+ All Categories
Home > Documents > SCB_101950

SCB_101950

Date post: 25-Nov-2015
Category:
Upload: fedfraser
View: 46 times
Download: 0 times
Share this document with a friend
Popular Tags:
68
OCTOBER 1950 Uo S. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE BUREAU OF FOREIGN AND DOMESTIC COMMERCE OFFICE OF BUSINESS ECONOMICS Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Transcript
  • OCTOBER 1950

    Uo S. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

    BUREAU OF FOREIGN AND DOMESTIC COMMERCE

    OFFICE OF BUSINESS ECONOMICS

    Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS

    No. 10

    OCTOBER 1950

    PAGE

    THE BUSINESS SITUATION 1National Income and Corporate Profits in the Second

    Quarter of 1950 4Trends in Employee Compensation . . 7

    * * *

    SPECIAL ARTICLEPublic and Private Debt in 1949 . 9

    * * *

    NEW OR REVISED STATISTICAL SERIESRevision of Manufacturers' Sales, Orders, and Inven-

    tories 16

    * * *

    MONTHLY BUSINESS STATISTICS . . . . S-l to S-40Statistical Index Inside Back Cover

    Published by the U. S. Department of Commerce, C H A R L E S SAWYER,Secretary. Office of Business Economics, M. JOSEPH ME EH AN,Director. Subscription price, including weekly statistical supplement, $3 ayear; Foreign $4. Single copy, 25 cents. Send remittances to any Depart-ment of Commerce Field Office or to the Superintendent of Documents,United States Government Printing Office, Washington 25, D. C. Specialsubscription arrangements, including changes of address, should be madedirectly with the Superintendent of Documents. Make checks payable toTreasurer of the United States.

    Contents are not copyrighted and may be freely reprinted.

    DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCEFIELD SERVICE

    Albuquerque, N. Mex.203 W. Gold Ave.

    Atlanta 3, Ga.50 Whitehall St. SW.

    Baltimore 2, Md.103 S. Gay St.

    Boston 9, Mass.2 India St.

    Buffalo 3, N. Y.117 ElHcott St.

    Butte, Mont.14 W. Granite St.

    Charleston 3, S. C.18 Broad St.

    Cheyenne, Wyo.206 Federal Office Bid*

    Chicago 4, 111.332 S. Michigan Art.

    Cincinnati 2, Ohio105 W. Fourth St.

    Cleveland 14, Ohio925 Euclid Are.

    Dallas 2, Tex.1114 Commerce St.

    Denver 2, Colo.828 Seventeenth St.

    Detroit 26, Mich.230 W. Fort St.

    El Paso 7, Tex.206 U. S. Court House

    Bldg.

    Hartford 1, Conn.135 High St.

    Houston 14, Tex.602 Federal Office Bldf.

    Jacksonville 1, Fla.311 W. Monroe St.

    Kansas City 6, Mo.911 Walnut St.

    Los Angeles 12, Calif.312 North Spring St.

    Louisville 2, Ky.631 Federal Bldg.

    Memphis 3, Tenn.229 Federal Bldg.

    Miami 32, Fla.36 NE. First St.

    Milwaukee 1, Wis.517 E. Wisconson Ave,

    Minneapolis 1, Minn.2d Ave. S. at 4th St.

    Mobile, Ala.109-13 St. Joseph St.

    New Orleans 12, La.333 St. Charles Ave.

    New York 4, N. Y.42 Broadway

    Oklahoma City 2, Okla.102 NW. Third St.

    Omaha 2, Nebr.1319 Farnam St.

    Philadelphia 6, Pa.437 Chestnut St.

    Phoenix 8, Ariz.234 N. Central Ave*

    Pittsburgh 19, Pa.700 Grant St.

    Portland 4. Oreg.520 SW. Morrison St*

    Providence 3, R. I.24 Weybossett Stv fprmpr

  • October 1950 SURVEY OF CUEEENT BUSINESS 11

    Chart 2.Percentage Changes in Net Public and PrivateDebt, 1948 to 1949 1

    capital had increased and there was a marked improvementin liquidity ratios.Nonfarm mortgage expansion continues

    In 1949, as in the preceding 2 years, the largest absoluteincrease of any major private debt category was recorded inthe noncorporate (nonfarm) mortgage area. The rise in1949 was $5.2 billion, in comparison with expansions averag-ing $6.2 billion in the three preceding years. The steadypostwar increase in this form of debt carried the total from$28 billion at the end of 1945 to $51% billion at the close oflast year.

    The volume of new construction activity in the areascovered by this type of indebtedness was essentially stablefrom 1948 to 1949. This accounted for the somewhat lowernet addition to mortgages outstanding during 1949. How-ever, factors tending to enlarge the rate of growth wereoperative, such as a liberalization of credit policies on thepart of private lending institutions and Government insur-ing agencies. Other possible expansive influences may havebeen a higher rate of turn-over of existing structures, and alower volume of mortgage repayments in excess of contractualobligations.

    Under the terms of the Defense Production Act of 1950,the President has been given control powers in the mortgagemarket for new construction. As noted in the review of thebusiness situation earlier in this issue, the comprehensiveregulations have recently been announced.

    Farm debt rise acceleratedFarm mortgage debt continued to expand during 1949, at ably the primary cause of the lower volume of turn-over in

    a rate higher than in the 1946-48 period. As further eyi- farm land. Farm sales at increasing prices had contributed"" " " to the increase in outstanding mortgage debt in earlier post-

    war years. In 1949, a decreased number of these sales atlower prices must have had a dampening effect on the newmortgage level. Considering the stable volume of mort-gages made or recorded, the rise in outstandings in 1949, ata quickening pace, must have been primarily caused by lower

    PERCENTAGE CHANGE-10 -5 0 +5 +10 -H5 +20

    1 |TOTAL NET DEBT

    FEDERALGOVERNMENTSTATE AND LOCALGOVERNMENTCORPORATE, LONG-TERM

    K-SivSi^

    FARM MORTGAGE

    NONFARM MORTGAGE

    FARM, NONMORTGAGE

    NONFARM, NONMORT-GAGE1 1

    \ \ \

    ~D

    I::

  • 12 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS October 1950Table 4.Gross and Net State and Local Government Debt, June 30, 1929-49

    [Millions of dollars]

    End of fiscal year

    19291930 _ - _193119321933

    1934__.19351936-19371938

    1939--19401941__19421943

    194419451946--19471948

    1949

    Gross debt

    Stateand

    local,total i

    17, 23418, 45919, 53419, 57619, 802

    19, 15619, 34219, 61719, 59419, 576

    19, 99620, 24620, 22619, 69018, 692

    17, 47116, 58915, 92216, 82518, 702

    20, 875

    State

    2,3002,4442,6662,8963,018

    3,2013,3313,3183,2763,309

    3,3433,5263,4133,2112,909

    2,7682,4252,3582,9783,722

    4,024

    Local

    Total

    14, 93416, 01516, 86816, 68016, 784

    15, 95516, Oil16, 29916, 31816, 267

    16, 65316, 72016, 81316, 47915, 783

    14, 70314, 16413, 56413, 84714, 980

    16,851

    County

    2,2702,4342,5642,5312,494

    2,4572,4202,3822,3452,282

    2,2192,1562,046,846,634

    ,694,545,417,481,408

    1,603

    City andtown-ship

    9,2599,929

    10, 45810, 34210, 463

    9,6519,725

    10, 03110, 0679,923

    10, 21510, 18910, 21010, 0799,784

    8,8268,5898,2678,2759,135

    9,806

    Schooldistrict

    1,9562,0982,2102,1762,117

    2,0592,0001,9421,8841,860

    ,837,813,787,701,573

    ,465.363,283,355

    1,560

    2,147

    Specialdistrict

    1,4491,5541,6361,6311,710

    1,7881,8661,9442,0222,202

    2,3822,5622,7702,8532,792

    2,7182,6672,5972,7362,877

    3,295

    Duplicating debt 2

    Stateand

    local,total

    4,0644, 3404,0082,9613,078

    3,2153,2973,3883,4833,601

    3,6823,7853,8893,8473,810

    3,3972,8642,3492,4282,476

    2,726

    State

    Total

    714752806876952

    1,0371,0991,1651,2341,313

    1,369,433,553,541,576

    ,351,046754804851

    970

    Sinkingfunds

    258265287303319

    335351367383412

    396363300276306

    247175141144154

    151

    Trust,etc.,

    funds

    456487519573633

    702748798851901

    9731,0701,2531,2651,270

    1,104871613660697

    819

    Local

    Total

    3,3503,5883,2022,0852,126

    2,1782,1982,2232,2492,288

    2,3132,3522,3862,3062,234

    2,0461,8181,5951,6241,625

    1,756

    Sinkingfunds

    2,8563,0492,5761,4111,400

    1,3911,3801,3711,3601,365

    1. 3721.3501,3581, 3441,302

    1,142960869860847

    868

    Trust,etc.,

    funds

    494539626674726

    787818-852889923

    9411,002

    978962932

    904858726764778

    888

    Net debt

    Stateand

    local,total

    13, 17014,11915, 52616,61516, 724

    15, 94116, 04516, 22916, 11115, 975

    16, 31416, 46116, 33715, 84314, 882

    14, 07413, 72513, 57314, 39716, 226

    18, 149

    State

    1,5861,6921,8602,0202,066

    2,1642,2322,1532,0421,996

    1,9742.0931,8601,6701,333

    1,4171,3791,6042,1742,871

    3,054

    Local

    11, 58412, 42713, 66614, 59514, 658

    13, 77713, 81314, 07614, 06913, 979

    14, 34014, 36814, 47714, 17313, 549

    12, 65712, 34611, 96912, 22313, 355

    14, 095

    1 Includes State loans to local units.

    2 Comprises State and local government securities held by State and local governments.

    Non-real-estate credit to farmers and farmers' cooperativeorganizations (labeled "Farm nonmortgage" in the tables)also underwent a sharp increase in the year ending December31, 1949. However, in examining this component of the netdebt total, it is advisable to separate Commodity CreditCorporation loans and guarantees, which are not debt in theusual sense. The loans are nonrecourse in form and arisefrom price-support activity of the Government. The trans-action is essentially a sale when the loan is not redeemed.

    Excluding CCC loans and guaranties, farm non-real-estatecredit totaled $4% billion on December 31, 1949, about13 percent above the amount outstanding a year earlier.The increase in the three prior years had averaged about 20percent. The diminished rate of increase in farm nonmort-gage credit may indicate that farm demand for capital equip-ment and other improvements has been restricted by reducedincomes. However, there may have been, also, an increaseduse of farm mortgage loans to finance equipment expendituresand to refund existing short-term credit.

    Noncorporate business and individual borrowings for com-mercial, financial and consumer purposes increased during1949 to a total of $30% billion at the end of the year.The year's advance of nearly $3 billion was less than thatrecorded in 1947 and 1948, in both absolute and percent-age terms. Within this major category, there were againdivergent movements.

    Noncorporate commercial debt reducedBusiness decisions to reduce inventories had been a major

    factor in the 1949 adjustment. In the noncorporate, non-farm, sector there was a drop of nearly $1% billion in in-ventory book values. Reduced requirements for credit tohold inventories account for the downturn in the commercial(nonfarm) category (table 7). This series represents onlycommercial and industrial loans by banks to noncorporatebusiness enterprises. Trade payables carried on the booksof noncorporate business firms are not included because ofthe lack of basic data; however, available evidence indicatesan even greater contraction in that category than in bankloans.

    Source: U. S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census and Office of BusioessEconomics.

    Expansion of security loansAs part of the general program to ease credit restrictions

    early in 1949, the Federal Reserve Board relaxed the marketcontrols imposed in Regulations T and U, which relate to theuse of credit to purchase or carry securities. Margin require-ments on listed stocks were reduced from 75 to 50 percent.There followed a moderate increase in bank and brokers' loansfor this purpose. At the end of 1949, these loans amountedto $3% billionup more than $% billion from December 31,1948, but still at a relatively low level.

