Secretary of Defense: Hagel Brief 19 February 2013 Final

7/29/2019 Secretary of Defense: Hagel Brief 19 February 2013 Final

1/24

BurkeMacgregorGroupLLC

StreamliningDefense

forthe21st Century(Preparingforaustereinterwarperiodlevels

ofmilitaryfunding)

DouglasMacgregor,PhD

Colonel(ret)U.S.Army

ExecutiveVPBurkeMacgregorGroupLLC

+17039756954

[email protected]

Separateground,sea,andairwarfareisgoneforever.

GeneraloftheArmyDwightDavidEisenhower,1947


2/24

BurkeMacgregorGroupLLCBriefingOutline:

1. Whatyoushouldtakeawayfromthis

presentation!

2. Wheredowegofromhere?

3. TheISRStrikeManeuverSustainment

Framework;

4. TooMany

Chiefs,

too

few

Indians;

5. Faster,FlatterC2forMoreTeeth,Less

Overhead;

6. JointRotationalReadiness,thePathtoSavings;

7. KeyRecommendations,Primaryand

Secondary.


3/24

BurkeMacgregorGroupLLCWhatyoushouldtakeawayfromthispresentation:

Thispresentationoutlinesa Vision foracoherent,efficient

nationaldefensestrategy; avisionforeconomyand

effectivenesstheNationalLeadershipcanpresenttothe

Americanpeople:

Streamline:EliminatewastefulandredundantC2overhead,andsupportstructures.Maximizeready,

availablecombatpower!

Simplify:SimplifyOperationalC2arrangementsusingthe

ISR

Strike

Maneuver,

Sustainment

Framework.

Unify:Integratecapabilitiesacrossservicelines.Whereverpossible,reduceredundantsingleservice

warfighting structuresandC2alongwithsingleservice

thinking,culture,modernization,R&D/acquisition.

BOTTOMLINE:Keepthemuscle,cutthefat!


4/24

BurkeMacgregorGroupLLCTheFiscalCrisisandDefense:

ThesubtlerealizationthattheUnitedStatesisinfiscalfree

fallissinkingin,aneconomiccrisisthatbailoutsand

quantitativeeasingcannotstop.

In

2013,

the

President

will

have

three

obvious

courses

of

action:

1. Donothing.LettheServicebureaucraciesandevents

driveoutcomes(fewifany$Savings);

2. Tinker

on

the

margins

of

the

status

quo

(modest

$

Savings);

3. Leveragethecrisistoreduceoverhead,streamline

defenseinvestmentandincreasecapability(major$

Savings).

Option3istheonlycourseofactionthatpromisesrealsavingsandconstructivechange!


5/24

BurkeMacgregorGroupLLCMeanwhile,beyondAmericasborders

China:Stability

obsessed

leaders

are

focused

on

maintaining

rapid

economicgrowthtocreateenoughjobsforChinas1.3billionpeople

andkeepalidonunrest.Chinesesocietyisriddledwithcorruptionand

asphyxiatedbytheevergreatereffortrequiredtoimposepolitical

control.Chinasneighbors(Japan,Korea,Vietnam)fearandloatheit.

MuslimSocietiesinNorthAfrica,MEandSWAareinmeltdown.The

growingIslamistmajoritieswillstruggleamongthemselvesfordecades.

AttemptstoremoveAssadfrompowerinSyriaarereinforcingIrans

perceptionthatitneedsanucleardeterrent.Competitionforregional

dominancewill

pit

Turkey

and

Iran

against

each

other

for

decades.

Mexico,presentsanimmediateandgrowingthreattotheinternal

stabilityandnationalsecurityoftheUnitedStates.Mexicoisinthemidst

ofadrugwar,withrivalcartelsfightingforcontrolofa$30billionmarket

forillegaldrugsinsidetheUnitedStates.

KeyPoint:U.S.economydemandsaustereinterwarperiodlevel

ofmilitaryfunding.Meanwhile,externalconditionsrequireanew

approachtotheexerciseofmilitarypower.


