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Industry:RealEstateEventDescription:Q4 2014 EarningsCall
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SimonPropertyGroup(SPG)EarningsReport:Q42014ConferenceCallTranscriptThefollowingSimonPropertyGroupconferencecalltookplaceonJanuary30,2015,11:00AMET.Thisisatranscriptofthatearningscall:
CompanyPart icipants
TomWard;SimonPropertyGroup;VP-IRDavidSimon;SimonPropertyGroup;Chairman,CEORickSokolov;SimonPropertyGroup;President,COOSteveBroadwater;SimonPropertyGroup;CAOAndyJuster;SimonPropertyGroup;EVP,CFO
OtherPart icipants
RossNussbaum;UBSSecurities;AnalystMichaelBilerman;CitiInvestmentResearch;AnalystChristyMcElroy;CitiInvestmentResearch;AnalystCraigSchmidt;BankofAmericaMerrillLynch;AnalystPaulMorgan;MLV;AnalystGeorgeAuerbach;CreditSuisse;AnalystAlexanderGoldfarb;SandlerO'Neill;AnalystCarolKemple;HilliardLyons;AnalystTayoOkusanya;Jefferies;AnalystVincentChao;DeutscheBank;AnalystHaendelSt.Juste;MorganStanley;AnalystKiBinKim;SunTrustRobinsonHumphrey;AnalystMichaelMueller;JPMorgan;AnalystLindaTsai;BarclaysCapital;AnalystCaitlinBurrows;GoldmanSachs;AnalystRichMoore;RBCCapitalMarkets;AnalystScottO'Donnell;MetLife;Analyst
MANAGEMENTDISCUSSIONSECTION
Operator:
Goodday,ladiesandgentlemen,andwelcometotheQ42014SimonPropertyGroupearningsconferencecall.MynameisTawandaandIwillbeyourcoordinatorfortoday.
(OperatorInstructions).
Asareminder,thisconferenceisbeingrecordedforreplaypurposes.IwouldnowliketoturntheconferenceovertoMr.TomWard,VPofInvestorRelations.Pleaseproceed,sir.
TomWard(VP-IR):
Thankyou,Tawanda.GoodmorningandwelcometoSimonPropertyGroup'sfourth-quarterandfull-year2014earningsconferencecall.Presentingontoday'scallisDavidSimon,ChairmanandChiefExecutive
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Officer.AlsoonthecallareRickSokolov,PresidentandChiefOperatingOfficer;AndyJuster,ChiefFinancialOfficer;andSteveBroadwater,ChiefAccountingOfficer.
Beforewebeginaquickreminderthatstatementsmadeduringthiscallmaybedeemedforward-lookingstatementswithinthemeaningoftheSafeHarborofthePrivateSecuritiesLitigationReformActof1995andactualresultstodiffermateriallyduetoavarietyofrisks,uncertaintiesandotherfactors.Wereferyoutotoday'spressreleaseandourSECfilingsforadetaileddiscussionofforward-lookingstatements.
Pleasenotethatcallincludesinformationthatmaybeaccurateonlyasoftoday'sdate.Reconciliationsofnon-GAAPfinancialmeasurestothemostdirectlycomparableGAAPmeasuresareincludedwithinthepressreleaseandthesupplementalinformationintoday'sForm8-Kfiling.BoththepressreleaseandthesupplementalinformationareavailableonourIRWebsiteatinvestors.Simon.com.ForourpreparedremarksI'mpleasedtointroduceDavidSimon.
DavidSimon(Chairman,CEO):
Goodmorning.Wehadstrongresultstowrapupanexceptional2014.WeopenedPremiumOutletsMontreal.StartedconstructionontwonewPremiumOutletsinstrongandgrowingmarketsofTampaandTucson.WeannouncedourfirstnewfullpricedevelopmentprojectinthelastseveralyearswithTheShopsatClearforkinFortWorth,TexasanchoredbyNeimanMarcus.Andmostimportantly,wecontinuetoproducestrongoperatingandfinancialperformance.
ResultsinthequarterwerehighlightedbyFFOof$2.47pershare.Onacomparablebasis,excludingtheoperatingresultsfromWPGpropertiesintheprioryearperiod,ourFFOperdilutedshareincreased12.3%forthequarteror$0.27yearoveryear.
Asareminder,ourFFOperdilutedshareiscalculatedstrictlyinaccordancewiththeNAREITwhitepaper.Andweencouragetheindustrytoacknowledgetheimportanceofusingthislong-standingmeasurewithoutmodification.
OurfourthquarterFFOperdilutedsharewasimpactedbyapproximately$0.04fromourshareofKlepierre'scostsrelatedtoboththeirbondtenderofferandtheirtenderofferforCorio,aswellasunfavorableeffectsofforeigncurrencydevaluations.
Fortheyearonacomparablebasis,excludingtheoperatingresultsfromtheWPGproperties,thespinofftransactionsandthedebtextinguishmentcharge,FFOperdilutedshareincreased13.9%.Aftertakingintoaccountthespinoffanddebtcharge,webeatourinitialguidanceof2014thatweprovidedtoyoubyanimpressive$0.40.
Wecontinuedtorecordstrongkeyoperatingmetricsandcashflow.Occupancyincreasedacrosstheportfolio.AtourMallsandPremiumOutletscombinedoccupancyendedtheyearatrecord97.1%.Leasingactivityishealthy.TheMallsandPremiumOutletsrecordedre-leasingspreadsof$9.59persquarefoot,anincreaseof16.6%.
CompNOIincreased4%inthefourthquarter2014comparedtoanincreaseof6.1%inthefourthquarterof2013andanincreaseintotalof5.1%.Sowehadanincreaseof4%overanincreaseof6.1%lastyear.Andasareminder,approximately95%ofourdomesticpropertyNOIisincludedinourcompNOIcalc.
Totalsalesinourportfolioincreased2.3%inthefourthquartercomparedtolastyearevenwithmajorredevelopmentoccurringatseveralofourPremierproperties.AsIsaid,weopenedMontrealOctober30togreatexcitement,wecommencedconstructioninTampaandTucson,andtheconstructioninNewJerseywiththeGloucesterPremium--PhiladelphiaPremiumOutletscontinuestomoveforward.
Allofthosewillopenin2015.AndweareslatedtobeginconstructionoffournewdomesticPremiumOutletsin
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2015whichincludeColumbus,Ohio;Clarksburg,Maryland;Norfolk,Virginia;andTulsa,Oklahoma.
Nowduringthequarter,evenwithallthatnewdevelopment,wecompletedseveralredevelopmentsincludingtheadditionofNordstromandsmallshopexpansionsatSt.John'sTownCenter,therelocationofBloomingdale'satStanfordShoppingCenter,aswellastheexpansionsatPremiumOutletsinMexicoCityandTokiPremiumOutletsinJapan.
WestartedconstructioninKingofPrussia;weareunderwaywiththeexpansiontoconnecttheplazaandthecourtthatwilladdapproximately150,000squarefeettoPennsylvania'stopretaildestinationandisexpectedtobecompletedinAugustof2016.AndatthePhippsPlazaweareaddinganACHotelbyMarriott,aluxuryresidence,bothexpectedtobecompletedin2016aswell.
ConstructioncontinuesonmajorredevelopmentexpansionprojectsatsomeofourmostproductivemallpropertiesincludingRooseveltField,HoustonGalleria,StanfordandourPremiumOutletsinWoodberryCommon,LasVegasNorth,LivermoreSanFranciscoandChicago.Thesemajorredevelopmentsaretobecompletedinlate2015and2016.
Redevelopmentandexpansionprojectsareongoing,thatisunderconstructionacrossallthreeofourplatformsintheUSandAsiaandhaveatotalcommittedspendof$2.1billion.Soagain,thatisunderconstruction.
Acquisitions,weclosedonJerseyGardensandUniversityParkVillagefor$1.09billiononJanuary15andareexcitedtoincludethesegreatpropertiesintheportfolio.AndbothJerseyGardensandUPVhavesalespersquarefootof$850--perfoot.
