Informing “The Question”

Event Team

T. Grossardt(ComDec)

M. Marra(U. Dundee)

B. Gall(U3A)

K. Bailey(ComDec)

M. Whatley(U. Dundee)

D. Torrance(5MQ)

Event Attendees

Aims of the Event

• 1. To help those present to gain a better understanding of the underlying issues associated with the referendum in September 2014, and

• 2. To use the Structured Public Involvement (SPI) approach to assess what themes the audience deems most significant in determining their stance on the independence question.

Plan for Today

• Introduction and Background of the Question

• What Would Help Us Decide: What Matters for the Future of Scotland?

• Exploring Questions in Depth

• The Way Forward

Why We’re Here

• Introduction of SPI Background and Applications

• Relevance to This Question

• Why We Came and What We Hope to Contribute

• AND: Which Side is Ted On, Anyway?

Using the keypads

Who’s Side is Ted On, Anyway?

My S

ide

Their

Side

When D

id They .

..

32%

49%

19%

1. My Side

2. Their Side

3. When Did They Move Holyrood to Kansas, and Has Anyone Told the Authorities?

What Have Been Your Primary Sources for Information About the Question? (pick 3)

Radio

New

spaper

Tele

visio

n

Onlin

e-Websit

e

Socia

l media

Disc

ussio

n wit.

..

Oth

er

28

22

38

5

32

0

7

1. Radio

2. Newspaper

3. Television

4. Online-Website

5. Social media

6. Discussion with friends, family, others

7. Other

How Young Are You?

76 +

66-7

5

56-6

5

46-5

5

36-4

5

26-3

5

16-2

5

22%

61%

17%

0%0%0%0%

1. 76 +

2. 66-75

3. 56-65

4. 46-55

5. 36-45

6. 26-35

7. 16-25

Male or Female?

Fem

ale

Male

33%

67%1. Female

2. Male

Some Things I Do (choose up to three)

Busin

ess O

wner

Studen

t

Retir

ed

Work

Part

Tim

e

Work

Full

Time

Lookin

g for W

o...

Par

ent

Volu

nteer

2

7

43

1718

022

1. Business Owner

2. Student

3. Retired

4. Work Part Time

5. Work Full Time

6. Looking for Work

7. Parent

8. Volunteer

Have You Decided How You’ll Vote Yet?

Yes,

I’m Q

uite...

I’m

Pre

tty Sur..

.

I’m

Leanin

g To...

I Reall

y Hav

e ...

37%

9%

33%

22%

1. Yes, I’m Quite Certain

2. I’m Pretty Sure I Know How I’ll Vote

3. I’m Leaning Toward A Particular Decision

4. I Really Have No Idea

Prof Chris Whatley, Vice Principal

• The Union and referendum in historical

context

Michael Marra, Director

David Torrance, Deputy Director

• Our history

• Our economy

• Our state

• Our nation in the world

• Our governance and culture

1. How does the experience of union over the past 300 years matter?

2. Do we need a new vision for the union now?

The most relevant questions to be answered about Our History.

1. How will an independent Scotland pay her way?

2. What will our economy look like? - financial services, oil, renewables, manufacturing

3. How much income will North Sea Oil provide for an independent Scotland?

4. Will we use the £, the Euro, or a new currency?

The most relevant questions to be answered about Our Economy.

1. Would our welfare system change? – the NHS, benefits for unemployed, tax credits.

2. Would the education system stay the same?

3. What about our pensions?

The most relevant questions about Our State.

1. Will I need a Scottish passport? How much will that cost?

2. Will we immediately join Europe / NATO?

3. Would we have an army?

The most relevant questions about Our Nation In the World.

1. Will we still have the Queen as our figurehead?

2. Would we have a constitution – who would write it?

3. What would our media look like?

4. Who will govern us? - political institutions

5. Will our cultural output change?

The most relevant questions about Our Governance and Culture.

Relevance?How does the experience of union

over the past 300 years matter?

Not r

eleva

nt at a

ll ...

...

...

...

...

...

...

