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Page 1: SME eSmart - CFSCcfsc.com.bb/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/newswire... · Dazs rum and raisin ice cream. Main Event earns $63m in revenues from weddings Main Event Entertainment Limited,
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SME eSmart- Powering Your Potential Find out more today by calling: (868)-627-8879 ext. 228 or email: [email protected]

▪ Saint Lucia Electricity Services Limited’s rating reaffirmed at CariBBB ▪ TSTT’s existing rating reaffirmed and new proposed bond issue rating assigned at CariA ▪ Jamaica Public Service Company Limited’s initial rating assigned at CariBBB+

▪ Endeavour Holdings Limited’s rating reaffirmed at CariA+

▪ Island Car Rentals Limited’s initial rating assigned at jmBBB+

▪ The Pegasus Hotels of Guyana Limited’s rating upgraded to CariBBB

▪ The National Gas Company of Trinidad and Tobago’s rating reaffirmed at CariAA+

▪ Home Mortgage Bank’s rating reaffirmed at CariA

▪ NCB Cayman Limited’s rating reaffirmed at CariA

▪ NiQuan Energy Trinidad Limited’s initial rating assigned at CariA+

▪ Government of the Republic of Trinidad and Tobago’s rating reaffirmed at CariAA+

▪ NCB Financial Group Limited’s rating reaffirmed at CariA-

▪ National Commercial Bank Jamaica Limited’s rating reaffirmed at CariBBB+

OUR UPCOMING WORKSHOPS!

Restructuring Problem Credits 6th & 7th February 2019 Jamaica

Benefits of a CariCRIS Rating for a Bond Issue:

Latest Rating Actions by CariCRIS

• Widen the range of possible investors to ensure success of the issue

• Help investors to determine if the bond issue is a wise investment

• Provide a clear understanding of the creditworthiness of the issuing firm

and the factors that will impact its performance

DATE

WORKSHOP

COUNTRY

Please visit our website at www.caricris.com for the detailed Rationales on these and other ratings

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CariCRIS’ credit ratings and daily Newswire can also be found on the Bloomberg Professional Service.

REGIONAL

Trinidad and Tobago

Fishermen continue demonstration

FISHERMEN continue to stage protest action against the Government's

decision to stop the sale of regular gas.

Guardian Holdings Limited adds 5.5%

LAST week saw 2,120,567 shares traded on the first-tier market, which was

a significant increase of 333.00 per cent on the previous week's a total of

489,749 shares crossing the floor.

Pan Trinbago moves into new office...but no $$ to pay pan players, says

president

TWO months after being served with an eviction notice, Pan Trinbago

received the keys to a new office yesterday. However, pannists are still

operating without any money.

Barbados

Consumers to pay less for gasoline and diesel

Effective midnight tonight, the price of gasoline and diesel will decrease,

while that of kerosene and liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) will remain

unchanged.

Ross University opens Barbados campus

The state-of-the-art Ross University School of Medicine was officially

opened last night at the Lloyd Erskine Sandiford Centre.

Jamaica

JN Bank to restart MAC projects in 2019

JN Bank, through the JN Foundation, has promised to re-establish its JN

Bank Member Advisory Council (MAC) in 2019, to provide its members

with direct engagement and participate in the identification and

selection of projects to positively impact their communities, and ultimately

the wider society.

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Jamaica continued

Hampden Estate prepares for greater rum demand

Hampden is in fact used by a number of other Jamaican rums to flavour

their own brands. Many rums marketed as Jamaican rum which are

manufactured in foreign countries also utilise Hampden for the same

purpose. It is used in the production of colognes and perfumes such as

Chanel and in a wide variety of foods such as chocolate and Haagen

Dazs rum and raisin ice cream.

Main Event earns $63m in revenues from weddings

Main Event Entertainment Limited, the event management, production,

promotions, and digital signage solutions company, earned more than

$63 million from the wedding market in its first year of venturing into that

market.

Realtors expect increase in property sales this year

Realtors say they expect an increase in demand for first-time homebuyers

in 2019 even as they indicate that those who rent homes are experiencing

harder times as property owners list with Airbnb, the online community

marketplace that connects people looking to rent their homes with those

who are looking for accommodation.

Guyana

Natural Resource Fund Bill not perfect

Since the passage of the Natural Resource Fund Bill, there have been

concerns that the advice of international and local experts on the

loopholes contained therein for risky investments were not properly

addressed. But Finance Minister, Winston Jordan has addressed these

concerns by stating that there is no such thing as a perfect Bill.

The Bahamas

Bahamas’ GDP Per Person Lower Than Pre-Recession Era

The Bahamas’ real GDP per capita is lower now than it was 11 years ago

before the start of the global recession, the Inter-American Development

Bank (IDB) has revealed.

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The Bahamas continued

Business Licences Calculated on Vat Revenue From 2020

Business Licence fees will be based on “positive VAT-rated revenue” from

2020 onwards in a move that “removes some of the ambiguity”

surrounding how they are calculated.

Government Breaking Down ‘Offshore’ Banking Divide

The Government yesterday broke down the divide between Bahamian

domestic and international financial institutions to meet European Union

(EU) demands.

St. Kitts and Nevis

St Kitts-Nevis opposition reaffirms pledge to review and revoke economic

citizenships granted illegally

Following a statement last month by the leader of the opposition, former

prime minister Dr Denzil Douglas, to the effect that he will revoke the

citizenship of any applicant who is found to been illegally granted St Kitts

and Nevis citizenship by investment (CBI), a spokesperson for the

opposition St Kitts-Nevis Labour Party confirmed to Caribbean News Now

on Friday that this was indeed its policy position if and when it is returned

to government.

Haiti

2018, a dark year for the agricultural sector

In his message of the new year, Agronomist Talot Bertrand, Secretary

General of the Haitian NGO "Promotion for Development" (PROMODEV),

an organization committed to sustainable development in Haiti said that

2018 had been a dark year among others in terms of loss of human

resources recalling that "[...] 6 Engineers-Agronomists, 2 senior executives

and the former Administrator of the Ministry of Agriculture, Gabriel Pierre-

Louis have died".

Low demand for agricultural labour

According to the latest report from the Famine Early Warning Systems

Network (FEWS NET) at this time of year, agricultural activities are

dominated by the summer/fall harvest and preparations for the winter

campaign.

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Haiti continued

Deterioration of food security at the national level

Following the drought that hit Haiti in June 2018 especially in the North, the

Northeast, Grand'Anse, South-East and West, the National Coordination of

Food Security (CNSA), conducted during the month of October 2018, a

National Survey on Food and Nutritional Security (ENSAN) in collaboration

the World Food Program (WFP) and the United Nations Food Fund (FAO)

among others.

Antigua and Barbuda

Prime minister threatens compulsory acquisition of Scotiabank Antigua

Compulsory acquisition is one of the measures being considered by the

Prime Minister, Gaston Browne, as he continues to demand that the

owners of Scotiabank revisit the sale of the Antigua branch to Republic

Financial Holdings Limited of Trinidad and Tobago.

Gov’t extends Christmas Barrel Initiative

The government is extending the Christmas Barrel Initiative by one week to

accommodate barrels which arrived in the country on time, but are yet to

be processed by the Customs and Excise Division. The highly anticipated

incentive usually takes effect from December 1 until January 4.

Local economist disapproves of new tax

Local economist Everett Christian says the intended 10 percent “windfall

tax” to fund the fourth landed campus of the University of West Indies

(UWI) in Antigua is a bad move.

APUA to acquire sub-sea cable in multi-million-dollar investment

Antigua Public Utilities Authority (APUA) will be allocating EC $80 million

towards the purchase and installation of its own sub-sea cable. This

revelation was made by Prime Minister Gaston Browne during his New

Year’s address to the nation. “APUA will invest $80 million to acquire its

own subsea cable and to democratize access to the internet through the

provision of more affordable, reliable and faster internet service to

residents,” he stated.

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Antigua and Barbuda continued

Post Office workers vow to keep up protest

As the first working day of the new year got underway yesterday, over 200

workers at the General Post Office staged a sit-in because, according to

them, promises made in an agreement last November had not been

kept. The understanding between the workers and the Public Works

Department (PWD) after they had protested poor working conditions, was

that they would be temporarily relocated until the problems at their

workplace on lower High Street had been resolved.

British Virgin Islands

Gov’t spends over $20M on consultancies in last 6 years, BVI Airways the

single largest spend

The government of the Virgin Islands, inclusive of its statutory bodies,

expended more than $20 million on consultancy services alone in the last

six years.

Dominica

Dominica Business Forum to hold consultation to help private sector

“regain its voice”

The Dominica Business Forum Inc. plans to provide an opportunity for the

private sector to break its silence on “numerous issues relating to the

economic development of Dominica.”

End of Year Gifts for Dominica’s Tourism Industry

The Discover Dominica Authority is pleased to inform of the end of year

gifts that the local Industry has received. Over the past few weeks,

various stakeholders and destination Dominica have received good news.

Dominicans continue to benefit from post-Maria work of IOM

Dominicans continue to benefit from the work of The International

Organization for Migration (IOM) which has been assisting with the

recovery and reconstruction of the island after the destructive passage of

hurricane Maria in September, 2017.

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The Dominican Republic

The country achieves record international reserves of US $ 7.6 billion

International reserves have reached an unprecedented level in the

economic history of the Dominican Republic, reaching US $ 7.6 billion,

taking out free zones, according to the latest official data.

St. Vincent and the Grenadines

EU signs EC$18 million road programme with St Vincent and the

Grenadines

The European Union has signed a financing agreement of EC$18.35 million

(€5.98 million) with the government of St Vincent and the Grenadines for a

road management and rural road improvement programme. This

programme will be implemented by the Caribbean Development Bank

(CDB) under an agreement with the European Union.

INTERNATIONAL

United States

Dollar skids as U.S. rate pause bets weigh

The dollar weakened on Monday on growing bets the U.S. central bank

will halt its multi-year rate hike cycle, with the euro and Norwegian crown

leading gains among its rivals.

Stock futures flat after Wall Street's strongest surge in new year

U.S. stock index futures were little changed on Monday after Wall Street’s

biggest one-day surge in the new year on Friday, as focus shifted to the

latest round of trade talks between the United States and China.

United Kingdom

UK new car sales slump ahead of Brexit "existential threat"

British new car sales in 2018 fell at their fastest rate since the global

financial crisis a decade ago, hit by the collapse in demand for diesel, as

the industry body warned of the existential threat to the sector posed by

Brexit.

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United Kingdom continued

Sterling gains ahead of parliamentary debate on Brexit deal

Sterling rose to a one-week high on Monday as traders prepared for the

British parliament to reconvene this week and debate Prime Minister

Theresa May’s Brexit withdrawal agreement.

Europe

Euro zone bond yields inch down, French/German bond yield gap above

50 bps

Most government bond yields in the euro area inched lower on Monday,

reflecting weaker stock markets, but held above lows hit last week, in a

sign that investors’ worst fears about the global growth outlook have

abated for now.

European shares fall into red as worries about economic growth derail

rally

European shares fell into negative territory on Monday, giving up earlier

gains as lingering worries about the euro zone economy, Brexit and the

U.S. government shutdown offset hopes for a truce between Washington

and Beijing over trade.

China

China's FX reserves fall in 2018 as slowing economy, trade war weigh

China’s annual foreign exchange reserves fell for the third time in four

years in 2018 as the yuan came under strong selling pressure from the

cooling economy and escalating Sino-U.S. trade tensions.

Japan

Nikkei tracks sharp Wall Street gains; machinery, exporters attract gains

Japan’s Nikkei rose on Monday, tracking sharp gains on Wall Street as

dovish comments from the Federal Reserve chairman helped ease some

of the market’s worries about a slowdown in global growth.

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India

India's central bank likely to pay bumper interim dividend to help Modi

government

India’s central bank, having changed leadership last month following a

clash with the government, is likely to transfer an interim dividend of 300-

400 billion rupees ($4.32 billion-$5.8 billion) to the government by March,

according to three sources with direct knowledge of the matter.

Global

Central banks, U.S. employers aid world stock recovery

A set of strong employment data in the United States, decisive action from

the Chinese central bank and dovish messages from U.S. Federal Reserve

chief Jerome Powell combined to push world stocks further off recent lows

on Monday.

Oil prices gain 2 percent, extending rally from December lows

Oil prices rose by 2 percent on Monday, extending a rally from

December’s 18-month lows with support from OPEC production cuts and

steadying share markets.

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Ross University opens Barbados campus Sunday 6th January, 2019 – Barbados Today

The state-of-the-art Ross University School of Medicine was officially

opened last night at the Lloyd Erskine Sandiford Centre.

Prime Minister Mia Mottley, Minister of Education Santia Bradshaw,

president of parent company Adtalem Global Education, Lisa Wardell,

Dean William Owen Jr and Vice President of Operations Carey James,

university officials, Members of Parliament and business stakeholders were

present as the 40-year-old institution opened its new permanent campus

in Barbados with classes expected to begin on Monday.

The LESC-based institution consists of a digital anatomy and medical

imaging lab, living anatomy lab, clinical lab space with SimMan 3G

advanced patient simulator.

RUSM Barbados is one of five accredited simulation campuses to be

established outside of the United States. It also has 14 small group

classrooms on campus, a digital library, faculty lounge, faculty meeting

space, faculty work space which is shared space with a collaborative

open floor plan.

According to Prime Minister Mottley, the LESC facility had been restored to

its educational purpose.

During her feature address, Mottley urged Barbadians to embrace the

1350 students like their own.

“Let us embrace the children of Ross recognizing that they are our

children, they are our partners and our family. Let them understand what

a wonderful place this country will be,” she said.

She assured that her Government will be looking to make good on its

promise of a partnership with Adtalem’s for-profit nursing school

Chamberlain University and the Barbados Community College.

“There is a cry across the world for nurses, good nurses . . . We have to

reset the things that our population see as possible opportunities for

careers and regrettably many young girls have not seen the nursing

profession as that profession that can create that career and vocation for

them as their grandparents and great-grandparents have done,” said

Mottley.

