Social media & lok sabha elections

A study finds that Facebook users may be the new votebank Indian politicians have to now worry about.

Social Media &Lok Sabha Elections

1 Elections to the Lok Sabha can be called any time anytime between now and the end of the Parliament's 5 year term on May 31,

2014 by when elections must be completed and a new Lok Sabha constituted. 2 Out of a total of 543 constituencies to which elections will be held3 XBRL or eXtensible business reporting language is an XML based information standard which is becoming ubiquitous around

the world. For more info visit www.xbrl.org

www.esocialsciences.com

Indian democracy is on the cusp of a

revolution led by social media users. At a

very conservative estimate, the fortunes of

contestants seeking election to the next Lok 1 2

Sabha from not less than 150 constituencies will

be determined by Facebook users making them

the newest Vote Bank with the power to shape

Indian politics.

The inevitability of a three way split of the

popular vote between the ruling UPA, the

principal opposition NDA and the emerging third

front formations increases the relevance of social

media users as a community, rendering unto

them an opportunity like never before to register

their presence.

A study carried out by the independent IRIS

Knowledge Foundation suggests that social

media usage is now sufficiently widespread to

have the power to influence the outcome of the

next elections to the Lok Sabha and consequently

government formation. The research was

conducted with data available in March 2013.

With Facebook emerging as the gorilla in the

social media space, the clout that Facebook users

enjoy is immense. The study has serious

implications, all of it positive, for Indian

democracy, for the way it empowers the citizens.

The study underscores the need for candidates to

chalk out a well thought out social media strategy

for their campaigns to be effective.

The success of social media in general and Facebook in particular in catalysing change will be predicated

on marrying the community which social media is able to create with relevant content to enhance 3

accountability. The relevance of XBRL in achieving this end cannot be emphasised enough as it allows

things to be mixed and matched in a manner hitherto unexplored. This explains the excitement in the USA

about the DATA Act which seeks to mandate the use of data standards such as XBRL. This promises to

usher in what we call c-governance or citizen led governance, the next logical step in the e governance

roadmap of countries worldwide.

The inspiration for the study is three fold.

Firstly, given the proximity of elections which

cannot be more than a year away, we felt it would

be the right time to identify broad trends and

recent events that may impact the elections.

There clear factors emerge in this context.

1. The Indian electorate has never been younger.

Between 2004 and 2009, the voting population

went up from 670 million to 720 million. The

number is expected to increase to 800 million by

the time the country goes to the polls, a greater

number of voters than ever before will be 25

years or younger.

Why the study

2. The last 5 years has also seen a greater

expression of disaffection in the government and

the political class by the citizenry who have taken

to the streets to protest. This was seen during the

fast by Anna Hazare, even if the protests did not

last for long. This happened during the infamous

4 The Internet and Mobile Association of India [IAMAI]

established in 2004 represents the online and mobile VAS

industry in India. With a membership of 125 Indian and

global companies, IAMAI is working to chart the growth

path for the digital industry in India. Website: www.iamai.in

rape incident in Delhi. Citizen activism is higher

than ever before and the young in India are

certainly showing a fair amount of restlessness

and unhappiness at the state of affairs. It is

unlikely that the voice that the citizenry found

would stay suppressed for long and it would be

interesting to see if it finds expression through

their vote at the hustings. It is significant to note

that online media generally and social media in

general have played a huge role in mobilizing

people for protests. The highest tribute that could

have been paid by way of recognizing this is the

setting up of a social media lab by Mumbai police

to track social media activity to anticipate

possible trouble spots and identify those they see

as trouble makers.

3. India is also rapidly urbanizing which is seen as

a sign of upward mobility. This has serious

consequences for the aspirations of the residents

and the extent to which they would go to realize

their objectives. Anecdotal evidence suggests

that an urbanized population is also an assertive

population, and prepared to take an aggressive

posture, and easily swayed given their access to

not just state controlled media but also alternate

points of view not available to them until now.

Secondly, a report entitled “Social Media in India –

2012” released by the Internet and Mobile 4

Association of India (IAMAI) in February 2013

throws up interesting findings.

1. The IAMAI report places the number of social

media users in Urban India at 62 Million (Mn) by

December 2012. The same report estimates that

the number of social media users will top 66

Cartoon in the Romanian political newspaper Aurora, during the 1926 parliamentary election. The People's' Party and its shadow partner, the National Liberal Party are represented as two rats with the caption : “The elector's seal -- death to all sorts of political rats”


million by June 2013. It is logical therefore that

by the time elections to the 16th Lok Sabha are

held in mid 2014, the numbers would be even

higher, possibly closer to 80 million if the trend

holds. It is also likely that the 25 million strong

Indian NRI community who now have voting

rights would follow elections more closely even if

they are not able to be physically present in India

to be able to cast their vote, they can be a big

influencer too. After all, they are considerably

active on social media.

2. What the IAMAI report also highlights is that

Facebook is the leading website accessed by all

social media users, with as many as 97% of them

registering a presence on Facebook. The study

also finds that next to e mail, social media usage is

the biggest reason for people to connect to the

internet. It is also significant to note that people

use social media 7 days a week.

3. A third factor of significant relevance from the

point of view of this study is the revelation in the

IAMAI report that social media usage is spreading

fast in areas other than the top eight Indian

metros. One third of the social media users, as the

study reveals, are residents of smaller towns with

population of under 500000. Even more

significant is the fact that a quarter of social

media users are residents of towns with a

population less than 200000.

The third factor which prompted the study was

the impact of social media on the US Presidential

elections. In a piece in the MIT Technology 5Review entitled Facebook: The Real Presidential

swing State, writer David Talbot had predicted

that “the outcome of the 2012 campaign could

have less to do with grand vision than online data

analytics and peer to peer voter targeting.” As it

turned out, the Obama victory is credited to just

that. Obama's followers on Facebook and Twitter

5 August 15, 2012


outstripped Romney's by a mile though a greater

percentage of Romney followers were “talking”.

Obama ran away with the election because he

used analytics to do peer to peer targeting. Which

is another source of inspiration for this research.

For peer to peer targeting to be effective, there

has to be a critical mass of social media users, the

numbers have to be there. But it is not the number

of fans or the number of likes and tweets that are

going to determine the probability of winning of a

certain candidate but the ability of the candidate

to engage with the electorate, by rising above the

media clutter and by trying to get his or her

message across to the voter directly. In today's

India, the number of social media users to achieve

this end has reached a tipping point. May be not in

every one of the 543 constituencies but certainly

in a significant number of them to warrant the

conclusion that they have the power to influence

elections and therefore government formation.

Barack Obama

The Methodology

T h e a p p r o a c h t o t h e s t u dy i s q u i t e

straightforward. We kept it simple.

1. We went by the data published by Facebook on

their website to help advertisers target their

audience better. We culled the data from this

page, constituency by constituency, one

constituency at a time. For instance, in the case of

the Thane Parliamentary constituency, we found

that there were over 400000 Facebook users who

were eligible to vote on the day the data was

pulled out. (On the day we wrote this report, we

found that the number has gone up to over

419580.) According to Facebook, these people

have disclosed that they live in Thane or in Navi

Mumbai which is part of the Thane Parliamentary

constituency.

2. Parallelly, we downloaded data from the

election commission to find out the number of

registered voters and the actual voter turnout in

the constituency during the last Lok Sabha

elections. We also looked at the margin of victory

of the winning candidate from the constituency.

(In the interest of maintaining consistency, we

ignored data that may have been thrown up in the

course of any by elections.)

Thus, in Thane Parliamentary constituency in

Maharashtra which we are using as an example

for this write up, we found that of the 1.8 million

registered voters, 750000 showed up to actually

vote. The winning candidate won by a relatively

narrow margin of 49000 votes.

(Writers note: We are stunned to see that within a

space of just three weeks when the data was first

culled to now when the report is being written up,

as many as 20000 new potential voters would

clamber on to Facebook, this can only accelerate as

elections approach and the noise level on Facebook

attracts new converts)

3. When viewed against the backdrop of 419000

Facebook users in this constituency, it is self

evident that Facebook users wield a tremendous

influence over the fortunes of the candidates in

this constituency especially in a tight race.

4. We went through this exercise for each and

every constituency in the country and classified

them in four ways – High Impact, Moderate

Impact, Low Impact and No Impact. The data has

been presented in the sheets that follow.

5 . I n o u r c l a s s i f i c a t i o n , H i gh I m p a c t

constituencies are those where the number of

Facebook users are more than the margin of

victory of the winner in the last Lok Sabha

election, or where Facebook users account for

over 10% of the voting population. Our analysis

throws up 160 High Impact Constituencies out of

the total of 543 which will go to the polls.

6. The Medium Impact constituencies are those

where we have assumed that a Facebook user can

influence one other voter who may not be on

Facebook. Constituencies where the total number

of Facebook users is in excess of 5% of the voting

population. A total of 67 out of the 543

constituencies have been identified as being in

this category.

7. The rest of the constituencies have been

identified as Low Impact Constituencies or No

impact constituencies. The corresponding

numbers are 60 out of 543 in the Low Impact

category and the remaining 256 out of 543 as

being in the No Impact Category.

8. The detailed list is provided in the Appendices.



Limitations and caveats

1. Our approach can be dismissed for being

simple to the point of being simplistic. We have

used the number of Facebook users as an

indication of the clout of social media instead of

analyzing their behaviour to see if they are really

active and showing signs of wanting to make an

impact. However, we feel that this criticism may

not hold as the mere presence on Facebook

allows users access to alternate sources of

information and divergent points of view. Also

Facebook users, even when passive, turn out to be

listeners and there is enough evidence to suggest

that when the time for action arrives, they may act

in ways that could surprise everyone by the

unexpected nature of their reaction. Hence the

numbers are certainly a reasonable basis to form

conclusion. Without a doubt, a critical mass

exists.

2. We acknowledge that we may have understated

the impact of social media by not considering

other social media networks such as Twitter to

cite just one. If we had considered data from other

social media and added that too, the sphere of

influence of social media would be that much

greater. The IAMAI finding that over 97% social

media users are on Facebook gave us the

justification to confine this research to Facebook

alone.

