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Southern
Regional
Education
Board
Are We Ready for the New Realities in the 21st Century Ivory Tower?
Bruce Chaloux
Student Access Programs & Services
Southern Regional Education Board
ONLINE LIFELINE CONFERENCEValdosta State University
Southern
Regional
Education
Board
Is Online Learning Contributing to the Collapse or Will We Be Its
Savior?
Our Crumbling Ivory Tower…
Southern
Regional
Education
Board
Remarks Today
· Whimsical? Moving in a different direction· Our changing higher education
environment…and you/we are part of it· The U.S. Challenge· Georgia’s Challenge· Policy Challenges· Is there a new Tower emerging?· SREB degree completion focus· A major (grave?) challenge at hand
· Q & A…or your turn to express opinions
Southern
Regional
Education
Board
The Challenge in the U.S.
· Over the last generation we’ve moved
from 1st in educational attainment to 12th· Overall education attainment is projected
to decrease for the first time· Billions of dollars (federal/state)are spent on
activity that never leads to a credential· Worse: millions of students are trying,
but experiencing significant failures that
put their futures (and ours) at risk
Southern
Regional
Education
Board
The Challenge in Georgia
· High marks on access· Well above regional and national averages
on enrolling high school graduates
BUT· Below regional and national averages on six
year graduation rates· On national and regional averages for adults
with degrees (imports?)· Huge annual increases in degree awards
needed
Southern
Regional
Education
Board
Estimated College Enrollment Rates of Recent High School Graduates
Fall 1998 Fall 2008
57%63%
56%62%60%
72%
U.S. SREB GA
GA Postsecondary Certificates & Degrees
Source: National Center for Education Statistics
Southern
Regional
Education
Board
GA
SREB
U.S.
50%
53%
55%
Six-Year Graduation Rates in 2008for First-Time, Full-Time Freshmen Who Entered
Public Four-Year Colleges and Universities in Fall 2002
GA Postsecondary Certificates & Degrees
Source: SREB-State Data Exchange
Southern
Regional
Education
Board
U.S. SREB GA
27% 25% 27%
17% 17% 19%
13% 14% 13%
29% 27%30%
All Black Hispanic White
GA Postsecondary Certificates & Degrees
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Adults With Bachelor’s Degrees or Higher 2008
College-Going Rates—First-Time Freshmen Directly Out of High School as a Percent of Recent High
School Graduates, 2006
61
.6
76
.1
44
.8
0
25
50
75
Mis
sis
sip
pi
New
York
North
Dakota
South
Dakota
Massachusetts
New
Mexic
oC
onnectic
ut
New
Jers
ey
Min
nesota
Georg
iaV
irgin
iaK
ansas
Mary
land
North
Caro
lina
Louis
iana
Mic
hig
an
New
Ham
pshire
Main
eN
ebra
ska
Dela
ware
South
Caro
lina
Tennessee
India
na
Colo
rado
Ala
bam
aP
ennsylv
ania
Natio
nK
entu
cky
Wis
consin
Iow
aIllin
ois
Flo
rida
Ohio
Haw
aii
Okla
hom
aM
onta
na
Wyom
ing
West V
irgin
iaM
issouri
Ark
ansas
Califo
rnia
Texas
Verm
ont
Rhode Is
land
Nevada
Washin
gto
nO
regon
Uta
hA
laska
Idaho
Ariz
ona
Source: Tom Mortenson, Postsecondary Opportunity
Bachelor's Degrees Awarded per 100 FTE Students Public Four-Year (2006-07)
Sources: NCES, IPEDS 2006-07 Completions File; c2007_a Early Release Data File Downloaded 04-28-08; NCES, IPEDS 2006-07 Instructional Activity File; efia2007 Final Release Data File; NCES, IPEDS 2006-07 Unduplicated Headcount File; effy2007 Final Release Data File.; NCES, IPEDS Fall 2006 Enrollment
File; ef2006a Final Release Data File.
