59
1
1
2
SalesSalesfrom reported to like-for-likefrom reported to like-for-like
(in € millions)(in € millions) YTDsept 05
YTDsept 06
ChangeChange
Sales Sales (reported)(reported) 382.7382.7 457.4457.4 + 19.5 %+ 19.5 %
Currency translation impact ($ and £)Currency translation impact ($ and £) - 6.6- 6.6
Changes in consolidation scopeChanges in consolidation scope((Algorithmics entranceAlgorithmics entrance))
- 2.3- 2.3
SALES SALES (like-for-like)(like-for-like) 382.7382.7 448.5448.5 + 17.2 %+ 17.2 %
Sales by company Sales by company (reported)(reported)
(in € millions)(in € millions) YTDsept 05
YTDsept 06 ChangeChange
FITCHFITCH GROUP GROUP 382.4382.4 457.1457.1 + 19.5 %+ 19.5 %
Fitch RatingsFitch Ratings 331.4331.4 388.8388.8 + 17.3 %+ 17.3 %
AlgorithmicsAlgorithmics 51.051.0 68.368.3 + 33.9 %+ 33.9 %
Other (Parent company)Other (Parent company) 0.30.3 0.30.3
SALES (reported)SALES (reported) 382.7382.7 457.4457.4 + 19.5 %+ 19.5 %
Sales by company Sales by company (like-for-like)(like-for-like)
(in € millions)(in € millions) YTDsept 05
YTDsept 06 ChangeChange
FITCHFITCH GROUP GROUP 382.4382.4 448.2448.2 + 17.2 %+ 17.2 %
Fitch RatingsFitch Ratings 331.4331.4 383.6383.6 + 15.8 %+ 15.8 %
AlgorithmicsAlgorithmics 51.051.0 64.664.6 + 26.7 %+ 26.7 %
Other (Parent company)Other (Parent company) 0.30.3 0.30.3
SALES SALES (like-for-like)(like-for-like) 382.7382.7 448.5448.5 + 17.2 %+ 17.2 %
YTDsept 05 %%
YTDsept 06 %%
11 USAUSA 210.2210.2 54.9 %54.9 % 237.4237.4 51.9 %51.9 %
22 UKUK 51.351.3 13.4 %13.4 % 58.458.4 12.8 %12.8 %
33 GermanyGermany 13.013.0 3.4 %3.4 % 18.518.5 4.0 %4.0 %
44 FranceFrance 8.58.5 2.2 %2.2 % 10.410.4 2.3 %2.3 %
55 NetherlandsNetherlands 6.96.9 1.8 %1.8 % 10.110.1 2.2 %2.2 %
66 SwitzerlandSwitzerland 7.87.8 2.0 %2.0 % 9.99.9 2.2 %2.2 %
77 ItalyItaly 9.49.4 2.5 %2.5 % 9.89.8 2.1 %2.1 %
88 SpainSpain 7.07.0 1.8 %1.8 % 8.88.8 1.9 %1.9 %
99 MexicoMexico 7.27.2 1.9 %1.9 % 8.28.2 1.8 %1.8 %
1010 JapanJapan 5.85.8 1.5 %1.5 % 6.96.9 1.5 %1.5 %
% TOTAL SALES % TOTAL SALES (reported)(reported) 85.5 %85.5 % 82.7 %82.7 %
Sales by geographic regionsSales by geographic regions (reported)(reported)
From sales From sales to recurring operating incometo recurring operating income
(in € millions)(in € millions)YTD
sept 05YTD
sept 06ChangeChange
Sales Sales (reported)(reported) 382.7382.7 457.4457.4 + 19.5%+ 19.5%
Operating expensesOperating expenses - 317.2- 317.2 - 377.4- 377.4
Recurring operating income Recurring operating income (reported) (reported)
65.565.5 80.080.0 + 22.1%+ 22.1%
Currency translation impact ($ and £)Currency translation impact ($ and £) - 1.2- 1.2
Changes in consolidation scopeChanges in consolidation scope (Algorithmics entrance) (Algorithmics entrance)
2.92.9
RECURRING OPERATING INCOME RECURRING OPERATING INCOME
(like-for-like)(like-for-like)
65.565.5 81.781.7 + 24.7%+ 24.7%
(in € millions)(in € millions) YTDsept 05
YTDsept 06 ChangeChange