6/24


Agoodhockeyplayerplayswherethepuckis.Agreat

hockeyplayerplayswherethepuckisgoingtobe.

WayneGretzky;

Thepointissimple:Teamswinbyidentifyingpatternsin

thegamesevolution,patternstheycanleverage.

However,patternsarenotabsolutesandadjustmentto

leveragethepatternsisrequiredonthewaytovictory.

TheUnited

States

can

likewise

act

now

to

influence

the

futureofdefenseinvestment.Hindsightcanbeforesight

ifviewedthroughtherightlens.

So,wheredowegofromhere?

You can duck under the wave, stand fast against the wave or, better yet,

surf the wave.BillGates,Chairman,CEOandfounder,Microsoft,Inc.


7/24


Thefiscalcrisisindefensespendingcreatestheopportunitytobotheconomizeandexpand

theNationsrangeofstrategicoptions.

ThePresidentandCongresscanreducecostsbybuildinga21stcenturyscalable,legolike

forcedesign,

adesign

structured

and

equipped

for

dispersed/distributed,

mobile

warfare

insideanintegratedISRStrikeManeuverSustainmentFramework.

StrategicImplicationsforNationalDefense:


8/24


TheISRStrikeManeuverSustainment

Framework:

TheFrameworkisnotjustaboutthings.Itsaboutintegratingexistingandfuturecapabilitieswithinanagile

operationalframeworkguidedby

humanunderstanding.

Itsanintellectualconstructwithtechnologicalinfrastructure.

TheFrameworkis thenextlogicalstep

intheevolutionofwarfarebeyondthe

adhoccoordinationofFederalAgenciesorcombinedarms,air

groundcooperation,airseabattle,

amphibiousandspecialoperations.

Singleservice

command

structures

are

obsolete.

U.S.capabilitiesmustbeintegratedattheoperationalleveltodetect,deter,disrupt,

neutralizeordestroyopposingforces/threatsdecisively;

ApplytheISRStrikeManeuverSustainmentFrameworkasamethodologyforinvestment

planningandprogrammingasconstrainedbudgetscompelforceoptimization;

Buildtheframeworkinsideareducednumberofregionalunifiedcommands.


9/24


TheProblem:Toomanychiefs,

toofewIndians!

FromMarch1942toApril1945whentherewere11millionmenintheArmy

andArmyAirCorpstheUShadonly4fourstargeneralstocommandthem:

Marshall,MacArthur,EisenhowerandArnold. Howmanyfourstarsdowe

havetodirecttoday'sActiveArmyandAirForce?

Answer: 23FourStarsfor879,000soldiersandairmen.

From7Decemberto31December1946whentherewere4,183,466 million

menintheNavytheUShad4fourstaradmiralstocommandthem:Nimitz,

Halsey,Leahy,

and

King,

and

the

Marine

Corps

of

800,000

was

led

by

athree

star,Vandegrift,untilMarch1945.Howmanyfourstarsdowehavetodirect

todaysActiveNavyandMarineCorps?

Answer:10FourStarAdmiralsand5FourStarMarineGeneralsforacombined

forceof

402,000.

WhileSiemensCEOPeterLoescher cut$2Billionfromoperatingexpensessincetakingoveranddismantledabureaucracythatoncecontained200separatemanagementboards,

heisntscrimpingonresearchanddevelopment(unchangedat5.1%ofrevenuein2010)

oronengineers.Thisisnotoverhead,hesays.Thisisourcompetitiveadvantage.DanielFisher,ForbesMagazine,9May2011,page98.


10/24


DeputyDefense

Secretary

William

Lynn

said

efficiency

measures

might

mean"flatterorganization,fewerheadquarters,smallerstaff,generally

moreefficiency"forthedepartment You'renotgoingtogetsavings

likewe'reproposingherewithsimplytheeasiermoves.

NathanHodge,PentagonLooksToSave$100BillionOverFive

Years, WallStreetJournal.Com, 4June2010.

OneStar

Force

PackagesExistNow!

