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SERIS is a research institute at the National University of Singapore (NUS). SERIS is sponsored by the National University of Singapore (NUS) and Singapore ʼ s National Research Foundation (NRF) through the Singapore Economic Development Board (EDB). 1 Solar cell technologies – present and future Joachim LUTHER , Armin ABERLE and Peter Wuerfel Solar Energy Research Institute of Singapore (SERIS) Nature Photonics Technology Conference, Tokyo, Japan 20 October 2010
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Page 1: Solar cell technologies – present and future · 2017-09-29 · Plastic photovoltaics Source: Konarka. ... in-line process analysis new schemes for contacting, ... (Semiconductor)

SERIS is a research institute at the National University of Singapore (NUS). SERIS is sponsored by the National University of Singapore (NUS) and Singapore ʼs National Research Foundation (NRF) through the Singapore Economic Development Board (EDB).

1

Solar cell technologies – present and future

Joachim LUTHER , Armin ABERLE and Peter Wuerfel

Solar Energy Research Institute of Singapore (SERIS)

Nature Photonics Technology Conference, Tokyo, Japan 20 October 2010

Page 2: Solar cell technologies – present and future · 2017-09-29 · Plastic photovoltaics Source: Konarka. ... in-line process analysis new schemes for contacting, ... (Semiconductor)

SERIS is a research institute at the National University of Singapore (NUS). SERIS is sponsored by the National University of Singapore (NUS) and Singapore ʼs National Research Foundation (NRF) through the Singapore Economic Development Board (EDB).

2

  Main market technologies (PV cells)

Status of photovoltaics (market and prices)

Benchmarks for PV technologies 2010

Routes for performance enhancement of today's market technologies

Principles of PV energy conversion – compass for navigation

Concluding remarks

Outline

Page 3: Solar cell technologies – present and future · 2017-09-29 · Plastic photovoltaics Source: Konarka. ... in-line process analysis new schemes for contacting, ... (Semiconductor)

SERIS is a research institute at the National University of Singapore (NUS). SERIS is sponsored by the National University of Singapore (NUS) and Singapore ʼs National Research Foundation (NRF) through the Singapore Economic Development Board (EDB).

3

Market shares of PV technologies 2009

82% 18% Total PV market in 2009

15% 4%

77%

4% Thin film PV market in 2009

Thin films Si Wafers

CdTe ClGS a-Si micromorph-Si

Page 4: Solar cell technologies – present and future · 2017-09-29 · Plastic photovoltaics Source: Konarka. ... in-line process analysis new schemes for contacting, ... (Semiconductor)

SERIS is a research institute at the National University of Singapore (NUS). SERIS is sponsored by the National University of Singapore (NUS) and Singapore ʼs National Research Foundation (NRF) through the Singapore Economic Development Board (EDB).

4

Silicon wafer photovoltaics Status 2010

  Production of silicon wafer PV is growing rapidly (> 30 % p.a.)

  Proven technical lifetime of > 20 years

  Module efficiencies 13 - 20%

  Applications: All market segments, in particular those with limited space availability (high efficiency required)

Page 5: Solar cell technologies – present and future · 2017-09-29 · Plastic photovoltaics Source: Konarka. ... in-line process analysis new schemes for contacting, ... (Semiconductor)

SERIS is a research institute at the National University of Singapore (NUS). SERIS is sponsored by the National University of Singapore (NUS) and Singapore ʼs National Research Foundation (NRF) through the Singapore Economic Development Board (EDB).

5

Thin-film photovoltaics Status 2010

  Thin-film PV production is growing rapidly (> 30% p.a.)

  Module efficiencies 4 - 13 %

  Semiconductor material consumption reduced about 100 times compared to Si wafer PV

  Warranted technical lifetime of 20 years

  Main applications: Green-field power plants, BIPV

Page 6: Solar cell technologies – present and future · 2017-09-29 · Plastic photovoltaics Source: Konarka. ... in-line process analysis new schemes for contacting, ... (Semiconductor)

SERIS is a research institute at the National University of Singapore (NUS). SERIS is sponsored by the National University of Singapore (NUS) and Singapore ʼs National Research Foundation (NRF) through the Singapore Economic Development Board (EDB).

