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Seamless Multi-Scale Modelling for Meteorology - Atmospheric Composition: Enviro-HIRLAM Applications by Alexander Mahura Institute for Atmospheric and Earth System Research (INAR) / Physics Faculty of Science, University of Helsinki (UHEL), Finland TRAKT-2018 project kick-off-meeting (at NIERSC) 22-24 January 2018 St. Petersburg, Russia In linkage with multiple research projects and collaboration with many colleagues
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Page 1: Seamless Multi-Scale Modelling for Meteorology ... · Paris Metropolitan Area: T2m / AHF Diurnal cycle variability of the difference fields (Enviro-HIRLAM-P01: urban vs. control runs)

Seamless Multi-Scale Modelling for Meteorology - Atmospheric Composition:

Enviro-HIRLAM Applications

by Alexander Mahura

Institute for Atmospheric and Earth System Research (INAR) / PhysicsFaculty of Science, University of Helsinki (UHEL), Finland

TRAKT-2018 project kick-off-meeting (at NIERSC)22-24 January 2018

St. Petersburg, Russia

In linkage with multiple research projects and collaboration with many colleagues

Page 2: Seamless Multi-Scale Modelling for Meteorology ... · Paris Metropolitan Area: T2m / AHF Diurnal cycle variability of the difference fields (Enviro-HIRLAM-P01: urban vs. control runs)

Multi-Scale & -Processes Modelling at INAR

From the poster at the INAR kick-off-meeting (Helsinki, Finland), 12 Jan 2018

Page 3: Seamless Multi-Scale Modelling for Meteorology ... · Paris Metropolitan Area: T2m / AHF Diurnal cycle variability of the difference fields (Enviro-HIRLAM-P01: urban vs. control runs)

Enviro-HIRLAM/

HARMONIE

(EnviroHH)(Collaboration, Research and

Development, Science

Education, Dissemination,

New Products and

Applications)

Enviro-HIRLAM linkage to the PEEX-

Modelling Platform

Page 4: Seamless Multi-Scale Modelling for Meteorology ... · Paris Metropolitan Area: T2m / AHF Diurnal cycle variability of the difference fields (Enviro-HIRLAM-P01: urban vs. control runs)

Enviro-HIRLAM

(Environment –

HIgh Resolution

Limited Area

Model)

(Baklanov et al., 2017) – most recent

➢ Seamless / online coupled integrated meteorology-chemistry-aerosols downscaling modelling system for predicting weather and atmospheric composition

Page 5: Seamless Multi-Scale Modelling for Meteorology ... · Paris Metropolitan Area: T2m / AHF Diurnal cycle variability of the difference fields (Enviro-HIRLAM-P01: urban vs. control runs)

Enviro-HIRLAM as part of PEEX-Modelling Platform

(Baklanov, Mahura et al., 2018) – in finalization

Page 6: Seamless Multi-Scale Modelling for Meteorology ... · Paris Metropolitan Area: T2m / AHF Diurnal cycle variability of the difference fields (Enviro-HIRLAM-P01: urban vs. control runs)

Downscaling for Enviro-HIRLAMRegional-Subregional-Urban/City scales

Note: in NordForsk CarboNord project (2014-2016) – at Northern hemispheric scale

Page 7: Seamless Multi-Scale Modelling for Meteorology ... · Paris Metropolitan Area: T2m / AHF Diurnal cycle variability of the difference fields (Enviro-HIRLAM-P01: urban vs. control runs)

Components of

Enviro-HIRLAM

Components of the Enviro-HIRLAM modelling system

Note: emission datasets used depend on research projects:MEGAPOLI, TRANSPHORM, PEGASOS, MarcoPolo, EnsCLIM, CarboNord, etc.

Enviro-HIRLAM research and

development team

Baklanov et al., 2002-2017;

Korsholm et al., 2006-2010;

Mahura et al., 2004-2017;

Nuterman et al., 2007-2017;

& many other colleagues

through collaboration

(Denmark, Russia, Ukraine,

Kazakhstan, Baltic States,

Spain, Turkey, etc.)