    Policy loans and premium notes against life insurance cashvalues also expanded during the year, but maintained a lowratio to total policy reserves. The increase was not such asto evidence a growing amount of distress borrowing. Thisseries includes only loans by life insurance carriers and isincluded under the "financial" category in table 7, togetherwith the security credit mentioned above.

    Consumers* debt risesConsumer debtthe remaining segment of noncorporate

    business and individual debtis related to such factors as theamount of current income, the preceding debt level, existinginventories of consumers' goods, the volume of liquid assets,and anticipated income and price movements. Also, there isa long-term growth factor resulting from price changes,population increase, and lessening social pressures againstthe incurrence of indebtedness. The major factor contribut-ing to the further growth of consumer credit during 1949, asin previous postwar years, was undoubtedly the expandingflow of durable goods to consumers.

    On December 31, 1949, total consumer credit amounted tonearly $19 billion, up $2% billion from the end of 1948.This total represented 10 percent of the year's disposablepersonal income (personal income after personal taxes andother payments to Government), compared to 8.7 percent atthe end of 1948. By the end of June 1950, consumer credithad advanced to $19.7 billion, but the relationship to dis-posable personal income remained stable at 10 percent.As may be seen in chart 3, where this is shown graphically,

    Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • October 1950 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 13

    total consumer credit in June did not seem to be unusuallyhigh (the relationship was well over 10 percent in six of theprewar years1936 through 1941). This was especiallytrue if the long-term growth trend is taken into account.

    Installment credit, the most volatile component of theconsumer credit total, was still below the immediate prewarrelationship to income in June 1950, but had risen verysharply in the preceding 6 months. Pursuant to the DefenseProduction Act of 1950, regulation of installment credit wasreimposed. Under the provisions of Regulation W, theFederal Reserve Board resumed its control of this form ofcredit on September 18, 1950.

    Debt and interest paymentsThe foregoing discussion has been confined to a description

    of recent major changes in the debt structure. Table 2traces the growth in gross public and private debt over thepast 20 years. Particularly noteworthy is that the expansionin total debtfrom $214 billion in 1929 to $513 billion atthe end of 1949was not accompanied by a similar rise ingross interest payments. Interest payments were $13 billionin 1929 and $14% billion in 1949. (See table 37, SUPPLE-MENT TO SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS, July 1947, andtable 37, SURVEY, July 1950.) The computed average ratesof interest are 6.0 percent for 1929 and 2.8 percent for 1949.Because of lack of complete comparability between the debtand interest series, these percentages are subject to someerror, but the fact of a halving of interest rates in this periodhas been of major significance in investment and in thecomparative ability to carry debt.

    Primarily responsible for this drop was the general declinein market interest rates. The changed composition of grossdebt between 1929 and 1949in particular the substantiallyhigher proportion of public debtwas a contributing factor,but of much less importance.

    Revised SeriesEstimates for 1916 through 1935 as published in this

    article are identical with those presented in the October1949 SURVEY. Estimates for 1936 through 1948, as pub-lished in the October 1949 SURVEY, have been revised in thepresent article because of revisions in the Bureau of Agri-cultural Economics series for non-real-estate debt of farmersand farmers7 cooperative organizations (1936-48), and theincorporation of other basic data, particularly for the cor-porate business sector, for more recent years.

    The statistical bases for the present estimates are ingeneral similar to those used in the past. These have beenexplained in articles in the September 1945 and July 1944issues of the SURVEY and in the special bulletin, " Indebted-ness in the United States, 1929-41" (Department of Com-merce, Economic Series No. 21, U. S. Government PrintingOffice, 1942).1 In the September 1946 and September 1947articles modifications of former procedures were noted.

    Gross and net debt conceptsNet public and private debt outstanding is a compre-

    hensive aggregate of the indebtedness of borrowers afterelimination of certain types of duplicating governmentaland corporate debt. This measure of indebtedness providesa more significant indication of trends in the debt structurethan does gross debt, since the effects of nominal changes infinancial practices and organization are largely removed.

    To obtain net figures, gross debt is adjusted for specifictypes of duplications pertaining to the following sectors of

    i Copies of this bulletin are available from the Superintendent of Documents, GovernmentPrinting Office, Washington 25, D. C.; price, 15 cents*

    the economy: (1) the Federal Government and its corpora-tions and agencies generally; (2) State and local govern-ments, which are treated as a single entity; and (3) withinthe corporate area, those affiliated but legally distinct cor-porations which operate under a single management. Inthe noncorporate private area, data are gross throughoutwith no adjustments for duplications.

    The net debt concept, then, depends upon the definitionsemployed in measuring gross and duplicating debt. Grossdebt, as defined in this study, consists of all classes of legalindebtedness except the following: (1) the deposit liabilityof banks and the amount of bank notes in circulation; (2) thevalue of outstanding policies and annuities of life insurancecarriers; (3) the short-term debts among individuals andunincorporated nonfinancial business firms; and (4) thenominal debt of corporations, such as bonds which areauthorized but unissued, or outstanding but reacquired.

    Chart 3.Consumer Credit Related to Disposable Per-sonal Income 1

    20

    16

    50

    oo

    _L I0 40 80 120 160 200

    DISPOSABLE PERSONAL INCOME, TOTALFOR YEAR (BILLIONS OF DOLLARS)

    U. S. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE, OFFICE OF BUSINESS ECONOMICS.

    240

    1 Data plotted for first half of 1950 are as follows: consumer credit outstanding, June 1950;

    disposable personal income, first two quarters of 1950, seasonally adjusted, at annual rate.Sources of data: Consumer credit, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System;

    disposable personal income, U. S. Department of Commerce, Office of Business Economics.

    Duplicating debt may best be described with reference tothe sectors mentioned above. Within the Federal Govern-ment and its corporations and agencies, duplicating debtconsists of Federal holdings of Federal obligations. Withinthe State and local government area, State and local govern-ment securities held in sinking, trust, or investment funds byeither the issuer or other entities within the sector are con-sidered duplicating debt and eliminated. In the privatecorporate area, duplicating debt is defined as owed toother members of an affiliated system.

    Thus, to arrive at net debt, each sector except the noncor-porate is adjusted to a net basis by certain consolidationswithin the sector. A summation of the consolidated esti-mates for each sector yields the total for net public andprivate debt.

    The net debt concept for each of the four sectors can besummarized as follows: Federal Government net debt is thatowed to all other sectors of the economy except the FederalGovernment proper and its corporations and agencies;State and local government net debt is that owed to allother economic entities except State and local governments;

    Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • 14 SUEVEY OF CUEEENT BUSINESS October 1950Table 5.Gross and Net Corporate Debt, End of Calendar Year, 1929-49

    [Millions of dollars]

    End of year

    192919301931 _ _ _ _ -19321933

    19341935193619371938

    19391940 :194119421943 __ _ _

    19441945 1194619471948

    1949

    1929 _ __1930193119321933

    19341935:19361937 .1938

    19391940 _ _ _ _ _ _ _19411942 _1943

    19441945194619471948

    1949

    19291930__ _ _193119321933_ _

    19341935 _193619371938 _

    19391940_ _ _194119421943. _ _ -

    19441945194619471948

    1949

    AH corporations

    Total Long-term !

