.Climaticandnon-climaticfactors,suchasgrowthofpopulationanddamagepotential,wouldexacerbateproblemsinthefuture(IPCC, 2008).

    Climate change will impact all areas of waterservices the quality and availability of watersources, infrastructure, and the type of treatmentneeded to meet quality standards. We will also see

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    Climate change, water and health

    10

    more frequent and severe droughts, flooding andweather events.

    In some areas, current practices are unable tomanage effects of hydrologic variability in asatisfactory fashion (EC, 2009; UNECE, 2009a).Unsustainable management has already createdwater shortages in many regions. The balancebetween water demand and availability has reacheda critical level in many areas, such as the centralAsian countries, as a result of over-abstraction and

    prolonged periods of low rainfall or drought.

    Low river flows and increased temperatures duringdroughts reduce dilution of wastewater effluent,and drinking water quality could be compromised,increasing the need for extra treatment of botheffluent and water supplies. Water treatment couldalso be affected.

    Heavy rainfall events can exceed treatment plantcapacity or lead to other infrastructure failures,resulting in increased emissions of pollutantsto receiving waters, with severe short-term

    environmental pollution and health risks. Floodevents may also cause contamination of reservoirsor other drinking water sources and of treatmentworks, which may lead to increased incidence ofwaterborne diseases.

    2.2 Water and health

    Safe water is a top priority environment and healthissue within Europe. The WHO report 'Health andEnvironment in Europe: Progress Assessment'

    concluded:

    [I]nmanycountriesintheEastoftheRegiontheprogressareslow:morethan50%ofruralpopulationof10countrieshasnoaccesstoimprovedwater,givingrisetoimportanthealthinequalities.Dataondrinking-waterrelateddiseaseoutbreaksindicatethatunsafewaterremainsaburdentopublichealththroughouttheEuropeanRegion,includingthemosteconomicallydevelopedcountries(WHO, 2010a).

    Several outbreaks of drinking-water-related diseaseshave been reported in recent years. The burden ofwaterborne diseases is difficult to approximate,however, and is most likely underestimated (ENHIS,

    Figure 2.1 Percentage changes (averaged over 21 models) in annual (left), winter (middle)

    and summer (right) mean precipitation between 19801999 (observed) and20802099 (predicted)

    Source: EEA, 2008.

    Box 2.1 Effects of climate change on water

    quality in the Netherlands

    While the possible effect of climate change

    on rainfall patterns in the Netherlands is

    reasonably well understood, there is much

    greater uncertainty regarding the impacts of

    this change on river water quality. However,

    experiences in the long period of drought in

    summer 2003 provide some indications. Flows

    in the rivers Rhine and Meuse were substantially

    lower than during the same period in 2002.

    The Meuse had particularly low flows as it is

    fed solely by rainwater, while the Rhine is also

    fed by snowmelt. Water quality in the Meuse

    deteriorated to almost stagnant conditions,

    with high temperatures, low dissolved oxygen

    and high chloride concentrations. The Rhine

    also showed significantly increased chloride

    concentrations, exceeding the drinking water

    standard for 17 days. Climate change may lead

    to an increase in the frequency, length and

    intensity of such low flow periods, and may

    therefore seriously affect water quality.

    Source: Senhorst and Zwolsman, 2005.

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    Climate change, water and health

    Safe water and healthy water services in a changing environment 11

    2007; ECDC, 2009; EFSA, 2010). Generally, the risksof an outbreak are greater where the standardof water and sanitary services is low and a clearEast-West divide is apparent in the geographicdistribution of the incidence of waterborne diseases.

    Intermittent drinking water supplies can reducewater quality, resulting in health issues. In regionswhere climate change may exacerbate water scarcity,problems with intermittent drinking water suppliesmay worsen.

    Climate change will significantly increase the healthrisks by directly or indirectly affecting drinkingwater supply or wastewater treatment. Climatechange will have a significant impact on the qualityand quantity of water that is available for treatmentto produce drinking water.

    A considerable amount of water is lost from pipednetworks during distribution, often due to poorconstruction work, lack of maintenance and repairor illegal tapping. This is particularly pronounced

    in many of the countries of eastern Europe, theCaucasus and central Asia, which face much greaterthreats to providing safe water (OECD, 2007). Withthe exception of the wealthier countries and largercities in these regions, the infrastructure in manytowns and rural areas is in poor condition and waterprovision is erratic and of unsatisfactory quality.Unless the situation changes with higher prioritygiven to proper construction and maintenance ofwater supply infrastructure, these countries mayface increased vulnerability to the effects of climatechange.

    Extreme events such as flooding, drought,windstorms and periods of exceptionally high andlow temperatures may lead directly to a multitude

    of adverse effects on human health, such as death,injuries and post-traumatic mental disorders. Theseevents may also lead to an increase in diarrhoealdiseases, vector-borne diseases, respiratory

    infections, and skin and eye infections.

    Floods can potentially increase the transmissionof several water-borne and vector-borne diseases(WHO, 2010d). The risk of infectious diseasesdepends on a number of factors, including theimpact of the disaster on water and sanitationsystems, the availability of shelter and the scale ofpopulation displacement, the functionality of thepublic health infrastructure and access to healthcareservices, and the nature of response after the disaster(Ivers and Ryan, 2006). Also, the pre-existing burden

    of infectious diseases in a population plays a role.There is increasing evidence of the impact thatclimate-related disasters have on mental health.For example, flooded communities experiencea higher incidence of depression (Reacher et al.,2004). In Scotland, social, 'intangible' impacts,such as emotional losses, living in temporaryaccommodation and dealing with insurers, weremore severe than the material losses, particularlyamong the elderly (Werritty et al., 2007).

    Reduction in river flows may lead to increasedstagnation, which, combined with rising

    temperatures, can create more suitable conditionsfor disease vectors such as mosquitoes to breed.Such advantageous conditions may favour thespread of vector-borne diseases new to the Europeanregion, such as Chikungunya fever. The firstoutbreak of this disease transmitted by the tigermosquito was reported in Italy in 2007 (ECDC,2009). On the other hand, drought conditions orsevere floods may restrict the distribution of somevector-borne diseases, for example, Lyme disease(borreliosis), which is transmitted by ticks (Semenzaand Menne, 2009).

    The typical impacts of flood and drought extremeevents are summarised in Table 2.1. Examples of theimpacts listed in Table 2.1 are presented in the casestudies below.

    Water resources

    In many locations, water use by agriculture,public water supply and tourism poses a threat toEurope's water resources and demand often exceedsavailability (EEA, 2009). The combination of over-abstraction and periods of low rainfall result in lowflow rivers, lowered groundwater levels and thedrying up of wetlands. This in turn has detrimental

    Box 2.2 Outbreaks of waterborne diseases

    in Albania

    Since 1988, Albania has lacked sufficient

    resources to sustain high standards of drinking

    water and sanitation. Frequent outbreaks of

    waterborne diseases have occurred and it is

    thought that high background rates of enteric

    diseases are also related to water quality.

    Water-related diseases seen in Albania in recent

    years include hepatitis A outbreaks in 2002 and

    2006 totalling around 550 cases, 180 cases of

    gastroenteritis in 2007, typhoid fever, dysentery

    and poliomyelitis.

    Source: EEHC, 2008.

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    Climate change, water and health

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    impacts on freshwater ecosystems, worsens waterquality and permits saltwater to intrude in aquifers.

