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The Eye on Alaska’s Coasts and Oceans A L A S K A O C E A N O B S E R V I N G S Y S T E M Update Summer 2009 1007 West 3rd Avenue Suite 100 Anchorage, AK 99501 907-644-6703 www.aoos.org Visit www.aoos.org/fieldexp/ to learn more about the 2009 Field Experiment. Read the blog, see pictures and video, and learn more about the tools and methods the team used to improve the ability to forecast changes in Alaska’s oceans. Sound Predictions 2009 A demonstration of the Alaska Ocean Observing System in Prince William Sound What’s Next The 2009 Field Experiment has officially ended, but two Argosphere surface drifters have continued to report data as they ride the current out of PWS and into Cook Inlet (above). The AOOS field team, the data team in Fairbanks, and modelers in California will spend the next several months analyzing the data acquired during this unprecedented field exercise. The team will prepare journal papers and symposium presentations, and meet with stakeholder groups to help decide what pieces of the Prince William Sound observing system structure are critical to meeting future needs. Stay tuned… Many Thanks Dr. Carl Schoch and Dr. Yi Chao provided the text for this special AOOS Update. Figures were provided by Dr. Chao and his colleagues at NASA’s Jet Propulsion Lab. Thanks to Leslie Abramson, Mark Halverson, Deborah Mercy, Scott Pegau, Capt. Dave Rentel and Hank Stascewich for the photos of the Field Experiment in this newsletter. Biological Studies Within the ocean model was an “NPZ” ecosys- tem model to predict Nutrients, Phytoplankton and Zooplankton. To calibrate the model, re- searchers used water samples and net tows to collect reference samples of nutrients (nitrate, phosphate and silicate), phytoplankton and zooplankton. They also conducted bird and mammal observations to help evaluate the potential impact of an oil spill. Instruments at Work The 2009 Field Experiment assembled more than 65 scientists and a multitude of field assistants who braved rough seas, rain and wind to deploy, rede- ploy, install, and repair various instruments used to collect data. Some data are used to improve model forecasts while other data are used to evaluate the forecast skill. A sampling of the instruments used in the Field Experiment appears below. AOOS provides access to real-time weather and ocean observations as well as model generated forecasts for Prince William Sound (PWS) and other coastal Alaska regions from one data portal, www.aoos.org. In July and August 2009, AOOS partnered with NASA, the Oil Spill Recovery Institute, the University of Alaska and many other local and national organizations to sponsor a field experiment in the Sound. The objective was to test the accuracy of model forecasts and demonstrate the utility of an ocean observing system for oil spill response, search and rescue, and fishery management. Developing the observing infrastructure in PWS, the statewide data management system, and forecast models took five years to complete and together with the Field Experiment brought together more than 65 scientists from eight states. Observing System Components The ocean observing system in PWS includes a dense spatial array of telemetered weather stations, wave gages and ocean sensors, including salinity and temperature recorders, current velocity profilers, and sensors to measure chlorophyll fluorescence. Instruments were used to develop and test the performance of numerical models for forecasting weather, waves, and ocean conditions. This experiment was designed to evaluate how well the models could predict actual conditions. The experiment sup- plemented the fixed array of AOOS instruments with radar surface current measurements, vessel mounted instruments for measuring temperature and salinity, underwater drones to profile the water column, and drifting buoys to measure current direction and velocity. The experiment focused on vali- dating models of surface and deeper currents in the central basin. The field team collected nearly 100 tracks of drift- ing buoys during a two week period that spanned spring and neap tides. Most drifter deployments occurred within the field of view of radar surface current measurements. Additional deployments occurred around the perimeter of the Sound to validate the velocity of surface currents forced mostly by fresh water runoff from melting snow fields and glaciers. Participants also had opportuni- ties to test new sensors and platforms, and to evaluate models in the context of other questions or applications such as fishery management, oil spill response, and search and rescue. Scott Pegau ventures ashore to retrieve a wayward drifter during the Field Experiment. 212˚00' 212˚30' 213˚00' 213˚30' 214˚00' 214˚30' 60˚00' 60˚30' 61˚00' Trajectories of two Argosphere surface drifters released in Prince William Sound during the Field Experiment continue to update their positions in real-time. Leslie Abramson and Jim Pettigrew with one of many drifters deployed in the Sound during the Field Experiment. The HF Radar team of Hank Stascewich, Steve Sweet, Rachel Potter and Mark Johnson takes a break from setting up the instruments. Kerstin Cullen and Megan Cimino collect zooplankton. NDBC Buoys National Data Buoy Center (NDBC) weather buoys carry instruments that measure wind speed and direction, air temperature, air pressure, and sea surface temperature. Data are used to predict ocean circulation. Drifting Buoys These instruments make direct measurements of pathways taken by passive tracers such as spilled oil. The field team collected nearly 100 tracks from more than 40 drifting buoys that were deployed and redeployed during the Field Experiment. REMUS (top) and Slocum Glider (bottom) Autonomous underwater vehicles (AUVs) like the REMUS and the Slocum gliders can collect nearly continuous measurements of temperature and salinity. These measurements contribute to a regional scale view of water column structure to 200m depth, and help evaluate and improve ROMS performance. NDBC Buoy REMUS AUV Slocum Glider Ship CTD HF Radar Thermo- salinograph Right: Locations of in situ sensors and platforms during the two-week field experiment. Ship CTD A Conductivity-Temperature- Depth (CTD) sensor is the primary tool for determining essential physical properties of sea water. It provides profile measurements of water column temperature, salinity, and density. The three vessels chartered for the Field Experiment was fitted with a CTD sensor to measure the salinity and temperature of surface water as they traveled the Sound. HF Radar High Frequency (HF) radar uses Doppler frequency shifts to determine the speed of surface currents. HF radar stations can transmit and receive radio waves traveling as far as 60km (37 miles) across the Sound. 4-15 Attachment
Transcript
Page 1: Sound Predictions 2009 - pwsrcac.org · 9/17/2009  · Sound Predictions 2009 A demonstration of the Alaska Ocean Observing System in Prince William Sound What’s Next The 2009 Field