FITCHFITCH GROUP GROUP 75.875.8 85.685.6 ++ 12.9 %12.9 %
Fitch RatingsFitch Ratings 96.596.5 111.7111.7 ++ 15.8 %15.8 %
AlgorithmicsAlgorithmics - 20.7- 20.7 - 26.1- 26.1 -- 26.1 %26.1 %
Other (Parent company)Other (Parent company) - 10.3- 10.3 - 5.6- 5.6 ++ 45.6 %45.6 %
RECURRING OPERATING INCOMERECURRING OPERATING INCOME(reported)(reported)
65.565.5 80.080.0 ++ 22.1 %22.1 %
Recurring operating income by companyRecurring operating income by company(reported)(reported)
Recurring operating income by company Recurring operating income by company (like-for-like)(like-for-like)
Operating margin (ROI / Sales)Operating margin (ROI / Sales) 17.1 %17.1 % 18.2 %18.2 %
(in € millions)(in € millions) YTDsept 05
YTDsept 06
ChangeChange
FITCHFITCH GROUP GROUP 75.875.8 87.387.3 ++ 15.2 %15.2 %
Fitch RatingsFitch Ratings 96.596.5 110.0110.0 ++ 14.0 %14.0 %
AlgorithmicsAlgorithmics - 20.7- 20.7 - 22.7- 22.7 -- 9.7 %9.7 %
Other (Parent company)Other (Parent company) - 10.3- 10.3 - 5.6- 5.6 ++ 45.6 %45.6 %
RECURRING OPERATING RECURRING OPERATING INCOMEINCOME ( (like-for-like)like-for-like)
65.565.5 81.781.7 ++ 24.7 %24.7 %
From recurring operating incomeFrom recurring operating income to operating result to operating result (reported)(reported)
(in € millions)(in € millions) YTDsept 05
YTDsept 06
ChangeChange
Recurring operating income Recurring operating income (reported)(reported)
65.565.5 80.080.0 + 22.1 %+ 22.1 %
Other operating income and expenseOther operating income and expense - 5.0- 5.0 - 2.5- 2.5
OPERATING RESULTOPERATING RESULT((reportedreported))
60.560.5 77.577.5 + 28.1 %+ 28.1 %
From operating result to net earningsFrom operating result to net earnings (reported)(reported)
(in € millions)(in € millions) YTDsept 05
YTDsept 06
Operating result Operating result (reported)(reported)
60.560.5 77.577.5
Interest expense and other financial Interest expense and other financial income (expense)income (expense)
- 13.3- 13.3 1.41.4
TaxesTaxes - 26.9- 26.9 - 29.1- 29.1
Equity in net earnings of affiliated Equity in net earnings of affiliated companiescompanies
0.20.2 1.01.0
Net earnings from discontinued operations, Net earnings from discontinued operations, and in process of disposaland in process of disposal
- 1.7- 1.7 450.7450.7
Minority interestsMinority interests -- - 9.8- 9.8
NET EARNINGS NET EARNINGS ((reportedreported))
18.818.8 491.7491.7
Cash and cash equivalents / (net debt) by companyCash and cash equivalents / (net debt) by company
(in € millions)(in € millions) 12/31/200512/31/2005 09/30/200609/30/2006
Fitch GroupFitch Group - 226- 226 - 273- 273
Parent companyParent company - 186- 186 + 413+ 413
Net cash position - FimalacNet cash position - Fimalac - 412- 412 + 140+ 140
Main cash flows of the parent companyMain cash flows of the parent companyfrom January 1 through September 30, 2006from January 1 through September 30, 2006
(in € millions)(in € millions)
Net debt as of 12/31/2005Net debt as of 12/31/2005 - 186- 186
