SPAC DEAL REVIEWJul 27, 2020www.spacalpha.com
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2
4 KEY QUESTIONS FOR OUR ANALYSIS
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1. What is the trend in SPAC transaction activity over time?
2. Are we seeing strength in certain sectors/themes?
3. Are all SPAC deals being bid up (i.e. high correlation irrespective of sector)?
4. Are SPAC prices being bid up on low volume with high volume of shares being “dumped” subsequently?
SPAC IPO ISSUANCE & TRANSACTION ACTIVITY
4
4
13
2328
21
21
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
13
34
46
5950
20
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
SPAC IPOs Over the Last 5 Years SPAC Deals Over the Last 5 Years
2020: 21 closed and 21 live deals
Data source: SPAC Research
As of Jul 24, 2020
SPAC TRANSACTION TRENDS
5
17
19
23
20
15
<$250M
$250-4
99M
$500-9
99M
$1-2
B
$2B+
Deal Size Distribution Over Last 5 Years Deal Size Distribution by Year, $M
Data source: SPAC Research
$0
$2,000
$4,000
$6,000
$8,000
$10,000
$12,000
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
As of Jul 24, 2020
2016-YTD 2020
CLOSED SPAC TRANSACTIONS IN 2020 (I)
6
SPAC Target Ticker Sector & GeographyClosing
DateCMP
Leo Holdings Digital Media Solutions DMS TMT, UK Jul-20 $6.75
Gordon Pointe Acquisition
HOF Village HOFV Real Estate, US Jul-20 $5.44
ARYA Sciences Acquisition
Immatics Biotechnologies IMTX Biotech, US/Germany Jul-20 $10.57
Act II Global Acquisition
Whole Earth Brands FREE Consumer, US/Global Jun-20 $7.66
Proficient Alpha Acquisition
Lion Financial LGHLFinancials, China
Jun-20 $4.61
Nebula Acquisition Open Lending LPRO Financials, US Jun-20 $17.64
VectoIQ Acquisition Nikola NKLA Automobiles, US Jun-20 $29.92
Mudrick Capital Acquisition
Hycroft Mining HYMC Gold/Silver Mining, US May-20 $11.20
Wealthbridge Acquisition
Scienjoy SJ Mobile Media, China May-20 $6.18
Diamond Eagle Acquisition
DraftKings DKNG Online Gaming, US Apr-20 $37.55
Pensare Acquisition Stratos Management Systems AVCT TMT, US Apr-20 $3.65
EdtechX Holdings Acquisition
Meten METX Education, China Mar-20 $11.60
As of Jul 24, 2020
CLOSED SPAC TRANSACTIONS IN 2020 (I)
7
SPAC Target Ticker Sector & GeographyClosing
DateCMP
Tiberius Acquisition IGI Holdings IGIC Financials, Middle East Mar-20 $6.63
DD3 Acquisition Betterware de Mexico BWMXConsumer goods, Mexico
Mar-20 $9.20
ChaSerg Technology Acquisition
Grid Dynamics GDYN TMT, US Mar-20 $6.39
TKK Symphony Acquisition
Glory Star New Media Group GSMGMobile Entertainment, China
Feb-20 $4.12
Boxwood Merger Atlas Technical Consultants ATCXInfrastructure consulting, US
Feb-20 $8.02
B. Riley Principal Merger
Alta Equipment Holdings ALTGIndustrial/Construction equipment, US
Feb-20 $7.62
Gores Holdings III PAE PAEOutsourced services to US Government, US
Feb-20 $8.33
GS Acquisition Holdings
Vertiv VRTBackup power equipment, US
Feb-20 $13.58
Mosaic Acquisition Vivint VVNTSmart home monitoring, US
Jan-20 $15.46
Allegro Merger Corp.Terminated TGI Friday’s deal,
liquidatedN/A Restaurants, US Apr-20 N/A
