South West Observatory Skills and Learning Intelligence Module

www.swslim.org.uk

Dr Peter WhalleySkills and Learning Intelligence Module (SLIM)

(South West Observatory)

University of ExeterSt. Luke’s CampusExeter, EX1 2LU

p.a.whalley@ex.ac.uk

South West Observatory Skills and Learning Intelligence Module

www.swslim.org.uk

South West Regional Skills Balance Sheet

Presentation to the SWESA Research Forum

South West Observatory Skills and Learning Intelligence Module

www.swslim.org.uk

Sector Scorecard

SSC Scorecard

SIC Classifications

Sector ScoreCard

SSC ScoreCard

SIC Classifications

Potentially disclosive information has been suppressed

Please report any perceived data errors to enquiries@stepaheadresearch.co.uk

The data in this product is published (or suppressed) in accordance with the guidelines outlined in “Working Futures – General guidelines for using the workbooks”, Version 3, IER Warwick/Cambridge Econometrics, Oct 2003.

• Disclosure of ABI data is subject to legal controls.

The information in this spreadsheet, or parts thereof, is not to be made available on public websites without the express permission of Step Ahead Research Ltd. This is to ensure compliance with the Working Futures Guidelines.

While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of data, Step Ahead Research Ltd accepts no responsibility for losses or inconvenience arising from errors in the data, or due to investment decisions taken on the basis of the data.

Copyright Step Ahead Research Ltd 2005

Disclaimers and data disclosure

The data in this product contains estimates derived from ABI and LFS data, and as such users should be aware that:• Numbers and percentages in the spreadsheet have been rounded in accordance with guidelines to avoid disclosure of sensitive information and spurious accuracy• All estimates are subject to margins of error

South West Observatory Skills and Learning Intelligence Module

www.swslim.org.uk

SIC SECTION SSC COVERAGE SWRDA SECTORS

LANTRA Food and Drink

Proskills, Improve, SEMTA, Skillfast

Advanced Engineering, Biotechnology, Environmental Technologies, Food and Drink, Marine Technologies

Energy and Utility Skills, COGENT

Environmental Technologies

CITB Construction Skills, Summit Skills SkillSmart Retail, Automotive Skills

People 1st Tourism and Leisure

Go Skills, Skills for Logistics, E-Skills

Financial Services

Asset Skills

E-Skills ICT

Central Government, Skills for Justice

Lifelong Learning

Skills for Health, Skills for Care and Development People 1st, Skills active, Creative and Cultural, SkillSet

Creative Industries, Tourism and Leisure Other (Leisure services)

Health and Care

Education

Public Administration and Defence

Business Activities, R&D, ICT

Real Estate and renting

Financial Services

Transport and Communication

Manufacturing and Extraction

Agriculture, Forestry and Mining

INDUSTRY GROUP

Hotels and Resturants

Wholesale and Retail

Construction

Utilities

Section A/B

Section C/D

Section E

Section F

Section G

Section H

Section I

Section J

Section K(i)

Section K(ii)

Section L

Section M

Section N

Section O/P/Q

South West Observatory Skills and Learning Intelligence Module

www.swslim.org.uk

Section F Construction

Choose theme…(click navigation button)

Economy Business Base Skills Imbalances

Workforce Profile Skill Demand Local LSC Profile

Employment Skills Supply Qualitative information

Sic code level

(SIC sections)

Core Summit Skills Skills footprint (4 Digit)

45.31, 45.33, 52.72

F = Construction

Summit Skills (Building services engineering, Heating ventilating, Air Conditioning, Refrigeration and Plumbing)

Construction SIC code definition

CITB Construction Skills (Development and Maintenance of the Built Environment)

Parent SIC category

Core CITB Construction Skills footprint (4 Digit)

45.1, 45.2, 45.32, 45.34, 45.4, 45.5, 74.2

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

(5)

(6)

(7)

(8)

(9)

South West Observatory Skills and Learning Intelligence Module

www.swslim.org.uk

Skill Demand (5) (A) % change in employment (historical 1998-2003)

(B) Net forecast employment grow th (2004-2014)

(C) Forecast Replacement demand (2004-2014)

South West (All industries) 10 101,000 920,000Parent SIC category (UK) 10 -82,000 650,000Parent SIC category (South West) 10 3,000 56,000Core SSC (CITB Construction Skills) 10 5,000 55,000Core SSC (Summit Skills) 16 1,000 12,000

Data source:

NOMIS ABI 2003/*WORKING FUTURES 2 2005 WORKING FUTURES 2 WORKING FUTURES 2

SIC detail avaliability 4 DIGIT SSC Footprint/2 DIGIT SSC Footprint/2 DIGIT

Note : SIC codes 7221-2 are not included in indicator B due to problems in converting 1998 source data (based upon SIC92) into the 2003 Standard Industrial Classif ication (SIC2003)

South West Observatory Skills and Learning Intelligence Module

www.swslim.org.uk

Skills Supply (6)

(A) Achievement of entry and level 1 NVQ (Further Education)

(B) Achievement of NVQ level 2 (Further Education)