Facom disposal (January 2006)Facom disposal (January 2006) + 344+ 344
Sale of 20 % of Fitch Group (April 2006)Sale of 20 % of Fitch Group (April 2006) + 493+ 493
BASA and options exerciseBASA and options exercise + 48+ 48
Fimalac shares buybackFimalac shares buyback - 265- 265
Dividends (received/payed), other flowsDividends (received/payed), other flows - 21- 21
NET CASH POSITION AS OF 09/30/2006NET CASH POSITION AS OF 09/30/2006 + 413+ 413
Evolution of the treasury stocks level Evolution of the treasury stocks level since January 1, 2006since January 1, 2006
Number of treasury stocksNumber of treasury stocks
POSITION AS OF 12/31/2005POSITION AS OF 12/31/2005 2 762 1312 762 131 7.3 %7.3 %
2006 Buybacks2006 Buybacks + 3 942 828+ 3 942 828 10.4 %10.4 %
17.7 %17.7 %
Service / BASA and optionsService / BASA and options
BASABASA - 1 576 805- 1 576 805 - 4.2 %- 4.2 %
OptionsOptions - 275 039- 275 039 - 0.7 %- 0.7 %
Cancellations (reductions in capital)Cancellations (reductions in capital)
03/15/200603/15/2006 - 400 000- 400 000 - 1.1 %- 1.1 %
05/30/200605/30/2006 - 1 700 000- 1 700 000 - 4.5 %- 4.5 %
09/19/200609/19/2006 - 1 480 000- 1 480 000 - 3.9 %- 3.9 %
- 14.4 %- 14.4 %
POSITION AS OF 09/30/ 2006POSITION AS OF 09/30/ 2006 1 273 1151 273 115 3.7 %3.7 %
(1)(1) % of capital as of 12/31/2005% of capital as of 12/31/2005(2)(2) % of capital as of 09/30/2006% of capital as of 09/30/2006
Reserved for options Reserved for options : 1.1 %: 1.1 %Reserved for BASA Reserved for BASA : 0.3 %: 0.3 %Free Free : 2.3 % : 2.3 %
(1)(1)
(1)(1)
(1)(1)
(1)(1)
(1)(1)
(1)(1)
(1)(1)
(2)(2)
Fimalac share performance vs. Fimalac share performance vs. CAC 40CAC 40 and and SBF 120SBF 120 December 1992 to December 1992 to November 15, 2006November 15, 2006
CAC 40CAC 40
301301
FIMALACFIMALAC
1 4351 435
SBF 120SBF 120
337337
100
300
500
700
900
1100
1300
1500
1700
Dec-92
Dec-92
Dec-93
Dec-93
Dec-94
Dec-94
Dec-95
Dec-95
Dec-96
Dec-96
Dec-97
Dec-97
Dec-98
Dec-98
Dec-99
Dec-99
Dec-00
Dec-00
Dec-01
Dec-01
Dec-02
Dec-02
Dec-03
Dec-03
Dec-04
Dec-04
Dec-05
Dec-05
Nov 15-06
Nov 15-06
Fimalac share performance vs. Fimalac share performance vs. CAC 40CAC 40 and and SBF 120SBF 120 January 2006 to November 15, 2006January 2006 to November 15, 2006
CAC 40CAC 40
116116
FIMALACFIMALAC
137137
SBF 120SBF 120
117117
100
105
110
115
120
125
130
135
140
145
150
Jan-
06
Jan-
06Fe
b-06
Feb-
06M
ar-0
6
Mar
-06
Apr-0
6
Apr-0
6M
ay-0
6
May
-06
June
-06
June
-06
July
-06
July
-06
Aug-0
6
Aug-0
6Se
pt-0
6
Sept
-06
Oct-06
Oct-06
NovNov 15
-06
15-0
6
"Total Shareholder Return" over 10 years "Total Shareholder Return" over 10 years SBF120 companiesSBF120 companies
Source JCF Group
RankingRanking TSR
Over 10 yearsOver 10 years AnnualizedAnnualized in %in % in % in %
1 Beneteau 3 738,8% 44,0%
2 Vallourec 2 836,9% 40,2%
3 Eiffage 2 167,6% 36,6%
4 Maurel Et Prom 2 077,3% 36,1%
5 Vinci 1 400,8% 31,1%
6 Unibail 1 101,2% 28,2%