    Many countries already face increasing demandson their water resources to meet ever greaterrequirements for domestic, industrial andagricultural use. Countries with abundantwater resources will be well placed to cope

    with fluctuating availability caused by reducedrainfall. Even in these countries, however, extremeconditions may create demand that is difficult tosatisfy.

    Balancing the needs of all water users during adrought can be difficult and agencies must decidehow water can be used most effectively to satisfycritical needs and minimise environmental impacts.Consumers must be motivated and educated touse water efficiently and share the limited amountsavailable. A drought management plan should aid

    the decision-making process and help minimisewastage.

    Due to changing conditions, water sources may bemore contaminated and in dry periods there maybe less dilution of pollutant discharges. Highertemperatures may also increase eutrophicationand the potential for algal blooms associated

    with toxin-producing cyanobacteria. Once algaeget into drinking water supplies they can causegastroenteritis in humans and may also lead to a badodour or taste in chlorinated waters.

    Scarcity of regular water resources will encouragethe use of alternative sources to supply drinkingwater, industrial processes and irrigation.Alternative sources include desalination, rainwaterharvesting and reclaimed (or recycled) water.Treated wastewater can be used to top up depletedaquifers (Vigneswaran and Sundaravadivel, 2004;

    EEA, 2009).

    If these alternative sources are to be used inemergency situations resulting from extreme events,public health must not be compromised. The sourcesmust be properly quality assured before use in ordernot to introduce a new health risk.

    In cases of poor infrastructure, drought may leadto the use of water sources containing harmfulcontaminants, such as from old private wells,previously considered unsuitable and not equippedwith treatment systems. Periods of drought mayalso lead to the breakdown of sanitation measuresif insufficient water is available for personal andhousehold hygiene and cooking. This leads to the

    Impact from

    Impact on

    Flood Drought

    Water resources Chemical and pathogenic

    contamination

    Lack of resource

    Algae blooms in reservoirs

    Drinking water Pathogenic contamination Lack of supply

    Need for more advanced treatment/

    desalination

    Bathing water Pathogenic contamination Eutrophication

    Toxic algae

    Aquatic ecosystems Combined sewer overflow

    Sediment resuspension

    Low dilution

    High temperature

    Water supply and sanitation

    infrastructure

    Erosion/land slides

    Flooding of installations

    Sediment accumulation

    Table 2.1 Overview of types of impacts from flood or drought extreme events

    Box 2.3 Drought in Cyprus

    By 2008, Cyprus had suffered a fourth

    consecutive year of low rainfall and the drought

    situation reached a critical level in the summer. To

    ease the water crisis, 30 tankers delivered water

    from Greece. In addition, the Cypriot Government

    was forced to implement emergency measures,

    including cutting domestic supply by 30 %.

    Households were supplied with water three times

    a week for around 12 hours.

    Source: EEA, 2009.

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    Climate change, water and health

    Safe water and healthy water services in a changing environment 13

    potential for increased mortality from infectiousdiseases and malnutrition.

    Drinking water

    Severe flood events can damage or inundate watertreatment facilities and contaminate the distributionsystem, leading to severe water quality problems.

    An example is cryptosporidium, a parasite that cancause gastroenteritis in humans and is frequentlyfound in water supplies following severe flooding.Oocysts, a spore form of the parasite, are verydifficult remove efficiently from water suppliesthrough filtration and coagulation. Those remainingare very resistant to water treatment and only a feware needed to cause infection.

    Flooding events can also lead to other infectiousdiseases, via contamination of drinking water. Theseinclude hepatitis, cholera, typhoid, leptospirosisand dysentery. For example, heavy rainfall eventshave been linked to leptospirosis outbreaks inthe Czech Republic in 1997 and 2002 (Zitek andBenes, 2005). Some episodes were also reported

    from Sweden, Finland, and the United Kingdom.In general, however, flooding in Europe has rarelybeen associated with an increased risk of waterbornedisease outbreaks (Semenza and Menne, 2009).

    Increased rainfall and higher temperatures mayalso cause problems with colour and odour of watersupplies (Water UK, 2008).

    Some developed countries have installed multiplebarrier water treatment capable of responding toexisting and emerging threats. Such infrastructurecosts 2030 % more than traditional equipment andis also very energy intensive.

    The biggest issue in severe drought conditions issupplying sufficient good quality water to all users.Water companies in countries such as Spain and theUnited Kingdom have used drought controls such asthe banning hosepipe and sprinkler use or the fillingof swimming pools in order to ensure that sufficientsupplies are available for essential services.

    Efficient use of water will become increasinglyimportant in the context of climate change but

    Box 2.4 Drought management plan for Ankara, Turkey

    Significant decreases in annual rainfall have been seen in Turkey since the 1970s, with the most recent

    droughts in 2006 and 2007. Vulnerability to drought is influenced by a number of factors, including

    population growth, urbanisation and water use trends. Turkey's population has grown by around 2 %

    annually since 1927, with the largest growth in urban areas.

    The city of Ankara is growing rapidly, but, due to its location, water resources are insufficient to meet

    demand. Accordingly, a drought management plan has been developed, setting out actions to be

    undertaken when water reserves hit certain 'trigger levels'. These include varying levels of restriction on the

    use of sprinklers, residential pools and hoses for car washing and halting operation of public fountains.

    Figure 2.2 Hydrological drought map of Turkey

    Source: WMO, 2009.

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    achieving it will be a major challenge for mostcountries and water suppliers. In England and Waleswater companies have to prepare drought plans.These plans should be updated every three yearsand should include a range of actions to manage thesituation and ensure public water supplies underfuture climate conditions (Environment Agency,2010b).

    Bathing water

    Climate change is likely to cause a decline in themicrobiological quality of bathing waters and asubsequent increase in their impact on human

    health. Climate change will lead to warmersummers with more intense rainfall and increasedchances of flooding. This increases runoff, risk ofeutrophication and algal growth rates, and decreasesmixing of waters. Higher ambient temperatures arealso likely to increase use of bathing waters withconsequent higher potential for exposure to bacterialpollution or toxic algae. Direct skin contact withtoxin producing cyanobacteria can cause allergicreactions, skin and eye irritation (UNESCO/IHP,2005).

    Climate change can create more favourableconditions for a number of pathogens,increasing their survival and therefore the risk

    Box 2.5 Floods in England 2007

    In June 2007, extreme rainfall over the Midlands and northern England led to large-scale urban flooding,

    affecting more than 55 000 properties. The Environment Agency of England and Wales estimates that

    one-third of these were flooded by rivers and two-thirds from other sources,

    predominantly surface water run-off overloading drainage systems. Combined damage from the June and

    July floods is estimated to be around GBP 3 billion.

    Figure 2.3 Floods in Tewkesbury, 2007

    Flooding of a wastewater treatment works in Gloucestershire left 140 000 of the 160 000 homes it serves

    without piped water. Water supplies were restored to all properties within 10 days but were not safe to

    drink until 15 days after the flood. Since this event, 1000 m of semi-permanent flood barrier to a height of

    13.5 m AOD (Above Ordnance Datum)has been installed to protect against future flooding

    (Environment Agency, 2010a).

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    of several infections, for example: Legionnaire'sdisease (Legionellapneumophila),leptospirosis(Leptospiraicterohaemorrhagiae), cryptosporidiosis(Cryptosporidiumparvum),giardiasis (Giardiaduodenalis) and hepatitis A.

