SaraSelect
Invested with conviction in Swiss quality
Conference call: update on developments
Zug, 24 March 2020
Agenda
© VV Vermögensverwaltung AG
Unique Approach
Investment Philosophy
Focus Small Caps
Investment Process
Our Value Added
Outlook / Conclusion
VV Vermögensverwaltung AG
223.03.2020
Unique ApproachSelection is the key to success
© VV Vermögensverwaltung AG 3
We invest with conviction in Swiss quality
▪ Invested in global market leaders, in high quality Swiss small and mid caps
▪ We favour entrepreneurial lead approaches to management lead ones
▪ Distinct stock picking – we have learned to say NO
▪ Preference for B2B against B2C
▪ Vast experience – fund exists since 1996
▪ Amongst the leaders in our industry – assets of CHF ~600 mn
23.03.2020
Introduction
Attractive PerformanceNet performance of about 9% p.a. since inception
Source: VV AG, Bloomberg / 20.03.2020
Period 31.01.1996 – 20.03.2020
© VV Vermögensverwaltung AG 423.03.2020
Introduction
0
100
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500
600
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800
900
1'000
1'100
1'200
1'300
1'400
1'500
1'600
1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
1110.7
Attractive SegmentSwiss World Champions as global leaders in their niches
© VV Vermögensverwaltung AG 5
Sika: Building Envelope Solutions for all
type of Buildings140 million dollar deal
Tesla signs 3-year-contract with Bossard!fff
Nespresso renews contract with Dätwyler
Introduction
Belimo technology in the world’s
highest building
23.03.2020
Ideal formula…
This will automatically lead to better products, high market shares and pricing power
© VV Vermögensverwaltung AG 623.03.2020
Prerequisite for success
Introduction
Success = ƒ(entrepreneurs, passion, culture, focus, time, courage, innovation, responsible
anchor shareholder, not too many short-term oriented financial shareholders)
Competitive forcesHigh market shares as a prerequisite for and result of success
The understanding of competitive forces within an industry allows better decisions
Source: VV AG, VAT, Michael Porter’s “five forces” / 03.03.2020
© VV Vermögensverwaltung AG 7
High correlation of marketshare development and reported margins
23.03.2020
Introduction
MegaTrends
Communication
Environ-ment &Energy
Aging & Lifestyle
Security &Regulation
Urbani-zation
Mobility
Tomorrow’s winners…
Speaking of mega trends there’s no way around involving Swiss companies
© VV Vermögensverwaltung AG 823.03.2020
Attractive Prospects
Introduction
Being invested over the cyclesSuccessful market timing is very difficult
Performance is done in very short periods, missing them leads to much lower results
Source: VV AG, Bloomberg / 30.06.2019
© VV Vermögensverwaltung AG 9
Investment Philosophy
23.03.2020
9.6%
5.2%
2.2%
-2.7%-4.0%
-2.0%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
average performance without best 30 days without best 59 days = 1% without best 117 days = 2%
Average yearly return SPISMC Indexfrom 31 January 1996 to 30 June 2019
Being invested over the cyclesVolatility as a sub-optimal risk measure
With 7 years investment horizon no loss is incurred
Source: VV AG, Bloomberg / 31.12.2019
© VV Vermögensverwaltung AG 10
Investment Philosophy
23.03.2020
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
160%
180%
200%
SaraSelect rolling 7 year performance
SaraSelect yearly average performance 10.11%
-60%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
SaraSelect rolling 12 month performance
SaraSelect yearly average performance 10.11%
We define quality as follows:
… invested in Quality IWe have high quality requirements
In many cases, small caps meet these requirements particularly well
© VV Vermögensverwaltung AG 11
Sound Management Trustworthy and entrepreneurial spirit
Attractive Business Model Leading products in several lucrative business markets
Free Cash Flows High level of internal financing
Strong Balance SheetHigh equity ratio, moderate debt level, assets of good
quality
Investment Philosophy
23.03.2020
We try to avoid the following sectors:
In our search of quality we on purpose avoid certain areas
… invested in Quality II
© VV Vermögensverwaltung AG 12
BanksLack of visibility and predictability of income streams,
principle-agent problem, regulatory risks
Insurance CompaniesUnattractive business model, large and risky bond
portfolios especially in times of low interest rates
UtilitiesPolitical and regulatory risks, questionable expansion
abroad, high level of dependency on energy trading
Real EstateUsually represents a separate asset class, which we do
not duplicate
Erratic business model, lack ability of internal financingVenture
(Bio- & Hitech)
Investment Philosophy
23.03.2020
… thanks to innovation leadershipGlobal Innovation Index: Once again, Switzerland is at the top
State-of-the-art infrastructure, outstanding education and an attractive business environment ensure a high level of competitiveness.
