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Seth Frader-Thompson, CEOweb.stanford.edu/group/peec/cgi-bin/docs/events/2011/becc... ·...

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Seth Frader-Thompson, CEO
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Page 1: Seth Frader-Thompson, CEOweb.stanford.edu/group/peec/cgi-bin/docs/events/2011/becc... · 2011-12-12 · THERMOSTATS SUCK . 90% of thermostats . are not programmed properly, or at

Seth Frader-Thompson, CEO

Page 2: Seth Frader-Thompson, CEOweb.stanford.edu/group/peec/cgi-bin/docs/events/2011/becc... · 2011-12-12 · THERMOSTATS SUCK . 90% of thermostats . are not programmed properly, or at

Setting the stage

When you see EnergyHub, you probably think about the Home Base…

but…

We’ve changed our focus a bit lately…

and with 100K thermostats already running our software… it seems we’re onto something big here

Page 3: Seth Frader-Thompson, CEOweb.stanford.edu/group/peec/cgi-bin/docs/events/2011/becc... · 2011-12-12 · THERMOSTATS SUCK . 90% of thermostats . are not programmed properly, or at

How we got here…

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Page 4: Seth Frader-Thompson, CEOweb.stanford.edu/group/peec/cgi-bin/docs/events/2011/becc... · 2011-12-12 · THERMOSTATS SUCK . 90% of thermostats . are not programmed properly, or at

WHY THERMOSTATS?

Page 5: Seth Frader-Thompson, CEOweb.stanford.edu/group/peec/cgi-bin/docs/events/2011/becc... · 2011-12-12 · THERMOSTATS SUCK . 90% of thermostats . are not programmed properly, or at

Residential thermostats control

11% of US energy use

Source: LBNL, 2009 and 2011 5

Page 6: Seth Frader-Thompson, CEOweb.stanford.edu/group/peec/cgi-bin/docs/events/2011/becc... · 2011-12-12 · THERMOSTATS SUCK . 90% of thermostats . are not programmed properly, or at

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Page 7: Seth Frader-Thompson, CEOweb.stanford.edu/group/peec/cgi-bin/docs/events/2011/becc... · 2011-12-12 · THERMOSTATS SUCK . 90% of thermostats . are not programmed properly, or at

46% of that bill is spent on heating and cooling

Source: LBNL, 2009 and 2011

The average US single-family home spends

$2,200 on their energy bills

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Page 8: Seth Frader-Thompson, CEOweb.stanford.edu/group/peec/cgi-bin/docs/events/2011/becc... · 2011-12-12 · THERMOSTATS SUCK . 90% of thermostats . are not programmed properly, or at

May, July, Sept

Jan, Nov, March

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Page 9: Seth Frader-Thompson, CEOweb.stanford.edu/group/peec/cgi-bin/docs/events/2011/becc... · 2011-12-12 · THERMOSTATS SUCK . 90% of thermostats . are not programmed properly, or at

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Page 10: Seth Frader-Thompson, CEOweb.stanford.edu/group/peec/cgi-bin/docs/events/2011/becc... · 2011-12-12 · THERMOSTATS SUCK . 90% of thermostats . are not programmed properly, or at

UNFORTUNATELY, MOST THERMOSTATS SUCK

Page 11: Seth Frader-Thompson, CEOweb.stanford.edu/group/peec/cgi-bin/docs/events/2011/becc... · 2011-12-12 · THERMOSTATS SUCK . 90% of thermostats . are not programmed properly, or at

90% of thermostats are not programmed properly, or at all

5 out of 6 people find their thermostats confusing

Source: LBNL, 2009 and 2011 11

Page 12: Seth Frader-Thompson, CEOweb.stanford.edu/group/peec/cgi-bin/docs/events/2011/becc... · 2011-12-12 · THERMOSTATS SUCK . 90% of thermostats . are not programmed properly, or at

WHY IS THERMOSTAT PERFORMANCE SO BAD?