    Rainfall-induced runoff has also been identified asthe cause of faecal contamination in areas such asHampstead Heath in London. This was a particularproblem in 2006 when one bathing pond failedto meet bathing water standards because large

    amounts of dog faeces had been washed off thesurrounding land (Haycock Associates, 2009).

    Figure 2.4 Algal Blooms in the Netherlands in 2005 and 2006

    Source: Roijackers and Lrling, 2007.

    Box 2.6 Algal blooms in the Baltic Sea

    Unusually high temperatures in the Baltic Sea in

    recent years (e.g. 2006) have caused significantly

    increased growth rates of a range of bacteria and

    led to the formation of larger than usual algal

    blooms. For a number of species, this increase

    correlates with water temperatures above 15 or

    16 C, and cyanobacteria growth rates have

    increased faster than other algae (Roijackers and

    Lrling, 2007). Algal blooms have led to serious

    infections in bathers with open wounds

    (Semenza and Menne, 2009).

    This indicates that warmer temperatures due

    to climate change will increase cyanobacterial

    growth rates and algal bloom occurrence and

    duration in this area, leading to a higher risk of

    infection in bathers.

    Higher temperatures in the Netherlands in 2003 ledto increased thermal stability and stratification intemperate lakes, and the same would be expectedwith climate change. The lack of movement insurface waters aids the development of blooms, andcan lead to severe oxygen depletion and increaseddecomposition in deeper waters. This anoxia willprovide ideal circumstances for some groups ofpathogens (Roijackers and Lrling, 2007).

    Aquatic ecosystems

    Extreme rainfall events can result in stormwaterdischarges from combined sewer and surface wateroverflows, fluvial erosion leading to mobilisationof stored chemicals, and run-off of agriculturalfertilisers and pesticides, animal wastes and manure.The predicted increased frequency and intensity ofstorms due to climate change will exacerbate theseimpacts.

    If contaminated land, hazardous waste sites or

    sites used for storing pesticides or other potentiallyhazardous materials are flooded, contaminantscan reach water courses and cause significantdamage. Studies of the flooding of the River Elbein 2002 illustrated the risks arising from severalsources, including formerly contaminated riversediments in still water zones and bioaccumulatedpolychlorinated substances in biota(Stachel et al., 2004).

    Heavy rainfall can also lead to weakening or failureof earth or mine tailings dams, as shown in the casestudy below.

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    Low flows and subsequent intense rainfall eventsmay also lead to fish kills, such as the one detailedbelow. Increased temperatures can also put coldwater fish at risk. Some aquatic organisms mayalter their spatial distribution, moving to find themost suitable water quality and temperature, whileother species may become extinct. Farmed fish and

    shellfish may also be affected by changes in waterlevel, temperature, oxygen levels and increasedlevels of harmful algae (Cheney and Dewey, 2005).

    Box 2.8 Fish kills in Southport, United

    Kingdom

    In July 2009, heavy rainfall led to untreated

    sewage from a storm water overflow being

    discharged into the Three Polls Waterway.

    Combined with already low dissolved oxygen

    levels due to recent hot weather, this caused

    a major fish kill. It is estimated that between15 000 and 20 000 fish died. The Environment

    Agency of England and Wales used pumps to

    move and dilute the effluent and introduced

    hydrogen peroxide to increase oxygen levels.

    Source: Environment Agency, 2009.

    Box 2.7 The Baia Mare accident, Romania

    On 30 January 2000, in the town of Baia Mare,

    Romania, a mine tailings dam burst releasing

    over 100 000 cubic metres of cyanide and heavy

    metal contaminated water into the Sasar, Lapus,

    Somes and Tisza rivers. After two weeks, the

    contaminated water reached the Danube and then

    continued on, eventually reaching the Black Sea.

    The contamination caused substantial fish kills in

    the affected rivers, and also disrupted drinking

    water supplies.

    The cause of the failure is thought to have

    been an overflow of the ponding liquid,

    caused by snowmelt and heavy rain. Heavy

    climate-change-related rainfall could cause similar

    failures in the future if sufficient precautions arenot taken.

    Source: WISE Uranium Project, 2001; UNECE, 2010b.

    Severe drought can degrade or destroy wetlandecosystems through changes in water availability,higher temperatures and increased evaporationrates, causing a deterioration in wildlife habitats

    (WMO/UNEP/IUCN 2009). Changing temperaturesmay also cause many plants and animals to migratepolewards, and species which cannot move as easilymay be lost.

    Water supply and sanitationinfrastructure

    Heavy rainfall events can exceed network capacitiesin combined sewer and surface water networks.Existing sewerage systems were designed to

    withstand certain rainfall intensities and returnperiods. Consequently, increasing rainfall intensitiesand return periods in some regions due to climaticchanges will result in more frequent urban floodingand increased damage unless adaptation measuresare taken.

    Flood events may put a large number of water andwastewater treatment works and pumping stationsat risk of flooding in many places on the network.This may lead to the failure of operation and theloss of public water supplies, and can also havesignificant impacts on drinking water quality.

    Assets on the coast (such as pipe networks, waterand wastewater treatment works and pumpingstations) will also be at increased risk of coastalflooding and storm damage, and may be lostaltogether through coastal erosion and sea level rise.

    Reduced flushing by stormwater and to somedegree reduced water use under droughtconditions means that the self-cleaning capacity ofsewers will be reduced. In catchments with minimalslopes, this may induce sediment deposits, in worst

    cases leading to blockages.

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    Safe water and healthy water services in a changing environment

    Key messages

    WatermanagementpoliciesattheEuropeanandEUlevelarebeingmadeincreasinglyadaptabletoclimatechange,whichshouldhelpsafeguardpublichealthandecosystemservicesinthefuture.

    TherearenumerousguidelinesforthedesignofwaterandhumanhealthpoliciesacrossEurope(e.g.WHOguidelinesfordrinkingwaterquality,ProtocolonWaterandHealthanddraftguidanceonwatersupplyandsanitationinextremeweather).Recentlysuchguidancehasfocusedonhowpoliciesdesignandimplementationmightbeaffectedbyandadaptedtoclimatechangeevents.

    TheWHOVision2030studyassesseshowandwhereclimatechangewillaffectdrinkingwaterandsanitationinthemediumterm,andwhatcanbedonetomaximisetheresilienceofdrinkingwaterandsanitationsystems.

    SeveralexistingEUpoliciesaddresswatermanagementissues(theUrbanWastewaterTreatmentDirective,theWaterFrameworkDirective,FloodsDirectiveandtheEUWaterScarcityandDroughtsStrategy)andothersdealmoredirectlywithpotentialwater-relatedimpactsonhumanhealth(e.g.theDrinkingWaterDirective,andBathingWatersDirectives).

    Thereisaclearrecognitionthatclimatechangecreatesaneedforcoherent,sustainable,cross-sectoralpolicyandregulation;sharingofavailabletools;facilitatingmechanismsforpartnershipsandfinancing;

    andreadinesstooptimiseacrosssectorsduringimplementation.

    Thewaterutilitysectorfacesauniquesetofchallenges.Aprimarychallengewillbeenhancingitscapacitytocopewithclimatechangeimpactsandotherhumanpressuresonwatersystems,whilefosteringgreaterresiliencytoextremehydrologicevents.

