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Share Tips Experts Commodity Report as on 10052011

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  • 8/6/2019 Share Tips Experts Commodity Report as on 10052011

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    NAME OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CNG

    GOLD 21930 22080 21917 21880 0.55

    SILVER 55305 57770 54461 54919 3.83

    GOLD 1508.8 1512.85 1507.6 1511.65 0

    SILVER 37.69 37.91 37.33 37.7 0.29

    PLATINUM 1790.99 1801 1784.75 1797.25 0.32

    NAME OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CNG

    CRUDE 4420 4575 4407 4541 2.75

    N.GAS 192.5 193.4 186.2 192.6 -2.94

    CRUDE 98.11 103.40 97.42 102.55 4.525533

    NAME OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CNG

    COPPER 400.9 406.45 400.25 399.9 0.52

    ZINC 97.4 97.9 96.2 96.8 0.31

    NICKEL 1115 1127.4 1092.6 1110.9 -0.57

    LEAD 105.75 105.85 103.35 104.75 -1.06

    ALUMINIUM 117.3 117.65 115.65 116.7 0

    COPPER 8932 8970.25 8835.5 8888.75 0.79 1425

    ZINC 2175 2184.75 2155 2176.5 0.37 -350

    NICKEL 24600 2619.75 24500 24600 0.65 -372

    LEAD 2301.5 2330 2301 2309.5 0.69 1025

    ALUMINIUM 2616.25 2330 2605 2619 -0.04 -3450

    SENSEX NIFTY NASDAQ S&P NYSE DOW JON NIKKEI SHICOM KOREA HKFE $ INDEX

    18539.38 5548.8 2390.97 1346.29 8478.19 12684.68 9785.22 2881.57 2139.17 23336 74.75

    0.06 -0.04 0.33 0.45 0.62 0.36 -0.08 0.32 0 0.76 0.01

    GLOBAL MARKETS UPDATE

    Page No. 1www.sharetipsexpert.com

    4596875

    Strictly for private circulation

    COPPER

    ZINC

    NICKEL

    LEAD

    ALUMINIUM

    468600

    823025

    115872

    312475

    Crude rose as the dollar's weakness helped oil rebound

    after a dramatic five-session fall. Saudi Arabia will keep

    crude oil supplies in June unchanged from May, amid

    volatile prices and ahead of an OPEC meeting in June to

    review the producer group's supply policy. Natural gas

    turned lower as market participants bet that mild weather

    in the coming weeks would curb demand for the heating

    and power-plant fuel.

    BASEMETAL COMPLEX

    Base metal yesterday traded in the range and ended

    mixed. Copper gained more in all metals buoyed by

    investors looking to purchase copper at reduced prices in

    the wake of last week's declines. While lead and nickel

    ended in red territory.

    LME STOCK

    SPOT $

    MCX

    LM E

    MCX

    Daily Commodity Market Update as on Tuesday, May 10, 2011

    PRECIOUS METALS COMPLEX

    ENERGY COMPLEX

    Gold and silver rose sharply driven by resurgent inflation

    concerns after oil and grains prices rallied, and as a

    ratings downgrade of Greece boosted safe-haven buying.SPOT $

    MCX

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    P.P. 21999

    SUP 1 RES 1

    21918 22081

    SUP 2 RES 2

    21836 22162

    SUP 3 RES 3

    21755 22244

    P.P. 56446

    SUP 1 RES 1

    55123 58432

    SUP 2 RES 2

    53137 59755

    SUP 3 RES 3

    51814 61741

    108467

    3.83

    MCX

    GOLDFUTUR

    E

    LOW

    MCXS

    ILVERFUTUR

    E

    28370

    OI

    % CNG

    VOLUME

    54461

    RE CNG

    Strictly for private circulation

    Silver rose as much as +3.83% settled at 57108 on MCX and extended gains into a third consecutive

    session, aided by growing concerns over Greece's debt crisis. S&P's cut Greece's credit rating further

    into junk territory, reflecting growing doubts that the euro zone's most fragile economy can manage

    its debt without imposing losses on private bond holders. Silver tumbled more than 25% last week,

    triggering a sell-off in commodities, after the CME Group raised margins on COMEX silver by 84% in

    just two weeks. Some investors have returned to the market after the sharp fall to hunt for

    bargains. Holdings in the iShares Silver Trust, jumped 3% on the day to 10,253.75 tns, after

    suffering an exodus of $1 billion in the week ended last Wednesday. Now technically market is

    trading in the range as RSI for 18days is currently indicating 41.44, where as 50DMA is at 60104.86

    and silver is trading below the same and getting support at 55123 and below could see a test of