3. Even so, the impact of Facebook is understated

in this study. A simple example will drive home

this point. Consider a constituency called Durg in

the state of Chattisgarh. According to the latest

Facebook data, the number of social media users

in Durg who are potential voters by virtue of

being residents of Durg and on account of being

more than 18 years old is 24780. (At the time we

culled the data, the number was 24320). Now

consider this. The industrial town of Bhilai is part

of the Durg constituency and boasts of 104220

people who make the electoral cut. In all of our

analysis, we have culled data only by the name of

the constituency and deliberately neglected to

include other places in the vicinity which too may

have some number of Facebook users. Thus it

would be fair to say that the number of Facebook

users in each constituency is understated. We

will produce an updated version of the study in

late 2013 with more refined data which includes

as many places in a constituency as we can

possibly identify.

4. Another reason for the understatement is what

we call the contiguous effect. For example,

Jadavpur and Diamond Harbour are both Lok

Sabha constituencies in the vicinity of Kolkata.

While data for each of these places throws up a

small number of Facebook users, the fact that

Jadavpur borders the Kolkata Dakshin

constituency and is part of Greater Kolkata means

that the right number to take into consideration

would be the aggregate number for Kolkata. Ditto

in the case of Diamond Harbor. Now, both of these

constituencies, are classified as Low or no Impact

constituencies which cannot be correct but in the

absence of more detailed data, we will stick to this

classification for now.

5. The simple arithmetic approach to identifying

the constituencies as high, medium and low

impact does not factor in voter behaviour on

account of any possible anti incumbency effect or

political realignments. In any event, since the

purpose of the study is limited to assessing

whether Facebook users will at all have an impact

if they so choose, we feel that the answer to this

question is obvious.


Implications of the study for Contestants

1. No contestant can afford to ignore social media

in the next Lok Sabha election. Just as they have

budgets for traditional media spend and on the

ground activity, it is important that they have a

specific budget for social media activity.

2. When one sees the wins of the Congress and the

BJP in the last Lok Sabha elections, we find that 75

of the 206 seats won (36%) by the Congress and

43 of the 144 seats (30%) where they finished

second are counted among the High Impact

constituencies. In the case of the BJP, we find that

44 of the 116 seats (37%) they won and 50 of the

110 seats (46%) they lost fall in the high Impact

category. A well thought out social media

campaign will not only be about retaining

previously won seats but also about wresting

new seats. While there can be no two views on the

fact that social media usage is a largely urban

phenomenon, a rapidly urbanising India with

even small towns reporting a fairly active social

media usage offers pointers to how campaign

focus may need to be in order to gain new wins

while retaining the existing seats.

3. Unlike traditional campaigning which is

mandatorily required to come to a close 48 hours

before the polls, it is unlikely that the Election

Commission will be able to legislate and enforce

silence on social media networks as it would be

tantamount to stifling the voice of the people.

Which means that any development even in the

hours of polling can potentially influence voter

behaviour as the information will spread like wild

fire. What this also means is that savvy candidates

can harness the power of social media to unleash

a guerilla campaign on their opponents without

giving them the time to respond. We may see

some candidates take a hit and run strategy.

4. We believe that by mashing up this data with

social indicators of a constituency and personal

attributes of contestants, democracy will win. It is

one thing to share with a voting population,

aggregate data about those that they seek to elect

but making such data available in a granular form

could well trigger a different response from the

voter than ever before. For instance, we wonder

how a voter would react when faced with the

choice of electing an MP whose attendance record

in parliament is dismal or whose election

affidavit shows that his personal fortune has

increased manifold over the last 5 years or whose

comments display a huge level of insensitivity

towards women.

Long run impact

The impact of social media on elections

worldwide will be enhanced even further as

governments adopt “open data” policies – that is,

requirements for important government

information to be published online, in non-

proprietary formats such as XBRL that open it up

to search and analysis tools. Open data principles

also dictate that when governments publish a

particular piece of information – be it a spending

detail, a regulatory filing, proposed legislation, a

judicial opinion, or almost anything else – they

use stable Web addresses, known as Persistent

Uniform Resource Locators (PURLs), as much as

possible. PURLs allow the information to be

shared easily via Facebook and other social

networks. Facebook users can instantly share a

PURL with all their friends, and those users can

share it in turn with their own friends, because a

PURL functions as a permanent link to the

information. The combination of stable

publication via PURLs, easy analysis thanks to

XBRL and other formats, and wide dispersion via

Facebook sharing promises to make the online

democratic conversation more sophisticated and

more relevant than ever before.

This possibility is already reflected in legislative

proposals in the United States. Last April, the U.S.

House of Representatives passed the Digital

Accountability and Transparency Act, or DATA

Act, which would have required all U.S.

government spending information to be

published in an open format like XBRL at

permanent web addresses, with an explicit

requirement for the information to be made

available to be “freely shared by the public, such

as by social media.” Further action on the DATA

Act is expected in the U.S. Congress in the spring

of 2013. The Data Transparency Coalition, a U.S.

trade association of technology firms, has

become the primary private-sector advocate for

the DATA Act and similar legislation. One of the

Coalition's policy goals is to make all government

information shareable via Facebook and other

social networks. Here in India, IRIS Knowledge

Foundation, the publishers of this study are

seeking to do the same.


APPENDIX

Appendix 1: High Impact Constituencies

Andhra Pradesh

Andhra Pradesh

Andhra Pradesh

Andhra Pradesh

Andhra Pradesh

Andhra Pradesh

Andhra Pradesh

Andhra Pradesh

Andhra Pradesh

Andhra Pradesh

Andhra Pradesh

Arunachal Pradesh

Assam

Assam

Assam

Bihar

Bihar

Bihar

Bihar

Chandigarh

Chattisgarh

Chattisgarh

Chattisgarh

Chattisgarh

Dadra & Nagar Haveli

Goa

Goa

Gujarat

Gujarat

Gujarat

Gujarat

Gujarat

Gujarat

Gujarat

Gujarat

Gujarat

Gujarat

Gujarat

Gujarat

Gujarat

Gujarat

Gujarat

Gujarat

Gujarat

Hyderabad

Visakhapatnam

Vijayawada

Guntur

Rajahmundry

Kakinada

Tirupati

Nellore

Karimnagar

Narasaraopet

Chittoor

Arunachal West

Dibrugarh

Silchar

Tezpur

Pataliputra

Patna Sahib

Muzaffarpur

Buxar

Chandigarh

Raipur

Bilaspur

Korba

Durg

Dadar & Nagar Haveli

North Goa

South Goa

Surat

Rajkot

Bhavnagar

Jamnagar

Kheda

Valsad

Panchmahal

Junagadh

Bharuch

Banaskantha

Anand

Mahesana

Sabarkantha

Patan

Surendranagar

Ahmedabad East

Ahmedabad West

Asaduddin Owaisi

Daggubati Purandeswari

Lagadapati Raja Gopal

Rayapati Sambasiva Rao

Aruna Kumar Vundavalli

M.M.Pallamraju

Chinta Mohan

Mekapati Rajamohan Reddy

Ponnam Prabhakar

Modugula Venugopala Reddy

Naramalli Sivaprasad

Takam Sanjoy

Paban Singh Ghatowar

Kabindra Purkayastha

Joseph Toppo

Ranjan Prasad Yadav

Shatrughan Sinha

Captain Jai Narayan Prasad Nishad

Jagada Nand Singh

Pawan Kumar Bansal

Ramesh Bais

Dilip Singh Judev

Charan Das Mahant

Saroj Pandey

Patel Natubhai Gomanbhai

Shripad Yesso Naik

Cosme Francisco Caitano Sardinha

Shrimati Darshana Vikram Jardosh

Kuvarjibhai Mohanbhai Bavalia

Rajendrasinh Ghanshyamsinh Rana (Rajubhai Rana)

Ahir Vikrambhai Arjanbhai Madam

Dinsha Patel

Kishanbhai Vestabhai Patel

Chauhan Prabhatsinh Pratapsinh

Solanki Dinubhai Boghabhai

Mansukhbhai Dhanjibhai Vasava

Gadhvi Mukeshkumar Bheiravdanji

Solanki Bharatbhai Madhavsinh

Patel Jayshreeben Kanubhai

Chauhan Mahendrasinh

Jagdish Thakor

Koli Patel Somabhai Gandalal

Harin Pathak

Dr. Solanki Kiritbhai Premajibhai

State Constituency


Winner in 2009



Haryana

Haryana

Haryana

Haryana

Haryana

Himachal Pradesh

Himachal Pradesh

Jammu & Kashmir

Jammu & Kashmir

Jammu & Kashmir

Jammu & Kashmir

Jharkhand

Jharkhand

Jharkhand

Jharkhand

Karnataka

Karnataka

Karnataka

Karnataka

Karnataka

Karnataka

Karnataka

Karnataka

Karnataka

Karnataka

Karnataka

Karnataka

Kerala

Kerala

Kerala

Kerala

Kerala

Kerala

Kerala

Kerala

Kerala

Kerala

Madhya Pradesh

Madhya Pradesh

Madhya Pradesh

Madhya Pradesh

Madhya Pradesh

Madhya Pradesh

Madhya Pradesh

Madhya Pradesh

Madhya Pradesh

Maharashtra

Maharashtra

Gurgaon

Faridabad

Ambala

Sirsa

Hisar

Mandi

Kangra

Srinagar

Jammu

Anantnag

Udhampur

Ranchi

Jamshedpur

Dhanbad

Singhbhum

Mysore

Dakshina Kannada

Gulbarga

Bellary

Davanagere

Udupi Chikmagalur

Tumkur

Uttara Kannada

Bangalore Rural

Bangalore North

Bangalore Central

Bangalore South

Thiruvananthapuram

Ernakulam

Palakkad

Kottayam

Thrissur

Alappuzha

Kollam

Malappuram

Kozhikode

Kannur

Indore

Bhopal

Gwalior

Jabalpur

Ujjain

Rewa

Satna

Dewas

Dhar

Pune

Nagpur

Inderjit Singh

Avtar Singh Bhadana

Selja

Ashok Tanwar

Bhajan Lal S/O Kheraj

Virbhadra Singh

Dr. Rajan Sushant

Farooq Abdullah

Madan Lal Sharma

Mirza Mehboob Beg

Ch. Lal Singh

Subodh Kant Sahay

Arjun Munda

Pashupati Nath Singh

Madhu Kora

Adagur H Vishwanath

Nalin Kumar Kateel

Mallikarjun Kharge

J. Shantha

G.M. Siddeswara

D.V.Sadananda Gowda

G.S. Basavaraj

Anantkumar Hegde

H.D.Kumaraswamy

D. B. Chandre Gowda

P. C. Mohan

Ananth Kumar

Shashi Tharoor

Prof. K V Thomas

M.B. Rajesh

Jose K.Mani (Karingozheckal)