Source: VV AG, www.globalinnovationindex.org 2019
© VV Vermögensverwaltung AG 13
Reasons for Switzerland’s
high innovative capacity:
• Sizeable industrial sector
• Over 320’000 small and
medium enterprises
(>99% of all companies)
create innovation
pressure
• Innovation stimulated by
tax reliefs
• State-of-the-art
educational system
Investment Philosophy
23.03.2020
Outperforming Segment in SwitzerlandBy far the best performance in the long run
In the long run, small caps outperform large caps by over 3% yearly and mid caps by over 1%.
Source: VV AG, Bloomberg / 29.02.2020
© VV Vermögensverwaltung AG 14
Period 01.02.1996 – 29.02.2020
Focus Small Caps
23.03.2020
0
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31.01.1996 29.01.1999 31.01.2002 31.01.2005 31.01.2008 31.01.2011 31.01.2014 31.01.2017 31.01.2020
Small Cap Index Mid Cap Index SMI Total Return
(Perf. 10.39% p.a.)
(Vol. 9.03% p.a.) (Vol. 12.03% p.a.)
(Perf. 9.05% p.a.) (Perf. 7.27% p.a.)
(Vol. 9.71% p.a.)
PositionSmall -
Mid
SaraSelect
(Weighting)
Index
(Weighting)
Performance
YTD
ALSO Holding AG M 8.88% 0.34% -19.58%
Bachem Holding AG S 7.98% 0.30% 8.91%
Sika AG L 7.57% 0.00% -20.84%
Belimo Holding AG M 7.17% 1.16% -19.89%
LEM Holding SA M 6.19% 0.29% -31.18%
Daetwyler Holding AG M 5.24% 0.47% -13.82%
Bell Food Group AG S 4.97% 0.18% -13.17%
Logitech International SA M 4.95% 2.60% -6.59%
Interroll Holding AG M 4.44% 0.43% -30.48%
Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Spru M 4.13% 3.01% -3.53%
Bossard Holding AG M 3.94% 0.27% -42.90%
Bobst Group SA M 3.18% 0.13% -27.99%
CPH Chemie & Papier Holding AG S 3.16% 0.07% -24.24%
Gurit Holding AG S 3.07% 0.18% -31.46%
Huber + Suhner AG M 2.91% 0.39% -34.64%
Total Top 15 77.78% 9.84%
Stable Core PortfolioOur largest positions are all leaders in innovation
Source: VV AG, Bloomberg / 20.03.2020
Small Caps are particularly innovative and are therefore prominent holdings in our portfolio
© VV Vermögensverwaltung AG 15
▪ The larger our positions,
the higher the degree of
our long-term conviction.
▪ We must not invest more
than 10% of our fund
assets in a single
company. Furthermore,
the fund is not allowed to
hold more than 10% of the
voting rights of a company.
23.03.2020
Focus Small Caps
Segment allocation
Distinct Portfolio Profile
Relative sector weights SaraSelect vs Benchmark
Focus on smaller companies and industrials
Rather small companies with a strong industrial footprint offer solutions for megatrendsleading to structural growth from which they benefit.