7 CFF Recycling 1 035,6% 27,5%
8 Areva 999,5% 27,1%
9 Wendel Investissement 913,3% 26,1%
10 Klepierre 852,2% 25,3%
11 Bouygues 731,8% 23,6%
12 Societe Generale 704,7% 23,2%
13 Fimalac 663,6% 22,5%
14 Ciments Français 634,1% 22,1%
15 BNP Paribas 579,6% 21,1%
Ordinary dividend per share Ordinary dividend per share
0,48 0,52 0,55
0,74
0,900,95 0,95 0,95
1,05
1,251,40
2006200619961996 19971997 19981998 19991999 20002000 20012001 20022002 20032003 20042004 20052005
9 months9 months
19
HistoryHistory
Fitch Group structureFitch Group structure
Fitch Group Fitch Group Revenue GrowthRevenue Growth
In $ MilIn $ Mil
$24 $43
$156 $169
$222
$305
$356
$455
$511
$693
$483
$565
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 YTDSept 05
YTDSept 06
In $ Mil
Fitch Group Fitch Group Operating Income Growth (EBIT)Operating Income Growth (EBIT)
$5$10
$29 $32$37
$72
$83
$113 $110
$150
$96$106
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 YTDSept 05
YTDSept 06
Fitch Group Fitch Group Sales to Operating IncomeSales to Operating Income
in US$ millionsin US$ millions YTD YTD
Sept 05Sept 05
YTD YTD
Sept 06Sept 06
% Change% Change
RevenueRevenue 483.1483.1 565.0565.0 ++ 17.0%17.0%
Personnel costsPersonnel costs 254.2254.2 299.6299.6 ++ 17.9 %17.9 %
External expensesExternal expenses 83.783.7 107.4107.4 ++ 28.3 %28.3 %
Total chargesTotal charges 337.9337.9 407.0407.0 ++ 20.4 %20.4 %
EBITDAEBITDA 145.2145.2 158.0158.0 ++ 8.8 %8.8 %Profit sharing planProfit sharing plan 28.628.6 27.127.1 -- 5.2 %5.2 %DepreciationDepreciation 9.39.3 9.79.7 ++ 4.3 %4.3 %Intellectual propertyIntellectual property 11.611.6 15.415.4 ++ 32.8 %32.8 %
Operating IncomeOperating Income 95.795.7 105.8105.8 ++ 10.6 %10.6 %
Key Figures by CompanyKey Figures by Company
(in US$ millions)(in US$ millions)YTD YTD
Sept 05Sept 05YTD YTD
Sept 06Sept 06% Change% Change
Revenue Revenue FITCH GROUPFITCH GROUP 483.1483.1 565.0565.0 ++ 17.0 %17.0 %
FitchRatingsFitchRatings 418.6418.6 480.5480.5 ++ 14.8 %14.8 %
AlgorithmicsAlgorithmics 64.564.5 87.887.8 ++ 36.1 %36.1 %
Intercompany revenueIntercompany revenue -- - 3.3- 3.3
EBITDA FITCH GROUPEBITDA FITCH GROUP 145.2145.2 158.0158.0 ++ 8.8 %8.8 %
FitchRatingsFitchRatings 156.8156.8 173.4173.4 ++ 10.6 %10.6 %
AlgorithmicsAlgorithmics - 11.6- 11.6 - 15.4- 15.4
Operating Income Operating Income FITCH GROUPFITCH GROUP 95.795.7 105.8105.8 ++ 10.6 %10.6 %
FitchRatingsFitchRatings 121.9121.9 138.1138.1 ++ 13.3 %13.3 %
AlgorithmicsAlgorithmics - 26.2- 26.2 - 32.3- 32.3
26
Fitch RatingsFitch RatingsOverviewOverview
A leading global provider of credit ratings, opinions, A leading global provider of credit ratings, opinions, research and data for debt issued in domestic and research and data for debt issued in domestic and international markets. international markets.
Fitch Research Fitch Research A subscription based product that provides access to all of
Fitch Ratings’ global credit ratings and research.