P C Chacko

K.C Venugopal

N.Peethambarakurup

E. Ahamed

M.K. Raghavan

K. Sudhakaran

Sumitra Mahajan (Tai)

Kailash Joshi

Yashodhara Raje Scindia

Rakesh Singh

Guddu Premchand

Deoraj Singh Patel

Ganesh Singh

Sajjan Singh Verma

Gajendra Singh Rajukhedi

Kalmadi Suresh

Muttemwar Vilasrao Baburaoji

State Constituency Winner in 2009

Maharashtra

Maharashtra

Maharashtra

Maharashtra

Maharashtra

Maharashtra

Maharashtra

Maharashtra

Maharashtra

Maharashtra

Maharashtra

Maharashtra

Maharashtra

Maharashtra

Maharashtra

Maharashtra

Maharashtra

Maharashtra

Maharashtra

NCT OF Delhi

NCT OF Delhi

NCT OF Delhi

NCT OF Delhi

NCT OF Delhi

NCT OF Delhi

NCT OF Delhi

Orissa

Punjab

Punjab

Punjab

Punjab

Punjab

Rajasthan

Rajasthan

Rajasthan

Rajasthan

Rajasthan

Tamil Nadu

Tamil Nadu

Tamil Nadu

Tamil Nadu

Tamil Nadu

Tamil Nadu

Tamil Nadu

Tamil Nadu

Tamil Nadu

Tamil Nadu

Tamil Nadu

Aurangabad

Nashik

Thane

Kolhapur

Kalyan

Latur

Dhule

Sangli

Amravati

Jalna

Ahmadnagar

Osmanabad

Chandrapur

Mumbai North

Mumbai North West

Mumbai North East

Mumbai North Central

Mumbai South Central

Mumbai South

Chandni Chowk

North East Delhi

East Delhi

New Delhi

North West Delhi

West Delhi

South Delhi

Sambalpur

Ludhiana

Amritsar

Hoshiarpur

Patiala

Gurdaspur

Jaipur

Jodhpur

Kota

Bikaner

Tonk-Sawai Madhopur

Coimbatore

Salem

Tirunelveli

Erode

Madurai

Viluppuram

Virudhunagar

Kancheepuram

Sivaganga

Chennai North

Chennai South

Chandrakant Khaire

Sameer Bhujbal

Dr.Sanjeev Ganesh Naik

Sadashivrao Dadoba Mandlik

Anand Prakash Paranjape

Awale Jaywant Gangaram

Sonawane Pratap Narayanrao

Pratik Prakashbapu Patil

Adsul Anandrao Vithoba

Danve Raosaheb Dadarao

Gandhi Dilipkumar Mansukhlal

Patil Padamsinha Bajirao

Ahir Hansaraj Gangaram

Sanjay Brijkishorlal Nirupam

Ad.Kamat Gurudas Vasant

Sanjay Dina Patil

Dutt Priya Sunil

Eknath M. Gaikwad

Deora Milind Murli

Kapil Sibal

Jai Prakash Agarwal

Sandeep Dikshit

Ajay Makan

Krishna Tirath

Mahabal Mishra

Ramesh Kumar

Amarnath Pradhan

Manish Tewari

Navjot Singh Sidhu

Santosh Chowdhary

Preneet Kaur

Partap Singh Bajwa

Mahesh Joshi

Chandresh Kumari

Ijyaraj Singh

Arjun Ram Meghwal

Namo Narain

Natarajan.P.R.

Semmalai S

Ramasubbu S

Ganeshamurthi.A.

Alagiri M.K

Anandan M

Manicka Tagore

Viswanathan.P

Chidambaram P

Elangovan T.K.S

Rajendran C

State Constituency



Winner in 2009



Tamil Nadu

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttarakhand

West Bengal

West Bengal

West Bengal

West Bengal

Chennai Central

Lucknow

Kanpur

Gautam Buddh Nagar

Allahabad

Varanasi

Agra

Ghaziabad

Meerut

Bareilly

Aligarh

Moradabad

Muzaffarnagar

Chandauli

Kheri

Almora

Howrah

Balurghat

Kolkata Dakshin

Kolkata Uttar

Dayanidhi Maran

Lal Ji Tandon

Sri Prakash Jaiswal

Surendra Singh Nagar

Kunwar Rewati Raman Singh Alias Mani Ji

Dr. Murli Manohar Joshi

Dr. Ramshankar

Rajnath Singh

Rajendra Agarwal

Praveen Singh Aron

Raj Kumari Chauhan

Mohammed Azharuddin

Kadir Rana

Ramkishun

Zafar Ali Naqvi

Pradeep Tamta

Ambica Banerjee

Prasanta Kumar Majumdar

Mamata Banerjee

Sudip Bandyopadhyay


Appendix 2: Moderate Impact Constituencies

Andhra Pradesh

Andhra Pradesh

Andhra Pradesh

Andhra Pradesh

Andhra Pradesh

Andhra Pradesh

Assam

Assam

Assam

Bihar

Bihar

Bihar

Bihar

Daman & Diu

Gujarat

Gujarat

Haryana

Haryana

Haryana

Himachal Pradesh

Karnataka

Karnataka

Karnataka

Karnataka

Karnataka

Kerala

Madhya Pradesh

Madhya Pradesh

Madhya Pradesh

Maharashtra

Maharashtra

Maharashtra

Maharashtra

Maharashtra

Maharashtra

Maharashtra

Meghalaya

Meghalaya

Mizoram

Orissa

Orissa

Orissa

Orissa

Puducherry

Punjab

Punjab

Rajasthan

Rajasthan

Warangal

Kurnool

Eluru

Anantapur

Srikakulam

Machilipatnam

Gauhati

Jorhat

Karimganj

Bhagalpur

Katihar

Darbhanga

Madhubani

Daman & Diu

Vadodara

Gandhinagar

Karnal

Bhiwani-Mahendragarh

Rohtak

Shimla

Belgaum

Bijapur

Shimoga

Raichur

Mandya

Kasaragod

Ratlam

Shahdol

Mandsour

Solapur

Nanded

Akola

Jalgaon

Ratnagiri - Sindhudurg

Bhiwandi

Palghar

Shillong

Tura

Mizoram

Bhubaneswar

Berhampur

Balasore

Sundargarh

Puducherry

Sangrur

Ferozpur

Udaipur

Ajmer

Rajaiah Siricilla

Kotla Jaya Surya Prakash Reddy

Kavuri Sambasiva Rao

Anantha Venkata Rami Reddy

Killi Krupa Rani

Konakalla Narayana Rao

Bijoya Chakravarty

Bijoy Krishna Handique

Lalit Mohan Suklabaidya

Syed Shahnawaz Hussain

Nikhil Kumar Choudhary

Kirti Azad

Hukmadeo Narayan Yadav

Lalubhai Patel

Balkrishna Khanderao Shukla (Balu Shukla)

L.K.Advani

Arvind Kumar Sharma

Shruti Choudhry

Deepender Singh

Virender Kashyap

Angadi Suresh Channabasappa

Ramesh Chandappa Jigajinagi

B.Y. Raghavendra

Pakkirappa.S.

N Cheluvaraya Swamy @ Swamygowda

P Karunakaran

Kantilal Bhuria

Rajesh Nandini Singh

Meenakshi Natrajan

Shinde Sushilkumar Sambhajirao

Khatgaonkar Patil Bhaskarrao Bapurao

Dhotre Sanjay Shamrao

A.T. Nana Patil

Dr.Nilesh Narayan Rane

Taware Suresh Kashinath

Jadhav Baliram Sukur

Vincent H Pala

Agatha K. Sangma

C.L.Ruala

Prasanna Kumar Patasani

Sidhant Mohapatra

Srikant Kumar Jena

Hemanand Biswal

Narayanasamy

Vijay Inder Singla

Sher Singh Ghubaya

Raghuvir Singh Meena

Sachin Pilot

State Constituency Sitting MP


Rajasthan

Tamil Nadu

Tamil Nadu

Tamil Nadu

Tamil Nadu

Tamil Nadu

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

West Bengal

West Bengal

West Bengal

Churu

Vellore

Kanniyakumari

Cuddalore

Tiruchirappalli

Karur

Gorakhpur

Jhansi

Saharanpur

Rampur

Azamgarh

Sitapur

Faizabad

Bijnor

Fatehpur Sikri

Mirzapur

Burdwan - Durgapur

Asansol

Purulia

Ram Singh Kaswan

Abdul Rahman

Helen Davidson J

Alagiri S

Kumar.P

Thambidurai.M

Adityanath

Pradeep Kumar Jain (Aditya)