The Eye on Alaska’s Coasts and Oceans

a l a s k a o c e a n o b s e r v i n g s y s t e m

UpdateSummer 2009

1007 West 3rd AvenueSuite 100

Anchorage, AK 99501 907-644-6703

www.aoos.org

Visit www.aoos.org/fieldexp/ to learn more about the 2009 Field Experiment. Read the blog, see pictures and video,

and learn more about the tools and methods the team used to improve the ability to forecast changes in Alaska’s oceans.

Sound Predictions 2009A demonstration of the Alaska Ocean Observing System in Prince William Sound

What’s NextThe 2009 Field Experiment has officially ended, but two Argosphere surface drifters have continued to report data as they ride the current out of PWS and into Cook Inlet (above).

The AOOS field team, the data team in Fairbanks, and modelers in California will spend the next several months analyzing the data acquired during this unprecedented field exercise. The team will prepare journal papers and symposium presentations, and meet with stakeholder groups to help decide what pieces of the Prince William Sound observing system structure are critical to meeting future needs. Stay tuned…

Many ThanksDr. Carl Schoch and Dr. Yi Chao provided the text for this special AOOS Update. Figures were provided by Dr. Chao and his colleagues at NASA’s Jet Propulsion Lab.

Thanks to Leslie Abramson, Mark Halverson, Deborah Mercy, Scott Pegau, Capt. Dave Rentel and Hank Stascewich for the photos of the Field Experiment in this newsletter.