    Withmorefrequenthigher-intensitystormsprojected,utilitiesfacedtheneedtoupdateinfrastructuredesignpractices.Thisnecessitatesinvestmentsnotnecessarilyonlyinlargerstructuresbutalsosmarter(usingbetterprocesscontroltechnologies)orlocalmeasuresonstormwaterrunoff.

    The present chapter assesses the ability of existingpolicy and legislation to protect human health andecosystem services in the context of environmentalchange and extreme events. There are numerousguidelines for the design of water and human healthpolicies across Europe. Recently such guidance has

    focused on how policies design and implementationmight be affected by and adapted to climate change.

    3.1 European level

    The WHO guidelines for drinking water quality arethe basis for international and national standards,and drinking water quality regulations. Theguidelines contain advice for establishing incidentresponse plans. During emergency situations,guideline values (for short-term exposure) for some,but not all, substances, are increased. The guidelines

    also recommend Water Safety Plans (WSPs) toensure safe drinking water through good watersupply practice. They apply to all types and sizes ofwater supply systems. Because the WSP approach isflexible and adaptable to national situations, Plansare suited to deal with changes in water quantityand quality resulting from climate change andextreme weather events.

    The Vision 2030 study (WHO/DFID, 2009) assesseshow and where climate change will affect drinkingwater and sanitation in the medium term, and

    what can be done to maximise the resilience ofdrinking water and sanitation systems. The focusis on low- and middle -income countries, whereclimate change risks are greatest and access to watersupply and sanitation services is relatively limited.The study is seen as a contribution to achievingMillennium Development Goal 7 (MDG7) on halvingof the proportion of the global population withoutsustainable access to safe drinking water and basicsanitation by 2015. One conclusion of the study wasthat there is an urgent need for drinking water andsanitation to be fully incorporated into integratedwater resources management.

    3 Current water management policiesand extreme events

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    In 2005, almost 16 % of the population (140 millionpeople) in the WHO European Region lacked ahousehold connection to a drinking water supply,10 % (85 million people) lacked basic sanitationand 5 % (41 million people) lacked access to asafe drinking water supply (WHO Europe, 2005).Inequities in the region are greatest for sanitation.The lack of progress towards MDG7 is most

    pronounced in rural areas (Figure 3.1).

    The Protocol on Water and Health to the 1992UNECE Convention on the Protection and Use ofTransboundary Watercourses and InternationalLakes targets access to drinking water and sanitationfor all. It also advises that Parties should takepreventative action to avoid water quality incidentsand that full contingency plans should be developedto aid response to water-related disease incidents,especially those caused by extreme weather events.The Protocol came into force on 4 August 2005 andas of September 2009 there were 36 signatories and24 ratifications. Of the countries covered in thecurrent report, two-thirds have signed and aroundhalf have ratified the Protocol. None of the Central

    Asian countries have signed or ratified the Protocoland not all EU Member States have signed or ratifiedthe Protocol.

    In 2007 the Parties to the Protocol on Water andHealth established a Task Force on ExtremeWeather Events to develop guidance on watersupply and sanitation in extreme weather. The

    guidance is expected to be submitted to theParties at their second meeting in Autumn 2010(UNECE, 2009b). This guidance document sets outadaptation strategies for extreme events includingvulnerabilities and impacts of extreme weather,risk assessment and management, and warningand communication systems. In addition guidanceon water and climate adaptation is jointly beingdeveloped with the Task Force on Water andClimate. European Union

    Several existing EU policies address watermanagement issues (the Water Framework Directive,Floods Directive and the EU Water Scarcity andDroughts Strategy) and others deal more directlywith potential water-related impacts on human

    Figure 3.1 WHO data for 2006 on sustainable access to drinking water and sanitation

    (WHO, 2010b)

    75

    80

    85

    90

    95

    100

    Central Asia ENP EU Turkey Western Balkans

    %o

    ftotalpopulation

    Country grouping

    WHO data on access to drinking water and sanitation

    Population with sustainable access to improved drinking water sources (%) total

    Population with sustainable access to improved sanitation (%) total

    Note: The grouped data are simple averages of the country percentages: there has been no weighting according to the population

    of each country.

    Central Asia: Kazakhstan; Kyrgyzstan; Tajikistan; Uzbekistan.

    ENP: Armenia; Azerbaijan; Georgia; Republic of Moldova; Ukraine.

    EU: Belgium; Bulgaria; Cyprus; Czech Republic; Denmark; Estonia; Finland; France; Germany; Greece;

    Hungary; Ireland; Italy; Latvia; Luxembourg; Malta; the Netherlands; Poland; Portugal; Romania;Slovakia; Spain; Sweden; the United Kingdom.

    Western Balkans: Albania; Croatia; Serbia; the former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia.

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    health (e.g. the Drinking Water Directive, BathingWaters Directives and EU Food Hygiene Regulations(in terms of shellfish flesh)). These policies applyto the 27 EU Members States but are also relevant

    to EU candidate and potential candidate countries.Through the EU Neighbourhood policy, thesepolicies are also relevant for Armenia, Azerbaijan,Belarus, Georgia, Moldova and Ukraine, becausealthough there is no general obligation to acceptCommunity laws and policies, harmonisation withthe relevant laws and policies may be required inorder to participate in and reap the full benefits ofCommunity programmes.

    One of the aims of the Water Framework Directive(WFD) is to mitigate the negative effects of floods

    and droughts. Climate change may affect theoccurrence and severity of floods and droughts butis not explicitly addressed in the Directive. However,the cyclical nature of River Basin Management Plans(RBMP) makes them well suited to managing climatechange impacts adaptively.

    The Commission has recently published a guidancedocument, entitled 'River basin management in achanging climate' (EU, 2009). It is aimed at thoseresponsible for river basin management, includingflood and drought risk management, for deliveryof the second and third RBMP cycles (from 2015

    until 2027). This planning process will require acombined approach that balances efforts to enhancemonitoring and understanding of climate-drivenimpacts, with implementation of 'no regret' actionsto improve resilience and ensuring that longlife-time investments are climate resilient.

    The Floods Directive (2007/60/EC), which cameinto force in 2007, also provides a framework foradaptation to climate change. It establishes a legalframework for assessing and managing floodrisks across Member States, aiming to reduce

    adverse consequences of floods to human health,the environment, cultural heritage and economicactivity. Climate change is explicitly included inthe Floods Directive, and Member States are clearlyexpected to take into account the likely impactsof climate change on the occurrence of floods.Although all types of flood might be considered, theDirective indicates that flooding from sewers maybe excluded. Importantly, it requires States to mapprobabilities of floods and assess resulting risks.

    The implementation of the Floods Directive andthe WFD must be coordinated from 2015, whenthe second cycle of RBMPs commences. Thiswill therefore provide an opportunity to delivercost-effective and sustainable catchment-based

    approaches that realise multiple benefits for floodrisk management, water scarcity and droughtmanagement and river basin management.

    The European Commission adopted an officialCommunication regarding water scarcity anddroughts on 18 July 2007 (EC, 2007b), which aims tofurther adaptation measures to address increasingimpacts of water scarcity and droughts in comingdecades. Recommendations include draftingDrought Management Plans and establishing aEuropean Drought Observatory. The Commissionalso introduced the possibility of using Europeanfunds for countries suffering prolonged droughts.The EC's Adaption to Climate Change White Paper(COM/2009/147) was issued in April 2009 and sets

    out a framework to reduce the EU's vulnerability toclimate change impacts.