Fitch TrainingFitch Training A service that provides credit risk training to capital
market participants
Fitch Ratings Fitch Ratings Revenue growthRevenue growth
(in (in millions of US$)millions of US$)
$305
$353
$448
$502
$594
$419
$481
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 YTD Sept 05 YTD Sept 06
Global Debt Issuance Global Debt Issuance ($ Volume)($ Volume)
Source: Thomson Financial Source: Thomson Financial
($US Billions)($US Billions)
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
2002 2003 2004 2005 YTD Sept 05 YTD Sept 06
Fitch Ratings Fitch Ratings Market Share Market Share
53%
89%
65%
51%
89%
66%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Structured Finance Financial Institutions Non-Financial Corporates
FY 2005 YTD Sept 06
53%
89%
65%
51%
89%
66%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Structured Finance Financial Institutions Non-Financial Corporates
FY 2005 YTD Sept 06
Fitch Market ShareFitch Market Share (By Dollar Volume)(By Dollar Volume)
Fitch Ratings Fitch Ratings Revenue by SegmentRevenue by Segment
(in (in US$ millions)US$ millions)
YTD YTD Sept 05Sept 05
YTD YTD Sept 06Sept 06
% Change % Change
Structured FinanceStructured Finance 224.7224.7 246.7246.7 + 9.8%+ 9.8%
Corporate FinanceCorporate Finance 147.2147.2 178.8178.8 + 21.5%+ 21.5%
Subscriptions /TrainingSubscriptions /Training 46.746.7 55.055.0 + 17.8%+ 17.8%
TOTAL FITCH RATINGSTOTAL FITCH RATINGS 418.6418.6 480.5480.5 + 14.8%+ 14.8%
Fitch Ratings Fitch Ratings Revenue by RegionRevenue by Region
(in (in US$ millions)US$ millions)
YTD YTD Sept 05Sept 05
YTD YTD Sept 06Sept 06
% Change % Change
North AmericaNorth America 248.5248.5 271.3271.3 + 9.2%+ 9.2%
Europe, Middle East & AfricaEurope, Middle East & Africa 139.6139.6 173.0173.0 + 23.9%+ 23.9%
Latin AmericaLatin America 17.517.5 20.020.0 + 14.3%+ 14.3%
Asia PacificAsia Pacific 13.013.0 16.216.2 + 24.6%+ 24.6%
TOTAL FITCH RATINGSTOTAL FITCH RATINGS 418.6418.6 480.5480.5 + 14.8%+ 14.8%
Fitch Ratings Fitch Ratings EBITDA and Operating Income EBITDA and Operating Income
(in (in US$ millions)US$ millions) YTD YTD Sept 05Sept 05
YTD YTD Sept 06Sept 06
% Change% Change
Revenue Revenue 418.6418.6 480.5480.5 + 14.8%+ 14.8%
EBITDA EBITDA 156.8156.8 173.4173.4 + 10.6%+ 10.6%
EBITDA MarginEBITDA Margin 37.5 %37.5 % 36.1 %36.1 %
Profit sharing planProfit sharing plan 28.428.4 27.227.2 - 4.2%- 4.2%Depreciation & AmortizationDepreciation & Amortization 6.56.5 8.18.1 + 24.6%+ 24.6%
Operating Income Operating Income 121.9121.9 138.1138.1 + 13.3%+ 13.3%
Operating Income MarginOperating Income Margin 29.1 %29.1 % 28.7 %28.7 %
2006 Accomplishments2006 Accomplishments
Structured FinanceStructured Finance
Enhanced analytical model for RMBS market.Enhanced analytical model for RMBS market.
Launched a new performance analytics product Launched a new performance analytics product SMARTView, for US CMBS, to provide timely monthly SMARTView, for US CMBS, to provide timely monthly surveillance for all rated deals.surveillance for all rated deals.
WonWon The International Securitisation Report’s, The International Securitisation Report’s, Best Best International Structured Finance Rating Agency of the International Structured Finance Rating Agency of the Year awardYear award. .
2006 Accomplishments2006 Accomplishments
Structured Finance (cont’d)Structured Finance (cont’d)
Credit Derivative InitiativeCredit Derivative Initiative Updated VECTOR model for the Structured Credit Market. Released a new Rating Analytics Platform for Credit
Derivatives (RAP CD) that provides mark to model pricing for synthetics CDOs.
Acquired Reoch Credit, Ltd, and its pricing model platform.
Launched Stability Scores, a service that provides transparency to compare and contrast tranches of transactions and their relative stability.
Created Commercial Real Estate CDO team.