    Short-term l

    TotalNotesand

    accountspayable

    Other

    Railway corporations

    Total Long-term1

    Short-term l

    TotalNotesand

    accountspayable

    Other

    Nonrailway corporations

    Total Long-term 1

    Short-term 1

    TotalNotesand

    accountspayable

    Other

    Gross Corporate Debt

    107, 043107, 425100, 33696, 11092, 373

    90, 61389, 78590, 87090, 21686, 779

    86, 80788, 96697, 543

    106, 331110, 316

    108, 98699, 523

    109, 292124,823133, 692

    131, 771

    56, 62561, 08660, 07458, 76257, 161

    53, 19151, 95450, 56351, 50652, 846

    52, 11351, 23351, 24550, 15648, 354

    47, 01845, 32148, 43554, 98860, 867

    65, 163

    50,41846, 33940, 26237, 34835, 212

    37, 42237, 83140, 40738, 71033, 933

    34, 69437, 73346, 29856, 16661, 962

    61, 96854, 20260, 85769, 83572, 825

    66, 608

    35, 43632, 27928, 75425, 28923, 827

    25, 80925, 95227, 08825, 57321, 627

    22, 16722, 71726, 15626, 03226, 318

    26, 89825, 71831, 66735, 66637, 135

    33, 730

    14, 98214, 06011, 50812, 05911, 385

    11, 61311,87913, 31913, 13712, 306

    12, 52715, 01620, 15230, 13435, 644

    35, 07028, 48429, 19034, 16935, 690

    32, 878

    16, 07716, 35016, 35816, 41916, 457

    16, 41016, 39716, 66616, 63516, 777

    16, 96417, 17017, 30817, 68418, 131

    17, 22115, 41113, 71414,17313, 996

    13, 823

    14, 38014, 71614, 78214, 85214, 798

    14, 68214, 54014, 58914, 50814, 495

    14, 47514, 54414, 38813, 98313, 391

    12, 62511, 87410, 87711,16911,124

    11, 348

    1,6971,6341,5761,5671,659

    1,7281,8572,0772,1272,282

    2,4892,6262,9203,7014,740

    4,5963,5372,8373,0042,872

    2,475

    725655706686690

    685692683632629

    633500529584868

    839881799904872

    775

    972979870881969

    1,0431,1651,3941,4951,653

    1,8562,1262,3913,1173,872

    3,7572,6562,0382,1002,000

    1,700

    90, 96691, 07583, 97879, 69175, 916

    74, 20373, 38874, 20473, 58170, 002

    69, 84371, 79680, 23588, 64792, 185

    91, 76584, 11295, 578

    110,650119, 696

    117, 948

    42, 24546, 37045, 29243, 91042, 363

    38, 50937, 41435, 87436, 99838, 351

    37, 63836, 68936, 85736, 18234, 963

    34, 39333, 44737, 55843, 81949, 743

    53, 815

    48, 72144, 70538, 68635, 78133, 553

    35, 69435, 97438, 33036, 58331, 651

    32, 20535, 10743, 37852, 46557, 222

    57, 37250, 66558, 02066, 83169, 953

    64, 133

    34, 71131, 62428, 04824, 60323, 137

    25, 12425, 26026, 40524, 94120, 998

    21, 53422, 21725, 62725, 44825, 450

    26, 05924, 83730, 86834, 76236, 263

    32, 955

    14, 01013, 08110, 63811, 17810, 416

    10, 57010, 71411, 92511, 64210, 653

    10, 67112, 89017, 75127, 01731, 772

    31, 31325, 82827, 15232, 06933, 690

    31, 178

    Duplicating Corporate Debt

    18, 14218, 16816, 83816, 09515, 436

    15, 10914, 99214,80714,41313, 488

    13, 26213, 39014, 10014, 68214, 797

    14, 85714, 23115, 75418, 71920, 132

    20, 156

    9,27810, 0169,7719,5719,292

    8, 5808,3927,9447,9938,004

    7,7477,5807,6317,4987,314

    7,1866,9997,0928,9029,980

    10, 718

    8,8648,1527,0676,5246,144

    6,5296,6006,8636,4205,484

    5,5155,8106,4697,1847,483

    7,6717,2328,6629,817

    10, 152

    9,438

    6,2755,7215,0834,4494,190

    4,5384,5664,6484,2833,534

    3,6763,7804,3464,3234,362

    4,4594,2645,2565,9206,166

    5,601

    2,5892,4311,9842,0751,954

    1,9912,0342,2152,1371,950

    1,8392,0302,1232,8613,121

    3,2122,9683,4063,8973,986

    3,837

    1,0721,0251,0131,0711,108

    1,1271,1681,2221,3121,345

    1,3781,4431,4841,4871,558

    1,5101,485

    8071,4991,496

    1,849

    875830821877900

    909932967

    ,045,055

    ,0621,112,129

    1,1151,147

    1,1191,099

    4671,1721,205

    1,225

    197195192194208

    218236255267290

    316331355372411

    391386340327291

    264

    10192999697

    9697968888

    88707481

    120

    116124111126121

    108

    961039398

    111

    122139159179202

    228261281291291

    275262229201170

    156

    17, 07017, 14315, 82515, 02414, 328

    13, 98213,82413, 58513, 10112, 143

    11,88411, 94712, 61613, 19513, 239

    13, 34712, 74614, 94717, 22018, 636

    18, 667

    8,4039,1868,9508,6948,392

    7,6717,4606,9776,9486,949

    6,6856,4686,5026,3836,167

    6,0675,9006,6257,7308,775

    9,493

    8,6677,9576,8756,3305,936

    6,3116,3646,6086,1535,194

    5,1995,4796,1146,8127,072

    7,2806,8468,3229,4909,861

    9,174

    6,1745,6294,9844,3534,093

    4,4424,4694,5524,1953,446

    3,5883,7104,2724,2424,242

    4,3434,1405,1455,7946,045

    5, 493

    2,4932,3281,8911,9771,843

    1,8691,8952,0561,9581,748

    1,6111,7691,8422,5702,830

    2,9372,7063,1773,6963,816

    3,681

    Net Corporate Debt

    88, 90189,-25783, 49880, 01576, 937

    75, 50474, 79376, 06375, 80373, 291

    73, 54575, 57683, 44391, 64995, 519

    94, 12985, 29293, 538

    106, 104113, 560

    111, 615

    47, 34751, 07050, 30349, 19147, 869

    44, 61143, 56242, 51943, 51344, 842

    44, 36643, 65343, 61442, 66741, 040

    39, 83238, 32241, 34346, 08650, 887

    54,445

    41, 55438, 18733, 19530, 82429, 068

    30, 89331, 23133, 54422,29028, 449

    29, 17931, 92339, 82948, 98254, 479

    54, 29746, 97052, 19560, 01862, 673

    57, 170

    29, 16126, 55823, 67120, 84019, 637

    21, 27121, 38622, 44021, 29018, 093

    18, 49118, 93721,81021, 70921, 956

    22, 43921, 45426, 41129, 74630, 969

    28, 129

    12, 39311, 6299,5249,9849,431

    9,6229,845

    11,10411,00010, 356

    10, 68812, 98618, 01927, 27332, 523

    31,85825, 51625, 78430, 27231, 704

    29, 041

    15, 00515, 32515, 34515, 34815, 349

    15, 28315, 22915, 44415, 32315, 432

    15. 58615, 72715,82416,19716, 573

    15,71113, 92612,90712, 67412, 500

    12, 334

    13, 50513, 88613, 96113, 97513, 898

    13, 77313, 60813, 62213, 46313,440

    13,41313,43213, 25912,86812,244

    11, 50610, 77510, 4109,9979,919

    10, 123

    1,5001,4391,3841,3731,451

    1,5101,6211,8221,8601,992

    2,1732,2952,5653,3294,329

    4,2053,1512,4972,6772,581

    2,211

    624563607590593

    589595587544541

    545430455503748

    723757688778751

    667

    876876777783858

    9211,0261,2351,3161,451

    1,6281,8652,1102,8263,581

    3,4822,3941,8091,8991,830

    1,544

    73, 89673, 93268, 15364, 66761, 588

    60, 22159, 56460, 61960, 48057, 859

    57, 95959, 84967, 61975, 45278, 946

    78, 41871, 36680, 63193, 430

    101, 060

    99, 281

    33, 84237, 18436, 34235, 21633, 971

    30, 83829, 95428, 89730, 05031,402

    30, 95330, 22130, 35529, 79928, 796

    28, 32627, 54730, 93336, 08940, 968

    44, 322

    40, 05436, 74831, 81129, 45127, 617

    29, 38329, 61031,72230, 43026, 457

    27, 00629, 62837, 26445, 65350, 150

    50, 09243, 81949, 69857, 34160, 092

    54, 959

    28, 53725, 9.9523, 06420, 25019,044

    20, 68220, 79121, 85320, 74617, 552

    17, 94618, 50721, 35521,20621, 208

    21,71620, 69725, 72328, 96830, 218

    27, 462

    11,51710, 7538,7479,2018,573

    8,7018,8199,8699,6848,905

    9,06011,12115,90924, 44728, 942

    28, 37623,12223, 97528, 37329, 874

    27, 497

    i Long-term debt is defined as having an original maturity of 1 year or more from date of issue; short-term debt as having an original maturity of less than 1 year.Sources: U. S. Treasury Department, Bureau of Internal Eevenue; Interstate Commerce Commission; U. S. Department of Commerce, Office of Business Economics.

    Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • October 1950 SUEVEY OF CURKENT BUSINESS 15Table 6.Nonfarm Mortgage Debt by Lender Groups, End of Calendar Year, 1929-49 1

    [Millions of dollars]

    End of year

    19291930 __1931___19321933

    19341935193619371938

    1939 ._1940194119421943

    1944194519461947 '._._1948 _- _ _.

    1949

    Residential and commercial

    Total

    37, 32638, 37437, 38335, 54031, 807

    30, 86529, 89929, 49329, 48829, 733

    30, 31431, 25532, 40731, 90730, 994

    30, 79231, 68437, 97445, 24852, 412

    58, 352

    Corpo-rate2

    5,6535,7235,6525,3924,229

    4,0493,7753,7563,7723,872

    3,9894,0603,9714, 0373,829

    3,7823,9124,5865,3746,159

    6,855

    Noncor-porate

    31, 67332, 65131, 73130, 14827, 578

    26, 81626, 12425, 73725, 71625, 861

    26, 32527, 19528, 43627, 87027, 165

    27, 01027, 77233, 38839, 87446, 253

    51, 497

    1-4 family residential

    Total

    19, 48119,61519,01317, 87216, 743

    16, 95816, 84116, 69016, 82717, 073

    17, 60818, 40019, 40019, 21918, 781

    18, 77819, 20823, 56928, 57033, 451

    37, 251

    Savingsand loanassocia-

    tions

    6,5076,4025,8905,1484,437

    3,7103,2933,2373,4203,555

    3,7584,0844,5524,5564,584

    4,7995,3767,1408,856

    10, 305

    11, 600

    Life in-surancecarriers

    1,6261,7321,7751,7241,599

    1,3791,2811,2451,2461,320

    1,4901,7581,9762,2552,410

    2,4582,2582,5703,4594,925

    5,970

    Mutualsavingsbanks

    2,2862,3412,4362,4462,354

    2,1902,0892,0822,1112,119

    2,1282,1622,1892,1282,033

    1,9371,8942,0332,2372,742

    3,190

    Com-mercialbanks

    1,9621,9401,8121,6541,521

    1,2001,2811,3631,4721,580

    1,7541,9302,3162,3632,316

    2,2932,4283,6904,9825,700

    6,100

    H.O.L.C.

    132

    2,3792,8972,7632,3982,169

    2,0381,9561,7771,5671,338

    1,091852636486369

    231

    Individ-uals andothers

    7,1007,2007,1006,9006,700

    6,1006,0006,0006,1806,330

    6,4406,5106,5906,3506,100

    6,2006,4007,5008,5509,410

    10, 160

    Multifamily residential and commercial

    Total

    17, 84518, 75918, 37017, 66815, 064

    13, 90713, 05812, 80312, 66112, 660

    12, 70612, 85513, 00712, 68812, 213

    12, 01412, 47614, 40516, 67818, 961

    21, 101

    Life in-surancecarriers

    3,5753,7943,8983,7413, 455

    3,2182,9892,9163,0803,235

    3,2923,3033,5413,5633,444

    3,4183,6023,7904,3214,911

    5,787

    Mutualsavingsbanks

    3,4913,5573,6103,4613, 338

    3,1522,9902,8192,7552,684

    2,6952,6852,6132,4942,383

    2,3612,3062,3992,5913,031

    3,478

    Com-mercialbanks

    (3)(3)(3)(3)(3)(3)(3)(3)(3)(3)1,865

    1,9432,0672,0241,8931,7421, 6731,8232,8433,6414,319

    4,636

    Individ-uals andothers

    (3)(3)(3)(3)

    (3)(3)(3)(3)(3)4,876

    4,7764,8004,8294,7384,6444,5624,7455,3736,1256,700

    7,200

    1 The data represent mortgage loans on commercial and residential property, and excludereal estate mortgage bonds. Multifamily and commercial property mortgages owed bycorporations and held by other nonfinancial corporations are also excluded.

    2 The corporate mortgage debt total is included in the total corporate long-term debt out-standing, table 5.

    sNot available.Sources: Federal Savings and Loan Insurance Corporation; U. S. Department of Com-

    merce, Office of Business Economics.

    Table 7.Individual and Noncorporate Debt, End of Calendar Year, 1929-49[Millions of dollars]

    End of year

    19291930 -193119321933

    1934193519361937 _1938

    1939194019411942194319441945194619471948

    1949

    Farm andnonfarm

    total

    72, 55171, 56565, 07657, 73851, 835

    50, 79550, 64351, 41352, 10351, 034

    51, 96753, 97856, 50851, 53149, 452

    51, 53555, 42061, 82572, 65284, 519

    93, 843

    Farm

    Total farm

    12, 21811, 77911,06710, 1029,086

    8,8988,9558,5838,5988,972

    8,8349,1049,2368,9218,204

    7,7377,1727,5328,428

    10, 613

    11, 862

    Farmmortgage *

    9,6319,3989,0948,4667,685

    7,5847,4237,1546,9556,779

    6,5866,4916,3725,9515,389

    4,9334,6824,7774,8825,108

    5,413

    Farm non-mortgage 2

    2,5872,3811,9731,6361,401

    1,3141,5321,4291,6432,193

    2,2482,6132,8642,9702,815

    2,8042,4902,7553,5465,505

    6,449

    Nonfarm

    Totalnonfarm

    60, 33359, 78654, 00947, 63642, 749

    41, 89741, 68842, 83043, 50542, 062

    43, 13344, 87447, 27242, 61041,248

    43, 79848, 24854, 29364, 22473, 906

    81, 981

    Nonfarm mortgage

    Total

    31, 67332, 65131, 73130, 14827, 578

    26, 81626, 12425, 73725, 71625, 861

    26, 32527, 19528, 43627, 87027, 165

    27, 01027, 77233, 38839, 87446, 253

    51, 497

    1-4 family

    18, 50718, 63418, 06216, 97815,906

    16,11015, 99915, 85615, 98616,219

    16, 72817, 48018, 43018, 25817, 842

    17,83918, 24822, 39127, 14231, 778

    35, 388

    Multi-family andcommercial

    13, 16614,01713, 66913, 17011, 672

    10, 70610, 1259,8819,7309,642

    9,5979,715

    10, 0069,6129,323

    9,1719,524

    10, 99712, 73214, 475

    16, 109

    Other

    Total

    28, 66027, 13522, 27817, 48815, 171

    15,08115, 56417, 09317, 78916, 201

    16, 80817, 67918, 83614, 74014, 083

    16, 78820, 47620, 90524, 35027, 653

    30, 484

    Commercial(nonfarm)

    (4)(4)(4)(4)(4)(4)(4)(4)(4)(4)3,0283,4944,1293,3543,168

    3, 2273,9125,1226,1006,388

    5,918

    Financial 3

    (4)(4)(4)(4)(4)(4)(4)(4)(4)(4)5,8115,0704,8454,8085,537

    7,7589,9275,5924,5774,946

    5,787

    Consumer

    7,6286,8215,5184,0853,912

    4,3895,4346,7887,4807,047

    7,9699,1159,8626,5785,378

    5,8036,637

    10, 19113, 67316, 319

    18, 779

    1 Includes regular mortgages, purchase-money mortgages, and sales contracts.

    2 Includes agricultural loans to farmers and farmers' cooperatives by institutional lenders;

    farmers' financial and consumer debt is included under the "nonfarm" categories.3 Comprises debt owed to banks for purchasing or carrying securities, customers' debt to

    brokers, and debt owed to life insurance companies by policy holders.

    corporate net debt is that owed to all other entities (includ-ing corporations) except to corporate members of an affili-ated system; and private noncorporate net (or gross) debtis the summation of all forms of legal indebtedness except

    * Not available.Sources: U. S. Department of Agriculture, Bureau of Agricultural Economics; Board of

    Governors of the Federal Reserve System; U. S. Department of Commerce, Office of BusinessEconomics.

    that among individuals and unincorporated nonfinancialbusiness firms. Data showing adjustments for duplicationinvolved in passing from gross to net debt are given in detailin tables 3, 4, and 5.

    Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • 16 SURVEY OF CUEEENT BUSINESS October 1950

    Trends in Employee Compensation(Continued from page 8)

    More complete data by industrial division is available onchanges in wage rates over the past year, as shown in table6. For the most part, the higher paying durable-goodsindustries scored the largest gains, as in lumber and woodproducts and stone, clay and glass products. However,large advances were made in some nondurable-goods sectorssuch as tobacco manufactures, chemicals, and leather andleather products. In some groups, the increase was not aslarge as the advance in consumer prices.

    Change in weekly earningsDue to increased hours worked, advances in hourly rates

    and shifts to higher paying industries, weekly earnings inmanufacturing rose to a peak of $60 in August 1950, com-pared to $55 in the same month a year ago, and $56 duringthe previous 1948 high. The change in weekly earnings-plus allowances for social security and income taxesincurrent and real terms is shown in chart 7. Over the pastyear, the net spendable average weekly earnings for aworker with three dependents rose 8.5 percent, comparedwith the 2.5 percent increase in consumer pricesresultingin an advance in real terms of 6 percent.

    The chart also reveals the change in weekly earnings bothin current and real dollars when viewed against the prewarbackground. In August 1950, weekly earnings in currentdollars had more than doubled since prewar. The advancein real terms was substantially less, as shown in the chart,although earnings exceeded the increase in consumer pricessince prewar.

    Chart 7.Net Spendable Average Weekly Earnings ofWorkers With. Three Dependents

    DOLL60

    50

    40

    30

    20

    10

    0

    ARS\

    0

    ..** ** *

    . -

    ..** ^ ~ CURRENT DOLLARS

    ~

    df^*^ ^*r 1939 DOLLARS

    -

    I l l193940 41 1947 1948 1949 1950^

    U. S. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE, OFFICE OF BUSINESS ECONOMICS 50-274

    1 Data for August 1950 are estimates of the U. S. Department of Commerce, Office of Busi-

    ness Economics.Source of data: U. S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

    I lew or STATISTICAL SERIESRevision of Manufacturers' Sales, Orders and Inventories

    The estimates of manufacturers' sales, orders and inventories prepared by the Office ofBusiness Economics are revised annually to take into account new comprehensive informationas it becomes available. The present revision utilizes new benchmark data for 1947. Salesand inventory aggregates for that year were compiled by the Bureau of Internal Revenuefrom corporate tax returns, while corresponding information for unincorporated firms wasderived from individual income tax returns.

    Because the most recent noncorporate data available prior to this revision pertained to1945, the present revision goes back through 1946. Monthly estimates in 1946 and 1947 andmonthly and annual figures since 1947 are based on sales and inventory data reported by asample of manufacturing companies. Previously published figures from 1939 to 1945 areunchanged.

    There are no benchmark data on new and unfilled orders. However, these estimates havealso been revised, since under the method of estimation they are affected by any alteration inthe sales figures.

    The estimates of retail and wholesale sales and inventories, which usually are revised atthe same time as the manufacturing series, have not been changed this year. The trade esti-mates will be revised as soon as the final figures of the 1948 Census of Business become avail-able. Thus, the new figures on total business sales and inventories allow for changes onlyin the manufacturing segment (see table 1).

    Sources of error in the estimatesThe need for annual revision of the manufacturing series, as has been explained in earlier

    descriptions of the method of estimation, arises from the availability each year of the latestbenchmark data from the Bureau of Internal Revenue.1 Viewed statistically, the annualprojections from the latest benchmarks are intended as estimates of the benchmarks which willbecome available subsequently.

    There are three sources of discrepancy between the estimates based on the reporting sampleand the actual compiled figures on sales or inventories (1) the sample may not be completelyrepresentative with respect to changes in sales and inventories; (2) the data reported by acompany in the sample may differ from the corresponding figures reported by the same firmto the Bureau of Internal Revenue; and (3) information for estimating the effect on salesand inventories of business births and deaths or of changes in industrial classification may beunavailable or incomplete.

    The divergence between the movements of the sample and of the entire group of firmswhich it represents is partly a matter of chance and partly bias. This bias is probablyunavoidable within conceivable limits on the expense of maintaining the sample, since eventhe availability within the individual firm of information on monthly changes in sales and

    i See the SUEVEY or CURRENT BUSINESS, May 1948, p. 8, and October 1949, p. 12.

    inventories is likely to be correlated with the direction of the change, at least part of thetime. For example, in a period when inventories have been growing more rapidly thansales, the accumulation may tend to be stopped sooner among firms which maintain monthlyinventory records. Again, size of firm is clearly a factor in the firm's willingness to supplyinformation when available, and changes in sales and inventories are correlated with sizeof firm at least part of the time.

    It is important to realize, moreover, that even were monthly reports to be submittedby every manufacturing firm in the country, it would still not be possible to determine fromthem the precise annual changes in manufacturers' sales and inventories as compiled by theBureau of Internal Revenue. There are many reasons why the sum of 12 months of salesas currently reported may differ from the year of sales as reported in a tax return, so that theyear-to-year changes derived on the two bases may not be the same. An obvious source ofdifference is a fiscal tax year other than the calendar year. Differences in the degree of con-solidation, in the inclusion of foreign transactions, and inevitable discrepancies betweenan unaudited preliminary figure and a final audited one are further examples, among othersthat could be cited.

    Finally, business population changes take place from year to year which are difficult orimpossible to measure on a sample basis. Although estimates of the number of entrants toand withdrawals from the business population are available, as well as some data on theiraverage sales and inventories, only crude adjustments for the effect of these population changesare possible. Moreover, changes in a company's industry as classified by the Bureau ofInternal Revenue occur from time to time, and there is no satisfactory way of allowing forthese in projecting the OBE estimates.Size of the Revision

    The utilization of the 1947 tax data indicated that manufacturers' sales for 1947 were esti-mated too high by 7 percent. This involved a moderate correction to the corporate total,and a substantial adjustment to the noncorporate.

    While inadequacy of the noncorporate sample may well have contributed to the size of thenoncorporate revision, examination of the data makes it clear that population changes wereof greater importance. Between 1945the year of the preceding compilation of noncorporatefirmsand 1947, an unprecedented number of new manufacturing firms had come into exist-ence, the majority of them unincorporated. Also, a very substantial number of previouslynoncorporate concerns had incorporated during this period. The estimated adjustment tosales for such changes was based on quite skimpy information on tha average size of the com-panies involved, and this adjustment turned out to be too large.

    The revisions in the new orders figures were about as large as in sales, since the computationof the new orders is directly affected by a change in sales. The inventory revisions were small-er than the sales adjustments, mainly because the noncorporate inventory estimates werecloser than in the case of sales. However, interrelationships among sales, inventories andorders remain largely unchanged by the revisions.

    Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • October 1950 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 17Table 1.Business Sales and Inventories Seasonally Adjusted

    [Billions of dollars]

    Years and months

    19391940 _..194119421943

    i441945194619471948

    1949

    1946: JanuaryFebruaryMarch

    AprilMay _ __June

    JulvAugust.... _ _ _ _ _ _September

    OctoberNovember _ __December

    1947: JanuaryFebruary _ _.MarchAprilMayJune

    July . _August __ _SeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember

    1948: JanuaryFebruary.MarchAprilMayJune.

    JulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember

    1949: January .,February. _ __March, _April . _ _MavJune

    J u l y _ _AugustSeptember _October.NovemberDecember

    Business sales

    Total

    133 3150. 2196. 9230. S268. 5

    288.9290.2330. 9403.0444.0

    418.2

    23.823.624.5

    25.926.826.4

    28.329.728.8

    29.931.331.7

    31.732. 032. 332. 733. 233 1

    33.633.034.735.734.935.9

    36.036.136. 936.836.337.7

    37.438.138.236.837.037.0

    35.135.436.034.834.835.2

    33.735.936.033. 634.433.5

    Manufacturing

    Total

    61 270.298.0

    125. 1153. 9

    165. 4154. 6151. 4191.0213. 7

    200. 0

    10.610.210. 9

    12.012.412.0

    13.113.712.9

    13.714.915. 0

    14.915.015.315.615. 915 7

    16. 015.716. 517. 016. 417.1

    17.117. 317. 617.417.418.2

    17.918.518.717.818.017.8

    16.817.017.416.616.516.8

    16.017.717.615.816.215.8

    Dura-ble

    goods

    22.428.744.360.079.3

    84.572.657.177.688.9

    83. 5

    3.83.33.8

    4.44.64.5

    5.15.45.1

    5.65.85.8

    6.06.06.16.46.56.3

    6.46.36.77.0

    7^1

    6.87.17.37.17.17.5

    7.37.97.97.57.87.8

    7.17.37.47.06.97.2

    6.77.47.36.26.66.5

    Nondu-rablegoods

    38.841.553.765.174. 5

    80.982.094. 3

    113.4124. 8

    116. 5

    6.96.97.1

    7.67.87.6

    7.98.37.8

    8.29.19.2

    8.99.09.29.29.49.4

    9.69.49.8

    10. 09.7

    10.0

    10.310. 310.310. 310.310.7

    10.610.910.910.210.210.0

    9.79.7

    10.09.69.69.7

    9.410.310.39.69.69.2

    Wholesale trade

    Total

    30.133. 643.448.151.3

    54.759.879.293.1

    100. 3

    90.0

    5.85.95.9

    6.16.36.2

    6.87.07.1

    7.37.37.4

    7.67.67.57.47.57.5

    7.77.48.08.48.08.2

    8.48.18.48.48.28.7

    8.68.58.58.18.28.2

    7.77.77.97.47.57.7

    7.27.57.57.17.67.3

    Dura-ble

    goods

    7.28.9

    12.010.39.3

    10.010.816.622.325.5

    21.2

    1.11.11.1

    1.21.31.4

    1.41.51.5

    1.61.61.7

    1.71.81.81.81.91.8

    1.81.81.92.02.02.0

    2.02.02.12.12.12.2

    2.22.32.32.12.12.0

    1.71.81.91.71.81.8

    1.61.81.91.71.81.7

    Nondu-rablegoods

    22.924.731.437.842.0

    44.749.062.670.774.7

    68.8

    4.74.84.7

    4.95.04.9

    5.45.55.5

    5.75.75.7

    5.95.85.75.65.65.7

    5.95.66.16.46.16.2

    6.46.26.36. 36.16. 5

    6.56.36.26. 06.16.1

    6.05.96.05.75.75.9

    5.55.75.65.45.85.6

    Retail trade

    Total

    42.046.455. 557.663. 3

    68.875.8

    100.3118.9130. 0

    128.2

    7.47.67.7

    7.98.18.1

    8.59.08.8

    8.99.19.2

    9.29.49.59.79.89.8

    9.99.9

    10.310.310.510.6

    10.610.610.811. 010. 610.9

    10. 911.011.010.910.811.0

    10.610.710.710.810.810.7

    10.510.710.910.710.610.5

    Dura-ble

    goods

    10.412.415.610.39.9

    10.612.322.632.138.0

    39.9

    1.41.41.5

    1.71.81.8

    1.92.12.2

    2.22.42.4

    2.42.52.52.62.52.6

    2.62.62.92.92.93.0

    3.03.03.23.22.93.1

    3.23.43.33.23.23.3

    3.03.23.33.33.33.3

    3.33.53.53.63.33.1

    Nondu-rablegoods

    31.734.039.947.453.5

    58.263. 577.786.892.0

    88.3

    6.06.26.2

    6.26.36.4

    6.56.96.7

    6.66.86.9

    6.86.97.07.17.27.2

    7.37.27.47.47.67.6

    7.67.67.67.77.77.7

    7.77.77.77.77.67.7

    7.67.57.47.57.47.3

    7.27.27.47.17.37.4

    Business inventories book value 1

    Total

    20.222.128.831.131.2

    30.930.542.450.856. 8

    51.6

    30. 631.532.2

    32.933.734. 5

    36.437.838.9

    40.741. 642.4

    43.844.845.946.947.247.8

    48.148.649.049.550.050. 8

    51.451.952.452.753.154.0

    54.655.256.256.556.856.8

    56.856. 656.456.055.054.4

    53.452.752.952.552.151.6

    Manufacturing

    Total

    11.512.817.019.320.1

    19.518.424.528.932. 3

    28.9

    18.218.819.2

    19.620.020.4

    21.422.122.7

    23.724.224.5

    25.325.826.326.927.427.7

    27.828.128.228.428.828.9

    29.029.229.529.830.230.7

    31.031.331.731.832.132.3

    32.632. 632.432.231.731.2

    30.429.729.328.928.728.9

    Dura-ble

    goods

    5.26.18.4

    10.110.8

    10.18.5

    11.613.915.6

    13.4

    8.38.79.0

    9.39.49.8

    10.110.410.8

    11.111.411.6

    12.112.312. 612.913.113.4

    13.513.713.713.913.913. 9

    13.914.014.114.214.314.5

    14.714.814.915.015.315.6

    15.916.015.915.715.415.0

    14.614.113.713.413.213.4

    Nondu-rablegoods

    6.36.78.69.29.3

    9.4, 9.812.915.016.7

    15.5

    9.910.110.2

    10.310.510.6

    11.311.611.9

    12.612.812.9

    13.213.413.714.114.214.3

    14.314.414.514.514.915.0

    15.115.215.415.615.816.2

    16.316.516.816.816.716.7

    16.816. 716.616.416.316.2

    15.815.615.615.615.515.5

    Wholesale trade

    Total

    3.23.34.23 93! 7

    4.04.66.78.79.5

    9.0

    4.64.74.8

    4.85.05.0

    5.45.86.0

    6.46.56.7

    7.07.27.77.87.98.1

    8.28.58.68.68.68.7

    8.78.78.78.88.88.9

    9.29.49.69.79.79.5

    9.59.59.39.39.29.0

    9.19.19.29.19.19.0

    Dura-ble

    goods

    1.01.11.31.0.9

    1.01.22.02.73.3

    2.9

    1.21.21.3

    1.31.41.5

    1.61.61.7

    1.81.92.0

    2.12.22.32.42.52.5

    2.62.62.72.62.62.7

    2.72.72.82.92.93.0

    3.03.13.23.23.33.3

    3.43.43.43.43.33.2

    3.13.03.02.92.92.9

    Nondu-rablegoods

    2.22.22.92.92.8

    3.03.44.66.06.2

    6.1

    3.43.53.5

    3.63.63.6

    3.94.14.3

    4.64.64.6

    4.95.15.45.45.45.5

    5.65.96.0

    >. 05.0U)>. 0>. 05.95.95.96.0

    6.16.46.46.56.46.2

    6.16.15.95.95.95.8

    6.06.06.26.26.26.1

    Retail trade

    Total

    5.56.07.67.97.4

    7.47.5

    11.213.215.0

    13.7

    7.88.08.2

    8.48.79.1

    9.610.010.2

    10.610.911.2

    11.511.811.912.111.912.1

    12.112.012.212.512.613. 2

    13. 714.014.314.214.114.3

    14.414.514.914.915.015.0

    14.714.514.714.514.114.2

    13.913.914.414.514.313.7

    Dura-ble

    goods

    1.82.12.72.41.9

    1.81.93.44.75.7

    5.1

    2.02.02.1

    2.22.32.5

    2.62.82.9

    3.13.23.4

    3.73.94.14.24.24.2

    4.24.24.34.44.54.7

    4.85.05.35.15.15.2

    5.35.35.35.65.65.7

    5.75.75.85.75.45.4

    5.35.35.65.75.55.1

    Nondu-rablegoods

    3.73.94.95.55.5

    5.65.67.88.59.2

    8.6

    5.86.06.1

    6. 36.46.6

    7.07.17.3

    7.57.67.8

    7.87.97.97.97.77.9

    7.9

    7! 88.08.28.5

    8.89.09.09.09.09.1

    9.19.29.59.49.49.2

    8.98.88.98.88.88.8

    8.68.68.88.88.88.6

    i As of end of period. Figures do not necessarily add to totals because of rounding. Source: U. S. Department of Commerce, Office of Business Economics.

    90892450 3

    Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • 18 SUEVEY OF CUEEENT BUSINESS October 1950Table 2.Manufacturers' Sales

    [Millions of dollars, not adjusted for seasonal variation]

    Year and month

    19391940194119421943

    19441945194619471948

    1949

    1946:JanuaryFebruaryMarch

    AprilMayJune

    JulyAugustSeptember ___

    October-NovemberDecember _

    1947: JanuaryFebruaryMarch

    AprilMay..June

    JulyAugustSeptember

    OctoberNovemberDecember

    1948: JanuaryFebruaryMarch

    AprilMayJune

    JulyAugustSeptember

    OctoberNovember__Dp.cfvmber

    1949: JanuaryFebruaryMarch

    AprilMay__ _June

    JulyAugust.,September

    OctoberNovemberDecember

    Tot

    al m

    an

    ufa

    ctur

    ing

    61, 34070, 31398, 069

    125, 158153, 843

    165, 387154, 481151, 402191, 010213, 732

    199, 993

    10, 4659,820

    11, 308

    11, 93011, 94811, 796

    11, 99013, 62513, 246

    14, 86515, 12415, 286

    14. 75914. 49415. 880

    15. 60915. 40715. 407

    14. 70615. 61916. 798

    18. 33616. 61217. 382

    16. 93216. 73818. 360

    17. 44516. 84917. 842

    16. 48018. 43119. 089

    19.11618. 20818. 241

    16. 56516. 39218. 076

    16. 57715. 96816. 486

    14. 84217. 63017. 960

    17. 01916. 39416. 083

    Durable-goods industries

    1EH

    22, 45428, 73644, 30759, 98579, 329

    84, 48172, 50457, 10877, 61888, 900

    83, 518

    3,6793,1424,003

    4,4544,4944,481

    4,6795,3465,210

    5,9375,7185,965

    5,9045,7956,390

    6,5766,3846,348

    5,8636,2006,777

    7,4846,6247,273

    6,6906,7837,719

    7,2806,9787,516

    6,6467,4947,971

    8,0537,7158,055

    6,9616,9667,779

    7,1866,7507,150

    6,1447,2887,451

    6,5956,5346, 715

    iaT?

