Saving Tigers in a Human Dominated Landscape: The Terai Experience
1900’s 1920’s 1930’s 1940’s 1960’s 1980’s 2000 2004 2010 2012
The Terai Arc Landscape
1900’s 1920’s 1930’s 1940’s 1960’s 1980’s 2000 2004 2010 2012
The Terai Arc Landscape
“All along the edge of the Himalayas,
from Saharanpur and the Jamna River in the north-west,
to Gorakhpur and the Gandak River to the south east,
is a belt of forest varying in width from twenty to fifty miles,
which is home to many species of animals”
Col. R.W. Burton in his diary in January 1924
1900’s 1920’s 1930’s 1940’s 1960’s 1980’s 2000 2004 2010 2012
F. W. Champion
1900’s 1920’s 1930’s 1940’s 1960’s 1980’s 2000 2004 2010 2012
Jim Corbett
1900’s 1920’s 1930’s 1940’s 1960’s 1980’s 2000 2004 2010 2012
Declaration of Hailey’s National Park
United Province National Park Act, 1934
1900’s 1920’s 1930’s 1940’s 1960’s 1980’s 2000 2004 2010 2012
Gujjars
sophiaindia.org
1900’s 1920’s 1930’s 1940’s 1960’s 1980’s 2000 2004 2010 2012
DDT and settling the Terai
1900’s 1920’s 1930’s 1940’s 1960’s 1980’s 2000 2004 2010 2012
Declaration of Rajaji National Park
Chilla Sanctuary
Motichur Sanctuary
RajajiSanctuary
1900’s 1920’s 1930’s 1940’s 1960’s 1980’s 2000 2004 2010 2012
Unsustainable lifestyle of Gujjars
1900’s 1920’s 1930’s 1940’s 1960’s 1980’s 2000 2004 2010 2012
Fragmentation of the Terai
1900’s 1920’s 1930’s 1940’s 1960’s 1980’s 2000 2004 2010 2012
Fragmentation of the Terai
1900’s 1920’s 1930’s 1940’s 1960’s 1980’s 2000 2004 2011 2012
Are recoveries possible?
1900’s 1920’s 1930’s 1940’s 1960’s 1980’s 2000 2004 2011 2012
Chital recovery
2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-110
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Faw
ns p
er 1
00 a
dult
fem
ales
1900’s 1920’s 1930’s 1940’s 1960’s 1980’s 2000 2004 2011 2012
Tiger recovery
2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-120
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Tige
r pop
ulati
on d
ensi
ty (i
ndiv
idua
ls/1
00km
2)
Decline in leopard densities
1900’s 1920’s 1930’s 1940’s 1960’s 1980’s 2000 2004 2011 2012
2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-080
2
4
6
8
10
12Leopard
Tiger
Years
Dens
ity (n
umbe
rs/1
00 sq
km
)
(Harihar and Pandav and Goyal 2011)
1900’s 1920’s 1930’s 1940’s 1960’s 1980’s 2000 2004 2012 2013
Individuals 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13RT001 RT002 RT003 RT004 RT005 RT006 RT007 RT008 RT009 RT010 RT011 RT012 RT013 RT014 RT015 RT016 CubRT017 CubRT018 CubRT019 CubRT020 CubRT021 RT022 RT023 RT024 RT025 RT026 RT027 RT028 RT029 RT030 RT031 RT032 Cub RT033 Cub RT034 Cub RT035 RT036 RT037 RT038 RT039 RT040
Is poaching responsible for this high individual turnover?
1900’s 1920’s 1930’s 1940’s 1960’s 1980’s 2000 2004 2011 2012
Tigers are certainly being removed from the population
1900’s 1920’s 1930’s 1940’s 1960’s 1980’s 2000 2004 2012 2013
Mapping Tiger Occupancy
1900’s 1920’s 1930’s 1940’s 1960’s 1980’s 2000 2004 2011 2012
Mapping Tiger Occupancy
1900’s 1920’s 1930’s 1940’s 1960’s 1980’s 2000 2004 2011 2012
Mapping Tiger Occupancy
1900’s 1920’s 1930’s 1940’s 1960’s 1980’s 2000 2004 2011 2012
THB I17.8%522(±90)Km2
THB II88.5%3,587(±237)Km2
(Harihar and Pandav 2012)
The stripes are brighter on the East
Western RNP
Eastern RNP
Chilla-Motichur Corridor
National Highway, Railway Track
Townships: Haridwar, Rishikesh, Raiwala
Khandgaon (I, II, II) settlements
Hindustan antibiotic factory, Raiwala army camp & ammunition dump
14 km long Rishikesh-Chilla power
1900’s 1920’s 1930’s 1940’s 1960’s 1980’s 2000 2004 2011 2012
Assessing Tiger & Leopard Numbers
East RNP West RNP
Number of unique tigers (Mt+1) 13 3
Number of Tiger captures per 100 trap-nights 9.2 1
Number of Leopard captures per 100 trap-nights 3.6 15
2011-12
1900’s 1920’s 1930’s 1940’s 1960’s 1980’s 2000 2004 2011 2012
The 9 tigers in Eastern RNP
1900’s 1920’s 1930’s 1940’s 1960’s 1980’s 2000 2004 2012 2013
The 3 females of western RNP
1900’s 1920’s 1930’s 1940’s 1960’s 1980’s 2000 2004 2011 2012
Does prey limit tiger numbers?
1900’s 1920’s 1930’s 1940’s 1960’s 1980’s 2000 2004 2011 2012
Losing ground
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
Years
Freq
uenc
y of
occ
urre
nce
(±2*
SE)
1900’s 1920’s 1930’s 1940’s 1960’s 1980’s 2000 2004 2011 2012
Recovering tigers in the western TAL
1900’s 1920’s 1930’s 1940’s 1960’s 1980’s 2000 2004 2011 2012
o Assuming that prey remains fairly stable in this region
o We assessed viability using a tiger-specific stage-structured model in
Vortex 9
o Our models were based on life-history attributes and stages from studies
carried out in the Terai-Arc Landscape
o Carrying capacity was set at 40 individuals based on available prey data
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
2040
2041
2042
2043
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Isolation
Year
Popu
latio
n si
ze
1900’s 1920’s 1930’s 1940’s 1960’s 1980’s 2000 2004 2011 2012
Recovering tigers in the western TAL
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
2040
2041
2042
2043
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Isolation Translocation
Year
Popu
latio
n si
ze
1900’s 1920’s 1930’s 1940’s 1960’s 1980’s 2000 2004 2011 2012
Recovering tigers in the western TAL
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
2040
2041
2042
2043
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Isolation Translocation Connectivity
Year
Popu
latio
n si
ze
1900’s 1920’s 1930’s 1940’s 1960’s 1980’s 2000 2004 2011 2012
Recovering tigers in the western TAL
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
2040
2041
2042
2043
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Isolation Translocation Connectivity Translocation + Connectivity
Year
Popu
latio
n si
ze
1900’s 1920’s 1930’s 1940’s 1960’s 1980’s 2000 2004 2011 2012
Recovering tigers in the western TAL
Thank you