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Solutions that make an impact Swiss Re Media Conference, Monte Carlo, 11 September 2017
Transcript
Page 1: Solutions that make an impact - Swiss Re6853a1f5-16f4-4dae...New solutions & services across the value chain. Note: Non-exhaustive overview of selected digital innovation at Swiss

Solutions that make an impactSwiss Re Media Conference, Monte Carlo, 11 September 2017

Page 2: Solutions that make an impact - Swiss Re6853a1f5-16f4-4dae...New solutions & services across the value chain. Note: Non-exhaustive overview of selected digital innovation at Swiss

Today's agenda

Moses OjeisekhobaCEO Reinsurance

Christian MumenthalerGroup Chief Executive Officer

Edi SchmidGroup Chief Underwriting Officer

Industry environment & trends

Underwriting of the future

Summary and Outlook

Innovations that create resilience

2

Christian MumenthalerGroup Chief Executive Officer

Page 3: Solutions that make an impact - Swiss Re6853a1f5-16f4-4dae...New solutions & services across the value chain. Note: Non-exhaustive overview of selected digital innovation at Swiss

Innovations that create resilienceChristian Mumenthaler – Group CEO

Page 4: Solutions that make an impact - Swiss Re6853a1f5-16f4-4dae...New solutions & services across the value chain. Note: Non-exhaustive overview of selected digital innovation at Swiss

The global protection gap is large…… and it continues to grow

4

Page 5: Solutions that make an impact - Swiss Re6853a1f5-16f4-4dae...New solutions & services across the value chain. Note: Non-exhaustive overview of selected digital innovation at Swiss

The building blocks of Nat Cat & Weather Protection GapsUSD 180 billion globally, and growing …

5Source: Swiss Re Institute1Number of lives insured/total population; source Microinsurance Network 20152sigma property protection gap 2015

AsiaUSD 81bn

ANZUSD 1bn

North AmericaUSD 35bn

South AmericaUSD 14bn

AfricaUSD 20bn

EuropeUSD 30bn

CALIFORNIA12% of homesinsured for fire are covered for earthquake

most do not buy insurance KENYA

6% micro-insurance coverage1

most have no access to insurance

CHINAUSD 22bn Nat Cat protection gap2

most cannot affordinsurance

Page 6: Solutions that make an impact - Swiss Re6853a1f5-16f4-4dae...New solutions & services across the value chain. Note: Non-exhaustive overview of selected digital innovation at Swiss

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Kenya Livestock Insurance Program (KLIP)Index-based insurance cover with a digital value chain

Index-/ satellite-

based

2013 2014

2015 2016

Public-private

partnership

Digital Value Chain

Page 7: Solutions that make an impact - Swiss Re6853a1f5-16f4-4dae...New solutions & services across the value chain. Note: Non-exhaustive overview of selected digital innovation at Swiss

cover for flood, excessive rain, drought and low temperatures

7

tailored solution combining a weather index product with a satellite-based flood parametric product

Heilongjiang province weather coverPublic-private partnership to ensure broad coverage

28 counties in Heilongjiang province covered

anti-poverty insurance deal allows faster pay-outs than traditional cover

Tailored parametric

anti-poverty solution

Page 8: Solutions that make an impact - Swiss Re6853a1f5-16f4-4dae...New solutions & services across the value chain. Note: Non-exhaustive overview of selected digital innovation at Swiss

Only 12% of the homes insured for fire are covered for earthquake2

8

Reasons include optimism bias, lack of awareness, pricing, deductibles, expected state support, lack of trust, complexity

In the next 30 years, there is a >99% chance that California will be struck by a magnitude 6.7 earthquake, and a 48% chance of a magnitude 7.5 earthquake (45x stronger)1

Digital advisors could help close the gap

Trusted digital

advisors recommend

insurance

Protection gap in mature marketsAn outlook: digital advisors could change the market

