The Eye on Alaska’s Coasts and Oceans
a l a s k a o c e a n o b s e r v i n g s y s t e m
UpdateSummer 2009
1007 West 3rd AvenueSuite 100
Anchorage, AK 99501 907-644-6703
www.aoos.org
Visit www.aoos.org/fieldexp/ to learn more about the 2009 Field Experiment. Read the blog, see pictures and video,
and learn more about the tools and methods the team used to improve the ability to forecast changes in Alaska’s oceans.
Sound Predictions 2009A demonstration of the Alaska Ocean Observing System in Prince William Sound
What’s NextThe 2009 Field Experiment has officially ended, but two Argosphere surface drifters have continued to report data as they ride the current out of PWS and into Cook Inlet (above).
The AOOS field team, the data team in Fairbanks, and modelers in California will spend the next several months analyzing the data acquired during this unprecedented field exercise. The team will prepare journal papers and symposium presentations, and meet with stakeholder groups to help decide what pieces of the Prince William Sound observing system structure are critical to meeting future needs. Stay tuned…
Many ThanksDr. Carl Schoch and Dr. Yi Chao provided the text for this special AOOS Update. Figures were provided by Dr. Chao and his colleagues at NASA’s Jet Propulsion Lab.
Thanks to Leslie Abramson, Mark Halverson, Deborah Mercy, Scott Pegau, Capt. Dave Rentel and Hank Stascewich for the photos of the Field Experiment in this newsletter.
Biological StudiesWithin the ocean model was an “NPZ” ecosys-tem model to predict Nutrients, Phytoplankton and Zooplankton. To calibrate the model, re-searchers used water samples and net tows to collect reference samples of nutrients (nitrate, phosphate and silicate), phytoplankton and zooplankton. They also conducted bird and mammal observations to help evaluate the potential impact of an oil spill.
Instruments at WorkThe 2009 Field Experiment assembled more than 65 scientists and a multitude of field assistants who braved rough seas, rain and wind to deploy, rede-ploy, install, and repair various instruments used to collect data. Some data are used to improve model forecasts while other data are used to evaluate the forecast skill. A sampling of the instruments used in the Field Experiment appears below.
AOOS provides access to real-time weather and ocean observations as well as model generated
forecasts for Prince William Sound (PWS) and other coastal Alaska regions from one data portal,
www.aoos.org.
In July and August 2009, AOOS partnered with NASA, the Oil Spill Recovery Institute, the University
of Alaska and many other local and national organizations to sponsor a field experiment in the
Sound. The objective was to test the accuracy of model forecasts and demonstrate the utility of an
ocean observing system for oil spill response, search and rescue, and fishery management.
Developing the observing infrastructure in PWS, the statewide data management system, and forecast models took five years
to complete and together with the Field Experiment brought together more than 65 scientists from eight states.
Observing System ComponentsThe ocean observing system in PWS includes a dense spatial array of telemetered weather stations, wave gages and ocean sensors, including salinity and temperature recorders, current velocity profilers, and sensors to measure chlorophyll fluorescence. Instruments were used to develop and test the performance of numerical models for forecasting weather, waves, and ocean conditions.
This experiment was designed to evaluate how well the models could predict actual conditions. The experiment sup-plemented the fixed array of AOOS instruments with radar surface current measurements, vessel mounted instruments for measuring temperature and salinity, underwater drones to profile the water column, and drifting buoys to measure current direction and velocity.
The experiment focused on vali-dating models of surface and deeper currents in the central basin. The field team collected nearly 100 tracks of drift-ing buoys during a two week period that spanned spring and neap tides. Most drifter deployments occurred within the field of view of radar surface current measurements. Additional deployments occurred around the perimeter of the Sound to validate the velocity of surface currents forced mostly by fresh water runoff from melting snow fields and glaciers.
Participants also had opportuni-ties to test new sensors and platforms, and to evaluate models in the context of other questions or applications such as fishery management, oil spill response, and search and rescue.
Scott Pegau ventures ashore to retrieve a wayward drifter during the Field Experiment.
