Scrum@Scale: The Path to Agile 30 Years of Large-Scale Agile Transitions
Meetup CA 18 Jul 2017
© 1993-2017 Jeff Sutherland & Scrum Inc.
“We want the True Scrum!” Akihito Fujii, GM Enterprise Product Management, KDDI
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Nonaka-san and Kenji Hiranabe
© 1993-2017 Jeff Sutherland & Scrum Inc.
First: Do Things That Don’t Scale
In order to scale, you have to do things that don’t scale. It may sound counter-intuitive. But in order to scale, you have to get your hands dirty. Hand-craft the core experience. Serve your customers one-by-one. And don’t stop until you know exactly what they want. That’s what Airbnb CEO Brian Chesky did.
Tim Ferris interviewing Reid Hoffman, host of “Masters of Scale.”
One of the most common types of advice we give at Y Combinator is to do things that don't scale.
Paul Graham
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© 1993-2017 Jeff Sutherland & Scrum Inc.
Excerpt: Scrum@Scale GuideWhy Scrum@Scale?In 2006, Open View Venture Partners decided to use Scrum as a primary driver of value creation. Scrum was implemented organization wide in the venture firm (Sutherland and Altman 2009) while simultaneously deploying Scrum in portfolio companies. Four major rounds of funding are in progress supporting over three dozen active portfolio companies at any one time.The goal is to turn $1B into $10B using Scrum. To do that we needed to Innovate rapidly. Scrum is first about innovation (Rigby, Sutherland et al. 2016), then about time to market, then about driving sales that expand market share and increase valuation leading to an IPO or sale of the venture company.Our investors find it easy to double or triple velocity of teams within a few sprints by training both developers and managers. Happy teams with strong management support for agility through removing organizational waste is key. Then the hard work begins. Aligning senior management, crafting a winning business strategy, properly doing market segmentation and defining a target, and building a product owner organization that can execute effectively takes 80% of our investors time. Within seven years we sold ExactTarget to Salesforce for $2.5B (Upbin 2013), our best success to date. We think we can double our investment return with Scrum compared to other venture funds.
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© 1993-2017 Jeff Sutherland & Scrum Inc.
Scrum@Scale Works in Four Dimensions
• Scale = number of coordinating teams; complexity of projects
• Distribution = number of different coordinated geographic locations
• Saturation = Agile principles pervade the organization; break down traditional “silos”
• Velocity = 10 teams going 5 times as fast is the same at 50 competitor teams and cost is 20% of the competition
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Distribution
Saturation
Scale
The fourth dimension is velocity
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drivers of global innovation
Computing Communication Storage ContentX X X
Digital Power =
Growth Rate =
Doubles Every 18 months
Growth Rate =
Doubles Every 9 months
Growth Rate =
Doubles Every 12 months
Growth Rate = Not N
but 2N
2
An exponential rate of growth that reduces computing and communication costs 95-97% every ten years
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Agile, Lean, and Scrum drive the manufacturing revolution
Customers loved this…
…Until they tried this…
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Lean, Scrum & Agile: What’s the connection?
Lean Scrum Agile
Inspired One Parent
1950’s 1990’s 2001
Implementation
2014
© 1993-2017 Jeff Sutherland & Scrum Inc.9
Case Studies
ScrumInc Transformations
@© 1993-2016 Jeff Sutherland & Scrum Inc.
Scrum Deployment Driven by Exponential technologies1. Sensors - Internet of Things 2. Artificial Intelligence / Machine Learning 3. Robotics 4. Solar PV 5. Energy Storage 6. 3D Printing 7. 3D Visualization 8. Mobile Internet & Cloud 9. Big Data / Open Data 10. Aerial Vehicles / Nano Satellites 11. eMoney / eFinance
© 1993-2017 Jeff Sutherland & Scrum Inc.
The Top 263 Companies Racing Towards Autonomous Cars Wired 5.10.17
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© 1993-2017 Jeff Sutherland & Scrum Inc.