1The Third California Earthquake Rupture Forecast (UCERF3)2According to estimates by Swiss Re Institute

Page 9: Solutions that make an impact - Swiss Re6853a1f5-16f4-4dae...New solutions & services across the value chain. Note: Non-exhaustive overview of selected digital innovation at Swiss

Industry environment & trendsMoses Ojeisekhoba – CEO Reinsurance

Page 10: Solutions that make an impact - Swiss Re6853a1f5-16f4-4dae...New solutions & services across the value chain. Note: Non-exhaustive overview of selected digital innovation at Swiss

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Industry sample: SR, MR, HR, SCOR, PartnerRe, Berkshire Hathaway, Trans Re, Everest Re, XL Catlin, Validus Re, Arch Capital, Axis Capital, Aspen Re, Renaissance Re.Note: Normalised CRs are adjusted for above/below NatCat losses and for adverse/favourable claims reserve developments. Source: Swiss Re Institute.

Deteriorating combined ratio and

ROE trends

Industry performance

Development of P&C reinsurance market

0%

3%

6%

9%

12%

15%

18%

85%

90%

95%

100%

105%

110%

115%

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 1H17

Reported combined ratio Normalised combined ratio

Industry ROE Normalised ROE

Page 11: Solutions that make an impact - Swiss Re6853a1f5-16f4-4dae...New solutions & services across the value chain. Note: Non-exhaustive overview of selected digital innovation at Swiss

Trends affecting the insurance industry

11

Advancements in Technology

Growth Opportunities

Customer Choices

Competitive EnvironmentGeopolitical Landscape

Regulatory Challenges

Our environment

continuesto be

challenging

Page 12: Solutions that make an impact - Swiss Re6853a1f5-16f4-4dae...New solutions & services across the value chain. Note: Non-exhaustive overview of selected digital innovation at Swiss

New solutions & services across the value chain

12Note: Non-exhaustive overview of selected digital innovation at Swiss Re

Contracts Intelligence

SwiftRe (end-to-end facultative R/I solution)

New products (for the digitised environment)

Parametric insurance

Telematics solutions

Faster, more insightful processing

Predictive claims

Early warning and information

Automated/ predictive UW

Behavioural UW Risk Engineering app Automated portfolio

and risk monitoring

Digital consumer engagement

Predictive lapse modelling

Sales analytics

Address clients’ business needs

Add value to clients’ original business

Build on our Swiss Re knowledge

Leverage technology

Smarter together –

creates value for our clients

ClaimsBusiness

ManagementUnderwritingProduct Design

Distribution & Sales

L&H Solutions

P&C Solutions

Page 13: Solutions that make an impact - Swiss Re6853a1f5-16f4-4dae...New solutions & services across the value chain. Note: Non-exhaustive overview of selected digital innovation at Swiss

Cat Net

• Online natural hazard atlas, visualises regions‘ risk profiles and offers swift location and portfolio analysis

• One-stop-shop for scientific and industry data about hazards, catastrophic events, losses, exposures

• Guarantees efficiency and accuracy gains in underwriting and risk management

13

Our solutions are ready

Examples of digital innovation at Swiss Re

Stork

• Sophisticated machine learning based pricing engine to accurately price flight delay risks

• Automated claims payments and real-time steering• Flexible turn-key solution can be leveraged for other

parametric insurance offerings like EQ

Magnum

• Flagship Life & Health expert automated underwriting system• Helps insurers sell more, improve risk management and lower

operational costs• A key component in our clients' digitisation strategy

Page 14: Solutions that make an impact - Swiss Re6853a1f5-16f4-4dae...New solutions & services across the value chain. Note: Non-exhaustive overview of selected digital innovation at Swiss

Underwriting of the futureEdi Schmid – Group Chief Underwriting Officer

Page 15: Solutions that make an impact - Swiss Re6853a1f5-16f4-4dae...New solutions & services across the value chain. Note: Non-exhaustive overview of selected digital innovation at Swiss