6

Concentrating photovoltaics, examples

SolFocus

Concentrix

Emcore

Amonix

Page 7: Solar cell technologies – present and future · 2017-09-29 · Plastic photovoltaics Source: Konarka. ... in-line process analysis new schemes for contacting, ... (Semiconductor)

SERIS is a research institute at the National University of Singapore (NUS). SERIS is sponsored by the National University of Singapore (NUS) and Singapore ʼs National Research Foundation (NRF) through the Singapore Economic Development Board (EDB).

7

Multi-junction solar cell, for concentrating and space applications

Wavelength [nm]

Spec

tral p

ower

den

sity

[W/m

2 m

]

Page 8: Solar cell technologies – present and future · 2017-09-29 · Plastic photovoltaics Source: Konarka. ... in-line process analysis new schemes for contacting, ... (Semiconductor)

SERIS is a research institute at the National University of Singapore (NUS). SERIS is sponsored by the National University of Singapore (NUS) and Singapore ʼs National Research Foundation (NRF) through the Singapore Economic Development Board (EDB).

8

Plastic photovoltaics

Source: Konarka

Page 9: Solar cell technologies – present and future · 2017-09-29 · Plastic photovoltaics Source: Konarka. ... in-line process analysis new schemes for contacting, ... (Semiconductor)

SERIS is a research institute at the National University of Singapore (NUS). SERIS is sponsored by the National University of Singapore (NUS) and Singapore ʼs National Research Foundation (NRF) through the Singapore Economic Development Board (EDB).

9

Main market technologies (PV cells)

  Status of photovoltaics (market and prices)

Benchmarks for PV technologies 2010

Routes for performance enhancement of today's market technologies

Principles of PV energy conversion – compass for navigation

Concluding remarks

Outline

Page 10: Solar cell technologies – present and future · 2017-09-29 · Plastic photovoltaics Source: Konarka. ... in-line process analysis new schemes for contacting, ... (Semiconductor)

SERIS is a research institute at the National University of Singapore (NUS). SERIS is sponsored by the National University of Singapore (NUS) and Singapore ʼs National Research Foundation (NRF) through the Singapore Economic Development Board (EDB).

10

Status of Photovoltaics 2009

Cumulative PV capacity globally installed 22 GWp

PV fraction of global electricity generation 0.1 %

PV fraction of German electricity generation 1.0 %

PV power installed in 2009 7 GWp

CAGR* (%) since 2000 ~ 40%

Global market volume, 2009 US$ 25 billion

*CAGR – Compounded annual growth rate Source: SERIS market research 2010

Page 11: Solar cell technologies – present and future · 2017-09-29 · Plastic photovoltaics Source: Konarka. ... in-line process analysis new schemes for contacting, ... (Semiconductor)

SERIS is a research institute at the National University of Singapore (NUS). SERIS is sponsored by the National University of Singapore (NUS) and Singapore ʼs National Research Foundation (NRF) through the Singapore Economic Development Board (EDB).

11

Source: European Photovoltaic Industry Association (EPIA)

PV installations, annual market

0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000

10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 18,000

2000 2003 2006 2008 2009 2010e

MW

p

Rest of World China Japan USA Rest of EU Germany

Manufacturing capacity 2010: 24 GW Si wafer + 7 GW thin-film

Page 12: Solar cell technologies – present and future · 2017-09-29 · Plastic photovoltaics Source: Konarka. ... in-line process analysis new schemes for contacting, ... (Semiconductor)

SERIS is a research institute at the National University of Singapore (NUS). SERIS is sponsored by the National University of Singapore (NUS) and Singapore ʼs National Research Foundation (NRF) through the Singapore Economic Development Board (EDB).

12

Price experience (learning) curve, silicon-wafer based modules

1

10

1 10 100 1 000 10 000 100 000

Cumulative Power MWp

Euro

/ Wp

2

5

Source: Solar Generation, IEA-PVPS 2006; SERIS market research 2010

September 2010

Page 13: Solar cell technologies – present and future · 2017-09-29 · Plastic photovoltaics Source: Konarka. ... in-line process analysis new schemes for contacting, ... (Semiconductor)

SERIS is a research institute at the National University of Singapore (NUS). SERIS is sponsored by the National University of Singapore (NUS) and Singapore ʼs National Research Foundation (NRF) through the Singapore Economic Development Board (EDB).