Case Study: GE Digital 2015
• $1B startup in Silicon Valley • 1000 developers by 2015 >3B revenue • 36000 developers in 2016 • 1917 GE moves corporate headquarters to
Scrum technology area in Boston
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Revenue: $123.7BMarket Cap: $263.36B
© 1993-2017 Jeff Sutherland & Scrum Inc.
Case Study: 3M• Sales: $31 Billion • R&D: $1.7 Billion • Market Cap $113.52B
13We have seen some teams reach, we’ve been tracking the percent change, … 500 percent increase in velocity. Tammy Sparrow
Presented at Give Thanks for Scrum. Cambridge, Nov 2016
© 1993-2015 Jeff Sutherland & Scrum Inc.
Scrum Feature Team
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• 3 -9 Members (ideal size = 4 or 5) • SM - Removes Impediments & Keeps Scrum True• PO - Team KSI & Translates Vision into Backlog• 3-5-3
SM PO
=Team
SMSM PO
• Transcendent Goals• Cross Functional -> Independent Path to Production • Self-Organizing/Self-Managing• Backlog Flows to Stable Teams• Accountable to PO
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Descaling Case Study: SimpliVity
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Scaling the SMSM
SM SM SM SM SM
SM SM SM SM SM
SM SM SM SM SM
© 1993-2015 Jeff Sutherland & Scrum Inc.
Scaled Scrum Level 1 - 5 Teams of 5 Scrum-of-Scrums
SOS
SM
SM
SM
SM
SM
• Scrum of Scrums Scales the SM • Surfaces & Removes Impediments• Mirrors Daily Scrum• Limits Communication Pathways• Achieves Communication Saturation• Cross-Team Coordination• Acts as Release Team
• Shippable increment every sprint
© 1993-2016 Jeff Sutherland & Scrum Inc.
Scaled Scrum Level 2 - 25 Teams of 5 Scrum-of-Scrums-of Scrums
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• Scrum of Scrums of Scrums• Surfaces & Removes Impediments• Mirrors Daily Scrum• Limits Communication Pathways• Increases Communication Saturation• Cross-Team Coordination
SoSoS
© 1993-2016 Jeff Sutherland & Scrum Inc.
Scaled Scrum Level 3 - 125 Teams of 5 Executive Action Team
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EAT
• EAT - Eats Impediments• Removes Impediments not handled
closer to the Team level• Mirrors Daily Scrum• Limits Communication Pathways
• (300 vs. 195,000)
• Increases Communication Saturation
• Cross-Team Coordination• 125 People Coordinate in 60 min.
SoSoS SoSoS SoSoS SoSoS SoSoS
© 1993-2015 Jeff Sutherland & Scrum Inc.20
Scaling the POPO
PO PO PO PO PO
PO PO PO PO PO
PO PO PO PO PO
© 1993-2015 Jeff Sutherland & Scrum Inc.
The Team PO Builds, Refines, Plans
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• PO - Sets Team Priorities• Servant Leader• 50% w/ Customer, 50% w/ Team• Single Backlog
• Stories • Epics
• What not How
Team
PO
SM
© 1993-2015 Jeff Sutherland & Scrum Inc.
Meta Scrum at 1 Level Aligns, Refines, Plans
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• Sets Priorities for MultipleTeam• Mirrors Refinement and Planning• Single Backlog Pulled by Line POs
• Epics• Features
• Cross-Team Coordination & Alignment• Systems Thinking - Oversees the Whole• Level 3 PO = CPO
Meta ScrumCPO
PO
PO
PO
POPO
© 1993-2015 Jeff Sutherland & Scrum Inc.
Meta Scrum at Level 2 Aligns, Decomposes, Refines
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• Sets Priorities for MultipleTeam• Mirrors Refinement and Planning• Single Backlog Pulled by Level 3 POs
• Features• Value Streams
• Cross-Team Coordination & Alignment• Systems Thinking - Oversees the Whole• Level 2PO = CCPO
Meta ScrumCCPO
© 1993-2015 Jeff Sutherland & Scrum Inc.