Extre

mely

relev

ant

2% 2%

7%

4%

13%

15%

20%

11%

26%

1. Not relevant at all

2. ...

3. ...

4. ...

5. ...

6. ...

7. ...

8. ...

9. Extremely relevant

Relevance?Do we need a new vision for the

union now?

Not r

eleva

nt at a

ll ...

...

...

...

...

...

...

Extre

mely

relev

ant

17%

0%

5%

2%

19%

14%

19%

7%

17%

1. Not relevant at all

2. ...

3. ...

4. ...

5. ...

6. ...

7. ...

8. ...

9. Extremely relevant

Relevance?How will an independent Scotland

pay her way?

Not r

eleva

nt at a

ll ...

...

...

...

...

...

...

Extre

mely

relev

ant

3%0% 0% 0%

77%

8%8%

3%3%

1. Not relevant at all

2. ...

3. ...

4. ...

5. ...

6. ...

7. ...

8. ...

9. Extremely relevant

Relevance?What will our economy look like?

Not r

eleva

nt at a

ll ...

...

...

...

...

...

...

Extre

mely

relev

ant

2%

0% 0%

4%

47%

13%

20%

9%

4%

1. Not relevant at all

2. ...

3. ...

4. ...

5. ...

6. ...

7. ...

8. ...

9. Extremely relevant

Relevance?How much income would North

Sea Oil provide?

Not r

eleva

nt at a

ll ...

...

...

...

...

...

...

Extre

mely

relev

ant

7%

4% 4%

9%

22%

20%

9%

11%

13%

1. Not relevant at all

2. ...

3. ...

4. ...

5. ...

6. ...

7. ...

8. ...

9. Extremely relevant

Relevance?Will we use the £, the Euro, or a

new currency?

Not r

eleva

nt at a

ll ...

...

...

...

...

...

...

Extre

mely

relev

ant

9%

4% 4%

7%

27%

16%

13%

9%

11%

1. Not relevant at all

2. ...

3. ...

4. ...

5. ...

6. ...

7. ...

8. ...

9. Extremely relevant

Relevance?Would current proposed changeds

to the welfare system be continued?

Not r

eleva

nt at a

ll ...

...

...

...

...

...

...

Extre

mely

relev

ant

4%

2%

7%

2%

31%

22%

9%

7%

16%

1. Not relevant at all

2. ...

3. ...

4. ...

5. ...

6. ...

7. ...

8. ...

9. Extremely relevant

Relevance?Will there be more investment in

welfare in an independent Scotland?

Not r

eleva

nt at a

ll ...

...

...

...

...

...

...

Extre

mely

relev

ant

0%

2%

7%

5%

28%

21%

9%9%

19%

1. Not relevant at all

2. ...

3. ...

4. ...

5. ...

6. ...

7. ...

8. ...

9. Extremely relevant

Relevance?Would the education system stay

the same?

Not r

eleva

nt at a

ll ...

...

...

...

...

...

...

Extre

mely

relev

ant

13%

0%

5%

3%

37%

16%

3%

5%

18%

1. Not relevant at all

2. ...

3. ...

4. ...

5. ...

6. ...

7. ...

8. ...

9. Extremely relevant

Relevance?What about our pensions?

Not r

eleva

nt at a

ll ...

...

...

...

...

...

...

Extre

mely

relev

ant

2% 2%0%

2%

64%

17%

0%

10%

2%

1. Not relevant at all

2. ...

3. ...

4. ...

5. ...

6. ...

7. ...

8. ...

9. Extremely relevant

Relevance?What about occupational

persions?

Not r

eleva

nt at a

ll ...

...

...

...

...

...

...

Extre

mely

relev

ant

5%

0%2%

7%

60%

9%

5%7%

5%

1. Not relevant at all

2. ...

3. ...

4. ...

5. ...

6. ...

7. ...

8. ...

9. Extremely relevant

Relevance?Will I need a Scottish passport?

Cost?

Not r

eleva

nt at a

ll ...

...

...

...

...

...

...