2006 Accomplishments2006 Accomplishments
Corporate Finance Corporate Finance
Added 250 corporate, financial institution and insurance Added 250 corporate, financial institution and insurance mandate ratings during the first nine months of 2006.mandate ratings during the first nine months of 2006.
Roll-out of Recovery Ratings.Roll-out of Recovery Ratings.
Launched Prism, the first global stochastic Insurance Launched Prism, the first global stochastic Insurance Capital Model.Capital Model.
Financial Guaranty Capital Model in development.Financial Guaranty Capital Model in development.
Expansion into the leveraged loan market.Expansion into the leveraged loan market.
2006 Accomplishments2006 Accomplishments
Business DevelopmentBusiness Development
Continued institutionalization of Fitch into investment Continued institutionalization of Fitch into investment guidelines, risk management systems and trading guidelines, risk management systems and trading platforms.platforms. 80 of the top 100 U.S. investors 42 of the top 50 public pension fund investors 19 of the top 50 corporate pension fund investors
Growth in subscription research and data productsGrowth in subscription research and data products
Fitch Ratings Fitch Ratings Investment in Human CapitalInvestment in Human Capital
1,827
1,6171,447
1,350
0
300
600
900
1,200
1,500
1,800
2,100
12/31/02 12/31/03 12/31/04 12/31/05
1,827
1,6171,447
1,350
0
300
600
900
1,200
1,500
1,800
2,100
12/31/02 12/31/03 12/31/04 12/31/05
2,064
1,767
09/30/05 09/30/06
2,064
1,767
09/30/05 09/30/06
HeadcountHeadcount
2007 Initiatives 2007 Initiatives
Structured Finance InitiativesStructured Finance Initiatives
Derivative Fitch launch and continued focus on meeting demands of the credit derivatives market
Release and implementation of new models: ResiLogic, new US RMBS model New US CMBS model
Continued focus on EMEA expansion and emerging markets securitization growth
Participation in the global growth of Asset Backed Commercial Paper.
2007 Initiatives 2007 Initiatives (cont’d)(cont’d)
Corporate Finance Corporate Finance
Continued expansion into rapidly growing new markets Corporate loan ratings Emerging markets Covered bonds
Continued expansion in existing markets The high yield and loan markets
Introduction of new analytical tools and procedures including new quantitative models and analytics
Focused effort at servicing the burgeoning infrastructure financing market
Fitch RatingsFitch RatingsLaunch of Derivative FitchLaunch of Derivative Fitch
FitchGroup
Fitch RatingsFitch RatingsCredit Derivative Growth Outpacing Cash MarketCredit Derivative Growth Outpacing Cash Market
No
tion
al O
uts
tan
din
g
(US
D T
rillio
n)
Source: British Bankers Association, Bank for International Settlements, ISDA *as of 30 June 2006
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
Cash Bonds Credit Derivatives
$157
$249
$322
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
2004 2005 YTD Sept 06
$157
$249
$322
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
2004 2005 YTD Sept 06
Fitch Ratings Fitch Ratings Global CDO Market IssuanceGlobal CDO Market Issuance
(in (in millions of US$)millions of US$)
Source: The Bond Market AssociationSource: The Bond Market Association
Fitch RatingsFitch RatingsDerivative Fitch Today Derivative Fitch Today
Key FeaturesKey Features
Credit Ratings & SurveillanceCredit Ratings & Surveillance
Established & Leading Credit ModelsEstablished & Leading Credit Models
Leading Edge ResearchLeading Edge Research
Market Risk AnalyticsMarket Risk Analytics
Fitch RatingsFitch RatingsExpanding Tools and Methodologies Used to Analyze Expanding Tools and Methodologies Used to Analyze
Credit Stability and Market RiskCredit Stability and Market Risk
Mean default probability Recovery Analysis
Surveillance Market Implied Ratings
Scenario & Stress Analysis Default Risk Modeling
Pre-sale reports
Migration Analysis Mark to Model Pricing Correlation CDS Pricing Greek Sensitivity Analysis Stability Analysis Portfolio Evaluation
Traditional Ratings- Further granularity of credit risk
Derivative Ratings- Ratings and services that incorporate credit and market risk
Fitch Ratings Fitch Ratings GoalsGoals
Create and maintain reputation for highest quality Create and maintain reputation for highest quality ratings and research ratings and research