LetmeturntoKlepierre,wearepleasedwithourinvestmentinKlepierre.Ournetequityinvestmentisup$850millionevenwiththeweakereuro.Andastheirlargestshareholderweareexcitedforthemas94%ofourCorioshares--ofallCoriosharesweretenderedinsupportofKlepierre'sacquisition.Andoncethemergeriscompleted,expectedbytheendofthefirstquarter,theintegrationofthetwocompanieswillbegin.
Nowlet'stalkaboutourbalancesheet.Weended2014withadebttomarketcapitalizationratioof29%,industry-leading.Ourinterestcoveragewas3.8times,industry-leading.NettoEBITDAof5.4times,industry-leading.Ourlong-termissuerratingofAandA2continuestobeindustry-leading.
Solet'snotlosesightofthesignificantdifferentiatingandpositiveattributeofourbalancesheetascomparedtoourpeergroup.Afewofthecapitalmarketactivities;bythewaythisreplacesRick'slistingoftenants.
Weretired$2.9billionofseniornotesatanaveragecoupon,theywereat5.76%,weissued$2.5billionofnewnoteswithaweightedaveragetermof12yearsandaweightedaveragecouponof3.32%.Weamendedandextendedour$4billionrevolveruntil2019.Weclosed16newmortgageswithaweightedaverageinterestrateandtermof3.29%and8.4years.AndwebecamethefirstUSREITtoestablishaglobalcommercialpapergrowthprogramissuing$400millionofCPataweightedaverageinterestrateof18basispoints.
So,let'sturntothedividend.Weannouncedourdividendthisquarterof$1.40pershare,anincreaseyearoveryearof12%.Wewillpayatleast$5.60individendsin2015,whichisanincreaseof8.7%comparedtolastyearintotality.AndifweincludeWP'sdividendwehavemorethandoubledourdividendsincetheGreatRecession.
Nowlet'sturntoguidance.OurguidanceofFFOis$9.60to$9.70pershare;thisrangerepresents8%to9%growthcomparedtoourreportedFFOpershareof$8.90for2014.OurrangeisbasedoncomparableNOIgrowthofapproximately4%forourMalls,PremiumOutletsandMillsplatforms.
ItalsoassumesnoadditionalacquisitionordispositionactivitybeyondwhatwejustcompletedwithJerseyGardensandUPV.Anditalsoincludestheunfavorableimpacttorecentcurrencydevaluationswhich
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shouldapproximate$0.10comparedtothecurrencylevelsthatexistedin2014.
Solet'sconclude.Weproducedanotherexceptionalyearwithourresultsforthefourthquarterandthefullyear2014,beatingguidanceforanunprecedented10plusyearsinarow.Weachievedrecordlevelsinoccupancy,FFOpershareanddividendsdespitethelossofapproximately$1.00pershareofFFOfromWPandthedebtextinguishmentcharge.Andwecontinuetoimproveourportfolioandconsumerandcustomerservicesforthebenefitofstakeholdersandweareveryexcitedabout2015.Wearereadyforanyquestions.
QUESTIONS&ANSWERS
Operator:
(OperatorInstructions).RossNussbaum,UBS.
RossNussbaum(Analyst-UBSSecurities):
IguesssinceI'mfirstyouknowwhatiscoming.Iguessthehonorofaskingyouwhattheheckisgoingonwith[research].
DavidSimon(Chairman,CEO):
Well,Ithoughtweweregoingtotalkaboutyourheadlinethatsaidmixedbag.Sowhatwasmixedbag?Ourrecordrevenuegrowth,ourrecordcompNOIgrowth,ourrecordbalancesheet,ourrecordoccupancy,ourrecordrentalrate?Iwantedtotalkaboutyourheadlinefirst.Canwedothat?
RossNussbaum(Analyst-UBSSecurities):
Wecan--yes,wecanallreadthenote.ButtheguidancecominginbelowtheStreetisanoffsettobeatingforthequarter.Onewouldcallthatperhapsamixedbag.Butwecantalkaboutthatalloff(multiplespeakers).
DavidSimon(Chairman,CEO):
Ithinkontheguidance--youknow,look,firstofall,thoseareyournumbers,notours.Andobviouslythatispredominantlydrivenbythecurrencydevaluationthat'soccurringbothwithrespecttotheyenandtheeuro.
Thegoodnewsisevenwiththatbecauseofour--atleastourhedgeinEurope,weareup$850millioninKlepierre.So,yes,wearegoingtohavesomevolatility,it'sabout1%ofour--wheretheratesaretodayversuswheretheyareitisabout1%ofourearnings,whichtomeissomewhatimmaterial.
SoIdothinkweneedtoputthatinperspective.Iamnotsurethatshouldhavegeneratedyourheadline.But,youknow,youcertainlyunderstandourposition,Iunderstandyours.
RossNussbaum(Analyst-UBSSecurities):
Appreciatethat.So,backtotheelephantintheroom.
DavidSimon(Chairman,CEO):
Yes.Whatisyourquestion?
RossNussbaum(Analyst-UBSSecurities):
AlittleCaliforniabasedmallCompanycalledMacerich,canyou--whatcanyoutellusaboutwhatiscurrentlygoingon?Whatwasgoingthroughyourheadacouplemonthsagowhenyouputouttheannouncementthatyoudid?Whatcanyousayaboutit?
DavidSimon(Chairman,CEO):
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Well,look,asmuchaswe--I'msureyouwouldlovetotalkaboutit,wedisclosedourstakeof--itwas4.1%thengotdiluteddownto3.6%inMacerich.Westillholdthatpositionandatthispointitisreallynotappropriateformetoaddanythingotherthanthefactthatwestillownit.AndthereisnotalotmoreIcansay--actuallyletmetakeawaytheclarifyingstatement,thereisnothingmoreIcanaddtothat.
RossNussbaum(Analyst-UBSSecurities):
Youmaynotwanttoanswerthis,butIwillaskitanyway.Iftherewerenothinggoingononemightassumeyouwouldbehappytotellusthatyouownapositioninanothercompany,thatyouthoughtthestockwasundervaluedatthetime.Butifyoucan'tcommentonititwouldsuggestthatthereissomethinggoingonotherthanthat.
DavidSimon(Chairman,CEO):
Well,look,wenevercommentonM&Aactivity.Andwestillownthestakeand,asyouknow,wearesignificantlyinthemoneyonthestake.Thereisno--therehasbeennoP&Limpactonourstake,asIknowsomepeoplehaveaskedTomthatquestion.Anditiswhatitis.ThereisnothingreallyIcanaddotherthanthat.AndI'msorryIcan't,butthereisnothingmorethatIcanaddtothat.
RossNussbaum(Analyst-UBSSecurities):
Allright.Iandmymixedbagwillgetbackinthequeue.
DavidSimon(Chairman,CEO):
It'sallright.Listen,itisatwo-waystreet;yougiveustome,we'regoingtogiveitbackalittlebitanyway.Thatiswhatyoulikeaboutus.
Operator:
ChristyMcElroy,Citi.
MichaelBilerman(Analyst-CitiInvestmentResearch):
YesitisMichaelBilermanwithChristy.David,letmejusttryjustadifferentangle.Whenyoumadethestatementyousaidyoumayseekawaiver,andyouputthatoutpublicly.Soatleastcanyoucommentonwhetheryou'vemadetheaskforthewaiverandiftherehasbeenaresponse?Andifyouhaven'tmadetheaskwhyhaven'tyou?
Andthenthesecondpartisjusttheintentoftakingthestake.Andwasitsolelyforthepurposeofapassiveinvestmentjusttoyouthoughtyouhadalotofcashhangingaround,sobuysomethingthatyouthink--youcan'tbuyassetsintheprivatemarket,sobuysomethingthatyouknowreallywellthatyouthinkistradingatadiscount,makemoneyandgohome?Orwasitmadeforthepurposeofmovingforwardwithanon-passiveagenda?
DavidSimon(Chairman,CEO):
Well,Ican't--Rossaskedthequestion,Ican'taddtothatotherthanwehavemanagedtofindinvestments,asevidencedbythelittleover$1billionthatwejustspentinJanuary2015,tobuytworeallygoodassetswithreallygoodgrowthpotentialthatwethinkthisyearwillyieldterrificresults.
