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San Francisco Bay Area Upland Habitat Goals Project by Stu Weiss and Ryan Branciforte

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funding provided by: California State Coastal Conservancy California Resources Agency Gordon and Betty Moore Foundation David and Lucile Packard Foundation California Coastal and Marine Initiative of the Resources Legacy Fund Foundation Richard and Rhoda Goldman Fund US Fish and Wildlife Service Coastal Program at San Francisco Bay US Fish and Wildlife Service Landscape Conservation Cooperative Technical assistance provided by: National Park Service Rivers, Trails and Conservation Assistance Program A Project of the Bay Area Open Space Council
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Upland Goals

Project

funding provided by: California State Coastal Conservancy

California Resources Agency Gordon and Betty Moore Foundation David and Lucile Packard Foundation

California Coastal and Marine Initiative of the Resources Legacy Fund Foundation Richard and Rhoda Goldman Fund

US Fish and Wildlife Service Coastal Program at San Francisco Bay US Fish and Wildlife Service Landscape Conservation Cooperative

Technical assistance provided by: National Park Service Rivers, Trails and

Conservation Assistance Program

A Project of the Bay Area Open Space Council

Upland Goals

Project

•  Upland Habitat Goals - Status

•  Conservation Lands – Definitions

•  Upland Goals Methodology Review

•  Upland Goals and Climate Change

•  UG Explorer – Online Decision Support

•  Downscaled Isoclimate Data

•  Climate Gap Analysis – Protected, CLN, Converted, Gaps

•  Next Steps

•  Questions/Discussion

Upland Goals

Project

Acreage Statistics:

California = 101.4 Million Acres

SF Bay Area = 4.5 Million Acres

_________________________

LANDSCAPE

Protected = ~ 1.15 Million Acres!

Urban = ~ 800,000 Acres

Not Protected = 2.5 Million Acres

Upland Goals

Project

  Regional Biodiversity Conservation Plan

  How many acres of what types of habitats and in what configuration to preserve biodiversity in 9-county Bay Area?

  Identify a NETWORK of conservation lands.

Upland Goals

Project

Conservation Lands: areas that support native biodiversity that are or will be protected from conversion by a variety of means including fee title, conservation easements, landowner cooperative agreement or other voluntary programs, land use policies and ordinances.

Conservation Lands Network: the configuration of conservation lands in a geographic area that provide for viable conservation of biodiversity through representation, connectivity, and stewardship.

Upland Goals

Project

  Report with maps

  Framework to allow incorporation of new data and update goals

  Access to methods and tools for finer-scale planning

  GIS Database - Available online now!

  UG Explorer – Interactive Online Decision Support Tool interactive tool – Live!

www.uplandhabitatgoals.org

Upland Goals

Project

  Purpose: represent the diversity of vegetation cover

  60 cover types, 51 natural/semi-natural

  30 m grid

  Compromise between high resolution classification and even coverage across Bay Area

  Expert opinion from Vegetation Focus Team

  Update – FMMP Ag and Urban

Upland Goals

Project

  29 Landscape Units (4 Urban Areas)

  Based on physiographic features – valleys and mountains

  Capture diversity and biogeography of vegetation across study area

  Provide a means to break down recommendations into geographically coherent units.

Upland Goals

Project

500+ Vegetation Types in 29 Landscape Units

Conservation Targets

Blue Oak Woodland

Upland Goals

Project

Blue Oak Woodland

Doug Fir Forest

Upland Goals

Project

Rarity Ranking exercise with Vegetation Focus Team

•  Rank 1 – Globally Rare, Locally “Highly” Significant •  Rank 2 – Locally Rare (<5% of LU) •  Rank 3 – Common or “matrix” (>5% of LU) •  Rank 4 – Urban, Intensive Ag, Non-native (golf courses, etc.)

Conservation goals

•  Rank 1=90% of remaining vegetation type •  Rank 2=75% •  Rank 3=50%

500+ Conservation Targets

•  Rank 1, 2 & 3 vegetation types in all Landscape Units

Upland Goals

Project

Conservation Targets Vegetation Types x Landscape Units

Protection Goals – Rank 1,2,3 (90%,75%,50%)

Upland Goals

Project

  Closer Look at Sonoma Area.

  Here are our mapped ranks 1-3

  We want 90% of Rank 1, 75% of Rank 2, and 50% of Rank 3

How to choose best configuration??

