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See Potential for crowdsourcing and mobile phones Nov 10 2014

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Presentation at workshop: Reducing the costs of GHG estimates in agriculture to inform low emissions development November 10-12, 2014 Sponsored by the CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS) and the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO)
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The Potential for Crowdsourcing and Using Mobile Phone Technology Linda See Ecosystems Services and Management Program Geo-Wiki Team: Steffen Fritz, Ian McCallum, Christoph Perger, Martina Duerauer, Mathias Karner, Jon Nordling, Michael Obersteiner Reducing the Costs of GHG Estimates in Agriculture to Inform Low Emissions Development,10-12 Nov 2014, Rome Italy
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Page 1: See Potential for crowdsourcing and mobile phones Nov 10 2014

The Potential for Crowdsourcing and Using Mobile Phone Technology

Linda See Ecosystems Services and Management Program

Geo-Wiki Team: Steffen Fritz, Ian McCallum, Christoph Perger, Martina Duerauer, Mathias Karner, Jon Nordling, Michael Obersteiner

Reducing the Costs of GHG Estimates in Agriculture to Inform Low Emissions

Development,10-12 Nov 2014, Rome Italy

Page 2: See Potential for crowdsourcing and mobile phones Nov 10 2014

Overview

•  Terminology •  Intro to Geo-Wiki

– Campaigns – Hackathon – Gaming

•  Mobile devices and applications •  Data collection for GHG accounting •  Discussion

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Crowdsourcing •  Outsourcing to the crowd (Howe, 2006)

– E.g. Amazon’s Mechanical Turk •  Using the crowd to collect data, solicit

ideas, analyze data, do voluminous tasks that could otherwise not be done

•  Represents an untapped potential source of data for scientific research – Already being harnessed in ecology,

conservation, species identification under the umbrella of citizen science

Page 4: See Potential for crowdsourcing and mobile phones Nov 10 2014

Plethora of Terminology

•  Citizen science (+ extreme version) •  PPSR •  Volunteereed Geographic Information •  GeoCollaboration / PPGIS •  GeoWeb •  Neogeography •  Participatory sensing •  Web mapping

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Page 6: See Potential for crowdsourcing and mobile phones Nov 10 2014

Context: Need for Improved Land Cover

•  Crucial baseline information for many applications/integrated assessment models

•  Overall and spatial disagreement when different products are compared

•  Need for more ground-based validation data •  Confusing for users – Which one is correct?

Which is the best product to use? •  A number of studies have shown that the

choice of land cover can have a significant affect on the final results

Page 7: See Potential for crowdsourcing and mobile phones Nov 10 2014

Geo-Wiki: Visualization, Crowdsourcing and Validation Tool

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Large Disagreements in Cropland

Can view these on: http://www.geo-wiki.org

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Showing Disagreement on Google Earth

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Example from a Competition (Humanimpact.geo-wiki.org)

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Data from Human Impact Competition

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Crowdsourcing Validation Data

~200,000 validation samples collected

Number   Competition   Purpose of the Competition  1   Human Impact   To validate a map of land availability for biofuel

production  2   Hotspots of Map

Disagreement  To collect validation points in the areas were the GLC2000, MODIS and GlobCover disagree with one another  

3   Wilderness   To collect land cover and human impact in order to determine the amount of global wilderness. The locations used were the same as that of the Chinese 30 m land cover map  

4   Global Validation Dataset  

To collect data at the same locations as the validation data assembled for the Chinese 30 m land cover map  

5 & 6   Hackathon and IIASA Competition  

To collect data on the degree of cultivation and the degree of human settlement in Ethiopia in the context of land grabbing  

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Outputs from Geo-Wiki: Cropland Map

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Outputs from Geo-Wiki: Map of Field Size

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Geo-Wiki Output: Global Map of Human Impact / Wilderness

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Outputs from Geo-Wiki: Downgrading of Land Availability for Biofuels

Scenario Original figures

(million ha)

Adjusted for land cover (million ha)

Adjusted for field size

(millon ha)

Adjusted for human impact

(million ha)

S1 320 98 42 34

S2 702 467 201 84

S3 1411 998 N/A 409

S4 1107 786 N/A 264

Fritz, S., See, L., van der Velde, M., Nalepa, R.A., Perger, C., Schill, C., McCallum, I., Schepaschenko, D., Kraxner, F., Cai, X., Zhang, X., Ortner, S., Hazarika, R., Cipriani, A., Di Bella, C., Rabia, A.H., Garcia, A., Vakolyuk, M., Singha, K., Beget, M.E., Erasmi, S., Albrecht, F., Shaw, B., Obersteiner, M. 2013. Downgrading recent estimates of land available for biofuel production. Environmental Science & Technology, 47(3), 1688-1694.