I'mstillanold-fashionedrealestateguy,Ilikecurrentyieldgoingin.AndthecurrentyieldgoinginisveryattractivewithonceRickandtheMillsteam,certainlywithJerseyGardens,workstheirmagicIthinkwe'vegotalotofupside.AndnottosaythatIthinkMichaelGlimcherdidagreatjobwiththatasset.
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So--butthereisnothing,nothingIcanaddotherthanwhatIsaidtoRossjustearlier,Michael.AndI'msorry,but,asyouknow,itisjustinappropriateformetocommentfurther.
ChristyMcElroy(Analyst-CitiInvestmentResearch):
ItisChristyMcElroyherewithMichael.Justfollowinguponthecurrencyandtheimpactto2015.Youmentioneda$0.10impactembeddedinyourguidance.Howyouarethinkingabouthedgingthatexposurepotentially?Wouldyouexpecttotakeonmoredebttoprovideanaturalhedgeormaybeputinplaceanyotherforeigncurrencyhedges?Justwanttogetasenseforhowthatisrollingthroughthenumbers.
Andthenjustrelatedtothat,Iamwonderingifyouhaveseenanyimpactatallfromthestrongerdollarintermsofachangeintrafficorsalesatanyofyourcentersthathaveahigherinternationaltourismcomponenttothecustomerbase.
DavidSimon(Chairman,CEO):
Sure,happytoanswerthose.Solet'sjusttalkaboutthenet--weareprettywellhedgedontheKlepierreinitialstake.SowearenotashedgedwithourMcArthurGleninvestment.Theproblem,asyouknow,togettheperfecthedge,andwithratesaslowastheyareintheeuro,youarenevergoingtomakeupthat.
ButIwouldsaygenerallywearereasonablyhedgedintheeuroinkindofthe80%-90%range.Butsincerates--withdebt,butwithratesaresolowthereit's--themathissuchthatitisstillgoingtohaveanimpactonus.
SothegoodnewsthatIseeatleastisthatthebusinessthereisnotnecessarilyreflectingthedevaluation.SoIthinktheconsumerthereisstillshoppinganddoingthat.Andso,it's--Ithinkitiskindofmoreofatemporarything.Butitisgoingtoimpactusfornextyear.Anditiswhatitis.
Thesamethingwiththeyeninasensethatfromabookvaluepointofviewwearebasicallycompletelyhedged.Butagain,theyen'sratesaresolowthereisjustnowaytodoit.
Nowwehavelockedinsomeforwardsonthedividendyields--I'msorry,onthedividendthatwebothgetfromKlepierreandfromJapan.Butasyouknow,weequityaccountforboth.Sothatdoesn'timpact--thatisjustcashflowwhichisimportanttobehedgedoncashflow,don'tgetmewrong.
Butstillatthesametimeitdoes--aswetakeourshareoftheequityincomeinthosebusinesseswearegoingtohaveexposure.Anditiswhatitis.SoIhope--Iassumethatansweredyourquestiononthatfront.
Imeanfromaninvestmentpointofview,bookvalueweareessentiallyhedged,butitisnotgoingtomeanalot.Wearestillgoingtohavesomevolatility.Notfromacashflowpointofviewbutfromanearningspointofview.Doesthatansweryourquestiononthatfront?
ChristyMcElroy(Analyst-CitiInvestmentResearch):
[Yes,itdoes.]Thanks,David.
DavidSimon(Chairman,CEO):
Nowonthesales,look,Ithinkitisveryinterestingbecause--somecommentaryaroundit.WedidseealittlebitofflatteningoutintheFloridaareakindoffirst--asoneinitial,asyouknow,intermsofdevaluationtheLatinAmericancustomerhappenedquickerthansaytheeurodevaluation.Wedon'thaveanyearningsimpactonthat;thatjustmightimpactsales.
Wealso,Christy,asyouknow,weareundergoinghugetransformationalredevelopmentinKingofPrussia,theField,eventheforumshopswearechangingalotofthetenantmix,changingthetransitionhallfrom
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Phase1tothePhase3thatisoutonthestrip.
Aswellaswehadthisunusualanomalythatwehadoneretailerthatisinastatethatdoesn'tpaysalestax.Theyhadanextraordinaryamountofsalesin2013thatdidn'trepeatbecauseoftheirownconstraintsthattheyposedfor2014thatalsomayhaveflattenedsalesintermsofhowyouwerethinkingaboutit.
ButIwouldgenerallysayyouputallthosethingstogether,ourportfoliodoeswhat,620afoot.Stillindustry-leading,givensizeandscaleweareaddingtothemix,wearedoingalotofgreatstuff.
SoyouknowhowgenerallyIfeelaboutretailsales,okay.AndyouhaveseenevenwithflatretailsalesgenerallyoverthelasttwoorthreeyearsyouhaveseenourcompNOIincreases,youknowmyargumentonthat.ButatleastIhopethatgivesyousomecolorastohowyoumightthinkaboutournumbercomparedtoothersoutthere.Buttheportfoliohasneverbeenstrongerorbetter.
ChristyMcElroy(Analyst-CitiInvestmentResearch):
Iappreciatethecolor.Thanks,David.
Operator:
CraigSchmidt,BankofAmerica.
CraigSchmidt (Analyst-BankofAmericaMerrillLynch):
Iwaswonderingifyoucouldcommentonthetrendoftheoutletsales.
DavidSimon(Chairman,CEO):
Actuallyweareslightlybetterthanthemallsbecausethemallshadthis--thosekindoftwoorthreethings,Craig,thatIjustdiscussed.AndourPremiumOutletsfrombotha--fromacomppointofviewhadbetterresultsthantheMallbusiness.
CraigSchmidt (Analyst-BankofAmericaMerrillLynch):
Okay,great.Andthenhowfaristhegrown-updevelopmentShopsAtClearforkfromtheUniversityParkVillagethatyoujustacquired?
DavidSimon(Chairman,CEO):
Howfaralongisit?
CraigSchmidt (Analyst-BankofAmericaMerrillLynch):
Well,howfararetheyfromeachother?
DavidSimon(Chairman,CEO):
Oh,threemilesorso--threemiles,Rick?
RickSokolov(President,COO):
Yes,aboutthree.
DavidSimon(Chairman,CEO):
Itisdifferenttradeareas,butIwouldsaythreebecausethereisariverthatrunsthrough,itisoneofthosethings.
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CraigSchmidt (Analyst-BankofAmericaMerrillLynch):
Okay.AndthenisthereanyfurtherthingsthatyoucoulddowithCostcojustgiventhesizeoftheirprojectbeyondTheShopsatClearfork?
RickSokolov(President,COO):
Hi,Craig,it'sRick.Rightnowweareobviouslyfocusedonthefirstphase.Thereareanumberofelementstothatphase.Theydohavesomeadditionallandand,dependingonhowthisgoes,we'dobviouslybeopentotryanddosomeadditionaldevelopment.Butrightnowthefirstphasehasourattention.
CraigSchmidt (Analyst-BankofAmericaMerrillLynch):
Great.Andthenfinallyjust--maybethisisforRick.HaveyouseenwhatyouthinkmightbeachangeinpaceineitherstoreopeningsorstoreclosingsintheMallspacefor2015?
RickSokolov(President,COO):
Well,basicallyobviouslywe'vehadtheannouncementthateveryonehasseen.Sothereisalittlemorepressureonsomeclosings.Butconverselyweareatrecordoccupancy,wehavejustcomeoutofourmeetingsinDecemberandwegotalotofmomentuminthebusinessbecausetherearealotofpeoplethatarelookingforspace.
Andwecertainlyanticipatewearegoingtobeabletoholdourmarketshareandthereisalwaysgoingtobethechurningthatwe'vehadhistorically,butwearegoingtobasicallybeabletokeepthingsprettymuchwheretheyarenowintermsofoccupancy.Andeverybodywereplaceisgoingtobereplacedbysomeonewhoismorecreditworthyandmoreproductiveonasalesperfootbasis.
