Setting the Stage for SEM

Environmental ScanSEM Data TeamAugust 22, 2012

Indiana’s Education Pipeline

Strategic Initiatives for Higher Education in Indiana -2008

Moving from college access to degree success

Preparing K-12 teachers, school leaders and students for college success

Ensuring that college is affordable Focusing the role of the community

colleges Strengthening Indiana’s major research

universities Embracing accountability

Source: ICHE

ICHE Strategic Priorities and Policy Directives - 2012

Students and the state are not well served by an empty promise of college access without completion.

• Degree Completion• Remediation

Success• Student Persistence

A more productive higher education system will increase student success and safeguard college affordability.

• On-Time Completion

• Cost Per Degree• Student Debt

Increasing college completion and productivity need not come at the expense of academic quality

• Learning Outcomes

• Transfer• Return on

Investment

Source: ICHE

National Profile of Postsecondary Education

Source: U.S. Chamber of Commerce (2012).

National Profile of Postsecondary Education

Source: U.S. Chamber of Commerce (2012).

National Profile of Postsecondary Education

Source: U.S. Chamber of Commerce (2012).

AffordabilityDemographics Preparation Enrollment

AffordabilityDemographics Preparation Enrollment

Between 2010 and 2050, Indiana’s population is expected to:

a) Decrease by 5%b) Remain stablec) Increase by 5%d) Increase by 15%

Projected Population Change by County, 2010 to 2050

Indiana’s population will increase 15%

Source: Indiana Business Research Center (IBRC)

Projected Shared of Total Population by Age Group, 2010 to 2050 (per IBRC)

Projected Population Change by Age Group, 2010 to 2050 (per IBRC)

Indiana Population by Age

Indiana HS Graduates 1991-2012

Source: Western Intestate Commission for Higher Education (WICHE)

Indiana Public HS Graduates

Source: Western Intestate Commission for Higher Education (WICHE)

High School Graduates by Region

Source: Indiana Department of Education

Online Enrollment – National Trend

Source: Going the Distance, Online Education in the United States, 2011Babson Survey Research Group

Indiana College NetworkICN’s mission is to be a learner-centered electronic-learning

collaboration that provides partner institutions with innovative means to meet lifelong learning needs of Indiana citizens.

• The ICN online catalog includes more than 200 complete certificate and degree programs available at a distance.

• Approximately 3,000 college credit classes are offered • Roughly 200 distance classes are available to high-school

students every semester.• Over 500 online continuing education classes are regularly

available.• Annual college credit enrollments in technology-delivered

classes have long since passed the 100,000 mark

Source: Indiana College Network

Distance Education Trend ISU

2007 2008 2009 2010 20110%

10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%

100%

Undergraduate Enrollment

No DistanceCombinationDistance Only

2007 2008 2009 2010 20110%

10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%

100%

Graduate Enrollment

No DistanceCombinationDistance Only

ISU Undergraduate Distance Education

2007 2008 2009 2010 20110

50100150200250300350400

UG Distance Only by Age

0-2526-3031-4041+

2007 2008 2009 2010 20110

200400600800

100012001400

UG Combination by Age

0-2526-3031-4041+

Graduate EnrollmentNational

Overall graduate enrollment has increased on average 3.3% each year (2000-2010)Women and minorities, especially Hispanic students, drive most enrollment gains.Six out of ten were enrolled in public institutionsMore than half were enrolled in Education, Business or Health Sciences75% were enrolled in Master’s programs

Indiana State UniversityISU graduate enrollment is stable and represents 18% of total ISU enrollment 61% are women and 15% are minorities Nearly 1 in 4 have ISU Bachelors degrees75% are enrolled in 13 departments

Doctoral students represent 22% of total

Source: Council of Graduate Schools

IND INTL OUTST0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

20072008200920102011

ISU Graduate Enrollment by Origin

ISU Graduate Student Fall-to-Fall Return Rates 2007-2010

Educational Attainment

Source: Lumina Foundation

Indiana Labor Trends

Indiana ranks 40th nationally in higher education attainment and 41st in personal per capita income.

Source: US Census Bureau

AffordabilityDemographics Preparation Enrollment

What percentage of all Indiana Core40 graduates require remediation?

a) 8%b) 18%c) 28%d) 38%

National Indiana ISU National Indiana ISU National Indiana ISUCritical Reading Mathematics Writing

400

420

440

460

480

500

520

501497

467

514

507

473

493

483

455

497493

461

514

501

467

489

475

443

20072011

SAT Scores 2007 & 2011National, Indiana and ISU

Source: College Board

Increase in Core 40 and honors diplomas:◦ 70.4 percent to 80.9 percent

Increase in graduates passing AP exams:◦ 7.5 percent to 14.0 percent

Increase in Dual Credit Course-Taking ◦ 10,000 to over 43,000 students (317 percent

increase)