Biological StudiesWithin the ocean model was an “NPZ” ecosys-tem model to predict Nutrients, Phytoplankton and Zooplankton. To calibrate the model, re-searchers used water samples and net tows to collect reference samples of nutrients (nitrate, phosphate and silicate), phytoplankton and zooplankton. They also conducted bird and mammal observations to help evaluate the potential impact of an oil spill.

Instruments at WorkThe 2009 Field Experiment assembled more than 65 scientists and a multitude of field assistants who braved rough seas, rain and wind to deploy, rede-ploy, install, and repair various instruments used to collect data. Some data are used to improve model forecasts while other data are used to evaluate the forecast skill. A sampling of the instruments used in the Field Experiment appears below.

AOOS provides access to real-time weather and ocean observations as well as model generated

forecasts for Prince William Sound (PWS) and other coastal Alaska regions from one data portal,

www.aoos.org.

In July and August 2009, AOOS partnered with NASA, the Oil Spill Recovery Institute, the University

of Alaska and many other local and national organizations to sponsor a field experiment in the

Sound. The objective was to test the accuracy of model forecasts and demonstrate the utility of an

ocean observing system for oil spill response, search and rescue, and fishery management.

Developing the observing infrastructure in PWS, the statewide data management system, and forecast models took five years

to complete and together with the Field Experiment brought together more than 65 scientists from eight states.

Observing System ComponentsThe ocean observing system in PWS includes a dense spatial array of telemetered weather stations, wave gages and ocean sensors, including salinity and temperature recorders, current velocity profilers, and sensors to measure chlorophyll fluorescence. Instruments were used to develop and test the performance of numerical models for forecasting weather, waves, and ocean conditions.

This experiment was designed to evaluate how well the models could predict actual conditions. The experiment sup-plemented the fixed array of AOOS instruments with radar surface current measurements, vessel mounted instruments for measuring temperature and salinity, underwater drones to profile the water column, and drifting buoys to measure current direction and velocity.

The experiment focused on vali-dating models of surface and deeper currents in the central basin. The field team collected nearly 100 tracks of drift-ing buoys during a two week period that spanned spring and neap tides. Most drifter deployments occurred within the field of view of radar surface current measurements. Additional deployments occurred around the perimeter of the Sound to validate the velocity of surface currents forced mostly by fresh water runoff from melting snow fields and glaciers.

Participants also had opportuni-ties to test new sensors and platforms, and to evaluate models in the context of other questions or applications such as fishery management, oil spill response, and search and rescue.

Scott Pegau ventures ashore to retrieve a wayward drifter during the Field Experiment.

Location of Assets

212˚00' 212˚30' 213˚00' 213˚30' 214˚00' 214˚30'

60˚00'

60˚30'

61˚00'

Trajectories of two Argosphere surface drifters released in Prince William Sound during the Field Experiment continue to update their positions in real-time.

Leslie Abramson and Jim Pettigrew with one of many drifters deployed in the Sound during the Field Experiment.

The HF Radar team of Hank Stascewich, Steve Sweet, Rachel Potter and Mark Johnson takes a break from setting up the instruments.

Kerstin Cullen and Megan Cimino collect zooplankton.NDBC BuoysNational Data Buoy Center (NDBC) weather buoys carry instruments that measure wind speed and direction, air temperature, air pressure, and sea surface temperature. Data are used to predict ocean circulation.

Drifting BuoysThese instruments make direct measurements of pathways taken by passive tracers such as spilled oil. The field team collected nearly 100 tracks from more than 40 drifting buoys that

were deployed and redeployed during the Field Experiment.

REMUS (top) and Slocum Glider (bottom)Autonomous underwater vehicles (AUVs) like the REMUS and the Slocum gliders can collect nearly

continuous measurements of temperature and salinity. These measurements contribute to a regional scale view of water column structure to 200m depth, and help evaluate and improve ROMS performance.

NDBC Buoy

REMUS AUV

Slocum Glider

Ship CTD

HF RadarThermo- salinograph

Right: Locations of in situ sensors and platforms during the two-week field experiment.