Page 13: Seth Frader-Thompson, CEOweb.stanford.edu/group/peec/cgi-bin/docs/events/2011/becc... · 2011-12-12 · THERMOSTATS SUCK . 90% of thermostats . are not programmed properly, or at

The good old days of thermostats

Off switch Off switch

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Page 14: Seth Frader-Thompson, CEOweb.stanford.edu/group/peec/cgi-bin/docs/events/2011/becc... · 2011-12-12 · THERMOSTATS SUCK . 90% of thermostats . are not programmed properly, or at

Source: LBNL, 2009 and 2011 14

Page 15: Seth Frader-Thompson, CEOweb.stanford.edu/group/peec/cgi-bin/docs/events/2011/becc... · 2011-12-12 · THERMOSTATS SUCK . 90% of thermostats . are not programmed properly, or at

Everyone thought…

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Page 16: Seth Frader-Thompson, CEOweb.stanford.edu/group/peec/cgi-bin/docs/events/2011/becc... · 2011-12-12 · THERMOSTATS SUCK . 90% of thermostats . are not programmed properly, or at

Oops

Much better, right?

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Page 17: Seth Frader-Thompson, CEOweb.stanford.edu/group/peec/cgi-bin/docs/events/2011/becc... · 2011-12-12 · THERMOSTATS SUCK . 90% of thermostats . are not programmed properly, or at

HOLD BUTTON = HUGE PROBLEM

Page 18: Seth Frader-Thompson, CEOweb.stanford.edu/group/peec/cgi-bin/docs/events/2011/becc... · 2011-12-12 · THERMOSTATS SUCK . 90% of thermostats . are not programmed properly, or at

>50% of thermostats are on hold

People are wasting $hundreds/year heating and cooling empty houses

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Page 19: Seth Frader-Thompson, CEOweb.stanford.edu/group/peec/cgi-bin/docs/events/2011/becc... · 2011-12-12 · THERMOSTATS SUCK . 90% of thermostats . are not programmed properly, or at

WHY HASN’T SOMEONE FIXED THIS ALREADY?

Page 20: Seth Frader-Thompson, CEOweb.stanford.edu/group/peec/cgi-bin/docs/events/2011/becc... · 2011-12-12 · THERMOSTATS SUCK . 90% of thermostats . are not programmed properly, or at

50-100 million of these stranded in people’s homes

no data

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Page 21: Seth Frader-Thompson, CEOweb.stanford.edu/group/peec/cgi-bin/docs/events/2011/becc... · 2011-12-12 · THERMOSTATS SUCK . 90% of thermostats . are not programmed properly, or at

no thanks

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Page 22: Seth Frader-Thompson, CEOweb.stanford.edu/group/peec/cgi-bin/docs/events/2011/becc... · 2011-12-12 · THERMOSTATS SUCK . 90% of thermostats . are not programmed properly, or at

LBNL tested these thermostats…

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Page 23: Seth Frader-Thompson, CEOweb.stanford.edu/group/peec/cgi-bin/docs/events/2011/becc... · 2011-12-12 · THERMOSTATS SUCK . 90% of thermostats . are not programmed properly, or at

Time to complete various programming tasks

$400+ touchscreen thermostat Web

23 Source: LBNL, 2009 and 2011

Page 24: Seth Frader-Thompson, CEOweb.stanford.edu/group/peec/cgi-bin/docs/events/2011/becc... · 2011-12-12 · THERMOSTATS SUCK . 90% of thermostats . are not programmed properly, or at

ALRIGHT. SO NOW WHAT?

Page 25: Seth Frader-Thompson, CEOweb.stanford.edu/group/peec/cgi-bin/docs/events/2011/becc... · 2011-12-12 · THERMOSTATS SUCK . 90% of thermostats . are not programmed properly, or at

Surely, these can help…

That’s more like it

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Page 26: Seth Frader-Thompson, CEOweb.stanford.edu/group/peec/cgi-bin/docs/events/2011/becc... · 2011-12-12 · THERMOSTATS SUCK . 90% of thermostats . are not programmed properly, or at

SO WE MADE SOMETHING SMART

Page 27: Seth Frader-Thompson, CEOweb.stanford.edu/group/peec/cgi-bin/docs/events/2011/becc... · 2011-12-12 · THERMOSTATS SUCK . 90% of thermostats . are not programmed properly, or at

The Mercury Smart Thermostat Platform

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Page 28: Seth Frader-Thompson, CEOweb.stanford.edu/group/peec/cgi-bin/docs/events/2011/becc... · 2011-12-12 · THERMOSTATS SUCK . 90% of thermostats . are not programmed properly, or at

PSYCHOLOGY IS IMPORTANT

Page 29: Seth Frader-Thompson, CEOweb.stanford.edu/group/peec/cgi-bin/docs/events/2011/becc... · 2011-12-12 · THERMOSTATS SUCK . 90% of thermostats . are not programmed properly, or at