Rigorous High School Course-Taking

(Statewide 2006-11)

Source: ICHE

General Diploma Graduates – 66% Core40 Graduates - 38% Core40 with Honors Graduates – 7%

Remediation RatesRecent HS Graduates (2011)

One in four Indiana college students enrolled in remediation will earn a degree within 6 years Source: Complete College America, 2011

AffordabilityDemographics Preparation Enrollment

How much did ISU’s tuition/mandatory fees increase between 2001 and 2010?

a) 33%b) 50%c) 66%d) 75%

$-

$200,000,000

$400,000,000

$600,000,000

$800,000,000

$1,000,000,000

$1,200,000,000

$1,400,000,000

2010-11 $1,228,799,413

state appropriations 1976 - 2011

State Operating Appropriations to Public

Postsecondary institutions

Compound Annual Growth Rate: 4.7%

Source: Higher Education Funding in Indiana: The Role of the Indiana Commission for Higher Education, Trustees Academy, Aug 30 2010

Source: State Higher Education Executive Officers (SHEEO)State Higher Education Finance FY 2011

State Funding per Resident Degree-Seeking

FTE

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011$0

$2,000

$4,000

$6,000

$8,000

$10,000

$12,000

ISUIU-BPU-WLBSUVUUSIIUPUIITCC

Source: ICHE

Evolution of CHE Funding Recommendations

2005 2007 2009 2011 2013Enrollment Change (credit hours enrolled)

Enrollment Change (credit hours enrolled) Enrollment Change

(successfully completed credit hours)

Enrollment Change (successfully completed credit hours)

Enrollment Change (successfully completed credit hours)

Inflation Adjustments Inflation Adjustments

Equity Adjustment Equity Adjustment Research Support Incentive

Research Support Incentive

Research Support Incentive

Research Support Incentive

Remediation Success (VU & ITCC only)

Change in number of degrees

Change in number of degrees

Change in number of degrees Change in number of degrees

Change in On-Time graduation Rate

Change in On-Time graduation Rate

Change in On-Time graduation Rate

Change in On-Time graduation Rate

Two Year Transfer Incentive

Two Year Transfer Incentive Dual credit Student Persistence

Low Income Degree Completion Incentive

Low Income Degree Completion Incentive

Low Income Degree Completion Incentive

Workforce Development Incentive (funding non-credit coursework)

High Impact Degree Completion (IUB, PUWL, BSU only)

Institutional Defined Metric

Source: ICHE

Performance Funding Impact on ISU’s Funding 2011-13

ISU Contribution to Performance

Funding Pool

ISU Funds Recommended

by ICHE

ISU Funds Approved in Final Budget

Successful Completion of Credit Hours $733,248 $8,024 $0

Dual Credit Successful Completion of Credit Hours $89,420 $4,875 $5,025

Early College Successful Completion of Credit Hours $28,615 $0 $0Low Income Degree Attainment $143,073 $751,456 $228,375On-Time Degree Change $71,536 $1,681,129 $221,404Change in Degrees Attained $1,788,409 $0 $0Research Incentive $722,517 $0 $0Total $3,576,818 $2,445,484 $454,804

Source: ISU VP Business Affairs

ISU Performance Funding Metrics for 2013-15 Budget Submission

FY12

CHE Recommendation for allocation of performance funding dollars: 55% through increases in overall degree completion and on-time degrees 30% rewards progress in persistence and low income degrees 15% improvement in institution-defined metric

2011 College Costs by Type of Institution

Public 2yr Public 4yr Private 4yr$0

$5,000

$10,000

$15,000

$20,000

$25,000

$30,000

$2,963

$8,244

$28,500

1981-821991-922001-022011-12

Source: College Board – Trends in College Pricing 2011

Indiana Public Institution Fees

2006 2008 2010$0

$1,000

$2,000

$3,000

$4,000

$5,000

$6,000

$7,000

$8,000

$9,000

$10,000

Purdue - W.L.Indiana - BloomingtonBall State UIUPUI - IndianapolisIndiana State UU of Southern IndVincennes UIvy Tech CC

Year

Cost

(in

201

0 D

olla

rs)

The College Board: Trends in College Pricing 2010

Indiana Public Institution Fees

Purdu

e - W

.L.

