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1 SAFETY ANALYSIS OF STRUCTURAL FOUNDATIONS BUILT ON ABANDONED SOLID WASTE SITES BY IBRAHIM, MUSA OBAJI PG/PhD/11/59375 DEPARTMENT OF CIVIL ENGINEERING FACULTY OF ENGINEERING UNIVERSITY OF NIGERIA, NSUKKA SEPTEMBER 2015
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SAFETY ANALYSIS OF STRUCTURAL FOUNDATIONS BUILT ON ABANDONED SOLID WASTE SITES

BY

IBRAHIM, MUSA OBAJI PG/PhD/11/59375

DEPARTMENT OF CIVIL ENGINEERING FACULTY OF ENGINEERING

UNIVERSITY OF NIGERIA, NSUKKA

SEPTEMBER 2015

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APPROVAL

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APPROVAL

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DEDICATION This thesis is dedicated to Almighty God, the author of eternal salvation, for making it possible

for me to reach the concluding stage of this course.

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ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

First and fore-most, I like to thank the Almighty God for keeping me alive and making it

possible for me to complete this study. I wish to express my gratitude to my supervisor Professor

N.N. Osadebe who amidst tight schedule gave me prompt attention, supervision and

encouragement especially during the tough times of the study. I equally appreciate the patience

and support of my wife and the entire members of my family.

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

Approval i

Approval ii

Dedication iii

Acknowledgments iv

Table of Contents v

List of Tables ix

List of Figures xi

List of Plates xiii

List of Symbols/Abbreviations and Units xiv

Abstract xvii

CHAPTER ONE INTRODUCTION 1

1.1 Background 3

1.2 Statement of problem 7

1.3 Aim of the study 10

1.4. Objectives of study 10

1.5 Significance of the study 10

1.6 Delimitation of the study 11

1.7 Limitations of the study 12

1.8 Research questions 12

1.9 Organization of this study 13

CHAPTER TWO LITERATURE REVIEW 15

2.1 Properties of solid waste soil 15

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2.1.1 Classification of municipal solid waste 16

2.1.2 Compression characteristics of ASWSS 18

2.1.3 Shear Strength Characteristics of ASWSS 20

2.2 ASWSS as foundation soil 21

2.2.1 Spatial variation in ASWSS 24

2.2.2 Characteristic and representative values 25

2.3 Safety analysis of ASWSS 28

2.3.1 Risk and reliability analysis 30

2.4 Classification of geotechnical category 35

CHAPTER THREE PLAN AND METHODOLOGY 39

3.1 Location of study area 40

3.2 Design of study 46

3.3 Population and sampling technique 47

3.4 Instruments for data collection and administration 49

3.5 Procedures and methods of data analysis 50

3.5.1 Determination of engineering properties 50

3.5.2 Design values of soil data 51

3.5.3 Evaluation of reliability index and probability of failure 53

3.5.4 Reliability analysis using Hasofer-Lind approach (FORM) 53

3.5.5 Solution of reliability index equation 57

3.5.6 Reliability analysis of Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS) 60

3.5.7 Regression Analysis of ASWSS and Natural Soil properties 64

CHAPTER FOUR RESULTS AND DISCUSSION 68

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4.1 Graphical representation of test result 69

4.1.1 Atterberg limits test results 69

4.1.2 Compaction test results 82

4.1.3 Consolidation and triaxial tests results 89

4.1.4 Specific gravity and sieve analysis results 102

4.2 Chemical analysis of ASWSS and NS 109

4.3 Organic matter content 135

4.4 X – ray diffraction test 139

4.5 Student’s t –test of triaxial test results 141

4.6 T – test atterberg limits, compaction and specific gravity test results 161

4.7 Evaluation of design data 184

4.7.1 Trimmed upper and extended lower mean (ASWSS) 190

4.7.2 Design values of soil properties and load effects 194

4.8 Determination of foundation width 197

4.9 Estimation of settlement value 202

4.10 Reliability of foundation design by Monte Carlo Simulation 203

4.11 Reliability of foundation design by first order reliability method (FORM) 208

4.12 Influence of foundation dimensions on the reliability of foundation design 213

4.13 Classification of ‘expected performance’ of foundation design 220

4.14 Geotechnical properties of ASWSS and NS 224

4.15 Design values 226

4.16 Safety indices of ASWSS and NS 227

4.17 Performance classification of ASWS S 228

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CHAPTER FIVE CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS 230

5.1 Summary 230

5.2 Conclusion 231

5.3 Recommendations 233

References 236

Appendix A: Safety Analysis using first order reliability method FORM 5 248

Appendix B: Determination of foundation width using MATLAB 250

Appendix C: Results of laboratory determination of geotechnical properties of

ASWSS and NS 251

Appendix D: Application of t –table in the computation of t values 261

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LIST OF TABLES

TABLE PAGE

2.1 Australia draft solid waste classification 18

2.2 Coefficient of variation for some common field measurements 23

2.3 Probability of failure for various distribution of performance function 35

2.4 Geotechnical categories related to geotechnical hazards and vulnerability

levels 37

4.1 Results of x – ray diffraction test (ASWSS) 140

4.2 Student’s t – test of triaxial test results 143

4.3 Student’s t – test of atterberg limits test results 162

4.4 T – test of compaction test results 174

4.5 Student’s t –test of specific gravity test results 180

4.6 Triaxial test results including estimated values at 4.0 and 4.5 m 189

4.7 Descending order of data in table C.4 site A/1 (ASWSS) 191

4.8 Trimmed – upper and extended lower values of data in table 4.15 192

4.9 Descending order of data in table C.4 site A/2 (ASWSS) 192

4.10 Trimmed upper and extended lower values of data in Table 4.9 192

4.11 Sample mean (µ), standard deviation () and coefficient of

variation (Cov) of soil data 193

4.12 Population mean for zones 195

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4.13 Characteristic values of soil data 196

4.14 Evaluated foundation widths using soil data of site 1 in zone A

on table C.4 199

4.15 Evaluated foundation widths using soil data of site 2 in zone A 200

4.16 Evaluated foundation width using data of site 1 of Zone B 200

4.17 Evaluated foundation width using soil data of site 2 in zone B 201

4.18 Evaluated foundation widths using soil data of site 1 in zone C 201

4.19 Evaluated foundation widths using soil data of site 2 in zone C on 202

4.20 Reliability indices and probability of failures for selected Loads,

foundation depths and foundation widths by monte carlo simulation 205

4.21a Mean values and standard deviation of aswss properties 209

4.21b Mean values and standard deviation of NS properties 210

4.22 Reliability indices and probability of failures for selected loads,

Foundation depths, and foundation width by first order reliability

method (FORM 5) 210

4.23 Standard classification of ‘expected performance’ of foundation design 220

4.24 Classification of ‘expected performance’ of spread foundation design 221

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LIST OF FIGURES

FIGURE PAGE

2.1(a) Probability densities for soil resistance and loads 33

2.1(b) Probability density for margin of safety 33

3.1a Map of Kaduna State showing the sampled areas in red verge 41

3.1b Map of part of Kaduna town showing test points 42

3.3 Plot of Resistance and Load showing the definition of

reliability index 55

4.1 Variation of liquid limit, plastic limit, plasticity index and shrinkage

limit with depth 70

4.2 Variation of maximum dry density and optimum moisture content

with depth 83

4.3 Variation of total settlement with depth 90

4.4 Variation of cohesion, angle of internal resistance and unit weight

of soil with depth 93

4.5 Variation of specific gravity with depth 103

4.6 Variation of clay and silt content with depth 106

4.7 Variation of sulphate, chloride, carbonate and calcium/magnesium

with depth in wet season 111

4.8 Variation of sulphate, chloride, carbonate and calcium/magnesium

with depth in dry season 123

4.9 Variation of organic matter content with depth 136

4.10 Influence of foundation depth increase on reliability of foundation

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design 214

4.11 Influence of foundation width increase on reliability of foundation

design 217

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LIST OF PLATES

PLATE PAGE

1 Site 1 of Zone A at Tudun Wada, Kaduna Nigeria 43

2 Site 2 of Zone A at Malali, Kaduna Nigeria 43

3 Site 1 of Zone B at Sabo, Kaduna Nigeria 44

4 Site 2 of Zone B at Kakuri, Kaduna Nigeria 44

5 Site 1of Zone C at Costain, Kaduna Nigeria 45

6 Site 2 of Zone C at Nassarawa, Kaduna Nigeria 45

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LIST OF SYMBOLS/ABBREVIATIONS AND UNITS

SYMBOL/ABBREVIATION TERM UNIT

LRFD Load and Resistance Factor Design

ASD Allowable Stress Design

WSD Working Stress Design

AASHTO American Association of State Highway

and Transportation Officials

LSD Limit State Design

Sc, Sq, & Sγ. Shape Factors

dc, dq, & dγ Depth Factors

NC, Nq & Nɤ Bearing Capacity Coefficients

γ Unit Weight of Soil kN/m3

B Foundation Width M

R Soil capacity (Resistance) kN/m2

Q Load kN/m2

µ Mean Value

σ Standard Deviation

Cov Covariance

FORM First Order Reliability Method

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FOSM First Order Second Moment

SLS Serviceability Limit State

E ( ) Expected Value

YL Life Load Factor

YD Dead Load Factor

Reliability Index

Pf Probability of failure

Ø Angle of internal resistance degrees

C Cohesion kN/m2

SWSS Solid Waste Site Soil

NS Natural Soil

RBD Reliability Based Design

\

MCS Monte Carlo Simulation

E Load Effects kN/m2

Ed Design Load Effects kN/m2

Rd Design Soil Resistance kN/m2

ULS Ultimate Limit State

F Factor of Safety

Pij Correlation Coefficient between i and j

βo Regression Intercept

β1 Regression Slope

ε Regression Error Term

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Z Foundation depth

SPT Standard Penetration Test Blows/ft

CPT Cone Penetration Test MN/m2

VST Vane Shear Test kN/m2

DMT Dilatometer Test kN/m2

PMT Pressuremeter Test kN/m2

LL Liquid Limit %

PL Plastic Limit %

PI Plasticity Index %

LS Shrinkage Limit %

OMC Optimum Moisture Content %

MDD Maximum Dry Density g/cm3

GS Specific Gravity

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ABSTRACT This study adopted experimental design to investigate the suitability of abandoned solid waste site soil (ASWSS) as a foundation material for building construction. Measurements of geotechnical properties of stratified random soil samples of ASWSS and adjoining natural soil (NS) at depths 1.5, 2.0, 2.5, 3.0 and 3.5 m were obtained from six test points in Kaduna, Nigeria. The soil samples were subjected to sieve analysis, Atterberg limits (liquid limit, plastic limit, plasticity index and shrinkage limit), compaction, consolidation, triaxial, specific gravity tests as well as chemical characterization. Data treatment of ASWSS was carried out by applying 15% upper trim and 15% lower extended mean. These were done to forestall the effects of ‘reinforced earth scenario’ (unusual high strength spots caused by mix matrices of soil and fibrous materials) and unnoticed randomly distributed weak spots. Design data were evaluated in accordance with the provision of European code (Eurocode 7). The responses of ASWSS and NS to loadings were investigated by carrying out spread foundation designs on both of them using the same loading and geometric conditions. The two sets of designs were subjected to safety measurements by first order reliability method and Monte Carlo simulation respectively. The comparative reliability of ASWSS and NS with respect to structural loading was obtained in forms of reliability index and probability of failure. Significant differences in the geotechnical properties of ASWSS and NS were observed. The liquid and plastic limits of ASWSS fell in the ranges of 28 – 32% and 25 – 37% respectively. The angles of internal resistance ranged from 7 - 15º for ASWSS and 8 º - 17º for NS. Clay and silt accounted for up to 90% of ASWSS in some cases while as low as 9 kN/m2 cohesion was recorded. The composition of organic matters in ASWSS was found to be in the range of 2.1 – 5% while that of calcium/magnesium ranged between 106 mg/kg and 1000 mg/kg. Corrosive agents of sulphate and carbonate were found in the ranges of 235 – 903 mg/kg and 20 – 50 mg/kg respectively. The main mineral composition was quartz (silicon oxide), rutile (titanium oxide) and stolzite (lead tungsten oxide). Design values of cohesion, angle of internal resistance and unit weight of soil were obtained in the ranges of 9.5 – 12 kN/m2, 7 - 20º and 12.9 – 14.3 kN/m3 respectively for ASWSS. The safety of foundation designs on ASWSS and NS was obtained in terms of reliability index and probability of failure. Despite the record of small probability of failure of 0.00013, corresponding to reliability index of 3.75, there were few cases of zero reliability indices corresponding to probability of failure of 0.5 on ASWSS. These values placed ASWSS in the category of ‘hazardous to high’ safety index in the standard performance classification formats. Sulphate resistant cement, large reinforced concrete basement or foundations covering large areas and a minimum foundation depth of 2.0 m are recommended for all structural foundations built on abandoned solid waste sites.

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CHAPTER ONE

INTRODUCTION

In most geotechnical engineering work concerning Solid Waste Sites, efforts seemed to

have been directed mainly towards discovering the mechanical properties of solid waste

site soil (SWSS) in order to determine the safe and reliable landfill inclination slopes and

consequently landfill capacity. In other words, landfill structure is the main focus and its

safe design the concern. However, the high cost and quest for municipal space for

infrastructural development invariably calls for judicious management and use of

available ones by optimizing the benefits derivable from all lands including old landfills.

A higher scale of this phenomenon is clearly and currently observed in most areas with

the resultant economy of space almost over-emphasized in the affected wards.

Establishing the geotechnical properties of SWSS is primary to the use of landfill for any

engineering purpose though geotechnical investigation results by their very terms do not

portray absolute conclusion of the elements they speak of, especially in their precise

order. Spatial and geotechnical uncertainties exist significantly in different forms.

In addition to the wide ranges of approximations attending the practice, assessment of

SWSS properties is categorically fraught with uncertainties in obtaining representative

samples, time –dependent variations in soil characteristics and different or almost

incompatible reactions of layers of SWSS to the applied stress values as a result of the

heterogeneity of waste composition. These uncertainties are either compensated for,

using relevant probabilistic and statistical theories or designs and engineering judgments

are made based on incomplete geotechnical information and traditional factor of safety

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which by nature lacks logical competence to address the inconsistency posed by these

wide ranges of uncertainties. Structural and mechanical engineering practices which deal

with specified material geometries and qualities have their uncertainties arising from the

prediction of tolerances to which the structural members may be built and also the

stresses and environmental conditions to which they may be exposed (Phoon, 2008).

However the practice is different in geotechnical engineering. Geological materials are

investigated in their natural state and their conditions are, of necessity, inferred from

measurements carried out on limited sample sizes (Baecher and Christian, 2003). The

uncertaintities therefore, arise from the accuracy and completeness with which the

geotechnical properties are discovered and the prediction of the mobilized resistance of

soil and rock materials. Reliability-based design incorporates interalia, the principles of

probability, statistics and other mathematical solutions to give expressions and make

allowances for uncertain elements in the use of evaluated soil properties for foundation

design.

Due to social and economic reasons, strong preference has become an important element

in the settlement pattern of most of the world cities. This has created an informal

polarization of settlement and uneven distribution of population among the various wards

that make up the townships. Undoubtedly, waste generation has followed the same

pattern.

A study of this nature therefore, is most desirable at a time when pressures on land

acquisition, coupled with lack of strict regulation, have driven individuals, public and

private outfits into indiscriminate use of abandoned solid waste site soil (ASWSS) for

various purposes. This study comes in to equip the public with the knowledge of the

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varying risk levels involved and the required geotechnical procedures to adopt in the use

of ASWSS for different developments.

1.1 Background

The first rational system of reference for the classification of geological materials

behaviour and interpretation of observations/experience developed out of a scientific

approach launched by Karl Terzaghi (1883-1963) in 1925 to study varying responses of

soil and rock under differently specified stress characterization using the knowledge of

physical science and engineering mechanics (Baecher and Christian 2003). From here

geotechnical engineering took off and went through series of technological refinements to

arrive at the present geotechnical reliability which is the integration and extension of the

works of Freudenthal (1947), Purgsley (1955) and Cornell (1969).

These pioneers of geotechnical engineering warned that the results of laboratory tests,

their own observation/assertions or anybody’s else do not advance conclusive narrative,

since applying finite efforts to discover the state of an engineering site as laid down by

nature obviously involves a number of unpleasant approximations and uncertainties

which must be quantified and compensated for using reliability based methods. In

practical terms, reliability deals with the relationship between the loads a system has to

carry and its ability to carry those loads (Baecher and Christian 2003). The interaction

between the load and resistance becomes uncertain if the quantitative evaluation of the

load and resistance variables bears any uncertain elements. The widest and simplest

expression of reliability is in the form of reliability index and probability of failure which

may be related mathematically.

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There has been an intensive search for a design model that has sufficient probabilistic and

statistical robustness to address soil properties and model variability in geotechnical

engineering until 1978 when load and resistance factor design (LRFD) method was

discovered in the proposal submitted by Ravindra and Galambos (1978). Their

submission which received approval for publication in the first edition of load and

resistance factor design manual for steel construction, published in 1986, formed the

basis for the development of a safety control format for steel structures in United States

(US) codes. The code clearly defines the material capacity as the resistance and the

aggregate stress to be imposed on the structure as the load.

This period was actually preceded by the period of implicit consensus and understanding

that the traditional methods (allowable and working stress designs) were not capable of

meeting the technical challenges posed by the model and soil properties uncertainties.

According to Phoon (2008), ‘LRFD is used in a loose way to encompass methods that

require all limit states to be checked using a specific multiple-factor format involving

load and resistance factor’. It started as partial factor design approach (DA) in Europe;

limit state design (LSD) in Canada and LRFD in United States, where practical

application of the model and development of its code have been recorded. It is

noteworthy to say that the European design approach (DA) has undergone tremendous

reliability-based refinement both in code calibration and design modeling that resulted in

the recent design standard called Eurocode 7.

The National Research Council (2006) report acknowledged the fact that the inherent and

unavoidable uncertainties resulting from soil properties measurements and model

imprecision, and how they affect design decisions, need to be assessed by modern and

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improved methods, simplified enough to attract world-wide acceptance. The very attempt

to evaluate the reliability of a system is an acceptance of the fact that it is unrealistic to

attain absolute reliability if uncertain elements have been identified in the system and

thus making probabilistic analysis imperative.

Three philosophical issues here may be identified: the readiness of geotechnical

engineering community to redirect the mind set towards a reliability based design format

that has a good portion of its concept based on probabilistic analysis; the need to reduce

the mathematical complexity in reliability-based design (RBD) to a simplified model that

can be handled by non-specialist in numerical and statistical analysis and lastly the

reliability based calibration of comprehensive multiple factor formats that capture the

variability in the sources of uncertainties (Robert et al, 2008).

RBD was introduced to civil engineering in form of structural reliability theory by

Freudenthal (1947) and Pugsley (1955). Like any other new concept, it was developed to

improve the management of failure tendencies by carrying out design based on certain

criteria that consistently reduce the probability of failure to its acceptable minimum.

However, the mathematical rigour involved in the application of the theory even in

simple designs, made the concept unpopular. Several attempts were made towards

simplifying RBD theory, but the most popular was the one by Cornell (1969) where he

reformulated Gaussian equation into a model requiring just the second moment statistical

descriptors (mean and covariance) of uncertain material parameters to evaluate the

reliability index equation.

At this stage, however, the solution of Cornell’s equation was still found inconsistent

when the performance function of factor of safety was replaced by that of margin of

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safety, though their limit state equations were mechanically equivalent. Hasofer and Lind

(1974) addressed this problem by proposing an equation of uncertain elements containing

dimensionless variables whose mean value and standard deviation are zero and unity

respectively. They redefined reliability index whose geometric interpretation is the linear

displacement between the closest point on the failure surface and the point defined by the

expected values of the variables

The probability characteristics exhibited by inherent spatial variability in ASWSS

properties make it exceptionally suitable for probability-based reliability treatment. It is

clear that of all the sources of uncertainties, the natural random soil heterogeneity appears

to have the worst effect on the failure mechanism of structural foundation soil. This fact

and the deviation of the actual failure surface from its theoretical domain may be

dramatic for ASWSS.

The earlier solution of reliability equations ‘postulates an existence of average response

that depends on the average values of the soil properties’ (Phoon et al. 2003). This

average response is assumed to be characteristically identical with that observed from a

corresponding homogenous field having the same properties as the average properties of

randomly heterogeneous soil. However recent works have revealed the possibility of the

deviation of actual failure surface from its theoretically evaluated domain to a weaker

part of material formation and thereby rendering the evaluated average strength of soil

material higher than the actual mobilized strength. This has a serious consequence on

design.

It is understandable that a comprehensive description of a random geological formation

that mimics the exact spatial heterogeneity of its materials is not realistic. The progress

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now, therefore, is the evolution of models and standards like Eurocode 7, first and second

order reliability methods (FORM and SORM), Monte Carlo simulation (MCS), cross

correlation structure (CCS), cross-spectral density matrix (CSDM) etcetera, that reduce

approximations and give description of random fields more accurately (Baecher and

Christian, 2003 and Hema and Emil, 2015)..

1.2 Statement of Problem

The management of solid waste, though not totally neglected, has witnessed several but

failed attempts to make it worthwhile especially in most part of the developing world. In

the absence of engineered repositories, relevant SWSS management skills and controlled

disposal points, waste is indiscriminately disposed at open dumps situated at low lying

areas or undeveloped and unused land masses usually not in close proximity to dwelling

places (Ramaiah, et al., 2010). However, municipal expansion and proliferation of social

and economic activities soon render such dump sites an environmental misnomer with

subsequent abandonment of the use and re-allocation of it for infrastructural development

ultimately. Not enough is seen in the treatment of SWSS by composting, and the high

water content makes incineration critically seasonal.

Where professionals are involved, thorough investigation of ASWSS is often

recommended with the result revealing most of the time the anticipated weakness in soil

data. Upon this weakness has been based the argument against the use of ASWSS and in

favour of the search for alternative sites most of the time. Traditionally, the empirical

expression of these risk levels (weakness) coherently and numerically is what has been

absent. This is the solution provided by the recent development in geotechnical reliability

and with the risk level of ASWSS explicitly, though not unanswerably, presented by a

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tested and approved risk controlling model, ASWSS designs and decision making are

made simple. This study was intended to make its impact in this direction.

The use of ASWSS for development, whether the preference of the developers or not, is a

widely known practice despite the structural foundation failures recorded in the practice

in the recent times. Developments on ASWSS require more than adherence to the

mandatory provisions of building codes. The design details should be the product of

tested and approved risk controlling techniques like reliability – based method. Many

catastrophic and fatal failures of landfill structures and waste dumps were recorded

between 1997 and 2005 world-wide, resulting into the death of over 600 people and

mobilization and redistribution of over 1.5 million m3 of waste (Gandolla et al., 1979; Eid

et al., 2000; Blight, 2004 and Merry et al., 2005). The environmental damage caused by

these catastrophes, most of which were reported to have occurred in developing nations,

was almost irreparable (Blight, 2008). One of the most recent and surprising cases was

the 2011 failure of a students workshop cited on an ASWSS in a tertiary institution

having a notable civil Engineering department in Nigeria.

In the face of the current scarcity of municipal land, old and abandoned Solid Waste Sites

may not be allowed to waste without development. On the other hand, if failures are

recorded despite claims of adequate site investigation and propriety of designs, it means

something has to be done to acknowledge and accept the peculiarities of SWSS that

require relevant statistical and reliability treatment of its soil data to make it a fair

representation of both the tested sample and untested mass in the parent population. Until

this is done, there will continue to be the tendency of either the design of structural

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foundation members below its failure level or elusive selection of factor of safety in a

defensible and uneconomical manner.

Results obtained from modern methods (especially Monte Carlo simulation) have

revealed worrisome discrepancies between the average response of spatially variable soils

and the response of corresponding homogenous soil (Phoon et al 2003). For instance,

Nobahar and Popescu (2000) and Griffiths et al. (2002) discovered up to 30% decrease in

the mean value of bearing capacity of spatially variable soils having coefficient of

variation of 50%, compared with the bearing capacity of corresponding homogenous soil

with the same average soil properties.

An increase of 12% in the average settlement of spatially variable soil having coefficient

of variation of 42% was equally discovered by Paice et al. (1996) over the settlement of

corresponding homogenous geological formation having equivalent mean soil properties.

The summary results of the work of Popescu et al. (1997) projected up to 20% increase in

pore-water pressure for a non-homogenous soil deposit having coefficient of variation of

40%, over that of corresponding homogenous soil deposit with equivalent mean soil

properties.

The technical issues raised by these uncertainties constituted the target of some of the

recent works. It is obvious, however, that not all the modern methods have what it takes

to address the effect of these discrepancies in the use of soil data for design and analysis.

While appreciating the efforts of these researchers and those mentioned earlier, one

question remains unanswered and that is ‘how can the combined efforts of these

researchers be harnessed to solve the obvious problem of variability in geotechnical

reliability?’’ This is part of the focus of this study.

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1.3 Aim of the Study

The aim of the study was to explore the contrasting responses of ASWSS and adjoining

NS to structural loading so as to establish the peculiar geotechnical characteristics of

ASWSS.

1.4 Objectives of the Study

The specific objectives were

i. To obtain the properties of ASWSS and adjourning Natural Soil (NS) for

comparison with those reported in similar and recent works of other areas.

ii. To obtain design values of soil properties using Eurocode 7 and reliability

methods for both ASWSS and adjourning natural ground.

iii. To evaluate the reliability indices and probabilities of failure of foundation

designs for both ASWSS and adjourning natural soil in all cases using reliability

based computer program (FORM5).

iv. To categorize, from the results of ii and iii, the safety indices of ASWSS

foundation designs and the proportion of deviation from those of the natural

adjourning soil and make recommendations regarding the use of ASWSS for

developments.

1.5 Significance of the Study Despite large scale investigation of random fields for representative values, shear strength

characteristics and values so far reported in literature fall in an amazingly wide range as a

result of SWSS field variation in its geotechnical character. The design engineer will

therefore be in dilemma as to which value to adopt. Lack of the application of modern

and effective probability-based reliability methods in establishing the engineering

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behaviour of ASWS is partly responsible for the wrong selection of design data used in

the prediction of failure zones that are higher than the actual field values.

The design process of this study is illustrative and its results the direct products of

reliability-based handling of ASWSS and thus may be reliably applied in judgments and

decision making concerning the loads to be imposed on ASWSS sites. This will also save

the community, developers and a relevant professional body further loses from ASWSS

structural foundation failures and the embarrassment of being associated with such

failures in the practice.

1.6 Delimitation of the Study

The application of only the geotechnical aspect of foundation design based on Eurocode

7, Monte Carlo simulation and first order reliability method defined the analytical

boundary of the study. The structural component of foundation design which requires

second order reliability method (SORM) was not included.

A total of six abandoned solid waste sites (ASWSS), two in Kaduna North; two in

Kaduna South and two in the land between, were selected for study. This is due to the

facts of literature that have shown appreciable similarity among the results of studies

conducted on ASWSS. A depth range of 1.5 to 3.5m were selected for material sampling

and a scheme of geotechnical investigation was designed to include the

conduct/determination of: unit weight of soil, water content, direct shear box tests,

atterberg limits, triaxial compression tests, grain-size distribution, consolidation and

compaction test. Direct and indirect application of some of these measurements were

made in relevant models while others were used in comparative assessment of the states

of ASWSS and NS.

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Bearing capacity measurement is conspicuously absent from the list, and this is due to the

fact that there was no intention of considering stress imposition on ASWSS soil by

highway structures, though that may be a possible dimension of consideration.

Furthermore, special attention is often given to heterogeneous soil outcrop and

exceptionally weak formation in both design and construction of highways.

1.7 Limitations of the Study An overall or system reliability (SYSREL) evaluation requires the analysis of both the

geotechnical and structural components of foundation structure. A higher order reliability

method, however, is required for the structural analysis and this was not included in this

study because of lack of requisite knowledge of the author in structural reliability theory

and practice.

1.8 Research Questions To provide a direction and focus to the execution of this study the following research

questions are generated

(i) What are the differences between the engineering properties of ASWSS and those

of the adjourning natural soil and how do they compare with those reported in

literature?

(ii) What procedures are employed to arrive at the appropriate design values of soil

data?

(iii) How do the reliability indices and probabilities of failure of ASWSS compare

with those of corresponding natural soil in each case of design method?

(iv) What are the tolerances and levels of safety indices of ASWSS on the standard

expected performance classification table?

1.9 Organization of this Study

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This study is divided into five chapters, the first of which presents the problem and

current situation of ASWSS and advances some modern techniques and approaches in

design and statistical treatment of data to address it. It highlights the evolution and

improvement trend of these approaches and generates their application objectives to

achieve the overall purpose of the study within the defined measurement and analytical

ambits. It is concluded with a note on the potential weakness of the study, scholarly

limitations of the author, benefits and beneficiaries of the results of the study. The second

chapter describes mainly the published principles and practical approaches to a realistic

characterization of ASWSS and corresponding design methodologies that take into

account the randomly variable distribution of its soil character. In this section, the

principles of reliability-based design, their theoretical basis and validity and the

feasibility of their practical application are well discussed.

The third chapter relates to the plan for the execution of the study and contains briefs

under the following subheadings; design, subjects, instrumentation and

procedure/methods of data analysis. The fourth chapter presents a procedural model of

ASWSS data statistics and employs first order and Monte Carlo Simulation reliability to

predict the expected responses of ASWSS and its corresponding NS under differently

specified stress characterization. The fifth chapter is a brief that summarizes the salient

features of the study including key findings from modern design and analytical efforts to

discover the true state of ASWSS. It is concluded with relevant proposals on the possible

geotechnical and statistical solutions to the problems associated with the use of

ASWSS for developments.

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CHAPTER TWO LITERATURE REVIEW

In a study of this nature, a review of existing knowledge, theories and outcomes of other

people’s works is unanswerably necessary. This chapter presents the published works

and results of other scholars and researchers and the relation which their procedures and

findings bear to this study in the following order of subsections:

• Properties of ASWSS;

• ASWSS as foundation soil;

• Safety analysis of ASWSS and

• Classification of reliability of ASWSS.

In this chapter the engineering phenomena taking place in the life of ASWSS, the

characteristics of its geotechnical properties and the factors modifying them are well

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described. The purpose of this chapter, inter alia, is to establish a vocabulary for the

entire study and present brief accounts of new approaches to safety analysis of ASWSS

that address the problem posed by its inconsistent composition.

2.1 Properties of Solid Waste Soil The term waste refers to those materials that have negative value to its current owner

especially in its current form and location (Baccini and Brunner, 1991; Tchobanoglous et

al., 1993). Municipal solid waste entails wastes generated within a town, city or districts

and excludes those from commercial, industrial and building construction or demolition

processes. They are mainly the tangible by-products of domestic and council activities.

In a health conscious and organized society, solid wastes are found in strategically

located and designated dump sites called sanitary or landfills. These sanitary fills may be

owned and privately operated to accept waste only from the owner (on site) or operated

on behalf of municipal authorities and licensed to accept wastes from generators other

than owner (landfill). However in a poorly managed system, they may be found in

arbitrary and uncontrolled locations within or outside residential areas. Its unique

geotechnical properties which result from wide range of its material composition are of

primary importance in describing its engineering behavior. These properties may be

examined in three basic perspectives namely, classification, compressibility and shear

strength characteristics.

2.1.1 Classification of municipal solid waste Solid Waste classification is a system that allows the separation of Solid Waste

composition into its material types, identified in percentage by weight and could be

related or compared with similar data from different sources. A number of classification

systems obviously exist, but the basis for a choice of classification appears to be the

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purpose and nature of composition. For the purpose of management and pollution control,

wastes may be classified according to the composition of its waste stream, disposal routes

and generating source. A comprehensive sample of this mode of classification is shown

in Australia Draft Solid Waste Classification of September 1993 in Table 2.1 For the

purpose of engineering services Solid Waste may be classified based on compositional

characteristics, aging level and degradation potential with reference to a particular

location in space or time along the continuum. When information is required on

variability characteristics of geotechnical properties of ASWSS due to degradation and

compressibility, then Landva and Clerk (1990) classification of SWSS into organic and

inorganic constituents becomes most relevant.

