Savills plc
Results for the six months ended 30 June 2019
8 August 2019
Disclaimer: Forward-looking statements
2
These slides contain certain forward-looking statements including the Group’s financial condition,
results of operations and business, and management’s strategy, plans and objectives for the Group.
These statements are not guarantees of future performance and are subject to risks, uncertainties and
other factors, some of which are beyond the Group’s control, are difficult to predict and could cause
actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied or forecast in the forward-looking
statements. These factors include, but are not limited to, the fact that the Group operates in a highly
competitive environment. All forward-looking statements in these slides are based on information known
to the Group on the date hereof. The Group undertakes no obligation publically to update or revise any
forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
Results
1 Introduction, Highlights & Market Update 2 Financial Review 3 Management Progress
3
Introduction, Highlights and Market Update
4
Highlights
5
Group Revenue £847.0m
+16.4% (cc +14.3%)
Group UPBT £38.4m
-9.4% (cc -12.3%)
Significant growth from less transactional
businesses with revenue up 20%, profit up 26%
Commercial Transaction revenue growth
driven by strong North American performance
(up 31%) mitigating effect of reduced activity in
Transactional markets in UK and Hong Kong
UK Residential Transactional revenue down
1.5% against a market backdrop of considerably
lower sales volumes; UK Residential Lettings up
26%
Property and Facilities Management revenue
up 27%, Consultancy revenue up 5%
Savills Investment Management revenue up
20% as a result of fund performance and
increased activity in Continental Europe. Period
end AuM up 13% to €18.3bn
Group UEPS 20.9p
(2018 H1: 23.4p)
Net Debt £139.0m
(2018 H1: £94.6m)
Dividend 4.95p
+3.1%
cc = constant currency
Performance Overview Drivers
Savills Diversified Business Model
6
Defensive, Scale Businesses Revenue by Business Cyclical, High-Margin Businesses
Property Management – 39%
Consultancy – 16%
Investment Management – 4%
Commercial Transactions – 32%
Residential Transactions – 9%
• Recurring revenue streams with less
exposure to transaction environment
• Strong Property Management business
• 2.12bn ft2 under management
• €18.3bn AUM
• High-return, but cyclical earnings
• 79:21 split Commercial vs. Residential
• 63:37 Commercial split Tenant rep/leasing
vs. Capital markets
41%(2018-H1: 43%)59%
(2018-H1: 57%)
Combination of cyclical and less cyclical service lines
Broad Geographic Spread
7
Over 31,000 employees in 700 offices in more than 60 countries
580Employees
6,323Employees
133Offices
1,726Employees
43Offices
29,985Employees
63Offices
Revenue
£131.7m
(16% of Total)
811Employees
32Offices
*Staff numbers –
Weighted average to
30th June 2019
Revenue
£303.6m
(36% of Total)
Revenue
£113.3m
(13% of Total)
Revenue
£298.4m
(35% of Total)
Over 39,000* employees in 70 countries
227Employees
8Offices
UK
Market Dynamics
Macro themes
• Sluggish GDP growth of 0.3% in the last 3 months with
uncertainty increasing
• Sterling devaluation continues (-4.65% v $ this year) as risk of no
deal Brexit increases
• Structural change continues in the Retail markets with high
numbers of CVA’s
Market statistics
• UK Commercial property investment volumes down 32% year on
year (43% in Central London, the weakest first half since 2009)
• Office take up outside London experienced a record first half
across top 10 regional cities (3.19m sq. ft), with London office
markets resilient
• Logistics take up in H1 19 stands at 15.4 million sq. ft, 28%
above long term average
• UK Housing transactions volumes down 4.5% in H1 but
mainstream national prices increase 1.2% (-4.4% in London)
Revenue
£303.6m
Growth
8% YOY
Revenue
£298.4m
Growth
19% YOY
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
12
20
13
20
14
20
15
20
16
20
17
20
18
20
19
£b
illio
ns