Source: VV AG, Bloomberg / 20.03.2020
© VV Vermögensverwaltung AG 1623.03.2020
Our Value Added
33.9%
62.1%
30.3%
63.9%
89.1%
10.9%0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
SMIM Mid Caps Small Caps
SaraSelect P CHF SPI Small & Mid Cap Index
25.5%
8.8%
-1.7%
-5.1%
2.7%
-2.0%
-27.1%
-0.4%
-0.8%
-30% -15% 0% 15% 30%
Industrials
Technology
Consumer Goods
Health Care
Basic Materials
Consumer Services
Financials
Telecommunication
Utilities
25.7
15.0
3.9 2.6
22.9
16.2
5.1
2.40
5
10
15
20
25
30
P/E 2020 EV/EBITDA2020
Price/Bookvalue
Dividend yield(%)
SaraSelect P CHF SPI Small & Mid Cap Index
Balance sheet quality
Robust and attractive valued Companies
Valuations
Well-equipped for challenging economic environment
35% discount for twice as solid balance sheets
Source: VV AG, Bloomberg / 20.03.2020
© VV Vermögensverwaltung AG 1723.03.2020
Our Value Added
53%
25%
44%46%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Equity in % of assets Intangible assets in % of equity
SaraSelect Small & Mid Cap Index
Attractive Business Model IIIInterroll: Impressive revenue development in constant currencies
The real value added is becoming visible in constant currencies, this explain nicely the actual valuation
and market perception.
Source: VV AG, Interroll 2019
© VV Vermögensverwaltung AG 1823.03.2020
Our Value Added
0
200
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Revenues in mn CHF Revenues at constant FX Market cap in mn CHF (rhs)
10-year local FX sales CAGR 11%
Attractive Yield in the Long-termNet performance of almost 9% per annum since inception
Quelle: VV AG, Bloomberg / 20.03.2020
© VV Vermögensverwaltung AG 1923.03.2020
Our Value Added
-60%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
SaraSelect P CHF SPI Small & Mid Cap Index
0
200
400
600
800
1'000
1'200
1'400
1'600
1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
SaraSelect P CHF (NAV Div.adj.)
YTD 1M 1 yr 3 yr 5 yr 10 yr since inception
Fund -23.47% -14.81% -13.19% -2.56 % p.a. 7.84 % p.a. 8.3 % p.a. 8.8 % p.a.
Index -25.37% -18.62% -14.38% -1.41 % p.a. 3.71 % p.a. 6.75 % p.a. 8.35 % p.a.
Segment performanceSmall Caps short-term neglected
Smaller companies are more innovative, the RISK-OFF mode will fade away again
Quelle: VV AG, Bloomberg / 29 February 2020
© VV Vermögensverwaltung AG 2023.03.2020
Our Value Added
Some short-term exagerationsMid-term buying opportunities
Temporarily some hefty corrections
Source: Bloomberg / VV AG / 20.03.2020
© VV Vermögensverwaltung AG 2123.03.2020
Our Value Added
Relative performance contributionsLEM, Bossard and Also as temporary disappointments
Short-term disappointments lead to profit taking – RISK-OFF