Indian

a - Bloo

mington

Ball S

tate U

IUPUI -

Indian

apoli

s

Indian

a Stat

e U

U of So

uthern

Ind

Ivy Te

ch CC

0.0%10.0%20.0%30.0%40.0%50.0%60.0%70.0%80.0%

77.9%

55.7%66.3%

54.4%

66.0%

47.7%

33.9%

% Increase in Tuition from 2001 to 2010

The College Board: Trends in College Pricing 2010

  Fall 2001 Fall 2011

Course LevelDistinct Courses

Course Enrollment

sTotal Fees

Distinct Courses

Course Enrollments

Total Fees

Undergraduate 114 2611 $76,259 202 5525 $558,099Graduate 35 82 $3,413 70 642 $161,958Total 149 2693 $79,672 272 6167 $720,057

ISU Course Fees

4 12 17 25 36 43 48 60 100 129 300 5000

102030405060

Fall 2011 Course Fees

Flat feeHourly Fee

Fee Amount

Num

ber

of C

ours

es

Average per course enrollment $30 $117

Paying for College

• 70% of families are eliminating college choices based on cost

• More students are now choosing to enroll in community colleges

Source: How America Pays for College,Ipsos/Sallie Mae

2005 2009 20100%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

28%

41%

49%

33%

57%

39%38%

51%54%54%

59%

65%

Federal Grants State Grants Institutional Grants Loans to Students* Dollar figures represent the average aid amounts *

$2,716 $3,993 $3,083 $6,143 $4,646 $4,115 $2,500 $6,619 $4,559 $4,481 $2,835 $6,171

Financial Aid to ISU Full-time First-time Freshman% of cohort receiving aid by type

Source: ISU IPEDS Financial Aid Survey

ISU Purchasing Power of Grants

AffordabilityDemographics Preparation Enrollment

What percentage of Fall 2010 Indiana college enrollment is at 4-yr public institutions?

a) 60%b) 56%c) 51%d) 45%

Indiana Enrollmentby Type of Institution

Institutional ProfileIndiana 4yr Publics

Institution

Average (last 4) FR retention

rate

Actual graduation

rate

Percent of classes

with less than 20 students

Percent of classes with 50 or more

students

Percent FTE

faculty that are full-time

SAT V+M/ACT 25th-75th percentile

Percent of freshmen in top 10% of high school

class

Average alumni giving

rateIndiana University--Bloomington 90% 71% 34% 18% 95% 1060-1280 38% 16%Purdue Univ.--West Lafayette 87% 69% 37% 17% 96% 1040-1290 37% 19%Ball State University 78% 57% 34% 12% 92% 970-1160 19% 11% Indiana U.-Purdue U.--Indianapolis 70% 34% 35% 9% 86% 890-1120 16% 11%Indiana State University 66% 44% 30% 9% 89% 820-1030 8% 10% University of Southern Indiana 67% 32% 34% 7% 77% 860-1080 10% 4%

Source US News 2011

Student Profiles in Perspective

% Pell R

ecipie

nts

% Underr

ep. M

inority

0%10%20%30%40%

ISUIUPUIUSIBSUP-WLIU-BIllinois State

Source: IPEDS (2010).

Student Profiles in Perspective

Median SAT/ACT0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

ISUUSIIUPUIBSUP-WLIU-BIllinois State

Source: IPEDS (2010).

Indiana U

niversi

ty-Bloomingto

n

Purdue Universi

ty-West

Lafaye

tteIUPUI

Ball Sta

te Universi

ty

Indiana S

tate Unive

rsity

Universi

ty Of S

outhern Indian

a0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

45,000

50,000

FY06

FY10

FY11

Annualized Enrollment – 4Yr Publics

ISU largest 1yr change (9.4%)USI largest 5yr change (13.2%)

Source: ICHE

FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY111yr

change 5yr

changeIvy Tech Community College Total 104,808 111,205 120,447 135,699 166,555 174,762 4.9% 66.7%Vincennes University Total 16,235 16,333 17,110 20,429 23,111 23,035 -0.3% 41.9%

Annualized Enrollment

FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY111yr

change5yr

changeIndiana University-East 3,369 3,253 3,260 3,552 4,110 4,641 12.9% 37.8%Indiana University-Kokomo 4,131 3,922 3,848 3,695 4,119 4,225 2.6% 2.3%Indiana University-Northwest 6,890 6,871 6,576 6,669 7,475 7,947 6.3% 15.3%Indiana University-South Bend 10,263 10,086 10,069 10,391 11,194 11,012 -1.6% 7.3%Indiana University-Southeast 8,338 8,416 8,378 8,796 9,112 9,387 3.0% 12.6%

Indiana University-Purdue University-Fort Wayne 14,839 14,799 15,057 15,945 17,240 17,203 -0.2% 15.9%Purdue University-Calumet Campus 11,955 11,920 12,148 11,712 12,510 12,375 -1.1% 3.5%Purdue University-North Central Campus 4,480 4,662 4,797 5,117 5,712 6,012 5.3% 34.2%

Source: ICHE

Indiana Private College Enrollment

Source: Independent Colleges of Indiana

Fall 2010 ISU Admits who did not enrollWhere did they go?

Source: National Student Clearinghouse

New Freshmen from Indiana

Source: Chronicle (per IPEDS)

Based on our environment, what are the areas of opportunity for ISU’s enrollment?

How can we best prepare students for academic success, knowing that preparation is a significant issue for our students?

Guiding questions