Fellazo, Inc. Liquidated N/A Health food, China Apr-20 N/A
As of Jul 24, 2020
LIVE SPAC TRANSACTIONS IN 2020 (I)
8
SPAC Target Ticker Sector & GeographyAnnounced
DateCMP
dMY Technology Group Rush Street Interactive DMYT Online Gaming, US 27-Jul-20 $11.30
Tenzing Acquisition Reviva Pharmaceuticals TZAC Biopharma, US 21-Jul-20 $10.77
Fortress Value Acquisition MP Materials FVAC Mining, US 15-Jul-20 $13.65
Spartan Energy Acquisition Fisker Inc. SPAQ Automobiles, US 13-Jul-20 $13.36
Churchill Capital III Multiplan CCXX Healthcare, US 12-Jul-20 $10.98
Orisun Acquisition Ucommune ORSN Real estate, China 6-Jul-20 $10.16
Graf Industrial Velodyne GRAF Automobiles, US 2-Jul-20 $15.91
Opes Acquisition BurgerFi OPES Restaurants, US 30-Jun-20 $11.47
Insurance Acquisition Shift Technologies INSU E-commerce/Auto, US 29-Jun-20 $11.64
Landcadia Holdings IIGolden Nugget Online Gaming
LCA Online Gambling, US 29-Jun-20 $12.70
As of Jul 24, 2020
LIVE SPAC TRANSACTIONS IN 2020 (II)
9
SPAC Target Ticker Sector & GeographyAnnounced
DateCMP
Crescent Acquisition F45 Training CRSA Gyms, US 24-Jun-20 $10.29
Tortoise Acquisition Hyliion SHLL Automobiles, US 19-Jun-20 $17.97
Forum Merger II Ittella / Tattooed Chef FMCI Food retail, US 12-Jun-20 $13.12
HL Acquisitions Fusion Fuel, SA HCCH Green energy, US 8-Jun-20 $10.74
Collier Creek Holdings Utz Quality Foods CCH Packaged food, US 5-Jun-20 $13.26
Schultze Special Purpose Acquisition
Clever Leaves International
SAMA Cannabis, Colombia 1-Jun-20 $10.38
Pure Acquisition HighPeak Energy PACQ Energy, US 4-May-20 $10.64
Far Point Acquisition Global Blue FPAC TMT, Europe 16-Jan-20 $10.25
Monocle Acquisition AerSale MNCL Aviation services, US 9-Dec-19 $10.34
KBL Merger IVCannBioRx / 180 Life Sciences
KBLM Biopharma, US 26-Jul-19 $10.94
8i Enterprises Acquisition Diginex JFKK Blockchain, China 10-Jul-19 $10.28
As of Jul 24, 2020
OVERALL MARKET PERFORMANCE SINCE APR’20
10
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
22,000
24,000
26,000
28,000
22
-Ap
r
28
-Ap
r
4-M
ay
8-M
ay
14
-May
20
-May
27
-May
2-J
un
8-J
un
12
-Ju
n
18
-Ju
n
24
-Ju
n
30
-Ju
n
7-J
ul
13
-Ju
l
17
-Ju
l
23
-Ju
l
Mill
ion
s
^DJI
Volume Close
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
8,000
9,000
10,000
11,000
22
-Ap
r
28
-Ap
r
4-M
ay
8-M
ay
14
-May
20
-May
27
-May
2-J
un
8-J
un
12
-Ju
n
18
-Ju
n
24
-Ju
n
30
-Ju
n
7-J
ul
13
-Ju
l
17
-Ju
l
23
-Ju
l
Mill
ion
s
^IXIC
Volume Close
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
2,400
2,600
2,800
3,000
3,200
3,400
22
-Ap
r
28
-Ap
r
4-M
ay
8-M
ay
14
-May
20
-May
27
-May
2-J
un
8-J
un
12
-Ju
n
18
-Ju
n
24
-Ju
n
30
-Ju
n
7-J
ul
13
-Ju
l
17
-Ju
l
23
-Ju
l
Mill
ion
s
^SPX
Volume Close
0
20
40
60
80
100
1,100
1,300
1,500
1,700
22
-Ap
r
28
-Ap
r
4-M
ay
8-M
ay
14
-May
20
-May
27
-May
2-J
un
8-J
un
12
-Ju
n
18
-Ju
n
24
-Ju
n
30
-Ju
n
7-J
ul
13
-Ju
l
17
-Ju
l
23
-Ju
l
Mill
ion
s
^RUT
Volume Close
As of Jul 24, 2020
Data source: Nasdaq, NYSE
SPAC TRANSACTIONS IN THE MOBILITY SECTOR
11
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
$8
$13
$18
$23
$28
$33
$38
12
-Ju