Quelle: VV AG, Bloomberg / 20 March 2020
© VV Vermögensverwaltung AG 2223.03.2020
Our Value Added
SaraSelect CHF: -6.03 (net return)
SPI Small & Mid Cap Index: -8.08%
TOP
Rel. Weight
SaraSelect vs. BM Abs. Performance Rel. Contribution FLOP
Rel. Weight
SaraSelect vs. BM Abs. Performance Rel. Contribution
JULIUS BAER GROUP LTD -3.62% -16.75% 0.61% ORELL FUESSLI HOLDING AG-REG 1.47% -12.28% -0.18%
ALSO HOLDING AG-REG 8.58% 5.46% 0.43% LOGITECH INTERNATIONAL-REG 1.36% -14.51% -0.20%
TEMENOS AG - REG -3.53% -11.96% 0.42% BOSSARD HOLDING AG-REG A 4.13% -6.07% -0.25%
SCHINDLER HOLDING-PART CERT -2.89% -13.99% 0.41% BOBST GROUP SA-REG 3.02% -9.35% -0.28%
BALOISE HOLDING AG - REG -2.78% -11.13% 0.31% HUBER + SUHNER AG-REG 2.89% -10.69% -0.31%
ADECCO GROUP AG-REG -3.17% -9.38% 0.30% BACHEM HOLDING AG-REG B 6.42% -4.63% -0.31%
KUEHNE + NAGEL INTL AG-REG -2.97% -9.90% 0.29% INTERROLL HOLDING AG-REG 4.01% -8.70% -0.34%
CHOCOLADEFABRIKEN LINDT-REG -3.33% -6.90% 0.23% BELIMO HOLDING AG-REG 5.55% -6.80% -0.38%
SONOVA HOLDING AG-REG -4.58% -4.96% 0.23% DAETWYLER HOLDING AG-BR 4.00% -11.61% -0.47%
SCHINDLER HOLDING AG-REG -1.53% -13.67% 0.21% LEM HOLDING SA-REG 6.55% -13.97% -0.95%
SaraSelect CHF: -23.24% (net return)
SPI Small & Mid Cap Index: -25.37%
TOP
Rel. Weight
SaraSelect vs. BM
Abs. Performance
YTD 2020
Rel. Contribution
YTD 2020 FLOP
Rel. Weight
SaraSelect vs. BM
Abs. Performance
YTD 2020
Rel. Contribution
YTD 2020
JULIUS BAER GROUP LTD -3.54% -43.44% +1.61% BOBST GROUP SA-REG +3.03% -27.99% -0.83%
STRAUMANN HOLDING AG-REG -3.70% -37.92% +1.49% PHOENIX MECANO AG-BR +2.83% -29.78% -0.87%
ADECCO GROUP AG-REG -3.15% -43.20% +1.44% HUBER + SUHNER AG-REG +2.88% -34.64% -1.03%
SONOVA HOLDING AG-REG -4.41% -27.99% +1.32% BELIMO HOLDING AG-REG +5.49% -19.89% -1.04%
TEMENOS AG - REG -3.43% -32.64% +1.14% GURIT HOLDING AG-BR +3.32% -31.46% -1.10%
BALOISE HOLDING AG - REG -2.74% -35.66% +1.01% INTERROLL HOLDING AG-REG +4.08% -30.48% -1.26%
HELVETIA HOLDING AG-REG -1.53% -47.08% +0.78% SIKA AG-REG +7.48% +0.00% -1.58%
DUFRY AG-REG -0.89% -71.90% +0.75% ALSO HOLDING AG-REG +8.57% -19.58% -1.73%
KUEHNE + NAGEL INTL AG-REG -3.07% -22.06% +0.65% BOSSARD HOLDING AG-REG A +4.25% -42.90% -2.03%
SWISS PRIME SITE-REG -3.16% -16.44% +0.58% LEM HOLDING SA-REG +6.64% -31.18% -2.15%
Period: February
YTD
Relative performanceCatching up again
© VV Vermögensverwaltung AG 2323.03.2020
Our Value Added
Quelle: VV AG, Bloomberg / 20 March 2020
-15.0%
-10.0%
-5.0%
0.0%
5.0%
Jan Feb Mär Apr Mai Jun Jul Aug Sep Okt Nov Dez
Relative ytd-Performance 2019
-10.0%
-5.0%
0.0%
5.0%
3.1.20 10.1.20 17.1.20 24.1.20 31.1.20 7.2.20 14.2.20 21.2.20 28.2.20 6.3.20 13.3.20 20.3.20