DavidSimon(Chairman,CEO):
Yes,but,Craig,weclearlyhave--atthispointintimecomparedtolastyear,moreretailersinbankruptcy.Soasyouknowthat--wearenotsurehowmanystoresweregoingtogetback,somehavealreadyannouncedit,soitisreallyclosingstores,someinfactareevenliquidating.
Soweare--Imean,itdoesn'tchangethefundamentalsofourbusiness,but2015isgoingtobealotofworkinre-leasingthoseretailers.Becausedependingonwhenwegetitandhowmuchtimewehavetoleaseituptherecouldbealittlegapthere.
CraigSchmidt (Analyst-BankofAmericaMerrillLynch):
Okay,thankyou.
Operator:
PaulMorgan,MLV.
PaulMorgan(Analyst-MLV):
Yoursame-storenumbershappenbouncingsortofinthe4%to6%rangeoverthepastthreeyearsandyourleasespreadiskindofinthe15%to20%range.Imeanyourguidanceforsame-storewas4%.HowshouldIthinkaboutthatinthecontextofthepastfewyearswheretheaverageissortofabovethat?
Andthenkindofrelatedtothat,whereyou'reatintermsofoccupancy.Isthatwhatyouthinkofasmaybeapproachingkindofafrictionalceilingandwhetherthatcouldconstrainyoursame-storegrowthatall?
DavidSimon(Chairman,CEO):
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Well,Ithink--look,wehavealwaystriedtoberealisticandconservative.Iforget,Steve,whatweannouncedlastyear,whatourcompNOIwas.But4%maybe?
SteveBroadwater(CAO):
4%.
DavidSimon(Chairman,CEO):
Sowewerefortunatetooutperformthat.So,Paul,wearetakingintoaccount,wedohavemorebankruptciesthisyear.SoIthinkitisappropriateforustobeconservativebecause,asyouknow,wedon'tcontrol--wedon'tgetthespacebackandthenwecanhavedowntimeandsoon.
SoifthereisaconservativeelementtowhatIwouldsay,itisalittlebitbecauseofthe--justthebankruptciesthatwearehavingtodealwithin2015versus2014.
PaulMorgan(Analyst-MLV):
Okay,thanks.Andthenjustmaybeaswethinkaboutinvestments,youhavegot$3billionindevelopments--redevelopmentsatwhatyoutargetasa9%yield.Onacquisitionsthecapratesfortodayarekindofhalfthatfordecentproperties.
Imeanhowdothinkaboutthatspreadbothintermsofkindofevaluatingacquisitions?WhatmakesanacquisitionwhetheritisasingleassetoraportfoliooranM&Adealatamuchloweryieldthanyou'regettingonyourredevelopments?Imeanwhatmakesitcompellingfromyourperspective?
DavidSimon(Chairman,CEO):
Well,look,thereisnobodybeenmoreactiveinnewdevelopmentandredevelopmentthanwehavebeen.Butitisnot--itisnotlike,oh,let'sjustdoaredevelopment.Thereisalotof--alotthat'srequiredtogetthere.Andthenewdevelopment,wewanttobuildstuffthatisattheendofthedaygoingtofitinthe--certainlyinthetophalfofourportfoliooverthelongrun.
Sothat's--wehaveahellofaportfoliosothatishardtoachieve.Andwearegoingreasonablyquickwhenwegettonewdevelopmentandredevelopment.Andso,atthesametimewearenotgoingtobuyanythingoranybodyunlesswefeellikewecanaddsignificantvaluetoit.
Nowlet'stakeacoupleofrecentexamples.ItisnotbadformynetinvestmentinKlepierretobeup4X,okay,notbad.Andwefeltlikewecouldaddvaluetothatbusinessandthankfullywehave.ThesamethingonthegoinginyieldwiththetwodealsweboughtforGlimcherisaround5,andwethinkthey'reAassets,A+assetsandobviouslywethinkwewillbeabletogrowthose.
Sothatisagreatopportunity.Andlookat--theonethingthatIthinkthemarkethaslostsightofisjusteverybody'sbalancesheetagain.It'slike,forgetaboutit.Ourbalancesheetis--itis5.4EBITDAmultiple,it's3.8%interestcoveragedespitehaving--Istilllookatthose10.75%thatI'vegotoutstandinguntil2019--right,Andy,2019?
AndyJuster(EVP,CFO):
Right.
DavidSimon(Chairman,CEO):
Westillhaveroomto--dependingonwhereratesaretorollthatdownandeventomakeastrongercoverageratioandbalancesheet.SoImeanwehavealwayslookedateverything,wewilllookateverything;weare
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notgoingtochasedeals.Andwhenitcomestoacquisitions,unlesswefeellikewecanaddvaluetothatpropertywithour--eitherourinfrastructureorourleasingknow-how,developmentknow-how,wejustdon'tdoit.
PaulMorgan(Analyst-MLV):
Doesyourleverageandyourbalancesheetadvantages--Imean,doyouthinkofthatasanimportantlevertopullwhenyouarelookingatbiggerdealscapitalizingonthat?
DavidSimon(Chairman,CEO):
Well,sure.Imeanlook,itledto--let'sjustgobackto2009.Imeanthefactofthematterisintheretailrealestatesectorthereisnobodybecausetheyweresoleveredandwedidsometoughfinancingsincludingequity.ButthereisnobodyinoursectorotherthanmaybesayTaubman,thathasoutgrownwhateverdilution.Andnotonlyhaveweoutgrownit.wejustblewitaway.
EverybodyelseisstilltryingtogetbacktotheirrecordFFOpersharethattheyhadin2006-2007andtheirdividend.Weare--wehaveblownthroughthosedramatically.
Andthatbalancesheetthatwehad,eventhoughwepanickedlikeafewothers,allowedustobeconservativeyetsignalthemarketthatwewerealiveandwell,blowthroughthegrowththatwehad,wehadayearortwoofflatnessorastepbackwherewewereabletousethattofindgoodinvestmentsthathavefueledourgrowth.
SoIwouldhopeevenincapitalrichtimeswewereabletodothataswell.Butit's--weareprettyconservative,wedon'twanttoblowthebalancesheet.Asyouknow,mybackgroundintherealestateworld,besidesbeinganM&Abanker,whichwasoutsideofrealestateandinallsortsofindustries,wasdirectlyinvolvedinrestructuringrealestateworkouts.
Anditisn'tanyfunandwearenevergoingtogetthere.Sowehaveagreatasset,we'veworkedhardtoachieveit.Andit--it'sagreatthing,butyoucan'ttakeitforgranted.
PaulMorgan(Analyst-MLV):
Great,thanks.
Operator:
GeorgeAuerbach,CreditSuisse.
GeorgeAuerbach(Analyst-CreditSuisse):
JusttofollowuponChristy'squestion.David,haveyouquantifiedtheimpactofredevelopmentatKingofPrussia,Fields?AndIforgettheotherassetyoumentioned--butjustsortofwhatthathasdonetotheoverallsalesgrowth.Tryingtothinkaboutyourportfolioonamorenormalizedleveladjustingoutsomeofthenoise.
DavidSimon(Chairman,CEO):
Look,yes,IamnotmakingexcusesandyouknowhowwehaveallhadthisdiscussionaboutourtenantsalesandhowIthinkaboutit.Butifyoutaketheseanomalies,Iwouldsaygenerallywewouldbearound4%ish.Butagain,ournumberisournumber.Andyouknowhowmanagementfeelsaboutit.
Iappreciateyoumayhaveadifferentpointofview.Wehavenothingtohideor--wehadafewanomalies,wearenotmakingexcuses,wewillacceptbeingdingedonitifyouwant.Butthereisalotoftransforming,wedohaveexposuretocertainmarkets,Braziltakesalittlebreatherandwehadthisstrangethinginastate--I
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meanI'mgivingyouenough.Butwetendnottotalkaboutspecificretailers.