Location of Assets
212˚00' 212˚30' 213˚00' 213˚30' 214˚00' 214˚30'
60˚00'
60˚30'
61˚00'
Trajectories of two Argosphere surface drifters released in Prince William Sound during the Field Experiment continue to update their positions in real-time.
Leslie Abramson and Jim Pettigrew with one of many drifters deployed in the Sound during the Field Experiment.
The HF Radar team of Hank Stascewich, Steve Sweet, Rachel Potter and Mark Johnson takes a break from setting up the instruments.
Kerstin Cullen and Megan Cimino collect zooplankton.NDBC BuoysNational Data Buoy Center (NDBC) weather buoys carry instruments that measure wind speed and direction, air temperature, air pressure, and sea surface temperature. Data are used to predict ocean circulation.
Drifting BuoysThese instruments make direct measurements of pathways taken by passive tracers such as spilled oil. The field team collected nearly 100 tracks from more than 40 drifting buoys that
were deployed and redeployed during the Field Experiment.
REMUS (top) and Slocum Glider (bottom)Autonomous underwater vehicles (AUVs) like the REMUS and the Slocum gliders can collect nearly
continuous measurements of temperature and salinity. These measurements contribute to a regional scale view of water column structure to 200m depth, and help evaluate and improve ROMS performance.
NDBC Buoy
REMUS AUV
Slocum Glider
Ship CTD
HF RadarThermo- salinograph
Right: Locations of in situ sensors and platforms during the two-week field experiment.
Ship CTDA Conductivity-Temperature-Depth (CTD) sensor is the primary tool for determining essential physical properties of sea water. It provides profile measurements of water column temperature, salinity, and density. The three vessels chartered for the Field
Experiment was fitted with a CTD sensor to measure the salinity and temperature of surface water as they traveled the Sound.
HF RadarHigh Frequency (HF) radar uses Doppler frequency shifts to determine the speed of surface currents. HF radar stations can transmit and receive radio
waves traveling as far as 60km (37 miles) across the Sound.
4-15 Attachm
ent
Wea
ther
For
ecas
ting
How
str
ong
is t
he w
ind
blow
ing
in t
he c
entr
al S
ound
? H
ow m
uch
heat
is
exch
ange
d be
twee
n th
e oc
ean
and
atm
osph
ere?
W
hat
is t
he r
ainf
all a
roun
d PW
S?
Thes
e qu
estio
ns a
re b
eing
add
ress
ed in
real
-tim
e by
the
Wea
th-
er a
nd R
esea
rch
Fore
cast
ing
(WRF
) m
odel
ope
rate
d by
th
e A
lask
a Ex
peri
men
tal F
orec
ast F
acili
ty a
t the
Uni
ver-
sity
of A
lask
a A
ncho
rage
. W
eath
er o
bser
vatio
ns t
o va
lidat
e th
e fo
reca
sts
wer
e pr
ovid
ed b
y ei
ght
land
-bas
ed S
noTe
l wea
ther
sta
tions
tele
met
ered
via
the
Ala
ska
Met
eor
Burs
t C
omm
unic
atio
n Sy
stem
as
wel
l as
five
buoy
mou
nted
and
thr
ee la
nd-b
ased
w
eath
er st
atio
ns o
pera
ted
by th
e N
atio
nal D
ata
Buoy
Cen
ter (
ND
BC).
Ri
ght:
This
weat
her m
ap, u
pdat
ed h
ourly
dur
ing t
he fi
eld
expe
rimen
t, sh
ows s
urfa
ce w
inds
pr
edic
ted
by th
e WRF
mod
el (b
lack
arro
w an
d co
lor c
onto
urs),
and
mea
sure
d by
thre
e oce
an b
uoys
an
d th
ree s
hore
stat
ions
(red
arro
ws).
The w
eath
er m
ap a
t 2:0
0 GM
T on J
uly 2
7, 2
009
show
s a
stro
ng so
uthe
aste
rly w
ind
in th
e cen
tral S
ound
and
a m
oder
ate e
aste
rly w
ind
in th
e nor
ther
n Sou
nd.