n
16
-Ju
n
18
-Ju
n
22
-Ju
n
24
-Ju
n
26
-Ju
n
30
-Ju
n
2-J
ul
7-J
ul
9-J
ul
13
-Ju
l
15
-Ju
l
17
-Ju
l
21
-Ju
l
23
-Ju
l
Mill
ion
s
SHLL
Volume Price
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
$8
$10
$12
$14
$16
$18
6-J
ul
7-J
ul
8-J
ul
9-J
ul
10
-Ju
l
13
-Ju
l
14
-Ju
l
15
-Ju
l
16
-Ju
l
17
-Ju
l
20
-Ju
l
21
-Ju
l
22
-Ju
l
23
-Ju
l
24
-Ju
l
Mill
ion
s
SPAQ
Volume Price
024681012141618
$8
$10
$12
$14
$16
$18
$20
$22
10
-Ju
n
12
-Ju
n
16
-Ju
n
18
-Ju
n
22
-Ju
n
24
-Ju
n
26
-Ju
n
30
-Ju
n
2-J
ul
7-J
ul
9-J
ul
13
-Ju
l
15
-Ju
l
17
-Ju
l
21
-Ju
l
23
-Ju
l
Mill
ion
s
GRAF
Volume Price
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
$8
$28
$48
$68
$88
28
-Ap
r
1-M
ay
6-M
ay
11
-May
14
-May
19
-May
22
-May
28
-May
2-J
un
5-J
un
10
-Ju
n
15
-Ju
n
18
-Ju
n
23
-Ju
n
26
-Ju
n
1-J
ul
7-J
ul
10
-Ju
l
15
-Ju
l
20
-Ju
l
23
-Ju
l
Mill
ion
s
NKLA
Volume Price
As of Jul 24, 2020
Data source: Nasdaq, NYSE
SPAC TRANSACTIONS IN THE MOBILITY SECTOR
12
SPAC TargetIPO,
$M
IBC
EV, $M
EV/
IPOCMP
Peak
Price
CMP/
Peak
Price
10-day
Volume
90-day
Volume
VectoIQAcquisition
Nikola $200 $3,300 16.5x $29.9 $93.9 -70% 22.7M 21.7M
Spartan Energy Acquisition
Fisker Inc. $552 $2,900 5.2x $13.4 $21.6 -40% 8.1M 4.1M
Tortoise Acquisition
Hyliion $235 $1,100 4.7x $17.9 $34.7 -50% 2.3M 3.5M
Graf Industrial Velodyne $244 $1,600 6.5x $15.9 $24.3 -40% 0.9M 0.8M
As of Jul 24, 2020
Data source: Nasdaq, NYSE
SPAC TRANSACTIONS IN THE FOOD SECTOR
13
0
5
10
15
20
$8
$10
$12
$14
$16
$18
$20
1-J
un
3-J
un
5-J
un
9-J
un
11
-Ju
n
15
-Ju
n
17
-Ju
n
19
-Ju
n
23
-Ju
n
25
-Ju
n
29
-Ju
n
1-J
ul
6-J
ul
8-J
ul
10
-Ju
l
14
-Ju
l
16
-Ju
l
20
-Ju
l
22
-Ju
l
24
-Ju
l
Mill
ion
s
CCH
Volume Price
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
$8
$10
$12
$14
$16
$18
$20
20
-May
26
-May
29
-May
3-J
un
8-J
un
11
-Ju
n
16
-Ju
n
19
-Ju
n
24
-Ju
n
29
-Ju
n
2-J
ul
8-J
ul
13
-Ju
l
16
-Ju
l
21
-Ju
l
24
-Ju
l
Mill
ion
s
FMCI
Volume Price
0
2
4
6
8
10
$6
$8
$10
$12
$14
$16
$18
$20
3-J
un
5-J
un
9-J
un
11
-Ju
n
15
-Ju
n
17
-Ju
n
19
-Ju
n
23
-Ju
n
25
-Ju
n
29
-Ju
n
1-J
ul
6-J
ul
8-J
ul
10
-Ju
l
14
-Ju
l
16
-Ju
l
20
-Ju
l
22
-Ju
l
24
-Ju
l
Mill
ion
s
FREE
Volume Price
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
$8
$10
$12
$14
$16
$18
$20
5-J
un
9-J
un
11
-Ju
n
15
-Ju
n
17
-Ju
n
19
-Ju
n
23
-Ju
n
25
-Ju
n
29
-Ju
n
1-J
ul
6-J
ul
8-J
ul
10
-Ju
l
14
-Ju
l
16
-Ju
l
20
-Ju
l
22
-Ju
l
24
-Ju
l
Mill
ion
s
OPES
Volume Price
As of Jul 24, 2020
Data source: Nasdaq, NYSE
SPAC TRANSACTIONS IN THE FOOD SECTOR
14
SPAC TargetIPO,
$M
IBC
EV, $M
EV/
IPOCMP
Peak
Price
CMP/
Peak
Price
10-day
Volume
90-day
Volume
Collier Creek Holdings
Utz $440 $1,561 3.5x $13.2 $14.7 -10% 0.4M 1.0M
Forum Merger IIIttella / Tattooed Chef
$200 $482 2.4x $13.1 $20.0 -40% 1.0M 2.4M
Act II Global Acquisition
Whole Earth
Brands $300 $439 1.5x $7.6 $11.0 -30% 0.8M 1.5M
Opes Acquisition BurgerFi $48 $143 3x $11.4 $19.9 -40% 0.2M 0.4M
As of Jul 24, 2020
Data source: Nasdaq, NYSE
SPAC TRANSACTIONS IN THE GAMING SECTOR
15
0
10
20
30
40
50
$8
$13
$18
$23
$28
$33
$38
$43
$48
7-A
pr
14
-Ap
r
20
-Ap
r
24