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“The ability of the Caribbean to continue to produce large numbers of

nurses is constrained only by our capacity to educate them and we stand

here today ready to work on that partnership with you to significantly

expand the number of nurses that we can produce not to send out to the

rest of the world and immigrants but to send to the rest of the world for

sale of services for 6, 9 ,10 months never forgetting where you come from

and where you might return to,” she continued.

The construction projects for the living and academic facilities has

provided work for over 1,000 Barbadians and the annual economic

benefit of the RUSM is estimated to be between US$55 to 65 million.

President of Adtalem Lisa Wardell, revealed that to date there are 40 new

permanent employees in Barbados with an anticipated number of 150 for

the new year.

While welcoming RUSM flagship to Barbados, Minister of Education,

Technological and Vocational Training, Santia Bradshaw also expressed

her anticipation at the future collaborations that her Ministry and the

University will embark on to ensure high quality education.

“While the economic impact may be apparent, their commitment to

collaborative research and development alongside our local tertiary

institutions aligns well with our strategic goal to wider access to allied

health programmes in Barbados,” Bradshaw said.

“Ross University School of Medicine will certainly contribute to Barbados

moving forward the modernization of community health care structures,

while at the same time, becoming a stronger competitor in the global

health education arena,” she added.

<< Back to news headlines >>

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EU signs EC$18 million road programme with St Vincent and the

Grenadines Friday 4th January, 2019 – Caribbean News Now

The European Union has signed a financing agreement of EC$18.35 million

(€5.98 million) with the government of St Vincent and the Grenadines for a

road management and rural road improvement programme. This

programme will be implemented by the Caribbean Development Bank

(CDB) under an agreement with the European Union.

The overall objective of the intervention is to enhance the quality of and

to improve climate change resilience of the road network in St Vincent

and the Grenadines, in particular rural roads. Under the initiative

approximately ten kilometres of road will be repaired and upgraded, and

a national road maintenance database established. The database will be

instrumental in the efficient and proper maintenance of roads in the

country in general and also at times of damage from hurricanes and

flooding. Such efficient maintenance is expected to contribute to the

stimulation of economic activities in rural communities and reduced

vulnerability to climate change.

To reduce the adverse effects of natural disasters in infrastructure, and

therefore in rural roads contributing to their sustainability, the road

maintenance programme will incorporate disaster risk reduction

measures, such as preventative maintenance, appropriate zoning, hazard

mapping, as well as flood and landslide mitigation.

The EU welcomed the CDB’s determination to implement the project,

especially with their experienced gained from disaster risk reduction

focused on road rehabilitation in the region. This first experience in road

maintenance, using high intensity labour methods (HILO) and green

techniques, will be the pilot for eventual new interventions in other

countries on which agriculture is one of the economy’s pillars.

The European Union Delegation will continue to support St Vincent and

the Grenadines’ efforts to create a resilient road network that will ensure

sustained and inclusive economic growth of the agricultural sector in the

long term.

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The EU has provided development aid to St Vincent and the Grenadines

since the 8th European Development Fund (EDF). The overall programme

budget for the current 11th EDF intervention is approximately EC$41.42

million (€13.5M) until 2020, with EC$18.40 million (€6M) earmarked as B-

envelop. St Vincent and the Grenadines also benefits from EU assistance

channelled through thematic interventions. Among others, the most

important is the Banana Accompanying Measures (BAM), with an

EC$30.46 million allocation (€9.93M), to be implemented in five years

(finishing in 2023).

<< Back to news headlines >>

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The country achieves record international reserves of US $ 7.6 billion Friday 4th January, 2019 – Dominican Today

International reserves have reached an unprecedented level in the

economic history of the Dominican Republic, reaching US $ 7.6 billion,

taking out free zones, according to the latest official data.

The amount represents more than four months of imports.

It is estimated that this extraordinary level of reserves, in addition to

marking a historic milestone, will contribute to the stability of the foreign

exchange market and will allow it to successfully face any external shock

that could arise in the economy, as a result of an anticipated global and

regional slowdown.

Last week, the country’s monetary authorities reported that some US $ 30

billion in foreign exchange had entered the economy.

“Foreign currency revenues to the Dominican Republic during the year

2018, for exports of goods, tourism, remittances, direct foreign investment

and other services revenues would be around US $ 30 billion, facilitating

the accumulation of Gross International Reserves, which reached US $ 7,2

billion as of December 26, 2018, equivalent to 4.1 months of imports,

excluding free zones, “says the preliminary report on the economy’s

behaviour during 2018.

The flow of foreign currency contributes to the exchange rate stability that

at the end of last year had only depreciated by 3.8%, a percentage lower

than that registered in the other countries of the Latin American and

Caribbean region.

The external sectors, such as tourism, remittances, and exports, maintain a

remarkable dynamism, which also contributes to closing the year with a

lower current account deficit in the balance of payments.

Tourism alone, entered US $ 7.6 billion in 2018, for a growth of 6%;

remittances amounted to US $ 6,5 billion, for an increase of 10.4%, while

foreign direct investment is estimated to end around US $ 2.5 billion at the

end of 2018.

<< Back to news headlines >

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Central banks, U.S. employers aid world stock recovery Monday 7th January, 2019 – Reuters

A set of strong employment data in the United States, decisive action from

the Chinese central bank and dovish messages from U.S. Federal Reserve

chief Jerome Powell combined to push world stocks further off recent lows

on Monday.

The resumption of talks between the United States and China on tariffs

also helped bring back some optimism to a market battered in recent

weeks by trade tensions and a weakening global growth outlook.

European shares held on to Friday’s strong gains after a stellar opening for

Asian bourses, pushing MSCI’s world equity index, which tracks shares in 47

countries, to its highest level in 2-1/2 weeks. It is now 6 percent higher than

its December trough.

“It is a reminder that central banks still have some firepower to deal with

lower growth prospects, and perhaps what we are also getting some

return of liquidity as investors return from the holidays and the ability to

think things through,” said Investec economist Philip Shaw.

He warned, however, that there is continued uncertainty about global

growth, trade talks between the United States and China and U.S.

monetary policy.

“There are a number of questions that remain unanswered,” Shaw said.

On Friday, U.S. non-farm payrolls data showed the world’s largest

economy added 312,000 net new jobs in December, while wages rose at

a brisk annual pace of 3.2 percent, both way above expectations.

This, along with a 100-basis point cut in China’s bank reserve requirement

ratios and comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell that the U.S. central

bank would be flexible in its approach in 2019, has been the main driver

for the recovery.

The boost to stock markets saw them recapture all the year’s losses and

push into positive territory for 2019 so far, with Wall St’s main indices closing

up more than 3 percent by the close on Friday.

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After gains of more than 2 percent in Shanghai and HK on Friday before

the U.S. jobs data and Powell’s comments, both markets added almost 1

percent more on Monday. Japan’s Nikkei reversed Friday’s plunge to gain

2.4 percent.

European stocks were more or less flat across the board, though mining

stocks .SXPP surged 1.1 percent after the reserve requirement ratio cut

from China boosted metals prices, especially steel and iron ore.

This renewed optimism saw U.S. Treasury yields rise off recent lows, and

two-year yields move back above the federal funds rate to 2.485 percent.

That is nearly 50 bps below the November peak, however, suggesting

there is still plenty of nervousness around growth prospects for the U.S.

economy.

“Clearly markets are now pricing in the risk of a cut in 2019,” said Shaw of

Investec. “That’s a big shift given until relatively recently when we’ve been

focusing on rate hikes.”

BUYING THE DIP?

Some of the stocks recovery may be attributed to investors buying stocks

once again in the belief that the market had bottomed out or had

overshot in pricing in global risks.

In any case, Friday was a strong session for Wall Street, with the Dow .DJI

recording gains of 3.29 percent, while the S&P 500 .SPX jumped 3.43

percent and the Nasdaq .IXIC 4.26 percent.

Goldman Sachs researchers expect a bounce in equity markets in 2019.

“If, as we expect, global economies slow down in 2019 but avoid

recession, and U.S. interest rates peak, there is likely to be a risk rally,” they

said in a note.

Analysts at Bank of America Merrill Lynch said that with 2,055 of 2,767 U.S.

and global companies in a bear market, it might be time to buy.

“Our Bull & Bear Indicator has fallen to an ‘extreme bear’ reading,

triggering the first ‘buy’ signal for risk assets since June 2016,” they wrote in

a note.

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The U.S. dollar -- which served as a safe haven in 2018 -- fell broadly, with

the euro edging up to $1.1442 EUR= and the dollar index .DXY easing 0.3

percent to 95.90.

The currency could not even hold early gains on the yen, lapsing back to

108.21 JPY=.

Gold benefited from the diminished risk of U.S. rate hikes and rose half a

percent to $1,291.12 XAU=, just off a six-month high.

Oil prices firmed after Brent bounced about 9.3 percent last week. The

crude benchmark LCOc1 rose 118 cents on Monday to $58.24 a barrel,

while U.S. crude futures CLc1 gained 93 cents to $48.89.

<< Back to news headlines >>

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Oil prices gain 2 percent, extending rally from December lows Monday 7th January, 2019 – Reuters

Oil prices rose by 2 percent on Monday, extending a rally from

December’s 18-month lows with support from OPEC production cuts and

steadying share markets.

Oil has gained nearly 12 percent since last Monday, its biggest week-on-

week rally in two years.

Brent crude LCOc1 was up $1.13 at $58.19 a barrel by 0940 GMT, rising

from December’s slide below $50, it lowest level since July 2017. U.S. crude

CLc1 rose 84 cents to $48.80 a barrel.

“Momentum is coming back into the market from very depressed price

levels,” Petromatrix strategist Olivier Jakob said. “We’ve had five

consecutive days of price gains already, so what you have today is a

continuation of that.”

The oil prices are drawing support from an agreed supply cut by the

Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, well as some non-

member countries such as Russia and Oman.

OPEC oil supply fell in December by 460,000 barrels per day (bpd), to

32.68 million bpd, a Reuters survey found last week, led by cuts from top

exporter Saudi Arabia.

The aim of the production cut is to rein in a surge in global supply, driven

mostly by the United States, where production grew by nearly a fifth to

over 11 million bpd in 2018.

Record crude oil production C-OUT-T-EIA has also pushed up U.S.

inventories, which rose by nearly 17 percent in 2018 to their highest in well

over a year, according to weekly data by the Energy Information

Administration (EIA) on Friday.

More upbeat equity markets also offered support on the back of

expectations that this week’s trade talks between the United States and

China would ease a trade dispute.

The row has added to concerns about an economic downturn, which

would hurt demand for oil.

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Goldman Sachs said in a note it had downgraded its average Brent crude

oil forecast for 2019 to $62.50 a barrel from $70 due to “the strongest

macro headwinds since 2015”.

Societe Generale cut its 2019 oil price forecast for Brent by $9 to $64 a

barrel and also reduced its forecast for U.S. light crude by $9 to to $57 a

barrel.

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Euro zone bond yields inch down, French/German bond yield gap above

50 bps Monday 7th January, 2019 – Reuters

Most government bond yields in the euro area inched lower on Monday,

reflecting weaker stock markets, but held above lows hit last week, in a

sign that investors’ worst fears about the global growth outlook have

abated for now.

Having fallen on concern about the outlook for the world economy in the

first two trading days of 2019, European and U.S. bond yields jumped on

Friday after data showed stronger-than-expected U.S. jobs growth in

December and Federal Reserve chief Jerome Powell said the Fed will be

patient and sensitive to market risks.

There was some support for euro zone bonds on Monday after European

stock markets weakened as caution set in ahead of Chinese/U.S. trade

talks. Still, the general tone was one of reflection after last week’s yield

swings, analysts said.

In Germany, the euro zone’s benchmark bond issuer, 10-year bond yields

dipped one basis point on the day to 0.20 percent — holding above more

than two-year lows close to 0.15 percent hit last week.

“From a very short-term perspective, it’s not all complete doom and

gloom, but at around 20 basis points, the Bund yield levels suggest there is

a lot of scepticism about the economic outlook, and we have had

weaker data from Germany again today,” said DZ Bank rates strategist

Christian Lenk.

Data showed German industrial orders fell more than expected in

November.

The market’s worst fears about the global economic outlook, which have

led to aggressive repricing of the rates outlook, nevertheless appear to

have subsided.

Money market futures in the euro zone pointed to a roughly 45 percent

chance of 10 basis point rate hike by the European Central Bank by the

end of 2019, up from less than a 30 percent chance last week.

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Most yields on higher-rated bonds in the bloc were slightly lower on the

day except for France, where 10-year bond yields were a touch higher at

0.70 percent.

That pushed the gap between French and German bond yields above

the 50-bps barrier and its widest level since April 2017.

French bonds have underperformed their German counterparts in recent

weeks following violent street demonstrations in France that have

prompted the government to raise public spending.

“The protests are definitely what got the move in the spread going in the

first place, but there’s also supply dynamics coming into play,” said KBC

rates strategist Mathias van der Jeugt.

The Netherlands, Austria, Germany, France and Italy are all expected to

sell bonds soon, in what is expected to be one of the busiest auction

weeks of the year.

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China's FX reserves fall in 2018 as slowing economy, trade war weigh Monday 7th January, 2019 – Reuters

China’s annual foreign exchange reserves fell for the third time in four

years in 2018 as the yuan came under strong selling pressure from the

cooling economy and escalating Sino-U.S. trade tensions.

Depreciation pressure on the yuan is likely to persist this year as Beijing is

expected to roll out more policy easing measures to reduce the risk of a

sharper slowdown.

But a test of the yuan’s decade lows that was feared by global financial

markets just months ago may be less of a risk, if analysts are correct in

forecasting the U.S. dollar’s long rally is drawing to a close.

China’s foreign exchange reserves - the world’s largest - fell by $67.24

billion last year to $3.073 trillion, central bank data showed on Monday.

That compared with a $129.4 billion increase in 2017 to $3.14 trillion.

In December, reserves rose by $11 billion, after a rise of $8.6 billion in

November. The latest gain was slightly above forecasts of $8 billion by

economists in a Reuters poll.

The country’s foreign exchange regulator attributed the increase to

valuation effects due to the appreciation of non-dollar currencies and

increases in prices of major countries’ bonds held by China.

