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Share Tips Expert Commodity Report 01042011

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  • 8/6/2019 Share Tips Expert Commodity Report 01042011

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    Daily Commodity Market Update as on Friday, April 01, 2011

    PRECIOUS METALS COMPLEX

    NAME OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CNG

    GOLD 21000 21112 20979 21058 0.36

    SILVER 55813 56195 55651 55970 0.37

    GOLD 1432.8 1434.45 1429.6 1432.4 -0.07

    SILVER 37.6 37.81 37.46 37.63 0.08

    PLATINUM 1766.49 1769.74 1760.25 1768.25 0.1

    Bullion rose as the dollar fell and as rallies in oil and grain

    prices boosted gold's appeal as a hedge against inflation.

    Investors bought gold to hedge against uncertainty

    related to Friday's job report.SPOT $

    MCX

    NAME OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CNG

    CRUDE 4684 4768 4684 4744 1.16

    N.GAS 196.9 199.4 189.2 197.4 0.86

    ENERGY COMPLEX

    Crude rose as Libya's conflict and Middle East unrest kept

    threats to supply in play and positive U.S. economic data

    also provided lift. Natural gas ended firm but pared gains

    government report showed that U.S. natural gas

    inventories increased for the first time since earl

    MCX

    CRUDE 104.31 106.83 104.12 106.72 2.310421

    NAME OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CNG

    November.

    BASEMETAL COMPLEX

    Base metals prices pared earlier gains after U.S. factory

    MCX

    . . . . .

    ZINC 105 105.8 103.55 105.5 0.28

    NICKEL 1178 1183.9 1162.5 1177.5 0.14

    LEAD 120.7 122.15 119.65 121.95 1.03

    ALUMINIUM 117.15 117.9 116.55 117.5 0.13

    COPPER 9454.25 9480 9399 9407 -0.75 125

    ZINC 2365 2365 2336.25 2336.25 -1.02 -300

    or ers unexpecte y ec ine in Fe ruary. Ear ier ase

    metals traded lower as fears over China's lack of buying

    activity and growing stockpiles offset the support of a

    stronger euro.

    LME STOCKLM E

    COPPER

    ZINC

    439850

    736675. . .

    NICKEL 26200 2641 25600 25700 -2.08 -462

    LEAD 2705 2705 2680 2685 -0.48 -1125

    ALUMINIUM 2640 2705 2629 2629 -0.38 -3550

    SENSEX NIFTY NASDAQ S&P NYSE DOW JON NIKKEI SHICOM KOREA HKFE $ INDEX

    19477.63 5834.8 2338.99 1325.83 8404.98 12319.73 9786.68 2935.28 2115.05 23567.16 76.09

    NICKEL

    LEAD

    ALUMINIUM

    123696

    281300

    4595375

    GLOBAL MARKETS UPDATE

    0.17 0.02 0.11 -0.18 -0.14 -0.25 0.35 0.24 0.43 0.17 0.3

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    OPEN

    21000

    HIGH

    LOW

    20979

    0.36

    21112

    % CNG

    VOLUME

    CLOSE

    21058

    FUTUR

    E

    76

    7761

    RE CNG

    16187

    OI

    INTRADAY LEVELS

    X

    GOLD

    Gold were up for a second day jumping to the highest level in a week as ongoing turmoil in the

    ' P.P. 21050

    SUP 1 RES 1

    20987 21120

    SUP 2 RES 2

    20917 21183

    SUP 3 RES 3

    20854 21253

    MC increased the safe haven appeal of the precious metal. Fighting between government troops loyal toleader Gaddafi and rebel forces escalated in Libya overnight, raising the prospects of further air

    strikes by collation forces. Meanwhile, the Kuwaiti government resigned earlier Thursday,

    heightening fears that unrest could spread to the worlds largest oil exporter, Saudi Arabia.

    Weakness in the dollar had also contributed to golds strength. The dollar index was down 0.24% to

    hit 76.14, as speculation that the Federal Reserve would normalize monetary policy faded. Now gold

    is getting support at 20987 and below could see a test of 20917 level, And resistance is now likely to

    be seen at 21120, a move above could see prices testing 21183.

