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Selected clinical applications I or · Selected clinical applications I or the way from a Bayesian...

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Mario A. Cypko [email protected] eHealth Summit Austria 2016 Selected clinical applications I or the way from a Bayesian Network to a Clinical Decision Support System for Tumor Boards
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Page 1: Selected clinical applications I or · Selected clinical applications I or the way from a Bayesian Network to a Clinical Decision Support System ... Concept for a CDSS using BN .

Mario A. Cypko

[email protected]

eHealth Summit Austria 2016

Selected clinical applications I

or

the way from a Bayesian Network

to a Clinical Decision Support System

for Tumor Boards

Page 2: Selected clinical applications I or · Selected clinical applications I or the way from a Bayesian Network to a Clinical Decision Support System ... Concept for a CDSS using BN .

2

Head&Neck-Tumorboard at the University Hospital Leipzig, Germany

[email protected]

Complexity of tumor board decisions

Page 3: Selected clinical applications I or · Selected clinical applications I or the way from a Bayesian Network to a Clinical Decision Support System ... Concept for a CDSS using BN .

[email protected] 3

Clinical Decision Support Systems using Bayesian Networks

Page 4: Selected clinical applications I or · Selected clinical applications I or the way from a Bayesian Network to a Clinical Decision Support System ... Concept for a CDSS using BN .

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Graphical Modelling example of laryngeal cancer

[email protected]

Bayes’sches Netzwerk (J.Pearl)

Page 5: Selected clinical applications I or · Selected clinical applications I or the way from a Bayesian Network to a Clinical Decision Support System ... Concept for a CDSS using BN .

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Probabilistic Modelling example of laryngeal cancer

[email protected]

Bayes’sches Netzwerk (J.Pearl)

Page 6: Selected clinical applications I or · Selected clinical applications I or the way from a Bayesian Network to a Clinical Decision Support System ... Concept for a CDSS using BN .

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Inference

[email protected]

Bayes’sches Netzwerk (J.Pearl)

Page 7: Selected clinical applications I or · Selected clinical applications I or the way from a Bayesian Network to a Clinical Decision Support System ... Concept for a CDSS using BN .

[email protected] 7

Clinical Decision Support Systems using Bayesian Networks

Page 8: Selected clinical applications I or · Selected clinical applications I or the way from a Bayesian Network to a Clinical Decision Support System ... Concept for a CDSS using BN .

[email protected] 8

Clinical Decision Support Systems using Bayesian Networks

Page 9: Selected clinical applications I or · Selected clinical applications I or the way from a Bayesian Network to a Clinical Decision Support System ... Concept for a CDSS using BN .

3 years of devlopment 1 Physican & 1 Computer Scientist 1. year, daily

2. year, twice a week 3. year, once a week

Aim: To model a tumor board decision for laryngeal cancer.

An example of the MEBN therapy decision of laryngeal cancer, >1100 IEs and >1500 dependencies

[email protected] 9

CDSS using BN – Treatment Decision of Laryngeal Cancer

Page 10: Selected clinical applications I or · Selected clinical applications I or the way from a Bayesian Network to a Clinical Decision Support System ... Concept for a CDSS using BN .

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Cypko MA, Stöhr M, Denecke K, Dietz A, Lemke H U. “User interaction with MEBNs for large patient specific

treatment decision models with an example for laryngeal cancer” Int J CARS, 9 (Suppl 1), 2014.

[email protected] 10

Concept for a CDSS using BN

Page 11: Selected clinical applications I or · Selected clinical applications I or the way from a Bayesian Network to a Clinical Decision Support System ... Concept for a CDSS using BN .

[email protected] 11

BN limitation of :

Fuzzy values to decreas data validity over time

Repositories, engines and transmission

Page 12: Selected clinical applications I or · Selected clinical applications I or the way from a Bayesian Network to a Clinical Decision Support System ... Concept for a CDSS using BN .

Limits in BN modelling

- Information about time is needed. - Recalculating fuzzy values based on past time of examinations

Gaebel J, Stoehr M, Cypko MA. “Integrating Intelligent Agents in form of Arden Syntax for Computing Instance Based Fuzziness into Patient-Specific Bayesian Networks” Int J CARS, 11 (1), 2016.

[email protected] 12

e.g., Arden Syntax Additional Tools

Page 13: Selected clinical applications I or · Selected clinical applications I or the way from a Bayesian Network to a Clinical Decision Support System ... Concept for a CDSS using BN .

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Cypko MA, Stöhr M, Denecke K, Dietz A, Lemke H U. “User interaction with MEBNs for large patient specific

treatment decision models with an example for laryngeal cancer” Int J CARS, 9 (Suppl 1), 2014.