    RE CNG

    2189

    INTRADAY LEVELS

    54919

    % CNG

    www.sharetipsexpert.com Page No. 2

    OI

    14314

    CLOSE

    INTRADAY LEVELS

    VOLUME

    57770

    12867

    LOW

    21917

    OPEN

    21930

    HIGH

    22080

    OPEN

    55305

    HIGH

    CLOSE

    21880

    Gold extended gains and settled up by marginally 0.55% at 22000 on a weaker dollar, after suffering

    its worst weekly loss since 2009, while U.S. silver futures rose nearly 3 percent as investors tookadvantage of last week's free fall in prices to enter the market. Precious metals were supported by

    softer dollar, which edged down 0.4% against a basket of currencies after hitting a 2-1/2-week high

    on Friday following unexpectedly strong U.S. employment numbers and a media report on the

    possibility of Greece quitting euro zone. On this week's data schedule, the US is due to release its

    April consumer price data, which may shed light on the future moves in monetary policy by the

    central bank, as market speculation mounts on what the Fed Res might do after the stimulus

    package rolls off in June. Now technically market is trading in the range as RSI for 18days is

    currently indicating 53.73, where as 50DMA is at 21511.02 and gold is trading above the same and

    120

    0.55

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    P.P. 4508

    SUP 1 RES 1

    4440 4608

    SUP 2 RES 2

    4340 4676

    SUP 3 RES 3

    4272 4776

    P.P. 402.9

    SUP 1 RES 1

    399.4 405.6

    SUP 2 RES 2

    396.7 409.1

    SUP 3 RES 3

    393.2 411.8

    MCX

    CRUDEFUTURE

    OPEN

    400.9

    HIGH

    406.45LOW

    400.25

    CLOSE

    399.9

    OPEN

    125

    INTRADAY LEVELSCrude rose by 2.75% and settled at 4541, as the dollar's weakness helped oil rebound after a

    dramatic five-session fall that pulled crude below the $100 a barrel. Strong private sector hiringevident in the U.S. April nonfarm payrolls report released on Friday, along with the dollar's slip,

    helped oil prices find support after last week's slide left U.S. crude futures with its biggest ever

    weekly loss, in dollar terms, and the largest in terms of percentage since December 2008. But Crude

    prices can tumbled as CM group can raised crude futures margins by 25 percent following volatile

    trading in recent sessions, while Greek woes pulled the euro down to a six-week low against the yen

    on Tuesday. Now technically market is trading in the range as RSI for 18days is currently indicating

    37.11, where as 50DMA is at 4827.58 and crude is trading below the same and getting support at

    4440 and below could see a test of 4340 level, And resistance is now likely to be seen at 4608, a

    MCXC

    OPPERFUTUR

    E

    4420

    HIGH

    4575

    LOW

    4407CLOSE

    4541

    % CNG

    2.75

    VOLUME

    142853

    OI

    9741

    RE CNG

    % CNG

    0.52

    VOLUME

    Copper yesterday traded with the positive node and settled 0.52% up at 402 rebounding from a five

    month low, after Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said commodities may recover from an 11 percent

    slump last week. The Standard & Poors GSCI Index of 24 raw materials rose as much as 4.1

    percent. Given the magnitude of the pullback, it does create an opportunity for more upside

    potential, Goldman Sachs said. A month ago, the bank told investors they should be underweight

    in commodities. Copper fell 4.9 percent last week. Copper prices will continue to experience

    fluctuations this week as US economic data to be released this week is expected to remain positive,

    which will support copper prices. However, China will continue its tightening monetary policy as

    inflationary pressures remain high. In yesterday's trading session copper has touched the low of

    400.25 after opening at 400.9, and finally settled at 402. For today's session market is looking to