Executive Meta Scrum Aligns and Sets Strategic Priorities for the Organization
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• Inhales Technical Priorities • Exhales Organizational Priorities • Mirrors Refinement & Planning
• Owns Organizational Vision• Lead by the Level 1 PO
• Servant Leader• CEO• SVP
• Single Backlog Pulled by Level 2 PO• Value Streams• Initiatives
• Sets Organizational Priorities
Executive Meta Scrum*
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True Scrum@ Large Scale
© 1993-2015 Jeff Sutherland & Scrum Inc.
125 People Scaled
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EMS
EAT
SoSSM
SM
SM
SM SM
PO
PO
PO
PO
PO
CPO
SoSSM
SM
SM
SM SM
PO
PO
PO
PO
PO
CPO
SoSSM
SM
SM
SM SM
PO
PO
PO
PO
PO
CPO
SoSSM
SM
SM
SM SM
PO
PO
PO
PO
PO
CPO
SoSSM
SM
SM
SM SM
PO
PO
PO
PO
PO
CPO
© 1993-2015 Jeff Sutherland & Scrum Inc.
250 People Scaled
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CCPO
SoSSM
SM
SM
SM SM
PO
PO
PO
PO
PO
CPO
SoSSM
SM
SM
SM SM
PO
PO
PO
PO
PO
CPO
SoSSM
SM
SM
SM SM
PO
PO
PO
PO
PO
CPO
SoSSM
SM
SM
SM SM
PO
PO
PO
PO
PO
CPO
SoSSM
SM
SM
SM SM
PO
PO
PO
PO
PO
CPO
CCPO
EAT
SoSSM
SM
SM
SM SM
PO
PO
PO
PO
PO
CPO
SoSSM
SM
SM
SM SM
PO
PO
PO
PO
PO
CPO
SoSSM
SM
SM
SM SM
PO
PO
PO
PO
PO
CPO
SoSSM
SM
SM
SM SM
PO
PO
PO
PO
PO
CPO
SoSSM
SM
SM
SM SM
PO
PO
PO
PO
PO
CPO
EMS
SoSoS SoSoS
Case Study: 3M-HIS
Executive Meta Scrum
CoPQC's APO
Communities of Practice & Quality Circles Agile People Operations
(HR)
Knowledge Teams (on Teams) Infrastructure Teams (on Teams)
EAT
Customer Relations and Intelligence
CR
Meta Scrum
SoSoS
Meta Scrum
Meta Scrum
SoSoS
Meta Scrum
SoSoS
Meta Scrum
SoSoS
Meta Scrum
SoSoS
Meta Scrum
Meta Scrum
Meta Scrum
Meta Scrum
© 1993-2015 Jeff Sutherland & Scrum Inc.
Case Study: SAAB Technologies Entire factory sychronized in 1 Hour!
Best product with 80% reduction in cost and time to market• 8:30 Executive Action Team • 8:15 Scrum of Scrum of Scrum of Scrums • 8:00 Scrum of Scrum of Scrums • 7:45 Scrum of Scrums • 7:30 Daily Scrum
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Revenue: 27.19B SEKMarket Cap: 41.19B SEK
© 1993-2017 Jeff Sutherland & Scrum Inc.
Case Study: Toyota USA 2017• CSM and CSPO training for senior
management • Executive Action Team
• Agile Practice • Executive MetaScrum
• Rank ordered all Toyota projects • Some initial projects did better than 3 times
the work in 1/3 the time • Toyota Corporate Leadership committed to
Scrum pilots in Nagoya
• Challenges • Educating traditional waterfall management • Dealing with 70% outsourced to waterfall
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© 1993-2017 Jeff Sutherland & Scrum Inc.31
Mike Tromans, Engineering Manager, Digital Engineering, Toyota Production Engineering, 2017.
© 1993-2017 Jeff Sutherland & Scrum Inc.
Scrum is KAIKAKU for TMNA
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Change Transform
Change Good
© 1993-2017 Jeff Sutherland & Scrum Inc.
Case Study: BMW Revenue: 94.16B Euro Market Cap: 53.67B Euro
• All IT to Scrum immediately (>4000) • No waterfall will be allowed • Scrum will be pushed into manufacturing • Move from 70% outsourced to 70% insourced • Many experiments
• Advantages • Senior team is Knowledgeable
• Connected, electric, autonomous cars are upon us • Extreme sense of urgency • Culture of innovation
• Challenges • Connecting senior team vision with teams
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© 1993-2017 Jeff Sutherland & Scrum Inc.