Maintain and grow market share across all key Maintain and grow market share across all key segments and regionssegments and regions
Enhance pricing flexibilityEnhance pricing flexibility
Continue consistent long-term investment planContinue consistent long-term investment plan
Fitch Ratings secular revenue growth: 10Fitch Ratings secular revenue growth: 10––12%12%
US: 8–10%
International: 15–20%
47
AlgorithmicsAlgorithmicsIntroductionIntroduction
Algorithmics is an internationally recognized leader in Algorithmics is an internationally recognized leader in
the development and delivery of enterprise solutions the development and delivery of enterprise solutions
for the measurement and reporting of risk, and for the measurement and reporting of risk, and
business applications that enable clients to make risk-business applications that enable clients to make risk-
aware business decisionsaware business decisions
AlgorithmicsAlgorithmicsRevenue by RegionRevenue by Region
(in (in millions of US$)millions of US$) YTD YTD Sept 05Sept 05
YTD YTD Sept 06Sept 06
% Change % Change
North AmericaNorth America 19.9 28.8 44.7%
Europe, Middle East & AfricaEurope, Middle East & Africa 37.037.0 46.4 25.4%
Latin AmericaLatin America 3.23.2 3.9 21.9%
Asia PacificAsia Pacific 4.44.4 8.7 97.7%
TOTAL ALGORITHMICSTOTAL ALGORITHMICS 64.564.5 87.8*87.8* 36.1%36.1%
* Includes inter-company revenue of $3.3 million* Includes inter-company revenue of $3.3 million
AlgorithmicsAlgorithmicsEBITDA and Operating Income EBITDA and Operating Income
(in (in millions of US$)millions of US$) YTD YTD Sept 05Sept 05
YTD YTD Sept 06Sept 06
% change% change
RevenueRevenue 64.564.5 87.8*87.8* + 36.1%+ 36.1%
EBITDAEBITDA - 11.6- 11.6 - 15.4- 15.4
Profit sharing planProfit sharing plan 0.20.2
- 0.1- 0.1
DepreciationDepreciation 2.82.8 2.52.5
Intellectual propertyIntellectual property 11.611.6 14.514.5
Recurring Operating Recurring Operating IncomeIncome
- 26.2- 26.2 - 32.3- 32.3
* Includes inter-company revenue of $3.3 million* Includes inter-company revenue of $3.3 million
AlgorithmicsAlgorithmicsHighlightsHighlights
330 software solution clients (30 new) 330 software solution clients (30 new)
120 data and content clients120 data and content clients
70 of the world’s top 100 banks 70 of the world’s top 100 banks 11
752 (87 new) professionals in 19 (+1) global offices752 (87 new) professionals in 19 (+1) global offices
Notes: 1 1 Top 100 banks according to “The Banker”
GrowthGrowth 53 new licenses 53 new licenses
26.7 % revenue growth vs. 2005 (comparable numbers)26.7 % revenue growth vs. 2005 (comparable numbers)
Investment in Human CapitalInvestment in Human Capital Grew expertise and capacity in services, advisory, sales Grew expertise and capacity in services, advisory, sales
and marketingand marketing
Recent Media and Analyst Recognition Recent Media and Analyst Recognition Risk Technology rankings: #1 in 6 categoriesRisk Technology rankings: #1 in 6 categories
Placed in Gartner’s Leaders Quadrant for Basel II for 2006Placed in Gartner’s Leaders Quadrant for Basel II for 2006
AlgorithmicsAlgorithmics2006 Achievements2006 Achievements
Credit and Capital SolutionsCredit and Capital Solutions 108 clients (80 in 2005)108 clients (80 in 2005)
Market Risk SolutionsMarket Risk Solutions 128 clients (100 in 2005)128 clients (100 in 2005)
Operational Risk SolutionsOperational Risk Solutions 89 clients (80 in 2005) 89 clients (80 in 2005)
Collateral Management SolutionsCollateral Management Solutions 68 clients (60 in 2005)68 clients (60 in 2005)
AlgorithmicsAlgorithmicsSolution Achievements Solution Achievements
AlgorithmicsAlgorithmicsRecognized LeadershipRecognized Leadership
Source: Celent, February 2006
““The broadest and deepest offering available for Basel II ...advanced features and The broadest and deepest offering available for Basel II ...advanced features and technology... an integrated approach to market, credit, and operational risk, but also technology... an integrated approach to market, credit, and operational risk, but also
delivers data and sophisticated analytics/models.“delivers data and sophisticated analytics/models.“
AlgorithmicsAlgorithmicsInvestment FocusInvestment Focus