    Also relevant is the European Commission'scommunication on an approach on the preventionof natural and man-made disasters (COM (2009)82 final). Issued in February 2009, it sets out theframework for the steps in the risk managementcycle: prevention, preparedness, response andrecovery.

    The objective of the EU Drinking Water Directive(98/83/EC) (DWD), which entered into force in

    1998, is to protect the health of the consumers inthe European Union and to make sure the water iswholesome and clean. Member States may exemptwater supplies serving less than 50 persons orproviding less than 10 m3 of drinking water per dayon average. The Commission is currently revisingthe DWD to ensure consistency with other EU policysuch as the WFD. The Water Safety Plan approach,as proposed by WHO in the 2004 guidelines fordrinking water quality, is being integrated. As aresult, drinking water quality surveillance wouldshift from focusing only on the quality at the tap

    towards quality control from abstraction to delivery.The revision should also address drinking waterquality for small supplies, which at present createlarge health risks for significant parts of the EUpopulation.

    Drinking Water Protected Areas (DWPAs)were introduced under Article 7 of WFD. Theseare defined as all bodies of water used forthe abstraction of water intended for humanconsumption providing more than 10 m3 a dayon average or serving more than 50 persons, andthose bodies of water intended for such futureuse. Each DWPA must meet the requirements ofthe DWD. This includes a general requirement toensure that water is free from contamination that

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    could constitute a danger to human health, andarequirement to comply with formal DWD standardsat the point of delivery to consumers (i.e. the tap).

    The revised Bathing Water Directive 2006/7/ECentered into force on 24 March 2006 and MemberStates will have to publish their first classificationof bathing waters under the new Directive in 2015.In determining compliance with bathing waterstandards, the Directive allows States to takeaccount of 'short-term pollution' (not expected toaffect bathing water quality for more than 72 hours)and 'abnormal situations' (events impacting bathingwater quality on average not more than once every4 years). Normal sampling can be suspendedduring abnormal situations. Bathing waters may

    temporarily be classified as 'poor' as a result ofshort term pollution and abnormal events and stillremain in compliance with the Directive as long asthe public are advised and informed of the potentialhealth impacts of bathing in affected waters usingsigns and media such as the internet. Bathing mayalso be prohibited.

    There is no explicit mention of quality deteriorationunder extreme circumstances in the NitratesDirective (91/676/EC) though action programmes forNitrate Vulnerable Zones should consider climaticconditions and rainfall when applying rules on the

    limitation of fertiliser use on land.

    3.2 National actions

    More intensive rainfall or prolonged rainfall eventsare likely to increase discharges from stormwateroverflows either from combined sewage and surfacedrainage systems or just from surface water run-off. Combined sewers are responsive to rainfall: theheavier the rain the greater the flow the sewer has tocarry. The overloading arising from prolonged heavy

    rain if not relieved from combined sewer overflows(CSOs) could lead to storm sewage flooding homes,roads and open spaces. Such discharges are oftenhighly polluting in terms of organic matter andmicrobiological contaminants and hence have to besubject to the regulatory processes within countriesas they are not regulated directly via the UrbanWaste Water Treatment Directive (UWWTD) andonly indirectly via the Water Framework Directive(WFD).

    In the United Kingdom, for example, specificstandards for intermittent discharges are used toregulate and consent CSO discharges. These arebased on permitted (standard) concentrations ofdissolved oxygen and ammonium in the receiving

    waters in relation to defined periods of exposureto pollutants in the discharge, and the frequency ofdischarge events (return period). The capacities of thesewerage system and storm tanks are then designed

    to meet the standards. In terms of regulating chemicalsubstances at the EU level, maximum allowableconcentrations (MAC) environment quality standards(EQS) have been set to help safeguard aquaticecosystems from the effects of intermittent and shortevents such as storms (COM 2010). The MAC EQSsare used in conjunction with annual average EQSswhich are for protection against long-term acuteexposure to chemicals.

    Box 3.1 Combined sewage overflows in

    England and Wales

    In the early 1990s it was estimated that there

    around 25 000 CSOs in England and Wales and

    that some 8 000 were causing pollution problems

    (Clifforde et al., 2006). The cost of improving

    these CSOs was estimated at some GBP 3 billion.

    The Urban Waste Water Treatment Directive

    (91/271/EC amended by 98/15/EC) requires

    action to limit pollution from storm overflows

    and to improve unsatisfactory intermittent wet

    weather discharges from CSO and storm tanks

    at wastewater treatment plants. However, the

    criteria for effluents from urban wastewater

    treatment plants do not apply under unusual

    situations, such as heavy rain. By the end of 2008

    more than 6 000 overflows posing the highest risk

    had been improved, rebuilt or removed altogether

    (Water UK, 2009).

    National Water Policy Dialogues were launchedin the Kyrgyz Republic in 2008 and in Tajikistanand Turkmenistan in 2009 under the EU WaterInitiative. They are used to develop 'Policy packages',which guide policy reforms towards sustainabledevelopment and water supply and sanitation

    infrastructure development, including environmentalconservation, prevention of water pollution,strengthening of regulatory services and institutionalframeworks (EC external relations. 2009).

    The UNECE Environmental Strategy for thecountries of Eastern Europe, Caucasus and CentralAsia was adopted in 2003 and aims towardsconvergence with EU policy. The strategy includesall countries in the ENP East and Central Asiangroupings in this report. Countries of easternEurope, the Caucasus and Central Asia face thegreatest threats to safe water. The infrastructure inmany towns and rural areas is in poor conditionand water provision is erratic and of unsatisfactoryquality.Progress on water supply rates is shown

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    in Figure 3.2. Many countries have improved theinstitutional and legislative framework for the watersector and some have developed legislation to guidetariff setting but progress in pricing is uneven.

    Box 3.2 Promoting metering in Armenia

    Metering of water sources contributes to water

    company finances and consequently helps

    improve supply coverage. Armenia has developed

    an incentive framework for households that

    encourages them to request meters and cover the

    installation costs. The National Assembly passed

    a law in 2002 that offered to write off a portion of

    past arrears for households that installed a water

    meter within six months.

    This has had a significant positive effect on

    the bill collection rate, enhancing the financial

    standing of the water companies and increasing

    transparency in the water sector.

    Source: EAP Task Force/EUWI, 2007.

    Figure 3.2 Continuity of water supply (hrs/day) in countries of eastern Europe, Caucasus and

    central Asia

    0 4 8 12 16 20 24

    Armenia (-Yerevan)

    Yerevan

    Azerbaijan

    Georgia

    Kazakhstan

    Kyrgyz Rep.

    Moldova Rep.

    Russia

    Tajikistan

    Ukraine

    Continuity of service (hours)

    200320022001200019991998

    Source: EEA, 2007b.

    3.3 Potential institutional barriers atnational level

    There is a clear recognition that climate changecreates a need for coherent, sustainable,cross-sectoral policy and regulation; sharingof available tools; facilitating mechanisms for

    partnerships and financing; and readiness tooptimise across sectors during implementation.

    At national governmental level, several ministriesnormally share responsibility for handling waterand health issues, including the ministries ofenvironment, agriculture, industry, and health. Thisdivision of responsibilities, which is also apparent atthe EU level, evidently calls for cooperation acrosssectors to manage and balance conflicting interests.

