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Sheep and Goat Outlook

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Sheep and Goat Outlook. JJ Jones Oklahoma State Extension. Sheep and Goat Inventory. 2009 Meat Goat Inventory (1000 Head). 27. 27. 20. 27. 33.5. 42. 27. 55.6. 31. 24.5. 34. 23.5. 95. 50. 86.5. 62. 79. 86. 133. 115. 47. 38. 26. 65. 80.3. > 750,000. 980. 20. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Sheep and Goat Outlook JJ Jones Oklahoma State Extension
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Page 1: Sheep and Goat Outlook

Sheep and Goat Outlook

JJ JonesOklahoma State Extension

Page 2: Sheep and Goat Outlook

Sheep and Goat Inventory2008 2009 % Change

SheepAll Sheep and Lambs

7,270,000 7,050,000 -3.02%

Breeding Ewes 4,440,000 4,280,000 -3.60%Goats

Angora 205,000 185,000 -9.76%Dairy 323,000 335,000 3.72%Meat 2,590,000 2,550,000 -1.54%

Total 3,118,000 3,070,000 -1.54%

Page 3: Sheep and Goat Outlook

2009 Meat Goat Inventory

(1000 Head)

U.S. Total: 2,550,000 Head

> 750,000100,000 – 750,000

50,000 – 99,999

20,000 – 49,999

< 20,000

980

13311586

86.5

65 80.3

7995 62

55.6

55

50

47

42

38

34

33.531

27

2727

27

26

24.523.5

20

20

Page 4: Sheep and Goat Outlook

U.S. Total Change: - 1.54%

IncreasedStayed the Same

Decreased

16.3

4.8

6.7 10.711.2

7.8

17.3

4.4

8.0

16.74.7

1.64.0

4.2

0.3 0.7

-10.0

-0.6

-2.0-2.1

-6.1

-12.9

-5.6-7.7

-12.5

-16.7

N England -13.6

-4.5

-5.0

-10.0

-16.7

-7.1

-12.8-13.9

-8.1

-4.6

2009 % Change Meat Goats(1000 Head)

Page 5: Sheep and Goat Outlook

2008 Inspected Slaughter

1.New Jersey240,91235.9%

4. Texas41,2336.1%

3. Pennsylvania41,8816.2%

9. New York26,3393.9%

10. Tennessee26,1723.9%

2. DE/MD52,8157.9%

5. Illinois40,9686.1%

6. California36,1355.4%

7. Georgia32,1414.8%

8. Florida26,6664.0%

U.S. Total: 670,709 head+ 4.9%

Page 6: Sheep and Goat Outlook

Goat Meat Imports

Page 7: Sheep and Goat Outlook

40-60 Lbs Kid PricesSan, Angelo, Texas

Page 8: Sheep and Goat Outlook

60-80 Lbs Kid PricesSan Angelo, TX

Page 9: Sheep and Goat Outlook

80 – 100 Lbs Kid PricesSan Angelo, TX

Page 10: Sheep and Goat Outlook

40-60 Lbs Kid PricesPerkins, OK

Page 11: Sheep and Goat Outlook

60-80 Lbs Kid PricesPerkins, OK

Page 12: Sheep and Goat Outlook

80 – 100 Lbs Kid PricesPerkins, OK

Page 13: Sheep and Goat Outlook

40-60 Lbs Kid PricesNew Holland, PA

Page 14: Sheep and Goat Outlook

60-80 Lbs Kid PricesNew Holland, PA

Page 15: Sheep and Goat Outlook

80 – 100 Lbs Kid PricesNew Holland, PA

Page 16: Sheep and Goat Outlook

TOTAL SHEEP & LAMB POPULATIONJuly 1, U.S., Annual

6.5

7.0

7.5

8.0

8.5

9.0

9.5

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Mil. Head

Livestock Marketing Information CenterData Source: USDA/NASS 08/03/09

Page 17: Sheep and Goat Outlook

BREEDING EWES 1 YEAR & OLDERJuly 1, U.S., Annual

3.0

3.3

3.5

3.8

4.0

4.3

4.5

1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009

Mil. Head

Livestock Marketing Information CenterData Source: USDA/NASS 08/03/09

Page 18: Sheep and Goat Outlook

LAMBS BORN PERBREEDING EWE 1 YEAR & OLDER

July 1, U.S.

0.90

0.95

1.00

1.05

1.10

1.15

1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007

Head

S-N-0608/03/09

Livestock Marketing Information CenterData Source: USDA/NASS

Page 19: Sheep and Goat Outlook

BREEDING EWES - ONE YEAR & OLDER JANUARY 1, 2009

(1000 Head)

Livestock Marketing Information CenterData Source: USDA/NASS

New England States

S-N-1103/06/09

120 to 520 (10)48 to 120 (9)34 to 48 (9)14 to 34 (11)

75

290165

148

35 34

120

47

47

83

58

180

4644

32

83

40

55

77

46

121

64

205

520

22048

35

23

26054

Other States 73

U.S. Total 3404

17

MD 14

20

25

Page 20: Sheep and Goat Outlook

Livestock Marketing Information Center

FEEDER LAMB PRICES3-Market Average; CO, TX & SD; Weekly

90

95

100

105

110

115

120

125

130

135

JAN APR JUL OCT

$ Per Cwt.

Avg.2003-07

2008

2009

S-P-0609/28/09

Page 21: Sheep and Goat Outlook

Livestock Marketing Information Center

NATIONAL LAMB CUTOUT VALUEGross Carcass FOB, 5 Day Rolling Avg

220

230

240

250

260

270

280

290

JAN APR JUL OCT

$ Per Cwt.

Avg.2003-07

2008

2009

S-P-1809/28/09

Page 22: Sheep and Goat Outlook

Livestock Marketing Information Center

U S WOOL PRODUCTIONClean Basis, Annual

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

1978 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008

Mil. Pounds

S-W-0109/10/09

Page 23: Sheep and Goat Outlook

Livestock Marketing Information Center

U S WOOL ENDING STOCKSClean Basis, Annual

010

20304050

607080

90100

1978 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008

Mil. Pounds

S-W-0509/10/09

Page 24: Sheep and Goat Outlook

Livestock Marketing Information Center

AVERAGE WOOL PRICEU.S., Grease, Annual

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

1978 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008

Cents / Pound

W-P-1409/10/09

Page 25: Sheep and Goat Outlook

Conclusion• Sheep numbers continue to decline• Goat numbers are down, but I

wouldn’t say they are declining.• Goat prices have been good in ‘09

and should remain strong in ’10.


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