TheSolution:Faster,FlatterC2for

thePostIndustrialEra


11/24


Simplifiedorganizationalstructuresthatemphasizeresponsibilityand

accountabilityarethekeystosuccessin21st Centurycrisisorconflict.

Therewontbetimeforapickupgameinafuturecrisisorconflict.By

thetime

the

U.S.

gets

its

operational

construct

and

C2

act

in

order,

China(orotherfuturegreatpowers)willdefeatU.S.forcesandachieve

itsownstrategicaims.

TodaysC2structureisalegacyofWWIIandIndustrialAgeservice

centricwarfare.JointTaskForceHeadquartersaresingleservice

headquarterswithaugmentation.

21st CenturyWarfaredemandsforcepackagesorganizedaround

maneuver(ground),strike,ISR(intelligence,surveillance,

reconnaissance)andsustainmentcapabilitiesforemploymentunder

JointForce

Headquarters.

Whatistobedone?Reduce

Overhead!


12/24


Integrationwithin

arelatively

flat,

jointcommandstructureisavital

stepinthedirectionofcombining

groundmaneuverforceswith

Strike,ISRandsustainment

capabilitiesfromalltheServices.

FlagOfficer

Totals:

FourStars: 4

ThreeStars:15

TwoStars:35

Total:54FlagOfficers

Failureinwarismost

oftentheabsenceof

onedirectingmindand

commandingwill.

SirWinstonChurchill

SingleServiceC2insidetheRegionalUnified

Commands:ExamplePACOM


13/24


MoreEfficient,

Effective

and

Agile

C2

at

Lower

Cost!

FiveregionallyfocusedJointForceCommands(JFCs);

ServicesprovideonestarcommandedmissionfocusedISR,Strike,Maneuveror

SustainmentcapabilitybasedforcepackagestoJFCsonrotationalbasis;

DeputyCDRsforISR,Strike,ManeuverandSustainmentassistJFCCDRtoemploy

missionfocused

capability

force

packages;

ReducedmultiStarheadquartersimprovestoothtotailratio.

Moreteeth,attheexpenseof

Unneededoverheadandtail!

$Savingswillbesubstantial!

AfterConversion:

FourStar:1

ThreeStars:6

TwoStars:30

FlagOfficerTotal:36Note1:SOFJTFretained;

Note2:OneStarsareexcluded

fromthistotal


14/24


NotionalPACOMRegional

JointForceCommands

JAPANSOUTHKOREA

PHILLIPINESTHAILAND

AUSTRALIA


15/24


Jointrotationalreadinessachievesseveral

importantgoals:

1. ForceshabituallytrainasaJointTeam;

2. Deploymentsbecomepredictableimproving

thequalityoflifeforservicemembers;

3. TheNational

Command

Authorities

(NCA)

knowwhatforcesarereadytofight;

4. FundingforO&Mismanagedmore

efficiently;

5. Howmanyandwhattypesofforce

packages/modulesis

amatter

for

decision

bytheNCA.

JointRotationalReadiness:

ThePathtoUnityofEffortand$Savings!


16/24


PrimaryRecommendations:

DirectGAO

or

CRS

to

Model

the

ISR

Strike

Maneuver

Sustainment

Framework

withJointForceCommandstructureinsimulation;

Ensurethereportcontraststheframeworkscapabilitiesandcapacitiesto

executeoperationswiththestatusquoforcestructureinarepresentative

simulatedplanningscenarioorconflictvignette;

DirectGAO

or

CRS

to

provide

anon

classified,

as

well

as,

aclassified

report

within90daysontheframeworkandcommandstructuretotheSenateArmed

ServicesCommittee,theSecretaryofDefenseandthePresident.

RecommendedActions:

Youcannotwinthiswarbysittingstill!SirWinstonChurchill,1915

CompellingchangeinU.S.nationaldefenseistantamounttowar.

Bold,

new

initiatives

can

succeed.

Moving

to

the

point

of

least

resistanceleadstofailureandnochange.