The material properties and grain size of a soil allow it to be assigned to one of the

limited number of classification groups namely clay, silt, sand, gravel and stone. The

particle size distribution curve actually reveals the composition of these groups in a

particular soil mass. However, there are larger particles in ASWSS than are commonly

found in soil and which are capable of influencing test results. Approximately then, two

approaches to the classification of material composition of ASWSS are necessary in

engineering measurement. The first approach is the general classification in which soil

component is treated as a single material. The second approach is the classification of soil

material portion into its standard groups, that is, stone, gravel, silt and clay.

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Table 2.1: Australia Draft Solid Waste Classification (Tchobanoglous et al., 1993)

Proc./Disposal Route Waste Stream Principal Source

Sub-stream 1 Secondary Source

Sub-stream 2 Measurement/Transport mode

Sub-stream 3 Material Composition

1 Recycling A: Municipal Waste 1 Domestic waste 0 All, Weighbridge 0 Mixed 2 Composting 2 Other Domestic 1 Cars, station wagons 1 Paper/cardboard 3 Incineration 3 Other Council 2 Utes, p/vans, sgl axle

Trailers 2 Food/kitchen

4 Landfill 3 Ige utes, multiple axle Trailers

3 Garden

5 On-site B: Commercial. & Industrial.

0 Unknown 4 Open trucks, Gross wt < 5t

4.1 Wood

A Agriculture 5 Open trucks, 5t < Gr wt < 12t

4.2 Trees > 150mm dia

B Mining 6 Open trucks, Gross wt > 12t

5 Tyres

C Manufacturing 7 Compactors, bins<8m3

6 Glass

D Electricity, Gas and Water

8 Compactors, bins 8 – 12m3

7 Plastic

F Wholesale and Retail Trade

9 Compactors, bins 12 – 19m3

8.1 Ferrous – mixed

G Transport and Storage

10 Compactors, bins 19 – 32m3

8.2 Ferrous – car

HIJ Services sector 11 Compactors, bins >32m3

9.1 Special –Other

K Community services (hlth, ed)

12 Other 9.2 Special –Sewage sldg

L Recreation, Tourism 9.3 Special –Dusty waste C: Building. and

Demolition. X Waste processing Facility

9.4 Putrescible/Organic (K)

9.5 Asbestos (N220) 9.6 Clinical & Pharm. (R) 10 Clean fill (mixed) 10.1 Bricks 10.2 Concrete 10.3 Carpet 10.4 Plaster board 10.5 Non-ferrous-Al. 10.6 Non-ferrous-Other 10.7 Ceramics 10.8 Clean excavated

Matl 11 Other segregated

2.1.2 Compression characteristics of ASWSS The results of Bjarngard and Edgers (1990) analysis of settlement data from twenty four

(24) case histories explained the settlement pattern of ASWSS in three chronological

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stages. In the first stage (immediate settlement), stress dependent primary settlement

occurs quickly within 300 days of stress application in reaction to the compression of

SWSS under loading conditions.

A linear relation with gentle slope is observed between strain and logarithmic time in this

settlement curve. This initial phase of settlement occurs in both new and old SWSS fills

and continues for a period of about one year after which decomposition in recent deposits

is activated. Acute degradation of organic composition sets in, with the resultant

production of leachate and gas, causing the development of destabilizing pore pressures.

The continuation of this phenomenon leads to a secondary phase of creep and non-stress

dependent long-term settlement. This phase accounts for the greatest part of SWSS

settlement and may be sustained for many years. Extraction of leachate and gas at this

stage especially in an engineered repository system may be carried out if the fill is to be

considered as the foundation ground for engineering structure.

In the absence of fresh deposits (in the case of abandonment) and after a sufficiently long

period of time (20 years and above), there is a drop in settlement scale (third stage) and a

linear strain/logarithmic time scale relation develops again with a minimal slope due to

gradually ending process of decomposition. Depending on the magnitude of loading , the

creep of non-degradable but compressible materials and residual decomposition of

organic substances may induce further but small scale settlement and progressive

redistribution of stresses at this stage. From the analysis of these three stages of

settlement, Bjarngard and Edgers (1990) modeled the settlement of SWSS as follows:

= ∆

+ () ()

()+ ()

()

() 2,1

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Where = settlement, = initial thickness of landfill, = initial effective stress,∆ =

stress increment, = compression index (slope of strain versus logarithmic effective

stress), ∝ = coefficient of mechanical secondary compression and ∝ = coefficient

of secondary compression due to residual decomposition.

2.1.3 Shear strength characteristics of ASWSS The shear strength of ASWS is that property that binds its element together and enables it

to remain in equilibrium when its surface is not level as a result of a combination of inter

particle attraction and resistance to inter particle slip and mass deformation (Smith, 1998;

Bowles 1996). Shear strength which is often correlated to its parameters of cohesion and

angle of internal resistance, is of primary importance in describing the strength

characteristics of ASWSS.

It is often expressed using coulomb failure criterion as (Smith and Smith, 1998)

= ∅ + 2.2

Where = ℎ ℎ ,

= ,

∅ = ℎ

= ℎ

However the heterogeneous composition, time-dependent and inconsistent properties of

SWS have made its shear strength evaluation from field and laboratory measurements

difficult and costly.

Generally, the common approaches include triaxial compression test, shear box test, in-

situ tests (like CPT, SPT, etc) and back computation from plate loading test. The

conventional application of these test methods and their resulting data in ASWSS

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investigation and foundation design has proved to be inadequate, unreliable and most of

the time bears no meaningful correlation with the field realities (Mitchell, 1993 and

Kavazanjian, 2001). This explains why foundation failures are recorded in ASWSS

despite claims of investigation. The question then is ‘what must be done to obtain design

input data that mimics approximately the geotechnical characters of ASWS’. The answer

to this question which is the focus of this study as well as of many other researches

currently going on in the area is provided in the next section.

2.2 ASWSS as Foundation Soil In training and practice, we have often considered significant randomness in the spatial

variation and distribution of geological materials; however, our presumed randomness is

that of our knowledge and models and not of geological formation (Baecher and

Christian, 2003). Geological formation is only random to the extent to which we are

ignorant of its actual and true physical conditions. The spatial order of geological

deposition is fixed once it has been made and cannot be shuffled except by seismicity and

very low rate modification due to weather fluctuations. This goes to show that probability

is actually not in nature but in our modeling of nature (Baecher and Christian, 2003).

Since our knowledge of nature is neither accurate nor complete, there is need to deal with

geotechnical uncertainties with some elements of randomness to make statistical

solutions applicable in the subject.

The statistics of geotechnical data therefore is a combination of the statistics of measured

parameters influenced by its sample size and the statistics of relative frequencies of

occurrences of random variables whose actual spatial order is not precisely known. The

gap between our perceived geotechnical properties of an investigated site and its true

physical conditions lies in (a) measurement and data representation errors resulting in

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poor data representativeness (b) statistical imprecision associated with the use of

insufficient statistical raw data and (c) model imperfection resulting in inability to mimic

the exact physical behavior of geomaterials.

Quantitative evaluation of soil properties has revealed a great deal of variability in the

engineering behavior of geomaterials even within a particular site. Gregory and John

(2008) noted that ‘the wide ranges of the reported values are only suggestive of

conditions at a specific site’. Furthermore these observers (Gregory et al. 2008)

considered it appropriate to think about the impact of variability on safety by developing

the reliability index as:

=

= 1 2.3

Where = reliability index, = margin of safety (resistance minus load),

= Factor of safety (resistance divided by load), [.] = expected and standard

deviation. In this primary definition of reliability index, however, the two equations are

not identical except = 1 implying that = 0 also.

Equation 2.3 is theoretically an expression of the gap between expected performance and

failure state in number of standard deviations. The extent to which soil properties vary is

illustrated in Table 2.2 (Phoon and Kulhawy 2008).

Table 2.2: Coefficient of variation for some common field measurements (Phoon and

Kulhawy, 1996)

Test type Property Soil type Mean Units Cov(%) CPT Qt Clay 0.5 – 2.5 MN/m2 < 20 Qc Clay 0.5 – 2 MN/m2 20 – 40 Qc Sand 0.5 – 30 MN/m2 20 – 60 VST su Clay 5 – 400 kN/m2 10 – 40 SPT N Clay and sand 10 – 70 Blows/ft 25 – 50 A reading Clay 100 – 450 kN/m2 10 – 35

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A reading Sand 60 – 1300 kN/m2 20 – 50 B reading Clay 500 – 880 kN/m2 20 – 60 DMT B reading Sand 350 – 2400 kN/m2 20 – 60 ID Sand 1 – 8 15 – 65 KD Sand 2 – 30 20 – 50 ED Sand 10 – 50 MN/m2 10 – 35 PL Clay 400 – 2800 kN/m2 20 – 50 PMT PL Sand 1600 - 3500 kN/m2 15 – 65 EPMT Sand 5 – 15 MN/m2 8 – 30 Wn Clay and silt 13 – 100 % 6 – 30 WL Clay and silt 30 – 90 % 6 – 30 WP Clay and silt 15 – 15 % –a Laboratory Index

PI Clay and silt 10 – 40 % –a

LI Clay and silt 10 % < 10 , Clay and silt 13 – 20 KN/m2 10 – 40; Dr Sand 30 – 70 % 50 – 70b

It is important to note that the variability in SWSS properties is much higher than those of

Phoon and Kulhawy’s (1996) report.

Table 2.2 shows unbelievably large values of coefficient of variations of measured soil

properties at a particular site. These values which are in their tens of percentage

correspond to reliability indices between one and two and have such high equivalent

probabilities of failure that are not reflected in any of the recorded rates of failure of

foundations or engineering structures.

Gregory and John (2008) attributed this inconsistency to spatial averaging and

measurement noise in natural soil. Where concern is focused on the application of the

mean value of natural soil properties in a particular geomaterial volume, low measured or

evaluated values are balanced by high ones and hence a consistent reduction in the

variance of the average is observed as volumes of measurements of geomaterial get

larger. Gregory and John (2008) rightly observed that ‘averaging reduces uncertainty’.

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However this is only true if the volume of soil involved in foundation failure is similar to

the tested volume.

Measurement noise implies that variation of any degree in soil property data is a function

of actual variability in geological formation and measurement imprecision (random

error). In all cases, the random error has negative impact on the precision with which

average values may be estimated, though not in any way correlated to the spatial and

time-dependent variations in the properties of the natural geological formation.

2.2.1 Spatial variation in ASWSS In addition to inherent variability in soil properties, ASWSS is fraught with inconsistency

due to varieties of non-soil composition and their attendant influence on the measurement

of geotechnical characteristics of waste fills. In practice, the convention is to carry out

laboratory tests on soil sample passing through sieve number 4 in order to eliminate

‘larger than gravel’ materials capable of giving false measurement indication. Spatial

variation in ASWSS can be characterized in detail, but only with a large number of

observations which normally are not available (Gregory and John, 2008). A smooth

deterministic trend may be used to model spatial variation but in combination with

residuals about the trend. This model is described probabilistically by Gregory and John

(2008) as

= + 2.4

Where () is the actual soil property at location x (in multiple or single dimension),

() Is a smooth trend at and

() is the residual deviation from the trend.

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In the same vein and in the absence of large number of observations to do otherwise, the

authors (Gregory and John, 2008) described the residuals as random variable of zero

mean and some variance:

= [− 2.5

in which () is the variance of the residual.

From the equation 2.4 and 2.5, the notion of the analyst is that spatial variation in the

properties of heterogeneous soil is probabilistically distributed between the trend of

variation and the residual variation about the trend.

2.2.2 Characteristic and representative values In the face of wide ranges of variability of properties of ASWSS, one of the most critical

decisions to make is that of selecting a representative value. The European standard (EN

1990) gave the definition of characteristic value of an action (loading) as ‘its main

representative value’ and this is specified as ‘ a mean value, an upper or lower value, or a

nominal value’ (Denys and Trevor, 2008). For a randomly variable and normally

distributed load, Denys and Trevor (2008) prescribe the characteristic value

corresponding to 95% fractile as:

= + 1.645 = 1 + 1.645 2.6

with the representative values of actions as: = 2.7

where = characteristic value of an actions (loading)

= Mean value

() = Coefficient of variation

= 1.0 or , or

with , and as combining factors with the non- leading variable actions

to account for persistent and transient design situations, the frequent value ( (

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Qk) and the quasi-permanent value ( Qk). The values of these factors , and

are supplied in EN1990 especially in cases of snow and wind loads. In foundation design

calculation, the variable loads are much less significant than in many structural designs,

hence, a combination factor of unity is often applied, making the representative

actions equal to characteristic actions

The characteristic value of material property is defined by EN1990 as ‘the value

having a prescribed probability of not being attained in a hypothetical unlimited test

series ‘. EN1990 equally specified that ‘the characteristic value should be defined as the

5% fractile’. Assuming a normal distribution, the characteristic value is expressed as

= − 1.645 = (1 − 1.645 2.8

where is the mean value, is the standard deviation and is the coefficient

of variation of the unlimited test series, , and the coefficient 1.645 provides 5% fractile

of the results (Trevor and Denys , 2008). This definition of characteristic value and the

resulting equation 2.7 make a great deal of sense in structural analyses and design, where

the volume of structural element being designed and the tested volume are identical.

However, the wide margin of disparity between the soil volume involved in geotechnical

failures and the tested geomaterial volume may result in the predicted value of

violating the true and physical lower limit of an engineering field if equation 2.7 and its

definition are applied in geotechnical analyses. In ASWSS which is inherently variable

both in composition and properties, the occurrence of a limit state is influenced by the

mean strength value of soil, evaluated only from the relevant slip surface. The specified

5% fractile by EN1990 therefore, is not the 5% fractile of the tested soil samples but of

the mean strength value of only the soil mass governing that limit state. Further to the

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above SWSS geotechnical peculiarity, the mean and standard deviation values arising

from limited test results and those of the land mass governing the limit state occurrence,

may be grossly divergent, leading to the violation of the lower bound if EN1990

definition is applied in its ordinary meaning. Hence EN1990 defines the characteristic

value of a soil property as ‘a cautious estimate of the value affecting the occurrence of the

limit state.’

Beside the application rule that ‘if statistical methods are used, the characteristic value

governing the occurrence of the limit state under consideration is not greater than 5%

fractile, Eurocode 7 provides no clue as how a ‘cautious estimate’ should be arrived at.

However, a historical expression of characteristic value of soil property,

= −

√ 2.9

by student (1908) was simplified by Schneider (1997) as = − 0.5 2.10 Where = mean value of soil property = Standard deviation = Student value (which is estimated from the number, N, of test values and the

anticipated confidence level).

A practical rule proposed by Duncan (2000) is that conservative estimates of the worst

( ) and best ( ) values should be made based on the level of variability of soil

property, and the standard deviation obtained from the expression

= − /6 2.11

The characteristic value may then be calculated from equation 2.8

( = 1 − 1.645 )

2.3 Safety Analysis of ASWSS

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The summary requirements of all design codes are that structural and foundation designs

and their execution should ensure that all actions and conditions of use and operation are

sustained with acceptable levels of reliability and cost effectiveness.

In pursuance of this, Europeans standards, that is Europäische Norms (EN 1990) has

adopted the concept of limit state design to ensure that a state beyond which structures,

foundations or their elements no longer fulfills any of the operational design criteria is

satisfactorily unlikely. Two limit states are considered in this regard. They are ultimate

limit state (ULS) and serviceability limit state (SLS).

Ultimate limit state, Trevor and Denys (2008) define as ‘those situations involving safety,

such as the collapse of a structure or other forms, including excessive deformation in the

ground prior to failure, causing failure in the supported structure, or where there is a risk

of danger to people or severe economic loss.’ According to the same authors (Trevor and

Denys, 2008), ‘serviceability limit state corresponds to those conditions beyond which

the specified requirements of the structure or structural elements are no longer met.’In

foundation work and designs the description of geomaterial behavior at the instance of

limit state is paramount in ensuring that the occurrence of limit state is satisfactorily

avoided.

Traditionally, avoidance of ULS and SLS are often done separately using different

calculation models, but the difference actually lies in the fact that the strength properties

of soil are used to analyses failure mechanism as a check on ULS violation, while soil

compressibility and deformation analyses check the SLS violation. In foundation design

ultimate limit state is typically represented by the ultimate bearing capacity of the soil

while SLS pertains to performance requirements and is checked by applying a partial

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factor of unity to characteristic service loads and load effects. This limit states definitions

and the reliability-based evaluation of design values of action effects and soil tolerances,

establish the safe region of ASWSS designs.

2.3.1 Risk and reliability analysis Risk-based decisions are made more accurately if the probabilities of potential outcomes

of undesirable events can be predicted and the magnitude of their consequences

quantified with precision. Such decision making begins with the assignment of a measure

of probability of occurrence to an uncertain event, followed by the attempt to estimate the

magnitude of the associated adversity. Risk, even in the ordinary usage, is defined in

terms of uncertain scenario and the consequences of its occurrence, that is

= , = , 2.12

It has the sense of an event in view, the probability of that event materializing and the

consequences of the event’s materialization. The definition and measurement of risk

differ from one discipline to another. In health management for instance, risk is the

probability that people will contact certain disease in the circumstance of vulnerability. It

is the fractional measure of the adversely affected, out of those exposed to such pathogen.

Risk in this circumstance is modeled as equal to probability, that is

= = 2.13

In insurance policy administration, the risk in respect of an insured vehicle against total

loss in the event of theft is equal to the total cost of replacing it. Here risk is modeled as

equal to consequence, that is

= = 2.14

However, in the contexts of engineering, risk is defined as the product of probability and

consequence, that is

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= = 2.15

(Baecher and Christian 2003).

These definitions appear simple, but their integration into analytical and design models of

engineering facilities is something else.The term ‘acceptable risk level’ has been used

several times to make the various application of risk assessment exhibit regularities, but

not even the government of united state acting through her congress has been able to

define ‘acceptable risk levels’ for civil infrastructure (Baecher and Christian 2003). This

appears to have been left to the professional discretion of relevant regulatory agencies.

Generally, lower risk levels are commonly associated with higher costs, but the

interesting flexibility in engineering is the fact that risk levels may be lowered

considerably to mitigate the huge consequences of failure or raised to achieve economy.

In civil engineering, risk is often evaluated in terms of probability of failure. The

uncertainty in the ability of a system to carry its designed load is reflected in the

difference or harmony between the expected and observed performance of the system

during the reference period of interaction. This ability, which includes the uncertaintities

in the determination of both the force effects and ground resistance, is commonly

expressed in the form of reliability index or probability of failure. However the

uncertaintities in the determination of the load (Q) and resistance (R) have made their

values uncertain and thus having such statistical descriptors as mean , expected value

( [ ]), standard deviation , coefficient of variation Ω =

, variance , correlation

coefficient ρ and covariance cov[ ].

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Irrespective of the probability distribution of the load () and the ground resistance (),

two performance functions are applicable in geotechnical reliability analysis. They are

margin of safety and factor of safety, with

= − 2.16

and

= / 2.17

Applying equation 2.16 in the definition of reliability index, the mean value and variance

of are − 2.18

and = + - 2 2.19

respectively.

Reliability index which expresses the linear departure of from its failure surface

( = ) in units of standard deviation is defined as

=

=

− 2

2.20

This definition of β is typically illustrated in Figure 2.1a for probability densities of

and and in Figure 2.1b for margin of safety ( ).

Prob

abili

ty d

ensi

ty fu

nctio

n (P

df)

Load

()

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Distribution of & Figure 2.1a Probability densities for &

Figure 2.1b Probability density for

However, if the performance function of factor of safety is used then

= 2.21

Failure occurs when the value of F is unity, that is = 1 and a reliability index is

expressed as = − 1 2.22

Expressing the ratio of two uncertain elements as in the case of equations 2.21 and 2.22 is

obviously more difficult to solve than when their difference is simply required. Baecher

and Christian (2003) reported that ‘some researchers have assumed that R and are log

normally distributed (that is, the logarithm of R and are normally distributed) so that

the logarithm of their ratio becomes the differences between their logarithms.’ The

expression for in this regard becomes identical with Equations 2.20 - 2.21. In design

pdf

( )

Failure zone (i.e. probability of failure pf)

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and analysis, the performance of a geotechnical structure is described by either or

called the performance function. The statistical distribution of either or is important

in the evaluation of the reliability index .

A normal case of distribution is applicable when or logarithm of is normally

distributed, that is, in a sequence of observed or logarithm of the values cluster

around a central one, with smaller deviations of additive nature occurring more

frequently than larger ones (Kottegoda and Rosso, 1997; Baecher and Christian, 2003).

When evaluated from Equation 2.22 and in terms of , lognormal case is applies, that

is, a multiplicative effect of deviations from the central value is observed. Gamma

distribution applies if additive nature of the squares of errors is observed while

symmetrically triangular gives rise to a triangular case of distribution (Baecher and

Christian 2003; Kottegoda and Rosso, 1997). Table 2.3 gives values of the probability of

failure for some distributions of performance function and for a range of reliability index.

Table 2.3: Probability of failure for various distribution of performance function

(Baecher and Christian, 2003)

Probability of failure

Reliability index

Normal distribution

Triangular distribution

Ω = 0.05 Ω = 0.10 Ω = 0.15

0.0 5.000 x 10 – 1 5.000 x 10 – 1 5.100 x 10 – 1 5.199 x 10 – 1 5.297 x 10 – 1 0.5 3.085 x 10 – 1 3.167 x 10 – 1 3.150 x 10 – 1 3.212 x 10 – 1 3.271 x 10 – 1 1.0 1.586 x 10 – 1 1.751 x 10 – 1 1.583 x 10 – 1 1.571 x 10 – 1 1.551 x 10 – 1 1.5 6.681 x 10 – 2 7.513 x 10 – 2 6.236 x 10 – 2 5.713 x 10 – 2 5.111 x 10 – 2 2.0 2.275 x 10 – 2 1.684 x 10 – 2 1.860 x 10 – 2 1.437 x 10 – 2 1.026 x 10 – 2 2.5 6.210 x 10 – 3 0.0 4.057 x 10 – 3 2.298 x 10 – 3 1.048 x 10 – 3 3.0 1.350 x 10 – 3 0.0 6.246 x 10 – 4 2.111 x 10 – 4 4.190 x 10 – 5 3.5 2.326 x 10 – 4 0.0 6.542 x 10 – 5 9.831 x 10 – 6 4.415 x 10 – 7 4.0 3.167 x 10 – 5 0.0 4.484 x 10 – 6 1.977 x 10 – 7 6.469 x 10 – 10 4.5 3.398 x 10 – 6 0.0 1.927 x 10 – 7 1.396 x 10 – 9 4.319 x 10 – 14

Log Normal distribution

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5.0 2.867 x 10 – 7 0.0 4.955 x 10 – 9 2.621 x 10 – 12

The results showed on table 2.3 reveals a non-consistent relationship between and

for the various distributions. For small values of , however the probability of failure

exhibits just little difference. Generally, the assumption of a Normal distribution is rather

conservative for most range of reliability index, and this explains why most designers opt

for Normal distribution especially when it is difficult to ascertain the exact distribution of

performance function.

2.4 Classification of Geotechnical Category EN 1990 presents three classes of consequences of failure with the introduction of three

Geotechnical categories accounting for their varying degree of safety. These are

Geotechnical categories 1 (GC1), 2 (GC2) and 3 (GC3) for low, medium and high

consequences of failure respectively. Geotechnical category 1 relates to simple structures

requiring basic and empirical design procedures and qualitative site analysis to achieve

the required reliability. The general expectation here is that of negligible consequences of

failure but where the ground condition, for instance, poses risk to property and life, this

part of the structure may be assigned a higher category to cater for the risk.

Geotechnical category 2 relates to structures requiring quantitative data to achieve the

necessary reliability, from a thoroughly investigated normal ground not prone to

exceptional risk or difficulty. Eurocode 7 partial factor design and first order reliability

methods may be employed in both design and safety assessment procedures.

Geotechnical category 3 relates to large structures and exceptionally difficult site

conditions, prone to high risk of failure. Eurocode 7 recommends extra provisions to

cater for the associated abnormal risk in addition to the provisions of Eurocode 7 which

are the minimum requirements.

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Table 2.4: Geotechnical Categories related to geotechnical hazards and vulnerability

levels (Orr and Farrell, 1999)

GC1 GC2 GC3 Expertise required Person with

appropriate comparable experience

Experienced qualified person

Experienced geotechnical specialist

Geotechnical investigations

Qualitative investigations including trial pits

Route investigations involving borings, field and laboratory tests

Additional more sophisticated investigations and laboratory tests

Design procedures Prescriptive measures and simplified design procedures, e.g. design bearing pressures based on experience or published presumed bearing pressures. Stability or deformation calculations may not be necessary

Routine calculations for stability and deformations based on design procedures in EC7

Conventional: Examples of structures

• Simple 1 and 2 storey structures and agricultural

• Spread and pile foundations

• Walls and other retaining structures

• Very large building

• Large bridges • Deep excavations • Embankments on

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buildings having maximum design column load of 250kN and maximum design wall load of 100kN/m

• Retaining walls and excavation supports where ground level difference does not exceed 2m

• Small excavations for drainage/pipes .

• Bridge piers and abutments

• Embankments and earthworks

• Ground anchors and other support systems

• Tunnels in hard, non-fractured rock

soft ground • Tunnels in soft or

highly permeable ground

It is not surprising that Eurocode 7 is silent on the detail reliability requirements of the

Geotechnical categories since the local authorities in the possession of local knowledge

have the prerogative of national or local guidance.

However, from the understanding that a reliability index lower than 2.5 is seldom used in

design, except for minor and unimportant structures and the fact that EN 1990 specifies a

target reliability index of 3.8 for representative structures for a reference period of fifty

(50) years, it suffices to suggest reliability indices of 2.5, 3.5 and 4.5 for Geotechnical

categories 1,2 and 3 respectively. This means that the assignment of a structure to a

particular Geotechnical category may be done to achieve cost effectiveness or higher

level of reliability as the case may be. However, not all parts of a structure need be

assigned the same category. Any exceptionally difficult part like poor or difficult

supporting ground may be assigned a higher Geotechnical category. The essence of the

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classification based on Geotechnical category presented by EN 1990 is to make provision

and cater for material and design conditions capable of posing risk of failure.

CHAPTER THREE PLAN AND METHODOLOGY

Applying conventional and simple methods in describing the properties of homogenous

formation makes much sense. However, in a complex and heterogeneous field of soil and

non-soil material composition like ASWSS, such methods obscure the geotechnical

identity of the tested sample while erratic departure of the interpolated properties from

their actual field values of unobserved locations results. Employing geotechnical

reliability in characterizing and designing on such fields is, no doubt, rigorously based.

However, the current simplification of reliability – based design (RBD) is gradually

giving it an emerging structure that is quite accessible to practical application. Additional

tools and effort are required to meet the challenges of the compositional nature of

ASWSS. This chapter highlights the proposed scheme of execution and distribution of

such efforts in the following subsections:

• Location of study area

• Design of study

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• Population and sampling techniques

• Instruments for data collection and administration

• Procedures and methods of data analysis

3.1 Location of Study Area The study was conducted in Kaduna, the capital city of Kaduna state. Housing well, over

one and half million (1,500,000) people of diverse ethnic background, Kaduna is one of

the oldest cities of the Northern Nigeria. The township spans about twenty-eight

kilometers (28km) in length and about nineteen kilometers (19km) in breadth having a

total land area of about fifty three thousand hectares (53,000ha). It is topographically

shaped into a trough with Kaduna North and Kaduna South Local Government Areas

(LGAs) occupying the two peaks of the trough respectively. River Kaduna runs along the

lower region of the trough, dividing the township into two parts. The life styles of the

residents of Kaduna North and Kaduna South LGAs are not exactly identical as a result

of ethnic, religious and socio-economic differences and so also waste generation and

environmental health consciousness. For the purpose of this study, the township was

divided into three zones with Kaduna North and Kaduna South LGAs forming zones A

and B respectively while the area along the lower region of the trough forms zone C.

Two sites, 1 and 2 were selected for zone A, with site 1 in Tudun-wada and site 2 in

Malali. Two sites were equally selected for zone B; site 1 in Sabo and Site 2 in Kakuri.

Zone C has its first site in Costain while the second in Nassarawa. All the sites were older

than 20 years. Site 1 of zone A is a 33year old and abandoned solid waste dump site

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situated inside a tertiary institution. It is the site of the failed students workshop structure

originally designed to house mechanical engineering facilities. Its long years of

abandonment have given it a surface value akin to that of natural ground. These sampled

areas are shown in Figures 3.1a and 3. 1b while the actual locations of the trial pits are

shown in Plates 1 – 6.

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Plate 1: Site 1 of Zone A at Tudun Wada, Kaduna Nigeria

Plate 2: Site 2 of Zone A at Malali, Kaduna Nigeria

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Plate 3: Site 1 of Zone B at Sabo, Kaduna Nigeria

Plate 4: Site 2 of Zone B at Kakuri, Kaduna Nigeria

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Plate 5: Site 1 of Zone C at Costain, Kaduna Nigeria

Plate 6: Site 2 of Zone C at Nassarawa, Kaduna Nigeria

3.2 Design of Study The study was targeted mainly at old and abandoned SWSS and as such fresh and most of

the serving ones did not fall in the category. All the selected sites for the study were

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either old and abandoned or sufficiently surrounded by developments to be considered for

abandonment in the near future. The spread of the test sites was specifically developed to

capture the diversities in the inhabitants’ ethnic, cultural, religious and socio-economic

settings and the possible reflection in waste generation and consequently in the

degradation of soil properties.

It is obvious that the evaluation of load effects and soil resistances are often coupled in

both structural and geotechnical engineering but the properties, geometry and spatial

distribution of geomaterials are, most of the time, poorly discovered. The ancient

observational method applied in monitoring the impact of uncertainties in the response of

structural foundation soil is quite compatible with the current geotechnical reliability. The

general concern is how the geotechnical reliability can be applied in ASWSS

investigation and design with confidence. A choice of combination of methods is

necessary from the wide range of approaches available from the libraries of geotechnical

reliability literature.

The study was developed to steer a middle course between a rigorous mathematical

presentation, typical of statistical approach and a purely observational and practical

assessment upon which geotechnical engineering discipline was founded. The current

acceptance and application of moderate statistical methods in geotechnical engineering

has dismissed the fear that further complexity in mathematical treatment of soil data

would render the field and laboratory efforts towards predicting and inferring the

geotechnical state of soil materials to mere statistical exercise.

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The field investigation revealed among other things, the extent to which the natural

ground properties had been altered by the presence of ASWSS and the approach to this

study therefore was designed in the following order:

• assessment of the properties of ASWSS and adjoining natural ground;

• evaluation of design values of ASWSS and natural soil properties;

• reliability-based evaluation of safety indices using computer programs MATHLAB, and

FORM5 respectively and

• comparative classification of safety indices of ASWSS and adjoining natural ground.

3.3 Population and Sampling Techniques The reaction of ASWSS under leading is important in this study; hence all the properties

relating to the strength and compressibility were investigated. These included the

conduct/determination of particle size distribution, unit weight of soil, water content,

Atterberg limits, direct shear box test, triaxial test, compaction test, small and large scale

consolidation tests. In most research works the constraints of such resources as skill,

finance, and time make the study of every element in a population almost impossible.

This is especially so with geotechnical and spatial observations. A population sample is

necessarily selected for study in order to obtain the estimates of population parameters or

characterize the entire population distribution without observing and measuring every

element in the sampled population (Baecher and Christian, 2003). Interestingly the

enterprise of sampling is a common feature in many scientific and engineering

endeavours and as such similar situations are met in different activities. The underlying

factor is the development of a sampling plan that models the population properties of

interest to an acceptable precision. Baecher and Christian (2003) define sampling plan as

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‘a program of action for collecting data from a sampled population’. In all cases attempt

is made towards maximizing the utility of the adopted sampling plan.

The subjects of geotechnical observations often display spatial or even temporal structure

and hence the elements are expectedly not identically distributed. From the description

and understanding of ASWSS, it is sufficient to assume that ASWSS has a heterogeneous

population over any area of occupation, but can be stratified into subpopulations that are

individually consistent. In this regard, the three zones (A, B and C) mentioned in

subsection 1 of this chapter constitute the population strata with each stratum internally

and consistently unique in terms of material composition. A plan of ‘Stratified Random

Sampling’ whereby precise estimate of the properties of stratum made from random

sampling was applied.

