+ All Categories
Home > Documents > Seattle Talk

Seattle Talk

Date post: 07-Apr-2018
Category:
Upload: abhijit-anand-prabhudan
View: 218 times
Download: 0 times
Share this document with a friend

of 37

Transcript
  • 8/6/2019 Seattle Talk

    1/37

    Marcin Jakubowski, Ph.D.

    Open Source Ecology

    10.19.2010

    Presented at Open Up

    Seattle, Washington USA

    Marcin Jakubowski, Ph.D. - Open Source Ecology 10.19.10 -http://openfarmtech.org/w

    Reaching Post-Scarcity Escape VelocBuilding the World's First, Open Source,

    Replicable, Resilient Community

    http://openfarmtech.org/weblog/http://openfarmtech.org/weblog/
  • 8/6/2019 Seattle Talk

    2/37

    Introduction

    What if we took all that civilization has learned to date and

    applied it to an experiment for making a better world? Miniaturization of Civilization: a unique opportunity for post-

    scarcity living, resilient communities, autonomy on a small

    scale Technology makes living from local resources possible and

    indeed makes it trivial to do so Let's get the world right

  • 8/6/2019 Seattle Talk

    3/37

    Basic Necessities are Covered by

    Abundant Resources

    There are 6 ways to die: too cold, too hot, thirst,

    hunger, illness, injury Food, energy, housing, etc., come from the earth and

    sun Conversion occurs via information and tools

  • 8/6/2019 Seattle Talk

    4/37

    Energy Abundance Means Material

    Prosperity

    Ubiquitous clay smelt aluminum Also known as advanced civilization

    Ubiquitous sand refine silicon

    Also known as the digital age

  • 8/6/2019 Seattle Talk

    5/37

    Technology is Advanced and Its

    Development is Accelerating

    Star Trek Replicator is here Example: 3D Printing

    Download from afar Print locally

    Mini-China on your desktop

  • 8/6/2019 Seattle Talk

    6/37

    Resilient Community Construction Set (RCCS Small subset of tools sufficient for building advanced civilization Includes cars, tractors, machinery, power generation, adaptable digital fab Self-replicating: agroecology and technology

  • 8/6/2019 Seattle Talk

    7/37

  • 8/6/2019 Seattle Talk

    8/37

  • 8/6/2019 Seattle Talk

    9/37

    LifeTrac Prototype II

  • 8/6/2019 Seattle Talk

    10/37

    Soil Pulverizer Prototype II

  • 8/6/2019 Seattle Talk

    11/37

    150 Ton Hole Puncher Prototype I

  • 8/6/2019 Seattle Talk

    12/37

  • 8/6/2019 Seattle Talk

    13/37

    The Liberator

    Full Product Release

  • 8/6/2019 Seattle Talk

    14/37

    Proposed Workshop Uses Modular CEB Constructio

    Proposed Living Units Use Modular

  • 8/6/2019 Seattle Talk

    15/37

    Proposed Living Units Use Modular

    CEB Construction

  • 8/6/2019 Seattle Talk

    16/37

    Open Business Models Work

    RepRap factor of 30 cost reduction The LiberatorCEB Press 10-20 times

    $2500 in materials Producer captures value of information and

    labor

    Economics of post-scarcity?

  • 8/6/2019 Seattle Talk

    17/37

    Post-Scarcity Means Replacing Scarce

    Resources with Ubiquitous Resources

    Real goods for meeting real needs Ex. Advanced construction from

    soil below the building site

  • 8/6/2019 Seattle Talk

    18/37

    We Are Interested in Building Resilient

    Communities

    Replicable Viral Village Resource-based economy

    Population explosion is unlikely due to direct resourc

    feedback

  • 8/6/2019 Seattle Talk

    19/37

    Resource Based Economy (RBE) Means

    Using Available Resources Directly

    RBE rocesses natural resources with

    unleashed information and technology Real economy not funnymoney Requirement competitiveness with

    mainstream production

    Post-Scarcity Lifestyle Requires no

  • 8/6/2019 Seattle Talk

    20/37

    Post-Scarcity Lifestyle Requires no

    Compromise on Quality of Life Unleashed info/tech anyone can produce

    anything anywhere no doomsday scenarios Neosubsistenceoption producing for your

    needs or trading in outside markets Rapid learning and technology generalist skill Lifetime designequipment is required your tools

    of sustenance can't be built to break down Industry 2.0 with global design and

    local fab Autonomyfor you and me

    RepLab is the Open Source Fab Lab

  • 8/6/2019 Seattle Talk

    21/37

    RepLab is the Open Source Fab Laband a Universal Constructor

    Make just about anythingon a small scale

  • 8/6/2019 Seattle Talk

    22/37

    General Systems Theory Leads to

    Integrated Humans

    Do people want to become integrated humans? Can we reconnectto ourselves, others, nature? Transformation of nature to meet needs is a deep