(C) Achievement of NVQ level 3 (Further Education)

(D) Achievement of NVQ level 4 and above (Further Education)

(E) Achievement of Entry to Employment Scheme (level 1 or below Workbased learning)

Area of Learning (Construction) South West 3,131 1,951 1,244 15 3

Data source:ILR AIMS 2003/4, data provided by SW LSC

ILR AIMS 2003/4, data provided by SW LSC

ILR AIMS 2003/4, data provided by SW LSC

ILR AIMS 2003/4, data provided by SW LSC

ILR AIMS 2003/4, data provided by SW LSC

SIC detail avaliability Area of Learning Area of Learning Area of Learning Area of Learning Area of Learning

Note: ILR data is expressed in terms of achievement by qualif ication and is not available as a proportion of learners

South West Observatory Skills and Learning Intelligence Module

www.swslim.org.uk

Skills Imbalances (7)(A) % of employers w ith hard-to f ill vacancies

(B) % of employees w ith skills gaps (C) % of employers w ith Skill shortage Vacancies

(D) % change in average sector earnings (2002-3)

(E) % of w orkforce holding sub- NVQ level 3 qualif ications

South West (All industries) 9 8 6 Unavailable 45Parent SIC category (UK) 6 6 6 4 43Parent SIC category (South West) Unavailable Unavailable Unavailable Unavailable 46Core SSC (CITB Construction Skills) 7 6 6 Unavailable 39Core SSC (Summit Skills) 7 7 6 Unavailable 51Data source: NESS 2004 NESS 2004 NESS 2004 New Earnings Survey 2002/3 LFS 2005

SIC detail avaliability 4 DIGIT 4 DIGIT 4 DIGIT Industry group 4 DIGIT

NOTE: SSC data taken from the NESS and LFS is at a national level

South West Observatory Skills and Learning Intelligence Module

www.swslim.org.uk

Local LSC Profile (8) Construction(A) Total employment by sector

(B) Business base by sector

South West 96,600 20,400Bournemouth, Dorset and Poole 9,300 3,200Devon and Cornw all 32,300 6,300Gloucestershire 25,700 3,800Somerset 11,500 2,300West of England 8,400 2,300Wiltshire and Sw indon 9,500 2,500Data source: NOMIS ABI 2002 NOMIS ABI 2002

SIC detail avaliability Section F Section F

South West Observatory Skills and Learning Intelligence Module

www.swslim.org.uk

Qualitative information (9)

CITB ConstructionSkills

Future skills needsWood trades, managers, electricians, clerical, bricklayers and plumbers (in order of need)(Skills Foresight report, CITB 2003)

Sector Skills AgreementDeveloping management and leadership skills Assisting the effective integration of immigrant workers Increasing apprentice completions and widening opportunities for onsite practice Improving the image of the sectorIntensifying and widening the industry's Qualifying the Workforce Initiative

Summit Skills

Current skills needs No information on their website

South West Observatory Skills and Learning Intelligence Module

www.swslim.org.uk

Sector Scorecard

RES priority 1a RSP priority RES priority 1b

Parent Sectors

(1B) % of South West GDP / % of South West employment

(3D) Concentration of employment (location quotient SW/UK)

(4B) Gain/Loss of businesses 1998-2003

(7G) % of employees undertaking JRT in the last 13 w eeks

(5B) Net forecast employment grow th (2005-2010)

(5C) Forecast Replacement demand (2005-2010)

(2A) % of w orkers over 50 years of age

Agriculture and Forestry 1.75 0.98 0 (0%) 12 -8,000 23,000 45Manufacturing 1.52 1.00 minus 200 (-1%) 21 -41,000 99,000 30Utilities 3.30 1.15 100 (84%) 30 -2,000 4,000 16Construction 0.60 1.00 2,500 (13%) 17 3,000 56,000 32Wholesale and Retail 0.77 1.09 minus 400 (-1%) 20 35,000 162,000 27Hotels & Restaurants 0.75 1.20 2,100 (15%) 22 4,000 78,000 22Transport and Communication 1.19 0.79 1,000 (12%) 19 0 41,000 31Financial Services 1.41 0.94 minus 100 (-2%) 37 5,000 34,000 14Real estate, renting 1.73 0.86 12,600 (32%) 26 44,000 126,000 30Business activity, R&D, ICT 1.73 0.86 12,600 (24%) 26 44,000 126,000 30Public admin. and defence 1.04 1.06 minus 200 (-8%) 42 -1,000 49,000 29Education 0.56 1.05 500 (11%) 45 18,000 89,000 33Health and Care 0.49 1.06 0 (0%) 49 27,000 107,000 32Other (mainly leisure) services 0.74 0.89 600 (4%) 20 17,000 56,000 34Total or Average 1.00 1.00 18,600 (10%) 29 101,000 920,000 30

IRS priority ARES priority 1c

South West Observatory Skills and Learning Intelligence Module

www.swslim.org.uk

SSC Scorecard LSC priority A

LSC priority BRSP priority RES priority 1b RES priority 2a

SSC

(3D) Concentration of employment (location quotient SW/UK)