The mean of the total sampled population is (Thompson 2002).

= 1

3.1

Where the population mean, m is is the number of strata, h denotes the stratum, N is the

size of sampled population, Nh is the size of the hth stratum and is the mean of the

stratum. An estimate of the variance of the total population is

= 1

+ 3.2 Where is the sample variance, since the sample from each stratum is simple random

the estimate of the variance within each can be obtained from (Baecher and Christian

2003).

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= 1

− 1

− 3.3 Where is the sample variance, n the sample population size and sample value.

3.4 Instruments for Data Collection and Administration Erroneous interpretation of subsurface geology may result from a combination of natural

variability and inconsistency in the properties and composition, misrepresentation of soil

data due to wrong measurement indications, model and transcription errors and

inadequate representativeness. A chosen instrument for data acquisition must be such as

reduces the probability of occurrence of any or all of the sources of errors in addition to

that resulting from erroneous or insufficient data about the end result of the physical

phenomena that form and modify the geological materials in ASWSS.

The summary of a large literature on the assessment of ASWSS shear strength

characteristics is that the indicated penetration resistance of in situ tests does not have a

meaningful correlation with the actual shear strength of ASWSS (Mitchell 1993). On the

other hand, the apparently large strain sustained by ASWSS without reaching failure

point in a triaxial test which is generally efficient for the evaluation of shear strength has

made the test method independently unreliable for ASWSS since strength in this case

relates directly to levels of strain. A combination of triaxial/shear box and other related

laboratory tests and assessment of the properties of ASWSS of the study area were

employed. .

3.5 Procedures and Methods of Data Analysis Most of the misrepresentation of soil data from the investigation of a complex field like

solid waste sites comes mainly from wrong methods of properties assessment and data

handling. ASWSS is mostly heterogeneous in outcrop and must be treated as such in all

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evaluations except otherwise revealed by field examination. A chosen method of data

acquisition should be such that addresses field situations. A soil mass may be layered by

different soil groups (sand, silt, clay etcetera) or Φ-c values. The thickness of each

stratum is important in evaluating the mean values of the properties. It is misleading to

average values of properties of different strata without accounting for the geometry or

proportion of each stratum in the soil mass. Rational and empirical approaches have been

employed to establish methods for evaluating the shearing resistance of soil. Each

method seems to be based on certain field situation. This principle is very much useful

and is adopted in difficult engineering fields like ASWSS.

3.5.1 Determination of engineering properties Repeated observations and laboratory check measurements help to detect blunders or

mistakes. Out of the repeated observations and measurements any single value that

appears out of order is usually assumed to contain mistakes and hence expunged from the

set. A simple mean of the remaining measurements is taken as the value of the measured

property. In the design of this study, observations and determination of soil properties are

made at every 0.5m interval of depth. Bowles (1997) noted that ‘an increase in shear

strength with depth could be approximated by addition of soils with the same Φ and γ

properties but increased cohesion.’ However if a number of thin layers of Φ - c soils are

encountered, Bowles (1997) recommends that the average value of the measured property

be obtained thus:

= + + + − − − +

∅ = ∅ + ∅ + ∅ ± − − − − − − − − ∅

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Where = cohesion in stratum of thickness Hi, ΦI = angle of internal friction in stratum

of thickness, Φ may be zero.

In the same way, the mean unit weight of Soil (γ) may be obtained thus:

γ = γ + γ + γ − − − + γ

3.5.2 Design values of soil data According to Eurocode 7, ultimate limit state (ULS) design calculation should ensure that

the action effects, , does not in anyway exceed the design resistance, that is

≤ 3.7 Eurcode also recommends that the SLS calculation should ensure that the design action

effect, (e.g. settlement), should be below the allowable maximum deformation .

ℎ , ≤ 3.8 Denys and Trevor (2008) noted that ‘While using the partial factor method in ULS

calculation and assuming the geometrical parameters are not factored, the and may

be obtained either by applying partial action and partial material factors, and

respectively, to representative loads, and characteristic soil strengths, or partial

action effects and the resistances calculated using unfactored representative loads and

characteristic soil strengths’. That is

= ,

, 3.9 and

= ,

, 3.10

or

= , , 3.11 and

= , , / 3.12

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The study adopted Duncan (2000) expression for computing the standard deviation

from the best value and the worst value as indicated in equation 2.11, that is,

= −

6 .

The characteristic value of soil property is obtained using equation 2.8 which is indicated

as = − 1.645= 1 − 1.645.

In a similar way the characteristic and representative values of action effects is obtained

from equations 2.6 and 2.7 respectively.

3.5.3 Evaluation of reliability index and probability of failure

Evaluation of reliability index and probability of failure begins from the formulation of

relevant limit state equations with the characteristic values of soil properties and the

representative values of action effects.

FORM and MCS analysis were performed for spread foundation in drained conditions of

ASWS and hence the action effect and bearing resistance for these conditions are (Trevor

and Denys, 2008).

E = Fu = G + Q 3.13

The mean value of the bearing resistance being

= = = + ɤ + 0.5ɤɤɤɤ 3.14

µR = + ɤ + 0.5ɤɤɤɤ 3.15

3.5.4 Reliability analysis using Hasofer – lind approach (FORM) Reliability analysis using FORM and its extension by the Rosenblueth (1975) Point-

estimate methods is hinged on two assumptions that are not entirely valid within the

ambit of both theoretical and practical application of reliability theory. One of the

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assumptions is that it is possible to carry out the linear extrapolation of the moments of

the failure criterion from an origin defined by the mean values of the variable (it is

estimated from the evaluation of partial derivatives). The second is assuming the form of

the distribution of the statistical moments of performance function (factor of safety or

margin of safety ) to compute probability of failure Pf and reliability index , whereas

the distribution is not even known.

Hasofer- Lind addressed these problems by reformulating the equations of the uncertain

quantities in terms of dimensionless variables having zero mean value and standard

deviation of unity. This gives rise to a different definition of reliability index which is

geometrically interpreted as the distance between the point defined by the expected

values of the variables and the closest point on the failure surface.

If there are η uncertain variables while is defined in terms of its mean value µxi and its

standard deviation , we can define a primed and dimensionless variable as

=

3.16

= +

Applying this to the basic reliability case of a system having a resistance R and under a

loading effect of Q, then

= −

3.17

= −

3.18

In a case of uncorrelated and and applying a particular moment of failure function

like that of margin of

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, = − = − + − = 0 3.19

Appling this expression, a plot of the failure criterion using the reduced variables as the

axis is shown in Figure 3.3

The distance (d) between the origin and failure surface is given as

= −

+

= 3.20

The evaluation of reliability index consists in finding the point along the failure surface

at which the value of is minimal. It must be noted however that the failure surface is

not always linear; it may be convex or concave.

R1

Figure 3.3 Plot of Resistance () and load () showing the definition of reliability index

The Hasofer – Lind formulation has the merit that it does not require that the distribution

of the failure function be found.

In multidimensional space of more than two variables as seen in the evaluation of bearing

capacity of soil

= +

+ … … … . . + ″ = ( x ) 3.21

Failure surface Q1

d

Origin R1

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Where I is the vector of and indicates the transpose of a matrix or vector. The

problem then is the minimization of with the constraint that g () = 0 is satisfied. This

is what the evaluation of reliability index entails.

The above minimization (subject to the stated constraint) by Lagrange Multiplier

approach yields.

= = ∑ ∗, ∂

∂∗

∑ ∂∂

3.22

The superscript or subscript star indicates that the evaluation of the derivative is done at

the closest point on the failure surface. Taylor series approach equally minimized

identically with the Lagrange Multiplier Approach, as

= =

= −

∑ ∗∂

∂∗

∑ ∂∂

3.22

3.5.5 Solution of reliability index equation

It is understood from equations4.1 ( g ) and 4.1(ℎ) that the subscript or superscript star

means that the equations must be evaluated at the nearest point on the failure surfaces.

The issue is finding this point on the failure surface. In a linear failure line it is simply the

perpendicular offset from the failure line to the origin. However not all failure criteria are

linear as observed earlier. In the Lagrange Multiplier Approach, Baecher and Christian

(2003) define the gradient of the failure function in terms of the primed variables, that is

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= ∂g

∂X,

∂g

∂X … … … … … … … …

∂g∂X

3.24

They went further to observe that since g (X1) = 0 at the point to be found, minimizing d

is equivalent to minimizing L in the following equation

= + λ = ( ) + λg X 3.25

Where λ is the Lagrangian multiplier having zero value at the solution point, making the

minimum value of and to be the same. For or d to be of minimum value, all their

partial derivatives must equate to zero, that is

∂∂

= 0 ∂g

∂ = 0 3.26

Baecher and Christian (2003) normalized the expression for G in equation 3.16 into a unit

rector where

=

()

3.27

and

= ∂g

∂ .

∑ ∂g∂

3.28

Therefore the coordinates of the failure point at which the unit vector α is evaluated is

∗= − ∗ 3.29

Ang and Tang (1990) used Rackwitz algorithm to itemize the procedure for solving for

in equation 4 (ℎ) above into six interactive steps as follow:

Step 1. The solution of starts from assuming the initial values of . This is usually

taken as the mean values of the variables. For example, in bearing capacity computation

xi will be the mean values of the angle of internal resistance of the soil(Ø), the cohesion

() and the unit weight of the soil ().

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Step 2. This step consists in obtaining the partial derivative of the failure function with

respect to each variable. The mean values are substituted into the equation to obtain an

absolute value of each partial derivative. For insistence

∂g∂ =

∂g∂ , 3.30

represents the partial derivative (with respect to cohesion ) of the failure function

involving the general bearing capacity equation. This is done also for and and the

mean values are substituted to obtain the value of each derivation that is and

=

Φ

The values for are also obtained as

= ∑()

=

Φ

Φ = Φ

Φ

=

Φ

=

Φ

Step 3: The values for , and are substituted in the expression for the new

transformed design point

∗ = − to obtain a simplified expression for ∗

containing only the

unknown variable .

Step 4: The expression in step 3 above is substituted into the general failure equation

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(∗, ∗

, … . . , … ) = 0 and the value for is obtained using FORM5 or

MATLAB.

Step5: With a known value for , the new coordinates for the failure point are obtained as

∗ = − Step 6: Steps 2 to 5 are repeated, replacing the initial value of xi with the new ones obtained from = − until convergence is achieved. For this thesis, a performance function of margin of safety (M) is chosen. Therefore the

failure criterion is expressed as

- Qγ = M derived from limit state equation

- Qγ = 0 Where = factor for resistance

= factor for load effects = resistance effect = load combination

3.5.6 Reliability analysis by Monte Carlo simulation (MCS)

The current advancement and refinement in reliability engineering are inter alia

responsible for the fast migration from intuitive and gut feeling decision making to that

based on verifiable scientific analysis of relevant material/system operation data.

Among the recent variety of statistical methods of reliability analysis, Monte Carlo

simulation is one of those noted for its simplicity and high prediction precision.

The first mention of Monte Carlo simulation was at Los Alamos National Laboratory

where atomic scientists developed the techniques to study the random diffusion of

neutrons in an atomic bomb program. The model was named after the city in Monaco

(PC, 2015).

MCS may be used to carry out simulation of fundamentally stochastic processes as well

as solving non-stochastic problem with random variable (Baecher and Christian, 2003). It

is used in structural reliability to model the behavior of a load carrying component from

the statistical distributions of simulated failure and safety points.

*

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It is easily noted that structures designed and constructed to higher reliability levels may

not be cost effective while those with higher probability of failure are simply unsafe.

Among many factors on which reliability indices depend, ground conditions and their

wide scatter are notably prominent especially in ASWSS. This accounts for the grossly

misleading results of conventional methods of ASWSS properties assessment and

evaluation.

MCS method requires the use of a computer for deterministic evaluation of a simulation

function at a large number of points. The sequence of these pseudo random and

uniformly distributed numbers may be generated from a linear congruential algorithm (I1,

I2, - - - - - Ii, Ii +1 , - - - - , In ) in which Ii + 1 = a Ii + c (mod m) 3.31

The ‘mod m ‘in equation 3.31 indicates that the function is to be evaluated to modulo m

in which the result is divided by m and only the remainder retained while a and c are

constants (Beacher and Christian, 2003)

In engineering application, m may be chosen to be the maximum value of uncertain

variable and must be carefully selected with a and c to ensure sufficiently long and non

repeating sequence that enables the generation of large number of points while

maintaining some semblance of field range of the variable.

In a simplified application of the algorithm, c = 0 so that the value of any generated

point depends only on the previous one and constant a. In a function of uncorrelated

variables the criterion to be satisfied, as in ultimate limit state (ULS) simulation may be

defined as ≤ and the probability of failure Pfuls is the ratio of the number of times

in which the ultimate limit state is violated to the total number of simulation, that is

Pfuls is the ratio of Nfuls to N (Trevor and Denys, 2008), that is

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=

3.32

It may equally be checked that the evaluated settlement Ed does not exceed the maximum

allowable value Cd, and thus SLS criterion to be satisfied is Ed ≤ Cd (Eurocode 7, 1990).

In the SLS simulation, the number of occurrence for which Ed > Cd, (Pfsls, is counted

against the total number of SLS simulations (N) and the estimated failure probability, Pfsls

is the ratio of NfSLS to N, (Trevor and Denys, 2008), that is

=

3.33

The application of MCS in these ways assume statistical independence of the uncertain

variables, which is practicably invalid with soil properties, and may result in

underestimation of the probabilities of potential outcomes of unfavorable events. In many

official applications, the uncertain soil variables are correlated and MCS must therefore

be structured to generate correlated sequence (Baecher and Christian 2003; Phoon, 2008).

Correlated Random Number

Thousands of generated numbers for each of n random variable may be related to another

set of variable. If X and Y are related to each other and consist of n random variables

with standard Normal distribution, their correlation matrix k may be written as

=

1 − − − −

1 − − − −

− − − − 1

in which Pij is the correlation coefficient between i and j and can be factored into an

upper triangular matrix S and its lower triangular transpose ST and thus, STS = K

(Baecher and Christian, 2003). In Morgan and Henrion (1990) simplified model, that is

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77

exclusively typical of two variable, it is shown by Cholesky decomposition that if x1 and

x2 are a pair of Normally distributed and correlated variables y1 and y2 are

=

= + 1 − 3.34

Baecher and Christian (2003) noted that for each sample, two random numbers, x and y

with standard normal distribution may be generated while a third random number Z that

is correlated to x may be generated using Cholesky decomposition:

= . + 1 − 3.35

and the values for x1 and x2 for the sample are then

= + . 3.36

= + . 3.37

These computed values of x1 and x2 are used to generate one sample of margin of safety

M from

= −

Where

= mean margin of safety

= mean resistance

and = mean force effects

Reliability index for uncorrelated force effects and resistance is given by

=

=

3.38

However, if R and E are correlated then

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78

=

=

3.39

Where = correlation coefficient between R and E

,

= variance of R and E

= standard deviation of M.

3.5.7 Regression analysis of ASWSS and NS properties

The large volume of tests required in principle to characterize an engineering site in detail

far exceeds what may be practically, financially or temporarily acquired (Baecher and

Christian). It is more convenient to apply a tested mathematical model in defining the

properties of unobserved locations of a spatial field. The simplest way to observe the

trend of a set of observed soil data is to plot its horizontal or vertical extent and run a line

along its mean trend. The uneven nature of residual variation of the plot about the

interpolated mean trend is a measure of uncertainty in the interpolation and this variance

reduces and the interpolated trend approximates the data plot more closely as the fitted

mathematical model (straight line, quadratic curve or polynomial) becomes more refined.

The statistical interpretation of the mean, standard deviation and correlation coefficient

are no accurate means of distinguishing two sets of measurements of the same data in the

same order of spatial variation. In their usual form of data combination, spatial details are

lost to the detriment of the adopted analytical model, not withstanding whether

numerical, graphical or statistical approaches are employed. What is needed therefore is a

mathematical relationship that captures the relevant statistical descriptions and allows the

prediction of one variable for a known value of the other (Baecher and Christian 2003).

Regression analysis meets this demand more rationally in geotechnical observations.

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79

The undrained strength of ASWSS increases with pre-consolidation pressure as one goes

down the depth. If observed data exist to establish the quantitative relationship between

undrained strength and depth of stratum, this fact and the information generated from

data can be used to formulate a mathematical relationship that would allow the pattern of

increase in undrained strength of ASWSS to be modeled with increase in depth. This is

precisely what regression analysis does.

Regression in its simplest, univariate and linear form is often started with an initial

assumption of a straight line relationship and thus takes the form

= + + 3.40

Where is an observed random variable, is an observed random variable and and

are unknown parameters called regression coefficients with as the intercept and as

the slope while is the error term and represents the difference between and

deterministic component and (Kottegoda and Rosso; 1997).

In estimating the parameters, Kottegoda and Rosso (1997) recommends that it is more

convenient to minimize the absolute deviations from the straight line by minimizing the

sum of squared deviations from the mean to solve for the parameters (this brings the

solution to the method of least squares) and that from equation 3.40 the sum of the

squares horizontal or vertical deviations from the population regression line having

intercept and slope is given by

= ε

= (y− β − β)

3.41

Minimizing the sum of squared deviations means equating the respective partial

derivatives to zero, that is,

∂β= − 2 ∑

(− − ) = 0 3.4.2

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80

and ∂

∂β= − 2 ∑

(− − ) = 0 3.43

since the equations are linear, the simultaneous solutions of the least square equations are

= ∑ –∑

(∑

)/ ∑

(∑ )/

= ∑ ( )

∑ ( ) 3.44

= ∑ = 1 ⁄ − ∑

= 1 =⁄ − 1 3.45

Where = ∑ ⁄

= ∑ ⁄

Kottegoda and Rosso (1997) equally defined the simplified terms of the sum of squares

and cross products for faster solution of regression equations as

= ∑ = 1 ( − )2 = ∑

2 = 1 − ∑

= 1 ⁄ 3.46

= ∑ = 1 ( − )2 = ∑

2 = 1 − ∑

= 1

⁄ 3.47

=

= 1

– − =

∑ − ∑

∑ ⁄ 3.48

The expression for the slope parameter can be obtained from =

3.49

While the intercept still remain as

= ∑ = 1 ⁄ − 1 ∑

= 1 ⁄ = − 1

The error term (ε) in = + 1+ ε may be obtained by averaging the value over a

set of observed values of and such mean value applied approximately in further

predictions. On the extreme note, it is possible to carry out another regression analysis to

discover or establish the distribution of the error term. This may be necessary in precise

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81

geotechnical observations and where the error term is occurring in significant magnitude

and exhibiting random or erratic scatter along the population regression line.

CHAPTER FOUR

RESULTS AND DISCUSSION

The failure of structural foundations develops in different forms. It often starts from an

isolated yielding event that triggers off sequence of subsequent failure mechanisms. In all

cases and regardless of components interdependencies, the contribution of the bearing

soil as an individual component is investigated by examining its various geotechnical

properties which generally define the strength status. ASWSS reliability studies therefore

begin with the determination of these geotechnical properties, followed by the estimation

of the probabilities of their state leading to failure.

The distribution of properties of engineering materials exhibit variations at different

scales depending on the material types and phenomena governing the variability. Where

the scale of scatter is large, decision making becomes difficult and the consequences of

unreliable judgment may be severe.

The pattern of variations may be investigated by establishing the relationship between

pairs of observed data especially where there is an inclusion of data that has not been

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82

significantly altered. . In this way statistical description of a random field may be given

more comprehensively and accurate engineering information may be usefully derived

from such statistical data via reliability-based procedures. These procedures are often

structured to capture the remnant of field realities and data that have escaped the

conventional and empirical field and laboratory examinations.

The ability of the procedures to generate true and sufficiently large representatives of

field population makes it adequate in describing the uncertain field. The capabilities of

such engineering project sites with respect to loadings can be accurately evaluated and

presented in forms of reliability indices and probabilities of failure by relevant models.

Derived mainly from laboratory tests this chapter presents the geotechnical properties of

ASWSS under study and their range of applications in models of quantitative safety

analysis.

4.1 Graphical Representation of Test Results The mean results of laboratory determination of geotechnical properties of ASWSS and

NS from three replicates are shown in Appendix C, but their sequences of distribution

and variation in relation to changes in foundation depth need be represented graphically.

4.1.1 Atterberg limits test results Atterberg limits tests determine the various values of water content at which changes in

strength and compressibility occur (Smith and Smith, 1998). The results of Atterberg

limits tests shown in Table C.1 of Appendix C were used to give graphical

representations of the variation of individual parameter (Liquid Limit LL, Plastic Limit

PL, Plasticity Index PI and Shrinkage Limit LS) with depth as shown in Figure 4.1(a) –

(x)

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83

Z

NS ASWSS

1.5 49 40 2 32 44 2.5 33 40 3 35 52 3.5 29 28

Figure 4.1 (a) Variation of LL of *Site A/1 with depth.

Z NS ASWSS

1.5 35.09 35.5 2 30.95 37.17 2.5 26.97 25.54 3 34.31 36.11 3.5 28.17 25

Figure 4.1 (b) Variation of PL of Site A/1 with depth.

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Liqui

d Lim

it (%

)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Plas

tic Li

mit

(%)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

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84

*Site A/1 is zone A site 1

Z NS ASWSS

1.5 13.91 4.5 2 1.05 6.83 2.5 6.03 4.5 3 0.69 15.89 3.5 0.83 3

Figure 4.1 (c) Variation of PI of Site A/1 with depth.

Z NS ASWSS 1.5 10 4.29 2 10.71 5 2.5 10 5.71 3 10.71 8.57 3.5 10.71 10

Figure 4.1 (d) Variation of LS of Site A/1 with depth.

02

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Plas

ticity

Inde

x (%

)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Shrin

kage

Lim

it (%

)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

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85

Z NS ASWSS

1.5 39 42 2 36 44 2.5 34 40 3 38 50 3.5 36 35

Figure 4.1 (e) Variation of LL of *Site A/2 with depth.

Z NS ASWSS

1.5 29 36.5 2 28 37.55 2.5 28 35 3 33 36.5 3.5 27.15 28.2

Figure 4.1 (f) Variation of PL of Site A/2 with depth.

*Site A/2 is zone A site 2

Z NS ASWSS

1.5 10 5.5

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Lliqu

id Li

mit

(%)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Plas

tic Li

mit

(%)

Fondation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

Plas

ticity

Inde

x (%

)

NS

ASWSS

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86

2 8 6.45 2.5 6 5 3 5 13.5 3.5 8.85 6.8

Figure 4.1 (g) Variation of PI of Site A/2 with depth.

Z NS ASWSS 1.5 10.91 4.45 2 10.5 6 2.5 10.25 8.27 3 10.25 8.05 3.5 10.05 10.05

Figure 4.1 (h) Variation of LS of Site A/2 with depth.

Z NS ASWSS

1.5 37 32 2 37 35 2.5 48 33 3 36 34 3.5 34 34

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Liqui

d Lim

it (%

)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Shrin

kage

Lim

it (%

)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

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87

Figure 4.1 (i) Variation of LL of *Site B/1 with depth.

Z NS ASWSS 1.5 26.67 27.78 2 32.58 29.29 2.5 31.01 29.29 3 28.22 27.92 3.5 25.54 30.49

Figure 4.1 (j) Variation of PL of Site B/1 with depth.

*Site B/1 is zone B site 1

Z NS ASWSS

1.5 20.33 4.22 2 4.42 5.71

2.5 16.99 3.71 3 7.78 6.08

3.5 8.46 3.51

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Plas

tic Li

mit

(%)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

0

5

10

15

20

25

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Plas

ticity

Inde

x (%

)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

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88

Figure 4.1 (k) Variation of PI of Site B/1 with depth.

Z NS ASWSS

1.5 7.86 8.57 2 8.57 9.29 2.5 9.29 8 3 8.57 8.57 3.5 8.57 8.57

Figure 4.1 (l) Variation of LS of Site B/1 with depth.

Z NS ASWSS 1.5 32 29.19 2 33 28.55 2.5 32 26.29 3 30 28.72 3.5 33 28.72

Figure 4.1 (m) Variation of LL of Site *B/2 with depth.

7

7.5

8

8.5

9

9.5

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Shrin

kage

Lim

it (%

)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Liqui

d Lim

it (%

)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

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89

Z NS ASWSS

1.5 27.75 29.19

2 29 28.55

2.5 25.72 26.29

3 27.65 28.72

3.5 27.65 28.72

Figure 4.1 (n) Variation of PL of Site B/2 with depth.

*Site B/2 is zone B site 2

Z NS ASWSS

1.5 4.25 0.81 2 4 5.45 2.5 6.28 6.71 3 2.35 5.28 3.5 5.35 5.28

Figure 4.1 (o) Variation of PI of Site B/2 with depth.

23

24

25

26

27

28

29

30

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Plas

tic Li

mit

(%)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Plas

ticity

Inde

x (%

)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

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90

Z NS ASWSS 1.5 8.55 9.28 2 9.75 8.29 2.5 8.55 8.57 3 8.57 8.5 3.5 8.57 8.55

Figure 4.1 (p) Variation of LS of Site B/2 with depth.

Z NS ASWSS 1.5 42 38 2 38 40 2.5 36 38 3 36 39 3.5 38 39

Figure 4.1 (q) Variation of LL of Site *C/1 with depth.

Z NS ASWSS

7.5

8

8.5

9

9.5

10

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Shrin

kage

Lim

it (%

)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

29

30

31

32

33

34

35

3637

Plas

tic Li

mit

(%)

NS

ASWSS

3334353637383940414243

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Liqui

d Lim

it (%

)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

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91

1.5 35.25 33.5 2 34.5 36.5 2.5 32 32 3 30.95 33.5 3.5 32.55 33.72

Figure 4.1 (r) Variation of PL of Site C/1 with depth.

*Site C/1 is zone C site 1

Z NS ASWSS 1.5 6.75 4.5 2 3.5 3.5 2.5 4 6 3 5.03 5.5 3.5 5.45 5.28

Figure 4.1 (s) Variation of PI of Site C/1 with depth.

Z NS ASWSS

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Plat

icity

Inde

x (%

)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

7.5

8

8.5

9

9.5

Shrin

kage

Lim

it (%

)

NS

ASWSS

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92

1.5 9.25 7.95 2 8.85 8.71 2.5 8.57 8.77 3 8.9 8.75 3.5 8.55 8.55

Figure 4.1 (t) Variation of LS of Site C/1 with depth.

Z NS ASWSS 1.5 36 40 2 38 37 2.5 35 39 3 34 37 3.5 35 34

Figure 4.1 (u) Variation of LL of *Site C/2 with depth

.

Z NS ASWSS 1.5 29.15 28 2 28.45 27.5 2.5 27.15 28.85

3132333435363738394041

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Liqui

d Lim

it (%

)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

23

24

25

26

27

28

29

30

31

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Plas

tic Li

mit

(%)

NS

ASWSS

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93

3 30.25 26.62 3.5 26.4 25.5

Figure 4.1 (v) Variation of PL of Site C/2 with depth.

*Site C/2 is zone C site 2

Z NS ASWSS

1.5 6.85 12 2 9.55 9.5 2.5 7.85 10.15 3 3.75 10.38 3.5 8.6 8.5

Figure 4.1 (w) Variation of PI of Site C/2 with depth.

Z NS ASWSS 1.5 8.25 7.25 2 7 8.15 2.5 9.15 6.27 3 6.75 7.75

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Plas

ticity

Inde

x (%

)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

0123456789

10

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Shrin

kage

Lim

it (%

)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

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94

3.5 7.15 8.05

Figure 4.1 (x) Variation of LS of Site C/2 with depth.

Figures 4.1 (a) – (x) revealed no pattern of variations of LL, PL, PI or LS with foundation

depth that may be ascribed to the differences in material composition of ASWSS and NS.

The patterns of variation of LL and PL with depth appear to exhibit appreciable closeness

for ASWSS and NS while those of PI and LS are significantly divergent. Although there

are indications of scanty presence of outliers, generally ASWSS has higher values of PI

than NS. The indication of this is that ASWSS contains finer soil particles than NS and

consequently less in grading.

4.1.2 Compaction test results Compaction is the process whereby stress is mechanically applied to a soil mass to cause

densification by the expulsion of air from the voids between the soil particles. This

engineering principle is widely employed in strengthening runways, subgrades of roads

and embankments (Smith and Smith, 1998). Densities achieved by compaction are

termed as dry densities and expressed in mg/m3, while the moisture content at which

maximum dry density is achieved is known as the optimum moisture content (Smith and

Smith, 1998). The compaction tests result of this study are shown in Table C.2 of

Appendix C while their variations with depths are graphically represented in Figure

4.2(a) – (l).

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95

Z NS ASWSS

1.5 1.67 1.56 2 1.67 1.48 2.5 1.39 1.57 3 1.33 1.71 3.5 1.48 1.51

Figure 4.2 (a) Variation of maximum dry density of site A/1 with depth.

Z NS ASWSS 1.5 22.47 20 2 18 20.86 2.5 20 18.32 3 26.51 25 3.5 25 17

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Max

imum

Dry

Den

sity

(g/c

m3 )

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Opt

imum

Moi

stur

e Co

nten

t (%

)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

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96

Figure 4.2(b) Variation of optimum moisture content of site A/1

with depth.

Z NS ASWSS 1.5 1.76 1.67 2 1.82 1.55 2.5 1.7 1.6 3 1.65 1.5 3.5 1.68 1.58

Figure 4.2 (c) Variation of maximum dry density of site A/2 with

depth.

Z NS ASWSS 1.5 19.25 22 2 20.22 20 2.5 25.75 23 3 20.15 25 3.5 19 19

00.20.40.60.8

11.21.41.61.8

2

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Max

imum

Dry

Den

sity

(g/c

m3 )

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Opt

imum

Moi

stur

e Co

nten

t (%

)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

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97

Figure 4.2(d) Variation of optimum moisture content of site A/2

with depth.

Z NS ASWSS 1.5 1.85 1.93 2 1.96 1.8 2.5 1.93 1.65 3 1.81 1.57 3.5 1.88 1.7

Figure 4.2 (e) Variation of maximum dry density of site B/1 with

depth.

Z NS ASWSS 1.5 15.05 10.56 2 14.46 18.36 2.5 12.79 19.17 3 19.54 17.97 3.5 16.38 15.55

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Max

imum

Dry

Den

sity

(g/c

m3 )

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

0

5

10

15

20

25

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Opt

imum

Moi

stur

e Co

nten

t (%

)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

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98

Figure 4.2(f) Variation of optimum moisture content of site B/1 with depth.

Z NS ASWSS

1.5 1.71 1.68 2 1.79 1.67 2.5 1.48 1.56 3 1.7 1.66 3.5 1.65 1.65

Figure 4.2 (g) Variation of maximum dry density of site B/2 with depth.

Z NS ASWSS

1.5 22.56 20.72 2 20.17 20.68 2.5 18.27 18.18 3 17.7 19.27 3.5 16.32 16.35

0

5

10

15

20

25

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Opt

imum

Moi

stur

e Co

nten

t (%

)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

00.20.40.60.8

11.21.41.61.8

2

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Max

imum

Dry

Den

sity

(g/c

m3 )

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

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99

Figure 4.2(h) Variation of optimum moisture content of site B/2 with depth.

Z NS ASWSS 1.5 1.8 1.67 2 1.84 1.9 2.5 1.79 1.83 3 1.67 1.72 3.5 1.54 1.52

Figure 4.2 (i) Variation of maximum dry density of site C/1with

depth.

Z NS ASWSS 1.5 20.2 18.33 2 19 19.27 2.5 18.84 18.38 3 18.9 19.2 3.5 19.1 19

00.20.40.60.8

11.21.41.61.8

2

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Max

imum

Dry

Den

sity

(g/c

m3 )

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

17

17.5

18

18.5

19

19.5

20

20.5

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Opt

imum

Moi

stur

e Co

nten

t (%

)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

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100

Figure 4.2(j) Variation of optimum moisture content of site C/1with depth.

Z NS ASWSS 1.5 1.8 1.94 2 1.92 1.9 2.5 1.9 1.82 3 1.88 1.79 3.5 1.76 1.72

Figure 4.2 (k) Variation of maximum dry density of site C/2with

depth.