Relative ytd-Performance 2020
Feb 20 Jan 20 Dec 19 Nov 19 Oct 19 Sep 19 Aug 19 Jul 19 Jun 19 May 19 Apr 19 Mar 19 Feb 19
Global 47.1 52.7 52.0 51.6 51.0 51.4 51.7 52.5 51.9 51.6 52.7 53.7 53.3
Switzerland 51.9 57.3 51.3 52.6 54.5 55.8 54.9 48.9 53.7 56.1 61.8 54.4 55.7
Euro zone 52.6 52.5 52.8 51.9 52.2 51.6 53.5 53.2 53.6 52.9 52.8 53.3 52.8
Germany 52.5 54.2 52.9 51.7 51.6 51.4 54.8 54.5 55.8 55.4 55.7 55.4 55.3
France 52.5 51.0 52.4 52.2 52.9 51.1 53.4 52.6 52.9 51.5 50.5 49.1 50.2
Italy 52.1 51.4 51.1 50.4 52.2 51.4 50.6 51.7 50.5 50.0 50.4 53.1 50.4
UK 53.2 53.9 50.0 49.3 50.0 49.5 50.6 51.4 50.2 51.0 50.4 48.9 51.3
USA 49.4 53.4 52.8 51.6 50.6 50.9 50.7 53.0 51.5 50.9 53.0 55.3 56.0
Japan 46.8 51.0 49.4 50.3 49.7 52.8 53.3 51.8 51.9 51.7 51.8 52.0 52.3
China 26.5 51.8 52.5 53.5 51.1 51.3 52.1 51.6 52.0 52.7 54.5 54.4 51.1
Leading Indicator as a Compass in the DarkSome temporary disappointment from the servicing side ahead…see China
Source: VV AG, Bloomberg / 02.03.2020
© VV Vermögensverwaltung AG 24
Global Purchasing Manager Index (PMI Manufacturing + Servicing)
23.03.2020
Outlook
Feb 20 Jan 20 Dec 19 Nov 19 Oct 19 Sep 19 Aug 19 Jul 19 Jun 19 May 19 Apr 19 Mar 19 Feb 19
Global 50.4 50.1 50.3 49.9 49.8 49.5 49.3 49.4 49.8 50.4 50.5 50.6 50.7
Switzerland 47.8 48.8 48.5 48.9 44.9 47.4 45.2 48.6 49.0 49.1 50.7 54.3 53.9
Euro zone 49.1 47.9 46.3 46.9 45.9 45.7 47.0 46.5 47.6 47.7 47.9 47.5 49.3
Germany 47.8 45.3 43.7 44.1 42.1 41.7 43.5 43.2 45.0 44.3 44.4 44.1 47.6
France 49.7 51.1 50.4 51.7 50.7 50.1 51.1 49.7 51.9 50.6 50.0 49.7 51.5
Italy 48.9 46.2 47.6 47.7 47.8 48.7 48.5 48.4 49.7 49.1 47.4 47.7 47.8
UK 51.9 50.0 47.5 48.9 49.6 48.3 47.4 48.0 48.0 49.4 53.1 55.1 52.1
USA 50.9 47.8 48.1 48.5 48.2 48.8 51.3 51.6 52.3 53.4 54.6 54.1 55.5
Japan 47.6 48.8 48.4 48.9 48.4 48.9 49.3 49.4 49.3 49.8 50.2 49.2 48.9
China 35.7 50.0 50.2 50.2 49.3 49.8 49.5 49.7 49.4 49.4 50.1 50.5 49.2
Equities have to rise furtherRenewed P/E expansion likely, risk reward still favorable
The earnings will have to be slightly adapted, depending on the final impact of corona
Source: VV AG, Bloomberg / 20.03.2020
© VV Vermögensverwaltung AG 23.03.2020 25
Outlook
P/E SPI +/- P/E SPI +/- P/E SPI +/- P/E SPI +/- P/E SPI +/- P/E SPI +/-
13.00% 7.9 9'335 -8% 7.4 8'746 -14% 7.1 8'434 -17% 6.8 8'042 -21% 6.7 7'872 -23% 6.3 7'380 -27%
12.00% 8.6 10'136 0% 8.0 9'446 -7% 7.7 9'083 -11% 7.3 8'630 -15% 7.1 8'434 -17% 6.7 7'872 -23%
11.95% 8.6 10'180 0% 8.0 9'484 -7% 7.7 9'118 -10% 7.3 8'661 -15% 7.2 8'464 -17% 6.7 7'898 -22%
10.00% 10.4 12'237 20% 9.5 11'245 11% 9.1 10'734 6% 8.6 10'107 -1% 8.3 9'840 -3% 7.7 9'083 -11%
8.00% 13.1 15'437 52% 11.8 13'891 37% 11.1 13'119 29% 10.3 12'195 20% 10.0 11'807 16% 9.1 10'734 6%