    !|!*a2

    6,0797,678

    11,92114, 56316, 772

    17, 79516,81214, 20219, 17222, 390

    20, 194

    939600

    1,040

    1,1761,0931,115

    1,2001,4061,325

    1,5091,4121,388

    1,4811,3961,567

    1,6001,5671,554

    1,4501,6051,700

    1.8461,6371,768

    1,7011,6501,893

    1,7411,7151,836

    1,6511,9592,069

    2, 0921,9892,094

    1,8841,8292,020

    1,7521,6431,711

    1,4621,7661,848

    1,2031, 3691,707

    Non

    ferr

    ous

    meta

    ls an

    dpr

    oduc

    ts

    1,7262,1203,0653,4114,595

    4,7554,4634,7055,6336,106

    5,010

    313257302

    325342359

    365444431

    507531529

    440438492

    504480457

    393424472

    528504501

    457454510

    498489510

    415504570

    560576562

    485468491

    399353395

    288418441

    410432430

    Ele

    ctri

    cal

    machi

    nery

    equ

    ipm

    ent

    1,8612,4833,7694,5505,734

    7,1046,3025,6588,2999,002

    8,523

    307314366

    395415468

    450530535

    605597675

    613624687

    676663692

    606652715

    803739828

    682713806

    762692737

    659690785

    802815860

    687688783

    716684690

    558673757

    773758755

    Mac

    hine

    ry, ex

    clu

    ding

    elec

    trica

    l

    3,5714,6977,390

    10, 37012, 286

    12,90711, 6409,824

    13, 69715, 540

    14, 027

    715641702

    789804803

    795849826

    952930

    1,016

    1,0501,0701,163

    1,1631,1561,168

    1,0341,0861,147

    1,2711,1141,277

    1,1681,2521,404

    1,2991,2701,386

    1,1391,2771,355

    1,3071,2461,437

    1,1821,2241,401

    1,2781,2321,238

    9981,1041,140

    1,0861,0411,101

    Au

    tom

    ob

    iles

    a

    nd

    equ

    ipm

    ent

    3,5784,6976, 5307,956

    13, 422

    15, 09611, 4466,624

    11, 47813, 894

    15, 238

    324272357

    469498470

    597673680

    764752766

    824839914

    959904928

    930880

    1,034

    1,142993

    1,131

    1,0021,0311,180

    1,1091,0411,142

    1,1111,1741, 234

    1,3331,2441,292

    1,1461,1741,283

    1,3501,1911,384

    1,3511,5201,431

    1,2951,1051,008

    Tra

    nspo

    rtat

    ion

    equ

    ip-

    men

    t ex

    clu

    ding

    au

    to-

    mo

    bile

    s

    8651,5763,914

    10, 23316, 054

    16, 01511, 1733,0113,0423,900

    3,791

    237201240

    262276240

    244254255

    262246294

    231215252

    268265283

    224218265

    284257280

    255270330

    359337379

    272303333

    311343408

    294321359

    338309340

    310316268

    275314345

    Lum

    ber

    an

    d ba

    sic lu

    m-

    ber

    prod

    ucts

    1,1541,3791,9552,3992,624

    2,4522,3223, 3444,7905,374

    4,917

    210209261

    272294282

    264291283

    334309336

    363352383

    410422362

    345394429

    460424445

    438414466

    445430457

    431490496

    484437385

    373346417

    412410418

    341426457

    451451416

    Fur

    nitu

    re an

    d fi

    nish

    edlu

    mbe

    r pr

    oduc

    ts

    1,3851,5692,0262,3002,506

    2,6982,6923,3824,0174,316

    3,753

    239241276

    268270253

    253306303

    336314323

    337319330

    335319280

    291336361

    392340377

    394400399

    357329344

    294364380

    386353317

    295304341

    301290290

    230339355

    358343306

    1'ElT3a

    mc3 -i-5

    0

    1!.a0ao

    CO

    1,5631,7672,3912,4282,499

    2,4562,5093,1763,9274,519

    4,534

    186196242

    261256251

    266302290

    324308296

    297274316

    366325336

    319328348

    387301330

    302287368

    388369398

    388413412

    432392372

    337324384

    380376393

    354424414

    409395345

    Oth

    er du

    rabl

    e

    672770

    1,3461,7752,837

    3,2033,1453,1833,5643,859

    3,530

    209210217

    238248241

    245292282

    344317342

    268268288

    296285288

    270276306

    370313336

    290312363

    323306328

    286320336

    347322327

    278288300

    259261291

    251303340

    335324301

    Nondurable-goods industries

    "oE- 119, 435r 68, 643

    ' 136, 620

    r 6, 584

    r 9, 702

    4, 647' 15, 473

    r 6, 378

    T 18, 658

    6,792r 10, 10116, 166

    ' 4, 802r 2, 498' 4, 415

    7 090' 20, 621

    r 119 435

    r 193, 346

    6,716r 53, 775

    r 10, 04520, 604

    r 32, 670' 15, 680

    23 357r 528, 850

    r 159, 945' 103, 238

    r 59 527' 106, 211

    r 99, 930

    r 239, 518r 65, 984' 6, 65515, 165

    7127, 74122, 553

    r 289, 332' 10, 864

    r 51 01013, 17921, 37013, 67733, 636

    r 38, 321

    ' 557, 102r 27, 098

    r 108, 473' 79, 656

    r 139, 386r 69, 687

    T 132, 803

    170' 12, 435

    ' 5, 154r 15, 472

    9,43020, 545r 6, 339

    ' 12, 093r 15,351r 5, 0032,588' 7, 221r 2, 759

    * 18, 878

    ' 139 234r 188, 544

    r 8, 765

    r 48, 778

    6,51923, 75432, 014

    ' 16, 68927, 004

    r 560, 155

    r 160, 559

    r 110, 521' 64 793

    * 119, 495r 104, 788

    ' 240, 33565, 8126,045

    15, 892156

    29, 27622, 472

    r 319, 820

    13, 651

    59 71113, 02426, 70719, 132' 37, 487f 46, 204

    592,916

    ' 27, 198' 118, 363

    r 89, 449

    r 157, 533' 68, 587

    T 131, 786

    295r 13, 984

    6,587f 18, 595r 13,334' 22, 693

    8,03510, 628

    r 15, 133

    6,580r 4, 048' 6, 641r I, 791

    r 22, 708

    r 157,331

    r 187, 828

    r 6, 039

    r 61, 519

    7,547' 22, 729r 27, 610' 19, 437' 22, 231

    ' 591, 742r 154, 555' 139, 809

    r 60 950r 130, 114r 106,314

    ' 270, 278r 77, 590' 5, 627

    ' 22, 345115

    ' 23, 76122, 138

    ' 321, 464' 4, 526

    r 56, 38514, 377

    r 17, 850' 24, 306

    35, 735r 43, 455

    ' 604, 800r 34, 405

    r 106, 773r 81, 092

    r 145, 325' 69, 699

    r 167, 506

    404r 12, 296

    11,638r 12, 647r 6, 732

    r 23, 122

    7,013' 9, 21810, 175

    ' 5, 484' 4, 327r 5, 7891 700

    r 21, 213

    ' 144 973r 220, 998

    * 16, 28180, 7478,933

    21,345' 12, 583

    23, 478' 27, 265

    r 591, 784

    r 162, 495r 152, 625' 41 457

    '131,302' 103, 905

    r 272, 017105,315

    6,47022, 631

    3016,827

    26, 053' 319, 766

    7,828

    ' 53, 637' 19, 151

    r 8, 70220, 86838, 921

    f 48, 489

    '623,321

    ' 26, 433r 127, 662' 89, 317

    r 127, 910' 89, 029

    ' 162, 969

    3,2906,540

    18, 006r 19, 122T 8, 655

    ' 21, 3679,553

    ' 8, 704* 15, 204

    5,4664,5635,121

    ' 2, 448r 18, 174

    r 127, 910' 235, 603

    r 19, 003' 55, 307' 9, 92830, 004

    ' 19, 02527, 261

    r 32, 061

    ' 622, 764

    ' 183, 495' 154, 409' 46 860

    ' 138, 523' 99, 479

    ' 292, 905r 104, 945

    7,539' 19, 837

    1,238' 16, 182

    37, 061' 329, 860

    11, 368r 63, 034

    r 19, 28417, 36022, 62334, 57654, 332

    ' 599, 994

    ' 49, 253' 114, 890' 79, 526

    r 125, 700

    89, 413r 141, 212

    9,7019,010

    13, 111' 19, 494

    6,94019, 233r 9, 530' 5, 598

    ' 14, 175

    ' 6, 777r 4, 0765,5524,575

    r 17, 729

    r 125, 700

    r 219, 740

    18, 544' 41, 877

    12, 083' 28, 650

    30, 80822, 517

    r 21, 775

    r 589, 925

    r 168, 894' 139, 891

    58 090' 130, 824' 92, 226

    ' 295, 299' 84, 607

    7,17519, 2181,270

    27, 61435, 081

    ' 294, 6266,599

    r 59, 510' 20, 026' 15, 340

    19, 74731, 70838, 138

    ' 664, 346

    * 46, 947r 125, 491' 98, 253

    r 149, 990111, 774

    r 131, 800

    10, 99811, 841

    7,53516, 472

    ' 10, 10026, 380

    r 11, 859' 7, 00316, 268

    8,0925,367

    ' 9, 554' 3, 446

    r 21, Oil

    r 149, 990

    r 227, 015

    18,337' 43, 049' 10, 020

    18, 73647, 82423, 70828, 471

    ' 659, 683

    ' 183, 891' 128, 460

    80 124r 146, 894

    r 120, 315

    r 306, 320

    73, 0897,973

    22, 9471,192

    43, 34431, 863

    ' 353, 3639,318

    54, 01814, 86210, 59321, 69635, 60651, 305

    ' 583, 327

    ' 28, 605r 139, 631r 83, 044

    r 132,310

    81, 569118, 167

    5938,252

    11,00817, 507' 9,05526, 64410, 06810, 35719, 362r 5, 9886,0017,3502,827

    r 18, 287

    r 132, 164185, 20317, 68643, 7208,713

    15, 66329, 65021, 27726, 499

    r 571, 750

    ' 161, 857109, 378

    T 61 858

    ' 130, 474108, 184

    ' 262, 65764, 1267,653

    ' 29, 5981,588

    30, 39327, 925

    ' 309, 0945,792

    43, 86611, 7896,955

    15, 89833, 70347, 675

    658, 942

    37, 635137, 61394, 419

    167, 73495 852

    125, 689

    26211, 189

    13, 14821, 75011, 07020, 35517, 1527,107

    21, 589

    6,5424,8975,7983 558

    23, 901

    167 589206, 94515, 88145, 14916, 24813, 35736, 59826, 59823, 210

    653, 788

    167, 766117, 12475 971

    169, 049123, 879

    278, 78858, 6798,506

    23, 7861,215

    37, 06731, 055

    375, 0008,030

    71, 60623, 28317, 45621, 43844, 92745, 295

    685, 624

    36, 590149, 52599, 700

    178, 45887, 396

    133, 957

    20211, 878

    7,42125, 51611, 72822, 41815, 58013, 50520, 420

    7,7036,1757,1823,010

    27, 171

    178, 182207, 01413, 80437, 91216, 62115, 58729, 07825, 13126, 921

    679, 108

    183, 771119, 91675 144

    180, 392119, 885

    289, 17456, 37411, 99033, 853

    1,42231, 10931, 044

    389, 9345,293

    80,16032, 77114, 91123, 86540, 54447, 054

    708, 754

    33, 352150, 439103, 287163, 13694, 484

    164, 056

    3048,773

    8,97223, 93212, 15922. OC213, 75910, 28519, 393

    8,2626,2686,5904,300

    28, 668

    163, COS244, 58217, 43264, 9957,977

    26, 13734, 24122, 25125, 722

    705, 937

    183, 620154, 60886, 480

    162, 134119, 095

    335, 205105, 15311,66429, 9941,706

    39, 46539, 340

    370, 7328,308

    63, 98712, 77921, 23020,83038,41044,211

    819, 400

    818, 200

    TRANSPORTATION AND COMMUNICATIONSTRANSPORTATION

    AirlinesOperations on scheduled airlines:

    ]VEiles flown revenue thousandsExpress and freight carried short tonsExpress and freight ton-miles flown thousandsM^ail ton-miles flown doPassengers carried revenue doPassenger-miles flown revenue do

    Express OperationsOperating revenues thous. of dolOperating income do _

    Local Transit LinesFares average cash rate .centsPassengers carried revenue millionsOperating revenues^ thous of dol

    Class I Steam RailwaysFreight carloadings (A. A. R.):d*

    Total cars thousandsCoal - - - -doCoke doForest products - doGrain and grain products ._ doLivestock doOre -- doMerchandise, 1. c. 1 - -- doMiscellaneous do

    29 37015, 73410 1773 1161 326

    607, 332

    19, 324

  • October 1950 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS S-23

    Unless otherwise stated, statistics through1948 and descriptive notes are shown in the1949 Statistical Supplement to the Survey

    1949

    August Septem-ber OctoberNovem-

    berDecem-

    ber

    1950

    January Febru-ary March April May June July August

    TRANSPORTATION AND COMMUNICATIONSContinuedTR AN SPORTATION Continued

    Class I Steam Railways Continued

    Freight carloadings (Federal Reserve indexes) :Total, unadjusted 1935-39=100-

    Coal __ _ . do. _ _Coke doForest products _ _ doGrain and grain products doLivestock doOre doMerchandise, 1. c. 1_- _ _ _ doMiscellaneous. _ _ _ _ _do ___

    Total, adjusted doCoal ; doCoke doForest products doGrain and grain products _ _ _ _ doLivestock _ doOre.. ._ _ do _Merchandise, 1. c. 1 - doMiscellaneous do _

    Freight-car surplus and shortage, daily average:Car surplus, total _ number

    Box cars doCoal cars do

    Car shortage, total doBox cars _ doCoal cars do

    Financial operations (unadjusted) :Operating revenues, total. - __ thous. of dol

    Freight, _ _ doPassenger __ do

    Operating expenses doTax accruals, joint facility and equipment rents

    thous. of dol__Net railway operating income doNet'incomet do

    Financial operations, adjusted:Operating revenues, total mil. of dol

    Freight _. doPassenger do

    Railway expenses _ _ doNet railway operating income _ _ _ doNet income. do

    Operating results:Freight carried 1 mile mil. of ton-miles. .Revenue per ton- mile _ centsPassengers carried 1 mile, revenue millions

    Waterway Traffic

    Clearances, vessels in foreign trade:Total U. S. ports thous of net tons

    Foreign doUnited States.. _ _ do

    Panama Canal:Total . _. thous. of long tons

    In United States vessels ... doTravel

    Hotels:Average sale per occupied room dollarsRooms occupied.. _ percent of totalRestaurant sales index same month 1929=100..

    Foreign travel:U S citizens, arrivals numberU. S. citizens, departuresc? doEmigrants. _ doImmigrants __ doPassports issued do

    National parks, visitors thousandsPullman Co.:

    Revenue passenger-miles . _ _ ... millionsPassenger revenues thous. of dol_.