Reserves are likely to remain generally stable in 2019, the State

Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE) said in a statement.

UNDER PRESSURE

In a rare respite last year, the yuan rebounded 1.3 percent against the

dollar in December as the greenback faltered and Washington and

Beijing agreed to resume negotiations to end their bitter trade dispute.

But the Chinese currency still fell 5.3 percent for 2018 as a whole, its fourth

annual loss in five.

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Still, the risk of heavy capital outflows from the cooling economy seem to

have been largely contained last year, thanks to timely interventions by

authorities in currency markets, tougher capital controls adopted in the

last downturn in 2014-2015, and a sudden shift in expectations for U.S.

policy tightening.

But even if the dollar falters as expected, the yuan faces the same key

pressure points this year as last.

U.S. President Donald Trump has said talks toward a trade deal are

progressing well, but it is unclear if Beijing will yield to key U.S. demands

over trade imbalances, market access, and more protection for

intellectual property.

Failure could quickly reignite pressure on the yuan, as Trump has

threatened to proceed with a sharp U.S. tariff hike on Chinese goods and

Beijing is widely expected to retaliate.

The trade dispute between the world’s largest economies has already

disrupted the flow of hundreds of billions of dollars’ worth of goods and

stoked fears of a global economic slowdown.

DOMESTIC PRESSURES

Even if a trade agreement is reached soon, analysts say it would be no

panacea for China’s economy, which is expected to continue

decelerating in coming months.

China’s manufacturing activity contracted in December for the first time

in more than two years and key credit gauges are hovering around

record lows.

On Friday, the central bank said it was cutting the amount of cash banks

must hold in reserve for the fifth time in the past year, freeing up $116

billion for new lending.

Chinese authorities have been attempting to reduce pressure on the

yuan by pledging they will not resort to massive stimulus as they have in

the past. But some analysts believe more aggressive easing measures

such as rate cuts are possible if economic conditions deteriorate more

rapidly.

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Policymakers may also have to contend with a significant structural shift in

China’s global capital flows, as its current account is swinging from a

decades’ long surplus to deficit, potentially making the yuan exchange

rate more volatile.

“The PBOC appears to have sold only a small amount of foreign

exchange last month, suggesting that the renminbi has faced little

downward pressure recently,” Capital Economics said in a research note

after the reserves data.

“Pressure on the renminbi may return in the coming months, however,

given that we expect China’s economic growth to weaken further and

interest rates in China to fall further.”

The value of China’s gold reserves rose to $76.331 billion from $72.122

billion at end-November.

By volume, gold reserves rose to 59.560 million fine troy ounces at end-

December, the first increase since October 2016.

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Nikkei tracks sharp Wall Street gains; machinery, exporters attract gains Monday 7th January, 2019 – Reuters

Japan’s Nikkei rose on Monday, tracking sharp gains on Wall Street as

dovish comments from the Federal Reserve chairman helped ease some

of the market’s worries about a slowdown in global growth.

The Nikkei share average added 2.4 percent to 20,038.97, rebounding

from a sharp 2.3-percent drop on its first trading session this year on Friday.

The broader Topix was 2.8 percent higher at 1,512.53, with all of its 33

subsectors trading in positive territory.

Investors this week await quarterly earnings from companies whose

business years end in February and August. Companies in focus include

Fast Retailing, FamilyMart UNY Holdings and factory automation

machinery maker Yaskawa Electric Corp. Earnings from Yaskawa, which

has large exposure to China, will be of particular interest, as traders look

for any indication of how demand from China is faring, analysts said.

On Friday, risk appetite got a huge boost on a strong U.S. jobs report.

Sentiment also got a lift as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell sought to ease

market concerns about the risk of a slowdown, saying he would be

patient and flexible in policy decisions this year.

“The tone of Powell’s remarks was considerably more dovish than (the

tone) at the Fed’s open markets committee meeting in December,” said

Hisao Matsuura, chief equity strategist at Nomura Securities.

U.S. and Chinese officials are meeting for trade negotiations starting later

Monday, the first face-to-face talks of the year.

Late on Friday, China’s central bank announced a new round of policy

easing, which frees up around $116 billion for new lending.

The move helped lift appetite for Japanese firms exposed to China, such

as those included in the machinery and electric appliance subsectors on

the Topix, said Matsuura.

Shares of industrial machinery maker Komatsu Ltd, which has large

exposure to China, jumped 6.9 percent, and tractor maker Kubota Corp

gained 4.8 percent.

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Blue chip shares rose across the board, with Toyota Motor Corp tacking on

3.2 percent, Sony Corp up 3.6 percent, Nintendo rising 5.9 percent and

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group adding 2.3 percent.

Takeda Pharmaceutical soared 7.5 percent after releasing subscription

terms to issue new shares.

The announcement, which was in line with market expectations, brings

the company another step closer to completing its $59 billion takeover of

London-listed Shire.

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UK new car sales slump ahead of Brexit "existential threat" Monday 7th January, 2019 – Reuters

British new car sales in 2018 fell at their fastest rate since the global

financial crisis a decade ago, hit by the collapse in demand for diesel, as

the industry body warned of the existential threat to the sector posed by

Brexit.

Registrations dropped 6.8 percent last year to 2.37 million vehicles, the

largest fall since sales nosedived 11.3 percent in 2008, according to data

from the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT) showed.

A nearly 30 percent drop in demand for diesel was the most significant

factor in the decline. Diesel has been pummelled since the Volkswagen

emissions cheating scandal of 2015, prompting a crackdown and higher

levies.

But the industry also warned that Britain’s departure from the European

Union due at the end of March risks the future of a sector which employs

over 850,000 people and has been one of Britain’s few manufacturing

success stories since the 1980s.

“It’s still hard to see any upside to Brexit,” said SMMT Chief Executive Mike

Hawes.

“Everyone recognizes that Brexit is an existential threat to the UK

automotive industry and we hope a practical solution will prevail,” he

said, calling for lawmakers to back Prime Minister Theresa May’s deal to

guarantee a transition period.

Britain, the world’s fifth largest economy, is due to leave the globe’s

biggest trading bloc in just over 80 days with May’s agreement looking set

to be voted down, leading to a possible no deal Brexit and the imposition

of tariffs and customs checks.

Investment looks very likely to have fallen in 2018, the SMMT said, and sales

this year are forecast to drop again as the industry body warned a no-

deal Brexit would hit jobs.

“You’re not going to see immediate closure of plants but what you could

see is a reduction in production volumes and certainly, these are often

international companies who have alternatives,” said Hawes.

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After record highs in 2015 and 2016, sales fell in 2017 and some analysts

see car demand as a leading indicator which could be a harbinger for

future economic performance.

Britain’s economy slowed to a crawl at the end of 2018, the housing

market is stalling and lending to consumers growing at its slowest pace in

nearly four years, according to data released on Friday.

Diesel, which accounted for 48 percent of sales in 2016, fell to 42 percent

in 2017 and just 32 percent in 2018, mirroring a trend seen in many

European markets.

The rise in petrol sales and drop in diesel means the average CO2

emissions of new cars sold in Britain in 2018 rose just under 3 percent,

posing a headache for automakers who need to reduce levels to meet

stricter regulations.

New rules which came into force in September also impacted sales by

disrupting the supply of some models, the SMMT said.

Demand this year could also be distorted if Britons expect tariffs to be

introduced after Brexit, perhaps pushing up registrations in the first three

months of 2019.

“The fear of them might encourage some people to purchase in the first

quarter,” said Hawes. “The flip side of that is: ‘Well I don’t know what’s

going to happen to the economy if you have a no deal so I’ll wait and

see’.”

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European shares fall into red as worries about economic growth derail

rally Monday 7th January, 2019 – Reuters

European shares fell into negative territory on Monday, giving up earlier

gains as lingering worries about the euro zone economy, Brexit and the

U.S. government shutdown offset hopes for a truce between Washington

and Beijing over trade.

The pan-European STOXX 600 was down 0.5 percent at 1004 GMT, erasing

some of Friday’s stellar gains after strong U.S. jobs data and dovish

comments from the Federal Reserve chief.

Optimism about easing friction between the United States and China had

also lifted the mood, helping the index to its biggest daily gain since June

2016.

The swift swing into negative territory on Monday morning illustrated the

fragility of the gains as other worries returned to the fore.

The biggest gainers in Friday’s strong rally were some of Monday’s

laggards, with healthcare .SXDP and food and beverage stocks SX3P

falling 1.1 percent. The weaker U.S. dollar also weighed on those

companies with large international revenues.

Blowout U.S. data and Fed comments had “calmed some nerves” and

provided some psychological support to the market, said Lars Kreckel,

global equity strategist at Legal & General Investment Management.

On Friday, Powell said the Fed is not on a pre-set path of interest rate hikes

and that it will be sensitive to the downside risks markets are pricing in.

“We’re not seeing the overheating of the U.S. economy that we were

worried about,” said Kreckel.

Still, European equities remain out of favour, particularly after business

surveys last week pointed to slower growth.

On Friday, Bank of America Merrill Lynch’s “Bull & Bear” gauge of market

sentiment has fallen to 1.8, a level the U.S. bank’s strategists described as

“extreme bear” territory that has triggered a “buy” signal for equities.

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Sectors sensitive to the trade tensions were among the few gainers, with

basic resources stocks .SXPP up 0.4 percent and technology up 0.5

percent.

Chipmakers were also recovering from heavy losses last week after

Apple’s shock revenue warning. AMS (AMS.S) which supplies the iPhone

maker, was up 8 percent, topping the STOXX 600 after the chipmaker

announced a partnership with Face++. The shares lost almost a quarter of

their value on Thursday.

Broker research moved other stocks, with Dutch payments firm Adyen

(ADYEN.AS) among the top gainers after BAML upgraded it, while

Wirecard was up 1.8 percent after BAML also backed it.

On the downside, Centrica fell 3.9 percent after a Jefferies downgrade.

A JP Morgan downgrade pushed tyre makers and auto parts makers Pirelli

(PIRC.MI), Michelin (MICP.PA), Gestamp (GEST.MC) lower, adding further

gloom to the industry knocked by regulation and slowing Chinese sales.

The bank said it reckons the European autos are unlikely to re-rate in the

first half of the year.

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Sterling gains ahead of parliamentary debate on Brexit deal Monday 7th January, 2019 – Reuters

Sterling rose to a one-week high on Monday as traders prepared for the

British parliament to reconvene this week and debate Prime Minister

Theresa May’s Brexit withdrawal agreement.

The pound’s strength at the start of the week was largely down to dollar

weakness, with a recovery in global risk sentiment since Friday knocking

demand for the U.S. currency.

Traders expect the week two weeks to be highly volatile for sterling. A

vote on May’s Brexit deal - which she has said lawmakers must back if

Britain is to avoid a disorderly Brexit in March - will be held on Jan. 15

following the parliamentary debate, the BBC reported.

Mixed signs on the momentum in Britain’s economy continue to be

overshadowed by investors angst about the sort of Brexit Britain is headed

for.

While a majority of British lawmakers want to avoid a disorderly crash out

of the trading bloc, a majority are also opposed to May’s deal. The prime

minister postponed an earlier planned vote because she faced losing

heavily.

“For now, the prospect of getting the bill through seems no better than

when the last scheduled vote was postponed in December,” RBC’s chief

currency strategist Adam Cole said.

Sterling rose to as high as $1.2754, up 0.3 percent on the day, before

settling at $1.2740.

Against a broadly stronger euro the pound shed 0.3 percent to 89.845

pence.

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India's central bank likely to pay bumper interim dividend to help Modi

government Monday 7th January, 2019 – Reuters

India’s central bank, having changed leadership last month following a

clash with the government, is likely to transfer an interim dividend of 300-

400 billion rupees ($4.32 billion-$5.8 billion) to the government by March,

according to three sources with direct knowledge of the matter.

The amount would be three or four times the amount paid last year and

would help the government meet its fiscal deficit target, despite a shortfall

in revenue collections, most notably from a goods and services tax

introduced in 2017, and from divestments.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s government has been pushing the RBI for

more money ahead of what is expected to be a tight national election

due by May.

As a row flared over fears that the central bank’s independence was

being eroded, RBI governor Urjit Patel abruptly quit last month, and was

replaced by former finance ministry official Shaktikanta Das.

Aside from tensions over the dividend payout, the government has also

been critical of the RBI’s constraints on lending by state banks with high

levels of non-performing loans.

The rupee hit a session low of 69.80 against the U.S. dollar on Monday,

following the Reuters report on the interim dividend and impending

revenue shortfall.

The government and RBI have now selected a panel to look into the issue

around the sharing of the RBI’s reserves.

The RBI typically generates revenue from trading in bonds and currencies,

part of which goes toward building reserves, while the remainder is

transferred to the government in the form of a dividend.

The interim dividend for this financial year ending in March would be

decided by the RBI board separately and not by the six-member

committee formed to review the future dividend transfer policy, said the

sources, who asked not to be named as the discussions are private.

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“We are absolutely sure that an interim dividend of more than 300 billion

rupees would be paid before March end,” one of the sources told

Reuters.

The RBI did not respond to an email seeking comment, while the Finance

Ministry declined to comment.

Speaking with the media in New Delhi on Monday, Das repeatedly

declined to comment on the Reuters report, beyond saying that the

details would be shared once the RBI board made its decision.

This will be the second consecutive year in which the RBI has given the

government an interim dividend, ahead of an annual payout that it

normally gives the government in August, following the closing of the RBI’s

books in June.

The sum the government is pushing for this year is significantly more than

the 100-billion-rupee interim dividend it received last year. Following the

close of the RBI books last year, it paid the remaining dividend of 400

billion rupees in August 2018.

An interim payout before the end of March would take total transfers from

the RBI to 700-800 billion rupees for the government’s current fiscal year

ending March 31, higher than the previous record payment of 659 billion

rupees in 2014/15.

The RBI could make a final decision on the dividend before Finance

Minister Arun Jaitley presents the government’s budget on Feb. 1, two of

the sources said.

DELAYING TAX REFUNDS

The funds are crucial to meet the fiscal deficit target of 3.3 percent of the

GDP for the financial year ending in March, as the government’s revenue

shortfall may be as high as 1 trillion rupees, according to two of the

sources.