Z NS ASWSS

1.5 16.83 15.5 2 15.56 16.2 2.5 14.2 17.22 3 16.25 17 3.5 16.35 17

Figure 4.2(l) Variation of optimum moisture content of site C/2

with depth.

1.6

1.65

1.7

1.75

1.8

1.85

1.9

1.95

2

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Max

imum

Dry

Den

sity

(g/c

m3 )

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

02468

101214161820

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Opt

imum

Moi

stur

e Co

nten

t (%

)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

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101

When compacting efforts of soil is stepped up, soil voids are reduced and maximum dry

density (MDD) appreciates with consequent reduction in optimum moisture content

(OMC), (Smith and Smith, 1998). Figure 4.2 shows no significant changes in the MDD

with depth and almost same values for both ASWSS and NS are depicted for various

foundation depths. OMC, however, showed slightly downward trend with foundation

depth and appreciable similarity between ASWSS and NS for a given amount of

compaction.

4.1.3 Consolidation and Triaxial tests results Total settlement (ΡC) is the aggregate of stress dependent initial compression, primary

consolidation and secondary consolidation. As a rule in foundation design ΡC must not be

greater than 25 mm. The values of ΡC for ASWSS and NS of this study are shown in

Table C.3 of Appendix C while those of triaxial test results (C, ∅ and ) are shown in

Table C.4 of Appendix C. The variations of these parameters with foundation depths are

represented in Figures 4.3 and 4.4 respectively.

0.0001

0.0002

0.0003

0.0004

0.0005

0.0006

Tota

l Set

tlem

ent (

m)

NS

ASWSS

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102

Z NS ASWSS 1.5 0.0002 0.0004 2 0.0002 0.0002 2.5 0.0002 0.0003 3 0.0003 0.0005 3.5 0.0003 0.0002

Figure 4.3 (a) Variation of total settlement of site A/1with depth.

Z NS ASWSS 1.5 0.0002 0.0003 2 0.0003 0.0005 2.5 0.0002 0.0002 3 0.0003 0.0004 3.5 0.0002 0.0003

Figure 4.3 (b) Variation of total settlement of site A/2with depth.

Z NS ASWSS

0

0.0001

0.0002

0.0003

0.0004

0.0005

0.0006

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Tota

l Set

tlem

ent (

m)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

0

0.0005

0.001

0.0015

0.002

0.0025

Tota

l Set

tlem

ent (

m)

NS

ASWSS

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103

1.5 0.0005 0.0004 2 0.0003 0.0004 2.5 0.0002 0.0003 3 0.0022 0.0003 3.5 0.0003 0.0004

Figure 4.3 (c) Variation of total settlement of site B/1with

depth.

Z NS ASWSS

1.5 0.0004 0.0003 2 0.0003 0.0004 2.5 0.0003 0.0002 3 0.0002 0.0003 3.5 0.0002 0.0002

Figure 4.3 (d) Variation of total settlement of site B/2 with

depth.

Z NS ASWSS 1.5 0.0002 0.0005 2 0.0003 0.0005

0

0.00005

0.0001

0.00015

0.0002

0.00025

0.0003

0.00035

0.0004

0.00045

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Tota

l Set

tlem

ent (

m)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

0

0.0001

0.0002

0.0003

0.0004

0.0005

0.0006

Tota

l Set

tlem

ent (

m)

NS

ASWSS

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104

2.5 0.0002 0.0003 3 0.0003 0.0004 3.5 0.0003 0.0002

Figure 4.3 (e) Variation of total settlement of site C/1 with

depth.

Z NS ASWSS 1.5 0.0002 0.0004 2 0.0003 0.0003 2.5 0.0002 0.0003 3 0.0003 0.0002 3.5 0.0002 0.0003

Figure 4.3 (f) Variation of total settlement of site C/2 with

depth .

Z NS ASWSS 1.5 28 10 22 27 16 2.5 24 10 3 22 15 3.5 19 12

0

0.00005

0.0001

0.00015

0.0002

0.00025

0.0003

0.00035

0.0004

0.00045

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Tota

l Set

tlem

ent (

m)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

1.5 22 2.5 3 3.5

Cohe

sion

(kN/

m2 )

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

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105

Figure 4.4(a) Variation of cohesion of site A/1 with depth.

Z NS ASWSS

1.5 13 11 2 10 9 2.5 15 7 3 8 10 3.5 9 9

Figure 4.4(b) Variation of angle of internal resistance of site

A/1with depth.

Z NS ASWSS

1.5 15.9 15.78 2 16.8 13.97 2.5 16.8 14.19 3 15.67 15.21 3.5 16.24 16.01

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Angl

e of

Inte

rnal

Re

sista

nce

(°)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

0

2

4

6

8

1012

14

16

18

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Unit

Wei

ght (

kN/m

3 )

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

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106

Figure 4.4(c) Variation of unit weight of site A/1 with

depth.

Z NS ASWSS

1.5 24 10 2 25 14 2.5 19 15 3 25 14 3.5 22 13

Figure 4.4(d) Variation of cohesion of site A/2 with depth.

Z NA ASWSS

1.5 14 10 2 12 10 2.5 13 9 3 15 8 3.5 16 9

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Cohe

sion

(kN/

m2 )

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

0

24

6

8

10

1214

16

18

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Angl

e of

Inte

rnal

Res

istan

ce (°

)

Foundation Depth (m)

NA

ASWSS

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107

Figure 4.4(e) Variation of angle of internal resistance of site

A/2 with depth.

Z NS ASWSS

1.5 17.14 15.96 2 16.24 14.42 2.5 15.9 14.72 3 16.58 15.98 3.5 16.12 16.32

Figure 4.4(f) Variation of unit weight of site A/2 with

depth.

Z NS ASWSS

1.5 25 9 2 17 18 2.5 18 19 3 22 12 3.5 28 13

13

13.5

14

14.5

15

15.5

16

16.5

17

17.5

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Unit

wei

ght (

kN/m

3 )

Foundation depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Cohe

sion

(kN/

m2 )

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

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108

Figure 4.4(g) Variation of cohesion of site B/1 with depth.

Z NS ASWSS

1.5 16 12 2 13 13 2.5 14 13 3 16 13 3.5 15 15

Figure 4.4(h) Variation of angle of internal resistance of site B/1

with depth.

Z NS ASWSS

1.5 15.8 16.58 2 16.4 13.98 2.5 16.6 14.87 3 16.6 16.35 3.5 16.68 16.35

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

1618

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Angl

e of

Inte

rnal

Res

istan

ce (°

)

Founation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

12.5

13

13.5

14

14.5

15

15.5

16

16.5

17

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Unit

Wei

ght (

kN/m

3 )

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

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109

Figure 4.4(i) Variation of unit weight of site B/1 with depth.

Z NS ASWSS

1.5 20 12 2 24 9 2.5 19 10 3 22 12 3.5 22 13

Figure 4.4(j) Variation of cohesion of site B/2with depth.

Z NS ASWSS

1.5 11 12 2 13 9 2.5 13 10 3 14 12 3.5 16 13

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Cohe

sion

(kN/

m2 )

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Angl

e of

Inte

rnal

Res

istan

ce (°

)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

Page 110: SAFETY ANALYSIS OF STRUCTURAL FOUNDATIONS BUILT ON ...

110

Figure 4.4(k) Variation of angle of internal resistance of site B/2

with depth.

Z NS ASWSS 1.5 15.89 15.98 2 16.22 15.5 2.5 16.22 14.98 3 16.24 16.1 3.5 16.4 16.3

Figure 4.4(l) Variation of unit weight of site B/2 with

depth.

Z NS ASWSS

1.5 28 10 2 26 9 2.5 25 11 3 20 10 3.5 19 12

Figure 4.4(m) Variation of cohesion of site C/1 with depth.

14

14.5

15

15.5

16

16.5

17

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Unit

Wei

ght (

kN/m

3 )

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Cohe

sion

(kN/

m2 )

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

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111

Z NS ASWSS

1.5 13 13 2 13 13 2.5 14 13 3 15 13 3.5 16 14

Figure 4.4(n) Variation of angle of internal resistance of site

C/1with depth.

Z NS ASWSS

1.5 15.9 16.2 2 16.82 14.98 2.5 16.8 15.8 3 16.84 16.24 3.5 16.84 16.24

0

2

4

68

10

12

14

16

18

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Angl

e of

Inte

rnal

Res

istan

ce (°

)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

14

14.5

15

15.5

16

16.5

17

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Unit

Wei

ght (

kN/m

3 )

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

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112

Figure 4.4(o) Variation of unit weight of site C/1 with depth.

Z NS ASWSS

1.5 23 11 2 18 13 2.5 22 11 3 19 12 3.5 23 10

Figure 4.4(p) Variation of cohesion of site C/2with depth.

Z NS ASWSS

1.5 12 9 2 14 11 2.5 13 10 3 15 12 3.5 16 11

0

5

10

15

20

25

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Cohe

sion

(kN/

m2 )

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Angl

e of

Inte

rnal

resis

tanc

e (°)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

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113

Figure 4.4(q) Variation of angle of internal resistance of site C/2 with depth.

Z NS ASWSS

1.5 15.51 13.89 2 16.01 14.22 2.5 16.2 12.92 3 16.24 13.9 3.5 16.3 14.28

Figure 4.4(r) Variation of unit weight of site C/2 with depth.

Total settlement of ASWSS and NS falls below the maximum allowable value for all the

foundation depths. However erratic changes in value were observed between the depths

of 1.5m and 3.0m while significant downward trend begins to be noticed from the depth

of 3.0m. This scenario is true for both ASWSS and NS. Impressively enough, none of the

settlement values exceeded 0.0025m, indicating that degradation process is at its

completion stage for ASWSS that are over twenty years of abandonment.

The values C, ∅ and of ASWSS are generally lower than those of NS. These

geotechnical strength parameters of soil simply indicate that NS is better in strength

characteristics than ASWSS. In most cases the differences are large but the two sets of

data exhibit similarity from the depth of 3.5m for most of the observed data as shown in

Figures 4.4 (a) - (r).

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Unit

Wei

ght (

kN/m

3

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

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114

There is no definite pattern of variation of the parameters with foundation depth that can

be explained by the compositional differences between ASWSS and NS though their

values are extremely divergent in most cases. A number of outliers may be observed but

their occurrences make it difficult to think of expunging them. It is simply not certain

whether they are outliers or not, so it is safer to treat them as real data.

4.1.4 Specific gravity and sieve analysis results

Results of specific gravity tests are used in the evaluation of total settlement, void ratio

and degree of saturation. However, sieve analysis was carried out to determine the

percentage of clay and silt in the soil mass. These results (specific gravity and sieve

analysis) are shown in Tables C.5 and C.6 of Appendix C respectively while their

variations with depth are graphically represented in Figures 4.5 and 4.6 respectively.

Z NS AWSS

1.5 2.21 1.64 2 2.36 2.04 2.5 2.47 2.14 3 2.54 2.26 3.5 2.66 2.45

Figure 4.5 (a) Variation of specific gravity of site A/1 with

depth.

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Spec

ific G

ravi

ty

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

AWSS

Page 115: SAFETY ANALYSIS OF STRUCTURAL FOUNDATIONS BUILT ON ...

115

Z NS ASWSS

1.5 2.56 1.88 2 2.6 2.17 2.5 2.64 2.48 3 2.66 2.56 3.5 2.65 2.64

Figure 4.5 (b) Variation of specific gravity of site A/2 with depth.

Z NS ASWSS

1.5 2.55 2.52 2 2.55 2.54 2.5 2.56 2.56 3 2.63 2.56 3.5 2.67 2.58

Figure 4.5 (c) Variation of specific gravity of site B/1 with

depth.

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Spec

ific G

ravi

ty

Foundation depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

2.4

2.45

2.5

2.55

2.6

2.65

2.7

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Spec

ific G

ravi

ty

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

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116

Z NS ASWSS 1.5 2.58 1.78 2 2.65 1.92 2.5 2.65 2.2 3 2.67 2.58 3.5 2.67 2.6

Figure 4.5 (d) Variation of specific gravity of site B/2 with

depth.

Z NS ASWSS

1.5 2.58 2.5 2 2.65 2.57 2.5 2.67 2.58 3 2.67 2.64 3.5 2.69 2.66

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Spec

ific G

ravi

ty

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

2.4

2.45

2.5

2.55

2.6

2.65

2.7

2.75

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Spec

ific G

ravi

ty

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

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117

Figure 4.5 (e) Variation of specific gravity of site C/1with depth.

Z NS ASWSS

1.5 2.57 2.14 2 2.6 2.25 2.5 2.67 2.4 3 2.67 2.61 3.5 2.69 2.63

Figure 4.5 (f) Variation of specific gravity of site C/2with

depth.

Z NS ASWSS

1.5 32.64 43.8 2 53.86 64.7 2.5 42 71.48 3 68.68 89.92 3.5 63.84 70.86

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Spec

ific G

ravi

ty

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

0102030405060708090

100

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Clay

& S

ilt co

nten

t (%

)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

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118

Figure 4.6 (a) Variation of clay & silt content of site A/1 with depth.

Z NS ASWSS 1.5 30.74 45.77 2 28.91 48.92 2.5 42.48 58.12 3 60.4 60.25 3.5 56.52 56.55

Figure 4.6 (b) Variation of clay & silt content of site A/2 with depth.

Z NS ASWSS

1.5 38.22 48.14 2 20.56 65.9 2.5 19.64 23.64 3 50.78 55.02 3.5 35.12 45.7

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Clay

& S

ilt C

onte

nt (%

)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Clay

& S

ilt C

onte

nt (%

)

Foundation depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

Page 119: SAFETY ANALYSIS OF STRUCTURAL FOUNDATIONS BUILT ON ...

119

Figure 4.6 (c) Variation of clay & silt content of site B/1with depth.

Z NS ASWSS

1.5 38 40.44 2 42.2 62.68 2.5 30.35 70.04 3 22.5 62.66 3.5 38.27 68.72

Figure 4.6 (d) Variation of clay & silt content of site B/2with

depth.

Z NS ASWSS 1.5 36.4 52.5 2 32.46 50.68 2.5 40.47 65.44 3 28.74 58.32 3.5 30.04 62.62

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Clay

& S

ilt C

onte

nt (%

)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Clay

& S

ilt C

onte

nt (%

)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

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120

Figure 4.6 (e) Variation of clay & silt content of site C/1with depth

.

Z NS ASWSS

1.5 32.35 42.36 2 27.2 28.85 2.5 28.45 39.48 3 32.31 52.43 3.5 30.46 56.44

Figure 4.6 (f) Variation of clay & silt content of site C/2with depth.

The results of these tests are quite relevant in foundation designs. It gives the design

Engineer an idea about the possible interaction of the bearing soil with structural loads as

well as the general grading level of the engineering site. Up to 80% of the tested samples

of ASWSS have specific gravity (Gs) value lower than 2.60 and this placed that

proportion of soil in the range of organic clay to bog peat. The graphs of specific

gravity/depth (Figure 4.5) generally showed positive variations of Gs with depth but

having gentle slopes with depth 3.0m having the highest value for all observed sequences

of ASWSS data. ASWSS and NS exhibit similarity in the trend of variation with depth,

though the values of Gs of NS are consistently higher than those of ASWSS.

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Clay

& S

ilt co

nten

t (%

)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

Page 121: SAFETY ANALYSIS OF STRUCTURAL FOUNDATIONS BUILT ON ...

121

Figure 4.6 showed wide margins of clay/silt contents between NS and ASWSS though

their trends of variations with foundation depth are quite similar. Up to 45% difference

between ASWSS and NS clay/silt composition is recorded at some corresponding depths,

however, with those of ASWSS constantly higher. The occurrence of clay/silt does not

follow a particular pattern in relation to the depth of foundation. It increases with depth in

some cases and in others it decreases.

4.2 Chemical Analysis of ASWSS and NS The average response of spatially variable soils differs significantly from the response of

corresponding homogenous soils having equivalent mean properties. The discovery of

only the mechanical properties of ASWSS therefore, may be insufficient and

inconclusive in judgment and in addressing the problem.

A program of fundamental chemical analysis of soil was drawn to assess the

concentration of the compounds of sulphate, chloride, carbonate, bicarbonate, pH,

organic matter and minerals content in the tested soil samples. Wet and dry seasons were

selected separately for sampling and testing in some cases because in wet season the

downward washing of leachate results in higher concentration of the compounds at lower

depths. However, the results are generally expected to be lower in concentration than in

dry season because of dilution resulting from high moisture content. The sampling and

tests of these compounds in both dry and wet seasons give a better and balanced chemical

analysis of soil. The results of these tests are shown in Table C.7 of Appendix C while

the graphical representation of their variation with depth for both wet and dry seasons

are shown in Figures 4.7 and 4.8 respectively.

Page 122: SAFETY ANALYSIS OF STRUCTURAL FOUNDATIONS BUILT ON ...

122

Z NS ASWSS 1.5 264.45 473.18 2 271.81 491.81 2.5 274.15 584.1 3 282.43 686.13 3.5 289.5 691.82

Figure 4.7 (a) Variation of sulphate of site A/1 with depth in wet

season.

Z NS ASWSS

1.5 280.64 522.63 2 376.9 568.6 2.5 390.55 605.32 3 430.63 612.1 3.5 472.39 620.1

Figure 4.7 (b) Variation of chloride of site A/1 with depth in wet

season.

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Sulp

hate

(mg/

l)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Chlo

ride

(mg/

kg)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

Page 123: SAFETY ANALYSIS OF STRUCTURAL FOUNDATIONS BUILT ON ...

123

Z NS ASWSS 1.5

28.8

2 26.8 26 2.5 29.95 20.33 3 33.1 35.2 3.5 32.16 38.16

Figure 4.7(c) Variation of carbonate of site A/1 with depth in wet

season.

Z NS ASWSS

2 233 899 2 201 886 2.5 188 543 3 165 297 3.5 134 189

Figure 4.7(d) Variation of * ∑Ca+Mg of site A/1 with depth in wet

season.

*∑Ca+Mg is the combination of Calcium and Magnesium

0

5

10

15

2025

30

35

40

45

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Carb

onat

e (m

g/l)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

0100200300400500600700800900

1000

2 2 2.5 3 3.5

∑Ca+

Mg

(mg/

kg)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

Page 124: SAFETY ANALYSIS OF STRUCTURAL FOUNDATIONS BUILT ON ...

124

Z NS ASWSS 1.5 224.41 436.44 2 266.83 501.6 2.5 241.5 578.15 3 268.42 586.42 3.5 286.53 596.33

Figure 4.7 (e) Variation of sulphate of site A/2with depth in wet season.

Z NS ASWSS 1.5 320.5 643.2 2 338.77 658.32 2.5 386.76 784.1 3 440.19 786.37 3.5 489.1 799.1

Figure 4.7 (f) Variation of chloride of site A/2 with depth in wet

season.

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Sulp

hate

(mg/

l)

Foundation depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Chlo

ride

(mg/

kg)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

Page 125: SAFETY ANALYSIS OF STRUCTURAL FOUNDATIONS BUILT ON ...

125

Z NS ASWSS

1.5 30.22 27.2 2 36.19 28.1 2.5 37.55 30.67 3 32.2 33.8 3.5 40 40.67

Figure 4.7(g) Variation of carbonate of site A/2 with depth in wet

season .

Z NS ASWSS 1.5 289 776 2 233 654 2.5 178 498 3 167 201 3.5 150 188

Figure 4.7(h) Variation of ∑Ca+Mg of site A/2 with depth in wet

season.

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Carb

onat

e (m

g/l)

Foundation depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

∑Ca+

Mg

(mg/

kg)

Foundation depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

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126

Z NS AWSS 1.5 234.12 399.25 2 243.55 452.46 2.5 265.1 477.1 3 285.6 484.7 3.5 292.56 495.18

Figure 4.7 (i) Variation of sulphate of site B/1with depth in wet

season.

Z NS ASWSS 1.5 299.6 499.4 2 320.15 538.45 2.5 338.6 555.67 3 415.2 620.19 3.5 440.88 699.42

Figure 4.7 (j) Variation of chloride of site B/1 with depth in wet

season.

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Sulp

hate

(mg/

l)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

AWSS

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Chlo

ride

(mg/

kg)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

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127

Z NS ASWSS

1.5 31.23 28.9 2 30.88 36.88 2.5 32.6 38.7 3 38.3 39.22 3.5 39.1 40.3

Figure 4.7(k) Variation of carbonate of site B/1 with depth in wet

season.

Z NS ASWSS

1.5 290 556 2 207 322 2.5 188 178 3 167 121 3.5 143 199

Figure 4.7(l) Variation of ∑Ca+Mg of site B/1 with depth in wet

season.

0

5

1015

20

25

30

35

40

45

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Carb

onat

e (m

g/l)

Foundation depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

∑Ca+

Mg

(mg/

kg)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

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128

Z NS ASWSS 1.5 249.73 399.6 2 256.4 468.31 2.5 295.66 474.1 3 250.17 552.19 3.5 259.22 560.15

Figure 4.7 (m) Variation of sulphate of site B/2with depth in wet

season.

Z NS ASWSS 1.5 320.32 568.32 2 335.59 658.1 2.5 430.66 740.19 3 442.72 821.22 3.5 450.33 866.32

Figure 4.7 (n) Variation of chloride of site B/2 with depth in wet

season.

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Sulp

hate

(mg/

l)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

0100200300400500600700800900

1000

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Chlo

ride

(mg/

kg)

Foundation depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

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129

Z NS ASWSS

1.5 27.6 28.8 2 29.89 20.13 2.5 30.35 32.1 3 33.22 36.8 3.5 36.48 39.5

Figure 4.7(o) Variation of carbonate of site B/2 with depth in wet

season.

Z NS ASWSS 1.5 278 659 2 231 440 2.5 178 308 3 144 187 3.5 107 154

Figure 4.7(p) Variation of ∑Ca+Mg of site B/2with depth in wet season.

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Carb

onat

e (m

g/l)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

∑Ca+

Mg

(mg/

kg)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

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130

Z NS ASWSS

1.5 267.5 389.15 2 284.1 499.1 2.5 222.1 542.1 3 275.15 578.55 3.5 246.44 588.42

Figure 4.7 (q) Variation of sulphate of site C/1with depth in wet

season.

Z NS ASWSS

1.5 315.22 420.67 2 329.18 496.18 2.5 330.72 542.15 3 356.84 599.3 3.5 415.1 620.1

Figure 4.7 (r) Variation of chloride of site C/1 with depth in wet

season.

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Sulp

hate

(mg/

l)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Chlo

ride

(mg/

kg)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

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131

Z NS ASWSS

1.5 27 27.3 2 25.23 29.3 2.5 28.45 30.19 3 32.1 23.25 3.5 38.73 40

Figure 4.7 (s) Variation of carbonate of site C/1 with depth in wet

season.

Z NS ASWSS

1.5 195 443 2 187 200 2.5 144 176 3 143 143 3.5 122 108

Figure 4.7(t) Variation of ∑Ca+Mg of site C/1with depth in wet

season.

0

5

10

15

20

2530

35

40

45

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Carb

onat

e (m

g/l)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

050

100150200250300350400450500

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

∑Ca+

Mg

(mg/

kg)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

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132

Z NS ASWSS

1.5 220.55 235.1 2 242.2 245.2 2.5 240.17 265.44 3 256.68 269.67 3.5 280.99 298.3

Figure 4.7 (u) Variation of sulphate of site C/2with depth in wet

season.

Z NS ASWSS 1.5 353.1 356.78 2 388.9 422.13 2.5 420.95 443.17 3 467.3 587.67 3.5 488.76 595.1

Figure 4.7 (v) Variation of chloride of site C/2 with depth in wet

season.

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Sulp

hate

(mg/

l)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Chlo

ride

(mg/

kg)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

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133

Z NS ASWSS

1.5 20.22 24.6 2 24.68 29.9 2.5 29.16 29.92 3 28.15 30.35 3.5 39.7 40

Figure 4.7 (w) Variation of carbonate of site C/2 with depth in wet

season.

Z NS ASWSS

1.5 180 389 2 167 339 2.5 133 218 3 121 155 3.5 120 106

Figure 4.7(x) Variation of ∑Ca+Mg of site C/2with depth in wet

season.

05

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Carb

onat

e (m

g/l)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

∑Ca+

Mg

(mg/

kg)

Fou ndation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

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134

Z NS ASWSS

1.5 400.63 903.65 2 283.13 789.13 2.5 270.22 673.16 3 254.55 469.1 3.5 230.22 336.22

Figure 4.8(a) Variation of sulphate of site A/1with depth in dry

season.

Z NS ASWSS

1.5 617.1 972.3 2 454.96 648.62 2.5 429.6 459.39 3 342.85 344.86 3.5 320.54 322.45

Figure 4.8(b) Variation of chloride of site A/1with depth in dry

season.

0100200300400500600700800900

1000

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Sulp

hate

(mg/

l)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Chlo

ride

(mg/

kg)

Foundation depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

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135

Z NS ASWSS 1.5 50 50.1 2 46.17 48.9 2.5 42.15 42.33 3 30.62 33.62 3.5 29.88 30.19

Figure 4.8(c) Variation of carbonate of site A/1with depth in dry

season.

Z NS ASWSS

1.5 233 50.1 2 200 48.9 2.5 176 42.33 3 108 33.62 3.5 77 30.19

Figure 4.8(d) Variation of ∑Ca+Mg of site A/1with depth in dry

season.

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Carb

onat

e (m

g/l)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

0

50

100

150

200

250

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

∑Ca+

Mg

(mg/

kg)

Foundation depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

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136

Z NS ASWSS

1.5 390.3 698.3 2 362.33 664.23 2.5 345.45 555.45 3 268.1 489.1 3.5 386.22 370.24

Figure 4.8(e) Variation of sulphate of site A/2with depth in dry

season.

Z NS ASWSS

1.5 560.76 768.7 2 450.66 656.12 2.5 324.96 495.22 3 340.45 348.9 3.5 270.54 275.66

Figure 4.8(f) Variation of chloride of site A/2with depth in dry

season.

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Sulp

hate

(mg/

l)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Chlo

ride

(mg/

kg)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

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137

Z NS ASWSS

1.5 49.56 50.32 2 46.35 47.35 2.5 31.73 34.77 3 31.22 33.28 3.5 26.49 28.6

Figure 4.8(g) Variation of carbonate of site A/2with depth in dry

season.

Z NS ASWSS

1.5 176 1001 2 102 897 2.5 87 822 3 80 444 3.5 55 287

Figure 4.8(h) Variation of ∑Ca+Mg of site A/2with depth in dry

season.

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Carb

onat

e (m

g/l)

Foundatin Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

∑Ca+

Mg

(mg/

kg)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

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138

Figure 4.8(i) Variation of sulphate of site B/1with depth in dry season.

Z NS ASWSS 1.5 395.15 699.23 2 300.66 615.68 2.5 296.53 598.45 3 280.56 586.43 3.5 288 488.43

Z NS ASWSS 1.5 500.31 692.23 2 500.27 520.27 2.5 446.5 463.45 3 315.11 322.1 3.5 310.1 310.15

Figure 4.8(j) Variation of chloride of site B/1with depth in dry

season.

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Sulp

hate

(mg/

l)

Foundation depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Chlo

ride

(mg/

kg)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

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139

Z NS ASWSS

1.5 43.77 692.23 2 40.09 520.27 2.5 36.67 463.45 3 30.24 322.1 3.5 23 310.15

Figure 4.8(k) Variation of carbonate of site B/1with depth in dry

season.

Z NS ASWSS 1.5 192 667 2 180 434 2.5 171 219 3 100 177 3.5 83 136

Figure 4.8(l) Variation of ∑Ca+Mg of site B/1with depth in dry

season.

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Carb

onat

e (m

g/l)

Foundation depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

∑Ca+

Mg

(mg/

kg)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

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140

Z NS ASWSS

1.5 382.56 494.62 2 355.34 395.33 2.5 363.45 368.46 3 294 295.11 3.5 259.35 288.62

Figure 4.8(m) Variation of sulphate of site B/2with depth in dry

season.

Z NS ASWSS 1.5 488.67 498.69 2 342.25 344.25 2.5 322.06 342.3 3 268.33 288.73 3.5 254.89 276.9

Figure 4.8(n) Variation of chloride of site B/2with depth in dry season.

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Sulp

hate

(mg/

l)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Chlo

ride

(mg/

kg)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

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141

Z NS ASWSS

1.5 48.65 48.97 2 46.45 47.5 2.5 30.28 33.24 3 29.66 30.76 3.5 25.86 28.95

Figure 4.8(o) Variation of carbonate of site B/2with depth in dry

season.

Z NS ASWSS 1.5 189 545 2 166 407 2.5 143 227 3 98 188 3.5 67 146

Figure 4.8(p) Variation of ∑Ca+Mg of site B/2with depth in dry season.

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Carb

onat

e (m

g/l)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

∑Ca+

Mg

(mg/

kg)

Foundation depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

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142

Z NS ASWSS

1.5 346 676 2 340.1 640.12 2.5 324.65 435.68 3 296.11 398.11 3.5 249.66 389.42

Figure 4.8(q) Variation of sulphate of site C/1with depth in dry

season.

Z NS ASWSS

1.5 495 697.15 2 320.64 532.45 2.5 320.17 321.67 3 260.83 288.49 3.5 239.68 26.88

Figure 4.8(r) Variation of chloride of site C/1with depth in dry

season.

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Sulp

hate

(mg/

l)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Cchl

orid

e (m

g/kg

)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

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143

Z NS ASWSS 1.5 49.88 50.44 2 48.89 50.1 2.5 45.35 48.35 3 24.09 29.63 3.5 20.86 20.86

Figure 4.8(s) Variation of carbonate of site C/1with depth in dry

season.

Z NS ASWSS 1.5 170 877 2 165 552 2.5 129 328 3 109 200 3.5 56 183

Figure 4.8(t) Variation of ∑Ca+Mg of site C/1with depth in dry

season.

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Carb

onat

e (m

g/l)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

0100200300400500600700800900

1000

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

∑Cca

+Mg

(mg/

kg)

Foundation Depth (9m)

NS

ASWSS

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144

Z NS ASWSS

1.5 322.1 634.22 2 315.15 620.19 2.5 223.37 577.66 3 234 539.13 3.5 200.54 520.56

Figure 4.8(u) Variation of sulphate of site C/2with depth in dry

season.

Z NS ASWSS

1.5 589 599 2 584.67 588.99 2.5 563.85 567.73 3 420.31 423.5 3.5 340.12 344.12

Figure 4.8(v) Variation of chloride of site C/2with depth in dry

season.

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Sulp

hate

(mg/

l)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Chlo

ride

(mg/

kg)

Foundation depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

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145

Z NS ASWSS

1.5 46.9 48.99 2 46.72 47.6 2.5 42.33 46.77 3 40.33 45.28 3.5 32.66 34.66

Figure 4.8(w) Variation of carbonate of site C/2with depth in dry

season.

Z NS ASWSS 1.5 196 448 2 192 278 2.5 128 192 3 119 156 3.5 87 115

Figure 4.8(x) Variation of ∑Ca+Mg of site C/2with depth in dry season.

Chemical characterization is one of the most important investigations of ASWSS. It

revealed the chemical compositions of ASWSS in its various quantities expressed in

milligrams/liter (mg/l) or milligrams/kilogram (mg/kg). Figure 4.7 and 4.8 showed the

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Carb

onat

e (m

g/l)

Foundation depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

050

100150200250300350400450500

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

∑Ca+

Mg

(mg/

kg)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

ASWSS

Page 146: SAFETY ANALYSIS OF STRUCTURAL FOUNDATIONS BUILT ON ...

146

results of this characterization for ASWSS and NS at different depths in both wet and dry

seasons. Sulphate, chloride and carbonate contents vary positively with foundation depth

in wet season. However the direct opposite of this scenario is observed in dry season,

confirming the fact that high concentration of these compounds are found at lower depths

in wet season as a result of downward washing of leachate. Calcium and magnesium

composition decrease with depth in dry and wet seasons because of their inability to be

washed down easily in solution. Sulphate, chloride, and calcium/magnesium occur in

harsh proportions that violate WHO/EPA allowable maximum value in many cases of

ASWSS tests. However appreciable similarity both in quantity and variation with depth is

are observed for chloride contents of ASWSS and NS in wet and dry season

4.3 Organic Matter Content The amount of organic matter present in SWSS is a measure of its level of degradation.

The value is expressed as a percentage of the total mass of the soil sample. Higher values

are indications of further degradation and consolidation. Foundation soil cannot be said to

be stable where degradation is very much in progress. This is why World Health

Organisation (WHO) and Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) have set a ceiling of

5% of organic matter content in any proposed engineering soil. Table C. 8 of Appendix C

shows the results of organic matter content test of ASWSS of this study while Figure 4.9

shows its variation with foundation depth.