    55813

    HIGH

    56195

    55651

    OPEN

    LOW

    UR

    E

    OI

    14405

    68352

    0.37

    VOLUME

    RE CNG

    55970

    % CNG

    VERFU

    P.P. 55939

    SUP 1 RES 1

    55682 56226

    SUP 2 RES 2

    INTRADAY LEVELSSilver opened higher at 55813 as supported by the morning gains in crude and base metals saw

    silver reach an intraday high of 56195 mid day slight profit booking seen that make silver to test

    lower support at 55651 quickly reaching an intraday and renewed buying interest as crude and base

    metals began to reverse their slide and made silver to close below 56000 mark. Bullion dropped

    before the release of U.S. non-farm payrolls report which could underpin the dollar and weigh on

    bullion, while ETF holdings posted their biggest quarterly decline ever. Now technically market is

    207

    MCXS

    I

    55395 56483

    SUP 3 RES 3

    55138 56770

    Page No. 2

    trading in the range as RSI for 18days is currently indicating 72.12, where as 50DMA is at 50966.62

    and silver is trading above the same and getting support at 55682 and below could see a test of

    55395 level, And resistance is now likely to be seen at 56226, a move above could see prices testing

    56483.

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    4684

    HIGH

    OPEN

    4744

    % CNG

    1.16

    VOLUME

    4768

    LOW

    4684CLOSE

    FUTURE

    18843

    RE CNG

    55

    INTRADAY LEVELSCrude oil extended gains re-approaching the highest level since September 2008 amid ongoing fears

    116752

    OI

    CRUDE

    P.P. 4732

    SUP 1 RES 1

    4696 4780

    SUP 2 RES 2

    4648 4816

    SUP 3 RES 3

    4612 4864

    region, while a broadly weaker U.S. dollar also boosted prices. It earlier rose to USD106.75 a barrel,

    the highest price since March 7, when prices hit a 30-month high of USD106.93 a barrel. Fighting

    between government troops loyal to leader Muammar Gaddafi and rebel forces escalated in Libya

    overnight, raising the prospects of further air strikes by collation forces. Meanwhile, the Kuwaiti

    government resigned earlier Thursday according to the state-run Kuwait News Agency, heightening

    fears that unrest could spread to the worlds largest oil exporter, Saudi Arabia. Now crude is getting

    support at 4696 and below could see a test of 4648 level, And resistance is now likely to be seen at

    4780, a move above could see prices testing 4816.

    MC

    HIGH

    426.05LOW

    420.1TUR

    EOPEN

    424.25

    RE CNG

    % CNG

    0.41

    VOLUME

    89761

    OI

    22908

    425.3

    PPERFU

    P.P. 423.8

    SUP 1 RES 1

    421.6 427.5

    SUP 2 RES 2

    1.75

    INTRADAY LEVELSCopper yesterday traded with the positive node and settled 0.41% up at 425.3 but ended the first

    quarter of 2011 with a 2.4 percent quarterly loss, its first such decline since the second quarter of

    2010, as concerns about softer Chinese demand and rising warehouse stocks weighed on sentiment.

    Traders cited book squaring and the weak dollar for Thursday's higher close. High bonded stocks in

    China, estimated at about 600,000 tonnes, were seen discouraging fabricators from building copper

    stocks. Compounding concerns about weak physical demand, stocks of copper have been on aMCXC

    O

    417.9 429.8

    SUP 3 RES 3

    415.6 433.5

    steady ascent since December, rising 125 tonnes to their highest since July 2010, at 439,850

    tonnes. For today's session market is looking to take support at 421.6, a break below could see a

    test of 417.9 and where as resistance is now likely to be seen at 427.5, a move above could see

    prices testing 429.8.