29 EnergyHub Confidential

+3° change 19% to 25% increase in heating costs

Page 30: Seth Frader-Thompson, CEOweb.stanford.edu/group/peec/cgi-bin/docs/events/2011/becc... · 2011-12-12 · THERMOSTATS SUCK . 90% of thermostats . are not programmed properly, or at

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85% of people choose high, or super efficiency

Page 31: Seth Frader-Thompson, CEOweb.stanford.edu/group/peec/cgi-bin/docs/events/2011/becc... · 2011-12-12 · THERMOSTATS SUCK . 90% of thermostats . are not programmed properly, or at

Percentage (%) of thermostats with daytime heat setbacks:

72% of Mercury-powered

communicating thermostats

56% of standard, programmable

thermostats (self-reported, EIA)

vs.

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Page 32: Seth Frader-Thompson, CEOweb.stanford.edu/group/peec/cgi-bin/docs/events/2011/becc... · 2011-12-12 · THERMOSTATS SUCK . 90% of thermostats . are not programmed properly, or at

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Page 33: Seth Frader-Thompson, CEOweb.stanford.edu/group/peec/cgi-bin/docs/events/2011/becc... · 2011-12-12 · THERMOSTATS SUCK . 90% of thermostats . are not programmed properly, or at

Thermostats on Hold:

Average vs. Mercury 53% 33%

Source: LBNL, 2009 and 2011 33

Page 34: Seth Frader-Thompson, CEOweb.stanford.edu/group/peec/cgi-bin/docs/events/2011/becc... · 2011-12-12 · THERMOSTATS SUCK . 90% of thermostats . are not programmed properly, or at

WHAT’S NEXT?

Page 35: Seth Frader-Thompson, CEOweb.stanford.edu/group/peec/cgi-bin/docs/events/2011/becc... · 2011-12-12 · THERMOSTATS SUCK . 90% of thermostats . are not programmed properly, or at

End goal: greater residential energy efficiency and conservation

= fewer kWh and fewer therms

Behavioral Opportunities Equipment Opportunities

• Guiding users to lower-energy comfort setpoints

• Increasing the size and duration of energy-saving setbacks

• Ensuring unoccupied spaces not unnecessarily conditioned

• Providing real-time impact assessment

• Identifying candidates for retrofit (insulation, windows, duct/door sealing)

• Promoting proper HVAC maintenance (filter changes, periodic servicing)

• Pre-cooling and pre-heating • Recommending equipment upgrades to

more efficient compressors/furnaces

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Page 36: Seth Frader-Thompson, CEOweb.stanford.edu/group/peec/cgi-bin/docs/events/2011/becc... · 2011-12-12 · THERMOSTATS SUCK . 90% of thermostats . are not programmed properly, or at

Every 100k thermostats generate: 1.7 billion check-ins 1.1 billion temperature readings 895 million relay logs 80 million runtime logs = 5.3 billion datapoints per month

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Page 37: Seth Frader-Thompson, CEOweb.stanford.edu/group/peec/cgi-bin/docs/events/2011/becc... · 2011-12-12 · THERMOSTATS SUCK . 90% of thermostats . are not programmed properly, or at

100k homes = 400+ MW of total load

Shave 100+ MW without significant impact on comfort

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Page 38: Seth Frader-Thompson, CEOweb.stanford.edu/group/peec/cgi-bin/docs/events/2011/becc... · 2011-12-12 · THERMOSTATS SUCK . 90% of thermostats . are not programmed properly, or at

109 MW Far Rockaway Power Station 109 MW Far Rockaway Power Station 38

Page 39: Seth Frader-Thompson, CEOweb.stanford.edu/group/peec/cgi-bin/docs/events/2011/becc... · 2011-12-12 · THERMOSTATS SUCK . 90% of thermostats . are not programmed properly, or at

$22B/year on central A/C $49B/year on heating We can save: $8.1B/year savings 32.5 TWh/year of electricity 442 billion ft3 natural gas 1.4 billion gallons of fuel oil and LPG

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Page 40: Seth Frader-Thompson, CEOweb.stanford.edu/group/peec/cgi-bin/docs/events/2011/becc... · 2011-12-12 · THERMOSTATS SUCK . 90% of thermostats . are not programmed properly, or at

Seth Frader-Thompson, CEO [email protected]


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