ShakeOut! Simulated Consequences of aM 7.8 San Andreas Earthquake

Ken Hudnut; United States Geological Survey

November 13, 2008

2009 Summit on Creating Disaster Resilient CommunitiesLos Angeles, California15 January 2009

ShakeOut

Steering Committee:

Lucy Jones, Dale Cox, Sue Perry, Mark Benthien, John Bwarie, Margaret Vinci, Monica Buchanan, Kate

Long, Sohini Sinha, Larry Collins and Ken Hudnut

Scenario Coordinators:

Lucy Jones, Rich Bernknopf, Dale Cox, Jim Goltz, Ken Hudnut, Dennis Mileti, Sue Perry, Dan Ponti, Keith Porter, Mike Reichle, Hope Seligson, Kim Shoaf,

Jerry Treiman, and Anne Wein

Earthquake Source & Ground Motions:

Ken Hudnut, Brad Aagaard, Rob Graves, Jon Stewart, Lisa Star, Tom Jordan and many others

Palm Springs

LosAngeles

Bakersfield

Compare with1994 Northridgeearthquake:

• 50x smaller

• Magnitude 6.7

• 57 deaths

• $40 billion

Big One - what do we mean by that?

Compare with2008 Chino Hillsearthquake:

• 5000x smaller!

• Magnitude 5.4

• 0 deaths

• Minimal damage

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Mw 7.8 Mexico City Earthquake, 1985

Sources:Bob Reitherman, CUREEMehmet Celebi, USGS

Get Ready Rally @ LA Live!

Steve Sellers, OES

M. Vinci, K. Long, M. Buchanan ofthe ShakeOut Steering Committee

Theo Alexopoulos, Pasadena Art CenterPreparedness Now

What we do now,

before the earthquake,

will determine what our lives

will be like after

The Bottom Line

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"This is the best single effort in emergency preparedness in my "This is the best single effort in emergency preparedness in my nearly 20 years in the business. The Golden Guardian / Great nearly 20 years in the business. The Golden Guardian / Great Shake Out project did more to prepare our cities than all Shake Out project did more to prepare our cities than all previous efforts combined for many years past.  I have never had previous efforts combined for many years past.  I have never had so much participation and interest in disaster preparedness. And so much participation and interest in disaster preparedness. And it continues!” - Los Angeles County Emergency Managerit continues!” - Los Angeles County Emergency Manager

Ken Hudnut, USGS

hudnut@usgs.gov

http://www.shakeout.org/

http://www.dropcoverholdon.org/