Z ASWSS

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

4

Org

anic

Mat

ter C

onte

nt (%

)

ASWSS

Page 147: SAFETY ANALYSIS OF STRUCTURAL FOUNDATIONS BUILT ON ...

147

1.5 3.27 2 3.65 2.5 3.22 3 2.89 3.5 2.1

Figure 4.9 (a) Variation of organic matter content of site A/1 with depth.

Z ASWSS

1.5 4.06 2 3.88 2.5 3.45 3 2.78 3.5 2.33

Figure 4.9 (b) Variation of organic matter content of site A/2 with depth.

Z ASWSS 1.5 5.01

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

4

4.5

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Org

anic

Mat

ter C

onte

nt (%

)

Foundation Depth (m)

ASWSS

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

Org

anic

Mat

ter C

onte

nt (%

)

ASWSS

Page 148: SAFETY ANALYSIS OF STRUCTURAL FOUNDATIONS BUILT ON ...

148

2 4.89 2.5 4.51 3 3.88 3.5 2.9

Figure 4.9 (c) Variation of organic matter content of site B/1with depth.

Z ASWSS

1.5 3.88 2 3.22 2.5 2.8 3 2.56 3.5 2.04

Figure 4.9 (d) Variation of organic matter content of site B/2with depth.

00.5

11.5

22.5

33.5

44.5

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Org

anic

Mat

ter C

onte

nt (%

)

Foundation Depth (m)

ASWSS

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

Org

anic

Mat

ter C

onte

nt (%

)

ASWSS

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149

Z ASWSS 1.5 4.87 2 4.66 2.5 4.32 3 2.99 3.5 2.36

Figure 4.9 (e) Variation of organic matter content of site C/1with depth.

Z ASWSS

1.5 4.55 2 4.05 2.5 3.81 3 2.7 3.5 2.09

Figure 4.9 (f) Variation of organic matter content of site C/2with

4.4 X – Ray Diffraction Test

The test was conducted to find out the mineral composition of ASWSS. This is important

because the behaviour of soil under stress may largely be influenced by its mineral

00.5

11.5

22.5

33.5

44.5

5

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Org

anic

Mat

ter C

onte

nt (%

)

Foundation Depth (m)

ASWSS

Page 150: SAFETY ANALYSIS OF STRUCTURAL FOUNDATIONS BUILT ON ...

150

contents. Some minerals have high swelling and shrinkage potentials in the presence or

absence of water and the knowledge of this is important in foundation designs. The

X – Ray Diffraction test of this study was conducted only for ASWSS and the results are

shown in Table 4.1

Table 4.1 Results of X- Ray Diffraction Test (ASWSS)

NO

ZONE

01 02 03

A, B & C Mineral name Quartz Rutile Stolzite

Compound

name

Silicon Oxide Titanium Oxide Lead Tungsten

Oxide

PDF name Silicon Oxide Titanium Oxide Lead Tungsten

Oxide

Empirical O2Si O2Ti O4PbW

Page 151: SAFETY ANALYSIS OF STRUCTURAL FOUNDATIONS BUILT ON ...

151

formula

Chemical

formula

SiO2 TiO2 Pb(WO4)

Crystal system Hexagonal Tetragonal Tetragonal

Alpha (º) 90.0000 90.0000 90.0000

Beta (º) 90.0000 90.0000 90.0000

Gamma (º) 120.0000 90.0000 90.0000

Status Alternate

pattern

Marked as

deleted by

ICDU

Alternate

pattern

Quality Indexed (I) Calculated (C) Indexed (I)

PDF is computer program file name

4.5 Student’s T - Test of Triaxial Test Results T – Test is a means by which the standard deviation of the difference between the means

of two sets of data is expressed. It is clear therefore that the higher the value the more

obvious the difference, and conversely, lower values are indications of high uncertainty

about the difference. T – test requires an initial expectation called null hypothesis which

the experiment is designed to test. The null hypothesis in this case can be that ‘we expect

differences’ between ASWSS and NS properties or that there are ‘no differences’

between them. However, it does not make sense to expect ‘differences’ if the scale of

such differences cannot be predicted. The null hypothesis in this case therefore, is that

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there are ‘no differences’ between ASWSS and NS properties and the t – test simply

shows the level of consistency of data with this expectation or its departure from it.

Student’s t - test was used to compare the differences between the means of ASWSS and

NS data (C, ∅ and ) in relation to the variation in the data sets. The results were used to

determine the level of significance of the difference between the two means. In this

process the number of degrees of freedom had to apply, which in the case of geotechnical

data is the number of independent variables that yield the estimates, less the number of

parameters used in the intermediate steps (Wikipedia, 2014). The implication of this is

that if the number of replicates of an observed data is n, then the number of degrees of

freedom is n - 1. This is applied in the computation of t - values of this analysis, and since

data were observed at 1.5, 2.0, 2.5, 3.0 and 3.5 m depths, n = 5 and the number of degrees

of freedom = n – 1 = 5 - 1= 4. This means that ASWSS has number of degrees of

freedom of 4 and NS has number of degrees of freedom of 4 and hence their combined

number of degrees of freedom is 8.

For any computed value of t in this analysis, the t – table was entered for number of

degrees of freedom of 8 and for a minimum confidence level of 95% or 0.05. The

tabulated t – table value at this level of confidence was compared with the computed

value. If the computed value is higher than the t – table value, then the difference

between those ASWSS and NS data is significant, but if it is lower, the difference is not

significant, implying that the occurrence of the difference might have been a subject of

chance. This t – test results shown in Table 4.2 were obtained by computing the t values

using the t – table shown in Table D. 1 of Appendix D.

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Table 4.2a: Student’s T-Test of Triaxial Test Results Zone: A Site: 1

ASWSS () /

NS () /

Remark Level of Significance

Replicate 1 (1.5 m depth)

10 28

Replicate 2 (2.0 m depth)

16 27

Replicate 3(2.5 m depth)

10 24

Replicate 4 (3.0 m depth)

15 22

Replicate 5 (3.5 m depth)

12 19

63 120 Total (=sum of the 4 replicate values)

5 5 12.6 24 Mean (=total/ )

825 2,934 Sum of the squares of each replicate value

3,969 14,400 Square of the total∑ . It is not the same as

793.8 2,880

31.20 54.0 ∑ = ∑ −

7.8 13.5 = ∑/ − 1

=1

1 +2

2 4.26 is the variance of the difference

between the means

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2.06 = √ (the standard deviation of the difference between the means)

=1− 2

t = 5.53 Very highly significant

Table 4.2b: Student’s T-Test of Triaxial Test Results Zone: A Site: 1

ASWSS (∅) (ᵒ)

NS (∅) (ᵒ)

Remark Level of Significance

Replicate 1 (1.5 m depth)

11 13

Replicate 2 (2.0 m depth)

9 10

Replicate 3(2.5 m depth)

7 15

Replicate 4 (3.0 m depth)

10 8

Replicate 5 (3.5 m depth)

9 9

46 55 Total (=sum of the 4 replicate values)

5 5 9.2 11 Mean (=total/ )

432 639 Sum of the squares of each replicate value

2,116 3,025 Square of the total∑ . It is not the same as

423.2 605

8.8 34 ∑ = ∑ −

2.2 8.5 = ∑/ − 1

=1

1 +2

2 2.14

is the variance of the difference between the means

1.46 = (the standard deviation of the

difference between the means)

=1− 2

t = 1.23 Not significant

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Table 4.2c: Student’s T-Test of Triaxial Test Results Zone: A Site: 1

ASWSS () /

NS () /

Remark Level of Significance

Replicate 1 (1.5 m depth)

15.78 15.90

Replicate 2 (2.0 m depth)

13.97 16.80

Replicate 3(2.5 m depth)

14.19 16.80

Replicate 4 (3.0 m depth)

15.21 15.67

Replicate 5 (3.5 m depth)

16.01 16.24

75.16 81.41 Total (=sum of the 4 replicate values)

5 5 15.03 16.28 Mean (=total/ )

1,133.19 1,326.58 Sum of the squares of each replicate value

5,649.03 6,627.59 Square of the total∑ . It is not the same as

1,129.81 1,325.52

3.38 1.06 ∑ = ∑ −

0.845 0.265 = ∑/ − 1

=1

1 +2

2 0.222

is the variance of the difference between the means

0.47 = (the standard deviation of the

difference between the means)

=1− 2

t = 2.66 Significant

Table 4.2d: Student’s T-Test of Triaxial Test Results Zone: A

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Site: 2 ASWSS ()

/ NS () /

Remark Level of Significance

Replicate 1 (1.5 m depth)

10 24

Replicate 2 (2.0 m depth)

14 25

Replicate 3(2.5 m depth)

15 19

Replicate 4 (3.0 m depth)

14 25

Replicate 5 (3.5 m depth)

13 22

66 115 Total (=sum of the 4 replicate values)

5 5 13.2 23 Mean (=total/ )

886 2,671 Sum of the squares of each replicate value

4,356 13,225 Square of the total∑ . It is not the same as

871.2 2,645

14.8 26 ∑ = ∑ −

3.7 6.5 = ∑/ − 1

=1

1+

2

2

2.04 is the variance of the difference

between the means

1.43 = (the standard deviation of the

difference between the means)

=1− 2

t = 6.85 Very highly significant

Table 4.2e: Student’s T-Test of Triaxial Test Results Zone: A Site: 2

ASWSS (∅) (ᵒ)

NS (∅) (ᵒ)

Remark Level of Significance

Replicate 1 (1.5 m depth)

10 14

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Replicate 2 (2.0 m depth)

10 12

Replicate 3(2.5 m depth)

9 13

Replicate 4 (3.0 m depth)

8 15

Replicate 5 (3.5 m depth)

9 16

46 70 Total (=sum of the 4 replicate values)

5 5 9.2 14 Mean (=total/ )

426 990 Sum of the squares of each replicate value

2,116 4,900 Square of the total∑ . It is not the same as

423.2 980

2.8 10 ∑ = ∑ −

0.7 2.5 = ∑/ − 1

=1

1 +2

2 0.64

is the variance of the difference between the means

0.8 = (the standard deviation of the

difference between the means)

=1− 2

t = 6 Very highly significant

Table 4.2f: Student’s T-Test of Triaxial Test Results Zone: A Site: 2

ASWSS () /

NS () /

Remark Level of Significance

Replicate 1 (1.5 m depth)

15.96 17.14

Replicate 2 (2.0 m depth)

14.42 16.24

Replicate 3(2.5 m depth)

14.72 15.90

Replicate 4 (3.0 m 15.98 16.58

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depth) Replicate 5 (3.5 m depth)

16.32 16.12

77.40 81.98 Total (=sum of the 4 replicate values)

5 5 15.48 16.40 Mean (=total/ )

1,201.04 1,345.08 Sum of the squares of each replicate value

5,990.76 6,720.72 Square of the total∑ . It is not the same as

1,198.15 1,344.14

2.89 0.94 ∑ = ∑ −

0.72 0.24 = ∑/ − 1

=1

1 +2

2 0.19

is the variance of the difference between the means

0.44 = (the standard deviation of the

difference between the means)

=1− 2

t = 2.09 Significant

Table 4.2g: Student’s T-Test of Triaxial Test Results Zone: B Site: 1

ASWSS () /

NS () /

Remark Level of Significance

Replicate 1 (1.5 m depth)

9 25

Replicate 2 (2.0 m depth)

18 17

Replicate 3(2.5 m depth)

19 18

Replicate 4 (3.0 m depth)

12 22

Replicate 5 (3.5 m depth)

13 28

71 110 Total (=sum of the 4 replicate values)

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5 5 14.2 22 Mean (=total/ )

1,079 2,506 Sum of the squares of each replicate value

5,041 12,100 Square of the total∑ . It is not the same as

1,008.2 2,420

70.8 86 ∑ = ∑ −

17.70 21.5 = ∑/ − 1

=1

1 +2

2 7.84

is the variance of the difference between the means

2.8 = (the standard deviation of the

difference between the means)

=1− 2

t = 2.79 Significant

Table 4.2h: Student’s T-Test of Triaxial Test Results Zone: B Site: 1

ASWSS (∅) (ᵒ)

NS (∅) (ᵒ)

Remark Level of Significance

Replicate 1 (1.5 m depth)

12 16

Replicate 2 (2.0 m depth)

13 13

Replicate 3(2.5 m depth)

13 14

Replicate 4 (3.0 m depth)

13 16

Replicate 5 (3.5 m depth)

15 15

66 74 Total (=sum of the 4 replicate values)

5 5 13.2 14.8 Mean (=total/ )

876 1102 Sum of the squares of each replicate value

4,356 5,476 Square of the

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total∑ . It is not the same as

∑ ∑

871.2 1,095.2

4.8 6.8 ∑ = ∑ −

1.2 1.7 = ∑/ − 1

=1

1 +2

2 0.58

is the variance of the difference between the means

0.76 = (the standard deviation of the

difference between the means)

=1− 2

t = 2.11 Significant

Table 4.2i: Student’s T-Test of Triaxial Test Results Zone: B Site: 1

ASWSS () /

NS () /

Remark Level of Significance

Replicate 1 (1.5 m depth)

16.58 15.80

Replicate 2 (2.0 m depth)

13.98 16.40

Replicate 3(2.5 m depth)

14.87 16.60

Replicate 4 (3.0 m depth)

16.35 16.60

Replicate 5 (3.5 m depth)

16.35 16.68

78.13 82.08 Total (=sum of the 4 replicate values)

5 5 15.63 16.42 Mean (=total/ )

1226.10 1347.94 Sum of the squares of each replicate value

6,104.30 6,737.13 Square of the total∑ . It is not the same as

1,220.86 1,347.43

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5.24 0.51 ∑ = ∑ −

1.31 0.13 = ∑/ − 1

=1

1 +2

2 0.288 is the variance of the difference

between the means

0.54 = √ (the standard deviation of the difference between the means)

=1− 2

t = 1.46 Not significant

Table 4.2j: Student’s T-Test of Triaxial Test Results Zone: B Site: 2

ASWSS () /

NS () /

Remark Level of Significance

Replicate 1 (1.5 m depth)

9 20

Replicate 2 (2.0 m depth)

10 24

Replicate 3(2.5 m depth)

11 19

Replicate 4 (3.0 m depth)

12 22

Replicate 5 (3.5 m depth)

14 22

56 107 Total (=sum of the 4 replicate values)

5 5 11.2 21.4 Mean (=total/ )

642 2,305 Sum of the squares of each replicate value

3,136 11,449 Square of the total∑ . It is not the same as

627.2 2,289.8

14.8 15.2 ∑ = ∑ −

3.7 3.8 = ∑/ − 1

=1

1 +2

2 1.5

is the variance of the difference between the means

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1.22 = (the standard deviation of the

difference between the means)

=1− 2

t = 8.36 Very highly significant

Table 4.2k: Student’s T-Test of Triaxial Test Results Zone: B Site: 2

ASWSS (∅) (ᵒ)

NS (∅) (ᵒ)

Remark Level of Significance

Replicate 1 (1.5 m depth)

12 11

Replicate 2 (2.0 m depth)

9 13

Replicate 3(2.5 m depth)

10 13

Replicate 4 (3.0 m depth)

12 14

Replicate 5 (3.5 m depth)

13 16

56 67 Total (=sum of the 4 replicate values)

5 5 11.2 13.4 Mean (=total/ )

638 911 Sum of the squares of each replicate value

3,136 4,489 Square of the total∑ . It is not the same as

627.2 897.8

10.8 13.2 ∑ = ∑ −

2.7 3.3 = ∑/ − 1

=1

1 +2

2 1.2

is the variance of the difference between the means

1.095 = (the standard deviation of the

difference between the means)

=1− 2

t = 2.0 Significant

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Table 4.2l: Student’s T-Test of Triaxial Test Results Zone: B Site: 2

ASWSS () /

NS () /

Remark Level of Significance

Replicate 1 (1.5 m depth)

15.98 15.89

Replicate 2 (2.0 m depth)

15.50 16.22

Replicate 3(2.5 m depth)

14.98 16.22

Replicate 4 (3.0 m depth)

16.10 16.24

Replicate 5 (3.5 m depth)

16.30 16.40

78.86 80.97 Total (=sum of the 4 replicate values)

5 5 15.77 16.19 Mean (=total/ )

1,244.91 1,311.37 Sum of the squares of each replicate value

6,218.90 6,556.14 Square of the total∑ . It is not the same as

1,243.78 1,311.23

1.13 0.14 ∑ = ∑ −

0.28 0.04 = ∑/ − 1

=1

1 +2

2 0.064

is the variance of the difference between the means

0.25 = (the standard deviation of the

difference between the means)

=1− 2

t =1.68 Not significant

Table 4.2m: Student’s T-Test of Triaxial Test Results Zone: C

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164

Site: 1 ASWSS ()

/ NS () /

Remark Level of Significance

Replicate 1 (1.5 m depth)

10 28

Replicate 2 (2.0 m depth)

9 26

Replicate 3(2.5 m depth)

11 25

Replicate 4 (3.0 m depth)

10 20

Replicate 5 (3.5 m depth)

12 19

52 118 Total (=sum of the 4 replicate values)

5 5 10.4 23.6 Mean (=total/ )

546 2,846 Sum of the squares of each replicate value

2,704 13,924 Square of the total∑ . It is not the same as

540.8 2,784.8

5.2 61.2 ∑ = ∑ −

1.3 15.3 = ∑/ − 1

=1

1+

2

2

3.32 is the variance of the difference

between the means

1.82 = (the standard deviation of the

difference between the means)

=1− 2

t = 7.25 Very highly significant

Table 4.2n: Student’s T-Test of Triaxial Test Results Zone: C Site: 1

ASWSS (∅) (ᵒ)

NS (∅) (ᵒ)

Remark Level of Significance

Replicate 1 (1.5 m depth)

13 13

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Replicate 2 (2.0 m depth)

13 13

Replicate 3(2.5 m depth)

13 14

Replicate 4 (3.0 m depth)

13 15

Replicate 5 (3.5 m depth)

14 16

66 71 Total (=sum of the 4 replicate values)

5 5 13.2 14.2 Mean (=total/ )

872 1015 Sum of the squares of each replicate value

4,356 5,041 Square of the total∑ . It is not the same as

871.2 1,008.2

0.8 6.8 ∑ = ∑ −

0.2 1.7 = ∑/ − 1

=1

1 +2

2 0.38

is the variance of the difference between the means

0.62 = (the standard deviation of the

difference between the means)

=1− 2

t = 1.61 Not significant

Table 4.2o: Student’s T-Test of Triaxial Test Results Zone: C Site: 1

ASWSS () /

NS () /

Remark Level of Significance

Replicate 1 (1.5 m depth)

16.20 15.90

Replicate 2 (2.0 m depth)

14.98 16.82

Replicate 3(2.5 m depth)

15.80 16.80

Replicate 4 (3.0 m 16.24 16.84

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depth) Replicate 5 (3.5 m depth)

16.24 16.84

79.46 83.20 Total (=sum of the 4 replicate values)

5 5 15.89 16.64 Mean (=total/ )

1,263.96 1,385.13 Sum of the squares of each replicate value

6,313.89 6,922.24 Square of the total∑ . It is not the same as

1,262.78 1,384.45

1.18 0.68 ∑ = ∑ −

0.295 0.17 = ∑/ − 1

=1

1 +2

2 0.093

is the variance of the difference between the means

0.30 = (the standard deviation of the

difference between the means)

=1− 2

t = 2.5 Significant

Table 4.2p: Student’s T-Test of Triaxial Test Results Zone: C Site: 2

ASWSS () /

NS () /

Remark Level of Significance

Replicate 1 (1.5 m depth)

11 23

Replicate 2 (2.0 m depth)

13 18

Replicate 3(2.5 m depth)

11 22

Replicate 4 (3.0 m depth)

12 19

Replicate 5 (3.5 m depth)

10 23

47 105 Total (=sum of the 4 replicate values)

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5 5 9.4 21 Mean (=total/ )

655 2,227 Sum of the squares of each replicate value

2,209 11,025 Square of the total∑ . It is not the same as

441.8 2,205

213.2 22 ∑ = ∑ −

53.3 5.5 = ∑/ − 1

=1

1 +2

2 11.76

is the variance of the difference between the means

3.43 = (the standard deviation of the

difference between the means)

=1− 2

t = 3.38 Highly significant

Table 4.2q: Student’s T-Test of Triaxial Test Results Zone: C Site: 2

ASWSS (∅) (ᵒ)

NS (∅) (ᵒ)

Remark Level of Significance

Replicate 1 (1.5 m depth)

9 12

Replicate 2 (2.0 m depth)

11 14

Replicate 3(2.5 m depth)

10 13

Replicate 4 (3.0 m depth)

12 15

Replicate 5 (3.5 m depth)

11 16

53 70 Total (=sum of the 4 replicate values)

5 5 10.6 14 Mean (=total/ )

567 990 Sum of the squares of each replicate value

2,809 4,900 Square of the

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total∑ . It is not the same as

∑ ∑

561.8 980

5.2 10 ∑ = ∑ −

1.3 2.5 = ∑/ − 1

=1

1 +2

2 0.76

is the variance of the difference between the means

0.87 = (the standard deviation of the

difference between the means)

=1− 2

t = 3.91 Highly significant

Table 4.2r: Student’s T-Test of Triaxial Test Results Zone: C Site: 2

ASWSS () /

NS () /

Remark Level of Significance

Replicate 1 (1.5 m depth)

13.89 15.51

Replicate 2 (2.0 m depth)

14.22 16.01

Replicate 3(2.5 m depth)

12.92 16.20

Replicate 4 (3.0 m depth)

13.90 16.24

Replicate 5 (3.5 m depth)

14.28 16.30

69.21 80.26 Total (=sum of the 4 replicate values)

5 5 13.84 16.05 Mean (=total/ )

959.20 1,288.75 Sum of the squares of each replicate value

4,790.02 6,441.67 Square of the total∑ . It is not the same as

958.00 1,288.33

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1.2 0.42 ∑ = ∑ −

0.3 0.105 = ∑/ − 1

=1

1 +2

2 0.081

is the variance of the difference between the means

0.28 = (the standard deviation of the

difference between the means)

=1− 2

t = 7.9 Very highly significant

Significance in statistics means probably true, and in application, significance level

expresses how likely an implication of data pattern may be due to chance. Significance

level of 0.05 (95%) for instance means that the findings deduced from data pattern has

five percent chance of not being true. This is the minimum level of acceptance for most

engineering and scientific judgments based on statistical data.

Out of the eighteen tested cases of triaxial test results, six were in ‘very highly

significant’, two in ‘highly significant’, six in ‘significant’ and four in ‘not significant’

levels. A total of fourteen out of eighteen cases were in different significance levels

showing that seventy eight percent (78%) of the tests indicate that there exists differences

between these ASWSS and NS Properties (, ∅ and ).

4.6 T – Test of Atterberg Limits, Compaction and Specific Gravity Test Results The t – tests of Atterberg Limits, compaction and specific gravity test results were carried

out on zonal basis, with the five replicates of each of the two sites of a zone adding up to

make a total of ten replicates in the zone. The conduct and results of these tests are shown

in Tables 4.3, 4.4 and 4.5.

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Table 4.3a: Student’s T-Test of Atterberg Limits Test Results Zone: A

ASWSS (LL) %

NS (LL) %

Remark Level of Significance

Replicate 1 40 49 Replicate 2 44 32 Replicate 3 40 33 Replicate 4 52 35 Replicate 5 28 29 Replicate 6 42 39 Replicate 7 44 36 Replicate 8 40 34 Replicate 9 50 38 Replicate 10 35 36

∑ 415 361 Total (=sum of the 4

replicate values)

41.5 10 17,649 36.1 Mean (=total/ )

172,225

13,293

Sum of the squares of each replicate value

17,222.5

130,321

Square of the total∑ . It is not the same as

426.5

13,032.1

47.39

260.9 ∑ = ∑ −

7.738

29.99

= ∑/ − 1

=1

1 +2

2

2.78

is the variance of the difference between the means

2.78

= (the standard deviation of the

difference between the means)

=1− 2

t = 1.94 Significant

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Table 4.3b: Student’s T-Test of Atterberg Limits Test Results Zone: B

ASWSS (LL) %

NS (LL) %

Remark Level of Significance

Replicate 1 32 37 Replicate 2 35 37 Replicate 3 33 48 Replicate 4 34 36 Replicate 5 34 34 Replicate 6 30 32 Replicate 7 34 33 Replicate 8 33 32 Replicate 9 34 30 Replicate 10 34 33

333

352 Total (=sum of the 4 replicate values)

10 10 33.3 35.2 Mean (=total/ )

11,107 12,620 Sum of the squares of each replicate value

110,889 123,904 Square of the total∑ . It is not the same as

11,088.9 12,390.4

18.1 229.6 ∑ = ∑ −

2.01 25.51 = ∑/ − 1

=1

1 +2

2

2.75

is the variance of the difference between the means

1.66

= (the standard deviation of the

difference between the means)

=1− 2

t = 1.14 Not significant

Table 4.3c: Student’s T-Test of Atterberg Limits Test Results Zone: C

ASWSS (LL) %

NS (LL) %

Remark Level of Significance

Replicate 1 38 42

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Replicate 2 40 38 Replicate 3 38 36 Replicate 4 39 36 Replicate 5 39 38 Replicate 6 40 36 Replicate 7 37 38 Replicate 8 39 35 Replicate 9 37 34 Replicate 10 34 35

381

368 Total (=sum of the 4 replicate values)

10 10 38.1 36.8 Mean (=total/ )

14,545 13,590 Sum of the squares of each replicate value

145,161

135,424

Square of the total∑ . It is not the same as

14,516.1 13,542.4

28.9

47.6 ∑ = ∑ −

3.21 5.29 = ∑/ − 1

=1

1+

2

2

0.85

is the variance of the difference

between the means

0.92

= (the standard deviation of the

difference between the means)

=1− 2

t = 1.4 Not significant

Table 4.3d: Student’s T-Test of Atterberg Limits Test Results Zone: A

ASWSS (PL) %

NS (PL) %

Remark Level of Significance

Replicate 1 35.50 35.09 Replicate 2 37.17 30.95 Replicate 3 25.54 26.97 Replicate 4 36.11 34.31 Replicate 5 25.00 28.17 Replicate 6 36.50 29.00

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Replicate 7 37.55 28.00 Replicate 8 35.00 28.00 Replicate 9 36.50 33.00 Replicate 10 28.20 27.15

333.07

300.64 Total (=sum of the 4 replicate values)

10 10 33.31 30.06 Mean (=total/ )

11,317.83

9,122.44

Sum of the squares of each replicate value

110,935.62

90,384.41

Square of the total∑ . It is not the same as

11,093.6 9,038.4

224.23 84.04 ∑ = ∑ −

24.91 9.34 = ∑/ − 1

=1

1+

2

2

3.425 is the variance of the difference

between the means

1.85 = (the standard deviation of the

difference between the means)

=1− 2

t =1.76 Significant

Table 4.3e: Student’s T-Test of Atterberg Limits Test Results Zone: B

ASWSS (PL) %

NS (PL) %

Remark Level of Significance

Replicate 1 27.78 26.67 Replicate 2 29.29 32.58 Replicate 3 29.29 31.01 Replicate 4 27.92 28.22 Replicate 5 30.49 25.54 Replicate 6 29.19 27.75 Replicate 7 28.55 29.00 Replicate 8 26.29 25.72 Replicate 9 28.72 27.65 Replicate 10 28.72 27.65 286.24 281.79 Total (=sum of the 4

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∑ replicate values) 10 10 28.62 28.18 Mean (=total/ )

8,204.70 7,984.65 Sum of the squares of each replicate value

81,933.33 79,405.60 Square of the total∑ . It is not the same as

8,193.33 7,940.56

11.37 44.09 ∑ = ∑ −

1.26 4.90 = ∑/ − 1

=1

1 +2

2 0.62

is the variance of the difference between the means

0.78 = (the standard deviation of the

difference between the means)

=1− 2

t = 0.56 Not significant

Table 4.3f: Student’s T-Test of Atterberg Limits Test Results Zone: C

ASWSS (PL) %

NS (PL) %

Remark Level of Significance

Replicate 1 35.50 35.25 Replicate 2 36.50 34.50 Replicate 3 32.00 32.00 Replicate 4 33.50 30.95 Replicate 5 33.72 32.55 Replicate 6 28.00 29.15 Replicate 7 27.50 28.15 Replicate 8 28.85 27.15 Replicate 9 26.62 30.25 Replicate 10 25.50 26.40

307.69 306.35 Total (=sum of the 4

replicate values)

10 10 30.77 30.64 Mean (=total/ )

9,607.24 9,465.51 Sum of the squares of each replicate value

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94,673.14 93,850.32 Square of the total∑ . It is not the same as

9,467.31 9,385.03

139.33 88.48 ∑ = ∑ −

15.48 8.94 = ∑/ − 1

=1

1 +2

2 2.44

is the variance of the difference between the means

1.56 = (the standard deviation of the

difference between the means)

=1− 2

t = 0.08 Not significant

Table 4.3g: Student’s T-Test of Atterberg Limits Test Results Zone: A

ASWSS (PI) %

NS (PI) %

Remark Level of Significance

Replicate 1 4.5 13.91 Replicate 2 6.83 1.05 Replicate 3 4.50 6.03 Replicate 4 15.89 0.69 Replicate 5 3.0 0.83 Replicate 6 5.5 10.00 Replicate 7 6.45 8.00 Replicate 8 5.0 6.00 Replicate 9 13.50 5.00 Replicate 10 6.80 8.85

∑ 71.97 60.42 Total (=sum of the 4

replicate values)

10 10 7.20 6.04 Mean (=total/ )

670.20 537.11 Sum of the squares of each replicate value

5,179.68 3,650.58 Square of the total∑ . It is not the same as

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517.97 365.06

152.23 172.05 ∑ = ∑ −

16.91 19.16 = ∑/ − 1

=1

1 +2

2 3.61

is the variance of the difference between the means

1.9 = (the standard deviation of the

difference between the means)

=1− 2

t = 0.61 Not significant

Table 4.3h: Student’s T-Test of Atterberg Limits Test Results Zone: B

ASWSS (PI) %

NS (PI) %

Remark Level of Significance

Replicate 1 4.22 10.33 Replicate 2 5.71 4.42 Replicate 3 3.71 16.99 Replicate 4 6.08 7.78 Replicate 5 3.51 8.46 Replicate 6 0.81 4.25 Replicate 7 5.45 4.00 Replicate 8 6.71 6.28 Replicate 9 5.28 2.35 Replicate 10 5.28 5.35

∑ 46.76 70.21 Total (=sum of the 4

replicate values)

10 10 4.68 7.02 Mean (=total/ )

244.60 654.65 Sum of the squares of each replicate value

2,186.50 4,929.44 Square of the total∑ . It is not the same as

218.65 492.94

25.95 161.71 ∑ = ∑ −

2.88 17.97 = ∑/ − 1

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=1

1 +2

2 2.09

is the variance of the difference between the means

1.45 = (the standard deviation of the

difference between the means)

=1− 2

t = 1.61 Not significant

Table 4.3i: Student’s T-Test of Atterberg Limits Test Results Zone: C

ASWSS (PI) %

NS (PI) %

Remark Level of Significance

Replicate 1 4.50 6.75 Replicate 2 3.50 3.50 Replicate 3 6.00 4.00 Replicate 4 5.5 5.03 Replicate 5 5.28 5.45 Replicate 6 12.00 6.85 Replicate 7 9.50 9.55 Replicate 8 10.15 7.85 Replicate 9 10.38 3.75 Replicate 10 8.50 8.60

∑ 75.21 61.33 Total (=sum of the 4

replicate values)

10 10 7.52 6.13 Mean (=total/ )