The government has also made supplementary spending requests to

parliament totalling 260 billion rupees, putting the fiscal deficit target

under more pressure.

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“The revenue gap we are assuming includes two major items —GST

collections shortfall and some shortfalls anticipated from the divestment

side,” one of the officials quoted above said.

The government expects to undershoot its 800 billion rupees divestment

target, possibly by 100 billion rupees. It also faces a revenue gap from GST

of between 1 trillion rupees to 1.4 trillion rupees, the official said.

The government is also planning to hold back tax refunds of some

corporates to be able to adjust the revenue gap to meet its fiscal deficit,

the second official said.

“We have plans to hold back tax refunds of some big corporates which

should give us a cushion of 1 trillion rupees,” said the second official.

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Consumers to pay less for gasoline and diesel Sunday 6th January, 2019 – Barbados Today

Effective midnight tonight, the price of gasoline and diesel will decrease,

while that of kerosene and liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) will remain

unchanged.

The price of gasoline will be adjusted from BDS $3.71 per litre to BDS $3.60

per litre, a reduction of 0.11 cents.

The price of diesel will decrease by 0.17 cents, moving from $3.17 per litre

to $3.00 per litre. Kerosene will continue to retail at $1.44 per litre.

Liquefied petroleum gas will continue to retail as adjusted at December 2,

2018. The LPG 100lb cylinder will be sold at $163.07, the 25lb cylinder at

$45.87, the 22lb cylinder at $40.53, and the 20lb cylinder at $36.84.

These price adjustments are in keeping with Government’s policy of

allowing retail prices to be reflective of those on the international market.

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Dollar skids as U.S. rate pause bets weigh Monday 7th January, 2019 – Reuters

The dollar weakened on Monday on growing bets the U.S. central bank

will halt its multi-year rate hike cycle, with the euro and Norwegian crown

leading gains among its rivals.

Even after last week’s strong U.S. jobs data for December, market

watchers believe the world’s biggest economy is losing momentum.

Comments by U.S. Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell have added to

expectations the central bank may adopt a more cautious outlook.

“The dollar is suffering from falling rate hike expectations and it should

remain weak in the coming days,” said Manuel Oliveri, a currency

strategist at Credit Agricole.

Against a basket of its rivals, the greenback fell a quarter of a percent to

95.95, nearing a 2-1/2-month low of 95.68 hit last week.

On Friday, Powell told the American Economic Association that the Fed is

not on a pre-set path of interest rate hikes and that it will be sensitive to

the downside risks markets are pricing in.

Money markets have priced out a U.S. rate hike this year and are even

pricing in a small probability of a rate cut in 2020. The Fed raised rates four

times in 2018.

Waning expectations of a rate hike boosted the euro with the single

currency rising by more than a third of a percent at $1.1437. The

Norwegian crown meanwhile strengthened by more than half a percent

to 8.58 crowns per dollar.

The dollar outperformed other currencies in 2018 due to the Fed being the

only major central bank to hike rates. If stays on hold in 2019, other

currencies such as the euro might benefit.

Derivative markets in the euro such as risk reversals — a gauge of calls to

puts — have steadily climbed to their highest levels in more than six

months as investors bet on more upside for the single currency.

News at the weekend of Chinese policy stimulus helped lift sentiment and

boost commodity-focused currencies such as the Australian dollar.

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After a slew of weaker-than-expected manufacturing data, Chinese

authorities on Friday cut reserve requirements for all banks by 100 basis

points. That will free up $116 billion for new lending as China tries to

reduce the risk of a pronounced fall in the pace of economic growth.

The Aussie. gained 0.28 percent to $0.7123.

The dollar advanced 0.2 percent versus the offshore yuan to 6.8483.

Financial markets are also optimistic about a meeting of U.S. officials and

their counterparts in Beijing this week, the first face-to-face talks since U.S.

President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping agreed on Dec.

1 to a 90-day truce in their trade war.

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Stock futures flat after Wall Street's strongest surge in new year Monday 7th January, 2019 – Reuters

U.S. stock index futures were little changed on Monday after Wall Street’s

biggest one-day surge in the new year on Friday, as focus shifted to the

latest round of trade talks between the United States and China.

The world’s two biggest economies kicked off talks in Beijing on Monday,

the first face-to-face meeting since U.S. President Donald Trump and

China’s President Xi Jinping in December agreed to a 90-day truce in the

trade war to help strike a deal.

After ominous signs the trade war was taking a toll on U.S. growth,

including Apple Inc’s (AAPL.O) sales warning and weak factory activity

data, investors are worried that corporate profits could take a bigger hit

than anticipated.

Trump said on Sunday that trade talks with China were going very well

and that weakness in the Chinese economy gave Beijing a reason to work

toward a deal.

A report from the Institute of Supply Management, due at 10:00 a.m. ET, is

expected to show that its index of services sector activity fell to a reading

of 59.0 in December from 60.7 in the previous month.

The report comes on the heels of ISM’s manufacturing index posting its

largest drop since the financial crisis in 2008, suggesting that slowing

growth in China and Europe could be spilling over into the United States.

At 7:14 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis 1YMc1 were up 8 points, or 0.03 percent. S&P

500 e-minis ESc1 were down 2.75 points, or 0.11 percent and Nasdaq 100

e-minis NQc1 were down 18.75 points, or 0.29 percent.

Wall Street’s main indexes rallied more than 3 percent on Friday after a

strong U.S. jobs data and comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome

Powell that the central bank would be patient and flexible with its

monetary policy.

Among premarket movers, General Electric Co’s shares (GM.N) rose 5.1

percent after reports that private equity firm Apollo Global Management

(APO.N) was working on an offer to acquire the company’s aircraft

leasing operations.

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Loxo Oncology Inc (LOXO.O) shares surged 65 percent after Eli Lilly and

Co (LLY.N) said it would buy the cancer drug developer for about $8

billion in cash. Lilly shares fell 2.9 percent.

PG&E Corp shares (PCG.N) slumped 18.6 percent after Reuters reported

that the California utility company was exploring filing some or all of its

business for bankruptcy protection as it faces billions of dollars in liabilities

related to fatal wildfires in 2018 and 2017.

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Natural Resource Fund Bill not perfect Monday 7th January, 2019 – Guyana Chronicle

Since the passage of the Natural Resource Fund Bill, there have been

concerns that the advice of international and local experts on the

loopholes contained therein for risky investments were not properly

addressed. But Finance Minister, Winston Jordan has addressed these

concerns by stating that there is no such thing as a perfect Bill.

The economist said, too, that what is not contained in the Bill can be

made into regulations. “And it is felt down the road that certain things

need to be addressed then it can be amended,” added the Minister.

Jordan also said that the Bill, which is expected to receive the President’s

assent this week, has received the Commonwealth’s stamp of approval.

In a correspondence seen by this newspaper, the Commonwealth

Economic Adviser of its Natural Resources Division, Dr. Daniel Wilde, said

that the passing of the Bill represents an important milestone in the

effective management of petroleum revenues.

Wilde said, “The Bill provides a strong basis for a Natural Resource Fund

that will transparently manage petroleum revenues and conform to the

Santiago principles. The Fund should also significantly contribute to

economic stabilization, a fair-intergenerational transfer of natural resource

wealth and a sustainable fiscal policy.”

He said, too, that it is very impressive that the Finance Ministry sought to

put the law in place for the Fund prior to petroleum production

commencing. Wilde noted that many countries have significant oil

production for many years before they establish such a fund.

Additionally, the Finance Minister reminded that one of the key

mechanisms in place to ensure the Fund managers do not engage in acts

of corruption is the Public Accountability and Oversight Committee.

This body which will see representatives from the Media, the Guyana Bar

Association and Transparency Institute Guyana Inc. (TIGI), will be

responsible for monitoring and evaluating the compliance of the

government and other relevant persons when it comes to the principles of

transparency; good governance; and international best practices,

including the Santiago Principles, when using the Natural Resource Fund.

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It will also be tasked with providing independent assessments on the

management of the Fund and the utilization for withdrawals from the

Fund.

According to the Bill, the Committee is expected to consist of 22 members

who are nominated in accordance with Part Three of the Bill and

appointed by the President.

The Committee will include a representative from civil society

organizations and community based organizations, a nominee to

represent women with the said person being nominated by civil society

organizations, a nominee of the Bar Association of Guyana, a

representative of the Guyana Consumer’s Association, a nominee of the

Guyana Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative (EITI), a nominee of

TIGI, a nominee of the Guyana Press Association, a nominee of most

representative associations of trade unions, a nominee of the Private

Sector Commission, one nominee from each of the 10 Regional

Democratic Councils and a nominee from academia who is nominated

by the governing council of the University of Guyana.

The Bill is silent however on their being a seat at the Oversight table for a

member of the political opposition.

Furthermore, the Bill points out that a person shall not be eligible for

appointment if he or she is a Parliamentarian, an employee of the Ministry,

an employee or owner of an organization who is engaged by the Minister

or Governor of the Bank to assist with the management of the Fund, is a

member of the Investment Committee established under Section 13 of the

Bill or the Macroeconomic Committee that is established under Section 20

of the Bill.

One is also not eligible to be on the committee if he or she is insolvent or is,

or has been declared bankrupt, is of unsound mind or otherwise medically

unfit, or has been convicted of any offence not minor in nature.

The draft legislation notes that the President may terminate the services of

any Committee member for a number of reasons, two of which include

incompetence and misconduct.

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Additionally, the Government has paved the way for the Committee to

have financial resources to carry out its functions. It is also expected to

publish bi-annual reports of its activities on its website and that of

Parliament’s. These reports will also be provided to the National Assembly

as well as the President.

CRUCIAL ROLE OF OVERSIGHT BODIES

Whether or not rules are in place, independent oversight bodies have

important roles to play in holding governments to account for the

management of Natural Resource Funds.

This was recently endorsed by Chatham House, a non-governmental

organization based in London whose mission is to analyse and promote

the understanding of major international issues and current affairs.

Chatham House explained that in many countries, the courts are explicitly

mandated to determine the constitutionality of legislation and ensure

government compliance with laws, including those governing natural

resource fund management. Where the courts are free from political

interference, Chatham House said that judicial review is a strong form of

independent oversight insofar as courts are able to enforce their decisions

on the government.

Chatham House said, “Some countries are not brave enough to embrace

this type of independent oversight. But the evidence is overwhelming to

prove that this is an extremely powerful form of ensuring transparency and

accountability in the operations of the NRF. In 2008, the Timor-Leste

Appeals Court found that a $290.7 million withdrawal from the Petroleum

Fund by the Government was illegal. The rationale was that it violated the

2005 Petroleum Fund Law requirements that the government provides a

detailed explanation for the withdrawal and that petroleum revenues be

managed for the benefit of current and future generations. The Court was

able to order that the money be returned to the Fund.”

Turning its attention to the importance of Multi-Stakeholder Groups,

Chatham House said that some countries have established formal forms

of these oversight bodies to reinforce and support the work of traditional

bodies such as Parliament and the Judiciary or to provide an additional

source of regulation.

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Chatham House said that in Chad, Ghana, and Timor-Leste, civil society

persons such as Chartered Accountants, trade unionists, traditional

leaders, and central bankers, form formal oversight committees for their

country’s NRFs.

The transparency body said, “Ghana’s Public Interest and Accountability

Committee, for example, is mandated by law to monitor the

management of petroleum revenues as outlined in the Petroleum

Revenue Management Act. Timor-Leste’s Petroleum Fund Consultative

Council, which consists of various civil society persons is mandated to

advise Parliament on how the country views the operations of the fund as

well as recommendations for improvement…”

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Bahamas’ GDP Per Person Lower Than Pre-Recession Era Friday 4th January, 2019 – Tribune 242

The Bahamas’ real GDP per capita is lower now than it was 11 years ago

before the start of the global recession, the Inter-American Development

Bank (IDB) has revealed.

The IDB, in its latest Caribbean quarterly bulletin, provided further

evidence of how negative economic growth over the past decade has

resulted in reduced living standards and quality of life for many

Bahamians.

“The average growth rate during the past decade of The Bahamas (-1

percent), Barbados (-0.7 percent), and Jamaica (-0.5 percent) was

negative and close to zero,” the multilateral lender disclosed. “As a result,

real GDP per capita of these countries remains below 2007 levels.”

The IDB’s revelations further underscore the deterioration caused by the

failure, spanning successive FNM and PLP administrations, to revive the

Bahamian economy following the 2008-2009 recession and achieve

higher levels of job-creating gross domestic product (GDP) growth.

The Bahamas was the worst performer of the three Caribbean nations

mentioned and, despite the IDB sounding an optimistic note about this

nation’s growth prospects for 2018 and 2019, it suggests this nation will still

not fully recover the past decade’s lost ground over the next five years.

For the same report, drawing on recent International Monetary Fund (IMF)

data, forecasts that The Bahamas will have one of the lowest annual

improvements in real GDP per capita growth between 2018 to 2023 at

around 0.5 percent. Only Ecuador and Bolivia are expected to fare worse.

The IDB report illustrates the extent of the task facing the Minnis

administration to achieve higher economic growth at a time when it has

imposed fiscal austerity measures in a bid to solve The Bahamas’ chronic

debt and deficit problems.

Still, the IDB’s report said: “The performance of tourism-dependent

Caribbean countries continues to improve. The Bahamas is recovering

from the effects of hurricanes in 2016 and 2017 that led to higher public

spending and interruptions in the flow of revenue.

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“For 2018, expectations are for a recovery of growth (2.3 percent) and a

substantial improvement in fiscal efforts (a primary fiscal balance of 0.1

percent of GDP compared to -3.4 percent in 2017) that will lead to a

stabilisation of debt as a percentage of GDP below 55 percent.”

The IDB report said that while the economy “appears to now be on a

stable growth path”, much depends on “significant capital projects” and

foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows if it is to achieve the Government’s

targets in the medium term.

“Sluggish growth in private sector credit is likely to persist even as the

country moves toward establishing a credit bureau,” it added. “The

increased usage of external debt proceeds coupled with a reduction in

private sector credit impacted domestic credit, which contracted by

roughly 4 percent, while private sector credit fell by 0.7 percent as of the

end of 2017.