Upland Goals

Project

Site Selection Model that meets set goals - MARXAN

Achieves an efficient Conservation Lands Network based on inputs:

1. Conservation Targets – Vegetation and Fine Filter 2. Conservation Goals – Rank 1,2,3 (90%,75%,50%) 3. Suitability of Landscape for Conservation –

fragmentation 4. Existing Protected Areas 5. Planning Units – 100 Hectare Hexagons ~250 acres

Starting Point for discussion

Upland Goals

Project

  Near Final CLN

  Some post Marxan Adujstmens – Local Connectivity

Upland Goals

Project

Areas ESSENTIAL to Conservation Goals (darkest blue). Planning units in this category were selected 16 or more times during 20 Marxan runs. The lands in this category were selected because they support high value conservation targets and/or are adjacent to existing protected lands. Conservation of these areas should be pursued since they serve vital functions in any potential network configuration and conservation goals will be difficult to meet without them.

Areas IMPORTANT to Conservation Goals (medium blue). Planning units in this category were selected between 11 and 15 times during 20 Marxan runs. Conservation opportunities in these areas should also be pursued as they represent habitats in areas of high conservation suitability and are generally adjacent to Areas Essential to Conservation Goals and protected lands.

Upland Goals

Project

•  Upland Habitat Goals - Status

•  Conservation Lands – Definitions

•  Upland Goals Methodology Review

•  Upland Goals and Climate Change

•  UG Explorer – Online Decision Support

•  Downscaled Isoclimate Data

•  Climate Gap Analysis – Protected, CLN, Converted, Gaps

•  Next Steps

•  Questions/Discussion

Upland Goals

Project

  Coarse Filter builds in a buffer against climate change - setting high goals for each rarity ranked vegetation type in each landscape unit

  Captures a broad range of mesoclimatic gradients that contributes to species richness

  Linkages between large protected areas will provide room to move as temps change

  Gap analysis of climate coverage

January Minimum Temp

July Max Temp

Annual Precipitation

Upland Goals

Project

Evaluate the spatial range of any climate variable within any landscape unit

Upland Goals

Project

 Not just GIS datasets

 Preassembled project

 Data organized into groups

 Preset symbology

 Cartographic set up

 Clean attributes

 Associated Handbook

 Metadata coming soon

Incredible Resource for Bay Area Land Conservation Managers, Researchers and Planners.

GIS Database – Available Now!! www.uplandhabitatgoals.org/

Upland Goals

Project

Bay Area Protected Areas Database – BPAD http://www.openspacecouncil.org/

CAlands.org

Upland Goals

Project

Vegetation

Protected Lands

Suitability

Rarity

UG Biodiversity – Conservation Lands Network

Upland Goals

Project

•  Access regardless of GIS skill level

•  Includes key datasets that determine configuration of Conservation Lands Network

•  Turn on/off key datasets

•  Navigate around study area

•  Interactive – custom area, get a quick report

•  Detailed Biodiversity Portfolio Report

•  Climate Portfolio Report?

•  Quick refresh - responsive

•  Most Important – Keep it SIMPLE!

Beta Launch last week, check it out:

http://uplandhabitatgoals.org/explorer/

Upland Goals

Project

Upland Goals

Project

Upland Goals

Project

Upland Goals

Project

Upland Goals

Project

Upland Goals

Project

Upland Goals

Project

Upland Goals

Project

Upland Goals

Project

Upland Goals

Project

•  Upland Habitat Goals - Status

•  Conservation Lands – Definitions

•  Upland Goals Methodology Review

•  Upland Goals and Climate Change

•  UG Explorer – Online Decision Support

•  Downscaled Isoclimate Data

•  Climate Gap Analysis – Protected, CLN, Converted, Gaps

•  Next Steps

•  Questions/Discussion

Upland Goals

Project

• Isoclimates: similar climates

• Three most important climatic factors • Climatic Water Deficit • Tmin(DJF), • Tmax JJA