Page 8: Seamless Multi-Scale Modelling for Meteorology ... · Paris Metropolitan Area: T2m / AHF Diurnal cycle variability of the difference fields (Enviro-HIRLAM-P01: urban vs. control runs)

Urbanization Modules Applied

Model

Output

NWP Model

U r b a n M o d u l e s:

Land Surface Scheme

ISBAInteractions

Soil-

Biosphere

Atmosphere

NWP Initialization(urban domain/ resolution /

land-cover)

Urban Modules Initialization:

AHF+R+A

BEP

SM2-U

IF Urban Frac > 0

Pass MeteoParams

AHF+R+A: Urban - fraction, flux, roughness, albedo

BEP: Urban - fraction, districts, characteristics

SM2-U: Urban – fraction, surfaces, classes, characteristics

AHF+R+A

BEP

SM2-U

Model

Run

Mahura et al. (2004-…) in FUMAPEX, HIRLAM, COST728, MEGAPOLI, MACC, TRANSPHORM, MarcoPolo, PEEX

Re-calculated meteoparams

and fluxes

ISBA Tiles:

low veg., forest,

ice, snow, water,

bare soil/ urban

Page 9: Seamless Multi-Scale Modelling for Meteorology ... · Paris Metropolitan Area: T2m / AHF Diurnal cycle variability of the difference fields (Enviro-HIRLAM-P01: urban vs. control runs)

Urban Districts in Metropolitan Areas:

Classification & Characteristics

City Center High Buildings District

Residential District Industrial Commercial

District

GIS - Extraction of

districts related

characteristics

(statistics):

• Morphology parameters (avg. height, volume,

perimeter, compactness, space between buildings)

• Cover modes (surface density (SD) of buildings,

of vegetation, hydrography, roads, N buildings)

• Aerodynamic parameters (roughness length,

displacement height, frontal and lateral SD)

Page 10: Seamless Multi-Scale Modelling for Meteorology ... · Paris Metropolitan Area: T2m / AHF Diurnal cycle variability of the difference fields (Enviro-HIRLAM-P01: urban vs. control runs)

Urban Districts in Metropolitan Areas:

Classification & Characteristics

Copenhagen (Denmark) Paris (France) Rotterdam (The Netherlands)

Metropolitan Areas

Page 11: Seamless Multi-Scale Modelling for Meteorology ... · Paris Metropolitan Area: T2m / AHF Diurnal cycle variability of the difference fields (Enviro-HIRLAM-P01: urban vs. control runs)

EXAMPLES ON STUDIES

Page 12: Seamless Multi-Scale Modelling for Meteorology ... · Paris Metropolitan Area: T2m / AHF Diurnal cycle variability of the difference fields (Enviro-HIRLAM-P01: urban vs. control runs)

Copenhagen Metropolitan Area

Denmark

Page 13: Seamless Multi-Scale Modelling for Meteorology ... · Paris Metropolitan Area: T2m / AHF Diurnal cycle variability of the difference fields (Enviro-HIRLAM-P01: urban vs. control runs)

AHF+R: Copenhagen Urban Effects Modelling

Difference between runs: 01 Aug 2004, 06 UTC

(control vs. urbanized run)

Difference field for wind at 10 m

(control vs. urbanized run)

Difference field for temperature at 2 m

Mahura et al. (2005-6)

Page 14: Seamless Multi-Scale Modelling for Meteorology ... · Paris Metropolitan Area: T2m / AHF Diurnal cycle variability of the difference fields (Enviro-HIRLAM-P01: urban vs. control runs)

BEP: Copenhagen Urban Effects Modelling

Difference between runs: 01 Aug 2004, 06 UTC

(control vs. urbanized run)

Difference field for wind at 10 m

(control vs. urbanized run)

Difference field for temperature at 2 m

Mahura et al. (2005-6)

Page 15: Seamless Multi-Scale Modelling for Meteorology ... · Paris Metropolitan Area: T2m / AHF Diurnal cycle variability of the difference fields (Enviro-HIRLAM-P01: urban vs. control runs)

BEP: Long-Term Verification

Diurnal variability for 00 UTC forecasts for the average wind velocity at 10 m for the urban

station N–6180 in the Copenhagen metropolitan area as function of the forecast length based

on the DMI–HIRLAM–I01+BEP /U0D/ and –I01–CTRL /C0D/ model runs vs. observations

Urban station N-6180: Copenhagen area : Verification

July 2004 August 2004

Mahura et al. (2007-8)