“For the first six months of 2018, domestic credit marginally improved to 0.9

percent, as private sector credit declined. Although there is liquidity,

lending has been risk-averse because of high non-performing loan (NPL)

levels, which were concerning at 8.9 percent as of June 2018.”

Turning to the external economy, the IDB added: “It is estimated that the

current account deficit will be 12.7 percent of GDP at the end of 2018,

compared to 15.7 percent a year earlier. Imports returned to trend levels

during the year following a surge in the prior period to facilitate hurricane

rebuilding activities and the completion of a major tourism investment

project [Baha Mar].

“The deficit is projected to gradually decline in the medium term to 6.2

percent by 2020.The current account deficit has mainly been financed by

private inflows. The country has been increasing its reliance on private

capital inflows (9.2 percent in 2018), while FDI inflows currently stand at 2.4

percent.

“Private capital inflows contributed on average 11.6 percent of GDP, and

direct investment contributed 1.7 percent of GDP during the 2013–2018

period. However, there is an expectation of a rebound in the contribution

of FDI, with the medium-term forecast improving. Equity investment has

gradually started to strengthen and is expected to reach approximately 2

percent of GDP at the end of 2018, then increase roughly to 3.3 percent

of GDP in 2019.”

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The IDB report added that higher interest payments on the Government’s

debt were a growing concern, saying: “A decomposition of The

Bahamas’ public debt suggests that interest payments are the main driver

for fiscal year 2018.

“Higher interest payments also made important contributions to the

change in debt, and its impact is expected to continue on par with

growing payment obligations. Interest payments grew from 1.98 percent

in fiscal year 2015 to 2.26 percent in fiscal year 2018.”

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Business Licences Calculated On Vat Revenue From 2020 Friday 4th January, 2019 – Tribune 242

Business Licence fees will be based on “positive VAT-rated revenue” from

2020 onwards in a move that “removes some of the ambiguity”

surrounding how they are calculated.

The reforms, unveiled yesterday by K P Turnquest, the Deputy Prime

Minister, will now also require International Business Companies (IBCs) - for

the first time ever - to register under the Business Licence Act and pay a

value-based fee to bring them into compliance with the European Union’s

(EU) anti-tax evasion offensive.

The changes, which mean IBCs will incur the same tax treatment as

domestic firms incorporated under the Companies Act, are mandated by

the recently-passed Removal of Preferential Exemptions Act 2018 - the law

that meets a key EU demand by eliminating the preferential tax breaks

previously enjoyed by non-resident entities and their foreign investor

owners.

In doing so, Mr Turnquest revealed that the basis for calculating Business

Licence fees will next year change to better align with Value-Added Tax

(VAT). Turnover will now be defined as the revenue upon which VAT is

charged.

“Moving forward, a company’s Business Licence fee will be calculated by

reference to the value of any positively-rated taxable supplies made in

that year, charged at a rate of between zero percent (0 percent) and

two-and-a-half percent (2.5 percent) of that value, as may be prescribed

by the Minister of Finance,” Mr Turnquest said.

He added that the Government’s reforms were designed to achieve

three key objectives - impose no further obstacles to the ease of doing

business; ensure there is a “revenue neutral” effect for the Public Treasury,

meaning that there is no increase or decrease in its income; and

compliance with the EU’s demands and the legislation that effects this.

Gowon Bowe, the Bahamas Institute of Chartered Accountants (BICA)

president, told Tribune Business that the reforms meant that Business

Licence fees will be calculated based on “positive VAT-rated revenue”

from 2020 onwards.

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“The basis upon which the Business License fee will be calculated has

been slightly modified,” he explained. “It has now been defined as

positive-rated taxable supplies, which in layman’s terms is your VAT

revenue. Any revenue that a business earns, that it charges VAT on, is now

the revenue basis upon which Business License fees will be determined.”

The Government has already moved to align the Business Licence fee

with VAT through eliminating the need for businesses with an annual

turnover below $100,000 to pay the former. This is the same threshold

where companies are required to register for VAT.

“It removes some of the ambiguity in turnover,” Mr Bowe added of the

reforms unveiled by Mr Turnquest. “It’s certainly adding, to a certain

extent, clarity in terms of what revenues are being used as the basis for

the fee. There has been ambiguity for many years in terms of turnover.

“This achieves two goals. It ensures everyone is speaking in a common

language, and allows government to maintain existing revenues with it.”

With further legislative changes and “regulatory calibration” required

before the new Business Licence regime can be implemented, Mr Bowe

confirmed this will not fully happen until 2020.

“As it relates to the Business Licence fee and regulatory regime, it’s not

possible to put it in place for 2019 as you already have bills and the basis

of taxation established,” the BICA chief confirmed.

Mr Turnquest, meanwhile, also confirmed that previous “barriers” between

the Bahamian economy’s international and domestic sectors will no

longer exist as a result of the EU’s demands to end “ring fencing” or

preferential tax breaks for foreign investors.

He said: “Companies incorporated in The Bahamas under either the

Companies Act or the IBCs Act – with the exception of [financial services

industry players] – will be required to register under the Business Licence

Act and pay a value-based Business Licence fee.”

These reforms, and others unveiled yesterday (see other article on Page

1B), represent a seismic change for the Bahamas and its economy -

especially IBCs, the vehicle of choice for the financial services industry

and its clients.

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Up until now able to pay a standard annual fee of $350, and $300

incorporation fee, IBCs face the loss of their preferential benefits within

three years - meaning they must pay the same taxes, and at the same

rate, as domestic companies.

This means IBCs will have lost much of their advantages for foreign

investors, a fact not lost on many in the financial services industry. Paul

Moss, president of Dominion Management Services, told Tribune Business:

“IBC are going to have to apply for Business Licences.

“That’s going to change the dynamic of the way they operate. They

operated internationally; that’s the basis on which they were formed.

They’re now going to be operating domestically and subject to Business

Licence fees.”

Mr Bowe, though, argued that the IBC changes “cut both ways”. With all

corporate vehicles “deemed to now be Bahamian” regardless of whether

they are operating internationally or domestically, he added: “That

provides an opportunity for indigenous companies to look at international

business they may not have looked at before.

“It’s a knife that cuts both ways. You’ve brought everyone together as

Bahamian companies, and all animals are treated equally.”

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Government Breaking Down ‘Offshore’ Banking Divide Friday 4th January, 2019 – Tribune 242

The Government yesterday broke down the divide between Bahamian

domestic and international financial institutions to meet European Union

(EU) demands.

KP Turnquest, the Deputy Prime Minister, in unveiling a radical regulatory

shift said the Government will “make the playing field level for all financial

institutions in The Bahamas” by enabling them to offer services to both

domestic and international clients once the necessary regulatory

approvals are in place.

The move effectively eliminates the “walls” that separated financial

institutions that served the domestic economy with Bahamian dollar

transactions, such as commercial banks, from so-called “offshore” entities

that were solely focused on foreign clients and dealt in foreign currencies.

By “equalising the tax treatment” of the two sectors, Mr Turnquest said

institutions in the international banking, insurance and securities/capital

markets sector will be able to offer services to Bahamians in Bahamian

dollars should they so choose once the necessary supervisory approvals

are in place. And, in similar fashion, Bahamian commercial banks will be

able to target international clients subject to possessing the necessary

permits.

The overhaul to the Bahamian financial services industry’s regulatory

framework was driven by the need to comply with the Removal of

Preferential Exemptions Act - the newly-passed law that requires this

nation to eliminate so-called “ring fencing” and preferential tax breaks for

non-resident entities as demanded by the EU.

“Offshore” institutions receive such favourable treatment in comparison to

their domestic counterparts, the latter paying a 3 percent Business

Licence fee on interest income in addition to the asset-based fees all must

provide.

Going forward, all financial services institutions will be exempt from paying

Business Licence fees from January 2020 onwards. This is being replaced

by a three-tier structure, which will be determined by factors such as the

complexity of their business, the systemic risk they present, costs involved

in regulating them and whether they decide to offer Bahamian dollar

services.

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Besides complying with the EU’s demands, the Government is seeking to

balance a number of competing objectives with its reforms. These include

facilitating the “ease of doing business”; ensuring there is a “revenue

neutral” effect for the Public Treasury with no losses; and the maintenance

of the financial services industry’s regulatory integrity.

Gowon Bowe, the Bahamas Institute of Chartered Accountants (BICA)

president, told Tribune Business that the proposed solution was “digestible

by most players” given that it was developed by the Government in

concert with private sector partners.

He revealed that a Working Group, comprised of representatives from

BICA, the Chamber of Commerce, Bahamas Financial Services Board

(BFSB), Clearing Banks Association and Association of International Banks

and Trust Companies (AIBT), had collaborated closely with the Minnis

administration over the Christmas period.

Mr Bowe said “the critical distinction to make” between this effort, and

similar initiatives in the past, was that “it’s a Bahamian position as opposed

to a Bahamian government position”.

While the implementation details were still being worked on, he added:

“This is intended to ultimately be palatable to the EU, but is being driven

by an agreement among domestic players as to the best way to

overcome rind fencing and preferential treatment.”

The BICA president conceded that there was likely to be minimal cross-

over of international financial institutions into domestic Bahamian dollar

transactions and vice versa, given that business models were unlikely to

require it, but said all “now have the flexibility to do so” - something that

could inject more competition into the local market.

Mr Turnquest, meanwhile, said: “By demonstrating our commitment to

global standards, we are working to maintain The Bahamas’ competitive

edge as a global leader in the financial services industry and ensure that

the country’s second economic pillar remains vibrant over the medium

and long term.

“The establishment of this new framework follows broad consultation with

industry representatives in both the private and public sectors, some of

whom are represented here this morning. We also sought input from

international tax advisors.

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“Under the framework, all financial institutions will now be permitted to

offer services to both domestic and international clients, provided that the

financial institution meets the prescribed regulatory requirements in

respect of the services offered,” he explained.

“It will remove any difference in the fiscal treatment of financial institutions

that cater primarily to the domestic markets, and those financial

institutions that cater to international clientele. This is essential to removing

the preferential treatment of specific businesses as implemented under

the recently passed Removal of Preferential Exemptions Act.”

The new framework, which took effect on January 1, proposes that

financial institutions - such as banks, insurance, trust companies,

investment advisers, mutual fund administrators, broker/dealers and other

regulated financial services entities - will be exempted from paying

Business Licence fees when renewing or applying for a licence from

January 2020.

Breaking down the “three-tiered system”, Mr Turnquest explained: “All

financial institutions will pay a flat registration fee, which will be set on a

sliding scale between $2,250 and $250,000 per year, although smaller

institutions such as credit unions will pay much lower fees, as is currently

the case.”

This fee will be determined primarily by the “operational complexity” of

the institution, aligning with the level of resources expended to regulate

financial institutions based on their respective size and complexity.

Then, all financial institutions deemed systemically important, based on

their integration into the domestic system, will be subject to an additional

fee in respect of Bahamian dollar liabilities and contingencies.

Finally, any bank wishing to access the domestic payments system, or to

operate as an authorised agent for Bahamian dollar transactions, will be

charged fees reflecting the substantial supervisory and management

costs of these arrangements for the Central Bank of The Bahamas and

other regulators such as the Securities Commission and Insurance

Commission.

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“It is important to point out that the new regulatory regime for financial

institutions, and the planned changes within the Business Licence regime,

are not expected to have a material impact on what respective

businesses currently pay into the Public Treasury in terms of regulatory and

business fees. The changes are intended to be revenue neutral, and the

financial sector will continue to bear its current fiscal obligations; this will

not be passed on to any other sector or segment of the economy,” Mr

Turnquest reassured.

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2018, a dark year for the agricultural sector Saturday 5th January, 2019 – Haiti Libre

In his message of the new year, Agronomist Talot Bertrand, Secretary

General of the Haitian NGO "Promotion for Development" (PROMODEV),

an organization committed to sustainable development in Haiti said that

2018 had been a dark year among others in terms of loss of human

resources recalling that "[...] 6 Engineers-Agronomists, 2 senior executives

and the former Administrator of the Ministry of Agriculture, Gabriel Pierre-

Louis have died".

In addition, he is concerned about the "[...] triggering of the retirement

process for more than 180 senior agronomists without taking into account

the start of the mechanism for transferring skills to young people".

Recalling that "the profession is learned in the shadow of an elder", he

wonders how the Ministry of Agriculture will work "with novices without field

experience..."

He also deplores the absence "[...] of an indicator that can justify changes

in crop yields and the performance of the farming system." over the past

year, pointing out that field surveys "have shown that farmers are coping

with the negative impacts of several inhibiting factors such as: drought,

pests, plant diseases, animal diseases lack of technical structures and

proximity services."

Despite this gloomy situation, he hopes that policymakers will understand

that "Haiti's land is rich in human resources, water, sun energy and fertile

soil" and that they will take steps to ensure that the Haitian agriculture

sector can still play its role as a "locomotive of economic growth to

combat extreme poverty."

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Low demand for agricultural labour Saturday 5th January, 2019 – Haiti Libre

According to the latest report from the Famine Early Warning Systems

Network (FEWS NET) at this time of year, agricultural activities are

dominated by the summer/fall harvest and preparations for the winter

campaign.

The demand for labour is relatively low due to low investment capacity by

farmers, following a poor spring campaign and the winter campaign

which usually generates a relatively small workload.

However, the supply of labour is also limited, with many households

obtaining their income from other sources, including migration to the city

or the Dominican Republic.

This low labour demand has an impact only on households that have

difficulty accessing other sources of income.

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Deterioration of food security at the national level Saturday 5th January, 2019 – Haiti Libre

Following the drought that hit Haiti in June 2018 especially in the North, the

Northeast, Grand'Anse, South-East and West, the National Coordination of

Food Security (CNSA), conducted during the month of October 2018, a

National Survey on Food and Nutritional Security (ENSAN) in collaboration

the World Food Program (WFP) and the United Nations Food Fund (FAO)

among others.

This survey reveals a deterioration of food security at the national level.

The survey reports that more than 55 percent of households have resorted

to crisis and emergency strategies faced the deteriorating livelihoods. At

the same time, nearly 52% have a "Limit or Poor" Food Consumption Score

while more than 32% have a "Poor" Food Diversity Score.