6.00% 17.7 20'902 106% 15.4 18'165 79% 14.3 16'868 66% 13.0 15'370 51% 12.5 14'759 45% 11.1 13'119 29%
3.68% 30.0 35'458 249% 23.9 28'241 178% 21.4 25'224 148% 18.6 22'015 117% 17.6 20'784 104% 15.0 17'673 74%
3.00% 37.8 44'573 338% 28.6 33'736 232% 25.0 29'519 190% 21.4 25'217 148% 20.0 23'615 132% 16.7 19'679 94%
2.50% 46.5 54'944 440% 33.3 39'358 287% 28.6 33'736 232% 23.9 28'232 178% 22.2 26'239 158% 18.2 21'468 111%
2.00% 60.6 71'604 604% 40.0 47'230 365% 33.3 39'358 287% 27.2 32'065 215% 25.0 29'519 190% 20.0 23'615 132%
1.50% 87.0 102'763 911% 50.0 59'037 481% 40.0 47'230 365% 31.4 37'103 265% 28.6 33'736 232% 22.2 26'239 158%
0.75% 250.6 295'926 2811% 80.0 94'460 829% 57.1 67'471 564% 41.1 48'543 377% 36.4 42'936 322% 26.7 31'487 210%
0.25% -990.1 -1'169'056 -11599% 133.3 157'433 1449% 80.0 94'460 829% 51.8 61'104 501% 44.4 52'478 416% 30.8 36'331 257%
*Risk premium = equity yield (Reverse P/E ratio) ./. bond yield
10yr Swiss Government Bond
Ris
k p
rem
ium
3.00%
ltr averagetoday
-0.351% 0.50% 1.00% 1.68% 2.00%
Net interest spending rising to 6.3% of GDP
Interest rates can not move up
Budget deficit to rise to 8.7% of GDP
Crowding out as a future potential danger to the system
Interest rate have to stay low short-term and will eventually dramatically increase
Source: Congressional Budget Office: «The 2019 Long-term Budget Outlook» / VV AG
© VV Vermögensverwaltung AG 2623.03.2020
Outlook
Little euphoria in the marketsSentiment in the US crashing
No exuberance visible in the equity markets yet
Source: VV AG, Bloomberg / 29.02.2020
© VV Vermögensverwaltung AG 23.03.2020 27
Outlook
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
State Street Institutional Confidence Index2005 - 2019
USA Europe
Euphoria
No overvaluation visible yetIndicator still in neutral territory
Still a long way to go for the Swiss equity market
Source: VV AG, Bloomberg / 20.03.2020
© VV Vermögensverwaltung AG 23.03.2020 28
Outlook
2'000
4'000
6'000
8'000
10'000
12'000
14'000
-4
-2
0
2
4
Jan 2005 Jan 2007 Jan 2009 Jan 2011 Jan 2013 Jan 2015 Jan 2017 Jan 2019
SPI and 10y Swiss Government Yield(3 year, normalized standard deviation)
Norm. SD 10y Swiss Gov. SPI Index (rhs)
Equity
BU
Y s
ignal ->
Equity
<-
SE
LL
sig
nal
Attractive total return of 7.8% p.a.Investors fear drawdowns more than they enjoy performance
The average performance is at an attractive long-term 7.8% p.a. but negative years happen regularly
Source: Pictet / VV AG; log scale
© VV Vermögensverwaltung AG 2923.03.2020
100
1'000
10'000
100'000
1925 1935 1945 1955 1965 1975 1985 1995 2005 2015
Swiss stocksYearly total returns (average 7.83 % p.a.)