Righ
t: Tim
e ser
ies o
f win
d sp
eed
(top)
and
dire
ctio
n (bo
ttom
) dur
ing
the t
wo-w
eek f
ield
expe
rimen
t as m
easu
red
(red
circ
les a
nd lin
e)
and
pred
icte
d by
WRF
(blu
e squ
are i
s now
cast
; blu
e lin
e is h
ourly
fo
reca
st) a
t the
NDB
C bu
oy 4
6060
loca
tion i
n the
cent
ral S
ound
. Th
is co
mpa
rison
show
s tha
t the
WRF
mod
el re
alis
tical
ly pr
edic
ts
wind
spee
d an
d di
rect
ion.
Com
paris
on o
f mea
sure
d sig
nific
ant w
ave h
eigh
t (to
p pa
nel)
and
peak
wav
e per
iod
(bot
tom
pan
el) a
t Buo
y 460
60
with
mod
el p
redi
ctio
ns. B
lue c
urve
repr
esen
ts m
easu
red
data
. Alte
rnat
e red
and
bla
ck lin
es re
pres
ent 3
6-ho
ur
mod
el fo
reca
sts m
ade d
aily
from
July
14–A
ugus
t 6, 2
009.
Drift
er tr
ajec
torie
s as m
easu
red
from
rele
ase t
ime o
n Jul
y 25
at 0
2 GM
T to r
ecov
ery t
ime o
n Jul
y 28
at 0
2 GM
T (ab
ove,
left)
and
as p
redi
cted
by a
clus
ter o
f ens
embl
e ROM
S fo
reca
sts (
abov
e, ri
ght).
It
is ve
ry ch
alle
ngin
g to u
se d
rifte
rs to
eva
luat
e mod
el fo
reca
sts.
As t
his f
igur
e sho
ws, t
raje
ctor
ies
can v
ary s
igni
fican
tly fr
om o
ne p
redi
ctio
n to t
he n
ext b
y usin
g slig
htly
diffe
rent
initi
al co
nditi
ons.
To
capt
ure t
his u
ncer
tain
ty, m
ultip
le R
OMS
fore
cast
s are
mad
e dai
ly. Th
e obs
erve
d dr
ifter
traj
ecto
ry ca
n th
en b
e com
pare
d to
thos
e pre
dict
ed b
y the
ROM
S en
sem
ble f
orec
asts
. The
diff
eren
ce a
mon
g the
se
ense
mbl
e for
ecas
ts re
pres
ents
the u
ncer
tain
ty o
f the
ROM
S fo
reca
st. T
his u
ncer
tain
ty ca
n be a
ttrib
uted
to
our
abi
lity t
o for
ecas
t the
wea
ther
, our
know
ledg
e of f
resh
-wat
er ru
noff
from
rive
rs a
nd g
laci
ers,
a lim
ited
num
ber o
f ins
trum
ents
dep
loye
d, a
nd d
ata p
roce
ssin
g erro
rs a
ssoc
iate
d wi
th H
F rad
ar.
Surfa
ce cu
rrent
m
ap a
s mea
sure
d by
the H
F rad
ar
(red
arro
w) a
nd
pred
icte
d by
the 3
D RO
MS
circ
ulat
ion
mod
el (b
lack
ar
row)
dur
ing t
he
first
wee
k of t
he
field
expe
rimen
t (Ju
ly 18
– 2
1).
Oce
an F
orec
astin
gFo
reca
sts o
f oce
an co
nditi
ons w
ere m
ade u
sing
the R
egio
nal O
cean
Mod
elin
g Sy
stem
(RO
MS)
dev
elop
ed fo
r PW
S by
the
Uni
vers
ity o
f Cal
iforn
ia a
t Los
Ang
eles
an
d th
e N
ASA
/Cal
tech
Jet P
ropu
lsio
n La
bora
tory
. Oce
an c
ircu
latio
n fo
reca
sts a
re
base
d up
on a
nes
ted
serie
s of t
hree
spat
ial d
omai
ns a
nd g
rid si
zes e
ncom
pass
ing
the w
hole
Gul
f of A
lask
a (1
1 km
grid
), th
e sou
thce
ntra
l coa
st o
f Ala
ska
(4 k
m g
rid),
and
PWS
(1.2
km
grid
).Th
e st
ate
of th
e ar
t in
fore
cast
ing
ocea
n co
nditi
ons i
s to
inco
rpor
ate
real
tim
e da
ta in
to m
odel
sim
ulat
ions
to e
nabl
e be
tter n
owca
sts
and
fore
cast
s. Fo
reca
stin
g er
rors
are
est
imat
ed b
y m
akin
g m
ultip
le R
OM
S fo
reca
sts
usin
g sl
ight
ly d
iffer
ent
initi
al co
nditi
ons.