(4B) Gain/Loss of businesses 1998-2003

(7G) % of employees undertaking JRT in the last 13 w eeks

(5B) Net forecast employment grow th (2005-2010)

(5C) Forecast Replacement demand (2005-2010)

(2A) % of w orkers over 50 years of age

(2C) % of w orkforce holding sub- NVQ level 2 qualif ications Score

LANTRA 1.22 100 (4%) 15 -14,000 22,000 36 40 10Proskills 1.01 minus 100 (-5%) 19 -2,000 11,000 29 31 4Improve 0.99 minus 300 (-18%) 22 -5,000 13,000 25 40 4SEMTA 1.12 minus 100 (-1%) 21 -24,000 45,000 28 22 3Energy and Utility Skills 0.94 300 (31%) 30 2,000 9,000 23 27 1Cogent 0.75 minus 200 (-9%) 24 -4,000 11,000 25 24 1CITB ConstructionSkills 0.97 2,900 (15%) 20 5,000 55,000 28 22 6Summit Skills 0.87 600 (14%) 24 1,000 12,000 41 19 5SkillSmart Retail 1.10 minus 300 (-1%) 21 31,000 107,000 22 29 9Automotive Skills 1.20 100 (2%) 21 -1,000 20,000 26 25 4People 1st 1.06 4,000 (19%) 22 7,000 83,000 17 31 9Go Skills 0.70 200 (22%) 19 1,000 14,000 34 35 5Skills for Logistics 0.83 200 (5%) 14 -6,000 19,000 32 41 6e-Skills 0.81 1,600 (35%) 26 12,000 23,000 15 9 6Financial Services 0.91 minus 100 (-2%) 36 5,000 34,000 15 10 1Asset Skills 0.93 2,700 (35%) 21 9,000 30,000 34 33 7Central Government 1.08 minus 100 (-7%) 40 1,000 38,000 27 11 1Skills for Justice 0.84 minus 100 (-19%) 45 -2,000 11,000 21 12 0Lifelong Learning 0.95 400 (22%) 39 9,000 34,000 36 9 2Skills for Health 1.02 300 (7%) 48 17,000 67,000 29 17 4Skills for Care and Development 1.03 minus 300 (-6%) 46 10,000 39,000 31 21 1Skills Active 1.04 200 (11%) 36 5,000 10,000 18 16 2Creative and Cultural 0.81 400 (12%) 17 5,000 12,000 27 13 4SkillSet 0.68 300 (53%) 18 6,000 7,000 18 13 4SW Total or SW Average 1.00 18,600 (10%) 29 101,000 920,000 30 21 4.1Note : * SIC codes 7221-2, 74.86 and 74.81 are not included in indicator 4B due to problems in converting 1998 source data (based upon SIC92) into the 2003 Standard Industrial Classif ication (SIC2003)

RES priority 1c IRS priority A

South West Observatory Skills and Learning Intelligence Module

www.swslim.org.uk

Themes Source IndicatorProductivity RES priority 1a 1BEncourage new enterprise RES priority 1b 4BSkills for the economy RES priority 1c 7G, 5B, 6FCompete in a global market RES priority 1d n/aPromote innovation RES priority 1e n/aImprove economic participation RES priority 2a 2CSkills for Life LSC priority A 2CRaise proportion with Level 2 LSC priority B 2C

Apprenticeships LSC priority Csee 6F and 6G for respective sector

Manage population change IRS priority A 2A, 5CLevel 3 sk ills in priority sectors / clusters RSP priority

3D (one way of assessing this)

South West Observatory Skills and Learning Intelligence Module

www.swslim.org.uk

Key Issues Identified

• Balance Sheet is based on existing National Datasets

• Not a substitute for the SSCs own data derived from 24x £0.5million research programme

• SSDA Regional Factsheet information needs to be considered

• Need to be able to incorporate further qualitative data in a meaningful manner

• Only 1 tool – NOT the only tool!

South West Observatory Skills and Learning Intelligence Module

www.swslim.org.uk

Key Issues Identified

• Further work needed to tighten up the SIC codes used (and possibly go to greater detail)

• There are other measures/indices that can be used (e.g.GVA)

• Difficulty in linking Sectors to Area of Learning

• Mis-match between SSC footprints and RDA/LSC definitions of sectors in the SW

• How do we relate this to the SWESA priorities? (S4L, M&L, L3 etc )

South West Observatory Skills and Learning Intelligence Module

www.swslim.org.uk

Advantages/Benefits

• Allows for cross-sectoral/SSC comparison on a range of measures

• Provides an additional means of helping to establish regional priorities against a range of criteria

• Will allow for meaningful longitudinal analysis & progress measurement

South West Observatory Skills and Learning Intelligence Module

www.swslim.org.uk

Advantages/Benefits

• Provides a baseline measure in a consistent format

• Ensures that SSCs yet to start their SSA process are not left off the page

• Potentially facilitates joint planning process• Has already raised the profile of the Sector

Skills agenda & opened up the debate on planning for joint action BUT more work is needed & it will never be right