Ship CTDA Conductivity-Temperature-Depth (CTD) sensor is the primary tool for determining essential physical properties of sea water. It provides profile measurements of water column temperature, salinity, and density. The three vessels chartered for the Field

Experiment was fitted with a CTD sensor to measure the salinity and temperature of surface water as they traveled the Sound.

HF RadarHigh Frequency (HF) radar uses Doppler frequency shifts to determine the speed of surface currents. HF radar stations can transmit and receive radio

waves traveling as far as 60km (37 miles) across the Sound.

4-15 Attachm

ent

Page 2: Sound Predictions 2009 - pwsrcac.org · 9/17/2009  · Sound Predictions 2009 A demonstration of the Alaska Ocean Observing System in Prince William Sound What’s Next The 2009 Field

Wea

ther

For

ecas

ting

How

str

ong

is t

he w

ind

blow

ing

in t

he c

entr

al S

ound

? H

ow m

uch

heat

is

exch

ange

d be

twee

n th

e oc

ean

and

atm

osph

ere?

W

hat

is t

he r

ainf

all a

roun

d PW

S?

Thes

e qu

estio

ns a

re b

eing

add

ress

ed in

real

-tim

e by

the

Wea

th-

er a

nd R

esea

rch

Fore

cast

ing

(WRF

) m

odel

ope

rate

d by

th

e A

lask

a Ex

peri

men

tal F

orec

ast F

acili

ty a

t the

Uni

ver-

sity

of A

lask

a A

ncho

rage

. W

eath

er o

bser

vatio

ns t

o va

lidat

e th

e fo

reca

sts

wer

e pr

ovid

ed b

y ei

ght

land

-bas

ed S

noTe

l wea

ther

sta

tions

tele

met

ered

via

the

Ala

ska

Met

eor

Burs

t C

omm

unic

atio

n Sy

stem

as

wel

l as

five

buoy

mou

nted

and

thr

ee la

nd-b

ased

w

eath

er st

atio

ns o

pera

ted

by th

e N

atio

nal D

ata

Buoy

Cen

ter (

ND

BC).

Ri

ght:

This

weat

her m

ap, u

pdat

ed h

ourly

dur

ing t

he fi

eld

expe

rimen

t, sh

ows s

urfa

ce w

inds

pr

edic

ted

by th

e WRF

mod

el (b

lack

arro

w an

d co

lor c

onto

urs),

and

mea

sure

d by

thre

e oce

an b

uoys

an

d th

ree s

hore

stat

ions

(red

arro

ws).

The w

eath

er m

ap a

t 2:0

0 GM

T on J

uly 2

7, 2

009

show

s a

stro

ng so

uthe

aste

rly w

ind

in th

e cen

tral S

ound

and

a m

oder

ate e

aste

rly w

ind

in th

e nor

ther

n Sou

nd.

Righ

t: Tim

e ser

ies o

f win

d sp

eed

(top)

and

dire

ctio

n (bo

ttom

) dur

ing

the t

wo-w

eek f

ield

expe

rimen

t as m

easu

red

(red

circ

les a

nd lin

e)

and

pred

icte

d by

WRF

(blu

e squ

are i

s now

cast

; blu

e lin

e is h

ourly

fo

reca

st) a

t the

NDB

C bu

oy 4

6060

loca

tion i

n the

cent

ral S

ound

. Th

is co

mpa

rison

show

s tha

t the

WRF

mod

el re

alis

tical

ly pr

edic

ts

wind

spee

d an

d di

rect

ion.

Com

paris

on o

f mea

sure

d sig

nific

ant w

ave h

eigh

t (to

p pa

nel)

and

peak

wav

e per

iod

(bot

tom

pan

el) a

t Buo

y 460

60

with

mod

el p

redi

ctio

ns. B

lue c

urve

repr

esen

ts m

easu

red

data

. Alte

rnat

e red

and

bla

ck lin

es re

pres

ent 3

6-ho

ur

mod

el fo

reca

sts m

ade d

aily

from

July

14–A

ugus

t 6, 2

009.