Butyoucouldfigureitoutwithastatethatdoesn'thavesalestax.Anditiswhatitis.SametimewedoFFOpursuanttothewhitepaperthenumberisthenumber.Wepointedoutthe$0.04onlybecausewethoughtmaybethemarketdidn'tknowthatwehadtopickupourshareofKlepierre'stransactioncostsassociatedwithbothtendersaswellasthecurrencydroppedprettyprecipitouslyquarteroverquarteroflastyear.Sowethoughtitwasimportanttodoit.Butthenumberisthenumber.
GeorgeAuerbach(Analyst-CreditSuisse):
Well,no,IwasaskingbecauseintheMacerichAnalystDaytheymentionedthatIthinktherewerethreebigredevelopmentstheyhadthatloweredtheirsame-storegrowthonthatwholeportfolioby100basispoints.SoIknowoneortwoassetscanreallymovethenumber.ThatiswhyIwasasking.
DavidSimon(Chairman,CEO):
Yes.No,no,itisalegitimatequestion.Iwastalkingmoreabouttenantsales.OnourcompNOItheyareallinournumber.SoallofthosethatIhavetalkedaboutareinit,eventhoughwearetakingsomeimmediatestepbacksasweredevelopit.Sothosereallyaren'taffectingourcompNOI,atleastthoseassetsthatItalkedtoyouabout.
AndyJuster(EVP,CFO):
Right.AndIguessjustthelastoneforme.YouandtheBoardhaveincreasedthedividendprettymeaningfullyoverthelastcouplequartersatapaceaboveFFOgrowth.Iguessastheredevelopmentspendmaybetapersoffinto2015and2016shouldweanticipatethatthedividendgrowthwillcontinuetooutpaceFFOorAFFOgrowthfortheforeseeablefuture?
DavidSimon(Chairman,CEO):
Yes.Look,ourtaxableincomehasgotalotofvariability.Weare--asyouknow,wepaidout100%ofourtaxableincomelastyear.Andwe--Ididunderline--Ihopeyousaw,thatatleast[560]--Iwillunderlinethat,thatisatleast560orso.Theanswerisourtaxableincomeisgrowingsignificantlyasourearningsare.Andso,itisveryconceivablethatthatcouldbeanoutcomeofthat.
GeorgeAuerbach(Analyst-CreditSuisse):
Great,thankyou.
Operator:
SteveSakwa,EvercoreISI.We'llmovetothenextquestion.AlexanderGoldfarb,SandlerO'Neill.
AlexanderGoldfarb(Analyst-SandlerO'Neill):
Anditis--IknowyouarenotcommentingontheMacerich,butitisinteresting.Themarketischeeringyouguysandyourstock'soutperformance.Soclearlythemarketseemstobesuggestingthatitwantssomethingtohappen.
JustasfarasMacerichintheguidance,Andy,areyousayingthereisnoimpact--thewayyouareaccountingforitthereisnoimpacttothe2015numbersorweshouldbepickingupsomething?
AndyJuster(EVP,CFO):
Noimpact.
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AlexanderGoldfarb(Analyst-SandlerO'Neill):
Okay.Okay.Andthen,David--.
DavidSimon(Chairman,CEO):
Letmedoclarifythat.We--letmejustclarifythat,theydopayusadividend.Sowedohavethedividendincomeinournumbers,okay.
AlexanderGoldfarb(Analyst-SandlerO'Neill):
Okay.
DavidSimon(Chairman,CEO):
Butobviouslyit's--themovementupanddowngoesintocomprehensiveincomeorloss,inthiscaseit'sincomebecauseitisup.ButthatisnotanFFOnumber.So,andtheonlythinginourFFOguidanceistheirdividendincome.Okay,Alex?
AlexanderGoldfarb(Analyst-SandlerO'Neill):
Yes,thatisright.IJustwantedtomakesurethatthat'sthewayyouareaccountingforit.
Thenextthing,David,isrightaftertheworldwokeuptoloweroilafterThanksgivingyouannouncedtwoprojectsdowninoilcountry.Sojustsortofcuriouswhatyouguyshave--obviouslytenantdemandwasunaffectedbyit.
Soshouldwejusttakeawayfromthisthattheretailersareunfazedbythedropinoilandtheyjustseecontinuedstrongsalesdowninthosemarkets?Orisyourviewthatmaybesomeofthetenantswhoinitiallyindicatedthattheywouldbeinterestedinbothoftheseprojectsmaystarttohavesecondthoughts?
DavidSimon(Chairman,CEO):
Well,theHoustonGalleriahasbeenunderconstructionforquitesometime--welloverayear.So,butTexasitselfissodiversifiedthatitusedtobe20plusyearsago--20plusyearsagoitwasoilandbasicallyrealestate.
Todayitistech,it'sHoustonisverydiversified,obviouslyoilandgasisimportant.Butit'sgotthemedical--it'sgotmedical,themedicalfocus,alltheuniversities.AndDallas-FortWorth--that'slessandlessorlinkaskcompletely,thatismore--.
Sotheansweriswedon'tthinkitwillhaveanyimpact.FortWorthweareexcitedaboutbecauseNeimanMarcusisobviouslyhugeinthatarea.TheyarerelocatingfromonemalltothistobetheirflagshipstoreinFortWorth.Andwethinkthedemandforthatisgreat,noissuesinHouston,Galleriawhichisoneofthetopfivecentersinthecountry.Andsowhenyouputitalltogetheritisreally--longrunthereisnoissueatall.
AlexanderGoldfarb(Analyst-SandlerO'Neill):
Okay,andIguesssameappliestoTulsa?
DavidSimon(Chairman,CEO):
True.
AlexanderGoldfarb(Analyst-SandlerO'Neill):
Okay.Andthenfinalquestionis,asyouguysstarttodomoreofthesemixuseorataddeddensitytosomeof
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theprojects,someofyourmalls,howdoyouunderwritetheprojectsas,yes,thereisareturnfromobviouslyaddingapartmentsoraddinghotelsandthenthereishopefullytheadditionalreturnofjustaddedtraffictothemallthatallowsyoutodrivehigherNOIandcashflows.
Soifwethinkaboutthereturnsasyouguyspenciloutdensifyingsomeofthesites,howshouldwethinkabouttheincrementalreturnfromjustboostingNOIversusjustaddinganadditionalusetoacenter?
RickSokolov(President,COO):
Hi,thisisRick.Basicallywhenweaddanapartmentorahotel,thosestandontheirown.Itisaseparateanalysis.Ifthereissomeincrementalbenefit,great.Butwedonottheoreticallycreateanykindofincrementalreturnbasedonaddingmoremassordensifyinganasset.
AlexanderGoldfarb(Analyst-SandlerO'Neill):
Okay.So,Rick,istherelikeanincrementalthatwecanexpectoryouguysexpectoryoudon'tunderwritebutanyway,shapeorform?
RickSokolov(President,COO):
Wedonotunderwritethat.
DavidSimon(Chairman,CEO):
None.Zero.Don'tgivemyguysanyideas.
AlexanderGoldfarb(Analyst-SandlerO'Neill):
Tosandbagthenumbers?Neverwouldcrossourminds.
DavidSimon(Chairman,CEO):
No,no,no,don'tgivemydevelopmentguys--youknow,whentheycomeinandtheywantaprojecttoprove,don'tassume--theywillcomeinandsay,itisgoingtodothistothemall,weshouldimprove--no,forgetit,itdoesn'thappenthatway.
AlexanderGoldfarb(Analyst-SandlerO'Neill):
Okay,thanksalot.
Operator:
CarolKemple,HilliardLyons.
CarolKemple (Analyst-HilliardLyons):
HaveyouallnoticedanychangewithinthelastthreemonthsinyourconversationswithSearsandJCPenney'saboutbuyingsomeoftheboxesback?
DavidSimon(Chairman,CEO):
No.
CarolKemple (Analyst-HilliardLyons):
Okay.Andthenarethereanynewconceptsthatarecomingintoyourmallsoroutletcentersthatyouareexcitedaboutthatyoucanshare?
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DavidSimon(Chairman,CEO):
Well,herewegoagain.Allright,so,Rick,thisisRick's--helovesthispart.So,Rick,lethergo,okay,herewego.Hereisthelist.