17/24


1. Advisethe

President

to

Revise

Bush

Executive

Order

13223

dated

Sep

14,2001,OrderingtheReadyReserveoftheArmedForcestoActive

DutyandDelegatingCertainAuthoritiestotheSecretaryofDefense

andtheSecretaryofTransportation,rescindingSection2:a) Sec.2. Toallowfortheorderlyadministrationofpersonnelwithinthe

armedforces,thefollowingauthoritiesvestedinthePresidentare

herebyinvoked

to

the

full

extent

provided

by

the

terms

thereof: section

527oftitle10,UnitedStatesCode,tosuspendtheoperationofsections

523,525,and526ofthattitle,regardingofficerandwarrantofficer

strengthanddistribution;andsections123,123a,and12006oftitle10,

UnitedStatesCode,tosuspendcertainlawsrelatingtopromotion,

involuntaryretirement,andseparationofcommissionedofficers;end

strengthlimitations;

and

Reserve

component

officer

strength

limitations.

2. FreezeallflagrankpromotionspendingDoD wideFlagOfficerreview,

identifyFlagrankBilletsfordowngrade1ormorestarsandthosefor

elimination;

3. DirectUnifiedCommandPlantoconsolidateCOCOMsintofiveRCCs

Pacific,Atlantic(formerlyEUCOMandAFRICOM),Central,Northern

andSouthern

Commands;

4. Establish initial3starJointForceHeadquartersatJointBaseLewis

McChord.DeveloptemplateforJFCsacrossregionalunified

commands.

KeySupporting

Recommendations:


18/24


TheBenefitsofChangein

Defense:

Reductionsin

defense

spending

providetheopportunityto

implementthenewconstruct:

PrioritizedCapabilityatCost;

PredictableRevenue

Stream

andJobCreation;

JointOptimizedDefense

Investments;

RequirementsStability;

Clarity

in

Technology

Forecasting IncreasedIndustry

R&DROI;

IndustryRapidTransitionto

ProfitableProduction;

Technologytransition

stimulatingother

domestic

markets;

ImplementingtheFramework

compelsunityofeffortand

strengthenscriticalinstrumentsof

U.S.NationalPower:

Military,DiplomaticandEconomic


19/24

BurkeMacgregorGroupLLCBackupSlides

Theprimary

purpose

of

an

army

to

be

ready

to

fight

effectively

at

all

times

seemedtohavebeenforgotten.TheleadershipIfoundinmanyinstanceswas

sadlylacking GeneralMatthewB.Ridgway,TheKoreanWar,1956


20/24


Howdowealterdefenseinvestmentto

leveragechange?

MNVR

andSUST

40%

ISR

STRIKE

60%

Land

Warfare

Sea

Warfare

Air

Warfare

OldWWII/ColdWarIndustrialAgeStructure

PostIndustrialAgeStructure

StrategicAssumptions

NewOperationalConcept

NewForceMissions

NewForceDesign&

Capabilities

NewForceDevelopment/Management/

EmploymentParadigmCritical

Tasks

for

the

Incoming

Defense

Team:

Aligndefenseinvestmentswithevolutionarytrendsintechnology,organizationand

commandstructures;

Aligndefensecommitmentsandmissionswithachangedstrategicenvironment;

Optimizetodaysforceswithinthetrendlinestoguidestrategicinvestment/acquisition

overtime.


21/24


OldWWII/ColdWar

IndustrialAgeStructure

PostIndustrialAge

Structure

IndustrialAgeinefficienciesandduplicationsreduceoperationalimpactandperpetuate

unsustainablecost

exchange

ratios

with

opponents;

OptimizingcapabilityatcostinsidethePostIndustrialAgestructuredramatically

increasesoperationalimpactofeachdollarspent maintaining/increasingsecurityat

reducedbudgets.

Changeddefenseinvestmentpromises

greateroperationalROI

Relativesizesindicate

ReturnonInvestment

Operational

Impact


22/24


TheBCTversustheCombat

ManeuverGroup(CMG)

(CSAplansto restorethe

thirdmaneuverbattalionto

ArmoredandInfantryBCTs

increasingtheirstrengthto

roughly4,500

men.)