Scrum Training 17-21 July 2017 Tesla Factory
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1. Toyota, $155.88 billion market cap, 10.1 million sales 2. Daimler, (Mercedes-Benz), $70.35 billion, 3 million sales 3. Volkswagen, $67.24 billion, 10.3 million sales 4. Tesla, $60.28 billion, 76,230 sales 5. BMW, $54.77 billion, 2.4 million sales 6. GM, $51.45 billion, 9.6 million sales 7. Ford, $44.65 billion, 6.7 million sales
Market caps as of June 19 and 2016 worldwide sales
© 1993-2015 Jeff Sutherland & Scrum Inc.
Case Study: Maersk 2016 Revenue: $47.57B Market Cap: $243.50B
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Mr. Skou said costs in Maersk Line were at an all-time low, dropping for the first time below $2,000 per container. Maersk Oil has pushed down its break-even level to between $40 and $45 a barrel from around $50 to $55.
© 1993-2015 Jeff Sutherland & Scrum Inc.
Money Ball
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© 1993-2017 Jeff Sutherland & Scrum Inc.
The MoneyBall of Scrum
• 30% of staff have no clear priorities (GE better than average) • 64% of features are never or rarely used (Standish Group) • Average process efficiency is less than 15% (Mary and Tom
Poppendieck and Jeff Sutherland Lean Workshops MIT and Stockholm)
• (.70)(.36)(.15) = 3.8% company performance
• The good news about these horrifying averages is that increasing performance is easy!!!
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© 1993-2017 Jeff Sutherland & Scrum Inc.
What if We Applied Scrum?
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3.8% to 17.1% = twice the work in half the time
• Cut useless work in half - Who is responsible for that? (only 15% of organization does obviously useless work)
• Double value delivery - Who is responsible for that? (only 33% of features delivered are rarely or ever used)
• Halve waste - Who is responsible for that? (improve process efficiency 15% -> 30%)
Leadership(85%)
* Product Owner
(67%)
* Scrum Master(30%)
= 17.1% company performance
© 1993-2015 Jeff Sutherland & Scrum Inc.© 2011 Scrum Inc.
Scrum@Scale starts with
Agile Leadership
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© 1993-2017 Jeff Sutherland & Scrum Inc.
Moore’s Law Applied to Software
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Transistors on a Chip Stories in a Sprint
Beginner
Ready ReadyDone Done
ContinuousDelivery
© 1993-2017 Jeff Sutherland & Scrum Inc.
Understanding Dual Operating Systems John P. Kotter. Accelerate: Building Strategic Agility for a Faster Moving World. HBR Press 2014.
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© 1993-2017 Jeff Sutherland & Scrum Inc.
FrAgile - Shu State CEO does not have Agile Mindset
• Traditional management hierarchy creates project teams • “Scaling frameworks” are often used to provide scaffolding for the
legacy organization until it can evolve • This is a translation layer that protects the waterfall from
Agile and must ultimately be removed to get high performance
• Usually get 20-30% improvement in production although bureaucracy or changes in management often cripple and/or destroy agile implementation
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Waterfall
Translation Layer
FrAgile
© 1993-2017 Jeff Sutherland & Scrum Inc.
Only Restructing the Organization Can Deal With Organizational Debt
Agile Enterprise Metrics - 2015 48th Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences Daniel R Greening, Senex Rex [email protected]
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© 1993-2017 Jeff Sutherland & Scrum Inc.
Agile - Ha State CEO changes management roles
• Management coaches the teams to self-organize and self-manage. Managers become leaders.
• Teams self-form against a prioritized backlog to maximize production. • Leaders create virtual teams that drive communities of practice across
company. • Leadership refactors the organization - target is minimum 200-400%
increase in production and reduction in time to market
44Su
stai
nabl
e
Managers become leaders Teams self-manage
@© 1993-2016 Jeff Sutherland & Scrum Inc.
Scrum is a productivity superweapon - it is shockingly efficient!Rick Horgan, Sr. Editor, Crown Business