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This document contains “forward-looking statements”- that is, statements related to future, not past, events. In this context, forward-looking statements often address our expectation of future conditions including, without limitation, economic conditions, energy demand, energy supply and capability requirements. Forward-looking statements by their nature address matters that are, to different degrees, uncertain. These uncertainties may cause our actual future results to be materially different than those expressed in our forward-looking statements. We do not undertake to update our forward-looking statements.
From Discovery to Production—The Challenges of Execution
Oil & Money 2013, London, UKOctober 2, 2013
© 2013 Schlumberger Business Consulting. All Rights Reserved. 2
Series1
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
Billio
n Bb
l
1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 20100
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
US$
(201
1)
The industry has reversed the declining trend in oil discoveries
Five-year averages of oil volumes discovered and crude oil prices
Source: IHS Edin; Rystad Energy; BP Statistical Review; SBC analysis
Onshore and SW DW and Ultra DW Crude oil prices
+6%
-8%
-6%
+3%
© 2013 Schlumberger Business Consulting. All Rights Reserved. 3
More companies manage megabudgets and project delays are increasing
E&P companies spending >$5Bn (2011 US$) capex per year and megaproject* delays
* Projects with budget >$1bn (real 2011$)Source: IHS Upstream database, February 2012; Rystad Energy
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 20120
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
4 5 5 5 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 73
4 6 5
7
9
13 16
17 1816
15
17
1 2 3 47 6
9 11 13
Majors Independents NOCs Average Delay
Num
ber o
f Com
pani
es
Year
s of
Del
ay
© 2013 Schlumberger Business Consulting. All Rights Reserved. 4
Project Teams & Skills, 26%
Governance; 18%
Project Management Processes; 9%
Contracting & Procurement; 12%
Technical Challenges; 21%
External Shareholders; 14%
> 50%of the issues are
internal to the Organizations
Lack of internal capabilities is the main project challenge
Capital project challenges by type
Source: SBC Capital Projects Forum
© 2013 Schlumberger Business Consulting. All Rights Reserved.
The industry faces a shortage of experienced professionals
PTPs per age bracket on a global basis Global number of PTPs (2011-2025)
Note: PTPs stands for Petrotechnical Professionals (geoscientists and petroleum engineers).Source: SBC O&G HR Benchmark 2006-2012, World Energy Outlook 2012
20y-24y
25y-29y
30y-34y
35y-39y
40y-44y
45y-49y
50y-54y
55y-59y
60y-64y
65y+0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
2005 2016
Perc
enta
ge o
f PTP
s
2011 2015 2020 2025
Experienced PTPs Unexperienced PTPs
2022: level of experienced PTPs of 2011
2016: lowest number of experienced PTPs
Inexperienced PTPs
5
© 2013 Schlumberger Business Consulting. All Rights Reserved. 6
Operated production Kboe/d
Num
ber o
f PTP
s R² = 0.9
R² = 0.9
Low production growth1 High production growth
It matters as production is correlated with talent availability
Total number of technical resources vs. operated production
1Low production growth: companies with less than 2% CAGR of operated production during the last 4 years.Note: For confidentiality reasons, company data have been replaced by illustrative data pointsSource: SBC O&G HR Benchmark 2012
© 2013 Schlumberger Business Consulting. All Rights Reserved.
Sub-Saharan Africa: the challenge of education
Ptps required to support the production growth in Africa
Necessary amount of enrolled students to supply PTP graduates1
7
2011
PTPs
PTPs lea
ving t
he i..
.
Supply
of G
radu..
.GAP
2020
requ
ired P
TPs
8,000
11,000
4,400 3,100
4,300
Num
ber o
f PTP
s
1 At current students progression ratesSource: SBC O&G HR Benchmark 2012, UNESCO
~700 more PTPs per year until
2020
Yearly amount of graduates
Tertiary Secondary Primary
Current supplyAdditional required
Thou
sand
Peo
ple
0.7 0.564
51
36
141
981.2
10
87
239
© 2013 Schlumberger Business Consulting. All Rights Reserved.
Education and training capacity should meet employment potential
Job creation in a sub-Saharan country Education and training timeline
Source: SBC analysis
Operators Craftsmen Technicians Engineers
Cum
ulat
ive
num
ber o
f peo
ple
(FTE
)
20302015 2020 2025
Operators
Electrical
Mechanical
Machine Operator
Welders pipe
Technicians
Mechanical
Craftsmen
Civil Craftsmen
Engineers
Driver heavy duty
Years
TodayFormal education time when needs to be supportedLead time to certify/train to work in industry
Time to start workTime to start recruitment for training/certification
8
From Discovery to Production—The Challenges of Execution
Oil & Money 2013, London, UKOctober 2, 2013