643.90 416.59 Sum of the squares of each replicate value

5,656.54 3,761.37 Square of the total∑ . It is not the same as

565.65 376.13

78.25 40.46 ∑ = ∑ −

8.69 4.50 = ∑/ − 1

=1

1 +2

2 1.32

is the variance of the difference between the means

1.15 = (the standard deviation of the

difference between the means)

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=1− 2

t = 1.03 Not significant

Table 4.3j: Student’s T-Test of Atterberg Limits Test Results Zone: A

ASWSS (LS) %

NS (LS) %

Remark Level of Significance

Replicate 1 4.29 10.00 Replicate 2 5.00 10.71 Replicate 3 5.71 10.00 Replicate 4 8.57 10.71 Replicate 5 10.00 10.71 Replicate 6 4.45 10.91 Replicate 7 6.00 10.50 Replicate 8 8.27 10.25 Replicate 9 8.05 10.25 Replicate 10 10.05 10.05

∑ 70.39 104.09 Total (=sum of the 4

replicate values)

10 10 7.04 10.41 Mean (=total/ )

539.45 1,084.52 Sum of the squares of each replicate value

4,954.75 10,834.73 Square of the total∑ . It is not the same as

495.48 1,083.47

43.99 1.05 ∑ = ∑ −

4.89 0.12 = ∑/ − 1

=1

1+

2

2

0.50 is the variance of the difference

between the means

0.71 = (the standard deviation of the

difference between the means)

=1− 2

t = 4.75 Very highly significant

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Table 4.3k: Student’s T-Test of Atterberg Limits Test Results Zone: B

ASWSS (LS) %

NS (LS) %

Remark Level of Significance

Replicate 1 8.57 7.86 Replicate 2 9.29 8.57 Replicate 3 8.00 9.29 Replicate 4 8.57 8.57 Replicate 5 8.57 8.57 Replicate 6 9.28 8.55 Replicate 7 8.29 8.75 Replicate 8 8.57 8.55 Replicate 9 8.50 8.57 Replicate 10 8.55 8.57

∑ 86.19 86.85 Total (=sum of the 4

replicate values)

10 10 8.62 8.69 Mean (=total/ )

744.28 756.58 Sum of the squares of each replicate value

7,428.72 7,542.92 Square of the total∑ . It is not the same as

742.87 754.29

1.41 2.29 ∑ = ∑ −

0.16 0.25 = ∑/ − 1

=1

1 +2

2 0.04

is the variance of the difference between the means

0.20 = (the standard deviation of the

difference between the means)

=1− 2

t = 0.35 Not significant

Table 4.3l: Student’s T-Test of Atterberg Limits Test Results Zone: C

ASWSS (LS) NS (LS) Remark Level of

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% % Significance Replicate 1 7.95 9.25 Replicate 2 8.71 8.85 Replicate 3 8.77 8.57 Replicate 4 8.75 8.90 Replicate 5 8.55 8.55 Replicate 6 7.25 8.25 Replicate 7 8.15 7.00 Replicate 8 6.27 9.15 Replicate 9 7.75 6.75 Replicate 10 8.05 7.15

∑ 80.2 82.42 Total (=sum of the 4

replicate values)

10 10 8.02 8.24 Mean (=total/ )

650.43 687.11 Sum of the squares of each replicate value

6,432.04 6,793.06 Square of the total∑ . It is not the same as

643.20 679.31

7.23 7.8 ∑ = ∑ −

0.80 0.87 = ∑/ − 1

=1

1 +2

2 0.17

is the variance of the difference between the means

0.41 = (the standard deviation of the

difference between the means)

=1− 2

t = 0.54 Not significant

Table 4.4a: T – Test of Compaction Test Results Zone: A

ASWSS (OMC) %

NS (OMC) %

Remark Level of Significance

Replicate 1 20.00 22.47 Replicate 2 20.86 18.00 Replicate 3 18.32 20.00 Replicate 4 25.00 26.51

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Replicate 5 17.00 25.00 Replicate 6 22.00 19.25 Replicate 7 20.00 20.22 Replicate 8 23.00 25.75 Replicate 9 25.00 20.15 Replicate 10 19.00 19.00

∑ 210.18 216.35 Total (=sum of the 4

replicate values)

10 10 21.02 21.64 Mean (=total/ )

4,483.76 4,766.18 Sum of the squares of each replicate value

44,175.63 46,807.32 Square of the total∑ . It is not the same as

4,417.6 4,680.73

66.16 85,45 ∑ = ∑ −

7.35 9.49 = ∑/ − 1

=1

1 +2

2 1.69

is the variance of the difference between the means

1.3 = (the standard deviation of the

difference between the means)

=1− 2

t = 0.48 Not significant

Table 4.4b: T – Test of Compaction Test Results Zone: B

ASWSS (OMC) %

NS (OMC) %

Remark Level of Significance

Replicate 1 18.56 15.05 Replicate 2 18.36 14.46 Replicate 3 19.17 12.79 Replicate 4 17.97 19.54 Replicate 5 15.55 16.38 Replicate 6 20.72 22.56 Replicate 7 20.68 20.17 Replicate 8 18.18 18.27 Replicate 9 19.27 17.70

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Replicate 10 16.35 16.32

∑ 184.81 173.24 Total (=sum of the 4

replicate values)

10 10 18.48 17.32 Mean (=total/ )

3,439.92 3,078.50 Sum of the squares of each replicate value

34,154.74 30,012.09 Square of the total∑ . It is not the same as

3,415.47 3,001.21

24.45 77.29 ∑ = ∑ −

2.72 8.59 = ∑/ − 1

=1

1 +2

2 1.13

is the variance of the difference between the means

1.06 = (the standard deviation of the

difference between the means)

=1− 2

t = 1.09 Not significant

Table 4.4c: T – Test of Compaction Test Results Zone: C

ASWSS (OMC) %

NS (OMC) %

Remark Level of Significance

Replicate 1 18.33 20.20 Replicate 2 19.27 19.00 Replicate 3 18.38 18.84 Replicate 4 19.20 18.90 Replicate 5 19.00 19.10 Replicate 6 15.50 16.83 Replicate 7 16.20 15.56 Replicate 8 17.22 14.20 Replicate 9 17.00 16.25 Replicate 10 17.00 16.35

∑ 177.10 175.23 Total (=sum of the 4

replicate values)

10 10 17.71 17.52 Mean (=total/ )

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3,152.00 3,104.39 Sum of the squares of each replicate value

31,364.41 30,705.55 Square of the total∑ . It is not the same as

3,136.44 3,070.56

15.56 33.83 ∑ = ∑ −

1.73 3.76 = ∑/ − 1

=1

1 +2

2 0.55

is the variance of the difference between the means

0.74 = (the standard deviation of the

difference between the means)

=1− 2

t = 0.25 Not significant

Table 4.4d: T – Test of Compaction Test Results Zone: A

ASWSS (MDD) g /cm3

NS (MDD) g /cm3

Remark Level of Significance

Replicate 1 1.56 1.67 Replicate 2 1.48 1.67 Replicate 3 1.57 1.39 Replicate 4 1.71 1.33 Replicate 5 1.51 1.48 Replicate 6 1.67 1.76 Replicate 7 1.55 1.82 Replicate 8 1.60 1.70 Replicate 9 1.50 1.65 Replicate 10 1.58 1.68

∑ 15.73 16.15 Total (=sum of the 4

replicate values)

10 10 1.57 1.62 Mean (=total/ )

24.79 26.31 Sum of the squares of each replicate value

247.43 260.82 Square of the total∑ . It is not the same as

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∑ ∑

24.74 26.08

0.05 0.23 ∑ = ∑ −

0.005 0.026 = ∑/ − 1

=1

1 +2

2 0.031

is the variance of the difference between the means

0.18 = (the standard deviation of the

difference between the means)

=1− 2

t = 0.28 Not significant

Table 4.4e: T – Test of Compaction Test Results Zone: B

ASWSS (MDD) g /cm3

NS (MDD) g /cm3

Remark Level of Significance

Replicate 1 1.93 1.85 Replicate 2 1.80 1.96 Replicate 3 1.65 1.93 Replicate 4 1.57 1.81 Replicate 5 1.70 1.88 Replicate 6 1.68 1.71 Replicate 7 1.67 1.79 Replicate 8 1.56 1.48 Replicate 9 1.66 1.70 Replicate 10 1.65 1.65

∑ 16.87 17.76 Total (=sum of the 4

replicate values)

10 10 1.69 1.78 Mean (=total/ )

28.57 31.73 Sum of the squares of each replicate value

284.59 315.42 Square of the total∑ . It is not the same as

28.46 31.54

0.11 0.19 ∑ = ∑ −

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0.012 0.02 = ∑/ − 1

=1

1 +2

2 0.0034

is the variance of the difference between the means

0.06 = (the standard deviation of the

difference between the means)

=1− 2

t =1.5 Not significant

Table 4.4f: T – Test of Compaction Test Results Zone: C

ASWSS (MDD) g /cm3

NS (MDD) g /cm3

Remark Level of Significance

Replicate 1 1.67 1.80 Replicate 2 1.90 1.84 Replicate 3 1.83 1.79 Replicate 4 1.72 1.67 Replicate 5 1.52 1.54 Replicate 6 1.94 1.80 Replicate 7 1.90 1.92 Replicate 8 1.82 1.90 Replicate 9 1.79 1.88 Replicate 10 1.72 1.76

∑ 17.81 17.90 Total (=sum of the 4

replicate values)

10 10 1.78 1.79 Mean (=total/ )

31.87 32.16 Sum of the squares of each replicate value

317.19 320.41 Square of the total∑ . It is not the same as

31.72 32.04

0.15 0.12 ∑ = ∑ −

0.016 0.013 = ∑/ − 1

=1

1 +2

2 0.0029

is the variance of the difference between the means

0.054 = (the standard deviation of the

difference between the means)

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=1− 2

t = 0.19 Not significant

Table 4.5a: Student’s T-Test of Specific Gravity (Gs) Test Results Zone: A

ASWSS (Gs)

NS (Gs)

Remark Level of Significance

Replicate 1 1.64 2.21 Replicate 2 2.04 2.36 Replicate 3 2.14 2.47 Replicate 4 2.26 2.54 Replicate 5 2.45 2.66 Replicate 6 1.88 2.56 Replicate 7 2.17 2.60 Replicate 8 2.48 2.64 Replicate 9 2.56 2.66 Replicate 10 2.64 2.65

∑ 22.26 25.35 Total (=sum of the 4

replicate values)

10 10 2.23 2.54 Mean (=total/ )

50.46 64.46 Sum of the squares of each replicate value

495.51 642.62 Square of the total∑ . It is not the same as

49.55 64.26

0.91 0.2 ∑ = ∑ −

0.10 0.02 = ∑/ − 1

=1

1+

2

2

0.01 is the variance of the difference

between the means

0.1 = (the standard deviation of the

difference between the means)

=1− 2

t = 3.1 Highly significant

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Table 4.5b: Student’s T-Test of Specific Gravity (Gs) Test Results Zone: B

ASWSS (Gs)

NS (Gs)

Remark Level of Significance

Replicate 1 2.52 2.55 Replicate 2 2.54 2.55 Replicate 3 2.56 2.56 Replicate 4 2.56 2.63 Replicate 5 2.58 2.67 Replicate 6 1.78 2.58 Replicate 7 1.92 2.65 Replicate 8 2.20 2.65 Replicate 9 2.58 2.67 Replicate 10 2.60 2.67

∑ 23.84 26.18 Total (=sum of the 4

replicate values)

10 10 2.38 2.62 Mean (=total/ )

57.68 68.56 Sum of the squares of each replicate value

568.35 685.39 Square of the total∑ . It is not the same as

56.84 68.54

0.84 0.02 ∑ = ∑ −

0.09 0.002 = ∑/ − 1

=1

1 +2

2 0.01

is the variance of the difference between the means

0.1 = (the standard deviation of the

difference between the means)

=1− 2

t = 2.4 Significant

Table 4.5c: Student’s T-Test of Specific Gravity (Gs) Test Results Zone: C

ASWSS (Gs) NS (Gs) Remark Level of

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Significance Replicate 1 2.50 2.58 Replicate 2 2.57 2.65 Replicate 3 2.58 2.67 Replicate 4 2.64 2.67 Replicate 5 2.66 2.69 Replicate 6 2.14 2.57 Replicate 7 2.25 2.60 Replicate 8 2.40 2.67 Replicate 9 2.61 2.67 Replicate 10 2.63 2.69

∑ 24.98 26.46 Total (=sum of the 4

replicate values)

10 10 2.50 2.65 Mean (=total/ )

62.69 70.03 Sum of the squares of each replicate value

624.00 700.13 Square of the total∑ . It is not the same as

62.4 70.01

0.29 0.02 ∑ = ∑ −

0.32 0.002 = ∑/ − 1

=1

1 +2

2 0.032

is the variance of the difference between the means

0.18 = (the standard deviation of the

difference between the means)

=1− 2

t = 0.83 Not significant

Significance levels show how likely a pattern in a data set is due to chance and the

minimum level used to mean a result is good enough to be believed is 95% or 0.05

(Wikepedia, 2015). In the process of comparing the computed and tabulated values of t, a

non – significant difference at P = 0.05 means that if the null hypothesis (no significant

difference between ASWSS and NS properties) were not correct the computed value of t

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would be expected to be greater than the tabulated t value at that level of probability P.

There is 99% chance (highly significant) of the properties of ASWSS and NS being

significantly different if the computed t value exceeds the tabulated at P = 0.01 and

99.9% chance (very highly significant) of being significantly different if it exceeds the

tabulated at P = 0.001. Higher levels of significance (P = 0.01 or P = 0.001) simply

confirms that the probability of the conclusion is correct.

By mere inspection of the sequence of observed ASWSS and NS properties, one can see

the differences between the two sets of data but there is the need to verify if the

differences are likely due to chance because of site locations or whether the differences

likely reflect actual differences in the parent population represented by data sample. The t

–test carried out on Atterberg Limits test results of ASWSS and NS revealed that only

twenty five percent (25%) of the tested cases tells that the data are good enough to

support significant difference between ASWSS and NS properties to a minimum

confidence level of 95%. The remaining seventy five percent (75%) tells the direct

opposite, that is, no significant difference between ASWSS and NS Atterberg test results

at confidence level of 95%. However, in either case, there is still five percent (5%)

chance of being wrong.

The compaction test results are one hundred percent (100%) in favour of the fact that

there are no significant differences between the Optimum Moisture Content (OMC) and

Maximum Dry Density (MDD) of ASWSS and NS. However, in the t – test of specific

gravity test results, thirty three percent (33%) gives an indication of highly significant

difference, another thirty three percent (33%) indicates significant difference and the last

thirty four percent (34%) shows no significant difference at confidence level of 95%. It

has to be noted that statistical results empower one to draw conclusions with certain

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degree of confidence but cannot empirically prove or disprove the same. The

mathematics behind the confidence levels does not exactly guarantee the evaluated

probability. Coincidentally too, these statistical results and their significance levels do not

tell exactly what is supposed to be known but only tell how likely the data are, given the

standing null hypothesis. The desirable knowledge in this case is the likelihood of

differences in ASWSS and NS properties, given the available data.

4.7 Evaluation of Design Data Statistical modeling of geotechnical observations is relatively new. However, intuitive

interpretation of observed data in a discipline fraught with approximations can be very

misleading. Most of the errors associated with geotechnical solutions, and arising from

the use of intuition to interpret observation, are not only found to exist independently of

training but bear remarkable similarity from one individual to another (Baecher and

Christian; 2003).

Regular patterns of data scatter are often displayed in observations with large number of

measurements. This exhibited regularity is not only found within data sets but also among

data sets of this order. It is therefore clear that the statistical properties of observed data

exhibit close similarity with those of the parent population as the data sample becomes

larger. This makes it possible to infer the statistics of the parents’ population from those

of its large number of observations. This is strictly in the case of large number of

observations and not typical of the geotechnical measurement in which the observed data

is always small compared with the parent population. As the sample size becomes larger,

the variations in the statistics of many data sets of the same observation become smaller

while it is significantly larger in small size data. The coefficient of variation of observed

soil data can be as large as 100%, though values in the range of 30%-50% are more

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common (Baecher Christian 2003; Kulhawy and Trautmann 1996; Phoon and

Kulhawy1996). The statistics and spatial patterns of variation of geotechnical

observations will mimic those of the parent population to the extent to which the sample

sizes are large compared to parent source.

Each soil property has its role, directly or indirectly, in the process of foundation design.

Some properties are applied in design calculations while some simply inform vital design

or construction decisions. In this study the properties that are used directly in design

calculations are soil unit weight (γ), cohesion (), angle of internal resistance (φ) and

foundation width (B). However, evaluation of soil properties was extended to depths 4.0

and 4.5 m in other to show the possible trend of variation of soil properties with depth

using the principle of regression analysis. This was done only to examine the variation of

soil properties to those depths while design calculations were however based on the

measured soil parameters, that is, from depth 1.5 to 3.5 m only.

For site 1 of Zone A, soil properties (, φ and γ) at depth 4.0 m and 4.5 m were

evaluated using equations 3.45 and 3.49, that is,

∑ −⁄ ∑

⁄ −

For site 1 of zone A on Table 4.1(d) the values of (cohesion) at depths 4.0 m and 4.5 m

for SWS were evaluated thus:

= ℎ , = (Cohesion)

= 2.5 = 24

− − – − ( − ) − 1 1 4 − 4

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− 0.5 − 0.25 3 − 1.5 0 0 0 0 0.5 0.25 − 2 − 1 1

. − 5

.

= ∑ (1 − )1 −

∑ 1 − 2

= =

− 11.52.5 = − 4.6

= − 4.6

=

= − = 35.5

The fitted model (for cohesion of site 1 zone A in Table C.4) then is = + + = = 35.5 + (− 4.6) + = 35.5 − 4.6 + At depth 1.5m = 35.5 − (4.6 × 1.5) + = 35.5 − 6.9 + = 28.6 + 28 = 28.6 + = 28.0 − 28.6 = − 0.6 At depth 2.0 = 35.5 − (4.6 × 2.0) + = 35.5 − 9.2 + 27 = 26.3 + = 27 − 26.3 = 0.7 At depth 2.5 = 35.5 − (4.6 × 2.5) + = 35.5 − 11.5 + = 24 + 24 = 24 + = 0 At depth 3.0 = 35.5 − (4.6 × 3) + = 35.5 − 13.8 + 22 = 21.7 + = 0.3 At depth 3.5 = 35.5 − (4.6 × 3.5) + = 35.5 − 16.1 + 19 = 19.4 + = − 0.4 Mean value of = 0

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∴ at depth 4.0 m = = 35.5 − 4.6 × 4+ 0 35.5 − 18.4 = 17.1 at depth 4.5 m = = 35.5 − 4.6 × 4.5+ 0 = 14.8 Similarly, , ϕ and values at depths 4.0 m and 4.5 m for both ASWSS and NS were

evaluated as shown in Table 4.6

Table 4.6 Triaxial Test Results (including estimated values at 4.0 and 4.5 m)

Property Zone Site Depth of Stratum

(m)

Mean Value

ASWSS NS

(kN/m2) ∅ (º) (kN/m3) (kN/m2) ∅ (º) (kN/m3) Triaxial Test Result

A 1 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5

10 16 10 15 12 16 16

11 9 7 10 9 8 8

15.78 13.97 14.19 15.21 16.01 15.72 15.54

28 27 24 22 19 17 17

13 10 15 8 9 8 7

15.90 16.80 16.80 15.67 16.24 16.27 16.10

2 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5

10 14 15 14 13 16 16

10 10 9 8 9 18 17

15.96 14.42 14.72 15.98 16.32 16.43 16.23

24 25 19 25 22 19 18

14 12 13 15 16 15 16

17.14 16.24 15.90 16.58 16.12 16.12 16.31

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B 1

1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5

9 18 19 12 13 19 18

12 13 13 13 15 15 16

16.58 13.98 14.87 16.35 16.35 16.12 16.31

25 17 18 22 28 21 20

16 13 14 16 15 15 15

15.80 16.40 16.60 16.60 16.68 17.00 17.20

2 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5

9 10 11 12 14 19 18

12 9 10 12 13 14 16

15.98 15.50 14.98 16.10 16.30 16.44 16.58

20 24 19 22 22 21 22

11 13 13 14 16 15 16

15.89 16.22 16.22 16.24 16.40 16.61 16.51

C 1 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5

10 9 11 10 12 17 18

13 13 13 13 14 12 14

16.20 14.98 15.80 16.24 16.24 14.44 13.62

28 26 25 20 19 16 14

13 13 14 15 16 9 12

15.90 16.82 16.80 16.84 16.84 16.11 15.82

2 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5

11 13 11 12 10 19 20

9 11 10 12 11 8 8

13.89 14.22 12.92 13.90 14.28 17.22 16.58

23 18 22 19 23 21 21

12 14 13 15 16 8 7

15.51 16.01 16.20 16.24 16.30 16.94 17.02

4.7.1 Trimmed upper and extended lower mean (ASWSS)

Data scatter is the most prominent feature of ASWSS that gives it its character of

inconsistency. The reinforced earth scenario in waste properties determination often gives

high spots of strength character that are too localized to represent the general behavior of

the waste. These values, when applied affect the deduced mean strength of the field and

hence must be trimmed off the observed character of the waste in order to forestall their

possible misleading influence. These values called outliers may, where clearly

conspicuous, be spotted by mere inspection because of their inconsistency with the

observed data distribution. Beside ‘reinforce earth scenario’ the presence of outliers in

data distribution may be caused by measurement/observation or recording errors. Often

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times, their inclusion in data distribution is detrimental to the very purpose of

investigation. The simplest thing to do is to expunge them from the list.

Researchers (e.g Kottegoda and Rosso 1997) have recommended five percent (5%) upper

trim of data in a normal site investigation to exclude outliers from data distribution. No

doubt, this value need be raised in the investigation exercise of a difficult field like

ASWSS. In this study 15% upper trim of data was applied because of the difficult nature

of ASWSS.

In a randomly heterogeneous field, the chances of capturing data from all possible weak

zones are slim. There is the possibility of excluding some lower values of soil data and

experience and analyses have shown that the existence of weaker zones can change the

shape of slip surfaces crossing the zones It is therefore imperative that an ‘Extended

Lower Mean’ be applied in defining the mean value of soil data. The percentage to be

applied in this respect depends on the site conditions and is largely a matter of judgment

based on prior probability and experience of the project site. An extended lower value of

15% was included in the data distribution of this project to make up for the weak zones of

data source not captured during investigation. The observed values of C from site 1 of

zone A in Table C. 4 of Appendix C (ASWSS) may be tabulated in its descending order

as in Table 4.7

Table 4.7: Descending order of data in Table C. 4 Site A/1 (ASWSS) Zone Site C (kN/m) Mean (kN/m) A 1 16

15 12 10 10

12.6

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The 15% of upper value of the data was computed by finding the 15% of the total number

of data. For instance in sample A1 there are five listed data and hence 15% of 5 =

×

5 = 0.75. This is not upto single data but closer to it than otherwise and thus may be

approximated to single data which of course is the highest data in value. This

automatically corresponds to 16 / in Table 4.14.This data is therefore trimmed off

or expunged from the list.

The extension of 15% lower value was carried out by the inclusion of new data whose

value is 15% less than the lowest data in the data list. Working with the data in

Table4.14, the lowest value of C is 10 / . A new data whose value is 15% less than

10 would be 8.5 and this is reflected in Table4.7. The corresponding 15% trimmed and

extended lower values are shown in Table 4.8

Table4.8: Trimmed-upper and Extended lower values of data in Table 4.15

Zone Site C (kN/m) Mean Value A 1 15

12 10 10 8.5

11.1

Similarly the observed values of C from site 2 of zone A in Table C.4 (ASWSS) may be

tabulated in its descending order as shown in Table 4.9 while its corresponding 15%

trimmed upper and extended lower values shown in Table 4.10

Table 4.9: Descending order of Data in Table C.4.site A/2 (ASWSS) Zone Site C (kN/m) Mean (kN/m) A 2 15

14 14 13 10

13.2

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Table 4.10: Trimmed upper and extended lower values of data in Table 4.9

Zone Site C (kN/m) Mean (kN/m) A 2 14

14 13 10 8.5

11.9

In the same way, the statistical properties of the trimmed upper and extended lower mean

values of the ASWSS data and the mean values of its corresponding NS data in Table C.4

were evaluated and shown in Table 4.11.

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Table4.11: Sample mean (µ), standard deviation () and coefficient of variation (Cov) of soil data Zone Site

ASWSS NS

(kN/m2)

∅ (º) (kN/m3) (kN/m2)

∅ (º) (kN/m3)

Mean (µ)

Cov (%)

Mean (µ)

∅ Cov (%)

Mean (µ)

Cov (%)

Mean (µ)

Cov (%)

Mean (µ)

∅ Cov (%)

Mean (µ)

Cov (%)

A 1 2

11.1 2.86 20 7 1.63 16 13.7 1.4 6 27 1.25 14 10 1.25 16 15.97 1.53 3 11.9 2.27 20 8 1.24 16 14.25 1.4 5 23 1.24 10 13 0.94 11 16.08 1.56 3

B 1 2

11.9 4.23 26 12 1.25 8 13.46 1.88 7 26 2.49 19 14 0.82 9 16.18 0.37 2 9.9 1.76 15 9 1.63 15 14.14 1.41 3 21 2.05 9 12 1.25 14 16.05 0.23 1

C 1 2

9.5 1.35 12 12 0.94 3 14.21 1.47 4 26 2.49 15 13 1.25 14 16.17 0.89 2 10.5 1.43 11 9 1.25 11 12.92 1.39 4 21 2.05 10 12 2.05 11 16.62 0.67 2

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4.7.2 Design values of soil properties and load effects The 95% fractile specified for the definition of characteristic values by EN 1990 has been

expressed in equations 2.6 and 2.8 for characteristic load effects and characteristic soil

material property respectively. Taking the factor Ψ to be unity, the design value of load

effects equals its characteristic value. The design values of soil data were the

characteristic values computed form the values obtained from equation 2.11, that is,

= [ ]

This computed value for is used to obtain the characteristic value of soil property from

equation 2.8. The characteristic values () were cautiously estimated using equations

2.8 and 2.11. Equation 2.11 provided the standard deviations from the best and worst

estimates of soil data while equation 2.8 provided the characteristic values ( ) based on

the computed standard deviations. These values are shown in Table 4.13.

The population mean of soil data for each zone may be computed using equation 3.1

That is =

Where is the zonal population mean, is the number of strata, is the observed data

size of the stratum and the corresponding mean. The computed mean values are shown

in Table 4.12

Table 4.12: Population mean for zones Property Zone Site Mean Value

ASWSS NS

(kN/m2)

∅ (º) (kN/m3) (kN/m2)

∅ (º) (kN/m3)

C,∅& A 11.5 7.5 13.98 25 11.5 16.03

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B 10.90 10.5 13.8 23.5 13 16.27 C 10 10.5 13.57 23.5 12.5 15.90

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Table 4.13: Characteristic values of soil data Zone Site

ASWS Natural Soil

(kN/m2)

∅ (º) (kN/m3) (kN/m2) ∅ (º) (kN/m3)

μ μ μ μ μ μ A 1

2 15 11.1 8.5 9 7 5 14.74 13.7 11.37 28 27 25 12 10 9 16.49 15.97 13.01 14 11.9 8.5 9 8 6 15.54 14.25 12.14 25 23 22 13 13 11 16.8 16.08 13.18

B 1 2

18 11.9 7.7 13 12 10 15.12 13.46 10.57 28 26 22 15 14 13 16.44 16.18 15.56 12 9.9 7.7 11 9 7 15.18 14.14 11.81 24 21 19 13 12 10 16.26 16.05 15.73

C 1 2

11 9.5 7.7 12 12 10 15.28 14.21 11.77 28 26 22 15 13 12 16.37 16.17 14.4 12 10.5 8.5 10 9 7 13.33 12.92 10.09 23 21 18 15 12 10 15.87 15.62 14.3

Where , , are the characteristic values for maximum soil data, , , the characteristic values for

minimum soil data and μc, μ, μ the characteristic values for mean soil data.

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4.8 Determination of Foundation Width The foundation width is that width of foundation required to support the design load with

the settlement value not exceeding the allowable limit of 25 mm. foundation widths are

computed using ULS design and by equating the design action effects to the design

soil resistance , that is = . The design load effect and design soil resistance are

the factored characteristic load effects and factored characteristic resistance respectively.

These factors were obtained from DA 1.C1 of Eurocode 7 partial factors as 1.35 for

permanent load and 1.5 for variable load respectively. For permanent load of 66.67 kN

and variable load of 40 kN, design action effects = 66.7 × 1.35+ 40 × 1.5=

150

Applying Meyerhof’s (1963) general formula for soil bearing capacity ,

= + + 0.5 4.1

Where , and are coefficients that depends on soil’s angle of shearing resistance,

and = shape factors,

, and = Depth factors. Z = depth and B = foundation width

The design resistance = =

4.2 Where = ultimate bearing capacity of soil

= bearing capacity factor obtained from Eurocode 7 partial factors as 1.4

Using the data of Natural soil of site 1 in zone A, on Table C.4 of Appendix C and based

on vesic’s (1973) bearing capacity coefficients; C=24 = 15.97, Z = 1.5 and ϕ = 10

= 8.39, = 2.47 and = 0.52

Shape factors by DeBeer (1970) proposal:

=1 +

.

= 1.296

=1 +

tanϕ = 1.176

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=1 − 0.4

= 0.6

Depth factors by Meyerhof (1963)

= 1 + 0.2√

= 1 + .

= = 1 + 0.1√

for ϕ 710o

= tan2 (45+2 )

=259.407 + .

+ 69.583 + 2.491

=

= 1.4 = (185.29 + .

+ 49.702 + 1.779)

For characteristic permanent load of 66.67 kN and characteristic variable load of 40 kN

=66.67 × 1.35+ 40 × 1.5= 150 Limit state equation states that the design load effects equals the design soil

resistance . For the square pad foundation in consideration = 4.3

That is = 185.29 + .

+ 49.702 + 1.779

= 185.29 + 66.241 + 49.702 + 1.779, that is 1.779+234.992 +

66.241= . This and other widths for various Action Effects ( ) were evaluated using

Matlab as shown in Appendix B and the values tabulated in Tables 4.14.

Table 4.14: Evaluated foundation widths using soil data of site 1 in zone A on Table C.4

Depth Action Effects Foundation width (1.5 m) (kN) (m)

50 0.34 100 0.53 150 0.67 200 0.79 250 0.90 300 0.99 350 1.08

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400 1.17 450 1.25 500 1.32 550 1.39 600 1.46

Similarly, foundation widths were evaluated for zone A site 2, zone B sites 1&2 and zone

C sites 1&2 as shown in Tables 4.15, 4.16, 4.17, 4.18 and 4.19 respectively.

Table 4.15 Evaluated Foundation Widths using soil data of site 2 in zone A

Depth Action Effects Foundation width (1.50 m) (kN) (m)

50 0.28 100 0.44 150 0.57 200 0.68 250 0.77 300 0.86 350 0.94 400 1.02 450 1.08 500 1.15 550 1.21 600 1.27

Table 4.16 Evaluated foundation width using soil data of site 1 of zone B Depth Action Effects Foundation width (1.50 m) (kN) (m)

100 0.43

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150 0.56 200 0.66 250 0.76 300 0.84 350 0.92 400 0.99 450 1.06 500 1.12 Table 4.17 Evaluated foundation widths using soil data of site 2 in zone B

Depth Action Effects Foundation width (1.5 m) (kN) (m)

100 0.49 150 0.63 200 0.75 250 0.85 300 0.94 350 1.03 400 1.11 450 1.18 500 1.25 Table 4.18 Evaluated foundation widths using soil data of site 1 in zone C

Depth Action Effects Foundation width (1.5 m) (kN) (m)

100 0.44 150 0.56 200 0.67 250 0.76 300 0.85 350 0.93 400 1.00 450 1.07 500 1.14 Table 4.19 Evaluated foundation widths using soil data of site 2 in zone C

Depth Action Effects Foundation width (1.5 m) (kN) (m)

100 0.42 150 0.55 200 0.65 250 0.74 300 0.83

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350 0.90 400 0.98 450 1.04 500 1.11 4.9 Estimation of Settlement Value

Two most important properties of soil that are desirably measured for use in structural

foundation design involving ASWSS are strength and compressibility. Strength is

expressed in terms of bearing capacity while total settlement value expresses the level of

soil compressibility. Settlement in particular can be a problem in many difficult soils and

as such the knowledge of its value is essential in the preliminary stage of the use of

ASWSS for developments.