In addition, almost half of the areas analysed at the Food Security

Classification Workshop (IPC) in October and December 2018, have

serious Global Acute Malnutrition (GAM) rates (10 to 14.9%), while the

North-West and La Gonâve zones have critical MAG thresholds (15 to

29.9%); the Grand'Anse zones had acceptable levels (less than 5%).

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St Kitts-Nevis opposition reaffirms pledge to review and revoke economic

citizenships granted illegally Monday 6th January, 2019 – Caribbean News Now

Following a statement last month by the leader of the opposition, former

prime minister Dr Denzil Douglas, to the effect that he will revoke the

citizenship of any applicant who is found to been illegally granted St Kitts

and Nevis citizenship by investment (CBI), a spokesperson for the

opposition St Kitts-Nevis Labour Party confirmed to Caribbean News Now

on Friday that this was indeed its policy position if and when it is returned

to government.

Multiple allegations of systemic fraud in the St Kitts and Nevis CBI

programme have surfaced recently, involving forged letters of approval,

unauthorised switching from the donation option to the real estate

investment option, and illegally financed unsanctioned discounts.

The situation becomes even murkier when, according to copies of

invoices in the possession of Caribbean News Now, in some cases

successful citizenship applicants have been instructed to transfer the

investment contributions into the personal bank accounts of the principals

of at least one development company instead of to the St Kitts and Nevis

government.

Douglas has made it clear that, upon return to office, a new Labour

government will examine all previously approved citizenship applications

and any applicant who is found to have breached CBI requirements will

have his or her citizenship revoked and referred to local law enforcement,

including agents and developers found to have participated in the

fraudulent schemes.

While the St Kitts and Nevis Citizenship by Investment Unit (CIU), the

government agency charged with administering and policing the CBI

programme, has been well aware of the situation from at least early

November, little or no effective action appears to have been taken to put

a stop to it, although it is beyond belief that the CIU cannot or does not

monitor the grants of citizenship under the various options and thus be

able to identify when applications have been submitted on a discounted

or “financed” basis and/or fraudulently switched from one to the other

using forged letters of approval.

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Head of the CIU, Les Khan, issued a press statement on November 28,

2018, claiming that two low level agents found to have been operating

outside the parameters of the programme had been identified and

penalised, and committing to investigate further and take appropriate

action. There has been no evidence of any such corrective action and

Khan has consistently failed to respond to media inquiries.

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JN Bank to restart MAC projects in 2019 Sunday 6th January, 2019 – Jamaica Observer

JN Bank, through the JN Foundation, has promised to re-establish its JN

Bank Member Advisory Council (MAC) in 2019, to provide its members

with direct engagement and participate in the identification and

selection of projects to positively impact their communities, and ultimately

the wider society.

Formerly known as the Branch Advisory Councils (BAC), JN Bank MACs

were established in 2006 to involve JN Bank members in the selection of

worthy ventures, in their respective communities.

Saniah Spencer, chief marketing and product development officer at JN

Bank, said the bank has reviewed the JN Bank MAC initiative to engage

members in meaningful partnerships that will be sustainable.

“As a mutual corporate entity, JN Bank gives back to its members through

community and national development projects,” Spencer explained.

“Therefore, JN Bank MAC projects provides members with the opportunity

to be involved in the identification of worthwhile projects and decision-

making in the allocation of resources for programmes for community

development.”

Spencer stated that the revised JN Bank MAC initiative will kick-off with a

workshop, scheduled for January 22, at which members will be updated

about the guidelines for the programme, and, a think tank session will

follow, to assist members to identify meaningful projects for

implementation.

The JN Bank executive stated that projects will benefit from a grant

scheme, which will provide funding of up to $400,000, based on the scale

of the respective venture.

The JN Bank MACs operate across all JN Bank branches and JN Bank

MoneyShops in Jamaica and includes community representatives and JN

Bank employees. To date, approximately $51.4 million in funding has been

expended, generating more than 370 community projects in parishes

across the country.

All parishes have benefited under the programme; and the funds are

disbursed through the branch networks, to reinvest and benefit the

communities they serve.

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Some of the projects and community organisations which have benefited

from JN Bank MAC grant funding in the past included: Alpha Primary

School on South Camp Road in Kingston; the Basket and Tings Association

of Trelawny; the Lionel Town Community Development Group in

Clarendon; Morant Bay Infirmary in St Thomas; and Prospect Police

Station, St Ann.

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Hampden Estate prepares for greater rum demand Monday 7th January, 2019 – Jamaican Observer

Hampden is in fact used by a number of other Jamaican rums to flavour

their own brands. Many rums marketed as Jamaican rum which are

manufactured in foreign countries also utilise Hampden for the same

purpose. It is used in the production of colognes and perfumes such as

Chanel and in a wide variety of foods such as chocolate and Haagen

Dazs rum and raisin ice cream.

But even though a true appreciation for this age-old Jamaican rum has

been held almost exclusively by industry insiders, the winds of change

have blown through Hampden in recent years and this secret in the

industry has been revealed to a wider audience both at home and

abroad. This came about as Hampden increased its profile by

manufacturing its own brands after being acquired by the Hussey family

through their company, Everglades Farms Ltd.

The acquisition took place in 2009 via public auction through the

divestment of assets belonging to the government's Jamaica Sugar

Company. Christelle Harris, a member of the Hussey family and director of

marketing for Hampden Estate, explains that the family's entry into the rum

industry was the fulfilment of her grandfather's aspirations.

“My late grandfather, Lawrence Hussey, had a dream of owning a sugar

factory one day as he grew up in the era when sugar was king in

Jamaica,” she relates. “He followed in his father's footsteps and became

a farmer, and over the years, a serial entrepreneur. Late in his life, by way

of government divestment, his dream of owning a sugar factory would be

realised.”

Under the tenure of the Husseys, Hampden began bottling its own brands

for the first time in the estate's history, although some other companies

which utilized Hampden's rum as an ingredient in the production of their

own rums have used the Hampden name in their labels.

Hampden released Rum Fire, a white overproof rum, as well as a gold rum

called Hampden Gold. Since coming into existence, both rums have

earned numerous international awards and medals in recent years at

events such as the ShowRum Tasting Competition in Italy, the Annual Berlin

Rum Festival in Germany, the Rhum Fest Awards in France, the Ministry Of

Rums Tasting Competition in San Francisco and the Rum Renaissance

Festival in Miami.

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However, it was something other than the international accolades that

caused Hampden to shake the world of rum, recently. In 2017, two

leading global distributors of rum, the French company La Maison du

Whiskey and the Italian company Velier operating under a joint venture

bought the global distribution rights for Hampden's ageing rums and their

entire stock of the product amounting to over 2500 barrels.

The purchase made waves in the rum industry particularly because of an

Italian named Luca 'Ruruki' Gargano, a legendary connoisseur and

distributor of rum who bought into Velier in the 1980s. Under his guidance

Velier developed a line of spirits that has earned worldwide admiration

and includes the likes of Damoiseau from the French Caribbean island of

Guadeloupe, various estate specific brands from Guyana, the Caroni line

from Trinidad and other unique rums from around the Caribbean which he

markets with great success.

Having Gargano buy into the Hampden brand was an unquestionable

stamp of approval from the industry but the appreciation of what

Hampden has to offer comes as no surprise to Christelle Harris.

“There is no other Hampden,” the director of marketing states

emphatically. “It cannot be replicated. The terroir is impossible to be

copied or transplanted. Hampden is particularly skilled and well known

within the rum industry as the specialist in high ester rum production. The

ability to do this, is one of the reasons our rums have won so many

awards.”

The high amount of esters in Hampden's rum is what has allowed it to

stand out for over 200 years. The production of rum results in the creation

of chemical compounds known as esters in the product. These

compounds contribute various aromas to the rum. Hampden rums range

from 50 to 1600 esters with the higher figure representing the most that a

rum is allowed to have on the market.

It is for this reason that Hampden's flavours have always been popular in

the blending of other rums and in the flavour and food industry

throughout the world from the Caribbean to Europe, South America and

the United States and Canada.

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Other factors in the production of Hampden's rums contribute to their

taste. The use of spring water from the Cockpit country, the utilisation of

wild yeast as opposed to the more common commercial yeasts, the

distillation which takes place in Hampden's old copper pot stills rather

than newer column stills, the old wooden fermentation vats on the estate

as well as tropical ageing in Trelawny's environment are all thought to play

a part in the mystery of Hampden's flavours.

It is impossible to find distilleries around the world that have the unique

combination of all these factors and conditions which is why the taste of

Hampden rums have always stood out in the market. The company points

out that there are distributors in foreign countries who are selling Rum Fire

at higher prices than other local brands because they appreciate the

uncommon process that goes into the creation of Hampden's rums.

The production, branding and distribution of ageing rums represents the

biggest step made by the Hussey family since they introduced Rum Fire

and Hampden Gold to the world. The brands may be relatively new but

they bear the proud stamp of history.

There is a small cemetery located at Hampden. In it can be found the

graves of members of the Stirling family from Scotland who founded the

estate in the 1750s. Trelawny, at the time, was a hub for Scots who were

seeking riches and fleeing the Jacobite Wars in Great Britain. There are

also graves belonging to the Farquharson family who took ownership from

1852 until 2003 when the business was then acquired by the Jamaica

Sugar Company.

The cemetery stands as a reminder that while the latest ventures

undertaken by the Husseys are new endeavours, they come with over two

centuries of inherited expertise and a sterling reputation for quality in the

industry. It is a legacy that the family is keen to preserve and take forward

into a new era.

It is also a legacy that the Jamaican public can explore through a tour of

the Hampden property. The company has opened itself to visits from both

locals and tourists. A 35-minute trip by car from Montego Bay will take you

to the estate to explore its grounds, the Great House, the fermentation

and distillation processes as well as its compelling history. The experience

ends with rum tasting and lunch.

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The tour is a valuable addition to the island's tourism product as it is

another rum excursion option which can only enhance the visitors'

knowledge of Jamaican rums and give them a better understanding of

the industry in its entirety.

The passion of the tour guides is quite genuine as they communicate their

knowledge of the estate and its products. It is a passion that is reflected

by Christelle Harris when she talks about where Hampden is coming from

and where it is going with the recent entry into the market of its aged

rums.

“The divestment of the Long Pond Sugar factory had a hidden gem

attached to it, and that was Hampden Estate and Distillery,” she reflects

enthusiastically. “We never understood the value of Hampden at the time.

Now that we have studied the world of rum internationally, we understand

that there is no distillery in the world like Hampden, no rum like Hampden's,

and as rum is currently in its renaissance, the demand for tropical aged

Hampden rum will increase exponentially.”

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Main Event earns $63m in revenues from weddings Saturday 5th January, 2019 – Jamaica Gleaner

Main Event Entertainment Limited, the event management, production,

promotions, and digital signage solutions company, earned more than

$63 million from the wedding market in its first year of venturing into that

market.

The wedding division, called M-Style & Decor, aided in pushing the group's

total revenues, which span four divisions, to $1.4 billion, or 18 per cent

higher year on year.

Dr Ian Blair, chairman of the finance committee, told the Financial

Gleaner that the division continues to earn but has yet to make a profit.

"M-Style's over $63 million revenue has not achieved break-even as yet,"

stated Blair.

Despite not breaking even, the division accounted for about one-third of

new incremental revenues made by the group in 2018.

While the size of the wedding market remains largely undisclosed, the

company previously described the market as significant.

There are many competitors in the wedding space, with over 12 pages of

listings in the Yellow Pages offering services in that market. Notably, it

exceeds the nine pages for party equipment providers and three pages

for events marketing and planning services.

Some of the larger companies operate on the north coast to cater to

tourist weddings, including Tai Flora limited, which operates six locations

island-wide. Part of Main Event's strategy has been to enter the Montego

Bay market on the north coast.

During the year, Main Event leased a 3,000 square-foot property in

Montego Bay, St James. That space is in addition to the roughly 32,000

square feet of warehouse space it uses at Newport West, Kingston; 4,000

square feet at its main office at Lady Musgrave Road, St Andrew; and

1,200 square feet at its Barbican, St Andrew, office.

During the year also, the company acquired two long-term loans: $102.9

million for capital expenditure from Sagicor Bank, which carries interest of

6.75 per cent to 12.77 per cent; and $23.4 million from National

Commercial Bank at 11 per cent interest.

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"The new $125 million loan facility is being used for additional equipment

for the expanded operations and M-Style," Blair told the Financial Gleaner.

The loans, acquired in the 2018 financial year, allowed the company to

put long-term debt on its balance sheet which in previous years was nil.

Three of the four divisions recorded year-on-year rises in revenue. Its

entertainment division earned $1 billion, audio and film division $222.1

million, and M-Style & Decor $63.6 million. The digital signage division

recorded $77.3 million, down from $119.6 million a year earlier.

During Main Event's financial year, some of the large events the company

provided services for included Sumfest, Diamond Mile, Boys and Girls'

Champs, Independence Grand Gala, New Year's Eve on the Waterfront,

and Dream Weekend.

"We have some very large events slated for later in the year," said Blair.

Net profit dipped 6.0 per cent to $94.7 million year on year due to

increasing costs, higher depreciation of its growing asset base,

investments in training, marketing, and research and development, the

company stated.

Main Event was incorporated in 2004 by its CEO, Solomon Sharpe, and

Chief Operating Officer Richard Bair, who took the company public in

February 2017 and listed it on the junior market of the Jamaica Stock

Exchange.

The company was valued at $541 million based on shareholders equity,

with $942 million in total assets.

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Realtors expect increase in property sales this year Saturday 5th January, 2019 – Jamaica Gleaner

Realtors say they expect an increase in demand for first-time homebuyers

in 2019 even as they indicate that those who rent homes are experiencing

harder times as property owners list with Airbnb, the online community

marketplace that connects people looking to rent their homes with those

who are looking for accommodation.

Immediate past president of the Realtors Association of Jamaica Howard

Johnson Jnr says that whereas he endorses short-term rentals and not just

Airbnb, it has a negative impact on the local market.