Drift

er tr

ajec

torie

s as m

easu

red

from

rele

ase t

ime o

n Jul

y 25

at 0

2 GM

T to r

ecov

ery t

ime o

n Jul

y 28

at 0

2 GM

T (ab

ove,

left)

and

as p

redi

cted

by a

clus

ter o

f ens

embl

e ROM

S fo

reca

sts (

abov

e, ri

ght).

It

is ve

ry ch

alle

ngin

g to u

se d

rifte

rs to

eva

luat

e mod

el fo

reca

sts.

As t

his f

igur

e sho

ws, t

raje

ctor

ies

can v

ary s

igni

fican

tly fr

om o

ne p

redi

ctio

n to t

he n

ext b

y usin

g slig

htly

diffe

rent

initi

al co

nditi

ons.

To

capt

ure t

his u

ncer

tain

ty, m

ultip

le R

OMS

fore

cast

s are

mad

e dai

ly. Th

e obs

erve

d dr

ifter

traj

ecto

ry ca

n th

en b

e com

pare

d to

thos

e pre

dict

ed b

y the

ROM

S en

sem

ble f

orec

asts

. The

diff

eren

ce a

mon

g the

se

ense

mbl

e for

ecas

ts re

pres

ents

the u

ncer

tain

ty o

f the

ROM

S fo

reca

st. T

his u

ncer

tain

ty ca

n be a

ttrib

uted

to

our

abi

lity t

o for

ecas

t the

wea

ther

, our

know

ledg

e of f

resh

-wat

er ru

noff

from

rive

rs a

nd g

laci

ers,

a lim

ited

num

ber o

f ins

trum

ents

dep

loye

d, a

nd d

ata p

roce

ssin

g erro

rs a

ssoc

iate

d wi

th H

F rad

ar.

Surfa

ce cu

rrent

m

ap a

s mea

sure

d by

the H

F rad

ar

(red

arro

w) a

nd

pred

icte

d by

the 3

D RO

MS

circ

ulat

ion

mod

el (b

lack

ar

row)

dur

ing t

he

first

wee

k of t

he

field

expe

rimen

t (Ju

ly 18

– 2

1).

Oce

an F

orec

astin

gFo

reca

sts o

f oce

an co

nditi

ons w

ere m

ade u

sing

the R

egio

nal O

cean

Mod

elin

g Sy

stem

(RO

MS)

dev

elop

ed fo

r PW

S by

the

Uni

vers

ity o

f Cal

iforn

ia a

t Los

Ang

eles

an

d th

e N

ASA

/Cal

tech

Jet P

ropu

lsio

n La

bora

tory

. Oce

an c

ircu

latio

n fo

reca

sts a

re

base

d up

on a

nes

ted

serie

s of t

hree

spat

ial d

omai

ns a

nd g

rid si

zes e

ncom

pass

ing

the w

hole

Gul

f of A

lask

a (1

1 km

grid

), th

e sou

thce

ntra

l coa

st o

f Ala

ska

(4 k

m g

rid),

and

PWS

(1.2

km

grid

).Th

e st

ate

of th

e ar

t in

fore

cast

ing

ocea

n co

nditi

ons i

s to

inco

rpor

ate

real

tim

e da

ta in

to m

odel

sim

ulat

ions

to e

nabl

e be

tter n

owca

sts

and

fore

cast

s. Fo

reca

stin

g er

rors

are

est

imat

ed b

y m

akin

g m

ultip

le R

OM

S fo

reca

sts

usin

g sl

ight

ly d

iffer

ent

initi

al co

nditi

ons.

Surf

ace

curr

ent m

easu

rem

ents

from

the

high

freq

uenc

y (H

F) ra

dar a

re u

sed

in r

eal t

ime

by R

OM

S, w

hich

can

then

mak

e re

alis

tic fo

reca

sts

for

PWS.