Asia Pacific Investment Volumes
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
9
Market Dynamics
Macro themes
• Caution increasing in a number of key markets, particularly Hong Kong and China with trade tensions, political unrest and slower GDP growth (6.3% H1 China)
• Commercial confidence is increasing in Australia following the General Election
• GDP growth is increasing in Japan, with continued political stability
• Cooling measures have had an impact on the residential market in Singapore, with market slowdowns in Australia and Shanghai
Market statistics
• Hong Kong office investment volumes down 34% in H1 over the previous year, with Retail volumes down 52%
• Overall investment volumes across China increased by 17% over H1, but outbound capital flows remained subdued
• Overall Leasing volumes reduced by c.20%, but with rental growth in a number of core markets
• Total investment activity across Asia Pacific in Q2 was up 1.3% - Offices, 11.5% - Industrial and down 18.5% - Retail
Asia Pacific
Source: Real Capital Analytics
Source: Savills
North America
Revenue
£131.7m
Growth
31% YOY
Market Dynamics
Macro themes
• Real GDP growth of 2.1% for Q2 (3.5% Q2 2018)
• Slowing domestic growth and recent interest rate cut, seen as
an insurance measure to maintain economic momentum
• Unemployment rate reduced to 3.6% (3.9% Q2 2018) with a
slowdown in corporate earnings beginning to emerge
Market statistics
• Office Leasing volumes remain strong in Q2, with 65 million
sq. ft taken up, 8.4% up on Q1
• Activity focused on New York, Los Angeles and Washington,
but with increases in other top tier markets
• Take up growth fueled by growth sectors including
Technology, Financial Services and Co-Working, with overall
US availability down 60 bps, a 3.9% increase year on year
• Commercial office investment volumes up 15.2% across
major metros with particular emphasis on New York and San
Francisco
Market Dynamics
*Source: Real Capital Analytics, Savills, Includes all Commercial Property Types
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
200
0
200
1
200
2
200
3
200
4
200
5
200
6
200
7
200
8
200
9
201
0
201
1
201
2
201
3
201
4
201
5
201
6
201
7
201
8
201
9
US Commercial Investment Volumes – Major Metros
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
$bn
To
tal v
olu
me (
sq
ft;
millio
n)
Source: Savills, Includes New Leases and Renewals
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 H1 2019
US Annual Commercial Office Leasing Volume
Europe & Middle East
Revenue
£113.3m
Growth
17% YOY
Market Dynamics
Macro themes
• GDP growth slowing substantially in Germany and Italy, also
affecting France and the Netherlands
• Continued regional political and global economic uncertainty
affecting UAE
• Investor demand strong, but polarised towards less risky assets
and volumes affected by lack of liquidity
Market statistics
• European Investment volumes down 15% YOY in H1 2019
• Major country investment down in largest markets, but sharply up
in Spain (53%), Sweden (71%) and Italy (46%)
• Paris eclipses London as the most popular destination for Cross
Border Investment in H1 (€6.5 bn, London: €5.6 bn)
• Office Leasing volumes up 3%, but with significant increases in
Madrid (+25%) and Brussels (+20%)
• Middle East: Stable office market dynamics and increased
activity in Saudi Arabia. Over supply an issue in some markets
Savills Investment Management
Percentage AUM outperforming respective benchmarks figures to Q1 2019
65%
86% 89%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Target Actual Actual
Last 5 yrs Last 3 yrs
Market Dynamics
• Brexit and European geopolitical concerns impacting
on investment activity and equity raising
• Concerns around general pricing across all asset
classes – late cycle
• Increasing level of regulatory and risk compliance
• Trend to consolidation of small investment managers
• Managers fees continue to be under the spotlight
• Overall equity raised by Managers in H1 significantly
lower than H1 18 in European markets