    form of reconnection

  • 8/6/2019 Seattle Talk

    23/37

    Join Us in This Development

    Become a developer of this work, in a

    research and development lifestyle No more mindless teeth on one of the

    many gears of the soul-crunchingmachine

    It C t Milli t Li

  • 8/6/2019 Seattle Talk

    24/37

    It Costs a Million to Live

    Business-as-Usual (BAU): Mosthuman energy is spent on coverincosts of living

    Myth of technology: ever-advancetechnology = ever-less free time

    $12.8k per year: housing-food-car

    $21k per year: including all else

    It Costs $20k to Start up a Resilient

  • 8/6/2019 Seattle Talk

    25/37

    It Costs $20k to Start up a ResilientCommunity with the GVCS

  • 8/6/2019 Seattle Talk

    26/37

    GVCS is a Basic Set of Building Blocks

  • 8/6/2019 Seattle Talk

    27/37

  • 8/6/2019 Seattle Talk

    28/37

  • 8/6/2019 Seattle Talk

    29/37

    Maintenance costs remaina big challenge

    Business-as-Usual Cost is Much Greater

    $892k Startup Cost Can be Eliminated

  • 8/6/2019 Seattle Talk

    30/37

    $892k Startup Cost Can be Eliminated

    with Access to the GVCS

    Assumption: skilled people are a prerequisite

    Start with immersion training for participants

    Generalist post-secondary training

    Open Source Agroecology Digital Fabrication

    Applied science, engineering, economics, and law

    Free based on available documentation

    Immersion training at OSE facilities 2 year program

    Equivalent of college education except for practical skills

    E h C t M B Di l d ith th GVCS

  • 8/6/2019 Seattle Talk

    31/37

    Each Cost May Be Displaced with the GVCS Can the cost go to zero?

  • 8/6/2019 Seattle Talk

    32/37

    The Last Frontier is Completion of RepLab(GVCS III)

    GVCS has 3 levels: GVCS I Gross machines; Workshop I + CNC: Torch Table, Mill, Lathe

    GVCS II Components; Induction Furnace + advanced CNC

    GVCS III Materials; all of above + open sourced industrial system

    GVCS III: 2000 sq ft silicate foundry

    10-100 tons of metals produced per day from rocks

    Desktop semiconductor foundry

    Digital age created on your tabletop

    Other materials

    Rubber from dandelion resin

    Glass, ceramics

    Polymers chemicals

    P it Q ti B il D t

  • 8/6/2019 Seattle Talk

    33/37

    Prosperity Qeustion Boils Down toAccess to Energy

    Baseline: 1000W/sq meter comes from the sun

    Average per capita use in the USA is 400W-electric

    Reality: FeF grass yield is 4000 lb of dry biomass per acre per year, orequivalent of 500 gallons of fuel

    If burned with 16% efficiency, one acre suffices to meet present electricity needsfor one person

    Is this enough for car transportation?

    Yes, if you could limit your travels from SF to NYC to only 8 times per year in a50 mpg car (24,000 miles).

    Add solar turbine 2.5% continuous efficiency of conversion from solarto electric energy, counting nights and bad weather

    16 square meters are then required to produce all your energy

    Advanced material civilization can be produced on the local scaleusing local energy

    Our Goal is to Bootstrap to a World Class

  • 8/6/2019 Seattle Talk

    34/37

    pResearch and Development Center for OSE Robust production workshop for 4 fabricators can yield

    $16-80k per month $1k-$5k/person/week earning opportunity building essential tool

    W A Pl i M d l CEB C t ti

  • 8/6/2019 Seattle Talk

    35/37

    We Are Planning Modular CEB Construction

    CEB construction infrastructure for Dedicated

    Project Visits

  • 8/6/2019 Seattle Talk

    36/37

    Summary

    We have demonstrated beginnings of: Replicable toolset for post-scarcity, resilient communitie Open source enterprise model of production Replication cost reduction to zero

    We're looking for co-developers Recruiting on-site team for 2011:

    Farmer Scientist

    4 Digital Fabricators 2 Organizers/Developers/Documentors

    Earnings via production: the revolution shall be funded

  • 8/6/2019 Seattle Talk

    37/37

    Support This Important Work

    Become a True Fanat $10/month for 2 years Go into the deep end and join us on-site Autonomy, full freedom, no compromise

    Stary a new system, as this one is broken Evolve to freedom

    http://openfarmtech.org/weblog


Recommended