    Strictly for private circulation www.sharetipsexpert.com Page No. 3

    93299

    OI

    22843

    RE CNG

    2.1

    INTRADAY LEVELS

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    P.P. 97.1

    SUP 1 RES 1

    96.2 97.9

    SUP 2 RES 2

    95.4 98.8

    SUP 3 RES 3

    94.5 99.6

    P.P. 1108

    SUP 1 RES 1

    1089 1124

    SUP 2 RES 2

    1073 1143

    SUP 3 RES 3

    1054 1159

    MCX

    ZINCFUTUR

    E

    OPEN

    97.4

    HIGH

    97.9

    LOW

    96.2CLOSE

    96.8

    % CNG

    0.31

    VOLUME

    16363

    OI

    8693

    RE CNG

    0.3

    MCXN

    ICKELFUTUR

    EOPEN

    1115

    HIGH

    1127LOW

    1093

    CLOSE

    1110.9

    % CNG

    -0.57

    VOLUME

    43913

    OI

    6626

    RE CNG

    -6.3

    INTRADAY LEVELSNickel yesterday traded with the negative node and settled -0.57% down at 1104.6 tracking LME

    nickel futures for delivery in three months opened at $24,510/mt and closed at $24,600/mt, up by

    $100/mt from a day earlier, with the highest price at $25,031/mt and the lowest price at

    $24,231/mt. Daily trading volumes were 2,282 lots, down by 2,270 lots. LME base metal prices

    largely ended with gains on Monday, as weakening US dollar and dip-buying supported base metal

    prices to rebound. However, downward adjustment of Greek credit rating intensified investors'

    concern over slower economy growth, forcing base metal prices to pare early gains in the evening

    trading hours. LME nickel prices largely fluctuated between $24,200-25,000/mt overnight, and

    closed with slight gains. For today's session market is looking to take support at 1089, a break below

    could see a test of 1073.4 and where as resistance is now likely to be seen at 1123.8, a move above

    www.sharetipsexpert.com Page No. 4

    INTRADAY LEVELSZinc yesterday traded with the positive node and settled 0.31% up at 97.1 tracking LME zinc prices

    which moved between $2,140-2,200/mt yesterday. Later, Standard & Poors cut Greeces credit

    rating to B from BB- and kept its outlook negative as investor expectations of a debt restructuring

    continue to rise. As a result, the US dollar index strengthened to 75 in European trading hours,

    helping limit any gains in LME zinc prices. LME zinc prices failed to break through $2,200/mt after

    several attempts, and finally closed at $2,176/mt, up $30/mt. In yesterday's trading session zinc

    has touched the low of 96.2 after opening at 97.4, and finally settled at 97.1. For today's session

    market is looking to take support at 96.2, a break below could see a test of 95.4 and where as

    resistance is now likely to be seen at 97.9, a move above could see prices testing 98.8.

    Strictly for private circulation

  • 8/6/2019 Share Tips Experts Commodity Report as on 10052011

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    P.P. 116.7

    SUP 1 RES 1

    115.7 117.7

    SUP 2 RES 2

    114.7 118.7

    SUP 3 RES 3

    113.7 119.7

    P.P. 188.9

    SUP 1 RES 1

    184.4 191.6

    SUP 2 RES 2

    181.7 196.1

    SUP 3 RES 3

    177.2 198.8

    MCXALUMINIUMFU

    TUR

    OPEN

    117.3

    HIGH

    117.65

    MCXNA

    T.G

    AS

    FUTURE

    OPEN

    192.5

    HIGH

    193.4

    % CNG

    VOLUME

    15909

    OI

    3132

    RE CNG

    INTRADAY LEVELSAluminium yesterday traded with the range bound node and settled 0.1% flat at 116.7 as pressure

    seen after S&Ps cut Greeces credit rating to B from BB- and kept its outlook negative as investorexpectations of a debt restructuring continue to rise. Meanwhile, Standard & Poors was certain that

    no member would withdraw from the Euro zone. LME aluminum prices climbed to USD 2,640/mt in

    Asian trading hours after opening slightly higher at USD 2,612/mt. Later, the weakening euro helped

    boost the US dollar index, and LME aluminum prices fluctuated lower in response, and later even

    accelerated declines as S&Ps cut Greeces credit rating. However, crude oil prices held steady above

    USD 100/bbl at the tail of trading on the NYMEX, helping boost LME aluminum prices, with LME

    prices finally closing at USD 2,619/mt, up USD 9/mt. For today's session market is looking to take

    support at 115.7, a break below could see a test of 114.7 and where as resistance is now likely to be