    As an example, the Water Framework Directive(WFD) specifically includes River BasinManagement Plans with Programme of Measuresworking across sectors with the aim of integratedapproaches for cost-effective solutions

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    3.4 Roles of utilities

    An International Water Association (IWA) papersummarising practical responses and actions for the

    water industry to manage climate change reportsthat:

    Thewaterutilitysectorhasauniquesetofchallengesahead.Aprimarychallengeforthewatersectorwillbetoenhanceitscapacitytocopewiththeimpactsofclimatechangeandtheseotherhumanpressuresonwatersystemswhilefosteringgreaterresiliencytoextremehydrologicevents.Theimpactofclimatechangeondrinkingwaterresourcesandservicesisofincreasingconcerntoagrowingnumberofutilitiesworldwide.Drivenbyshareholderexpectations,regulatoryconstraints,

    customerswiththeirownsetofgrowingexpectations,andgovernmentswithresponsibilitiestodeliveronbothwaterquantityandqualityobjectives,theseconcernspresentafutureofincreasedriskacrosstheclimate,socialandeconomicareas.(IWA, 2009).

    Whereas regulatory bodies at the European,national, regional or local levels are responsiblefor setting standards and checking compliance,water utilities are responsible for delivering safewater as drinking water for consumers and astreated effluents for discharges to the environment.Consequently, each utility has to take very

    site-specific measures to adapt to projected increasesin extreme events, relating to both water supplysecurity and quality.

    Several professional associations, representingvarious joint interests of the 'water industry' or the'water sector' have been established to promoteresearch and development, practical implementationand knowledge sharing. They include both nationalassociations, those at the European level, such asEUREAU (3), and those at the international level,such as IWA.

    These frameworks make available numeroustechnical documents and facilitate events(conferences, workshops, exhibitions) andprofessional networking to promote efficientplanning and operations for the utilities (Parkinsonand Mark, 2005; AWWA and IWA, 2010).

    It is the role of utilities to install the appropriatetechnologies to provide safe water and limitoverflows and urban floods from sewerage andstormwater collection systems. A wide range of

    technologies already exist and are continuouslyunder further development. However, theimplementation depends on drivers as well asabilities.

    Management of extreme events by utilities involvesboth risk and hazard management and there isalways a risk that the capacity of infrastructuremay be exceeded. Design practices are thereforetypically based on certain accepted returnperiods (frequencies) of exceedance, e.g. based oncorresponding storm intensities and durations.

    With more frequent higher-intensity stormsprojected, utilities faced the need to updateinfrastructure design practices. This necessitatesinvestments not necessarily only in largerstructures but also smarter (using better processcontrol technologies) or local measures on stormwater runoff.

    Concerning operator ownership, over 70 % of thetotal population in EU and EFTA countries areserved by a public or a public-private operator fordrinking water services, the figure being 80 % in the

    case of wastewater services. In France, the CzechRepublic, and the United Kingdom, more than 50 %of the population is served by a private or mixed(public-private) operator both for drinking waterand wastewater services (EUREAU, 2009).

    Regardless of whether ownership is private orpublic, utilities need to balance financial prioritiesagainst environmental and social responsibilities.For example, utilities may face a choice betweenmaking extra investments in infrastructure orallowing environmental services or society at large

    to bear the costs that arise when infrastructureproves inadequate during extreme events. In thiscontext, it is important to note that regulating theprices that utilities can charge consumers is likelyto influence investment decisions, potentiallyaffecting the balance between a utility's financial andenvironmental goals.

    (3) EUREAU is the European federation of national associations of drinking water suppliers and waste water services.

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    An overview of the assessment knowledge base

    Safe water and healthy water services in a changing environment

    Key messages

    Atinternational,nationalandlocallevels,muchinformationisproducedforassessmentsofthestateofwaterandrelatedhealthimpacts.Overall,boththecurrentinternationalandnationalwaterandhealth

    assessmentshavelimitedfocusonextremeeventsandtheireffectsonwaterservices. Innationalassessmentsandprogrammes,countries

    appeartobeawareoftheadverseconsequencesofclimatechangeonwaterandhealth.However,sometimesassessmentsappeartobebasedon'expertknowledge',largelyqualitativeinscopeandnotgoingfurtherthanidentifyinglikelyscenarios.Theevidence-baseislackingtomakereliableestimatesofthehealtheffectsofclimatechangeresultingfromimpactsonwaterresources.

    Mucheffortisnowfocusedontheimpactofclimatechangeonwaterandtheenvironment,including

    health-relatedimpacts.ManyinternationalandEuropeanorganisationshavemappedoutfutureclimatechangeimpactsonwater-relatedissues,identifyingvulnerablegroupsandvulnerablesub-regions.

    Thevastmajorityoftheassessmentsofdroughtandwaterscarcityhavefocusedontheimpactofwaterscarcity,waterusebysectorsandstrategiesformeetingdemand.Verylittleconsiderationhasbeengiventothehealtheffectsorconsequencesoffutureextremeevents.

    Thehealtheffectsoffloodingdonotfeature

    significantlyinnationalassessments.Themainfocusisidentifyingregionsmostatriskoffloodingandpreparingplansforrespondingandmitigatingthemainconsequences.

    Sufficientpublichealthcompetencesexisttocopewiththehealtheffectsofclimatechange.However,no(comprehensive)assessmenthasbeenundertakentopredicttheseverityorextentoffuturehealthrisksrelatedclimatechange'simpactonwaterservices.

    Irrespectiveofanassessmentofthediseaseburden,actionsbeingtakenonthewiderscaletorespondtobothwaterscarcityanddroughtandfloodingwillhelptoreducethehealtheffectsassociatedwithclimatechangeandwater.

    4 An overview of the assessmentknowledge base

    4.1 'Assessment of Assessments'

    At international, national and local levels, muchinformation is produced for assessments of the stateof water and related health impacts. This chapterreviews the knowledge on safe water and health

    aspects of climate change and extreme events asdescribed in the previous sections. The review isnot exhaustive and does not include a completeoverview of European water assessments. Theillustrative approach taken, covering selectedexamples of assessments from European, nationaland local/specific levels, is an input into a morein-depth and comprehensive 'Assessments ofAssessments' which is needed on this topic(see Box 4.1).

    4.2 Assessments of water and health

    The information and assessments on water producedby European countries at regional and local levelshas markedly increased over the last 1520 years.Similarly much information has been produced onhealth and water, and in recent years on climatechange impacts. Information on water and healthis often scattered across many institutions andgathered in non-standardised formats.

    Most countries have water and health topic websitesdescribing the state of water, and environment and

    health impacts. In addition, countries generallyreport every one to four years on the state of waterand several countries have established Internet-based services that provide public access tomonitoring results and water assessments.

    The quantity of regional and local informationand assessments on water produced in Europehas increased markedly over the last 1520 years.Similarly much information has been produced onhealth and water, and, in recent years, on climatechange impacts. In general, however, existinginternational and national water and healthassessments have only a limited focus on extremeevents and their effects on water services.