• Weight of money targeting the sector remains above
average for real estate given the need for income
Revenue
£32.5m
Growth
20% YOY
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
Cap
ital
Rai
sed
(U
SD b
n)
Nu
mb
er o
f fu
nd
s
Historical Fundraising
Number of funds Aggregate Capital Raised USD bn
Financial Review
13
Summary Underlying Result
14
6 months ended 30 June (£m) 2019 2018 % chg
Revenue 847.0 727.8 +16.4%
Underlying PBT 38.4 42.4 (9.4)%
Underlying PBT margin 4.5% 5.8% (1.3)% pts
Underlying basic earnings per share 20.9p 23.4p (10.7)%
Dividend per share 4.95p 4.80p +3.1%
Net debt 139.0 94.6 +46.9%
Net assets 461.5 432.3 +6.8%
Revenue and underlying PBT by business
15
311.3
263.7
125.8
27.0
346.3 335.5
132.7
32.5
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
2018
2019
+27%
+5%
+20%
Revenue
19.7
12.810.8
2.9
9.9
16.2
11.5
5.6
0
5
10
15
20
25
+27%
+6%
+93%
Transaction
Advisory
Property
Management Consultancy
Investment
Management
UPBT
+11%
(50)%
Margin 6.3% 2.9% 4.9% 4.8% 8.6% 8.7% 10.7% 17.2%
£m
The figures in these charts
exclude costs of £4.8m in
2019-H1 (2018-H1 £3.8m) not
allocated to the operating
activities of the group’s
business segments
Combined revenue and UPBT growth of 20% and 26% respectively
Revenue and underlying PBT by region
16
280.5
250.4
100.3 96.6
303.6 298.4
131.7113.3
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
2018
2019
Revenue
UK Asia Pacific North America
UPBT
+8%
CEME
23.7
18.6
0.63.3
22.2
15.5
6.7
(1.2)-5
0
5
10
15
20
25(6)%
+19%
+31% +17%
(17)%
n/a+1,017%
£m
Margin 8.4% 7.3% 7.4% 5.2% 0.6% 5.1% 3.4% (1.1)%
The figures in these charts
exclude costs of £4.8m in
2019-H1 (2018-H1 £3.8m) not
allocated to the operating
activities of the group’s
business segments
£38.4m
£6.0m
£2.0m
£172.7m
£6.0m £15.2m£14.0m
£36.4m
£13.5m
£1.5m
Net debtb/f
UPBT Non-cashitems
Workingcapital
Acquisitionspend -
current &deferred
Capex Investmentcash flows
EBT Dividends Tax Other Net debt c/f
Cashflow Performance
171 Cash used in operations include “principal elements of lease payments” which are included within financing activities in the statutory cash flow
Cash used in operations1 of £128.3m
(2018 H1: £77.2m)
Net cash
Net debt
£73.9m
£139.0m
£(50.0)m
£50.0m
-
£100.0m
£(100.0)m
At 30 June 2019 – Net debt of £139.0m
(net cash outflow in H1 of £212.9m)
At 30 June 2018 – Net debt of £94.6m
(net cash outflow in H1 of £193.2m)
£(150.0)m
£150.0m
£730m£34m
£28m
£51m £12m
£398m
£107m
£215m
£151m
Net cashat
30 Jun 2013
Underlying profitbefore tax
Non-cash items Working capital Acquisitions andcapex
Investment cashflows
EBT Dividends Tax Other Net debtat
30 Jun 2019
Net cash/(debt) reconciliation – 6 years to June 2019
18
£3m
£(139)m
UPBT
2013 H2 £ 49.2m
2014 £100.5m
2015 £121.4m
2016 £135.8m
2017 £140.5m
2018 £143.7m
2019 H1 £38.4m
Total £729.5m
£25m
£75m
£20m
£84m
£59m
£21m£8m
£8m
£11m
£8m
£56m
£23m
-
£20m
£40m
£60m
£80m
£100m
£120m
£140m
£160m
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
H1 H2
Profile of Acquisitions/Capex Investment
Commercial Transaction Advisory
19
2019 Revenue £274.3m (+17%) 2019 UPBT £5.0m (-53%)
Asia Pacific: Investment growth in Japan, China and Singapore, decline in Hong Kong and Australia.
UK: slow down in UK Capital Transactions due to lower stock availability and Brexit related uncertainty.
CEME: significant growth costs, particularly in Germany and Sweden, good pipeline for H2.
North America: strong Occupier Leasing revenues; reduction in Capital Markets losses, continued investment in platform.
68.2
31.443.0
131.7
-
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
Asia Pacific UK CEME North America
Growth +14% (7)% +4% +31%
4.2
1.3
(7.2)
6.7
(8)
(6)
(4)
(2)
-
2
4
6
8
Asia Pacific UK CEME North America
Growth (26)% (54)% n/a 1,017%
Residential Transaction Advisory
20
2019 Revenue £72.0m (-5%) 2019 UPBT £4.9m (-46%)
UK: second-hand sales down marginally due to lower average values, however number of exchanges ahead of last
year. Significant market outperformance against UK market volume declines.