Page 16: Seamless Multi-Scale Modelling for Meteorology ... · Paris Metropolitan Area: T2m / AHF Diurnal cycle variability of the difference fields (Enviro-HIRLAM-P01: urban vs. control runs)

Paris Metropolitan Area

France

Page 17: Seamless Multi-Scale Modelling for Meteorology ... · Paris Metropolitan Area: T2m / AHF Diurnal cycle variability of the difference fields (Enviro-HIRLAM-P01: urban vs. control runs)

Downscaling for Paris Metropolitan Area

(meteorology & chemistry)

Enviro-HIRLAM downscaling (from left to right: CTRL 15—5—2.5 km & 2.5+URB) meteorological

(top—air temperature, middle—humidity) and chemical (bottom—ozone) fields on 4 Jul 2009,

00+24 UTC.Mahura et al. (2009-12)

Page 18: Seamless Multi-Scale Modelling for Meteorology ... · Paris Metropolitan Area: T2m / AHF Diurnal cycle variability of the difference fields (Enviro-HIRLAM-P01: urban vs. control runs)

Paris Metropolitan Area: T2m

Diurnal cycle variability of the difference fields (Enviro-HIRLAM-P01: control vs. urban runs) for

air temperature at 2m on 4 Jul 2009 (from 00 till 24 UTCs).

Mahura et al. (2009-12)

Page 19: Seamless Multi-Scale Modelling for Meteorology ... · Paris Metropolitan Area: T2m / AHF Diurnal cycle variability of the difference fields (Enviro-HIRLAM-P01: urban vs. control runs)

Paris Metropolitan Area: T2m / AHF

Diurnal cycle variability of the difference fields (Enviro-HIRLAM-P01: urban vs. control runs) for

air temperature at 2m with changing anthropogenic heat fluxes (100, 150, 200, and 250 W/m2) on 4

Jul 2009 at 06 and 24 UTCsMahura et al. (2009-12)

Page 20: Seamless Multi-Scale Modelling for Meteorology ... · Paris Metropolitan Area: T2m / AHF Diurnal cycle variability of the difference fields (Enviro-HIRLAM-P01: urban vs. control runs)

Paris Metropolitan Area:

Temporal Variability of Meteo.Parameters

Variability of (from left-to-right) boundary layer height, total cloud cover, surface temperature,

wind speed on 4 Jul 2009 at (top) 09 UTC and (bottom) 21 UTC based on Enviro-HIRLAM model

run at 2.5 km resolution with URB=BEP+AHF included.

Mahura et al. (2009-12)

Page 21: Seamless Multi-Scale Modelling for Meteorology ... · Paris Metropolitan Area: T2m / AHF Diurnal cycle variability of the difference fields (Enviro-HIRLAM-P01: urban vs. control runs)

Shanghai Metropolitan Area

China

Page 22: Seamless Multi-Scale Modelling for Meteorology ... · Paris Metropolitan Area: T2m / AHF Diurnal cycle variability of the difference fields (Enviro-HIRLAM-P01: urban vs. control runs)

Downscaling for Enviro-HIRLAM:

Modelling Domains vs. Metropolitan Areas

Enviro-HIRLAM model downscaling domains

(15 – 5 – 2.5 km resolutions)

Shanghai metropolitan area (MA)

Urban areas in domains

C15-15 km

C05-5 km

C02-2.5 km

C15

C05

C02

Mahura et al. (2014-2017)

Page 23: Seamless Multi-Scale Modelling for Meteorology ... · Paris Metropolitan Area: T2m / AHF Diurnal cycle variability of the difference fields (Enviro-HIRLAM-P01: urban vs. control runs)

Enviro-HIRLAM Downscaling: Aerosols

PM10 (ug/m3)

Regional (15km)-

SubRegional (5km)-

Urban (2.5km)- / Shanghai

Mahura et al. (2014-2017)

Page 24: Seamless Multi-Scale Modelling for Meteorology ... · Paris Metropolitan Area: T2m / AHF Diurnal cycle variability of the difference fields (Enviro-HIRLAM-P01: urban vs. control runs)

