Science Advice in the Context of theClimate Challenge and the Energy

Transition

Miranda A. Schreurs

Bavarian School of Public Policy

Technical University of Munich

Ethics Commission for a Secure Energy Future:Deutschlands Energiewende–

The German Advisory Council on

the Environment

German Advisory Council on the Environment

mission

periodical evaluation of the environmental situation of the prevailing environmental

policy

facilitate the forming of opinion federal government states associations general public

early warning identify misguided developments

provider of ideas solution scenarios and approaches

for the German and European environmental policy

handing over of the environmental report

2008 in Berlin

disciplines

natural sciences risk assessment, technology assessment,

identification of misguided developments

technology assessment of future technologies

economy and law instruments and legal

conditions

policy science institutions, actors, structures

German Advisory Council on the Environment

German Advisory Council on the Environment

issues and activities

issues SRU determines the issues of the

reports and statements Federal Ministry for the

Environment cancommission additional reports and statements

meetings SRU-meetings monthly in Berlin quarterly discussions with Federal Ministry debates with Federal Agency for Nature Conservation, Federal

Environment Agency, …

events hearings (e.g. scientists, associations) presentations in public discussion meetings and conferences press conferences

public hearing at the German Bundestag

evaluation of the

environmental

situation and of

environmental policy

specific

policy areas,

complex

challenges

strategic political

consulting

short-term

interjections

products

environmental reports special reports statements comments

German Advisory Council on the Environment

100% Renewable Electricity

electricity supply 2050

assumptions target: emissions reduction of 80% until 2050

electricity demand can be supplied by renewables

system conflict: base load versus volatile renewables

today‘s agenda setting shapes emissions 2050

Grid extension and development of electricity

storage is a big challenge

special report publication February 2011

Governing a System Transformation

• Long-term Vision

• Where do we want to be in 2050?

• How might the world of 2050 look?

• What paths can be taken to get there?

• How to keep a transition affordable?

• How to keep a transition acceptable?

• How to make the transition efficient, flexible, reactive?

German Environment Advisory Council

• What would a market for a 100% renewable energy system based on fluctuating energy sources look like?

• How can a transition to this point be reached?

• What kind of new market systems are necessary?

• What kind of new governance models are needed?

Energy Governance Transitions

• European Dimension—what if there is/isn’t lots of grid interconnectivity?

• Regional dimension—what if there is/isn’t lots of regional grid interconnectivity?

• Storage capacity—How much and by when?

• Grid development? How much and by when?

• Decentralization. How much and by when?

Regulatory Changes?

• What to do with the EEG?

• What to do to support reserve capacity?

• How to improve the Emissions trading system?

• Do we need a climate change law?

• How can public acceptance be achieved?

• Is achieving public acceptance “the goal”?

• When and how should the public be engaged in decision making processes?

ENERGY-TRANS

Transformation of the energy system

Researching an Energy TransitionThe Helmholtz Alliance

MULTI-LEVEL GOVERNANCE CHALLENGE/MODES OF COORDINATION

14

© FFU

国家绿色转型治理能力研究National Governance Capacity for Green Transformation

薛澜 清华大学

XUE, Lan Tsinghua University, P. R. China

彼得·汉尼克 德国伍珀塔尔研究所

Peter HENNICKE Wuppertal Institute, Germany

2015年11月

November, 2015

课题组 Task Force

• 课题组长 Co-chairs

薛澜，清华大学 XUE Lan, Tsinghua University

彼得·汉尼克，德国伍珀塔尔研究所 Peter Hennicke, Wuppertal Institute

• 课题组成员 Members

邓国胜，清华大学 (DENG Guosheng)

王毅，中科院科技政策与管理科学研究所 (WANG Yi)

夏光，环保部环境与经济政策研究中心 (XIA Guang)

赵昌文，国务院发展研究中心 (ZHAO Changwen)

Claudia Buentjen, Asian Development Bank

Lisa Jackson, Apple Inc.