    -5.5

    INTRADAY LEVELSNatural gas yesterday traded with the negative node and settled -2.94% down at 187.1 dropped for

    a sixth day, the longest losing streak in a month, on speculation that rising production will outpace

    demand. Natural gas for June delivery fell 8.1% to settle at $4.154 per mBtu on the NYMEX, the

    lowest settlement price since April 18. The futures have declined 5.7 percent this year. The last time

    gas dropped six straight days was the period starting April 1. New York Weather is below-normal

    temperatures are likely across most of the eastern half of the U.S. from May 14 through May 18,

    according to Commodity Weather Group LLC in Bethesda, Maryland. The cooler-than-normal weather

    may reduce air-conditioning use, crimping the demand for gas in power plants. In yesterday's

    trading session natural gas has touched the low of 186.2 after opening at 192.5, and finally settled

    at 187.1. For today's session market is looking to take support at 184.4, a break below could see a

    Page No. 5

    0

    LOW

    115.65CLOSE

    116.7

    % CNG

    0

    www.sharetipsexpert.comStrictly for private circulation

    3842

    RE CNG

    LOW

    OI

    VOLUME

    4062

    186.2

    CLOSE

    192.6

    -2.94

  • 8/6/2019 Share Tips Experts Commodity Report as on 10052011

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    MONTH RATE JUNE AUG OCT MONTH RATE JULY SEPT DEC

    JUNE 22000 289 664 JULY 57108 658 1179

    AUG 22289 375 SEPT 57766 521OCT 22664 DEC 58287

    MONTH RATE MAY JUNE JULY MONTH RATE JUNE AUG

    MAY 4541 61 108 JUNE 402 5.4

    JUNE 4602 47 AUG 407.4

    JULY 4649

    MONTH RATE MAY JUNE MONTH RATE MAY JUNE

    MAY 97.1 1.3 MAY 1104.6 10.7

    JUNE 98.4 JUNE 1115.3

    MONTH RATE MAY JUNE MONTH RATE MAY JUNE

    MAY 187.1 4.6 MAY 955.5 -46.4

    JUNE 191.7 JUNE 909.1

    Spread between natural gas MAY & JUN contracts

    yesterday ended at 4.60, we have seen yesterday that the

    natural gas market had traded with a negative node and

    settled -2.94% down. Spread yesterday traded in therange of 4.6 - 5.

    Spread between menthol oil MAY & JUN contracts

    yesterday ended at -46.40, we have seen yesterday that

    the menthol oil market had traded with a negative node

    and settled -0.74% down. Spread yesterday traded in therange of -57 to -42.8.

    Strictly for private circulation www.sharetipsexpert.com Page No. 6

    Spread between copper JUN & AUG contracts yesterday

    ended at 5.4, we have seen yesterday that the copper

    market had traded with a positive node and settled

    0.52% up. Spread yesterday traded in the range of 5.4 -

    8.1.

    Spread between zinc MAY & JUN contracts yesterday

    ended at 1.3, we have seen yesterday that the zincmarket had traded with a positive node and settled 0.31%

    up. Spread yesterday traded in the range of 1 - 1.35.

    Spread between nickel MAY & JUN contracts yesterday

    ended at 10.70, we have seen yesterday that the nickelmarket had traded with a negative node and settled -

    0.57% down. Spread yesterday traded in the range of

    10.50 - 14.6.

    DAILY SPR EAD IN NICKEL - MCX

    DAILY SPREAD IN NAT. GAS - MCX

    Spread between Gold JUN & AUG contracts yesterday

    ended at 289, we have seen yesterday that the gold

    market had traded with a positive node and settled 0.55%

    up. Spread yesterday traded in the range of 281 - 304.

    DAILY SPREAD IN COPPER - MCX

    DAILY SPR EAD IN MENTHOL - MCX

    ACTIVE SPREAD UPDATE

    DAILY SPREAD IN ZINC - MCX

    DAILY SPREAD IN CRUDE - MCX

    DAILY SPREAD IN GOLD - MCX DAILY SPREAD IN SILVER - MCX

    SPREADMARKET

    Spread between Silver JUL & SEP contracts yesterday

    ended at 658, we have seen yesterday that the silver

    market had traded with a positive node and settled

    3.83% up. Spread yesterday traded in the range of 596 -

    658.

    Spread between crude APR & MAY contracts yesterday

    ended at 61, we have seen yesterday that the crude

    market had traded with a positive node and settled 2.75%

    up. Spread yesterday traded in the range of 55 - 66.