25
.52
3.9
23
.82
3.2
22
.92
2.4
22
.22
1.7
21
.32
1.2
21
.12
0.9
20
.92
0.6
20
.32
0.2
20
.12
0.1
19
.91
9.9
19
.91
9.8
19
.71
9.6
19
.51
9.5
19
.51
9.4
19
.41
9.3
19
.21
9.2
18
.81
8.8
18
.41
8.1
18
.01
7.9
17
.71
7.6
17
.61
7.5
17
.51
7.3
17
.01
6.5
16
.41
5.7
15
.71
5.4
8.5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Was
hin
gto
nIll
ino
isC
on
ne
cticu
tC
alif
orn
iaFl
ori
da
Ne
w J
ers
ey
Ore
gon
Mar
ylan
dH
awai
iTe
xas
Iow
aV
irgi
nia
Kan
sas
Ne
w Y
ork
Mis
sou
riM
ich
igan
Un
ite
d S
tate
sO
klah
om
aW
yom
ing
Ne
bra
ska
De
law
are
Mai
ne
Wis
con
sin
Co
lora
do
Mas
sach
use
tts
Pe
nn
sylv
ania
No
rth
Car
olin
aO
hio
Sou
th C
aro
lina
Ne
w H
amp
shir
eM
inn
eso
taV
erm
on
tM
issi
ssip
pi
No
rth
Dak
ota
Ari
zon
aR
ho
de
Isla
nd
Ge
org
iaN
ew
Me
xico
Ten
ne
sse
eU
tah
Ala
bam
aIn
dia
na
Ke
ntu
cky
Ne
vad
aM
on
tan
aW
est
Vir
gin
iaId
aho
Sou
th D
ako
taA
rkan
sas
Lou
isia
na
Ala
ska
Contributing to the Goal: Average Annual % Increase in Degree Production Needed
Sources: NCES, IPEDS 2006-07 Completions File; c2007_a Early Release Data File Downloaded 04-28-08; NCES, IPEDS 2006-07 Instructional Activity File; efia2007 Final Release Data File; NCES, IPEDS 2006-07 Unduplicated Headcount File; effy2007 Final Release Data File.; NCES, IPEDS Fall 2006 Enrollment
File; ef2006a Final Release Data File.
Southern
Regional
Education
Board
Degree Attainment Challenge
· With this backdrop, new national goals, U.S. competitiveness and degree “gap” driving policy
· Given the percentage increases each state needs to contribute to reaching our national goals….and
· Given the time it will take to reach these percentage increases with traditional-aged students…and
· Given the changing demographics in many states…
· Opportunities for online learning
Southern
Regional
Education
Board
Accountability
· Greater pressure to produce graduates (or completers)
· Our rates of completion are difficult to defend
· 40 million working age adults with some college and no degree (adding nearly one million a year to that total)
· Funding changes that focus on rewarding completion
· Challenges for the for-profit sector likely to be applied to the non-profit sector
· Online programming can reach and serve many in the degree completion market
Southern
Regional
Education
Board
Tuition and Fees
· Every indication that tuition and fees will continue to rise (tax that is not considered a tax)· Redefining “public” institutions
· Seeing some interesting tuition strategies in online learning
· Increasing rates and fees for technology and “convenience” fees for online learners· Revenue replacement for fees paid by on-campus
students
· “Market pricing” · Movement away from in-state/out-of-state tuition policy
in the public sector?
Southern
Regional
Education
Board
Policy “Potpourri”
· Outsourcing
· Straighter Line?
· Requirements for traditional students to complete some portion of their program online
· New competitors in the marketplace
· Emergence (re-emergence) of state regulatory efforts for online programming across state lines
· Prior Learning Assessment (CAEL’s new effort)
· Outcomes-based degrees?
Southern
Regional
Education
Board
The Emerging Ivory Tower
· Greater reliance on adjunct faculty
· Emerging cadre of professional online faculty teaching remotely for multiple institutions
· The WGU Phenomena
· Competency-based degrees
· Reduced time to degree
· Break the “seat-in-a-seat” model
· WGU Indiana…is it coming to other states?