Pursuing our Growth Strategy in 2007Pursuing our Growth Strategy in 2007
Expanding sales and services to support revenue growth Expanding sales and services to support revenue growth Establishing presence in new geographical marketsEstablishing presence in new geographical markets Investing in direct managed service solutions for asset Investing in direct managed service solutions for asset
managers and hedge fundsmanagers and hedge funds Developing broader risk solution for the insurance industryDeveloping broader risk solution for the insurance industry Continued focus on core solutions – completing product Continued focus on core solutions – completing product
development plans development plans
AlgorithmicsAlgorithmics2007 Outlook 2007 Outlook
Market DriversMarket Drivers
Adoption of ‘risk aware’ business applications in financial Adoption of ‘risk aware’ business applications in financial servicesservices
Increasingly complex financial markets and products which Increasingly complex financial markets and products which require more sophisticated toolsrequire more sophisticated tools
Regulation for banks (more countries adopting Basel II), asset Regulation for banks (more countries adopting Basel II), asset managers and insurance companies (e.g. Solvency II)managers and insurance companies (e.g. Solvency II)
Financial institutions’ increasing use of external vendors for risk Financial institutions’ increasing use of external vendors for risk solutionssolutions
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AppendixAppendix
Fitch RatingsFitch RatingsGlossary of TermsGlossary of Terms
Asset Backed Security (ABS)Asset Backed Security (ABS) - - A financial security backed by a loan, lease or receivables against assets other than real estate and mortgage-backed securities
Collateralized Debt Obligation (CDO) Collateralized Debt Obligation (CDO) - - An investment-grade security backed by a pool of bonds, loans and other assets. A CDO is unique in that it is comprised of different tranches, each with a different maturity and risk associated with it.
Collateralized Loan Obligation (CLO) Collateralized Loan Obligation (CLO) - - A CDO backed by a pool of loans. Financial institutions back this security with receivables from loans.
Commercial Mortgage Backed Security (CMBS)Commercial Mortgage Backed Security (CMBS) - - A type of mortgage-backed security that is secured by the loan on a commercial property. .
Residential Mortgage Backed Security (RMBS)Residential Mortgage Backed Security (RMBS) - - A type of security whose cash flows come from residential debt such as mortgages, home-equity loans and sub-prime mortgages
Fitch RatingsFitch RatingsGlossary of Terms (cont’d)Glossary of Terms (cont’d)
Fitch Prism Capital Model (Prism)Fitch Prism Capital Model (Prism) - a fully stochastic economic global capital model that will be used to apply ratings consistency from insurer to insurer.
Fitch RAP CD Fitch RAP CD - - Fitch’s Risk Analytics Platform for Credit Derivatives is a breakthrough global market-risk assessment service that helps investors understand how their CDO investments trade by tracing price movements back to the changes in the CDOs underlying portfolio from which they stem.
Fitch Recovery RatingsFitch Recovery Ratings –A sophisticated approach to measure the primary components of credit risk: default and loss given default Recovery Ratings - the prospects of recovery in the event of a default Issuer Default Ratings - The probability that an entity will default on its commitment.
Fitch Stability ScoresFitch Stability Scores - - CDOs are divided into tranches, each having a different maturity and risk associated with it and therefore each carrying its own rating. A stability score is an estimate of the probability of a rating remaining in the same category after the passage of one year, thus helping investors compare and contrast transactions that may have the same ratings but possess different characteristics.
Fitch VECTOR Default Model (VECTOR)Fitch VECTOR Default Model (VECTOR) - - Fitch Ratings’ main quantitative tool for evaluating default risk in credit portfolios backing CDOs. The main outputs of VECTOR are the rating default rate, rating loss rate and the rating recovery rate corresponding to each rating tier within a security.