• 4 classes in each factor • 64 possible isoclimates • 50 present

Upland Goals

Project

Climatic Water Deficit: Annual evaporative

demand that exceeds available water

Upland Goals

Project

• CWD • 0-650 mm 1 • 650-800 mm 2 • 800-950 mm 3 • 950+ mm 4

Upland Goals

Project

• Tmin DJF • <4° C 1 • 4-5° C 2 • 5-6° C 3 • >6° C 4

Upland Goals

Project

• Tmax JJA • <22° C 1 • 22-26° C 2 • 26-30° C 3 • >30° C 4

Upland Goals

Project

• Isoclimates: coding

• Climatic Water Deficit 100-400 • Tmin(DJF) 10-40 • Tmax JJA 1-4 • 111 = Wet, Cold, Cool • 444 = Arid, Balmy, Hot • 423 = Arid, Cool, Warm • 332 = Dry, Warm, Moderate • 223 = Moist, Cool, Warm

Upland Goals

Project

Upland Goals

Project

Upland Goals

Project

Upland Goals

Project

Upland Goals

Project

Upland Goals

Project

Upland Goals

Project

8-10°C inversion measured with Thermochrons

Extrapolate across the landscape using topography

Lay underneath PRISM

“Reality” at scale of population processes (10-30 m)

Take Home Message -Local resiliency is quite high once spatial variability factored

Evaluate variability within park parcel, any polygon, at scale at which populations are working (10-30m)

Upland Goals

Project

Continue to refine downscaled data

Develop Climate Portfolio Report – details, what to report?

Current and Future isoclimate data (cwd, tmin, tmax)

Predicted Vegetation – What will be here in 50,100 years

Measure of Topographic Diversity

Measures of Climate Change Resiliency

Gap Analysis Results – Current and Future

Data in report should align with Coastal Conservancy and other agency criteria for funding.

Upland Goals

Project

Nancy Schaefer, Project Manager Bay Area Open Space Council Consultant

Melanie Denninger, Project Leader Coastal Conservancy

Stuart Weiss, PhD, Science Advisor Bay Area Open Space Council Consultant

Ryan Branciforte, Director of Conservation Planning Bay Area Open Space Council

Lech Naumovich, CNPS

Photos: Thanks to Jereme Monteau, Stu Weiss and Lech Naumovich

Thanks again to the Gordon and Betty Moore Foundation!

Upland Goals

Project

GIS Database – Available Now!! www.uplandhabitatgoals.org

Contact Info:

Nancy Schaefer, Project Manager - Bay Area Open Space Council Consultant [email protected]

Ryan Branciforte, Director of Conservation Planning - Bay Area Open Space Council [email protected]

Upland Goals

Project

Upland Goals

Project

Upland Goals

Project

Primary Vegetation Enhancements:

Serpentine Geology Overlay

Annual Grassland type over 1 million acres!

Climatic Grassland Stratification – July Max Temp – cool, moderate, warm and hot

PRISM – OSU, 800m grid

Upland Goals

Project

  Current Status –

  Coarse Filter Analysis complete

  All Focus teams have met

  Data from Focus Teams finalized, Marxan Re-run

  Slow down due to funding issues.

  Consider the Upland Goals Project as a source of data, collaboration and integration of your research to applied conservation planning.

  Planning to build an online interactive tool to assess biodiversity values of particular areas. Add climate change scenarios down the road?

  Looking forward to connecting with you all on additional research.

Upland Goals

Project

  San Francisco Bay Region

  What is Upland Habitat Goals?

  Why a Regional Plan?

  Methodology

  Access to Datasets/GIS

  Climate Change

Upland Goals

Project

Successful implementation of the Baylands Ecosystem Goals completed in 1999

Development pressure threatening biodiversity

Bay Area needs a science-based vision that recommends protection & management strategies to preserve biodiversity

Lech Naumovich, CNPS

400,000 acres in next 30 years!!

Upland Goals

Project

  9 Counties, 101 cities, >7 million people and growing.

  Biodiversity Hotspot

•  1 of 6 Most Important Biodiversity HotSpot in U.S. – Center for Biological Diversity

•  Rare and Endangered Species (90 listed in Endangered Species Act)

•  Mediterranean Climate – found in only 2% of the world yet account for 20% of world’s biodiversity

Upland Goals

Project

  Introduction

  San Francisco Bay Region

  What is Upland Habitat Goals?

  Why a Regional Plan?