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    105

    HIGH

    OPEN

    105.5

    % CNG

    0.28

    VOLUME

    105.8

    LOW

    103.55CLOSE

    UTUR

    E

    8550

    RE CNG

    0.3

    INTRADAY LEVELS

    Zinc yesterday traded with the positive node and settled 0.28% up at 105.5 as US dollar index

    17892

    OI

    X

    ZINC

    P.P. 105.0

    SUP 1 RES 1

    104.1 106.4

    SUP 2 RES 2

    102.7 107.2

    SUP 3 RES 3

    101.9 108.6

    overnight dipped to 76 and then rallied slightly. But LME zinc prices closed with gains at USD

    2,360/mt, up USD 13/mt, and with the low end falling to USD 2,308/mt. The market was still

    cautious ahead of the release of US non-farm payrolls due on Friday. In yesterday's trading

    session zinc has touched the low of 103.55 after opening at 105, and finally settled at 105.5.

    For today's session market is looking to take support at 104.1, a break below could see a test

    of 102.7 and where as resistance is now likely to be seen at 106.4, a move above could see

    prices testing 107.2.

    MC

    HIGH

    1183.9LOW

    1162.5UR

    EOPEN

    1178

    RE CNG

    % CNG

    0.14

    VOLUME

    28696

    OI

    8252

    1177.5

    KELFU

    P.P. 1175

    SUP 1 RES 1

    1165 1187

    SUP 2 RES 2

    1.6

    INTRADAY LEVELSNickel yesterday traded with the positive node and settled 0.14% up at 1177.5 after tracking LME

    nickel futures for delivery in three months which opened at USD 26,000/mt and closed at USD

    26,247/mt overnight, up by USD 26,247/mt from a day earlier, with the highest price at USD

    26,322/mt and the lowest price at USD 25,700/mt. LME base metal prices closed with gains on

    Thursday, as the US dollar weakened against the euro. LME nickel futures contract prices finally

    closed with gains after wide fluctuation, but were still weighed by all-day moving average. The euroMCXN

    I

    1153 1196

    SUP 3 RES 3

    1144 1208

    strengthened on Thursday, as investors' concern over European debt crisis eased to certain extent

    and their focus is shifting possibility of interest rate hike by European Central Bank. For today's

    session market is looking to take support at 1165.4, a break below could see a test of 1153.2 and

    where as resistance is now likely to be seen at 1186.8, a move above could see prices testing 1196.

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    OPEN

    117.15

    HIGHR

    % CNG

    0.13

    VOLUME

    117.9

    LOW

    116.55CLOSE

    117.5

    UMFU

    T

    3256

    OI

    1746

    RE CNG

    Aluminium yesterday traded with the positive node and settled 0.13% up at 117.5 after US Labor

    0.15

    INTRADAY LEVELSLUMINI

    P.P. 117.3

    SUP 1 RES 1

    116.7 118.1

    SUP 2 RES 2

    116.0 118.7

    SUP 3 RES 3

    115.4 119.4

    Department announced on Thursday that the initial claims for obless benefits were 388,000 in the

    week ending March 26th, slightly lower than the forecast of 380,000. Later, the US Commerce

    Department announced that the factory orders in February fell by 0.1%, much lower than market

    expectations of a 0.5% rise. Both show the US economic data remains disappointing. Meanwhile,

    expectations that the ECB will raise interest rates helped boost the euro and weigh down the US

    dollar index, with the US dollar index falling to 75.664. For today's session market is looking to take

    support at 116.7, a break below could see a test of 116 and where as resistance is now likely to be

    seen at 118.1, a move above could see prices testing 118.7.MCX

    LOW

    TURE

    OPEN

    196.9

    HIGH

    199.4

    189.2

    8670

    RE CNG

    OI

    VOLUME

    43470

    0.86

    197.4

    .GAS

    F % CNG

    P.P. 195.3

    SUP 1 RES 1

    191.3 201.5

    SUP 2 RES 2

    Natural gas yesterday traded with the positive node and settled 0.86% up at 197.4, Natural gas

    initially dipped sharply lower plunging to the lowest level in eight days after a government report

    showed that U.S. natural gas inventories increased for the first time since early November but on

    profit booking latter recovered and finally settled at +0.86% up at 197.40. The U.S. EIA said in its

    weekly report earlier in the day that natural gas storage in the U.S. in the week ended March 25

    rose by 12 billion cubic feet, after declining by 6 billion cubic feet in the preceding week. According