"The gains from short-term rentals are much more attractive than that of a

local rental," he said, adding that "earnings can be generated by a much

more stable currency such as the US dollar."

Broker at Coldwell Banker Jamaica Realty Andrew Issa says that he is

expecting more Jamaicans to express interest in buying a house during

this year.

"I predicted 2019 will be a very strong year for real estate as demand

continues to be driven by a stable, strengthening economy with low

mortgage rates," he said. "Jamaica has been back on the international list

(as a country in which) to invest from early 2018. While crime did slow the

momentum, it appears that Jamaica's economic indicators are within the

parameters for foreign investors," Issa added.

Sellers' market

He said that the sellers' market continues to strengthen across the board in

both residential and commercial markets but noted that prospects are

challenging for first-time homebuyers.

"In the residential market, you have first-time homebuyers who now qualify

to buy based on their NHT (National Housing Trust) mortgage points and

low-interest rate mortgage instruments being offered. Unfortunately,

demand is still outpacing supply. As the economy continues to grow more

and more, young professionals are placing their priority on buying their first

property," said the real estate broker.

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Johnson said that he is anticipating more persons looking for investment

properties for short-term rentals as well as the demand by first-time

homebuyers to increase. "I'm suspecting that the new home starts

promised by the Government, through the NHT, will also resolve many of

the housing dilemmas now being experienced," he said.

He noted that while the cost of houses seems to be trending up, "the

higher price ... is very subjective as sales are being generated despite

what is being perceived. In many cases, persons are still financing their

homes due to competition on interest rates in the marketplace. I have not

observed any disruption in the mortgage market, but rather, more

aggressive marketing for your business by financiers".

Issa said "Investors are liking the returns being gained from the rental

market and also seeing a 10 per cent annual increase in prices bring a

very attractive mix to their investment portfolio. These investors continue to

buy (at) locations that will attract expatriate clients and bring returns in US

dollars."

DOWNSIZING

He also observed that "downsizing is a segment of the market that is

growing. The ageing population is beginning to make the choice that

downsizing is a practical and sound economic decision.

According to the broker, commercial demand is also growing. "The daily

request is, 'Find me a commercial building with an ROI (return on

investment) of seven to nine per cent, and I will buy it'," said Issa, referring

to potential investors. "So with all these small financial institutions being

launched, I expect to see much more activity in developments of this

nature. These new, young managers are aware of the built-up demand

by young entrepreneurs searching for locations," he added.

Issa also said that demand continues to grow for business process

outsourcing space and that it will drive additional commercial build-out.

Despite the higher costs for houses, he does not expect that to inhibit

sales. Issa said that "all mortgage companies have a similar formula for

approvals, and with more institutions pushing for a larger share of the real

estate market, I expect that these homes will be financed with buyers

having two to three options to choose from".

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Airbnb investors, he noted continued to be a factor. The realtor said that

the market for Airbnb is definitely a factor in the increase in apartment

purchases.

However, he noted that "it is not for the faint of heart investors" considering

the time and detail involved in managing the units.

Issa believes that overall, the real estate market in 2019 will bring

attractive results for both private investors and financial institutions.

"Don't be surprised to see very large properties change ownership this

year as owners use the cash (from their sale) to expand their businesses

while remaining tenants" by renting the same properties, he said.

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Fishermen continue demonstration Monday 7th January, 2019 – Trinidad Express Newspapers

FISHERMEN continue to stage protest action against the Government's

decision to stop the sale of regular gas.

On Saturday, fishermen and vendors from Claxton Bay fishing depot held

placards and gas cans, as they called on Energy Minister Franklin Khan to

return the supply of regular gas (RON 83).

The fishermen said they have had to spend double on super gasoline,

which they now have to use.

Claxton Bay Fishing Association vice-president Bhadose Sooknanan said:

'A 20-gallon pan used to cost us $200 with regular and plus two oils, which

is $35 each, amounting to $270. The same amount in super (gasoline)

costing $500 to $550.'

He suggested the Government consider storing a container of regular

gas, which can then be sold to the fishermen.

Sooknanan said there were thousands of people in the fishing industry

who would be placed on the breadline if the industry is to close down.

His brother, fisherman and fish vendor Boysie Sooknanan, said: 'They have

children to send to school, loans to pay. The catch is coming very little. It is

very, very hard. If you have to buy two pans of gas, that is $1,000 before

you start to work, before you catch a fish.'

Fishermen from Orange Valley, Carli Bay and Icacos held similar protests

recently.

Bhadose Sooknanan said such protests will continue this week.

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Guardian Holdings Limited adds 5.5% Sunday 6th January, 2019 – Trinidad Express Newspapers

LAST week saw 2,120,567 shares traded on the first-tier market, which was

a significant increase of 333.00 per cent on the previous week's a total of

489,749 shares crossing the floor.

The value of shares traded was up by 70.65 per cent to $24,024,291.34

from the previous week's value of $14,078,370.46.

The volume leader this week was GraceKennedy Ltd (GKC) capturing

46.07 per cent of the market activity or 976,862 shares traded, followed by

National Enterprises Ltd (NEL) with 31.9 per cent or 676,433 shares traded.

In third place was Massy Holdings Ltd (MASSY) with 9.01 per cent or

191,028 shares traded.

The indices ended the week in positive territory.

The Composite Index increased by 0.26 per cent or 3.33 points to close at

1,306.30. The All Trinidad and Tobago Index grew by 0.25 per cent or 4.21

points to end at 1,709.06.

The Cross Listed Index closed at 122.08, up by 0.27 per cent or 0.33 points

and the Small and Medium Enterprise Index closed at 100.00.

Last week there were seven stocks advancing and seven stocks declining,

while three stocks are at their 52-week high and four stocks at their 52-

week low.

The major advance was Guardian Holdings Ltd (GHL) up 5.56 per cent or

$1 to close the week at $19, its 52-week high.

In second place was GKC with an increase of 5.17 per cent or $0.15 to

close at $3.05, followed by Prestige Holdings Ltd (PHL) up 2.32 per cent or

$0.17 to close at $ 7.50.

The major decline was Sagicor Financial Corporation Ltd (SFC) down 4.87

per cent or $0.46 to end at $8.99, followed by PLIPDECO (PLD) down by

1.35 per cent or $0.05 to close at $3.65. In third place was Trinidad Cement

Ltd (TCL) with a decrease of 1.10 per cent or $0.03 to end at $2.70.

There was no activity on the second-tier market last week.

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On the TTD mutual fund market 59,852 CLICO Investment Fund (CIF) units

traded with a value of $1,198,588.94. CIF's unit price closed at $20, a

decrease of 0.79 per cent or $0.16. Also, 8,570 units in Calypso Macro

Index Fund (CALYP) traded with a value of $128,550. CALYP's unit price

ended at $15, a decrease of 3.23 per cent or $0.50 from last week.

CinemaOne Ltd (CINE 1) on the Small and Medium Enterprise Market,

closed at $10 with no shares traded last week.

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Pan Trinbago moves into new office...but no $$ to pay pan players, says

president Saturday 5th January, 2019 – Trinidad Express Newspapers

TWO months after being served with an eviction notice, Pan Trinbago

received the keys to a new office yesterday. However, pannists are still

operating without any money.

At the official opening of the new building, located at 37 Duke Street, Port

of Spain, Pan Trinbago president Beverley Ramsey-Moore said: 'Pan

players, we are so sorry but we do not have it.'

She added: 'I know it's painful... it is painful because the players were

expecting, but we did not create the mischief and so those who created

the mischief must pay for the mischief that they have created.'

When asked when should players expect to receive their remittances,

Ramsey-Moore jokingly replied: 'Give us a little chance, maybe in the next

two or three years as the economy of our country begins to grow again,

then we probably will be allocated another $35 million... to then take care

of our past.'

And Ramsey-Moore thanked attorney Israel Khan SC for the new location.

Khan remarked: 'When the group came to me saying that they were

looking for a place, they were pushing at an open door.' 'Mr Khan, I want

to give a heartfelt thank you for allowing us to use this space one year

rent-free,' said Ramsey-Moore.

She explained that her team began scouting for locations as soon as she

came into office and came across a building that was in walking distance

from their previous Park Street office.

Because of the organisation's present financial crisis, Ramsey-Moore said:

'This saved us a million dollars.'

She added that they are making cutbacks.

'This executive cannot continue to put this organisation in debt.'

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As a solution to the pan players' plight, Ramsey-Moore suggested: 'If we

have to maintain our prize structure and if we have to ensure that we

satisfy our members, then they too have to come up with resourceful ways

of servicing their players.

'Pan Trinbago does not have the funds to play players for 2018 or 2019,'

she said.

Despite that setback, Ramsey- Moore is optimistic that this year's National

Panorama will be the best ever, and she also received the blessings of

National Carnival Commission (NCC) chairman Winston 'Gypsy' Peters and

Port of Spain Mayor Joel Martinez, who were both in attendance at

yesterday's opening.

With that in mind, Pan Trinbago's new motto is 'Forging a new

beginning...Playing a new song.'

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Prime minister threatens compulsory acquisition of Scotiabank Antigua Monday 7th January, 2019 – The Antigua Observer

Compulsory acquisition is one of the measures being considered by the

Prime Minister, Gaston Browne, as he continues to demand that the

owners of Scotiabank revisit the sale of the Antigua branch to Republic

Financial Holdings Limited of Trinidad and Tobago.

His latest threat, made on Saturday on his radio station, Pointe FM, comes

days before a planned meeting between him and officials from the two

banking institutions.

And, it comes about a month after he threatened not to sign a vesting

order, which he maintains is required to concretise the sale.

“We are using that vesting order to literally negotiate a position in which

the local entities should be given a first preference. And, as I said earlier,

we also have the option of compulsory acquisition if they choose to fight

us,” the PM said.

He said he hopes that it does not come down to that, and that the

institutions accept the proposals he plans to put forward during the

meeting, likely to take place on Wednesday.

The prime minister had written to the banks’ officials on December 13,

2018, asking for a meeting on January 7 this year and he requested to

include representatives “of a consortium, comprising the Government

and local banks and institutions.”

While the banks have reportedly agreed to meet with the Prime Minister

on January 9 instead, a statement from his office on Friday indicated that

Scotiabank said that “based on the contractual agreement between

Scotiabank and Republic Financial Holdings, it may not be appropriate to

hold a meeting with other potential buyers/financial institutions.”

The prime minister said if Scotiabank Antigua is sold to a local entity, there

will be more benefits for the country.

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“Our indigenous banks need to get larger and if we can get the Scotia

assets, let’s say for example, if you can consolidate the Scotia assets with

maybe ACB [Antigua Commercial Bank], then ACB will become more

bankable in terms of correspondent banking … so in terms of national

interest, there are many benefits to the country and I believe that we can

make the arguments that we can compulsorily acquire the branch here in

the public interest,” he said.

PM Browne pledged that if the government acquires the bank, its owners

will get their fair payment for it.

“That is an option that we would have to discuss with them because they

must understand that they can’t run roughshod over us because they

can’t do that to the government of Canada. My dear friend Justin

Trudeau would not allow them to do that,” he added.

In November 2018, Scotiabank announced the sale of its branches in nine

Caribbean territories, to include Antigua and Barbuda.

From the onset, the prime minister threatened not to support the sale

unless all other options he has in mind are considered.

On Saturday, he defended his position, while adding that his government

is not “socialistic” or “communistic”.

“We are just a practical government that is taking the necessary decisions

to protect the interest of the state and to make sure that we have an

economic model that works for us and a model that repatriates most of

the profits that are generated in the country…,” he contended.

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Gov’t extends Christmas Barrel Initiative Monday 7th January, 2019 – The Antigua Observer

The government is extending the Christmas Barrel Initiative by one week to

accommodate barrels which arrived in the country on time, but are yet to

be processed by the Customs and Excise Division. The highly anticipated

incentive usually takes effect from December 1 until January 4.

General Manager of the Antigua Port Authority, Darwin Telemaque, said

the decision to extend the period was taken following consultation with

Comptroller of Customs Raju Boddu. Speaking on Pointe FM radio station

on the weekend, Telemaque revealed that there were some difficulties

with “unstuffing” at the Port and they are trying to facilitate people who

were unable to collect their barrels.

The programme, which allows householders to import restricted quantities

of food, clothing, and toiletries, is intended to provide a temporary benefit

to individuals and families receiving the three categories of items from

abroad over the Christmas period. Under the initiative, residents are

allowed to import the items in their barrels or other containers and only

one barrel/container is allowed per family.

Families are only required to pay the 10 per cent Revenue Recovery

Charge (RRC) on the value of the goods, along with a $10

processing/handling fee. They are also exempted from the payment of

import duty and the 15 per cent Antigua and Barbuda Sales Tax (ABST).

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Local economist disapproves of new tax Saturday 5th January, 2019 – The Antigua Observer

Local economist Everett Christian says the intended 10 percent “windfall

tax” to fund the fourth landed campus of the University of West Indies

(UWI) in Antigua is a bad move.

Prime Minister Gaston Browne has said that in order to finance the

campus in Five Islands, the new windfall tax will target banks, insurance

firms and telecommunication companies.

But, according to Christian, the local consumers are the ones who will feel

the full burden of this new tax.

“These companies will inevitably pass on that tax to the consumers by

way of higher charges and fees for their services. So, ultimately it is the

consumer, the ordinary taxpayer, who will be footing that bill, not the

companies.”

Christian went on to give his solution as to how the funding of the UWI

campus can be realised.

“If the prime minister is truly serious about funding the fourth landed

campus of UWI, what he really needs to address himself is how to

enhance the compliance rate because, in my view, there are sufficient

taxes on our books that if administered properly, he can generate the

revenues required to fund the campus without increasing the tax burden

on the taxpayers,” he told OBSERVER media.

The Five Islands campus is expected to open its doors in September this

year.

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APUA to acquire sub-sea cable in multi-million-dollar investment Thursday 3rd January, 2019 – The Antigua Observer

Antigua Public Utilities Authority (APUA) will be allocating EC $80 million

towards the purchase and installation of its own sub-sea cable. This

revelation was made by Prime Minister Gaston Browne during his New

Year’s address to the nation. “APUA will invest $80 million to acquire its

own subsea cable and to democratize access to the internet through the

provision of more affordable, reliable and faster internet service to

residents,” he stated.