· On campus learning driven by technology, mobile devices, virtual communities
Southern
Regional
Education
Board
The Emerging Ivory Tower (2)
· E-books and e-course packs
· More student ‘swirling’
· Greater workforce focus
· Self-paced learning
· More a la carte approaches to pricing
· Blended learning will become main strategy for traditional campuses
· All things virtual…but fear not, we still enjoy football on Saturday’s (and Thursday’s and Friday’s…)
Southern
Regional
Education
Board
An SREB Focus on Degrees
· Full Court Press on Degree Completion as Outlined in “No Time to Waste”
· Get copy of report from SREB.org· Focus
· Better job of preparation for college· One in college, get students to a credential· If they drop out, get them back in at some point
· Growing awareness of our poor degree completion results by state legislatures suggests new accountability on success (and not just access) tied to funding
Southern
Regional
Education
Board
Even if we achieve success getting traditional-aged
students to degree completion at the highest
levels in top states, we will not achieve national goals…
The Broader Challenge…
Southern
Regional
Education
Board
First, if what we are doing was working, we wouldn’t have millions of young adults without degrees—our approaches need to be different.
SREB’s “Guiding Principles”
1. Online or blended delivery2. Accelerated (compressed) terms3. Institutions become “adult friendly”4. Supportive credit transfer/PLA
Southern
Regional
Education
Board
Programs Built on These Principles Provide…
· More Flexible Programs that Meet Adult Needs• Time, Location, Length, Delivery Formats
· Pathways to Degrees that Give Some Hope of Completion
· Services Designed to Meet the Needs of Adult Learners (re-designed or new)
· More Adult-Friendly Policies• Credit Transfer/Acceptance• Prior Learning Assessment Opportunities• Financial Aid/Assistance for “non-traditional
learners
Southern
Regional
Education
Board
Coming Soon…TheAdultLearner.org
· Four-year grant from Lumina Foundation for Education (part of a $14m initiative)
· Establish a regional and then national portal focusing on adult degree completion· Programs (initially focusing on SREB
states efforts· Services
• Advising • Career Services• Prior Learning Assessment
· Policy (state and institutional)
Southern
Regional
Education
Board
Here Come the Feds…
· New federal requirements going into effect July 1, 2011 (600.9)
· Institutions serving students outside their home state must meet all state requirements· No consideration for “physical presence”· Can’t be exempted from state approval by
accreditation· Failure to have evidence of approval will
make institution ineligible for Title IV funding
Southern
Regional
Education
Board
Impact/Implications
· State approval/licensure requirements are uneven (at best) and problematic
· Most public institutions have operated in an unfettered way in states, in particular those with a few students and no other presence
· Time-consuming and costly· One institution in North Dakota
• 600+ online students in 40+ states• Estimated cost of $160,000 for approval• 8 student in MA--$28,000• 5 students in TN--$29,000
Southern
Regional
Education
Board
SREB’s Stance and Actions
· Since inception of Electronic Campus, we have operated in a “free trade zone”· Home state “sign-off” of programs
recognized by other SREB states· Consortial or reciprocity agreements allowable
under the new regs· Seeking clarification from feds as to our
continuing use to meet new regs· Broader campaign to repeal, amend or delay
implementation· At this point, some action by July 1…
YOU NEED TO TAKE ACTION
Southern
Regional
Education
Board
What Should Institutions Do?
· Assuming we do not get clarification/clearance to continue “free trade zone” (and if you are offering programming outside the region…
· Send a letter to every state· Inform them you offer online programs and may have
now or in the future students enrolling in programs• What is there regulatory requirements?• What do you need to do?• What is there process?• How long does it take?• How much does it cost?• Request response by July 1 to meet new federal regulations
· DOCUMENT EVERYTHING.
Southern
Regional
Education
Board
Some Available Resources
· SREB· Applicable federal regs (600.9)http://edocket.access.gop.gov/2010/pdf/2010-26531.pdf
· State Approval “Starter List”http://wcet.wiche.edu/wcet/advance/state-approval
· Blog (by Russ Poulin, WCET-WICHEhttp://wcetblog.wordpress.com/2011/01/26/629/
· Your national membership organizations (e.g. AASCU, APLU, AACC)
Southern
Regional
Education
Board
Thank You…
sreb.orgelectroniccampus.org
soon…TheAdultLearner.org
Bruce [email protected]