[email protected] 13

Concept for a CDSS using BN

Page 14: Selected clinical applications I or · Selected clinical applications I or the way from a Bayesian Network to a Clinical Decision Support System ... Concept for a CDSS using BN .

Challenges with modelling

[email protected] 14

Page 15: Selected clinical applications I or · Selected clinical applications I or the way from a Bayesian Network to a Clinical Decision Support System ... Concept for a CDSS using BN .

Expert-Based Probabilistic Modelling

L.C. van der Gaag et. al. 2005

BMT 2015 –Lübeck [email protected]

Page 16: Selected clinical applications I or · Selected clinical applications I or the way from a Bayesian Network to a Clinical Decision Support System ... Concept for a CDSS using BN .

Challenges with modelling

[email protected] 16

Page 17: Selected clinical applications I or · Selected clinical applications I or the way from a Bayesian Network to a Clinical Decision Support System ... Concept for a CDSS using BN .

Web-Tools to support expert modelling

[email protected] 17

In cooperation with

Page 18: Selected clinical applications I or · Selected clinical applications I or the way from a Bayesian Network to a Clinical Decision Support System ... Concept for a CDSS using BN .

Collaborative expert modelling!

The modeller

[email protected] 18

Page 19: Selected clinical applications I or · Selected clinical applications I or the way from a Bayesian Network to a Clinical Decision Support System ... Concept for a CDSS using BN .

Collaborative Expert Modelling

[email protected] 19

Page 20: Selected clinical applications I or · Selected clinical applications I or the way from a Bayesian Network to a Clinical Decision Support System ... Concept for a CDSS using BN .

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Cypko MA, Stöhr M, Denecke K, Dietz A, Lemke H U. “User interaction with MEBNs for large patient specific

treatment decision models with an example for laryngeal cancer” Int J CARS, 9 (Suppl 1), 2014.

[email protected] 20

Concept for a CDSS using BN

Users UID Viewpoints

Page 21: Selected clinical applications I or · Selected clinical applications I or the way from a Bayesian Network to a Clinical Decision Support System ... Concept for a CDSS using BN .

GUI - Examples

Therapy decision model with an example of Larnygeal cancer

Lemke HU, Cypko MA, Warner D, Berliner L..3D++ Visualisation of MEBN Graphs and Screen Representations of Patient Models (PIXIE II). Stud Health Technol Inform. 2014;196:248-51.

[email protected] 21

Page 22: Selected clinical applications I or · Selected clinical applications I or the way from a Bayesian Network to a Clinical Decision Support System ... Concept for a CDSS using BN .

GUI for analyzing PSBNs

[email protected] 22

In cooperation with

Page 23: Selected clinical applications I or · Selected clinical applications I or the way from a Bayesian Network to a Clinical Decision Support System ... Concept for a CDSS using BN .

Questions? Thank you!

Page 24: Selected clinical applications I or · Selected clinical applications I or the way from a Bayesian Network to a Clinical Decision Support System ... Concept for a CDSS using BN .

Meet our digital OR!

Page 25: Selected clinical applications I or · Selected clinical applications I or the way from a Bayesian Network to a Clinical Decision Support System ... Concept for a CDSS using BN .

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Page 26: Selected clinical applications I or · Selected clinical applications I or the way from a Bayesian Network to a Clinical Decision Support System ... Concept for a CDSS using BN .

Information Used in the OR 26

[email protected]

Page 27: Selected clinical applications I or · Selected clinical applications I or the way from a Bayesian Network to a Clinical Decision Support System ... Concept for a CDSS using BN .

Digital Patient Models in the OR - A Vision 27

[email protected]

Page 28: Selected clinical applications I or · Selected clinical applications I or the way from a Bayesian Network to a Clinical Decision Support System ... Concept for a CDSS using BN .

Pre-analysis Treatment decision

Repositories, engines and transmission

• Decision making: Multi-Entity Bayesian Networks • Scoring Systems: Arden Syntax

Example of Mitral insufficiency

Aggre-gation of patient

data

X X

Risk Determination

(Scores)

Selection of

implant

Typ- & degree of severity

Feasibility analysis

Page 29: Selected clinical applications I or · Selected clinical applications I or the way from a Bayesian Network to a Clinical Decision Support System ... Concept for a CDSS using BN .

Repositories, engines and transmission

Concept for a CDSS using MEBN

[email protected] 29

Page 30: Selected clinical applications I or · Selected clinical applications I or the way from a Bayesian Network to a Clinical Decision Support System ... Concept for a CDSS using BN .

Established medical knowledge e.g.,

[email protected] 30

e.g., Arden Syntax Additional Tools

Repositories, engines and transmission

Established data storage and transmission

Cypko MA, Lemke HU. “Concepts for IHE integration profiles for communication with probabilistic graphical models.” Int J CARS, 11 (1), 2016.


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