-Ap
r
30
-Ap
r
6-M
ay
12
-May
18
-May
22
-May
29
-May
4-J
un
10
-Ju
n
16
-Ju
n
22
-Ju
n
26
-Ju
n
2-J
ul
9-J
ul
15
-Ju
l
21
-Ju
l
Mill
ion
s
DKNG
Volume Price
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
$8.0
$9.0
$10.0
$11.0
$12.0
4-J
un
8-J
un
10
-Ju
n
12
-Ju
n
16
-Ju
n
18
-Ju
n
22
-Ju
n
24
-Ju
n
26
-Ju
n
30
-Ju
n
2-J
ul
7-J
ul
9-J
ul
13
-Ju
l
15
-Ju
l
17
-Ju
l
21
-Ju
l
23
-Ju
l
Mill
ion
s
DMYT
Volume Price
0
5
10
15
20
25
$8$9
$10$11$12$13$14$15$16$17
23
-Ju
n
25
-Ju
n
29
-Ju
n
1-J
ul
6-J
ul
8-J
ul
10
-Ju
l
14
-Ju
l
16
-Ju
l
20
-Ju
l
22
-Ju
l
24
-Ju
l
Mill
ion
s
LCA
Volume Price
As of Jul 24, 2020
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
$4$5$6$7$8$9
$10$11$12$13
1-J
ul
2-J
ul
6-J
ul
7-J
ul
8-J
ul
9-J
ul
10
-Ju
l
13
-Ju
l
14
-Ju
l
15
-Ju
l
16
-Ju
l
17
-Ju
l
20
-Ju
l
21
-Ju
l
22
-Ju
l
23
-Ju
l
24
-Ju
l
Mill
ion
sHOFV
Volume Close
Data source: Nasdaq, NYSE
SPAC TRANSACTIONS IN THE GAMING SECTOR
16
SPAC TargetIPO,
$M
IBC
EV, $M
EV/
IPOCMP
Peak
Price
CMP/
Peak
Price
10-day
Volume
90-day
Volume
Diamond Eagle Acquisition
DraftKings $230 $2,700 11.7x $37.5 $44.8 -20% 12.1M 12.8M
LandcadiaHoldings II
Golden Nugget
$316 $745 2.3x $12.7 $17.0 -30% 3.3M 1.9M
Gordon Pointe Acquisition
Hall of Fame Village
$125 $613 4.9x $5.4 $12.7 -60% 0.4M 0.6M
dMY Technology Group
Rush Street Interactive
$200 $1,780 8.9x $11.3 $11.4 N/A 0.2M 0.03M
As of Jul 24, 2020
Data source: Nasdaq, NYSE
INSIGHTS FROM OUR ANALYSIS
17
1. Number of SPAC deals closed has grown each year with 2020 poised to deliver 10x deals closedcompared to 2016
2. The highest number of deals closed are in the $500-999M range but the distribution of dealactivity is evenly distributed on either end of this range - 36 deals below $500M and 35 dealsabove $1,000M
3. Size distribution of SPAC deals on the top end of range has grown each year with new highs eachyear – indicating that sellers are becoming increasingly comfortable with the liquidity of the SPACmarket
4. Of the live deals that are yet to close, only deals in mobility, food and e-commerce are tradingmaterially above Trust value. It appears that SPAC investors are most excited about transactionsin “emerging” trends such as non-ICE mobility or lockdown resistant areas such as online gamingand packaged/healthy foods
5. SPAC prices have risen on the strength of heavy volume (e.g. NKLA, SHLL, SPAQ, GRAF tradedover $100M of trading per day) – indicating that there is enough liquidity and institutionalactivity in the SPAC market
6. We can see investors discern across businesses in the same sub-sector – for instance, food andgaming stocks are performed differently depending on business outlook
7. High-fliers like Nikola and DraftKings have given up a portion of their gains to profit taking asnew SPAC transactions in the same segment have become available or additional liquidity in thestock has become available – this points to the need for differentiation and competitivepositioning within sub-sectors as investors are spoilt for choice
18
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