RickSokolov(President,COO):
Unleashingthefury.IntheOutletsectorevery--literallyeverymonthwearefindingmoreandmoreretailersthatunderstandthatthisisaveryvaluableandprofitabledistributionchannel.AndsoJeff,AllisonOlivia,CitizensWatch,JonathanAdler,Helzberg--literallywecouldgoon.ButtheansweristhereisagreatdealofnewentrantsintotheOutletsector.
IntotheMallsectorwearedoingstuffwith(inaudible),[DavidT.],wearedoingNYXisanewconceptfromL'Oreal.UNIQLOisveryactivelylooking.Andinterestingly,itislostinthesauce,butLBrandsisdramaticallygrowingPinkandVictoria'sSecret.Sothereisalotofverygooddynamicdemandforourproperties.
CarolKemple (Analyst-HilliardLyons):
Okay,thankyou.
Operator:
TayoOkusanya,Jefferies.
TayoOkusanya (Analyst-Jefferies):
Iwouldliketokindofgobacktothe2015guidanceand,again,thepointofguidancerelativetowhereconsensusis.Itsounds,basedonyourcomments,it'sabout1%ofearningswhichisabout$0.09to$0.10thatisFXrelated.
ButIamwonderingwhatelseisinguidancethatmaybewearenot--maybetheStreetisnotfullyappreciatingwhichiswhyournumbersseemalittlebithigh?Isit,again,someoftheworkingthroughofsomeoftheretailbankruptciesthathavehappenedthatmay--?
DavidSimon(Chairman,CEO):
Yes,Ithink--Idon'tknowwhatyourcompNOIis.AndIalsothinkalotofithastodowithmaybehowyouarefactoringinourdevelopmentspend.Becausemostof2015andalotof2016isbackendweighted.Soyouhavegot--wehavegotoursharearound2.1.Sothatwouldreallybethe--thatwouldbeouronlyotherguess,butI'msureTomcanwalkyouthroughhowyoudoit.
ButmaybeyouhavealittlebithighercompNOI.Imentionedweareconservativeonthatnumberbecausewearelookingatalittlebithigherbankruptciesthanwelookedatlastyear.Weobviouslyalwaystrytodobetter.Butourdevelopmentspendtendstobebackendweighted.Sodependingonhowyoufactorthatin.Andthenobviouslythecurrencydeltafromtheyenandtheeuroisaround$0.10from2014to2015.Soyouadditupanditiswhatitis.
TayoOkusanya (Analyst-Jefferies):
Gotit.Andcouldyoujusttalkaboutin2015guidancewhataverageoccupancyisbakedintothosenumbers?
DavidSimon(Chairman,CEO):
Prettyconsistentwithwhat2014showed.
TayoOkusanya (Analyst-Jefferies):
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Great,okay,that'shelpful.Andtheninthesupplementalwhenwejusttakealookatthedevelopmentpage,theOutlet--theyieldontheOutletbusiness,ontheOutletdevelopmentisupto11%versus9%previously.Isthatjustamixchange?
DavidSimon(Chairman,CEO):
Yes,MontrealwasalittleloweryieldandTampaismuchhigher.Tampawethinkwillbeagreatoutletcenter,oneofthe--attheendofthedayoneoftheleadingoutletcentersinthecountry.Andabsolutelyisthatmixchange.
TayoOkusanya (Analyst-Jefferies):
Great.AndthenlastlywithJerseyGardens,justcuriouswhatyourthoughtsareinregardstowhatNOIgrowthcouldlooklikeoncerentsstarttoresetforalotofthetenants?
RickSokolov(President,COO):
Look,wehave--thisisRick,wehavealreadysetthebaselineoverallonourNOIgrowthandJerseyGardensshouldbeinexcessofthatoncewestartdoingwhatwethinkcanbedonethere.AndasDavidsaid,theydidagreatjobbefore;wearejustnowtakingittothenextlevelandallocatingspaceandbringinginincrementalmoreproductivetenantsthat'sgoingtodriverentandsales.
TayoOkusanya (Analyst-Jefferies):
Thatisveryhelpful.Thankyou,gentlemen.
Operator:
VincentChao,DeutscheBank.
Vincent Chao (Analyst-DeutscheBank):
JustmaybethinkingaboutthecompNOIguidanceslightlydifferently.Justaswethinkaboutthe4%versusthe5.1%andalsoinlightofthecommentsabouthigherlevelsofbankruptcies.Iguesswhatwould--andhowmuchofthehigherlevelofbankruptciesissortofthedifferencebetweenthe5.1%andthe4%?
DavidSimon(Chairman,CEO):
Welllook,again,wearefactoringthatin.AndlikeIsaid,lastyearwehad--ourbusinesshasacertainlevelofvolatilitytoit.Notalot,becausewedon'thavetogosellallourproductatthestartofeveryyearlikealotofothercompanies.
Sobecausewehavemostlycontractualrentsthebigvariabilityisunanticipatedbankruptcy,thetimingofwhichthatoccurs,whenwegetitandthenhowlongittakesustoleaseitup.SoIsaidlastyear,SteveBroadwater,weprojected,whatwasourNOIprojection?
SteveBroadwater(CAO):
4%.
DavidSimon(Chairman,CEO):
4%,wegot5.1%.Soagainwearefactoringthatin.Wewillsee.Obviouslywehavegotvariabilitytosomeextentmarginallyonexpensesandwehavecertainvariabilityonoveragerent.Andwehavealonghistoryofkindofmodelingthat,butitdoescreatesomevariability.
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Wealsohavealotofredevelopmentworkwherewearenotnecessarilytakingoutacomp.ThetakeprojectslikeRooseveltFieldandKingofPrussiaandthose--wearemovingalotoftenantsaroundintheForumshops,wehavegotCopley.IthinkCopleyifIrememberfromourbudgetsessionsisgoingdown$2millionthisyear,reallypissedmeoffinourbudgetmeetingsbecauseweareretenantingtoabettergroup.
Butthatisthenature.Yougottoretenant,yougottoimprovethemix.Whenyouarebringinginabettertenanttheyhavealongerbuildout,allofthattakestime.Sowehopetodobetter,itisnottooshabby.Wemoveon.
Vincent Chao (Analyst-DeutscheBank):
Okay,thanks.AndthenjustoneotherquestionontheFX,IapologizeifImissedit.The$0.10headwind,whateurorateandyenrateisthatbasedon?
DavidSimon(Chairman,CEO):
Youknow,itisbaseduponourviewofitoveraperiodoftime.So,butthisisreallyincomparisonto2014.
Vincent Chao (Analyst-DeutscheBank):
Okay,thankyou.
Operator:
HaendelSt.Juste,MorganStanley.
HaendelSt .Juste (Analyst-MorganStanley):
Soafewquestionsforyou.First,David,onKlepierre,IwascuriousifyoucouldhelpgiveusabroadsenseofthemagnitudeofupsideyouthinkyoumighthavethereperhapsintermsofpercentageofG&Aexpense,portfolioupgrading,closingevaluationgapwith[Univie],justcuriousforyourthoughtsthere.
DavidSimon(Chairman,CEO):
Well,itisbetterthatmanagementteamtheredoesthat.ButIwillsaygenerallyjustfrommyperspectiveweare--theyhavedoneareallygoodjoboverthelastcoupleyearswithourstrategichelptocontinuetomoveintherightdirection,smaller--reducethesmallerassets,focusmoreonthebiggerones,upgradethemarketingtenantmix,etc.
IthinkCoriohasgotabetterportfoliothanalotofpeoplethink.TheintegrationthereisalittlemorecomplicatedthanitissayintheUSwhenitcomestointegrationbecauseoftherulesoutthereandIwon'tboreyouwithallthetechnicalitiesaboutit.
ButIthinknet-netoveraperiodoftimethereisgreatupsideinrunningabetter,moreefficientCompanywith--aftertheCoriomergeriscompleted.AndIwouldexpectthatthatgapwouldcontinuetonarrow,whichithasdramatically,butwillcontinuetonarrow.
AndlikeIsaid,ImeanIamnot--themostimportantthinginallofthisisgreat,butareyoumakingmoney?Ournetinvestmentisup$850millionin2years,2.5years.Maybeisit3years--maybeitis3yearsnow,okay,so--I'msorry,it's3yearsnow.So--andIstillthinktheyhavegotupsidetomoveforward.