    1.7

    INTRADAY LEVELS

    CXNA

    185.1 205.5

    SUP 3 RES 3

    181.1 211.7

    to the data, total U.S. natural gas storage in the week ended March 25 stood at 1.624 trillion cubic

    feet. Stocks were 12 billion cubic feet less than last year at this time and 68 billion cubic feet above

    the five-year average of 1.556 trillion cubic feet for this time of year. For today's session market is

    looking to take support at 191.3, a break below could see a test of 185.1 and where as resistance is

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    DAILY SPR EAD IN SILVER - MCXDAILY SPR EAD IN GOLD - MCX

    ACTIVE SPREAD UPDATE

    MONTH RATE JUNE AUG OCT MONTH RATE MAY JULY SEPT

    JUNE 21058 317 628 MAY 55970 639 1291

    AUG 21375 311 JULY 56609 652OCT 21686 SEPT 57261

    Spread between Gold JUN & AUG contracts yesterday

    ended at 317, we have seen yesterday that the gold

    market had traded with a positive node and settled 0.36%

    up. Spread yesterday traded in the range of 317 - 348.

    Spread between Silver MAY & JUL contracts yesterday

    ended at 639, we have seen yesterday that the silver

    market had traded with a positive node and settled

    0.37% up. Spread yesterday traded in the range of 621 -

    687.

    MONTH RATE APRIL MAY JUNE MONTH RATE APRIL JUNE

    APRIL 4744 50 96 APRIL 425.3 5.75

    MAY 4794 46 JUNE 431.05

    JUNE 4840

    DAILY SPREAD IN CRUDE - MCX DAILY SPREAD IN COPPER - MCX

    Sprea etween cru e MAR & APR contracts yester ay

    ended at 50, we have seen yesterday that the crude

    market had traded with a positive node and settled 1.16%

    up. Spread yesterday traded in the range of 50 - 61.

    DAILY SPR EAD IN ZINC - MCX

    Sprea etween copper APR & JUN contracts yester ay

    ended at 5.75, we have seen yesterday that the copper

    market had traded with a positive node and settled

    0.41% up. Spread yesterday traded in the range of 5.7 -

    6.

    DAILY SPR EAD IN NI CKEL - MCXARKET

    MONTH MONTH

    APRIL 105.5 1.25 APRIL 1177.5 8.2

    MAY 106.75 MAY 1185.7

    Spread between zinc APR & MAY contracts yesterday

    ended at 1.25, we have seen yesterday that the zincmarket had traded with a positive node and settled 0.28%

    up. Spread yesterday traded in the range of 1 - 1.75.

    Spread between nickel APR & MAY contracts yesterday

    ended at 8.20, we have seen yesterday that the nickelmarket had traded with a positive node and settled

    0.14% up. Spread yesterday traded in the range of 8.20 -

    9.4.PREAD

    MONTH RATE APRIL MAY MONTH RATE APRIL MAY

    APRIL 197.4 4.9 APRIL 1078.2 -115.4

    MAY 202.3 MAY 962.8

    S read between natural as APR & MAY contracts S read between menthol oil APR & MAY contracts

    DAILY SPREAD I N MENTHOL - MCXDAILY SPREAD IN N AT. GAS - MCX

    yesterday ended at 4.90, we have seen yesterday that the

    natural gas market had traded with a positive node and

    settled 0.86% up. Spread yesterday traded in the range of3.4 - 5.

    yesterday ended at -115.40, we have seen yesterday that

    the menthol oil market had traded with a negative node

    and settled -1.61% down. Spread yesterday traded in therange of -136.8 to -115.4.

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    errors of any kind even though we have taken utmost care in obtaining the information from sources which are believed to be

    reliable, which are publicly available. The information contained herein is strictly confidential and is meant for the intended

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