Dur

ing

the

first

wee

k of

the

expe

rim

ent,

east

erly

win

ds a

nd n

orth

war

d su

rfac

e cu

rren

ts

dom

inat

ed th

e ce

ntra

l Sou

nd (r

ight

, top

). Th

e w

ind

wea

kene

d du

ring

the

seco

nd

wee

k of

the

field

exp

erim

ent,

and

the

cent

ral P

WS

circ

ulat

ion

was

cha

ract

eriz

ed

by a

cycl

onic

(or c

ount

er-c

lock

wis

e) ed

dy v

ery

sim

ilar t

o th

at se

en d

urin

g th

e 200

4 fie

ld e

xper

imen

t (rig

ht, b

otto

m).

Wav

e Fo

reca

stin

gW

ave

fore

cast

s are

mad

e us

ing

the

Sim

ulat

ed W

aves

in th

e N

ears

hore

(SW

AN

) m

odel

dev

elop

ed a

t Tex

as A

&M

Uni

vers

ity. T

he S

WA

N m

odel

use

s da

ta c

ol-

lect

ed fr

om th

ree

ND

BC b

uoys

for o

ngoi

ng v

alid

atio

n in

PW

S, a

s wel

l as d

ata

from

the

Cap

e Su

cklin

g an

d C

ape

Cle

are

buoy

s to

val

idat

e G

ulf

of A

lask

a w

aves

. The

mod

el tr

acks

and

pre

dict

s wav

e he

ight

s ev

ery

12 h

ours

. New

tech

nolo

gy is

als

o be

ing

deve

l-op

ed to

allo

w fo

r re

al ti

me

wav

e fo

reca

sts

that

are

ne

arly

exa

ct fo

r up

to si

x ho

urs a

t a ti

me.

Verti

cal p

rofil

es o

f tem

pera

ture

an

d sa

linity

as m

easu

red

from

a sh

ip a

nd th

e pro

files

pre

dict

ed

by R

OMS

at a

loca

tion n

ear

the H

inch

inbr

ook E

ntra

nce o

n Ju

ly 28

. The

maj

or fe

atur

e of

the t

empe

ratu

re a

nd sa

linity

is

repr

oduc

ed b

y the

ROM

S m

odel

.

Verti

cal d

istri

butio

ns o

f tem

pera

ture

an

d sa

linity

erro

rs (i

.e.,

the d

iffer

ence

be

twee

n obs

erva

tiona

l dat

a and

the

ROM

S no

wcas

t) sh

ow th

e pos

itive

im

pact

of a

ssim

ilatin

g the

se p

artic

ular

da

ta: R

OMS

fore

cast

erro

r with

thes

e da

ta in

clud

ed (b

lue)

is si

gnifi

cant

ly sm

alle

r tha

n the

erro

r with

out t

his

data

(red

). Th

e im

pact

of s

alin

ity d

ata

is so

mew

hat s

mal

ler t

han t

he im

pact

of

tem

pera

ture

. Thi

s sug

gest

s tha

t th

ere i

s roo

m fo

r im

prov

emen

t in

repr

esen

ting t

he sa

linity

and

fres

h-wa

ter p

roce

ss in

the R

OMS

mod

el.

The

2009

Fie

ld E

xper

imen

t in

Prin

ce W

illia

m S

ound

use

d so

me

of th

e

mos

t sop

hist

icat

ed te

chno

logy

ava

ilabl

e an

d th

e ex

pert

ise

of a

team

of s

cien

tists

fro

m a

cros

s Ala

ska

and

the

natio

n.

How

Did

We

Do?