13

Main market technologies (PV cells)

Status of photovoltaics (market and prices)

  Benchmarks for PV technologies 2010

Routes for performance enhancement of today's market technologies

Principles of PV energy conversion – compass for navigation

Concluding remarks

Outline

Page 14: Solar cell technologies – present and future · 2017-09-29 · Plastic photovoltaics Source: Konarka. ... in-line process analysis new schemes for contacting, ... (Semiconductor)

SERIS is a research institute at the National University of Singapore (NUS). SERIS is sponsored by the National University of Singapore (NUS) and Singapore ʼs National Research Foundation (NRF) through the Singapore Economic Development Board (EDB).

14

Benchmarks for PV 2010, bulk power technologies

Module efficiency > 10%

Technical lifetime of modules 25 years

Module prices 2010 1.5 €/Wp

Solar electricity cost 20 € cents/kWh (at solar input 1 500 kWh m-2 a-1)

Page 15: Solar cell technologies – present and future · 2017-09-29 · Plastic photovoltaics Source: Konarka. ... in-line process analysis new schemes for contacting, ... (Semiconductor)

SERIS is a research institute at the National University of Singapore (NUS). SERIS is sponsored by the National University of Singapore (NUS) and Singapore ʼs National Research Foundation (NRF) through the Singapore Economic Development Board (EDB).

15

Non-bulk power technologies, requirements, examples

  Building-integrated PV   excellent esthetics   semi-transparent

  Small power applications   flexible   compatibility with other

materials

Page 16: Solar cell technologies – present and future · 2017-09-29 · Plastic photovoltaics Source: Konarka. ... in-line process analysis new schemes for contacting, ... (Semiconductor)

SERIS is a research institute at the National University of Singapore (NUS). SERIS is sponsored by the National University of Singapore (NUS) and Singapore ʼs National Research Foundation (NRF) through the Singapore Economic Development Board (EDB).

16

Main market technologies (PV cells)

Status of photovoltaics (market and prices)

Benchmarks for PV technologies 2010

  Routes for performance enhancement of today's market technologies

Principles of PV energy conversion – compass for navigation

Concluding remarks

Outline

Page 17: Solar cell technologies – present and future · 2017-09-29 · Plastic photovoltaics Source: Konarka. ... in-line process analysis new schemes for contacting, ... (Semiconductor)

SERIS is a research institute at the National University of Singapore (NUS). SERIS is sponsored by the National University of Singapore (NUS) and Singapore ʼs National Research Foundation (NRF) through the Singapore Economic Development Board (EDB).

17

Cost reduction in solar electricity

Page 18: Solar cell technologies – present and future · 2017-09-29 · Plastic photovoltaics Source: Konarka. ... in-line process analysis new schemes for contacting, ... (Semiconductor)

SERIS is a research institute at the National University of Singapore (NUS). SERIS is sponsored by the National University of Singapore (NUS) and Singapore ʼs National Research Foundation (NRF) through the Singapore Economic Development Board (EDB).

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  selective emitters

  all-back-contact cells

  n-type silicon

  better light trapping

  better surface passivation

  hetero-junction cells

Silicon wafer technologies, routes to higher efficiency, examples

Page 19: Solar cell technologies – present and future · 2017-09-29 · Plastic photovoltaics Source: Konarka. ... in-line process analysis new schemes for contacting, ... (Semiconductor)

SERIS is a research institute at the National University of Singapore (NUS). SERIS is sponsored by the National University of Singapore (NUS) and Singapore ʼs National Research Foundation (NRF) through the Singapore Economic Development Board (EDB).

19

Thin-film technologies, routes to higher efficiency, examples

  Improved light trapping (textured TCOs, textured glass, …)

  Improved TCOs (less parasitic absorption, better conductivity)

  Improved semiconductor material quality (lower contamination levels, improved doping control)

  Tandem solar cells

Page 20: Solar cell technologies – present and future · 2017-09-29 · Plastic photovoltaics Source: Konarka. ... in-line process analysis new schemes for contacting, ... (Semiconductor)

SERIS is a research institute at the National University of Singapore (NUS). SERIS is sponsored by the National University of Singapore (NUS) and Singapore ʼs National Research Foundation (NRF) through the Singapore Economic Development Board (EDB).

20

Less material consumption in PV, examples

  Thin-film technologies   CdTe   Silicon   ClGS   III-V, plastic, dye

  Ultra-thin wafers  transfer technology (ion

implantation for separation)

Page 21: Solar cell technologies – present and future · 2017-09-29 · Plastic photovoltaics Source: Konarka. ... in-line process analysis new schemes for contacting, ... (Semiconductor)

SERIS is a research institute at the National University of Singapore (NUS). SERIS is sponsored by the National University of Singapore (NUS) and Singapore ʼs National Research Foundation (NRF) through the Singapore Economic Development Board (EDB).