    COMMUNIC ATION STelephone carriers :f

    Operatin0" revenues thous of dolStation revenues doTolls, message _ do

    Operating expenses, before taxes doNet operating.' income doPhones in service end of month thousands

    Telegraph, cable, and radiotelegraph carriers:Wire-telegraph:

    Operating revenues thous. of dol__Operating expenses, incl. depreciation doNet opera ting re venues do

    Ocean-cable:Operating revenues doOperating expenses, incl. depreciation doNet operating revenues do

    Radiotelegraph:Operating revenues doOperating expenses incl depreciation doNet operating revenues do

    12010311913114973

    24057

    12811710312312513877

    16057

    12763, 82211, 10343. 5702,4512,254

    113

    ' 742, 772r 606, 037* 78, 640

    r 587, 647r 89, 751' 65, 374

    39, 061

    697.3569.070.1

    659.138.25.2

    47, 1071.3383,256

    7,4864,0983,390

    1,979928

    5.8481

    222

    79, 45953, 0582,794

    25, 55419, 847

    T 3, 111

    8257,587

    258, 353146, 89193, 449

    199, 77227, 43334, 902

    14, 87013, 964

    156

    1,8921,733

    d20

    1,9251,800

    46

    11460

    12813014010421855

    13510560

    13012112579

    14552

    125

    74, 7457, 697

    62, 1093,5823,173

    104

    694, 969569, 49169, 833

    540, 988

    90, 44463, 53838, 131

    685.2560.270.1

    633.152.118.9

    44, 2191.3632,910

    7,2853,8883,396

    2,1251,166

    5.5986

    223

    73, 17141,9272,713

    26, 00615, 5011,446

    8337,732

    257, 096149, 62989, 507

    196, 78028, 82735, 059

    14, 52313, 420

    314

    1,9481,617

    149

    1,9571,696

    185

    994253

    1311531313556

    121924254

    124153852854

    111

    190, 9783,451

    183, 59410, 92410, 346

    132

    648, 924534, 88560, 993

    520, 920

    81, 21946, 78623,592

    622.9511.062.3

    591.931.00

    40, 5541.4002,533

    6,4943,3963,099

    2,2971,313

    5.7186

    213

    54, 03937, 141

    2,37127, 24313, 592

    678

    8077,512

    262, 534154,01890, 258

    195, 13733, 11935, 231

    13, 94412, 984

    253

    1,8171,506

    145

    1,9381,741

    126

    12013196

    135149955155

    12411713196

    137152754254

    119

    10Q, 2082,368

    92, 9385,9643,9181,909

    704, 806587, 06063, 776

    537, 354

    91, 86975, 58254, 425

    708.5588.866.7

    636.472.039.3

    46, 0361.3562,488

    6,3673,4332,934

    2,0791,079

    5.8180

    218

    39, 20531, 6011,795

    21, 91813, 608

    298

    7857,260

    262, 745156, 36788, 159

    196, 80932, 27735, 408

    13, 41312, 673

    62

    1,7881,548

    74

    1,9381,827

    46

    10797

    155119123694550

    12011597

    14813413172

    14652

    127

    44, 3828,303

    25, 8331,021

    448517

    710, 830575, 66474, 379

    568, 292

    73, 22969, 30982, 455

    712.1584.073.0

    631. 580.649.1

    45, 1901.3432,912

    6,4583,4792,979

    2,6381,576

    5.2567

    194

    40, 72337, 1822,395

    23, 97213, 932

    188

    8307,750

    271, 879159, 89593, 536

    205, 53532, 72935, 635

    14, 58413, 363

    596

    1,8821,660

    38

    2,2621,973

    205

    10797

    158106119684249

    12211797

    15111811970

    16952

    133

    110, 94517, 42577, 385

    22411137

    657, 044537, 33869, 725

    546, 665

    77, 62232, 75811,016

    688.6565.072.8

    628.959.829.1

    41, 7931.3702,730

    5,6193, 0952, 523

    2,5081,412

    5.4180

    211

    40, 55342, 3881,634

    14, 20122, 069

    187

    1,0269,577

    271, 019161, 65090,417

    200, 78632, 60336, 426

    13, 24112, 756

    dS59

    1,7621, 548

    31

    1,8831,790

    *20

    9646

    130115111523951

    12210446

    12211911365

    15652

    130

    165, 54111, 701

    139, 311569414

    16

    584, 928481, 96557, 845

    501, 118

    68, 57415, 236

    d 9, 301

    638.4522.964.1

    606.332.11.3

    36, 3831.4072,215

    5,4292,9332,496

    2,5651, 588

    5.4383

    215

    51, 65654, 8841,524

    15, 36530, 156

    237

    8457,881

    262, 131159, 37584, 093

    191, 54233, 19836, 605

    12, 63611,887

    '83

    1,6201,584d!13

    1,7841,700

    'IS

    120139144123116533954

    12712713914312312667

    13453

    134

    76, 0554,867

    58, 3775,0122,7492,121

    743, 326630, 542

    59, 555574, 408

    93, 21175, 70649, 437

    722.5607.460.2

    655.167.435.8

    50, 9371.3182,304

    6, 4653, 6652,800

    2,7621,551

    5.2581

    208

    59, 45765, 5412,122

    16, 14239, 187

    304

    8658,069

    280, 803164, 70997, 096

    204, 64236, 44836, 813

    14, 56512, 798

    907

    1,9011,703

    13

    2,0171,835

    83

    122123177129115616354

    13512612318112913168

    12153

    137

    18, 3625,1034, 5594,9062,7951,810

    713, 820601, 80160, 555

    562, 625

    88, 97862, 21737, 530

    729.8613.862.7

    666. 663.231.6

    49, 6871.2892,362

    7,0913,9283, 163

    2, 3651,339

    5.7383

    230

    53, 43462,4171,985

    16, 46336, 607

    560

    8087,555

    275, 806163, 93592, 636

    196, 62837, 87330, 999

    13, 75512,467

    474

    1, 6461,568d 105

    1,7741,742

    '71

    12511917913911259

    21751

    13512211918113412766

    12151

    133

    12, 1783,1891,9576,6632,9863,080

    745, 406634, 74756, 801

    580, 567

    97, 80867, 03245, 221

    715.2604.657.4

    660.954.320.2

    51, 1551.3142,215

    7,6384, 5033,135

    2,6061,447

    5.2683

    239

    50, 28360, 090

    2, 08319, 97441,453

    886

    6646,229

    285, 947168. 15798, 504

    208, 56937, 31037, 158

    15, 19213, 2621,090

    1,9021,612

    116

    1,9671,803

    64

    13111618815013351

    27752

    14212711619214413061

    17952

    138

    6,6251,949

    51311, 4915,8454,748

    779, 182649, 228

    71, 660588, 763

    100, 37290, 04772, 050

    791.4663.469.2

    691.5100.0'69.7

    51, 8651.3262,830

    8,1304,8603,271

    2,5621, 460

    5.6484

    238

    56, 90287, 9473,384

    18.21541, 2331,930

    8618,009

    287, 467169, 76798, 275

    204, 84933, 92937, 304

    15. 37813, 0861,469

    1,9431,552

    207

    2,0551,781

    175

    13010519014916248

    29851

    14112610519514813561

    18651

    140

    8,311234

    4,38921, 15413, 8756, 103

    772, 161639, 729

    76, 006579, 116

    109, 13483, 91058, 622

    771.9646.169.7

    685. 986.1

    "55.8

    51, 9821.3053,042

    2,8571,668

    5.4377

    207

    21, 6353,271

    8507,826

    14, 73813, 272

    671

    2,1891,563

    418

    2,2281,808

    325

    14012618616315057

    28556

    14913512619415513960

    19056

    147

    4,3461639

    38, 06421, 84614, 101

    889, 796748, 11078, 220

    626, 265

    141, 467122, 064

    2,4521,477

    6.1381

    231

    18, 0373,300

    ' Revised. Preliminary. d Deficit. JRevised data for July 1949, $26,692,000.cfData exclude departures via international land borders; land-border departures during the 12 months ended June 1949 amounted to less than 1 percent of total departures,t Revised series. The coverage has been reduced from 100-120 to 56 carriers (except for January 1948-December 1949 when data covered 53 carriers) ; however, the comparability of the series,

    based on annual operating revenues, has been affected by less than 3.0 percent. Also, data are now shown after elimination of intercompany duplications for the Bell System; annual dataprior to 1948 and monthly figures for January-July 1948 on the revised basis will be available later. Data relate to continental United States.

    Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • S-24 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS October 1950

    Unless otherwise stated, statistics through1948 and descriptive notes are shown in the1949 Statistical Supplement to the Survey

    1949

    August Septem-ber OctoberNovem-

    berDecem-

    ber

    1950

    January Febru-ary March April May June July August

    CHEMICALS AND ALLIED PRODUCTS

    CHEMICALS

    Inorganic chemicals, production:Ammonia, synthetic anhydrous (commercial)

    short tons__Calcium arsenate (commercial) thous. of l b _ _Calcium carbide (commercial) short tons__Carbon dioxide, liquid, gas, and solid J

    thous. oflb..Chlorine gas __ short tons _Hydrochloric acid (100% HC1)J do_...Lead arsenate (acid and. basic) thous. of lb_.Nitric acid (100% HNOs) short tonsOxygen (high purity) t mil. of cu. ftPhosphoric acid (50% HsPOiJJ short tons..Soda ash, ammonia-soda process (98-100%,

    NaoCo-0 --- --- short tons..Sodium bichromate and chromate _do_ _ _Sodium hydroxide (100% NaOH) doSodium silicate, soluble silicate glass (anhy-

    drous) short tons _Sodium sulfate, Glauber's salt and crude salt

    eaket short tons..Sulphuric acid (100% H2SO4):

    Production! doPrice, wholesale, 66, tanks, at works

    dol. per short ton. _Organic chemicals:

    Acetic acid (synthetic and natural), productionthous. oflb..

    \cetic anhydride production doAcctyl salicylic acid (aspirin), production _ . doAlcohol, denatured:

    Production thous. of wine galConsumption (withdrawals) doStocks _ -do ...

    Alcohol, ethyl:Production thous. of proof gal _ _Stocks total do

    Inindustrial alcohol bonded warehouses doIn denaturing plants do

    Withdrawn for denaturing doWithdrawn tax-paid do

    Creosote oil production thous of galEthvl acetate (85%), production thous. of l b _ _Glycerin, refined (100% basis) :

    High gravity and yellow distilled:Production thous. of lb__Consumption doStocks do

    Chemically pure:Production doConsumption -do _ _Stocks do

    Methanol, production:Natural (100%) thous. of gal..Synthetic (100%) do

    Phthalic anhydride, production thous. of fb _

    FERTILIZERS

    Consumption (14 States)! thous. of short tons..Exports total short tons

    Nitrogenous materials doPhosphate materials doPotash materials do

    Imports total doNitrogenous materials, total do

    Nitrate of soda doPhosphate materials "doPotash materials do

    Price, wholesale, nitrate of soda, crude, f. o. b. cars,port warehouses dol. per short ton

    Potash deliveries ... short tons.Superphosphate (bulk) :

    Production ._ _ _ d o _ .Stocks, end of month do _ _

    NAVAL STORES

    Rosin (gum and wood) :Production, quarterly total drums (52()lb.)._Stocks end of quarter doPrice, gum, wholesale, "WG" grade (Sav.), bulk*

    dol. per 1001b._Turpentine (gum and wood) :

    Production quarterly total bbl (50 gal )Stocks end of quarter doPrice, gum, wholesale (Savannah)-.dol. per gal__

    113, 8942,969

    42, 009136, 147147, 82540, 5990)

    93, 3081,205

    119, 683305, 469

    5, 575175, 93328, 284

    59, 107916, 133

    17.00

    31, 63850, 785

    908' 12,314r 12, 450

    8,12626, 660

    r 56, 575' 53, 513

    3, 06125, 176' 3, 58710, 0056, 424

    6,7817,068

    11, 580

    11. 5918,181

    15, 674157

    8, 05910, 103

    279351, 94787, 853

    229, 7848,103

    120, 479100, 69952, 37713, 570

    054.50

    103, 936889, 083

    1, 264, 676

    6.53

    105, 4430)

    40, 286

    98, 712147, 21442, 0100)

    95, 7211,156

    119, 689

    317, 4065, 552

    182, 143

    37, 159

    49, 690

    884, 658

    17.00

    34, 78862, 927

    813

    13, 94715, 3416,732

    22, 77052, 42650, 652

    1, 77524, 3623, 672

    10, 4925, 339

    7,5287, 397

    11, 790

    11, 1657,729

    15.479

    1469.323

    12, 602

    519289, 75498, 064

    162, 59815, 392

    118, 352107, 24152, 6165,066

    0

    54. 5092, 825

    820, 111I,2ti8.682

    574, 840840, 920

    6.70194. 110225, 070

    .38 .39

    108, 6040)