Robyn Kruk, Australian Department of Environment, Water, Heritage and Arts

Daniel Mazmanian, University of South California

Miranda Schreurs, Freie Universität Berlin

• 支持专家 Supporting Specialists

克里斯托弗·布施；曹巧红；龙迪；胡颖廉；李万新；李颖明；罗祎楠；

菲利普·舍佩尔曼；宋紫峰；辛华；徐建华；俞海；张丛林；张永亮；赵勇

• 协调员 Coordinators：潘翻番（中方）；王佩珅（外方）

• 特邀高级顾问 Distinguished Advisory Group

汇报内容 Contents

I. 基本概念：绿色转型Defining Green Transformation

II. 国际借鉴：国际经验介绍International Experiences in Building Governance Capacity

III. 分析框架：实现绿色转型所需要的治理能力The Framework for Analyzing National Governance Capacity

IV. 现实挑战：绿色转型治理能力的不足Deficiencies in National Governance Capacity

V. 政策建议：提高绿色转型治理能力的路线图与具体建议Roadmap and Policy Recommendations for Improving

Governance Capacity for Green Transformation

2050: Climate Neutral Berlin

WBGU

Scientific advice for policy-makers

Established 1992 (Earth Summit in Rio de Janeiro) as a politically

independent scientific advisory body to the German Federal Government

The WBGU has the task to

• analyse global environment and development problems

• submit policy proposals

• monitor and assess international policies on global change

• provide early warnings on new, emerging issues and topics

• review and evaluate national and international research

• identify gaps in research and initiate new research

• raise public awareness

All WBGU publications available in German and English.

Members

Hans Joachim Schellnhuber (Co-Chair), Physicist

Dirk Messner (Co-Chair), Political Scientist

Frauke Kraas, Geographer

Claus Leggewie, Political Scientist

Peter Lemke, Physicist

Nebojsa Nakicenovic, Energy Economist

Sabine Schlacke, Lawyer

Uwe Schneidewind, Economist

Structure

Federal Cabinet

Interministerial Working

Group WBGU

funding ministries:

- research

- environment

GERMAN

FEDERAL GOVERNMENT

submission

of reports

Scientific Advice for Policy-Makers: The German Advisory Council on Global Change

9 Council Membersfour years term

scientific and logistic support by:

WBGU Secretariat

GERMAN PARLIAMENT

(BUNDESTAG, BUNDESRAT)

- Distribution of reports as

official documents

- Presentations in Committees

and Working Groups

NGOsScientific

Community

UN

International

Organisations

Civil

SocietyMedia

Source: WBGU

nomination

of Council

Members

Publications

• (...)

• Sustainable Energy Systems (2003)

• Poverty and Environmental Policy (2004)

• The Future Oceans – Warming Up, Rising High, Turning Sour

(2006)

• Climate Change as Security Risk (2007)

• Future Bioenergy and Sustainable Land use (2008)

• Solving the climate dilemma: The budget approach (2009)

• A Social Contract for Sustainability (2011)

• Governing the Marine Heritage (2013)

• Urbanisation (approx. 2016, Habitat III)

• Results of IPCC AR 5 + Climate Treaty 2015

• Sustainable Development Goals

...and:

• Policy Papers

• Fact sheets

• Presentations, public lectures and panel discussions, on national and

international level

at side events of UN conferences

in committees of the Deutsche Bundestag

before academia

in public debates through press articles and other media

• Providing platforms for debates (organisation of symposia, panel

discussions etc.)

• Assessment of the outcomes of international negotiations in the field of

environment and development (mostly as press release)

• Flagship report “Transformation” as e-learning package for universities

Beyond publications

Examples for further activities

GERMAN COUNCIL FOR

SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT

•

• Overall lead: Fed Chancellery

• „ad personam“

• multi stakeholder approach

NATIONAL SUSTAINABILITY STRATEGY

• Progress Reports

• Management Rules

• Sustainability Indicators

RECOMMENDATION: RESOURCE POLITICS

• 100% closed-loop economy

• Product stewardship – resourcestewardship

• Many dimensions of scarcity

• Product design, recycling, beyond efficiency

• Roadmaps