Our

dem

onst

ratio

n of

an

ocea

n ob

serv

ing

syst

em in

Pri

nce

Will

iam

Sou

nd w

as a

su

cces

s in

term

s of

col

lect

ing

field

obs

erva

tions

and

gen

erat

ing

mod

el fo

reca

sts

of w

eath

er, w

ave

and

ocea

n co

nditi

ons

and

prov

idin

g th

ese

in n

ear

real

-tim

e th

roug

h th

e In

tern

et. T

he e

xper

imen

t was

qua

litat

ivel

y su

cces

sful

in a

lso

dem

on-

stra

ting

the

bene

fits

of a

n oc

ean

obse

rvin

g sy

stem

for b

oate

rs, o

il sp

ill r

espo

nse,

an

d se

arch

and

resc

ue o

pera

tions

. Th

e ut

ility

of

the

syst

em f

or f

ishe

ry m

anag

emen

t w

ill b

e ev

alua

ted

as w

e qu

antit

ativ

ely

eval

uate

the

mod

el f

orec

asts

ove

r th

e ne

xt f

ew m

onth

s. W

e w

ill

pres

ent o

ur re

sults

at t

he Ja

nuar

y 20

10 A

lask

a M

arin

e Sc

ienc

e Sy

mpo

sium

.Th

is e

xper

imen

t use

d so

me

of t

he m

ost s

ophi

stic

ated

tech

nolo

gy a

vaila

ble

and

the e

xper

tise o

f a te

am o

f sci

entis

ts fr

om a

cros

s Ala

ska

and

the n

atio

n. T

he o

r-ga

niza

tiona

l and

logi

stic

al o

bsta

cles

we

enco

unte

red

wer

e fo

rmid

able

, due

to th

e ex

trem

e re

mot

enes

s of t

he st

udy

area

and

the

dist

ribut

ed n

atur

e of

the

reso

urce

s fo

cuse

d on

PW

S fo

r tw

o w

eeks

. Pla

nnin

g to

ok m

ore

than

two

year

s; m

onth

ly te

le-

conf

eren

ces

for

all t

he p

artic

ipan

ts b

egan

six

mon

ths

befo

re th

e ex

peri

men

t and

co

ntin

ued

twic

e da

ily d

urin

g th

e ex

peri

men

t. O

pera

ting

an o

cean

obs

ervi

ng s

yste

m i

n th

e ha

rsh

envi

ronm

ent

of P

rinc

e W

illia

m S

ound

is

chal

leng

ing.

Fie

ld t

eam

s en

coun

tere

d un

seas

onab

ly s

torm

y w

eath

er a

s w

ell

as e

quip

men

t m

alfu

nctio

ns a

nd l

ogis

tical

hur

dles

. M

odel

ing

team

s had

dat

a tr

ansp

ort i

ssue

s fro

m re

mot

e ob

serv

atio

nal p

latfo

rms a

nd g

aps i

n so

me c

ruci

al d

atas

ets.

How

ever

, our

ada

ptiv

e des

ign

and

very

reso

urce

ful p

erso

n-ne

l suc

cess

fully

met

thes

e ch

alle

nges

.

Cont

our m

ap o

f pre

dict

ed si

gnifi

cant

wav

e hei

ghts

on J

uly 2

2,

2009

at 0

6:00

in P

WS.

Num

bers

repr

esen

t wav

e hei

ght i

n met

ers.

Surfa

ce cu

rrent

m

ap a

s mea

sure

d by

the H

F rad

ar

(red

arro

w) a

nd

pred

icte

d by

the 3

D RO

MS

circ

ulat

ion

mod

el (b

lack

arro

w)

durin

g the

seco

nd

week

of t

he fi

eld

expe

rimen

t (Ju

ly 31

– A

ug 3

).

Win

d Sp

eed

Win

d Di

rect

ion

Obse

rved

1st G

uess

Anal

ysis

Obs –

1st

Obs –

Ana

ly

Obse

rved

1st G

uess

Anal

ysis

Obs –

1st

Obs –

Ana

ly

4-15 Attachment


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