    47, 274

    84, 768151, 12844, 0940)

    85, 208662

    135, 018

    328, 8995. 938

    189,367

    49, 912

    56, 479

    986, 109

    17.00

    39, 66768, 704

    927

    14,84515, 2596, 313

    22. 68043, 13341,919

    1,21427, 1173, 9366, 2546, 852

    7, 5506, 913

    12, 123

    11, 6558,054

    17, 214

    16511, 14316. 284

    528310, 303124, 806155, 912

    9,98597, 23686, 96147, 6954,737

    2

    52. 25105, 678

    816, 7241.259.932

    6.60

    115, 6671,151

    55, 212

    69, 157155, 94345, 420

    67691,8321,011

    127, 680

    360, 9715,781

    196, 575

    46, 073

    59, 325

    985, 589

    17.00

    39, 92370, 853

    843

    14,61215,5745, 358

    23, 18137, 19236, 223

    96926. 8384,2896, 5086. 469

    7.8796, 545

    13, 103

    12. 4267, 916

    17,838

    1659,789

    16, 340

    505391, 164150, 907186, 58111, 54087, 73570, 82826, 4548,389

    20

    51. 5072, 787

    850, 5631,311,085

    6.58

    124, 9001,548

    55, 836

    69, 671168, 28245, 983

    89099, 9251,329

    120, 815

    354, 4126, 726

    201,012

    41, 794

    56, 158

    1.051,165

    17.00

    39, 82472, 458

    873

    13, 61815, 0773,899

    22, 54933, 94933, 204

    74524, 9072,288

    10, 3146, 456

    6, 8346,214

    13, 591

    12, 3357,209

    20, 071

    16910, 62818, 075

    593300, 251159, 502110, 806

    5,631106, 38988, 77333, 1635,1354,738

    51.5045, 485

    836, 1371, 420. 577

    552, 940929, 960

    6.66

    170, 700238. 660

    .39 l .39 .40

    124, 0790)

    56, 849

    63, 180158, 20247, 8713,217

    105, 5751, 369

    132, 745

    338, 5527, 350

    187, 201

    36,410

    60, 069

    1,019,803

    17.00

    36, 76569, 140

    829

    14,90315,3353,464

    24, 68831, 34630, 450

    89627, 4112,750

    10, 5976,449

    6, 9275, 971

    14, 347

    12, 8409,174

    22, 411

    17111, 65518. 174

    1,177262,12561, 925

    181,3623,406

    142, 22598, 71755, 563

    5, 43326, 159

    51. 5027, 896

    802, 9431, 495, 731

    6.66

    .41

    115, 976(')

    51,317

    59, 120151,51343, 3153, 756

    101, 3861,253

    129, 191

    319, 5786,771

    180, 945

    31, 416

    54, 820

    967, 335

    17. 00

    31, 14767, 356

    824

    13. 29313, 2153,429

    24, 25428, 39727, 713

    68524, 0442.547

    10, 0636, 917

    6, 1596,082

    13, 564

    12, 2287,224

    24, 645

    1458, 767

    17, 090

    1,480311, 746126, 224161, 543

    4,562173, 103113, 28356, 17113, 60633, 548

    51. 5091, 803

    854, 2921, 308. 555

    6.40

    .43

    123, 9961,206

    59, 336

    77, 086167,09150, 708

    5, 56898, 906

    1,427128, 987

    368, 7467, 835

    205, 354

    38, 693

    60, 773

    1, 071, 299

    17.00

    37, 44173, 287

    934

    16, 74317, 0872,873

    27, 30424, 05023, 513

    53730, 3213, 846

    11,4246, 899

    8,4997,794

    14, 468

    12, 5538,158

    25, 972

    1979, 371

    18, 722

    1,840368, 792148, 988182, 652

    9,389223, 714139, 19768, 2597,824

    57, 024

    51. 50116, 035

    1, 082, 5231, 006, 718

    370, 480894, 280

    6.29

    125, 320205, 960

    .43

    134, 4522,848

    54, 837

    92, 408168, 87851, 3194,694

    114, 6291,432

    135, 391

    361, 3287,452

    210, 344

    41, 300

    59, 096

    1, 057, 073

    17. 75

    37, 50665, 734

    796

    15, 40215, 9242, 346

    31, 18425, 72924, 829

    90128, 8293, 552

    12, 3606, 159

    6. 8767, 668

    13,717

    10, 8807, 619

    26, 406

    1669. 357

    15,436

    1,535446. 19291, 136

    311,68411,819

    272, 080128, 40076, 408

    7, 023115, 775

    51.50113, 107

    1, 039, 177778, 270

    5.71

    .41

    133,8424,898

    59, 107

    114, 286177, 26952, 1574,406

    111, 5111,447

    146, 673

    388, 1697,907

    219, 641

    45, 588

    54, 377

    1, 104, 335

    17.75

    41,01275, 183

    867

    15,98916, 8461,487

    33, 41028, 48627, 614

    87229, 4183, 257

    12,8699, 746

    8,4208. 633

    14,302

    10, 8658, 364

    23, 678

    17510, 06315,675

    998495, 432129, 204347, 63910, 325

    214, 918166, 523103, 32213, 65910, 744

    51. 5083, 446

    986, 684903, 607

    5.29

    .40

    127. 2959,334

    56, 482

    131,314167, 72150, 635

    2, 326104, 604

    1,404135, 526

    291,6818, 135

    200, 836

    40, 899

    49, 567

    1, 039, 938

    17. 75

    37, 63374, 992

    921

    19, 14618, 387

    2, 230

    31, 10823, 22922, 264

    96435, 4684,188

    r 12,769

    5, 624

    8, 0797, 961

    15, 132

    9. 9328,011

    22, 537

    17310, 41716, 209

    408450. 744128, 730289, 520

    7,147107, 79184, 14040, 26911, 255

    602

    51.50134, 624

    832, 8681, 178, 262

    566. 830936, 460

    4.93

    200, 670191, 200

    .40

    125. 02710, 27452, 388

    139. 130r 173,788

    51. 2880)

    105, 831r 1, 400

    r 141, 107

    185, 8855, 4920)

    29,929

    54, 725

    1, 047, 544

    17.75

    39, 52080, 743

    672

    18, 71918, 2042.611

    31, 72721,61920, 4891,130

    33, 0184, 986

    10, 9295, 646

    4,8227, 239

    13, 518

    7, 4307, 399

    18, 444

    16711, 12517,61o

    325250, 64290,482

    141, 46910, 98950, 97437, 835

    1, 1103,2982,518

    51.5097, 301

    * 718, 1651,297,595

    5.59

    .41

    124, 6178,920

    55, 237

    133, 728174, 04751.5120)

    1 05, 2061. 512

    136, 721

    180,84V)5, 649(0

    32, 278

    61,820

    1,045,662

    17.75

    17, 73317, 1203, 199

    33, 09824, 58023, 886

    69427, 8706,928

    7,4198,581

    12, 29712, 2629,007

    17. 787184

    385

    51. 50107, 056854, 937

    1, 244, 280

    6.11

    .46r Revised. ! Not available for publication. ^Figures are not strictly comparable with those prior to 1948 because of the inclusion of data for additional plants. For January 1948-

    May 1949 revisions including data for these plants, see note at bottom of p. S-25 of the August 1950 SURVEY.'fRevised series. Beginning in the January 1950 SURVEY, data for fertilizer consumption in 14 States have been substituted for the 13-States series formerly shown; revised figures prior

    to November 1948 will be shown later.*New series. The series for rosin "WG" (window glass) grade, which is compiled by the U. S. Department of Labor beginning November 1948, and prior to that month by the OH, Paint,

    and Drug Reporter, has been substituted for the "H" grade formerly shown. Data beginning 1935 are shown on p. 24 of the September 1950 SURVEY.

    Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • October 1950 SUBVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS S-25

    Unless otherwise stated, statistics through1948 and descriptive notes are shown in the1949 Statistical Supplement to the Survey

    1949

    August Septem-ber OctoberNovem-

    berDecem-

    ber

    1950

    January Febru-ary March April May June July August

    CHEMICALS AND ALLIED PRODUCTSContinuedMISCELLANEOUS

    Explosives (industrial), shipments:Black blasting powder thous. of lb__High explosives ' do

    Sulfur:Production. long tons__Stocks _ . _ _ do. _ -

    FATS, OILS, OILSEEDS, ANDBYPRODUCTS

    Animal fats, greases, and oils:Animal fats:

    Production thous. of IbConsumption, factory doStocks, end of month do

    Greases:Production _ doConsumption, factory doStocks, end of month do

    Fish oils: _Production doConsumption, factory doStocks, end of month _ do

    Vegetable oils, oilseeds, and byproducts:Vegetable oils, total:

    Production, crude mil. of l b _ _Consumption, crude, factory doStocks, end of month:

    Crude doRefined do

    Exportsf thous. of IbImports, total. _ do__ _

    Paint oils doAll other vegetable oils ' do

    Copra:Consumption, factory-. short tonsStocks, end of month doImports do

    Coconut or copra oil:Production:

    Crude thous. of lb__Refined do

    Consumption, factory:Crude doRefined do__

    Stocks, end of month:Crude doRefined do

    Imports doCottonseed:

    Receipts at mills thous. of short tonsConsumption (crush) doStocks at mills, end of month do

    Cottonseed cake and meal:Production short tonsStocks at mills, end of month. _ do

    Cottonseed oil, crude:Production thous. of lb_.Stocks, end of month do

    Cottonseed oil, refined:Production _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ d oConsumption, factory do

    In oleomargarine. doStocks, end of month doPrice, wholesale, summer, yellow, prime (N. Y.)

    dol. per lb__Flaxseed:

    Production (crop estimate). thous. of bu__Oil mills:

    Consumption doStocks, end of month... do

    Imports.- _ _ _ __ _ doPrice, wholesale, No. 1 (Minn.) dol. per bu__

    Linseed oil:Production thous. of IbConsumption, factory doStocks at factory, end of month do _Price, wholesale (N. Y.) dol. per lb__

    Soybeans:Production (crop estimate) thous. of bu__Consumption, factory doStocks, end of month do

    Soybean oil:Production:

    Crude _ thous. of IbRefined do

    Consumption, factory, refined doStocks, end of month:

    Crude doRefined do__

    Price, wholesale, edible (N. Y.).__dol. pe r lb__

    1,50953, 158

    397, 0243, 156, 752

    264, 394120, 143292, 421

    46, 75341, 895

    124, 51818, 36212, 82379, 062

    361380718188

    31, 17931, 0964,505

    26, 59234, 93210, 01038, 594

    44, 96129, 16853, 21928, 14783, 1246,723

    14, 485353207278

    94, 08152, 75964, 80540,90871, 976

    142 40937, 53072, 590

    ,158

    3,9854,932

    03.91

    77, 07142, 723

    407, 230.216

    13, 5516 549

    136, 015135 106141, 46271 92576, 384

    .175

    1,60648, 548

    389, 6823, 139, 785

    248, 888119, 516265, 758

    44, 70646, 031

    117, 85221, 96217, 66792, 245

    464417

    776171

    29, 54438, 5134,925

    33, 58838, 3068,333

    51, 251

    48, 89230, 37454, 53826, 248

    101, 0427,945

    17, 0201,248

    586941

    253, 76398, 076

    184, 29188, 766

    113, 309115 28232, 07669 708

    .140

    3 8868,139

    03.94

    72 92349, 884

    421, 115.208

    11, 99610 606

    120 756127 703136 19956 22356, 790

    .157

    1,59540, 130

    392, 8053, 097, 331

    288, 318117, 519240, 962