Life

R&D in underwriting enables outperformance and differentiation

15

Focus of R&D in underwriting

Property

Specialty lines

Casualty

Health

Economic, legal, political, societal

changes

Mortality trends

Lapse trends

Cyber

Climate change

Credit default probabilities

Beh

avio

ural

eco

nom

ics

Dig

ital

ana

lyti

cs

Nat Cat perils

Morbidity trends

Applications

• Proprietary nat cat toolbox

• Liability Solutions

• Magnum

• Target liability portfolio

• Retro and hedging

• Cycle management

DifferentiationOutperformance

Page 16: Solutions that make an impact - Swiss Re6853a1f5-16f4-4dae...New solutions & services across the value chain. Note: Non-exhaustive overview of selected digital innovation at Swiss

Our target liability portfolio process allows effective capital allocation in underwriting

16

Target liability portfolio

Capital and liquidity requirements

Strategic asset allocation

Required risk capitalliquidity requirements

Improve portfolio composition, investment profile and/or funding, to ensure that business plans• support shareholder-value creation• meet/exceed our financial targets• are adequately supported by capital• are in line with Group risk appetite

Desired UW portfolio (mid-term projection)

Current UW portfolio

Implied investment profile

Underwriting trends

obtained by means of R&D

Page 17: Solutions that make an impact - Swiss Re6853a1f5-16f4-4dae...New solutions & services across the value chain. Note: Non-exhaustive overview of selected digital innovation at Swiss

What is the next Asbestos or Deepwater Horizon?

17

Swiss Re helps insurers better understand, quantify and transfer accumulation exposure at portfolio level

Page 18: Solutions that make an impact - Swiss Re6853a1f5-16f4-4dae...New solutions & services across the value chain. Note: Non-exhaustive overview of selected digital innovation at Swiss

Quantifying liability accumulation exposure

18

Assessment of product

liability and financial lines systemic risk

Product liability and recall

accumulation in automotive

supply chains

Exposure analysis for disaster on industrial premises

Page 19: Solutions that make an impact - Swiss Re6853a1f5-16f4-4dae...New solutions & services across the value chain. Note: Non-exhaustive overview of selected digital innovation at Swiss

Use of technology to support efficient underwriting

19

Page 20: Solutions that make an impact - Swiss Re6853a1f5-16f4-4dae...New solutions & services across the value chain. Note: Non-exhaustive overview of selected digital innovation at Swiss

Price trends - industry outlook

20

• Property Cat: Prices are expected to stabilise, due to recent loss events

• Property per risk pricing expected to be stable, with changes driven by loss experience

• At current levels of market pricing we have withdrawn some capacity. We retain the flexibility to quickly upscale when market conditions allow and our profitability requirements are met

• In line with our mission to build resilience, we are investing in developing new solutions where pricing is at sustainable levels

• Price trends to vary depending on market and class of business. Overall, some further rate reductions are expected

• Despite pricing pressure in mainstream specialty business, we continue to see opportunities in more complex coverage and new technologies

Casualty:Property:

Special Lines:

• Liability: Prices expected to reflect recent loss events

• Motor: Pricing corrections are expected to continue

• Inflation remains a key risk factor for future profitability across both Liability and Motor

• We continue to have significant appetite for the right risks and right clients

Page 21: Solutions that make an impact - Swiss Re6853a1f5-16f4-4dae...New solutions & services across the value chain. Note: Non-exhaustive overview of selected digital innovation at Swiss

SummaryDigital

transformation

.