Browne assured residents that the move was essential to facilitate all the

modern industries that now operate globally on the Internet on a wider

broadband scale.

Last month, telecommunications provider Digicel accused the

government of attempting to stifle competition in the telecoms market to

benefit APUA. But Browne, in his January 1 address, noted that residents

can no longer rely on foreign telecommunication companies. “Although

they have made considerable profits here which we do not begrudge

them, and to which they were entitled … under the arrangements of the

initial investment, they have not provided us with the technology we

require at prices that are fair and affordable, that is the reality. But, our

country, our people, our economy cannot wait. We must forge ahead

and in doing so we are pushing no one out. Instead we are allowing APUA

to set the pace in the race to better technology, lower rates and faster

internet. It is a race in which the other existing providers are invited to

join,” the prime minister said.

He added that whatever profit APUA makes will be used to enhance

other services provided by the company. “As an off-shoot of APUA’s

participation in this lucrative world, its profitability will be utilized in part to

subsidize the operation and maintenance of two additional reverse

osmosis plants in Bethesda and Fort James in 2019,” Browne said.

“The addition of these two new plants will increase reliability and

sustainability of water supply.” He went on: “We will also continue to

tackle electricity supply, which we want to be both reliable and cheaper.

So in 2019 our government will install about 8 mega-watts of wind and

solar-voltaic power at Crabbs at a cost of $40 million.”

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Post Office workers vow to keep up protest Thursday 3rd January, 2019 – The Antigua Observer

As the first working day of the new year got underway yesterday, over 200

workers at the General Post Office staged a sit-in because, according to

them, promises made in an agreement last November had not been

kept. The understanding between the workers and the Public Works

Department (PWD) after they had protested poor working conditions, was

that they would be temporarily relocated until the problems at their

workplace on lower High Street had been resolved.

Yesterday, President of the Antigua and Barbuda Public Service

Association (ABPSA) Joan Peters told our newsroom that to date no word

has come from the relevant authorities, despite the January 2nd deadline.

“The Permanent Secretary has nothing to say. I mean, come on, they

were supposed to look for a building for them to move into temporarily, so

they were looking for buildings all around town. We even assisted them in

some areas,” she said. “Places like where the old CIBC bank was, places

like CTV, places like the Asot Michael building which is just up the road

from them.

They even looked at the Bryson’s building, on the opposite side, the old

Bryson’s … We don’t know if they acquired somewhere, you don’t know

what is happening. Nobody is saying anything.” She added that

conditions in outposts around the island also need to be improved. “Even

the outposts…we did an extensive tour of the sub-stations and they are all

government buildings that are … in a dilapidated state; it’s just so

embarrassing,” the ABPSA president said.

Peters has however indicated that the sit-in will continue until some sort of

action is taken by the PWD to rectify the problem. “I am not sure if a

meeting would do it. They will have to start to do work so we see that

something is being done, because what they are saying, workers would

have to move out of the building in order to do the extensive work, but

they were going to do the things they were able to do while they work

half a day.

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They would have gotten those done, so, by the time that they move out

of the building, it wouldn’t take them a long time for them to move back,

since they have already started the work, but they haven’t done anything

at all and nobody has anything to say about what is being done.” It is well

documented that the postal service has been plagued with many

problems over the years. Last November, a leaking roof caused by heavy

rain damaged some of the mail and also resulted in power being lost from

the building.

A week later, workers at all government postal stations — to include

Woods Centre, V.C. Bird International Airport, Nelson’s Dockyard, All Saints

and Cedar Grove — joined their colleagues at the main branch in St.

John’s to protest the poor working conditions

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Gov’t spends over $20M on consultancies in last 6 years, BVI Airways the

single largest spend Friday 4th January, 2019 – BVI News Online

The government of the Virgin Islands, inclusive of its statutory bodies,

expended more than $20 million on consultancy services alone in the last

six years.

Premier and Minister of Finance, Dr D Orlando Smith, made that disclosure

in the House of Assembly last month.

These monies were spent through four main state-owned agencies — the

Ministry of Finance, the Office of the Premier, the BVI Financial Services

Commission (FSC), and the National Bank of the Virgin Islands.

Throughout the course of that six-year period, the Smith-led Office of the

Premier spent $2,108,014.02 for consultancy services while his Finance

Ministry expended $14,336,549.98.

The BVI Financial Services Commission, in the meantime, dumped

$3,833,845.66 into consultancies. The state-owned National Bank of the

Virgin is Islands only expended $716,608.50, Dr Smith said.

BVI Airways the biggest spend

The single largest expenditure of the total amount spent on consultancies

was the $7 million to BVI Airways and its affiliated companies back in 2015.

This $7 million sum was for the aforesaid airline to commence direct,

nonstop flights between BVI and Miami, USA. These services, however,

were never received.

Over the six years, government also paid for consultancies in a number of

areas inclusive of marketing and public relations, auditing services,

technology services, legislative drafting services, examination services,

public finance and financial services consultancy, among a list of other

services.

While disclosing the figures to the House, Dr Smith noted that the hiring of

consultants is part of the “normal course of business for any organisation”.

He said consultancies are done when expert advice and/or skills may be

required, or when services are needed that cannot be sourced from

within an organisation.

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“This government is no exception, and therefore is required to engage

such services to ensure efficiency in its operations from time to time,” Dr

Smith said.

He was, at the time, answering questions from former Opposition Leader

Andrew Fahie who, in recent times, has criticised government for what he

suggested was the wasting taxpayer dollars on unnecessary

consultancies.

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Dominica Business Forum to hold consultation to help private sector

“regain its voice” Friday 4th January, 2019 – Dominica News Online

The Dominica Business Forum Inc. plans to provide an opportunity for the

private sector to break its silence on “numerous issues relating to the

economic development of Dominica.”

President of the organization, Severin Mckenzie, says a National Economic

Forum: “Voices of the Private Sector”, will be held on February 6th, 2019.

“Its main focus will be on the key sectors of the economy including

agriculture, commercial enterprises, tourism, manufacturing, education,

health and other critical issues such as Climate change, Cannabis

legalization and the impact of the Citizenship by Investment Programme,”

Mckenzie said in a 2018 end of year message.

He said the role and status of the private sector within Dominica’s

economy will also be highlighted.

McKenzie commended the private sector for its “great perseverance

throughout those trying times” which followed the devastating passage of

Hurricane Maria 2017.

“In the aftermath of Hurricane Maria in September 2017, the private sector

in Dominica was challenged and, for many, it appeared that all hope was

lost, but throughout 2018, our private sector enterprises demonstrated

their resolve and resilience to rise from the ashes to the extent that, as we

approach a new year, the private sector is more determined to take its

rightful place as the engine of growth within the Dominican economy,” he

said

He commended the efforts of the utility companies in restoring electricity,

water and telecommunication services to most of the population and

cited the reopening and commencement of upgraded facilities such as

the new look Whitchurch IGA, the new Do It Centre, Fresh Market and

many other private sector enterprises as “a clear indication of the private

sector’s determination to broaden its base within the free enterprise

system, in spite of the challenges of doing business in Dominica.”

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McKenzie pointed out that a few institutions never reopened after Maria

“due to a lack of opportunity and various circumstances” and went on to

lament the exit of Ross University School of Medicine, Dominica Brewery

and Beverage Limited (Kubuli), the demise of Bello Products Ltd. and

several other manufacturing and business enterprises which were “blown

away” with Maria’s winds.

“We also continue to lament a public procurement environment in which

local enterprises and talent are not given the opportunity to contract with

the government on delivery of the more lucrative works such as housing

and dredging, and which, in general, does not follow the current

legislative protocol and generally lacks transparency,” Mckenzie said.

He added that growth of the local private sector in these areas has been

clearly retarded due to the lack of opportunity.

“Consequently, in an increased market post Hurricane Maria, some sector

players have been struggling to make a contribution to the economy.

Notwithstanding these, without the contribution of the private sector in the

recovery process in the aftermath of Hurricane Maria, the situation in

Dominica would have been much worse,” Mckenzie asserted.

He said that as another general election approaches in Dominica, the

Dominica Business Forum Inc. intends to participate in, and promote

educational discussions and events to enhance the level of consciousness

of the population.

“The Dominica Business Forum Inc. is also concerned about the potential

for political instability on the island and calls on all sides within the political

spectrum to take the necessary measures through dialogue and

consultation, to avoid any further deterioration of the investment climate

in Dominica. History has proven that the Dominica private sector and

citizenry are the most severely affected by both natural and man-made

disasters,” McKenzie remarked.

Asserting that the private sector continues to be the main source of

employment in Dominica, Mckenzie stressed the need for vibrant private

sector organisations and the protection of private sector investments in

the country.

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The Dominica Business Forum Inc. represents the interests of the Dominica

Association of Industry and Commerce (DAIC), Dominica Hotel and

Tourism Association (DHTA), Dominica Manufacturers Association (DMA),

Dominica Employer’s Federation (DEF), Builders and Contractors

Association of Dominica (BCAD) and the OECS Business Council.

The organization’s president said membership is open to all private sector

and civil society organisations who are interested in developing a free

and just society as dictated in the constitution of the Commonwealth of

Dominica.

He stressed that the success of the private sector depends on itself and

that 2019 will be an opportunity to regain its voice.

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End of Year Gifts for Dominica’s Tourism Industry Saturday 5th January, 2019 – Dominica News Online

The Discover Dominica Authority is pleased to inform of the end of year

gifts that the local Industry has received. Over the past few weeks,

various stakeholders and destination Dominica have received good news.

Since reopening November 1, 2018, Secret Bay, an exclusive and intimate

eco-luxury boutique resort and the island’s only 5-star hotel, received two

coveted awards: The resort was named one of Conde Nast Traveler’s

2018 Reader’s Choice Awards: “Best Resorts in the Caribbean.” This

accolade is determined by the public and this year’s list generated

429,000 responses that helped land Secret Bay fourth out of 50 Caribbean

resorts. Additionally, Secret Bay was named one of 10 Caribbean

properties that made Fodor’s prestigious list of “100 Most Incredible Hotels

in the World.” Over the years, Secret Bay has received numerous

accolades.

Secret Bay features a limited collection of six freestanding, secluded and

sustainably-crafted villas with their own individual plunge pools that are

immersed in nature and positioned on a breath-taking clifftop overlooking

the azure Caribbean Sea. Offering a wealth of transformational

experiences, fine dining, wellness facilities, architectural residential-style

villas and night and day access to remote beaches, Secret Bay provides

guests with the ultimate five-star hideaway experience. Secret Bay is

located at Ti Baie in the north of Dominica and can be reached at

[email protected] and online at https://secretbay.dm.

These two accomplishments come soon after our very own Tamarind Tree

Hotel was nominated for and awarded with the British Guild of Travel

Writers BGTW Annual Tourism Award for Best Tourism Project in the Wider

World Category for their project “Clearance and Restoration of Segment

11 of the Waitukubuli National Trail (WNT) in Dominica.” The Tamarind Tree

Hotel is a 21-room property which overlooks the Caribbean Sea atop a

100 ft cliff. The property is ideally located between two beaches and with

easy access to hiking trails. For more information about the hotel’s trail

restoration project contact the Tamarind Tree Hotel at

[email protected] or at

https://www.tamarindtreedominica.com/.

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From December 17th through to December 28th, Dominica welcomed

nineteen (19) different cruise ships to our shores, totalling 37,579 cruise

passengers. On Monday December 17th, Dominica welcomed three (3)

ships for the first time this season as Dominica was visited by the MV

Koningsdam, MV Celebrity Silhouette and the SY Royal Clipper. During

that period the destination also hosted two ships in port on five different

occasions.

Dominica once again benefited from the FCCA Foundation Holiday Gift

Project. Crew members of MV Celebrity Silhouette—along with West

Dominica Children’s Federation, the Ministry of Tourism and Culture and

Discover Dominica Authority (DDA)—brought holiday cheer and gifts to

200 Dominican children.

For more information on Dominica, contact Discover Dominica Authority

at 767 448 2045. Or, visit Dominica’s official website:

www.DiscoverDominica.com, follow Dominica on Twitter and Facebook

and take a look at our videos on YouTube.

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Dominicans continue to benefit from post-Maria work of IOM Monday 7th January, 2019 – Dominica News Online

Dominicans continue to benefit from the work of The International

Organization for Migration (IOM) which has been assisting with the

recovery and reconstruction of the island after the destructive passage of

hurricane Maria in September, 2017.

Many people around Dominica were affected and had to be transported

to shelters because their homes were destroyed due to hurricane Maria.

The IOM built 80 core houses for internally displaced people around the

Island through their early shelter recovery program funded by Australia

Aid and habitat for humanity.

IOM is now implementing a new project to undertake repairs to 12

emergency shelters with funding from USAID. This project, to improve

emergency preparedness through emergency shelter, also includes a

survey to determine the number and status of people still living in

emergency shelters. The survey has found close to 300 people still living in

25 shelters across the island.

HAM radios will also be procured and training provided in collaboration

with the Dominica Amateur Radio Club Inc (DARCI). Training will be

provided to shelter managers and other community members interested

in learning about shelter management principles, and to make the

communities more prepared for potential emergencies.

IOM in coordination with the Youth Development Division, Dominica Youth

Business Trust (DYBT) and the Ministry of Commerce Small Business and

Enterprise Development has received funding from the IOM Development

Fund to establish a small-scale business development/support centre in

the city of Roseau. The main objective of the program is to build the

capacity of the government, through the DYBT, to provide training and

financial support to young entrepreneurs, setting the foundation for

increased business success, job creation, and reduced outward

migration.

At the request of the Government of Dominica and the Caribbean

Development Bank, IOM Dominica will conduct a 2-month research to

determine the number of people, and particularly children, who migrated

out of Dominica after Hurricane Maria.

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The IOM according to the organization’s website, works to help ensure the

orderly and humane management of migration, to promote international

cooperation on migration issues, to assist in the search for practical

solutions to migration problems and to provide humanitarian assistance to

migrants in need, including refugees and internally displaced people.

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