The consolidation tests conducted in this study for both ASWSS and NS gave total

settlement values (Pc) at different foundation depths. These results are shown in Table

C.3 of Appendix C. Pc for ASWSS ranged from 0.0002 – 0.0005, 0.0002 – 0.0004 and

0.0002 – 0.0005 m for zones A, B and C respectively. The corresponding records for NS

showed ranges of 0.0002 – 0.0003, 0.0002 – 0.0005 and 0.0002 – 0.0003 m for zones A,

B and C respectively. Nothing significantly different is noticed between the two sets of

records and none of the test results violated the allowable maximum value of 25 mm.

However, where consolidation test results are not available, theoretical evaluation of total

settlement from the proposed contact pressure and soil parameters may check for the

minimum foundation depth that would satisfy the settlement criterion.

4.10 Reliability of Foundation Design by Monte Carlo Simulation Using the minimum soil properties of zone A site 1 (Natural soil) for a spread foundation: F = 150 kN, B = 0.7 m, Z = 1.5 m C = 25 / , = 9 , Ɣ = 13.01 / N = 7.97 N = 2.29 NƔ = 0.436 S = 1.287 S = 1.158 SƔ = 0.6 D = 1.502 D = 1 DƔ = 1 q = CNSD + ƔZNSD + 0.5ƔBNƔSƔDƔ R = 385.16 + 51.75 + 1.19 = 438.1 kN/m

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E = FkArea =

. = 306.122 kN/m M = R − E = 131.978 kN/m

Using the mean soil properties of zone A site 1 (Natural soil):

C = 27 kN/m = 10, Ɣ = 15.97 kN/m, B = 0.70 m, Z = 1.5 m N = 8.34 N = 2.47 NƔ = 0.52 S = 1.296 S = 1.176 SƔ = 0.6 D = 1.511 D = 1 DƔ = 1 R = 440.96 + 69.583 + 1.74 = 512.28 kN/m M = 512.28 − 306.122 = 206.158 kN/m

Using the maximum soil properties of zone A site 1 (Natural Soil): C = 28 kN/m = 12 , Ɣ = 16.49 kN/m, B = 0.7 m, Z = 1.5 m N = 9.40 N = 3.06 NƔ = 0.944 S = 1.33 S = 1.213 SƔ = 0.6 D = 1.529 D = 1.26 DƔ = 1.26 R = 535.24 + 115.68 + 4.119 = 655.039 kN/m F = 150 kN E = F

Area where A = Area of foundation base = . = 306.122 kN/m

M = 655.039 − 306.122 = 348.917 kN/m M = 131.978 , Difference between M and M = 216.939 M = 206.158, Simulated numbers = 10,000, M = 348.917 , Interval = 0.007418, μ = 229.024657, σ = 90.027718 β =

= 2.54

Similarly the reliability indices β and probability of failure P for selected loads F , foundation

depth Z and foundation width B were evaluated for all the sites as shown in Tables

4.20a – f.

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Table 4.20a - f: Reliability indices and probability of failures for selected loads, Foundation

Depths, and Foundation widths by Monte Carlo Simulation.

a Zone Site Load F

kN Foundation width B

(m) Depth Z

(m) NS

β P ASWSS

β P A

1

100 0.70 1.5 3.67 0.164E-3 0.0836 0.468 150 0.70 1.5 2.54 0.582E-2 0.0 0.5 150 0.70 2.0 2.58 0.543E-2 0.068 0.474 150 0.70 2.5 2.61 0.514E-2 0.342 0.369 150 0.70 3.0 2.63 0.495E-2 0.615 0.274 150 0.70 3.5 2.67 0.465E-2 1.041 0.151 150 0.75 1.5 2.98 0.154E-2 0.392 0.35 150 0.80 1.5 3.34 0.590E-3 1.031 0.153 150 0.85 1.5 3.63 0.180E-3 1.262 0.111 150 0.90 1.5 3.88 0.799E-4 1.386 0.877E-1 150 1.2 1.5 4.76 0.178E-5 1.50 0.681E-1 150 1.4 1.5 5.04 0.265E-6 1.91 0.316E-1 150 1.6 1.5 5.23 0.165E-6 2.18 0.163E-1 150 2.0 1.5 5.44 0.534E-7 2.69 0.427E-2

b Zone Site Load F

kN Foundation width B

(m) Depth Z

(m) NS

β P ASWSS

β P A

2

100 0.70 1.5 4.51 0.339E-5 0.1567 0.44 150 0.70 1.5 3.25 0.791E-3 0.0 0.5 150 0.70 2.0 3.30 0.689E-3 0.0 0.5 150 0.70 2.5 3.35 0.568E-3 0.262 0.4 150 0.70 3.0 3.38 0.501E-3 0.595 0.28 150 0.70 3.5 3.41 0.434E-3 0.952 0.17 150 0.75 1.5 3.74 0.136E-3 0.235 0.41 150 0.80 1.5 4.20 0.204E-4 0.995 0.16 150 0.85 1.5 4.46 0.566E-5 1.078 0.144 150 0.90 1.5 4.73 0.197E-5 1.528 0.64E-1 150 1.2 1.5 5.70 0.153E-7 2.02 0.221E-1 150 1.4 1.5 6.03 0.501E-8 2.51 0.611E-2 150 1.6 1.5 6.23 0.3369E-8 2.88 0.369E-2 150 2.0 1.5 6.45 0.907E-9 3.59 0.196-3

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c Zone Site Load F

kN Foundation width B

(m) Depth Z

(m) NS

β P ASWSS

β P B

1

100 0.70 1.5 5.08 0.242E-6 1.357 0.093 150 0.70 1.5 4.06 0.2828E-4 0.198 0.424 150 0.70 2.0 4.30 0.1471E-4 0.467 0.321 150 0.70 2.5 4.54 0.3149E-5 0.595 0.280 150 0.70 3.0 4.77 0.1718E-5 0.789 0.222 150 0.70 3.5 4.96 0.5356E-6 0.952 0.173 150 0.75 1.5 4.44 0.679E-5 0.534 0.295 150 0.80 1.5 4.66 0.2402E-5 0.895 0.190 150 0.85 1.5 4.94 0.660E-6 1.132 0.91E-1 150 0.90 1.5 5.27 0.1349E-6 1.838 0.37E-1 150 1.2 1.5 6.10 0.344E-8 1.88 0.333E-1 150 1.4 1.5 6.38 0.169E-8 1.998 0.229E-1 150 1.6 1.5 6.56 0.307E-9 2.175 0.1696E-1 150 2.0 1.5 6.70 0.213E-9 2.54 0.582E-2

d Zone Site Load F

kN Foundation width B

(m) Depth Z

(m) NS

β P ASWSS

β P B

2

100 0.70 1.5 3.05 0.1238E-2 0.339 0.37 150 0.70 1.5 2.02 0.221E-1 0.052 0.48 150 0.70 2.0 2.19 0.165E-1 0.287 0.39 150 0.70 2.5 2.35 0.112E-1 0.595 0.28 150 0.70 3.0 2.47 0.720E-2 0.995 0.16 150 0.70 3.5 2.63 0.495E-2 1.428 0.08 150 0.75 1.5 2.42 0.856E-2 0.728 0.24 150 0.80 1.5 2.74 0.388E-2 1.30 0.103 150 0.85 1.5 3.01 0.133E-2 1.313 0.101 150 0.90 1.5 3.31 0.657E-3 1.728 0.0576E-1 150 1.2 1.5 4.02 0.305E-4 1.91 0.483E-1 150 1.4 1.5 4.20 0.204E-4 2.06 0.21E-1 150 1.6 1.5 4.47 0.509E-5 2.37 0.105E-1 150 2.0 1.5 4.64 0.253E-5 2.96 0.173E-2

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e Zone Site Load F

kN Foundation width B

(m) Depth Z

(m) NS

β P ASWSS

β P C

1

100 0.70 1.5 4.89 0.971E-6 1.34 0.097 150 0.70 1.5 4.02 0.305E-4 0.13 0.45 150 0.70 2.0 4.22 0.192E-4 0.31 0.38 150 0.70 2.5 4.35 0.119E-4 0.528 0.30 150 0.70 3.0 4.46 0.566E-5 0.728 0.24 150 0.70 3.5 4.60 0.278E-5 0.929 0.18 150 0.75 1.5 4.41 0.849E-5 0.562 0.29 150 0.80 1.5 4.63 0.259E-5 0.895 0.19 150 0.85 1.5 4.89 0.971E-6 1.37 0.9E-1 150 0.90 1.5 5.19 0.186E-6 1.80 0.4E-1 150 1.2 1.5 6.01 0.583E-8 1.89 0.32E-1 150 1.4 1.5 6.33 0.225E-8 1.96 0.26E-1 150 1.6 1.5 6.50 0.347E-9 2.12 0.188E-1 150 2.0 1.5 6.67 0.233E-9 2.52 0.60E-2

f Zone Site Load F

kN Foundation width B

(m) Depth Z

(m) NS

β P ASWSS

β P C

2

100 0.70 1.5 2.56 0.56E-2 0.0 0.50 150 0.70 1.5 1.93 0.29E-1 0.0 0.5 150 0.70 2.0 2.05 0.21E-1 0.0 0.5 150 0.70 2.5 2.22 0.155E-1 0.0 0.5 150 0.70 3.0 2.31 0.125E-1 0.157 0.44 150 0.70 3.5 2.48 0.687E-2 0.528 0.3 150 0.75 1.5 2.33 0.118E-1 0.0 0.5 150 0.80 1.5 2.51 0.52E-2 0.25 0.404 150 0.85 1.5 2.84 0.29E-2 0.305 0.383 150 0.90 1.5 3.06 0.12E-2 0.418 0.34 150 1.2 1.5 3.91 0.678E-4 1.5 0.668E-1 150 1.4 1.5 4.00 0.317E-4 2.0 0.228E-1 150 1.6 1.5 4.19 0.21E-4 2.33 0.118E-1 150 2.0 1.5 4.23 0.187E-4 2.84 0.29E-2

4.11 Reliability of Foundation Design by First Order Reliability Method (FORM)

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As a requirement for FORM analysis the mean values of soil properties with their respective

standard deviations σ were evaluated as shown in Tables 4.29a and b. The use of FORM 5

requires the equation that relates the design load effects and design resistance of soil with their

dependent and independent variables at Limit State which in this case is equation 4.3 that is

= =

1.4 4.4

= /1.4 4.5

Where 1.4 is Eurocode 7 soil resistance factor

= + + 0.5/1.4 4.6

Applying Meyerhof bearing capacity factors, that is

= 1 + 0.2 45 + ∅2

= = 1 for ∅ < 10

= = 1 for ∅ < 10

= 1 + 0.2 45 + ∅2

= 1.4 1 + 0.2 45 + ∅

2 1 + 0.1 45 + ∅

2 +

× 1 × 1+ 0.5 × 1 × 1 = ∗ 4.7

Where ∗ is the factored design resistance of soil.

At Limit state,

= ∗ 4.8

The margin of safety M is expressed as

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= ∗ − 4.9

FORM 5 program obtains the partial derivatives of equation 4.9 with respect to the dependent

variables (c, ∅ and ). The statistical distribution of is required for the evaluation of β and

and Normal distribution was applied being the most conservative. The reliability indices and

probability of failure of foundation designs on ASWSS and NS were evaluated using FORM 5

software (Appendix A) and data in Table 4.21 as shown in Table 4.22.

Table 4.21a: Mean values and standard deviation of ASWSS properties

Zone Site ASWSS (/ ) (O) (/ ) Mean

μ

Standard deviation

Mean

μ

Standard deviation

Mean

μ

Standard deviation

A 1 11.1 2.86 7 1.63 13.7 1.4 2 11.9 2.27 8 1.24 14.25 1.4

B 1 11.9 4.23 12 1.25 13.46 1.88 2 9.9 1.76 9 1.63 14.14 1.41

C 1 9.5 1.35 12 0.94 14.21 1.47 2 10.5 1.43 9 1.25 12.92 1.39

Table 4.21b: Mean values and standard deviation of NS properties

Zone Site NS (/ ) (O) (/ )

μ

Mean

Standard deviation μ

Mean

Standard deviation μ

Mean

Standard deviation

A 1 27 1.25 10 1.25 15.97 1.53 2 23 1.24 13 0.94 16.08 1.56

B 1 26 2.49 14 0.82 16.18 0.37 2 21 2.05 12 1.25 16.05 0.23

C 1 26 2.49 13 1.25 16.17 0.89 2 21 2.05 12 2.05 15.62 0.67

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Table 4.22a - f: Reliability indices and probability of failures for selected loads, Foundation Depths, and Foundation widths by First Order Reliability Method (FORM 5) a Zone Site Load F

kN Foundation width B

(m) Depth Z

(m) NS

β P ASWSS

β P A

1

100 0.70 1.5 4.02 0.310E-4 0.365 0.360 150 0.70 1.5 2.62 0.1710E-1 0.027 0.49 150 0.70 2.0 2.63 0.169E-1 0.235 0.41 150 0.70 2.5 2.65 0.148E-1 0.290 0.39 150 0.70 3.0 2.66 0.138E-1 0.366 0.36 150 0.70 3.5 2.72 0.392E-2 0.662 0.26 150 0.75 1.5 3.02 0.128E-2 0.339 0.370 150 0.80 1.5 3.5 0.233E-3 0.962 0.17 150 0.85 1.5 4.00 0.317E-4 0.262 0.4 150 0.90 1.5 4.20 0.204E-4 0.341 0.321 150 1.2 1.5 5.00 0.287E-6 1.70 0.492E-1 150 1.4 1.5 5.25 0.159E-6 2.0 0.228E-1 150 1.6 1.5 5.44 0.757E-7 2.35 0.112E-1 150 2.0 1.5 5.50 0.216E-7 3.0 0.135E-2

b Zone Site Load F

kN Foundation width B

(m) Depth Z

(m) NS

β P ASWSS

β P A

2

100 0.70 1.5 4.76 0.173E-5 0.235 0.41 150 0.70 1.5 3.40 0.447E-3 0.08 0.47 150 0.70 2.0 3.30 0.679E-3 0.08 0.47 150 0.70 2.5 3.34 0.679E-3 0.34 0.37 150 0.70 3.0 3.47 0.299E-3 0.79 0.22 150 0.70 3.5 3.50 0.233E-3 1.319 0.100 150 0.75 1.5 4.0 0.3167E-4 0.261 0.40 150 0.80 1.5 4.20 0.204E-4 1.047 0.15 150 0.85 1.5 4.50 0.3398E-5 0.262 0.4 150 0.90 1.5 4.88 0.103E-5 0.562 0.29 150 1.2 1.5 5.85 0.1063E-7 2.45 0.786E-2 150 1.4 1.5 6.10 0.344E-8 2.85 0.28E-2 150 1.6 1.5 6.23 0.337E-8 3.00 0.135E-2 150 2.0 1.5 6.50 0.347E-9 3.75 0.132E-3

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c Zone Site Load F

kN Foundation width B

(m) Depth Z

(m) NS

β P ASWSS

β P B

1

100 0.70 1.5 5.15 0.207E-6 1.500 0.668E-1 150 0.70 1.5 4.23 0.187E-4 0.336 0.378 150 0.70 2.0 4.50 0.339E-5 0.528 0.300 150 0.70 2.5 4.82 0.141E-5 0.795 0.22 150 0.70 3.0 4.89 0.971E-6 0.952 0.170 150 0.70 3.5 5.00 0.287E-6 1.319 0.100 150 0.75 1.5 4.46 0.566E-5 0.695 0.250 150 0.80 1.5 4.70 0.215E-5 1.047 0.150 150 0.85 1.5 5.10 0.272E-6 1.250 0.113 150 0.90 1.5 5.38 0.852E-7 2.00 0.228E-1 150 1.2 1.5 6.27 0.292E-8 2.20 0.161E-1 150 1.4 1.5 6.50 0.246E-9 2.30 0.128E-1 150 1.6 1.5 6.65 0.247E-9 2.67 0.456E-2 150 2.0 1.5 6.75 0.179E-9 2.85 0.280E-2

d Zone Site Load F

kN Foundation width B

(m) Depth Z

(m) NS

β P ASWSS

β P B

2

100 0.70 1.5 3.06 0.12E-2 0.342 0.369 150 0.70 1.5 2.00 0.227E-1 0.157 0.44 150 0.70 2.0 2.22 0.155E-1 0.300 0.385 150 0.70 2.5 2.40 0.952E-2 0.625 0.271 150 0.70 3.0 2.50 0.621E-2 1.05 0.149 150 0.70 3.5 2.74 0.388E-2 1.40 0.852E-1 150 0.75 1.5 2.50 0.621E-2 0.815 0.214 150 0.80 1.5 2.88 0.251E-2 1.40 0.852E-1 150 0.85 1.5 3.15 0.10E-2 1.350 0.943E-1 150 0.90 1.5 3.50 0.2326E-3 1.70 0.492E-1 150 1.2 1.5 4.10 0.260E-4 2.05 0.211E-1 150 1.4 1.5 4.40 0.905E-5 2.50 0.621E-2 150 1.6 1.5 4.60 0.277E-5 2.65 0.475E-2 150 2.0 1.5 4.75 0.184E-5 3.00 0.135E-2

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e Zone Site Load F

kN Foundation width B

(m) Depth Z

(m) NS

β P ASWSS

β P C

1

100 0.70 1.5 5.00 0.287E-6 1.75 0.448E-1 150 0.70 1.5 4.19 0.21E-4 0.287 0.390 150 0.70 2.0 4.50 0.340E-5 0.500 0.3085 150 0.70 2.5 4.66 0.240E-5 0.65 0.264 150 0.70 3.0 4.75 0.184E-5 0.82 0.213 150 0.70 3.5 4.80 0.153E-5 1.25 0.448E-1 150 0.75 1.5 4.50 0.340E-5 0.65 0.264 150 0.80 1.5 4.75 0.184E-5 0.95 0.174 150 0.85 1.5 5.00 0.287E-6 1.50 0.668E-1 150 0.90 1.5 5.38 0.852E-7 1.80 0.404E-1 150 1.2 1.5 6.50 0.347E-9 2.0 0.227E-1 150 1.4 1.5 6.75 0.179E-9 2.58 0.543E-2 150 1.6 1.5 6.80 0.146E-9 2.65 0.475E-2 150 2.0 1.5 6.88 0.923E-10 2.77 0.358E-2

f Zone Site Load F

kN Foundation width B

(m) Depth Z

(m) NS

β P ASWSS

β P C

2

100 0.70 1.5 2.69 0.427E-2 0.0 0.5 150 0.70 1.5 2.00 0.227E-1 0.0 0.5 150 0.70 2.0 2.10 0.194E-1 0.05 0.48 150 0.70 2.5 2.25 0.145E-1 0.25 0.404 150 0.70 3.0 2.50 0.621E-2 0.32 0.377 150 0.70 3.5 2.75 0.378E-2 0.500 0.308 150 0.75 1.5 2.45 0.808E-2 0.25 0.404 150 0.80 1.5 2.65 0.475E-2 0.75 0.234 150 0.85 1.5 3.00 0.135E-2 0.82 0.213 150 0.90 1.5 3.25 0.791E-3 1.00 0.1586 150 1.2 1.5 4.00 0.317E-4 2.50 0.621E-2 150 1.4 1.5 4.25 0.175E-4 2.85 0.281E-2 150 1.6 1.5 4.32 0.136E-4 3.40 0.456E-3 150 2.0 1.5 4.50 0.339E-5 3.75 0.132E-3

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4.12 Influence of Foundation Dimensions on the Reliability of Foundation Design.

The horizontal and vertical dimensions of foundations certainly have effects on its

reliability. How depth and width affect the reliability of foundation design is important

so that where necessary dimensions may be determined and applied to the advantage of

the design. The knowledge of their influences may be used to enhance safety indices or

otherwise achieve economy within the limit of chosen target reliability. The individual

influence of horizontal dimensions and the depth of embedment on the reliability of

foundations are illustrated in Figures 4.10a - f and 4.11a - f.

Z

NS SWS

1.5 2.54 0 2 2.58 0.068

2.5 2.61 0.342 3 2.63 0.615

3.5 2.67 1.041

AA

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Relia

bilit

y In

dex

(β)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

SWS

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

4

Relia

bilit

y In

dex

(β)

NS

SWS

Figure 4.10a Influence of Foundation depth increase on Reliability index of foundation design (Zone A site 1)

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Z NS SWS

1.5 3.25 0 2 3.3 0 2.5 3.35 0.262 3 3.38 0.595 3.5 3.41 0.952

Z NS SWS

1.5 4.06 0.198 2 4.3 0.467

2.5 4.54 0.595 3 4.77 0.789

3.5 4.96 0.952

Z NS SWS

1.5 2.02 0.052 2 2.19 0.287

2.5 2.35 0.595 3 2.47 0.995

3.5 2.63 1.428

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Relia

bilit

y In

dex

(β)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

SWS

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Relia

bilit

y In

dex

(β)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

SWS

Figure 4.10b Influence of Foundation depth increase on Reliability index of foundation design (Zone A site 2)

Figure 4.10c Influence of Foundation depth increase on Reliability index of foundation design (Zone B site 1)

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Z NS SWS

1.5 4.02 0.13 2 4.22 0.31

2.5 4.35 0.528 3 4.46 0.728 3.5 4.6 0.929

Z NS SWS

1.5 1.93 0 2 2.05 0

2.5 2.22 0 3 2.31 0.157

3.5 2.48 0.528

00.5

11.5

22.5

33.5

44.5

5

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Relia

bilit

y In

dex

(β)

F0unation Depth (m)

NS

SWS

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Relia

bilit

y In

dex

(β)

Foundation Depth (m)

NS

SWS

Figure 4.10d Influence of Foundation depth increase on Reliability index of foundation design (Zone B site 2)

Figure 4.1 (iv) Influence of Foundation depth increase on Reliability index of foundation design (Zone B site 2)

Figure 4.1 (iv) Influence of Foundation depth increase on Reliability index of foundation design (Zone B site 2)

Figure 4.1 (iv) Influence of Foundation depth increase on Reliability index of foundation design (Zone B site 2) Figure 4.1 (iv) Influence of Foundation depth increase on Reliability index of foundation design (Zone B site 2)

Figure 4.10e Influence of Foundation depth increase on Reliability index of foundation design (Zone C site 1)

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B NS SWS

0.7 2.54 0 0.75 2.98 0.392 0.8 3.34 1.031

0.85 3.63 1.262 0.9 3.88 1.386 1.2 4.76 1.5

1.4 5.04 1.91 1.6 5.23 2.18 2 5.44 2.69

B NS SWS

0.7 3.25 0 0.75 3.74 0.235

0.8 4.2 0.995 0.85 4.46 1.078

0.9 4.73 1.528 1.2 5.7 2.02 1.4 6.03 2.51

1.6 6.23 2.88 2 6.45 3.59

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

0.7 0.75 0.8 0.85 0.9 1.2 1.4 1.6 2

Relia

bilit

y In

dex

(β)

Foundation Width (m)

NS

SWS

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

0.7 0.75 0.8 0.85 0.9 1.2 1.4 1.6 2

Relia

bilit

y In

dex(

β)

Foundation Width (m)

NS

SWS

Figure 4.10f Influence of Foundation depth increase on Reliability index of foundation design (Zone C site 2)

Figure 4.1 (vi) Influence of Foundation depth increase on Reliability index of foundation design (Zone C site 2)

Figure 4.1 (vi) Influence of Foundation depth increase on Reliability index of foundation design (Zone C site 2)

Figure 4.11a Influence of Foundation width increase on Reliability index of foundation design (Zone A site 1)

Figure 4.11b Influence of Foundation width increase on Reliability index of foundation design (Zone A site 2)

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B NS SWS

0.7 4.06 0.198 0.75 4.44 0.534

0.8 4.66 0.895 0.85 4.94 1.132

0.9 5.27 1.838 1.2 6.1 1.88 1.4 6.38 1.998

1.6 6.56 2.175 2 6.7 2.54

B NS SWS

0.7 2.02 0.052 0.75 2.42 0.728

0.8 2.74 1.3 0.85 3.01 1.313

0.9 3.31 1.728 1.2 4.02 1.91 1.4 4.2 2.06

1.6 4.47 2.37 2 4.64 2.96

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

0.7 0.75 0.8 0.85 0.9 1.2 1.4 1.6 2

relia

bilit

y In

dex

(β)

Foundation Width (m)

NS

SWS

00.5

11.5

22.5

33.5

44.5

5

0.7 0.75 0.8 0.85 0.9 1.2 1.4 1.6 2

Relia

bilit

y In

dex

(β)

Foundation Width (m)

NS

SWS

Figure 4.2 (ii)index of foundation design (Zone A site 2)

Figure 4.2 (ii) Influence of Foundation width increase on Reliability index of foundation design (Zone A site 2)

Figure 4.11c Influence of Foundation width increase on Reliability index of foundation design (Zone B site 1)

Figure 4.11d Influence of Foundation width increase on Reliability index of foundation design (Zone B site 2)

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B NS SWS

0.7 4.02 0.13 0.75 4.41 0.562 0.8 4.63 0.895

0.85 4.89 1.37 0.9 5.19 1.8 1.2 6.01 1.89 1.4 6.33 1.96 1.6 6.5 2.12 2 6.67 2.52

B NS SWS

0.7 1.93 0 0.75 2.33 0

0.8 2.51 0.25 0.85 2.84 0.305 0.9 3.06 0.418

1.2 3.91 1.5 1.4 4 2 1.6 4.19 2.33

2 4.23 2.84

4.13 Classification of ‘Expected Performance’ of foundation design

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

0.7 0.75 0.8 0.85 0.9 1.2 1.4 1.6 2

Relia

bilit

y In

dex

(β)

Foundation Width (m)

NS

SWS

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

4

4.5

0.7 0.75 0.8 0.85 0.9 1.2 1.4 1.6 2

Relia

bilit

y In

dex

(β)

Foundation Width (m)

NS

SWS

Figure 4.11e Influence of Foundation width increase on Reliability index of foundation design (Zone C site 1)

Figure 4.11f Influence of Foundation width increase on Reliability index of foundation design (Zone C site 2)

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The ‘Expected Performance’ of engineering designs are classified according to their

safety levels. A range of classification modes are available for many engineering designs

but geotechnical classification is based on consequences of failure. Probability of failure

of 0.02275 or higher is regarded as poor and hence scarcely used in design except for

minor or unimportant structures. In comparison, a target probability of failure of

0.2326E-3 for bridge foundations is regarded as satisfactory. However, the United State

Army Corps of Engineers (1997) published the classification in Table 4.23.

Table 4.23 Standard Classification of ‘Expected Performance’ of Foundation Design

(Source: US Army Corps of Engineer (1997).

Reliability Index () Probability of failure () Performance level 0-1 0.5-0.16 Hazardous 1-1.5 0.16-0.07 Unsatisfactory 1.5-2.0 0.07-0.023 Poor 2.0-2.5 0.023-0.006 Below average 2.5-3.0 0.006-0.001 Above average 3.0-4.0 0.001-0.00003 Good 4.0-5.0 0.00003-0.0000003 High Above 5.0 Above 0.0000003 Very high

Using the above classification, the spread foundation design on ASWSS in Table 4.20 may be

classified as in Table 4.24a - f

Table 4.24 Classification of ‘Expected Performance’ of spread foundation design

a

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Zone Site Load F kN

Foundation width B

(m)

Depth Z

(m)

(ASWSS) P

Performance level

A

1

100 0.70 1.5 0.468 Hazardous 150 0.70 1.5 0.5 Hazardous 150 0.70 2.0 0.474 Hazardous 150 0.70 2.5 0.369 Hazardous 150 0.70 3.0 0.274 Hazardous 150 0.70 3.5 0.151 Unsatisfactory 150 0.75 1.5 0.35 Hazardous 150 0.80 1.5 0.153 Unsatisfactory 150 0.85 1.5 0.111 Unsatisfactory 150 0.90 1.5 0.877E-1 Unsatisfactory 150 1.2 1.5 0.681E-1 Poor 150 1.4 1.5 0.316E-1 Poor 150 1.6 1.5 0.163E-1 Below average 150 2.0 1.5 0.427E-2 Above average

b Zone Site Load

F kN

Foundation width B

(m)

Depth Z

(m)

(ASWSS) P

Performance level

A

2

100 0.70 1.5 0.44 Hazardous 150 0.70 1.5 0.5 Hazardous 150 0.70 2.0 0.5 Hazardous 150 0.70 2.5 0.4 Hazardous 150 0.70 3.0 0.28 Hazardous 150 0.70 3.5 0.17 Hazardous 150 0.75 1.5 0.41 Hazardous 150 0.80 1.5 0.16 Hazardous 150 0.85 1.5 0.144 Unsatisfactory 150 0.90 1.5 0.64E-1 Poor 150 1.2 1.5 0.221E-1 Below average 150 1.4 1.5 0.611E-2 Below average 150 1.6 1.5 0.369E-2 Above average 150 2.0 1.5 0.196-3 High

c

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d Zone Site Load F

kN Foundation

width B (m)

Depth Z

(m)

(ASWSS) P

Performance level

B

2

100 0.70 1.5 0.37 Hazardous 150 0.70 1.5 0.48 Hazardous 150 0.70 2.0 0.39 Hazardous 150 0.70 2.5 0.28 Hazardous 150 0.70 3.0 0.16 Unsatisfactory 150 0.70 3.5 0.08 Unsatisfactory 150 0.75 1.5 0.24 Hazardous 150 0.80 1.5 0.103 Unsatisfactory 150 0.85 1.5 0.101 Unsatisfactory 150 0.90 1.5 0. 576E-1 Poor 150 1.2 1.5 0.483E-1 Poor 150 1.4 1.5 0.21E-1 Below average 150 1.6 1.5 0.105E-1 Below average 150 2.0 1.5 0.173E-2 Above average

Zone Site

Load F kN

Foundation width B

(m)

Depth Z

(m)

(ASWSS) P

Performance level

B

1

100 0.70 1.5 0.093 Unsatisfactory 150 0.70 1.5 0.424 Hazardous 150 0.70 2.0 0.321 Hazardous 150 0.70 2.5 0.280 Hazardous 150 0.70 3.0 0.222 Hazardous 150 0.70 3.5 0.173 Hazardous 150 0.75 1.5 0.295 Hazardous 150 0.80 1.5 0.190 Hazardous 150 0.85 1.5 0.91E-1 Unsatisfactory 150 0.90 1.5 0.37E-1 Poor 150 1.2 1.5 0.333E-1 Poor 150 1.4 1.5 0.229E-1 Below average 150 1.6 1.5 0.1696E-1 Above average 150 2.0 1.5 0.582E-2 Above average

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e Zone Site Load F

kN Foundation

width B (m)

Depth Z

(m)

(ASWSS) P

Performance level

C

1

100 0.70 1.5 0.097 Unsatisfactory 150 0.70 1.5 0.45 Hazardous 150 0.70 2.0 0.38 Hazardous 150 0.70 2.5 0.30 Hazardous 150 0.70 3.0 0.24 Hazardous 150 0.70 3.5 0.18 Hazardous 150 0.75 1.5 0.29 Hazardous 150 0.80 1.5 0.19 Hazardous 150 0.85 1.5 0.9E-1 Unsatisfactory 150 0.90 1.5 0.4E-1 Poor 150 1.2 1.5 0.32E-1 Poor 150 1.4 1.5 0.26E-1 Poor 150 1.6 1.5 0.188E-1 Below average 150 2.0 1.5 0.60E-2 Above average

f Zone Site Load F

kN Foundation

width B (m)

Depth Z

(m)

(ASWSS) P

Performance level

C

2

100 0.70 1.5 0.50 Hazardous 150 0.70 1.5 0.5 Hazardous 150 0.70 2.0 0.5 Hazardous 150 0.70 2.5 0.5 Hazardous 150 0.70 3.0 0.44 Hazardous 150 0.70 3.5 0.3 Hazardous 150 0.75 1.5 0.5 Hazardous 150 0.80 1.5 0.404 Hazardous 150 0.85 1.5 0.383 Hazardous 150 0.90 1.5 0.34 Hazardous 150 1.2 1.5 0.122E-1 Below average 150 1.4 1.5 0.26E-2 Above average 150 1.6 1.5 0.59E-3 Good 150 2.0 1.5 0.108E-3 Good

4.14 Geotechnical Properties of ASWSS and NS

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The heterogeneous composition of ASWSS makes its raw data to be skewed, resulting in

non-identical extreme values extending out in both directions in a data distribution

function. The standard deviation of its data set is typically inflated by the high data

scatter. Outliers in ASWSS properties, with valid presence in this study, were not

discarded to make the data set fit analytical procedures that generally require normality,

but to eliminate the influence of unusual presence of materials not formed by the regular

geological processes or its environmental modifying factors. While outliers may define

crucial and significant points in a hydrological data set, their presence in geotechnical

observations dangerously inflate design data to the detriment of the design. Expunging

outliers from a data set to suit a pre-conceived analytical process is unwarranted because

transformation procedures capable of achieving symmetry are available (Helsel and

Hirsch, 2002).