  • 8/6/2019 Share Tips Experts Commodity Report as on 10052011

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    DAY TIME CURRENCY Fo re cast P re viou s

    12:15pm EUR 0.005 0.004

    1:30pm EUR 0.006 0.014

    6:00pm USD 0.018 0.027

    7:00pm USD 0 0

    7:30pm USD 41.5 40.8

    7:30pm USD 0.01 0.01

    0 0 0 0

    0 0 0 0

    0 0 0 0

    0 0 0 0

    0 0 0 0

    0 0 0 0

    0 0 0 0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Import Prices m/ m

    FOMC Member Duke SpeaksIBD/ TIPP Economic Optimism

    Wholesale Inventories m/ m

    Italian Industrial Production m/ m

    ECONOMI

    CAL

    DATA

    Tue

    French Industrial Production m/ m

    DATA

    0

    0

    0

    Strictly for private circulation www.sharetipsexpert.com Page No. 3

    NEWSYOUCA

    N

    USE

    Platinum is drawing investment as a financial asset and palladium boasts an enviable market balance but silver couldtop the precious pack this year as its latest fall offers a chance to buy, GFMS's Philip Klapwijk said. The managing

    director of the metals consultancy, which on Thursday released its 2010 Platinum and Palladium market survey, said

    that once the current price decline from last week's record above $49 an ounce has petered out, silver has enough

    favour among investors to return to these levels. The silver price , which is still up about 22 percent so far this year

    at $38 an ounce, is set for its largest weekly decline in nearly 30 years, led by selling after a series of sharp rises in

    margin requirements to hold US silver futures, as well as hefty outflows of metal from the world's largest exchange-

    traded funds. GFMS expects platinum to show a seventh consecutive annual surplus in 2011 as jewellery demand

    softens and consumption from the auto sector continues to depend on the struggling European market, which is

    predominantly diesel-powered.

    Goldman Sachs , which in April predicted this week's major correction in oil prices, said on Friday that oil could

    surpass its recent highs by 2012 as global oil supplies continue to tighten. The Wall Street bank, seen as one of the

    most influential in commodities business, said it did not rule out a further limited short-term fall in oil prices if macro-

    economic data, which it said had sparked this week's crash, continued to disappoint. Goldman rocked markets in April

    by calling a nearly $20 fall in Brent, saying speculators had pushed prices ahead of fundamentals. Goldman was one

    of the first banks to predict $100 oil last decade, in 2005 when prices were closer to $50 a barrel, but it stayed bullish

    for some time after oil peaked at $147 in 2008. Another major commodities player among banks, Barclays Capital,

    which also predicted prices could correct but not as steeply as Goldman, said on Friday the current levels already

    represented a good buying opportunity.

    Indian overnight indexed swaps (OIS) rates inched up on Monday tracking government bond, after falling in two

    consecutive sessions on easing commodity prices, and traders see the rates firm in the near-term. The benchmark 5-

    year rate was at 8.34 percent, eight basis points higher than its previous close, while the one-year rate was at 8.06

    percent, compared with Friday's close of 8.03 percent. Traders said the OIS rates will also eye the weekly inflation

    data on Thursday for further direction. India's food price index rose 8.53 percent and the fuel price index climbed

    13.53 percent in the year to April 23. In the previous week, annual food and fuel inflation stood at 8.76 percent and

    13.53 percent, respectively.

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    Disclaimer

    Strictly for private circulation www.sharetipsexpert.com Page No. 4

    CARROTINVESTMENT

    The report and calls made herein are for general information purpose and report contains only the viewpoints. We make norepresentation or warranty regarding the correctness, accuracy or completeness of any information, and are not responsible for

    errors of any kind even though we have taken utmost care in obtaining the information from sources which are believed to be

    reliable, which are publicly available. The information contained herein is strictly confidential and is meant for the intended

    recipients. Any alteration, transmission, photocopied distribution in part or in whole or reproduction of any form of the

    information without prior consent of SHARETIPSEXPERT GROUP is prohibited. The information and data are derived from the

    source that are deemed & believed to be reliable and the calls are based on the theory of Technical Analysis. Neither the

    company nor its employees are responsible for the trading Profit(es) & loss(es) arising due to the trader. The commodities and

    derivatives discussed and opinions expressed in this report may not be suitable for all investors falling under different categories

    and jurisdictions. All futures trading entail significant risk, which should be fully understood prior to trading.


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