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Residential Policy ReviewCollingwoods Changing

Demographics

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Birth Rate (CBR) - number of live births per year for every 1,000 people

Death Rate (CDR) number of deaths per a year for every 1,000 people

Natural Increase (NIR)- Percent growth per year, CBR minus CDR.

Fertility Rate (TFR) - average number of children a woman will have

Life expectancypredicted age that a normal person lives up to.

Demographics 101

Population Pyramids- graph the number of people alive in an age group - each year

people in an age group get one year older, some die, some leave and some new people arrive -Immigration and Emigration

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The GreatDepression

Baby Bust

Boomer Echo

MillennialGeneration

The BabyBoom

World War 2 Ends

Demographics 101

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The GreatDepression

Baby Bust

Boomer Echo

MillennialGeneration

The BabyBoom

World War 2 Ends

Demographics 101

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Aging and the Population Pyramid

Over 65

Under 15

Populationincrease to over 65 age

groups larger thanincrease to under 15 agegroups

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Why is the population aging?

Life Expectancy is continuingto increase

The Baby Boom 1946-1965

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$0.00

$10,000.00

$20,000.00

$30,000.00

$40,000.00

$50,000.00

$60,000.00

19511961

19711981

1991

1951 1961 1971 1981 1991

Income $22,401.00 $29,748.00 $43,437.00 $54,214.00 $55,771.00

Family Income 1951 - 1991(1995 constant dollars)

Why is the population aging?The Baby Bust - Declining Fertility Rates Introduction of Effective Birth Control

Increased Educational and EconomicOpportunities for All

Affluence and Security

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0.00% 2.00% 4.00% 6.00% 8.00% 10.00%

0-45-9

10-1415-1920-2425-2930-3435-3940-44

45-4950-5455-5960-6465-6970-7475-7980-84

85+

Over 65

Under 15

0.00% 2.00% 4.00% 6.00% 8.00% 10.00%

0-45-9

10-1415-1920-2425-2930-3435-3940-44

45-4950-5455-5960-6465-6970-7475-7980-84

85+

- Out Migration(lure of educational and employmentopportunities elsewhere)

Collingwoods

Population Pyramid 2006Collingwood has acomparatively older

population with fewerchildren and young adults

-

+

Collingwood

Ontario

- General Population Trends

(aging and declining fertility)

- Attractiveness for Retirees andRecreational/Seasonal Residents

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Population Distribution

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Population Distribution

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The Regional Perspective

age breakdown median

age

average

household size0-14 15-64 65+Collingwood 15.62 63.85 20.53 44.40 2.36

Wasaga Beach 14.17 60.91 24.92 48.80 2.41

Blue Mountains 13.11 62.27 24.62 50.60 2.32

Clearview 19.52 65.65 14.83 41.20 2.81Barrie 21.30 67.82 10.88 35.40 2.76

Bradford 20.78 70.48 8.74 36.70 3.02

Ontario 18.18 68.26 13.56 39.01 2.67

age breakdown median

age

average

household size0-14 15-64 65+Collingwood 15.62 63.85 20.53 44.40 2.36

Wasaga Beach 14.17 60.91 24.92 48.80 2.41

Blue Mountains 13.11 62.27 24.62 50.60 2.32

Clearview 19.52 65.65 14.83 41.20 2.81Barrie 21.30 67.82 10.88 35.40 2.76

Bradford 20.78 70.48 8.74 36.70 3.02

Ontario 18.18 68.26 13.56 39.01 2.67

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0.00% 1.00% 2.00% 3.00% 4.00% 5.00% 6.00% 7.00% 8.00%

0-4

5-9

10-14

15-19

20-24

25-29

30-34

35-39

40-44

45-49

50-54

55-59

60-64

65-69

70-74

75-79

80-84

85-89

90+

Collin wood

Collingwood* and Ontario Age Profiles in 2031

* using Grey County Percentages as approximation of Collingwood's age profile

Ontario

Over 65 increases from20.5% to about 32%

Under 15 decreases from16% to about 14%

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And in Collingwoods casegoing from 16% to 14% of thepopulation still means more

children since we are stillgrowing.

?

A Cautionary Note

Relatively Stable Numbers For Awhile

?No, not at all

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Characteristics of Seniors

General desire to age in place;

Increasingly move due to health reasons

Greater openness to apartments, garden suites;

More likely to move to a rural area, including popular retirementdestinations - lured by cheaper housing, lower crime rates andoutdoor lifestyle

Healthy, active and happy, in particular 65-74 age group

Significant source of volunteers;

Greater need and flexibility for public transportation

More affluent than in the past (with exceptions)

More concern for safety and accessibility

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Collingwood

General Household Characteristics

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1996 2001 2006couple with children 30.79% 27.54% 22.97%couple without children 27.24% 28.82% 31.58%one person family 27.15% 28.67% 30.28%

one parent and non-traditional 14.82% 14.97% 15.24%

General Household Characteristics

0.00%

5.00%

10.00%

15.00%

20.00%

25.00%

30.00%

35.00%

couple with

children

couple without

children

one person family lone parent and

non-traditional

PercentageofFamilies

Collingwood Family Structure 1996 to 2006

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A variety of factors are likely involved with these figures the aging trend,fewer traditional families, seasonal recreational properties, desirability ofCollingwood as a retirement destination, etc.

Provincially, building permits for multiples overtook singles and semi-detacheddwellings in 2008 with a projection from CMHC that they will account for 64%of all units to be constructed in 2011and Provincial intensificationrequirements are not supposed to kick in until 2015

1991 2006 10year 5yearSinglesandSemis 72.1 69.6 60.4 55.8Townhomes 6.5 7.1 28.3 25.2

Apartments 21.0 23.0 11.4 19.0

Collingwoods Housing Stock and

Building Trends

Market Response

Recent Building PermitsHousing Stock

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Greater need for:

dwelling types for smaller household sizes; housing which is accessible affordable housing and/or more flexible living

arrangements;

New Housing and NeighbourhoodDemands

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Greater need for:

closer services and amenities public transportation; neighbourhood walkability; social interaction;

which leads us back to

New Housing and NeighbourhoodDemands

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Complete Communities/Neighbourhoods

meet peoples needs for daily living, throughout anentire lifetime, by providing convenient access to an

appropriate mix of jobs, local services, a full range ofhousing, and community infrastructure includingaffordable housing, schools, recreation and open

space;

provide convenient access to public transportationand options for safe non-motorized travel.

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Complete Communities/Neighbourhoods

Worship

Shop

Work*

Play

Learn*Give

Live

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higher densities neighbourhoodsupportive population (variety of land uses)

infill and intensification;

Compact Urban Form

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more housing choices;

good urban design attractive,

accessible, safe, and,

functional

Compact Urban Form

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Next Steps

1. Data Collection Policy, Statistics, Land Use Information2. Research and Analysis

3. Finalization of Growth Allocation (on hold - PDF)

5. Draft Policies6. Review and Comment

Residential Policy Review Land Budget Complete Communities and Compact Urban Form Collingwoods Changing Demographics Infrastructure and Services

4. Background Presentations