  Methodology

  Access to Datasets/GIS

  Applying the Goals

Upland Goals

Project

Steering Committee Establishes guiding principles

Drafts target species selection criteria Develops methodology for setting habitat goals

Establishes 5 Focus Teams to set goals for species group

Vegetation Birds Amphibians, Reptiles &

Invertebrates Riparian/Fish Mammals

Final Report with habitat recommendations, management practices, implementation

strategies, evaluation criteria

Peer Review

Peer Review

Upland Goals

Project

Steering Committee Establishes guiding principles

Drafts target species selection criteria Develops methodology for setting habitat goals

Establishes 5 Focus Teams to set goals for species group

Vegetation Birds Amphibians, Reptiles &

Invertebrates Riparian/Fish Mammals

Final Report with habitat recommendations, management practices, implementation

strategies, evaluation criteria

Peer Review

Peer Review

Coarse Filter Fine Filter

Upland Goals

Project

Primary Vegetation Enhancements:

Serpentine Geology Overlay

Annual Grassland type over 1 million acres!

Climatic Grassland Stratification – July Max Temp – cool, medium, warm and hot

PRISM – OSU, 800m grid

Upland Goals

Project

  Purpose: represent the diversity of vegetation cover

  60 cover types, 51 natural/semi-natural

  30 m grid

  Compromise between high resolution classification and even coverage across Bay Area

  Expert opinion from Vegetation Focus Team

  Update – FMMP Ag and Urban

Upland Goals

Project

  29 Landscape Units (4 Urban Areas)

  Based on physiographic features – valleys and mountains

  Capture diversity and biogeography of vegetation across study area

  Provide a means to break down recommendations into geographically coherent units.

Upland Goals

Project

500+ Vegetation Types in 29 Landscape Units

Conservation Targets

Blue Oak Woodland

Upland Goals

Project

Rarity Ranking exercise with Vegetation Focus Team

•  Rank 1 – Globally Rare, Locally “Highly” Significant •  Rank 2 – Locally Rare (<5% of LU) •  Rank 3 – Common or “matrix” (>5% of LU) •  Rank 4 – Urban, Intensive Ag, Non-native (golf courses, etc.)

Conservation goals

•  Rank 1=90% of remaining vegetation type •  Rank 2=75% •  Rank 3=50%

500+ Conservation Targets

•  Rank 1, 2 & 3 vegetation types in all Landscape Units

Upland Goals

Project

Conservation Targets Vegetation Types x Landscape Units

Protection Goals – Rank 1,2,3 (90%,75%,50%)

Upland Goals

Project

  Closer Look at Sonoma Area.

  Here are our mapped ranks 1-3

  We want 90% of Rank 1, 75% of Rank 2, and 50% of Rank 3

How to choose best configuration??

Upland Goals

Project

Site Selection Model that meets set goals - MARXAN

Achieves an efficient Conservation Lands Network based on inputs:

1. Conservation Targets – Vegetation and Fine Filter 2. Conservation Goals – Rank 1,2,3 (90%,75%,50%) 3. Suitability of Landscape for Conservation –

fragmentation 4. Existing Protected Areas 5. Planning Units – 100 Hectare Hexagons ~250 acres

Starting Point for discussion

Upland Goals

Project

Steering Committee Establishes guiding principles

Drafts target species selection criteria Develops methodology for setting habitat goals

Establishes 5 Focus Teams to set goals for species group

Vegetation Birds Amphibians, Reptiles &

Invertebrates Riparian/Fish Mammals

Final Report with habitat recommendations, management practices, implementation

strategies, evaluation criteria

Peer Review

Peer Review

Coarse Filter Fine Filter

Upland Goals

Project

Enhance the Coarse Filter (Vegetation Communities) with Fine Filter Targets:

  Additional Plant Targets – Old Growth Redwoods, T&E Species in CNDDB

  Mammals – American Badger, Porcupine, T&E Species in CNDDB

  Birds – Spotted Owl, Breeding Bird Areas, CNDDB

  Fish and Riparian Areas – Steelhead and Coho

  Amphibian/Reptiles/Invertebrates – Western Pond Turtle

  Other – Vernal Pools

Upland Goals

Project

  Old Growth Redwood areas missing in biodiversity recommendations in Sonoma and San Mateo counties.

Before After

Upland Goals

Project

  Draft Results of Coarse Filter Analysis (some fine filter targets)

  Further adjust to incorporate fine filter targets

  Connectivity Analysis

  Future Climate Scenarios?

Upland Goals

Project


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