Extre

mely

relev

ant

32%

7%

10%

5%

27%

2%

7%

5%5%

1. Not relevant at all

2. ...

3. ...

4. ...

5. ...

6. ...

7. ...

8. ...

9. Extremely relevant

Relevance?Will we join European Union

Not r

eleva

nt at a

ll ...

...

...

...

...

...

...

Extre

mely

relev

ant

3%0% 0% 0%

77%

9%

3%6%

3%

1. Not relevant at all

2. ...

3. ...

4. ...

5. ...

6. ...

7. ...

8. ...

9. Extremely relevant

Relevance?Will we join NATO?

Not r

eleva

nt at a

ll ...

...

...

...

...

...

...

Extre

mely

relev

ant

3%

0% 0%

6%

50%

3%

11%11%

17%

1. Not relevant at all

2. ...

3. ...

4. ...

5. ...

6. ...

7. ...

8. ...

9. Extremely relevant

Relevance?Will we join the UN

Not r

eleva

nt at a

ll ...

...

...

...

...

...

...

Extre

mely

relev

ant

6%

0% 0% 0%

52%

13%

10%

6%

13%

1. Not relevant at all

2. ...

3. ...

4. ...

5. ...

6. ...

7. ...

8. ...

9. Extremely relevant

Relevance?Would we have an army?

Not r

eleva

nt at a

ll ...

...

...

...

...

...

...

Extre

mely

relev

ant

6%

0%

9%

14%

26%

23%

11%

3%

9%

1. Not relevant at all

2. ...

3. ...

4. ...

5. ...

6. ...

7. ...

8. ...

9. Extremely relevant

Relevance?Will we remove Trident

immediately?

Not r

eleva

nt at a

ll ...

...

...

...

...

...

...

Extre

mely

relev

ant

9%

0%

12%

3%

35%

3%3%

0%

35%

1. Not relevant at all

2. ...

3. ...

4. ...

5. ...

6. ...

7. ...

8. ...

9. Extremely relevant

Relevance?Will we still have the Queen as our

figurehead?

Not r

eleva

nt at a

ll ...

...

...

...

...

...

...

Extre

mely

relev

ant

26%

5% 5%

3%

42%

5%

8%

5%

0%

1. Not relevant at all

2. ...

3. ...

4. ...

5. ...

6. ...

7. ...

8. ...

9. Extremely relevant

Relevance?If not the Queen, then who?

Not r

eleva

nt at a

ll ...

...

...

...

...

...

...

Extre

mely

relev

ant

31%

3%

0%

8%

41%

0%

10%

3%

5%

1. Not relevant at all

2. ...

3. ...

4. ...

5. ...

6. ...

7. ...

8. ...

9. Extremely relevant

Relevance?Would we have a constitution and

who would write it?

Not r

eleva

nt at a

ll ...

...

...

...

...

...

...

Extre

mely

relev

ant

3%0% 0% 0%

72%

11%8%

0%

6%

1. Not relevant at all

2. ...

3. ...

4. ...

5. ...

6. ...

7. ...

8. ...

9. Extremely relevant

Relevance?What would our media look like?

Not r

eleva

nt at a

ll ...

...

...

...

...

...

...

Extre

mely

relev

ant

15%

10%

12%

7%

20%

7%7%

5%

17%

1. Not relevant at all

2. ...

3. ...

4. ...

5. ...

6. ...

7. ...

8. ...

9. Extremely relevant

Relevance?Who will govern us? - political

institutions

Not r

eleva

nt at a

ll ...

...

...

...

...

...

...

Extre

mely

relev

ant

5%3%

0% 0%

68%

5%5%3%

11%

1. Not relevant at all

2. ...

3. ...

4. ...

5. ...

6. ...

7. ...

8. ...

9. Extremely relevant

Relevance?Will our cultural output change?

Not r

eleva

nt at a

ll ...

...

...

...

...

...

...

Extre

mely

relev

ant

17%

3%

6%

8%

28%

8%

17%

3%

11%

1. Not relevant at all

2. ...

3. ...

4. ...

5. ...

6. ...