UK: reduced volume of Development sales. Reservations remain robust.
Asia Pacific: Hong Kong remains resilient but slow down in Australia, China and Singapore.
57.3
14.7
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
UK Asia Pacific
Growth (2)% (17)%
3.5
1.4
-
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
UK Asia Pacific
Growth (44)% (48)%
Property Management
21
2019 Revenue £335.5m (+27%) 2019 UPBT £16.2m (+27%)
Asia Pacific: good revenue growth; mobilisation costs on new Hong Kong FM contracts restricts profit growth
in period.
UK: strong organic growth including Residential Lettings (up 26%) boosted by the addition of the Broadgate
Estates contracts (14% revenue growth) acquired during 2018-H2.
Europe: organic revenue growth in Ireland and France supported by the Cluttons acquisition in the Middle
East (7% of the revenue growth).
189.8
107.6
38.1
-
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
Asia Pacific UK CEME
Growth +28% +28% +23%
8.6
6.8
0.8
-
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Asia Pacific UK CEME
Growth +6% +39% n/a
Consultancy
22
2019 Revenue £132.7m (+5%) 2019 UPBT £11.5m (+6%)
UK: strong performances in Building, Projects and Planning offset reduced activity in Housing, Lease and Leisure
consultancy.
Asia Pacific: revenue growth in China, Japan & South Korea offset by reductions in Singapore/Australia and recruitment costs.
Europe: organic growth of 18% (Germany/France/Spain) boosted by first time contribution of Middle East.
93.4
22.916.4
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
UK Asia Pacific CEME
Growth 0% +11% +36%
8.4
1.0
2.1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
UK Asia Pacific CEME
Growth (1)% (41)% +250%
Investment Management
23
2019 Revenue £32.5m (+20%) 2019 UPBT £5.6m (+93%)
Revenue: growth from increased activity in UK/Europe (incl performance fees). Asia revenue impacted by
dissolution of Japan I (end of term) pre-launch of Japan II.
Assets under management: increased by 13% to €18.3bn (H1 2018: €16.2bn).
Performance: 85% of AUM consistently beating benchmarks over rolling 5 years; supports capital raising.
13.9
15.8
2.8
-
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
UK CEME Asia Pacific
Growth
2.2
3.1
0.3
-
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
UK CEME Asia Pacific
Growth+31%+22% +138%+83%(20)% (25)%
Management Progress
24
25
Key Priorities
Continued growth of our Less Transactional Businesses
Maintenance of Transactional bench strength and targeted recruitment for
sector coverage
Continued diversification of service lines eg Project Management/Consultancy
Drive integration and performance of recent acquisitions and team lifts
Maintain strong fund performance in Investment Management
Flexible response to market conditions and opportunities alongside prudent
cost management
26
Summary & Outlook
A resilient H1 despite some market challenges
Corporate occupiers remain active, “Lower for Longer” interest rates and security of
income underwrites continued attractiveness of real estate investment
Near term macro level uncertainties restraining transaction volumes in some markets
Continued growth in less transactional service lines & developing markets
The Board’s expectations for the full year currently remain unchanged
Appendices
27
Period ended 30 June (£m) 2019 2018
Reported profit before tax 24.7 26.7
Acquired intangible assets amortisation 3.7 2.6
Share-based payment adjustment (1.1) (0.3)
Profit on disposal of available for sale investment / joint venture (0.3) (0.1)
Restructuring costs 4.3 2.8
Acquisition - related costs 7.1 10.7
Underlying profit before tax 38.4 42.4
28
Underlying PBT Reconciliation
29
280.5250.4
100.3 96.6
303.6 289.9
124.6 114.1
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350 2018
2019
Revenue
Asia PacificUK United States
UPBT
727.8
832.2
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
Total
42.437.2
-5
1015202530354045
+8%+14%
(12)%
Group margin of 4.5%
(2018: 5.8%)Revenue / UPBT total includes unallocated net costs, primarily central overheads of
£4.8m in 2019-H1 and £3.8m in 2018-H1.