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    The Protocol on Water and Health to the 1992UNECE Convention on the Protection and Use ofTransboundary Watercourses and International

    Box 4.1 Role of an 'Assessment of

    Assessments' in supporting sound

    policy

    Europe's Environment Assessment of

    Assessments

    Assessments are formal efforts to assemble

    selected knowledge with a view to making

    it publicly available in a useful form for

    decisionmaking

    Background

    The Europe's Environment Assessment of

    Assessments (EEAoA) is inspired by the marine

    environment 'Assessment of Assessments' (AoA)

    published at the end of 2009 (AOA, 2009).The marine AoA was undertaken as part of the

    start-up phase establishing a regular process for

    global reporting and assessment of the state of

    the marine environment.

    Concept and approach

    Following the AoA approach and in preparation

    for the Astana environment ministers conference

    to be held in the autumn of 2011, the EEAoA will

    provide a critical review of existing environmental

    assessments that are of relevance to the region,

    specifically those at the national, sub-regional and

    pan-European levels.

    The aim is to identify gaps, overlaps and

    emerging issues, as well as good practice in

    preparing effective environmental assessment.

    From this, proposals will be prepared on how to

    build a framework for continuous pan-European

    assessments to keep the European environment

    under constant review. This is foreseen to

    include the gradual development of a shared

    environmental information system (SEIS) in the

    region and a possible extension of Eionet.

    Like the marine AoA and other integratedassessment activities, the EEAoA will evaluate

    assessments against three major criteria:

    scientific credibility; policy relevance and

    usefulness; and legitimacy. The process will seek

    to maximise these properties in a future regular

    process of assessment.

    (4) Although legally binding, the Protocol is non-confrontational and non-judicial

    Lakes includes legally binding targets (4) on theprevention of waterborne diseases (UNECE/WHOEurope, 1999). The WHO Regional Office for Europeis assisting Member States to reduce ill health from

    water-related diseases by:

    supporting implementation of the Protocol onWater and Health;

    carrying out capacity-building activities atregional, sub-regional and country levels bydeveloping, revising and updating manuals andguidelines (WHO Europe, 2010).

    During the last ten years there has been more focuson assessing water and health in Europe. The firstEuropean assessment was published in 2002 as a

    joint EEA/WHO report (EEA/WHO, 2002).

    WHO Europe has investigated the region's progressafter the 2004 Fourth Ministerial Conference onEnvironment and Health, where ensuring access tosafe and affordable water and adequate sanitationwas recognised as a regional priority. The findingsare published in four fact sheets that will contributeto discussions at the Fifth Ministerial Conference onEnvironment and Health (WHO Europe, 2010). Thefactsheets cover the following issues:

    outbreaks of waterborne diseases;

    public water supply and access to improvedwater sources;

    access to improved sanitation and wastewatertreatment;

    bathing water quality.

    The WHO 2010 report, 'Health and Environmentin Europe: progress assessment' (WHO, 2010a),concluded:

    Theanalysisofthedataonthewater-relatedriskstohealthconcludedthatpopulationaccesstoimproved

    watersources,sanitationandwastewatertreatmenthasincreased,overthepasttwodecades,inmost,butnotall,countries.HowevermanycountriesintheEastoftheRegiontheprogressareslow:morethan50%ofruralpopulationof10countrieshasnoaccesstoimprovedwater,givingrisetoimportanthealthinequalities.Dataondrinking-waterrelateddiseaseoutbreaksindicatethatunsafewaterremainsaburdentopublichealththroughouttheEuropeanRegion,includingthemosteconomicallydevelopedcountries.Harmonizedwaterbornediseasesandoutbreaksurveillancesystemsarestillmissing

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    inmajorityofthecountriesintheRegion,asaresystemsformonitoringbathingwaterrelatedhealthrisks.

    The European Environment and Health InformationSystem (ENHIS) identifies gastrointestinal diseasesas a key health effect linked to the provision ofproper water and sanitation services (ENHIS, 2010).

    WHO Guidelines for Drinking Water Qualitypromote a systematic approach towards ensuringmicrobial safety and require the developmentof a management strategy based on the conceptof (drinking) Water Safety Plans (WSP). Whenimplemented, a WSP provides the basis for ensuringthat harmful chemicals and pathogens present a

    negligible risk to public health.

    The current European Union Drinking WaterDirective (Council Directive 98/83 EC) requiresthat drinking water must be wholesome and setsstandards for quality at the tap. These standards aregenerally based on those in the WHO Guidelines.The Directive is currently undergoing revision andit is likely that a new regime for safeguarding waterquality will be adopted which incorporates a risk-based approach to operating and managing drinkingwater supply systems compatible with the WHOWater Safety Plan framework.

    The Third Ministerial Conference on Environmentand Health in 1999 called for the developmentof national environmental health action plans(NEHAPs) to address environmental health. Sofar, more than 40 countries in the European regionhave developed a NEHAP. As general guidance,most NEHAPs address the following subject areasin terms of policy and planning (WHO, 2010c):environmental health management; environmentalhealth hazards and media including drinking waterand bathing water; and economic sectors.

    In 2004, the Fourth Ministerial Conference onEnvironment and Health adopted the Children'sEnvironment and Health Action Plan for Europe(CEHAPE), including a regional priority goal toensure access to safe and affordable water andadequate sanitation (focusing on children). Inthe process leading up to the Fifth MinisterialConference on Environment and Health, mostcountries have provided information on progressmade in implementing this Regional Priority GoalI. These national overviews are for some countriessupported by separate documents assessing theiractivities for providing safe waters.

    4.3 Assessments of climate change andwater and health

    Much effort is now focused on the impact of climate

    change on water and the environment, includinghealth-related impacts. Many international andEuropean organisations have mapped out futureclimate change impacts on water services topopulations, identifying vulnerable groups andvulnerable sub-regions (e.g. EEA-JRC-WHO 2008;IPCC. 2008).

    The IPCC Fourth Assessment (IPCC, 2007) and its2008 technical report on climate change and watertogether provide a comprehensive assessment offuture climate change impacts on water (IPCC,

    2008). In 2008 the European Environment Agency,the European Commission's Joint Research Centreand WHO provided an overview of climate changeimpacts in Europe including impacts on waterquantity and quality and some of water-dependentsectors (EEA/JRC/WHO, 2008). On 25 November2009, the final report of the PESETA project waspublished. This JRC research project integrates aset of high-resolution climate change projectionsand physical models into an economic modellingframework to quantify the impacts of climate changein vulnerable areas in Europe, including impactsriver floods and human health (JRC, 2009).

    Both Parties to the UNECE Water Conventionand the European Community have in recentyears focused on providing more information andguidance on assessing climate change impactson water and adaptation to future conditions. InNovember 2009, at its fifth session, the Meetingof the Parties to the Water Convention adoptedthe guidance on water and adaptation to climatechange and in the same month the water directors ofEU Member States issued a guidance document onadaptation to climate change in water management

    (CEC, 2009). Draft guidance on water supply andsanitation in extreme weather events is current beingprepared (UNECE/WHO Europe 2009)

    Improved understanding of climate change impactson water services in Europe has identified the needfor research to quantify better the links betweenweather patterns and transmission of infectiouswaterborne diseases. The programme 'ClimateChange and Adaptation Strategies for Humanhealth' in Europe (cCASHh) assessed the majorguidelines for health risk assessment, and climatechange impact, vulnerability and adaptationassessment (Fssel and Klein, 2004).