Jagdish Singh Rana

Jaya Prada Nahata

Ramakant Yadav

Kaisar Jahan

Nirmal Khatri

Sanjay Singh Chauhan

Seema Upadhyay

Bal Kumar Patel

Sk. Saidul Haque

Bansa Gopal Chowdhury

Narahari Mahato

State Constituency

Appendix 2: Moderate Impact Constituencies


Winner in 2009

Appendix 3: Low / No Impact Constituencies

Andaman & Nicobar Islands

Andhra Pradesh

Andhra Pradesh

Andhra Pradesh

Andhra Pradesh

Andhra Pradesh

Andhra Pradesh

Andhra Pradesh

Andhra Pradesh

Andhra Pradesh

Andhra Pradesh

Andhra Pradesh

Andhra Pradesh

Andhra Pradesh

Andhra Pradesh

Andhra Pradesh

Andhra Pradesh

Andhra Pradesh

Andhra Pradesh

Andhra Pradesh

Andhra Pradesh

Andhra Pradesh

Andhra Pradesh

Andhra Pradesh

Andhra Pradesh

Andhra Pradesh

Arunachal Pradesh

Assam

Assam

Assam

Assam

Assam

Assam

Assam

Assam

Bihar

Bihar

Bihar

Bihar

Bihar

Bihar

Bihar

Bihar

Bihar

Bihar

Bihar


Nizamabad

Vizianagaram

Ongole

Mahbubnagar

Medak

Malkajgiri

Chelvella

Aruku

Adilabad

Peddapalle

Zahirabad

Secundrabad

Nagarkurnool

Nalgonda

Bhongir

Mahabubabad

Khammam

Anakapalli

Amalapuram

Narsapuram

Bapatla

Nandyal

Hindupur

Kadapa

Rajampet

Arunachal East

Lakhimpur

Barpeta

Autonomous District

Kaliabor

Dhubri

Kokrajhar

Mangaldoi

Nowgong

Gaya

Siwan

Valmiki Nagar

Ujiarpur

Karakat

Paschim Champaran

Purvi Champaran

Sheohar

Sitamarhi

Jhanjharpur

Supaul

Shri. Bishnu Pada Ray

Madhu Yaskhi Goud

Jhansi Lakshmi Botcha

Magunta Srinivasulu Reddy

K. Chandrasekhar Rao

Vijaya Shanthi .M

Sarvey Sathyanarayana

Jaipal Reddy Sudini

Kishore Chandra Suryanarayana Deo Vyricherla

Rathod Ramesh

Dr.G.Vivekanand

Suresh Kumar Shetkar

Anjan Kumar Yadav M

Dr. Manda Jagannath

Gutha Sukender Reddy

Komatireddy Raj Gopal Reddy

P. Balram

Nama Nageswara Rao

Sabbam Hari

G.V.Harsha Kumar

Bapiraju Kanumuru

Panabaka Lakshmi

S.P.Y.Reddy

Kristappa Nimmala

Y.S. Jagan Mohan Reddy

Annayyagari Sai Prathap

Ninong Ering

Ranee Narah

Ismail Hussain

Biren Singh Engti

Dip Gogoi

Badruddin Ajmal

Sansuma Khunggur Bwiswmuthiary

Ramen Deka

Rajen Gohain

Hari Manjhi

Om Prakash Yadav

Baidyanath Prasad Mahto

Aswamedh Devi

Mahabali Singh

Dr. Sanjay Jaiswal

Radha Mohan Singh

Rama Devi

Arjun Roy

Mangani Lal Mandal

Vishwa Mohan Kumar

State Constituency


Winner in 2009



Bihar

Bihar

Bihar

Bihar

Bihar

Bihar

Bihar

Bihar

Bihar

Bihar

Bihar

Bihar

Bihar

Bihar

Bihar

Bihar

Bihar

Bihar

Bihar

Bihar

Bihar

Chattisgarh

Chattisgarh

Chattisgarh

Chattisgarh

Chattisgarh

Chattisgarh

Chattisgarh

Gujarat

Gujarat

Gujarat

Gujarat

Gujarat

Gujarat

Gujarat

Haryana

Haryana

Himachal Pradesh

Jammu & Kashmir

Jammu & Kashmir

Jharkhand

Jharkhand

Jharkhand

Jharkhand

Jharkhand

Jharkhand

Jharkhand

Jharkhand

Araria

Kishanganj

Purnia

Madhepura

Vaishali

Gopalganj

Maharajganj

Saran

Hajipur

Samastipur

Begusarai

Khagaria

Banka

Munger

Nalanda

Arrah

Sasaram

Jahanabad

Aurangabad

Nawada

Jamui

Raigarh

Sarguja

Janjgir-Champa

Rajnandgaon

Mahasamund

Bastar

Kanker

Amreli

Porbandar

Bardoli

Kachchh

Dahod

Chhota Udaipur

Navsari

Kurukshetra

Sonipat

Hamirpur

Ladakh

Baramulla

Hazaribagh

Godda

Dumka

Rajmahal

Chatra

Kodarma

Giridih

Khunti

Pradeep Kumar Singh

Mohammad Asrarul Haque

Uday Singh Alias Pappu Singh

Sharad Yadav

Raghuvansh Prasad Singh

Purnmasi Ram

Uma Shanaker Singh

Lalu Prasad

Ram Sundar Das

Maheshwar Hazari

Dr. Monazir Hassan

Dinesh Chandra Yadav

Digvijay Singh

Rajiv Ranjan Singh Alias Lalan Singh

Kaushalendra Kumar

Meena Singh

Meira Kumar

Jagdish Sharma

Sushil Kumar Singh

Bhola Singh

Bhudeo Choudhary

Vishnu Deo Sai

Murarilal Singh

Shrimati Kamla Devi Patle

Madhusudan Yadav

Chandulal Sahu (Chandu Bhaiya)

Baliram Kashyap

Sohan Potai

Kachhadia Naranbhai

Radadiya Vitthalbhai Hansrajbhai

Chaudhari Tusharbhai Amrasinhbhai

Jat Poonamben Veljibhai

Dr. Prabha Kishor Taviad

Rathwa Ramsingbhai Patalbhai

C. R. Patil

Naveen Jindal

Jitender Singh

Anurag Singh Thakur

Hassan Khan

Sharief Ud Din Shariq

Yashwant Sinha

Nishikant Dubey

Shibu Soren

Devidhan Besra

Inder Singh Namdhari

Babulal Marandi

Ravindra Kumar Pandey

Karia Munda




Jharkhand

Jharkhand

Karnataka

Karnataka

Karnataka

Karnataka

Karnataka

Karnataka

Karnataka

Karnataka

Karnataka

Karnataka

Karnataka

Kerala

Kerala

Kerala

Kerala

Kerala

Kerala

Kerala

Kerala

Kerala

Lakshadweep

Madhya Pradesh

Madhya Pradesh

Madhya Pradesh

Madhya Pradesh

Madhya Pradesh

Madhya Pradesh

Madhya Pradesh

Madhya Pradesh

Madhya Pradesh

Madhya Pradesh

Madhya Pradesh

Madhya Pradesh

Madhya Pradesh

Madhya Pradesh

Madhya Pradesh

Madhya Pradesh

Madhya Pradesh

Maharashtra

Maharashtra

Maharashtra

Maharashtra

Maharashtra

Maharashtra

Maharashtra

Maharashtra

Lohardaga

Palamau

Bidar

Bagalkot

Dharwad

Chamarajanagar

Chikkodi

Koppal

Haveri

Hassan

Chitradurga

Chikkballapur

Kolar

Mavelikkara

Vadakara

Alathur

Chalakudy

Pathanamthitta

Attingal

Wayanad

Ponnani

Idukki

Lakshadweep

Sagar

Hoshangabad

Khandwa

Balaghat

Khargone

Morena

Bhind

Guna

Tikamgarh

Damoh

Khajuraho

Sidhi

Mandla

Chhindwara

Vidisha

Rajgarh

Betul

Yavatmal-Washim

Parbhani

Wardha

Maval

Nandurbar

Raver

Buldhana

Ramtek

Sudarshan Bhagat

Kameshwar Baitha

N.Dharam Singh

Gaddigoudar P.C.

Pralhad Joshi

R.Dhruvanarayana

Katti Ramesh Vishwanath

Shivaramagouda Shivanagouda

Udasi Shivkumar Chanabasappa

H. D. Devegowda

Janardhana Swamy

M.Veerappa Moily

K.H.Muniyappa

Kodikkunnil Suresh

Mullappally Ramachandran

P.K Biju

K.P. Dhanapalan

Anto Antony Punnathaniyil

Adv. A Sampath

M.I. Shanavas

E.T. Muhammed Basheer

Adv. P.T Thomas

Hamdullah Sayeed

Bhupendra Singh

Uday Pratap Singh

Arun Subhashchandra Yadav

K. D. Deshmukh

Makansingh Solanki (Babuji)

Narendra Singh Tomar

Ashok Argal

Jyotiraditya Madhavrao Scindia

Virendra Kumar

Shivraj Bhaiya

Jeetendra Singh Bundela

Govind Prasad Mishra

Basori Singh Masram

Kamal Nath

Sushma Swaraj

Narayansingh Amlabe

Jyoti Dhurve

Bhavana Gawali (Patil)