Page 17: See Potential for crowdsourcing and mobile phones Nov 10 2014

Hackathon.geo-wiki.org •  Organized by USAID •  Challenge:

– Collect information about cropland and settlement for Ethiopia

– Overlay with location of land acquisitions

– Look for evidence of effects on local populations

•  Extended to a competition for 3 weeks

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Page 19: See Potential for crowdsourcing and mobile phones Nov 10 2014

Land Grabbing

Source: http://www.petergiovannini.com/Landgrabbing/index.html

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More Outputs from a Hackathon

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Land Acquisition Area

(from Land Matrix Database)

+ Clear Evidence of Settlements (from Geo-Wiki

Hackathon)

= Areas

of Conflict

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Data Collected over Three Weeks

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Geo-Wiki Output: Interpolated Cropland Map

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Comparison through Differencing

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Accuracy Assessment

Maps

Accuracy measures (%) Overall

accuracy User’s

accuracy Producer’s accuracy

All No Crop Crop No Crop Crop

GLC-2000 77.3 90.5 48.1 79.5 69.6

MODIS 81.8 83.2 67.5 96.1 29.3

GlobCover 74.5 89.3 43.9 76.8 66.3

C r o w d s o u r c e d cropland map 89.3 91.7 78.8 94.9 68.5

See, L., McCallum, I., Fritz, S., Perger, C., Kraxner, F., Obersteiner, M., Deka Baruah, U., Mili, N. and Ram Kalita, N. In press. Mapping Cropland in Ethiopia using Crowdsourcing. International Journal of Geosciences.

Page 27: See Potential for crowdsourcing and mobile phones Nov 10 2014

Evolution of Crowdsourcing

Time Today 2009

Log

of n

umbe

r of v

alid

atio

ns c

olle

cted

Early games

Cropland Capture

Launch

Early competitions

Six campaigns

African hybrid cropland map

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Multi-Platform Game

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Cropland Capture

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How Does it Work?

•  We started with a small pool of images already classified by experts

•  90% of images the players get have already been classified

•  10% of images not classified given to ‘good’ players è We assume the player to be correct on these images

•  The pool of classified images automatically increases

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Image 17365 Denmark Yes=69 No=1 Maybe=0

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Image 36318 Zimbabwe Yes=21 No=20 Maybe=2

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Incentives

•  Leaderboard •  Weekly prizes: one random classification

is picked; the person who did this classification receives a prize (last 5 weeks)

•  3 final winners: at the end of the competition 3 winners were drawn to receiver bigger prizes, e.g. a tablet and smartphone

Page 36: See Potential for crowdsourcing and mobile phones Nov 10 2014

‘Softer’ Motivations •  66% of participants said they liked the

idea of helping science •  24% were motivated by the prizes at the

end •  24% like looking at the images/pictures •  19% were driven by the leaderboard •  29% said the game was fun •  25% said they stop playing in a given

week when they realize they cannot get into the top 3 places

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Help from the Media

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Summary of the Competition

•  Ran for 25 weeks (15 Nov to 9 May 2014) •  3,014 players •  4,567,110 classifications •  187,673 unique images

– 98,411 satellite images (250m to 1km.sq) – 89,232 photos

Page 39: See Potential for crowdsourcing and mobile phones Nov 10 2014

Classifications by Device

Device Number % iPhoneS 578,331 12.7 Other iPhones 616,537 13.5 iPads 698,762 15.3 Android Devices 1,636,627 35.8 Browsers 1,036,853 22.7

•  Majority play on mobile devices •  Apple products used more frequently than Android but not by that much

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Multiple Classifications

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Agreement of the Crowd

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Mobile Devices and Apps

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Geo-Wiki Pictures Mobile App

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Latest Version of the App

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Page 46: See Potential for crowdsourcing and mobile phones Nov 10 2014

FarmSupport Mobile App

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GEOSAF Early Warning App

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Grower’s Nation App

http://www.growers-nation.org/

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ODK / GeoODK

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Sample Screens from GeoODK

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SATIDA GeoODK App

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SATIDA GeoODK App

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Household Survey App

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IFAD Household Survey App

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Household Survey App

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Ongoing Work •  Cities Geo-Wiki – relevant to GHG

emissions calculations •  Further development of picture-based

household survey app •  New game building on Cropland Capture

on forests and deforestation •  Possible further development of

FarmSupport app •  Other related projects

Page 57: See Potential for crowdsourcing and mobile phones Nov 10 2014

Data Collection for GHG Accounting

•  Ask farmers about management practices (fertilizer application, manure management) and cropping practices (crop types, crop residues, crop calendars) via mobile devices

•  Could be more icon-based than text-based •  Could use voice recognition •  Could use photos to provide evidence / QA •  Could be SMS-based •  Needs an incentive scheme (e.g. mobile credits,

access to market and weather information) •  Identified as bridging the gap (Paustian, 2013)

Page 58: See Potential for crowdsourcing and mobile phones Nov 10 2014

Livestock Geo-Wiki

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Topics for Discussion

•  Who is the crowd? •  Creating a community / motivation •  Quality assurance •  Protocols for data collection •  Bias in the data •  Barriers to uptake – literacy, technology

Page 60: See Potential for crowdsourcing and mobile phones Nov 10 2014

Thanks for your Attention! Questions? Discussion


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