05/04/201826

Downscaling toMetropolitan Areas (MA)

Shanghai MA

Beijing MA

Perl-River-Delta

operationalCase studies

for assessments

Mahura et al. (2014-2017)

http://www.marcopolo-panda.eu/products/regional-air-quality-forecasts/enviro-hirlam

Page 25: Seamless Multi-Scale Modelling for Meteorology ... · Paris Metropolitan Area: T2m / AHF Diurnal cycle variability of the difference fields (Enviro-HIRLAM-P01: urban vs. control runs)

RH2m

15 km:

PM2.5

T2m

U10m

Mahura et al. (2014-2017)

Page 26: Seamless Multi-Scale Modelling for Meteorology ... · Paris Metropolitan Area: T2m / AHF Diurnal cycle variability of the difference fields (Enviro-HIRLAM-P01: urban vs. control runs)

05/04/2018 28

RH2m

5 km:

PM2.5

T2m

U10m

Mahura et al. (2014-2017)

Page 27: Seamless Multi-Scale Modelling for Meteorology ... · Paris Metropolitan Area: T2m / AHF Diurnal cycle variability of the difference fields (Enviro-HIRLAM-P01: urban vs. control runs)

RH2m

2.5 km:

PM2.5

T2m

U10m

Mahura et al. (2014-2017)

Page 28: Seamless Multi-Scale Modelling for Meteorology ... · Paris Metropolitan Area: T2m / AHF Diurnal cycle variability of the difference fields (Enviro-HIRLAM-P01: urban vs. control runs)

2.5km: Shanghai MA: PM10Diurnal cycle: 20 Jul 2010

Mahura et al., 2014-2017

Page 29: Seamless Multi-Scale Modelling for Meteorology ... · Paris Metropolitan Area: T2m / AHF Diurnal cycle variability of the difference fields (Enviro-HIRLAM-P01: urban vs. control runs)

Enviro-HIRLAM:

In other projects & applications

Page 30: Seamless Multi-Scale Modelling for Meteorology ... · Paris Metropolitan Area: T2m / AHF Diurnal cycle variability of the difference fields (Enviro-HIRLAM-P01: urban vs. control runs)

Enviro-HIRLAM:

CarboNord / PEEX-CRUCIAL

Mahura, Nuterman et al. (2016-17)

Page 31: Seamless Multi-Scale Modelling for Meteorology ... · Paris Metropolitan Area: T2m / AHF Diurnal cycle variability of the difference fields (Enviro-HIRLAM-P01: urban vs. control runs)

Enviro-HIRLAM: Rotterdam

Mahura, Nuterman et al. (2010-2012)

Page 32: Seamless Multi-Scale Modelling for Meteorology ... · Paris Metropolitan Area: T2m / AHF Diurnal cycle variability of the difference fields (Enviro-HIRLAM-P01: urban vs. control runs)

Copenhagen, Denmark

Normalized concentrations

24 hours forecast 48 hours forecast

Normalized concentrations

24 hours forecast 48 hours forecastCopenhagen, Denmark

Collaboration –

Danish Asthma Allergy Association,

Finish Meteorological Institute

Enviro-HIRLAM: Birch Pollen

Emission rate & fractions of birch treesPhenological model output

Enviro-HIRLAM model output

Source: silam.fmi.fi

Mahura, Rasmussen et al. (2005-2010)

Page 33: Seamless Multi-Scale Modelling for Meteorology ... · Paris Metropolitan Area: T2m / AHF Diurnal cycle variability of the difference fields (Enviro-HIRLAM-P01: urban vs. control runs)

Collaboration –

Danish Road Directorate

Enviro-HIRLAM: Road Weather

Mahura, Petersen et al. (2005-2012)

Add line source traffic emissions

(daily and weekly variability)

781 road stretches

in Ribe Amt region

16637 stretches for 296 roads(at distances of 1 km)

34

32 26

41

Page 34: Seamless Multi-Scale Modelling for Meteorology ... · Paris Metropolitan Area: T2m / AHF Diurnal cycle variability of the difference fields (Enviro-HIRLAM-P01: urban vs. control runs)

Thank you, Thank you, Thank youTo many colleagues and many research projects


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