CEME
23.7
18.6
0.63.3
22.2
14.7
6.3
(1.2)-5
0
5
10
15
20
25(6)%
+16%
+24%+18%
(21)%
+950%n/a
Revenue and underlying PBT by region: Constant currency equivalent
Six months ended June
(£m)
2019
Actual
2018
Actual
FX gain /
(loss)
Constant
currency
2019
Actual
Constant
currency
growth
Revenue 847.0 727.8 14.8 832.2 14%
Underlying costs (808.6) (685.4) (13.6) (795.0) (16)%
Underlying PBT 38.4 42.4 1.2 37.2 (12)%
30
FX Effect on Underlying Results
UK Prime Yield
Source: Savills
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
City offices West end offices M25 offices Regional offices Standard shops Shopping centres Industrial Distribution
%
Jun-18 Jun-19
UK Commercial property – average annual rental growth
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
Au
g 0
0
Dec 0
0
Ap
r 01
Au
g 0
1
Dec 0
1
Ap
r 02
Au
g 0
2
Dec 0
2
Ap
r 03
Au
g 0
3
Dec 0
3
Ap
r 04
Au
g 0
4
Dec 0
4
Ap
r 05
Au
g 0
5
Dec 0
5
Ap
r 06
Au
g 0
6
Dec 0
6
Ap
r 07
Au
g 0
7
Dec 0
7
Ap
r 08
Au
g 0
8
Dec 0
8
Ap
r 09
Au
g 0
9
Dec 0
9
Ap
r 10
Au
g 1
0
Dec 1
0
Ap
r 11
Au
g 1
1
Dec 1
1
Ap
r 12
Au
g 1
2
Dec 1
2
Ap
r 13
Au
g 1
3
Dec 1
3
Ap
r 14
Au
g 1
4
Dec 1
4
Ap
r 15
Au
g 1
5
Dec 1
5
Ap
r 16
Au
g 1
6
Dec 1
6
Ap
r 17
Au
g 1
7
Dec 1
7
Ap
r 18
Au
g 1
8
Dec 1
8
Ap
r 19
An
nu
al
% c
ha
ng
e
UK Retail UK Offices UK Industrial
Source: MSCI, Savills
European (excl UK) Investment turnover
Source: Real Capital Analytics, Savills
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
€b
n
Q4
Q3
Q2
Q1
European (incl UK) Investment turnover
Source: Real Capital Analytics, Savills
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
€b
n
Q4
Q3
Q2
Q1
Global commercial and institutional residential investment turnover
Source: Real Capital Analytics, Savills
$-
$200
$400
$600
$800
$1,000
$1,200
$1,400
$1,600
$1,800
$2,000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019H1
Billi
on
s
Americas
APAC
EMEA
China’s debt rose to over 300% of GDP in Q1/2019.
Household debt, government debt and financial sector debt jumped to 54%, 51% and 43% of GDP respectively
China will maintain a prudent monetary policy in the year's second half, while continually reducing the actual financing costs of enterprises.
Source: The People’s Bank of China, Savills Research & Consultancy
Mainland China New Loan Growth, 2007 – 2019F
2019 figure is forecasted by Bank of China
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019F
US$ trillion
Global Property Sales* in China vs All Others, Q1/2007 – Q2 2019
The global property sales volume fell by 11.3% in Q2/2019, while sales in China dropped slightly by 1.6%.
Most China transactions are accounted for by land deals.
Cross-border investors have turned their attention to China, as reflected by the increase in the cross-border net acquisitions volume in 2019 H1.
Source: Real Capital Analytics
* Includes all property types
-
100
200
300
400
500
600
Q1
Q3
Q1
Q3
Q1
Q3
Q1
Q3
Q1
Q3
Q1
Q3
Q1
Q3
Q1
Q3
Q1
Q3
Q1
Q3
Q1
Q3
Q1
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
US$ Billions China US Rest of World
Regional Grade ‘A’ Office Yields, Q2/2018 vs Q2/2019
Grade A Office yields are relatively low and stable with some signs of softening in Hong Kong and Singapore.
Source: Savills Research & Consultancy
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
Beijing Shanghai Hong Kong Taipei Tokyo Seoul Singapore Kuala Lumpur
Q22018 Q22019
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