-37.5%-46.5%
-41.3%
-42.3%
-34%
Outlook
Value generating sectors – business modelsBig differencies in the longer run
Sectors with low barriers to entry should be avoided systematically
Source: Bloomberg / VV AG / 20.03.2020
© VV Vermögensverwaltung AG 3023.03.2020
Outlook
High resilience during the financial crisis
Attractive Example
Long-term structural growth success story
Sika much less cyclical than usually perceived
Unlucky categorizations lead to misperceptions
Source: VV AG, Bloomberg / 22.01.2020
© VV Vermögensverwaltung AG 3123.03.2020
Outlook
0
100
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15.0%
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EBITDA (rhs) EBITDA margin (lhs)
0.0
5000.0
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15000.0
20000.0
25000.0
30000.0
10.0%
11.0%
12.0%
13.0%
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18.0%
19.0%
20.0%
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200
1
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201
1
201
2
201
3
201
4
201
5
201
6
201
7
201
8
201
9
Sales (rhs) EBITDA margin (lhs)
Structural growth intact
German car industry production
Pent-up demand as in 2009 ?
Shrinking on yearly basis – but high pent-up demand for the years to come
5-6mn yearly produced cars, actual low levels seen in the past with corresponding rebounds
Source: VV AG, Bloomberg / 29.02.2020
© VV Vermögensverwaltung AG 3223.03.2020
Outlook
▪ Global Covid-19 spread, impact and length will be decisive
▪ After China now Europe and the US affected as well – sentiment deteriorating
▪ Many roadshows, general assemblies, events canceled – alternative platforms
▪ Chinese factories are ramping up again, logistics still a big problem
▪ Central bank reactions show negative potential on the credit side (junk burst)
▪ Next weeks will be decisive, mid-term many structural trends intact
▪ “ThereIsNoAlternative” more stringent than before
Short-term outlookCovid-19 related uncertanties
Structural trends will reemerge, as soon as “dust settles”
© VV Vermögensverwaltung AG 3323.03.2020
Outlook
▪ Swiss culture and mindset enable market leaders
▪ Alignment of interests with management is crucial
▪ Exclude dangerous business models – say NO
▪ High barriers to entry protect companies
▪ B2B is more stable than B2C
▪ Structural growth outweights cyclical growth
ConclusionInvested with conviction in Swiss quality
SaraSelect offers you immediate access to a portfolio of well-positioned market-leadersenabling structural growth and mega-trends
© VV Vermögensverwaltung AG 3423.03.2020
Conclusion
Many thanks for your interest and your attention!
© VV Vermögensverwaltung AG
VV Vermögensverwaltung AG
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23.03.2020 35
While VV Vermögensverwaltung AG has made every effort to ensure that the information on this document iscorrect at the time of publication, VV Vermögensverwaltung AG can make no representation or warranty (includingliability to third parties) either expressly or by implication as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of the saidinformation. If it’s not stated explicitly otherwise, all figures are unchecked.
Past performance does not guarantee future returns. The performance shown does not take account of anycommissions and costs charged when subscribing and redeeming units. The performance figures include all costscharged to the fund (net performance). The performance calculation is based on net asset values (NAV) withdividends reinvested. Additional commissions, costs and taxes on the level of the investor affect the performancenegatively. The bank and/or the fund's broker may receive or pay a one-off and/or recurring commission inconnection with this product, the amount of which will be communicated to you upon request. Furthermore,investments in foreign currencies include a foreign exchange risk which may increase or decrease the return dueto currency fluctuations.
Persons domiciled in the USA or US nationals are not permitted to hold shares in SaraSelect, and units inSaraSelect may not be publicly sold, offered or issued to anyone residing in the USA or to US nationals. Thispublication is intended only for investors in Switzerland.
The prospectus including management regulations of the Fund, the simplified prospectuses as well as the annualand semi-annual reports are available free of charge from the custodian bank (Bank J. Safra Sarasin Ltd,Elisabethenstrasse 62, P.O. Box, CH-4002 Basel, Switzerland) or the fund manager (JSS Investmentfonds Ltd,Wallstrasse 9, CH-4002 Basel, Switzerland).
DisclaimerImportant legal information
© VV Vermögensverwaltung AG 3623.03.2020