Surf
ace
curr
ent m
easu
rem
ents
from
the
high
freq
uenc
y (H
F) ra
dar a
re u
sed
in r
eal t
ime
by R
OM
S, w
hich
can
then
mak
e re
alis
tic fo
reca
sts
for
PWS.
Dur
ing
the
first
wee
k of
the
expe
rim
ent,
east
erly
win
ds a
nd n
orth
war
d su
rfac
e cu
rren
ts
dom
inat
ed th
e ce
ntra
l Sou
nd (r
ight
, top
). Th
e w
ind
wea
kene
d du
ring
the
seco
nd
wee
k of
the
field
exp
erim
ent,
and
the
cent
ral P
WS
circ
ulat
ion
was
cha
ract
eriz
ed
by a
cycl
onic
(or c
ount
er-c
lock
wis
e) ed
dy v
ery
sim
ilar t
o th
at se
en d
urin
g th
e 200
4 fie
ld e
xper
imen
t (rig
ht, b
otto
m).
Wav
e Fo
reca
stin
gW
ave
fore
cast
s are
mad
e us
ing
the
Sim
ulat
ed W
aves
in th
e N
ears
hore
(SW
AN
) m
odel
dev
elop
ed a
t Tex
as A
&M
Uni
vers
ity. T
he S
WA
N m
odel
use
s da
ta c
ol-
lect
ed fr
om th
ree
ND
BC b
uoys
for o
ngoi
ng v
alid
atio
n in
PW
S, a
s wel
l as d
ata
from
the
Cap
e Su
cklin
g an
d C
ape
Cle
are
buoy
s to
val
idat
e G
ulf
of A
lask
a w
aves
. The
mod
el tr
acks
and
pre
dict
s wav
e he
ight
s ev
ery
12 h
ours
. New
tech
nolo
gy is
als
o be
ing
deve
l-op
ed to
allo
w fo
r re
al ti
me
wav
e fo
reca
sts
that
are
ne
arly
exa
ct fo
r up
to si
x ho
urs a
t a ti
me.
Verti
cal p
rofil
es o
f tem
pera
ture
an
d sa
linity
as m
easu
red
from
a sh
ip a
nd th
e pro
files
pre
dict
ed
by R
OMS
at a
loca
tion n
ear
the H
inch
inbr
ook E
ntra
nce o
n Ju
ly 28
. The
maj
or fe
atur
e of
the t
empe
ratu
re a
nd sa
linity
is
repr
oduc
ed b
y the
ROM
S m
odel
.
Verti
cal d
istri
butio
ns o
f tem
pera
ture
an
d sa
linity
erro
rs (i
.e.,
the d
iffer
ence
be
twee
n obs
erva
tiona
l dat
a and
the
ROM
S no
wcas
t) sh
ow th
e pos
itive
im
pact
of a
ssim
ilatin
g the
se p
artic
ular
da
ta: R
OMS
fore
cast
erro
r with
thes
e da
ta in
clud
ed (b
lue)
is si
gnifi
cant
ly sm
alle
r tha
n the
erro
r with
out t
his
data
(red
). Th
e im
pact
of s
alin
ity d
ata
is so
mew
hat s
mal
ler t
han t
he im
pact
of
tem
pera
ture
. Thi
s sug
gest
s tha
t th
ere i
s roo
m fo
r im
prov
emen
t in
repr
esen
ting t
he sa
linity
and
fres
h-wa
ter p
roce
ss in
the R
OMS
mod
el.
The
2009
Fie
ld E
xper
imen
t in
Prin
ce W
illia
m S
ound
use
d so
me
of th
e
mos
t sop
hist
icat
ed te
chno
logy
ava
ilabl
e an
d th
e ex
pert
ise
of a
team
of s
cien
tists
fro
m a
cros
s Ala
ska
and
the
natio
n.