Adv. Dudhgaonkar Ganeshrao Nagorao

Datta Meghe

Babar Gajanan Dharmshi

Gavit Manikrao Hodlya

Haribhau Madhav Jawale

Jadhav Prataprao Ganpatrao

Wasnik Mukul Balkrishna


Maharashtra

Maharashtra

Maharashtra

Maharashtra

Maharashtra

Maharashtra

Maharashtra

Maharashtra

Maharashtra

Maharashtra

Maharashtra

Maharashtra

Manipur

Manipur

Nagaland

Orissa

Orissa

Orissa

Orissa

Orissa

Orissa

Orissa

Orissa

Orissa

Orissa

Orissa

Orissa

Orissa

Orissa

Orissa

Orissa

Punjab

Punjab

Punjab

Punjab

Punjab

Punjab

Rajasthan

Rajasthan

Rajasthan

Rajasthan

Rajasthan

Rajasthan

Rajasthan

Rajasthan

Rajasthan

Rajasthan

Rajasthan

Bhandara - Gondiya

Gadchiroli-Chimur

Hingoli

Dindori

Raigad

Baramati

Shirur

Shirdi

Beed

Madha

Satara

Hatkanangle

Inner Manipur

Outer Manipur

Nagaland

Cuttack

Bargarh

Keonjhar

Mayurbhanj

Bhadrak

Jajpur

Dhenkanal

Bolangir

Kalahandi

Nabarangpur

Kandhamal

Kendrapara

Jagatsinghpur

Puri

Aska

Koraput

Faridkot

Fatehgarh Sahib

Khadoor Sahib

Anandpur Sahib

Jalandhar

Bathinda

Bhilwara

Ganganagar

Sikar

Jhunjhunu

Chittorgarh

Jaipur Rural

Alwar

Bharatpur

Karauli-Dholpur

Dausa

Nagaur

Patel Praful Manoharbhai

Kowase Marotrao Sainuji

Subhash Bapurao Wankhede

Chavan Harishchandra Deoram

Anant Geete

Supriya Sule

Adhalrao Shivaji Dattatray

Wakchaure Bhausaheb Rajaram

Munde Gopinathrao Pandurang

Pawar Sharadchandra Govindrao

Bhonsle Shrimant Chh. Udyanraje Pratapsinhmaharaj

Shetti Raju Alias Devappa Anna

Dr. Thokchom Meinya

Thangso Baite

C.M. Chang

Bhartruhari Mahtab

Sanjay Bhoi

Yashbant Narayan Singh Laguri

Laxman Tudu

Arjun Charan Sethi

Mohan Jena

Tathagata Satpathy

Kalikesh Narayan Singh Deo

Bhakta Charan Das

Pradeep Kumar Majhi

Rudramadhab Ray

Baijayant Panda

Bibhu Prasad Tarai

Pinaki Misra

Nityananda Pradhan

Jayaram Pangi

Paramjit Kaur Gulshan

Sukhdev Singh

Dr. Rattan Singh Ajnala

Ravneet Singh

Mohinder Singh Kaypee

Harsimrat Kaur Badal

Dr. C. P. Joshi

Bharat Ram Meghwal

Mahadev Singh

Sheesh Ram Ola

(Dr.)Girija Vyas

Lal Chand Kataria

Jitendra Singh

Ratan Singh

Khiladi Lal Bairwa

Kirodi Lal

Dr. Jyoti Mirdha

State Constituency



Winner in 2009

Rajasthan

Rajasthan

Rajasthan

Rajasthan

Rajasthan

Rajasthan

Sikkim

Tamil Nadu

Tamil Nadu

Tamil Nadu

Tamil Nadu

Tamil Nadu

Tamil Nadu

Tamil Nadu

Tamil Nadu

Tamil Nadu

Tamil Nadu

Tamil Nadu

Tamil Nadu

Tamil Nadu

Tamil Nadu

Tamil Nadu

Tamil Nadu

Tamil Nadu

Tamil Nadu

Tamil Nadu

Tamil Nadu

Tamil Nadu

Tamil Nadu

Tripura

Tripura

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Pali

Barmer

Jalore

Banswara

Rajsamand

Jhalawar-Baran

Sikkim

Thanjavur

Dindigul

Thoothukkudi

Namakkal

Theni

Arani

Kallakurichi

Tiruppur

Thiruvallur

Sriperumbudur

Arakkonam

Krishnagiri

Dharmapuri

Tiruvannamalai

Nilgiris

Pollachi

Perambalur

Chidambaram

Mayiladuthurai

Nagapattinam

Ramanathapuram

Tenkasi

Tripura West

Tripura East

Mathura

Jaunpur

Deoria

Shahjahanpur

Etawah

Pratapgarh

Kushi Nagar

Farrukhabad

Gonda

Bahraich

Sambhal

Ballia

Badaun

Nagina

Dhaurahra

Bhadohi

Kairana

Badri Ram Jakhar

Harish Choudhary

Devji Patel

Tarachand Bhagora

Gopal Singh

Dushyant Singh

Prem Das Rai

Palanimanickam.S.S

Chitthan N S V

Jeyadurai.S.R

Gandhiselvan.S

Aaron Rashid.J.M

Krishnasswamy M

Sankar Adhi

Sivasami C

Venugopal.P

Baalu T R

Jagathrakshakan

Sugavanam. E.G.

Thamaraiselvan. R

Venugopal.D

Raja A

Sugumar.K

Napoleon,D.

Thirumaavalavan, Thol

Maniyan O.S.

Vijayan A K S

Sivakumar @ J.K. Ritheesh. K

Lingam P

Khagen Das

Baju Ban Riyan

Jayant Chaudhary

Dhananjay Singh

Gorakh Prasad Jaiswal

Mithlesh

Premdas

Rajkumari Ratna Singh

Ku. Ratanjeet Pratap Narayan Singh

Salman Khursheed

Beni Prasad Verma

Kamal Kishor

Dr. Shafiqur Rahman Barq

Neeraj Shekhar

Dharmendra Yadav

Yashvir Singh

Kunwar Jitin Prasad

Gorakhnath

Tabassum Begum

State Constituency



Winner in 2009

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh

Uttarakhand

Uttarakhand

Uttarakhand

Uttarakhand

West Bengal

West Bengal

West Bengal

West Bengal

West Bengal

Amroha

Baghpat

Bulandshahr

Hathras

Firozabad

Mainpuri

Etah

Aonla

Pilibhit

Hardoi

Misrikh

Unnao

Mohanlalganj

Rae Bareli

Amethi

Sultanpur

Kannauj

Akbarpur

Jalaun

Hamirpur

Banda

Fatehpur

Kaushambi

Phulpur

Barabanki

Ambedkar Nagar

Kaiserganj

Shrawasti

Domariyaganj

Basti

Sant Kabir Nagar

Maharajganj

Bansgaon

Lalganj

Ghosi

Salempur

Machhlishahr

Ghazipur

Robertsganj

Tehri Garhwal

Garhwal

Nainital-Udhamsingh Nagar

Hardwar

Cooch Behar

Ranaghat

Bangaon

Joynagar

Ghatal

Devendra Nagpal

Ajit Singh

Kamlesh

Sarika Singh

Akhilesh Yadav

Mulayam Singh Yadav

Kalyan Singh R O Madholi

Menka Gandhi

Feroze Varun Gandhi

Usha Verma

Ashok Kumar Rawat

Annutandon

Sushila Saroj

Sonia Gandhi

Rahul Gandhi

Dr.Sanjay Singh

Akhilesh Yadav

Rajaram Pal

Ghansyam Anuragi

Vijay Bahadur Singh

R. K. Singh Patel

Rakesh Sachan

Shailendra Kumar

Kapil Muni Karwariya

P.L.Punia

Rakesh Pandey

Brijbhushan Sharan Singh

Vinay Kumar Alias Vinnu

Jagdambika Pal

Arvind Kumar Chaudhary

Bhisma Shankar Alias Kushal Tiwari

Harsh Vardhan

Kamlesh Paswan

Dr. Baliram

Dara Singh Chauhan

Ramashankar Rajbhar

Tufani Saroj

Radhey Mohan Singh

Pakauri Lal

Vijay Bahuguna

Satpal Maharaj

K.C. Singh Baba

Harish Rawat

Nripendra Nath Roy

Sucharu Ranjan Haldar

Gobinda Chandra Naskar

Dr. Tarun Mondal

Gurudas Dasgupta

State Constituency



Winner in 2009

West Bengal

West Bengal

West Bengal

West Bengal

West Bengal

West Bengal

West Bengal

West Bengal

West Bengal

West Bengal

West Bengal

West Bengal

West Bengal

West Bengal

West Bengal

West Bengal

West Bengal

West Bengal

West Bengal

West Bengal

West Bengal

West Bengal

West Bengal

West Bengal

West Bengal

West Bengal

West Bengal

West Bengal

West Bengal

West Bengal

Alipurduars

Jalpaiguri

Darjeeling

Raiganj

Maldaha Uttar

Maldaha Dakshin

Jangipur

Baharampur

Murshidabad

Krishnanagar

Barrackpore

Dum Dum

Barasat

Basirhat

Mathurapur

Diamond Harbour

Jadavpur

Uluberia

Srerampur

Hooghly

Arambagh

Tamluk

Kanthi

Jhargram

Medinipur

Bankura

Bishnupur

Bardhaman Purba

Bolpur

Birbhum

Manohar Tirkey

Mahendra Kumar Roy

Jaswant Singh

Deepa Dasmunsi

Mausam Noor

Abu Hasem Khan Choudhury

Pranab Mukherjee

Adhir Ranjan Chowdhury

Abdul Mannan Hossain

Tapas Paul

Dinesh Trivedi

Sougata Ray

Kakali Ghosh Dastidar

Sk. Nurul Islam

Choudhury Mohan Jatua

Somendra Nath Mitra

Kabir Suman

Sultan Ahmed

Kalyan Banerjee

Dr. Ratna De (Nag)