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    A workshop organised by the European Centrefor Disease Prevention and Control identified therisks that climate change would pose for infectiousdisease and public health and assessed the capacity

    for response (ECDC, 2007). A range of potentialscenarios were examined to determine the effectson the transmission of water, food and vector-bornediseases, but the workshop was not able to judge theseverity of the risk.

    At national level, a number of countries have madedetailed assessments of the likely impacts of climatechange. These reports have tended to identifythe risks posed by climate change but have notdetermined the scale of the problem or identifiedadaptation measures (WHO Europe, 2008a).

    Parties to the Convention on Climate Change(UNFCCC) must submit national reportson implementation of the Convention to theConference of the Parties (UNFCCC, 2010). Thesecommunications contain a chapter with assessmentof vulnerability, climate change impacts andadaptation measures. A review of the nationalcommunication reports found that most of themhad description of climate change effects on waterresources but did not contain detailed assessments ofthe likely health impacts of climate change and onlylimited information of the consequences for water

    services under extreme events.

    4.4 Assessments of water scarcity anddrought

    The vast majority of the assessments of droughtand water scarcity have focused on the impact ofwater scarcity, water use by sectors and strategies formeeting demand. Very little consideration has beengiven to the health effects or consequences of futureextreme events.

    The European Commission carried out anassessment of water scarcity and drought in 2006and early 2007 (EC, 2010). The assessment identifiedthe principle sectoral water users; the extent ofwater scarcity and drought; and possible gaps inimplementation of existing EU policy instruments.Based on the assessment, on 18 July 2007 theCommission adopted a Communication addressing

    the challenge of water scarcity and droughts in theEU (EC, 2007). The assessment also noted significantdata gaps and uncertainty in estimating wateravailability, and water abstraction.

    In March 2009, EEA published the report 'Waterresources across Europe confronting waterscarcity and drought' (EEA, 2009). The reportprovides a comprehensive overview of wateravailability, water abstraction and water scarcity inEurope and addresses possibilities for and progresstowards fostering demand-side managementof water resources. It also discusses sustainablesupply-side measures. Water scarcity and droughtissues were substantially covered in the 2008 jointEEA/JRC/WHO report on climate change impacts in

    Europe.

    Plan Bleu (5) and the EU Water Initiative workinggroup on Mediterranean water scarcity anddrought (MED-EUWI) (6) have produced severalassessments on water scarcity and drought issuesin Mediterranean region. These include the waterchapters in the Plan Bleu 2005 and 2009 State of theEnvironment Reports and the MED-EUWI 2008Mediterranean Water Scarcity and Drought report(MED-EUWI, 2008).

    At national level, most countries have produced

    national overviews of water resources and demandfor water. These include annual hydrological/waterresource assessments, state of water assessments,and water chapters in national state of theenvironment reports. During recent years, severalcountries have produced assessments of droughtevents, including England and Wales (WaterWatch,2006) and Portugal (INAG, 2005). Others havedeveloped national homepages on droughts, suchas France (7) and Spain (8). Often more detailedassessments are produced in the context ofwater strategies or plans (e.g. Spain and Portugal

    Hydrological Plans).

    Both the UNECE and OECD national environmentalperformance or country reviews (UNECE, 2010a;OECD, 2010) generally have chapters on waterscarcity and drought. The United Nations Food andAgriculture Organization (FAO) 'Aquastats' alsoprovide country profiles and factsheets on waterresources and water use (FAO, 2010).

    (5) See http://www.planbleu.org/indexUK.html

    (6) See http://www.emwis.net/topics/WaterScarcity

    (7) http://www.ecologie.gouv.fr/-Secheresse-.html

    (8) http://www.mma.es/portal/secciones/acm/aguas_continent_zonas_asoc/ons/sequia_espagna/index.htm

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    For the United Nations Commission on SustainableDevelopment meetings, countries have produceddocuments on freshwater (for the twelfth andthirteenth sessions in 20042005) and drought (for

    the sixteenth and seventeenth sessions in 20082009)(UNCSD, 2010).

    4.5 Assessments of floods

    The adverse human health consequences of floodingare complex, far-reaching and difficult to attributeto the flood event itself (Few et al., 2005). Healthaspects do not feature significantly in Europeanand national assessments of floods, which focusprimarily on identifying regions most at risk and

    preparing plans for responding and mitigating themain consequences.

    Both the Parties to the UNECE Water Conventionand European Community have in recent yearsfocused on flood risk assessments. At the fifthsession of the Meeting of the Parties to the WaterConvention in November 2009 a report waspublished on transboundary flood risk managementwith experiences from the UNECE region (UNECE,2009a).

    The EU Floods Directive (2007/60/EC), which entered

    in force in 2007, establishes a legal frameworkfor the assessment and management of floodrisks across EU Member States, aiming to reduceadverse consequences of floods to human health,the environment, cultural heritage and economicactivity. Climate change is explicitly included in theFloods Directive, and EU Member States are clearlyexpected to take into account the likely impacts ofclimate change on the occurrence of floods. Floodhazard and flood risk maps must be created showingareas most likely to flood and those with the mostconsequences.

    On a European scale several assessments providean overview of the frequency of and vulnerability tofloods. The WHO Collaborating Centre for Researchon the Epidemiology of Disasters (CRED) has anEmergency Events Database EM-DAT includingan overview of major flood events (EM-DAT 2010)and Dartmouth Flood Observatory also providesinformation on major flood events (DartmouthFlood Observatory, 2010). Baredo (2007) providedan overview of major flood disasters in Europe in

    the period 19502005 and Kundzewicz et al. (2005)analysed the relationship between flood frequencyand climate change. There are several studies onhow future changes in the intensity and frequency

    of extreme precipitation events are likely to causean increase in flood hazard across much of Europe(e.g. EEA/JRC/WHO, 2008; Dankers and Feyen,2008).

    Flood forecasting is seen as being very importantand the European Flood Alert System is a researchproject that attempts to provide sufficient warningto allow implementation of local flood responseplans (JRC, 2010). Further research is beingconducted to develop integrated flood risk analysisand management methodologies that provide a

    consistent approach across Europe

    At national level, a number of assessments have beenpublished that detail national responses to flooding.For example, in a national assessment of flood risk(Environment Agency, 2009b) the England and WalesEnvironment Agency estimated there are around 5.2million properties at risk of some form of flooding inEngland. The expected annual damages are estimatedat more than 1 billion and it is likely that climatechange and development pressures will increaseflood risk in the future. In 2009, the United Kingdomgovernment committed to increase spending on flood

    risk and coastal management. Around two-thirds ofthe budget is spent on building and maintaining flooddefences, but these are not the only methods usedto prevent flooding. Local authorities in the UnitedKingdom must consult the Environment Agencyon planning applications to avoid building in highrisk areas such as flood plains, and flood warningsystems have been extended with the creation of theNational Flood Forecasting Centre. Catchment FloodManagement Plans (CFMPs) have been developedcovering the main catchments in England.

    In Serbia, an indicator-based review (SerbianEnvironmental Protection Agency, 2007) concludedthat the frequency of flooding has increased inrecent years, despite decreases in annual averageprecipitation. Severe floods occurred in 2005 and2006. These events have damaged agriculture andnatural ecosystems. New laws on environmentalprotection are harmonised with EU legislation.However, no details are given on the health impactsof floods or on what mitigation/adaptation is takingplace.

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    References

    The list includes references cited in the text as well asother relevant sources.

    Alameddine, I. and El-F


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