HaendelSt .Juste (Analyst-MorganStanley):
Appreciatethat.AndfollowinguponIguesssomeoftheearlierstrongerdollarquestions,clearlymakesyourpurchasingpowerbetteroverseas.Wonderingifthatperhapsmightmakeyoumoreperhapsaggressivelyinclinedonexpandingyourinternationalportfolio.
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DavidSimon(Chairman,CEO):
Weonlywanttodoitifwethinkwecanmakemoney.SoIhavenodesiretoexpandinternationalunlesswethinkitisaprofitopportunityforus.
HaendelSt .Juste (Analyst-MorganStanley):
Fairenough.Andthenlastone.Wonderinghowmuchofyourenergycostsarevariable.Justtryingtogetasenseofiftherecouldbeapositiveimpacttomargins.
DavidSimon(Chairman,CEO):
Notreallybecausewetendtochargethattothetenants.Andsowejustpassonthatsavingstothem.Tosomeextentthesharethatwepayforourselveswillhaveanaddedbenefit.Soitisnotoverlymaterial.
HaendelSt .Juste (Analyst-MorganStanley):
Okay,thankyou.
Operator:
KiBinKim,SunTrustRobinsonHumphrey.
KiBinKim(Analyst-SunTrustRobinsonHumphrey):
Sojustturningtoyourexpenses,ifIlookatthetrendjustinoperatingexpensesasapercentofyourrevenuehasbeentrendingdownforaverylongtimewhichhashelpedobviouslyyourexpenserecoveriesandwhatnot.
Andjustcuriousisthisatrend--Imeanitishardtoimagineitgoingmorefavorabletowards--versustheperhapsrunrate.Butgivenlikerisingexpensesandrisingtaxesdowe--wheredoyouthinkthissettlesout?Andhowdoesthatimpactyourexpenserecoveriesgoingforwardandmaybeshouldweexpectsomekindofreversiontothemeanatonepoint?
DavidSimon(Chairman,CEO):
Well,Ithinkwearealwaystryingtoimproveouroperatingmargins.Soeveryonceinawhiletherewillbemodestchangesfromyeartoyear.Obviouslyin2009recessionwetookaverytoughfewofthat.NowwearestillgettingthecompNOIlikegrowtheventhoughwearelessfocusedonthatlikewewerein2009--Ishouldn'tsaylessfocused,butwearenotas--wearenottryingtowringeverynickeloutofit.
Wealsohavemarketingexpenses,customerrelations,consumerrelationsexpensesthatwearefocusedondoing.Sotherewillbeyear-to-yearvariabilitytoit,butwearestilltryingtoimproveit.
KiBinKim(Analyst-SunTrustRobinsonHumphrey):
So,ifI--maybeIcanaskitinadifferentway.For2014youendedwithabout32%-33%operatingexpensesasapercentofrents.Inyourguidanceareyouimplicitlymodelingthatstaysflatorimprovesorrevertsback?
DavidSimon(Chairman,CEO):
Well,relatively--relativelythesame.
KiBinKim(Analyst-SunTrustRobinsonHumphrey):
Okay.
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DavidSimon(Chairman,CEO):
Relativelyflat.
KiBinKim(Analyst-SunTrustRobinsonHumphrey):
Andjustlastquestion.Howdoyoucomparethequalityof--andIknowthereisdifferentregions,butKlepierrewithCorioversusaMacerich?howwouldyoudescribethequalitybetweenthosetwoportfolios?
DavidSimon(Chairman,CEO):
Well,that'sagoodone.Iwouldsayitishardto--itishardtonecessarilycompareonetothenext.InEuropethesupplyanddemandisreasonablyfavorable,butontheotherhandtheUSisreallycaughtuponthatfrontbecausetherehasbeen--asweallknownonewreallyfullpricedevelopmentforanumberofyears.
SotheoccupancycostsarealittlehigherinEuropethantheyare--foraretailerthantheyareintheUS.ButIdon'tknow,Iwouldhavetogivethatalittlebitmorethought.Idon'tnecessarily--Ilookatitmoreinthatspecificmarketasopposedtoonecountrytoanothercountry.Itisalittletoughercomparisontodo.Butletmegiveitsomethought.
KiBinKim(Analyst-SunTrustRobinsonHumphrey):
Yes,ImeansothereasonIaskthatiswhenyouhaveyourchoicesofcapital--wheretodeploycapitalandyouhaveMacerichtradingat4.5%,andIknowifyoutakeitfurtherthereisprobablysomeoperatingmarginyoucanpulloutofitifyoudidtakedownthewholeportfolio.
AndwhenIcomparetomaybeaKlepierrewithCorioonquality,withthatportfoliotradingatmaybea5%caprate--andthisisjustroughmath,bytheway--orhigher,howdoyoumakethatrelativecomparisonintermsofwheretodeploythatcapital?
DavidSimon(Chairman,CEO):
Wellyouhavegotto--Imeanthemostimportantthingisyou'vegottoriskadjust.Andyoudon't--intheUSyoudon'thavecurrencyrisk.Soasyoucansee,nooneisreallyhappyaboutourcurrencyrisktoday.SoIamnotoverlyworriedaboutit,butitis--wedohavealittlebitofrisk.
TheUSisasafer--weshouldgetahigherreturnwhenwegooutsideofournaturalborders.Itisslightlyhardertounderwrite,itisalittlemorecomplex,therearemorerulesandregulationstodowhatyouwant.Andwe--eventhoughwehavehadaprofoundimpactonKlepierre,weknowUSinvestingbetterthanweknowoutsideUSinvesting.
SoyoucertainlywouldwantahigherreturnanywhereoutsidetheUSforthoseandotherreasons.SoIdon't--soitgetskindof--inyourquestion,you'vegottofactorthatintoit.Nowtheratesthereare--theratestherearereally,reallyattractive.Soifyoucantakeintoaccountthehigherriskadjustedrateofreturnyoumayhavebetterinvestmentopportunity.
Butatthispointwedon'tlookatamutuallyexclusivetheUSorEuropeorAsia.Weliketolookateachindividualideaorinvestmentonitsownandthenstresstestitwithourcorporateopportunitiesandourowninternalopportunitiesandseewhatitmeansforourbalancesheetandourmanagementbandwidth.
KiBinKim(Analyst-SunTrustRobinsonHumphrey):
Okay,thankyou.
Operator:
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MichaelMueller,JPMorgan.
MichaelMueller(Analyst-JPMorgan):
Justaquickone.WhatsortofyieldareyoulookingatfortheClearforkdevelopment?AndisthereanyupdateonanythoughtsandplansfortheOysterBaysite?
DavidSimon(Chairman,CEO):
Clearforkwillbe--itisnotyet--ithasn'tstartedconstruction,butwewilloutlinethatonceweputitintoservice.Soitisnotinour8-Kyetbecausewehaven'tactuallystartedconstruction.Wearegetting--it'sgoingtohappen,butwearefinalizingourcostnumbersandtheleasingplanandallthatanditshouldstartinthenexttwomonthsorso.
Sothereissomegradinggoingononthesitenowbut--sowewillletyouknowonthat.Butitwillbeattractivevalueenhancingreturn.AndyourOysterBay--OysterBayIthinkwillbeaveryactiveyear.Wehaveanunbelievableplanandvisionofwhatwewanttodowiththeproperties.
Weareworkingnowwiththevarious--thetownandthevariousagenciesaboutgoingthroughtheapprovalprocess.Iamsureyouwillseemoreofthatthisyearasitcomesout,butwehaveactuallydevelopedaplan,averyuniquelifestylemixedusecenterthatwethinkwillhavegreatappealtousfinanciallyaswellasallofthecommunitygroupsthere.
MichaelMueller(Analyst-JPMorgan):
Okay,great,thankyou.
Operator:
LindaTsai,Barclays.