A casual inspection of ASWSS properties, side by side with those of its corresponding

NS reveals sharp differences in some data values; however convergence of the two sets of

data begins to be gradually achieved from the depth of 2.5 m below the surface. The

spatial order and geotechnical relationships that tend to exist among observed data of

normal ground was not visible in most of ASWSS data. For instance the high values of

observed c that are associated with high values of observed in cohesive soil of natural

ground was not noticeable in ASWSS data (Table C.4 of Appendix C).

Considerable differences in the geotechnical properties of ASWSS and NS were

observed. The liquid and plastic limits of ASWSS fall in the ranges of 28 – 32% and

25 – 37% respectively. The angles of internal resistance range from 7 - 15º for ASWSS

and 8 - 17º for NS. Clay and silt account for up to 90% of ASWSS in some cases while as

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low as 9 kN/m2 cohesion was recorded. The composition of organic matters in ASWSS

was found in the range of 2.1 – 5% while that of calcium and magnesium range between

106 mg/kg and 1000 mg/kg. Corrosive agents of sulphate and carbonate in ASWSS were

found in the ranges of 220 –589 mg/kg and 28 – 50 mg/kg respectively.

The main mineral compositions of ASWSS were Quartz (Silicon Oxide), Rutile

(Titanium Oxide) and Stolzite (Lead Tungsten Oxide). There were no traces of expansive

minerals like illite, kaolinite and montmorillonite which are capable of making the use of

such soil for developments a difficult one. However, most of the composition of sulphate,

chloride and magnesium/calcium occurred in proportions higher than the specified limits

of World Health Organisation and Environmental Protection Agency (WHO/EPA). The

silver like colour precipitate signifies the presence of silver which resulted from the

droplets of can materials. Oxidation and reduction reactions of the chlorides of these

heavy metals (silver, magnesium and calcium) with cement attack and slow down the

hardening process of concrete which eventually reduces its strength continuously.

Sulphate, carbonate and PH are all agents of corrosion. Their harsh presence in soil, as it

is in ASWSS of this study, attack foundation reinforcement.

ASWSS, as seen from the results of its site investigation in this study, is usually

characterized by weak zones that are randomly distributed. It is obvious that no amount

of sampling plan can capture all the weak spots of ASWSS so that the major parts of the

weak zones have no account in the evaluated design data, and hence the measured

average strength of soil samples on which design is based differs from and is higher in

value than the actual global average. This is one of the major causes of foundation failure

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on ASWSS, especially where conventional methods are applied both in design and

evaluation of design data.

The isolated high spots would have had a positive impact on the average properties of

ASWSS except that its scanty distribution makes it too localized to form part of the

average strength. These are the effects of ‘reinforced earth scenario’ which ends up

shooting up the average strength beyond its field reality. The way to circumvent it is by

skilful trimming of data to give it a resemblance to the average field reality. In the

absence of this trim, foundation members are either designed below its safe level or

designers are tempted to apply elusively high traditional factor of safety in a defensible

and uneconomical manner.

4.15 Design Values

The only way to appreciate the peculiarity of ASWSS is to understand that its formation

is such that the properties of the test samples, unlike NS, may not, in many practical

instances mimic the average behavior of its parent population. This calls for a treatment

procedure that would reduce the irregularities to its acceptable minimum. The study

applied 15% for both trimmed upper and extended lower mean to the ASWSS properties

in order to exclude the influence of ‘reinforced earth scenario’ and include

approximately, data from weaker zones which might have escaped the adopted sampling

plan.

Design values are the final deduced values of soil data that are applied directly in design

calculations. The effect of any misrepresentation at this level may be dramatic on design

results. Design values of soil properties must be as representative of the site average as

possible. The trimming of outliers and inclusion of extended lower values were targeted

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towards achieving this goal. It is rather saver, though less economical, to underestimate

the average strength characteristics of ASWSS at this stage than to overestimate them.

Designs are either carried out above the limit state (safe region) or below it (unsafe

region). . Design values of cohesion, angle of internal resistance and unit weight of soil

were obtained in the ranges of 9.5 – 12 kN/m2, 7 - 20° and 12.9 – 14.3 kN/m3

respectively for ASWSS while those of NS were 21 – 27 kN/m2, 10 - 14° and 15.6 – 16.2

kN/m2 respectively. These ranges show higher values of strength characteristics for NS as

generally expected.

4.16 Safety Indices of ASWSS and NS

A wide range of safety analyses employ simulation and reliability techniques in

evaluating the safety indices of the system under study. Usually, the choice of methods is

informed by and bound to the application discipline, and hence the detail approach and

limit of precision reflect the educated preference of the user. It is important to note that

while the conventional reliability method measures the reliability of the site being

investigated based on the evaluated properties of soil samples, the method adopted in this

study measures the reliability of the entire engineering field in relation to the proposed

loading. The study explored the contrasting responses of NS and ASWSS to loading by

carrying out spread foundation designs on NS and ASWSS using the same loading and

geometric conditions. The difference represents, invariably, the environmental effects

imposed on a geotechnical field by the presence of solid waste and its component

(leachate).

Both Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS) and First Order Reliability Method (FORM) were

used in the evaluation of safety indices of foundation designs. The results of the two

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reveal that for most of the span of safety index, the use of MCS is more conservative and

that for values of less than 1, the two results are a little divergent. The results suggest,

therefore, that in design and analysis based on geotechnical data, which usually, is

fraught with high approximations and uncertainties, it is reasonable to adopt MCS.

The safety of foundation designs on ASWSS and NS was obtained in terms of reliability

index and probability of failure. Despite the record of small probability of failure of

0.00013, corresponding to reliability index of 3.75, there were few cases of zero

reliability indices corresponding to probability of failure of 0.5 on ASWSS (Table 4.24).

It is clear also from the results that increase in the depth of foundation adds not much to

its reliability and that an increase of 0.05 m in foundation width may raise the reliability

index by up to 0.5. The reliability index obtained by an increase of 0.1 m in foundation

width is equivalent to that obtained when foundation depth is increased by 1.5 m. In

addition, it is outstandingly noticed that up to twice NS foundation width is required in

ASWSS to reduce the probability of failure () to its equivalent value in NS (Tables

4.20 and 4.22).

4.17 Performance Classification of ASWSS

The basis for classifying the expected performance of foundation design is safety. Safety

is examined at different levels depending on the consequences of failure. The safety of

foundation designs on ASWSS and NS was obtained in terms of reliability index and

probability of failure. The record of high probability of failure of as much as 0.5

consequently make the foundation designs on ASWSS ranged from ‘hazardous to high’

safety index in the standard classification format despite the fact that

P of 0.0228( = 2) is seldom used except for unimportant structures like farm houses.

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A total of forty (40) out of one hundred and sixty eight (168) cases of ASWSS foundation

designs satisfy this minimum reliability index criterion. Out of 84 design cases of

ASWSS in this study, 41 fall in hazardous class, 15 in unsatisfactory, 10 in poor, 8 in

below average, 7 in above average, 2 in good and 1 in high class. It must be noted,

however, that most of the time these facts about ASWSS are not discovered because of

inadequate sampling plan and poor soil data treatment. Improvements on the safety

indices could be made by reducing the values of imposed loads or increasing the

foundation dimensions.

CHAPTER FIVE

CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS A common thing in engineering judgment is that confidence is placed on the likelihood of

the measured material properties while past events which may possibly explain the likely

order of present circumstances are relegated. For instance, if ASWSS investigation

reveals satisfactory sample data for engineering purpose, the tendency is to assume that

the result is similar to that of the parent population, without regard to high base-rate of

failure, if any. In all cases, a balanced posterior probability is influenced by prior

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probability and likelihood of data. This chapter summarizes the conclusive remarks and

recommendations based on the combined application of these sources of evidence in

analyzing the reliability of ASWSS for structural developments.

5.1 Summary Risk and reliability analysis in engineering entails mathematical approaches that are

closely connected to the principles of probability and statistics. The general advocacy is

that geotechnical reliability should not advance beyond FORM so as to avoid undesirable

complexity in statistics and calculations because geotechnical data does not have

sufficient physical robustness to withstand sophisticated mathematics. Besides, it is

feared that further complexity in treatment would render the field and laboratory efforts

towards predicting and inferring the geotechnical state of geological materials to mere

statistical exercise. This study, therefore from field data acquisition/transcription to

evaluation of safety indices, employed simple and available mathematical and statistical

methods, especially in analysis and evaluation of safety indices of designs. Combined

concepts of the probability of events based on long series of similar occurrence and the

measurement of probability on the strength of empirical knowledge of events have been

applied to assess the properties and uncertainties in the use of ASWSS for developments.

Comprehensive acquisition of soil physical and chemical properties was done using

laboratory analysis. Monte Carlo simulation and Hasofer-Lind Approach (FORM) were

used side by side to evaluate the safety indices of foundation designs both on NS and

ASWSS. As expected the safety indices of designs on NS are far better than those on

ASWSS.

5.2 Conclusion

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The conventional methods of site investigation and treatment of soil data have proved

inadequate in accessing the exact geotechnical capability of ASWSS. In most cases the

unusual field conditions like the presence of weak zones and ‘reinforced earth scenarios’

neither play appropriate roles nor have account in the evaluated representative value of

the strength characteristics. This is in addition to statistical imprecision resulting from

insufficient statistical data obtained from inadequate characterization of ASWSS.

Occurrence of ‘reinforced earth scenarios’ and unnoticed weak spots on ASWSS hinder

the efforts towards predicting the design values that are truly representative of the global

average. Foundation failures, therefore, were recorded in the past because of over

reliance on the raw data obtained via conventional methods of investigation and lack of

adequate provision for experience – based guidance in the evaluation of average strength

of ASWSS.

Up to seventy percent (70%) of triaxial test results (, ∅ and ) of ASWSS were

significantly lower than those of the corresponding NS, with a scale of about one in two

(1 in 2) in some cases. These are the main strength parameters of soil and large

differences between their ASWSS and NS values indicate large differences between the

strength characteristics of ASWSS and NS respectively. However, with just twenty five

percent (25%) Atterberg Limits test results showing significant difference and one

hundred percent (100%) compaction test results showing no difference at all between

ASWSS and NS, the state of geotechnical properties alone could not have been

responsible for the scale of failures recorded in the use ASWSS for developments.

The long - term effects of over seventy percent (70%) of sulphate, fifty percent (50%) of

chloride and calcium/magnesium contents in excess of EPA/WHO prescribed maximum

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value certainly impact negatively on the stability and continuous performance of ASWSS

foundation members. The subtle but salient effects of this source of foundation failure

can persist for a long period of time before it finally results into obvious signs of failure.

The levels of degradation of ASWSS that have spent over twenty (20) years of

abandonment no more threaten the ultimate or serviceability performance of foundation

members. The fact that majority of the design cases fall in hazardous class, which is the

worst state of failure tendency, is an indication of the risk involved in the use of ASWSS

for building construction. Low values of safety indices of foundation designs on ASWSS

showed clearly that it is unsuitable for heavy structures. However, light and minor

structures can be sustained with relevant design techniques.

5.3 Recommendations

Based on the findings of this study, the following recommendations are made:

1. Geotechnical characterization of ASWSS should be obtained via a sampling plan that is

generally more detailed than that of natural ground. It should be an attempt to capture the

majority of site irregularities that are associated with ASWSS.

2. It is strongly submitted that the characterization plan of ASWSS and evaluation of design

values should include informed percentages of ‘upper trim’ and ‘lower extended’ mean

respectively.

3. Where ASWSS is adequately investigated, a minimum foundation depth of 2.0 m with its

relevant foundation width is capable of achieving average reliability; otherwise

foundation depth should not be less than 2.5 m.

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4. It is reasonable also to increase the foundation width, within the acceptable limits of

settlement provision however, so as to enhance the safety index of the design especially

where the target reliability index has not been attained.

5. Foundation members should be strictly protected against the damaging effects of

chemical compounds by using sulphate resistant cement in all cases of ASWSS

foundation constructions.

6. The expected performance of structural foundations proposed to be built on ASWSS

should be assessed via a reliability based risk assessment procedure or geotechnical

solution that truly and tractably shed light on the prospect of foundation functionality.

7. A minimum of ‘Above Average’ classification of structural foundation design of ASWSS

should never be compromised except for minor and unimportant structures.

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APPENDIX B: Determination of Foundation Width using MATLAB clear; syms x; solve ('1.779*x^3+234.992*x^2+66.241*x=150') clear; syms x; solve ('1.779*x^3+234.992*x^2+66.241*x=200') clear ; syms x; solve ('1.779*x^3+234.992*x^2+66.241*x=250') clear;

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syms x; solve ('1.779*x^3+234.992*x^2+66.241*x=300') clear ; syms x; solve ('1.779*x^3+234.992*x^2+66.241*x=350') clear; syms x; solve ('1.779*x^3+234.992*x^2+66.241*x=400') clear; syms x; solve ('1.779*x^3+234.992*x^2+66.241*x=450') clear; syms x; solve ('1.779*x^3+234.992*x^2+66.241*x=500') clear; syms x; solve ('1.779*x^3+234.992*x^2+66.241*x=550') Appendix C: Results of Laboratory Determination of Geotechnical Properties of ASWSS and NS Table C.1 Atterberg Limits Test Results Property Zone Site Depth

of Stratum

(m)

Mean Value

ASWSS (%) NS (%)

LL PL PI LS LL PL PI LS Atterberg Test Results

A 1 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5

40.00 44.00 40.00 52.00 28.00

35.50 37.17 25.54 36.11 25.00

4.50 6.83 4.50 15.89 3.00

4.29 5.00 5.71 8.57 10.00

49.00 32.00 33.00 35.00 29.00

35.09 30.95 26.97 34.31 28.17

13.91 1.05 6.03 0.69 0.83

10.00 10.71 10.00 10.71 10.71

2 1.5 42.00 36.50 5.5 4.45 39.00 29.00 10.00 10.91

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2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5

44.00 40.00 50.00 35.00

37.55 35.0 36.50 28.20

6.45 5.0 13.5 6.80

6.00 8.27 8.05 10.05

36.00 34.00 38.00 36.00

28.00 28.00 33.00 27.15

8.00 6.00 5.00 8.85

1050 10.25 10.25 10.05

B 1

1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5

32.00 35.00 33.00 34.00 34.00

27.78 29.29 29.29 27.92 30.49

4.22 5.71 3.71 6.08 3.51

8.57 9.29 8.00 8.57 8.57

37.00 37.00 48.00 36.00 34.00

26.67 32.58 31.01 28.22 25.54

10.33 4.42 16.99 7.78 8.46

7.86 8.57 9.29 8.57 8.57

2 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5

30.00 34.00 33.00 34.00 34.00

29.19 28.55 26.29 28.72 28.72

0.81 5.45 6.71 5.28 5.28

9.28 8.29 8.57 8.50 8.55

32.00 33.00 32.00 30.00 33.00

27.75 29.00 25.72 27.65 27.65

4.25 4.00 6.28 2.35 5.35

8.55 9.75 8.55 8.57 8.57

C 1 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5

38.00 40.00 38.00 39.00 39.00

33.50 36.50 32.00 33.50 33.72

4.50 3.50 6.00 5.5 5.28

7.95 8.71 8.77 8.75 8.55

42.00 38.00 36.00 36.00 38.00

35.25 34.50 32.00 30.95 32.55

6.75 3.50 4.00 5.03 5.45

9.25 8.85 8.57 8.90 8.55

2 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5

40.00 37.00 39.00 37.00 34.00

28.00 27.50 28.85 26.62 25.50

12.00 9.50 10.15 10.38 8.50

7.25 8.15 6.27 7.75 8.05

36.00 38.00 35.00 34.00 35.00

29.15 28.45 27.15 30.25 26.40

6.85 9.55 7.85 3.75 8.60

8.25 7.00 9.15 6.75 7.15

Table C.2: Dry Density/Moisture Content Test Results Property Zone Site Depth

of Stratum

(m)

Mean Value

ASWSS NS

MDD (g/cm3)

OMC (%)

MDD (g/cm3)

OMC (%)

Dry Density/Moisture Content

A 1 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5

1.56 1.48 1.57 1.71 1.51

20.00 20.86 18.32 25.00 17.00

1.67 1.67 1.39 1.33 1.48

22.47 18.00 20.00 26.51 25.00

2 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5

1.67 1.55 1.60 1.50 1.58

22.00 20.00 23.00 25.00 19.00

1.76 1.82 1.70 1.65 1.68

19.25 20.22 25.75 20.15 19.00

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B 1

1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5

1.93 1.80 1.65 1.57 1.70

18.56 18.36 19.17 17.97 15.55

1.85 1.96 1.93 1.81 1.88

15.05 14.46 12.79 19.54 16.38

2 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5

1.68 1.67 1.56 1.66 1.65

20.72 20.68 18.18 19.27 16.35

1.71 1.79 1.48 1.70 1.65

22.56 20.17 18.27 17.70 16.32

C 1 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5

1.67 1.90 1.83 1.72 1.52

18.33 19.27 18.38 19.20 19.00

1.80 1.84 1.79 1.67 1.54

20.20 19.00 18.84 18.90 19.10

2 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5

1.94 1.90 1.82 1.79 1.72

15.50 16.20 17.22 17.00 17.00

1.80 1.92 1.90 1.88 1.76

16.83 15.56 14.20 16.25 16.35

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Table C.3: Consolidation Test Results Property Zone Site Depth of

Stratum (m)

Mean Value

ASWSS NS

Cv (m2/yr) Mv (m2/kN) Ρ C (m) Cv (m2/yr) Mv (m2/kN) Ρ C (m) Consolidation Test Result

A 1 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5

2.242 2.138 1.832 2.813 1.271

0.0106 0.0061 0.0076 0.0092 0.0077

0.0004 0.0002 0.0003 0.0005 0.0002

1.642 1.342 1.382 1.738 2.773

0.0058 0.0095 0.0070 0.0084 0.0055

0.0002 0.0002 0.0002 0.0003 0.0003

2 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5

2.042 2.188 1.946 2.902 1.786

0.0091 0.0078 0.0068 0.0070 0.0072

0.0003 0.0005 0.0002 0.0004 0.0003

1.640 1.760 1.566 1.928 2.113

0.0038 0.0056 0.0067 0.0072 0.0071

0.0002 0.0003 0.0002 0.0003 0.0002

B 1

1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5

2.062 3.264 2.215 1.912 1.708

0.0094 0.0061 0.0073 0.0098 0.0136

0.0004 0.0004 0.0003 0.0003 0.0004

3.624 2.123 1.391 8.687 1.448

0.0076 0.0068 0.0064 0.0132 0.0098

0.0005 0.0003 0.0002 0.0022 0.0003

2 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5

2.156 2.007 1.678 1.782 1.660

0.0061 0.0070 0.0056 0.0078 0.0055

0.0003 0.0004 0.0002 0.0003 0.0002

2.969 2.143 2.002 1.896 1.672

0.0088 0.0084 0.0056 0.0067 0.0071

0.0004 0.0003 0.0003 0.0002 0.0002

C 1 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5

2.256 2.196 1.652 2.923 1.261

0.0102 0.0072 0.0059 0.0069 0.0058

0.0005 0.0005 0.0003 0.0004 0.0002

1.632 1.772 1.012 1.682 2.549

0.0063 0.0060 0.0049 0.0058 0.0038

0.0002 0.0003 0.0002 0.0003 0.0003

2 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5

2.147 2.668 1.932 2.944 1.699

0.0059 0.0049 0.0052 0.0078 0.0134

0.0004 0.0003 0.0003 0.0002 0.0003

1.959 2.012 1.532 1.782 1.324

0.0079 0.0052 0.0058 0.0061 0.0076

0.0002 0.0003 0.0002 0.0003 0.0002

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Table C.4: Triaxial Test Result Property Zone Site Depth

of Stratum

(m)

Mean Value

ASWSS NS

(kN/m2) ∅ (º) (kN/m3) (kN/m2) ∅ (º) (kN/m3) Triaxial Test Result

A 1 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5

10 16 10 15 12

11 9 7 10 9

15.78 13.97 14.19 15.21 16.01

28 27 24 22 19

13 10 15 8 9

15.90 16.80 16.80 15.67 16.24

2 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5

10 14 15 14 13

10 10 9 8 9

15.96 14.42 14.72 15.98 16.32

24 25 19 25 22

14 12 13 15 16

17.14 16.24 15.90 16.58 16.12

B 1

1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5

9 18 19 12 13

12 13 13 13 15

16.58 13.98 14.87 16.35 16.35

25 17 18 22 28

16 13 14 16 15

15.80 16.40 16.60 16.60 16.68

2 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5

9 10 11 12 14

12 9 10 12 13

15.98 15.50 14.98 16.10 16.30

20 24 19 22 22

11 13 13 14 16

15.89 16.22 16.22 16.24 16.40

C 1 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5

10 9 11 10 12

13 13 13 13 14

16.20 14.98 15.80 16.24 16.24

28 26 25 20 19

13 13 14 15 16

15.90 16.82 16.80 16.84 16.84

2 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5

11 13 11 12 10

9 11 10 12 11

13.89 14.22 12.92 13.90 14.28

23 18 22 19 23

12 14 13 15 16

15.51 16.01 16.20 16.24 16.30

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(a) Table C.5a: Specific Gravity Test Result

Property Zone Site Depth of Stratum

(m)

Mean Value

ASWSS NS

Specific Gravity Test Result

A 1 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5

1.64 2.04 2.14 2.26 2.45

2.21 2.36 2.47 2.54 2.66

2 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5

1.88 2.17 2.48 2.56 2.64

2.56 2.60 2.64 2.66 2.65

B 1

1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5

2.52 2.54 2.56 2.56 2.58

2.55 2.55 2.56 2.63 2.67

2 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5

1.78 1.92 2.20 2.58 2.60

2.58 2.65 2.65 2.67 2.67

C 1 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5

2.50 2.57 2.58 2.64 2.66

2.58 2.65 2.67 2.67 2.69

2 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5

2.14 2.25 2.40 2.61 2.63

2.57 2.60 2.67 2.67 2.69

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Table C. 5b: Natural Moisture Content Test Result Property Zone Site Depth of

Stratum (m)

Mean Value

ASWSS (%) NS (%)

Natural Moisture Content Test Result

A 1 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5

19.14 10.71 24.06 39.42 41.44

18.15 22.38 36.10 41.76 23.11

2 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5

22.27 19.72 20.11 22.42 30.45

11.17 10.28 14.32 20.37 23.32

B 1

1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5

13.89 21.71 10.70 19.13 14.53

6.88 8.85 9.96 7.97 18.88

2 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5

14.68 20.24 32.44 38.45 30.67

10.11 9.27 12.42 13.16 14.22

C 1 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5

16.11 22.92 26.42 28.17 30.45

11.45 12.18 13.66 12.72 13.80

2 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5

19.45 22.40 30.48 34.55 36.06

12.99 13.42 14.56 14.58 14.55

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Table C. 6: Sieve Analysis (Wet/Dry) Property Zone Site Depth of

Stratum (m)

Mean Value

ASWSS (%) NS (%)

Sieve Analysis (Wet/Dry) Percentage clay & silt (%)

A 1 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5

43.80 64.70 71.48 89.92 70.86

32.64 53.86 42.00 68.68 63.84

2 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5

45.77 48.92 58.12 60.25 56.55

30.74 28.91 42.48 60.40 56.52

B 1

1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5

48.14 65.90 23.64 55.02 45.70

38.22 20.56 19.64 50.78 35.12

2 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5

40.44 62.68 70.04 62.66 68.72

38.00 42.20 30.35 22.50 38.27

C 1 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5

52.50 50.68 65.44 58.32 62.62

36.40 32.46 40.47 28.74 30.04

2 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5

42.36 28.85 39.48 52.43 56.44

32.35 27.20 28.45 32.31 30.46

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Table C.7a: Results of Chemical Analysis Season: Wet

Property Zone Site Depth of Stratum

(m)

Mean Value

ASWSS (mg/l) (mg/kg) (mg/l) (mg/kg)

NS

(mg/l) (mg/kg) (mg/l) (mg/kg) pH Sulphate Chloride Carbonate ΣCa+Mg pH Sulphate Chloride Carbonate ΣCa+Mg pH Sulphate Chloride Carbonate ΣCa+Mg

A 1 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5

6.3 6.2 6.3 7.2 7.5

473.18 491.81 584.10 686.13 691.82

522.63 568.60 605.32 612.10 620.10

28.80 26.00 20.33 35.20 38.16

899 886 543 297 189

6.8 6.2 6.0 7.0 7.3

264.45 271.81 274.15 282.43 289.50

280.64 376.90 390.55 430.63 472.39

Nil 26.80 29.95 33.10 32.16

233 201 188 165 134

2 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5

6.3 6.4 6.5 7.2 7.6

436.44 501.60 578.15 585.42 596.33

643.20 658.32 784.10 786.37 799.10

27.20 28.10 30.67 33.80 40.67

776 654 498 201 188

6.0 6.9 6.3 7.0 7.4

224.41 266.83 241.50 268.42 286.53

320.50 338.77 386.76 440.19 489.10

30.22 36.19 37.55 32.20 40.00

289 233 178 167 150

B 1

1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5

6.4 6.8 6.9 7.7 7.9

399.25 452.46 477.10 484.70 495.18

499.40 538.45 555.67 620.19 699.42

28.90 36.88 38.70 39.22 40.30

556 322 178 121 199

6.0 6.6 6.8 6.2 6.9

234.12 243.55 265.10 285.60 292.56

299.60 320.15 338.60 415.20 440.88

31.23 30.88 32.60 38.30 39.10

290 207 188 167 143

2 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5

6.3 6.4 7.2 7.5 7.6

399.60 468.31 474.10 552.19 560.15

568.32 658.10 740.19 821.22 866.32

28.80 20.13 32.10 36.80 39.50

659 440 308 187 154

6.1 6.4 6.8 7.2 7.4

249.73 256.40 295.66 250.17 259.22

320.32 335.59 430.66 442.72 450.33

27.60 29.89 30.35 33.22 36.48

278 231 178 144 107

C 1 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5

6.4 6.6 7.5 7.5 7.6

389.15 499.10 542.10 578.55 588.42

420.67 496.18 542.15 599.30 620.10

27.30 29.30 30.19 23.25 40.00

443 200 176 143 108

6.0 6.1 6.3 7.4 7.5

267.50 284.10 222.10 275.15 246.44

315.22 329.18 330.72 356.84 415.10

27.00 25.23 28.45 32.10 38.73

195 187 144 143 122

2 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5

6.3 6.4 6.6 7.2 7.6

235.10 245.20 265.44 269.67 298.30

356.78 422.13 443.17 587.67 595.10

24.60 29.90 29.92 30.35 40.00

389 339 218 155 106

6.3 6.0 6.1 6.5 7.3

220.55 242.20 240.17 256.68 280.99

353.10 388.90 420.95 467.30 488.76

20.22 24.68 29.16 28.15 39.70

180 167 133 121 120

WHO/EPA LIMIT 6-9

≤ 400 ≤ 600

≤ 50 ≤ 200 6-9 ≤ 400 ≤ 600 ≤ 50 ≤ 200

Table C.7b: Results of Chemical Analysis Season: Dry

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Property Zone Site Depth of Stratum

(m)

Mean Value

ASWSS

(mg/l) (mg/kg) (mg/l) (mg/kg)

NS

(mg/l) (mg/kg) (mg/l) (mg/kg) pH Sulphate Chloride Carbonate ΣCa+Mg pH Sulphate Chloride Carbonate ΣCa+Mg pH Sulphate Chloride Carbonate ΣCa+Mg

A 1 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5

8.5 8.3 8.0 7.1 7.0

903.65 789.13 673.16 469.10 336.22

972.30 648.62 459.39 344.86 322.45

50.10 48.90 42.33 33.62 30.19

1000 989 765 337 204

8.2 8.0 8.0 6.9 6.5

400.63 283.13 270.22 254.55 230.22

617.10 454.96 429.60 342.85 320.54

50.00 46.17 42.15 30.62 29.88

233 200 176 108 77

2 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5

8.6 8.4 7.5 7.0 6.2

698.30 664.23 555.45 489.10 370.24

768.70 656.12 495.22 348.90 275.66

50.32 47.35 34.77 33.28 28.60

1001 897 822 444 287

8.3 8.2 7.2 6.8 6.0

390.30 362.33 345.45 268.10 386.22

560.76 450.66 324.96 340.45 270.54

49.56 46.35 31.73 31.22 26.49

176 102 87 80 55

B 1

1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5

9.0 8.6 8.3 7.1 6.0

699.23 615.68 598.45 586.43 488.43

692.23 520.27 463.45 322.10 310.15

48.50 44.92 39.65 35.22 28.57

667 434 219 177 136

8.9 8.5 8.0 7.0 5.8

395.15 300.66 296.53 280.56 288.00

500.31 500.27 446.50 315.11 310.10

43.77 40.09 36.67 30.24 23.00

192 180 171 100 83

2 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5

8.9 8.3 7.0 6.2 6.0

494.62 395.33 368.46 295.11 288.62

498.69 344.25 342.30 288.73 276.90

48.97 47.50 33.24 30.76 28.95

545 407 227 188 146

8.3 8.3 6.8 6.0 6.0

382.56 355.34 363.45 294.00 259.35

488.67 342.25 322.06 268.33 254.89

48.65 46.45 30.28 29.66 25.86

189 166 143 98 67

C 1 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5

8.7 8.3 7.8 7.6 6.8

676.00 640.12 435.68 398.11 389.42

697.15 532.45 321.67 288.49 266.88

50.44 50.10 48.35 29.63 20.86

877 552 328 200 183

8.5 8.1 7.6 7.5 6.3

346.00 340.10 324.65 296.11 249.66

495.00 320.64 320.17 260.83 239.68

49.88 48.89 45.35 24.09 20.86

170 165 129 109 56

2 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5

8.9 8.3 8.0 7.1 7.0

634.22 620.19 577.66 539.13 520.56

599.00 588.99 567.73 423.50 344.12

48.99 47.60 46.77 45.28 34.66

448 278 192 156 115

8.6 8.1 8.0 7.0 6.9

322.10 315.15 223.37 234.00 200.54

589.00 584.67 563.85 420.31 340.12

46.90 46.72 42.33 40.33 32.66

196 192 128 119 87

WHO/EPA LIMIT 6-9

≤ 400 ≤ 600

≤ 50 ≤ 200 6-9 ≤ 400 ≤ 600 ≤ 50 ≤ 200

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Table C. 8: Results of Organic Matter Content Test (ASWSS) Zone Site Depth(m) Organic Matter Content (%) ASWSS

A 1 1.5 3.72

2.0 3.65 2.5 3.22 3.0 2.89 3.5 2.10

2 1.5 4.06 2.0 3.88 2.5 3.45 3.0 2.78 3.5 2.33

B 1 1.5 5.01 2.0 4.89 2.5 4.51 3.0 3.88 3.5 2.90

2 1.5 3.88 2.0 3,22 2.5 2.80 3.0 2.56

3.5 2.04

C 1 1.5 4.87 2.0 4.66 2.5 4.32 3.0 2.99 3.5 2.36

2 1.5 4.55 2.0 4.05 2.5 3.81 3.0 2.70 3.5 2.09

WHO/ EPA LIMIT ≤ 10

Appendix D : Application of T - table in the Computation of T values Table D. 1: T distribution critical values (Udacity, 2015)

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