21

  Wafer technologies   in-line technologies   in-line process analysis  new schemes for contacting,

passivation, module assembly, …

  Thin-film technologies   optimisation of layer deposition   improve TCOs, light trapping,

interconnection, encapsulation, … 

Routes to optimised manufacture, examples

General remark: Integrated production today favourable

Page 22: Solar cell technologies – present and future · 2017-09-29 · Plastic photovoltaics Source: Konarka. ... in-line process analysis new schemes for contacting, ... (Semiconductor)

SERIS is a research institute at the National University of Singapore (NUS). SERIS is sponsored by the National University of Singapore (NUS) and Singapore ʼs National Research Foundation (NRF) through the Singapore Economic Development Board (EDB).

22

Main market technologies (PV cells)

Status of photovoltaics (market and prices)

Benchmarks for PV technologies 2010

Routes for performance enhancement of today's market technologies

  Principles of PV energy conversion – compass for navigation

Concluding remarks

Outline

Page 23: Solar cell technologies – present and future · 2017-09-29 · Plastic photovoltaics Source: Konarka. ... in-line process analysis new schemes for contacting, ... (Semiconductor)

SERIS is a research institute at the National University of Singapore (NUS). SERIS is sponsored by the National University of Singapore (NUS) and Singapore ʼs National Research Foundation (NRF) through the Singapore Economic Development Board (EDB).

23

Converter

EExergie

EExergie = ( Ein - Eout ) - Tamb ·( Sin - Sout )

Ein

Sin

Eout

Sout

S Q

Tamb

Thermodynamic analysis, photovoltaic energy conversion

Page 24: Solar cell technologies – present and future · 2017-09-29 · Plastic photovoltaics Source: Konarka. ... in-line process analysis new schemes for contacting, ... (Semiconductor)

SERIS is a research institute at the National University of Singapore (NUS). SERIS is sponsored by the National University of Singapore (NUS) and Singapore ʼs National Research Foundation (NRF) through the Singapore Economic Development Board (EDB).

24

Ts = 5777 K Tc = 300 K

effic

ienc

y

0%

40%

80%

100%

60%

20%

1 10 100 1000 10000

optical concentration

Source: R. Sizmann 1991

Thermodynamic limits, photovoltaic energy conversion

Page 25: Solar cell technologies – present and future · 2017-09-29 · Plastic photovoltaics Source: Konarka. ... in-line process analysis new schemes for contacting, ... (Semiconductor)

SERIS is a research institute at the National University of Singapore (NUS). SERIS is sponsored by the National University of Singapore (NUS) and Singapore ʼs National Research Foundation (NRF) through the Singapore Economic Development Board (EDB).

25

(Semiconductor) solar cells, ideal transport of energetically excited charge carriers

  Avoiding irreversibility during transport of e and h, quasi Fermi levels approximately constant

  Semi-permeable membranes for selectivity of transport

Page 26: Solar cell technologies – present and future · 2017-09-29 · Plastic photovoltaics Source: Konarka. ... in-line process analysis new schemes for contacting, ... (Semiconductor)

SERIS is a research institute at the National University of Singapore (NUS). SERIS is sponsored by the National University of Singapore (NUS) and Singapore ʼs National Research Foundation (NRF) through the Singapore Economic Development Board (EDB).

26

(Semiconductor) solar cells, chemical potential and cell voltage, achieving entropy balance

  Quasi Fermi distributions, parameters εF and To   Ideal cell voltage V = 1/e µeh   εFC-εFV = (εg + 3 kTo) – (σe + σh) To

Page 27: Solar cell technologies – present and future · 2017-09-29 · Plastic photovoltaics Source: Konarka. ... in-line process analysis new schemes for contacting, ... (Semiconductor)

SERIS is a research institute at the National University of Singapore (NUS). SERIS is sponsored by the National University of Singapore (NUS) and Singapore ʼs National Research Foundation (NRF) through the Singapore Economic Development Board (EDB).