LindaTsai(Analyst-BarclaysCapital):
Howwouldyoucharacterizeholidaysalesoverall?Doestheoutcomesaymuchtoyouabouttheunderlyingstrengthoftheeconomy?Andthenalsointhecontextofrecentstoreclosureannouncements,Irealizealotoftheseretailerswerealreadystruggling,buthowmuchofanimpactdidtheholidayseasonhaveorweretheylikelytocloseanywayinyourview?
RickSokolov(President,COO):
Ithinkonthelatterquestion,the[ark]oftheretailersthathavealreadyannouncedbankruptcyorclosingswasreallybeyondagivenquarterandagivenresultintheholiday.Theyhavebeenstrugglingforanextendedperiodoftime.
Intermsoftheholidaysales,insomeplacestheywerestronger,somethestrongerretailersreportedbettersales.Buttherewerealargerpercentagethatwereweaker.Butoverallistheeconomystronger?Itis.Istheloweroilandgaspricesputtingsomeincrementaldisposablemoneyintheconsumer'spocket,itis.Confidenceisup.Sooverallthemacrofactorsareencouraging.
LindaTsai(Analyst-BarclaysCapital):
Thanks.
Operator:
CaitlinBurrows,GoldmanSachs.
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Cait linBurrows (Analyst-GoldmanSachs):
Ifyoucouldjustcommentonyourcapacityandinterestinissuingmoreeurodenominateddebtgiven(inaudible)isat0.3%.
DavidSimon(Chairman,CEO):
Yes,goodquestion.Ithinktheansweriswearegoingtoseriouslyconsiderit,right,Andy?
AndyJuster(EVP,CFO):
Yes,absolutely.Wealwayslookatbothcurrencies.Rightnowwecouldissue10-yeareurodebtatunder1.5%,significantlyunder.Sothat'ssomethingwewilllookat.Andthebasisplayhasbecomealotmorefavorableinthelastcoupleofmonths.
Cait linBurrows (Analyst-GoldmanSachs):
Okay,great,thanks.Andthenalsojustacknowledgingthatyouhavealreadyspunoffyourlowertier(inaudible)withintheportfolioyouhavenow.Couldyoujustdescribeanydifferencesbetweentenantproductivityandyourtop-tierversuslower-tiercentersandalsotenantinterest?
DavidSimon(Chairman,CEO):
Withinour--theexistingSPGportfolioafterspin?
Cait linBurrows (Analyst-GoldmanSachs):
Thatiscorrect.
DavidSimon(Chairman,CEO):
Iwouldsaynotdramaticallydifferentintermsoftenantdemand.Imean,sure,thetop20centersalwaysaregoingtohavesomewhatmoredemandthanthenext20.Butgenerallynothing--nogreatvariationthere.
Cait linBurrows (Analyst-GoldmanSachs):
Okay,great.Thanks.
Operator:
RichMoore,RBCCapitalMarkets.
RichMoore (Analyst-RBCCapitalMarkets):
IwantedtojustmakesureIunderstood--theredevelopmentpipelineyouguyshaverightnowisprettymuchcompletedin2015and2016.Butthenasyoulookforwardwhatkindofannualspendinredevelopmentdoyouthinkyouwillhaveasyougooutto2017,2018,etc.?
DavidSimon(Chairman,CEO):
Well,Rich,the2.1isdirectlyfromour8-K.Andthatisonlyprojectsthatareactuallystartedandthencorporatelyapprovedthroughourapprovalprocess.So,forinstance,itdoesn'tincludeClearforkyet,itdoesn'tincludeOysterBay,itdoesn'tincludeCopley,itdoesn'tincludeawholehostofotherdeals.
Sothenumberthatwehavekindofsaidgenerallyisaround$1billionayearfortheforeseeablefuture.AndIstill,Rich,wouldgenerallysaythatisprobablyaprettygoodnumber.
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Industry:RealEstateEventDescription:Q4 2014 EarningsCall
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RichMoore (Analyst-RBCCapitalMarkets):
Okay,good.Soyoufeelcomfortablewiththat,thatisgreat.Thankyou.AndthenIalsowantedtoaskusuallyearlyintheyear,maybebythemiddleoftheyear,you'veprettymuchcoveredalotoftheleasing,Rick,thatisgoingtohappenfortheyear.So2015bymiddleoftheyearwouldprettymuchbehandled.
AndIamcuriouswithoccupancyashighasitis,isthatmovingup?Imeanareyoudonewithmoreleasingatthispointintheyearfor2015thanyoumightnormallybe?
RickSokolov(President,COO):
Weareaheadthisyearoverlastyear.Weareabout65%throughourrenewalsin2015.Andwehaveobviouslymadeamajorfocusongettingasfaroutaheadofitaswecansowecanberesponsive.Andbecauseouroccupancyishigherthosetenantsthatarelookingforspaceunderstandthatiftheydon'tcommitsomeoneelseisgoingtogetthespace.Sothatobviouslyisalsoencouragingpeopletoacceleratetheirdecision-makingaswell.
RichMoore (Analyst-RBCCapitalMarkets):
Okay,good,gotyou.Sonormallythistimeofyearyouwouldbemaybehalfdone,somethinglikethatorless?
RickSokolov(President,COO):
Yes.
RichMoore (Analyst-RBCCapitalMarkets):
Okay.Allright,good.Thankyou,guys.
Operator:
ScottO'Donnell,MetLife.
Scot t O'Donnell(Analyst-MetLife):
Youguyshavebeenagreatstewardofthebalancesheetforbondholders.IguessIhavetoaskthequestion,whythecommercialpaperprogram?Howdoesthatmakesensefromastrategicstandpoint?Andcanyouexplainthestrategyaroundexposingyourselftotheshort-termmoneymarkets?
AndyJuster(EVP,CFO):
Well,Scott,it'sAndy,wegobackalongtime,asyouknow.Wehavegota$70billionequitymarketcap,itislessthan1%ofourtotalmarketcapandithelpsus--oneofthethingswearelookingatisaswesignificantlywanttorolldownourdebtcostwehaveahugeopportunityoverthenexttwoyears.
Asouraverageinterestrateisabout5.65%onthe$5billionofdebtthatcomesdue,itallowsustolookatpotentially,one,preparingsomeofoursecuredebtwherewecanborrowatwasit15to16basispointsandthereisabsolutelynorisk.
Italsodiversifiesourinvestorbase,wehavehadsignificantstronginvestorsandthereisreallynoriskbecauseitislikeintheoldendays,asyouknow,whenweusedtohavethebanksbidonacompetitivebidlinenowwejustreplacethatwith,asyouknow,commercialpaper.
Andtheregulationsinthemarketisfar,fardifferentthanitwas5,10yearsago.Sowehadnoproblem.WestartedinOctober,thereweresomevolatilemarkets.Wehadabsolutelynoproblemrollingoveranyofour,ifyouwould,europaperorourUSDpaperandit's,again,somethinginasmallwaythatwearegoingto
CompanyName:SimonPropertyGroupIncCompanyTicker:SPGSector:Financial
Industry:RealEstateEventDescription:Q4 2014 EarningsCall
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continuetodoandtobeproactiveandopportunistic.
Scot t O'Donnell(Analyst-MetLife):
SoIgetthat.SoyouareviewingitmorefromatransactionalflexibilitystandpointratherthanastrategicpartofyourcapitalstructurebecauseIthinkwehavetalkedovertheyearsaboutthis.Youguyshavelong-termassetsandyoutendtowanttofundthemlong-term,right?
AndyJuster(EVP,CFO):
Yes,absolutely.Andthatiswhywesignificantlyincreasedouraverageweightedtermaswereducedtherateandwillcontinuetobethecase.
DavidSimon(Chairman,CEO):
Okay.
Scot t O'Donnell(Analyst-MetLife):
Thankyou.
DavidSimon(Chairman,CEO):
Ithink,anyotherquestionsoperator?
DavidSimon(Chairman,CEO):
Atthistimetherearenofurtherquestions.
DavidSimon(Chairman,CEO):
Thankyou,ma'am.Thankyou,everybody,haveahealthyNewYear,aHappyNewYearandwewilltalktoyousoon.
Operator:
Thankyouforjoiningtoday'sconference.Thatconcludesthepresentation.
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