Malik Sakti Mohan

Adhikari Suvendu

Adhikari Sisir Kumar

Pulin Bihari Baske

Prabodh Panda

Acharia Basudeb

Susmita Bauri

Anup Kumar Saha

Doctor Ram Chandra Dome

Satabdi Roy

State Constituency



Winner in 2009

Appendix 4: State wise data



Hyderabad

Visakhapatnam

Vijayawada

Guntur

Rajahmundry

Kakinada

Tirupati

Nellore

Karimnagar

Narasaraopet

Chittoor

Nizamabad

Vizianagaram

Ongole

Mahbubnagar

Medak

Warangal

Kurnool

Eluru

Anantapur

Srikakulam

Machilipatnam

Malkajgiri

Chelvella

Aruku

Adilabad

Peddapalle

Zahirabad

Secundrabad

Nagarkurnool

Nalgonda

Bhongir

Mahabubabad

Khammam

Anakapalli

Amalapuram

Narsapuram

Bapatla

Nandyal

Hindupur

Kadapa

Rajampet

Shri. Bishnu Pada Ray

Asaduddin Owaisi

Daggubati Purandeswari

Lagadapati Raja Gopal

Rayapati Sambasiva Rao

Aruna Kumar Vundavalli

M.M.Pallamraju

Chinta Mohan

Mekapati Rajamohan Reddy

Ponnam Prabhakar

Modugula Venugopala Reddy

Naramalli Sivaprasad

Madhu Yaskhi Goud

Jhansi Lakshmi Botcha

Magunta Srinivasulu Reddy

K. Chandrasekhar Rao

Vijaya Shanthi .M

Rajaiah Siricilla

Kotla Jaya Surya Prakash Reddy

Kavuri Sambasiva Rao

Anantha Venkata Rami Reddy

Killi Krupa Rani

Konakalla Narayana Rao

Sarvey Sathyanarayana

Jaipal Reddy Sudini

Kishore Chandra Suryanarayana Deo Vyricherla

Rathod Ramesh

Dr.G.Vivekanand

Suresh Kumar Shetkar

Anjan Kumar Yadav M

Dr. Manda Jagannath

Gutha Sukender Reddy

Komatireddy Raj Gopal Reddy

P. Balram

Nama Nageswara Rao

Sabbam Hari

G.V.Harsha Kumar

Bapiraju Kanumuru

Panabaka Lakshmi

S.P.Y.Reddy

Kristappa Nimmala

Y.S. Jagan Mohan Reddy

Annayyagari Sai Prathap

No Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

Low Impact

Low Impact

Low Impact

Low Impact

Low Impact

Medium impact

Medium impact

Medium impact

Medium impact

Medium impact

Medium impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

Andhra Pradesh

Constituency Winner in 2009 Impact


Arunachal West

Arunachal East

Dibrugarh

Silchar

Tezpur

Lakhimpur

Barpeta

Gauhati

Jorhat

Karimganj

Autonomous District

Kaliabor

Dhubri

Kokrajhar

Mangaldoi

Nowgong

Pataliputra

Patna Sahib

Muzaffarpur

Buxar

Gaya

Siwan

Bhagalpur

Katihar

Darbhanga

Madhubani

Valmiki Nagar

Ujiarpur

Karakat

Paschim Champaran

Purvi Champaran

Sheohar

Sitamarhi

Jhanjharpur

Supaul

Araria

Kishanganj

Purnia

Madhepura

Vaishali

Gopalganj

Maharajganj

Saran

Takam Sanjoy

Ninong Ering

Paban Singh Ghatowar

Kabindra Purkayastha

Joseph Toppo

Ranee Narah

Ismail Hussain

Bijoya Chakravarty

Bijoy Krishna Handique

Lalit Mohan Suklabaidya

Biren Singh Engti

Dip Gogoi

Badruddin Ajmal

Sansuma Khunggur Bwiswmuthiary

Ramen Deka

Rajen Gohain

Ranjan Prasad Yadav

Shatrughan Sinha

Captain Jai Narayan Prasad Nishad

Jagada Nand Singh

Hari Manjhi

Om Prakash Yadav

Syed Shahnawaz Hussain

Nikhil Kumar Choudhary

Kirti Azad

Hukmadeo Narayan Yadav

Baidyanath Prasad Mahto

Aswamedh Devi

Mahabali Singh

Dr. Sanjay Jaiswal

Radha Mohan Singh

Rama Devi

Arjun Roy

Mangani Lal Mandal

Vishwa Mohan Kumar

Pradeep Kumar Singh

Mohammad Asrarul Haque

Uday Singh Alias Pappu Singh

Sharad Yadav

Raghuvansh Prasad Singh

Purnmasi Ram

Uma Shanaker Singh

Lalu Prasad

High Impact

Low Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

Low Impact

Low Impact

Medium impact

Medium impact

Medium impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

Low Impact

Low Impact

Medium impact

Medium impact

Medium impact

Medium impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

Arunachal Pradesh

Assam




Bihar

Hajipur

Samastipur

Begusarai

Khagaria

Banka

Munger

Nalanda

Arrah

Sasaram

Jahanabad

Aurangabad

Nawada

Jamui

Chandigarh

Raipur

Bilaspur

Korba

Durg

Raigarh

Sarguja

Janjgir-Champa

Rajnandgaon

Mahasamund

Bastar

Kanker

Dadar & Nagar Haveli

Daman & Diu

North Goa

South Goa

Surat

Rajkot

Bhavnagar

Jamnagar

Kheda

Valsad

Panchmahal

Junagadh

Ram Sundar Das

Maheshwar Hazari

Dr. Monazir Hassan

Dinesh Chandra Yadav

Digvijay Singh

Rajiv Ranjan Singh Alias Lalan Singh

Kaushalendra Kumar

Meena Singh

Meira Kumar

Jagdish Sharma

Sushil Kumar Singh

Bhola Singh

Bhudeo Choudhary

Pawan Kumar Bansal

Ramesh Bais

Dilip Singh Judev

Charan Das Mahant

Saroj Pandey

Vishnu Deo Sai

Murarilal Singh

Shrimati Kamla Devi Patle

Madhusudan Yadav

Chandulal Sahu (Chandu Bhaiya)

Baliram Kashyap

Sohan Potai

Patel Natubhai Gomanbhai

Lalubhai Patel

Shripad Yesso Naik

Cosme Francisco Caitano Sardinha

Shrimati Darshana Vikram Jardosh

Kuvarjibhai Mohanbhai Bavalia

Rajendrasinh Ghanshyamsinh Rana (Rajubhai Rana)

Ahir Vikrambhai Arjanbhai Madam

Dinsha Patel

Kishanbhai Vestabhai Patel

Chauhan Prabhatsinh Pratapsinh

Solanki Dinubhai Boghabhai

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

Low Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

High Impact

Medium impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact




Chandigarh

Chattisgarh

Daman & Diu

Goa

Gujarat

Dadra & Nagar Haveli

Bharuch

Banaskantha

Anand

Mahesana

Sabarkantha

Patan

Surendranagar

Ahmedabad East

Ahmedabad West

Amreli

Porbandar

Vadodara

Gandhinagar

Bardoli

Kachchh

Dahod

Chhota Udaipur

Navsari

Gurgaon

Faridabad

Ambala

Sirsa

Hisar

Kurukshetra

Karnal

Bhiwani-Mahendragarh

Rohtak

Sonipat

Mandi

Kangra

Hamirpur

Shimla

Srinagar

Jammu

Anantnag

Udhampur

Ladakh

Baramulla

Ranchi

Jamshedpur

Mansukhbhai Dhanjibhai Vasava

Gadhvi Mukeshkumar Bheiravdanji

Solanki Bharatbhai Madhavsinh

Patel Jayshreeben Kanubhai

Chauhan Mahendrasinh

Jagdish Thakor

Koli Patel Somabhai Gandalal

Harin Pathak

Dr. Solanki Kiritbhai Premajibhai

Kachhadia Naranbhai

Radadiya Vitthalbhai Hansrajbhai

Balkrishna Khanderao Shukla (Balu Shukla)

L.K.Advani

Chaudhari Tusharbhai Amrasinhbhai

Jat Poonamben Veljibhai

Dr. Prabha Kishor Taviad

Rathwa Ramsingbhai Patalbhai

C. R. Patil

Inderjit Singh

Avtar Singh Bhadana

Selja

Ashok Tanwar

Bhajan Lal S/O Kheraj

Naveen Jindal

Arvind Kumar Sharma

Shruti Choudhry

Deepender Singh

Jitender Singh

Virbhadra Singh

Dr. Rajan Sushant

Anurag Singh Thakur

Virender Kashyap

Farooq Abdullah

Madan Lal Sharma

Mirza Mehboob Beg

Ch. Lal Singh

Hassan Khan

Sharief Ud Din Shariq

Subodh Kant Sahay

Arjun Munda

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

Low Impact

Low Impact

Medium impact

Medium impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

Low Impact

Medium impact

Medium impact

Medium Impact

No Impact

High Impact

High Impact

Low Impact

Medium impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

Low Impact

No Impact

High Impact

High Impact




Haryana

Himachal Pradesh

Jammu & Kashmir

Jharkhand

Dhanbad

Hazaribagh

Godda

Dumka

Singhbhum

Rajmahal

Chatra

Kodarma

Giridih

Khunti

Lohardaga

Palamau

Mysore

Dakshina Kannada

Gulbarga

Bellary

Davanagere

Udupi Chikmagalur

Tumkur

Uttara Kannada

Bangalore Rural

Bangalore North

Bangalore Central

Bangalore South

Bidar

Bagalkot

Dharwad

Chamarajanagar

Belgaum

Bijapur

Shimoga

Raichur

Mandya

Chikkodi

Koppal

Haveri

Hassan

Chitradurga

Chikkballapur

Kolar

Thiruvananthapuram

Ernakulam

Palakkad

Kottayam

Thrissur

Pashupati Nath Singh

Yashwant Sinha

Nishikant Dubey

Shibu Soren

Madhu Kora

Devidhan Besra

Inder Singh Namdhari

Babulal Marandi

Ravindra Kumar Pandey

Karia Munda

Sudarshan Bhagat

Kameshwar Baitha

Adagur H Vishwanath

Nalin Kumar Kateel

Mallikarjun Kharge

J. Shantha

G.M. Siddeswara

D.V.Sadananda Gowda

G.S. Basavaraj

Anantkumar Hegde

H.D.Kumaraswamy

D. B. Chandre Gowda

P. C. Mohan

Ananth Kumar

N.Dharam Singh

Gaddigoudar P.C.

Pralhad Joshi

R.Dhruvanarayana

Angadi Suresh Channabasappa

Ramesh Chandappa Jigajinagi

B.Y. Raghavendra

Pakkirappa.S.