7. ...

8. ...

9. Extremely relevant

Relevance?How much influence will Scotland

have on large blocs?

Not r

eleva

nt at a

ll ...

...

...

...

...

...

...

Extre

mely

relev

ant

8%

13%

2%

0%

42%

15%

4%

2%

15%

1. Not relevant at all

2. ...

3. ...

4. ...

5. ...

6. ...

7. ...

8. ...

9. Extremely relevant

Relevance?How and when would we judge

the success of independence

Not r

eleva

nt at a

ll ...

...

...

...

...

...

...

Extre

mely

relev

ant

43%

5%

0%

5%

21%

7%

5%

7%7%

1. Not relevant at all

2. ...

3. ...

4. ...

5. ...

6. ...

7. ...

8. ...

9. Extremely relevant

Relevance?Should we consider a federal

system?

Not r

eleva

nt at a

ll ...

...

...

...

...

...

...

Extre

mely

relev

ant

33%

9%

2%

0%

24%

7%

2%

4%

18%

1. Not relevant at all

2. ...

3. ...

4. ...

5. ...

6. ...

7. ...

8. ...

9. Extremely relevant

Relevance?Is the party political complexion of

an independent Scotland significant?

Not r

eleva

nt at a

ll ...

...

...

...

...

...

...

Extre

mely

relev

ant

23%

0% 0% 0%

38%

15%

8%

10%

8%

1. Not relevant at all

2. ...

3. ...

4. ...

5. ...

6. ...

7. ...

8. ...

9. Extremely relevant

Relevance?

Not r

eleva

nt at a

ll ...

...

...

...

...

...

...

Extre

mely

relev

ant

33%

0% 0% 0%

67%

0%0%0%0%

1. Not relevant at all

2. ...

3. ...

4. ...

5. ...

6. ...

7. ...

8. ...

9. Extremely relevant

6.36.34.64.3

6.55.87.7

5.0

8.3

5.55.75.96.47.5

7.38.3

4.6

7.68.0

6.46.86.86.2

6.27.68.4

5.96.2

0.0

5.0

10.0

Ho

w d

oe

s th

e

exp

eri

en

ce o

f

un

ion

ove

r th

e

pas

t 3

00

ye

ars

mat

ter?

Wh

at w

ill

ou

r

eco

no

my

loo

k

like

?

Wo

uld

cu

rre

nt

pro

po

sed

chan

ged

s to

th

e

we

lfar

e s

yste

m

be

co

nti

nu

ed

?

Wh

at a

bo

ut

ou

r

pe

nsi

on

s?

Wil

l w

e j

oin

Euro

pe

an U

nio

n

Wo

uld

we

hav

e

an a

rmy?

If

no

t th

e Q

ue

en

,

the

n w

ho

?

Wh

o w

ill

gove

rn

us?

- p

oli

tica

l

inst

itu

tio

ns

Ho

w a

nd

wh

en

wo

uld

we

ju

dge

the

su

cce

ss o

f

ind

ep

en

de

nce

Relevance?

How does the experience of union over the past 300 years matter?

Do we need a new vision for the union now?

How will an independent Scotland pay her way?

What will our economy look like?

How much income would North Sea Oil provide?

Will we use the £, the Euro, or a new currency?

Would current proposed changeds to the welfare system be continued?

Will there be more investment in welfare in an independent Scotland?

Would the education system stay the same?

What about our pensions?

What about occupational persions?

Will I need a Scottish passport? Cost? 

Will we join European Union

Will we join NATO?

Will we join the UN

Would we have an army?

Will we remove Trident immediately?

Will we still have the Queen as our figurehead?

If not the Queen, then who?

Would we have a constitution and who would write it?

What would our media look like?

Who will govern us? - political institutions

Will our cultural output change?

How much influence will Scotland have on large blocs?

How and when would we judge the success of independence

Should we consider a federal system?

Is the party political complexion of an independent Scotland significant?

Phew! Now it’s Break Time!

• When we come back we’ll delve into the most important questions in more detail.

• Be back in 15 minutes.