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So many “metrics,” so little time! - 4pm... · Profit and cash flow are not the same! Increased...

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So many “metrics,” so little time! By Ian Baldwin www.Ianbaldwin.com 1
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Page 1: So many “metrics,” so little time! - 4pm... · Profit and cash flow are not the same! Increased sales often lead to increased buying and a bloated inventory. This ties up cash

So many “metrics,” so little time!

By Ian Baldwin

www.Ianbaldwin.com 1

AshleyF
Handout Disclaimer
Page 2: So many “metrics,” so little time! - 4pm... · Profit and cash flow are not the same! Increased sales often lead to increased buying and a bloated inventory. This ties up cash

Sales Are Up, Where’s The Money?

Profit and cash flow are not the same!

Increased sales often lead to increased buying and a bloated inventory. This ties up cash flow despite profits on paper.

As sales grow, overheads grow quicker!

A series of steps (sometimes more like walls) to overcome as sales grow. At around $500,000 per year a nursery needs FT labor increasing overhead

From $750K to $1.3M, the next “wall” is tough as a company moves from being a big-small business to a small-big one.

Owners must “let go”, more organization is necessary and profits fall as a percentage of sales.

Next step is around $2 million, extra departments created, offices expand, maybe owner’s drive diluted.

Some Local GC (LGC) owners not comfortable & struggle past this point.

www.ianbaldwin.com2

Page 3: So many “metrics,” so little time! - 4pm... · Profit and cash flow are not the same! Increased sales often lead to increased buying and a bloated inventory. This ties up cash

Six Numbers to Live By

1. Sales volume

2. Customer/register-ring count

3. Gross Margin dollars (NOT %!)

4. Labor costs

5. Labor hours

6. Inventory

With these (and their off-spring) you can run the business and still have a life…

LGC winners use simplified reports!

www.ianbaldwin.com 3

Page 4: So many “metrics,” so little time! - 4pm... · Profit and cash flow are not the same! Increased sales often lead to increased buying and a bloated inventory. This ties up cash

The Basics

Gross Sales Volume

- Cost of Goods Sold (inventory)

= Gross Profit Margin (GM)

- Direct/Operation Costs

= Operational Profit

- Overheads/Expenses (G&A)

= Net (Pre-tax) Profit (NP)

or EBITDA

www.ianbaldwin.com 4

Page 5: So many “metrics,” so little time! - 4pm... · Profit and cash flow are not the same! Increased sales often lead to increased buying and a bloated inventory. This ties up cash

Cost of Goods Is Approx. 50% of Sales!

Some LGCs procrastinate over $25,000 to re-pave the parking lot but go to a show to spend $250,000

Winning companies say that the bottom line starts with buying. They search, negotiate and buy with discipline and confidence.

They have consistently reduced “conSKUsion” and see COG as their main profit opportunity, “My retirement income starts right there..!”

Q: COG may cost 20 times more than marketing. Do you reflect that in your management of it?

www.ianbaldwin.com 5

Page 6: So many “metrics,” so little time! - 4pm... · Profit and cash flow are not the same! Increased sales often lead to increased buying and a bloated inventory. This ties up cash

“Get it where you can, give

it back where you have to..”

www.ianbaldwin.com 6

Page 7: So many “metrics,” so little time! - 4pm... · Profit and cash flow are not the same! Increased sales often lead to increased buying and a bloated inventory. This ties up cash

Mind The Gap! – THE Crucial Number!

100% Gross Sales

- % Cost of Goods, +/- inventory

= % actual Gross Margin (GM)

- % Labor Costs (inc ‘Burden’)

= % “The Gap”

If this calculation doesn’t consistently produce a

26% “Gap” at year end, minimum, year-in, year-

out, a GC will struggle to re-invest, expand, update,

pay bonuses, reduce debt/build value, have cash

www.ianbaldwin.com 7

Page 8: So many “metrics,” so little time! - 4pm... · Profit and cash flow are not the same! Increased sales often lead to increased buying and a bloated inventory. This ties up cash

Labor Is Another 20-30% of Sales!

Q: “What should my labor be as a % of sales?”

A: “Wrong question”, should be “What can I afford?”

As a %: Take true GM% say 50%, subtract 26% “Gap” to get 24% of sales, that’s your MAXIMUM labor costs for the year (all retail labor costs inc “burden”)

In Dollars: e.g. sales = $1 million, true GM is $500,000, subtract $260,000 “Gap” (26% of sales), so $240,000 is your MAXIMUM labor budget, sorry, labor allocation is driven by GM dollars

Q: Do you start with the labor $s you say you need or with the labor $s your GM says you can afford?

www.Ianbaldwin.com 8

Page 9: So many “metrics,” so little time! - 4pm... · Profit and cash flow are not the same! Increased sales often lead to increased buying and a bloated inventory. This ties up cash

Labor Productivity

Sales$/Lab hour is the issue.

At less than $70 (over the whole year) LGCs are not very profitable, winning (full service) LGCs are between $80 and $100 but impacted by high ticket items like patio or big trees.

Grower-retailers will be lower by design

What’s yours?

Q: Is your productivity rising quicker than the cost of labor?

It better be!

www.ianbaldwin.com 9

Page 10: So many “metrics,” so little time! - 4pm... · Profit and cash flow are not the same! Increased sales often lead to increased buying and a bloated inventory. This ties up cash

#6 Inventory: Making or Braking The Bank?

Biggest investment any GC makes in a year (by far),

doesn’t get the most analysis or management…

Winning LGCs take an accurate physical count at

least twice a year, with cycle counts in between for

higher-risk categories. They know their $/sq. ft./week

At 50% of sales $s, it’s the life blood of the business

and that means regular blood pressure tests such as

GMROI, turns, aging or cost of space calculations….

Q: Do buyers and managers look at inventory as an

investment to be monitored/managed or as “stuff”?

www.ianbaldwin.com 10

Page 11: So many “metrics,” so little time! - 4pm... · Profit and cash flow are not the same! Increased sales often lead to increased buying and a bloated inventory. This ties up cash

Productivity: Labor, Inventory, Space, Time

Labor: Sales per labor hour, GM$ per lab hour

Inventory: GMROI, turns, days on hand/aging

Space: Sales or GM$ per sq. ft./acre/bench/etc

Time: Sales or GM$ per day/week/month

The Whole GC: Cost per day to open the door

and break-even point

www.ianbaldwin.com 11

Page 12: So many “metrics,” so little time! - 4pm... · Profit and cash flow are not the same! Increased sales often lead to increased buying and a bloated inventory. This ties up cash

Follow The Money, Sweat The Big Stuff

70-75% of most LGCs sales $s go straight out on 2 costs – Inventory and Labor

Don’t agonize over the small stuff, time is precious

Inventory is the only investment that creates wealth, every other cost supports that goal!

Gross Margin $s pay the bills and labor is the biggest one by far – ten times the ad bill…!

The relationship between GM $s and Labor $s (your GAP) is what makes or loses money in this business – period.

Thanks AmHort, Happy number crunching!

www.ianbaldwin.com 12


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