27

Conversion of solar heat,wide band absorbers; thermalisation to To

Page 28: Solar cell technologies – present and future · 2017-09-29 · Plastic photovoltaics Source: Konarka. ... in-line process analysis new schemes for contacting, ... (Semiconductor)

SERIS is a research institute at the National University of Singapore (NUS). SERIS is sponsored by the National University of Singapore (NUS) and Singapore ʼs National Research Foundation (NRF) through the Singapore Economic Development Board (EDB).

28

Conversion of solar heat,narrow-band absorbers; iso-energetic thermalisation to To 

Page 29: Solar cell technologies – present and future · 2017-09-29 · Plastic photovoltaics Source: Konarka. ... in-line process analysis new schemes for contacting, ... (Semiconductor)

SERIS is a research institute at the National University of Singapore (NUS). SERIS is sponsored by the National University of Singapore (NUS) and Singapore ʼs National Research Foundation (NRF) through the Singapore Economic Development Board (EDB).

29

Thermodynamic analysis Compass bearings, cell architecture, examples

  Cooling of charge carriers to To necessary, minimise entropy generation

  Selectivity of transport essential realise semi-permeable membranes hetero-junction cells (low surface rec.) redox system (dye cells) polymers

  Low irreversible entropy generation in carrier transport

  Optical concentration (where appropriate)

Page 30: Solar cell technologies – present and future · 2017-09-29 · Plastic photovoltaics Source: Konarka. ... in-line process analysis new schemes for contacting, ... (Semiconductor)

SERIS is a research institute at the National University of Singapore (NUS). SERIS is sponsored by the National University of Singapore (NUS) and Singapore ʼs National Research Foundation (NRF) through the Singapore Economic Development Board (EDB).

30

Thermodynamic analysis, continued Compass bearings, materials, examples

  Hot carrier cells:   energetically narrow selective membranes   absorber: very low e/h – phonon interactions   nanometer dimensions: absorber-membrane

  Intermediate band cells:   very low non-radiative recombination via

intermediate bands essential, metal type intermediate bands

  Multi exciton cells: back reaction seems to be detrimental

Page 31: Solar cell technologies – present and future · 2017-09-29 · Plastic photovoltaics Source: Konarka. ... in-line process analysis new schemes for contacting, ... (Semiconductor)

SERIS is a research institute at the National University of Singapore (NUS). SERIS is sponsored by the National University of Singapore (NUS) and Singapore ʼs National Research Foundation (NRF) through the Singapore Economic Development Board (EDB).

31

Thermodynamic analysis, continued Compass bearings, materials, examples

  Tandem cells (also other than III-V)   exactly tuned absorber characteristics   tunnel junctions, low recombination and absorption   alternatively: mechanically stacked

  Generally: Use highly absorbing materials with radiative recombination only (highly fluorescing)

Page 32: Solar cell technologies – present and future · 2017-09-29 · Plastic photovoltaics Source: Konarka. ... in-line process analysis new schemes for contacting, ... (Semiconductor)

SERIS is a research institute at the National University of Singapore (NUS). SERIS is sponsored by the National University of Singapore (NUS) and Singapore ʼs National Research Foundation (NRF) through the Singapore Economic Development Board (EDB).

32

Concluding remarks

  PV energy conversion is a market-proven technology   On the market:

Silicon wafer cells, thin-film semiconductor cells   Entering the market: III-V semiconductor-based concentrator systems, (plastic cells and dye cells)

  In particular for the proven technologies there is still large scope for incremental but essential and fare reaching optimisation and cost reduction

Page 33: Solar cell technologies – present and future · 2017-09-29 · Plastic photovoltaics Source: Konarka. ... in-line process analysis new schemes for contacting, ... (Semiconductor)

SERIS is a research institute at the National University of Singapore (NUS). SERIS is sponsored by the National University of Singapore (NUS) and Singapore ʼs National Research Foundation (NRF) through the Singapore Economic Development Board (EDB).

33

  Thermodynamic analysis of photovoltaic energy conversion may be helpful for navigation towards novel cell architectures and materials

Concluding remarks, continued

Page 34: Solar cell technologies – present and future · 2017-09-29 · Plastic photovoltaics Source: Konarka. ... in-line process analysis new schemes for contacting, ... (Semiconductor)

SERIS is a research institute at the National University of Singapore (NUS). SERIS is sponsored by the National University of Singapore (NUS) and Singapore ʼs National Research Foundation (NRF) through the Singapore Economic Development Board (EDB).

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Thank you for your attention!

More information www.seris.sg


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