ThefutureArmymustbe

survivable,effectiveandact

asaJointenableracrossa

rangeofalternativefutures.

TheCombatGroupisaself

containedorganizationfor

combat;aspecialized

moduleofcombatpower

organizedaround

ISR,

Strike,

ManeuverandSustainment.

Acombatgroupisdesigned

toStandAlonewithLTCs

asprimary

staff

officrs inside

aLegolikeJointForce

Design.

ThereareCGsformaneuver,

strike,ISR

and

sustainment.

VS


23/24


CGs

(ManeuverEchelon)

LRSGs 4 20,600Troops

CMGs 12 66,000Troops

ICGs 7 35,000Troops

AAGs 3

15,000Troops

TotalCGs 26

136,600 Troops

CombatGroup

Types

in

Maneuver

Echelon:

LRSG:LightReconnaissanceStrike

Group (5,150)

CMG:CombatManeuverGroup

(Armored)

(5,500)ICG:InfantryCombatGroup

(Motorized) (5,000)

AAG:AirborneAirAssaultGroup

(5,000)

ArmyReform:BuildingCombatGroups

(CG)versusBCTsinsideDivisions

VS

BCTs(Projected)

InfantryBCT 13

ArmorBCTs 12

StrykerBCTs 7

TotalBCTs 32

144,000 Troops(Assumesroughly

4,500menperBCT)

TheBCTsarethereinforcedbrigades

insidedivisionswithminormodifications

atthebattalionlevelorroughly4,500

men.

TheBCTs

are

realigned

with

division

and

corpsheadquarterstorestoretheten

divisionforcestructure,asmallerversion

oftheColdWarArmythatemergedin

1992afterDesertStorm.


24/24


TheISR

Strike

Maneuver

Sustainment

Framework(hereafter

referred

to

as

the

framework)

is

designed

to

weldAmericanmilitarypowerinsidetheregionalunifiedcommandsintoacoherentwholeorganizedto

copewithabroadspectrumofmissionsatatimewhenthesizeofgeneralpurposeforcesandthefiscal

resourcestosupportthemisdiminishing. ItisawaytodisengagefromtheeconomicallyexpensiveWorld

WarII,industrialageparadigmofland,airorseawarfareinfavorofintegrated,allarms,alleffects

operationsbasedonmaneuver,strike,intelligence,information,surveillance,andsustainment(logistics).

Theframeworkis thenextlogicalstepintheevolutionofwarfareandinteragencyactivitiesbeyondthe

adhoccoordinationofindividualFederalAgenciesandServicebasedelementsofintegration:combined

arms,airgroundcooperation,airseabattle,andamphibiousoperations. Insidetheframework

operationsareharmonizedacrossservicelinesthroughintegratedC2,commonmissionpurposesor

"effectsenabled

by

the

rapid

and

wide

dissemination

of

critical

information.

The

transition

to

flatter,

permanentJointForceCommandstructuresontheoperationallevel,aswellastheoptimizationofforces

andcapabilitiestomaximizetheirimpactisenabledbylongrangeprecisioneffects kineticandnon

kinetic.TheseeffectsareachievedwithavastarrayofISRandStrike(fromSOFDirectActiontoCyber)

assetsfromseabedtospace.

Themain

"selling

point"

for

the

framework change

in

the

way

conventional

forces

are

employed

and

developed mustbeoperationalefficiencies. Atpresent,thescrambletojustifyserviceequitiesand

programs(manyofwhichinvolveredundantcapabilities),isleadingtoconceptualchaos,organizational

turmoilandminimalsavings.Inresponse,theframeworkleveragesAmericastechnologicalandhuman

advantagewiththeunderstandingthattheU.S.Militaryisclimbingthecrestofarevolutionarybowwave;

awave

that

competing

great

powers

have

already

identified

and

will

surely

surf

in

the

decade

that

lies

ahead.

WhattheFrameworkmeanstoU.S.National

Security:

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Secretary of Defense: Hagel Brief 19 February 2013 Final

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