Our knowledge and R&D

Innovative solutions to

make the world more

resilient

Summary

Christian Mumenthaler – Group CEO

Page 22: Solutions that make an impact - Swiss Re6853a1f5-16f4-4dae...New solutions & services across the value chain. Note: Non-exhaustive overview of selected digital innovation at Swiss

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Page 23: Solutions that make an impact - Swiss Re6853a1f5-16f4-4dae...New solutions & services across the value chain. Note: Non-exhaustive overview of selected digital innovation at Swiss

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Cautionary note on forward-looking statementsCertain statements and illustrations contained herein are forward-looking. These statements (including as to plans objectives, targets and trends) and illustrations provide current expectations of future events based on certain assumptions and include any statement that does not directly relate to a historical fact or current fact.Forward-looking statements typically are identified by words or phrases such as “anticipate“, “assume“, “believe“, “continue“, “estimate“, “expect“, “foresee“, “intend“, “may increase“ and “may fluctuate“ and similar expressions or by future or conditional verbs such as “will“, “should“, “would“ and “could“. These forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, which may cause Swiss Re’s actual results of operations, financial condition, solvency ratios, capital or liquidity positions or prospects to be materially different from any future results of operations, financial condition, solvency ratios, capital or liquidity positions or prospects expressed or implied by such statements or cause Swiss Re to not achieve its published targets. Such factors include, among others:

• further instability affecting the global financial system and developments related thereto;

• further deterioration in global economic conditions;• Swiss Re’s ability to maintain sufficient liquidity and access to capital markets,

including sufficient liquidity to cover potential recapture of reinsurance agreements, early calls of debt or debt-like arrangements and collateral calls due to actual or perceived deterioration of Swiss Re’s financial strength or otherwise;

• the effect of market conditions, including the global equity and credit markets, and the level and volatility of equity prices, interest rates, credit spreads, currency values and other market indices, on Swiss Re’s investment assets;

• changes in Swiss Re’s investment result as a result of changes in its investment policy or the changed composition of its investment assets, and the impact of the timing of any such changes relative to changes in market conditions;

• uncertainties in valuing credit default swaps and other credit-related instruments;• possible inability to realise amounts on sales of securities on Swiss Re’s balance

sheet equivalent to their mark-to-market values recorded for accounting purposes;• the outcome of tax audits, the ability to realise tax loss carryforwards and the

ability to realise deferred tax assets (including by reason of the mix of earnings in a jurisdiction or deemed change of control), which could negatively impact future earnings;

• the possibility that Swiss Re’s hedging arrangements may not be effective;• the lowering or loss of one of the financial strength or other ratings of one or more

Swiss Re companies, and developments adversely affecting Swiss Re’s ability to achieve improved ratings;

• the cyclicality of the reinsurance industry;• uncertainties in estimating reserves;• uncertainties in estimating future claims for purposes of financial reporting,

particularly with respect to large natural catastrophes, as significant uncertainties may be involved in estimating losses from such events and preliminary estimates may be subject to change as new information becomes available;

• the frequency, severity and development of insured claim events;• acts of terrorism and acts of war;• mortality, morbidity and longevity experience;• policy renewal and lapse rates;• extraordinary events affecting Swiss Re’s clients and other counterparties,

such as bankruptcies, liquidations and other credit-related events;• current, pending and future legislation and regulation affecting Swiss Re or its

ceding companies, and the interpretation of legislation or regulations by regulators;

• legal actions or regulatory investigations or actions, including those in respect of industry requirements or business conduct rules of general applicability;

• changes in accounting standards;• significant investments, acquisitions or dispositions, and any delays,

unexpected costs or other issues experienced in connection with any such transactions;

• changing levels of competition; and• operational factors, including the efficacy of risk management and other

internal procedures in managing the foregoing risks.

These factors are not exhaustive. Swiss Re operates in a continually changing environment and new risks emerge continually. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. Swiss Re undertakes no obligation to publicly revise or update any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.This communication is not intended to be a recommendation to buy, sell or hold securities and does not constitute an offer for the sale of, or the solicitation of an offer to buy, securities in any jurisdiction, including the United States. Any such offer will only be made by means of a prospectus or offering memorandum, and in compliance with applicable securities laws.


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