N Cheluvaraya Swamy @ Swamygowda

Katti Ramesh Vishwanath

Shivaramagouda Shivanagouda

Udasi Shivkumar Chanabasappa

H. D. Devegowda

Janardhana Swamy

M.Veerappa Moily

K.H.Muniyappa

Shashi Tharoor

Prof. K V Thomas

M.B. Rajesh

Jose K.Mani (Karingozheckal)

P C Chacko

High Impact

Low Impact

Low Impact

Low Impact

High impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

Low Impact

Low Impact

Low Impact

Low Impact

Medium impact

Medium impact

Medium impact

Medium impact

Medium impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact




Karnataka

Kerala

Alappuzha

Kollam

Malappuram

Kozhikode

Kannur

Mavelikkara

Kasaragod

Vadakara

Alathur

Chalakudy

Pathanamthitta

Attingal

Wayanad

Ponnani

Idukki

Lakshadweep

Indore

Bhopal

Gwalior

Jabalpur

Ujjain

Rewa

Satna

Dewas

Dhar

Sagar

Hoshangabad

Khandwa

Balaghat

Khargone

Ratlam

Shahdol

Mandsour

Morena

Bhind

Guna

Tikamgarh

Damoh

Khajuraho

Sidhi

Mandla

Chhindwara

Vidisha

Rajgarh

K.C Venugopal

N.Peethambarakurup

E. Ahamed

M.K. Raghavan

K. Sudhakaran

Kodikkunnil Suresh

P Karunakaran

Mullappally Ramachandran

P.K Biju

K.P. Dhanapalan

Anto Antony Punnathaniyil

Adv. A Sampath

M.I. Shanavas

E.T. Muhammed Basheer

Adv. P.T Thomas

Hamdullah Sayeed

Sumitra Mahajan (Tai)

Kailash Joshi

Yashodhara Raje Scindia

Rakesh Singh

Guddu Premchand

Deoraj Singh Patel

Ganesh Singh

Sajjan Singh Verma

Gajendra Singh Rajukhedi

Bhupendra Singh

Uday Pratap Singh

Arun Subhashchandra Yadav

K. D. Deshmukh

Makansingh Solanki (Babuji)

Kantilal Bhuria

Rajesh Nandini Singh

Meenakshi Natrajan

Narendra Singh Tomar

Ashok Argal

Jyotiraditya Madhavrao Scindia

Virendra Kumar

Shivraj Bhaiya

Jeetendra Singh Bundela

Govind Prasad Mishra

Basori Singh Masram

Kamal Nath

Sushma Swaraj

Narayansingh Amlabe

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

Low Impact

Medium impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

Low Impact

Low Impact

Low Impact

Low Impact

Low Impact

Medium impact

Medium impact

Medium impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact




Lakshadweep

Madhya Pradesh

Betul

Pune

Nagpur

Aurangabad

Nashik

Thane

Kolhapur

Kalyan

Latur

Dhule

Sangli

Amravati

Jalna

Ahmadnagar

Osmanabad

Chandrapur

Mumbai North

Mumbai North West

Mumbai North East

Mumbai North Central

Mumbai South Central

Mumbai South

Yavatmal-Washim

Parbhani

Wardha

Solapur

Nanded

Akola

Jalgaon

Ratnagiri - Sindhudurg

Bhiwandi

Palghar

Maval

Nandurbar

Raver

Buldhana

Ramtek

Bhandara - Gondiya

Gadchiroli-Chimur

Hingoli

Dindori

Raigad

Baramati

Shirur

Shirdi

Beed

Jyoti Dhurve

Kalmadi Suresh

Muttemwar Vilasrao Baburaoji

Chandrakant Khaire

Sameer Bhujbal

Dr.Sanjeev Ganesh Naik

Sadashivrao Dadoba Mandlik

Anand Prakash Paranjape

Awale Jaywant Gangaram

Sonawane Pratap Narayanrao

Pratik Prakashbapu Patil

Adsul Anandrao Vithoba

Danve Raosaheb Dadarao

Gandhi Dilipkumar Mansukhlal

Patil Padamsinha Bajirao

Ahir Hansaraj Gangaram

Sanjay Brijkishorlal Nirupam

Ad.Kamat Gurudas Vasant

Sanjay Dina Patil

Dutt Priya Sunil

Eknath M. Gaikwad

Deora Milind Murli

Bhavana Gawali (Patil)

Adv. Dudhgaonkar Ganeshrao Nagorao

Datta Meghe

Shinde Sushilkumar Sambhajirao

Khatgaonkar Patil Bhaskarrao Bapurao

Dhotre Sanjay Shamrao

A.T. Nana Patil

Dr.Nilesh Narayan Rane

Taware Suresh Kashinath

Jadhav Baliram Sukur

Babar Gajanan Dharmshi

Gavit Manikrao Hodlya

Haribhau Madhav Jawale

Jadhav Prataprao Ganpatrao

Wasnik Mukul Balkrishna

Patel Praful Manoharbhai

Kowase Marotrao Sainuji

Subhash Bapurao Wankhede

Chavan Harishchandra Deoram

Anant Geete

Supriya Sule

Adhalrao Shivaji Dattatray

Wakchaure Bhausaheb Rajaram

Munde Gopinathrao Pandurang

No Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

Low Impact

Low Impact

Low Impact

Medium impact

Medium impact

Medium impact

Medium impact

Medium impact

Medium impact

Medium impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact




Maharashtra

Madha

Satara

Hatkanangle

Inner Manipur

Outer Manipur

Shillong

Tura

Mizoram

Nagaland

Chandni Chowk

North East Delhi

East Delhi

New Delhi

North West Delhi

West Delhi

South Delhi

Sambalpur

Cuttack

Bhubaneswar

Berhampur

Balasore

Sundargarh

Bargarh

Keonjhar

Mayurbhanj

Bhadrak

Jajpur

Dhenkanal

Bolangir

Kalahandi

Nabarangpur

Kandhamal

Kendrapara

Jagatsinghpur

Puri

Pawar Sharadchandra Govindrao

Bhonsle Shrimant Chh. Udyanraje Pratapsinhmaharaj

Shetti Raju Alias Devappa Anna

Dr. Thokchom Meinya

Thangso Baite

Vincent H Pala

Agatha K. Sangma

C.L.Ruala

C.M. Chang

Kapil Sibal

Jai Prakash Agarwal

Sandeep Dikshit

Ajay Makan

Krishna Tirath

Mahabal Mishra

Ramesh Kumar

Amarnath Pradhan

Bhartruhari Mahtab

Prasanna Kumar Patasani

Sidhant Mohapatra

Srikant Kumar Jena

Hemanand Biswal

Sanjay Bhoi

Yashbant Narayan Singh Laguri

Laxman Tudu

Arjun Charan Sethi

Mohan Jena

Tathagata Satpathy

Kalikesh Narayan Singh Deo

Bhakta Charan Das

Pradeep Kumar Majhi

Rudramadhab Ray

Baijayant Panda

Bibhu Prasad Tarai

Pinaki Misra

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

Medium impact

Medium impact

Medium impact

No Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

Low Impact

Medium impact

Medium impact

Medium impact

Medium impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

Manipur

Meghalaya

Mizoram




Nagaland

NCT OF Delhi

Orissa

Aska

Koraput

Puducherry

Ludhiana

Amritsar

Hoshiarpur

Patiala

Gurdaspur

Faridkot

Fatehgarh Sahib

Sangrur

Ferozpur

Khadoor Sahib

Anandpur Sahib

Jalandhar

Bathinda

Jaipur

Jodhpur

Kota

Bikaner

Tonk-Sawai Madhopur

Bhilwara

Ganganagar

Sikar

Jhunjhunu

Chittorgarh

Udaipur

Ajmer

Churu

Jaipur Rural

Alwar

Bharatpur

Karauli-Dholpur

Dausa

Nagaur

Pali

Barmer

Jalore

Banswara

Rajsamand

Jhalawar-Baran

Nityananda Pradhan

Jayaram Pangi

Narayanasamy

Manish Tewari

Navjot Singh Sidhu

Santosh Chowdhary

Preneet Kaur

Partap Singh Bajwa

Paramjit Kaur Gulshan

Sukhdev Singh

Vijay Inder Singla

Sher Singh Ghubaya

Dr. Rattan Singh Ajnala

Ravneet Singh

Mohinder Singh Kaypee

Harsimrat Kaur Badal

Mahesh Joshi

Chandresh Kumari

Ijyaraj Singh

Arjun Ram Meghwal

Namo Narain

Dr. C. P. Joshi

Bharat Ram Meghwal

Mahadev Singh

Sheesh Ram Ola

(Dr.)Girija Vyas

Raghuvir Singh Meena

Sachin Pilot

Ram Singh Kaswan

Lal Chand Kataria

Jitendra Singh

Ratan Singh

Khiladi Lal Bairwa

Kirodi Lal

Dr. Jyoti Mirdha

Badri Ram Jakhar

Harish Choudhary

Devji Patel

Tarachand Bhagora

Gopal Singh

Dushyant Singh

No Impact

No Impact

Medium impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

Low Impact

Low Impact

Medium impact

Medium impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

Low Impact

Low Impact

Low Impact

Low Impact

Low Impact

Medium impact

Medium impact

Medium impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact




Puducherry

Punjab

Rajasthan

Sikkim

Coimbatore

Salem

Tirunelveli

Erode

Madurai

Viluppuram

Virudhunagar

Kancheepuram

Sivaganga

Chennai North

Chennai South

Chennai Central

Thanjavur

Dindigul

Thoothukkudi

Namakkal

Theni

Vellore

Kanniyakumari

Cuddalore

Tiruchirappalli

Karur

Arani

Kallakurichi

Tiruppur

Thiruvallur

Sriperumbudur

Arakkonam

Krishnagiri

Dharmapuri

Tiruvannamalai

Nilgiris

Pollachi

Perambalur

Chidambaram

Mayiladuthurai

Nagapattinam

Ramanathapuram

Tenkasi

Tripura West

Tripura East

Prem Das Rai

Natarajan.P.R.

Semmalai S

Ramasubbu S

Ganeshamurthi.A.

Alagiri M.K

Anandan M

Manicka Tagore

Viswanathan.P

Chidambaram P

Elangovan T.K.S

Rajendran C

Dayanidhi Maran

Palanimanickam.S.S

Chitthan N S V

Jeyadurai.S.R

Gandhiselvan.S

Aaron Rashid.J.M

Abdul Rahman

Helen Davidson J

Alagiri S

Kumar.P

Thambidurai.M

Krishnasswamy M

Sankar Adhi

Sivasami C

Venugopal.P

Baalu T R

Jagathrakshakan

Sugavanam. E.G.