How
Did
We
Do?
Our
dem
onst
ratio
n of
an
ocea
n ob
serv
ing
syst
em in
Pri
nce
Will
iam
Sou
nd w
as a
su
cces
s in
term
s of
col
lect
ing
field
obs
erva
tions
and
gen
erat
ing
mod
el fo
reca
sts
of w
eath
er, w
ave
and
ocea
n co
nditi
ons
and
prov
idin
g th
ese
in n
ear
real
-tim
e th
roug
h th
e In
tern
et. T
he e
xper
imen
t was
qua
litat
ivel
y su
cces
sful
in a
lso
dem
on-
stra
ting
the
bene
fits
of a
n oc
ean
obse
rvin
g sy
stem
for b
oate
rs, o
il sp
ill r
espo
nse,
an
d se
arch
and
resc
ue o
pera
tions
. Th
e ut
ility
of
the
syst
em f
or f
ishe
ry m
anag
emen
t w
ill b
e ev
alua
ted
as w
e qu
antit
ativ
ely
eval
uate
the
mod
el f
orec
asts
ove
r th
e ne
xt f
ew m
onth
s. W
e w
ill
pres
ent o
ur re
sults
at t
he Ja
nuar
y 20
10 A
lask
a M
arin
e Sc
ienc
e Sy
mpo
sium
.Th
is e
xper
imen
t use
d so
me
of t
he m
ost s
ophi
stic
ated
tech
nolo
gy a
vaila
ble
and
the e
xper
tise o
f a te
am o
f sci
entis
ts fr
om a
cros
s Ala
ska
and
the n
atio
n. T
he o
r-ga
niza
tiona
l and
logi
stic
al o
bsta
cles
we
enco
unte
red
wer
e fo
rmid
able
, due
to th
e ex
trem
e re
mot
enes
s of t
he st
udy
area
and
the
dist
ribut
ed n
atur
e of
the
reso
urce
s fo
cuse
d on
PW
S fo
r tw
o w
eeks
. Pla
nnin
g to
ok m
ore
than
two
year
s; m
onth
ly te
le-
conf
eren
ces
for
all t
he p
artic
ipan
ts b
egan
six
mon
ths
befo
re th
e ex
peri
men
t and
co
ntin
ued
twic
e da
ily d
urin
g th
e ex
peri
men
t. O
pera
ting
an o
cean
obs
ervi
ng s
yste
m i
n th
e ha
rsh
envi
ronm
ent
of P
rinc
e W
illia
m S
ound
is
chal
leng
ing.
Fie
ld t
eam
s en
coun
tere
d un
seas
onab
ly s
torm
y w
eath
er a
s w
ell
as e
quip
men
t m
alfu
nctio
ns a
nd l
ogis
tical
hur
dles
. M
odel
ing
team
s had
dat
a tr
ansp
ort i
ssue
s fro
m re
mot
e ob
serv
atio
nal p
latfo
rms a
nd g
aps i
n so
me c
ruci
al d
atas
ets.
How
ever
, our
ada
ptiv
e des
ign
and
very
reso
urce
ful p
erso
n-ne
l suc
cess
fully
met
thes
e ch
alle
nges
.
Cont
our m
ap o
f pre
dict
ed si
gnifi
cant
wav
e hei
ghts
on J
uly 2
2,
2009
at 0
6:00
in P
WS.
Num
bers
repr
esen
t wav
e hei
ght i
n met
ers.
Surfa
ce cu
rrent
m
ap a
s mea
sure
d by
the H
F rad
ar
(red
arro
w) a
nd
pred
icte
d by
the 3
D RO
MS
circ
ulat
ion
mod
el (b
lack
arro
w)
durin
g the
seco
nd
week
of t
he fi
eld
expe
rimen
t (Ju
ly 31
– A
ug 3
).
Win
d Sp
eed
Win
d Di
rect
ion
Obse
rved
1st G
uess
Anal
ysis
Obs –
1st
Obs –
Ana
ly
Obse
rved
1st G
uess
Anal
ysis
Obs –
1st
Obs –
Ana
ly
4-15 Attachment