Thamaraiselvan. R

Venugopal.D

Raja A

Sugumar.K

Napoleon,D.

Thirumaavalavan, Thol

Maniyan O.S.

Vijayan A K S

Sivakumar @ J.K. Ritheesh. K

Lingam P

Khagen Das

Baju Ban Riyan

No Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

Low Impact

Low Impact

Low Impact

Low Impact

Low Impact

Medium impact

Medium impact

Medium impact

Medium impact

Medium impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

Low Impact

No Impact




Tamil Nadu

Tripura

Sikkim

Lucknow

Kanpur

Gautam Buddh Nagar

Allahabad

Varanasi

Agra

Ghaziabad

Meerut

Bareilly

Aligarh

Moradabad

Muzaffarnagar

Chandauli

Kheri

Mathura

Jaunpur

Deoria

Shahjahanpur

Etawah

Pratapgarh

Kushi Nagar

Farrukhabad

Gonda

Bahraich

Sambhal

Ballia

Badaun

Gorakhpur

Jhansi

Saharanpur

Rampur

Azamgarh

Sitapur

Faizabad

Bijnor

Fatehpur Sikri

Mirzapur

Nagina

Dhaurahra

Bhadohi

Kairana

Amroha

Baghpat

Bulandshahr

Hathras

Firozabad

Mainpuri

Lal Ji Tandon

Sri Prakash Jaiswal

Surendra Singh Nagar

Kunwar Rewati Raman Singh Alias Mani Ji

Dr. Murli Manohar Joshi

Dr. Ramshankar

Rajnath Singh

Rajendra Agarwal

Praveen Singh Aron

Raj Kumari Chauhan

Mohammed Azharuddin

Kadir Rana

Ramkishun

Zafar Ali Naqvi

Jayant Chaudhary

Dhananjay Singh

Gorakh Prasad Jaiswal

Mithlesh

Premdas

Rajkumari Ratna Singh

Ku. Ratanjeet Pratap Narayan Singh

Salman Khursheed

Beni Prasad Verma

Kamal Kishor

Dr. Shafiqur Rahman Barq

Neeraj Shekhar

Dharmendra Yadav

Adityanath

Pradeep Kumar Jain (Aditya)

Jagdish Singh Rana

Jaya Prada Nahata

Ramakant Yadav

Kaisar Jahan

Nirmal Khatri

Sanjay Singh Chauhan

Seema Upadhyay

Bal Kumar Patel

Yashvir Singh

Kunwar Jitin Prasad

Gorakhnath

Tabassum Begum

Devendra Nagpal

Ajit Singh

Kamlesh

Sarika Singh

Akhilesh Yadav

Mulayam Singh Yadav

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

Low Impact

Low Impact

Low Impact

Low Impact

Low Impact

Low Impact

Low Impact

Low Impact

Low Impact

Low Impact

Low Impact

Low Impact

Low Impact

Medium impact

Medium impact

Medium impact

Medium impact

Medium impact

Medium impact

Medium impact

Medium impact

Medium impact

Medium impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact




Uttar Pradesh

Etah

Aonla

Pilibhit

Hardoi

Misrikh

Unnao

Mohanlalganj

Rae Bareli

Amethi

Sultanpur

Kannauj

Akbarpur

Jalaun

Hamirpur

Banda

Fatehpur

Kaushambi

Phulpur

Barabanki

Ambedkar Nagar

Kaiserganj

Shrawasti

Domariyaganj

Basti

Sant Kabir Nagar

Maharajganj

Bansgaon

Lalganj

Ghosi

Salempur

Machhlishahr

Ghazipur

Robertsganj

Almora

Tehri Garhwal

Garhwal

Nainital-Udhamsingh Nagar

Hardwar

Howrah

Balurghat

Kolkata Dakshin

Kolkata Uttar

Cooch Behar

Burdwan - Durgapur

Asansol

Kalyan Singh R O Madholi

Menka Gandhi

Feroze Varun Gandhi

Usha Verma

Ashok Kumar Rawat

Annutandon

Sushila Saroj

Sonia Gandhi

Rahul Gandhi

Dr.Sanjay Singh

Akhilesh Yadav

Rajaram Pal

Ghansyam Anuragi

Vijay Bahadur Singh

R. K. Singh Patel

Rakesh Sachan

Shailendra Kumar

Kapil Muni Karwariya

P.L.Punia

Rakesh Pandey

Brijbhushan Sharan Singh

Vinay Kumar Alias Vinnu

Jagdambika Pal

Arvind Kumar Chaudhary

Bhisma Shankar Alias Kushal Tiwari

Harsh Vardhan

Kamlesh Paswan

Dr. Baliram

Dara Singh Chauhan

Ramashankar Rajbhar

Tufani Saroj

Radhey Mohan Singh

Pakauri Lal

Pradeep Tamta

Vijay Bahuguna

Satpal Maharaj

K.C. Singh Baba

Harish Rawat

Ambica Banerjee

Prasanta Kumar Majumdar

Mamata Banerjee

Sudip Bandyopadhyay

Nripendra Nath Roy

Sk. Saidul Haque

Bansa Gopal Chowdhury

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

High Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

High Impact

Low Impact

Medium impact

Medium impact




Uttarakhand

West Bengal

Purulia

Ranaghat

Bangaon

Joynagar

Ghatal

Alipurduars

Jalpaiguri

Darjeeling

Raiganj

Maldaha Uttar

Maldaha Dakshin

Jangipur

Baharampur

Murshidabad

Krishnanagar

Barrackpore

Dum Dum

Barasat

Basirhat

Mathurapur

Diamond Harbour

Jadavpur

Uluberia

Srerampur

Hooghly

Arambagh

Tamluk

Kanthi

Jhargram

Medinipur

Bankura

Bishnupur

Bardhaman Purba

Bolpur

Birbhum

Narahari Mahato

Sucharu Ranjan Haldar

Gobinda Chandra Naskar

Dr. Tarun Mondal

Gurudas Dasgupta

Manohar Tirkey

Mahendra Kumar Roy

Jaswant Singh

Deepa Dasmunsi

Mausam Noor

Abu Hasem Khan Choudhury

Pranab Mukherjee

Adhir Ranjan Chowdhury

Abdul Mannan Hossain

Tapas Paul

Dinesh Trivedi

Sougata Ray

Kakali Ghosh Dastidar

Sk. Nurul Islam

Choudhury Mohan Jatua

Somendra Nath Mitra

Kabir Suman

Sultan Ahmed

Kalyan Banerjee

Dr. Ratna De (Nag)

Malik Sakti Mohan

Adhikari Suvendu

Adhikari Sisir Kumar

Pulin Bihari Baske

Prabodh Panda

Acharia Basudeb

Susmita Bauri

Anup Kumar Saha

Doctor Ram Chandra Dome

Satabdi Roy

Medium impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact

No Impact




INC

BJP

SP

BSP

JD(U)

AITC

DMK

CPM

BJD

SHS

ADMK

NCP

TDP

RLD

CPI

RJD

SAD

JD(S)

JKN

AIFB

JMM

MUL

RSP

TRS

AGP

AIMIM

AUDF

BOPF

BVA

HJCBL

JVM

KEC(M)

MDMK

NPF

SDF

SWP

VCK

Appendix 5: Party wise impact

PARTYIMPACT LEVEL

TOTALHIGH MEDIUM LOW NO

75

44

2

4

2

3

3

2

3

3

4

2

1

1

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

28

18

2

3

2

3

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

27

11

4

3

3

1

1

2

1

1

1

1

2

76

43

15

11

18

16

10

10

11

6

4

4

3

3

4

3

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

206

116

23

21

20

19

18

16

14

11

9

9

6

5

4

4

4

3

3

2

2

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1


IRIS Knowledge Foundation is a public service initiative of IRIS Business Services Limited. The

Foundation best known for its social sciences research portal www.esocialsciences.com, seeks to

encourage research in the social sciences. We are committed to promoting younger researchers and new

research ideas. We seek to encourage policy discussion through a section that provides information,

commentary and resources and encourages discourse even as we keep scholars posted on current

developments in the field.

Media Contact: Parag Pilankar (Phone: +91 9920593555, email: ) A copy of the study may be downloaded from .

[email protected]

About IRIS Knowledge Foundation

All rights to this study remain with the Foundation. All logos and trademarks used herein are owned by the respective entities and

used in this study only for reference representation.

This study has been carried out by the IRIS Knowledge Foundation based on data available publicly on the Facebook website by

following the link: Ads manager. The study has been financed entirely by IRIS Knowledge Foundation. No external support in any

form has been obtained from any other group, corporate, political or otherwise.

The data on Facebook keeps changing from time to time and hence the inferences may also vary. No efforts have been spared to

ensure the integrity of data and analysis.

No part of this study may be cited or reproduced without the explicit written permission of the Foundation. Media may cite the

study under conventionally accepted fair use policy but may not seek to sell the study for any consideration, in cash or kind.

An updated version of the study will be produced closer to the date of the elections.

The team that carried out this study includes Parag Pilankar, Nitasha Rana, Mayur Narvekar, under the guidance of S

Swaminathan. The Foundation is grateful to Dr. S. Chandrasekhar, Associate Professor, IGIDR and Dr. Subho Ray, President, IAMAI

for their comments on an earlier version of this report. Any error though is entirely attributable to the team which worked on the

study. Such errors, if any, are regretted.

Please feel free to write to the Foundation with your comments about the study. All comments may be forwarded to

[email protected]

Disclaimer


The Internet and Mobile Association of India [IAMAI] is the industry association representing the entire

gamut of digital businesses in India. Established in 2004 by leading online publishers, it has come to

address effectively the challenges facing the digital and online industry including mobile content and

services, online publishing, mobile advertising, online advertising, ecommerce and mobile and digital

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